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Speaker 1: All right, here we go spreading the court.

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Speaker 2: Ten seconds of many.

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Speaker 3: They just go throwing off of the basket, under the basket.

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Speaker 1: It's down a seventh second.

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Speaker 2: It's the croup for the wind.

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Speaker 3: God make americle I.

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Speaker 1: It's the water hit, that one from the parking lot.

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Speaker 3: Shuck it all.

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Speaker 1: In college basketball, it's not the size on the dog

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Speaker 1: in the fight, it's the size of the fight in

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Speaker 1: the dog. Welcome to the Big Bets on Campus podcast.

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Speaker 1: I am your host, Jim Root. This week we are

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Speaker 1: the three man Weave. The crew is here to talk

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Speaker 1: college basketball betting. This week. I'm with Kim Cuan and

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Speaker 1: Matt Cox. Every Wednesday morning, we'll be dropping in new

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Speaker 1: Big Bets on Campus episode, talking all things the world

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Speaker 1: of college Today's episode and we're going through our typical

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Speaker 1: outline here. We're going to start with live dog of

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Speaker 1: the week, which was hot, hot Hot last week. Fellows.

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Speaker 1: We'll get the pitchers scorchers, so we hope to maintain

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Speaker 1: that success this week. We're also going to talk power games,

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Speaker 1: mid major games, some of the trash man games of

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Speaker 1: the week, and of course we'll have a little spotlight

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Speaker 1: section at the end. It's time we're talking weird schedule

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Speaker 1: spots and possible at large teams non traditional at large teams,

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Speaker 1: so it's kind of a double feature in the spotlight section. Kai, Matt,

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Speaker 1: you guys ready, Do you have any thoughts you want

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Speaker 1: to get in before we start talking live pups?

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Speaker 3: Jim, I'm fine. I just want to start talking live pups.

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Speaker 3: They're my favorite section of our podcasts. Imight to choose

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Speaker 3: one favorite section, it would be this.

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Speaker 1: It's the headliner. That's why we put it at the top. Matthew,

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Speaker 1: let's roll, Matt just to recap last week. I know

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Speaker 1: I said we were hot. I want to make sure

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Speaker 1: that people know three of the five live dogs we

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Speaker 1: discussed in this section, one outright would beat to Paul

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Speaker 1: at Louisville, Murray State at Memphis, and South Dakota State

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Speaker 1: at Washington State, and a hell of a buzzer beater

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Speaker 1: by mister Baylor Shireman say we got to beat our

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Speaker 1: chest a little bit. You go sixty percent on outright dogs,

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Speaker 1: You're gonna make a lot a lot of money.

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Speaker 4: Fellas are strong, very strong, strong to quite strong. Hey,

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Speaker 4: we think they're gonna be even stronger this weekend.

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Speaker 2: Toole smoke smoking. Oh yeah, that's good.

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Speaker 1: Are built different than our.

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Speaker 4: We're built actually, we're all built fairly similarly. So the

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Speaker 4: irony is that that's not actually but hey, it's fine,

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Speaker 4: that's okay. Where's mine? Where is mine?

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Speaker 1: Mine? All right, let's talk this week. Then let's turn

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Speaker 1: our attention forward. We don't want to dwell too much

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Speaker 1: on the past. We've got to keep the success coming.

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Speaker 1: So I've got four here to discuss that I think

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Speaker 1: are really ones to zero in on, and I'm curious

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Speaker 1: what you guys think about any others. We're starting with

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Speaker 1: two tonight Wednesday night, as you're hopefully listening to this

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Speaker 1: Wednesday New Mexico State at Washington State. Now at we

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Speaker 1: are not getting up on Kyle Smith. We're not trying

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Speaker 1: to be mean to a coach that we really really like.

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Speaker 1: But many this is the second straight week they're appearing

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Speaker 1: in the section after losing to the jack Bunnies. Do

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Speaker 1: we think that the Aggies go on the road and

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Speaker 1: nip the cougars as well?

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Speaker 4: A general rule of thumb or I guess a common

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Speaker 4: denominator and a lot of our money line plays is

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Speaker 4: trying to attack favorites that seem to be sort of

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Speaker 4: in flux. I'm not saying Washington's a broken team, kay,

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Speaker 4: But you read between the lines. You read the tea

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Speaker 4: leaves some of the quotes from Kyle Smith's pressers. The

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Speaker 4: last two games, the rotations have ebbed and flowed quite

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Speaker 4: a bit. Tyrrell Roberts a key starter there of elite

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Speaker 4: shot maker. He started to sort of hit a wall. Defensively,

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Speaker 4: he's not been as great. They've had some injuries up front.

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Speaker 4: Roberts played seven minutes against seven minutes somebody. You could

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Speaker 4: just kind of tell Kyle Smith is still trying to

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Speaker 4: find the right concoction, and I think he knows that

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Speaker 4: Pac twel plays right ound on the corner. He's also

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Speaker 4: not dumb, kay. The Mexico State's a legit team with

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Speaker 4: legit talent and a legit basketball coach and Chris Chans.

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Speaker 4: But I think the latter point is all the more

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Speaker 4: reason why you're looking to potentially back this live puppy

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Speaker 4: dog as they travel up to the back north lost.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, poor Wazoo. They're in this section again, and Kyle

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Speaker 3: Smith's scheduling, he might have to hand it to him.

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Speaker 3: I think he's doing something pretty smart. He's playing very

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Speaker 3: very good mid majors, which is probably gonna boost his

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Speaker 3: net at the end of the day. Now he hasn't

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Speaker 3: taken care of business against all of them. Eastern Washington

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Speaker 3: was a bad loss, but playing Santa Barbara, playing went

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Speaker 3: through it, playing Weaver State, playing South Dakota State, playing

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Speaker 3: New Mexico State. That's a pretty good way to boost

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Speaker 3: your net while also probably winning most of those games.

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Speaker 3: Not all those games again, hasn't gone to plan, but

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Speaker 3: I think Smith's doing something pretty smart by doing that. However,

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Speaker 3: New Mexico State's dangerous. I think Jim's picked a good

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Speaker 3: one here. Now. Donnie Tillman might still be out of

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Speaker 3: the lineup. He's obviously huge for New Mexico State, but

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Speaker 3: it's a deep team. They've lived with injuries before. They'll

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Speaker 3: do it again. The one thing I'm worried about in

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Speaker 3: New Mexico State Chris Jans. Teams always have issues with fouling.

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Speaker 3: Wazoo could live the line in this matchup.

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Speaker 1: Wazoo should get to Sean Jackson back. They're big shot,

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Speaker 1: swatting big man. He missed that South Dakota State game.

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Speaker 1: I had a hand contusion to be back for this one,

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Speaker 1: so that gives them a little bit more size to

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Speaker 1: combat New Mexico State inside. The visiting Aggies are not

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Speaker 1: the shooting team that South Dakota State is, so they'll

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Speaker 1: have to really manufacture more points in the paint. And

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Speaker 1: this is the fourth straight road game for New Mexico State. Yeah,

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Speaker 1: you got to be a little bit concerned there. They

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Speaker 1: go at UTEP rivalry game at New Mexico rivalry game

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Speaker 1: at Loyal Merrymount barely scraped them out on the road there.

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Speaker 1: If they win a fourth straight road game, that does

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Speaker 1: sound challenging, But I think it is worth a stab

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Speaker 1: here just based on what Matt said about the influx

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Speaker 1: rotation for Wazoo and the great coach on the New

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Speaker 1: Mexico State end. I don't know if you're going to

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Speaker 1: be on board with this next one, but I think

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Speaker 1: it's my favorite one on the board, just for several reasons.

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Speaker 1: We will get to them. This is Howard at Georgetown.

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Speaker 1: This is also Wednesday night Ken Palmas is a thirteen

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Speaker 1: point spread, so you're going to get a very juicy

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Speaker 1: money line price here. But Kai I just knew Georgetown

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Speaker 1: against worst competition always tends to play down to them.

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Speaker 1: They're coming off the win against Syracuse, a major high

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Speaker 1: for this team. Howard is very much a if you

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Speaker 1: can't beat them, join them team. For me, I've I've

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Speaker 1: been wrong on them this season. They are much better

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Speaker 1: than expected, and I just think this game has a

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Speaker 1: ton of variants in the fact that both teams shoot

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Speaker 1: a lot of threes. Both teams can make threes, some

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Speaker 1: both can go cold. A thirteen point spread with Georgetown

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Speaker 1: a possible letdown spot. Man, that's that's all you're looking

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Speaker 1: for with a potentially live dog. It would be so

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Speaker 1: Georgetown for them to lose this game. It definitely feels

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Speaker 1: like a game they can lose. Hey, same city, right,

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Speaker 1: there's no travel here. Presumably there's some Howard fans of

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Speaker 1: the crowd in this game. It might be more than

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Speaker 1: George Georgetown home crowd and not. The game is not

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Speaker 1: traditionally a huge.

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Speaker 4: Even for the QS game, it was like a wine

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Speaker 4: and cheese. I felt it was fairly dustilate and I

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Speaker 4: wasn't there from TV. Did not seem like it was

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Speaker 4: an overwhelmingly dominant, boisterous crowd by any stretch show. Yeah,

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Speaker 4: I think Howard does well in a shootout, which they'll

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Speaker 4: definitely try to make it that two top twenty three

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Speaker 4: point centers teams here, but Howard that there's seventh in

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Speaker 4: the country and field good attempts percentage in transition they

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Speaker 4: get out and run. They do it often, Georgetown two

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Speaker 4: and forty fourth in defensive field goal to attempt a

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Speaker 4: percentage they allow a lot in transition that hopefully negates

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Speaker 4: the glass disadvantage Howard has in this game. Georgetown clearly

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Speaker 4: the bigger team here. That's the advantage for them.

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Speaker 3: I do think Howard can stick around thirteen. Sheesh, No

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Speaker 3: one likes to late double digits with Georgetown. Here's my

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Speaker 3: quick comparison. Howard is a lot like Cornell. And now

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Speaker 3: at first you look at these teams and you're thinking, Okay,

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Speaker 3: I don't know if I want to back an underdog

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Speaker 3: that's going to want to get into a track make

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Speaker 3: which plays to a higher possession game and that typically

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Speaker 3: favors the favorite. But they're both unsolved riddles conundrums at

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Speaker 3: this point, and I think until teams have a good

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Speaker 3: scouting report as to how to stop what Kenny Blakeney's

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Speaker 3: intelling this year, what Brian Earl's done at Cornell, I

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Speaker 3: think they're going to continue to have value even though

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Speaker 3: they've already played both of them close to nine to

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Speaker 3: ten games. They've shot up all the analytic charts up.

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Speaker 3: But again, I think that matchup angle, that X and

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Speaker 3: no type angle, that unfamiliarity aspect will play well here

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Speaker 3: for the Bison.

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Speaker 1: Yeah. The last factor I want to throw in here,

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Speaker 1: and this is the biggest reason I've been wrong on

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Speaker 1: Howard this year, is that they have a star freshman.

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Speaker 1: That's like the hardest thing to track in preparation for

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Speaker 1: the season is how good is a freshman going to

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Speaker 1: be at the mid to low major level. And Elijah Hawkins,

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Speaker 1: the freshman point guard, has been elite. He's not a

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Speaker 1: terrific finisher, his O rating isn't great, but he's tenth

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Speaker 1: in the country and assists right, he's seventy fourth in

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Speaker 1: steel rate. He produces so much, so many good looks

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Speaker 1: for the rest of the team. That's really how their

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Speaker 1: offense has been efficient. Having that kind of a league

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Speaker 1: guard who is mind you from Washington d C YEP

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Speaker 1: probably pissed Georgetown didn't give him a look. I think

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Speaker 1: he plays extremely well here in not as hostile atmosphere

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Speaker 1: as you might think. Yeah, Howard, guys, I can't believe

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Speaker 1: I'm on board with the Bison, but I think they

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Speaker 1: get it done. I think they're going to knock off

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Speaker 1: the Hoyas.

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Speaker 3: Yeah.

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Speaker 4: Hawkins had sixteen and eleven dimes against Nova early leader

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Speaker 4: Jym so Yeah, and he's proven he can do it

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Speaker 4: against Leekee competition. And Georgetown's defense is not in the

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Speaker 4: same stratosphere as Nova's.

