WEBVTT - BI Weekend: FCC Policy, Citi Bonuses, US Earnings 

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news. This is Bloomberg Intelligence

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<v Speaker 1>with Alex Steina and Paul'sweenye.

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<v Speaker 2>The real app performance has been the US corporate high yield.

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<v Speaker 3>Are the companies lean enough? Have they trimmed all the fats?

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<v Speaker 2>The semiconductor business is a really cyclical business.

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<v Speaker 1>Breaking market headlines and corporate news from across the globe.

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<v Speaker 3>Do investors like the M and A that we've seen?

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<v Speaker 2>These are two big time blue chip companies.

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<v Speaker 3>The window between the peak and cut changing super fast.

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Intelligence with Alex Steinhall and Paul's Wheenye on Bloomberg Radio.

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<v Speaker 2>On Today's Bloomberg Intelligence Show, we dig inside the big

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<v Speaker 2>business stories impacting Wall Street and the global markets.

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<v Speaker 3>Each and every week we provide in depth research and

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<v Speaker 3>data on some of the two thousand companies and one

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<v Speaker 3>hundred and thirty industries our analysts cover worldwide.

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<v Speaker 2>Today, we'll look at how City Group is trying to

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<v Speaker 2>prevent a departure of wealth.

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<v Speaker 3>Bankers well as well look at why the tailor Best

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<v Speaker 3>Buy is warning of uneven demand for its electronics and appliances.

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<v Speaker 2>But first we begin with the tech media telecom space.

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<v Speaker 3>Recently, president like Donald Trump shows Brendan Carr as the

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<v Speaker 3>new chair of the Federal Communications Commission.

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<v Speaker 2>As Chair, cars priorities include raining in big tech, ensuring

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<v Speaker 2>broadcasters operate in the public interest, and unleashing economic growth.

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<v Speaker 3>For more and what to expect, we were joined by

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<v Speaker 3>Matthew Shettenhelm, Bloomberg Intelligence media litigation analyst.

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<v Speaker 2>We first asked Matthew about the scrutiny a big tech

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<v Speaker 2>will face under the new Trump administration.

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<v Speaker 4>I think in one sense, I think you'll see Congress

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<v Speaker 4>a little less aggressive, it moving forward with data privacy

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<v Speaker 4>type legislation that Democrats tended to promote. But where you're

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<v Speaker 4>going to see the risk and where I think I'm

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<v Speaker 4>prenominantly focused right off the bat is on big tech's

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<v Speaker 4>liability shield. This is a provision of law that's been

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<v Speaker 4>in place since nineteen ninety six that keeps Google and

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<v Speaker 4>Meta and other social media companies from being sued every

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<v Speaker 4>time someone posts something harmful on social media. What you're

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<v Speaker 4>seeing from the conservative side is increasing attacks on that,

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<v Speaker 4>and I think you could see a proceeding at the

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<v Speaker 4>FCC try to really focus and amplify those calls to

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<v Speaker 4>cut into the liability shield that's been so important for

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<v Speaker 4>those companies.

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<v Speaker 3>Does the FCD, FCC can they change it or can

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<v Speaker 3>they just sort of mold it on the sidelines.

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<v Speaker 5>Yeah, that's that's a great question.

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<v Speaker 4>The interesting thing is is this liability shield is tucked

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<v Speaker 4>into the Communications Act that the FCC administers. So during

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<v Speaker 4>the first Trump administration, the FCC took the position, hey,

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<v Speaker 4>we can make rules under this because it's it's.

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<v Speaker 5>In our law.

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<v Speaker 4>We can implement it, but they never got around to

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<v Speaker 4>doing it. I think the Trump administration this time is

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<v Speaker 4>going to try to move ahead with that and say, look,

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<v Speaker 4>we implement the Communications Act, the liability shield is tucked

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<v Speaker 4>in there.

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<v Speaker 5>We can make rules.

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<v Speaker 4>What's changed since then is that the Chevron doctrine has

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<v Speaker 4>been struck down, the Major Questions doctrine has arisen.

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<v Speaker 5>There's a real doubt.

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<v Speaker 4>I'm very skeptical that the FCC can bind the courts

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<v Speaker 4>in how to apply this liability shield. But in some

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<v Speaker 4>ways that's not the point. The point is sort of

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<v Speaker 4>to amplify the idea that courts or that Congress should

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<v Speaker 4>change the shield. And I think that's what you're going

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<v Speaker 4>to see a Brendan car Let FCC do is say, look,

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<v Speaker 4>even if we can't change the liability shield as an agency.

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<v Speaker 4>We're going to tell you how to do that and

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<v Speaker 4>amplify the momentum for Congress or the Supreme Court potentially

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<v Speaker 4>to do it itself.

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<v Speaker 2>So what do we know about the apparent FCC chair,

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<v Speaker 2>Brendan Carr, and what should we expect from a Republican

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<v Speaker 2>controlled FCC. What do we know about that, mister Carr.

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<v Speaker 4>Yeah, so Brendan Carr is the most senior Republican at

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<v Speaker 4>the FCC who knows communications law inside and out. But

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<v Speaker 4>he also knows how to play the politics around the

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<v Speaker 4>FCC better than anyone else there. And so he's going

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<v Speaker 4>to do his best to make sure that he's implementing

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<v Speaker 4>President Trump's agenda. And so while Brendan Carr is a

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<v Speaker 4>traditional sort of free market Republican, he's also very sympathetic

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<v Speaker 4>to the idea that there's sort of a bias against

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<v Speaker 4>conservatives among elite media, and he's very sympathetic to supporting

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<v Speaker 4>President Trump on that message. And so that's why you

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<v Speaker 4>see proceedings like this going after big tech companies, potentially

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<v Speaker 4>going after broadcasters and threatening to take away their licenses.

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<v Speaker 4>So there's going to be a little bit of this

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<v Speaker 4>sort of Okay, let's deregulate the democrats of regulator too much.

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<v Speaker 4>But there's also this concern about bias against conservatives and

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<v Speaker 4>that it's gone too much in that direction, and Brendan

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<v Speaker 4>Carr is going to support both.

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<v Speaker 3>So if I take a look at the actual equities

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<v Speaker 3>that are involved, what does it mean for them? If

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<v Speaker 3>I'm an investor and I'm looking at this, how do

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<v Speaker 3>I price it, how do I model it? How do

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<v Speaker 3>I think about it?

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<v Speaker 5>To me?

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<v Speaker 4>The I mean the biggest risk is you think about

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<v Speaker 4>the liability shield falling away if it goes you know,

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<v Speaker 4>in the most extreme approach, you're you're you're thinking about

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<v Speaker 4>the big social media companies. You're thinking about Meta, you're

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<v Speaker 4>thinking about alphabet, and you're thinking about creating a whole

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<v Speaker 4>new field of litigation with those companies as the targets.

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<v Speaker 4>And so you've seen a couple big settlements from those companies.

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<v Speaker 4>With the liability shield in place, you can think about

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<v Speaker 4>that being amplified many times over with class actions and

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<v Speaker 4>other suits.

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<v Speaker 5>Anytime content that's.

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<v Speaker 4>Posted on the social on social media causes harm in

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<v Speaker 4>the real world, you can think of limitless examples of

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<v Speaker 4>the harm it causes anytime that that there's harm, you

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<v Speaker 4>potentially have a lawsuit. And so I think it sort

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<v Speaker 4>of changes the equation in terms of the cost those

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<v Speaker 4>companies could fail in terms of potential liability if if

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<v Speaker 4>the liability shield were wiped away?

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<v Speaker 2>Will there be looser ownership riggish regulations on media? David

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<v Speaker 2>Zasov from Warner Brothers Discoveries asking.

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<v Speaker 5>Yeah, so, I absolutely So.

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<v Speaker 4>The Republicans at the FCC have historically been, you know,

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<v Speaker 4>they're tired of this idea of media ownership of broadcasters

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<v Speaker 4>that they said, look, there's so much new competition for broadcasters.

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<v Speaker 4>The problem is that there's first this political angle from

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<v Speaker 4>President Trump saying, look they edited my sixty minutes interview wrong,

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<v Speaker 4>And so Brendan Carr at first is kind of latching

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<v Speaker 4>onto that political arguments. Let's go after that first. So

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<v Speaker 4>I think media ownership sort of lurking in the background.

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<v Speaker 4>I think they'll get there after this political noise sort

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<v Speaker 4>of dies down.

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<v Speaker 5>Right.

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<v Speaker 3>Thanks to Matthew Shettenhelm, Bloomberg Intelligence media litigation analyst.

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<v Speaker 2>This week, we focused on a Bloomberg Big Take story

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<v Speaker 2>entitled Amazon prepares to go toe to toe with Nvidia

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<v Speaker 2>in AI hardware.

