WEBVTT - The Fifth Hour: BENNY VS. THE PENNY (Week 3) 0:00:00.640 --> 0:00:05.320 Ka Boom. If you thought four hours a day, minutes 0:00:05.360 --> 0:00:09.160 a week was enough, think again. He's the last remnants 0:00:09.160 --> 0:00:12.440 of the old republic a sole fashion of fairness. He 0:00:12.520 --> 0:00:15.440 treats crackheads in the ghetto cutter the same as the 0:00:15.560 --> 0:00:19.560 rich pill poppers in the Penthouse, the clearing house of 0:00:19.600 --> 0:00:23.400 hot takes. Break Free for something special. The fifth hour 0:00:23.520 --> 0:00:32.479 with Ben Maller starts right now. In the air everywhere, 0:00:32.520 --> 0:00:36.760 and welcome back to the PODCAST, do Joe. This is 0:00:36.840 --> 0:00:41.000 not your normal run of the mill edition of the 0:00:41.000 --> 0:00:43.120 fifth hour, not that it ever is a run of 0:00:43.159 --> 0:00:47.040 the mill edition of the fifth hour, but it is Friday, 0:00:47.159 --> 0:00:52.760 that's when we're recording this, and it's NFL week number three, 0:00:53.040 --> 0:00:57.400 so let's strike up the band and bring in the penny. 0:00:57.600 --> 0:01:07.320 Here we go. Welcome players, you're welcome. It's time now 0:01:08.160 --> 0:01:15.480 penny versus the penny. All right now, we are welcome and, 0:01:15.560 --> 0:01:18.280 as always, the voice of the Penny back again for 0:01:18.360 --> 0:01:23.520 week number three, is Danny G radio. So before we 0:01:23.720 --> 0:01:26.760 look ahead, Danny, we've got to look back at what 0:01:26.959 --> 0:01:31.600 happened in week number two. Not Not a good week. 0:01:31.720 --> 0:01:36.040 I got burned on not one, not two, but three games. 0:01:36.080 --> 0:01:39.880 I had three bad beats. I gave you Cleveland against 0:01:39.920 --> 0:01:43.559 the jets and was winning that game with a couple 0:01:43.560 --> 0:01:46.880 of minutes to go and the Browns decided to drop 0:01:46.920 --> 0:01:51.120 a Turd right on the logo there, Danny. So they 0:01:51.280 --> 0:01:57.320 lost that game. Your raiders. Your raiders decided to not 0:01:57.560 --> 0:02:00.360 finish the game against the cardinals. I gave the eighters 0:02:00.360 --> 0:02:02.720 out as a selection. So I lost that. And the 0:02:02.840 --> 0:02:06.640 L A rams at a three lead over the Atlanta Falcon. 0:02:08.200 --> 0:02:10.960 I guess they decided at a halftime that was unfair. 0:02:11.040 --> 0:02:12.840 So they decided that they would just go out and 0:02:12.840 --> 0:02:15.000 not really try for a stretch in the second half. 0:02:15.000 --> 0:02:17.880 So I lost that one. So I was looking at 0:02:18.120 --> 0:02:20.920 for a good stretch, Danny. I was looking at a 0:02:21.160 --> 0:02:25.200 ten and six week. Again, the bad beat spit me 0:02:25.200 --> 0:02:27.080 and it took us. So I went seven and nine. 0:02:27.120 --> 0:02:31.959 It's a losing record. The Penny, the beneficiary. The penny 0:02:31.960 --> 0:02:36.639 went nine and seven against the spread. So with no knowledge, 0:02:36.680 --> 0:02:39.760 no information, the penny had a winning week yet again. 0:02:39.800 --> 0:02:43.160 And so overall. Now if you look at the overall records, 0:02:43.200 --> 0:02:45.320 I'm still got a winning record thanks to week one, 0:02:45.440 --> 0:02:49.840 seventeen and fifteen. That's a five thirty one winning percentage 0:02:50.040 --> 0:02:54.960 against the spread. The Penny, though, has now taken a 0:02:55.040 --> 0:03:00.120 two game lead. The Penny is nineteen and thirteen and 0:03:00.120 --> 0:03:03.240 that is a five ninety four winning percentage, Danny. So 0:03:03.320 --> 0:03:05.919 the penny has yet again gotten off to a good 0:03:05.960 --> 0:03:10.800 start here after that crazy week. I am the pennies representation. 0:03:11.200 --> 0:03:13.640 The penny had a little sit down with me and 0:03:13.680 --> 0:03:17.480 it's talking about wanting Aaron judge money right now. Yeah, well, 0:03:17.520 --> 0:03:19.520 at some point the penny is gonna demand to be 0:03:19.600 --> 0:03:21.960 on television or something like that. At that point we 0:03:22.040 --> 0:03:25.520 might just throw the penny away. It just just might happen. 