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Speaker 1: The Action Network Podcast.

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Speaker 2: I'm gonna just mop that action also.

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Speaker 3: All right, here we go.

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Speaker 4: Throwing song spect We're sitting up to cash TOUCHI we.

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Speaker 5: See most gamblers when they go to gamble, they go

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Speaker 5: to wind.

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Speaker 4: That's incredible being bank, small bank, I like to make money.

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Speaker 3: All right, this is the ultimate combine.

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Speaker 2: You want to pass.

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Speaker 1: And we are underway. Welcome into the Action Network Podcast.

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Speaker 1: We are on the audio side, of course, wherever you

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Speaker 1: get your podcasts. Here doing our show live on YouTube.

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Speaker 1: So thanks for joining us on our Action Network YouTube channel.

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Speaker 1: Please subscribe if you have not done so already. Brending

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Speaker 1: glass Sheen with Brandon Anderson as well as our director

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Speaker 1: of Research and Media at The Action Network, Evan Abrams,

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Speaker 1: recapping All Things week seven. I admit I was a

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Speaker 1: few that's late jumping on because I wanted to actually

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Speaker 1: hear Russell Wilson would use that catch phrase in his

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Speaker 1: postgame interview, but he decided he's going to push it

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Speaker 1: off to the side. So some growth by Russell Wilson.

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Speaker 1: The Pittsburgh Steelers just defeated the New York Jets thirty

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Speaker 1: eight fifteen thirty one unanswered points. I think it was

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Speaker 1: thirty one or thirty thirty thirty one on the nose, okay,

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Speaker 1: thirty one unanswered by Pittsburgh to defeat the Jets thirty

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Speaker 1: eight to fifteen, So Pittsburgh covers as a short underdog.

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Speaker 1: Total goes well over forty and a half. That number

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Speaker 1: crept up a bit as that game kicked off, so

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Speaker 1: we'll recap all the games. Brandon Anderson's Hot Red coming

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Speaker 1: up as well. Hot Reeds will do a quick Monday

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Speaker 1: night football preview as well with the two games going

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Speaker 1: on Tomorrow night. Two more on Monday Night. So I'll

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Speaker 1: send it to Evan Abrams for Jets and Steelers. Your

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Speaker 1: knee jerk reaction.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, fifteen six turned to thirty six fifteen honestly, and

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Speaker 4: the blocked extra point, which Pittsburgh seems to do incredibly well,

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Speaker 4: since like the dick Lebau days, should have been thirteen

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Speaker 4: to six instead of fifteen to six, so that was

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Speaker 4: a swing in itself. My note would be this, So

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Speaker 4: Pittsburgh in the second half shut out the Jets last week.

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Speaker 4: They only allowed six to Vegas. The week before that

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Speaker 4: they did allow fourteen to Dallas, but ten to Indy,

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Speaker 4: zero to the Chargers, six to Denver zero to Atlanta

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Speaker 4: second half. Pittsburgh has just been shutting down most teams.

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Speaker 4: Now you've got a second half over in four straight

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Speaker 4: for the Steelers, but that's because they've just been scoring points.

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Speaker 4: But their defense has been absolutely incredible, and you kind

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Speaker 4: of had a feeling they were gonna jumble the Jets

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Speaker 4: a little bit in this one. But really the play

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Speaker 4: I look back on when you look at the entire

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Speaker 4: game and how maybe it could have gone one direction

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Speaker 4: for the other. Aaron Rodgers cannot throw that interception, like

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Speaker 4: a minute or two left in the half, up fifteen

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Speaker 4: to six. You allow Pittsburgh to get the momentum going

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Speaker 4: into the break to get at minimum of field goal,

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Speaker 4: which actually ended up turning into a touchdown. To me,

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Speaker 4: it's just completely unacceptable. I don't know what the play

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Speaker 4: call was, et cetera, et cetera, but that kind of

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Speaker 4: led them to where it went.

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Speaker 2: And then obviously the Garrett Wilson pop up drop that

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Speaker 2: turned into a pick.

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Speaker 4: It just gets so frustrating overall, but between secondary injuries

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Speaker 4: o line injuries, it was just a mess in this one.

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Speaker 4: The one thing I will say with Russ Steelers yards

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Speaker 4: per play for six games four point one, four point three,

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Speaker 4: nothing under, nothing, six or above. Today was six point two.

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Speaker 4: So against the Jet defense banged up, but they were

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Speaker 4: moving the ball like they weren't with justin Fields, something

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Speaker 4: I will admit I didn't think i'd say because I

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Speaker 4: was anti Russ setting into this one like a lot

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Speaker 4: of other people.

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Speaker 2: I didn't know why they made.

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Speaker 4: The change, but they looked really two dimensional today. And

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Speaker 4: if listen, if Mike Tomlin teams are going to score

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Speaker 4: thirty points, they're really never gonna lose, because that is

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Speaker 4: just a recipe for disaster for other teams. They scored

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Speaker 4: thirteen points in the first half, most they had this season,

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Speaker 4: and then you look at the end of the game.

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Speaker 4: I'll give you just a few tie ups here. Jets

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Speaker 4: are scoring fifteen points per game in their four game

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Speaker 4: losing streak. Now, you're not gonna win that way. New

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Speaker 4: York teams now four and thirty two straight up in

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Speaker 4: night games since twenty nineteen. Even with that Jets Patriots

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Speaker 4: win earlier this season, four and thirty two seems impossible,

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Speaker 4: But that's probably what I've seen out of this one.

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Speaker 4: It's just unluckily unlucky from New York's point of view,

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Speaker 4: especially because this would have been an important win going

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Speaker 4: into New England game and then Pittsburgh. Listen, you get

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Speaker 4: the Giants on Monday Night football. Another New York team

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Speaker 4: coming up this weekend, so we get to run it

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Speaker 4: back again.

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Speaker 1: So that new Wait, that New York stat includes Buffalo.

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Speaker 2: No, no, no, no, just Jets and Giants.

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Speaker 1: Jets and Giants. Okay, yeah, well you sit in New York.

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Speaker 1: So I was just making sure.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, good calls included.

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Speaker 1: All right, very good. Yeah, the Bronte Adams had three

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Speaker 1: catches in his debut, and right the Bobbles actually went

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Speaker 1: and the Steelers way. George Pickens finally got going, five grabs,

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Speaker 1: one hundred eleven yards and a touchdown. Najie Harris with

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Speaker 1: the cherry on top. There at the end, Aaron Rodgers

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Speaker 1: playing from behind. Guy sucks, sucks when he's behind. Sorry

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Speaker 1: I'm getting him, truly getting sick of this guy. But anyway, Hey,

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Speaker 1: the networks did their job. They put the Jets on

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Speaker 1: primetime six times in the first eleven weeks. Either let's

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Speaker 1: get these in now to see if they're any bit

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Speaker 1: worth it, or we watch this crash and burn. So

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Speaker 1: you've got two more to worry about. You've got the

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Speaker 1: Texans coming up soon. I think they get Indy on

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Speaker 1: a Sunday night mid November, and that's probably it.

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Speaker 3: But that depends on Halloween. That will be That'll be

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Speaker 3: Halloween for sure.

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Speaker 1: And last note too on Russ. I thought this was

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Speaker 1: actually pretty good analysis and he gets some tidbits there

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Speaker 1: when the game gets out of hand from Collinsworth and

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Speaker 1: Tariico whatever crew you get. They were discussing how the

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Speaker 1: Steelers still have all six division games left, so if

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Speaker 1: they were going to make a change to Russell Wilson,

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Speaker 1: Tom and probably felt the time is now. I want

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Speaker 1: to get this figured out and I want to know

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Speaker 1: who our guy is going into that pivotal point of

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Speaker 1: their schedule. So I thought that was And of course

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Speaker 1: it looks good tonight because they blew off the Jets,

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Speaker 1: but good star for Russell Wilson and the Pittsburgh Steelers.

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Speaker 1: Brandon Anderson, Sorry about the Lynx, Sorry about the Vikings

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Speaker 1: thirty one to twenty nine, the Detroit Yes, the Minnesota

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Speaker 1: Links lost to the New York Liberty the WNBA Finals.

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Speaker 1: Really good sports night tonight on Sunday Night. Credit thirty

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Speaker 1: one twenty nine. The Lions get there. They do. They

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Speaker 1: were short dogs in this game plus one and a half.

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Speaker 1: I think the public the public side was Detroit, Minnesota

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Speaker 1: was right there. Made it compelling. Total goes over fifty

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Speaker 1: and a half.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, look, no, no Vikings jersey for me to that said,

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Speaker 3: I was going to keep on wearing it until they

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Speaker 3: finally broke the streak. Did it? They were almost there.

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Speaker 3: I thought they're going to steal this one, rocking the

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Speaker 3: WNBA hoodie. Awesome season. Tough loss for my links, but

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Speaker 3: congrats to the Liberty first championship. Just awesome finals, awesome

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Speaker 3: season all around. There are lots of fun. Honestly, that's

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Speaker 3: gonna take away from Lions Vikings. I thought to just

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Speaker 3: two really good teams in a really good game. Like

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Speaker 3: you see a final score thirty one twenty nine. You

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Speaker 3: hear me a lot of times say, oh, well, it

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Speaker 3: wasn't as close as it looked, or this team deserved

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Speaker 3: to win. That's pretty much what the score should have been.

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Speaker 3: It feels like this just seemed like two really good,

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Speaker 3: really even teams, and we effectively got a Lion's walk

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Speaker 3: off field goal winner. Like the lines were up a

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Speaker 3: bunch of the game. So Vikings go up ten oh early.

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Speaker 3: Lions go twenty one to nothing in the second quarter,

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Speaker 3: first time really all season the Vikings have trailed. We've

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Speaker 3: been talking about that that we're waiting for to say, Okay,

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Speaker 3: how do you respond? They hung in there, they took

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Speaker 3: the punches, they hung in. Dave Montgomery leaves hurt, returns

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Speaker 3: fumbles the ball, and Ivan Pace touchdown on the fumble swings.

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Speaker 3: The game looks like they're gonna go for Minnesota, and

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Speaker 3: the Lions got the late drive for the field goal.

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Speaker 3: If you had the last unbeaten Chiefs ticket, you cash

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Speaker 3: that one here. Even if they didn't win today, we'll

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Speaker 3: get to them. You cashed either way because you got

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Speaker 3: the game earlier in the day, So you know, I

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Speaker 3: don't have the odds on that. I'm sure the Chiefs

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Speaker 3: were among the favorites the Lions. Even after the Vikings

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Speaker 3: are undefeated all this far, the Lions now leave the division.

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Speaker 3: So that is a bummer for Vikings after such a

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Speaker 3: good start here. I thought, you know, neither quarterback seemed

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Speaker 3: great in this one, but also both were like at

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Speaker 3: ten yards per attempt and higher. Golf fumbled twice, Donald

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Speaker 3: had a bad interception, Both got sacked four times. Look

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Speaker 3: at the advanced metrics, Golf definitely had the better day,

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Speaker 3: like about a half an EPA per play. Donald basically

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Speaker 3: a zero for the day, So I think that a

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Speaker 3: little bit was a difference the Lions passing, I think

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Speaker 3: was what end up winning the day here. But yeah,

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Speaker 3: good showing for Minnesota. This is an opponent that the

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Speaker 3: Vikings has struggled a lot against the last couple of

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Speaker 3: times they've met, so I thought both defenses played pretty

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Speaker 3: well here. If anything, impressive showing for the Lions defense.

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Speaker 3: They hold the Vikings offense to twenty two. Remember one

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Speaker 3: of the touchdowns was that defensive touchdown. Don't forget no

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Speaker 3: Aan Hutchinson. This was a really good spot for Minnesota here,

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Speaker 3: rested off the bye week against Detroit missing Hutchinson shorthanded.

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Speaker 3: This is a really big win. Detroit on the road

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Speaker 3: against an unbeaten team missing your star. This one really

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Speaker 3: matters in the NFC playoff picture. This sets you up

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Speaker 3: for the division. This sets up Detroit to be really

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Speaker 3: in the driver's seat for the NFC one seed at

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Speaker 3: this point. More indoor games for Jared goff as we

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Speaker 3: know how that matters. This really big result. But honestly,

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Speaker 3: two teams that look like they have every chance to

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Speaker 3: meet again, come playoff time and give us another good one, very.

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Speaker 1: Good, good analysis. There, Big Gibbs Saint Brown's breakout games.

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Speaker 1: You mentioned the Montgomery injury. Gibbs was exceptional. That big

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Speaker 1: run really got him going in that game as well.

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Speaker 1: Speaking of a team coming off the bye, there he

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Speaker 1: is again, Patrick Mahomes and Andy Reid as a short

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Speaker 1: underdog off of bye playing the San Francisco forty nine ers.

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Speaker 1: This was only really the only game that was worth

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Speaker 1: your time in the four o'clock window. Injuries. Evan pile

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Speaker 1: up for San Francisco. Deebold, the broadcast showed him looked

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Speaker 1: like he was gonna yack on the field. Au goes down,

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Speaker 1: Pierre Saul making his debut. Not a good day for

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Speaker 1: brock Purty. The Chiefs went outright. Twenty eighteen is short,

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Speaker 1: two and a half point underdogs. Total goes under forty

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Speaker 1: seven and a half.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, we'll try to get through this one, but if

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Speaker 4: you start at the top. I think the question everyone

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Speaker 4: had was the Deebo illness designation and the fact that

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Speaker 4: it looked like he almost couldn't have played the entire

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Speaker 4: game and we didn't know anything about it heading in,

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Speaker 4: So another a little bit of an odd scenario heading

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Speaker 4: in there, but it was kind of the walking dead

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Speaker 4: from San Francisco's point of view when they ended up losing.

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Speaker 4: Ayyuk Deebo's really not out there. I think it's who

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Speaker 4: is it out there? Who's their starting receivers? Basically, Oh,

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Speaker 4: it's Cowing and piersall end up being the one two

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Speaker 4: who ended you know, enter today with zero receptions on

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Speaker 4: the season combined. So at that point you felt like,

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Speaker 4: as a San Francisco backer, probably wasn't gonna go well.

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Speaker 4: And then you see Mahomes throw two interceptions, one probably

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Speaker 4: not his fault, one probably was, but again keeping them

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Speaker 4: in the game and kind of making it a little

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Speaker 4: tight before Party throws three picks and just pulls them

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Speaker 4: out of the game and every opportunity they had. The

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Speaker 4: craziest part about this is I think the injuries from

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Speaker 4: both sides kind of negated the entire game because when

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Speaker 4: you think about it, Casey was running sky Moore, McCole, Hardman,

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Speaker 4: and Justin Watson. That wasn't the plan in the preseason

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Speaker 4: for them to be running trips with those receivers just.

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Speaker 2: Really battle around.

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Speaker 4: I think overall, you look at brock Party last twelve starts,

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Speaker 4: fourteen touchdown passes and just twelve interceptions. Not great and

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Speaker 4: really has been kind of holding back to San Francisco

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Speaker 4: a tiny bit. But you also look at the options

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Speaker 4: he has every week, right, no McCaffrey.

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Speaker 2: Mason's looked unbelievable, but still.

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Speaker 4: No McCaffrey, and Party starts this game two of seven

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Speaker 4: for sixteen yards in an interception in their first five drives, so.

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Speaker 2: Really just nothing overall.

