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Speaker 1: What's up, guys? How are you happy? Sunday?

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Speaker 2: Welcome into another episode of the Daily Juice Podcast. My

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Speaker 2: name is Matt Perolt. You guys can follow me across

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Speaker 2: all socials at sports Talk Matt. If you follow me

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Speaker 2: on Instagram at sports Talk Matt, you can go to

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Speaker 2: my Instagram stories and see how I went through last

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Speaker 2: night with the roller coaster that was the Creighton Blue

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Speaker 2: Jays up against the Oregon Ducks. Dana Altman, the guy

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Speaker 2: who I spend years with covering when the Jays were

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Speaker 2: in the Valley, to Greg McDermott, who took the Jays

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Speaker 2: from the Valley to the Big East and now has

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Speaker 2: taken the Creighton Blue Jays to the Sweet sixteen three

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Speaker 2: of the last four years, something that Dana Altman could

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Speaker 2: never do create university, even though he built that program.

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Speaker 1: I was torn.

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Speaker 2: I was emotionally, physically and mentally dead at the end

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Speaker 2: of that game, double overtime. What a shot by Ryan Kalchbrenner.

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Speaker 2: I mean not since Ali farokmanesh against Kansas, the biggest no, no,

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Speaker 2: yes shot I can remember up three in doublet and

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Speaker 2: a seven footer hits a three to close the game.

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Speaker 2: Are you kidding me. Now, couple of things. If you're

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Speaker 2: on the Discord channel, A couple of things take to

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Speaker 2: take note of. Okay, I have put down two hedge

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Speaker 2: bets so far. Now every future bet we have made

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Speaker 2: is live. Marquette is the final piece to get there.

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Speaker 2: Creighton thirty to one, Marquette twenty to one. I bet

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Speaker 2: a unit back on both the Creighton Blue Jays and Marquette.

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Speaker 2: So those futures went from twenty to one to nineteen

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Speaker 2: to one and thirty to one to twenty nine to one. Okay,

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Speaker 2: they're into the sweet sixteen. I have a future. We

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Speaker 2: have a future on Tennessee. The Jays are playing Tennessee.

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Speaker 2: We have guaranteed ourselves a team in the Elite eight.

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Speaker 2: I may not do anything with that game, all right.

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Speaker 2: I may just let that play out whoever wins, okay, great,

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Speaker 2: and we may not even touch it.

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Speaker 1: Okay. So I'm not entirely sure what we're gonna do.

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Speaker 2: But the Jays were two and a half point dogs

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Speaker 2: to Tennessee at Open, and the money came in quickly,

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Speaker 2: short limit, but came quickly on the Jays. I was surprised.

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Speaker 2: I thought Creighton might be favored. Tennessee is favored. I'm

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Speaker 2: not sure I agree with that, to be quite honest,

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Speaker 2: If the Jays shoot like they did in game one

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Speaker 2: of the tournament, I don't think Tennessee is gonna be

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Speaker 2: able to keep up. I like Creighton to win that

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Speaker 2: game and beat Tennessee. Now on my bracket, I picked

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Speaker 2: Tennessee to beat the Creyton Blue Jays after watching how

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Speaker 2: these games have played out.

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Speaker 1: I don't know.

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Speaker 2: Yes, Delta Connect can go nuclear and the Jays will

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Speaker 2: have no answer. But if the Jays shoot like they

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Speaker 2: can shoot normally, like not like the first half against Oregon,

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Speaker 2: and they actually if Tennessee runs with the Jays, Oregon

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Speaker 2: had no didn't want to do that, I don't know.

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Speaker 2: I think that plays right into Greg McDermott and and

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Speaker 2: and in the Jays hands against Tennessee. So North Carolina

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Speaker 2: is in the Sweet sixteen, Arizona is in the Sweet sixteen,

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Speaker 2: Iowa State is in the Sweet sixteen. Marquette playing today

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Speaker 2: for the Sweet sixteen. Although the Iowa State one is

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Speaker 2: not official. That's just on me. I forgot about that. Sorry,

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Speaker 2: we have five, I have six. We have five official bets.

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Speaker 2: Carolina is there. Creighton is there, Arizona's there, Tennessee is there,

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Speaker 2: and Marquette soon to play. So those will be the

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Speaker 2: five five of the sixteen seeds, sixteen teams, and the

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Speaker 2: sweet sixteen would be really sweet if we get that.