0:03:25.560 --> 0:03:28.120 So the way this works again, if you're new to 0:03:28.160 --> 0:03:30.920 the PODCAST, if you've never heard penny versus the penny, 0:03:31.000 --> 0:03:34.080 it is sports handicapping for the regular guy. We crunched 0:03:34.080 --> 0:03:38.160 the numbers. I crunched the numbers. It's man versus versus 0:03:38.160 --> 0:03:41.880 an adamant object. Who can pick more winners, someone who 0:03:41.920 --> 0:03:45.640 spends time researching the game has no life like yours truly, 0:03:46.480 --> 0:03:50.000 or a piece of copper? Uh, and we'll find out. 0:03:50.000 --> 0:03:51.840 So let's get right to it here for a week. 0:03:51.920 --> 0:03:54.960 Number three will start out in the early television window. 0:03:55.480 --> 0:03:58.640 Baltimore One and one at New England one on one. 0:03:58.680 --> 0:04:03.080 It's on fuck with Joe Davis, the Voice of the dodgers, 0:04:03.080 --> 0:04:06.280 and Darryl Moose Johnston on the call. The Ravens opened 0:04:06.280 --> 0:04:08.880 a three point favorite in this game. They are favored 0:04:08.960 --> 0:04:13.320 by three. That line has stayed flat. It's the Patriots 0:04:13.400 --> 0:04:16.880 home opener. As far as the handle is concerned, over 0:04:17.040 --> 0:04:20.680 sixty of the money is on Baltimore. Supposed to be 0:04:20.720 --> 0:04:24.600 a typical September day there in New England. No in 0:04:24.720 --> 0:04:29.320 Clement weather, temperatures in the high sixties at Gillette Stadium 0:04:29.360 --> 0:04:34.479 at kickoff, and the Patriots, since Tom Brady left, as 0:04:34.480 --> 0:04:38.719 a home underdog, are three and two against the spread. 0:04:39.240 --> 0:04:43.920 The ravens are seventeen eight in two with Lamar Jackson 0:04:43.920 --> 0:04:45.520 when he has started on the road. So those are 0:04:45.560 --> 0:04:48.920 some of the trends. The pick is in. I'm taking 0:04:48.920 --> 0:04:51.799 the Patriots and I'll tell you why I don't trust 0:04:51.839 --> 0:04:54.560 the Ravens, even though they've been so good on the 0:04:54.680 --> 0:04:59.960 road with Lamar Jackson. That defense is atrocious. In Baltimore 0:05:00.040 --> 0:05:03.240 they've got the worst past defense in the NFL. To 0:05:03.400 --> 0:05:06.000 a tongue about low lit him up late JOE FLACCO 0:05:06.120 --> 0:05:09.719 had over three hundred yards the week before. Uh, this 0:05:09.920 --> 0:05:13.880 is what we call a slump buster game. Mac Jones 0:05:13.880 --> 0:05:16.880 played better in Pittsburgh last week and now he's going 0:05:16.920 --> 0:05:21.440 against a rag tag secondary, no consistent pass rush for 0:05:21.480 --> 0:05:24.360 the Ravens. Should be plenty of time to pick apart 0:05:24.400 --> 0:05:27.359 the Baltimore defense. Now I expect Lamar Jackson to do 0:05:27.400 --> 0:05:31.440 his thing, but patriots will win their home over their 0:05:31.480 --> 0:05:39.280 New England and the Ravens. Twenty Four. The final penny 0:05:39.480 --> 0:05:42.320 is also going with the Patriots. Okay, so we agree 0:05:42.360 --> 0:05:45.800 on that game. The penny clearly feeling like they need 0:05:45.800 --> 0:05:48.840 to piggyback off my work. Next Up, Baltimore two and 0:05:48.920 --> 0:05:53.160 Oh at Miami two and Oh. It's on CBS with 0:05:53.240 --> 0:05:56.120 Kevin Harlan and Trent Green. And I don't know about you, 0:05:56.279 --> 0:05:58.039 Danny and the penny, but this is a game that 0:05:58.080 --> 0:06:00.920 I circled. I want to watch this game. I'm interested 0:06:00.960 --> 0:06:05.839 to see what Miami can do against the big bad bills. 0:06:06.240 --> 0:06:08.200 Who are I had to check my notes on this. 0:06:08.560 --> 0:06:11.760 The bills opened a four and appoint favorite and they 0:06:11.760 --> 0:06:15.680 are favored by six in this game and everyone and 0:06:15.760 --> 0:06:21.280 their uncle betting on Buffalo. overight of the handle is 0:06:21.480 --> 0:06:27.280 on buffalo side. Typical Miami Weather, rain showers, light rain showers, 0:06:27.279 --> 0:06:30.880 temperatures in the mid eighties at hard rock stadium a kickoff. 