WEBVTT - MacKenzie Scott’s Giving Transforming the Bezos Fortune

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<v Speaker 1>This is Bloomberg Business Week. I'm Carol Masser and I'm

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Quick Takes Tim Stanobek. We're here every day bringing

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<v Speaker 1>you the latest news from the worlds of business and finance,

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<v Speaker 1>plus technology, politics, economics, all harnessing the power of Business

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<v Speaker 1>Week reporters and editors, not to mention our journalists and

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<v Speaker 1>analyst in more than one and twenty countries. You can

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<v Speaker 1>You can also listen to our radio show at two

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<v Speaker 1>pm Eastern Time on Bloomberg Radio, or watch us on

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<v Speaker 1>YouTube search Bloomberg Global News. We've got to get to

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<v Speaker 1>the virus and vaccine news we have. US vaccine supply

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<v Speaker 1>should increase enough by April to allow anyone who wants

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<v Speaker 1>a shot to begin getting one. This is according to

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<v Speaker 1>Dr Anthony Faucci. UH. This even as vaccines are distributed

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<v Speaker 1>to the oldest Americans, their share of COVID nineteen deaths

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<v Speaker 1>in the US has not obeyed. A demand as is high.

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<v Speaker 1>Also as the US begins rolling out vaccines at pharmacy,

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<v Speaker 1>so we're seeing the rollout happen uh as for global

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<v Speaker 1>cases A hundred and seven point five million deaths passing

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<v Speaker 1>two point a million, and more than a hundred fifty

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<v Speaker 1>two million COVID shots have been given worldwide. Great to

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<v Speaker 1>have back with us, Dr Eric Toner. He's a senior

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<v Speaker 1>scholar with the Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security and

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<v Speaker 1>a senior scientist in the Department of Environmental Health and

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<v Speaker 1>Engineering at the Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health,

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<v Speaker 1>Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Heart Health, supported by

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<v Speaker 1>Michael R. Bloomberg, Founder, Bloomberg LP, and Bloomberg Philanthropies. Dr

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<v Speaker 1>Turner with us once again on the phone from Baltimore.

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<v Speaker 1>Dr Toner, nice to have you here with Tim and myself. UM,

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<v Speaker 1>so talk to me. I feel pretty upbeat by hearing,

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<v Speaker 1>uh what Dr Fauci says in terms of folks getting

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<v Speaker 1>access to the vaccine here in the US. Do you

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<v Speaker 1>think that's a realistic goal? Do you think it is

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<v Speaker 1>probably a fairly realistic goal. I mean, we're doing really

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<v Speaker 1>quite well, despite the frustrations that so many people are

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<v Speaker 1>feeling with reguards to their personal access to the vaccine.

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<v Speaker 1>We are doing quite well nationally in terms of the

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<v Speaker 1>number of people being vaccinated. So I do think that

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<v Speaker 1>there's a pretty reasonable chance that most people have access

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<v Speaker 1>to the vaccine sometime in the spring. I don't know

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<v Speaker 1>for sure if it could be April, but sometime in

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<v Speaker 1>the spring I think is reasonable. So what sometimes in

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<v Speaker 1>the spring? What does that mean for reaching I don't

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<v Speaker 1>like to use the term herd immunity, but seventy of

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<v Speaker 1>the population vaccinated if people have access to it, it's

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<v Speaker 1>not necessarily the same thing as them actually getting the

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<v Speaker 1>vaccine and us being on the other side of this pandemic. Sure, well,

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<v Speaker 1>the real question is how much how much more vaccine

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<v Speaker 1>can be delivered um and administered. We are finding that

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<v Speaker 1>we can administer more vaccine than it is being produced

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<v Speaker 1>right now, with producing about ten million doses per week,

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<v Speaker 1>which is enough to vaccinate about a million and a

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<v Speaker 1>half people per day. But we need to get to

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<v Speaker 1>about three million people per day if we wanted to

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<v Speaker 1>hit the target of getting sent me five per cent

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<v Speaker 1>of the population vaccinated by some time over the summer.

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<v Speaker 1>I think it's I think it's realistic. Um, we are

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<v Speaker 1>getting we should be getting more vaccine from both Maderna

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<v Speaker 1>and Visor this month. The Johnson Johnson vaccine looks like

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<v Speaker 1>it'll get um emergencies authorization this month UM, and so

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<v Speaker 1>we'll have more vaccine. And I think that it's reasonable

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<v Speaker 1>it will get to three million doses a day and

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<v Speaker 1>that should get us to where we want to be

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<v Speaker 1>this summer. It's great. Does that happen with Visor and

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<v Speaker 1>bion Tech and uh Maderna or does that take a

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<v Speaker 1>different type of vaccine the introduction of one of the

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<v Speaker 1>newer vaccines that haven't yet been approved. Yeah, it is.

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<v Speaker 1>It assumes that assumes that the Johnson Johnson vaccine comes

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<v Speaker 1>online as intestated, which it looks like it will. Yeah, exactly. Hey.

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<v Speaker 1>The one conversation Dr Turner that I have a lot

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<v Speaker 1>at home is understanding you know variants and how that

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<v Speaker 1>plays into it. It's certainly something that is now in

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<v Speaker 1>the headlines a lot understandably. So if this schedule that

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<v Speaker 1>Dr Fauci and you you agree with in terms of

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<v Speaker 1>rolling out the vaccine, is it fast enough enough to

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<v Speaker 1>stay ahead of the variants so that we can ultimately

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<v Speaker 1>get ahead of COVID. The bottom line is, we don't

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<v Speaker 1>know for sure, are you know, a horse race between

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<v Speaker 1>the vaccine and the variance? If if we are, we

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<v Speaker 1>don't yet know how rapidly the variance will become the

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<v Speaker 1>predominant strain. It does look like that will happen, that

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<v Speaker 1>the UK variant looks like a dominant straint probably sometime

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<v Speaker 1>this spring. If we get enough people vaccinated by that time,

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<v Speaker 1>it shouldn't be an overwhelming problem. If if not, then

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<v Speaker 1>we could see another series and surge. And so how

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<v Speaker 1>quickly then can we pivot to take the existing vaccines

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<v Speaker 1>and adapt them. Is that a pretty quick and easy process,

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<v Speaker 1>says the layperson and journalist. Yes, uh, it depends on

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<v Speaker 1>your point of view. Your point of view is a

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<v Speaker 1>manufacturer of the vaccine is no problem at all. Um.

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<v Speaker 1>You know, for the rest of us. It does take

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<v Speaker 1>a while, and there has to be some testing after

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<v Speaker 1>after the vaccines and tweets. It's been tweaked. But it's

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<v Speaker 1>important to realize the existing vaccines work against the variance.

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<v Speaker 1>They just don't work quite as well as they do

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<v Speaker 1>against the classic strain. So it's not that they're not

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<v Speaker 1>effective against the variance, it's just they're not quite as effective,

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<v Speaker 1>so they still work. One thing that I've been thinking

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<v Speaker 1>a lot about is expectations. And let's say that a

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<v Speaker 1>family had family members who were in their sixties and

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<v Speaker 1>they were scheduled to get vaccinated. UM, does that you

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<v Speaker 1>know in the in the coming weeks, Does that mean

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<v Speaker 1>that this those those people who are in their sixties

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<v Speaker 1>who have been vaccinated, does that mean that they can

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<v Speaker 1>all get together with other people? Now? I think there's

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<v Speaker 1>a lot of confusion around like what it means for

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<v Speaker 1>some people to be vaccinated in society and what it

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<v Speaker 1>means for for other people not to be vaccinated, and

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<v Speaker 1>to what that means for return for normalcy. Sure, it's

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<v Speaker 1>a really good question and one that I get a

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<v Speaker 1>lot too. So first thing, let me say everybody, when

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<v Speaker 1>you after you get your second shot, you're not immune

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<v Speaker 1>for another two weeks, So you can't go out and

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<v Speaker 1>party right after you your second shot. UM. The other

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<v Speaker 1>the other thing that we should say is it's still

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<v Speaker 1>important to wear your masks and maintain distance even if

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<v Speaker 1>you've been vaccinated, because the vaccine is not only to

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<v Speaker 1>protect you personally, is to keep you from um spreading

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<v Speaker 1>the virus, and it doesn't do The vaccine doesn't prevent

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<v Speaker 1>spread of the virus as much as it gets you

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<v Speaker 1>personal protection. So you still need to wear a mask.

