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Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus Podcast Podcast.

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Speaker 2: Pot All right, here we go.

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Speaker 3: Fifteen twenty twenty five, thirty thirty five, forty forty five

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Speaker 3: fifty and the.

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Speaker 4: Kick as block the college football world stunners.

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Speaker 3: Oh my goodness, he.

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Speaker 1: Stumbled and bumble the lateral.

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Speaker 2: Turn the counter on the inside. Don't you believe that

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Speaker 2: I'm not gonna table up the field to night. It's

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Speaker 2: not the size of the dog in the fight.

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Speaker 3: It's the size of the fight in the dog.

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Speaker 2: What's up the generation? Welcome to the Big Bets on

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Speaker 2: Campus Podcast. This is the College of Football Betting Preview

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Speaker 2: Week one, Heart one. I'm stuck in joining me as

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Speaker 2: always my fellow BBOC co host Colin Wilson. Today with

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Speaker 2: the unique schedule Lavery weekend coming up, we are going

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Speaker 2: to hit on all the games on Thursday and Friday.

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Speaker 2: Those are fifteen ish games. We'll even touch on a

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Speaker 2: little San Diego State. We're just gonna go straight through

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Speaker 2: the board Thursday and Friday, and then we'll have an

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Speaker 2: episode that we're recording tonight, Part two. That'll be normal format,

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Speaker 2: so we'll go through like the biggest games and then

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Speaker 2: we'll hit run down a bunch while bring trash Back,

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Speaker 2: Colin and Arkansas three and out. That'll sound like your

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Speaker 2: normal podcast for those that are new here, you'll see

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Speaker 2: what that's like. But for this, we just wanted to

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Speaker 2: get out our thoughts on all the game Sursday Friday,

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Speaker 2: so we'll have an episode that comes out Monday to

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Speaker 2: the covers UNC TCU. So let's get right into it.

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Speaker 2: I guess before we get into it, do you have

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Speaker 2: any one takeaway from week zero? There's a lot of

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Speaker 2: sloppy football. I would state Kansas State was pretty sloppy,

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Speaker 2: pretty disappointed in what Kansas State looked like. UNLV looked

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Speaker 2: really poor. Let's get right into the games. We got

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Speaker 2: a lot to get to, so we'll start five thirty

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Speaker 2: eastern on ESPN. We're heading down to the Panhandle in Florida.

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Speaker 2: USF will host Boise State right now, Boise State six

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Speaker 2: and a half point favorite total sixty three and a half.

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Speaker 2: I played USF here, talked about this all summer. I

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Speaker 2: really wanted seven or better, so I would if you

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Speaker 2: didn't bet it already and you weren't following along to

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Speaker 2: the award winning Action Network Gap, I'd wait to see

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Speaker 2: if it's seven pops again. If you do want to

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Speaker 2: follow along on USF. Humidity weather could be an advantage

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Speaker 2: here for USF early in the season. The Bulls haven't

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Speaker 2: been a ranked team since twenty sixteen or zero to

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Speaker 2: nineteen over that stretch. But if you're going to give

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Speaker 2: Boise a game, Byron Brown healthy, different offense with him,

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Speaker 2: saw how much he meant to that offense last year

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Speaker 2: just wasn't the same. They've been recruiting well over the

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Speaker 2: past couple of years. Alice Golds just has this program

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Speaker 2: on the rise. I just like where they're building toward

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Speaker 2: this Boise State team. They're good, but there's no Ashton

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Speaker 2: Genty here. It's the seventh offensive coordinator since twenty nineteen.

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Speaker 2: There's still a couple spots on the offensive line left guard,

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Speaker 2: right tackle that questions about and USF just lots of seniors.

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Speaker 2: I mean, you look no further than that offensive line.

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Speaker 2: You got five grad senior starters over one hundred and

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Speaker 2: fifteen career starts. There. There are a couple questions I

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Speaker 2: have with South Florida. Lost a three headed monster at

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Speaker 2: running back, lost some guys that they counted on last

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Speaker 2: year at wide receiver. So the skill positions assuming Brown

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Speaker 2: is healthy. Well, the skill positions hit early, That's what

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Speaker 2: I'm watching. I've liked who they brought in, that's kind

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Speaker 2: of the biggest question. And then there's probably two sophomore

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Speaker 2: starters in the secondary. But I like usf here seven

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Speaker 2: or better. I'll call right now. I think they pull

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Speaker 2: up up. What's say you? In this game?

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Speaker 3: One unrecent they were going to be in a money

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Speaker 3: line round robin. There is a six and a half

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Speaker 3: out there right now on the board. I'm probably gonna

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Speaker 3: take that by the time you and I get to talk.

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Speaker 3: And I haven't fired on it because my projection was higher,

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Speaker 3: like around ten. But I think I was in the

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Speaker 3: exact same position a year ago when jend and this

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Speaker 3: team went to Georgia Southern. And I don't know if

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Speaker 3: it's the heat or what, but they couldn't tackle and

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Speaker 3: Eric Snander is still the defensive coordinator last that I checked. Now,

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Speaker 3: I think it's a drop off on the offensive coordinator

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Speaker 3: side for Boise State. But let's be realistic here about

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Speaker 3: Maddox Matts. And everybody loves this twenty one to three

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Speaker 3: TD to I int rate, but seven big time throws

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Speaker 3: to thirteen turnover worthy plays I mean, there's smoking mears

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Speaker 3: in this kid's number, and I really think they have

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Speaker 3: a downgrade offensive coordinator. This is almost the same weather

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Speaker 3: that we had at Georgia Southern. I mean it's it's

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Speaker 3: going to be humid eighty eight degrees. I think that

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Speaker 3: plays a factor. You know, you mentioned Byron Brown. All

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Speaker 3: we need is a healthy Byron Brown, and we know

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Speaker 3: that we're going to get that in this game. It's

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Speaker 3: probably the last time we'll know if he's healthy. But again,

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Speaker 3: I take it back to Eric Shenander because he's had

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Speaker 3: problems at all of the stops UCF Nebraska here, but

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Speaker 3: it's just a very loose, poor tackling defense. You could

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Speaker 3: get some weather here and you get a bunch of

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Speaker 3: South Florida players, they can absolutely juke you out of

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Speaker 3: your shoes. So I'm with you on this. I'm going

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Speaker 3: to buy this six and it just got hit. I'm

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Speaker 3: buying it right now in the app. You've already got it.

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Speaker 3: It's going to be a money line.

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Speaker 2: I think the dog is the player. I projected close

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Speaker 2: to five, So I like South Florida there. Let's move

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Speaker 2: on to six Eastern on Big ten Network, Ohio and Rutgers.

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Speaker 4: How about those skull it nights and Rutgers Rutgers down

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Speaker 4: said in a fifteen and a half point favorite total

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Speaker 4: forty nine and a half.

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Speaker 2: The two games I talked about all summer primarily were

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Speaker 2: USF and Rutgers. I love the Rutgers, bought them early.

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Speaker 2: I would still lean that way at fifteen and a

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Speaker 2: half if I had to play it. But it's getting

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Speaker 2: up there in price. I mean I projected. Let me see,

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Speaker 2: I project a little over seventeen. I'm super super low

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Speaker 2: on Ohio coming into the year now, for what it's worth,

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Speaker 2: I was last year too and was dead wrong, but

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Speaker 2: returning production huge advantage here Rutgers. I think their top

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Speaker 2: twenty in the country. Ohio is close to right around

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Speaker 2: one hundredth and this is a team that's bottom ten

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Speaker 2: and incoming talent Like they're just not bringing in a

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Speaker 2: ton of talent. Yes, Navarro is back at quarterback, but

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Speaker 2: you lose tie us at running back over twelve hundred

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Speaker 2: yards Olwen who was so big for them at receiver,

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Speaker 2: just that guy that Navarro would look to on third downs,

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Speaker 2: key downs. He had over twelve hundred yards receivers. You

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Speaker 2: also lose your top four offensive linemen. More importantly, the

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Speaker 2: defense just got absolutely ravaged. I mean, you lose your

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Speaker 2: top five defensive lineman, your top four linebackers, your top cornerback.

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Speaker 2: Even the special team should drop off. You look at

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Speaker 2: some of them like they're replacing a lot of those

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Speaker 2: guys who hit One of them, by the way, is

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Speaker 2: on Rutgers on the defensive line transferred to Rutgers, and

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Speaker 2: one of Rutgers's offensive line who used to be at Ohio.

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Speaker 2: This is just how college football is now back starting

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Speaker 2: at left tackle for Ohio, but they're replacing them with

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Speaker 2: guys from like Pine Bluff and lower level guys. The

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Speaker 2: defense could take an enormous step back. It was an

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Speaker 2: extremely underrated unit last year. And by the way, they

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Speaker 2: also lost Tim Alvin to Charlotte. Rutgers they did lose.

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Speaker 2: They lost the eight or nine guys to the NFL

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Speaker 2: who were either drafted or signed understricted freators. There were

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Speaker 2: some talent that left bunch in the secondary, but that

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Speaker 2: defense was really hurt last year. New coordinator in probably

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Speaker 2: going to see more too high safety looks. I like

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Speaker 2: some of the talent that they brought in. I think

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Speaker 2: they approached the portal very intelligently. I think Ohio is

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Speaker 2: in trouble here. I think Rutgers puts it on them.

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Speaker 2: I think Rutgers minus the points is the play here.

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Speaker 2: What say you?

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I completely agree, But I took a different angle

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Speaker 3: at this. I mean, I can't get over the fact

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Speaker 3: there's one returner on the offensive line for Ohio that's

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Speaker 3: really bad against a Rutgers pass rush defense that was

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Speaker 3: top thirty five last year, and I expect that to

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Speaker 3: be the thing here. And if you like havoc on

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Speaker 3: the defensive side, Rutgers is always a staple on the

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Speaker 3: offensive side, and havoc allowed top five last year. I

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Speaker 3: believe they were top five the year before. It's just

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Speaker 3: what is Schiano's offense is they are very buttoned up

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Speaker 3: from the very start. They do not shoot themselves in

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Speaker 3: the foot. You know, this is an undersized Ohio defensive

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Speaker 3: line going up against mostly you know, returning experienced guys

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Speaker 3: for the Rutgers offensive line. So I expect Caliakmnus to

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Speaker 3: least not have hands in his face and to be

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Speaker 3: able to have time to make things happens. And running

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Speaker 3: back CJ. Campbell comes in from Fau last year four

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Speaker 3: yards after first contact, And I think the big question

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Speaker 3: is does Siano take his foot off the pedal. Sometimes

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Speaker 3: you get in these games and you're like, oh man,

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Speaker 3: I'm holding fifteen and a half. I don't know if

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Speaker 3: I can cover that. If you look at the box

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Speaker 3: score from the last two years, right non conference games

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Speaker 3: where he could have just taken his foot off the pedal.

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Speaker 3: Box score against Temple twenty three points in the fourth

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Speaker 3: quarter in twenty twenty three. Last year, twenty seven second

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Speaker 3: half points for Rutgers against Howard, twenty eight second a

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Speaker 3: half points against Akron. Shiano does not take foot off

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Speaker 3: the pedal when he gets involved with these smaller.

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Speaker 2: School meach Howard game was unbelievable.

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Speaker 3: So I like the team total over thirty one and

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Speaker 3: a half over thirty two better than I do the spread,

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Speaker 3: although I don't expect Ohio to get their share of

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Speaker 3: points here, so I like them both, but I'm preferring

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Speaker 3: to play the team total over in Rutgers.

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Speaker 2: All right, let's move on to ECU at NC State,

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Speaker 2: little rivalry game here. I'm really looking forward to this

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Speaker 2: one seven pm Eastern on ACC network. When you're at

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Speaker 2: East Carolina. You go for it every time, or you.

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Speaker 3: Don't coach it East Carolina, you don't come to East Carolina.

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Speaker 3: You don't play it East Carolina with a weak heart,

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Speaker 3: and you write that down.

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Speaker 2: This is always fun when ECU plays NC State, but

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Speaker 2: the stakes are even higher because these two teams played

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Speaker 2: in a bowl game last year which ended with ECU

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Speaker 2: upsetting NC State and there was a brawl at the end.

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Speaker 2: There's no love loss between these two programs that are

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Speaker 2: close in proximity. Market has moved quite a bit on

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Speaker 2: the side and total in this game. This is another

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Speaker 2: game I mentioned all summer. I didn't I missed the

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Speaker 2: boat on the initial move. I wanted this over very

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Speaker 2: bad and high total, which is always scary. In Week one.

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Speaker 2: I also kind of wanted NC State and that got

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Speaker 2: popped yesterday as well. The way that I approached it

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Speaker 2: is I played NC State team total over thirty seven

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Speaker 2: and a half. I'm gonna be looking for a live

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Speaker 2: over too. If this starts out slow this there should

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Speaker 2: be a lot of tempo here now. NC State was

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Speaker 2: super slow last year. I think they were like one

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Speaker 2: twenty ninth and seconds per play. They were like down

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Speaker 2: there with you Army and Navy, New OC and Kurt Roper.

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Speaker 2: He's talked a ton about tempo. A lot of coaches

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Speaker 2: do that, but I think that there's some merit here.

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Speaker 2: I think that they're gonna be significantly faster. I do

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Speaker 2: like the skill position players that NC State has. I

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Speaker 2: think this offense is gonna score because I like some

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Speaker 2: of the pieces. But most importantly, this ECU defense, I

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Speaker 2: think is going to take an enormous step back, one

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Speaker 2: defensive starter back, some of the talent that they brought

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Speaker 2: in not too high on. There's gonna be a huge

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Speaker 2: shop off on that defense. Same thing with NC State.

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Speaker 2: Like the NC State defense, I'm also worried about lose

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Speaker 2: a good coordinator and then you have this ECU offense,

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Speaker 2: which we know is going to go fast, air raid,

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Speaker 2: So I think the tempo is going to be there.

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Speaker 2: The NC State defense, I mean, you look, they lost

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Speaker 2: their top five defensive backs. You know, I think it's

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Speaker 2: just points points points, So maybe I'll look live on

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Speaker 2: the side. But the way I played it was the

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Speaker 2: team total over how does that last year's result impact

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Speaker 2: either the spread total the team total? In my case,

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Speaker 2: you know, if ec is trailing, like I don't know,

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Speaker 2: thirty five twenty one with a couple minutes to go,

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Speaker 2: Like you could say, like, oh, NC State is fired

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Speaker 2: up revenge, but east Us fired up too. These teams

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Speaker 2: don't like each other the way that I don't. The

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Speaker 2: only thing that I could see how see how that

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Speaker 2: impacts this game? NC State doesn't take any late launches

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Speaker 2: it in. You could get like an extra bonus score.

