WEBVTT - The Mark Moss Show - CPI? More Like CP Lie!

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<v Speaker 1>All right, welcome to another episode of The Mark Moss

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<v Speaker 1>Show where we talk about bitcoin cryptocurrencies. We talked about

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<v Speaker 1>the decentralized revolution. Given you the play by play so

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<v Speaker 1>you can understand what's going on from a political, financial,

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<v Speaker 1>and a technological standpoint. You know, if you're only looking

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<v Speaker 1>at one or the other, sometimes it gets a little murky,

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<v Speaker 1>But when you look at them all together, things start

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<v Speaker 1>to get a lot more clear. And it's pretty evident

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<v Speaker 1>right now the financial system that we have today is failing.

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<v Speaker 1>It cannot go on much longer. Now I say that,

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<v Speaker 1>but I've been saying that for a long time. It

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<v Speaker 1>can't go on much longer. How much is much longer, Well,

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<v Speaker 1>we don't really know. Um. A smart person told me

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<v Speaker 1>that I can tell you what's going to happen, or

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<v Speaker 1>I can tell you when, but I can't tell you

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<v Speaker 1>both together. And so that's kind of that's kind of

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<v Speaker 1>where we're at. We can see what's inevitably happening, and

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<v Speaker 1>we can see that we're getting closer and closer and

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<v Speaker 1>closer to that. What that final event is we don't know,

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<v Speaker 1>but most analysts would have you believe that we are

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<v Speaker 1>getting very close to that, and we can see the

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<v Speaker 1>signs all around us. So, for example, this week we

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<v Speaker 1>got the latest numbers from the United States government of

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<v Speaker 1>the inflation numbers or what they call inflation, which is

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<v Speaker 1>the consumer price index UM. It's called c p I.

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<v Speaker 1>I like to call it cp LIE. And the reason

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<v Speaker 1>why I call it cp LIE is because the way

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<v Speaker 1>they use this number, they use this number for manipulation.

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<v Speaker 1>And so the CPI, the price index, is a basket

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<v Speaker 1>of goods. If I went to the grocery store and

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<v Speaker 1>I bought milk, cheese, steak, bread, and then every year

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<v Speaker 1>I go back to the same store and I buy

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<v Speaker 1>the same basket, and they would track the progress of

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<v Speaker 1>that price. The problem is a couple of things. One,

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<v Speaker 1>they continue to change the basket, so we're not buying

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<v Speaker 1>the same basket of goods over and over. So their

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<v Speaker 1>substituting things in the basket. Hey, you used to buy steak, um,

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<v Speaker 1>Now let's put hamburger meat. Hey used to buy hamger meat,

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<v Speaker 1>Now let's put spam or whatever. And so they change

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<v Speaker 1>what's in my basket. And then they even just start

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<v Speaker 1>room moving things. And then they go into straight out lies.

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<v Speaker 1>So for example, they tell you that the shelter went

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<v Speaker 1>up by five percent, but in reality, nation wide it

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<v Speaker 1>went up by and of course that makes up about

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<v Speaker 1>of the basket. So when they change the number that big,

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<v Speaker 1>it changed the numbers. Okay, that being said, the second reason,

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<v Speaker 1>the second problem we have a CPI is that CPI

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<v Speaker 1>UM it tries to measure the prices, but we deal

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<v Speaker 1>with prices, we interact with prices differently. So for example,

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<v Speaker 1>if you're renting a home and I think Glendale, Arizona,

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<v Speaker 1>the rent went up by about a hundred and eight percent.

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<v Speaker 1>If you're renting a home in like Philadelphia, rents went down,

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<v Speaker 1>so for somebody there the CPI went down. Somewhere else

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<v Speaker 1>the CPI went um. If you're buying a home in

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<v Speaker 1>Lake and Lake Travis and outside of Austin, Texas, it

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<v Speaker 1>went up a hundred and fifty percent. Some markets, I

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<v Speaker 1>don't know which ones, I'm sure probably went up almost

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<v Speaker 1>none at all. So inflation affects us differently. But inflation

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<v Speaker 1>is what they're calling inflation, Really the price inflation, the

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<v Speaker 1>price is going up of goods and services and assets.

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<v Speaker 1>Really the inflation is the money supply going up. The

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<v Speaker 1>money supply goes up, and what happens with the prices

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<v Speaker 1>is the result of that money supply going up, and

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<v Speaker 1>so the money supply goes up. The last two years

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<v Speaker 1>went up, and real estate went up on average, used

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<v Speaker 1>cars went up on average. A couple of things. Now

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<v Speaker 1>back to the actual report, we saw that the CPI

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<v Speaker 1>rises eight point three percent year on year, and it's

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<v Speaker 1>the first growth slowdown since August. So we've been seeing

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<v Speaker 1>cp I go faster faster, faster faster, and now it's

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<v Speaker 1>slowing down. So we went from eight percent to eight

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<v Speaker 1>point five to eight point three. So it came back

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<v Speaker 1>down from eight to eight point five day point three,

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<v Speaker 1>and everybody's celebrating. A couple of things about that that

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<v Speaker 1>are pretty crazy. Um. First of all, they have cp

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<v Speaker 1>I and then they have core cp I. Course, CPI

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<v Speaker 1>it takes out things that you and I need to live,

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<v Speaker 1>like food and energy. Actually the two most important things

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<v Speaker 1>that we need to live our food and energy, and

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<v Speaker 1>they take those out of the basket for some reason.

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<v Speaker 1>That's pretty crazy. UM. But what I want, what I

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<v Speaker 1>want to point to is that um, as this inflation

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<v Speaker 1>has slowed down from eight to eight point five to

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<v Speaker 1>eight point three, what that means is the price of

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<v Speaker 1>everything has gone up. You know this. It's twice as

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<v Speaker 1>much to fill up your gas tank, it's twice as

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<v Speaker 1>much to get food for your house, it's twice as

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<v Speaker 1>much to buy airline tickets, et cetera. When inflation goes

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<v Speaker 1>from eight point five all the way down to eight

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<v Speaker 1>point three, it doesn't mean prices are coming back down.

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<v Speaker 1>What that means is that they're still going up, just

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<v Speaker 1>at a slower rate. So they were going up by

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<v Speaker 1>eight point five percent. Now they're still going up, but

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<v Speaker 1>only at eight So, Um, it's not a reversal. It's

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<v Speaker 1>not like things will get cheaper. It's not like things

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<v Speaker 1>will get easier. It's not like you're purchasing power will

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<v Speaker 1>get better. It's just that you're losing your purchasing power

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<v Speaker 1>a little bit slower today than you were yesterday. That's

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<v Speaker 1>what that means. It's crazy now because of this. Now, Um,

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<v Speaker 1>the economists are like, well, uh, maybe maybe it's getting

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<v Speaker 1>a little bit better. Um, maybe we don't need to

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<v Speaker 1>be as harsh and as drastic on our cutbacks. So

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<v Speaker 1>the to the Federal Reserve has been trying to slow

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<v Speaker 1>down inflation by one raising interest rates. When they raise

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<v Speaker 1>interest rates, less people borrow money. If you're not aware,

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<v Speaker 1>we talk about money printing all the time. The FED,

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<v Speaker 1>the government printed money. It's not really how it works.

