WEBVTT - 13 Undervalued Players That You Need To Target with Ryan Bloomfield (EP. 764)

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<v Speaker 1>What's up, friends, and welcome into Fantasy Pros MLB. I

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<v Speaker 1>am the Welsh. There is no Joe Psipia here today,

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<v Speaker 1>but I have got a great replacement. He is my

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<v Speaker 1>dear friend, Ryan Bloomfield. The Bloomer is in the house

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<v Speaker 1>as we're going to be discussing the thirteen most undervalued

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<v Speaker 1>players that you guys have got to target. Most might

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<v Speaker 1>be a little contrite. Actually it just thirteen undervalued players

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<v Speaker 1>that we've targeted, and we're going to talk to you

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<v Speaker 1>about why are they undervalued? Why do you need them?

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<v Speaker 1>Hopefully we will give you some answers and you can

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<v Speaker 1>find all those answers as well over at Fantasy Pros.

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<v Speaker 1>If you guys are looking to get into your drafts,

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<v Speaker 1>the Draft Kit is out. Go and check that out today.

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<v Speaker 1>The Draft Wizard. You can start experimenting and having so

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<v Speaker 1>much fun with all your different draft settings and there's

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<v Speaker 1>your leagues can You can literally mock draft how your

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<v Speaker 1>league does it, and you can do a lot out

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<v Speaker 1>of that for free. You want to get a little

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<v Speaker 1>bit more, you can get into the premium product and

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<v Speaker 1>and more. So go and check it out today over

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<v Speaker 1>at Fantasy Pros fantasypros dot com slash Premium draftkit do

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<v Speaker 1>all the stuff. Get locked in today, Ryan Bloomfield, what

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<v Speaker 1>is up, brother? It's really good to see your face.

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<v Speaker 2>It's great to see you, man.

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<v Speaker 3>I'm very very jealous of of you being able to

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<v Speaker 3>kind of gallivant around the Phoenix area and check out

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<v Speaker 3>spring training as I used to live down there. But uh,

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<v Speaker 3>but yeah, I always love this time of year. So

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<v Speaker 3>doing well, man, Shout out to your Hillsborough Hops hat

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<v Speaker 3>by the way, that's just up the road from me,

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<v Speaker 3>and let's.

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<v Speaker 1>All, yeah, yeah, thank you. Actually, I get like I've

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<v Speaker 1>got a couple collection of hats that get the most attention,

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<v Speaker 1>and the two are the Hillsboro Hops and the Savannah Bananas,

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<v Speaker 1>so I'm just trying to collectively. I've got one that

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<v Speaker 1>I haven't unveiled on camera yet. It's the Lake Elson

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<v Speaker 1>or Lookouts, but it's the one with the eyes, and

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<v Speaker 1>I think it's gonna weird everybody out if I have

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<v Speaker 1>two eyes looking at everybody, but I'll try it on

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<v Speaker 1>an episode.

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<v Speaker 2>You won't know until you try.

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<v Speaker 3>Yeah, switch it out mid mid episode and see who

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<v Speaker 3>notices that's right.

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<v Speaker 1>Well, this is gonna be great. This is awesome having

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<v Speaker 1>you here. Bloomfield is one of the best. You can

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<v Speaker 1>find him over at Baseball HQ and on one of

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<v Speaker 1>the hottest podcasts in the land, of course Joe and Myself,

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<v Speaker 1>but Bubba and the bloom k C Bubba, Deer Casey,

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<v Speaker 1>Bubba who does some writing over here Fantasy Pros and Bloomfield.

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<v Speaker 1>You guys have been rocking the podcast, and I imagine

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<v Speaker 1>you guys have probably hit on, like conceptually this interests me.

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<v Speaker 1>Sleepers and undervalued and breakouts. They're all kind of terms

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<v Speaker 1>that have like slight variations from each other. And I

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<v Speaker 1>imagine you guys have had these conversations when you think about,

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<v Speaker 1>like undervalued, how does that differ from sleepers or breakouts,

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<v Speaker 1>even if it's just like a minute little you know instance.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, it's tough to it's tough to tell.

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<v Speaker 3>Like what I what I think of undervalued is I'm

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<v Speaker 3>looking at average draft position at ADP and just comparing

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<v Speaker 3>guys to certain positions going you know, right around them,

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<v Speaker 3>and you take a cluster of three or four players

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<v Speaker 3>at the same position, say which one do you like

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<v Speaker 3>kind of out of that group going roughly at the

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<v Speaker 3>same time in the draft, and that would be my

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<v Speaker 3>quote unquote undervalued player for there, So.

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<v Speaker 1>I mean and that makes sense. So we've got thirteen.

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<v Speaker 1>We've got to buzz through them. If you guys like it,

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<v Speaker 1>go down and check into the comments and tell us

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<v Speaker 1>who's your favorite undervalued guy. When you do so, you

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<v Speaker 1>got opportunities to win some awesome stuff. We were talking

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<v Speaker 1>about the Jazz Chisholm Jersey last week. I gotta be

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<v Speaker 1>honest with you, I don't remember if when you're listening

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<v Speaker 1>to this you're still eligible. But there's always great prizes

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<v Speaker 1>that are out there, so make sure you're commenting on

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<v Speaker 1>the videos below because you never know what you're gonna win.

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<v Speaker 1>So let's get into this. Let's talk about undervalued player

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<v Speaker 1>number one. You actually came up in our atc Ario

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<v Speaker 1>Cohen Projections episode. How about Xander Bogarts. Xander Bogarts coming

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<v Speaker 1>in with an overall ADYP, which is great about Fantasy pros.

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<v Speaker 1>You can go and check out the ADP across all

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<v Speaker 1>the sites. It creates a collective ADP pulling all the

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<v Speaker 1>data in and the ECR he has got a rank

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<v Speaker 1>of ninety five, and he's actually got an ADP of

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<v Speaker 1>ninety six, so it's almost outside the top one hundred.

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<v Speaker 1>This was almost a twenty twenty guy last year. Projections

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<v Speaker 1>like him just about the same twenty twenty with high

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<v Speaker 1>batting average usually isn't a lower end to top one

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<v Speaker 1>hundred range. It's usually in the like seventy five plus.

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<v Speaker 1>So talk to us about why Xana Bogart's if and

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<v Speaker 1>is undervalued in your mind.

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<v Speaker 3>I think he is just because, like what one of

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<v Speaker 3>my crusades so far through through draft season has just

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<v Speaker 3>been prioritizing batting average as much as I can in

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<v Speaker 3>the kind of the early and early mid rounds, and

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<v Speaker 3>Xander Bogart's like totally totally delivers that last five years

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<v Speaker 3>batting average three or nine three hundred two ninety five,

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<v Speaker 3>three h seven two eighty five across a boatload of

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<v Speaker 3>played appearances. The power is not, you know, great, but

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<v Speaker 3>like you said, could go twenty home runs at nineteen

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<v Speaker 3>last year. I think the question is and whether Bogarts

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<v Speaker 3>returns his returns of profit here is at stolen based

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<v Speaker 3>total eight stolen bases in twenty twenty two nineteen last

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<v Speaker 3>year in twenty twenty three for San Diego. Was that

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<v Speaker 3>taking advantage of the new rules, a different organization philosophy.

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<v Speaker 3>Not sure, but I think despite that kind of variance,

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<v Speaker 3>and we don't know what the stolen base total will be,

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<v Speaker 3>the batting average, the runs he can play every single

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<v Speaker 3>day that he can. He's played hurt last year, He's

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<v Speaker 3>played hurt almost throughout his entire career. Kind of a

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<v Speaker 3>nagging risk thing, but he continues to deliver throughout. So

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<v Speaker 3>really like Xander Bogart's I kind of comp him to

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<v Speaker 3>Danceby Swanson going a little bit later at the same position.

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<v Speaker 3>Both rock solid shortstop options for you if you need

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<v Speaker 3>some stability up the middle.

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<v Speaker 1>But the different stands be pretty you know, significant drop

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<v Speaker 1>in batting.

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<v Speaker 2>Average, different types of players. Yep.

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<v Speaker 1>Why do you think you're honing in and targeting batting

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<v Speaker 1>average so much? Because I don't want to go too

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<v Speaker 1>far in this, But what I think is so interesting

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<v Speaker 1>is there was a couple of years ago. If people

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<v Speaker 1>are new to the fantasy baseball space and don't follow

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<v Speaker 1>like the trends or listen to a lot of the podcast,

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<v Speaker 1>there was this and I was kind of with this,

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<v Speaker 1>I liked it, and our friend who was just on

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<v Speaker 1>not too long ago, Justin Mason, kind of started this like, Hey,

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<v Speaker 1>I'm gonna punt batting average and this is like three

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<v Speaker 1>or four years ago, Like I'm going to like actively

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<v Speaker 1>go and punt batting average, And a lot of people felt, hey,

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<v Speaker 1>this is the POSI this is the spot that I

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<v Speaker 1>think I could punt in a Roto league, I could

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<v Speaker 1>actually start to punt batting average. Well, then in first

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<v Speaker 1>Pitch this year, there was a presentation I believe it

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<v Speaker 1>was Scott cho was talking about that batting average was

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<v Speaker 1>the most difficult position to pick up off the waivers

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<v Speaker 1>in season. So is it that versus the priority that

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<v Speaker 1>people don't really put on bat Like is it because

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<v Speaker 1>people don't prioritize batting average and you can take advantage,

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<v Speaker 1>or it's so hard to make up in season?

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<v Speaker 3>It's it's it's the most scarce, like stolen bases get

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<v Speaker 3>talked about all the time. Is maybe pre rule change

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<v Speaker 3>as the scarceest category batting average.

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<v Speaker 2>Batting average with.

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<v Speaker 3>The ability to do other things like bogarts can is

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<v Speaker 3>the scarcest modity out there. And I listened to Scott

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<v Speaker 3>Chow's presentation at First Pitch Arizona and kind of prove

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<v Speaker 3>that out during the season. It is very difficult to

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<v Speaker 3>uh to replace batting average. And I also think in

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<v Speaker 3>these later rounds, having a batting average cushion, having a

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<v Speaker 3>batting average floor on your team opens you up to

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<v Speaker 3>a lot of different options later in the draft. And

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<v Speaker 3>so I just like having that flexibility later in the

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<v Speaker 3>draft to be able to take you know, adult and

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<v Speaker 3>var Show or you know an Anthony Volpi or you

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<v Speaker 3>know whatever, those types of players. There's there's it seems

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<v Speaker 3>like there's a lot more of those, and you can

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<v Speaker 3>do that with a good batting average.

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<v Speaker 1>Here's a quick break in the action. MLB draft season

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<v Speaker 1>upcoming MLB season. Now back to the show. Next up

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<v Speaker 1>on the undervalue players. We're going into the pitching market.

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<v Speaker 1>We're actually staying in the average rank of the nineties

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<v Speaker 1>according to Fantasy Pros, and we're looking at Joe Ryan. Actually,

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<v Speaker 1>everybody's very excited about the other Minnesota pitcher, Im Pablo Lopez.

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<v Speaker 1>There's another guy that we're gonna talk about later that

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<v Speaker 1>I like, we're all like with baited breath, looking for

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<v Speaker 1>data on Chris Paddock to see what it looks like.

