WEBVTT - Intel Falls as Manufacturing Snags Bedevil Comeback

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news. Bloomberg Tech is alive

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<v Speaker 1>from coast to coast with Caroline Hide in New York

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<v Speaker 1>and ever though in San Francisco.

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<v Speaker 2>This is Bloomberg Tech coming up. Intel plunges after the

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<v Speaker 2>chip maker warned its struggling with manufacturing problems.

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<v Speaker 3>Fas China's largest tech firms get an initial green light

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<v Speaker 3>from Beijing to start preparing orders for videos two hundred.

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<v Speaker 2>AI chips, and after years of drama comes to an

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<v Speaker 2>end as TikTok and its Chinese parent Byte Dance close

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<v Speaker 2>a deal to operate in the US.

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<v Speaker 3>Let's look right now though at US markets as we

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<v Speaker 3>close up this week, a volatile training week to say

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<v Speaker 3>the very least consumed by geopolitics to start, and we

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<v Speaker 3>end with a little bit of green on our screens.

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<v Speaker 3>For the nasat one hundred, we're up five ten percent,

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<v Speaker 3>six tenths. You can see the clallback that happened post

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<v Speaker 3>Davos speech and post President Trump really taking his line

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<v Speaker 3>of sight away from Greenland by force at least. But ed,

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<v Speaker 3>it's all about the chip stocks today and you're digging

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<v Speaker 3>into them.

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<v Speaker 2>So Intel is down a lot, and it's because of

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<v Speaker 2>a sales outlook for the current period that at the

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<v Speaker 2>midpoint was below investor expectations, on track for its biggest

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<v Speaker 2>drop since August of twenty twenty two. But remember this

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<v Speaker 2>was a stock that just in the few weeks we've

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<v Speaker 2>had of twenty twenty six, was up forty seven percent

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<v Speaker 2>as of yesterday's close. The problems are in supply, but

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<v Speaker 2>specifically in execution. Let's get to Bloomberg's chips reporter Ian

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<v Speaker 2>King and Ian You and I spoke with Intel's CEO

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<v Speaker 2>Lit Bhutan on the telephone. He was very clear that actually,

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<v Speaker 2>when they say there are supply issues, a lot of

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<v Speaker 2>this was how Intel tried to manage it. They have

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<v Speaker 2>yield and they have production problems. Explain that to us.

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<v Speaker 4>Yeah, So those are a couple of things here. The

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<v Speaker 4>first was that they basically did believe that the demand

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<v Speaker 4>for some of their best products, which would be the

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<v Speaker 4>server chips.

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<v Speaker 2>Was there.

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<v Speaker 4>Didn't build inventory, didn't assign supply to that, so that

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<v Speaker 4>didn't help. But then the production, which could help you

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<v Speaker 4>out where you get more chips for a production room,

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<v Speaker 4>what's called yield. If that had been better, they would

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<v Speaker 4>have had more chips and been able to meet more supply.

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<v Speaker 4>So they've really left quite a lot of orders on

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<v Speaker 4>the table here and obviously that is not good.

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<v Speaker 3>What does it say about the future of its fab

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<v Speaker 3>business in if you're a solo.

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<v Speaker 4>Well, I mean, I can refer you to what the

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<v Speaker 4>analysts has said, which is, look, if you're out there

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<v Speaker 4>looking for external customers for your factories, your factories have

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<v Speaker 4>to be showing their best side. They have to be

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<v Speaker 4>operating at full of you know, best they can. They

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<v Speaker 4>have to be working, you know, a maximum efficiency. If

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<v Speaker 4>that's not the case, then that obviously hurts your you know,

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<v Speaker 4>your sales pitch to outside customers.

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<v Speaker 5>Intil Intel.

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<v Speaker 2>We also discussed in the context of Intel his efforts

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<v Speaker 2>with the coming fourteen A process right, and I found

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<v Speaker 2>lit Bhutan's candor quite interesting. We tried to push them

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<v Speaker 2>and say where are the customers and his answer was

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<v Speaker 2>until I have a volume commitment on that, I'm not

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<v Speaker 2>going to tell you anything. Just give us a bit

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<v Speaker 2>more of how he tried to explain that foundry business

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<v Speaker 2>in its progress.

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<v Speaker 4>Yeah, I mean, this is him sticking to a line

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<v Speaker 4>of kind of reasoning which I think resonated initially with

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<v Speaker 4>shareholders and then caused a little bit of concern. Basically,

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<v Speaker 4>he's saying, look, this is really expensive building these factories

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<v Speaker 4>and equipping them past the fortune I am not going

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<v Speaker 4>to do that until my customers say, here's an order

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<v Speaker 4>that I can then turn into cash that pays for

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<v Speaker 4>these factories. So that's a very logical, sort of down

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<v Speaker 4>to earth, pragmatic sort of viewpoint, saying that he'll know

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<v Speaker 4>for sure whether he's going to get concrete orders or

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<v Speaker 4>not in the second half of this year and into

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<v Speaker 4>the first half of net. So from the Wall Street perspective,

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<v Speaker 4>that's like we're still in the kind of wait and

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<v Speaker 4>see period in terms of whether Intel can become this

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<v Speaker 4>kind of boundary this rival to TSMC.

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<v Speaker 3>Wonder how the administration is viewing it as a key

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<v Speaker 3>stakeholder in Intel in king great roundup, Thank you, Let's

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<v Speaker 3>turn attuch to a Bloomberg exclusive. Now, Ali Baba ten

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<v Speaker 3>Fighte Dance were then now allowed to prepare orders for

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<v Speaker 3>Invideo's h two hundred AI chips, suggesting that Beijing is

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<v Speaker 3>prioritizing the needs of the major Chinese hyperscalers again close

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<v Speaker 3>to formally approving imports of essential AI components. Let's get

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<v Speaker 3>to bloomog Tech executive editor Peter Elstrom, it's another stepping

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<v Speaker 3>stone that hints Beijing I'll.

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<v Speaker 6>Let them in.

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<v Speaker 5>Yeah, this is a very closely watched drama.

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<v Speaker 7>Of course, Nvidia used to sell lots of AI chips

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<v Speaker 7>into the China market, but Washington and Beijing have been

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<v Speaker 7>battled over exactly what kind of chips are going to

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<v Speaker 7>be sold and what kind of volume. Washington has stopped

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<v Speaker 7>the most advanced chips from go into the market, but

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<v Speaker 7>the Trump administration did approve these age two hundred chips

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<v Speaker 7>to be sold into the market. It wasn't clear whether

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<v Speaker 7>Beijing was going to let its tech companies buy these chips.

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<v Speaker 7>Now now what we're hearing from sources is that they

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<v Speaker 7>have given the go ahead for the key companies you mentioned, Alibaba,

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<v Speaker 7>ten Sent and byte Dance to prepare their orders, to

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<v Speaker 7>tell them how much they want to buy from Nvidia,

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<v Speaker 7>and then they're going to make decisions about when exactly

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<v Speaker 7>this is going to happen. It's going to come with

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<v Speaker 7>some caveats. They do still want to build up the

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<v Speaker 7>domestic industry. They want these companies to also purchase from

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<v Speaker 7>some of the domestic players, which include Wallwe technologies and

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<v Speaker 7>camera con as we've talked about in the show a

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<v Speaker 7>few times before. But it looks like they're going to

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<v Speaker 7>be able to go ahead with those Age two hundreds.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, those caveats also include restrictions, right that on both

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<v Speaker 2>sides of this negotiation, there is agreement that the Chinese

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<v Speaker 2>officials that we're hearing from talking about there will not

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<v Speaker 2>be access when it comes to sensitive industries things like that.

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<v Speaker 5>Just break that down, Peter. Yeah, they're concerned.

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<v Speaker 7>They've said this before with the chips and now the

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<v Speaker 7>two hundred chips.

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<v Speaker 5>They're concerned.

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<v Speaker 7>They don't want invidious chips going into sensitive areas like

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<v Speaker 7>the military, like state on enterprises or government agencies for

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<v Speaker 7>that case. So the market's going to be narrower than

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<v Speaker 7>what it would be otherwise. But in Vidia used to again,

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<v Speaker 7>used to sell a lot of chips into this market,

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<v Speaker 7>used to be very very important. Jensen Wong has talked

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<v Speaker 7>about how important it is, and they know that there's

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<v Speaker 7>demand there for these chips, so he'd like to get

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<v Speaker 7>back in. And I think this is not the Age

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<v Speaker 7>two hundreds are not the end of the game here.

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<v Speaker 7>We know that some people in the Trump administration included

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<v Speaker 7>David Sachs have advocated for selling even more in video

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<v Speaker 7>chips into China, and so we think that if this

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<v Speaker 7>is going to move ahead, it's more symbolic of what

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<v Speaker 7>the broader potential is in China for in video if

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<v Speaker 7>they can make this happen.

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<v Speaker 2>Bobergs, Peter Elstrom, thank you very much. Let's get more

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<v Speaker 2>on that story. Joanne Feenie, partner and portfolio manager and

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<v Speaker 2>Advisors Capital Management, long time.

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<v Speaker 5>Coverage of the chip industry.

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<v Speaker 2>Now on the buy side of the table, Joe, and

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<v Speaker 2>you yourself owned some Nvidia. I feel like we've discussed

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<v Speaker 2>different shades of this story many times over on this

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<v Speaker 2>program with you. But at this point, at this juncture,

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<v Speaker 2>and based on the reporting that Peter just gave us,

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<v Speaker 2>do you start to model in some upside for Nvidia

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<v Speaker 2>in the China market and thus think about your positioning

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<v Speaker 2>on that stock.

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<v Speaker 8>Yeah, clearly it's a good sign, right, and it's been

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<v Speaker 8>long and coming, but you know, the size of the

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<v Speaker 8>market opportunity is still hard to define. You know, clearly

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<v Speaker 8>China wants to encourage its own semiconductor industry to catch

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<v Speaker 8>up to some degree to in Vidia.

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<v Speaker 9>But you know, it's a good sign. It's incrementally positive.

