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Speaker 1: Look, I love all of you guys. In this life,

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Speaker 1: in this world that we live in, you can do

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Speaker 1: one of two things. You can either run your mouth

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Speaker 1: a whole lot and then go back and delete all

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Speaker 1: your bad takes, of which you will have many, or

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Speaker 1: you can have the kind of show that I'm going

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Speaker 1: to have to have tonight. This is called discipline. We're

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Speaker 1: jam packed, We're high atop of cloudy downtown Nashville, Tennessee.

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Speaker 1: It's Tuesday night, October twenty eighth. Fear of Our Lord

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Speaker 1: twenty twenty five. Now, we got week ten predictions on

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Speaker 1: the show, because that's what we do around here on Tuesday.

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Speaker 1: But also this is college football twenty twenty five, so

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Speaker 1: we also have coaching searches, whatever the plural form of

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Speaker 1: that is going on in the middle of October, pre

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Speaker 1: Halloween coaching searches. I'm going to talk about that. Some

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Speaker 1: harsh allegations have been thrown our way. Now a couple

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Speaker 1: of them are legit, and I'm going to lead the

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Speaker 1: show with that one of them. Though, Jesse, did you

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Speaker 1: see that someone had the audacity to claim we were

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Speaker 1: biased towards the SEC on this show. I gasped so

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Speaker 1: hard I almost choked, and I can't let that stand.

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Speaker 1: Some of these other allegations, I'm gonna let them ride.

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Speaker 1: That I'm not gonna let ride because if I'm biased

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Speaker 1: towards the SEC, I have a sneaking suspicion, so were you,

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Speaker 1: and I got evidence to back it up. I've also

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Speaker 1: got the japeepole on the show tonight. But we got

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Speaker 1: a lot to do. We're gonna give away some money

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Speaker 1: on the show. You like legit money, how about that?

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Speaker 1: So there will be some winners on tonight's show. I

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Speaker 1: just won't be one of them, at least until the

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Speaker 1: end when we do Rominudle Express, at which point we

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Speaker 1: cross our fingers and we all hope to win together.

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Speaker 1: So it takes a mature person to do the kind

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Speaker 1: of show we're going to do tonight, and I hope

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Speaker 1: that I am that mature person. They're watching us in Asheville,

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Speaker 1: North Carolina, and Arbor, Michigan, Cranford, New Jersey, and Blairsville, Georgia.

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Speaker 1: I looked at our traffic, because I do every morning.

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Speaker 1: I have a data report delivered to me every morning.

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Speaker 1: Are our subscription traffic is through the roof. That's because

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Speaker 1: we do the show free and we always have and

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Speaker 1: hopefully we always will. And I appreciate you guys for

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Speaker 1: keeping it that way. And all I'm asking if you're

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Speaker 1: watching the show, and millions of you are now every month,

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Speaker 1: make sure you check and see that you're subscribed on

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Speaker 1: YouTube and the podcast feed. That's it. That's it. It makes

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Speaker 1: no difference to your viewing experience. It just helps us.

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Speaker 1: And trust me, you have no idea how much it

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Speaker 1: helps us, and so I appreciate it. It makes me look

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Speaker 1: really good in the meetings I attend. And that's all

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Speaker 1: I ask, free of charge to enter, free of charge

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Speaker 1: to watch, just make me look good in the meetings.

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Speaker 1: I need us a tire boost tonight. I need a

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Speaker 1: little self esteem boost after what I'm about to go through.

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Speaker 1: So what I would like to lead the show with

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Speaker 1: tonight is we're about forty eight hours removed now from

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Speaker 1: the news breaking during our live show that Brian Kelly

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Speaker 1: was getting fired at LSU. And it didn't take me

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Speaker 1: by surprise. We had a little heads up that it

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Speaker 1: was coming. We just didn't know when it was going

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Speaker 1: to happen, and as it turns, it happened three minutes

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Speaker 1: after we went on air, and so we broke the

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Speaker 1: news here what we ourselves didn't break it, but it

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Speaker 1: broke on our show, and then we discussed it and

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Speaker 1: reacted to it and all that stuff. So everyone's had

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Speaker 1: an opinion on this. This is one of those that

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Speaker 1: affected everyone. I don't care if you're a Washington State

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Speaker 1: fan or an FAU fan, you had a take on

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Speaker 1: Brian Kelly. And I have looked at it and I've

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Speaker 1: asked myself, what in the world are we learning from this? Like,

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Speaker 1: I still think I'll talk about this in a second.

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Speaker 1: I still think the way that the ABC broadcast handled

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Speaker 1: the fourth quarter had a ton to do, not ultimately

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Speaker 1: with whether Brian Kelly was going to get fired, but

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Speaker 1: the rapid nature of how quickly he got fired the

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Speaker 1: next day. So there's been a lot made of whether

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Speaker 1: you have to fit at LSU or not, Oh, he

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Speaker 1: wasn't a good fit, And I do agree he wasn't

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Speaker 1: a good fit. So that's part one of where maybe

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Speaker 1: I whiffed a little bit. But I never really thought

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Speaker 1: the fit for Brian Kelly at LSU was about what

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Speaker 1: most people think fitting at LSU means. If we're just

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Speaker 1: calling it like it is most people think fitting at

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Speaker 1: LSU means being from the South. That's an outsider's view

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Speaker 1: of what it takes to fit at LSU. Let's never

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Speaker 1: been what it takes to fit at LSU because Nick

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Speaker 1: Saban wouldn't have fit there. Nick Saban fit there because

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Speaker 1: he was a really hard worker. Nick Saban fit there

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Speaker 1: because he leaned into what makes Louisiana great And I

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Speaker 1: don't mean great from a cultural perspective, even, I mean

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Speaker 1: what makes it a great place to be a college

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Speaker 1: football coach. He leaned into that. He hired at an

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Speaker 1: elite level. This is going to be a theme throughout

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Speaker 1: this coaching search, by the way, So just get used

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Speaker 1: to me talking about that. And he recruited, and that's

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Speaker 1: not in exact order. Recruiting probably could have been first

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Speaker 1: and foremost. He went and got really good players. And

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Speaker 1: when you get really good players, then you surround them

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Speaker 1: with an elite coaching staff and you work really hard

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Speaker 1: and you embrace Louisiana. You tend to win. And if

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Speaker 1: you win at LSU or anywhere else, they're going to

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Speaker 1: embrace you. And you know what, all of a sudden,

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Speaker 1: you find yourself doing fitting you fit, you fit and

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Speaker 1: you could use a French accent for all I care.

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Speaker 1: You could speak Portuguese down there, and people need subtitles.

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Speaker 1: They needed subtitles with Orgeron anyway, and he didn't speak Portuguese.

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Speaker 1: You fit if you win at LSU. It helps, if

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Speaker 1: you're not a total douchebag to everyone. Yes, yes, that

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Speaker 1: greatly helps. But I have a sneaking suspicion that if

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Speaker 1: Brian Kelly kept his exact personality traits, but he had

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Speaker 1: done things other than have Matt House on his initial staff,

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Speaker 1: and done things other than hang out in an entirely

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Speaker 1: another state on important recruiting weekends, if he had leaned

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Speaker 1: into Louisiana, I think he would have worked out okay.

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Speaker 1: But he didn't do any of those things, so he's out.

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Speaker 1: So I have made a promise on this show. We've

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Speaker 1: done this show since twenty twenty. That's when we first

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Speaker 1: came to Nashville. We first at the time partnered with

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Speaker 1: twenty four to seven Sports, then CBS. Now I own

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Speaker 1: the show entirely, and we have partnerships with many different

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Speaker 1: people in many different companies. But I've always maintained the

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Speaker 1: stance to you guys that I would hold us hold

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Speaker 1: the show to a really high standard. And there have

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Speaker 1: been a few instances in the past where I just

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Speaker 1: had to go on air and I had to admit

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Speaker 1: that I was very, very badly wrong about something. Now,

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Speaker 1: I was trying to think earlier today, because I normally

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Speaker 1: like to wipe this from my memory, so earlier today

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Speaker 1: I was thinking, what was the last glaring example of

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Speaker 1: when I had to go on air. I don't mean

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Speaker 1: predicting a game wrong or anything like that. I mean

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Speaker 1: like pounding my fist on the table, ironically, like Brian

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Speaker 1: Kelly pounding my fist on the table. I believe something,

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Speaker 1: almost speaking down to people who disagree with it, and

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Speaker 1: I ended up being wrong. And I think last year, Jesse,

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Speaker 1: I was really confident that the Spring Transfer Portal was

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Speaker 1: just gonna go nuts because I had been told by

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Speaker 1: a couple of people I trusted, Hey, get ready, man,

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Speaker 1: spring Transfer portal is going to be crazy, and it wasn't.

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Speaker 1: It wasn't, and I was really emphatic about it, and

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Speaker 1: it didn't happen. So I just had to own it.

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Speaker 1: And there have been a couple of other times where

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Speaker 1: I've had to come on the show similarly, hopefully it

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Speaker 1: doesn't happen very all often, but like once or twice

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Speaker 1: a year, we really just have to admit that we

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Speaker 1: screwed up. So Brian Kelly a few years ago gets

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Speaker 1: hired at LSU from Notre Dame, and a few years

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Speaker 1: ago I just a little backstory. I had thought Brian

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Speaker 1: Kelly would fit in the SEC for a long time.

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Speaker 1: Back in twenty fifteen, when the Georgia job was open,

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Speaker 1: I was rooting for Georgia to go after Brian Kelly. Now,

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Speaker 1: of course it was Kirby Smart's job. So Kirby gets

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Speaker 1: the job. All's well, that ends well for Georgia. But

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Speaker 1: I always looked at Brian Kelly and I always thought

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Speaker 1: he feels a lot like what these Southern coaches feel like.

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Speaker 1: I wonder how he'd worked done here. So I already

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Speaker 1: had that as like this default setting in my mind.

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Speaker 1: But then he got so deep into his career I

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Speaker 1: just thought the time had passed. So, you know, the

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Speaker 1: LSU job comes open, and I think I went on

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Speaker 1: an LSU message board and I kind of said, hey, man,

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Speaker 1: in my perfect world, you guys would go get Brian Kelly.

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Speaker 1: But I don't really think that that's in the cards anymore.

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Speaker 1: So you know, you move on, you start throwing around

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Speaker 1: other names. Well, it turns out LSU went and hired

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Speaker 1: Brian Kelly. So I was just ecstatic for LSU, folks.

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Speaker 1: I was over the moon excited because I thought that

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Speaker 1: they had really killed the hire, and I spoke about

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Speaker 1: it pretty emphatically, and I said some things back then

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Speaker 1: in twenty twenty one that have recently suspiciously resurfaced in

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Speaker 1: the form of screenshots on the Internet. Now a lesser

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Speaker 1: man would duck these allegations entirely, but it's kind of

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Speaker 1: hard to duck it when it's just right there. It's

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Speaker 1: not AI, it's not photoshopped or Adobe photoshop. Just Jordan

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Speaker 1: Hudson would say, no, it's the real thing. So anyone

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Speaker 1: out there trying to defend my honor, thank you, but

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Speaker 1: it's not fake. And if you're listening on podcasts, my

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Speaker 1: eyes are closed because that's how shamed I am of

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Speaker 1: what I'm about to have to do. But we've done

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Speaker 1: it three or four times on the show throughout history,

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Speaker 1: and I've got to do it at least once more.

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Speaker 1: When you do clown things, you have to atone for

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Speaker 1: those things and around here on the Pate State campus.

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Speaker 1: The way we atone for clown behavior is I've got

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Speaker 1: to put on the clown nose like such. And for

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Speaker 1: those of you who wonder what this post on the

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Speaker 1: message board sounded like, let me take you back to

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Speaker 1: November twenty ninth, twenty twenty one, eight h four pm.

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Speaker 1: I'm excited LSU has just hired Brian Kelly, and I

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Speaker 1: say the following. We discussed this name on this very

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Speaker 1: message board several weeks back, and I told you he'd

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Speaker 1: be my ideal candidate, but I never believed it was possible.

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Speaker 1: Apparently it was possible. If Scott Woodward closes this, it's

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Speaker 1: beyond a grand slam hire. I have listened to the

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Speaker 1: doubters and have yet to hear a logical reason why

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Speaker 1: LSU folks shouldn't be over the moon, excited about the

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Speaker 1: over the moon, excited about the higher I continue. I

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Speaker 1: cont notice my professionalism and persistence here. Brian Kelly has

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Speaker 1: essentially been trying to com no. Brian Kelly has essentially

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Speaker 1: been trying to compete in the Daytona five hundred with

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Speaker 1: a prius a prius given the limitations at Notre Dame

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Speaker 1: relative to college football's Tier one programs. To even have

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Speaker 1: them consistently in the college football playoff conversation has been incredible.

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Speaker 1: If you want to know how incredible it was, keep

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Speaker 1: an eye on the program once he leaves. Can I finish?

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Speaker 1: Can I finish? Can I finish? Okay, I'm done. Take

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Speaker 1: your screenshots. I deserve it. I said it, I own it,

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Speaker 1: and it was what it was, and all I can

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Speaker 1: do is learn from it. In retrospect, Did I view

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Speaker 1: the situation a little incorrectly? It seems that I did.

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Speaker 1: It seems that I missed a thing or two now here.

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Speaker 1: Here is what I think about it. I wouldn't have

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Speaker 1: done this had there not been anyone warned me, But

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Speaker 1: several of my Notre Dame folks warned me. Now at

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Speaker 1: the time, I listened to them, and I thought it

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Speaker 1: was sour grapes, because truthfully, twenty twenty one, I hadn't

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Speaker 1: been doing this very long. I have very little insight

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Speaker 1: into the inner workings of Brian Kelly's Notre Dame, so

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Speaker 1: I kind of know what the outsiders know and nothing more.

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Speaker 1: But there were people on the ground around Notre Dame

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Speaker 1: football who knew exactly who Brian Kelly was and what

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Speaker 1: he was about, and they talked for quite a while

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Speaker 1: about some of the same criticisms they had them about

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Speaker 1: him there that folks at LSU started to have about

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Speaker 1: him at LSU. I the other night went in on

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Speaker 1: him pretty hard, and I was leveling some of the

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Speaker 1: same criticism. Some of the Notre Dame folks were listening

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Speaker 1: and saying, oh, we were saying that like five years ago,

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Speaker 1: six years ago, seven years ago. Yeah, I just didn't

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Speaker 1: buy it. So they were right on that I was

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Speaker 1: wrong on that. I had to learn it the hard way.

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Speaker 1: I mean, there is no harder way to learn something

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Speaker 1: than wearing a clown knows on your own show and

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Speaker 1: reading posts of yours on message boards from four years ago.

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Speaker 1: But I was convinced that. I was convinced he had

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Speaker 1: tapped Notre Dame out. And I was convinced of that

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Speaker 1: because Brian Kelly did a pretty good job in the

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Speaker 1: subsequent years of convincing me other people too that he

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Speaker 1: had kind of had Notre Dame redlining. Like the way

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Speaker 1: Brian Kelly presented his time at Notre Dame, it was

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Speaker 1: he had his foot off all the way down on

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Speaker 1: the floor, and he was absolutely maximizing the potential of

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Speaker 1: that place. And if you looked around, you know, you

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Speaker 1: could use certain context clues and you could think to yourself,

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Speaker 1: oh wow, man, Now the way recruiting is all the

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Speaker 1: southern schools out recruiting a lot of the northern schools,

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Speaker 1: and maybe Notre Name's academic admissions requirements and where it

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Speaker 1: is geographically, maybe their time has just passed, and maybe

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Speaker 1: Brian Kelly really is maximizing that place. But then Marcus

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Speaker 1: Freeman happened, and since Marcus Freeman has been there, they've

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Speaker 1: recruited better, like they've leveled up in recruiting. Now. To

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Speaker 1: be fair to me, because I need it right now,

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Speaker 1: I said that before Freeman got hired, although I still

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Speaker 1: thought it like after Freeman got hired, So I probably

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Speaker 1: if I'm thinking back correctly to twenty twenty one, it's

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Speaker 1: not like when Marcus got hired or he got named

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Speaker 1: the head coach. I said, oh, never mind, I take

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Speaker 1: it all back. I didn't do that, but it wasn't

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Speaker 1: a shot at Marcus Freeman. It was just my view

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Speaker 1: of the Notre Dame program at the time. So my

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Speaker 1: view of the Notre Dame program is obviously radically changed.

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Speaker 1: Never hated Notre Dame. That's one accusation I'll push back

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Speaker 1: on pretty hard because I actually have a very very

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Speaker 1: very very fun spot in my heart for Notre Dame.

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Speaker 1: They don't believe that, Jesse, I'm going to move on.

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Speaker 1: I actually do, though. But it wasn't Marcus Freeman doubt

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Speaker 1: it was Notre Dame out. I should have been doubting

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Speaker 1: Brian Kelly, and I doubted Notre Dame instead. So that

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Speaker 1: was where I was on that. Now in the subsequent years,

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Speaker 1: it took about two years in for me to change

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Speaker 1: my tune on this show about Brian Kelly. But I

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Speaker 1: didn't do it overnight. I didn't make some proclamation. What

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Speaker 1: happened was I started to get feedback about Brian Kelly

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Speaker 1: at LSU because I know way more people at LSU

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Speaker 1: than I do Notre Dame. So I started to get

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Speaker 1: more feedback that led me to take a step back,

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Speaker 1: look at the situation and say, hold on, now, I

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Speaker 1: thought I was getting a guy that was going to grind.

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Speaker 1: I thought I was getting a guy that was going

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Speaker 1: to go all in. I thought I was getting a

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Speaker 1: guy that took the LSU job because he wanted to

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Speaker 1: do the same things there that Nick Saban did, wants

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Speaker 1: a generation to go when he took the job, and

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Speaker 1: that was not the feedback I started to get at all.

