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Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus Podcast podcast PODA All Right,

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Speaker 1: here we go.

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Speaker 2: Fifteen twenty twenty five starting thirty five forty forty five

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Speaker 2: fifty and.

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Speaker 1: The Kicks, Black College Football World.

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Speaker 2: Stunners, Oh my goodness, please stumble, and Football the latter

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Speaker 2: of turn a Car on the episode j the lad.

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Speaker 1: A Table Off the Field the Night.

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Speaker 2: By God, it's not the size of the dog in

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Speaker 2: the fighting, it's the size of the fight in all

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Speaker 2: What's up the generation? Welcome to the Big Bets on

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Speaker 2: Campus Podcast presented by DraftKings. This is the week twelve

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Speaker 2: college football betting Preview. I'm stucky in joining me as

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Speaker 2: always my fellow BBOC co host Colin wil Lot to

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Speaker 2: get to today. Not the sexiest slate couple, Markee games,

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Speaker 2: a lot of teams on quit watch. We're kind of

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Speaker 2: in the dog days, but there are winners to be found.

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Speaker 2: It's the beauty of betting. By the way, if you

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Speaker 2: use Twitter, make sure you check out that Playbook, the

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Speaker 2: new betting bot from Action turn your screenshot into a

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Speaker 2: bet slip. Just follow out Playbook on Twitter for more info.

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Speaker 2: You just reply to playbook create an automated betslip for

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Speaker 2: have equip quick Slip links in the video and podcast

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Speaker 2: description where you can find and tail some of the

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Speaker 2: bets we discussed in today's episode, or you can visit

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Speaker 2: Action network dot com, Slash bet now and quick self

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Speaker 2: Promo and the new Cost of the Favorites podcast, which

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Speaker 2: is returned with a new lineup episodes Tuesday's, Thursday Sundays

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Speaker 2: with Kendrick Middleton, myself and Brandon Kravitz. Bet stories, Pretty fun,

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Speaker 2: send it all around the NFL, and before we really

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Speaker 2: All right, let's get into the marquee games of the

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Speaker 2: weekend and then we'll hit the rundown. My favorite games

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Speaker 2: of the weekend are all trash. We'll have an extensive you.

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Speaker 1: Do an abundance of it this weekend, as I saw, Yeah.

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Speaker 2: There and there are just there's so many like large

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Speaker 2: spreads this weekend. But we do have three games with

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Speaker 2: massive collechwall play authifications. Oh, by the way, I would

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Speaker 2: be remiss if I didn't mention the maction. I bet

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Speaker 2: you Mass maybe my worst bad of all time, And

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Speaker 2: sadly they were so bad they went over the total.

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Speaker 2: But then Illinois went over the total on their own,

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Speaker 2: a team that averages twelve points per game. That was

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Speaker 2: my first dance with U Mass. I figured NIU just

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Speaker 2: got their seventh loss. Going on the road, you mess

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Speaker 2: looking for the first win. Thought they were going to

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Speaker 2: be a little healthier, which they weren't.

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Speaker 1: It was a disaster.

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Speaker 2: That team is unbetiable.

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Speaker 1: Look last year about the same time, I said, I'm

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Speaker 1: not talking about kannessas State anymore. And so the team

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Speaker 1: you just mentioned, I'm not even mentioning him outside of

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Speaker 1: my that I had the under and I just won't

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Speaker 1: even mention their name the rest of the year. They're

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Speaker 1: on their own probation for me from a content perspective.

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Speaker 1: But what I couldn't take was watching Buffalo get close

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Speaker 1: to the goal line and just start throwing the ball

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Speaker 1: out for Central Michigan to pick up and run back.

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Speaker 1: Like at what that happened? They had five turnovers, three

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Speaker 1: of them were like, here you go, take the ball.

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Speaker 1: Buffalo is atrocious.

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Speaker 2: I mean, Buffalo should have lost. A U Mass should

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Speaker 2: tell you all you need to know. I will whisper

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Speaker 2: Central Michigan is live again.

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Speaker 1: Oh boy, here we go. Fire up chips.

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Speaker 2: Yep, they're gonna host Toledo and that could determine it.

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Speaker 2: We just need Buffalo to take out Ohio. Man. Central

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Speaker 2: Michigan didn't blow that game against westn Michigan. They should

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Speaker 2: have won, but Western Michigan in the driver's seat. But

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Speaker 2: that's steen that could lose to anybody to a really

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Speaker 2: good defense.

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Speaker 1: I'm not gonna if everybody out there's got twenty twenty

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Speaker 1: five to one's on the chips, I don't think I'm

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Speaker 1: hedging unless they make the championship game Toledo would be huge.

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Speaker 2: Wait for the fun. Yeah, all right, let's get to

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Speaker 2: the market games of the weekend.

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Speaker 1: It's another fabulous weekend of college football. Let's check out

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Speaker 1: the Marquee matchups. We'll all end up bedding for Week twelve.

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Speaker 2: Let's start with an interesting one. Notre Dame pit. Just

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Speaker 2: like every week if you wanted that pit and you

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Speaker 2: want to fade Notre Dame. Wait, Notre Dame takes money

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Speaker 2: almost every week. Maybe this isn't the week, but seems

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Speaker 2: like on game day Notre Dame is gonna get bet.

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Speaker 2: Maybe you'll get a fourteen. I don't know from a

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Speaker 2: numbers perspective, So it's an interesting spot. Pitt seven and

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Speaker 2: two still live in the ACC. Notre Dame pretty much

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Speaker 2: clinches a win cloud Schwall plow Perth with a win.

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Speaker 2: They have Syracuse at home and then Stanford to close

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Speaker 2: out the season. If they lose, they're pretty much eliminated.

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Speaker 2: So this is basically a playing game for Notre Dame

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Speaker 2: and for Pitt. I mean Nardoozi who also said get

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Speaker 2: liquored up to noon start. He did say that on

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Speaker 2: his radio show, but he also said that this game

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Speaker 2: in a way doesn't matter. I don't know if he

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Speaker 2: was just throwing stuff out. He was asked, do you

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Speaker 2: feel like the Notre Dame iss must when he said

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Speaker 2: absolutely not. It's not an acc game. I gladly get

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Speaker 2: beat by one hundred and three or one hundred and

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Speaker 2: ten to ten. They could put up one hundred up

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Speaker 2: on us as long as you win the next two

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Speaker 2: after that. It's just a weird take. I don't know

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Speaker 2: if he was like, I don't know how to read that.

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Speaker 2: He did. He's like, I don't know if you are

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Speaker 2: going to hold out guys, well, so I read read.

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Speaker 1: Ahead. I read the entire transcript. Play hard, fundamental tackling,

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Speaker 1: play hard, play hard, Notre Dame, play hard. We're gonna

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Speaker 1: have to play hard, play hard, play hard. And then

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Speaker 1: all of a sudden someone asked him about is this

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Speaker 1: your season like or whatever, and he's like, no, I mean,

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Speaker 1: he makes this comment, and I think it was nardoozy,

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Speaker 1: just talking to the point to where the a SEC

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Speaker 1: Championship is the goal. He didn't come out there and

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Speaker 1: say like I'm starting all my second string. I'm laying

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Speaker 1: down like we're not going to show up to this game.

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Speaker 1: That's I've never seen Nardoozi just show up and lay

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Speaker 1: down or pull his starters. So this extra points you're

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Speaker 1: getting in the market, I thought the number was overrated,

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Speaker 1: over overinflated anyways, and now a book just went to thirteen.

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Speaker 2: Like what, Yeah, I would wait, like I think it's

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Speaker 2: I think it should be like ten. Now I will say,

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Speaker 2: so I'm interested in Pitt, but I'm gonna wait. Notre

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Speaker 2: Dame takes money every day, and I will said, the

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Speaker 2: Notre Dame defense has been incredible ever since. You know,

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Speaker 2: since the first two weeks of the season. Ash got

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Speaker 2: all that hate. They got a pass rush, They're shutting

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Speaker 2: teams down in the second half, and they played some

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Speaker 2: good offenses. They played USC, they played Arkansas, so they

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Speaker 2: played NC State, and I mean what I'm saying, they like.

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Speaker 2: NC State is a good offense. They hold them the

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Speaker 2: seven points. Arkansas is a good offense. Aldom nothing the

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Speaker 2: thirteen points. USC They did a really good job there.

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Speaker 2: And then you have Pitt who's surging with Mason Eichel

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Speaker 2: a quarterback. But they're wins. You have to caveate, though,

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Speaker 2: caveat them NC State, Stanford, Syracuse, Florida State, BC. It's

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Speaker 2: not exactly a murderers row. I think those teams have

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Speaker 2: like six combined wins in the ACC. This is gonna

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Speaker 2: come down the car dealing with the pit pressure. Can

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Speaker 2: you throw deep? That's how you beat this pit quarters coverage,

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Speaker 2: aggressive defense. He's been really good this year. I've been

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Speaker 2: super impressed with Carr, but I do think this number

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Speaker 2: is a bit high. And getting Desmond readback is massive

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Speaker 2: just for the entire offense special teams. He's their most

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Speaker 2: electric player and it looks like he's gonna be fully healthy.

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Speaker 2: Kit's also coming off of a buy and they've been

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Speaker 2: dealing with a lot of injuries. So on the number,

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Speaker 2: I would look Pitt's way, But like I said, you

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Speaker 2: might as well wait. Notre Dame money seems just never

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Speaker 2: stops flowing in.

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Speaker 1: You See, there's another problem for Pitt two. I mean,

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Speaker 1: on offense, like Mesa, Heinschel is not being protected whatsoever.

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Speaker 1: I mean, Pitt's offensive line is ninety fourth and havoc allowed.

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Speaker 1: Notre Dame's pass rush is thirteenth, so they're gonna get

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Speaker 1: pressure on him, and his turnover worthy play rate with

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Speaker 1: pressure is six point three percent. So I love trouble

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Speaker 1: leave cash, but you know it, with pressure, it's a

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Speaker 1: completely different quarterback. And Notre Dame, by the way, they

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Speaker 1: don't mind allowing methodicals down down the field, but their

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Speaker 1: seventeenth in defensive finishing drives and you know it's it's

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Speaker 1: a bend, don't break. Right now, they're playing really well

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Speaker 1: with their backs up against the wall. And I already

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Speaker 1: hit a prop. I already put a prop on CJ.

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Speaker 1: Carr over his passing yards for this game. I just

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Speaker 1: don't see Jenari and you were't going to hear me

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Speaker 1: say this very much, but Jeriing Price and Jemiah Love

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Speaker 1: are going straight into the teeth of exactly what Pitt

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Speaker 1: defends the best. I mean, Randy Bates's defense is top

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Speaker 1: five in the country in rush efficiency, lineyards stuff, right,

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Speaker 1: you know, the defensive edges Isaiah and Neil and Jimmy

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Speaker 1: Scott are just eat up outside zone, which is all

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Speaker 1: that Notre Dame uses. So I don't think the running

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Speaker 1: attack that for Notre Dame is going to be as

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Speaker 1: great as we've seen, especially like I mean, come on,

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Speaker 1: Navy defenses. Some of these defenses that you see Love

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Speaker 1: and Price creating all these highlights against you. I don't

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Speaker 1: think you're going to see it against Pitt. So when

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Speaker 1: you are stopping the Notre.

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Speaker 2: Dame, the fight some good offenses, but on the same token,

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Speaker 2: like NC State's defense is terrible, Arkansas's defense is terrible.

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Speaker 2: Crazy State defense isn't anything the right home about. So

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Speaker 2: like they haven't Notre Dame hasn't played a defense with

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Speaker 2: juice since I mean eight of these defense is horrendous,

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Speaker 2: I mean since it's been a while A and them.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, well, I you know Pitt has I don't know.

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Speaker 1: I mean, listen, I got a pit number because I

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Speaker 1: make this game six. Like I know you said ten,

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Speaker 1: but I made it six. I hit the opener, and

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Speaker 1: I didn't know. Nardoozy's gone out there and given everybody

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Speaker 1: a gift.

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Speaker 2: In my opinion, don't get events. Notre Dame early. I

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Speaker 2: thought I thought you.

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Speaker 1: I thought the number was bad. But anyways, I like Pitt.

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Speaker 1: I like Pitt. I don't you know if we're wrong

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Speaker 1: or wrong. And it's a spot where they just don't

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Speaker 1: show up, which is not like a Nardoozi team at all.

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Speaker 1: They usually don't show up for bad teams, and Nardoozi

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Speaker 1: shows up for the best teams. That's his mo.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I think device would pit as well. Let's talk

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Speaker 2: about pair of SCC games next, which we've have. They

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Speaker 2: have massive implications in the SEC College Football playoff race.

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Speaker 2: Oklahoma at Alabama, Texas at Georgia both in a similar

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Speaker 2: price range and have a lot of the same storylines.

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Speaker 2: You have Oklahoma at Alabama. Oklahoma coming off of the

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Speaker 2: bye should enable them to get a little healthier. We'll

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Speaker 2: see if our Mason Thomas goes that's pretty important. But

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Speaker 2: Alabama is at home and they have revenge from last year.

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Speaker 2: I'm sure they've had this game circled. Oklahoma embarrassed them

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Speaker 2: late in the season. And then you have Texas at Georgia.

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Speaker 2: Texas coming off of a bye, you might get a

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Speaker 2: little healthier across the board. Georgia is at home where

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Speaker 2: they've been incredible what they've won thirty five or thirty

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Speaker 2: six at home. But Texas has the revenge here. Texas

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Speaker 2: lost twice to Georgia last season, and Oklahoma and Texas,

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Speaker 2: the two road teams that are catching around six six

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Speaker 2: and a half points, are the more desperate teams. Georgia

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Speaker 2: and Alabama don't need these games, not to say that

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Speaker 2: they're not going to try to win. Well, Oklahoma and

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Speaker 2: Texas desperately need wins to keep their college football cluff

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Speaker 2: hooks live. Although, like Tech, if Texas beats A and

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Speaker 2: M and finishes nine and three, do you think they

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Speaker 2: get in?

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Speaker 1: I don't know. If he'll take a three loss team,

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Speaker 1: that's the problem.

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Speaker 2: What's the rest of That's what happens elsewhere.

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Speaker 1: I guess yeah. I think the committee is going to

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Speaker 1: say if you're asking. In my opinion, I think the

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Speaker 1: committee says strong and not allowing three loss teams and

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Speaker 1: if they can handle it.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, it don't depend because it looks like the ACC's

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Speaker 2: one bid. Basically, he might be zero bids. If Duke wins, Yeah,

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Speaker 2: but then you'll get like another you'll get another group

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Speaker 2: of five in there, like you get jmu N in

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Speaker 2: South Florida. Big twelve looks like a one bid. Big

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Speaker 2: ten is looking more like three. So I mean, you

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Speaker 2: could get five or six sec and if Notre Dame

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Speaker 2: is out, you might get six. But that's up to pit.

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Speaker 2: So let's start. Where do you want to start? Oklahoma

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Speaker 2: and Alabama or Texas at Georgia.

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Speaker 1: I mean, I like Oklahoma a lot.

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Speaker 2: I would agree.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I feel like Texas is pretty easy to handicap.

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Speaker 1: So I'll start here with and I'll throw it out

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Speaker 1: to you like Oklahoma has the ingredients to give Alabama

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Speaker 1: problems because Alabama can't defend mobile quarterbacks. Leonora Sellers, Bo Prebula,

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Speaker 1: Tommy Caslanos, those were the leading rushers, all had tds,

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Speaker 1: all gave Alabama problems. And it's just a thing for

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Speaker 1: can will Meck's defense. I think Oklahoma and I don't

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Speaker 1: have to talk about the defense. I mean, the defense

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Speaker 1: is just crazy. I mean tenth and creating contested catch

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Speaker 1: Ty Simpson by the way, twenty one to thirty five

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Speaker 1: in his last game against LSU. I understand they have

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Speaker 1: a really good secondary, but that's not the accuracy that

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Speaker 1: we've seen the entire year. Alabama won that game because

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Speaker 1: they had one hundred and thirty three hidden yards. It

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Speaker 1: was the special teams in the field position that helped

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Speaker 1: them get that eleven point win, which was right where

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Speaker 1: the spread was. I think Ty Simpson's going to have

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Speaker 1: issues hitting windows. I think that OU defense is going

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Speaker 1: to be all over him. And I think John McTeer,

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Speaker 1: whose legs finally kicked up against Tennessee three explosive runs,

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Speaker 1: the most of any in the year. If his legs

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Speaker 1: are in in order, then that's what Alabama has issues with.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I just don't I don't think there's much separating

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Speaker 2: these teams from a power rating standpoint. I mentioned this

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Speaker 2: when we took Oklahoma against Tennessee. I kind of propped

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Speaker 2: up Oklahoma because I gave them a pass like materiar

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Speaker 2: when he was dealing with that injury. And he should

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Speaker 2: be even healthier here, so I think that'll help his passing. Yeah,

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Speaker 2: and then if you look at Alabama, look, they've been great.