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Speaker 2: That's about it. But I'm definitely worried about this NC

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Speaker 2: State NC State defense? What say you?

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Speaker 3: I agree with everything you said. I do make the

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Speaker 3: game sixteen, so I would still play NC State at

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Speaker 3: the current number, but I have I have struggled with

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Speaker 3: this total because I missed the boat on the over also,

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Speaker 3: and so now I'm starting to think at what point

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Speaker 3: do I fire on the under? But I think that

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Speaker 3: the entire world is going to have an overticket. There

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Speaker 3: could be issues with offensive continuity. You know, Howser did

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Speaker 3: not have a great bowl, and then you look at

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Speaker 3: scheme change, you know under roper for NC State, like

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Speaker 3: is that going to fire off with CJ. Bayley right

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Speaker 3: off the bat? I mean he was fourteen of eighteen

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Speaker 3: in big time throws, turnover worthy plays, casey CONCEPTSI one

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Speaker 3: is gone. Now your main target is tied end justin jolly,

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Speaker 3: and this offensive line is like, oh, NC State returns

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Speaker 3: over one hundred starts, but they were one hundred and

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Speaker 3: twenty ninth and havoc allowed. NC State was sloppy with

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Speaker 3: the ball. From a tempo perspective, you're correct, and this

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Speaker 3: ECU secondary is going to be one of the worst

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Speaker 3: in the AACE. So it's just impossible to even look

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Speaker 3: at it under. But at the same time, I would

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Speaker 3: have made this total last year in the bowl game

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Speaker 3: fifty four, which had ended like what forty seven? I

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Speaker 3: don't know. I'm kind of getting to the point where

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Speaker 3: it's like, once we cross a sixty two barrier, I'm

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Speaker 3: going to start looking under, maybe a first half under

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Speaker 3: because it's new schemes, right, and Housers not. It wasn't

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Speaker 3: that great against NC State in the first place, so

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Speaker 3: I lean INCY State, I might play a first half

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Speaker 3: under here.

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Speaker 2: Let's move on. Let's go back to the state of Florida.

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Speaker 2: Talk a little. Jacksonville State at UCF. Scheme kicks off

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Speaker 2: at seven pm Eastern on ESPN Plus. UCF got hit.

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Speaker 2: It was a service release that move this line right now.

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Speaker 2: You have said an eighteen and a half point favorite

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Speaker 2: totals down to fifty two and a half. Can it's

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Speaker 2: come down a couple points. These are two teams that

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Speaker 2: I want to sell early in the season. I mean,

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Speaker 2: jack Jacksonville State is a total reset. Eve a new

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Speaker 2: head coach, new offensive coordinator, and Clint Trickett could probably

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Speaker 2: get more pass heavy obviously going from rich Rod to

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Speaker 2: trick It. But Gavin Winsett is your quarterback. Not a

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Speaker 2: fan there, Uh, you're hit. Their best player is probably

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Speaker 2: pet Way, the receiver, but I don't think he's gonna play.

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Speaker 2: He's not on the depth chart. He's been dealing with

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Speaker 2: an injury, game time decision, and he's probably their most

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Speaker 2: reliable player. On offense, their tackles could be former transfers

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Speaker 2: from Hampton and Tusculum freshman center not great. Their their

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Speaker 2: d also lost everyone in the back seven UCF same thing.

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Speaker 2: It's a complete reset. They could start like eight to

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Speaker 2: nine transfers on offense. I probably eight to nine on defense,

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Speaker 2: seven to eight on on offense. You're gonna have Scott

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Speaker 2: Frost coming in. How fast is Frost gonna go? That's

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Speaker 2: a question I have. Cam Fancher was named the starting quarterback.

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Speaker 2: That can't be a good sign for how that quarterback

294
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Speaker 2: battle went. I was actually shocked that he won it.

295
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Speaker 2: They do have some speed at receiver. I like some

296
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Speaker 2: of the the guys they brought in on the back

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Speaker 2: end of the defense. But by the way, there's a

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Speaker 2: UCF transfer that's starting at corner for Jacksonville State. All

299
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Speaker 2: these teams, it's just it's crazy. But Fancer and Finch,

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Speaker 2: that combination, I mean Fancer and Grinch. Excuse me, Alex Grinch,

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Speaker 2: the defensive coordinator. Not a fan. There so many moving

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Speaker 2: parts here. This is to me. Let's see what I

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Speaker 2: make this. I made it sixteen point eight my gut,

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Speaker 2: says UCF Roles. Am I betting this game? Absolutely not.

305
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Speaker 2: I want no part of this game. There's nothing here

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Speaker 2: for me. I will be watching. There's a ton of

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Speaker 2: moving pieces. I'm going to see how both looks. I'm

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Speaker 2: want to see the tempo of each how pass heavy

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Speaker 2: Jacksonville State is, and obviously all of the portal movement.

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Speaker 2: But yeah, two teams I want to sell playing each

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Speaker 2: other week one, No thanks.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I took Jacksonville State plus seventeen like a month

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Speaker 3: and a half ago, because I made this game fourteen

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Speaker 3: and I figured this team would go the other way,

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Speaker 3: because Scott Frost continues to come out and say, that's

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Speaker 3: a brand new offense, a brand new defense. We don't

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Speaker 3: have an identity, we don't know who's playing here, we

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Speaker 3: don't know who's playing there. And oh, by the way,

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Speaker 3: we're not going to practice out in the in the heat.

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Speaker 3: We're going to be indoors for most of our practices.

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Speaker 3: So I don't see Charles Kelly and I'm not even

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Speaker 3: sure if Jacksonville State even has an indoor facility, but

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Speaker 3: I don't see Charles Kelly letting up on his team

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Speaker 3: and not practicing out in the heat. So, for various reasons,

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Speaker 3: the seventeen was out there and I took it. Now

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Speaker 3: a service releases got it up to eighteen and a half.

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Speaker 3: So if you want to live trade this game, you

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Speaker 3: can try, because that's what I'm gonna do. I'm gonna

329
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Speaker 3: try to live trade out of that seventeen at some point.

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Speaker 3: And I think, you know, Charles Kelly is trying to

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Speaker 3: give an indication about what this offense is going to be.

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Speaker 3: His quote is you throw to score and you run

333
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Speaker 3: to win. By that definition, you would expect the game

334
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Speaker 3: Cocks to be throwing all the time out of the

335
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Speaker 3: gate with their quarterback with Gavin wims At. But I

336
00:17:06,280 --> 00:17:08,560
Speaker 3: mean his best year was twenty twenty three at Ruckers

337
00:17:08,560 --> 00:17:11,359
Speaker 3: seventeen hundred yards nine to eight TD to I in

338
00:17:11,440 --> 00:17:14,159
Speaker 3: t ratio that earned him a Kentucky transfer, where it

339
00:17:14,240 --> 00:17:17,600
Speaker 3: just didn't go well through thirty nine passing attempts. If

340
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Speaker 3: Petway's not there, then if you're throwing to score, who

341
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Speaker 3: are you throwing to. I mean, he was two point

342
00:17:23,200 --> 00:17:26,040
Speaker 3: one yards per route run. That would be a big boost.

343
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Speaker 3: That probably is the reason the total is trickled down

344
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Speaker 3: a little bit, and you have to wonder what would

345
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Speaker 3: this total have been last year if the two teams

346
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Speaker 3: would have been played, if rich Rob was still the coach,

347
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Speaker 3: it would have been sixty two. So is the tempo

348
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Speaker 3: of this game at worth a ten point drop? Is

349
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Speaker 3: it justified? So I'm going to stay away from the total.

350
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Speaker 3: I'm gonna try to a live trade out of Jacksonville

351
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Speaker 3: State plus seventeen. But You're right, there's a lot of

352
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Speaker 3: questions here. I'm wanting to see how first off Grinch

353
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Speaker 3: was a defensive coordinator I could never get into in

354
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Speaker 3: the first place. How conditioned are these guys stuck? Did

355
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Speaker 3: Frost really prepare them for the beginning of the season,

356
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Speaker 3: And does Grinch have I mean, if you and v

357
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Speaker 3: miss seventeen tackles in their opener, how many misstackles are

358
00:18:07,400 --> 00:18:08,800
Speaker 3: going to be on this UC of defense? Those are

359
00:18:08,840 --> 00:18:10,000
Speaker 3: the things I'm looking for here.

360
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Speaker 2: Yeah, I really have I have no clue in this

361
00:18:12,560 --> 00:18:14,560
Speaker 2: game to be hoble. To be quite honest with you,

362
00:18:16,040 --> 00:18:18,080
Speaker 2: I don't really don't trust my number all that much.

363
00:18:18,119 --> 00:18:21,600
Speaker 2: With just both teams so much turnover and new staffs

364
00:18:21,640 --> 00:18:24,560
Speaker 2: and all across the board, there's just this is your

365
00:18:24,640 --> 00:18:27,000
Speaker 2: one of your biggest uncertainty games of the weekend. All right,

366
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Speaker 2: let's move on to eight pm Eastern on FS one.

367
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Speaker 2: We'll start to get into some big ten. Let's start

368
00:18:33,880 --> 00:18:38,399
Speaker 2: off with Minnesota hosting Buffalo. You know what Trailblazers do.

369
00:18:38,960 --> 00:18:43,800
Speaker 2: They plays trails for other people to be coverly this line.

370
00:18:44,200 --> 00:18:47,560
Speaker 2: There's been some movement here. Minnesota is sitting at seventeen

371
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Speaker 2: and a half point favorites. Here, they were up at

372
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Speaker 2: eighteen and a half, they went down below seventeen. Another

373
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Speaker 2: service release here. Knock this up, come back down a

374
00:18:57,119 --> 00:19:00,760
Speaker 2: little bit. Both two new quarterbacks in this game. Minnesota

375
00:19:00,840 --> 00:19:04,360
Speaker 2: lost a lot on offense. They lost Max Brosmer, who's

376
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Speaker 2: looked fantastic in preseason. I loved him last year. Very

377
00:19:07,720 --> 00:19:11,399
Speaker 2: complex offense, pro style offensive Minnesota run. Took him a

378
00:19:11,440 --> 00:19:14,560
Speaker 2: little bit to to kind of get it, and then

379
00:19:14,560 --> 00:19:16,960
Speaker 2: once he did last year he was great. It wasn't

380
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Speaker 2: your typical Fleck offense. They threw a lot more than usual.

381
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Speaker 2: But you lose Brosmer, you lose eighty percent of your

382
00:19:23,800 --> 00:19:29,320
Speaker 2: receiving production. You basically lose five of its a lineman, yes,

383
00:19:29,359 --> 00:19:32,760
Speaker 2: two or back, but they're moving positions. So the one

384
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Speaker 2: thing you know, you bring in a couple of chances

385
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Speaker 2: of receiver. The one thing that you know that you

386
00:19:37,400 --> 00:19:41,240
Speaker 2: have on this team is the running back room. I

387
00:19:41,680 --> 00:19:45,119
Speaker 2: assume that's what Minnesota is gonna lean on here. You know,

388
00:19:45,920 --> 00:19:48,320
Speaker 2: heavy zone running team like this that they're gonna I

389
00:19:48,320 --> 00:19:50,800
Speaker 2: think they're just gonna this is like old Fleck offense,

390
00:19:51,000 --> 00:19:55,960
Speaker 2: slow methodical. We are bigger up front, so there's questions

391
00:19:55,960 --> 00:19:57,479
Speaker 2: of the offensive line, but they do have a lot

392
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Speaker 2: of size. They will be able to muscle Buffalo. So

393
00:20:01,240 --> 00:20:02,800
Speaker 2: I think they're gonna say, like, look, we're gonna line

394
00:20:02,840 --> 00:20:05,639
Speaker 2: it up, we're gonna run it, we're gonna milk the clock,

395
00:20:06,480 --> 00:20:08,760
Speaker 2: and then we're just gonna overpower this Mac team at home.

396
00:20:08,800 --> 00:20:11,360
Speaker 2: So I think that's probably the game plan for Minnesota,

397
00:20:11,359 --> 00:20:14,600
Speaker 2: and then let's ease Lindsey, their new quarterback, the freshman

398
00:20:14,680 --> 00:20:18,879
Speaker 2: quarterback into it. On the defensive side of Minnesota, you

399
00:20:19,200 --> 00:20:21,280
Speaker 2: lose two defensive ends to the NFL, you lose a

400
00:20:21,280 --> 00:20:23,960
Speaker 2: linebacker to the NFL, and then a trio of corners

401
00:20:23,960 --> 00:20:28,040
Speaker 2: including Wally and Robinson were really good. So that's kind

402
00:20:28,040 --> 00:20:30,400
Speaker 2: of the question there. Can Buffalo take advantage or take

403
00:20:30,440 --> 00:20:34,800
Speaker 2: on Twick, take one robson the former? What was yeah,

404
00:20:34,880 --> 00:20:39,920
Speaker 2: Penn State, Yukon and Kansas State, that's the question there.

405
00:20:39,960 --> 00:20:43,840
Speaker 2: New quarterback, got a good running back, Snow's back at receiver.

406
00:20:43,920 --> 00:20:45,960
Speaker 2: I do still have some questions on the offensive line.

407
00:20:46,240 --> 00:20:49,560
Speaker 2: I think the Buffalo defense is feisty. You know, you

408
00:20:49,560 --> 00:20:53,040
Speaker 2: do lose Dolak, who led the nation in tackling last year,

409
00:20:53,080 --> 00:20:55,240
Speaker 2: but they still have some guys they're us. They did

410
00:20:55,320 --> 00:20:58,919
Speaker 2: two really good defensive ends. They're moving one to linebacker

411
00:20:58,960 --> 00:21:00,879
Speaker 2: next to Red Murdoch, who was second in the country

412
00:21:00,880 --> 00:21:03,960
Speaker 2: and tackles little undersize the defensive tackle and they're going

413
00:21:04,040 --> 00:21:07,600
Speaker 2: to be without Susa there for Game one, but I

414
00:21:07,640 --> 00:21:11,960
Speaker 2: think that their defense can hold up well enough here.

