WEBVTT - Bloomberg Businessweek Weekend - April 25th, 2025

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Audio Studios, Podcasts, radio News.

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<v Speaker 2>This is Bloomberg business Week Daily reporting from the magazine

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<v Speaker 2>that helps global leaders stay ahead with insight on the people, companies,

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<v Speaker 2>and trends shaping today's complex economy, plus global business finance

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<v Speaker 2>and tech news as it happens. The Bloomberg Business Week

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<v Speaker 2>Daily Podcast with Carol Masser and Tim Stenebek on Bloomberg Radio.

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<v Speaker 3>Hi, everyone, Welcome to the Bloomberg Business Week Weekend Podcast.

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<v Speaker 3>Another week where it was a given that we would

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<v Speaker 3>talk tariffs, the US China relationship, fed independence, job security

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<v Speaker 3>for Jay Powell, along with a big dose of earnings

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<v Speaker 3>and yes, market volatility, and.

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<v Speaker 1>So that's all ahead as this hour we dig into

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<v Speaker 1>the quarterly updates of two companies, talking supply chains, consumer sentiment,

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<v Speaker 1>and the reality of manufacturing with the CEO of Whirlpool Corporation,

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<v Speaker 1>Mark Bitzer.

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<v Speaker 3>And then it was also a big, big week for

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<v Speaker 3>Tesla as it reported disappointing but not entirely unexpected results

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<v Speaker 3>and getting Elon Musk's presence on the call with analysts

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<v Speaker 3>to announce his soon to come actual presence back at

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<v Speaker 3>or at least is paying more attention to the company

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<v Speaker 3>he runs we will hear from one well known investor

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<v Speaker 3>who owns Tesla's and has at times been a buyer

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<v Speaker 3>and seller of company shares.

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<v Speaker 1>All that to come, we begin with the US China

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<v Speaker 1>trade war, President Trumps signaling an exit ramp may be

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<v Speaker 1>in sight for those sweeping tariffs he's placed on Chinese goods.

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<v Speaker 1>The President said Wednesday that quote everything's active when asked

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<v Speaker 1>if he was engaging with China, and that Beijing was

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<v Speaker 1>quote going to do fine once talks had settled. Meantime,

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<v Speaker 1>US Treasury Secretary Scott Bess and Warren negotiations could take

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<v Speaker 1>up to three years.

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<v Speaker 3>This situation felt really fluid, and there was a lot

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<v Speaker 3>of back and forth throughout the week, which is what

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<v Speaker 3>really kept investors on their toes and markets volatile. Highly

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<v Speaker 3>recommend that you check out the Bloomberg and Bloomberg dot

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<v Speaker 3>com because all of this stuff, as we know, it

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<v Speaker 3>feels like every day there's a whole new batch of headlines,

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<v Speaker 3>especially when it comes to the US China relationship. And

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<v Speaker 3>to help break down the intricate balance between the US

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<v Speaker 3>and China, we turned to Caroline Freund. She is Dean

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<v Speaker 3>of Global Policy and Strategy at uc SAN Diego. She's

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<v Speaker 3>also a former Senior Fellow at the Peterson Institute for

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<v Speaker 3>International Economics, a former Global Director of Trade, Investment and

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<v Speaker 3>Competitiveness at the World Bank, and she also worked at

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<v Speaker 3>the FED and IMF. Her perspective and valuable.

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<v Speaker 1>I want to start with this idea of respect and

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<v Speaker 1>really what it means in the way that China is

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<v Speaker 1>using it in your view in regards to tariffs and

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<v Speaker 1>the tit for tat when it comes to this trade war.

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<v Speaker 4>Yeah, I think you have.

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<v Speaker 5>To take into account that China is a country that

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<v Speaker 5>prides itself on having five thousand years of civilization, so

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<v Speaker 5>a five thousand year history, and they do things gradually.

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<v Speaker 5>They've had the time to learn to do things gradually,

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<v Speaker 5>and Trump is doing things very chaotically and that's not

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<v Speaker 5>something they're used to dealing with.

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<v Speaker 4>There have been comments by.

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<v Speaker 5>Jadie Vance and others talking about peasants lending money to

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<v Speaker 5>buy things made by peasants lending money to the US.

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<v Speaker 5>So this isn't the way to work with China. They

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<v Speaker 5>expect to have a deal worked out by the technical folks,

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<v Speaker 5>and then the leaders to only meet once that deal

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<v Speaker 5>is worked out. So bottom up and gradual, not the

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<v Speaker 5>top down and chaotic that that Trump is initiating.

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<v Speaker 3>So is this just jocking. I keep wondering these two

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<v Speaker 3>economies still kind of need each other or do they not?

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<v Speaker 3>Like is there something we're missing in terms of what's

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<v Speaker 3>going in internally in China? And Tim and I have talked,

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<v Speaker 3>We've listened to some podcasts who said, you know, COVID

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<v Speaker 3>changed a lot of things and a lot of American

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<v Speaker 3>businesses pulled back or executives and eyes on the ground,

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<v Speaker 3>Maybe not so much in China. And there's a lot

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<v Speaker 3>more sophistication in terms of what they are producing and

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<v Speaker 3>how they are doing it that maybe is going unawares

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<v Speaker 3>by the world at large. But help us understand what

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<v Speaker 3>is China today. It's not just a manufacturer of sneakers

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<v Speaker 3>and T shirts.

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<v Speaker 5>No, China is a very advanced country with some of

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<v Speaker 5>the frontier technologies on things like electric vehicles, autonomous driving,

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<v Speaker 5>and even in AI. They've made substantial progress, though they're

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<v Speaker 5>still behind the US. But there is a symbiotic relationship.

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<v Speaker 5>So China is worried about deflation, We're worried about inflation.

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<v Speaker 5>And these are exactly two sides of the same coin

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<v Speaker 5>they have over capacity. We don't really have the capacity

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<v Speaker 5>or know how to do manufacturing anymore. And while there

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<v Speaker 5>have been problems with the relationship, we do need each other.

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<v Speaker 3>And why do we still need each other? Why do

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<v Speaker 3>we still need each other? Because I think there are

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<v Speaker 3>some who say China maybe doesn't I don't know, or

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<v Speaker 3>maybe the US doesn't.

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<v Speaker 5>Well, there are a lot of things we get from

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<v Speaker 5>China that we need to keep our economy going. So

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<v Speaker 5>we live in a world of global supply chains where

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<v Speaker 5>parts and components are coming from China as well as

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<v Speaker 5>other countries. So trying to manufacture in isolation is just

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<v Speaker 5>frankly a non starter. Won't be competitive in a global market.

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<v Speaker 5>China is also sitting on seven hundred billion in US

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<v Speaker 5>dollar assets, so that's another area where China has a

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<v Speaker 5>pretty big trump card to play. I don't think they will.

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<v Speaker 5>It's a country that wants stability. It's a careful in

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<v Speaker 5>any policy move it takes. But we very much need

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<v Speaker 5>each other. We need the goods each other produces, and

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<v Speaker 5>we need to work together and work through this. It's

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<v Speaker 5>not perfect. Some decoupling is probably good, but sudden and

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<v Speaker 5>sharp is going to be painful. And that's why we

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<v Speaker 5>see it. With what's been happening with the stock market now,

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<v Speaker 5>I think we're not only having an own goal, we're

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<v Speaker 5>on our way to an own hat trick.

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<v Speaker 1>The White House Press Secretary Caroline Levit said this week

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<v Speaker 1>that China needs what the US has, which is consumers

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<v Speaker 1>who spend money. Is that accurat in your view?

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<v Speaker 4>Yeah, it is.

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<v Speaker 5>That's why they're suffering deflation, That's why they have excess capacity.

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<v Speaker 5>They need what we have, but we need what they

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<v Speaker 5>have too. We have a population that's used to buying

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<v Speaker 5>things and buying things cheaply. The growth of the Chinese

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<v Speaker 5>economy has been part of what kept inflation so low

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<v Speaker 5>for so long and supported global growth. So yes, they

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<v Speaker 5>need but I wouldn't say that doesn't mean we don't

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<v Speaker 5>need them.

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<v Speaker 4>This is going to hurt us both.

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<v Speaker 5>It may be a question of who it hurts more.

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<v Speaker 5>But there could be a way to make it a

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<v Speaker 5>little softer for both of us.

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<v Speaker 1>You know, one question that I keep asking anyone who

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<v Speaker 1>will speak to me about this is who has the

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<v Speaker 1>leverage in this negotiation between the US and China. You

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<v Speaker 1>said the relationship is symbiotic. These two countries need each other.

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<v Speaker 1>But is there one trading partner that is more powerful

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<v Speaker 1>than the other and why?

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<v Speaker 5>Well, I think initially it looked like the US because

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<v Speaker 5>China's economy is already in a slowdown because of demographics,

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<v Speaker 5>because of their own property issues, property crisis there, so

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<v Speaker 5>it looked like we had more power. They really really

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<v Speaker 5>need our consumer. But there's one thing they have that

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<v Speaker 5>we don't have, which is a population that they can

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<v Speaker 5>control and that is more willing to talk pain than

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<v Speaker 5>the US consumer. So at this point, I think it's

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<v Speaker 5>kind of a toss up.

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<v Speaker 3>So does that just mean President g is willing to

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<v Speaker 3>inflict a little bit more pain maybe on his people

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<v Speaker 3>and means he can kind of fight this fight a

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<v Speaker 3>little bit longer than maybe the US can. Yeah, And

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<v Speaker 3>he has.

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<v Speaker 5>More authorities, so he has complete control of the media.

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<v Speaker 5>So my understanding from Chinese colleagues is that in the

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<v Speaker 5>Chinese press now a lot of people have access to VPNs,

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<v Speaker 5>But in the Chinese press, the average person doesn't know

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<v Speaker 5>that tariffs are over one hundred percent now, so the

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<v Speaker 5>numbers aren't out there, the information isn't out there. There's

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<v Speaker 5>a calm there, and there's an ability to control the economy,

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<v Speaker 5>stimulate the economy, support people that we just frankly don't have,

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<v Speaker 5>as well as the consumer here, who's going to be upset.

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<v Speaker 5>You saw what happen over price of eggs. Imagine when

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<v Speaker 5>that's everything you go to the you go to the

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<v Speaker 5>store for.

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<v Speaker 1>That's a really good point. That is a very good point.

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<v Speaker 4>Hey.

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<v Speaker 1>One of the reasons we wanted to speak to you

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<v Speaker 1>is you have done so much when it comes to trade.

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<v Speaker 1>A reminder, you're a senior fellow at the Peterson Institute

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<v Speaker 1>for International Economics, Global Director of Trade, Investment and Competitiveness

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<v Speaker 1>at the World Bank. How does this trade war end?

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<v Speaker 5>That is the million dollar question. Hopefully it ends with negotiation.

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<v Speaker 5>So there does seem now to be negotiation with other countries.

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<v Speaker 5>Trump has made it clear that if she rings him up,

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<v Speaker 5>he'll take the call. So I think we can get there.

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<v Speaker 5>But right now we have two big trucks driving at

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<v Speaker 5>each other and it looks more like a game of chicken.

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<v Speaker 5>So it's time will tell.

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<v Speaker 3>I guess if the United States aim Caroline is to

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<v Speaker 3>contain the rise of China, if that is the ultimate goal,

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<v Speaker 3>than what I think, that's a really hard thing to do.

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<v Speaker 5>China is a big country, so I think it can

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<v Speaker 5>slow it. I think probably it already has with some

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<v Speaker 5>of the restrictions on technology. That the other side of

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<v Speaker 5>that is it's encouraging innovation in and of itself. So

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<v Speaker 5>the fact that we held back on AI chips probably

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<v Speaker 5>made something like deep Seek more likely. So I don't

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<v Speaker 5>think there's a holding back of a country the size

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<v Speaker 5>of China. So what we need to work towards is

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<v Speaker 5>managing in a world with China and working more.

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<v Speaker 3>Closely with our allies.

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<v Speaker 5>So this could have been handled, in my view, much

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<v Speaker 5>better by working with countries in Europe, countries like Japan

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<v Speaker 5>and Australia, and sort of isolating China that way, couraging

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<v Speaker 5>China to play by the rules that we want to

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<v Speaker 5>set as a globe. The US is less than fifteen

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<v Speaker 5>percent of global trade right now, so there's eighty five

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<v Speaker 5>percent of economic might out there without us. We really

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<v Speaker 5>can't engage in this fight alone, do our allies?

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<v Speaker 1>And I use that term loosely right now, because I

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<v Speaker 1>think a lot of folks would say we're fighting with

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<v Speaker 1>allies right now, at least when it comes to trade.

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<v Speaker 1>Do they feel the same way about China?

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<v Speaker 5>I think they're beginning too. And I think one thing

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<v Speaker 5>this will do is China now needs to sell all

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<v Speaker 5>the goods it's not selling to us somewhere else, and

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<v Speaker 5>other countries are very very worried about that. So in

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<v Speaker 5>that sense, we may pull them along with us, but

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<v Speaker 5>Trump's vitriol has certainly pushed them away. So I think

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<v Speaker 5>we're going to have to see. But I do think

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<v Speaker 5>there's room for that if we behave a little more nicely.

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<v Speaker 3>Ah See, the world would be better if we all

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<v Speaker 3>just were a little bit nicer. It's really kind of

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<v Speaker 3>sim pocomically that now looking at me when you said

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<v Speaker 3>you're super nice. No, I'm not looking at you, but

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<v Speaker 3>I just Carolyne, thank you so much. We were really

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<v Speaker 3>looking to do kind of this deep dive because we

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<v Speaker 3>feel like it certainly is that relationship between the US

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<v Speaker 3>and China so important to kind of what happens next globally.

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<v Speaker 3>She's dean at the UC San Diego School of Global

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<v Speaker 3>Policy and Strategy. Joining us from La Joya, California.

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<v Speaker 2>You're listening to the Bloomberg Business Weekdaily Podcast. Catch us

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<v Speaker 2>live weekday afternoons from two to five pm Eastern. Listen

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<v Speaker 3>Chairs of Whirlpool rally as the company maintained its full

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<v Speaker 3>year financial outlook despite uncertainty over global tariffs, saying their

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<v Speaker 3>long term impact will benefit the company's position in the

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<v Speaker 3>US home appliance market.

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<v Speaker 1>Whirlpool manufactures most of its US bound products in the

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<v Speaker 1>US and expects the new trade restrictions will help the

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<v Speaker 1>company compete against foreign rivals.

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<v Speaker 3>We spoke to l Pool Corporations chairman and CEO Mark

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<v Speaker 3>Bitzer just after the company released it's quarterly update.

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<v Speaker 6>Well, you know, I mean, obviously we saw in our

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<v Speaker 6>earnings release where despite everything else going on, we're pretty

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<v Speaker 6>pleased with our Q one. I mean, we're basically I

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<v Speaker 6>would consider our business largely on track. We hit the

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<v Speaker 6>EPs pretty much in line with consensus. On organic revenues,

0:13:26.280 --> 0:13:28.560
<v Speaker 6>we're up two percent almost six percent margin, which puts

0:13:28.640 --> 0:13:32.080
<v Speaker 6>us on track to our folio guidance, and we're reconfirming guidance. So,

0:13:32.600 --> 0:13:35.200
<v Speaker 6>I mean, obviously it's not all euphoric, but give them

0:13:35.240 --> 0:13:37.320
<v Speaker 6>everything else going on, I think we should feel pretty

0:13:37.360 --> 0:13:39.360
<v Speaker 6>good about being on track in the current environment.

0:13:39.760 --> 0:13:42.000
<v Speaker 1>How would you describe the US consumer right now.

0:13:42.440 --> 0:13:45.640
<v Speaker 6>Yeah, I mean, obviously it's been a lot of all

0:13:45.720 --> 0:13:48.120
<v Speaker 6>utility also a consumer side, and I think, if you

0:13:48.200 --> 0:13:50.040
<v Speaker 6>want to say so, we're probably a little bit the

0:13:50.080 --> 0:13:52.720
<v Speaker 6>cannery and the cole min when it comes to consumer confidence.

0:13:52.760 --> 0:13:54.040
<v Speaker 7>And the reason why I'm saying this one.

0:13:54.080 --> 0:13:56.520
<v Speaker 6>You know, every day, you know, many companies have a

0:13:56.559 --> 0:13:59.200
<v Speaker 6>big order pipeline. Our orders are pretty much seven days.

0:14:00.160 --> 0:14:02.680
<v Speaker 6>I see it pretty fast if consumer orders something or not.

0:14:03.640 --> 0:14:07.800
<v Speaker 6>And we saw actually a very healthy consumer sentiment following

0:14:07.960 --> 0:14:11.600
<v Speaker 6>the election pretty much through January mid February, and then

0:14:11.679 --> 0:14:15.920
<v Speaker 6>we saw a clear deteriation of consumer confidence in particular

0:14:16.040 --> 0:14:18.960
<v Speaker 6>particular my discretionary side of demand and iving.

0:14:19.120 --> 0:14:21.440
<v Speaker 7>That continued to also in Q two. So we see right.

0:14:21.320 --> 0:14:25.040
<v Speaker 6>Now the consumer probably lacks confidence about the financial future

0:14:25.040 --> 0:14:26.880
<v Speaker 6>and holding back discretionary purchases.

0:14:27.120 --> 0:14:30.280
<v Speaker 1>Wellw does that compare with your where consumers have been

0:14:30.360 --> 0:14:32.760
<v Speaker 1>during your tenure at Whirlpool, Because we've spoken to you

0:14:32.840 --> 0:14:36.040
<v Speaker 1>quite a bit over the last few years, throughout through downs,

0:14:36.360 --> 0:14:39.760
<v Speaker 1>through relatively calm periods. How would you describe the consumer

0:14:39.840 --> 0:14:42.080
<v Speaker 1>right now relative to where the consumer has been during

0:14:42.120 --> 0:14:42.600
<v Speaker 1>your tenure?

0:14:43.120 --> 0:14:46.720
<v Speaker 6>Yea, Tim, I've been twenty six years, so you don't

0:14:46.720 --> 0:14:47.560
<v Speaker 6>have enough time to go.

0:14:47.640 --> 0:14:48.640
<v Speaker 7>You give you all the ups and.

0:14:48.640 --> 0:14:50.200
<v Speaker 1>But is it better than the that gives us a

0:14:50.200 --> 0:14:52.560
<v Speaker 1>great view? Is it better than the financial crisis, better

0:14:52.600 --> 0:14:54.600
<v Speaker 1>than the dot com bust? Better than covid?

0:14:55.240 --> 0:14:58.880
<v Speaker 6>You know, it's it's how should I put from an

0:14:58.880 --> 0:15:01.920
<v Speaker 6>economic perspective, it does not from a human perspective. From

0:15:01.920 --> 0:15:04.280
<v Speaker 6>an economic perspective, I think there's a lot of similarities

0:15:04.320 --> 0:15:05.880
<v Speaker 6>to what we saw in the early days of COVID

0:15:06.320 --> 0:15:08.280
<v Speaker 6>and what I'm saying based on consumers.

0:15:08.320 --> 0:15:09.960
<v Speaker 7>It just there's a you know.

0:15:09.920 --> 0:15:13.880
<v Speaker 6>Everyday new messages which don't necessarily help consumer confidence. So

0:15:13.920 --> 0:15:16.760
<v Speaker 6>from a pre consumer confidence perspective, we just want to

0:15:16.800 --> 0:15:18.560
<v Speaker 6>have stability in the message.

0:15:18.640 --> 0:15:21.080
<v Speaker 7>I think consumers can deal with good or bad news.

