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Speaker 1: Happy Saturday, guys, what's up?

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Speaker 2: Welcome in to another episode of the Daily Juice podcast

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Speaker 2: with me Matt Parolt at Sports Talkmat to follow me

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Speaker 2: across all socials. After a three and oh Friday, Gotta

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Speaker 2: love it three and oh up three units. Maybe it's

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Speaker 2: time to buy the meat.

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Speaker 1: I don't know.

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Speaker 2: Maybe it is Omaha Steaks dot com. Tell us sponsor

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Speaker 2: your order. Okay, so good day Baseball bet was a

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Speaker 2: walk back door cover for San Diego State Air Force.

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Speaker 2: Did what I thought they would do. It's a good Friday, Okay,

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Speaker 2: Saturday and Sunday. Let's get into this a little bit.

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Speaker 2: Somebody said in the comment section that I talked too much. Well,

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Speaker 2: that's the podcast, Okay, me talk talk a lot. It's

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Speaker 2: fifteen minutes. It's free, and you can fess forward through

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Speaker 2: whatever you want to fest forward through.

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Speaker 1: Okay.

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Speaker 2: That's the beauty of YouTube, the beauty of audio in

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Speaker 2: Apple and Spotify and everything else. Okay, So I'm got

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Speaker 2: to explain. I'm not going to go in depth, but

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Speaker 2: I'm going to explain why I have made these plays.

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Speaker 2: I have five college football bets for us today, all right,

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Speaker 2: do what you want with them, two of which are

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Speaker 2: now going against me. I'm against the pros, I'm with

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Speaker 2: the public. I'm against the books. I don't really love it.

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Speaker 2: But here we are. Let's get into it. Notre Dame

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Speaker 2: plus three number now is three and a half. We've

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Speaker 2: already bet it. It's moved against. If you haven't bet

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Speaker 2: it yet, you get three and a half. And I'm jealous.

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Speaker 2: I'm gonna need the Irish to win the game outright.

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Speaker 2: This is a fade, much like the second bet that

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Speaker 2: I'll tell you about on the quarterback of the other

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Speaker 2: team that we're betting. I do not think Ohio State

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Speaker 2: has a good quarterback. I think Ryan Day's got a problem.

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Speaker 2: Ryan Day in these tight football games.

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Speaker 1: Is no bueno.

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Speaker 2: Okay, not good. They're not used to going on the road.

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Speaker 2: This is not like Ohio State normally does. They normally

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Speaker 2: have you in their house and they pound you with

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Speaker 2: the rock and they throw play action, and they've got

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Speaker 2: a quarterback, and I just I don't think the McCord

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Speaker 2: kid is going to get it done against this Irish defense.

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Speaker 2: And I really think we're going to know this game,

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Speaker 2: know this pretty early. Okay, here is the tell. If

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Speaker 2: the Irish in their first two drives cannot get a

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Speaker 2: push with their offensive line, if Ohio State is pushing

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Speaker 2: their O line back and getting into the backfield, you

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Speaker 2: have my permission, you always do. But I will be

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Speaker 2: punting on this bet. Okay. The Irish can't run the ball.

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Speaker 2: The Irish can't win.

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Speaker 1: Look.

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Speaker 2: I love Sam Sam Hartman's phenomenal I love the weapons

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Speaker 2: he has to throw to, but the running backs of

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Speaker 2: the power of this team. There's four of them for

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Speaker 2: Notre Dame, and really the main strength is their offensive line.

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Speaker 2: They got to get off the ball. If they get

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Speaker 2: off the ball and they push, the Irish will win

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Speaker 2: this game. I don't like the offense for Ohio State

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Speaker 2: last time on the road against Indiana, they looked very mediocre,

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Speaker 2: all right, And I think as long as you can

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Speaker 2: double team and take away Marvin Harrison Junior, I think

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Speaker 2: you got a shot at winning this game and or

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Speaker 2: covering the three points. First bet Notre Dame plus three

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Speaker 2: one point one units. The second bet is the same conversation.