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<v Speaker 1>You still need to maintain distance to protect other people

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<v Speaker 1>because you can still transmit the virus even though you've

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<v Speaker 1>been vaccinated. So that's interesting. So we okay, And these

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<v Speaker 1>vaccines are developing, like we've had a big conversation about

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<v Speaker 1>this this week, about developing anti antibodies versus developing T cells.

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<v Speaker 1>T cells obviously stay with you longer. I mean, these

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<v Speaker 1>are also going to be significant, right in terms of

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<v Speaker 1>what our trajectory is going forward. Yeah, so we know

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<v Speaker 1>a whole lot more about the antibodies than we do

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<v Speaker 1>about the detail response to to these vaccines or or

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<v Speaker 1>to actual infection, so it's much harder thing to study.

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<v Speaker 1>So um, we just don't know yet. So here we

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<v Speaker 1>are in February, almost a year into this pandemic, and

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<v Speaker 1>we're starting to see signs that governments, especially here in

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<v Speaker 1>New York City, want to get back to normal, or

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<v Speaker 1>at least return to some semblance of normalcy. I guess

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<v Speaker 1>I have a hard time understanding what you still what

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<v Speaker 1>you can and can't do after you've been vaccinated, because

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<v Speaker 1>the governor wants to open up um sporting you know,

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<v Speaker 1>sport sporting complex, sporting arenas and have people who have

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<v Speaker 1>been vaccinated and go and wear masks like is that

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<v Speaker 1>type of thing okay? And we don't have about thirty

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<v Speaker 1>seconds left? Uh the short answers. I don't think that's

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<v Speaker 1>a good idea. I think we should still be cautious.

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<v Speaker 1>I think that some gradual reopening makes sense, but it

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<v Speaker 1>should be done carefully. UM. I think a sudden reopening

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<v Speaker 1>may cause and other search and we really might avoid that.

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<v Speaker 1>Dr Turner, I want to talk schools because we learned

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<v Speaker 1>earlier today that the us CDC will release a detailed

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<v Speaker 1>guidance tomorrow on how to safely reopen more schools. This

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<v Speaker 1>has been long away to the Biden administration has a

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<v Speaker 1>goal to get schools open in the coming months. What's

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<v Speaker 1>the right way to do this really important thing to

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<v Speaker 1>do is to is to make sure that, um, we

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<v Speaker 1>follow the evidence, and so that means that we need

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<v Speaker 1>to make sure that kids are um masked, that the

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<v Speaker 1>there's adequate ventilation, but there's adequate reduction of density and

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<v Speaker 1>school that is allowed enough space between kids both in

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<v Speaker 1>the class room and elsewhere in the school. UM. So

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<v Speaker 1>there's a lot of evidence that schools can be opened safely.

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<v Speaker 1>There have been schools that have been opened throughout the

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<v Speaker 1>pandemic and have done so safely. But it requires a

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<v Speaker 1>lot of mitigation efforts, and I assume that's what the

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<v Speaker 1>CDC is gonna outline tomorrow. Um. This has been done

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<v Speaker 1>in private schools successfully, whether it can be done in

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<v Speaker 1>a large public school system, UM, you know, I think

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<v Speaker 1>we'll have to wait and see. Yeah, it's tricky, and

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<v Speaker 1>but I know that there's so much pressure, um to

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<v Speaker 1>get kids back. Tell me, I'm curious, Dr Toner, what

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<v Speaker 1>are you hearing? What are you seeing maybe from colleagues

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<v Speaker 1>or from what you're seeing directly. When it comes to

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<v Speaker 1>hospitals in the type of virus cases that we're seeing

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<v Speaker 1>and their access to necessary supplies to treat patients, well,

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<v Speaker 1>it's a whole lot better now than it was, UM

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<v Speaker 1>months or two months ago. Uh, we were in a

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<v Speaker 1>terrific crisis following the holidays in the early weeks of January. Uh,

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<v Speaker 1>pretty much across the country, but especially in southern California

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<v Speaker 1>where they were literally running out of oxygen um with

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<v Speaker 1>that was also seen in other places like Minnesota, like Texas,

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<v Speaker 1>has been seen previously in New York City in the spring. UM.

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<v Speaker 1>Generally speaking, supplies both equipment and disposable supplies. Are the

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<v Speaker 1>situation as a whole lot better than than it had

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<v Speaker 1>been in the past. Um, But part of it is

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<v Speaker 1>because case counselors are down so much from where they were.

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<v Speaker 1>I mean, we're we're at half the level we were

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<v Speaker 1>UM a month or six weeks ago. So UM, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>a lot of the stress has been taken off and

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<v Speaker 1>UM hopefully fingers crossed the download TREDI will continue. If, however,

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<v Speaker 1>we see another big surge, we could be back into

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<v Speaker 1>it a situation what we have shortages. So I want

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<v Speaker 1>to contextualize this downward trend because it is great news

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<v Speaker 1>that we are seeing it moved down, But we're still

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<v Speaker 1>seeing the number of cases that per day in the

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<v Speaker 1>United States that rivals, you know, anything that we saw

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<v Speaker 1>over the over the Midsummer and in spring last year.

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<v Speaker 1>So it's still it's still very very high. That's said doctor.

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<v Speaker 1>Is it going down because of the vaccine? Is it

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<v Speaker 1>going down because the post holiday bump? Is we're we're

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<v Speaker 1>moving away from that? Is it a combination of the two.

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<v Speaker 1>Is it too early for the vaccine? Why are we

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<v Speaker 1>seeing this decline now? And how could we see it

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<v Speaker 1>spike up again soon. Well, I think it's multi factoral. UM.

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<v Speaker 1>It's probably doesn't have much to do with the vaccine.

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<v Speaker 1>There hasn't been enough time for the enough people be

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<v Speaker 1>vaccinated to make a big difference. UM. I think a

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<v Speaker 1>lot of it has to do with individual behavior. I

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<v Speaker 1>think after the huge bike everywhere across the country UM,

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<v Speaker 1>in the in December early January, we saw that many

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<v Speaker 1>more people were in masks maintaining distances. Many UM cities

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<v Speaker 1>and towns UM went back into some some degree of

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<v Speaker 1>lockdown and tightened up their their restrictions. Right. So I

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<v Speaker 1>think we're seeing evidence of that UM. And I think

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<v Speaker 1>the bottom line is trends should continue to go down

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<v Speaker 1>as long as people UM, you know, maintain these mitigation efforts.

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<v Speaker 1>If they don't, then I think we will see the

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<v Speaker 1>curve turned around. Well fingers crossed, and I like when

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<v Speaker 1>the curve goes down. Dr Eric Toner, thank you so much.

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<v Speaker 1>As Alway, Senior Scholar at the JOHNS. Hopkins Center for

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<v Speaker 1>Health Security at Bloomberg School of Public Health. Of Course,

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<v Speaker 1>Michael R. Bloomberg is a founder of course at Bloomberg

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<v Speaker 1>LP and Bloomberg Philanthropies and supports the Bloomberg School of

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<v Speaker 1>Public Health. This is Bloomberg Business Way with Carol Masser

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<v Speaker 1>and Bloomberg Quick Takes Tim Stinovic from Bloomberg Radio. So

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<v Speaker 1>I want to get to a story that's a younger

0:13:07.679 --> 0:13:10.280
<v Speaker 1>most right on the Bloomberg It's about the individual transforming

0:13:10.280 --> 0:13:14.240
<v Speaker 1>the fortune created by billionaire and founder of Amazon, Jeff Bezos.