0:15:21.440 --> 0:15:24.200
<v Speaker 6>It's just the every day changing news and the uncertainty

0:15:24.520 --> 0:15:26.760
<v Speaker 6>which neither helps business investors or consumers.

0:15:26.760 --> 0:15:29.120
<v Speaker 7>And I think so the drop which.

0:15:28.960 --> 0:15:31.560
<v Speaker 6>We've seen kind of in the course of six weeks, yep,

0:15:31.840 --> 0:15:35.080
<v Speaker 6>that was probably among the biggest jobs I've seen. Now

0:15:35.080 --> 0:15:37.080
<v Speaker 6>hopefully at one point it will also come back up again,

0:15:37.600 --> 0:15:40.640
<v Speaker 6>but right now they drop was pretty fast and pretty drastic.

0:15:41.480 --> 0:15:44.040
<v Speaker 3>So we love talking with you. We've got through so

0:15:44.040 --> 0:15:47.200
<v Speaker 3>many cycles together and I'm just thinking of those who

0:15:47.240 --> 0:15:51.040
<v Speaker 3>are watching and listening to Bloomberg Business Week on this Wednesday.

0:15:52.200 --> 0:15:55.080
<v Speaker 3>I am curious about your supply chain, like we are

0:15:55.120 --> 0:15:59.400
<v Speaker 3>all getting a great lesson right in global trade, global

0:15:59.400 --> 0:16:03.120
<v Speaker 3>supply chain, and tell us about your supply chain and

0:16:03.240 --> 0:16:07.480
<v Speaker 3>how the US China or just the US terror of

0:16:07.640 --> 0:16:11.119
<v Speaker 3>trade war is potentially impacting you or making.

0:16:10.840 --> 0:16:11.440
<v Speaker 8>You change it.

0:16:12.680 --> 0:16:14.360
<v Speaker 6>First, well, Carol, I want to give you credit, but

0:16:14.560 --> 0:16:16.800
<v Speaker 6>it took you to question free to raise the ward Tarraff.

0:16:18.360 --> 0:16:19.000
<v Speaker 8>I'm trying.

0:16:19.120 --> 0:16:21.320
<v Speaker 9>I'm trying to kudos to.

0:16:21.320 --> 0:16:25.160
<v Speaker 6>You, you know, And obviously there's a lot of moving

0:16:25.200 --> 0:16:29.160
<v Speaker 6>parts of play. Ultimately comes back to we are kind

0:16:29.200 --> 0:16:32.440
<v Speaker 6>of the only and last American appliance company, and we

0:16:32.560 --> 0:16:34.680
<v Speaker 6>produce eighty percent of what we sell in the US

0:16:34.720 --> 0:16:37.440
<v Speaker 6>in US, and of what we produce in US, more

0:16:37.440 --> 0:16:39.360
<v Speaker 6>than eighty percent of aparts are sourced in the US,

0:16:39.400 --> 0:16:42.480
<v Speaker 6>So we are a domestic producer. I know a lot

0:16:42.480 --> 0:16:44.920
<v Speaker 6>of companies talk about reshoring or on showing. We never

0:16:45.000 --> 0:16:48.440
<v Speaker 6>left Okay, and that's a big difference. So as such,

0:16:49.040 --> 0:16:52.920
<v Speaker 6>even more, we're also faced with some headwinds in particular components,

0:16:52.960 --> 0:16:56.640
<v Speaker 6>et cetera. Ultimately we will be a net winner because

0:16:56.640 --> 0:16:59.480
<v Speaker 6>we're a domestic producer and in this case, this is

0:16:59.480 --> 0:17:00.640
<v Speaker 6>different from our industries.

0:17:00.760 --> 0:17:01.680
<v Speaker 7>There's capacity.

0:17:01.800 --> 0:17:05.560
<v Speaker 6>We have enough capacity, enough factories to fill them, and

0:17:05.880 --> 0:17:08.480
<v Speaker 6>I appreciate other industries. You know, it may take some time,

0:17:08.920 --> 0:17:11.560
<v Speaker 6>but I think ultimately and we all don't know what

0:17:11.600 --> 0:17:14.520
<v Speaker 6>the final final picture of for terifs is, but something

0:17:14.560 --> 0:17:18.320
<v Speaker 6>will be there and we do see us benefiting from

0:17:18.320 --> 0:17:18.840
<v Speaker 6>this one.

0:17:19.400 --> 0:17:22.560
<v Speaker 3>How do you want to see this trade war play out?

0:17:22.600 --> 0:17:28.160
<v Speaker 3>Because I'm assuming that some of these tariffs help you domestically.

0:17:28.800 --> 0:17:31.480
<v Speaker 6>Well, and again I think that probably needs a libit explanation.

0:17:31.520 --> 0:17:34.679
<v Speaker 6>So Carol, actually we're not asking for exemptions. We're not

0:17:34.760 --> 0:17:37.359
<v Speaker 6>asking for tech subsidies or gifts or handouts or whatever

0:17:37.880 --> 0:17:41.600
<v Speaker 6>there are right now in the pre existing so called

0:17:41.640 --> 0:17:44.440
<v Speaker 6>two thirty two and three or one teffs, there are

0:17:44.440 --> 0:17:48.600
<v Speaker 6>loopholes which hurt us and they structurally benefit Asian producers.

0:17:49.160 --> 0:17:52.320
<v Speaker 6>And it's put in simple terms, you know, because the

0:17:52.320 --> 0:17:55.560
<v Speaker 6>two thirty two terriffs, I pay in US for steel

0:17:55.600 --> 0:17:58.560
<v Speaker 6>two or three times more than Asia steel and any

0:17:58.600 --> 0:18:01.000
<v Speaker 6>component which I can't get them US, like an LED

0:18:01.119 --> 0:18:04.399
<v Speaker 6>panel IPAI teriffs. So if the same product is produced

0:18:04.400 --> 0:18:06.760
<v Speaker 6>in Vietnam or Korea. They don't have to pay the

0:18:06.840 --> 0:18:08.720
<v Speaker 6>tariffs and steel they don't have to pay the teriffs

0:18:08.720 --> 0:18:12.760
<v Speaker 6>of components. That difference is big. It's about seventy dollars

0:18:12.800 --> 0:18:14.879
<v Speaker 6>per products and put that in retail price. That basically

0:18:14.880 --> 0:18:17.359
<v Speaker 6>means one hundred and fifty dollars different retail price. So

0:18:17.480 --> 0:18:20.280
<v Speaker 6>all we ask for is just close the loophole. We're

0:18:20.320 --> 0:18:24.280
<v Speaker 6>all in support of having a strong US based steal production.

0:18:24.440 --> 0:18:26.840
<v Speaker 6>I think it's we all agree it's important. Just close

0:18:26.840 --> 0:18:29.280
<v Speaker 6>the loophole. That's all we ask for. So we don't

0:18:29.320 --> 0:18:32.119
<v Speaker 6>ask for special treatment. Just close the loophole. Take the

0:18:32.280 --> 0:18:35.320
<v Speaker 6>disadvantage away. Again, I'm not looking for an unfair advantage.

0:18:35.320 --> 0:18:37.639
<v Speaker 6>We're just looking for a level playing field and then

0:18:37.920 --> 0:18:39.640
<v Speaker 6>when we can compete BAREI well.

0:18:39.920 --> 0:18:42.560
<v Speaker 3>So we're talking, of course with Mark Bitzer. He is

0:18:42.600 --> 0:18:46.160
<v Speaker 3>chief executive officer at Worldpool Corporation, joining us from Michigan.

0:18:46.320 --> 0:18:48.000
<v Speaker 3>One thing I want to ask you what you have

0:18:48.080 --> 0:18:51.840
<v Speaker 3>learned about manufacturing in the United States. Is there a

0:18:51.960 --> 0:18:54.359
<v Speaker 3>lesson or something a message you'd like to share with

0:18:54.640 --> 0:18:56.520
<v Speaker 3>other folks who are saying I can't manufacture in the

0:18:56.600 --> 0:18:57.440
<v Speaker 3>United States.

0:18:58.320 --> 0:19:01.400
<v Speaker 6>You know, and again it's Carol, as you can probably

0:19:02.000 --> 0:19:05.280
<v Speaker 6>tell for my accent, dual citizen of American and German.

0:19:05.600 --> 0:19:08.080
<v Speaker 6>So to say sit here and say I'm staying here

0:19:08.080 --> 0:19:11.400
<v Speaker 6>for patriotic reason, it's probably not credible. US production can

0:19:11.520 --> 0:19:13.640
<v Speaker 6>be working well well, and I really and I'm proud

0:19:13.680 --> 0:19:16.480
<v Speaker 6>of our ten strong factors in the US. And if

0:19:16.480 --> 0:19:18.159
<v Speaker 6>you go to a factory like in clyde O, Hi,

0:19:18.320 --> 0:19:21.640
<v Speaker 6>where you have three generational factor workers, these are proud

0:19:21.680 --> 0:19:23.840
<v Speaker 6>people that have worked very hard. So I know there's

0:19:23.880 --> 0:19:26.360
<v Speaker 6>now a lot of jokes about US manufacturing. You can

0:19:26.480 --> 0:19:30.960
<v Speaker 6>produce in US, and there's a very good skilled workforce

0:19:31.000 --> 0:19:33.880
<v Speaker 6>which you can have as long as we don't harm

0:19:33.960 --> 0:19:36.800
<v Speaker 6>ourselves with kind of you know, issues which make production

0:19:36.880 --> 0:19:40.200
<v Speaker 6>more difficult in US, like steep price and component costs.

0:19:40.320 --> 0:19:43.240
<v Speaker 6>So I really, I know some people are hesitating about

0:19:43.240 --> 0:19:45.359
<v Speaker 6>moving back to US. We have been producing in the

0:19:45.400 --> 0:19:48.000
<v Speaker 6>US for one hundred and fourteen years, this success.

0:19:48.840 --> 0:19:52.840
<v Speaker 1>So you know, I'm curious about since you already produced

0:19:52.840 --> 0:19:54.800
<v Speaker 1>here in the US, and you have eighty percent of

0:19:54.840 --> 0:19:57.920
<v Speaker 1>the production that goes to the US actually being made here,

0:19:58.000 --> 0:20:00.280
<v Speaker 1>plus you source a lot of the parts here, you're

0:20:00.320 --> 0:20:04.320
<v Speaker 1>relatively unaffected by tariffs. Would you say that the tariffs

0:20:04.359 --> 0:20:07.200
<v Speaker 1>that the Trump administration has proposed or is even putting

0:20:07.200 --> 0:20:09.800
<v Speaker 1>on have been a net benefit for your business.

0:20:10.960 --> 0:20:14.479
<v Speaker 6>You know, it's again so far, there's more announcements than

0:20:14.520 --> 0:20:17.000
<v Speaker 6>already action in place. So far what is in places

0:20:17.040 --> 0:20:20.159
<v Speaker 6>for two thirty two and the ten percent tariffs? But

0:20:20.280 --> 0:20:22.160
<v Speaker 6>you know, I go back to and I know there's

0:20:22.200 --> 0:20:25.320
<v Speaker 6>a lot of talk about what the previous Trump administration did,

0:20:25.400 --> 0:20:27.720
<v Speaker 6>but two A one tariffs in twenty eighteen, because I

0:20:27.720 --> 0:20:28.280
<v Speaker 6>know there's.

0:20:28.119 --> 0:20:30.240
<v Speaker 7>A lot of talk about did they raise price or not?

0:20:30.840 --> 0:20:34.280
<v Speaker 6>If you now today look back, these terrfs were put

0:20:34.280 --> 0:20:36.560
<v Speaker 6>in place in twenty eighteen, and where we are today.

0:20:37.160 --> 0:20:40.400
<v Speaker 7>Washer prices today are lower than wevern two or fourteen.

0:20:40.680 --> 0:20:43.359
<v Speaker 6>So tell me one product category which has lower prices

0:20:43.400 --> 0:20:46.240
<v Speaker 6>been two or fourteen and compared to twenty eighteen, there's

0:20:46.240 --> 0:20:48.080
<v Speaker 6>two more factories producing washes in US.

0:20:48.160 --> 0:20:50.120
<v Speaker 7>So from that perspective, what the.

0:20:50.119 --> 0:20:53.399
<v Speaker 6>Prior Trump administration did actually in our industry worked. It

0:20:53.480 --> 0:20:56.200
<v Speaker 6>brought new production and the prices did not raise. Now

0:20:56.240 --> 0:20:58.760
<v Speaker 6>there's always some moving parts as you go through this one,

0:20:59.000 --> 0:21:01.640
<v Speaker 6>but it worked. Now that may be different in other industries,

0:21:01.680 --> 0:21:04.720
<v Speaker 6>But I think I know ironersty pretty well you add

0:21:04.720 --> 0:21:08.280
<v Speaker 6>production capacity to ultimately build benefit for consumer.

0:21:08.240 --> 0:21:13.040
<v Speaker 1>Does the risk though, of declining US consumer sentiment as

0:21:13.040 --> 0:21:16.840
<v Speaker 1>a result of rising prices in other categories and concerns

0:21:16.880 --> 0:21:21.920
<v Speaker 1>about uncertainty moving forward? Does that way to a greater

0:21:22.040 --> 0:21:24.520
<v Speaker 1>extent than the benefit that you get from tariffs as

0:21:24.520 --> 0:21:25.920
<v Speaker 1>a US producer of products.

0:21:27.280 --> 0:21:29.480
<v Speaker 6>Yeah, I mean, I think it's a fair question. Of course,

0:21:29.480 --> 0:21:32.040
<v Speaker 6>in the short term there will be call it wobbliness

0:21:32.080 --> 0:21:34.680
<v Speaker 6>along the way. But I think, as I mentioned earlier,

0:21:34.680 --> 0:21:37.760
<v Speaker 6>consumer confidence can drop fast, but it can also increase

0:21:37.760 --> 0:21:38.320
<v Speaker 6>pretty fast.

0:21:39.000 --> 0:21:40.360
<v Speaker 7>We've seen that in Q four.

0:21:40.640 --> 0:21:43.000
<v Speaker 6>So I would say, you know, what I describe on

0:21:43.160 --> 0:21:45.760
<v Speaker 6>a structural capacity is are long term effects. I mean,

0:21:45.800 --> 0:21:48.679
<v Speaker 6>you don't build factories on wheels, but you build them

0:21:48.680 --> 0:21:52.040
<v Speaker 6>for thirty or fifty years. Consumer confidence moves within a quarter.

0:21:52.160 --> 0:21:55.159
<v Speaker 6>So I think even though there may be some volatility

0:21:55.200 --> 0:21:58.400
<v Speaker 6>in consumer confidence, I think the long term benefits will

0:21:58.560 --> 0:22:01.720
<v Speaker 6>clearly output the negatives or term consumer sentiment mark.

0:22:01.760 --> 0:22:03.679
<v Speaker 3>You definitely have a global perspective. I think there's some

0:22:03.720 --> 0:22:06.480
<v Speaker 3>concerns though that the longer this trade back and forth,

0:22:06.560 --> 0:22:09.040
<v Speaker 3>especially between the United States and China, but really between

0:22:09.080 --> 0:22:11.320
<v Speaker 3>the US and the world, that there will be long

0:22:11.440 --> 0:22:13.239
<v Speaker 3>term damage. How do you see it?

0:22:15.080 --> 0:22:17.440
<v Speaker 6>Well, you know it's again I can speak more for

0:22:17.520 --> 0:22:21.359
<v Speaker 6>my industry. I think ultimately what the current administration is

0:22:21.359 --> 0:22:23.440
<v Speaker 6>trying to do in our industry I support, of course,

0:22:23.440 --> 0:22:26.120
<v Speaker 6>because we're a US producer. I think the most important

0:22:26.160 --> 0:22:28.280
<v Speaker 6>thing in matter is not only for our innestry. People

0:22:28.359 --> 0:22:31.600
<v Speaker 6>just want to have predictability. Okay, if you have pretty

0:22:31.680 --> 0:22:34.159
<v Speaker 6>much every day changing problem definition, that just makes it

0:22:34.200 --> 0:22:38.240
<v Speaker 6>hard because you don't plan industrial production. You don't make

0:22:38.240 --> 0:22:41.600
<v Speaker 6>industrial decisions if you don't know if that assumption is

0:22:41.600 --> 0:22:42.240
<v Speaker 6>true tomorrow.

0:22:42.320 --> 0:22:45.480
<v Speaker 7>So I think everybody will deal with whatever.

0:22:45.240 --> 0:22:47.800
<v Speaker 6>It is if I know this is now, that's a

0:22:47.840 --> 0:22:49.639
<v Speaker 6>picture and it's going to be stable and people can

0:22:50.119 --> 0:22:52.480
<v Speaker 6>count on this one. So I think it's more stability

0:22:52.480 --> 0:22:56.080
<v Speaker 6>and predictability more than anything else, which I would be

0:22:56.119 --> 0:22:56.600
<v Speaker 6>hoping for.

0:22:56.960 --> 0:23:00.600
<v Speaker 1>You mentioned that much of the sourcing you do for

0:23:00.720 --> 0:23:05.600
<v Speaker 1>the US based production is actually domestic sourcing. Still, I

0:23:05.600 --> 0:23:08.760
<v Speaker 1>imagine there are components that are made outside of the US.

0:23:08.800 --> 0:23:11.679
<v Speaker 1>Do you anticipate any supply chain issues as a result

0:23:11.680 --> 0:23:12.680
<v Speaker 1>of what we've seen happening.

0:23:13.640 --> 0:23:14.840
<v Speaker 7>Yeah, And it's a little bit.

0:23:15.119 --> 0:23:17.600
<v Speaker 6>And part of that is today our disadvantage because there

0:23:17.600 --> 0:23:19.920
<v Speaker 6>are as you point out, some components I can't buy

0:23:19.960 --> 0:23:23.119
<v Speaker 6>in US, like an LED panelful washer, that kind of stuff.

0:23:23.520 --> 0:23:26.600
<v Speaker 6>So today we have to pay tariffs, while anybody producing

0:23:26.640 --> 0:23:30.720
<v Speaker 6>Thailand Vietnam doesn't have to pay tariffs. I think over time,

0:23:30.880 --> 0:23:34.200
<v Speaker 6>I would expect that for the vast majority of these

0:23:34.240 --> 0:23:37.960
<v Speaker 6>components over time where will be supply based iborn Us

0:23:38.080 --> 0:23:42.159
<v Speaker 6>or Mexico. And we see already some early indications it

0:23:42.200 --> 0:23:44.879
<v Speaker 6>will take its time in particular, and electronics site more

0:23:44.920 --> 0:23:48.200
<v Speaker 6>than anything else, but more of a mechanic parts like motors, etc.

0:23:48.480 --> 0:23:50.160
<v Speaker 7>I think it will be quickly resolved.

0:23:50.359 --> 0:23:50.639
<v Speaker 9>All right.

0:23:50.640 --> 0:23:52.680
<v Speaker 3>I just want to know, have you created a dishwasher

0:23:52.760 --> 0:23:54.840
<v Speaker 3>that my husband I don't have to like argue over

0:23:54.880 --> 0:23:56.439
<v Speaker 3>who's going to load it and unload it. I just

0:23:56.480 --> 0:23:57.879
<v Speaker 3>want to know, how do you have one like that,

0:23:57.920 --> 0:24:00.760
<v Speaker 3>a robotic one that actually unloads and unloads. Have we

0:24:00.800 --> 0:24:01.359
<v Speaker 3>gotten there?