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Speaker 2: I do not trust Jalen Milroe his numbers back to

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Speaker 2: seven because the books are seeing professional money come in

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Speaker 2: on the Bama on Alabama on the Crimson Tide. Pro

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Speaker 2: money's on Ohio State. Pro money is on Alabama.

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Speaker 1: Does that matter? Not really? Okay, the public can be right.

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Speaker 2: Sometimes the public can see things and the game can

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Speaker 2: go as predicted.

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Speaker 1: I just really think that this is the.

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Speaker 2: Best chance that Lane Kiffin has to beat Alabama and

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Speaker 2: Nick Saban he's zero to four. Jackson Dart has got

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Speaker 2: to stay upright his offensive line. They've got to keep

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Speaker 2: Alabama out of their backfields. If they run the ball

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Speaker 2: more than thirty times, Ole Miss will win this game outright.

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Speaker 2: In my opinion, They've got to run the football on Alabama.

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Speaker 2: Jalen Milroe is going to turn the ball over, but

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Speaker 2: he's also going to make some spectacular plays. He's also

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Speaker 2: going to make a couple of deep throws. He can

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Speaker 2: throw the bomb really well. He can run like the wind,

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Speaker 2: and he is a big kid. He can run over

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Speaker 2: linebackers like they're nothing. Okay, this kid is going to

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Speaker 2: do damage. But ole Missus defense has got to be

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Speaker 2: able to do what Texas's defense did, and that's make

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Speaker 2: him throw from the pocket. Now, ole Miss's defense is

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Speaker 2: not as good as Texas. There are d lines as

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Speaker 2: good as Texas. That's why running the football is going

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Speaker 2: to be so vitally important. But I think there's a

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Speaker 2: really good shot this is a one possession game one

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Speaker 2: way or the other, and there's a really good chance

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Speaker 2: that Alabama gets beaten here. I think Florida State's got

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Speaker 2: a darn good chance of beating Clemson. But the weather

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Speaker 2: in that game is keeping me away from that game.

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Speaker 1: I don't know.

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Speaker 2: I don't want to touch that, and I don't know

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Speaker 2: what the weather's gonna be like. It looks like Clemson's

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Speaker 2: gonna be okay, but I don't want to touch it.

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Speaker 2: I'm concerned about the weather. I'm concerned about all the

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Speaker 2: pro money on Clemson. That game bothers me, worries me

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Speaker 2: because it's at home for Clemson.

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Speaker 1: This game's on the road for ole Miss.

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Speaker 2: I'm laying the seven or to Sorry, I'm taking the

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Speaker 2: seven ole Miss plus seven Kiffin Sprinkle money line. They

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Speaker 2: got a shot. I don't trust the Milroe kid. Everyone

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Speaker 2: saw it. I think people are gonna go, oh, fade

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Speaker 2: what we just saw. Right. Here's the thing. This offense

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Speaker 2: for ole Miss can run the football. They've got really

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Speaker 2: good running backs, They've got really good weapons on offense.

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Speaker 2: I lean towards the over in this game. I really do.

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Speaker 2: But my fear is that Alabama's offense is going to

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Speaker 2: play ball control, that they're going to run the ball

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Speaker 2: and not give enough possessions to get to the over.

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Speaker 1: So that's why I lean towards the over in this game.

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Speaker 2: But I'm not gonna bet it because I don't know

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Speaker 2: the game plan for Alabama. Tommy Reese is not having

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Speaker 2: a good year as the first year offensive coordinator for Alabama.

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Speaker 2: There's a ton of heat on that guy. He's going

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Speaker 2: to come up with something really creative. And I think

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Speaker 2: if they just grind it out and they win, the

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Speaker 2: game twenty to ten. I think BAMA fans will feel

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Speaker 2: pretty good about it. Like, let's go back to old

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Speaker 2: school Alabama, smash mouth football, play defense, and run the ball.

