1
00:00:00,320 --> 00:00:03,720
Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus Podcast Podcast.

2
00:00:04,200 --> 00:00:05,920
Speaker 2: Pot all right, here we go.

3
00:00:10,960 --> 00:00:15,520
Speaker 3: Fifteen houndy twenty five, thirty thirty five, forty forty five, fifty.

4
00:00:15,280 --> 00:00:20,560
Speaker 4: And the chick As Block College Football world standers.

5
00:00:22,200 --> 00:00:25,040
Speaker 2: Good bye, Oh my goodness.

6
00:00:24,720 --> 00:00:29,680
Speaker 1: He stumbled, and football the lateral turn, the counter of

7
00:00:29,800 --> 00:00:30,880
Speaker 1: the xIDE.

8
00:00:31,040 --> 00:00:33,839
Speaker 3: Don't you believe? Not?

9
00:00:34,040 --> 00:00:40,239
Speaker 2: The table off the field to night. It's not the

10
00:00:40,440 --> 00:00:43,640
Speaker 2: side of the dog in the fighting. It's the side

11
00:00:43,720 --> 00:00:45,000
Speaker 2: of the fight in the roll.

12
00:00:47,840 --> 00:00:50,480
Speaker 3: What's up the general nation? Welcome to the Big Bets

13
00:00:50,479 --> 00:00:54,480
Speaker 3: on Campus Podcast presented by Beth and GM. This is

14
00:00:54,560 --> 00:00:58,960
Speaker 3: the Big twelve college Football betting preview. I'm stuck into

15
00:00:59,440 --> 00:01:04,399
Speaker 3: me as always is Colin Wilson is Texas backer or not?

16
00:01:04,560 --> 00:01:07,000
Speaker 3: We will get to that. Colin Ready to talk some

17
00:01:07,760 --> 00:01:12,040
Speaker 3: Big twelve which is now fourteen and will be thirteen

18
00:01:12,240 --> 00:01:14,600
Speaker 3: next year, subject to change. What's going on?

19
00:01:15,160 --> 00:01:17,440
Speaker 1: I mean, you show up to the Big twelve media

20
00:01:17,560 --> 00:01:21,160
Speaker 1: days and it's a relaxed atmosphere, relaxed culture and a

21
00:01:21,200 --> 00:01:24,280
Speaker 1: lot of confidence. And you know, in this battle between

22
00:01:24,319 --> 00:01:25,960
Speaker 1: the commissioner the Big twelve and the commissioner of the

23
00:01:26,000 --> 00:01:28,560
Speaker 1: Pac twelve to see who is going to essentially eat

24
00:01:28,600 --> 00:01:31,000
Speaker 1: the other and soak up some teams and have the

25
00:01:31,000 --> 00:01:31,759
Speaker 1: best TV deal.

26
00:01:31,800 --> 00:01:33,440
Speaker 2: The Big Twelve is obviously the winner.

27
00:01:33,760 --> 00:01:37,960
Speaker 1: Colorado Neon Dion Primetime Jumping Ship come at his conference.

28
00:01:38,000 --> 00:01:39,080
Speaker 2: Got to wait a year for it.

29
00:01:39,600 --> 00:01:42,560
Speaker 1: But until then we get this jumbo version of the

30
00:01:42,560 --> 00:01:44,640
Speaker 1: Big Twelve at fourteen teams. Now, we thought they were

31
00:01:44,640 --> 00:01:46,839
Speaker 1: going to go down to twelve, but obviously we're popping

32
00:01:46,880 --> 00:01:49,160
Speaker 1: back up to fourteen. Well, and then I think believe

33
00:01:49,200 --> 00:01:53,240
Speaker 1: Brett tweeted that one to three teams are going to

34
00:01:53,320 --> 00:01:55,360
Speaker 1: join Colorado, So I think the I mean, we all

35
00:01:55,400 --> 00:01:58,280
Speaker 1: know that Arizona is extremely interested. Are those other two

36
00:01:58,320 --> 00:02:00,920
Speaker 1: teams that were going to Washington in Arizona state?

37
00:02:01,000 --> 00:02:01,320
Speaker 3: I don't know.

38
00:02:01,360 --> 00:02:03,000
Speaker 1: We'll figure it out. But this year we got a

39
00:02:03,040 --> 00:02:06,640
Speaker 1: fourteen team Big twelve jumbo size.

40
00:02:07,000 --> 00:02:10,880
Speaker 3: Yeah, very interesting. We have four new teams in the

41
00:02:10,919 --> 00:02:14,280
Speaker 3: Big twelve, UCF, Cincy, Houston, and BYU. Interestingly enough, a

42
00:02:14,320 --> 00:02:18,280
Speaker 3: couple coaches that have coached at the Power five level.

43
00:02:18,280 --> 00:02:21,880
Speaker 3: You have Gus Mozan at UCF. You have our boys

44
00:02:21,880 --> 00:02:27,000
Speaker 3: Saturfield at Sincey and Holgerson at Houston, who has done

45
00:02:27,000 --> 00:02:30,400
Speaker 3: this before at West Virginia when his teams went from

46
00:02:30,520 --> 00:02:34,000
Speaker 3: the Big East to the Big Twelve, they were ten

47
00:02:34,040 --> 00:02:35,640
Speaker 3: and three in their last year. The Big East they

48
00:02:35,680 --> 00:02:38,440
Speaker 3: went seven and six and then four and eight in

49
00:02:38,520 --> 00:02:41,560
Speaker 3: their next two years. Obviously the situation is different, but

50
00:02:41,639 --> 00:02:45,320
Speaker 3: just thought i'd throw that buget out to give you

51
00:02:45,400 --> 00:02:47,400
Speaker 3: just a little quick lay of the land. There are

52
00:02:47,440 --> 00:02:50,959
Speaker 3: fourteen teams, as we mentioned for our new only one

53
00:02:51,000 --> 00:02:54,639
Speaker 3: new head coach, and that's at SINCEY. Six new offensive

54
00:02:54,639 --> 00:02:58,360
Speaker 3: coordinators at TCU West Virginia, SINCEY Houston, Iowa State, and

55
00:02:58,440 --> 00:03:02,040
Speaker 3: u SE five new defense coordinators baleor WYU, SINCI, Oak State,

56
00:03:02,040 --> 00:03:07,200
Speaker 3: and Ucia six. Probably about six new quarterbacks. Maybe some

57
00:03:07,280 --> 00:03:10,120
Speaker 3: other battles and some other things could happen the Coffe

58
00:03:10,160 --> 00:03:14,040
Speaker 3: Iowa State teams that have the same head coach, offensive coordinator,

59
00:03:14,080 --> 00:03:21,119
Speaker 3: defense coordinator and quarterback Kansas, Kansas State, Oklahoma, and Texas Tech.

60
00:03:21,160 --> 00:03:23,040
Speaker 3: We can throw in there all of these a bunch

61
00:03:23,040 --> 00:03:26,560
Speaker 3: of different quarterbacks last year. Number of potential quarterback battles

62
00:03:26,600 --> 00:03:30,960
Speaker 3: out there. But let's start with the question that everyone's

63
00:03:31,000 --> 00:03:33,680
Speaker 3: going to ask, is Texas back.

64
00:03:34,840 --> 00:03:39,160
Speaker 4: The prairie skies are wide and hut deep in the

65
00:03:39,280 --> 00:03:41,200
Speaker 4: hut of Texas.

66
00:03:41,240 --> 00:03:43,960
Speaker 3: The question the age old question where the answer has

67
00:03:44,080 --> 00:03:48,160
Speaker 3: always been no, they are about close to even money

68
00:03:48,200 --> 00:03:50,320
Speaker 3: twelve win total over nine and a half minus one

69
00:03:50,480 --> 00:03:54,080
Speaker 3: thirty five. Last year I would say disappointing eighty five,

70
00:03:54,080 --> 00:03:57,160
Speaker 3: but all five losses were by one possession. Easily could

71
00:03:57,160 --> 00:04:00,200
Speaker 3: have had a much better year they have only I mean,

72
00:04:00,200 --> 00:04:02,440
Speaker 3: if you look back, they have not won ten games

73
00:04:02,560 --> 00:04:05,560
Speaker 3: in the regular season or won the Big Twelve since

74
00:04:05,600 --> 00:04:08,520
Speaker 3: two thousand and nine. It's almost been fifteen years. Is

75
00:04:08,560 --> 00:04:10,240
Speaker 3: their last chance to do it before they move on.

76
00:04:10,800 --> 00:04:13,920
Speaker 3: They also only gone over their win total once in

77
00:04:13,960 --> 00:04:19,200
Speaker 3: the past ten years. It's been a very good under

78
00:04:19,240 --> 00:04:22,480
Speaker 3: bet every year as the height generally gets too big

79
00:04:22,839 --> 00:04:27,440
Speaker 3: for Texas in the state where everything is bigger except

80
00:04:27,480 --> 00:04:32,000
Speaker 3: the Texas win total, which can never be low enough apparently.

81
00:04:32,279 --> 00:04:35,040
Speaker 3: So the question is, is Texas back the twenty two

82
00:04:35,040 --> 00:04:37,240
Speaker 3: to one to win the national title? Quinn yours is

83
00:04:37,279 --> 00:04:42,160
Speaker 3: back this. We talked about this. We like I spoiler alert,

84
00:04:42,360 --> 00:04:44,240
Speaker 3: I know, we just got done doing a podcast at

85
00:04:44,240 --> 00:04:46,080
Speaker 3: the Big Time where we had so much agreement. Well

86
00:04:46,440 --> 00:04:48,360
Speaker 3: about a month or two ago, when we were recording

87
00:04:48,400 --> 00:04:50,680
Speaker 3: an off season podcast, we both said that we love

88
00:04:50,760 --> 00:04:53,159
Speaker 3: Texas at plus twenty to win the Big Twelve. This,

89
00:04:53,360 --> 00:04:55,279
Speaker 3: I mean, what could go wrong, but this is a

90
00:04:55,360 --> 00:04:59,600
Speaker 3: roster that is finally like SEC caliber. As far as depth,

91
00:04:59,640 --> 00:05:02,440
Speaker 3: the off defensive line is finally there. I love the

92
00:05:02,480 --> 00:05:06,320
Speaker 3: defense this year. They are loaded at the skill position players.

93
00:05:06,800 --> 00:05:09,160
Speaker 3: You know, they did lose Bjon Robertson will be a loss,

94
00:05:09,400 --> 00:05:12,680
Speaker 3: but Sark finally has built this. I mean the recruiting classes,

95
00:05:12,760 --> 00:05:15,960
Speaker 3: the portal. This team is deep, They're good in the trenches.

96
00:05:16,080 --> 00:05:18,960
Speaker 3: I finally trust their defense. I finally trust the offensive line.

97
00:05:19,240 --> 00:05:21,440
Speaker 3: It also goes down to Quinnyors Now if he doesn't

98
00:05:21,800 --> 00:05:23,960
Speaker 3: hit and live up. I mean basically what he has

99
00:05:23,960 --> 00:05:26,080
Speaker 3: to do is get better downfield passing. So like did

100
00:05:26,120 --> 00:05:28,920
Speaker 3: bringing Manning in, who's the number three quarterback? Remember they

101
00:05:28,920 --> 00:05:31,760
Speaker 3: have another kid who's number two, who's also really good.

102
00:05:33,120 --> 00:05:35,599
Speaker 3: Yours was, you know, thirty nine percent on throws of

103
00:05:35,640 --> 00:05:39,080
Speaker 3: fifteen plus yards downfield. It's basically comes down to his footwork.

104
00:05:39,720 --> 00:05:41,679
Speaker 3: And you know that's what TCU did, said throw downfield,

105
00:05:41,680 --> 00:05:43,120
Speaker 3: and he couldn't do it. That's where he has to

106
00:05:43,160 --> 00:05:45,480
Speaker 3: become more consistent. If he could take that next step.

107
00:05:46,000 --> 00:05:48,200
Speaker 3: This is easily a top five team in the country

108
00:05:48,640 --> 00:05:51,200
Speaker 3: and they are capable of winning the national title. So

109
00:05:51,279 --> 00:05:57,080
Speaker 3: I'll ask you, is Texas back and what and how

110
00:05:57,080 --> 00:05:58,280
Speaker 3: are you attacking the Longhorns.

111
00:05:58,279 --> 00:06:02,120
Speaker 1: If so, Texas is back down, the alarms sound the

112
00:06:02,160 --> 00:06:03,040
Speaker 1: alarms so.

113
00:06:03,279 --> 00:06:07,200
Speaker 2: Long enough that both faded in love. And that's alans.

114
00:06:07,440 --> 00:06:10,480
Speaker 2: If you're going by in Texas, you gotta have.

115
00:06:12,600 --> 00:06:14,080
Speaker 1: If you want to start the meter on me saying

116
00:06:14,080 --> 00:06:16,479
Speaker 1: media days, we can start there. But I would like

117
00:06:16,520 --> 00:06:19,159
Speaker 1: to say, in the history of bbocs or degenda juice,

118
00:06:19,200 --> 00:06:21,520
Speaker 1: since you and I started this, I've never said that

119
00:06:21,680 --> 00:06:23,680
Speaker 1: I have never been on this team, being back when

120
00:06:24,000 --> 00:06:25,920
Speaker 1: in the Herman days, I was, Hey, I'm playing them

121
00:06:25,920 --> 00:06:28,520
Speaker 1: as an underdog, you know. And even with sarg I said,

122
00:06:28,560 --> 00:06:30,039
Speaker 1: we got to have a couple of years here before

123
00:06:30,040 --> 00:06:31,880
Speaker 1: we start claiming they're gonna win the Big twelve.

124
00:06:32,160 --> 00:06:33,360
Speaker 2: We're there, We're there.

125
00:06:33,440 --> 00:06:37,479
Speaker 1: There. There is not a single crack that I can

126
00:06:37,520 --> 00:06:40,599
Speaker 1: find in this team. And if the crack as Quinn yours,

127
00:06:40,680 --> 00:06:43,039
Speaker 1: that's okay. Because you mentioned arch Manning is right there

128
00:06:43,080 --> 00:06:46,000
Speaker 1: ready to take over. I would argue that Malik Murphy

129
00:06:46,080 --> 00:06:48,320
Speaker 1: might be the best quarterback in this stable, right, I mean,

130
00:06:48,360 --> 00:06:49,360
Speaker 1: it goes that deep with you.

131
00:06:49,520 --> 00:06:51,400
Speaker 3: He's listed as the two I believe right now.

132
00:06:51,520 --> 00:06:54,920
Speaker 1: Right right, so you know yours came to media days

133
00:06:55,480 --> 00:06:58,200
Speaker 1: with a completely different attitude. A year later, the mullet

134
00:06:58,480 --> 00:07:02,320
Speaker 1: is gone, the white snake, Marlborough cigarettes look is gone.

135
00:07:03,120 --> 00:07:06,960
Speaker 1: His body is in much better shape. I think all

136
00:07:07,000 --> 00:07:10,560
Speaker 1: the quarterbacks are having like a body fat competition. There

137
00:07:10,640 --> 00:07:15,440
Speaker 1: is a more professional feeling to how the players conduct themselves.

138
00:07:15,520 --> 00:07:16,119
Speaker 2: Sark Nosi.

139
00:07:16,280 --> 00:07:18,200
Speaker 3: No, it's no longer business in the front, party in

140
00:07:18,200 --> 00:07:19,960
Speaker 3: the back. It's all business. I think that was a

141
00:07:20,040 --> 00:07:22,640
Speaker 3: snapschat and they seem to be getting along and embracing

142
00:07:22,680 --> 00:07:25,600
Speaker 3: the competition. And I think viewers needed that. You hear

143
00:07:25,680 --> 00:07:27,520
Speaker 3: some of the things that I was staying before. It's

144
00:07:27,560 --> 00:07:29,880
Speaker 3: like and this is what I really want to see.

145
00:07:29,960 --> 00:07:32,800
Speaker 3: You'll see this early against Alabama. Kenny did he put

146
00:07:32,880 --> 00:07:35,160
Speaker 3: in the time in the off season with his body,

147
00:07:35,280 --> 00:07:38,520
Speaker 3: his footwork and to improve that downfield passing. And I think,

148
00:07:38,840 --> 00:07:41,880
Speaker 3: you know the expectations the competition. It could have went

149
00:07:41,960 --> 00:07:44,880
Speaker 3: one way, right, it could have went like this, but

150
00:07:45,040 --> 00:07:46,920
Speaker 3: it seems to have gone in the positive direction.

151
00:07:47,040 --> 00:07:50,440
Speaker 1: From Afar, Yeah, so it's all gone in a positive direction,

152
00:07:50,560 --> 00:07:53,200
Speaker 1: more professional, which they needed to be. In the transfer portal,

153
00:07:53,240 --> 00:07:55,360
Speaker 1: they went out and got ad Mitchell from Georgia, he's

154
00:07:55,400 --> 00:07:57,640
Speaker 1: going to join Xavier Worthy, which means you're not going

155
00:07:57,720 --> 00:07:59,400
Speaker 1: to be able to double coverage either of these guys.

156
00:07:59,440 --> 00:08:01,760
Speaker 1: Give him sing coverage and jump ball. You know, fifty

157
00:08:01,760 --> 00:08:04,240
Speaker 1: to fifties. They can own a lot of those. No,

158
00:08:04,520 --> 00:08:08,880
Speaker 1: Jon Robinson, I would say, no problem. Centered Baxter is

159
00:08:08,920 --> 00:08:11,520
Speaker 1: a great running back. Jonathan Brooks maybe better. The whole

160
00:08:11,560 --> 00:08:14,520
Speaker 1: running back stable is unbelievable. When you can replace Bjon

161
00:08:14,640 --> 00:08:17,440
Speaker 1: Robinson and not even blink, that is saying something about

162
00:08:17,480 --> 00:08:20,920
Speaker 1: your depth. They travel outside the state of Texas just twice.

163
00:08:21,400 --> 00:08:24,680
Speaker 1: You know this is a team that mathematically has it too.

164
00:08:25,000 --> 00:08:29,200
Speaker 1: Sarks team last year top twenty in offensive success rate

165
00:08:29,480 --> 00:08:33,640
Speaker 1: finishing drives. Havoc allowed go to the defensive side. Listen

166
00:08:33,679 --> 00:08:36,560
Speaker 1: Patterson came in to help Pete Quitakowski with the scheme

167
00:08:37,080 --> 00:08:40,080
Speaker 1: the three three to three five, the quarters, the cover three.

168
00:08:40,640 --> 00:08:42,880
Speaker 1: They finished top twenty five in the defensive success rate.

169
00:08:42,920 --> 00:08:47,360
Speaker 1: They finished tenth in defensive finishing drives. Every single signal

170
00:08:47,520 --> 00:08:51,280
Speaker 1: is there, from player personnel to coach to the mathematics.

171
00:08:51,600 --> 00:08:53,840
Speaker 1: This team is winning the conference. Now let's talk about

172
00:08:53,880 --> 00:08:58,199
Speaker 1: price right, because one book opened these guys one fifty

173
00:08:58,240 --> 00:09:01,120
Speaker 1: and I went, I went and got limited. One thirty

174
00:09:01,160 --> 00:09:03,040
Speaker 1: was good, one twenty was good. What is the number

175
00:09:03,040 --> 00:09:05,720
Speaker 1: of the true odds about the probability of Texas finishing

176
00:09:05,800 --> 00:09:07,040
Speaker 1: in slot one or two?

177
00:09:07,520 --> 00:09:10,320
Speaker 2: No divisions here, don't have to worry about it. What's

178
00:09:10,360 --> 00:09:13,040
Speaker 2: the chances of Texas finishing third in this conference?

179
00:09:13,600 --> 00:09:16,800
Speaker 1: The true odds on this are minus one forty to

180
00:09:16,920 --> 00:09:19,800
Speaker 1: be in the in the Big twelve championship game. So

181
00:09:20,040 --> 00:09:22,480
Speaker 1: is there value in plus one h five or even

182
00:09:22,520 --> 00:09:25,359
Speaker 1: minus one ten The answers yes, I would buy Texas

183
00:09:25,720 --> 00:09:27,719
Speaker 1: all the way up to minus one twenty. There is

184
00:09:27,800 --> 00:09:30,400
Speaker 1: still room here to buy this, and I think it's

185
00:09:30,440 --> 00:09:32,480
Speaker 1: going to continue to steam now that everybody in the

186
00:09:32,480 --> 00:09:35,960
Speaker 1: month of August has no sports to watch whatsoever, and

187
00:09:36,000 --> 00:09:38,640
Speaker 1: they just flip into a college football preview magazine and

188
00:09:38,679 --> 00:09:39,679
Speaker 1: see that Texas, you.

189
00:09:39,600 --> 00:09:40,280
Speaker 2: Know, is back.

190
00:09:40,600 --> 00:09:41,959
Speaker 1: I think his number is still going to steam. So

191
00:09:42,000 --> 00:09:43,800
Speaker 1: I would go out and grab it. I would stop

192
00:09:44,000 --> 00:09:47,320
Speaker 1: buying it minus one twenty. It's unfathomable, stuck if this

193
00:09:47,360 --> 00:09:49,880
Speaker 1: team would finish third or less in this conference.

194
00:09:50,440 --> 00:09:54,120
Speaker 3: Yeah, I completely agree. I've been waiting to bet these

195
00:09:54,160 --> 00:09:56,959
Speaker 3: things this year before the podcast to come out for

196
00:09:57,080 --> 00:10:01,120
Speaker 3: each conference, and I think anything that plus mon plus

197
00:10:01,400 --> 00:10:04,440
Speaker 3: one hundred plus one ten is fine. I'll be betting

198
00:10:04,480 --> 00:10:07,760
Speaker 3: that shortly, and already have bet when we were back

199
00:10:08,040 --> 00:10:09,960
Speaker 3: when we were doing that podcast a few months ago.

200
00:10:10,400 --> 00:10:12,520
Speaker 3: They do. I will say they do play all five

201
00:10:12,920 --> 00:10:16,480
Speaker 3: of the other top six teams in my power ratings

202
00:10:16,480 --> 00:10:18,920
Speaker 3: for the Big Twelve. They only have four Big Twelve

203
00:10:18,960 --> 00:10:21,880
Speaker 3: home games because they play Oklahoma on the neutral field,

204
00:10:21,920 --> 00:10:24,040
Speaker 3: but I have them close to over a touchdown favorites

205
00:10:24,080 --> 00:10:26,520
Speaker 3: in that game. They do go to Baylor and TCU,

206
00:10:27,000 --> 00:10:29,280
Speaker 3: they host Kansas State and Texas Tech. They also go

207
00:10:29,360 --> 00:10:33,000
Speaker 3: to Alabama. It's not an easy schedule, but you know,

208
00:10:33,080 --> 00:10:34,560
Speaker 3: I'm not a fan. Well, we're gonna get to all

209
00:10:34,559 --> 00:10:37,240
Speaker 3: these other teams. But I think Kansas State I'm lower

210
00:10:37,280 --> 00:10:40,400
Speaker 3: than the market on. I'm lower than the market on Baylor.

211
00:10:41,080 --> 00:10:45,360
Speaker 3: I am lower than the market on TCU. So add

212
00:10:45,400 --> 00:10:47,440
Speaker 3: all those up and I do think I agree. I

213
00:10:47,480 --> 00:10:49,760
Speaker 3: think Texas is back. I mean, look, they were close

214
00:10:49,800 --> 00:10:51,839
Speaker 3: to being back last year. They should have beat Alabama.

