WEBVTT - Bloomberg Daybreak: December 21, 2022 - Hour 1 (Radio)

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<v Speaker 1>Live from the Bloomberg Interactive Burgers Studios. Is Bloomberg day

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<v Speaker 1>Break for Wednesday, December twenty one two. Coming up this hour.

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<v Speaker 1>Ukraine's president heads to Washington in his first trip outside

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<v Speaker 1>the country since Russia's invasion. As committee votes to release

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<v Speaker 1>former President Trump's tax returns. Sam Bankman freed readys for

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<v Speaker 1>extradition to the US, and Elon Musk seeks a replacement

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<v Speaker 1>as Twitter CEO. The NYPD says two people are dead

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<v Speaker 1>in an apparent subway accident. Plus New York Mayor Adams says,

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<v Speaker 1>spread the love, not the virus during the holidays. I'm

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<v Speaker 1>Michael blar More, I'm John Stashward, sports donning baseball news,

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<v Speaker 1>Carlos Grea changed his mind, be sunning with the Mets,

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<v Speaker 1>the next one the Rangers, and Devil's Law. That's all

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<v Speaker 1>s traded ahead on Bloomberg day Break on Bloomberg eleven

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<v Speaker 1>three on New York, Bloomberg one, Washington, d C, Bloomberg

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<v Speaker 1>one oh six one, Boston, Bloomberg nine sixties and Francisco

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<v Speaker 1>Sirius x M one nine team and around the world

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<v Speaker 1>Old on Bloomberg Radio dot Com and via The Bloomberg Business.

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<v Speaker 1>Good morning. I'm Nathan Hagar and I'm Karen Moscow. US

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<v Speaker 1>DOT index futures are on the rise this morning, and

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<v Speaker 1>we checked the markets all day long here on Bloomberg.

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<v Speaker 1>S and P futures are of twenty five points of

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<v Speaker 1>seven tens of uppercent. Death Future is up about eight

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<v Speaker 1>tens of upper cent or two hundred fifty eight points,

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<v Speaker 1>and Azdak future is up sixtensive upper cent or seventy

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<v Speaker 1>two points ten your treasury, that'll change, you'll three point

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<v Speaker 1>six eight percent and they yield on the two year

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<v Speaker 1>four point to two percent. And I'm ex screwed. Oil

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<v Speaker 1>is up one percent this morning. Nathan, all right, Karen,

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<v Speaker 1>thank you. We'll get back to the markets in a moment,

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<v Speaker 1>but we begin this morning with a couple of major

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<v Speaker 1>stories in politics. First, Ukrainian President Vladimir Zelinski is leaving

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<v Speaker 1>Ukraine for the first time since Russia's invasion. He will

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<v Speaker 1>address Congress in person in the nation's capital. Bloomberg Government

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<v Speaker 1>reporter Jack Fitzpatrick says it is a big moment in

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<v Speaker 1>the debate over a to the war torn country. It's

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<v Speaker 1>the big deal. There have been some questions about really

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<v Speaker 1>where House Republicans come down in the firmness of their

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<v Speaker 1>support for Ukraine. To have a joint address to Congress

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<v Speaker 1>and in person addressed especially, would be a very significant

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<v Speaker 1>moment at a pivotal time, because these kinds of agreements

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<v Speaker 1>are going to be a bit more difficult when it's

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<v Speaker 1>a Republican House and a Democratic Senate, So any sort

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<v Speaker 1>of show of unity with them there would be a

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<v Speaker 1>very significant thing. Bloomberg Governments Shack Fitzpatrick reports President Biden

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<v Speaker 1>will announce two billion dollars in additional assistance to Ukraine,

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<v Speaker 1>plus a delivery of Patriot missile batteries to Ukraine. Meantime,

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<v Speaker 1>Nathan and Donald Trump's tax returns are back in focus.

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<v Speaker 1>A House committee is voted to officially release the former

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<v Speaker 1>president's tax information to the public. Bloomberg's Amy Morris has

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<v Speaker 1>a details from our studios in Washington. The Houseways and

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<v Speaker 1>Means Committee signed off on a motion to release Trump's

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<v Speaker 1>tax returns to the House of Representatives. Chairman Richard Neil

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<v Speaker 1>says personal information will be redacted. This was not about

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<v Speaker 1>being punitive, it was not about being malicious, and there

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<v Speaker 1>were no leaks from the committee. The analysis found Trump

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<v Speaker 1>was able to use questionable deductions and aggressive tax strategies

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<v Speaker 1>to minimize his tax bills, and that the I r

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<v Speaker 1>S did not audit Trump for two years while he

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<v Speaker 1>was in office, despite a program that makes the auditing

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<v Speaker 1>of sitting president's mandatory. Republicans say releasing the information sets

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<v Speaker 1>a dangerous precedent in Washington. I'm anymore, as Bloomberg daybreak,

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<v Speaker 1>All right, Amy, thank you. Now, let's turn to Elon

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<v Speaker 1>Musk and the latest in his sanga as head of Twitter.

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<v Speaker 1>Musk now says he will step down as CEL once

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<v Speaker 1>a replacement is found, Bloomberg said, backs to reports, It

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<v Speaker 1>comes as the Federal Trade Commission deepens its investigation into

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<v Speaker 1>Twitter's use of user data. The Federal Trade Commission has

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<v Speaker 1>interviewed two former senior executives of Twitter already regarding privacy

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<v Speaker 1>and data security. Now practices is the issue, and whether

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<v Speaker 1>it's complying with a twenty eleven consent order. Since Elon

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<v Speaker 1>Musk has taken over, the FDC has shown it as

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<v Speaker 1>not afraid to levy ft defines. It did find Facebook

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<v Speaker 1>a record five billion dollars over the Cambridge Analytica data scandal.

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<v Speaker 1>This can't be welcome news from Musk, who has fired

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<v Speaker 1>many of his oversight team and attorneys. Musk, by the way,

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<v Speaker 1>says he will oversee the software and servers teams in

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<v Speaker 1>San Francisco. I'm at Baxter Bloomberg daybreak. All right, and

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<v Speaker 1>thank you. As a turmoil at Twitter continues, Tesla shares

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<v Speaker 1>are declining and ARC Investment CEO Cathy Wood is scooping

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<v Speaker 1>them up. Exchange traded funds backed by ARC bought slightly

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<v Speaker 1>more than four d forty five thousand shares of the

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<v Speaker 1>company since early October. This is the first quarter and

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<v Speaker 1>seven that ARC has been a net buyer of Tesla.

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<v Speaker 1>Right now, shares are higher in early trading. They're up

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<v Speaker 1>about two and a quarter percent. All right, Let's turn

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<v Speaker 1>from Twitter down to Crypto Karen and the latest on

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<v Speaker 1>Sam Bankman Freed, the ft X co founder, could be

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<v Speaker 1>making his way state signed from the Bahamas as soon

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<v Speaker 1>as today. Bloomberg Steve Rappaport joins US Live with that story.

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<v Speaker 1>Good morning, Good morning, Nathan, and Karen. Spf is halfway

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<v Speaker 1>through the process of returning to the US, having signed

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<v Speaker 1>his surrender documents. According of the Island's acting Commissioner of Corrections. Today,

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<v Speaker 1>Bankman Freed will sign a waiver of extradition before FBI

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<v Speaker 1>agents are expected to take him away on a private flight.

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<v Speaker 1>Bankman Freed initially vowed to fight extradition to the US

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<v Speaker 1>to face fraud, money laundering, and other charges related to

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<v Speaker 1>the collapse of his firm. His change of heart tied

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<v Speaker 1>in part to the possibility of getting released on bail.

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<v Speaker 1>Here live in New York. I'm Steve Rappaport, Bloomberg Daybreak.

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<v Speaker 1>All right, Steve, thank you all. Taking a look in

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<v Speaker 1>markets now. European stocks are advancing alongside US stock index futures.

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<v Speaker 1>Yesterday saw the SNP five hundred clothes higher for the

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<v Speaker 1>first time in four sessions. Equities have been on a

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<v Speaker 1>recent skid due to concerns over central bank tightening. Ye.

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<v Speaker 1>Speaking of central banks, Karen, this week's move from the

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<v Speaker 1>Bank of Japan continues to reverberate across markets. The yen

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<v Speaker 1>is steady this morning, after yesterday's strong move, which saw

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<v Speaker 1>the currency strengthened the most since Taking a look at

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<v Speaker 1>the end. Right now, it's trading at one thirty one

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<v Speaker 1>point six nine against the dollar. Bloomberg Opinion Columns. Muhammad

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<v Speaker 1>al Arian says the bo j's move provides some stability,

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<v Speaker 1>but also area's risk. This is the step towards normalization.

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<v Speaker 1>The good news for them is I think that can

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<v Speaker 1>control the process. That's actually good news for global markets

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<v Speaker 1>because it doesn't force selling by Japanese institutions. However, over

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<v Speaker 1>time even this approach becomes unsustainable. Bloomberg Opinion columnist Muhammadalarian

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<v Speaker 1>expects a slow exit from what he calls the BOJS

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<v Speaker 1>unsustainable policy regime. Well, let's turn to China now. Nathan

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<v Speaker 1>and has continued pivot away from COVID zero policy. Chinese

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<v Speaker 1>workers of mild COVID are now being told to go

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<v Speaker 1>back to work in some cities. This is Chinese officials

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<v Speaker 1>seek to limit the economic impact of an explosion in

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<v Speaker 1>cases Beijing. Shift from COVID zero has been accompanied by

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<v Speaker 1>a wave of infections in major urban centers across the country.

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<v Speaker 1>Futures this morning are on the rise. SMP futures up

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<v Speaker 1>twenty three points. That's up about six tenths of uppercent,

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<v Speaker 1>DAL futures up two thirty nine or seven tenths of

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<v Speaker 1>uppercent and NASDACK futures up about six tenths of uppercent

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<v Speaker 1>Your latest local headlines straight ahead this is Bloomberg experien

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<v Speaker 1>its degrees chili this morning in Central Park. Gonna be

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<v Speaker 1>sunny and cool today with higher forty, but wait ray

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<v Speaker 1>for some heavy rain to end the week. Now here's

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<v Speaker 1>Michael bar with a look at some of the other

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<v Speaker 1>stories making news in New York and around the world.

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<v Speaker 1>Good morning, Michael, Good morning Nathan. N y p D

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<v Speaker 1>officials are investigating an apparent deadly accident that took place

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<v Speaker 1>in the subway in Manhattan. Two people were run over

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<v Speaker 1>by several l trains yesterday. The victims were a forty

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<v Speaker 1>four year old man and a sixty three year old woman.

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<v Speaker 1>It left several horror five commuters in their wake. This

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<v Speaker 1>woman saw the bodies at the sixth Avenue stop at

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<v Speaker 1>the time. I told some guy that was waiting for

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<v Speaker 1>the chain across to me, I'll make this too. Their

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<v Speaker 1>bodies on there. He was like, you're kidding, and I said, no, Look,

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<v Speaker 1>you're stepping in blood. The officials are still investigating how

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<v Speaker 1>the bodies ended up on the tracks, but they say

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<v Speaker 1>they don't believe the victims were connected and their deaths

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<v Speaker 1>don't appear to be a crime. A last minute plead

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<v Speaker 1>from New York City Mayor Eric Adams as holiday travelers

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<v Speaker 1>continue to arrive, even as flue rs V and COVID

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<v Speaker 1>nineteen cases continued to rise nationwide. Mayor Adams encourage New

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<v Speaker 1>Yorkers to remain vigilant of the risks of these respiratory

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<v Speaker 1>infections now under winter. How do we enjoy the holidays

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<v Speaker 1>and spread love without spread into virus and we could

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<v Speaker 1>have that combination. Mayor Adams encourages New Yorkers to be

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<v Speaker 1>sure they test before gatherings and consider masking up. Winter

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<v Speaker 1>storm is hitting the nation at the height of the

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<v Speaker 1>holiday travel. Bloomberg meteorologist Rob Carolin as the latest Michael

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<v Speaker 1>some of the coldest weather we've seen in forty years

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<v Speaker 1>now starting to work its way into the northern Plain States.