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Speaker 1: No, not even close. Let's keep moving down the list

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Speaker 1: here At the next one, Mississippi State is playing as

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Speaker 1: we're recording this. They're playing on Tuesday nights, so we're

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Speaker 1: not gonna have that result. They're hosting Georgia State that's

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Speaker 1: already a dangerous game against the potentially live dog. Now

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Speaker 1: on Friday, Ky they're gonna be right in the same

200
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Speaker 1: spread range hosting Furman, who's going from at North Carolina

201
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Speaker 1: on Tuesday to at Mississippi State. Is this a case

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Speaker 1: where if Furman doesn't win Tuesday and Mississippi State does,

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Speaker 1: we love this even more?

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Speaker 3: Is that?

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Speaker 1: Is that how we would look at this.

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Speaker 3: I'd probably say that Jim, Yeah, Furman's dangerous man. They

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Speaker 3: beat Louisville in overtime at Louisville. Hopefully they gave you

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Speaker 3: and see a game on Tuesday. We obviously another result

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Speaker 3: of that as recording prior to it. But yeah, this

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Speaker 3: Misstate team that they're just a team that's still in

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Speaker 3: progress for me, and you said it with Washington State.

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Speaker 3: They're a team in transition currently and that's a pretty

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Speaker 3: good team to fade. And when you're talking about a

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Speaker 3: moneyline special Firman' is not gonna be intimidated. Their offense rocks.

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Speaker 3: They should a ton of threes. You know, you got

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Speaker 3: to be worried about Mississippi State size clearly because that's

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Speaker 3: Furman's problem in every single game. But I really do

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Speaker 3: think Furman is a live dog here.

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Speaker 1: They can stay close and no totally Smith from Missisippi

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Speaker 1: totals Smith and that helps it gets a little bit

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Speaker 1: of the inside advantage. I'm sure Garrison Brooks will still

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Speaker 1: eat Matthew.

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Speaker 2: Yes, yeah, Misssippi State.

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Speaker 4: I'm just gonna you can say, I meant their schedule

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Speaker 4: into good teams first. Bad teams pretty easily started off

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Speaker 4: first four games of the year. North Alabama, Montana, Detroit

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Speaker 4: and Morehead wiped the floor of all four of them.

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Speaker 4: Then they got Louisville, got beat by fourteen, needed overtime

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Speaker 4: to skiz a cover against Richmond two nights later, and

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Speaker 4: then lost to Minnesota at home and just blew a

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Speaker 4: late lead to carraud of State. Those last four games

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Speaker 4: good teams their own, and four against the spread against Lamar.

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Speaker 4: Either against Lamar where I was a sandwiched in between

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Speaker 4: the Richmond Minnesota games. Short handed Lamar only one by fifteen,

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Speaker 4: and it's a crippled Lamar team. I like Missippi State

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Speaker 4: long term. I don't like him until you get total

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Speaker 4: Smiths back and all signs are he will not be

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Speaker 4: ready for this game.

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Speaker 2: This is in I'm in on this one.

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Speaker 3: Let's go Firman baby.

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Speaker 1: So I'm not in on Mississippi State long term. I

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Speaker 1: think any team with Rocket Watts on it is bound

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Speaker 1: to underperform and they will continue to do so. So yeah,

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Speaker 1: I mean this is this is another one I like.

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Speaker 3: Again.

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Speaker 1: If we can go two for four out of these,

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Speaker 1: we're sitting pretty So this is a worthwhile gamble on

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Speaker 1: the Paladin's here, Jim.

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Speaker 4: I was encouraged to see Rocket Watts only play fifteen

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Speaker 4: minutes last game. It seems like Hallen's starting to put

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Speaker 4: him in time out slowly and surely kind of fade

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Speaker 4: him into oblivion, which is a good thing.

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Speaker 1: I mean, his his orating is somehow worse than it

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Speaker 1: was his last year at Michigan State. Like he's somehow

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Speaker 1: getting worse. It's incredible aggression.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, tough, tough to see, all right.

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Speaker 1: Next one on the outline, this is a rare home dog.

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Speaker 1: We don't get a lot of the home dogs in

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Speaker 1: this situation. It's a lot of these road teams, Matt.

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Speaker 1: We've got Byu heading the Weaver state an in state

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Speaker 1: battle in Utah. You know it's going to be in

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Speaker 1: quite a bit for Weber. BYU's got issues with their

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Speaker 1: big men being injured. Weaver's plenty talented. This is another

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Speaker 1: one I love Matt the d tough place to play.

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Speaker 1: Do you think Weber gets it done as well?

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Speaker 4: Tough had BYU taking care of business at Creighton last week,

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Speaker 4: and I think I might be a little more tempted

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Speaker 4: by it. But I think you lit'll have a bounce

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Speaker 4: back spot here for Mark Pope. But man Weaver's good talented.

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Speaker 4: The coaching advantage kind of gated. Randy Ray knows how

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Speaker 4: to draw him up on the clipboard. Baby, tough for

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Speaker 4: me to go against BYU here, just give him the spot.

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Speaker 4: But yeah, I think this is a good chance for

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Speaker 4: we were to pull off the home upset, even though

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Speaker 4: the home advantage isn't huge. Not a super tough travel

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Speaker 4: about teams in the Utah proper the Beehive.

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Speaker 1: Oh, but it's about the crowd, man.

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Speaker 2: The crowd should be electric. It better be electric.

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Speaker 3: The crowd has gotten flack this year from players. COVID

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Speaker 3: McEwan called out, Yeah, that's hilarious because there wasn't eyone

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Speaker 3: showing up to these games. I don't think that's gonna

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Speaker 3: be the case. It's be ou. I think the crowd

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Speaker 3: will indeed show up, sellout huge, huge game. And they

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Speaker 3: by the way, they play Utah State tonight Wednesday at

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Speaker 3: home as well. Randy rag and these big teams come

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Speaker 3: to his town, his neck of the woods. I love

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Speaker 3: this game for weber Man. Dante Bassett being back in

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Speaker 3: the lineup is enormous for weber They're already a good team.

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Speaker 3: They add maybe the best player in Bassett, former Florida guy.

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Speaker 3: This guy's kind of limit here for Weaver State. I

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Speaker 3: think they can Hey, they have a ton of talent.

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Speaker 3: Obviously they got wiped by Washington State that was on

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Speaker 3: the road. I think it's different than D I do

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Speaker 3: like weaber States, life doog and the d we trust.

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Speaker 1: That's right, guys, So we're going forward for four there,

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Speaker 1: so we know that that's wonderful.

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Speaker 3: Should we have some more?

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Speaker 2: Let's get greedy.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, Matt, you got anything else for us here?

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Speaker 4: Well, you have a little of a tug of war here.

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Speaker 4: I saw this included in multiple sections Nickels at Wisconsin.

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Speaker 1: To be clear, I put this in the Live Dog

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Speaker 1: with a question mark because I'm not necessarily I don't

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Speaker 1: This isn't what I'm actually endorsing.

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Speaker 4: Okay, I think this could be a blowout, but I

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Speaker 4: think it's a fun little debate. Actually, I'll just say

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Speaker 4: it for blow out City. I can't believe go to

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Speaker 4: endorse Wisconsin in a blowout city section against Nichols, one

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Speaker 4: of the funnest, most feisty dogs in the game.

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Speaker 2: But I have some good match of angles. I'll just

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Speaker 2: say that. We'll table that.

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Speaker 1: Well, while while we table that, man, I want you

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Speaker 1: to look up the Nichols Ats record as a road

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Speaker 1: team at Power conference squads.

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Speaker 4: It's like it's insane, very good in those situations. Austin Klenchman,

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Speaker 4: he's the he's got that devil magic going a.

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Speaker 1: Couple of outright wins as well. All right, Kyle, let's talk.

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Speaker 1: You see Irvine at USC. This is Wednesday night. You

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Speaker 1: see Irvine definitely has the bigs to battle with the

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Speaker 1: Trojans inside Colin velp In the three headed center monster

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Speaker 1: that they rotate there. The question is are the guards

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Speaker 1: good enough to hang? Are they going to be able

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Speaker 1: to deal with the size of USC's backcourt, especially Drew

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Speaker 1: Peterson Isaiah White? What do you think?

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Speaker 3: Honestly, No, I don't think Irvine no, because I look

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Speaker 3: at it the other way. I see USC a team

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Speaker 3: that basically combats Irvine's best at and that's getting the

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Speaker 3: ball to whelp. I do not see them covering this game.

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Speaker 3: I think USC takes it pretty easily last year, by

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Speaker 3: the way, ninety one to fifty six USC. I just

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Speaker 3: think it's not a good matchup for Irvine.

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Speaker 1: Smoked him and Dawson Baker, the key guard for UC. Irvine,

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Speaker 1: we don't for sure know his status whether he'll be back,

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Speaker 1: so without him, I don't think you can back the

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Speaker 1: Anteaters as appealing as it might be. One other one

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Speaker 1: I want to mention, we're going to spotlight it in

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Speaker 1: our potential dark horse at large teams, but I own

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Speaker 1: a taken on Seaton Hall at Madison Square Garden on Saturday.

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Speaker 1: Just have an eye out for the gals because they

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Speaker 1: that team could really potentially get a big win against

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Speaker 1: Seaton Hall on that neutral floor. And again we'll analyze

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Speaker 1: that further towards the end of the episode. All Right, Matt,

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Speaker 1: you kind of hinted at it, so let's get to

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Speaker 1: it now. Let's get to blowout City. It's our section

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Speaker 1: where we go through teams we think are going to

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Speaker 1: be favored by a lot and justifiably so they're going

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Speaker 1: to crush their competition. I'm going to need you to

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Speaker 1: make the case, Matt. You brought up Nichols at Wisconsin

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Speaker 1: on Wednesday nights can pump project it around eighteen. Why

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Speaker 1: do you think the Badgers can kick the crap out

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Speaker 1: of Colonels.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, it may be a finicky argument, and I feel

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Speaker 4: like this is very vintage Matt against the Green, trying

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Speaker 4: to find the opposite angle against the headwind of momentum

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Speaker 4: or whatever else is seeing. Wisconsin is so good at

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Speaker 4: keeping teams out of transition, and I think that's what

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Speaker 4: Nichols needs to score this year. I've watched them play

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Speaker 4: a few times. Their half court offense is really herky jerky.

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Speaker 4: I think they just outwork you, they outplay you. They

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Speaker 4: just play hard as f and that plays well as

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Speaker 4: a dog because I don't think favorites are always expecting

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Speaker 4: that type.

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Speaker 1: Of It was very censor myself.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, but I just don't feel like this is the

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Speaker 4: right play for Nichols.

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Speaker 2: I don't.

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Speaker 4: I think Wisconsin keeps on a transition and Nichols just

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Speaker 4: played last Thursday, and they played this Monday, and I

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Speaker 4: mean they could be like tired even and they have

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Speaker 4: to go up to Wisconsin to play a throwaway game

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Speaker 4: before Christmas. I think Wisconsin just mauls them. I do

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Speaker 4: in a very Virginia crock pot fashion.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, it might be a sleepy spot. I don't know.

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Speaker 3: I bet it's pretty sleepy for Wisconsin too, though. That's

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Speaker 3: I don't think very much.

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Speaker 1: Conference games, yeah, Marc, conference games, now, they played this one.

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Speaker 3: I have to look up their exam schedules. But it's

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Speaker 3: got to be soon. Maybe there's no one at this

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Speaker 3: game Austin Collins could coach. I don't know. We'll see

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Speaker 3: what the spread ends up being, but I could see

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Speaker 3: them hanging around within twenty or so. Yeah.

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Speaker 1: Man. The one pushback I give you is the slowest

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Speaker 1: game Nicholas played this year was at TCU, and they

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Speaker 1: were up thirty to twenty four at halftime against the

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Speaker 1: power conference team. Now they gave up that run in

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Speaker 1: the second half, they did end up covering full game.

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Speaker 1: I was sweating the very end of that one. And

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Speaker 1: Wisconsin's a better team than TCU, make no mistake about it,

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Speaker 1: but they were able to play with a power conference

390
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Speaker 1: team at that tempo. So we'll see. All right. Two

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Speaker 1: others I wrote down, the second of which I adore,

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Speaker 1: but we'll start with UCLA hosting Alabama State. This one

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Speaker 1: is Wednesday night, huge, huge spread, thirty four and ken

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Speaker 1: pum I'd expect it to potentially creep even higher than that.

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Speaker 1: We might see Cody Riley return for UCLA. He's getting close.

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Speaker 1: Of course, you've got Hotkes and jews aang the monster

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Speaker 1: wing duo. You got to point god Tiger Campbell, I mean, Kai,

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Speaker 1: why does Alabama State even give a single crap about

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Speaker 1: this big trip out west.