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<v Speaker 1>But Joe Ryan jumps out as an undervalue guy. Really

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<v Speaker 1>low walk rate, career, low walk rate into the five's

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<v Speaker 1>K percentage went way up. The strikeouts were there because

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<v Speaker 1>he added the split finger. This is one of those

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<v Speaker 1>pitchers that his return on value versus his rank ADP

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<v Speaker 1>really doesn't quite mesh, because this is the type of

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<v Speaker 1>player you would think would be twenty or thirty spots higher.

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<v Speaker 1>So talk to us about Joe Ryan.

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<v Speaker 2>I think Joe Ryan.

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<v Speaker 3>So you mentioned the splitter that was fantastic and a

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<v Speaker 3>nice compliment to one of the best fastballs in the game.

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<v Speaker 3>I think Joe Ryan from an actual fifth percentage on

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<v Speaker 3>the four steamer was like fourth best. He's definitely top

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<v Speaker 3>five in baseball last year, so he now has that

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<v Speaker 3>second kind of putaway pitch along with the fastball, and

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<v Speaker 3>the skills just soared last year. I think Joe Ryan

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<v Speaker 3>is being undervalued in the market because of the home

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<v Speaker 3>run problem. And there's two things to a home run

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<v Speaker 3>problem for a pitcher. There's the ground ball fly ball,

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<v Speaker 3>which the pitcher can control, and Joe Ryan does give

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<v Speaker 3>up a lot of fly balls fifty percent fly ball

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<v Speaker 3>rate last year. But there's also the home runs per

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<v Speaker 3>fly ball that is not as sticky year to year,

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<v Speaker 3>and Joe Ryan just got hammered down the stretch in

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<v Speaker 3>the second half. Had a twenty one percent homer to

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<v Speaker 3>fly ball rate league average on that is like twelve percent,

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<v Speaker 3>and so that's really what drove Joe Ryan's six 'oh

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<v Speaker 3>nine eer in the second half. And I just don't

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<v Speaker 3>think that home run variance is that sticky from year

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<v Speaker 3>to year.

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<v Speaker 2>I think if we get Joe Ryan with the league

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<v Speaker 2>average homer to.

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<v Speaker 3>Fly ball rate, the strikeout and walk skills are just fantastic.

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<v Speaker 3>And you alluded to Minnesota Welsh. They know what they're

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<v Speaker 3>doing as an organization, and I think they can they

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<v Speaker 3>can get Joe Ryan to ascend to an even higher

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<v Speaker 3>level than he's at right now.

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<v Speaker 1>A real oddity is like the fastball got hit up

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<v Speaker 1>more from a batting average standpoint one seventy four against

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<v Speaker 1>in twenty twenty two two forty, But the expect bio

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<v Speaker 1>would point out that's like a huge gap, but the

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<v Speaker 1>expected batting average against was actually closer year over year.

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<v Speaker 1>But he gave up nine homers against the forcing fastball

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<v Speaker 1>in twenty twenty two, gave up nineteen this past year. So,

0:10:50.600 --> 0:10:54.400
<v Speaker 1>you know, having a big adjusted pitch change, especially a

0:10:54.520 --> 0:10:58.120
<v Speaker 1>split finger, which isn't necessarily Nick Polck talked about it

0:10:58.160 --> 0:11:01.040
<v Speaker 1>on the Pitching Guide episode isn't viewed as like a breakaway,

0:11:01.080 --> 0:11:03.679
<v Speaker 1>punch away pitch. It's kind of the setup pitched everything

0:11:04.000 --> 0:11:06.920
<v Speaker 1>that that fastball fastball became a little bit more vulnerable.

0:11:07.080 --> 0:11:09.160
<v Speaker 1>Be interesting to see if maybe the sweeper kind of

0:11:09.320 --> 0:11:11.360
<v Speaker 1>takes a tick up or something like that. That's year,

0:11:11.440 --> 0:11:13.360
<v Speaker 1>so the fastball doesn't get hit up so much. But

0:11:13.480 --> 0:11:17.080
<v Speaker 1>the low walk rates make him pretty exciting. And I'm

0:11:17.120 --> 0:11:19.560
<v Speaker 1>down with this one coming in at number three. This

0:11:19.640 --> 0:11:22.600
<v Speaker 1>guy has a new team, and this team is quite exciting.

0:11:22.920 --> 0:11:26.040
<v Speaker 1>He does not cost inside the top one point fifteen

0:11:26.080 --> 0:11:29.199
<v Speaker 1>as far as ranks go. According to Fantasy Pros. Lookame

0:11:29.200 --> 0:11:32.400
<v Speaker 1>across the board and his ADP is almost one thirty

0:11:32.520 --> 0:11:37.319
<v Speaker 1>across all of the sites combined. New Dodgers Taoscar Hernandez

0:11:37.320 --> 0:11:38.960
<v Speaker 1>is who we're going to be talking about as an

0:11:39.040 --> 0:11:42.440
<v Speaker 1>undervalued player. Hit twenty six home runs last year in

0:11:42.480 --> 0:11:46.080
<v Speaker 1>a not great pitching environment, goes to a much better spot.

0:11:46.320 --> 0:11:49.040
<v Speaker 1>The bat x actually has him projected as the most

0:11:49.080 --> 0:11:52.800
<v Speaker 1>homers with twenty eight at least versus ATC I could

0:11:52.800 --> 0:11:55.520
<v Speaker 1>see him easily going over thirty in that really really

0:11:55.600 --> 0:11:59.200
<v Speaker 1>strong lineup and good hitting environment. How undervalued is Taoscar

0:11:59.280 --> 0:12:01.640
<v Speaker 1>When you think about the scope of where he is,

0:12:01.840 --> 0:12:04.440
<v Speaker 1>the lineup protection, and really who he was lot. Even

0:12:04.440 --> 0:12:07.160
<v Speaker 1>in that environment last year, dude still hit twenty six homers.

0:12:07.200 --> 0:12:07.960
<v Speaker 2>I know, I know.

0:12:08.080 --> 0:12:11.920
<v Speaker 3>It's just absolutely you know, it's a perfect landing spot

0:12:11.920 --> 0:12:13.960
<v Speaker 3>for Taioscar because he's going to play every day in

0:12:14.120 --> 0:12:16.920
<v Speaker 3>LA and he's probably hitting behind like a Freddie Freeman,

0:12:17.000 --> 0:12:19.319
<v Speaker 3>Will Smith guys who it's perfect to hit behind those

0:12:19.320 --> 0:12:21.000
<v Speaker 3>guys because they don't really hit a ton of home runs.

0:12:21.040 --> 0:12:23.840
<v Speaker 3>They just get on base consistently, so there's always gonna

0:12:23.840 --> 0:12:27.439
<v Speaker 3>be ducks on the pond for Taoscar. He's also going

0:12:27.520 --> 0:12:29.760
<v Speaker 3>at a point in the draft, at least where I've

0:12:29.800 --> 0:12:32.560
<v Speaker 3>found so far in kind of feeling out, some of

0:12:32.600 --> 0:12:35.480
<v Speaker 3>my early drafts feel like around this time of the draft,

0:12:35.520 --> 0:12:36.520
<v Speaker 3>power starts.

0:12:36.240 --> 0:12:38.520
<v Speaker 2>To wane a little bit in the player pool.

0:12:38.360 --> 0:12:41.040
<v Speaker 3>And Taoscar is one of one of the last few,

0:12:41.080 --> 0:12:43.400
<v Speaker 3>Like Anthony Santander's another guy kind of going a little

0:12:43.440 --> 0:12:45.640
<v Speaker 3>bit later that I like too, But I feel like

0:12:45.640 --> 0:12:47.720
<v Speaker 3>Taoskcar is one of the last few guys who not

0:12:47.760 --> 0:12:52.600
<v Speaker 3>only gives you that power but doesn't really have deficiencies elsewhere.

0:12:52.880 --> 0:12:55.160
<v Speaker 3>A lot of projections have ta Oscar hitting right around

0:12:55.200 --> 0:12:58.360
<v Speaker 3>two sixty. And again the runs and RBI, those kind

0:12:58.360 --> 0:13:01.000
<v Speaker 3>of hidden counting stats that are so hoorton and fantasy.

0:13:01.760 --> 0:13:04.560
<v Speaker 3>Are you know the floor for that in la Is?

0:13:05.080 --> 0:13:10.160
<v Speaker 3>I think just just massive, so perfect landing spot, especially

0:13:10.200 --> 0:13:11.920
<v Speaker 3>compared to Seattle last year.

0:13:11.960 --> 0:13:14.480
<v Speaker 1>I mean, and it's still like an above thirteen percent

0:13:14.559 --> 0:13:17.040
<v Speaker 1>barrel rate. It was top ten percent tele in a league,

0:13:17.040 --> 0:13:19.640
<v Speaker 1>hard hit percentage, love all of those things. He's still

0:13:19.679 --> 0:13:22.160
<v Speaker 1>getting the ball in the air. The batting average you

0:13:22.240 --> 0:13:24.480
<v Speaker 1>expected batting average. If you're somewhere between two fifty and

0:13:24.480 --> 0:13:27.160
<v Speaker 1>two seventy for Taoscar, you're really in a great spot.

0:13:27.200 --> 0:13:29.600
<v Speaker 1>And you know you said something that's really important. I

0:13:29.679 --> 0:13:32.240
<v Speaker 1>was asked this question just the other day about like, hey,

0:13:32.240 --> 0:13:36.079
<v Speaker 1>what's your early round prioritization if you were looking for categories,

0:13:36.120 --> 0:13:38.520
<v Speaker 1>and I said, you know what, my surprise people, it's power,

0:13:38.760 --> 0:13:41.000
<v Speaker 1>because speed usually is that answer. That's why you say

0:13:41.000 --> 0:13:43.240
<v Speaker 1>that batting average might be one of those. It's kind

0:13:43.240 --> 0:13:45.800
<v Speaker 1>of a pseudo one, but like power, I want power

0:13:45.840 --> 0:13:49.040
<v Speaker 1>throughout the draft because I feel like we have a

0:13:49.640 --> 0:13:54.640
<v Speaker 1>bigger gap between supreme power versus like stolen base Obviously,

0:13:54.720 --> 0:13:57.400
<v Speaker 1>like if you had Ellie and a story Ruiz that

0:13:57.480 --> 0:13:59.240
<v Speaker 1>might change the whole game on speed, But you can

0:13:59.280 --> 0:14:01.240
<v Speaker 1>catch up speed every where you're mentioning we get to

0:14:01.240 --> 0:14:03.280
<v Speaker 1>the top one hundred or outside the top one hundred,

0:14:03.360 --> 0:14:05.959
<v Speaker 1>there's only so many more real power bats that can

0:14:06.120 --> 0:14:10.040
<v Speaker 1>maintain some average, you said, Anthony Santander. I would say,

0:14:10.040 --> 0:14:13.280
<v Speaker 1>like ta Oscar and Jorge Solaire are like two of

0:14:13.280 --> 0:14:16.560
<v Speaker 1>my big options. There's a couple corner infielders. We're actually

0:14:16.600 --> 0:14:18.520
<v Speaker 1>going to talk about one in a second. But chasing

0:14:18.600 --> 0:14:21.440
<v Speaker 1>power a little bit later is still something you have

0:14:21.520 --> 0:14:24.080
<v Speaker 1>to pay attention to and do. And outfield gets it

0:14:24.120 --> 0:14:26.160
<v Speaker 1>wanes out a little bit, like are you in the

0:14:26.200 --> 0:14:29.560
<v Speaker 1>camp that outfield absolutely gets away from you? Or do

0:14:29.600 --> 0:14:31.720
<v Speaker 1>you think that narrative is kind of getting overplayed?