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<v Speaker 1>Temperatures from northern Montana into North Dakota are well below

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<v Speaker 1>zero this morning. That air is going to be headed southward.

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<v Speaker 1>It's gonna move down towards the Gulf of Mexico, affect

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<v Speaker 1>Texas and much of the century United States by the

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<v Speaker 1>end of the week, and will also affect the western

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<v Speaker 1>Gulf Coast out ahead of this cold there. Over the

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<v Speaker 1>next thirty six hours, we'll see a big storm developed

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<v Speaker 1>it will go up through the central Great Lakes. That's

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<v Speaker 1>going to produce a very significant snowstorm across parts of

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<v Speaker 1>the central United States, with blizzard conditions possible around the

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<v Speaker 1>Chicago Milwaukee areas, also across western Michigan. It's gonna cause

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<v Speaker 1>quite a bit of rain and wind out ahead of

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<v Speaker 1>the storm. Will see that effect portions of the mid

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<v Speaker 1>Atlantic States in the Northeast as we head through Friday,

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<v Speaker 1>So travel will be very difficult in the Northeast and

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<v Speaker 1>Midwest on Friday. Michael, Yes, thanks rob Global News twenty

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<v Speaker 1>four hours a day on air and Bloomberg Quick Take

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<v Speaker 1>powered about more than journalists antialists more than a d

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<v Speaker 1>twenty countries. Michael bar this is Bloomberg. Nathan. All right, Michael,

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<v Speaker 1>thank you. It's time for the Bloomberg Sports Up Day,

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<v Speaker 1>brought to you by try stayed out EA. Good morning,

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<v Speaker 1>John Stash, Good morning, Nathan. The amazing Mets. Just when

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<v Speaker 1>you thought they're freege and spending spring was over, came

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<v Speaker 1>the stunning news earlier this morning that the Mets are

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<v Speaker 1>now add in Carlos Carea. He had agreed last week

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<v Speaker 1>to a thirteen year deal with the Giant. Press conference

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<v Speaker 1>was supposed to take place yesterday got postponed. Reportedly difference

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<v Speaker 1>of opinion about the results of Korea is physical. The

0:10:07.440 --> 0:10:10.640
<v Speaker 1>Mets swooped in got Korea for twelve years, three hundred

0:10:10.679 --> 0:10:12.839
<v Speaker 1>and fifteen million. He's always been a short stop. The

0:10:12.880 --> 0:10:15.000
<v Speaker 1>plan is to move them. The third base. Nets have

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<v Speaker 1>now guaranteed eight hundred million dollars just in free agents spending.

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<v Speaker 1>They have to pay at tax of three hundred and

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<v Speaker 1>eighty million justin Verlanders getting forty three million. He was

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<v Speaker 1>at City Field to talk about coming to New York.

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<v Speaker 1>Lived in New York for an off season. Um. I

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<v Speaker 1>love the vibe here, I love the city, I love

0:10:31.960 --> 0:10:34.880
<v Speaker 1>the people, and to have the opportunity to to come

0:10:34.880 --> 0:10:38.440
<v Speaker 1>pitch in the city, um is something that I think

0:10:38.440 --> 0:10:41.480
<v Speaker 1>I've I've always wanted the chance to do. The Aar

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<v Speaker 1>and Judge press conferences today and the Bronx will be

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<v Speaker 1>interesting to see if the Yankees announced the Judge will

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<v Speaker 1>become the team captain. At the Garden blowout win for

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<v Speaker 1>the Knicks over injury Riddle, Golden Stained one thirty two,

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<v Speaker 1>the ninety four the Knicks and one eight in a

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<v Speaker 1>row the Hills Toronto Tonight, the Warriors played tonight in Brooklyn.

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<v Speaker 1>The Rangers were going for an eighth straight win and

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<v Speaker 1>Chris Cryder scored twenty two second van but Pittsburgh one

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<v Speaker 1>three to two. The Devil's, who earlier this season had

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<v Speaker 1>a thirteen game one is Dreeca now lost their last

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<v Speaker 1>six meeting by Carolina four to one. Seaton Hall lost

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<v Speaker 1>the Big East game at Xavier seventy three to seventy.

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<v Speaker 1>Yukon be Georgetown the Hoskins, and oh the Jets does

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<v Speaker 1>Jacksonville tomorrow night and Zack Wilson will again be the

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<v Speaker 1>Jets starting quarterback. John Stashward, Bloomberg Sports, Nathan all Right, John,

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<v Speaker 1>thank you, and Bloomberg Sports was brought to you by

0:11:25.480 --> 0:11:27.959
<v Speaker 1>Audie Don't let someone else drive off and the Audi

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<v Speaker 1>or visit Autie Offers dot com for more information. Just ahead,

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<v Speaker 1>we'll get the latest on President Zelenski's trip to the

0:11:41.320 --> 0:11:45.040
<v Speaker 1>nation's capital. First, we look at markets and to see

0:11:45.040 --> 0:11:48.640
<v Speaker 1>futures moving higher, with SMP futures up twenty three points,

0:11:48.640 --> 0:11:51.640
<v Speaker 1>staff futures up two hundred forty one Nastack futures are

0:11:51.679 --> 0:11:54.439
<v Speaker 1>highed by sixty four points in the tenure treasury is

0:11:54.440 --> 0:11:57.160
<v Speaker 1>a little changed right now yield on the benchmark ten

0:11:57.240 --> 0:12:03.840
<v Speaker 1>year note three point six eight percent. Live from coast

0:12:03.920 --> 0:12:07.559
<v Speaker 1>to coast, from New York to San Francisco, Boston to Washington,

0:12:07.640 --> 0:12:11.440
<v Speaker 1>d C. Nationwide on Sirius Examp, the Bloomberg Business app,

0:12:11.480 --> 0:12:16.320
<v Speaker 1>and Bloomberg dot Com. This is Bloomberg Daybreak. Good morning,

0:12:16.360 --> 0:12:18.760
<v Speaker 1>I'm Nathan Hager. Let's get back to our top story

0:12:18.840 --> 0:12:21.199
<v Speaker 1>this morning. What could be a dramatic few hours in

0:12:21.240 --> 0:12:26.800
<v Speaker 1>the nation's capital as President Zelensky goes to Washington. Bloomberg's

0:12:26.800 --> 0:12:30.400
<v Speaker 1>Bruce Einhorn joins us now with more on this. Bruce,

0:12:30.559 --> 0:12:34.360
<v Speaker 1>good morning. What a statement this is that the first

0:12:34.400 --> 0:12:37.280
<v Speaker 1>trip that President Zelensky is going to make outside his

0:12:37.400 --> 0:12:41.000
<v Speaker 1>country since the war began is to the United States.

0:12:41.040 --> 0:12:43.080
<v Speaker 1>It says a lot about the level of support this

0:12:43.200 --> 0:12:49.000
<v Speaker 1>country has given to Ukraine in its war against Russia. Yes,

0:12:49.040 --> 0:12:52.680
<v Speaker 1>and it also shows them the important to that President's

0:12:52.760 --> 0:12:57.959
<v Speaker 1>landscape places on making sure that that support continues going forward.

0:12:58.480 --> 0:13:02.360
<v Speaker 1>The big issue that Ukraine faces in Washington is the

0:13:02.480 --> 0:13:06.720
<v Speaker 1>upcoming takeover as the House represented by Republicans UM. Some

0:13:06.840 --> 0:13:11.400
<v Speaker 1>Republicans have expressed skepticism about the level of support that

0:13:11.440 --> 0:13:15.520
<v Speaker 1>the US has given to Ukraine. UM. People like Marjorie

0:13:15.559 --> 0:13:20.520
<v Speaker 1>Taylor Green have criticized the US and then bide administration

0:13:20.640 --> 0:13:25.000
<v Speaker 1>for its support from Ukraine. UM. Quite a lot of Republicans,

0:13:25.200 --> 0:13:29.800
<v Speaker 1>including the Senate Senate Leader Mitch McConnell, the leader of

0:13:29.880 --> 0:13:34.319
<v Speaker 1>Republicans of the Senate UM, have expressed want support from Ukraine.

0:13:35.120 --> 0:13:38.080
<v Speaker 1>That said, there is you know, there's reason for for

0:13:38.679 --> 0:13:42.360
<v Speaker 1>Presidents Olinska and others to be concerned UM that UM,

0:13:42.640 --> 0:13:44.880
<v Speaker 1>they need to shore up their support in Washington. And

0:13:45.000 --> 0:13:49.000
<v Speaker 1>so this speech in front of a joint session of Congress,

0:13:49.000 --> 0:13:53.560
<v Speaker 1>that's give the Ukrainian president opportunity to to address some

0:13:53.640 --> 0:13:56.760
<v Speaker 1>of those some of those districts. And we are expecting

0:13:56.800 --> 0:13:59.160
<v Speaker 1>as well that the President Biden, during a joint news

0:13:59.200 --> 0:14:02.360
<v Speaker 1>conference at the i Had House with the President of Ukraine,

0:14:02.440 --> 0:14:05.720
<v Speaker 1>is going to announce that he has indeed decided to

0:14:05.840 --> 0:14:10.920
<v Speaker 1>deliver a Patriot UH anti air missile systems to Ukraine

0:14:11.040 --> 0:14:15.280
<v Speaker 1>as well. Tell us more about the significance of patriots.

0:14:15.360 --> 0:14:19.800
<v Speaker 1>This is something that President Zelinski has been really asking

0:14:20.080 --> 0:14:23.960
<v Speaker 1>strongly for from the United States or some time. Yes,

0:14:24.760 --> 0:14:28.200
<v Speaker 1>with good reason because of course Ukraine and being hit

0:14:28.760 --> 0:14:34.720
<v Speaker 1>almost on a daily basis by drones, missiles coming from Russia,

0:14:34.880 --> 0:14:42.520
<v Speaker 1>attacking civilian targets, attract attacking the energy, good h other infrastructure.

0:14:42.920 --> 0:14:47.960
<v Speaker 1>So having the Patriot or Defense system would provide Ukraine

0:14:48.040 --> 0:14:52.640
<v Speaker 1>with a valuable tool to to fight that. Um. The

0:14:52.680 --> 0:14:57.000
<v Speaker 1>Patriots would be part of a new assistance package that

0:14:57.040 --> 0:15:00.840
<v Speaker 1>would be worth nearly two billion dollars that President Biden

0:15:01.200 --> 0:15:05.320
<v Speaker 1>is going to be announcing today. Uh. This also comes

0:15:05.320 --> 0:15:09.480
<v Speaker 1>at a time when Congress is pois approved billion dollars

0:15:09.520 --> 0:15:11.800
<v Speaker 1>in new aid for Ukraine. This is part of the

0:15:11.800 --> 0:15:15.040
<v Speaker 1>big homicist spending bill that Congress is likely to pass

0:15:15.440 --> 0:15:21.480
<v Speaker 1>within the next few days. So um uh many many uh.

0:15:22.400 --> 0:15:24.560
<v Speaker 1>The signs of support for Ukraine at the moment, But

0:15:24.600 --> 0:15:27.960
<v Speaker 1>again um, the Ukrainians do have to be concerned about

0:15:28.280 --> 0:15:33.080
<v Speaker 1>just maintaining that. Um with the change in control of

0:15:33.120 --> 0:15:35.600
<v Speaker 1>the House in the next few weeks. And as if

0:15:35.600 --> 0:15:38.600
<v Speaker 1>the arrival of the Ukrainian president weren't enough, we have

0:15:38.720 --> 0:15:42.240
<v Speaker 1>another major development coming out of Washington, something that former

0:15:42.280 --> 0:15:46.600
<v Speaker 1>President Trump has been fighting for literally years. His tax

0:15:46.600 --> 0:15:51.800
<v Speaker 1>returns are about to be made public. Yeah. So um

0:15:52.000 --> 0:15:55.960
<v Speaker 1>soon after the Democrats one control of Congress back in

0:15:56.000 --> 0:15:58.840
<v Speaker 1>two thousand and nineteen. The housewives and needs to be

0:15:59.520 --> 0:16:02.440
<v Speaker 1>uh in the to the procedure to get the former

0:16:02.480 --> 0:16:08.120
<v Speaker 1>president's tax returns. Uh. Trump um has litigated that um

0:16:08.160 --> 0:16:12.160
<v Speaker 1>newly ran out the block here um but ultimately uh

0:16:13.000 --> 0:16:17.200
<v Speaker 1>lost on the committee does have the returns. The committee

0:16:17.360 --> 0:16:22.040
<v Speaker 1>voted yesterday on party line basis to release the returns. Uh.