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<v Speaker 1>Over of transactions are digital. Nobody is using really paper money.

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<v Speaker 1>It's not really printing anything. And the Federal reserved by

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<v Speaker 1>itself doesn't even create money. All they do is give

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<v Speaker 1>reserves to the banks, and then the banks with those

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<v Speaker 1>reserves can create money into existence by issuing debt. So

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<v Speaker 1>when you go to borrow money for a house, a

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<v Speaker 1>car on r V, a boat, etcetera, that money is

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<v Speaker 1>being created into existence by debt. So when the interest

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<v Speaker 1>rates go up, you borrow less, which means less money

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<v Speaker 1>is being created into existence. Um. So the FED has

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<v Speaker 1>been pretty aggressive on raising rates, some of the most

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<v Speaker 1>aggressive we've seen them be in several years. And they

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<v Speaker 1>raised half a basis point, um another half a basis point,

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<v Speaker 1>and many still believe they're going to continue raising rates. Um.

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<v Speaker 1>But the markets are completely melting down and they may

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<v Speaker 1>have to be reversing course here pretty quickly. Of course,

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<v Speaker 1>might talk about the markets melting down. Everything is melting down.

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<v Speaker 1>We've seen, um, the Nasdaq is down, the Dow Jones

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<v Speaker 1>is down, the SMP five is down, UM the big

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<v Speaker 1>Darlen's are you know, Tesla's down, um coin bases down, UM,

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<v Speaker 1>you name it. Everything has come down. The crypto markets

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<v Speaker 1>are not immune to this either. There's a complete blood bath.

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<v Speaker 1>A lot of it's due to this uh failing UM

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<v Speaker 1>stable coin protocol U s T, which I've been talking

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<v Speaker 1>about quite a bit. I'm sure you caught that, and

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<v Speaker 1>that's bringing the entire market cap down. Considering how bad

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<v Speaker 1>things are. Dare I say that maybe Bitcoin is holding on? Okay,

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<v Speaker 1>I know it's hard to say that at a time

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<v Speaker 1>like this, when we have this complete melt down happening,

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<v Speaker 1>but maybe it's not doing UM so bad. So we

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<v Speaker 1>can see like Tera Lunas down in seven days, eight

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<v Speaker 1>coins down, sixty UM thor it's a big one avalanche,

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<v Speaker 1>UM decentral and you know so so Lana, the big

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<v Speaker 1>Darly and um so a lot of these are really

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<v Speaker 1>really really down uh forty fifty even sixty percent just

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<v Speaker 1>in the last seven days, which is pretty insane. But

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<v Speaker 1>we can see, you know, Bitcoin seems to be somewhat

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<v Speaker 1>holding on in light of that, UM, you know, considering

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<v Speaker 1>it's not a stable coin. It's down about so while

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<v Speaker 1>the entire or some of the biggest cryptocurrencies are down

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<v Speaker 1>by fifty sixty and even sevent bitcoins holding on at

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<v Speaker 1>about drop, which, um, you know, doesn't make it the best,

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<v Speaker 1>but it's still dropping down. We can see ethereums down,

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<v Speaker 1>overt x, rps down, over cardanos down forty five percent,

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<v Speaker 1>Salona is down fifty five percent, Elon must's favorite, dodge

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<v Speaker 1>coins down, and so Bitcoin holding on not doing too

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<v Speaker 1>bad all in all. And even while all this carnage

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<v Speaker 1>is happening, there's still some bright spots on the horizon.

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<v Speaker 1>We can see another nation is announcing that they're going

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<v Speaker 1>to start buying it. Not another nation, but we saw

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<v Speaker 1>news that Latin America's largest digital bank is going to

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<v Speaker 1>allocate one percent to bitcoin and offer crypto investment services.

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<v Speaker 1>And so here we have the largest digital bank in

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<v Speaker 1>Latin America that's going to start putting their reserves into bitcoin.

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<v Speaker 1>And we've seen through the stable coins melting down that

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<v Speaker 1>bitcoin is a big beneficiary. A lot of people are

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<v Speaker 1>buying bitcoin, and I think now it's still a pretty

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<v Speaker 1>good time to get into bitcoin. Um, you buy when

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<v Speaker 1>there's blood in the street, and that's basically where we're

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<v Speaker 1>at right now. You're listening to the markma Show. We're

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<v Speaker 1>talking about bitcoin and so much more. I got a

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<v Speaker 1>lot more. Don't go away, all right, Welcome back. You're

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<v Speaker 1>listening to the Mark mo Show. We're talking about bitcoin

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<v Speaker 1>and cryptocurrencies and the decentralized revolution. Before the break, we

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<v Speaker 1>were talking about the latest government numbers on inflation cp I,

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<v Speaker 1>what the Central Bank and the federal probably continue to do.

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<v Speaker 1>We're talking about some of the blood bath happening in

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<v Speaker 1>the DeFi protocols because of the terror Luna. I went

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<v Speaker 1>super deep into that in the early segments, so I'm

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<v Speaker 1>not gonna go back deep into that again, Unlesten, if

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<v Speaker 1>you want to go back and check out that archive, um,

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<v Speaker 1>but it's a blood bath in that. And I talked

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<v Speaker 1>about how bitcoin is actually holding up pretty good considering

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<v Speaker 1>what's going on the rest of the market. Most of

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<v Speaker 1>the market is down fifty sixty even sent Bitcoin is

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<v Speaker 1>kind of holding in there about we can see here's

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<v Speaker 1>as terror contagion leads to an eighty percent decline in

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<v Speaker 1>the DeFi protocols associated um with this, and so it's

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<v Speaker 1>just starting to drag everything down. Like I said, I'm

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<v Speaker 1>not gonna go super deep into this. Already a deep

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<v Speaker 1>dive on this. You can go listen to the podcast

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<v Speaker 1>version of this something I Heart Network to search Mark

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<v Speaker 1>Moss podcast or Mark Moss I Heart and you can

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<v Speaker 1>check that out where I really dug in deep to that. UM.

