1 00:00:14,720 --> 00:00:17,000 Speaker 1: What's up, guys? How are you welcome into a Tuesday 2 00:00:17,000 --> 00:00:19,639 Speaker 1: morning episode of the Daily Juice Podcast. My name is 3 00:00:19,640 --> 00:00:21,599 Speaker 1: Matt Perolt. You guys can follow me across all of 4 00:00:21,640 --> 00:00:24,560 Speaker 1: my socials at Sports Talk Matt, and we are back 5 00:00:24,720 --> 00:00:29,440 Speaker 1: after another winning day, another win for the play of 6 00:00:29,480 --> 00:00:34,040 Speaker 1: the day, which is now eighteen and two over the 7 00:00:34,120 --> 00:00:37,760 Speaker 1: last twenty days, I believe, for the Betting Pros Daily 8 00:00:37,840 --> 00:00:41,479 Speaker 1: Juice Play of the Day, we swept the NBA Player 9 00:00:41,479 --> 00:00:46,360 Speaker 1: Props Carrington under point rebounds and assists, screen points and 10 00:00:46,440 --> 00:00:48,479 Speaker 1: assists under twenty six and a half. Some of you 11 00:00:48,520 --> 00:00:51,280 Speaker 1: guys in the Discord channel, we're questioning that bet and 12 00:00:51,360 --> 00:00:54,080 Speaker 1: Kevin Durant goes over twenty four and a half points. 13 00:00:54,520 --> 00:00:57,080 Speaker 1: Hockey bet comes in. See here's what I think the 14 00:00:57,240 --> 00:01:01,160 Speaker 1: gods are doing. Because we are so hot in NBA 15 00:01:01,240 --> 00:01:04,040 Speaker 1: player props, they are not going to let me hit 16 00:01:04,080 --> 00:01:07,240 Speaker 1: anything else. Like all I get cash is NBA player props. 17 00:01:07,280 --> 00:01:09,480 Speaker 1: Like literally it is go back and watch like the 18 00:01:09,560 --> 00:01:12,720 Speaker 1: last seven days, Look how many winning days on NBA 19 00:01:12,760 --> 00:01:16,680 Speaker 1: player props we've had. And look how many losing full 20 00:01:16,760 --> 00:01:22,480 Speaker 1: unit bets I've had. It's remarkable, Like it's comical. The 21 00:01:22,520 --> 00:01:24,080 Speaker 1: only thing you guys should bet is the play of 22 00:01:24,120 --> 00:01:26,640 Speaker 1: the day. Like if I were you, guys, just bet 23 00:01:26,640 --> 00:01:29,320 Speaker 1: the play of the day, Like make one play, bet that, 24 00:01:29,800 --> 00:01:32,639 Speaker 1: have a winning day, and move on, Like I don't know. 25 00:01:32,880 --> 00:01:34,800 Speaker 1: The problem is you got to watch this podcast because 26 00:01:34,840 --> 00:01:37,560 Speaker 1: you don't know which of the five plays that I'm 27 00:01:37,560 --> 00:01:39,640 Speaker 1: gonna give you today will be the play of the day. 28 00:01:40,120 --> 00:01:42,720 Speaker 1: Only Mike Mayer knows that. So Mike gets to pick 29 00:01:42,760 --> 00:01:44,840 Speaker 1: the play of the day of the five picks. Does 30 00:01:44,840 --> 00:01:46,959 Speaker 1: a pretty good job of it because we've been really 31 00:01:47,000 --> 00:01:51,800 Speaker 1: hot with the betting pros pick of the day. I'll 32 00:01:51,800 --> 00:01:55,480 Speaker 1: get an accounting. It's something dumb. I mean, it really 33 00:01:55,560 --> 00:01:58,400 Speaker 1: is wild. I'll tell you that our NBA Player Props 34 00:01:58,440 --> 00:02:01,000 Speaker 1: let me see if we have an updated number. I 35 00:02:01,040 --> 00:02:04,200 Speaker 1: think we're thirty five and ten. I think that that's 36 00:02:04,320 --> 00:02:10,480 Speaker 1: right for NBA Player Props. We are thirty four and thirteen. Okay, 37 00:02:10,520 --> 00:02:12,680 Speaker 1: so it's wrong on that, not thirty five, thirty four 38 00:02:12,720 --> 00:02:16,160 Speaker 1: and thirteen the official number for us on NBA Player Props. 39 00:02:16,440 --> 00:02:19,280 Speaker 1: Thirty four and thirteen. I got three more for you, 40 00:02:19,680 --> 00:02:22,880 Speaker 1: plus two college basketball bets, because well, I'm ice colding 41 00:02:22,919 --> 00:02:26,120 Speaker 1: college basketball. I'm ice cold in hockey. But it is March, 42 00:02:26,360 --> 00:02:29,120 Speaker 1: and we bet college basketball. And I'm on a plane 43 00:02:29,280 --> 00:02:32,079 Speaker 1: to the great state of Kentucky coming up today. So 44 00:02:32,560 --> 00:02:35,600 Speaker 1: I'm going to be at the SEC Tournament and going 45 00:02:35,680 --> 00:02:38,120 Speaker 1: to be in Franklin, Kentucky