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Speaker 1: And I don't really care who you are. If you're

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Speaker 1: not doing what it takes to win at LSU, you're

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Speaker 1: not gonna win at LSU. It's the most common sense

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Speaker 1: standpoint or stance that you could possibly have. And that's

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Speaker 1: when I cooled on him. And then, you know, the

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Speaker 1: staffing decisions he made at the outset were very bad. Subsequently,

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Speaker 1: they're terrible defensively. And then I think there was sort

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Speaker 1: of a come to Jesus moment or several moments behind

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Speaker 1: the scenes where it was dictated to him and know

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Speaker 1: uncertain terms, you're going to make these changes. And then

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Speaker 1: changes were made. And then there were guys that came

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Speaker 1: back in the building, you know, with a little more

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Speaker 1: understanding of LSU, and the nose started to get pulled

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Speaker 1: up a little bit. But anyone who watches the show

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Speaker 1: or listens to the show closely noticed I never gave

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Speaker 1: credit to BKA, I gave credit to LSU. I called

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Speaker 1: it organizational moves because they were organizational moves, but it

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Speaker 1: really was never gonna happen because the guy was never

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Speaker 1: all into the degree that it takes for the head

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Speaker 1: coach to be at LSU to win. So that ended

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Speaker 1: Sunday night. I still wonder, though I'm gonna talk about

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Speaker 1: the coaching search later in the show. We got a

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Speaker 1: lot of games to predict. I still wonder because one

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Speaker 1: of the great questions I've been asked like twenty times

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Speaker 1: since Sunday is do you think if they didn't get

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Speaker 1: blown out Sunday night that he would have been fired Sunday?

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Speaker 1: Or if they didn't get blown out Saturday night, would

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Speaker 1: he have been fired Sunday. I don't know, but I

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Speaker 1: will always think back. The lasting image I'll have in

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Speaker 1: my mind of that game is how the fourth quarter

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Speaker 1: played out. I'm not saying ABC was complicit in this

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Speaker 1: at all. ABC put on a clinic on how you

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Speaker 1: broadcast a game and you truly capture the moment, like

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Speaker 1: I think they did a phenomenal job of capturing the

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Speaker 1: actual vibe. They did a great job of documenting the

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Speaker 1: critical storylines around the game. And since it's a blowout

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Speaker 1: in the fourth quarter, places emptying out and so it.

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Speaker 1: It's basically like part infomercial for Texas A and M

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Speaker 1: taking place on your field, and all your donors are

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Speaker 1: witnessing it in person, and all your fans are having

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Speaker 1: to sit through it at home. And then they're like

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Speaker 1: ISO shots on Brian Kelly and everyone looks miserable, and

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Speaker 1: he looks miserable, and they're ISO shots on the few

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Speaker 1: remaining LSU fans in the crowd and they're all holding

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Speaker 1: up fire Brian Kelly, Kelly's got to go. And then

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Speaker 1: the way the game ended, and you don't have any

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Speaker 1: focus on anything for fifteen plus minutes other than how

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Speaker 1: bad it is, and that I think that pushed it

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Speaker 1: over the topic. It wasn't already pushed over the top,

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Speaker 1: not to mention how contentious it reportedly got the next

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Speaker 1: morning in the building. So we'll talk about the coaching

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Speaker 1: search later in the show. I don't care what coach

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Speaker 1: is hired. I have forever changed my viewpoint on hiring

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Speaker 1: because of this. I want to know what staff you're

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Speaker 1: bringing with you, which is always mattered. I just think

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Speaker 1: so often in college football vernacular, we talk about coaching hires,

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Speaker 1: and we grade coaching hires based on which head coach

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Speaker 1: they landed. I don't care O. Truth be told, they're

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Speaker 1: about twenty or thirty head coaches in college football that

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Speaker 1: would win at LSU with the right staff and doing

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Speaker 1: it the right way. And actually that's not the science.

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Speaker 1: The science is not hiring the head coach. The science

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Speaker 1: is hiring the head coach with the right staff behind him.

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Speaker 1: That's the whole secret here, and it's not really a secret.

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Speaker 1: So that's what I'm paying attention to there. I hope

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Speaker 1: that was good for someone because I feel terrible. Let's

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Speaker 1: move on quick trip. I need refueling. I don't know

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Speaker 1: if they have emotional fuel there. They do. It's called

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Speaker 1: cold brew on tap. It's inside every store. I proactively

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Speaker 1: appreciate them because I'm going to be on the road

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Speaker 1: a little bit this weekend next week, and I will

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Speaker 1: I will need to make use of the cold brew

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Speaker 1: on tap. Probably need to make use of just some

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Speaker 1: good old fashioned gasoline outside as well. They are the

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Speaker 1: presenting partner of the show No Less. They also present

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Speaker 1: the Fall Don't Lie Tour. We will be in Dallas,

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Speaker 1: Texas this Saturday. I'm told that our friends over at

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Speaker 1: ACC Network will be gracing us with their presence, or

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Speaker 1: maybe we're racing them with our presence since they'll be

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Speaker 1: there before we get there and they'll be there after

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Speaker 1: we leave. Anyway, Eric McLain apparently duck and working out

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Speaker 1: with me again, No big shot. He'll get there one

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Speaker 1: day though. The latest edition of the faaldon't La T shirt, though,

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Speaker 1: is in the peate State store right now. Peytstate material

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Speaker 1: dot com. Short and long sleeves available. People. Let's talk

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Speaker 1: about some predictions for this weekend. No one wants to

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Speaker 1: look at me where Clowd knows anymore. Vanderbilt is playing

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Speaker 1: Texas this Saturday, and I got some numbers for you.

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Speaker 1: So this game is a high noon eastern eleven am

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Speaker 1: local time kickoff. It's on ABC. And I was talking

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Speaker 1: to our friends at FanDuel, and by I I mean

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Speaker 1: I had Jesse talk to our friends at FanDuel today

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Speaker 1: and they took us back to summer. We sometimes it

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Speaker 1: really really pays to look back and just remind yourself

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Speaker 1: what you were thinking in the summer and what the

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Speaker 1: general narrative was in the summer. So FanDuel hits us

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Speaker 1: up and says, hey, do you know what the look ahead?

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Speaker 1: No would have been if this game's on a neutral field.

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Speaker 1: It's actually being played in Austin. But let's just pretend

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Speaker 1: this thing is on a neutral field in the summer.

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Speaker 1: Would what would we have made that number? FanDuel said,

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Speaker 1: Texas minus twenty one and a half would have been

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Speaker 1: the neutral field point spread on these two teams in

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Speaker 1: summer Today it would be Vanderbilt minus one a three

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Speaker 1: touchdown movement on a neutral field between these two teams

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Speaker 1: between then and now. And again, it's not November yet,

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Speaker 1: although it will be November first when this game is played.

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Speaker 1: So let's calibrate our mind properly here. Let's not start

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Speaker 1: talking upset. Let's not throw that word around. Let's not

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Speaker 1: use the terms David or Goliath or anything like that.

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Speaker 1: Here's the reality. This is an SEC game being played

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Speaker 1: and a point spread of two and a half on it.

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Speaker 1: This is no different than Bama Georgia playing. It's no

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Speaker 1: different than anything else historically. Yes, it's David Goliath. People

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Speaker 1: always forget who wins that matchup, by the way, but

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Speaker 1: it's not that this year. It's not that Texas has

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Speaker 1: just as much challenges and potential hurdles to clear in

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Speaker 1: this game as Vanderbilt does so in terms of the

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Speaker 1: playoff picture, just a reminder, Texas is probably not going

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Speaker 1: to be a nine to three team that gets in,

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Speaker 1: so I think they need to win out. Vandy's only

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Speaker 1: a one lost team right now. Ironically, they have more

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Speaker 1: paths right now than Texas does. They can afford to

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Speaker 1: lose Saturday and somehow still make the playoff. It's what

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Speaker 1: I'm trying to say. So we don't expect arch Manning

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Speaker 1: to go. We're sitting here doing this on Tuesday night.

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Speaker 1: I don't expect arch Manning to play in this game Saturday,

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Speaker 1: still in concussion protocol. I think it's Matthew Caldwell's game.

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Speaker 1: He's thrown like eleven passes all year. He was the

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Speaker 1: starter at Troy latter part of last season. Now he's

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Speaker 1: not a freshman, so he's been around a while. He's

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Speaker 1: a senior. Historically, I have loved teams in this spot

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Speaker 1: when everyone else is running away because the starting quarterback

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Speaker 1: is out. I'm always running towards those teams. You guys

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Speaker 1: know that about me. I love picking team playing backup quarterbacks.

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Speaker 1: I love betting on teams that are playing backup quarterbacks.

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Speaker 1: And because the theory that I have in college football

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Speaker 1: is there is something that happens to a locker room,

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Speaker 1: especially like a high level bunch of really good athletes

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Speaker 1: in the locker room type place like Texas where the

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Speaker 1: starting quarterbacks out. I think it has a galvanization effect

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Speaker 1: that overrides the loss that you have points wise by

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Speaker 1: losing the starting quarterback. So everyone knows they got to

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Speaker 1: carry their weight a little bit more, and that more

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Speaker 1: than makes up for how much you lose in the

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00:22:33,119 --> 00:22:34,960
Speaker 1: quarterback because it's not like you're not going to have

430
00:22:35,000 --> 00:22:37,840
Speaker 1: a quarterback out there. You'll have your backup out there.

431
00:22:38,119 --> 00:22:40,880
Speaker 1: It's just how big is the fall off and then

432
00:22:40,920 --> 00:22:43,240
Speaker 1: how much that rope can guys pick up just by

433
00:22:43,280 --> 00:22:46,920
Speaker 1: doing their job at a higher level. Oftentimes, in college

434
00:22:47,600 --> 00:22:50,440
Speaker 1: the doing your job at a higher level part more

435
00:22:50,520 --> 00:22:54,360
Speaker 1: than makes up for how much rope is left slacked

436
00:22:54,520 --> 00:22:56,920
Speaker 1: by losing your starting quarterback. And that's why you got

437
00:22:56,920 --> 00:22:59,639
Speaker 1: these results that never make sense all the time in

438
00:22:59,680 --> 00:23:03,879
Speaker 1: college football where backup quarterbacks win games. Also, if you

439
00:23:03,920 --> 00:23:07,719
Speaker 1: want to back Texas in this game, remember their defense

440
00:23:07,760 --> 00:23:10,360
Speaker 1: got exposed for the first time last week. So I've

441
00:23:10,400 --> 00:23:12,040
Speaker 1: got a team knowing they got to pick up the

442
00:23:12,040 --> 00:23:14,480
Speaker 1: slack cause the backup quarterbacks playing. I got a very

443
00:23:14,480 --> 00:23:16,600
Speaker 1: prideful defense that thinks it could be the best in

444
00:23:16,640 --> 00:23:19,280
Speaker 1: the country. And they got some really, really weird looking

445
00:23:19,359 --> 00:23:22,080
Speaker 1: numbers hung on them last week in Startingville, Mississippi. So

446
00:23:22,400 --> 00:23:24,560
Speaker 1: they got to atone for that, and they come home

447
00:23:24,680 --> 00:23:27,960
Speaker 1: and the entire organization gets a whole week to prep.

448
00:23:28,320 --> 00:23:30,639
Speaker 1: Know wing the backup's playing. This is not sprung on

449
00:23:30,680 --> 00:23:33,680
Speaker 1: them Friday, So it's gonna be on Matthew Caldwell because

450
00:23:33,720 --> 00:23:36,960
Speaker 1: Vandy is a top twenty run defense. Now, Texas, you

451
00:23:37,000 --> 00:23:40,720
Speaker 1: could make the argument that Wisner and Baxter combined are

452
00:23:41,280 --> 00:23:43,680
Speaker 1: getting as healthy as they will have been all year,

453
00:23:44,240 --> 00:23:47,960
Speaker 1: and maybe Texas is able to run it conventionally better

454
00:23:48,040 --> 00:23:50,440
Speaker 1: than they have. But I'm not going to assume that.

455
00:23:50,480 --> 00:23:52,480
Speaker 1: If I get that, it's just a nice added bonus.

456
00:23:53,119 --> 00:23:55,760
Speaker 1: Texas is ninetieth running the ball right now. If they

457
00:23:55,800 --> 00:23:59,080
Speaker 1: get that, that's great. Vandy's obviously going to make them

458
00:23:59,080 --> 00:24:03,520
Speaker 1: throw to win and seventieth against the pass. And look,

459
00:24:03,880 --> 00:24:06,560
Speaker 1: you ran it for forty seven yards against Kentucky, you

460
00:24:06,600 --> 00:24:08,840
Speaker 1: ran it for seventy two against Mississippi State. I'm not

461
00:24:08,880 --> 00:24:10,840
Speaker 1: counting on you winning this game running the ball. If

462
00:24:10,880 --> 00:24:14,760
Speaker 1: you do great. Look at Vandy, Diego Pavi a lot

463
00:24:14,760 --> 00:24:17,000
Speaker 1: of Heisman talk right now. I don't care about that

464
00:24:17,040 --> 00:24:18,800
Speaker 1: so much. However, if you do care about it, this

465
00:24:19,000 --> 00:24:22,000
Speaker 1: is your spot, all due respect. I don't think the

466
00:24:22,040 --> 00:24:24,480
Speaker 1: voters were paying much attention to what you did against Missouri.

467
00:24:24,520 --> 00:24:28,720
Speaker 1: They should have been, but that's not how these voters think.

468
00:24:28,800 --> 00:24:31,240
Speaker 1: These are the same people who vote in the ap Okay.

469
00:24:31,560 --> 00:24:33,720
Speaker 1: Some of these people still have LSU ranked, So it

470
00:24:33,760 --> 00:24:36,160
Speaker 1: doesn't really matter all that. It matters what you do Saturday.

471
00:24:36,160 --> 00:24:40,000
Speaker 1: They'll be walking you Saturday, and they're gonna have to

472
00:24:40,080 --> 00:24:43,120
Speaker 1: do it with Diego Pavia's arm. Texas's top five run

473
00:24:43,400 --> 00:24:47,439
Speaker 1: defense anyway. They are in the sixties against the pass,

474
00:24:47,720 --> 00:24:50,600
Speaker 1: and we saw last weekend we saw Mississippi State moving

475
00:24:50,680 --> 00:24:54,040
Speaker 1: on him Vanderbilt. Here's the good news. Vandy can hit

476
00:24:54,080 --> 00:24:57,400
Speaker 1: the cap buster plays. Those are the big fifty plus

477
00:24:57,440 --> 00:25:00,520
Speaker 1: yard plays. They can hit them, but they've all been

478
00:25:00,560 --> 00:25:03,800
Speaker 1: explosive runs, so they don't hit them through the air.

479
00:25:03,920 --> 00:25:06,879
Speaker 1: Texas has not allowed a run of forty plus yards

480
00:25:06,880 --> 00:25:09,879
Speaker 1: all season. So if Vandy wins it like they did

481
00:25:10,000 --> 00:25:12,520
Speaker 1: last week against Missouri, they busted like an eighty yard run.

482
00:25:12,560 --> 00:25:15,480
Speaker 1: If they do that against Texas, it's not impossible. It'll

483
00:25:15,480 --> 00:25:18,120
Speaker 1: just be the first time it's happened all season. Pavia

484
00:25:18,160 --> 00:25:20,200
Speaker 1: has not thrown for two hundred yards versus a Power

485
00:25:20,200 --> 00:25:23,720
Speaker 1: four opponent in the last twelve games. So it's pretty

486
00:25:23,760 --> 00:25:26,639
Speaker 1: obvious how this profile is, how Texas is going to

487
00:25:26,720 --> 00:25:30,159
Speaker 1: make them try to beat them. Vanderbilt has weaponized the

488
00:25:30,200 --> 00:25:33,280
Speaker 1: red zone. We watched them do it last week against Missouri.

489
00:25:33,520 --> 00:25:37,600
Speaker 1: They are sixth in red zone touchdown percentage. Texas is

490
00:25:38,480 --> 00:25:42,560
Speaker 1: what eighty percent? I think, Jesse, Yeah, so watch the

491
00:25:42,560 --> 00:25:45,480
Speaker 1: red zone. I have a high suspicion that our paper

492
00:25:45,520 --> 00:25:48,240
Speaker 1: Popper stat will include red zone efficiency in this game.

493
00:25:48,440 --> 00:25:50,600
Speaker 1: Texas just doesn't allow teams to get down there all

494
00:25:50,640 --> 00:25:53,159
Speaker 1: that much. That's the thing about that. They're both in

495
00:25:53,200 --> 00:25:55,960
Speaker 1: the one hundreds in penalties, so that's a total wild

496
00:25:56,040 --> 00:25:58,720
Speaker 1: card in this game. They're both top forty in takeaways,

497
00:25:58,920 --> 00:26:04,720
Speaker 1: so penalties, turnovers, red zone efficiency basically a typical close

498
00:26:04,760 --> 00:26:07,560
Speaker 1: football game. That's what's going to decide this. Here's what

499
00:26:07,600 --> 00:26:09,119
Speaker 1: I want to know as we take a look at

500
00:26:09,119 --> 00:26:11,840
Speaker 1: what the model thinks. What I want to know is

501
00:26:12,359 --> 00:26:15,760
Speaker 1: what did that comeback do for Texas last week? The

502
00:26:16,200 --> 00:26:18,479
Speaker 1: FanDuel number right now is Texas minus two and a half.

503
00:26:18,680 --> 00:26:21,240
Speaker 1: Our model has Texas minus five, so it thinks the

504
00:26:21,320 --> 00:26:24,679
Speaker 1: number is too low. And that's including arch Manning being out.

505
00:26:25,240 --> 00:26:27,560
Speaker 1: What did that comeback do for Texas last week? Because

506
00:26:27,560 --> 00:26:29,199
Speaker 1: it could do one of two things. It could just

507
00:26:29,280 --> 00:26:32,240
Speaker 1: delay the inevitable, which is you're just gonna lay an

508
00:26:32,240 --> 00:26:37,639
Speaker 1: egg again eventually, or you learned lessons without having to

509
00:26:37,640 --> 00:26:40,040
Speaker 1: suffer the consequences of a loss. We talked about the

510
00:26:40,040 --> 00:26:43,639
Speaker 1: whole Bluegrass Miracle with LSU CIRCA two. Yeah, they win

511
00:26:43,680 --> 00:26:47,720
Speaker 1: against Kentucky, miracle, come from behind win. They just got

512
00:26:47,760 --> 00:26:50,600
Speaker 1: dunk truck the next week, so it just got delayed

513
00:26:50,640 --> 00:26:54,480
Speaker 1: one week. Is that Texas did another loss that knocks

514
00:26:54,520 --> 00:26:56,879
Speaker 1: them out of the playoff, just get delayed one week?