0:13:14.559 --> 0:13:16.840
<v Speaker 1>And we're not talking about Jeff No, we're not even

0:13:16.880 --> 0:13:19.920
<v Speaker 1>talking about a Bezos anymore. We're talking about Mackenzie Scott.

0:13:20.160 --> 0:13:22.959
<v Speaker 1>That's right, his former wife. Let's get into it with

0:13:23.040 --> 0:13:25.520
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg News Wealth Team reporter Sophie Alexander. She's on the

0:13:25.559 --> 0:13:28.360
<v Speaker 1>phone in San Francisco along with Bloomberg Business We get it,

0:13:28.440 --> 0:13:30.920
<v Speaker 1>or Joe Webber on the Access line in Brooklyn. Man.

0:13:31.440 --> 0:13:33.520
<v Speaker 1>She has been a game changer, Joel when it comes

0:13:33.600 --> 0:13:37.160
<v Speaker 1>to philanthropy and giving. Yeah, and we're gonna talk about her.

0:13:37.240 --> 0:13:41.720
<v Speaker 1>We also have to talk about Jeff Bezos, says, because

0:13:42.200 --> 0:13:45.880
<v Speaker 1>you know the two of them together, Um, you know

0:13:45.920 --> 0:13:48.520
<v Speaker 1>when they were a couple still uh, not so long ago.

0:13:49.360 --> 0:13:52.160
<v Speaker 1>They had a massive fortune together. And actually what was

0:13:52.600 --> 0:13:55.920
<v Speaker 1>pretty amazing about it was actually how little of it

0:13:56.200 --> 0:14:00.720
<v Speaker 1>ended up in um philanthropic causes during during their marriage.

0:14:01.000 --> 0:14:04.800
<v Speaker 1>But what we've seen since their divorce and really um

0:14:05.200 --> 0:14:10.160
<v Speaker 1>uh most recently um, largely because of Mackenzie, has been

0:14:10.440 --> 0:14:13.880
<v Speaker 1>um this real uh change. And you know the six

0:14:14.040 --> 0:14:18.439
<v Speaker 1>billion figure that so uh and and been right about

0:14:18.720 --> 0:14:22.400
<v Speaker 1>um that's attribute to her, we think is the largest single, uh,

0:14:22.920 --> 0:14:27.600
<v Speaker 1>single amount that anyone's ever given to philanthropies in in

0:14:27.640 --> 0:14:30.840
<v Speaker 1>a in a calendar year. Um. And so Sophie like,

0:14:30.960 --> 0:14:34.000
<v Speaker 1>can you walk us through you know, the significance of

0:14:34.080 --> 0:14:40.200
<v Speaker 1>what that means for the Amazon fortune going forward? Yeah? Absolutely,

0:14:40.360 --> 0:14:42.560
<v Speaker 1>I mean the six billion dollars is just such an

0:14:43.200 --> 0:14:48.160
<v Speaker 1>immense figure. And when we're talking about philanthropy historically, you know,

0:14:48.600 --> 0:14:53.000
<v Speaker 1>one of the main criticisms of billionaire philanthropists of for

0:14:53.320 --> 0:14:57.240
<v Speaker 1>one of their reasons rather of not giving away enough

0:14:57.280 --> 0:15:00.040
<v Speaker 1>money faster, is that, you know, it takes time to

0:15:00.120 --> 0:15:02.840
<v Speaker 1>be thoughtful and it takes time to give away this

0:15:03.240 --> 0:15:05.680
<v Speaker 1>these huge amounts of money, you know, billions of dollars.

0:15:06.120 --> 0:15:09.680
<v Speaker 1>But Mackenzie sort of disproving that and what this could

0:15:09.720 --> 0:15:11.880
<v Speaker 1>mean for the future is you know, Mackenzie is only

0:15:11.960 --> 0:15:15.120
<v Speaker 1>just getting started. She's finally giving pledge. She's pledged to

0:15:15.160 --> 0:15:17.880
<v Speaker 1>give away the majority of her fortune UM, which at

0:15:17.960 --> 0:15:22.680
<v Speaker 1>this point is nearing sixty billion dollars and so UM

0:15:22.960 --> 0:15:24.920
<v Speaker 1>that that's just a huge amount of money that could

0:15:24.960 --> 0:15:27.720
<v Speaker 1>be given away. And then when we're talking about Jeff

0:15:27.800 --> 0:15:30.160
<v Speaker 1>who recently stepped down or none that he would be

0:15:30.200 --> 0:15:34.520
<v Speaker 1>stepping down from Amazon as CEO, UM, that's sort of

0:15:34.680 --> 0:15:37.760
<v Speaker 1>a sign that he's probably going to focus more on

0:15:37.960 --> 0:15:40.640
<v Speaker 1>his giving and that we could be seeing more from

0:15:40.720 --> 0:15:43.800
<v Speaker 1>him in the philsopic philosophical space coming forward. And to

0:15:43.920 --> 0:15:46.440
<v Speaker 1>be fair, I mean, he did give away money before, right,

0:15:46.520 --> 0:15:53.160
<v Speaker 1>but it's not as quickly as his former wife has. Definitely, UM,

0:15:53.440 --> 0:15:56.880
<v Speaker 1>I think that the to be fair to Jeff UM,

0:15:56.960 --> 0:15:59.400
<v Speaker 1>when we talk about Bill Gates, you know, one of

0:15:59.480 --> 0:16:03.760
<v Speaker 1>the most impressive philanthropists in history, he didn't start giving

0:16:03.800 --> 0:16:07.880
<v Speaker 1>away very much until he stepped down from Microsoft. UM.

0:16:08.000 --> 0:16:10.440
<v Speaker 1>And so Jeff has been giving money. But you know,

0:16:10.640 --> 0:16:12.640
<v Speaker 1>when you put it in the context of how much

0:16:12.680 --> 0:16:15.520
<v Speaker 1>wealth he really has, it's it's a very small amount.

0:16:15.560 --> 0:16:19.320
<v Speaker 1>We're talking about uh, single digit millions, UM, tens of

0:16:19.400 --> 0:16:23.440
<v Speaker 1>millions sometimes and more recently sure hundreds of millions of dollars.

0:16:23.760 --> 0:16:26.440
<v Speaker 1>But where he's really had the biggest figures are in

0:16:26.600 --> 0:16:29.000
<v Speaker 1>his commitment you know, he's made the two billion dollar

0:16:29.080 --> 0:16:32.720
<v Speaker 1>commitment for the Day One Fund and then the ten

0:16:32.800 --> 0:16:35.400
<v Speaker 1>billion dollar commitments for the Earth's Times, So those are

0:16:35.480 --> 0:16:38.320
<v Speaker 1>huge numbers, but we're not actually seeing that money deployed yet.