for a little while, and 46 00:02:38,200 --> 00:02:40,640 Speaker 1: going to be in Nashville and gonna have a lot 47 00:02:40,639 --> 00:02:43,040 Speaker 1: of fun watching college basketball. So what am I betting 48 00:02:44,080 --> 00:02:47,480 Speaker 1: college basketball plus NBA player props because we've been great 49 00:02:47,480 --> 00:02:50,840 Speaker 1: with NBA player props. Okay, it is time to announce 50 00:02:50,880 --> 00:02:55,200 Speaker 1: the winner of the signed Nick Chubb Brown's helmets. You 51 00:02:55,200 --> 00:02:56,840 Speaker 1: guys have been waiting for this. A couple of guys 52 00:02:56,880 --> 00:03:00,000 Speaker 1: on Twitter have been asking questions. The winner is Don Summers, 53 00:03:00,639 --> 00:03:04,480 Speaker 1: s O M. M. E Ers. Betting pros folks will 54 00:03:04,520 --> 00:03:07,960 Speaker 1: be contacting you to get you the prize, so stay 55 00:03:08,040 --> 00:03:12,000 Speaker 1: on the lookout for an email. Congratulations, Don Summers, you 56 00:03:12,080 --> 00:03:17,240 Speaker 1: have won the autographed Nick Chubb Brown's helmet from our 57 00:03:17,280 --> 00:03:21,160 Speaker 1: friends at Pristine auction dot com and betting pros. That 58 00:03:21,320 --> 00:03:25,360 Speaker 1: reminds us of what's happening here for the Allen Iverson jersey. 59 00:03:25,400 --> 00:03:27,960 Speaker 1: Your chance to win that is still available. You can 60 00:03:27,960 --> 00:03:30,440 Speaker 1: get it for free. Curtsey of our friends at Pristine 61 00:03:30,440 --> 00:03:33,480 Speaker 1: Auction dot com. All you have to do is subscribe 62 00:03:33,480 --> 00:03:36,320 Speaker 1: to the Betting Pros YouTube channel right now, drop a 63 00:03:36,400 --> 00:03:39,080 Speaker 1: comment below on any of the Daily Juice videos, and 64 00:03:39,160 --> 00:03:41,600 Speaker 1: you are entered. That's all you have to do. We 65 00:03:41,720 --> 00:03:44,400 Speaker 1: will be announcing the winner right here on the Daily 66 00:03:44,520 --> 00:03:47,280 Speaker 1: Juice on March the eighteenth, So make sure you have 67 00:03:47,360 --> 00:03:50,000 Speaker 1: your notifications turned on so you know when those new 68 00:03:50,080 --> 00:03:53,280 Speaker 1: videos are up and you can claim your prize to 69 00:03:53,320 --> 00:03:58,440 Speaker 1: win the autographed Alaniberson Philadelphia seventy six ers Jersey. Subscribe 70 00:03:58,440 --> 00:04:02,320 Speaker 1: and comment and you are entered, win said Jersey. Okay, 71 00:04:03,400 --> 00:04:05,160 Speaker 1: Happy three eleven day, by the way, for those of 72 00:04:05,200 --> 00:04:10,400 Speaker 1: you guys who celebrate. Let's get into the college basketball 73 00:04:10,440 --> 00:04:16,279 Speaker 1: bets and then the NBA player props. Let's talk about Maine. Yes, Maine, 74 00:04:16,520 --> 00:04:19,960 Speaker 1: the team we got wrong at Vermont. Maine was at 75 00:04:20,000 --> 00:04:24,160 Speaker 1: home and Maine went and beat UMass Lowell. We were 76 00:04:24,200 --> 00:04:26,359 Speaker 1: on UMass low But I watched the game and I 77 00:04:26,400 --> 00:04:29,560 Speaker 1: actually was pretty impressed with Maine offensively. I was pretty 78 00:04:29,600 --> 00:04:32,960 Speaker 1: impressed with Maine shooting basketball. Is pretty oppressed impressed with 79 00:04:33,000 --> 00:04:35,960 Speaker 1: Maine this year on the road, Maine was eleven and 80 00:04:36,040 --> 00:04:39,360 Speaker 1: eight to the over. I'm not so much interested in 81 00:04:39,440 --> 00:04:42,680 Speaker 1: the side rather the total. In this game, Maine was 82 00:04:42,720 --> 00:04:45,640 Speaker 1: an over team sixteen thirteen and one and nine and 83 00:04:45,720 --> 00:04:49,440 Speaker 1: eight in America East play. Vermont, even though they play 84 00:04:49,520 --> 00:04:53,719 Speaker 1: extremely slow outside the three hundredth for adjusted tempo, Vermont 85 00:04:53,760 --> 00:04:57,159 Speaker 1: was still ten and seven to the over during America 86 00:04:57,200 --> 00:05:00,120 Speaker 1: East play. In the end of the year four and one, 87 00:05:00,560 --> 00:05:04,359 Speaker 1: they were scoring a lot of points. Vermont started to 88 00:05:04,440 --> 00:05:08,440 Speaker 1: come into their own. They beat New