0:24:02.200 --> 0:24:04.159
<v Speaker 6>Yeah, well, if you have a patent, let me know

0:24:04.240 --> 0:24:06.679
<v Speaker 6>and we can hire you as an engineer. You know,

0:24:07.960 --> 0:24:10.840
<v Speaker 6>first of all, I pride ourselves we have the best

0:24:10.840 --> 0:24:14.440
<v Speaker 6>dish washer with the biggest capacity in the industry. Unfortunately,

0:24:14.400 --> 0:24:17.560
<v Speaker 6>it doesn't load itself. I feel the same pain every

0:24:17.640 --> 0:24:19.960
<v Speaker 6>day at home, not every days.

0:24:20.000 --> 0:24:21.920
<v Speaker 7>I'm accused of that every day.

0:24:22.440 --> 0:24:24.879
<v Speaker 3>Hey, listen, one last question. Do we have to be

0:24:24.880 --> 0:24:27.520
<v Speaker 3>worried about a global recession? Is that anything that's on

0:24:27.560 --> 0:24:28.719
<v Speaker 3>your radar? Just real quickly?

0:24:30.400 --> 0:24:32.639
<v Speaker 6>I mean again, That's why I said, Carol Earl. It

0:24:32.680 --> 0:24:36.359
<v Speaker 6>feels a little bit economically to step back to earlier

0:24:36.440 --> 0:24:39.320
<v Speaker 6>days of COVID and whatever else. It's just an uncertain outcome.

0:24:39.480 --> 0:24:44.040
<v Speaker 6>I think right now the odds of a recession have increased.

0:24:44.200 --> 0:24:46.160
<v Speaker 6>I'm not quite sure we're all the way there.

0:24:46.240 --> 0:24:47.160
<v Speaker 7>It depends a lot what.

0:24:47.119 --> 0:24:49.520
<v Speaker 6>Happens the next two three weeks weeks in terms of

0:24:49.520 --> 0:24:53.080
<v Speaker 6>business predictability. But I think we're living with an uncertain outcome,

0:24:53.200 --> 0:24:54.960
<v Speaker 6>and that's what our job is to manage to words that.

0:24:55.119 --> 0:24:56.639
<v Speaker 3>All right, Well, when I get that design for that

0:24:56.680 --> 0:24:58.919
<v Speaker 3>dishwasher that loads and unloads itself, I'll let you know,

0:24:59.000 --> 0:25:01.840
<v Speaker 3>Mark Bits or be Well CEO or Pool Corporation. This

0:25:01.960 --> 0:25:02.520
<v Speaker 3>is Bloomberg.

0:25:08.760 --> 0:25:12.600
<v Speaker 2>This is the Bloomberg Business Week Daily Podcast. Listen live

0:25:12.720 --> 0:25:15.439
<v Speaker 2>each weekday starting at two pm Eastern up on Apple

0:25:15.480 --> 0:25:18.520
<v Speaker 2>car Play and the Android Auto with the Bloomberg Business app.

0:25:18.600 --> 0:25:21.359
<v Speaker 2>You can also listen live on Amazon Alexa from our

0:25:21.400 --> 0:25:25.480
<v Speaker 2>flagship New York station, just say Alexa played Bloomberg eleven.

0:25:25.200 --> 0:25:31.119
<v Speaker 10>Thirty starting next month, yet allocating far more of my

0:25:31.200 --> 0:25:36.720
<v Speaker 10>time to Tesla and now that the major work of

0:25:36.800 --> 0:25:39.399
<v Speaker 10>establishing the Department of Governm Efficiency is done.

0:25:39.560 --> 0:25:42.879
<v Speaker 3>Bettelon Musk on this week's Tesla earnings call with investors

0:25:42.880 --> 0:25:46.639
<v Speaker 3>and analysts, assuring them that he will significantly pull back

0:25:46.680 --> 0:25:49.160
<v Speaker 3>from his work with the US government and pay more

0:25:49.200 --> 0:25:52.520
<v Speaker 3>mind to Tesla. After the carmaker reported its worst quarter.

0:25:52.520 --> 0:25:56.199
<v Speaker 1>Years, investors and analysts have increasingly called for Musk to

0:25:56.240 --> 0:25:58.960
<v Speaker 1>refocus on the company, which is struggling under the weight

0:25:59.000 --> 0:26:02.240
<v Speaker 1>of slumping sales and rising costs from President Trump's trade war.

0:26:02.480 --> 0:26:04.639
<v Speaker 1>Protests too, have sprung up in recent months, and a

0:26:04.680 --> 0:26:07.000
<v Speaker 1>consumer backlash against Musk's government work.

0:26:07.200 --> 0:26:11.040
<v Speaker 3>One especially vocal Tesla shareholder and cyber truck owner is

0:26:11.160 --> 0:26:13.840
<v Speaker 3>Ross Gerber, the co founder, president, and CEO at Gerbert

0:26:13.880 --> 0:26:17.280
<v Speaker 3>Kawasaki Wealth and Investment Management. The firm owns about sixty

0:26:17.320 --> 0:26:19.560
<v Speaker 3>five million dollars worth of Tesla shares.

0:26:19.800 --> 0:26:20.320
<v Speaker 4>I think this.

0:26:20.480 --> 0:26:23.760
<v Speaker 11>Perception that somehow Elon's going to come back to Tesla

0:26:23.840 --> 0:26:26.679
<v Speaker 11>and be working at Tesla more is a false perception

0:26:26.760 --> 0:26:29.600
<v Speaker 11>because I'm also involved with Xai and I'm an investor

0:26:29.600 --> 0:26:31.720
<v Speaker 11>in Xai, so I know exactly what's going on there.

0:26:31.840 --> 0:26:34.600
<v Speaker 4>And they just merged with Twitter and now they're.

0:26:34.320 --> 0:26:37.520
<v Speaker 11>Raising even more capital to even get bigger to compete

0:26:37.520 --> 0:26:40.840
<v Speaker 11>with Chat and all the other llms. And that's his

0:26:40.920 --> 0:26:42.840
<v Speaker 11>main focus, and that's what he really cares about. So

0:26:42.920 --> 0:26:46.439
<v Speaker 11>I think, you know, it's nice what he says, but

0:26:46.600 --> 0:26:48.800
<v Speaker 11>it's what he does that will ultimately matter.

0:26:49.040 --> 0:26:49.280
<v Speaker 9>Well.

0:26:49.280 --> 0:26:50.800
<v Speaker 3>And you know, we love talking to you, and we

0:26:50.880 --> 0:26:53.800
<v Speaker 3>have for a few years now, and you know, we

0:26:53.920 --> 0:26:55.840
<v Speaker 3>always remind and I always go here that you know,

0:26:55.880 --> 0:26:58.080
<v Speaker 3>you're not only just an investor in the company or

0:26:58.240 --> 0:27:02.080
<v Speaker 3>various elon property, but you have owned Tesla.

0:27:02.359 --> 0:27:03.679
<v Speaker 1>He's got a cyber truck.

0:27:03.560 --> 0:27:04.680
<v Speaker 4>Multiply a cyber truck.

0:27:04.800 --> 0:27:05.960
<v Speaker 3>You got a cyber truck.

0:27:06.080 --> 0:27:07.520
<v Speaker 4>But I drive a cyber truck.

0:27:07.680 --> 0:27:09.480
<v Speaker 1>But he still drives a cyber truck.

0:27:09.520 --> 0:27:12.199
<v Speaker 3>It's not so easy to drive a cyber truck, is

0:27:12.280 --> 0:27:13.360
<v Speaker 3>it anymore?

0:27:13.480 --> 0:27:15.960
<v Speaker 11>I drive it right down the middle of Woke Avenue,

0:27:16.040 --> 0:27:18.520
<v Speaker 11>you know what I mean, which is where I live.

0:27:18.840 --> 0:27:21.320
<v Speaker 4>And you know, fortunately.

0:27:21.000 --> 0:27:23.119
<v Speaker 11>Everybody else has a Tesla, so it's kind of hard

0:27:23.600 --> 0:27:25.199
<v Speaker 11>to yell at a guy and a cyber truck from

0:27:25.240 --> 0:27:29.480
<v Speaker 11>your Tesla, right, yeah, And this is probably the biggest

0:27:29.560 --> 0:27:32.639
<v Speaker 11>issue that I have is I feel like Tesla is

0:27:32.680 --> 0:27:36.800
<v Speaker 11>not Elon's company. It's a public company that's owned eighty

0:27:36.880 --> 0:27:40.280
<v Speaker 11>seven percent by the public, not Elon. And now the

0:27:40.320 --> 0:27:45.200
<v Speaker 11>perception going from being this climate friendly, changing the world

0:27:45.200 --> 0:27:48.200
<v Speaker 11>for a better place company to being associated with Elon

0:27:48.320 --> 0:27:50.840
<v Speaker 11>Musk and Donald Trump is really one of the saddest

0:27:50.840 --> 0:27:53.359
<v Speaker 11>things that I can imagine for Tesla's brand. So I

0:27:53.760 --> 0:27:56.600
<v Speaker 11>kind of am like fighting back from that because I'm like, no,

0:27:56.800 --> 0:27:59.840
<v Speaker 11>I drive an environmentally friendly truck and you're yelling at

0:27:59.880 --> 0:28:02.719
<v Speaker 11>me from a Ford F one point fifty. And Henry

0:28:02.760 --> 0:28:05.840
<v Speaker 11>Ford was an actual Nazi, So I'm like, this is

0:28:05.920 --> 0:28:09.520
<v Speaker 11>really odd that an oil loving Nazi driving car guy

0:28:09.640 --> 0:28:10.680
<v Speaker 11>is flicking me off.

0:28:10.800 --> 0:28:13.240
<v Speaker 1>You know, do you like the cyber truck. There's a

0:28:13.240 --> 0:28:17.800
<v Speaker 1>lot of reports online about parts falling off, though I

0:28:17.840 --> 0:28:19.480
<v Speaker 1>have read a lot about how people love it. Hannah

0:28:19.480 --> 0:28:21.800
<v Speaker 1>Elliott loved driving it around last year.

0:28:21.920 --> 0:28:22.520
<v Speaker 4>Do you like it?

0:28:23.040 --> 0:28:26.000
<v Speaker 11>Tesla should be paying me to do ads for the

0:28:26.000 --> 0:28:28.040
<v Speaker 11>cyber truck because I actually love the cyber truck.

0:28:29.080 --> 0:28:31.440
<v Speaker 4>The cyber truck saved my life during the Palisades fire.

0:28:31.720 --> 0:28:34.159
<v Speaker 11>I can give you five reasons why you should have

0:28:34.200 --> 0:28:36.360
<v Speaker 11>a cyber truck. And I can also tell you five

0:28:36.440 --> 0:28:39.280
<v Speaker 11>things that are disappointing about the cyber truck that could

0:28:39.280 --> 0:28:41.560
<v Speaker 11>have been better or could be better in new versions

0:28:41.600 --> 0:28:43.280
<v Speaker 11>of it to make the car sell that.

0:28:44.160 --> 0:28:46.360
<v Speaker 4>You know, so I know the truck in and out,

0:28:46.680 --> 0:28:47.240
<v Speaker 4>and part of.

0:28:47.240 --> 0:28:51.400
<v Speaker 11>The performance on the manufacturing side is very disappointing. I

0:28:51.440 --> 0:28:55.520
<v Speaker 11>have not had those problems personally. My truck has been solid.

0:28:55.880 --> 0:28:57.920
<v Speaker 4>You know. I let some kid drive it. He crashed it.

0:28:57.960 --> 0:29:01.720
<v Speaker 4>They fixed it quickly. You know. The car's been great.

0:29:02.080 --> 0:29:02.880
<v Speaker 4>The car's been great.

0:29:02.920 --> 0:29:05.840
<v Speaker 11>But I can't tell you how important it was to

0:29:05.920 --> 0:29:09.280
<v Speaker 11>my survival actually during one of the hardest periods of

0:29:09.320 --> 0:29:10.040
<v Speaker 11>time of my life.

0:29:10.200 --> 0:29:12.960
<v Speaker 1>Is it because of the air filtration? Like what, yes,

0:29:13.120 --> 0:29:13.920
<v Speaker 1>how did you use it?

0:29:14.240 --> 0:29:14.560
<v Speaker 12>Yeah?

0:29:14.760 --> 0:29:15.760
<v Speaker 4>They all filtrations.

0:29:15.800 --> 0:29:17.320
<v Speaker 11>What saved my life because I was in the middle

0:29:17.320 --> 0:29:19.400
<v Speaker 11>of the fire and I couldn't breathe, and so I

0:29:19.480 --> 0:29:22.160
<v Speaker 11>was trying to fight the fire like an idiot. And

0:29:22.360 --> 0:29:24.920
<v Speaker 11>but this was before the fireman came and saved me.

0:29:25.400 --> 0:29:27.520
<v Speaker 11>And it was so smoky that my and I had

0:29:27.560 --> 0:29:30.000
<v Speaker 11>an N ninety five mass that I was like dying,

0:29:30.120 --> 0:29:32.160
<v Speaker 11>and so I would like jump into the truck, and

0:29:32.200 --> 0:29:35.520
<v Speaker 11>I had the Hepa filter thing running and it works,

0:29:35.800 --> 0:29:37.520
<v Speaker 11>you know, and so I could breathe, and then I

0:29:37.560 --> 0:29:39.800
<v Speaker 11>would jump out of the truck and then like try

0:29:39.840 --> 0:29:42.160
<v Speaker 11>to deal with fire, and then I could only deal

0:29:42.200 --> 0:29:43.640
<v Speaker 11>with that for so long before I have to get

0:29:43.640 --> 0:29:46.440
<v Speaker 11>back in the Other thing about the truck, you know,

0:29:47.000 --> 0:29:47.640
<v Speaker 11>was the tonu.

0:29:47.760 --> 0:29:49.240
<v Speaker 4>You know, it's a hard tone new So when.

0:29:49.160 --> 0:29:50.960
<v Speaker 11>I when I put all my stuff, I was living

0:29:50.960 --> 0:29:53.920
<v Speaker 11>out of my truck for two months and it locks.

0:29:54.120 --> 0:29:56.680
<v Speaker 11>And this is a really nice thing where most pickup

0:29:56.720 --> 0:30:00.000
<v Speaker 11>trucks don't have a way to cover and lock every

0:30:00.080 --> 0:30:02.280
<v Speaker 11>thing in your bed, and so I was able to

0:30:02.560 --> 0:30:03.760
<v Speaker 11>basically keep all my.

0:30:04.000 --> 0:30:06.240
<v Speaker 4>Important belongings safe in this truck.

0:30:06.280 --> 0:30:08.160
<v Speaker 11>And one of the things that happened after the fire

0:30:08.480 --> 0:30:12.640
<v Speaker 11>was people looters were attacking people's cars knowing that they

0:30:12.680 --> 0:30:14.160
<v Speaker 11>had all their stuff in it, and a lot of

0:30:14.160 --> 0:30:17.160
<v Speaker 11>people got stuff stolen out of their cars even after

0:30:17.160 --> 0:30:19.880
<v Speaker 11>they dealt with the fire, which has sucked, you know,

0:30:20.080 --> 0:30:20.560
<v Speaker 11>And that was.

0:30:20.480 --> 0:30:21.440
<v Speaker 4>Not a problem I had.

0:30:21.520 --> 0:30:24.200
<v Speaker 11>So, you know, there are many things about this truck

0:30:24.280 --> 0:30:27.280
<v Speaker 11>that are great, and the story just isn't being told.

0:30:27.480 --> 0:30:30.160
<v Speaker 3>Are you okay, your family, your loved ones okay?

0:30:30.960 --> 0:30:31.280
<v Speaker 9>Now?

0:30:31.880 --> 0:30:37.360
<v Speaker 11>Yeah, my family's great. I'm not okay, I guess it's

0:30:37.400 --> 0:30:39.520
<v Speaker 11>the best way to put it. I've moved back into

0:30:39.520 --> 0:30:41.880
<v Speaker 11>my house. I'm one of the few people that survived

0:30:41.920 --> 0:30:44.840
<v Speaker 11>this fire. The fire ended two blocks from my house

0:30:44.960 --> 0:30:48.160
<v Speaker 11>where I fought it and the fireman ultimately stopped it.

0:30:49.360 --> 0:30:52.520
<v Speaker 11>And so my neighborhood's you know, normal, except nobody lives

0:30:52.520 --> 0:30:53.440
<v Speaker 11>there yet except for me.

0:30:53.920 --> 0:30:54.040
<v Speaker 9>You know.

0:30:54.080 --> 0:30:55.800
<v Speaker 11>I was able to fix my house pretty quickly, and

0:30:56.400 --> 0:30:57.960
<v Speaker 11>I felt it was best for me and my family

0:30:58.000 --> 0:31:01.560
<v Speaker 11>to move back as quickly as possible. And that's been true,

0:31:01.720 --> 0:31:04.840
<v Speaker 11>you know, But I live a very surreal life, you know,

0:31:05.160 --> 0:31:07.120
<v Speaker 11>right next to the edge of hell, and I see

0:31:07.120 --> 0:31:08.040
<v Speaker 11>it every day.

0:31:08.240 --> 0:31:09.000
<v Speaker 4>And it sucks.

0:31:09.040 --> 0:31:12.800
<v Speaker 11>And you know, for me, I'm mostly suffering from you know,

0:31:13.040 --> 0:31:16.800
<v Speaker 11>some level of depression and you know PTSD from the

0:31:16.800 --> 0:31:19.080
<v Speaker 11>event itself, which was really traumatic.

0:31:19.200 --> 0:31:20.960
<v Speaker 4>Like I don't recommend fighting fighters.

0:31:21.080 --> 0:31:25.440
<v Speaker 3>We can only imagine, and we from AFAR watching, you know,

0:31:25.640 --> 0:31:29.800
<v Speaker 3>certainly felt it, but I cann't even imagine seeing it firsthand. Well,

0:31:29.840 --> 0:31:33.080
<v Speaker 3>speaking of challenges, and forgive me for this segue, but

0:31:33.400 --> 0:31:35.360
<v Speaker 3>one of the things that struck me, you know, we've

0:31:35.400 --> 0:31:37.680
<v Speaker 3>been lucky to talk with you. This is you know,

0:31:37.720 --> 0:31:40.160
<v Speaker 3>our second time in the last twenty four hours, and

0:31:40.560 --> 0:31:42.880
<v Speaker 3>one of the things that continue to kind of tim

0:31:42.920 --> 0:31:44.160
<v Speaker 3>and I want to know more and more. And you

0:31:44.320 --> 0:31:46.560
<v Speaker 3>really shed some great color and I want to share

0:31:46.600 --> 0:31:48.800
<v Speaker 3>it with our audience who are watching and listening right

0:31:48.800 --> 0:31:51.160
<v Speaker 3>now who may have missed it yesterday, of what you

0:31:51.240 --> 0:31:53.440
<v Speaker 3>had to say about what's going on in terms of

0:31:53.480 --> 0:31:57.360
<v Speaker 3>EVS in China. I think we don't have any concept

0:31:57.480 --> 0:32:01.640
<v Speaker 3>of how sophisticated, how good they are getting on stuff

0:32:01.800 --> 0:32:03.560
<v Speaker 3>like evs and other things.

0:32:04.120 --> 0:32:06.440
<v Speaker 4>Well, you know, once again, I haven't been to China.