0:16:38.680 --> 0:16:41.440
<v Speaker 1>So you made the point earlier on on Quick Take Today,

0:16:41.680 --> 0:16:45.720
<v Speaker 1>Sophie that Bill Gates didn't start giving significantly until he

0:16:45.880 --> 0:16:48.800
<v Speaker 1>left Microsoft as CEO, which which I thought was a

0:16:49.040 --> 0:16:52.320
<v Speaker 1>really important point and not something that I had considered. Um,

0:16:53.040 --> 0:16:54.960
<v Speaker 1>I wonder if that's what we're going to start seeing

0:16:55.000 --> 0:16:57.760
<v Speaker 1>from Jeff Bezos now that he has stepped down, or

0:16:58.000 --> 0:16:59.680
<v Speaker 1>he said he would step down and that will happen

0:16:59.760 --> 0:17:01.840
<v Speaker 1>later this year and hand off the reins to to

0:17:01.920 --> 0:17:04.600
<v Speaker 1>somebody else at Amazon. Are we going to start seeing

0:17:04.640 --> 0:17:09.119
<v Speaker 1>Jeff Bezos give away more money? That is sort of

0:17:09.240 --> 0:17:11.840
<v Speaker 1>the big question, you know, in his letter announcing that

0:17:11.960 --> 0:17:15.000
<v Speaker 1>he would be stepping down, he mentioned the Day One

0:17:15.080 --> 0:17:17.320
<v Speaker 1>Fund and he mentioned the Earth Fund as two of

0:17:17.400 --> 0:17:20.000
<v Speaker 1>the things that he plans to focus on more. So,

0:17:20.480 --> 0:17:23.600
<v Speaker 1>you know, it's been a few years now since he

0:17:24.080 --> 0:17:26.879
<v Speaker 1>made those announcements that he start would start the Day

0:17:26.920 --> 0:17:29.360
<v Speaker 1>one Fund, and he announced the Earth Fund last year,

0:17:29.720 --> 0:17:32.320
<v Speaker 1>but really has only given about a billion dollars of

0:17:32.400 --> 0:17:34.800
<v Speaker 1>the twelve billion dollars that he's committed to giving. And

0:17:34.920 --> 0:17:38.200
<v Speaker 1>he's set no timeline for himself, so you know, he's

0:17:38.240 --> 0:17:42.560
<v Speaker 1>not really going to be held to anything um, but

0:17:42.800 --> 0:17:46.920
<v Speaker 1>we could see more from him coming soon. Well, I

0:17:47.000 --> 0:17:49.320
<v Speaker 1>think you know, that's it's an interesting point here because

0:17:49.680 --> 0:17:53.320
<v Speaker 1>you know, even just yesterday they're the Chronicle of Philanthropy

0:17:53.480 --> 0:17:57.280
<v Speaker 1>came out with some big numbers from from uh Bezos

0:17:57.359 --> 0:17:59.640
<v Speaker 1>and Scott and others, and and one of the things

0:17:59.680 --> 0:18:02.200
<v Speaker 1>that is interesting there is that you know, Bezos his

0:18:02.280 --> 0:18:04.399
<v Speaker 1>name was actually at the top of that list because

0:18:04.440 --> 0:18:07.080
<v Speaker 1>of what he's pledged, but not actually what he's given.

0:18:07.160 --> 0:18:08.960
<v Speaker 1>And that I think is that one of the things

0:18:09.040 --> 0:18:11.119
<v Speaker 1>that is really important to keep in mind what what

0:18:11.320 --> 0:18:14.280
<v Speaker 1>Sophie and Ben did a great job of underscoring in

0:18:14.359 --> 0:18:16.520
<v Speaker 1>this is like one thing to pledge and it's another

0:18:16.560 --> 0:18:19.640
<v Speaker 1>thing to actually do. And what she you know, really

0:18:19.720 --> 0:18:22.600
<v Speaker 1>showed here is is uh that you can do something

0:18:22.800 --> 0:18:26.399
<v Speaker 1>big and dramatic and do it actually fast. And that

0:18:26.680 --> 0:18:28.879
<v Speaker 1>that I think is the thing that everyone in the

0:18:28.920 --> 0:18:31.600
<v Speaker 1>philanthropy world has looked at her and said, wow, this

0:18:31.760 --> 0:18:34.520
<v Speaker 1>is something. So Sophie, my my my last question for

0:18:34.640 --> 0:18:37.200
<v Speaker 1>you is how competitive does it get when your ex

0:18:37.320 --> 0:18:40.640
<v Speaker 1>life give it aways six billion? Like you, that's something

0:18:40.720 --> 0:18:42.760
<v Speaker 1>you have to kind of like the sort of kindle

0:18:42.800 --> 0:18:45.920
<v Speaker 1>a fire in your belly to be like, did you

0:18:46.080 --> 0:18:49.440
<v Speaker 1>really do that? You know, it just it happens. It's

0:18:49.480 --> 0:18:54.000
<v Speaker 1>like you can hear an echo in here. That's a

0:18:54.040 --> 0:18:55.840
<v Speaker 1>real laugh from Joel. I like, all right, you guys,

0:18:55.960 --> 0:18:59.359
<v Speaker 1>just be quiet. Go ahead, Sophie answer. I was just

0:18:59.400 --> 0:19:02.359
<v Speaker 1>going to say. I mean, it's impossible to say what

0:19:02.480 --> 0:19:06.280
<v Speaker 1>the relationship is now and how her giving impact his giving.

0:19:06.560 --> 0:19:09.119
<v Speaker 1>You know, she's been the giving pledge, she hasn't and

0:19:09.200 --> 0:19:12.760
<v Speaker 1>he's been sort of knocked for that. Um But and

0:19:12.880 --> 0:19:16.760
<v Speaker 1>it's also impossible to say what their philosophic giving, you know,

0:19:16.880 --> 0:19:19.240
<v Speaker 1>who did what while they were together? Was I talked

0:19:19.280 --> 0:19:21.320
<v Speaker 1>to you an expert about such? So it's really hard

0:19:21.359 --> 0:19:23.119
<v Speaker 1>to say. You know, it's very from couple to couple.

0:19:23.560 --> 0:19:25.600
<v Speaker 1>Um So, we just don't really know enough about their

0:19:25.640 --> 0:19:29.240
<v Speaker 1>individual personalities to be able to say much more on that.

0:19:29.480 --> 0:19:31.440
<v Speaker 1>But you've got to think that, you know, when people

0:19:31.480 --> 0:19:34.639
<v Speaker 1>are talking about the Amazon fortune and seeing these things that,

0:19:35.000 --> 0:19:37.880
<v Speaker 1>you know, he might feel a certain responsibility to sort

0:19:37.920 --> 0:19:39.680
<v Speaker 1>of stuck it up. It's gonna be a prime topic

0:19:39.760 --> 0:19:44.440
<v Speaker 1>that comes up. We're a great team. I'm just gonna

0:19:44.520 --> 0:19:47.200
<v Speaker 1>say it, all right, Gotta run, guys. Sophia Alexander, thank

0:19:47.200 --> 0:19:49.480
<v Speaker 1>you so much. Wealth Team reporter at Bloomberg News on

0:19:49.560 --> 0:19:51.720
<v Speaker 1>the phone from San Francisco. Check her out on Twitter.

0:19:52.040 --> 0:19:55.280
<v Speaker 1>Check out that story on Bloomberg dot com. Jil Weber,

0:19:55.440 --> 0:19:58.399
<v Speaker 1>thank you, editor at Bloomberg Business Week, Promote access from Brooklyn.

0:19:58.600 --> 0:20:02.600
<v Speaker 1>This is Bloomberg This Week with Carol Messer and Bloomberg

0:20:02.680 --> 0:20:07.040
<v Speaker 1>Quick Takes. Tim Stinovic from Bloomberg Radio. So um, Tim.