0:16:22.080 --> 0:16:25.440
<v Speaker 1>It'll probably still be a few days maybe people we

0:16:25.520 --> 0:16:28.760
<v Speaker 1>actually um see those released because they do have to

0:16:28.800 --> 0:16:33.400
<v Speaker 1>redact some things um. Uh some personal information for instanceance

0:16:33.600 --> 0:16:38.080
<v Speaker 1>truly members that sort of thing. Um. However, we do

0:16:38.280 --> 0:16:43.120
<v Speaker 1>have from Richard Neal, the chairman of the committee, the

0:16:43.160 --> 0:16:48.760
<v Speaker 1>report about the audit that took place of the President

0:16:48.760 --> 0:16:51.680
<v Speaker 1>Trump's returns while he was while his president so U

0:16:51.680 --> 0:16:55.240
<v Speaker 1>from two thousand and seventeen onwards. Um. And there was

0:16:55.520 --> 0:17:00.760
<v Speaker 1>pretty sharp criticism from from Congressman Meal about how that

0:17:02.600 --> 0:17:06.359
<v Speaker 1>how that transpired. According to the chairman of the Way

0:17:06.440 --> 0:17:10.440
<v Speaker 1>the Needs Commute, there was almost nothing done in terms

0:17:10.480 --> 0:17:13.720
<v Speaker 1>of the audit of President Trump's returned during those years,

0:17:14.359 --> 0:17:17.720
<v Speaker 1>which is a contrary to standard policy, which is that

0:17:17.840 --> 0:17:19.919
<v Speaker 1>the i RS does an audit of the president and

0:17:19.960 --> 0:17:23.960
<v Speaker 1>the Vice president UM. According to Meil, that didn't really

0:17:23.960 --> 0:17:27.879
<v Speaker 1>happen until he made he sent a letter to to

0:17:27.960 --> 0:17:32.159
<v Speaker 1>the RS in two thousand and nineteen uh and said

0:17:32.320 --> 0:17:37.399
<v Speaker 1>that he needed to see this information. UM. According to Kneel,

0:17:37.480 --> 0:17:40.640
<v Speaker 1>this what the shows is that there's there's a need

0:17:40.720 --> 0:17:46.360
<v Speaker 1>for a bill that would require i RS to audit. Yeah,

0:17:46.440 --> 0:17:49.440
<v Speaker 1>the changes to the i R s expected to come

0:17:49.440 --> 0:17:53.240
<v Speaker 1>out of this fight that the president has been mounting

0:17:53.280 --> 0:17:55.960
<v Speaker 1>for some time. Bruce Einhorn with us this morning for

0:17:56.040 --> 0:17:58.359
<v Speaker 1>the latest from the nation's capital. Thanks for this first.

0:17:58.400 --> 0:18:04.520
<v Speaker 1>This is Bloomberg Markets headlines and breaking new ones twenty

0:18:04.520 --> 0:18:07.359
<v Speaker 1>four hours a day at Bloomberg dot Com, the Bloomberg

0:18:07.400 --> 0:18:10.320
<v Speaker 1>Business at Land at Bloomberg Quick Take. This is a

0:18:10.359 --> 0:18:20.400
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Business Flash and I'm Karen Moscow and European stocks

0:18:20.440 --> 0:18:23.679
<v Speaker 1>are rising this morning alongside US stock index. Futures at

0:18:23.680 --> 0:18:26.440
<v Speaker 1>the SNP five hundred close higher for the first time

0:18:26.440 --> 0:18:28.639
<v Speaker 1>in four sessions. And we check the markets all day

0:18:28.680 --> 0:18:32.040
<v Speaker 1>long year on Bloomberg SMP futures up twenty four points down,

0:18:32.040 --> 0:18:34.159
<v Speaker 1>futures up two hundred fifty three. That's up almost eight

0:18:34.200 --> 0:18:37.280
<v Speaker 1>tenths of uppercent and Nasdack future is up sixty five

0:18:37.400 --> 0:18:40.000
<v Speaker 1>or six tenths of uppercent. The decks in Germany's up

0:18:40.040 --> 0:18:42.840
<v Speaker 1>eight tenths of upper sent the tenure treasury little change.

0:18:42.840 --> 0:18:44.840
<v Speaker 1>You'll three point six eight percent yield on the two

0:18:44.920 --> 0:18:47.560
<v Speaker 1>year four point to two percent nine Max screwed oil

0:18:47.640 --> 0:18:49.600
<v Speaker 1>up win and a quarter percent of ninety seven cents

0:18:49.600 --> 0:18:52.119
<v Speaker 1>at seventy seven dollars twenty cents of barrel co Max

0:18:52.160 --> 0:18:55.040
<v Speaker 1>School little change. In eighteen twenty four thirty announced the

0:18:55.080 --> 0:18:57.720
<v Speaker 1>euro one point six two two against the dollar, British

0:18:57.720 --> 0:19:00.600
<v Speaker 1>pound one point two one three one, the yen one

0:19:00.640 --> 0:19:04.320
<v Speaker 1>point six four. Bitcoin is little changed at about sixteen thousand,

0:19:04.400 --> 0:19:07.040
<v Speaker 1>eight hundred dollars, and we're watching shares of Nike up

0:19:07.080 --> 0:19:11.000
<v Speaker 1>almost this morning. It posted another quarter of inventory build

0:19:11.080 --> 0:19:14.119
<v Speaker 1>up a but quarterly sales exceeded Wall Street estimates and

0:19:14.119 --> 0:19:16.720
<v Speaker 1>as a Bloomberg business flash now here Smuckel bar with

0:19:16.800 --> 0:19:19.240
<v Speaker 1>Moore on what's going on around the world. Unchal, Good morning,

0:19:19.280 --> 0:19:21.840
<v Speaker 1>Good morning, Karen. The House Ways A Means Committee voted

0:19:21.880 --> 0:19:25.080
<v Speaker 1>to release former President Trump's tax information to the public.

0:19:25.520 --> 0:19:29.000
<v Speaker 1>So far, we have learned that dozens of audit triggers

0:19:29.240 --> 0:19:34.600
<v Speaker 1>littered Trump's tax returns. According to Congress's top nonpartisan tax lawyers,

0:19:34.640 --> 0:19:40.720
<v Speaker 1>there are questionable private jet expenses and large, unsubstantiated charitable deductions,

0:19:41.119 --> 0:19:44.639
<v Speaker 1>yet none of them have been seriously owned it. Ukrainian

0:19:44.680 --> 0:19:47.760
<v Speaker 1>President voladimir's Lensky is making his way to Washington for

0:19:47.800 --> 0:19:51.480
<v Speaker 1>a summit with President Joe Biden and to address Congress Today.

0:19:51.920 --> 0:19:54.480
<v Speaker 1>In the NBA, the Next beat the Warriors one thirty

0:19:54.520 --> 0:19:57.240
<v Speaker 1>two ninety four, the Wizards one. In the NHL, the

0:19:57.359 --> 0:20:00.480
<v Speaker 1>Rangers and Devils lost. Global News twenty We're hours a

0:20:00.560 --> 0:20:03.320
<v Speaker 1>day on here or and on Bloomberg Quick take powered

0:20:03.320 --> 0:20:07.199
<v Speaker 1>by more than journalists and analysts more than twenty countries.

0:20:07.520 --> 0:20:10.040
<v Speaker 1>Micha La Barre and this is Bloomberg. All right, Michael,

0:20:10.040 --> 0:20:12.239
<v Speaker 1>thank you. This five twenty three on Wall Street. I'm

0:20:12.320 --> 0:20:15.080
<v Speaker 1>Nathan Hagar and this is Bloomberg day Break. Now let's

0:20:15.080 --> 0:20:18.520
<v Speaker 1>get back to elon Musk and Twitter that Saga isn't

0:20:18.600 --> 0:20:22.080
<v Speaker 1>going away, but now after a rocky few weeks as CEO,

0:20:22.359 --> 0:20:25.840
<v Speaker 1>looks like Musk is indeed going to do as promised

0:20:25.840 --> 0:20:28.359
<v Speaker 1>in hand over the reins at the social network, but

0:20:28.359 --> 0:20:31.440
<v Speaker 1>he won't be going too far. Let's bring in Alex Webb,

0:20:31.480 --> 0:20:34.160
<v Speaker 1>who has been following the Twitter Musk saga very closely.

0:20:34.200 --> 0:20:37.600
<v Speaker 1>Are Bloomberg Quick Take correspondent back with us this morning

0:20:37.640 --> 0:20:41.359
<v Speaker 1>and Alex I love the headline on this piece on

0:20:41.400 --> 0:20:44.159
<v Speaker 1>the terminal from our colleague Kurt Wagner. Elon Musk is

0:20:44.200 --> 0:20:47.800
<v Speaker 1>finally running out of gas at Twitter. What are your

0:20:47.800 --> 0:20:52.200
<v Speaker 1>thoughts on how things have gone over the last seven weeks? Gosh, yeah,

0:20:52.200 --> 0:20:54.800
<v Speaker 1>he's been a It's been a month or two, hasn't it. Yeah,

0:20:55.119 --> 0:20:59.720
<v Speaker 1>the he's stepping down the CEO. Is he leaving the company?

0:21:00.960 --> 0:21:03.960
<v Speaker 1>He's going to be running the engineering and server teams.

0:21:04.440 --> 0:21:06.720
<v Speaker 1>If you look at what's happened to headcount at Twitter,

0:21:06.760 --> 0:21:10.240
<v Speaker 1>they had seven half thousand employees when he joined. That's

0:21:10.280 --> 0:21:13.960
<v Speaker 1>dropped by about through firings and departures by about five thousand.

0:21:14.359 --> 0:21:18.800
<v Speaker 1>What is left will presumably mostly server and engineering teams.

0:21:18.960 --> 0:21:21.600
<v Speaker 1>So he's in a situation where he's going to sit

0:21:21.640 --> 0:21:23.359
<v Speaker 1>down the CEO, but he's still going to be running

0:21:23.440 --> 0:21:25.720
<v Speaker 1>a large trunk of the company. He's still going to

0:21:25.840 --> 0:21:29.959
<v Speaker 1>be the controlling shareholder breathing down the neck of whoever

0:21:30.200 --> 0:21:34.080
<v Speaker 1>is the actual CEO. UM I suspect this is more

0:21:34.119 --> 0:21:38.480
<v Speaker 1>about how the company is presented outwardly. Not least it's advertisers.