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<v Speaker 8>We're not really going to model it in at this

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<v Speaker 8>point because it's hard to know how large it could be. Nevertheless,

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<v Speaker 8>a positive sign opening up that market, and also just

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<v Speaker 8>to you know, continue to make sure, as Jensen Wang

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<v Speaker 8>has put it, that AI applications are built on the

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<v Speaker 8>US technology stat primarily, and because we have the leading

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<v Speaker 8>ships that's appropriate.

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<v Speaker 2>As Jensen one has put it, it's a fifty billion

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<v Speaker 2>dollars per year market opportunity if they can go back

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<v Speaker 2>to China, which is currently a net zero assumption. That

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<v Speaker 2>last bit you said, I really want the joe An

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<v Speaker 2>Foinie take on this. In the White House, the consideration

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<v Speaker 2>was if we don't sell any technology deprecated or otherwise

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<v Speaker 2>into China, then there will be a vacuum which the

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<v Speaker 2>Chinese domestic players will occupy. But there is still this

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<v Speaker 2>national security and competition standpoint. Where do you stand on that?

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<v Speaker 8>Yeah, I'm not a military expert, ed, so I'm going

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<v Speaker 8>to refrain from from talking really about how this could

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<v Speaker 8>change the military, you.

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<v Speaker 9>Know, competitive situation.

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<v Speaker 8>You know, if we don't sell these chips, if Nvidia

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<v Speaker 8>doesn't get to tell these sell these ships, China will

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<v Speaker 8>develop them and they've worked around the you know, less

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<v Speaker 8>capability of their own chips by redesigning you know, inside

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<v Speaker 8>the rats to try to save energy, to try to.

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<v Speaker 9>Boost through put it. And they'll continue to do that,

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<v Speaker 9>and they'll do that in AI applications.

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<v Speaker 8>They are going to do that in military applications, whether

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<v Speaker 8>or not they can use those Nvidia chips there. So,

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<v Speaker 8>you know, I think that the opportunity for US to

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<v Speaker 8>have more sort of input and potential control over the

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<v Speaker 8>future of this AI technology is really a worthwhile goal.

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<v Speaker 3>The administration looking at h two hundreds, the administration probably

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<v Speaker 3>looking at the share fall of Intel today, Joanne, take

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<v Speaker 3>us to your thoughts on the manufacturing well, lackluster performance

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<v Speaker 3>thus far from the company, it seems.

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<v Speaker 9>Yeah, I mean until Caroline has certainly had its problems.

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<v Speaker 8>I mean they went down what is retrospect, the wrong

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<v Speaker 8>path in terms of the process technology. And now they've

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<v Speaker 8>been trying to fix that since Pat Gelsinger was put

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<v Speaker 8>in charge and now with Liptu Bhutan, and clearly we're

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<v Speaker 8>seeing that it's more challenging than perhaps investors recognize.

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<v Speaker 9>And I think investors really got ahead of the story.

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<v Speaker 8>You know, they saw the US government come in and

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<v Speaker 8>take a stake and they felt like, you know, that

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<v Speaker 8>put a floor on the stock price to so degree.

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<v Speaker 8>But you know, Intel is in a situation with you know,

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<v Speaker 8>two things coming out on that report. One, they're gross margins.

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<v Speaker 8>You know, you know they beat a little bit, but

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<v Speaker 8>they beat. It's thirty seven point nine percent. I mean, Intel,

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<v Speaker 8>right should have gross margins above sixty percent, given that

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<v Speaker 8>they're one of two suppliers in the PC business.

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<v Speaker 5>Well, Joe, let me.

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<v Speaker 2>Just say whether they should or not, Whether they should

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<v Speaker 2>or not. Historically they had margins of sixty percent, just

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<v Speaker 2>to jump in on that point.

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<v Speaker 8>That's a very good clarification, at very good point. Should

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<v Speaker 8>in terms of market structure. But now you know they're

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<v Speaker 8>trying to play in the AI market and they're well

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<v Speaker 8>behind and now in videos the leaders, So you know,

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<v Speaker 8>look at invideos margins clearly right for competition to.

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<v Speaker 9>Come in there.

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<v Speaker 8>But you know, with their outlook showing that they've sold

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<v Speaker 8>out of their server CPUs, they're going to have a

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<v Speaker 8>weak quarter this quarter. The yields are lower than they

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<v Speaker 8>would like, and it just you know, people look at

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<v Speaker 8>that gross margin and they see it as a really

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<v Speaker 8>important signal of how much progress they're making in a

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<v Speaker 8>complex manufacturing process. And clearly they're not making as much

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<v Speaker 8>progress as investors will like and as the company would like.

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<v Speaker 8>And so I think it's a particularly risky bed. We

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<v Speaker 8>have not owned Intel for clients. We think that the

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<v Speaker 8>opportunity cost is just too high. You can own a Broadcom,

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<v Speaker 8>which we've owned for you know, eleven years for clients.

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<v Speaker 8>You can own Nvidia, which we've owned for clients since

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<v Speaker 8>twenty twenty two. These are clearly market leaders, and they've

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<v Speaker 8>ironed out the design challenges and through their partners to

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<v Speaker 8>like TSMC, the manufacturing challenges, and so they're delivering. And

0:11:32.600 --> 0:11:34.680
<v Speaker 8>Intel faces now are chicken and an egg problem on

0:11:34.679 --> 0:11:36.240
<v Speaker 8>the fourteen A process.

0:11:36.600 --> 0:11:39.959
<v Speaker 3>Go there on the foundry side there for Joanne, because

0:11:40.320 --> 0:11:43.600
<v Speaker 3>the signals that maybe well, that side of the equation

0:11:43.720 --> 0:11:45.920
<v Speaker 3>still needs more than just the government buying in to

0:11:45.920 --> 0:11:48.560
<v Speaker 3>think that they're going to solidify any partners here and

0:11:48.760 --> 0:11:50.720
<v Speaker 3>building and manufacturing for them.

0:11:51.080 --> 0:11:51.280
<v Speaker 10>Yeah.

0:11:51.480 --> 0:11:53.240
<v Speaker 9>Intel's tried to enter the foundery world.

0:11:53.320 --> 0:11:56.000
<v Speaker 8>We've talked in the past about you know how challenging

0:11:56.000 --> 0:11:57.960
<v Speaker 8>that is to move from producing your own ships to

0:11:58.000 --> 0:12:01.120
<v Speaker 8>move to producing others. The design libraries and all that,

0:12:01.160 --> 0:12:04.679
<v Speaker 8>but they fundamentally need the manufacturing process. And the problem

0:12:04.679 --> 0:12:06.839
<v Speaker 8>that they face right now is that, on the one hand,

0:12:06.840 --> 0:12:08.640
<v Speaker 8>they're saying, hey, we don't want to invest the cap

0:12:08.920 --> 0:12:11.440
<v Speaker 8>x to build up this capacity until we have customers

0:12:11.440 --> 0:12:14.000
<v Speaker 8>locked in. But customers aren't going to lock in unless

0:12:14.000 --> 0:12:16.440
<v Speaker 8>they know they have a manufacturing process that works and

0:12:16.520 --> 0:12:18.880
<v Speaker 8>that can deliver. Because you know, you're designing a product,

0:12:19.000 --> 0:12:22.320
<v Speaker 8>you're designing it years out, and you have to know

0:12:22.400 --> 0:12:24.560
<v Speaker 8>the supply will be there if you commit to a

0:12:24.559 --> 0:12:25.880
<v Speaker 8>certain manufacturing partner.

0:12:26.200 --> 0:12:27.840
<v Speaker 9>So it's a real chick out an egg problem.

0:12:27.920 --> 0:12:31.959
<v Speaker 8>They might have to bet on, you know, on making

0:12:32.040 --> 0:12:35.240
<v Speaker 8>it happen and being able to deliver the customers by

0:12:35.280 --> 0:12:37.679
<v Speaker 8>getting that process up and running and showing that they

0:12:37.679 --> 0:12:40.760
<v Speaker 8>can get yield up in volume even in advance of

0:12:40.840 --> 0:12:42.239
<v Speaker 8>locking down some customers.

0:12:42.640 --> 0:12:45.280
<v Speaker 9>So you know, it's almost a bet the company kind

0:12:45.320 --> 0:12:45.720
<v Speaker 9>of problem.

0:12:45.760 --> 0:12:48.840
<v Speaker 8>And that's why again, as an investor, we're not enthusiastic

0:12:48.840 --> 0:12:49.400
<v Speaker 8>about Intel.

0:12:49.480 --> 0:12:50.800
<v Speaker 9>The risk is simply too high.

0:12:50.800 --> 0:12:54.200
<v Speaker 8>We don't find the current valuation compelling given that risk.

0:12:54.280 --> 0:12:56.520
<v Speaker 8>We think there are better places to be and so

0:12:56.559 --> 0:12:57.360
<v Speaker 8>we're gonna We're.

0:12:57.200 --> 0:13:00.880
<v Speaker 9>Gonna stick with with where we are. For example, and

0:13:01.000 --> 0:13:01.319
<v Speaker 9>am D.

0:13:01.440 --> 0:13:04.880
<v Speaker 8>By the way, that recent result pretty clearly indicated that

0:13:04.960 --> 0:13:08.640
<v Speaker 8>am D is continuing to gain share against Intel, likely

0:13:08.679 --> 0:13:12.240
<v Speaker 8>both in server CPU and in PCCPU.

0:13:12.600 --> 0:13:15.920
<v Speaker 3>Joanne Feeni with all the context Advisors Capital Management, thank

0:13:15.960 --> 0:13:16.480
<v Speaker 3>you so much.

0:13:16.480 --> 0:13:19.160
<v Speaker 6>Happy weekend. Now coming up, Tesla's.

0:13:18.800 --> 0:13:22.959
<v Speaker 3>Robotaxi gets closer to fully autonomous reality is some vehicles

0:13:23.040 --> 0:13:25.920
<v Speaker 3>in Austin feature no human safety monitors in the car.

0:13:26.320 --> 0:13:29.400
<v Speaker 3>While on that next as a Roomberg technology roombog tech,

0:13:37.880 --> 0:13:40.720
<v Speaker 3>so Tesla has begun offering robotaxi rides in a limited

0:13:40.800 --> 0:13:43.600
<v Speaker 3>number of vehicles in Austin with no human safety driver

0:13:43.640 --> 0:13:44.320
<v Speaker 3>behind the wheel.