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Speaker 2: They have a bunch of ranked wins, but they could

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Speaker 2: have easily lost to Georgia, they could have easily lost

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Speaker 2: to Missouri South Carolina game arguably should have lost. So like,

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Speaker 2: they haven't been completely dominant, and there's issues on this team.

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Speaker 2: They still can't run the ball. There are some holes

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Speaker 2: in pass protection which could rear their ugly head against

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Speaker 2: Oklahoma and especially so Oklahoma doesn't really have to worry

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Speaker 2: about Alabama's rushing attack here they can just tee off

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Speaker 2: on passing downs. Yep, Simpson finally turned it over. That

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Speaker 2: could be a key and you mentioned the mobile quarterback issue,

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Speaker 2: and don't sleep on the special team's advantage for Oklahoma.

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Speaker 2: Alabama a little shaky there, Tate sandel like a cheat

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Speaker 2: code now, I will say, and then like Venable's coming

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Speaker 2: off the bye, I expect him have a good game plan.

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Speaker 2: It will help if ar Mason Thomas place. He just

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Speaker 2: listed as questionable. He had that game changing play against Tennessee,

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Speaker 2: so we'll see if he's a go. But this I

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Speaker 2: expect Nibles have a really good game plan. I also

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Speaker 2: expect Alabama to have a good early script. They've been

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Speaker 2: They've had this game circled. That up for the crowd

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Speaker 2: is going to be hyped. We saw Tennessee look good

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Speaker 2: early in that game until Oklahoma's defense settles down.

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Speaker 1: So I.

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Speaker 2: Was I had friends here this weekend. It was getting

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Speaker 2: them out on Monday. I missed the seven I saw

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Speaker 2: you got, but it was pissed that I didn't get it.

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Speaker 1: But now I'm trying to know that Alabama is elite

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Speaker 1: in the first quarter and no one be Your name

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Speaker 1: is Bandy, so you're gonna get the number back.

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Speaker 2: Anyways, That's what I'm so I'm trying to decide I

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Speaker 2: might play it small pre game, like, I think that

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Speaker 2: I don't think there's anything separating the scenes. I haven't

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Speaker 2: rated the same yeah, so like I think this line

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Speaker 2: should be like four. Yeah, and I think there's like

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Speaker 2: a five out there right now. Oklahoma is taking some

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Speaker 2: sharp money. And yeah, I mean I think Oklahoma's defense

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Speaker 2: can match up with this Alabama offense, and Oklahoma you

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Speaker 2: can run on Alabama. Oklahoma's found a little bit of

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Speaker 2: a run game of late. They've changed some things along

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Speaker 2: the offensive line. They've started to give it to the

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Speaker 2: better back. You have my tears legs. So yeah, I

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Speaker 2: think the play is Oklahoma. But because I missed the seven,

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Speaker 2: I might just play it small. I'll monitor the market

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Speaker 2: and then Alabama I expect to come out hair on fire.

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Speaker 2: Good script. They're always good in the first quarter, so

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Speaker 2: look to come into Oklahoma and Oklahoma at a touchdown

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Speaker 2: or better.

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Speaker 1: Let's say that those of your listening to this podcast

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Speaker 1: have never heard this or the only team in the

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Speaker 1: regular season to beat Alabama in the first quarter is

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Speaker 1: Vanderbilt and the Kalin de War era. It's just insane.

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Speaker 2: Well, speaking of first quarters, the team that goes down

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Speaker 2: in every single first quarter yep is Georgia taking on Texas.

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Speaker 2: Georgia six six and a half point favorite here.

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Speaker 1: I mean a d posted plus one fifty on Texas

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Speaker 1: first quarter.

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Speaker 2: I was like, oh wow, okay, well, Georgia has been

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Speaker 2: outscored in the first quarter. They went down again last week.

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Speaker 2: I mean, this is a team that's they are. They've

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Speaker 2: spent two hundred and one minutes trailing. That is the

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Speaker 2: most by a nine and oh or eight and one

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Speaker 2: team since two thousand and five UCLA. It hasn't been dominant.

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Speaker 2: The defense has holes. The defense can't.

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Speaker 1: The defense has real holes, real holes.

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Speaker 2: I mean they are Kirby's teams are never like elite

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Speaker 2: and generating sacks, but they can usually get pressure. And

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Speaker 2: they're like one hundred outside the top one ten in

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Speaker 2: pressure rate.

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Speaker 1: They're tied with the team I will never mention in

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Speaker 1: sacks at eleven.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, their sack rate is horrendous. And go back to

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Speaker 2: last year when these two teams met, Georgia swept the

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Speaker 2: season series. They had they had thirteen sacks in two games.

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Speaker 2: Remember Walker and Williams were wrecking havoc on a really

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Speaker 2: good Texas offensive line. Georgia doesn't even have thirteen sacks

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Speaker 2: in the season this year, they hadn't been two games

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Speaker 2: versus Texas. That's big news for Texas because Texas's offensive

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Speaker 2: line has been an issue this year. Well, that Georgia

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Speaker 2: pass rush is an elite, so we'll Arch have time here.

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Speaker 2: Although they're doing they're throwing a lot more like screens

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Speaker 2: and short passes, so maybe it doesn't matter as much.

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Speaker 2: Texas also coming off the bye, the question you have

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Speaker 2: to ask yourself is Arch has looked better of late

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Speaker 2: after a really rough start year. Some of that's the

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Speaker 2: offensive line. A lot of that did have You have

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Speaker 2: to put Deionas on Arch was missing throws. He's had

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Speaker 2: his best two games in his most recent two games,

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Speaker 2: but they were against Mississippi State's defense and Vanderbilt's defense,

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Speaker 2: which looked gast and at the end of just a

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Speaker 2: brutal stretch. Georgia's defense isn't great, but it's better than

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Speaker 2: Vandy's and Mississippi State's. And you got to remember Texas

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Speaker 2: was down seventeen in the fourth quarter to Mississippi State,

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Speaker 2: a Mississippi State team that Georgia just took to out

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Speaker 2: behind the woodshed, and this Texas team should have lost

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Speaker 2: at Kentucky and only put up sixteen points thanks to

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Speaker 2: overtime and punt returns, So you know it's it's also

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Speaker 2: sent your boy. Billy Napier was with Georgia the speaking

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Speaker 2: maybe giving some tips after Florida's win over Texas earlier

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Speaker 2: this season. But the Georgia offensive line playing a lot better,

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Speaker 2: They're healthier, Gunnar Stockton's playing really well. This offense is

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Speaker 2: firing and all still in. It's the defense, it still

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Speaker 2: has issues. The run dye still solid. It's the coverage

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Speaker 2: the lack of pressure that are the main issues for

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Speaker 2: the Dogs. So would love of seven here, just like

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Speaker 2: with Oklahoma, been monitoring it. If they did seven, I

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Speaker 2: will be on Texas. I might just go back to

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Speaker 2: my formula Texas pre game or Texas first half, Texas

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Speaker 2: first quarter. Look for Georgia live until we see otherwise,

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Speaker 2: until Georgia proves to us otherwise. Right, they're gonna go down. Well.

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Speaker 2: I expects Stark to have a good script. Kirby's got

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Speaker 2: to adjust. Texas still has a really good defense, should

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Speaker 2: be healthy here. What are you seeing here in Texas?

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Speaker 2: Georgia Is it's just that simple, like Texas is gonna

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Speaker 2: go out.

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Speaker 1: I mean, it's the same formula every week. I mean, listen,

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Speaker 1: Texas had the lead after the first quarter in the

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Speaker 1: first half of the SEC Championship game last year. Texas

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Speaker 1: first quarter is a live bet, I mean a plus

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Speaker 1: money or whatever it's at. We're book, you're at. But

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Speaker 1: when do you buy on Georgia. It's easy right before

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Speaker 1: the middle eight. There's a huge middle eight discrepancy here.

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Speaker 1: Georgia's twenty fourth. Texas for some reason, is eighty fourth

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Speaker 1: this year. They're just not managing the clock like they

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Speaker 1: have before. But they've been pretty inefficient offensively, and you

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Speaker 1: have to wonder if that's changed. Arch manning two consecutive

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Speaker 1: games of three hundred plus yards and three tds in

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Speaker 1: each game. I mean, I know Mississippi State is not

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Speaker 1: the competition that we're facing here, but Sarkisian went four

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Speaker 1: point one and scoring attemptsgains Misissippi State. I mean, there's

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Speaker 1: no way George is thrown up any kind of roadblocks here.

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Speaker 1: They're what one hundred and I mean they're close to

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Speaker 1: the last. The defensive finishing drives one hundred and sixteenth,

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Speaker 1: they're bottom fifteen in habit great Okay, so you can't

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Speaker 1: create a pass rush. You're not knocking balls down either.

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Speaker 1: So this Texas offense who is and they finished.

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Speaker 2: They got to finish rise here, and I think they

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Speaker 2: should be able to.

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Speaker 1: That's the question. Is the Georgia defense worse than Sarkisian's

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Speaker 1: play calling in the red zone. That's what that's the

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Speaker 1: handicap of the game. I do like the over here.

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Speaker 1: I think the long Horns are gonna have success scoring points.

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Speaker 1: They have a massive EPA advantage and pass EPA with

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Speaker 1: Manning's arm against that secondary. And then when you go

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Speaker 1: to the other side, I mean, I can't really say

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Speaker 1: anything bad other than the fact that if you go

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Speaker 1: if you look at the Longhorns, they're excellent against the

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Speaker 1: run right top twenty and success rate, lineyards, all that stuff,

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Speaker 1: but they don't defend inside zone. Inside zone. They're actually

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Speaker 1: forty two percent success rate. I know, I throw that

430
00:22:24,680 --> 00:22:27,320
Speaker 1: out for everybody. Forty nine to fifty two percent is

431
00:22:27,359 --> 00:22:31,240
Speaker 1: about national average. They're forty two percent and defending inside zone,

432
00:22:31,280 --> 00:22:34,639
Speaker 1: which is what Georgia always runs, especially with Stockton Stocking

433
00:22:34,680 --> 00:22:36,440
Speaker 1: at hand. They hand that off, pull it back and

434
00:22:36,480 --> 00:22:38,760
Speaker 1: go right up the middle. And I think that comes

435
00:22:38,840 --> 00:22:40,840
Speaker 1: right before the middle eight. So stuck. I say, we

436
00:22:40,960 --> 00:22:43,000
Speaker 1: stay on the same track Texas first quarter and then

437
00:22:43,000 --> 00:22:44,520
Speaker 1: we're when we're ready for middle eight, we live and

438
00:22:44,600 --> 00:22:45,720
Speaker 1: we bet live in the second quarter.

439
00:22:46,960 --> 00:22:47,639
Speaker 2: Sounds good to me.

440
00:22:48,760 --> 00:22:48,840
Speaker 1: Uh.

441
00:22:49,119 --> 00:22:50,760
Speaker 2: By the way, one thing I will mention with Oklahoma

442
00:22:50,800 --> 00:22:52,840
Speaker 2: that gives me a little pause is like Alabama is

443
00:22:52,880 --> 00:22:55,440
Speaker 2: pure passing. Ty sens is playing well. They have great receivers,

444
00:22:55,520 --> 00:22:57,720
Speaker 2: it's a good passing, It's a really good passing attack.

445
00:22:58,240 --> 00:23:00,280
Speaker 2: There is there is there a sliver of a chance

446
00:23:00,320 --> 00:23:03,200
Speaker 2: that Oklahoma's past defense now out there they can get

447
00:23:03,200 --> 00:23:05,320
Speaker 2: pressure and wreck the game. But their secondar is a

448
00:23:05,359 --> 00:23:08,720
Speaker 2: bit overrated because we've only seen them play like two

449
00:23:09,680 --> 00:23:12,680
Speaker 2: really good passing offenses Tennessee and Ole Miss, who both

450
00:23:13,800 --> 00:23:15,600
Speaker 2: were able to move the ball through the air. So

451
00:23:15,640 --> 00:23:17,159
Speaker 2: that is the only thing that gives me balls. But

452
00:23:17,280 --> 00:23:20,600
Speaker 2: I do think Okahoma's the side, and yeah, the approach

453
00:23:20,680 --> 00:23:24,119
Speaker 2: is similar with with Texas. I think we're on the

454
00:23:24,160 --> 00:23:27,600
Speaker 2: same page. Like I think value one, Pitt, I'm just

455
00:23:27,640 --> 00:23:30,520
Speaker 2: gonna wait on the number. Oklahoma's the side. You have

456
00:23:30,600 --> 00:23:32,320
Speaker 2: the seven. I'm gonna try to get the seven, either

457
00:23:32,359 --> 00:23:36,520
Speaker 2: pregame or live. Texas early Georgia live. Yep, all right,

458
00:23:36,600 --> 00:23:38,439
Speaker 2: let's get to the rundown. Hit a bunch more games.

459
00:23:38,840 --> 00:23:45,120
Speaker 2: Oh no, Colin did it again. Yep, Virginia. It looks

460
00:23:45,160 --> 00:23:46,600
Speaker 2: like Chandler Morris is gonna play.

461
00:23:48,320 --> 00:23:50,600
Speaker 1: I would get the best number on Virginia. It just

462
00:23:50,640 --> 00:23:53,320
Speaker 1: the matters if they've got enough, if they got enough

463
00:23:53,359 --> 00:23:54,679
Speaker 1: magic in the hat to pull out here.

464
00:23:54,800 --> 00:23:58,520
Speaker 2: You know, I will say I can't bet Duke. I

465
00:23:58,560 --> 00:24:03,440
Speaker 2: would lean their way. Duke games are so stupid, They're

466
00:24:03,520 --> 00:24:07,200
Speaker 2: so undisciplined. They it'll just be like do they fumble

467
00:24:07,280 --> 00:24:12,000
Speaker 2: five times or not? Defense can't tackle. Yep, they can't cover.

468
00:24:13,359 --> 00:24:15,400
Speaker 1: Their defense is one hundred and thirty fifth in defensive

469
00:24:15,440 --> 00:24:16,159
Speaker 1: finishing drives.

470
00:24:17,040 --> 00:24:19,160
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, it's stunning what happened to their defense

471
00:24:19,560 --> 00:24:21,879
Speaker 2: from last year? Like can you imagine if they had

472
00:24:22,000 --> 00:24:27,000
Speaker 2: MENSA and last year's defense, Yeah, I mean, this would

473
00:24:27,000 --> 00:24:30,359
Speaker 2: be a top ten to fifteen team. The defense is

474
00:24:30,400 --> 00:24:32,480
Speaker 2: falling off a cliff. Like they still have a pass rush,

475
00:24:33,359 --> 00:24:35,240
Speaker 2: that's always going to be the case of Manny Diaz,

476
00:24:35,320 --> 00:24:38,800
Speaker 2: but everything on the back end besides one really good

477
00:24:38,880 --> 00:24:41,480
Speaker 2: corner and since I mean, has fallen off a cliff.

478
00:24:41,760 --> 00:24:46,160
Speaker 2: They can't tackle. Their yards after the catches. But Virginia

479
00:24:46,800 --> 00:24:47,560
Speaker 2: is also a front.

480
00:24:47,920 --> 00:24:50,280
Speaker 1: To make your case for the Hoos, I mean, the

481
00:24:50,359 --> 00:24:52,119
Speaker 1: Duke defense is trying to be one of the worst

482
00:24:52,359 --> 00:24:55,320
Speaker 1: at everything, not just power forward but all of FBS football.