0:21:38.520 --> 0:21:40.920
<v Speaker 1>Those are its customers. Those are the people that it's

0:21:40.960 --> 0:21:44.239
<v Speaker 1>been losing. Um. As our colleagues reported last week, they

0:21:44.240 --> 0:21:45.719
<v Speaker 1>put us in the room with some of the meetings

0:21:45.720 --> 0:21:49.000
<v Speaker 1>that Elon Musk has had with advertisers. Those meetings don't

0:21:49.040 --> 0:21:52.800
<v Speaker 1>always seem to have gone particularly well. Um, he needs

0:21:52.800 --> 0:21:56.280
<v Speaker 1>somebody who was experienced sitting in front of brands, in

0:21:56.320 --> 0:21:59.640
<v Speaker 1>front of ad agencies and going, here's why it's worth

0:21:59.640 --> 0:22:02.240
<v Speaker 1>advertis is gonnaur platform. You don't need to worry about

0:22:02.240 --> 0:22:06.200
<v Speaker 1>these risks. Please give us your money. Um. I suspect

0:22:06.440 --> 0:22:07.879
<v Speaker 1>that is the sort of person who's going to be

0:22:07.880 --> 0:22:10.600
<v Speaker 1>looking to hire while he gets on behind the scenes,

0:22:10.640 --> 0:22:12.399
<v Speaker 1>to the extent that Elon must never be t really

0:22:12.480 --> 0:22:16.159
<v Speaker 1>behind the scenes trying to fix um some of the

0:22:16.160 --> 0:22:18.000
<v Speaker 1>problems he sees with the company. Well, we've had a

0:22:18.040 --> 0:22:21.280
<v Speaker 1>couple of names bandied about in the reporting and walk

0:22:21.400 --> 0:22:25.280
<v Speaker 1>us through a couple of potential CEOs. Whether those are

0:22:25.280 --> 0:22:28.679
<v Speaker 1>the kind of people that Elon Musk might have in

0:22:28.720 --> 0:22:32.120
<v Speaker 1>mind to address some of those issues that you just outlined.

0:22:32.800 --> 0:22:35.600
<v Speaker 1>So the you know, the name that seemingly a lot

0:22:35.600 --> 0:22:38.240
<v Speaker 1>of people would like is Cheryl Sandberg. You know, she

0:22:38.440 --> 0:22:41.520
<v Speaker 1>built much of the advertising model at Google. She built

0:22:41.560 --> 0:22:46.159
<v Speaker 1>the advertising model at Facebook. Now meta, would she be

0:22:46.200 --> 0:22:50.080
<v Speaker 1>willing to work for Ellen? Well, you know, she has

0:22:50.119 --> 0:22:52.560
<v Speaker 1>worked for a founder CEO in the shape of Ellen,

0:22:53.000 --> 0:22:55.919
<v Speaker 1>in the shape of Mark Zuckerberg, who has, you know,

0:22:55.960 --> 0:22:59.040
<v Speaker 1>clearly his own management style. There are other names in

0:22:59.080 --> 0:23:01.359
<v Speaker 1>there as well that like to Jay, I'm Jason Calicanus

0:23:01.359 --> 0:23:03.440
<v Speaker 1>and David Sachs, who have perceived as being very close

0:23:03.480 --> 0:23:05.480
<v Speaker 1>to Musque. They had come in to help run the

0:23:05.480 --> 0:23:08.440
<v Speaker 1>company when he first took over. They you know, Jason

0:23:08.440 --> 0:23:10.600
<v Speaker 1>Calicanus certainly has put his hand up in the air

0:23:10.640 --> 0:23:13.680
<v Speaker 1>and saying he would like the job. You know, there

0:23:13.760 --> 0:23:15.879
<v Speaker 1>are I think there's still plenty people out there who

0:23:15.880 --> 0:23:18.760
<v Speaker 1>would like to do it. Is there anybody who could

0:23:18.800 --> 0:23:20.399
<v Speaker 1>do a better job than him who would like to

0:23:20.400 --> 0:23:23.840
<v Speaker 1>do it, Well, that's a slightly different question, but I

0:23:23.840 --> 0:23:26.919
<v Speaker 1>don't think he will be short of candidates. Yeah, and

0:23:27.160 --> 0:23:29.880
<v Speaker 1>we're gonna be watching it. It's gonna be probably quite

0:23:29.920 --> 0:23:34.520
<v Speaker 1>some time before a new CEO finally gets settled in

0:23:34.920 --> 0:23:37.680
<v Speaker 1>alex Web Bloomberg Quick Take correspondent will be checking back

0:23:37.720 --> 0:23:41.240
<v Speaker 1>with you, I'm sure as we continue watching all the

0:23:41.359 --> 0:23:45.159
<v Speaker 1>developments over at Twitter. Right now, SMP futures are up

0:23:45.160 --> 0:23:47.520
<v Speaker 1>twenty four points, down futures up two hundred fifty two,

0:23:47.560 --> 0:23:50.359
<v Speaker 1>Nastaic futures up sixty four points, and Tesla shares up

0:23:50.400 --> 0:23:53.560
<v Speaker 1>two point six percent. On the Musque News will get

0:23:53.640 --> 0:23:56.360
<v Speaker 1>your morning stop stories local headlines in the fuller check

0:23:56.400 --> 0:24:01.159
<v Speaker 1>of markets. First, Today's Bloomberg weather forecast. Some high cloudy

0:24:01.200 --> 0:24:03.399
<v Speaker 1>has headed our way today and end up being partly

0:24:03.440 --> 0:24:06.679
<v Speaker 1>sunny with temperatures near forty this afternoon. Will cloud up overnight.

0:24:06.720 --> 0:24:09.720
<v Speaker 1>Those thirty to thirty five large storm developing in the

0:24:09.760 --> 0:24:11.880
<v Speaker 1>central part of the country will lead to rain developing

0:24:11.880 --> 0:24:14.280
<v Speaker 1>across the Tri state area. Tomorrow afternoon. It'll be breezy

0:24:14.320 --> 0:24:17.560
<v Speaker 1>fifty to fifty five, rainey, windy near fifty tomorrow night.

0:24:17.640 --> 0:24:21.000
<v Speaker 1>Rain ends Friday fifty five. Much colder this weekend. I'm

0:24:21.119 --> 0:24:24.080
<v Speaker 1>Rob Carolyn with your three day forecast on Bloomberg eleven

0:24:24.160 --> 0:24:30.920
<v Speaker 1>three oh broadcasting live from the Bloomberg Interactive Broker Studio

0:24:31.040 --> 0:24:34.200
<v Speaker 1>in New York. Bloomberg eleving Freedom to Washington, d C,

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg nine one to Boston, Bloomberg one O six one

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<v Speaker 1>to San Francisco, Bloomberg nine sixty to the country, Sirius

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<v Speaker 1>XM to a one nine team, and around the globe,

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<v Speaker 1>the Bloomberg Business and Bloomberg Radio dot com. This is

0:24:48.320 --> 0:24:56.560
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Daybreak and it's coming up to five thirty on

0:24:56.560 --> 0:24:59.560
<v Speaker 1>Wall Street. Good morning. I'm Karen Moscow, I'm Nathan Hager.

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Daybreak, brought to you by Innovation Refunds, is your

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0:25:04.640 --> 0:25:07.560
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0:25:18.920 --> 0:25:20.840
<v Speaker 1>news you need to know at this shour. We begin

0:25:20.920 --> 0:25:24.000
<v Speaker 1>with a couple of major stories and politics up. First,

0:25:24.080 --> 0:25:27.639
<v Speaker 1>Ukrainian President Vladimir Zelenski is leaving Ukraine for the first

0:25:27.680 --> 0:25:31.600
<v Speaker 1>time since Russia's invasion to address Congress in person in

0:25:31.640 --> 0:25:35.400
<v Speaker 1>the nation's capital. Bloomberg Government reporter Jack Fitzpatrick says it's

0:25:35.400 --> 0:25:37.720
<v Speaker 1>a big moment in the debate over aid to the country.

0:25:38.119 --> 0:25:41.600
<v Speaker 1>There have been some questions about really where House Republicans

0:25:41.640 --> 0:25:44.720
<v Speaker 1>come down in the firmness of their support for Ukraine.

0:25:45.000 --> 0:25:48.080
<v Speaker 1>To have a joint address to Congress and in person

0:25:48.080 --> 0:25:51.639
<v Speaker 1>addressed especially, would be a very significant moment at a

0:25:51.720 --> 0:25:54.320
<v Speaker 1>pivotal time, because these kinds of agreements are going to

0:25:54.359 --> 0:25:56.800
<v Speaker 1>be a bit more difficult when it's a Republican House

0:25:56.840 --> 0:26:00.520
<v Speaker 1>and a Democratic Senate. Bloomberg, Jack Fitzpatrick or force at

0:26:00.520 --> 0:26:03.879
<v Speaker 1>President Biden plans to announce two billion dollars in assistance

0:26:03.920 --> 0:26:06.639
<v Speaker 1>to Ukraine, and meantime, Karen a. House committees voted to

0:26:06.720 --> 0:26:10.560
<v Speaker 1>officially release former President Donald Trump's tax information to the public.

0:26:10.600 --> 0:26:12.760
<v Speaker 1>The actual returns will come out in a few days.

0:26:13.080 --> 0:26:16.639
<v Speaker 1>Analysis so far shows the former president used questionable deductions

0:26:16.640 --> 0:26:19.920
<v Speaker 1>and aggressive tax strategies to minimize his bills. And now

0:26:19.960 --> 0:26:22.240
<v Speaker 1>to Elon Musk, Nathan, the head of Twitter, says he

0:26:22.280 --> 0:26:25.399
<v Speaker 1>will step down as CEO when a replacement is found.

0:26:25.680 --> 0:26:28.840
<v Speaker 1>This comes as the FTC deepens its investigation into Twitter's

0:26:28.920 --> 0:26:31.600
<v Speaker 1>use of US your data. The extradition of Sam Bankman

0:26:31.640 --> 0:26:34.199
<v Speaker 1>freed from the Bahamas, is picking up steam. Karen, the

0:26:34.320 --> 0:26:37.760
<v Speaker 1>FTX co founder, could be making his way stateside today Bloomberg.

0:26:37.760 --> 0:26:41.200
<v Speaker 1>Steve Rappaport joins US Live Steve, good morning, Good morning,

0:26:41.320 --> 0:26:44.760
<v Speaker 1>Karen and Nathan. FBI agents are expected to escort Sam Bankman,

0:26:44.840 --> 0:26:47.359
<v Speaker 1>freed on a private flight back to the US after

0:26:47.400 --> 0:26:50.520
<v Speaker 1>he signs a waiver of extradition in court. SPF has

0:26:50.520 --> 0:26:52.720
<v Speaker 1>been held at the notorious Fox Hill Prison on the

0:26:52.720 --> 0:26:55.520
<v Speaker 1>outskirts of Nasau Sin's that judge denied his request for bail.

0:26:55.840 --> 0:26:58.640
<v Speaker 1>The possibility of making bail here reportedly played a role

0:26:58.640 --> 0:27:01.640
<v Speaker 1>in his decision to no longer contest extradition to face

0:27:01.720 --> 0:27:04.359
<v Speaker 1>numerous charges related to the collapse of his crypto firm.

0:27:04.560 --> 0:27:07.920
<v Speaker 1>Live in New York. I'm Steve Rappaport, Bloomberg Daybreak. Al Right, Steve, Thanks,

0:27:07.960 --> 0:27:10.399
<v Speaker 1>We're taking a look at markets now. European stocks are

0:27:10.440 --> 0:27:14.000
<v Speaker 1>advancing alongside US stock index futures. Yesterday saw the SNP

0:27:14.119 --> 0:27:16.840
<v Speaker 1>five hundred clothes higher for the first time in four sessions,

0:27:17.000 --> 0:27:19.280
<v Speaker 1>and this week's move from the Bank of Japan continues

0:27:19.320 --> 0:27:22.040
<v Speaker 1>to reverbrate. The yen is studying against the dollar, trading

0:27:22.040 --> 0:27:24.920
<v Speaker 1>at one thirty one point six eight. Bloomberg Opinion columnist

0:27:25.000 --> 0:27:27.000
<v Speaker 1>Muhammad al Arian has more on the b O j

0:27:27.200 --> 0:27:30.400
<v Speaker 1>surprise decision. There's no doubt in my mind that this

0:27:30.560 --> 0:27:33.760
<v Speaker 1>is the spectables normalization, but they're trying to make it

0:27:33.800 --> 0:27:37.399
<v Speaker 1>a weedly long process as unexciting as possible so that

0:27:37.480 --> 0:27:41.680
<v Speaker 1>it doesn't force selling font bie Japanese institutions. That's the

0:27:41.760 --> 0:27:45.080
<v Speaker 1>big risk. Bloomberg Opinion columnist Muhammad al Arian says the

0:27:45.119 --> 0:27:48.400
<v Speaker 1>move provides some stability, but does carry risk. At SMP

0:27:48.520 --> 0:27:51.240
<v Speaker 1>futures right now, we're up twenty four points, DAL futures up.

