1 00:00:00,840 --> 00:00:03,840 Speaker 1: You're listening to Taking Stock with Kathleen Hayes and Pim 2 00:00:03,920 --> 00:00:09,560 Speaker 1: Fox on Bloomberg radio active versus passive. We have seen 3 00:00:09,880 --> 00:00:13,600 Speaker 1: as much as seventies six billion dollars worth of assets 4 00:00:13,880 --> 00:00:16,120 Speaker 1: leave funds in the first five months of the year, 5 00:00:16,160 --> 00:00:19,599 Speaker 1: according to the Investment Company Institute reporting this a couple 6 00:00:19,600 --> 00:00:22,639 Speaker 1: of months ago. But it's interesting that the firm that 7 00:00:22,880 --> 00:00:27,639 Speaker 1: is the standout performer in asset gathering among active managers 8 00:00:28,000 --> 00:00:31,120 Speaker 1: is the Vanguard Group, even though it's founder, Jack Bogel, 9 00:00:31,200 --> 00:00:33,640 Speaker 1: has been probably the biggest champion ever of a passive 10 00:00:33,640 --> 00:00:38,640 Speaker 1: approach to portfolio construction. So which way is best? Or 11 00:00:38,720 --> 00:00:41,360 Speaker 1: at the very least, what am I getting? What do 12 00:00:41,400 --> 00:00:43,840 Speaker 1: I want? If I go in either direction? Dan Winner 13 00:00:43,920 --> 00:00:48,400 Speaker 1: joins US now chairman and chief executive officer for Advisor Investments, 14 00:00:48,600 --> 00:00:51,640 Speaker 1: joining us today from California. Dan, welcome back to the show. 15 00:00:52,320 --> 00:00:56,800 Speaker 1: Thank you very much. So turns out that Vanguard has 16 00:00:57,000 --> 00:01:01,080 Speaker 1: a lot of actively managed bonds. Does it make any 17 00:01:01,080 --> 00:01:03,640 Speaker 1: difference do you think if it if it's bonds or 18 00:01:03,680 --> 00:01:06,480 Speaker 1: stocks that are actively managed, because you know they are 19 00:01:06,920 --> 00:01:10,760 Speaker 1: securities that behave somewhat differently, you analyze them differently. Does 20 00:01:10,880 --> 00:01:14,560 Speaker 1: does one or the other lend itself to active management. No, 21 00:01:14,840 --> 00:01:19,080 Speaker 1: what really is the advantage that you get at Vanguard, 22 00:01:19,200 --> 00:01:22,839 Speaker 1: and it accrues to indexing as well as to active management, 23 00:01:22,880 --> 00:01:28,000 Speaker 1: is low costs. Um. That's really where indexing is earning 24 00:01:28,160 --> 00:01:32,600 Speaker 1: its reputation. But you can get at Vanguard. You get 25 00:01:32,720 --> 00:01:36,240 Speaker 1: very low costs on their actively managed stock funds, actively 26 00:01:36,319 --> 00:01:40,920 Speaker 1: manage bond funds, and that's what really matters. They have 27 00:01:40,959 --> 00:01:45,240 Speaker 1: a terrific bond group there and their performance has been outstanding. 28 00:01:45,360 --> 00:01:49,760 Speaker 1: So um, Really it's it's costs, it's not whether it's 29 00:01:49,840 --> 00:01:54,480 Speaker 1: active or passive, particularly in the fixed income area. All right, well, 30 00:01:54,520 --> 00:01:56,520 Speaker 1: if that's the case, then maybe you can tell us 31 00:01:56,520 --> 00:02:00,600 Speaker 1: a little bit about the strategy behind multimanager fund at 32 00:02:00,800 --> 00:02:04,840 Speaker 1: Vanguard and what the trend is there, Dan, Well, Tim, 33 00:02:04,920 --> 00:02:08,120 Speaker 1: the the issue at Vanguard is I call it portly 34 00:02:08,320 --> 00:02:13,200 Speaker 1: portfolio management. Um. They seem to have this notion that 35 00:02:13,240 --> 00:02:17,360 Speaker 1: if they keep adding managers to actively manage funds as 36 00:02:17,400 --> 00:02:22,840 Speaker 1: the assets grow, but this will somehow keep performance good 37 00:02:23,000 --> 00:02:26,040 Speaker 1: or or even improve it. And usually what ends up 38 00:02:26,040 --> 00:02:30,680 Speaker 1: happening is it becomes indexing in everything but name you 39 00:02:30,760 --> 00:02:34,639 Speaker 1: get five or six management teams, which means you can 40 00:02:34,680 --> 00:02:40,200 Speaker 1: get you know, fifteen individual managers named managers on a fund, 41 00:02:40,600 --> 00:02:42,880 Speaker 1: and the notion that this is somehow going to even 42 00:02:42,960 --> 00:02:47,040 Speaker 1: compete with indexing is is ludicrous. And the performance has 43 00:02:47,080 --> 00:02:49,360 Speaker 1: really suffered on on the funds that were sort of 44 00:02:49,400 --> 00:02:54,320 Speaker 1: the early takers of this strategy, the Explorer Fund, which 45 00:02:54,360 --> 00:02:57,680 Speaker 1: is a small cap growth fund, or their Morgan Growth Fund, 46 00:02:57,720 --> 00:03:02,560 Speaker 1: which is a an all cap growth fund. They've added managers, 47 00:03:02,639 --> 00:03:10,200 Speaker 1: added managers, added managers, and the performance has gone down, down, down. So, uh, 48 00:03:11,040 --> 00:03:16,840 Speaker 1: when I am looking for say, let's say, actually