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Speaker 2: I think that's possible back in like the ag J

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Speaker 2: McCarran days. Possible, Okay, very possible. That's why I don't

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Speaker 2: want to bet the over. I'm concerned about the total

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Speaker 2: in this game. I'm just gonna take the points. Ole

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Speaker 2: Miss plus seven sprinkle money line. Darn good shot. I

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Speaker 2: think for ole Miss to win the game, but everyone

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Speaker 2: thinks that. So again, pros versus the Joe's. The Joe's

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Speaker 2: are on ole Miss. I'm going with the Joe's. Normally

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Speaker 2: I run with the pros. I'm running with ole Miss

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Speaker 2: on this. I'm running with what my eyes have shown me,

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Speaker 2: what I think, and what I've been talking about then

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Speaker 2: since the summer. I don't think Ohio State's got a

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Speaker 2: great quarterback. I don't think Alabama's got a great quarterback.

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Speaker 2: I think Notre Dame has a great one, and I

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Speaker 2: think ole Miss has a great one. Generally speaking, in

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Speaker 2: college football, the team with the better quarterback tends to

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Speaker 2: win the big game. Notre Dame, ole Miss, plus three

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Speaker 2: plus seven. I have another dog. This game is on defense. However,

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Speaker 2: Rutgers and Michigan. Now Michigan might see Ohio State lose

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Speaker 2: the game Todays nor Day. Okay, there's a couple of

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Speaker 2: really interesting things after I watched. I've seen two games

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Speaker 2: for Rutgers so far. This is a stout, stout defense

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Speaker 2: for Rutgers. It's what Greg Shechiano does. He plays defense,

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Speaker 2: Greg Ciano on the road, I get it. It's Michigan,

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Speaker 2: They're at the big House. It's lookout. I mean, it

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Speaker 2: could be an absolute route. However, they play at home.

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Speaker 2: They have two more, two straight road games after this

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Speaker 2: from Michigan. Okay, they've won thirty to three, thirty five

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Speaker 2: to seven, thirty one, sixteen. They've yet to cover. They're

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Speaker 2: zero and three. They laid thirty five, thirty eight and

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Speaker 2: forty one. They have not covered any of those numbers. Rutgers.

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Speaker 2: And I'm not saying Rutgers is a great football team,

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Speaker 2: because they're not. But Rutgers is three to ohero against

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Speaker 2: the spread so far this year. They beat Northwest turn

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Speaker 2: twenty four to seven, they beat Temple thirty seven to six,

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Speaker 2: and they beat VA Tech thirty five to sixteen.

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Speaker 1: They're three and oh ats.

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Speaker 2: So you have an zero to three team hosting a

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Speaker 2: three and oh team, And maybe this is the game

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Speaker 2: that Michigan just comes out because you say, well, Matt

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Speaker 2: Harball was gone, he was suspended, they got Harbaugh coming back.

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Speaker 2: I don't think the coach makes that big of a difference.

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Speaker 2: I think it's Michigan's offense. I think Michigan's offense is

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Speaker 2: somewhat I don't want to say. I'm not saying it's

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Speaker 2: pedestrian by any means, but I don't think that it's

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Speaker 2: this juggernaut yet. Their offensive line is awesome. I love

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Speaker 2: their offensive line. But if they run the football, I

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Speaker 2: think in factors in place right into my hands as

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Speaker 2: to what I think is going to happen in this game.

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Speaker 2: I think it's gonna be a running clock. I think

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Speaker 2: this is going to be like a thirty to fourteen

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Speaker 2: type of game. Twenty four points is too many points.

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Speaker 2: I like Rutgers to keep this game not necessarily close,

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Speaker 2: but I think there's a shot for this game to

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Speaker 2: be somewhat compa headitive and somewhat where like we're looking

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Speaker 2: at it and we're like huh so, Rutgers kind of

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Speaker 2: kept that game a little bit close before they got absolutely,

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Speaker 2: you know, blasted in the second half. Think there's a

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Speaker 2: chance here that just Rutgers defense is good enough to

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Speaker 2: keep them in the football game and to cover the

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Speaker 2: twenty four points. It's not gonna win the game, but

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Speaker 2: they're averaging giving up ten points per game.

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Speaker 1: Now, it's not Michigan's offense. I get you.

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Speaker 2: Michigan's giving up five point three points per game, which

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Speaker 2: is ridiculous with how good Michigan has been. But running

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Speaker 2: the football is what Michigan wants to do. Four point

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Speaker 2: nine yards per rush for Michigan. Rutgers defense two point

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Speaker 2: five yards per rush. It's top fifteen in the country.