215
00:10:52,240 --> 00:10:54,840
Speaker 3: All the pressure they were getting didn't translate the sacks.

216
00:10:54,880 --> 00:10:56,760
Speaker 3: There's a lot of there's like some they were two

217
00:10:56,840 --> 00:10:59,839
Speaker 3: and five and one possession games. All five losses were

218
00:10:59,840 --> 00:11:02,440
Speaker 3: by one possession, like that they were close to being

219
00:11:02,520 --> 00:11:06,760
Speaker 3: bath and one more year with another top five recruiting class.

220
00:11:07,480 --> 00:11:09,880
Speaker 3: A progression of viewers is the key, but there's quarterback

221
00:11:09,920 --> 00:11:12,400
Speaker 3: depth if needed. Oh and by the way, don't forget

222
00:11:12,400 --> 00:11:14,320
Speaker 3: about my boy Isa and a are back from an

223
00:11:14,320 --> 00:11:17,080
Speaker 3: ac Yell injury. I will always love him because he

224
00:11:17,160 --> 00:11:20,000
Speaker 3: got that amazing cover against Boise State when he was

225
00:11:20,000 --> 00:11:22,559
Speaker 3: at Wyoming on like the meaningless Hail Mary at the

226
00:11:22,640 --> 00:11:24,200
Speaker 3: end of the game. If it goes a Friday night game.

227
00:11:24,360 --> 00:11:28,120
Speaker 3: Will always love him. And I've just got a call

228
00:11:28,200 --> 00:11:34,640
Speaker 3: here from Yeah. Sources inside the state of Arkansas are

229
00:11:34,679 --> 00:11:38,880
Speaker 3: saying the reason Colin now has Colin has bought wait,

230
00:11:39,040 --> 00:11:41,640
Speaker 3: he said he bought all the I'm trying to hear

231
00:11:41,679 --> 00:11:44,360
Speaker 3: this message. All the Texas futures now, all the Texas

232
00:11:44,440 --> 00:11:48,920
Speaker 3: jerseys have. Sark follows him and Jalen Catalog is now

233
00:11:49,000 --> 00:11:52,360
Speaker 3: in Texas. There are rumors that Colin is becoming a

234
00:11:52,400 --> 00:11:55,200
Speaker 3: Texas fan and changing allegiance. Is any truth to this.

235
00:11:55,600 --> 00:11:58,240
Speaker 2: Jalen Catalog being on this roster was like, I mean that,

236
00:11:58,400 --> 00:12:02,080
Speaker 2: I mean, what a steal for Kwaikowski and for Sark

237
00:12:02,120 --> 00:12:03,640
Speaker 2: to get him to come on that defense. He was

238
00:12:03,720 --> 00:12:06,679
Speaker 2: a leader for Arkansas couldn't stay healthy. One of the

239
00:12:06,679 --> 00:12:09,120
Speaker 2: best secondary players we've had in recent years. He is

240
00:12:09,200 --> 00:12:12,439
Speaker 2: going to be such a plus plus player for the Longhorns.

241
00:12:13,120 --> 00:12:16,440
Speaker 1: Yeah, I will ride this Texas thing and then Sark

242
00:12:16,480 --> 00:12:18,400
Speaker 1: and I don't have to have a conversation next year

243
00:12:18,440 --> 00:12:20,520
Speaker 1: when the SEC Media Days are in Dallas and I

244
00:12:20,559 --> 00:12:24,000
Speaker 1: have to bid him a farewell as I will still

245
00:12:24,000 --> 00:12:24,679
Speaker 1: be backing.

246
00:12:24,440 --> 00:12:25,079
Speaker 2: My boy Pitt.

247
00:12:25,679 --> 00:12:27,520
Speaker 3: Yeah. By the way, I met this, it was a

248
00:12:27,520 --> 00:12:29,520
Speaker 3: really funny story. I was when I was out west

249
00:12:29,720 --> 00:12:32,400
Speaker 3: this month. Oh and by the way, a little secret.

250
00:12:32,480 --> 00:12:35,840
Speaker 3: It's like the after the first weekend of August, I

251
00:12:35,880 --> 00:12:38,080
Speaker 3: got to pull up the exact name of it. I

252
00:12:38,200 --> 00:12:44,000
Speaker 3: bought my wife this like new amazing. She sent me

253
00:12:44,040 --> 00:12:46,720
Speaker 3: like a text about this alaga. It's it's not even

254
00:12:46,760 --> 00:12:49,559
Speaker 3: that expensive. It's like it's called thicker than thick coma

255
00:12:49,600 --> 00:12:52,560
Speaker 3: inducer comforter comes and it is the most comfortable thing

256
00:12:52,600 --> 00:12:55,000
Speaker 3: I ever bought it for. She's like laying the dog

257
00:12:55,080 --> 00:12:58,400
Speaker 3: loves it. It's really comfortable. It's a huge plus. Go

258
00:12:58,480 --> 00:13:00,400
Speaker 3: on Amazon, you can search it. It's called just starts

259
00:13:00,440 --> 00:13:02,560
Speaker 3: thicker than thick. Don't google that. Some other things might

260
00:13:02,600 --> 00:13:06,320
Speaker 3: come up for that, but Koma Inducer Gating comforter. This

261
00:13:06,480 --> 00:13:08,640
Speaker 3: is the time a couple of dates here and there,

262
00:13:08,720 --> 00:13:11,120
Speaker 3: buy a little couple gifts. It's the time of suiteten

263
00:13:11,760 --> 00:13:13,920
Speaker 3: and build those brownie points up. But we were just

264
00:13:13,960 --> 00:13:16,040
Speaker 3: out west on vacation. And then we were in a

265
00:13:16,440 --> 00:13:19,280
Speaker 3: we were on a safari in the Grand Tee Times.

266
00:13:19,600 --> 00:13:21,720
Speaker 3: We and our guide by the way, he said it

267
00:13:21,760 --> 00:13:24,520
Speaker 3: was the best moose sighting he's had in two years.

268
00:13:24,559 --> 00:13:26,720
Speaker 3: We saw like these five moose and there's four bull

269
00:13:26,760 --> 00:13:29,880
Speaker 3: moose which are usually not together. Hopefully those are the

270
00:13:29,880 --> 00:13:33,080
Speaker 3: only moose I'll be seeing all year. But there was

271
00:13:33,120 --> 00:13:36,920
Speaker 3: this lovely couple that were sitting next to me. They

272
00:13:36,920 --> 00:13:39,600
Speaker 3: were older, really nice. They could tell that they were Southern.

273
00:13:40,080 --> 00:13:41,840
Speaker 3: And then I get to talk with them and then

274
00:13:42,160 --> 00:13:44,920
Speaker 3: the guy says, h, we were talking about we saw

275
00:13:44,920 --> 00:13:46,720
Speaker 3: a snake. And then the woman says, oh, we have

276
00:13:47,080 --> 00:13:52,240
Speaker 3: we have rattlesnakes in our farm in central Arkansas. I said, oh,

277
00:13:52,360 --> 00:13:54,520
Speaker 3: where are you from? Where you're from in central Arkansas?

278
00:13:54,559 --> 00:13:57,120
Speaker 3: And they said, god, you wouldn't know that, but we

279
00:13:57,120 --> 00:13:59,520
Speaker 3: obvious wouldn't talk abou sports. I said, said near u

280
00:13:59,559 --> 00:14:03,840
Speaker 3: c A. And they're like yeah, So they live right

281
00:14:03,920 --> 00:14:06,560
Speaker 3: like a farm right by Ucah, assuming Conway. And then

282
00:14:06,760 --> 00:14:08,000
Speaker 3: I said, woo pig.

283
00:14:07,840 --> 00:14:10,440
Speaker 2: Suey, woo pig suey.

284
00:14:10,640 --> 00:14:13,640
Speaker 3: Like questioning, and the guy said, it depends depends on

285
00:14:13,679 --> 00:14:17,120
Speaker 3: the Saturday. So football is in the air for sure.

286
00:14:17,880 --> 00:14:21,480
Speaker 3: We will get to the SEC will break that up

287
00:14:21,520 --> 00:14:25,440
Speaker 3: in two episodes. We do that last as always. But yeah,

288
00:14:25,520 --> 00:14:28,880
Speaker 3: Texas at Alabama, I cannot wait for that game that

289
00:14:29,040 --> 00:14:35,440
Speaker 3: should be at and yeah, of course, yeah anything seven

290
00:14:35,480 --> 00:14:38,840
Speaker 3: or above I will thunder percent on Texas for sure.

291
00:14:38,880 --> 00:14:40,520
Speaker 3: I can't wait for that game. There's gonna be so

292
00:14:40,640 --> 00:14:42,920
Speaker 3: much high for that game. I also will say before

293
00:14:42,960 --> 00:14:44,560
Speaker 3: we move on to some of these other teams in

294
00:14:44,600 --> 00:14:49,640
Speaker 3: the Big twelve, Texas against Rice Week one. Rice brings

295
00:14:49,680 --> 00:14:53,000
Speaker 3: in JT. Daniels, who can run that like complex pro

296
00:14:53,040 --> 00:14:56,720
Speaker 3: style offense. They'd want to grind the clock down new

297
00:14:56,760 --> 00:15:02,000
Speaker 3: clock rules. Texas is like national title hopes aren't completely condigental.

298
00:15:02,040 --> 00:15:06,640
Speaker 3: Week two, but revenge Sark gets Alabama all the hype.

299
00:15:07,040 --> 00:15:10,600
Speaker 3: Texas ain't gonna show much to this game. They're pulling everyone.

300
00:15:11,120 --> 00:15:13,000
Speaker 3: I don't know if I want to bet Rice like

301
00:15:13,040 --> 00:15:14,600
Speaker 3: for the game or wait for the second half of

302
00:15:14,720 --> 00:15:18,320
Speaker 3: Texas is up big, But I can't imagine Texas doesn't

303
00:15:18,320 --> 00:15:21,080
Speaker 3: do yeah work, the work out their work on some

304
00:15:21,200 --> 00:15:23,840
Speaker 3: rosster early, they're not going to show anything that they've

305
00:15:23,840 --> 00:15:25,560
Speaker 3: been doing, and then they let's stay healthy. In the

306
00:15:25,560 --> 00:15:29,080
Speaker 3: second half. The numbers sitting at thirty five, I think

307
00:15:29,160 --> 00:15:32,560
Speaker 3: Rice will be a little better, could get ugly, but

308
00:15:32,920 --> 00:15:35,280
Speaker 3: that's adult I've targeted for week one just on the

309
00:15:35,320 --> 00:15:38,400
Speaker 3: spot alone and what what I think Sark and company

310
00:15:38,400 --> 00:15:40,320
Speaker 3: will do as far as what they're showing. And then

311
00:15:40,360 --> 00:15:42,120
Speaker 3: when they're pulling everyone, well.

312
00:15:42,080 --> 00:15:45,880
Speaker 1: Rice is actually trying to run tempo now and yes,

313
00:15:46,040 --> 00:15:49,000
Speaker 1: that's true. Yeah, So I think the play the loop

314
00:15:49,040 --> 00:15:50,160
Speaker 1: for me there, and I agree with you. I mean,

315
00:15:50,200 --> 00:15:51,920
Speaker 1: it's a spot like they're gonna go Textas gonna be

316
00:15:51,960 --> 00:15:53,720
Speaker 1: so vanilla, they're going to be into their third string

317
00:15:53,760 --> 00:15:57,160
Speaker 1: by the third quarter. And because of that reason, I

318
00:15:57,160 --> 00:15:59,400
Speaker 1: think the better play is the over. If Rice thinks

319
00:15:59,400 --> 00:16:02,120
Speaker 1: that they want to go tempo against the fire, Texas

320
00:16:02,120 --> 00:16:04,280
Speaker 1: has Yeah signing up for and over there, but fifty

321
00:16:04,360 --> 00:16:05,840
Speaker 1: nine s key, So we'll keep an eye on it

322
00:16:05,920 --> 00:16:06,400
Speaker 1: for week one.

323
00:16:06,880 --> 00:16:08,400
Speaker 3: All right, So let's move on to the rest of

324
00:16:08,440 --> 00:16:12,000
Speaker 3: the Big twelve. We obviously have to talk about TCU,

325
00:16:12,240 --> 00:16:15,920
Speaker 3: who just made it to the national Championship. You're beloved,

326
00:16:16,240 --> 00:16:20,800
Speaker 3: worn frogs. They are twenty to one to win the

327
00:16:20,840 --> 00:16:24,040
Speaker 3: Big Twelve, and then you're defending Big Twelve champs. Aren't.

328
00:16:24,360 --> 00:16:28,200
Speaker 3: It's not actually TCU, it's Kansas State. There are six

329
00:16:28,280 --> 00:16:31,160
Speaker 3: to one to win the Big Twelve. Win total over

330
00:16:31,280 --> 00:16:34,120
Speaker 3: seven and a half at BETMGM minus one seventy five.

331
00:16:34,800 --> 00:16:37,600
Speaker 3: Obviously it's gonna be a touch higher than that if

332
00:16:37,600 --> 00:16:40,480
Speaker 3: you look elsewhere. TCU over seven and a half minus

333
00:16:40,520 --> 00:16:46,480
Speaker 3: one forty Let's start there with TCU and Kansas State.

334
00:16:46,840 --> 00:16:50,479
Speaker 3: I will say Kansas State has five Big Twelve home games.

335
00:16:50,840 --> 00:16:54,440
Speaker 3: They only avoid OU out of the top six. Obviously,

336
00:16:54,440 --> 00:16:56,720
Speaker 3: they don't play themselves as well. When you look at

337
00:16:56,800 --> 00:17:00,360
Speaker 3: Kansas State, their top eight offensive lineman return and Will

338
00:17:00,400 --> 00:17:03,480
Speaker 3: Howard comes back. They do lose their star running back Vaughn,

339
00:17:04,080 --> 00:17:07,200
Speaker 3: which is important. They lose Knowles and Warner at wide receiver.

340
00:17:07,920 --> 00:17:10,560
Speaker 3: I am worried about their secondary, and they lost their

341
00:17:10,600 --> 00:17:14,280
Speaker 3: top pass rusher to the NFL. So there's definitely Huggins

342
00:17:14,280 --> 00:17:16,840
Speaker 3: as well at nose tackle. So there's some holes here.

343
00:17:17,240 --> 00:17:20,800
Speaker 3: I'm most worried about. Hey, look, you don't have the

344
00:17:20,840 --> 00:17:24,600
Speaker 3: wide receiver room, especially with vaugh no longer there. The

345
00:17:24,640 --> 00:17:26,720
Speaker 3: offensive line is going to be great. They're going to

346
00:17:26,760 --> 00:17:29,560
Speaker 3: be who they are, but I'm also worried about the secondary,

347
00:17:29,600 --> 00:17:32,879
Speaker 3: and especially if the pass rush takes a hit. Do

348
00:17:33,119 --> 00:17:36,320
Speaker 3: start off with a fairly easy schedule, but they do

349
00:17:36,400 --> 00:17:39,760
Speaker 3: go to Texas. That's Kansas State, and then when you

350
00:17:39,800 --> 00:17:43,119
Speaker 3: look at TCU, Okay, the state we talk about the losses.

351
00:17:43,160 --> 00:17:45,960
Speaker 3: There's a ton of losses here. Plust eight to the

352
00:17:46,080 --> 00:17:50,880
Speaker 3: NFL Draft, three others signed as free agents. Eleven total.

353
00:17:51,840 --> 00:17:53,840
Speaker 3: There were six and one in one possession games. They

354
00:17:53,840 --> 00:17:56,840
Speaker 3: got like every break possible, great and turnover margins. I mean,

355
00:17:56,960 --> 00:18:01,680
Speaker 3: you name it, comeback, wins, close, wins. Chandler Morris, your boy,

356
00:18:02,680 --> 00:18:04,920
Speaker 3: uh he's back at quarterback, was a starter to start

357
00:18:05,000 --> 00:18:07,240
Speaker 3: last year. He'll now be the quarterback. And your other

358
00:18:07,320 --> 00:18:10,640
Speaker 3: boy Brile, so this is this would be your other team.

359
00:18:11,080 --> 00:18:13,040
Speaker 3: He thought you love TCU. Last year you got Morris

360
00:18:13,040 --> 00:18:16,720
Speaker 3: and Brile's reunion. But they lost you know, their top

361
00:18:16,760 --> 00:18:21,600
Speaker 3: two receivers, They lost some key offensive linemen. Their defense

362
00:18:22,400 --> 00:18:24,440
Speaker 3: is a lot more experienced, and there's seven returning starts

363
00:18:24,440 --> 00:18:26,080
Speaker 3: compared to three on the offensive side. Of the ball.

364
00:18:26,080 --> 00:18:28,639
Speaker 3: But they lost a couple pros on defense as well.

365
00:18:29,080 --> 00:18:31,879
Speaker 3: But you would think in Gillespie your two some improvement

366
00:18:31,920 --> 00:18:37,000
Speaker 3: there potentially more comfortable in that three three five scheme. However,

367
00:18:37,160 --> 00:18:39,600
Speaker 3: TCU not only do they have that regression, they're now

368
00:18:39,600 --> 00:18:42,920
Speaker 3: the hunted and they play all five other top six

369
00:18:43,000 --> 00:18:46,080
Speaker 3: projected teams and they own and they have five big

370
00:18:46,160 --> 00:18:50,280
Speaker 3: twelve road games. I will say they could potentially start

371
00:18:50,400 --> 00:18:52,359
Speaker 3: seven and zero, you know, I mean, like none of

372
00:18:52,400 --> 00:18:54,399
Speaker 3: their games are going to be easy being the Hunted.

373
00:18:54,440 --> 00:18:57,520
Speaker 3: Then they go to Houston, they go to Iowa State,

374
00:18:57,720 --> 00:19:00,240
Speaker 3: but that now looks a lot easier. But they're other

375
00:19:00,640 --> 00:19:03,320
Speaker 3: games of the first seven Colorado at home, Nickels at home,

376
00:19:03,520 --> 00:19:06,520
Speaker 3: SMU at home, West Virginia at home, BYU at home.

377
00:19:06,800 --> 00:19:10,200
Speaker 3: With all that change, they did really attack the portal

378
00:19:10,240 --> 00:19:12,960
Speaker 3: and brought into a lot of talent there. They could

379
00:19:13,000 --> 00:19:15,199
Speaker 3: start seven and oh, and then it's really tough to

380
00:19:15,280 --> 00:19:18,800
Speaker 3: end the season at Kansas State at Texas Tech, Texas,

381
00:19:18,800 --> 00:19:22,520
Speaker 3: Baylor at Oklahoma. What do you see? We'll start with

382
00:19:22,600 --> 00:19:26,439
Speaker 3: Kansas State. Any value there with the Wildcats.

383
00:19:27,040 --> 00:19:30,760
Speaker 1: I believe Kansas State kind of gets the Army treatment.

384
00:19:30,880 --> 00:19:34,159
Speaker 1: With my mathematics and the reason is because Army is

385
00:19:34,200 --> 00:19:37,040
Speaker 1: a system that runs a certain offense that can surprise

386
00:19:37,119 --> 00:19:39,080
Speaker 1: anybody on Saturday, at least that's what it's been in

387
00:19:39,080 --> 00:19:43,160
Speaker 1: the past. You are right, and Kansas State, their secondary

388
00:19:43,160 --> 00:19:45,360
Speaker 1: and wide receivers are taking a massive hit and it's

389
00:19:45,359 --> 00:19:47,439
Speaker 1: going to be a real problem for this team. But

390
00:19:47,520 --> 00:19:49,520
Speaker 1: when it comes to the offensive line, this is the

391
00:19:49,560 --> 00:19:52,080
Speaker 1: best offensive line depth in the entire conference. Cooper bb

392
00:19:52,200 --> 00:19:55,560
Speaker 1: may be the best offensive lineman in the entire conference.

393
00:19:55,600 --> 00:19:58,160
Speaker 1: Hadley Pans is good at guard too, So there's still

394
00:19:58,320 --> 00:20:00,760
Speaker 1: you know, kat levitson the tackle is coming back. That

395
00:20:01,240 --> 00:20:04,080
Speaker 1: they are loaded on the offensive line and that fits

396
00:20:04,080 --> 00:20:08,240
Speaker 1: what Chris Climban wants to do. And offensive coordinator optimist Kline.

397
00:20:08,280 --> 00:20:09,960
Speaker 1: You know, Colin Plin is still there. He had a

398
00:20:10,000 --> 00:20:13,040
Speaker 1: really successful year as the offensive coordinator. Will Howard went

399
00:20:13,119 --> 00:20:14,480
Speaker 1: fifteen and fourteen.

400
00:20:14,119 --> 00:20:15,280
Speaker 2: To I int ratio.

401
00:20:15,800 --> 00:20:18,359
Speaker 1: We did not think he was capable of just picking

402
00:20:18,400 --> 00:20:22,159
Speaker 1: up Adrian Martinez after injury producing the way that he did,

403
00:20:22,280 --> 00:20:24,239
Speaker 1: So I'm not sure I want to count them out.

404
00:20:24,240 --> 00:20:26,320
Speaker 1: And then you say, well, ducewand and Elik Knowles depart,

405
00:20:26,359 --> 00:20:28,800
Speaker 1: but Trasha on Ward comes in from Florida State from

406
00:20:28,840 --> 00:20:31,880
Speaker 1: the transfer portal, I can't speak to if he's got

407
00:20:31,880 --> 00:20:34,360
Speaker 1: the same you know, ability to hold onto the ball

408
00:20:34,400 --> 00:20:36,280
Speaker 1: and not fumble like Deuce Vaughan, who I think had

409
00:20:36,359 --> 00:20:39,080
Speaker 1: two in his entire career at Kansas State. But Tresha

410
00:20:39,080 --> 00:20:41,840
Speaker 1: on Ward is just as elusive. So I expect this

411
00:20:42,000 --> 00:20:44,679
Speaker 1: running game to be just as powerful, plowed us as

412
00:20:44,720 --> 00:20:46,680
Speaker 1: many holes, and they still have a playmaker in the

413
00:20:46,720 --> 00:20:49,280
Speaker 1: backfield that can move around and score touchdowns. I think

414
00:20:49,320 --> 00:20:51,880
Speaker 1: the problem is the secondary. Now how much do I

415
00:20:51,920 --> 00:20:53,880
Speaker 1: mark them off for that? I have their win total

416
00:20:53,880 --> 00:20:56,440
Speaker 1: closer to seven than I do to eight, so under

417
00:20:56,560 --> 00:20:59,160
Speaker 1: is the play. But when I say that, I think

418
00:20:59,200 --> 00:21:02,040
Speaker 1: Kansas State is broke the model, it's because Climban's out

419
00:21:02,119 --> 00:21:04,680
Speaker 1: trying to find guys for his system. He's not out

420
00:21:04,720 --> 00:21:06,960
Speaker 1: trying to get five stars. And if you can go

421
00:21:07,000 --> 00:21:09,680
Speaker 1: through the portal and find guys from North Dakota State

422
00:21:09,880 --> 00:21:11,840
Speaker 1: or guys that are in a system similar to what

423
00:21:11,880 --> 00:21:13,919
Speaker 1: you want, it's not going to show up in an

424
00:21:13,920 --> 00:21:15,960
Speaker 1: Excel sheet, but it's got damn will show up in

425
00:21:16,000 --> 00:21:19,199
Speaker 1: the trench. So I you know their secondary is going

426
00:21:19,240 --> 00:21:21,120
Speaker 1: to be a mess. That's going to be a problem.