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Speaker 3: I don't think they do. And after covering against Western Kentucky, Vanderbilt,

401
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Speaker 3: Missouri State, Iowa State Iowa, they haven't covered in the

402
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Speaker 3: last four games. I hope the magic might be a

403
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Speaker 3: little bit over at least the non comp for Alabama

404
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Speaker 3: State UCLA. Man, that's a scary scene to face. That's

405
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Speaker 3: blowout potential. They are so solid, so experienced, so talented.

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Speaker 3: There are three games against teams outside the top two

407
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Speaker 3: twenty this year. They won my thirty seven, twenty one,

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Speaker 3: and thirty five. I think they can absolutely blow Alabama

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Speaker 3: State out of the water Matt in this game.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, we're running out of these swack Miac Southland teams

411
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Speaker 4: to fade. A lot of them have just gotten better

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Speaker 4: this year, and others are playing a different style that

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Speaker 4: doesn't make them as prone to blowouts. There's very few

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Speaker 4: left on our little mini docative teams that were looking

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Speaker 4: to maybe attack against a formidal favorite in the right spot.

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Speaker 4: Bama State is one of those squads still.

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Speaker 1: For me.

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Speaker 4: Imil Williams done an okay job this season. They're just outmanned, outgunned,

419
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Speaker 4: and Mick Cronin is notorious for letting his horses run

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Speaker 4: and run and run against these crap teams. It's almost

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Speaker 4: like he has two different coaching playbooks. Like against good

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Speaker 4: teams plays more true old knit Cronin form against bad teams.

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Speaker 4: The North Florida game comes to mind, The Long Beach

424
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Speaker 4: State comes to mind. The possession count could get high seventies,

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Speaker 4: and that is non recipe for success for your Alabama State.

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Speaker 1: Now you know who else is outmanned and outgunned the

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Speaker 1: US in the Revolutionary War.

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Speaker 2: Wow, that's a poll.

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Speaker 3: Quote.

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Speaker 4: It are you taking Bamba state money line? Is that

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Speaker 4: what I'm implying?

432
00:18:25,520 --> 00:18:27,880
Speaker 1: No, God, absolutely not. I don't. I don't think we're

433
00:18:27,880 --> 00:18:31,280
Speaker 1: going to have our Boston tea party moment. And there's

434
00:18:31,320 --> 00:18:34,719
Speaker 1: no there's no Yorktown coming for Alabama State. Unfortunately. All right,

435
00:18:34,800 --> 00:18:37,639
Speaker 1: Revolutionary War jokes over because we're getting to my blood.

436
00:18:38,240 --> 00:18:39,040
Speaker 2: We have more of those to come.

437
00:18:39,280 --> 00:18:39,480
Speaker 3: Yeah.

438
00:18:39,560 --> 00:18:41,879
Speaker 1: My favorite one of the week Eastern Illinois headed to

439
00:18:41,960 --> 00:18:45,000
Speaker 1: Western Illinois on Saturday. I'm sure this is on no

440
00:18:45,160 --> 00:18:47,800
Speaker 1: one's radar, but for me, this is going to be

441
00:18:47,840 --> 00:18:51,960
Speaker 1: a thirty five point demolition. Eastern Illinois beat Western Illinois

442
00:18:52,040 --> 00:18:55,119
Speaker 1: last year most of the Western guys are back that

443
00:18:55,240 --> 00:18:57,680
Speaker 1: same core. They're going to remember this is a rivalry,

444
00:18:57,960 --> 00:19:02,119
Speaker 1: and this Eastern Illinois team stinks out loud. They're awful.

445
00:19:02,240 --> 00:19:03,639
Speaker 1: It might be one of the worst three teams in

446
00:19:03,720 --> 00:19:07,560
Speaker 1: the entire country. They cannot score offensively. Kai Ourmazoo Tigers

447
00:19:07,600 --> 00:19:09,560
Speaker 1: covered against Eastern I like, that's how bad they are.

448
00:19:09,760 --> 00:19:11,680
Speaker 3: Jim, that's a great point. And stinks out loud. I

449
00:19:11,720 --> 00:19:14,000
Speaker 3: think is a hair Arnold reference. At least it was

450
00:19:14,040 --> 00:19:16,800
Speaker 3: said quite a bit on that show. Western Illinois is

451
00:19:16,880 --> 00:19:21,439
Speaker 3: a monstern. Illinois sucks. Western Illinois seven and one against

452
00:19:21,440 --> 00:19:24,080
Speaker 3: the spread with the plus nine point nine cover margin,

453
00:19:24,280 --> 00:19:26,600
Speaker 3: e IU three and six and spread minus five point

454
00:19:26,640 --> 00:19:30,240
Speaker 3: eight cover margin. I mean, golly, Matt, they play fast,

455
00:19:30,280 --> 00:19:32,879
Speaker 3: they can score Washing Illinois, they shoot the crap out

456
00:19:32,920 --> 00:19:34,200
Speaker 3: of the ball, and they shoot a ton of threes.

457
00:19:34,440 --> 00:19:36,880
Speaker 3: I'm with Jim here, this is a blowout. The leather Necks,

458
00:19:36,920 --> 00:19:39,640
Speaker 3: one of the best nicknames in college basketball, gets it done.

459
00:19:39,840 --> 00:19:42,280
Speaker 3: But come's gonna be lit. Jimmy, we want to venture down.

460
00:19:42,400 --> 00:19:44,160
Speaker 3: Me and Kai from from Chicago.

461
00:19:44,200 --> 00:19:45,840
Speaker 1: I made you've been there.

462
00:19:45,960 --> 00:19:47,720
Speaker 4: I went to what's that venue? Like, what's that was

463
00:19:47,720 --> 00:19:49,440
Speaker 4: that going? To deliver some juice behind the home.

464
00:19:50,760 --> 00:19:52,800
Speaker 1: The team is much better this year than it was

465
00:19:52,920 --> 00:19:54,920
Speaker 1: the time I went. I saw Mike Dom and the

466
00:19:55,000 --> 00:19:57,320
Speaker 1: jack Bunnies win by thirty on the road, So I

467
00:19:57,359 --> 00:19:58,919
Speaker 1: think you might get a better environment.

468
00:19:59,040 --> 00:19:59,680
Speaker 2: Yeah, I hope.

469
00:19:59,720 --> 00:20:02,600
Speaker 1: So this is a motivated favorite Matthew.

470
00:20:02,320 --> 00:20:05,480
Speaker 4: Right, Yes, And my thing with Eastern Illinois is not

471
00:20:05,600 --> 00:20:07,920
Speaker 4: only are they bad and talented, pleted they don't know

472
00:20:07,960 --> 00:20:10,160
Speaker 4: who they are who's gonna play on a nightly basis.

473
00:20:10,200 --> 00:20:13,560
Speaker 4: They have eight different starting lineups through eleven games, so

474
00:20:14,080 --> 00:20:17,600
Speaker 4: just streams like Marty Simmons and Marty Simmons he was

475
00:20:17,640 --> 00:20:21,560
Speaker 4: at Evans Dol for years, ram a vintage slow motion offense.

476
00:20:21,720 --> 00:20:23,840
Speaker 4: He's beloved in the valley. Now this is like his

477
00:20:23,960 --> 00:20:27,280
Speaker 4: new reclamation project. But man, he is decades away from

478
00:20:27,280 --> 00:20:29,679
Speaker 4: getting a go in there and this just feels like such.

479
00:20:29,560 --> 00:20:31,560
Speaker 1: A throwaway decades. Oh decades. It's tough.

480
00:20:31,640 --> 00:20:32,479
Speaker 2: Yeah, he's gonna need some time.

481
00:20:32,840 --> 00:20:35,160
Speaker 1: I think this is the best blowout pick of the week.

482
00:20:35,440 --> 00:20:38,760
Speaker 1: So riding with Western Illinois on Saturday, all right, that

483
00:20:38,960 --> 00:20:42,879
Speaker 1: means it is time for power game of the week. Fellas,

484
00:20:42,960 --> 00:20:44,800
Speaker 1: It's all on Saturday this week. There it is a

485
00:20:44,880 --> 00:20:48,160
Speaker 1: quiet Wednesday, Thursday, Friday slate unless you're really into Villanova

486
00:20:48,160 --> 00:20:50,680
Speaker 1: at Creighton, but we're not sorry. I think Villanova bounce

487
00:20:50,760 --> 00:20:52,600
Speaker 1: is back big on that one on Friday. So we're

488
00:20:52,640 --> 00:20:56,359
Speaker 1: talking some neutral site showdowns on Saturday. We'll start with

489
00:20:56,480 --> 00:20:59,919
Speaker 1: Kentucky and Ohio State. This is in Las Vegas, Fellas.

490
00:21:00,119 --> 00:21:02,640
Speaker 1: Unfortunately I will not be able to attend. I will

491
00:21:02,840 --> 00:21:04,760
Speaker 1: be out of town this weekend. But man, the CBS

492
00:21:04,760 --> 00:21:07,080
Speaker 1: sports class that gives us the double header of Kentucky,

493
00:21:07,119 --> 00:21:11,080
Speaker 1: Ohio State, and UNCUCLA. We got Ohio State minus one

494
00:21:11,160 --> 00:21:14,520
Speaker 1: at Ken Palm. That's probably a decent estimation of the

495
00:21:14,560 --> 00:21:16,919
Speaker 1: spreadle though, I think Kentucky Big Blue Nation out here

496
00:21:17,000 --> 00:21:20,320
Speaker 1: betting could swing that over to the Wildcats as a favorite. Kay,

497
00:21:20,440 --> 00:21:23,280
Speaker 1: we're not happy with Kentucky after their performance in their name.

498
00:21:23,480 --> 00:21:24,960
Speaker 1: Do you think they get a big win on a

499
00:21:25,000 --> 00:21:26,479
Speaker 1: neutral site here before Christmas?

500
00:21:26,800 --> 00:21:29,000
Speaker 3: They need it. They have zero good wins. They really

501
00:21:29,080 --> 00:21:31,200
Speaker 3: need this win way more than Ohio State does. He's

502
00:21:31,240 --> 00:21:33,760
Speaker 3: racked up a few good wins already. Watching that Kentucky

503
00:21:33,800 --> 00:21:36,320
Speaker 3: game against Notre Dame, it gave me yucky flashbacks to

504
00:21:36,400 --> 00:21:39,440
Speaker 3: last season watching Kentucky when they were just so bad

505
00:21:39,520 --> 00:21:42,040
Speaker 3: and not your typical Kentucky team that they're two from

506
00:21:42,119 --> 00:21:45,439
Speaker 3: nineteen from three, but sixty four percent inside the arc,

507
00:21:45,600 --> 00:21:49,760
Speaker 3: which means you're settling for bad shots. You're playing stupid basketball. Unfortunately,

508
00:21:49,840 --> 00:21:52,760
Speaker 3: that's what Kentucky can do on offense. And Ohio State

509
00:21:52,880 --> 00:21:55,120
Speaker 3: is a team right now. It's playing extremely well even

510
00:21:55,160 --> 00:21:58,560
Speaker 3: without Justice suing the lineup. That's worrisome. Kentucky only scored

511
00:21:58,600 --> 00:22:01,080
Speaker 3: one point per possession against No. Names one hundred and

512
00:22:01,119 --> 00:22:04,520
Speaker 3: tenth ranked defense. Ohio State's much better defensively. My number

513
00:22:04,560 --> 00:22:06,840
Speaker 3: is probably going to in Kentucky, but Ohio State's the

514
00:22:06,920 --> 00:22:09,760
Speaker 3: way better team currently. Yeah, Aileen, Kentucky, I'm gonna take

515
00:22:09,800 --> 00:22:11,440
Speaker 3: Big Blue Nation here. I don't feel good about it.

516
00:22:11,560 --> 00:22:13,400
Speaker 3: Cal has lost like all faith in his bench. He's

517
00:22:13,440 --> 00:22:15,960
Speaker 3: playing like no bench guys. Rotation has been shrunk to

518
00:22:16,000 --> 00:22:18,199
Speaker 3: basically six and a half dudes, Jim, the matchup here

519
00:22:18,240 --> 00:22:20,240
Speaker 3: is all about he was aj Ladell And do we

520
00:22:20,320 --> 00:22:22,480
Speaker 3: think Kentucky has the horses to throw on him. It

521
00:22:22,480 --> 00:22:25,520
Speaker 3: seems like key On Brooks or Jacob Toppin probably draw

522
00:22:25,560 --> 00:22:28,040
Speaker 3: that assignment. Maybe Chewey gets a few looks here and there,

523
00:22:28,040 --> 00:22:30,720
Speaker 3: but I think Wadell's all too perimeter oriented to nimble

524
00:22:30,800 --> 00:22:33,240
Speaker 3: for to bring Cheway away from the basket there. I

525
00:22:33,400 --> 00:22:35,239
Speaker 3: just like Kentucky they had more experience playing in these

526
00:22:35,280 --> 00:22:37,280
Speaker 3: big games. And Kay, you mentioned the point on desperation.