0:27:51.240 --> 0:27:55.000
<v Speaker 1>Tune in fifty seven, Nastact futures higher by sixty four points.

0:27:55.400 --> 0:27:58.000
<v Speaker 1>Straight ahead, your latest local headlines and the check of sports.

0:27:58.080 --> 0:28:05.320
<v Speaker 1>This is Bloomberg on Wall Street. We bring in Michael

0:28:05.320 --> 0:28:06.720
<v Speaker 1>Barr for a look at what's going on in New

0:28:06.800 --> 0:28:09.520
<v Speaker 1>York and around the world. Michael Nathan, thank you very much.

0:28:09.560 --> 0:28:12.399
<v Speaker 1>New York City police are investigating an apparent accident that

0:28:12.520 --> 0:28:15.720
<v Speaker 1>happened in the subway in Manhattan. The victims of forty

0:28:15.760 --> 0:28:17.920
<v Speaker 1>four year old man and the sixty three year old

0:28:17.920 --> 0:28:21.480
<v Speaker 1>woman had been hit by an L train shortly but

0:28:21.640 --> 0:28:25.680
<v Speaker 1>the conductors of two subsequent trains did not notice the

0:28:25.760 --> 0:28:29.200
<v Speaker 1>victims and also struck them on the tracks. This woman,

0:28:29.240 --> 0:28:31.399
<v Speaker 1>who was at the sixth Avenue stop. At the time,

0:28:32.560 --> 0:28:34.760
<v Speaker 1>New Yorkers were tough. We don't care a lot about

0:28:35.600 --> 0:28:38.240
<v Speaker 1>but it's like sometimes you know, it takes a little

0:28:38.240 --> 0:28:41.640
<v Speaker 1>time just to like play attention to something. Officials don't

0:28:41.640 --> 0:28:45.080
<v Speaker 1>believe the victims were connected. A last minute plea from

0:28:45.080 --> 0:28:48.440
<v Speaker 1>New York City Mayor Eric Adams as holiday travelers continued

0:28:48.480 --> 0:28:52.000
<v Speaker 1>to arrive, even as flu, rs V and COVID cases

0:28:52.040 --> 0:28:55.920
<v Speaker 1>continued to rise nationwide. Mayor Adams encouraged New Yorkers to

0:28:56.000 --> 0:28:59.680
<v Speaker 1>remain vigilant of the risks of these respiratory infections now

0:28:59.720 --> 0:29:03.440
<v Speaker 1>into winder this year, particularly around the flu from the

0:29:03.800 --> 0:29:07.360
<v Speaker 1>from the briefing we receive, the numbers are higher than

0:29:07.400 --> 0:29:10.200
<v Speaker 1>this traditionally is around this year. When you combine it

0:29:10.320 --> 0:29:14.320
<v Speaker 1>with the other elements that we're facing, the other rs VS,

0:29:14.760 --> 0:29:18.120
<v Speaker 1>COVID nineteen and just make it extremely challenging for New

0:29:18.200 --> 0:29:21.760
<v Speaker 1>York to Mayor Adams encouraged New Yorkers to mask up.

0:29:22.080 --> 0:29:24.240
<v Speaker 1>A large swath of the US is bracing for a

0:29:24.320 --> 0:29:28.000
<v Speaker 1>dangerous mix of cold, howling winds, and blizzard conditions. It's

0:29:28.000 --> 0:29:31.120
<v Speaker 1>already hammering the Northwest and is expected to disrupt plans

0:29:31.120 --> 0:29:34.600
<v Speaker 1>for millions of holiday travelers. The Taliban has renegged on

0:29:34.640 --> 0:29:37.160
<v Speaker 1>a promise they made when they took over Afghanistan in

0:29:37.200 --> 0:29:40.360
<v Speaker 1>August of last year. Their Ministry of Higher Education now

0:29:40.440 --> 0:29:42.760
<v Speaker 1>says women will no longer be allowed to attend public

0:29:42.840 --> 0:29:46.640
<v Speaker 1>or private university. State Department spokesperson ned Price. The Taliban

0:29:46.880 --> 0:29:49.760
<v Speaker 1>made promises to the people of Afghanistan and to the

0:29:49.800 --> 0:29:53.880
<v Speaker 1>international community that schools would reopen. They claimed that this

0:29:53.920 --> 0:29:56.640
<v Speaker 1>was a matter of procedures and arrangements and would be

0:29:56.720 --> 0:30:00.760
<v Speaker 1>quickly reversed. Now we hear the opposite Global News twenty

0:30:00.760 --> 0:30:03.040
<v Speaker 1>four hours a day on air and on Bloomberg Quick Take,

0:30:03.040 --> 0:30:05.440
<v Speaker 1>powered by more than twenty seven hundred journalists analysts more

0:30:05.440 --> 0:30:08.040
<v Speaker 1>than a hundred twenty countries on Michael Barr, this is Bloomberg, Nathan,

0:30:08.160 --> 0:30:14.840
<v Speaker 1>Thanks Michael. By thirty three on Wall Street Time for

0:30:14.840 --> 0:30:16.960
<v Speaker 1>the Bloomberg Sports Update, brought to you by tri State

0:30:17.000 --> 0:30:19.320
<v Speaker 1>out of here. All right, Nathan, to think that the

0:30:19.400 --> 0:30:22.480
<v Speaker 1>Mets under previous ownership, we're always considered to be cheap,

0:30:22.840 --> 0:30:25.240
<v Speaker 1>not anymore. Not with Steve Cohen. They were already looking

0:30:25.240 --> 0:30:27.880
<v Speaker 1>at a payroll about three hundred sixty million dollars. They

0:30:27.880 --> 0:30:30.560
<v Speaker 1>had shelled out money that saw season to keep free

0:30:30.560 --> 0:30:33.840
<v Speaker 1>agents Edwin Diaz and Brandon Neimo. They added Justin Verlander

0:30:33.880 --> 0:30:37.840
<v Speaker 1>and five others, and now they're adding Carlos Korea. He's

0:30:37.880 --> 0:30:40.120
<v Speaker 1>not going to the Giants as was announced last week.

0:30:40.120 --> 0:30:43.280
<v Speaker 1>A little unclear what happened. Yesterday's press conference in San

0:30:43.280 --> 0:30:46.240
<v Speaker 1>Francisco was canceled. In Korea has coming to the Mats

0:30:46.280 --> 0:30:49.240
<v Speaker 1>twelve years, three hundred and fifteen million, These close friends

0:30:49.240 --> 0:30:51.880
<v Speaker 1>with Mets short stop Francisco Lindoor. The plan is to

0:30:51.920 --> 0:30:54.200
<v Speaker 1>move Korea to third base. It's like what the Yankees

0:30:54.280 --> 0:30:57.160
<v Speaker 1>did once with Alex Rodriguez. Matt Carpenter, who had some

0:30:57.240 --> 0:31:00.640
<v Speaker 1>Yankee heroics this past season, signed with San Diego. Forty

0:31:00.640 --> 0:31:03.360
<v Speaker 1>two year old billionaire Matt Eshiba has a deal to

0:31:03.440 --> 0:31:06.600
<v Speaker 1>buy the Phoenix Suns and the w NBA Mercury for

0:31:06.640 --> 0:31:09.560
<v Speaker 1>four billion dollars. At the Garden, nixt maybe eight wins

0:31:09.600 --> 0:31:12.560
<v Speaker 1>in a row, easily over Golden State one thirty two

0:31:12.600 --> 0:31:15.000
<v Speaker 1>to ninety four. Manual quickly off the event for a

0:31:15.000 --> 0:31:18.120
<v Speaker 1>team I twenty two points, Jalen Brunson scored twenty one,

0:31:18.200 --> 0:31:21.000
<v Speaker 1>Quentin Grimes nineteen, r. J. Barrett eighteen, and another home

0:31:21.000 --> 0:31:24.600
<v Speaker 1>game tonight against Toronto. The Rangers seven game win streak

0:31:24.720 --> 0:31:27.480
<v Speaker 1>ended in Pittsburgh three to two. Chris Pryder both the

0:31:27.560 --> 0:31:30.600
<v Speaker 1>Ranger goals. Slumping Devils lost at Carolina for to one.

0:31:30.640 --> 0:31:34.480
<v Speaker 1>Seaton Hall lost at Xavier. Mike White's ribs still injured,

0:31:34.520 --> 0:31:37.040
<v Speaker 1>so it'll again be Zack Wilson at quarterback for the

0:31:37.120 --> 0:31:41.720
<v Speaker 1>Jets tomorrow at MetLife against Jacksonville. Big game Saturday Philadelphia

0:31:41.760 --> 0:31:44.640
<v Speaker 1>at Dallas, and the Eagles are not ruling out quarterback

0:31:44.720 --> 0:31:48.840
<v Speaker 1>Jalen Hurds despite his injured shoulder. John Stashaller, Bloomberg Sports

0:31:48.920 --> 0:31:51.720
<v Speaker 1>Nathan Franti BUYOUTI don't let someone else drive off in

0:31:51.760 --> 0:31:54.640
<v Speaker 1>the OUTI model you've always wanted. Visit your locals Rance

0:31:54.640 --> 0:31:56.960
<v Speaker 1>State Autie Dealer to get behind the wheel of yours today,

0:31:57.120 --> 0:32:02.160
<v Speaker 1>or visit autie Offers dot com for more information on

0:32:02.280 --> 0:32:04.880
<v Speaker 1>Wall Street. Time for the Tri State Business Report hears

0:32:04.880 --> 0:32:08.600
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg's aad Cory comp Stack is expanding its presence in

0:32:08.640 --> 0:32:11.200
<v Speaker 1>New York City with a new lease in Chelsea. The

0:32:11.240 --> 0:32:14.160
<v Speaker 1>firm has been aggressively adding global office space over the

0:32:14.160 --> 0:32:18.080
<v Speaker 1>past twelve months. CEO Michael Mandel tells Globe Street dot

0:32:18.120 --> 0:32:21.360
<v Speaker 1>Com it's helped new team members on board quickly while

0:32:21.400 --> 0:32:24.720
<v Speaker 1>becoming fully embedded in the firm's culture. A New York

0:32:24.760 --> 0:32:27.560
<v Speaker 1>State commission approved to plan this week phasing out fossil

0:32:27.600 --> 0:32:32.360
<v Speaker 1>fuel burning furnaces as soon as it requires energy efficient

0:32:32.400 --> 0:32:35.800
<v Speaker 1>electric heat pumps or other non combustion heating systems in

0:32:35.840 --> 0:32:39.320
<v Speaker 1>every new home built in twenty five or after. The plans.

0:32:39.360 --> 0:32:42.600
<v Speaker 1>Part of New York's program to address climate change, the

0:32:42.680 --> 0:32:46.400
<v Speaker 1>Biden administration is planning to use infrastructure law money to

0:32:46.480 --> 0:32:49.880
<v Speaker 1>make sure every American has access to high speed internet,

0:32:49.920 --> 0:32:53.160
<v Speaker 1>including in New Jersey. The first six million dollars of

0:32:53.160 --> 0:32:55.560
<v Speaker 1>that commitment to the Garden State was announced this week

0:32:55.600 --> 0:32:59.000
<v Speaker 1>in Trenton, New Jersey. Will eventually get one hundred million dollars.