0:13:44.600 --> 0:13:47.080
<v Speaker 6>In a post on x CEO in a Musk when even.

0:13:47.000 --> 0:13:50.320
<v Speaker 3>Further suggesting that cracking real world self driving technology could

0:13:50.400 --> 0:13:54.800
<v Speaker 3>ultimately lead to artificial general intelligence, Thomas really unpack what

0:13:54.840 --> 0:13:57.559
<v Speaker 3>this moment means for the future of autonomous technology. We're

0:13:57.600 --> 0:14:00.880
<v Speaker 3>joined by Regina Klulo, Managing director of Populace.

0:14:00.920 --> 0:14:02.319
<v Speaker 6>Regina brings more.

0:14:02.160 --> 0:14:04.720
<v Speaker 3>Than a decade of hands on experience and transportation and mobility.

0:14:04.760 --> 0:14:07.080
<v Speaker 3>Look your hold on PhD in transportation and energy systems.

0:14:07.320 --> 0:14:09.400
<v Speaker 6>My team, we should listen to you. Is this a

0:14:09.400 --> 0:14:09.840
<v Speaker 6>big feat?

0:14:11.480 --> 0:14:16.400
<v Speaker 10>This is definitely a significant development it's another major player

0:14:16.480 --> 0:14:19.840
<v Speaker 10>in the autonomous vehicle space, and it shows more confidence

0:14:19.840 --> 0:14:24.280
<v Speaker 10>in the technology, but it's still pretty limited and it's

0:14:24.320 --> 0:14:25.640
<v Speaker 10>definitely an experiment.

0:14:26.080 --> 0:14:28.000
<v Speaker 5>It's an experiment, Regina. I'm just going to jump in.

0:14:29.240 --> 0:14:31.960
<v Speaker 2>People on the Tesla side of the camp say, this

0:14:32.040 --> 0:14:34.680
<v Speaker 2>is a notable moment because it's a first for a

0:14:34.800 --> 0:14:38.200
<v Speaker 2>vision only based platform to be on public roads, not

0:14:38.280 --> 0:14:40.400
<v Speaker 2>just with no one in the driver's seat, but no

0:14:40.560 --> 0:14:44.400
<v Speaker 2>supervising attendant in the passenger seat either. People would also

0:14:44.480 --> 0:14:47.520
<v Speaker 2>note that there were other restrictions on social media. For example,

0:14:48.000 --> 0:14:51.080
<v Speaker 2>there were support vehicles from Tesla. It is alleged and

0:14:51.120 --> 0:14:54.760
<v Speaker 2>claimed that said the vision only part, the distinction that

0:14:54.800 --> 0:14:58.280
<v Speaker 2>Tesla's system relies only on cameras, whireas Weimo has a

0:14:58.360 --> 0:15:03.720
<v Speaker 2>multi sensor suite. Interpretation of why that's significant, well, I.

0:15:03.640 --> 0:15:06.760
<v Speaker 10>Think there are a couple of companies, including Zookes and Tesla,

0:15:06.920 --> 0:15:10.600
<v Speaker 10>that are really designing vehicles that are intended to be

0:15:11.880 --> 0:15:15.760
<v Speaker 10>purpose built for autonomous driving and for autonomous right hailing.

0:15:16.000 --> 0:15:19.480
<v Speaker 10>So it is the significant development, and I think at

0:15:19.520 --> 0:15:21.560
<v Speaker 10>the end of the day, what's great is that there

0:15:21.560 --> 0:15:25.360
<v Speaker 10>are multiple players that are entering the market, which ultimately

0:15:25.400 --> 0:15:27.440
<v Speaker 10>for cities is a good thing because it makes the

0:15:27.480 --> 0:15:30.000
<v Speaker 10>regulatory landscape easier for them to manage.

0:15:31.000 --> 0:15:35.680
<v Speaker 3>Regulatory landscape has not held back other competitors to this point.

0:15:35.760 --> 0:15:39.000
<v Speaker 3>And when you think about a few a handful of

0:15:39.080 --> 0:15:41.040
<v Speaker 3>Tesla's on the road and you compare that to a

0:15:41.080 --> 0:15:44.920
<v Speaker 3>million rides or having per month already using weimo, and

0:15:44.920 --> 0:15:47.800
<v Speaker 3>they're aiming it for a million per week, how much

0:15:47.800 --> 0:15:50.720
<v Speaker 3>are we able to really say that Tessa's winning here

0:15:50.800 --> 0:15:51.000
<v Speaker 3>or not.

0:15:53.200 --> 0:15:56.640
<v Speaker 10>I think it's still very early days, but the landscape

0:15:56.720 --> 0:15:59.840
<v Speaker 10>is moving much more quickly, especially over the last three years.

0:16:00.080 --> 0:16:02.680
<v Speaker 10>You see these new players entering the market with commercial

0:16:02.760 --> 0:16:06.360
<v Speaker 10>right hailing services, But I don't think that you know,

0:16:06.440 --> 0:16:09.600
<v Speaker 10>it's clear that there's any one winner at this point

0:16:09.600 --> 0:16:13.240
<v Speaker 10>in time. Although weimo is significantly ahead at the moment

0:16:13.280 --> 0:16:15.920
<v Speaker 10>in terms of commercial right hailing, as you mentioned, they're

0:16:16.520 --> 0:16:19.560
<v Speaker 10>estimating to reach a million rights per week by the

0:16:19.640 --> 0:16:23.280
<v Speaker 10>end of the year, but it's still anyone's market to win,

0:16:23.880 --> 0:16:25.640
<v Speaker 10>and it's exciting to see more players enter it.

0:16:26.480 --> 0:16:26.680
<v Speaker 5>Yeah.

0:16:26.720 --> 0:16:29.880
<v Speaker 2>In simple terms, people define Weimo being ahead by the

0:16:29.960 --> 0:16:33.280
<v Speaker 2>number of cities it's deployed in without any human supervision

0:16:33.320 --> 0:16:36.440
<v Speaker 2>in the car and charging affair to passengers. I'd love

0:16:36.480 --> 0:16:38.120
<v Speaker 2>to talk about the human side of this though, right

0:16:38.160 --> 0:16:40.880
<v Speaker 2>in your research at a number of academic institutions over

0:16:40.920 --> 0:16:43.240
<v Speaker 2>the years, do we have the evidence yet that the

0:16:43.320 --> 0:16:47.880
<v Speaker 2>general population feels ready to jump in a robo taxis

0:16:47.920 --> 0:16:49.720
<v Speaker 2>their sort of chosen method of transfer.

0:16:51.280 --> 0:16:52.000
<v Speaker 5>I think that.

0:16:52.440 --> 0:16:55.560
<v Speaker 10>In San Francisco there's a lot of data to suggest

0:16:55.680 --> 0:17:02.040
<v Speaker 10>that consumers do really feel comfortable utilizing Weimo and sort

0:17:02.080 --> 0:17:05.040
<v Speaker 10>of segments of customers preferring Weimo and even being willing

0:17:05.040 --> 0:17:08.639
<v Speaker 10>to pay more for that vehicle over let's say an

0:17:08.680 --> 0:17:12.920
<v Speaker 10>Uber or Lyft. So I think that people are becoming

0:17:13.400 --> 0:17:16.960
<v Speaker 10>very comfortable, very quickly with these vehicles, and we'll just

0:17:17.000 --> 0:17:19.440
<v Speaker 10>continue to see that happen Regina.

0:17:19.480 --> 0:17:21.919
<v Speaker 6>What's interesting is the global context.

0:17:21.520 --> 0:17:24.800
<v Speaker 3>Because we saw actually shares of Uber and Lyft get

0:17:24.880 --> 0:17:29.280
<v Speaker 3>hit by this announcement of Elo Musk, and in many

0:17:29.320 --> 0:17:32.640
<v Speaker 3>ways they're already out there, not only partnering in Austin

0:17:32.760 --> 0:17:35.240
<v Speaker 3>with Weimo like Uber, but they're also in China and

0:17:35.280 --> 0:17:38.960
<v Speaker 3>we're seeing Beijing people hopping in those cars pretty actively.

0:17:39.000 --> 0:17:40.879
<v Speaker 3>We're also seeing it in the Middle East as well,

0:17:41.000 --> 0:17:44.400
<v Speaker 3>with we Ride and Uber out there trying things. How

0:17:44.400 --> 0:17:47.120
<v Speaker 3>are you seeing globally the readiness of the consumer.

0:17:48.720 --> 0:17:51.680
<v Speaker 10>I think that a lot of the global readiness is

0:17:52.240 --> 0:17:56.960
<v Speaker 10>pretty accepting. We have a lot of other countries out

0:17:56.960 --> 0:18:01.040
<v Speaker 10>there that we'll be willing to allow more vehicles and

0:18:01.240 --> 0:18:06.560
<v Speaker 10>more operators to experiment, and then putting those vehicles out

0:18:06.560 --> 0:18:11.040
<v Speaker 10>there for consumers to begin adopting allows them to move

0:18:11.040 --> 0:18:13.880
<v Speaker 10>forward more quickly. So I think that, you know, at

0:18:13.880 --> 0:18:17.160
<v Speaker 10>a global level, we're going to continue to see an

0:18:17.200 --> 0:18:20.320
<v Speaker 10>acceleration of the adoption of those vehicles.

0:18:20.320 --> 0:18:22.680
<v Speaker 2>Regina Klulo of Populous, Great to have you on the show,

0:18:22.720 --> 0:18:31.280
<v Speaker 2>Thank you very much. Okay, So Apple's basically flat in

0:18:31.359 --> 0:18:33.720
<v Speaker 2>the session, but actually it had a pretty rough start

0:18:33.800 --> 0:18:36.280
<v Speaker 2>to the week. And believe it or not, this is

0:18:36.280 --> 0:18:40.160
<v Speaker 2>a stock that's on track for its eighth straight weekly decline,

0:18:40.200 --> 0:18:43.640
<v Speaker 2>the worst run of weekly declines going back to May

0:18:44.080 --> 0:18:45.240
<v Speaker 2>of twenty twenty two.

0:18:45.400 --> 0:18:46.960
<v Speaker 5>There is a lot in the news.

0:18:46.720 --> 0:18:49.720
<v Speaker 2>Cycle with Apple, and a lot of it comes from Bloomberg.