415
00:21:12,000 --> 00:21:14,479
Speaker 2: So I don't know my first look here. This has

416
00:21:14,600 --> 00:21:18,600
Speaker 2: come down slightly, and forty five is semi important. So

417
00:21:18,640 --> 00:21:20,119
Speaker 2: I's come down from forty five and a half to

418
00:21:20,200 --> 00:21:22,439
Speaker 2: forty four and a half. I think this is a

419
00:21:22,440 --> 00:21:24,359
Speaker 2: grinder if you look back some of the games that

420
00:21:24,760 --> 00:21:27,840
Speaker 2: Fleck has played against Mac teams since arriving in Minnesota

421
00:21:28,200 --> 00:21:33,000
Speaker 2: seventeen to seven versus Buffalo, twenty five to six for CMU,

422
00:21:33,240 --> 00:21:36,280
Speaker 2: thirty one, twenty six versus Miami Ohio. That one was

423
00:21:36,280 --> 00:21:38,680
Speaker 2: a little higher scoring. But I think this plays out

424
00:21:38,920 --> 00:21:42,159
Speaker 2: maybe closer to those first two that I mentioned. So

425
00:21:42,880 --> 00:21:46,679
Speaker 2: I'm looking under here, Lean Buffalo. I'm just worried that

426
00:21:46,720 --> 00:21:48,800
Speaker 2: Minnesota can just run it down the throat. And I

427
00:21:48,880 --> 00:21:52,600
Speaker 2: don't know what Roverson is going to give this Buffalo offense.

428
00:21:52,760 --> 00:21:53,520
Speaker 2: What are you seeing here?

429
00:21:53,840 --> 00:21:56,320
Speaker 3: Exactly the same? I lean, Buffalo want them. I'm ready

430
00:21:56,320 --> 00:21:59,639
Speaker 3: to fire on them, but I'm hesitant, and I like

431
00:21:59,640 --> 00:22:02,040
Speaker 3: the under here too. But the problem is is, you

432
00:22:02,080 --> 00:22:03,960
Speaker 3: know Buffalo has one of the best punt returns and

433
00:22:04,000 --> 00:22:05,560
Speaker 3: all of the MAC and Victor Snow you mentioned him

434
00:22:05,560 --> 00:22:07,280
Speaker 3: at wide receiver, and I mean, I feel like a

435
00:22:07,280 --> 00:22:09,560
Speaker 3: special team's play, like a punt return touchdown, could be

436
00:22:09,600 --> 00:22:11,560
Speaker 3: the one that breaks that total. And then you look

437
00:22:11,560 --> 00:22:13,960
Speaker 3: at Buffalo's offensive line and running back group, probably the

438
00:22:14,000 --> 00:22:15,800
Speaker 3: best in the MAC. And then when you go to

439
00:22:15,840 --> 00:22:17,880
Speaker 3: the other side of the ball, the Minnesota offensive line,

440
00:22:17,880 --> 00:22:19,959
Speaker 3: as you know, twenty four career starts and they got

441
00:22:20,000 --> 00:22:22,480
Speaker 3: another fifty five through the portal. I think we talked

442
00:22:22,480 --> 00:22:24,600
Speaker 3: about this on the preseason podcast for the Big Ten,

443
00:22:24,640 --> 00:22:27,240
Speaker 3: these players that are filling the offensive line are not

444
00:22:27,560 --> 00:22:30,000
Speaker 3: good at all. I mean true freshman left tackle Nathan

445
00:22:30,080 --> 00:22:32,639
Speaker 3: roy Goat Dylan Ray, right tackle, who came in from Kentucky,

446
00:22:32,840 --> 00:22:35,479
Speaker 3: was graded the five hundred and twenty fifth best guard.

447
00:22:36,320 --> 00:22:39,199
Speaker 3: Marcellus Marshall was the one hundred and sixtyth best guard

448
00:22:39,440 --> 00:22:42,159
Speaker 3: blocking grading per PFF. I do like I said, I

449
00:22:42,160 --> 00:22:43,800
Speaker 3: think the under is the play. I worry a little

450
00:22:43,800 --> 00:22:46,040
Speaker 3: bit about a special team's play coming out from the

451
00:22:46,040 --> 00:22:49,040
Speaker 3: Buffalo side with Victor Snow, but I do lean Buffalo.

452
00:22:49,400 --> 00:22:51,320
Speaker 3: I think they can hang. Not sure I'm going to

453
00:22:51,400 --> 00:22:52,040
Speaker 3: jump on it though.

454
00:22:52,280 --> 00:22:55,840
Speaker 2: Yeah, Buffalo's Pete Lumbo's known for special teams, but and

455
00:22:55,920 --> 00:22:57,760
Speaker 2: you mentioned snow, but the rest of their specialtias are

456
00:22:57,760 --> 00:23:01,160
Speaker 2: actually a major question mark, So that could they I'm

457
00:23:01,160 --> 00:23:04,200
Speaker 2: curiously out they're kicking and punning early on lean Buffalo.

458
00:23:04,200 --> 00:23:07,080
Speaker 2: I'm probably gonna be the under. We'll definitely be looking

459
00:23:07,480 --> 00:23:09,159
Speaker 2: to bet that game live as well. Let's move on

460
00:23:09,200 --> 00:23:13,720
Speaker 2: to nine pm Eastern on ESPN. Talk a little Nebraska Cincinnati.

461
00:23:14,320 --> 00:23:16,720
Speaker 3: Nobody's done what we've done, nobody's built like us. Take

462
00:23:16,760 --> 00:23:18,680
Speaker 3: all that nervous and send it out of this room

463
00:23:18,720 --> 00:23:21,840
Speaker 3: right now, play because we love the win and we're winners.

464
00:23:21,880 --> 00:23:25,760
Speaker 2: Cincinnati. There's a flat seven out there, seven ten is

465
00:23:25,800 --> 00:23:29,439
Speaker 2: out there, total fifty four and a half. This is

466
00:23:29,440 --> 00:23:32,040
Speaker 2: the You look at this roster, it's a young Nebraska roster.

467
00:23:32,560 --> 00:23:35,400
Speaker 2: Your three for Matt rules. Usually the leap we're gonna

468
00:23:35,440 --> 00:23:38,560
Speaker 2: absolutely murder you. Maybe the real leap is next year

469
00:23:38,560 --> 00:23:42,040
Speaker 2: because like seventy two percent of this rosters is underclassmen,

470
00:23:42,160 --> 00:23:46,520
Speaker 2: so they're building the biggest question this year there's it's

471
00:23:46,560 --> 00:23:51,960
Speaker 2: twofold one. Does Rayola take that leap at quarterback? Very

472
00:23:51,960 --> 00:23:55,320
Speaker 2: inconsistent even down the stretch last year wasn't great and

473
00:23:55,520 --> 00:23:58,639
Speaker 2: Dana Holgerson now the full time OC after taking over

474
00:23:58,680 --> 00:24:01,960
Speaker 2: last year. What's that impact? But I like their offensive line.

475
00:24:02,680 --> 00:24:04,399
Speaker 2: They had a ton of guys that were injured last year,

476
00:24:04,440 --> 00:24:06,159
Speaker 2: so they have just a bunch of options and a

477
00:24:06,160 --> 00:24:09,480
Speaker 2: lot of experience there. The defense is what I'm worried

478
00:24:09,480 --> 00:24:12,840
Speaker 2: about with Nebraska. You lose your defensive coordinator, you lose

479
00:24:12,840 --> 00:24:15,880
Speaker 2: four to the NFL four to power for they need,

480
00:24:16,480 --> 00:24:18,280
Speaker 2: they need some of their young guys, some of the

481
00:24:18,320 --> 00:24:21,240
Speaker 2: transfers to hit, especially in the front seven, and you

482
00:24:21,520 --> 00:24:23,359
Speaker 2: even have like an Idoh transfer that's probably going to

483
00:24:23,400 --> 00:24:27,000
Speaker 2: start at cornerback. That defense is the question for me.

484
00:24:28,080 --> 00:24:30,680
Speaker 2: On the other side of the ball, excuse me, on

485
00:24:31,600 --> 00:24:34,320
Speaker 2: the other side of the field. Cincinnati, they also bring

486
00:24:34,400 --> 00:24:38,440
Speaker 2: back returning quarterback Brendan Soarsby, but they do lose Corey

487
00:24:38,520 --> 00:24:40,879
Speaker 2: Kriner in the backfield. Still think they're okay there, but

488
00:24:40,920 --> 00:24:44,280
Speaker 2: they lose their top five receivers for offensive linemen. That's

489
00:24:44,320 --> 00:24:48,200
Speaker 2: my biggest concern on this offense now. Sowersby pretty inconsistent,

490
00:24:48,560 --> 00:24:51,560
Speaker 2: not great throwing down field, and that was that Nebraska

491
00:24:51,640 --> 00:24:54,159
Speaker 2: trouble with explosives last year. I think he had like

492
00:24:54,240 --> 00:24:57,200
Speaker 2: a twenty eight percent adjusted completion percentage on twenty plus

493
00:24:57,240 --> 00:24:59,600
Speaker 2: are ar throws. Towarsby was not good throwing the ball deep.

494
00:25:00,080 --> 00:25:02,680
Speaker 2: Look out for this kid Caledwell wide receiver from linden Wood.

495
00:25:02,680 --> 00:25:05,320
Speaker 2: He's getting a lot of hype. But the offensive line

496
00:25:05,359 --> 00:25:08,960
Speaker 2: for Cincy has been the one thing that could rely

497
00:25:09,040 --> 00:25:11,040
Speaker 2: on over the past couple of years. That's not the

498
00:25:11,040 --> 00:25:13,879
Speaker 2: case this year. That's my biggest concern for them. But

499
00:25:13,960 --> 00:25:16,480
Speaker 2: can the Nebraska and the Nebraska defensive line is a

500
00:25:16,560 --> 00:25:18,880
Speaker 2: question for me, So how does that matchup play out

501
00:25:19,480 --> 00:25:22,600
Speaker 2: is definitely something worth watching. I do think since He's

502
00:25:22,720 --> 00:25:26,480
Speaker 2: defense should be better up front because you get Hunt

503
00:25:26,520 --> 00:25:29,080
Speaker 2: and Coleman back from injury. Both of those guys they

504
00:25:29,119 --> 00:25:31,199
Speaker 2: lost them last year and they really felt it. And

505
00:25:31,240 --> 00:25:35,159
Speaker 2: then Corleone the Godfather, he's back in the middle. Linebackers

506
00:25:35,200 --> 00:25:37,040
Speaker 2: are still good even though they lost their best one.

507
00:25:37,560 --> 00:25:41,359
Speaker 2: Defensive bats transfer heavy. I like the kid McDoom, but

508
00:25:41,400 --> 00:25:45,679
Speaker 2: there's still some question marks on the back end. My

509
00:25:45,760 --> 00:25:48,240
Speaker 2: first thought here was over I just have questions about

510
00:25:48,240 --> 00:25:51,680
Speaker 2: the Nebraska defense. These are two special teams that were

511
00:25:51,720 --> 00:25:54,960
Speaker 2: awful last year that are expected to be improved. New

512
00:25:55,040 --> 00:25:58,640
Speaker 2: coach for both, which one is actually improved that could

513
00:25:58,720 --> 00:26:00,800
Speaker 2: end up deciding this game. And then these are two

514
00:26:00,840 --> 00:26:03,399
Speaker 2: teams that over the last couple years you never trust

515
00:26:03,440 --> 00:26:06,560
Speaker 2: in close games. Like said Nebraska, everyone knows their track

516
00:26:06,560 --> 00:26:08,639
Speaker 2: record in close games. It is the worst team in

517
00:26:08,840 --> 00:26:10,679
Speaker 2: all of college football over the past ten years. But

518
00:26:10,720 --> 00:26:12,920
Speaker 2: since he's known under sat a field, it's not like

519
00:26:12,920 --> 00:26:14,440
Speaker 2: they've been great in close games and they'll get a

520
00:26:14,520 --> 00:26:16,920
Speaker 2: lead and they'll blow it. I would trust the rule

521
00:26:17,440 --> 00:26:20,080
Speaker 2: and the staff much more in the second half if

522
00:26:20,080 --> 00:26:22,639
Speaker 2: they're trailing, like making halftime adjustment. So that's something I

523
00:26:22,680 --> 00:26:25,879
Speaker 2: might be looking for. Lean over here. This is in

524
00:26:25,960 --> 00:26:28,399
Speaker 2: Kansas City, by the way, so technically in neutral, so

525
00:26:28,680 --> 00:26:30,720
Speaker 2: I'm right on market for this game. Lean over a

526
00:26:30,760 --> 00:26:31,119
Speaker 2: little bit.

527
00:26:31,480 --> 00:26:33,439
Speaker 3: I project this three on a neutral, which I'm not

528
00:26:33,480 --> 00:26:35,280
Speaker 3: really sure how neutral Arrowhead is going to be. I

529
00:26:35,320 --> 00:26:37,200
Speaker 3: think every Nebraska fan in the world will be there.

530
00:26:37,400 --> 00:26:39,840
Speaker 3: I wanted to fire on seven, and I'm just holding back.

531
00:26:39,920 --> 00:26:42,560
Speaker 3: And the reason is because I can't back a team

532
00:26:42,600 --> 00:26:45,920
Speaker 3: with questions a quarterback and offensive line and Soresby like

533
00:26:46,040 --> 00:26:48,280
Speaker 3: can he produce more big time throws and turnover worthy plays?

534
00:26:48,280 --> 00:26:51,159
Speaker 3: Because last year that ratio was nine to thirteen. He's losing,

535
00:26:51,240 --> 00:26:53,920
Speaker 3: you know, all of his targets. This best returning target

536
00:26:54,000 --> 00:26:55,560
Speaker 3: is his tight Endjoe Royer, who is one of the

537
00:26:55,600 --> 00:26:58,240
Speaker 3: best in the Big twelve. But half of that, I mean,

538
00:26:58,359 --> 00:27:00,880
Speaker 3: you have so many offensive line positions that are brand new,

539
00:27:02,160 --> 00:27:04,040
Speaker 3: and you look at the pressure numbers that source we

540
00:27:04,080 --> 00:27:05,800
Speaker 3: had last year at one hundred and twelve drop backs

541
00:27:05,800 --> 00:27:08,560
Speaker 3: with pressure, four percent turnover worthy play rate. I mean,

542
00:27:08,600 --> 00:27:11,480
Speaker 3: it's not horrible, but he only made one big time

543
00:27:11,560 --> 00:27:14,399
Speaker 3: throw when he had a crowded pocket. And there's just

544
00:27:14,520 --> 00:27:16,480
Speaker 3: is no faith in what Cincinnati can do on the

545
00:27:16,520 --> 00:27:17,360
Speaker 3: offensive side here.

546
00:27:17,400 --> 00:27:19,160
Speaker 2: And it's always the line is really good. Last year

547
00:27:19,280 --> 00:27:20,960
Speaker 2: like that they had some dudes and now it's a

548
00:27:21,000 --> 00:27:21,880
Speaker 2: major question mark.