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Speaker 2: So I'm touching the Markette game today. Okay, nothing on

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Speaker 2: Marquette was let that play out. I think Marquette does win,

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Speaker 2: but the Buffaloes are hot. I'm nervous about Colorado. I'm

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Speaker 2: not gonna lie, but I've already had. So if we

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Speaker 2: lose the Marquete bet, we lose the Marquette bet, it's

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Speaker 2: just I'll take the one unit loss. Going into the

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Speaker 2: double overtime period. After that three got hit, I was like,

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Speaker 2: you know what we got to take it? It was plus

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Speaker 2: one ten or Mice one oh five. I got plus

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Speaker 2: one ten, but I saw I first saw mice one

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Speaker 2: oh five, and I told you guys to bet it

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Speaker 2: at Mice one oh five. And then I saw a

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Speaker 2: plus one ten in a different book, and I jumped

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Speaker 2: on that personally, but it all lost.

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Speaker 1: It didn't matter.

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Speaker 2: It is a one unit, one point zero five unit

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Speaker 2: official loss. Just to cover the bet, right, just to

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Speaker 2: cover that one bet we have we have with the Jays.

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Speaker 2: At thirty to one, I was like, this is stupid.

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Speaker 2: We have to we can't lose money on this future

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Speaker 2: the Jays lose double overtime, we just have to, you know,

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Speaker 2: sit there and take the flat nature of it, and

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Speaker 2: we knocked down it to twenty nine to one. So

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Speaker 2: just so you know, that's how the future the future

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Speaker 2: market is different. Okay, I don't track it the same

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Speaker 2: way I told you. Each individual bet is being categorized

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Speaker 2: in its own way. Okay, it's hard to track it.

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Speaker 2: After it's all said and done, I'll tell you how

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Speaker 2: we fared. Right when at the end of the tournament,

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Speaker 2: we can come back and say, Okay, here's what we

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Speaker 2: bet here, here's where we bet there, we were profitable overall.

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Speaker 2: Here's how many units we win. Okay, again, I'm not

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Speaker 2: trying to win. Only one team can win the national championship. Sure,

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Speaker 2: I want to have that ticket, absolutely, but I want

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Speaker 2: to make money off every other ticket that we've got,

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Speaker 2: which gives us some good opportunities coming up with potentially

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Speaker 2: five of the sixteen seeds left in the tournament to

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Speaker 2: be us with future wagers again. Carolina and Arizona appear

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Speaker 2: to be on a collision course. The Creighton Blue Jays

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Speaker 2: and Tennessee are on a collision course, okay, or they're

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Speaker 2: going to play. So we're going to lose money there. Okay,

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Speaker 2: it's just guaranteed that we're gonna lose money in the beginning,

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Speaker 2: but at the end we hope to be profitable with

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Speaker 2: a future wager. May heck, the Jays win the national championship,

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Speaker 2: it's twenty nine to one, we'll heads more off of it.

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Speaker 1: Not gonna lie just they get to get to the lead.

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Speaker 2: Eight. Yeah, we'll probably come in pretty heavy five or

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Speaker 2: six units on it. But you know, for right now,

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Speaker 2: let's just enjoy the fact that we've got these teams

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Speaker 2: in the sweet sixteen. And what an unbelievable game for

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Speaker 2: the Creighton Blue Jays to win. That could set them up. Man,

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Speaker 2: they could make a final four run. Now, huge victory

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Speaker 2: for them to escape that game against Oregon. Dane Almon

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Speaker 2: is such a good coach. Oh, two guys two on

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Speaker 2: five and they almost knocked out the Jase. That's how

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Speaker 2: good Dane Alman. You know Almond is, And that's how

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Speaker 2: good those two kids were for for Oregon. They were awesome.

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Speaker 2: What a great game on games. So this podcast being

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Speaker 2: brought to you by our friends at almost steaks dot com.

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Speaker 2: Slash Juice a title sponsor in this podcast. Go there

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Speaker 2: subscribed Almas Steaks and when you do, they'll give you

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Speaker 2: All right, so on the week right now, we are

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Speaker 2: up one point two units back to back three and

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Speaker 2: one nights. Okay, we could have swept I mean day

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Speaker 2: and loss by ten. We had plus nine and a half.

