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Speaker 1: What's up, guys?

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Speaker 2: How are you welcome into a Thursday morning episode of

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Speaker 2: the Daily Juice podcast. My name is Matt Peralt. You

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Speaker 2: guys can follow me across all socials at Sports Talk

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Speaker 2: met and this podcast being brought to you by Omaha

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Speaker 2: Steaks dot com. Okay, sweep three and oh. Three units up,

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Speaker 2: always like that when baseball comes in. It's not typical,

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Speaker 2: but we'll take it. We go with three and oh

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Speaker 2: and we head towards a Thursday in the first NFL

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Speaker 2: football kind of game of the season. This is the

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Speaker 2: Hall of Fame game tonight with the Jets and the Browns. Yes,

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Speaker 2: I have a play on it, but I actually have

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Speaker 2: three different ways you can bet this game.

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Speaker 1: So I'm gonna give you multiple options.

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Speaker 2: I'll tell you what I'm gonna bet officially, but I

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Speaker 2: got a couple of different ways. If you're not in

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Speaker 2: love with the play that you could actually potentially have

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Speaker 2: a no sweat bet potentially maybe give you that here

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Speaker 2: in just one second plus two baseball plays, well one baseball.

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Speaker 1: Play in one play.

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Speaker 2: Whenever the books get off their butt and put a

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Speaker 2: lineup for the play that I want to make and

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Speaker 2: probably guess what it's going to be, we'll do that.

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Speaker 2: Check out Fanimal and experience more. Okay, Hall of Fame

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Speaker 2: game lines one and a half for the New York Jets.

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Speaker 2: More on that line here in just one second. But

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Speaker 2: let's talk history for a second. Okay, Now, should you

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Speaker 2: bet the over? Should you bet the under? Should you

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Speaker 2: bet a prop? Here is one way to bet this.

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Speaker 2: This is available at at FanDuel. Fandel is giving you

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Speaker 2: the opportunity to bet the margin of victory between one

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Speaker 2: point and thirteen points on the Jets at plus one

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Speaker 2: fifty or one point to thirteen points on the Browns

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Speaker 2: plus one point eighty.

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Speaker 1: Both those sides are plus bets.

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Speaker 2: You might go well, Matt, if I bet one unit

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Speaker 2: on both those sides, don't I sort of guarantee myself

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Speaker 2: a profit. Well, you could either win a half a

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Speaker 2: unit or you could win point eight. Yes, that's actually possible.

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Speaker 2: You could actually turn yourself into it. But Matt, what

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Speaker 2: if the game falls over fourteen points, over thirteen points,

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Speaker 2: fourteen or more? Well, let's look at the last ten games.

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Speaker 2: Last ten times the Hall of Fame game has been played.

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Speaker 2: Now copule of times COVID knocked it out, A bad

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Speaker 2: field knocked it out. So last ten times this game

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Speaker 2: has been played, here are your margin of victories. Dating

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Speaker 2: from the earliest last year to the to the least

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Speaker 2: recent margin of victory has been sixteen thirteen four one,

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Speaker 2: two eleven four four seven nine. How many times did

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Speaker 2: that fall thirteen or less? Well, that would be eight

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Speaker 2: zho to one. Only one time in the last ten

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Speaker 2: have we seen, and it was last year that the

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Speaker 2: margin of victory was above thirteen points. Not a bad

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Speaker 2: bet if you're looking for something. Now, if it's a blowout,

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Speaker 2: you lose two units, okay, But history tells you this

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Speaker 2: is a game that's low scoring and a game that's

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Speaker 2: tightly played. If it falls under history, bang you go.

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Speaker 2: Ahead and you'd cash that plus one fifty. You lay

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Speaker 2: a unit down on the plus one eighty, you win

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Speaker 2: a half a unit or vice versa. Right, could be

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Speaker 2: a no sweat. This is a bet and forget it

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Speaker 2: thing right, don't watch this game of the fourth quarter,

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Speaker 2: Just bet it and go do something else.

