1 00:00:11,520 --> 00:00:13,840 Speaker 1: Happy Saturday, guys. How are you welcome into the late 2 00:00:14,040 --> 00:00:15,160 Speaker 1: edition of the Deally Juice Podcast. 3 00:00:15,240 --> 00:00:16,040 Speaker 2: My name is Matt Perolt. 4 00:00:16,040 --> 00:00:18,640 Speaker 1: Followed me on Twitter at sports Talk Matt every morning 5 00:00:18,680 --> 00:00:21,520 Speaker 1: on YouTube for video anywhere you get your audio podcasts 6 00:00:21,640 --> 00:00:23,680 Speaker 1: always been brought to bay bet MGM. You got the 7 00:00:23,720 --> 00:00:26,239 Speaker 1: ten bucks offer above me here on YouTube ten dollars 8 00:00:26,280 --> 00:00:28,319 Speaker 1: to win one hundred and fifty dollars any event. Use 9 00:00:28,400 --> 00:00:32,040 Speaker 1: that promo code Juice one fifty at BETMGM betmgm dot 10 00:00:32,040 --> 00:00:32,840 Speaker 1: com promo. 11 00:00:32,560 --> 00:00:34,000 Speaker 2: Go juice one fifty. 12 00:00:34,040 --> 00:00:37,200 Speaker 1: All right, So yesterday was a mess, just a mess, 13 00:00:37,400 --> 00:00:41,199 Speaker 1: all right. I'm not going to recap much because the 14 00:00:41,200 --> 00:00:43,199 Speaker 1: hockey bit was wrong. Oilers aren't going to win on 15 00:00:43,240 --> 00:00:45,480 Speaker 1: the puck line, although they're in the third period right now, 16 00:00:45,520 --> 00:00:47,879 Speaker 1: so I guess maybe they can come back. Warriors are 17 00:00:47,960 --> 00:00:49,879 Speaker 1: up big, but let's see if they cover. I had 18 00:00:49,880 --> 00:00:52,520 Speaker 1: to tape this because it's getting late. But I've never 19 00:00:52,600 --> 00:00:57,440 Speaker 1: seen a university do what Boston College did with their 20 00:00:57,520 --> 00:01:02,800 Speaker 1: quarterback Phil Covic, who came back after a broken hand. 21 00:01:03,360 --> 00:01:05,959 Speaker 1: But up to like a half an hour prior to 22 00:01:06,000 --> 00:01:08,840 Speaker 1: the game, their athletic director was tweeting out pictures of 23 00:01:08,880 --> 00:01:12,720 Speaker 1: an empty locker for filled Dr Kovic like what was 24 00:01:12,760 --> 00:01:14,920 Speaker 1: going on? Like it was so weird, But it was 25 00:01:14,959 --> 00:01:17,440 Speaker 1: the right move to punt out of all those bets, because, 26 00:01:17,880 --> 00:01:20,080 Speaker 1: as I said last night, it was a bet made 27 00:01:20,200 --> 00:01:23,959 Speaker 1: on the on Dr Kovic not playing, and once he played, 28 00:01:24,280 --> 00:01:27,319 Speaker 1: get out the under was still the right play. But 29 00:01:27,440 --> 00:01:29,280 Speaker 1: so if you were stuck on it, you went one 30 00:01:29,319 --> 00:01:31,679 Speaker 1: in one, so you're down the juice. But I punted 31 00:01:31,720 --> 00:01:34,600 Speaker 1: out of everything and just no harm, no foul on 32 00:01:34,640 --> 00:01:36,840 Speaker 1: any of those wagers. So it's probably a one in 33 00:01:36,880 --> 00:01:39,080 Speaker 1: one night, but just kind of a mess with what 34 00:01:39,120 --> 00:01:42,400 Speaker 1: happened on Friday night. So let me get right into this, Okay, 35 00:01:42,480 --> 00:01:45,360 Speaker 1: I don't want this podcast to be too long. I 36 00:01:45,440 --> 00:01:49,480 Speaker 1: really want to be kind of succinct here and give 37 00:01:49,480 --> 00:01:53,640 Speaker 1: you a bunch of plays. I'm going to be committed, 38 00:01:54,440 --> 00:01:58,800 Speaker 1: it's in a word, I'm gonna be committed here to 39 00:01:58,920 --> 00:02:01,600 Speaker 1: a couple of plays. And I may add, remember we 40 00:02:01,720 --> 00:02:05,320 Speaker 1: have the Discord Channel conversation on Saturday morning on the 41 00:02:05,360 --> 00:02:10,560 Speaker 1: Discord channel eleven am on the East coast, eight am 42 00:02:10,639 --> 00:02:12,959 Speaker 1: on the West coast for our Discord bet. 43 00:02:13,000 --> 00:02:14,200 Speaker 2: We've missed the last two of those. 44 00:02:14,240 --> 00:02:16,240 Speaker 1: Hopefully you guys can find me a winner here so 45 00:02:16,280 --> 00:02:19,480 Speaker 1: we can make some money together. And you know, maybe 46 00:02:19,480 --> 00:02:22,160 Speaker 1: you like that liberty under against ole Miss or lay 47 00:02:22,200 --> 00:02:24,760 Speaker 1: the ten with ole Miss. I don't know, or maybe 48 00:02:24,760 --> 00:02:26,800 Speaker 1: you take the over for A and M and Auburn. 49 00:02:28,040 --> 00:02:30,440 Speaker 1: Maybe a game I'm gonna add myself. But just some 50 00:02:31,000 --> 00:02:33,400 Speaker 1: little you know, things you might want to think about 51 00:02:33,440 --> 00:02:35,800 Speaker 1: coming up for the Discord bet coming up here for today. 52 00:02:35,960 --> 00:02:40,359 Speaker 1: But you also have the Circa Chat conversation and two 53 00:02:40,440 --> 00:02:42,080 Speaker 1: and three last week. I believe it was for the 54 00:02:42,080 --> 00:02:44,520 Speaker 1: Circa team for the daily Juice teams. So hopefully we 55 00:02:44,560 --> 00:02:46,400 Speaker 1: come back and we get a winning week. We'll do 56 00:02:46,480 --> 00:02:50,280 Speaker 1: that at three pm Eastern time noon Eastern US our 57 00:02:50,320 --> 00:02:53,480 Speaker 1: noon Pacific on the Discord channel. So reminder on those 58 00:02:53,520 --> 00:02:56,840 Speaker 1: two things will happen Saturday like they always do. But 59 00:02:57,240 --> 00:02:58,919 Speaker 1: let's get right into it. So I gave you just 60 00:02:59,000 --> 00:03:01,360 Speaker 1: engage you by knockout half a unit on Gaechee, but 61 00:03:01,440 --> 00:03:05,079 Speaker 1: knockout against his opponent coming up at UFC two sixty 62 00:03:05,120 --> 00:03:07,520 Speaker 1: eight in New York, up against Michael Chandler. 