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Speaker 4: I believe it was just a third time Shanahan had

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Speaker 4: gone three and out in one of his first three

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Speaker 4: drive and all of his first three drives. It just

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Speaker 4: wasn't pretty to start the game for them. And then

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Speaker 4: you look at Mahomes again with the two picks. So

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Speaker 4: he has twenty two interceptions now in the regular season

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Speaker 4: since the start of last year, which is the most

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Speaker 4: in the NFL. He is chucking it, and today chucking

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Speaker 4: it more than usual. Because we've been talking about his

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Speaker 4: average depth target. It was down to about between the

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Speaker 4: five and six range, which is the lowest of his

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Speaker 4: career today was eight point six, so at least he

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Speaker 4: was throwing it down the field. He has a bunch

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Speaker 4: of touchdowns downfield this year, which he hadn't had previously

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Speaker 4: without Tyreek Hill in the lineup, so that at least

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Speaker 4: good I think. Looking forward, Kansas City won the turnover battle. Finally,

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Speaker 4: after sixteen games, they finally score more than like twenty

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Speaker 4: seven points, which they hadn't done in a while either.

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Speaker 4: I don't know how Kansas City keeps winning, aside from

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Speaker 4: their defense, aside from their preparation, aside from Mahomes just

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Speaker 4: doing his things like tiptoeing on the sideline and flicking

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Speaker 4: passes crossfield and just doing the magic that only he

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Speaker 4: knows how to do. But Casey is only plus forty

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Speaker 4: three points this season. In margin, they are six and oh.

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Speaker 4: That is, there's only three teams in history that have

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Speaker 4: been six and oh with worse margins than Kansas City's.

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Speaker 4: They just keep figuring out ways to win. The next week,

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Speaker 4: they kind of get their their division rival, which ends

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Speaker 4: up giving them the most.

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Speaker 2: Difficulty, which is the Raiders.

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Speaker 4: So interesting that they're laying ten points in that game,

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Speaker 4: but it just Mahomes eleven and three straight up twelve

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Speaker 4: one and one against the spread as an underdog, best

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Speaker 4: of any quarterback in the Super Bowl era, and the

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Speaker 4: perspective there is even crazier, which is dogs pretty much

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Speaker 4: win thirty two percent of the time and Mahomes is

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Speaker 4: eleven and three in those games. So we'll just keep

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Speaker 4: figuring it out and keep going. But right now, you know,

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Speaker 4: if Kansas City ever had something go right for them,

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Speaker 4: I don't know how they would lose because they're not

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Speaker 4: losing when things aren't going right.

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Speaker 2: So just a wild set of circumstances.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, it's it's weird that this game kind of has

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Speaker 3: the feel that it does the way we're talking about

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Speaker 3: it here. You know, like this is the Super Bowl rematch, right,

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Speaker 3: this is the game that you know, I back in

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Speaker 3: the spring when we did the schedule release, our beloved

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Speaker 3: NFL editor Matt Trebby has me all two hundred and

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Speaker 3: seventy two NFL games in order of how much we

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Speaker 3: want to watch them. You love number on one.

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Speaker 1: You loved every second of it. Don't make it not

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Speaker 1: like ye to do it.

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Speaker 3: I have, of course did. This was the number one game.

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Speaker 3: This is the game that of all the choices. We

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Speaker 3: could have had the rematch, and it just you're watching

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Speaker 3: it's like it's it's like the Sunday afternoon nap red

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Speaker 3: Zone channel. Is this even as things were getting going early?

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Speaker 3: Is this run the ball just kind of chewing up

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Speaker 3: the clock and matriculating the ball down the field. That's

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Speaker 3: kind of just that's kind of what the Patrick Mahomes

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Speaker 3: offense has become. Like it's getting the job done. It

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Speaker 3: just kind of feels like a bummer, to be totally honest,

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Speaker 3: It is not really much analysis. But I don't know

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Speaker 3: for the Niners too. Like so Chiefs obviously at this

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Speaker 3: point are not necessarily headed towards undefeated. But they had

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Speaker 3: a tough schedule early they'd beat Baltimore ready, they beat

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Speaker 3: since he already They to the Chargers that's presumably the

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Speaker 3: toughest division game on the schedule, as much as going

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Speaker 3: to the Chargers as the road game. They get the

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Speaker 3: Niners here, there's not a lot left out there, like

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Speaker 3: even a team that nobody really feels like, is that

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Speaker 3: great in a season where nobody else is that great?

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Speaker 3: When you're starting out unbeaten like this, I don't know,

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Speaker 3: can you like walk to fifteen and two. And does

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Speaker 3: that mean that Andy Reid finally wins Coach of the

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Speaker 3: Year never won it before?

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Speaker 2: That's crazy?

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Speaker 3: What do you have to do to get that? Does

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Speaker 3: that mean that Patrick Mahomes just walks to MVP and

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Speaker 3: a year where we can't really find anyone to do that?

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Speaker 3: On the flip side, the Niners are three and four now,

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Speaker 3: Like I feel like we're kind of just like, oh,

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Speaker 3: you know, well, they're pretty good. The guys are banged up,

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Speaker 3: like we'll see. To put in perspective, the Niners right now,

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Speaker 3: if the season ended, are the eleven seed in the NFC.

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Speaker 3: Their priced right now as a close second favorite. They've

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Speaker 3: been the favorite lines past them now as they should

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Speaker 3: have for today, but they're still like close second favor

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Speaker 3: in the NFC. They're not even close to the playoffs

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Speaker 3: right now. If the season ended. There's a lot of

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Speaker 3: season to go. But there's a lot of tough schedule

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Speaker 3: to go for the Niners too. They've got a bunch

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Speaker 3: of tough games to come. They're losing more bodies. I

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Speaker 3: feel like that's kind of the underreported story of this team,

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Speaker 3: but we we sort of are just assuming it's fine.

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Speaker 3: They seem pretty good. They'll get there. You keep losing games,

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Speaker 3: you might not get.

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Speaker 1: There, losing players too, to your point, just eating at

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Speaker 1: the core. At some point, do you just a strong

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Speaker 1: nucleus that is Shanahan, But when you keep heeling off pieces,

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Speaker 1: you just can't get any continuity. But look, when the

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Speaker 1: conference is in his good, you've got We'll get to

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Speaker 1: Green Bay here at a second. But you get these

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Speaker 1: up and coming teams, maybe Washington at some point, I

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Speaker 1: feel like you're gonna get got. And you've been high

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Speaker 1: on Seattle all year. They gotta win today too, so

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Speaker 1: we'll get to them.

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Speaker 4: The thing that one thing is San Francis minus one

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Speaker 4: seventy to make the playoffs plus one thirty eight. Brandon

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Speaker 4: was on the no playoffs a few weeks ago, which

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Speaker 4: is a much juice to your price, but really just

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Speaker 4: kind of shows you where they are. Right now, here's

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Speaker 4: one more before we move on to the next game,

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Speaker 4: which I thought was really interesting Mahomes and this just

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Speaker 4: proves to he just figures out a way. Is now

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Speaker 4: eight and three straight up in his career when he

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Speaker 4: doesn't throw a passing touchdown.

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Speaker 3: Wow, just unreal.

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Speaker 1: Well, guys, they're they're the Patriots, like they wait, they're

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Speaker 1: the Patriots from the two decades. They wait for the

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Speaker 1: other team to screw up, and they just beast. And

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Speaker 1: then you mentioned the long ball. For the first plays

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Speaker 1: of the second half, he tries to throw it a

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Speaker 1: Worthy and that's just him being like, all right, we

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Speaker 1: gotta get Worthy going, and we know we're gonna need

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Speaker 1: him down the stretch if we don't have no rice

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Speaker 1: the rest of the year. Okay, didn't get it. And

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Speaker 1: then they just figure it out and we're gonna run

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Speaker 1: the ball. And he's just he's mature. There's a matured

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Speaker 1: way that he throws interceptions like Brady threw picks all

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Speaker 1: the time to him big games, and this today I

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Speaker 1: think was suited as a big game anyway. The run too,

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Speaker 1: the longest run of his career down the left sideline today.

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Speaker 1: I couldn't believe that either. I thought for sure, you

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Speaker 1: haven't run longer than that. But yeah, Kansas City Loan

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Speaker 1: unbeaten now in the NFL thanks to the night thanks

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Speaker 1: to the vikings Houston Green Bay. This was a doozy.

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Speaker 1: Packers do win late field goal at the end of

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Speaker 1: the game to win twenty four to twenty two. Houston,

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Speaker 1: though does cover plus two and a half total goes

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Speaker 1: under forty seven and a half.

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Speaker 3: Brandon, Yeah, it should not have really come down to

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Speaker 3: the late field goal. The Packers quite dominated this game.

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Speaker 3: The Texans have under two hundred yards of offense in

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Speaker 3: the game against the Packers' defense that we're not really

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Speaker 3: that sold on yet. Houston has three point four yards

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Speaker 3: per play for the entire game. The Packers turned it

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Speaker 3: over three times, none for Houston and still won the game.

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Speaker 3: Like that's the reason this was even close in the

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Speaker 3: first place. It's a weird game here, Like, this is

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Speaker 3: not a game that we expected. I think both defenses

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Speaker 3: to dominate, and really like the Packers' offense wasn't that

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Speaker 3: great either. They were under three hundred yard themselves at

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Speaker 3: green Bay. Definitely, you know, the expective score here should

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Speaker 3: be more in green Bay's favor. But you know, Jordan

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Speaker 3: Love kind of we're getting the whole Jordan Love experience

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Speaker 3: now we talk about Jordan Love plays like Mahomes. Oh

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Speaker 3: maybe it does, just this year. Mahomes that's not quite

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Speaker 3: playing like the normal Patrick Mahomes. Three touchdowns for Jordan Love,

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Speaker 3: two interceptions for Jordan Love similar to mahomes one rarely

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Speaker 3: not his fault, it's a drop, but either way, they

402
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Speaker 3: keep racking up. I like Jordan Love for MVP odds.

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Speaker 3: I like the touchdowns. He's throwing three touchdowns a game,

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Speaker 3: but he's still throwing an interception every single start. He's

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Speaker 3: averaging more than an interception and a half per game.

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Speaker 3: That matters for the MVP thing too. You can't make

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Speaker 3: those mistakes. Love still make the mistakes.

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Speaker 2: CJ.

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Speaker 3: Strouds become an MVP hype. This was supposed to be

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Speaker 3: an MVP showdown ceg just Stroud finishes under fifty percent

411
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Speaker 3: completion ten of twenty one for eighty six yards. Eighty

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Speaker 3: six yards for the entire game, four point one yards

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Speaker 3: of pass, four sacks. All the advanced metrics are bad

414
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Speaker 3: minus fifteen completion over expectation, minus point two eightypa per play.

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Speaker 3: The whole thing with Houston we know is that they

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Speaker 3: have not been good on early downs and then CJ

417
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Speaker 3: bails them out late. Well, they actually ran the ball

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Speaker 3: a little bit. This game mix in gets one hundred

419
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Speaker 3: plus yards couple scores. It's really not that great. Twenty

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Speaker 3: five carries to get your one fifteen. That's fine, that's

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Speaker 3: old school football. It's Bobby slowks school football. But CJ

422
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Speaker 3: didn't get the bailout plays. Your leading receiver on the

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Speaker 3: game is Dalton Schultz one catch for twenty eight yards.

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Speaker 3: I think they missed Nico Collins. I think that's what

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Speaker 3: we're seeing a lot here is Nico is was the

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Speaker 3: start in this team, and that offense just isn't isn't

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Speaker 3: what I think the market is crediting it for. They're

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Speaker 3: five and two after the loss, I still think it's

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Speaker 3: a pretty froddy five and two team. And for folks watching,

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Speaker 3: I'll be coming back to the Texans when we can

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Speaker 3: get to the.

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Speaker 1: Hot read excellent tank Dell goose Egg today as well.

433
00:22:11,840 --> 00:22:13,560
Speaker 1: Straw made some throws at the end of the game.

434
00:22:13,640 --> 00:22:16,720
Speaker 1: I think I thought a few, not many, a few

435
00:22:17,800 --> 00:22:20,720
Speaker 1: some winning kind of plays, but Jordan Love puts some

436
00:22:20,800 --> 00:22:24,640
Speaker 1: in position. The Packers win, but the Texans cover at

437
00:22:24,640 --> 00:22:27,480
Speaker 1: the last second. If you want access to all of

438
00:22:27,720 --> 00:22:30,720
Speaker 1: Actions Pro Projections, make sure to sign up for our

439
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Speaker 1: annual subscription that is currently on sale. Access includes exclusive

440
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441
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Speaker 1: the Action Analytics team. You'll also get access to exclusive

442
00:22:42,240 --> 00:22:45,080
Speaker 1: expert articles are best spread moneyline in total bets, and

443
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Speaker 1: real ticket and money percentages. To sign up, visit actionnetwork

444
00:22:49,119 --> 00:22:53,080
Speaker 1: dot com slash pro today and use the code live twenty.

445
00:22:53,160 --> 00:22:56,120
Speaker 1: It's sign up one more time. That's Live twenty at

446
00:22:56,200 --> 00:22:59,000
Speaker 1: sign up for twenty dollars off. We'll work our way

447
00:22:59,000 --> 00:23:03,640
Speaker 1: through the slates more branded back to you. Seattle Seahawks

448
00:23:03,800 --> 00:23:07,560
Speaker 1: thirty four to fourteen over the Atlanta Falcons. Seattle was

449
00:23:07,600 --> 00:23:10,320
Speaker 1: a three point dog once this kicked off. The total

450
00:23:10,800 --> 00:23:13,200
Speaker 1: did go under fifty one and a half. We had

451
00:23:13,359 --> 00:23:15,800
Speaker 1: scoring there, the big Metcalf touchdown right before the end

452
00:23:15,840 --> 00:23:18,560
Speaker 1: of the half. Walker was good in this game. Gino

453
00:23:18,680 --> 00:23:20,359
Speaker 1: Smith kind of let you down. Really, I guess we

454
00:23:20,400 --> 00:23:22,160
Speaker 1: got to blame Atlanta because I didn't keep this game

455
00:23:22,200 --> 00:23:23,000
Speaker 1: all that compelling.

456
00:23:23,840 --> 00:23:27,240
Speaker 3: Yeah, Gino is dealing in the first half. Lightened up completions,

457
00:23:27,280 --> 00:23:29,840
Speaker 3: attempts almost two hundred yards at the half. I'm on

458
00:23:29,880 --> 00:23:32,960
Speaker 3: the Geno Escalator. I'm like, Lorie Town, Let's just ride

459
00:23:33,040 --> 00:23:36,320
Speaker 3: this all the way. We got this seventeen to fourteen.

460
00:23:36,440 --> 00:23:39,720
Speaker 3: Early in the second half. Atlanta just falls apart. After

461
00:23:39,800 --> 00:23:43,200
Speaker 3: that they get the defensive touchdown for Seattle. This score

462
00:23:43,240 --> 00:23:46,119
Speaker 3: line is really not super representative of the game. The

463
00:23:46,200 --> 00:23:49,240
Speaker 3: stats are pretty close here. You could argue the stats

464
00:23:49,240 --> 00:23:51,720
Speaker 3: I might even favor Atlanta depending on which things you

465
00:23:51,760 --> 00:23:54,280
Speaker 3: want to measure. Here certainly doesn't look like a twenty

466
00:23:54,359 --> 00:23:56,480
Speaker 3: point game if you just look at some of the numbers.