527
00:22:37,359 --> 00:22:39,760
Speaker 3: They need this one badly. But I think Cale just

528
00:22:39,800 --> 00:22:41,840
Speaker 3: puts all the chips in and they get it done. Ladell,

529
00:22:41,960 --> 00:22:44,000
Speaker 3: so I was thinking, oh, yeah, Kentucky's got tons of athletes.

530
00:22:44,160 --> 00:22:47,199
Speaker 3: Ladell was fourteen and fourteen and six against Duke. I mean,

531
00:22:47,480 --> 00:22:50,040
Speaker 3: I think he just he does whatever he wants no

532
00:22:50,080 --> 00:22:50,399
Speaker 3: matter what.

533
00:22:50,600 --> 00:22:50,719
Speaker 1: Jim.

534
00:22:50,840 --> 00:22:51,840
Speaker 3: He's just awesome.

535
00:22:52,000 --> 00:22:54,160
Speaker 1: He's incredible. It might be the leader for National Player

536
00:22:54,160 --> 00:22:55,920
Speaker 1: of the Year right now. So yeah, I don't think

537
00:22:56,000 --> 00:22:58,280
Speaker 1: Kentucky will be stopping him. But I'm kind of with Matt.

538
00:22:58,400 --> 00:23:00,960
Speaker 1: Kentucky can't go the entire non coin with how a

539
00:23:01,000 --> 00:23:02,960
Speaker 1: big win feels like they're going to get it. So

540
00:23:03,240 --> 00:23:05,240
Speaker 1: I'll see, I'm gonna go straight to the other one

541
00:23:05,240 --> 00:23:07,040
Speaker 1: in that double header. Guys, we're gonna stay in Vegas.

542
00:23:07,359 --> 00:23:09,800
Speaker 1: Un C UCLA. We just talked to UCLA in the

543
00:23:09,840 --> 00:23:13,320
Speaker 1: blowout section. Maybe they're looking past Alabama State to see

544
00:23:13,320 --> 00:23:15,760
Speaker 1: this big North Carolina game coming up. But I don't know,

545
00:23:16,280 --> 00:23:18,520
Speaker 1: let's figure out what we think here. I mean, Leaky

546
00:23:18,600 --> 00:23:21,080
Speaker 1: Black is a pretty good matchup for Johnny jus A

547
00:23:21,200 --> 00:23:23,240
Speaker 1: and the shot making on the wing. Black has been

548
00:23:23,480 --> 00:23:26,280
Speaker 1: phenomenal as a as a wing stopper this year hasn't

549
00:23:26,320 --> 00:23:27,920
Speaker 1: been scoring, but they don't need him to with the

550
00:23:27,960 --> 00:23:30,160
Speaker 1: way Caleb Love and r J. Davis in that front

551
00:23:30,240 --> 00:23:33,000
Speaker 1: quarter playing Matt Do we think that the North Carolina

552
00:23:33,200 --> 00:23:37,320
Speaker 1: onslaught of Biggs with Manic and Baycott and Dawson Garcia?

553
00:23:37,520 --> 00:23:39,440
Speaker 1: Is that too much for UCLA, who might still have

554
00:23:39,520 --> 00:23:41,479
Speaker 1: a hampered Cody Riley here? All right?

555
00:23:41,560 --> 00:23:42,280
Speaker 2: Yeah, that's the key.

556
00:23:42,520 --> 00:23:42,840
Speaker 3: I don't know.

557
00:23:42,880 --> 00:23:46,359
Speaker 4: I'm still looking at UNC's offense and I'm actually growing

558
00:23:46,440 --> 00:23:48,400
Speaker 4: to like it a lot. Hubert Aris is playing two

559
00:23:48,400 --> 00:23:51,160
Speaker 4: point guards almost exclusively now with Caleb Love and RJ.

560
00:23:51,359 --> 00:23:53,200
Speaker 2: Davis are harmonious Kai.

561
00:23:53,480 --> 00:23:55,080
Speaker 4: How's that for a word? In the back court? I

562
00:23:55,359 --> 00:23:57,359
Speaker 4: like the part of their jib so far. Bigs are

563
00:23:57,440 --> 00:24:00,800
Speaker 4: very skilled, but defensively Jim Leaky Black outside of that,

564
00:24:00,920 --> 00:24:02,520
Speaker 4: who was defended at a high level so far from

565
00:24:02,600 --> 00:24:05,119
Speaker 4: UNC this year. I need to see some evidence of

566
00:24:05,200 --> 00:24:09,280
Speaker 4: another rim protector of as solid Acot's been fine, that's

567
00:24:09,359 --> 00:24:11,639
Speaker 4: fair Man, it's been okay and Garcia has been okay.

568
00:24:11,800 --> 00:24:13,600
Speaker 4: But just as an maybe, I guess Moore in the

569
00:24:13,600 --> 00:24:15,480
Speaker 4: back car where the defensive issues have fallen, just can't

570
00:24:15,480 --> 00:24:18,400
Speaker 4: stay in front of guys. And UCLA has multiple slashers

571
00:24:18,400 --> 00:24:20,560
Speaker 4: who will attack the rim. I mean, if there's a

572
00:24:20,640 --> 00:24:23,040
Speaker 4: guy who goes harder to the rim than mister Hakkez,

573
00:24:23,400 --> 00:24:25,240
Speaker 4: let me know that dude just loves to get to

574
00:24:25,280 --> 00:24:26,879
Speaker 4: the rim. I think there's multiple of those wings for

575
00:24:27,000 --> 00:24:29,000
Speaker 4: USULA that have big games. I like the Bruins here.

576
00:24:29,480 --> 00:24:31,159
Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm trying to get a pulse on you. And

577
00:24:31,240 --> 00:24:33,600
Speaker 3: see I gave up too early on them after the

578
00:24:33,640 --> 00:24:36,399
Speaker 3: Tennessee blowout because they really did hang with Purdue and

579
00:24:36,440 --> 00:24:38,760
Speaker 3: they had a chance to cover that game. They've moved

580
00:24:38,840 --> 00:24:41,280
Speaker 3: up twenty one spots since getting blown out by Tennessee.

581
00:24:41,440 --> 00:24:44,600
Speaker 3: In kim Hoom, Michigan and Georgia Tech have their own problems,

582
00:24:44,920 --> 00:24:48,320
Speaker 3: So maybe you caveat those big wins for UNC saying Okay,

583
00:24:48,440 --> 00:24:50,880
Speaker 3: those other teams are dealing with their own stuff. UNC

584
00:24:51,040 --> 00:24:52,560
Speaker 3: is still not that great. Not being able to get

585
00:24:52,560 --> 00:24:54,879
Speaker 3: away from Elon was maybe indicative of that. As I

586
00:24:54,920 --> 00:24:56,960
Speaker 3: said in a Blowout City section UCLA is just a

587
00:24:56,960 --> 00:24:59,400
Speaker 3: scary team to fade. They're just elite. I'm both endto

588
00:24:59,440 --> 00:25:01,159
Speaker 3: the floor. Can't say the about you and C. I

589
00:25:01,200 --> 00:25:04,119
Speaker 3: agree that UNC's defense outside of black just not that

590
00:25:04,280 --> 00:25:06,480
Speaker 3: great this year. It's really hard to trust them. And

591
00:25:06,480 --> 00:25:08,920
Speaker 3: if the spreads around four, I expect money to be

592
00:25:09,000 --> 00:25:11,360
Speaker 3: on UCLA. The spreads can definitely go up. I'm kind

593
00:25:11,400 --> 00:25:14,160
Speaker 3: of intowards the Bruins. I don't feel great about it, Jim,

594
00:25:14,280 --> 00:25:15,720
Speaker 3: but my gut is leaning.

595
00:25:16,200 --> 00:25:18,600
Speaker 1: Yeah. I'm guessing this is going to end up being

596
00:25:18,920 --> 00:25:22,080
Speaker 1: sort of anti market for me. Where steps in, it's

597
00:25:22,119 --> 00:25:23,920
Speaker 1: gonna get bet up and I would have to. I

598
00:25:24,000 --> 00:25:26,320
Speaker 1: would be told by my number to step in on

599
00:25:26,480 --> 00:25:28,080
Speaker 1: U and C, and I don't know if I want

600
00:25:28,119 --> 00:25:29,600
Speaker 1: to do that. I don't think it's going to be

601
00:25:29,680 --> 00:25:32,560
Speaker 1: like some crazy partisan crowd to UCLA, even though they

602
00:25:32,600 --> 00:25:34,639
Speaker 1: are out west here. I have a feeling you and

603
00:25:34,720 --> 00:25:37,960
Speaker 1: Ceviel have a decently strong fan contingent. But I don't

604
00:25:37,960 --> 00:25:39,440
Speaker 1: know if I'm going to push back against the market.

605
00:25:39,480 --> 00:25:41,000
Speaker 1: I do kind of like the match up for UCLA,

606
00:25:41,040 --> 00:25:43,280
Speaker 1: as these guys both mentioned, and I don't know, guys,

607
00:25:43,560 --> 00:25:46,639
Speaker 1: It's like we talked about this comparison to Iowa last year,

608
00:25:46,640 --> 00:25:48,080
Speaker 1: where it was a team that the public was super

609
00:25:48,160 --> 00:25:50,400
Speaker 1: high on entering the season. Yeah, we were a little

610
00:25:50,400 --> 00:25:52,480
Speaker 1: low around and then the season started like, oh yeah,

611
00:25:52,600 --> 00:25:54,760
Speaker 1: I don't want to fade that team. They're really really

612
00:25:54,840 --> 00:25:57,160
Speaker 1: good and they're scary and if you're wrong, you're dead

613
00:25:57,240 --> 00:25:59,879
Speaker 1: wrong when you're against them. So it's probably gonna end

614
00:25:59,920 --> 00:26:02,400
Speaker 1: up being a stay away from me. Let's go back

615
00:26:02,520 --> 00:26:04,600
Speaker 1: to the outline. Talk through a couple of these big

616
00:26:04,720 --> 00:26:08,760
Speaker 1: games from Phoenix on Saturday, another neutral site showcase, Texas

617
00:26:08,840 --> 00:26:11,840
Speaker 1: Tech and Gonzaga. Oh boy, this is a big one.

618
00:26:11,920 --> 00:26:15,159
Speaker 1: Gonzaga has lost two straight big games, dropped one in

619
00:26:15,280 --> 00:26:17,840
Speaker 1: Seattle to Alabama and then lost to Duke in Vegas.

620
00:26:17,880 --> 00:26:21,560
Speaker 1: Actually vice versa chronological order. Do they get back on

621
00:26:21,760 --> 00:26:24,639
Speaker 1: track now against Texas Tech? Mark Adams and the Boys, Kai,

622
00:26:24,640 --> 00:26:26,680
Speaker 1: I'm going to go to you first here. It seems

623
00:26:26,720 --> 00:26:28,680
Speaker 1: like Texas Tech's a little more willing to run this

624
00:26:28,800 --> 00:26:30,600
Speaker 1: year than they've been in the Crisp Beard days. Not

625
00:26:30,920 --> 00:26:33,520
Speaker 1: an up tempo team, but if they start to run

626
00:26:33,560 --> 00:26:35,400
Speaker 1: a little bit with Gonzaga, that's where I think they're

627
00:26:35,400 --> 00:26:38,399
Speaker 1: gonna get in big, big trouble. Gonzaga transition attack is

628
00:26:38,560 --> 00:26:39,639
Speaker 1: nothing to be trifled with.