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Speaker 2: Like if we just had one more free throw, one

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Speaker 2: more shot, whatever, we would have got there. Unfortunately we don't.

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Speaker 2: By the way, the public side, I don't really believe

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Speaker 2: in like the public side and the words of the

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Speaker 2: public money. But if you go by what's being tracked,

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Speaker 2: public is killing the books twenty four and four over

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Speaker 2: the last twenty eight games. The public side is won

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Speaker 2: in the tournament. Some bookmakers are crying poverty right now,

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Speaker 2: getting killed by the betting public.

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Speaker 1: Good for you, guys, keep it up. That's good. So

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Speaker 1: we've been.

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Speaker 2: Betting dogs, been betting favorites. I mean, we had Tennessee

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Speaker 2: in Texas. We got Texas right yesterday. We came in

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Speaker 2: with that. So three plays officially to give you guys.

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Speaker 2: But I'm gonna tell you this, if you want a

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Speaker 2: hockey play and you want to lay the juice, it's

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Speaker 2: minus one sixty at FanDuel for the Avalanche in regulation

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Speaker 2: to beat the Penguins this morning. Penguins don't want to

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Speaker 2: play hockey anymore. Okay, the Penguins are just playing the

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Speaker 2: string out. The Avalanche are playing for a lot. They're

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Speaker 2: going to kill the Penguins today. Okay, Avalanche in regulation

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Speaker 2: mis one's sixty mice one seventy.

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Speaker 1: If you want to lay the juice, go right ahead.

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Speaker 1: I bet it. I think it's a good play.

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Speaker 2: I'm coming in on that this morning early start, or

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Speaker 2: it's afternoon early East coast start, two o'clock start on

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Speaker 2: the East Coast on a Sunday. So I'm betting that.

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Speaker 2: It's unofficial. That's just something. If you want hockey, go

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Speaker 2: ahead and jump in it. All right, let's start talking

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Speaker 2: about these games here today. Let's start with well, I

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Speaker 2: told you we're not betting Colorado and Marquette. I do

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Speaker 2: lean Marquette, but a lot of people like Colorado, I

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Speaker 2: don't want any part of that. Clemson and Baylor is

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Speaker 2: a three to ten start time six' ten start time

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Speaker 2: on The East Coast, Memphis tennessee The FedEx. Forum the

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Speaker 2: number is four and a half For. Clemson In, baylor all,

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Speaker 2: Right baylor is playing really. Well they got tremendous. Talent

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Speaker 2: baylor fourteenth ranked On, Kenpom clemson twenty fifth ranked On.

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Speaker 2: Kempom this is a two point win For. Baylor according To,

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Speaker 2: kempom the number is is four and a, half so relaying,

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Speaker 2: juice which isn't always, great but This baylor offense is

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Speaker 2: fifth in efficiency and thirteenth in effective field goal percentage

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Speaker 2: and their third and three point. Percentage clemson's defense is

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Speaker 2: one hundred and forty first in three point. Defense that's

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Speaker 2: not great, here all, Right baylor hits their free throws

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Speaker 2: seventy four percent of the, time and Defensively baylor isn't,

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Speaker 2: great but their offense makes up for their. Defense their

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Speaker 2: defense is one hundred and forty fourth and three point.

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Speaker 2: Percentage that's good Because clemson doesn't hit their threes or

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Speaker 2: one hundred and fourth and three point. Percentage they're good

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Speaker 2: at twos, though thirty eight percent fifty four point three

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Speaker 2: percent two point shooting For. Clemson, Defensively baaylor two and

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Speaker 2: forty sixth that is not. Good effective field goal percentage

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Speaker 2: two hundred and twenty. Fifth defensively that is not. Good

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Speaker 2: seventy third adjusted defensive efficiency that is not. Great BUT

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Speaker 2: i think the offense For baylor is what gets this done,

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Speaker 2: here and the Way baylor is played this year away

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Speaker 2: from home is really. Impressive baylor is ten six and ONE.

