WEBVTT - A US Recession and Retail Report

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<v Speaker 2>Welcome to the Bloomberg Markets Podcast. I'm Paul Sweeney alongside

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<v Speaker 2>my co host Matt Miller.

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<v Speaker 1>Every business day we bring you interviews from CEOs, market pros,

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<v Speaker 1>and Bloomberg experts, along with essential market movin news.

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<v Speaker 2>I'm the Bloomberg Markets podcast called Apple Podcasts or wherever

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<v Speaker 2>you listen to podcasts, and at Bloomberg dot Com slash podcast.

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<v Speaker 2>Chris Campbell joins us. He's a Chief Strategisticcroll. He joins

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<v Speaker 2>us here on a Bloomberg Interactive Broker studio. Chris, what

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<v Speaker 2>are you telling clients here these days? I mean we've

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<v Speaker 2>had this you know, rally here in November, and I

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<v Speaker 2>guess it's in part due to I guess a lot

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<v Speaker 2>of investors are probably like me, saying, boy, if I'm

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<v Speaker 2>at peak rates, don't I take on some risks here

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<v Speaker 2>with my portfolio?

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<v Speaker 3>Yeah.

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<v Speaker 4>Look, I think that's it's highly likely that we've probably

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<v Speaker 4>seen that the the top of the rate interest rate raise.

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<v Speaker 4>But I kind of concerned myself more of a pessimistic

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<v Speaker 4>optimist right now, which means I think we're going to

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<v Speaker 4>be some We're going to go some difficult times. But

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<v Speaker 4>on the other side of this, it's going to be

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<v Speaker 4>quite significant. There's you know, trillions of dollars you know,

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<v Speaker 4>out there in the park and the in the sidelines,

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<v Speaker 4>with the with the funds and families that we advise,

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<v Speaker 4>and I think they're looking.

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<v Speaker 5>For this correction.

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<v Speaker 4>I think that on the opposite of the correction will

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<v Speaker 4>be just an enormous amount of money flooding the capital market,

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<v Speaker 4>flooding the markets, and emerging acquisitions and lots of other

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<v Speaker 4>things that are goodness will happen.

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<v Speaker 5>I think probably late next year or earlier the year after.

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<v Speaker 1>Remember, Paul, you want to buy low, yes, to sell high?

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<v Speaker 6>Right, buy them and hold them.

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<v Speaker 1>You like to buy high and hold.

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<v Speaker 6>I just buy buy the.

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<v Speaker 2>Mo Yeah, mentum, Well, I mean you can catch on

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<v Speaker 2>the wrong side of that rush so many times, trying

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<v Speaker 2>to catch the falling knife.

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<v Speaker 1>That's a good point. What do you think about that?

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<v Speaker 5>Yeah, you know, it's probably a good idea to buy

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<v Speaker 5>low so high typically it's good. It's good good advice.

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<v Speaker 1>I so you could have caught the falling knife with

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<v Speaker 1>treasuries at five percent. We were like freaking out. Yes,

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<v Speaker 1>in this studio.

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<v Speaker 6>Right's a good point.

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<v Speaker 2>I mean, right across the curve, we had fives everywhere

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<v Speaker 2>at seventy two dollars on a barrel of oil.

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<v Speaker 1>We're freaking out.

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<v Speaker 6>I had to buy some oil here.

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<v Speaker 2>Another thing, but I mean Lisa Browma is sitting with

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<v Speaker 2>a big barrel of oil in her apartment and you

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<v Speaker 2>got it for negative forty bucks. Negative forty bucks. All right,

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<v Speaker 2>so we're in the market. Are you looking these days here?

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<v Speaker 2>I mean, because it seems like do I stick with

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<v Speaker 2>the magnificent seven that have worked so well? Do I

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<v Speaker 2>try to find some of the laggards?

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<v Speaker 6>How are you thinking about it?

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<v Speaker 4>I think actually you can start diversifying it again, if

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<v Speaker 4>we're going to see if we're seeing peak or eights,

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<v Speaker 4>like I do think we're going to be higher for longer.

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<v Speaker 4>I think that the Fed Reserve is going to try

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<v Speaker 4>to avoid becoming a rate lowering interest rates next year,

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<v Speaker 4>and a little bit of a contrarian in this in

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<v Speaker 4>this regard because I believe that there's you know, it

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<v Speaker 4>just becomes really political the Federal Reserve. I think that

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<v Speaker 4>actually the chairman actually has an enormous and out out

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<v Speaker 4>sized influence in the twenty four four elections because I

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<v Speaker 4>think it's mostly it's going to be the economy, and

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<v Speaker 4>so you know, I can think that he'll just be

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<v Speaker 4>very careful and be cautious about that, and so I

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<v Speaker 4>think that we're going to be we're in for a

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<v Speaker 4>tight thout, probably not all in next year. Sob Dan,

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<v Speaker 4>I think like this this is the time to long

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<v Speaker 4>the market absolutely and diversify.

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<v Speaker 1>You were, by the way, a former assistant secretary for

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<v Speaker 1>the US Treasury Department. You have interacted with Jerome Powell

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<v Speaker 1>on a wide variety of topics. But I wonder what

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<v Speaker 1>your thoughts are on the on the Druck and Miller

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<v Speaker 1>Yellen spat. I mean, could we really have sold much

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<v Speaker 1>longer maturities at much lower rates. Should we have done that?

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<v Speaker 7>Yeah?

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<v Speaker 4>I think there's as in every argument, there's two sides

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<v Speaker 4>of it.

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<v Speaker 1>Of course, and also hindsight is twenty twenty. I get

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<v Speaker 1>that fully.

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<v Speaker 4>So like I, I try not to look back at

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<v Speaker 4>my former colleagues and with you know, and try to

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<v Speaker 4>second guess what they've did. It's it's very difficult. Those

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<v Speaker 4>jobs are extremely difficult and they're very hard to you know.

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<v Speaker 5>So there's there. You get pressure from everywhere.

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<v Speaker 1>All right, So let me ask you this in terms

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<v Speaker 1>of the FED. For a while, there is this thought

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<v Speaker 1>that Jerome Powell would do anything not to become another

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<v Speaker 1>Arthur Burns. That is, he wanted to really crush inflation

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<v Speaker 1>and stop it in its tracks so that it never

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<v Speaker 1>reared its ugly head again, or at least you know,

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<v Speaker 1>during his time. Is that still the case or is

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<v Speaker 1>he going to start worrying about you know, joblessness and

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<v Speaker 1>economic slow down. Is he going to start getting a

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<v Speaker 1>little bit soft and dubvish when the bad data comes out?

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah?

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<v Speaker 4>I always compared to me, I think you try to

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<v Speaker 4>avoid to becoming pulled. I mean, I think it just

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<v Speaker 4>doesn't want to have, you know, any kind of diflation.

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<v Speaker 4>I think it's trying to avoid that at all. So

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<v Speaker 4>I think that tight for longer. Make sure you stamp

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<v Speaker 4>it out right. I think that there's you know, some

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<v Speaker 4>FED governors are suggesting, and I think that the FED

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<v Speaker 4>is looking for us slow down in job job growth,

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<v Speaker 4>and that's you know, all of that means. I think

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<v Speaker 4>this is where I'm a little bit pessimistic, if you will,

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<v Speaker 4>and I think we're going to get see. A bit

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<v Speaker 4>of a downside is that, you know, the American consumer

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<v Speaker 4>is kind of running an esteem. I think that they're

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<v Speaker 4>they're the largest economic engine of the economy, and you know,

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<v Speaker 4>they've spent their savings and now they're now they're spending

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<v Speaker 4>our credit cards at record rates, at a very high

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<v Speaker 4>eye address.

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<v Speaker 2>So you're also former staff director the Senate Finance Committee

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<v Speaker 2>at the United States Senate.

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<v Speaker 6>What did you do there?

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<v Speaker 4>The committee is in charge of all Medicare, medicaid, social security,

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<v Speaker 4>tax policy, international trade. So what oversaw seventy percent of

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<v Speaker 4>US spending one hundred percent in becoming revenue.

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<v Speaker 2>So is it your job to make sure that when

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<v Speaker 2>senators are on television questioning witnesses and whenever anybody comes

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<v Speaker 2>in front of their committee that they sound intelligent.

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<v Speaker 5>That working very closely with the members and their staff.

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<v Speaker 5>You know it. It was treading set an agenda that

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<v Speaker 5>was very difficult. You know.

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<v Speaker 4>The difficult things about what we are mandate was that

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<v Speaker 4>they were just all of them are extremely political. You know,

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<v Speaker 4>I can't think that you know, good people can have

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<v Speaker 4>arguments about entitlements, you know, Medicare and medicaiding social Security.