483
00:24:55,359 --> 00:24:58,600
Speaker 1: The defensive finishing drives is next to last. Their pass

484
00:24:58,640 --> 00:25:02,040
Speaker 1: efficiency and their EPA loud by opponents is one hundred

485
00:25:02,040 --> 00:25:04,320
Speaker 1: and twenty fifth or worse. They're coverage grading by PFF

486
00:25:04,400 --> 00:25:07,760
Speaker 1: as one hundred and seventeenth. And Virginia rush explosives are

487
00:25:07,800 --> 00:25:10,160
Speaker 1: in player. With Jamari Taylor and Harrison Waley coming back,

488
00:25:10,240 --> 00:25:14,520
Speaker 1: I mean Wayley four yards after first contact. Combined, the

489
00:25:14,600 --> 00:25:17,720
Speaker 1: two have twenty four explosive runs. This is EPA. The

490
00:25:17,840 --> 00:25:20,240
Speaker 1: Duke has not been able to defend. I expect Virginia

491
00:25:20,320 --> 00:25:23,680
Speaker 1: to be in scoring position all the time. And Dari

492
00:25:23,800 --> 00:25:26,800
Speaker 1: Mensa was on a heater until Yukon. He had five

493
00:25:26,840 --> 00:25:30,320
Speaker 1: consecutive games without an interception, then he had one. But

494
00:25:30,520 --> 00:25:35,520
Speaker 1: I mean since Week four, sixteen touchdowns, two interceptions, He's

495
00:25:35,560 --> 00:25:37,200
Speaker 1: going to see cover one and quarters coming from the

496
00:25:37,280 --> 00:25:41,200
Speaker 1: UVA secondary. Mensa is pretty explosive against both. I love

497
00:25:41,280 --> 00:25:46,000
Speaker 1: the over here, I power rated Virginia lower got I

498
00:25:46,119 --> 00:25:48,560
Speaker 1: like my Virginia number, but I think over is the

499
00:25:48,600 --> 00:25:50,120
Speaker 1: better bet here, and there are a lot of books

500
00:25:50,119 --> 00:25:51,960
Speaker 1: out there. DraftKings just went to fifty nine and a half.

501
00:25:52,320 --> 00:25:54,560
Speaker 1: There are other books out there below the key of

502
00:25:54,640 --> 00:25:57,120
Speaker 1: fifty nine. So shop wisely.

503
00:25:57,960 --> 00:26:02,800
Speaker 2: Iowa at USC, Iowa off that heartbreaking loss now traveling

504
00:26:02,880 --> 00:26:03,800
Speaker 2: multiple time zones.

505
00:26:03,960 --> 00:26:06,439
Speaker 1: They're actually fantastic. After heartbreak, I went and looked up

506
00:26:06,440 --> 00:26:08,520
Speaker 1: top twenty five losses, like they blow people out.

507
00:26:08,760 --> 00:26:11,240
Speaker 2: Well, I'd be surprised they blow USC out, but the

508
00:26:11,400 --> 00:26:14,720
Speaker 2: USC might have been much better home team six and

509
00:26:14,720 --> 00:26:17,440
Speaker 2: a half point favorite here, like is flirts with seven.

510
00:26:17,680 --> 00:26:21,520
Speaker 2: I think people are interested in Iowa at seven total

511
00:26:21,640 --> 00:26:23,760
Speaker 2: forty eight and a half. We've gonna have some weather here.

512
00:26:24,200 --> 00:26:26,000
Speaker 1: There's spaking a lot of weather like the end of

513
00:26:26,040 --> 00:26:26,880
Speaker 1: the games as we have your.

514
00:26:26,880 --> 00:26:30,800
Speaker 2: Rain, which would help Iowa. This is a game I

515
00:26:30,840 --> 00:26:33,240
Speaker 2: would have bet USC minus at six and a half

516
00:26:33,359 --> 00:26:38,320
Speaker 2: at home if they had their backs and if they

517
00:26:38,400 --> 00:26:42,960
Speaker 2: had especially way Mont Jordan. The run game just isn't

518
00:26:43,000 --> 00:26:45,479
Speaker 2: the same as it would be if they had their

519
00:26:45,560 --> 00:26:48,600
Speaker 2: star back, And like Oregon showed last week, I really

520
00:26:48,600 --> 00:26:50,520
Speaker 2: wants to take away the explosive play. That's what they

521
00:26:50,600 --> 00:26:52,639
Speaker 2: do structurally with their four to two five there are

522
00:26:52,680 --> 00:26:55,240
Speaker 2: always like one or two in the nation and preventing

523
00:26:55,320 --> 00:26:59,280
Speaker 2: explosive passing places. So Oregon just leaned on its running

524
00:26:59,280 --> 00:27:01,639
Speaker 2: game last week and that's how they were able to

525
00:27:01,680 --> 00:27:05,400
Speaker 2: move the ball. Can USC do the same? I think

526
00:27:05,440 --> 00:27:07,399
Speaker 2: they'll have some success. I don't know if they'll have

527
00:27:08,240 --> 00:27:11,719
Speaker 2: as much as Oregon did, So then it comes down

528
00:27:11,760 --> 00:27:17,119
Speaker 2: to can Maiva be efficient enough at home with his

529
00:27:17,200 --> 00:27:20,200
Speaker 2: star receivers. But I do also think Iowa could have

530
00:27:20,320 --> 00:27:23,960
Speaker 2: success on the ground here because that's not USC's strong suit.

531
00:27:24,040 --> 00:27:27,040
Speaker 2: That's obviously what IOWA wants to lean into. Do you

532
00:27:27,080 --> 00:27:27,760
Speaker 2: have any take here?

533
00:27:28,640 --> 00:27:31,320
Speaker 1: I leaned USC with the numbers getting fatter and fatter,

534
00:27:31,359 --> 00:27:33,359
Speaker 1: and I don't know if I can do it. You know,

535
00:27:33,440 --> 00:27:36,200
Speaker 1: Gronowski and Molten here, they're going to bring heavy outside

536
00:27:36,240 --> 00:27:39,360
Speaker 1: zone with twelve personnel, and the problem is that USC's

537
00:27:39,400 --> 00:27:42,359
Speaker 1: defenses one hundred and thirty first in defending rushing and

538
00:27:42,480 --> 00:27:45,960
Speaker 1: rushing success rate defensively. But when you take in Iowa's

539
00:27:46,000 --> 00:27:49,760
Speaker 1: personnel of being twelve, USC's only face that eleven times,

540
00:27:49,800 --> 00:27:53,080
Speaker 1: only eleven snaps have they faced outside zone with twelve

541
00:27:53,119 --> 00:27:55,680
Speaker 1: personnel using two tight ends and so I can't really

542
00:27:55,800 --> 00:27:57,800
Speaker 1: gauge USC's defense if they're going to be able to

543
00:27:57,800 --> 00:28:01,000
Speaker 1: stop this rushing attack. There's just nothing in the line,

544
00:28:01,040 --> 00:28:02,960
Speaker 1: yards or stuff right that says Iowa is going to

545
00:28:03,000 --> 00:28:05,040
Speaker 1: be not going to be creating quality drives and getting

546
00:28:05,040 --> 00:28:08,560
Speaker 1: into scoring position. King Miller has been fantastic for USC

547
00:28:09,160 --> 00:28:11,080
Speaker 1: and the absence of Waven Jordan. I mean, over two

548
00:28:11,119 --> 00:28:13,520
Speaker 1: hundred fifty yards and two tds in the last two games,

549
00:28:14,119 --> 00:28:17,920
Speaker 1: forced nine missed tackles, his season average five point three

550
00:28:17,960 --> 00:28:20,120
Speaker 1: yards after first contact. I think he is the difference

551
00:28:20,440 --> 00:28:23,200
Speaker 1: if this becomes a heavy rain game, which it says

552
00:28:23,240 --> 00:28:25,359
Speaker 1: it will be in the fourth, third, fourth quarter, and

553
00:28:25,480 --> 00:28:28,879
Speaker 1: just rain in the first second quarter. USC's gonna have

554
00:28:28,880 --> 00:28:30,760
Speaker 1: to have a ground attack, and King Miller has been

555
00:28:30,880 --> 00:28:34,440
Speaker 1: excellent for them, especially yards after first contact, counter and

556
00:28:34,480 --> 00:28:37,000
Speaker 1: inside zone or the base concepts of USC and Iowa

557
00:28:37,080 --> 00:28:40,240
Speaker 1: does not defend inside zone well at all. So I

558
00:28:40,520 --> 00:28:44,640
Speaker 1: do lean you're a lad of Miller. I think there's

559
00:28:44,680 --> 00:28:46,760
Speaker 1: one big factor that we're not looking at here is

560
00:28:46,840 --> 00:28:50,840
Speaker 1: if this becomes a wet slop track and I have

561
00:28:51,040 --> 00:28:56,160
Speaker 1: to make my tackles, huge advantage USC and broken tackles

562
00:28:56,200 --> 00:28:59,120
Speaker 1: allowed determined by Sports Info Solutions, USC is tenth and

563
00:28:59,160 --> 00:29:02,959
Speaker 1: broken tackles allowed. I was ninety eight. So I if

564
00:29:03,000 --> 00:29:06,360
Speaker 1: this becomes just a mush field, I think it's actually

565
00:29:06,440 --> 00:29:07,280
Speaker 1: USC's advantage.

566
00:29:08,280 --> 00:29:11,920
Speaker 2: I would bringing the weather out West Florida at ole

567
00:29:12,000 --> 00:29:16,640
Speaker 2: Miss interesting game. Ole Miss can pretty much lock up

568
00:29:17,120 --> 00:29:20,800
Speaker 2: a college football playoff berth with a win. So this

569
00:29:21,000 --> 00:29:24,480
Speaker 2: number which was out of like what sixteen and a

570
00:29:24,520 --> 00:29:28,200
Speaker 2: half at one point, Yeah, which was way too high,

571
00:29:28,280 --> 00:29:30,120
Speaker 2: Like you had a I couldn't get to that number.

572
00:29:30,120 --> 00:29:33,200
Speaker 2: And I was having I was having an internal conversation myself,

573
00:29:33,280 --> 00:29:35,960
Speaker 2: like how much do I downgrade Florida for last week's

574
00:29:35,960 --> 00:29:38,440
Speaker 2: effort and like the quick factor with the interim coach,

575
00:29:38,520 --> 00:29:39,800
Speaker 2: and they just looked like they didn't want to be

576
00:29:39,840 --> 00:29:40,200
Speaker 2: out there.

577
00:29:40,440 --> 00:29:42,920
Speaker 1: It looked like Billionsalis did not change his scheme as

578
00:29:43,040 --> 00:29:43,800
Speaker 1: plan anything.

579
00:29:44,360 --> 00:29:46,720
Speaker 2: Yeah. Well, and they I mentioned not having Eugene Wilson,

580
00:29:46,760 --> 00:29:48,720
Speaker 2: Trey Wilson, it was a huge part of their game plan.

581
00:29:49,360 --> 00:29:52,880
Speaker 2: He's out, Dallas Wilson is out now. They did get

582
00:29:53,160 --> 00:29:56,760
Speaker 2: vern L Brown my Zell back, but Lagway got benched.

583
00:29:56,800 --> 00:29:59,000
Speaker 2: It looks like it's still his job. How long is

584
00:29:59,080 --> 00:30:04,280
Speaker 2: the leash? Ole Miss has been a wagon on offense. Yep,

585
00:30:04,360 --> 00:30:07,360
Speaker 2: the numbers come back down number I think just numbers.

586
00:30:07,440 --> 00:30:10,360
Speaker 2: Guys hit it saying like this, this number can't be

587
00:30:10,480 --> 00:30:10,840
Speaker 2: this high.

588
00:30:10,880 --> 00:30:12,440
Speaker 1: I mean I make it ten. I thought it was

589
00:30:12,480 --> 00:30:13,880
Speaker 1: way too high, but I still couldn't fire.

590
00:30:14,640 --> 00:30:17,040
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean because like where is Florida at mentally?

591
00:30:17,280 --> 00:30:19,880
Speaker 2: You also have ole miss This game is very tricky

592
00:30:20,200 --> 00:30:23,480
Speaker 2: you have. This could be Blane Kiffen's next job. Yeah,

593
00:30:23,800 --> 00:30:26,800
Speaker 2: does he not want to clown them? But also they

594
00:30:26,880 --> 00:30:29,560
Speaker 2: have a revenge for Florida who knocked them out of

595
00:30:29,560 --> 00:30:35,320
Speaker 2: the collegewall playoff last year. So many moving parts, I agree.

596
00:30:35,360 --> 00:30:37,560
Speaker 2: I mean this is now that I went to fourteen,

597
00:30:37,600 --> 00:30:41,320
Speaker 2: I can just tell myself no, but over fourteen like numbers, wise,

598
00:30:41,920 --> 00:30:44,680
Speaker 2: I might have to bet Florida small. But I don't

599
00:30:44,680 --> 00:30:46,280
Speaker 2: know where they're at mentally, so it might just be

600
00:30:46,400 --> 00:30:46,840
Speaker 2: a pass.

601
00:30:47,120 --> 00:30:49,520
Speaker 1: I mean the thing you can't handicap is when is

602
00:30:49,560 --> 00:30:52,440
Speaker 1: Florida just gonna just combust?

603
00:30:52,640 --> 00:30:52,760
Speaker 2: Right?

604
00:30:52,880 --> 00:30:55,760
Speaker 1: I mean four turnovers against Kentucky, two against A and

605
00:30:55,880 --> 00:30:58,960
Speaker 1: M five against LSU. Like, I mean, it just hits

606
00:30:58,960 --> 00:31:01,520
Speaker 1: your betting ticket like a turn You don't know when

607
00:31:01,560 --> 00:31:04,440
Speaker 1: that's going to happen Kentucky. How gained Florida by two

608
00:31:04,520 --> 00:31:07,440
Speaker 1: point five yards per play? Is is this team done?

609
00:31:07,760 --> 00:31:10,040
Speaker 1: Are they? Are they not responding? Did they bring the

610
00:31:10,080 --> 00:31:12,520
Speaker 1: exact same script into Kentucky and stoops just shut it down?

611
00:31:14,280 --> 00:31:16,640
Speaker 1: Blackway has been terrible against man coverage and old misuses

612
00:31:16,680 --> 00:31:18,880
Speaker 1: that about twenty percent of the time. And there's I

613
00:31:20,400 --> 00:31:22,400
Speaker 1: You're right, it's numbers. Guys that hit that seventeen and

614
00:31:22,440 --> 00:31:24,040
Speaker 1: that's sixteen and a half and knocked it back down

615
00:31:24,080 --> 00:31:25,600
Speaker 1: to fourteen. Is it inflated?

616
00:31:25,680 --> 00:31:28,840
Speaker 2: It is? But uh, I think there is real quick

617
00:31:28,920 --> 00:31:30,080
Speaker 2: chance with Florida.

618
00:31:30,240 --> 00:31:30,440
Speaker 1: Yeah.

619
00:31:31,160 --> 00:31:35,360
Speaker 2: Uh, TCU at b yu b yu exposed last week.

620
00:31:35,480 --> 00:31:38,320
Speaker 2: I mean it's the Tina should I have lost a

621
00:31:38,400 --> 00:31:40,000
Speaker 2: couple other times earlier this year.

622
00:31:40,600 --> 00:31:41,880
Speaker 1: Had he seen TCU yet?

623
00:31:42,680 --> 00:31:44,680
Speaker 2: No, it was going to but got hit, kept getting hit.

624
00:31:44,960 --> 00:31:47,080
Speaker 1: I was too and it down.

625
00:31:48,520 --> 00:31:48,720
Speaker 2: Half.

626
00:31:49,000 --> 00:31:50,280
Speaker 1: Yeah you want to you want to put it on

627
00:31:50,360 --> 00:31:53,440
Speaker 1: a green board. I like it TCU. I make a

628
00:31:53,480 --> 00:31:55,160
Speaker 1: BYU minus one and a half and I do like

629
00:31:55,240 --> 00:31:56,320
Speaker 1: TCU a lot in this game.

630
00:31:56,920 --> 00:31:59,840
Speaker 2: Yeah, let's put it on the board. Agrees, Yeah, I

631
00:32:00,160 --> 00:32:02,080
Speaker 2: TCU anything over a field, well obviously liked a lot

632
00:32:02,160 --> 00:32:06,840
Speaker 2: more six wish I took some of that right, But

633
00:32:07,080 --> 00:32:09,360
Speaker 2: TCU shouldn't be Iowa State last year. I mean they're

634
00:32:09,400 --> 00:32:12,720
Speaker 2: up eleven, the punt return for a touchdown, fumbles, lose

635
00:32:12,760 --> 00:32:16,120
Speaker 2: the turnover battle. I think that they'll be able to

636
00:32:16,200 --> 00:32:18,880
Speaker 2: throw on BYU. You never know where you're gonna get

637
00:32:18,880 --> 00:32:21,560
Speaker 2: with TCO. They're a little jack and hide, But I

638
00:32:21,640 --> 00:32:25,760
Speaker 2: do have them power to go ahead of BYU. Any

639
00:32:25,800 --> 00:32:26,600
Speaker 2: other thoughts there.