0:14:31.960 --> 0:14:35.920
<v Speaker 3>So I just drafted the Labor Mixed League Tuesday night,

0:14:36.360 --> 0:14:38.960
<v Speaker 3>and it's a fifteen team mixed league, and did I

0:14:39.000 --> 0:14:41.720
<v Speaker 3>had one outfielder in the first twelve rounds.

0:14:41.240 --> 0:14:42.680
<v Speaker 2>And man, I was nervous.

0:14:43.640 --> 0:14:48.760
<v Speaker 3>I was very nervous when outfielder, outfielder, outfielder rounds thirteen,

0:14:48.800 --> 0:14:51.080
<v Speaker 3>fourteen to fifteen, because I could kind of see the

0:14:51.080 --> 0:14:55.760
<v Speaker 3>writing on the wall that this was starting to fade quickly.

0:14:55.880 --> 0:14:58.320
<v Speaker 2>So I feel like I got out just in time.

0:14:58.480 --> 0:15:00.240
<v Speaker 3>But I think you do need to kind of keep

0:15:00.240 --> 0:15:02.600
<v Speaker 3>track of where your outfielders are at, because once you

0:15:02.640 --> 0:15:05.280
<v Speaker 3>start to get into that, like those late teens rounds,

0:15:05.360 --> 0:15:07.640
<v Speaker 3>it's it starts to get pretty tough. It's a lot

0:15:07.640 --> 0:15:11.440
<v Speaker 3>of just like older platoon bats, and you kind of

0:15:11.440 --> 0:15:11.960
<v Speaker 3>don't want that.

0:15:12.080 --> 0:15:14.360
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, there's some guys I like, like, I'm into Jared

0:15:14.400 --> 0:15:16.520
<v Speaker 1>Kellnick this year. I'm into Jared Durant and stuff like that.

0:15:16.560 --> 0:15:18.840
<v Speaker 1>But again, if you're focusing in on power too, there's

0:15:18.840 --> 0:15:20.680
<v Speaker 1>only so many. Who was the one outfielder you did

0:15:20.680 --> 0:15:21.880
<v Speaker 1>get in the beginning.

0:15:22.400 --> 0:15:26.040
<v Speaker 2>It was Brian Reynolds's core piece.

0:15:26.080 --> 0:15:28.880
<v Speaker 1>I love that. Yeah, my tout I actually started with

0:15:28.920 --> 0:15:30.960
<v Speaker 1>Corbyn Carroll. But that's my only outfielder so far. But

0:15:31.080 --> 0:15:33.280
<v Speaker 1>draft and hold, we're like six rounds in or something

0:15:33.320 --> 0:15:36.080
<v Speaker 1>like that, So shocker that I got Corbyn Carroll. Let's

0:15:36.120 --> 0:15:40.880
<v Speaker 1>go into the fourth undervalued player and we're serving up burgers.

0:15:41.120 --> 0:15:44.160
<v Speaker 1>He is Jake Berger. Definitely heard this name a whole lot.

0:15:44.240 --> 0:15:46.920
<v Speaker 1>We know the hard hit numbers through the roof. He's

0:15:46.960 --> 0:15:50.840
<v Speaker 1>outside the top one fifty ECR ranks over on Fantasy Pros.

0:15:50.920 --> 0:15:55.080
<v Speaker 1>His ADP is even lower. Let's talk about Jake Berger

0:15:55.120 --> 0:15:57.920
<v Speaker 1>and those obscene hard hit numbers and why he is

0:15:57.960 --> 0:15:58.680
<v Speaker 1>so undervalued.

0:15:58.800 --> 0:16:01.280
<v Speaker 3>That's the main part. Art we all know Jake Berger

0:16:01.360 --> 0:16:03.960
<v Speaker 3>has power. I think it's I think it's elite power.

0:16:04.160 --> 0:16:06.240
<v Speaker 3>I think it's elite power, and what we saw from

0:16:06.320 --> 0:16:08.800
<v Speaker 3>Jake Berger and I try not to go too much,

0:16:08.840 --> 0:16:11.480
<v Speaker 3>especially for hitters, into like first half second half stats

0:16:12.360 --> 0:16:15.000
<v Speaker 3>that much, but in Jake Berger's case, with the context

0:16:15.000 --> 0:16:17.600
<v Speaker 3>of kind of honestly just getting kind of jerked around

0:16:17.680 --> 0:16:19.880
<v Speaker 3>in the first half of the season with the White Sox,

0:16:21.000 --> 0:16:23.840
<v Speaker 3>inconsistent playing time, playing different positions, that sort of thing.

0:16:24.040 --> 0:16:27.000
<v Speaker 3>Berger finally, once he went to Miami, settled into a

0:16:27.080 --> 0:16:30.320
<v Speaker 3>role and not only kept the thump, kept the power,

0:16:30.760 --> 0:16:33.480
<v Speaker 3>but severely cut down on his strikeout right to the

0:16:33.520 --> 0:16:36.160
<v Speaker 3>point where, like I do think, maybe not as high

0:16:36.160 --> 0:16:38.360
<v Speaker 3>as like a Taoscar batting average, but I think Jake

0:16:38.400 --> 0:16:41.720
<v Speaker 3>Berger can hit two fifty. I don't think this is

0:16:41.800 --> 0:16:43.920
<v Speaker 3>just a power bat who's going to hurt you in

0:16:44.000 --> 0:16:48.440
<v Speaker 3>batting average. And so for all those reasons, Berger is

0:16:49.440 --> 0:16:53.120
<v Speaker 3>a very much target for me. And third base too,

0:16:53.240 --> 0:16:56.360
<v Speaker 3>just looking at kind of a macro level at that position,

0:16:56.680 --> 0:16:59.960
<v Speaker 3>you're a couple guys after Jake Berger, you're starting to

0:17:00.080 --> 0:17:03.000
<v Speaker 3>get in trouble at the hot corner. So Jake Berger

0:17:03.120 --> 0:17:05.080
<v Speaker 3>is just at the time of the draft and the

0:17:06.160 --> 0:17:09.640
<v Speaker 3>power batting average foundation that he provides, I think it's

0:17:09.680 --> 0:17:12.240
<v Speaker 3>a great fit for pretty much any team.

0:17:12.720 --> 0:17:16.159
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, I want to second this. Ariol Cohen beat the

0:17:16.160 --> 0:17:18.800
<v Speaker 1>Shift podcast. They just had me on and we did

0:17:19.280 --> 0:17:23.359
<v Speaker 1>a draft using Fantasy Pro's Draft Wizard. I had a

0:17:23.359 --> 0:17:27.880
<v Speaker 1>good team, but I tanked third base. When I say

0:17:27.920 --> 0:17:31.280
<v Speaker 1>I tanked it, I just at every level I was like, oh, okay,

0:17:31.320 --> 0:17:33.080
<v Speaker 1>I just missed him. We'll just wait for this guy. Oh,

0:17:33.119 --> 0:17:34.920
<v Speaker 1>we'll wait, and then all of a sudden we were

0:17:34.920 --> 0:17:37.439
<v Speaker 1>no longer waiting. I completely tanked it. Jake Berger was

0:17:37.520 --> 0:17:40.520
<v Speaker 1>one of those targets and I completely messed it up.

0:17:40.720 --> 0:17:44.040
<v Speaker 1>But I would remind everybody Fantasy pros check out the

0:17:44.080 --> 0:17:47.040
<v Speaker 1>Draft Wizard. You can even import your own cheat sheets.

0:17:47.240 --> 0:17:49.680
<v Speaker 1>You can take my ranks, multiple people's ranks. You can

0:17:49.720 --> 0:17:53.200
<v Speaker 1>really customize it however you want, and you can experiment,

0:17:53.280 --> 0:17:55.760
<v Speaker 1>you can play around with it. You also can set

0:17:55.800 --> 0:17:59.160
<v Speaker 1>priorities in drafts in the Draft Wizard, like third base,

0:17:59.200 --> 0:18:00.840
<v Speaker 1>you could say I want want to make sure I

0:18:00.880 --> 0:18:03.000
<v Speaker 1>am taking third base what that mock looks like and

0:18:03.080 --> 0:18:05.119
<v Speaker 1>the suggestions that gives you. So go and check it

0:18:05.119 --> 0:18:08.399
<v Speaker 1>out today. Fantasypros dot com slash Draft Wizard. Download the app,

0:18:08.680 --> 0:18:11.680
<v Speaker 1>start drafting. Download the app. Like my, uh my best

0:18:11.680 --> 0:18:13.520
<v Speaker 1>friend Justin Steel who has a Draft Wizard on his

0:18:13.600 --> 0:18:16.800
<v Speaker 1>phone and he likes the draft a guy, Yeah he does.

0:18:16.840 --> 0:18:18.920
<v Speaker 1>We we we were just hanging out. As I told

0:18:18.920 --> 0:18:20.919
<v Speaker 1>the story, people are so sick of me and I apologize.

0:18:20.960 --> 0:18:23.320
<v Speaker 1>But he found out I worked at Fantasy Pros and

0:18:23.320 --> 0:18:24.760
<v Speaker 1>he was like, are you serious. He's like, I love

0:18:24.800 --> 0:18:28.080
<v Speaker 1>Fantasy Pros and I was like, okay, let's give me

0:18:28.119 --> 0:18:30.760
<v Speaker 1>some extra credit at my job. And he pulled up

0:18:30.800 --> 0:18:32.560
<v Speaker 1>the Draft Wizard. He had the Draft Wizard on his

0:18:32.680 --> 0:18:35.080
<v Speaker 1>phone and we had a great time. So he might

0:18:35.160 --> 0:18:38.960
<v Speaker 1>have some swag come in his way, but be like Steel.

0:18:39.000 --> 0:18:40.320
<v Speaker 2>Moving him up the rings. Now.

0:18:40.640 --> 0:18:42.640
<v Speaker 3>I have used I have used the the mock Draft

0:18:42.680 --> 0:18:45.800
<v Speaker 3>tool and it is awesome, but the experimentation you get

0:18:45.800 --> 0:18:48.280
<v Speaker 3>to knock out a mock draft very quickly and just

0:18:48.280 --> 0:18:50.880
<v Speaker 3>play with different different types of bills and that sort

0:18:50.880 --> 0:18:53.080
<v Speaker 3>of thing. But yeah, to go back to third base.

0:18:53.280 --> 0:18:56.639
<v Speaker 3>In labor, I was in the same predicament as you

0:18:56.720 --> 0:18:59.600
<v Speaker 3>well did not take Jake Berger. I was actually a

0:18:59.640 --> 0:19:01.879
<v Speaker 3>snipe by Mike pod Ors or not that I'm keeping

0:19:01.960 --> 0:19:05.879
<v Speaker 3>track of how that work. Waited all the way to

0:19:06.000 --> 0:19:10.239
<v Speaker 3>get Matt Chapman, who does not have a home. I

0:19:10.240 --> 0:19:13.479
<v Speaker 3>think will I think I'll get signed. But that was

0:19:13.720 --> 0:19:16.840
<v Speaker 3>that was like the eighteenth nineteenth round. It's a bad

0:19:16.880 --> 0:19:19.320
<v Speaker 3>place to be if you wait on third base that long.