0:32:06.440 --> 0:32:08.800
<v Speaker 11>I only know because I follow all the car companies

0:32:08.840 --> 0:32:13.120
<v Speaker 11>in China, and I you know, there's a big mister

0:32:13.200 --> 0:32:15.640
<v Speaker 11>perception about China. I think, and you saw it a

0:32:15.680 --> 0:32:19.160
<v Speaker 11>little bit with the trade negotiations, like they're somehow behind

0:32:19.240 --> 0:32:23.600
<v Speaker 11>us in technology, and like we're holding back our technology

0:32:23.640 --> 0:32:26.440
<v Speaker 11>from them and that will slow them down.

0:32:26.800 --> 0:32:29.920
<v Speaker 4>That is a wildly incorrect way to look at China.

0:32:30.280 --> 0:32:32.880
<v Speaker 11>If we hold our technology back from China, what happens

0:32:32.920 --> 0:32:36.400
<v Speaker 11>is they develop even better technology because we force them

0:32:36.440 --> 0:32:40.600
<v Speaker 11>to in a way, you know, And they're extremely determined,

0:32:40.640 --> 0:32:44.680
<v Speaker 11>intelligent people who will work extremely hard to achieve.

0:32:44.360 --> 0:32:46.000
<v Speaker 4>Whatever goal they need to achieve.

0:32:46.240 --> 0:32:50.680
<v Speaker 11>And so when Tesla came to China, China was Tesla

0:32:50.720 --> 0:32:52.200
<v Speaker 11>was the first company China said, you can have one

0:32:52.240 --> 0:32:56.120
<v Speaker 11>hundred percent ownership of the factory. Come here with open arms,

0:32:56.480 --> 0:32:58.720
<v Speaker 11>and we had never really seen that before with companies

0:32:59.160 --> 0:33:01.640
<v Speaker 11>we're trying to always made them do a JV where.

0:33:01.520 --> 0:33:03.400
<v Speaker 4>They would own half the company kind of thing.

0:33:03.920 --> 0:33:07.120
<v Speaker 11>And so the part of that strategy was to send

0:33:07.120 --> 0:33:09.800
<v Speaker 11>a whole new generation of Chinese workers to work for

0:33:09.880 --> 0:33:11.600
<v Speaker 11>Tesla to learn how to do stuff.

0:33:11.840 --> 0:33:14.520
<v Speaker 4>And they have and they have, and so.

0:33:14.440 --> 0:33:17.480
<v Speaker 11>You have Chinese entrepreneurialism, which is pretty good for a

0:33:17.480 --> 0:33:20.640
<v Speaker 11>communist country, and then you add in know how and

0:33:20.680 --> 0:33:24.680
<v Speaker 11>government support and you get a pretty potent way to

0:33:24.720 --> 0:33:26.920
<v Speaker 11>develop pretty good vehicles.

0:33:26.960 --> 0:33:28.360
<v Speaker 4>And that's what they've done.

0:33:28.680 --> 0:33:32.120
<v Speaker 11>And so China's built a whole new infrastructure around electric vehicles,

0:33:32.120 --> 0:33:34.520
<v Speaker 11>which was actually my dream for the United States.

0:33:34.560 --> 0:33:37.560
<v Speaker 1>So that raises the question raws, since China's evs are

0:33:37.600 --> 0:33:40.640
<v Speaker 1>so good, should and those are not available here in

0:33:40.680 --> 0:33:43.720
<v Speaker 1>the US, should investors really think about the US being

0:33:44.680 --> 0:33:48.080
<v Speaker 1>the only market for Tesla because it can't compete outside

0:33:48.080 --> 0:33:49.000
<v Speaker 1>of the US.

0:33:49.560 --> 0:33:51.200
<v Speaker 4>No, No, Tesla can compete and.

0:33:51.320 --> 0:33:53.200
<v Speaker 1>Want to compete on Can it compete on price? Can

0:33:53.240 --> 0:33:54.160
<v Speaker 1>it compete on quality?

0:33:54.280 --> 0:33:55.120
<v Speaker 4>It can't. You know.

0:33:55.640 --> 0:33:59.760
<v Speaker 11>Once again, if Tesla had a focused CEO who wanted

0:33:59.800 --> 0:34:02.560
<v Speaker 11>to be the Chinese composition, they could have released that

0:34:02.920 --> 0:34:05.320
<v Speaker 11>cyber cab as a model too, with a steering wheel

0:34:05.360 --> 0:34:08.000
<v Speaker 11>on it, and made that thing for twenty five thousand dollars.

0:34:08.400 --> 0:34:11.120
<v Speaker 11>Like people would buy it. It would be really successful.

0:34:11.239 --> 0:34:12.919
<v Speaker 11>The problem with Tesla is they don't want to sell

0:34:12.920 --> 0:34:15.919
<v Speaker 11>cars anymore. It's fairly obvious. In fact, they work really

0:34:15.920 --> 0:34:18.520
<v Speaker 11>hard to convince people not to buy their cars. I

0:34:18.520 --> 0:34:21.399
<v Speaker 11>mean it's like the CEO every day talks people out

0:34:21.440 --> 0:34:24.880
<v Speaker 11>of the products. So the real issue to me is,

0:34:25.120 --> 0:34:26.640
<v Speaker 11>you know, if you don't really want to sell cars

0:34:26.640 --> 0:34:29.680
<v Speaker 11>and you want to sell cab rides instead or robots, boy,

0:34:29.719 --> 0:34:31.120
<v Speaker 11>that's going to be a long time till it makes

0:34:31.160 --> 0:34:32.880
<v Speaker 11>one hundred billion in revenue.

0:34:32.480 --> 0:34:33.040
<v Speaker 4>You know what I mean.

0:34:33.200 --> 0:34:36.440
<v Speaker 11>Yeah, So the Chinese are like, okay, we're fine with this,

0:34:36.560 --> 0:34:40.000
<v Speaker 11>and Tesla's falling behind and they're attacking everywhere they can.

0:34:40.480 --> 0:34:42.880
<v Speaker 11>The Europeans and the United States have a lot of

0:34:42.920 --> 0:34:47.040
<v Speaker 11>trade barriers against these Chinese vehicles because they're inexpensive and

0:34:47.160 --> 0:34:48.040
<v Speaker 11>they sell very well.

0:34:48.080 --> 0:34:50.960
<v Speaker 4>And I was in Mexico City, all you see are BYD's.

0:34:51.120 --> 0:34:53.799
<v Speaker 11>They can't afford a Tepsla, you know, And so I

0:34:53.840 --> 0:34:59.040
<v Speaker 11>think quality, you know, Europe and the United States more.

0:34:59.080 --> 0:35:01.319
<v Speaker 4>Europe has always won on quality of.

0:35:01.360 --> 0:35:06.399
<v Speaker 11>Vehicles like design and interior style and things like that,

0:35:06.719 --> 0:35:09.600
<v Speaker 11>where China seems to be behind on that. But when

0:35:09.600 --> 0:35:12.600
<v Speaker 11>it comes to technology, China seems to be well ahead.

0:35:12.920 --> 0:35:16.600
<v Speaker 3>All right, Elon gets into your cyber truck. Not exactly,

0:35:16.760 --> 0:35:20.279
<v Speaker 3>not exactly cark karaoke, but you guys have a conversation.

0:35:20.480 --> 0:35:22.879
<v Speaker 1>They know each other. Elon has responded to Ross. I've

0:35:22.920 --> 0:35:26.520
<v Speaker 1>seen the tweets. He knows is an investor in Xai.

0:35:26.760 --> 0:35:29.600
<v Speaker 3>I know he knows you. So what's the thirty second

0:35:29.680 --> 0:35:30.680
<v Speaker 3>question you ask him?

0:35:30.960 --> 0:35:32.400
<v Speaker 11>Why do you think he said he's coming back to

0:35:32.400 --> 0:35:34.440
<v Speaker 11>Tesla because he knows I've been saying it every.

0:35:34.320 --> 0:35:35.759
<v Speaker 4>Day for like months.

0:35:36.920 --> 0:35:38.040
<v Speaker 3>So that's what you ask him.

0:35:38.239 --> 0:35:39.600
<v Speaker 4>Would I say to Elon?

0:35:39.840 --> 0:35:41.279
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, thirty seconds, I.

0:35:41.200 --> 0:35:44.440
<v Speaker 11>Said to Elon when I when I first met Elon

0:35:45.000 --> 0:35:47.760
<v Speaker 11>long ago, when he was tweeting a bunch of garbage

0:35:47.800 --> 0:35:50.120
<v Speaker 11>and Tassla was struggling, I think was the end of

0:35:50.160 --> 0:35:54.399
<v Speaker 11>twenty eighteen, and like I was, like, dude, you got

0:35:54.440 --> 0:35:56.040
<v Speaker 11>to stop tweeting this garbage.

0:35:56.120 --> 0:35:58.799
<v Speaker 4>This was like seven years ago, you know what I mean? Yeah,

0:35:58.800 --> 0:36:01.239
<v Speaker 4>And I was like, how is this the mission? And

0:36:01.280 --> 0:36:03.880
<v Speaker 4>we got to raise money and we got to save Tesla,

0:36:04.000 --> 0:36:05.520
<v Speaker 4>and like this is just not helping.

0:36:05.760 --> 0:36:08.359
<v Speaker 11>And I remember him looking at me sort of like, yeah, right, sure,

0:36:08.640 --> 0:36:10.680
<v Speaker 11>like you think I care what you'd say about my Twitter?

0:36:11.000 --> 0:36:13.800
<v Speaker 11>And I was like please, just like I'm just saying

0:36:13.840 --> 0:36:16.560
<v Speaker 11>this is nicely. And I remember, because I was standing

0:36:16.560 --> 0:36:19.040
<v Speaker 11>with somebody from our investments and people were pretty surprised

0:36:19.080 --> 0:36:21.120
<v Speaker 11>at it. Confronted him about Twitter, and I was a

0:36:21.160 --> 0:36:23.000
<v Speaker 11>little bit nervous because he's a big guy, and.

0:36:23.239 --> 0:36:26.120
<v Speaker 4>You know, I like Elon at the time, and so

0:36:26.200 --> 0:36:28.040
<v Speaker 4>I was trying to be nice, you know.

0:36:29.320 --> 0:36:31.239
<v Speaker 11>And of course he didn't stop tweeting, and he raised

0:36:31.280 --> 0:36:33.399
<v Speaker 11>money the next day, which we invested in Tesla at

0:36:33.400 --> 0:36:37.000
<v Speaker 11>that time, and it was extremely profitable. And I would

0:36:37.000 --> 0:36:39.120
<v Speaker 11>say the same thing to him today, and it's like,

0:36:39.160 --> 0:36:41.319
<v Speaker 11>I don't have to agree with your opinions and your

0:36:41.400 --> 0:36:43.520
<v Speaker 11>viewpoint in life, but do you have to share that

0:36:43.560 --> 0:36:47.160
<v Speaker 11>with everybody all the time. It's not necessary and it's

0:36:47.200 --> 0:36:50.920
<v Speaker 11>not helping you be successful, So why share opinions? That

0:36:50.960 --> 0:36:54.480
<v Speaker 11>are so unpalatable to so many people when it's completely

0:36:54.640 --> 0:36:56.440
<v Speaker 11>hurting you from achieving your goals.

0:36:56.920 --> 0:36:57.959
<v Speaker 4>That's what I would say.

0:36:58.160 --> 0:37:01.359
<v Speaker 3>All right, good stuff. Elon, if you're listening, we'd love

0:37:01.360 --> 0:37:04.760
<v Speaker 3>to hear what you would respond to to Ross. Ross,

0:37:04.800 --> 0:37:06.799
<v Speaker 3>thank you so much for all of it and for

0:37:06.880 --> 0:37:10.320
<v Speaker 3>being so honest and real. Ros Gerber, He's president and CEO.

0:37:10.400 --> 0:37:13.839
<v Speaker 3>Stay safe, be well, of course, of Gerberg Kawasaki Wealth

0:37:13.880 --> 0:37:16.200
<v Speaker 3>and Investment Management. Out there in Santa Monica.

0:37:16.640 --> 0:37:20.640
<v Speaker 2>You're listening to the Bloomberg Business Weekdaily Podcast. Catch us

0:37:20.719 --> 0:37:24.160
<v Speaker 2>live weekday afternoons from two to five pm Eastern. Listen

0:37:24.200 --> 0:37:27.760
<v Speaker 2>on Apple CarPlay and Android Auto with the Bloomberg Business app,

0:37:27.880 --> 0:37:30.239
<v Speaker 2>or watch us live on YouTube.

0:37:30.840 --> 0:37:32.879
<v Speaker 3>Plenty ahead in our second hour of the weekend edition

0:37:32.880 --> 0:37:36.239
<v Speaker 3>of Bloomberg Business Week, including threats to the independence of

0:37:36.280 --> 0:37:39.279
<v Speaker 3>the FED, the most powerful person in Washington, d C.

0:37:39.520 --> 0:37:43.480
<v Speaker 3>That's not named Trump, and the guy who connected President

0:37:43.560 --> 0:37:45.240
<v Speaker 3>Trump to the Manisphere.

0:37:45.680 --> 0:37:48.520
<v Speaker 1>Plus speaking of the President, how his global tariffs may

0:37:48.520 --> 0:37:52.360
<v Speaker 1>affect agriculture, farming, and sustainability. The director of the film

0:37:52.360 --> 0:37:54.319
<v Speaker 1>Common Ground joins us later this hour.

0:37:54.520 --> 0:37:57.719
<v Speaker 3>First up, President Trump raised eyebrows this past week over

0:37:57.760 --> 0:38:00.720
<v Speaker 3>whether he will seek to limit the federal reserves independence

0:38:00.920 --> 0:38:02.600
<v Speaker 3>and try to remove that chair J.

0:38:02.800 --> 0:38:06.400
<v Speaker 1>Powell, which raises the question can the president even do it?

0:38:06.880 --> 0:38:09.879
<v Speaker 1>To better understand it all in the possible long legal fight,

0:38:09.960 --> 0:38:13.040
<v Speaker 1>we reached out to Columbia Law School associate professor levman

0:38:13.120 --> 0:38:15.800
<v Speaker 1>And and Bloomberg Economics editor Molly Smith.

0:38:16.200 --> 0:38:19.200
<v Speaker 12>I mean, it's definitely a serious consideration right now, and

0:38:19.239 --> 0:38:21.560
<v Speaker 12>the way that Trump just keeps going after Powell day

0:38:21.560 --> 0:38:24.839
<v Speaker 12>after day in all of these different tweets, whether people

0:38:24.880 --> 0:38:28.279
<v Speaker 12>are taking seriously this idea of preemptive cuts quote being

0:38:28.320 --> 0:38:31.839
<v Speaker 12>discussed by many that is definitely refutable and not at

0:38:31.840 --> 0:38:32.719
<v Speaker 12>all being priced in.

0:38:32.800 --> 0:38:35.520
<v Speaker 8>I mean, there's a roughly like, I don't know.

0:38:35.520 --> 0:38:38.600
<v Speaker 12>Sixteen percent chance right now looking at the Bloomberg warp

0:38:38.680 --> 0:38:42.200
<v Speaker 12>screen of a rate cut in May, which is coming

0:38:42.239 --> 0:38:43.400
<v Speaker 12>in a week or two.

0:38:43.480 --> 0:38:45.960
<v Speaker 8>So no one's really thinking about that happening right now.

0:38:46.000 --> 0:38:48.600
<v Speaker 12>And if raatecuts are to happen, people are saying that's

0:38:48.600 --> 0:38:52.279
<v Speaker 12>because the economy is going to slow because of Trump's policies,

0:38:52.560 --> 0:38:55.440
<v Speaker 12>not because inflation is slowing, like Key claims exactly.

0:38:55.800 --> 0:38:57.719
<v Speaker 3>Professor man Enn, come on in on all of this.

0:38:57.800 --> 0:39:00.640
<v Speaker 3>The Supreme Court considering a petition from I'm the President

0:39:00.680 --> 0:39:04.600
<v Speaker 3>that could allow him to override some legislation establishing independent

0:39:04.640 --> 0:39:07.760
<v Speaker 3>agencies such as the FED and remove their leaders without

0:39:07.800 --> 0:39:11.440
<v Speaker 3>cause or notice. What exactly is this case about, Why

0:39:11.480 --> 0:39:14.600
<v Speaker 3>are we talking about it, especially since this case does

0:39:14.680 --> 0:39:18.200
<v Speaker 3>not involve any FED officials, and why is it, though

0:39:18.640 --> 0:39:22.680
<v Speaker 3>potentially so significant for the FED, for FED governors and

0:39:22.719 --> 0:39:25.760
<v Speaker 3>perhaps other heads of different organizations in the government.

0:39:26.800 --> 0:39:29.400
<v Speaker 9>So if FED is one of many independent agencies in

0:39:29.440 --> 0:39:34.040
<v Speaker 9>the government and its seven member board enjoy the same

0:39:34.160 --> 0:39:37.360
<v Speaker 9>sort of protection from at will removal by the president

0:39:37.520 --> 0:39:41.520
<v Speaker 9>as other agencies like the Federal Trade Commission, the National

0:39:41.600 --> 0:39:45.880
<v Speaker 9>Labor Relations Board, and President Trump, in his few months

0:39:45.880 --> 0:39:49.759
<v Speaker 9>in office so far, has already challenged the laws protecting

0:39:49.800 --> 0:39:52.759
<v Speaker 9>these officials from removal at pleasure by the president, and

0:39:52.880 --> 0:39:58.799
<v Speaker 9>those challenges he removed several officials illegally. Those challenges are

0:39:58.800 --> 0:40:00.759
<v Speaker 9>making their way through the courts right now, and the

0:40:00.800 --> 0:40:04.360
<v Speaker 9>Supreme Court of the United States is currently considering a

0:40:04.440 --> 0:40:10.319
<v Speaker 9>petition from the government from Trump to allow him to

0:40:10.360 --> 0:40:14.719
<v Speaker 9>push these officials out of office until their cases make

0:40:14.800 --> 0:40:17.000
<v Speaker 9>their way through the whole court, which could be months

0:40:17.000 --> 0:40:20.640
<v Speaker 9>and months, and that petition could be decided this week,

0:40:21.160 --> 0:40:24.360
<v Speaker 9>and if Trump were to prevail, then he could go

0:40:24.440 --> 0:40:29.520
<v Speaker 9>ahead potentially and fire the whole FED Board, not just

0:40:29.680 --> 0:40:33.200
<v Speaker 9>Chair Pale, and those officials if they wanted to challenge

0:40:33.239 --> 0:40:35.600
<v Speaker 9>those removals, would be out of a job during the

0:40:35.640 --> 0:40:36.719
<v Speaker 9>tendency of the litigation.

0:40:36.880 --> 0:40:39.960
<v Speaker 1>Professor Manand given what you know about the case, what

0:40:40.000 --> 0:40:41.920
<v Speaker 1>you know about the arguments and the history, and of

0:40:41.920 --> 0:40:44.640
<v Speaker 1>course the justices as well, do you have a prediction

0:40:45.000 --> 0:40:47.560
<v Speaker 1>what is likely to happen if the Supreme Court Court

0:40:47.640 --> 0:40:48.680
<v Speaker 1>rules one way or the other.

