1 00:00:02,560 --> 00:00:07,080 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news. 2 00:00:07,520 --> 00:00:12,119 Speaker 2: European leaders denouncing the strike against Hamas leaders in Doha. 3 00:00:12,320 --> 00:00:15,840 Speaker 2: Joining us now is a former UK ambassador to Kuta 4 00:00:15,960 --> 00:00:18,959 Speaker 2: and a number of other countries, Nicholas Hopton, who is 5 00:00:19,040 --> 00:00:24,640 Speaker 2: non resident Senior Fellow at the Atlantic Council. Nicholas, good morning, 6 00:00:24,640 --> 00:00:27,640 Speaker 2: and thank you for being with us. I wonder whether 7 00:00:27,680 --> 00:00:30,319 Speaker 2: we could start with your thoughts on how much of 8 00:00:30,360 --> 00:00:33,920 Speaker 2: an escalation you believe this is on Israel's part. 9 00:00:34,560 --> 00:00:37,879 Speaker 1: Good morning. I think this is a significant development and 10 00:00:39,200 --> 00:00:43,879 Speaker 1: looks like a major escalation taken by the government of Israel. 11 00:00:45,320 --> 00:00:51,320 Speaker 1: The arguments they have put forward yesterday to justify the attack, 12 00:00:51,680 --> 00:00:56,760 Speaker 1: the assassination of Hamas leaders obviously a terrorist organization, but 13 00:00:56,840 --> 00:01:00,680 Speaker 1: they were sitting in a sovereign country which has a 14 00:01:00,760 --> 00:01:03,120 Speaker 1: right not to be attacked, and it's also a great 15 00:01:03,200 --> 00:01:07,399 Speaker 1: ally of the Western Powers, particularly the United States. So 16 00:01:07,520 --> 00:01:12,319 Speaker 1: the arguments put forward yesterday to justify the attack, while 17 00:01:13,520 --> 00:01:18,319 Speaker 1: in line with perhaps premise Netanya, who's stated war objectives 18 00:01:18,319 --> 00:01:23,960 Speaker 1: from the word go to destroy Hamas, are actually failing 19 00:01:24,000 --> 00:01:28,280 Speaker 1: to justify under international law what has happened and to 20 00:01:28,360 --> 00:01:30,840 Speaker 1: explain why they felt it was necessary to do this 21 00:01:31,760 --> 00:01:37,560 Speaker 1: violating Katar's sovereignty and also without informing their ally the 22 00:01:37,640 --> 00:01:39,080 Speaker 1: United States as well. 23 00:01:39,160 --> 00:01:41,399 Speaker 2: Bureau chief Ethan Bonner that we were just speaking to 24 00:01:41,480 --> 00:01:44,960 Speaker 2: Bloomberg's is Well Buia chief. We're saying that other Gulf 25 00:01:45,000 --> 00:01:48,120 Speaker 2: states want to be rid of Hamas, and so you know, 26 00:01:48,280 --> 00:01:51,760 Speaker 2: other countries may actually not be that sorry that this 27 00:01:51,840 --> 00:01:52,920 Speaker 2: is what Israel is doing. 28 00:01:53,000 --> 00:01:55,600 Speaker 1: Your view, well, there's a big difference between having a 29 00:01:55,600 --> 00:01:58,120 Speaker 1: policy and how you carry it out. And I think 30 00:01:58,160 --> 00:02:02,040 Speaker 1: it's true that country across the Arab world, including in 31 00:02:02,080 --> 00:02:05,720 Speaker 1: the Gulf, and in Europe and elsewhere in the world, 32 00:02:06,080 --> 00:02:09,839 Speaker 1: see Hamas as a terrorist organization which committed appalling atrocities 33 00:02:09,880 --> 00:02:13,760 Speaker 1: on the seventh of October against Israeli citizens, and they 34 00:02:13,800 --> 00:02:16,240 Speaker 1: need to be held accountable and brought to justice for that. 35 00:02:16,800 --> 00:02:19,120 Speaker 1: But there's a difference between having a policy of doing 36 00:02:19,160 --> 00:02:23,600 Speaker 1: that and then breaking international law as a country to 37 00:02:23,720 --> 00:02:25,919 Speaker 1: carry it out, and that seems to be what Israel 38 00:02:25,960 --> 00:02:29,520 Speaker 1: has decided to do and which puts it on the 39 00:02:29,520 --> 00:02:33,080 Speaker 1: wrong side of the international community, all of whom, almost 40 00:02:33,440 --> 00:02:38,640 Speaker 1: without exception, including the United States, Israel's main remaining ally 41 00:02:39,919 --> 00:02:44,200 Speaker 1: in their way, they're prosecuting the war in Gaza has 42 00:02:45,160 --> 00:02:50,359 Speaker 1: They've all come out and unequivocally condemned what Israel did yesterday. 