467
00:23:57,080 --> 00:23:59,520
Speaker 3: But Gino ended up not having to throw that much

468
00:24:00,200 --> 00:24:03,160
Speaker 3: and half. He's looking really good though. I still he's

469
00:24:03,200 --> 00:24:05,880
Speaker 3: over twelve yards averaged up the target on this one,

470
00:24:05,960 --> 00:24:08,680
Speaker 3: just chucking it down the field. They're having him throw

471
00:24:08,720 --> 00:24:11,200
Speaker 3: a lot when they need to, and they're still gonna

472
00:24:11,240 --> 00:24:13,320
Speaker 3: need to the defense to play better. Here. We finally

473
00:24:13,320 --> 00:24:15,840
Speaker 3: got a little bit of health back after their three

474
00:24:16,480 --> 00:24:19,800
Speaker 3: games and eleven day stretch, so I think this was

475
00:24:19,840 --> 00:24:23,800
Speaker 3: big to get back on track here. I still like Seattle, man.

476
00:24:23,960 --> 00:24:26,159
Speaker 3: I still think this is a really good team and

477
00:24:26,240 --> 00:24:29,520
Speaker 3: the defense is pretty good. I think Gino Smith is

478
00:24:29,560 --> 00:24:33,240
Speaker 3: still worth just taking a little peek at for MVP status,

479
00:24:33,280 --> 00:24:36,520
Speaker 3: Like he is leading the league still in completions, attempts,

480
00:24:36,640 --> 00:24:39,680
Speaker 3: passing yards. He is making all those throws. It is

481
00:24:39,720 --> 00:24:42,919
Speaker 3: an open race. I think Seattle is at least a

482
00:24:42,960 --> 00:24:45,480
Speaker 3: ten win team. I think they get to like eleven twelve.

483
00:24:46,640 --> 00:24:49,560
Speaker 3: They're in this thing, and if the race stays open

484
00:24:50,280 --> 00:24:52,080
Speaker 3: the way he's playing, we're at like one hundred to one,

485
00:24:52,080 --> 00:24:55,560
Speaker 3: one hundred and twenty to one. That's a long shot. Obviously,

486
00:24:56,080 --> 00:24:58,000
Speaker 3: I think he is a long shot. I just think

487
00:24:58,040 --> 00:25:00,159
Speaker 3: not quite that long of a long shot can ding

488
00:25:00,200 --> 00:25:02,800
Speaker 3: to some of the other names in that range. Big picture,

489
00:25:03,520 --> 00:25:07,080
Speaker 3: really big win for Seattle here. Both teams come into

490
00:25:07,119 --> 00:25:09,960
Speaker 3: the day three and they're not now both four and three.

491
00:25:10,480 --> 00:25:12,679
Speaker 3: This is a typewreat game. Come the end of the season.

492
00:25:12,680 --> 00:25:14,400
Speaker 3: These are teams that might end up in the same

493
00:25:14,800 --> 00:25:19,000
Speaker 3: race for the same wild card spots. And as much

494
00:25:19,000 --> 00:25:21,240
Speaker 3: as we can of are like, oh, okay, Atlanta figured

495
00:25:21,240 --> 00:25:24,720
Speaker 3: things out right. Atlanta is fine. They started terrible. Kirk Cousins,

496
00:25:24,720 --> 00:25:28,080
Speaker 3: we remember the game one has been good, not great.

497
00:25:28,080 --> 00:25:33,399
Speaker 3: This game three sacks, lost to fumble, two interceptions. Atlanta's

498
00:25:33,440 --> 00:25:36,720
Speaker 3: played five home games already, five of the next seven

499
00:25:36,800 --> 00:25:39,360
Speaker 3: games around the road. We've talked a lot about, oh,

500
00:25:39,359 --> 00:25:41,960
Speaker 3: it's the cushy schedule. Yeah, well you're still gonna go

501
00:25:42,080 --> 00:25:44,000
Speaker 3: on the road. Like the home road thing has not

502
00:25:44,040 --> 00:25:46,440
Speaker 3: really been a part of that. They've got a couple

503
00:25:46,560 --> 00:25:49,560
Speaker 3: tough ones coming. Four and three there's a lot of

504
00:25:49,640 --> 00:25:54,760
Speaker 3: winning records in the NFC. Atlanta plays in Tampa Bay game.

505
00:25:54,800 --> 00:25:58,800
Speaker 3: We just watched a fireworks shootout a couple Thursday nights ago.

506
00:26:00,240 --> 00:26:03,159
Speaker 3: Probably shouldn't have won that one, but did. If they

507
00:26:03,200 --> 00:26:05,560
Speaker 3: don't win this week, the season that was starting to

508
00:26:05,560 --> 00:26:08,720
Speaker 3: look pretty good might be quickly moving back the other way.

509
00:26:09,359 --> 00:26:12,639
Speaker 3: And yeah, this is a disappointing result for them. They

510
00:26:12,640 --> 00:26:15,040
Speaker 3: should have lost by as much. But it's not a

511
00:26:15,040 --> 00:26:15,920
Speaker 3: great one for Atlanta.

512
00:26:16,320 --> 00:26:18,120
Speaker 1: They ran the ball well. I thought Robinson was good

513
00:26:18,119 --> 00:26:20,240
Speaker 1: first half. They ran the ball pretty well. Seattle couldn't

514
00:26:20,240 --> 00:26:22,000
Speaker 1: stop a nosebley when it came to the run game.

515
00:26:22,040 --> 00:26:23,760
Speaker 3: But yeah, what.

516
00:26:23,760 --> 00:26:27,080
Speaker 4: Happened to that metcalf injury? I honestly didn't see what happened.

517
00:26:27,080 --> 00:26:28,119
Speaker 4: He got carted off, didn't he.

518
00:26:29,119 --> 00:26:31,080
Speaker 3: I don't think he got carted. I know that he

519
00:26:31,119 --> 00:26:31,520
Speaker 3: ended up.

520
00:26:31,680 --> 00:26:33,280
Speaker 1: He was on a cart, he was on a car.

521
00:26:33,640 --> 00:26:34,840
Speaker 3: Okay, Yeah, I.

522
00:26:34,840 --> 00:26:36,080
Speaker 2: Just didn't see what the post said.

523
00:26:36,119 --> 00:26:39,840
Speaker 4: But either way, like that is obviously a massive situation

524
00:26:39,920 --> 00:26:41,560
Speaker 4: you just watch for Yeah.

525
00:26:41,359 --> 00:26:45,119
Speaker 1: For sure, Yeah I didn't hear or see it's an

526
00:26:45,160 --> 00:26:50,480
Speaker 1: injured knee, got it. But yeah, we'll get back to

527
00:26:50,520 --> 00:26:54,640
Speaker 1: that because I can try to find something here, Mike

528
00:26:54,720 --> 00:26:58,760
Speaker 1: McDonald said early word as Metcalf may have escaped anything serious.

529
00:26:59,000 --> 00:26:59,200
Speaker 4: Yeah.

530
00:26:59,200 --> 00:27:01,000
Speaker 2: They played Buffalo next week, so we could use some

531
00:27:01,040 --> 00:27:01,840
Speaker 2: offense probably.

532
00:27:02,240 --> 00:27:04,320
Speaker 3: Yeah, yeah, I get some points on that one. Yeah.

533
00:27:04,359 --> 00:27:06,920
Speaker 1: Here's a quote from Mike McDonald on the sideline catch.

534
00:27:06,920 --> 00:27:09,639
Speaker 1: He banged up his knee. Not sure the severity were optimistic,

535
00:27:09,720 --> 00:27:10,400
Speaker 1: doesn't look bad.

536
00:27:11,240 --> 00:27:13,320
Speaker 3: Yeah, I think I remember see him kind of moving

537
00:27:13,320 --> 00:27:15,400
Speaker 3: around on the sideline. But you know, you're up twenty,

538
00:27:15,520 --> 00:27:17,200
Speaker 3: so you don't necessarily need to get him back out there.

539
00:27:17,200 --> 00:27:18,880
Speaker 3: You're not passing it there. Yeah.

540
00:27:18,920 --> 00:27:22,960
Speaker 1: Well, he didn't look very happy, meaning like why do

541
00:27:23,040 --> 00:27:24,480
Speaker 1: I have to come out of the game kind of thing,

542
00:27:24,480 --> 00:27:26,680
Speaker 1: which I know that sounds obvious, but it looked like

543
00:27:26,760 --> 00:27:29,199
Speaker 1: he wanted to stay out there, is my point. He

544
00:27:29,320 --> 00:27:33,760
Speaker 1: wasn't upset that he really hurt himself. London game this morning,

545
00:27:35,040 --> 00:27:38,680
Speaker 1: Drake May and the Patriots fall to the Jacksonville Jaguars

546
00:27:38,680 --> 00:27:41,719
Speaker 1: thirty two to sixteen. This closed at seven, right, This

547
00:27:41,760 --> 00:27:46,000
Speaker 1: closed the line closed at seven Jacksonville minus seven. This

548
00:27:46,119 --> 00:27:47,800
Speaker 1: was competitive. New England got out to a ten to

549
00:27:47,840 --> 00:27:51,640
Speaker 1: nothing lead and then it all fell apart on the.

550
00:27:51,880 --> 00:27:54,000
Speaker 2: This is on the verge I was looking it up early.

551
00:27:54,080 --> 00:27:56,040
Speaker 4: This would have been the second biggest upset in an

552
00:27:56,080 --> 00:27:59,359
Speaker 4: international game, so that was kind of fun that I

553
00:27:59,400 --> 00:28:01,960
Speaker 4: was looking at her. But obviously, like you said, all

554
00:28:02,000 --> 00:28:05,400
Speaker 4: turned around very quickly. The most interesting thing you'll probably

555
00:28:05,400 --> 00:28:07,560
Speaker 4: know about this game from just a gambling point of view,

556
00:28:07,720 --> 00:28:10,160
Speaker 4: and Brandon's talked about this at nauseam, is the fact

557
00:28:10,160 --> 00:28:12,920
Speaker 4: that they both play next week without a bye coming

558
00:28:12,960 --> 00:28:16,160
Speaker 4: off the London game, which is just a tough situation overall,

559
00:28:16,240 --> 00:28:19,200
Speaker 4: especially early game, and you know, all different types of

560
00:28:19,200 --> 00:28:21,359
Speaker 4: stuff that we'll write about this week, but just a

561
00:28:21,400 --> 00:28:24,720
Speaker 4: tough spot. Jets at New England next week, Green Bay

562
00:28:24,840 --> 00:28:25,840
Speaker 4: at Jacksonville.

563
00:28:25,920 --> 00:28:27,440
Speaker 2: So just to be aware of there.

564
00:28:28,200 --> 00:28:30,560
Speaker 4: What you're gonna take away away from a New England

565
00:28:30,640 --> 00:28:33,360
Speaker 4: point of view is just Drake May is clearly the future.

566
00:28:33,480 --> 00:28:36,080
Speaker 4: He I actually does just look good and the result

567
00:28:36,160 --> 00:28:38,320
Speaker 4: doesn't matter. If anything, the result is better for New

568
00:28:38,320 --> 00:28:42,000
Speaker 4: England rather lose the game and him look good because

569
00:28:42,040 --> 00:28:43,960
Speaker 4: you know what your futures like. But two hundred and

570
00:28:44,000 --> 00:28:48,240
Speaker 4: seventy five yards, two touchdowns, no picks, first quarterback in

571
00:28:48,280 --> 00:28:50,200
Speaker 4: New England to do that in almost two full years.

572
00:28:50,800 --> 00:28:53,120
Speaker 4: He also did an eight point zero averaged up the target,

573
00:28:53,160 --> 00:28:55,400
Speaker 4: which is fantastic for a rookie to be able to

574
00:28:55,440 --> 00:28:58,560
Speaker 4: just go downfield. I mean, Jacksonville's defense couldn't look more

575
00:28:58,600 --> 00:29:02,040
Speaker 4: Swiss cheese and porus. I mean that first touchdown, nobody

576
00:29:02,080 --> 00:29:04,840
Speaker 4: seemed like they wanted to tackle, and that continued most

577
00:29:04,880 --> 00:29:07,600
Speaker 4: of the game. But Jacksonville is just a better all

578
00:29:07,640 --> 00:29:10,800
Speaker 4: around team at this point, while they're laying seven against

579
00:29:10,800 --> 00:29:14,240
Speaker 4: a team like New England. The one funny one which

580
00:29:14,280 --> 00:29:15,920
Speaker 4: I had to look up since in England did start

581
00:29:15,920 --> 00:29:18,560
Speaker 4: this game up ten nothing. They were seventy four and

582
00:29:18,720 --> 00:29:20,120
Speaker 4: one straight up, leading by.

583
00:29:20,040 --> 00:29:21,640
Speaker 2: Ten plus points since twenty sixteen.

584
00:29:22,560 --> 00:29:27,240
Speaker 4: Now obviously a Brady centric stat there, but kind of

585
00:29:27,240 --> 00:29:28,600
Speaker 4: funny in the sense that they did.

586
00:29:28,400 --> 00:29:30,280
Speaker 2: Look good early and blew the lead.

587
00:29:30,680 --> 00:29:34,200
Speaker 4: And the ones that you'll know overall favorites just continue

588
00:29:34,200 --> 00:29:37,120
Speaker 4: to roll international games. They are now thirty six eleven

589
00:29:37,160 --> 00:29:40,160
Speaker 4: and one straight up thirty two and sixteen against the

590
00:29:40,200 --> 00:29:44,400
Speaker 4: spread international games, including nine to two ats last eleven.

591
00:29:44,480 --> 00:29:47,480
Speaker 4: So the better team usually wins in these neutral site

592
00:29:47,560 --> 00:29:52,240
Speaker 4: and it had happened again today and the end of London,

593
00:29:52,400 --> 00:29:53,800
Speaker 4: so no more London this season.

594
00:29:53,840 --> 00:29:54,520
Speaker 2: We are done.

595
00:29:54,720 --> 00:29:58,200
Speaker 4: But don't get too sad. We still have one Germany

596
00:29:58,240 --> 00:30:01,440
Speaker 4: game coming up, and we are sending our best overseas

597
00:30:01,520 --> 00:30:05,280
Speaker 4: because it'll be the Panthers facing the Giants, and I

598
00:30:05,320 --> 00:30:08,280
Speaker 4: hope everybody gets their brats ready. That's gonna be some

599
00:30:08,440 --> 00:30:10,000
Speaker 4: terrible football out there.

600
00:30:11,160 --> 00:30:15,360
Speaker 1: I appreciate the optimism, but regarding the Patriots, that is.

601
00:30:15,440 --> 00:30:17,320
Speaker 1: Oh I met that game and the Patriots, but.

602
00:30:17,840 --> 00:30:18,960
Speaker 2: Sure, yeah.

603
00:30:19,000 --> 00:30:20,560
Speaker 4: I mean, if you're in New England and I know

604
00:30:20,680 --> 00:30:23,200
Speaker 4: I'm curious your opinion, I have to be optimistic. Like

605
00:30:23,520 --> 00:30:25,840
Speaker 4: you knew this was gonna go one way. You thought

606
00:30:25,880 --> 00:30:28,760
Speaker 4: you started the year with Prissette, which was a stable

607
00:30:28,880 --> 00:30:31,240
Speaker 4: quarterback that you thought might look good and didn't looked

608
00:30:32,040 --> 00:30:35,760
Speaker 4: I thought much worse than he had previously. And Drake

609
00:30:35,840 --> 00:30:39,920
Speaker 4: may looks very competent and obviously making mistakes in certain areas,

610
00:30:40,120 --> 00:30:41,280
Speaker 4: but it's his second start.