629
00:26:39,840 --> 00:26:42,160
Speaker 3: Yeah, and I'm throwing out that Tennessee game. I think

630
00:26:42,200 --> 00:26:44,880
Speaker 3: Texas Tech's very good. That Fluke shooting on both ends

631
00:26:45,119 --> 00:26:47,720
Speaker 3: was just that, a fluke text on an all year

632
00:26:47,760 --> 00:26:51,320
Speaker 3: with physicality, rebounding, getting the line, attacking the basket. I

633
00:26:51,359 --> 00:26:53,760
Speaker 3: think that's a tough way to beat Gonzaga. Matt they're huge,

634
00:26:53,840 --> 00:26:55,800
Speaker 3: they have a lot of length. Sure they're skinny, but

635
00:26:56,000 --> 00:26:58,680
Speaker 3: we all know Cheed Holmgren can block anything within a

636
00:26:58,880 --> 00:27:01,199
Speaker 3: five mile radius of the arms. That's a tough way

637
00:27:01,240 --> 00:27:03,840
Speaker 3: to beat the Zags in a neutral site. Five point

638
00:27:03,880 --> 00:27:06,200
Speaker 3: spread ish probably gonna be more than that in the market,

639
00:27:06,400 --> 00:27:07,640
Speaker 3: and a team like Kenzaga.

640
00:27:07,280 --> 00:27:09,359
Speaker 1: Who can hope it's not I hope it's five.

641
00:27:09,520 --> 00:27:12,000
Speaker 3: Yeah, it'd be great if it's five because I taken Zaga.

642
00:27:12,480 --> 00:27:15,440
Speaker 3: You can shoot. Their numbers aren't great from outside, but

643
00:27:15,520 --> 00:27:17,800
Speaker 3: they can shoot. I have tex Tech packs in a

644
00:27:17,840 --> 00:27:20,720
Speaker 3: little bit more under Rock Adams. That's going to deter Timmy,

645
00:27:20,760 --> 00:27:22,359
Speaker 3: but I think there's enough there for Gonzaga to get

646
00:27:22,400 --> 00:27:23,240
Speaker 3: this cover. Yeah.

647
00:27:23,280 --> 00:27:24,119
Speaker 2: I like Gonzaga a lot.

648
00:27:24,520 --> 00:27:27,679
Speaker 4: The packed in defense doesn't bode well for like Gonzaga's

649
00:27:27,760 --> 00:27:29,840
Speaker 4: spread out cutting action, which is where they get so

650
00:27:29,880 --> 00:27:32,800
Speaker 4: many easy layups. But I think they can score inside

651
00:27:32,840 --> 00:27:35,320
Speaker 4: and play through Timmy without a ton of resistance, similar

652
00:27:35,359 --> 00:27:37,800
Speaker 4: to what we saw them do against Texas up front.

653
00:27:37,880 --> 00:27:41,679
Speaker 4: I don't fully buy into Texas Tech's interior defensive strength

654
00:27:41,760 --> 00:27:43,639
Speaker 4: quite yet. It's been decent so far, but they really

655
00:27:43,640 --> 00:27:45,919
Speaker 4: haven't been tested outside of the Providence game, which they

656
00:27:45,960 --> 00:27:47,679
Speaker 4: did lose. I like the Zags for Jim. I think

657
00:27:47,720 --> 00:27:49,840
Speaker 4: they need that win, similar to the Kentucky narrative. It's

658
00:27:49,880 --> 00:27:51,280
Speaker 4: just this feels like a spot where they play well.

659
00:27:51,440 --> 00:27:54,639
Speaker 1: Yeah, the recent memory of Gonzaga with everybody, Wow, they

660
00:27:54,680 --> 00:27:58,320
Speaker 1: lost twice neutral ish site games. I think both those teams,

661
00:27:58,359 --> 00:28:02,240
Speaker 1: Alabama and Duke exposed their wing perimeter defense. Guys really

662
00:28:02,280 --> 00:28:04,880
Speaker 1: can get into the lane off the dribble. Maybe Shannon

663
00:28:04,960 --> 00:28:07,080
Speaker 1: and mccullor can do that here, but I don't think

664
00:28:07,080 --> 00:28:08,960
Speaker 1: they can do it to the same degree of effectiveness.

665
00:28:09,160 --> 00:28:11,560
Speaker 1: I'm definitely a Zag guy in this one. I think

666
00:28:11,600 --> 00:28:12,800
Speaker 1: they went by ten plus.

667
00:28:12,760 --> 00:28:15,080
Speaker 4: And they'll be off by I think ten days coming

668
00:28:15,080 --> 00:28:16,960
Speaker 4: out of this one as well, so plenty of time

669
00:28:17,040 --> 00:28:18,240
Speaker 4: to get prepared and get hyped.

670
00:28:18,359 --> 00:28:20,040
Speaker 1: All right, last one, we're going to talk about here.

671
00:28:20,160 --> 00:28:22,960
Speaker 1: We can't go a pod without talking about Memphis and

672
00:28:23,080 --> 00:28:26,200
Speaker 1: the disaster area that is the Tigers. They're playing Tennessee

673
00:28:26,359 --> 00:28:29,920
Speaker 1: in Nashville now again, they're playing after we are recording this.

674
00:28:30,000 --> 00:28:32,240
Speaker 1: They've got the big Tuesday night game with Alabama, so

675
00:28:32,280 --> 00:28:34,440
Speaker 1: we don't know what's happening there. But this game is

676
00:28:34,520 --> 00:28:38,240
Speaker 1: usually ugly. It is usually a war, especially once since

677
00:28:38,280 --> 00:28:40,920
Speaker 1: Barnes has gotten there. The Barnes hardaway games have been gross,

678
00:28:41,080 --> 00:28:43,280
Speaker 1: like really low scoring. I could definitely see this one

679
00:28:43,360 --> 00:28:44,440
Speaker 1: being a brawl.

680
00:28:44,520 --> 00:28:44,720
Speaker 3: Matt.

681
00:28:44,760 --> 00:28:46,479
Speaker 1: I kind of like the under again too.

682
00:28:46,520 --> 00:28:47,400
Speaker 2: I like Tennessee more.

683
00:28:47,480 --> 00:28:50,080
Speaker 4: I think Memphis just gifts the ball to Tennessee. And

684
00:28:50,120 --> 00:28:52,320
Speaker 4: I mean, it'sis this season right, it is Christmas time

685
00:28:52,400 --> 00:28:54,920
Speaker 4: and Hanaklorkwon's or whatever you're celebrating out there, Matt.

686
00:28:54,920 --> 00:28:57,080
Speaker 1: Do you know what Tennessee's ranked and ken Pom's adjusted

687
00:28:57,120 --> 00:28:58,120
Speaker 1: defensive efficiency?

688
00:28:58,280 --> 00:29:01,160
Speaker 2: I add one two three one one. It's a good

689
00:29:01,200 --> 00:29:01,719
Speaker 2: defense him.

690
00:29:01,760 --> 00:29:03,440
Speaker 4: And they also turning over this year too. That's not

691
00:29:03,560 --> 00:29:05,560
Speaker 4: just like a sit back and guard you. They're getting

692
00:29:05,560 --> 00:29:07,640
Speaker 4: out their pressure a little bit. They're so long, they

693
00:29:07,760 --> 00:29:11,760
Speaker 4: have those anticipatory instincts. And Memphis hasn't valued to possession

694
00:29:11,840 --> 00:29:14,880
Speaker 4: since like twenty fifteen, So I like the balls here

695
00:29:15,040 --> 00:29:15,800
Speaker 4: well the last.

696
00:29:15,680 --> 00:29:18,880
Speaker 3: Two games Texas Tech that gross game in the Greensborough

697
00:29:18,880 --> 00:29:21,440
Speaker 3: game where they all thirty six points, certainly helping those

698
00:29:21,480 --> 00:29:25,000
Speaker 3: defensive numbers. Yeah, I would say, watch how Memphis fares

699
00:29:25,040 --> 00:29:28,200
Speaker 3: against Alabama. If they bounce back and win that game,

700
00:29:28,640 --> 00:29:32,080
Speaker 3: this spread will be around six. If they lose against Bama,

701
00:29:32,360 --> 00:29:34,800
Speaker 3: I could see this spread getting up into double digits

702
00:29:34,840 --> 00:29:37,320
Speaker 3: for Tennessee. And if that's the case, I'm not sure

703
00:29:37,520 --> 00:29:39,959
Speaker 3: which way I'd punched. To be honest, Memphis clearly has

704
00:29:40,000 --> 00:29:43,120
Speaker 3: around problems. It's funny. Jim DeAndre Williams, Lester Kenonas and

705
00:29:43,280 --> 00:29:46,400
Speaker 3: Landers Nally are clearly the jealous upperclassmen that Penny threw

706
00:29:46,480 --> 00:29:48,640
Speaker 3: under the bus a couple of weeks ago. Didn't start,

707
00:29:48,680 --> 00:29:51,600
Speaker 3: didn't play many minutes. This team's chemistry is just bonkers

708
00:29:51,680 --> 00:29:53,440
Speaker 3: right now. I don't know how you can lean them

709
00:29:53,800 --> 00:29:57,040
Speaker 3: in any matchup until they show some sort of improvement.

710
00:29:56,760 --> 00:29:59,240
Speaker 4: Like Tyler Harris is carrying this team at times, not all.

711
00:29:59,320 --> 00:30:01,680
Speaker 4: We signed up for Memphis preseason so that you can't.

712
00:30:01,680 --> 00:30:03,920
Speaker 4: You have to reframe your priors completely at this point.

713
00:30:04,160 --> 00:30:06,760
Speaker 1: I should mention I said the under has been strong here. Well,

714
00:30:07,200 --> 00:30:08,880
Speaker 1: the last time they played it was fifty one to

715
00:30:08,960 --> 00:30:11,600
Speaker 1: forty seven on sixty six possessions. But the time before

716
00:30:11,640 --> 00:30:13,560
Speaker 1: that was one hundred and two to ninety two Penny's

717
00:30:13,600 --> 00:30:16,320
Speaker 1: first year Memphis, they played a complete track meeting.

718
00:30:16,400 --> 00:30:16,840
Speaker 3: Not remember that.

719
00:30:17,040 --> 00:30:19,120
Speaker 1: I think there was like a million fouls in that game,

720
00:30:19,160 --> 00:30:21,600
Speaker 1: if I recall correctly, a ton of free throws taking sounds.

721
00:30:21,880 --> 00:30:24,600
Speaker 1: I think that twenty nineteen to twenty season matchup where

722
00:30:24,600 --> 00:30:27,400
Speaker 1: it was fifty forty seven is the more indicative matchup

723
00:30:27,560 --> 00:30:29,000
Speaker 1: and how this one will play out as well.

724
00:30:29,200 --> 00:30:31,680
Speaker 3: Jim Tennessey took forty six free throws in that game.

725
00:30:31,960 --> 00:30:33,000
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean that's insane.

726
00:30:33,800 --> 00:30:35,640
Speaker 3: They made thirty nine thirty nine of there.

727
00:30:35,600 --> 00:30:38,960
Speaker 1: One hundred and two points. Whatever, ridiculous game. That's it

728
00:30:39,040 --> 00:30:40,840
Speaker 1: for power game of the week. Let's go to the

729
00:30:40,920 --> 00:30:43,120
Speaker 1: mid major game of the week. Spotlight a couple here.

730
00:30:43,600 --> 00:30:46,920
Speaker 1: Mid Major game of the week Chattanooga at Belmont Wednesday night.

731
00:30:47,000 --> 00:30:49,480
Speaker 1: That's what we're starting with. That's the headliner, potentially the

732
00:30:49,520 --> 00:30:51,600
Speaker 1: best team of the SoCon versus the best team in

733
00:30:51,640 --> 00:30:52,200
Speaker 1: the OVC.

734
00:30:52,800 --> 00:30:54,520
Speaker 3: Matt, what are you looking at like Belmont.

735
00:30:55,040 --> 00:30:57,240
Speaker 4: NUGA has been great, and I think we need to

736
00:30:57,360 --> 00:30:59,720
Speaker 4: pay an ode to Silvia Desusa. You could ride a

737
00:30:59,760 --> 00:31:02,240
Speaker 4: three at thirty about his college career, from the Kansas

738
00:31:02,320 --> 00:31:06,120
Speaker 4: debacle to the FBI thing, to the WWE wrestling moment,

739
00:31:06,240 --> 00:31:08,920
Speaker 4: and now he's having a resurrection. He's been awesome for NUGA.

740
00:31:09,040 --> 00:31:11,520
Speaker 4: He's a legit force up front. He's key to stopping

741
00:31:11,560 --> 00:31:15,040
Speaker 4: Belmont's interior anchor and Nick Mazinski. I still like Belmont,

742
00:31:15,080 --> 00:31:16,600
Speaker 4: though I think they get a lot of back doors,

743
00:31:16,600 --> 00:31:18,920
Speaker 4: a lot of those get Zaga type of cut layups

744
00:31:19,120 --> 00:31:20,760
Speaker 4: that's hard to prepare for if you're not playing with it.