63 00:03:07,520 --> 00:03:09,480 Speaker 2: I knew people would disagree with that, but that's fine. 64 00:03:09,480 --> 00:03:11,600 Speaker 1: That's the nature of things, Okay, So what am I 65 00:03:11,639 --> 00:03:15,720 Speaker 1: doing with the other half unit there, I'm gonna go 66 00:03:15,960 --> 00:03:17,360 Speaker 1: and I'm gonna take and again. 67 00:03:17,440 --> 00:03:18,680 Speaker 2: I can't get into all this because. 68 00:03:18,480 --> 00:03:20,000 Speaker 1: I don't have time. Let's gonna tell you what I'm doing. 69 00:03:20,240 --> 00:03:22,919 Speaker 1: I'm taking Rose Huns to win and keep her belt. 70 00:03:23,639 --> 00:03:27,360 Speaker 1: I think she gets the second win striking power. I 71 00:03:27,400 --> 00:03:30,080 Speaker 1: think she just is a tough matchup for a way Lee. 72 00:03:30,160 --> 00:03:33,280 Speaker 1: I think we're taking a it's mis one ten on 73 00:03:33,320 --> 00:03:36,400 Speaker 1: either side. I know Rose shocks some people, but I 74 00:03:36,400 --> 00:03:39,040 Speaker 1: think thug Rose is just in a different space right now. 75 00:03:39,080 --> 00:03:42,120 Speaker 1: So I'm taking Rose. But I'm parlaying that with Phil 76 00:03:42,200 --> 00:03:45,119 Speaker 1: Hawes and his fight coming up here. I think he's 77 00:03:45,120 --> 00:03:47,640 Speaker 1: a big favorite. Let's see what's the number now for him. 78 00:03:47,680 --> 00:03:49,800 Speaker 1: He's a minus three hundred less time I checked on this, 79 00:03:50,240 --> 00:03:54,760 Speaker 1: and he should be. We're taking Hawes at Circa Sports 80 00:03:54,800 --> 00:03:57,720 Speaker 1: this month three to zero five against Chris Curtis. Big 81 00:03:57,760 --> 00:04:01,840 Speaker 1: big matchup, big mismatch inside to hear, a much bigger body, 82 00:04:01,840 --> 00:04:04,640 Speaker 1: bigger fighter, has to get the victory. Rose to get 83 00:04:04,640 --> 00:04:07,680 Speaker 1: the victory. It's a plus one fifty parlay on the 84 00:04:07,720 --> 00:04:10,000 Speaker 1: other side of that. Half a unit, okay, so half 85 00:04:10,120 --> 00:04:14,920 Speaker 1: unit on Gaichee by knockout, and we're taking a rose 86 00:04:15,040 --> 00:04:18,400 Speaker 1: in Hawes parlay for a half a unit. At UFC 87 00:04:18,480 --> 00:04:21,920 Speaker 1: two sixty eight, we go to the headline fight between 88 00:04:22,000 --> 00:04:24,520 Speaker 1: Comaru Uzman and Colby Covington. 89 00:04:24,960 --> 00:04:25,920 Speaker 2: Man alive. 90 00:04:26,440 --> 00:04:28,440 Speaker 1: So I was there the last time this fight happened, 91 00:04:28,680 --> 00:04:32,800 Speaker 1: and Cobe Covington is a very good fighter, and these 92 00:04:32,839 --> 00:04:34,760 Speaker 1: two guys maybe the two best in the world in 93 00:04:34,800 --> 00:04:38,359 Speaker 1: the way class that they're in. I don't like that 94 00:04:38,440 --> 00:04:42,440 Speaker 1: Camara Uzman started talking about Canelo Alvarez. 95 00:04:42,680 --> 00:04:44,240 Speaker 2: I don't like that we're having these. 96 00:04:44,120 --> 00:04:49,600 Speaker 1: Cross sport conversations because Uzman's strength, he's becoming a better striker. 97 00:04:50,080 --> 00:04:52,680 Speaker 1: He's not a boxer, man like, he's not a boxer. 98 00:04:52,800 --> 00:04:56,080 Speaker 1: He doesn't have boxing skills. He can punch, but he 99 00:04:56,120 --> 00:04:58,080 Speaker 1: can't move like a boxer. He moves like a mixed 100 00:04:58,080 --> 00:05:00,479 Speaker 1: martial artist. I mean, it's just dumb. I know he 101 00:05:00,520 --> 00:05:02,800 Speaker 1: wants big money fights. I know he's but I think 102 00:05:02,839 --> 00:05:04,960 Speaker 1: there's something to be said for him trying to talk 103 00:05:05,040 --> 00:05:08,200 Speaker 1: about what's gonna happen, because I think he knows he's 104 00:05:08,240 --> 00:05:11,680 Speaker 1: got Comington's number, and the books also agree that he's 105 00:05:11,680 --> 00:05:14,080 Speaker 1: got Comington's number. The time of tipping up to minus 106 00:05:14,080 --> 00:05:18,520 Speaker 1: two eighty five for Cameroe Uzman here to get the victory. Now, 107 00:05:18,800 --> 00:05:21,840 Speaker 1: the total for this fight is three and a half. Okay, 108 00:05:23,000 --> 00:05:25,000 Speaker 1: I think you're gonna shop around here on this. But 109 00:05:25,800 --> 00:05:30,240 Speaker 1: I think Uzman does win this fight, all right. I 110 00:05:30,279 --> 00:05:33,000 Speaker 1: think he wins this fight by by a knockout, and 111 00:05:33,240 --> 00:05:36,920 Speaker 1: I think it happens, you know, somewhere around the third, 112 00:05:36,960 --> 00:05:42,120 Speaker 1: fourth or fifth round. Uzman by knockout is plus one