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<v Speaker 1>But what we can see is that there's a lot

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<v Speaker 1>of contagion happening, and I'm afraid that what could happen,

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<v Speaker 1>what's happened with us T could then lead to us

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<v Speaker 1>d T, which is tether, and it could even spread

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<v Speaker 1>to some of the c FI coins like Celsius, because

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<v Speaker 1>I see Selfius Celsius trying to backstop um these and

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<v Speaker 1>it makes me think they have some sort of invested

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<v Speaker 1>interest that so be very very careful of this contagion

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<v Speaker 1>that's that's happening right now. UM. And of course a

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<v Speaker 1>lot of people losing a lot of money, which then

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<v Speaker 1>leads the uh, you know, the government's the regulators to

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<v Speaker 1>do what they do, which is regulate, and we have

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<v Speaker 1>the SEC Security Exchange Commission, and their role is to

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<v Speaker 1>protect customers. Their role is to protect people from this

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<v Speaker 1>very thing. Now I'm not a fan of the SEC.

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<v Speaker 1>I don't think I need protection or you need protection.

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<v Speaker 1>We should all be in a free market that allows

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<v Speaker 1>me to freely choose what I want to decide, what

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<v Speaker 1>risks I want to take, etcetera. UM, And really I'm

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<v Speaker 1>a little bit mad at the SEC because they don't

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<v Speaker 1>do anything to protect you. UM. A lot of times

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<v Speaker 1>what they're doing is actually hurting you. So for example, UM,

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<v Speaker 1>the rich get really rich because they get access to

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<v Speaker 1>really good deals before their public. So for example, UM,

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<v Speaker 1>some famous VC investors UM put like dollars or fifty

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<v Speaker 1>thousand dollars or a hundred thousand dollars into early upstarts

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<v Speaker 1>like Uber and turns into twenty million dollars, fifty million dollars,

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<v Speaker 1>a hundred million dollars, little bits of money. But you,

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<v Speaker 1>well maybe you, maybe not you. But the average person

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<v Speaker 1>isn't able to get in these types of deals because

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<v Speaker 1>you're not an accredited investor. So the SEC is trying

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<v Speaker 1>to protect you, so they're keeping you out of these

0:12:01.320 --> 0:12:04.040
<v Speaker 1>types of deals. Meanwhile, the rich keep getting richer because

0:12:04.080 --> 0:12:05.880
<v Speaker 1>they get access to these deals. And what happens is

0:12:06.400 --> 0:12:09.760
<v Speaker 1>they get into all these early round deals and they

0:12:09.800 --> 0:12:13.120
<v Speaker 1>make a bunch of money and then finally they go public,

0:12:13.320 --> 0:12:16.679
<v Speaker 1>which means the average person that's non accredited, kid credited

0:12:16.760 --> 0:12:20.040
<v Speaker 1>can buy them. And so what happens. All those venture capitalists,

0:12:20.040 --> 0:12:23.000
<v Speaker 1>all those are credit investors by early and as soon

0:12:23.040 --> 0:12:25.839
<v Speaker 1>as they get onto the market, the regular people, non

0:12:25.840 --> 0:12:27.920
<v Speaker 1>acredit investors have been waiting and waiting, waiting to get in.

0:12:28.360 --> 0:12:30.679
<v Speaker 1>They can finally get in, and what happens, Well, those

0:12:30.720 --> 0:12:33.920
<v Speaker 1>early investors dump on them. Sure, I already made ten

0:12:34.120 --> 0:12:37.360
<v Speaker 1>x fifty x on my investment. Here you go buy it.

0:12:37.760 --> 0:12:41.720
<v Speaker 1>And usually right after that happens, the price plummets down,

0:12:42.160 --> 0:12:45.440
<v Speaker 1>and so the SEC they say, I was trying to

0:12:45.480 --> 0:12:48.480
<v Speaker 1>protect the average person. The reality is more people end

0:12:48.559 --> 0:12:52.520
<v Speaker 1>up getting a hurt by this. However, I can't fault

0:12:52.559 --> 0:12:55.560
<v Speaker 1>them from trying. I suppose here they are again, back

0:12:55.600 --> 0:12:59.040
<v Speaker 1>at it again, meeting at an I S d A

0:12:59.240 --> 0:13:03.040
<v Speaker 1>meeting and they're um, they're addressing the audience. It's an

0:13:03.080 --> 0:13:06.800
<v Speaker 1>annual meeting and of the International Swaps and Derivatives Association

0:13:07.880 --> 0:13:11.320
<v Speaker 1>in Madrid, Spain. And Gary Ginsler, he's the head of

0:13:11.320 --> 0:13:13.840
<v Speaker 1>the SEC, and the head of the U S Commodity

0:13:13.880 --> 0:13:18.079
<v Speaker 1>Futures Trading Committee UH Chairman Roston Benham were both features

0:13:18.120 --> 0:13:22.120
<v Speaker 1>keynote speakers at the event. UM, basically saying what they

0:13:22.160 --> 0:13:24.439
<v Speaker 1>plan to do. Ben him spoke at length about a

0:13:24.559 --> 0:13:27.840
<v Speaker 1>quote request for an amended Order of Registration as a

0:13:27.880 --> 0:13:32.120
<v Speaker 1>derivatives clearing organization by an entity seeking to offer non

0:13:32.120 --> 0:13:36.120
<v Speaker 1>intermediated clearing of margin products to retail participants. It's a lot,

0:13:36.480 --> 0:13:39.400
<v Speaker 1>it's a big mouthful. What does that mean? That means

0:13:39.440 --> 0:13:42.480
<v Speaker 1>they want to create more red tape and UM, you know,

0:13:42.600 --> 0:13:44.640
<v Speaker 1>more gates that people have to get through before they

0:13:44.640 --> 0:13:49.840
<v Speaker 1>can give these UH securities and UM derivatives for you

0:13:49.880 --> 0:13:53.280
<v Speaker 1>to invest into, which is good. UM. I think most

0:13:53.280 --> 0:13:56.400
<v Speaker 1>people probably shouldn't be investing in these at all. UM,

0:13:56.440 --> 0:13:58.360
<v Speaker 1>but never like like I said, they're gonna try to

0:13:58.400 --> 0:14:00.640
<v Speaker 1>continue to regulate it. They're gonna try to you continue

0:14:00.679 --> 0:14:05.920
<v Speaker 1>to protect us. And notably UM, Sam Bankman Freed was

0:14:05.960 --> 0:14:09.720
<v Speaker 1>there UM talking Sam Bankman Freed. You might recognize that name.

0:14:09.760 --> 0:14:13.839
<v Speaker 1>He is the UM. I think he's under thirty. I

0:14:13.880 --> 0:14:15.839
<v Speaker 1>want to say he's like one of the richest men

0:14:15.960 --> 0:14:20.560
<v Speaker 1>under thirty. He's the founder of ft X Exchange so

0:14:20.960 --> 0:14:25.080
<v Speaker 1>ft X Exchange I believe they sponsored is at the

0:14:25.120 --> 0:14:29.600
<v Speaker 1>Miami heat Stadium possibly UM huge crypto exchange. He's a billionaire.

0:14:30.600 --> 0:14:34.200
<v Speaker 1>He's there speaking about regulations, and here he isn't another

0:14:34.320 --> 0:14:39.440
<v Speaker 1>article talking about the scams that he sales. M hm.

