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Speaker 1: Hey guys, how are you welcome into a Thursday morning

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Speaker 1: edition of the Deal Juice Podcast.

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Speaker 2: My name is Matt Parant.

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Speaker 1: You can follow me on Twitter at sports Talk Matt.

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Speaker 1: Each and every morning here on bettingpros dot com, always

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Speaker 1: being brought to by bet MGM the off for ten

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Speaker 1: dollars to win one hundred and fifty dollars any event

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Speaker 1: promo Cojuice one fifty at bet MGM or betmgm dot

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Speaker 1: com using that promo co Juice one hundred. All right,

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Speaker 1: so kind of an up and down night, Astros. We

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Speaker 1: get that right. We're now two to zero in the

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Speaker 1: World Series. Astros win money Line minus one ten that

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Speaker 1: comes in seven to two. The over did hit tonight.

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Speaker 1: I got scared away eight and a half. It barely

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Speaker 1: came in seven to two, but we'll take it if

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Speaker 1: you bet the over. Congrats got the Astros to win.

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Speaker 1: So Moneyline Braves yesterday or today's ago and now money

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Speaker 1: moneyline Astros tonight.

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Speaker 2: So good there.

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Speaker 1: On the start for the World Series, we head with

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Speaker 1: a with an off day back to Atlanta. We get

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Speaker 1: the John Collins prop correct over fourteen and a half points.

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Speaker 1: He cashed that and then Damian Lillard man the over

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Speaker 1: four and a half made threes at plus one point

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Speaker 1: thirty he had he was four of eight and then

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Speaker 1: he missed his next three, which he had open looks on.

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Speaker 1: If he hits one of those three goes to five

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Speaker 1: and we get over and we catch.

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Speaker 2: That.

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Speaker 1: Just been one of those weeks we've been like right

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Speaker 1: there with some good outcomes didn't happen. Celtics looked horrible,

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Speaker 1: Hawks win and they would have covered even though they

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Speaker 1: didn't cover the line of four. They won by three,

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Speaker 1: would have covered our teaser, but did not for the

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Speaker 1: Celtics because they lost outright to the Wizard, so that

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Speaker 1: that did not hit. So two and two day for

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Speaker 1: us here on the podcast. Okay, so I'm not going

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Speaker 1: to go too in depth here with the picks because

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Speaker 1: they I have two plays, three plays rather on Thursday

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Speaker 1: Night Football, and I've given you two of them already

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Speaker 1: on the Discord channel. And this is why being on

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Speaker 1: the Discord channel is very very important. In fact, well,

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Speaker 1: i'll give you one more. Actually i'll give you.

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Speaker 2: Four plays here.

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Speaker 1: I'll give you two because I've already given you one

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Speaker 1: another play that I gave out on the Discord channel.

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Speaker 1: Earlier because of a line number that I liked that

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Speaker 1: I jumped on. But just that's why betting pros dot com,

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Speaker 1: slash chat or the link underneath me here on YouTube

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Speaker 1: is really important. So I'm not going to go too

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Speaker 1: long tonight. It's going to be kind of a quick podcast.

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Speaker 1: But here's just one quick announcement here on a Thursday morning.

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Speaker 1: If you guys are up and listening throughout the day,

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Speaker 1: you know, I've been kind of teasing this a little bit,

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Speaker 1: and you guys were like, wait, you weren't leaving the

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Speaker 1: Daily Juice. No, I am not leaving the Daily Juice. Okay,

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Speaker 1: Daily Juice is still until my contract. I still have

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Speaker 1: a contract with the company, and that that contract is

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Speaker 1: going to be honored. I'm not going anywhere, however, And

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Speaker 1: you guys are the first ones to know this because

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Speaker 1: I think it's important to tell you guys, because I

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Speaker 1: really think that the Daily Juice audience is a huge

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Speaker 1: part of what has happened to me over the last

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Speaker 1: two years and the growth of my career in what

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Speaker 1: has led me to a new job. And so I

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Speaker 1: want to tell you guys first because I think you guys,

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Speaker 1: I just you guys deserve it for one thing, and

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Speaker 1: I think you know it's thanks to you guys a

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Speaker 1: lot because I get this opportunity.