seventy. Okay, 113 00:05:42,720 --> 00:05:45,960 Speaker 1: we're going half a unit on this. Okay, half a 114 00:05:46,040 --> 00:05:51,120 Speaker 1: unit on Uzman by knockout to stop Kobe Covington. Kobe 115 00:05:51,160 --> 00:05:54,600 Speaker 1: takes a lot of damage. Look, Uzman hasn't been hurt 116 00:05:54,720 --> 00:05:57,480 Speaker 1: or here because he Burns hurt him, but he hasn't 117 00:05:57,520 --> 00:06:01,440 Speaker 1: been stopped yet in the UFC. He's an absolute monster 118 00:06:01,640 --> 00:06:05,200 Speaker 1: in this weight class, and he just until somebody beats him. 119 00:06:05,400 --> 00:06:07,880 Speaker 1: I don't think you can fade this guy. I just 120 00:06:07,920 --> 00:06:11,600 Speaker 1: think he's very confident in his abilities for a reason. 121 00:06:11,640 --> 00:06:14,520 Speaker 1: And he's nearly a three to one favorite for a reason. Okay, 122 00:06:14,600 --> 00:06:18,279 Speaker 1: he's won sixteen straight fights. I mean, it's just insane 123 00:06:18,279 --> 00:06:19,240 Speaker 1: what this guy has been. 124 00:06:19,120 --> 00:06:19,680 Speaker 2: Able to do. 125 00:06:20,040 --> 00:06:24,000 Speaker 1: Masvidal Burns, Masvedohal Covington Woodley the only fight that Covington's 126 00:06:24,040 --> 00:06:26,960 Speaker 1: had between the first fight. In this fight is a 127 00:06:27,080 --> 00:06:30,719 Speaker 1: a washed up Tyron Woodley. It's not really training somebody 128 00:06:30,800 --> 00:06:33,440 Speaker 1: getting in there and actually fighting. That's running your mouth 129 00:06:33,480 --> 00:06:35,640 Speaker 1: and trying to be a puppet. And I think that's 130 00:06:35,640 --> 00:06:38,599 Speaker 1: why Uzban knows this. So I think Uzman's gonna stop him, Okay. 131 00:06:39,080 --> 00:06:41,520 Speaker 1: I like Uzman at plus one seventy for a half 132 00:06:41,520 --> 00:06:44,160 Speaker 1: a unit via a knockout, and on the other half 133 00:06:44,160 --> 00:06:46,520 Speaker 1: a unit, we're gonna go in on the over. It's 134 00:06:46,560 --> 00:06:49,479 Speaker 1: mine one forty five right here on the over. But 135 00:06:49,520 --> 00:06:52,880 Speaker 1: we won over three and a half rounds. Again, the 136 00:06:52,920 --> 00:06:54,920 Speaker 1: fight ended in the fifth round, and I think it 137 00:06:54,960 --> 00:06:56,920 Speaker 1: could end in the fourth or fifth round again in 138 00:06:57,000 --> 00:07:00,360 Speaker 1: the championship rounds. I think that's where the damage starts 139 00:07:00,400 --> 00:07:04,240 Speaker 1: to really mount. Look, it's Covington's tough, okay, and that 140 00:07:04,279 --> 00:07:06,479 Speaker 1: fight was going to the cards. It was going to 141 00:07:06,520 --> 00:07:08,599 Speaker 1: be a decision, and then who knows, it may have 142 00:07:08,640 --> 00:07:10,840 Speaker 1: been a three to two decision. I mean, I think 143 00:07:10,960 --> 00:07:13,680 Speaker 1: Uzman wins on the cards, but that's a different story here. 144 00:07:13,680 --> 00:07:15,080 Speaker 1: You don't want to leave it up to the judges. 145 00:07:15,640 --> 00:07:17,640 Speaker 1: I don't think it goes to the judges this time. 146 00:07:17,840 --> 00:07:20,440 Speaker 1: I think the fight stops before that. If you want 147 00:07:20,480 --> 00:07:23,880 Speaker 1: to go and bet this just inside the distance Uzman 148 00:07:24,120 --> 00:07:26,960 Speaker 1: inside the distance is plus one point forty, so you 149 00:07:27,000 --> 00:07:27,680 Speaker 1: could do that. 150 00:07:28,320 --> 00:07:32,120 Speaker 2: But if Covington wins on the cards, you know what 151 00:07:32,120 --> 00:07:32,480 Speaker 2: I mean. 152 00:07:32,600 --> 00:07:34,320 Speaker 1: So like this is a little bit of an insurance 153 00:07:34,360 --> 00:07:37,760 Speaker 1: policy in case the TKO and the knockout doesn't happen 154 00:07:37,920 --> 00:07:40,880 Speaker 1: and it goes to the cards and Covington wins, you 155 00:07:41,000 --> 00:07:42,800 Speaker 1: got the over three and a half. That's kind of 156 00:07:42,800 --> 00:07:44,200 Speaker 1: like a check, so you win back a little of 157 00:07:44,200 --> 00:07:45,840 Speaker 1: your money, so it's not a complete and total one 158 00:07:45,920 --> 00:07:46,560 Speaker 1: unit loss. 159 00:07:46,800 --> 00:07:48,360 Speaker 2: So it's a little bit of a hedge on this. 160 00:07:48,480 --> 00:07:50,960 Speaker 1: But I think the over three and a half rounds 161 00:07:51,000 --> 00:07:53,960 Speaker 1: for this fight, I think, given the durability of both men, 162 00:07:54,480 --> 00:07:55,200 Speaker 1: I don't think. 163 00:07:55,120 --> 00:07:56,080 Speaker 2: This thing ends early. 