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Speaker 1: What's going on everybody. Scott Bagman here for betting pros

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Speaker 1: to give you my favorite picks and props for Week

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Speaker 1: two of the college football season. Looking back at last week,

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Speaker 1: here we went five and four. We got the Baylor

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Speaker 1: and over in that game Arizona minus the points, gonna

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Speaker 1: see minus points to lay minus points. Got all five

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Speaker 1: of those, then we missed four. Indiana talked about that one.

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Speaker 1: Process was good on that one. Results were not old

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Speaker 1: dominion with those two big runs to beat us there.

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Speaker 1: Kentucky the safety got us there. Look, I rode Bama

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Speaker 1: completely wrong on that one. Just a straight miss whift

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Speaker 1: on that one. Ucla Utah under. I mean, I just

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Speaker 1: did not think Utah would be that good on offense

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Speaker 1: immediately they were so good. And I missed that one

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Speaker 1: by two points. So five and four in the week,

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Speaker 1: the props were six and three. We got all three

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Speaker 1: touchdowns and I'm just gonna I'm gonna give you the

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Speaker 1: touchdowns here. We're just gonna put those together, and they

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Speaker 1: seem pretty easy right now early in the season when

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Speaker 1: some of these high ranked teams are playing some bad teams.

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Speaker 1: Then we got Aguilar Joey Aguilar, Nick harber Casey Kncepcion.

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Speaker 1: We missed the Beck interception Fefeita yards and Josh Cameron

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Speaker 1: by two yards. That was frustrating. But six and six

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Speaker 1: last or six and six on the season now on

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Speaker 1: the straights, nine and six on the prop so decent start.

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Speaker 1: We'll take that. You win money right now, but also

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Speaker 1: All right, let's get to the bets of the week

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Speaker 1: here SMU minus two and a half versus Baylor. We

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Speaker 1: are fading the public on this one. The public is

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Speaker 1: big on Baylor. What I saw in that game Auburn

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Speaker 1: versus Baylor was a defense for Baylor that was not

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Speaker 1: ready to stop running quarterback. Now, Dave Randa did speak

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Speaker 1: on the difference in running style from Jackson Arnold to

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Speaker 1: Kevin Jennings this week, the Baylor head coach. So obviously

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Speaker 1: there is a difference, right, Jackson Arnold sees a certain

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Speaker 1: coverage she pulls it down in rips it. Kevin Jennings

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Speaker 1: kind of buys himself time by looking for his receivers downfield.

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Speaker 1: But Kevin Jennings is more than capable of running. And

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Speaker 1: I think if you saw how ripped up this Baylor

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Speaker 1: defense was. They have two defensive linemen that are injured

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Speaker 1: this week as well. I just don't think that they

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Speaker 1: have that they can match Kevin Jennings. And I think

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Speaker 1: that SMU is going to design some of those runs.

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Speaker 1: You know, Kevin Jennings is a great athlete and he

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Speaker 1: can make it happen. So I think that's the difference

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Speaker 1: to me. Baylor's offense is very good. Sawyer Robertson has

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Speaker 1: hit or miss on some throws, but overall he puts

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Speaker 1: points up on the board. So I do like both

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Speaker 1: offenses here, but I just think it's a slight lean

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Speaker 1: towards SMU in this game. It's only two and a

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Speaker 1: half points, that's all we got to lay. They're at home.

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Speaker 1: I think we do that one. So I'm on the

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Speaker 1: SMU Mustangs this week. Number two Illinois. We're gonna lay

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Speaker 1: some points here on the road at Duke. I believe

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Speaker 1: we are fading the public in this one as well.

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Speaker 1: Maybe a little more even that I'm thinking. But look,

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Speaker 1: Duke is a good team. I'm not trying to bash

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Speaker 1: them or anything. Illinois has to travel there right, tough

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Speaker 1: environment to play. I think to me, the biggest thing

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Speaker 1: here is Darien Mensa and the wide receivers. For Duke

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Speaker 1: being able to beat Illinois, I just don't think that's

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Speaker 1: going to happen. The defensive backs. Illinois returns all the

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Speaker 1: defensive backs from last season, and they ranked first in

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Speaker 1: roster strength amongst starters in the defensive backfield. So to me,

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Speaker 1: I just I can't really I don't see Duke coming

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Speaker 1: away with this game. During Mensaw is a good quarterback.