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Speaker 2: So I am.

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Speaker 1: I can't tell you where I Am going yet, but

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Speaker 1: Friday will be my last radio show for Pushing the Odds.

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Speaker 1: So I will no longer be on Pushing the Odds.

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Speaker 1: I am going to a company where I'm going to

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Speaker 1: be doing a lot of podcasting, a lot of video,

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Speaker 1: and there will be a new daily show starting at

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Speaker 1: some point in either late November or early December. But

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Speaker 1: I'm going to be off the air for at least

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Speaker 1: a couple of weeks, maybe a month, and we got

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Speaker 1: to kind of figure out how we're going to get

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Speaker 1: everything up and going, and I start with my new

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Speaker 1: job on Monday. So Pushing the Odds has been a

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Speaker 1: four year odyssey and it's been incredibly fun, and I've

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Speaker 1: loved being on the radio and I love radio to death.

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Speaker 1: But the one thing that this podcast has taught me

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Speaker 1: is that media has changed dramatically and you can have

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Speaker 1: a monster impact with on demand media, and so the

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Speaker 1: live component of radio, which I often found to be

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Speaker 1: so compelling and so interesting, still works in local radio.

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Speaker 2: But I don't work in local radio.

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Speaker 1: My talents did not work in local radio because I

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Speaker 1: liked too many things that didn't make sense. When I

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Speaker 1: was in Boston, I still liked talking college football that

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Speaker 1: didn't fly. When I was in the Midwest, I liked

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Speaker 1: talking about the NFL more than college that didn't fly.

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Speaker 1: When I lived in the South, I like talking about

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Speaker 1: baseball that didn't fly. When I was living in Texas,

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Speaker 1: talking about things that weren't Texas related did not fly.

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Speaker 1: So that's just, you know, I've always kind of been

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Speaker 1: in this place where doing national radio or national topics

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Speaker 1: always made sense. So now I'm leaving radio after a

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Speaker 1: twenty year radio career. I'm going to be officially leaving

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Speaker 1: radio as of Friday, So Friday will be my last

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Speaker 1: radio show, and then Monday I will announce where I

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Speaker 1: am going in the company I'm going to go and

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Speaker 1: work for, and then I will tell you more about

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Speaker 1: the Daily Show once it actually gets all put together

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Speaker 1: and we know when, where, how, who and everything that

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Speaker 1: will happen. So a lot of announcements, a lot of excitement,

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Speaker 1: But I've been so busy and I am so tired.

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Speaker 1: It's been an incredibly stressful week and I just can't

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Speaker 1: wait to get through Friday and then just relax and

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Speaker 1: just have have some fun and just kind of celebrate

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Speaker 1: the career and to new beginnings and everything else. So

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Speaker 1: nothing is changing, underscore, bold face. Nothing is changing. If

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Speaker 1: you are a Daily Juice listener, you will hear nothing else.

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Speaker 1: Nothing's changing. Still with the live stream, still with the U,

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Speaker 1: with the discord chats, and still with the discord bets

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Speaker 1: and the circle of million chats and all the stuff

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Speaker 1: we're doing. Nothing is changing. It's just my full time

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Speaker 1: job will be changing dramatically come Friday.

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Speaker 2: So that's the big.

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Speaker 1: Announcement that will happen on my radio show coming up

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Speaker 1: here today on Thursday, and then Friday will be my

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Speaker 1: last radio show officially. So just FYI on that in

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Speaker 1: case you are hearing stuff or see stuff on the internet,

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Speaker 1: but just know it for me, Daily Juice not moving,

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Speaker 1: not change, Nothing's going to be different. So okay, let's

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Speaker 1: get to the picks here. Okay, Thursday night. This number

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Speaker 1: is no longer available. It might come back, but right

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Speaker 1: now at the time of taping, most books are at

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Speaker 1: six and a half Arizona Cardinals plus six and a half.