164 00:07:56,120 --> 00:07:57,440 Speaker 1: I think it could end in the fourth of the 165 00:07:57,440 --> 00:08:00,360 Speaker 1: fifth rounds, but I think Uzman knocks him out. Look, 166 00:08:00,560 --> 00:08:04,400 Speaker 1: the Masmadal knockout shocked everybody, right, So again, the plus 167 00:08:04,480 --> 00:08:07,760 Speaker 1: one seventy of the knockout happens fast and Uzman knocks 168 00:08:07,760 --> 00:08:10,880 Speaker 1: out Covington, well then we've got plus one seventy. Will 169 00:08:10,920 --> 00:08:12,720 Speaker 1: lose the over three and a half, but we got 170 00:08:12,760 --> 00:08:14,920 Speaker 1: nearly two to one coming back, so it covers it. 171 00:08:15,000 --> 00:08:17,440 Speaker 1: So it's kind of a way of playing off both 172 00:08:17,480 --> 00:08:20,120 Speaker 1: and maybe in the fourth round Uzman knocks him out, 173 00:08:20,120 --> 00:08:21,760 Speaker 1: we win both bets and then you know, we're up 174 00:08:21,840 --> 00:08:24,680 Speaker 1: nearly two units on the play. So I like that 175 00:08:24,760 --> 00:08:29,360 Speaker 1: a lot. So we're going Uzman Tko plus one seventy, 176 00:08:29,640 --> 00:08:32,640 Speaker 1: Usman by Ko plus one seventy, and the over three 177 00:08:32,679 --> 00:08:35,200 Speaker 1: and a half for a half a unit. All right, 178 00:08:35,280 --> 00:08:39,080 Speaker 1: so we got two full units in play here for 179 00:08:39,480 --> 00:08:43,720 Speaker 1: UFC two sixty eight. We're going just wrote justin Gatgee 180 00:08:43,760 --> 00:08:46,640 Speaker 1: by knockout over Michael Chandler half a unit, Rosen Hawes 181 00:08:46,679 --> 00:08:49,760 Speaker 1: parlay on the other half unit at plus one fifty, 182 00:08:50,440 --> 00:08:53,480 Speaker 1: Uzman by Tko at plus one seventy, and the over 183 00:08:53,600 --> 00:08:55,079 Speaker 1: three and a half in the main event. 184 00:08:55,120 --> 00:08:57,480 Speaker 2: Okay, so let's go to boxing. 185 00:08:57,760 --> 00:08:59,160 Speaker 1: And by the way, I do have college football to 186 00:08:59,160 --> 00:09:03,559 Speaker 1: give you here in a second, hold on Canelo versus 187 00:09:04,559 --> 00:09:09,199 Speaker 1: Caleb Plant. And look, I love Caleb Plant. He's twenty 188 00:09:09,200 --> 00:09:13,760 Speaker 1: one and oh with twelve KOs. All right, here's the thing. Okay, 189 00:09:14,080 --> 00:09:16,120 Speaker 1: just just hear me out a little bit on this. 190 00:09:17,480 --> 00:09:20,400 Speaker 1: I got a bunch of personal stuff going. Canelo is 191 00:09:20,440 --> 00:09:23,600 Speaker 1: gonna knock out Caleb Plant. All right, He's going to. 192 00:09:23,640 --> 00:09:27,760 Speaker 2: Knock him out. But Caleb Plant falters later in fights. 193 00:09:28,120 --> 00:09:30,600 Speaker 1: He runs out of gas essentially, what you could say, Okay, 194 00:09:31,400 --> 00:09:34,680 Speaker 1: he's not as durable, He's not his his training is 195 00:09:34,679 --> 00:09:38,400 Speaker 1: not as long. He'll he'll slow down in the later rounds. 196 00:09:39,080 --> 00:09:41,280 Speaker 1: That is when I think Canelo Alvarez will catch him. 197 00:09:41,320 --> 00:09:41,600 Speaker 2: All right. 198 00:09:41,679 --> 00:09:45,080 Speaker 1: Canelo Alvarez has one fights. The total of this fight 199 00:09:45,160 --> 00:09:48,240 Speaker 1: round is nine and a half. Okay, Canelo has one 200 00:09:48,320 --> 00:09:52,080 Speaker 1: fights recently, pretty quick. But if you go back and 201 00:09:52,120 --> 00:09:54,760 Speaker 1: look at what's happened for some of the fights over 202 00:09:54,800 --> 00:09:57,280 Speaker 1: the last couple of rounds, a couple of times for Canelo, 203 00:09:57,679 --> 00:10:01,559 Speaker 1: you start looking at where Canelo has been, and he 204 00:10:02,000 --> 00:10:04,119 Speaker 1: has been beating up on lesser opponents. 205 00:10:04,240 --> 00:10:06,959 Speaker 2: All right, Billy Joe Saunders should. 206 00:10:06,720 --> 00:10:09,760 Speaker 1: Have lasted The eye exploded, all right, that's the last 207 00:10:09,760 --> 00:10:13,000 Speaker 1: time we saw, you know, we saw Ka Canello with 208 00:10:13,120 --> 00:10:16,280 Speaker 1: that wicked uppercut where Billy Joe Saunders was dipping down 209 00:10:16,559 --> 00:10:18,720 Speaker 1: and that uppercut caught him in the eye and exploded 210 00:10:18,720 --> 00:10:21,080 Speaker 1: his eye and broke his ordible and that ended the fight. 211 00:10:22,000 --> 00:10:25,240 Speaker 1: Before that, I mean, Caleb Smith, he should have walked 212 00:10:25,240 --> 00:10:29,480 Speaker 1: through Caleb Smith. Decision, didn't do it. He knocked out 213 00:10:29,559 --> 00:10:32,120 Speaker 1: Kovallev late, and I mean late. 214 00:10:32,160 --> 00:10:32,800 Speaker 2: I was there. 215 00:10:32,880 --> 00:10:35,280 Speaker 1: He was playing with Kovidlev for a really long time 216 00:10:35,320 --> 00:10:38,880 Speaker 1: and finally knocked him out. Daniel Jacobs did knock him out. 217 00:10:39,040 --> 00:10:42,000 Speaker 1: Went to decision with Daniel Jacobs. He knocked out Rocky 218 00:10:42,000 --> 00:10:44,520 Speaker 1: Felding really really early. But who the hell is Rocky Felding? 219 00:10:44,600 --> 00:10:46,320 Speaker 2: Right? And like come on, and then you get into. 220 00:10:46,160 --> 00:10:48,720 Speaker 1: The triple G fights, right back to back Triple G 221 00:10:48,840 --> 00:10:53,560 Speaker 1: fights and split decision, you know, majority decision, I mean 222 00:10:54,000 --> 00:10:56,800 Speaker 1: go to the cards, right, he locked He knocked out 223 00:10:56,800 --> 00:10:58,800 Speaker 1: Liam Smith, all right, and he knocked out I'm here 224 00:10:58,880 --> 00:11:02,360 Speaker 1: Khan there for the Amir Khan fight, and you know 225 00:11:02,400 --> 00:11:04,800 Speaker 1: that was a sixth round with Amir Khan and Liam Smith. 