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<v Speaker 3>You can find it on Bloomberg dot Com and the Terminal,

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<v Speaker 3>and the story looks at how amaz On is loosening

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<v Speaker 3>and Video's grip on the one hundred million dollar plus

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<v Speaker 3>market for AI chips.

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<v Speaker 2>For more on this story, we are joined by Matt Day,

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<v Speaker 2>Bloomberg Technology reporter.

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<v Speaker 3>We first asked Matt for more context on the journey

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<v Speaker 3>that Amazon has gone on when it comes to innovation

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<v Speaker 3>and chips.

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<v Speaker 6>So Amazon gets a lot of credit for inventing the

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<v Speaker 6>cloud computing market and basically rented computing power, data storage

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<v Speaker 6>all over the Internet. What they don't get so much

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<v Speaker 6>credit for is building a lot of the hardware behind it.

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<v Speaker 6>So you go back fifteen years and they started building

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<v Speaker 6>their own servers, their own networking switches. Eventually they got

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<v Speaker 6>onto to silicon to chips themselves. That's where they find

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<v Speaker 6>themselves today is you know, they didn't set out to

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<v Speaker 6>necessarily try to upset in video, but because they've been

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<v Speaker 6>working on machine learning chips for the past you know,

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<v Speaker 6>call it five six years, they have a chip they

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<v Speaker 6>think is arriving at the right time.

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<v Speaker 2>Talk to us about what Amazon's folks in Austin, Texas

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<v Speaker 2>are doing what's going on that down.

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<v Speaker 6>There, So Austin, it's a tech mecha, especially for hardware,

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<v Speaker 6>dating back to IBM and Dell, and Amazon focuses there

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<v Speaker 6>machine learning chip testing there. They're chip engineering down there.

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<v Speaker 6>So myself a colleague paid a visit down there last

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<v Speaker 6>month and there it's really a scrappy vibe. The place

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<v Speaker 6>isn't isn't particularly pristine. There's just stuff strewn all over

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<v Speaker 6>the place, as the story notes. But that's a little

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<v Speaker 6>bit of the Amazon engineering ethos at work, right. They

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<v Speaker 6>don't have to push the limits of performance, they don't

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<v Speaker 6>have to make it real pretty. They just have to

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<v Speaker 6>build a part that works, a part. They can build

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<v Speaker 6>a whole lot of them in a pretty short period

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<v Speaker 6>of time. And so that's what they're trying to do

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<v Speaker 6>now is get those chips out to the data centers

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<v Speaker 6>before the end.

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<v Speaker 7>Of the year.

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<v Speaker 3>Now is the idea that, hey, in video, we don't

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<v Speaker 3>need you anymore at all? Or is it just sort

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<v Speaker 3>of like we can also do this and there's room

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<v Speaker 3>to everyone to play on different levels.

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<v Speaker 6>Yeah, no, not at all about replacing all of Nvidia.

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<v Speaker 6>And if you get any Amazon exec talking about it,

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<v Speaker 6>the first sentence out of their mouth is going to

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<v Speaker 6>be you know, we recognize in video has got a

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<v Speaker 6>great product and it's going to be around for a

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<v Speaker 6>long long time, you know, I said, And I don't

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<v Speaker 6>have any hard numbers in front of me, and Amazon

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<v Speaker 6>folks wouldn't speculate, but I think they'd consider this a

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<v Speaker 6>victory if they could just take some of that some

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<v Speaker 6>of that portion of the Nvidia demand. They already are

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<v Speaker 6>serving today with video chips in their data centers.

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<v Speaker 2>So in Vidia's biggest customers, they're big companies like Amazon,

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<v Speaker 2>like Microsoft, like Alphabet, and all of those customers are

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<v Speaker 2>trying to build their own chips. How is Amazon kind

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<v Speaker 2>of positioned relative to all those players.

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<v Speaker 6>I think one thing Amazon definitely has an advantage over

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<v Speaker 6>its its nearest cloud rival, Microsoft, and that they started

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<v Speaker 6>a lot earlier. Microsoft only started building its chips a

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<v Speaker 6>couple of years ago. Amazon's been doing this since twenty thirteen,

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<v Speaker 6>twenty fourteen, and they all kind of came to the

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<v Speaker 6>same realization, which is that you know, listen, ultimately, a

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<v Speaker 6>data center is just a big computer, right Like we

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<v Speaker 6>think of computers as laptops or maybe a single rack

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<v Speaker 6>of servers. But one of the things that the cloud

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<v Speaker 6>revolution has done is it's allowed these companies to say, Okay,

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<v Speaker 6>wait a minute, how is this going to work if

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<v Speaker 6>instead of one of them in a server, I have

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<v Speaker 6>one hundred thousand of them spread over a data center

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<v Speaker 6>or multiple buildings.

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<v Speaker 7>Right?

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<v Speaker 6>How does the computer work in that situation? And that's

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<v Speaker 6>one of the things that Generative AI and all these

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<v Speaker 6>real hard intensive training runs have kind of forced them

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<v Speaker 6>to do is think about these you know it, sprawling

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<v Speaker 6>data centers as computers in and of themselves.

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<v Speaker 3>Now, you guys went to some of these places where

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<v Speaker 3>they're trying to build these chips. Can you describe what

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<v Speaker 3>it's like, because we're looking at a bazillion dollar company

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<v Speaker 3>in Amazon, right, But the what you described is not that.

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<v Speaker 6>Oh yeah, I looked a little bit like a popour

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<v Speaker 6>rerac at a hardware store, right at a drill press

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<v Speaker 6>in a corner, they had a vacuum sealer and under

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<v Speaker 6>that was one of those slow ovens to kind of

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<v Speaker 6>dry things out dehumidifier.

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<v Speaker 7>Maybe that's not the right word.

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<v Speaker 6>But there's a lot of hardware sitting around, and a

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<v Speaker 6>lot of it's really high tech, a lot of it's

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<v Speaker 6>really expensive, you know, but the Vibe again, was just

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<v Speaker 6>an engineering crew trying to go as fast as they

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<v Speaker 6>can to put chips in the hand of their customers,

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<v Speaker 6>you know, an Amazon's case, that's their own data centers.

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<v Speaker 6>But there's a funny moment while we were there. The

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<v Speaker 6>guy who runs the lab, a guy called Romney Sino,

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<v Speaker 6>was yelling over to a colleague of his basically, what's

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<v Speaker 6>your job, and the job is to ship things to

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<v Speaker 6>data centers.

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<v Speaker 7>Right.

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<v Speaker 6>They're not there to push the limits of engineering. They're

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<v Speaker 6>there to reliably, you know, ship product out and get

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<v Speaker 6>it in the hands of their business customers.

0:10:56.000 --> 0:10:58.360
<v Speaker 2>What are the customers saying about the Amazon chips? How

0:10:58.400 --> 0:11:00.360
<v Speaker 2>are these Amazon chips performing in the market place?

0:11:00.679 --> 0:11:03.800
<v Speaker 6>And so the Amazon has only started just started rolling

0:11:03.800 --> 0:11:05.520
<v Speaker 6>out its latest chip. You know what we know from

0:11:05.520 --> 0:11:07.360
<v Speaker 6>the first version is you know, it's not as good

0:11:07.400 --> 0:11:11.000
<v Speaker 6>as in Nvidia. And that's particularly clear on the software level, right,

0:11:11.080 --> 0:11:12.880
<v Speaker 6>I mean, no matter how good a piece of hardware is,

0:11:12.920 --> 0:11:16.000
<v Speaker 6>if you can't access it with ease, that's going to

0:11:16.040 --> 0:11:17.960
<v Speaker 6>be a problem for you. And that's where Nvidia has

0:11:18.080 --> 0:11:20.360
<v Speaker 6>just a huge advantage. You know, they've got the open

0:11:20.360 --> 0:11:23.800
<v Speaker 6>source community behind them building libraries and tools so that

0:11:23.840 --> 0:11:25.800
<v Speaker 6>almost any AI thing you want to do, you can

0:11:25.840 --> 0:11:28.480
<v Speaker 6>accomplish it on an navidiate ship. And so that's what

0:11:28.720 --> 0:11:30.920
<v Speaker 6>customers have told us is the big hurdle for Amazon.

0:11:31.000 --> 0:11:33.440
<v Speaker 6>You know. Now, Amazon is offering it's early adopter some help.