0:06:31.200 --> 0:06:34.040 So if you look at some of the trends coming 0:06:34.040 --> 0:06:36.080 into this game, that tells you what has happened, not 0:06:36.160 --> 0:06:38.880 what's going to happen. Buffalo is seven and Oh straight 0:06:38.960 --> 0:06:41.960 up and five and two against the spread in their 0:06:42.040 --> 0:06:46.160 last seven against Miami. The bills against the A F 0:06:46.279 --> 0:06:49.440 C East over the last ten Games are eight and 0:06:49.480 --> 0:06:54.080 two against the spread. But Miami, Miami, Miami, and the 0:06:54.200 --> 0:06:57.359 two a tongue of Baloa era. When the dolphins have 0:06:57.400 --> 0:07:00.240 been a home underdog, they've won seventy percent end of 0:07:00.320 --> 0:07:04.200 the time. They are seven in three against the spread 0:07:04.240 --> 0:07:08.760 in Miami. Overall. Their last fifteen games at hard rock 0:07:08.839 --> 0:07:11.320 stadium has been eleven and four against the numbers. So 0:07:11.880 --> 0:07:13.720 there's a lot of different ways you can look at it, 0:07:13.760 --> 0:07:16.360 you can slice it up, but I'm taking the dolphins 0:07:16.360 --> 0:07:18.560 here at home. I know everyone loves the bills and 0:07:18.600 --> 0:07:20.560 the bills have been great the first couple of games. 0:07:20.960 --> 0:07:24.640 Josh Allen has treated these defenses like Plato, but the 0:07:24.720 --> 0:07:28.760 dolphins have the kind of talent that can throw a 0:07:28.800 --> 0:07:31.520 monkey wrench into all that. It's a short week for 0:07:31.560 --> 0:07:34.480 the bills. They go to South Beach, so you've got 0:07:34.480 --> 0:07:39.320 all those mini distractions, and Miami has the long range 0:07:39.400 --> 0:07:43.680 missile launchers with tyree kill and Jalen waddle, and so 0:07:43.720 --> 0:07:47.680 this should be a shootout. I love getting almost a 0:07:47.760 --> 0:07:51.840 touchdown with Miami, a good offensive team. So I say 0:07:51.880 --> 0:07:57.040 the bill's wagon hits a pothole here. Final score. Bills 0:07:57.080 --> 0:08:00.920 will win, but not cover. Buffalo Forty one and the 0:08:00.960 --> 0:08:07.960 dolphins thirty eight. The penny says you're crazy. The bills 0:08:07.960 --> 0:08:11.760 are gonna take this the bills. News Flash to the penny. 0:08:12.040 --> 0:08:15.640 The bills are not going to win and cover every 0:08:15.680 --> 0:08:20.640 game of the season and the playoffs. So knock it off, 0:08:20.680 --> 0:08:22.800 as Ryan Leaf said back in the day, that old 0:08:22.880 --> 0:08:26.680 charger quarterback. Next up for us we go to New 0:08:26.760 --> 0:08:31.560 Jersey and that is the scene where the Cincinnati Bengals, 0:08:31.600 --> 0:08:34.480 at Oh and two, take on the New York jets 0:08:34.480 --> 0:08:37.280 at one and one. It's on the CBS with Iron 0:08:37.280 --> 0:08:40.760 Eagle and Charles Davis. They have the call. The bengals 0:08:40.880 --> 0:08:43.360 opened up a six and a half point road favorite. 0:08:43.360 --> 0:08:46.200 Then people realize, wait a minute, they lost to the 0:08:46.320 --> 0:08:49.720 cowboys last week and their backup quarterback. But the line 0:08:49.720 --> 0:08:54.120 hasn't changed that much, e. A five point line, Cincinnati 0:08:54.200 --> 0:08:58.120 favored on the road. Almost eighty five percent of the 0:08:58.160 --> 0:09:00.200 money is on the bengals. This is one of those 0:09:00.240 --> 0:09:03.520 games where everyone seems to think the bengals just show 0:09:03.640 --> 0:09:05.920 up and they collect to win, an easy win, a 0:09:06.040 --> 0:09:10.160 blowout win. Sunny, mostly sunny, seventy three degrees that kick 0:09:10.200 --> 0:09:13.480 off at metlife stadium. Now, if you look at some 0:09:13.520 --> 0:09:16.040 of the trends on this game, the Bengals, in the 0:09:16.120 --> 0:09:19.880 Joe Burrow era, have played four games as a road 0:09:19.960 --> 0:09:23.400 favorite there, two and two against the spread. The jets 0:09:23.640 --> 0:09:27.480 are five, one and one their