226 00:11:04,840 --> 00:11:07,319 Speaker 1: He cleaned him out pretty early. But I just think 227 00:11:07,320 --> 00:11:09,640 Speaker 1: people are sleeping a little bit on the talents of 228 00:11:09,760 --> 00:11:13,240 Speaker 1: Caleb Plant. Now here's the one thing everyone's saying that 229 00:11:13,280 --> 00:11:16,520 Speaker 1: Canelo was mad. You know, Caleb Plant's talking about steroids 230 00:11:16,520 --> 00:11:20,079 Speaker 1: and cheating and which is all factual, Like it's factual, 231 00:11:20,280 --> 00:11:23,199 Speaker 1: but he's all angry. It's personal this time. The guy 232 00:11:23,200 --> 00:11:25,959 Speaker 1: they slapped together, all right, Look I'm gonna say this, 233 00:11:26,000 --> 00:11:28,200 Speaker 1: if Canela comes out in fights unlike Canelo, if he's 234 00:11:28,240 --> 00:11:30,680 Speaker 1: like wild Man early and going for a knockout in 235 00:11:30,679 --> 00:11:34,800 Speaker 1: the first or second round. Watched the left hook, Okay, 236 00:11:35,320 --> 00:11:38,320 Speaker 1: watched Caleb Plant with the left hook in the check 237 00:11:38,440 --> 00:11:41,920 Speaker 1: left hook. He's really good with the left hook. Okay, 238 00:11:42,320 --> 00:11:45,000 Speaker 1: I've really been impressed. I watched a couple of his fights. 239 00:11:45,360 --> 00:11:47,480 Speaker 1: This is a punch that I think, I mean against 240 00:11:47,559 --> 00:11:50,240 Speaker 1: Caleb Trux. He was really good with this with his 241 00:11:50,320 --> 00:11:53,320 Speaker 1: left hand, you know, just kind of jabbing feeling, and 242 00:11:53,360 --> 00:11:55,720 Speaker 1: then in came the opponent, came Trux, and he just 243 00:11:55,720 --> 00:11:56,679 Speaker 1: would kind of jab. 244 00:11:56,520 --> 00:11:57,760 Speaker 2: Him in and he'd hit him hard. 245 00:11:58,320 --> 00:12:01,040 Speaker 1: He would throw one light and then one two really hard, 246 00:12:01,080 --> 00:12:04,000 Speaker 1: back to back, three hooks in a row. If Canelo 247 00:12:04,120 --> 00:12:07,280 Speaker 1: was charging and throwing that right hand, that's where that 248 00:12:07,360 --> 00:12:08,240 Speaker 1: left hook comes in. 249 00:12:08,320 --> 00:12:09,040 Speaker 2: He can check it. 250 00:12:09,400 --> 00:12:13,000 Speaker 1: So I don't think that Caleb Plant can knock out Canelo, 251 00:12:13,280 --> 00:12:16,040 Speaker 1: but he can sting him. And if he stings him, 252 00:12:16,360 --> 00:12:18,520 Speaker 1: that's where the fight really starts to slow down. Because 253 00:12:18,600 --> 00:12:21,240 Speaker 1: Canelo by nature is a conservative fighter. 254 00:12:21,280 --> 00:12:24,280 Speaker 2: Okay. He likes to take his meat into deep water 255 00:12:24,440 --> 00:12:26,440 Speaker 2: and drown him. That's what he likes to do. We 256 00:12:26,440 --> 00:12:28,679 Speaker 2: did to cob Lev right, he just lasted him. He 257 00:12:28,720 --> 00:12:29,079 Speaker 2: took him. 258 00:12:29,080 --> 00:12:31,800 Speaker 1: He knew that it was a heavier fight, heavier weight. 259 00:12:32,040 --> 00:12:34,400 Speaker 1: Took him into deep water and then caught him with 260 00:12:34,440 --> 00:12:37,480 Speaker 1: a body shot. Cob Lev was hurt by it. He 261 00:12:37,559 --> 00:12:40,160 Speaker 1: went back to the body shot. Cob Lev dropped down 262 00:12:40,200 --> 00:12:42,760 Speaker 1: trying to protect and he got caught right across the chin. 263 00:12:43,040 --> 00:12:46,560 Speaker 2: And that's what ended the fight. Watch that. Watch the 264 00:12:46,600 --> 00:12:47,800 Speaker 2: bodywork for Canelo. 265 00:12:47,960 --> 00:12:51,080 Speaker 1: If Caleb plant is reacting and dropping down because he 266 00:12:51,120 --> 00:12:54,559 Speaker 1: can't stop the bodywork, Canelo eventually will fake and come 267 00:12:54,640 --> 00:12:57,320 Speaker 1: upstairs and that's how he ends fights. Okay, that's what 268 00:12:57,400 --> 00:13:00,880 Speaker 1: he did to Amir Khan. He was body body, body, 269 00:13:00,960 --> 00:13:03,439 Speaker 1: con calm, drop down, and then smack. And I was 270 00:13:03,559 --> 00:13:06,439 Speaker 1: ringside for that fight, and that sounded like a baseball 271 00:13:06,480 --> 00:13:09,120 Speaker 1: bat hitting a watermelon. It was crazy how hard Deck 272 00:13:09,160 --> 00:13:10,840 Speaker 1: got got hit. He was knocked in the next year. 273 00:13:10,880 --> 00:13:13,960 Speaker 1: It's one of those famous knockouts, and he just went down. 274 00:13:14,040 --> 00:13:17,240 Speaker 2: It was over. I think Canelo knocked him out. I 275 00:13:17,240 --> 00:13:17,520 Speaker 2: do so. 276 00:13:17,559 --> 00:13:20,320 Speaker 1: I'm gonna have Canelo on a bunch of Parlay's personal plays. 277 00:13:20,320 --> 00:13:20,800 Speaker 2: I'm doing it. 278 00:13:20,880 --> 00:13:22,960 Speaker 1: But I think the fight I think it happens in 279 00:13:23,080 --> 00:13:27,040 Speaker 1: round ten, eleven or twelve. I think it happens when 280 00:13:27,200 --> 00:13:30,200 Speaker 1: I think you're gonna see Plant slow down. It'll be 281 00:13:30,280 --> 00:13:33,120 Speaker 1: all the damage, the accumulation of the damage, and then 282 00:13:33,280 --> 00:13:37,040 Speaker 1: Kayleb Plant gets knocked out by Canelo. He he may 283 00:13:37,040 --> 00:13:40,480 Speaker 1: get knocked down. I just think he has a chance here. 284 00:13:40,559 --> 00:13:43,760 Speaker 1: I think Kayleb Plant has a chance to stick around. 