0:11:33.559 --> 0:11:35.760
<v Speaker 6>They will, you know, send you engineers and help customize

0:11:35.760 --> 0:11:37.760
<v Speaker 6>your work for their chips, but that's not going to

0:11:37.880 --> 0:11:39.680
<v Speaker 6>scale in the long term. They're hoping they can build

0:11:39.679 --> 0:11:41.520
<v Speaker 6>a software package that makes it real easy to use

0:11:41.520 --> 0:11:43.200
<v Speaker 6>their hardware, but they're not there yet.

0:11:43.400 --> 0:11:46.280
<v Speaker 3>Who are the geniuses behind this in Amazon? Where the names?

0:11:47.400 --> 0:11:49.160
<v Speaker 6>So the main one who gets a lot of credit

0:11:49.160 --> 0:11:50.920
<v Speaker 6>for it, and probably doesn't get enough outside of tech

0:11:50.960 --> 0:11:54.640
<v Speaker 6>circles is James Hamilton. He's a longtime engineer at IBM

0:11:54.679 --> 0:11:57.480
<v Speaker 6>and at Microsoft who Amazon poached real early into their

0:11:57.480 --> 0:12:00.120
<v Speaker 6>cloud competing experiment back in two thousand and nine, and

0:12:00.160 --> 0:12:02.920
<v Speaker 6>it was partly his suggestion that the company should get

0:12:02.920 --> 0:12:04.760
<v Speaker 6>into the hardware business. Right He was looking at their

0:12:04.760 --> 0:12:07.880
<v Speaker 6>costs and saying, listen, why are we paying Dell HP

0:12:08.120 --> 0:12:09.719
<v Speaker 6>for all of these servers with a bunch of high

0:12:09.760 --> 0:12:11.520
<v Speaker 6>end functions we don't need. We could build a cheaper

0:12:11.559 --> 0:12:13.880
<v Speaker 6>mousetrap and if it's just good enough for us, then

0:12:13.920 --> 0:12:16.120
<v Speaker 6>we can pass those savings onto our customers. So it

0:12:16.160 --> 0:12:18.679
<v Speaker 6>really started this snowball of just Amazon getting into more

0:12:18.679 --> 0:12:21.120
<v Speaker 6>and more corners of hardware that previously, you know, they

0:12:21.160 --> 0:12:23.600
<v Speaker 6>hadn't really had much interest in, and that's really paid

0:12:23.640 --> 0:12:26.439
<v Speaker 6>off in terms of how profitable the cloud businesses for Amazon.

0:12:26.880 --> 0:12:29.280
<v Speaker 2>Our thanks to Matt Dave, Bloomberg Technology.

0:12:28.760 --> 0:12:32.200
<v Speaker 3>Reporter, coming up a conversation with the CEO of bloom Energy.

0:12:32.480 --> 0:12:35.280
<v Speaker 2>You're listening to Bloomberg Intelligence on Bloomberg Radio, providing in

0:12:35.320 --> 0:12:37.640
<v Speaker 2>depth research and data on two thousand companies and one

0:12:37.760 --> 0:12:40.760
<v Speaker 2>hundred and thirty industries. You can access Bloomberg Intelligence via

0:12:40.840 --> 0:12:42.720
<v Speaker 2>bi Go on the terminal, Paul Sweet and.

0:12:42.720 --> 0:12:46.520
<v Speaker 3>A Malex Steel and this is Bloomberg.

0:12:50.240 --> 0:12:54.120
<v Speaker 1>You're listening to the Bloomberg Intelligence podcast. Catch us live

0:12:54.200 --> 0:12:57.679
<v Speaker 1>weekdays at ten am Eastern on applecarplaying nbroud Otto with

0:12:57.720 --> 0:13:00.760
<v Speaker 1>the Bloomberg Business app. Listen on demand wherever you get

0:13:00.840 --> 0:13:03.600
<v Speaker 1>your podcasts, or watch us live on YouTube.

0:13:05.640 --> 0:13:07.800
<v Speaker 3>We moved next to the Banking Space and Citygroup.

0:13:08.040 --> 0:13:09.640
<v Speaker 2>This week we looked at a story on the Bloomberg

0:13:09.760 --> 0:13:13.000
<v Speaker 2>Terminal and at Bloomberg dot Com entitled City Bonuses by

0:13:13.120 --> 0:13:16.120
<v Speaker 2>time for New Wealth boss rush to revamp.

0:13:15.960 --> 0:13:18.880
<v Speaker 3>And looked at how Citygroup's new CEO, Andy sigg Green

0:13:18.960 --> 0:13:22.400
<v Speaker 3>led special retention bonuses for dozens of personnel for more

0:13:22.400 --> 0:13:24.680
<v Speaker 3>and all of this means. We were drawn by Katherine Doherty,

0:13:24.679 --> 0:13:25.840
<v Speaker 3>Bloomberg Finance reporter.

0:13:26.520 --> 0:13:28.520
<v Speaker 2>We first asked Catherine how things are going now for

0:13:28.640 --> 0:13:29.520
<v Speaker 2>Citygroup and it's.

0:13:29.400 --> 0:13:33.199
<v Speaker 8>New CEO, Andy is one year into his new role,

0:13:33.720 --> 0:13:38.760
<v Speaker 8>and he came into it with a lot of difficulties.

0:13:38.880 --> 0:13:40.320
<v Speaker 3>And the basic.

0:13:40.120 --> 0:13:44.600
<v Speaker 8>Infrastructure that City was working with in their wealth division

0:13:45.080 --> 0:13:50.360
<v Speaker 8>was something that had been lagging peers. It was way

0:13:50.440 --> 0:13:55.400
<v Speaker 8>behind in terms of speed execution. And really that was

0:13:55.480 --> 0:13:58.920
<v Speaker 8>something that Andy had focused on right when he came in.

0:14:00.080 --> 0:14:03.720
<v Speaker 8>And upgrading the technology was one thing. Then bringing talent

0:14:04.000 --> 0:14:07.920
<v Speaker 8>was kind of the second pillar to improving the wealth division.

0:14:08.760 --> 0:14:12.559
<v Speaker 8>And keeping talent is the hardest part about building a

0:14:12.640 --> 0:14:16.840
<v Speaker 8>wealth business across Wall Street because it's a very competitive business.

0:14:17.280 --> 0:14:20.920
<v Speaker 8>The pay is oftentimes used as a way to lure

0:14:21.480 --> 0:14:26.200
<v Speaker 8>experienced advisors to competitors, and so not only are you

0:14:26.280 --> 0:14:29.720
<v Speaker 8>trying to focus on keeping that talent, the talent is

0:14:29.840 --> 0:14:32.600
<v Speaker 8>tied to the assets that they're managing for their clients.

0:14:32.640 --> 0:14:37.000
<v Speaker 8>So anytime you lose some big advisors with millions or

0:14:37.000 --> 0:14:40.720
<v Speaker 8>even billions in assets. That's going to affect your business

0:14:40.800 --> 0:14:46.520
<v Speaker 8>moving forward. So Andy had a very big agenda in

0:14:46.600 --> 0:14:48.440
<v Speaker 8>front of him in terms of having to clean up,

0:14:48.560 --> 0:14:52.040
<v Speaker 8>and not just clean up, but then improve cities wealth

0:14:52.080 --> 0:14:55.560
<v Speaker 8>business so that it could truly compete with the big

0:14:55.640 --> 0:14:56.640
<v Speaker 8>peers on Wall Street.

0:14:56.760 --> 0:14:59.680
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, because like when I think of Morgan Stanley, I

0:14:59.760 --> 0:15:02.200
<v Speaker 2>think of wealth management I use, and that's different. When

0:15:02.200 --> 0:15:03.680
<v Speaker 2>I grew up in the business, I thought about them

0:15:03.680 --> 0:15:06.480
<v Speaker 2>as sales and trading and investment banking City I don't

0:15:06.520 --> 0:15:10.280
<v Speaker 2>necessarily think of wealth as part as a kind of

0:15:10.320 --> 0:15:12.440
<v Speaker 2>a growth driver for them. But I know in their

0:15:12.480 --> 0:15:15.680
<v Speaker 2>private bank, which generates two point three billion dollars in revenue,

0:15:16.160 --> 0:15:19.680
<v Speaker 2>it is high touch service for the wealthiest clients, including

0:15:19.800 --> 0:15:23.520
<v Speaker 2>a quarter of the world's billionaires minimum net worth twenty

0:15:23.560 --> 0:15:26.600
<v Speaker 2>five million dollars. So is this a situation for City

0:15:26.680 --> 0:15:28.480
<v Speaker 2>that Jane Fraser has to just put a flag in

0:15:28.520 --> 0:15:31.600
<v Speaker 2>a ground say this is a core business for City

0:15:31.680 --> 0:15:33.000
<v Speaker 2>and we will invest Accordingly.