0:14:39.960 --> 0:14:42.440
<v Speaker 1>So he's there with the SEC and the CFTC talking

0:14:42.440 --> 0:14:45.440
<v Speaker 1>about regulations and protecting people. But just a few weeks

0:14:45.480 --> 0:14:48.040
<v Speaker 1>ago he was talking about how the scams he perpetuates.

0:14:48.120 --> 0:14:49.520
<v Speaker 1>So let me let me break this down. There's this

0:14:49.520 --> 0:14:53.520
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg article. You can find it just search. Sam Bankman

0:14:53.560 --> 0:14:56.200
<v Speaker 1>Freed described yield farming. If you just look at that,

0:14:57.560 --> 0:15:02.920
<v Speaker 1>so he says, uh so uh, he says, uh. Anyway,

0:15:02.920 --> 0:15:04.440
<v Speaker 1>this article is like, what do you find some of

0:15:04.440 --> 0:15:06.520
<v Speaker 1>the most creative money making seems to take place in

0:15:06.720 --> 0:15:09.840
<v Speaker 1>yield farming. You might be asking yourself right now, what

0:15:09.880 --> 0:15:11.960
<v Speaker 1>the heck is yield farming? Well, a lot of people

0:15:12.000 --> 0:15:16.200
<v Speaker 1>are so. In this article, um ft X chief executive

0:15:16.240 --> 0:15:19.560
<v Speaker 1>officer and crypto billionaire Stan Bankman Freed with Bloomberg opinion

0:15:19.600 --> 0:15:23.600
<v Speaker 1>columnist Matt Levine sat down and Matt asked Sam exactly

0:15:23.600 --> 0:15:26.840
<v Speaker 1>what filled yield farming actually is. And here's what he said.

0:15:28.120 --> 0:15:30.280
<v Speaker 1>You're gonna love this. Matt Levin says, can you give

0:15:30.280 --> 0:15:33.280
<v Speaker 1>me an intuitive understanding of farming? I mean, like, to me,

0:15:33.400 --> 0:15:35.480
<v Speaker 1>farming is like you sell some structured puts or whatever.

0:15:35.840 --> 0:15:39.400
<v Speaker 1>So Sam Frank Sam Bankman Freed what's called SPF for short.

0:15:39.800 --> 0:15:42.440
<v Speaker 1>Remember he's the billionaire that runs f t X who

0:15:42.520 --> 0:15:46.160
<v Speaker 1>was with the SEC talking about regulating. He says, um,

0:15:46.240 --> 0:15:48.200
<v Speaker 1>let me give you sort of like a really toy

0:15:48.280 --> 0:15:50.720
<v Speaker 1>model of it, which I actually think has a surprising

0:15:50.720 --> 0:15:53.440
<v Speaker 1>amount of legitimacy for what farming could mean. You know,

0:15:53.440 --> 0:15:55.600
<v Speaker 1>where do you start? He says, you start with a

0:15:55.600 --> 0:15:58.320
<v Speaker 1>company that builds a box and then practice this box.

0:15:58.640 --> 0:16:00.320
<v Speaker 1>They probably dress it up to look like a life

0:16:00.400 --> 0:16:02.920
<v Speaker 1>changing you know, kind of like world altering protocol that's

0:16:02.960 --> 0:16:04.680
<v Speaker 1>kind of replace all the big banks in thirty eight

0:16:04.720 --> 0:16:08.240
<v Speaker 1>days or whatever. Um, maybe for now, actually ignore what

0:16:08.280 --> 0:16:11.080
<v Speaker 1>it does or pretend it does literally nothing. It's just

0:16:11.160 --> 0:16:15.240
<v Speaker 1>a box that does that make sense? So right now,

0:16:15.480 --> 0:16:17.880
<v Speaker 1>he says, it's sort of like a box that they

0:16:17.960 --> 0:16:19.920
<v Speaker 1>promise is going to change the whole world in thirty

0:16:19.920 --> 0:16:24.480
<v Speaker 1>eight days, but it literally does nothing. It's just a box,

0:16:25.080 --> 0:16:28.080
<v Speaker 1>that's his words. So you start with nothing and they

0:16:28.120 --> 0:16:30.320
<v Speaker 1>pretend it's going to be something, but in his own words,

0:16:30.360 --> 0:16:33.040
<v Speaker 1>it actually does nothing. He says, so what this protocol is,

0:16:33.080 --> 0:16:35.320
<v Speaker 1>It's called Protocol xits the box and you're a token.

0:16:35.960 --> 0:16:38.080
<v Speaker 1>You can take ethereum or whatever and you put it

0:16:38.080 --> 0:16:39.680
<v Speaker 1>in the box and you take it out of the box.

0:16:39.800 --> 0:16:41.400
<v Speaker 1>All right, So you can put tokens in and you

0:16:41.400 --> 0:16:43.280
<v Speaker 1>can take boat tokens out. So you put in the

0:16:43.320 --> 0:16:45.520
<v Speaker 1>box and you get like, you know, an IOU for

0:16:45.600 --> 0:16:48.320
<v Speaker 1>having put it in the box, and then later you

0:16:48.360 --> 0:16:51.120
<v Speaker 1>can redeem that i o U back to get the

0:16:51.160 --> 0:16:53.200
<v Speaker 1>token back. That makes sense here with me. So far,

0:16:53.320 --> 0:16:55.760
<v Speaker 1>you have this worth lipp worthless box. You can put

0:16:55.760 --> 0:16:57.360
<v Speaker 1>it token in, they'll give an IOU for it, and

0:16:57.440 --> 0:17:00.640
<v Speaker 1>later you can redeem that for the token. He says,

0:17:00.680 --> 0:17:03.600
<v Speaker 1>so far, this is Sam Bakeman freesteal, what we've described

0:17:03.640 --> 0:17:06.679
<v Speaker 1>as the world's dumbest e t F. It doesn't do anything,

0:17:07.119 --> 0:17:09.080
<v Speaker 1>but it lets you puts things in if you choose.