285 00:13:43,800 --> 00:13:47,000 Speaker 1: He's twenty one to zero. He's never lost. Okay, is 286 00:13:47,000 --> 00:13:50,120 Speaker 1: a dude who does not get hurt all that often, 287 00:13:50,200 --> 00:13:54,320 Speaker 1: but his fights go to the cards a lot, TRUEX 288 00:13:54,440 --> 00:14:00,000 Speaker 1: to the cards. Let's see of his last one, two, three, four, five, six, seven, eight, 289 00:14:00,320 --> 00:14:02,439 Speaker 1: eight fights, all but two have. 290 00:14:02,360 --> 00:14:03,280 Speaker 2: Gone to the carts. 291 00:14:03,679 --> 00:14:07,320 Speaker 1: Okay, he's just he's not fighting the biggest, most highly 292 00:14:07,360 --> 00:14:08,120 Speaker 1: touted guys. 293 00:14:08,679 --> 00:14:10,040 Speaker 2: But he's got a belt. Okay. 294 00:14:10,120 --> 00:14:12,880 Speaker 1: Caleb Plant is a is a beltholder. Okay, so this 295 00:14:13,000 --> 00:14:15,880 Speaker 1: is a unification belt and this is a huge fight. 296 00:14:16,760 --> 00:14:19,000 Speaker 1: I think Canelo will be a little bit more cautious 297 00:14:19,040 --> 00:14:21,960 Speaker 1: than people think, and I think this thing goes into 298 00:14:22,040 --> 00:14:24,960 Speaker 1: the tenth round. We're going over note and a half 299 00:14:25,160 --> 00:14:29,760 Speaker 1: for one unit Canelo versus Kayleb Plant to go over 300 00:14:29,880 --> 00:14:32,440 Speaker 1: at minus one twenty to go over. 301 00:14:32,800 --> 00:14:34,840 Speaker 2: There's a shot this thing goes to the distance. I mean, 302 00:14:34,960 --> 00:14:37,200 Speaker 2: I think I think there is. I really do. I 303 00:14:37,280 --> 00:14:38,760 Speaker 2: just I think people. 304 00:14:39,000 --> 00:14:41,280 Speaker 1: I do think in the late rounds ten, eleven, twelve, 305 00:14:41,280 --> 00:14:43,120 Speaker 1: I do think a knockout's going to happen. I will 306 00:14:43,160 --> 00:14:46,000 Speaker 1: have Canelo by knockout, but it's minus two hundred Canelo 307 00:14:46,040 --> 00:14:47,920 Speaker 1: by knockout, like there's no real value. 308 00:14:47,960 --> 00:14:48,360 Speaker 2: You have to. 309 00:14:48,320 --> 00:14:50,200 Speaker 1: Parlay that, and I don't want to give out parlays 310 00:14:50,240 --> 00:14:54,240 Speaker 1: like crazy. So like you know, I have, I'm Mikaela Mayer, 311 00:14:54,520 --> 00:14:59,240 Speaker 1: Kamrue Uthman and Canelo Alvarez three leg money line parlay 312 00:14:59,280 --> 00:15:01,640 Speaker 1: going into tonight at the time of taping, Mayor's fighting 313 00:15:01,680 --> 00:15:04,200 Speaker 1: right now. But I can't see Mayor losing. Maybe she will, 314 00:15:04,200 --> 00:15:06,400 Speaker 1: but I can't see her losing. I'm doing things like 315 00:15:06,440 --> 00:15:09,120 Speaker 1: that personally throughout the day with some of these parlays 316 00:15:09,160 --> 00:15:10,120 Speaker 1: with UFC stuff. 317 00:15:10,160 --> 00:15:11,360 Speaker 2: But that's where we're going. 318 00:15:11,400 --> 00:15:17,040 Speaker 1: Okay, So the combat sports card, Okay, Canelo over nine 319 00:15:17,080 --> 00:15:20,360 Speaker 1: and a half, Uzban by knockout over three and a 320 00:15:20,440 --> 00:15:25,480 Speaker 1: half Uzman, Covington, rose In Hawes parlay, and Getchee by knockout. 321 00:15:25,680 --> 00:15:28,480 Speaker 1: Those are the plays for combat sports here on a 322 00:15:28,480 --> 00:15:32,200 Speaker 1: Saturday night, let's talk college football. Okay, I only have 323 00:15:32,240 --> 00:15:34,800 Speaker 1: two plays here on college football. They're all in the 324 00:15:34,840 --> 00:15:37,240 Speaker 1: same game. I told you I didn't like much. I 325 00:15:37,280 --> 00:15:40,600 Speaker 1: didn't like this. I'm going to North Carolina in wake Forest. 326 00:15:40,720 --> 00:15:43,120 Speaker 1: There's only one game that I'm eyeballing here all day, 327 00:15:43,160 --> 00:15:46,400 Speaker 1: and that's the eight you know, Demon Deacons on the 328 00:15:46,480 --> 00:15:47,760 Speaker 1: road at North Carolina. 329 00:15:48,000 --> 00:15:49,680 Speaker 2: I told you, guys, I prepped on. 330 00:15:49,680 --> 00:15:52,960 Speaker 1: North Carolina all year long, all summer long, was looking 331 00:15:52,960 --> 00:15:54,520 Speaker 1: at Carolina, was looking at Sam Howel. 332 00:15:55,600 --> 00:15:58,080 Speaker 2: Here's the thing, man, North Carolina. 333 00:15:58,200 --> 00:16:01,040 Speaker 1: We took Kent State at home, laying three and a 334 00:16:01,120 --> 00:16:04,200 Speaker 1: half points against Northern Illinois, who was undefeated in their 335 00:16:04,240 --> 00:16:07,080 Speaker 1: conference on Tuesday, and they won and they covered. 