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<v Speaker 4>But the challenge is trying to change trying to actually

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<v Speaker 4>have a public debate that actually doesn't become highly political,

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<v Speaker 4>politicized and really scared Americans is really hard on those issues.

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<v Speaker 4>And then tax policy, of course, is that there's always

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<v Speaker 4>a give and take where one side typically likes slower taxes,

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<v Speaker 4>one side likes higher taxes, and it's just you know,

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<v Speaker 4>you try to find some way to get compromised.

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<v Speaker 6>But it works between senators. Happens behind the doors.

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<v Speaker 2>I mean, did they really walk down to the hall

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<v Speaker 2>and say, let's debate this issue.

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<v Speaker 6>I want to.

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<v Speaker 1>Does that happen lately? They just say do you want

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<v Speaker 1>to fight? Exactly? And I guess the.

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<v Speaker 2>Reason I was going because I just you know, we

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<v Speaker 2>look at these committee here, whether it's technology people coming

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<v Speaker 2>in from or whatever, and our senators in our congressman,

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<v Speaker 2>they just sound so uninformed. It's really painful slash embarrassing.

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<v Speaker 2>But I'm just wondering do they debate the issues amongst themselves?

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<v Speaker 5>They do, and staff does a lot of that work

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<v Speaker 5>for them as well.

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<v Speaker 4>But I think it's, you know, like it's it's very difficult,

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<v Speaker 4>as you know, they're they're they're also pulled everywhere, but

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<v Speaker 4>the challenges and I don't want to get anyone in

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<v Speaker 4>trouble because right now in American politics, if you're a

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<v Speaker 4>Republican talking to a Democrat or Democrat republic and talking

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<v Speaker 4>to republic and your voters don't like you. But I

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<v Speaker 4>will say that there's an enormous amount of that happening

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<v Speaker 4>behind closed doors, and it has to because honestly, genuinely,

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<v Speaker 4>nothing would get done, and I think nothing's gonna be

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<v Speaker 4>done now.

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<v Speaker 2>They have people we talk to are always so bright,

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<v Speaker 2>so well educated, they know the issues, and then when

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<v Speaker 2>you see these men and women on TV, they're just

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<v Speaker 2>the worst.

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<v Speaker 1>They have to be Like what has to get elected

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<v Speaker 1>by the American exactly like what happened?

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<v Speaker 2>Don't this staff like Spoon feed them what to say,

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<v Speaker 2>what questions they ask? How did they come across so bad?

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<v Speaker 4>I'll say that, you know, I think that the Congress

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<v Speaker 4>reflects the mood of the American people that at that time.

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<v Speaker 6>Yea, I guess that's so.

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<v Speaker 4>I think that that's you know, I think that the

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<v Speaker 4>American people get the House represents they want in the

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<v Speaker 4>sense they want at the time. And of course we

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<v Speaker 4>have a little bit of a shorter, a longer fuse

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<v Speaker 4>on the presidency, right, So, but yeah, I think it's

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<v Speaker 4>going to be interesting to see how this next election happens.

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<v Speaker 4>I think there's you know, there's a lot of variables

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<v Speaker 4>at play, and there's significant issues.

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<v Speaker 6>Do you appine on potential election outcomes for your clients?

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<v Speaker 4>Everyone wants to know, right, and it matters, I mean, right,

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<v Speaker 4>the policy under Republican or Democratic administration is going to change,

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<v Speaker 4>you know, And of course then it matters if it's

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<v Speaker 4>Trump or Haley or someone else in the Republican side,

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<v Speaker 4>or if it's Biden another Democrat on the Democratic side.

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<v Speaker 4>And so yeah, absolutely, I think that there's you know,

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<v Speaker 4>significant issues. But I believe though that if the economy

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<v Speaker 4>is such a central component of the election.

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<v Speaker 5>In twenty twenty four, and we are in a downturn.

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<v Speaker 4>Likely it's it's a bad time to be in a

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<v Speaker 4>cumbent in DC at that time, and so i'd likely

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<v Speaker 4>see a wholesale chain. I think the House maker Democrat

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<v Speaker 4>that House Senate to makeover republicand and perhaps when may

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<v Speaker 4>see your republic.

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<v Speaker 1>Having gone to the Thunderbird School of Global Management, do

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<v Speaker 1>you have any advice for Duke on how to play basketball.

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<v Speaker 4>I have friends, I have friends everywhere, So I'm just

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<v Speaker 4>gonna set up my hands on the.

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<v Speaker 1>You'll talk politics, talk as you more fun or UCSB.

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<v Speaker 5>Oh gosh, that's a really good question, Barbara. At least

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<v Speaker 5>we're underground. I think there's you're not very far from

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<v Speaker 5>the beach and any anywhere on that campus.

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<v Speaker 6>So all right, Chris, thanks so much for joining us.

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<v Speaker 2>Chris Camber, he's a chief strategist at Kroll, talks about

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<v Speaker 2>this market in politics.

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<v Speaker 7>You're listening to the team Can's are live program Bloomberg

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<v Speaker 7>Markets weekdays at ten am Eastern on Bloomberg dot com,

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<v Speaker 7>the iHeartRadio app, and the Bloomberg Business app, or listen

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<v Speaker 7>on demand wherever you get your podcasts.

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<v Speaker 6>We're joined by Norma Chu.

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<v Speaker 2>She is the CEO of Day Day Cook the New

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<v Speaker 2>York stocker change symbols D is David d C. When

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<v Speaker 2>public today sold three point nine million shares at eight

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<v Speaker 2>dollars and fifty cents to share. The stocks traininger around

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<v Speaker 2>six dollars right now, Norma, thanks so much for joining

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<v Speaker 2>us on a busy day for you guys. Can you

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<v Speaker 2>tell our audience kind of what Day Day Cook is?

0:10:17.360 --> 0:10:19.720
<v Speaker 2>What do you guys do over there? Sure?

0:10:19.800 --> 0:10:22.680
<v Speaker 3>Hi, thanks for having me today. You know, I started

0:10:22.679 --> 0:10:25.240
<v Speaker 3>the business about twelve years ago, and the whole concept

0:10:25.280 --> 0:10:27.240
<v Speaker 3>was really to create a platform and brand that can

0:10:27.320 --> 0:10:30.560
<v Speaker 3>encourage a younger generation to enjoy cooking at home. And

0:10:30.679 --> 0:10:33.120
<v Speaker 3>right now. We are a food innovator and we own

0:10:33.160 --> 0:10:36.040
<v Speaker 3>a portfolio of brands, and all of our brands basically

0:10:36.080 --> 0:10:39.520
<v Speaker 3>provide ready to cook and ready to heat product solutions.

0:10:40.040 --> 0:10:42.640
<v Speaker 3>We also do a lot of social media marketing, building

0:10:42.640 --> 0:10:45.880
<v Speaker 3>brands and promoting products and also engaging with our customers.

0:10:46.440 --> 0:10:49.600
<v Speaker 1>All right, so I have been cooking a lot this year.

0:10:49.800 --> 0:10:52.199
<v Speaker 1>What do you have for me? What are the products?

0:10:52.520 --> 0:10:53.760
<v Speaker 1>Give us some examples?

0:10:54.280 --> 0:10:57.920
<v Speaker 3>Sure, you know, since even though I'd started the business

0:10:57.920 --> 0:11:00.680
<v Speaker 3>out of Hong Kong a long time ago, so last

0:11:00.720 --> 0:11:03.280
<v Speaker 3>year we started looking into the US market. This year

0:11:03.280 --> 0:11:06.080
<v Speaker 3>we just completed our very first acquisition of a brand

0:11:06.080 --> 0:11:09.560
<v Speaker 3>called Nona Limb. So Nona Limb you can find her

0:11:09.600 --> 0:11:13.280
<v Speaker 3>products right now in Whole Foods, Kroger, Target, and also

0:11:13.760 --> 0:11:17.720
<v Speaker 3>a wide selection of online e commerce platform. You can

0:11:17.760 --> 0:11:21.000
<v Speaker 3>probably try some of our noodle starter kits and also

0:11:21.040 --> 0:11:24.480
<v Speaker 3>a variety of phone broths. Coming up next, we do

0:11:24.600 --> 0:11:27.679
<v Speaker 3>have a shelf stable, clean label cup noodle coming to

0:11:27.760 --> 0:11:30.360
<v Speaker 3>the market, so hopefully you enjoy those as well.

0:11:30.920 --> 0:11:34.760
<v Speaker 2>So talk to us about how your business, I guess

0:11:34.920 --> 0:11:37.920
<v Speaker 2>was impacted during the pandemic because I would think everybody

0:11:38.160 --> 0:11:40.440
<v Speaker 2>was cooking at home and there's a lot of demand

0:11:40.520 --> 0:11:44.000
<v Speaker 2>for you know, easier ways to cook at home. How

0:11:44.000 --> 0:11:45.440
<v Speaker 2>did that impact your business?