745
00:31:20,840 --> 00:31:23,640
Speaker 4: Even though NUGA is well coached, Belmont at large still

746
00:31:23,680 --> 00:31:27,200
Speaker 4: in play, probably the undefeated Ohio Valley, but neutral wins.

747
00:31:27,280 --> 00:31:30,600
Speaker 3: I own a drake, they want it. Slew Solid. Probably

748
00:31:30,680 --> 00:31:33,080
Speaker 3: need something else here. This to go a long way,

749
00:31:33,240 --> 00:31:35,760
Speaker 3: but Chattanooga's really good man one of the best offensive

750
00:31:35,800 --> 00:31:38,760
Speaker 3: rebind teams in the country. Just an all out grinding

751
00:31:38,880 --> 00:31:41,400
Speaker 3: style right now, the third slowest team in the country.

752
00:31:41,880 --> 00:31:44,560
Speaker 3: Usually the slower team wins the pace battle here. Bellmont

753
00:31:44,680 --> 00:31:46,720
Speaker 3: might not get sucked in because they are so well coached,

754
00:31:46,720 --> 00:31:49,680
Speaker 3: but I tend to think Nuga pushed it more towards

755
00:31:49,680 --> 00:31:52,680
Speaker 3: slow ver fast, and seven for that reason is way

756
00:31:52,680 --> 00:31:54,800
Speaker 3: too much for me. I will be on Yuga.

757
00:31:55,360 --> 00:31:57,560
Speaker 1: Yeah, if it's seven, I'll be on NUGA as well.

758
00:31:57,880 --> 00:32:00,800
Speaker 1: Having two like legitimate star shot making guards in John

759
00:32:00,840 --> 00:32:04,440
Speaker 1: Baptiste and Malachi Smith, that's massive for a game that

760
00:32:04,520 --> 00:32:05,840
Speaker 1: I think is going to be close late they can

761
00:32:05,880 --> 00:32:08,120
Speaker 1: get buggets if they need to, just too many. I

762
00:32:08,160 --> 00:32:10,240
Speaker 1: think these teams are closer to equal than the Ken

763
00:32:10,280 --> 00:32:14,320
Speaker 1: pump spread indicates, so lean towards the mos. Two others

764
00:32:14,640 --> 00:32:17,600
Speaker 1: to mention here, South Dakota State at Missouri State. Matt

765
00:32:17,880 --> 00:32:20,320
Speaker 1: not a finished product yet. With Missouri State, they're still

766
00:32:20,320 --> 00:32:22,720
Speaker 1: waiting on getting their point guard back to Marcus Sharp.

767
00:32:22,800 --> 00:32:24,920
Speaker 1: Big Man gage Prim has been dealing with injury. We

768
00:32:25,040 --> 00:32:27,200
Speaker 1: got the jack Bunnies to win at Washington State. Do

769
00:32:27,280 --> 00:32:29,200
Speaker 1: they get another road one here against the Bears.

770
00:32:29,440 --> 00:32:31,440
Speaker 4: I like the Bears and going back to back home

771
00:32:31,760 --> 00:32:35,120
Speaker 4: spots and these been majors. Gage Prem should be healthier

772
00:32:35,200 --> 00:32:36,720
Speaker 4: not the right word. He was under the weather, so

773
00:32:36,760 --> 00:32:39,280
Speaker 4: he should be recovering from that. Should play more minutes

774
00:32:39,480 --> 00:32:41,320
Speaker 4: and they can play through him. I don't think South

775
00:32:41,360 --> 00:32:43,440
Speaker 4: goes A is a good answer for mister Primp.

776
00:32:43,800 --> 00:32:44,479
Speaker 2: I like the Bears.

777
00:32:44,800 --> 00:32:47,400
Speaker 3: Yeah, Gage Prim could definitely dominate this matchup. I'd love

778
00:32:47,480 --> 00:32:49,800
Speaker 3: me some jack Buddies overall the second best three point

779
00:32:49,840 --> 00:32:52,480
Speaker 3: percentage in the country. But their defense is so bad.

780
00:32:53,000 --> 00:32:55,080
Speaker 3: That's how they can lose flup games like we saw

781
00:32:55,080 --> 00:32:58,680
Speaker 3: against Idaho. Not athletes Pravier and m put up ninety

782
00:32:58,920 --> 00:33:01,480
Speaker 3: Idaho put up like ninety eight points. Their defense is

783
00:33:01,520 --> 00:33:04,360
Speaker 3: bad and gauge Prim is going to basically whatever he

784
00:33:04,400 --> 00:33:06,440
Speaker 3: wants here now. South Dakota State's going to range uples

785
00:33:06,440 --> 00:33:08,360
Speaker 3: to Jim Douglas. Wilson has a lot of mobility. It's

786
00:33:08,360 --> 00:33:10,200
Speaker 3: a tough matchup. I think the over is the best

787
00:33:10,240 --> 00:33:12,320
Speaker 3: play in this matchup. I I'll probably be on the over.

788
00:33:12,760 --> 00:33:15,080
Speaker 1: It's going to be so efficient, Like both teams are

789
00:33:15,120 --> 00:33:17,600
Speaker 1: going to be able to get what they want offensively,

790
00:33:17,800 --> 00:33:19,960
Speaker 1: Tempo's gonna be strggle on. Missouri State wants to slow

791
00:33:20,000 --> 00:33:22,440
Speaker 1: it a little more than South Dakota State does. But yeah,

792
00:33:22,560 --> 00:33:25,560
Speaker 1: if Prim is like back to himself, then I would

793
00:33:25,600 --> 00:33:27,960
Speaker 1: lean towards Missouri State. Otherwise it would be stay away

794
00:33:27,960 --> 00:33:31,640
Speaker 1: from me, all right. Last one, Marshall at Ohio, Ohio

795
00:33:31,760 --> 00:33:34,360
Speaker 1: did beat Belmont earlier this season in the season opener.

796
00:33:34,480 --> 00:33:36,840
Speaker 1: That's going to be maybe a foreign in the Belmont

797
00:33:36,880 --> 00:33:40,640
Speaker 1: at large side there, Marshall, get up and down, run

798
00:33:40,720 --> 00:33:42,640
Speaker 1: a lot, kydi. You think they turn this into the

799
00:33:42,680 --> 00:33:44,480
Speaker 1: track meat that they want and are able to take

800
00:33:44,480 --> 00:33:47,040
Speaker 1: out an Ohio team that has zero depth right now?

801
00:33:47,320 --> 00:33:49,720
Speaker 3: Yeah, let's look at Marshall real quick. I thought they

802
00:33:49,760 --> 00:33:51,920
Speaker 3: were Jekyll and Hyde coming in, Matt. They might just

803
00:33:52,000 --> 00:33:54,920
Speaker 3: be actually kind of, I don't think so, I don't go.

804
00:33:55,320 --> 00:33:57,520
Speaker 3: Let's look at They beat Right State? Okay, is Right

805
00:33:57,560 --> 00:33:59,600
Speaker 3: State good? They lost to Campbell. They took care of

806
00:33:59,800 --> 00:34:02,720
Speaker 3: Louis Louisiana's hurt like crazyair. They hung with I you

807
00:34:02,800 --> 00:34:05,440
Speaker 3: and Akron not bad, barely beat Duquine that's bad. Took

808
00:34:05,480 --> 00:34:07,440
Speaker 3: care of Eastern Kentucky on the road, Okay, pretty good.

809
00:34:07,560 --> 00:34:09,000
Speaker 3: So it is kind of a jaqul and high team.

810
00:34:09,080 --> 00:34:13,000
Speaker 3: I would lean towards underachieved there versus overachieved. And Ohio

811
00:34:13,120 --> 00:34:15,680
Speaker 3: is certainly a team that you cannot play poor against

812
00:34:15,719 --> 00:34:18,840
Speaker 3: because they still have the awesome guards and sears. Mcday

813
00:34:18,880 --> 00:34:20,880
Speaker 3: probably out of this game still, and they have awesome

814
00:34:20,920 --> 00:34:24,040
Speaker 3: big guys in Carter and vander Plass. Now Having said that,

815
00:34:24,239 --> 00:34:26,799
Speaker 3: Marshall has a huge advantage inside without Dwight Wilson Wright

816
00:34:26,880 --> 00:34:29,839
Speaker 3: Wilson's he I would think he'd be healthy eventually here.

817
00:34:29,840 --> 00:34:31,120
Speaker 3: I don't know what he's at with to be honest,

818
00:34:31,280 --> 00:34:34,200
Speaker 3: it's been the entire season so far for him. If

819
00:34:34,239 --> 00:34:36,520
Speaker 3: you would be magically appeared in this game, I would

820
00:34:36,560 --> 00:34:39,040
Speaker 3: love Ohio without him probably sitting on the fence.

821
00:34:39,360 --> 00:34:41,319
Speaker 4: Yeah, how is interior defense is sort of a seed

822
00:34:41,440 --> 00:34:43,360
Speaker 4: right now and I think SIV excuse me, and I

823
00:34:43,440 --> 00:34:46,480
Speaker 4: think Marshall attacks it. It's just weird to see in Marshall,

824
00:34:46,600 --> 00:34:49,040
Speaker 4: who we all associate with John Marshall and the three

825
00:34:49,120 --> 00:34:52,080
Speaker 4: point bombing thundering herd of the install a tournament glory

826
00:34:52,160 --> 00:34:53,840
Speaker 4: years when they bet Wichita State, and this is a

827
00:34:53,880 --> 00:34:58,080
Speaker 4: different John and John John Olmer, sorry John Marshalls place

828
00:34:58,160 --> 00:34:58,600
Speaker 4: for Marshall.

829
00:34:58,640 --> 00:35:01,040
Speaker 1: It's like he was so good there they just called

830
00:35:01,080 --> 00:35:01,880
Speaker 1: him Johnny Marshall.

831
00:35:03,320 --> 00:35:05,480
Speaker 4: I wish we didn't see more at Elmore on that team,

832
00:35:05,520 --> 00:35:07,279
Speaker 4: but that's neither here nor there. I think Marshall has

833
00:35:07,280 --> 00:35:09,160
Speaker 4: a big size advantage up front, and kai you went

834
00:35:09,200 --> 00:35:11,719
Speaker 4: through that resume, I put more stock in some of

835
00:35:11,760 --> 00:35:14,760
Speaker 4: those close efforts against good teams very impressed against Indiana,

836
00:35:14,880 --> 00:35:16,319
Speaker 4: to be honest, So I like this team.

837
00:35:16,560 --> 00:35:18,239
Speaker 1: Yeah, I said in the beginning of the year, I

838
00:35:18,280 --> 00:35:20,600
Speaker 1: think Marshall's a guard away, but the problem is they're

839
00:35:20,640 --> 00:35:22,239
Speaker 1: just not. Their response to that is, well, we just

840
00:35:22,239 --> 00:35:23,880
Speaker 1: won't take our two good guards off the court. We

841
00:35:23,920 --> 00:35:25,839
Speaker 1: don't need a third guard if our top two play

842
00:35:25,920 --> 00:35:27,840
Speaker 1: all forty minutes. And that's basically what they're doing with

843
00:35:27,920 --> 00:35:30,200
Speaker 1: Kinsey and Andrew Taylor, and it's worked out pretty well

844
00:35:30,239 --> 00:35:32,080
Speaker 1: for him. So yeah, I have no take here. I

845
00:35:32,120 --> 00:35:34,320
Speaker 1: think maybe without mcday would lean towards Marshall as the

846
00:35:34,400 --> 00:35:36,719
Speaker 1: road dog, but nothing crazy strong.

847
00:35:37,120 --> 00:35:40,600
Speaker 3: The trash man pick of the week. I'm the trash man.

848
00:35:40,960 --> 00:35:41,960
Speaker 1: Just throw me the trash.

849
00:35:42,200 --> 00:35:43,840
Speaker 3: You're garbage, and you know it.

850
00:35:44,320 --> 00:35:46,480
Speaker 2: Totally unreliable, undependable.

851
00:35:46,520 --> 00:35:47,000
Speaker 3: That's it.

852
00:35:47,120 --> 00:35:47,759
Speaker 1: You've been told off.

853
00:35:47,800 --> 00:35:49,040
Speaker 3: How do you like that? Good?