336 00:16:07,640 --> 00:16:09,400 Speaker 2: This is the same shot here. Okay. 337 00:16:09,400 --> 00:16:11,960 Speaker 1: This is an undefeated team in wake Forest, top ten 338 00:16:12,040 --> 00:16:14,760 Speaker 1: team with a big old target on their back. This 339 00:16:14,800 --> 00:16:16,600 Speaker 1: is not a conference game, which is I don't need 340 00:16:16,640 --> 00:16:19,640 Speaker 1: to get into that, but very strange. But Carolina has 341 00:16:19,680 --> 00:16:23,600 Speaker 1: played a much tougher schedule than Wake Forest has played 342 00:16:23,680 --> 00:16:27,680 Speaker 1: all right, much tougher. North Carolina can score. That's we 343 00:16:28,080 --> 00:16:30,440 Speaker 1: know North Carolina can score with the best of them here. Okay, 344 00:16:30,480 --> 00:16:33,120 Speaker 1: we know They're capable of putting up big numbers on 345 00:16:33,320 --> 00:16:35,880 Speaker 1: pretty much anybody that they're going to wind up playing. 346 00:16:36,400 --> 00:16:38,240 Speaker 1: There's a lot of people who are saying that Wake 347 00:16:38,240 --> 00:16:40,240 Speaker 1: Forest is gonna come up here and this is their 348 00:16:40,280 --> 00:16:43,360 Speaker 1: time to make people to announce their presence. Here comes 349 00:16:43,680 --> 00:16:45,800 Speaker 1: you know, at ten and er, they're going to justify themselves. 350 00:16:45,920 --> 00:16:47,800 Speaker 1: They're four and four against the numbers. 351 00:16:47,480 --> 00:16:48,200 Speaker 2: So far this year. 352 00:16:48,240 --> 00:16:50,480 Speaker 1: They've covered their last two games against Duke and Army, 353 00:16:50,520 --> 00:16:53,040 Speaker 1: but everyone covers against Duke. Last three games in a 354 00:16:53,120 --> 00:16:55,600 Speaker 1: row for Carolina they have not covered. They've lost two 355 00:16:55,640 --> 00:16:59,280 Speaker 1: of the three to Florida State. Home against Miami, they 356 00:16:59,280 --> 00:17:01,480 Speaker 1: won the game by seven and a half point favorites, 357 00:17:01,720 --> 00:17:04,040 Speaker 1: and they were on the road losing by ten against 358 00:17:04,119 --> 00:17:04,560 Speaker 1: Notre Dame. 359 00:17:04,600 --> 00:17:06,360 Speaker 2: All right, but this is going. 360 00:17:06,200 --> 00:17:07,760 Speaker 1: To be a game where I think both teams are 361 00:17:07,760 --> 00:17:09,359 Speaker 1: going to look to run the football, which is kind 362 00:17:09,359 --> 00:17:11,400 Speaker 1: of strange, right. I mean, throwing the ball is great, 363 00:17:11,400 --> 00:17:13,359 Speaker 1: but running the football is going to be throwing the 364 00:17:13,359 --> 00:17:16,119 Speaker 1: ball for Caroline's what they do. But you can run 365 00:17:16,160 --> 00:17:18,240 Speaker 1: on Wake Forest, man, I mean you can run all 366 00:17:18,280 --> 00:17:20,840 Speaker 1: over Wake Forest. They gave up two hundred and eleven 367 00:17:20,920 --> 00:17:24,200 Speaker 1: yards per game on the ground two hundred and eleven. 368 00:17:24,400 --> 00:17:26,480 Speaker 1: All right, this should be a big game for the 369 00:17:26,480 --> 00:17:29,280 Speaker 1: Carolina running backs. You could also throw on this defense. 370 00:17:29,320 --> 00:17:31,240 Speaker 1: They're giving up two hundred and twenty three yards through 371 00:17:31,280 --> 00:17:34,040 Speaker 1: the air per game. Okay, they're giving up a total 372 00:17:34,080 --> 00:17:37,159 Speaker 1: of five point seven yards per play North Carolina on 373 00:17:37,200 --> 00:17:40,280 Speaker 1: offense six point seven yard, six point six yards per play. 374 00:17:40,520 --> 00:17:43,080 Speaker 1: They run the ball five point one yards per play. 375 00:17:43,400 --> 00:17:46,440 Speaker 1: On the other side, wake Forest can run the football 376 00:17:46,520 --> 00:17:48,800 Speaker 1: four point five yards in one hundred and eighty seven 377 00:17:48,880 --> 00:17:53,000 Speaker 1: yards game North Carolina. Equally, they can give up big 378 00:17:53,040 --> 00:17:55,360 Speaker 1: plays in the running attack one hundred and seventy six 379 00:17:55,440 --> 00:17:58,720 Speaker 1: yards per game, four point six yards per rush. Wake 380 00:17:58,960 --> 00:18:01,359 Speaker 1: fifth best passing offense in the country. They can sling 381 00:18:01,400 --> 00:18:04,200 Speaker 1: it nine point seven yards per pass play, three hundred 382 00:18:04,200 --> 00:18:06,960 Speaker 1: and twenty yards a game. But Carolina's pass defense is 383 00:18:07,000 --> 00:18:09,440 Speaker 1: not horrible. Two hundred and twenty one yards per game 384 00:18:09,480 --> 00:18:12,200 Speaker 1: given up. That's not bad. But we start digging down 385 00:18:12,240 --> 00:18:14,680 Speaker 1: a little bit deeper into what we're seeing here out 386 00:18:14,680 --> 00:18:17,399 Speaker 1: of wake Forest, and how over the last couple of games, 387 00:18:17,720 --> 00:18:20,600 Speaker 1: wake Forest has been just like straight up horrible. And 388 00:18:20,680 --> 00:18:22,240 Speaker 1: I mean, by the way, it's one oh fourd to 389 00:18:22,359 --> 00:18:25,159 Speaker 1: seventy two now, so I think are minus nine is 390 00:18:25,200 --> 00:18:26,639 Speaker 1: going to be safe. So it'll be a one in 391 00:18:26,680 --> 00:18:29,880 Speaker 1: one night for us on So just you know, down 392 00:18:29,920 --> 00:18:32,760 Speaker 1: the juice. Nothing serious, but I mean wake Forest is 393 00:18:32,920 --> 00:18:34,040 Speaker 1: I mean a last couple of games. 