WEBVTT - Foxconn Has a Plan to Upend the Electric Vehicle Industry

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<v Speaker 1>Hello, and welcome to another episode of the Odd Lots Podcast.

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<v Speaker 1>I'm Joe Wisenthal and I'm Tracy Halloway. Tracy, you know

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<v Speaker 1>what I was thinking, Like, there's so much attention to

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<v Speaker 1>Elon Musk and all of his controversies and the things

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<v Speaker 1>that he does in his personal life and Twitter and

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<v Speaker 1>potentially buying Twitter and the tweets and everything. I think

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<v Speaker 1>sometimes people forget like what an extraordinary success or what

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<v Speaker 1>an extraordinary company, just like Tesla has been over the

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<v Speaker 1>last decade. Oh boy, where to start? Well, first of all, um,

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<v Speaker 1>a cynic might say that Elon Musk courts that kind

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<v Speaker 1>of controversy quite actively and that maybe if he wanted

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<v Speaker 1>the focus to be on what Tesla was doing, um,

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<v Speaker 1>he could go about it a different way. But anyway, Yeah, Tesla, Tesla,

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<v Speaker 1>I mean, just looking at the share price, it's down

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<v Speaker 1>obviously from its peak, but over its history it's you know,

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<v Speaker 1>a very successful company from a purely financial basis or

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<v Speaker 1>just looking at the share price. Yeah, And you know,

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<v Speaker 1>like when I think about the last decade, obviously it

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<v Speaker 1>was about the rise of software. Software is eating the world, Uh, cryptocurrency,

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<v Speaker 1>all these sort of things that just like existing code.

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<v Speaker 1>And here's a company that became the biggest car company

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<v Speaker 1>in the world at least by market cap, by actually

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<v Speaker 1>manufacturing something that is actually built. And so this was

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<v Speaker 1>a decade in which people weren't really into manufacturing and

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<v Speaker 1>really weren't into capital intensive businesses. And yet during that decade,

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<v Speaker 1>this one company is sort of like just extraordinarily well

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<v Speaker 1>at a time when that wasn't really that cool. Right, Okay,

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<v Speaker 1>so this is possibly one of the few things that

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<v Speaker 1>you cannot fault elon must for it. But he certainly

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<v Speaker 1>likes to make things right. And you can debate whether

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<v Speaker 1>or not those things are realistic, but everything from electric

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<v Speaker 1>cars to flame throwers to you know, tunnels underground satellite

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<v Speaker 1>launching equipment that starlink. Yeah. Um, he makes things at

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<v Speaker 1>a time when the emphasis wasn't really on making things.

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<v Speaker 1>It was on software, as you mentioned, and sort of

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<v Speaker 1>the ephemeral stuff, big ideas and changing the world through

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<v Speaker 1>technology but not necessarily tangible technology. Right, And of course

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<v Speaker 1>one of our themes, and it's something that we hit

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<v Speaker 1>on with a lot of our Commodities episodes and you know,

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<v Speaker 1>some of our conversations with Jeff Curry and all kinds

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<v Speaker 1>of things that we've been doing over the last year

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<v Speaker 1>has been about this sort of the revenge of the real,

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<v Speaker 1>the tangible economy actually putting stuff together. It's really hard,

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<v Speaker 1>but it's sort of it feels like this sort of

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<v Speaker 1>like physical engineering is going to be one of the

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<v Speaker 1>huge themes of this next decade. Yeah, I think that's right.

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<v Speaker 1>And again I think maybe we're so used to thinking

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<v Speaker 1>about technology as like a search engine or a software company,

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<v Speaker 1>but it feels like that might be starting to change.

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<v Speaker 1>And nowadays when people think about technology, when they think

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<v Speaker 1>about technological prowess, it feels like a lot of people

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<v Speaker 1>think about things like semiconductors and chips and the actual

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<v Speaker 1>physical components that drive that kind of technological innovation. Yeah.

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<v Speaker 1>And so when you think about like manufacturing tech, right, like, okay,

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<v Speaker 1>we're talking about who's may have acturing, you might think

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<v Speaker 1>of Taiwan Semiconductor, which of course we've done episodes Intel,

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<v Speaker 1>And then another name that has to come up in

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<v Speaker 1>all of that has to be fox Con, which everybody

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<v Speaker 1>knows is basically the company that makes the iPhones, the

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<v Speaker 1>company that is sim Yeah, that's right. So I think again,

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<v Speaker 1>this is sort of one of the big themes that

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<v Speaker 1>has come out of the past couple of years in

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<v Speaker 1>the global pandemic, but also even the trade war before that.

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<v Speaker 1>But we all are intensely aware now of how these

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<v Speaker 1>tech supply chains actually work and where things are made

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<v Speaker 1>and who is putting them together. Yeah, and so did

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<v Speaker 1>you know, Well, I didn't know that until recently. Did

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<v Speaker 1>you know that fox Con itself wants to get into, uh,

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<v Speaker 1>the electric vehicle game? I didn't know that either. I

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<v Speaker 1>know that the head of fox Con, Terry Coo, I

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<v Speaker 1>know he's he's a he's an ambitious guy, he has plans,

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<v Speaker 1>But I didn't know about this specific space. So yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>I'm interested in learning more about it. Yeah, and I

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<v Speaker 1>think you're sort of like, it's hard to understand the

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<v Speaker 1>world over the last several decades without understanding the trajectory

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<v Speaker 1>of fox Con and so the fact that they want

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<v Speaker 1>to be a player and ev is really interesting. So

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<v Speaker 1>I think we should talk about it. Let's do it,

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<v Speaker 1>all right. I'm very excited because in studio with us,

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<v Speaker 1>this is a real treat. In studio with us, we

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<v Speaker 1>have a colpen. He has a Bloomberg opinion columnist normally

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<v Speaker 1>based in Taipei. But he is here in studio with us,

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<v Speaker 1>and he is going to talk He knows all about

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<v Speaker 1>Fox count. We'd actually I think we had him on

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<v Speaker 1>last year to talk about Taiwan semi, so he knows

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<v Speaker 1>about the world of manufacturing, the real economy that most

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<v Speaker 1>people forgot over the last decade. Knows a lot about it.

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<v Speaker 1>Plus he brought us pineapple cakes, so you know, he

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<v Speaker 1>automatically gets an episode thanks to thanks for the pineapple cakes.

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<v Speaker 1>To no worries, I apparently listeners. If you do want

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<v Speaker 1>to get onto the Odds podcasts, you just have described

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<v Speaker 1>Tracy and Joe with with goodies, and Tracy really likes sweets. Okay,

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<v Speaker 1>I don't know Tracy's opinion on Elon Musk, but I

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<v Speaker 1>know that Tracy likes sweet So yes, if you want

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<v Speaker 1>to get on odd Loads, send Tracy a pineapple cake

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<v Speaker 1>or some other pastry and you will probably get invited.

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<v Speaker 1>It's really that easy. Uh, Tim, Great to have you,

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<v Speaker 1>Great to have you here. What is Fox con Oh,

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<v Speaker 1>I didn't expect you to give me such an opening

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<v Speaker 1>and the question. All right, So so our producer Carmen

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<v Speaker 1>is going to have to cut this after about three

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<v Speaker 1>hours when you give me that question, what's interesting, I'm

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<v Speaker 1>going to go back in time in history, if you'll

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<v Speaker 1>indulge me. I think everyone first started to learn about

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<v Speaker 1>fox Con. That was when the the unfortunate suicides happened

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<v Speaker 1>and the company became famous because of it. And there's

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<v Speaker 1>about a dozen suicides that year. Uh and even fox

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<v Speaker 1>Con chairman and founder Terry Ware at first there was

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<v Speaker 1>a couple of suicides, and he admitted to to us

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<v Speaker 1>when we interviewed him at that time, I didn't think

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<v Speaker 1>it was a big deal. And to put it in

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<v Speaker 1>in in context, at the time, they had about a

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<v Speaker 1>million employees. So if you go to any town in

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<v Speaker 1>America and China and anywhere in the world, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>with the million employees, it's unfortunately you're going to have,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, a couple of suicides. It's just an unfortunate reality.

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<v Speaker 1>So he didn't think it was a big deal. But

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<v Speaker 1>after about the fifth he's like, oh, we've really got

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<v Speaker 1>an issue here. And of course it got a lot

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<v Speaker 1>of global attention from from everybody, including US Bloomberg and

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Business Week. But that's really what put fox Con

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<v Speaker 1>on the radar. But they've been going since the mid seventies,

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<v Speaker 1>Terry Gore, who was born in Taiwan, was one of

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<v Speaker 1>the first people to embrace shen Jin in China across

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<v Speaker 1>the other side of the Taiwan straight He went there

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<v Speaker 1>at the time when China had decided that shen Jen

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<v Speaker 1>would be this special economic zone and China was just

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<v Speaker 1>starting to open up to the world, and Terry Guare

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<v Speaker 1>was very quick to embrace it. He saw a real potential. Obviously,

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<v Speaker 1>cheap labor was was a real draw card, but he

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<v Speaker 1>saw a potential for a very large labor pool and

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<v Speaker 1>also the fact that there could be a supply chain

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<v Speaker 1>building there. So he was one of the first people

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<v Speaker 1>to say, you know what this this is the place

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<v Speaker 1>to be. And so he went and set up shop there.

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<v Speaker 1>And one of the kind of the craziest ways or

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<v Speaker 1>simplest ways that he could get higher he could hire

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<v Speaker 1>employees because there was a lot of competition for for

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<v Speaker 1>labor at the time, was that he decided to just

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<v Speaker 1>treat them a little bit better than other employers in China. Now,

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<v Speaker 1>people look at the Fox con scan and say, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>they're a sweatshop and they're terrible on staff, and you know,

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<v Speaker 1>treat labor badly. Actually in context, um, and I sound

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<v Speaker 1>like a bit of a Fox con apologist here, but

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<v Speaker 1>in context, they did actually treat their employees in the

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<v Speaker 1>early days and right through their history actually a lot

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<v Speaker 1>better than than a lot of employees employers do in China.

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<v Speaker 1>And so one of the first things Terry Gore did

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<v Speaker 1>was he said, Okay, I want all of my my

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<v Speaker 1>workers to eat well, So every single one of them

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<v Speaker 1>would get an egg a day so they could get

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<v Speaker 1>a bit of protein. That was kind of a bit

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<v Speaker 1>of a way out idea at the time. This was

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<v Speaker 1>just to be clear, this was in the eies, seventies,

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<v Speaker 1>and and so Terry War is not an electronics guy.