last seven against the Bengals, 0:09:27.480 --> 0:09:29.800 but I think that goes back to the boomer Ossias 0:09:29.840 --> 0:09:32.760 in here. They don't play that often. That said, the 0:09:32.840 --> 0:09:35.120 pick is in and I am gonna take the J 0:09:35.440 --> 0:09:39.440 E t S. jets, jets, jets. The main reason is 0:09:39.480 --> 0:09:43.600 I don't believe Joe Burrow is there and he's got 0:09:43.679 --> 0:09:47.720 rubbery legs. If you lose to Mitch Drabinsky and Cooper Rush, 0:09:48.200 --> 0:09:50.880 you can certainly lose to Joe FLACCO. I've been burned, though, 0:09:50.920 --> 0:09:54.200 by the jets. I Bet, I bet on the jets. 0:09:54.240 --> 0:09:56.200 In Week one I lost. I bet against the jets. 0:09:56.240 --> 0:09:59.040 In week two I got burned by that comeback in 0:09:59.200 --> 0:10:02.640 Cleveland like gang green's gotta do a better job of 0:10:02.640 --> 0:10:05.600 getting into the quarterback. Something's going to give here, because 0:10:05.640 --> 0:10:09.600 the jets only have five quarterback pressures and three sacks 0:10:09.600 --> 0:10:15.160 this year, while Cincinnati's offensive line is allowed thirteen sacks. 0:10:15.200 --> 0:10:18.160 So I said last week I wasn't gonna bet on 0:10:18.200 --> 0:10:21.800 the jets again, and here I am. I'm taking the jets. 0:10:21.800 --> 0:10:26.400 I'm a glutton for punishment, but I'm betting against Cincinnati 0:10:26.520 --> 0:10:28.760 until I see a pulse, until I see some heart. 0:10:28.800 --> 0:10:32.000 With that Bengal team, they need a flea bath. I'm 0:10:32.040 --> 0:10:34.520 taking the Bengals to win, but the jets to win 0:10:34.559 --> 0:10:37.480 the money getting those five points. I'll take the five points. 0:10:37.480 --> 0:10:44.320 Bengals twenty seven, jets twenty six. The final the penny 0:10:44.400 --> 0:10:48.079 is also living dangerously on this one. Going with the jets. 0:10:48.120 --> 0:10:50.559 All right, we agree on that. Next up, as we do, 0:10:50.679 --> 0:10:54.080 Benny versus the penny exclusively on the podcast. Tell a friend, 0:10:54.480 --> 0:10:59.440 as we give you inside information every game against the spread. 0:11:00.040 --> 0:11:03.240 Sunday Monday we got you covered. New Orleans, one and 0:11:03.320 --> 0:11:08.680 one at Carolina in an NFC south Donnie Brook Panthers 0:11:08.720 --> 0:11:11.760 come in and Oh and two, it's on Fox. Dan 0:11:11.920 --> 0:11:16.040 Helly and Matt Millen have the call. The saints opened 0:11:16.160 --> 0:11:18.840 up a two and a half point favorite. The line 0:11:18.840 --> 0:11:21.680 on this game is favorite by three. That this is 0:11:21.720 --> 0:11:24.800 not going to have a wide television audience. Uh, this 0:11:24.920 --> 0:11:30.520 game the Panthers surprisingly getting over seventy of the money. 0:11:30.720 --> 0:11:33.679 Mostly Sunny, eighty two degrees that kick off at Bank 0:11:33.760 --> 0:11:37.760 of America Stadium, and so Jamis Winston has played Carolina 0:11:37.840 --> 0:11:40.680 a lot, going back to his Tampa days, and he's 0:11:40.679 --> 0:11:43.680 been in this division his entire career. In the last 0:11:43.720 --> 0:11:47.719 ten matchups, Jamis Winston's just four and six against the 0:11:47.760 --> 0:11:52.200 spread when he's played Carolina and since this has been 0:11:52.240 --> 0:11:56.560 a back and forth seesaw type of situation as the 0:11:56.679 --> 0:12:00.199 last six games. If you've been on Carolina, I know 0:12:00.280 --> 0:12:02.520 you won three. If you've been on Atlanta, you won three. 0:12:02.600 --> 0:12:05.880 Head to head and the pick on this game. I've 0:12:05.920 --> 0:12:08.880 gone back and forth on this, but I'm taking Carolina. 0:12:09.440 --> 0:12:11.880 It's really a game set up for the penny here. 0:12:11.920 --> 0:12:15.520 Both these teams have been befuddled heading this matchup. Carolina 0:12:15.640 --> 0:12:19.080 just playing well enough to lose on late field goals. Uh. 0:12:19.200 --> 0:12:22.679 The Saints One and one, needing a helter skelter come 0:12:22.679 --> 0:12:24.920 back to beat the Lowbi Falcons back in week one. 0:12:25.400 --> 0:12:28.439 So again it's even match up. A slight lean to Carolina. 