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Speaker 2: It's hard to run these guys. It's also hard to

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Speaker 2: pass on these guys. Ten point two yards per pass

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Speaker 2: play for Michigan for JJ McCarthy. Five point one yards

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Speaker 2: per pass play given up for Rutgers. That's top ten.

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Speaker 1: Again.

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Speaker 2: I'm not saying Rutgers is gonna win the game because

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Speaker 2: offensively Rutgers they scored thirty one points per game, but

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Speaker 2: come on, they're not gonna move the ball at all

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Speaker 2: here on Michigan they might get seven. The question is

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Speaker 2: going to be can Rutgers hold down Michigan, keep them

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Speaker 2: under twenty eight points. I think they might be able to.

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Speaker 2: It could be twenty seven to twenty and that's sorry, sorry,

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Speaker 2: twenty seven, twenty seven to seven. That's a decent final score, right.

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Speaker 2: Michigan feels good. They win the game, they score, you know,

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Speaker 2: three touchdowns, two field goals.

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Speaker 1: Good. I'm gonna take the dog.

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Speaker 2: Rutgers plus twenty four here, three straight dogs to start it.

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Speaker 2: Notre Dame plus three, Mississippi plus seven, Rutgers plus twenty

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Speaker 2: four here, one point one units down on all of those.

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Speaker 2: One more disgusting game to tell you about. And this

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Speaker 2: is the first weather play of the season. Iowa Penn State.

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Speaker 2: We've bet under for Iowa every week. We missed it

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Speaker 2: last week, going back to it again this week. Why

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Speaker 2: wet and rain all day, fifty degree temperatures, yuck. Wins

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Speaker 2: fifteen sustain and win gus to twenty five to thirty

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Speaker 2: miles per hour. That is Iowa football weather. I also

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Speaker 2: think they might keep the game somewhat close. Okay, fourteen

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Speaker 2: points maybe too much. If Ioway scores ten points, I

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Speaker 2: was probably gonna cover. This feels like a twenty to

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Speaker 2: ten type of football game. Okay, this feels like a

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Speaker 2: rock fight between these two teams in the Big Ten.

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Speaker 2: I think the weather is going to be absolutely brutal.

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Speaker 2: It's a whiteout game, So I think I mean Penn

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Speaker 2: State's winning. This is the game for the Penn State

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Speaker 2: bet for Penn State to win over nine and a

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Speaker 2: half games.

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Speaker 1: This is the game.

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Speaker 2: Okay, Penn State has got to win this game because

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Speaker 2: then they can lose to Ohio State and Michigan and

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Speaker 2: go ten and two and we're good. The whole bet

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Speaker 2: was made on this game Penn State to win. I'm

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Speaker 2: taking the under thirty eight and a half. However, all right,

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Speaker 2: I think the game is really low scoring. I think

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Speaker 2: Iowa's defense keeps them in the game, and I think

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Speaker 2: the weather plays a big factor. I don't think they're

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Speaker 2: gonna have a chance to throw the ball that much.

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Speaker 2: I know I was not throwing the football in this weather.

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Speaker 2: Kirk Ferrence is no way he's going to allow McCarthy

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Speaker 2: to throw the football or sorry McNamara, fill the football

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Speaker 2: in this weather.

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Speaker 1: No way.

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Speaker 2: Okay, uh uh wet, nasty, gross, disgusting, not fun weather

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Speaker 2: under thirty eight and a half for Iowa and Penn State.

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Speaker 2: And finally, I am going to give you one fun one.

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Speaker 2: I'm going to give you one thing to cheer for,

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Speaker 2: and that's points. Look, the Colorado story has been incredible.

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Speaker 2: It's an amazing, amazing story. Deon Sanders is revolutionizing the

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Speaker 2: way programs will be rebuilt in today's modern college football.