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<v Speaker 1>Most people in the tech industry have a tech background.

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<v Speaker 1>They have an electronics background, um, maybe electronic engineering. Terry

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<v Speaker 1>War studied a maritime college in northern Taiwan, so he

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<v Speaker 1>really started shipping and logistics, and then he moved into plastics.

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<v Speaker 1>So he's he's kind of opening business was plastic injection molding.

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<v Speaker 1>And if you think of Taiwan in the seventies and eighties,

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<v Speaker 1>it was known as you know, made in Taiwan, cheap

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<v Speaker 1>plastic toys, Barbie dolls, and everything else was made in Taiwan,

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<v Speaker 1>so that was his business. He was a plastics guy.

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<v Speaker 1>One of his first things was to make the little

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<v Speaker 1>plastic tuner knobs on our c A t v s.

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<v Speaker 1>And over time he went more and more into plastics

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<v Speaker 1>and uh and when the electronics boom happened from you know,

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<v Speaker 1>the eighties, he he started getting into the business and

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<v Speaker 1>making the connectors that would connect to say, your printer

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<v Speaker 1>to your PC, or your atari to the television. And

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<v Speaker 1>if you remember, you know, those of us of age

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<v Speaker 1>can remember, they are flat cables with two thirty six pins.

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<v Speaker 1>They were kind of difficult to make, and so if

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<v Speaker 1>you could work out ways to make these connectors, you

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<v Speaker 1>could get pretty fat margins. And so the name fox Con.

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<v Speaker 1>The con in fox Con is connector. That's that's where

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<v Speaker 1>the name comes from. And as an interesting aside, his

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<v Speaker 1>brother runs a company called fox Link, which does the

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<v Speaker 1>cable part, the boring cable that goes between the two connectors. Now,

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<v Speaker 1>of course that's not as exciting anymore because pretty much

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<v Speaker 1>everybody's on USB and FireWire and everything else. But back

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<v Speaker 1>then there was like sixty different types of connectors, and

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<v Speaker 1>and since then they have basically been a component company,

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<v Speaker 1>and so we think of them as being a company

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<v Speaker 1>that hires a million workers, you know, at peak time

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<v Speaker 1>to to assemble iPhones. But if you look at the

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<v Speaker 1>numbers um you know, back in the mid nineties when

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<v Speaker 1>the PC boom was happening and people like Michael Dell

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<v Speaker 1>and others decided that they want to be into the

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<v Speaker 1>in the PC business, fox Con got into the business

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<v Speaker 1>of just creating the components. They weren't really assembling that much.

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<v Speaker 1>They were doing the components that went inside. And if

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<v Speaker 1>you ever opened up a desktop PC, you'll see the

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<v Speaker 1>motherboard inside and there's just all sorts of componentry welded

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<v Speaker 1>to the motherboard. That's the business that fox Con was in,

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<v Speaker 1>and that's to this day kind of the business they're

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<v Speaker 1>in right now. We just don't really think of it

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<v Speaker 1>because it's not a sexy But I'll tell you one thing, guys,

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<v Speaker 1>the margins are really, really, really good. So their gross

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<v Speaker 1>margins were over thirty and if if anyone really kind

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<v Speaker 1>of dives into, you know, the margins business, I knew

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<v Speaker 1>you've had. Stacy has gone on co cover Semis is

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<v Speaker 1>a really nice gross margin and at the time Apple

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<v Speaker 1>which was kind of at its worst period. INTI was

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<v Speaker 1>doing ten percent gross margins, so they did very very well.

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<v Speaker 1>Now in context, margins at fox Con dropped off over

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<v Speaker 1>the next decade as they went more and more into assembly,

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<v Speaker 1>which is not a margin business. I was going to ask,

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<v Speaker 1>can you talk a little bit more about the difference

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<v Speaker 1>between making components versus assembly and why what fox Con

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<v Speaker 1>is doing, you know, was was somewhat unusual at the time,

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<v Speaker 1>is my understanding? Yeah, no, that's I think that's a

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<v Speaker 1>good question. So components, um, I mean, the most high

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<v Speaker 1>level components are chips, right um time and semiconductor we

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<v Speaker 1>talked about before, and that's that's the sexy part of

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<v Speaker 1>the industry. But going down the supply chain, you get

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<v Speaker 1>these chips and you put them onto a module, you

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<v Speaker 1>well them together. There's other there's so many chips inside

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<v Speaker 1>a computer or inside an iPhone that are kind of boring,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, capacitors and and things that control the voltage

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<v Speaker 1>withinside a computing system. Now, the thing about these is

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<v Speaker 1>they self they sell for a dollar or two. They

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<v Speaker 1>don't sell for a lot of money, but they're huge,

0:12:43.320 --> 0:12:47.600
<v Speaker 1>huge volume, and because they're very very very specialized, um,

0:12:47.640 --> 0:12:50.600
<v Speaker 1>it's not easy to swap out one component from another.

0:12:51.120 --> 0:12:53.679
<v Speaker 1>So if you're a company like fox Con as they

0:12:53.720 --> 0:12:56.120
<v Speaker 1>were in the nineties, and you work out exactly how

0:12:56.120 --> 0:12:58.520
<v Speaker 1>to do exactly the right component with all the right

0:12:58.600 --> 0:13:02.000
<v Speaker 1>specs and your client, it's all the PC makers electronics

0:13:02.000 --> 0:13:04.880
<v Speaker 1>makers go, that's just the component I need. It's only

0:13:04.920 --> 0:13:07.360
<v Speaker 1>a dollar, but I need it, and it's got to work.

0:13:07.360 --> 0:13:09.880
<v Speaker 1>It can't you can't mess up. They will put in

0:13:09.960 --> 0:13:12.160
<v Speaker 1>orders for millions of them. They buy them by the bucket.

0:13:12.800 --> 0:13:14.520
<v Speaker 1>And if you're someone like Foxcon who can do that

0:13:14.600 --> 0:13:17.280
<v Speaker 1>really well and set up a production system that makes

0:13:17.320 --> 0:13:20.480
<v Speaker 1>them really well, you've got fat margins. So it's it's

0:13:20.679 --> 0:13:23.880
<v Speaker 1>very high volume but low price. Like the price point

0:13:23.920 --> 0:13:26.000
<v Speaker 1>is very low, but with fat margins, you can be

0:13:26.040 --> 0:13:28.720
<v Speaker 1>a very very profitable company and you've almost got the

0:13:28.760 --> 0:13:30.880
<v Speaker 1>market to yourself in some of these components, because the

0:13:30.880 --> 0:13:34.280
<v Speaker 1>barriers to entry are quite high. And that's really the

0:13:34.280 --> 0:13:36.679
<v Speaker 1>bread and butter of Foxcon. Even to this day, they

0:13:36.720 --> 0:13:38.840
<v Speaker 1>make a lot of money from an iPhone from the

0:13:38.920 --> 0:13:43.000
<v Speaker 1>components that go inside an iPhone rather than actually assembling

0:13:43.040 --> 0:13:49.000
<v Speaker 1>an iPhone. How did Apple find fox came well? When

0:13:49.720 --> 0:13:52.760
<v Speaker 1>Steve Jobs came back. Um, as we all know, the

0:13:52.800 --> 0:13:55.960
<v Speaker 1>company was in trouble. They Apple was actually making their computers,

0:13:55.960 --> 0:13:59.319
<v Speaker 1>like physically making them in California. But over the over

0:13:59.360 --> 0:14:02.760
<v Speaker 1>a period of time, many companies, um, you know, Michael

0:14:02.840 --> 0:14:05.920
<v Speaker 1>Dell and Heller, Packard, Compact and others were starting to

0:14:05.960 --> 0:14:09.360
<v Speaker 1>outsource to Asia. And at some point during that period

0:14:09.400 --> 0:14:12.959
<v Speaker 1>of time, Tim Cork who was who was operating officer

0:14:13.000 --> 0:14:15.440
<v Speaker 1>at the time, he had not yet become CEO, would

0:14:15.440 --> 0:14:18.320
<v Speaker 1>have discovered fox con and realized that, you know, these

0:14:18.400 --> 0:14:20.680
<v Speaker 1>these guys make the components, we should probably get to

0:14:20.720 --> 0:14:23.760
<v Speaker 1>know them. And they really jumped into bed deeply when

0:14:23.920 --> 0:14:26.360
<v Speaker 1>the iPod came out in the early two thousand's and

0:14:26.360 --> 0:14:28.600
<v Speaker 1>that was one of the really the first high high

0:14:28.720 --> 0:14:33.000
<v Speaker 1>high volume electronics product after maybe um you know, the

0:14:33.080 --> 0:14:37.160
<v Speaker 1>Sony Walkman, and no one else really had the kind

0:14:37.160 --> 0:14:40.000
<v Speaker 1>of scale in n Jen to do it. So it

0:14:40.080 --> 0:14:42.360
<v Speaker 1>was really started with the iPod era and it was

0:14:42.400 --> 0:14:45.320
<v Speaker 1>only the iPhone that came almost a decade later, or

0:14:45.400 --> 0:14:48.600
<v Speaker 1>less than a decade later. And when you know, Tim

0:14:48.640 --> 0:14:52.160
<v Speaker 1>Cook needed someone to assemble this new gadget that nobody

0:14:52.200 --> 0:14:55.000
<v Speaker 1>had ever heard of but heard rumors of Fox and

0:14:55.200 --> 0:14:58.240
<v Speaker 1>was the place to go well on this question of

0:14:58.280 --> 0:15:02.160
<v Speaker 1>like assembly. So you know, I'm sort of thinking about

0:15:02.240 --> 0:15:08.160
<v Speaker 1>like actually our Taiwan Semi conversation, and you know Taiwan Semi.