0:18:49.760 --> 0:18:52.560
<v Speaker 2>The company's hardware chief, John Turnas, has added one of

0:18:52.560 --> 0:18:57.000
<v Speaker 2>the iPhone maker's most critical functions and prestigious responsibilities to

0:18:57.040 --> 0:19:00.520
<v Speaker 2>his role overseeing the design teams. It's a new sign

0:19:01.000 --> 0:19:04.440
<v Speaker 2>that Turnus is a leading contender to take over for

0:19:04.560 --> 0:19:07.440
<v Speaker 2>CEO Tim Cook one day all according to our sources

0:19:07.480 --> 0:19:09.959
<v Speaker 2>and the guy that broke the story, plumost Mark German

0:19:10.080 --> 0:19:13.239
<v Speaker 2>is here introduce us to mister Turners. What does your

0:19:13.240 --> 0:19:16.720
<v Speaker 2>reporting tell us about his new workload? And also that

0:19:17.200 --> 0:19:18.960
<v Speaker 2>signal that he's climbing the ranks here.

0:19:20.240 --> 0:19:23.800
<v Speaker 11>John Turnis has been Apple's Senior VP of Hardware Engineering

0:19:23.840 --> 0:19:27.080
<v Speaker 11>since twenty twenty one. That means he runs all hardware

0:19:27.119 --> 0:19:30.359
<v Speaker 11>development for essentially every Apple products. He's in charge of

0:19:30.359 --> 0:19:33.040
<v Speaker 11>the iPhone, charge of the iPad, and charge of the Mac,

0:19:33.160 --> 0:19:35.359
<v Speaker 11>now in charge of the Apple Watch, and he's been

0:19:35.400 --> 0:19:38.479
<v Speaker 11>elevated to expand his role this year a couple times,

0:19:38.520 --> 0:19:41.280
<v Speaker 11>taking like I said, full oversight of the Apple Watch,

0:19:41.320 --> 0:19:45.080
<v Speaker 11>but also taking charge of Apple's AI robotics teams. Now

0:19:45.280 --> 0:19:48.520
<v Speaker 11>very recently, Tim Cook put them in charge of overseeing

0:19:48.560 --> 0:19:51.399
<v Speaker 11>Apple's design teams for both hardware and software. And no

0:19:51.560 --> 0:19:54.159
<v Speaker 11>design is the look and feel of the products, what

0:19:54.200 --> 0:19:56.840
<v Speaker 11>the interface looks like, what the icons look like, how

0:19:56.880 --> 0:20:00.399
<v Speaker 11>the software works. Industrial design are things like the shapes

0:20:00.440 --> 0:20:02.840
<v Speaker 11>of the devices, the colors, the weight in the field

0:20:03.200 --> 0:20:06.280
<v Speaker 11>goes well beyond the engineering of making everything work. And

0:20:06.320 --> 0:20:08.960
<v Speaker 11>like you said, design is one of the most critical

0:20:08.960 --> 0:20:12.359
<v Speaker 11>and prestigious functions at Apple. It's really only been run

0:20:12.400 --> 0:20:16.439
<v Speaker 11>by the most senior executives in the company's history, people

0:20:16.520 --> 0:20:20.520
<v Speaker 11>like Johnny Ive, Steve Jobs himself, Tim Cook himself, and

0:20:20.640 --> 0:20:23.760
<v Speaker 11>the COO Jeff Williams, who retired a few months ago.

0:20:24.200 --> 0:20:27.359
<v Speaker 11>Now John Turnis adds to that list, and it's yet

0:20:27.400 --> 0:20:30.720
<v Speaker 11>another strong indicator that he's being groomed for a larger

0:20:30.800 --> 0:20:33.680
<v Speaker 11>role and is at the very top of the short

0:20:33.720 --> 0:20:36.600
<v Speaker 11>list of front runners the potential Tim Cook's successors at

0:20:36.600 --> 0:20:39.840
<v Speaker 11>one point when Cook ultimately does decide to retire.

0:20:39.880 --> 0:20:42.760
<v Speaker 3>Mark What's interesting is how subtly this was done. And

0:20:42.800 --> 0:20:45.359
<v Speaker 3>I'm sure that's because they don't want to aggravate too

0:20:45.440 --> 0:20:47.359
<v Speaker 3>much the investor base, but also those also in the

0:20:47.440 --> 0:20:50.879
<v Speaker 3>running talk about who else we could see being lined

0:20:50.960 --> 0:20:51.640
<v Speaker 3>up in some way.

0:20:52.680 --> 0:20:56.640
<v Speaker 11>This is a very strange setup Organizationally, the design teams

0:20:56.840 --> 0:21:00.159
<v Speaker 11>are overseen by Turnis, but on paper they report to

0:21:00.359 --> 0:21:03.880
<v Speaker 11>CEO Tim Cook. Various reasons why you want to do that.

0:21:04.480 --> 0:21:07.400
<v Speaker 11>Apple previously announced that Cook would be running the design team,

0:21:07.480 --> 0:21:08.800
<v Speaker 11>so you don't want to take that away from him

0:21:08.800 --> 0:21:12.119
<v Speaker 11>publicly and undermine the CEO. You don't want to get

0:21:12.119 --> 0:21:14.639
<v Speaker 11>into a debate about who's better suited to run design,

0:21:14.760 --> 0:21:17.800
<v Speaker 11>whether that's an engineer or an operations person like Cook.

0:21:18.520 --> 0:21:21.640
<v Speaker 11>In terms of other CEO candidates, or really only one

0:21:21.680 --> 0:21:25.440
<v Speaker 11>other at this point, that's Sabby Khan, the chief operating officer.

0:21:26.000 --> 0:21:29.520
<v Speaker 11>Other publications have thrown out names like Eddie Q, Greg Joswiak,

0:21:29.600 --> 0:21:33.480
<v Speaker 11>Greg Federigi, Girdre Brian. Nothing I've heard points to any

0:21:33.520 --> 0:21:36.600
<v Speaker 11>of them being CEO other than maybe in an emergency

0:21:36.640 --> 0:21:40.040
<v Speaker 11>like scenario, it's really Turnus or the new COO, Sabby

0:21:40.080 --> 0:21:41.320
<v Speaker 11>con Mark.

0:21:41.359 --> 0:21:43.919
<v Speaker 2>We have ten seconds. What's the one product that Turnus

0:21:44.000 --> 0:21:45.440
<v Speaker 2>is going to be zeroed in on this year?

0:21:47.160 --> 0:21:50.760
<v Speaker 11>This year, it's got to be the foldable iPhone. This

0:21:50.840 --> 0:21:52.959
<v Speaker 11>is going to be a potential growth driver for company

0:21:52.960 --> 0:21:55.520
<v Speaker 11>revenue and we'll see him front and center for that

0:21:55.560 --> 0:21:56.200
<v Speaker 11>in September.

0:21:56.840 --> 0:21:59.280
<v Speaker 6>Max mon Gumman with all escapes. You so appreciate it.

0:22:04.440 --> 0:22:05.520
<v Speaker 6>Welcome back to Blue meg Tech.

0:22:05.600 --> 0:22:07.240
<v Speaker 3>Let's check in on these markets because we end the

0:22:07.240 --> 0:22:09.480
<v Speaker 3>week on a high, but it's been a turbulant four

0:22:09.600 --> 0:22:12.760
<v Speaker 3>days of trading, shortened week given the holiday on Monday,

0:22:12.760 --> 0:22:14.520
<v Speaker 3>We're up five ten percent on the day on the Nasdaq.

0:22:14.560 --> 0:22:19.000
<v Speaker 3>One hundred is you'll see more focus maybe post Davos

0:22:19.440 --> 0:22:21.919
<v Speaker 3>on the future of AI and of technology. Bitcoin is

0:22:22.040 --> 0:22:23.960
<v Speaker 3>up three tens percent, but look, it's still been hammered

0:22:23.960 --> 0:22:27.320
<v Speaker 3>a little bit. We're sub ninety thousand dollars overall. I'm

0:22:27.320 --> 0:22:29.480
<v Speaker 3>looking at some individual names and looking only one. Really

0:22:29.520 --> 0:22:32.040
<v Speaker 3>do you want to be taking real attention to in

0:22:32.119 --> 0:22:35.000
<v Speaker 3>terms of points and in terms of the absolute.

0:22:34.520 --> 0:22:37.399
<v Speaker 6>Move, it's Intel. We're off by fifteen percent.

0:22:37.840 --> 0:22:41.520
<v Speaker 3>Look, the context is it's up prior to today fifty

0:22:41.520 --> 0:22:44.280
<v Speaker 3>percent on the month, on the year, and it had

0:22:44.280 --> 0:22:47.680
<v Speaker 3>a rapid run up. But the manufacturing issues, the issues

0:22:47.680 --> 0:22:50.280
<v Speaker 3>with basically yield on some of their chips and not

0:22:50.359 --> 0:22:52.679
<v Speaker 3>managing to make the most of demand for aipcs, and

0:22:52.760 --> 0:22:54.760
<v Speaker 3>indeed in CPUs.

0:22:54.640 --> 0:22:57.760
<v Speaker 6>That's a letdown trying to investibate that investor base.

0:22:59.680 --> 0:23:01.119
<v Speaker 5>Okay, some deal news.

0:23:01.160 --> 0:23:04.760
<v Speaker 2>Capital One has agreed to purchase fintech startup Brex for

0:23:04.880 --> 0:23:07.200
<v Speaker 2>five point one five billion dollars in a fifty to

0:23:07.240 --> 0:23:10.560
<v Speaker 2>fifty cash and stock deal. It's the largest acquisition for

0:23:10.600 --> 0:23:13.800
<v Speaker 2>the bank since its purchase of Discover, which closed in

0:23:13.840 --> 0:23:16.960
<v Speaker 2>May of last year. Here to discuss is Pedro Francesci

0:23:17.400 --> 0:23:18.240
<v Speaker 2>Rex CEO.

0:23:18.520 --> 0:23:19.720
<v Speaker 5>Pedro Let's get into it.