0:15:33.480 --> 0:15:36.360
<v Speaker 8>Private bank is definitely one of their money makers. You

0:15:36.400 --> 0:15:39.640
<v Speaker 8>can see that in the numbers. But also if you

0:15:39.800 --> 0:15:43.480
<v Speaker 8>think two tiers down, you have City Gold and this

0:15:43.640 --> 0:15:46.880
<v Speaker 8>is clients with avery average monthly balances of at least

0:15:46.920 --> 0:15:50.280
<v Speaker 8>two hundred thousand, So it's definitely not at the private

0:15:50.320 --> 0:15:53.320
<v Speaker 8>bank tier. The private bank tier. Why they're trying to

0:15:53.480 --> 0:15:57.800
<v Speaker 8>keep that part of the wealth business up is because

0:15:58.000 --> 0:16:00.880
<v Speaker 8>that's where the biggest assets are. That's where the revenue

0:16:00.960 --> 0:16:04.640
<v Speaker 8>really gets generated when you have the wealthiest and it's

0:16:04.720 --> 0:16:09.680
<v Speaker 8>not just Americans, it's oftentimes billionaires in Asia. They're really

0:16:09.760 --> 0:16:12.840
<v Speaker 8>focused on growing their business outside of the US, which

0:16:12.920 --> 0:16:16.080
<v Speaker 8>is different from some of the other big Wall Street

0:16:16.160 --> 0:16:19.960
<v Speaker 8>banks that are more US focused in terms of building

0:16:20.040 --> 0:16:24.920
<v Speaker 8>up their own private bank assets. And so City, their

0:16:24.960 --> 0:16:27.240
<v Speaker 8>private bank, I would say, was their strong suit and

0:16:27.280 --> 0:16:30.040
<v Speaker 8>continues to be their strong suit, but it doesn't mean

0:16:30.080 --> 0:16:31.800
<v Speaker 8>that that's going to stay that way. So they really

0:16:31.880 --> 0:16:35.760
<v Speaker 8>have to remain competitive keep their advisors that are catering

0:16:35.880 --> 0:16:38.880
<v Speaker 8>to the wealthiest individuals, not just in the US but

0:16:39.040 --> 0:16:39.800
<v Speaker 8>across the globe.

0:16:39.920 --> 0:16:42.840
<v Speaker 3>Did they lose advisors because they were posed or because

0:16:42.840 --> 0:16:44.600
<v Speaker 3>they let them go because they were revamping it and

0:16:44.800 --> 0:16:46.160
<v Speaker 3>it so it's a combination.

0:16:47.520 --> 0:16:51.800
<v Speaker 8>Just last week we reported that two of City's former

0:16:51.880 --> 0:16:55.240
<v Speaker 8>private bank advisors defected to go to Bank of America.

0:16:55.400 --> 0:16:58.480
<v Speaker 8>Actually in their private bank, which is interesting because that's

0:16:58.480 --> 0:17:01.200
<v Speaker 8>where Andy Sig had come. You worked in the Meryl division.

0:17:01.280 --> 0:17:04.200
<v Speaker 8>But still it's under the Bank of America umbrella and

0:17:04.680 --> 0:17:08.920
<v Speaker 8>those two advisors they brought seven billion of assets that

0:17:09.000 --> 0:17:12.879
<v Speaker 8>they managed. So that was a big kick to City.

0:17:13.000 --> 0:17:15.000
<v Speaker 8>And so when you see that, but it's not i

0:17:15.040 --> 0:17:19.240
<v Speaker 8>would say unique just to City. There's stories like that

0:17:19.400 --> 0:17:22.800
<v Speaker 8>all the time of some of these really big advisors

0:17:23.000 --> 0:17:26.720
<v Speaker 8>bringing their team to a competitor and oftentimes they're just

0:17:26.760 --> 0:17:30.800
<v Speaker 8>looking for it's opportunity and most of the time that

0:17:30.880 --> 0:17:34.000
<v Speaker 8>opportunity is translated and in pay all.

0:17:33.920 --> 0:17:36.960
<v Speaker 3>Right, our thanks to Catherine Doherty, Bloomberg Finance Reporter. We

0:17:37.080 --> 0:17:39.560
<v Speaker 3>move next to the energy space. The fuel cell maker

0:17:39.640 --> 0:17:43.040
<v Speaker 3>Bloom Energy recently signed a landmark supply agreement with American

0:17:43.200 --> 0:17:46.679
<v Speaker 3>Electric Power for up to one gigawatt of fuel cells

0:17:46.680 --> 0:17:50.560
<v Speaker 3>and this marks the latest commercial procurement of fuel cells globally.

0:17:51.000 --> 0:17:52.520
<v Speaker 2>For more and all of this, we were joined by

0:17:52.600 --> 0:17:56.200
<v Speaker 2>k R. Sweetheart, CEO of bloom Energy. We first asked

0:17:56.280 --> 0:17:57.879
<v Speaker 2>k Are how this deal came about.

0:17:58.320 --> 0:18:01.639
<v Speaker 7>So we have being more with data centers for a

0:18:01.760 --> 0:18:05.320
<v Speaker 7>very long time. Now we have over three hundred megawarts

0:18:05.400 --> 0:18:08.399
<v Speaker 7>in multiple data centers, across the country. These are the

0:18:08.480 --> 0:18:11.600
<v Speaker 7>smaller data centers called the edge data centers that are

0:18:11.680 --> 0:18:14.960
<v Speaker 7>located where customers are somewhere in the five to ten

0:18:15.119 --> 0:18:18.679
<v Speaker 7>megawat range in a particular site. So we have transacted

0:18:18.760 --> 0:18:20.960
<v Speaker 7>close to three hundred megawarts, so we are a known

0:18:21.000 --> 0:18:25.400
<v Speaker 7>player to data centers. Now with the hyperscalers, what's the difference,

0:18:25.520 --> 0:18:29.800
<v Speaker 7>it's a much larger data centers. These are now particularly

0:18:30.000 --> 0:18:33.359
<v Speaker 7>more important in terms of growth because of AI and

0:18:33.480 --> 0:18:38.040
<v Speaker 7>the amount of power they need. And currently these hyperscalers,

0:18:38.080 --> 0:18:43.080
<v Speaker 7>as they're growing very fast, the transmission distribution is not

0:18:43.280 --> 0:18:46.800
<v Speaker 7>able to keep up with providing those hundreds of megawarts

0:18:46.840 --> 0:18:48.960
<v Speaker 7>of power right at the site where you need it

0:18:49.320 --> 0:18:51.560
<v Speaker 7>within the time that you need it maybe five to

0:18:51.640 --> 0:18:53.639
<v Speaker 7>six years. They may be able to provide the power,

0:18:54.040 --> 0:18:56.720
<v Speaker 7>but the data center really wants it today, they want

0:18:56.800 --> 0:19:02.679
<v Speaker 7>it now. So we are perfectly under those circumstances because

0:19:02.840 --> 0:19:05.480
<v Speaker 7>our Bloom Energy servers can be deployed in a matter

0:19:05.600 --> 0:19:10.240
<v Speaker 7>of months right where the customer is, thereby not worrying

0:19:10.320 --> 0:19:15.800
<v Speaker 7>about the transmission distribution gridlock and providing that reliable, clean,

0:19:16.080 --> 0:19:19.480
<v Speaker 7>always on power to the data center. So that's the

0:19:19.600 --> 0:19:24.960
<v Speaker 7>reason this happened, and here what happened is the electricity

0:19:25.080 --> 0:19:29.840
<v Speaker 7>provider AEP said, we don't make nuclear power plants, we

0:19:29.960 --> 0:19:34.120
<v Speaker 7>don't make gas turbance, we don't make fuel cells. We're agnostic.

0:19:34.200 --> 0:19:38.040
<v Speaker 7>We'll buy your systems and similar to us using those

0:19:38.119 --> 0:19:41.560
<v Speaker 7>other power sources to provide power to the customer. Here

0:19:41.640 --> 0:19:43.600
<v Speaker 7>we can take your fuel cells and take the power

0:19:43.680 --> 0:19:46.320
<v Speaker 7>you produce and give it to the data center. However,

0:19:46.480 --> 0:19:50.080
<v Speaker 7>the big advantage here is we can put these fuel

0:19:50.160 --> 0:19:53.159
<v Speaker 7>cells right where the data center is, thereby avoiding the

0:19:53.200 --> 0:19:54.639
<v Speaker 7>transmission distribution issue.

