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Speaker 1: B Monday.

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Speaker 2: Everybody, what's up.

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Speaker 1: Welcome into the latest edition of the Deal Juice Podcast.

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Speaker 1: My name is Matt Peralt. You guys can follow me

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Speaker 1: on Twitter at Sports Talk Matt. Each and every single morning,

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Speaker 1: we are here on bettingpros dot com wherever you get

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Speaker 1: your audio podcast, YouTube for the video, and bet MGM

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Speaker 1: with the offer ten dollars to win one hundred and

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Speaker 1: fifty dollars on any event with that promo code Juice

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Speaker 1: one fifty, Juice one fifty for new account at BETMGMBTMGM

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Speaker 1: dot com the app for BETMGM. All right, let's talk

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Speaker 1: about the rollercoaster here a little bit. Okay, So whenever

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Speaker 1: people come at me and say I'm fading you, I

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Speaker 1: tend to just take it with a grain of salt

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Speaker 1: and I say, look it, if I'm making you money,

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Speaker 1: that is what my job is. To give you what

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Speaker 1: I am betting you can fade or follow it. I'm

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Speaker 1: giving you information. These picks are free, will always be free.

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Speaker 1: We've been here now for what over five hundred and

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Speaker 1: thirty consecutive days, and if you've learned anything by watching

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Speaker 1: or listening to this podcast over the last five hundred

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Speaker 1: and thirty plus days.

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Speaker 2: It's that I go hot and cold.

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Speaker 1: You know, on average, I've been hitting in the year

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Speaker 1: plus year and a half of the daily juice about

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Speaker 1: fifty point five percent. We talked about that, right, So

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Speaker 1: on Monday, Tuesday, and Wednesday of last week and really

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Speaker 1: going back to last weekend, I lost on Friday, Saturday, Sunday, Monday, okay, Tuesday,

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Speaker 1: and Wednesday. Right, I lost every day. Some days were little,

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Speaker 1: some days were small, but I lost every day like

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Speaker 1: someone's like point three point seven. But I was losing. Okay,

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Speaker 1: So what happens, right, do you always run that cold?

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Speaker 2: Well?

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Speaker 1: No, Thursday was four and oh, Saturday was four and two,

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Speaker 1: and yesterday was six and one. It's a fourteen and

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Speaker 1: three run, okay. So look, just kind of keep it

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Speaker 1: in mind when you have like I'm coming at you

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Speaker 1: or I'm fading you. Okay, I hope you did fade

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Speaker 1: my plays this last week before Thursday, because if you

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Speaker 1: faded me over the last Thursday, Saturday and Sunday, you

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Speaker 1: got your clock cleaned. Like that's just the way that

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Speaker 1: it is. That's why you cannot blindly follow or blindly

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Speaker 1: fade me. You should do what you want you should

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Speaker 1: take personal responsibility and bet the way that you want

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Speaker 1: to bet. I'm just coming at you and telling you

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Speaker 1: what I'm betting. If you want to fade, okay, you

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Speaker 1: want to follow.

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Speaker 2: Great.

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Speaker 1: If I'm right and I make you money, awesome. If

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Speaker 1: I'm wrong and you guys faded me and that made

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Speaker 1: you money, great, all right. But we went four oh

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Speaker 1: yes yesterday on the prop bets, and we went two

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Speaker 1: and one on our full unit, and we should have

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Speaker 1: swept because the Seattle Seahawks. I hate Nick Foles as

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Speaker 1: a Patriot fan. I hate Nick Foles. Now for me,

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Speaker 1: I had a couple of personal plays that weren't great.

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Speaker 1: I hit nicely on the first half of the Pittsburgh

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Speaker 1: Steelers Casey Chiefs game.

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Speaker 2: That was nice.