0:40:49.280 --> 0:40:51.799
<v Speaker 9>It's really hard to say. But already we have an

0:40:51.840 --> 0:40:55.440
<v Speaker 9>administrative stay issued by Chief Justice Roberts in this case

0:40:55.480 --> 0:40:59.160
<v Speaker 9>Trumphy Wilcox, which meant that Wilcox, who had been put

0:40:59.239 --> 0:41:02.720
<v Speaker 9>back in her job at the NLRB by the lower court,

0:41:03.120 --> 0:41:05.560
<v Speaker 9>was taken out of her job while the Supreme Court

0:41:05.600 --> 0:41:11.239
<v Speaker 9>considers President Trump's emergency application. That suggests to me that

0:41:11.560 --> 0:41:16.440
<v Speaker 9>there are many members of the Court who might consider

0:41:16.520 --> 0:41:22.839
<v Speaker 9>granting this stay pending appeal on an ongoing basis. I

0:41:22.880 --> 0:41:24.840
<v Speaker 9>think that there are members of the Court who have

0:41:24.920 --> 0:41:29.719
<v Speaker 9>expressed in prior cases real reservations about allowing the expansion

0:41:29.760 --> 0:41:33.920
<v Speaker 9>of presidential power to touch the FED. There's a desire

0:41:34.000 --> 0:41:39.040
<v Speaker 9>to carve out a FED exception. But the more uncertainty

0:41:39.160 --> 0:41:41.680
<v Speaker 9>there is in this space, the more likely we would

0:41:41.719 --> 0:41:45.640
<v Speaker 9>see President Trump potentially testing the boundaries. And so that

0:41:45.719 --> 0:41:49.160
<v Speaker 9>might not mean a removal of Chairpalell, but it could

0:41:49.200 --> 0:41:52.880
<v Speaker 9>mean a removal of Governor Barr, Governor Cook in the

0:41:52.920 --> 0:41:53.640
<v Speaker 9>coming weeks.

0:41:53.880 --> 0:41:57.600
<v Speaker 3>Whatever happened to checks and balances? Professor man Anne, I'm

0:41:57.640 --> 0:42:01.879
<v Speaker 3>just curious. We always just thought this government, how incredible, right,

0:42:01.960 --> 0:42:06.520
<v Speaker 3>three separate branches, checks and balances? Are you, as someone

0:42:07.560 --> 0:42:10.840
<v Speaker 3>who teaches, who studies and the power of the Supreme Court, like,

0:42:10.880 --> 0:42:12.640
<v Speaker 3>are we losing that? Have we lost it?

0:42:13.520 --> 0:42:16.000
<v Speaker 9>We are very much losing checks and balances. This is

0:42:16.040 --> 0:42:19.120
<v Speaker 9>not a new thing. This is the culmination of forty

0:42:19.160 --> 0:42:25.200
<v Speaker 9>plus years of efforts to reconceptualize the presidency under the

0:42:25.239 --> 0:42:29.239
<v Speaker 9>Constitution in such a way that Congress's laws attempting to

0:42:29.280 --> 0:42:33.840
<v Speaker 9>constrain presidential power can be violated by the president. And

0:42:33.960 --> 0:42:36.960
<v Speaker 9>Ronald Reagan was the first really to push this in

0:42:37.040 --> 0:42:39.239
<v Speaker 9>nineteen eighty one when he took office and there was

0:42:39.480 --> 0:42:42.480
<v Speaker 9>a Democratic House, and there have been a Democratic House

0:42:42.520 --> 0:42:47.640
<v Speaker 9>as long as anybody could remember. Reagan administration officials sought

0:42:47.800 --> 0:42:53.200
<v Speaker 9>to assert presidential authority under the Constitution to do certain

0:42:53.239 --> 0:42:55.640
<v Speaker 9>things that they didn't have the votes for in Congress.

0:42:57.120 --> 0:43:00.360
<v Speaker 9>Those moves were ultimately embraced by the Clinton White House,

0:43:00.719 --> 0:43:05.080
<v Speaker 9>and we've had a sort of ever expanding conception that

0:43:05.160 --> 0:43:09.839
<v Speaker 9>the Supreme Court has validated at several points, starting in

0:43:09.920 --> 0:43:12.560
<v Speaker 9>twenty ten with the Roberts Court decision in a case

0:43:12.600 --> 0:43:17.879
<v Speaker 9>called Free Enterprise, which restricted the ability of Congress to

0:43:17.920 --> 0:43:21.879
<v Speaker 9>protect the independence of the PCAOB, the board within the

0:43:21.920 --> 0:43:25.240
<v Speaker 9>sec that regulates accountants. We had a series of cases

0:43:25.280 --> 0:43:30.920
<v Speaker 9>that validated more and more this once fring sort of

0:43:30.960 --> 0:43:35.600
<v Speaker 9>constitutional theory of the presidency. And now we have President

0:43:35.600 --> 0:43:39.200
<v Speaker 9>Trump in his second term trying to do a full

0:43:39.280 --> 0:43:43.200
<v Speaker 9>bear hog of this sort of of this presidentialist theory.

0:43:43.239 --> 0:43:48.600
<v Speaker 9>It's called unitary executive theory, and that is very inconsistent

0:43:48.680 --> 0:43:50.240
<v Speaker 9>with traditional checks and balances.

0:43:50.600 --> 0:43:52.720
<v Speaker 12>Just to expand on this idea of checks and balances,

0:43:52.760 --> 0:43:56.239
<v Speaker 12>it's not so much one that's afforded by the law

0:43:56.239 --> 0:43:58.760
<v Speaker 12>and the different branches of government, but just within the Fed.

0:43:59.160 --> 0:44:02.000
<v Speaker 12>Something that I don't think we speak about enough with

0:44:02.160 --> 0:44:04.799
<v Speaker 12>respect to who makes decisions on interest rates is that

0:44:05.280 --> 0:44:07.880
<v Speaker 12>the Chair of the Fed does not act similarly to

0:44:07.920 --> 0:44:09.240
<v Speaker 12>the President of the United States.

0:44:09.440 --> 0:44:11.560
<v Speaker 8>They don't have executive.

0:44:11.000 --> 0:44:14.760
<v Speaker 12>Power to just unilaterally make a decision for the entire

0:44:15.080 --> 0:44:18.719
<v Speaker 12>Federal Open Market Committee, which is comprised of twelve members,

0:44:18.760 --> 0:44:23.320
<v Speaker 12>which includes the six governors on the board, which Powell

0:44:23.400 --> 0:44:26.440
<v Speaker 12>is one of those people. And to what the professor

0:44:26.520 --> 0:44:29.759
<v Speaker 12>was just saying that if Trump were to remove Powell,

0:44:30.000 --> 0:44:31.759
<v Speaker 12>then that would also then set a president. Is he

0:44:31.840 --> 0:44:34.360
<v Speaker 12>going to go after all these other governors? But again,

0:44:34.440 --> 0:44:37.800
<v Speaker 12>this is a decision that on interest rates.

0:44:38.080 --> 0:44:39.520
<v Speaker 8>It's set by this whole committee.

0:44:39.520 --> 0:44:41.879
<v Speaker 12>It is not just by one person, And there would

0:44:41.880 --> 0:44:45.399
<v Speaker 12>be some real credibility concerns if if new people were

0:44:45.440 --> 0:44:47.680
<v Speaker 12>to come in that all of these other people who

0:44:47.680 --> 0:44:50.239
<v Speaker 12>are on the board or on the committee rather, who

0:44:50.239 --> 0:44:53.759
<v Speaker 12>have been advocating for keeping interest rates steady, are they

0:44:53.800 --> 0:44:55.640
<v Speaker 12>really just going to go along with this new person

0:44:55.760 --> 0:44:57.360
<v Speaker 12>just because Powell was fired.

0:44:57.440 --> 0:44:59.360
<v Speaker 1>Look, I understand why the president wants interest rates to

0:44:59.360 --> 0:45:01.200
<v Speaker 1>be lower. He has background in real estate. He likes

0:45:01.239 --> 0:45:03.320
<v Speaker 1>low rates. You know, we talked about this in the past,

0:45:03.520 --> 0:45:06.600
<v Speaker 1>But Carol, I would think that a leader of a

0:45:06.600 --> 0:45:10.120
<v Speaker 1>country would want a strong, independent federal reserve because of

0:45:10.160 --> 0:45:13.320
<v Speaker 1>the confidence it gives markets and because of the way

0:45:13.360 --> 0:45:16.279
<v Speaker 1>that historically the US has been looked at as as

0:45:16.400 --> 0:45:18.920
<v Speaker 1>Eric just told us, the central Bank for the entire world.

0:45:18.760 --> 0:45:21.319
<v Speaker 3>Gold standard like in terms of the US Central Bank.

0:45:21.360 --> 0:45:24.239
<v Speaker 3>And I do think about this, Molly, that if essentially,

0:45:24.400 --> 0:45:26.719
<v Speaker 3>if it's not just the FED share but goes after

0:45:26.719 --> 0:45:29.360
<v Speaker 3>the other FED governors, that's a whole new ballgame just quickly.

0:45:29.600 --> 0:45:32.160
<v Speaker 12>Yeah, of course, I mean this is we're talking about

0:45:32.160 --> 0:45:34.400
<v Speaker 12>half of the Federal Open Market Committee right there.

0:45:34.440 --> 0:45:36.600
<v Speaker 8>If he goes after all those other people.

0:45:36.400 --> 0:45:40.520
<v Speaker 12>So right, and again all of them are. The thing though,

0:45:40.560 --> 0:45:42.839
<v Speaker 12>that I guess maybe gives me some confidence is that

0:45:43.239 --> 0:45:45.360
<v Speaker 12>no one is calling for these preemptive rate cuts. I

0:45:45.360 --> 0:45:47.600
<v Speaker 12>don't know what economist Trump is going to find who

0:45:47.640 --> 0:45:48.960
<v Speaker 12>is calling for that right now.

0:45:48.840 --> 0:45:50.680
<v Speaker 3>But it also plays into the game of instability if

0:45:50.680 --> 0:45:53.719
<v Speaker 3>we see this kind of movement, both of you, thank

0:45:53.760 --> 0:45:56.960
<v Speaker 3>you so much. Professor Levmanan, thank you, Thank you, Columbia

0:45:57.040 --> 0:45:59.920
<v Speaker 3>Law School Associate Professor of Law, joining us along with

0:46:00.000 --> 0:46:04.960
<v Speaker 3>our Bloomberg News Economics editor Molly Smith right here in studio.

0:46:08.800 --> 0:46:12.680
<v Speaker 2>This is the Bloomberg Business Week Daily Podcast. Listen live

0:46:12.760 --> 0:46:16.000
<v Speaker 2>each weekday starting at two pm Eastern on Apple CarPlay

0:46:16.080 --> 0:46:18.719
<v Speaker 2>and the Android Auto with the Bloomberg Business app. You

0:46:18.760 --> 0:46:21.960
<v Speaker 2>can also listen live on Amazon Alexa from our flagship

0:46:22.000 --> 0:46:25.600
<v Speaker 2>New York station Just Say Alexa played Bloomberg eleven thirty.

0:46:27.040 --> 0:46:29.680
<v Speaker 3>Now, as President Trump continues to challenge the long standing

0:46:29.840 --> 0:46:32.560
<v Speaker 3>order of many things inside and outside the United States,

0:46:33.040 --> 0:46:35.120
<v Speaker 3>we were reminded this past week of some of the

0:46:35.120 --> 0:46:37.879
<v Speaker 3>forces that brought him back to the White House. That

0:46:37.920 --> 0:46:41.440
<v Speaker 3>included the predominantly male digital creators that emerged as a

0:46:41.560 --> 0:46:44.280
<v Speaker 3>key force behind Trump's presidential victory.

0:46:44.600 --> 0:46:46.160
<v Speaker 1>And indeed, if you go back to March of twenty

0:46:46.200 --> 0:46:50.359
<v Speaker 1>twenty two, the Nelk Boys, which I hadn't heard about until,

0:46:50.480 --> 0:46:50.799
<v Speaker 1>I mean.

0:46:50.760 --> 0:46:53.520
<v Speaker 3>I learned so much in this story.

0:46:52.719 --> 0:46:55.719
<v Speaker 1>They hosted President Trump on his first podcast. He then

0:46:55.760 --> 0:46:59.440
<v Speaker 1>appeared on several conservative friendly shows, including the ones hosted

0:46:59.480 --> 0:47:02.959
<v Speaker 1>by Joe Naden Ross, Andrew Schultz and THEO Vos.

0:47:02.960 --> 0:47:06.319
<v Speaker 3>I didn't even know there's a Nilk boy. Keep going,

0:47:06.440 --> 0:47:07.279
<v Speaker 3>keep going, all right.

0:47:07.320 --> 0:47:10.160
<v Speaker 1>Out Let's including The Wall Street Journal credited Baron Trump

0:47:10.320 --> 0:47:12.920
<v Speaker 1>for his father's entree into this world, and Baron indeed

0:47:12.960 --> 0:47:17.919
<v Speaker 1>advises on his demographics interests. But it's John Shahiti who

0:47:17.960 --> 0:47:21.120
<v Speaker 1>actually is making the calls to arrange the appearances or

0:47:21.120 --> 0:47:22.160
<v Speaker 1>finding out who can.

0:47:22.280 --> 0:47:24.719
<v Speaker 3>And if you're saying who, well, then maybe you should be.

0:47:24.760 --> 0:47:26.279
<v Speaker 3>And this is why you want to listen, stop what

0:47:26.320 --> 0:47:29.120
<v Speaker 3>you're doing and check out what our Sarah Fryar has

0:47:29.160 --> 0:47:33.040
<v Speaker 3>to say. She writes in Bloomberg BusinessWeek about Shahiti, who's

0:47:33.040 --> 0:47:36.520
<v Speaker 3>now looking pretty critical to President Trump's twenty twenty four win.

0:47:36.680 --> 0:47:39.319
<v Speaker 3>Sarah is Big Tech team leader for Bloomberg News. She's

0:47:39.320 --> 0:47:42.200
<v Speaker 3>also the author of No Filter, the inside story of Instagram,

0:47:42.200 --> 0:47:45.280
<v Speaker 3>and she's out there in our San Francisco. You're all right, Sarah,

0:47:45.320 --> 0:47:47.319
<v Speaker 3>lay it out. Who is John Shahiti.

0:47:48.200 --> 0:47:51.400
<v Speaker 13>Well, he was a manager in the music industry of

0:47:51.560 --> 0:47:56.239
<v Speaker 13>folks who had pop contracts, a big songs in like

0:47:56.360 --> 0:48:03.000
<v Speaker 13>Anita Blila Pond's. He works with several DJs and then

0:48:03.200 --> 0:48:04.800
<v Speaker 13>he realized.

0:48:04.160 --> 0:48:06.439
<v Speaker 3>All right, Tim and I are it feels like you're

0:48:06.480 --> 0:48:08.840
<v Speaker 3>speaking a foreign language. I'm just gonna say, but go ahead,

0:48:08.880 --> 0:48:09.360
<v Speaker 3>go ahead.

0:48:11.920 --> 0:48:13.439
<v Speaker 1>The people keep going.

0:48:14.239 --> 0:48:17.560
<v Speaker 13>So so this is this is a guy who's who's

0:48:17.600 --> 0:48:22.359
<v Speaker 13>running with the music business, doing great, but starting to

0:48:22.640 --> 0:48:24.799
<v Speaker 13>really warm up to Trump. This is during the first

0:48:24.840 --> 0:48:29.799
<v Speaker 13>Trump term, and he's he's not getting good response when

0:48:29.800 --> 0:48:32.080
<v Speaker 13>he's talking about it. People are kind of shutting him out.

0:48:32.920 --> 0:48:35.120
<v Speaker 13>He doesn't get invited to the parties he used he's

0:48:35.200 --> 0:48:38.040
<v Speaker 13>used to getting invited to. People decided not to include

0:48:38.080 --> 0:48:42.799
<v Speaker 13>him in meetings, and he realizes, instead of shutting up

0:48:42.880 --> 0:48:45.560
<v Speaker 13>about about how much I like Trump, I'm just going

0:48:45.600 --> 0:48:50.120
<v Speaker 13>to leave this industry and go for a new opportunity.

0:48:50.160 --> 0:48:55.040
<v Speaker 13>And he saw podcasting become it is really emerging as

0:48:55.120 --> 0:48:57.680
<v Speaker 13>a way that people were wanting to spend time online.

0:48:57.719 --> 0:49:01.680
<v Speaker 13>The pandemic occurred, it was becoming even more and more

0:49:01.920 --> 0:49:04.560
<v Speaker 13>like a regular consumer behavior. And he's a YouTube guy.

0:49:04.560 --> 0:49:07.080
<v Speaker 13>He's works a lot with digital creators on he was

0:49:07.600 --> 0:49:09.719
<v Speaker 13>you know, the reason I knew him back in the

0:49:09.800 --> 0:49:12.719
<v Speaker 13>day was because of his work on Vine with a

0:49:12.760 --> 0:49:18.600
<v Speaker 13>lot of influencers, Instagram influencers, and so he thinks podcasts

0:49:18.640 --> 0:49:21.040
<v Speaker 13>are going to go big on YouTube, and he starts

0:49:21.080 --> 0:49:23.920
<v Speaker 13>partnering with a lot of those businesses. Now, meanwhile, he

0:49:23.960 --> 0:49:27.320
<v Speaker 13>gets back in touch with his old friend Dana White,

0:49:28.040 --> 0:49:30.760
<v Speaker 13>who's also a very close friend to Trump, who's running

0:49:30.960 --> 0:49:37.719
<v Speaker 13>the Ultimate Fighting Championship, and he decides White decides that

0:49:37.760 --> 0:49:39.920
<v Speaker 13>Shahida needs to know Trump because Trump should be on

0:49:39.920 --> 0:49:43.200
<v Speaker 13>these podcasts reaching young people. And so that's what happens.

0:49:43.440 --> 0:49:47.560
<v Speaker 13>He really works with through White to get to Trump

0:49:47.840 --> 0:49:50.960
<v Speaker 13>and convinces Trump to go on with the k Nelk Boys,

0:49:51.080 --> 0:49:54.640
<v Speaker 13>with THEO Vaughn, with a bunch of these other names

0:49:54.680 --> 0:49:58.880
<v Speaker 13>you listed in a way that he can appeal to

0:50:00.200 --> 0:50:03.000
<v Speaker 13>a voter where they're where they're listening casually. I mean,

0:50:03.000 --> 0:50:05.360
<v Speaker 13>this is maybe somebody who might not be showing up

0:50:05.360 --> 0:50:07.600
<v Speaker 13>at his rallies or might not be watching Fox News.

0:50:07.760 --> 0:50:10.680
<v Speaker 13>Fox News demographic is very much aging at this point,

0:50:11.000 --> 0:50:14.080
<v Speaker 13>and it's somewhere where Trump can cannot be edited. You

0:50:14.080 --> 0:50:18.120
<v Speaker 13>can talk about whatever he wants, and there's not going

0:50:18.160 --> 0:50:21.960
<v Speaker 13>to be a time limit. These podcasts Rogans shows sometimes

0:50:22.160 --> 0:50:25.760
<v Speaker 13>three plus hours long, so it becomes a perfect venue

0:50:25.760 --> 0:50:28.040
<v Speaker 13>for Trump. He kind of has no idea what a

0:50:28.080 --> 0:50:31.200
<v Speaker 13>podcast is. Once he starts doing it, he starts loving

0:50:31.239 --> 0:50:34.200
<v Speaker 13>the response he gets, and he sees he sees the numbers,

0:50:34.680 --> 0:50:38.960
<v Speaker 13>and he's really been embracing this group of podcasters and

0:50:39.000 --> 0:50:44.359
<v Speaker 13>Shahiti and the whole UFC world as part of this

0:50:44.640 --> 0:50:46.000
<v Speaker 13>new era in his presidency.