0:17:09.400 --> 0:17:11.960
<v Speaker 1>And then this protocol issues a token, we'll call it

0:17:12.000 --> 0:17:15.320
<v Speaker 1>whatever ex token, and x X token promises that anything

0:17:15.320 --> 0:17:17.439
<v Speaker 1>cool that happens because of this box is going to

0:17:17.600 --> 0:17:21.320
<v Speaker 1>ultimately be usable by you know, governance votes of holders

0:17:21.359 --> 0:17:24.399
<v Speaker 1>of the X token. So basically it's a bunch of

0:17:24.400 --> 0:17:27.719
<v Speaker 1>smoke and mirrors. They created box that literally does nothing

0:17:27.920 --> 0:17:30.520
<v Speaker 1>that you can put tokens into with a with an

0:17:30.640 --> 0:17:33.280
<v Speaker 1>I O U, and they promise you that whatever this

0:17:33.400 --> 0:17:35.560
<v Speaker 1>box ends up doing, you'll be able to have a

0:17:35.640 --> 0:17:37.840
<v Speaker 1>claim on whatever that box ends up doing because you

0:17:37.840 --> 0:17:40.040
<v Speaker 1>have that IOU. However, he already told you that the

0:17:40.080 --> 0:17:44.320
<v Speaker 1>box does nothing. Sounds sort of like a fraud or

0:17:44.320 --> 0:17:46.919
<v Speaker 1>a scam, doesn't it. I want to explain what he

0:17:46.960 --> 0:17:48.439
<v Speaker 1>says here and more in some of the questions that

0:17:48.440 --> 0:17:50.560
<v Speaker 1>were asked back of him, so you can understand, what's more,

0:17:51.160 --> 0:17:53.159
<v Speaker 1>what they're talking about here are You're listening to the

0:17:53.200 --> 0:17:55.800
<v Speaker 1>Mark Moa Show talking about bitcoin and cryptocurrencies and a

0:17:55.840 --> 0:17:58.359
<v Speaker 1>whole lot more. I'm gonna come back with this story

0:17:58.359 --> 0:18:00.320
<v Speaker 1>and more in a second. Don't go away, all right,

0:18:00.359 --> 0:18:02.440
<v Speaker 1>welcome back. You are listening to the markmas Show. We're

0:18:02.440 --> 0:18:05.720
<v Speaker 1>talking about bitcoin, We're talking about cryptocurrency. We're talking about

0:18:05.720 --> 0:18:09.280
<v Speaker 1>the decentralized revolution. I was talking about right before the break,

0:18:09.320 --> 0:18:11.960
<v Speaker 1>I was talking about this Defy protocol thing. I was

0:18:11.960 --> 0:18:14.280
<v Speaker 1>talking about how it's blown up, it's blowing up the markets,

0:18:14.640 --> 0:18:17.920
<v Speaker 1>how the SEC, the CFTC, they're having this meeting to

0:18:18.000 --> 0:18:19.840
<v Speaker 1>figure out how they're going to regulate things and how

0:18:19.840 --> 0:18:23.160
<v Speaker 1>they're going to protect us from investing into a bunch

0:18:23.200 --> 0:18:26.320
<v Speaker 1>of scams and frauds, and at the event was Sam

0:18:26.359 --> 0:18:29.639
<v Speaker 1>Bankman Freed. He's the billionaire founder of f t x,

0:18:29.680 --> 0:18:33.679
<v Speaker 1>one of the largest cryptocurrency trading platforms, and he was

0:18:33.720 --> 0:18:36.280
<v Speaker 1>in an article just a few weeks ago on Bloomberg

0:18:36.560 --> 0:18:39.520
<v Speaker 1>and he was interviewed by Matt Levine asking him what

0:18:39.600 --> 0:18:43.359
<v Speaker 1>the heck is this defy yield farming about anyway? The

0:18:43.400 --> 0:18:47.600
<v Speaker 1>yield farming, Uh, defy that's like blowing up the entire

0:18:48.000 --> 0:18:50.399
<v Speaker 1>financial markets right now. Yeah, So we asked him about it,

0:18:50.520 --> 0:18:52.639
<v Speaker 1>and Sam Bankman Freed said, it's basically like a box.

0:18:52.960 --> 0:18:55.600
<v Speaker 1>The box does nothing, it's worth nothing, but you can

0:18:55.600 --> 0:18:56.840
<v Speaker 1>put a token in it, and then you get an

0:18:56.880 --> 0:19:00.480
<v Speaker 1>IOU for that token, and then, um, you know, they

0:19:00.480 --> 0:19:01.919
<v Speaker 1>make you think that this box is going to do

0:19:01.920 --> 0:19:03.560
<v Speaker 1>something cool and if it does, then your token then

0:19:03.560 --> 0:19:06.760
<v Speaker 1>your claim on that token allows you to participate. Um.

0:19:06.800 --> 0:19:08.359
<v Speaker 1>He went on to say, of course, so far we

0:19:08.400 --> 0:19:11.440
<v Speaker 1>haven't exactly given a compelling reason for why there ever

0:19:11.480 --> 0:19:14.480
<v Speaker 1>would be any proceeds from this box, but I don't know,

0:19:14.800 --> 0:19:17.200
<v Speaker 1>you know, maybe there will be. So sort of where

0:19:17.320 --> 0:19:20.720
<v Speaker 1>you start and then you say, all right, well you've

0:19:20.760 --> 0:19:23.080
<v Speaker 1>got this box and you've got a token, and the

0:19:23.119 --> 0:19:28.560
<v Speaker 1>box declares or votes on governance. UM. And what we're

0:19:28.560 --> 0:19:30.879
<v Speaker 1>gonna do is gonna take half of all the tokens,

0:19:32.160 --> 0:19:34.719
<v Speaker 1>maybe two thirds, and we're gonna offer those tokens. We're

0:19:34.720 --> 0:19:37.560
<v Speaker 1>gonna give him away for free whoever uses the box.

0:19:37.960 --> 0:19:41.000
<v Speaker 1>So anyone who goes and takes some money and puts

0:19:41.000 --> 0:19:43.000
<v Speaker 1>it in this box, remember the box that he said

0:19:43.040 --> 0:19:45.320
<v Speaker 1>is worthless and does nothing. Whoever takes money and puts

0:19:45.359 --> 0:19:49.119
<v Speaker 1>it in this box each day, they're gonna get back,

0:19:49.160 --> 0:19:53.440
<v Speaker 1>you know, one percent of this new box token UM

0:19:53.560 --> 0:19:56.200
<v Speaker 1>for everyone who put money in the box. Now for now,

0:19:56.480 --> 0:19:59.320
<v Speaker 1>what EX token does? It gets given away to box people.

0:20:01.160 --> 0:20:03.960
<v Speaker 1>So this box that does absolutely nothing creates its own token.

0:20:04.720 --> 0:20:07.399
<v Speaker 1>And if I put real money in there, they're going

0:20:07.440 --> 0:20:11.160
<v Speaker 1>to give me back this box token. But what's the box?

0:20:11.240 --> 0:20:16.560
<v Speaker 1>The box does nothing and box token does nothing. UM.

0:20:16.680 --> 0:20:18.760
<v Speaker 1>For now, he says, in his own words, what X

0:20:18.800 --> 0:20:21.240
<v Speaker 1>token does? It gets given away to the box people.