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Speaker 1: He should improve this team a lot from last year.

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Speaker 1: But I just don't think he's going to have it

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Speaker 1: against a very very good squad in Illinois. So the

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Speaker 1: difference to me is going to be that Illinois secondary,

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Speaker 1: and I'm going to lean on them. I'll ole miss

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Speaker 1: minus ten and a half at Kentucky. Listen, this is

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Speaker 1: a little bit of an anger bet, right because Kentucky

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Speaker 1: hosed me last week. I think, once again I thought

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Speaker 1: the process was right. I don't know they should have

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Speaker 1: put up more points. It's at Kelsada look terrible. And

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Speaker 1: that's really the thing here is. And look, Kentucky does

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Speaker 1: this all the time. They play bad against an inferior

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Speaker 1: opponent and then they play good the next week or

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Speaker 1: whatever it is. You know, they just their motivation seems

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Speaker 1: to be hit or miss under Mike Stoops. So this

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Speaker 1: one might be a game that they get up for here,

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Speaker 1: but the spread is ten and a half. The thing

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Speaker 1: that I like about this spread, even though Ole misses

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Speaker 1: on the road here is that they just keep putting

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Speaker 1: points up on the board when they're up. You know,

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Speaker 1: this is Austin simmons first road start at all miss,

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Speaker 1: but they put up over sixty points last week, and

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Speaker 1: once they smell blood in the water, they attack. So

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Speaker 1: I just really, really really did not like what I

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Speaker 1: saw out of Calsada and this Kentucky offense last week.

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Speaker 1: They got twenty six percent of their yards on the

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Speaker 1: seventy nine yard dial touchdown run. It just looked bad.

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Speaker 1: And that was against a Mac defense. Now, look the

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Speaker 1: best defense the Mac for Toledo, right, but they should

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Speaker 1: not have opened so well against Kentucky, and Kentucky looked embarrassing.

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Speaker 1: On offense and if they put up that performance again

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Speaker 1: against an SEC defense, they're gonna get smoked. So give

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Speaker 1: me all miss, I will lay the ten and a

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Speaker 1: half here. We're gonna go under on USF and Florida.

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Speaker 1: And this is my favorite bet of the week. The

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Speaker 1: number right now, I believe is fifty six and a half.

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Speaker 1: I did see it trend. I believe it was playing

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Speaker 1: more to the over earlier in this week. Now it's

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Speaker 1: on the under. But so this line might be sinking,

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Speaker 1: so I just say make sure you get it before

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Speaker 1: fifty four and a half something like that. But the

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Speaker 1: reason I like this is because USF came out firing

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Speaker 1: and all the money is on USF. It seems this

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Speaker 1: week as well. I just don't want to touch the

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Speaker 1: side for two reasons. Number One, USF plays the SEC hard.

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Speaker 1: They have had a couple of games against Alabama here

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Speaker 1: recently where they put Alabama on notice that they were

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Speaker 1: shaky and they pushed Alabama to the brink. Didn't come

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Speaker 1: away with a win in either of those games, but

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Speaker 1: they did cover in both of them. So USF definitely

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Speaker 1: has motivation stuff they get up to play the SEC. Florida,

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Speaker 1: to me, just again, the strength is on the field

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Speaker 1: and the roster strength for Florida is enormous. The reason

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Speaker 1: I like the under because you see, like they played

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Speaker 1: Long Island last week, it score fifty five points by themselves,

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Speaker 1: right number one. I don't think that happens against the USF.

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Speaker 1: USF is a good G six school, very very good,

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Speaker 1: and they have LSU on the road next week. So

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Speaker 1: to me, what you want to see early in the

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Speaker 1: season is you get your points. You get up by

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Speaker 1: double digits, you know, maybe even you get up by

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Speaker 1: three scores, you get up by seventeen points. Let's just

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Speaker 1: say that if Florida gets up by seventeen points and

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Speaker 1: we're in the second half, I think they're gonna go

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Speaker 1: very vanilla. You don't want to put a bunch on

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Speaker 1: tape so that your opponent next week can see that

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Speaker 1: and practice for it and prepare for it. So I

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Speaker 1: think if Florida gets up on USF, which I think

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Speaker 1: they will, I think they run a lot. I think

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Speaker 1: they played vanilla. They burned the clock, and it's kind

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Speaker 1: of a boring game. So I'm going to go the

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Speaker 1: under on the Florida game at fifty six and a

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Speaker 1: half against South Florida. We're going to take some points

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Speaker 1: here on these next two. Fresno plus three and a

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Speaker 1: half at Oregon State. I'm going to go with the

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Speaker 1: under forty six and a half on this as well.