0:12:28.480 --> 0:12:31.000 They have the healthier quarterback, although not a good quarterback, 0:12:31.360 --> 0:12:34.040 in Baker Mayfield. Alvin Kamara is supposed to be back 0:12:34.120 --> 0:12:38.960 for New Orleans, but Jamis Winston's got a bad back. 0:12:39.040 --> 0:12:43.120 He's got another injury now on top of that. Carolina. 0:12:43.640 --> 0:12:46.720 They win, this time by a field goal. Panthers Twenty 0:12:46.800 --> 0:12:52.160 three and the Saints Twenty. Your final take the panthers 0:12:52.200 --> 0:12:59.240 plus the points and the penny goes with the saints 0:13:00.160 --> 0:13:05.240 to the Penny going the other direction. On that game. Well, 0:13:05.280 --> 0:13:09.120 press on Detroit one and one at Minnesota One and one. 0:13:09.160 --> 0:13:14.079 It's on Fox Brandon Gowden and some guy named Brady 0:13:14.200 --> 0:13:17.480 Quinn who I think does some radio show or something like. 0:13:17.640 --> 0:13:20.240 I don't know. I never heard of him. Kind of 0:13:20.280 --> 0:13:22.000 big time. He was in studio the other day. He 0:13:22.040 --> 0:13:25.840 usually doesn't show from Florida. I was hobbling. I'll explain 0:13:26.320 --> 0:13:30.360 why later on in the weekend, and he he walked 0:13:30.400 --> 0:13:32.680 by me, you know, did not say hello. That was 0:13:32.679 --> 0:13:35.920 not the proper respect, but he probably left as signed 0:13:35.960 --> 0:13:38.800 football for you. Of course. Who doesn't need a Brady 0:13:38.880 --> 0:13:42.840 Quinn Autograph Football? All right, the vikings are a six 0:13:42.880 --> 0:13:45.679 point favorite. They opened up an eight point favorite. As 0:13:45.679 --> 0:13:48.440 far as the handle on this game, the money part 0:13:48.480 --> 0:13:53.319 of it, over SI is on the lions. Mostly Sunny, 0:13:53.520 --> 0:13:56.760 sixty four degrees that kick off at US Bank stadium. 0:13:56.840 --> 0:13:58.360 If you look at some of the trends in this 0:13:58.400 --> 0:14:03.160 game with jared golf and Dan Campbell, the Lions are 0:14:03.240 --> 0:14:06.880 eight and two their last ten against the spread and 0:14:06.960 --> 0:14:10.440 they're also eighting to their last ten as an underdog, 0:14:11.320 --> 0:14:14.920 so that's pretty good. Minnesota is just two and five 0:14:15.040 --> 0:14:17.520 against the spread their last seven when they've had less 0:14:18.040 --> 0:14:20.520 than six days of rest. Remember, the Vikings played not 0:14:20.640 --> 0:14:23.320 well in the Monday night game. So the pick is in. 0:14:23.440 --> 0:14:26.640 I'm taking the lions in this game Detroit. I love 0:14:26.720 --> 0:14:30.520 this aiden Hutchinson. He's been a great gift, Manna from 0:14:30.560 --> 0:14:33.920 Heaven there for the Lions Defense. He's living up to 0:14:33.960 --> 0:14:37.440 the building of a top draft pick and he should 0:14:37.520 --> 0:14:40.240 wreck havoc on kirk cousins. Not Neither one of these 0:14:40.320 --> 0:14:43.360 teams has a great defense. The good news is this 0:14:43.440 --> 0:14:45.800 is not a prime time game, so cousins will not 0:14:46.240 --> 0:14:49.360 seemingly poop the bed like he does in every other 0:14:49.400 --> 0:14:53.280 primetime game. This is not that. It's early. The lions 0:14:53.320 --> 0:14:57.480 are averaging over thirty five points per game. They've got 0:14:57.640 --> 0:15:02.240 some sneaky good playmakers. This game figures to be who 0:15:02.320 --> 0:15:04.440 has the ball lass is going to win. It should 0:15:04.440 --> 0:15:07.920 be a track meet. I love me Detroit plus the 0:15:08.000 --> 0:15:11.960 points here with Dan Campbell. This comes down to the 0:15:12.000 --> 0:15:16.360 bitter end. Lions the right side here as a live 0:15:16.680 --> 0:15:20.440 road dog. Detroit. The dogs are marking Detroit thirty eight, 0:15:20.920 --> 0:15:28.720 Minnesota thirty five. The final. The Penny says the Vikings 0:15:28.800 --> 0:15:31.600 are gonna be the victors and the penny's a dumbass. 