43 00:02:50,720 --> 00:02:54,400 Speaker 3: Nicholas, you talked about the US's role in defending Cutter. 44 00:02:54,560 --> 00:02:56,680 Speaker 3: It has its biggest military base in the Middle East 45 00:02:56,720 --> 00:02:59,960 Speaker 3: in Doha. Does it appear to you that Trump has 46 00:03:00,080 --> 00:03:03,040 Speaker 3: lost control of Benjamin Nettinya who here? Should we be 47 00:03:03,120 --> 00:03:07,560 Speaker 3: worried that perhaps Netanya who would next target Turkey for example, 48 00:03:07,600 --> 00:03:10,760 Speaker 3: where it's thought that how mass leadership is as well well. 49 00:03:11,000 --> 00:03:13,160 Speaker 1: I think this is a deeply embarrassing moment for the 50 00:03:13,160 --> 00:03:17,200 Speaker 1: White House. And it was interesting that after a few hours, 51 00:03:17,280 --> 00:03:20,240 Speaker 1: the White House and then Donald Trump himself came out 52 00:03:20,400 --> 00:03:24,120 Speaker 1: and were very clear that they were unhappy and disagreed 53 00:03:24,160 --> 00:03:28,040 Speaker 1: with what Primeister nessenya Who had done. I think that 54 00:03:28,200 --> 00:03:33,720 Speaker 1: was a decisive move. It's the most most critical statement 55 00:03:33,800 --> 00:03:37,040 Speaker 1: we've seen from the US administration under Donald Trump of 56 00:03:37,280 --> 00:03:42,320 Speaker 1: Israel's prosecution of the conflict in Gaza and elsewhere in 57 00:03:42,360 --> 00:03:45,920 Speaker 1: the West Bank. And I think the question now is 58 00:03:46,920 --> 00:03:49,480 Speaker 1: how does the US follow this up with Israel. Apparently 59 00:03:49,520 --> 00:03:54,840 Speaker 1: there was a conversation between Donald Trump and Benjaminyatu Netahu yesterday. 60 00:03:55,200 --> 00:03:58,680 Speaker 1: I imagine that would have been a difficult conversation. But 61 00:03:59,440 --> 00:04:05,040 Speaker 1: do those critical words turn into a new American engagement 62 00:04:05,160 --> 00:04:09,880 Speaker 1: which tries to bring about a meaningful negotiation towards a 63 00:04:09,920 --> 00:04:14,160 Speaker 1: ceasefire and the release of the hostages, which seems to 64 00:04:14,200 --> 00:04:17,520 Speaker 1: be very far away at this point. I think all 65 00:04:17,560 --> 00:04:20,520 Speaker 1: the questions at the moment are how does the White 66 00:04:20,520 --> 00:04:26,279 Speaker 1: House and the US administration now act following this military 67 00:04:26,360 --> 00:04:27,960 Speaker 1: strike by Israel. 68 00:04:28,360 --> 00:04:31,520 Speaker 2: What's your view on the UK's position in all of this? 69 00:04:31,640 --> 00:04:34,520 Speaker 2: Obviously quite distant, but the Prime Minister putting a post 70 00:04:34,640 --> 00:04:39,719 Speaker 2: on x Kiirs Darmer saying condemning the Israeli strike on Doha, 71 00:04:39,839 --> 00:04:43,279 Speaker 2: saying that it violates Qatar's sovereignty and risk further escalation 72 00:04:43,360 --> 00:04:46,440 Speaker 2: across the region, is that it from the UK government? 73 00:04:47,240 --> 00:04:51,279 Speaker 2: Is what's the UK government's position going to be here? Well? 74 00:04:51,360 --> 00:04:55,719 Speaker 1: I think both Kirs Starmer and President Macron France led 75 00:04:55,760 --> 00:05:01,839 Speaker 1: the European reaction yesterday in condem what it seems to 76 00:05:01,880 --> 00:05:06,920 Speaker 1: be a clear violation of international law. And the next step, 77 00:05:06,960 --> 00:05:10,080 Speaker 1: of course, is something that has already been scheduled, which 78 00:05:10,160 --> 00:05:15,800 Speaker 1: is a meeting in New York in the United Nations 79 00:05:15,839 --> 00:05:19,560 Speaker 1: General Assembly coming up in the next ten days, and 80 00:05:20,400 --> 00:05:24,000 Speaker 1: at that meeting. Britain, France and Canada and maybe others 81 00:05:24,720 --> 00:05:28,479 Speaker 1: have said they will recognize Palestine as an independent sovereign state. 