0:32:59.520 --> 0:33:02.680
<v Speaker 1>That's your Bomberg dry S date business report, I ed Corey,

0:33:02.920 --> 0:33:06.000
<v Speaker 1>thanks said, It's five thirty six on Wall Street. The

0:33:06.080 --> 0:33:10.280
<v Speaker 1>following is an editorial from Bloomberg Opinion. This editorial was

0:33:10.320 --> 0:33:13.800
<v Speaker 1>written by the Bloomberg Editorial Board. This week, the House

0:33:13.840 --> 0:33:18.120
<v Speaker 1>committee investigating the January six riot referred former President Donald

0:33:18.160 --> 0:33:23.719
<v Speaker 1>Trump for criminal prosecution. It was an unsurprising move, but lamentable. Nonetheless,

0:33:24.360 --> 0:33:26.720
<v Speaker 1>there's no question that the committee, made up of seven

0:33:26.760 --> 0:33:31.040
<v Speaker 1>Democrats and two Republicans found evidence that Trump behaved abominably

0:33:31.120 --> 0:33:34.440
<v Speaker 1>that day. By any standard, his actions were in affront

0:33:34.440 --> 0:33:37.400
<v Speaker 1>of the Constitution and to the rule of law. Yet

0:33:37.400 --> 0:33:41.280
<v Speaker 1>whether they merit criminal prosecution is another matter. The referral

0:33:41.400 --> 0:33:44.160
<v Speaker 1>risks elevating Trump in the eyes of Republican voters at

0:33:44.160 --> 0:33:46.800
<v Speaker 1>a moment when many seem prepared to cast him aside.

0:33:47.120 --> 0:33:50.040
<v Speaker 1>The House Committee has done an admirable job of documenting

0:33:50.080 --> 0:33:54.000
<v Speaker 1>Trump's reprehensible conduct on January six. The faster the country

0:33:54.000 --> 0:33:56.600
<v Speaker 1>can put those sordid events in the past, the better.

0:33:57.120 --> 0:34:00.080
<v Speaker 1>This editorial was written by the Bloomberg Editorial Board. For

0:34:00.120 --> 0:34:02.920
<v Speaker 1>more Bloomberg opinion, please go to Bloomberg dot com, slash

0:34:03.000 --> 0:34:05.760
<v Speaker 1>Opinion or O P I N go on the Bloomberg terminal.

0:34:06.040 --> 0:34:09.160
<v Speaker 1>This has been Bloomberg opinion, and you can hear Bloomberg

0:34:09.160 --> 0:34:12.640
<v Speaker 1>opinion editorials every weekday at this time. Terminal customers can

0:34:12.680 --> 0:34:15.480
<v Speaker 1>read more at O P I n go. Another story

0:34:15.480 --> 0:34:18.120
<v Speaker 1>We're watching, Kathy Wood had ramped up her purchases of

0:34:18.120 --> 0:34:20.759
<v Speaker 1>Tesla shares in the fourth quarter, even as concerns over

0:34:20.920 --> 0:34:25.600
<v Speaker 1>CEO Elon Musk's ability to manage businesses rise. Potentially signifying

0:34:25.680 --> 0:34:29.480
<v Speaker 1>Wood's faith in the billionaire and in electric vehicles. Right now,

0:34:29.480 --> 0:34:32.040
<v Speaker 1>Tesla shares are hired by two point two percent in

0:34:32.120 --> 0:34:35.080
<v Speaker 1>pre market trading. The stock is also been boosted by

0:34:35.200 --> 0:34:38.279
<v Speaker 1>must confirming he will resign as CEO of Twitter once

0:34:38.320 --> 0:34:41.640
<v Speaker 1>the replacement is found. SMP futures right now of twenty

0:34:41.680 --> 0:34:43.960
<v Speaker 1>two points, Staff futures up two and thirty eight. Nasdaq

0:34:44.040 --> 0:34:47.360
<v Speaker 1>futures highed by fifty three points ten. Your treasury little changed,

0:34:47.760 --> 0:34:50.600
<v Speaker 1>the yield three point six eight percent. We'll get a

0:34:50.600 --> 0:34:53.960
<v Speaker 1>fuller look of this market. What's the outlook for three?

0:34:54.440 --> 0:34:58.319
<v Speaker 1>Andrew Sheets, chief cross assets strategist at Morgan Stanley, joins

0:34:58.400 --> 0:35:04.720
<v Speaker 1>US Next Donde break markets, headlines and breaking news twenty

0:35:04.719 --> 0:35:07.560
<v Speaker 1>four hours a day at Bloomberg dot Com and Bloomberg

0:35:07.600 --> 0:35:11.160
<v Speaker 1>Business out hand at Bloomberg Quicktape. This is a Bloomberg

0:35:11.239 --> 0:35:20.920
<v Speaker 1>Business Flash and I'm Karen Moscow. European shares are rising

0:35:20.920 --> 0:35:24.320
<v Speaker 1>alongside US stock index futures after the SMP five hundred

0:35:24.360 --> 0:35:26.759
<v Speaker 1>close higher for the first time in four sessions, and

0:35:26.840 --> 0:35:29.360
<v Speaker 1>we check the markets all day long here on Bloomberg Radio.

0:35:29.760 --> 0:35:32.440
<v Speaker 1>SNP future is up half percent or twenty points, and

0:35:32.480 --> 0:35:35.799
<v Speaker 1>ASDAG futures up four tens of upper center forty eight points,

0:35:35.800 --> 0:35:37.880
<v Speaker 1>and own futures up seven tenths per cent or two

0:35:37.920 --> 0:35:40.800
<v Speaker 1>hundred twenty nine points. The decks in Germany's up seven

0:35:40.800 --> 0:35:43.640
<v Speaker 1>tenths of a percent, ten year treasury down one thirty

0:35:43.680 --> 0:35:45.880
<v Speaker 1>second deal three point six eight percent. They yield on

0:35:45.960 --> 0:35:48.640
<v Speaker 1>the two year four point to three percent. Nim X

0:35:48.680 --> 0:35:50.799
<v Speaker 1>screwed oil up one point one percent of eighty two

0:35:50.840 --> 0:35:53.560
<v Speaker 1>cents at seventy seven dollars, four cents of barrel comic

0:35:53.600 --> 0:35:55.719
<v Speaker 1>school down two tenths per cent or two dollars eighty

0:35:55.800 --> 0:35:58.600
<v Speaker 1>cents at eighteen twenty two sixty and ounce. The Euro

0:35:58.680 --> 0:36:01.279
<v Speaker 1>one point six one seven against the dollar British found

0:36:01.320 --> 0:36:04.200
<v Speaker 1>one point to one to nine, and the one point

0:36:04.239 --> 0:36:07.880
<v Speaker 1>seven six and bitcoin little change at about sixteen thousand,

0:36:07.880 --> 0:36:10.879
<v Speaker 1>eight hundred fifty dollars. That's a bloomberg business flash. Now

0:36:10.880 --> 0:36:13.200
<v Speaker 1>here's Michael Barr with Moore on what's going on around

0:36:13.200 --> 0:36:15.600
<v Speaker 1>the world. Michael Karen, thank you very much. The House

0:36:15.640 --> 0:36:18.800
<v Speaker 1>Ways and Means Committee voted to release former President Trump's

0:36:18.800 --> 0:36:21.880
<v Speaker 1>tax information to the public. So far, we have learned

0:36:21.920 --> 0:36:26.440
<v Speaker 1>that dozens of audit triggers littered Trump's tax returns. According

0:36:26.480 --> 0:36:31.200
<v Speaker 1>to Congress's top nonpartisan tax lawyers, there are questionable private

0:36:31.320 --> 0:36:37.759
<v Speaker 1>jet expenses and large, unsubstantiated charitable deductions. Ukrainian President voladimir's

0:36:37.880 --> 0:36:40.200
<v Speaker 1>Lenski will be in Washington and we'll meet with President

0:36:40.280 --> 0:36:43.360
<v Speaker 1>Biden today. In the NBA, the Knicks beat the Warriors

0:36:43.400 --> 0:36:46.520
<v Speaker 1>one two ninety four. The Wizards won. In the NHL,

0:36:46.560 --> 0:36:50.720
<v Speaker 1>the Rangers and Devils lost. Big baseball news, Carlos Correa

0:36:51.120 --> 0:36:53.560
<v Speaker 1>has reportedly agreed to sign with the Mets in a

0:36:53.680 --> 0:36:57.160
<v Speaker 1>twelve year, three hundred fifteen million dollar deal. Global News

0:36:57.200 --> 0:36:59.760
<v Speaker 1>twenty four hours a day on air and on Bloomberg

0:36:59.840 --> 0:37:04.600
<v Speaker 1>Quick Takes, powered by more than journalists and analyst countries.

0:37:04.760 --> 0:37:07.120
<v Speaker 1>I'm Michael bar this is Bloomberg. Step right up in

0:37:07.239 --> 0:37:10.960
<v Speaker 1>greet Carlos, Yeah, okay, Michael. Thanks. It's five forty two

0:37:11.000 --> 0:37:13.680
<v Speaker 1>on Wall Street. This is Bloomberg Daybreak on Nathan Hager

0:37:13.719 --> 0:37:16.080
<v Speaker 1>along with Karen Moscow. Let's take a look at some

0:37:16.120 --> 0:37:18.760
<v Speaker 1>of the other stories making news this morning. We're watching

0:37:18.880 --> 0:37:22.280
<v Speaker 1>shares of FedEx. They're higher by more than four percent

0:37:22.400 --> 0:37:26.960
<v Speaker 1>in early training after earnings that beat estimates. Bloomberg's Doug

0:37:27.040 --> 0:37:31.120
<v Speaker 1>Krisner has arrived with the details. Profit was lifted by

0:37:31.239 --> 0:37:34.880
<v Speaker 1>price increases along with cost cuts. The combination helped to

0:37:34.960 --> 0:37:38.160
<v Speaker 1>make up for a decline in package volume. FedEx also

0:37:38.200 --> 0:37:41.800
<v Speaker 1>announced an additional one billion dollars of projected savings in

0:37:41.880 --> 0:37:45.879
<v Speaker 1>physical three, bringing total savings to about three point seven

0:37:45.960 --> 0:37:49.360
<v Speaker 1>billion dollars. Back in September, FedEx pledge to cut cost

0:37:49.560 --> 0:37:52.160
<v Speaker 1>in the face of sagging volume. That's when it pulled

0:37:52.200 --> 0:37:55.960
<v Speaker 1>its annual forecast. FedEx said it's been making rapid progress

0:37:56.160 --> 0:38:00.480
<v Speaker 1>on its ongoing transformation while navigating a weaker demanded environment.

0:38:00.760 --> 0:38:03.520
<v Speaker 1>In New York Time, Doug Prisoner, Bloomberg Daybreak, All right, Doug,

0:38:03.560 --> 0:38:06.840
<v Speaker 1>thank you well. Nike also surprised to the upside. The

0:38:06.920 --> 0:38:10.759
<v Speaker 1>company reported robust sales and mad to sustain inventory pile up,

0:38:10.800 --> 0:38:14.480
<v Speaker 1>and investors liked that Nike is up almost thirteen percent.

0:38:14.600 --> 0:38:17.399
<v Speaker 1>Dinner really trading quite the game this morning. We're also

0:38:17.480 --> 0:38:21.640
<v Speaker 1>taking a look at streaming today. Google's YouTube is reportedly

0:38:21.680 --> 0:38:25.160
<v Speaker 1>in advanced talks with the NFL about an exclusive deal

0:38:25.360 --> 0:38:28.920
<v Speaker 1>for the Sunday ticket subscription service. This is according to

0:38:28.960 --> 0:38:31.560
<v Speaker 1>The Wall Street Journal. There are separate reports that say

0:38:31.680 --> 0:38:37.080
<v Speaker 1>negotiations for Sunday football games came down to Amazon and YouTube. Now, Amazon,

0:38:37.600 --> 0:38:40.040
<v Speaker 1>you probably already know it's got the Thursday Night games.

0:38:40.600 --> 0:38:43.200
<v Speaker 1>Now it looks like YouTube's about to snag Sunday's Karen.