427
00:21:21,400 --> 00:21:23,240
Speaker 1: I would say the play is the under, but I

428
00:21:23,320 --> 00:21:25,040
Speaker 1: am not fading this team.

429
00:21:25,640 --> 00:21:27,080
Speaker 3: Yeah, I kind of the same set to it. I

430
00:21:27,200 --> 00:21:30,520
Speaker 3: lean under as well. I would probably won't bet it.

431
00:21:30,560 --> 00:21:32,879
Speaker 3: They are you know, I am worried about a bit

432
00:21:32,880 --> 00:21:36,359
Speaker 3: of regression turnovers. They were really fortunate, but that's just

433
00:21:36,440 --> 00:21:39,000
Speaker 3: kind of the way that they play. What I'm more

434
00:21:39,000 --> 00:21:42,920
Speaker 3: worried about is and look the secondary as major questions

435
00:21:43,160 --> 00:21:46,919
Speaker 3: and then you lose your premier edge rusher in the

436
00:21:46,920 --> 00:21:49,080
Speaker 3: first round of the NFL draft like that. That combo

437
00:21:49,720 --> 00:21:53,400
Speaker 3: isn't great. Their special teams could take a major hit

438
00:21:53,560 --> 00:21:56,880
Speaker 3: and that was a strength last year, and that could

439
00:21:56,880 --> 00:21:58,679
Speaker 3: swing a couple of close games. You lose ender to

440
00:21:58,680 --> 00:22:02,320
Speaker 3: the NFL. He did their kick kickoffs was money kicking

441
00:22:02,440 --> 00:22:05,040
Speaker 3: and an elite punter. It lose him, and then Knowles

442
00:22:05,119 --> 00:22:07,440
Speaker 3: is an elite returner. I think he had a couple

443
00:22:07,920 --> 00:22:12,159
Speaker 3: touchdowns even called back, so that could cost them a

444
00:22:12,160 --> 00:22:16,480
Speaker 3: couple of close games. Speaking of you know, regression candidates,

445
00:22:16,480 --> 00:22:18,680
Speaker 3: I think everyone knows it's like, hey, TCU, everything went

446
00:22:18,800 --> 00:22:22,600
Speaker 3: right last year, six and one one possession games, you know,

447
00:22:23,400 --> 00:22:26,720
Speaker 3: very good turnover margin. Everything just that they needed to

448
00:22:26,720 --> 00:22:30,080
Speaker 3: go right did until you know, they ran into Georgia

449
00:22:30,640 --> 00:22:35,240
Speaker 3: still have an elite secondary. We still love Gillespie. They've

450
00:22:35,280 --> 00:22:37,960
Speaker 3: really hit the portal hard. But I mean it is

451
00:22:38,000 --> 00:22:40,639
Speaker 3: a team that has eleven players from last year's roster,

452
00:22:41,240 --> 00:22:45,280
Speaker 3: including their quarterback. You know they're running back to star receivers,

453
00:22:45,720 --> 00:22:49,600
Speaker 3: offensive lineman all on NFL rosters right now. What do

454
00:22:49,640 --> 00:22:53,440
Speaker 3: you see with TCU does have a very tough schedule?

455
00:22:53,480 --> 00:22:56,960
Speaker 3: They did not they lost the Big twelve schedule lottery,

456
00:22:57,040 --> 00:22:59,200
Speaker 3: But like I said, there is a really good chance

457
00:22:59,800 --> 00:23:03,280
Speaker 3: that they could start off seven and l before a

458
00:23:03,400 --> 00:23:06,240
Speaker 3: rematch with at Kansas State and Manhattan. What do you

459
00:23:06,240 --> 00:23:09,080
Speaker 3: see with your beloved Frogs. I do love the Frogs.

460
00:23:09,080 --> 00:23:12,320
Speaker 1: I love Sunny Dykes, I love Hypnotoad, But then it

461
00:23:12,400 --> 00:23:14,040
Speaker 1: kind of sour is when we get to Kenda Brill's

462
00:23:14,119 --> 00:23:16,080
Speaker 1: in for Garrett Riley here. So we need to talk

463
00:23:16,119 --> 00:23:19,280
Speaker 1: about the offensive coordinator change because Garrett Riley is going

464
00:23:19,320 --> 00:23:23,800
Speaker 1: to take his power spread power raid over to Clemson,

465
00:23:23,880 --> 00:23:25,480
Speaker 1: and that's going to leave Kendall Browns to come in

466
00:23:25,520 --> 00:23:26,479
Speaker 1: and call his offense.

467
00:23:26,600 --> 00:23:26,760
Speaker 2: Now.

468
00:23:26,800 --> 00:23:31,080
Speaker 1: Sunny Dikes at media Days repeated it over and over

469
00:23:31,280 --> 00:23:36,520
Speaker 1: and over, specifically to me, Kendall Brill's vision of the

470
00:23:36,560 --> 00:23:42,160
Speaker 1: offense falls in line with mine exactly. And what Sunny

471
00:23:42,200 --> 00:23:44,520
Speaker 1: Dikes is trying to tell you right there is that

472
00:23:44,640 --> 00:23:47,600
Speaker 1: Kendall Briles runs an offense about three seconds faster than

473
00:23:47,640 --> 00:23:50,400
Speaker 1: Garrett Riley. It is a version of the air raid

474
00:23:50,600 --> 00:23:53,639
Speaker 1: ten to eleven inside zone. There's going to be rushing,

475
00:23:53,720 --> 00:23:55,480
Speaker 1: but it's not going to be the spread out Kendrick

476
00:23:55,520 --> 00:23:59,160
Speaker 1: Miller bash over the guards over center, you know, Max

477
00:23:59,240 --> 00:24:02,000
Speaker 1: Duggan being a mobile quarterback. By the way, Max Duggins

478
00:24:02,000 --> 00:24:03,600
Speaker 1: is not on this roster. He is not the second

479
00:24:03,600 --> 00:24:07,359
Speaker 1: string quarterback behind Chandler Morris. Chandler Morris gets hurt or

480
00:24:07,359 --> 00:24:10,639
Speaker 1: he's inefficient. The list of quarterbacks back here are not

481
00:24:10,720 --> 00:24:14,600
Speaker 1: Max Duggan, right, Josh Hoover, Nolan Porter not the same.

482
00:24:15,000 --> 00:24:16,720
Speaker 3: Now they did go to the Poles gone, he's a

483
00:24:16,800 --> 00:24:20,120
Speaker 3: col Yeah, Jack, Yeah. It's like you said they're gonna play.

484
00:24:20,119 --> 00:24:22,880
Speaker 3: It's gonna be a little fastersion and then a higher

485
00:24:22,920 --> 00:24:25,160
Speaker 3: percentage of like quick quick, quick passes.

486
00:24:25,480 --> 00:24:28,479
Speaker 1: And Sunny Dykes wanted this, So I'll just say like

487
00:24:28,520 --> 00:24:31,439
Speaker 1: he was very clear that the Kendleborough's offense is the

488
00:24:31,480 --> 00:24:33,080
Speaker 1: offense that he wants to run. So there are going

489
00:24:33,119 --> 00:24:35,040
Speaker 1: to be changes. Now you went out and got Tray

490
00:24:35,080 --> 00:24:37,679
Speaker 1: Sanders and Jojo Earl in the portal from Bama. So

491
00:24:37,720 --> 00:24:40,159
Speaker 1: now you're kind of getting you know, guys that have

492
00:24:40,240 --> 00:24:41,960
Speaker 1: left Bama that didn't get a lot of playing time

493
00:24:42,080 --> 00:24:44,160
Speaker 1: or as much as they wanted, especially with Tray Sanders,

494
00:24:44,320 --> 00:24:45,840
Speaker 1: They're going to come in and try to fill these

495
00:24:45,880 --> 00:24:48,960
Speaker 1: explosive slots. So with the tempo increase, I expect a

496
00:24:49,000 --> 00:24:50,359
Speaker 1: lot of points and that's going to play into a

497
00:24:50,359 --> 00:24:52,000
Speaker 1: play I'm going to make at the end of the podcast.

498
00:24:52,040 --> 00:24:54,880
Speaker 1: But they still have five big twelve road games they

499
00:24:54,920 --> 00:24:57,359
Speaker 1: do host Texas. You know they're gonna have to be

500
00:24:57,400 --> 00:25:00,320
Speaker 1: able to find a way defensively to keep on proving

501
00:25:00,440 --> 00:25:02,879
Speaker 1: I love Joe Bilespie. There will never be negative narrative

502
00:25:02,880 --> 00:25:05,600
Speaker 1: around Joe Gillespie. He got them to go from being

503
00:25:05,720 --> 00:25:08,760
Speaker 1: like one hundred and twentieth defense to like a ninetieth defense, right,

504
00:25:09,200 --> 00:25:11,520
Speaker 1: one hundred and first in defensive finishing drives. It was

505
00:25:11,560 --> 00:25:14,520
Speaker 1: a big improvement for TCU last year, but for them

506
00:25:14,560 --> 00:25:17,639
Speaker 1: to hop up into the sixties the fifties is a

507
00:25:17,680 --> 00:25:20,200
Speaker 1: defense that's going to be a little bit more challenging

508
00:25:20,200 --> 00:25:23,480
Speaker 1: this year. Win total wise, I project them closer to

509
00:25:23,520 --> 00:25:25,720
Speaker 1: seven about where the market is. But at the end

510
00:25:25,760 --> 00:25:27,679
Speaker 1: of the podcast, I've definitely got to play on the Frogs.

511
00:25:27,800 --> 00:25:31,440
Speaker 3: Yeah, Aileen under here, we'll talk about them more. But yeah,

512
00:25:31,440 --> 00:25:35,360
Speaker 3: I mean like they added Robinson from UCF Richard cipfermok

513
00:25:35,359 --> 00:25:38,439
Speaker 3: State of Receiver as well to reload there. You have

514
00:25:38,480 --> 00:25:40,960
Speaker 3: some concerns about the interior of the offensive line. The

515
00:25:41,000 --> 00:25:43,359
Speaker 3: offense is going to take a step back, for sure,

516
00:25:43,680 --> 00:25:47,120
Speaker 3: just you can't lose all that talent and not the defense.

517
00:25:47,160 --> 00:25:49,159
Speaker 3: I did say, still have an elite secred It's sill

518
00:25:49,280 --> 00:25:51,880
Speaker 3: very good secretary on paper, but they they'll miss Winters

519
00:25:51,920 --> 00:25:54,480
Speaker 3: and Hodges, Tomlinson, and then the passors might not be

520
00:25:54,560 --> 00:25:59,159
Speaker 3: as good without Winders and Orton. So we'll see Ludgard's

521
00:25:59,200 --> 00:26:01,960
Speaker 3: how much the Yeah, yeah, they still have some really

522
00:26:01,960 --> 00:26:06,480
Speaker 3: good pieces and brought in some transfers. We'll see if

523
00:26:07,160 --> 00:26:09,240
Speaker 3: the jump in the year two of the Gillespie system

524
00:26:09,280 --> 00:26:12,680
Speaker 3: can compensate for some of those losses and being more

525
00:26:12,720 --> 00:26:15,520
Speaker 3: comfortable in that scheme. I lean under here as well.

526
00:26:15,520 --> 00:26:17,640
Speaker 3: But looking at the schedule with all of this change,

527
00:26:17,720 --> 00:26:19,440
Speaker 3: is a really good chance that they could start seven

528
00:26:19,480 --> 00:26:22,080
Speaker 3: and zer and then really build something again. Yep, by

529
00:26:22,280 --> 00:26:24,480
Speaker 3: either feeling they'll get picked off once or twice, but

530
00:26:24,640 --> 00:26:27,320
Speaker 3: the termol at Iowa State that road game at Iowa State.

531
00:26:27,359 --> 00:26:29,600
Speaker 3: That certainly helps them because that was one of their

532
00:26:29,600 --> 00:26:32,800
Speaker 3: only two road games of their first seven with Iowa

533
00:26:32,800 --> 00:26:35,600
Speaker 3: staping the only time they travel out of the state

534
00:26:36,000 --> 00:26:40,040
Speaker 3: of Texas. Then, before we go any further, as a reminder,

535
00:26:40,119 --> 00:26:43,720
Speaker 3: Big Bets on Campus is presented by bet MGM, so

536
00:26:43,880 --> 00:26:46,440
Speaker 3: get it on the action with the King of Sportsbooks.

537
00:26:46,760 --> 00:26:51,080
Speaker 3: Sign up with bet MGM using Bonus Code action and

538
00:26:51,160 --> 00:26:54,160
Speaker 3: get up to one thousand dollars paid back in bonus

539
00:26:54,200 --> 00:26:58,199
Speaker 3: bets if your first bet doesn't win. That is the

540
00:26:58,320 --> 00:27:04,720
Speaker 3: bonus Code action. Visit betmgm dot com for terms and conditions. Arizona, Colorado, Illinois,

541
00:27:04,720 --> 00:27:07,879
Speaker 3: Indiana at Iowa, Kansas, Louisiana, Michigan, Misissippi, Nevada, New Jersey,

542
00:27:07,960 --> 00:27:11,200
Speaker 3: New York, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Puerto Rico, Tennessee, Virginia, Washington, DC,

543
00:27:11,320 --> 00:27:14,080
Speaker 3: West Virginia, Wyoming or Ontario only. Must be twenty one

544
00:27:14,160 --> 00:27:16,359
Speaker 3: or order to wager nineteen or older. In Ontario New

545
00:27:16,400 --> 00:27:19,160
Speaker 3: Customer Offer. All promotions are subject qualfcation with eligibility requirements.

546
00:27:19,240 --> 00:27:21,800
Speaker 3: Rewards issued as non withdrawable free bets or site credit

547
00:27:21,880 --> 00:27:25,240
Speaker 3: free bets expire seven days from Missians excludes Michigan dissociated persons.

548
00:27:25,280 --> 00:27:28,399
Speaker 3: Please gamble responsibly. Gambling problem call one hundred next Step

549
00:27:28,520 --> 00:27:30,520
Speaker 3: in Arizona one one hundred and five two two four

550
00:27:30,560 --> 00:27:34,000
Speaker 3: seven zero zero in Colorado, DC, Kansas, Louisiana, Nevada, Wyoming,

551
00:27:34,119 --> 00:27:36,760
Speaker 3: or Virginia one eight hundred twenty seven zero seven one

552
00:27:36,800 --> 00:27:39,400
Speaker 3: one seven for confidential help in Michigan one eight hundred

553
00:27:39,520 --> 00:27:42,400
Speaker 3: gambler in Indiana, Maryland, New Jersey or West Virginia. One

554
00:27:42,400 --> 00:27:45,399
Speaker 3: eight hundred bets off in Iowa. One hundred nine eight

555
00:27:45,400 --> 00:27:47,320
Speaker 3: one zero zero two three. In Puerto Rico, call eight

556
00:27:47,400 --> 00:27:50,880
Speaker 3: seven seven eight hope and Why, or text hope and Why.

557
00:27:50,920 --> 00:27:53,640
Speaker 3: In New York, called texts the Tennessee Redline at twenty

558
00:27:53,640 --> 00:27:55,600
Speaker 3: one hundred eight eight nine nine seven eight nine or

559
00:27:55,600 --> 00:27:57,760
Speaker 3: call one eight eight eight seven seven seven ninety six

560
00:27:57,880 --> 00:28:00,000
Speaker 3: ninety six in Mississippi. In Ontario, if you have question

561
00:28:00,000 --> 00:28:01,960
Speaker 3: their concerns about your gambling or someone close to you,

562
00:28:02,000 --> 00:28:04,520
Speaker 3: please contact Connects Ontario at one eight sixty six five

563
00:28:04,560 --> 00:28:06,560
Speaker 3: three one two six year zero to speak to an advisor.

564
00:28:06,600 --> 00:28:08,960
Speaker 3: Free charge. Sports betting is void in Georgia, Hawaii and

565
00:28:09,160 --> 00:28:12,000
Speaker 3: Utah and other states were prohimitted promotional offers not available

566
00:28:12,000 --> 00:28:14,400
Speaker 3: in the Nevada m New York. All Right mentioned those

567
00:28:14,440 --> 00:28:16,400
Speaker 3: two teams because they were in the Big Twelve Championship

568
00:28:16,440 --> 00:28:19,080
Speaker 3: last year and they're both sort of regression candidates replacing

569
00:28:19,119 --> 00:28:22,359
Speaker 3: some key players that were lost to the NFL. Let's

570
00:28:22,400 --> 00:28:24,280
Speaker 3: talk about a team that was in the top ten

571
00:28:24,400 --> 00:28:28,040
Speaker 3: last year. I believe preseason or at least some point

572
00:28:28,080 --> 00:28:31,760
Speaker 3: early in the season that really disappointed and that's Oklahoma.

573
00:28:32,160 --> 00:28:35,480
Speaker 3: Oklahoma Big twelve or plus three twenty five to win

574
00:28:35,560 --> 00:28:38,240
Speaker 3: the Big Twelve at bet MGM over nine and a

575
00:28:38,280 --> 00:28:41,959
Speaker 3: half minus one oh five, returned seven starters on oh

576
00:28:42,000 --> 00:28:44,960
Speaker 3: including Dylan Gabriel quarterback, and six starters on d and

577
00:28:45,240 --> 00:28:46,920
Speaker 3: when you look at their schedule, I would say that

578
00:28:47,040 --> 00:28:50,320
Speaker 3: they are the one of the three schedule winners in

579
00:28:50,360 --> 00:28:53,320
Speaker 3: the Big Twelve. They do only have four home games,

580
00:28:53,400 --> 00:28:56,880
Speaker 3: that's because they played one against Texas on a neutral field,

581
00:28:56,880 --> 00:29:00,600
Speaker 3: but they avoid Kansas State, Baylor, and Texas Tech, three

582
00:29:00,600 --> 00:29:03,000
Speaker 3: of the other five teams in my projected top six.

583
00:29:04,280 --> 00:29:07,240
Speaker 3: I still have questions about the offensive line. The running

584
00:29:07,240 --> 00:29:11,360
Speaker 3: back room is super young. You know the wide receivers

585
00:29:11,440 --> 00:29:14,160
Speaker 3: still there's a lot of speed, but they need someone

586
00:29:14,280 --> 00:29:16,360
Speaker 3: just to really step up and replace Mins. That's a

587
00:29:16,360 --> 00:29:21,320
Speaker 3: big loss. And can the defense like venibles? Where are

588
00:29:21,320 --> 00:29:24,320
Speaker 3: you what happened last year is year two? Aventables? Are

589
00:29:24,360 --> 00:29:26,760
Speaker 3: we going to see an improvement on that defense?

590
00:29:27,600 --> 00:29:30,320
Speaker 4: We got long ways to go. It's a work in progress.

591
00:29:30,400 --> 00:29:31,520
Speaker 4: We're under construction.

592
00:29:31,800 --> 00:29:34,680
Speaker 3: They added some bulk up front in the portal. You're

593
00:29:34,720 --> 00:29:37,560
Speaker 3: hoping McCullough from Indiana could come in fill in that

594
00:29:37,680 --> 00:29:42,480
Speaker 3: cheater role. The secondary looks decent. At safety, you know

595
00:29:42,520 --> 00:29:45,160
Speaker 3: you had Pearson, I like Woody Washington in a cornerback.

596
00:29:45,280 --> 00:29:48,920
Speaker 3: There's but there's depth issues across this roster. If there's

597
00:29:48,920 --> 00:29:51,560
Speaker 3: any injuries. You know, you lost five of your top

598
00:29:51,560 --> 00:29:54,680
Speaker 3: seven cornerbacks from last year. Got to replace the stud

599
00:29:54,760 --> 00:29:57,160
Speaker 3: punter as well. A lot of questions here, a lot

600
00:29:57,160 --> 00:30:00,240
Speaker 3: of some love in the market for Oklahoma over nine

601
00:30:00,280 --> 00:30:03,360
Speaker 3: and a half lost three twenty five to win the

602
00:30:03,400 --> 00:30:07,840
Speaker 3: Big Twelve. It is a pretty manageable schedule, only four

603
00:30:07,880 --> 00:30:10,280
Speaker 3: true road games and one thing I didn't mention. They

604
00:30:10,320 --> 00:30:12,040
Speaker 3: got a left tackle, right tackle, and right guard. Now

605
00:30:12,080 --> 00:30:15,280
Speaker 3: in the NFL, are you buying Oklahoma bounce back? Here

606
00:30:15,280 --> 00:30:17,800
Speaker 3: are you buying the Venables bump in year two? On

607
00:30:17,840 --> 00:30:20,320
Speaker 3: this defense? What do you see with the Sooners?

608
00:30:20,680 --> 00:30:23,840
Speaker 1: Absolutely not buying it from Oklahoma or Brent Venables. I

609
00:30:23,920 --> 00:30:27,280
Speaker 1: may be in the minority, but the under is a

610
00:30:27,320 --> 00:30:29,920
Speaker 1: play that I've already made put into the app. I

611
00:30:29,960 --> 00:30:31,960
Speaker 1: wasn't gonna wait for the podcast to me.

612
00:30:32,080 --> 00:30:34,720
Speaker 4: It's not like, oh, everything's great. No, everything ain't great,

613
00:30:34,720 --> 00:30:39,800
Speaker 4: but you know what, that's good. That's a good thing. Okay, good, good,

614
00:30:40,080 --> 00:30:40,640
Speaker 4: that's good.

615
00:30:41,040 --> 00:30:43,040
Speaker 1: I just don't think Jeff Levy is a good fit

616
00:30:43,080 --> 00:30:45,880
Speaker 1: as an offensive coordinator for what Brent Vinables is trying

617
00:30:45,920 --> 00:30:47,560
Speaker 1: to build on the defensive side of the ball.

618
00:30:48,080 --> 00:30:48,960
Speaker 2: You know, so Dylan.

619
00:30:48,800 --> 00:30:51,280
Speaker 1: Gabriel comes out a quarterback, he had twenty six percent

620
00:30:51,320 --> 00:30:53,640
Speaker 1: pressure to sack, so some offensive line work has still

621
00:30:53,640 --> 00:30:55,280
Speaker 1: got to be done there to get him protected.

622
00:30:55,760 --> 00:30:57,760
Speaker 2: The defense is beefing up with the portal.

623
00:30:58,160 --> 00:31:00,720
Speaker 1: They only return fifty percent of their tackles and PBUs

624
00:31:00,840 --> 00:31:06,160
Speaker 1: and really that's led by linebacker Danny Stutsman, who is

625
00:31:06,200 --> 00:31:09,920
Speaker 1: He's not the linebacker that Brent Vinnables needs to run

626
00:31:09,960 --> 00:31:13,080
Speaker 1: his defense. It's not the prototypical linebacker that he has

627
00:31:13,120 --> 00:31:15,240
Speaker 1: had in defensive pass good.

628
00:31:15,480 --> 00:31:16,040
Speaker 4: That's good.

629
00:31:16,280 --> 00:31:18,880
Speaker 1: Venables wants to talk about how Stutsman had, you know,

630
00:31:18,960 --> 00:31:20,800
Speaker 1: one hundred and two tackles last year. I'd ta anybody

631
00:31:20,840 --> 00:31:24,200
Speaker 1: it's got one hundred two tackles, one hundred tackles. Well, listen,

632
00:31:24,200 --> 00:31:26,200
Speaker 1: I watched a lot of Arkansas games where Grant Morgan

633
00:31:26,280 --> 00:31:28,120
Speaker 1: had a billion tackles. But that doesn't mean that we

634
00:31:28,120 --> 00:31:31,040
Speaker 1: weren't giving up fifty points, right. I mean, because your

635
00:31:31,080 --> 00:31:34,080
Speaker 1: offense is generating so many possessions, so many snaps, your

636
00:31:34,120 --> 00:31:35,880
Speaker 1: defense is gonna have a lot of chances to have

637
00:31:36,000 --> 00:31:39,480
Speaker 1: tackles too. Tackles is not a good grating factor of

638
00:31:39,520 --> 00:31:41,040
Speaker 1: how good your middle linebacker is.