does 49 00:03:16,880 --> 00:03:18,919 Speaker 1: it make sense sometimes so just to have a passive 50 00:03:19,360 --> 00:03:22,720 Speaker 1: person managing part of your money and someone else active 51 00:03:22,800 --> 00:03:24,880 Speaker 1: or just one person who does both for you take 52 00:03:24,960 --> 00:03:28,320 Speaker 1: some chances with the ass be the active side of it, 53 00:03:28,360 --> 00:03:31,160 Speaker 1: but kind of have the steady flow something you depend 54 00:03:31,200 --> 00:03:34,960 Speaker 1: on more. We're passive. Well, I think it's uh, you're 55 00:03:34,960 --> 00:03:38,160 Speaker 1: not going to get the same portfolio manager per se 56 00:03:38,200 --> 00:03:41,640 Speaker 1: who's going to be doing both active and passive. I 57 00:03:41,680 --> 00:03:45,080 Speaker 1: think you can find and and over twenty five almost 58 00:03:45,080 --> 00:03:48,680 Speaker 1: twenty six years of following Vanguard and building portfolios out 59 00:03:48,680 --> 00:03:53,280 Speaker 1: of Vanguard funds, I've proven that you can create portfolios 60 00:03:53,360 --> 00:03:57,600 Speaker 1: of of funds that are actively managed which will outperform 61 00:03:57,640 --> 00:04:00,840 Speaker 1: the indexes. I mean, it's just a it's just the fact. 62 00:04:00,920 --> 00:04:04,280 Speaker 1: You can take a look at their UH Dividend Growth Fund, 63 00:04:04,320 --> 00:04:06,760 Speaker 1: which is a large cap fund run by a manager, 64 00:04:06,840 --> 00:04:12,080 Speaker 1: Don Kilbride at Wellington Management. He's completely obliterated the index, 65 00:04:12,200 --> 00:04:15,840 Speaker 1: the dividend appreciation index fund that Vanguard has plus the 66 00:04:15,880 --> 00:04:19,360 Speaker 1: five hundred UM. The Prime Cap team, which runs three 67 00:04:19,400 --> 00:04:23,320 Speaker 1: funds for Vanguard, has outperformed the S and P five. 68 00:04:24,040 --> 00:04:27,119 Speaker 1: They have a healthcare team out of Wellington which has 69 00:04:27,240 --> 00:04:33,080 Speaker 1: outperformed Vanguard's healthcare index fund, their et F, the sector indexes. 70 00:04:33,440 --> 00:04:36,360 Speaker 1: They have an International growth fund that's outperformed the EFA. 71 00:04:37,600 --> 00:04:41,080 Speaker 1: Not every actively managed fund at Vanguard with a low 72 00:04:41,120 --> 00:04:45,039 Speaker 1: expense ratio is a good fund necessarily, particularly the ones 73 00:04:45,480 --> 00:04:49,280 Speaker 1: that have been bloated by too many managers. But you 74 00:04:49,360 --> 00:04:53,440 Speaker 1: can build a portfolio of active funds and outperformed the indexes, 75 00:04:53,520 --> 00:04:58,120 Speaker 1: and you know, we've done it for years. What happens 76 00:04:58,200 --> 00:05:02,359 Speaker 1: when Vanguard loses the fund to new money? Have we 77 00:05:02,440 --> 00:05:06,720 Speaker 1: seen that happen recently? Yeah? They very recently closed their 78 00:05:06,760 --> 00:05:10,520 Speaker 1: Dividend Growth fund, which was run by Don Kilbride, or 79 00:05:10,720 --> 00:05:13,960 Speaker 1: is run by Don at Wellington management. It's gotten up 80 00:05:14,000 --> 00:05:17,440 Speaker 1: to about thirty billion dollars in assets. People finally figured 81 00:05:17,440 --> 00:05:21,400 Speaker 1: out that he had some secret sauce there that was working. 82 00:05:21,480 --> 00:05:23,560 Speaker 1: They threw a lot of money on it. But I 83 00:05:23,600 --> 00:05:28,440 Speaker 1: believe we've already seen in one month a slight outflow 84 00:05:28,720 --> 00:05:31,839 Speaker 1: of of assets there, and I believe that over the 85 00:05:31,880 --> 00:05:34,400 Speaker 1: next few months will probably see a lot of hot 86 00:05:34,440 --> 00:05:37,480 Speaker 1: money leaving that fund. He's got a fund that when 87 00:05:37,480 --> 00:05:40,440 Speaker 1: the markets are running very hot, he lags, and then 88 00:05:40,440 --> 00:05:43,760 Speaker 1: when the markets begin to lag a bit, he outperforms. 89 00:05:43,839 --> 00:05:45,799 Speaker 1: And I think there is a lot of hot money 90 00:05:45,880 --> 00:05:50,159 Speaker 1: that follows some of these active managers. And and Vanguard 91 00:05:50,240 --> 00:05:53,560 Speaker 1: just shut the doors down on dividend growth. But this 92 00:05:53,640 --> 00:05:57,640 Speaker 1: is a great fund, uh and and certainly one you 93 00:05:57,640 --> 00:06:01,000 Speaker 1: want to stick with. On other funds, Vanguard's taken another approach. 94 00:06:01,040 --> 00:06:03,880 Speaker 1: They just keep adding managers and then all right, we 95 00:06:03,960 --> 00:06:06,719 Speaker 1: gotta leave it there. Dan Wiener is the chairman and 96 00:06:06,839 --> 00:06:11,040 Speaker 1: the chief executive of Advisor Investments, helping to manage more 97 00:06:11,040 --> 00:06:15,280 Speaker 1: than three billion dollars of customer assets. This is Bloomberg