611
00:30:42,560 --> 00:30:44,880
Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm thrilled about the quarterback. I just think the

612
00:30:44,960 --> 00:30:49,040
Speaker 1: roster's really bad. Yeah, and Jalen Paul had some issues

613
00:30:49,080 --> 00:30:54,560
Speaker 1: in this game. Look, Jacoby Brissett I didn't think was

614
00:30:54,600 --> 00:30:57,880
Speaker 1: the best bridge option, but Mayo call the team soft

615
00:30:57,960 --> 00:31:00,480
Speaker 1: after the game, called him out because any he's starting

616
00:31:00,480 --> 00:31:02,760
Speaker 1: to feel it a bit. I don't know if I

617
00:31:02,800 --> 00:31:05,160
Speaker 1: love Alex Van Pelt either. I think the quarterback is

618
00:31:05,520 --> 00:31:08,880
Speaker 1: making more plays certainly, but yeah, I don't want to

619
00:31:08,880 --> 00:31:11,000
Speaker 1: spend too much time on it. But yeah, here, we're

620
00:31:11,040 --> 00:31:13,800
Speaker 1: just another one of those teams. And I admit I

621
00:31:14,280 --> 00:31:18,959
Speaker 1: was spoiled for two decades so and I'm in my thirties,

622
00:31:19,000 --> 00:31:22,320
Speaker 1: so I've never seen bad bad Okay, so I'm lucky.

623
00:31:22,560 --> 00:31:24,640
Speaker 1: But we're just another one of those teams. We need

624
00:31:24,680 --> 00:31:27,120
Speaker 1: the quarterback to save our ass. That's where we're at.

625
00:31:27,160 --> 00:31:27,840
Speaker 2: All I'll say is this.

626
00:31:28,040 --> 00:31:30,040
Speaker 4: I hope I get the full touchdown because I'll be

627
00:31:30,040 --> 00:31:31,920
Speaker 4: betting New England against the Jets next week.

628
00:31:32,280 --> 00:31:35,840
Speaker 1: And shout out Brandon Anderson giving out two Drake May touchdowns,

629
00:31:35,840 --> 00:31:38,560
Speaker 1: not one two at plus two fifty and the Best

630
00:31:38,560 --> 00:31:43,040
Speaker 1: Bets pod that cashed. That was fun to watch. Bengals

631
00:31:43,360 --> 00:31:48,560
Speaker 1: and Browns. The Bengals win twenty one to fourteen Cincinnati

632
00:31:48,600 --> 00:31:50,640
Speaker 1: minus five and a half. That delivered. I know a

633
00:31:50,640 --> 00:31:53,400
Speaker 1: lot of folks had the Browns had them plus six

634
00:31:53,880 --> 00:31:57,160
Speaker 1: total goes under. Maybe the story of this game was

635
00:31:57,200 --> 00:32:02,000
Speaker 1: what happened after the game and Jameis Winston other players

636
00:32:02,000 --> 00:32:05,600
Speaker 1: speaking out regarding to Sean Watson, who had a scary

637
00:32:05,680 --> 00:32:07,680
Speaker 1: moment in that game they had to go to the

638
00:32:07,720 --> 00:32:11,280
Speaker 1: next quarterback on the roster, Brandon your thoughts.

639
00:32:12,880 --> 00:32:17,200
Speaker 3: Yeah, what are my thoughts? Deshaun Watson torn Achilles for

640
00:32:17,240 --> 00:32:22,240
Speaker 3: the season. Yeah, simply hate to see it. Jameis Winston

641
00:32:22,480 --> 00:32:26,160
Speaker 3: gets gets benched to QB three before the game. That's

642
00:32:26,200 --> 00:32:28,560
Speaker 3: the news that comes out like an hour before kickout.

643
00:32:28,800 --> 00:32:30,920
Speaker 1: Like, okay, I didn't know that. I was curious as

644
00:32:30,960 --> 00:32:32,440
Speaker 1: to why they went to Donovan People's jones.

645
00:32:32,480 --> 00:32:35,000
Speaker 3: I did not know. Okay, Well, see, I believe he

646
00:32:35,120 --> 00:32:37,720
Speaker 3: was the emergency quarterback. I believe that he only got

647
00:32:37,720 --> 00:32:43,360
Speaker 3: to play because Dan Thompson Robinson.

648
00:32:43,160 --> 00:32:47,880
Speaker 1: What do say play for Cleveland?

649
00:32:50,240 --> 00:32:53,120
Speaker 3: The hyphen in names? Yeah, I don't. I don't know

650
00:32:53,280 --> 00:32:56,000
Speaker 3: like it. It seemed like what's spilled out after the

651
00:32:56,000 --> 00:32:58,760
Speaker 3: game was probably what had led up to that before

652
00:32:58,800 --> 00:33:01,560
Speaker 3: the game. But I remember raising an eyebrow when we

653
00:33:01,600 --> 00:33:05,640
Speaker 3: saw that. So then, I mean, look, dtr comes in

654
00:33:06,040 --> 00:33:09,120
Speaker 3: eleven of twenty four eighty two yards, two picks, a fumble,

655
00:33:09,240 --> 00:33:12,720
Speaker 3: three point four yards per attempt, not an NFL quarterback, Like,

656
00:33:12,960 --> 00:33:16,320
Speaker 3: it's just not gonna go. Well, I've been awaiting for

657
00:33:16,480 --> 00:33:20,320
Speaker 3: Jamis to come in. Jamis does come in because DTR

658
00:33:20,400 --> 00:33:23,960
Speaker 3: gets hurt too, gets a touchdown drive. Suddenly we actually

659
00:33:24,000 --> 00:33:26,320
Speaker 3: have a game late, Like at this game was nothing

660
00:33:26,440 --> 00:33:28,640
Speaker 3: of any note on the red zone channel er anywhere

661
00:33:28,680 --> 00:33:31,200
Speaker 3: the entire time, and so it's like, oh, we got

662
00:33:31,240 --> 00:33:33,120
Speaker 3: like an onside kick and a chance to win late.

663
00:33:34,080 --> 00:33:37,000
Speaker 3: I'm kind of intrigued by the Browns. If Jameis Winston

664
00:33:37,120 --> 00:33:40,720
Speaker 3: plays for them, it's a clear upgrade to me. Deshaun

665
00:33:40,720 --> 00:33:44,160
Speaker 3: Watson has been awful. There are many many people in

666
00:33:44,200 --> 00:33:47,520
Speaker 3: Cleveland who will be quite happy to have knocked Deshaun

667
00:33:47,560 --> 00:33:52,320
Speaker 3: Watson playing quarterback for the team. But season's gone at

668
00:33:52,320 --> 00:33:55,640
Speaker 3: this point, Like you're not saving much here. Do you

669
00:33:55,720 --> 00:33:58,880
Speaker 3: want Jameis Winston to play you to a couple of

670
00:33:58,920 --> 00:34:02,280
Speaker 3: wins if there's a locker room unsettled on top of it,

671
00:34:02,800 --> 00:34:06,800
Speaker 3: or do you just want to quote develop DTR, see

672
00:34:06,800 --> 00:34:09,040
Speaker 3: how the season goes. See if you get set up

673
00:34:09,040 --> 00:34:10,879
Speaker 3: for a nice hide draft pick for next year, that's

674
00:34:10,920 --> 00:34:14,879
Speaker 3: probably the better move for the franchise. Nick Chubb back

675
00:34:14,880 --> 00:34:17,759
Speaker 3: from that gruesome knee injury we all saw, gets into

676
00:34:17,840 --> 00:34:21,040
Speaker 3: the end zone. You love to see that. Bengals give

677
00:34:21,040 --> 00:34:24,239
Speaker 3: their first win in Cleveland since twenty seventeen. Obviously, all

678
00:34:24,280 --> 00:34:28,480
Speaker 3: the Cleveland stuff is the conversation here. Quietly, a terrible

679
00:34:28,520 --> 00:34:31,279
Speaker 3: game for the Bengals. They get the win two of

680
00:34:31,360 --> 00:34:34,080
Speaker 3: thirteen on third down with two hundred and twenty three yards.

681
00:34:34,320 --> 00:34:37,000
Speaker 3: There's nothing good happening here. The run game is bad.

682
00:34:37,440 --> 00:34:40,680
Speaker 3: Joe Burrow really average. They returned the opening kickoff for

683
00:34:40,680 --> 00:34:43,120
Speaker 3: a touchdown against the Browns. You should win that game

684
00:34:43,160 --> 00:34:45,560
Speaker 3: by thirty like you've been gifted a seven l lead

685
00:34:45,640 --> 00:34:50,120
Speaker 3: against Cleveland. Congratulations, and you know we're still in this

686
00:34:50,239 --> 00:34:54,120
Speaker 3: till the very ends. So credit to winning ugly. They

687
00:34:54,120 --> 00:34:56,480
Speaker 3: beat the Giants last week pretty ugly. They beat the

688
00:34:56,480 --> 00:34:59,359
Speaker 3: Browns today pretty ugly. You're back to three and four

689
00:35:00,560 --> 00:35:03,680
Speaker 3: Bengals Eagles next week. It's a fraud off. We gotta

690
00:35:03,719 --> 00:35:07,279
Speaker 3: see if anyone can do anything between these teams. It's

691
00:35:07,360 --> 00:35:10,560
Speaker 3: kind of quietly a pretty big game, like somebody, please

692
00:35:11,560 --> 00:35:15,719
Speaker 3: be good, be something in the NFL. Maybe we'll find

693
00:35:15,719 --> 00:35:16,399
Speaker 3: out next week.

694
00:35:17,000 --> 00:35:21,440
Speaker 1: Okay, I can't believe I call it Donovan Peoples Jones.

695
00:35:21,600 --> 00:35:25,160
Speaker 1: That's that's funny. Uh, Philadelphia plus two and a half

696
00:35:25,200 --> 00:35:28,200
Speaker 1: at Cincinnati one o'clock window next week. All right, we'll

697
00:35:28,239 --> 00:35:30,520
Speaker 1: go rapid fire these next five and then we'll get

698
00:35:30,520 --> 00:35:35,400
Speaker 1: to Monday night and Brandon's Hot Reed. Indy Miami sixteen

699
00:35:35,400 --> 00:35:38,720
Speaker 1: to ten Colts Indy covers minus three total under forty

700
00:35:38,719 --> 00:35:39,360
Speaker 1: three and a half.

701
00:35:40,840 --> 00:35:41,000
Speaker 2: Yeah.

702
00:35:41,000 --> 00:35:43,520
Speaker 3: I don't know how Anthony richards how bad you have

703
00:35:43,560 --> 00:35:45,959
Speaker 3: to be as Anthony Richards in to be the worst

704
00:35:46,040 --> 00:35:49,040
Speaker 3: quarterback on the field in a game featuring Tyler Huntley

705
00:35:49,080 --> 00:35:52,560
Speaker 3: and Tim Boyle. That's my question here. Note he did

706
00:35:52,640 --> 00:35:55,359
Speaker 3: run the ball fourteen times only twenty one his first

707
00:35:55,360 --> 00:35:58,520
Speaker 3: four games, so maybe he canine that for props and stats.

708
00:35:59,200 --> 00:36:03,279
Speaker 3: Colts get the way, but not convincingly. Huntley leaves hurt,

709
00:36:03,320 --> 00:36:06,200
Speaker 3: Tim Boyle comes in toua maybe back next week. We'll

710
00:36:06,200 --> 00:36:08,839
Speaker 3: come back to this team as well. We'll come back

711
00:36:08,840 --> 00:36:11,960
Speaker 3: to both these teams. Actually had no attention on this

712
00:36:12,040 --> 00:36:14,480
Speaker 3: game today, but they're both going to be in the

713
00:36:14,480 --> 00:36:18,400
Speaker 3: Hot Reed next week. Colts are four and three. I

714
00:36:18,440 --> 00:36:20,560
Speaker 3: feel like you kind of downgrade them after this game.

715
00:36:20,640 --> 00:36:24,560
Speaker 3: Not super exciting, but they're four and three at Houston

716
00:36:24,719 --> 00:36:27,879
Speaker 3: next week, high for the division lead if they will win.

717
00:36:29,040 --> 00:36:34,200
Speaker 1: Same all right, Rams get by against the Vegas Raiders

718
00:36:34,200 --> 00:36:36,879
Speaker 1: twenty to fifteen. Vegas has cover plus seven and a half.

719
00:36:36,880 --> 00:36:38,799
Speaker 1: It was a field goal fest, just throwing to Brock

720
00:36:38,880 --> 00:36:42,120
Speaker 1: Bauers and Tyron william Ran in the kyon Williams, excuse me,

721
00:36:42,400 --> 00:36:43,319
Speaker 1: rain in a couple eleven.

722
00:36:43,760 --> 00:36:45,040
Speaker 2: Yeah, this is a terrible game.

723
00:36:45,239 --> 00:36:47,560
Speaker 4: That's my first note on this because overall this is

724
00:36:47,640 --> 00:36:51,120
Speaker 4: just an awful watch. But as happened in the afternoon,

725
00:36:51,120 --> 00:36:53,680
Speaker 4: slight's a lot of quarterback injuries. So O'Connell goes down,

726
00:36:53,800 --> 00:36:57,160
Speaker 4: Minshew comes in. Then the Raiders listen to this one ready.

727
00:36:57,200 --> 00:36:58,880
Speaker 4: This is the stat of the game in my opinion.

728
00:36:58,960 --> 00:37:04,399
Speaker 4: So they have four turnovers, ten penalties, and zero can

729
00:37:05,040 --> 00:37:07,520
Speaker 4: touchdowns in the red zone, oh for two, and they

730
00:37:07,560 --> 00:37:11,120
Speaker 4: covered the spread like that to me, overall teams in

731
00:37:11,160 --> 00:37:15,279
Speaker 4: that spot two thirty six and one ats in that

732
00:37:15,360 --> 00:37:17,879
Speaker 4: spot last thirty nine games since two thousand and one.

733
00:37:18,600 --> 00:37:19,960
Speaker 2: So just an.

734
00:37:20,000 --> 00:37:22,040
Speaker 4: Unreal game to be able to cover the number. If

735
00:37:22,040 --> 00:37:25,320
Speaker 4: you're on Vegas' side of it. If you're the Rams side,

736
00:37:25,400 --> 00:37:28,680
Speaker 4: congratulations you won the game. The thing that keeps happening

737
00:37:28,719 --> 00:37:31,000
Speaker 4: with them is twenty five and eight straight up.

738
00:37:31,080 --> 00:37:34,440
Speaker 2: McVeigh and Stafford is a favorite. Five and fourteen straight up.

739
00:37:34,440 --> 00:37:37,319
Speaker 4: As underdogs, they just continue to play their role and

740
00:37:37,360 --> 00:37:40,640
Speaker 4: figure out a way you said. Kyrin Williams ninth straight

741
00:37:40,719 --> 00:37:44,440
Speaker 4: game of ninth straight and ninth straight game with the touchdown,

742
00:37:44,480 --> 00:37:47,600
Speaker 4: third longest streak with one plus touchdown rushing touchdowns since

743
00:37:47,600 --> 00:37:53,160
Speaker 4: two thousand, Tomlinson, Jonathan Taylor, Kyron Williams, so obviously rolling

744
00:37:53,200 --> 00:37:55,279
Speaker 4: there in McVeigh loves using him. And the other thing

745
00:37:55,280 --> 00:37:58,520
Speaker 4: to note from Vegas's point of view, brock Bowers, did

746
00:37:58,520 --> 00:38:01,000
Speaker 4: the guy get more work? He is ten of twenty

747
00:38:01,040 --> 00:38:04,680
Speaker 4: one receptions, fourteen of thirty five targets for the Raiders.

748
00:38:04,960 --> 00:38:07,399
Speaker 2: He is absolutely everything for that team.