639
00:31:41,400 --> 00:31:41,920
Speaker 4: That's good.

640
00:31:42,240 --> 00:31:46,160
Speaker 1: Twenty two missed tackles last year, some horrific tackling games

641
00:31:46,200 --> 00:31:46,840
Speaker 1: Iowa State.

642
00:31:46,880 --> 00:31:49,240
Speaker 2: One of the worst tackle grades he got all year.

643
00:31:49,640 --> 00:31:54,640
Speaker 1: Coverage subpar the entire year. Danny Stutsman is the linebacker

644
00:31:54,640 --> 00:31:57,920
Speaker 1: that Venables is depending on, and he has not shown

645
00:31:58,560 --> 00:32:01,680
Speaker 1: that he can call this defense. That's a good thing, Okay,

646
00:32:02,120 --> 00:32:03,600
Speaker 1: But then you look at the Big twelve schedule. There's

647
00:32:03,600 --> 00:32:05,560
Speaker 1: no Case State, there's no Texas Tech, there's no Baylor.

648
00:32:05,600 --> 00:32:08,160
Speaker 1: But I would argue that Oklahoma has come back to

649
00:32:08,200 --> 00:32:11,800
Speaker 1: the pack of mediocrity. They are way closer to Kansas

650
00:32:11,800 --> 00:32:15,240
Speaker 1: State and to and TCU than they are Texas. That's

651
00:32:15,280 --> 00:32:18,240
Speaker 1: from a defensive roster perspective, that is from a lot

652
00:32:18,240 --> 00:32:20,680
Speaker 1: of things, and I just don't believe and what ted

653
00:32:20,720 --> 00:32:22,800
Speaker 1: Roof is doing on defense. They don't have the personnel,

654
00:32:22,880 --> 00:32:24,880
Speaker 1: they don't have the depth. And yes they were eighth

655
00:32:24,880 --> 00:32:28,400
Speaker 1: in portal rankings, but you didn't address the linebacker position

656
00:32:28,560 --> 00:32:31,680
Speaker 1: with anybody that can take over there. So I actually

657
00:32:31,720 --> 00:32:34,520
Speaker 1: make this nine point six. But I don't believe that

658
00:32:34,600 --> 00:32:36,760
Speaker 1: your offense works with the kind of defense that you have,

659
00:32:36,840 --> 00:32:38,720
Speaker 1: and you don't have the depth on defense. And there's

660
00:32:38,760 --> 00:32:43,720
Speaker 1: going to be more games like TCU Texas when Oklahoma

661
00:32:43,840 --> 00:32:47,520
Speaker 1: absolutely got their doors blown off, doors blown off because

662
00:32:47,520 --> 00:32:49,640
Speaker 1: the defense couldn't get a stop. And I'm supposed to

663
00:32:49,640 --> 00:32:52,320
Speaker 1: expect that to improve. Every game is going to be

664
00:32:52,360 --> 00:32:55,080
Speaker 1: the Florida State Bowl right down by twenty eight because

665
00:32:55,120 --> 00:32:57,440
Speaker 1: our defense is terrible. Dylan Gabriel find a way to

666
00:32:57,480 --> 00:32:59,560
Speaker 1: get us in garbage time. He's the new Blake.

667
00:32:59,320 --> 00:32:59,960
Speaker 2: Bortals of the NFL.

668
00:33:00,440 --> 00:33:02,880
Speaker 1: Like garbage time, he can just get us back close

669
00:33:02,960 --> 00:33:05,440
Speaker 1: up to the number but I don't believe in Oklomba whatsoever.

670
00:33:05,480 --> 00:33:07,080
Speaker 1: I don't know if I'm in the minority in the

671
00:33:07,200 --> 00:33:08,960
Speaker 1: nation here, I just don't see it. They don't have

672
00:33:09,000 --> 00:33:11,400
Speaker 1: the personnel on defense to do what they want to do.

673
00:33:11,800 --> 00:33:13,600
Speaker 4: And in a few years we're gonna be in the sec.

674
00:33:14,120 --> 00:33:16,840
Speaker 4: Everything that we do matters, but you know what, none

675
00:33:16,880 --> 00:33:18,320
Speaker 4: of it matters. Nobody cares.

676
00:33:18,560 --> 00:33:20,080
Speaker 3: We By the way, the weird game in your backyard,

677
00:33:20,080 --> 00:33:23,120
Speaker 3: they go, they actually go to Tulsa. Their road schedule,

678
00:33:23,240 --> 00:33:26,520
Speaker 3: it's it's really manageable. I mean at Tulsa at Sincy,

679
00:33:27,080 --> 00:33:29,880
Speaker 3: we'll not high and we'll get to them at Kansas

680
00:33:30,000 --> 00:33:32,640
Speaker 3: att Oak State at BYU, and then your home games

681
00:33:32,640 --> 00:33:37,040
Speaker 3: are UCF West Virginia, TCU, Iowa State at SIMU, and

682
00:33:37,120 --> 00:33:40,360
Speaker 3: arc State. So that's the reason why they're win total

683
00:33:40,400 --> 00:33:41,800
Speaker 3: is so high and you're projective at nine to six.

684
00:33:41,800 --> 00:33:43,840
Speaker 3: I'm a little under nine and a half. Yeah. The

685
00:33:43,880 --> 00:33:45,360
Speaker 3: one thing I will say, some of their numbers were

686
00:33:45,360 --> 00:33:48,480
Speaker 3: skewed last year because when Gabriel got hurt, it was disastrous,

687
00:33:48,520 --> 00:33:50,080
Speaker 3: and the two games got hurt, they just got their

688
00:33:50,120 --> 00:33:52,760
Speaker 3: doors went off. You're running like a middle school offense.

689
00:33:52,800 --> 00:33:54,720
Speaker 3: You didn't have a quarterback, but you have a five

690
00:33:54,760 --> 00:33:57,120
Speaker 3: star and Arnold who's now on the roster, so that

691
00:33:57,200 --> 00:33:58,760
Speaker 3: there is a little more depth there that if something

692
00:33:58,800 --> 00:34:02,320
Speaker 3: happens to Gay Bureau that you're in a little better shape.

693
00:34:02,400 --> 00:34:04,560
Speaker 3: But there are still a lot of questions on this roster.

694
00:34:05,120 --> 00:34:10,280
Speaker 3: I am neutral as far as preseason on Boomer Sooner.

695
00:34:10,680 --> 00:34:14,439
Speaker 3: Shout out to all my friends down in Norman. Been there,

696
00:34:15,040 --> 00:34:15,760
Speaker 3: lovely place.

697
00:34:16,680 --> 00:34:18,240
Speaker 2: It's been just like you would expect.

698
00:34:18,280 --> 00:34:20,560
Speaker 4: The fire hose is fully inserted.

699
00:34:20,800 --> 00:34:23,319
Speaker 2: In my mouth here and we've been blowing and going.

700
00:34:23,400 --> 00:34:27,200
Speaker 3: And so let's move on to two teams that of

701
00:34:27,360 --> 00:34:30,839
Speaker 3: the top of my projected top six, the only ones

702
00:34:30,880 --> 00:34:34,360
Speaker 3: that they avoid are Oklahoma Sooners, and that's Baylor. In

703
00:34:34,440 --> 00:34:36,480
Speaker 3: Texas Tech, they play the all the other teams in

704
00:34:36,520 --> 00:34:39,360
Speaker 3: my top six, Baylor twenty to one to win the

705
00:34:39,360 --> 00:34:43,520
Speaker 3: Big twelve, Texas Tech nine to one, Baylor over six

706
00:34:43,560 --> 00:34:46,960
Speaker 3: and a half, Texas Tech over seven and a half.

707
00:34:47,000 --> 00:34:48,960
Speaker 3: As far as win total, the Baylor over six and

708
00:34:49,000 --> 00:34:52,800
Speaker 3: a half is minus one fifty, so you're really closer

709
00:34:52,840 --> 00:34:57,160
Speaker 3: to seven. Give me your quick thoughts on Baylor with

710
00:34:57,560 --> 00:35:00,640
Speaker 3: Blake shaping back, I'm not really a believer you got

711
00:35:00,640 --> 00:35:03,920
Speaker 3: this mistake transfer Robertson, who maybe could get some run

712
00:35:03,960 --> 00:35:06,719
Speaker 3: and could threaten shape and if he turns the ball over,

713
00:35:07,880 --> 00:35:11,480
Speaker 3: they can the defense finally generate pressure. Where it is,

714
00:35:11,480 --> 00:35:13,839
Speaker 3: They're gonna be shifting more to a scheme that is

715
00:35:14,360 --> 00:35:19,040
Speaker 3: more aligned with the roots of Aranda. The offensive line

716
00:35:19,600 --> 00:35:23,360
Speaker 3: a bit concerning, but they do have eight home games,

717
00:35:23,440 --> 00:35:29,560
Speaker 3: five Big twelve home games. They also get Utah in

718
00:35:29,600 --> 00:35:33,239
Speaker 3: Week two, which could be big because Cam Rising might

719
00:35:33,320 --> 00:35:37,200
Speaker 3: not be back. Really tricky game for them will be

720
00:35:37,960 --> 00:35:41,160
Speaker 3: just the highlight one spot here. Week five at UCF

721
00:35:41,160 --> 00:35:43,799
Speaker 3: will be their first road game at the Bouts House

722
00:35:43,880 --> 00:35:45,719
Speaker 3: at UCF. You know it's going to be for any

723
00:35:45,760 --> 00:35:49,080
Speaker 3: home Big twelve game sandwich in between Texas and Texas

724
00:35:49,120 --> 00:35:52,880
Speaker 3: Tech sandwiches. We'll start with Baylor here. What do you

725
00:35:52,920 --> 00:35:53,800
Speaker 3: see with the Bears?

726
00:35:54,040 --> 00:35:56,000
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean the Bears are loaded in the running

727
00:35:56,040 --> 00:35:58,600
Speaker 1: back room. Richard Greese was all freshman everything last year.

728
00:35:58,640 --> 00:36:00,880
Speaker 1: He's coming back. You know, got other names in that

729
00:36:00,960 --> 00:36:04,000
Speaker 1: running back unit that are just going to be fantastic.

730
00:36:04,320 --> 00:36:07,319
Speaker 1: They rebuilt the offensive line through the portal. They did

731
00:36:07,360 --> 00:36:08,600
Speaker 1: the same thing with the defensive backs.

732
00:36:08,600 --> 00:36:09,919
Speaker 2: They had to. They were getting torch.

733
00:36:09,960 --> 00:36:12,480
Speaker 1: It's the reason Ron roberts lost his job, but to

734
00:36:12,520 --> 00:36:14,560
Speaker 1: stay on the offensive side of the ball. Blake Shapan's

735
00:36:14,560 --> 00:36:17,359
Speaker 1: going to be challenged by Sawyer Robertson. And nobody's really

736
00:36:17,360 --> 00:36:19,440
Speaker 1: talking about that because I think Dave Randa learned his

737
00:36:19,560 --> 00:36:21,880
Speaker 1: lesson about telling Bohannon like, hey, Shapan's going to be

738
00:36:21,920 --> 00:36:24,400
Speaker 1: the quarterback in Bohannon hit the portal, right, I need

739
00:36:24,440 --> 00:36:26,360
Speaker 1: two quarterbacks. You want to win a conference style that,

740
00:36:26,400 --> 00:36:28,560
Speaker 1: you need two quarterbacks. So I think we may see

741
00:36:28,600 --> 00:36:32,759
Speaker 1: Sawyer Robinson pretty quick. I know August second. I think

742
00:36:32,800 --> 00:36:35,120
Speaker 1: the portal, you know this portal that but I think

743
00:36:35,400 --> 00:36:37,600
Speaker 1: Randa learned his lesson, is going to keep his cards

744
00:36:37,640 --> 00:36:38,480
Speaker 1: close to his vest.

745
00:36:39,040 --> 00:36:40,279
Speaker 2: The defense really fell off.

746
00:36:40,320 --> 00:36:43,080
Speaker 1: That's that's where Baylor really got hit last year, and

747
00:36:43,080 --> 00:36:45,240
Speaker 1: you would not expect that to happen with Dave Randa,

748
00:36:45,320 --> 00:36:47,279
Speaker 1: but they fell to one hundred and nineteenth and third

749
00:36:47,320 --> 00:36:51,319
Speaker 1: down conversions. They've retooled through the portal, finished twenty third,

750
00:36:51,360 --> 00:36:54,440
Speaker 1: top twenty five in portal rankings. Expect Matt Palach to

751
00:36:54,480 --> 00:36:57,560
Speaker 1: come in run a three, three, five quarters a lot.

752
00:36:57,640 --> 00:36:59,800
Speaker 1: I mean, Randa loves to run all different kinds of

753
00:37:00,040 --> 00:37:02,480
Speaker 1: arsonnel on defense, so we'll see them return to that

754
00:37:03,160 --> 00:37:05,600
Speaker 1: they've got to get better in creating pressure with just

755
00:37:05,680 --> 00:37:08,960
Speaker 1: four minute I do like over seven, over seven minus

756
00:37:08,960 --> 00:37:10,759
Speaker 1: one twenty I see out there. I project them a

757
00:37:10,880 --> 00:37:13,520
Speaker 1: point two. There are spots on this schedule. I do

758
00:37:13,560 --> 00:37:16,239
Speaker 1: think that they beat Utah. Long Island's up there, Texas State.

759
00:37:16,280 --> 00:37:16,759
Speaker 3: They should have.

760
00:37:17,120 --> 00:37:19,600
Speaker 1: We want to see if the defense secondary is back.

761
00:37:19,640 --> 00:37:20,640
Speaker 1: We'll find it against.

762
00:37:20,400 --> 00:37:22,320
Speaker 2: Baviotol's Bobcats on offense.

763
00:37:22,600 --> 00:37:25,000
Speaker 1: But there are other places to win here at Cincinnati,

764
00:37:25,040 --> 00:37:27,320
Speaker 1: not scared of off of a bye, but over seven

765
00:37:27,360 --> 00:37:29,640
Speaker 1: for Baylor for me, and then hosting Houston at home,

766
00:37:29,800 --> 00:37:32,200
Speaker 1: a very undisciplined team that we'll get to.

767
00:37:32,520 --> 00:37:35,480
Speaker 3: I'm neutral and leaned over slight lean to the over,

768
00:37:35,880 --> 00:37:38,719
Speaker 3: but worried about the offensive line with one returning stars

769
00:37:38,800 --> 00:37:41,960
Speaker 3: moving from tackle to guard. I mean they lost by

770
00:37:42,040 --> 00:37:44,600
Speaker 3: three six year seniors and a four year starter left tackle,

771
00:37:44,920 --> 00:37:46,960
Speaker 3: and then you know, you lose your nose guard to

772
00:37:46,960 --> 00:37:50,640
Speaker 3: the NFL and player also in the interior, but with

773
00:37:50,719 --> 00:37:52,359
Speaker 3: a rebuilt secondary to.

774
00:37:52,320 --> 00:37:54,480
Speaker 1: Play devil's advocate hold on to play devil's avoye to

775
00:37:54,520 --> 00:37:56,840
Speaker 1: the offensive line. A couple of their transfers are from BYU,

776
00:37:56,840 --> 00:37:59,480
Speaker 1: which is where Jeff Grimes recruited them around, so it's

777
00:37:59,520 --> 00:37:59,879
Speaker 1: his guy.

778
00:38:00,120 --> 00:38:03,480
Speaker 3: Yeah, they know this scheme. The Barrington brothers were brought in.

779
00:38:04,600 --> 00:38:06,840
Speaker 3: But there's you know, some moving pieces on the defense

780
00:38:06,920 --> 00:38:09,440
Speaker 3: new scheme, especially in that secondary, in the interior, the

781
00:38:09,520 --> 00:38:12,640
Speaker 3: D line I'm worried about. Yeah, you're right, there are

782
00:38:12,840 --> 00:38:15,719
Speaker 3: there's some familiarity with the offensive line. And I'm not

783
00:38:15,800 --> 00:38:19,520
Speaker 3: a shaping guy. Well so I passed, but do lean over.

784
00:38:20,080 --> 00:38:22,360
Speaker 3: Texas Tech been getting a lot of love as a sleeper.

785
00:38:23,600 --> 00:38:25,920
Speaker 3: You know, they've they've taken some money. I think betam

786
00:38:25,960 --> 00:38:28,000
Speaker 3: gym s petifically. They were I don't know, eleven to

787
00:38:28,000 --> 00:38:29,480
Speaker 3: twelve to one. They're down the nine to one over

788
00:38:29,560 --> 00:38:33,440
Speaker 3: seven and a half even money. Chug is back at quarterback.

789
00:38:33,440 --> 00:38:35,200
Speaker 3: He's eight and one as a starter of Texas Tech.

790
00:38:36,160 --> 00:38:38,240
Speaker 3: Kenny stay healthy is the question if he doesn't. Morton

791
00:38:38,320 --> 00:38:40,279
Speaker 3: is back, my guy, Baron Morton, who I love. Another

792
00:38:40,360 --> 00:38:42,160
Speaker 3: year under his belt, So there is some depth there.

793
00:38:42,440 --> 00:38:46,560
Speaker 3: Year two of the Kittley system I like. I love

794
00:38:46,680 --> 00:38:50,640
Speaker 3: some of the skill position pieces around them. They get,

795
00:38:50,880 --> 00:38:54,000
Speaker 3: you know, their right guard Spencer back from injury. That

796
00:38:54,120 --> 00:38:56,759
Speaker 3: allows Wilburn to side the right guard, which is his

797
00:38:56,880 --> 00:38:58,719
Speaker 3: natural spot, and like I think all the pieces of

798
00:38:58,760 --> 00:39:02,400
Speaker 3: the offensive line could really come together. They did lose Thompson,

799
00:39:02,400 --> 00:39:03,960
Speaker 3: but I think they're fine at running back, Like this

800
00:39:04,040 --> 00:39:07,160
Speaker 3: is a loaded wide receiver room, solid one two punch

801
00:39:07,200 --> 00:39:12,040
Speaker 3: at running back. Doug Morton right there. Offense has potential

802
00:39:12,080 --> 00:39:15,920
Speaker 3: for days year or two of the system. The defense

803
00:39:16,560 --> 00:39:20,919
Speaker 3: secondary is probably the strength or super seniors back there

804
00:39:21,600 --> 00:39:24,280
Speaker 3: do have some questions up front. Remember you lose Tyree

805
00:39:24,320 --> 00:39:28,040
Speaker 3: Wilson first round draft pick. Bringing Linton for quse here

806
00:39:28,080 --> 00:39:31,600
Speaker 3: helping can can really do some things. They have four

807
00:39:31,680 --> 00:39:34,840
Speaker 3: home Big twelve games, tricky non conference, I mean at Wyoming,

808
00:39:35,040 --> 00:39:36,920
Speaker 3: Oregon at home, you know, then you do get a

809
00:39:36,920 --> 00:39:40,600
Speaker 3: break with Tarlton State, but manageable road league schedule before

810
00:39:40,600 --> 00:39:46,480
Speaker 3: the finale at Texas, you host Kansas State, TCU, avoid Oklahoma.

811
00:39:47,000 --> 00:39:51,040
Speaker 3: Really veteran team, eleite offensive depth. But there's the one

812
00:39:51,040 --> 00:39:53,840
Speaker 3: thing I will say about them. Did three all overtime

813
00:39:53,880 --> 00:39:55,920
Speaker 3: wins last year. They're gonna go for four downs a

814
00:39:55,960 --> 00:39:58,440
Speaker 3: ton yep, there's just gonna be a ton of Varians

815
00:39:58,440 --> 00:40:00,440
Speaker 3: with them, Like they're gonna have a g where they

816
00:40:00,480 --> 00:40:01,839
Speaker 3: just don't get any fourth downs and then you can

817
00:40:01,920 --> 00:40:04,520
Speaker 3: lose at Wyoming right, like, or you know, you go

818
00:40:04,600 --> 00:40:06,399
Speaker 3: to Texas, you could work three or fourth fourth downs,

819
00:40:06,440 --> 00:40:09,759
Speaker 3: you win. So I will say that, but what do

820
00:40:09,800 --> 00:40:12,040
Speaker 3: you see with Texas Tech and your two Joey maguire,

821
00:40:12,680 --> 00:40:13,000
Speaker 3: there's a.

822
00:40:12,960 --> 00:40:16,560
Speaker 1: Lot of correlations everybody's making to the twenty twenty two

823
00:40:16,600 --> 00:40:19,239
Speaker 1: version of TCU being the twenty twenty three Texas Tech.

824
00:40:19,320 --> 00:40:22,399
Speaker 1: That's a really high bar because nobody was talking, well,

825
00:40:22,400 --> 00:40:24,120
Speaker 1: the only people that were talking about TCU a year

826
00:40:24,120 --> 00:40:26,920
Speaker 1: ago at this time was this podcast I love hearing.

827
00:40:26,920 --> 00:40:29,480
Speaker 2: Oh nobody knew about TCU. Well, hey, maybe you should

828
00:40:29,480 --> 00:40:30,720
Speaker 2: listen to the BBOC podcast.

829
00:40:31,440 --> 00:40:33,160
Speaker 1: A lot of people are making Now, first off, we

830
00:40:33,200 --> 00:40:35,680
Speaker 1: do have quarterback depth, right, there's a similarity.

831
00:40:36,400 --> 00:40:37,760
Speaker 2: We do have an offensive.

832
00:40:37,400 --> 00:40:42,279
Speaker 1: Coordinator that is proven and can absolutely light up the scoreboard,

833
00:40:42,360 --> 00:40:44,960
Speaker 1: and he goes into the transfer portal and gets his

834
00:40:45,000 --> 00:40:47,080
Speaker 1: center from Western Kentucky and Rusty Stats.

835
00:40:47,239 --> 00:40:49,000
Speaker 2: So that was a huge pull.

836
00:40:48,800 --> 00:40:51,080
Speaker 1: For me to get them to do that highest fourth

837
00:40:51,080 --> 00:40:54,239
Speaker 1: down attempts at FBS. I asked Joey McGuire about that

838
00:40:54,280 --> 00:40:56,799
Speaker 1: and he said, oh, yeah, we have a we have

839
00:40:56,840 --> 00:40:59,600
Speaker 1: a meeting every Thursday to review it with a consulting

840
00:40:59,600 --> 00:41:02,319
Speaker 1: company and that's this isn't just a fluke that we

841
00:41:02,360 --> 00:41:04,080
Speaker 1: finished up, you know, number one and four downs with

842
00:41:04,160 --> 00:41:06,400
Speaker 1: that's our identity and we are going to continue to

843
00:41:06,400 --> 00:41:09,799
Speaker 1: do it. So, you know, Maguire Kittley, they're going to

844
00:41:09,800 --> 00:41:11,640
Speaker 1: be gambling men when it comes to going forward on

845
00:41:11,680 --> 00:41:12,120
Speaker 1: fourth down.