515
00:26:57,680 --> 00:27:01,000
Speaker 1: Or do they pull the nose up themselves end up

516
00:27:01,280 --> 00:27:03,880
Speaker 1: being a fringe playoff team and having us look back

517
00:27:03,920 --> 00:27:06,000
Speaker 1: and say, WHOA, we didn't realize it at the time,

518
00:27:06,040 --> 00:27:08,479
Speaker 1: but they come back against Mississippi State That meant the

519
00:27:08,480 --> 00:27:13,240
Speaker 1: world to Texas. Hm H, I am going to take

520
00:27:13,320 --> 00:27:17,040
Speaker 1: Texas to win this game and cover. I have to

521
00:27:17,160 --> 00:27:20,600
Speaker 1: think in my heart of hearts that my backup quarterback

522
00:27:20,640 --> 00:27:22,960
Speaker 1: theory has some merit, and I've got to think, in

523
00:27:23,000 --> 00:27:25,920
Speaker 1: my heart of hearts, if there is an ounce of pride,

524
00:27:26,040 --> 00:27:29,120
Speaker 1: if Texas fight really means something, this is absolutely meant

525
00:27:29,119 --> 00:27:31,240
Speaker 1: to be put in the hype video. If Texas fight

526
00:27:31,320 --> 00:27:35,920
Speaker 1: really means something, we'll see it on display Saturday. Sound good,

527
00:27:36,000 --> 00:27:38,840
Speaker 1: sounding good, I think so. I don't have a ton

528
00:27:38,880 --> 00:27:40,800
Speaker 1: of confidence in this game at all. The model does.

529
00:27:41,040 --> 00:27:44,000
Speaker 1: I don't because the model was confident in Missouri last weekend,

530
00:27:44,760 --> 00:27:48,639
Speaker 1: and Missouri they won the box score. But last I checked,

531
00:27:48,680 --> 00:27:51,000
Speaker 1: we don't give out any trophy for winning the box score.

532
00:27:51,520 --> 00:27:54,840
Speaker 1: We just call that a badlock stat. On Sunday, I'll

533
00:27:54,840 --> 00:27:58,360
Speaker 1: be the guy. I'll take Texas to win it and cover,

534
00:27:59,000 --> 00:28:01,240
Speaker 1: and then when they don't, I'll go to Academy Sports

535
00:28:01,280 --> 00:28:03,560
Speaker 1: and Outdoors and I'll buy a bunch of Vandy gear.

536
00:28:03,800 --> 00:28:07,360
Speaker 1: I've been accused of Vandy Homerism all week anyway, including

537
00:28:07,400 --> 00:28:09,359
Speaker 1: today in my very own city on one of our

538
00:28:09,440 --> 00:28:12,000
Speaker 1: very own local radio shows. I didn't even fight it.

539
00:28:13,960 --> 00:28:16,120
Speaker 1: Academy Sports and Outdoors will not fight you. They will

540
00:28:16,119 --> 00:28:19,000
Speaker 1: welcome you in, they will show you around. They will

541
00:28:19,600 --> 00:28:22,199
Speaker 1: probably put products in front of your face that you

542
00:28:22,320 --> 00:28:25,840
Speaker 1: never knew Academy carried. They are a longtime partner of

543
00:28:25,880 --> 00:28:29,280
Speaker 1: the show. It is getting close to that season. It

544
00:28:29,320 --> 00:28:32,080
Speaker 1: is getting close to time for you to start marking

545
00:28:32,160 --> 00:28:34,920
Speaker 1: items off that list. You could be shopping for yourself,

546
00:28:35,000 --> 00:28:37,520
Speaker 1: It's great. I highly recommend it. You could be shopping

547
00:28:37,520 --> 00:28:41,560
Speaker 1: for a niece or nephew, aunt or uncle, sister or brother, mother, father,

548
00:28:42,520 --> 00:28:46,640
Speaker 1: equal opportunity at Academy. You need kayaks, you need a

549
00:28:46,680 --> 00:28:50,080
Speaker 1: baseball bat, you need big league chew. Lets be honest,

550
00:28:50,120 --> 00:28:52,560
Speaker 1: we all do at some point in our lives. Academy

551
00:28:52,600 --> 00:28:55,320
Speaker 1: Sports and Outdoors has it and Academy dot com if

552
00:28:55,320 --> 00:29:03,520
Speaker 1: you can't get their in person, we got a nice, nice,

553
00:29:03,520 --> 00:29:07,680
Speaker 1: sizable crowd tuned in. Just make sure that you subscribe

554
00:29:07,720 --> 00:29:11,160
Speaker 1: to the channel and then somehow ask five of your

555
00:29:11,200 --> 00:29:13,120
Speaker 1: friends to do the same. That's how we get to

556
00:29:13,160 --> 00:29:16,000
Speaker 1: five hundred thousand subs by Thanksgiving, which has been a

557
00:29:16,000 --> 00:29:18,840
Speaker 1: little internal goal of ours around here. How do you

558
00:29:18,880 --> 00:29:23,320
Speaker 1: do it? Click subscribe the end. Oklahoma plays Tennessee Saturday night,

559
00:29:23,400 --> 00:29:26,400
Speaker 1: seven thirty Eastern six thirty local time. Actually that is

560
00:29:26,440 --> 00:29:28,640
Speaker 1: Eastern time, so Bradley, let me start this over again

561
00:29:28,720 --> 00:29:33,680
Speaker 1: for your post show edit. Oklahoma Tennessee, Saturday, seven thirty

562
00:29:33,760 --> 00:29:38,600
Speaker 1: Eastern kickoff on ABC. Last year, this game happened in Norman.

563
00:29:38,760 --> 00:29:43,840
Speaker 1: I was there. It was Niko, Iamaliava versus Jackson Arnold.

564
00:29:43,880 --> 00:29:46,920
Speaker 1: And where do we find ourselves this year? Not even close.

565
00:29:48,080 --> 00:29:50,520
Speaker 1: We've got a guy that was at Appalachian State this

566
00:29:50,560 --> 00:29:53,440
Speaker 1: time last year against a guy that was at Washington

567
00:29:53,520 --> 00:29:57,920
Speaker 1: State this time last year. And I think we may

568
00:29:58,000 --> 00:30:01,080
Speaker 1: have a good old fashioned loser leaves town match setting up. Now.

569
00:30:01,120 --> 00:30:04,360
Speaker 1: If Oklahoma loses this game, technically there's still some paths

570
00:30:04,360 --> 00:30:06,840
Speaker 1: where they could make it in if they went out.

571
00:30:07,120 --> 00:30:11,520
Speaker 1: Tennessee's probably cooked if they don't win this game. So

572
00:30:12,760 --> 00:30:15,960
Speaker 1: it's a very, very big competitive character moment for the

573
00:30:16,040 --> 00:30:20,120
Speaker 1: University of Oklahoma football program. Here and some not so

574
00:30:20,240 --> 00:30:23,280
Speaker 1: great news, a little paper popper of a status we

575
00:30:23,280 --> 00:30:26,240
Speaker 1: get into it. Oklahoma only six and eight under Brinton

576
00:30:26,280 --> 00:30:28,640
Speaker 1: Venable's coming off a loss. We got to be better.

577
00:30:29,200 --> 00:30:31,920
Speaker 1: We got to be better here. I am nervous about

578
00:30:31,920 --> 00:30:36,640
Speaker 1: the pass defense for Oklahoma. Last weekend I picked them

579
00:30:36,680 --> 00:30:38,400
Speaker 1: to beat ole Miss. I'm a little salty about it.

580
00:30:38,480 --> 00:30:41,680
Speaker 1: Last weekend. We're going into that game and ole Miss

581
00:30:41,920 --> 00:30:44,040
Speaker 1: is number eight in the country. So up until that point.

582
00:30:44,040 --> 00:30:48,120
Speaker 1: To refresh your memory, there was no pass offense in

583
00:30:48,400 --> 00:30:52,520
Speaker 1: the fifties or better like I think top sixty. Oklahoma

584
00:30:52,600 --> 00:30:54,560
Speaker 1: had not faced a passing attack in the top sixty.

585
00:30:54,680 --> 00:30:58,040
Speaker 1: So the question was, okay, Ola missus clearly that they're

586
00:30:58,040 --> 00:31:01,320
Speaker 1: in the top ten, how much could they expose Oklahoma. Well,

587
00:31:01,320 --> 00:31:06,880
Speaker 1: Trinidad Chamblers threw for three fifteen. Tennessee's passing offense statistically

588
00:31:06,960 --> 00:31:08,600
Speaker 1: is better than Ole miss And you got to go

589
00:31:08,600 --> 00:31:11,240
Speaker 1: into their building to face them. They're number thirteen in

590
00:31:11,320 --> 00:31:15,680
Speaker 1: explosive passes, Joey Aguilar and crew, and they got more

591
00:31:15,720 --> 00:31:18,200
Speaker 1: than one receiver they can throw to. Although I'll talk

592
00:31:18,240 --> 00:31:21,640
Speaker 1: about what wide receiver ones have done against them. I

593
00:31:21,680 --> 00:31:25,600
Speaker 1: am concerned here. I'm very concerned. Now Here is the difference.

594
00:31:26,080 --> 00:31:28,200
Speaker 1: If I'm looking for a ray of light. It's not

595
00:31:28,240 --> 00:31:33,160
Speaker 1: been much for Tennessee defensively well Oklahoma over the past week.

596
00:31:33,200 --> 00:31:36,400
Speaker 1: For me, at least, Chambliss was only sacked once last week.

597
00:31:37,200 --> 00:31:40,560
Speaker 1: Very very good scrambler. Joey Agilar is not a statue,

598
00:31:40,880 --> 00:31:43,040
Speaker 1: but he's not gonna do to you on the ground

599
00:31:43,080 --> 00:31:45,520
Speaker 1: what Trinidad Chamblis did. So if you can get home

600
00:31:45,560 --> 00:31:49,520
Speaker 1: against him a little bit better. Maybe somehow, some way

601
00:31:49,600 --> 00:31:53,760
Speaker 1: we limit this. But if Oklahoma gets in a situation

602
00:31:54,120 --> 00:31:58,360
Speaker 1: where Tennessee scoring on them, Let's say, for instance, that

603
00:31:58,520 --> 00:32:01,240
Speaker 1: Tennessee's gonna get into the low to mid thirties like

604
00:32:01,360 --> 00:32:03,840
Speaker 1: Ole Miss did last week. Let's say that's gonna happen.

605
00:32:06,280 --> 00:32:08,040
Speaker 1: Is John Matier going to be able to trade points?

606
00:32:10,120 --> 00:32:14,280
Speaker 1: So pre thumb injury, John Mattier sixty three point four

607
00:32:14,320 --> 00:32:18,400
Speaker 1: completion percentage over three hundred and three yards per game passing.

608
00:32:18,840 --> 00:32:22,760
Speaker 1: Since the thumb injury, fifty seven point nine completion percentage,

609
00:32:23,040 --> 00:32:26,520
Speaker 1: about one hundred and ninety two completion yards per game.

610
00:32:27,960 --> 00:32:30,600
Speaker 1: That has also come with a ramp up in competition.

611
00:32:30,760 --> 00:32:34,400
Speaker 1: I do understand all that his rush yards are down too,

612
00:32:34,600 --> 00:32:37,800
Speaker 1: So just the production from the quarterback position has been

613
00:32:37,840 --> 00:32:39,959
Speaker 1: a fraction a shell of what it was at one

614
00:32:40,000 --> 00:32:42,520
Speaker 1: point during the season. That's the bad news. The good

615
00:32:42,560 --> 00:32:46,480
Speaker 1: news is you can find yourself against Tennessee's defense. They're

616
00:32:46,520 --> 00:32:49,800
Speaker 1: not really good at anything. They're one hundred and twenty

617
00:32:49,800 --> 00:32:52,840
Speaker 1: fourth and pass yards per game allowed, they're one hundred

618
00:32:52,840 --> 00:32:57,760
Speaker 1: and twenty sixth and explosive passes allowed. Tennessee's run defense

619
00:32:58,160 --> 00:33:01,000
Speaker 1: has been gashed by Georgia one hundred and ninety eight

620
00:33:01,320 --> 00:33:05,240
Speaker 1: by Mississippi State two three by Arkansas two point forty.

621
00:33:05,720 --> 00:33:09,200
Speaker 1: Oklahoma suddenly back to back games with a one hundred

622
00:33:09,240 --> 00:33:13,960
Speaker 1: yard rusher. John Mattier swears it's not his thumb. I disagree.

623
00:33:13,960 --> 00:33:15,400
Speaker 1: I think I may know his hand a little bit

624
00:33:15,440 --> 00:33:18,560
Speaker 1: better than him. But I digress. Hey, if you're healthy

625
00:33:19,040 --> 00:33:20,680
Speaker 1: and you got a run game that's coming around a

626
00:33:20,720 --> 00:33:22,560
Speaker 1: little bit, this is the time where you get right.

627
00:33:22,600 --> 00:33:23,880
Speaker 1: This is where this is a time where if they

628
00:33:23,880 --> 00:33:26,120
Speaker 1: score thirty five, you score thirty eight. You got to

629
00:33:26,160 --> 00:33:28,200
Speaker 1: find yourself against Tennessee's defense or you're not going to

630
00:33:28,240 --> 00:33:32,080
Speaker 1: find yourself. Keep an eye on miss tackles for Tennessee, Pasa,

631
00:33:32,160 --> 00:33:35,240
Speaker 1: Tegna and Burks. Uh, they can turn seven into seventy

632
00:33:35,240 --> 00:33:39,000
Speaker 1: pretty quick. We were rummaging around over on Vaulquest earlier today.

633
00:33:39,920 --> 00:33:42,480
Speaker 1: Great site for Tennessee. If you're not a fan, you

634
00:33:42,560 --> 00:33:45,880
Speaker 1: need to head over there. And uh, we ran across

635
00:33:46,160 --> 00:33:49,640
Speaker 1: a concerning number, and that is that the Tennessee defense

636
00:33:49,720 --> 00:33:53,000
Speaker 1: is averaging twelve miss tackles per game. And if you

637
00:33:53,200 --> 00:33:57,440
Speaker 1: look at the yardage that has resulted from those miss tackles,

638
00:33:58,040 --> 00:34:02,040
Speaker 1: twelve miss tackles per game has accounted for over eleven

639
00:34:02,160 --> 00:34:07,240
Speaker 1: hundred additional yards after catch Kentucky alone had two hundred

640
00:34:07,280 --> 00:34:11,040
Speaker 1: and thirty. There's like a whole games worth of yards

641
00:34:11,120 --> 00:34:14,960
Speaker 1: just after the catch off of broken tackles. Not great,

642
00:34:15,440 --> 00:34:18,399
Speaker 1: and Oklahoma has several guys who can make you look

643
00:34:18,400 --> 00:34:22,200
Speaker 1: foolish in that department. I also don't love Oklahoma being

644
00:34:22,200 --> 00:34:24,879
Speaker 1: one hundred and seventeenth and turnover margin because Tennessee's top

645
00:34:24,880 --> 00:34:28,520
Speaker 1: twenty five there. Tennessee, though terrible red zone defense, This

646
00:34:28,600 --> 00:34:30,440
Speaker 1: is the one area where Oklahoma can really tilt this

647
00:34:30,480 --> 00:34:33,080
Speaker 1: game because Tennessee doesn't stop anything once you get down there,

648
00:34:33,400 --> 00:34:38,760
Speaker 1: and Oklahoma is excellent in that department on offense. So again,

649
00:34:39,200 --> 00:34:42,360
Speaker 1: before we look at what the model thinks, Tennessee's remaining

650
00:34:42,440 --> 00:34:46,400
Speaker 1: road is Oklahoma Saturday. Then you got New Mexico State,

651
00:34:46,560 --> 00:34:49,640
Speaker 1: you go to Florida, and then you have Vanderbilt at home.

652
00:34:49,960 --> 00:34:51,719
Speaker 1: There is a world I don't know if we live

653
00:34:51,719 --> 00:34:54,640
Speaker 1: in it, but there is a world where they win

654
00:34:54,680 --> 00:34:58,959
Speaker 1: their next three games. Vanderbilt wins two of their next three.

655
00:35:00,120 --> 00:35:04,640
Speaker 1: We have a showdown on Rocky Top the last week

656
00:35:04,680 --> 00:35:08,719
Speaker 1: in November, two days after Thanksgiving, with a trip to

657
00:35:08,719 --> 00:35:12,959
Speaker 1: the college football playoff on the line, Vanderbilt versus Tennessee. Again.

658
00:35:13,000 --> 00:35:15,640
Speaker 1: I don't want to get ahead of myself. Let's take

659
00:35:15,680 --> 00:35:17,319
Speaker 1: a look at what the model thinks about this game.

660
00:35:17,719 --> 00:35:20,000
Speaker 1: Right now. FanDuel has Tennessee as a three and a

661
00:35:20,040 --> 00:35:22,960
Speaker 1: half point favorite. Our model has Tennessee as a three

662
00:35:23,000 --> 00:35:27,000
Speaker 1: and a half point favorite. I have lost my trust

663
00:35:27,040 --> 00:35:30,560
Speaker 1: in Oklahoma a little bit, and they can get it

664
00:35:30,640 --> 00:35:32,920
Speaker 1: back here, but they're gonna have to get it back

665
00:35:32,960 --> 00:35:35,480
Speaker 1: before I picked them to win a game like this.

666
00:35:36,239 --> 00:35:39,200
Speaker 1: I don't love venables off losses or they're not just

667
00:35:39,239 --> 00:35:42,400
Speaker 1: an automatic bounce back type outfit under him, I'm gonna

668
00:35:42,400 --> 00:35:45,960
Speaker 1: take Tennessee to win the game and cover and continue

669
00:35:46,000 --> 00:35:48,400
Speaker 1: to be on the fringes of the hunt for a

670
00:35:48,400 --> 00:35:51,200
Speaker 1: playoff spot. I think those rankings are released next week, Jesse,

671
00:35:51,320 --> 00:35:53,400
Speaker 1: Is that right? I think the first playoff rankings come

672
00:35:53,400 --> 00:35:55,000
Speaker 1: out next week. If not that, it's the week. Yeah,

673
00:35:55,320 --> 00:35:57,640
Speaker 1: it's next week. So there you go. This is the

674
00:35:57,719 --> 00:36:01,360
Speaker 1: last opportunity to impress the Committee, Ah, the fabled Committee,

675
00:36:01,520 --> 00:36:04,880
Speaker 1: before they released those initial rankings. They're watching us in Denton,

676
00:36:04,960 --> 00:36:12,080
Speaker 1: Texas Big game Saturday. Navy coming to town Rockford, Illinois, Raleigh,

677
00:36:12,080 --> 00:36:14,200
Speaker 1: North Carolina. I was trying to think of something to

678
00:36:14,239 --> 00:36:16,560
Speaker 1: say about Rockford that didn't have anything to do with

679
00:36:16,560 --> 00:36:19,640
Speaker 1: the Peaches. I had nothing. We took a youth mission

680
00:36:19,640 --> 00:36:23,759
Speaker 1: trip up to Rockford in like two thousand, so there's that.