0:15:08.320 --> 0:15:10.880
<v Speaker 1>You know, just like over time like builds up an

0:15:10.920 --> 0:15:15.600
<v Speaker 1>expertise to be able to manufacture chips at scale while

0:15:15.640 --> 0:15:18.560
<v Speaker 1>making very few errors, and they just become really good

0:15:18.600 --> 0:15:21.520
<v Speaker 1>at it. What is like, is it similar with fox

0:15:21.600 --> 0:15:24.080
<v Speaker 1>con where just over time they just sort of build

0:15:24.160 --> 0:15:27.520
<v Speaker 1>up this internal muscle or you know, you can come

0:15:27.600 --> 0:15:31.200
<v Speaker 1>up with a new design. Here's the design of an iPhone,

0:15:31.400 --> 0:15:34.840
<v Speaker 1>or sorry, here's the design of an iPod, And because

0:15:34.880 --> 0:15:37.520
<v Speaker 1>they've just like built up this sort of like internal

0:15:37.560 --> 0:15:40.280
<v Speaker 1>tacit knowledge of how to assemble things, It's just no

0:15:40.320 --> 0:15:43.480
<v Speaker 1>one else can really do something like that at scale

0:15:43.520 --> 0:15:46.680
<v Speaker 1>and have to be consistently good precisely. That's really really it.

0:15:46.680 --> 0:15:49.320
<v Speaker 1>It's it's not that difficult to make one pizza. Try

0:15:49.320 --> 0:15:51.440
<v Speaker 1>and make fifty pizzas and now or you know, a

0:15:51.480 --> 0:15:55.160
<v Speaker 1>thousand pizzas, and now that's difficult because quality yield, right,

0:15:55.200 --> 0:15:57.480
<v Speaker 1>the amount of products that you put through the production

0:15:57.520 --> 0:16:00.360
<v Speaker 1>line that are usable at the end, that is very

0:16:00.440 --> 0:16:02.880
<v Speaker 1>very difficult. Scale is really what it's all about in

0:16:03.040 --> 0:16:06.400
<v Speaker 1>pretty much any industry, even in cars. You know, Tesla's

0:16:06.720 --> 0:16:10.360
<v Speaker 1>struggles over the years have been about scaling, and so, yeah,

0:16:10.360 --> 0:16:13.560
<v Speaker 1>you're right. They had built up this this knowledge base

0:16:13.680 --> 0:16:16.240
<v Speaker 1>from making components so that when it came to things

0:16:16.280 --> 0:16:18.560
<v Speaker 1>that were a bit more labor intensive, and they had

0:16:18.640 --> 0:16:21.720
<v Speaker 1>used a lot of labor even for their components, this

0:16:21.840 --> 0:16:23.920
<v Speaker 1>was the company that you would turn to. And you know,

0:16:24.200 --> 0:16:26.960
<v Speaker 1>what is it a dozen years after the first iPhone

0:16:27.000 --> 0:16:30.960
<v Speaker 1>came out, seventy iPhones are still made by Foxcon. Right,

0:16:31.200 --> 0:16:34.520
<v Speaker 1>the Apple can't replace them. They're addicted to fox Con.

0:16:34.640 --> 0:16:36.960
<v Speaker 1>I was going to ask what is the relationship like

0:16:37.200 --> 0:16:39.600
<v Speaker 1>between those two entities, because on the one hand, okay,

0:16:39.600 --> 0:16:43.040
<v Speaker 1>fox Con providing a valuable service for Apple, clearly, but

0:16:43.480 --> 0:16:48.040
<v Speaker 1>it feels like Apple is basically reliant on one supplier here. Yeah,

0:16:48.120 --> 0:16:51.440
<v Speaker 1>I mean, it's it's it's a possibly an unhealthy I've

0:16:51.520 --> 0:16:55.800
<v Speaker 1>argued for a long time, it's a very unhealthy codependence. Um,

0:16:55.840 --> 0:16:57.560
<v Speaker 1>you know, there is really if you look at the

0:16:57.560 --> 0:17:01.800
<v Speaker 1>tech industry globally or of the world in general. Um,

0:17:01.840 --> 0:17:04.920
<v Speaker 1>you know, if if Apple was to disappear overnight, um,

0:17:04.960 --> 0:17:06.800
<v Speaker 1>you know, we wouldn't get our ophines, and you know,

0:17:06.840 --> 0:17:09.440
<v Speaker 1>maybe that wouldn't be a very nice thing, or Facebook

0:17:09.480 --> 0:17:12.920
<v Speaker 1>disappeared that would be terrible, or some people might argue

0:17:12.960 --> 0:17:16.200
<v Speaker 1>the opposite. But if if fox Con or t SMC

0:17:16.480 --> 0:17:18.720
<v Speaker 1>were to disappear from the face of the earth overnight,

0:17:19.119 --> 0:17:22.320
<v Speaker 1>we've been a lot of trouble because nobody can do

0:17:22.359 --> 0:17:25.800
<v Speaker 1>what these two companies can do, and they even if

0:17:25.840 --> 0:17:28.560
<v Speaker 1>they tried, and so many companies have been trying to

0:17:28.600 --> 0:17:32.240
<v Speaker 1>replace fox Con. Apple doesn't want to be addicted to

0:17:32.240 --> 0:17:34.440
<v Speaker 1>fox Con, right, It's just not healthy. It's not about

0:17:34.480 --> 0:17:36.240
<v Speaker 1>them being a good or a bad company. It's just

0:17:36.280 --> 0:17:39.800
<v Speaker 1>not healthy to have one supplier. So over the years,

0:17:40.080 --> 0:17:44.439
<v Speaker 1>Apple has diversified away, ironically to mostly Taimeanese companies like

0:17:44.480 --> 0:17:48.120
<v Speaker 1>with Troyn and Pegatron, and some Chinese companies too, uh.

0:17:48.160 --> 0:17:50.679
<v Speaker 1>And of course they have diversified away from China to

0:17:50.720 --> 0:17:53.679
<v Speaker 1>an extent in India and Brazil and other places. But

0:17:53.880 --> 0:17:58.160
<v Speaker 1>really they can't help it. And fox Con is also

0:17:58.400 --> 0:18:02.800
<v Speaker 1>unhealthily addicted to a fifty percent of their revenue comes

0:18:02.800 --> 0:18:05.280
<v Speaker 1>from Apple, uh, and it's been that way for more

0:18:05.280 --> 0:18:07.520
<v Speaker 1>than a decade. They brought in about two hundred and

0:18:07.720 --> 0:18:10.600
<v Speaker 1>fifteen billion dollars of revenue last year fox Con and

0:18:10.680 --> 0:18:14.159
<v Speaker 1>half of that came from Apple, So they can't do

0:18:14.320 --> 0:18:29.840
<v Speaker 1>that Apple unless they get into the EV business. The

0:18:29.880 --> 0:18:32.399
<v Speaker 1>hottest gadget or one of the hottest gadgets in the

0:18:32.400 --> 0:18:37.320
<v Speaker 1>world right now is the electric vehicle, and Tesla is

0:18:37.400 --> 0:18:41.720
<v Speaker 1>the leader. But we know that every uh, every car company,

0:18:42.359 --> 0:18:44.440
<v Speaker 1>um wants to get into e v s and they're

0:18:44.440 --> 0:18:46.639
<v Speaker 1>spending a lot of money and actually rolling out cars

0:18:46.640 --> 0:18:49.879
<v Speaker 1>and some of them seem to be decent. Before we

0:18:49.920 --> 0:18:54.399
<v Speaker 1>get into fox CON's ambitions in the space, how is

0:18:54.760 --> 0:19:00.440
<v Speaker 1>manufacturing a car historically different than manufacturing electron I mean,

0:19:00.440 --> 0:19:02.800
<v Speaker 1>my guess is, like GM and Ford at all, they

0:19:02.840 --> 0:19:05.399
<v Speaker 1>have their own plants, they're in the United States. They

0:19:05.400 --> 0:19:07.720
<v Speaker 1>don't just like make a design and send it to

0:19:07.760 --> 0:19:10.560
<v Speaker 1>some other company to build. They actually build it themselves.

0:19:10.560 --> 0:19:13.000
<v Speaker 1>But how would you compare and contrast the sort of

0:19:13.040 --> 0:19:17.480
<v Speaker 1>like existing legacy approach to building a car versus the

0:19:17.520 --> 0:19:20.159
<v Speaker 1>existing approach to building a phone. Well, at the end

0:19:20.160 --> 0:19:22.200
<v Speaker 1>of the day, yeah, no, I think it's a fair

0:19:22.240 --> 0:19:24.840
<v Speaker 1>point at the end of the day. I mean, car

0:19:24.880 --> 0:19:26.959
<v Speaker 1>companies don't want to admit it, but all cars are

0:19:27.040 --> 0:19:30.119
<v Speaker 1>kind of similar, right um now, where there is a

0:19:30.200 --> 0:19:33.960
<v Speaker 1>differences in engines. Right, So companies like Toyota and Ford

0:19:34.080 --> 0:19:36.760
<v Speaker 1>and the Europeans as well, have have worked a lot

0:19:36.840 --> 0:19:40.280
<v Speaker 1>on on engine design and and car buffs will say, well,

0:19:40.320 --> 0:19:43.600
<v Speaker 1>this engine, this you know V six or this straightforward

0:19:43.680 --> 0:19:46.200
<v Speaker 1>whatever is is a better engine. And a new car

0:19:46.320 --> 0:19:48.280
<v Speaker 1>comes out with a new engine and people love it

0:19:48.359 --> 0:19:50.720
<v Speaker 1>or hate it. But the other part, that kind of

0:19:50.720 --> 0:19:53.960
<v Speaker 1>the the I P is in how you make it.

0:19:54.000 --> 0:19:56.320
<v Speaker 1>And Toyota, i guess, is most famous for their production

0:19:56.400 --> 0:19:58.880
<v Speaker 1>system that just in time and all of that um

0:19:58.920 --> 0:20:00.800
<v Speaker 1>and again it comes back to the issue of scale

0:20:00.880 --> 0:20:04.200
<v Speaker 1>and quality and yields and so forth. So the very

0:20:04.240 --> 0:20:08.440
<v Speaker 1>process of producing a car is in some ways that

0:20:08.600 --> 0:20:11.760
<v Speaker 1>secret source. And so if Toyota, for example, or Ford

0:20:11.920 --> 0:20:14.880
<v Speaker 1>was to work out exactly the right way to make

0:20:14.920 --> 0:20:18.399
<v Speaker 1>a car over and say a ten year production run, um,

0:20:18.440 --> 0:20:21.720
<v Speaker 1>it's kind of a thing that they wouldn't necessarily want

0:20:21.800 --> 0:20:23.920
<v Speaker 1>to hand out to somebody else. But the other thing

0:20:24.040 --> 0:20:30.360
<v Speaker 1>is with safety standards. Um, you have to be very meticulous,

0:20:30.400 --> 0:20:33.160
<v Speaker 1>and the way you produce a car is so connected

0:20:33.200 --> 0:20:36.239
<v Speaker 1>to things like safety standards. And the final thing is, um,

0:20:36.440 --> 0:20:38.840
<v Speaker 1>the product cycle of a car is much much much longer.