0:20:07.080 --> 0:20:10.000
<v Speaker 1>We talked about the impeachment proceedings before the break. More

0:20:10.080 --> 0:20:12.240
<v Speaker 1>news out of DC, because let's not forget we've got

0:20:12.520 --> 0:20:14.760
<v Speaker 1>present Buyden Democrats. They're working to get you know, his

0:20:14.840 --> 0:20:17.399
<v Speaker 1>COVID nineteen relief plan through Congress. And as Bloomberg Business

0:20:17.400 --> 0:20:21.000
<v Speaker 1>Week National correspondent Josh Green reports, it's really an interesting

0:20:21.080 --> 0:20:24.680
<v Speaker 1>time for Democrats and the party as two Republican factions

0:20:24.680 --> 0:20:27.680
<v Speaker 1>are wrestling for control of the GOP. That split is

0:20:27.760 --> 0:20:31.000
<v Speaker 1>making an interesting era. Let's get into this with Josh

0:20:31.080 --> 0:20:33.479
<v Speaker 1>Green wrote the story. He's on the phone in Washington

0:20:33.560 --> 0:20:36.399
<v Speaker 1>to see. Josh also the author of Devil's Bargain, Steve Bannon,

0:20:36.440 --> 0:20:39.320
<v Speaker 1>Donald Trump, and the Nationalist uprising. Josh, So, tell us

0:20:39.320 --> 0:20:42.760
<v Speaker 1>about your story and what you were looking into. Well,

0:20:42.800 --> 0:20:47.000
<v Speaker 1>I was really looking at the Republican Party's inability or

0:20:47.040 --> 0:20:50.520
<v Speaker 1>unwillingness to move beyond Trump and what it's costing him.

0:20:50.640 --> 0:20:53.800
<v Speaker 1>In the Biden era, UM, there was a lot I

0:20:53.840 --> 0:20:56.199
<v Speaker 1>think after the insurrection, there was a lot of um

0:20:57.040 --> 0:21:00.440
<v Speaker 1>talk to the effect that Republicans were a gap willing

0:21:00.520 --> 0:21:03.520
<v Speaker 1>to break. And if you've watched the trial over the

0:21:03.600 --> 0:21:05.680
<v Speaker 1>last couple of days in the Center, it's been clear

0:21:05.800 --> 0:21:08.399
<v Speaker 1>that that by and large Republicans are sticking with Trump.

0:21:09.000 --> 0:21:10.639
<v Speaker 1>What I did in my column, though, was look at

0:21:10.680 --> 0:21:12.760
<v Speaker 1>the policy effects that that's going to have, And I

0:21:12.800 --> 0:21:16.320
<v Speaker 1>think the most interesting effect that I've come across is

0:21:16.359 --> 0:21:19.560
<v Speaker 1>the size of the COVID relief bill, which Biden introduced

0:21:19.600 --> 0:21:23.479
<v Speaker 1>at one point nine trillion dollars UM. Golden Sacks has

0:21:23.520 --> 0:21:26.280
<v Speaker 1>been tracking its estimates for what the final size of

0:21:26.320 --> 0:21:28.320
<v Speaker 1>the bill are going to be. A month ago, their

0:21:28.440 --> 0:21:32.000
<v Speaker 1>estimate was seven billion dollars, because the expectation was that

0:21:32.119 --> 0:21:37.119
<v Speaker 1>Republicans would negotiate and whittle that down. On Monday, they

0:21:37.200 --> 0:21:39.119
<v Speaker 1>came out with a new note saying now we think

0:21:39.160 --> 0:21:42.080
<v Speaker 1>it's gonna be one point five trillion dollars, twice the

0:21:42.160 --> 0:21:46.440
<v Speaker 1>size earlier, basically because Republicans, instead of trying to negotiate

0:21:46.480 --> 0:21:49.920
<v Speaker 1>and whittle down the price tag, have been busy defending

0:21:50.000 --> 0:21:52.720
<v Speaker 1>Trump and haven't really been willing to engage in try

0:21:52.760 --> 0:21:55.399
<v Speaker 1>and exert their influence on policy. And I think it's

0:21:55.440 --> 0:21:57.119
<v Speaker 1>a big trend that a lot of people have been

0:21:57.200 --> 0:21:59.440
<v Speaker 1>missing early in the Biden era. So, Josh, you you

0:21:59.560 --> 0:22:02.800
<v Speaker 1>mentioned the presidencies of Barack Obama and Bill Clinton, and

0:22:03.000 --> 0:22:06.680
<v Speaker 1>you write that navigating such a middle course consumed UH

0:22:06.880 --> 0:22:09.959
<v Speaker 1>them and often ended in frustration and defeat. How does

0:22:10.040 --> 0:22:13.800
<v Speaker 1>Biden free himself from navigating this middle course? What is

0:22:13.800 --> 0:22:15.560
<v Speaker 1>the opportunity that he has in a time when it

0:22:15.640 --> 0:22:17.840
<v Speaker 1>does seem like America is even more divided than it

0:22:18.000 --> 0:22:21.800
<v Speaker 1>was then. We know the last two Democratic presidents, Bill

0:22:21.840 --> 0:22:25.480
<v Speaker 1>Clinton Barack Obama have both both made concerted efforts to

0:22:25.560 --> 0:22:29.280
<v Speaker 1>kind of reach out and appeal to a group of

0:22:30.080 --> 0:22:33.880
<v Speaker 1>center right Republicans in the Senate because there was great

0:22:34.200 --> 0:22:38.040
<v Speaker 1>premium put I think on legislation being bipartisan. I think

0:22:38.200 --> 0:22:43.800
<v Speaker 1>one effect of the Republican parties uh decision to to

0:22:43.920 --> 0:22:48.200
<v Speaker 1>sort of uh defend Trump and kind of remain that

0:22:48.400 --> 0:22:51.840
<v Speaker 1>Maga party is that there really isn't that kind of

0:22:51.920 --> 0:22:55.680
<v Speaker 1>block of centrist Republicans for Biden to try and negotiate with.

0:22:56.520 --> 0:23:01.400
<v Speaker 1>And as a result, Biden, the Democrats haven't really therefore

0:23:01.480 --> 0:23:04.280
<v Speaker 1>had any need to trim their sales into shrink the

0:23:04.320 --> 0:23:09.080
<v Speaker 1>size of these packages, so, you know, absent Republican negotiating partners,

0:23:09.119 --> 0:23:12.639
<v Speaker 1>what Biden's done instead is turned to the left and say, Okay,

0:23:12.720 --> 0:23:15.520
<v Speaker 1>if this is my legislative path to getting fifty votes,

0:23:16.119 --> 0:23:18.600
<v Speaker 1>then I'll do what the folks on my left want,

0:23:18.680 --> 0:23:20.400
<v Speaker 1>not on the folks on my right. And I think

0:23:20.680 --> 0:23:24.000
<v Speaker 1>that's why we've seen the doubling of the size of

0:23:24.040 --> 0:23:27.280
<v Speaker 1>this COVID package in the Golden SACS estimate, because it's

0:23:27.320 --> 0:23:29.480
<v Speaker 1>going to reflect what the left wants, not what the

0:23:29.520 --> 0:23:31.560
<v Speaker 1>center right might have wanted. Well that's kind of interesting.

0:23:31.600 --> 0:23:34.280
<v Speaker 1>So when we think about policy to come, should we

0:23:34.400 --> 0:23:39.520
<v Speaker 1>look way left? I don't, you know, in general terms,

0:23:39.560 --> 0:23:42.200
<v Speaker 1>I think yes, that it has become pretty clear early

0:23:42.320 --> 0:23:45.760
<v Speaker 1>on that Biden's legislative path is going to be the

0:23:45.880 --> 0:23:49.000
<v Speaker 1>unified Democrats. I think it's easier to do on something

0:23:49.119 --> 0:23:52.239
<v Speaker 1>like COVID relief, which is broadly popular, more so than

0:23:52.320 --> 0:23:55.960
<v Speaker 1>maybe a Green New Deal or expanding the Supreme Court um.