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Speaker 1: Now.

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Speaker 2: The other way of doing this is by betting a

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Speaker 2: same game teaser six point teaser. Now at books in Vegas,

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Speaker 2: it's MIAs one thirty to do this. Other books aren't

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Speaker 2: even letting you do this. But if your book lets

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Speaker 2: you do this, what do you do with the thirty

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Speaker 2: three and a half. Do you bet tease it up

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Speaker 2: to thirty nine and a half and bet under, or

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Speaker 2: do you bet pull it down to twenty seven and

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Speaker 2: a half and bet it over. Okay, let's look at

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Speaker 2: the total points being scored again. Dating back from the

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Speaker 2: earliest last year to the ten times ago, game totals

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Speaker 2: have been thirty eight, nineteen, twenty four, thirty three, thirty eight, seventeen,

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Speaker 2: thirty forty four, twenty seven and twenty three.

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Speaker 1: Tease it up to thirty nine and a half.

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Speaker 2: Only one game nine and one to the under thirty

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Speaker 2: nine and a half. The only game they went over,

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Speaker 2: there was a forty four in there seven games ago.

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Speaker 2: Other than that, it's been thirty eight, nineteen, twenty four,

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Speaker 2: thirty three, thirty eight right up against it.

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Speaker 1: But you could bet you could tease it up.

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Speaker 2: Take the Browns plus seven and a half or eight,

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Speaker 2: because if it's eight, it would fall six and four.

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Speaker 2: Heay six times at the last ten the margin has

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Speaker 2: been fewer than eight points, so it's still on the

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Speaker 2: majority side. Tease it up to plus seven and a

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Speaker 2: half plus eight. Some books are at two right now

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Speaker 2: for the Jets. Tease it to eight, take the total,

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Speaker 2: go up to thirty nine and a half and take

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Speaker 2: the under. If you're feeling wary about that, you can

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Speaker 2: go the other way and tease it to twenty seven

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Speaker 2: and a half. The problem with that, there have only

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Speaker 2: been if you go down from thirty three and a

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Speaker 2: half up to twenty seven and a half, that would

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Speaker 2: be one, two, three, four four times in the last ten.

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Speaker 2: Oh wait, one two three, yeah, four times in the

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Speaker 2: last ten. One game fell twenty seven where it went

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Speaker 2: over twenty seven and a half points, so you'd be

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Speaker 2: kind of fighting it just a little bit on that.

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Speaker 2: But if you want a same game, tease it. I

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Speaker 2: would say up to plus eight, down up to thirty

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Speaker 2: nine and a half and take the under, just how

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Speaker 2: I would recommend doing it.

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Speaker 1: Now, how am I betting this?

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Speaker 2: Found this stat online which I found to be pretty telling.

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Speaker 2: Did you know that Robert Sala is six and oh

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Speaker 2: straight up in five and one ats in preseason games

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Speaker 2: since taking over this year? The New York Jets have

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Speaker 2: a ton of attention and a ton of scrutiny on

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Speaker 2: them with Aaron Rodgers, who won't play tonight. Nobody of

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Speaker 2: note we'll play tonight. But certain coaches care about preseason.

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Speaker 2: We know this from John Harbaugh, right, we know from

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Speaker 2: the Ravens certain coaches care about preseason. Robert Sala apparently

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Speaker 2: cares about preseason. I'm gonna lay the one and a

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Speaker 2: half points and not worry about pace of play. I'm

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Speaker 2: gonna take the Jets minus one and a half for

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Speaker 2: one point one units and just bet it and forget it.

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Speaker 1: Will I watch in the fourth quarter? No, I will

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Speaker 1: not do.

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Speaker 2: I think the scrubs for the Jets might be able

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Speaker 2: to beat the scrubs from the Browns.

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Speaker 1: Maybe am I in love with a bet?