0:20:38.880 --> 0:20:40.879
<v Speaker 1>We're talking like a decade, whereas you know the product

0:20:40.880 --> 0:20:44.720
<v Speaker 1>cycle of a phone iPhone, Apple has the longest product cycle,

0:20:44.720 --> 0:20:46.800
<v Speaker 1>which is about a year. But you know Samsung and

0:20:46.880 --> 0:20:49.080
<v Speaker 1>shower Me or whatever, they come out with a new

0:20:49.080 --> 0:20:51.320
<v Speaker 1>product like every three to six months or even less.

0:20:51.320 --> 0:20:54.960
<v Speaker 1>So it's a very quick turnaround, and so they kind

0:20:55.000 --> 0:20:58.680
<v Speaker 1>of need the external help to help put these devices together.

0:20:59.000 --> 0:21:02.520
<v Speaker 1>I think that's really the difference. So walk us through

0:21:02.680 --> 0:21:06.600
<v Speaker 1>fox CON's thinking here and what they see exactly as

0:21:06.600 --> 0:21:10.440
<v Speaker 1>their competitive advantage. Because on the one hand, yes, EV

0:21:10.640 --> 0:21:13.560
<v Speaker 1>is very hot right now, everyone is probably going to

0:21:13.680 --> 0:21:16.879
<v Speaker 1>end up having one in the future. But on the

0:21:16.880 --> 0:21:19.919
<v Speaker 1>other hand, especially in places like Asia, the market is

0:21:20.119 --> 0:21:24.800
<v Speaker 1>incredibly crowded. It feels like a new EV manufacturer springs up,

0:21:25.240 --> 0:21:27.520
<v Speaker 1>you know, every week or every month and then probably

0:21:27.560 --> 0:21:31.760
<v Speaker 1>has problems soon after. But what exactly is the opportunity

0:21:31.800 --> 0:21:33.679
<v Speaker 1>here and what does fox Can think it can do

0:21:33.800 --> 0:21:38.960
<v Speaker 1>better than other EV manufacturers. Well, what's interesting, I think

0:21:39.200 --> 0:21:41.240
<v Speaker 1>is that you think a fox Can has being the

0:21:41.240 --> 0:21:43.080
<v Speaker 1>iPhone assembler, and you think, wow, if they're going to

0:21:43.119 --> 0:21:45.040
<v Speaker 1>do evs, they're going to be all about the e

0:21:45.160 --> 0:21:47.840
<v Speaker 1>V assembling with big factories like you'd see in Detroit,

0:21:48.480 --> 0:21:50.960
<v Speaker 1>that's actually not quite their thinking. They are more thinking

0:21:51.000 --> 0:21:54.920
<v Speaker 1>in the nineties model, which is in the ES when

0:21:54.920 --> 0:21:57.640
<v Speaker 1>desktop PCs were, you know, the biggest thing out there.

0:21:58.480 --> 0:22:00.879
<v Speaker 1>It was very modular. You open up a PC and

0:22:00.920 --> 0:22:04.200
<v Speaker 1>it's very very modular, and you've got standard reference designs

0:22:04.200 --> 0:22:06.160
<v Speaker 1>for what it would look like. And you know at

0:22:06.160 --> 0:22:08.479
<v Speaker 1>that time you have you know, m D and Intel,

0:22:08.520 --> 0:22:12.719
<v Speaker 1>we're doing the CPUs ah and fox Con could make

0:22:12.760 --> 0:22:15.160
<v Speaker 1>a lot of those component parts and get good margins

0:22:15.200 --> 0:22:19.760
<v Speaker 1>on it. They see e vs more similar to PCs

0:22:19.880 --> 0:22:24.000
<v Speaker 1>than iPhones, and so they have reference designs. Right, if

0:22:24.040 --> 0:22:26.480
<v Speaker 1>you want to go out like literally, if you had

0:22:26.520 --> 0:22:29.639
<v Speaker 1>the money, you could call up fox Com tomorrow and say, hey,

0:22:29.880 --> 0:22:33.320
<v Speaker 1>we want to make an EV. We don't have a clue,

0:22:33.440 --> 0:22:36.320
<v Speaker 1>We've just got money, and fox going to like, all right,

0:22:36.320 --> 0:22:38.760
<v Speaker 1>we've got a reference design. Literally, it is a design.

0:22:38.800 --> 0:22:41.760
<v Speaker 1>It's a chassis with four wheels, and they can basically

0:22:41.840 --> 0:22:44.800
<v Speaker 1>walk you through the process and for the right amount

0:22:44.840 --> 0:22:47.760
<v Speaker 1>of money, you could have an EV, you know, in

0:22:47.840 --> 0:22:51.719
<v Speaker 1>six months. And that's why you've got companies like Lordstown

0:22:51.720 --> 0:22:54.240
<v Speaker 1>and Ribbing and all these other startups are actually turning

0:22:54.280 --> 0:22:57.800
<v Speaker 1>to fox Con and saying, oh um, yeah, we we

0:22:57.880 --> 0:22:59.760
<v Speaker 1>want to get into the e V business, maybe we

0:23:00.000 --> 0:23:02.679
<v Speaker 1>would you know, get into bed with each other. Well,

0:23:02.760 --> 0:23:05.919
<v Speaker 1>so when I think about like PCs in the nineties,

0:23:06.040 --> 0:23:08.520
<v Speaker 1>and there were just so many of these brands and

0:23:08.560 --> 0:23:11.119
<v Speaker 1>they basically just all sold the exact same boxes and

0:23:11.160 --> 0:23:12.960
<v Speaker 1>it didn't turn out to be So there was Compact,

0:23:13.400 --> 0:23:16.480
<v Speaker 1>an HP and or before that, I guess there was

0:23:16.520 --> 0:23:21.840
<v Speaker 1>like yeah, tons of Gateway was another one, uh and

0:23:21.880 --> 0:23:24.639
<v Speaker 1>then of course Dell more or less one that space.

0:23:24.920 --> 0:23:27.080
<v Speaker 1>But it was like not a great victory because the

0:23:27.119 --> 0:23:29.760
<v Speaker 1>actual like boxes, you know, they won, but it wasn't

0:23:29.760 --> 0:23:35.679
<v Speaker 1>like the most amazing victory. Like do the car companies like, okay,

0:23:35.840 --> 0:23:39.000
<v Speaker 1>if Fox if Fox CON's vision that evs will sort

0:23:39.040 --> 0:23:41.479
<v Speaker 1>of be this modular thing and there's a few standard

0:23:41.520 --> 0:23:44.040
<v Speaker 1>parts that they could all plug and play, Like, do

0:23:44.119 --> 0:23:47.240
<v Speaker 1>car companies want that future? Now? Of course, car companies

0:23:47.280 --> 0:23:49.879
<v Speaker 1>don't want that future anymore than PC companies want to

0:23:49.920 --> 0:23:53.919
<v Speaker 1>have PCs to be modular because there's no competitive advantage.

0:23:53.920 --> 0:23:56.240
<v Speaker 1>And that's why Apple went you know in another directions,

0:23:56.280 --> 0:24:00.199
<v Speaker 1>remember Zeos, there was PCs. That's what we had. We

0:24:00.280 --> 0:24:02.760
<v Speaker 1>had a we had a PC. And in my family,

0:24:02.800 --> 0:24:08.920
<v Speaker 1>I think it's a company. Remember Tandy we had Yeah, so,

0:24:09.119 --> 0:24:12.399
<v Speaker 1>um so, no PC company, no company wants wants to

0:24:12.400 --> 0:24:15.520
<v Speaker 1>be standardized, right, They want to have everything to themselves.

0:24:15.560 --> 0:24:17.720
<v Speaker 1>In fact, you know, if you look inside an iPhone,

0:24:18.560 --> 0:24:20.199
<v Speaker 1>um you know, one of the funny things about an

0:24:20.200 --> 0:24:22.359
<v Speaker 1>iPhone is, of course they have their own chips, a

0:24:22.400 --> 0:24:24.760
<v Speaker 1>lot of their own things are very very specific to Apple.

0:24:25.160 --> 0:24:27.000
<v Speaker 1>But in fact, there's there's quite a few components that

0:24:27.040 --> 0:24:28.879
<v Speaker 1>go on an iPhone that are no different to a

0:24:28.880 --> 0:24:31.840
<v Speaker 1>component that going to something else. But but Apple is

0:24:31.960 --> 0:24:34.240
<v Speaker 1>very insistent with their supplies that they have their own

0:24:34.240 --> 0:24:38.200
<v Speaker 1>stock coding unit and it's labeled differently, but it's basically

0:24:38.240 --> 0:24:40.920
<v Speaker 1>the same part. It's just kind of the Apple version

0:24:40.960 --> 0:24:44.760
<v Speaker 1>of that part. So I think absolutely, I don't think

0:24:44.840 --> 0:24:48.000
<v Speaker 1>you know, Elon, Musket, Tesla or Toyota or Ford or

0:24:48.040 --> 0:24:51.480
<v Speaker 1>any company that's going into the e vy era wants

0:24:51.480 --> 0:24:54.520
<v Speaker 1>to have it standardized. But then again, they've got to

0:24:54.520 --> 0:24:57.320
<v Speaker 1>make decisions where is our value add where is that

0:24:57.440 --> 0:25:00.520
<v Speaker 1>competitive advantage is it to have you know, all our

0:25:00.640 --> 0:25:04.160
<v Speaker 1>unique components. And in the car era, having your own

0:25:04.240 --> 0:25:08.199
<v Speaker 1>unique engine, you know, was a standout right and that

0:25:08.320 --> 0:25:11.280
<v Speaker 1>was a unique selling point I think so far in

0:25:11.320 --> 0:25:14.199
<v Speaker 1>the e V era. I don't think anyone's going up

0:25:14.200 --> 0:25:15.840
<v Speaker 1>to an e V and going, well, this is, you know,

0:25:15.880 --> 0:25:19.240
<v Speaker 1>the the electronic version of you know, a V eight. Right.

0:25:19.280 --> 0:25:21.840
<v Speaker 1>They of course they want range, they want power, they

0:25:21.880 --> 0:25:24.560
<v Speaker 1>want what is it ridiculous mode and stuff like that.