0:19:55.080 --> 0:19:57.080
<v Speaker 2>So, Kerry, I mean, just you know, I didn't know

0:19:57.160 --> 0:19:59.239
<v Speaker 2>much about your company before, so just reading up here,

0:19:59.400 --> 0:20:03.120
<v Speaker 2>it's like right company, right place, at the right time,

0:20:03.280 --> 0:20:06.439
<v Speaker 2>with the right technology, and boom. Talk to us about

0:20:07.040 --> 0:20:10.200
<v Speaker 2>how good your fuel cells are. How would I know

0:20:10.280 --> 0:20:13.360
<v Speaker 2>whether your fuel cell is better more productive than say

0:20:13.480 --> 0:20:14.040
<v Speaker 2>a competitor.

0:20:15.720 --> 0:20:19.320
<v Speaker 7>That's a great question. So let me go away from

0:20:19.359 --> 0:20:22.000
<v Speaker 7>fuel cells, just into electricity for the customer. At the

0:20:22.119 --> 0:20:25.879
<v Speaker 7>end of the day, we all provide a service or

0:20:25.960 --> 0:20:29.399
<v Speaker 7>a product to our end customer. That electricity that a

0:20:29.520 --> 0:20:33.480
<v Speaker 7>data center takes has to be clean, it has to

0:20:33.520 --> 0:20:37.080
<v Speaker 7>be always on and reliable. Twenty four to seven. It

0:20:37.240 --> 0:20:40.480
<v Speaker 7>needs to have a pay as you grow characteristic, and

0:20:40.960 --> 0:20:43.840
<v Speaker 7>it needs to be future proofed in terms of sustainability.

0:20:44.480 --> 0:20:48.440
<v Speaker 7>Bloom Energy is one of those solutions that offer all

0:20:48.560 --> 0:20:51.719
<v Speaker 7>of the above no rs. It's the genius of end

0:20:52.240 --> 0:20:56.159
<v Speaker 7>So we are the most efficient way of taking natural

0:20:56.240 --> 0:21:00.960
<v Speaker 7>gas and making electricity out of it without combustone. Because

0:21:01.040 --> 0:21:04.560
<v Speaker 7>we don't compassed, there is no knock socks particulates anything

0:21:04.640 --> 0:21:07.479
<v Speaker 7>going into the atmosphere, so there is no local air pollution.

0:21:08.280 --> 0:21:11.479
<v Speaker 7>And if you look at our system they're like lego blocks.

0:21:11.520 --> 0:21:13.720
<v Speaker 7>You put many of these lego blocks, hundreds of them

0:21:14.160 --> 0:21:16.520
<v Speaker 7>to be able to provide power to a data center.

0:21:16.720 --> 0:21:19.040
<v Speaker 7>If any one of them has to be serviced, you

0:21:19.119 --> 0:21:21.840
<v Speaker 7>can just hot swap them in and out. So the

0:21:21.960 --> 0:21:25.040
<v Speaker 7>reliability and the resiliency of our systems are very high.

0:21:25.840 --> 0:21:29.760
<v Speaker 7>And then you and you can pay as you grow

0:21:29.880 --> 0:21:33.080
<v Speaker 7>data centers. Even though they build a big data center,

0:21:33.480 --> 0:21:36.000
<v Speaker 7>don't start that entire data center on day one. They

0:21:36.080 --> 0:21:38.240
<v Speaker 7>may do one third of the load, and then a

0:21:38.280 --> 0:21:41.000
<v Speaker 7>few months later they may add additional load. As they

0:21:41.040 --> 0:21:43.360
<v Speaker 7>are adding the load, they can add more and more

0:21:43.400 --> 0:21:45.560
<v Speaker 7>of our fuel cells. You can't do that to the

0:21:45.640 --> 0:21:48.399
<v Speaker 7>gas turbine. You can't do that to the nuclear power plant.

0:21:48.840 --> 0:21:51.840
<v Speaker 7>So we bring all these attributes in so I would

0:21:51.880 --> 0:21:55.920
<v Speaker 7>say we are ideally suited for this AI data center market.

0:21:56.880 --> 0:21:59.440
<v Speaker 3>Now, the financial terms were not disclosed. I appreciate that.

0:22:00.040 --> 0:22:02.280
<v Speaker 3>I'm gonna ask about the money a different way. How

0:22:02.480 --> 0:22:05.159
<v Speaker 3>easy was it or difficult was it to come to

0:22:05.240 --> 0:22:06.720
<v Speaker 3>an agreement on price.

0:22:06.560 --> 0:22:07.720
<v Speaker 5>With AEP.

0:22:09.080 --> 0:22:11.840
<v Speaker 7>In this particular case, it was fairly easy to come

0:22:11.880 --> 0:22:16.240
<v Speaker 7>to that agreement. Nothing is easy, but relatively speaking, And

0:22:16.359 --> 0:22:21.280
<v Speaker 7>here is why. There are three parties involved, actually four,

0:22:21.920 --> 0:22:27.920
<v Speaker 7>the data center customer, AP, the public at large where

0:22:28.040 --> 0:22:31.840
<v Speaker 7>this is being installed, and blow energy we were able

0:22:31.920 --> 0:22:36.520
<v Speaker 7>to put together When when for all four of these stakeholders,

0:22:36.800 --> 0:22:37.199
<v Speaker 7>why is.

0:22:37.240 --> 0:22:38.399
<v Speaker 1>That number one?

0:22:38.520 --> 0:22:42.440
<v Speaker 7>Let's start with the public at large with other kind

0:22:42.520 --> 0:22:46.920
<v Speaker 7>of provisions that were being contemplated. The fear of the

0:22:47.040 --> 0:22:50.119
<v Speaker 7>ratepayer was because the hyperscaler is going to get a

0:22:50.200 --> 0:22:54.040
<v Speaker 7>large amount of power from the transmission distribution company, they

0:22:54.119 --> 0:22:58.760
<v Speaker 7>will end up carrying the bill. In this construct, AEP

0:22:58.960 --> 0:23:02.520
<v Speaker 7>made sure none of the costs associated with putting these

0:23:02.560 --> 0:23:06.000
<v Speaker 7>fuel cells and providing that clean power to the data

0:23:06.080 --> 0:23:09.440
<v Speaker 7>center will cost the rate payer any money. So that

0:23:09.560 --> 0:23:12.040
<v Speaker 7>was a win for the ratepayer number two for the

0:23:12.160 --> 0:23:15.760
<v Speaker 7>data center. For the data center, the price of not

0:23:16.000 --> 0:23:19.800
<v Speaker 7>having power on time is significantly greater than the cost

0:23:19.880 --> 0:23:22.600
<v Speaker 7>of power. If you just think about the race in

0:23:22.720 --> 0:23:26.600
<v Speaker 7>AI and who has to get there competitively. So time

0:23:26.680 --> 0:23:29.800
<v Speaker 7>to power was the key metric and they would pay

0:23:29.840 --> 0:23:32.680
<v Speaker 7>a slight premium to be able to get that, and

0:23:32.840 --> 0:23:37.280
<v Speaker 7>that penciled out for AEP. They were able to grow

0:23:37.320 --> 0:23:42.080
<v Speaker 7>their customer base, give them their growth needs without dissenter

0:23:42.200 --> 0:23:44.960
<v Speaker 7>mediating them and having them go to some other state,

0:23:45.359 --> 0:23:48.120
<v Speaker 7>which is what has been happening in places like Virginia

0:23:48.440 --> 0:23:51.159
<v Speaker 7>where data centers are moving away from there because there

0:23:51.200 --> 0:23:53.119
<v Speaker 7>is not enough power. So it was a win for

0:23:53.240 --> 0:23:56.480
<v Speaker 7>AEP in retaining their customer and taking care of their

0:23:56.520 --> 0:24:00.480
<v Speaker 7>customer and making money for Bloom. Whether we in front

0:24:00.520 --> 0:24:02.520
<v Speaker 7>of the meter or behind the meter, it is the

0:24:02.600 --> 0:24:05.840
<v Speaker 7>same thing. Whether we sell it to AP who then

0:24:05.880 --> 0:24:08.360
<v Speaker 7>provides the power for the data center, or we sell

0:24:08.400 --> 0:24:11.119
<v Speaker 7>to the data center and they provide it and they

0:24:11.200 --> 0:24:13.560
<v Speaker 7>take their own power. You know, for us we are

0:24:13.560 --> 0:24:16.280
<v Speaker 7>agnostic because we get to make the sale and we

0:24:16.400 --> 0:24:17.879
<v Speaker 7>get the gross margins on the product.

0:24:18.160 --> 0:24:21.000
<v Speaker 3>All right. Thanks to k R. Shreedhar CEO Bloom Energy

0:24:21.240 --> 0:24:22.920
<v Speaker 3>all right, coming up a look at what's new in

0:24:22.960 --> 0:24:25.040
<v Speaker 3>the renewable fuels market in the US.