846
00:41:12,200 --> 00:41:14,840
Speaker 2: That's not going to stop. They do get seventy eight

847
00:41:14,880 --> 00:41:16,960
Speaker 2: percent of their PBUs back on the defensive side of

848
00:41:16,960 --> 00:41:18,720
Speaker 2: the ball. That's also a plus.

849
00:41:18,960 --> 00:41:21,719
Speaker 1: Tim de Ruter actually got this team top thirty five

850
00:41:21,760 --> 00:41:24,640
Speaker 1: in defensive finishing drives I think twenty fifth and defensive

851
00:41:24,640 --> 00:41:28,560
Speaker 1: success rate. They do give up explosive. They finished outside

852
00:41:28,560 --> 00:41:31,480
Speaker 1: the top one hundred in coverage. They still give up

853
00:41:31,520 --> 00:41:34,160
Speaker 1: pass explosives they were one hundred nineteenth and pass epa

854
00:41:34,280 --> 00:41:34,920
Speaker 1: on defense.

855
00:41:35,719 --> 00:41:37,800
Speaker 2: That's got to get better against this conference.

856
00:41:37,840 --> 00:41:40,160
Speaker 1: I don't see you going to Texas in the last

857
00:41:40,160 --> 00:41:43,520
Speaker 1: game of the year and beating Quinn yours, ad Mitchell

858
00:41:44,160 --> 00:41:47,160
Speaker 1: Xavier Worthy if you are still bottom fifteen.

859
00:41:46,840 --> 00:41:48,680
Speaker 2: In the nation and giving up pass explosive.

860
00:41:48,760 --> 00:41:51,759
Speaker 1: So if you take that loss out of them, I

861
00:41:51,760 --> 00:41:53,960
Speaker 1: can completely understand people want to take a win total

862
00:41:53,960 --> 00:41:55,799
Speaker 1: over I get it. But to say that they're going

863
00:41:55,840 --> 00:41:58,480
Speaker 1: to win this conference and to say that they're going

864
00:41:58,520 --> 00:42:00,520
Speaker 1: to be in the Big Twelve championship game when your

865
00:42:00,560 --> 00:42:03,200
Speaker 1: trenches have to go against Kansas State and Baylor retooled

866
00:42:03,239 --> 00:42:06,680
Speaker 1: offensive line. To me, that's where I get a little

867
00:42:06,680 --> 00:42:09,400
Speaker 1: bit hesitant because there are teams that are strong in

868
00:42:09,400 --> 00:42:10,799
Speaker 1: the trench that will punch them in the face, and

869
00:42:10,800 --> 00:42:13,600
Speaker 1: there's other offenses that can throw downfield on the secondary.

870
00:42:13,840 --> 00:42:15,839
Speaker 2: And that's where I start having problems with Texas Tech.

871
00:42:15,880 --> 00:42:18,000
Speaker 1: I get it if everybody wants to have the love

872
00:42:18,000 --> 00:42:20,319
Speaker 1: on the over, but I just can't get there when

873
00:42:20,320 --> 00:42:21,160
Speaker 1: it comes to conference.

874
00:42:22,400 --> 00:42:25,960
Speaker 3: Yeah, I still the defense, I mean the secondary's experience,

875
00:42:26,000 --> 00:42:28,160
Speaker 3: but they look, I mean not only lose Tyer Wilsons,

876
00:42:28,160 --> 00:42:31,120
Speaker 3: five year top six tacklers, those two really good linebackers.

877
00:42:31,440 --> 00:42:35,799
Speaker 3: You're moving some pieces around there. This team is I

878
00:42:35,840 --> 00:42:37,200
Speaker 3: still don't trust their defense.

879
00:42:37,560 --> 00:42:37,759
Speaker 2: Yep.

880
00:42:38,040 --> 00:42:40,799
Speaker 3: Look, their offense is gonna be great. Well, the eight

881
00:42:40,840 --> 00:42:42,440
Speaker 3: of there not top nine wide receivers back to Ad

882
00:42:42,520 --> 00:42:44,959
Speaker 3: mccraye from Rosta Pede kid can fly like he's gonna

883
00:42:44,960 --> 00:42:47,400
Speaker 3: make some big plays on this in this offense.

884
00:42:48,640 --> 00:42:50,880
Speaker 2: But I I they're just It's.

885
00:42:50,880 --> 00:42:52,719
Speaker 3: The reason I mentioned the fourth down variance is they're

886
00:42:52,719 --> 00:42:54,920
Speaker 3: not gonna get many stops and teams aren't going to

887
00:42:55,000 --> 00:42:58,560
Speaker 3: get many stops against them, and then like the fourth

888
00:42:58,600 --> 00:43:00,160
Speaker 3: downs are going to just to swing a lot of

889
00:43:00,200 --> 00:43:02,800
Speaker 3: these games like that. They're huge, right, They're going to

890
00:43:02,800 --> 00:43:04,440
Speaker 3: go for four down more than any team in the country.

891
00:43:04,760 --> 00:43:08,400
Speaker 3: So I'm passing on any preseason play on Texas Tech,

892
00:43:08,800 --> 00:43:11,480
Speaker 3: but should be a really fun team to watch. This

893
00:43:11,560 --> 00:43:14,640
Speaker 3: is like an old school Texas Tech like offense that

894
00:43:14,800 --> 00:43:18,319
Speaker 3: has just so much potential. All right, let's move on

895
00:43:18,360 --> 00:43:19,600
Speaker 3: to McMurphy's team.

896
00:43:20,560 --> 00:43:23,000
Speaker 2: Do you want to say something to the group, mister McMurphy.

897
00:43:23,560 --> 00:43:27,480
Speaker 3: Oklahoma State, they won the lottery. I will say that

898
00:43:27,520 --> 00:43:31,280
Speaker 3: they won the schedule lot of They avoid Texas, TCU, Baylor,

899
00:43:31,640 --> 00:43:35,640
Speaker 3: and Texas Tech from I projected top six. That is

900
00:43:35,640 --> 00:43:39,120
Speaker 3: more than anybody. They really won the lottery. They played

901
00:43:39,160 --> 00:43:42,000
Speaker 3: four new members. They played YU sinc, UCF, and Houston.

902
00:43:42,560 --> 00:43:46,400
Speaker 3: They host Kansas State, Kansas and Oklahoma Great Road League Slate,

903
00:43:46,920 --> 00:43:49,000
Speaker 3: and they have five Big twelve home games. Their road

904
00:43:49,000 --> 00:43:52,200
Speaker 3: games are at Iowa State, at Arizona State, Week two,

905
00:43:52,800 --> 00:43:56,120
Speaker 3: at West Virginia, at UCF, and at Houston. I mean,

906
00:43:56,160 --> 00:44:01,200
Speaker 3: you cannot ask for a better schedule for Oklahoma State,

907
00:44:01,239 --> 00:44:04,359
Speaker 3: who has had seventeen straight winning seasons. Went total over

908
00:44:04,400 --> 00:44:06,279
Speaker 3: six and a half plus one ten Big twelve forty

909
00:44:06,320 --> 00:44:10,480
Speaker 3: to one at bet MGM. New quarterback Alan Bowman was

910
00:44:10,960 --> 00:44:13,439
Speaker 3: started the game since twenty twenty. Wrangles also in the mix.

911
00:44:13,880 --> 00:44:15,959
Speaker 3: They only have one of their top five pass catchers back.

912
00:44:16,200 --> 00:44:18,719
Speaker 3: New DC and scheme Defen's a coordinator coming from the

913
00:44:18,800 --> 00:44:21,480
Speaker 3: D two ranks move into a three three five. You

914
00:44:21,520 --> 00:44:25,720
Speaker 3: haven't experienced offensive line. Lots of change everywhere. This transfers

915
00:44:25,760 --> 00:44:29,560
Speaker 3: a lot of new peaces, new schemes like both ways.

916
00:44:30,080 --> 00:44:33,080
Speaker 3: Does Gundy get it done again with this easy schedule

917
00:44:33,120 --> 00:44:36,319
Speaker 3: on all of this change makes sense of Oklahoma State.

918
00:44:36,480 --> 00:44:39,319
Speaker 1: I can't get over Gundy telling us he had high

919
00:44:39,320 --> 00:44:41,520
Speaker 1: school coaches on the list for a defensive coordinator.

920
00:44:41,640 --> 00:44:42,799
Speaker 2: Like I see, he.

921
00:44:42,719 --> 00:44:44,279
Speaker 1: Goes, they were down there, but they were on the

922
00:44:44,320 --> 00:44:48,360
Speaker 1: list like Gundy was obsessed with finding a defensive coordinator

923
00:44:48,440 --> 00:44:55,040
Speaker 1: that was different, not the same old college football battered

924
00:44:55,120 --> 00:45:01,400
Speaker 1: Jurnyman defensive coordinator. He wanted somebody with strong concepts that

925
00:45:01,480 --> 00:45:04,319
Speaker 1: can run the three three five stack because he wanted

926
00:45:04,320 --> 00:45:05,759
Speaker 1: to switch from a four two five and come in

927
00:45:05,800 --> 00:45:07,799
Speaker 1: with a three three five front, because that's what needs

928
00:45:07,840 --> 00:45:09,759
Speaker 1: to be played in the Big Twelve. He knows that,

929
00:45:10,440 --> 00:45:14,080
Speaker 1: and so he found Brian Nardo at D two Gannon

930
00:45:14,920 --> 00:45:17,040
Speaker 1: and I actually had a tributa.

931
00:45:16,760 --> 00:45:19,840
Speaker 2: Question for you. What is the mascot for D two Gannon.

932
00:45:20,560 --> 00:45:25,320
Speaker 2: I'm not gonna ask that. Yeah, Brian Nardo, D two Gannon.

933
00:45:26,120 --> 00:45:27,759
Speaker 2: It's not the legend is all that. It's not a

934
00:45:27,840 --> 00:45:28,399
Speaker 2: video game.

935
00:45:28,520 --> 00:45:32,959
Speaker 3: So yeah, like it's Gannon University. It's called it's in Pennsylvania.

936
00:45:33,160 --> 00:45:34,400
Speaker 2: It is Gannon University.

937
00:45:34,719 --> 00:45:37,440
Speaker 3: Yeah, that's in it. Think it's up in like Lake Erie.

938
00:45:37,560 --> 00:45:41,480
Speaker 3: But I don't know the mascot. I'll say, well, Jonathan

939
00:45:41,520 --> 00:45:43,719
Speaker 3: Gannon was a defensive Well he's not the head coach

940
00:45:43,760 --> 00:45:46,800
Speaker 3: of the Cardinals. Uh so I'll say to Gannon Cardinals,

941
00:45:46,840 --> 00:45:47,960
Speaker 3: I have no idea.

942
00:45:48,000 --> 00:45:52,839
Speaker 1: Interestingly enough, they are the Golden Knights, so h yeah,

943
00:45:52,920 --> 00:45:56,680
Speaker 1: Brian Nardo comes from the D two Ganning Golden Knights. Yeah,

944
00:45:56,719 --> 00:45:58,200
Speaker 1: he's got a big job in front of him. They

945
00:45:58,200 --> 00:46:00,880
Speaker 1: finished one hundred and nineteenth in tacklingnlast year. They're going

946
00:46:00,960 --> 00:46:03,160
Speaker 1: to go through a scheme change. There's a lot going

947
00:46:03,200 --> 00:46:06,600
Speaker 1: on with this team, and it's I think it's going

948
00:46:06,680 --> 00:46:08,160
Speaker 1: to be tough sledding from a defensive side.

949
00:46:08,200 --> 00:46:10,720
Speaker 2: Now, the offense is the reason I'm on the under

950
00:46:10,840 --> 00:46:11,640
Speaker 2: on Oklahoma State.

951
00:46:11,680 --> 00:46:13,880
Speaker 1: And trust me, I don't take that lightly because you

952
00:46:14,000 --> 00:46:16,400
Speaker 1: mentioned that Gundy they've had seventeen winning seasons in a row.

953
00:46:16,440 --> 00:46:18,759
Speaker 1: He's been to seventeen straight bulls. So what you're really

954
00:46:18,760 --> 00:46:20,359
Speaker 1: looking at is can he get to six. I think

955
00:46:20,360 --> 00:46:22,279
Speaker 1: they could get to six, But when you say under

956
00:46:22,280 --> 00:46:25,040
Speaker 1: six and a half, I mean there's some wiggle room there.

957
00:46:25,640 --> 00:46:26,560
Speaker 2: I am.

958
00:46:26,600 --> 00:46:28,000
Speaker 1: I think I'm the only one in the world because

959
00:46:28,000 --> 00:46:31,000
Speaker 1: I literally was sitting around a group of guys that

960
00:46:31,080 --> 00:46:35,080
Speaker 1: I trust in the gambling circle and they're just saying

961
00:46:35,120 --> 00:46:37,719
Speaker 1: the numbers have just gone too far against Gundy, and

962
00:46:37,760 --> 00:46:41,040
Speaker 1: I said, okay, I think they're kind of justified because

963
00:46:41,080 --> 00:46:44,480
Speaker 1: all Gundhy would tell myself and Brett, I mean, we

964
00:46:44,560 --> 00:46:45,960
Speaker 1: just it was the three of us just talking for

965
00:46:46,000 --> 00:46:48,680
Speaker 1: a good twenty minutes, and Gundhy talked about how we're

966
00:46:48,760 --> 00:46:51,120
Speaker 1: changing all of our run schemes on the offensive line.

967
00:46:51,880 --> 00:46:55,040
Speaker 1: We are in demand blocking schemes, We're changing the gap

968
00:46:55,080 --> 00:46:58,560
Speaker 1: blocking schemes. Oklahoma State has taken a step This is

969
00:46:58,600 --> 00:47:01,920
Speaker 1: his words, not mine. Oklahoma State has taken a step

970
00:47:01,920 --> 00:47:04,640
Speaker 1: back from running the ball the past two seasons, and

971
00:47:04,719 --> 00:47:07,200
Speaker 1: that has put too much pressure on our quarterbacks and

972
00:47:07,239 --> 00:47:09,919
Speaker 1: whoever's under center has been asked to do too much.

973
00:47:10,160 --> 00:47:12,720
Speaker 1: And until Oklahoma State can come back and run the ball,

974
00:47:13,040 --> 00:47:15,280
Speaker 1: we're going to continue to have problems at the quarterback position.

975
00:47:15,719 --> 00:47:18,480
Speaker 1: And I'm sitting there, I'm like, he's just essentially telling

976
00:47:18,560 --> 00:47:21,160
Speaker 1: us that the entire offensive line, which has had problems

977
00:47:21,200 --> 00:47:24,280
Speaker 1: in the past anyways, is now completely changing their blocking

978
00:47:24,320 --> 00:47:28,120
Speaker 1: schemes for Alan Bowman, and they're going to try to

979
00:47:28,160 --> 00:47:30,640
Speaker 1: do pass protection for Alan Bowman, who's had his lung

980
00:47:30,680 --> 00:47:33,160
Speaker 1: punctured I think twice, and he's thrown twelve passes since

981
00:47:33,200 --> 00:47:36,719
Speaker 1: twenty twenty two. Right, So I can't get over. I

982
00:47:36,719 --> 00:47:39,719
Speaker 1: can accept the Brian Nardo D two coordinator higher and

983
00:47:39,760 --> 00:47:42,640
Speaker 1: we're switching schemes. But when I hear that the offensive

984
00:47:42,680 --> 00:47:45,120
Speaker 1: line is going to go for man to gap because

985
00:47:45,120 --> 00:47:47,000
Speaker 1: we want to have an emphasis on running and a

986
00:47:47,000 --> 00:47:52,400
Speaker 1: conference full of loaded explosive offenses, He's just red flags

987
00:47:52,400 --> 00:47:54,080
Speaker 1: all over the place for me, Stucky. I don't want

988
00:47:54,120 --> 00:47:56,719
Speaker 1: to go against Gundy. I see the record, I acknowledge it.

989
00:47:56,760 --> 00:47:59,239
Speaker 1: I'm going under six and a half. My projections at

990
00:47:59,280 --> 00:48:00,680
Speaker 1: five points seven.

991
00:48:01,000 --> 00:48:02,839
Speaker 3: Don't hate it at all, and we get to rub

992
00:48:02,880 --> 00:48:06,120
Speaker 3: it in with McMurphy. I was, I was hating Oklahoma

993
00:48:06,120 --> 00:48:09,240
Speaker 3: State last year. Maybe you can bring some more assault

994
00:48:09,320 --> 00:48:12,359
Speaker 3: to the table this year. We'll finish up with the

995
00:48:12,640 --> 00:48:14,960
Speaker 3: old school members before we get the new members. Iowa

996
00:48:15,040 --> 00:48:17,440
Speaker 3: State forty to one, that win the Big Twelve over

997
00:48:17,480 --> 00:48:19,719
Speaker 3: five and a half minus one ten. I was all

998
00:48:19,760 --> 00:48:21,960
Speaker 3: ready to buy. I was State. They're oh to ten.

999
00:48:22,000 --> 00:48:24,400
Speaker 3: The last ten games decided by seven or less, one

1000
00:48:24,440 --> 00:48:28,000
Speaker 3: in six and one possession games. Last year, they were

1001
00:48:28,520 --> 00:48:31,600
Speaker 3: missing so many field goals, settling for field goals, red

1002
00:48:31,680 --> 00:48:34,800
Speaker 3: zone regression, special teams, regression, turnover regression. There were hundred

1003
00:48:34,800 --> 00:48:38,239
Speaker 3: fifteen to turnover margin. They just close games anywhere you

1004
00:48:38,280 --> 00:48:40,040
Speaker 3: look at it. They were due for a bounce back,

1005
00:48:40,040 --> 00:48:42,760
Speaker 3: and I trust Campbell, I trust their defensive coordinator bringing

1006
00:48:42,800 --> 00:48:46,240
Speaker 3: a new OC, new O line coach, healthy running back room. Now.

1007
00:48:46,760 --> 00:48:49,240
Speaker 3: But I mean, and then if you look at the schedule,

1008
00:48:49,239 --> 00:48:51,200
Speaker 3: they did lose the schedule laster me and they avoid Houston,

1009
00:48:51,280 --> 00:48:54,200
Speaker 3: UCF West Virginia not great. They played six to the

1010
00:48:54,200 --> 00:48:56,839
Speaker 3: top seven projected teams, tough roads late, only four home

1011
00:48:56,880 --> 00:49:00,520
Speaker 3: Big Twelve games, and they do have to replace defensive

1012
00:49:00,560 --> 00:49:04,120
Speaker 3: end McDonald and wide receiver Huchon, two big losses. Still

1013
00:49:04,120 --> 00:49:06,600
Speaker 3: really like their secondary. I was ready to buy them

1014
00:49:06,600 --> 00:49:08,160
Speaker 3: over five and a half just to get to a bowl.

1015
00:49:08,560 --> 00:49:11,520
Speaker 3: But with this gambling, the gambling scandal, I don't know

1016
00:49:11,600 --> 00:49:13,759
Speaker 3: what's going on. It's wait and see what I was David,

1017
00:49:13,800 --> 00:49:14,800
Speaker 3: You agree.

1018
00:49:14,640 --> 00:49:19,320
Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, I want the over with this gambling probe

1019
00:49:19,360 --> 00:49:21,439
Speaker 1: that's going on that Matt Campbell wasn't able to talk

1020
00:49:21,440 --> 00:49:24,040
Speaker 1: about kind of holding on them. I do have them

1021
00:49:24,040 --> 00:49:25,920
Speaker 1: projected well over the five and a half that's in

1022
00:49:25,960 --> 00:49:29,360
Speaker 1: the market. If Hunter Deckers is not able to play,

1023
00:49:29,719 --> 00:49:32,600
Speaker 1: then you've kind of got to take probably about a

1024
00:49:32,760 --> 00:49:35,560
Speaker 1: four point swing in pr when you go down to

1025
00:49:35,920 --> 00:49:37,600
Speaker 1: say JJ Cole and Rock o'beck.

1026
00:49:38,360 --> 00:49:40,040
Speaker 2: So we're kind of waiting on that.

1027
00:49:40,600 --> 00:49:42,960
Speaker 1: I think one key thing about Deckers is to be

1028
00:49:42,960 --> 00:49:44,840
Speaker 1: either he's one of the most pressure quarterbacks in all

1029
00:49:44,840 --> 00:49:46,440
Speaker 1: of cultural ball. He had one hundred and fifty five

1030
00:49:46,480 --> 00:49:48,760
Speaker 1: pressures and four un and fifty eight attempts last season.

1031
00:49:49,120 --> 00:49:51,120
Speaker 1: The offensive line has got to provide him a little

1032
00:49:51,160 --> 00:49:53,360
Speaker 1: bit better. One thing I did talk to Matt Campbell

1033
00:49:53,400 --> 00:49:56,279
Speaker 1: about was the struggle last year was the fact that

1034
00:49:56,360 --> 00:49:58,560
Speaker 1: he was completely depleted in the tight end room.

1035
00:49:59,120 --> 00:50:01,200
Speaker 2: Campbell wants to run a offense thirteen fourteen.

1036
00:50:01,239 --> 00:50:03,520
Speaker 1: He's got tight ends and motion going everywhere, confusing the

1037
00:50:03,520 --> 00:50:05,240
Speaker 1: hell out of every defense in that conference.

1038
00:50:06,280 --> 00:50:07,560
Speaker 2: He says that.

1039
00:50:07,320 --> 00:50:09,919
Speaker 1: He is loaded in the tight end at the depth

1040
00:50:10,000 --> 00:50:12,240
Speaker 1: chart and he is back to run in twelve thirteen fourteen.

1041
00:50:12,280 --> 00:50:14,040
Speaker 2: Every time. I like that. That's a positive.

1042
00:50:14,040 --> 00:50:15,719
Speaker 1: That's one of the reasons I wanted over five and

1043
00:50:15,719 --> 00:50:18,120
Speaker 1: a half. They do lose seventy five percent of their

1044
00:50:18,120 --> 00:50:20,240
Speaker 1: pressures and stops on the defensive side of the ball,

1045
00:50:21,200 --> 00:50:24,279
Speaker 1: so that is something for John he cocked to kind

1046
00:50:24,320 --> 00:50:27,280
Speaker 1: of manage. They do have an aggressive twenty seven percent

1047
00:50:27,320 --> 00:50:30,200
Speaker 1: blitz forty five percent returning on the defense. That was

1048
00:50:30,200 --> 00:50:32,759
Speaker 1: twenty first in defensive finishing drive. So they know how

1049
00:50:32,800 --> 00:50:34,640
Speaker 1: to coach. But they lose a lot of players, so

1050
00:50:34,640 --> 00:50:35,440
Speaker 1: I don't know if they can.

1051
00:50:35,280 --> 00:50:35,839
Speaker 2: Maintain a time.

1052
00:50:36,040 --> 00:50:39,440
Speaker 1: Donald Andersen's tough to replace, really tough to replace. But

1053
00:50:39,560 --> 00:50:41,760
Speaker 1: at the same time, this number is five and a half.