681
00:36:24,040 --> 00:36:29,120
Speaker 1: I don't know. Let's continue, Okay, now that we worked

682
00:36:29,160 --> 00:36:32,760
Speaker 1: a couple of game previews in this LSU coaching search

683
00:36:33,600 --> 00:36:36,440
Speaker 1: is one of the biggest stories of the year, and

684
00:36:36,480 --> 00:36:38,880
Speaker 1: I am monitoring it closely, and I did want to

685
00:36:38,880 --> 00:36:40,480
Speaker 1: talk about it for a couple of minutes because I

686
00:36:40,640 --> 00:36:42,160
Speaker 1: talked to people all day about it, talk to people

687
00:36:42,200 --> 00:36:45,120
Speaker 1: the past couple of days about it. First bullet point

688
00:36:45,160 --> 00:36:48,600
Speaker 1: I have written right here, show me your staff. That's

689
00:36:48,600 --> 00:36:50,360
Speaker 1: what it's going to be about. In the LSU coaching

690
00:36:50,400 --> 00:36:53,160
Speaker 1: search and any coaching search, but especially this one. You

691
00:36:53,200 --> 00:36:55,480
Speaker 1: got to show me the staff. Okay. There is no

692
00:36:55,640 --> 00:36:58,840
Speaker 1: candidate out there that I look at singularly anymore in

693
00:36:58,880 --> 00:37:02,799
Speaker 1: these searches and say, oh, if you land him, ball game,

694
00:37:03,120 --> 00:37:06,120
Speaker 1: if you land him, it's done. It's a rap, it's

695
00:37:06,120 --> 00:37:08,520
Speaker 1: a grand slam. We cannot use that kind of language anymore.

696
00:37:08,680 --> 00:37:10,040
Speaker 1: We got to be better about this, We got to

697
00:37:10,080 --> 00:37:12,320
Speaker 1: be smarter about this. On this campus on this show

698
00:37:12,520 --> 00:37:15,040
Speaker 1: at least, So it is about the staff you can

699
00:37:15,080 --> 00:37:17,759
Speaker 1: bring with you. If I'm gonna hire Lane Kiffin, it's

700
00:37:17,760 --> 00:37:20,799
Speaker 1: Pete Golden coming with him, Charlie West Junior coming with him,

701
00:37:21,120 --> 00:37:23,120
Speaker 1: it is Pete staying to take the job at Old Miss, Like,

702
00:37:23,120 --> 00:37:25,239
Speaker 1: how does that happen? How does that work? I need

703
00:37:25,280 --> 00:37:27,840
Speaker 1: to know that I'm using Lane Kiffin's name because Kiffin's

704
00:37:27,840 --> 00:37:29,319
Speaker 1: on the top of a lot of hot boards. But

705
00:37:29,360 --> 00:37:31,880
Speaker 1: if it wasn't Kiffin, if it was Marcus Freeman, if

706
00:37:31,920 --> 00:37:34,319
Speaker 1: it was me, if it was Jesse Feels, whoever, who

707
00:37:34,360 --> 00:37:36,680
Speaker 1: are you bringing with you? And if I'm an athletic

708
00:37:36,760 --> 00:37:41,160
Speaker 1: director man or if I'm making these hires period, I

709
00:37:41,200 --> 00:37:44,600
Speaker 1: got to have a really good indication, especially with what

710
00:37:44,640 --> 00:37:47,839
Speaker 1: we just went through here, with what Brian Kelly put

711
00:37:47,840 --> 00:37:50,000
Speaker 1: on the field the first couple of years. Before I

712
00:37:50,080 --> 00:37:51,960
Speaker 1: know you're my guy, I got to know who your

713
00:37:52,000 --> 00:37:55,280
Speaker 1: guys are, who you're bringing with you. So Pete Naikos,

714
00:37:56,040 --> 00:37:57,839
Speaker 1: who works in the same building we're doing this show

715
00:37:57,880 --> 00:37:59,640
Speaker 1: in right now, because we do the show from the

716
00:37:59,680 --> 00:38:03,880
Speaker 1: on three building, Pete sits right out there just grinding

717
00:38:03,960 --> 00:38:06,359
Speaker 1: away on the phone, and they're about two or three

718
00:38:06,440 --> 00:38:10,120
Speaker 1: times per day where I look up and our office

719
00:38:10,160 --> 00:38:12,520
Speaker 1: is completely glass, so I can see out of it,

720
00:38:13,400 --> 00:38:15,480
Speaker 1: and you see Pete walking towards you, and I just

721
00:38:15,520 --> 00:38:17,640
Speaker 1: put my pen down, I put my papers down, I

722
00:38:17,680 --> 00:38:19,360
Speaker 1: put my feet up on the desk, I put my

723
00:38:19,400 --> 00:38:22,040
Speaker 1: hands behind my head, I lean back in the swivel chair,

724
00:38:22,320 --> 00:38:24,640
Speaker 1: and Pete walks in and I just smile because I

725
00:38:24,680 --> 00:38:26,759
Speaker 1: know we have an update coming. And that's what life

726
00:38:26,800 --> 00:38:29,479
Speaker 1: has been like around here really since the Florida job

727
00:38:29,640 --> 00:38:32,440
Speaker 1: and the Penn State jobs opened up, and it is

728
00:38:32,480 --> 00:38:35,920
Speaker 1: still that way with the LSU job. This is Pete's

729
00:38:35,920 --> 00:38:38,279
Speaker 1: hot boarder right now. I would encourage you to be

730
00:38:38,280 --> 00:38:40,120
Speaker 1: following him if you're not already. I got a couple

731
00:38:40,160 --> 00:38:42,560
Speaker 1: of gifts of Pete then I'm just waiting to drop

732
00:38:43,000 --> 00:38:45,400
Speaker 1: for when he breaks this next bit of news that

733
00:38:45,440 --> 00:38:47,640
Speaker 1: he breaks whenever it is, but right now his hot

734
00:38:47,640 --> 00:38:50,080
Speaker 1: board and I don't think this is in any particular order.

735
00:38:50,080 --> 00:38:52,160
Speaker 1: These are just names to watch. Of course, you got

736
00:38:52,239 --> 00:38:54,759
Speaker 1: Kiff in there. Marcus Freeman's on the list. I know

737
00:38:54,880 --> 00:38:58,160
Speaker 1: that's a hot button issue considering they just took a

738
00:38:58,160 --> 00:39:01,200
Speaker 1: guy from Notre Dame and it failed. Means nothing you

739
00:39:01,200 --> 00:39:03,680
Speaker 1: can take fourteen coaches from Notre Dame. If you think

740
00:39:03,680 --> 00:39:06,399
Speaker 1: they're the right ones. Freeman's there now. What we don't

741
00:39:06,440 --> 00:39:08,439
Speaker 1: know is will he have any interest in the job.

742
00:39:10,200 --> 00:39:12,280
Speaker 1: But that's why you make the phone call. You gotta

743
00:39:12,280 --> 00:39:15,280
Speaker 1: find out. Kenny Dillingham is on this list. Jeff Brom.

744
00:39:15,680 --> 00:39:18,960
Speaker 1: I've spoken many times, many times about how good I

745
00:39:19,000 --> 00:39:21,719
Speaker 1: think Jeff Brom is, how good he would be anywhere.

746
00:39:22,239 --> 00:39:25,359
Speaker 1: The thing about Jeff Brom is he doesn't really care

747
00:39:25,400 --> 00:39:28,000
Speaker 1: what you think about him. He knows how to win,

748
00:39:28,600 --> 00:39:30,799
Speaker 1: you know, So if you value such things, then Jeff

749
00:39:30,840 --> 00:39:34,000
Speaker 1: Bram's your guy. He's just he is not the most

750
00:39:34,040 --> 00:39:38,879
Speaker 1: equipped to kiss the babies and to take the pictures

751
00:39:39,120 --> 00:39:42,359
Speaker 1: and to make all the appearances. I guess he could.

752
00:39:42,440 --> 00:39:44,960
Speaker 1: He's just not up his alley. He's too busy winning.

753
00:39:46,200 --> 00:39:48,680
Speaker 1: Who wants that he can't win the press conference? Who

754
00:39:48,680 --> 00:39:52,399
Speaker 1: wants that? Eli Drinkwitz is on here, Clark Lee, Brent Key,

755
00:39:52,440 --> 00:39:55,760
Speaker 1: John Sumral, Joe Brady's on there now. The thing about

756
00:39:55,760 --> 00:39:59,400
Speaker 1: some rall that I wonder because some raw would be

757
00:39:59,440 --> 00:40:01,479
Speaker 1: close to the time of any list for me. Right now.

758
00:40:01,719 --> 00:40:03,759
Speaker 1: I've talked about John several times. He's the head coach

759
00:40:03,800 --> 00:40:06,720
Speaker 1: at Tulane. For those of you unfamiliar, I was doing

760
00:40:06,880 --> 00:40:11,920
Speaker 1: Blake Raffino's show down in Louisiana yesterday and he mentioned

761
00:40:12,000 --> 00:40:16,279
Speaker 1: something on air. It wasn't private, he said. I just

762
00:40:16,360 --> 00:40:18,040
Speaker 1: kind of wonder this is him speaking, He said, I

763
00:40:18,080 --> 00:40:20,160
Speaker 1: kind of wonder from the political side of things, since

764
00:40:20,200 --> 00:40:23,120
Speaker 1: you have the governor involved on the LSU coaching search,

765
00:40:23,800 --> 00:40:27,400
Speaker 1: what are the optics of being involved in taking the

766
00:40:27,440 --> 00:40:31,320
Speaker 1: head coach at Tulane is that's university in New Orleans

767
00:40:31,360 --> 00:40:32,880
Speaker 1: for those of you who don't know where Tulane is,

768
00:40:33,480 --> 00:40:36,600
Speaker 1: and moving him over to LSU. And I never thought

769
00:40:36,640 --> 00:40:38,279
Speaker 1: about it, and I have no clue if that means

770
00:40:38,280 --> 00:40:40,799
Speaker 1: something or not, just something to keep an eye on.

771
00:40:41,280 --> 00:40:44,160
Speaker 1: So I think John Sumral has a lot of fans

772
00:40:44,200 --> 00:40:46,160
Speaker 1: in that building. John Somerral's got a lot of fans

773
00:40:46,160 --> 00:40:48,560
Speaker 1: in most buildings. But Lane Kiffin is the name that

774
00:40:48,600 --> 00:40:52,839
Speaker 1: has dominated this search so far. So I'll go back

775
00:40:52,880 --> 00:40:55,279
Speaker 1: to the same thing with Kiffin that I've always said,

776
00:40:56,239 --> 00:40:58,320
Speaker 1: does he know what he would do if this offer

777
00:40:58,400 --> 00:41:00,319
Speaker 1: was put in front of him. I know what his

778
00:41:00,400 --> 00:41:03,120
Speaker 1: representation would do. His representation would want him to take

779
00:41:03,120 --> 00:41:05,960
Speaker 1: the job. His representation is not him. He is him.

780
00:41:06,680 --> 00:41:09,680
Speaker 1: He's probably gonna use that sound bite. Does Kiffin know

781
00:41:09,719 --> 00:41:11,320
Speaker 1: what he would do if this offer were put in

782
00:41:11,360 --> 00:41:13,480
Speaker 1: front of him? I don't know. It could come down

783
00:41:13,480 --> 00:41:15,080
Speaker 1: to a coin flip in the parking lot for all

784
00:41:15,120 --> 00:41:17,960
Speaker 1: I know. Does he value this job over the Florida job?

785
00:41:18,400 --> 00:41:20,600
Speaker 1: A lot of fans out there debating that it's so stupid,

786
00:41:20,640 --> 00:41:22,160
Speaker 1: it's such a waste of time. It doesn't matter what

787
00:41:22,200 --> 00:41:24,279
Speaker 1: you think. It doesn't matter what I think. Matters what

788
00:41:24,320 --> 00:41:27,479
Speaker 1: that guy thinks. What if he thinks the Illinois jobs

789
00:41:27,520 --> 00:41:29,399
Speaker 1: better than both of them, Well, then it doesn't matter

790
00:41:29,400 --> 00:41:31,640
Speaker 1: how stupid that sounds to us. It matters what he thinks.

791
00:41:32,120 --> 00:41:35,160
Speaker 1: A highly doubt he thinks that. But you get my point.

792
00:41:35,239 --> 00:41:38,080
Speaker 1: So that's all that matters. There. You're gonna have to

793
00:41:38,120 --> 00:41:43,439
Speaker 1: decide Number one. Are you happy at Ole? Miss? Could

794
00:41:43,480 --> 00:41:46,359
Speaker 1: you be happier elsewhere? Have you really meant what you've

795
00:41:46,360 --> 00:41:48,799
Speaker 1: said about that being home? If it is home to you,

796
00:41:48,880 --> 00:41:52,040
Speaker 1: do you want to leave home? Does legacy matter to you?

797
00:41:52,280 --> 00:41:54,320
Speaker 1: Do you think you could rewrite your legacy at a

798
00:41:54,320 --> 00:41:57,520
Speaker 1: different place? Just all this stuff, all this stuff is

799
00:41:57,560 --> 00:42:01,960
Speaker 1: gonna weigh heavily into this. And guys, that's if he's

800
00:42:02,040 --> 00:42:05,799
Speaker 1: actually number one on these lists. You know, we've gone

801
00:42:05,880 --> 00:42:09,040
Speaker 1: quite a while now where the Penn State job's been open.

802
00:42:09,680 --> 00:42:12,719
Speaker 1: Penn State job comes open. What was the headline, wall

803
00:42:12,760 --> 00:42:15,439
Speaker 1: to wall, The headline was Matt Rules their number one guy.

804
00:42:16,000 --> 00:42:18,080
Speaker 1: I don't think Matt Rules their number one guy at all,

805
00:42:18,560 --> 00:42:21,879
Speaker 1: but that didn't stop people from reporting it. So Lane

806
00:42:21,960 --> 00:42:25,600
Speaker 1: Kiffin reportedly number one guy at Florida, number one guy

807
00:42:25,640 --> 00:42:28,400
Speaker 1: at LSU. Well, let's just wait and see if that's true.

808
00:42:28,600 --> 00:42:31,279
Speaker 1: Here's how you'll know that's true. If he ends up

809
00:42:31,320 --> 00:42:33,399
Speaker 1: taking the job, then you'll know he was really high

810
00:42:33,480 --> 00:42:37,120
Speaker 1: up on their list. But I can tell you quite confidently,

811
00:42:37,640 --> 00:42:41,520
Speaker 1: there are some job searches, there are some coaching searches

812
00:42:41,600 --> 00:42:44,600
Speaker 1: in recent history where Lane Kiffin's name has been floated

813
00:42:44,640 --> 00:42:47,200
Speaker 1: and he was never a candidate. He was never he

814
00:42:47,280 --> 00:42:49,920
Speaker 1: was never on the list for the job that's not

815
00:42:50,120 --> 00:42:53,040
Speaker 1: LSU or Florida. So maybe he is way high up

816
00:42:53,040 --> 00:42:56,480
Speaker 1: on those lists. Maybe lane Kiffin's image is such now

817
00:42:57,120 --> 00:42:59,360
Speaker 1: that it's a lot more palatable than it used to be.

818
00:43:00,080 --> 00:43:01,960
Speaker 1: I don't care about any of that stuff. Frankly, I

819
00:43:02,040 --> 00:43:04,839
Speaker 1: care about who he would bring with him. I care

820
00:43:04,840 --> 00:43:07,080
Speaker 1: about who's on his staff. Just like I care about

821
00:43:07,080 --> 00:43:10,280
Speaker 1: who is on Summer All staff or Eli Drinkwitz's staff.

822
00:43:10,480 --> 00:43:13,560
Speaker 1: That's what I care about. That's how you win at LSU,

823
00:43:13,920 --> 00:43:15,799
Speaker 1: That's how you win anywhere else. That's how you fit.

824
00:43:16,400 --> 00:43:19,040
Speaker 1: I will tell you this. You will never convince me

825
00:43:19,960 --> 00:43:24,000
Speaker 1: that the working theory is true, that, oh, the pool

826
00:43:24,040 --> 00:43:27,320
Speaker 1: is so thin right now of quality candidates, quality according

827
00:43:27,360 --> 00:43:30,680
Speaker 1: to who A sports writer, a talk show host, Like,

828
00:43:30,800 --> 00:43:32,719
Speaker 1: when's the last time any of us hired a head coach?

829
00:43:32,960 --> 00:43:35,120
Speaker 1: When's the last time you vetted one? When's the last

830
00:43:35,120 --> 00:43:36,799
Speaker 1: time you looked at the background check of one? What

831
00:43:36,920 --> 00:43:40,000
Speaker 1: are your critical factors? How do you know? Now? I'm

832
00:43:40,000 --> 00:43:41,920
Speaker 1: a big Matt Campbell guy, so like I would use

833
00:43:41,960 --> 00:43:45,120
Speaker 1: Matt Campbell as an example, how do you know how

834
00:43:45,120 --> 00:43:48,319
Speaker 1: to extrapolate the results he's gotten in Ames, Iowa and

835
00:43:48,320 --> 00:43:53,800
Speaker 1: how that would translate to anywhere? State College Pennsylvania, Baton Rouge, Louisiana, Knoxville, Tennessee.

836
00:43:53,840 --> 00:43:55,839
Speaker 1: If the Tennessee job were open, how do you know?

837
00:43:56,760 --> 00:43:59,200
Speaker 1: Do you even know how to calculate that? Do you

838
00:43:59,239 --> 00:44:01,040
Speaker 1: know who to ask about that sort of thing? So

839
00:44:01,080 --> 00:44:03,799
Speaker 1: it doesn't really matter if you look at a hot board.

840
00:44:03,800 --> 00:44:05,480
Speaker 1: Aside from peten acos. Of course, if you look at

841
00:44:05,520 --> 00:44:07,799
Speaker 1: any hotboard out there and they get to about five

842
00:44:07,880 --> 00:44:09,839
Speaker 1: or six names and then say, hey, man, past this,

843
00:44:10,160 --> 00:44:12,680
Speaker 1: there aren't really any quality candidates out there. How do

844
00:44:12,760 --> 00:44:15,440
Speaker 1: you even know who a quality candidate is? And for

845
00:44:15,520 --> 00:44:18,600
Speaker 1: anyone who says that, for me to take you serious,

846
00:44:19,200 --> 00:44:21,480
Speaker 1: you have to have been touting Kurt Signetti a couple

847
00:44:21,480 --> 00:44:24,440
Speaker 1: of years ago when the Indiana job was open, because

848
00:44:24,480 --> 00:44:26,520
Speaker 1: if you weren't, you don't know how to spot a

849
00:44:26,600 --> 00:44:29,279
Speaker 1: quality candidate any better than I do, any better than

850
00:44:29,280 --> 00:44:33,080
Speaker 1: anyone else does. And that doesn't make athletic directors experts either,

851
00:44:33,080 --> 00:44:35,320
Speaker 1: because they screw this stuff up all the time as well.