0:20:21.960 --> 0:20:25.719
<v Speaker 1>And now what happens, Well, the token has some market cap, right,

0:20:25.720 --> 0:20:28.080
<v Speaker 1>it's probably not zero, let's say it's you know, it's

0:20:28.080 --> 0:20:31.800
<v Speaker 1>a twenty million market So this box token that does

0:20:31.840 --> 0:20:34.600
<v Speaker 1>nothing and gets given away to people who put their

0:20:34.880 --> 0:20:38.440
<v Speaker 1>money in the box gets given away and it's worth

0:20:38.440 --> 0:20:41.840
<v Speaker 1>twenty million. And so the interviewee Matt Levine says, wait, wait, wait, wait, wait,

0:20:42.000 --> 0:20:45.719
<v Speaker 1>from like first principles, it should be zero. And Sam's

0:20:45.760 --> 0:20:49.320
<v Speaker 1>answer is, uh, sure, okay, yeah, it's completely reasonable, should

0:20:49.320 --> 0:20:54.440
<v Speaker 1>be zero. So so Matt says, wait, but like, when

0:20:54.480 --> 0:20:56.680
<v Speaker 1>you describe it in this totalical, cynical way, it sounds

0:20:56.720 --> 0:20:59.239
<v Speaker 1>like it should be zero, but go ahead and go on.

0:20:59.280 --> 0:21:01.720
<v Speaker 1>So Sam says, okay, describe it this way. You might think,

0:21:01.720 --> 0:21:04.040
<v Speaker 1>for instance, that in like five minutes with an Internet connection,

0:21:04.240 --> 0:21:07.159
<v Speaker 1>you could create a box and such a token and

0:21:07.160 --> 0:21:08.720
<v Speaker 1>that it should reflect like, you know, it should be

0:21:08.760 --> 0:21:11.199
<v Speaker 1>worth like a highty bucks or something market cap for

0:21:11.240 --> 0:21:13.720
<v Speaker 1>that um because of the amount of time and effort

0:21:13.760 --> 0:21:17.199
<v Speaker 1>that it went um. And he says that in the

0:21:17.240 --> 0:21:20.040
<v Speaker 1>world that we're in, though, in this world today that

0:21:20.080 --> 0:21:23.920
<v Speaker 1>he operates in, if you do this, everyone's gonna be like, oh,

0:21:24.080 --> 0:21:27.000
<v Speaker 1>box token, maybe it's cool if you buy in box token.

0:21:27.040 --> 0:21:29.280
<v Speaker 1>You know, that's gonna appear on Twitter and it's gonna

0:21:29.320 --> 0:21:32.199
<v Speaker 1>have a twenty million market cap. Of course, one thing

0:21:32.240 --> 0:21:35.000
<v Speaker 1>that you could do is you could like maybe make

0:21:35.040 --> 0:21:37.000
<v Speaker 1>the float very low and whatever and you know, there

0:21:37.000 --> 0:21:39.399
<v Speaker 1>wouldn't there. There haven't been twenty million dollars that have

0:21:39.440 --> 0:21:41.359
<v Speaker 1>been flowed in yet, so that's sort of like it.

0:21:41.480 --> 0:21:44.080
<v Speaker 1>So what they do, what does you mean by that? So, um,

0:21:44.160 --> 0:21:47.639
<v Speaker 1>let's say that I have a million tokens in this box,

0:21:47.640 --> 0:21:49.679
<v Speaker 1>so I create this worthless box, and I create a

0:21:49.680 --> 0:21:53.240
<v Speaker 1>million box tokens, and people put token their real money

0:21:53.240 --> 0:21:55.440
<v Speaker 1>in the box, and I gave him this worthless box

0:21:55.520 --> 0:21:59.320
<v Speaker 1>token back. I know, it sounds insane, this is what's happening.

0:22:00.440 --> 0:22:01.800
<v Speaker 1>What they do is then they say, well, we have

0:22:01.840 --> 0:22:04.919
<v Speaker 1>these million tokens, but that's how many are total total supply.

0:22:05.160 --> 0:22:08.119
<v Speaker 1>We're only going to put a hundred thousand into the market.

0:22:08.160 --> 0:22:11.320
<v Speaker 1>That's the float. That's what he's talking about. Why would

0:22:11.320 --> 0:22:15.000
<v Speaker 1>they do that, Well, supply and demand. If they make

0:22:15.080 --> 0:22:19.600
<v Speaker 1>the tokens seem more scarce, then people want it more.

0:22:19.680 --> 0:22:22.200
<v Speaker 1>And so you take the entire market cap of the token,

0:22:22.680 --> 0:22:25.240
<v Speaker 1>and then you reduced the amount of tokens by what's

0:22:25.240 --> 0:22:28.520
<v Speaker 1>available in the market to float, and you artificially increase it.

0:22:29.240 --> 0:22:33.360
<v Speaker 1>So so the interviewer goes on to say, it shouldn't

0:22:33.400 --> 0:22:36.640
<v Speaker 1>have any market cap in theory, but in practice they

0:22:36.640 --> 0:22:40.600
<v Speaker 1>always do Okay, so it should be worth nothing that saying,

0:22:40.600 --> 0:22:43.199
<v Speaker 1>and so Sam baby Free says, that's right. So and

0:22:43.240 --> 0:22:46.720
<v Speaker 1>obviously already we sort of hiding some of the magic impact, right,

0:22:48.400 --> 0:22:50.320
<v Speaker 1>So like some of the magic is like how do

0:22:50.440 --> 0:22:53.399
<v Speaker 1>you get that market cap to start with? But you know,

0:22:53.440 --> 0:22:55.959
<v Speaker 1>whatever we're gonna move on from for that second. You know,

0:22:56.359 --> 0:23:00.080
<v Speaker 1>we have ex tokens being given out to all the

0:23:00.160 --> 0:23:03.200
<v Speaker 1>sophisticated firms. So all these Wall Street firms and here's

0:23:03.200 --> 0:23:05.920
<v Speaker 1>where the real scam comes in. So all these Wall

0:23:05.960 --> 0:23:09.080
<v Speaker 1>Street firms are in on this. So you take this

0:23:09.200 --> 0:23:13.080
<v Speaker 1>worthless box and these worthless box toke box tokens, but

0:23:13.200 --> 0:23:17.480
<v Speaker 1>you give them out to these sophisticated firms. Like, if

0:23:17.480 --> 0:23:19.040
<v Speaker 1>the total amount of money in the box is a

0:23:19.119 --> 0:23:22.520
<v Speaker 1>hundred million dollars, then it's going to yield sixteen million

0:23:22.600 --> 0:23:26.200
<v Speaker 1>this year in box tokens that are being given out

0:23:26.240 --> 0:23:30.640
<v Speaker 1>for it. That's a sixtent return. That's pretty good. We'll

0:23:30.680 --> 0:23:32.879
<v Speaker 1>put a little bit more in, right, and maybe that

0:23:32.920 --> 0:23:35.320
<v Speaker 1>happens until there's two hundred million dollars in the box.