0:19:19.320 --> 0:19:21.639
<v Speaker 1>That mock I did. I would have killed for Matt Chapman.

0:19:21.760 --> 0:19:23.960
<v Speaker 1>That's how bad I did. So just you can't go

0:19:24.000 --> 0:19:25.640
<v Speaker 1>and check it out. I do a really bad job,

0:19:25.680 --> 0:19:28.359
<v Speaker 1>all right. Number five, Let's go to the next undervalue.

0:19:28.359 --> 0:19:30.040
<v Speaker 1>This is one of my favorites. I've talked about him

0:19:30.080 --> 0:19:33.800
<v Speaker 1>a decent amount. Nick Pavetta. Can you believe we're talking

0:19:33.840 --> 0:19:37.040
<v Speaker 1>about him here, Nick Povett. No, actually particular crazy order

0:19:37.080 --> 0:19:38.560
<v Speaker 1>outside of kind of the love and some of the

0:19:38.560 --> 0:19:41.920
<v Speaker 1>big value. When we're going through these thirteen names, there's

0:19:41.960 --> 0:19:44.000
<v Speaker 1>a little bit of like think of these as tiers,

0:19:44.080 --> 0:19:46.960
<v Speaker 1>not like insane numbers. But and the reason I say

0:19:46.960 --> 0:19:49.040
<v Speaker 1>that is Nick Pavett is ranked outside the top two

0:19:49.160 --> 0:19:53.960
<v Speaker 1>hundred right now on Consensus ECR. His ADP, though, is

0:19:54.119 --> 0:19:57.080
<v Speaker 1>higher than the rankers. That's a really interesting fact. And

0:19:57.119 --> 0:19:59.600
<v Speaker 1>I've mentioned a little bit on the last few pods.

0:19:59.680 --> 0:20:01.680
<v Speaker 1>One of the reasons I really love Nick Pavetta is

0:20:01.720 --> 0:20:04.560
<v Speaker 1>from July first on last year, he led baseball in

0:20:04.640 --> 0:20:07.359
<v Speaker 1>K percentage. And he also had and I'll say the

0:20:07.400 --> 0:20:11.600
<v Speaker 1>stat one last time, he had the highest wiff addition

0:20:12.400 --> 0:20:14.400
<v Speaker 1>from a starting pitcher year over year, if I could

0:20:14.480 --> 0:20:16.720
<v Speaker 1>even properly say that. So he had the highest whiff

0:20:16.800 --> 0:20:20.280
<v Speaker 1>addition like five or six percent to overall whiffs from

0:20:20.320 --> 0:20:22.840
<v Speaker 1>any sp because it's usually filled with RP. So either way,

0:20:22.960 --> 0:20:25.440
<v Speaker 1>like a big strikeout guy. They got body over there.

0:20:25.880 --> 0:20:27.200
<v Speaker 1>Why do you like Nick Pavetta?

0:20:27.760 --> 0:20:31.360
<v Speaker 3>It is that second half like dominance, but it's it's

0:20:31.400 --> 0:20:33.679
<v Speaker 3>not just again cherry picking that second half. It was

0:20:33.760 --> 0:20:36.480
<v Speaker 3>it was back by a pitch mix change, kind of

0:20:36.520 --> 0:20:40.240
<v Speaker 3>joined the sweeper revolution had that had that change. And yeah,

0:20:40.359 --> 0:20:42.600
<v Speaker 3>like I mean, my favorite, my favorite stat to look

0:20:42.600 --> 0:20:46.600
<v Speaker 3>at his strikeout minus walk great from first to second

0:20:46.680 --> 0:20:51.479
<v Speaker 3>half last year. The second highest jump in strikeout minus

0:20:51.480 --> 0:20:54.960
<v Speaker 3>walk greate behind Freddie Peralta was Nick Pavetta at twenty

0:20:55.000 --> 0:20:57.680
<v Speaker 3>nine percent, which is just which is just crazy.

0:20:58.160 --> 0:20:59.280
<v Speaker 1>It's an absurd number.

0:21:00.040 --> 0:21:03.639
<v Speaker 3>The the haters will say, yeah, but it was mostly

0:21:03.640 --> 0:21:06.360
<v Speaker 3>out of a relief role. But he's Pavetta still threw

0:21:06.359 --> 0:21:09.280
<v Speaker 3>over eighty innings in the second half, finished the season

0:21:09.280 --> 0:21:12.480
<v Speaker 3>in the rotation through five starts actually to end the season,

0:21:12.840 --> 0:21:15.760
<v Speaker 3>and in those five starts had I've got it right

0:21:15.800 --> 0:21:19.560
<v Speaker 3>here a two thirty seven ERA, four percent walk grade

0:21:19.560 --> 0:21:23.600
<v Speaker 3>and a sixteen percent swinging strike so just excellent stuff.

0:21:23.880 --> 0:21:26.760
<v Speaker 3>We've all been burned by Nick Pavetta at some point

0:21:26.800 --> 0:21:27.959
<v Speaker 3>in our fantasy lives.

0:21:28.040 --> 0:21:30.320
<v Speaker 2>Yet here we are in the year twenty twenty four.

0:21:30.520 --> 0:21:33.919
<v Speaker 3>Still hyping this guy. But I do think the changes

0:21:33.960 --> 0:21:35.919
<v Speaker 3>that we saw from him, and you mentioned like Potty

0:21:36.000 --> 0:21:38.719
<v Speaker 3>and some of the organization changes, I think he can

0:21:38.760 --> 0:21:42.639
<v Speaker 3>reinvent himself and pitch very well over a full season

0:21:42.800 --> 0:21:43.720
<v Speaker 3>in twenty four.

0:21:43.840 --> 0:21:46.239
<v Speaker 1>You haven't played Fantasy baseball list. Nick Pavetta is her

0:21:46.320 --> 0:21:49.719
<v Speaker 1>new season, so you have not, no, So it's all

0:21:49.760 --> 0:21:51.439
<v Speaker 1>your turn this year because we're hyping them up. We're

0:21:51.440 --> 0:21:53.119
<v Speaker 1>getting excited about it. We're going to stay on pitchers

0:21:53.119 --> 0:21:55.400
<v Speaker 1>for a little bit. I alluded to this guy earlier.

0:21:55.400 --> 0:21:57.920
<v Speaker 1>There are things to like about the twins, and outside

0:21:57.920 --> 0:22:01.879
<v Speaker 1>of Pablo Lopez, they're actually all kind of undervalued. Like

0:22:02.119 --> 0:22:04.920
<v Speaker 1>Bailey Ober and probably should have let Bailey Over out

0:22:04.920 --> 0:22:07.000
<v Speaker 1>of here because he's come into a lot of conversations,

0:22:07.040 --> 0:22:10.000
<v Speaker 1>but he has continued. He continuously fits the mold of

0:22:10.040 --> 0:22:12.080
<v Speaker 1>the pitchers that I like. You talk about K minus

0:22:12.160 --> 0:22:15.800
<v Speaker 1>walk percentage. His strikeouts aren't insane, but the walk percentage

0:22:15.840 --> 0:22:17.880
<v Speaker 1>is really low, and he keeps it over a twenty

0:22:18.080 --> 0:22:21.919
<v Speaker 1>K minus walk percentage, which you really really love. Bailey

0:22:21.960 --> 0:22:26.560
<v Speaker 1>Over doesn't have a big power fastball, but has a

0:22:26.640 --> 0:22:29.240
<v Speaker 1>kind of absurd wifth percentage. You don't see like twenty

0:22:29.280 --> 0:22:32.119
<v Speaker 1>five plus wifth percentages on fastballs a whole bunch when

0:22:32.160 --> 0:22:33.520
<v Speaker 1>you go and take a look, and it was twenty

0:22:33.520 --> 0:22:36.879
<v Speaker 1>seven point seven. And all of his main three big

0:22:36.920 --> 0:22:39.680
<v Speaker 1>pitches that are over ten percent had a twenty seven

0:22:39.800 --> 0:22:42.440
<v Speaker 1>or higher percent wifth percentage. So it's a pretty eaven distribution.

0:22:42.600 --> 0:22:45.280
<v Speaker 1>With good control, ERA is going to be there. There's

0:22:45.320 --> 0:22:48.720
<v Speaker 1>good run support. Bailey Ober undervalued to what.

0:22:48.680 --> 0:22:52.320
<v Speaker 3>Degree, to a pretty good degree. Like honestly, I Baileyover.

0:22:52.640 --> 0:22:54.600
<v Speaker 3>He's a flyball pitcher, kind of like Joe Ryan. But

0:22:54.680 --> 0:22:57.280
<v Speaker 3>what that does for Bailey Ob is it kind of

0:22:57.320 --> 0:23:00.359
<v Speaker 3>locks in, especially with such a small walk rate, it

0:23:00.400 --> 0:23:03.080
<v Speaker 3>locks in a really good whip, and I don't think,

0:23:03.119 --> 0:23:04.920
<v Speaker 3>at least in you know, in road leagues, we don't

0:23:04.920 --> 0:23:08.240
<v Speaker 3>talk about whip enough, and Bailey Ober has all the

0:23:08.240 --> 0:23:09.840
<v Speaker 3>tools to be able to do that. The biggest thing

0:23:09.880 --> 0:23:11.840
<v Speaker 3>for me with Bailey Ober is the number one hundred

0:23:11.880 --> 0:23:14.120
<v Speaker 3>and sixty nine, one hundred and sixty nine innings from

0:23:14.160 --> 0:23:16.680
<v Speaker 3>Ober last year, Like he would never very nice. He

0:23:17.119 --> 0:23:19.880
<v Speaker 3>had never had a professional season with over one hundred

0:23:19.920 --> 0:23:23.600
<v Speaker 3>and ten innings in a single season before. So to

0:23:23.640 --> 0:23:26.320
<v Speaker 3>see Bailey ob jump from you know, one hundred eight

0:23:26.320 --> 0:23:29.440
<v Speaker 3>innings in twenty twenty one fifty six and twenty two

0:23:29.240 --> 0:23:33.760
<v Speaker 3>to one sixty nine last year across the miners and majors,

0:23:34.359 --> 0:23:36.840
<v Speaker 3>like that's kind of the last box I was waiting

0:23:36.880 --> 0:23:38.960
<v Speaker 3>for him to check, was that durability. So I think

0:23:39.000 --> 0:23:41.080
<v Speaker 3>he can think he can stick all year man.

0:23:41.280 --> 0:23:44.399
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, and you know the projections got I've only got

0:23:44.440 --> 0:23:47.439
<v Speaker 1>him around like one forty something, So I think we

0:23:47.480 --> 0:23:49.680
<v Speaker 1>can press. I think we can press our innings this year.

0:23:49.920 --> 0:23:52.680
<v Speaker 3>And I think yeah, And I think he's locked into

0:23:52.680 --> 0:23:53.760
<v Speaker 3>Minnesota's rotation.

0:23:53.920 --> 0:23:55.280
<v Speaker 2>I don't see I mean.

0:23:55.200 --> 0:23:59.000
<v Speaker 3>Unless there's another like bad fit with with the with

0:23:59.000 --> 0:24:02.000
<v Speaker 3>with gopher ititis, with home run ball. I can't see

0:24:02.320 --> 0:24:04.400
<v Speaker 3>Ober being out of that rotation. He's kind of gone

0:24:04.440 --> 0:24:06.080
<v Speaker 3>in and out a little bit the last few years.