549
00:27:22,160 --> 00:27:24,560
Speaker 3: Yeah, but then again you go to the other side

550
00:27:24,560 --> 00:27:27,640
Speaker 3: of the balls, like can Holgerson solve that explosive piece

551
00:27:27,720 --> 00:27:29,920
Speaker 3: that was needed so badly? Dane Key is a big

552
00:27:29,960 --> 00:27:32,879
Speaker 3: piece from Kentucky. I mean two point five yards per

553
00:27:32,960 --> 00:27:35,159
Speaker 3: route run from the outside last year for a Wildcats

554
00:27:35,200 --> 00:27:38,680
Speaker 3: offense that was kind of anemic the offensive line, I think,

555
00:27:38,680 --> 00:27:42,440
Speaker 3: and completely neutralized the Godfather. That's saying something with Corleone

556
00:27:42,440 --> 00:27:45,240
Speaker 3: because but Justin Evans Junior at center and then he

557
00:27:45,280 --> 00:27:47,800
Speaker 3: is surrounded by three seniors on the line, Like, I

558
00:27:47,840 --> 00:27:49,720
Speaker 3: just think that's going to be able to neutralize. But

559
00:27:49,800 --> 00:27:52,200
Speaker 3: what is the best part of the Cincinnati defense, which

560
00:27:52,240 --> 00:27:55,919
Speaker 3: is that interior? So kind of a rock fight, and

561
00:27:56,320 --> 00:27:58,679
Speaker 3: maybe that's what gets that number home. But I just

562
00:27:58,800 --> 00:28:03,159
Speaker 3: cannot back Cincinnati with this offensive line at a quarterback

563
00:28:03,200 --> 00:28:06,480
Speaker 3: that absolutely cannot do anything with pressure, and he hasn't frankly,

564
00:28:06,560 --> 00:28:08,880
Speaker 3: isn't very good. You know, he is an above replacement

565
00:28:08,920 --> 00:28:12,920
Speaker 3: level player when it comes to a clean pocket. So, Eileen, Cincinnati,

566
00:28:13,000 --> 00:28:15,320
Speaker 3: it's Week one and I'm not investing my money in

567
00:28:15,720 --> 00:28:18,120
Speaker 3: brand new offensive lines at all.

568
00:28:18,440 --> 00:28:21,400
Speaker 2: All right, let's close out the big ten here. Miami

569
00:28:21,720 --> 00:28:27,720
Speaker 2: Ohio goes to Wisconsin. Wisconsin seventeen seventeen and a half

570
00:28:27,760 --> 00:28:29,960
Speaker 2: point favorite, depending on where you look. Make sure you

571
00:28:29,960 --> 00:28:35,960
Speaker 2: always shop around those half points matter. Wisconsin hired Jeff Grimes,

572
00:28:36,000 --> 00:28:38,120
Speaker 2: got rid of Phil Longo. I think that's going to

573
00:28:38,160 --> 00:28:43,000
Speaker 2: be a huge upgrade. It's a much better fit. The reliable,

574
00:28:43,080 --> 00:28:46,120
Speaker 2: violent offense, the RPO offense. They bringing Billy Edwards from

575
00:28:46,160 --> 00:28:50,560
Speaker 2: Maryland at quarterback. They're due to have a quarterback stay healthy.

576
00:28:51,120 --> 00:28:52,880
Speaker 2: They do have to replace their right guard and left

577
00:28:52,920 --> 00:28:57,239
Speaker 2: tackle both were lost to the NFL. Looks like it's

578
00:28:57,240 --> 00:28:59,320
Speaker 2: going to be a freshman and then a mac transfer

579
00:28:59,360 --> 00:29:03,760
Speaker 2: at tackle, so that's certainly a question. But I think

580
00:29:03,760 --> 00:29:06,320
Speaker 2: the offense, just coordinator wise, is going to be better.

581
00:29:06,720 --> 00:29:08,800
Speaker 2: I think the defense is going to be better, mainly

582
00:29:08,840 --> 00:29:11,280
Speaker 2: because they addressed their biggest need from last year. Beginning

583
00:29:11,280 --> 00:29:12,880
Speaker 2: of the year, there was injuries and they just didn't

584
00:29:12,880 --> 00:29:14,480
Speaker 2: have enough size up front. I mean, this is a

585
00:29:14,520 --> 00:29:17,760
Speaker 2: team the fewest amount of sacks in decades. They were

586
00:29:17,880 --> 00:29:21,800
Speaker 2: bottom ten in havoc and tackles for loss. There was

587
00:29:21,840 --> 00:29:24,760
Speaker 2: just nothing up front. They couldn't get any help. I

588
00:29:24,760 --> 00:29:27,600
Speaker 2: think the defense is going to be much better under

589
00:29:27,680 --> 00:29:30,920
Speaker 2: Fickle on that side because of the portal additions up front.

590
00:29:30,960 --> 00:29:32,400
Speaker 2: I really liked what they did there. One of the

591
00:29:32,440 --> 00:29:38,680
Speaker 2: reasons I bet Wisconsin's win total over Miami is a mess,

592
00:29:38,720 --> 00:29:40,000
Speaker 2: and I think they're going to be a mess to

593
00:29:40,040 --> 00:29:45,200
Speaker 2: start the year bottom ten returning production. They lost everyone

594
00:29:45,200 --> 00:29:47,120
Speaker 2: on offense. They bring in to Kwan Finn, who used

595
00:29:47,120 --> 00:29:48,920
Speaker 2: to play for Toledo and then he went down to Baylor.

596
00:29:48,960 --> 00:29:51,320
Speaker 2: Now he's back in my VI. His mobility will help

597
00:29:51,320 --> 00:29:56,720
Speaker 2: because this offensive line is super young, super inexperienced. They

598
00:29:56,760 --> 00:29:59,720
Speaker 2: lost all five starters. I mean this is an offensive

599
00:29:59,720 --> 00:30:02,640
Speaker 2: lost fifteen hundred rush yards, twenty three hundred receeding yards,

600
00:30:02,680 --> 00:30:07,280
Speaker 2: the top thirteen in snap counts. I mean they're at

601
00:30:07,360 --> 00:30:11,120
Speaker 2: six either to the NFL or Power four. So I

602
00:30:12,320 --> 00:30:15,880
Speaker 2: don't know this offense is It's gonna take some time

603
00:30:15,920 --> 00:30:20,480
Speaker 2: and knows that now. So if you follow along the app,

604
00:30:20,560 --> 00:30:22,080
Speaker 2: you know I already know that I've I know that

605
00:30:22,080 --> 00:30:25,240
Speaker 2: you played Wisconsin. I played Wisconsin. I also played first half.

606
00:30:25,280 --> 00:30:30,400
Speaker 2: Am I scared? Yes? I mean the totals thirty nine

607
00:30:30,440 --> 00:30:33,960
Speaker 2: and a half? Do I love laying seventeen with a

608
00:30:34,000 --> 00:30:37,360
Speaker 2: total thirty nine half against the Miami team that look

609
00:30:37,400 --> 00:30:40,480
Speaker 2: their defense. They lost their top two pass rushers, they're

610
00:30:40,520 --> 00:30:44,240
Speaker 2: two All MAC linebackers who were huge secondary and their

611
00:30:44,240 --> 00:30:49,320
Speaker 2: top corner to Auburn safeties are still solid. Cornerback's still

612
00:30:49,360 --> 00:30:52,200
Speaker 2: a major question for me end up front as well.

613
00:30:52,640 --> 00:30:54,400
Speaker 2: I think Wisco's gonna be able to dominate the line

614
00:30:54,400 --> 00:30:56,280
Speaker 2: of scrimmage on both sides, which is a difference here.

615
00:30:57,200 --> 00:30:59,800
Speaker 2: But Miami's going to like take away explosives. They're not

616
00:31:00,080 --> 00:31:01,400
Speaker 2: that They're going to try to knock him a big

617
00:31:01,440 --> 00:31:04,520
Speaker 2: place and then they have really good special teams. Even

618
00:31:04,560 --> 00:31:06,400
Speaker 2: with a new special teams coach, they still should be

619
00:31:06,480 --> 00:31:09,000
Speaker 2: really good there. And if you look under Chuck Martin

620
00:31:09,040 --> 00:31:12,120
Speaker 2: over the past four to five years, these these games

621
00:31:12,160 --> 00:31:16,520
Speaker 2: against these Power four teams, they find ways to just

622
00:31:16,800 --> 00:31:18,760
Speaker 2: ugly it up. I mean, go back to that the

623
00:31:18,760 --> 00:31:20,600
Speaker 2: Notre Dame game last year. I mean it was what

624
00:31:20,840 --> 00:31:22,959
Speaker 2: was that twenty eight to three? That game was disgusting.

625
00:31:23,640 --> 00:31:26,239
Speaker 2: So am I a little bit scared? Yes, But I

626
00:31:26,280 --> 00:31:29,360
Speaker 2: just think Mina Ohio is it's funny they lost a

627
00:31:29,360 --> 00:31:31,760
Speaker 2: six year starting quarterback and they're going to uh the

628
00:31:31,840 --> 00:31:34,920
Speaker 2: Kwan finners now in his seventh year. But fickle knows

629
00:31:34,920 --> 00:31:36,680
Speaker 2: how important this year is. I think they want to

630
00:31:36,680 --> 00:31:39,320
Speaker 2: get off to a bang. They know all tough the schedules. Yeah,

631
00:31:39,360 --> 00:31:40,800
Speaker 2: I guess the other thing I should mention The other

632
00:31:40,800 --> 00:31:42,880
Speaker 2: think that scares me and why I played some first

633
00:31:42,880 --> 00:31:46,880
Speaker 2: half too, is I'm not sure how Wisconsin wants to

634
00:31:46,960 --> 00:31:48,840
Speaker 2: approach this. I mean you look, by the way I

635
00:31:48,880 --> 00:31:51,440
Speaker 2: mentioned my Ohio last year at Northwestern was they lost

636
00:31:51,440 --> 00:31:54,080
Speaker 2: thirteen to six Notre Dame. It was twenty eight three.

637
00:31:54,120 --> 00:31:56,560
Speaker 2: Cincinnati was twenty seven to sixteen. Like they know how

638
00:31:56,560 --> 00:31:59,680
Speaker 2: to ugly up these games, which does scare me. The

639
00:31:59,720 --> 00:32:02,479
Speaker 2: other thing and it scares me with Wisconsin is they

640
00:32:02,520 --> 00:32:04,600
Speaker 2: have one of the hardest schedules in the country. Now

641
00:32:04,600 --> 00:32:06,560
Speaker 2: they don't have a tough game. Next week they host

642
00:32:06,640 --> 00:32:09,680
Speaker 2: Middle Tennessee, but after that it's at Alabama and then

643
00:32:09,760 --> 00:32:13,440
Speaker 2: Big Ten and it's brutal throughout. Just fickle say, like,

644
00:32:13,800 --> 00:32:17,960
Speaker 2: we know how tough this slate is. I want to

645
00:32:18,000 --> 00:32:20,760
Speaker 2: get you guys rest and make sure I don't have injuries,

646
00:32:20,800 --> 00:32:23,360
Speaker 2: and then they don't really push it in a game

647
00:32:23,400 --> 00:32:25,880
Speaker 2: with a total of thirty nine. Too many questions on

648
00:32:25,920 --> 00:32:28,000
Speaker 2: this Miami team. I think they're going to struggle early.

649
00:32:28,040 --> 00:32:29,640
Speaker 2: They might figure it out by the time Mac play

650
00:32:29,720 --> 00:32:31,920
Speaker 2: rulls around. But I'm not a huge fan of finn

651
00:32:31,920 --> 00:32:33,760
Speaker 2: I think we'll probably make a couple of mistakes though,

652
00:32:33,800 --> 00:32:36,360
Speaker 2: So I'm on Wisconsin. I split some on the first

653
00:32:36,360 --> 00:32:37,000
Speaker 2: half as well.

654
00:32:37,280 --> 00:32:39,640
Speaker 3: Yeah, Wisconsin minus seventeen for me, it's still out there.

655
00:32:39,680 --> 00:32:41,800
Speaker 3: It's getting juiced now. Cute little move to sixteen and

656
00:32:41,840 --> 00:32:43,520
Speaker 3: a half where it got scooped up and now it's

657
00:32:43,560 --> 00:32:46,640
Speaker 3: being juiced. I wouldn't be surprised to see this number run.

658
00:32:46,720 --> 00:32:49,120
Speaker 3: I actually make this like Wisconsin in the high twenties.

659
00:32:49,400 --> 00:32:51,840
Speaker 3: You're talking about games getting ugled up with Miami Ohio.

660
00:32:51,960 --> 00:32:53,840
Speaker 3: We have the king of ugly it up at the

661
00:32:53,840 --> 00:32:57,320
Speaker 3: offensive coordinator job now for Wisconsin with Jeff Grimes. He

662
00:32:57,360 --> 00:32:59,280
Speaker 3: wants to line up and punch you in the face

663
00:32:59,320 --> 00:33:02,120
Speaker 3: on the ground. That is a really bad scenario for

664
00:33:02,160 --> 00:33:04,800
Speaker 3: this Miami of Ohio defense, who's expected to have one

665
00:33:04,840 --> 00:33:07,280
Speaker 3: of the best, one of the best back sevens in

666
00:33:07,320 --> 00:33:10,520
Speaker 3: the MAAC. From like a pass defense perspective, but from

667
00:33:10,520 --> 00:33:13,600
Speaker 3: a run defensive perspective, it is not good whatsoever. But

668
00:33:13,680 --> 00:33:17,200
Speaker 3: this offensive line for Wisconsin should absolutely mash Miami of

669
00:33:17,200 --> 00:33:19,000
Speaker 3: Ohio all day. And that's going to be the play

670
00:33:19,000 --> 00:33:21,400
Speaker 3: calling from Jeff Grime. So this fickle take his foot

671
00:33:21,400 --> 00:33:23,000
Speaker 3: off the pedal. I don't know at this point. We

672
00:33:23,040 --> 00:33:25,320
Speaker 3: need bonus points after last year.

673
00:33:25,200 --> 00:33:26,680
Speaker 2: And I get into a bowl in in front of

674
00:33:26,720 --> 00:33:28,640
Speaker 2: your home crowd that I don't know how many wins

675
00:33:28,640 --> 00:33:29,480
Speaker 2: you're gonna get this year.

676
00:33:29,640 --> 00:33:32,600
Speaker 3: This is you and I both know the coaches know

677
00:33:32,640 --> 00:33:34,800
Speaker 3: what spreads are. I know the fickle knows what the

678
00:33:34,800 --> 00:33:37,040
Speaker 3: spread is. So you need bonus points with your alumni

679
00:33:37,080 --> 00:33:39,000
Speaker 3: and your fan base that could be in the back

680
00:33:39,000 --> 00:33:41,240
Speaker 3: of his mind too. Now you see the market just

681
00:33:41,280 --> 00:33:42,800
Speaker 3: getting pounded with Wisconson money.