852
00:44:36,320 --> 00:44:39,960
Speaker 1: So what's the science here, Well, it's very inexact, and

853
00:44:40,080 --> 00:44:43,200
Speaker 1: I do think there's a lot of coin flip crapshoot

854
00:44:43,320 --> 00:44:46,840
Speaker 1: type dynamics to this. But you greatly tilt the odds

855
00:44:46,880 --> 00:44:50,759
Speaker 1: in your favor if you understand how to hire a

856
00:44:50,880 --> 00:44:55,319
Speaker 1: staff staff properly. I am a believer that when it

857
00:44:55,320 --> 00:44:57,640
Speaker 1: comes to the LSU job, there's so many baked in

858
00:44:57,680 --> 00:45:01,600
Speaker 1: advantages there. There are twenty there are thirty head coaches

859
00:45:01,920 --> 00:45:05,239
Speaker 1: or head coaching candidates that would win at LSU if

860
00:45:05,280 --> 00:45:10,520
Speaker 1: they just staff properly. That's it. That's it. That's as

861
00:45:10,560 --> 00:45:14,359
Speaker 1: easy and as difficult as that. The other part that's

862
00:45:14,400 --> 00:45:16,960
Speaker 1: out of their control, but that they're gonna want is alignment.

863
00:45:17,400 --> 00:45:20,880
Speaker 1: An alignment is something that's been oh, I don't know,

864
00:45:20,920 --> 00:45:23,320
Speaker 1: maybe in a state of flux there to say the least.

865
00:45:23,560 --> 00:45:26,720
Speaker 1: They don't have a president, the governors swinging the hammer

866
00:45:26,800 --> 00:45:29,759
Speaker 1: right now. Scott Woodward's there today, Is he gonna be

867
00:45:29,800 --> 00:45:34,080
Speaker 1: there next week? What I'm hearing is maybe not. So

868
00:45:34,200 --> 00:45:36,680
Speaker 1: I don't even necessarily know. If he's the one running

869
00:45:36,680 --> 00:45:39,560
Speaker 1: point on this coaching search, that's the athletic director down there.

870
00:45:39,800 --> 00:45:42,359
Speaker 1: For those unfamiliar, I haven't been crazy with the job

871
00:45:42,400 --> 00:45:44,719
Speaker 1: he's done there anyway. So if I were an LSU fan,

872
00:45:44,719 --> 00:45:48,520
Speaker 1: that would kind of be music to my ears. Alignment

873
00:45:50,120 --> 00:45:52,279
Speaker 1: in this day and age, in a day and age

874
00:45:52,320 --> 00:45:56,320
Speaker 1: where we are seeing that you can win big at Indiana,

875
00:45:56,640 --> 00:45:58,759
Speaker 1: and if you can do it in Indiana, respectfully, you

876
00:45:58,760 --> 00:46:00,600
Speaker 1: can do it at a lot of other places if

877
00:46:00,640 --> 00:46:03,719
Speaker 1: you staff properly and you have proper alignment and investment.

878
00:46:05,080 --> 00:46:07,919
Speaker 1: No one is just crawling over broken glass to get

879
00:46:07,920 --> 00:46:13,160
Speaker 1: these jobs anymore if they don't have alignment. So your LSU. Yeah,

880
00:46:13,360 --> 00:46:15,239
Speaker 1: are you one of the best jobs in the country. Yes,

881
00:46:15,320 --> 00:46:19,080
Speaker 1: I think so. You better have alignment because it doesn't

882
00:46:19,080 --> 00:46:21,120
Speaker 1: matter what those three letters look like and how great

883
00:46:21,160 --> 00:46:23,120
Speaker 1: Tiger Stadium is at night and all that stuff. The

884
00:46:23,200 --> 00:46:27,080
Speaker 1: cosmetics of the job are irrelevant if the criticals aren't

885
00:46:27,480 --> 00:46:31,120
Speaker 1: in the order they should be in. So the alignment

886
00:46:31,200 --> 00:46:34,920
Speaker 1: piece is something you can't see on the surface, but

887
00:46:35,000 --> 00:46:36,880
Speaker 1: a head coach is going to demand it before he

888
00:46:36,920 --> 00:46:40,160
Speaker 1: takes your job, and you'll never win without it. And

889
00:46:40,200 --> 00:46:42,120
Speaker 1: that could just as soon be copied and pasted for

890
00:46:42,160 --> 00:46:45,560
Speaker 1: all these other jobs. I don't know who I would

891
00:46:45,560 --> 00:46:48,479
Speaker 1: bet on right now. I guess if we were doing

892
00:46:48,480 --> 00:46:52,880
Speaker 1: the odds, I guess I would lean Lane Kiffin without

893
00:46:52,920 --> 00:46:54,400
Speaker 1: even knowing if he's going to take the job or

894
00:46:54,400 --> 00:46:55,920
Speaker 1: if the job's going to get offered to him. Just

895
00:46:55,920 --> 00:47:03,640
Speaker 1: full disclosure there. I just it's still early. It is October.

896
00:47:04,680 --> 00:47:08,440
Speaker 1: We've got a long runway here. But man, those conversations

897
00:47:08,480 --> 00:47:11,520
Speaker 1: are happening. It's a really interesting time behind the scenes

898
00:47:11,520 --> 00:47:13,919
Speaker 1: down there. It's a really interesting time because I think

899
00:47:13,960 --> 00:47:16,960
Speaker 1: maybe you know, like six months ago, even if you

900
00:47:17,040 --> 00:47:19,440
Speaker 1: told me the job's gonna come open, that would not

901
00:47:19,520 --> 00:47:21,160
Speaker 1: have been the biggest shock in the world to me

902
00:47:22,760 --> 00:47:26,719
Speaker 1: who's running the search. That may be where things have

903
00:47:26,840 --> 00:47:30,240
Speaker 1: changed a little bit for the better for LSU. Let's

904
00:47:30,239 --> 00:47:35,360
Speaker 1: continue the game. We will be at Saturday, Miami at SMU,

905
00:47:35,480 --> 00:47:39,480
Speaker 1: our first ever game at SMU. The Fall Don't Lie

906
00:47:39,520 --> 00:47:44,240
Speaker 1: Tour fueled by quick trip headed into Dallas eleven am kickoff.

907
00:47:45,120 --> 00:47:47,480
Speaker 1: Will we be back by five pm? I think we

908
00:47:47,600 --> 00:47:52,439
Speaker 1: may be, but not until we see if Miami's for real?

909
00:47:52,840 --> 00:47:55,720
Speaker 1: Are we really asking that question? All right? So Miami

910
00:47:55,800 --> 00:47:59,080
Speaker 1: is leaving the state of Florida for a football game

911
00:47:59,360 --> 00:48:02,840
Speaker 1: for the first time this year November first. That's the

912
00:48:02,880 --> 00:48:05,160
Speaker 1: first time Miami will have left the state of Florida.

913
00:48:05,400 --> 00:48:08,520
Speaker 1: SMU is five and three right now, but they actually

914
00:48:08,640 --> 00:48:11,600
Speaker 1: lead Miami in the conference standings because they're both one

915
00:48:11,640 --> 00:48:14,960
Speaker 1: lost teams and SMU's got one more win. They are

916
00:48:15,040 --> 00:48:18,239
Speaker 1: coming off the worst offensive performance since Rhet Lashley has

917
00:48:18,280 --> 00:48:21,920
Speaker 1: been there. That was a woeful offensive performance last week

918
00:48:21,920 --> 00:48:24,960
Speaker 1: and its wake forest. But then with Miami, hey, look

919
00:48:24,960 --> 00:48:28,879
Speaker 1: the Stanford second half win and cover full credit, I've

920
00:48:28,920 --> 00:48:31,399
Speaker 1: still got some trust issues then I'm trying to work

921
00:48:31,440 --> 00:48:34,680
Speaker 1: through with Miami. Okay, I've already been on a roller

922
00:48:34,680 --> 00:48:37,720
Speaker 1: coaster ride with Miami this year. Now, Louisville's a good team.

923
00:48:37,960 --> 00:48:39,439
Speaker 1: It's not the end of the world that you lost

924
00:48:39,440 --> 00:48:41,640
Speaker 1: to Louisville. Some of the issues of the past cropped

925
00:48:41,719 --> 00:48:44,560
Speaker 1: up again. Was it a one time thing? Hey, Bama

926
00:48:44,600 --> 00:48:47,600
Speaker 1: lost to Florida State. I'm over that. Miami. You can

927
00:48:47,640 --> 00:48:50,680
Speaker 1: lose to Louisville, although it was at home off of bye,

928
00:48:51,000 --> 00:48:53,879
Speaker 1: but I digress. Jeff Brown good coach. So it's time

929
00:48:53,920 --> 00:48:56,800
Speaker 1: to see with Carson Beck because this is the second

930
00:48:56,840 --> 00:49:01,920
Speaker 1: worst pass defense in FBS, second worst pass defense. That's

931
00:49:02,000 --> 00:49:07,440
Speaker 1: one thirty five nationally. But they know it. See as

932
00:49:07,480 --> 00:49:10,400
Speaker 1: if you suck, but you know you suck, then you

933
00:49:10,440 --> 00:49:14,520
Speaker 1: can start taking preventative measures. And I have some preventative

934
00:49:14,560 --> 00:49:19,040
Speaker 1: measures here. It's not a topical cream per se. But

935
00:49:19,600 --> 00:49:22,200
Speaker 1: if you have a very very bad pass defense, what

936
00:49:22,239 --> 00:49:23,640
Speaker 1: you want to be is you want to be top

937
00:49:23,680 --> 00:49:27,520
Speaker 1: ten in sacks, you want to be number one in takeaways,

938
00:49:27,680 --> 00:49:30,640
Speaker 1: you want to be number four in interception. That is

939
00:49:30,800 --> 00:49:34,879
Speaker 1: SMU's defense. Is it feast or famine? Oh yes, oh

940
00:49:35,040 --> 00:49:40,640
Speaker 1: oh to the furthest and most extreme extent of the phrase, Yes,

941
00:49:41,040 --> 00:49:45,000
Speaker 1: it is. So if you get home against Carson Beck,

942
00:49:45,880 --> 00:49:48,480
Speaker 1: you can tilt this game in your favor. What you

943
00:49:48,520 --> 00:49:51,279
Speaker 1: should know is this has come at the expense of

944
00:49:51,320 --> 00:49:55,279
Speaker 1: some big time production days for wide receiver ones who

945
00:49:55,320 --> 00:49:58,680
Speaker 1: have faced SMU. So think Malachi Toni when I read

946
00:49:58,719 --> 00:50:02,760
Speaker 1: these stats to you. Baylor's top wide receiver nine catches

947
00:50:02,800 --> 00:50:06,840
Speaker 1: one fifty one two touchdowns, TCUs number one eight catches

948
00:50:06,880 --> 00:50:10,759
Speaker 1: two fifty four three touchdowns, Stanford's seven for one oh

949
00:50:10,840 --> 00:50:18,279
Speaker 1: nine one touchdown Clemsons seven one twenty four two. So

950
00:50:20,080 --> 00:50:23,879
Speaker 1: that's the Miami side of things. Kevin Jennings quarterback there

951
00:50:24,120 --> 00:50:28,880
Speaker 1: at SMU, You're gonna answer season low in passing yards

952
00:50:28,960 --> 00:50:32,680
Speaker 1: last week, and he's thrown an interception in every game

953
00:50:32,760 --> 00:50:35,319
Speaker 1: but one this year, and he's gonna have to deal

954
00:50:35,360 --> 00:50:38,200
Speaker 1: with a top five pressure eight team. So my look

955
00:50:38,239 --> 00:50:40,719
Speaker 1: for all the talk about how SMU can get after

956
00:50:40,760 --> 00:50:44,640
Speaker 1: the quarterback, well Miami can do that too, but Miami

957
00:50:44,680 --> 00:50:48,000
Speaker 1: just does it with a lot more formidable athletic profile

958
00:50:48,960 --> 00:50:52,080
Speaker 1: than you know SMU is gonna have. Also, by the way,

959
00:50:52,680 --> 00:50:55,279
Speaker 1: Miami's defense is top ten against the run, so they

960
00:50:55,280 --> 00:50:58,360
Speaker 1: are actually good pretty much across the board. Here's the

961
00:50:58,360 --> 00:51:01,440
Speaker 1: thing Louisville did to them. Got the ball out quick,

962
00:51:02,000 --> 00:51:04,359
Speaker 1: so it rendered some of the pressure rate and having

963
00:51:04,480 --> 00:51:08,880
Speaker 1: statistics a little bit moot. That is not SMU's fourte

964
00:51:09,000 --> 00:51:12,319
Speaker 1: that is not Kevin Jennings, at least that's not classically

965
00:51:12,320 --> 00:51:14,680
Speaker 1: been him. So if they're gonna do that, they're gonna

966
00:51:14,680 --> 00:51:16,920
Speaker 1: have to incorporate a little different offensive approach than they

967
00:51:16,920 --> 00:51:20,400
Speaker 1: have so far this year. SMU has to be good

968
00:51:20,560 --> 00:51:24,320
Speaker 1: on third down. They just got to flip their stat

969
00:51:24,360 --> 00:51:26,279
Speaker 1: profile on this because they're one hundred and fourth in

970
00:51:26,320 --> 00:51:29,840
Speaker 1: the country on third down conversion percentage. Miami's top fifteen

971
00:51:29,920 --> 00:51:32,920
Speaker 1: defensively in that category. So that's the way college football

972
00:51:32,960 --> 00:51:35,319
Speaker 1: happens a lot of times is you take something that

973
00:51:35,680 --> 00:51:40,200
Speaker 1: was on paper and then comes Sunday. That's not the

974
00:51:40,280 --> 00:51:43,399
Speaker 1: Jimmy Buffetts on Let's come Monday, comes Sunday, you're looking

975
00:51:43,440 --> 00:51:45,880
Speaker 1: at it and saying, man, going into this game, SMU

976
00:51:46,000 --> 00:51:48,840
Speaker 1: is terrible on third down offensively. Miami was great on

977
00:51:48,920 --> 00:51:51,959
Speaker 1: third down defensively. Yet wouldn't you know it, in this game,

978
00:51:52,160 --> 00:51:55,520
Speaker 1: SMU was eight of thirteen on third down. Well, that's

979
00:51:55,560 --> 00:51:57,759
Speaker 1: how you win it. That's how you win it. Just

980
00:51:57,760 --> 00:51:59,560
Speaker 1: because it has been doesn't mean it has to be.

981
00:52:00,000 --> 00:52:02,080
Speaker 1: It's like the entire story of A and football this year.

982
00:52:02,320 --> 00:52:05,000
Speaker 1: So maybe that could be like a microcosm from a

983
00:52:05,000 --> 00:52:09,200
Speaker 1: third down perspective in this game. This problem SMU has

984
00:52:09,239 --> 00:52:11,480
Speaker 1: had this year on third down that's led to them

985
00:52:11,520 --> 00:52:15,200
Speaker 1: being one hundredth in time of possession, which is a

986
00:52:15,239 --> 00:52:17,759
Speaker 1: stat our Buddy Parker Fleming over at Stats of War

987
00:52:18,200 --> 00:52:21,880
Speaker 1: probably values among all other stats is the amount of

988
00:52:21,920 --> 00:52:25,760
Speaker 1: seconds and minutes you possess the football. Points don't matter,

989
00:52:26,160 --> 00:52:30,320
Speaker 1: EPA doesn't matter, None of that matters. Just time. Time.

990
00:52:31,239 --> 00:52:33,520
Speaker 1: That's the most precious commodity in football. I believe he

991
00:52:33,560 --> 00:52:35,680
Speaker 1: told me that. I believe that was an exact quote

992
00:52:36,080 --> 00:52:39,880
Speaker 1: from him. Those are all lies. He doesn't care. But

993
00:52:40,960 --> 00:52:46,440
Speaker 1: normally time of possession correlates to controlling games. Normally it does.

994
00:52:46,480 --> 00:52:49,440
Speaker 1: There are exceptions to the rule. Calm down, push your

995
00:52:49,440 --> 00:52:51,560
Speaker 1: glasses back up on your nose. I know there are

996
00:52:51,560 --> 00:52:53,960
Speaker 1: exceptions to the rule. But it all comes down to

997
00:52:54,000 --> 00:52:57,919
Speaker 1: Miami protecting the ball. All this that I've just said,

998
00:52:57,960 --> 00:53:00,239
Speaker 1: it comes down to Miami protecting the ball. If they

999
00:53:00,280 --> 00:53:03,360
Speaker 1: protect the ball, they should win this game. It is

1000
00:53:03,800 --> 00:53:06,360
Speaker 1: proven easier said than done for game scripts to just

1001
00:53:06,400 --> 00:53:08,480
Speaker 1: go how they should. In college football so far, this year.

1002
00:53:08,920 --> 00:53:12,200
Speaker 1: So let's take a look what the model thinks. The

1003
00:53:12,239 --> 00:53:15,080
Speaker 1: FanDuel number right now is Miami minus eleven and a half.

1004
00:53:15,320 --> 00:53:19,319
Speaker 1: Our model degrees right along with FanDuel. Our model is

1005
00:53:19,320 --> 00:53:21,759
Speaker 1: different from FanDuel. It's just I mean, we're pretty much

1006
00:53:21,760 --> 00:53:24,080
Speaker 1: calibrated the same way on this one. Look, it's a

1007
00:53:24,120 --> 00:53:26,120
Speaker 1: warning light game from Miami. If they go in here

1008
00:53:26,120 --> 00:53:28,279
Speaker 1: and dominate, they're up seventeen at the half and they

1009
00:53:28,360 --> 00:53:31,960
Speaker 1: win by twenty, great, just just dust your hands off,

1010
00:53:32,000 --> 00:53:34,480
Speaker 1: head back home, and you got this nice little back

1011
00:53:34,480 --> 00:53:37,360
Speaker 1: half of the schedule against teams you'll be favored against,

1012
00:53:37,440 --> 00:53:39,719
Speaker 1: and you should be able to go to work. But

1013
00:53:39,760 --> 00:53:42,640
Speaker 1: it's a warning light in that if they even if

1014
00:53:42,680 --> 00:53:45,280
Speaker 1: they win this game but it's really close, or especially

1015
00:53:45,280 --> 00:53:47,520
Speaker 1: if they lose it, even if they win it really close,

1016
00:53:47,880 --> 00:53:50,200
Speaker 1: there's a world where Miami wins this game at the gun.