854
00:35:49,520 --> 00:35:51,840
Speaker 1: The old trash man, he's coming and he is taking

855
00:35:51,880 --> 00:35:54,920
Speaker 1: a look at at cal State Bakersfield, at Abilene Christian

856
00:35:55,080 --> 00:35:56,960
Speaker 1: This is Wednesday. Actually, I don't know which of you

857
00:35:57,080 --> 00:36:00,359
Speaker 1: did the extensive prep for this one. So okay, here's

858
00:36:00,440 --> 00:36:02,320
Speaker 1: why this game is disgusting.

859
00:36:02,160 --> 00:36:04,080
Speaker 4: A little bit scarred because I had Prairie of you

860
00:36:04,239 --> 00:36:06,879
Speaker 4: pretty big at Boise and that turned into a free

861
00:36:06,960 --> 00:36:09,560
Speaker 4: throwth on a lopsided one way for your throwth on

862
00:36:09,640 --> 00:36:11,759
Speaker 4: which prayer of you got vis rated in a death

863
00:36:11,800 --> 00:36:13,799
Speaker 4: by a thousand paper cuts. And I think this game

864
00:36:13,840 --> 00:36:17,320
Speaker 4: gives me very similar deja vu juju vibes. Both teams

865
00:36:17,440 --> 00:36:20,520
Speaker 4: Bakersfield shake and bake as we call them, and ACU

866
00:36:20,920 --> 00:36:24,319
Speaker 4: they pressure, they foul, and both teams are terrible free

867
00:36:24,360 --> 00:36:27,759
Speaker 4: throw shooters, especially Bakersfield absolutely horrible. Last few games for

868
00:36:27,840 --> 00:36:31,120
Speaker 4: Bakersfield kai sixty one possessions and fifty nine possessions, forty

869
00:36:31,160 --> 00:36:33,480
Speaker 4: six thirty nine win at Boise and a fifty nine

870
00:36:33,560 --> 00:36:35,040
Speaker 4: to fifty eight win over Idaho.

871
00:36:35,160 --> 00:36:35,800
Speaker 3: This is gross.

872
00:36:35,960 --> 00:36:38,359
Speaker 2: Don't watch it. I like the under done Yeah, thanks.

873
00:36:38,520 --> 00:36:42,640
Speaker 3: I love applein Christian This team in general, there's awesome.

874
00:36:42,640 --> 00:36:44,319
Speaker 2: They're fun, They're little bit they're fun.

875
00:36:44,600 --> 00:36:46,160
Speaker 3: I don't know how they do it, but keep doing it,

876
00:36:46,400 --> 00:36:47,520
Speaker 3: and I'm going to keep writing them.

877
00:36:47,719 --> 00:36:50,520
Speaker 1: Yeah, I've just been I was like, oh, without Golding

878
00:36:50,880 --> 00:36:52,920
Speaker 1: and the big guys, the post threats still regress a

879
00:36:52,920 --> 00:36:55,279
Speaker 1: little bit. Nope, this team rules, it will continue giving

880
00:36:55,320 --> 00:36:56,160
Speaker 1: Bakersfield problems.

881
00:36:56,280 --> 00:36:56,360
Speaker 3: Right.

882
00:36:56,400 --> 00:36:58,560
Speaker 1: The other one I just don't even want to talk

883
00:36:58,560 --> 00:37:02,360
Speaker 1: about it long Chicago State and II, this is disgusting.

884
00:37:03,080 --> 00:37:05,200
Speaker 1: Do you guys know how many games iupui has gone

885
00:37:05,239 --> 00:37:06,239
Speaker 1: over the total this year?

886
00:37:06,440 --> 00:37:06,680
Speaker 3: Zero?

887
00:37:07,000 --> 00:37:09,800
Speaker 1: It is zero. Their games have had like one hundred

888
00:37:09,840 --> 00:37:12,840
Speaker 1: and four points basically every time out. Iupui has not

889
00:37:13,000 --> 00:37:15,719
Speaker 1: scored sixty points in a game this season. They've only

890
00:37:15,760 --> 00:37:19,040
Speaker 1: broken fifty twice. That offense is the worst in the country.

891
00:37:19,360 --> 00:37:22,200
Speaker 1: And now they're playing Chicago State. How is IUPUI favored

892
00:37:22,200 --> 00:37:22,680
Speaker 1: over anybody?

893
00:37:22,760 --> 00:37:26,000
Speaker 3: Yeah, Kemp Thom's got a three, Chicago State's the better side.

894
00:37:26,080 --> 00:37:28,240
Speaker 3: Probably IEPI might be the worst team in the country.

895
00:37:28,400 --> 00:37:30,920
Speaker 3: I say that without hyperbole, just washing them play just

896
00:37:31,120 --> 00:37:34,080
Speaker 3: absolutely brutal. They do not look like Division one players

897
00:37:34,160 --> 00:37:36,960
Speaker 3: on offense. That is how bad Iepui is. We could

898
00:37:36,960 --> 00:37:38,959
Speaker 3: get out there and function just fine.

899
00:37:39,280 --> 00:37:42,000
Speaker 1: They make Memphis look prudent and smart with the ball,

900
00:37:42,440 --> 00:37:45,040
Speaker 1: that's how bad they are offense. My one worry about

901
00:37:45,360 --> 00:37:48,280
Speaker 1: totally in here. Chicago State North Illinois had over fifty

902
00:37:48,400 --> 00:37:51,840
Speaker 1: fouls called in that game. Chicago States certainly fouls. I

903
00:37:51,880 --> 00:37:55,040
Speaker 1: don't know iupis tendancy necessarily. I'm just saying that is

904
00:37:55,120 --> 00:37:57,560
Speaker 1: a great another coal in the fire for trash Man

905
00:37:57,600 --> 00:37:59,359
Speaker 1: pick of the week. If you're looking to bet this game,

906
00:37:59,480 --> 00:38:01,799
Speaker 1: god bless you, but uh, I might just stay far,

907
00:38:01,840 --> 00:38:04,000
Speaker 1: far away. Yeah, if you watch this game, you're gross.

908
00:38:04,120 --> 00:38:05,879
Speaker 3: I watch it. It's really frustrating watching.

909
00:38:06,080 --> 00:38:07,920
Speaker 4: You're a bigger degenerate than we are. And actually, hey,

910
00:38:08,000 --> 00:38:10,520
Speaker 4: we should commend that. We should encourage such should we

911
00:38:10,560 --> 00:38:11,560
Speaker 4: should we should commend it.

912
00:38:13,880 --> 00:38:16,359
Speaker 1: All right, let's get to our spotlight section. Wrapped this up.

913
00:38:16,480 --> 00:38:19,880
Speaker 1: I mentioned we're going to talk non traditional at large candidates.

914
00:38:19,920 --> 00:38:22,919
Speaker 1: I want to get to three, specifically guys before we talk.

915
00:38:22,960 --> 00:38:26,680
Speaker 1: A couple weird schedule spots. First, UAB is hosting West

916
00:38:26,760 --> 00:38:29,440
Speaker 1: Virginia on Saturday, and Matt, I don't know if you've

917
00:38:29,480 --> 00:38:30,960
Speaker 1: looked at this yet, but I want you to guess

918
00:38:31,000 --> 00:38:31,879
Speaker 1: what Ken Pound has.

919
00:38:31,840 --> 00:38:34,719
Speaker 4: The line West Virginia minus ten.

920
00:38:35,520 --> 00:38:37,080
Speaker 3: Wait what, I bet it's a pick?

921
00:38:37,239 --> 00:38:38,920
Speaker 4: Oh sorry, u AB hosting, I'm sorry you. I be

922
00:38:38,960 --> 00:38:41,680
Speaker 4: hosting West Virginia minus four three.

923
00:38:41,880 --> 00:38:44,600
Speaker 1: It's UAB minus four on kempum jesus.

924
00:38:45,120 --> 00:38:46,480
Speaker 3: Yeah, really they might be.

925
00:38:46,520 --> 00:38:49,400
Speaker 1: The better team, guys. West Virginia has not been this year.

926
00:38:49,440 --> 00:38:52,920
Speaker 1: Their offense is broken and disjointed. They don't have a creator.

927
00:38:53,120 --> 00:38:55,279
Speaker 1: This is our worry when Miles McBride left that no

928
00:38:55,320 --> 00:38:58,200
Speaker 1: one's making the shots for Tad Sherman and Seohn McNeil anymore.

929
00:38:58,360 --> 00:39:00,839
Speaker 1: They don't have a post up threat without and UAB

930
00:39:01,000 --> 00:39:02,920
Speaker 1: is going to pressure the crap out of them. With

931
00:39:03,320 --> 00:39:06,080
Speaker 1: them needing this win, Kai to get on an at

932
00:39:06,200 --> 00:39:08,239
Speaker 1: large radar. I really like you AB here.

933
00:39:08,520 --> 00:39:10,759
Speaker 3: If it's four, I'm taking West Virginia for sure, and

934
00:39:10,880 --> 00:39:12,719
Speaker 3: I'll be head to ahead with you. Oh come on,

935
00:39:12,840 --> 00:39:14,719
Speaker 3: you can't take you AB minus four here, No way,

936
00:39:15,200 --> 00:39:16,920
Speaker 3: there's gonna be one hundred turnovers in this game.

937
00:39:17,160 --> 00:39:18,319
Speaker 2: Yeah, that's gonna be a gross game.

938
00:39:19,200 --> 00:39:20,560
Speaker 1: Get like seven for home here.

939
00:39:21,080 --> 00:39:23,480
Speaker 3: Western has been incredible this year defensively. Look at the

940
00:39:23,560 --> 00:39:27,399
Speaker 3: Yukon game, even Kent State allowing fifty points. Radford score

941
00:39:27,440 --> 00:39:29,400
Speaker 3: fifty one, but fifty five. They're going to keep this

942
00:39:29,480 --> 00:39:31,160
Speaker 3: game low possession. It's going to be tough for you

943
00:39:31,239 --> 00:39:33,839
Speaker 3: AB to score. I hope their dogs have four points

944
00:39:33,920 --> 00:39:35,440
Speaker 3: or five points. I'll take the Mountaineers.

945
00:39:35,680 --> 00:39:39,480
Speaker 1: It's the slowest West Virginia team since twenty thirteen. Has

946
00:39:39,600 --> 00:39:42,399
Speaker 1: never played the slow Actually, this is his slowest team

947
00:39:42,440 --> 00:39:44,600
Speaker 1: in terms of rank tempo. There's just not a lot

948
00:39:44,640 --> 00:39:46,759
Speaker 1: of offensive threats to your match. So they're going half court.

949
00:39:46,880 --> 00:39:47,200
Speaker 3: I don't know.

950
00:39:47,520 --> 00:39:49,480
Speaker 1: I just think it means way more for you. Ab.

951
00:39:49,760 --> 00:39:51,239
Speaker 1: I'm kind of in on the Blazers in this one.

952
00:39:51,360 --> 00:39:53,080
Speaker 4: Yeah, you might be Honestum, Jim, I can't make a

953
00:39:53,080 --> 00:39:55,400
Speaker 4: good kids for Ques Virginia other than Kai said, so

954
00:39:55,560 --> 00:39:59,040
Speaker 4: I'll just continue to shut up lulong all right, the

955
00:39:59,120 --> 00:39:59,560
Speaker 4: other team.

956
00:39:59,760 --> 00:40:02,800
Speaker 1: I'm mentioned this at the top. Iona. They're playing Seedon

957
00:40:02,880 --> 00:40:05,839
Speaker 1: Hall at Madison Square Garden on Saturday, Ricky Patino at

958
00:40:06,000 --> 00:40:09,240
Speaker 1: Madison Square Garden. This feels like a magical spot. Seaton

959
00:40:09,320 --> 00:40:11,760
Speaker 1: Hall just beat Texas at home. They just beat Rutgers

960
00:40:11,800 --> 00:40:14,520
Speaker 1: at home, the big rivalry game. Now they're gonna play Iona,

961
00:40:14,560 --> 00:40:17,520
Speaker 1: who's just going to be super feisty again. This could

962
00:40:17,600 --> 00:40:19,719
Speaker 1: be a dog of the week, a dog outright pick

963
00:40:19,760 --> 00:40:22,200
Speaker 1: of the week. You guys think Iona can win, I'll start.

964
00:40:22,040 --> 00:40:23,600
Speaker 2: With you, Matt, Yeah, we doubted it.