Hampshire sixty four 89 00:05:08,600 --> 00:05:11,279 Speaker 1: fifty seven. That game went under. In the first game 90 00:05:11,320 --> 00:05:15,120 Speaker 1: of the America East tournaments against UMAs Lowell, both games 91 00:05:15,160 --> 00:05:18,479 Speaker 1: went under for Maine, but before that, the previous five 92 00:05:18,600 --> 00:05:23,240 Speaker 1: games all went over for Maine, including the game at 93 00:05:23,240 --> 00:05:27,000 Speaker 1: home against Vermont, which was one twenty five and a half. 94 00:05:27,520 --> 00:05:30,479 Speaker 1: The total now for this game is one twenty three 95 00:05:30,520 --> 00:05:32,080 Speaker 1: and a half, but you might be able to find 96 00:05:32,120 --> 00:05:34,839 Speaker 1: a better number than what I bet. There are some 97 00:05:35,000 --> 00:05:38,240 Speaker 1: offshore one twenty two and a half's, So I'm wondering, 98 00:05:38,240 --> 00:05:40,239 Speaker 1: are you guys going to get a full point better 99 00:05:40,320 --> 00:05:42,440 Speaker 1: than I'm going to get here? But every book in 100 00:05:42,520 --> 00:05:45,200 Speaker 1: Vegas that I have access to is at one twenty 101 00:05:45,200 --> 00:05:47,839 Speaker 1: three and a half at the moment, and that number 102 00:05:47,880 --> 00:05:50,440 Speaker 1: may very well adjust, and that very well might change. 103 00:05:50,760 --> 00:05:55,640 Speaker 1: Kempom has this game at one twenty five from a 104 00:05:55,640 --> 00:05:58,479 Speaker 1: total perspective or one twenty four. Excuse me, one twenty four, 105 00:05:58,560 --> 00:06:02,840 Speaker 1: so just over one twenty three and a half. I 106 00:06:02,960 --> 00:06:05,360 Speaker 1: think this game has a really good shot of being 107 00:06:05,440 --> 00:06:10,160 Speaker 1: higher scoring than what the books are expecting. I think 108 00:06:10,279 --> 00:06:12,400 Speaker 1: just looking at the numbers and looking at the way 109 00:06:12,440 --> 00:06:15,359 Speaker 1: these teams play. Maine shoots the ball from behind the 110 00:06:15,520 --> 00:06:18,320 Speaker 1: arc at thirty six point three percent. They hit a 111 00:06:18,320 --> 00:06:20,840 Speaker 1: bunch of threes against UMAs Lowell they were at home, 112 00:06:21,680 --> 00:06:24,440 Speaker 1: but they're fifty eighth in the country in three point shooting. 113 00:06:24,920 --> 00:06:27,760 Speaker 1: May Vermont's defense is one hundred and forty fourth. Not 114 00:06:27,839 --> 00:06:31,240 Speaker 1: that great defensively, so if Maine hits their threes, I 115 00:06:31,279 --> 00:06:33,160 Speaker 1: think one man can win the game. But I also 116 00:06:33,200 --> 00:06:35,839 Speaker 1: think that Vermont's gonna hit their threes as well. Vermont 117 00:06:36,080 --> 00:06:39,080 Speaker 1: is used to hosting this tournament, Okay. Vermont has hosted 118 00:06:39,120 --> 00:06:42,440 Speaker 1: the America's Final for like the last twenty years. Okay. 119 00:06:42,440 --> 00:06:46,160 Speaker 1: They are just a dominant, dominant program under John Becker 120 00:06:46,520 --> 00:06:50,640 Speaker 1: here in the America East Conference. They got really, really hot. 121 00:06:50,800 --> 00:06:54,360 Speaker 1: They were four and three at one point. They ended 122 00:06:54,400 --> 00:06:57,440 Speaker 1: the year on a nine game winning streak and Vermont 123 00:06:57,440 --> 00:07:00,920 Speaker 1: has won nine straight games. Again, I think Vermont can 124 00:07:00,920 --> 00:07:03,000 Speaker 1: win the game. Are they going to cover the four 125 00:07:03,040 --> 00:07:06,840 Speaker 1: point line? I don't know. I'm a little skeptical on that. 126 00:07:07,240 --> 00:07:08,800 Speaker 1: I think I'd rather just come in and play the 127 00:07:08,880 --> 00:07:11,800 Speaker 1: over on the game and go up tempo and see 128 00:07:11,800 --> 00:07:13,440 Speaker 1: these guys. I think you could just squeak over. I 129 00:07:13,440 --> 00:07:15,680 Speaker 1: don't think it like it flies over. But look at 130 00:07:15,680 --> 00:07:18,480 Speaker 1: some of the totals we've seen for Vermont recently. One 131 00:07:18,600 --> 00:07:22,600 Speaker 1: forty three went over by five points against UMBC. They 132 00:07:22,600 --> 00:07:24,960 Speaker 1: had one thirty