0:11:45.840 --> 0:11:48.360
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, that is so true. You know, I started about

0:11:48.400 --> 0:11:50.520
<v Speaker 3>ten years ago, and at that time, I think a

0:11:50.520 --> 0:11:53.760
<v Speaker 3>lot of people still wonder, you know, will the younger

0:11:53.800 --> 0:11:57.120
<v Speaker 3>generation enjoy cooking at home? But since the past few years,

0:11:57.160 --> 0:11:59.040
<v Speaker 3>I think there are a lot of different trends that

0:11:59.080 --> 0:12:01.920
<v Speaker 3>we're seeing is really driving the growth of our market.

0:12:02.160 --> 0:12:04.960
<v Speaker 3>The first one is really structural change and consumer behavior.

0:12:05.240 --> 0:12:07.200
<v Speaker 3>I think a lot of younger consumer now do you

0:12:07.240 --> 0:12:08.959
<v Speaker 3>want to cook at home? But you know they want

0:12:08.960 --> 0:12:13.000
<v Speaker 3>a convenient, delicious meal with minimal effort. Second thing, you know,

0:12:13.040 --> 0:12:16.680
<v Speaker 3>I think is really the whole work at home social trend.

0:12:16.880 --> 0:12:19.319
<v Speaker 3>So in general, a lot of families are cooking probably six,

0:12:19.400 --> 0:12:21.760
<v Speaker 3>seven or eight more meals at home now and that's

0:12:21.800 --> 0:12:24.280
<v Speaker 3>also really helping you know, our space and really driving

0:12:24.320 --> 0:12:25.960
<v Speaker 3>the growth that we're seeing.

0:12:26.600 --> 0:12:29.319
<v Speaker 1>How have you dealt with food inflation? Are your input

0:12:29.360 --> 0:12:32.920
<v Speaker 1>costs continuing to rise or have you seen the turnaround?

0:12:34.000 --> 0:12:35.640
<v Speaker 3>Well, the good thing is, you know, we are an

0:12:35.679 --> 0:12:38.080
<v Speaker 3>asset light model, so we work with a number of

0:12:38.160 --> 0:12:41.480
<v Speaker 3>you know, manufacturers and experienced partners, so that gives us

0:12:41.480 --> 0:12:43.560
<v Speaker 3>a little bit of flexibility in terms of you know,

0:12:43.640 --> 0:12:46.720
<v Speaker 3>sourcing and manufacturing. And the beauty is, you know, this

0:12:46.840 --> 0:12:49.800
<v Speaker 3>year and looking ahead, we do have a very aggressive

0:12:49.840 --> 0:12:53.080
<v Speaker 3>plan in terms of growing internationally. And the nice thing is,

0:12:53.080 --> 0:12:55.439
<v Speaker 3>you know, in markets like the US, Europe and other

0:12:55.480 --> 0:12:57.960
<v Speaker 3>parts of the world, we are seeing such strong demand

0:12:58.080 --> 0:13:00.679
<v Speaker 3>for our product which really enable us to price our

0:13:00.720 --> 0:13:04.720
<v Speaker 3>products with healthier margin. So that's also having a positive

0:13:04.760 --> 0:13:06.120
<v Speaker 3>impact on our business.

0:13:06.480 --> 0:13:09.520
<v Speaker 2>So geographically, where where do you do business these days?

0:13:09.559 --> 0:13:11.440
<v Speaker 2>And what's kind of your your future look like.

0:13:12.480 --> 0:13:14.960
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, so I started in Hong Kong and twenty twelve

0:13:15.000 --> 0:13:18.000
<v Speaker 3>and then we're expanding into mainland, trying to market did

0:13:18.120 --> 0:13:20.360
<v Speaker 3>not last year we started looking into the US and

0:13:20.400 --> 0:13:22.960
<v Speaker 3>this year with the very first acquisition that we just completed.

0:13:23.160 --> 0:13:25.679
<v Speaker 3>So we all look targeting about ten to fifteen percent

0:13:25.679 --> 0:13:28.040
<v Speaker 3>of revenue coming out of the US market this year

0:13:28.720 --> 0:13:31.079
<v Speaker 3>and looking ahead, you know, we're targeting you know, thirty

0:13:31.120 --> 0:13:33.960
<v Speaker 3>percent in three years time, fifty percent in five years

0:13:34.040 --> 0:13:35.600
<v Speaker 3>time of international sales.

0:13:36.760 --> 0:13:39.520
<v Speaker 2>So I'm just looking at your stock again, six dollars

0:13:39.559 --> 0:13:42.000
<v Speaker 2>you share? It went public this morning at eight dollars

0:13:42.000 --> 0:13:44.480
<v Speaker 2>and fifty cents. Any idea what's kind of pushing the

0:13:44.480 --> 0:13:46.320
<v Speaker 2>stock down here? If you heard from your your bankers

0:13:46.400 --> 0:13:46.840
<v Speaker 2>or anything.

0:13:47.760 --> 0:13:50.280
<v Speaker 3>Well, you know, I used to be a stock research analyst.

0:13:50.679 --> 0:13:53.960
<v Speaker 3>Night there you go, So I typically don't get to

0:13:54.200 --> 0:13:56.480
<v Speaker 3>hung up on a day to day you know, performance

0:13:56.480 --> 0:13:59.439
<v Speaker 3>of the stock. I'm more a fundamental research analyst, So

0:13:59.440 --> 0:14:02.160
<v Speaker 3>I would believe been focusing on our business plan, continue

0:14:02.160 --> 0:14:04.800
<v Speaker 3>to execute and the stock will just perform on its own.

0:14:05.080 --> 0:14:08.559
<v Speaker 1>And the proceeds, I guess are for acquisitions. That's how

0:14:08.679 --> 0:14:09.840
<v Speaker 1>you plan to expand.

0:14:10.800 --> 0:14:13.240
<v Speaker 3>That's right, a portion, a big portion of this continue

0:14:13.240 --> 0:14:16.160
<v Speaker 3>to drive business growth, and within our growth strategy really

0:14:16.240 --> 0:14:19.400
<v Speaker 3>is looking at M and A transactions, amine opportunities to

0:14:19.480 --> 0:14:23.200
<v Speaker 3>help us establish a more international footprint and also continue

0:14:23.200 --> 0:14:25.360
<v Speaker 3>to grow our multi brand product portfolio.

0:14:26.240 --> 0:14:29.120
<v Speaker 2>So I mean you talk about the younger folks, I

0:14:29.160 --> 0:14:31.960
<v Speaker 2>actually agree. I mean when I was younger, comingut of college,

0:14:32.000 --> 0:14:34.560
<v Speaker 2>it never cooked. But the kids today, maybe it's just

0:14:34.600 --> 0:14:36.000
<v Speaker 2>because of the pandemic.

0:14:36.760 --> 0:14:39.120
<v Speaker 6>I mean they're cooking and they're going all in.

0:14:39.600 --> 0:14:41.600
<v Speaker 1>I mean, yes, tradience.

0:14:41.800 --> 0:14:43.640
<v Speaker 2>I mean it's just I mean, is that kind of

0:14:44.200 --> 0:14:45.480
<v Speaker 2>kind of the market you're looking at.

0:14:46.640 --> 0:14:49.240
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, I mean it's just so exciting that now I

0:14:49.240 --> 0:14:51.640
<v Speaker 3>think the younger generation do feel cooking with a lot

0:14:51.640 --> 0:14:54.840
<v Speaker 3>of passion, and it just makes me so happy to

0:14:54.880 --> 0:14:56.720
<v Speaker 3>see that, because I mean, cooking has always been a

0:14:56.720 --> 0:14:59.160
<v Speaker 3>part passion for me. But you know, when I look

0:14:59.200 --> 0:15:01.400
<v Speaker 3>at this space, I think there's a lot of opportunity

0:15:01.440 --> 0:15:04.640
<v Speaker 3>in terms of creating clean label products. And there's also

0:15:04.640 --> 0:15:06.320
<v Speaker 3>one of the criteria that we look for when we

0:15:06.360 --> 0:15:09.520
<v Speaker 3>look at more growth opportunity because I think, you know,

0:15:09.760 --> 0:15:14.920
<v Speaker 3>traditionally some consumer might think that Asian food products may

0:15:14.920 --> 0:15:16.880
<v Speaker 3>be a little bit more processed, maybe a little bit

0:15:16.880 --> 0:15:19.480
<v Speaker 3>more heavy on the sodium. But if you look at

0:15:19.520 --> 0:15:21.760
<v Speaker 3>the product, the brand that we just recently acquired, which

0:15:21.800 --> 0:15:24.560
<v Speaker 3>is known a Limb once again available at Whole Foods, Target,

0:15:24.600 --> 0:15:27.960
<v Speaker 3>and Kroger, all of the products are clean label, so

0:15:28.160 --> 0:15:30.760
<v Speaker 3>we really care about the type of ingredients that we use,

0:15:31.120 --> 0:15:33.320
<v Speaker 3>you know, into our manufacturing process.