682
00:33:43,120 --> 00:33:45,160
Speaker 2: As I think it should be one other quick game

683
00:33:45,160 --> 00:33:51,880
Speaker 2: Wyoming at Akron zips Akron seven point dogs, another game.

684
00:33:51,880 --> 00:33:54,720
Speaker 2: A lot of uncertainty here. I would assume Mioming's offense

685
00:33:54,720 --> 00:33:57,640
Speaker 2: should look more confident with Anderson at quarterback all year.

686
00:33:58,000 --> 00:34:00,320
Speaker 2: Took over late last year, although he did look good,

687
00:34:00,320 --> 00:34:03,880
Speaker 2: but really only against really bad defenses.

688
00:34:03,440 --> 00:34:04,480
Speaker 3: Only against New Mexico.

689
00:34:04,960 --> 00:34:08,239
Speaker 2: Yeah, but the defense total reset any youth and some

690
00:34:08,400 --> 00:34:11,400
Speaker 2: FCS guys to step up acro Inside, you have Finley

691
00:34:11,400 --> 00:34:13,719
Speaker 2: back at quarterback, which is big, but the rest of

692
00:34:13,760 --> 00:34:18,000
Speaker 2: the rosters a complete reset, a lot of lower level guys,

693
00:34:18,080 --> 00:34:20,120
Speaker 2: just like a lot of these MAC teams. And I

694
00:34:20,120 --> 00:34:22,840
Speaker 2: think Wyoming is a program on the decline. I don't know,

695
00:34:22,840 --> 00:34:25,279
Speaker 2: a lot of uncertainty in this game. Acron also has

696
00:34:25,320 --> 00:34:29,440
Speaker 2: the postseason ban. Where are they at mentally physically? I

697
00:34:29,480 --> 00:34:33,560
Speaker 2: don't know. This game is difficult for me to handicap,

698
00:34:33,600 --> 00:34:37,280
Speaker 2: but I do think good round robin piece. I projected

699
00:34:38,080 --> 00:34:40,480
Speaker 2: six and a half six six and a half in

700
00:34:40,520 --> 00:34:44,160
Speaker 2: between there I'll probably have Acron. I'm gonna do a

701
00:34:44,239 --> 00:34:47,279
Speaker 2: round robin with games on Thursday. Friday, Saturday, Sunday, Monday.

702
00:34:47,320 --> 00:34:49,080
Speaker 2: I'll probably throw Acron in there to start things off

703
00:34:49,160 --> 00:34:53,879
Speaker 2: on Thursday, high variance game probably come down to dumb shit,

704
00:34:53,960 --> 00:34:57,200
Speaker 2: to be honest, no strong take, but Acron money line.

705
00:34:57,800 --> 00:35:00,799
Speaker 2: I'll find a way to something here in this this

706
00:35:00,880 --> 00:35:01,920
Speaker 2: high variance fest.

707
00:35:02,160 --> 00:35:04,319
Speaker 3: Yeah, I lean Akron here. I don't know, but I

708
00:35:04,360 --> 00:35:06,360
Speaker 3: make it eight. I don't know why I'm hesitating at

709
00:35:06,400 --> 00:35:08,040
Speaker 3: Really seven should be good enough here. I don't know

710
00:35:08,040 --> 00:35:09,879
Speaker 3: if it's the Wyoming can get the ball to score,

711
00:35:09,960 --> 00:35:11,200
Speaker 3: that's kind of a joke. I don't know if they

712
00:35:11,239 --> 00:35:13,880
Speaker 3: can against anybody. But Ben Finley could be one of

713
00:35:13,920 --> 00:35:16,279
Speaker 3: the best quarterbacks in the MAC. His last four games

714
00:35:16,280 --> 00:35:19,000
Speaker 3: of conference last year Buffalo, NIU, Kent State, and Toledo,

715
00:35:19,040 --> 00:35:21,000
Speaker 3: which some of those are pretty good teams in the MAC,

716
00:35:21,239 --> 00:35:23,680
Speaker 3: he had ten big time throws and five turnover worthy plays.

717
00:35:23,680 --> 00:35:26,239
Speaker 3: Ben Finley really came into his own at the end

718
00:35:26,280 --> 00:35:29,600
Speaker 3: of last year. I like Akron here. The motivation thing

719
00:35:29,680 --> 00:35:31,120
Speaker 3: is interesting for me with this team because of the

720
00:35:31,120 --> 00:35:34,000
Speaker 3: postseason implications. Do you take these games more seriously because

721
00:35:34,040 --> 00:35:36,319
Speaker 3: every game is your bowl game? We'll see I want

722
00:35:36,320 --> 00:35:38,520
Speaker 3: to get it on Akron too. I do like Ben Finley.

723
00:35:38,560 --> 00:35:42,040
Speaker 3: It's a play on Akron if they are continually hounded

724
00:35:42,040 --> 00:35:43,600
Speaker 3: in the market. It's a play on team for me

725
00:35:43,640 --> 00:35:46,080
Speaker 3: because I do think they have some offensive consistency and

726
00:35:46,160 --> 00:35:48,560
Speaker 3: quality that we can look forward to elsewhere.

727
00:35:48,719 --> 00:35:52,080
Speaker 2: Just in Missouri Oklahoma state PLAYOFCS teams. I will have

728
00:35:52,120 --> 00:35:54,040
Speaker 2: my eye on them just for the quarterback battles. And

729
00:35:54,040 --> 00:35:58,279
Speaker 2: then we also have San Diego State, your favorite team. Yeah,

730
00:35:58,360 --> 00:36:02,759
Speaker 2: they are taking on Stony Brook. It's time for the

731
00:36:02,800 --> 00:36:06,560
Speaker 2: first San Diego State total. We're going nowhere fast.

732
00:36:08,440 --> 00:36:11,319
Speaker 1: You are about to enter a world unlike any you've

733
00:36:11,320 --> 00:36:15,440
Speaker 1: ever seen before, where the beautiful, the brutal, and the

734
00:36:15,480 --> 00:36:30,480
Speaker 1: brave all meat.

735
00:36:33,320 --> 00:36:35,040
Speaker 2: San Diego State's out to eighteen and a half. In

736
00:36:35,080 --> 00:36:38,320
Speaker 2: my favorite I do think they wax whax. Stony Brooks

737
00:36:38,360 --> 00:36:40,600
Speaker 2: is a ten pm Eastern on Mountain West Network total

738
00:36:41,320 --> 00:36:42,960
Speaker 2: sitting at fifty three and a half. You have ten

739
00:36:43,000 --> 00:36:43,880
Speaker 2: seconds on this game.

740
00:36:44,000 --> 00:36:45,719
Speaker 3: Yeah, yeah, we're going over fifty three and a half.

741
00:36:45,760 --> 00:36:50,080
Speaker 3: Stonybrook moderately moderate tempo, more better than average. Last year,

742
00:36:50,080 --> 00:36:52,360
Speaker 3: their offense increased from three hundred and four three hundred

743
00:36:52,360 --> 00:36:54,480
Speaker 3: and fourteen yards per game before hundred and three yards

744
00:36:54,480 --> 00:36:56,880
Speaker 3: per game and they're moving at a faster tempo. We

745
00:36:56,960 --> 00:36:59,000
Speaker 3: know what Aztec fast is and Sean Lewis, let's go

746
00:36:59,040 --> 00:37:00,600
Speaker 3: over fifty three and a half to get this strain.

747
00:37:00,680 --> 00:37:02,440
Speaker 3: I think, what would we go ten and two? I

748
00:37:02,480 --> 00:37:04,879
Speaker 3: go ten and two on nowhere fast. Last year, let's

749
00:37:04,880 --> 00:37:05,799
Speaker 3: go San Diego State.

750
00:37:06,040 --> 00:37:08,759
Speaker 2: All right, there's your first one of the year. Yeah,

751
00:37:08,800 --> 00:37:12,879
Speaker 2: you did totally redeem yourself last year. All right, let's

752
00:37:12,880 --> 00:37:13,879
Speaker 2: move on to Friday night.

753
00:37:14,280 --> 00:37:17,200
Speaker 3: Let's hear gentlemen, clear eyes, full hearts.

754
00:37:18,000 --> 00:37:19,120
Speaker 4: Let's go play some football.

755
00:37:20,280 --> 00:37:22,440
Speaker 2: I don't have as hot it takes on Friday, so

756
00:37:23,000 --> 00:37:26,480
Speaker 2: we'll go fairly quick. Oh, a little quicker on these

757
00:37:26,480 --> 00:37:30,040
Speaker 2: games Western Michigan at Michigan State. That Michigan State has

758
00:37:30,040 --> 00:37:33,480
Speaker 2: taken some money in this game Western Michigan. It looks

759
00:37:33,600 --> 00:37:37,440
Speaker 2: like they're gonna play both quarterbacks Brock Lowry and Brady

760
00:37:37,520 --> 00:37:42,239
Speaker 2: Jones a JUCO transfer. Not sure how that's gonna go.

761
00:37:42,520 --> 00:37:45,120
Speaker 2: I was hoping that Brady Jones won it. But it's

762
00:37:45,120 --> 00:37:48,520
Speaker 2: been a just neck and neck for the entire camp.

763
00:37:48,560 --> 00:37:50,960
Speaker 2: Michigan State's taking money, and then there was a little

764
00:37:50,960 --> 00:37:56,200
Speaker 2: bit of buyback here. Year two. Jonathan Smith Aidan Chiles,

765
00:37:56,200 --> 00:37:59,080
Speaker 2: can he take the leap offensive line still a major

766
00:37:59,200 --> 00:38:01,120
Speaker 2: question there. Does that hold them back? They also lost,

767
00:38:01,160 --> 00:38:03,439
Speaker 2: you know, two running backs to the NFL. They lost

768
00:38:03,440 --> 00:38:07,040
Speaker 2: some other receivers besides Marsh They've had some injuries a

769
00:38:07,080 --> 00:38:12,000
Speaker 2: wide receiver and tight end in camp. So yeah, there's

770
00:38:12,040 --> 00:38:15,000
Speaker 2: definitely some questions here with Michigan State. Even though one

771
00:38:15,000 --> 00:38:19,000
Speaker 2: of their senior safeties might miss this game, they had

772
00:38:19,040 --> 00:38:20,799
Speaker 2: so many injuries down the second or you would think

773
00:38:20,800 --> 00:38:24,799
Speaker 2: they would be better. Special teams also could be a

774
00:38:24,880 --> 00:38:27,359
Speaker 2: disaster for Michigan State. So like you're needing the cover,

775
00:38:27,560 --> 00:38:31,319
Speaker 2: like I think due to injuries. Their kicker could be

776
00:38:31,360 --> 00:38:33,479
Speaker 2: this D two guy who didn't kick in three years

777
00:38:33,520 --> 00:38:34,960
Speaker 2: when he was on a D two school, Like he

778
00:38:34,960 --> 00:38:36,920
Speaker 2: didn't make he didn't attempt one field goal because they've

779
00:38:36,920 --> 00:38:38,080
Speaker 2: had some injuries at kicker.

780
00:38:38,440 --> 00:38:38,799
Speaker 4: I don't know.

781
00:38:38,840 --> 00:38:42,120
Speaker 2: That's that's definitely worth noting. I trust Smith. I think

782
00:38:42,160 --> 00:38:44,320
Speaker 2: they'll have them ready here. I'm not. I mean, look,

783
00:38:44,440 --> 00:38:46,600
Speaker 2: miss Western Michigan is a mess. I mean they went

784
00:38:46,600 --> 00:38:48,680
Speaker 2: they were top fifteen in experience last year, they're outside

785
00:38:48,680 --> 00:38:50,279
Speaker 2: the top hundred. Now they're one hundred and twenty eighth.

786
00:38:50,280 --> 00:38:53,799
Speaker 2: Returning production new DC scheme change, their offensives at their

787
00:38:53,840 --> 00:38:56,320
Speaker 2: quarterback running back. I don't know. A tough game for me.

788
00:38:56,880 --> 00:39:00,400
Speaker 2: I probably won't have anything here. I project us to

789
00:39:01,000 --> 00:39:04,440
Speaker 2: twenty two and a half. So my numbers say Michigan

790
00:39:04,520 --> 00:39:09,040
Speaker 2: State under three touchdowns is worth a look, but probably

791
00:39:09,040 --> 00:39:11,759
Speaker 2: not enough to get involved with all the uncertainty here. Yeah,

792
00:39:11,800 --> 00:39:12,480
Speaker 2: I mean, I made.

793
00:39:12,320 --> 00:39:13,960
Speaker 3: This seventeen and a half, so when I saw the steam,

794
00:39:13,960 --> 00:39:16,200
Speaker 3: it's like I understand the steam. But there are things

795
00:39:16,239 --> 00:39:18,840
Speaker 3: of this game that I need to write down on

796
00:39:18,880 --> 00:39:20,640
Speaker 3: a notepad and then you and I go review it

797
00:39:20,680 --> 00:39:23,040
Speaker 3: on Sunday, which is Aiden Child is entering his third season.

798
00:39:23,080 --> 00:39:24,879
Speaker 3: He had one hundred and forty three pressures and three

799
00:39:25,000 --> 00:39:27,879
Speaker 3: hundred and seventy four dropbacks last season. This kid has

800
00:39:27,920 --> 00:39:30,520
Speaker 3: not lived in the world of college football without pressure

801
00:39:30,560 --> 00:39:32,560
Speaker 3: in his face, no matter where he has been. I

802
00:39:32,600 --> 00:39:33,120
Speaker 3: still don't know.

803
00:39:33,239 --> 00:39:36,040
Speaker 2: And they've lost their top two offensive lineman somehow.

804
00:39:35,800 --> 00:39:38,680
Speaker 3: Right right, I don't know what Aiden Child's ceiling can be.

805
00:39:38,719 --> 00:39:40,680
Speaker 3: And he's entering his third season because the kid has

806
00:39:40,680 --> 00:39:43,759
Speaker 3: never had a clean pocket whatsoever. So I'm looking to

807
00:39:43,760 --> 00:39:46,880
Speaker 3: see against this new Western Michigan everything. Are they going

808
00:39:46,960 --> 00:39:48,840
Speaker 3: to be able to keep a clean pocket that is

809
00:39:48,880 --> 00:39:51,120
Speaker 3: going to be check mark number two. Check mark number one.