0:24:06.080 --> 0:24:08.840
<v Speaker 3>But I think that role is pretty safe.

0:24:08.560 --> 0:24:11.240
<v Speaker 1>All right, coming in at number seven, we are going

0:24:11.280 --> 0:24:15.760
<v Speaker 1>to my Arizona Diamondbacks, I know, not World Series champs,

0:24:15.800 --> 0:24:16.080
<v Speaker 1>just to.

0:24:16.080 --> 0:24:20.520
<v Speaker 2>The World Series. Just the cameras cropped perfectly. It just

0:24:20.720 --> 0:24:24.840
<v Speaker 2>says World Series. Can we can forget what has to pretend? Yeah?

0:24:25.240 --> 0:24:27.880
<v Speaker 1>Boy can we? We can sure forget, But we won't

0:24:27.920 --> 0:24:31.480
<v Speaker 1>forget in our drafts Merrill Kelly. Because Meryl that ADP

0:24:32.160 --> 0:24:34.359
<v Speaker 1>every year. I mean, maybe it's a little bit higher

0:24:34.400 --> 0:24:35.879
<v Speaker 1>and maybe it gives people it's a little bit more

0:24:35.920 --> 0:24:38.800
<v Speaker 1>squeamish to people because he is boring. But ECR has

0:24:38.800 --> 0:24:42.080
<v Speaker 1>got him at around one forty eight. His ADP is

0:24:42.160 --> 0:24:45.359
<v Speaker 1>actually higher, so he's going higher in drafts, but that

0:24:45.520 --> 0:24:48.520
<v Speaker 1>variance doesn't push him inside the top one hundred. But

0:24:48.680 --> 0:24:51.880
<v Speaker 1>when you think about his ability to absolutely eat innings

0:24:52.119 --> 0:24:55.520
<v Speaker 1>in a landscape where pitchers do not eat innings with

0:24:55.600 --> 0:24:59.280
<v Speaker 1>a great defense and a great offense behind him, Marril

0:24:59.359 --> 0:25:01.679
<v Speaker 1>Kelly has been and as solid as all. He's just boring.

0:25:01.880 --> 0:25:03.919
<v Speaker 1>He's just a boring picture for a lot of people.

0:25:04.160 --> 0:25:06.240
<v Speaker 1>But what I do think that does is it makes

0:25:06.320 --> 0:25:09.480
<v Speaker 1>him undervalue to not only what he gives you, but

0:25:09.600 --> 0:25:12.600
<v Speaker 1>what he provides your whole team context when you take

0:25:12.640 --> 0:25:15.439
<v Speaker 1>some risk. I'm gonna take Cole Reagan's early on. But

0:25:15.520 --> 0:25:17.040
<v Speaker 1>you know what I love. I love some of these

0:25:17.080 --> 0:25:20.240
<v Speaker 1>boring pictures that can help just give me a baseline

0:25:20.240 --> 0:25:22.800
<v Speaker 1>a little bit later when I'm taking some of those risks.

0:25:22.480 --> 0:25:24.600
<v Speaker 3>And you need you need a Merrill Kelly or too

0:25:24.800 --> 0:25:26.760
<v Speaker 3>in your in your in your fantasy rotation.

0:25:26.880 --> 0:25:29.200
<v Speaker 2>Anyone who play has played the last couple of years.

0:25:29.480 --> 0:25:31.800
<v Speaker 3>If you look at the waiver wire for starting pitchers,

0:25:32.320 --> 0:25:36.000
<v Speaker 3>it is it is so barren. Yes, you can go

0:25:36.080 --> 0:25:37.960
<v Speaker 3>with some of the guys where you know, we just

0:25:37.960 --> 0:25:40.400
<v Speaker 3>talked about ober Cole Reagan's where like they you know

0:25:40.520 --> 0:25:43.359
<v Speaker 3>that they're not quite the horse that that Merril Kelly is,

0:25:44.320 --> 0:25:45.760
<v Speaker 3>But you're ope. If you get too much of those guys,

0:25:45.800 --> 0:25:47.520
<v Speaker 3>you're opening up some risks that you need to at

0:25:47.520 --> 0:25:50.960
<v Speaker 3>some point replace someone in your rotation. And that replacement value,

0:25:51.040 --> 0:25:55.119
<v Speaker 3>replacement level value is is really bad for starting pictures,

0:25:55.160 --> 0:25:57.480
<v Speaker 3>and it just gets worse in the deeper leagues that

0:25:57.520 --> 0:26:00.000
<v Speaker 3>you play. So I actually think too, Like, yes, Meryl

0:26:00.080 --> 0:26:03.040
<v Speaker 3>Kelly does get the boring label. We saw a nice

0:26:03.240 --> 0:26:07.400
<v Speaker 3>uptick in the k rate and swinging strike rate. When

0:26:07.400 --> 0:26:09.280
<v Speaker 3>I see both of those go up at the same

0:26:09.359 --> 0:26:12.840
<v Speaker 3>time in the same season, I get excited. Yes, Meryl

0:26:12.880 --> 0:26:15.840
<v Speaker 3>Kelly's thirty five years old, so like, is there truly

0:26:15.880 --> 0:26:19.199
<v Speaker 3>another level? I don't know, but I think you've got

0:26:19.240 --> 0:26:23.400
<v Speaker 3>a pretty good foundation with perhaps the ability to even

0:26:23.440 --> 0:26:26.120
<v Speaker 3>get a few more strikeouts and maybe ascended that two

0:26:26.200 --> 0:26:29.320
<v Speaker 3>hundred strikeout plateau he had one eighty seven last year.

0:26:29.359 --> 0:26:30.160
<v Speaker 2>He almost got there.

0:26:30.240 --> 0:26:31.720
<v Speaker 1>You know what I found out too, I didn't know

0:26:31.800 --> 0:26:34.520
<v Speaker 1>until this year. He went to my high school and

0:26:34.600 --> 0:26:37.399
<v Speaker 1>now now the high school. Yeah. Of course the famous

0:26:37.440 --> 0:26:40.480
<v Speaker 1>people at our high school, Mark Andrews, Merril Kelly, and.

0:26:40.440 --> 0:26:42.639
<v Speaker 3>Of course the Welsh. So those are your three that

0:26:42.680 --> 0:26:44.640
<v Speaker 3>are out knew. I knew the Mark Andrews, I did

0:26:44.640 --> 0:26:48.320
<v Speaker 3>not know, did not know Meryl. Yeah, And sadly I'm

0:26:48.320 --> 0:26:51.560
<v Speaker 3>older than all of them, so was he? Yuh was

0:26:51.560 --> 0:26:55.600
<v Speaker 3>hey you guys cross paths or old man is old

0:26:55.640 --> 0:26:57.280
<v Speaker 3>man Kelly younger than you?

0:26:57.440 --> 0:27:00.360
<v Speaker 1>Old Man Welsh was out of that high school when

0:27:00.400 --> 0:27:03.480
<v Speaker 1>Merrill was popping in. So that's the that's the sadness.

0:27:03.560 --> 0:27:07.040
<v Speaker 1>Let's go to number eight. This was a bloomer hand

0:27:07.119 --> 0:27:11.200
<v Speaker 1>picked thyroi Strada. Gotta love stolen bases that you can

0:27:11.200 --> 0:27:14.960
<v Speaker 1>get later in drafts and multiple qualifications. So talk to

0:27:15.040 --> 0:27:18.000
<v Speaker 1>us about how and why thyro Strata is undervalued.

0:27:18.520 --> 0:27:21.240
<v Speaker 3>Kind of have been in love with Thyrostrata ever since

0:27:21.280 --> 0:27:23.200
<v Speaker 3>I wrote I wrote his player box in.

0:27:23.200 --> 0:27:26.200
<v Speaker 2>The Baseball Forecaster. What Baseball HQ puts.

0:27:26.000 --> 0:27:29.360
<v Speaker 3>Out every fall and we pump it out and get

0:27:29.400 --> 0:27:31.000
<v Speaker 3>it out and by Thanksgiving.

0:27:31.160 --> 0:27:34.520
<v Speaker 2>But I wrote Estrada's box back in October, and I

0:27:34.720 --> 0:27:37.000
<v Speaker 2>just there it is there.

0:27:37.040 --> 0:27:38.240
<v Speaker 1>It is a little little plug.

0:27:38.400 --> 0:27:41.720
<v Speaker 3>There you go, my boys, I gotta take my gnome down,

0:27:41.800 --> 0:27:45.160
<v Speaker 3>but beneath my gnome is senior Acunye.

0:27:45.640 --> 0:27:48.280
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, sorry, completely completely broke the podcast, but I wanted

0:27:48.280 --> 0:27:50.240
<v Speaker 1>to give you guys a plug. You guys sent me one, so.

0:27:50.320 --> 0:27:51.840
<v Speaker 2>Put it out there. Excellent.

0:27:52.400 --> 0:27:56.280
<v Speaker 3>So, yes, I I had mister Estrada's box in that book,

0:27:56.400 --> 0:27:58.679
<v Speaker 3>and I'm just I think the batting I would hit

0:27:58.720 --> 0:27:59.680
<v Speaker 3>two seventy one last year.

0:27:59.680 --> 0:28:01.320
<v Speaker 2>I think he can totally repeat that.

0:28:01.640 --> 0:28:05.040
<v Speaker 3>I think the stolen bases and talking with Bubba, who's

0:28:05.320 --> 0:28:09.200
<v Speaker 3>very much plugged into San Francisco. Bubba's confident that Estrada

0:28:09.240 --> 0:28:11.840
<v Speaker 3>is going to get that green light. Had a, you know,

0:28:11.840 --> 0:28:14.680
<v Speaker 3>almost an eighty percent success rate on the bases last year,

0:28:14.720 --> 0:28:18.200
<v Speaker 3>and that helps. So I think there's thirty stolen base

0:28:18.240 --> 0:28:22.040
<v Speaker 3>potential with the strata. And I'm more bullish on the

0:28:22.160 --> 0:28:25.040
<v Speaker 3>power most of all than I think everyone else. I

0:28:25.040 --> 0:28:27.080
<v Speaker 3>think a lot of the projections have a strata like

0:28:27.200 --> 0:28:30.000
<v Speaker 3>in the low teens for home runs. I think he

0:28:30.080 --> 0:28:33.800
<v Speaker 3>can get into the high teens maybe best case pop

0:28:33.840 --> 0:28:36.879
<v Speaker 3>twenty home runs. And if that's the case, I'm not

0:28:36.960 --> 0:28:39.320
<v Speaker 3>calling for that. I think it's probably more fifteen sixteen.

0:28:39.400 --> 0:28:42.760
<v Speaker 3>But I think this is a five category guy eligible

0:28:42.800 --> 0:28:46.360
<v Speaker 3>at two positions that's gonna play every day in San Francisco.

0:28:46.760 --> 0:28:48.880
<v Speaker 3>The big thing too, with the strata, like we kind

0:28:48.880 --> 0:28:50.120
<v Speaker 3>of had a little bit of a fade in the

0:28:50.160 --> 0:28:53.120
<v Speaker 3>second half, but he broke his hand in June or

0:28:53.160 --> 0:28:57.920
<v Speaker 3>in July, and I think that I think that affected

0:28:57.920 --> 0:29:00.920
<v Speaker 3>things for Estrata in the second half. So I'm much

0:29:00.960 --> 0:29:04.680
<v Speaker 3>more willing to believe the early breakout path that we

0:29:04.720 --> 0:29:07.000
<v Speaker 3>saw from Estrata in the first half last year.