eight and a half against UMass, loll 133 00:07:25,000 --> 00:07:27,240 Speaker 1: went over by seven and a half. I mean, they've 134 00:07:27,280 --> 00:07:30,440 Speaker 1: scored eighty five points in a game recently, seventy nine 135 00:07:30,480 --> 00:07:34,080 Speaker 1: points in a game recently, seventy nine points against UMBC, 136 00:07:34,320 --> 00:07:37,080 Speaker 1: seventy nine against albody like Vermont can score, Like even 137 00:07:37,120 --> 00:07:40,080 Speaker 1: though they don't play that fast, Vermont can score, in 138 00:07:40,120 --> 00:07:43,480 Speaker 1: particular at home, they can score. I'm gonna play the 139 00:07:43,520 --> 00:07:46,320 Speaker 1: over over one twenty three and a half for Vermont 140 00:07:46,560 --> 00:07:49,080 Speaker 1: in Maine, and by the way, fade away on both 141 00:07:49,120 --> 00:07:51,280 Speaker 1: these college basketball bets are not gonna make me sad 142 00:07:51,320 --> 00:07:55,120 Speaker 1: at all given where I've been with college basketball. Literally 143 00:07:55,200 --> 00:07:57,320 Speaker 1: been saving my bank role by what's happening with the 144 00:07:57,320 --> 00:08:02,040 Speaker 1: player props. Let's talk about kant in Arizona State. According 145 00:08:02,040 --> 00:08:05,080 Speaker 1: to KEMPOM, this is a one point win for Kansas State. 146 00:08:05,360 --> 00:08:09,000 Speaker 1: I think that's wrong, to be quite honest. The number 147 00:08:09,080 --> 00:08:12,080 Speaker 1: is five and a half at the moment, because well, 148 00:08:12,760 --> 00:08:16,600 Speaker 1: Arizona State stinks like they stink, and they're banged up. 149 00:08:17,360 --> 00:08:19,360 Speaker 1: They're not going to have one of their best players 150 00:08:19,400 --> 00:08:22,480 Speaker 1: due to injury. The sun Devils closed out the year 151 00:08:22,600 --> 00:08:27,680 Speaker 1: three and seven ats and while the Wildcats weren't tremendously better, 152 00:08:28,200 --> 00:08:30,360 Speaker 1: they were still better. And they're going to have a 153 00:08:30,400 --> 00:08:33,000 Speaker 1: massive home court advantage here. I mean, this is just 154 00:08:33,080 --> 00:08:35,439 Speaker 1: when they play in the Big twelve tournament in Kansas City. 155 00:08:36,240 --> 00:08:38,480 Speaker 1: This is just a really not a fun place to 156 00:08:38,520 --> 00:08:41,680 Speaker 1: play for a team like Arizona State, who really struggled 157 00:08:41,679 --> 00:08:44,360 Speaker 1: down the stretch. They lost four games in a row. 158 00:08:44,559 --> 00:08:49,120 Speaker 1: They have one win since February first, one that was 159 00:08:49,160 --> 00:08:52,880 Speaker 1: beating this Kansas State team on the road. You don't 160 00:08:52,920 --> 00:08:55,000 Speaker 1: think kse State's going to remember that that they're the 161 00:08:55,040 --> 00:08:59,120 Speaker 1: only team the Arizona State beat. Bobby Hurley's team is undermanned. 162 00:09:00,360 --> 00:09:02,480 Speaker 1: I mean, what are they doing at the Big twelve Tournament. 163 00:09:02,520 --> 00:09:04,080 Speaker 1: You think they want to hang around for a while. 164 00:09:04,320 --> 00:09:07,480 Speaker 1: They were four and sixteen in the Big twelve Tournament. 165 00:09:07,559 --> 00:09:10,800 Speaker 1: This is why the Big Ten didn't allow. Everybody in 166 00:09:11,080 --> 00:09:13,560 Speaker 1: the Big Ten said, okay, bottom three, you're not playing 167 00:09:13,559 --> 00:09:15,480 Speaker 1: in the Big twelve Tournament, in the Big Ten tournament 168 00:09:15,520 --> 00:09:19,000 Speaker 1: because you stink. Arizona State doesn't belong in this tournament. 169 00:09:19,040 --> 00:09:21,720 Speaker 1: Because they stink. You could say, hey, Matt, they're gonna 170 00:09:21,840 --> 00:09:23,920 Speaker 1: you know, this is now the win one for the Gipper, 171 00:09:24,040 --> 00:09:27,120 Speaker 1: or they can reconstitute their season and save their season 172 00:09:27,120 --> 00:09:28,679 Speaker 1: and to make a run in the Big twelve Tournament. 