810
00:39:51,320 --> 00:39:53,080
Speaker 3: Check Mark number two is going to be the running

811
00:39:53,080 --> 00:39:55,319
Speaker 3: back position, which is Elijah Taboo Tolliver, who comes in

812
00:39:55,320 --> 00:39:57,840
Speaker 3: from Sacramento State. When you get Sacramento State transfers, you

813
00:39:57,920 --> 00:40:00,680
Speaker 3: need to pay attention. Although his career number is over

814
00:40:00,760 --> 00:40:04,120
Speaker 3: with the Hornets two point eight yards after first contact.

815
00:40:05,120 --> 00:40:08,880
Speaker 3: That's not Scataboo type. But Nick marsh is good at

816
00:40:08,880 --> 00:40:10,520
Speaker 3: white out two point one yards per out run for

817
00:40:10,520 --> 00:40:12,520
Speaker 3: the Spartans last season. That is the connection the childs

818
00:40:12,560 --> 00:40:14,960
Speaker 3: will need. But keep your eyes on Tyle Tolliver at

819
00:40:15,040 --> 00:40:19,839
Speaker 3: running back. If he flashes, then maybe maybe we got

820
00:40:19,920 --> 00:40:21,839
Speaker 3: something cooking air in Michigan State. But really, I want

821
00:40:21,880 --> 00:40:23,319
Speaker 3: to look at the box score and see how many

822
00:40:23,320 --> 00:40:25,879
Speaker 3: pressures this offensive line has to protect Chiles or it's

823
00:40:25,880 --> 00:40:27,880
Speaker 3: a season of more of the same.

824
00:40:28,120 --> 00:40:30,560
Speaker 2: Yeah, if you can't block West, this Western Michigan team,

825
00:40:30,640 --> 00:40:35,960
Speaker 2: then it could be trouble, right, Kennisaal Wake This is

826
00:40:36,160 --> 00:40:42,560
Speaker 2: similar to Jack State UCF. Yeah, same exact vibes here,

827
00:40:42,760 --> 00:40:49,120
Speaker 2: two teams, new staffs, roster reset Wake Forest is seventeen

828
00:40:49,160 --> 00:40:51,160
Speaker 2: and a half point favorite. Like spread is even in

829
00:40:51,200 --> 00:40:54,560
Speaker 2: the same range. Total has down to fifty one and

830
00:40:54,600 --> 00:40:57,440
Speaker 2: a half kanessauw State new coach Jerry Mack, who's recently

831
00:40:57,440 --> 00:40:59,640
Speaker 2: with the Jags new offensive coordinator is a hypo guy.

832
00:41:00,040 --> 00:41:03,680
Speaker 2: See some beer and shoot here. New defensive coordinator came

833
00:41:03,680 --> 00:41:06,680
Speaker 2: from like the euro League. They brought in a ton

834
00:41:06,719 --> 00:41:08,320
Speaker 2: of like fourteen offensive linemen.

835
00:41:08,800 --> 00:41:10,319
Speaker 3: Sounds like you're in a league.

836
00:41:10,560 --> 00:41:13,879
Speaker 2: No EuroLeague, eurin a league. They brought in a ton

837
00:41:13,880 --> 00:41:16,960
Speaker 2: of offensive linemen. They got bigger on paper in the trenches.

838
00:41:17,040 --> 00:41:19,080
Speaker 2: They got some dudes on the back end of their defense,

839
00:41:19,120 --> 00:41:22,080
Speaker 2: but a lot of uncertainty or Dexter Williams, who's been

840
00:41:22,120 --> 00:41:27,000
Speaker 2: all over the place, will be the quarterback. I'm not

841
00:41:27,040 --> 00:41:29,600
Speaker 2: sure how this is gonna work, but maybe their defense

842
00:41:29,719 --> 00:41:34,479
Speaker 2: could be feisty. Not sure how good the defensive line

843
00:41:34,520 --> 00:41:36,319
Speaker 2: is going to be, which could be a problem here

844
00:41:36,320 --> 00:41:39,919
Speaker 2: in this particular matchup, because you're going up against Wake

845
00:41:40,000 --> 00:41:43,320
Speaker 2: Forrest to new head coach Jake Dicker takes over for

846
00:41:43,400 --> 00:41:46,239
Speaker 2: Dave Clawson. When that happened, they lost seven starters to

847
00:41:46,320 --> 00:41:49,279
Speaker 2: the Portal. They lost all five their offensive lineman four

848
00:41:49,360 --> 00:41:52,680
Speaker 2: to Power four. Although that speaks to like how maybe

849
00:41:53,200 --> 00:41:55,839
Speaker 2: bad the Portal was this year. I mean, for those

850
00:41:55,880 --> 00:41:58,160
Speaker 2: Wake Forest offensive line went to Power four. They weren't great,

851
00:41:58,200 --> 00:42:00,439
Speaker 2: but they lost their top four receivers three to Power

852
00:42:00,480 --> 00:42:04,040
Speaker 2: for their quarterback, their top tight end. You're gonna see

853
00:42:04,040 --> 00:42:06,399
Speaker 2: a different offense. It's not the slow mesh. It's gonna

854
00:42:06,400 --> 00:42:11,919
Speaker 2: be more outside zone runs, more twelve personnel, and it's

855
00:42:11,960 --> 00:42:18,360
Speaker 2: gonna be Robbie Ashford at quarterback so can and more importantly,

856
00:42:18,400 --> 00:42:21,600
Speaker 2: it's gonna be a lot of Claiborne. Who's their best player.

857
00:42:21,640 --> 00:42:26,600
Speaker 2: You're gonna see him a lot. The D for wake Forest,

858
00:42:26,600 --> 00:42:29,920
Speaker 2: their offense is a total reset. Besides Claiborne, pretty much

859
00:42:29,920 --> 00:42:31,520
Speaker 2: that D has a little more experience, but there's still

860
00:42:31,520 --> 00:42:33,799
Speaker 2: transfers all over. I love Patterson at the nickel, but

861
00:42:34,360 --> 00:42:36,600
Speaker 2: other than that, a lot of questions. The offense has

862
00:42:36,640 --> 00:42:39,120
Speaker 2: a couple of wazoo guys that came with Jaggered on

863
00:42:39,160 --> 00:42:40,759
Speaker 2: the offensive line. But this is gonna be a lot

864
00:42:40,760 --> 00:42:44,600
Speaker 2: of Claiborne, a lot of Ashford running. Yep, they might

865
00:42:44,640 --> 00:42:48,600
Speaker 2: have might be able to have success doing that against Kennesaw. Yeah,

866
00:42:48,719 --> 00:42:50,719
Speaker 2: let me see. I project I want no part of

867
00:42:50,760 --> 00:42:53,320
Speaker 2: this game, but I project this at seventeen to six.

868
00:42:54,040 --> 00:42:58,480
Speaker 2: So I'm right on market and I'm at fifty and

869
00:42:58,520 --> 00:43:00,600
Speaker 2: a half, So nothing for me, or what do you

870
00:43:00,640 --> 00:43:01,040
Speaker 2: say I.

871
00:43:01,040 --> 00:43:03,319
Speaker 3: Make the total forty. I want the first half under

872
00:43:03,360 --> 00:43:04,840
Speaker 3: in this game, just for all the new pieces that

873
00:43:04,840 --> 00:43:06,760
Speaker 3: are going on. I mean that quarterback battle of Kennesaw

874
00:43:06,840 --> 00:43:09,120
Speaker 3: between Dexter Williams and Mario Otum, I expect to see

875
00:43:09,120 --> 00:43:11,040
Speaker 3: them both running the pistol, and I don't think they're

876
00:43:11,040 --> 00:43:14,400
Speaker 3: going to run it effectively whatsoever. Dickard has seen plenty

877
00:43:14,440 --> 00:43:17,360
Speaker 3: of that in his time. He was actually remember the

878
00:43:17,400 --> 00:43:20,920
Speaker 3: Washington State DC, although the Washington State defense seemed to

879
00:43:20,960 --> 00:43:22,279
Speaker 3: be the one that was the problem all the years.

880
00:43:22,320 --> 00:43:23,640
Speaker 3: I don't know how dicker got kind of got a

881
00:43:23,719 --> 00:43:26,359
Speaker 3: raise going to Wake Forest as the head coach. Yeah,

882
00:43:26,400 --> 00:43:27,640
Speaker 3: you're right, it's going to be a lot of Robbie

883
00:43:27,600 --> 00:43:29,440
Speaker 3: Ashford running around. So the thing that I kind of

884
00:43:29,440 --> 00:43:31,879
Speaker 3: hang my hat on with this game is the fact

885
00:43:31,920 --> 00:43:35,480
Speaker 3: that Kennesaw State, the one redeeming metric they had last

886
00:43:35,560 --> 00:43:37,840
Speaker 3: year is that they finished forty second and pfif tackle

887
00:43:37,880 --> 00:43:39,960
Speaker 3: Like everything else was a complete dumpster fire. But they

888
00:43:39,960 --> 00:43:42,520
Speaker 3: can tackle in space, and that's exactly what you're going

889
00:43:42,600 --> 00:43:44,600
Speaker 3: to get with what this new Wake offense is going

890
00:43:44,680 --> 00:43:50,080
Speaker 3: to be. I expect very slow tempos. I don't expect

891
00:43:50,080 --> 00:43:53,120
Speaker 3: a lot of offensive efficiency here. I'm going to play

892
00:43:53,120 --> 00:43:54,520
Speaker 3: first half under Actually I think I'm going to do

893
00:43:54,520 --> 00:43:54,759
Speaker 3: it now.

894
00:43:55,360 --> 00:43:59,319
Speaker 2: Right, let's go on to Charlotte. App State Sadly, no

895
00:43:59,360 --> 00:44:02,560
Speaker 2: more Biff for Charlotte, and our job is I told

896
00:44:02,600 --> 00:44:06,799
Speaker 2: the players yesterday my job, my number one job, is

897
00:44:06,840 --> 00:44:09,399
Speaker 2: to love them. We will miss him, but they did

898
00:44:09,400 --> 00:44:11,319
Speaker 2: bring in Tim Alvin we like, and he's showed that

899
00:44:11,360 --> 00:44:13,759
Speaker 2: he can turn around a program and he can do

900
00:44:13,840 --> 00:44:15,719
Speaker 2: a lot with lower level guys, and he's gonna need

901
00:44:15,760 --> 00:44:19,640
Speaker 2: some lower level guys to step up for Charlotte. This

902
00:44:19,680 --> 00:44:20,880
Speaker 2: game will be played by the way in Bank of

903
00:44:20,880 --> 00:44:25,040
Speaker 2: America Stadium, six and a half. Pretty much across the

904
00:44:25,120 --> 00:44:28,080
Speaker 2: board PAP State minus six and a half total fifty

905
00:44:28,640 --> 00:44:31,760
Speaker 2: and a half. Two new head coaches here, Dal Loggins,

906
00:44:31,760 --> 00:44:34,120
Speaker 2: who were not fans of He's the fourth head coach

907
00:44:34,160 --> 00:44:36,719
Speaker 2: in seven years at app State. He'll call plays. I

908
00:44:36,760 --> 00:44:38,640
Speaker 2: think this is a program on the decline. It's pretty

909
00:44:38,680 --> 00:44:42,680
Speaker 2: sad because I think college football is better when Boone

910
00:44:43,239 --> 00:45:03,600
Speaker 2: is on fire and this team is good. They lost

911
00:45:03,600 --> 00:45:06,480
Speaker 2: a lot, like they lost our quarterback to UCLA and Tennessee.

912
00:45:06,840 --> 00:45:08,960
Speaker 2: They lost their top running back, the top three receivers

913
00:45:08,960 --> 00:45:13,160
Speaker 2: for offensive lineman. It's a complete reset on the offense,

914
00:45:13,200 --> 00:45:15,200
Speaker 2: and look, I think aj Swan is going to be

915
00:45:15,200 --> 00:45:18,840
Speaker 2: the guy. Former Vandy guy JJ Coles also in the

916
00:45:18,880 --> 00:45:22,399
Speaker 2: mix to transferred from Iowa State. Their defense has been

917
00:45:23,200 --> 00:45:25,239
Speaker 2: on the decline for the past couple of years. Last

918
00:45:25,280 --> 00:45:27,080
Speaker 2: year the run dye was bad. Their past he's been

919
00:45:27,120 --> 00:45:28,960
Speaker 2: bad the last couple of years. Used to be reliable.

920
00:45:29,080 --> 00:45:30,880
Speaker 2: They need some transfers hit on the defensive side of

921
00:45:30,880 --> 00:45:33,480
Speaker 2: the ball. Same thing with Charlotte though they lost their

922
00:45:33,520 --> 00:45:36,160
Speaker 2: top three quarterbacks, their top three running back, their top

923
00:45:36,200 --> 00:45:39,359
Speaker 2: six receivers for offensive lineman. Also, they're going to need

924
00:45:39,400 --> 00:45:41,520
Speaker 2: some lower level guys to hit. Look, they're going to

925
00:45:41,600 --> 00:45:44,200
Speaker 2: run like Connor Howell just got named the quarterback. It

926
00:45:44,320 --> 00:45:47,600
Speaker 2: was a three way race with the guys, a bunch

927
00:45:47,640 --> 00:45:52,239
Speaker 2: of guys that had at least power for experience, game experience,

928
00:45:52,320 --> 00:45:54,840
Speaker 2: Harold won the job. You're going to see like a

929
00:45:54,880 --> 00:46:00,840
Speaker 2: spread option, run heavy offense here from Charlotte. I do

930
00:46:00,920 --> 00:46:02,839
Speaker 2: have a lot of questions for two to five base

931
00:46:02,880 --> 00:46:04,720
Speaker 2: They have a lot of questions about their cornerback position

932
00:46:04,800 --> 00:46:07,040
Speaker 2: and do I think app State can fully taken mge

933
00:46:07,160 --> 00:46:09,839
Speaker 2: not really. Look, obviously, everything I just said a ton

934
00:46:09,920 --> 00:46:13,759
Speaker 2: of uncertainty on both sides. I took the points. I

935
00:46:13,800 --> 00:46:16,239
Speaker 2: want the coach. I want Alvin. I trust Alvin way

936
00:46:16,280 --> 00:46:18,960
Speaker 2: more than Loggins. So give me that touchdown in my pocket.

937
00:46:19,480 --> 00:46:23,200
Speaker 2: That was pretty much the handicapp for against an app

938
00:46:23,239 --> 00:46:25,239
Speaker 2: State team that I'm low on. I project this around five,

939
00:46:25,320 --> 00:46:28,680
Speaker 2: So yeah, give me Alvin over Loggins would say you.