1054
00:50:42,000 --> 00:50:45,840
Speaker 1: The number is way lower. I mean there's way lower

1055
00:50:45,840 --> 00:50:48,360
Speaker 1: than what I have them at Northern Iowa, Ohio. I

1056
00:50:48,360 --> 00:50:50,560
Speaker 1: would not expect them to have problems with that. We'll

1057
00:50:50,560 --> 00:50:52,600
Speaker 1: see what happens with Hunter Deckers. But at the same time,

1058
00:50:52,640 --> 00:50:54,840
Speaker 1: the rest of the schedule is with Cincinnati on it,

1059
00:50:54,960 --> 00:50:59,200
Speaker 1: Kansas on it. There's a BYU, I mean BYU, we're

1060
00:50:59,200 --> 00:51:02,799
Speaker 1: going to get to massive struggles on defense. There's opportunities

1061
00:51:02,800 --> 00:51:04,680
Speaker 1: here for them to get to six wins. When Matt

1062
00:51:04,719 --> 00:51:07,120
Speaker 1: Campbell tells me he's extremely comfortable with his tight end room,

1063
00:51:07,160 --> 00:51:09,960
Speaker 1: that makes me comfortable. Just kind of need Deckers in

1064
00:51:10,000 --> 00:51:11,840
Speaker 1: here is the final piece. But if he's not going

1065
00:51:11,920 --> 00:51:14,719
Speaker 1: to play, I'll take four points off their pr It's

1066
00:51:14,760 --> 00:51:16,879
Speaker 1: probably going to bump them down to what this five

1067
00:51:16,920 --> 00:51:18,799
Speaker 1: and a half six win total is for me.

1068
00:51:20,160 --> 00:51:22,880
Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean any suspensions and look, I'm not speculating,

1069
00:51:23,239 --> 00:51:26,480
Speaker 3: just rumors of Deckers and get the quarterbacks hang out together,

1070
00:51:26,520 --> 00:51:29,359
Speaker 3: So like what if it's right, it's multiple what about

1071
00:51:29,360 --> 00:51:31,520
Speaker 3: who knows? So I wait and see and if there

1072
00:51:31,520 --> 00:51:37,359
Speaker 3: are suspensions, say it's early like Iowa at home at Ohio,

1073
00:51:38,000 --> 00:51:41,799
Speaker 3: who's going to be good with our boy? Oklahoma State

1074
00:51:41,800 --> 00:51:44,640
Speaker 3: at home? Like those are swinging games that we could

1075
00:51:44,640 --> 00:51:48,359
Speaker 3: swing based on suspensions. But yeah, wait and see. I

1076
00:51:48,400 --> 00:51:50,480
Speaker 3: was all ready to fire them to get back to

1077
00:51:50,520 --> 00:51:53,719
Speaker 3: Bowl eligibility after their five year Bowl streak ended last year.

1078
00:51:54,520 --> 00:51:58,759
Speaker 3: Let's talk about Kansas. Kansas win total also over five

1079
00:51:58,800 --> 00:52:01,719
Speaker 3: and a half. I think this time was six and

1080
00:52:01,719 --> 00:52:03,840
Speaker 3: a half has come down. Choose to over five and

1081
00:52:03,880 --> 00:52:05,560
Speaker 3: a half. I bet on GM minus won fifty forty

1082
00:52:05,560 --> 00:52:10,160
Speaker 3: to one to win the Big Twelve. I'm buying Kansas.

1083
00:52:10,160 --> 00:52:11,919
Speaker 3: I'll tell you that they have five Big Twelve home games.

1084
00:52:11,920 --> 00:52:14,120
Speaker 3: They do avoid Baylor and TCU out of my top

1085
00:52:14,160 --> 00:52:17,680
Speaker 3: projected six manageable road schedule outside of Texas, like they're

1086
00:52:17,680 --> 00:52:22,120
Speaker 3: at Nevada, Nevada, sorry, at Oklahoma State, at Iowa State,

1087
00:52:22,880 --> 00:52:25,960
Speaker 3: at Sincy. I trust this staff. I love the staff.

1088
00:52:25,960 --> 00:52:29,640
Speaker 3: I love this offensive staff. They bring everybody back on offense.

1089
00:52:30,200 --> 00:52:33,840
Speaker 3: They got quarterback debt with being back backing up Daniels.

1090
00:52:34,160 --> 00:52:37,120
Speaker 3: I think like over ninety percent of their production returns.

1091
00:52:37,840 --> 00:52:40,359
Speaker 3: You know you did lose Bostic at left tackle, but

1092
00:52:40,600 --> 00:52:43,520
Speaker 3: you know you brought in a former five star from Wisconsin.

1093
00:52:44,000 --> 00:52:46,320
Speaker 3: I just love this offense and it's all scheme based.

1094
00:52:46,360 --> 00:52:49,359
Speaker 3: It's it's there's no star in the wide receiver room

1095
00:52:49,520 --> 00:52:51,840
Speaker 3: because you just can't game plan for any one person.

1096
00:52:52,320 --> 00:52:54,560
Speaker 3: You're not going to get the negative plays. It's it's

1097
00:52:54,560 --> 00:52:56,720
Speaker 3: just a great scheme. You have an ad at McDuffie.

1098
00:52:56,719 --> 00:52:58,360
Speaker 3: You ran for a thousand yards of buffalo love the

1099
00:52:58,400 --> 00:53:01,920
Speaker 3: offense defense tow some question. Yeah, they lose. They're all

1100
00:53:02,080 --> 00:53:05,440
Speaker 3: the entire defensive line transfers and youth got to step up.

1101
00:53:05,640 --> 00:53:10,080
Speaker 3: They do bring their secondary back, both starting linebackers. But

1102
00:53:10,320 --> 00:53:13,000
Speaker 3: I think that the defensive line, like the turnovers extreme,

1103
00:53:13,040 --> 00:53:15,400
Speaker 3: but it can't get worse. I actually like some of

1104
00:53:15,400 --> 00:53:17,560
Speaker 3: the pieces they brought in. The defense was bad last year.

1105
00:53:17,600 --> 00:53:20,359
Speaker 3: It's not gonna be good. Yeah, I just need a

1106
00:53:20,400 --> 00:53:26,520
Speaker 3: slight uptick is all I need. But I also think

1107
00:53:26,520 --> 00:53:29,280
Speaker 3: the special teams could be a little bit better, which

1108
00:53:29,440 --> 00:53:34,040
Speaker 3: has plagued them in recent years. So yeah, I'm gonna

1109
00:53:34,040 --> 00:53:37,600
Speaker 3: trust the offense. I'm gonna trust this staff to get

1110
00:53:37,680 --> 00:53:40,480
Speaker 3: to Bowl eligibility. For those of you that like the path,

1111
00:53:40,560 --> 00:53:43,200
Speaker 3: it's like, hey, I I'm a little down on Illinois too.

1112
00:53:43,560 --> 00:53:46,959
Speaker 3: They host Illinois big swing game week two. Here's the path,

1113
00:53:47,120 --> 00:53:50,600
Speaker 3: Missouri State, Illinois win those games at Nevada host EYU

1114
00:53:50,840 --> 00:53:52,440
Speaker 3: could start four and up easily.

1115
00:53:52,760 --> 00:53:53,000
Speaker 2: Yep.

1116
00:53:53,120 --> 00:53:55,560
Speaker 3: Then you're at Texas calling that a loss. Home against

1117
00:53:55,600 --> 00:53:59,480
Speaker 3: UCF another winnable game probably be a shootout. You're at

1118
00:53:59,480 --> 00:54:03,040
Speaker 3: Oak State by home against Oklahoma winnable game, you're at

1119
00:54:03,080 --> 00:54:05,200
Speaker 3: Iowa State, who knows what's going over them that's winnable,

1120
00:54:05,600 --> 00:54:07,360
Speaker 3: and then your home against Texas Tech Kansas State. And

1121
00:54:07,360 --> 00:54:10,080
Speaker 3: then since he might just need to grab one of

1122
00:54:10,120 --> 00:54:13,239
Speaker 3: those last three or four to get to six, I'm

1123
00:54:13,280 --> 00:54:15,560
Speaker 3: going to trust Leopold and the Jocks to get to

1124
00:54:15,560 --> 00:54:17,200
Speaker 3: six wins. Wouldn't play this at six and a half,

1125
00:54:17,680 --> 00:54:19,720
Speaker 3: comfortable playing at five and a half and lanes some juice.

1126
00:54:20,120 --> 00:54:23,640
Speaker 1: So the reason you're going to win this and I

1127
00:54:23,840 --> 00:54:25,960
Speaker 1: like it too, I would actually play over six and

1128
00:54:26,040 --> 00:54:28,880
Speaker 1: minus one twenty five I projected six point three. The

1129
00:54:29,040 --> 00:54:31,959
Speaker 1: reason why you're going to catch this ticket is because

1130
00:54:32,080 --> 00:54:35,080
Speaker 1: Jason Bean decided to come back to Lawrence. Jalen Daniels

1131
00:54:35,239 --> 00:54:42,840
Speaker 1: is unbelievable. That offense with Devin Neil, the amount of motion, shotgun, pistol, misdirection,

1132
00:54:43,200 --> 00:54:45,080
Speaker 1: counter and I'll caught Onlicky.

1133
00:54:45,280 --> 00:54:47,080
Speaker 2: He's not going to be in Lawrence very long.

1134
00:54:47,160 --> 00:54:49,360
Speaker 1: He's going to be an offensive coordinator in the SEC,

1135
00:54:49,680 --> 00:54:53,120
Speaker 1: maybe the NFL or whatever, but he's not long for

1136
00:54:53,200 --> 00:54:55,279
Speaker 1: this position because of how good they are running counter.

1137
00:54:55,920 --> 00:54:58,640
Speaker 1: It is heavy and play action pass. This is one

1138
00:54:58,680 --> 00:55:00,960
Speaker 1: of the most complicated offense is if you've not seen

1139
00:55:01,000 --> 00:55:01,719
Speaker 1: it and you don't know.

1140
00:55:02,000 --> 00:55:03,359
Speaker 2: And you bite on their motion.

1141
00:55:03,600 --> 00:55:04,120
Speaker 3: That's what we know.

1142
00:55:04,239 --> 00:55:04,799
Speaker 2: That was the hole.

1143
00:55:05,320 --> 00:55:07,400
Speaker 1: The whole handicap last year is are you going to

1144
00:55:07,440 --> 00:55:11,160
Speaker 1: bite on Kansas's motion? Missouri State not a problem, Illinois

1145
00:55:11,440 --> 00:55:14,680
Speaker 1: new defensive coordinator against this offense doing all this stuff crazy,

1146
00:55:15,000 --> 00:55:18,799
Speaker 1: Nevada no chance BYU no chance. So yeah, you're going

1147
00:55:18,840 --> 00:55:20,520
Speaker 1: to be set up in a really good position. The

1148
00:55:20,719 --> 00:55:23,480
Speaker 1: problem with Kansas is the defense. I think it's more

1149
00:55:23,520 --> 00:55:26,200
Speaker 1: than some questions. They finished one hundred and twenty second

1150
00:55:26,280 --> 00:55:29,320
Speaker 1: defensive havoc last year. Nothing is going to improve that.

1151
00:55:29,360 --> 00:55:31,799
Speaker 1: They're only getting fifty six percent of their defense back.

1152
00:55:32,440 --> 00:55:34,200
Speaker 1: They were one hundred and twenty eighth and stuff, right,

1153
00:55:34,560 --> 00:55:37,319
Speaker 1: They're going to get pushed around, They're going to beat

1154
00:55:37,400 --> 00:55:39,840
Speaker 1: teams that get into a shootout with them, and you

1155
00:55:39,920 --> 00:55:42,400
Speaker 1: know who that points me to coming off of a

1156
00:55:42,480 --> 00:55:44,239
Speaker 1: buye and beating Oklahoma.

1157
00:55:44,520 --> 00:55:46,799
Speaker 2: That's exactly I mean. It's games like that they're gonna

1158
00:55:46,800 --> 00:55:47,239
Speaker 2: get this over.

1159
00:55:47,360 --> 00:55:50,719
Speaker 1: And the fact that I said outside of Texas, there's

1160
00:55:50,800 --> 00:55:56,000
Speaker 1: a very huge gap that goes into a laundry list

1161
00:55:56,120 --> 00:55:59,000
Speaker 1: of mediocre teams in this conference that if if they

1162
00:55:59,040 --> 00:56:01,480
Speaker 1: want to get into a shootout Kansas, Kansas will be

1163
00:56:01,520 --> 00:56:03,600
Speaker 1: happy to oblige and probably win the game.

1164
00:56:03,960 --> 00:56:06,560
Speaker 2: So I love Jalen Daniels. I love the offense and.

1165
00:56:06,600 --> 00:56:08,680
Speaker 1: The fact that Jason Bean is there in case Daniels

1166
00:56:08,680 --> 00:56:10,879
Speaker 1: gets hurts again and Bean comes in and plays away

1167
00:56:10,920 --> 00:56:11,680
Speaker 1: he did last year.

1168
00:56:12,960 --> 00:56:14,480
Speaker 2: This is an overteam for me all the way. Just

1169
00:56:14,480 --> 00:56:17,720
Speaker 2: don't expect any defensive defense is still going to struggle

1170
00:56:17,760 --> 00:56:18,560
Speaker 2: under Brian Borland.

1171
00:56:19,160 --> 00:56:21,359
Speaker 3: Yeah, the deed's gonna be that. That's that's a given.

1172
00:56:21,360 --> 00:56:23,000
Speaker 3: Do you think special teams could be a little bit better,

1173
00:56:24,160 --> 00:56:26,520
Speaker 3: But I do think that their bodies up front could

1174
00:56:26,960 --> 00:56:30,000
Speaker 3: be just a tad bit better, but still not pretty good.

1175
00:56:30,040 --> 00:56:32,920
Speaker 3: Before we get to the four newcomers, West Virginia two

1176
00:56:33,000 --> 00:56:34,439
Speaker 3: hundred to one to win the Big Twelve at Betam

1177
00:56:34,480 --> 00:56:36,279
Speaker 3: Gym went to over four and a half minus one

1178
00:56:36,400 --> 00:56:40,279
Speaker 3: forty insane. They have a brutal road schedule, only four

1179
00:56:40,360 --> 00:56:42,480
Speaker 3: Big Twelve home games. They also have Pitt and Penn

1180
00:56:42,600 --> 00:56:46,120
Speaker 3: State non conference. They avoid Texas and Kansas State. It

1181
00:56:46,160 --> 00:56:48,279
Speaker 3: is the only good thing I could say. You got

1182
00:56:48,320 --> 00:56:51,880
Speaker 3: a new oc new quarterback, three brand new receivers.

1183
00:56:52,760 --> 00:56:53,200
Speaker 2: I'm buying.

1184
00:56:53,640 --> 00:56:56,640
Speaker 3: You got to get top lost your top four receivers,

1185
00:56:56,960 --> 00:57:01,000
Speaker 3: forty the offensive line return for your top five d

1186
00:57:01,160 --> 00:57:04,839
Speaker 3: line rebuilt after Stills lost the NFL, you lost Jefferson Dellis.

1187
00:57:04,880 --> 00:57:08,879
Speaker 3: He's a lot of movie pieces here. You're buying your boy,

1188
00:57:09,239 --> 00:57:13,200
Speaker 3: Neil Brown on the hot seat. Why tell us? Why? Yeah?

1189
00:57:13,320 --> 00:57:15,400
Speaker 1: Well, first off, I do project this at six wins,

1190
00:57:15,480 --> 00:57:16,880
Speaker 1: not the four and a half that's out there in

1191
00:57:16,960 --> 00:57:20,320
Speaker 1: the market. And you know, the offense does get some

1192
00:57:20,480 --> 00:57:22,919
Speaker 1: really quality players back on the offensive line. You're getting

1193
00:57:23,000 --> 00:57:24,440
Speaker 1: Zach Frasier at center, one of the best in the

1194
00:57:24,440 --> 00:57:27,920
Speaker 1: Big twelve, really good garden tackle, and Doug Nester and

1195
00:57:27,960 --> 00:57:31,520
Speaker 1: Wyatt Milan. So offensive line is a huge strength. And

1196
00:57:31,640 --> 00:57:34,600
Speaker 1: behind that is running back CJ. Donaldson, who was I

1197
00:57:34,640 --> 00:57:37,440
Speaker 1: think Freshman of the year. You know they got Anderson

1198
00:57:37,480 --> 00:57:39,560
Speaker 1: in the back and Johnson in the background. They're going

1199
00:57:39,640 --> 00:57:42,320
Speaker 1: to be a heavy rush team. Neil Brown said, So

1200
00:57:42,400 --> 00:57:44,800
Speaker 1: I'm taking over play calling, dudies. Yes, Chad Scott is

1201
00:57:44,880 --> 00:57:46,920
Speaker 1: the new offensive coordinator. He likes to run a lot

1202
00:57:46,920 --> 00:57:50,040
Speaker 1: of outside inside zone. He's been promoted from running back coach.

1203
00:57:50,520 --> 00:57:53,800
Speaker 1: And Neil Brown is calling the plays because I believe

1204
00:57:53,880 --> 00:57:56,600
Speaker 1: Garrett Green is going to be the starting quarterback here,

1205
00:57:56,800 --> 00:57:58,440
Speaker 1: and they're going to do what they did in the

1206
00:57:58,480 --> 00:58:01,400
Speaker 1: month of November, which led them to a win over

1207
00:58:01,480 --> 00:58:03,720
Speaker 1: Oklahoma as an eight and a half point dog, a

1208
00:58:03,800 --> 00:58:05,960
Speaker 1: win over Oklahoma State in the last game of the

1209
00:58:06,000 --> 00:58:08,320
Speaker 1: season as a seven and a half point dog. They

1210
00:58:08,440 --> 00:58:12,280
Speaker 1: finally found an identity. The inside zone was never going

1211
00:58:12,400 --> 00:58:13,200
Speaker 1: to work with JT.

1212
00:58:13,360 --> 00:58:13,840
Speaker 2: Daniels.

1213
00:58:14,040 --> 00:58:15,919
Speaker 1: Ever, why do you have a guy who's been injured

1214
00:58:15,960 --> 00:58:18,120
Speaker 1: his entire life trying to run that offense? I couldn't

1215
00:58:18,120 --> 00:58:20,040
Speaker 1: figure it out for the life of me. So now

1216
00:58:20,520 --> 00:58:23,120
Speaker 1: we're going to change schemes. Get the Harrelayer raid out

1217
00:58:23,160 --> 00:58:25,240
Speaker 1: of here, turn me into a running team.

1218
00:58:25,400 --> 00:58:25,640
Speaker 2: CJ.

1219
00:58:25,760 --> 00:58:28,280
Speaker 3: Donald all in, all in on ground attack, top four

1220
00:58:28,440 --> 00:58:31,640
Speaker 3: running backs back, all five offensive lineback. Yes, you promoted

1221
00:58:31,800 --> 00:58:35,720
Speaker 3: a running back coached offense coordinator with a mobile quarterback

1222
00:58:35,760 --> 00:58:37,040
Speaker 3: in Green, which makes so much sense.

1223
00:58:37,360 --> 00:58:39,320
Speaker 1: Yeah, and so I think that they are going to

1224
00:58:39,360 --> 00:58:41,360
Speaker 1: be And there are teams in this conference that can't

1225
00:58:41,400 --> 00:58:43,640
Speaker 1: hand They don't have the defensive front seven to do

1226
00:58:43,840 --> 00:58:45,720
Speaker 1: what Garrett Green and CJ. Donaldson want to do with

1227
00:58:45,800 --> 00:58:48,560
Speaker 1: a great offensive line. So for that reason, I'm going

1228
00:58:48,680 --> 00:58:51,080
Speaker 1: over four and a half the defensive back seven. Yes,

1229
00:58:51,200 --> 00:58:54,120
Speaker 1: is a big issue. Jordan Leslie, the defensive coordinator. Hopefully

1230
00:58:54,120 --> 00:58:56,000
Speaker 1: he can figure it out with his nickel packages. He

1231
00:58:56,080 --> 00:58:57,960
Speaker 1: has a low seventeen percent blitz rate. I don't think

1232
00:58:57,960 --> 00:58:59,120
Speaker 1: he's asking too much here.

1233
00:58:59,680 --> 00:58:59,880
Speaker 2: They do.

1234
00:59:00,040 --> 00:59:02,440
Speaker 1: We have the toughest schedule of big twelve offenses per

1235
00:59:02,680 --> 00:59:05,720
Speaker 1: sp plus. But they're gonna decrease tempo here with this

1236
00:59:05,840 --> 00:59:08,000
Speaker 1: running game, and they're going to shorten possessions, and they're

1237
00:59:08,000 --> 00:59:09,520
Speaker 1: going to try to beat people on the ground, and

1238
00:59:09,680 --> 00:59:11,840
Speaker 1: for me, that's gonna catch a few off guard. I'm

1239
00:59:11,880 --> 00:59:13,480
Speaker 1: gonna take West Virginia over four and a half.

1240
00:59:14,000 --> 00:59:18,920
Speaker 2: Hey, form and tackle. It's mountain their prime to the heart.

1241
00:59:19,480 --> 00:59:21,640
Speaker 1: Please no, don't tonight.

1242
00:59:22,000 --> 00:59:25,680
Speaker 3: No, yeah, I mean they're past the yes question. But

1243
00:59:25,680 --> 00:59:27,120
Speaker 3: they brought a Miller from Catsty do I like? And

1244
00:59:27,160 --> 00:59:29,800
Speaker 3: Bishop from Minnesota at They needed two new corners the

1245
00:59:29,840 --> 00:59:32,160
Speaker 3: past he was so bad that last year could only

1246
00:59:32,240 --> 00:59:35,200
Speaker 3: go up. They brought a kickoff specials to their kickoffs

1247
00:59:35,200 --> 00:59:36,920
Speaker 3: were horrendous last year. We give it up so much

1248
00:59:36,960 --> 00:59:39,560
Speaker 3: fuel position that should help your path here. Ever before

1249
00:59:39,600 --> 00:59:42,640
Speaker 3: and Alf safe to assume this is pretty reasonable. You

1250
00:59:42,880 --> 00:59:46,040
Speaker 3: went you beat to Caine, Oklahoma State b Yu and

1251
00:59:46,120 --> 00:59:48,760
Speaker 3: Sincy at home. Yeah, I get you to four wins,

1252
00:59:49,880 --> 00:59:53,280
Speaker 3: you're gonna lose that. Penn State. Can you beat Pit

1253
00:59:53,400 --> 00:59:57,120
Speaker 3: or Texas Tech at home? Sure? Could you steal a

1254
00:59:57,200 --> 01:00:02,600
Speaker 3: game at Houston or at UCF? I mean not likely,

1255
01:00:02,640 --> 01:00:04,240
Speaker 3: but yeah, you just need one more game out of

1256
01:00:04,280 --> 01:00:07,240
Speaker 3: those four. You're also at Oklahoma, you know, at Baylor

1257
01:00:07,320 --> 01:00:08,960
Speaker 3: at TC, they're not impossible games.

1258
01:00:09,080 --> 01:00:12,000
Speaker 2: Cincinnati, that's a when Yeah, yeah, so I.

1259
01:00:12,040 --> 01:00:13,760
Speaker 3: Mean they they should. I feel a couple say they're

1260
01:00:13,760 --> 01:00:17,600
Speaker 3: gonna get those Cincinnati BYU, Ducane and Oak State at home.