0:25:25.320 --> 0:25:27.119
<v Speaker 1>But if that can all be done in a in

0:25:27.160 --> 0:25:30.639
<v Speaker 1>a standardized, modular way, then that would free up the

0:25:30.640 --> 0:25:33.160
<v Speaker 1>e V makers to focus on the front team, which

0:25:33.200 --> 0:25:36.919
<v Speaker 1>is the design, make it look cool, feature set, and

0:25:36.920 --> 0:25:39.040
<v Speaker 1>then the back end, which is sales and marketing. And

0:25:39.160 --> 0:25:43.440
<v Speaker 1>essentially that's what the PC industry is now. PC makers

0:25:43.760 --> 0:25:48.280
<v Speaker 1>basically don't make anything. In fact, Apple doesn't really manufacture anything.

0:25:49.240 --> 0:25:51.600
<v Speaker 1>They do the front team, which is the design. They

0:25:51.600 --> 0:25:54.080
<v Speaker 1>outsourced all of the middle which is you know, putting

0:25:54.080 --> 0:25:56.200
<v Speaker 1>it all together, and in the back end they worry

0:25:56.240 --> 0:25:59.439
<v Speaker 1>about sales and marketing. And that's probably going to be

0:25:59.480 --> 0:26:01.360
<v Speaker 1>the future of EV is certainly the way fox Con

0:26:01.400 --> 0:26:03.920
<v Speaker 1>thinks it will be. And so there was all these

0:26:03.920 --> 0:26:06.040
<v Speaker 1>PC makers in the nineties and most of them have

0:26:06.160 --> 0:26:09.440
<v Speaker 1>disappeared or fox gone still around, and they's just applied

0:26:09.440 --> 0:26:11.280
<v Speaker 1>to all of them, right, that's the way they survive.

0:26:11.760 --> 0:26:14.679
<v Speaker 1>Fox Con doesn't do their own branding. They just apply

0:26:14.840 --> 0:26:17.520
<v Speaker 1>to the brands and the new vision of fox Con.

0:26:17.520 --> 0:26:20.680
<v Speaker 1>And they've got a new chairman now, a guy called

0:26:21.000 --> 0:26:24.200
<v Speaker 1>you know, Young Way, who's who's an electronic engineer by training.

0:26:24.920 --> 0:26:28.040
<v Speaker 1>He sees that future as being fox Con is not

0:26:28.080 --> 0:26:30.280
<v Speaker 1>going back to the mid two thousands, but fox going

0:26:30.320 --> 0:26:33.439
<v Speaker 1>back to the mid nineties. Guess what, that's when the

0:26:33.480 --> 0:26:37.719
<v Speaker 1>margins were really really good. That's convenient. But it feels

0:26:37.720 --> 0:26:41.560
<v Speaker 1>like to some extent, the EV manufacturers might not have

0:26:41.640 --> 0:26:44.719
<v Speaker 1>a choice here, right because chips have been an issue,

0:26:45.320 --> 0:26:47.879
<v Speaker 1>and if one of the largest suppliers of chips says

0:26:48.080 --> 0:26:50.119
<v Speaker 1>we want to go in this direction, We're going to

0:26:50.240 --> 0:26:54.560
<v Speaker 1>standardize to modular component building that sort of thing, it

0:26:54.600 --> 0:26:57.840
<v Speaker 1>feels like they might just have to go along with it, Right, Yeah,

0:26:57.880 --> 0:26:59.399
<v Speaker 1>I think so. I think that's a good way to

0:26:59.400 --> 0:27:03.280
<v Speaker 1>put a treaty. You if the EV industry it is

0:27:03.440 --> 0:27:06.560
<v Speaker 1>very very electronic, right, you know, every wheel has multiple

0:27:06.640 --> 0:27:09.560
<v Speaker 1>chips just controlling it. Right, Um, cars there is more.

0:27:09.920 --> 0:27:11.919
<v Speaker 1>There's more chips in your garage and there is in

0:27:11.960 --> 0:27:14.720
<v Speaker 1>your lounge room. Right. There is so many chips inside cars,

0:27:14.760 --> 0:27:17.320
<v Speaker 1>which is why with the chip shortage of the last

0:27:17.320 --> 0:27:20.240
<v Speaker 1>couple of years, cars couldn't roll off the production line, right,

0:27:20.840 --> 0:27:23.680
<v Speaker 1>but we still managed to get our iPhones. And so

0:27:23.880 --> 0:27:27.040
<v Speaker 1>the e V era is definitely more and more electronic.

0:27:27.400 --> 0:27:30.040
<v Speaker 1>And that's why in so many ways, and e v

0:27:30.359 --> 0:27:34.439
<v Speaker 1>is more like a PC on wheels than then a

0:27:34.480 --> 0:27:37.840
<v Speaker 1>Toyota af Ford with an electronic engine. Really, that's the

0:27:37.840 --> 0:27:39.800
<v Speaker 1>way you need to think about it. Certainly, that's the

0:27:39.800 --> 0:27:41.520
<v Speaker 1>way a lot of companies think about and that's the

0:27:41.520 --> 0:27:45.520
<v Speaker 1>way Fox Coon thinks about it. And that's why componentary

0:27:45.640 --> 0:27:51.600
<v Speaker 1>semiconductors are non semic conductor components. There will be standardization

0:27:52.160 --> 0:27:54.639
<v Speaker 1>in theory. That's that's where the industry is moving. And

0:27:54.680 --> 0:27:57.040
<v Speaker 1>that's what foxcon wants to do. They have a platform

0:27:57.119 --> 0:27:59.560
<v Speaker 1>called m I H. They want to bring all of

0:27:59.600 --> 0:28:01.240
<v Speaker 1>the company needs together. They want to bring in the

0:28:01.280 --> 0:28:04.600
<v Speaker 1>chip makers, not just the carmakers, the chipmakers, the electronic makers.

0:28:05.000 --> 0:28:06.840
<v Speaker 1>They want to bring them all together and set the

0:28:06.920 --> 0:28:09.880
<v Speaker 1>standards and say we've got these standards. You can buy

0:28:09.920 --> 0:28:12.320
<v Speaker 1>some of the components from us and some from somewhere else.

0:28:12.359 --> 0:28:14.479
<v Speaker 1>Not a problem. You can buy all the components from

0:28:14.560 --> 0:28:17.399
<v Speaker 1>us whatever you like. But fox con wants to be

0:28:17.440 --> 0:28:21.160
<v Speaker 1>a part of it. So that as today, apart from iPhone.

0:28:21.480 --> 0:28:23.840
<v Speaker 1>Pretty much every device you've got, whether it's a Dell

0:28:23.920 --> 0:28:30.040
<v Speaker 1>PC or or a Cisco router or some webcam, there's

0:28:30.119 --> 0:28:33.200
<v Speaker 1>probably some fox Con in there somewhere. That's what fox

0:28:33.280 --> 0:28:36.280
<v Speaker 1>Con wants to be for e vs. So I'm guessing

0:28:36.600 --> 0:28:40.640
<v Speaker 1>this is a well I'm guessing Ellen, they're not part

0:28:40.680 --> 0:28:43.080
<v Speaker 1>of Elion's vision, Like, how does how does the fox

0:28:43.160 --> 0:28:47.080
<v Speaker 1>cond vision of how the EV industry evolved contrast with

0:28:47.160 --> 0:28:49.720
<v Speaker 1>Elon's vision of how the EV industry will evolve? Well,

0:28:49.760 --> 0:28:52.400
<v Speaker 1>interestingly enough, fox Con does supply to Tesla, but it's

0:28:52.400 --> 0:28:56.080
<v Speaker 1>just componentry um, not the final car. Now. Ellen said

0:28:56.360 --> 0:28:58.880
<v Speaker 1>famously a few years ago, you know, evs are tough.

0:28:58.920 --> 0:29:00.600
<v Speaker 1>This is not the kind of thing you can you

0:29:00.600 --> 0:29:04.120
<v Speaker 1>can outsource to fox Con. I actually disagree. Fox Con

0:29:04.120 --> 0:29:05.920
<v Speaker 1>obviously disagrees. I think it is the kind of thing

0:29:05.960 --> 0:29:08.360
<v Speaker 1>you can outsource to fox Con. It's exactly the kind

0:29:08.360 --> 0:29:10.920
<v Speaker 1>of thing you can outsource to fox Con. Now, of course,

0:29:10.920 --> 0:29:13.600
<v Speaker 1>Tesla makes their own cars. They're they're building multiple factories

0:29:13.640 --> 0:29:16.240
<v Speaker 1>around the world, and they believe that building cars is

0:29:16.320 --> 0:29:20.920
<v Speaker 1>part of you know, the Tesla DNA and their competitive advantage.

0:29:21.960 --> 0:29:24.120
<v Speaker 1>But if you if your fox Con or any of

0:29:24.160 --> 0:29:28.200
<v Speaker 1>these other startups, then you probably think maybe not. And

0:29:28.240 --> 0:29:30.959
<v Speaker 1>certainly to build your own car factory is is very,

0:29:31.080 --> 0:29:33.840
<v Speaker 1>very expensive and there's no guarantee of payoff. Now what's

0:29:33.920 --> 0:29:39.040
<v Speaker 1>interesting is how about the existing legacy car makers like

0:29:39.080 --> 0:29:42.000
<v Speaker 1>the Europeans and the Japanese, the Koreans and of the Americans.

0:29:42.040 --> 0:29:45.480
<v Speaker 1>Do they still want to make their own cars or

0:29:45.520 --> 0:29:47.520
<v Speaker 1>will they at some point say, you know what, We're

0:29:47.520 --> 0:29:50.160
<v Speaker 1>going to outsource a couple of models of our cars

0:29:50.440 --> 0:29:54.000
<v Speaker 1>to somebody else, like a fox Con. So one of

0:29:54.080 --> 0:29:57.560
<v Speaker 1>fox CON's partners is Stalantis, which is the merged group

0:29:57.640 --> 0:30:00.880
<v Speaker 1>of of p s A and renown A, the European

0:30:00.920 --> 0:30:04.480
<v Speaker 1>car makers. They are actually doing deals with fox Con.