173 00:09:29,360 --> 00:09:31,959 Speaker 1: This is Kansas State in Kansas City. We're gonna have 174 00:09:31,960 --> 00:09:33,520 Speaker 1: a lot of fans. I'm gonna have a massive home 175 00:09:33,520 --> 00:09:36,720 Speaker 1: court advantage. I know kempom has it as a one 176 00:09:36,760 --> 00:09:39,520 Speaker 1: point game, but you look at the numbers, it's five 177 00:09:39,559 --> 00:09:41,439 Speaker 1: and a half. We're gonna lay the five and a 178 00:09:41,480 --> 00:09:46,200 Speaker 1: half here. I mean, you can search around and I'm 179 00:09:46,240 --> 00:09:49,240 Speaker 1: hoping this number it opened at five. I'm hoping this 180 00:09:49,320 --> 00:09:52,440 Speaker 1: number comes down, like I hope there's some Arizona State 181 00:09:52,520 --> 00:09:54,679 Speaker 1: money in the market and you guys might actually get 182 00:09:54,679 --> 00:09:58,200 Speaker 1: a much better number than what I got. So I 183 00:09:58,240 --> 00:10:00,160 Speaker 1: don't think you're really going to I think chance are 184 00:10:00,200 --> 00:10:02,640 Speaker 1: the number is gonna climb. But there might be some 185 00:10:02,679 --> 00:10:04,760 Speaker 1: people that think the Arizona State can gin rally and 186 00:10:04,760 --> 00:10:06,400 Speaker 1: this is too big of a point spread against like 187 00:10:06,520 --> 00:10:08,920 Speaker 1: not a great team. But I laid the five and 188 00:10:08,920 --> 00:10:11,760 Speaker 1: a half Kansas Date minus five and a half up 189 00:10:11,800 --> 00:10:16,640 Speaker 1: against Arizona State. Now, remember, let's see it has that 190 00:10:16,679 --> 00:10:21,760 Speaker 1: game gone final yet, So Saint Mary's has advanced. Let's 191 00:10:21,760 --> 00:10:25,360 Speaker 1: see what Gonzaga is doing. Saint Mary's won seventy four 192 00:10:25,440 --> 00:10:28,920 Speaker 1: fifty nine over Pepperdine. They did not cover, but they 193 00:10:28,960 --> 00:10:31,720 Speaker 1: did advance. The number was twenty. It was ridiculous. But 194 00:10:31,800 --> 00:10:36,400 Speaker 1: we're waiting on what's gonna happen here for Gonzaga. They're 195 00:10:36,440 --> 00:10:40,800 Speaker 1: currently up seventy two sixty five with three minutes to play. 196 00:10:41,000 --> 00:10:43,440 Speaker 1: So as long as that holds and Gonzaga wins, and 197 00:10:43,480 --> 00:10:46,440 Speaker 1: we have Gonzaga against Saint Mary's, most likely it's gonna 198 00:10:46,480 --> 00:10:49,920 Speaker 1: be like Gonzaga minus one minus two. Maybe on this 199 00:10:50,520 --> 00:10:53,560 Speaker 1: we're gonna bet endgame. Okay, late night, we have plus 200 00:10:53,640 --> 00:10:56,680 Speaker 1: one fifty five on Saint Mary's. I want like plus 201 00:10:56,720 --> 00:11:00,000 Speaker 1: six plus five. We can get it on Gonzaga and 202 00:11:00,080 --> 00:11:03,160 Speaker 1: try to hit both bets, try to literally like normally 203 00:11:03,160 --> 00:11:07,160 Speaker 1: middle it, but get Gonzaga to cover, and then Saint 204 00:11:07,160 --> 00:11:09,840 Speaker 1: Mary's wins. So we want a Saint mary win, but 205 00:11:09,920 --> 00:11:12,400 Speaker 1: a Gonzaga cover. We hit both bets, we have plus 206 00:11:12,400 --> 00:11:15,240 Speaker 1: one fifty five and we'll win two point five units 207 00:11:15,280 --> 00:11:17,760 Speaker 1: on the West Coast Conference. Okay, that's how we kind 208 00:11:17,760 --> 00:11:19,920 Speaker 1: of make a dent on the negativity with the college 209 00:11:19,960 --> 00:11:23,400 Speaker 1: basketball world. So watch Gonzaga and Saint Mary's tonight in 210 00:11:23,440 --> 00:11:26,599 Speaker 1: the West Coast Conference final late night in Vegas. I 211 00:11:26,679 --> 00:11:29,600 Speaker 1: think it's a nine o'clock Eastern time start, six o'clock 212 00:11:29,679 --> 00:11:32,880 Speaker 1: Pacific time start for Gonzaga. In Saint Mary's, it's their 213 00:11:32,960 --> 00:11:35,360 Speaker 1: second game in the whole darn tournament and they're playing 214 00:11:35,360 --> 00:11:38,120 Speaker 1: the one versus two if that's you know, that's how 215 00:11:38,160 --> 00:11:40,240 Speaker 1: they want it. So they set it up triple by 216 00:11:40,400 --> 00:11:43,440 Speaker 1: for both Saint Mary's and Gonzaga, so that number nine. 217 00:11:43,600 --> 00:11:46,520 Speaker 1: It's now ten for Gonzaga up by San on San France. 