0:23:56.240 --> 0:23:58.520
<v Speaker 1>But but certainly, I think what this is showing us

0:23:58.600 --> 0:24:02.240
<v Speaker 1>is that we need to reframe our expectations for what

0:24:02.440 --> 0:24:05.560
<v Speaker 1>sorts of policies are gonna be possible under Biden, uh

0:24:05.680 --> 0:24:07.800
<v Speaker 1>and what he might be able to do with people

0:24:07.880 --> 0:24:10.880
<v Speaker 1>on his left if Republicans decide that they don't want

0:24:10.880 --> 0:24:13.720
<v Speaker 1>to try and exert influence over his policies. So, Josh,

0:24:13.800 --> 0:24:16.240
<v Speaker 1>what where is the Republican Party right now? Because it

0:24:16.400 --> 0:24:18.600
<v Speaker 1>is I'm getting a couple of different signals here. Right

0:24:19.160 --> 0:24:21.240
<v Speaker 1>In the one sense, we are seeing widespread support for

0:24:21.359 --> 0:24:24.080
<v Speaker 1>for President Trump play out in the Senate trial right now,

0:24:24.200 --> 0:24:26.720
<v Speaker 1>there's no indication that that he would be convicted because

0:24:26.760 --> 0:24:29.160
<v Speaker 1>there we will not get, you know, the Democrats will

0:24:29.160 --> 0:24:32.240
<v Speaker 1>not get Republican support for conviction. But at the same time,

0:24:32.440 --> 0:24:34.240
<v Speaker 1>you write in your story that a majority of US

0:24:34.359 --> 0:24:37.119
<v Speaker 1>voters would like to see Trump convicted and barred from

0:24:37.200 --> 0:24:40.080
<v Speaker 1>running for office again. So there's disconnect between what the

0:24:40.119 --> 0:24:44.600
<v Speaker 1>American people want and what Republicans in Congress are are doing,

0:24:44.840 --> 0:24:47.760
<v Speaker 1>which is nothing new. I should say, yeah, exactly, No,

0:24:47.800 --> 0:24:49.320
<v Speaker 1>I think I think that's exactly right. And there's a

0:24:49.400 --> 0:24:51.879
<v Speaker 1>huff Post Yugov pull that came out this week that

0:24:51.960 --> 0:24:56.240
<v Speaker 1>showed that about three and four Republican voters wanted the

0:24:56.640 --> 0:24:59.640
<v Speaker 1>party to continue to follow Trump, and I think that's

0:24:59.680 --> 0:25:02.199
<v Speaker 1>what that's the major reason why you see a lot

0:25:02.280 --> 0:25:06.320
<v Speaker 1>of Republicans like Lindsey Graham, who were vocally critical of

0:25:06.440 --> 0:25:11.080
<v Speaker 1>Trump after the insurrection have completely turned around and now

0:25:11.160 --> 0:25:13.920
<v Speaker 1>are defending him and attacking Democrats. But if you pull

0:25:13.960 --> 0:25:16.640
<v Speaker 1>back and look at the broader universe of US voters,

0:25:17.320 --> 0:25:20.160
<v Speaker 1>they are still very unhappy with Trump, more so after

0:25:20.280 --> 0:25:24.280
<v Speaker 1>the insurrection, and a slim majority of voters and most

0:25:24.320 --> 0:25:27.480
<v Speaker 1>polls that I've seen this week, I want Trump convicted

0:25:27.520 --> 0:25:30.000
<v Speaker 1>and barred from running for office again. So I think

0:25:30.040 --> 0:25:32.200
<v Speaker 1>what what what we can really take away is that

0:25:32.359 --> 0:25:35.639
<v Speaker 1>the Republican Party so far has not been willing to

0:25:35.760 --> 0:25:38.680
<v Speaker 1>move beyond trump um. And what I try and do

0:25:38.760 --> 0:25:42.040
<v Speaker 1>in this piece is illustrate the policy cost of them

0:25:42.160 --> 0:25:45.320
<v Speaker 1>not wanting to move forward. What what it's done is

0:25:45.600 --> 0:25:49.680
<v Speaker 1>give Democrats more room to move their bills to the left.

0:25:50.520 --> 0:25:53.560
<v Speaker 1>All right, good, thank you so much, Josh, appreciate it.

0:25:53.680 --> 0:25:58.040
<v Speaker 1>Josh Green, National correspondent Bloomberg Business Week, joining us from Washington,

0:25:58.200 --> 0:26:01.000
<v Speaker 1>d C. You can, of course read Josh's story on

0:26:01.040 --> 0:26:03.560
<v Speaker 1>the Bloomberger at Bloomberg dot com, so check it out,

0:26:03.560 --> 0:26:05.720
<v Speaker 1>and also check out his book Devil's Bargain, Steve band

0:26:05.760 --> 0:26:14.080
<v Speaker 1>and Donald Trump and the Nationalist Uprising. I'm broom macro journal. Yeah,

0:26:14.160 --> 0:26:19.480
<v Speaker 1>but you let me drive drug home, honey, please, I'll

0:26:19.480 --> 0:26:22.680
<v Speaker 1>do the right gravel. Lets me. I want to drive,

0:26:25.400 --> 0:26:38.000
<v Speaker 1>Just drive, baby, it's the question trying. This is the

0:26:38.240 --> 0:26:42.080
<v Speaker 1>drive to the Globe Commune. Thanks, we'll drying us down

0:26:42.359 --> 0:26:45.280
<v Speaker 1>on Bloomberg Radio. All right, folks, Yeah, eleven minutes left

0:26:45.400 --> 0:26:47.560
<v Speaker 1>in today's trading such as suit is time for the

0:26:47.640 --> 0:26:50.200
<v Speaker 1>drive to the close. Philip Palumbo is with us, back

0:26:50.280 --> 0:26:53.280
<v Speaker 1>with us, CEO, ce IO and founder of Palumbo Wealth Management.

0:26:53.600 --> 0:26:56.600
<v Speaker 1>They're a boutique wealth management firm roughly three hundred million

0:26:56.720 --> 0:26:59.360
<v Speaker 1>dollars in assets under management, and he joins us once

0:26:59.359 --> 0:27:01.800
<v Speaker 1>again on the phone in Great Neck Long Island. I fail.

0:27:01.840 --> 0:27:04.280
<v Speaker 1>How are you good, Carol? How are you? Thanks for

0:27:04.320 --> 0:27:08.080
<v Speaker 1>having me back? Yeah, you're welcome. You're welcome. Uh to it? Okay, uh,

0:27:08.320 --> 0:27:10.760
<v Speaker 1>you know, trying to make sense out of a market

0:27:10.800 --> 0:27:14.240
<v Speaker 1>that continues to hear hit records, Bitcoin hits records. There's

0:27:14.240 --> 0:27:16.679
<v Speaker 1>a lot of asset classes. Uh. And yet we've got

0:27:16.760 --> 0:27:20.320
<v Speaker 1>millions out of work, We've got an economy that's still struggling. Uh.

0:27:20.480 --> 0:27:21.960
<v Speaker 1>There's still a lot of questions out there. We've got

0:27:22.000 --> 0:27:23.360
<v Speaker 1>a lot of people who still are you know, we're

0:27:23.400 --> 0:27:27.560
<v Speaker 1>dealing with COVID still. Um, how do you see it? Yes,

0:27:27.600 --> 0:27:29.240
<v Speaker 1>the last time I was on the show November eleventh,

0:27:29.280 --> 0:27:31.240
<v Speaker 1>I had said I was bullish on on the economy

0:27:31.280 --> 0:27:34.880
<v Speaker 1>recovery really because of the vaccines and breakthroughs of that, etcetera.