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Speaker 2: Ats baylor played a tougher caliber of opponent in The

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Speaker 2: Big twelve than What clemson. Did and While clemson is

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Speaker 2: ten and SEVEN. ATS i can't get the lost To

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Speaker 2: Boston college in THE Acc tournament out of my, Head

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Speaker 2: like they lost To Wake forest by, five lost To

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Speaker 2: Boston college by twenty. ONE i, MEAN i Don't in

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Speaker 2: THE Aec, TOURNAMENT i mean they lost To Notre, dame

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Speaker 2: they lost To, pitts they Beat, pitcher they lost TO

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Speaker 2: Nc state at, home lost To virginia at. HOME i,

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Speaker 2: MEAN i don't. KNOW i Think clemson just has a couple,

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Speaker 2: of you, know on non conference. Wins they Beat alabama

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Speaker 2: early they Beat pittsburgh, early they Beat South carolina. EARLY

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Speaker 2: i mean that what got him in the. TOURNAMENT i

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Speaker 2: Think baylor's playing really. Well they Blasted colgate by twenty five,

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Speaker 2: points they took care Of cincinnati by. Twelve lost To

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Speaker 2: Iowa state in The Big twelve. Tournament but that's not

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Speaker 2: anything to be sad. About Beat, texas Beat kansas B tcu.

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Speaker 1: Late in the.

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Speaker 2: Year i'm only the four and a Half baylor mines

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Speaker 2: four and a half for one point one. Units all,

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Speaker 2: right let's talk About alabama And james And James. Madison,

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Speaker 2: Sorry alabama And Grand. Canyon, rather this is gonna be

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Speaker 2: a ton of. Fun Grand canyon pace is one hundred

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Speaker 2: and sixteenth in college. Basketball alabama's pace is a ridiculous

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Speaker 2: seventh in college. Basketball if you want to talk about

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Speaker 2: betting the, OVER i like, This, OKAY i probably will

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Speaker 2: bet an in game.

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Speaker 1: Total it's one sixty.

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Speaker 2: Nine alabama away from home is seven and ten ats,

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Speaker 2: sorry ten and seven to the.

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Speaker 1: Under oh oh, sorry that's. Ats, sorry excuse.

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Speaker 2: Me the Total alabama is fourteen and three sorry away

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Speaker 2: from home to the. Over last four have gone over

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Speaker 2: ten and seven on the. Road Grand canyon over the

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Speaker 2: last three games six and four to the, over over

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Speaker 2: the last ten nine and one For alabama to the.

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Speaker 2: Over then why are the pros betting? Under, like what's

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Speaker 2: going on? Here DON'T i don't really understand why the

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Speaker 2: professionals are betting under For alabama And Grand. Canyon it's

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Speaker 2: down to one sixty eight and a half at certain.

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Speaker 2: PLACES i don't really understand that it was as high

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Speaker 2: as one seventy it's come back.

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Speaker 1: Down i'm Just i'm.

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Speaker 2: Confused by where we are here from a total, perspective

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Speaker 2: because betting the under in this game doesn't make a

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Speaker 2: lot of sense to. Me but if you look At

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Speaker 2: circa's line history and you're, like, okay what was this?

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Speaker 2: Number the number got as high as seven d and a,

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Speaker 2: Half okay to come back, down but it was as

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Speaker 2: high as seventy and a, Half and now the pros

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Speaker 2: are coming in because that's a lot of points in college.

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Speaker 2: Basketball it's a lot of points in a tournament. Game

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Speaker 2: but you, KNOW i still think the over is a

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Speaker 2: good play at one sixty nine and one to sixty

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Speaker 2: eight and a. HALF i like the over in this,

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Speaker 2: game but OFFICIALLY i Think Grand canyon wins the game.

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Speaker 2: OUTRIGHT i don't Like alabama's defense at. ALL i Think

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Speaker 2: Grandon canyons a more well rounded. Team they're eleven and

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Speaker 2: six away from. Home they've covered their last six. Games

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Speaker 2: alabama is seven and ten ats away from, home and

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Speaker 2: they're one and four over the last five. Lost tennessee

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Speaker 2: lost To, florida lost To florida. Twice they Beat college

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Speaker 2: At charleston by thirteen, points But arkansas by.

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Speaker 1: Four this team is.

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Speaker 2: Rolling Beating Saint mary's was huge For Grand canyon's. Confidence huge.

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Speaker 2: Win six point dogs.

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Speaker 1: Won the game.