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Speaker 1: I had a tiny, small, little flyer bet on the Patriots,

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Speaker 1: and then I had the same I had a Sunday

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Speaker 1: night Monday night teaser where I gave Washington fifteen and

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Speaker 1: a half points, and I need to give them fifty,

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Speaker 1: not fifteen. They got annihilated, so it gave a little

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Speaker 1: back there. But I mean overall, winning day, great day

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Speaker 1: on the podcast, and we head to a Monday with

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Speaker 1: a lot of momentum and a lot of excitement. So

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Speaker 1: here's the thing about today. So we were supposed to

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Speaker 1: have two bowl games. We have one, the Boston College

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Speaker 1: game we were eyeballing last night on the podcast. Well

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Speaker 1: that's been canceled due to COVID nineteen. We have a

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Speaker 1: Monday Night involving two teams that are both in control

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Speaker 1: of their own destiny, which is amazing to make the postseason.

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Speaker 1: The Miami Dolphins have been playing great football, but see yet.

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Speaker 1: But the New Orleans Saints defense has been outstanding. They

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Speaker 1: just shut out the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. And now they're

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Speaker 1: playing a much worse quarterback in Tua, and everyone's starting

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Speaker 1: to buy though, Oh here comes Tua. I'm just not

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Speaker 1: a believer in Tua. I haven't been a believer in

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Speaker 1: Tua for a while. Ian Book is starting at the

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Speaker 1: quarterback spot for the New Orleans Saints. So everyone's on

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Speaker 1: the Dolphins, but I don't know if I can be

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Speaker 1: on the Dolphins.

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Speaker 2: I lean that way. I think it makes sense. The

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Speaker 2: total is.

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Speaker 1: Thirty seven thirty seven in an NFL football game. I

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Speaker 1: don't know what to do with this game. It's unbettable.

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Speaker 1: There's COVID issues. There's injury issues, there's quarterback issues, there's

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Speaker 1: coaching questions. I mean, I like Sean Payton as a

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Speaker 1: better coach. I like Sean Payton at home against Brian Flores.

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Speaker 1: But do I want to put money behind any of this? No?

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Speaker 2: Do I want to bet it live?

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Speaker 1: Yes, I've got two prop bets to give you guys

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Speaker 1: for this game coming up, and they're going to be boring, Okay,

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Speaker 1: real boring. And I'm going to have one play on

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Speaker 1: the Bowl game involving Nevada and Western Michigan because a

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Speaker 1: dude I know here who works for a book in town,

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Speaker 1: played for Western Michigan, former tight end, and he liked

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Speaker 1: Western Michigan. Remember no Carson Strong quarterback for Nevada. I'll

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Speaker 1: give you that pick. I'm trailing his bet. I'm following

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Speaker 1: it because I just don't think it's worth getting heavily

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Speaker 1: involved here. The NHL is canceling more games, the NBA

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Speaker 1: is dealing with all sorts of COVID issues, and we

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Speaker 1: just had a great Thursday, Friday, Saturday, Sunday. I don't

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Speaker 1: want to blow it here by going all crazy and

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Speaker 1: get knocked out because of unforeseen circumstances. And things that

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Speaker 1: we cannot control. Right, So here's where I'm doing today.

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Speaker 1: The Bowl game is an early morning kick. Okay, it's

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Speaker 1: in Detroit. It's essentially a home game for Western Michigan.

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Speaker 1: They're going to have I mean, for fans that want

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Speaker 1: to go to these games, there's going to be fans

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Speaker 1: there for them to go and watch, to be a

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Speaker 1: part of this game coming up. But if you want

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Speaker 1: to bet this, it's Western Michigan minus seven up against Nevada.

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Speaker 1: The game will kickoff at eleven twenty seven Eastern time,

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Speaker 1: eight twenty seven in the morning. Will Nevada even be awake?

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Speaker 2: Now?

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Speaker 1: You can find this at I bet seven, but I'm

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Speaker 1: looking at six and a half right now. So let's

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Speaker 1: just officially go with Western Michigan minus six and a half.

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Speaker 1: There's Nevada money coming in. I'm I'm only going half

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Speaker 1: a unit here. What's interesting is that fan Duel posted

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Speaker 1: tonight that NA NUAA football games will not be able

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Speaker 1: to be cashed out during the game.

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Speaker 2: Now, I don't know if that's a computer glitch or

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Speaker 2: they're not.