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Speaker 2: Not really, but I can't recommend I will tease this

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Speaker 2: as well. I just can't recommend a same game teaser

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Speaker 2: for my first bet of the NFL season. That's a

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Speaker 2: bad precedent. If I miss it, it's it's a bad precedent.

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Speaker 2: Rather just miss it. On a side, I'm taking the Jets.

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Speaker 2: I hate the Jets. I'm taking the Jets minus one

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Speaker 2: and a half, one point one units down, Jets to

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Speaker 2: win the Hall of Fame game tonight in Canton, Ohio.

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Speaker 2: All right, baseball we go. Let's talk about show Heyo

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Speaker 2: tom So. Show Hay was getting hit around pretty good,

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Speaker 2: getting smacked around. In three starts prior to his last start,

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Speaker 2: shoe Hey gave up five earned, four earned, five earned. Now,

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Speaker 2: what was going on from July fourth to July twenty first,

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Speaker 2: A whole lot of scrutiny and a whole lot of

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Speaker 2: chatter about whether whether or not Shoheyo Tani was going

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Speaker 2: to be traded. He was constantly being asked, he was

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Speaker 2: constantly being hounded, hounded, do you want to play here?

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Speaker 2: Are you going to stay here?

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Speaker 1: Do you want to leave?

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Speaker 2: As soon as the team said we're not trading show Hey,

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Speaker 2: We're gonna go for it.

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Speaker 1: You know what he did.

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Speaker 2: He went out and through nine innings of one hit baseball,

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Speaker 2: no earned runs, three walks against the Tigers. He was unhittable,

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Speaker 2: absolutely dynamic. That's the version of Shoho Tani I expect

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Speaker 2: to see tonight today against the Mariners. I think you're

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Speaker 2: gonna see epic and epic sheen hitting run out of

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Speaker 2: show hey Otani.

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Speaker 1: I think he's going to be absolutely stellar today.

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Speaker 2: First five run line is minus one ten now at

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Speaker 2: home show hayes three as a three point one five ERA,

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Speaker 2: He's five and three overall with the opposing batting average

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Speaker 2: of one seventy nine, even with that little hiccup those

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Speaker 2: three games where he wasn't good to start the month

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Speaker 2: of July. Brian Wu is going for the Seattle Mariners.

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Speaker 2: Brian Wu on the road has a four point three

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Speaker 2: to four ERA, a one to one record, two thirty

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Speaker 2: four opposing batting average, and Brian Wo's last start on

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Speaker 2: the road five innings, three earned runs given up. Time

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Speaker 2: before that on the road six innings, just two runs

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Speaker 2: given up and then two runs as well against the Giants.

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Speaker 2: This could be a one nothing lead for the Angels

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Speaker 2: after five, but I think Otani is going to be

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Speaker 2: awesome against the Mariners today. I'm gonna go first five.

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Speaker 1: Run line.

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Speaker 2: Angels need to score. They didn't score months yesterday unfortunately.

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Speaker 2: I mean the Braves went over in the first five

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Speaker 2: for US easily. Angels lost the game twelve five. Angels

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Speaker 2: have been leaking oil big time. They gotta win the show. Hey, games,

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Speaker 2: they got to get out to a good start. Otani

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Speaker 2: run line first five minus one ten, one point one

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Speaker 2: units down on that. They have to be leading after five. Okay,

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Speaker 2: I don't mind the under either. You want to bet

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Speaker 2: the under in that game, it's four and a half

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Speaker 2: juice to minds one thirty. I don't mind bet the

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Speaker 2: under there, But I just really think the Angels are

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Speaker 2: going to score a couple of runs, and I don't

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Speaker 2: think sal scores anything here. I think it's easier just

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Speaker 2: to bet the run line and maybe gets into a

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Speaker 2: four to three three two first five, and we would

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Speaker 2: lose that under bet.

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Speaker 1: Rather just bet the side here.