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Speaker 1: Both of these teams are run first and Fresno State

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Speaker 1: ran This is matt ends right coming over from He

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Speaker 1: was the usc OC last year, but before that he

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Speaker 1: was the head coach of South Dakota and won FCS

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Speaker 1: I think believe two FCS national championships at least one.

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Speaker 1: He coached there for five years as the head coach.

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Speaker 1: They made the playoffs every single year. This is a

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Speaker 1: good coach that is coming into Fresno to take over

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Speaker 1: this program, and he trimmed the fat in the summer,

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Speaker 1: very physical camp. A lot of the players talked about

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Speaker 1: how physical it was, and they looked dominant last week.

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Speaker 1: Obviously tough opponent in Kansas last week, but they looked

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Speaker 1: very good last week and this week playing Oregon State

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Speaker 1: is just Oregon State's a rough team right now. They

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Speaker 1: are at home here, so this is kind of gonna

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Speaker 1: be a back and forth, lower scoring game. Both these

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Speaker 1: teams are run first. Oregon State has a decent defense,

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Speaker 1: I think they'll be able to stimy Fresnoe State on

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Speaker 1: a couple drives. But I just think Fresno is gonna

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Speaker 1: outphysical them, and that's not something that typically happens to

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Speaker 1: Oregon State, but maybe going downhill for a couple of

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Speaker 1: seasons now, So Oregon, we're gonna take Fresno plus three

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Speaker 1: and a half and we're gonna go under this forty

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Speaker 1: six and a half because I just think there's a

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Speaker 1: lot of running and they play it close. I'm gonna

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Speaker 1: take points again. We're gonna go Yukon plus six and

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Speaker 1: a half at Syracuse. I just Yukon. Jim Moore's got

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Speaker 1: these guys playing well on offense. I think they're gonna

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Speaker 1: be able to keep pace with Syracuse on offense. I

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Speaker 1: have no idea whether this is going to be like

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Speaker 1: a twenty to twenty four game or if this is

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Speaker 1: gonna be like a thirty five to thirty game something

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Speaker 1: like that. I don't know if it's gonna open up

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Speaker 1: and all of that. But Syracuse look fine against Tennessee.

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Speaker 1: I wouldn't say they look good, but they scored some points.

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Speaker 1: But I think Yukon is gonna be able to keep

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Speaker 1: up here, So we're gonna take some points for Yukon

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Speaker 1: plus six and a half. I just I like the

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Speaker 1: way this offense is rounding in the shape. It's early

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Speaker 1: in the season and I think they're a little underestimated.

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Speaker 1: So Syracuse needs to win coming off that loss to Tennessee.

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Speaker 1: But they can win and Yukon can look impressive. At

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Speaker 1: the same time, all we got to do is not

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Speaker 1: lose by a touchdown. So let's go with Yukon plus

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Speaker 1: the six and a half. I'm gonna go with the

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Speaker 1: under on WKU at Toledo. It's fifty nine and a half,

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Speaker 1: so almost sixty points here, and I believe it was

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Speaker 1: over sixty just a couple of days ago. But this

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Speaker 1: is because of what I saw Toledo do to Kentucky.

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Speaker 1: You know, Kentucky is not a good offense. They looked bad,

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Speaker 1: but Toledo looked very, very good. They looked strong enough

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Speaker 1: to stop this offense. That brought in a lot of changes.

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Speaker 1: And Calzata was good last year at Incarnate Word. He

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Speaker 1: had thirty five touchdowns and nine picks. In this game,

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Speaker 1: he threw a pick, only had eighty five yards passing.

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Speaker 1: Toledo shut these guys down and this is a passing

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Speaker 1: attack from WKU. I just think in this one that

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Speaker 1: this Toledo defense is going to match up fairly well.