640
00:32:26,880 --> 00:32:30,560
Speaker 1: Well, you just saw TCU. Just saw three three five

641
00:32:31,000 --> 00:32:33,840
Speaker 1: where they had two tds and four red zone trips,

642
00:32:35,720 --> 00:32:37,200
Speaker 1: you know, and they lost to an Iowa State team.

643
00:32:37,240 --> 00:32:38,560
Speaker 1: They got to the red zone just once and got

644
00:32:38,600 --> 00:32:40,880
Speaker 1: a TD So it was a subpar offensive game and

645
00:32:41,000 --> 00:32:43,280
Speaker 1: really wasn't the defensive fault while they lost. But if

646
00:32:43,320 --> 00:32:45,440
Speaker 1: you look at the offense and Hoover, he just looks

647
00:32:45,440 --> 00:32:47,120
Speaker 1: at a three three five stack, And what's he gonna

648
00:32:47,120 --> 00:32:49,400
Speaker 1: look at this week? Jay Hills three three five stack?

649
00:32:50,640 --> 00:32:52,480
Speaker 1: BOYU is really good against the past. But at the

650
00:32:52,520 --> 00:32:55,920
Speaker 1: same time, Hoover is now seeing this again twice in

651
00:32:56,120 --> 00:32:59,760
Speaker 1: the span of seven eight days. LG. Martin is healthy,

652
00:32:59,840 --> 00:33:02,560
Speaker 1: but but I mean he's listed as healthy. He went

653
00:33:02,640 --> 00:33:05,040
Speaker 1: for ten attempts for thirty five yards last week. Bear

654
00:33:05,160 --> 00:33:07,240
Speaker 1: Bachmeyer was limited to twelve rushing yards. I mean, we

655
00:33:07,320 --> 00:33:08,880
Speaker 1: kind of knew that was going to happen against Texas

656
00:33:08,920 --> 00:33:13,960
Speaker 1: Tech defensive front. PC was great at tackling. From PFF perspective,

657
00:33:14,000 --> 00:33:16,840
Speaker 1: there's six and broken tackles allowed sixth the and tackling

658
00:33:16,880 --> 00:33:20,200
Speaker 1: from PFF. I'm not sure they can control the line

659
00:33:20,200 --> 00:33:22,160
Speaker 1: of scrimmage with some of their defensive metrics, but they're

660
00:33:22,160 --> 00:33:24,280
Speaker 1: not going to allow any explosives here from BYU. So

661
00:33:25,760 --> 00:33:27,600
Speaker 1: the Frog has been great against inside zone too. That's all.

662
00:33:27,800 --> 00:33:29,840
Speaker 1: That's all Bear wants to do with LJ. Martin. So

663
00:33:30,320 --> 00:33:31,200
Speaker 1: I like TC you here.

664
00:33:31,880 --> 00:33:35,520
Speaker 2: Air Force Yukon interesting game at the air Force has

665
00:33:35,560 --> 00:33:37,200
Speaker 2: taken some mur of money here.

666
00:33:37,320 --> 00:33:38,360
Speaker 1: I can't believe you're getting in this.

667
00:33:39,320 --> 00:33:42,680
Speaker 2: I just want to say that this is air Force

668
00:33:42,760 --> 00:33:45,880
Speaker 2: is still plus seven minus one fifteen total sixty three

669
00:33:45,880 --> 00:33:47,240
Speaker 2: and a half. It's hard for me to see not

670
00:33:47,320 --> 00:33:49,560
Speaker 2: that this not going over. I know it's a high number,

671
00:33:49,640 --> 00:33:53,880
Speaker 2: right Yukon. So Yukon's passing attack Skyler Bell is incredible,

672
00:33:53,920 --> 00:33:56,320
Speaker 2: one of the best receivers in the country. Air Force's

673
00:33:56,400 --> 00:33:59,320
Speaker 2: secondary is so slow footed it's insane. So I don't

674
00:33:59,320 --> 00:34:01,960
Speaker 2: know how they cover this passing.

675
00:34:01,720 --> 00:34:05,120
Speaker 1: Attack and Yukon can't play rush defense and.

676
00:34:05,200 --> 00:34:07,200
Speaker 2: Yukon's run dye is horrible. Why do you think they

677
00:34:07,280 --> 00:34:10,919
Speaker 2: lost to Rice and almost lost a ball stay at home?

678
00:34:11,800 --> 00:34:17,359
Speaker 2: Those are very similar offenses triple option tendencies than air Force.

679
00:34:18,400 --> 00:34:20,920
Speaker 2: Yukons covered units really good. They mix up coverages really

680
00:34:21,000 --> 00:34:24,160
Speaker 2: they can get elite pressure, but they cannot defend the run.

681
00:34:24,239 --> 00:34:28,399
Speaker 2: They cannot defend these type of runs, so like air

682
00:34:28,480 --> 00:34:31,560
Speaker 2: Force should be able to match them. Game a shootout

683
00:34:31,640 --> 00:34:33,040
Speaker 2: vibes all over. Just wanted to call that out.

684
00:34:33,280 --> 00:34:35,960
Speaker 1: Why is it just sixty three though? I mean, like

685
00:34:36,080 --> 00:34:37,759
Speaker 1: mathematically I make it fifty nine and a half.

686
00:34:37,800 --> 00:34:40,120
Speaker 2: It's hard to better an air Force over at that price.

687
00:34:40,200 --> 00:34:43,600
Speaker 2: But just matchup wise, it's hard to see many stops.

688
00:34:44,760 --> 00:34:50,040
Speaker 2: Memphis ECU. I kind of lead ECU here head minus

689
00:34:50,120 --> 00:34:53,560
Speaker 2: three even though my numbers don't like it, Like I

690
00:34:53,600 --> 00:34:55,279
Speaker 2: can't get I can't get above three to where I

691
00:34:55,280 --> 00:34:56,840
Speaker 2: would be like I want to play it, but I

692
00:34:56,920 --> 00:35:00,480
Speaker 2: think the Memphis pass defense is extremely vulnerable. On defense

693
00:35:00,480 --> 00:35:02,560
Speaker 2: has been good. They can get pressure, but what does

694
00:35:02,600 --> 00:35:04,680
Speaker 2: EAC you want to do? They just chuck on, throw

695
00:35:04,719 --> 00:35:06,919
Speaker 2: it all over the field, get rid of the ball quick.

696
00:35:07,320 --> 00:35:08,719
Speaker 2: I think you're be able to move the ball will

697
00:35:09,000 --> 00:35:11,560
Speaker 2: I think also they can get pressure on Brendon Lewis,

698
00:35:11,560 --> 00:35:13,719
Speaker 2: create enough negative plays to kill the Memphis drives. And

699
00:35:13,760 --> 00:35:15,480
Speaker 2: I'm not sure Lewis is one hundred percent healthy from

700
00:35:15,480 --> 00:35:18,440
Speaker 2: a movement perspective, which really does hurt their offense. We

701
00:35:18,480 --> 00:35:20,480
Speaker 2: saw that against Tulane. What did you finish with like

702
00:35:20,560 --> 00:35:25,000
Speaker 2: negative fifty total yards including sacks. So that's a huge game.

703
00:35:25,080 --> 00:35:27,200
Speaker 2: Not enough people East Us flying under the rail. They're

704
00:35:27,200 --> 00:35:31,360
Speaker 2: playing really well. They're still live in the American I

705
00:35:31,440 --> 00:35:33,279
Speaker 2: think they get it done at home. Give any feel

706
00:35:33,760 --> 00:35:36,160
Speaker 2: now it should be a super fast game. I would

707
00:35:36,719 --> 00:35:39,560
Speaker 2: tend to lean to the over considering what Memphis defense,

708
00:35:39,600 --> 00:35:42,120
Speaker 2: how bad it's been. But then again, ECUs outside the

709
00:35:42,120 --> 00:35:44,279
Speaker 2: top one hundred and coverage and they're almost dead last

710
00:35:44,360 --> 00:35:46,640
Speaker 2: and tackling, so I expect some explosives. But the problem

711
00:35:46,719 --> 00:35:50,239
Speaker 2: is are the Memphis pieces that are explosive, which is

712
00:35:50,280 --> 00:35:53,160
Speaker 2: Sutton and Lewis? Are they going to be available on

713
00:35:53,239 --> 00:35:55,279
Speaker 2: the ground. I think it's also important to know for

714
00:35:55,400 --> 00:35:58,040
Speaker 2: your bet if you like betting East Carolina, which I

715
00:35:58,200 --> 00:36:00,880
Speaker 2: now might jump into this too. Their top ten of

716
00:36:00,920 --> 00:36:03,640
Speaker 2: the nation and defensive rush EPA they do not allow

717
00:36:03,719 --> 00:36:06,680
Speaker 2: rush explosives. That's a pretty big deal against Memphis, against

718
00:36:07,239 --> 00:36:10,560
Speaker 2: Southern and if Lewis is healthy. So yeah, defront has

719
00:36:10,600 --> 00:36:13,680
Speaker 2: been very good. I would be remiss if I didn't

720
00:36:13,680 --> 00:36:17,800
Speaker 2: mention Kennisaul jack State battle for first place in Conference USA.

721
00:36:18,440 --> 00:36:19,920
Speaker 2: I think you got to look at the points there

722
00:36:20,239 --> 00:36:23,680
Speaker 2: with Jacksonville State. I think they've been a bit of

723
00:36:23,760 --> 00:36:25,680
Speaker 2: a fraud I mean, both of these teams have little

724
00:36:25,960 --> 00:36:30,239
Speaker 2: It's the Conference USA, but Kennisaul. You can run on Kennisaul,

725
00:36:31,120 --> 00:36:34,400
Speaker 2: and especially after some of the injuries they've had, and

726
00:36:34,520 --> 00:36:37,120
Speaker 2: that's all jack State is. I mean they got a

727
00:36:37,200 --> 00:36:39,120
Speaker 2: running quarterback. They got Cam Cook who's been one of

728
00:36:39,160 --> 00:36:42,880
Speaker 2: the best running backs in the country to the TCU transfer.

729
00:36:42,960 --> 00:36:45,319
Speaker 2: I think this line's a little disrespectful to Jacksonville State,

730
00:36:45,440 --> 00:36:48,120
Speaker 2: even though they've been a bit fraudulent. We talked about

731
00:36:48,120 --> 00:36:51,799
Speaker 2: that last week. I would look at taking the points

732
00:36:51,840 --> 00:36:52,399
Speaker 2: with the home dog.

733
00:36:52,560 --> 00:36:56,319
Speaker 1: Yeah, and Kennesaw's ultra alliant on pass explosives like they're

734
00:36:56,680 --> 00:36:59,520
Speaker 1: they're horrific in quality drives and finishing drives, but they

735
00:36:59,560 --> 00:37:01,880
Speaker 1: do love their pass. It closes, which should play out here.

736
00:37:02,680 --> 00:37:06,160
Speaker 2: Yeah, And I think Jacksonville State has been better against

737
00:37:06,200 --> 00:37:08,840
Speaker 2: the past in the run. They're well schemed on that

738
00:37:08,920 --> 00:37:10,440
Speaker 2: side of the ball. It should be a close game,

739
00:37:10,440 --> 00:37:13,719
Speaker 2: but I think taking the points makes sense. QB situations

740
00:37:13,760 --> 00:37:14,480
Speaker 2: worth monitoring.

741
00:37:15,120 --> 00:37:15,560
Speaker 1: What you got.

742
00:37:15,960 --> 00:37:18,960
Speaker 2: We mentioned Chandler Morris. Navy is a big one. With Horrorvath,

743
00:37:19,080 --> 00:37:22,520
Speaker 2: I assume he's going to play huge game for USF

744
00:37:22,600 --> 00:37:25,200
Speaker 2: and their playoff chances, their American chances. They're laying ten

745
00:37:25,280 --> 00:37:27,560
Speaker 2: ten and a half on the road. If Horvat's in,

746
00:37:27,719 --> 00:37:30,719
Speaker 2: I would lean taking the points there. Although like the

747
00:37:30,840 --> 00:37:34,040
Speaker 2: Navy defense is terrible. They can't defend quarterback run either.

748
00:37:34,160 --> 00:37:36,800
Speaker 2: Their secondary is going to get toasted. And South Florida's

749
00:37:36,840 --> 00:37:38,920
Speaker 2: run defensive metrics are good, like if you look at

750
00:37:38,920 --> 00:37:42,239
Speaker 2: stuff for eight yards before contact. But with Horvath in there,

751
00:37:42,640 --> 00:37:45,840
Speaker 2: South Florida ken struggle against mobile quarterbacks. I don't know.

752
00:37:46,800 --> 00:37:49,360
Speaker 2: I think that they would keep that with close just

753
00:37:49,719 --> 00:37:52,240
Speaker 2: vibes wise, but I don't know horror baths status.

754
00:37:52,320 --> 00:37:55,640
Speaker 1: But in a huge game, i'd make a ten with him.

755
00:37:55,840 --> 00:37:58,279
Speaker 1: So the market's telling me he's playing.

756
00:37:58,880 --> 00:38:00,080
Speaker 2: Yeah, I would assume he's And.

757
00:38:00,360 --> 00:38:02,239
Speaker 1: He was very probable today, did you know that or

758
00:38:02,520 --> 00:38:02,920
Speaker 1: last night?

759
00:38:03,040 --> 00:38:05,360
Speaker 2: Yeah, I would assume he's playing. Let me see, is

760
00:38:05,400 --> 00:38:07,600
Speaker 2: there any other quarterback injuries? I wanted to mention before

761
00:38:07,600 --> 00:38:11,120
Speaker 2: we get to some trash. Oh, Mississippi State at Missouri, like,

762
00:38:11,239 --> 00:38:13,399
Speaker 2: there's a chance they go to the backup over shape

763
00:38:13,400 --> 00:38:15,640
Speaker 2: and is a little banged up. Missiitpy State's really banged

764
00:38:15,719 --> 00:38:18,280
Speaker 2: up and they're kind of reeling. Can I trust Missouri

765
00:38:18,280 --> 00:38:19,960
Speaker 2: to lay seven with what I saw from the quarterback

766
00:38:20,040 --> 00:38:22,280
Speaker 2: last week? I don't know, but I think they're probably

767
00:38:22,360 --> 00:38:24,200
Speaker 2: the right side. I think. That said, I'll have some

768
00:38:24,320 --> 00:38:27,839
Speaker 2: quarterback news in my trash before we get to some trash.

769
00:38:27,920 --> 00:38:29,400
Speaker 2: The Action Network Gap. If you're new here and you

770
00:38:29,440 --> 00:38:30,799
Speaker 2: do not have it, you're missing out in the full

771
00:38:30,840 --> 00:38:33,719
Speaker 2: BBOC betting experience. Right now, get twenty dollars off an

772
00:38:33,719 --> 00:38:36,239
Speaker 2: annual subscription of Action Pro access and never miss a

773
00:38:36,280 --> 00:38:39,120
Speaker 2: bet for myself, Colin Duck, the whole squad. Just go

774
00:38:39,200 --> 00:38:41,160
Speaker 2: to Action Nework dot com slash Pro and use promo

775
00:38:41,280 --> 00:38:45,440
Speaker 2: code BBOC twenty. All right, it's time for some trash.

776
00:38:45,880 --> 00:38:47,719
Speaker 2: The trash man pick of the week.

777
00:38:48,280 --> 00:38:49,359
Speaker 1: I'm the trash man.

778
00:38:49,719 --> 00:38:52,600
Speaker 2: Just throw me the trash, your garbage, and you know it,

779
00:38:53,080 --> 00:38:56,680
Speaker 2: totally unreliable, undependable. That's it. You've been told off. How

780
00:38:56,719 --> 00:38:57,080
Speaker 2: do you like that?

781
00:38:57,520 --> 00:38:57,759
Speaker 1: Good?

782
00:38:58,600 --> 00:39:01,200
Speaker 2: All right? Trash thirty eight and thirty one all time

783
00:39:01,280 --> 00:39:05,040
Speaker 2: fifty five. It's been just a slog this year, so

784
00:39:05,080 --> 00:39:07,160
Speaker 2: hopefully we can get hot to close the year. Let's

785
00:39:07,160 --> 00:39:09,320
Speaker 2: go ahead to head right off the bat, give me sparty.