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Speaker 2: Run line Angels to be winning after five, one point

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Speaker 2: one units down on that. And then finally there is

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Speaker 2: no bet available at the moment for the Cubs and

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Speaker 2: the Reds. Same bet from yesterday. Why Luke Weaver going

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Speaker 2: for the Cincinnati Reds. Luke Weaver has a road ERA

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Speaker 2: of five point seven to six. Luke Weaver has been

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Speaker 2: hit quite aggressively this season. He's worse at home but

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Speaker 2: on the road five point seven to six, one and

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Speaker 2: three record opposing batting average of three hundred. Okay, it's

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Speaker 2: not being a good run for Luke Weaver on the road.

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Speaker 2: Last time out, though he's pretty good against the Dodgers

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Speaker 2: six innings, one earned run. Before that, you give up

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Speaker 2: five earned runs against Milwaukee, two earned runs in five

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Speaker 2: innings against Washington four earned runs, and four and a

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Speaker 2: third against the Baltimore Orioles. He's going to be facing

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Speaker 2: today a pitcher in Jamisonallyon who at home at Wrigley

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Speaker 2: Field has not been good six point four to three

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Speaker 2: ERA two and four record opposing batting average of three

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Speaker 2: seventeen at Wrigley with thirty five earned runs given up

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Speaker 2: in forty nine innings worth of work. Talians last started

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Speaker 2: at home was pretty good though, five and two thirds

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Speaker 2: with one earned run given up before that five and

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Speaker 2: two thirds three earned given up to the Washington Nationals,

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Speaker 2: and then gave up four earned six runs total in

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Speaker 2: five innings against Cleveland and five earned in five innings

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Speaker 2: against the Philadelphia Phillies, four earn runs and five and

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Speaker 2: a third against the Baltimore Orioles. So not great for

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Speaker 2: tally on at Wrigley Field in July, though is era

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Speaker 2: is two point sixty seven. Hasn't been horrible. He's actually

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Speaker 2: three and oh in that. But I will bet the

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Speaker 2: over game total is ten. My guess is it's gonna

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Speaker 2: be five and a half for the Reds in the Cubs.

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Speaker 2: Same bet as yesterday. See what the price is going

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Speaker 2: to be on that, but I'll tell you about it

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Speaker 2: in the Discord channel bettingpros dot com slash chat by

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Speaker 2: like the first five over again for the Reds and

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Speaker 2: the Cubs at Wrigley. Let's see what the books put

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Speaker 2: it at. Maybe they're gonna be jerks and put it

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Speaker 2: at six, but hopefully it's five.

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Speaker 1: It's five.

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Speaker 2: Bet the over. If it's five and a half, still

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Speaker 2: bet the over. If at six, I may pump the

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Speaker 2: brakes a little bit on that, but I think five

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Speaker 2: and a half or five with what the number will

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Speaker 2: be for the Reds and the Cubs. First five over Okay,

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Speaker 2: So Officially I gave you a bunch of different ways

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Speaker 2: to bet the Hall of Fame game, but officially Jets

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Speaker 2: minus one and a half for one point one units.

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Speaker 2: Tonight in the NFL game for the Hall of Fame Game,

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Speaker 2: we're going first five run line for the Angels up

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Speaker 2: against the Mariners with Otani minus won ten on. That

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Speaker 2: should be leading after five, and then the first five

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Speaker 2: over Cubs in the Reds. Whatever the number is going

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Speaker 2: to be, whatever the price is going to be, I'll

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Speaker 2: tell you about it in the Discord channel Bettingpros dot

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Speaker 2: Com slash chats to join our Discord channel. Good day, Yesterday,

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Speaker 2: good week going, Let's keep it going here on a

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Speaker 2: Thursday minus Matt Paroltz to follow me on Twitter and

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Speaker 2: all socials at Sports Talk Matt. This podcast being brought

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Speaker 2: to you the Daily Juice always by Omaha Stakes dot

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Speaker 2: Com