749
00:38:07,480 --> 00:38:10,120
Speaker 4: So at least he gets to, you know, get a

750
00:38:10,120 --> 00:38:12,200
Speaker 4: lot of work in and you know, progress his game.

751
00:38:12,800 --> 00:38:15,879
Speaker 1: Yeah, I'll cout on him. And they drafted Mayor last year,

752
00:38:15,960 --> 00:38:18,319
Speaker 1: last year in the second round, right, Yeah, Okay, well

753
00:38:18,320 --> 00:38:22,560
Speaker 1: they got it right. Tight end. Philadelphia Eagles visit the Giants.

754
00:38:22,600 --> 00:38:26,080
Speaker 1: This is the Saquon revenge game. Twenty eight to three Eagles,

755
00:38:26,120 --> 00:38:28,880
Speaker 1: Philly minus three total goes under forty two and a half.

756
00:38:29,239 --> 00:38:30,720
Speaker 1: Big day for Saquon Brandon.

757
00:38:31,520 --> 00:38:33,399
Speaker 3: Yeah, one hundred and seventy six yards, had a big

758
00:38:33,440 --> 00:38:35,680
Speaker 3: fifty five yard I feel like every time we got

759
00:38:35,719 --> 00:38:38,319
Speaker 3: over to this game, Sakuon's ripping off another fifteen twenty

760
00:38:38,400 --> 00:38:42,359
Speaker 3: yard run twenty eight three makes it feel pretty good

761
00:38:42,360 --> 00:38:45,920
Speaker 3: for the Eagles. Other than Saquon I don't know if

762
00:38:45,920 --> 00:38:47,960
Speaker 3: I feel very good about this game with the Eagles

763
00:38:48,040 --> 00:38:51,520
Speaker 3: one of thirteen on third down. Jalen Hurts has seventy

764
00:38:51,560 --> 00:38:54,200
Speaker 3: three yards all game other than the one long bomb

765
00:38:54,280 --> 00:38:55,040
Speaker 3: to AJ Brown.

766
00:38:55,239 --> 00:38:57,000
Speaker 1: That was a nice throw, that was a nice bet.

767
00:38:57,320 --> 00:38:59,960
Speaker 3: Let's not playing like there are things to be happy about.

768
00:39:00,600 --> 00:39:04,800
Speaker 3: You know, the Eagles win big here against the division rivals,

769
00:39:04,880 --> 00:39:07,200
Speaker 3: so you get the win. I think, if anything, you

770
00:39:07,200 --> 00:39:09,799
Speaker 3: feel good about the defense. But I'm not even sure that.

771
00:39:09,840 --> 00:39:11,960
Speaker 3: To me, this is just the Giants offensive line is

772
00:39:11,960 --> 00:39:15,680
Speaker 3: absolutely cooked. Andrew Thomas out, Oh my gosh, it's awful.

773
00:39:16,120 --> 00:39:18,920
Speaker 3: Seven sacks you allowed to Daniel Jones, who doesn't even

774
00:39:18,960 --> 00:39:21,840
Speaker 3: play the whole game. The Giants have one hundred and

775
00:39:21,880 --> 00:39:24,759
Speaker 3: nineteen yards, ten first downs, and about two yards of

776
00:39:24,760 --> 00:39:27,600
Speaker 3: play for the game. And now they get to go

777
00:39:27,640 --> 00:39:29,560
Speaker 3: play Pittsburgh on Monday night and we get to watch.

778
00:39:29,760 --> 00:39:30,560
Speaker 3: That's gonna be fun.

779
00:39:31,600 --> 00:39:33,480
Speaker 1: I know they've got the tush push, but You're right

780
00:39:33,480 --> 00:39:35,879
Speaker 1: about Philly, there's still no identity.

781
00:39:36,120 --> 00:39:37,239
Speaker 3: It just feels like.

782
00:39:37,239 --> 00:39:40,400
Speaker 1: They're hanging by the seat of their pants every week

783
00:39:40,800 --> 00:39:42,840
Speaker 1: and they're just praying to get out of there. I

784
00:39:43,040 --> 00:39:43,319
Speaker 1: love it.

785
00:39:43,760 --> 00:39:45,920
Speaker 3: Eagles Bengals. I feel like, you know, like all the

786
00:39:45,960 --> 00:39:48,600
Speaker 3: wrestling matches, like loser has to retire, Like can we

787
00:39:48,719 --> 00:39:51,680
Speaker 3: just whoever whoever loses. You're out of the playoffs. I

788
00:39:51,680 --> 00:39:53,720
Speaker 3: don't want to I don't want to consider you anymore.

789
00:39:53,840 --> 00:39:55,239
Speaker 3: No more second chances, You're out.

790
00:39:56,239 --> 00:39:58,080
Speaker 1: I love this section. I just get I just say,

791
00:39:58,200 --> 00:40:01,640
Speaker 1: it's just funny. It's a funny section. Carolina. They were

792
00:40:01,680 --> 00:40:04,120
Speaker 1: awful to Andy Dalton threw. I don't know who he

793
00:40:04,160 --> 00:40:05,440
Speaker 1: was looking at when he was throwing the ball. In

794
00:40:05,480 --> 00:40:09,239
Speaker 1: the first half, Commanders forty to seven over the Panthers.

795
00:40:09,360 --> 00:40:12,360
Speaker 1: Washington covers the number just inside ten nine and a half.

796
00:40:12,520 --> 00:40:14,640
Speaker 1: Total goes under fifty and a half even.

797
00:40:14,680 --> 00:40:18,160
Speaker 4: Yeah, closed at ten. Ton of steams, Yeah, a ton

798
00:40:18,239 --> 00:40:20,520
Speaker 4: of steam at the end there, so it was eight

799
00:40:20,680 --> 00:40:22,720
Speaker 4: nine and then got all the way to tenant kickoff

800
00:40:23,040 --> 00:40:24,200
Speaker 4: wasn't even close to enough.

801
00:40:24,239 --> 00:40:26,480
Speaker 2: Also from a Washington point of view, kind of fun.

802
00:40:26,480 --> 00:40:26,799
Speaker 2: They haven't.

803
00:40:26,840 --> 00:40:29,160
Speaker 4: They haven't closed as a double digit favorite since twenty

804
00:40:29,239 --> 00:40:32,719
Speaker 4: seventeen behind Kirk Cousins. So they get that done with

805
00:40:33,120 --> 00:40:36,040
Speaker 4: Jayde Daniels today and Jade Daniels becomes the first rookie

806
00:40:36,120 --> 00:40:38,920
Speaker 4: quarterback to close the double digit favorite this early in

807
00:40:38,920 --> 00:40:41,279
Speaker 4: this season in the Wildcard era since nineteen ninety, so

808
00:40:41,560 --> 00:40:44,840
Speaker 4: expectations at an all time high. And then obviously he

809
00:40:44,880 --> 00:40:48,400
Speaker 4: comes out of the game after one series. Mariota still

810
00:40:48,440 --> 00:40:49,919
Speaker 4: does fine, still does.

811
00:40:49,960 --> 00:40:50,320
Speaker 2: Okay.

812
00:40:50,440 --> 00:40:53,560
Speaker 4: Dalton throws two picks in the first quarter, which basically

813
00:40:53,560 --> 00:40:56,400
Speaker 4: throws the entire game away because it's twenty seven nothing

814
00:40:56,440 --> 00:40:59,480
Speaker 4: at the half. The fun one, I will say, and

815
00:40:59,520 --> 00:41:02,080
Speaker 4: this is just the right place to throw it in.

816
00:41:02,560 --> 00:41:08,040
Speaker 4: Jaydan Daniels, Bo Nicks, Caleb Williams seventeen and three against

817
00:41:08,080 --> 00:41:11,359
Speaker 4: a second half spread this season, those three quarterbacks, those

818
00:41:11,400 --> 00:41:15,319
Speaker 4: three rookies, so all figuring out a way to keep

819
00:41:15,360 --> 00:41:17,960
Speaker 4: their teams in games and all looking good. But yeah,

820
00:41:18,040 --> 00:41:20,400
Speaker 4: I mean, from Washington's point of view, eight drives in

821
00:41:20,440 --> 00:41:24,200
Speaker 4: this game, one punt, four field goals, three touchdowns, and

822
00:41:24,239 --> 00:41:27,240
Speaker 4: they were scoring on sixty two percent of drives entering

823
00:41:27,280 --> 00:41:30,760
Speaker 4: this game, nine of nine on fourth down this season,

824
00:41:30,960 --> 00:41:33,600
Speaker 4: they're third downs. They were five of ten today. They're

825
00:41:33,600 --> 00:41:37,040
Speaker 4: almost fifty percent on third down this season. It's just

826
00:41:37,800 --> 00:41:40,239
Speaker 4: what they're doing, even how crazy it was to see

827
00:41:40,239 --> 00:41:43,280
Speaker 4: it without Jaydan Daniels in the lineup and still being

828
00:41:43,640 --> 00:41:47,040
Speaker 4: you know, progressive down the field. Just absolutely wild from

829
00:41:47,440 --> 00:41:50,640
Speaker 4: Carolina's point of view, one of eight one and eight

830
00:41:50,719 --> 00:41:53,760
Speaker 4: straight up, one and eight against the spread since Christmas

831
00:41:53,840 --> 00:41:57,000
Speaker 4: last year, their only cover and win the dead Cat bounce,

832
00:41:57,120 --> 00:41:59,799
Speaker 4: going from Bryce Young to Andy Dalton in that one

833
00:41:59,840 --> 00:42:03,640
Speaker 4: game against the Raiders and Carolina one in thirteen first

834
00:42:03,640 --> 00:42:06,759
Speaker 4: half ats last fourteen games. They just can't find, they

835
00:42:06,760 --> 00:42:09,399
Speaker 4: can't get out of their own way, and nothing's going right.

836
00:42:09,520 --> 00:42:11,200
Speaker 4: So continue to fake Carolina.

837
00:42:11,239 --> 00:42:11,880
Speaker 2: I guess.

838
00:42:13,320 --> 00:42:16,719
Speaker 1: Four in two, last place Chicago Bears at four and

839
00:42:16,800 --> 00:42:20,320
Speaker 1: two off the by going to Jade and Daniels and

840
00:42:20,320 --> 00:42:21,960
Speaker 1: the Commanders who gave the thumbs up. I think he's

841
00:42:21,960 --> 00:42:24,239
Speaker 1: gonna be good to go. That felt like a preseason game. Yeah,

842
00:42:24,280 --> 00:42:26,440
Speaker 1: one series, I'm good, and that was they never needed them.

843
00:42:27,040 --> 00:42:29,560
Speaker 1: At five and two, first place Washington four to thirty,

844
00:42:29,560 --> 00:42:31,439
Speaker 1: Window and CBS next week. That'll be fun.

845
00:42:31,760 --> 00:42:33,920
Speaker 3: Rookie of the Year at the NFL moved the game

846
00:42:34,000 --> 00:42:36,280
Speaker 3: to put this in the prime tire in the Windows

847
00:42:36,280 --> 00:42:39,960
Speaker 3: slot for us. They bumped Eagles Bengals out. No more

848
00:42:39,960 --> 00:42:42,040
Speaker 3: Eagles Bengals. Get rid of them, put them at noon,

849
00:42:42,360 --> 00:42:44,560
Speaker 3: get them with all the other games. We want Caleb,

850
00:42:44,880 --> 00:42:47,560
Speaker 3: we want Jayden, put them on hopefully he's healthy for it.

851
00:42:47,760 --> 00:42:50,520
Speaker 1: They still have Carolina Denver though it's four thirty windows.

852
00:42:50,520 --> 00:42:51,920
Speaker 3: Oh, they got to have somebody in there. You don't

853
00:42:51,960 --> 00:42:53,360
Speaker 3: need to watch the zone channel.

854
00:42:53,680 --> 00:42:57,960
Speaker 1: Yeah, all right, last one Tennessee and Buffalo. Not a

855
00:42:57,960 --> 00:43:01,479
Speaker 1: good start for the Bills, but they deliver big second half,

856
00:43:01,520 --> 00:43:04,239
Speaker 1: thirty four to ten. Brandon, they cover the I think

857
00:43:04,280 --> 00:43:06,480
Speaker 1: it was nine nine of the half, closed, nine of

858
00:43:06,520 --> 00:43:09,560
Speaker 1: the half, over forty one and a half. Marii Cooper

859
00:43:09,560 --> 00:43:12,279
Speaker 1: scores in his debut. Shakir got going, what'd you make

860
00:43:12,320 --> 00:43:12,799
Speaker 1: of this game?

861
00:43:13,800 --> 00:43:15,799
Speaker 3: Not much, to be honest, Titans ten to nothing and

862
00:43:15,800 --> 00:43:18,040
Speaker 3: then give up thirty four in a row. Bills go

863
00:43:18,320 --> 00:43:20,840
Speaker 3: twenty seven to nothing in second half. I wrote the

864
00:43:20,880 --> 00:43:23,560
Speaker 3: guide for this game. Bill second half was good. Play good.

865
00:43:23,640 --> 00:43:26,240
Speaker 3: Keep in mind Josh Allen second half of his career

866
00:43:26,280 --> 00:43:28,680
Speaker 3: now sixty two to thirty five and three ats sixty

867
00:43:28,680 --> 00:43:33,120
Speaker 3: four percent, sixty seven percent ATS as a double digit

868
00:43:33,320 --> 00:43:36,840
Speaker 3: game favorite as he was here on some books. Just

869
00:43:37,040 --> 00:43:40,279
Speaker 3: you know the Bills when they are up big. They

870
00:43:40,280 --> 00:43:42,640
Speaker 3: tended just going to bleed things out in the second half.

871
00:43:43,000 --> 00:43:44,920
Speaker 3: That's what we saw here. Not in a lot otherwise,

872
00:43:46,239 --> 00:43:46,840
Speaker 3: very good.

873
00:43:46,760 --> 00:43:49,440
Speaker 1: Easy enough. Let's go to Monday night football again. Brandon

874
00:43:49,480 --> 00:43:52,319
Speaker 1: Anderson's hot Reds are coming very shortly here. We'll start

875
00:43:52,320 --> 00:43:56,759
Speaker 1: with Baltimore Tampa Bay. We'll do side total, whatever it

876
00:43:56,800 --> 00:43:59,040
Speaker 1: may be. Brandon. We talked about this in Best Bets

877
00:43:59,080 --> 00:44:02,560
Speaker 1: on Friday morning on the Action Network podcast. You're in

878
00:44:02,680 --> 00:44:03,439
Speaker 1: on Tampa Bay.

879
00:44:04,520 --> 00:44:06,239
Speaker 3: I like the Bucks here. I just think it's a

880
00:44:06,280 --> 00:44:09,040
Speaker 3: really good spot for them. I think I can't get

881
00:44:09,080 --> 00:44:11,920
Speaker 3: off the whole like Hurricane Katrina angle where we saw

882
00:44:12,000 --> 00:44:15,040
Speaker 3: the scenes come to that home Monday night game after

883
00:44:15,480 --> 00:44:18,799
Speaker 3: the emotional spot there here, the Bucks come home to

884
00:44:18,880 --> 00:44:22,600
Speaker 3: Tampa just just brutal week for everyone there in the

885
00:44:22,640 --> 00:44:25,440
Speaker 3: Tampa area. I think they get, you know, three the

886
00:44:25,520 --> 00:44:28,439
Speaker 3: next four home games for them. It's a good team.