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Speaker 1: And I think Toledo controls the pace of this game

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Speaker 1: is really what it ends up with. You know, WKU

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Speaker 1: hasn't been challenged. They look good so far. Maverick McIver

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Speaker 1: has looked great, but you know, they just have not

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Speaker 1: been challenged at all. They played Sam Houston State and

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Speaker 1: then an FCS school, So I am just not very

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Speaker 1: excited yet. From what I see from WKU high flying offense,

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Speaker 1: they can get it done, but against Toledo is just

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Speaker 1: I think too big of a step too early in

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Speaker 1: the season for WKU. I think Toledo controls the pace

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Speaker 1: of this game. I think we see a lot of

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Speaker 1: running in a lot of defense. So let's go with

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Speaker 1: the under on that one. And last one I will

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Speaker 1: pick for you this one. I was talking to a listener.

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Speaker 1: We were talking about some of these gigantic spreads, right,

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Speaker 1: the massive spreads like Texas. He was talking about Texas

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Speaker 1: and Clemson in particular, and the fact that these two

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Speaker 1: teams were embarrassed on national television and wanting to make

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Speaker 1: a statement my guy Dan I was talking to and

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Speaker 1: I went, Okay, I understand your thought process there, but

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Speaker 1: what I want to do, especially in these games. You know,

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Speaker 1: Texas is playing in San Jose State and Clemson is

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Speaker 1: playing Troy right way outmatch these teams, and I said, well,

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Speaker 1: I think what I would rather do is take a

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Speaker 1: total on that team, Like you want to see them

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Speaker 1: put points on the board. They want to establish their

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Speaker 1: offense and look good because they were embarrassed last week.

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Speaker 1: So just get a little confidence back, prove that you

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Speaker 1: can do it. The spread for Clemson, I believe is

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Speaker 1: thirty one and a half against Troy, but their team

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Speaker 1: total is forty one and a half. Let's just take

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Speaker 1: that get back door. So if we get to forty

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Speaker 1: two points, we can't lose this one. You can get

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Speaker 1: up to fifty points. And if you put an all

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Speaker 1: freshmen in the fourth quarter because you're stomping this team

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Speaker 1: in the ground, they let up a couple of touchdowns,

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Speaker 1: you get back door on that can't get back door

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Speaker 1: on a team total. So we will go forty one

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Speaker 1: and a half points four Clemson in this game against Troy,

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Speaker 1: I think they can make it happen and you erase

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Speaker 1: a little bit of the harshness of that loss from

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Speaker 1: last week. Before we go to the props here, are

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Speaker 1: you looking to up your game in sports betting? Join

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Speaker 1: our exclusive sports betting discord community at bettingpros dot com

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Speaker 1: slash chat. Not only can you connect with expert handicappers

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Speaker 1: who provide free picks for the NBA, NFL, MLB, NHL

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Speaker 1: player props live back like betting in more, but now

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Speaker 1: you can also participate in our weekly community picks. You

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Speaker 1: can cast your vote and see how your picks stack

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Speaker 1: up against the experts and track your success. Go do

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Speaker 1: it today at bettingpros dot com slash chat. All right,

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Speaker 1: let's go to the props here. I've got five touchdown

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Speaker 1: calls for you. Now, that's a lot of touchdown calls. Right.

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Speaker 1: They're all running backs, They're all number one running backs,

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Speaker 1: and they all are in mismatches in my opinion this week.

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Speaker 1: So but if you put them all I got, I

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Speaker 1: believe it was four point three on this So four

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Speaker 1: point three return Oregon running back No Whittington against Okay State.

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Speaker 1: I just think Mike Gundy is having a rough time

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Speaker 1: at Oklahoma State right now. I think Oregon's gonna dominate

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Speaker 1: this game. I think he's gonna score a touchdown. Nate Fraser, Georgia.

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Speaker 1: They're playing OSSIPA. I think he easily scores a touchdown.

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Speaker 1: Only two bets were available for that game as far

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Speaker 1: as player props, and that was one of them. LSU

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Speaker 1: running back Kitan Durham over half of rushing. These are

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Speaker 1: all rushing, moor receiving. You can get either side. They're

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Speaker 1: playing Louisiana Tech. I think he easily scores.