0:15:33.760 --> 0:15:35.640
<v Speaker 2>All right, thanks very much for joining us. Norma Cheu,

0:15:35.800 --> 0:15:38.200
<v Speaker 2>she's the CEO of Day Day Cook symbol d d

0:15:38.320 --> 0:15:39.200
<v Speaker 2>C is a ticker symbol.

0:15:39.200 --> 0:15:40.480
<v Speaker 6>They just went public today.

0:15:41.000 --> 0:15:43.000
<v Speaker 2>Going to be ringing the closing bell at the New

0:15:43.040 --> 0:15:46.120
<v Speaker 2>York Sock Exchange later today, So that's exciting for any

0:15:46.400 --> 0:15:48.480
<v Speaker 2>new company. We appreciate getting a few minutes of your time.

0:15:48.960 --> 0:15:52.080
<v Speaker 7>You're listening to the tape. Cans are live program Bloomberg

0:15:52.160 --> 0:15:55.720
<v Speaker 7>Markets weekdays at ten am Eastern on Bloomberg Radio, the

0:15:55.800 --> 0:15:59.040
<v Speaker 7>tune in app, Bloomberg dot Com, and the Bloomberg Business App.

0:15:59.080 --> 0:16:01.880
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0:16:01.920 --> 0:16:06.280
<v Speaker 7>flagship New York station, Just say Alexa play Bloomberg eleven thirty.

0:16:08.000 --> 0:16:08.960
<v Speaker 6>Kevin Tiny joins us.

0:16:08.960 --> 0:16:11.320
<v Speaker 2>He's a senior autosanalyst with Bloomborg Intelligence, so he can

0:16:11.400 --> 0:16:13.040
<v Speaker 2>join in on this conversation.

0:16:13.800 --> 0:16:16.760
<v Speaker 1>So Matt, I'm pretty are you driving? So first of all,

0:16:16.800 --> 0:16:20.040
<v Speaker 1>I told you before, I'm driving an affordable suv okay

0:16:21.160 --> 0:16:26.040
<v Speaker 1>that seems to be fairly solidly built. It's very green,

0:16:27.120 --> 0:16:31.480
<v Speaker 1>and it's got great tech and the brand is Ascendant

0:16:32.040 --> 0:16:35.760
<v Speaker 1>Sendent Ascendant. It's a brand that I think, well, this

0:16:35.800 --> 0:16:37.360
<v Speaker 1>is why I wanted Kevin to join us, because I

0:16:37.400 --> 0:16:39.360
<v Speaker 1>don't actually know how well they do, but I see

0:16:39.400 --> 0:16:41.360
<v Speaker 1>more and more of them on the road, and I

0:16:41.440 --> 0:16:44.120
<v Speaker 1>know that they have a really cool new logo. Yep,

0:16:44.240 --> 0:16:48.240
<v Speaker 1>like that, and I'm talking about Akia obviously the new

0:16:48.280 --> 0:16:50.320
<v Speaker 1>logo Sento. It's been a guys a couple of years

0:16:50.360 --> 0:16:52.040
<v Speaker 1>since they made that new logo, and I feel like

0:16:52.120 --> 0:16:56.040
<v Speaker 1>it allows a whole new customer to buy into the

0:16:56.080 --> 0:17:00.440
<v Speaker 1>story because it just is a way to break is

0:17:00.440 --> 0:17:01.840
<v Speaker 1>it Korean? To break from the past.

0:17:01.920 --> 0:17:02.160
<v Speaker 7>Yeah.

0:17:02.320 --> 0:17:04.240
<v Speaker 1>You know when they first came out Kias and Hyundai's,

0:17:04.359 --> 0:17:06.600
<v Speaker 1>you thought, okay, this is a great at twenty thousand

0:17:06.600 --> 0:17:08.479
<v Speaker 1>dollars a conobox, I can driver a few years till

0:17:08.520 --> 0:17:11.480
<v Speaker 1>it breaks. But now I think it's a very different story. Kevin,

0:17:11.800 --> 0:17:13.840
<v Speaker 1>let me bring you in here and get your take

0:17:13.920 --> 0:17:18.480
<v Speaker 1>on you know, the quality of these vehicles, the abilities

0:17:18.480 --> 0:17:23.040
<v Speaker 1>of these vehicles, and for example, the what's the uh oh,

0:17:23.119 --> 0:17:25.399
<v Speaker 1>the tell You Ride? The Kia Tell You Ride. I

0:17:25.400 --> 0:17:27.680
<v Speaker 1>feel like that could be cross shopped with a range

0:17:27.720 --> 0:17:29.879
<v Speaker 1>drover and it costs like a third the price. So

0:17:29.920 --> 0:17:30.880
<v Speaker 1>what do you think about Kia?

0:17:31.760 --> 0:17:35.680
<v Speaker 8>Yeah, you know, that is an interesting story because it's

0:17:36.440 --> 0:17:41.800
<v Speaker 8>you know, the the two brands, Hundai and Kia have

0:17:41.800 --> 0:17:45.200
<v Speaker 8>have moved from the entry and move up market to

0:17:45.800 --> 0:17:49.639
<v Speaker 8>higher price points and intensified their truck versus car mix.

0:17:49.920 --> 0:17:53.359
<v Speaker 8>You know, they were forty three percent truck as recent

0:17:53.440 --> 0:17:57.040
<v Speaker 8>as twenty eighteen. Now they're seventy percent. So just think

0:17:57.040 --> 0:18:00.480
<v Speaker 8>about what that's done for their average transaction price. There, margin,

0:18:01.040 --> 0:18:05.520
<v Speaker 8>profit and revenue contribution has been significantly strong, stronger than

0:18:05.520 --> 0:18:08.720
<v Speaker 8>it was when it was known as a countobox brand.

0:18:08.960 --> 0:18:13.040
<v Speaker 8>And what they did that transition was really motivated and

0:18:13.119 --> 0:18:15.919
<v Speaker 8>helped and advanced by the idea of the ten year,

0:18:15.920 --> 0:18:19.119
<v Speaker 8>one hundred thousand mile drive train warranty. Right, so they

0:18:19.160 --> 0:18:20.480
<v Speaker 8>had a wow.

0:18:20.280 --> 0:18:24.520
<v Speaker 1>Ten years and one hundred thousand miles on the drive trains.

0:18:24.600 --> 0:18:27.320
<v Speaker 1>Usually it's like three years and oh on the drive train.

0:18:27.359 --> 0:18:28.960
<v Speaker 1>So a lot of times those will be five years

0:18:29.000 --> 0:18:31.400
<v Speaker 1>and sixty thousand or something, right, yeah.

0:18:31.280 --> 0:18:35.640
<v Speaker 8>Right, So basically it gave people protection that said, you know,

0:18:36.160 --> 0:18:38.720
<v Speaker 8>if you have concerns about quality, here's how we're going

0:18:38.800 --> 0:18:41.040
<v Speaker 8>to deal with that. And it's the best warranty in

0:18:41.080 --> 0:18:44.760
<v Speaker 8>the industry. And then as they've moved up market, which

0:18:44.920 --> 0:18:47.080
<v Speaker 8>if you think even about Tesla, right, Tesla comes in

0:18:47.119 --> 0:18:49.320
<v Speaker 8>at the highest price points and then tries to move

0:18:49.359 --> 0:18:52.000
<v Speaker 8>down and every automaker tried to do that to gain

0:18:52.160 --> 0:18:55.119
<v Speaker 8>scale and volume. Think about Mercedes moving down market and

0:18:55.200 --> 0:18:58.280
<v Speaker 8>BMW moving down market. Hanikia did at the opposite, right,

0:18:58.320 --> 0:19:01.240
<v Speaker 8>they started at the bottom of the market, one loyal

0:19:01.280 --> 0:19:04.440
<v Speaker 8>customers at the entry and move up level. That warranty

0:19:04.560 --> 0:19:07.000
<v Speaker 8>was a big part of it. Proved their quality had

0:19:07.040 --> 0:19:10.680
<v Speaker 8>improved then and now there's even the Genesis brand, which

0:19:10.760 --> 0:19:13.720
<v Speaker 8>is legitimately competing at the higher end of the market

0:19:13.760 --> 0:19:14.440
<v Speaker 8>with the land rollers.