887
00:44:28,520 --> 00:44:31,360
Speaker 3: This is a really good team with an emotional Monday

888
00:44:31,480 --> 00:44:33,680
Speaker 3: night home crowd, always to get the little Monday night

889
00:44:33,719 --> 00:44:36,560
Speaker 3: home boost as well the box. As we said on

890
00:44:36,600 --> 00:44:39,800
Speaker 3: our Best Bets episode, the only team in the NFL

891
00:44:40,239 --> 00:44:44,840
Speaker 3: top eleven in DVA offense and defense, running and passing.

892
00:44:45,360 --> 00:44:49,320
Speaker 3: They're balanced, They're playing good football. I hope Vita Avel

893
00:44:49,440 --> 00:44:51,839
Speaker 3: plays because my whole cap here has been that they

894
00:44:51,840 --> 00:44:53,680
Speaker 3: can stop the run. And I see that he's a

895
00:44:53,719 --> 00:44:56,040
Speaker 3: little banged up. We'll see if he plays. I definitely

896
00:44:56,040 --> 00:44:58,239
Speaker 3: would like this a little a little less without him,

897
00:44:58,680 --> 00:45:00,759
Speaker 3: But the secondary is getting healthy. They're starting to run

898
00:45:00,800 --> 00:45:02,440
Speaker 3: the ball a little bit, probably not a ton in

899
00:45:02,480 --> 00:45:05,160
Speaker 3: this game. I think it comes down to the passing here,

900
00:45:05,640 --> 00:45:08,600
Speaker 3: and I'm gonna take not the MVP. I'm gonna take Baker,

901
00:45:08,800 --> 00:45:11,839
Speaker 3: I'm gonna take Liam Cohen's offense. I'm gonna take Mike

902
00:45:11,880 --> 00:45:14,040
Speaker 3: Evans and Chris Godwin. And Chris Godwin, by the way,

903
00:45:14,040 --> 00:45:15,520
Speaker 3: he's played about as well as any receiver in the

904
00:45:15,600 --> 00:45:19,000
Speaker 3: league this year, is just shreding defenses, especially in the slot.

905
00:45:19,440 --> 00:45:21,759
Speaker 3: So I think it's a good spot for Tampa. This

906
00:45:21,920 --> 00:45:24,120
Speaker 3: was one of my best bets Bucks plus three and

907
00:45:24,120 --> 00:45:26,440
Speaker 3: a half. I took the money line. I got one

908
00:45:26,520 --> 00:45:29,040
Speaker 3: eighty one sixty whatever is out there. I still feel

909
00:45:29,040 --> 00:45:32,040
Speaker 3: like that's pretty good. And then I think these are

910
00:45:32,040 --> 00:45:35,759
Speaker 3: not updated prices from after today's games, but futures. I

911
00:45:35,800 --> 00:45:37,319
Speaker 3: think if you like the Bucks here, if you think

912
00:45:37,320 --> 00:45:40,040
Speaker 3: they get a steal a win a little bit minus

913
00:45:40,080 --> 00:45:42,600
Speaker 3: one thirty ish range on playoffs. I think they were

914
00:45:42,640 --> 00:45:46,040
Speaker 3: seventy five percent before this game. If they get this win,

915
00:45:46,120 --> 00:45:48,320
Speaker 3: that number goes up even more, especially with the Atlanta

916
00:45:48,400 --> 00:45:52,959
Speaker 3: loss today, Division odds NFC odds. I think this team

917
00:45:53,000 --> 00:45:55,120
Speaker 3: can hang. I think that they can hang with the

918
00:45:55,160 --> 00:45:57,080
Speaker 3: best in the NFC. I think they can hang with

919
00:45:57,200 --> 00:45:57,919
Speaker 3: Baltimore here.

920
00:45:58,360 --> 00:46:00,920
Speaker 1: Yeah, I think that playoffs sump shot up because that

921
00:46:00,960 --> 00:46:05,360
Speaker 1: Atlanta lost. Del Minas won seventy to get in fourteen

922
00:46:05,400 --> 00:46:07,760
Speaker 1: to one to win the conference. Baker Mayfield is twenty

923
00:46:07,800 --> 00:46:09,120
Speaker 1: five to one NFL MVP.

924
00:46:10,239 --> 00:46:12,920
Speaker 3: What up And hopefully hopefully the folks listen on on

925
00:46:12,960 --> 00:46:15,239
Speaker 3: the Tuesday round table on the Friday Best bets, and

926
00:46:15,280 --> 00:46:17,920
Speaker 3: we already got got some good CLV, well not not

927
00:46:18,000 --> 00:46:20,040
Speaker 3: quite CLV, but we're already we're already sitting on some

928
00:46:20,080 --> 00:46:21,160
Speaker 3: pretty good tickets here.

929
00:46:21,400 --> 00:46:24,360
Speaker 1: Yeah, that would put That would put Baker Mayfield. He

930
00:46:24,400 --> 00:46:29,440
Speaker 1: would be behind Goff, Jordan Love, and Jaydeen Daniels. Okay,

931
00:46:30,239 --> 00:46:31,640
Speaker 1: anything for you, Evan on this game.

932
00:46:31,760 --> 00:46:32,400
Speaker 2: We have a triget.

933
00:46:32,719 --> 00:46:35,839
Speaker 4: Yeah, I'll talk to Tampa first. I like Baker over

934
00:46:35,880 --> 00:46:38,240
Speaker 4: one and a half passing touchdowns, and I would sprinkle

935
00:46:38,320 --> 00:46:41,000
Speaker 4: Bucky irving to get in the end zone with Baker.

936
00:46:41,320 --> 00:46:42,800
Speaker 2: Our quarterbacks are four and two.

937
00:46:43,400 --> 00:46:47,320
Speaker 4: Uh, the overpassing touchdowns versus Baltimore this year, two unders

938
00:46:47,320 --> 00:46:49,920
Speaker 4: are actually Josh Allen and Mahomes, which I'm not too

939
00:46:49,960 --> 00:46:51,480
Speaker 4: worried about in that circumstance.

940
00:46:51,960 --> 00:46:54,399
Speaker 2: And if you look at Baltimore's allowed.

941
00:46:54,200 --> 00:46:57,200
Speaker 4: A passing touchdown in their last thirteen or fourteen regular

942
00:46:57,239 --> 00:46:59,359
Speaker 4: season games, so you just need to add one more

943
00:46:59,360 --> 00:47:03,239
Speaker 4: on top of that. And Baker fourteen of fourteen and

944
00:47:03,320 --> 00:47:05,399
Speaker 4: six in his last twenty over one and a half

945
00:47:05,480 --> 00:47:06,320
Speaker 4: seventy percent.

946
00:47:06,520 --> 00:47:08,000
Speaker 2: So I like that play.

947
00:47:08,040 --> 00:47:09,439
Speaker 4: I mean, you're gonna talk about some of the trends

948
00:47:09,480 --> 00:47:11,879
Speaker 4: in this game. Everyone's gonna talk about Lamar twenty two

949
00:47:11,880 --> 00:47:14,680
Speaker 4: and one versus the NFC that's now on the line

950
00:47:14,880 --> 00:47:16,120
Speaker 4: in this one.

951
00:47:16,040 --> 00:47:16,600
Speaker 2: Get the play.

952
00:47:16,640 --> 00:47:19,160
Speaker 4: I think that's kind of interesting is Baltimore first half

953
00:47:19,360 --> 00:47:22,279
Speaker 4: Lamar has been great and then Tampa full game, so

954
00:47:22,320 --> 00:47:25,000
Speaker 4: you might want to sprinkle on that as well. And

955
00:47:25,040 --> 00:47:27,640
Speaker 4: the one I thought was interesting. Opposing running backs are

956
00:47:27,760 --> 00:47:30,640
Speaker 4: three and nine to the rushing yards over against the

957
00:47:30,719 --> 00:47:34,440
Speaker 4: Ravens rush defense, which is really really stingy. So something

958
00:47:34,480 --> 00:47:37,000
Speaker 4: to be a little cautious of when looking at Bucky

959
00:47:37,360 --> 00:47:39,920
Speaker 4: and I don't know for shots playing, but both.

960
00:47:40,719 --> 00:47:44,040
Speaker 1: Okay, excellent. The second one, I'm gonna be completely honest.

961
00:47:44,080 --> 00:47:46,440
Speaker 1: I don't think anyone's talking about this game, then think

962
00:47:46,440 --> 00:47:49,480
Speaker 1: I've heard about. The only I've heard about Chargers Cardinals

963
00:47:49,760 --> 00:47:52,680
Speaker 1: is that it's exclusively on ESPN Plus. I think's the

964
00:47:52,719 --> 00:47:55,840
Speaker 1: only thing I've heard about this game. And credit to

965
00:47:55,880 --> 00:47:58,480
Speaker 1: Jim Harbaugh. He's got this defense playing really well. They've

966
00:47:58,520 --> 00:48:01,600
Speaker 1: depleted some big stars on this team. This could be

967
00:48:01,600 --> 00:48:05,120
Speaker 1: a fun game. Maybe not. It could be gross. Chargers

968
00:48:05,239 --> 00:48:09,279
Speaker 1: at Cardinals. The Cardinals are a short home dog. You

969
00:48:09,320 --> 00:48:11,080
Speaker 1: can get the Chargers on the money line. It minus

970
00:48:11,160 --> 00:48:13,920
Speaker 1: won thirty the totals at forty four and a half. Again,

971
00:48:14,000 --> 00:48:16,160
Speaker 1: I don't know one's talking about this game other than

972
00:48:16,160 --> 00:48:20,600
Speaker 1: the fact that, again it's exclusively on ESPN Plus. Anything

973
00:48:20,600 --> 00:48:22,319
Speaker 1: from you, Brandon of this game.

974
00:48:22,360 --> 00:48:25,800
Speaker 3: Yeah, you know. It's also exclusively a late kickoff. Normally

975
00:48:25,800 --> 00:48:29,080
Speaker 3: when we get these double happening the early kickoff. Yeah,

976
00:48:29,120 --> 00:48:30,120
Speaker 3: we get the next.

977
00:48:30,080 --> 00:48:30,920
Speaker 1: The NBA Final.

978
00:48:31,200 --> 00:48:34,800
Speaker 3: Like some this feels very pac twelve after dark. Maybe

979
00:48:34,800 --> 00:48:36,600
Speaker 3: that's what we're going for here, right, We're gonna get

980
00:48:36,680 --> 00:48:40,440
Speaker 3: some weird stuff happening. So I got the preview for

981
00:48:40,520 --> 00:48:42,160
Speaker 3: this one. I got to write about this one. I

982
00:48:42,160 --> 00:48:44,560
Speaker 3: think it's actually kind of an interesting game. Cardinals are

983
00:48:44,560 --> 00:48:46,799
Speaker 3: a little healthier right now. Let's say Martin Harrison Junior

984
00:48:46,840 --> 00:48:49,800
Speaker 3: should be get to go. Joey Bolso probably not playing

985
00:48:49,840 --> 00:48:52,000
Speaker 3: for the Chargers. The secondary is a little banged up.

986
00:48:52,640 --> 00:48:55,399
Speaker 3: The defense for the Chargers is the stand up unit here.

987
00:48:55,480 --> 00:48:59,000
Speaker 3: So far, Jesse Mintter, that's the coordinator, has been really good.

988
00:48:59,360 --> 00:49:02,560
Speaker 3: You're top three DVA, top seven run and pass. But

989
00:49:02,640 --> 00:49:06,160
Speaker 3: who have they played? They played the Chiefs, missing most

990
00:49:06,200 --> 00:49:09,080
Speaker 3: of the guys offensively, the Chiefs, who we don't really

991
00:49:09,120 --> 00:49:13,120
Speaker 3: think are that great offensively. Every other opponent the Chargers

992
00:49:13,120 --> 00:49:16,520
Speaker 3: have faced is a bottom ten offense by DVOA. So

993
00:49:16,920 --> 00:49:20,880
Speaker 3: I'm not sure that the Chargers have faced an offense

994
00:49:20,880 --> 00:49:23,560
Speaker 3: as good as the Cardinals yet, not that the Cardinals

995
00:49:23,600 --> 00:49:26,160
Speaker 3: are really that great even or even that consistent, but

996
00:49:26,200 --> 00:49:27,600
Speaker 3: I think this could be a bit of a new

997
00:49:27,640 --> 00:49:29,680
Speaker 3: test here. Kyler murrays Al is a bit of a

998
00:49:29,719 --> 00:49:33,200
Speaker 3: test so the Chargers. Of course, we haven't had a

999
00:49:33,239 --> 00:49:36,319
Speaker 3: forty point game yet featuring the Chargers. We're getting this,

1000
00:49:36,600 --> 00:49:39,400
Speaker 3: like I guess I went pack twelve earlier. The Chargers

1001
00:49:39,440 --> 00:49:43,000
Speaker 3: are big ten. The Chargers are running the ball, play defense,

1002
00:49:43,040 --> 00:49:46,560
Speaker 3: grinded out. Jim Harbab brought what he knows. I think

1003
00:49:46,640 --> 00:49:50,680
Speaker 3: that is kind of suppressing the total here. So home

1004
00:49:50,719 --> 00:49:54,040
Speaker 3: overs under Cardinals Jonathan gannon nine and two to the

1005
00:49:54,120 --> 00:49:57,080
Speaker 3: over forty eight or more points eight of his eleven

1006
00:49:57,160 --> 00:50:00,759
Speaker 3: home games average fifty one and a half. The other angle,

1007
00:50:00,840 --> 00:50:03,319
Speaker 3: I looked at here Colonel's and not been in the

1008
00:50:03,320 --> 00:50:06,040
Speaker 3: first half. They're two and four atis in the first half.

1009
00:50:06,120 --> 00:50:09,360
Speaker 3: They have trailed by double digits in four straight at half.

1010
00:50:10,040 --> 00:50:12,520
Speaker 3: Chargers have led at the half four straight, including that

1011
00:50:12,640 --> 00:50:16,200
Speaker 3: Chiefs game that they had. So I kind of looked

1012
00:50:16,200 --> 00:50:18,000
Speaker 3: at the first half. I kind of looked at the over.

1013
00:50:18,640 --> 00:50:22,080
Speaker 3: How about combined them, give me the first half over

1014
00:50:22,120 --> 00:50:23,799
Speaker 3: twenty one and a half. Twenty two and a half

1015
00:50:23,880 --> 00:50:26,360
Speaker 3: is fine if you need it. Kind of play the

1016
00:50:26,440 --> 00:50:30,120
Speaker 3: Chargers first half thing, play the over and the suppressed total.

1017
00:50:30,760 --> 00:50:32,399
Speaker 3: I think we're gonna get some points here. I think

1018
00:50:32,400 --> 00:50:34,520
Speaker 3: we might actually end up getting kind of a fun game.

1019
00:50:35,040 --> 00:50:38,360
Speaker 3: Arizona is six to zero to the over on this number.

1020
00:50:38,360 --> 00:50:40,200
Speaker 3: They've had at least twenty four points or more in

1021
00:50:40,280 --> 00:50:44,200
Speaker 3: every Cardinals first half average twenty nine. So that's the

1022
00:50:44,239 --> 00:50:46,359
Speaker 3: angle I came up with. It's fun to win money.

1023
00:50:46,440 --> 00:50:48,080
Speaker 3: Let's let's have some fun and see if we can

1024
00:50:48,120 --> 00:50:50,600
Speaker 3: win a little bit. By the time you care about

1025
00:50:50,640 --> 00:50:53,200
Speaker 3: this game and turn it on after the other one,

1026
00:50:53,520 --> 00:50:54,760
Speaker 3: we'll have cashed our bet.

1027
00:50:54,600 --> 00:50:58,839
Speaker 1: Already having anything fun from you on this one.