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Speaker 2: His son is a very good quarterback. He has a

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Speaker 2: weapon in Horn for this game. That's great, But his

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Speaker 2: number one weapon in Travis Hunter, is not going to

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Speaker 2: be there. No quarterback has been hit more and rushed

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Speaker 2: more pressured more than Shador Sanders, quarterback for Colorado. Oregon's

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Speaker 2: defense is going to eat him in that offensive line

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Speaker 2: for lunch. I know it's a good story. I know

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Speaker 2: it's fun, okay, But Colorado State was able to pressure.

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Speaker 1: Colorado AllGame. What is Oregon gonna do?

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Speaker 2: This is the last time that Oregon in pens the

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Speaker 2: Oregon Into and Colorado will play as conference opponents. They

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Speaker 2: won't see each other again for decades, probably or a

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Speaker 2: bowl game. It's a long time. Colorado's going to the

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Speaker 2: Big twelve, Big ten for Oregon. Okay, you're gonna see.

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Speaker 2: In my mind, you're gonna see bad blood on the field,

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Speaker 2: just like in the last week's game.

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Speaker 1: But I think it's because I.

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Speaker 2: Think the Buffalo players are gonna get embarrassed and I

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Speaker 2: think they're gonna lose their cool and I think that

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Speaker 2: could lead to flags and short drives in more points.

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Speaker 2: Team total Oregon is forty five and a half. I

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Speaker 2: was on that all week long until I just decided that,

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Speaker 2: you know what, I'm gonna stop it. I'm just going

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Speaker 2: to lay the twenty one points because if they win twenty,

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Speaker 2: they win forty to ten. I'm gonna kick myself, said

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Speaker 2: widing this bet. Just lay the points, just dislay the points.

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Speaker 2: I think Bo Nixon company moved the football at will.

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Speaker 2: They can hang fifty. Not gonna shock me at all.

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Speaker 2: I think you start with forty points for Oregon and

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Speaker 2: go from there. With that said, I'm not gonna mess

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Speaker 2: with a team total like I thought I was going

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Speaker 2: to at forty five and a half, I'm just going

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Speaker 2: to lay the twenty one points. It's kind of pingpong

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Speaker 2: back and forth. Once against to twenty two, it comes

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Speaker 2: back to twenty one. That's because the pros have come

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Speaker 2: in the pros have already taken sixteen and a half,

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Speaker 2: seventeen and a half, eighteen and a half once against

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Speaker 2: the twenty two. They like the middle, they bet twenty two.

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Speaker 2: It comes back to twenty one, laying the twenty one

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Speaker 2: with the Ducks. Oregon minus twenty one up against Colorado

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Speaker 2: for one point one units. All right, five bets for

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Speaker 2: us here today, a bigger card than normal, nothing with

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Speaker 2: the UFC. Not gonna touch the Apex fight, the Fight

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Speaker 2: Night card all watch, not going to touch it, not

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Speaker 2: going to touch baseball either of though. It is a

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Speaker 2: good day of baseball. Too much college football to get

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Speaker 2: into huge day to day, too many good games again,

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Speaker 2: Notre Dame plus three, Ole Miss plus seven, Rutgers plus

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Speaker 2: twenty four under thirty eight and a half, Penn State

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Speaker 2: and Iowa and Oregon minus twenty one, five bets, five

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Speaker 2: point five units down here when three and oh yesterday,

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Speaker 2: let's go four and one, three and two here on

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Speaker 2: a Saturday. Mine is Matt Paroletz you guys can follow me.

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Speaker 2: Oh by the way, Also remember Sunday morning live stream

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Speaker 2: for the NFL. We're doing that on Saturday morning noon

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Speaker 2: Eastern time on the Betting Pros YouTube channel. Mark that Down,

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Speaker 2: Keep that Down, long teaser, four player props, and a

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Speaker 2: breakdown of all the late action for the NFL in

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Speaker 2: Week three. We'll do that tomorrow morning, Sunday morning on

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Speaker 2: the Betting Pros YouTube channel, minus Matt Parolt's following the

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Speaker 2: across all socials at Sports Talk Matts. Each and every morning,

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Speaker 2: it is the Daily Juice Podcast. I was being brought

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Speaker 2: to you by Olmaha Steakes dot com