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Speaker 2: Outright they're catching six officially plus Six Grand, canyon but

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Speaker 2: take money line at plus two, hundred sprinkle on the money.

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Speaker 2: LINE i have sprinkle money. Line take the over one

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Speaker 2: sixty eight and a half bet the. Over personal plays

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Speaker 2: are money line in the. Over the official play though

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Speaker 2: It's Grand canyon plus. Six you can same, game parlay

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Speaker 2: this if you, want do whatever you want with. It

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Speaker 2: BUT i Like Grand canayan plus six for one point one,

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Speaker 2: units And i'm going off my. Bracket. OKAY i Picked

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Speaker 2: Grand canyon to Beat. ALABAMA i Picked James madison to Beat,

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Speaker 2: duke And i'm doing the exact same thing That i'm

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Speaker 2: doing With Grand canyon And. Alabama i'm coming in here

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Speaker 2: And i'm Taking James. Madison i'm TAKING jmu to win the,

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Speaker 2: game But i'll take the. Points it's seven and a.

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Speaker 2: Half i'll take it plus seven and a. Half according To,

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Speaker 2: kempom it's an eight point, win so the numbers a

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Speaker 2: little bit short according To. Kenpom James madison talking about

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Speaker 2: a team that has been rolling, in a team that's

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Speaker 2: been playing super. Well it's incredible what they have accomplished this,

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Speaker 2: year and just looking at their straight up as to

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Speaker 2: what they have done this, Year James madison is eighteen

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Speaker 2: and two away from home this. Year they've won fourteen straight,

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Speaker 2: games fourteen straight. Games they're thirty two and. Three duke

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Speaker 2: is ten and five straight up away from. Home they've

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Speaker 2: won seven of their last, ten And duke Is. Duke

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Speaker 2: i'll give you, that but This James madison team just

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Speaker 2: knows how to, win they know how to. Play they're

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Speaker 2: eleven eight and one ats away from home this, year

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Speaker 2: nineteen fourteen and one. Overall duke is nineteen thirteen and one,

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Speaker 2: overall but they only cover once in their last three,

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Speaker 2: games lost To, carolina lost TO Nc. State they beat

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Speaker 2: From ott by seventeen. Points but this team won uncovered Against,

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Speaker 2: wisconsin won and cover Against Arkansas state to punch their.

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Speaker 2: Ticket they've lost one game all, sorry they've lost three

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Speaker 2: games all year in twenty twenty. Four lost To southern

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Speaker 2: miss on the sixth Of, january they lost to App

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Speaker 2: state by four on the, thirteenth and they lost To

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Speaker 2: appstate at on the road on the twenty seventh Of.

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Speaker 2: January that's the last time this team. Lost, now look

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Speaker 2: At duke could very well win the, game BUT i

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Speaker 2: think they're in for a darn. DOGFIGHT jmu plus seven

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Speaker 2: and a half on my. BRACKET i TOOK jmu to,

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Speaker 2: win to Beat duke coming back and sprinkle money. Line

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Speaker 2: TAKE jmu on the money, line but officially we're TAKING

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Speaker 2: jmu plus seven and a half up Against. Duke all,

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Speaker 2: Right so three plays you can make if you want, Personally,

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Speaker 2: okay three, plays, well really four, plays actually four plays

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Speaker 2: you can make personally if you would. Like avalanche in

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Speaker 2: regulation against The Pittsburgh penguins Today mice one Sixty Grand

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Speaker 2: canyon money, Line Grand, Cannon alabama, over and Then James

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Speaker 2: madison money line Against. Duke official Plays Grand canyon plus

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Speaker 2: SIX jmu plus seven and a half Against Duke baylor

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Speaker 2: mis four and a half in their game up Against

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Speaker 2: clemson three official. Plays if we go two in one winning,

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Speaker 2: week if we go one and two flat, week we

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Speaker 2: go zero and three losing. Week rides On sunday, Again

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Speaker 2: let's see how we do. Today hopefully we put together

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Speaker 2: a third straight winning day and get a winning week

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Speaker 2: out of this. One here in the month Of march

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Speaker 2: and As Matt parolt follow me across all socials At

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Speaker 2: sports talk about every Morning Til juice, PODCAST i was

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Speaker 2: being brought to you By Olma steaks dot com