218 00:11:46,559 --> 00:11:48,199 Speaker 1: So good little run here at the end of the 219 00:11:48,200 --> 00:11:50,640 Speaker 1: game for Gonzaga. So we're gonna get that Gonzaga and 220 00:11:50,679 --> 00:11:54,120 Speaker 1: Saint Mary's, so look to hedge in game five six 221 00:11:54,160 --> 00:11:57,080 Speaker 1: points if you get it with Saint Mary's given that 222 00:11:57,360 --> 00:11:59,800 Speaker 1: catching five, we want Gonzaga plus five or six in 223 00:11:59,840 --> 00:12:02,960 Speaker 1: that game. Okay, let's start NBA player props. This is 224 00:12:03,000 --> 00:12:04,360 Speaker 1: going a little long, so I don't want to go 225 00:12:04,400 --> 00:12:06,280 Speaker 1: too crazy on all of this, but I'm gonna tell 226 00:12:06,280 --> 00:12:09,079 Speaker 1: you what I am betting here. Let's start with Damian Lillard. 227 00:12:09,880 --> 00:12:14,040 Speaker 1: Five star play thirty percent positive ev. This has hit 228 00:12:14,120 --> 00:12:16,800 Speaker 1: fifty percent of the time sixty percent of the time 229 00:12:16,880 --> 00:12:21,199 Speaker 1: over the last five games. Points, rebounds, and assists for Dame. 230 00:12:22,120 --> 00:12:26,079 Speaker 1: Projection is thirty nine and a half for Damian Lillard. 231 00:12:26,200 --> 00:12:30,040 Speaker 1: Here it is a number of thirty four and a 232 00:12:30,080 --> 00:12:33,800 Speaker 1: half for Damian Lillard. Against the Cleveland Cavaliers in his 233 00:12:33,880 --> 00:12:35,960 Speaker 1: last game, it was thirty five and a half. It 234 00:12:36,000 --> 00:12:39,000 Speaker 1: fell thirty one. He didn't make it. The two previous 235 00:12:39,040 --> 00:12:41,200 Speaker 1: games it was thirty four and a half and it 236 00:12:41,280 --> 00:12:44,120 Speaker 1: was thirty five and a half. It did go over 237 00:12:44,520 --> 00:12:47,400 Speaker 1: thirty eight and a half against Atlanta, didn't go over 238 00:12:47,720 --> 00:12:50,280 Speaker 1: thirty five and a half against Dallas, did go over. 239 00:12:50,760 --> 00:12:54,000 Speaker 1: The two previous games Denver and Houston did not get 240 00:12:54,000 --> 00:12:56,199 Speaker 1: it nowhere near going over. It was thirty six and 241 00:12:56,200 --> 00:12:58,200 Speaker 1: a half. And thirty four and a half twenty seven 242 00:12:58,240 --> 00:13:01,439 Speaker 1: and twenty six, respectively. Then against the Clippers it was 243 00:13:01,480 --> 00:13:04,599 Speaker 1: thirty two. He went under, So it's sort of a 244 00:13:04,679 --> 00:13:08,720 Speaker 1: hit or miss here for Damian Lillard. But we're gonna 245 00:13:08,720 --> 00:13:13,079 Speaker 1: look at this and go okay against Dallas over, against 246 00:13:13,200 --> 00:13:17,040 Speaker 1: Orlando over, Cleveland went under, the number was thirty four 247 00:13:17,080 --> 00:13:19,439 Speaker 1: and a half or third thirty five and a half rather, 248 00:13:19,640 --> 00:13:23,160 Speaker 1: and it went to thirty one. He's been scoring, so 249 00:13:23,200 --> 00:13:25,360 Speaker 1: this is gonna come down to the other the points 250 00:13:25,360 --> 00:13:27,800 Speaker 1: in the assists, So the rebounds in the assists, because 251 00:13:27,840 --> 00:13:31,240 Speaker 1: points wise twenty two to twenty six, thirty four, twenty three, 252 00:13:31,360 --> 00:13:35,959 Speaker 1: twenty eight in his last five games, okay, rebounds are five, seven, three, 253 00:13:36,160 --> 00:13:39,839 Speaker 1: five and six. Assists are four four, five, four and six. 254 00:13:40,160 --> 00:13:41,840 Speaker 1: So we need him to get going here on the 255 00:13:41,840 --> 00:13:44,400 Speaker 1: rebound mark. We're gonna even to score about twenty five 256 00:13:44,440 --> 00:13:47,920 Speaker 1: points here on this. But the number is thirty four 257 00:13:47,960 --> 00:13:51,720 Speaker 1: and a half, and we're gonna bet over. Projection is 258 00:13:51,800 --> 00:13:55,280 Speaker 1: thirty nine and a half projected to be way too young, 259 00:13:55,400 --> 00:13:58,840 Speaker 1: way too young, way too low for Damian Lillard. Over 260 00:13:59,000 --> 00:14:02,760 Speaker 1: thirty four and a half points rebounds and assists here 261 00:14:03,320 --> 00:14:06,360 Speaker 1: up against the Indiana Pacers for the Milwaukee Bucks and 262 00:14:06,520 --> 00:14:11,959 Speaker 1: Damian Lillard. Bet number two Let's go to James Harden. Points, 