1261
01:00:17,720 --> 01:00:20,760
Speaker 3: Like that's a good four or four and uh yeah,

1262
01:00:20,760 --> 01:00:23,480
Speaker 3: if this rushing offense pans out, I would agree, I

1263
01:00:23,520 --> 01:00:27,520
Speaker 3: think it's over nothing. Let's talk to four new newcomers

1264
01:00:27,520 --> 01:00:30,120
Speaker 3: before we get get to three and out. A major

1265
01:00:30,240 --> 01:00:33,440
Speaker 3: question is how are these four teams going to handle

1266
01:00:33,520 --> 01:00:37,280
Speaker 3: this step up in competition. Look, they've played Power five

1267
01:00:37,320 --> 01:00:40,400
Speaker 3: teams before. It's more about do they have the depth

1268
01:00:41,400 --> 01:00:45,080
Speaker 3: to sustain a Power five schedule. We have a lot

1269
01:00:45,120 --> 01:00:47,680
Speaker 3: of coaches here, like I mentioned earlier in the show,

1270
01:00:47,760 --> 01:00:51,000
Speaker 3: that have experienced at the Power five level. Obviously talking

1271
01:00:51,040 --> 01:00:57,040
Speaker 3: about BYU, Houston, Cincinnati, and UCF. I'll tell you Cincinnati

1272
01:00:57,320 --> 01:01:00,880
Speaker 3: another schedule lottery winter. They avoid Texas team you, Kansas

1273
01:01:00,880 --> 01:01:04,280
Speaker 3: State and Texas Tech for my top six. They also

1274
01:01:04,320 --> 01:01:07,640
Speaker 3: have five big twelve home games. I don't care. I'm

1275
01:01:07,800 --> 01:01:10,880
Speaker 3: selling Cincy. I'll tell you that right now. They got

1276
01:01:11,680 --> 01:01:17,959
Speaker 3: absolutely gutted by the transfer portal. Their top six wide

1277
01:01:18,000 --> 01:01:20,800
Speaker 3: receivers are gone. You know, it's a brand new coach

1278
01:01:20,840 --> 01:01:23,000
Speaker 3: in Sanderfield who I'm not about. I don't believe in

1279
01:01:23,440 --> 01:01:25,600
Speaker 3: and especially in like just a brand new team like

1280
01:01:25,720 --> 01:01:28,360
Speaker 3: trying to fix all this in one year and Nope,

1281
01:01:28,640 --> 01:01:31,440
Speaker 3: not buying it. You have all this change for a

1282
01:01:31,480 --> 01:01:34,040
Speaker 3: team that just got crushed. Those their top eight receivers,

1283
01:01:34,560 --> 01:01:37,440
Speaker 3: twenty career FBS starts on the offensive line. The D

1284
01:01:37,600 --> 01:01:40,840
Speaker 3: line should be strong. You know you have some linebackers

1285
01:01:40,880 --> 01:01:44,040
Speaker 3: are gone though your secondary got crushed for the second

1286
01:01:44,080 --> 01:01:47,160
Speaker 3: straight year. I know that their schedule is great, but

1287
01:01:47,240 --> 01:01:49,880
Speaker 3: I'm going under five and a half all day. They're

1288
01:01:49,880 --> 01:01:52,680
Speaker 3: gonna beat Eastern Kentucky at home, probably be Miam of Ohio.

1289
01:01:53,240 --> 01:01:56,120
Speaker 3: You got Iowa stayed at home, UCF Kansas, and yes

1290
01:01:56,120 --> 01:02:00,440
Speaker 3: there's some winnable games. But I'm selling since all the way.

1291
01:02:01,000 --> 01:02:03,200
Speaker 3: Do you agree? And I think you mentioned earlier you're

1292
01:02:03,240 --> 01:02:03,960
Speaker 3: selling BYU.

1293
01:02:04,920 --> 01:02:07,680
Speaker 1: Well, I one to percent on agree on Cincinnati. I

1294
01:02:07,720 --> 01:02:10,520
Speaker 1: mean their best players on this team are a defensive tackle,

1295
01:02:10,760 --> 01:02:12,920
Speaker 1: a linebacker, and their punter Mason Fletcher.

1296
01:02:13,000 --> 01:02:15,080
Speaker 2: He's going to be someone that we'll talk about. Sadly

1297
01:02:15,160 --> 01:02:16,960
Speaker 2: he's on this squad.

1298
01:02:17,800 --> 01:02:21,400
Speaker 1: They lose so much on defense after finishing fourth and

1299
01:02:21,440 --> 01:02:24,680
Speaker 1: pass rush per PFF. Then on the offensive side, they

1300
01:02:24,720 --> 01:02:26,400
Speaker 1: were fourteenth and stuff right, but they get you know,

1301
01:02:26,480 --> 01:02:28,360
Speaker 1: they get hammered there too, so I don't expect them

1302
01:02:28,400 --> 01:02:31,680
Speaker 1: to repeat that they're below forty six percent of tarp

1303
01:02:31,760 --> 01:02:34,280
Speaker 1: on both sides of the ball. New blocking scheme for

1304
01:02:34,360 --> 01:02:36,400
Speaker 1: these offensive linement I just talked about how much of

1305
01:02:36,440 --> 01:02:39,400
Speaker 1: an impact that is for Oklahoma State. Now over here

1306
01:02:39,400 --> 01:02:41,880
Speaker 1: with Cincinnati, you got Emrie Jones and what might be

1307
01:02:42,000 --> 01:02:44,280
Speaker 1: his sixth or seventh season. I can't figure it out,

1308
01:02:44,320 --> 01:02:46,320
Speaker 1: but he has more turnover worthy plays than big time

1309
01:02:46,400 --> 01:02:48,600
Speaker 1: throws in his career, and a lot of his career

1310
01:02:49,080 --> 01:02:51,640
Speaker 1: has been in garbage time. So that's, you know, not

1311
01:02:51,760 --> 01:02:53,600
Speaker 1: a good thing. So I am with you on the

1312
01:02:53,680 --> 01:02:57,520
Speaker 1: under here for Cincinnati BYU. I don't want to hate

1313
01:02:57,520 --> 01:03:00,760
Speaker 1: on these guys. I love Klonie Sataki, but the defense,

1314
01:03:00,960 --> 01:03:03,120
Speaker 1: the defense really fell.

1315
01:03:03,200 --> 01:03:04,440
Speaker 2: Off the map last year.

1316
01:03:04,640 --> 01:03:07,200
Speaker 1: I mean we're talking dead last in almost every single

1317
01:03:07,280 --> 01:03:10,920
Speaker 1: category when it comes to containing rush and pass explosives,

1318
01:03:10,920 --> 01:03:13,400
Speaker 1: when it comes to anything in the secondary. The defense

1319
01:03:13,560 --> 01:03:17,200
Speaker 1: was one hundred and thirtieth and finishing Drives went out

1320
01:03:17,240 --> 01:03:19,720
Speaker 1: and got Jay Hill from the FCS level. He was

1321
01:03:19,800 --> 01:03:22,920
Speaker 1: the top FCS defense at Weavers State. They're going to

1322
01:03:23,000 --> 01:03:25,480
Speaker 1: go to man coverage. I don't know if that's gonna work.

1323
01:03:25,960 --> 01:03:27,600
Speaker 1: I don't know if that's gonna work in the Big twelve,

1324
01:03:27,880 --> 01:03:30,840
Speaker 1: but that's what Jay Hill has called before through a

1325
01:03:30,880 --> 01:03:34,920
Speaker 1: four to three, and you know, they're reloaded their offensive

1326
01:03:34,960 --> 01:03:37,800
Speaker 1: line through the portal, the entire defensive staff and some

1327
01:03:37,840 --> 01:03:38,920
Speaker 1: of the defensive players.

1328
01:03:38,680 --> 01:03:40,680
Speaker 2: Have been rebuilt. There's nowhere to go.

1329
01:03:40,800 --> 01:03:44,280
Speaker 1: I mean, this is UMass levels of the five factors

1330
01:03:44,320 --> 01:03:46,480
Speaker 1: on defense, and we'll see if they can pick it

1331
01:03:46,560 --> 01:03:49,680
Speaker 1: up and get better. Kadan slow Is transfers into play quarterback.

1332
01:03:49,800 --> 01:03:51,840
Speaker 1: I'm not sure I'm warm on that. It seems like

1333
01:03:51,880 --> 01:03:55,840
Speaker 1: he's either been hurt or inefficient and stops at usc Pitt.

1334
01:03:56,480 --> 01:03:57,240
Speaker 2: We'll see how that goes.

1335
01:03:57,280 --> 01:03:58,840
Speaker 1: But they did finish top twenty in the portal, so

1336
01:03:58,920 --> 01:04:01,880
Speaker 1: there's a lot of changes this I actually project them

1337
01:04:02,120 --> 01:04:04,280
Speaker 1: a little over six wins, so I can see over

1338
01:04:04,360 --> 01:04:06,120
Speaker 1: five and a half at plus money plus one oh

1339
01:04:06,200 --> 01:04:07,880
Speaker 1: five is out there. I do like Aiden Robbins at

1340
01:04:07,920 --> 01:04:10,000
Speaker 1: running back. He was part of that tandem with Doug

1341
01:04:10,040 --> 01:04:13,960
Speaker 1: Brumfield UNLV attacking on the ground. But you know, I

1342
01:04:14,040 --> 01:04:16,040
Speaker 1: think this is a hard step up, and this is

1343
01:04:16,280 --> 01:04:19,440
Speaker 1: a complete reset from a coaching staff and a personnel

1344
01:04:19,480 --> 01:04:21,000
Speaker 1: perspective on defense.

1345
01:04:21,080 --> 01:04:23,160
Speaker 2: So it is a no play for me on BYU.

1346
01:04:23,440 --> 01:04:26,600
Speaker 3: Yeah, thin wide receiver group. I do like to hire

1347
01:04:27,000 --> 01:04:29,400
Speaker 3: the DC high. They got to be more aggressive, they

1348
01:04:29,440 --> 01:04:31,880
Speaker 3: got to generate pressure, and the dropping eight wasn't working,

1349
01:04:31,920 --> 01:04:33,400
Speaker 3: So I love this tig. They're gonna be aggresive, four

1350
01:04:33,440 --> 01:04:37,240
Speaker 3: man front, multiple looks. Just what they were doing last

1351
01:04:37,280 --> 01:04:38,959
Speaker 3: year were not of work, So I love this higher.

1352
01:04:39,000 --> 01:04:40,800
Speaker 3: I don't know if it will work this year necessarily,

1353
01:04:41,320 --> 01:04:44,400
Speaker 3: but I do like some of the quortal ads the past.

1354
01:04:44,480 --> 01:04:46,960
Speaker 3: He was horrendous last year, but they had so many injuries.

1355
01:04:47,000 --> 01:04:48,440
Speaker 3: They also had a lot of injuries at linebacker. Only

1356
01:04:48,480 --> 01:04:51,760
Speaker 3: one linebacker started eight games, so there's only there's only

1357
01:04:51,840 --> 01:04:54,600
Speaker 3: one way to go but up. So can the scheme

1358
01:04:54,960 --> 01:04:57,840
Speaker 3: some pure lads improve this defense? I think so but

1359
01:04:58,440 --> 01:05:01,560
Speaker 3: depth is a concern. The injuries could play a role

1360
01:05:01,600 --> 01:05:04,800
Speaker 3: again like with this schedule. So yeah, it's a no

1361
01:05:04,920 --> 01:05:07,840
Speaker 3: play for me. They'll probably pull an upset or two,

1362
01:05:09,080 --> 01:05:13,400
Speaker 3: and maybe maybe at Arkansas Week three revenge game over

1363
01:05:13,520 --> 01:05:15,680
Speaker 3: five and a half plus one twenty five. As you said,

1364
01:05:16,360 --> 01:05:21,000
Speaker 3: it is a pass for me. The two teams that

1365
01:05:21,040 --> 01:05:23,800
Speaker 3: we didn't mention before we get to UCF, let's go

1366
01:05:23,880 --> 01:05:26,760
Speaker 3: to Houston. Interesting roster. I mean eight of your top

1367
01:05:26,880 --> 01:05:30,040
Speaker 3: nine tackles are gone on defense. You have a new

1368
01:05:30,120 --> 01:05:33,880
Speaker 3: quarterback in Donovan Smith. Might name might sound familiar. He's

1369
01:05:33,880 --> 01:05:36,320
Speaker 3: played in this conference at Texas Tech. But you did

1370
01:05:36,440 --> 01:05:40,520
Speaker 3: lose Tank Dell to the NFL. Also lost Carter receiver.

1371
01:05:41,160 --> 01:05:44,080
Speaker 3: Those are two big losses, but their wide receiver and

1372
01:05:44,120 --> 01:05:48,000
Speaker 3: still has a ton of talent. Very interesting roster there.

1373
01:05:48,200 --> 01:05:50,360
Speaker 3: Daniel Holkers is gonna He's gonna take over the O

1374
01:05:50,520 --> 01:05:52,920
Speaker 3: and call plays. Win total over four and a half

1375
01:05:53,000 --> 01:05:55,120
Speaker 3: minus one thirty two hundred to one to win the

1376
01:05:55,160 --> 01:05:57,640
Speaker 3: Big Twelve. I will say they do play three teams

1377
01:05:57,680 --> 01:06:00,600
Speaker 3: coming off of a bye, which is interesting, but they

1378
01:06:00,640 --> 01:06:04,360
Speaker 3: have five home Big Twelve games and they avoid Oklahoma

1379
01:06:04,360 --> 01:06:08,400
Speaker 3: in Texas. Eight games are in Houston, because they play

1380
01:06:08,480 --> 01:06:11,360
Speaker 3: at Rice, which is in Houston, and they only leave

1381
01:06:11,400 --> 01:06:14,800
Speaker 3: the state of Texas twice and that's at Kansas State

1382
01:06:15,400 --> 01:06:19,640
Speaker 3: and at UCF in the finale, So pretty favorable schedule.

1383
01:06:20,360 --> 01:06:23,480
Speaker 3: Can they handle this step up for the full season?

1384
01:06:23,920 --> 01:06:26,160
Speaker 3: Definitely gonna need the portal additions to work out at

1385
01:06:26,160 --> 01:06:28,880
Speaker 3: a couple places. What do you see with Dana and Company?

1386
01:06:29,240 --> 01:06:29,919
Speaker 2: I love Dana.

1387
01:06:30,040 --> 01:06:33,000
Speaker 1: If if anybody ever gets to have a one on

1388
01:06:33,120 --> 01:06:35,160
Speaker 1: one with him, that's one of the most interesting guys

1389
01:06:35,200 --> 01:06:36,360
Speaker 1: I've ever had a conversation with.

1390
01:06:36,880 --> 01:06:38,920
Speaker 3: Its one coach. That would be a drink with the

1391
01:06:39,040 --> 01:06:41,200
Speaker 3: night out, actually not just one drink night out.

1392
01:06:42,160 --> 01:06:44,240
Speaker 1: What's funny is is everyone runs around Big twelve media

1393
01:06:44,320 --> 01:06:46,040
Speaker 1: days saying like, did you talk to Dana yep, and

1394
01:06:46,120 --> 01:06:48,840
Speaker 1: they're like, well, I mean, it's it's He's a character.

1395
01:06:48,960 --> 01:06:49,920
Speaker 2: He's absolute character.

1396
01:06:50,120 --> 01:06:52,160
Speaker 1: I was talking to Dana about Donovan Smith about the

1397
01:06:52,240 --> 01:06:54,360
Speaker 1: transfer in and the thing was is he wanted to

1398
01:06:54,400 --> 01:06:55,960
Speaker 1: go to Houston in the first place because he was

1399
01:06:55,960 --> 01:06:57,960
Speaker 1: a local kid. But he went to Texas Tech and

1400
01:06:58,280 --> 01:07:00,720
Speaker 1: they had nothing to do. His transfer from Texas Tech

1401
01:07:00,800 --> 01:07:03,400
Speaker 1: had nothing to do other than the fact that quarterback

1402
01:07:03,520 --> 01:07:06,720
Speaker 1: room at Texas Tech is loaded right with Baron Morton

1403
01:07:07,440 --> 01:07:10,480
Speaker 1: with Shug so Donovan Smith is a great addition to

1404
01:07:10,560 --> 01:07:11,960
Speaker 1: this team. I'm not sure it's going to be able

1405
01:07:12,000 --> 01:07:14,360
Speaker 1: to pull off this year because there's a youth movement

1406
01:07:14,400 --> 01:07:17,240
Speaker 1: around the squad, especially in the running back stable, and

1407
01:07:17,240 --> 01:07:19,040
Speaker 1: then on the defensive side, they were turned less than

1408
01:07:19,080 --> 01:07:22,640
Speaker 1: twenty percent of their PBUs. The schedule is conducive. They

1409
01:07:22,680 --> 01:07:24,680
Speaker 1: only leave the state of Texas twice. I do love

1410
01:07:24,720 --> 01:07:27,720
Speaker 1: the offensive coordinator hire of Amon Nagavi. He was the

1411
01:07:27,760 --> 01:07:30,080
Speaker 1: two lane offensive line coach, So a lot that we

1412
01:07:30,200 --> 01:07:32,960
Speaker 1: saw from Willie Fritz and from two lane we're going

1413
01:07:33,040 --> 01:07:35,520
Speaker 1: to see that. And Holderson talked about it like I.

1414
01:07:35,640 --> 01:07:38,960
Speaker 2: Hated defending that. I hated defending it so much.

1415
01:07:39,120 --> 01:07:40,800
Speaker 1: I love these head coaches that are like I hated

1416
01:07:40,880 --> 01:07:42,840
Speaker 1: prepping for this guy, so I went out and hired them,

1417
01:07:43,040 --> 01:07:45,640
Speaker 1: and that's exactly what their offensive coordinator is. So you're

1418
01:07:45,640 --> 01:07:47,160
Speaker 1: going to see a lot of two lane concepts coming

1419
01:07:47,160 --> 01:07:49,480
Speaker 1: out of Houston. How effective they're going to be probably

1420
01:07:49,560 --> 01:07:50,080
Speaker 1: not very good.

1421
01:07:50,240 --> 01:07:54,280
Speaker 2: This is probably going to be the worst unit across

1422
01:07:54,440 --> 01:07:57,800
Speaker 2: the board, with maybe wide receiver and defensive line being

1423
01:07:57,840 --> 01:07:58,680
Speaker 2: a bit of a strength.

1424
01:07:59,040 --> 01:08:00,880
Speaker 1: But there's a lot of questions everywhere on this roster.

1425
01:08:01,560 --> 01:08:03,720
Speaker 1: I actually project them at four point nine, so the

1426
01:08:03,800 --> 01:08:06,000
Speaker 1: over four and a half juice to the over is

1427
01:08:06,280 --> 01:08:09,000
Speaker 1: right in line with this. So as much as I'd

1428
01:08:09,040 --> 01:08:11,439
Speaker 1: love to back Dana, there's just too much change from

1429
01:08:11,920 --> 01:08:15,160
Speaker 1: a roster and coach perspective. I mean, they're hitting a

1430
01:08:15,160 --> 01:08:17,120
Speaker 1: full reset button as they enter the conference. They're doing

1431
01:08:17,160 --> 01:08:20,120
Speaker 1: it on purpose. They're they're allowed to have a year

1432
01:08:20,760 --> 01:08:23,519
Speaker 1: where they just get smacked right, because it's a step

1433
01:08:23,600 --> 01:08:26,800
Speaker 1: up a competition, and that's what's going to happen this year.

1434
01:08:27,360 --> 01:08:30,960
Speaker 3: Yep, right in line as well. And the last team

1435
01:08:31,240 --> 01:08:34,479
Speaker 3: is you see Jef plumb Lee back at quarterback. Alo,

1436
01:08:34,520 --> 01:08:36,720
Speaker 3: I think you played baseball during the spring, but you

1437
01:08:36,800 --> 01:08:39,680
Speaker 3: do have a new offensive coordinator and defensive coordinator. As

1438
01:08:39,680 --> 01:08:41,679
Speaker 3: they make the step up into the big twelve twenty

1439
01:08:41,720 --> 01:08:45,080
Speaker 3: five to one to win the conference over seven minus

1440
01:08:45,160 --> 01:08:49,160
Speaker 3: one oh five. At MGM, you can expect fast paced

1441
01:08:49,240 --> 01:08:52,120
Speaker 3: offense within plumbing some questions on the offensive line, even

1442
01:08:52,120 --> 01:08:54,559
Speaker 3: tho there's a ton of experience. They also lost their

1443
01:08:54,640 --> 01:08:57,800
Speaker 3: leading receiver and O'Keefe bows at running back. Although the

1444
01:08:57,960 --> 01:09:00,679
Speaker 3: running back room is still loaded, the defense has questions

1445
01:09:00,720 --> 01:09:04,040
Speaker 3: in the secondary. For me, losing Brown to Miami hurts.

1446
01:09:04,479 --> 01:09:07,400
Speaker 3: Maybe problematic in the Big Twelve, but I like some

1447
01:09:07,479 --> 01:09:09,600
Speaker 3: of the pieces up front on defense who had a

1448
01:09:09,680 --> 01:09:12,439
Speaker 3: Georgia linebacker two, which definitely helps. As far as the

1449
01:09:12,520 --> 01:09:16,120
Speaker 3: schedule is concerned, they avoid Texas and TCU. They do

1450
01:09:16,240 --> 01:09:19,200
Speaker 3: only have four home games with a really good home

1451
01:09:19,240 --> 01:09:22,200
Speaker 3: field advantage, and they have a vicious road schedule. So

1452
01:09:22,280 --> 01:09:25,599
Speaker 3: when I look at this, when I project UCF, I'm

1453
01:09:25,600 --> 01:09:27,000
Speaker 3: actually right in line. But if you want to look

1454
01:09:27,000 --> 01:09:30,080
Speaker 3: at this from a and if the secondary transfers hit,

1455
01:09:30,120 --> 01:09:33,920
Speaker 3: their d could be pretty good and serviceable, even stepping

1456
01:09:34,000 --> 01:09:35,960
Speaker 3: up in class. And then it just comes down to,

1457
01:09:36,120 --> 01:09:40,360
Speaker 3: like I could plumbly improve his accuracy and passing efficiency.

1458
01:09:40,680 --> 01:09:41,880
Speaker 3: You're not gonna be able to just rely on him

1459
01:09:41,920 --> 01:09:43,559
Speaker 3: running the ball all the time throughout a whole Big

1460
01:09:43,600 --> 01:09:46,000
Speaker 3: Twelve schedule. And then you add in some injury risk

1461
01:09:46,080 --> 01:09:49,439
Speaker 3: as well. And by the way, Keene is on as

1462
01:09:49,479 --> 01:09:52,479
Speaker 3: his backup. But if you look at this from just

1463
01:09:52,600 --> 01:09:58,080
Speaker 3: a schedule perspective, here's their home schedule, really good home

1464
01:09:58,120 --> 01:10:02,439
Speaker 3: field advantages. We all know Ken State at home, Villanova, Baylor,

1465
01:10:02,840 --> 01:10:06,719
Speaker 3: West Virginia, Oak State, and Houston like really good shot

1466
01:10:06,800 --> 01:10:10,240
Speaker 3: to go six and oh there, so over seven? Can

1467
01:10:10,280 --> 01:10:13,000
Speaker 3: they steal two on the road at Boise State Week

1468
01:10:13,080 --> 01:10:16,280
Speaker 3: two and certainly candidate and not an easy game at

1469
01:10:16,439 --> 01:10:22,360
Speaker 3: Kansas State, at Kansas at Oklahoma, at Sincy, at Texas Tech.

1470
01:10:22,680 --> 01:10:24,960
Speaker 3: So there's a couple winnable games in there. I think

1471
01:10:24,960 --> 01:10:27,360
Speaker 3: it's going to come down to can plumbly take that

1472
01:10:27,560 --> 01:10:30,720
Speaker 3: next step? Can the secondary come together? What do you

1473
01:10:30,760 --> 01:10:32,000
Speaker 3: see here with UCF?