0:19:14.440 --> 0:19:19.720
<v Speaker 1>But Genesis is like, so Honda has what Acura and

0:19:19.800 --> 0:19:24.800
<v Speaker 1>Toyota has Infinity or Noon has Infinity, Toyota has Lexus,

0:19:24.880 --> 0:19:27.760
<v Speaker 1>and Genesis is like Hyundai's version of that.

0:19:28.480 --> 0:19:30.320
<v Speaker 8>Yeah, because what happened was, you know, there was a

0:19:30.359 --> 0:19:34.520
<v Speaker 8>period where Hyundai Kiya came out with full Sisiedan's to

0:19:34.600 --> 0:19:38.840
<v Speaker 8>compete with seven series BMW or S class Mercedes, and

0:19:38.880 --> 0:19:40.760
<v Speaker 8>people kind of laughed it off, like, there's no way

0:19:40.800 --> 0:19:43.679
<v Speaker 8>I'm spending seventy five eighty thousand dollars for a K

0:19:43.800 --> 0:19:46.520
<v Speaker 8>nine hundred Kio or or a Hyundai Equis.

0:19:47.240 --> 0:19:49.480
<v Speaker 1>They wouldn't even do it for Volkswagen Phaeton.

0:19:49.720 --> 0:19:51.879
<v Speaker 8>Right, So they created this new brand and put all

0:19:51.920 --> 0:19:53.760
<v Speaker 8>the high end stuff in there, and it's actually worked

0:19:53.800 --> 0:19:56.760
<v Speaker 8>pretty well. My wife will believe it or not, and

0:19:57.600 --> 0:19:59.919
<v Speaker 8>she's a kind of strange not car per.

0:20:01.720 --> 0:20:03.560
<v Speaker 1>Only your wife's not listening.

0:20:04.000 --> 0:20:05.960
<v Speaker 8>Only by she will.

0:20:05.760 --> 0:20:09.840
<v Speaker 1>Only really really, so she must be very happy about

0:20:09.840 --> 0:20:11.159
<v Speaker 1>the progress they've made.

0:20:11.280 --> 0:20:14.520
<v Speaker 8>You mentioned Tell your Ride, So she has a palisade calligraphy,

0:20:14.560 --> 0:20:17.200
<v Speaker 8>and it's almost like you can load that thing up

0:20:17.240 --> 0:20:20.159
<v Speaker 8>with every piece of technology and the warranty and the

0:20:20.160 --> 0:20:22.880
<v Speaker 8>whole thing, and you're still at a very very reasonable

0:20:22.920 --> 0:20:23.560
<v Speaker 8>price point.

0:20:23.680 --> 0:20:25.880
<v Speaker 1>And they look awesome. I mean, you must have seen

0:20:25.920 --> 0:20:28.520
<v Speaker 1>the Kia Tell your Rides. Oh yeah, yeah, such cool

0:20:28.520 --> 0:20:32.320
<v Speaker 1>looking vehicles. Now the Sorrento doesn't look quite as cool,

0:20:32.760 --> 0:20:35.880
<v Speaker 1>but it's got great features. For example, since it's a hybrid,

0:20:36.200 --> 0:20:38.439
<v Speaker 1>there's a button, a physical button you can press to

0:20:38.440 --> 0:20:43.600
<v Speaker 1>switch from full EV to hybrid EV. Or when I'm turning,

0:20:43.800 --> 0:20:47.359
<v Speaker 1>when you're turning left and you can't obviously there's a

0:20:47.359 --> 0:20:51.199
<v Speaker 1>blind spot, but a screen in your dashboard shows you

0:20:51.240 --> 0:20:54.040
<v Speaker 1>what's in your blind spot. Same when you're obviously turning right,

0:20:55.240 --> 0:20:58.240
<v Speaker 1>and it's got a center locking diff like it's got

0:20:58.320 --> 0:21:02.200
<v Speaker 1>torque vectoring. What you can lock the center diff what's

0:21:02.200 --> 0:21:05.879
<v Speaker 1>the differential, what's in case you're so that the wheels

0:21:05.920 --> 0:21:08.080
<v Speaker 1>can move at different speeds, but if you're stuck in

0:21:08.080 --> 0:21:09.640
<v Speaker 1>a place, you can make them all move the same

0:21:09.680 --> 0:21:12.320
<v Speaker 1>speed so that you can get better traction. It's got

0:21:12.320 --> 0:21:15.040
<v Speaker 1>torque vectoring all wheel drive, which is I first heard

0:21:15.080 --> 0:21:16.800
<v Speaker 1>about torque vectoring when I was a kid, I think

0:21:17.160 --> 0:21:20.280
<v Speaker 1>reading roadent Track about a Porsche. So it's pretty impressive

0:21:20.320 --> 0:21:24.440
<v Speaker 1>that Kia has this technology. I mean, really the price point, Matt,

0:21:25.000 --> 0:21:27.600
<v Speaker 1>I think it's fifty thousand for the loaded up one

0:21:27.840 --> 0:21:31.400
<v Speaker 1>for the top top trim, and then.

0:21:31.280 --> 0:21:33.359
<v Speaker 8>If you think forty eight thousand is average in the

0:21:33.400 --> 0:21:36.240
<v Speaker 8>industry these days, So you know right there and you're

0:21:36.280 --> 0:21:39.000
<v Speaker 8>and that's the point, is that bang for the buck,

0:21:39.119 --> 0:21:41.800
<v Speaker 8>it's you're getting all the technology now.

0:21:41.960 --> 0:21:44.119
<v Speaker 1>They don't correct me if I'm wrong, Kevin, But they

0:21:44.160 --> 0:21:49.520
<v Speaker 1>don't get a tax credit on the green vehicles like

0:21:49.680 --> 0:21:52.679
<v Speaker 1>a Ford or a GM would, right, because they're not

0:21:52.720 --> 0:21:54.680
<v Speaker 1>a union shop, not made in the US, all of them.

0:21:54.720 --> 0:21:57.640
<v Speaker 8>So the story rules of right, the rules of origin

0:21:57.720 --> 0:22:00.760
<v Speaker 8>of the components, and things like that. I don't have

0:22:00.880 --> 0:22:03.160
<v Speaker 8>to believe it or not list memorized off the top

0:22:03.200 --> 0:22:04.800
<v Speaker 8>of my head, but I believe that would be currect.

0:22:04.880 --> 0:22:07.320
<v Speaker 1>I pretty much do so, Kevin.

0:22:08.280 --> 0:22:11.000
<v Speaker 2>Are the Korean and Japanese automakers. Are they as committed

0:22:11.000 --> 0:22:14.480
<v Speaker 2>to evs as I don't know some of the others.

0:22:14.480 --> 0:22:16.320
<v Speaker 2>I mean, it just seems give us a sense of

0:22:16.359 --> 0:22:17.120
<v Speaker 2>where those guys are.

0:22:17.920 --> 0:22:23.879
<v Speaker 8>Yeah, they've been slower. Look, Khandaikia have EV five, EV six,

0:22:24.480 --> 0:22:28.399
<v Speaker 8>Ionic five, so they they sort of rushed into the

0:22:28.480 --> 0:22:31.440
<v Speaker 8>segment a little bit. But what's interesting with some winners.

0:22:31.520 --> 0:22:34.480
<v Speaker 1>I mean, the Ionic five looks cool. The EV six

0:22:34.600 --> 0:22:37.440
<v Speaker 1>is fast. I made my buddy Mark White throw up

0:22:37.520 --> 0:22:39.760
<v Speaker 1>by accelerating so quickly in that thing.

0:22:41.200 --> 0:22:44.320
<v Speaker 8>But the thing with that is that what's interesting is

0:22:44.359 --> 0:22:47.320
<v Speaker 8>that when you look at average transaction action price across

0:22:47.359 --> 0:22:51.520
<v Speaker 8>the brands, it's in the high thirties, right, so below

0:22:51.600 --> 0:22:54.200
<v Speaker 8>the industry average but then when you look at their evs,

0:22:54.240 --> 0:22:57.040
<v Speaker 8>they're in the they're above fifty thousand dollars, so it's

0:22:57.080 --> 0:22:59.520
<v Speaker 8>the it's a way for them to sort of move

0:22:59.600 --> 0:23:03.320
<v Speaker 8>up more. Mart I don't think they're contented the way

0:23:03.520 --> 0:23:07.240
<v Speaker 8>say a fifty plus thousand dollars tell your ride or

0:23:07.480 --> 0:23:11.159
<v Speaker 8>palisade would be. But people are willing to buy, or

0:23:11.160 --> 0:23:14.320
<v Speaker 8>at least they were until very recently, willing to pay

0:23:14.400 --> 0:23:18.080
<v Speaker 8>up for the electric versions of some of the Handaikia stuff.