1017
00:53:50,239 --> 00:53:52,799
Speaker 1: But they're all kinds of flaws that show that it's

1018
00:53:52,800 --> 00:53:55,319
Speaker 1: a warning light game. Maybe it's not the game that

1019
00:53:55,360 --> 00:53:59,600
Speaker 1: buries you, but it's a warning light game. I have

1020
00:53:59,680 --> 00:54:02,399
Speaker 1: a suspision SMU is going to be very competitive here.

1021
00:54:03,080 --> 00:54:07,240
Speaker 1: I appreciate that program enough to expect a big bounce

1022
00:54:07,320 --> 00:54:10,400
Speaker 1: back performance from what they did last week. Because the

1023
00:54:10,440 --> 00:54:13,160
Speaker 1: thing about doing something and it crashing and burning is

1024
00:54:13,200 --> 00:54:16,160
Speaker 1: you have the least incentive imaginable to keep doing that thing.

1025
00:54:17,520 --> 00:54:19,480
Speaker 1: So I'm gonna take Miami to win the game, but

1026
00:54:19,560 --> 00:54:21,799
Speaker 1: I do think it comes in inside the number. I

1027
00:54:21,800 --> 00:54:24,040
Speaker 1: will take SMU plus eleven and a half. I will

1028
00:54:24,080 --> 00:54:26,480
Speaker 1: take Miami to win, and we will be there on

1029
00:54:26,560 --> 00:54:29,560
Speaker 1: the sideline to watch it all our first game ever

1030
00:54:30,080 --> 00:54:34,319
Speaker 1: at SMU. And as we get there, we'll walk through

1031
00:54:34,320 --> 00:54:36,400
Speaker 1: the tailgate scene and I'll look to my left and

1032
00:54:36,480 --> 00:54:39,960
Speaker 1: right and hopefully see flex power generators. It's the key

1033
00:54:39,960 --> 00:54:45,000
Speaker 1: to a good tailgate. It is, quite honestly. They didn't

1034
00:54:45,080 --> 00:54:47,320
Speaker 1: ask me to say this. It may just be the

1035
00:54:47,400 --> 00:54:50,880
Speaker 1: key to life. Is that strong? It may be a

1036
00:54:50,880 --> 00:54:55,799
Speaker 1: little strong. Could you technically survive without a flex power generator? Yes,

1037
00:54:56,920 --> 00:55:00,560
Speaker 1: but why would you want to? I don't know. People

1038
00:55:00,600 --> 00:55:03,160
Speaker 1: live without clothes. Guess they could live without a flex

1039
00:55:03,200 --> 00:55:06,760
Speaker 1: power generator. I just ask you when times get tough,

1040
00:55:07,239 --> 00:55:10,480
Speaker 1: when storms come your way, when it's time for the

1041
00:55:10,560 --> 00:55:13,480
Speaker 1: kiddo's birthday party, and you got a million different inflatable

1042
00:55:13,480 --> 00:55:16,239
Speaker 1: things outside, when little Johnny needs to hit and you

1043
00:55:16,280 --> 00:55:19,680
Speaker 1: need to power the pitching machine. When you need to

1044
00:55:19,680 --> 00:55:23,560
Speaker 1: power your tailgate, why not have flex power by your side.

1045
00:55:23,800 --> 00:55:30,000
Speaker 1: Myflexpower dot com slash Josh paid extremely quiet. I challenged

1046
00:55:30,040 --> 00:55:31,799
Speaker 1: myself the other night that I think I could fall

1047
00:55:31,800 --> 00:55:34,440
Speaker 1: asleep with one running in the bedroom. I haven't tested

1048
00:55:34,520 --> 00:55:37,680
Speaker 1: that theory yet, but I'm thinking about it. Really nice

1049
00:55:37,719 --> 00:55:41,080
Speaker 1: promotional idea. Let's continue. I need to take a sip

1050
00:55:41,200 --> 00:55:46,359
Speaker 1: from the nondescript water jug right quick. Oh this could

1051
00:55:46,360 --> 00:55:50,280
Speaker 1: be you, this could be us, but they're playing. They're playing.

1052
00:55:51,120 --> 00:55:53,759
Speaker 1: I could turn this water jug around and you could

1053
00:55:53,760 --> 00:55:56,880
Speaker 1: see the sticker here. I could do that, but no

1054
00:55:57,000 --> 00:55:59,400
Speaker 1: one has paid. So instead, I'm drinking like a hobo.

1055
00:56:00,080 --> 00:56:05,960
Speaker 1: Undescript water jug here. It is water though. That is

1056
00:56:06,000 --> 00:56:08,799
Speaker 1: where I differ from many of the hoboes that I've known.

1057
00:56:09,520 --> 00:56:13,120
Speaker 1: And if you don't believe that, you probably need to

1058
00:56:13,200 --> 00:56:15,520
Speaker 1: understand what some of my hobbies are or have been

1059
00:56:15,560 --> 00:56:18,560
Speaker 1: in the past. I'm reformed now. But in the past,

1060
00:56:18,760 --> 00:56:21,720
Speaker 1: have I hopped a freight trainer? Two? Yes, I have.

1061
00:56:21,719 --> 00:56:25,960
Speaker 1: Have I made some friends along the way, acquaintances, I

1062
00:56:26,040 --> 00:56:29,000
Speaker 1: would say, there's some fun YouTube channels to watch. By

1063
00:56:29,040 --> 00:56:32,480
Speaker 1: the way, you get done watching college football on this platform.

1064
00:56:33,360 --> 00:56:36,720
Speaker 1: Train hopping. That's your next stop. Stormchasing in the spring.

1065
00:56:37,480 --> 00:56:43,520
Speaker 1: USC at Nebraska Saturday, seven thirty Eastern kickoff, NBC schedule

1066
00:56:43,640 --> 00:56:46,520
Speaker 1: dynamic alert. We should have the lights going off in

1067
00:56:46,560 --> 00:56:50,160
Speaker 1: here right now. Let's triple paper pop us. He's off

1068
00:56:50,160 --> 00:56:55,399
Speaker 1: a bye. This is Nebraska's fifth straight game. That's why USC. Well,

1069
00:56:55,400 --> 00:56:58,120
Speaker 1: that's one reason why USC is favored by nearly a

1070
00:56:58,160 --> 00:57:05,040
Speaker 1: touchdown in link in. Nebraska has twenty eight straight losses

1071
00:57:05,239 --> 00:57:10,040
Speaker 1: when facing AP ranked teams. Did you know that? Twenty

1072
00:57:10,120 --> 00:57:14,840
Speaker 1: eight straight losses when facing AP ranked teams? Why do

1073
00:57:14,920 --> 00:57:18,080
Speaker 1: I mention that? Well, it's not necessarily because we care

1074
00:57:18,080 --> 00:57:20,400
Speaker 1: about the AP pole here, Well, we care about them,

1075
00:57:20,400 --> 00:57:24,280
Speaker 1: but we don't really value that number. But in the

1076
00:57:24,320 --> 00:57:29,320
Speaker 1: interest of conspiracy and knowing, Nebraska has gone oh to

1077
00:57:29,360 --> 00:57:31,520
Speaker 1: twenty eight in their last twenty eight games against AP

1078
00:57:31,720 --> 00:57:35,760
Speaker 1: ranked teams. Did you know USC was unranked last week

1079
00:57:36,080 --> 00:57:39,880
Speaker 1: and they didn't play on Saturday. Yet mysteriously they are

1080
00:57:39,920 --> 00:57:43,400
Speaker 1: now twenty third in the AP pole. Who at the

1081
00:57:43,440 --> 00:57:48,440
Speaker 1: AP is anti Nebraska? Hoomst at the AP is anti Nebraska.

1082
00:57:48,520 --> 00:57:51,360
Speaker 1: So we'll get PA state investigates on that. In the meantime,

1083
00:57:52,040 --> 00:57:54,280
Speaker 1: I hold in my hand a piece of paper. This

1084
00:57:54,400 --> 00:57:58,080
Speaker 1: piece of paper says this is an elite matchup. The

1085
00:57:58,160 --> 00:58:01,280
Speaker 1: paper says it, and it says that USC's got the

1086
00:58:01,320 --> 00:58:04,400
Speaker 1: number one passing offense in the country. It says Nebraska's

1087
00:58:04,440 --> 00:58:06,920
Speaker 1: got the number two passing defense in the country. Sounds

1088
00:58:06,960 --> 00:58:10,240
Speaker 1: elite to me. That's what we thought about Oklahoma last week. Oh,

1089
00:58:10,360 --> 00:58:13,840
Speaker 1: you number one or top five across the board a

1090
00:58:13,880 --> 00:58:17,600
Speaker 1: lot of the critical defensive metrics. Well, we found out

1091
00:58:17,600 --> 00:58:20,600
Speaker 1: they also hadn't faced a passing attack in the top sixty.

1092
00:58:20,760 --> 00:58:24,080
Speaker 1: Nebraska has not phased one in the top fifty. So

1093
00:58:24,280 --> 00:58:26,760
Speaker 1: is it about to happen to Nebraska the way it

1094
00:58:26,880 --> 00:58:32,640
Speaker 1: happened to Oklahoma last week? Lemon Lane big time names

1095
00:58:32,640 --> 00:58:35,320
Speaker 1: for us. He should have success here, But let's just

1096
00:58:35,400 --> 00:58:38,800
Speaker 1: say they don't. What if they're relatively held in check?

1097
00:58:39,080 --> 00:58:42,200
Speaker 1: Tall task. But what if they're relatively held in check

1098
00:58:42,600 --> 00:58:46,680
Speaker 1: by Matt Ruhle and the guys at Nebraska. Well, I

1099
00:58:46,680 --> 00:58:49,320
Speaker 1: would respond with this, do you know what this is?

1100
00:58:49,360 --> 00:58:52,080
Speaker 1: If you're a USC, I mean, Lincoln Riley, do you

1101
00:58:52,120 --> 00:58:55,360
Speaker 1: guys know what you're gotten yourself into here? A Big

1102
00:58:55,400 --> 00:58:59,440
Speaker 1: ten football game in November, that's what you've gotten yourself into.

1103
00:59:00,280 --> 00:59:03,520
Speaker 1: And you shouldn't be scared about it. You should embrace it.

1104
00:59:03,520 --> 00:59:06,240
Speaker 1: It wasn't that long ago. You guys ran the ball

1105
00:59:06,520 --> 00:59:10,160
Speaker 1: down Michigan's throat in the coliseum. You didn't do it

1106
00:59:10,200 --> 00:59:12,240
Speaker 1: on the road, but you did it. You won a

1107
00:59:12,280 --> 00:59:16,720
Speaker 1: Big ten game out Big tenning a Big Ten opponent.

1108
00:59:17,280 --> 00:59:21,120
Speaker 1: Why can't you do it again? Minnesota had a one

1109
00:59:21,240 --> 00:59:25,240
Speaker 1: eighty six to thirty six rushing yard advantage on Nebraska,

1110
00:59:25,560 --> 00:59:28,200
Speaker 1: Michigan out rushed him two eighty six to forty three.

1111
00:59:28,440 --> 00:59:32,840
Speaker 1: Why can't you do that? What you've got stud receivers. Yeah,

1112
00:59:32,880 --> 00:59:34,920
Speaker 1: you got a quarterback that should be able to get

1113
00:59:34,920 --> 00:59:37,000
Speaker 1: it done through the air. But if they don't, just

1114
00:59:37,080 --> 00:59:39,000
Speaker 1: run the ball. Now, I know you're a little deficient

1115
00:59:39,000 --> 00:59:41,600
Speaker 1: in the depth department there right now, But this is

1116
00:59:41,720 --> 00:59:45,360
Speaker 1: USC man, this is the Big Ten, this is November.

1117
00:59:45,680 --> 00:59:48,880
Speaker 1: This is when winning happens. Nebraska one hundred and twenty eighth,

1118
00:59:48,880 --> 00:59:53,200
Speaker 1: then sacks allowed USC fifteenth. So not only should you

1119
00:59:53,240 --> 00:59:55,959
Speaker 1: be able to run the ball, you should be able

1120
00:59:55,960 --> 00:59:58,520
Speaker 1: to pressure the quarterback as well. So a couple of

1121
00:59:58,560 --> 01:00:02,720
Speaker 1: critical game factors there tilt Trojans and IT profiles. Now

1122
01:00:02,720 --> 01:00:04,480
Speaker 1: I'm gonna tell you what IT profiles as again, We're

1123
01:00:04,480 --> 01:00:06,680
Speaker 1: gonna go back to the piece of paper here. You

1124
01:00:06,720 --> 01:00:08,880
Speaker 1: hear that. You know what that sound is. That is

1125
01:00:08,920 --> 01:00:13,280
Speaker 1: a game profiling as a plus matchup for Nebraska through

1126
01:00:13,280 --> 01:00:19,040
Speaker 1: the air. Here's how I see it. Emmitt Johnson got

1127
01:00:19,040 --> 01:00:23,120
Speaker 1: to give him twenty plus carries. In games where Nebraska

1128
01:00:23,160 --> 01:00:25,360
Speaker 1: gives that kid twenty plus carries, they are three and

1129
01:00:25,400 --> 01:00:28,760
Speaker 1: oh against the powerful. When he doesn't carry it twenty times,

1130
01:00:28,760 --> 01:00:32,360
Speaker 1: they are one and two. And in those two losses,

1131
01:00:33,280 --> 01:00:36,200
Speaker 1: Dylan Riola has taken more sacks than in the six

1132
01:00:36,240 --> 01:00:42,480
Speaker 1: wins combined. So USC pass defense eightieth in the country.

1133
01:00:43,480 --> 01:00:45,560
Speaker 1: You still need to run the ball. It comes down

1134
01:00:45,600 --> 01:00:48,600
Speaker 1: to the run for both teams. Don't get so focused

1135
01:00:48,920 --> 01:00:52,000
Speaker 1: on the shiny objects at receiver. Don't get so focused

1136
01:00:52,000 --> 01:00:54,920
Speaker 1: on Ryol and Mayava. Yes they'll end up making plays

1137
01:00:54,960 --> 01:00:56,800
Speaker 1: and maybe they decide the games, but it's on the

1138
01:00:56,800 --> 01:01:02,080
Speaker 1: back of hopefully good rushing attacks for each or either

1139
01:01:02,120 --> 01:01:05,280
Speaker 1: one of them. Do I have trust issues with USC

1140
01:01:06,000 --> 01:01:10,439
Speaker 1: travel trust? Yeah? I do. We saw what happened last

1141
01:01:10,440 --> 01:01:13,760
Speaker 1: time you went on the road against Notre Dame. We

1142
01:01:13,800 --> 01:01:16,680
Speaker 1: saw earlier in the season they went to Illinois and lost,

1143
01:01:17,480 --> 01:01:21,000
Speaker 1: and this is their next opportunity at Nebraska. It's November, man,

1144
01:01:21,080 --> 01:01:23,520
Speaker 1: Let's take a look at what the model thinks. FanDuel

1145
01:01:23,600 --> 01:01:25,680
Speaker 1: number right now is USC minus six and a half.

1146
01:01:25,960 --> 01:01:29,800
Speaker 1: Model only has USC minus four. Model leans Nebraska a

1147
01:01:29,840 --> 01:01:32,800
Speaker 1: little bit more. I don't have a feel on the game,

1148
01:01:32,800 --> 01:01:35,600
Speaker 1: but I have it as a very tight game. So

1149
01:01:36,080 --> 01:01:38,400
Speaker 1: I am doing what I don't really like to do,

1150
01:01:39,040 --> 01:01:40,480
Speaker 1: and I've already done it once in the game. But

1151
01:01:40,520 --> 01:01:42,160
Speaker 1: I really do think this is a very very close,

1152
01:01:42,280 --> 01:01:45,280
Speaker 1: one possession type game. I'm not betting it. I think

1153
01:01:45,400 --> 01:01:49,000
Speaker 1: USC's gonna find a way, really really close to win

1154
01:01:49,120 --> 01:01:52,480
Speaker 1: this game. I'm not laying six and a half, so

1155
01:01:52,560 --> 01:01:54,280
Speaker 1: if I'm betting this game with the points, I'm taking

1156
01:01:54,320 --> 01:01:56,080
Speaker 1: Nebraska plus six and a half. But I do think

1157
01:01:56,200 --> 01:01:58,560
Speaker 1: USC is going to win the game outright nose itches

1158
01:02:00,080 --> 01:02:03,840
Speaker 1: and that's the bottom Minchael stone Cold said so, but yeah,

1159
01:02:03,920 --> 01:02:05,920
Speaker 1: that's a if you can't keep losing these games on

1160
01:02:05,960 --> 01:02:08,600
Speaker 1: the road, man, Like USC is still in this thing too.

1161
01:02:09,320 --> 01:02:11,360
Speaker 1: I wanted to say Nebraska was, but I think that

1162
01:02:11,480 --> 01:02:14,760
Speaker 1: crashed and burned or maybe it didn't. Who knows, maybe

1163
01:02:14,840 --> 01:02:17,479
Speaker 1: it didn't. I got a very important post it note.

1164
01:02:17,560 --> 01:02:19,040
Speaker 1: I need to peel it off and put it right

1165
01:02:19,120 --> 01:02:22,840
Speaker 1: here because we have an accusation that we have to address.

1166
01:02:25,680 --> 01:02:29,640
Speaker 1: All Right, Norman, friend of the program in Tampa, he said,

1167
01:02:29,680 --> 01:02:32,920
Speaker 1: the AP pole already has SEC bias. After watching the

1168
01:02:33,000 --> 01:02:35,640
Speaker 1: Sunday show, I'm starting to think you do as well.

1169
01:02:36,040 --> 01:02:40,080
Speaker 1: Don't forget other leagues exist too, Norman. I know other

1170
01:02:40,200 --> 01:02:42,560
Speaker 1: leagues exist. I know that because we talk about the

1171
01:02:42,640 --> 01:02:46,160
Speaker 1: other leagues on the show. But I assume, Norman, that

1172
01:02:46,320 --> 01:02:51,040
Speaker 1: you're referring to how disproportionately SEC heavy the Sunday show was.