0:29:07.040 --> 0:29:11.120
<v Speaker 1>ADP One, p. Fifty two. For Estrata, you don't usually

0:29:11.200 --> 0:29:14.760
<v Speaker 1>see guys get higher projections stolen bases when they've played

0:29:14.760 --> 0:29:17.800
<v Speaker 1>over one hundred games. Now it's simple because they're projecting

0:29:17.840 --> 0:29:20.240
<v Speaker 1>more games, so his stolen base numbers are higher. But

0:29:20.400 --> 0:29:22.760
<v Speaker 1>even still you don't see that. Sometimes you'll see a

0:29:22.760 --> 0:29:25.160
<v Speaker 1>guy that plays one hundred games, their projections will then

0:29:25.160 --> 0:29:26.760
<v Speaker 1>put him at one hundred and forty and then the

0:29:26.760 --> 0:29:29.880
<v Speaker 1>stolen bases are about the same. These are actually higher.

0:29:30.240 --> 0:29:33.479
<v Speaker 1>If he were to go twenty twenty, you are easily

0:29:33.480 --> 0:29:35.600
<v Speaker 1>breaking inside the top one hundred, and this would be

0:29:35.600 --> 0:29:39.920
<v Speaker 1>one of the bigger, bigger, most undervalued players with all

0:29:39.920 --> 0:29:42.720
<v Speaker 1>the other position eligibility. So that is a very fun

0:29:42.720 --> 0:29:46.040
<v Speaker 1>one coming in at number nine. I'm excited to hear

0:29:46.080 --> 0:29:49.840
<v Speaker 1>your take on this one. Cedric Mullins stolen bases again,

0:29:50.120 --> 0:29:53.160
<v Speaker 1>Cedric Mullins was underwhelming, hitting two thirty three last year.

0:29:53.280 --> 0:29:56.280
<v Speaker 1>Fifteen homers was a three year low, the nineteen stolen

0:29:56.280 --> 0:29:58.840
<v Speaker 1>bases were a three pretty much three year lows across

0:29:58.840 --> 0:30:02.800
<v Speaker 1>the board with strikeouts coming up, but projections they throw

0:30:02.800 --> 0:30:04.320
<v Speaker 1>it all out the window because you do have a

0:30:04.320 --> 0:30:07.280
<v Speaker 1>three year a three year window that it's working off of,

0:30:07.400 --> 0:30:09.720
<v Speaker 1>so they really see last year as more of the outlier,

0:30:10.040 --> 0:30:13.480
<v Speaker 1>his cost is cheap, and is it that outlier season

0:30:13.520 --> 0:30:15.320
<v Speaker 1>that makes him such a good value right now?

0:30:15.880 --> 0:30:18.600
<v Speaker 3>That's what I'm banking on, I think Cedric Mullens. So

0:30:18.640 --> 0:30:21.640
<v Speaker 3>we do have that two year track record of over

0:30:21.760 --> 0:30:25.160
<v Speaker 3>thirteen hundred played appearances from twenty twenty one and twenty

0:30:25.200 --> 0:30:28.360
<v Speaker 3>twenty two where Cedric Mullins was just an absolute monster

0:30:28.480 --> 0:30:29.360
<v Speaker 3>for fantasy this time.

0:30:29.400 --> 0:30:31.760
<v Speaker 2>Last year, Mullins I believe was like a third round pick.

0:30:31.960 --> 0:30:33.080
<v Speaker 2>I think, yes.

0:30:33.600 --> 0:30:36.200
<v Speaker 3>One of my kind of things is we and I'm

0:30:36.200 --> 0:30:38.440
<v Speaker 3>guilty of it all the time focus on just last

0:30:38.480 --> 0:30:41.640
<v Speaker 3>season so much we tend to forget what this track

0:30:41.680 --> 0:30:44.680
<v Speaker 3>record was for a player who is still not even thirty.

0:30:44.720 --> 0:30:47.320
<v Speaker 3>This is Cedric Mullins is age twenty nine season, so

0:30:47.400 --> 0:30:49.400
<v Speaker 3>I think he's young enough to turn things around. I

0:30:49.520 --> 0:30:52.200
<v Speaker 3>wonder there was a similar to like the broken hand

0:30:52.200 --> 0:30:54.320
<v Speaker 3>with the strata that I just mentioned. Love to go

0:30:54.400 --> 0:30:55.960
<v Speaker 3>in and look at injuries and kind of see the

0:30:56.000 --> 0:30:58.760
<v Speaker 3>before and after. Cedric Mullins had a pretty bad groin

0:30:58.840 --> 0:31:02.040
<v Speaker 3>strain in the middle of this season, and again those

0:31:02.040 --> 0:31:04.760
<v Speaker 3>second half numbers just absolutely tank. So this is a

0:31:04.800 --> 0:31:08.240
<v Speaker 3>guy who, quite honestly, in five of the last six

0:31:08.600 --> 0:31:11.480
<v Speaker 3>half seasons, if that makes sense, has been really good.

0:31:11.840 --> 0:31:15.480
<v Speaker 3>It's just his last half season was awful.

0:31:15.120 --> 0:31:16.720
<v Speaker 2>And there is some platoon risk.

0:31:16.960 --> 0:31:20.160
<v Speaker 3>I'll give you that, like he didn't play against lefties

0:31:20.200 --> 0:31:23.560
<v Speaker 3>down the stretch last year for Baltimore. But I think

0:31:23.600 --> 0:31:25.680
<v Speaker 3>he'll stay even if he hits lower in the order

0:31:25.720 --> 0:31:29.160
<v Speaker 3>against South Pause. I think Cedric Mullins is young enough

0:31:29.240 --> 0:31:31.960
<v Speaker 3>to turn this around and get back to the player

0:31:31.960 --> 0:31:33.680
<v Speaker 3>he was. Maybe not in twenty twenty one when he

0:31:33.720 --> 0:31:35.520
<v Speaker 3>went thirty thirty. I'm not going to sit here and

0:31:35.560 --> 0:31:37.880
<v Speaker 3>say that, but a lot closer to the twenty twenty

0:31:37.920 --> 0:31:41.280
<v Speaker 3>two version that hit sixteen homers, thirty four steals and

0:31:41.320 --> 0:31:42.360
<v Speaker 3>hit two fifty eight.

0:31:42.200 --> 0:31:44.760
<v Speaker 1>Pretty electric lineup that could potentially be as well, and

0:31:44.840 --> 0:31:48.560
<v Speaker 1>that the veteran hitting near the tippy top of it free.

0:31:49.320 --> 0:31:51.440
<v Speaker 1>Cedric Mullens is also one of those players. Why when

0:31:51.480 --> 0:31:53.479
<v Speaker 1>I look and I'm like, hey, I can get stolen

0:31:53.520 --> 0:31:57.800
<v Speaker 1>bases a little bit later Tyrostrada Cedric Mullins won thirties

0:31:58.120 --> 0:32:02.040
<v Speaker 1>ADP four in rank for Mullins, one fifties for Estrata.

0:32:02.080 --> 0:32:04.080
<v Speaker 1>You can find those stolen bases a little bit later.

0:32:04.160 --> 0:32:06.840
<v Speaker 1>You don't find all of those those big power numbers.

0:32:06.840 --> 0:32:08.720
<v Speaker 1>All right, we're coming into the last couple. We've actually

0:32:08.760 --> 0:32:11.800
<v Speaker 1>got two, and then we're gonna do a final undervalued

0:32:12.040 --> 0:32:15.320
<v Speaker 1>battle between these guys. But I want to remind you

0:32:15.360 --> 0:32:18.440
<v Speaker 1>guys to make sure that you guys have subscribed to

0:32:18.520 --> 0:32:21.480
<v Speaker 1>the YouTube channel YouTube dot com slash Fantasy Pros because

0:32:21.520 --> 0:32:24.200
<v Speaker 1>we've got Fantasy Fest coming up. They didn't even ask

0:32:24.240 --> 0:32:26.040
<v Speaker 1>me or tell me to do a promotion for this,

0:32:26.080 --> 0:32:27.960
<v Speaker 1>but this is going to be coming up here very

0:32:28.080 --> 0:32:31.440
<v Speaker 1>very soon. We are gonna have an amazing, amazing set

0:32:31.480 --> 0:32:34.240
<v Speaker 1>of stuff going on, so make sure you are locked

0:32:34.280 --> 0:32:36.840
<v Speaker 1>in to the podcast feed. You can follow it wherever

0:32:36.880 --> 0:32:38.760
<v Speaker 1>you listen to podcasts, where I think we usually have

0:32:38.840 --> 0:32:40.600
<v Speaker 1>kind of like a best of version of it, and

0:32:40.880 --> 0:32:43.600
<v Speaker 1>we are gonna have hours and hours of awesome content

0:32:43.920 --> 0:32:47.080
<v Speaker 1>content coming up here in mid March for Fantasy Fest.

0:32:47.120 --> 0:32:48.520
<v Speaker 1>I have the date. I'm not really sure if I

0:32:48.520 --> 0:32:50.640
<v Speaker 1>should say it because we're still finalizing it, but put

0:32:50.640 --> 0:32:52.120
<v Speaker 1>it on your radar and make sure you're following the

0:32:52.160 --> 0:32:54.960
<v Speaker 1>YouTube channel Fantasypros dot com slash YouTube because if you

0:32:55.000 --> 0:32:56.840
<v Speaker 1>do and we get hordes of them, Joe and I

0:32:56.920 --> 0:32:59.320
<v Speaker 1>will be forced to wear wigs and mustaches for the

0:32:59.360 --> 0:33:01.640
<v Speaker 1>opening day of leading off. That's what we've that's what

0:33:01.680 --> 0:33:04.760
<v Speaker 1>we've yessed. A good, good old mustache. I was thinking

0:33:04.760 --> 0:33:06.480
<v Speaker 1>maybe like like a long one, like I'll do like

0:33:06.520 --> 0:33:08.320
<v Speaker 1>a handlebar. How about like that, like that, like a

0:33:08.320 --> 0:33:09.200
<v Speaker 1>good handlebar one.

0:33:09.440 --> 0:33:10.040
<v Speaker 2>I like that.

0:33:10.200 --> 0:33:13.360
<v Speaker 3>I you can you can always do the the Valentine

0:33:13.400 --> 0:33:14.800
<v Speaker 3>disguise as well.

0:33:14.880 --> 0:33:17.720
<v Speaker 2>You can do with the mustache. Remember when you got

0:33:17.720 --> 0:33:18.200
<v Speaker 2>thrown out.

0:33:19.200 --> 0:33:21.120
<v Speaker 3>Oh yeah, yeah, yeah, yea, yeah yeah, put in the

0:33:21.160 --> 0:33:22.280
<v Speaker 3>disguise and the dugout.