0:23:19.760 --> 0:23:23.840
<v Speaker 2>I mean, the obvious question to many last night was

0:23:24.119 --> 0:23:27.760
<v Speaker 2>the timing. But five point one five billion dollars is

0:23:27.800 --> 0:23:31.200
<v Speaker 2>a pretty steep discount to the valuation you raise money

0:23:31.240 --> 0:23:33.720
<v Speaker 2>at in twenty twenty two, which was twelve billion dollars.

0:23:34.119 --> 0:23:37.080
<v Speaker 2>What do you think that signals the timing and also

0:23:37.160 --> 0:23:39.080
<v Speaker 2>the value you agreed?

0:23:40.320 --> 0:23:43.440
<v Speaker 12>Yeah, thanks for having you. We're really excited about this news.

0:23:43.520 --> 0:23:47.119
<v Speaker 12>And you know, this is a really special combination. First,

0:23:47.560 --> 0:23:51.760
<v Speaker 12>it's as you mentioned, it's the largest bank fintech deal

0:23:51.840 --> 0:23:55.720
<v Speaker 12>in history. And really the way we thought about this

0:23:56.040 --> 0:23:59.360
<v Speaker 12>is really this unique one plus one equals three scenario.

0:23:59.840 --> 0:24:04.119
<v Speaker 12>So of course at brex we build you know, corporate cards,

0:24:04.200 --> 0:24:07.720
<v Speaker 12>expense management, banking products, bringing financial services and software together.

0:24:08.240 --> 0:24:12.240
<v Speaker 12>And then Capital One is really the original fintech. They

0:24:12.359 --> 0:24:16.280
<v Speaker 12>brought technology and data together for the first time and

0:24:16.400 --> 0:24:17.720
<v Speaker 12>have been a huge source.

0:24:17.480 --> 0:24:18.560
<v Speaker 5>Of inspiration for us.

0:24:18.640 --> 0:24:21.159
<v Speaker 12>And as we saw as we started to think more

0:24:21.200 --> 0:24:24.800
<v Speaker 12>about this together, we really saw this very unique combination

0:24:24.880 --> 0:24:28.760
<v Speaker 12>of bringing rexist technology, product and platform with Capital One

0:24:28.880 --> 0:24:34.120
<v Speaker 12>scale brand distribution and balance sheet and materially accelerate our

0:24:34.200 --> 0:24:36.879
<v Speaker 12>go to market and our product development to a level

0:24:37.040 --> 0:24:40.439
<v Speaker 12>that would be you know, amashed to a standalone private

0:24:40.440 --> 0:24:43.159
<v Speaker 12>company or even a public company for that matter. So

0:24:43.200 --> 0:24:45.520
<v Speaker 12>we saw this a massive opportunity to build it together,

0:24:46.600 --> 0:24:47.639
<v Speaker 12>opportunity to build.

0:24:47.840 --> 0:24:51.840
<v Speaker 2>But why was Capital One able to pay a more

0:24:51.440 --> 0:24:54.920
<v Speaker 2>than fifty percent discount on your last private valuation.

0:24:56.000 --> 0:24:58.480
<v Speaker 12>Yeah, So when we look into all the public market

0:24:58.480 --> 0:25:02.200
<v Speaker 12>comps that that in the fintech space, they're mostly trading

0:25:02.280 --> 0:25:06.600
<v Speaker 12>between eight, nine, ten, maybe eleven times, this acquisition is

0:25:06.600 --> 0:25:09.439
<v Speaker 12>at a thirteen times multiple. So it's a huge premium

0:25:09.520 --> 0:25:12.240
<v Speaker 12>to where all public market comps are today. And the reason,

0:25:12.280 --> 0:25:15.280
<v Speaker 12>of course Capital One believes in this is because there

0:25:15.400 --> 0:25:19.600
<v Speaker 12>is a massive growth opportunity. We really believe that we're

0:25:19.640 --> 0:25:23.000
<v Speaker 12>here to build really the most important financial platform for

0:25:23.040 --> 0:25:26.120
<v Speaker 12>businesses in the US. And you know, it's a very

0:25:26.160 --> 0:25:29.080
<v Speaker 12>you know, two founder led companies coming in together. And

0:25:29.560 --> 0:25:31.680
<v Speaker 12>the reason they're so excited and we're so excited about

0:25:31.680 --> 0:25:34.800
<v Speaker 12>this is because of the obvious webside path that we

0:25:34.880 --> 0:25:35.520
<v Speaker 12>have from here.

0:25:35.760 --> 0:25:40.879
<v Speaker 3>But Pedro, it's not an upside to that previous valuation.

0:25:41.000 --> 0:25:43.800
<v Speaker 3>And I hear you on the premium compared to where

0:25:43.840 --> 0:25:46.320
<v Speaker 3>others trade on the day, But why not just stay

0:25:46.320 --> 0:25:48.760
<v Speaker 3>private for longer? Why not build? Why not return to

0:25:48.760 --> 0:25:50.959
<v Speaker 3>a twelve billion dollar valuation in the private markets.

0:25:51.800 --> 0:25:52.040
<v Speaker 5>Yeah.

0:25:52.080 --> 0:25:53.960
<v Speaker 12>So the thing that we learned is we had we

0:25:54.000 --> 0:25:57.320
<v Speaker 12>did a lot of you know, twenty twenty one valuations.

0:25:56.680 --> 0:26:00.240
<v Speaker 12>We're a very specific point in time and market. And

0:26:00.240 --> 0:26:02.399
<v Speaker 12>one of the things that we believe for PREX is

0:26:02.400 --> 0:26:05.040
<v Speaker 12>that the teams to see reality the best wins. And

0:26:05.200 --> 0:26:08.560
<v Speaker 12>we like to run the company in a way that

0:26:08.680 --> 0:26:12.280
<v Speaker 12>mirrors where everything eventually converts to you, which is public markets.

0:26:12.720 --> 0:26:15.359
<v Speaker 12>And when we look from a public market lens into

0:26:15.440 --> 0:26:18.120
<v Speaker 12>everything that we've done, we made a lot of decisions

0:26:18.160 --> 0:26:20.200
<v Speaker 12>around the way we accelerate to growth over the past

0:26:20.280 --> 0:26:24.440
<v Speaker 12>few years, went after the enterprise became a casual positive company,

0:26:24.720 --> 0:26:28.560
<v Speaker 12>and this combination of factors, may this be a really

0:26:28.680 --> 0:26:32.880
<v Speaker 12>special outcome. And we think that private companies that mirror

0:26:32.960 --> 0:26:36.800
<v Speaker 12>themselves in a point in time valuation eventually forget that

0:26:36.880 --> 0:26:40.160
<v Speaker 12>everything converges to public markets eventually. And when we compare

0:26:40.200 --> 0:26:43.800
<v Speaker 12>the where brexast today with where a lot of peers

0:26:43.800 --> 0:26:47.720
<v Speaker 12>have ipoed and where other companies on a private basis

0:26:47.920 --> 0:26:50.760
<v Speaker 12>have been, we think this is a really exciting and

0:26:50.800 --> 0:26:53.639
<v Speaker 12>different outcome. But the real reason behind it and the

0:26:53.680 --> 0:26:56.280
<v Speaker 12>real reason I'm so excited for this next phase of

0:26:56.280 --> 0:26:59.960
<v Speaker 12>REX is because this is the beginning of us building

0:27:00.080 --> 0:27:03.040
<v Speaker 12>the most, the largest, and I think the most important

0:27:03.080 --> 0:27:06.000
<v Speaker 12>platform for businesses. When you combine the scale, the balance sheet,

0:27:06.000 --> 0:27:09.560
<v Speaker 12>the distribution, and the tech mindset that Capital one has

0:27:09.840 --> 0:27:12.160
<v Speaker 12>with the product and the technology that we have at BREX.

0:27:12.520 --> 0:27:14.359
<v Speaker 12>So really, at the end of the day, it's about

0:27:14.440 --> 0:27:17.000
<v Speaker 12>building something bigger than what we could ever build as

0:27:17.040 --> 0:27:18.040
<v Speaker 12>a standbone company.

0:27:18.520 --> 0:27:21.120
<v Speaker 6>How will it change your trajectory? What will you build?

0:27:21.280 --> 0:27:24.159
<v Speaker 6>Is it AI that gets infused? What more does this

0:27:24.240 --> 0:27:25.120
<v Speaker 6>give you power to do?

0:27:26.040 --> 0:27:28.800
<v Speaker 12>So just giving you two examples, so Capital one has

0:27:28.800 --> 0:27:33.000
<v Speaker 12>a six billion dollar marketing budget. Brex has a fraction

0:27:33.040 --> 0:27:37.119
<v Speaker 12>of data less than one percent of that today. Just

0:27:37.200 --> 0:27:40.959
<v Speaker 12>imagine the distribution and the capability to go in and

0:27:41.119 --> 0:27:44.000
<v Speaker 12>serve the millions of businesses in the US. Capital one

0:27:44.040 --> 0:27:46.760
<v Speaker 12>also serves already millions of businesses today and all these

0:27:46.800 --> 0:27:49.800
<v Speaker 12>businesses will benefit from the BREX product and technology that

0:27:49.960 --> 0:27:52.080
<v Speaker 12>really helps the run their business in a much better way.

0:27:52.520 --> 0:27:53.720
<v Speaker 12>And then when you're looking at the R and D

0:27:53.840 --> 0:27:56.280
<v Speaker 12>side and AI to your point, Capital one has a

0:27:56.320 --> 0:27:59.119
<v Speaker 12>six billion dollar again R and D budget as well,

0:27:59.480 --> 0:28:02.240
<v Speaker 12>and when you combine this with the product roadmap, and

0:28:02.280 --> 0:28:05.080
<v Speaker 12>the vision that we have at brex. We think we're

0:28:05.080 --> 0:28:08.240
<v Speaker 12>going to accelerate this momentum tremendously and continue to build

0:28:08.600 --> 0:28:11.040
<v Speaker 12>in a much seper trajectory than what we're able to

0:28:11.040 --> 0:28:13.320
<v Speaker 12>do now, and the benefit of the end for customers

0:28:13.359 --> 0:28:17.400
<v Speaker 12>will be, you know, a much better product, a much

0:28:17.400 --> 0:28:20.720
<v Speaker 12>more robust, fraildnap and just accelerating air path compared to

0:28:20.720 --> 0:28:22.680
<v Speaker 12>what we could ever do independently.