1028
00:50:59,400 --> 00:51:01,080
Speaker 4: Keep it quick. I like James Connor to get in

1029
00:51:01,080 --> 00:51:03,359
Speaker 4: the end zone. He's actually scored in all six night

1030
00:51:03,400 --> 00:51:06,719
Speaker 4: games with Arizona in his career, touchdown in all six

1031
00:51:06,760 --> 00:51:09,839
Speaker 4: of them. Connor has seventeen rush attempts in the red zone.

1032
00:51:09,840 --> 00:51:10,200
Speaker 2: This year.

1033
00:51:10,280 --> 00:51:13,400
Speaker 4: Kyler only has four rush attempts, so you shouldn't be

1034
00:51:13,400 --> 00:51:16,440
Speaker 4: too worried about that. No go line rushes for Kyler

1035
00:51:16,520 --> 00:51:20,000
Speaker 4: yet this season. Just a fun nugget overall. Jim Harbaugh

1036
00:51:20,080 --> 00:51:22,760
Speaker 4: actually six and oho straight up on Monday Night football,

1037
00:51:22,960 --> 00:51:24,879
Speaker 4: all coming with the forty nine Ers, So some fun

1038
00:51:24,920 --> 00:51:28,280
Speaker 4: history with the Harbaugh brothers both having some cessed night games.

1039
00:51:28,560 --> 00:51:30,960
Speaker 4: My angle, I'm actually gonna go with Brandon as well.

1040
00:51:31,120 --> 00:51:34,600
Speaker 4: So I wrote down Chargers win the first half, Cardinals

1041
00:51:34,640 --> 00:51:38,120
Speaker 4: win the full game, and I think the Chargers starting nice.

1042
00:51:38,480 --> 00:51:41,080
Speaker 4: Maybe keeping Arizona Bay a tiny bit, hopefully maybe some

1043
00:51:41,120 --> 00:51:44,200
Speaker 4: points for Brandon. But the note I'll go with would

1044
00:51:44,200 --> 00:51:47,280
Speaker 4: be Chargers to win the first half. Then Herbert nine

1045
00:51:48,000 --> 00:51:51,719
Speaker 4: twenty nine and two against the second half spread when

1046
00:51:51,760 --> 00:51:55,080
Speaker 4: leading at halftime in his career, So I will go

1047
00:51:55,160 --> 00:51:58,440
Speaker 4: with that bet, just purely off principle.

1048
00:52:00,080 --> 00:52:01,960
Speaker 1: Yeah, Brandon won't want to watch this game anyway. He

1049
00:52:01,960 --> 00:52:05,279
Speaker 1: doesn't want to talk about the receiver's names on the Chargers. Right,

1050
00:52:07,120 --> 00:52:09,759
Speaker 1: you got Mconkeie Quenton Johnson, but who.

1051
00:52:09,719 --> 00:52:12,640
Speaker 3: Knows, bring home Mike Williams. Let's get our guy back

1052
00:52:12,640 --> 00:52:13,280
Speaker 3: in the Chargers.

1053
00:52:13,280 --> 00:52:13,640
Speaker 2: Good point.

1054
00:52:13,719 --> 00:52:17,480
Speaker 1: Yeah, all right, time for the hot read. Brandon's got

1055
00:52:17,480 --> 00:52:21,440
Speaker 1: two looks for Week eight. You had the Denver New

1056
00:52:21,520 --> 00:52:23,600
Speaker 1: Orleans Stars and I game that did not go under,

1057
00:52:23,719 --> 00:52:25,520
Speaker 1: that did not go under, and then you had the

1058
00:52:25,840 --> 00:52:29,080
Speaker 1: Jets in Pittsburgh game tonight, which ended up having a

1059
00:52:29,120 --> 00:52:31,719
Speaker 1: lot of points for Pittsburgh. So got to get back

1060
00:52:31,719 --> 00:52:34,160
Speaker 1: on track. What do we like for week at your

1061
00:52:34,160 --> 00:52:35,000
Speaker 1: first hot read?

1062
00:52:35,480 --> 00:52:37,520
Speaker 3: Yeah? I think it's our first zero and two hot

1063
00:52:37,560 --> 00:52:40,399
Speaker 3: read week in almost the full calendar year. So not

1064
00:52:40,400 --> 00:52:43,759
Speaker 3: not my favorite, but uh yeah, let's get back on

1065
00:52:43,760 --> 00:52:45,319
Speaker 3: the board. I'm gonna mix up a little bit here

1066
00:52:45,360 --> 00:52:47,320
Speaker 3: by the way. Make sure to hit the like on

1067
00:52:47,320 --> 00:52:49,279
Speaker 3: on our YouTube if you're watching, give us a little

1068
00:52:49,440 --> 00:52:52,919
Speaker 3: like here. Something different today. Normally I take favorites here

1069
00:52:53,280 --> 00:52:56,440
Speaker 3: if I'm playing aside, because normally that's the way the

1070
00:52:56,440 --> 00:52:59,040
Speaker 3: line moves toward the favorites. Right, I'm going with two

1071
00:52:59,160 --> 00:53:02,280
Speaker 3: underdogs here this time. So first one, we've teased these

1072
00:53:02,320 --> 00:53:05,040
Speaker 3: a little bit. Give me the Colts plus six and

1073
00:53:05,080 --> 00:53:08,759
Speaker 3: a half at the Texans. I just don't believe in

1074
00:53:08,800 --> 00:53:13,080
Speaker 3: this Texans team. The biggest team's played. Week one, Texans

1075
00:53:13,080 --> 00:53:15,120
Speaker 3: were two and a half point favorites. Now six and

1076
00:53:15,160 --> 00:53:18,080
Speaker 3: a half. Is home field really that much an advantage

1077
00:53:18,120 --> 00:53:21,359
Speaker 3: in today's NFL? Has Houston really looked that much better

1078
00:53:21,440 --> 00:53:23,600
Speaker 3: to have improved in the line, I don't think so.

1079
00:53:23,640 --> 00:53:25,759
Speaker 3: Houston won by two in that game was pretty close

1080
00:53:25,800 --> 00:53:27,840
Speaker 3: all the way. I don't see a reason for the

1081
00:53:27,840 --> 00:53:30,880
Speaker 3: line to swimming this far here. The Texans haven't swept

1082
00:53:30,880 --> 00:53:33,279
Speaker 3: the Colts since twenty sixteen, so theyre already wan to

1083
00:53:33,320 --> 00:53:36,680
Speaker 3: Oh that means you can't sweep here. Texans have only

1084
00:53:36,719 --> 00:53:38,960
Speaker 3: won for the last eleven against the Colts, so this

1085
00:53:39,040 --> 00:53:41,319
Speaker 3: has really not been a great team for Houston to

1086
00:53:41,360 --> 00:53:45,560
Speaker 3: play again. We talked about them earlier underwhelming against Green Bay.

1087
00:53:45,880 --> 00:53:48,520
Speaker 3: They're struggling against the spread. They did cover by half

1088
00:53:48,520 --> 00:53:50,920
Speaker 3: a point today, but they really shouldn't have by the numbers,

1089
00:53:51,560 --> 00:53:55,000
Speaker 3: And I like the back door possibility here. Colts five

1090
00:53:55,000 --> 00:53:58,440
Speaker 3: and two in the second half ats Texans one and six.

1091
00:53:58,840 --> 00:54:01,320
Speaker 3: So I think the Colts hang, but don if they don't,

1092
00:54:01,640 --> 00:54:03,560
Speaker 3: I think the Colts can maybe come through the back

1093
00:54:03,600 --> 00:54:07,239
Speaker 3: door and close on a long number. Here. We mentioned too,

1094
00:54:07,520 --> 00:54:10,359
Speaker 3: Nico Collins. I think in this particular game is an

1095
00:54:10,480 --> 00:54:14,600
Speaker 3: especially big loss. He has demolished the Colts the last

1096
00:54:14,600 --> 00:54:17,560
Speaker 3: three games four hundred and fifty eight yards. The last

1097
00:54:17,560 --> 00:54:22,960
Speaker 3: three games against the Colts last season. This one, no Collins.

1098
00:54:23,000 --> 00:54:25,600
Speaker 3: Not a lot of offense here. Gus Bradley's defense. I'm

1099
00:54:25,640 --> 00:54:28,560
Speaker 3: not a big fan. Former North Dakota State coach. I

1100
00:54:28,600 --> 00:54:31,719
Speaker 3: know him pretty well. But what he does is he

1101
00:54:31,760 --> 00:54:33,799
Speaker 3: makes you earn it. You got to grind it and

1102
00:54:33,960 --> 00:54:36,200
Speaker 3: grind it out down the field, and that's not the

1103
00:54:36,239 --> 00:54:38,680
Speaker 3: thing The Texans do very well with their bad early

1104
00:54:38,719 --> 00:54:41,399
Speaker 3: down offense. Colts have covered six and a half all

1105
00:54:41,440 --> 00:54:44,840
Speaker 3: seven games this season, so road Dogs six six and

1106
00:54:44,840 --> 00:54:49,120
Speaker 3: a half fift ats. The last fifteen years and if

1107
00:54:49,120 --> 00:54:52,520
Speaker 3: you want the money line, don't play the money line.

1108
00:54:52,600 --> 00:54:55,520
Speaker 3: The Colts are seven to one to win the division,

1109
00:54:55,960 --> 00:54:57,799
Speaker 3: and they're tied for the division lead if they win

1110
00:54:57,880 --> 00:54:59,960
Speaker 3: this game, So I think you can actually juice the

1111
00:55:00,160 --> 00:55:01,840
Speaker 3: up a little bit if you like it, but I

1112
00:55:01,840 --> 00:55:04,480
Speaker 3: will stick with Colts plus six and a half at

1113
00:55:04,520 --> 00:55:06,600
Speaker 3: the Texans. Get that above the key number.

1114
00:55:08,080 --> 00:55:10,480
Speaker 1: Two quick ones. I mean you could get Jonathan Taylor

1115
00:55:10,520 --> 00:55:14,960
Speaker 1: back to that news is important. You get Richardson off

1116
00:55:14,960 --> 00:55:17,680
Speaker 1: another week kind of he was getting acclimated today. Would

1117
00:55:17,680 --> 00:55:19,839
Speaker 1: you play this at five and a half because I'm

1118
00:55:19,840 --> 00:55:21,160
Speaker 1: seeing five and a half out there too.

1119
00:55:22,200 --> 00:55:24,040
Speaker 3: I would not play it right now at five and

1120
00:55:24,120 --> 00:55:26,520
Speaker 3: a half. I definitely want to get there is a

1121
00:55:26,600 --> 00:55:28,560
Speaker 3: book that has the six and a half, So them

1122
00:55:28,600 --> 00:55:31,360
Speaker 3: grabbing the six and a half if you can. I

1123
00:55:31,400 --> 00:55:33,600
Speaker 3: wanted above the key number. I would take it at six.

1124
00:55:33,719 --> 00:55:36,120
Speaker 3: I don't I wouldn't not play at five and a half.

1125
00:55:36,120 --> 00:55:37,680
Speaker 3: But I don't need to hot read it there as

1126
00:55:37,680 --> 00:55:39,760
Speaker 3: all as they're trying to get ahead of the key numbers.

1127
00:55:39,840 --> 00:55:42,440
Speaker 3: So yeah, get the six and a half book if

1128
00:55:42,480 --> 00:55:45,880
Speaker 3: you can. Second pick similarly, only a couple of books

1129
00:55:45,880 --> 00:55:49,240
Speaker 3: with this one. Cardinals, we're going ahead of the Monday

1130
00:55:49,320 --> 00:55:52,800
Speaker 3: night game before they even play Cardinals plus three and

1131
00:55:52,840 --> 00:55:57,680
Speaker 3: a half at the Dolphins. Look, the Dolphins are terrible.

1132
00:55:58,360 --> 00:56:01,759
Speaker 3: I understand Tuas supposed to playing this game, but the

1133
00:56:01,800 --> 00:56:06,000
Speaker 3: Dolphins have scored seventy points all season. Remember when they

1134
00:56:06,000 --> 00:56:08,319
Speaker 3: did that in a game last year? They put that

1135
00:56:08,360 --> 00:56:11,719
Speaker 3: in a game last year. They have seventy points in

1136
00:56:11,840 --> 00:56:16,080
Speaker 3: six games under twelve points a game. You can't make

1137
00:56:16,160 --> 00:56:18,920
Speaker 3: that team better than a field goal favorite against just

1138
00:56:18,960 --> 00:56:22,520
Speaker 3: about anyone at this point of the season. And I know, yeah, well,

1139
00:56:22,560 --> 00:56:25,279
Speaker 3: what if Tua comes back, and what if the you know,

1140
00:56:25,320 --> 00:56:28,440
Speaker 3: they're not the team that they've been anymore. What if

1141
00:56:28,440 --> 00:56:31,520
Speaker 3: to A doesn't come back. If he doesn't, we might

1142
00:56:31,560 --> 00:56:33,400
Speaker 3: get Tim Boyle in this game as a three and

1143
00:56:33,400 --> 00:56:36,480
Speaker 3: a half point favorite. That's the big play here, honestly,

1144
00:56:36,560 --> 00:56:39,200
Speaker 3: is I'm just gonna grab this number and we don't

1145
00:56:39,239 --> 00:56:42,319
Speaker 3: know if Twas gonna play. If he does play, the

1146
00:56:42,360 --> 00:56:45,640
Speaker 3: whole thing with Tua has been an offense predicated on

1147
00:56:45,760 --> 00:56:48,440
Speaker 3: timing and feel, and the dude doesn't been on the

1148
00:56:48,480 --> 00:56:51,160
Speaker 3: field for six weeks. So I'm not sure that even

1149
00:56:51,200 --> 00:56:53,960
Speaker 3: there that you love being over a field goal favorite

1150
00:56:53,960 --> 00:56:57,880
Speaker 3: above the key number Scaler, Thompson is hurt, Tyler Huntley

1151
00:56:57,920 --> 00:57:01,160
Speaker 3: has hurt. Tim Boyle sounds like a care from the office.

1152
00:57:01,640 --> 00:57:03,680
Speaker 3: Put those guys out there. I'm gonna take the three

1153
00:57:03,719 --> 00:57:06,719
Speaker 3: and a half points for the Cardinals here. I think

1154
00:57:06,760 --> 00:57:09,839
Speaker 3: the Cardinals offense is the only unit on the field

1155
00:57:09,920 --> 00:57:13,440
Speaker 3: that we know is like decent at least. The Dolphins

1156
00:57:13,800 --> 00:57:16,240
Speaker 3: defense hasn't really been much better than the Cardinals so far,

1157
00:57:16,400 --> 00:57:20,440
Speaker 3: so I'm gonna grab this now. Maybe the Cardinals look

1158
00:57:20,440 --> 00:57:23,160
Speaker 3: pretty good tomorrow night, and that probably moves the line

1159
00:57:23,280 --> 00:57:26,760
Speaker 3: past the key. Maybe we just get some bad news

1160
00:57:26,760 --> 00:57:29,160
Speaker 3: at quarterback for the Dolphins. I don't know what's happening

1161
00:57:29,200 --> 00:57:31,920
Speaker 3: with Tua, so I'll grab it now. If it turns

1162
00:57:31,920 --> 00:57:33,960
Speaker 3: out like I think this line is assuming to us

1163
00:57:33,960 --> 00:57:37,120
Speaker 3: supposed to play, that's how you'd be making them minus.

1164
00:57:38,600 --> 00:57:40,680
Speaker 1: The total forty eight and a half points.