786
00:39:09,719 --> 00:39:13,320
Speaker 1: Yeah, that's not happening. I'll have to go ahead. Yeah, absolutely,

787
00:39:13,360 --> 00:39:15,319
Speaker 1: I'll go ahead to add with you. All right, Penn

788
00:39:15,360 --> 00:39:15,719
Speaker 1: State on.

789
00:39:16,880 --> 00:39:19,800
Speaker 2: One of the best spots of the season. So I

790
00:39:19,840 --> 00:39:21,960
Speaker 2: don't think Penn State gets off the bus. This is

791
00:39:22,000 --> 00:39:26,640
Speaker 2: similar to Florida. We saw Florida interim coach full out

792
00:39:26,719 --> 00:39:30,440
Speaker 2: max effort against Georgia. Next week, go on the season's over,

793
00:39:31,080 --> 00:39:35,400
Speaker 2: go on the road to Kentucky and lay down. Now

794
00:39:35,480 --> 00:39:38,359
Speaker 2: you have a Penn State team season's over max effort

795
00:39:38,360 --> 00:39:40,279
Speaker 2: against Indiana, lose it the last minute. By the way,

796
00:39:40,320 --> 00:39:44,080
Speaker 2: that was after Ohio State and Iowa. Now you're going

797
00:39:44,120 --> 00:39:48,279
Speaker 2: to Michigan State. No, I don't think they get off

798
00:39:48,320 --> 00:39:50,279
Speaker 2: the bus. Yeah, and it's not like this team has

799
00:39:50,320 --> 00:39:51,680
Speaker 2: been great all year. There's a team that lost to

800
00:39:51,760 --> 00:39:54,960
Speaker 2: Northwestern do U see LA and Michigan State coming off

801
00:39:55,040 --> 00:39:57,200
Speaker 2: a bye on top of that, still have a chance

802
00:39:57,239 --> 00:39:58,920
Speaker 2: to get the ballige ability, which matters for them, not

803
00:39:59,040 --> 00:40:01,120
Speaker 2: Penn State. I think they're going to go with this

804
00:40:01,239 --> 00:40:05,640
Speaker 2: kid at quarterback, who Milisicovitch, who looked great by the

805
00:40:05,640 --> 00:40:08,839
Speaker 2: way they dominated at Minnesota, out gaining them by two

806
00:40:08,920 --> 00:40:11,240
Speaker 2: hundred and fifty yards in the second half, got robbed

807
00:40:11,239 --> 00:40:14,120
Speaker 2: by the refs, missed field goals. They should be healthier

808
00:40:14,239 --> 00:40:15,799
Speaker 2: also coming out of the by This has been one

809
00:40:15,800 --> 00:40:18,520
Speaker 2: of the most injury ravage teams in all of college football.

810
00:40:18,600 --> 00:40:20,439
Speaker 2: Fenn State hasn't even been that. Fen State's been healthy

811
00:40:20,480 --> 00:40:23,279
Speaker 2: outside of alor in Rosst. But I think that they

812
00:40:23,320 --> 00:40:25,920
Speaker 2: should get some offensive lineman back. They continue to get

813
00:40:25,920 --> 00:40:28,399
Speaker 2: defensive guys back, and they've been better since they've gotten

814
00:40:28,440 --> 00:40:30,600
Speaker 2: a little bit healthier. I think they'll be even healthier here.

815
00:40:31,480 --> 00:40:35,080
Speaker 2: And I'm going to have Jonathan Smith as a dog.

816
00:40:35,440 --> 00:40:37,359
Speaker 2: He's been very good as a dog. Oh and by

817
00:40:37,400 --> 00:40:40,160
Speaker 2: the way, he is five and zero against the spread

818
00:40:40,200 --> 00:40:43,479
Speaker 2: this season as a dog sixty percent in his career

819
00:40:44,239 --> 00:40:46,200
Speaker 2: ten to two against the spread when he has when

820
00:40:46,200 --> 00:40:50,480
Speaker 2: he's catching points with extra time to repair, mainly a

821
00:40:50,560 --> 00:40:53,520
Speaker 2: spot play. I don't think then State shows up.

822
00:40:55,120 --> 00:40:57,800
Speaker 1: He clearly disagree, Butch you can say bottom fifteen nationally

823
00:40:57,920 --> 00:41:00,600
Speaker 1: defending the run, and that's where kateron Allen Nixingtenner coming

824
00:41:00,640 --> 00:41:05,040
Speaker 1: in Michigan State horrible and pass blocking the PSC. The

825
00:41:05,120 --> 00:41:07,800
Speaker 1: Penn State defense is actually showing up and creating pressure.

826
00:41:07,840 --> 00:41:10,760
Speaker 1: And by the way, they can still make a bowl insane.

827
00:41:10,760 --> 00:41:13,320
Speaker 2: I think they care about making the worst bowl in

828
00:41:13,400 --> 00:41:15,680
Speaker 2: the country, win the national title.

829
00:41:15,960 --> 00:41:20,359
Speaker 1: The playing we're playing for Franklin quarterbacks.

830
00:41:20,600 --> 00:41:23,160
Speaker 2: If the interim coach bump is now gone, it was

831
00:41:23,200 --> 00:41:25,200
Speaker 2: an all out Super Bowl effort. If they show up

832
00:41:25,239 --> 00:41:27,400
Speaker 2: off the bat, I'll be impressed with Smith, will have

833
00:41:27,440 --> 00:41:30,160
Speaker 2: a good script, get a lead. Penn State lays down,

834
00:41:30,239 --> 00:41:34,200
Speaker 2: give me Sparty, We're going ahead to head there. All right,

835
00:41:34,360 --> 00:41:38,200
Speaker 2: here's the scary one. You got it? It gets this

836
00:41:38,320 --> 00:41:41,640
Speaker 2: is really really scary. Were fading the best against the

837
00:41:41,640 --> 00:41:44,160
Speaker 2: spread team in the country. We're going UCF plus twenty four.

838
00:41:45,520 --> 00:41:49,919
Speaker 2: I don't even know who's playing quarterback for UCF. They've

839
00:41:49,920 --> 00:41:52,680
Speaker 2: had some injuries there, They've had some injuries elsewhere. Defense

840
00:41:52,760 --> 00:41:57,080
Speaker 2: and offense the main handicap here. Although Jacob Rodriguez might

841
00:41:57,120 --> 00:42:00,239
Speaker 2: not play for Texas Tech, that'd be big so one

842
00:42:00,239 --> 00:42:05,560
Speaker 2: of their better defensive linemen. The handicap here is U seef.

843
00:42:05,719 --> 00:42:07,239
Speaker 2: Their defense has been really good this year. I have

844
00:42:07,320 --> 00:42:10,880
Speaker 2: to give credit to Alex Scrinch, and you know they

845
00:42:10,920 --> 00:42:13,040
Speaker 2: don't give up explosives. You can run on them a bit.

846
00:42:14,080 --> 00:42:17,080
Speaker 2: But Texas Tech isn't really running the ball well or

847
00:42:17,200 --> 00:42:21,160
Speaker 2: efficiently lately, pretty much for the whole season. But this

848
00:42:21,320 --> 00:42:24,160
Speaker 2: is more about the spot. I mean Texas Tech off

849
00:42:24,200 --> 00:42:28,520
Speaker 2: the BYU win and historically, just if you look at

850
00:42:28,560 --> 00:42:30,760
Speaker 2: that spot, so if you look at top ten teams

851
00:42:31,600 --> 00:42:33,479
Speaker 2: coming off of a top ten win, I talk about

852
00:42:33,480 --> 00:42:36,120
Speaker 2: this all the time. The following week is a large

853
00:42:36,160 --> 00:42:40,800
Speaker 2: favorite more than three touchdowns thirty nine, sixty three and

854
00:42:40,880 --> 00:42:43,719
Speaker 2: one against the spread thirty eight percent, including twenty seven

855
00:42:43,760 --> 00:42:46,560
Speaker 2: and fifty two against the spread thirty four percent. Talk

856
00:42:46,600 --> 00:42:48,120
Speaker 2: about it all the time. You think that a lot

857
00:42:48,160 --> 00:42:50,440
Speaker 2: of times after these big games when they're big favorites

858
00:42:50,520 --> 00:42:52,320
Speaker 2: usually come out with athargic. You're like, oh, I'm and

859
00:42:52,600 --> 00:42:55,879
Speaker 2: after a big win, top ten win, usually you're getting

860
00:42:55,880 --> 00:42:57,279
Speaker 2: close to the peak of the market, you might get

861
00:42:57,320 --> 00:42:59,960
Speaker 2: some value fating that team. So number one, from numbers perspective,

862
00:43:00,080 --> 00:43:04,239
Speaker 2: I do show value on UCF catching twenty four. Number two,

863
00:43:04,680 --> 00:43:07,719
Speaker 2: Baron Morton is not healthy, and you could see that

864
00:43:07,800 --> 00:43:11,560
Speaker 2: last week he was limping around and he's been He's

865
00:43:11,600 --> 00:43:13,160
Speaker 2: not gonna practice much this week. He's gonna be in

866
00:43:13,200 --> 00:43:17,640
Speaker 2: a boot. Texas Tech got their win over BYU. Now

867
00:43:17,760 --> 00:43:19,880
Speaker 2: it's all eyes. All their focus has to be on

868
00:43:19,960 --> 00:43:24,279
Speaker 2: Big twelve Championship College Football playoff, keeping Morton healthy because

869
00:43:24,280 --> 00:43:27,120
Speaker 2: their backups hurt. So what does that mean? Well, Morton's

870
00:43:27,120 --> 00:43:31,759
Speaker 2: not gonna scramble, and that's importantcause UCF struggles with mobile quarterbacks.

871
00:43:32,600 --> 00:43:35,919
Speaker 2: They might pull them earlier, they might not throw as much,

872
00:43:36,080 --> 00:43:41,279
Speaker 2: they might just go more run heavy here. So I

873
00:43:41,360 --> 00:43:43,680
Speaker 2: think that this is all sets up for like a

874
00:43:43,800 --> 00:43:46,720
Speaker 2: sleepy tech spot. Morton doesn't do much.

875
00:43:48,280 --> 00:43:51,080
Speaker 1: And going into a buye they desperately need it for health.

876
00:43:51,160 --> 00:43:55,160
Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, tech, the Tech defense is elite, but mobile

877
00:43:55,200 --> 00:43:58,880
Speaker 2: quarterbacks have given them some issues. The teams can hit

878
00:43:58,880 --> 00:44:02,120
Speaker 2: a couple of rush explosives, that's all UCF might need

879
00:44:02,640 --> 00:44:04,600
Speaker 2: and then you might have garbage time. Yeah, I mean

880
00:44:04,640 --> 00:44:07,520
Speaker 2: you gotta remember. So can they get the fourteen? That's

881
00:44:07,560 --> 00:44:10,239
Speaker 2: all it might take? I think. So I think the

882
00:44:10,320 --> 00:44:16,320
Speaker 2: Texas Tech is bigger fish to fry, and like you

883
00:44:16,400 --> 00:44:19,800
Speaker 2: gotta remember UCF. Now the performance that worries me is

884
00:44:19,840 --> 00:44:23,280
Speaker 2: when they got blown out at Baylor, but that closed

885
00:44:23,400 --> 00:44:28,880
Speaker 2: three like at Baylor. Tech is in a different class

886
00:44:28,920 --> 00:44:32,320
Speaker 2: than Baylor, but they're not twenty one points better than Baylor.

887
00:44:33,160 --> 00:44:35,120
Speaker 2: I think this line's too high and it's a terrible spot.

888
00:44:35,719 --> 00:44:37,360
Speaker 2: Give me the Knights.

889
00:44:37,600 --> 00:44:40,319
Speaker 1: I mean, you're right, but I'm not joining you. I mean,

890
00:44:40,360 --> 00:44:42,439
Speaker 1: it's the spot. The numbers a little bit too high.

891
00:44:42,560 --> 00:44:46,279
Speaker 1: But I mean the thing is is if they win

892
00:44:46,400 --> 00:44:48,920
Speaker 1: this game comfortably, take everybody out for the second half,

893
00:44:48,960 --> 00:44:51,359
Speaker 1: and then maybe you SEF gets a cover. I mean,

894
00:44:51,440 --> 00:44:53,560
Speaker 1: you can tank the West Virginia game to end the season.

895
00:44:54,120 --> 00:44:58,080
Speaker 1: You don't even have to show up. So I feel

896
00:44:58,120 --> 00:45:01,640
Speaker 1: like there would be more incentive to start off hot

897
00:45:01,680 --> 00:45:03,600
Speaker 1: and blow this game out and then sit the second

898
00:45:03,680 --> 00:45:06,160
Speaker 1: half and then tank the West Virginia game, put nothing

899
00:45:06,239 --> 00:45:08,120
Speaker 1: on tape, potentially lose the game because you're going to

900
00:45:08,120 --> 00:45:10,239
Speaker 1: the Big Twelve Championship the following week. So I'm not

901
00:45:10,320 --> 00:45:10,920
Speaker 1: touching this one.

902
00:45:11,760 --> 00:45:14,120
Speaker 2: Yeah, But I mean the UCTF defense is feisty, man.

903
00:45:14,160 --> 00:45:16,160
Speaker 2: I mean, like they've been good for most of the year,

904
00:45:16,680 --> 00:45:19,600
Speaker 2: and Morton's not healthy, so like, I don't know if

905
00:45:19,640 --> 00:45:22,000
Speaker 2: they want to risk like blowing it open, and like

906
00:45:22,120 --> 00:45:22,880
Speaker 2: I think they're gonna run it.

907
00:45:23,160 --> 00:45:27,200
Speaker 1: We need to Brown or Davvy Belford or Tavin Jackson

908
00:45:27,280 --> 00:45:27,680
Speaker 1: to score.

909
00:45:29,520 --> 00:45:32,319
Speaker 2: Yeah, they I mean, they just gotta run around. They're

910
00:45:32,320 --> 00:45:33,960
Speaker 2: not going to have time to throw I'll tell you that.

911
00:45:34,680 --> 00:45:39,640
Speaker 2: Uh all right, let's go, let's go to the night

912
00:45:39,840 --> 00:45:45,359
Speaker 2: slate give me Actually no, let's go to the Yeah,

913
00:45:45,440 --> 00:45:51,360
Speaker 2: let's go six o'clock Eastern Georgia Southern against Coastal Carolina.

914
00:45:51,480 --> 00:45:54,080
Speaker 2: It's up. The jig is up with Coastal I'm sorry,

915
00:45:55,000 --> 00:45:57,160
Speaker 2: I mean this line should be over three. I know

916
00:45:57,320 --> 00:45:59,759
Speaker 2: Calabresee's group of on the group of fives is on

917
00:46:00,080 --> 00:46:03,000
Speaker 2: Coastal money line. Completely disagree. By the way, make sure

918
00:46:03,000 --> 00:46:05,359
Speaker 2: you check out Duck and Calgary's group of five guys.

919
00:46:05,400 --> 00:46:08,520
Speaker 2: That episode's already out. But we have to like, look,

920
00:46:08,840 --> 00:46:12,000
Speaker 2: Coastal Carolina has been much better since going to Collier

921
00:46:12,040 --> 00:46:15,640
Speaker 2: their four string quarterback. But can we look at their

922
00:46:15,680 --> 00:46:19,200
Speaker 2: five FBS wins on the air, South Alabama they were

923
00:46:19,200 --> 00:46:25,359
Speaker 2: outgained four twenty two ninety four ul Monroe. They were

924
00:46:25,640 --> 00:46:28,959
Speaker 2: they outgained them by fifty yards. App State dead. Even

925
00:46:29,800 --> 00:46:36,200
Speaker 2: Marshall outgained Georgia State Dead. Even those teams have a

926
00:46:36,280 --> 00:46:39,840
Speaker 2: fourteen and thirty one record, thirty one percent. None of

927
00:46:39,880 --> 00:46:43,440
Speaker 2: them are probably gone to bulls. And they've been out

928
00:46:43,520 --> 00:46:47,480
Speaker 2: gained in those five contests and they've won them all.

929
00:46:49,000 --> 00:46:51,600
Speaker 2: And can we talk about turnover luck in fourth downs?

930
00:46:51,680 --> 00:46:56,040
Speaker 2: In those five victories over Clowns plus nine turnover margin

931
00:46:56,320 --> 00:47:00,600
Speaker 2: opponents seven of eighteen on fourth downs. I get the

932
00:47:00,680 --> 00:47:03,480
Speaker 2: offensive and better. They still can't throw the ball. The

933
00:47:03,560 --> 00:47:06,440
Speaker 2: defense wants to take away explosives. I love their defensive coordinator.