263 00:14:12,120 --> 00:14:16,920 Speaker 1: rebounds and assists for James Harden against the Clippers, sorry, 264 00:14:16,920 --> 00:14:20,040 Speaker 1: I mean against the New Orleans Pelicans. For James Harden, 265 00:14:20,560 --> 00:14:24,840 Speaker 1: last four games he has gone way under. Points, rebounds 266 00:14:24,840 --> 00:14:27,520 Speaker 1: and assists. Number for James Harden is set at forty 267 00:14:27,560 --> 00:14:30,840 Speaker 1: two and a half forty two and a half on 268 00:14:30,880 --> 00:14:33,800 Speaker 1: the thirtieth of December against New Orleans. He had thirty 269 00:14:33,880 --> 00:14:39,320 Speaker 1: three way under on last February. Last year in February 270 00:14:39,800 --> 00:14:44,480 Speaker 1: he had thirty two for the games last year way 271 00:14:44,560 --> 00:14:46,800 Speaker 1: under way way under with the Clippers, but this year 272 00:14:46,960 --> 00:14:50,120 Speaker 1: he went way under as well for James Harden. For 273 00:14:50,280 --> 00:14:53,840 Speaker 1: him last time out against Sacramento thirty eight and a half, 274 00:14:53,920 --> 00:14:57,240 Speaker 1: he flew over forty nine, but against the Knicks thirty 275 00:14:57,320 --> 00:15:00,800 Speaker 1: nine and a half under thirty seven. Then two games 276 00:15:00,840 --> 00:15:04,880 Speaker 1: went over, but then one, two, three, four consecutive in 277 00:15:05,000 --> 00:15:09,080 Speaker 1: five out of six all went under, mostly at thirty 278 00:15:09,120 --> 00:15:11,000 Speaker 1: six and a half, thirty eight and a half, thirty 279 00:15:11,080 --> 00:15:14,000 Speaker 1: nine and a half, forty two and a half against Detroit, 280 00:15:14,640 --> 00:15:16,960 Speaker 1: forty two and a half against Indiana did go over 281 00:15:17,720 --> 00:15:19,880 Speaker 1: to forty nine and thirty eight and a half against 282 00:15:19,920 --> 00:15:25,320 Speaker 1: Milwaukee at thirty seven. Did go over. This is a 283 00:15:25,440 --> 00:15:27,680 Speaker 1: number at forty two and a half where I think 284 00:15:27,880 --> 00:15:31,000 Speaker 1: the numbers are saying it's too high. Forty two and 285 00:15:31,040 --> 00:15:34,480 Speaker 1: a half points, rebounds and assists for James Harden. We 286 00:15:34,560 --> 00:15:37,600 Speaker 1: know he can shoot his team out. This is a 287 00:15:37,640 --> 00:15:40,520 Speaker 1: projected number of thirty eight, so it's a difference of four. 288 00:15:40,720 --> 00:15:44,000 Speaker 1: It's a five star play. It's a plus thirty five 289 00:15:44,080 --> 00:15:50,080 Speaker 1: percent positive ev bet twenty eighth on this defense against 290 00:15:50,080 --> 00:15:53,320 Speaker 1: this prop is not great. That number being high means 291 00:15:53,320 --> 00:15:56,280 Speaker 1: it's better for the over. But we're going to take 292 00:15:56,360 --> 00:15:59,840 Speaker 1: the number here and go under for James Harden. Point 293 00:16:00,080 --> 00:16:03,200 Speaker 1: rebounds and assists under forty two and a half for 294 00:16:03,400 --> 00:16:07,760 Speaker 1: James Harden. So Lillard over thirty four and a half points, 295 00:16:07,800 --> 00:16:12,040 Speaker 1: rebounds and assists, Harden under forty two and a half points, 296 00:16:12,120 --> 00:16:15,320 Speaker 1: rebounds and assists. And finally, we're going to go to 297 00:16:15,320 --> 00:16:18,560 Speaker 1: that same game with the Clippers and the New Orleans 298 00:16:18,680 --> 00:16:21,680 Speaker 1: Pelicans will go to the other team. We'll go to 299 00:16:21,760 --> 00:16:25,000 Speaker 1: Trey Murphy the third. Trey Murphrey the Third has been 300 00:16:25,000 --> 00:16:27,720 Speaker 1: getting some pretty good minutes scored twenty seven points along 301 00:16:27,720 --> 00:16:30,920 Speaker 1: with five rebounds and two assists two blocks in their 302 00:16:30,960 --> 00:16:35,000 Speaker 1: loss against the Grizzlies. He's been getting the ball. He's 303 00:16:35,040 --> 00:16:40,600 Speaker 1: been scoring inconsistently, but his numbers have been going right 304 00:16:40,720 --> 00:16:45,880 Speaker 1: up against his points, rebounds and assists. So this number 305 00:16:46,360 --> 00:16:52,200 Speaker 1: for Trey Murphy five Star play a positive twenty three 306 