0:28:23.240 --> 0:28:26.199
<v Speaker 3>Come back as you scale, Pedro Francisci is great to

0:28:26.200 --> 0:28:29.280
<v Speaker 3>have you the brexits, I mean no, let's stick with

0:28:29.359 --> 0:28:32.800
<v Speaker 3>other deal news because nearly a year after an initial

0:28:32.840 --> 0:28:36.120
<v Speaker 3>deadline to sell TikTok Us has been bought by consortium.

0:28:36.400 --> 0:28:39.360
<v Speaker 6>You know, it's led by Oracle On the social.

0:28:39.000 --> 0:28:42.800
<v Speaker 3>Media President Trump thank the Chinese leaders using pin for quote.

0:28:42.680 --> 0:28:43.520
<v Speaker 6>Working with us.

0:28:43.840 --> 0:28:46.640
<v Speaker 3>Let's discuss the details been both Social media reporter Alexandra

0:28:46.760 --> 0:28:49.640
<v Speaker 3>Levigne has been following what has been quite the journey.

0:28:50.160 --> 0:28:53.200
<v Speaker 3>So the players involved talk us through who's going to

0:28:53.240 --> 0:28:55.520
<v Speaker 3>have the ownership and how that ownership changes what us

0:28:55.600 --> 0:28:56.360
<v Speaker 3>TikTok looks like.

0:28:57.080 --> 0:29:00.320
<v Speaker 13>So we know that the folks that are all only

0:29:00.320 --> 0:29:02.360
<v Speaker 13>going to be involved are going to be the three

0:29:02.360 --> 0:29:06.440
<v Speaker 13>managing investors silver Lake, MGX, and Oracle, which already has

0:29:06.480 --> 0:29:09.320
<v Speaker 13>this long standing relationship with TikTok. And then there are

0:29:09.480 --> 0:29:12.440
<v Speaker 13>a combination of other investors that are already that have

0:29:12.520 --> 0:29:16.400
<v Speaker 13>long been long time by Dan's affiliates. I think that

0:29:16.600 --> 0:29:19.640
<v Speaker 13>the most remarkable piece of this is just the fact

0:29:19.680 --> 0:29:23.040
<v Speaker 13>that it's spanned three presidencies more than half a decade.

0:29:23.080 --> 0:29:26.560
<v Speaker 13>It's been almost seven years since olives started and two

0:29:26.600 --> 0:29:28.520
<v Speaker 13>hundred million people, which is more than half a country,

0:29:28.560 --> 0:29:30.840
<v Speaker 13>are now on the platform, and it has grown so

0:29:31.000 --> 0:29:33.400
<v Speaker 13>considerably since all of this has been happening.

0:29:34.880 --> 0:29:37.120
<v Speaker 2>I think it's also important to kind of get to

0:29:37.160 --> 0:29:39.480
<v Speaker 2>know some of the people behind this new entity. They

0:29:39.520 --> 0:29:44.960
<v Speaker 2>have a leader who was a relatively high level executive

0:29:45.040 --> 0:29:47.760
<v Speaker 2>at the larger n seat to tell us about him.

0:29:48.200 --> 0:29:51.840
<v Speaker 13>Yeah, So the new CEO of this new TikTok venture

0:29:52.040 --> 0:29:56.880
<v Speaker 13>is Adam Presser. Adam Presser has been viewed as a

0:29:56.920 --> 0:29:59.720
<v Speaker 13>contender for the top job. He's been viewed as a

0:29:59.840 --> 0:30:03.480
<v Speaker 13>very influential insider for many years. He has an entertainment background,

0:30:03.600 --> 0:30:08.160
<v Speaker 13>not a political background. But he came from WarnerMedia and

0:30:08.360 --> 0:30:12.120
<v Speaker 13>he joined TikTok in twenty twenty two and was since

0:30:12.160 --> 0:30:15.240
<v Speaker 13>then really really close to Show to you reporting directly

0:30:15.360 --> 0:30:18.120
<v Speaker 13>into to Show who has been the CEO. He's taken

0:30:18.240 --> 0:30:21.120
<v Speaker 13>increasing responsibility over the last few years and he's really

0:30:21.160 --> 0:30:24.840
<v Speaker 13>like just below the top of by Dance Global, and

0:30:24.920 --> 0:30:26.800
<v Speaker 13>so this was a very obvious choice. And he has

0:30:26.880 --> 0:30:30.240
<v Speaker 13>also been leading TikTok Us Data Security it's out of

0:30:30.280 --> 0:30:33.280
<v Speaker 13>protection arm that is now basically being adapted into this

0:30:33.360 --> 0:30:36.520
<v Speaker 13>new joint venture, you know, over the last year.

0:30:36.480 --> 0:30:39.840
<v Speaker 2>Or so Bloomberg z Alex slaviine with the reporting, Thank

0:30:39.880 --> 0:30:43.440
<v Speaker 2>you very much. Coming up, the age of unicorns is

0:30:43.520 --> 0:30:47.760
<v Speaker 2>behind us. Is the number of Decca horns and hecticorns grows.

0:30:48.360 --> 0:30:50.840
<v Speaker 2>Peter Singlehurst, so Baby Gifford joins us to talk about

0:30:50.880 --> 0:30:53.200
<v Speaker 2>skyrocketing private valuations.

0:30:53.240 --> 0:30:55.400
<v Speaker 5>That's next. This is Bloomberg tech.

0:31:03.120 --> 0:31:06.959
<v Speaker 3>Companies. They're staying private for longer. Valuations are hitting new highs.

0:31:07.120 --> 0:31:10.400
<v Speaker 3>The appetite to invest in private growth equity is expanding.

0:31:10.640 --> 0:31:13.480
<v Speaker 3>Just think about some of these names, SpaceX, Data, Bricks

0:31:13.520 --> 0:31:17.120
<v Speaker 3>and Real. Peter Singlehurst's head of private companies are Bailey GIFD,

0:31:17.280 --> 0:31:20.400
<v Speaker 3>which is an investor in all three of those really

0:31:20.400 --> 0:31:23.080
<v Speaker 3>hot come you even call them startups anymore? He joins

0:31:23.160 --> 0:31:25.680
<v Speaker 3>us now Peter Bailey GIFFD has been at this a

0:31:25.680 --> 0:31:28.440
<v Speaker 3>long time, since twenty twelve, allocating billions.

0:31:29.640 --> 0:31:31.680
<v Speaker 6>Is this sustainable, this extent.

0:31:31.400 --> 0:31:33.960
<v Speaker 3>That companies are staying private for longer, and will the

0:31:34.040 --> 0:31:35.200
<v Speaker 3>wall of money still come in?

0:31:37.000 --> 0:31:39.600
<v Speaker 14>I think what we've seen is a structural change in

0:31:39.880 --> 0:31:45.120
<v Speaker 14>how companies capitalize themselves. This is driven by some very

0:31:45.480 --> 0:31:49.479
<v Speaker 14>enduring factors such as regulation. Sarbaine's oxously made it more

0:31:49.480 --> 0:31:52.640
<v Speaker 14>difficult to be public, and aspects of the Jobs Acts

0:31:52.720 --> 0:31:55.560
<v Speaker 14>made it easier to stay private. But I think there's

0:31:55.560 --> 0:31:59.800
<v Speaker 14>also been a cultural change amongst companies. I think founders

0:31:59.800 --> 0:32:01.960
<v Speaker 14>today they realize that you can build a better, more

0:32:02.080 --> 0:32:05.800
<v Speaker 14>enduring business by staying private for longer, because you can

0:32:05.840 --> 0:32:09.200
<v Speaker 14>be more focused on the fundamentals of business building. And

0:32:09.280 --> 0:32:13.920
<v Speaker 14>I think that has led to an irreversal change in

0:32:14.160 --> 0:32:17.640
<v Speaker 14>companies staying private for longer, and as a result, we're

0:32:17.640 --> 0:32:21.120
<v Speaker 14>seeing exceptional, world class businesses of real scale in the

0:32:21.120 --> 0:32:22.040
<v Speaker 14>private markets.

0:32:22.280 --> 0:32:24.880
<v Speaker 3>And now twenty twenty six can be quite the unlock.

0:32:25.280 --> 0:32:27.200
<v Speaker 3>We can have a one and a half trillion dollar

0:32:27.320 --> 0:32:30.720
<v Speaker 3>IPO of SpaceX if they live up to their own hype,

0:32:31.080 --> 0:32:33.920
<v Speaker 3>which you're in, we could have Anthropics been talked of

0:32:33.960 --> 0:32:35.880
<v Speaker 3>for twenty twenty six. Even open AI's been talked off

0:32:35.880 --> 0:32:38.520
<v Speaker 3>for twenty twenty six. Vita is twenty twenty six going.

0:32:38.520 --> 0:32:39.080
<v Speaker 6>To be the year?

0:32:39.160 --> 0:32:41.720
<v Speaker 3>And how do you think about some of your holdings

0:32:41.760 --> 0:32:43.320
<v Speaker 3>ahead of that as to whether you want to be

0:32:43.360 --> 0:32:45.240
<v Speaker 3>holding onto them in significant size.

0:32:46.840 --> 0:32:50.240
<v Speaker 14>It is unquestionable that many of these companies are of

0:32:50.360 --> 0:32:55.440
<v Speaker 14>the scale and maturity, solidity, operational robustness to be public businesses,

0:32:55.960 --> 0:32:57.520
<v Speaker 14>and I think the real question is when do they

0:32:57.640 --> 0:33:01.000
<v Speaker 14>choose to enter the public market. I think it's also

0:33:01.000 --> 0:33:02.960
<v Speaker 14>pretty clear that public market investors are going to have

0:33:03.000 --> 0:33:04.360
<v Speaker 14>real appetite for these businesses.

0:33:04.960 --> 0:33:07.080
<v Speaker 15>I think there are really two questions, though, at what price?

0:33:07.240 --> 0:33:10.840
<v Speaker 14>Are what valuations will public market investors be willing to

0:33:10.840 --> 0:33:14.800
<v Speaker 14>commit significant amounts of cattle to these businesses? And how

0:33:14.800 --> 0:33:18.200
<v Speaker 14>do the public markets digest IPOs of this scale? The

0:33:18.320 --> 0:33:21.520
<v Speaker 14>largest tech IPO in history was Ali Barbera in twenty fourteen.