82 00:05:28,920 --> 00:05:31,560 Speaker 1: Now that may be just to politics in the eyes 83 00:05:31,600 --> 00:05:34,440 Speaker 1: of some, but it is a significant step, and I 84 00:05:34,480 --> 00:05:39,159 Speaker 1: think so far Kirstanmer's resolved to do that will have 85 00:05:39,279 --> 00:05:41,760 Speaker 1: been strengthened by what happened yesterday. 86 00:05:42,400 --> 00:05:44,320 Speaker 3: I do just want to come back to the Turkey point, 87 00:05:44,360 --> 00:05:49,000 Speaker 3: because the US complained that they hadn't been given enough 88 00:05:49,040 --> 00:05:51,640 Speaker 3: warning of this attack before it took place. What are 89 00:05:51,640 --> 00:05:53,919 Speaker 3: your thoughts on whether the US had no knowledge of 90 00:05:53,960 --> 00:05:56,960 Speaker 3: the attack and whether we should expect more like this 91 00:05:57,080 --> 00:05:57,719 Speaker 3: in the future. 92 00:05:58,240 --> 00:06:01,960 Speaker 1: Well, briefly on Turkey, it is of course a NATO 93 00:06:02,080 --> 00:06:05,760 Speaker 1: member state and therefore covered by Article five of mutual 94 00:06:05,839 --> 00:06:10,320 Speaker 1: defense if attacked. It's a different situation. Should Israel decide 95 00:06:10,360 --> 00:06:14,039 Speaker 1: to attack Turkey and hamas targets there as opposed to 96 00:06:14,320 --> 00:06:17,760 Speaker 1: attacking Katar, which is not a member of NATO, I 97 00:06:17,760 --> 00:06:20,559 Speaker 1: think that would be an even more significant escalation. Also 98 00:06:20,680 --> 00:06:23,920 Speaker 1: because of course Kata is a Turkey is a much 99 00:06:24,440 --> 00:06:30,920 Speaker 1: more significant global security player than Katar, and Turkey has 100 00:06:31,440 --> 00:06:34,320 Speaker 1: I think, still the biggest standing army in Europe. So 101 00:06:35,240 --> 00:06:39,520 Speaker 1: I would imagine that the Israeli Prime Minister will think 102 00:06:39,560 --> 00:06:46,560 Speaker 1: twice before doing that. As for your second, part of 103 00:06:46,600 --> 00:06:48,360 Speaker 1: the question was on the US. 104 00:06:49,120 --> 00:06:51,320 Speaker 3: And whether they had any knowledge of the attack or 105 00:06:51,440 --> 00:06:54,760 Speaker 3: enough knowledge. Do you believe that they had no knowledge 106 00:06:54,839 --> 00:06:56,200 Speaker 3: of the attack before it took place? 107 00:06:56,720 --> 00:07:00,840 Speaker 1: Well, I've seen different analyses. Frank Gardner, the bb very 108 00:07:00,839 --> 00:07:04,920 Speaker 1: respected security correspondent, was clear yesterday that this attack could 109 00:07:04,960 --> 00:07:07,640 Speaker 1: not have taken place without the American military having been 110 00:07:09,040 --> 00:07:12,920 Speaker 1: in many ways complicit to that. At the same time, 111 00:07:13,760 --> 00:07:16,360 Speaker 1: I think we should take serious note of what the 112 00:07:16,400 --> 00:07:21,840 Speaker 1: White House has made clear and the US spokespeople that 113 00:07:22,200 --> 00:07:25,800 Speaker 1: they didn't have advanced warning, or if they did, then 114 00:07:25,800 --> 00:07:28,760 Speaker 1: it was very not enough in order to stop the attack. 115 00:07:28,800 --> 00:07:32,040 Speaker 1: There's also further confusion in this position because the catteries, 116 00:07:32,440 --> 00:07:37,000 Speaker 1: the cateri primes to shake. Mohammad yesterday, in his press statement, 117 00:07:37,400 --> 00:07:40,760 Speaker 1: said that the catteries were only warned about the military 118 00:07:40,760 --> 00:07:42,640 Speaker 1: strike ten minutes after it happened.