00:16:52,240 --> 00:16:58,400 Speaker 1: percent EV play fourth the Clippers against this prop, it 307 00:16:58,440 --> 00:17:02,280 Speaker 1: has not hit for Trey Murphy. This has not been 308 00:17:02,480 --> 00:17:05,920 Speaker 1: a good bet against the Clippers. In fact, every game 309 00:17:06,000 --> 00:17:08,720 Speaker 1: he has gone up against the Clippers in twenty four 310 00:17:09,280 --> 00:17:12,359 Speaker 1: this year, in last year, he's gone under this number 311 00:17:12,400 --> 00:17:17,080 Speaker 1: of thirty and a half for points, rebounds, and assists. Again, 312 00:17:17,400 --> 00:17:19,439 Speaker 1: Trey Murphy's coming off of a pretty big game, a 313 00:17:19,480 --> 00:17:21,920 Speaker 1: pretty good game, so that might be a little bit scary. 314 00:17:22,000 --> 00:17:25,800 Speaker 1: But scored twenty seven points against Memphis. Thirty four and 315 00:17:25,840 --> 00:17:28,159 Speaker 1: a half was the closing number he got to. Thirty 316 00:17:28,160 --> 00:17:33,080 Speaker 1: four didn't go over. He scored thirteen against Houston, number 317 00:17:33,240 --> 00:17:34,919 Speaker 1: was twenty nine and a half. He only wound up 318 00:17:34,960 --> 00:17:38,680 Speaker 1: with twenty. The three previous games before that, though, all 319 00:17:38,720 --> 00:17:43,600 Speaker 1: went over, but the four previous games before that three 320 00:17:43,680 --> 00:17:46,920 Speaker 1: game streak all went under thirty five and a half. 321 00:17:46,920 --> 00:17:48,520 Speaker 1: Thirty two and a half, thirty two and a half, 322 00:17:48,520 --> 00:17:50,119 Speaker 1: thirty three and a half, and thirty two and a 323 00:17:50,160 --> 00:17:54,159 Speaker 1: half way under sometimes twenty one, twenty three, twenty seven, 324 00:17:54,520 --> 00:17:58,720 Speaker 1: occasionally thirty two. Right up against it against the Spurs 325 00:17:58,800 --> 00:18:02,600 Speaker 1: and the Dallas Mavericks, this number is thirty and a half. 326 00:18:02,960 --> 00:18:06,159 Speaker 1: According to the projections, Trey Murphy is going to go 327 00:18:06,480 --> 00:18:09,920 Speaker 1: under this number twenty seven and a half twenty seven 328 00:18:09,920 --> 00:18:13,400 Speaker 1: point nine, so twenty eight for Trey Murphy. Five star 329 00:18:13,440 --> 00:18:15,680 Speaker 1: play like I mentioned, and this has not hit ever 330 00:18:15,760 --> 00:18:19,400 Speaker 1: against the Clippers over the last two years. For Trey 331 00:18:19,480 --> 00:18:22,920 Speaker 1: Murphy the third. We're going under points, rebounds and assists 332 00:18:23,119 --> 00:18:26,160 Speaker 1: for Trey Murphy, the third of the New Orleans Pelicans 333 00:18:26,240 --> 00:18:30,680 Speaker 1: up against the Clippers. All right, so are plays for today? 334 00:18:31,480 --> 00:18:34,560 Speaker 1: Main Vermont over one twenty three and a half. Hopefully 335 00:18:34,560 --> 00:18:36,119 Speaker 1: you get a one twenty two and a half, but 336 00:18:36,720 --> 00:18:38,760 Speaker 1: over one twenty three and a half in one point 337 00:18:38,760 --> 00:18:41,000 Speaker 1: could be a major difference in that game. One point 338 00:18:41,040 --> 00:18:43,639 Speaker 1: one units there. Kansas State mice five and a half 339 00:18:44,160 --> 00:18:47,520 Speaker 1: in the Big twelve Tournament up against Arizona State. Damian 340 00:18:47,560 --> 00:18:50,840 Speaker 1: Lillard points, rebounds and assists over thirty four and a half. 341 00:18:51,080 --> 00:18:54,280 Speaker 1: James Harden points, rebounds and assists under forty two and 342 00:18:54,320 --> 00:18:57,040 Speaker 1: a half and Trey Murphy the third points, rebounds and 343 00:18:57,080 --> 00:19:01,960 Speaker 1: assists under thirty and uh half. My name is Matt Pereltz. 344 00:19:02,840 --> 00:19:05,280 Speaker 1: For you guys who are on socials at Sports Talk Matt, 345 00:19:05,320 --> 00:19:07,399 Speaker 1: you can follow me their Instagram or x ef x 346 00:19:07,520 --> 00:19:12,080 Speaker 1: works every morning and remember I'm in Kentucky tomorrow. Every 347 00:19:12,200 --> 00:19:15,200 Speaker 1: morning we'll talk some SEC basketball on their fun stuff 348 00:19:15,200 --> 00:19:17,840 Speaker 1: as well. It is the Daily News podcast.