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Speaker 1: I told you on the Discord channel. We were waiting

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Speaker 1: for seven. We got seven at Circus Sports, and I

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Speaker 1: jumped on it for a full unit. I'm not touching

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Speaker 1: the total, Okay, I lean under, I do, but it's

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Speaker 1: Aaron Rodgers and it's the Cardinals, and I'm not going

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Speaker 1: to do a same game parlay on this because I

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Speaker 1: don't know which way to tease it. And I don't

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Speaker 1: know to pull it down and give the Cardinals the win,

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Speaker 1: or have the Packers go plus seven and give it.

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Speaker 2: To them, give them thirteen points. I don't know.

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Speaker 1: If I had to do it, I would lean towards

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Speaker 1: giving the Packers thirteen points and taking the total down and.

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Speaker 2: Betting me over.

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Speaker 1: But I equally could do take the Cardinals down to

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Speaker 1: minus one, take the total up from forty nine and

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Speaker 1: a half up to fifty five and a half, and

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Speaker 1: take the under. Okay, So I just I'm gonna take

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Speaker 1: the points because I think this is too many points.

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Speaker 2: The look ahead line here for this game was three

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Speaker 2: and a half. Okay.

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Speaker 1: Then DeVante Adams comes out line moves two points. Alan

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Speaker 1: Lazard comes out line moves another half, a point, goes

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Speaker 1: to seven. I jump on it, and now we're back

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Speaker 1: down to six and a half. Seven is the threshold.

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Speaker 1: We're not getting over seven and a half. Okay, no

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Speaker 1: one's going over seven and a half. I got the

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Speaker 1: best number on the board. Will it matter?

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Speaker 2: I don't know.

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Speaker 1: Closing line value means nothing. CLV it means nothing. But

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Speaker 1: I do have the best number on the board, and

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Speaker 1: I think it's too heavy.

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Speaker 2: Okay.

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Speaker 1: There have been stats thrown around a lot about what

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Speaker 1: Aaron Rodgers has been able to do without both Davante

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Speaker 1: Adams and Alan Lazard last year, in the two games

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Speaker 1: that DeVante Adams was not part of the roster.

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Speaker 2: Of the team for.

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Speaker 1: The Packers, Aaron Rodgers had no problem moving the football.

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Speaker 1: Sixty seven points scored in the two games without DeVante Adams,

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Speaker 1: six hundred and ten yards for Aaron Rodgers and seven

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Speaker 1: touchdowns and Alan Lazar Dylan did miss one of those games.

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Speaker 2: Okay, last year versus this year. I get it.

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Speaker 1: But you still have Tonyan, you still have the running game,

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Speaker 1: you still have other wideris, still have Cob, you still

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Speaker 1: have ways of moving the football here. Okay, JJ Watts

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Speaker 1: out for the year.

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Speaker 2: That's not good.

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Speaker 1: You're getting some guys back from Arizona on the defensive side.

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Speaker 1: But I still think it's Aaron Rodgers and I got

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Speaker 1: Rogers plus seven. Look, it may be public, I don't

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Speaker 1: really care taking the Packers at plus seven for one

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Speaker 1: unit here, Okay, buy it up. If you have to

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Speaker 1: a six and a half, buy it to seven. I

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Speaker 1: want the full seven points Packers on the road. Let's

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Speaker 1: hope for a good, hard fought, close game between the

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Speaker 1: Packers and the seven and zero Arizona Cardinals. All right,

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Speaker 1: so I've got two prop bets to give you, and

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Speaker 1: they're both from Fandel and I think they are actually

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Speaker 1: the wrong numbers here.