0:38:43.520 --> 0:38:46.959
<v Speaker 1>It's so interesting how things are changing, Nathan, you watch

0:38:47.000 --> 0:38:50.440
<v Speaker 1>it on TV anymore? It's right, yeah. Shifting gears to

0:38:50.480 --> 0:38:52.960
<v Speaker 1>the economy. This morning, we get some fresh data on

0:38:53.040 --> 0:38:55.680
<v Speaker 1>the health of the consumer. The government issues are reading

0:38:55.719 --> 0:38:59.080
<v Speaker 1>a consumer confidence for December. Attend Am Wall Street Time

0:38:59.120 --> 0:39:01.800
<v Speaker 1>and we go to Bloomberg Vinidale shoot us for a preview.

0:39:02.040 --> 0:39:05.000
<v Speaker 1>We're just an Inflation is forcing many Americans rely on

0:39:05.080 --> 0:39:08.439
<v Speaker 1>credit cards and drug down savings accounts to make ends meet.

0:39:08.840 --> 0:39:11.040
<v Speaker 1>Rising interest rates are adding to the burden as the

0:39:11.080 --> 0:39:14.600
<v Speaker 1>Federal Reserve fights the worst inflation in decades. The Conference

0:39:14.640 --> 0:39:18.040
<v Speaker 1>Boards Priority Board covering November showed consumer confidence dropped to

0:39:18.080 --> 0:39:20.840
<v Speaker 1>a four month low. There's still one bright spot, the

0:39:20.920 --> 0:39:24.080
<v Speaker 1>labor market, bolstered by a historic level of job openings.

0:39:25.400 --> 0:39:28.120
<v Speaker 1>Boom breagday break Alright, Vinny, thank you. Not got a

0:39:28.160 --> 0:39:30.920
<v Speaker 1>fuller look of this market this morning. We're very pleased

0:39:30.960 --> 0:39:33.959
<v Speaker 1>to say we're joined by Andrew Sheets this morning, chief

0:39:34.000 --> 0:39:38.000
<v Speaker 1>cross assets Strategists at Morgan Stanley and are always great

0:39:38.040 --> 0:39:39.799
<v Speaker 1>to speak with you, particularly in the morning where we're

0:39:39.800 --> 0:39:43.239
<v Speaker 1>seeing stocks pretty much around the world on the rise.

0:39:43.880 --> 0:39:47.359
<v Speaker 1>Is there room for this relief railey to keep running? Hey,

0:39:47.440 --> 0:39:49.440
<v Speaker 1>good morning, It's great to be here with you. So

0:39:49.840 --> 0:39:53.920
<v Speaker 1>we're still skeptical about this rally into the early part

0:39:53.960 --> 0:39:56.239
<v Speaker 1>of next year. We think you're still going to have

0:39:56.360 --> 0:39:59.759
<v Speaker 1>a decelerating economy in both the US and Europe. It's

0:40:00.000 --> 0:40:03.200
<v Speaker 1>we're going to be hard for central banks to message

0:40:03.520 --> 0:40:06.279
<v Speaker 1>a major shift in policy, although we do think a

0:40:06.320 --> 0:40:09.640
<v Speaker 1>shift in policy is coming, and we think earnings expectations

0:40:09.719 --> 0:40:12.360
<v Speaker 1>remain too high in both the US and Europe. So,

0:40:12.800 --> 0:40:15.200
<v Speaker 1>you know, I think today's price action is welcome, but

0:40:15.400 --> 0:40:18.359
<v Speaker 1>we still think some some challenges lie ahead as will

0:40:18.680 --> 0:40:21.880
<v Speaker 1>shift the calendar into three. How much further do you

0:40:22.000 --> 0:40:25.040
<v Speaker 1>think that earnings or visions could go from here. It

0:40:25.160 --> 0:40:29.160
<v Speaker 1>seems like a lot of companies have slashed their forecast

0:40:29.239 --> 0:40:32.400
<v Speaker 1>heading into three already, but there does seem to be

0:40:32.480 --> 0:40:38.359
<v Speaker 1>a consensus that those earnings expectations need to come down more. Yeah,

0:40:38.400 --> 0:40:40.480
<v Speaker 1>So I think this is a fascinating debate as we're

0:40:40.520 --> 0:40:43.240
<v Speaker 1>going around and talking to investors about the year ahead,

0:40:43.320 --> 0:40:45.719
<v Speaker 1>and I think kind of two things are true. I

0:40:45.800 --> 0:40:49.560
<v Speaker 1>think there's a lot of skepticism around the bottom up

0:40:50.040 --> 0:40:52.640
<v Speaker 1>estimates for the SMP five hundred for next year, which

0:40:52.640 --> 0:40:55.040
<v Speaker 1>are about kind of two hundred and thirty five dollars

0:40:55.520 --> 0:40:58.120
<v Speaker 1>in earnings. I think most investors think that that's too high.

0:40:58.840 --> 0:41:02.520
<v Speaker 1>And yet you know, we're four casting about one for

0:41:02.600 --> 0:41:06.120
<v Speaker 1>the SMP five which at today's prices would put the

0:41:06.160 --> 0:41:09.359
<v Speaker 1>market about twenty times earnings, which doesn't feel like one

0:41:10.280 --> 0:41:13.120
<v Speaker 1>is the is the consensus either. If that was really

0:41:13.200 --> 0:41:15.440
<v Speaker 1>what the market expected, we would be expecting it to

0:41:15.480 --> 0:41:18.680
<v Speaker 1>trade lower. So I think there's there's a spread there.

0:41:18.719 --> 0:41:21.600
<v Speaker 1>The market is probably skeptical, it's correct to say, of

0:41:21.640 --> 0:41:24.600
<v Speaker 1>the bottom up consensus, but we don't think it's skeptical

0:41:24.800 --> 0:41:27.200
<v Speaker 1>enough yet. And I think that's still where some of

0:41:27.239 --> 0:41:29.480
<v Speaker 1>the downside in the early part of the year we

0:41:29.560 --> 0:41:31.360
<v Speaker 1>think could come from, especially in the view of my

0:41:31.400 --> 0:41:35.680
<v Speaker 1>colleague Mike Wilson, our US equity strategist. Now, the consensus

0:41:35.760 --> 0:41:38.239
<v Speaker 1>seems to be building as well that there is going

0:41:38.360 --> 0:41:41.920
<v Speaker 1>to be a recession next year. What's your view on that.

0:41:42.160 --> 0:41:43.800
<v Speaker 1>Is it going to be a deep recession? Is it

0:41:43.840 --> 0:41:46.040
<v Speaker 1>going to be mild? How's the US going to compare

0:41:46.040 --> 0:41:49.480
<v Speaker 1>to the rest of the world. Yeah, so Morgan Stanley's

0:41:49.520 --> 0:41:52.360
<v Speaker 1>economists are not forecasting recession for the US. We have

0:41:52.440 --> 0:41:55.719
<v Speaker 1>growth slowing but but staying positive next year. But you know,

0:41:55.760 --> 0:41:59.839
<v Speaker 1>I think that also masks some important nuance. There's still

0:42:00.040 --> 0:42:02.920
<v Speaker 1>to be a large desceleration in nominal GDP U S

0:42:03.000 --> 0:42:06.000
<v Speaker 1>nominal GDP is going to go from around eleven percent

0:42:06.160 --> 0:42:09.080
<v Speaker 1>in the third quarter of this year down to two

0:42:09.120 --> 0:42:10.960
<v Speaker 1>and a half percent by the end of next year.

0:42:11.080 --> 0:42:14.080
<v Speaker 1>So you know, we think that has negative implications for earnings.

0:42:14.480 --> 0:42:16.759
<v Speaker 1>And then you know, as we were just discussing, we

0:42:16.880 --> 0:42:20.320
<v Speaker 1>think earnings do go into recession, that earnings growth is negative,

0:42:20.480 --> 0:42:24.840
<v Speaker 1>so the economy does better than the earnings backdrop. Maybe

0:42:25.360 --> 0:42:28.759
<v Speaker 1>that is a nice mirroring of an environment we've just

0:42:28.880 --> 0:42:32.320
<v Speaker 1>been in where the earnings backdrop is really outperformed the economy.

0:42:33.040 --> 0:42:35.840
<v Speaker 1>What's the pivot point for central banks next year? Do

0:42:35.920 --> 0:42:37.600
<v Speaker 1>you think that? I mean, that's a big part of

0:42:37.640 --> 0:42:39.920
<v Speaker 1>the debate as well. Isn't it about what the need

0:42:40.080 --> 0:42:43.560
<v Speaker 1>what the Fed needs to see too, if not just

0:42:43.640 --> 0:42:48.080
<v Speaker 1>slow down on interest rates, but to move toward getting

0:42:48.160 --> 0:42:51.880
<v Speaker 1>them back down. Well, I think this is one of

0:42:51.920 --> 0:42:55.160
<v Speaker 1>the most fascinating parts of the central bank discussion next

0:42:55.239 --> 0:42:59.680
<v Speaker 1>year is that almost ken central banks pivot, can the

0:43:00.200 --> 0:43:05.560
<v Speaker 1>stop raising rates without generating the type of euphoria optimism

0:43:06.120 --> 0:43:09.320
<v Speaker 1>that would undo the hard work it's been trying to

0:43:09.480 --> 0:43:13.040
<v Speaker 1>do in tightening financial conditions slowing the economy. It's a

0:43:13.040 --> 0:43:15.120
<v Speaker 1>little bit of this catch twenty two that almost kind

0:43:15.120 --> 0:43:18.000
<v Speaker 1>of once you stop hiking, the market would view it

0:43:18.080 --> 0:43:20.920
<v Speaker 1>as as easing. So so that's a really big challenge,

0:43:20.960 --> 0:43:23.160
<v Speaker 1>and you know, we do think an important way to

0:43:23.360 --> 0:43:26.719
<v Speaker 1>think about that is that the FED could continue to

0:43:27.040 --> 0:43:32.040
<v Speaker 1>talk relatively hawkishly even if it acts less hawkishly. So

0:43:32.160 --> 0:43:34.440
<v Speaker 1>we expect the Feder reserved to raise interest rates by

0:43:34.480 --> 0:43:38.239
<v Speaker 1>twenty five basis points on February one. We think that

0:43:38.440 --> 0:43:41.399
<v Speaker 1>will be the last interest rate hike of the year.

0:43:42.120 --> 0:43:44.520
<v Speaker 1>But in the March meeting and the meetings after that,

0:43:44.680 --> 0:43:47.000
<v Speaker 1>we think the FED would continue to communicate quite a

0:43:47.040 --> 0:43:50.240
<v Speaker 1>bit of vigilance. But the underlying data will be slowing,

0:43:50.320 --> 0:43:52.719
<v Speaker 1>The inflation data will be slowing, and that will give

0:43:52.760 --> 0:43:55.840
<v Speaker 1>them reasons that will give them excuses to to not

0:43:56.080 --> 0:43:58.719
<v Speaker 1>hike at those meetings, to say that they continue to

0:43:58.800 --> 0:44:02.000
<v Speaker 1>remain patient, that they're taking in the data as it comes,

0:44:02.440 --> 0:44:05.000
<v Speaker 1>and that data is just warranting taking a little bit

0:44:05.040 --> 0:44:06.799
<v Speaker 1>more time before that next step. But it's a it's

0:44:06.840 --> 0:44:09.839
<v Speaker 1>a really hard message for any central bank to deliver,

0:44:09.920 --> 0:44:11.839
<v Speaker 1>and I think it's important to keep in mind as

0:44:11.880 --> 0:44:15.160
<v Speaker 1>we're hearing various central bank communication that when you know,

0:44:15.239 --> 0:44:17.520
<v Speaker 1>we think about the pause, when we think about the

0:44:17.600 --> 0:44:20.320
<v Speaker 1>last hike, it's not going to be telegraphed. It's not

0:44:20.360 --> 0:44:25.560
<v Speaker 1>going to be balloons released from the ceiling. Thanks as always, Andrew,

0:44:25.640 --> 0:44:28.720
<v Speaker 1>great to get your thoughts. Andrew Sheets, chief cross assets

0:44:28.719 --> 0:44:32.400
<v Speaker 1>strategist at Morgan Stanley with us this morning. Right now,

0:44:32.680 --> 0:44:35.799
<v Speaker 1>futures are pointing to a higher open. SMP futures are

0:44:35.880 --> 0:44:39.960
<v Speaker 1>up nineteen points, Staff futures of two Nasdaq futures are

0:44:40.040 --> 0:44:43.759
<v Speaker 1>higher by forty six points. UH steadier action in the

0:44:43.840 --> 0:44:47.000
<v Speaker 1>treasury market this morning. Right now, the tenure is down

0:44:47.239 --> 0:44:50.239
<v Speaker 1>one thirty second yield three point six percent. The yield

0:44:50.280 --> 0:44:53.760
<v Speaker 1>on the two year is at four point to three percent.