0:33:21.560 --> 0:33:24.320
<v Speaker 15>That was a mere twenty five billion dollar IPO.

0:33:25.040 --> 0:33:28.240
<v Speaker 14>If SpaceX witt lists ten percent of itself, even at

0:33:28.240 --> 0:33:30.400
<v Speaker 14>its current valuation, you'd be looking at an eighty billion

0:33:30.400 --> 0:33:33.240
<v Speaker 14>dollar valuation. So I think we're in slightly uncharted waters

0:33:33.280 --> 0:33:36.880
<v Speaker 14>with regards to the scale of these IPOs Here at

0:33:36.880 --> 0:33:40.200
<v Speaker 14>Bailey Gifford, we keep our public and private growth equity

0:33:40.240 --> 0:33:45.320
<v Speaker 14>franchises tightly integrated. And when we own a company that

0:33:45.360 --> 0:33:48.800
<v Speaker 14>comes to the public markets, if our public teams decide

0:33:48.800 --> 0:33:50.760
<v Speaker 14>to buy that company, that's based on their own decision.

0:33:50.760 --> 0:33:53.400
<v Speaker 14>They have to make the right decisions for their public

0:33:53.440 --> 0:33:56.800
<v Speaker 14>market clients. We can potentially become much much owners of

0:33:56.840 --> 0:33:59.520
<v Speaker 14>these businesses and own them for a really long time

0:33:59.520 --> 0:34:00.640
<v Speaker 14>into the pub markets.

0:34:00.680 --> 0:34:03.040
<v Speaker 15>Long term ism is in our DNA as an organization.

0:34:03.440 --> 0:34:05.800
<v Speaker 14>We've been doing growth equity investing for one hundred and

0:34:05.880 --> 0:34:09.880
<v Speaker 14>eighteen years, right, We've been doing it in private markets

0:34:10.000 --> 0:34:14.560
<v Speaker 14>for about fourteen years, and we have really been in

0:34:14.560 --> 0:34:18.240
<v Speaker 14>this part of the private markets, these large growth stage

0:34:18.440 --> 0:34:21.400
<v Speaker 14>private businesses for as long as this asset class has existed.

0:34:22.360 --> 0:34:26.400
<v Speaker 2>That those names have not been one hundred percent liquid.

0:34:26.440 --> 0:34:30.480
<v Speaker 2>The secondary market has been fascinating for transparency in context.

0:34:30.480 --> 0:34:34.320
<v Speaker 2>You know, Belly Gifford came in for criticism by Cyber

0:34:34.400 --> 0:34:38.040
<v Speaker 2>Capital Management, right a hedge fund park that context. But

0:34:38.200 --> 0:34:40.360
<v Speaker 2>is the manager on the private side, how do you

0:34:40.440 --> 0:34:44.920
<v Speaker 2>balance that the timing of maybe trimming or taking advantage

0:34:44.920 --> 0:34:49.040
<v Speaker 2>of liquidity moment tender or otherwise or not holding on

0:34:49.120 --> 0:34:49.880
<v Speaker 2>to it and growing.

0:34:51.280 --> 0:34:53.759
<v Speaker 14>I think that's a really interesting observation edin that that

0:34:54.000 --> 0:34:56.839
<v Speaker 14>first wave of company staying private for longer I would

0:34:56.840 --> 0:34:59.480
<v Speaker 14>say up to the twenty fifteen stage was driven by

0:34:59.480 --> 0:35:03.000
<v Speaker 14>the privileged and of primary capital to fund companies growth

0:35:03.320 --> 0:35:07.080
<v Speaker 14>in the private markets. What's led to these megacap private

0:35:07.120 --> 0:35:10.720
<v Speaker 14>companies is that we're seeing more secondary market transactions happening,

0:35:10.920 --> 0:35:14.360
<v Speaker 14>meaning that secondary market requirements can be solved whilst companies

0:35:14.680 --> 0:35:17.600
<v Speaker 14>remain private. We've seen that in the likes of SpaceX,

0:35:17.600 --> 0:35:19.440
<v Speaker 14>We've seen that in the likes of Data Bricks in

0:35:19.560 --> 0:35:23.160
<v Speaker 14>by Dance in Stripe, and that is really enabling companies to.

0:35:23.120 --> 0:35:25.400
<v Speaker 15>Put off these IPOs for a really, really long time.

0:35:26.760 --> 0:35:29.520
<v Speaker 14>Our job is to manage portfolios and selectively, we will

0:35:29.560 --> 0:35:35.920
<v Speaker 14>occasionally look to trim our positions in private markets if

0:35:35.920 --> 0:35:37.920
<v Speaker 14>we're wanting to realize some of those gains, either to

0:35:37.960 --> 0:35:41.640
<v Speaker 14>recycle into new new holdings or distribute returns to our

0:35:41.640 --> 0:35:42.400
<v Speaker 14>limited partners.

0:35:43.320 --> 0:35:47.880
<v Speaker 2>I'm really interested in how strong and influential feel Bailey

0:35:47.920 --> 0:35:49.800
<v Speaker 2>gift it is, you know, with respect, Peter, I've broken

0:35:49.840 --> 0:35:52.120
<v Speaker 2>a lot of news right over the years on SpaceX

0:35:52.120 --> 0:35:54.880
<v Speaker 2>and or whatever. But the composition of the cap table

0:35:54.960 --> 0:35:58.960
<v Speaker 2>like SpaceX, you've basically got founder's fund fidelity in Google,

0:35:59.080 --> 0:36:02.600
<v Speaker 2>not necessarily in that order. And like all late stage

0:36:02.640 --> 0:36:05.799
<v Speaker 2>growth rounds pre IPO, the crossover investors want to come in,

0:36:06.000 --> 0:36:09.319
<v Speaker 2>they want to anchor a future IPO. Do you have

0:36:09.440 --> 0:36:12.080
<v Speaker 2>influence on the management at SpaceX? Do you try and

0:36:12.080 --> 0:36:15.720
<v Speaker 2>be constructive operationally in working with them in the direction

0:36:15.800 --> 0:36:18.240
<v Speaker 2>they want to take the company.

0:36:18.560 --> 0:36:22.600
<v Speaker 14>So we try to focus our value add capabilities on

0:36:22.640 --> 0:36:25.920
<v Speaker 14>the things which are particularly pertinent to growth stage companies.

0:36:26.440 --> 0:36:27.759
<v Speaker 15>We're not trying to do venture capital.

0:36:27.840 --> 0:36:31.040
<v Speaker 14>We're trying to do growth equity investing, and that means

0:36:31.320 --> 0:36:34.520
<v Speaker 14>the ways in which we have to influence companies need

0:36:34.600 --> 0:36:38.320
<v Speaker 14>to be designed to the growth stage. So, for instance,

0:36:38.440 --> 0:36:41.040
<v Speaker 14>we will often play a role in helping our companies

0:36:41.480 --> 0:36:46.440
<v Speaker 14>shape governance frameworks transitioning to independent led boards as they

0:36:46.480 --> 0:36:50.040
<v Speaker 14>think about becoming public the public.

0:36:49.719 --> 0:36:50.319
<v Speaker 15>Markets as well.

0:36:50.360 --> 0:36:52.319
<v Speaker 14>We've been for one hundred years and we bring that

0:36:52.440 --> 0:36:56.360
<v Speaker 14>expertise in helping our portfolio companies get ready for being

0:36:56.800 --> 0:36:58.759
<v Speaker 14>a public business. But that's not something that we try

0:36:58.800 --> 0:37:00.880
<v Speaker 14>to do six months before come and it becomes public.

0:37:01.120 --> 0:37:03.000
<v Speaker 14>We try to do that in the years leading up

0:37:03.120 --> 0:37:04.560
<v Speaker 14>to being a public business.

0:37:05.040 --> 0:37:07.839
<v Speaker 3>So when you're looking at an Anthropic, for example, and

0:37:07.920 --> 0:37:11.399
<v Speaker 3>there are now there are actually more companies analysts at

0:37:11.560 --> 0:37:14.840
<v Speaker 3>banks now analyzing private companies because they're so huge. And

0:37:14.880 --> 0:37:17.280
<v Speaker 3>one of the analysis really coming from JB. Morgan, for example,

0:37:17.360 --> 0:37:19.759
<v Speaker 3>is that the premium pricing that Anthropic has might start

0:37:19.800 --> 0:37:21.880
<v Speaker 3>to be hit by the level of competition in the enterprise.

0:37:22.080 --> 0:37:23.879
<v Speaker 3>Is that something you steer a company on or something

0:37:23.920 --> 0:37:24.600
<v Speaker 3>that you agree with.

0:37:26.040 --> 0:37:29.120
<v Speaker 14>Look, I think that when we're investing in a company

0:37:29.280 --> 0:37:32.640
<v Speaker 14>like Anthropic, fundamentally, what we're trying to do is determined

0:37:32.680 --> 0:37:35.680
<v Speaker 14>not just how large the revenue base can be. We're

0:37:35.719 --> 0:37:38.120
<v Speaker 14>trying to determine how much of that can flow down

0:37:38.320 --> 0:37:40.560
<v Speaker 14>profit and how large that profit can be relative to

0:37:40.560 --> 0:37:43.640
<v Speaker 14>return on equacy. So of course we're trying to understand pricing,

0:37:43.680 --> 0:37:46.440
<v Speaker 14>power dynamics, we're trying to understand margin structures, and we're

0:37:46.440 --> 0:37:50.040
<v Speaker 14>trying to understand capital intensity and the returns that can

0:37:50.080 --> 0:37:54.120
<v Speaker 14>be earned on capital. Clearly, the AI markets are pretty

0:37:54.120 --> 0:37:56.919
<v Speaker 14>hot at the moment. We think whenever you have a market,

0:37:56.960 --> 0:37:59.360
<v Speaker 14>there will be a tiny number of exceptional companies. And

0:37:59.400 --> 0:38:02.879
<v Speaker 14>so we own Anthropic, we own data bricks, but we're

0:38:02.880 --> 0:38:04.719
<v Speaker 14>not an AI find We're trying to find the best

0:38:04.760 --> 0:38:06.960
<v Speaker 14>growth companies wherever we can find them, and often you

0:38:07.000 --> 0:38:08.799
<v Speaker 14>find them in areas where people aren't looking.