0:30:04.600 --> 0:30:08.040
<v Speaker 1>So we may see, you know, a European car come

0:30:08.040 --> 0:30:11.120
<v Speaker 1>off for a fox Con production line in future, or

0:30:11.160 --> 0:30:14.680
<v Speaker 1>certainly some of the components in these European cars may

0:30:14.720 --> 0:30:17.200
<v Speaker 1>be made by fox Con. So I think the interesting

0:30:17.280 --> 0:30:19.800
<v Speaker 1>question is not the startups who kind of need to

0:30:19.840 --> 0:30:23.040
<v Speaker 1>have a fox Con, it's the legacy makers. Are they

0:30:23.120 --> 0:30:25.840
<v Speaker 1>willing to embrace the fox com model and frank out

0:30:26.160 --> 0:30:41.320
<v Speaker 1>The answer to this might be an obvious point, but

0:30:41.560 --> 0:30:44.360
<v Speaker 1>part of the thing that is sort of surprising me

0:30:44.480 --> 0:30:47.120
<v Speaker 1>here or I guess I should say the irony here

0:30:47.280 --> 0:30:50.360
<v Speaker 1>is that it seems like we've had these discussions over

0:30:50.360 --> 0:30:54.760
<v Speaker 1>the past few years about supply chain resiliency, We've had

0:30:54.760 --> 0:31:00.240
<v Speaker 1>discussions about the semiconductor shortage, and it feels like the

0:31:00.400 --> 0:31:05.760
<v Speaker 1>response to all of that might be to concentrate semiconductor

0:31:05.800 --> 0:31:12.080
<v Speaker 1>production and assembly even more in a single entity. Um

0:31:12.120 --> 0:31:16.600
<v Speaker 1>because they're sort of demanding market power or the ability

0:31:16.600 --> 0:31:19.600
<v Speaker 1>to assemble cars in order to control the components that

0:31:19.680 --> 0:31:22.960
<v Speaker 1>are going into them. Is that is that the direction

0:31:23.560 --> 0:31:28.080
<v Speaker 1>that we're heading, Like, rather than see multiple competitors spring

0:31:28.160 --> 0:31:30.880
<v Speaker 1>up in the space people start to retool their supply

0:31:30.960 --> 0:31:33.840
<v Speaker 1>chains so that they don't rely on a single company,

0:31:34.080 --> 0:31:37.000
<v Speaker 1>it feels like we're going in the other direction. Well,

0:31:37.400 --> 0:31:39.280
<v Speaker 1>if you look at t SMC, I mean, they have

0:31:39.520 --> 0:31:45.640
<v Speaker 1>like of the leading, leading, leading edge capacity. But interestingly enough,

0:31:46.240 --> 0:31:48.120
<v Speaker 1>that is not the type of ships that have chips

0:31:48.120 --> 0:31:50.480
<v Speaker 1>that have been in shortage. It's that the old stuff

0:31:50.520 --> 0:31:53.000
<v Speaker 1>that the technology that's in ten or fifteen years old

0:31:53.400 --> 0:31:56.400
<v Speaker 1>that's been in shortage. And one of the reasons why

0:31:56.400 --> 0:31:58.920
<v Speaker 1>it's in shortage is because people have been moving forward,

0:31:58.960 --> 0:32:00.920
<v Speaker 1>you know, the chip industry as as you guys have

0:32:01.000 --> 0:32:03.400
<v Speaker 1>spoken about quite a few times. It's a very fast

0:32:03.400 --> 0:32:06.320
<v Speaker 1>moving industry. You know, Moore's law means that every couple

0:32:06.320 --> 0:32:09.080
<v Speaker 1>of years you upgrade your technology. But a lot of

0:32:09.120 --> 0:32:12.080
<v Speaker 1>the chip designers didn't really want to move up the

0:32:12.160 --> 0:32:14.600
<v Speaker 1>supply chain or you know, the technology stick because they

0:32:14.680 --> 0:32:17.600
<v Speaker 1>didn't need to. So that's where we are with the shortage.

0:32:18.160 --> 0:32:21.320
<v Speaker 1>But going forward, I think there's going to be a

0:32:21.320 --> 0:32:25.320
<v Speaker 1>lot of government involvement. Obviously, the US government Congress is

0:32:25.400 --> 0:32:28.400
<v Speaker 1>kind of duking it out over the Chips package that

0:32:28.520 --> 0:32:32.320
<v Speaker 1>Chips Act. Europeans are doing a similar one. They would

0:32:32.400 --> 0:32:36.400
<v Speaker 1>like to have control of the chip industry in more companies,

0:32:36.480 --> 0:32:39.440
<v Speaker 1>or at least in companies from from their domiciles. So

0:32:39.480 --> 0:32:42.400
<v Speaker 1>obviously Intel wants to get in on the game. There's

0:32:42.440 --> 0:32:45.760
<v Speaker 1>European makers, but at the same time they all everybody

0:32:45.760 --> 0:32:48.680
<v Speaker 1>wants a t SMC factor in their backyard, right t

0:32:48.880 --> 0:32:51.840
<v Speaker 1>SEMC is the most popular company in the world for

0:32:51.840 --> 0:32:56.640
<v Speaker 1>for you know, economic economy ministers, because they all want

0:32:56.680 --> 0:32:59.840
<v Speaker 1>to get t SMC over there. But if you look

0:32:59.880 --> 0:33:04.880
<v Speaker 1>at fox Con, what's interesting with cars is, you know,

0:33:04.880 --> 0:33:07.400
<v Speaker 1>it's just not as easy that you can't pack up

0:33:07.440 --> 0:33:09.240
<v Speaker 1>sixty cars in a box and put them on a

0:33:09.600 --> 0:33:14.160
<v Speaker 1>on a FedEx slide. Right, So this is a really

0:33:14.920 --> 0:33:20.080
<v Speaker 1>smart way for fox Con to to diversify geographically. Now,

0:33:20.200 --> 0:33:21.960
<v Speaker 1>no matter what you think of the tech cold War,

0:33:22.120 --> 0:33:26.480
<v Speaker 1>is it overblown? Is it unfair? Will blow over? Um,

0:33:26.520 --> 0:33:29.160
<v Speaker 1>It's really not smart to have all of your supply

0:33:29.240 --> 0:33:31.160
<v Speaker 1>chain in one area. In the same way, it's not

0:33:31.200 --> 0:33:34.120
<v Speaker 1>smart to have so much of your supply from one

0:33:34.200 --> 0:33:37.640
<v Speaker 1>or two companies like fox Con and tier SMC. It

0:33:37.760 --> 0:33:39.959
<v Speaker 1>just doesn't make sense to have all of the supply

0:33:40.080 --> 0:33:42.880
<v Speaker 1>chain in you know, the Shenjen area or jung Jol

0:33:42.920 --> 0:33:47.040
<v Speaker 1>area of China. Fox Con knows that. But by moving

0:33:47.080 --> 0:33:49.200
<v Speaker 1>into e V s as they are, they've you know,

0:33:49.200 --> 0:33:51.920
<v Speaker 1>they've got a plant in Ohio, They've got this factory

0:33:51.920 --> 0:33:54.160
<v Speaker 1>in Wisconsin which may or may not make e vs.

0:33:54.240 --> 0:33:56.960
<v Speaker 1>They're looking at India and Indonesia and we'll probably see

0:33:57.000 --> 0:34:01.520
<v Speaker 1>something in I would guess, Mexico East in Europe. Great

0:34:01.520 --> 0:34:06.800
<v Speaker 1>way to diversify your geographical locations because it makes sense

0:34:06.840 --> 0:34:09.399
<v Speaker 1>to have your car production closer to where your your

0:34:09.440 --> 0:34:11.759
<v Speaker 1>market will be. Yeah, I want to expand on this

0:34:11.840 --> 0:34:14.040
<v Speaker 1>further because like right, like if you think about as

0:34:14.040 --> 0:34:17.960
<v Speaker 1>you mentioned, uh, the era where they're selling like, you know,

0:34:18.080 --> 0:34:21.680
<v Speaker 1>millions of dollar capacitors by the bucket, and that's very

0:34:21.760 --> 0:34:26.400
<v Speaker 1>easy to manufacture in shen Zen and then put on

0:34:26.480 --> 0:34:30.920
<v Speaker 1>a boat. Clearly, the geography of automobile manufacturing is already

0:34:31.000 --> 0:34:35.760
<v Speaker 1>much more localized. And you don't see GM or Ford

0:34:36.719 --> 0:34:39.600
<v Speaker 1>manufacture car in China for the purpose of shipping it

0:34:39.640 --> 0:34:41.400
<v Speaker 1>to the United States that they set of factories in

0:34:41.440 --> 0:34:45.879
<v Speaker 1>Georgia or Tennessee and still in Michigan or elsewhere. And

0:34:45.960 --> 0:34:50.480
<v Speaker 1>so it does seem as though this would yeah, I mean,

0:34:51.080 --> 0:34:55.240
<v Speaker 1>the economic the weight of car components just this year, size,

0:34:56.040 --> 0:34:58.719
<v Speaker 1>the cause of them, um, it seems like it has

0:34:58.760 --> 0:35:02.960
<v Speaker 1>to be much more geographically dispersed. Yeah. Absolutely, And and

0:35:03.000 --> 0:35:06.719
<v Speaker 1>that's just a really nice segue for fox Con to

0:35:06.920 --> 0:35:11.680
<v Speaker 1>have less of their production capacity in one geography. Uh.

0:35:11.719 --> 0:35:14.840
<v Speaker 1>And they don't have to be announcing that they're picking

0:35:14.880 --> 0:35:17.680
<v Speaker 1>up and leaving China. They just you know, all of

0:35:17.719 --> 0:35:20.120
<v Speaker 1>their extra every extra dollar of capex that they put

0:35:20.120 --> 0:35:22.600
<v Speaker 1>into something over the next few years just happens to

0:35:22.640 --> 0:35:25.920
<v Speaker 1>not be in China for for solid economic reasons. And

0:35:25.960 --> 0:35:29.360
<v Speaker 1>so I would predict that, say, ten years from now,

0:35:30.440 --> 0:35:32.839
<v Speaker 1>a lot less of its balance sheet in terms of

0:35:32.880 --> 0:35:35.600
<v Speaker 1>factory and equipment will be in China, and it won't

0:35:35.600 --> 0:35:38.080
<v Speaker 1>be a case of them upping and leaving China, will

0:35:38.160 --> 0:35:41.160
<v Speaker 1>just be a natural kind of evolution away from China.