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Speaker 3: LJ.

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Speaker 1: Martin for BYU. They're playing Stanford. We saw how miserable

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Speaker 1: Stanford was against Hawaii a couple of weeks ago. Defense

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Speaker 1: is is not good. And then Minnesota playing FCS school

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Speaker 1: in Northwestern State. Darius Taylor had thirty carries last week.

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Speaker 1: I think he can easily score in that game. So

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Speaker 1: it is five touchdowns. It's a lot of touchdowns to get,

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Speaker 1: but I think these are all pretty much locks here

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Speaker 1: so early in the season. These are easier than later

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Speaker 1: in the season, so I'll probably have more now than

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Speaker 1: I will later. Let's go, I got one quarterback for you,

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Speaker 1: and this is an under which I typically don't do,

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Speaker 1: but we were talking about this before Darian Mensa under

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Speaker 1: two hundred and fifty eight and a half passing yards

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Speaker 1: versus Illinois. We talked about those defensive backs for Illinois

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Speaker 1: and this only. He only hit this four times last

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Speaker 1: year into Tulane against G six defenses, So I don't

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Speaker 1: think he's going to come in here against a big

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Speaker 1: ten defense that's good even on the road and throw

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Speaker 1: for this many yards. So maybe if Illinois winning big,

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Speaker 1: that's fine because we got Illinois minus the three and

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Speaker 1: Mensa will be throwing to come back. But I just

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Speaker 1: don't think it's going to happen for him. And I

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Speaker 1: do think it plays a little close in that I've

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Speaker 1: got ILLOI more like by a touchdown. So Darian Mensa

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Speaker 1: under two hundred and fifty eight and a half passing yards.

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Speaker 1: Let's go with CJ. Baxter over fifty four and a

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Speaker 1: half rush yards for San Jose State. Central Michigan ran

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Speaker 1: for two hundred and thirty six yards on San Jose

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Speaker 1: State in Week one. We talked about how Texas got

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Speaker 1: embarrassed by Ohio State, specifically on offense. I think they're

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Speaker 1: going to run the ball a lot. I think CJ.

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Speaker 1: Baxter can get this maybe in ten carries, so he

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Speaker 1: and Trey Wisner split. I like the over on both

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Speaker 1: of theirs. Baxter's was lower, so I went with his.

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Speaker 1: Let's go to a former Longhorn Eracuse wide receiver John

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Speaker 1: Day Cook the second over fifty eight and a half

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Speaker 1: receiving yards versus Yukon. Yukon is one hundred and twenty

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Speaker 1: fifth in defensive back roster strength, so they're really bad

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Speaker 1: in the secondary. Like I said, I think this game

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Speaker 1: maybe goes a little point for point because I like

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Speaker 1: this Yukon offense. I think they'll keep them in it.

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Speaker 1: But John Tay Cook is going to get his He

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Speaker 1: had eleven targets against Tennessee, got six for fifty eight

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Speaker 1: in a score. I think he can easily rep peat

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Speaker 1: these numbers against Yukon and even be a little better.

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Speaker 1: Indiana wide receiver Elijah Sarat over fifty six and a

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Speaker 1: half receiving yards versus Kansas State. He hit this seven

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Speaker 1: times last year in Kansas State. Looked good against wake Forest.

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Speaker 1: Wake Forest is not that good. Indiana is very very good.

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Speaker 1: So if they can pay me back for that loss

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Speaker 1: last week and Sarat can get over fifty six and

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Speaker 1: a half receiving yards this week. I will be very,

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Speaker 1: very happy Texas A and M wide receiver Casey Concepcion

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Speaker 1: over fifty four and a half receiving yards versus Utah State.