1165
00:57:41,160 --> 00:57:45,920
Speaker 3: Yeah right, because because before the season, the Cardinals are

1166
00:57:45,920 --> 00:57:49,040
Speaker 3: supposed to have the worst defense and the Dolphins are

1167
00:57:49,040 --> 00:57:51,720
Speaker 3: supposed to have the number one offense. Some crazy person

1168
00:57:51,920 --> 00:57:53,920
Speaker 3: me on this podcast gave them out to lead the

1169
00:57:53,960 --> 00:57:57,320
Speaker 3: league in points. They have seventy and six games, but

1170
00:57:57,520 --> 00:58:00,720
Speaker 3: there's an assumption. I think that tools plug back in

1171
00:58:00,760 --> 00:58:03,960
Speaker 3: they'll be the Dolphins again to a play for the Dolphins.

1172
00:58:03,960 --> 00:58:05,919
Speaker 3: The first couple of games they were the Dolphins those

1173
00:58:05,960 --> 00:58:08,320
Speaker 3: games quite yet then either they didn't look very good

1174
00:58:08,400 --> 00:58:11,600
Speaker 3: even with them. Then we'll see. I'll take the three

1175
00:58:11,600 --> 00:58:12,920
Speaker 3: and a half. Give me the Cardinals.

1176
00:58:13,200 --> 00:58:17,080
Speaker 1: Okay, yeah, I guess the other thing too, is the

1177
00:58:17,080 --> 00:58:21,800
Speaker 1: Cardinals are playing Monday night, a late ESPN Plus exclusive

1178
00:58:21,840 --> 00:58:24,280
Speaker 1: Monday night football game. You got to go all the

1179
00:58:24,280 --> 00:58:26,760
Speaker 1: way Arizona, all the way to Miami. That whole thing too,

1180
00:58:26,800 --> 00:58:28,720
Speaker 1: I guess you're factor that. I know it's a home rode,

1181
00:58:28,720 --> 00:58:32,240
Speaker 1: but at the travel component, short week, but yeah, I'm

1182
00:58:32,280 --> 00:58:34,720
Speaker 1: with you there. High total, that's a big total, forty

1183
00:58:34,720 --> 00:58:38,360
Speaker 1: eight and a half with not knowing how two is which.

1184
00:58:38,360 --> 00:58:42,120
Speaker 1: By the way, on Miami, Mike McDaniel, I thought you

1185
00:58:42,240 --> 00:58:44,360
Speaker 1: were better than this. I mean, you still got waddle,

1186
00:58:44,400 --> 00:58:47,360
Speaker 1: you still got hill, You've had your rotation of backs.

1187
00:58:47,400 --> 00:58:50,000
Speaker 1: I realized that mosted out A chan got back today

1188
00:58:50,600 --> 00:58:52,480
Speaker 1: a little underwhelming. I mean, I thought this guy was

1189
00:58:52,480 --> 00:58:53,560
Speaker 1: supposed to be a whiz.

1190
00:58:54,840 --> 00:58:56,800
Speaker 3: Brandon, how about a host hot read? It sounds to

1191
00:58:56,840 --> 00:59:00,000
Speaker 3: me like you're hot reading the under are you want to? Honestly,

1192
00:59:00,160 --> 00:59:04,040
Speaker 3: but well, well, the people, if you want to, you

1193
00:59:04,040 --> 00:59:05,960
Speaker 3: want to tell Brendan, you grab the hot read under

1194
00:59:06,000 --> 00:59:08,439
Speaker 3: on this one. Forty seven is a key number. Yeah,

1195
00:59:08,480 --> 00:59:11,000
Speaker 3: so if you think again, if we're right, if Tua's

1196
00:59:11,080 --> 00:59:13,880
Speaker 3: not ready or out in this game, I promise you

1197
00:59:13,920 --> 00:59:15,640
Speaker 3: the total will not stay that high.

1198
00:59:15,760 --> 00:59:17,880
Speaker 4: So you make there's there's some forty eight and a

1199
00:59:17,880 --> 00:59:19,600
Speaker 4: half's out there, so I have at it.

1200
00:59:20,040 --> 00:59:22,880
Speaker 1: Yeah, what the hell? Forty eight and a half bonus

1201
00:59:23,000 --> 00:59:25,880
Speaker 1: bonus hot read. Okay, before we wrap up, let's hear

1202
00:59:26,000 --> 00:59:30,280
Speaker 1: from our friend Patrick Everson over at Vegas Insider for

1203
00:59:30,360 --> 00:59:33,680
Speaker 1: a market report. How did Las Vegas fare today?

1204
00:59:33,840 --> 00:59:35,680
Speaker 5: All right, Brendon, thanks a lot for having me on

1205
00:59:35,720 --> 00:59:40,320
Speaker 5: the Action Network podcast again this week to recap NFL

1206
00:59:40,640 --> 00:59:44,040
Speaker 5: week seven betting, how the bookmakers did, how the betters did,

1207
00:59:44,760 --> 00:59:49,480
Speaker 5: and generally speaking nationally, hearing from multiple odds makers that

1208
00:59:49,600 --> 00:59:53,680
Speaker 5: the public betters had a pretty good week again, now

1209
00:59:53,720 --> 00:59:56,800
Speaker 5: nothing comparable to week six, where the public betters took

1210
00:59:56,840 --> 00:59:59,360
Speaker 5: all the money, ran away and hid. The odds makers

1211
00:59:59,360 --> 01:00:01,000
Speaker 5: got hit over the head pretty good in week six,

1212
01:00:01,080 --> 01:00:03,160
Speaker 5: which is great for all of us on our side

1213
01:00:03,200 --> 01:00:05,840
Speaker 5: of the counter who are rooting for the betters. The

1214
01:00:06,240 --> 01:00:08,600
Speaker 5: public did good this week, but nothing to the extent

1215
01:00:08,920 --> 01:00:11,000
Speaker 5: of Week six. To give you a couple of small

1216
01:00:11,040 --> 01:00:15,040
Speaker 5: samples at bet MGM on point spread tickets, the most

1217
01:00:15,080 --> 01:00:19,040
Speaker 5: bet teams buy ticket count were the Lions plus one

1218
01:00:19,040 --> 01:00:22,160
Speaker 5: and a half, the Eagles minus three, the Bengals minus

1219
01:00:22,200 --> 01:00:25,120
Speaker 5: five and a half. All three of those teams win

1220
01:00:25,520 --> 01:00:30,040
Speaker 5: and cover. If you jump over to draft Kings, which

1221
01:00:30,160 --> 01:00:34,320
Speaker 5: pre game on pre games on Sunday, sent over some

1222
01:00:34,400 --> 01:00:38,960
Speaker 5: information on the team seeing the most action where the

1223
01:00:38,960 --> 01:00:42,920
Speaker 5: public was putting its tickets and dollars on Sunday. The

1224
01:00:42,960 --> 01:00:50,560
Speaker 5: top five teams in terms of ticket count where the Bengals, Eagles, Bills, Commanders, Lions,

1225
01:00:50,560 --> 01:00:53,240
Speaker 5: and that's point spread ticket count. All five of those

1226
01:00:53,280 --> 01:00:57,960
Speaker 5: teams Bengals, Eagles, Bills, Commanders, Lions all winners, and by

1227
01:00:57,960 --> 01:01:01,160
Speaker 5: the way, that makes the Lions twenty seven and nine

1228
01:01:01,200 --> 01:01:06,160
Speaker 5: straight up twenty eight and eight against the spread in

1229
01:01:06,200 --> 01:01:11,360
Speaker 5: their last thirty six games an absolute spread covering machine.

1230
01:01:11,400 --> 01:01:14,960
Speaker 5: Prior to Sunday's games, Tristan Davis at bet MGM noted

1231
01:01:15,360 --> 01:01:19,160
Speaker 5: that the Bills, Commanders, Bengals, and Eagles were all heavily backed,

1232
01:01:19,640 --> 01:01:23,520
Speaker 5: all favorites that were very popular generally speaking, pretty good

1233
01:01:23,560 --> 01:01:26,240
Speaker 5: day for the public. Obviously, you had the Chiefs as

1234
01:01:26,280 --> 01:01:29,520
Speaker 5: a short underdog, and that plus symbol in front of

1235
01:01:29,520 --> 01:01:32,400
Speaker 5: their money line price was also super attractive to betters

1236
01:01:32,640 --> 01:01:35,560
Speaker 5: at multiple sports books. So the Chiefs were certainly very

1237
01:01:35,600 --> 01:01:39,840
Speaker 5: public on Sunday as well, and got there with their

1238
01:01:39,840 --> 01:01:42,000
Speaker 5: twenty eight to eighteen win in the Super Bowl rematch

1239
01:01:42,000 --> 01:01:44,800
Speaker 5: against the San Francisco forty nine Ers. Now that said,

1240
01:01:44,800 --> 01:01:48,760
Speaker 5: there were some pockets, mostly kind of regional bias pockets,

1241
01:01:48,760 --> 01:01:52,600
Speaker 5: particularly here in Nevada. The super books saw pretty good

1242
01:01:52,640 --> 01:01:55,040
Speaker 5: money come in, a lot more tickets on the Chiefs,

1243
01:01:55,360 --> 01:01:59,000
Speaker 5: but bigger bets coming in on the Niners and BETEMGM

1244
01:01:59,000 --> 01:02:01,640
Speaker 5: here in Nevada. Betam GAM in Las Vegas also noted

1245
01:02:02,600 --> 01:02:05,240
Speaker 5: several six figure plays on the forty nine Ers. So

1246
01:02:05,840 --> 01:02:09,280
Speaker 5: regionally they needed the Niners, but needed the Chiefs, i

1247
01:02:09,280 --> 01:02:14,080
Speaker 5: should say, But nationally, the overall need for BETMGAM was

1248
01:02:14,120 --> 01:02:16,919
Speaker 5: certainly the forty nine Ers, who did not get there,

1249
01:02:17,200 --> 01:02:21,280
Speaker 5: and then on Sunday night, multiple odds makers, multiple books,

1250
01:02:21,280 --> 01:02:23,600
Speaker 5: whether it was here in Vegas or more nationally with

1251
01:02:23,760 --> 01:02:26,520
Speaker 5: the betam gms of the world and so forth, it

1252
01:02:26,680 --> 01:02:29,040
Speaker 5: definitely needed the Steelers. The Jets were a real popular

1253
01:02:29,120 --> 01:02:31,360
Speaker 5: play in the wake of picking up Devonte Adams and

1254
01:02:31,440 --> 01:02:34,440
Speaker 5: so forth, and the Steelers get there. So there was

1255
01:02:34,480 --> 01:02:36,960
Speaker 5: certainly some give back from the betters on this Sunday

1256
01:02:37,000 --> 01:02:39,480
Speaker 5: as well, but it sounds like generally not a bad

1257
01:02:39,600 --> 01:02:45,320
Speaker 5: day for the public betting masses. And as we look

1258
01:02:45,480 --> 01:02:49,320
Speaker 5: to with two games on Monday Night football, only one

1259
01:02:49,320 --> 01:02:52,000
Speaker 5: of which I think is really that fascinating, and that

1260
01:02:52,160 --> 01:02:55,439
Speaker 5: is the Ravens and the Buccaneers. And I'd heard early

1261
01:02:55,480 --> 01:02:57,640
Speaker 5: in the week from a couple of different odds makers

1262
01:02:57,640 --> 01:02:59,680
Speaker 5: that the Bucks were taking some early money on this.

1263
01:03:00,400 --> 01:03:04,000
Speaker 5: It shows in the line at BETEMGM, for example, You've

1264
01:03:04,000 --> 01:03:05,360
Speaker 5: got an open or plus four and a half got

1265
01:03:05,360 --> 01:03:08,520
Speaker 5: down to three and a half. Decent two way action

1266
01:03:08,600 --> 01:03:12,360
Speaker 5: at BETAMGM heading into Monday, with a lean toward the

1267
01:03:12,440 --> 01:03:15,280
Speaker 5: Ravens on the point spread and then a modest lean

1268
01:03:15,400 --> 01:03:17,920
Speaker 5: toward the Buccaneers on the money line. You know, kind

1269
01:03:17,920 --> 01:03:21,600
Speaker 5: of slightly liking that plus price on the money line

1270
01:03:21,640 --> 01:03:23,960
Speaker 5: with the Bucks at home on Monday night, and then

1271
01:03:23,960 --> 01:03:26,560
Speaker 5: you got the Chargers and the Cardinals, the game that

1272
01:03:26,640 --> 01:03:30,080
Speaker 5: not nearly as many people are interested in, but at

1273
01:03:30,120 --> 01:03:33,000
Speaker 5: bet MGM at least as we had, you know, as

1274
01:03:33,040 --> 01:03:37,200
Speaker 5: Monday and folds, you've got more tickets on the spread

1275
01:03:37,200 --> 01:03:38,800
Speaker 5: by about a two to one margin in favor of

1276
01:03:38,800 --> 01:03:43,040
Speaker 5: the Chargers, but fifty percent of spread money on the Cardinals.

1277
01:03:43,640 --> 01:03:45,480
Speaker 5: And if you want to take that over to the

1278
01:03:45,520 --> 01:03:48,360
Speaker 5: money line as well, it's actually almost dead even two

1279
01:03:48,440 --> 01:03:52,000
Speaker 5: way action on the Chargers Cardinals on the money line,

1280
01:03:52,120 --> 01:03:54,000
Speaker 5: and looking at the total just real quickly on both

1281
01:03:54,040 --> 01:03:56,360
Speaker 5: those games, they are betting the over on both of

1282
01:03:56,360 --> 01:03:58,240
Speaker 5: those games. As we head to Monday again, this is

1283
01:03:58,240 --> 01:04:00,200
Speaker 5: at BETAMGM. You got about three to one two get

1284
01:04:00,240 --> 01:04:03,680
Speaker 5: some money on the over in Raven's Buccaneers, and you've

1285
01:04:03,680 --> 01:04:06,360
Speaker 5: got about four to one tickets and money in the

1286
01:04:06,400 --> 01:04:09,120
Speaker 5: early going with still several hours to go before kickoff,

1287
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Speaker 5: four to one tickets and money on the over in

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Speaker 5: the Chargers Cardinals game. But again, overall, just to sum

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Speaker 5: it up, looks like a decent weekend for the public.

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Speaker 5: The books got some back a little bit. The books

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Speaker 5: didn't take nearly the bath that they took on NFL

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Speaker 5: Week six odds, And we'll look forward to seeing you

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Speaker 5: again and talking to you again after NFL Week eight.

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Speaker 1: That's it. That is our Week seven recap episode here

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Speaker 1: on the Action Network Podcast. Thanks to those of you

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Speaker 1: watching live on YouTube and for hanging out at the

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Speaker 1: entire show. Please like the videos, subscribe to our channel

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01:04:42,520 --> 01:04:44,960
Speaker 1: and we'll be back at it next week. And those

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Speaker 1: of you listening, of course wherever you get your podcasts

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01:04:47,320 --> 01:04:50,440
Speaker 1: on the Action Network podcast for Brandon Anderson, our director

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01:04:50,480 --> 01:04:53,600
Speaker 1: of Research and media Eman Abrams Brending, Glasheen signing off,

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Speaker 1: Thanks for tuning into the Action Network Podcast. We will

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01:04:56,040 --> 01:05:15,320
Speaker 1: join you again late night next Sunday. Action Network reminds

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01:05:15,360 --> 01:05:17,400
Speaker 1: you please gamble responsibly.

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01:05:17,800 --> 01:05:20,640
Speaker 5: If you or someone you care about has a gambling problem,

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01:05:20,920 --> 01:05:23,560
Speaker 5: help is available twenty four to seven at one eight

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Speaker 5: hundred gambler