934
00:47:07,200 --> 00:47:09,680
Speaker 2: Georgia Southern doesn't want to hit explosives. It's dink, it's dunk,

935
00:47:09,719 --> 00:47:13,520
Speaker 2: it's stink, it's dunk, it'sdink, it's dunk. And the Georgia

936
00:47:13,560 --> 00:47:14,520
Speaker 2: Southern defense is horrendous.

937
00:47:14,640 --> 00:47:15,719
Speaker 1: I'll give you that, but.

938
00:47:17,239 --> 00:47:19,640
Speaker 2: I trust the Georgia Southern offense more at home. This

939
00:47:19,800 --> 00:47:21,839
Speaker 2: is a good good by low Spot a couple extra

940
00:47:21,920 --> 00:47:25,040
Speaker 2: days to prepare as well for Georgia Southern, it's time

941
00:47:25,120 --> 00:47:26,040
Speaker 2: to feate Coastal.

942
00:47:25,960 --> 00:47:29,360
Speaker 1: Coastal Carolina one hundred and nineteenth and broken tackles allowed.

943
00:47:29,440 --> 00:47:32,080
Speaker 1: I think you mentioned the strength like who Coastal has played.

944
00:47:32,560 --> 00:47:34,799
Speaker 1: Strength of schedule is a huge difference here. Georgia Southern

945
00:47:34,880 --> 00:47:37,400
Speaker 1: seventy fifth to Coastals one hundred and sixteenth. And when

946
00:47:37,440 --> 00:47:39,480
Speaker 1: you factor in the fact that Georgia Southern has much

947
00:47:39,600 --> 00:47:42,680
Speaker 1: better offensive splits here, I make this game three and

948
00:47:42,719 --> 00:47:43,360
Speaker 1: a half, so.

949
00:47:43,719 --> 00:47:44,759
Speaker 2: I think it should be above three.

950
00:47:44,920 --> 00:47:48,640
Speaker 1: Yeah, so I might jump on Georgia Southern myself at

951
00:47:48,640 --> 00:47:51,799
Speaker 1: two and a half. It's jus right now on the board. Yeah,

952
00:47:51,880 --> 00:47:52,719
Speaker 1: let's put it on the board.

953
00:47:53,080 --> 00:47:54,560
Speaker 2: Got it, get after their asses.

954
00:47:54,760 --> 00:47:56,759
Speaker 1: We look for a cheap money. It's US versus G

955
00:47:56,920 --> 00:48:00,400
Speaker 1: five guys, let's do it minus one four. It's a

956
00:48:00,400 --> 00:48:02,040
Speaker 1: little bit too juicy on the on the money line.

957
00:48:02,040 --> 00:48:03,960
Speaker 1: So yeah, let's go minus two and a half. Yeah.

958
00:48:04,000 --> 00:48:06,839
Speaker 2: I think Coastal should be without their starting center again

959
00:48:06,840 --> 00:48:08,200
Speaker 2: and their best linebacker. I think it's going to be

960
00:48:08,239 --> 00:48:12,399
Speaker 2: off as well. And Georgia Southern, they, like you said,

961
00:48:12,440 --> 00:48:15,160
Speaker 2: played the more difficult schedule. It's only home loss came

962
00:48:15,239 --> 00:48:18,440
Speaker 2: by three points to Southern, miss extra days to prepare.

963
00:48:19,320 --> 00:48:23,040
Speaker 2: I like it, and some Belt teams at home historically horrendous,

964
00:48:23,239 --> 00:48:25,319
Speaker 2: the worst by any league. It's like forty four percent

965
00:48:25,360 --> 00:48:27,759
Speaker 2: against the spread over thirty years, negative thirteen percent. Ri

966
00:48:28,000 --> 00:48:29,839
Speaker 2: Georgia Southern is an exception. They've been good at home

967
00:48:30,360 --> 00:48:35,000
Speaker 2: against the spread. Since transitioning, let's stay in the Sun Belt.

968
00:48:35,840 --> 00:48:40,800
Speaker 2: You might disagree with this one. We're going Texas State.

969
00:48:41,600 --> 00:48:44,279
Speaker 1: The market says, you're right, it's pounding against Southern Miss.

970
00:48:44,400 --> 00:48:46,600
Speaker 1: I'm in trouble, so I.

971
00:48:46,680 --> 00:48:51,799
Speaker 2: Mean, look, this is your luck matchup of the day.

972
00:48:52,239 --> 00:48:54,160
Speaker 2: You can look at these teams records and you're like, whoa,

973
00:48:54,280 --> 00:48:58,359
Speaker 2: what is this line doing well? Southern Miss is five

974
00:48:58,440 --> 00:49:00,520
Speaker 2: and er in the division in first place. Xas State

975
00:49:00,760 --> 00:49:04,880
Speaker 2: is l and five, So Southern Miss is free money, right.

976
00:49:05,280 --> 00:49:08,200
Speaker 2: Texas State also has suspensions. They got a brawl last week.

977
00:49:08,640 --> 00:49:10,600
Speaker 2: It's a couple defenders that's really the only two that

978
00:49:10,640 --> 00:49:13,120
Speaker 2: are impactful. I don't even think it matters. The Texas

979
00:49:13,160 --> 00:49:16,960
Speaker 2: State defense is horrendous, Like how much worse can they get? Ultimately,

980
00:49:17,800 --> 00:49:19,600
Speaker 2: I don't think there's much difference between these teams, like

981
00:49:19,719 --> 00:49:21,960
Speaker 2: almost none. That is where I power rate them. Felt

982
00:49:22,040 --> 00:49:24,919
Speaker 2: throwing home field, which in Sun Belt Haysburg's not worth

983
00:49:25,040 --> 00:49:29,800
Speaker 2: much and I will take the points here. It should

984
00:49:29,800 --> 00:49:31,600
Speaker 2: be back and forth game. This will be like every

985
00:49:31,680 --> 00:49:35,400
Speaker 2: Texas State game, whoever as the ball last wins. I

986
00:49:35,440 --> 00:49:37,600
Speaker 2: don't like the Southern Miss defense and the Texas State

987
00:49:37,640 --> 00:49:40,000
Speaker 2: offense is electric. They're gonna move the ball. But let's

988
00:49:40,040 --> 00:49:43,320
Speaker 2: look at what Texas States has done. They deserve to

989
00:49:43,360 --> 00:49:47,520
Speaker 2: lose against JMU. Here are their other four losses. They

990
00:49:47,640 --> 00:49:50,719
Speaker 2: lost by one to Arkansas State because they missed an

991
00:49:50,719 --> 00:49:52,960
Speaker 2: extra point, They gave up the last second touchdown. They

992
00:49:53,000 --> 00:49:55,040
Speaker 2: had a five twenty one to three ninety eight yard

993
00:49:55,080 --> 00:49:57,920
Speaker 2: at jedge. They lost in overtime Detroit hol caame them

994
00:49:57,920 --> 00:49:59,839
Speaker 2: by one hundred and fifty yards, missed the game winning

995
00:49:59,840 --> 00:50:02,400
Speaker 2: fe go after belonging a twenty one point lead. Double

996
00:50:02,480 --> 00:50:05,520
Speaker 2: overtime versus Marshall outgained them by one hundred yards, gave

997
00:50:05,600 --> 00:50:08,560
Speaker 2: up a last minute touchdown to tiet and regulation by

998
00:50:08,640 --> 00:50:12,400
Speaker 2: three to Louisiana outgained them by one hundred and fifty yards,

999
00:50:12,840 --> 00:50:16,440
Speaker 2: failed on multiple two point attempts. I mean, that is insane.

1000
00:50:16,680 --> 00:50:19,120
Speaker 2: In their four losses, they've come four of the losses

1001
00:50:19,120 --> 00:50:22,040
Speaker 2: have come by three or fewer. In overtime. They've outgained

1002
00:50:22,040 --> 00:50:25,080
Speaker 2: those four teams by nearly five hundred yards and lost

1003
00:50:25,120 --> 00:50:28,800
Speaker 2: them all. That is incredible. They've also been unlucky in

1004
00:50:28,840 --> 00:50:32,160
Speaker 2: a number of high variance categories. But I mean, look

1005
00:50:32,160 --> 00:50:34,480
Speaker 2: their fifteenth national yards for play their offense is going

1006
00:50:34,560 --> 00:50:37,200
Speaker 2: to move the ball here. The defense stinks. I get it,

1007
00:50:37,640 --> 00:50:39,640
Speaker 2: but I mean you look at like adjusted EPA for play,

1008
00:50:39,880 --> 00:50:42,320
Speaker 2: justed net yards for play, these teams are basically equal,

1009
00:50:43,280 --> 00:50:46,400
Speaker 2: and Texas State has played the more difficult schedule. And

1010
00:50:46,480 --> 00:50:51,520
Speaker 2: then you look at Tech. Now you look at Southern Miss.

1011
00:50:52,640 --> 00:50:54,759
Speaker 2: I mean they were out gained by one hundred against

1012
00:50:54,800 --> 00:50:57,839
Speaker 2: app State, a dead even game, in a three point

1013
00:50:57,880 --> 00:51:02,839
Speaker 2: win against Georgia, Southern even statistical game against Louisiana, they

1014
00:51:03,320 --> 00:51:06,880
Speaker 2: crush the decimated ULM team, and then they beat Arkansas

1015
00:51:06,920 --> 00:51:09,200
Speaker 2: State last week by six. They got six turnovers in

1016
00:51:09,280 --> 00:51:12,440
Speaker 2: a pretty even statistical game. So what does all that mean?

1017
00:51:12,440 --> 00:51:14,239
Speaker 2: If you take their five s Belt games to five

1018
00:51:14,320 --> 00:51:16,040
Speaker 2: and oh team, they'd out gain their opponents by one

1019
00:51:16,120 --> 00:51:20,800
Speaker 2: hundred and sixty five yards. If you take Texas State's

1020
00:51:21,360 --> 00:51:24,160
Speaker 2: five some Belt games, they've lost all five. Even if

1021
00:51:24,200 --> 00:51:26,480
Speaker 2: you include JMU, they'd out gain their opponents by three

1022
00:51:26,560 --> 00:51:30,680
Speaker 2: hundred and twenty yards. It's why is Southern Miss keep

1023
00:51:30,719 --> 00:51:36,280
Speaker 2: winning turnovers? They had eighteen takeaways losing turnovers turnovers eighteen

1024
00:51:36,320 --> 00:51:38,640
Speaker 2: takeaways plus. But even with that, and yeah, I mean

1025
00:51:38,800 --> 00:51:41,879
Speaker 2: Texastate is a negative seven turnover margin. They still lose

1026
00:51:41,920 --> 00:51:46,640
Speaker 2: every game by one or three, right, So yeah, I'm

1027
00:51:46,680 --> 00:51:48,799
Speaker 2: taking the points here. I do think that they'll show up.

1028
00:51:48,800 --> 00:51:51,799
Speaker 2: I don't think there's any quit And if they win

1029
00:51:51,880 --> 00:51:53,759
Speaker 2: this game, they will go bowling their last two games

1030
00:51:53,800 --> 00:51:55,680
Speaker 2: here against clowns, So I think they'll show up here.

1031
00:51:55,800 --> 00:51:56,920
Speaker 2: I think it's to be a close game, like this

1032
00:51:57,000 --> 00:51:58,319
Speaker 2: is like a last team with the ball wins.

1033
00:51:58,600 --> 00:52:01,200
Speaker 1: I mean, I might bet Texas State. I'm undecided, but

1034
00:52:01,280 --> 00:52:05,120
Speaker 1: I will say this about our Southern misfutures. They don't

1035
00:52:05,160 --> 00:52:07,880
Speaker 1: need this game. If they fall to one loss in

1036
00:52:07,920 --> 00:52:10,319
Speaker 1: the standings, that's fine. They'll be tied. They beat State,

1037
00:52:10,480 --> 00:52:13,000
Speaker 1: they beat Ark State, so they can actually lose to

1038
00:52:13,120 --> 00:52:16,040
Speaker 1: South Alabama next week. Also, they can lose the next

1039
00:52:16,080 --> 00:52:18,239
Speaker 1: two games to be four and two in the sun

1040
00:52:18,320 --> 00:52:22,120
Speaker 1: Belt West, beat Troy and still make the championship game.

1041
00:52:22,200 --> 00:52:24,600
Speaker 1: They can tank the next two games before they play Troy.

1042
00:52:24,719 --> 00:52:27,240
Speaker 1: So the hedge spot for our forty to one tickets

1043
00:52:27,280 --> 00:52:29,520
Speaker 1: is against Troy. It's not in this spot now. Just

1044
00:52:29,560 --> 00:52:32,960
Speaker 1: for betting purposes alone, this game in a silo makes

1045
00:52:33,160 --> 00:52:36,279
Speaker 1: complete sense. The turnover aggression happens at some point, and

1046
00:52:36,400 --> 00:52:38,520
Speaker 1: that Southern myths might not care about this game, and

1047
00:52:38,680 --> 00:52:40,560
Speaker 1: Texas State is due and hungry for a bowl, so

1048
00:52:41,000 --> 00:52:42,719
Speaker 1: I completely agree. I just I don't know if I'm

1049
00:52:42,719 --> 00:52:43,480
Speaker 1: gonna jump on it or not.

1050
00:52:43,880 --> 00:52:47,279
Speaker 2: Also, Braxton got banged up last week. Yeah, it wasn't

1051
00:52:47,320 --> 00:52:49,759
Speaker 2: the same after he came back in just didn't look right.

1052
00:52:50,200 --> 00:52:57,560
Speaker 2: So worth noting. Let's go UNC against Wake I mean,

1053
00:52:57,719 --> 00:53:01,279
Speaker 2: I've been all Wake It's my favorite team, bade them

1054
00:53:01,360 --> 00:53:03,040
Speaker 2: or bet them each and every week. This is a

1055
00:53:03,120 --> 00:53:06,600
Speaker 2: fade week. I mean this total thirty nine. Not enough

1056
00:53:06,600 --> 00:53:10,600
Speaker 2: people are talking about the North Carolina defense. Maybe we

1057
00:53:10,640 --> 00:53:13,200
Speaker 2: shouldn't be surprised if Belichicks figured it out. I mean

1058
00:53:13,360 --> 00:53:16,680
Speaker 2: this defense. I mean, let's just look at the Virginia game.

1059
00:53:17,719 --> 00:53:20,520
Speaker 2: Virginia just outgained Wake Forest three twenty seven to two

1060
00:53:20,560 --> 00:53:23,640
Speaker 2: oh three, but had a negative three turnover. Margins lost

1061
00:53:23,680 --> 00:53:26,080
Speaker 2: their quarterback, gave up a punt return for a touchdown.

1062
00:53:27,200 --> 00:53:30,280
Speaker 2: North Carolina outgained Virginia with the healthy Morris three fifty

1063
00:53:30,320 --> 00:53:33,120
Speaker 2: three to two fifty nine in a one point overtime loss.

1064
00:53:33,160 --> 00:53:35,319
Speaker 2: Came up an ensure by the way they fumbled at

1065
00:53:35,360 --> 00:53:36,560
Speaker 2: the goal line in the game. They fumbled at the

1066
00:53:36,560 --> 00:53:38,440
Speaker 2: goal line against Cal They should be on a four

1067
00:53:38,480 --> 00:53:43,279
Speaker 2: game winning streak and Wake well, they probably arguably should

1068
00:53:43,280 --> 00:53:46,960
Speaker 2: have lost to Virginia should have been like a coin

1069
00:53:47,000 --> 00:53:50,840
Speaker 2: flip game. They had a fifty two yarder against SMU

1070
00:53:51,520 --> 00:53:54,399
Speaker 2: a couple bounces. This is a four win weak team

1071
00:53:54,440 --> 00:53:57,439
Speaker 2: taking on a six win UNC team and the state

1072
00:53:57,480 --> 00:53:59,400
Speaker 2: of this UNC defense, I don't think there's much difference

1073
00:53:59,400 --> 00:54:01,160
Speaker 2: between these teams in a game where I don't know

1074
00:54:01,200 --> 00:54:05,200
Speaker 2: who's gonna score and how u NC you can't run

1075
00:54:05,239 --> 00:54:10,360
Speaker 2: on them right now, Wake Forest can't throw it, and

1076
00:54:10,560 --> 00:54:12,759
Speaker 2: the North calt of defense, like their linebackers are playing

1077
00:54:12,800 --> 00:54:16,120
Speaker 2: incredible their front four. They change some things schematically with

1078
00:54:16,120 --> 00:54:18,640
Speaker 2: their defensive front. They have twenty sacks in their last

1079
00:54:18,680 --> 00:54:22,600
Speaker 2: four games. They had nine sacks last week. This defense,

1080
00:54:23,000 --> 00:54:25,080
Speaker 2: I mean, if you include sacks over the last four games,

1081
00:54:25,920 --> 00:54:28,279
Speaker 2: they've allowed two hundred and eighty eight rushing yards one

1082
00:54:28,360 --> 00:54:31,240
Speaker 2: hundred and thirty two attempts, two point two yards per carry.