0:15:31.640 --> 0:15:35.920 All right, please, none of that nonsense with the penny. Alright, 0:15:36.000 --> 0:15:39.600 moving on as we continue. Benny versus the penny. The 0:15:39.680 --> 0:15:43.360 next game up. Any meany mighty mall. Let's go now 0:15:44.280 --> 0:15:50.840 to in the Annapolis Canah City, two and Oh at Indianapolis, Oh, 0:15:50.960 --> 0:15:55.040 one and one. It's on CBS with Jim Nance and 0:15:55.200 --> 0:16:00.360 tone knee role mall. That is the match up. That 0:16:00.480 --> 0:16:03.280 is the broadcast team. The line on this game. The 0:16:03.360 --> 0:16:07.840 chiefs opened a three point favorite. Then, after watching Indianapolis 0:16:08.520 --> 0:16:11.120 Puke all over the field and Jackson will get shut out, 0:16:11.280 --> 0:16:14.000 the chiefs got bumped up to a five and a 0:16:14.120 --> 0:16:17.800 half point favorite. A five and a half point favorite 0:16:18.200 --> 0:16:21.960 for Kansas City, and this game being played at Lucas 0:16:22.040 --> 0:16:24.240 Oil stadium, a dome, so the weather not a factor. 0:16:24.720 --> 0:16:28.600 Kansas City you think of them blowing everyone out, dominating. 0:16:28.800 --> 0:16:31.920 But when the chiefs have been favorite on the road 0:16:32.000 --> 0:16:35.040 by seven or more points with Patrick Mahomes, they're just 0:16:35.120 --> 0:16:39.640 five and five against the spread. And the last ten 0:16:39.840 --> 0:16:42.760 games the chiefs have played against teams with a losing record, 0:16:43.160 --> 0:16:46.600 they are three and seven. The colts, for whatever reason, 0:16:47.240 --> 0:16:52.080 have had Andy Reid's number of late. Last eight matchups. 0:16:52.160 --> 0:16:56.560 The colts are six and two against the spread and 0:16:56.720 --> 0:16:59.880 I am gonna take the colts in this game and 0:17:00.120 --> 0:17:02.720 tell you why. You throw caution the win. It's part 0:17:02.720 --> 0:17:04.520 of this this gamming. I know he did a monologue 0:17:04.560 --> 0:17:08.879 this week ripping the Indianapolis Colts Quarterback, Matt Ryan. He 0:17:08.920 --> 0:17:12.080 has looked old, he has looked slow, he has looked 0:17:12.119 --> 0:17:15.120 like he should go to the glue factory, and indie 0:17:15.119 --> 0:17:18.480 overall has been an embarrassment. There is no excuse for 0:17:18.640 --> 0:17:20.119 not being able to go off to a tour, and 0:17:20.160 --> 0:17:24.879 I start with Houston and Jacksonville. That said, everyone is 0:17:24.920 --> 0:17:28.160 betting their their mortgage, it seems like, on Kansas City 0:17:28.720 --> 0:17:30.920 and there's a lot of big bets that have come 0:17:30.960 --> 0:17:34.639 in on the chiefs and Patrick Mahomes has been living 0:17:34.880 --> 0:17:37.800 on a high wire act. If you look at the 0:17:38.080 --> 0:17:41.120 some of the advanced stats, he has the eighth highest 0:17:41.160 --> 0:17:46.240 turnover worthy play rate among quarterbacks, but he has no interceptions. 0:17:46.680 --> 0:17:49.200 Eventually that is going to catch up to you. Those 0:17:49.240 --> 0:17:53.119 receipts become due and you're gonna have to pay the man. Uh. 0:17:53.280 --> 0:17:55.159 Is this the week? The Culture gonna need some of that. 0:17:55.200 --> 0:17:57.159 They're getting guys back. They've had a lot of players 0:17:57.240 --> 0:18:01.280 out wide, receivers, defensive players who are allegedly they're getting 0:18:01.280 --> 0:18:03.959 some of those players back, uh, and we'll see if 0:18:04.000 --> 0:18:06.400 that happens or not. But Jonathan Taylor will be able 0:18:06.440 --> 0:18:08.920 to get some yards there against the Kansas City defense, 0:18:09.440 --> 0:18:12.600 and there's a rule if it looks too easy, it 0:18:12.720 --> 0:18:16.960 probably is to go the other direction. The chiefs win, 0:18:17.359 --> 0:18:20.600 but the colts win the money. Kansas City thirty three, 0:18:20.680 --> 0:18:28.479 Indianapolis thirty the final and the penny is gonna go 0:18:28.560 --> 0:18:31.919 with the chiefs. Okay, so the penny taking the chiefs 0:18:31.920 --> 0:18:34.280 on that one. We move on now to Danny G's 0:18:34.400 --> 0:18:40.320 Las Vegas Raiders. The raiders, they're traveling circus, heads to Nashville, 0:18:40.400 --> 0:18:43.120 Tennessee and match up with the titans. Couple of Oh 0:18:43.160 --> 0:18:47.359 and two teams. It's on Fox, so you better watch. 