0:24:25.320 --> 0:24:28.280
<v Speaker 2>You're listening to Bloomberg Intelligence on Bloomberg Radio, providing in

0:24:28.560 --> 0:24:31.080
<v Speaker 2>research and data on two thousand companies one hundred and

0:24:31.080 --> 0:24:33.840
<v Speaker 2>thirty industries. You can access Bloomberg Intelligence via p I

0:24:33.920 --> 0:24:34.639
<v Speaker 2>go on the terminal.

0:24:34.760 --> 0:24:36.640
<v Speaker 3>I'm Paul Sweeney and am Alex Steel.

0:24:36.400 --> 0:24:37.520
<v Speaker 9>And this is Bloomberg.

0:24:42.480 --> 0:24:46.320
<v Speaker 1>You're listening to the Bloomberg Intelligence podcast. Catch us live

0:24:46.440 --> 0:24:49.960
<v Speaker 1>weekdays at ten am Eastern on applecar Play and Android

0:24:50.000 --> 0:24:52.720
<v Speaker 1>Auto with the Bloomberg Business app. You can also listen

0:24:52.880 --> 0:24:55.960
<v Speaker 1>live on Amazon Alexa from our flagship New York station,

0:24:56.359 --> 0:24:59.080
<v Speaker 1>Just say Alexa play Bloomberg eleven thirty.

0:25:00.000 --> 0:25:02.439
<v Speaker 2>Each week we look at research from Bloomberg and EF

0:25:02.760 --> 0:25:04.919
<v Speaker 2>previously known as New Energy Finance.

0:25:05.080 --> 0:25:07.280
<v Speaker 3>They're the team at Bloomberg that tracks and analyzes the

0:25:07.359 --> 0:25:11.040
<v Speaker 3>energy transition from commodities to power, transport, industries, buildings, and

0:25:11.200 --> 0:25:11.920
<v Speaker 3>egg sectors.

0:25:12.240 --> 0:25:14.680
<v Speaker 2>This week we took a look at renewable fuels, and

0:25:14.760 --> 0:25:18.119
<v Speaker 2>we're joined by Anna Davies, bnef's head of renewable Fuels.

0:25:18.359 --> 0:25:20.920
<v Speaker 3>We first asked Anna what types of renewable fuel projects

0:25:21.040 --> 0:25:23.160
<v Speaker 3>now exist in the US, so there's.

0:25:23.400 --> 0:25:25.399
<v Speaker 9>A good number of projects in the US nice to

0:25:25.440 --> 0:25:28.520
<v Speaker 9>be here, and there's a wide range. The US is

0:25:28.520 --> 0:25:30.200
<v Speaker 9>the biggest market at the moment, so a lot of

0:25:30.240 --> 0:25:33.160
<v Speaker 9>the projects are based here. A lot of renewable fuels.

0:25:33.160 --> 0:25:35.080
<v Speaker 9>When we talk about renewable fuels, we're really talking about

0:25:35.080 --> 0:25:39.680
<v Speaker 9>basically biofuels at the moment, made from oils like soybean

0:25:39.720 --> 0:25:42.480
<v Speaker 9>oil or even use cooking oil like the excess grease

0:25:42.480 --> 0:25:46.080
<v Speaker 9>from your fryer. The key here is that unlike ethanol

0:25:46.160 --> 0:25:49.840
<v Speaker 9>or biodiesel or biofuels you usually think about, renewable fuels

0:25:49.840 --> 0:25:52.160
<v Speaker 9>are a special term for ones that are drop in ready,

0:25:52.240 --> 0:25:55.040
<v Speaker 9>which means they produce a diesel molecule or jet fuel

0:25:55.080 --> 0:25:58.480
<v Speaker 9>molecule that's basically the same as fossil dieseler jet fuel,

0:25:58.640 --> 0:26:00.240
<v Speaker 9>So you could just blend it one for one into

0:26:00.280 --> 0:26:04.280
<v Speaker 9>your dieseler jet fuel pool. There's no blending limit. It

0:26:04.560 --> 0:26:06.000
<v Speaker 9>can just go in however much you have, So it's

0:26:06.040 --> 0:26:08.439
<v Speaker 9>really cool in that regard. A lot of the projects

0:26:08.480 --> 0:26:11.480
<v Speaker 9>in the US are based, especially out of California. You

0:26:11.520 --> 0:26:14.200
<v Speaker 9>could take an old oil refinery and convert that to

0:26:14.640 --> 0:26:18.320
<v Speaker 9>produce a biooil like a biofeedstock instead of a crude feedstock,

0:26:18.400 --> 0:26:21.000
<v Speaker 9>so that's really common. There's also a lot of projects

0:26:21.040 --> 0:26:24.040
<v Speaker 9>being developed to use other feedstocks, things like corn ethanol,

0:26:24.320 --> 0:26:27.880
<v Speaker 9>because if you think about passenger vehicle fleet going electric,

0:26:28.280 --> 0:26:30.520
<v Speaker 9>you're going to have less demand for gasoline or ethanol,

0:26:30.840 --> 0:26:33.440
<v Speaker 9>so this could be another use for that ethanol in

0:26:33.520 --> 0:26:34.080
<v Speaker 9>the world today.

0:26:34.400 --> 0:26:36.639
<v Speaker 2>I gotta ask the question everybody wants to ask, how

0:26:36.680 --> 0:26:40.560
<v Speaker 2>will the Trump administration impact renewable fuel business?

0:26:41.000 --> 0:26:44.160
<v Speaker 9>That is the million dollar question probably for every clean

0:26:44.280 --> 0:26:48.040
<v Speaker 9>energy sector. I'd say that renewable fuels, compared to a

0:26:48.080 --> 0:26:50.639
<v Speaker 9>lot of the other sectors of clean energy, might be

0:26:50.680 --> 0:26:54.320
<v Speaker 9>a bit better insulated than most because this is a

0:26:54.400 --> 0:26:57.760
<v Speaker 9>sector where it really promotes the agriculture industry by using

0:26:57.880 --> 0:27:00.840
<v Speaker 9>biofuels as a new demand source. It also is a

0:27:00.880 --> 0:27:02.680
<v Speaker 9>way for the oil industry to get a second life

0:27:02.720 --> 0:27:05.000
<v Speaker 9>because they can't take this old refinery and convert it

0:27:05.040 --> 0:27:08.080
<v Speaker 9>into something new. So in that regard, I don't think

0:27:08.119 --> 0:27:10.719
<v Speaker 9>it's going to be completely in the crosshairs. There are ways, though,

0:27:10.720 --> 0:27:12.840
<v Speaker 9>that the Trump administration might have a big impact on

0:27:12.880 --> 0:27:14.440
<v Speaker 9>this sector. One of the big ones is if he

0:27:14.520 --> 0:27:17.360
<v Speaker 9>puts a tariff on used cooking oil from China.

0:27:17.320 --> 0:27:19.720
<v Speaker 2>Or some of the feets used cooking oil from China.

0:27:19.840 --> 0:27:20.040
<v Speaker 5>We do.

0:27:20.280 --> 0:27:22.000
<v Speaker 9>China produces a lot of use cooking oil, a lot

0:27:22.080 --> 0:27:25.679
<v Speaker 9>of fried food. They export the cooking oil to California

0:27:25.720 --> 0:27:28.000
<v Speaker 9>which they can then blend into these refineries. Used cooking

0:27:28.040 --> 0:27:31.679
<v Speaker 9>oil is a really popular feedstock for renewable fuels because

0:27:31.680 --> 0:27:34.040
<v Speaker 9>it has a low carbon intensity. Otherwise it's just wasted,

0:27:34.440 --> 0:27:35.960
<v Speaker 9>right you throw it out, it has to be collected.

0:27:38.600 --> 0:27:40.880
<v Speaker 9>It was collected into it dumped in probably a dump.

0:27:41.560 --> 0:27:43.760
<v Speaker 3>But so we don't have enough used cooking oil here

0:27:43.800 --> 0:27:46.840
<v Speaker 3>in the US as supplement if everything.

0:27:47.920 --> 0:27:50.000
<v Speaker 9>We have a lot. But if you think about replacing

0:27:50.080 --> 0:27:51.879
<v Speaker 9>you know, the diesel or the jet fuel pool, you

0:27:51.920 --> 0:27:52.760
<v Speaker 9>can always use more.

0:27:53.080 --> 0:27:55.560
<v Speaker 3>See So to that point, what is the price spread

0:27:55.600 --> 0:27:58.119
<v Speaker 3>between renewable fuels and traditional fuels? Right now?