0:27:35.359 --> 0:27:36.840
<v Speaker 1>So I kind of still feel the same way. My

0:27:36.960 --> 0:27:39.120
<v Speaker 1>only concern is that I do feel, like you said,

0:27:39.200 --> 0:27:41.040
<v Speaker 1>things are stretched at this point. So I do see

0:27:41.080 --> 0:27:43.600
<v Speaker 1>volatility over the next month or two, which I do

0:27:43.760 --> 0:27:45.359
<v Speaker 1>think would be healthy to get a little bit of

0:27:45.400 --> 0:27:48.240
<v Speaker 1>a pullback here. But ultimately it's tough for the market

0:27:48.280 --> 0:27:50.359
<v Speaker 1>to pull back a lot, just because of the backstop

0:27:50.480 --> 0:27:53.520
<v Speaker 1>with the monetary and the fiscal policy and all the

0:27:53.560 --> 0:27:56.520
<v Speaker 1>money that's gonna be coming to people, and then in

0:27:56.640 --> 0:27:59.440
<v Speaker 1>the back end of this year with the reopening of economies,

0:28:00.240 --> 0:28:02.680
<v Speaker 1>it's gonna be it's tough to go against and bed

0:28:02.760 --> 0:28:05.760
<v Speaker 1>against the market continue to go that much lower from

0:28:05.760 --> 0:28:07.480
<v Speaker 1>where we are right now, let's talk some of the

0:28:07.680 --> 0:28:10.000
<v Speaker 1>companies that you're you're following closely, starting with Disney, a

0:28:10.040 --> 0:28:14.040
<v Speaker 1>company reporting earnings after the bell today. Disney Plus obviously

0:28:14.119 --> 0:28:15.719
<v Speaker 1>has seen huge growth. I mean, it is what has

0:28:15.800 --> 0:28:19.760
<v Speaker 1>powered Disney to record highs. But my question is is

0:28:20.119 --> 0:28:22.280
<v Speaker 1>how long our investor is going to have the patients

0:28:22.440 --> 0:28:25.960
<v Speaker 1>for Disney Plus making up for optimism around Disney pluss

0:28:26.000 --> 0:28:30.199
<v Speaker 1>making up for losses at theme parks and movies movie theaters. Uh,

0:28:30.480 --> 0:28:34.200
<v Speaker 1>and of course the cruises as well. Well. You well,

0:28:35.000 --> 0:28:37.200
<v Speaker 1>on the back half of this year with the vaccine breakthroughs,

0:28:37.200 --> 0:28:38.600
<v Speaker 1>I mean, it's you're going to see an improvement in

0:28:38.600 --> 0:28:41.400
<v Speaker 1>the theme parks. You're gonna see parts that are closed reopened,

0:28:41.440 --> 0:28:44.640
<v Speaker 1>you can see parks that are open, capacities increase, right,

0:28:44.680 --> 0:28:46.800
<v Speaker 1>So you're gonna see an improvement in the revenues overall

0:28:46.840 --> 0:28:49.120
<v Speaker 1>for the theme parks going into third fourth quarter of

0:28:49.200 --> 0:28:51.080
<v Speaker 1>this year and first quarter of next year, in all

0:28:51.120 --> 0:28:53.400
<v Speaker 1>of twenty two, so there's definitely going to be improvement

0:28:53.480 --> 0:28:56.560
<v Speaker 1>versus the opposite. Their number one number two, the Disney

0:28:56.560 --> 0:28:58.920
<v Speaker 1>Plus is tremendous and the opportunity is tremendous when when

0:28:58.920 --> 0:29:00.480
<v Speaker 1>we look at it and we think of out it. Right,

0:29:00.480 --> 0:29:04.280
<v Speaker 1>over over thirteen month period, right, they brought on ninety

0:29:04.320 --> 0:29:07.840
<v Speaker 1>million subscribers, and if you think about the forecast four

0:29:07.840 --> 0:29:12.760
<v Speaker 1>we're talking tooty million forecast to subscribers. If you extrapolate

0:29:12.880 --> 0:29:15.479
<v Speaker 1>the revenue generator from that, in the bottom line to Disney,

0:29:16.000 --> 0:29:18.200
<v Speaker 1>it's it's not about what they're gonna what they're gonna

0:29:18.440 --> 0:29:20.760
<v Speaker 1>print this quarter or next quarter or the quarter after.

0:29:20.800 --> 0:29:22.920
<v Speaker 1>It's really about where they're going to be three to

0:29:23.040 --> 0:29:25.120
<v Speaker 1>five years. They're going to be a different company, not

0:29:25.320 --> 0:29:27.719
<v Speaker 1>just a company that's all about the parks. Yeah, talk

0:29:27.760 --> 0:29:33.600
<v Speaker 1>about a big pivotal right, Yeah, I mean new CEO,

0:29:33.760 --> 0:29:35.720
<v Speaker 1>new thinking. I mean, I do feel like there's and

0:29:35.760 --> 0:29:38.240
<v Speaker 1>maybe that's the pandemic that, you know, things that maybe

0:29:38.280 --> 0:29:39.920
<v Speaker 1>a company has been thinking about. All of a sudden,

0:29:39.920 --> 0:29:42.360
<v Speaker 1>they're like, we don't got time to do focus groups

0:29:42.360 --> 0:29:45.440
<v Speaker 1>and figure out the best way to slowly make this move.

0:29:45.560 --> 0:29:49.040
<v Speaker 1>We've just got to do it. M Yeah, I think

0:29:49.080 --> 0:29:50.560
<v Speaker 1>there was a little bit of luck in there as well, right,

0:29:50.680 --> 0:29:52.520
<v Speaker 1>I mean, it was before it was before Covid, but

0:29:52.560 --> 0:29:55.920
<v Speaker 1>COVID definitely accelerated there. I think they're they're excellence in

0:29:55.960 --> 0:29:58.040
<v Speaker 1>that particular area. But it's been remarkable. It really has

0:29:58.160 --> 0:30:01.239
<v Speaker 1>everybody agrees to that. I do think, however, I mean

0:30:01.280 --> 0:30:04.080
<v Speaker 1>it's a little stretched here from evaluation standpoints, I wouldn't

0:30:04.080 --> 0:30:06.280
<v Speaker 1>be supposed a little. It's a hundred and sixty three

0:30:06.360 --> 0:30:08.320
<v Speaker 1>of a P A P E F when sixty three

0:30:08.360 --> 0:30:13.040
<v Speaker 1>of forward looking po how stretched is it? Yeah? So

0:30:13.080 --> 0:30:15.040
<v Speaker 1>it's stretched. So if you look at volatility and market

0:30:15.160 --> 0:30:17.600
<v Speaker 1>in in the options market, I wouldn't be surprised that

0:30:17.760 --> 0:30:20.480
<v Speaker 1>after the print, after the bell today that we see

0:30:20.560 --> 0:30:22.880
<v Speaker 1>some sort of pullback and they started the straight flat

0:30:22.960 --> 0:30:25.520
<v Speaker 1>for for a month or two, but then ultimately I

0:30:25.600 --> 0:30:28.600
<v Speaker 1>do think that the next leg is going to be higher. Yeah, well, listen,

0:30:28.640 --> 0:30:30.600
<v Speaker 1>it's it's a forward looking story at this I mean,

0:30:30.640 --> 0:30:32.560
<v Speaker 1>if you think about how much it was beaten up,

0:30:32.600 --> 0:30:35.320
<v Speaker 1>but it's been on quite a bounce back since those

0:30:35.640 --> 0:30:38.280
<v Speaker 1>loads in October. Are you speaking of a forward looking story?

0:30:38.360 --> 0:30:40.400
<v Speaker 1>I know that you recently added jets the airline e

0:30:40.480 --> 0:30:43.320
<v Speaker 1>t F to your portfolio. How are you thinking about

0:30:43.360 --> 0:30:48.240
<v Speaker 1>airlines weathering this storm? Yeah? So, so we're in our view,

0:30:48.360 --> 0:30:50.680
<v Speaker 1>we're in a growth accelerating story with the economy. We

0:30:50.800 --> 0:30:53.400
<v Speaker 1>troll fell it last year. We're now recovering. And anytime

0:30:53.440 --> 0:30:56.800
<v Speaker 1>you go through a recovery, small caps lead and cyclicals lead.