394 00:18:34,080 --> 00:18:36,920 Speaker 2: It's it's staggering to look at. 395 00:18:36,800 --> 00:18:40,720 Speaker 1: Wake Forest defensively in what they were doing because Carolina, 396 00:18:40,760 --> 00:18:43,719 Speaker 1: I mean, look, they've played a much more difficult caliber 397 00:18:43,880 --> 00:18:45,760 Speaker 1: of opponent. And this is a noon kickoff time, by 398 00:18:45,760 --> 00:18:48,680 Speaker 1: the way, but we're talking about three hundred and eleven 399 00:18:48,720 --> 00:18:50,680 Speaker 1: passing yards by wake Force, giving up one hundred and 400 00:18:50,720 --> 00:18:52,920 Speaker 1: eighty three rushing yards given up. This is four hundred 401 00:18:52,920 --> 00:18:54,840 Speaker 1: and twenty one yards of offense they're given up per game. 402 00:18:54,880 --> 00:18:57,520 Speaker 1: Wake Forest's defense is not good, but they've won forty 403 00:18:57,520 --> 00:19:01,240 Speaker 1: five seven a Duke, seventy fifty six to Army, forty 404 00:19:01,320 --> 00:19:05,280 Speaker 1: thirty seven to Syracuse Louisville, thirty seven, thirty four here 405 00:19:06,280 --> 00:19:10,200 Speaker 1: in Virginia thirty seven to seventeen. We talked about North 406 00:19:10,240 --> 00:19:14,040 Speaker 1: Carolina already, but Carolina's schedule, I mean, it's just much tougher, 407 00:19:14,280 --> 00:19:17,879 Speaker 1: much more difficult. I mean, I'm much higher caliber of opponents, 408 00:19:18,320 --> 00:19:20,720 Speaker 1: and they've played Notre Dame, they played Georgia Tech. 409 00:19:20,840 --> 00:19:22,680 Speaker 2: They played Virginia Tech. They lost that game. 410 00:19:22,720 --> 00:19:26,919 Speaker 1: They took on Virginia's won that game fifty nine thirty nine. Look, 411 00:19:27,280 --> 00:19:30,240 Speaker 1: everyone's on the over. I lean towards the under in 412 00:19:30,280 --> 00:19:33,119 Speaker 1: this game. But I'm gonna lay the minus two and 413 00:19:33,160 --> 00:19:35,200 Speaker 1: a half here for one unit, and I'm gonna take 414 00:19:35,200 --> 00:19:38,000 Speaker 1: North Carolina here. I'm gonna go with the tar Heels, 415 00:19:38,040 --> 00:19:40,200 Speaker 1: my only college football football play. I'm gonna make here. 416 00:19:40,280 --> 00:19:42,520 Speaker 1: I like Carolina at home to stop this eight and 417 00:19:42,560 --> 00:19:45,320 Speaker 1: O train. It's a difficult story. Wake Forest has been 418 00:19:45,359 --> 00:19:48,200 Speaker 1: incredibly lucky with turnovers too, one of the better turnover 419 00:19:48,240 --> 00:19:51,199 Speaker 1: teams in the country. I think that could stop because 420 00:19:51,240 --> 00:19:53,119 Speaker 1: if they don't get turnovers, maybe they don't get as 421 00:19:53,160 --> 00:19:56,359 Speaker 1: many easy points. They've got two point three takeaways a 422 00:19:56,400 --> 00:19:59,120 Speaker 1: game that's fifth best. But Carolina doesn't turn the ball 423 00:19:59,160 --> 00:20:01,720 Speaker 1: all little bit one point four times, not a ton 424 00:20:01,840 --> 00:20:03,840 Speaker 1: here in terms of giveaways. If Carolina does not turn 425 00:20:03,840 --> 00:20:06,760 Speaker 1: the football over and wait doesn't get those short fields 426 00:20:06,840 --> 00:20:10,680 Speaker 1: and they can overcome a really poor defense, I'll take 427 00:20:10,720 --> 00:20:13,840 Speaker 1: Sam Howe at home here in Chapel Hill to beat 428 00:20:13,840 --> 00:20:16,600 Speaker 1: wake Forest, laying the two and a half points short 429 00:20:16,680 --> 00:20:20,200 Speaker 1: number for one unit North Carolina minus two and a 430 00:20:20,280 --> 00:20:23,800 Speaker 1: half for one unit. All right, Discord, bet, you guys 431 00:20:23,800 --> 00:20:25,760 Speaker 1: have a whole slate of games to go in and 432 00:20:25,800 --> 00:20:30,320 Speaker 1: get into. I'm all about combat sports today. College football. 433 00:20:30,359 --> 00:20:32,600 Speaker 2: It's you know, there's plenty of games. 434 00:20:32,520 --> 00:20:34,879 Speaker 1: Almost Liberty A and m Auburn, like I mentioned, some 435 00:20:34,880 --> 00:20:38,080 Speaker 1: good games to jump into if you want. But for me, 436 00:20:38,520 --> 00:20:42,080 Speaker 1: I'm all about the Saturday night fighting, Huge fighting Day, 437 00:20:42,240 --> 00:20:45,600 Speaker 1: huge huge combat sports Day. Okay, so just only one 438 00:20:45,600 --> 00:20:47,560 Speaker 1: college footble play North Carolina. Mine is two and a 439 00:20:47,600 --> 00:20:50,679 Speaker 1: half for one unit minus. Matt Perrault followed me on 440 00:20:50,720 --> 00:20:52,840 Speaker 1: Twitter at sports Talk Matt. I'll talk to the Discord 441 00:20:52,920 --> 00:20:56,000 Speaker 1: channel later on this morning for our Discord wager and 442 00:20:56,040 --> 00:20:58,960 Speaker 1: the circa daily Juice team conversation as well. 443 00:20:59,119 --> 00:21:00,760 Speaker 2: Follow me on Twitter at sports Talk Matt. 444 00:21:00,760 --> 00:21:02,840 Speaker 1: Every morning it's a Deal Juice podcast being brought to 445 00:21:02,840 --> 00:21:14,200 Speaker 1: you by Bet MGM