1173
01:02:51,200 --> 01:02:55,240
Speaker 1: It absolutely was. Minute by minute, it was probably our

1174
01:02:55,320 --> 01:02:58,680
Speaker 1: most SEC heavy show that we've ever done here. But

1175
01:02:58,840 --> 01:03:02,040
Speaker 1: I ask you, Norman, did you look at the Slate

1176
01:03:02,160 --> 01:03:05,560
Speaker 1: last week? Sunday's a reaction show, so we're reacting to

1177
01:03:05,640 --> 01:03:09,240
Speaker 1: the most noteworthy games. Did you look at last week Slate?

1178
01:03:09,680 --> 01:03:11,520
Speaker 1: Remember what we're doing here, We're doing a national college

1179
01:03:11,560 --> 01:03:15,400
Speaker 1: football show, and I look, I've told you my perfect

1180
01:03:15,440 --> 01:03:18,360
Speaker 1: worldview is the PAC twelve still exists, and I'm talking

1181
01:03:18,400 --> 01:03:20,400
Speaker 1: about PAC twelve games, and I'm talking about games all

1182
01:03:20,400 --> 01:03:23,440
Speaker 1: over the country. That wasn't the reality of the landscape

1183
01:03:23,520 --> 01:03:29,320
Speaker 1: last week. So last week we had ole Miss Oklahoma,

1184
01:03:29,840 --> 01:03:34,480
Speaker 1: we had Auburn, Arkansas. We had BAMA, South Carolina, Missouri,

1185
01:03:34,640 --> 01:03:38,720
Speaker 1: Vanderbilt A, and MLSU. That was the slate that the

1186
01:03:38,960 --> 01:03:42,680
Speaker 1: SEC offered, and we did reactions I think to all

1187
01:03:42,720 --> 01:03:47,040
Speaker 1: those games on Sunday. I've asked several people because I've

1188
01:03:47,040 --> 01:03:49,200
Speaker 1: gotten this feedback a lot this week, where else would

1189
01:03:49,200 --> 01:03:52,320
Speaker 1: you have gone? What you're hosting a college football show,

1190
01:03:52,320 --> 01:03:54,480
Speaker 1: It's a national show on a Sunday. Where else would

1191
01:03:54,480 --> 01:03:57,120
Speaker 1: you have gone? Would you really have dedicated eight plus

1192
01:03:57,240 --> 01:04:00,680
Speaker 1: minutes to UCLA Indiana? If you have done it for

1193
01:04:00,760 --> 01:04:05,360
Speaker 1: Brigham Young Iowa State, even as your viewership indicates that

1194
01:04:05,760 --> 01:04:07,600
Speaker 1: people didn't really have a lot of interest in you

1195
01:04:07,680 --> 01:04:11,040
Speaker 1: talking about that, I'm being honest with you. I don't

1196
01:04:11,040 --> 01:04:13,160
Speaker 1: stack the show for me. If I stacked the show

1197
01:04:13,200 --> 01:04:15,880
Speaker 1: for me, I talk Iowa State until your ears bled.

1198
01:04:16,320 --> 01:04:18,680
Speaker 1: I don't stack the show for me. I format it

1199
01:04:18,760 --> 01:04:21,240
Speaker 1: for you. We fall right in line with what your

1200
01:04:21,320 --> 01:04:24,400
Speaker 1: interest says you want to listen to. Would you have

1201
01:04:24,480 --> 01:04:27,400
Speaker 1: done something? Would you have done eight minutes on Wisconsin, Oregon?

1202
01:04:28,240 --> 01:04:30,960
Speaker 1: Ohio State was on a buy, we couldn't talk about them,

1203
01:04:31,600 --> 01:04:34,280
Speaker 1: Northwestern Nebraska? Where else would you have gone? Is what

1204
01:04:34,320 --> 01:04:38,280
Speaker 1: I'm trying to ask. So it was SEC heavy. It's

1205
01:04:38,360 --> 01:04:42,840
Speaker 1: not biased. Contrary to semi popular belief out there, I'd

1206
01:04:42,920 --> 01:04:45,640
Speaker 1: much rather spread the peanut butter across the bread than

1207
01:04:45,680 --> 01:04:50,640
Speaker 1: have big globs of it in the southeastern corner. It's

1208
01:04:50,720 --> 01:04:55,600
Speaker 1: pretty vivid. I reflect your preferences. I don't know what

1209
01:04:55,720 --> 01:04:57,840
Speaker 1: else to tell you. And if you don't believe me

1210
01:04:58,000 --> 01:05:01,760
Speaker 1: on that, if I got SEC bias on this show,

1211
01:05:01,800 --> 01:05:04,760
Speaker 1: you do as well. I am not a big TV

1212
01:05:04,960 --> 01:05:07,080
Speaker 1: ratings guy. We hardly ever talk about him on the show.

1213
01:05:07,320 --> 01:05:10,320
Speaker 1: But from a viewership perspective. From an interest perspective, the

1214
01:05:10,400 --> 01:05:13,000
Speaker 1: Big Ten has killed this this year. The Big ten

1215
01:05:13,120 --> 01:05:17,920
Speaker 1: schedule just sucks this year. It's been terrible. I used

1216
01:05:17,960 --> 01:05:20,760
Speaker 1: to work at CBS. We had the SEC Game of

1217
01:05:20,840 --> 01:05:23,760
Speaker 1: the Week contract for a long time, and towards the

1218
01:05:23,840 --> 01:05:26,600
Speaker 1: time that I left there, they shifted over to having

1219
01:05:27,000 --> 01:05:30,040
Speaker 1: a Big Ten contract. They don't even get their first

1220
01:05:30,120 --> 01:05:33,240
Speaker 1: pick of that game. The CBS three thirty Game of

1221
01:05:33,240 --> 01:05:37,360
Speaker 1: the Week is a historic inventory piece on like a

1222
01:05:37,640 --> 01:05:40,200
Speaker 1: Saturday slate of games. I love it. I think it's

1223
01:05:40,240 --> 01:05:43,080
Speaker 1: second to none production wise. Friend of the program Jenny

1224
01:05:43,120 --> 01:05:47,240
Speaker 1: Dell on the sideline, I mean Craig Silver in the truck,

1225
01:05:47,400 --> 01:05:49,640
Speaker 1: like love all them love all those guys and girls.

1226
01:05:50,520 --> 01:05:53,760
Speaker 1: This has been their lineup so far this year. Nevada,

1227
01:05:53,840 --> 01:05:58,680
Speaker 1: Penn State, Oklahoma State, Oregon, USC, Purdue. We were at Michigan, Nebraska,

1228
01:05:58,960 --> 01:06:03,200
Speaker 1: Ohio State washing solid game, Penn State at UCLA, Indiana

1229
01:06:03,280 --> 01:06:06,680
Speaker 1: at Oregon was a really good game. Ohio State at Wisconsin,

1230
01:06:06,880 --> 01:06:10,960
Speaker 1: no one watched it. Minnesota at Iowa. That's for Florida Rosedale.

1231
01:06:11,480 --> 01:06:14,640
Speaker 1: That's been the lineup. The Big Ten has not held

1232
01:06:14,720 --> 01:06:17,200
Speaker 1: up their end of the bargain, which is ironic because

1233
01:06:17,640 --> 01:06:19,680
Speaker 1: as of right now, I think the two best teams

1234
01:06:19,720 --> 01:06:22,520
Speaker 1: in the country are in the Big Ten. Oregon may

1235
01:06:22,640 --> 01:06:24,240
Speaker 1: end up still being one of the best teams in

1236
01:06:24,280 --> 01:06:26,600
Speaker 1: the country. It's not a knock on the top of

1237
01:06:26,680 --> 01:06:30,120
Speaker 1: the conference, but the depth is not there. Wisconsin has

1238
01:06:30,240 --> 01:06:35,480
Speaker 1: not done the job, Michigan State, Nebraska, like these teams

1239
01:06:35,520 --> 01:06:38,640
Speaker 1: that should be better than they are, they're not and

1240
01:06:38,800 --> 01:06:43,800
Speaker 1: as a result, it does not compare from an audience

1241
01:06:43,920 --> 01:06:47,400
Speaker 1: interest perspective, like does this make sense to anyone? It's

1242
01:06:47,480 --> 01:06:50,320
Speaker 1: not what I want to be, it's what is. I

1243
01:06:51,040 --> 01:06:52,920
Speaker 1: just swear to you guys. If you look at the numbers,

1244
01:06:52,960 --> 01:06:55,560
Speaker 1: I look at our internals, I don't think you do

1245
01:06:55,640 --> 01:06:59,000
Speaker 1: the show any differently. This weekend, by the way, is

1246
01:06:59,040 --> 01:07:03,240
Speaker 1: a really good example of this of how the SEC

1247
01:07:03,400 --> 01:07:06,160
Speaker 1: is extremely deep, but it's compacted. So if you want

1248
01:07:06,160 --> 01:07:09,000
Speaker 1: to argue with me, oh dude, Ohio State's better than

1249
01:07:09,040 --> 01:07:12,040
Speaker 1: any team in the SEC, I think you're right. But

1250
01:07:12,160 --> 01:07:14,320
Speaker 1: that's not what we're talking about here. We're talking about

1251
01:07:14,320 --> 01:07:16,560
Speaker 1: what people are interested in, and we're talking about the

1252
01:07:16,640 --> 01:07:20,160
Speaker 1: depth overall of the SEC that things so compacted. Right now,

1253
01:07:20,520 --> 01:07:23,800
Speaker 1: here's a good example. Ohio State plays Penn State this weekend.

1254
01:07:25,200 --> 01:07:28,480
Speaker 1: Georgia plays Florida this weekend. Okay, so, Ohio State and

1255
01:07:28,520 --> 01:07:31,800
Speaker 1: Georgia are two teams very much alive in the national

1256
01:07:31,920 --> 01:07:35,760
Speaker 1: championship picture in the SEC and Big Ten championship pictures,

1257
01:07:36,280 --> 01:07:40,240
Speaker 1: and Penn State's season is done and Florida season is done.

1258
01:07:41,920 --> 01:07:44,840
Speaker 1: The spread on Ohio State Penn State is twenty and

1259
01:07:44,880 --> 01:07:47,480
Speaker 1: a half. Do you know what the spread on Georgia

1260
01:07:47,560 --> 01:07:51,040
Speaker 1: Florida is? It's seven and a half. So even the

1261
01:07:51,200 --> 01:07:55,439
Speaker 1: games featuring the number two or three SEC team versus

1262
01:07:55,520 --> 01:07:59,480
Speaker 1: the number nine SEC team are such that anything could

1263
01:07:59,480 --> 01:08:01,760
Speaker 1: happen on that given Saturday, that's not the case in

1264
01:08:01,800 --> 01:08:04,480
Speaker 1: the Big Ten. It's just not the case. Ohio State's

1265
01:08:04,480 --> 01:08:06,720
Speaker 1: a great team, probably the best in the country right now.

1266
01:08:08,080 --> 01:08:09,840
Speaker 1: I don't know, like when's the last time we even

1267
01:08:09,840 --> 01:08:13,680
Speaker 1: did a game breakdown on their game. So also, like,

1268
01:08:13,800 --> 01:08:16,000
Speaker 1: if you look at the depth of those leagues, the

1269
01:08:16,240 --> 01:08:21,400
Speaker 1: SEC number eight through thirteen is Missouri, Oklahoma, Florida, LSU, Auburn,

1270
01:08:21,520 --> 01:08:25,200
Speaker 1: South Carolina. South Carolina's the tail in there. I just

1271
01:08:25,280 --> 01:08:28,840
Speaker 1: watched South Carolina play Alabama. I think South Carolina may

1272
01:08:28,880 --> 01:08:30,960
Speaker 1: have had the three best athletes on the field. Dylan

1273
01:08:31,080 --> 01:08:34,439
Speaker 1: Stewart is on South Carolina's team, Eleonora Sellers is over there,

1274
01:08:34,520 --> 01:08:37,960
Speaker 1: Nick Harbor's over there. I'm not saying that about Rutgers.

1275
01:08:38,479 --> 01:08:40,640
Speaker 1: That's the thirteenth best team in the Big Ten, or

1276
01:08:40,840 --> 01:08:46,479
Speaker 1: Maryland or Illinois or UCLA or Washington or Northwestern. That's

1277
01:08:46,560 --> 01:08:49,200
Speaker 1: eight through thirteen in the Big Ten. So it's not

1278
01:08:49,320 --> 01:08:52,360
Speaker 1: really comparable. And when you've got matchups and the SEC

1279
01:08:52,880 --> 01:08:55,360
Speaker 1: has not or the Big Ten rather has not developed

1280
01:08:55,400 --> 01:08:57,880
Speaker 1: better depth of interest, I don't know what we're supposed

1281
01:08:57,880 --> 01:09:00,120
Speaker 1: to do. It's not just a Big Ten problem alb.

1282
01:09:00,320 --> 01:09:04,759
Speaker 1: The ACC's just as much to blame. So conference expansion

1283
01:09:04,800 --> 01:09:08,080
Speaker 1: is really to blame. More so than anything but dynamic rosters,

1284
01:09:08,200 --> 01:09:13,200
Speaker 1: engaged fan bases, organic interest. That's how we're stacking the show.

1285
01:09:13,600 --> 01:09:16,479
Speaker 1: So if there's bias there, that's bias. I've already told

1286
01:09:16,560 --> 01:09:18,880
Speaker 1: you what my dream world in college football is. My

1287
01:09:19,040 --> 01:09:23,080
Speaker 1: dream world is USC's on fire, Oregon's on fire, Washington's

1288
01:09:23,120 --> 01:09:26,639
Speaker 1: on fire, Arizona State's rolling, Nebraska's a national title contender,

1289
01:09:27,200 --> 01:09:29,240
Speaker 1: Miami's got their act together, so does Florida State, so

1290
01:09:29,280 --> 01:09:33,320
Speaker 1: does Clemson. Virginia Tech is back, Michigan State is doing

1291
01:09:33,360 --> 01:09:35,760
Speaker 1: what they're supposed to, Wisconsin's doing what they're supposed to,

1292
01:09:35,840 --> 01:09:37,880
Speaker 1: Penn State's doing what they're supposed to do. That's not

1293
01:09:38,040 --> 01:09:40,240
Speaker 1: the world we live in right now. It's just not

1294
01:09:40,360 --> 01:09:42,560
Speaker 1: twenty twenty five. That's not the world we live in

1295
01:09:42,680 --> 01:09:47,560
Speaker 1: right now. So I'm gonna I'm gonna say this. I

1296
01:09:47,680 --> 01:09:50,880
Speaker 1: don't mean it to be like negative or rude or anything,

1297
01:09:52,320 --> 01:09:56,439
Speaker 1: but this platform is free for anyone to do any

1298
01:09:56,560 --> 01:09:59,320
Speaker 1: kind of show they want. You can start yours today

1299
01:09:59,360 --> 01:10:01,280
Speaker 1: if you want, and you want to start one, and

1300
01:10:01,400 --> 01:10:03,240
Speaker 1: you want to go cover the games that you want

1301
01:10:03,280 --> 01:10:05,080
Speaker 1: to cover, the teams you want to cover, have at it.

1302
01:10:05,160 --> 01:10:07,439
Speaker 1: I may even go subscribe and listen to it. But

1303
01:10:07,720 --> 01:10:10,519
Speaker 1: the way we do this show is I follow you,

1304
01:10:11,439 --> 01:10:14,080
Speaker 1: I follow you, and when you show me that you're

1305
01:10:14,120 --> 01:10:15,839
Speaker 1: not really interested in something, I'm not going to continue

1306
01:10:15,840 --> 01:10:18,360
Speaker 1: to put it in the show. What we do do

1307
01:10:18,560 --> 01:10:20,519
Speaker 1: on Sunday nights is we take the games that we're

1308
01:10:20,560 --> 01:10:22,840
Speaker 1: not going to give individual breakdowns to and I do

1309
01:10:23,000 --> 01:10:25,720
Speaker 1: like added takeaways, and we we'll just hammer through them

1310
01:10:25,720 --> 01:10:27,600
Speaker 1: because we hit a lot of stuff on Sunday. Like,

1311
01:10:27,680 --> 01:10:29,800
Speaker 1: anyone who says we don't talk about anything other than

1312
01:10:29,920 --> 01:10:33,360
Speaker 1: SEC is just lying. They're just lying, and so I

1313
01:10:33,400 --> 01:10:36,080
Speaker 1: don't really need to defend us against that. But yeah,

1314
01:10:36,160 --> 01:10:38,240
Speaker 1: it was a very SEC heavy show Sunday. I don't

1315
01:10:38,240 --> 01:10:39,680
Speaker 1: know how I would have done the show any other way.

1316
01:10:40,840 --> 01:10:43,240
Speaker 1: If you're looking for tickets to non SEC games, then

1317
01:10:43,680 --> 01:10:45,839
Speaker 1: I have good news for you. We can get your discount.

1318
01:10:47,040 --> 01:10:49,439
Speaker 1: You can use this for SEC games too, though. You

1319
01:10:49,479 --> 01:10:51,120
Speaker 1: can go to seat geek if you guys are looking

1320
01:10:51,200 --> 01:10:53,240
Speaker 1: for it. I had someone DM me today and ask

1321
01:10:53,320 --> 01:10:56,800
Speaker 1: what was the promo code for the discount at seat geek. Well,

1322
01:10:56,880 --> 01:11:01,320
Speaker 1: it's pay ten pat E one zero, So I'm gonna

1323
01:11:01,360 --> 01:11:05,240
Speaker 1: get you ten percent off orders I think up to

1324
01:11:05,280 --> 01:11:07,960
Speaker 1: two hundred dollars yeah, and then any order over two

1325
01:11:08,080 --> 01:11:10,519
Speaker 1: hundred dollars, I'll just get you twenty dollars off. So

1326
01:11:10,720 --> 01:11:12,960
Speaker 1: I know, I know tickets aren't cheap for these big games,

1327
01:11:13,840 --> 01:11:15,760
Speaker 1: but they can be a little bit more affordable if

1328
01:11:15,800 --> 01:11:18,080
Speaker 1: you go to seat Geek and you use Pat one zero.

1329
01:11:19,000 --> 01:11:23,040
Speaker 1: JP poles out. I'm waiting, Bradley, hold on a second.

1330
01:11:23,080 --> 01:11:26,479
Speaker 1: All right, here we go, JP pole is out. These

1331
01:11:26,520 --> 01:11:29,599
Speaker 1: are not rankings. We do those on Thursday. This has

1332
01:11:29,680 --> 01:11:31,880
Speaker 1: nothing to do with the AP. These are not teams

1333
01:11:31,920 --> 01:11:34,439
Speaker 1: that are ranked. These are not rankings. These are power ratings.