0:23:18.720 --> 0:23:21.800
<v Speaker 8>We'll have to see how sustainable that demand is going forward,

0:23:22.440 --> 0:23:24.920
<v Speaker 8>but it's very interesting that you know, that's an automaker

0:23:24.960 --> 0:23:28.040
<v Speaker 8>that's known for and that's Look, that's a risk for

0:23:28.080 --> 0:23:29.920
<v Speaker 8>the gm and Fords of the world. As they move

0:23:29.960 --> 0:23:33.480
<v Speaker 8>their average transaction price above fifty thousand dollars, above the

0:23:33.480 --> 0:23:36.960
<v Speaker 8>industry average, you're really squeezing out the entry and move

0:23:37.040 --> 0:23:39.520
<v Speaker 8>up buyer, and you're and you're saying like, hey, look,

0:23:39.520 --> 0:23:42.399
<v Speaker 8>if you're not really ready to spend, we don't have

0:23:42.520 --> 0:23:47.359
<v Speaker 8>product for you. And that's where the Asia based manufacturers Handaikea, Toyota,

0:23:47.400 --> 0:23:49.960
<v Speaker 8>Honda sort of moved down mark and they say, well,

0:23:50.160 --> 0:23:52.119
<v Speaker 8>we're willing to take you, even if it means losing

0:23:52.160 --> 0:23:55.199
<v Speaker 8>money on those entry level vehicles because we believe that

0:23:55.240 --> 0:23:57.560
<v Speaker 8>we'll give you a good enough ownership experience that you'll

0:23:57.600 --> 0:24:00.840
<v Speaker 8>stay with us up through the portfolio until you are

0:24:00.880 --> 0:24:03.639
<v Speaker 8>ready to spend some money maybe in the Lexus brand

0:24:03.760 --> 0:24:05.400
<v Speaker 8>or Infinity or or.

0:24:05.520 --> 0:24:08.280
<v Speaker 2>I mean the four f one fifty the most popular

0:24:08.359 --> 0:24:09.919
<v Speaker 2>vehicle out there in the American roads.

0:24:10.280 --> 0:24:12.359
<v Speaker 6>I mean, what is that list for and can the

0:24:12.440 --> 0:24:13.520
<v Speaker 6>average person.

0:24:13.640 --> 0:24:14.720
<v Speaker 1>Get in a one for thirty?

0:24:14.920 --> 0:24:16.919
<v Speaker 2>You can get into a Ford f one fifty for thirty.

0:24:17.040 --> 0:24:20.760
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, but that's the lowest trim level. You know, Zach

0:24:20.840 --> 0:24:23.440
<v Speaker 1>drove the E one at nineteen one hundred thousand. My

0:24:23.800 --> 0:24:27.800
<v Speaker 1>question is this, you can get so the Sorrento. You

0:24:27.800 --> 0:24:30.879
<v Speaker 1>can get into a BMW X three for a comparable price.

0:24:30.960 --> 0:24:33.919
<v Speaker 1>But I've seen people put BMW's up on lifts and

0:24:33.960 --> 0:24:37.479
<v Speaker 1>they're like over engineered. They're so focused on stiffness and

0:24:37.520 --> 0:24:42.199
<v Speaker 1>the driving experience. And I guess that has to do

0:24:42.800 --> 0:24:45.600
<v Speaker 1>like in order to achieve that, you need the longevity,

0:24:45.600 --> 0:24:48.719
<v Speaker 1>you need the experience in production, right, Kia and Hundai

0:24:48.720 --> 0:24:49.800
<v Speaker 1>they're just not there yet.

0:24:50.560 --> 0:24:53.880
<v Speaker 8>Yeah, I look, I you know, I think there's a

0:24:54.000 --> 0:24:55.840
<v Speaker 8>you know, as a buyer, you would think about do

0:24:55.920 --> 0:24:58.960
<v Speaker 8>I want to buy you know, the the lower end

0:24:59.000 --> 0:25:02.440
<v Speaker 8>models of premium brand or do I want to buy

0:25:02.440 --> 0:25:06.280
<v Speaker 8>the completely loaded version of a volume brand. And that's

0:25:06.880 --> 0:25:08.919
<v Speaker 8>you know, that's kind of the debate, right, So a

0:25:09.000 --> 0:25:13.640
<v Speaker 8>decontented X three versus a loaded Sorrento or you know,

0:25:13.760 --> 0:25:16.639
<v Speaker 8>and and people will have different opinions on that, but

0:25:17.080 --> 0:25:19.960
<v Speaker 8>you know, you feel like even the ownership experience or

0:25:19.960 --> 0:25:23.000
<v Speaker 8>dealing with the dealerships when you are you know, the

0:25:23.000 --> 0:25:25.280
<v Speaker 8>big cheese when you roll it into you know, into

0:25:25.320 --> 0:25:28.720
<v Speaker 8>the dealership or into the service bay, is like, Hey,

0:25:28.760 --> 0:25:31.200
<v Speaker 8>this is the this is the owner that's spent up

0:25:31.240 --> 0:25:34.959
<v Speaker 8>for everything as opposed to being at the bottom of

0:25:35.000 --> 0:25:38.399
<v Speaker 8>the of the portfolio with a low content vehicle.

0:25:38.640 --> 0:25:40.320
<v Speaker 6>Matt's in there with the Kia Sorrento. I got the

0:25:40.320 --> 0:25:41.440
<v Speaker 6>BMW X three.

0:25:41.320 --> 0:25:42.600
<v Speaker 1>You got the overloaded X three.

0:25:42.640 --> 0:25:44.640
<v Speaker 2>I'm actually and Kevin, next time I'm done in person,

0:25:44.760 --> 0:25:46.200
<v Speaker 2>I'll show you the x X three.

0:25:46.240 --> 0:25:48.040
<v Speaker 6>It's good stuff. I'm very happy with it.

0:25:48.440 --> 0:25:50.600
<v Speaker 2>That's Kevin Tiny and he covers all the autos for

0:25:50.760 --> 0:25:52.600
<v Speaker 2>Bloomberg Intelligence at Real Gearhead.

0:25:53.000 --> 0:25:56.119
<v Speaker 7>You're listening to the tape. Can's are live program Bloomberg

0:25:56.160 --> 0:26:00.960
<v Speaker 7>Markets weekdays at ten am Eastern on Bloomberg Radio, Bloomberg

0:26:01.040 --> 0:26:03.600
<v Speaker 7>dot Com, and the Bloomberg Business App. You can also

0:26:03.680 --> 0:26:07.200
<v Speaker 7>listen live on Amazon Alexa from our flagship New York station,

0:26:07.560 --> 0:26:11.000
<v Speaker 7>Just say Alexa play Bloomberg eleven thirty.

0:26:12.160 --> 0:26:16.240
<v Speaker 2>We have Dana Tellsley in studio. She's got her own firm,

0:26:16.359 --> 0:26:18.080
<v Speaker 2>Dana Telsey. She kind of runs out and I'll tell

0:26:18.080 --> 0:26:19.639
<v Speaker 2>you what not. Only is she one of the best

0:26:19.680 --> 0:26:22.320
<v Speaker 2>analysts covering retail on Wall Street, and that's been proven

0:26:22.359 --> 0:26:25.159
<v Speaker 2>by all the polls and magazines over the years. But

0:26:25.200 --> 0:26:27.600
<v Speaker 2>what I admire most is she's left a big wall

0:26:27.600 --> 0:26:30.960
<v Speaker 2>Streem bank set up her own shop when that was

0:26:31.000 --> 0:26:35.000
<v Speaker 2>pretty rare at the time. So I remember, and that's

0:26:35.080 --> 0:26:35.560
<v Speaker 2>number one.

0:26:35.640 --> 0:26:36.320
<v Speaker 7>It was rare.

0:26:36.320 --> 0:26:38.880
<v Speaker 2>At number two, she's been successful at it even more

0:26:39.000 --> 0:26:41.000
<v Speaker 2>rare because I've seen a lot of folks that are

0:26:41.040 --> 0:26:43.639
<v Speaker 2>highly ranked leave the big seat.

0:26:43.440 --> 0:26:45.560
<v Speaker 6>Go set up a shop and it just doesn't work.

0:26:45.600 --> 0:26:47.440
<v Speaker 1>But she makes it work enough with the flattery.

0:26:47.560 --> 0:26:48.200
<v Speaker 6>It's good stuff.

0:26:48.320 --> 0:26:50.600
<v Speaker 1>By the way, Dana, I heard a stocks reporter on

0:26:50.640 --> 0:26:52.919
<v Speaker 1>the other side of the office call you a genius today.