1083
00:54:32,239 --> 00:54:34,760
Speaker 2: And this Wake offense is broken. Now I'm gonna split

1084
00:54:34,840 --> 00:54:38,439
Speaker 2: this up between UNC plus. I don't think a seven

1085
00:54:38,560 --> 00:54:39,960
Speaker 2: is coming, so I played some six and a half.

1086
00:54:40,080 --> 00:54:42,839
Speaker 2: Six is fine too, UNC plus six and a half

1087
00:54:43,520 --> 00:54:46,200
Speaker 2: and we're gonna take some Wake Forest team total under

1088
00:54:46,880 --> 00:54:49,719
Speaker 2: twenty two and a half just in case you at

1089
00:54:49,760 --> 00:54:52,239
Speaker 2: because the wake Forest defense is legit and the UNC

1090
00:54:52,360 --> 00:54:56,000
Speaker 2: offense can struggle. Wake Forest has scored twenty nine offensive

1091
00:54:56,000 --> 00:55:00,520
Speaker 2: points over the past three games. UNC defense undervalued. Give

1092
00:55:00,560 --> 00:55:01,080
Speaker 2: me the points.

1093
00:55:02,520 --> 00:55:04,480
Speaker 1: I'll say good luck to this because I'm actually considering

1094
00:55:04,520 --> 00:55:05,120
Speaker 1: taking the under.

1095
00:55:06,480 --> 00:55:08,080
Speaker 2: So I agree with you on the under. Yeah, I

1096
00:55:08,200 --> 00:55:10,960
Speaker 2: mean like seventeen thirteen type of game.

1097
00:55:11,400 --> 00:55:13,759
Speaker 1: If they're lucky. So I'll stay out on the side.

1098
00:55:13,840 --> 00:55:14,440
Speaker 1: Let you handle that.

1099
00:55:15,640 --> 00:55:18,000
Speaker 2: Let's go to the best spot of the day, Wazoo.

1100
00:55:19,400 --> 00:55:22,000
Speaker 2: It's getting a little rich, but we're laying it. I

1101
00:55:22,080 --> 00:55:24,400
Speaker 2: still show a value this home field, and this spot

1102
00:55:25,600 --> 00:55:29,920
Speaker 2: might be worth five points. La Tech had I tweeted

1103
00:55:29,920 --> 00:55:32,880
Speaker 2: about this spot before the season. LA Tech was just

1104
00:55:33,000 --> 00:55:38,160
Speaker 2: in Newark. So they go from Rusting to Newark and

1105
00:55:38,400 --> 00:55:40,680
Speaker 2: they lose on an on side kick last second, fifty

1106
00:55:40,680 --> 00:55:42,720
Speaker 2: two yard field go to eliminate them from the conference

1107
00:55:43,160 --> 00:55:47,000
Speaker 2: championship contention. Now they got to fly all the way

1108
00:55:47,040 --> 00:55:50,759
Speaker 2: to Pullman, get on a bus, go I don't know

1109
00:55:50,880 --> 00:55:53,600
Speaker 2: three hours from where they land, and go play a

1110
00:55:53,680 --> 00:55:57,160
Speaker 2: non conference game while Washington State's coming off of a

1111
00:55:57,239 --> 00:55:59,080
Speaker 2: bye and they should get healthy on the offensive and

1112
00:55:59,120 --> 00:56:02,840
Speaker 2: defensive line. No, how do they show up for this?

1113
00:56:03,000 --> 00:56:04,800
Speaker 2: Go ask Toledo who did the same thing in the

1114
00:56:04,840 --> 00:56:06,879
Speaker 2: middle of conference play and never got off the bus,

1115
00:56:07,200 --> 00:56:10,120
Speaker 2: lost twenty eight to seven. LA Tech also lost their

1116
00:56:10,120 --> 00:56:12,719
Speaker 2: starting quarterback to a season ending ACL injury last week.

1117
00:56:13,440 --> 00:56:17,960
Speaker 2: Now you're gonna get more of the running Kuckuck. I

1118
00:56:17,960 --> 00:56:20,600
Speaker 2: always say his name wrong, but Washington State has been

1119
00:56:20,640 --> 00:56:22,879
Speaker 2: really good against mobile quarterbacks, and this Washington State team's

1120
00:56:22,960 --> 00:56:25,080
Speaker 2: just undervalued right now. They're a different team with that

1121
00:56:25,160 --> 00:56:29,680
Speaker 2: Calca quarterback. Their defense has been improving week in and

1122
00:56:29,719 --> 00:56:33,320
Speaker 2: week out. Last four games, they've allowed under fourteen points

1123
00:56:33,320 --> 00:56:35,080
Speaker 2: per game. You might say, well, who they play, Well,

1124
00:56:35,080 --> 00:56:37,239
Speaker 2: they played at Old Miss in almost one, they played

1125
00:56:37,280 --> 00:56:40,840
Speaker 2: at Virginia in almost one, and they blew out Toledo.

1126
00:56:41,840 --> 00:56:47,320
Speaker 2: Not bad. So this Law Tech team they can't get pressure.

1127
00:56:48,160 --> 00:56:51,480
Speaker 2: That's huge because Washington State's biggest weakness is their pass protection,

1128
00:56:51,920 --> 00:56:53,840
Speaker 2: and Washington State at home is a wagon in the

1129
00:56:53,920 --> 00:56:58,000
Speaker 2: poloose fifty seven and forty two against the spread past

1130
00:56:58,040 --> 00:57:01,680
Speaker 2: twenty years against FBS teams. That's fifty eight against teams

1131
00:57:01,680 --> 00:57:05,720
Speaker 2: from other time zones that travel to the police Washington

1132
00:57:05,760 --> 00:57:08,000
Speaker 2: stayed at home twenty seven and twelve against the spread

1133
00:57:08,040 --> 00:57:11,439
Speaker 2: past twenty years, seventy percent, covering by about four points

1134
00:57:11,480 --> 00:57:15,760
Speaker 2: per game. This spot is horrendous. I would be shocked

1135
00:57:17,080 --> 00:57:18,480
Speaker 2: if LA Tech gets off the bus.

1136
00:57:19,600 --> 00:57:21,640
Speaker 1: So I'm not going to join you because I make

1137
00:57:21,680 --> 00:57:24,480
Speaker 1: the number six, but I will say this. The way

1138
00:57:24,520 --> 00:57:24,920
Speaker 1: they got to.

1139
00:57:24,960 --> 00:57:27,080
Speaker 2: Juice that home field on the spot till like five

1140
00:57:27,240 --> 00:57:28,520
Speaker 2: and a half point, I'm telling.

1141
00:57:28,360 --> 00:57:33,040
Speaker 1: You they that lost to Delaware was soul snatching. Soul

1142
00:57:33,080 --> 00:57:37,800
Speaker 1: snatching like covering and then field goal on side touchdown

1143
00:57:38,000 --> 00:57:40,440
Speaker 1: like law Tech either doesn't get off the bus here

1144
00:57:40,520 --> 00:57:42,160
Speaker 1: or they win this game out right. I don't know

1145
00:57:42,240 --> 00:57:45,400
Speaker 1: which one it is, because I'm telling you that was

1146
00:57:45,400 --> 00:57:47,560
Speaker 1: a soul snatching loss against Delaware last week.

1147
00:57:48,040 --> 00:57:52,640
Speaker 2: Yep. And then lap finally we're taking the points with Wyoming,

1148
00:57:53,320 --> 00:57:54,280
Speaker 2: Yeah coming up.

1149
00:57:54,520 --> 00:57:57,120
Speaker 1: Put on the board, Yeah, put it on board. I

1150
00:57:57,160 --> 00:57:58,560
Speaker 1: already bet it like this.

1151
00:57:59,320 --> 00:58:01,600
Speaker 2: This is a good, good chance to fade Fresno after

1152
00:58:01,640 --> 00:58:04,080
Speaker 2: that win over Boise, which was had everything to do

1153
00:58:04,200 --> 00:58:07,920
Speaker 2: with Boise collapsing in Mattson getting hurt. Wyoming off the

1154
00:58:08,000 --> 00:58:10,640
Speaker 2: by here as well, new play caller. I think that'll

1155
00:58:10,720 --> 00:58:14,280
Speaker 2: help them, and I mean Fresnom made this quarterback change

1156
00:58:14,320 --> 00:58:17,640
Speaker 2: to Conkline from EJ. Warner. It's been discussed in two

1157
00:58:17,800 --> 00:58:21,200
Speaker 2: FBS starts. He's thirty of sixty three for two hundred

1158
00:58:21,200 --> 00:58:24,920
Speaker 2: and seventeen yards. These zero touchdowns, two interceptions, no big

1159
00:58:25,000 --> 00:58:28,760
Speaker 2: time throws, four turnover really plays among all FBS starters

1160
00:58:28,880 --> 00:58:32,160
Speaker 2: right now. His completion percentage forty seven point six percent

1161
00:58:32,360 --> 00:58:35,600
Speaker 2: and yards per attempt three point four is dead last.

1162
00:58:36,480 --> 00:58:39,320
Speaker 2: And there's there's the UMass quarterbacks people. Fresno won't get

1163
00:58:39,320 --> 00:58:42,000
Speaker 2: anything through the air against Wyoming. Wyoming's also getting healthier.

1164
00:58:42,000 --> 00:58:44,280
Speaker 2: They made a play caller change, which I think is

1165
00:58:44,440 --> 00:58:46,400
Speaker 2: going to be a positive. They got their tight end,

1166
00:58:46,400 --> 00:58:48,800
Speaker 2: their start tight end back. Recently, they made a change

1167
00:58:48,800 --> 00:58:51,640
Speaker 2: at right tackle, which has proved to be very positive

1168
00:58:51,640 --> 00:58:55,160
Speaker 2: because that was a huge sore area. Low scoring game.

1169
00:58:56,760 --> 00:58:58,640
Speaker 2: President has been horrendous, by the way, over the past

1170
00:58:58,640 --> 00:59:03,440
Speaker 2: twenty years, the worst home favorite in league games over

1171
00:59:03,440 --> 00:59:06,240
Speaker 2: the past twenty years of average cover margin negative five

1172
00:59:06,280 --> 00:59:08,400
Speaker 2: and a half, low scoring game. Give me the points

1173
00:59:08,400 --> 00:59:08,760
Speaker 2: with the folks.

1174
00:59:08,840 --> 00:59:11,000
Speaker 1: Yeah, we're on the agree here because this is completely

1175
00:59:11,040 --> 00:59:13,560
Speaker 1: FRAUDU and Fresno team because they beat Boise State thirty

1176
00:59:13,640 --> 00:59:15,760
Speaker 1: to seven without Maddox Madson. But look at the two

1177
00:59:15,840 --> 00:59:18,600
Speaker 1: games before that, blanked against San Diego State at home

1178
00:59:19,360 --> 00:59:22,080
Speaker 1: and then got run out of the building on the road.

1179
00:59:22,920 --> 00:59:26,320
Speaker 1: State and Colorado State is is just another sphere bad

1180
00:59:26,960 --> 00:59:29,360
Speaker 1: so you know. And if you look at Wyoming right now,

1181
00:59:30,120 --> 00:59:33,240
Speaker 1: fifteenth in defensive quality drives, seventh and defensive finishing drives,

1182
00:59:33,280 --> 00:59:35,520
Speaker 1: they will stop you from making a methodical and getting

1183
00:59:35,520 --> 00:59:36,880
Speaker 1: into scoring position and getting points.

1184
00:59:36,920 --> 00:59:41,840
Speaker 2: So I like Wyoming, Trash, SPARTI, UCF U NCN Wake

1185
00:59:41,880 --> 00:59:44,959
Speaker 2: Forest team total unders, split them up, Wazoo, Texas State,

1186
00:59:45,360 --> 00:59:50,120
Speaker 2: UCF Fresno head to head, Michigan State. All right, bet'll

1187
00:59:50,120 --> 00:59:54,280
Speaker 2: do it for Trash. Let's go nowhere. Fat, you are

1188
00:59:54,320 --> 00:59:59,040
Speaker 2: about to enter a world unlike any you've ever seen before, where.

1189
00:59:58,880 --> 01:00:02,440
Speaker 1: The beautiful Brugal and the brave all meat.

1190
01:00:18,720 --> 01:00:20,600
Speaker 2: Boise State at San Diego State, big game in the

1191
01:00:20,640 --> 01:00:22,520
Speaker 2: Mountain West. What are you gonna get from the boys?

1192
01:00:22,560 --> 01:00:24,000
Speaker 2: The quarterback, I don't know they're coming off a boy?

1193
01:00:24,000 --> 01:00:27,560
Speaker 2: Does it look better? Sheridan look good against Presno. Matt's

1194
01:00:27,600 --> 01:00:29,760
Speaker 2: is still gonna be out here? Some other boys. The

1195
01:00:29,840 --> 01:00:32,600
Speaker 2: injuries San Diego State coming off that I mean, nigga

1196
01:00:33,400 --> 01:00:37,360
Speaker 2: run off the field on the island against Hawaii. San

1197
01:00:37,400 --> 01:00:40,160
Speaker 2: Diego State's taking some money here, and I believe out

1198
01:00:40,200 --> 01:00:43,680
Speaker 2: to three mm hmm, what are you seeing here?

1199
01:00:43,760 --> 01:00:46,000
Speaker 1: You're getna pick. I'm making a pick the max cut

1200
01:00:46,080 --> 01:00:47,680
Speaker 1: for fourteen of twenty nine. If you look into his

1201
01:00:47,800 --> 01:00:50,240
Speaker 1: number one hundred and six yards TD and two I

1202
01:00:50,360 --> 01:00:53,040
Speaker 1: and TZ. I think the one thing out of the

1203
01:00:53,080 --> 01:00:55,400
Speaker 1: box score that from Boise I could not believe was

1204
01:00:55,600 --> 01:00:59,160
Speaker 1: fourteen percent of available yards available yards? Is hey, if

1205
01:00:59,200 --> 01:01:01,400
Speaker 1: I line up at the twenty, I got eighty available

1206
01:01:01,480 --> 01:01:04,240
Speaker 1: yards I could get. The national average for available yards

1207
01:01:04,320 --> 01:01:08,640
Speaker 1: is forty four percent. Boise got fourteen percent against Fresno's defense,

1208
01:01:08,720 --> 01:01:10,680
Speaker 1: one of the lowest numbers I've ever seen in a

1209
01:01:10,720 --> 01:01:15,280
Speaker 1: box score. Their average distance and fifteen third down attempts

1210
01:01:15,920 --> 01:01:19,720
Speaker 1: was eleven point four yards. Eleven point four on third downs,

1211
01:01:20,480 --> 01:01:23,480
Speaker 1: they're just going backwards. I have no expectations to cut forward.

1212
01:01:23,560 --> 01:01:25,720
Speaker 1: Is gonna do anything against what this is the best

1213
01:01:25,800 --> 01:01:28,680
Speaker 1: Mountain West defense out there. I think the best bet

1214
01:01:28,840 --> 01:01:31,160
Speaker 1: since this is nowhere fast and we talk about totals

1215
01:01:31,240 --> 01:01:33,080
Speaker 1: is Boise team total under nineteen and a half.

1216
01:01:33,480 --> 01:01:35,240
Speaker 2: Yeah, tough game because I've been based on what I

1217
01:01:35,280 --> 01:01:36,919
Speaker 2: saw they're not getting the nineteen a half. But maybe

1218
01:01:37,000 --> 01:01:39,160
Speaker 2: with the buy and you get time to work with

1219
01:01:39,200 --> 01:01:41,480
Speaker 2: the offense and maybe it looks a little better. But

1220
01:01:41,680 --> 01:01:43,640
Speaker 2: this is a much tougher test in Fresnoy.

1221
01:01:44,120 --> 01:01:46,960
Speaker 1: I'll tell you that woo pick suy.