0:30:56.880 --> 0:30:59.800
<v Speaker 1>And part of the cyclical story is Disney and also

0:31:00.400 --> 0:31:01.920
<v Speaker 1>uh the airlines, which, like I said, we just took

0:31:01.920 --> 0:31:04.240
<v Speaker 1>a position a couple of weeks ago. So again it's

0:31:04.280 --> 0:31:06.520
<v Speaker 1>the same story that we've all been hearing on the

0:31:06.560 --> 0:31:10.120
<v Speaker 1>back after this year going at two airlines, what we believe,

0:31:10.200 --> 0:31:11.840
<v Speaker 1>you know, we'll make a comeback. It's part of the

0:31:11.880 --> 0:31:14.959
<v Speaker 1>cyclical story, and that's why we're in that. Yeah. I mean,

0:31:15.200 --> 0:31:16.960
<v Speaker 1>so if I look at the you know, the jet

0:31:17.000 --> 0:31:18.640
<v Speaker 1>C t F for like right now, I mean it's

0:31:19.000 --> 0:31:21.040
<v Speaker 1>at and change. How much higher does it go in

0:31:21.120 --> 0:31:25.400
<v Speaker 1>your view? I think I think in the cards six

0:31:25.520 --> 0:31:27.440
<v Speaker 1>for sure, you know, I think the I think it's

0:31:27.440 --> 0:31:28.920
<v Speaker 1>going to slowly move that way. I don't think you

0:31:28.960 --> 0:31:31.680
<v Speaker 1>get a quick increase to the upside. I would say,

0:31:31.880 --> 0:31:33.960
<v Speaker 1>you know, the third quarter, fourth quarter of this year,

0:31:34.040 --> 0:31:36.760
<v Speaker 1>I think you can see its far movements a price

0:31:36.840 --> 0:31:38.400
<v Speaker 1>target and which we're looking for. So this is this

0:31:38.520 --> 0:31:40.400
<v Speaker 1>for us is more of It's not a long term

0:31:40.440 --> 0:31:42.640
<v Speaker 1>investment for us. It's probably more of a trade off

0:31:42.720 --> 0:31:44.880
<v Speaker 1>of the cyclical recovery. Talked to us about docusian and

0:31:44.920 --> 0:31:47.719
<v Speaker 1>I've actually had to use it during the pandemic, right,

0:31:47.880 --> 0:31:49.840
<v Speaker 1>I mean, and it was on a tear last year,

0:31:49.960 --> 0:31:53.080
<v Speaker 1>was up and it's continuing to climb higher here up

0:31:53.080 --> 0:31:56.240
<v Speaker 1>about fifteen six percent here, Um, what you're thinking about it?

0:31:56.360 --> 0:32:00.960
<v Speaker 1>It's now two fifty six seven. Uh, where does it go? Yeah? Again,

0:32:01.000 --> 0:32:03.120
<v Speaker 1>care everything is expensive, as you just said before, so

0:32:03.200 --> 0:32:04.840
<v Speaker 1>I'm not denying that. But one thing I will say

0:32:04.880 --> 0:32:07.720
<v Speaker 1>that documsign is a fine company. The economic moat is

0:32:07.880 --> 0:32:10.320
<v Speaker 1>very wide. Uh, there are not many that do it

0:32:10.400 --> 0:32:13.400
<v Speaker 1>as well as documsign has done. I mean, Covid accelerated

0:32:13.520 --> 0:32:15.600
<v Speaker 1>all a lot of their growth like many other companies.

0:32:15.680 --> 0:32:17.920
<v Speaker 1>But for sure this is here to stay. For a

0:32:18.040 --> 0:32:21.600
<v Speaker 1>very long time. Customers got used to and consumers got

0:32:21.720 --> 0:32:24.840
<v Speaker 1>used to using documsign for all different industries. So so

0:32:24.960 --> 0:32:28.080
<v Speaker 1>that's why we believe longer term DocuSign is is here

0:32:28.160 --> 0:32:30.360
<v Speaker 1>to stay. The revenue growth numbers zero every year, a

0:32:30.400 --> 0:32:32.440
<v Speaker 1>bit pretty dramatic for the last few years, and it

0:32:32.440 --> 0:32:33.880
<v Speaker 1>makes sense. You're not going to go back to signing

0:32:33.920 --> 0:32:36.160
<v Speaker 1>paper documents. What once you've used the problem? So we

0:32:36.280 --> 0:32:38.720
<v Speaker 1>need to use right exactly. It really is simple for

0:32:38.760 --> 0:32:40.760
<v Speaker 1>the consumer to use. So I think that's a great

0:32:40.800 --> 0:32:43.320
<v Speaker 1>story longer term, still, very briefly, UM, anything that you've

0:32:43.360 --> 0:32:47.840
<v Speaker 1>moved away from in recent months you've gotten out of. Um.

0:32:48.160 --> 0:32:49.640
<v Speaker 1>You know. The only thing we've don't we've been doing

0:32:49.840 --> 0:32:52.360
<v Speaker 1>is you know, the investments that are trading twenty to

0:32:52.440 --> 0:32:55.440
<v Speaker 1>fifty times sales, which that is in our opinion, way

0:32:55.520 --> 0:32:58.560
<v Speaker 1>over valued. So we're reducing some of our growth moving

0:32:58.640 --> 0:33:02.120
<v Speaker 1>towards the value. Historically, the strategy has always been to

0:33:02.480 --> 0:33:05.960
<v Speaker 1>blend growth and value evenly. So growth has outperformed value

0:33:05.960 --> 0:33:08.720
<v Speaker 1>now for for some time obviously, So now we're looking

0:33:08.760 --> 0:33:10.600
<v Speaker 1>to reduce some of the risk from growth moving into

0:33:10.680 --> 0:33:13.760
<v Speaker 1>value as we think as interest rates we believe move

0:33:13.880 --> 0:33:15.560
<v Speaker 1>higher over the next two or three or four years,

0:33:15.880 --> 0:33:18.160
<v Speaker 1>we think value as a chance of doing better than growth,

0:33:18.240 --> 0:33:20.160
<v Speaker 1>So we want to keep I have heard that for

0:33:20.240 --> 0:33:22.960
<v Speaker 1>a long time. Help me too. It's been a lot

0:33:23.000 --> 0:33:25.880
<v Speaker 1>of headcaches, right, but I think I think this. I'm

0:33:25.960 --> 0:33:27.680
<v Speaker 1>hoping this time around it's it's going to be for

0:33:27.760 --> 0:33:29.840
<v Speaker 1>real because there's some value in that area. Yeah, it

0:33:29.880 --> 0:33:31.840
<v Speaker 1>does feel like and I'm not a market predictor, but

0:33:31.920 --> 0:33:34.120
<v Speaker 1>it does feel like you know that there's some fluff

0:33:34.160 --> 0:33:36.240
<v Speaker 1>in the market, and that at some point we'll see

0:33:36.280 --> 0:33:38.440
<v Speaker 1>somewhat of a correction or maybe a little bit of

0:33:38.440 --> 0:33:40.680
<v Speaker 1>a pullback, as we've often done, and then the market

0:33:40.760 --> 0:33:43.040
<v Speaker 1>just heads higher. Um. Phil, thank you so much. Have

0:33:43.120 --> 0:33:46.560
<v Speaker 1>a great weekend. Phil Palumbo, founder, CEO, and chief investment

0:33:46.600 --> 0:33:49.560
<v Speaker 1>officer at Palumbo Wealth Management roughly three million in assets

0:33:49.640 --> 0:33:52.560
<v Speaker 1>under management, on the phone from Great Neck, New York.

0:33:57.080 --> 0:33:59.880
<v Speaker 1>Thanks for listening to Bloomberg Business Week. Download the podcast

0:34:00.000 --> 0:34:02.920
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0:34:02.960 --> 0:34:05.080
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0:34:05.160 --> 0:34:08.279
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0:34:08.320 --> 0:34:11.520
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