0:35:41.520 --> 0:35:44.759
<v Speaker 1>And I think that's exactly what fox Con and its

0:35:44.800 --> 0:35:50.000
<v Speaker 1>clients would want. So I know you talked about, um

0:35:50.040 --> 0:35:53.920
<v Speaker 1>the sort of the historical experience that lends itself to

0:35:54.000 --> 0:35:57.920
<v Speaker 1>fox Con moving into this area of evy assembly sort

0:35:57.920 --> 0:36:00.120
<v Speaker 1>of doing a similar thing to what they did with

0:36:00.320 --> 0:36:05.439
<v Speaker 1>PCs in the nineties. But are there any stumbling blocks here,

0:36:05.560 --> 0:36:08.880
<v Speaker 1>like what is the biggest challenge in moving to that

0:36:09.000 --> 0:36:12.799
<v Speaker 1>production model? I think one of them, Um, that's that's

0:36:12.800 --> 0:36:15.160
<v Speaker 1>a really good point, and that's the kind of thing

0:36:15.320 --> 0:36:18.719
<v Speaker 1>that probably even catch out fox Con. And I think

0:36:18.760 --> 0:36:22.360
<v Speaker 1>one of them is regulation. Cars are very very regulated,

0:36:22.480 --> 0:36:26.560
<v Speaker 1>right um in terms of safety standards. You know, there

0:36:26.719 --> 0:36:29.400
<v Speaker 1>was emission standards, but obviously that doesn't quite apply to

0:36:29.440 --> 0:36:33.120
<v Speaker 1>e v s, but there's various types of standards. And

0:36:33.200 --> 0:36:35.600
<v Speaker 1>if you're going through the process of setting up a

0:36:35.680 --> 0:36:41.040
<v Speaker 1>reference design, UM and you're slotting in different components, even

0:36:41.280 --> 0:36:43.399
<v Speaker 1>like what kind of seats and you know the seats

0:36:43.480 --> 0:36:48.480
<v Speaker 1>going to buckle up electronically or breaking and all the

0:36:48.480 --> 0:36:52.200
<v Speaker 1>other things like, for example, Tesla had a minor problem

0:36:52.239 --> 0:36:56.759
<v Speaker 1>recently where the chip inside that center console was kind

0:36:56.760 --> 0:36:59.600
<v Speaker 1>of overheating, and that made it difficult because everything is

0:36:59.640 --> 0:37:02.680
<v Speaker 1>control by the center console of a Tesla UM you

0:37:02.800 --> 0:37:05.920
<v Speaker 1>basically kind of had to reboot the car to to

0:37:06.080 --> 0:37:09.880
<v Speaker 1>make it work. Now, there was no safety issue involved

0:37:09.920 --> 0:37:11.799
<v Speaker 1>in that, but it highlights the issue that as we

0:37:11.840 --> 0:37:14.920
<v Speaker 1>get more and more electronic, the electronics are very important.

0:37:15.440 --> 0:37:18.280
<v Speaker 1>I think we will see safety regulators in the US

0:37:18.360 --> 0:37:22.160
<v Speaker 1>and Europe and elsewhere. I want to be much more

0:37:22.239 --> 0:37:27.239
<v Speaker 1>cognizant of that. And so this could be a real

0:37:27.400 --> 0:37:30.080
<v Speaker 1>problem for Fox Gone, or maybe it's an opportunity for

0:37:30.080 --> 0:37:32.560
<v Speaker 1>Fox Gone, because if they can get into the process

0:37:32.640 --> 0:37:37.320
<v Speaker 1>of getting the parts or components or half assembled cars

0:37:38.200 --> 0:37:42.200
<v Speaker 1>go through that safety standard check and licensing themselves with

0:37:42.320 --> 0:37:46.120
<v Speaker 1>the Europeans or the Americans or Japanese or whomever, then

0:37:46.360 --> 0:37:49.320
<v Speaker 1>they could possibly sell that to the client and say, hey,

0:37:49.560 --> 0:37:52.240
<v Speaker 1>this part of the process, the chassis with the seats

0:37:52.239 --> 0:37:55.520
<v Speaker 1>and the engine have already gone through compliance. It's been

0:37:55.600 --> 0:37:59.640
<v Speaker 1>ticked and signed off. You should buy from us. Or alternatively,

0:38:00.600 --> 0:38:04.080
<v Speaker 1>the carmakers may find that's not working for them because

0:38:04.280 --> 0:38:06.759
<v Speaker 1>you know, Fox con doesn't do that or doesn't provide that,

0:38:06.800 --> 0:38:11.880
<v Speaker 1>and that's the carmakers specialty. They may decide, Actually it's

0:38:11.920 --> 0:38:14.360
<v Speaker 1>still better for us to do this ourselves because the

0:38:14.719 --> 0:38:17.880
<v Speaker 1>design process is very much focused around, you know, safety,

0:38:17.920 --> 0:38:21.080
<v Speaker 1>building in the safety at the start of that process. Now,

0:38:21.239 --> 0:38:23.560
<v Speaker 1>comparing that to the PC area of the nineties, as

0:38:23.560 --> 0:38:26.600
<v Speaker 1>your point out, Tracy, there really wasn't that issue. You know,

0:38:26.760 --> 0:38:30.239
<v Speaker 1>if Michael Dell wants to cobble together a computer, you know,

0:38:30.360 --> 0:38:33.400
<v Speaker 1>in his garage in round Rock, Texas, he doesn't have

0:38:33.440 --> 0:38:35.839
<v Speaker 1>to go off to some regulated who gets signed off

0:38:35.880 --> 0:38:38.719
<v Speaker 1>for safety. And so anyone could put together a PC

0:38:39.000 --> 0:38:42.440
<v Speaker 1>from kind of standard parts. So I think regulation and

0:38:42.560 --> 0:38:46.680
<v Speaker 1>safety standards will probably be the biggest kind of challenge

0:38:47.280 --> 0:38:49.719
<v Speaker 1>the Fox Can anyone, anyone who wants to get into

0:38:49.719 --> 0:38:52.000
<v Speaker 1>the e V space will face. So I just have

0:38:52.880 --> 0:38:55.640
<v Speaker 1>two more questions. One is sort of quick, how big

0:38:55.719 --> 0:38:57.680
<v Speaker 1>is Fox Can I guess I don't know from a

0:38:57.719 --> 0:39:00.720
<v Speaker 1>revenue standpoint these days, And how big does it see

0:39:00.880 --> 0:39:03.240
<v Speaker 1>or how big could this market get or how important

0:39:03.280 --> 0:39:06.240
<v Speaker 1>could it get for Fox Car. So their revenue last

0:39:06.320 --> 0:39:11.040
<v Speaker 1>year was around twoundon fifteen billion U S dollars by comparison,

0:39:12.040 --> 0:39:15.960
<v Speaker 1>Apples was threound sixty three D and seventies, so about

0:39:16.000 --> 0:39:21.279
<v Speaker 1>two thirds of what Apples was. Interestingly, by comparison, uh

0:39:21.440 --> 0:39:24.480
<v Speaker 1>t SMCS revenue last year was only fifty six billions,

0:39:24.480 --> 0:39:27.600
<v Speaker 1>so it's like less than around a quarter of what

0:39:27.640 --> 0:39:30.960
<v Speaker 1>fox Cons was, But of course t SMCS margins are

0:39:31.000 --> 0:39:35.120
<v Speaker 1>exponentially higher. So that's that's putting introspective of where we

0:39:35.120 --> 0:39:39.919
<v Speaker 1>are today. But going forward, Fox con just recently put

0:39:39.920 --> 0:39:42.440
<v Speaker 1>out some of their own targets and they think that

0:39:42.480 --> 0:39:45.640
<v Speaker 1>they are they're targeting to ship five hundred hundred and

0:39:45.719 --> 0:39:51.799
<v Speaker 1>fifty thousand e vs annually by five, and they see

0:39:51.840 --> 0:39:56.280
<v Speaker 1>that translating to thirty four billion US dollars of revenue

0:39:56.320 --> 0:39:59.880
<v Speaker 1>by five, So you know, back of the envelope number,

0:40:00.760 --> 0:40:04.560
<v Speaker 1>that means they would expect revenue of around forty five

0:40:04.640 --> 0:40:07.800
<v Speaker 1>thousand dollars per car. So there's already a pretty significant

0:40:07.880 --> 0:40:11.440
<v Speaker 1>chump of the of their business. Huge. That's huge, right,

0:40:11.440 --> 0:40:14.000
<v Speaker 1>And even if they got really bad margins out of that,

0:40:14.040 --> 0:40:16.880
<v Speaker 1>you know, one percent margins on forty five thousand dollars

0:40:17.000 --> 0:40:19.399
<v Speaker 1>is a lot better than tempercent margins on a one

0:40:19.400 --> 0:40:21.799
<v Speaker 1>thousand dollar IPHI. Yeah, that's it. So then I guess.

0:40:21.800 --> 0:40:24.880
<v Speaker 1>The other question I have too is like the you know,

0:40:24.960 --> 0:40:28.960
<v Speaker 1>the other thing, the big the key component in a

0:40:29.360 --> 0:40:31.600
<v Speaker 1>electric cars obviously the battery, and there's a lot of

0:40:31.600 --> 0:40:34.600
<v Speaker 1>effort a is that an area that they could ever

0:40:34.640 --> 0:40:37.040
<v Speaker 1>get into? Try to get into the battery itself, which

0:40:37.040 --> 0:40:40.000
<v Speaker 1>is really seems like a very tough business. But be

0:40:40.480 --> 0:40:44.160
<v Speaker 1>battery aside, what are the components that they have like

0:40:44.239 --> 0:40:47.799
<v Speaker 1>the best shot at building They are actually in the

0:40:47.800 --> 0:40:50.560
<v Speaker 1>battery business. They're not a huge player. They've developed their

0:40:50.560 --> 0:40:53.480
<v Speaker 1>own battery technology in Taiwan. I didn't even know this

0:40:53.719 --> 0:40:56.480
<v Speaker 1>until just stumbled upon it at at a conference one day,

0:40:56.520 --> 0:40:58.400
<v Speaker 1>and there's this booth with fox Con batteries and like,

0:40:58.480 --> 0:41:01.480
<v Speaker 1>you guys do batteries, Like yeah, and we developing technology.