0:50:46.120 --> 0:50:48.319
<v Speaker 1>We'll talk a little bit about how Shahiti sort of

0:50:48.480 --> 0:50:52.640
<v Speaker 1>went from somebody who wasn't necessarily invited to dinner or

0:50:52.719 --> 0:50:57.280
<v Speaker 1>parties to somebody who's now at UFC fights with members

0:50:57.280 --> 0:51:00.840
<v Speaker 1>of the administration, including the President. What's happened there. And

0:51:00.880 --> 0:51:03.520
<v Speaker 1>also he's been kind of accepted into the tech side

0:51:03.560 --> 0:51:05.879
<v Speaker 1>of things, Sarah, which you cover. You know, he's got

0:51:05.880 --> 0:51:09.360
<v Speaker 1>a direct line too. It sounds like the folks at YouTube,

0:51:09.400 --> 0:51:11.280
<v Speaker 1>at Google's YouTube.

0:51:11.640 --> 0:51:11.839
<v Speaker 2>Well.

0:51:11.880 --> 0:51:16.000
<v Speaker 13>He became a kind of honored guest by the standards

0:51:16.000 --> 0:51:20.600
<v Speaker 13>of Spotify, YouTube and Meta at the inauguration. They realized

0:51:20.640 --> 0:51:24.320
<v Speaker 13>what he'd done here, had this investment in podcasts. Google

0:51:24.360 --> 0:51:27.520
<v Speaker 13>actually spoke to the power of podcasts on his last

0:51:27.520 --> 0:51:30.560
<v Speaker 13>earnings call, and they said that people really tuned in

0:51:30.640 --> 0:51:32.920
<v Speaker 13>to get their news from podcasts ahead of the twenty

0:51:32.960 --> 0:51:36.160
<v Speaker 13>twenty four election, and they credit that as a really

0:51:36.360 --> 0:51:39.680
<v Speaker 13>strong growth area of their YouTube business. So Shihidi was

0:51:39.719 --> 0:51:44.799
<v Speaker 13>pretty early to that market, and he's he's also realizing

0:51:44.960 --> 0:51:49.600
<v Speaker 13>that this is this is where all of the platforms

0:51:49.680 --> 0:51:53.359
<v Speaker 13>are going to go. He knows Elon Musk. He's known

0:51:53.400 --> 0:51:57.800
<v Speaker 13>Elon Musk for years. He brought Elon Musk to fights

0:51:57.840 --> 0:52:01.959
<v Speaker 13>back in the day when he was Representingoy Mayweather worked

0:52:01.960 --> 0:52:04.360
<v Speaker 13>with Justin Bieber Elon Musk. I have a picture of

0:52:04.360 --> 0:52:06.960
<v Speaker 13>them going to fight together in twenty thirteen. So he's

0:52:07.000 --> 0:52:10.279
<v Speaker 13>known Musk for a long time. He invested in x

0:52:11.360 --> 0:52:15.640
<v Speaker 13>in the new rendition of Twitter. So this is the

0:52:15.680 --> 0:52:18.920
<v Speaker 13>crowd that he hangs with, and he's really not so

0:52:19.040 --> 0:52:22.080
<v Speaker 13>much a manager of these podcasters but a business partner,

0:52:22.920 --> 0:52:27.600
<v Speaker 13>and that to him is more more fool proof and

0:52:27.640 --> 0:52:31.120
<v Speaker 13>more unlikely that he will be fired with a change

0:52:31.120 --> 0:52:33.880
<v Speaker 13>in the wins politically. If he's a business partner with

0:52:33.960 --> 0:52:38.040
<v Speaker 13>these guys, they're selling a product together, he's merchandising for them,

0:52:38.160 --> 0:52:41.440
<v Speaker 13>and they have some sort of goal that's not related

0:52:41.480 --> 0:52:45.680
<v Speaker 13>to what advertisers think about content policies, which is another

0:52:45.719 --> 0:52:48.520
<v Speaker 13>big factor in this. In another area where he's very

0:52:48.520 --> 0:52:49.239
<v Speaker 13>aligned with Musk.

0:52:49.400 --> 0:52:52.239
<v Speaker 3>Great strategy until you have a tariff war, trade war

0:52:53.239 --> 0:52:56.160
<v Speaker 3>and those goods and merchandise maybe are produced in China

0:52:56.320 --> 0:53:00.239
<v Speaker 3>and then there's no there's no podcasts.

0:53:00.239 --> 0:53:02.680
<v Speaker 13>That it's rough, but it's rough on everyone at one. Yeah,

0:53:03.400 --> 0:53:05.759
<v Speaker 13>you know, I think that's that's a good point too,

0:53:05.840 --> 0:53:10.040
<v Speaker 13>is that podcasts are are a good that just requires

0:53:10.040 --> 0:53:12.480
<v Speaker 13>some guys in a room talking. In this case, it

0:53:12.560 --> 0:53:15.319
<v Speaker 13>is mostly guys. I mean, this is this is the manisphere.

0:53:15.360 --> 0:53:19.279
<v Speaker 13>This is like ninety eight percent male viewership, podcasts where

0:53:19.320 --> 0:53:24.600
<v Speaker 13>they they're very much you know, the fraternity demographic, and

0:53:24.640 --> 0:53:28.400
<v Speaker 13>these are the people who are who were really encouraged

0:53:28.440 --> 0:53:33.520
<v Speaker 13>by a lot of Shahidi's partners and podcast friends to

0:53:33.680 --> 0:53:35.000
<v Speaker 13>go out and vote for Trump.

0:53:35.120 --> 0:53:36.800
<v Speaker 3>I mean, that's what's kind of cool just thirty seconds.

0:53:36.800 --> 0:53:39.640
<v Speaker 3>I mean, it sounds like the Trump administration realized the

0:53:39.760 --> 0:53:42.160
<v Speaker 3>access that Shahiti has right to.

0:53:42.640 --> 0:53:45.760
<v Speaker 13>And we've written in prior pieces about how the Harris

0:53:45.800 --> 0:53:49.359
<v Speaker 13>campaign realized towards the end that they were they were

0:53:49.360 --> 0:53:51.879
<v Speaker 13>going to need to make a last stitch appeal to men,

0:53:52.000 --> 0:53:53.800
<v Speaker 13>and they tried to make it work out with Rogan,

0:53:53.960 --> 0:53:55.719
<v Speaker 13>they tried to make it work out with THEO Vaughn.

0:53:56.080 --> 0:53:58.160
<v Speaker 13>They had a lot of rules that Trump didn't have

0:53:58.280 --> 0:54:00.640
<v Speaker 13>around what they wanted to say, and they couldn't get

0:54:00.640 --> 0:54:04.640
<v Speaker 13>the scheduling right, and it was hard to convince people

0:54:04.719 --> 0:54:07.000
<v Speaker 13>to act right to say we got to do this,

0:54:07.040 --> 0:54:09.960
<v Speaker 13>We've got to prioritize this, because it didn't seem like

0:54:10.000 --> 0:54:12.160
<v Speaker 13>that was going to be a big deal. But you know,

0:54:12.280 --> 0:54:14.960
<v Speaker 13>in the twenty twenty four lest it really was like

0:54:15.000 --> 0:54:16.360
<v Speaker 13>are women going to show up or are men going

0:54:16.400 --> 0:54:18.080
<v Speaker 13>to show up? And the men did show.

0:54:17.960 --> 0:54:19.799
<v Speaker 3>Up, Yeah, and you got to find them where they

0:54:19.840 --> 0:54:21.920
<v Speaker 3>are at. Sarah Fryar, thank you so much, Big Tech

0:54:21.920 --> 0:54:25.160
<v Speaker 3>team leader Bloomberg News. Check out her book No Filter,

0:54:25.400 --> 0:54:29.560
<v Speaker 3>and check out her story from Bloomberg BusinessWeek. You can

0:54:29.560 --> 0:54:31.360
<v Speaker 3>find it on the Bloomberg and of course at Bloomberg

0:54:31.360 --> 0:54:33.400
<v Speaker 3>dot com. Also in the upcoming new issue of Bloomberg

0:54:33.400 --> 0:54:35.080
<v Speaker 3>Business Week magazine Cool Stuff.

0:54:35.120 --> 0:54:39.080
<v Speaker 2>You're listening to the Bloomberg Business Weekdaily podcast. Catch us

0:54:39.160 --> 0:54:42.640
<v Speaker 2>live weekday afternoons from two to five pm Eastern. Listen

0:54:42.640 --> 0:54:45.880
<v Speaker 2>on Applecarplay and the Android Auto with the Bloomberg Business

0:54:45.920 --> 0:54:48.160
<v Speaker 2>Act or watch us live on YouTube.

0:54:49.000 --> 0:54:52.240
<v Speaker 3>Russell Vote is a Trump loyalist. He's now the Director

0:54:52.280 --> 0:54:55.080
<v Speaker 3>of the Office of Management and Budget. He's also Acting

0:54:55.120 --> 0:54:57.440
<v Speaker 3>director of the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau.

0:54:57.719 --> 0:55:00.840
<v Speaker 1>A self described boring budget guy, he's best known for

0:55:00.880 --> 0:55:03.719
<v Speaker 1>co authoring the nine hundred at page policy playbook of

0:55:03.760 --> 0:55:07.479
<v Speaker 1>the Heritage Foundation's Project twenty twenty five, which has become

0:55:07.520 --> 0:55:09.719
<v Speaker 1>something of a bible for Trump's second term.

0:55:10.080 --> 0:55:13.080
<v Speaker 3>It's Votes think tank that has produced numerous policy papers

0:55:13.120 --> 0:55:16.759
<v Speaker 3>that advocate for such Trump fixations like the annexation of

0:55:16.840 --> 0:55:20.640
<v Speaker 3>Greenland and enacting broad tariffs, among many others.

0:55:20.719 --> 0:55:24.160
<v Speaker 1>And according to Bloomberg BusinessWeek columnist Max Chafkin. It's also

0:55:24.239 --> 0:55:27.200
<v Speaker 1>really Russell Vote, not Elon Musk, who's steering the Trump

0:55:27.239 --> 0:55:32.040
<v Speaker 1>administration's dog crusade. So who is he Russell Vote?

0:55:32.080 --> 0:55:35.040
<v Speaker 14>Well, he is the director of the Office of Management

0:55:35.120 --> 0:55:38.000
<v Speaker 14>and Budget. But more than that, Tim, as you said,

0:55:38.400 --> 0:55:44.319
<v Speaker 14>he is one of the core idealogues behind this presidency.

0:55:44.800 --> 0:55:48.160
<v Speaker 14>So russ Vote, he served as the head of OMB

0:55:48.280 --> 0:55:51.080
<v Speaker 14>at the end of the last Trump presidency. And his

0:55:51.840 --> 0:55:56.239
<v Speaker 14>big idea really goes around executive power. And it's this

0:55:56.400 --> 0:56:00.320
<v Speaker 14>idea that the executive that's the president, Donald try Trump

0:56:00.560 --> 0:56:05.080
<v Speaker 14>should be able to have much much wider discretion to

0:56:05.200 --> 0:56:07.839
<v Speaker 14>run the government and really to run the country. Then

0:56:08.239 --> 0:56:12.560
<v Speaker 14>I think most even either Democrats or Republicans have generally

0:56:12.920 --> 0:56:17.200
<v Speaker 14>allowed in the past. He's also a big time deficit hawk.

0:56:17.800 --> 0:56:19.200
<v Speaker 4>You know, he started his.

0:56:19.040 --> 0:56:22.160
<v Speaker 14>Career working for Phil Graham, uh the he was a

0:56:22.200 --> 0:56:24.840
<v Speaker 14>senator starting in the in the eighties, was one of

0:56:24.880 --> 0:56:28.000
<v Speaker 14>the key people behind the effort to like balance the

0:56:28.000 --> 0:56:30.880
<v Speaker 14>budget in the in the eighties and the nineties. And

0:56:30.960 --> 0:56:34.840
<v Speaker 14>so so Vote has these two threads, one deficit hawkery

0:56:35.200 --> 0:56:38.800
<v Speaker 14>and the other being executive power, and those two things

0:56:39.760 --> 0:56:42.440
<v Speaker 14>work really nicely with what Elon Musk is trying to do,

0:56:42.480 --> 0:56:45.879
<v Speaker 14>because of course DOGE is about both of those things.

0:56:45.880 --> 0:56:48.960
<v Speaker 14>It's about like cutting the deficit, but also sort of

0:56:49.080 --> 0:56:53.080
<v Speaker 14>doing things more aggressively, uh, you know, with the power

0:56:53.080 --> 0:56:56.320
<v Speaker 14>of the presidency, and so so Vote and Elon Musk

0:56:56.520 --> 0:57:00.080
<v Speaker 14>had this kind of interesting alliance, and it especially interesting

0:57:00.120 --> 0:57:02.520
<v Speaker 14>because they're so different. They're like, they couldn't be more

0:57:02.520 --> 0:57:03.680
<v Speaker 14>different from one another.

0:57:03.800 --> 0:57:06.080
<v Speaker 3>All right, So, having said that, we focus so much

0:57:06.120 --> 0:57:08.960
<v Speaker 3>on Elon Musk, he's been the face out there in

0:57:09.000 --> 0:57:11.680
<v Speaker 3>public in the Oval Office when Donald Trump is holding

0:57:11.680 --> 0:57:14.400
<v Speaker 3>the president Donald Trump of course is holding press conference

0:57:14.440 --> 0:57:16.680
<v Speaker 3>about what DOGE is doing, and so on and so forth.

0:57:17.160 --> 0:57:20.560
<v Speaker 3>So I guess there's an assumption that once maybe you know,

0:57:20.600 --> 0:57:24.760
<v Speaker 3>there's been some speculation that maybe Elon Musk his days

0:57:25.120 --> 0:57:29.000
<v Speaker 3>at DOGE are numbered, that that's it. And yet that's

0:57:29.000 --> 0:57:32.080
<v Speaker 3>not the case, is it. If that's all plays out.

0:57:32.360 --> 0:57:35.600
<v Speaker 14>You know, people within the Trump administration definitely don't see

0:57:35.600 --> 0:57:37.720
<v Speaker 14>it that way. I mean, as you say, Carol, at

0:57:37.720 --> 0:57:40.919
<v Speaker 14>some point, Elon Musk is going to have to give

0:57:41.000 --> 0:57:44.800
<v Speaker 14>up his full time role in the Trump administration because

0:57:44.800 --> 0:57:47.680
<v Speaker 14>he is a temporary government employee that is going to

0:57:47.760 --> 0:57:50.040
<v Speaker 14>sunset after one hundred and thirty days. We don't know

0:57:50.080 --> 0:57:54.360
<v Speaker 14>exactly what that'll be, how exactly they're counting the days,

0:57:54.360 --> 0:57:56.520
<v Speaker 14>and it would not surprise me if it stretches on.

0:57:56.960 --> 0:57:59.240
<v Speaker 4>But at some point Musk is going to take a

0:57:59.280 --> 0:57:59.920
<v Speaker 4>step back.

0:58:00.320 --> 0:58:04.880
<v Speaker 14>And and certainly within Trump world, this is seen as

0:58:04.960 --> 0:58:08.280
<v Speaker 14>being part of russ Vote's domain, and and that he

0:58:08.760 --> 0:58:13.000
<v Speaker 14>and and and people around him are ready to pick

0:58:13.040 --> 0:58:15.520
<v Speaker 14>up where Elon Musk left off. And and and it's

0:58:15.560 --> 0:58:17.200
<v Speaker 14>not as if Elon. I don't think Elon Musk is

0:58:17.240 --> 0:58:20.480
<v Speaker 14>going to go away from from from the world of Trump.

0:58:20.600 --> 0:58:23.240
<v Speaker 14>I think he'll still be very vocal on social media,

0:58:23.400 --> 0:58:25.600
<v Speaker 14>but when you're talking about that day to day role,

0:58:26.720 --> 0:58:29.760
<v Speaker 14>it will go away. And if you're thinking that Musk

0:58:29.840 --> 0:58:32.520
<v Speaker 14>going away is going to change the trajectory of of

0:58:32.680 --> 0:58:34.680
<v Speaker 14>what Trump is trying to do, I think you would

0:58:34.680 --> 0:58:38.160
<v Speaker 14>be mistaken because russ Vote has been working on these

0:58:38.200 --> 0:58:42.400
<v Speaker 14>issues for years, long before Elon Musk proposed the idea

0:58:42.440 --> 0:58:46.720
<v Speaker 14>of doje Vote was proposing sort of very similar things

0:58:47.000 --> 0:58:49.560
<v Speaker 14>from his perch as the head of this you know

0:58:49.920 --> 0:58:52.600
<v Speaker 14>MAGA Think Tank as being one of the kind of

0:58:52.640 --> 0:58:55.600
<v Speaker 14>leading lights intellectually in Trump world.

0:58:55.640 --> 0:58:57.800
<v Speaker 3>All Right, and as we've you talked about. I mean,

0:58:58.040 --> 0:59:02.960
<v Speaker 3>he's very different that Elon Musk. And so I do wonder, like,

0:59:03.000 --> 0:59:07.720
<v Speaker 3>what's the speculation about how these cuts and things might

0:59:07.760 --> 0:59:10.560
<v Speaker 3>play out if Elon Musk leaves and vote Vote is

0:59:10.880 --> 0:59:12.120
<v Speaker 3>he's in charge?

0:59:12.720 --> 0:59:15.520
<v Speaker 8>Yeah, I mean the difference is it's almost comical.

0:59:15.600 --> 0:59:18.600
<v Speaker 14>So Musk, of course, he's he loves to be front

0:59:18.600 --> 0:59:22.240
<v Speaker 14>and center, vote, very low profile, barely talks about himself,

0:59:22.280 --> 0:59:25.880
<v Speaker 14>you know, you know, rarely gives interviews, you know, rarely

0:59:26.720 --> 0:59:29.200
<v Speaker 14>gives up any any personal information. You know, we know

0:59:29.280 --> 0:59:31.840
<v Speaker 14>everything there is to know about Elon Musk's personal life. Musk,

0:59:31.920 --> 0:59:36.320
<v Speaker 14>of course, ideologically scattered Vote is very very disciplined, and

0:59:36.520 --> 0:59:39.160
<v Speaker 14>and you know that you could see that in two

0:59:39.160 --> 0:59:39.760
<v Speaker 14>different ways.

0:59:39.760 --> 0:59:40.840
<v Speaker 4>On one hand, I.

0:59:40.760 --> 0:59:43.800
<v Speaker 14>Think there's some people who see Musk kind of working

0:59:43.840 --> 0:59:47.560
<v Speaker 14>against Vote and some of the ideological components of Trump's space.

0:59:47.760 --> 0:59:50.960
<v Speaker 14>On the other hand, Vote and people close to him

0:59:51.160 --> 0:59:53.640
<v Speaker 14>see Musk as this kind of force multiplier, as this

0:59:53.840 --> 0:59:59.520
<v Speaker 14>face of this otherwise maybe political like difficult to sell operation.

0:59:59.640 --> 1:00:03.240
<v Speaker 14>You have the very popular, you know, out there guy

1:00:03.280 --> 1:00:06.680
<v Speaker 14>and Elon Musk representing these changes in the public. Meanwhile,

1:00:06.680 --> 1:00:09.720
<v Speaker 14>behind the scenes, you have russ Vote and his allies

1:00:09.840 --> 1:00:10.760
<v Speaker 14>doing actual work.

1:00:11.120 --> 1:00:13.919
<v Speaker 1>Well, so what have they been able to accomplish thus far?

1:00:14.160 --> 1:00:17.360
<v Speaker 1>Because Project twenty twenty five was brought up during the

1:00:17.400 --> 1:00:21.400
<v Speaker 1>campaign quite a bit in fact by Democrats in the

1:00:21.440 --> 1:00:25.360
<v Speaker 1>president at that time. Distance since himself from Project twenty

1:00:25.400 --> 1:00:27.840
<v Speaker 1>twenty five, what have they been able to accomplish?