0:23:35.720 --> 0:23:38.560
<v Speaker 1>So you know, sophisticated traders or people on crypto Twitter

0:23:38.680 --> 0:23:40.400
<v Speaker 1>or other sort of similar parties go and put two

0:23:40.520 --> 0:23:43.320
<v Speaker 1>hundred million in the box collectively, they start getting these

0:23:43.359 --> 0:23:47.760
<v Speaker 1>ex tokens for it. So what he's saying, you create

0:23:47.800 --> 0:23:51.879
<v Speaker 1>a completely worthless box and a completely worthless token or

0:23:51.920 --> 0:23:56.800
<v Speaker 1>box token. People then put real money or other tokens, bitcoin,

0:23:56.840 --> 0:24:00.240
<v Speaker 1>etherorum into this box and they get this worthless box

0:24:00.320 --> 0:24:05.240
<v Speaker 1>token back. They manipulate the markets to seem like there's

0:24:05.359 --> 0:24:09.920
<v Speaker 1>value and I'm getting fifteen percent back on my tokens

0:24:10.000 --> 0:24:12.720
<v Speaker 1>or my money in this box token, and then I

0:24:12.720 --> 0:24:15.040
<v Speaker 1>can take this box token and I can go exchange

0:24:15.040 --> 0:24:18.240
<v Speaker 1>it back for a U. S dollar stable coin or

0:24:18.280 --> 0:24:21.240
<v Speaker 1>a bitcoin or a theoryum or whatever. Are you falling

0:24:21.240 --> 0:24:26.000
<v Speaker 1>along here? Does it sound ridiculous, It's because it is.

0:24:26.720 --> 0:24:32.160
<v Speaker 1>That's exactly what's happened with us Tara Luna. So they've

0:24:32.160 --> 0:24:35.120
<v Speaker 1>created this box Tera Luna, and if I give them

0:24:35.119 --> 0:24:40.160
<v Speaker 1>a dollar, they go and create Tara Luna coin, which

0:24:40.240 --> 0:24:43.760
<v Speaker 1>is a worthless coin for a worthless box. They use

0:24:43.800 --> 0:24:46.960
<v Speaker 1>their market makers and their Wall Street sophisticated traders to

0:24:47.240 --> 0:24:50.479
<v Speaker 1>look like it has value, pump it up on Twitter

0:24:51.359 --> 0:24:56.280
<v Speaker 1>and pay back artificially fift Now. Remember if you on

0:24:56.440 --> 0:24:59.879
<v Speaker 1>Terra Luna, they offer you tw so a lot of

0:25:00.000 --> 0:25:01.879
<v Speaker 1>pop are gonna take that. How do they pay you back?

0:25:03.320 --> 0:25:06.080
<v Speaker 1>They pay you back with a worthless box token. Look,

0:25:06.200 --> 0:25:08.280
<v Speaker 1>this is what Sam Bankman Freed is saying. All right,

0:25:08.600 --> 0:25:10.720
<v Speaker 1>this isn't my words, this is his. Now, who's Sam

0:25:10.760 --> 0:25:14.720
<v Speaker 1>Bankman Freed. He is the founder of the ft Exchange,

0:25:14.760 --> 0:25:19.640
<v Speaker 1>was the largest cryptocurrency exchange. He's the same person at

0:25:19.680 --> 0:25:22.880
<v Speaker 1>the meeting with the SEC and the CFTC that's trying

0:25:22.920 --> 0:25:27.639
<v Speaker 1>to protect you from this exact scam. He's not trying

0:25:27.640 --> 0:25:31.760
<v Speaker 1>to hide it. He's not trying to say like, um,

0:25:31.880 --> 0:25:34.560
<v Speaker 1>um no, this really has value. He's not saying that.

0:25:35.040 --> 0:25:39.720
<v Speaker 1>He's saying it's a scam. Um he said. The interviewer says, uh,

0:25:39.800 --> 0:25:41.800
<v Speaker 1>I think of myself like a fairly cynical person. And

0:25:41.840 --> 0:25:43.880
<v Speaker 1>that was so much more cynical than how I would

0:25:43.880 --> 0:25:47.080
<v Speaker 1>have described it. You're just like, well, uh, I'm in

0:25:47.119 --> 0:25:50.399
<v Speaker 1>the ponzi business and it's pretty good. That's the interview

0:25:50.440 --> 0:25:54.480
<v Speaker 1>asked him. Uh. And and they said, at no point

0:25:54.480 --> 0:25:56.720
<v Speaker 1>did any of this require any sort of like economic case.

0:25:56.760 --> 0:25:58.879
<v Speaker 1>It's just like other people putting money in the box,

0:25:59.240 --> 0:26:01.399
<v Speaker 1>and so I'm going to you too, and then and

0:26:01.440 --> 0:26:04.280
<v Speaker 1>then it's more valuable. So they're gonna put more money in,

0:26:04.400 --> 0:26:06.560
<v Speaker 1>and at no point in the cycle did seem to

0:26:06.640 --> 0:26:13.200
<v Speaker 1>like describe any sort of like economic purpose. Uh yeah,

0:26:13.240 --> 0:26:17.560
<v Speaker 1>so you're getting the point that's exactly what this DeFi is. Um.

0:26:17.600 --> 0:26:19.560
<v Speaker 1>I know a lot of you may not like to

0:26:19.640 --> 0:26:22.240
<v Speaker 1>hear this, and I apologize because it's maybe the first

0:26:22.240 --> 0:26:25.119
<v Speaker 1>time you're hearing something like this. But you've created a

0:26:25.119 --> 0:26:29.520
<v Speaker 1>worthless box, and you've created a broken economic incentive system

0:26:29.560 --> 0:26:32.680
<v Speaker 1>to get more people to put their real valuable tokens

0:26:32.760 --> 0:26:37.000
<v Speaker 1>or money in a worthless box. And then they're creating

0:26:37.000 --> 0:26:40.120
<v Speaker 1>a worthless box token to pay you back a percentage

0:26:40.640 --> 0:26:44.640
<v Speaker 1>of your real money in Personambankment Freed in his own words,

0:26:44.640 --> 0:26:48.879
<v Speaker 1>I read it for your word by word. It's a scam.

0:26:48.920 --> 0:26:51.119
<v Speaker 1>Anything backed or packed as a scam. I'm gonna come

0:26:51.119 --> 0:26:52.520
<v Speaker 1>back and I'm explain this a little bit more, and

0:26:52.520 --> 0:26:55.040
<v Speaker 1>I wanna explain ways we can look at other tokens

0:26:55.119 --> 0:26:57.520
<v Speaker 1>that and more. You're listening to the Markma Show. We're

0:26:57.520 --> 0:27:00.480
<v Speaker 1>talking about bitcoin, We're talking about cryptocurrencies. We're talking about

0:27:00.520 --> 0:27:06.040
<v Speaker 1>the decentralized revolution. We're talking about this defy decentralized finance

0:27:06.080 --> 0:27:09.040
<v Speaker 1>that is blowing up right now and taking the entire

0:27:09.040 --> 0:27:14.160
<v Speaker 1>cryptocurrency space with it, and the larger financial markets with it. Now,

0:27:14.880 --> 0:27:17.960
<v Speaker 1>Christine the Guard and Yelling have warned us this could

0:27:18.000 --> 0:27:21.480
<v Speaker 1>create financial instability and their right, and we're seeing it firsthand.