940
00:46:28,880 --> 00:46:30,960
Speaker 3: Yeah, I completely agree. It's the it's the coach here

941
00:46:31,000 --> 00:46:32,879
Speaker 3: that you want to back from what Alvin's done. Listen,

942
00:46:32,880 --> 00:46:35,239
Speaker 3: if Connor Harrold can run inside zone, quarterback keepers and

943
00:46:35,280 --> 00:46:38,680
Speaker 3: multiple with multiple running back sets like a Rourke brother,

944
00:46:39,719 --> 00:46:42,400
Speaker 3: then Charlotte can cook. Alvin loves to use tight ends here.

945
00:46:42,440 --> 00:46:45,120
Speaker 3: So it's just it's kind of a it's kind of

946
00:46:45,160 --> 00:46:47,839
Speaker 3: a bitch of an offense to prepare for. And we'll

947
00:46:47,840 --> 00:46:49,719
Speaker 3: see if Appstate is up to the task here, because

948
00:46:49,760 --> 00:46:51,480
Speaker 3: I don't think that they are whatsoever. And then on

949
00:46:51,520 --> 00:46:54,320
Speaker 3: the other side, the pro style spread, the RPOs, the bootlegs,

950
00:46:54,360 --> 00:46:56,920
Speaker 3: the play action. They're going to want to get JJ

951
00:46:57,000 --> 00:46:59,560
Speaker 3: Cole and AJ Swan to throw verticals. I don't think

952
00:46:59,560 --> 00:47:01,160
Speaker 3: that they're gonna be able to get that done. They

953
00:47:01,160 --> 00:47:03,480
Speaker 3: do have a good wide receiver in Dalton stroman one

954
00:47:03,520 --> 00:47:05,840
Speaker 3: point nine yards per route run is four year career.

955
00:47:06,440 --> 00:47:12,319
Speaker 3: But I think it's a pretty simplified offense that you

956
00:47:12,360 --> 00:47:15,560
Speaker 3: can detect and you can defend. It's just not very complex,

957
00:47:15,960 --> 00:47:17,279
Speaker 3: and I think Ohio is going to be able to

958
00:47:17,560 --> 00:47:19,200
Speaker 3: scheme against that now.

959
00:47:19,440 --> 00:47:24,120
Speaker 2: Not Ohio, although Charlotte you mean Charlotte. Yeah, So Charlotte

960
00:47:24,160 --> 00:47:28,080
Speaker 2: has a bunch of Ohio linebackers, which should help with

961
00:47:28,120 --> 00:47:31,279
Speaker 2: the transition that their defense is going to look like

962
00:47:31,280 --> 00:47:32,959
Speaker 2: Ohio's linebackers from last year.

963
00:47:33,280 --> 00:47:35,520
Speaker 3: I did play the first half under last night when

964
00:47:35,520 --> 00:47:37,680
Speaker 3: I was doing the podcast notes. I'm not sure apps

965
00:47:37,719 --> 00:47:39,759
Speaker 3: they can get that vertical passing game going right off

966
00:47:40,200 --> 00:47:42,160
Speaker 3: all right off the start. If you know anything about

967
00:47:42,160 --> 00:47:45,320
Speaker 3: Albin's offense, it's ball control between the tackles, a slower tempo.

968
00:47:45,600 --> 00:47:48,160
Speaker 3: There's some offensive line continuity for the forty nine ers here,

969
00:47:48,200 --> 00:47:50,880
Speaker 3: so I expect them to be able to control the ball,

970
00:47:51,200 --> 00:47:54,960
Speaker 3: longer possessions, eat clock, and do what they want. So

971
00:47:55,160 --> 00:47:56,759
Speaker 3: I like the first half under here too. I mean

972
00:47:56,880 --> 00:47:57,799
Speaker 3: it's really kind of the theme.

973
00:47:57,880 --> 00:47:58,000
Speaker 1: Right.

974
00:47:58,000 --> 00:48:00,480
Speaker 3: We're getting new coaches, new players, new ski teams, knew

975
00:48:00,480 --> 00:48:02,560
Speaker 3: everything first half. Hunters are really the way that you

976
00:48:02,600 --> 00:48:03,040
Speaker 3: want to look.

977
00:48:04,200 --> 00:48:06,640
Speaker 2: All right, a couple of games that I have nothing

978
00:48:06,640 --> 00:48:08,520
Speaker 2: on before we get to Auburn Baylor, which is the

979
00:48:08,600 --> 00:48:13,680
Speaker 2: highlight of Friday, although it's worth mentioning tarletan State against Army.

980
00:48:13,719 --> 00:48:16,279
Speaker 2: Tarleton is really good at the.

981
00:48:16,640 --> 00:48:19,160
Speaker 3: Hearing a run to the national the FCS national titles.

982
00:48:19,200 --> 00:48:23,960
Speaker 2: What I'm hearing looked really good and look, Army has

983
00:48:24,000 --> 00:48:26,560
Speaker 2: a lot of question marks, especially on the offensive side,

984
00:48:26,600 --> 00:48:30,200
Speaker 2: at the losing daily and it's not like I mean,

985
00:48:30,239 --> 00:48:35,920
Speaker 2: look servicecatulaning ever two touchdowns against a team that looks competent,

986
00:48:36,960 --> 00:48:40,719
Speaker 2: although it is usually an advantage to not play, and

987
00:48:40,760 --> 00:48:43,239
Speaker 2: they saw what Tarleton had last week, and this is

988
00:48:43,320 --> 00:48:47,040
Speaker 2: one of the rare it's a rare example when I

989
00:48:47,080 --> 00:48:52,360
Speaker 2: don't think that you would want excuse me. So historically

990
00:48:52,880 --> 00:48:57,279
Speaker 2: this is FBS versus FBS teams making their debut. Hit

991
00:48:57,320 --> 00:48:59,560
Speaker 2: it like sixty one percent against He's played in week zero,

992
00:48:59,640 --> 00:49:03,239
Speaker 2: so that Army. And this is even worse because for

993
00:49:03,320 --> 00:49:05,480
Speaker 2: Tarleton because you're playing a team with an unique scheme,

994
00:49:05,760 --> 00:49:08,279
Speaker 2: so they're not able to prep and it's on a

995
00:49:08,320 --> 00:49:10,160
Speaker 2: short week and they were just in Portland and they're

996
00:49:10,200 --> 00:49:14,920
Speaker 2: going across the country. Situationally, it's a nightmare. But I

997
00:49:14,920 --> 00:49:17,640
Speaker 2: don't know. Maybe they wear down an Army should have

998
00:49:17,640 --> 00:49:19,840
Speaker 2: a ball a ton and just control the clock. But

999
00:49:21,200 --> 00:49:26,240
Speaker 2: if you're feeling fights the tarletan money line. Maybe maybe

1000
00:49:26,239 --> 00:49:28,480
Speaker 2: this is like when Army lost a Fordham a couple

1001
00:49:28,520 --> 00:49:31,040
Speaker 2: of years ago in their opener. But that should be

1002
00:49:31,239 --> 00:49:35,640
Speaker 2: a little entertaining game for the FCSFPS Central Michigan, San

1003
00:49:35,800 --> 00:49:39,400
Speaker 2: Jose State. I'm just curious to see what Central Michigan

1004
00:49:39,520 --> 00:49:44,840
Speaker 2: looks like. I project thirteen. I got nothing there and

1005
00:49:44,840 --> 00:49:48,760
Speaker 2: then you and L the Sam Houston State, two teams

1006
00:49:48,920 --> 00:49:55,040
Speaker 2: that I want to fade hard. So I got nothing there.

1007
00:49:56,520 --> 00:49:58,600
Speaker 2: Anything you need? You know, these lane ten and a

1008
00:49:58,680 --> 00:50:04,040
Speaker 2: half total sixty one and a half against Sam Houston.

1009
00:50:05,040 --> 00:50:05,920
Speaker 2: Anything there for you?

1010
00:50:06,160 --> 00:50:07,960
Speaker 3: Yeah, U and LV Sam Houston. I wrote up for

1011
00:50:08,000 --> 00:50:09,600
Speaker 3: action so you guys can go out to the app

1012
00:50:09,640 --> 00:50:12,120
Speaker 3: and check out that article. You know, just to give

1013
00:50:12,160 --> 00:50:14,040
Speaker 3: away the what is it, no sneak, no cookie, just

1014
00:50:14,080 --> 00:50:16,239
Speaker 3: give away the cookie. But Sam Houston, I don't think

1015
00:50:16,280 --> 00:50:18,000
Speaker 3: his price correctly. I think it's going to continue to

1016
00:50:18,000 --> 00:50:20,440
Speaker 3: come down. I think the tempo is going to be

1017
00:50:21,719 --> 00:50:25,200
Speaker 3: pretty fast here and there, is some issues tackling for

1018
00:50:25,239 --> 00:50:27,160
Speaker 3: both teams, So you know, go ahead and read about

1019
00:50:27,160 --> 00:50:28,400
Speaker 3: that and see what you can pull from it. For

1020
00:50:28,400 --> 00:50:30,640
Speaker 3: as far as Central Michigan San Jose State, you're right,

1021
00:50:30,640 --> 00:50:32,080
Speaker 3: it is a watch game. What are the two things

1022
00:50:32,080 --> 00:50:34,879
Speaker 3: we're looking for and maybe we can discuss on Sunday. One,

1023
00:50:34,960 --> 00:50:37,480
Speaker 3: that Central Michigan offense under Matt Drinkall. He's going to

1024
00:50:37,520 --> 00:50:39,600
Speaker 3: bring that army style that he that he was running,

1025
00:50:40,360 --> 00:50:42,200
Speaker 3: so we're gonna and there's multiple quarterbacks in line. We

1026
00:50:42,239 --> 00:50:43,520
Speaker 3: got to figure out which one is the best to

1027
00:50:43,600 --> 00:50:46,120
Speaker 3: run this offense. And then on the other side of

1028
00:50:46,160 --> 00:50:50,440
Speaker 3: the ball, Leland Smith transfer from Purdue. He's going to

1029
00:50:50,480 --> 00:50:53,200
Speaker 3: try to field shoes of Nick Nash in Walker against

1030
00:50:53,520 --> 00:50:55,480
Speaker 3: when he's under center. So those are the two things

1031
00:50:55,320 --> 00:50:57,439
Speaker 3: that's that's a watch game and take notes game because

1032
00:50:57,480 --> 00:50:58,799
Speaker 3: these are two teams we want to bet on in

1033
00:50:58,800 --> 00:50:59,200
Speaker 3: the future.

1034
00:50:59,360 --> 00:51:01,879
Speaker 2: Yeah. I don't think much triple from Central, but you're

1035
00:51:01,880 --> 00:51:05,560
Speaker 2: gonna see like a modified rushing attack option, so we'll

1036
00:51:05,560 --> 00:51:08,480
Speaker 2: see how that looks. I want no part of either game.

1037
00:51:08,560 --> 00:51:13,320
Speaker 2: Let's talk a little Auburn Baylor. That is the marquee

1038
00:51:13,360 --> 00:51:19,200
Speaker 2: game on Friday night. Auburn is out to a two

1039
00:51:19,280 --> 00:51:23,400
Speaker 2: and a half point favorite. Here total ticked up a

1040
00:51:23,480 --> 00:51:28,080
Speaker 2: bit to fifty seven and a half. My main concern

1041
00:51:28,200 --> 00:51:31,759
Speaker 2: here for Baylor, I mean the offense. I don't really

1042
00:51:31,800 --> 00:51:36,160
Speaker 2: have many questions about, maybe like running back depth. It's

1043
00:51:36,200 --> 00:51:38,560
Speaker 2: really young and they lost Pendergressers like their power back,

1044
00:51:38,600 --> 00:51:40,040
Speaker 2: but you don't want him to be number number one.

1045
00:51:40,080 --> 00:51:42,920
Speaker 2: We saw that when Washington got hurt. But maybe running

1046
00:51:42,920 --> 00:51:47,400
Speaker 2: back depth. But you got Hawkins eligible at receiver, so

1047
00:51:48,160 --> 00:51:50,120
Speaker 2: their receivers are great. I love the Adam Wilson and

1048
00:51:50,120 --> 00:51:52,840
Speaker 2: will help in special teams too. Their offensive line looks

1049
00:51:52,880 --> 00:51:55,480
Speaker 2: really good. I love Sora Robertson, so like I don't

1050
00:51:55,480 --> 00:51:58,279
Speaker 2: have many questions about this offense, and I do have

1051
00:51:58,320 --> 00:52:01,680
Speaker 2: some questions about the Auburn defense, so Baylor should be

1052
00:52:01,719 --> 00:52:03,160
Speaker 2: able to put up its fair share of points. My

1053
00:52:03,239 --> 00:52:10,200
Speaker 2: biggest concern is the Baylor secondary. It the reports I'm hearing,

1054
00:52:10,280 --> 00:52:12,319
Speaker 2: and how the step chart looks like it's shaking me out.

1055
00:52:12,400 --> 00:52:16,880
Speaker 2: It's not what I wanted to see. I do like

1056
00:52:16,920 --> 00:52:19,200
Speaker 2: some of the defensive coach hires that they had, so

1057
00:52:19,320 --> 00:52:21,000
Speaker 2: maybe they can fix some of that. There were one

1058
00:52:21,080 --> 00:52:23,520
Speaker 2: hundred and twenty seventh in past explosion this last year,

1059
00:52:23,560 --> 00:52:27,440
Speaker 2: and now you're going up against a very, very talented

1060
00:52:27,640 --> 00:52:31,560
Speaker 2: Auburn wide receiver room. So can Iranda in the second

1061
00:52:31,640 --> 00:52:34,040
Speaker 2: year calling the D with some of these defensive staff hires.

1062
00:52:34,040 --> 00:52:37,840
Speaker 2: Can they fix that secondary? That is my biggest concern.

1063
00:52:37,960 --> 00:52:40,879
Speaker 2: Auburn just on paper has more talent. I mean, look,

1064
00:52:40,920 --> 00:52:43,080
Speaker 2: they were top ten in the portal, top ten recruiting

1065
00:52:43,120 --> 00:52:47,959
Speaker 2: this year. So but I don't like what I'm hearing

1066
00:52:47,960 --> 00:52:51,080
Speaker 2: out of Auburn. Like I love again Auburn. Also with

1067
00:52:51,120 --> 00:52:53,520
Speaker 2: their offense, I love like the offensive line. I think

1068
00:52:53,560 --> 00:52:55,880
Speaker 2: finally they have the offensive line in place. The guys

1069
00:52:55,880 --> 00:52:58,840
Speaker 2: in the right place experienced it was just a huge

1070
00:52:58,920 --> 00:53:01,560
Speaker 2: hole for years. I think they finally figured it out.