0:33:22.400 --> 0:33:24.520
<v Speaker 1>This was I didn't even think about doing like we

0:33:24.560 --> 0:33:26.239
<v Speaker 1>could just wear the glasses. That would be good. So

0:33:26.320 --> 0:33:27.720
<v Speaker 1>we'll make sure you guys do that, so we'll have

0:33:27.760 --> 0:33:29.440
<v Speaker 1>some fun with it. All right. Here are the last

0:33:29.480 --> 0:33:32.000
<v Speaker 1>couple ones. Here. The last one is gonna be a

0:33:32.360 --> 0:33:35.400
<v Speaker 1>battle of versus. But let's stop over to actually the

0:33:35.440 --> 0:33:38.160
<v Speaker 1>camp that I was just over at the Brewers with

0:33:38.280 --> 0:33:41.920
<v Speaker 1>Willia Damas. Now, Willia Damas was one of those kind

0:33:41.920 --> 0:33:45.720
<v Speaker 1>of premier power shortstops, one of the guys that everybody

0:33:45.720 --> 0:33:48.240
<v Speaker 1>wanted to target. He was why you could skip out

0:33:48.240 --> 0:33:50.640
<v Speaker 1>on shortstop early on in draft. If I could get

0:33:50.640 --> 0:33:54.880
<v Speaker 1>myself a Willia Damas well, the battang average just started

0:33:54.920 --> 0:33:57.880
<v Speaker 1>to sink two seventeen after a two thirty eight year.

0:33:58.200 --> 0:34:01.920
<v Speaker 1>Except here is the addit. He is projected for a

0:34:02.000 --> 0:34:04.360
<v Speaker 1>higher batting average of this year on every single projection

0:34:04.480 --> 0:34:08.640
<v Speaker 1>system than he has hit over the last two seasons.

0:34:09.000 --> 0:34:12.760
<v Speaker 1>So XBA is higher, expected slug is higher, every expected

0:34:12.840 --> 0:34:16.719
<v Speaker 1>number is higher for Willia Damas. So talk to me,

0:34:17.280 --> 0:34:20.319
<v Speaker 1>mister Ran Bloomfield, about Willia Damas and can he be

0:34:20.600 --> 0:34:23.680
<v Speaker 1>a massively undervalued draft target this year?

0:34:23.760 --> 0:34:25.480
<v Speaker 3>Yeah? I mean taking the longer view with the Damas.

0:34:25.560 --> 0:34:28.279
<v Speaker 3>He was a consistent two fifty two to sixty hitter

0:34:28.680 --> 0:34:31.440
<v Speaker 3>with Tampa earlier, earlier in his career, And so I

0:34:31.680 --> 0:34:34.360
<v Speaker 3>actually buy the at HQ and the forecaster we have

0:34:34.400 --> 0:34:37.440
<v Speaker 3>a damis projected for two forty five, which is higher

0:34:37.440 --> 0:34:39.720
<v Speaker 3>than two thirty eight and two seventeen his last two seasons.

0:34:39.760 --> 0:34:44.319
<v Speaker 3>As well, the babbitt was insanely low last season. This

0:34:44.480 --> 0:34:48.160
<v Speaker 3>is not a two seventeen hitter. A. Damas also had

0:34:48.160 --> 0:34:52.920
<v Speaker 3>a concussion in May, I believe, and I it seemed

0:34:53.000 --> 0:34:55.879
<v Speaker 3>like that linger June was by far Willia Damas's first

0:34:55.920 --> 0:34:58.919
<v Speaker 3>month started to turn things around after that hit two

0:34:59.080 --> 0:35:02.440
<v Speaker 3>thirty who kind of started to come back up in

0:35:02.520 --> 0:35:04.520
<v Speaker 3>the second half. The biggest thing for me, it's just

0:35:04.560 --> 0:35:07.239
<v Speaker 3>the power. If you need a power hitting shortstop. At

0:35:07.239 --> 0:35:10.319
<v Speaker 3>this point in the draft, I think Adamis is fine.

0:35:10.320 --> 0:35:13.960
<v Speaker 3>He's gonna play every day in a decent lineup. So

0:35:14.320 --> 0:35:18.040
<v Speaker 3>so I mean I like Estrata more, but where Adamas

0:35:18.080 --> 0:35:20.319
<v Speaker 3>is going it makes sense. And then again different types

0:35:20.360 --> 0:35:22.160
<v Speaker 3>of players if you need batting averager speed.

0:35:22.360 --> 0:35:25.600
<v Speaker 1>Actually also maybe two compliments with the strata's ability for

0:35:25.960 --> 0:35:29.320
<v Speaker 1>multiposition eligibility, you can throw a Damis in a middle infield.

0:35:29.320 --> 0:35:32.040
<v Speaker 1>He is ranking one seventy one. I also want to

0:35:32.040 --> 0:35:35.040
<v Speaker 1>point out in all those projections he is just at

0:35:35.120 --> 0:35:37.720
<v Speaker 1>the thirty home run marker. It's somewhere between twenty six

0:35:37.920 --> 0:35:41.279
<v Speaker 1>and twenty eight home runs. You get one little bit

0:35:41.360 --> 0:35:43.880
<v Speaker 1>of a pop and a bus back, you might have

0:35:43.920 --> 0:35:46.080
<v Speaker 1>thirty plus home runs with that two to fifty batting

0:35:46.120 --> 0:35:49.120
<v Speaker 1>average for a Damas, and he might be a trade

0:35:49.160 --> 0:35:53.000
<v Speaker 1>candidate to go to an amazingly incredible destination that makes

0:35:53.040 --> 0:35:56.440
<v Speaker 1>his fantasy output even more exciting. Let's not say that

0:35:56.440 --> 0:35:59.960
<v Speaker 1>that's not a possibility. As I saw self Frielick actually

0:36:00.120 --> 0:36:02.560
<v Speaker 1>working at shortstop in the outfield here the other day,

0:36:02.600 --> 0:36:05.200
<v Speaker 1>So I would not throw that under the bus quite

0:36:05.280 --> 0:36:07.319
<v Speaker 1>yet for him. All right, this is the last one

0:36:07.360 --> 0:36:10.520
<v Speaker 1>before our battle, and we're going to talk about Jamer Candelario,

0:36:10.600 --> 0:36:12.440
<v Speaker 1>who goes to the Reds. This is going to be

0:36:12.719 --> 0:36:15.279
<v Speaker 1>pseudo number eleven because twelve and thirteen are going to

0:36:15.320 --> 0:36:17.319
<v Speaker 1>be a battle. Hit twenty two home runs last year

0:36:17.320 --> 0:36:19.799
<v Speaker 1>with a two fifty one batting average, now goes to

0:36:19.920 --> 0:36:23.319
<v Speaker 1>the world's greatest ballpark factor you could possibly have, and

0:36:23.440 --> 0:36:27.080
<v Speaker 1>is going to play all day. Yet his value really

0:36:27.400 --> 0:36:29.640
<v Speaker 1>has not. Let me look at it here. One ninety

0:36:29.800 --> 0:36:33.000
<v Speaker 1>seven is his average, his expert consensus rank with an

0:36:33.080 --> 0:36:35.960
<v Speaker 1>EIGHTYP on all the major sites take away our ranks

0:36:36.280 --> 0:36:39.360
<v Speaker 1>outside the top two hundred. So is Candelario one of

0:36:39.360 --> 0:36:42.520
<v Speaker 1>the better corner infield targets you could have. And we

0:36:42.560 --> 0:36:44.879
<v Speaker 1>talked about missing out on third base. That might work

0:36:44.880 --> 0:36:47.360
<v Speaker 1>out for you. So talk to me about Jamer Candelario.

0:36:47.280 --> 0:36:51.040
<v Speaker 3>Exactly one of those few kind of semi shining stars

0:36:51.200 --> 0:36:55.759
<v Speaker 3>at third base in an otherwise vast array of blackness.

0:36:55.840 --> 0:37:01.399
<v Speaker 3>So Candelario is I like him. Hark factor is fantastic.

0:37:01.480 --> 0:37:04.000
<v Speaker 3>The question is the playing time That we know there

0:37:04.000 --> 0:37:09.160
<v Speaker 3>are approximately thirty five infielders in Cincinnati buying for playing time,

0:37:09.440 --> 0:37:11.200
<v Speaker 3>but I think it's pretty safe.

0:37:11.200 --> 0:37:13.320
<v Speaker 2>I think it's pretty safe for Candelarios.

0:37:13.320 --> 0:37:16.000
<v Speaker 1>So I said it was they told that.

0:37:16.040 --> 0:37:19.080
<v Speaker 4>They said, like, he's playing every day, like you can't,

0:37:19.160 --> 0:37:22.040
<v Speaker 4>and like I believe that more than oh, we don't

0:37:22.120 --> 0:37:24.520
<v Speaker 4>know he's going to play every day because maybe you're

0:37:24.560 --> 0:37:26.040
<v Speaker 4>just trying to incite some competition.

0:37:26.160 --> 0:37:26.480
<v Speaker 3>It is.

0:37:27.239 --> 0:37:29.239
<v Speaker 2>I trust a team when they I trust a team

0:37:29.280 --> 0:37:29.919
<v Speaker 2>a little bit more.

0:37:29.960 --> 0:37:32.480
<v Speaker 3>I never fully trust a team, but I trust him

0:37:32.480 --> 0:37:34.440
<v Speaker 3>a little bit more when they say they come out

0:37:34.480 --> 0:37:35.920
<v Speaker 3>and say he's going to play every day. I think

0:37:35.920 --> 0:37:37.680
<v Speaker 3>you do need to take that at face value. So

0:37:37.760 --> 0:37:40.080
<v Speaker 3>for all those reasons, Candelario like it doesn't have the

0:37:40.160 --> 0:37:42.839
<v Speaker 3>highest ceiling in the world, But if you can get

0:37:42.880 --> 0:37:46.200
<v Speaker 3>a third basement that hits two fifty twenty twenty five

0:37:46.239 --> 0:37:50.120
<v Speaker 3>home runs in that park in a really good lineup, again,

0:37:50.920 --> 0:37:52.040
<v Speaker 3>I think it works very well.

0:37:52.120 --> 0:37:55.279
<v Speaker 1>Qualifying it first and third is going to be a

0:37:55.280 --> 0:37:57.240
<v Speaker 1>big key to for where you can move him around

0:37:57.239 --> 0:38:00.000
<v Speaker 1>for any deficiencies. Maybe you take on a little bit

0:38:00.040 --> 0:38:02.640
<v Speaker 1>a risk at third or first base, a little bit

0:38:02.640 --> 0:38:05.239
<v Speaker 1>of injury risk out there. Having that guy with a

0:38:05.280 --> 0:38:08.560
<v Speaker 1>ballpark factor that can go twenty five plus. In all

0:38:08.600 --> 0:38:10.799
<v Speaker 1>of this other thing aside. Think of how exciting and

0:38:10.880 --> 0:38:13.480
<v Speaker 1>kind of amazing that lineup could be if all the

0:38:13.480 --> 0:38:16.280
<v Speaker 1>things work out with Spencer Steer and Elie da Lacruz

0:38:16.360 --> 0:38:19.480
<v Speaker 1>and if everybody's going that could be like this year's

0:38:19.480 --> 0:38:22.960
<v Speaker 1>Diamondbacks as far as how they're running and how you know,

0:38:23.080 --> 0:38:25.400
<v Speaker 1>aggressive they are offensively, and he could be at the

0:38:25.400 --> 0:38:27.160
<v Speaker 1>forefront of it. He really could be kind of like

0:38:27.239 --> 0:38:30.160
<v Speaker 1>the Lords Guriel breakout Lord has kind of broke back

0:38:30.200 --> 0:38:33.799
<v Speaker 1>out post post post post h sleeper type of guy

0:38:33.800 --> 0:38:35.920
<v Speaker 1>from last year. Jamer could be one of those as well.