0:26:53.119 --> 0:26:54.920
<v Speaker 9>Oh, thank you, thank you very much.

0:26:54.960 --> 0:26:57.560
<v Speaker 1>So interesting. Yeah, there you go. So I think you

0:26:57.600 --> 0:27:00.440
<v Speaker 1>can top that. So why, let's first ask the question,

0:27:00.480 --> 0:27:03.120
<v Speaker 1>because this is the first earning season I've really noticed

0:27:03.240 --> 0:27:05.480
<v Speaker 1>how many of the retailers are at the back end

0:27:05.720 --> 0:27:09.199
<v Speaker 1>of the earnings calendar, and is there a reason for that?

0:27:09.400 --> 0:27:11.960
<v Speaker 1>Is that just traditional tradition?

0:27:12.040 --> 0:27:15.080
<v Speaker 9>I mean, typically retailers are on a January fiscal year end,

0:27:15.160 --> 0:27:18.239
<v Speaker 9>and the reason why is because December is typically one

0:27:18.280 --> 0:27:21.160
<v Speaker 9>of their busiest months, so you need the month after

0:27:21.280 --> 0:27:24.119
<v Speaker 9>January in order to put everything together. Plus you got

0:27:24.160 --> 0:27:26.320
<v Speaker 9>to get rid of the returns in January, so you

0:27:26.440 --> 0:27:28.880
<v Speaker 9>really know what your inventory looks like at the end

0:27:28.880 --> 0:27:31.760
<v Speaker 9>of January going into the following fiscal year.

0:27:31.840 --> 0:27:33.000
<v Speaker 6>And you just thought they were lazy.

0:27:33.080 --> 0:27:35.040
<v Speaker 9>I don't know, They're not lazy, all.

0:27:34.960 --> 0:27:35.359
<v Speaker 6>Right, Dannis.

0:27:35.400 --> 0:27:37.280
<v Speaker 2>So we've had we're kind of getting through the meat

0:27:37.320 --> 0:27:40.080
<v Speaker 2>of this most recent quarterly earnings period. What were your

0:27:40.119 --> 0:27:43.800
<v Speaker 2>takeaways from the quarter itself and more importantly looking forward

0:27:43.840 --> 0:27:44.320
<v Speaker 2>a little bit.

0:27:44.440 --> 0:27:46.960
<v Speaker 9>I think the big picture takeaway overall is that we

0:27:47.040 --> 0:27:50.120
<v Speaker 9>have a very discerning consumer, that we have a consumer

0:27:50.119 --> 0:27:53.639
<v Speaker 9>who's moderated their spend at almost all income levels. And

0:27:53.680 --> 0:27:57.080
<v Speaker 9>what we're seeing is that retailers the execution has improved

0:27:57.440 --> 0:28:01.200
<v Speaker 9>everyone's inventory levels are clean, cleaner than what they were

0:28:01.760 --> 0:28:03.480
<v Speaker 9>At the same time, We're going to have a more

0:28:03.520 --> 0:28:07.399
<v Speaker 9>promotional holiday season this year is compared to last and

0:28:07.440 --> 0:28:10.720
<v Speaker 9>when you look at the cadence so far, October sales

0:28:10.960 --> 0:28:14.440
<v Speaker 9>growth was slower than September by around one hundred bases

0:28:14.480 --> 0:28:18.359
<v Speaker 9>points or so, and going into November it's remaining the

0:28:18.400 --> 0:28:21.959
<v Speaker 9>same as October. Consumers are waiting for big events, and

0:28:22.000 --> 0:28:24.040
<v Speaker 9>we know that a lot of the discounting because it's

0:28:24.040 --> 0:28:26.640
<v Speaker 9>more promotional this year than last year, even though still

0:28:26.680 --> 0:28:29.720
<v Speaker 9>less than twenty nineteen. But what we do know is

0:28:29.720 --> 0:28:32.080
<v Speaker 9>they wait for the events. We had Prime Day in October,

0:28:32.520 --> 0:28:34.720
<v Speaker 9>Black Friday isn't going to be what it used to be,

0:28:35.040 --> 0:28:38.560
<v Speaker 9>and with Christmas falling on a Monday, the procrastinators can

0:28:38.640 --> 0:28:43.880
<v Speaker 9>wait until Saturday and Sunday.

0:28:42.200 --> 0:28:44.920
<v Speaker 1>So more promotional this year than last year. I keep

0:28:44.960 --> 0:28:49.400
<v Speaker 1>seeing in earnings releases that they're controlling inventory well or

0:28:49.640 --> 0:28:53.040
<v Speaker 1>you know, if sales fall, at least they're managing their inventory.

0:28:53.680 --> 0:28:56.200
<v Speaker 1>Why are they going to be discounting couple.

0:28:55.960 --> 0:28:58.320
<v Speaker 9>Things you need to discount in order to drive the

0:28:58.360 --> 0:29:01.360
<v Speaker 9>consumer to get them to convert. Last year, you had

0:29:01.680 --> 0:29:05.000
<v Speaker 9>too much inventory in many instances given the supply chain

0:29:05.040 --> 0:29:08.160
<v Speaker 9>issues that you had, and right now some of the

0:29:08.200 --> 0:29:11.200
<v Speaker 9>price increases from inflation, they're undergoing a little bit of

0:29:11.240 --> 0:29:15.160
<v Speaker 9>a rollback. But the focus on experiences versus goods. We

0:29:15.240 --> 0:29:18.000
<v Speaker 9>all know what Taylor Swift did during the summer in

0:29:18.080 --> 0:29:20.640
<v Speaker 9>terms of boosting span when she was here in the US.

0:29:21.400 --> 0:29:24.280
<v Speaker 9>You have to give the consumers not only the what

0:29:24.440 --> 0:29:26.720
<v Speaker 9>to buy, but the how to buy. And one of

0:29:26.720 --> 0:29:30.160
<v Speaker 9>the things we're seeing the retail experience, it's a social

0:29:30.240 --> 0:29:34.120
<v Speaker 9>experience too. So watch the physical stores. They're not going away.

0:29:34.280 --> 0:29:35.480
<v Speaker 2>That's kind of where I wanted to go because I

0:29:35.480 --> 0:29:37.239
<v Speaker 2>had a hard time getting to my subway last night

0:29:37.240 --> 0:29:40.040
<v Speaker 2>because out in front of Bloomingdale's they had a big

0:29:40.080 --> 0:29:42.280
<v Speaker 2>stage set up right in the middle of Electionton Avenue

0:29:42.560 --> 0:29:44.320
<v Speaker 2>and I think there's some Broadway show.

0:29:44.400 --> 0:29:45.960
<v Speaker 6>The casters can come and sing a song me.

0:29:46.080 --> 0:29:48.800
<v Speaker 1>So that's an event. Holiday windows there was a holiday Well.

0:29:48.720 --> 0:29:50.800
<v Speaker 2>Kay, there you go, thank you. I did make it

0:29:50.800 --> 0:29:53.960
<v Speaker 2>to the subway. So talk to us about the retail

0:29:54.000 --> 0:29:56.560
<v Speaker 2>store because there was a narrative that I bought into

0:29:56.600 --> 0:29:59.880
<v Speaker 2>that E commerces is going to replace everything, no more stores,

0:30:00.400 --> 0:30:01.080
<v Speaker 2>thing of the past.

0:30:01.480 --> 0:30:03.560
<v Speaker 6>Where are we today? In that thinking that was.

0:30:03.520 --> 0:30:06.160
<v Speaker 9>Pre pandemic, thinking yes, the pre pandemic, thinking of there

0:30:06.160 --> 0:30:08.480
<v Speaker 9>are too many stores and Amazon's going to take over

0:30:08.720 --> 0:30:11.680
<v Speaker 9>while pandemic happened, And look, Amazon didn't take over everything.

0:30:12.000 --> 0:30:14.400
<v Speaker 9>Too many stores, you bet. And we had a ton

0:30:14.440 --> 0:30:17.920
<v Speaker 9>of closures post the pandemic, so that now many retailers

0:30:17.920 --> 0:30:21.360
<v Speaker 9>store bases, they're more productive, they're in the right locations,

0:30:21.400 --> 0:30:23.800
<v Speaker 9>and they've even been resized a lot of them. And

0:30:23.880 --> 0:30:25.959
<v Speaker 9>the other narrative used to be, oh, there are too

0:30:26.000 --> 0:30:27.680
<v Speaker 9>many retailers, they need to go bankrupt.

0:30:27.800 --> 0:30:28.320
<v Speaker 1>Well they did.