1474
01:10:32,439 --> 01:10:35,439
Speaker 1: Well, I think the first statement I'll make bold prediction

1475
01:10:35,920 --> 01:10:38,080
Speaker 1: it won't be this year, but within the next three

1476
01:10:38,120 --> 01:10:41,519
Speaker 1: years UCF will win the Big Twelve. This edition of

1477
01:10:41,560 --> 01:10:44,760
Speaker 1: the Big Twelve is monstrous for this program. They have

1478
01:10:45,000 --> 01:10:50,280
Speaker 1: extremely loose requirements when it comes to admissions, at least

1479
01:10:50,360 --> 01:10:52,760
Speaker 1: looser than Florida and Florida State, which is saying something

1480
01:10:52,760 --> 01:10:55,080
Speaker 1: about Florida State. The money that they're about to get

1481
01:10:55,120 --> 01:10:57,240
Speaker 1: into everything is going to be a step up and

1482
01:10:57,280 --> 01:10:58,160
Speaker 1: being in the state of Florida.

1483
01:10:58,560 --> 01:10:59,800
Speaker 2: UCF is a team.

1484
01:11:00,240 --> 01:11:02,240
Speaker 1: It's not gonna be this year, but once Texas and

1485
01:11:02,280 --> 01:11:04,160
Speaker 1: know You leave and they get more money and their

1486
01:11:04,160 --> 01:11:07,879
Speaker 1: recruiting portal, everything, this is going to be the powerhouse

1487
01:11:07,920 --> 01:11:10,400
Speaker 1: in this conference, but not this year. This year is

1488
01:11:10,400 --> 01:11:12,240
Speaker 1: gonna be a little bit tougher. I mean, the offensive line,

1489
01:11:12,280 --> 01:11:14,360
Speaker 1: the running back unit are all in rebuilds. You mentioned

1490
01:11:14,400 --> 01:11:16,640
Speaker 1: plumb Lee. Plumbley's had one hundred and eight rushes. He

1491
01:11:16,640 --> 01:11:19,439
Speaker 1: had one hundred eight rushes last year and eleven fumbles. Now,

1492
01:11:20,560 --> 01:11:22,680
Speaker 1: I don't know how you get him to get that in.

1493
01:11:22,840 --> 01:11:25,559
Speaker 1: I mean some quarterbacks were able to control their fumbles,

1494
01:11:25,640 --> 01:11:28,880
Speaker 1: like Adrian Martinez. At some point, will Plumbly be able

1495
01:11:28,920 --> 01:11:29,400
Speaker 1: to do the same.

1496
01:11:29,880 --> 01:11:32,240
Speaker 2: Still kind of questionable. They do have five big twelve

1497
01:11:32,360 --> 01:11:34,519
Speaker 2: road games in the conference. They do have a road

1498
01:11:34,520 --> 01:11:35,120
Speaker 2: game at Boise.

1499
01:11:35,320 --> 01:11:38,000
Speaker 1: So as much as they have all this positive energy

1500
01:11:38,000 --> 01:11:40,160
Speaker 1: at the Bounce House with a schedule of teams that

1501
01:11:40,200 --> 01:11:42,720
Speaker 1: they can beat, the road is just as tough. On

1502
01:11:42,800 --> 01:11:45,519
Speaker 1: the defensive side of the ball. Travis Williams leaves, he

1503
01:11:45,600 --> 01:11:48,840
Speaker 1: goes to Arkansas Addison Williams and gets promoted from secondary coach.

1504
01:11:48,920 --> 01:11:52,160
Speaker 1: Now he's a defensive coordinator. No changes whatsoever. They're still

1505
01:11:52,160 --> 01:11:53,880
Speaker 1: going to run a four two, five, three, three, five.

1506
01:11:53,880 --> 01:11:56,960
Speaker 1: They're gonna run a bunch of Cover three and Cover

1507
01:11:57,160 --> 01:11:59,280
Speaker 1: zero and send eight on Blitz. Is still going to

1508
01:11:59,280 --> 01:12:03,960
Speaker 1: be an extremely aggressive UCF defense. Offensive side really is

1509
01:12:03,960 --> 01:12:06,200
Speaker 1: the problem. They only return thirty two percent per tarp.

1510
01:12:06,520 --> 01:12:08,920
Speaker 1: They were eleventh and success rate. But now you know

1511
01:12:09,120 --> 01:12:11,280
Speaker 1: who's the Mikey King behind John reyes plum Lee in

1512
01:12:11,360 --> 01:12:13,479
Speaker 1: case there's a hamstringer, in case there's an ankle, or

1513
01:12:13,520 --> 01:12:15,000
Speaker 1: in case you're on the ground and pound and you

1514
01:12:15,040 --> 01:12:17,360
Speaker 1: don't dive or go out of bounds. So I project

1515
01:12:17,400 --> 01:12:19,880
Speaker 1: them at six point two. I think they sweep at home.

1516
01:12:20,160 --> 01:12:21,960
Speaker 1: You got to get one on the road. I think

1517
01:12:22,000 --> 01:12:23,880
Speaker 1: that's the handicap. I'm not gonna play it, but if

1518
01:12:23,920 --> 01:12:26,600
Speaker 1: you see one on the schedule, like a Cincinnati or

1519
01:12:26,760 --> 01:12:29,559
Speaker 1: Kansas our boise, then they'll go over their win total.

1520
01:12:29,840 --> 01:12:32,479
Speaker 3: Yeah, hopefully they help me out with my under. And

1521
01:12:32,560 --> 01:12:34,320
Speaker 3: since you will lead us two.

1522
01:12:34,920 --> 01:12:39,280
Speaker 2: Three and out two, let's make it a quick three

1523
01:12:39,360 --> 01:12:39,719
Speaker 2: and out.

1524
01:12:41,680 --> 01:12:45,360
Speaker 3: That is the Big twelve betting preview. But of course

1525
01:12:45,479 --> 01:12:52,080
Speaker 3: we have to finish our episode with some actionable items,

1526
01:12:52,720 --> 01:12:55,679
Speaker 3: the first of which on first down is a Week

1527
01:12:55,960 --> 01:12:59,479
Speaker 3: zero or Week one Big twelve related take. I will

1528
01:12:59,600 --> 01:13:03,400
Speaker 3: start with a game already mentioned with Rice, not sure

1529
01:13:03,439 --> 01:13:06,479
Speaker 3: I'll attack it yet, but with JT. Daniels won't be

1530
01:13:06,479 --> 01:13:08,160
Speaker 3: afraid of the stage. I know Rice is going to

1531
01:13:08,240 --> 01:13:10,639
Speaker 3: try to use more tempo this year. I don't necessarily

1532
01:13:10,640 --> 01:13:12,840
Speaker 3: think they'll do it this game. They know they can't

1533
01:13:12,840 --> 01:13:14,800
Speaker 3: win this game. They might try it a little early,

1534
01:13:14,880 --> 01:13:16,840
Speaker 3: but I mean they might try to like late if

1535
01:13:16,880 --> 01:13:18,880
Speaker 3: it's out of hand. But Daniels won't be afraid of

1536
01:13:18,920 --> 01:13:23,400
Speaker 3: the stage. Texas isn't going to show anything here with

1537
01:13:23,560 --> 01:13:26,639
Speaker 3: Alabama in the next week, so it's a pretty good

1538
01:13:26,720 --> 01:13:30,080
Speaker 3: spot to back Rice. More on that in or Week zero.

1539
01:13:30,200 --> 01:13:33,280
Speaker 3: In Week one preview, Colin, you got anything Big twelve

1540
01:13:33,360 --> 01:13:34,760
Speaker 3: or eight for week zero? Week one?

1541
01:13:35,120 --> 01:13:37,880
Speaker 1: Yeah, tc is taken on Colorado in Week one. That's

1542
01:13:37,880 --> 01:13:40,960
Speaker 1: spread as twenty with a total of fifty nine. I

1543
01:13:41,040 --> 01:13:43,880
Speaker 1: expect that total to keep going up. We'll see who's

1544
01:13:43,920 --> 01:13:46,320
Speaker 1: healthy for Colorado. We'll see if you know Prime coach

1545
01:13:46,400 --> 01:13:48,280
Speaker 1: Prime is healthy. But what I do know is that

1546
01:13:48,680 --> 01:13:50,400
Speaker 1: Colorado's gonna be making their way to the Big twelve,

1547
01:13:50,479 --> 01:13:53,439
Speaker 1: and TCU could be their first game next year. TCU,

1548
01:13:53,680 --> 01:13:57,080
Speaker 1: I believe, will have an agenda to absolutely put the

1549
01:13:57,120 --> 01:13:59,880
Speaker 1: hammer down on Colorado as a welcome back.

1550
01:13:59,720 --> 01:14:00,400
Speaker 2: To the league.

1551
01:14:00,720 --> 01:14:02,240
Speaker 1: Even though I think you know TCU was in the

1552
01:14:02,240 --> 01:14:05,160
Speaker 1: Whack or the Mountain West at the time, so to

1553
01:14:06,160 --> 01:14:08,880
Speaker 1: say that, I don't think the defense of Colorado can

1554
01:14:08,960 --> 01:14:13,920
Speaker 1: stop TCU and the spread being twenty I projected at

1555
01:14:13,960 --> 01:14:16,000
Speaker 1: about you know, twenty three twenty four.

1556
01:14:16,160 --> 01:14:18,080
Speaker 2: There's not much wiggle room in there.

1557
01:14:18,360 --> 01:14:20,759
Speaker 1: The team total for TCU should come out at about

1558
01:14:20,800 --> 01:14:22,479
Speaker 1: thirty nine and a half. I don't see it out

1559
01:14:22,520 --> 01:14:25,280
Speaker 1: there yet in the market, but every day I'm checking

1560
01:14:25,320 --> 01:14:28,240
Speaker 1: for team totals, and I will be on TCU team

1561
01:14:28,320 --> 01:14:31,080
Speaker 1: total over thirty nine and a half against Colorado.

1562
01:14:30,680 --> 01:14:31,280
Speaker 2: In the opener.

1563
01:14:31,680 --> 01:14:34,840
Speaker 1: This is a game where Sunny Dyke's and Kendlebrills will

1564
01:14:34,920 --> 01:14:37,599
Speaker 1: run tempo and they will not take their foot off

1565
01:14:37,680 --> 01:14:40,519
Speaker 1: the break, even in the fourth quarter against Dean Sanders.

1566
01:14:41,000 --> 01:14:43,479
Speaker 3: Also, by the way, we hope that Texas doesn't cover

1567
01:14:43,520 --> 01:14:47,280
Speaker 3: against Rice and struggles a bit, not showing anything, so

1568
01:14:48,120 --> 01:14:50,280
Speaker 3: and we do a little extra die week two. Can

1569
01:14:50,360 --> 01:14:55,120
Speaker 3: Salabata all right? Second down favorite under? I'll start under.

1570
01:14:55,439 --> 01:14:58,559
Speaker 3: Since the under five and a half. This team, new coach,

1571
01:14:58,800 --> 01:15:04,200
Speaker 3: new coordinators, new quarterback. They've been gutted on offense, it's

1572
01:15:04,280 --> 01:15:07,000
Speaker 3: a complete rebuild. Their secondary has been gutted for a

1573
01:15:07,040 --> 01:15:09,960
Speaker 3: second straight year. That's not great in this conference. Step

1574
01:15:10,080 --> 01:15:12,640
Speaker 3: up in class with all of this change. Not a

1575
01:15:12,720 --> 01:15:16,439
Speaker 3: sadderfield guy I'm going under five and a half with

1576
01:15:16,520 --> 01:15:19,080
Speaker 3: the Bearcats, even though they did win the Big Twelve

1577
01:15:19,160 --> 01:15:23,240
Speaker 3: schedule lottery, I do not see them getting too eligibility

1578
01:15:23,320 --> 01:15:23,680
Speaker 3: this year.

1579
01:15:23,880 --> 01:15:26,439
Speaker 1: Colum David Under I'm going to Oklahoma under nine and

1580
01:15:26,479 --> 01:15:28,639
Speaker 1: a half. This is a team that is regressing back

1581
01:15:28,720 --> 01:15:31,280
Speaker 1: to mediocrity in the pack, and that's before they go

1582
01:15:31,360 --> 01:15:34,280
Speaker 1: to the SEC. Brent Vinables was pretty active in the

1583
01:15:34,400 --> 01:15:37,320
Speaker 1: transfer portal, but you didn't do anything to upgrade your

1584
01:15:37,400 --> 01:15:40,559
Speaker 1: linebacker positions. Danny Stutsman is still going to be there

1585
01:15:40,760 --> 01:15:42,360
Speaker 1: a lot of mistackles last year.

1586
01:15:43,240 --> 01:15:46,920
Speaker 2: This is not the guy that is to speed what.

1587
01:15:47,080 --> 01:15:51,000
Speaker 1: Venables needs at a linebacker position to call this defense.

1588
01:15:51,080 --> 01:15:53,160
Speaker 1: And when you put that in combination with an offense

1589
01:15:53,200 --> 01:15:55,320
Speaker 1: it's trying to go as fast as possible under Jeff

1590
01:15:55,360 --> 01:15:58,160
Speaker 1: Levy and Dylan Gabriel, it's going to turn into boom

1591
01:15:58,240 --> 01:15:58,599
Speaker 1: or bust.

1592
01:15:58,680 --> 01:16:02,519
Speaker 2: Again. There's a lot of blanks on this schedule. Last year,

1593
01:16:02,640 --> 01:16:04,000
Speaker 2: Texas blew them out TCU.

1594
01:16:04,080 --> 01:16:05,400
Speaker 1: I mean, there are just teams that are going to

1595
01:16:05,479 --> 01:16:07,479
Speaker 1: jump all over them if they are not able to

1596
01:16:07,560 --> 01:16:10,439
Speaker 1: improve their tackling and they're not able to improve against

1597
01:16:10,479 --> 01:16:13,280
Speaker 1: the explosive pass and Oklahoma through the portal and what

1598
01:16:13,360 --> 01:16:15,880
Speaker 1: they brought in is not really shown what they can

1599
01:16:15,920 --> 01:16:18,479
Speaker 1: do in the defensive front seven. So I think Oklahoma

1600
01:16:18,560 --> 01:16:20,920
Speaker 1: is still going to be short on defense. That's going

1601
01:16:21,000 --> 01:16:24,200
Speaker 1: to lead to losses more than just Texas. And if

1602
01:16:24,240 --> 01:16:26,680
Speaker 1: they don't improve their tackling or their fundamentals on that

1603
01:16:26,760 --> 01:16:29,040
Speaker 1: side of the ball under Brent Venables, this could be

1604
01:16:29,120 --> 01:16:31,400
Speaker 1: a six or seven win team and Venables could be

1605
01:16:31,439 --> 01:16:32,880
Speaker 1: in trouble with his job by the time we get

1606
01:16:32,920 --> 01:16:33,439
Speaker 1: to Thanksgiving.

1607
01:16:33,520 --> 01:16:35,400
Speaker 2: So give me under nine and a half on the Sooners.

1608
01:16:36,680 --> 01:16:40,120
Speaker 3: Yeah, not a lot of patients that that fan base

1609
01:16:40,200 --> 01:16:43,080
Speaker 3: will have with another season like last year, and a

1610
01:16:43,120 --> 01:16:45,360
Speaker 3: lot of depth issues across the board which could come

1611
01:16:45,400 --> 01:16:49,000
Speaker 3: back to bite them. And finally, we will go to

1612
01:16:49,400 --> 01:16:53,439
Speaker 3: third down, which is our favorite over or future. Maybe

1613
01:16:53,479 --> 01:16:56,240
Speaker 3: you'll add to this, but I'm gonna say I like

1614
01:16:56,280 --> 01:16:58,760
Speaker 3: Texas to win the Big twelve at even money or better.

1615
01:17:00,040 --> 01:17:03,599
Speaker 3: The rosters there, they have the depth. I finally trust

1616
01:17:03,640 --> 01:17:07,920
Speaker 3: the defense, the offensive line, and I'm just lower than

1617
01:17:07,960 --> 01:17:11,520
Speaker 3: the market on some of the other top teams, including Oklahoma,

1618
01:17:11,760 --> 01:17:15,800
Speaker 3: which gives Texas an even bigger bump. But maybe you'll

1619
01:17:15,880 --> 01:17:18,040
Speaker 3: mention that the win total over that I want to

1620
01:17:18,120 --> 01:17:20,519
Speaker 3: mention is Kansas over five and a half now that

1621
01:17:20,720 --> 01:17:22,840
Speaker 3: this has come down from six and a half. I

1622
01:17:23,000 --> 01:17:27,439
Speaker 3: tru trust this staff and this electric, well schemed offense

1623
01:17:27,960 --> 01:17:31,080
Speaker 3: to get to Bowl eligibility. Give me Kansas to get

1624
01:17:31,080 --> 01:17:34,600
Speaker 3: to at least six wins this year. Comedy God is

1625
01:17:34,640 --> 01:17:37,000
Speaker 3: a future or over in the Big Twelve.

1626
01:17:37,320 --> 01:17:39,720
Speaker 1: From a future perspective, We're going to Texas. I think

1627
01:17:39,800 --> 01:17:42,439
Speaker 1: your stop on the buy is a minus one twenty.

1628
01:17:42,520 --> 01:17:45,240
Speaker 1: Y're essentially using this as a money line wager in

1629
01:17:45,280 --> 01:17:47,559
Speaker 1: the Big Twelve championship game in Arlington, So you don't

1630
01:17:47,560 --> 01:17:49,560
Speaker 1: want it to get too far on the juice in

1631
01:17:49,640 --> 01:17:51,320
Speaker 1: case you need to come back and hedge what could

1632
01:17:51,360 --> 01:17:53,360
Speaker 1: be a large position depending on how much you want

1633
01:17:53,400 --> 01:17:56,160
Speaker 1: to bet. I am very well invested on Texas, and

1634
01:17:56,280 --> 01:17:58,080
Speaker 1: that is the plan that I'm going to have. They

1635
01:17:58,160 --> 01:18:00,800
Speaker 1: have the best unit. Doesn't matter if it's corn running back,

1636
01:18:00,880 --> 01:18:02,600
Speaker 1: offensive line, or you go to the defensive side of

1637
01:18:02,640 --> 01:18:05,080
Speaker 1: the ball. They have the best unit, the best grouping

1638
01:18:05,160 --> 01:18:06,759
Speaker 1: of any team in the Big Twelve.

1639
01:18:07,160 --> 01:18:07,639
Speaker 2: Their code.

1640
01:18:07,640 --> 01:18:09,920
Speaker 1: They have coach stability. They've proved it in the five

1641
01:18:10,040 --> 01:18:12,479
Speaker 1: factor stack court categories. On both sides of the ball.

1642
01:18:12,520 --> 01:18:14,560
Speaker 1: They can be top twenty five. They are in a

1643
01:18:14,680 --> 01:18:17,639
Speaker 1: tier by themselves, and Texas is the future to play.

1644
01:18:17,720 --> 01:18:19,680
Speaker 1: But from a win total, I'm gonna go to the

1645
01:18:19,720 --> 01:18:22,439
Speaker 1: bottom of the conference. I'm gonna say Western Virginia over

1646
01:18:22,560 --> 01:18:24,960
Speaker 1: four and a half. If you want to wait, I

1647
01:18:25,040 --> 01:18:28,519
Speaker 1: think the hate and the negativity is still coming. And

1648
01:18:28,600 --> 01:18:30,400
Speaker 1: if you want to wait till August twentieth to buy

1649
01:18:30,439 --> 01:18:32,680
Speaker 1: a future on them, I would suggest that because at four,

1650
01:18:32,720 --> 01:18:34,040
Speaker 1: if I see a four, I'm gonna.

1651
01:18:33,840 --> 01:18:34,360
Speaker 2: Buy it again.

1652
01:18:34,560 --> 01:18:36,960
Speaker 1: And the reason is because they have found an identity

1653
01:18:36,960 --> 01:18:38,840
Speaker 1: at the end of last year with Garrett Green at

1654
01:18:38,840 --> 01:18:41,960
Speaker 1: a quarterback who can run rpo, he can take it

1655
01:18:42,040 --> 01:18:43,280
Speaker 1: on the ground, he can tuck it, and he can

1656
01:18:43,320 --> 01:18:45,880
Speaker 1: bowl people over. If you look at November last year,

1657
01:18:46,120 --> 01:18:49,559
Speaker 1: West Virginia upset both Oklahoma and Oklahoma State as more

1658
01:18:49,600 --> 01:18:52,559
Speaker 1: than a touchdown underdog because those defenses in the front

1659
01:18:52,560 --> 01:18:55,320
Speaker 1: seven couldn't handle what West Virginia wants to do. Neil

1660
01:18:55,360 --> 01:18:58,479
Speaker 1: Brown is overtaking play calling again, backed by an OC

1661
01:18:58,640 --> 01:19:01,240
Speaker 1: that's this running back coach. Trust me, they're going ground,

1662
01:19:01,360 --> 01:19:04,080
Speaker 1: they're gonna limit possessions, and they're gonna pound on defenses

1663
01:19:04,120 --> 01:19:06,280
Speaker 1: it can't handle the run and there's plenty of them

1664
01:19:06,320 --> 01:19:08,599
Speaker 1: on this big twelve schedule, So I'm gonna take West

1665
01:19:08,640 --> 01:19:10,040
Speaker 1: Virginia over four and a half.

1666
01:19:10,560 --> 01:19:15,040
Speaker 3: Back to your boy and Neil Brown Nation the Ears.

1667
01:19:16,000 --> 01:19:19,160
Speaker 3: Shout out to all of my peeps in Morgantown, the

1668
01:19:19,320 --> 01:19:20,479
Speaker 3: country Roads that'll do.

1669
01:19:20,479 --> 01:19:21,280
Speaker 2: It for us.

1670
01:19:22,400 --> 01:19:24,280
Speaker 3: Thanks as always to Calm for joining me. Thanks to

1671
01:19:24,320 --> 01:19:26,519
Speaker 3: our audio and video teams on the back end. Thanks,

1672
01:19:26,600 --> 01:19:28,920
Speaker 3: of course, most importantly to all of you. You haven't

1673
01:19:28,920 --> 01:19:30,599
Speaker 3: listened to some of the preview episodes that already been out,

1674
01:19:30,600 --> 01:19:33,080
Speaker 3: make sure you check those out. Subscribe on subscribe, subscribe

1675
01:19:33,080 --> 01:19:35,439
Speaker 3: to leave a review, Tell a friend, telling enemy, you

1676
01:19:35,520 --> 01:19:38,759
Speaker 3: know the drill. It's great to be back all sweating

1677
01:19:38,960 --> 01:19:41,840
Speaker 3: college football soon enough. Thanks for joining us, Good luck

1678
01:19:41,840 --> 01:19:44,360
Speaker 3: on all of your future bets, and hope you took

1679
01:19:44,439 --> 01:19:46,840
Speaker 3: a couple good nuggets away from this episode and we

1680
01:19:46,960 --> 01:19:50,720
Speaker 3: will see you with more for reviews, short with cheers.

1681
01:19:50,880 --> 01:20:08,000
Speaker 2: Peace out. Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly. If

1682
01:20:08,080 --> 01:20:10,599
Speaker 2: you or someone you care about has a gambling problem,

1683
01:20:10,960 --> 01:20:13,559
Speaker 2: help is available twenty four to seven at one eight

1684
01:20:13,640 --> 01:20:14,400
Speaker 2: hundred Gambler