0:38:35.960 --> 0:38:38.560
<v Speaker 1>All Right, so this last one, this is a pitcher

0:38:38.800 --> 0:38:43.680
<v Speaker 1>duel for undervaluedness, and they're very different because I think

0:38:44.280 --> 0:38:48.080
<v Speaker 1>perception is different. One was kind of a reliever going

0:38:48.080 --> 0:38:51.840
<v Speaker 1>into starter and one we really don't know anything about,

0:38:51.960 --> 0:38:55.000
<v Speaker 1>so how can they be undervalued? We are pitting Shota

0:38:55.120 --> 0:38:57.480
<v Speaker 1>Amonica versus Christopher Sanchez.

0:38:57.560 --> 0:38:57.680
<v Speaker 2>Up.

0:38:57.719 --> 0:39:00.480
<v Speaker 1>What a weird collection of names. I know you're saying that,

0:39:00.560 --> 0:39:04.960
<v Speaker 1>but Christopher Sanchez is a very popular sleeper in a

0:39:04.960 --> 0:39:08.160
<v Speaker 1>lot of lands, so much so mister Ryan Bloomfield gave

0:39:08.200 --> 0:39:09.600
<v Speaker 1>me him as one of the names he wanted to

0:39:09.640 --> 0:39:13.160
<v Speaker 1>talk about. I threw on show to Amonica because everybody

0:39:13.160 --> 0:39:16.440
<v Speaker 1>can't stop talking about if Justin Steele couldn't stop talking,

0:39:16.520 --> 0:39:19.400
<v Speaker 1>Nick Pollock had him in the thirty fives. A Monica

0:39:19.640 --> 0:39:22.439
<v Speaker 1>might be a monster. But people don't know what they're

0:39:22.480 --> 0:39:26.440
<v Speaker 1>in for. So here's the question, what you know versus

0:39:26.440 --> 0:39:28.920
<v Speaker 1>what you don't know? And what we do know is

0:39:28.920 --> 0:39:31.840
<v Speaker 1>both of these guys are outside the top two hundred.

0:39:32.440 --> 0:39:37.399
<v Speaker 1>So who is more undervalued, Christopher Sanchez or Choto Amonica.

0:39:37.880 --> 0:39:42.319
<v Speaker 3>Yes, I pleaded incessantly that we add Christopher Sanchez on

0:39:42.400 --> 0:39:47.080
<v Speaker 3>the on the rundown here. He is my pitcher that

0:39:47.120 --> 0:39:49.480
<v Speaker 3>I'm trying to get in every single draft outside the

0:39:49.480 --> 0:39:53.000
<v Speaker 3>top two hundred. I will admit that the track record,

0:39:53.000 --> 0:39:56.520
<v Speaker 3>the minor league numbers with Christopher Sanchez were not that great.

0:39:56.600 --> 0:39:59.800
<v Speaker 2>The schedule down the stretch was pretty soft.

0:40:00.080 --> 0:40:02.719
<v Speaker 3>But this change up that he refined and threw more

0:40:02.800 --> 0:40:06.520
<v Speaker 3>as throughout the season went on, Christopher Sanchez. It was

0:40:06.560 --> 0:40:08.680
<v Speaker 3>one of the best pitches in baseball in terms of

0:40:08.719 --> 0:40:11.400
<v Speaker 3>ground balls and whiffs, and that's what you want a

0:40:11.520 --> 0:40:13.000
<v Speaker 3>change up to do. You want to get that on

0:40:13.040 --> 0:40:14.960
<v Speaker 3>the ground and you want it to miss bats. The

0:40:15.040 --> 0:40:19.200
<v Speaker 3>walk rate was fantastic. I use ball percentage to kind

0:40:19.239 --> 0:40:23.200
<v Speaker 3>of validate a walk rate and Christopher Sanchez through strikes consistently.

0:40:23.440 --> 0:40:25.719
<v Speaker 3>Anytime you have someone with like a four to five

0:40:25.760 --> 0:40:27.880
<v Speaker 3>percent walk rate with the ground ball rate that's in

0:40:27.880 --> 0:40:30.959
<v Speaker 3>the upper fifties, it's just it just does so much

0:40:31.000 --> 0:40:34.200
<v Speaker 3>for you in terms of run prevention. And yes, like

0:40:34.280 --> 0:40:37.239
<v Speaker 3>the strikeout upside may not quite be there, but if

0:40:37.239 --> 0:40:39.600
<v Speaker 3>that change up continues to kind of do what we

0:40:39.640 --> 0:40:43.000
<v Speaker 3>saw in the second half, I think Christopher Sanchez is

0:40:44.040 --> 0:40:46.799
<v Speaker 3>an absolute breakout this year. Like I said, having him

0:40:46.840 --> 0:40:48.680
<v Speaker 3>on every single one of his one of my teams.

0:40:48.719 --> 0:40:53.160
<v Speaker 3>No shade to Amonaga, but I'm going Sanchez.

0:40:52.680 --> 0:40:56.360
<v Speaker 1>Man, okay, so clearly over so Chris Sanchez wins that battle.

0:40:56.800 --> 0:41:01.000
<v Speaker 1>But show too, Monica is still a potential big underva

0:41:01.280 --> 0:41:04.319
<v Speaker 1>because he has not jumped in value. He is too.

0:41:04.640 --> 0:41:06.080
<v Speaker 1>Let me like I just had it up here. He

0:41:06.400 --> 0:41:10.239
<v Speaker 1>was two oh eight on the consensus rank and or no,

0:41:10.280 --> 0:41:12.239
<v Speaker 1>I'm sorry that was his ADP was two o eight.

0:41:12.280 --> 0:41:15.040
<v Speaker 1>He was around two twenty. Chris Sanchez has an ECR

0:41:15.080 --> 0:41:17.600
<v Speaker 1>of two sixty, but is two eighty three, So that

0:41:17.680 --> 0:41:20.240
<v Speaker 1>is a difference. There's almost eighty spot difference in eighty

0:41:20.320 --> 0:41:24.560
<v Speaker 1>P versus these two guys, it's just will Sanchez's innings

0:41:24.560 --> 0:41:28.280
<v Speaker 1>and strikeouts go to a level if Amnaica works out

0:41:28.600 --> 0:41:31.839
<v Speaker 1>where I think in some people's minds the Monica might

0:41:31.880 --> 0:41:35.919
<v Speaker 1>be way closer than Yoshinobu Yamamoto than anybody actually really

0:41:35.920 --> 0:41:37.840
<v Speaker 1>expects and could be one of the front runners in

0:41:37.880 --> 0:41:41.480
<v Speaker 1>that cub's rotation. But Christopher Sanchez is a free square.

0:41:41.600 --> 0:41:44.399
<v Speaker 3>That's kind of the big one, right, Yeah, and then

0:41:44.400 --> 0:41:46.520
<v Speaker 3>the thing all out about Amanica too. Yeah, Go go

0:41:46.680 --> 0:41:51.240
<v Speaker 3>compare Yamamoto and Amonica's numbers last year and then compare

0:41:51.680 --> 0:41:55.480
<v Speaker 3>their ADP this year. I think I think you'll be surprised.

0:41:55.560 --> 0:41:58.120
<v Speaker 3>I think that's yeah. I think that's the big thing with.

0:42:00.800 --> 0:42:02.840
<v Speaker 1>So Minic got and you got a great splitter to

0:42:02.880 --> 0:42:05.560
<v Speaker 1>go with the you know, the number one stuff. Plus

0:42:05.640 --> 0:42:09.640
<v Speaker 1>in the WBC. You can say all of that, God can't.

0:42:09.920 --> 0:42:12.720
<v Speaker 1>If you can say it, you're hired. I cannot. Those

0:42:12.840 --> 0:42:15.840
<v Speaker 1>are the thirteen undervalued players that you guys need to target,

0:42:15.920 --> 0:42:19.800
<v Speaker 1>according to myself and Ryan Bloomfield. You can find Bloomer,

0:42:19.960 --> 0:42:23.879
<v Speaker 1>my boy Bloomer over at Baseball HQ. I'd also follow

0:42:23.960 --> 0:42:26.680
<v Speaker 1>him on Twitter at Ryan BHQ. You can check out

0:42:26.680 --> 0:42:29.439
<v Speaker 1>all the great bloom boards, and of course you've got

0:42:29.480 --> 0:42:32.040
<v Speaker 1>Bubba in the bloom anything else that everyone needs to know.

0:42:32.000 --> 0:42:33.719
<v Speaker 2>About, that's pretty much it. Man.

0:42:33.800 --> 0:42:36.280
<v Speaker 3>Check out Yeah, check out our podcast after of course

0:42:36.320 --> 0:42:39.319
<v Speaker 3>listening to Fantasy Pros every day, but check us out

0:42:39.360 --> 0:42:41.440
<v Speaker 3>Monday or Wednesday and Friday new episodes.

0:42:42.200 --> 0:42:45.680
<v Speaker 1>Perfect and like I said, follow him on Twitter, Ryan Bhq.

0:42:45.920 --> 0:42:48.000
<v Speaker 1>You'll get all the updates and everything that's going on Bloomer.

0:42:48.040 --> 0:42:50.000
<v Speaker 1>Thank you so much for taking the time. He's one

0:42:50.000 --> 0:42:52.120
<v Speaker 1>of the best in the industry. So make sure that

0:42:52.200 --> 0:42:55.120
<v Speaker 1>you are supporting and following because it's going to make

0:42:55.160 --> 0:42:58.120
<v Speaker 1>you a better fantasy player, just like the tools over

0:42:58.120 --> 0:42:59.919
<v Speaker 1>here at Fantasy Pros are going to do as well.

0:43:00.160 --> 0:43:02.560
<v Speaker 1>Check out the draft kit. I got a bunch of articles.

0:43:02.840 --> 0:43:05.239
<v Speaker 1>Mike Mayer, by the way, you finished top five in

0:43:05.320 --> 0:43:08.720
<v Speaker 1>Baseball accuracy ranks this year. He's got all his stuff

0:43:08.719 --> 0:43:10.560
<v Speaker 1>in there. Check out all the great so we got

0:43:10.600 --> 0:43:13.360
<v Speaker 1>articles going. We got some premium content as well. My

0:43:13.960 --> 0:43:16.759
<v Speaker 1>Draft Day targets article is officially out. If you want

0:43:16.800 --> 0:43:20.040
<v Speaker 1>to see the player at every position that I must have,

0:43:20.239 --> 0:43:22.040
<v Speaker 1>you can go and check that out. So go over

0:43:22.080 --> 0:43:25.040
<v Speaker 1>to Fantasypros dot com peruse all the great stuff, sign

0:43:25.120 --> 0:43:27.640
<v Speaker 1>up for premium, get in the discord, hang out with us,

0:43:27.680 --> 0:43:30.400
<v Speaker 1>and have so much fun. Thank you guys all for

0:43:30.480 --> 0:43:32.840
<v Speaker 1>hanging out with me and Bloomer. You can find me

0:43:32.920 --> 0:43:34.680
<v Speaker 1>on Twitter at is at the Welsh and we will

0:43:34.680 --> 0:43:37.680
<v Speaker 1>talk to you next time right here on Fantasy Pros,

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<v Speaker 1>my friends,