0:38:10.040 --> 0:38:11.840
<v Speaker 2>Peter, I wish we could do thirty minutes with you.

0:38:11.920 --> 0:38:16.160
<v Speaker 2>We can't. Very simply, things have changed. You have retail

0:38:16.239 --> 0:38:19.840
<v Speaker 2>investors coming in via these big SPVs, pension funds I

0:38:19.840 --> 0:38:23.520
<v Speaker 2>talked about with SpaceX and then basically golf sovereign money.

0:38:24.040 --> 0:38:26.719
<v Speaker 2>How is that changing the market for you? And again

0:38:26.800 --> 0:38:28.920
<v Speaker 2>let's go back to valuations in that context.

0:38:30.960 --> 0:38:33.800
<v Speaker 14>I think the truth is private markets are not democratic markets,

0:38:33.840 --> 0:38:37.320
<v Speaker 14>so companies still get to choose their investors, and companies

0:38:37.320 --> 0:38:42.160
<v Speaker 14>will still anchor towards we'll steer towards value added partners

0:38:42.160 --> 0:38:44.120
<v Speaker 14>and partners who they believe will be with them for

0:38:44.160 --> 0:38:46.279
<v Speaker 14>the long term and can support them. But I think

0:38:46.320 --> 0:38:48.920
<v Speaker 14>it's really important to point out that the demand and

0:38:48.960 --> 0:38:52.320
<v Speaker 14>appetite for these kind of large, late stage growth companies

0:38:52.520 --> 0:38:55.920
<v Speaker 14>is very rational. To give you one very tangible example,

0:38:57.080 --> 0:39:00.880
<v Speaker 14>Tesla went public in twenty ten to two billion dollar evaluation.

0:39:01.600 --> 0:39:05.040
<v Speaker 14>Today SpaceX is still private, valued at eight hundred billion dollars,

0:39:05.040 --> 0:39:09.000
<v Speaker 14>so there's a four hundred x difference there that historically

0:39:09.040 --> 0:39:11.520
<v Speaker 14>the public markets have access to and today that growth

0:39:11.560 --> 0:39:14.120
<v Speaker 14>is happening in the private markets. So I think it's

0:39:14.280 --> 0:39:16.440
<v Speaker 14>perfectly right that people are wanting to get access to

0:39:16.480 --> 0:39:18.719
<v Speaker 14>these companies. And I guess the journey that we've been

0:39:18.760 --> 0:39:20.839
<v Speaker 14>on over the last fourteen years has been helping our

0:39:20.920 --> 0:39:25.200
<v Speaker 14>clients maintain their exposure to the growth of these world

0:39:25.239 --> 0:39:28.360
<v Speaker 14>beating companies despite them remaining private for longer.

0:39:29.880 --> 0:39:33.040
<v Speaker 2>Peter Singlehurst, head of private Companies, that they Gifford, really

0:39:33.040 --> 0:39:34.680
<v Speaker 2>grateful for your time on Bloomberg Tech.

0:39:34.680 --> 0:39:35.480
<v Speaker 5>Thank you very much.

0:39:42.680 --> 0:39:46.320
<v Speaker 2>Amazon's preparing to let go of thousands more corporate employees.

0:39:46.320 --> 0:39:49.839
<v Speaker 2>According to sources, the company plans to begin terminations as

0:39:49.880 --> 0:39:52.200
<v Speaker 2>soon as next week. This comes just a few months

0:39:52.360 --> 0:39:55.400
<v Speaker 2>after Amazon announced it was cutting as many as fourteen

0:39:55.560 --> 0:39:59.399
<v Speaker 2>thousand rolls. The layoffs could affect the company's nearly three

0:39:59.480 --> 0:40:02.280
<v Speaker 2>hundred and fifty thousand corporate personnel.

0:40:02.280 --> 0:40:05.839
<v Speaker 3>OK one to watch, of course, because meanwhile Amazon has

0:40:05.920 --> 0:40:08.680
<v Speaker 3>confirmed its Jew release earnings and the date is going

0:40:08.719 --> 0:40:11.680
<v Speaker 3>to be Thursday, February the fifth, along with a whole

0:40:11.719 --> 0:40:14.040
<v Speaker 3>host of other megacap names that a Jew in the

0:40:14.080 --> 0:40:17.160
<v Speaker 3>next week or so. Equity spporter run Vasilica joins us

0:40:17.160 --> 0:40:20.280
<v Speaker 3>now as we embrace ourselves.

0:40:19.520 --> 0:40:21.640
<v Speaker 6>For what remamber us. It will call the fire hose.

0:40:22.080 --> 0:40:26.360
<v Speaker 3>So are we prepping for good underlying fundamentals this time?

0:40:27.520 --> 0:40:32.040
<v Speaker 16>Fundamentals probably yes. A lot of growth metrics remain very strong,

0:40:32.280 --> 0:40:35.560
<v Speaker 16>much stronger than other sectors of the market. The question is,

0:40:35.800 --> 0:40:38.120
<v Speaker 16>because growth is going to be slower than it was

0:40:38.280 --> 0:40:41.480
<v Speaker 16>last year, is there enough jew to keep pushing these

0:40:41.520 --> 0:40:44.759
<v Speaker 16>megacap tech stocks higher. It does seem like so far

0:40:44.920 --> 0:40:48.279
<v Speaker 16>this year cinemas has really moved to other parts of

0:40:48.360 --> 0:40:53.439
<v Speaker 16>the market. There's been rotations towards sickles cyclical sectors. There's

0:40:53.480 --> 0:40:57.640
<v Speaker 16>been favoring within tech of companies like sand Disk and Micron,

0:40:57.680 --> 0:41:01.160
<v Speaker 16>the memory and storage companies. There's been some changes in

0:41:01.239 --> 0:41:04.600
<v Speaker 16>market leadership and momentum. But I do think people are

0:41:04.640 --> 0:41:07.120
<v Speaker 16>expecting some pretty strong numbers out of the megacaps.

0:41:08.200 --> 0:41:10.920
<v Speaker 2>Of those megacaps and of the different data sets you try.

0:41:10.960 --> 0:41:13.879
<v Speaker 2>What gets from VLAs sellica excited? What is the kind

0:41:13.920 --> 0:41:16.239
<v Speaker 2>of key thing that you'll be scanning at your desk

0:41:16.360 --> 0:41:16.880
<v Speaker 2>next week?

0:41:17.640 --> 0:41:19.640
<v Speaker 16>Well, I think a major focus is going to be

0:41:19.760 --> 0:41:22.680
<v Speaker 16>how much these companies continue to spend on capex, especially

0:41:22.719 --> 0:41:25.400
<v Speaker 16>when it comes to AI, and furthermore, the kinds of

0:41:25.440 --> 0:41:28.680
<v Speaker 16>returns they're seeing on this. If people start giving more

0:41:28.680 --> 0:41:31.840
<v Speaker 16>pronounced guideposts to the kinds of returns they're seeing, how

0:41:31.920 --> 0:41:35.600
<v Speaker 16>much they're able to monetize all this AI related spending.

0:41:35.840 --> 0:41:37.120
<v Speaker 16>I think all of that is going to go a

0:41:37.160 --> 0:41:40.040
<v Speaker 16>long way to sort of dictating sentiment towards AI over

0:41:40.040 --> 0:41:42.399
<v Speaker 16>the coming months. When it comes to Apple, a little

0:41:42.400 --> 0:41:45.279
<v Speaker 16>bit of a unique situation there, the real focus is

0:41:45.320 --> 0:41:49.120
<v Speaker 16>going to be how much memory chip prices have increased

0:41:49.160 --> 0:41:52.080
<v Speaker 16>in recent months. If they indicate that that's going to

0:41:52.080 --> 0:41:54.720
<v Speaker 16>be a real headwind to their margins or their overall growth,

0:41:54.880 --> 0:41:56.080
<v Speaker 16>that's going to be something to watch there.

0:41:56.239 --> 0:42:00.280
<v Speaker 3>And that was something we thinking about with Intel and itself.

0:42:00.480 --> 0:42:03.879
<v Speaker 3>The valuation got crazy more than TSMC. Briefly, Ryan, where

0:42:03.920 --> 0:42:05.080
<v Speaker 3>do we stand on valuations?

0:42:06.400 --> 0:42:07.759
<v Speaker 16>It does seem like a lot of people feel like

0:42:07.800 --> 0:42:10.000
<v Speaker 16>Intel's valuation got kind of ahead of itself. I think

0:42:10.040 --> 0:42:11.960
<v Speaker 16>the stop rose about one hundred and eighty percent off

0:42:12.000 --> 0:42:14.840
<v Speaker 16>of a low hit last year. That's a very steep

0:42:14.880 --> 0:42:17.799
<v Speaker 16>move for a company of this type, especially one that's

0:42:17.880 --> 0:42:21.960
<v Speaker 16>undergoing this sort of really fundamental and dramatic transformation. There's

0:42:22.000 --> 0:42:24.359
<v Speaker 16>a lot of skepticism still about how well they're going

0:42:24.400 --> 0:42:26.880
<v Speaker 16>to be able to get their foundry business kind of

0:42:27.000 --> 0:42:28.640
<v Speaker 16>up and running and able to compete with some of

0:42:28.680 --> 0:42:31.000
<v Speaker 16>the bigger players in the market. So very much to

0:42:31.080 --> 0:42:33.760
<v Speaker 16>show me story, a turnaround story that remains in progress,

0:42:33.760 --> 0:42:35.200
<v Speaker 16>and I think a lot of people just looked at

0:42:35.200 --> 0:42:37.640
<v Speaker 16>how much it moved since a lot of those moves.

0:42:37.920 --> 0:42:41.640
<v Speaker 5>Kind of came on a limited news bloomas Ryan for Seneca.

0:42:41.680 --> 0:42:42.920
<v Speaker 5>Thank you very much. That does it.

0:42:42.920 --> 0:42:45.200
<v Speaker 2>For the addition of Bloomberg Tech, check out the pod.

0:42:45.800 --> 0:42:46.879
<v Speaker 2>This is Bloomberg Tech.