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Speaker 1: They're not playing anymore with this COVID nonsense and whatever

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Speaker 1: may happen. That's an interesting decision. You can't catch out

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Speaker 1: like you normally can. That's fandal, But I fandle you

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Speaker 1: get Western Michigan at mina six and a half. I

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Speaker 1: like that better than seven. My friend laid seven. He's

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Speaker 1: pretty confident that Nevada is going to be asleep and

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Speaker 1: this game is going to be kind of a blowout

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Speaker 1: here for Western Michigan early kickoff, or you will lay

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Speaker 1: the six and a half points Western Michigan minus six

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Speaker 1: and a half against Nevada here for a half a

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Speaker 1: unit in a bowl game. And again, if you don't

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Speaker 1: want to play this, okay, I don't blame you one bit,

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Speaker 1: but that's where I'm gonna be with Western Michigan Nevada.

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Speaker 1: I'm just taking the team. Nevada without Carson Strong is

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Speaker 1: not the same team by any means. And do they

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Speaker 1: want to be in this bowl game? They've lost their

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Speaker 1: head coach already.

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Speaker 2: I don't know it.

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Speaker 1: There's a lot of things going against Nevada here into

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Speaker 1: this bowl game. I'm kind of surprised the lines not higher.

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Speaker 1: But the MAC has been really bad. I mean the

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Speaker 1: Mac's been horrible, been a bad, bad, bad bullsted in for.

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Speaker 2: Min American cough conference.

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Speaker 1: But I'll follow my guy here, who works for a book,

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Speaker 1: who former played for Western Michigan for the Broncos, will

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Speaker 1: go minus six and a half Western Michigan half a

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Speaker 1: unit against Nevada early morning, eight thirty kick.

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Speaker 2: All right, the.

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Speaker 1: Only plays I've got on this game, the only thing

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Speaker 1: I can get my brain around. And both these bets

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Speaker 1: are liked by the prop bet cheat sheet. I'm just

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Speaker 1: going to Alvin Kamara over twenty four and a half

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Speaker 1: receiving yards and Alvin Kamara over fifty four and a

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Speaker 1: half rushing yards. I don't know what else to do,

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Speaker 1: Ian Book. I mean, we don't know what this kid

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Speaker 1: can do. We have no idea. There's no book on

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Speaker 1: this kid yet, no pun intended. We don't know what

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Speaker 1: he's capable of. We don't know how well he knows

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Speaker 1: the offense. We don't know how well he's been coached

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Speaker 1: up by Sean Payton. We don't know how much they

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Speaker 1: trust him. Alvin Kamara is being projected for thirty five

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Speaker 1: receiving yards in sixty two rushing yards by the prop

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Speaker 1: bet cheat sheet. I mean, I'm not betting Ian Book,

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Speaker 1: and I'm not betting any wide receivers, because I have

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Speaker 1: no idea who Ian Book could throw to or will

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Speaker 1: he throw to. I just know he'll run screens because

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Speaker 1: screens are easy, and Alvin Kamara potentially can get out

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Speaker 1: on the open and go quarter unit Alvin Kamara over

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Speaker 1: twenty four and a half receiving yards. Quarter unit Alvin

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Speaker 1: Kamara over fifty four and a half rushing yards. That's

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Speaker 1: all I got on the Dolphins. In the Saints. I

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Speaker 1: need the Saints to win this game for a variety

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Speaker 1: of reasons, but for my over nine and a half

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Speaker 1: win bet, I.

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Speaker 2: Need the Saints to win this game.

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Speaker 1: If this number continues to climb, and if this number

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Speaker 1: gets to be like three and a half four, and

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Speaker 1: if every single person is on the Dolphins and there

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Speaker 1: is like major lop sided money, I'll bet New Orleans.

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Speaker 1: All right, I'll take the other half of unit and

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Speaker 1: I'll come in and I'll bet in New Orleans. But otherwise,

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Speaker 1: if it stays at two and a half or three,

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Speaker 1: it'll be an in game bet for me.

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Speaker 2: And I just don't know how in the world.