0:30:28.360 --> 0:30:31.480
<v Speaker 9>We had ninety six consumer companies go bankrupt really right

0:30:31.600 --> 0:30:35.520
<v Speaker 9>during a post pandemic. So where you are today, fast forward,

0:30:35.800 --> 0:30:38.360
<v Speaker 9>we have better stores. You look at four new stores

0:30:38.360 --> 0:30:41.120
<v Speaker 9>that are opening in Manhattan for Black Friday. Take a

0:30:41.120 --> 0:30:43.400
<v Speaker 9>look at the Wegmans that just open on Astor Place.

0:30:43.960 --> 0:30:46.160
<v Speaker 9>Take a look at Creighton Barrel that opened their first

0:30:46.200 --> 0:30:49.800
<v Speaker 9>new store in Manhattan in thirty years on Broadway, Lululemons

0:30:49.840 --> 0:30:53.960
<v Speaker 9>remodeled store on Fifth Avenue and seventeenth Street. And then

0:30:54.240 --> 0:30:58.920
<v Speaker 9>you also have it's Wegmans, it's Lulu, It's Creighton Barrel.

0:30:59.320 --> 0:31:02.760
<v Speaker 1>About one more interest, what's the deal with Brooks Brothers,

0:31:02.760 --> 0:31:05.840
<v Speaker 1>Because I'm sure like me, Paul grew up going there.

0:31:06.240 --> 0:31:09.000
<v Speaker 1>When I got my first suit, it was at Brooks Brothers.

0:31:09.040 --> 0:31:11.240
<v Speaker 1>I remember going to store number one to get fitted

0:31:11.240 --> 0:31:14.160
<v Speaker 1>for a formal coat when I was like five. It's

0:31:14.320 --> 0:31:19.280
<v Speaker 1>and it was the best place to shop for men's clothes.

0:31:19.320 --> 0:31:22.920
<v Speaker 1>I mean, really an experience. My grandfather got his World

0:31:22.960 --> 0:31:27.040
<v Speaker 1>War Two, you know, his dress blues at Brooks Brothers.

0:31:27.200 --> 0:31:30.480
<v Speaker 1>Why did they go bust? And what's happened to them?

0:31:30.640 --> 0:31:31.320
<v Speaker 1>A couple things.

0:31:31.320 --> 0:31:34.040
<v Speaker 9>First, it's Target, that's the fourth store that opened on

0:31:34.560 --> 0:31:37.560
<v Speaker 9>fourteenth Street. Let's go to Brooks Brothers. So look at

0:31:37.560 --> 0:31:40.480
<v Speaker 9>what everyone's wearing here today? Are you seeing? Are any

0:31:40.480 --> 0:31:42.040
<v Speaker 9>of the three of you men in a suit?

0:31:42.440 --> 0:31:42.960
<v Speaker 7>Not? Really?

0:31:43.480 --> 0:31:43.960
<v Speaker 6>Okay?

0:31:44.240 --> 0:31:46.480
<v Speaker 1>What did Brooks Brothers sell a lot of suits?

0:31:46.560 --> 0:31:46.800
<v Speaker 7>Yeah?

0:31:46.880 --> 0:31:49.120
<v Speaker 9>Okay, there you go. So you got a pivot in

0:31:49.240 --> 0:31:52.520
<v Speaker 9>order to be able to reinvent yourself. Retailers can do that.

0:31:52.560 --> 0:31:56.720
<v Speaker 9>We've seen retailers reinvent themselves. You look at Coach reinvented itself.

0:31:56.760 --> 0:31:59.200
<v Speaker 9>You look at Levi's been around one hundred and fifty years,

0:31:59.360 --> 0:32:03.600
<v Speaker 9>reinvented it So the fact that if you don't reinvent yourself,

0:32:03.960 --> 0:32:06.680
<v Speaker 9>it's hard to keep such an expensive piece of real estate.

0:32:07.080 --> 0:32:09.000
<v Speaker 9>Now they have a coffee shop there. I meet a

0:32:09.040 --> 0:32:11.240
<v Speaker 9>lot of people there. It's my destination for meetings.

0:32:11.480 --> 0:32:12.520
<v Speaker 1>Wow, that's cool.

0:32:12.560 --> 0:32:14.760
<v Speaker 2>It was a sweet sweet spot Brooks Brothers and the

0:32:14.760 --> 0:32:15.520
<v Speaker 2>Shrewsbury Mall.

0:32:16.400 --> 0:32:18.520
<v Speaker 1>I now go to Paul Stewart, which is you know

0:32:18.640 --> 0:32:21.640
<v Speaker 1>next door, you know iron Sure it's are like class six.

0:32:22.360 --> 0:32:24.680
<v Speaker 7>Well this isn't a Brooks Brothers, but you get the picture.

0:32:24.800 --> 0:32:26.960
<v Speaker 1>I love those The place was a classic place. Now

0:32:26.960 --> 0:32:31.240
<v Speaker 1>the other thing, I typically eschew the word barbell. It's

0:32:31.280 --> 0:32:37.440
<v Speaker 1>like the most cliche phrase on Bloomberg television. But I've

0:32:37.440 --> 0:32:42.840
<v Speaker 1>noticed that Macy's, for example, Bloomingdale's did better than all

0:32:42.920 --> 0:32:46.200
<v Speaker 1>of Macy's, and Macy's has some kind of off brand

0:32:46.320 --> 0:32:50.080
<v Speaker 1>or lower backstage backstage which did much better. So it

0:32:50.160 --> 0:32:53.360
<v Speaker 1>seems like the higher end consumer is doing well and

0:32:53.400 --> 0:32:56.800
<v Speaker 1>then everyone else is going as going downscale. Is that

0:32:56.840 --> 0:32:57.200
<v Speaker 1>the case?

0:32:57.320 --> 0:32:59.440
<v Speaker 9>Well, when you look at the uber wealthy Amez had

0:32:59.480 --> 0:33:02.320
<v Speaker 9>doubled sales gains, so they're certainly doing George.

0:33:02.120 --> 0:33:05.600
<v Speaker 1>Santo's apparently was shopping there with campaign funds allegedly very good.

0:33:06.120 --> 0:33:07.600
<v Speaker 9>And when you look at the lower end, take a

0:33:07.600 --> 0:33:10.280
<v Speaker 9>look what you got this week TJX with same store

0:33:10.360 --> 0:33:13.520
<v Speaker 9>sales up around six percent. You look at Ross Stores yesterday,

0:33:13.520 --> 0:33:16.920
<v Speaker 9>their same store sales were up around five percent. Value works,

0:33:16.960 --> 0:33:19.320
<v Speaker 9>and you see many retailers talking about the fact that

0:33:19.360 --> 0:33:22.680
<v Speaker 9>their outlet stores are performing. Look at Tanger Factory outlet

0:33:22.760 --> 0:33:25.640
<v Speaker 9>centers and you've seen newness there with their new Nashville

0:33:25.680 --> 0:33:28.000
<v Speaker 9>opening that they have. So there's a little bit of

0:33:28.000 --> 0:33:32.000
<v Speaker 9>a barbell, but even that luxury consumer, except for the

0:33:32.040 --> 0:33:35.600
<v Speaker 9>tippy top, is moderating. Look at Berberis results yesterday where

0:33:35.600 --> 0:33:38.000
<v Speaker 9>they talked about the fact that they've seen a slowing

0:33:38.040 --> 0:33:41.760
<v Speaker 9>in global luxury demand. So whether it's the macro, whether

0:33:41.800 --> 0:33:45.960
<v Speaker 9>it's the stock market volatility, or if focused on experience

0:33:46.080 --> 0:33:48.680
<v Speaker 9>versus goods, and certainly for the mid tier and lower

0:33:49.080 --> 0:33:52.760
<v Speaker 9>higher interest rates and inflation are an inhibitor to opening

0:33:52.800 --> 0:33:53.280
<v Speaker 9>your wallet.

0:33:53.720 --> 0:33:55.440
<v Speaker 6>Yep, absolutely a right, Dana. Thank you so much for

0:33:55.520 --> 0:33:56.040
<v Speaker 6>joining us here.

0:33:56.160 --> 0:34:00.800
<v Speaker 2>Dan Telsey, CEO and chief research officer at the Tellsley.

0:34:00.440 --> 0:34:03.880
<v Speaker 1>Group, Thanks for listening to the Bloomberg Markets podcasts. You

0:34:03.880 --> 0:34:07.200
<v Speaker 1>can subscribe and listen to interviews at Apple Podcasts or

0:34:07.480 --> 0:34:11.200
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<v Speaker 1>Twitter at Matt Miller nineteen seventy three and I'm Faull Sweeney.

0:34:15.120 --> 0:34:17.759
<v Speaker 2>I'm on Twitter at pt Sweeney before the podcast. You

0:34:17.760 --> 0:34:21.160
<v Speaker 2>can always catch us worldwide at Bloomberg Radio