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Speaker 2: I may come back with two NBA props.

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Speaker 1: I probably will have two NBA props to round out

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Speaker 1: the night, to have a couple of more things in play.

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Speaker 2: But these are quarter unit plays for me.

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Speaker 1: Aaron Rodgers passing numbers two hundred and fifty four point five.

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Speaker 1: The prop bet cheat sheet is projecting two hundred and

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Speaker 1: sixty five yards passing for Aaron Rodgers. DraftKings is at

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Speaker 1: two sixty two for this number. FanDuel was that too, sorry,

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Speaker 1: betem Jam was at two sixty for this number two

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Speaker 1: fifty four and a half. I gave this number to

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Speaker 1: you guys in the Discord channel last night. Aaron Rodgers

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Speaker 1: over two hundred and fifty four and a half yards passing.

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Speaker 1: I just told you he threw for six hundred and

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Speaker 1: seventy yards in the two games without DeVante Adams on

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Speaker 1: the field with him last year. In one of those games,

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Speaker 1: War was without Alan Lazard as well. So you might

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Speaker 1: go on, Matt, how many wide receivers you may have two?

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Speaker 1: Three wideouts being out due to COVID. Don't care. It's

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Speaker 1: Aaron Rodgers.

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Speaker 2: He'll make do. He'll make do. I mean Tom Brady

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Speaker 2: may do last year with a bunch of nobodies.

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Speaker 1: Aaron Rodgers will make do two hundred and fifty four

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Speaker 1: and a half yards passing. Aaron Rodgers got ten yards

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Speaker 1: of value there from the prop bet team sheet. I'm

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Speaker 1: gonna jump on it for quarter unit. Two hundred and

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Speaker 1: fifty four and a half yards rushing are passing for

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Speaker 1: Aaron Rodgers, and I'm gonna come back for a quarter

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Speaker 1: unit as well. Chase Edmonds the running back for the

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Speaker 1: Arizona Cardinals. Chase Edmonds is having a very nice year

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Speaker 1: running the football eighty one forty six, fifteen one, twenty

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Speaker 1: twenty six, forty six and sixty three so far for

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Speaker 1: Chase Edmonds, his number said at forty four and a

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Speaker 1: half right now. The rush defense for the Packers is

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Speaker 1: twenty second in the NFL. They're giving up one hundred

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Speaker 1: and twenty point nine rushing yards per game on average.

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Speaker 1: Last three however, Green Bay's been giving up one hundred

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Speaker 1: and forty six. Last game out they gave up one

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Speaker 1: hundred and ninety five yard rushing all right, and may

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Speaker 1: be James Connor as well, But I think Chase Edmonds

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Speaker 1: is gonna get a lot of carries here tonight because

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Speaker 1: DeAndre Hopkins is not one hundred percent okay, And I

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Speaker 1: think they want to keep the football away from Aaron Rodgers.

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Speaker 1: I don't think you want to have a back and

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Speaker 1: forth battle here for the Cardinals, even with Kyler Murray,

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Speaker 1: even why even getting that to a firefight with the

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Speaker 1: green Bay Packers in particular, because the red zone defense

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Speaker 1: for the Packers is horrible. Like, we just know that

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Speaker 1: the red zone defense has not been good at all

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Speaker 1: for the Green Bay Packers this year, and just really

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Speaker 1: you know, looking at defensively as a whole, defense not

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Speaker 1: been great for the Green Bay Packers this year. While

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Speaker 1: Arizona's defense sixteen point three points per game given up

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Speaker 1: is number one in the NFL, I'm not buying it, Okay,

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Speaker 1: I just I don't think that that's a realistic number,

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Speaker 1: in particular because they're giving up five yards per rush

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Speaker 1: that's thirty the thirty first best in the NFL. That's

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Speaker 1: not good. Only giving up six yards per pass play

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Speaker 1: that's third best.