1:00:28.560 --> 1:00:29.400
<v Speaker 4>Yeah, there's a lot there.

1:00:29.400 --> 1:00:31.840
<v Speaker 14>I mean, Project twenty twenty five has a large number

1:00:31.880 --> 1:00:35.120
<v Speaker 14>of co authors. In terms of and and there they

1:00:35.160 --> 1:00:37.160
<v Speaker 14>are different positions. Like if you look at the tariff

1:00:37.200 --> 1:00:39.919
<v Speaker 14>section of Project twenty twenty five, there was a pro

1:00:40.080 --> 1:00:42.840
<v Speaker 14>tariff section and an anti tariff section. They're actually like

1:00:42.920 --> 1:00:48.120
<v Speaker 14>two dueling proposals. Vote is pretty much aligned with Trump

1:00:48.160 --> 1:00:50.680
<v Speaker 14>on everything, so he he was for the tariff. He

1:00:50.760 --> 1:00:55.440
<v Speaker 14>was publishing, you know, these very hawkish pieces about tariffs

1:00:55.800 --> 1:00:57.560
<v Speaker 14>in the years running up to the election. And in

1:00:57.680 --> 1:01:01.280
<v Speaker 14>terms of sort of executive of power of this idea

1:01:01.400 --> 1:01:04.640
<v Speaker 14>that Trump should be able to run the government. I mean,

1:01:04.640 --> 1:01:07.240
<v Speaker 14>that is a place where they they're making a lot

1:01:07.240 --> 1:01:09.280
<v Speaker 14>of changes. I mean we're seeing you know, some of

1:01:09.280 --> 1:01:11.880
<v Speaker 14>this has been is caught up in court right now,

1:01:11.960 --> 1:01:16.360
<v Speaker 14>and it's unclear how many of these attempts to you know,

1:01:16.720 --> 1:01:20.880
<v Speaker 14>drastically close or reduce the size of federal agencies.

1:01:20.920 --> 1:01:22.200
<v Speaker 4>How much of that will stick.

1:01:22.560 --> 1:01:24.120
<v Speaker 14>But but you know, in the story we talk about

1:01:24.160 --> 1:01:28.200
<v Speaker 14>the CFPB, that's the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau. Vote is

1:01:28.280 --> 1:01:32.120
<v Speaker 14>also running the cfpv PB and and right now this

1:01:32.240 --> 1:01:34.080
<v Speaker 14>is locked up in court. It's it's not clear what's

1:01:34.080 --> 1:01:36.480
<v Speaker 14>going to happen. But but when you talk to people

1:01:36.800 --> 1:01:39.480
<v Speaker 14>who work there, I mean, nothing is happening right now.

1:01:39.880 --> 1:01:42.760
<v Speaker 14>You know, the agency has not been shuttered, but it

1:01:43.160 --> 1:01:46.040
<v Speaker 14>also is clear that its ability to do stuff has

1:01:46.080 --> 1:01:49.240
<v Speaker 14>been drastically reduced. And so in that sense, he's done

1:01:49.240 --> 1:01:51.160
<v Speaker 14>a lot that said, there is this, there is there

1:01:51.160 --> 1:01:53.400
<v Speaker 14>are the questions around, you know, how much of this

1:01:53.560 --> 1:01:56.360
<v Speaker 14>is gonna is gonna stand in court? How much of

1:01:56.400 --> 1:02:00.000
<v Speaker 14>it will you know, be stand up to congressional scrutin

1:02:00.000 --> 1:02:02.240
<v Speaker 14>a change of power and so on.

1:02:02.280 --> 1:02:03.640
<v Speaker 4>So the jury's still out there.

1:02:03.800 --> 1:02:07.280
<v Speaker 1>Well before the jury was even out there, our team

1:02:07.320 --> 1:02:09.800
<v Speaker 1>spoke to Kevin Roberts, the president of the Heritage Foundation.

1:02:09.880 --> 1:02:13.200
<v Speaker 1>That was back just after President Trump won the election.

1:02:13.480 --> 1:02:15.920
<v Speaker 1>This was on November eleventh. He was on balance of power.

1:02:16.200 --> 1:02:18.720
<v Speaker 1>Check out what he had to say about the opportunity

1:02:18.760 --> 1:02:19.280
<v Speaker 1>that he saw.

1:02:19.320 --> 1:02:22.440
<v Speaker 15>Then we think that this is the beginning of a

1:02:22.440 --> 1:02:26.480
<v Speaker 15>golden era of conservative reform. I will say that because

1:02:26.880 --> 1:02:31.040
<v Speaker 15>the work of Project twenty twenty five represents the conservative movement,

1:02:31.360 --> 1:02:35.840
<v Speaker 15>it would be very difficult for anybody to implement policies

1:02:36.040 --> 1:02:40.080
<v Speaker 15>on education, on the border, on taxation without at least

1:02:40.120 --> 1:02:43.440
<v Speaker 15>consulting those ideas in people. That's not some arrogant or

1:02:43.480 --> 1:02:45.960
<v Speaker 15>hubristic comment on our part. That's just the nature of

1:02:46.000 --> 1:02:47.200
<v Speaker 15>how policy making works.

1:02:47.600 --> 1:02:49.800
<v Speaker 1>That was Kevin Roberts, the president of the Heritage Foundation,

1:02:50.160 --> 1:02:53.480
<v Speaker 1>back on November eleventh, twenty twenty four, joining us on

1:02:53.560 --> 1:02:57.160
<v Speaker 1>a balance of power, Max. When you think about this

1:02:57.360 --> 1:03:04.080
<v Speaker 1>term versus Trump's first term, are there ideological differences because

1:03:04.120 --> 1:03:09.160
<v Speaker 1>of the influence of the Heritage Foundation of Project twenty

1:03:09.200 --> 1:03:12.080
<v Speaker 1>twenty five. Do you see differences in the way that

1:03:12.120 --> 1:03:17.680
<v Speaker 1>he's well making rules or the way that he's putting

1:03:17.680 --> 1:03:20.640
<v Speaker 1>policy into effect? Do you see it for sure?

1:03:21.240 --> 1:03:21.479
<v Speaker 9>Now?

1:03:21.560 --> 1:03:26.000
<v Speaker 14>I think the difference is that during the last Trump presidency,

1:03:26.640 --> 1:03:31.240
<v Speaker 14>Trump came in without this kind of broad base of support.

1:03:31.440 --> 1:03:35.440
<v Speaker 14>You know, it had been a closely contested nomination. You know,

1:03:35.680 --> 1:03:38.840
<v Speaker 14>there were a lot of competing factions within Trump World,

1:03:39.000 --> 1:03:42.360
<v Speaker 14>and in particular, you had this kind of business faction,

1:03:42.520 --> 1:03:45.760
<v Speaker 14>right that was pushing against some of these policies that

1:03:45.760 --> 1:03:47.760
<v Speaker 14>we've been talking about a lot, you know, whether we're

1:03:47.760 --> 1:03:51.680
<v Speaker 14>talking about tariffs or you know, various erratic behavior on

1:03:51.680 --> 1:03:56.040
<v Speaker 14>the economy. And what's happened instead is you have this

1:03:56.200 --> 1:04:01.320
<v Speaker 14>kind of base of committed ideologues who have spent years

1:04:01.680 --> 1:04:04.320
<v Speaker 14>preparing for this moment. That's what Project twenty twenty five

1:04:04.680 --> 1:04:06.960
<v Speaker 14>was all about. It was like, let's well, you know,

1:04:07.040 --> 1:04:09.280
<v Speaker 14>the last time we had this, you know, as they

1:04:09.280 --> 1:04:12.240
<v Speaker 14>see at this like deep state that was thwarting them.

1:04:12.400 --> 1:04:13.640
<v Speaker 3>Now let's now we're going.

1:04:13.640 --> 1:04:16.080
<v Speaker 14>To figure out how to actually do stuff. So what

1:04:16.080 --> 1:04:20.160
<v Speaker 14>they're trying to do is avoid the kind of checks

1:04:20.440 --> 1:04:24.000
<v Speaker 14>of these more moderate factions within Trump world. And Vote

1:04:24.040 --> 1:04:27.680
<v Speaker 14>is a really interesting person here because Vote was kind

1:04:27.720 --> 1:04:31.520
<v Speaker 14>of dead center of some of the biggest controversies of

1:04:31.520 --> 1:04:35.440
<v Speaker 14>the last term. So Vote was involved in holding the

1:04:35.560 --> 1:04:38.320
<v Speaker 14>money up, the aid to Ukraine up that happened through

1:04:38.360 --> 1:04:40.760
<v Speaker 14>the Office of Management and Budget. Now that led to

1:04:40.880 --> 1:04:43.560
<v Speaker 14>obviously an impeachment hearing and everything. As Vote saw it,

1:04:44.000 --> 1:04:46.520
<v Speaker 14>that was the deep state, you know, trying to stop

1:04:46.600 --> 1:04:49.960
<v Speaker 14>Donald Trump. So there's a lot of ways in which

1:04:50.360 --> 1:04:53.640
<v Speaker 14>these the guys involved with Project twenty twenty five, including

1:04:53.680 --> 1:04:56.120
<v Speaker 14>Russ Vote, have been sort of preparing for this moment

1:04:56.120 --> 1:04:57.880
<v Speaker 14>for years, and I think that's one of the reasons

1:04:58.200 --> 1:05:03.160
<v Speaker 14>this presidency has been so much more hardline ideologically than

1:05:03.160 --> 1:05:03.880
<v Speaker 14>the previous one.

1:05:03.920 --> 1:05:05.560
<v Speaker 3>Well, that's what I find interesting. And you go into

1:05:05.560 --> 1:05:09.240
<v Speaker 3>some great history about his time working for Senator Phil Graham,

1:05:09.400 --> 1:05:12.280
<v Speaker 3>I mean, pull out your political history books, but Texas

1:05:12.280 --> 1:05:16.080
<v Speaker 3>Republican fiscal hawk, and you say he certainly had quite

1:05:16.080 --> 1:05:19.400
<v Speaker 3>an impact on vote in terms of where he got

1:05:19.520 --> 1:05:22.200
<v Speaker 3>that from. But I think what's really interesting is, you know,

1:05:22.440 --> 1:05:25.400
<v Speaker 3>this idea of these views on executive power. I mean,

1:05:25.440 --> 1:05:27.800
<v Speaker 3>I think we thought. I mean that, I think is

1:05:27.840 --> 1:05:32.920
<v Speaker 3>what's so fascinating right about this second Trump term, consolidating

1:05:33.080 --> 1:05:36.480
<v Speaker 3>executive power like we've never seen before, and he certainly

1:05:36.520 --> 1:05:37.560
<v Speaker 3>is helping the president do this.

1:05:38.160 --> 1:05:42.160
<v Speaker 14>Yeah, and that's certainly where these kind of libertarian you know,

1:05:42.360 --> 1:05:45.280
<v Speaker 14>Phil Graham has had long an interesting career, but I'd

1:05:45.280 --> 1:05:47.880
<v Speaker 14>say he's more of the sort of libertarian bent than

1:05:47.880 --> 1:05:51.040
<v Speaker 14>somebody like Russ Vote that and that's where the difference.

1:05:50.680 --> 1:05:51.000
<v Speaker 4>Is, right.

1:05:51.040 --> 1:05:53.720
<v Speaker 14>Whereas a lot of these deficit hawks, the old old

1:05:53.760 --> 1:05:57.840
<v Speaker 14>line deficit hawks were really interested in Congress as the

1:05:57.960 --> 1:06:01.240
<v Speaker 14>forcing function for russ vote. It's the executive It's it's

1:06:01.320 --> 1:06:04.080
<v Speaker 14>kind of clearing the field and letting Donald Trump have

1:06:04.240 --> 1:06:06.240
<v Speaker 14>as much leeway as possible.

1:06:06.240 --> 1:06:06.400
<v Speaker 4>You know.

1:06:06.560 --> 1:06:08.680
<v Speaker 14>Of course critics are going to say too much leeway,

1:06:08.720 --> 1:06:12.320
<v Speaker 14>We're you know, bordering on an imperial presidency. And so

1:06:12.440 --> 1:06:16.840
<v Speaker 14>that's the kind of like ideological conflict that's playing out

1:06:16.880 --> 1:06:19.600
<v Speaker 14>behind the scenes, you know, as as Trump does his thing.

1:06:19.760 --> 1:06:22.400
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, it's just you know, fascinating a story like yours.

1:06:22.680 --> 1:06:26.280
<v Speaker 3>You know, the people that are so instrumental in shaping

1:06:26.400 --> 1:06:30.600
<v Speaker 3>what this Trump term looks like. Just really amazing stuff. Max,

1:06:30.680 --> 1:06:32.960
<v Speaker 3>Thank you so much, really appreciate Max Chack and comments

1:06:33.000 --> 1:06:35.440
<v Speaker 3>at Bloomberg BusinessWeek, co host of the Elon Inc. Podcast.

1:06:35.480 --> 1:06:38.440
<v Speaker 3>Check out his story This is on the Bloomberg coming

1:06:38.640 --> 1:06:41.560
<v Speaker 3>also in the new issue of Bloomberg BusinessWeek magazine. Can

1:06:41.600 --> 1:06:42.920
<v Speaker 3>find at Bloomberg dot com too.

1:06:49.160 --> 1:06:53.000
<v Speaker 2>This is the Bloomberg Business Week Daily Podcast. Listen live

1:06:53.120 --> 1:06:56.080
<v Speaker 2>each weekday starting at two pm Eastern on Apple car

1:06:56.080 --> 1:06:58.920
<v Speaker 2>Play and the Android Auto with the Bloomberg Business app.

1:06:58.960 --> 1:07:01.760
<v Speaker 2>You can also listen live on Amazon Alexa from our

1:07:01.800 --> 1:07:05.920
<v Speaker 2>flagship New York station, Just Say Alexa played Bloomberg eleven thirty.

1:07:07.440 --> 1:07:09.920
<v Speaker 3>Earth Day was this past Tuesday, and once again we

1:07:10.000 --> 1:07:12.720
<v Speaker 3>find farmers among those at the center of President Trump's

1:07:12.720 --> 1:07:14.000
<v Speaker 3>trade war with China.

1:07:14.080 --> 1:07:17.400
<v Speaker 1>With lower crop prices and higher costs for farm necessities,

1:07:17.440 --> 1:07:21.280
<v Speaker 1>the threat of retaliatory tariffs can further hurt US farmers.

1:07:21.960 --> 1:07:24.360
<v Speaker 1>That's not all in the US farmers have a deep

1:07:24.400 --> 1:07:26.560
<v Speaker 1>sense of just how dependent they are on China for

1:07:26.600 --> 1:07:29.720
<v Speaker 1>a steady clip of demand, a trade flow that's allowed

1:07:29.720 --> 1:07:32.600
<v Speaker 1>the US to rank among the world's top crop exporters.

1:07:33.280 --> 1:07:36.880
<v Speaker 3>If that trade dramatically shrinks, it would likely spell disastrous

1:07:36.880 --> 1:07:41.760
<v Speaker 3>consequences for the agricultural economy that helps power America's heartland.

1:07:42.160 --> 1:07:45.680
<v Speaker 3>Rebecca Takeuel knows about farming in the United States. She

1:07:45.760 --> 1:07:48.440
<v Speaker 3>is also filmmaker and director, along with her husband Josh,

1:07:48.560 --> 1:07:51.240
<v Speaker 3>of the film Common Ground, which looks into how food

1:07:51.240 --> 1:07:55.280
<v Speaker 3>production and agriculture can be done better with less environmental impact.

1:07:55.560 --> 1:07:58.160
<v Speaker 3>We've talked with them before. She has a great understanding

1:07:58.200 --> 1:08:00.560
<v Speaker 3>of the industry. Rebecca, it's great to have you back

1:08:00.600 --> 1:08:03.840
<v Speaker 3>here on Bloomberg Business Week. Got to start though, with

1:08:04.200 --> 1:08:07.520
<v Speaker 3>what kind of dominates our world. We're all focused on

1:08:07.640 --> 1:08:14.280
<v Speaker 3>DC policies, tariffs, trade, wars, supply chains, the current political environment,

1:08:14.520 --> 1:08:18.680
<v Speaker 3>the current talk about tariffs, how does that impact the

1:08:18.720 --> 1:08:23.719
<v Speaker 3>agricultural world and also really more specifically the regenerative farming world.

1:08:23.960 --> 1:08:29.000
<v Speaker 16>Specifically, how it affects agriculture today is farmers are going bankrupt.

1:08:29.200 --> 1:08:31.920
<v Speaker 16>They have become death surfs to feeding us. And the

1:08:31.960 --> 1:08:36.320
<v Speaker 16>reason is because there's so many agricultural inputs that not

1:08:36.400 --> 1:08:40.640
<v Speaker 16>only are creating runoff, degrading the land, creating food that

1:08:40.680 --> 1:08:45.120
<v Speaker 16>doesn't have nutrition, but as the costs rise, what's happening

1:08:45.160 --> 1:08:47.439
<v Speaker 16>is these farmers are getting less and less profit and

1:08:47.520 --> 1:08:50.320
<v Speaker 16>it's created an industry where farmers have a five times

1:08:50.400 --> 1:08:53.559
<v Speaker 16>higher suicide rate than any other industry. And we're talking

1:08:53.560 --> 1:08:56.760
<v Speaker 16>about the US, which is a huge agricultural exporter, and

1:08:56.800 --> 1:08:59.320
<v Speaker 16>an industry that's harming the very people that are growing

1:08:59.320 --> 1:09:01.280
<v Speaker 16>the food that we're extorting. It's a system that's not

1:09:01.800 --> 1:09:07.759
<v Speaker 16>currently working. Regenerative agriculture is based on local supply chains,

1:09:08.000 --> 1:09:12.559
<v Speaker 16>local economies. It's more based on circular economies versus this

1:09:12.640 --> 1:09:17.360
<v Speaker 16>idea of extraction and this sort of global food supply

1:09:17.479 --> 1:09:19.799
<v Speaker 16>chain that is not a system that actually is realistic

1:09:19.880 --> 1:09:23.360
<v Speaker 16>or could ever work. That's not how living in a

1:09:23.400 --> 1:09:26.800
<v Speaker 16>regenerative way could ever function. Because you have to eat

1:09:26.840 --> 1:09:29.280
<v Speaker 16>the food that you grow in your local environment, with

1:09:29.400 --> 1:09:32.280
<v Speaker 16>inputs that come from your local environment. It has the

1:09:32.360 --> 1:09:36.360
<v Speaker 16>benefit of not only creating a huge surplus of economic

1:09:36.439 --> 1:09:40.120
<v Speaker 16>growth for the farmers and the economy, but it creates

1:09:40.400 --> 1:09:44.960
<v Speaker 16>this wealth of resiliency, of biodiversity, of a variety of

1:09:44.960 --> 1:09:48.240
<v Speaker 16>different types of crops versus a monocrop that's then going

1:09:48.280 --> 1:09:50.960
<v Speaker 16>to give that farmer a much higher revenue stream. And

1:09:51.000 --> 1:09:56.640
<v Speaker 16>farmers that are switching from industrialized agriculture to regenerative agriculture

1:09:56.840 --> 1:10:00.200
<v Speaker 16>see a ninety percent increase in their profits with in

1:10:00.240 --> 1:10:01.320
<v Speaker 16>here one.