0:27:58.520 --> 0:28:03.200
<v Speaker 9>Tie renewable fuel their cheapest are probably two to four times,

0:28:03.240 --> 0:28:05.680
<v Speaker 9>which is a big range, but cheaper than more expensive

0:28:05.720 --> 0:28:08.800
<v Speaker 9>sorry than fossil like jet fuel. And if you talk

0:28:08.840 --> 0:28:11.240
<v Speaker 9>about some of the novel technologies. So one of the

0:28:11.280 --> 0:28:14.720
<v Speaker 9>ways to make these renewable fuels is to take carbon

0:28:14.800 --> 0:28:17.320
<v Speaker 9>dioxide and green hydrogen, which is great because then you're

0:28:17.359 --> 0:28:20.040
<v Speaker 9>not using any biofeedstock that could be up to like

0:28:20.160 --> 0:28:22.399
<v Speaker 9>ten times as expensive as jet fuel. These are pricey

0:28:22.440 --> 0:28:24.040
<v Speaker 9>fuels and they're probably not going to get too much

0:28:24.119 --> 0:28:26.160
<v Speaker 9>cheaper because a lot of it is just the technology needed.

0:28:26.560 --> 0:28:30.000
<v Speaker 2>So but if as an airline, am I mandated to

0:28:30.160 --> 0:28:32.280
<v Speaker 2>use a certain percentage of clean fuel?

0:28:32.520 --> 0:28:35.240
<v Speaker 9>Depends where you are in Europe starting next year, yes

0:28:35.680 --> 0:28:38.160
<v Speaker 9>you are mandated to blend it in. In the US,

0:28:38.200 --> 0:28:40.840
<v Speaker 9>we don't have mandates yet. The biggest is we're doing

0:28:40.880 --> 0:28:43.440
<v Speaker 9>a lot of carrot incentives. So the Inflation Reduction Act

0:28:43.480 --> 0:28:47.600
<v Speaker 9>has a tax credit for producing renewable sustainable aviation fuel

0:28:47.880 --> 0:28:50.000
<v Speaker 9>that would give a discount of about a dollar dollar

0:28:50.080 --> 0:28:52.600
<v Speaker 9>twenty five to these producers. It's not enough to cover

0:28:52.720 --> 0:28:54.920
<v Speaker 9>that bridge that cost. It could bring it down closer.

0:28:54.720 --> 0:28:56.600
<v Speaker 3>Pences, and then if that goes away, then it makes

0:28:56.640 --> 0:28:59.920
<v Speaker 3>it even worse. So what's the best way to low

0:29:00.080 --> 0:29:03.080
<v Speaker 3>or that gap? Is it we need better technology, we

0:29:03.200 --> 0:29:05.720
<v Speaker 3>need scalable technology, or more sourcing.

0:29:06.800 --> 0:29:08.840
<v Speaker 9>I don't think technology is gonna come down too much

0:29:08.880 --> 0:29:10.680
<v Speaker 9>in cost because a lot of the cost technology is

0:29:10.680 --> 0:29:12.880
<v Speaker 9>a big component. But the feedstock is a big component too,

0:29:13.320 --> 0:29:16.760
<v Speaker 9>and it's hard to China exactly, so that could make

0:29:16.800 --> 0:29:19.360
<v Speaker 9>it worse. A lot of it is probably gonna be

0:29:19.440 --> 0:29:23.360
<v Speaker 9>a bit mix of mandates and subsidies. So if you

0:29:23.520 --> 0:29:25.160
<v Speaker 9>have a mandate, sayn you just have to blend a

0:29:25.160 --> 0:29:27.320
<v Speaker 9>certain amount, that's going to cause you know, maybe you

0:29:27.360 --> 0:29:29.760
<v Speaker 9>put a premium on the cost of jet fuel, a

0:29:29.880 --> 0:29:31.840
<v Speaker 9>tax on jet fuel that can cause that price gap

0:29:31.920 --> 0:29:35.960
<v Speaker 9>to close, or if you offer an incentive to produce

0:29:36.040 --> 0:29:38.040
<v Speaker 9>these fuels that can bring it down. There's a lot

0:29:38.080 --> 0:29:40.640
<v Speaker 9>of research being done on new feedstocks, like something like

0:29:40.720 --> 0:29:42.440
<v Speaker 9>cover crops. If you haven't a fueled you could just

0:29:42.480 --> 0:29:44.880
<v Speaker 9>plant a new oil crop in the off season that

0:29:44.960 --> 0:29:47.440
<v Speaker 9>can help retain the soil. You can use the same land.

0:29:47.520 --> 0:29:49.440
<v Speaker 9>You don't have to have this issue of food versus

0:29:49.480 --> 0:29:53.160
<v Speaker 9>fuel land use. But yeah, that's the question is how

0:29:53.200 --> 0:29:53.880
<v Speaker 9>cheap can you get it?

0:29:54.280 --> 0:29:57.840
<v Speaker 2>Our thanks to Annadavis, b n EFS, head of Renewable Fuels, we.

0:29:57.920 --> 0:29:59.800
<v Speaker 3>Move next to the retail space. This week we got

0:29:59.840 --> 0:30:01.720
<v Speaker 3>our from Best Buy and Dick Spoorting Goods.

0:30:02.000 --> 0:30:04.760
<v Speaker 2>Best Buy cut it's full year guidance on sluggish demand

0:30:04.840 --> 0:30:08.880
<v Speaker 2>for electronics and appliances. However, Dickboarding Goods increased its annual

0:30:08.920 --> 0:30:10.520
<v Speaker 2>projections for comparable sales and growth.

0:30:10.680 --> 0:30:12.080
<v Speaker 3>For more on all of this, we are joined by

0:30:12.120 --> 0:30:15.360
<v Speaker 3>Lindsay Dutch, Bloomberg Intelligence Consumer Hardline Senior Analyst.

0:30:15.760 --> 0:30:18.160
<v Speaker 2>We first asked Lindsay for her take on this week's

0:30:18.160 --> 0:30:19.480
<v Speaker 2>results from Dickboarding Goods.

0:30:19.760 --> 0:30:23.080
<v Speaker 10>I think Dick's had a strong quarter, you know, again

0:30:23.160 --> 0:30:26.160
<v Speaker 10>stronger than expected, sort of continuing the trend that we've

0:30:26.280 --> 0:30:29.680
<v Speaker 10>seen earlier this year. You know, they have you know,

0:30:29.960 --> 0:30:34.960
<v Speaker 10>the items that kids these days want in footwear, athletic apparel,

0:30:35.960 --> 0:30:39.440
<v Speaker 10>and their exclusive sort of vertical brands are also doing very,

0:30:39.600 --> 0:30:42.760
<v Speaker 10>very well and that really supported that back to school

0:30:43.000 --> 0:30:45.040
<v Speaker 10>and it gives a lot of optimism when we think

0:30:45.080 --> 0:30:47.000
<v Speaker 10>about holiday and the fourth quarter coming out.

0:30:47.320 --> 0:30:49.760
<v Speaker 3>So I realized that Best Buy and Dick's are different stores,

0:30:49.840 --> 0:30:52.960
<v Speaker 3>but the way you describe dick spoorting goods, it feels

0:30:52.960 --> 0:30:54.520
<v Speaker 3>like it should have been the same for Best Buy

0:30:54.680 --> 0:30:57.520
<v Speaker 3>right back to school. They do have some exclusive items,

0:30:57.560 --> 0:30:58.000
<v Speaker 3>et cetera.

0:30:58.160 --> 0:30:58.520
<v Speaker 6>Why not.

0:31:00.160 --> 0:31:02.720
<v Speaker 10>Yeah, So I think that's a great question, Alex. I think,

0:31:03.040 --> 0:31:05.480
<v Speaker 10>you know, when we think back three months ago, best

0:31:05.520 --> 0:31:09.520
<v Speaker 10>Buy had a great quarter and it was on back

0:31:09.600 --> 0:31:11.600
<v Speaker 10>to school for them. Back to school is a little

0:31:11.600 --> 0:31:13.920
<v Speaker 10>bit more college bias. It does hit a little bit

0:31:14.000 --> 0:31:18.680
<v Speaker 10>earlier in the year then Dix might benefit from and

0:31:19.120 --> 0:31:22.760
<v Speaker 10>the demand for laptops was very strong in the second quarter,

0:31:23.480 --> 0:31:25.960
<v Speaker 10>and you know, best Buy raised their guidance. There was

0:31:26.000 --> 0:31:27.960
<v Speaker 10>strong optimism that we were going to get back to

0:31:28.120 --> 0:31:31.560
<v Speaker 10>growth mode. I still think, you know, there's a possibility

0:31:31.640 --> 0:31:35.640
<v Speaker 10>for a strong holiday for Best Buy laptops did. They

0:31:35.680 --> 0:31:39.240
<v Speaker 10>were up comp sales seven percent in the third quarter,

0:31:39.800 --> 0:31:42.560
<v Speaker 10>but that was overridden by weakness in some of the

0:31:42.680 --> 0:31:48.880
<v Speaker 10>other categories, appliances, home theater being key ones. It sounds

0:31:49.160 --> 0:31:53.000
<v Speaker 10>like they're really leaning into promotions for the fourth quarter

0:31:53.520 --> 0:31:56.760
<v Speaker 10>and really looking to get aggressive with promotion, especially for

0:31:56.840 --> 0:32:00.560
<v Speaker 10>their premium product and things that are exclusive two best

0:32:00.720 --> 0:32:02.520
<v Speaker 10>Buy to really.