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Speaker 1: He had three catches for seventy two yards in the

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Speaker 1: first game, and I think he is the clear number

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Speaker 1: one at Texas A and M right now, so we're

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Speaker 1: going to go with him. And then one of my

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Speaker 1: favorite ones, Houston tight end Tanner cozy All over five

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Speaker 1: and a half receptions at Rice. Rice was great defensively

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Speaker 1: against Louisiana, but Louisiana was one hundred and twenty eighth

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Speaker 1: in offensive skill position roster strength and one hundred and

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Speaker 1: twentieth at quarterback. Not a very good offense this year,

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00:17:57,760 --> 00:18:01,120
Speaker 1: a lot leaving Louisiana in the offse and so Rice

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00:18:01,200 --> 00:18:03,639
Speaker 1: did look good and they are an improved team. I

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00:18:03,680 --> 00:18:06,359
Speaker 1: do think they will be better this year, but Houston

359
00:18:06,440 --> 00:18:08,960
Speaker 1: is a better team than them, and Cozy All is

360
00:18:09,000 --> 00:18:11,800
Speaker 1: the best tight end in the country. According to roster strength,

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00:18:11,960 --> 00:18:15,639
Speaker 1: Houston is eighth in skill position roster strength unlike one

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00:18:15,720 --> 00:18:20,200
Speaker 1: hundred and twenty eighth like Louisiana was last week, and

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00:18:20,440 --> 00:18:23,080
Speaker 1: they are first at tight end and Cozy all is

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00:18:23,080 --> 00:18:27,280
Speaker 1: a Feldman freak six' seven enormous. Dude just a lot

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Speaker 1: of fun to watch as. Well BEFORE i, go let

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00:18:30,840 --> 00:18:32,680
Speaker 1: me tell you guys about The Betting pros app you

367
00:18:32,720 --> 00:18:35,360
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368
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00:18:42,760 --> 00:18:46,240
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00:18:46,640 --> 00:18:50,440
Speaker 1: props and. Parlays create custom betting systems to find winning

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00:19:03,760 --> 00:19:06,199
Speaker 1: that is gonna be it for us. Today let me

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00:19:06,280 --> 00:19:10,000
Speaker 1: just go through them real quick one more. Time are

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Speaker 1: straight BETS smu minus two and a, Half illinois minus,

378
00:19:12,800 --> 00:19:15,240
Speaker 1: Three Ole miss minus ten and a. Half we're taking

379
00:19:15,240 --> 00:19:17,120
Speaker 1: the under fifty six and a half on the US

380
00:19:17,160 --> 00:19:19,919
Speaker 1: F florida Game fresno plus three and a half At

381
00:19:19,960 --> 00:19:22,639
Speaker 1: Oregon state plus the under forty six and a half

382
00:19:22,960 --> 00:19:25,800
Speaker 1: ucon plus six and a half At, SYRACUSE wku At

383
00:19:25,920 --> 00:19:29,280
Speaker 1: toledo under fifty nine and a. Half clemson team total

384
00:19:29,400 --> 00:19:32,840
Speaker 1: over forty one and a. Half our touchdowns Are Noah

385
00:19:32,840 --> 00:19:36,160
Speaker 1: whittington For, Oregon Nate fraser For, Georgia Cayden durham FOR, LSU.

386
00:19:36,440 --> 00:19:42,439
Speaker 1: Lj martin FOR, Byu Darius taylor For. Minnesota our yards props,

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00:19:42,480 --> 00:19:45,480
Speaker 1: Here Darian mensa under two hundred fifty eight and a

388
00:19:45,520 --> 00:19:48,359
Speaker 1: half passing YARD. Cj Bax are over fifty four and

389
00:19:48,400 --> 00:19:51,240
Speaker 1: a half rush, Yards Jonte cook over fifty eight and

390
00:19:51,280 --> 00:19:54,879
Speaker 1: a half receiving yards For, Sukon Elijah surratt over fifty

391
00:19:54,920 --> 00:19:57,640
Speaker 1: six and a half receiving, Yards Casey concepcion over fifty

392
00:19:57,680 --> 00:20:00,360
Speaker 1: four and a half receiving, yards And houston and tight

393
00:20:00,440 --> 00:20:04,400
Speaker 1: End Tanner cozy all over five and a half receptions AT.

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00:20:04,600 --> 00:20:07,679
Speaker 1: Rice that is it for. Me good luck, everybody AND

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00:20:07,720 --> 00:20:09,080
Speaker 1: i will see you next. Week take it.

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Speaker 3: Easy thanks for listening to The Betting pros. Podcast if

397
00:20:12,240 --> 00:20:14,600
Speaker 3: you love the, show the best freeway to support us

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00:20:14,680 --> 00:20:17,560
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