1222
01:01:48,000 --> 01:01:49,760
Speaker 2: Absolute dumpster fire, dumpster fine.

1223
01:01:49,840 --> 01:01:51,160
Speaker 1: I don't know how we win a game the rest

1224
01:01:51,160 --> 01:01:53,280
Speaker 1: of the year. Just blow the program up, give us

1225
01:01:53,320 --> 01:01:56,800
Speaker 1: a death sentence. Collins talking razorback football.

1226
01:01:58,080 --> 01:02:00,800
Speaker 2: All right, let's talk some Markansas football. Talk about a

1227
01:02:00,840 --> 01:02:02,960
Speaker 2: tough game to handicap Alla's do five and a half

1228
01:02:03,000 --> 01:02:06,000
Speaker 2: point favorites total fifty seven and a half hosting Arkansas.

1229
01:02:06,240 --> 01:02:10,200
Speaker 2: Where's elis you at? Mentally? I don't know where's Arkansas

1230
01:02:10,320 --> 01:02:14,600
Speaker 2: at mentally. They were no longer bow eligible coming out

1231
01:02:14,640 --> 01:02:17,560
Speaker 2: of the buy. I don't know the total fifty seven

1232
01:02:17,560 --> 01:02:20,400
Speaker 2: and a half. I have no idea what to do

1233
01:02:20,480 --> 01:02:20,760
Speaker 2: with this game?

1234
01:02:20,800 --> 01:02:23,280
Speaker 1: Do you have anyone knows that he's going up against secondary,

1235
01:02:23,480 --> 01:02:25,520
Speaker 1: against players in the secondary that we're playing at the

1236
01:02:25,640 --> 01:02:27,840
Speaker 1: NFL level, and he knows that this tape will be

1237
01:02:28,040 --> 01:02:32,000
Speaker 1: a part of his NFL draft profile. I was texted

1238
01:02:32,040 --> 01:02:35,800
Speaker 1: that this morning, So there's You're right, though, it's hard

1239
01:02:35,840 --> 01:02:37,600
Speaker 1: to say that that's just one part of the team.

1240
01:02:37,680 --> 01:02:40,160
Speaker 1: Tailan's just one person on a team that does have

1241
01:02:40,400 --> 01:02:43,440
Speaker 1: some people that are starting to dissolve and don't really

1242
01:02:43,480 --> 01:02:45,480
Speaker 1: want to finish up the season. And I think LSU's

1243
01:02:45,480 --> 01:02:47,720
Speaker 1: got a lot of that too. This Frank Wilson won heartbeat,

1244
01:02:47,880 --> 01:02:51,040
Speaker 1: you know, hit the drum. You know, neither quarterback Van

1245
01:02:51,080 --> 01:02:53,800
Speaker 1: Buren or Nussmeyer had a quarter had a touchdown drive

1246
01:02:53,880 --> 01:02:57,280
Speaker 1: last week. I mean, Arkansas field's a better offense and

1247
01:02:57,320 --> 01:03:01,200
Speaker 1: success rate, efficiency, special teams, tackling. I think neus Meyer

1248
01:03:01,240 --> 01:03:04,640
Speaker 1: is going to shine against Arkansas secondary. You know, I

1249
01:03:04,720 --> 01:03:06,800
Speaker 1: don't know Arkansas one hundred and twenty first creating a

1250
01:03:06,840 --> 01:03:12,400
Speaker 1: contested catch. But Wilson is very much dedicated to running

1251
01:03:12,400 --> 01:03:14,640
Speaker 1: two quarterbacks here for the rest of the season. So

1252
01:03:14,760 --> 01:03:16,640
Speaker 1: the best bet that I can make is the over,

1253
01:03:16,760 --> 01:03:18,360
Speaker 1: which the over is steaming a little bit. But I

1254
01:03:18,400 --> 01:03:20,000
Speaker 1: don't know if else who can hold up on their part.

1255
01:03:20,160 --> 01:03:22,160
Speaker 1: Like I don't like the switching of quarterbacks. I think

1256
01:03:22,240 --> 01:03:24,360
Speaker 1: nes Meyer would be a lot better, but I would

1257
01:03:24,520 --> 01:03:26,640
Speaker 1: like to take the Arkansas team total over. I think

1258
01:03:26,680 --> 01:03:29,400
Speaker 1: Tailan knows what he's in for and he knows that

1259
01:03:29,520 --> 01:03:31,600
Speaker 1: this is going to be film news for the NFL Draft.

1260
01:03:32,200 --> 01:03:34,560
Speaker 2: All right, tough one there, hope I don't have to

1261
01:03:34,600 --> 01:03:35,120
Speaker 2: watch any of it.

1262
01:03:36,960 --> 01:03:39,800
Speaker 1: That's here, gentlemen, clear eyes, full hearts.

1263
01:03:40,640 --> 01:03:44,720
Speaker 2: Let's go play some fall Friday night lights. Clemson at Louisville.

1264
01:03:44,960 --> 01:03:48,360
Speaker 2: Clemson has taken a little bit of money here. Louisville

1265
01:03:48,480 --> 01:03:50,240
Speaker 2: is not the same team a Thatt Isaac Brown or

1266
01:03:50,280 --> 01:03:52,880
Speaker 2: running back Yep Miller. Moss does not looked good and

1267
01:03:53,000 --> 01:03:56,360
Speaker 2: can't carry the offense on his own, especially with some

1268
01:03:56,440 --> 01:03:58,760
Speaker 2: of the issues in past protection that could be an

1269
01:03:58,760 --> 01:04:01,320
Speaker 2: issue against Clemson. Clemson team, are you getting here?

1270
01:04:01,960 --> 01:04:02,320
Speaker 1: I don't know.

1271
01:04:02,360 --> 01:04:05,120
Speaker 2: I think there is real sharp money on I know

1272
01:04:05,320 --> 01:04:07,560
Speaker 2: some real sharp money on Clemson. So yeah, that is

1273
01:04:07,640 --> 01:04:10,480
Speaker 2: the sharp side. But at current price, i'd lean Louisville

1274
01:04:11,040 --> 01:04:15,920
Speaker 2: Minnesota at Oregon Minnesota is horrendous. They should have like

1275
01:04:16,080 --> 01:04:17,720
Speaker 2: they if there's six and three, they should be like

1276
01:04:17,760 --> 01:04:19,640
Speaker 2: three and six. I mean, they got out played by

1277
01:04:19,680 --> 01:04:24,960
Speaker 2: Purdue at home. They got dominated by Michigan State at home.

1278
01:04:25,320 --> 01:04:29,120
Speaker 2: Somehow won both those games. I mean, you look when

1279
01:04:29,120 --> 01:04:31,600
Speaker 2: they went to Iowa they lost forty one to three.

1280
01:04:32,480 --> 01:04:36,640
Speaker 2: Dominated the line of scrimmage they played. Who else did

1281
01:04:36,680 --> 01:04:40,200
Speaker 2: they play that blew them out Ohio State forty two

1282
01:04:40,240 --> 01:04:43,000
Speaker 2: to three. Dominated the line of scrimmage. I think that

1283
01:04:43,360 --> 01:04:46,360
Speaker 2: similar thing happens here. But is Oregon healthy, Like I

1284
01:04:46,400 --> 01:04:47,840
Speaker 2: don't know, Like it looks like they're gonna get the

1285
01:04:47,920 --> 01:04:50,600
Speaker 2: right tackle back Parky, I don't know if Sadiq Bryant

1286
01:04:51,080 --> 01:04:54,880
Speaker 2: and more are gonna play. If Oregon's healthy here, I'm

1287
01:04:54,960 --> 01:04:57,439
Speaker 2: laying it. I think they win like thirty eight three.

1288
01:04:58,200 --> 01:04:59,720
Speaker 1: I feel like they could use a gat healthy game

1289
01:05:00,080 --> 01:05:02,920
Speaker 1: winning eighteen to sixteen. They could want to win in

1290
01:05:03,000 --> 01:05:05,000
Speaker 1: their own way and get a little bit confidence restored.

1291
01:05:05,040 --> 01:05:06,520
Speaker 1: But the problem is the number for me is way

1292
01:05:06,560 --> 01:05:08,040
Speaker 1: too high. I mean, I was at the opener of

1293
01:05:08,120 --> 01:05:10,400
Speaker 1: twenty two, but the twenty five is a little bit much.

1294
01:05:10,440 --> 01:05:12,520
Speaker 1: I have no faith in Minnesota whatsoever.

1295
01:05:13,400 --> 01:05:15,320
Speaker 2: And Garius Taylor he's questionable too.

1296
01:05:15,600 --> 01:05:17,520
Speaker 1: Well, that would make the different for me. That would

1297
01:05:17,520 --> 01:05:20,960
Speaker 1: make all because what's Oregon's knack. It's the defensive interior

1298
01:05:21,000 --> 01:05:21,640
Speaker 1: against the rush.

1299
01:05:22,160 --> 01:05:25,960
Speaker 2: Yeah, injury watch, But I did lean Moregon. This Minnesota

1300
01:05:26,040 --> 01:05:29,000
Speaker 2: team is pretty fraudile. Favorite overdog.

1301
01:05:29,080 --> 01:05:31,080
Speaker 1: It's called the over dog parlay.

1302
01:05:30,720 --> 01:05:34,080
Speaker 2: Favorite favor already said mine. Let's go Lazoo just the spot,

1303
01:05:34,640 --> 01:05:37,200
Speaker 2: like I don't know how a lot of tech gets

1304
01:05:37,240 --> 01:05:37,680
Speaker 2: off the bus.

1305
01:05:38,240 --> 01:05:40,760
Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm sticking with Penn State. I mean, I make

1306
01:05:40,800 --> 01:05:42,360
Speaker 1: this game ten and a half. I make this game

1307
01:05:42,400 --> 01:05:44,480
Speaker 1: ten and a half, and I'm telling you Allen and

1308
01:05:44,560 --> 01:05:49,040
Speaker 1: Singleton against Michigan State's bottom fifteen defending the run, it's

1309
01:05:49,080 --> 01:05:52,200
Speaker 1: gonna cook. I'm telling you you can make a bowl.

1310
01:05:52,280 --> 01:05:54,760
Speaker 1: Some of those kids on that team care, not the

1311
01:05:54,800 --> 01:05:56,200
Speaker 1: ones going in the NFL. They'll opt out.

1312
01:05:57,520 --> 01:05:59,880
Speaker 2: We'll see if they care and get off the bus.

1313
01:06:00,520 --> 01:06:03,400
Speaker 2: This might look like Florida at Kentucky. But did they

1314
01:06:03,440 --> 01:06:05,440
Speaker 2: get off the bus. Yeah, they could easily blow up Michigan.

1315
01:06:05,640 --> 01:06:08,400
Speaker 2: Michigan says find better and their their quarterback. I think

1316
01:06:08,400 --> 01:06:10,560
Speaker 2: they're gonna use both quarterbacks here. They'll have some factors

1317
01:06:10,600 --> 01:06:14,000
Speaker 2: for Chiles, but I mean he average eleven point one

1318
01:06:14,080 --> 01:06:17,160
Speaker 2: yards per attempt. The freshman against Minnesota threw for over

1319
01:06:17,200 --> 01:06:19,200
Speaker 2: three hundred yards. I mean Chiles has never done that.

1320
01:06:20,520 --> 01:06:23,120
Speaker 1: Chiles has like eight hundred career pressures on them.

1321
01:06:23,280 --> 01:06:31,080
Speaker 2: So yeah, undergolf moneyline parlad turning good weekends in two

1322
01:06:31,280 --> 01:06:36,320
Speaker 2: great weekends, it's time for the money line parlay. I'm

1323
01:06:36,320 --> 01:06:39,800
Speaker 2: gonna go with NC YEP defensive battle, low scoring game

1324
01:06:39,840 --> 01:06:41,880
Speaker 2: points at a premium makes a lot of sense. Give

1325
01:06:41,920 --> 01:06:42,400
Speaker 2: me the heels.

1326
01:06:42,760 --> 01:06:45,760
Speaker 1: I'm gonna go Oklahoma, Boomer Sooner. Matier has the goods

1327
01:06:45,800 --> 01:06:48,280
Speaker 1: to give the Alabama defense problems. In Alabama defense, it

1328
01:06:48,320 --> 01:06:53,440
Speaker 1: continually struggles with mobile quarterbacks. Matier three explosive runs against Tennessee.

1329
01:06:53,480 --> 01:06:55,080
Speaker 1: I think he's got his legs back under him from

1330
01:06:55,080 --> 01:06:56,680
Speaker 1: what we saw at Washington State, and I think that

1331
01:06:56,720 --> 01:06:57,840
Speaker 1: they can make Alabama pay.

1332
01:06:58,200 --> 01:06:59,880
Speaker 2: Should we put Oklahoma on the agree?

1333
01:07:00,640 --> 01:07:03,080
Speaker 1: I mean, I'm there. The issue is you and I

1334
01:07:03,200 --> 01:07:05,800
Speaker 1: both know that Alabama scripts first quarter perfectly and then

1335
01:07:05,840 --> 01:07:07,880
Speaker 1: we get the live number. But you know, like we

1336
01:07:07,920 --> 01:07:09,439
Speaker 1: could put six out there if you want. I don't

1337
01:07:09,440 --> 01:07:11,840
Speaker 1: think it'll be there at kick. I think I think

1338
01:07:11,880 --> 01:07:12,959
Speaker 1: it's going to take some money.

1339
01:07:13,200 --> 01:07:16,480
Speaker 2: All right, we'll put it on. Let's fun, all right? Agree?

1340
01:07:17,200 --> 01:07:21,480
Speaker 2: Oklahoma Wyoming TCU in Gatta Georgia Southern had to add

1341
01:07:21,520 --> 01:07:25,439
Speaker 2: Michigan State Trash already talked about earlier. President UCF, Texas

1342
01:07:25,440 --> 01:07:27,800
Speaker 2: State Sparta, UCF UNC and weak Forrest Team Total under

1343
01:07:27,800 --> 01:07:29,480
Speaker 2: and Wazoo. Make sure you check out the group of

1344
01:07:29,480 --> 01:07:31,680
Speaker 2: five guys Voice Snails nine to five nine Bad Beat

1345
01:07:31,720 --> 01:07:33,960
Speaker 2: recap episode be out Sunday night. Make sure you call

1346
01:07:34,040 --> 01:07:37,080
Speaker 2: in live show ten thirty a m. Eastern on Saturday.

1347
01:07:37,320 --> 01:07:40,480
Speaker 2: Hit some of these games, updated injury stuff. Go through

1348
01:07:40,640 --> 01:07:43,640
Speaker 2: FCS board with Duck be a good time. Make sure

1349
01:07:43,640 --> 01:07:45,640
Speaker 2: you subscribe on Subscribe subscribe, til friend to on unemy.

1350
01:07:45,680 --> 01:07:46,160
Speaker 1: You know the drill.

1351
01:07:46,600 --> 01:07:48,520
Speaker 2: Leave a five star review really helps us out. Thanks

1352
01:07:48,520 --> 01:07:50,560
Speaker 2: to Colin for joining me. Thanks to our producer David

1353
01:07:50,560 --> 01:07:52,000
Speaker 2: on the back end. Most importantly, thanks to all of

1354
01:07:52,040 --> 01:07:54,560
Speaker 2: you for tuning in. And one final mind. If you

1355
01:07:54,560 --> 01:07:55,960
Speaker 2: want to tail some of the bets we discussed, look

1356
01:07:55,960 --> 01:07:57,800
Speaker 2: for the quick sliplink in the video and podcast description

1357
01:07:57,880 --> 01:08:00,439
Speaker 2: or visit Action Nework dot com slash bet Now enjoy

1358
01:08:00,520 --> 01:08:02,920
Speaker 2: the slate. There will be one or two chaotic results.

1359
01:08:03,240 --> 01:08:05,640
Speaker 2: It's time to really lock in on futures and wind totals,

1360
01:08:06,000 --> 01:08:09,320
Speaker 2: lots of games the sweat. It's the best. Cherish your Saturdays.

1361
01:08:09,680 --> 01:08:11,520
Speaker 2: Thanks for tuning in a game We'll catch all eater cheers.

1362
01:08:11,760 --> 01:08:33,960
Speaker 1: He's out. Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly. If

1363
01:08:34,040 --> 01:08:36,559
Speaker 1: you or someone you care about has a gambling problem,

1364
01:08:36,920 --> 01:08:39,519
Speaker 1: help is available twenty four to seven at one eight

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01:08:39,600 --> 01:08:40,360
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