0:18:47.520 --> 0:18:50.800 Our old pal friend of the show, Kenny Albert, along 0:18:50.800 --> 0:18:54.560 with Jonathan Vilma, have the call. The Game Open. To 0:18:54.640 --> 0:18:56.920 pick them. The raiders are actually a two and a 0:18:56.960 --> 0:19:00.560 half point favorite. The money is almost even. There's a 0:19:00.600 --> 0:19:04.480 slight lean to the titans and the forecast calls for 0:19:04.600 --> 0:19:08.160 some light rain in the area. Temperatures in the mid 0:19:08.280 --> 0:19:11.960 seventies at Nissan Stadium for kickoff. Not Too many trends 0:19:12.000 --> 0:19:15.120 on this game. The raiders are two and five against 0:19:15.119 --> 0:19:17.640 the spread their last seven as a road favorite. They've 0:19:17.640 --> 0:19:22.080 been a terrible bet as a road favorite. But what 0:19:22.240 --> 0:19:24.400 the hell, I'm taking the raiders here. This is more 0:19:24.400 --> 0:19:26.639 of a play against the Tennessee titans than it is 0:19:26.680 --> 0:19:30.720 on Las Vegas. The titans are a disorganized bunch. Now 0:19:30.760 --> 0:19:33.920 they have a short week. They're a battle scarred team. 0:19:33.960 --> 0:19:37.240 They lost their top Lineman, the rock of that offensive line, 0:19:37.920 --> 0:19:42.640 Taylor Luwan, he's gone, and Eric Henry, as good as 0:19:42.680 --> 0:19:45.680 he has been. Are you going to be able to 0:19:45.760 --> 0:19:48.040 run the ball if you fall behind? They fell behind 0:19:48.200 --> 0:19:51.720 against Buffalo and Henry was averaging less than two yards 0:19:51.760 --> 0:19:55.320 for the balance of that game. The raiders should have, 0:19:55.440 --> 0:19:58.520 could have, would have beaten Arizona. It's the same old 0:19:58.640 --> 0:20:00.680 raiders like get a big lead, blow it, and I 0:20:01.040 --> 0:20:03.359 know that Derek Carr can't give me an entire game, 0:20:03.760 --> 0:20:07.760 but one good half from car should be enough this week, 0:20:08.080 --> 0:20:10.840 because Ryan Tandell is that bad and all the injuries, 0:20:11.400 --> 0:20:14.560 the raiders defense should be able to keep tannehill under wraps. 0:20:14.600 --> 0:20:17.800 So the raiders get their first win and the Josh 0:20:17.880 --> 0:20:21.320 mcdaniels Hera at Raiders Thirty and the Titans Twenty three 0:20:21.880 --> 0:20:28.440 is your final. Wow, this is the very first time 0:20:28.480 --> 0:20:31.760 that the penny has picked the raiders. Is that a 0:20:31.800 --> 0:20:36.280 good omen? Oh well, we'll find out on Sunday afternoon 0:20:36.840 --> 0:20:38.719 whether or not you're in a good mood or a 0:20:38.720 --> 0:20:42.680 bad mood. All right, next up, PHILADELPHIA. Oh my God, 0:20:42.760 --> 0:20:45.040 the Eagles are some God. Oh my God, that's what 0:20:45.080 --> 0:20:47.920 everyone's saying right now. Eagles two or old hey. They 0:20:47.960 --> 0:20:50.399 did kick the snot out of the Vikings of the 0:20:50.400 --> 0:20:52.760 money night game and Washington is one and one. It's 0:20:52.840 --> 0:20:56.919 on Fox with Adam Amin and mark slayer. They have 0:20:56.960 --> 0:21:00.200 to call. The Eagles opened up a three point fat 0:21:00.400 --> 0:21:03.040 and they went up to their nest and they're now 0:21:03.080 --> 0:21:08.000 a six and a half point road favorite. Down six 0:21:08.000 --> 0:21:12.159 and a half point road favorite. Slight lean as far 0:21:12.200 --> 0:21:15.280 as the handle to the birds. And again the forecast 0:21:15.359 --> 0:21:19.760 year's rain showers overnight, but by the time kickoff comes around, 0:21:19.760 --> 0:21:23.919 temperatures in the mid seventies at Fedex field. Some of 0:21:23.960 --> 0:21:28.360 the trends on this game. Ron Rivera's coach. Washington has 0:21:28.400 --> 0:21:32.000 a winning record as a home underdog. They're six five 0:21:32.080 --> 0:21:35.560 and one, and the team formerly known as the Redskins 0:21:35.680 --> 0:21:38.840 is ten four and one their last fifteen when they 0:21:38.880 --> 0:21:42.760 play a team that is coming off short rest like Philadelphia. 