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Speaker 1: We can handicap this game accurately without having any knowledge,

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Speaker 1: excuse me, any knowledge of what Ian Book is capable

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Speaker 1: of doing at the quarterback spot. He could be atrocious,

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Speaker 1: he could be great, He could be extremely mobile. It

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Speaker 1: could be picking up first downs. It could be him

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Speaker 1: and Kabara running the football all over the place. Or

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Speaker 1: maybe the Dolphins have this offense clicking and Tua and

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Speaker 1: Devonte Parker go nuts. I am eyeballing potentially Devonte Parker,

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Speaker 1: but again DeVante Parker receiving yards. I'm a little concerned

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Speaker 1: about the fact that you've got Tua who will be

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Speaker 1: pressured like crazy by this Saints defense. I know you

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Speaker 1: could say big letdown spot. The Saints are coming off

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Speaker 1: that huge win against the Tampa Bay Bucks on the road.

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Speaker 1: But here's the thing. The Saints know that if they

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Speaker 1: win out, they get in. So the Saints have got

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Speaker 1: to win all three games, get to ten and seven,

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Speaker 1: and then they cannot be kept out of the playoffs

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Speaker 1: if they get to ten and seven. So it starts

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Speaker 1: by winning this game at home against Miami. And are

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Speaker 1: you trusting two on the road in a hostile environment

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Speaker 1: in a big game.

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Speaker 2: I'm not.

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Speaker 1: No way. Am I putting money behind that guy to

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Speaker 1: do interceptions, bad throws? I mean, the bad version of

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Speaker 1: Tua on the road could easily show up here, and

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Speaker 1: the New Orleans is right in the game, and it's

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Speaker 1: like a ten to ten football game in the fourth quarter,

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Speaker 1: and whatever quarterback makes the worst mistake loses the game,

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Speaker 1: you know, book versus Tua. I'm just I can't put

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Speaker 1: my brain around betting this, in particular after just coming

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Speaker 1: off of a great fourteen and three weekend. I just

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Speaker 1: don't want to throw money away here by guessing. And

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Speaker 1: I think betting on Dolphins and Saints you're guessing. I

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Speaker 1: don't think anybody can have a solid read and say

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Speaker 1: this is absolutely what's going to happen.

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Speaker 2: It's going to be a really crazy game.

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Speaker 1: So my only two bets on this game Alvin Kamara

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Speaker 1: receiving and rushing, both going over twenty four and a

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Speaker 1: half receiving fifty four and a half rushing. I just

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Speaker 1: expect the Saints to build their whole offense on Alvin

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Speaker 1: Kamara trying to run and throw and dink and dunk

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Speaker 1: and get in books some comfortable throws, and Kamara is

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Speaker 1: capable of popping one big run in one big catch

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Speaker 1: and run to get both these props home for us.

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Speaker 1: So that's where I'm going Western Michigan minus six and

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Speaker 1: a half half a unit Alvin Kamara quarter unit on

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Speaker 1: both of his props over receiving, over rushing twenty four

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Speaker 1: and a half fifty four and a half for me

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Speaker 1: for one unit in play for us. Now, I may

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Speaker 1: come in on the Discord channel and add some picks

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Speaker 1: as we get closer to kickoff, or some other things

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Speaker 1: that may come up, COVID issues or whatever may pop

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Speaker 1: up with the Dolphins or something wacko happens, and then

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Speaker 1: maybe there's value on the Saints. I don't know, but

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Speaker 1: overnight wise, those on our three plays one unit in

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Speaker 1: play for me. Here coming up on a Monday, it's

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Speaker 1: going to be a wild week. We've got a lot

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Speaker 1: of college football, de bet, We've got championship football to bet.

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Speaker 1: Don't go crazy, Don't go spending money, you know, crazily

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Speaker 1: right now and it just blow your bankroll for no reason.

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Speaker 1: Because we've got big games to come, NFL games as well.

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Speaker 1: This is a big betting week. A lot of you

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Speaker 1: on vacation, a lot of your car, a lot of

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Speaker 1: you are going to have some extra time in your hands.

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Speaker 1: So stay calm, don't have to go crazy on a Monday,

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Speaker 1: Mine is Matt Parolt. You guysn't follow me on Twitter

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Speaker 1: at sports Talk Matt. Each every morning, it's the Daily

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Speaker 1: Juice podcast. Its being brought to you by BETMGM