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Speaker 2: In the NFL.

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Speaker 1: But again, I'm not really buying these numbers too much

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Speaker 1: given the teams.

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Speaker 2: That they have played.

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Speaker 1: They've not played a quarterback anywhere near the caliber of

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Speaker 1: Aaron Rodgers. Packers are scoring twenty four points per game,

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Speaker 1: Packers only giving up seven points per game. But their

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Speaker 1: problem is in the red zone. They just they're just

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Speaker 1: not great in the red zone. They give up too

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Speaker 1: many easy opportunities and towns. Right now, red zone scoring

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Speaker 1: defense of scoring offenses, they're giving up a touchdown seventy

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Speaker 1: nine percent of the time. That's thirtieth in the NFL,

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Speaker 1: second or third to worst in the NFL in red zone.

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Speaker 1: You get to the red zone, you score touchdowns. You

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Speaker 1: gotta Washington didn't do that. That's why Washington lost twenty

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Speaker 1: four to ten.

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Speaker 2: Last week.

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Speaker 1: They were stopped on fourth down twice inside the red

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Speaker 1: zone by this Packers defense.

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Speaker 2: If the Cardinals are.

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Speaker 1: Kicking field goals, we're gonna feel pretty good about the

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Speaker 1: Packers plus seven.

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Speaker 2: That's a really big key to watch here.

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Speaker 1: In terms of touchdowns, Arizona's scoring three point nine touchdowns

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Speaker 1: per game. That's third best in the NFL. Packers are

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Speaker 1: giving up two point seven touchdowns per game. That's fourteenth best,

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Speaker 1: kind of middle of the pack. Arizona's only giving up

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Speaker 1: two touchdowns a game, that's third best in the NFL.

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Speaker 1: But two point seven touchdowns a game for the green

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Speaker 1: Bay Packers. I like green Bay to throw the football here.

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Speaker 1: I like green Bay to move the football here. They're

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Speaker 1: averaging two hundred and thirty five point nine passing yards

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Speaker 1: per game.

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Speaker 2: I think they go over that obviously.

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Speaker 1: I think we're talking about two sixty two to seventy

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Speaker 1: five yardage hear through the air, and I think they

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Speaker 1: will try to run the football obviously with the Packers,

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Speaker 1: and we may come back with other prop bets as

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Speaker 1: well as the day goes on. But the three plays

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Speaker 1: on Thursday Night Football, we're going Packers plus seven for

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Speaker 1: one unit. We're going the over two fifty four and

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Speaker 1: a half Aaron Rodgers passing yardage and Chase Edmonds over

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Speaker 1: forty four and a half yard rushing. Both those can

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Speaker 1: be found at FanDuel. Now one more bet I gave

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Speaker 1: you during the discord channel, and this number has been

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Speaker 1: ping ponging around here a little bit, but it's the

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Speaker 1: Cincinnati Bengals on the road at the New York Jets.

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Speaker 1: The second that Mike White was named the starter for

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Speaker 1: the Jets, I jumped on this and took the ten points.

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Speaker 1: Since the minus ten I told you about it during

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Speaker 1: the discord channel. The thing went up all the way

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Speaker 1: to twelve has now since been bet back down to

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Speaker 1: ten and a half or eleven. Okay, So the professionals

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Speaker 1: are saying the ceiling for this is eleven points. But

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Speaker 1: I have ten points for Cincinnati, and I have a

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Speaker 1: defense that gave up fifty four points to the Patriots

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Speaker 1: last week. I've got Mike White, who did not look

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Speaker 1: good against the Patriot defense.

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Speaker 2: It's okay.

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Speaker 1: I think the Bengals defense is better than the Patriots defense.

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Speaker 1: Highly underrated. Defensive lines, very very good. They get after

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Speaker 1: the quarterback. I think Mike White's gonna throw a couple

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Speaker 1: of interceptions here in this game. And I think after

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Speaker 1: going for two hundred against the Ravens, I'm not buying

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Speaker 1: this is a spot game.