0:44:54.880 --> 0:45:02.480
<v Speaker 1>Stay with us. You're listening to Bloomberg Day Break, Markets,

0:45:02.600 --> 0:45:05.600
<v Speaker 1>headlines and breaking news twenty four hours a day at

0:45:05.680 --> 0:45:09.600
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg dot Com of Bloomberg Business at Land at Bloomberg. Quicktap.

0:45:09.840 --> 0:45:18.960
<v Speaker 1>This is a Bloomberg Business Flash and I'm Karen Moscow

0:45:19.040 --> 0:45:21.720
<v Speaker 1>and futures are higher this morning. S and P future

0:45:21.840 --> 0:45:23.960
<v Speaker 1>is up about twenty points or a half percent, Dow

0:45:24.040 --> 0:45:26.479
<v Speaker 1>futures up two d twenty two points or seven tenths

0:45:26.520 --> 0:45:29.160
<v Speaker 1>of up percent, and Nasdaq futures up forty six points

0:45:29.280 --> 0:45:32.080
<v Speaker 1>or four tenths of uppercent. The decks in Germany is

0:45:32.160 --> 0:45:35.080
<v Speaker 1>up seven tenths of uppercent. Ten year Treasury little change

0:45:35.360 --> 0:45:37.360
<v Speaker 1>the yield three point six eight percent. They yield on

0:45:37.400 --> 0:45:40.000
<v Speaker 1>the two year four point to three percent. Nine X

0:45:40.000 --> 0:45:42.439
<v Speaker 1>screwed oils up nine tenths percent or sixty eight cents

0:45:42.480 --> 0:45:45.120
<v Speaker 1>at seventy six dollars ninety one cents a barrel. Comex

0:45:45.120 --> 0:45:47.560
<v Speaker 1>schooled down two tenths per cent or two dollars seventy cents.

0:45:47.600 --> 0:45:50.680
<v Speaker 1>In eighteen twenty two, seventy announced the euro one point

0:45:50.920 --> 0:45:53.319
<v Speaker 1>six one seven against the dollar, British found one point

0:45:53.400 --> 0:45:55.719
<v Speaker 1>two one three two and the n one thirty one

0:45:55.800 --> 0:45:58.040
<v Speaker 1>point eight one. And looking at bit coin this morning,

0:45:58.360 --> 0:46:00.440
<v Speaker 1>it's lower, down about a tenth of upper said it's

0:46:00.600 --> 0:46:03.480
<v Speaker 1>at about sixteen eight hundred fifty dollars and as a

0:46:03.520 --> 0:46:07.279
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Business Flash, Nathan thanks Karen, it's five fifty six

0:46:07.400 --> 0:46:10.479
<v Speaker 1>now on Wall Street time for your daily Bloomberg Law Brief,

0:46:10.560 --> 0:46:13.279
<v Speaker 1>exploring legal issues in the news. Today, we look at

0:46:13.320 --> 0:46:16.880
<v Speaker 1>the House January sixth committee recommending the Justice Department prosecute

0:46:16.960 --> 0:46:20.960
<v Speaker 1>former President Donald Trump for four criminal offenses. During a

0:46:21.040 --> 0:46:23.640
<v Speaker 1>year and a half of investigations, the committee interviewed more

0:46:23.640 --> 0:46:26.760
<v Speaker 1>than one thousand witnesses, gathered more than one million documents,

0:46:26.840 --> 0:46:30.080
<v Speaker 1>and issued more than one hundred subpoenas, and today the

0:46:30.120 --> 0:46:33.560
<v Speaker 1>committee is expected to release its full report. For more,

0:46:33.640 --> 0:46:37.719
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg's June Grosso speaks with former federal prosecutor Elijenigen. You

0:46:37.840 --> 0:46:42.120
<v Speaker 1>mentioned all the evidence that the committee has collected doesn't

0:46:42.160 --> 0:46:45.560
<v Speaker 1>hurt prosecutors to have all that evidence out there with

0:46:45.760 --> 0:46:49.880
<v Speaker 1>the public, potential witnesses, and as you mentioned, Trump's people

0:46:50.320 --> 0:46:53.120
<v Speaker 1>going through it. Yes, and it cuts both ways. On

0:46:53.200 --> 0:46:55.560
<v Speaker 1>the one end, if you're d o J, you're grateful. Wow,

0:46:55.719 --> 0:46:58.239
<v Speaker 1>all this new evidence, almost certainly some that d o

0:46:58.320 --> 0:47:00.840
<v Speaker 1>J didn't already know. And we know that the committee

0:47:00.880 --> 0:47:03.320
<v Speaker 1>got to certain key witnesses before d o J. Kathy

0:47:03.400 --> 0:47:06.480
<v Speaker 1>Hutchinson being one example, Passive Maloney being another example. The

0:47:06.600 --> 0:47:08.960
<v Speaker 1>text from Mark Meadows the Committee got those before d

0:47:09.040 --> 0:47:10.840
<v Speaker 1>o J had them as far as we know. On

0:47:10.960 --> 0:47:14.359
<v Speaker 1>the other hand, as a prosecutor, you never want other

0:47:14.480 --> 0:47:17.600
<v Speaker 1>people interviewing and questioning your key witnesses. You never want

0:47:17.640 --> 0:47:21.160
<v Speaker 1>there to be a massive body of previous statement that

0:47:21.400 --> 0:47:25.000
<v Speaker 1>a witness can be attacked, questioned, cross examined on. And

0:47:25.080 --> 0:47:28.000
<v Speaker 1>that's what's really unusual here, because in any criminal case,

0:47:28.160 --> 0:47:30.359
<v Speaker 1>the prosecution has to turn over and the defense lawyer

0:47:30.719 --> 0:47:34.200
<v Speaker 1>has an obligation to scrutinize any prior statements of the witnesses. Well,

0:47:34.280 --> 0:47:37.680
<v Speaker 1>here there are reams and reams volumes of that material

0:47:37.760 --> 0:47:39.399
<v Speaker 1>that we're going to see fully when it all comes

0:47:39.440 --> 0:47:41.520
<v Speaker 1>out in the next few days, and all of that

0:47:41.800 --> 0:47:44.239
<v Speaker 1>is fair game for defense lawyers to pick apart. So

0:47:44.719 --> 0:47:46.560
<v Speaker 1>this is part of the reason there's a cost to

0:47:46.680 --> 0:47:49.040
<v Speaker 1>the fact that d o J has been largely lagging

0:47:49.239 --> 0:47:51.640
<v Speaker 1>behind Congress. Now there's going to be all this information

0:47:51.680 --> 0:47:53.360
<v Speaker 1>out there, some of which may be used to undermine

0:47:53.400 --> 0:47:56.080
<v Speaker 1>its case, which is outside of DJ's control. So the

0:47:56.120 --> 0:47:59.640
<v Speaker 1>committee said it had sufficient evidence to make its criminal referral,

0:48:00.040 --> 0:48:03.480
<v Speaker 1>But the Justice Department standard to indict is way way

0:48:03.520 --> 0:48:07.240
<v Speaker 1>way higher. Explain that, So d J standard to indict

0:48:07.280 --> 0:48:10.560
<v Speaker 1>according to prosecutorial practice is by the textbook, you can

0:48:10.600 --> 0:48:13.560
<v Speaker 1>get an indictment based on probable cause, which means more

0:48:13.640 --> 0:48:16.879
<v Speaker 1>likely than not, But no responsible prosecutor charge is only

0:48:17.000 --> 0:48:19.600
<v Speaker 1>based on probable cause. The guidance within d o j

0:48:19.760 --> 0:48:21.279
<v Speaker 1>A is you need to be confident that you can

0:48:21.320 --> 0:48:23.680
<v Speaker 1>prove your case beyond a reasonable doubt before you charge it.

0:48:23.719 --> 0:48:27.120
<v Speaker 1>That doesn't mean you only charge assured winners. There's no

0:48:27.200 --> 0:48:29.280
<v Speaker 1>such thing as that, but you need to be satisfied

0:48:29.280 --> 0:48:31.920
<v Speaker 1>the proof beyond a reasonable doubt. That is the highest

0:48:32.040 --> 0:48:34.680
<v Speaker 1>standard in our legal system. And of course it will

0:48:34.719 --> 0:48:37.600
<v Speaker 1>be difficult, extraordinarily difficult in my view, to get a

0:48:37.719 --> 0:48:41.680
<v Speaker 1>jury unanimously to come back and find a not only

0:48:41.680 --> 0:48:43.759
<v Speaker 1>a formal president, but as you say, Joe's somebody who,

0:48:43.840 --> 0:48:45.799
<v Speaker 1>by the time this case ever gets the trial, if

0:48:45.880 --> 0:48:48.880
<v Speaker 1>ever it will be in the heat of election, might

0:48:48.920 --> 0:48:50.800
<v Speaker 1>even be the fund runner, might even be the nominee.

0:48:51.080 --> 0:48:53.080
<v Speaker 1>That is very, very difficult, and I think d o

0:48:53.200 --> 0:48:55.759
<v Speaker 1>j can be faulted for taking this long if they

0:48:55.800 --> 0:48:57.640
<v Speaker 1>are going to indict. I don't think this needed to

0:48:57.719 --> 0:48:59.719
<v Speaker 1>take two years. I don't think they needed to spend

0:48:59.800 --> 0:49:02.640
<v Speaker 1>a year and a half focusing exclusively on the lowest

0:49:02.719 --> 0:49:06.320
<v Speaker 1>level people to the exclusion of higher level people. And

0:49:06.400 --> 0:49:10.160
<v Speaker 1>that's former federal prosecutor Ellie Hoenig speaking with Bloomberg's June Grosso.

0:49:10.320 --> 0:49:13.040
<v Speaker 1>Catch more of that interview, plus analysis of the latest

0:49:13.120 --> 0:49:16.279
<v Speaker 1>legal news by subscribing to the Bloomberg Law Podcast or

0:49:16.360 --> 0:49:19.719
<v Speaker 1>downloading the show at Bloomberg dot com. Slash podcasts and

0:49:19.760 --> 0:49:23.120
<v Speaker 1>attorneys can find exceptional legal research and business development tools

0:49:23.200 --> 0:49:26.320
<v Speaker 1>at Bloomberg Law dot com or on the Bloomberg terminal

0:49:26.680 --> 0:49:30.160
<v Speaker 1>at b Law Go right now. S ANDP futures are

0:49:30.320 --> 0:49:33.600
<v Speaker 1>higher by nineteen points down futures of tune or seven

0:49:34.040 --> 0:49:36.919
<v Speaker 1>NASTAC futures on the rise by forty four points. Send

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<v Speaker 1>your treasury is little changed. The yield three point six

0:49:40.360 --> 0:49:43.400
<v Speaker 1>eight per cent straight ahead. Check on the business headlines

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<v Speaker 1>all the news you need to start your day. Our

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<v Speaker 1>two of Bloomberg Daybreak starts right now.