0:21:42.800 --> 0:21:45.320 So I am gonna take the commanders in this game. 0:21:45.400 --> 0:21:49.040 That's right, I'm taking come at Carson Wentz revenge game, 0:21:49.080 --> 0:21:51.280 although I'm not betting this game because of Carson Wentz. 0:21:51.640 --> 0:21:53.719 Not a big selling point. Although he has gone over 0:21:53.760 --> 0:21:56.600 three hundred yards, he makes a lot of mistakes. Three 0:21:56.840 --> 0:22:00.880 yards every game. Jalen hurts put on a clinic against 0:22:00.880 --> 0:22:03.160 the Vikings. I don't think you can play any better 0:22:03.160 --> 0:22:05.000 than that. There's gonna be a bit of a regression 0:22:05.040 --> 0:22:08.440 to the mean. Everyone is loading up on the eagles now. 0:22:08.920 --> 0:22:11.800 In general, there's been a lot of big bets on Philadelphia. 0:22:12.240 --> 0:22:17.160 The value is on Washington divisional game. You're getting almost 0:22:17.200 --> 0:22:21.040 a touchdown and I realized that Washington is a pedestrian team. 0:22:21.040 --> 0:22:24.359 They're not really good. They're not really bad in any 0:22:24.480 --> 0:22:28.600 area offense and defense, but getting that almost a touchdown 0:22:28.640 --> 0:22:31.360 here at home too much for me to pass up. 0:22:31.840 --> 0:22:35.640 So the eagles will win it, but the commanders will 0:22:35.640 --> 0:22:40.840 win the Bet Philly and the commander's twenty one. The 0:22:40.920 --> 0:22:48.840 final penny likes jalen hurts and the eagles. Alright, the 0:22:48.880 --> 0:22:54.360 Penny's going with the chalk. Living dangerously betting big road favorites. 0:22:54.400 --> 0:22:57.320 Next up for us the last of the early games 0:22:57.359 --> 0:23:01.160 and the television window. Houston all one on one at 0:23:01.440 --> 0:23:06.199 Chicago at one on one. It's on CBS with Andrew 0:23:06.440 --> 0:23:11.120 Catalan and James Lofton. The bears opened up a three 0:23:11.119 --> 0:23:14.760 point favorite. The bears are still favorite by two and 0:23:14.760 --> 0:23:19.159 a half and the handle UH slight lean to the 0:23:19.240 --> 0:23:23.040 Houston Texans, as temperatures in the low seventies, a kickoff 0:23:23.080 --> 0:23:29.720 at soldier field, and Chicago with Josh or Justin Fields 0:23:29.840 --> 0:23:35.280 under center. They are three and seven, three and seven 0:23:36.000 --> 0:23:40.119 against the spread their last ten with Mr Fields. The 0:23:40.320 --> 0:23:43.959 bears are also one in six against the spread their 0:23:44.040 --> 0:23:46.280 last seven after playing Green Bay. So this is a 0:23:46.400 --> 0:23:50.080 very tough game to handicap because both teams blow. The 0:23:50.119 --> 0:23:55.679 bears suck more than the Texans, slightly, slightly, although the 0:23:55.680 --> 0:23:59.840 game is in Chicago. Neither quarterback here is worth their salt. 0:24:00.640 --> 0:24:02.680 Certainly not telling you to bet on the Texans because 0:24:02.720 --> 0:24:05.880 if Davis Mills the guy's a bum, but at least 0:24:06.560 --> 0:24:12.440 Houston will attempt the forward past justin fields isn't hiding 0:24:13.119 --> 0:24:17.200 for Chicago, and you have to continue to bet against 0:24:17.200 --> 0:24:20.720 the bears. They are the quintessential hot mess. They don't 0:24:20.760 --> 0:24:23.199 really run the ball well, they don't even try to 0:24:23.280 --> 0:24:26.399 throw the ball well. They have a pretty mediocre defense 0:24:27.000 --> 0:24:30.200 and now as we get later in the season, still 0:24:30.240 --> 0:24:32.239 early in the season, but as we get further on, 0:24:32.320 --> 0:24:35.159 the injuries start piling up. So I will take the 0:24:35.280 --> 0:24:40.679 Texans Seventeen and the bears sixteen. Houston the right side 0:24:41.240 --> 0:24:49.679 in this game. The Penny is going with the Texans. Okay, 0:24:49.720 --> 0:24:53.120