965
00:40:23,640 --> 00:40:25,520
Speaker 4: I think last week talking about how they had Yale

966
00:40:25,600 --> 00:40:28,080
Speaker 4: coming up on the neutral site there at Brooklyn the

967
00:40:28,160 --> 00:40:31,080
Speaker 4: bar Clays. Now this is like truly the most elevated,

968
00:40:31,200 --> 00:40:33,759
Speaker 4: the brightest of the stage that he'll be on in

969
00:40:33,840 --> 00:40:35,680
Speaker 4: the rest of non con Masis Square Garden he didn't.

970
00:40:35,719 --> 00:40:38,279
Speaker 4: He actually has to go and coach against Delaware at

971
00:40:38,360 --> 00:40:41,040
Speaker 4: the new venue in Long Island. So he's doing like

972
00:40:41,080 --> 00:40:44,520
Speaker 4: a little New York neutral site pageantry, red carpet tour,

973
00:40:44,680 --> 00:40:47,880
Speaker 4: and this is obviously the headlight, the crescendo, the apex

974
00:40:47,920 --> 00:40:48,080
Speaker 4: of that.

975
00:40:48,320 --> 00:40:49,640
Speaker 2: Yes, I think I own A wins this game.

976
00:40:49,960 --> 00:40:51,440
Speaker 3: I don't think I own a wins. I think they

977
00:40:51,480 --> 00:40:54,239
Speaker 3: can hang. They can hang. Is that is i Obiagu

978
00:40:54,800 --> 00:40:57,080
Speaker 3: back and that's a key It's a key point if

979
00:40:57,120 --> 00:41:01,840
Speaker 3: he's back, certainly seton Hallween there Joseph going against Obiagu.

980
00:41:02,080 --> 00:41:04,839
Speaker 3: That's a stout defender there. Seaton Hall's been really good, guys.

981
00:41:05,760 --> 00:41:07,920
Speaker 3: It's a great spot for Iona for sure, but Seaton

982
00:41:07,960 --> 00:41:10,280
Speaker 3: Hall has been well. We expected it to be probably

983
00:41:10,360 --> 00:41:12,040
Speaker 3: close to this good, but better than most people have

984
00:41:12,160 --> 00:41:12,600
Speaker 3: expected this.

985
00:41:12,719 --> 00:41:15,239
Speaker 1: Yeah, Iona did get Elijah Joyner back last game. He

986
00:41:15,320 --> 00:41:17,560
Speaker 1: started and played twenty eight minutes and that's a lot

987
00:41:17,640 --> 00:41:19,120
Speaker 1: more than I thought he would play in that one.

988
00:41:19,200 --> 00:41:21,560
Speaker 1: So having him with a game under his belt before

989
00:41:21,600 --> 00:41:24,600
Speaker 1: this one gives me the nudge. I think Iona wins

990
00:41:24,680 --> 00:41:27,480
Speaker 1: and we get the big time Rick Patino at large

991
00:41:27,520 --> 00:41:30,360
Speaker 1: discussions Those are going to be quite frequent as we

992
00:41:30,440 --> 00:41:32,120
Speaker 1: go through January and Februar, as long as they don't

993
00:41:32,160 --> 00:41:34,600
Speaker 1: trip up in the MAC all right. The last team

994
00:41:34,840 --> 00:41:39,799
Speaker 1: I wanted to sit here San Francisco undefeated San Francisco Dons,

995
00:41:40,280 --> 00:41:43,040
Speaker 1: the ten and O Dons. Matthew, They've got a two

996
00:41:43,160 --> 00:41:46,320
Speaker 1: fer in Arizona this weekend. They played Grand Canyon in

997
00:41:46,440 --> 00:41:49,520
Speaker 1: Phoenix on Saturday. That's at the Footprint Center, the home

998
00:41:49,560 --> 00:41:52,040
Speaker 1: of the Sun, so not at GCU Arena, and then

999
00:41:52,040 --> 00:41:54,600
Speaker 1: they go to Arizona State in ten p on Sunday.

1000
00:41:54,880 --> 00:41:57,200
Speaker 1: If they can sweep these two, they are a very

1001
00:41:57,320 --> 00:41:59,640
Speaker 1: real at large candidate. Can they win both?

1002
00:42:00,239 --> 00:42:03,200
Speaker 4: Man going back to back at Zona State? Who a

1003
00:42:03,320 --> 00:42:05,680
Speaker 4: team that I feel is undervalued right now. I hope

1004
00:42:05,719 --> 00:42:07,960
Speaker 4: for their sake that Marcus Badley still out sounds like

1005
00:42:08,120 --> 00:42:10,480
Speaker 4: that timetable just gets fuzzier and fuzzier every day.

1006
00:42:10,880 --> 00:42:11,799
Speaker 2: I think they can win both.

1007
00:42:12,000 --> 00:42:12,160
Speaker 3: Kay.

1008
00:42:12,280 --> 00:42:14,080
Speaker 4: I know the odds are probably against them. The models

1009
00:42:14,120 --> 00:42:16,600
Speaker 4: would say they are dogs to win both. Kempom has

1010
00:42:16,640 --> 00:42:19,560
Speaker 4: them winning both by a small margin, but mathematically they're

1011
00:42:19,560 --> 00:42:21,520
Speaker 4: probably dogs. To actually point out, I think they get

1012
00:42:21,520 --> 00:42:23,719
Speaker 4: it done. They defy the odds ironically because they are

1013
00:42:23,800 --> 00:42:25,960
Speaker 4: mathematical gurus out there in narcou Well.

1014
00:42:25,960 --> 00:42:28,800
Speaker 3: Let's see, let's se the math here, seventy times sixty

1015
00:42:28,840 --> 00:42:31,479
Speaker 3: two percent. Yeah, there are dogs win both that boom.

1016
00:42:31,560 --> 00:42:34,080
Speaker 2: How about the little arithmetic on air? Baby, get the

1017
00:42:34,239 --> 00:42:34,799
Speaker 2: nerds out.

1018
00:42:35,000 --> 00:42:37,000
Speaker 3: I think they beat Grand Canyon. It's not at Grand

1019
00:42:37,080 --> 00:42:40,399
Speaker 3: Canyon's official home, which is good news because that place

1020
00:42:40,760 --> 00:42:42,719
Speaker 3: can be a house of horrors. I don't think Grand

1021
00:42:42,719 --> 00:42:44,440
Speaker 3: Canyon is as good as the market thinks they are,

1022
00:42:44,600 --> 00:42:46,399
Speaker 3: so I think they win that game. I am worried

1023
00:42:46,400 --> 00:42:47,960
Speaker 3: a little bit about Arizona State. I hope they do

1024
00:42:48,040 --> 00:42:50,160
Speaker 3: it though, I really do. I love this Dons team.

1025
00:42:50,360 --> 00:42:53,200
Speaker 3: We all do. And they win both these that's certainly

1026
00:42:53,200 --> 00:42:53,919
Speaker 3: an at large team.

1027
00:42:54,000 --> 00:42:55,759
Speaker 1: Yeah, they've they've gotten a ton of time off. They

1028
00:42:55,800 --> 00:42:58,799
Speaker 1: played those ten games quick to start the year. Then

1029
00:42:58,800 --> 00:43:00,960
Speaker 1: they have ten days off, four Grand Canyon in or

1030
00:43:01,000 --> 00:43:03,560
Speaker 1: some state, so hopefully they will not be too tired. Here.

1031
00:43:03,920 --> 00:43:06,480
Speaker 1: Let's wrap this up quick, very quick, Matt. With two

1032
00:43:06,800 --> 00:43:08,919
Speaker 1: schedule spots that we want people to keep an eye

1033
00:43:09,000 --> 00:43:11,120
Speaker 1: on as they head into the week. Hit them with them.

1034
00:43:11,480 --> 00:43:16,040
Speaker 4: Tarleton State South Alabama, the Fighting Billy Killespie's Tarleton State

1035
00:43:16,080 --> 00:43:18,439
Speaker 4: South Albama will have played on Tuesday. There's a weird

1036
00:43:18,520 --> 00:43:21,000
Speaker 4: back to back thing where they will then travel to

1037
00:43:21,160 --> 00:43:22,839
Speaker 4: Texas to play a second game.

1038
00:43:23,239 --> 00:43:24,960
Speaker 2: My advice to you is as follows.

1039
00:43:25,239 --> 00:43:28,080
Speaker 4: I think of South Alabama pulls away from Tarleton State late,

1040
00:43:28,160 --> 00:43:29,879
Speaker 4: which is tough to do from the Texans. I think

1041
00:43:29,880 --> 00:43:32,040
Speaker 4: the Texans are a live dog back at home, so

1042
00:43:32,200 --> 00:43:34,080
Speaker 4: I just be aware of that schedule spot. And I

1043
00:43:34,120 --> 00:43:35,879
Speaker 4: think you want to take the other team, the team

1044
00:43:35,960 --> 00:43:37,879
Speaker 4: that lost the first meet. We saw this last year

1045
00:43:38,200 --> 00:43:39,840
Speaker 4: with the back to the backs on repeat. If you

1046
00:43:39,920 --> 00:43:42,360
Speaker 4: lost the first matchup, you're a great bet the second matchup,

1047
00:43:42,600 --> 00:43:44,759
Speaker 4: especially as a larger favorite, which I know it goes

1048
00:43:44,760 --> 00:43:46,440
Speaker 4: against the Charleton State angle a little bit, but I

1049
00:43:46,600 --> 00:43:49,000
Speaker 4: like the Texans there and the potential revenge at home.

1050
00:43:49,440 --> 00:43:52,960
Speaker 3: Tarleton actually favorite on kimpum this for the second shocking.

1051
00:43:53,080 --> 00:43:54,759
Speaker 4: I know it would be wild, but hey, they've been

1052
00:43:54,800 --> 00:43:56,000
Speaker 4: that good this year, especially as a dog.

1053
00:43:57,200 --> 00:43:58,920
Speaker 1: Last year we saw on the back to backs. If

1054
00:43:58,960 --> 00:44:01,239
Speaker 1: one game goes extraordinary really over or below in the

1055
00:44:01,280 --> 00:44:03,000
Speaker 1: first one, and you see the total move in the

1056
00:44:03,040 --> 00:44:06,160
Speaker 1: second matchup that is false, immediately take the other side.

1057
00:44:06,280 --> 00:44:08,480
Speaker 1: It's been a plus evy bet. If the total moves

1058
00:44:08,520 --> 00:44:10,800
Speaker 1: in their second matchup, it's silly. It's not predictive on

1059
00:44:10,880 --> 00:44:11,720
Speaker 1: the total the first.

1060
00:44:11,680 --> 00:44:14,640
Speaker 4: Now and no way agree last one here, VC, you

1061
00:44:14,719 --> 00:44:17,400
Speaker 4: gonna be hosting Florida Atlantic later in the week. Just

1062
00:44:17,400 --> 00:44:19,480
Speaker 4: something to know if this is Florida Atlantic's second true

1063
00:44:19,560 --> 00:44:22,000
Speaker 4: road game of the year and VCU is trending upwards

1064
00:44:22,040 --> 00:44:24,279
Speaker 4: with the reinclusion of Ace Baul when their stud point

1065
00:44:24,320 --> 00:44:26,719
Speaker 4: guard FAU has been overpriced in the market. Just a

1066
00:44:26,760 --> 00:44:29,080
Speaker 4: little recommendation to hit VCU as a favorite. I know

1067
00:44:29,120 --> 00:44:30,319
Speaker 4: they have not been good as a favorite so far

1068
00:44:30,400 --> 00:44:32,000
Speaker 4: this year, but I think that pendum is about to

1069
00:44:32,080 --> 00:44:35,080
Speaker 4: swing as they get healthier, especially catching an FAU team

1070
00:44:35,120 --> 00:44:36,960
Speaker 4: that will be a little bit I think uncomfortable making

1071
00:44:37,000 --> 00:44:37,719
Speaker 4: that trip up north.

1072
00:44:38,160 --> 00:44:40,319
Speaker 1: It's more life changing than a trip to Europe. Matt,

1073
00:44:40,320 --> 00:44:42,919
Speaker 1: that's what we know about playing with the center's last

1074
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Speaker 1: That's a John Rostein axiom. All right, That wraps it up.

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Speaker 1: Thank you folks for tuning in. That is our Wednesday show.

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Speaker 1: We will be back next Wednesday on The Big Bets

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Speaker 1: on Campus feed. Please rate and review the show on

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Speaker 1: Apple Podcasts, listen on Spotify. We appreciate all that. We'll

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Speaker 1: see you next time. The Big Bets on Campus Podcast