0:32:02.480 --> 0:32:05.560
<v Speaker 2>Draw that shopper in. How's it when you talk to

0:32:05.640 --> 0:32:08.640
<v Speaker 2>your retailer companies that you covered, lindsay, what are they

0:32:08.720 --> 0:32:11.600
<v Speaker 2>saying about just this whole holiday season when all is

0:32:11.600 --> 0:32:13.240
<v Speaker 2>said and done, how's it gonna? Are we gonna have

0:32:13.280 --> 0:32:15.840
<v Speaker 2>growth this year? So better than last year? How are

0:32:15.880 --> 0:32:16.560
<v Speaker 2>thy shaking out?

0:32:17.160 --> 0:32:17.440
<v Speaker 1>Really?

0:32:17.640 --> 0:32:17.840
<v Speaker 6>Yeah?

0:32:17.880 --> 0:32:21.320
<v Speaker 10>So growth looks pretty weak. I also think it's divergent

0:32:22.080 --> 0:32:25.120
<v Speaker 10>sort of like last year. So there's some categories that

0:32:25.240 --> 0:32:28.520
<v Speaker 10>are just in a better position. You know, beauty would

0:32:28.520 --> 0:32:31.160
<v Speaker 10>be one of those sports where you know, where Dix

0:32:31.280 --> 0:32:33.840
<v Speaker 10>is playing is also one of those where just demand

0:32:34.160 --> 0:32:36.880
<v Speaker 10>generally is a little bit stronger. And then we have

0:32:37.000 --> 0:32:41.440
<v Speaker 10>other categories that are still on the weaker side, home appliances,

0:32:42.040 --> 0:32:44.960
<v Speaker 10>and some of that still you know, obviously affects best Buy,

0:32:45.080 --> 0:32:49.080
<v Speaker 10>it also affects companies like william Sonoma RH. We also

0:32:49.160 --> 0:32:52.040
<v Speaker 10>have a bifurcation. I think in the consumer, you know,

0:32:52.120 --> 0:32:55.520
<v Speaker 10>a higher in consumer still seems to be holding up

0:32:55.560 --> 0:32:59.360
<v Speaker 10>pretty well. Dix is another benefactor there. You know, their

0:32:59.560 --> 0:33:03.240
<v Speaker 10>customer base is on the higher income side, whereas best

0:33:03.280 --> 0:33:05.959
<v Speaker 10>Buy is probably a little bit more like the average

0:33:06.000 --> 0:33:09.480
<v Speaker 10>of the overall country. So I think, you know, the

0:33:09.960 --> 0:33:13.120
<v Speaker 10>deal days that these companies are rolling out, you know,

0:33:13.160 --> 0:33:15.960
<v Speaker 10>they each have their own strategies on how they want

0:33:16.000 --> 0:33:19.320
<v Speaker 10>to manage that. But as I said, best Buy is

0:33:19.360 --> 0:33:21.920
<v Speaker 10>going to get very aggressive with those deals. The consumer

0:33:22.240 --> 0:33:26.040
<v Speaker 10>high or low income is very value focused, and we

0:33:26.160 --> 0:33:29.240
<v Speaker 10>may have seen a pause, you know, people holding back

0:33:29.360 --> 0:33:32.000
<v Speaker 10>waiting for those deals in the third quarter results.

0:33:32.480 --> 0:33:34.680
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, it's like she's describing me exactly.

0:33:35.360 --> 0:33:38.640
<v Speaker 2>Hey, lindsay, how about from an industry perspective, when I

0:33:38.920 --> 0:33:41.520
<v Speaker 2>if I ever find myself going into store which I

0:33:41.640 --> 0:33:43.640
<v Speaker 2>hope that doesn't happen. Am I going to find the

0:33:43.680 --> 0:33:44.480
<v Speaker 2>stuff I'm looking for?

0:33:44.680 --> 0:33:44.720
<v Speaker 9>Like?

0:33:44.800 --> 0:33:47.480
<v Speaker 2>Has everybody got the inventory they need?

0:33:47.560 --> 0:33:47.720
<v Speaker 9>Here?

0:33:47.800 --> 0:33:51.479
<v Speaker 2>I don't hear too many you know, supply chain stories anymore.

0:33:52.680 --> 0:33:56.840
<v Speaker 10>Yeah, So supply chain, the supply chain woes of COVID

0:33:57.000 --> 0:33:59.400
<v Speaker 10>have sort of gone away, you know. I think you know,

0:33:59.480 --> 0:34:02.480
<v Speaker 10>retailers you maybe a little over a year ago or

0:34:02.480 --> 0:34:06.000
<v Speaker 10>probably over inventoried. I think inventory is in a healthier

0:34:06.120 --> 0:34:08.880
<v Speaker 10>position this year, you know, for the retailer themselves, but

0:34:09.000 --> 0:34:12.160
<v Speaker 10>also for the shopper. And I think that the retailers

0:34:12.200 --> 0:34:15.760
<v Speaker 10>are working really hard to make that in store experience

0:34:16.040 --> 0:34:18.000
<v Speaker 10>a positive one for those that.

0:34:18.040 --> 0:34:18.560
<v Speaker 2>Go in store.

0:34:18.600 --> 0:34:21.040
<v Speaker 10>But there's also a lot of focus online, so that

0:34:21.200 --> 0:34:25.000
<v Speaker 10>online shopper, you know, best Buy is doing doorbusters again

0:34:25.120 --> 0:34:27.480
<v Speaker 10>this year, but it's it's for that in store shopper,

0:34:27.560 --> 0:34:29.799
<v Speaker 10>but also if you are a member and have the app,

0:34:29.880 --> 0:34:33.200
<v Speaker 10>you could also take advantage of that. So they're really

0:34:33.280 --> 0:34:36.799
<v Speaker 10>looking to you know, capitalize on that experience.

0:34:37.320 --> 0:34:40.520
<v Speaker 3>What about tariffs? What was the impact? How do they

0:34:40.600 --> 0:34:40.920
<v Speaker 3>manage it?

0:34:42.160 --> 0:34:46.279
<v Speaker 10>Yes, so best Buy they have talked about, you know,

0:34:46.520 --> 0:34:50.480
<v Speaker 10>as a big picture, as a percent of cogs, about

0:34:50.560 --> 0:34:55.880
<v Speaker 10>sixty percent of their inventory, you know, is manufactured in China.

0:34:56.480 --> 0:34:59.240
<v Speaker 10>That's about the same as where it was in eighteen

0:34:59.320 --> 0:35:04.640
<v Speaker 10>and nineteen. For the products that they have direct control over.

0:35:05.239 --> 0:35:08.480
<v Speaker 10>The exposure is low, and they've sort of managed that down,

0:35:09.440 --> 0:35:11.239
<v Speaker 10>and they discussed on the call that, you know, the

0:35:11.320 --> 0:35:14.000
<v Speaker 10>burden of that cost is really going to be shared

0:35:14.120 --> 0:35:19.880
<v Speaker 10>between the manufacturer, supplier, the retailer, and the possibly the

0:35:19.960 --> 0:35:24.160
<v Speaker 10>consumer if it comes to that. Dick's exposure is pretty low.

0:35:25.040 --> 0:35:27.760
<v Speaker 10>When I look across my coverage, you know, elf Beauty

0:35:28.200 --> 0:35:31.120
<v Speaker 10>stands out. They have eighty percent of their supply chain

0:35:31.400 --> 0:35:36.320
<v Speaker 10>is manufactured in China, very highly exposed. A company like

0:35:36.440 --> 0:35:39.439
<v Speaker 10>that is looking to lean on price increases to sort

0:35:39.480 --> 0:35:40.760
<v Speaker 10>of manage that type of cost.

0:35:41.200 --> 0:35:44.160
<v Speaker 3>All right. Thanks to Lindsay Dutch, Bloomberg Intelligence Consumer Hardline

0:35:44.200 --> 0:35:44.920
<v Speaker 3>Senior Analyst.

0:35:45.360 --> 0:35:49.880
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