1:10:01.600 --> 1:10:02.880
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, I just want to jump in because we don't

1:10:02.880 --> 1:10:04.000
<v Speaker 1>have a ton of time here, and I want to

1:10:04.040 --> 1:10:06.240
<v Speaker 1>stick on one point that you mentioned, which is the

1:10:06.320 --> 1:10:10.120
<v Speaker 1>idea of eating what is produced close to us, the

1:10:10.920 --> 1:10:13.760
<v Speaker 1>way that we experience food in the United States right now,

1:10:13.760 --> 1:10:16.519
<v Speaker 1>And I'll just use my own kitchen as an example

1:10:16.560 --> 1:10:19.520
<v Speaker 1>and my own fridge as an example. I've got bananas

1:10:19.560 --> 1:10:22.519
<v Speaker 1>from outside of the US. I've got strawberries from very

1:10:22.560 --> 1:10:26.720
<v Speaker 1>far away, maybe California, maybe Mexico, maybe somewhere else. I've

1:10:26.720 --> 1:10:30.960
<v Speaker 1>got apples from New York. We've got greens from California.

1:10:31.120 --> 1:10:34.679
<v Speaker 1>We've got almonds from California, and you know that's twenty

1:10:34.680 --> 1:10:38.479
<v Speaker 1>five hundred miles away. So everything that I'm eating right

1:10:38.520 --> 1:10:43.280
<v Speaker 1>now in April is from outside of the state except

1:10:43.280 --> 1:10:45.400
<v Speaker 1>for apples right now. That's just because of where we

1:10:45.439 --> 1:10:48.880
<v Speaker 1>are seasonally. Are you saying that we should only be

1:10:48.960 --> 1:10:50.479
<v Speaker 1>eating what's produced close to us.

1:10:50.760 --> 1:10:53.400
<v Speaker 16>I'm saying that if you want the most nutrient dense food,

1:10:53.520 --> 1:10:56.880
<v Speaker 16>if you want to support a healthy agricultural system, then

1:10:56.920 --> 1:10:58.920
<v Speaker 16>we're going to start looking at the regions that we

1:10:59.000 --> 1:11:02.639
<v Speaker 16>live in to feed us. And so we don't need

1:11:02.640 --> 1:11:04.560
<v Speaker 16>to be sending our food out of the country. We

1:11:04.600 --> 1:11:08.080
<v Speaker 16>don't need to be importing synthetic, toxic inputs to spray

1:11:08.120 --> 1:11:09.880
<v Speaker 16>on our fields and farms and that we then get

1:11:09.920 --> 1:11:13.639
<v Speaker 16>exposed to. There is a natural, simple way to farm

1:11:13.840 --> 1:11:16.960
<v Speaker 16>in nature's image, the way it was done for millennia

1:11:17.040 --> 1:11:20.080
<v Speaker 16>before we started farming in this crazy way with all

1:11:20.080 --> 1:11:22.080
<v Speaker 16>these synthetic inputs that we call it the quote unquote

1:11:22.080 --> 1:11:22.919
<v Speaker 16>green revolution.

1:11:23.160 --> 1:11:25.120
<v Speaker 1>I think one challenge to that. I think one challenge

1:11:25.120 --> 1:11:27.639
<v Speaker 1>to that could be the fact that you have different

1:11:27.720 --> 1:11:30.280
<v Speaker 1>regions in the United States that are set up specifically

1:11:30.320 --> 1:11:33.160
<v Speaker 1>for growing certain things like Let's think about Iowa, for example,

1:11:33.560 --> 1:11:37.040
<v Speaker 1>and the so many acres that are filled with soybeans

1:11:37.240 --> 1:11:40.160
<v Speaker 1>in Iowa corn as well. Over half the soybeans that

1:11:40.160 --> 1:11:43.439
<v Speaker 1>are produced in the US actually are exported, or over

1:11:43.439 --> 1:11:45.879
<v Speaker 1>half the soybeans that are exported or exported to China.

1:11:45.920 --> 1:11:51.680
<v Speaker 1>We can't really change the environment to use those soybeans

1:11:51.800 --> 1:11:53.080
<v Speaker 1>that are actually going somewhere else.

1:11:53.160 --> 1:11:53.400
<v Speaker 4>Right.

1:11:54.160 --> 1:11:57.320
<v Speaker 16>The idea that soybeans being shipped to China is somehow

1:11:57.400 --> 1:12:01.360
<v Speaker 16>feeding the world is totally a backwards like, we don't

1:12:01.600 --> 1:12:04.479
<v Speaker 16>need soy to be healthy. That's soy then is fed

1:12:04.520 --> 1:12:06.599
<v Speaker 16>to something else, that then is fed to something else.

1:12:06.720 --> 1:12:08.280
<v Speaker 16>That is an insane model that we're going to ship

1:12:08.360 --> 1:12:10.240
<v Speaker 16>soy to China, then they're going to feed that to

1:12:10.280 --> 1:12:11.880
<v Speaker 16>an animal, and then we're going to ship that animal

1:12:11.920 --> 1:12:13.759
<v Speaker 16>back here and eat that. That is not a system

1:12:13.800 --> 1:12:15.960
<v Speaker 16>that is regenerative. It's not a system that is healthy.

1:12:15.960 --> 1:12:19.360
<v Speaker 16>That's not a system that makes any sense economically. The

1:12:19.439 --> 1:12:22.919
<v Speaker 16>way to be healthy, the way to have a thriving economy,

1:12:23.000 --> 1:12:24.960
<v Speaker 16>the way to support the people who grow our food

1:12:25.360 --> 1:12:26.920
<v Speaker 16>is to support the people that we can find in

1:12:26.920 --> 1:12:31.519
<v Speaker 16>our regions. It drastically reduces the transportation costs of the

1:12:31.560 --> 1:12:36.080
<v Speaker 16>supply chains of reducing the dependency on the fossil fuel

1:12:36.120 --> 1:12:36.839
<v Speaker 16>based inputs.

1:12:37.120 --> 1:12:39.600
<v Speaker 3>Well, you know one thing I want to challenge you with,

1:12:39.640 --> 1:12:41.679
<v Speaker 3>And I think some people who are listening who are like, yeah,

1:12:41.720 --> 1:12:44.479
<v Speaker 3>this sounds so good. And I think when we've talked before,

1:12:44.680 --> 1:12:48.320
<v Speaker 3>I remember maybe bringing up working with Chipotle, who really

1:12:48.360 --> 1:12:51.360
<v Speaker 3>thought about their producers. And we're trying to to kind

1:12:51.360 --> 1:12:53.280
<v Speaker 3>of go back the way things used to be produced,

1:12:53.320 --> 1:12:56.799
<v Speaker 3>this clean cycle that doesn't hurt the environment, that actually

1:12:56.800 --> 1:13:00.880
<v Speaker 3>helps the environment and keeps it going. But I'm wondering, is,

1:13:01.320 --> 1:13:07.160
<v Speaker 3>you know, Rebecca, can we really transform industrial farming to

1:13:07.320 --> 1:13:11.120
<v Speaker 3>regenerative ag and ramp it up so that the process

1:13:11.240 --> 1:13:14.599
<v Speaker 3>of regenerative farming can feed everyone in the United States

1:13:15.120 --> 1:13:18.040
<v Speaker 3>and you know, potentially feed the world. Is it even

1:13:18.200 --> 1:13:19.120
<v Speaker 3>possible to.

1:13:19.120 --> 1:13:24.639
<v Speaker 16>Do that one hundred percent? It's already happening. The USDA

1:13:24.760 --> 1:13:28.640
<v Speaker 16>is already find funding climate smart agriculture, major institutional investors

1:13:28.640 --> 1:13:33.320
<v Speaker 16>and banks are exploring soil health linked financial instruments.

1:13:33.560 --> 1:13:34.400
<v Speaker 3>We are literally at.

1:13:34.280 --> 1:13:36.400
<v Speaker 16>The tipping point right now, and it's the early movers

1:13:36.400 --> 1:13:39.160
<v Speaker 16>and the regenerative AAG movement that will be the leaders

1:13:39.280 --> 1:13:42.240
<v Speaker 16>of this huge next green economic wave.

1:13:42.360 --> 1:13:45.000
<v Speaker 3>What's holding really back, what's still holding it back, and

1:13:45.080 --> 1:13:47.800
<v Speaker 3>what percentage? What percentage of the food we eat is

1:13:47.800 --> 1:13:49.920
<v Speaker 3>actually regenerative farmed.

1:13:50.400 --> 1:13:53.040
<v Speaker 16>Currently is a small percentage. It's less than five percent.

1:13:53.120 --> 1:13:56.720
<v Speaker 16>In the United States, you'll find regenerative organic agriculture. What's

1:13:56.720 --> 1:13:59.439
<v Speaker 16>holding us back has been the policies that keep us

1:13:59.560 --> 1:14:03.080
<v Speaker 16>locked in to this crazy industrialized cycle of growing food.

1:14:04.120 --> 1:14:06.840
<v Speaker 16>That's I believe beginning to change. We're starting to see

1:14:06.920 --> 1:14:10.680
<v Speaker 16>people get really excited about the economic benefit of regenerative

1:14:10.720 --> 1:14:14.120
<v Speaker 16>agriculture and the surplus of food that comes from that,

1:14:14.240 --> 1:14:16.360
<v Speaker 16>and the health benefits that I mean, it's a win

1:14:16.439 --> 1:14:19.280
<v Speaker 16>win win, the environmental benefits that come from that, the

1:14:19.320 --> 1:14:23.800
<v Speaker 16>climate resiliency that then impacts the farmer's pocketbook because they

1:14:23.800 --> 1:14:25.640
<v Speaker 16>don't want to talk about climate change, but they do

1:14:25.680 --> 1:14:28.080
<v Speaker 16>want to talk about the weather, and all of that

1:14:28.160 --> 1:14:30.400
<v Speaker 16>is impacted by how we grow our food. And farmers

1:14:30.439 --> 1:14:32.559
<v Speaker 16>are beginning to realize that and they want to get

1:14:32.600 --> 1:14:35.160
<v Speaker 16>out of this model. They want to make a profit,

1:14:35.200 --> 1:14:37.120
<v Speaker 16>they want to take care of their land, they want

1:14:37.120 --> 1:14:39.599
<v Speaker 16>to grow healthy food. This is something that's important to them.

1:14:39.640 --> 1:14:42.240
<v Speaker 16>I come from a legacy farming family, and I know

1:14:42.479 --> 1:14:45.320
<v Speaker 16>and my family has suffered from exposure to these inputs

1:14:45.360 --> 1:14:48.800
<v Speaker 16>that have been imported, and so there's a real opportunity

1:14:49.040 --> 1:14:51.160
<v Speaker 16>for us as a country to lead the way, to

1:14:51.240 --> 1:14:55.200
<v Speaker 16>show what it looks like to create real revitalation of

1:14:55.240 --> 1:14:58.800
<v Speaker 16>our economy, of our environment, to create stability. And all

1:14:58.840 --> 1:15:01.920
<v Speaker 16>of that is through making some very simple shifts in

1:15:01.960 --> 1:15:04.840
<v Speaker 16>how we grow our food. And the big part that's

1:15:04.840 --> 1:15:06.920
<v Speaker 16>holding us back is the way we think about it

1:15:06.960 --> 1:15:09.280
<v Speaker 16>and the way that government has put these policies into

1:15:09.360 --> 1:15:12.759
<v Speaker 16>place that keep us locked into that extractive model.

1:15:12.920 --> 1:15:16.439
<v Speaker 1>It sounds like perhaps maybe you see this trade war

1:15:16.479 --> 1:15:21.759
<v Speaker 1>as an opportunity to completely reshape the US agricultural industrial complex.

1:15:21.840 --> 1:15:24.040
<v Speaker 16>Now I think that's the only way to look at it.

1:15:24.080 --> 1:15:26.719
<v Speaker 16>This is a huge opportunity. We have a very short

1:15:26.760 --> 1:15:30.120
<v Speaker 16>window of time to course correct here, because if we

1:15:30.120 --> 1:15:32.120
<v Speaker 16>think it's bad now, we should look at what it's

1:15:32.160 --> 1:15:34.200
<v Speaker 16>going to be like in thirty years. If we continue

1:15:34.200 --> 1:15:36.080
<v Speaker 16>down this path, it's going to be we're going to

1:15:36.120 --> 1:15:39.120
<v Speaker 16>reshape our parent And so if we are able right

1:15:39.160 --> 1:15:41.479
<v Speaker 16>now to start to look at how we can really

1:15:41.520 --> 1:15:46.040
<v Speaker 16>build that resiliency, that economic resiliency that create resilience, then

1:15:46.080 --> 1:15:48.040
<v Speaker 16>we're going to see a totally different world, and this

1:15:48.120 --> 1:15:49.920
<v Speaker 16>is the moment to do it. The farmers know it,

1:15:50.040 --> 1:15:52.040
<v Speaker 16>the government is starting to catch on, and you know

1:15:52.080 --> 1:15:54.639
<v Speaker 16>who else is starting to catch on, Big business. I mean,

1:15:55.000 --> 1:15:59.400
<v Speaker 16>Monsanto Bear is already developing a quote unquote organic roundup.

1:16:00.000 --> 1:16:03.840
<v Speaker 16>So people are starting to think about what they're starting

1:16:03.880 --> 1:16:04.120
<v Speaker 16>to act.

1:16:04.240 --> 1:16:09.920
<v Speaker 3>So I might say, finally, one thing, one thing I

1:16:09.920 --> 1:16:11.559
<v Speaker 3>want to ask you, do we have to get used

1:16:11.560 --> 1:16:14.760
<v Speaker 3>to when I grew up And it's not that long ago.

1:16:14.960 --> 1:16:17.479
<v Speaker 3>It's like things were in season. We had apples in

1:16:17.520 --> 1:16:19.879
<v Speaker 3>the fall, we went apple picking, like we had peaches

1:16:19.920 --> 1:16:22.000
<v Speaker 3>at certain times. We had berries at certain times, we

1:16:22.000 --> 1:16:25.040
<v Speaker 3>had watermelon in the summer. Like we just like that

1:16:25.280 --> 1:16:28.080
<v Speaker 3>was our world because it was the cycles of the

1:16:28.120 --> 1:16:31.120
<v Speaker 3>seasons and what we could get because it wasn't such

1:16:31.160 --> 1:16:33.880
<v Speaker 3>a global food supply. I mean, I can get strawberries

1:16:34.000 --> 1:16:36.080
<v Speaker 3>every time of the year, like I can get It's

1:16:36.080 --> 1:16:40.640
<v Speaker 3>like kind of amazing. Do we have to maybe redefine

1:16:40.640 --> 1:16:43.400
<v Speaker 3>our expectations when it comes to our access to food

1:16:43.479 --> 1:16:46.840
<v Speaker 3>if we really want to maybe be more respectful of

1:16:46.880 --> 1:16:49.920
<v Speaker 3>our environment and how we grow things, we do.

1:16:49.920 --> 1:16:52.040
<v Speaker 16>Need to reset our expectations about what we eat. If

1:16:52.040 --> 1:16:54.160
<v Speaker 16>we think that what we're eating now is going to

1:16:54.200 --> 1:16:57.960
<v Speaker 16>create longevity and health that is totally backwards. If you

1:16:58.000 --> 1:16:59.800
<v Speaker 16>look at what we eat one hundred years ago, it

1:16:59.840 --> 1:17:04.040
<v Speaker 16>was locally sourced. People were healthy. They weren't nearly fat,

1:17:04.080 --> 1:17:06.559
<v Speaker 16>sick and dead like we are all right now. Essentially,

1:17:06.560 --> 1:17:08.840
<v Speaker 16>a regenerative model is one that is a healthy model,

1:17:08.840 --> 1:17:13.280
<v Speaker 16>and it tastes good. Nutrient dense food tastes good. So

1:17:13.360 --> 1:17:15.240
<v Speaker 16>when people start to make this switch, at first of like,

1:17:15.280 --> 1:17:17.600
<v Speaker 16>oh it's too expensive and oh it's too restrictive, But

1:17:17.640 --> 1:17:19.120
<v Speaker 16>that's not the case at all. When you go to

1:17:19.120 --> 1:17:22.080
<v Speaker 16>your local farmers market, you suddenly get sess to a

1:17:22.200 --> 1:17:25.439
<v Speaker 16>world of flavor and it's local and it's one that

1:17:25.560 --> 1:17:28.120
<v Speaker 16>you are symbiotic with because it's from your local environment.

1:17:28.640 --> 1:17:31.400
<v Speaker 16>So absolutely we need to reset our expectations when it

1:17:31.439 --> 1:17:33.360
<v Speaker 16>comes to eating food. But it's one that we should

1:17:33.520 --> 1:17:36.000
<v Speaker 16>celebrate and be excited about because it's going to make

1:17:36.080 --> 1:17:37.040
<v Speaker 16>everyone's lives better.

1:17:37.160 --> 1:17:40.000
<v Speaker 1>Hey, Rebecca, before we let you go, we only have

1:17:40.040 --> 1:17:43.280
<v Speaker 1>about forty five seconds left. But can this be done

1:17:43.280 --> 1:17:46.479
<v Speaker 1>in your view independent of government support or do you

1:17:46.479 --> 1:17:49.320
<v Speaker 1>think the government needs to push farmers to do this.

1:17:49.960 --> 1:17:51.640
<v Speaker 16>Farmers do not need to be pushed to do this.

1:17:52.080 --> 1:17:55.440
<v Speaker 16>Farmers feel locked in the current cycle. They're stuck there,

1:17:55.479 --> 1:17:58.120
<v Speaker 16>often by the bank loans that they have that make

1:17:58.160 --> 1:18:00.439
<v Speaker 16>them forced to spray, which they do I don't really

1:18:00.479 --> 1:18:04.559
<v Speaker 16>want to do. When they get access to regenerative agricultural information,

1:18:04.600 --> 1:18:06.880
<v Speaker 16>everybody wants to make that transition when they realize they.

1:18:06.880 --> 1:18:08.280
<v Speaker 3>Can, so.

1:18:08.439 --> 1:18:11.680
<v Speaker 16>I thinks farmers are ready to make the switch. I

1:18:11.800 --> 1:18:13.800
<v Speaker 16>think the government is starting to catch up. I think

1:18:13.840 --> 1:18:16.599
<v Speaker 16>we're going to shift the policies that are keeping us

1:18:16.600 --> 1:18:21.040
<v Speaker 16>locked in this broken model, and welcome to the new movement.

1:18:21.080 --> 1:18:22.440
<v Speaker 16>This is the age of regeneration.

1:18:22.640 --> 1:18:23.040
<v Speaker 3>This is the.

1:18:23.000 --> 1:18:26.360
<v Speaker 16>Tipping points that and the whole world is about to

1:18:26.400 --> 1:18:29.720
<v Speaker 16>shift into this new model, and this is the next

1:18:29.800 --> 1:18:30.799
<v Speaker 16>trillion dollar industry.

1:18:31.240 --> 1:18:35.120
<v Speaker 1>Rebecca Tikel, filmmaker and director of the documentary Common Ground.

1:18:35.160 --> 1:18:37.719
<v Speaker 1>You can find streaming now on Amazon Prime.

1:18:37.880 --> 1:18:38.960
<v Speaker 3>Rebecca, thanks so much.

1:18:39.760 --> 1:18:45.120
<v Speaker 2>This is the Bloomberg Business Week Daily podcast, available on Apple, Spotify,

1:18:45.240 --> 1:18:48.960
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1:18:49.000 --> 1:18:53.000
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<v Speaker 5>Mhm