1334
01:11:34,760 --> 01:11:39,320
Speaker 1: So this absolutely is the model telling us what order

1335
01:11:39,600 --> 01:11:41,880
Speaker 1: it would favor these teams against each other on a

1336
01:11:41,960 --> 01:11:46,040
Speaker 1: neutral field. So a couple of things to note before

1337
01:11:46,120 --> 01:11:50,200
Speaker 1: we get into it here. There is some separation starting

1338
01:11:50,280 --> 01:11:53,639
Speaker 1: to happen at the top of the SEC. We thought

1339
01:11:53,680 --> 01:11:56,439
Speaker 1: that in the preseason. Remember in the preseason, everyone told

1340
01:11:56,520 --> 01:12:00,840
Speaker 1: you at media days and stuff, Georgia Texas out, Labama, LSU,

1341
01:12:00,920 --> 01:12:02,360
Speaker 1: those were going to be the top four and there

1342
01:12:02,439 --> 01:12:05,360
Speaker 1: was gonna be a little separation, which I thought was

1343
01:12:05,439 --> 01:12:08,840
Speaker 1: kind of foolish, but that's what people said. Well, it

1344
01:12:08,920 --> 01:12:11,880
Speaker 1: turns out we do have a top four and then

1345
01:12:11,920 --> 01:12:14,080
Speaker 1: a little bit of a separation, but the top four

1346
01:12:14,200 --> 01:12:16,360
Speaker 1: is A and M and Alabama and Ole Miss in Georgia.

1347
01:12:17,040 --> 01:12:18,560
Speaker 1: Those are the top four. We'll get to that in

1348
01:12:18,600 --> 01:12:22,920
Speaker 1: a second. Also very interesting to note as we head

1349
01:12:22,960 --> 01:12:26,800
Speaker 1: into this weekend, Vanderbilt's playing Texas. Very interesting to note.

1350
01:12:27,680 --> 01:12:31,800
Speaker 1: Texas has they're down ten points in the model off

1351
01:12:31,840 --> 01:12:37,040
Speaker 1: of their preseason power rating. Vandy is a plus seven

1352
01:12:37,160 --> 01:12:41,240
Speaker 1: I think off of their preseason rating, so in the

1353
01:12:41,360 --> 01:12:45,639
Speaker 1: net we have a seventeen point adjustment in that particular

1354
01:12:45,800 --> 01:12:49,360
Speaker 1: matchup over what the number would have been on a

1355
01:12:49,439 --> 01:12:52,679
Speaker 1: neutral field in the preseason. So let's dive in. Iowa

1356
01:12:53,880 --> 01:12:58,200
Speaker 1: is number twenty, which is important to note because they're

1357
01:12:58,240 --> 01:13:00,439
Speaker 1: not ranked in the AP poll right now, which is

1358
01:13:00,520 --> 01:13:02,360
Speaker 1: pathetic and although this is not meant to be a

1359
01:13:02,439 --> 01:13:04,800
Speaker 1: ranking I wish should be ranked in the A people

1360
01:13:05,320 --> 01:13:11,759
Speaker 1: LSU is nineteen, Vanderbilt's eighteen. Louisville is seventeen, so Missouri

1361
01:13:11,840 --> 01:13:15,560
Speaker 1: at sixteen is not With the quarterback injury factored in,

1362
01:13:15,760 --> 01:13:18,719
Speaker 1: we do need to adjust that because sometimes when guys

1363
01:13:18,720 --> 01:13:20,439
Speaker 1: are out but they're going to be back soon, we

1364
01:13:20,520 --> 01:13:24,719
Speaker 1: don't remove them, and quarterback sometimes is worth a few points.

1365
01:13:25,439 --> 01:13:27,840
Speaker 1: We still have Boprabula in there. I didn't notice that

1366
01:13:27,920 --> 01:13:30,719
Speaker 1: until too late today. There's not a huge gap between

1367
01:13:30,800 --> 01:13:33,599
Speaker 1: him and the backup there. Maybe a couple of points, though,

1368
01:13:34,000 --> 01:13:37,599
Speaker 1: so I would venture to think Missouri, once we make

1369
01:13:37,720 --> 01:13:40,000
Speaker 1: that adjustment, may fall out of the top twenty. But

1370
01:13:40,120 --> 01:13:44,120
Speaker 1: right now they're number sixteen, USC is fifteen. Some interesting

1371
01:13:44,240 --> 01:13:47,680
Speaker 1: movement in the Big twelve here, Texas Tech is fourteenth

1372
01:13:49,080 --> 01:13:53,679
Speaker 1: and Oklahoma's thirteenth, in Utah is twelve. The Model actually

1373
01:13:53,760 --> 01:13:56,799
Speaker 1: has Utah's the highest power rated team in the Big twelve.

1374
01:13:57,520 --> 01:14:01,960
Speaker 1: That is a change. Utah's up four spots from last week,

1375
01:14:02,360 --> 01:14:07,360
Speaker 1: and they overtook Texas Tech. Now you may think to yourself, wait,

1376
01:14:07,479 --> 01:14:11,000
Speaker 1: didn't they already play? Yes? They did, and didn't they

1377
01:14:11,120 --> 01:14:16,599
Speaker 1: play in Utah's home building? Yes, and didn't Texas Tech

1378
01:14:16,760 --> 01:14:20,680
Speaker 1: roll them? They did? So what does this mean? It

1379
01:14:20,840 --> 01:14:23,320
Speaker 1: means the model would favor Utah against Texas Tech if

1380
01:14:23,320 --> 01:14:25,639
Speaker 1: they played in the Big twelve title game right now,

1381
01:14:27,240 --> 01:14:29,400
Speaker 1: And I'll have to hit FanDuel up and see what

1382
01:14:29,439 --> 01:14:32,200
Speaker 1: they think about that. But yeah, just a little interesting

1383
01:14:32,280 --> 01:14:34,000
Speaker 1: thing to note. That's been a trend for a few weeks.

1384
01:14:34,240 --> 01:14:35,880
Speaker 1: I've been telling you for a few weeks if those

1385
01:14:35,920 --> 01:14:38,360
Speaker 1: two teams play, that spread's not going to be nearly

1386
01:14:38,400 --> 01:14:40,920
Speaker 1: as big, at least in the model as you think

1387
01:14:40,960 --> 01:14:47,920
Speaker 1: it may be. Texas is at eleven. Whoo. So here

1388
01:14:48,000 --> 01:14:50,200
Speaker 1: we are. We're at the week of this game between

1389
01:14:50,280 --> 01:14:53,599
Speaker 1: Texas and Vanderbilt, and everyone's been wondering, Oh, what would

1390
01:14:53,600 --> 01:14:56,200
Speaker 1: the spread be? What would the spread be? Well without Arch?

1391
01:14:56,520 --> 01:14:59,760
Speaker 1: Now this is with Arch, but without Arch. Texas a

1392
01:15:00,120 --> 01:15:04,400
Speaker 1: short favorite at home, but Texas is an implied one

1393
01:15:04,479 --> 01:15:09,760
Speaker 1: point dog on the neutral field. That shows you the

1394
01:15:09,920 --> 01:15:13,240
Speaker 1: model shocker of the year here is a little bit

1395
01:15:13,400 --> 01:15:18,800
Speaker 1: higher on Texas than FanDuel is. I know it's not

1396
01:15:19,040 --> 01:15:20,920
Speaker 1: like the model to be drunk on Texas, but it

1397
01:15:21,080 --> 01:15:24,000
Speaker 1: is just this. Once we continue shame on the model.

1398
01:15:24,320 --> 01:15:27,040
Speaker 1: Tennessee is in the top ten. Tennessee's at number ten,

1399
01:15:27,640 --> 01:15:32,240
Speaker 1: Miami is at number nine. Miami dropped two spots. I

1400
01:15:32,400 --> 01:15:34,960
Speaker 1: think the model looked at that first half performance last

1401
01:15:35,000 --> 01:15:37,639
Speaker 1: week and set home on a second. I think that's

1402
01:15:37,640 --> 01:15:41,080
Speaker 1: all it said. We've got Notre Dame at number eight,

1403
01:15:41,320 --> 01:15:44,200
Speaker 1: So Notre Dame's ahead of Miami where I think they

1404
01:15:44,200 --> 01:15:48,439
Speaker 1: should be. Oregon's number seven. Oregon is down four spots.

1405
01:15:49,840 --> 01:15:52,360
Speaker 1: They struggled against Wisconsin. It was in a rainstorm. I

1406
01:15:52,439 --> 01:15:53,640
Speaker 1: know a lot of you didn't see that. It was

1407
01:15:53,760 --> 01:15:57,519
Speaker 1: gross weather. They beat Wisconsin. The Model did ding them

1408
01:15:57,560 --> 01:16:02,160
Speaker 1: because they performed well below expectation. They play at Iowa

1409
01:16:03,160 --> 01:16:06,400
Speaker 1: next week. Iowa's number twenty. That's gonna be a tough

1410
01:16:06,520 --> 01:16:10,840
Speaker 1: game for them. Don't just overlook that. People keep saying, Oh, Oregon, man,

1411
01:16:11,080 --> 01:16:13,280
Speaker 1: they've got a two game season left. They got USC

1412
01:16:13,360 --> 01:16:15,360
Speaker 1: and Washington at the end of the year. They got

1413
01:16:15,439 --> 01:16:17,719
Speaker 1: Iowa next week. Let's keep an eye on that. Georgia

1414
01:16:17,800 --> 01:16:20,599
Speaker 1: is at number six Top five. Ole Miss has cracked

1415
01:16:20,600 --> 01:16:23,560
Speaker 1: the top five. They're up four spots. Ole Miss is

1416
01:16:23,680 --> 01:16:26,880
Speaker 1: number five. Believe that's the highest they've been in the

1417
01:16:26,960 --> 01:16:29,760
Speaker 1: power rating. Bama is four. A and M is up

1418
01:16:29,840 --> 01:16:33,519
Speaker 1: five spots two three, and then it's Indiana to Ohio

1419
01:16:33,640 --> 01:16:38,120
Speaker 1: State one. The gap between Ohio State and Indiana is

1420
01:16:38,160 --> 01:16:41,599
Speaker 1: two and a half points right now. The gap between

1421
01:16:41,640 --> 01:16:43,920
Speaker 1: Ohio State and the next closest team, which is A

1422
01:16:44,040 --> 01:16:47,599
Speaker 1: and M, is five points right now. So we got

1423
01:16:47,640 --> 01:16:50,720
Speaker 1: a gap. We got a gap between Ohio State and

1424
01:16:51,800 --> 01:16:54,000
Speaker 1: not a huge one between them in Indiana. But the

1425
01:16:54,080 --> 01:16:56,720
Speaker 1: important thing to note is the Model is sitting there

1426
01:16:56,800 --> 01:16:59,720
Speaker 1: solidly telling you two best teams in the country in

1427
01:16:59,720 --> 01:17:08,959
Speaker 1: the Big ten right now, and then third, four, fifth, sixth, tenth, eleventh, sixteenth, eighteenth, nineteenth.

1428
01:17:09,000 --> 01:17:11,160
Speaker 1: It's just a bunch of SEC teams, but there's not

1429
01:17:11,280 --> 01:17:14,479
Speaker 1: a great one. They're just a bunch of pretty good ones.

1430
01:17:15,680 --> 01:17:18,320
Speaker 1: We'll see what that means come playoff time, because if

1431
01:17:18,360 --> 01:17:21,680
Speaker 1: that holds steady, it doesn't matter how deep the SEC is.

1432
01:17:21,760 --> 01:17:24,040
Speaker 1: Ohio State's just gonna win a national title and it

1433
01:17:24,080 --> 01:17:26,040
Speaker 1: don't really matter how many SEC teams they gotta go

1434
01:17:26,120 --> 01:17:28,960
Speaker 1: through to do it, or do we have a situation

1435
01:17:29,000 --> 01:17:31,360
Speaker 1: where Ohio State doesn't get tested nearly as much as

1436
01:17:31,400 --> 01:17:33,639
Speaker 1: those teams do, and then it pays dividends for those

1437
01:17:33,680 --> 01:17:36,760
Speaker 1: teams in the playoff. Don't know. That's why we're gonna

1438
01:17:36,760 --> 01:17:39,679
Speaker 1: play the playoff. But the gap between number three and nine,

1439
01:17:40,240 --> 01:17:43,120
Speaker 1: which is the gap between Texas A and m and Miami,

1440
01:17:43,240 --> 01:17:45,360
Speaker 1: is two and a half points. So there's a wider

1441
01:17:45,439 --> 01:17:47,560
Speaker 1: gap between number one and number three than there is

1442
01:17:47,600 --> 01:17:51,560
Speaker 1: between number three and number nine right now. Just some

1443
01:17:51,720 --> 01:17:55,720
Speaker 1: interesting math there. I thought, let's move on. I've got

1444
01:17:55,760 --> 01:17:58,599
Speaker 1: great news. We're gonna give away some money. I always

1445
01:17:58,640 --> 01:18:01,240
Speaker 1: push fan duel for this. They're all like, hey, man,

1446
01:18:01,280 --> 01:18:03,080
Speaker 1: we care about the customers. And I said, are you

1447
01:18:03,200 --> 01:18:06,600
Speaker 1: serious about that? Yes, give them money. And eventually they

1448
01:18:06,640 --> 01:18:10,880
Speaker 1: were like okay, and I said really and they said yes.

1449
01:18:11,160 --> 01:18:12,880
Speaker 1: So about a month ago, we gave away one thousand

1450
01:18:12,920 --> 01:18:17,000
Speaker 1: dollars in bonus bets and I said to FanDuel, that

1451
01:18:17,120 --> 01:18:21,200
Speaker 1: went very well. They agreed, So I said, let's dial

1452
01:18:21,280 --> 01:18:24,400
Speaker 1: it up a notch. Let's increase our unit size. If

1453
01:18:24,439 --> 01:18:28,320
Speaker 1: you will, no immunity, know your betting terminology. So tonight

1454
01:18:29,040 --> 01:18:32,599
Speaker 1: we're giving away twenty five hundred dollars in bonus bets

1455
01:18:32,840 --> 01:18:35,320
Speaker 1: over the next twenty four hours. We're doing this all right.

1456
01:18:35,400 --> 01:18:37,479
Speaker 1: So here's what you need to do. There's no strings

1457
01:18:37,520 --> 01:18:40,519
Speaker 1: attached here. By the way, there's no catch you'll you'll

1458
01:18:40,520 --> 01:18:42,400
Speaker 1: have to sign up for anything. Well, you need an account.

1459
01:18:42,720 --> 01:18:44,519
Speaker 1: But other than that, here's what you need to do.

1460
01:18:45,760 --> 01:18:48,040
Speaker 1: Producer Jesse. Just put a link in the live chat.

1461
01:18:48,439 --> 01:18:51,240
Speaker 1: If you're not watching live, that's okay. I wish you would.

1462
01:18:51,720 --> 01:18:53,400
Speaker 1: That's okay. But also there is a link in the

1463
01:18:53,479 --> 01:18:56,720
Speaker 1: description to the show. Click on that thing, submit the

1464
01:18:56,800 --> 01:19:00,960
Speaker 1: information and we're gonna take twenty five people over the

1465
01:19:01,000 --> 01:19:03,479
Speaker 1: next twenty four hours. And we're just gonna drop one

1466
01:19:03,560 --> 01:19:06,280
Speaker 1: hundred dollars into your account. And so some of you

1467
01:19:06,439 --> 01:19:08,559
Speaker 1: is gonna be like Christmas come early. You're gonna wake

1468
01:19:08,600 --> 01:19:10,080
Speaker 1: up and you're gonna look in there and you're gonna say,

1469
01:19:10,479 --> 01:19:12,080
Speaker 1: I thought I had thirty eight dollars in here. Now

1470
01:19:12,120 --> 01:19:13,719
Speaker 1: it says I got one hundred and thirty eight dollars.

1471
01:19:14,360 --> 01:19:16,800
Speaker 1: That's caused the fan duel. Bonus Bet Faery dropped by

1472
01:19:17,200 --> 01:19:20,200
Speaker 1: and gave you a present courtesy of Paate State twenty

1473
01:19:20,280 --> 01:19:24,000
Speaker 1: five of you getting one hundred dollars. I don't know

1474
01:19:24,040 --> 01:19:25,840
Speaker 1: who it's gonna be yet, but you can look at

1475
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Speaker 1: the link in the live chat or in the description

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Speaker 1: and you can sign up. If you're not interested in

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Speaker 1: have some, we'd love to have some more. And that's

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Speaker 1: what this is all about. There's the QR code right.

1484
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1499
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Speaker 1: In New York, rominettle express time this week. I'm already

1500
01:20:40,000 --> 01:20:42,040
Speaker 1: on two games. We talked about these the other night.

1501
01:20:42,280 --> 01:20:44,160
Speaker 1: I'm on Illinois minus twelve and a half. I'm on

1502
01:20:44,240 --> 01:20:46,240
Speaker 1: Purdue plus twenty one and a half. But we are

1503
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Speaker 1: not exclusively a Big ten betting show, so I'm gonna

1504
01:20:49,240 --> 01:20:52,599
Speaker 1: add two more games here. Coastal Carolina Wednesday night special.

1505
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Speaker 1: I think Coastal Carolina plus five and a half against

1506
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Speaker 1: Marshall again. I think that game's tomorrow night, and then

1507
01:21:00,360 --> 01:21:04,479
Speaker 1: Mississippi State. They keep getting close. Eventually it's gonna happen.

1508
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Speaker 1: We are going to bet against Arkansas this week. We

1509
01:21:08,120 --> 01:21:10,840
Speaker 1: are taking Mississippi State on the road plus four and

1510
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Speaker 1: a half. We will add several more to the Rominul

1511
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Speaker 1: Express throughout the week. It was a challenging show for me.

1512
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Speaker 1: I appreciate that thousands of you sat through it live.

1513
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Speaker 1: Several thousand more if you were going to listen to

1514
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Speaker 1: it or watch it later tonight or tomorrow morning. I

1515
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Speaker 1: just ask humbly that you subscribe to the channel. I

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Speaker 1: would put the clown nose back on, but it rolled

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Speaker 1: somewhere on the ground. Please subscribe to the channel and

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Speaker 1: ask your mom and dad to do the same. Or

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Speaker 1: if you're forty seven years old and you don't live

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Speaker 1: own still though, subscribe to the channel. Just be mature.

1523
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Speaker 1: Thank you guys so much for producer Jesse, for director Bradley.

1524
01:21:51,400 --> 01:21:55,879
Speaker 1: I'm Josh Pate. We'll be back seven Eastern, sixth Central

1525
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Speaker 1: Thursday Night. Until then, take care and god bless.

1526
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