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Speaker 2: Okay, I don't buy this. It's a spot game.

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Speaker 1: It's a spot for the Jets to rise up and there,

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Speaker 1: and the Browns are the opponent. They're looking ahead to

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Speaker 1: the Browns. Why are the Bengals looking ahead to anybody?

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Speaker 1: They're the Bengals. And why are the Bengals looking ahead

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Speaker 1: to the Browns who don't have any No Baker Mayfield

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Speaker 1: most likely. I mean, the running backs are banged up.

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Speaker 1: I mean, why is that Browns game so significant? The

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Speaker 1: real game was the Ravens. You want to tell me

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Speaker 1: that the Ravens a letdown after the Ravens game, that

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Speaker 1: that's the problem. Maybe, But the Bengals are young and

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Speaker 1: they don't know any better. What this is is a

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Speaker 1: stat stuffing game for Joe Burrow and Jamar Chase.

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Speaker 2: Jamar Chase said two hundred.

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Speaker 1: And one yards, including an eighty two yard touchdown reception

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Speaker 1: last week against the Ravens.

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Speaker 2: They want to do that again.

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Speaker 1: And this is the Jets who have a coach in

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Speaker 1: Robert Sala, who's supposed to be this defensive mastermind, Like, oh,

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Speaker 1: look out for them. They're supposed to be so good defensively. Yeah,

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Speaker 1: the Jets are awful defensively. I mean, I don't understand.

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Speaker 2: And I know CJ. Mosley may come back. That's a player.

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Speaker 2: That's one guy that's not going to solve the defense.

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Speaker 1: It's giving up twenty nine point two points per game

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Speaker 1: right now, which is twenty ninth in the NFL. Sorry,

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Speaker 1: since he's giving up eighteen point three points per game,

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Speaker 1: that is fifth best. Since he's scoring twenty seven points

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Speaker 1: per game, that's seventh best. They're scoring three point three

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Speaker 1: touchdowns per game, and the Jets are giving up three

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Speaker 1: touchdowns per game. This is more a bet on the

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Speaker 1: defense for Sincey against the offense for the Jets than

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Speaker 1: what Joe Burrowing Company may or may not be doing

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Speaker 1: by overlooking this Jets defense. I just think ten points. Look,

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Speaker 1: it's twenty to ten and we're fine. If it's twenty

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Speaker 1: to seven, we're fine. I just don't think this Jets

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Speaker 1: defense can stop the Cincinnati Bengals really, and I don't

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Speaker 1: think the Jets score all that much. I think maybe

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Speaker 1: they score fourteen points in this game. I think we're

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Speaker 1: getting to twenty eight points at least for Cincinnati. If

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Speaker 1: not more, Mike White will throw interceptions and turn the

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Speaker 1: football over. Minus ten Cincinnati. I gave it to the

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Speaker 1: Discord Channel. Look around for the number. You have to

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Speaker 1: shop and wait around. But I gave it to you

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Speaker 1: yesterday on Discord Channel for this very reason, because I

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Speaker 1: like the ten minus ten minus one ten. All right,

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Speaker 1: So we got four plays in the NFL three tonight

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Speaker 1: in our first one for Sunday Packers plus seven Rogers

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Speaker 1: over two fifty four and a half passing, Chase Edmonds

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Speaker 1: for Arizona over forty four and a half yards rushing

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Speaker 1: in Cincinnati minus ten prop bets or a quarter unit.

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Speaker 2: Other bets are one full.

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Speaker 1: Unit for us here on a Thursday, Mine's Matt Parretz

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Speaker 1: following me on Twitter at Sports Talking Matt.

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Speaker 2: Each in the morning, it's the Daily Juice Podcast, always

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Speaker 2: being brought to you. Five bet MGM the