1071
00:53:02,200 --> 00:53:04,080
Speaker 2: It does look like Singleton, who was one of the

1072
00:53:04,080 --> 00:53:07,279
Speaker 2: best wide receiver gets in the entire portal from Georgia Tech,

1073
00:53:07,360 --> 00:53:10,359
Speaker 2: I can fly just a big play waiting to happen

1074
00:53:10,440 --> 00:53:13,000
Speaker 2: on any down. Looks like he's close to one hundred percent.

1075
00:53:13,000 --> 00:53:16,279
Speaker 2: So there were some injury questions in regards to him,

1076
00:53:16,280 --> 00:53:17,640
Speaker 2: but it looks like he's going to be good to go.

1077
00:53:18,120 --> 00:53:21,520
Speaker 2: That's important. But some of the things I'm hearing with Auburn,

1078
00:53:21,560 --> 00:53:23,920
Speaker 2: like in regards to play calling is I think Freeze

1079
00:53:24,040 --> 00:53:27,680
Speaker 2: might just be playing games. Was saying like he might

1080
00:53:27,719 --> 00:53:34,440
Speaker 2: play knight in Daniels at quarterback also, So I don't know,

1081
00:53:35,719 --> 00:53:39,360
Speaker 2: we'll see. I do think that Jackson Ronold is a

1082
00:53:39,360 --> 00:53:43,279
Speaker 2: good fit for the Freeze offense if he starts slow,

1083
00:53:43,320 --> 00:53:45,680
Speaker 2: like where is his confidence? So that's something I'm worried about.

1084
00:53:46,160 --> 00:53:48,319
Speaker 2: So I don't know. I mean I projected I'm high

1085
00:53:48,400 --> 00:53:50,840
Speaker 2: on Baylor, and I was higher than the mark and Auburn.

1086
00:53:50,840 --> 00:53:54,640
Speaker 2: I'm starting to sour on Auburn just from what I'm hearing,

1087
00:53:54,719 --> 00:54:00,520
Speaker 2: just like vibes wise Baylor, I project I have this

1088
00:54:00,680 --> 00:54:03,600
Speaker 2: like one. So if it got the three, I might

1089
00:54:03,640 --> 00:54:05,640
Speaker 2: consider Baylor, but I am worried about the secondary. I

1090
00:54:05,719 --> 00:54:08,919
Speaker 2: might look at this live another wrench to throw into

1091
00:54:08,920 --> 00:54:16,879
Speaker 2: this looks like freshman kicker for Baylor and McPherson, who

1092
00:54:16,920 --> 00:54:19,600
Speaker 2: was supposed to solve Auburn's kicking problems which were a

1093
00:54:19,640 --> 00:54:21,680
Speaker 2: disaster last year. I think they were dead last and

1094
00:54:21,719 --> 00:54:26,000
Speaker 2: field goal percentage. Looks like he unfortunately had a setback

1095
00:54:26,120 --> 00:54:29,400
Speaker 2: health wise. See he might be going back to McGuff

1096
00:54:29,440 --> 00:54:32,240
Speaker 2: or whoever those guys were last year. So the kicking

1097
00:54:32,280 --> 00:54:35,560
Speaker 2: in this game supposed to be a close game. Neither

1098
00:54:35,560 --> 00:54:39,560
Speaker 2: team should feel very confident in their kicking, so just

1099
00:54:39,640 --> 00:54:42,600
Speaker 2: keep that in mind. I don't know this gets a three.

1100
00:54:42,600 --> 00:54:44,600
Speaker 2: I'll be tempted by Baylor, but I'm definitely concerned about

1101
00:54:44,600 --> 00:54:48,120
Speaker 2: the secondary as of now, it's to stay away. Should

1102
00:54:48,120 --> 00:54:52,960
Speaker 2: be super entertaining game like both offenses should have big advantages.

1103
00:54:53,440 --> 00:54:55,439
Speaker 2: I know you like Auburn. Here, you played some early

1104
00:54:55,480 --> 00:54:56,680
Speaker 2: Auburn money line. What are you saying?

1105
00:54:56,760 --> 00:55:00,000
Speaker 3: I did play Auburn early money line. I'm not worried about.

1106
00:55:00,239 --> 00:55:02,680
Speaker 3: I mean, I know the warts that Auburn has, but

1107
00:55:02,880 --> 00:55:05,040
Speaker 3: there are problems with Baylor that I have too. I

1108
00:55:05,040 --> 00:55:07,680
Speaker 3: mean Sawyer Robertson. People are crazy about him, especially after

1109
00:55:07,719 --> 00:55:09,440
Speaker 3: a twenty eight to eight TD to I int, but

1110
00:55:09,880 --> 00:55:12,000
Speaker 3: he had a fifteen to sixteen big time throw to

1111
00:55:12,000 --> 00:55:14,440
Speaker 3: turnover worthy play rate. He was outside the top sixty

1112
00:55:14,480 --> 00:55:16,920
Speaker 3: five and on target rate. That means he's not one

1113
00:55:16,920 --> 00:55:19,560
Speaker 3: of the top half quarterbacks in FBS that can hit

1114
00:55:20,040 --> 00:55:24,239
Speaker 3: a target and stride Robertson's turnover worthy plate triples when

1115
00:55:24,280 --> 00:55:26,279
Speaker 3: he has pressure. I think there is going to be

1116
00:55:26,320 --> 00:55:28,240
Speaker 3: pressure in this game a little bit, but when it happens,

1117
00:55:28,280 --> 00:55:31,160
Speaker 3: it's such a big key because he just turns into

1118
00:55:31,239 --> 00:55:33,880
Speaker 3: a sub player when he has hands in his face,

1119
00:55:33,920 --> 00:55:35,840
Speaker 3: and it's been that way now for a couple of years.

1120
00:55:36,120 --> 00:55:38,959
Speaker 3: Keep your eyes on the weather here. There was rain

1121
00:55:39,000 --> 00:55:41,120
Speaker 3: predicted in the first quarter last night. When I look

1122
00:55:41,160 --> 00:55:43,160
Speaker 3: at this now, it's all predicted in the second half,

1123
00:55:43,200 --> 00:55:45,080
Speaker 3: So keep your eyes on that. It could be one

1124
00:55:45,080 --> 00:55:46,520
Speaker 3: of those things where if it is the first quarter,

1125
00:55:46,560 --> 00:55:47,920
Speaker 3: maybe you want to wait and play it live. If

1126
00:55:47,960 --> 00:55:50,400
Speaker 3: something funky happens with a slippery ball, it's.

1127
00:55:50,200 --> 00:55:52,719
Speaker 2: Gonna be weird, That's all I know. Yeah, Rana just

1128
00:55:52,760 --> 00:55:56,160
Speaker 2: keeps talking about stopping the run. Auburn's probably okay, we'll

1129
00:55:56,160 --> 00:55:56,960
Speaker 2: just throw all over you.

1130
00:55:57,120 --> 00:56:00,840
Speaker 3: I love David Randon because he's just so honest and truthful.

1131
00:56:01,320 --> 00:56:03,319
Speaker 3: I've never seen a coach just be able to just

1132
00:56:03,400 --> 00:56:05,920
Speaker 3: tell you exactly everything they're going to do and everything

1133
00:56:05,960 --> 00:56:09,319
Speaker 3: they're thinking. He doesn't hide anything. Q Freeze could could

1134
00:56:09,360 --> 00:56:12,120
Speaker 3: put something up on the chalkboard that could confuse a

1135
00:56:12,200 --> 00:56:13,800
Speaker 3: Rand a little bit. I mean, I know there's definitely

1136
00:56:13,920 --> 00:56:16,880
Speaker 3: history with those two calling against each other, so I

1137
00:56:16,920 --> 00:56:18,680
Speaker 3: don't really have issues back in Auburn. So I know

1138
00:56:18,719 --> 00:56:20,319
Speaker 3: there's a stall at the two and a half. I

1139
00:56:20,360 --> 00:56:22,759
Speaker 3: do think it's getting outside the power rating numbers where

1140
00:56:22,760 --> 00:56:25,360
Speaker 3: we're at. But when you look at the just everything

1141
00:56:25,440 --> 00:56:28,560
Speaker 3: from Jackson Arndld's finally going to be protected with that

1142
00:56:28,600 --> 00:56:32,719
Speaker 3: offensive line, Jackson Arnold's got weapons out the wazoo. I

1143
00:56:32,760 --> 00:56:35,520
Speaker 3: don't like Baylor's secondary, and I don't like Sawyer Robertson

1144
00:56:35,640 --> 00:56:38,040
Speaker 3: under center when he gets pressure, and I think Auburn

1145
00:56:38,080 --> 00:56:39,160
Speaker 3: is going to be able to produce a little bit

1146
00:56:39,160 --> 00:56:41,280
Speaker 3: of pressure. So all those things combined, I like Auburn.

1147
00:56:41,840 --> 00:56:43,400
Speaker 2: Yeah, a couple of guys who I was counting on

1148
00:56:43,560 --> 00:56:45,640
Speaker 2: taking a lead for the Bailo secondary. It sounds like

1149
00:56:45,680 --> 00:56:48,600
Speaker 2: that hasn't happened from what I've heard. Doesn't mean it can't,

1150
00:56:48,680 --> 00:56:51,839
Speaker 2: but I haven't just heard the things that I wanted

1151
00:56:51,840 --> 00:56:53,880
Speaker 2: to hear about this Baylor secondary, which is obviously a

1152
00:56:53,960 --> 00:56:57,400
Speaker 2: huge matchup in this game. All right, quick recap, that's

1153
00:56:58,080 --> 00:57:00,560
Speaker 2: I think like seventeen eighteen games, a little over an

1154
00:57:00,560 --> 00:57:03,759
Speaker 2: hour for Thursday Friday. Art will close out with just

1155
00:57:04,400 --> 00:57:06,799
Speaker 2: run down what you like, Just highlight a couple bets.

1156
00:57:06,800 --> 00:57:12,439
Speaker 2: I'll start like USF on Thursday, Rutgers NC State team

1157
00:57:12,480 --> 00:57:14,880
Speaker 2: total over. I think the pace will be there and

1158
00:57:14,920 --> 00:57:17,000
Speaker 2: I think the ECU defense is gonna get carved up.

1159
00:57:17,400 --> 00:57:19,520
Speaker 2: I played Wisconsin, sput it with first half a game,

1160
00:57:19,640 --> 00:57:22,120
Speaker 2: A little worried about just the total and how Miami

1161
00:57:22,160 --> 00:57:23,880
Speaker 2: Ohio is going to play and just try to ugly

1162
00:57:23,880 --> 00:57:26,680
Speaker 2: that game up, but do show enough value And I'm

1163
00:57:26,680 --> 00:57:30,120
Speaker 2: worried enough about Ohio to get involved there, Lean Buffalo,

1164
00:57:30,560 --> 00:57:33,760
Speaker 2: I think I prefer the under still waiting there. Probably

1165
00:57:33,760 --> 00:57:35,520
Speaker 2: have accurate and like some kind of round robin for

1166
00:57:35,560 --> 00:57:39,600
Speaker 2: fun and if you want to get really crazy with

1167
00:57:39,840 --> 00:57:43,240
Speaker 2: just some couch change in fun, Tarlatan money line against Army.

1168
00:57:43,120 --> 00:57:44,800
Speaker 3: We're gonna put that in the round robin I have.

1169
00:57:45,200 --> 00:57:47,880
Speaker 3: I think you and I opposite of the acc pot.

1170
00:57:47,880 --> 00:57:49,880
Speaker 3: I think you and I didn't disagree on a single

1171
00:57:49,880 --> 00:57:51,840
Speaker 3: thing today, So I echo everything that you have to say.

1172
00:57:51,920 --> 00:57:53,240
Speaker 2: Oh we will on tonight.

1173
00:57:53,520 --> 00:57:57,360
Speaker 3: Yeah, I know Saturday's games. I know I like USF

1174
00:57:57,400 --> 00:57:59,600
Speaker 3: Also Rutgers over thirty one and a half team total.

1175
00:57:59,640 --> 00:58:02,680
Speaker 3: I take the thirty two. Also Wisconsin minus seventeen. If

1176
00:58:02,720 --> 00:58:04,040
Speaker 3: you still get it, even if it's juice, I think

1177
00:58:04,080 --> 00:58:05,960
Speaker 3: you go out there and get that. Charlotte appstayed too

1178
00:58:05,960 --> 00:58:08,120
Speaker 3: many new faces under twenty six and a half first

1179
00:58:08,120 --> 00:58:10,720
Speaker 3: half same thing and Kennesaw on Wake two offense is

1180
00:58:10,840 --> 00:58:13,720
Speaker 3: incompetent under twenty seven. First half is out there? Do

1181
00:58:13,920 --> 00:58:16,200
Speaker 3: like Auburn up to three. I wouldn't go past that.

1182
00:58:16,440 --> 00:58:18,360
Speaker 3: And then after that go read about Sam Houston and

1183
00:58:18,720 --> 00:58:20,040
Speaker 3: what the temple of that game is going to be.

1184
00:58:20,360 --> 00:58:22,080
Speaker 2: Yeah, a lot to watch, a lot to learn, which

1185
00:58:22,120 --> 00:58:24,960
Speaker 2: is one of my favorite parts about week one in

1186
00:58:25,040 --> 00:58:27,680
Speaker 2: Today's New College Football. Hopefully we found some winners for

1187
00:58:27,720 --> 00:58:29,880
Speaker 2: Thursday and Friday headed into the weekend, which we'll cover

1188
00:58:30,360 --> 00:58:32,800
Speaker 2: on the next episode. Part two to be out shortly.

1189
00:58:33,160 --> 00:58:35,920
Speaker 2: If you ken take a second, subscribe on Subscribe subscribes

1190
00:58:35,920 --> 00:58:37,360
Speaker 2: to hell a friend, Ton Enemy. You know the drill.

1191
00:58:37,400 --> 00:58:40,800
Speaker 2: But thanks to our producer mad Mitchell, thanks to Colin.

1192
00:58:40,840 --> 00:58:43,640
Speaker 2: As always, thanks to everyone came out to Chicago most worthy.

1193
00:58:43,640 --> 00:58:45,640
Speaker 2: Thanks to all of you for tuning in. We will

1194
00:58:45,640 --> 00:58:49,480
Speaker 2: be back shortly with Part two hitting Saturday and Sunday.

1195
00:58:49,760 --> 00:58:50,320
Speaker 2: Catch you all later.

1196
00:58:50,400 --> 00:59:02,880
Speaker 3: Cheers, peace out, Action No Work reminds you please gamble responsibly.

1197
00:59:03,280 --> 00:59:06,120
Speaker 4: If you or someone you care about has a gambling problem,

1198
00:59:06,400 --> 00:59:09,000
Speaker 4: help is available twenty four to seven at one eight

1199
00:59:09,080 --> 00:59:09,880
Speaker 4: hundred Gambler