0:41:01.520 --> 0:41:04.440
<v Speaker 1>It's all chemistry right at the end of the day. Um,

0:41:05.200 --> 0:41:06.960
<v Speaker 1>I don't know if there'll be a big player in it,

0:41:07.120 --> 0:41:09.440
<v Speaker 1>but they certainly have that option. And I guess it

0:41:09.520 --> 0:41:11.920
<v Speaker 1>comes down to who can get the lithium supply, um,

0:41:12.680 --> 0:41:14.680
<v Speaker 1>you know, But in terms of the rest of it,

0:41:15.400 --> 0:41:18.040
<v Speaker 1>I think, um interestingly enough, you go back to their

0:41:18.120 --> 0:41:20.520
<v Speaker 1>roots connectors, Like inside a car, there is a lot

0:41:20.520 --> 0:41:22.600
<v Speaker 1>of connections, there's a lot of wiring I think, if

0:41:22.640 --> 0:41:25.279
<v Speaker 1>you know, we look inside Boweing or an airbus, yet

0:41:25.320 --> 0:41:28.360
<v Speaker 1>there's like miles and miles and miles of cables and

0:41:28.400 --> 0:41:31.880
<v Speaker 1>connectors and stuff. A car is kind of similar. So

0:41:32.040 --> 0:41:34.400
<v Speaker 1>the connectors is definitely a great business for them to

0:41:34.480 --> 0:41:36.000
<v Speaker 1>be in. And then a lot of the components like

0:41:36.600 --> 0:41:40.600
<v Speaker 1>the windscreen, wiper, the lights, all of those things just

0:41:40.719 --> 0:41:43.640
<v Speaker 1>have a little motherboard with some current components solded onto it,

0:41:44.080 --> 0:41:47.160
<v Speaker 1>and so they don't necessarily need to get the big

0:41:47.239 --> 0:41:49.480
<v Speaker 1>ticket items. They could just take off a lot of

0:41:49.520 --> 0:41:51.279
<v Speaker 1>the kind of the smaller items and just get a

0:41:51.360 --> 0:41:53.759
<v Speaker 1>lot of them inside a car and just be that

0:41:53.960 --> 0:41:57.520
<v Speaker 1>company that does know these ten things really really well

0:41:57.640 --> 0:42:00.600
<v Speaker 1>that no one else can do, and and enjoy the

0:42:00.640 --> 0:42:04.560
<v Speaker 1>margins from there. Tim colpen real treat to have you

0:42:04.680 --> 0:42:07.160
<v Speaker 1>here in the studio, and this is totally new for me.

0:42:07.200 --> 0:42:09.400
<v Speaker 1>I had no idea that fox Con was aiming for

0:42:09.480 --> 0:42:11.840
<v Speaker 1>this space, but it seems like an important part of

0:42:11.880 --> 0:42:14.840
<v Speaker 1>the story. So appreciate you coming back on the oddlock.

0:42:14.960 --> 0:42:17.080
<v Speaker 1>Thank you for having me. It's being fun. Thank you, Tim,

0:42:17.160 --> 0:42:19.840
<v Speaker 1>and thank you for the pineapple cakes. I love talking

0:42:19.880 --> 0:42:24.520
<v Speaker 1>about semiconductors while eating the real reason we had Tim ufen. No,

0:42:24.680 --> 0:42:39.799
<v Speaker 1>that was great. Thank you so much, Tracy. I really

0:42:39.960 --> 0:42:43.279
<v Speaker 1>thought that was interesting. I didn't realize the history of

0:42:43.520 --> 0:42:46.400
<v Speaker 1>fox Con. I mean I just basically sort of only

0:42:46.680 --> 0:42:48.759
<v Speaker 1>missed him said more or less ever heard of the

0:42:48.840 --> 0:42:52.840
<v Speaker 1>company around when the sort of you know, when the

0:42:52.920 --> 0:42:57.520
<v Speaker 1>sort of infamy of their iPhone production was in the news.

0:42:57.800 --> 0:43:00.360
<v Speaker 1>But it's interesting that the sort of like real origin

0:43:00.520 --> 0:43:03.440
<v Speaker 1>heyday was in the nineties. I had no idea that

0:43:03.560 --> 0:43:06.719
<v Speaker 1>like those were like super boom times, right, because everyone thinks, oh,

0:43:06.719 --> 0:43:09.320
<v Speaker 1>assembling iPhones, you probably make loads of money off of that,

0:43:09.520 --> 0:43:12.640
<v Speaker 1>but actually it's building the sort of modular components for

0:43:12.880 --> 0:43:17.680
<v Speaker 1>I didn't realize that these those modules. Yeah. The other

0:43:17.800 --> 0:43:20.560
<v Speaker 1>thing that stuck out for me from that conversation was

0:43:20.680 --> 0:43:23.880
<v Speaker 1>just the idea of a company like fox Con becoming

0:43:24.000 --> 0:43:27.239
<v Speaker 1>more of a force in the e V space by

0:43:27.440 --> 0:43:32.440
<v Speaker 1>virtue of building those components and in some respects demanding standardization.

0:43:33.080 --> 0:43:35.680
<v Speaker 1>And I wish I could remember who exactly said this,

0:43:35.920 --> 0:43:38.200
<v Speaker 1>but you know, there was a school of thought that

0:43:38.920 --> 0:43:42.640
<v Speaker 1>in the future, insurers we're going to be these massive

0:43:42.760 --> 0:43:45.839
<v Speaker 1>influencers on society and the economy because they're the ones

0:43:45.920 --> 0:43:50.280
<v Speaker 1>that are ultimately pricing um and sort of dealing in risks.

0:43:50.360 --> 0:43:53.960
<v Speaker 1>So they were the ones setting safety standards, and I

0:43:54.160 --> 0:43:57.080
<v Speaker 1>kind of I think about that with relation to something

0:43:57.200 --> 0:43:59.919
<v Speaker 1>like Fox con if they're the ones building the compon

0:44:00.000 --> 0:44:03.279
<v Speaker 1>oponents and setting the standards for some of the things

0:44:03.360 --> 0:44:05.839
<v Speaker 1>going into e v s, and you know, to Tim's point,

0:44:05.880 --> 0:44:08.440
<v Speaker 1>obviously they have to comply with government standards as well,

0:44:08.600 --> 0:44:11.120
<v Speaker 1>but there are other things that can influence. It feels

0:44:11.120 --> 0:44:15.399
<v Speaker 1>like they just become a really big force in the space. Absolutely,

0:44:15.680 --> 0:44:21.239
<v Speaker 1>it feels like the existing automakers obviously Tesla, but Tesla side,

0:44:21.280 --> 0:44:23.920
<v Speaker 1>but it seems like the existing automakers definitely do not

0:44:24.200 --> 0:44:28.080
<v Speaker 1>want to become Dell and Hewlett Packard and Comback and

0:44:28.239 --> 0:44:32.200
<v Speaker 1>Zero's and Tandy in Gateway and just be like pure

0:44:32.520 --> 0:44:35.920
<v Speaker 1>boxes on a bunch of components that are all identical

0:44:36.320 --> 0:44:40.359
<v Speaker 1>in no margin. But on the other hand, like you know, car,

0:44:41.080 --> 0:44:43.399
<v Speaker 1>I don't know car. You know, it's like cars all

0:44:43.520 --> 0:44:45.720
<v Speaker 1>kind of looked the same, but of course car people

0:44:45.800 --> 0:44:50.480
<v Speaker 1>would what but they were like wildly different, a bunch

0:44:50.520 --> 0:44:54.000
<v Speaker 1>of angry emails. There's a lot of similarities between cars,

0:44:54.120 --> 0:44:56.040
<v Speaker 1>especially these days, they'll kind of look the same. Well,

0:44:56.080 --> 0:44:58.480
<v Speaker 1>I mean, it does feel like there is this massive

0:44:58.560 --> 0:45:03.560
<v Speaker 1>tension between fox Con and it's potential customers in the

0:45:03.640 --> 0:45:07.120
<v Speaker 1>form of EV manufacturers, and it's you know, it's not

0:45:07.320 --> 0:45:11.279
<v Speaker 1>again dissimilar to maybe the relationship between Apple and fox Con,

0:45:11.600 --> 0:45:13.440
<v Speaker 1>but it's going to be really interesting to see how

0:45:13.520 --> 0:45:15.239
<v Speaker 1>it shakes out. And it does feel like a bit

0:45:15.280 --> 0:45:19.000
<v Speaker 1>of a power struggle potentially. Yeah, and either way, it

0:45:19.160 --> 0:45:22.800
<v Speaker 1>is going to be different than PCs or the iPhone

0:45:23.000 --> 0:45:25.840
<v Speaker 1>because of this. There's also it's almost certainly going to

0:45:25.920 --> 0:45:30.560
<v Speaker 1>be the US car market is served by US manufacturing,

0:45:31.400 --> 0:45:34.120
<v Speaker 1>whether it's a fox Con factory, whether it's a Rivian factory,

0:45:34.120 --> 0:45:36.520
<v Speaker 1>whether it's a GM factory. It's going to be domestic.

0:45:36.600 --> 0:45:38.680
<v Speaker 1>So it's not going to be this sort of like

0:45:39.360 --> 0:45:41.320
<v Speaker 1>let's build a bunch of cheap stuff in Asia for

0:45:41.400 --> 0:45:44.799
<v Speaker 1>shipping over there's probably some component shipping, but it will

0:45:44.840 --> 0:45:47.960
<v Speaker 1>still be something of a new model that's different than

0:45:48.000 --> 0:45:51.080
<v Speaker 1>fox Cons path past. It seems like it all right,

0:45:51.120 --> 0:45:53.160
<v Speaker 1>shall we leave it there? Let's leave it there? All right?

0:45:53.280 --> 0:45:56.120
<v Speaker 1>This has been another episode of the All Thoughts podcast.

0:45:56.239 --> 0:45:58.600
<v Speaker 1>I'm Tracy Alloway. You can follow me on Twitter at

0:45:58.640 --> 0:46:01.160
<v Speaker 1>Tracy Alloway, and I'm Joe. Why isn't thal you could

0:46:01.200 --> 0:46:04.359
<v Speaker 1>follow me on Twitter at The Stalwart, and follow our

0:46:04.440 --> 0:46:08.520
<v Speaker 1>guest Tim Colpen on Twitter. He's at t Colpen. Follow

0:46:08.600 --> 0:46:12.440
<v Speaker 1>our producer Carmen Rodriguez at Carmen Arman. Follow the Bloomberg

0:46:12.520 --> 0:46:16.560
<v Speaker 1>head of podcast, Francesca Levie at Francesca Today, and check

0:46:16.600 --> 0:46:19.320
<v Speaker 1>out all of our podcasts at Bloomberg under the handle

0:46:19.680 --> 0:46:21.440
<v Speaker 1>at podcasts. Thanks for listening.