0:27:22.240 --> 0:27:24.359
<v Speaker 1>But it's not what it appears. So I'm gonna explain

0:27:24.359 --> 0:27:26.320
<v Speaker 1>that anymore when I come back. All right, welcome back.

0:27:26.320 --> 0:27:29.000
<v Speaker 1>You were listening to the Markmas Show. We're talking about bitcoin,

0:27:29.040 --> 0:27:32.240
<v Speaker 1>We're talking about cryptocurrencies, We're talking about the decentralized revolution,

0:27:32.960 --> 0:27:36.399
<v Speaker 1>and before the break, well, we've been talking about defy,

0:27:36.560 --> 0:27:38.960
<v Speaker 1>decentralized finance. We're talking about stable coins. We're talking about

0:27:39.240 --> 0:27:42.199
<v Speaker 1>the world blowing up, the crypto, the defied world, the

0:27:42.240 --> 0:27:46.639
<v Speaker 1>cryptocurrency world, and even traditional financial markets melting down because

0:27:46.640 --> 0:27:49.680
<v Speaker 1>of what's happening with this Terra Luna token. I was

0:27:49.680 --> 0:27:52.280
<v Speaker 1>talking about how the regulators getting together to regulate do

0:27:52.320 --> 0:27:54.720
<v Speaker 1>what they do, the SEC, the CFTC, and how Sam

0:27:54.760 --> 0:27:57.600
<v Speaker 1>bankman Fried was there as well, and then I read

0:27:57.800 --> 0:27:59.720
<v Speaker 1>an interview with him from a few weeks ago on

0:27:59.720 --> 0:28:03.439
<v Speaker 1>blue Berg where he basically said all of DeFi is

0:28:03.480 --> 0:28:06.840
<v Speaker 1>a big Ponzi scheme. He admitted that if you missed

0:28:06.880 --> 0:28:08.600
<v Speaker 1>out on that, you can go back and listen to it.

0:28:08.640 --> 0:28:11.600
<v Speaker 1>Check out Mark moss Um podcast or Mark mosson hired

0:28:11.640 --> 0:28:14.879
<v Speaker 1>podcast app. Now, Um, going on from that, what I

0:28:14.920 --> 0:28:17.679
<v Speaker 1>was saying is that, Um, that's basically the way this is.

0:28:18.040 --> 0:28:21.639
<v Speaker 1>They create a worthless box, a worthless token, and people

0:28:21.680 --> 0:28:26.200
<v Speaker 1>buy it. Anytime you hear something being backed, what does

0:28:26.240 --> 0:28:30.520
<v Speaker 1>that mean? So what is bitcoin backed by? What is

0:28:30.560 --> 0:28:33.960
<v Speaker 1>the dollar backed by? What is gold backed by? And

0:28:34.040 --> 0:28:36.240
<v Speaker 1>what does backed even mean? So let's think about this

0:28:36.280 --> 0:28:41.600
<v Speaker 1>for a minute. So for five thousand years, gold was money.

0:28:42.400 --> 0:28:48.840
<v Speaker 1>Gold fits most of the attributes of money portable, divisible, durable, recognizable, salable, um, fungible,

0:28:48.840 --> 0:28:52.320
<v Speaker 1>et cetera. But it's not very portable, so it lacks

0:28:52.360 --> 0:28:54.719
<v Speaker 1>that it's it's not very good there. And so we

0:28:54.760 --> 0:28:57.440
<v Speaker 1>put gold in the banks because it's too big and

0:28:57.440 --> 0:29:00.080
<v Speaker 1>heavy and clunky to move over for far space. We

0:29:00.120 --> 0:29:01.840
<v Speaker 1>put in the banks and they gave us layer to

0:29:02.360 --> 0:29:05.480
<v Speaker 1>a paper gold certificate. Paper certificates are easier to transport.

0:29:05.840 --> 0:29:08.760
<v Speaker 1>It speeds up the velocity of money. But it's not money.

0:29:08.840 --> 0:29:12.000
<v Speaker 1>It's a claim on the money. So what it is

0:29:12.000 --> 0:29:14.040
<v Speaker 1>is an I owe you. If I were to give

0:29:14.080 --> 0:29:15.920
<v Speaker 1>you that paper claim, that means you can go to

0:29:15.920 --> 0:29:18.920
<v Speaker 1>the bank and claim that gold. So that gold back

0:29:19.000 --> 0:29:24.040
<v Speaker 1>certificate was backed by the gold in the bank. That

0:29:24.080 --> 0:29:27.280
<v Speaker 1>makes sense, it was backed by the Golden bank, But

0:29:27.320 --> 0:29:31.360
<v Speaker 1>what was gold backed by golds backed by nothing? Gold

0:29:31.440 --> 0:29:35.000
<v Speaker 1>just is gold is money. Gold has value because everybody

0:29:35.040 --> 0:29:38.400
<v Speaker 1>says it does. But I need to be backed by anything.

0:29:38.920 --> 0:29:41.080
<v Speaker 1>So then the dollar was backed by gold, and then

0:29:41.080 --> 0:29:44.160
<v Speaker 1>eventually the dollar became backed by nothing. It kind of

0:29:44.160 --> 0:29:46.720
<v Speaker 1>went to the petro dollars, so goal so dollars were

0:29:46.760 --> 0:29:50.240
<v Speaker 1>kind of backed by oil. At least oil helped keep

0:29:50.280 --> 0:29:53.000
<v Speaker 1>the price of the dollar propped up. They say today

0:29:53.000 --> 0:29:55.960
<v Speaker 1>that the dollars backed by the full faith and credit

0:29:56.000 --> 0:29:58.760
<v Speaker 1>of the government, whatever that means. Um, So, really the

0:29:58.800 --> 0:30:00.840
<v Speaker 1>dollars not backed by any think just this kind of

0:30:00.880 --> 0:30:04.880
<v Speaker 1>collective illusion or trust that somebody else will accept it

0:30:05.000 --> 0:30:09.120
<v Speaker 1>later for goods and services. And so the reason why

0:30:09.360 --> 0:30:12.040
<v Speaker 1>I bring that up is because the very fact that

0:30:12.120 --> 0:30:16.280
<v Speaker 1>something has to be backed by something else tells you

0:30:16.320 --> 0:30:18.840
<v Speaker 1>there's a problem, tells you what you have is not

0:30:18.960 --> 0:30:22.280
<v Speaker 1>the real thing, but rather a claim to it. Anytime

0:30:22.320 --> 0:30:24.440
<v Speaker 1>you don't have the real thing, but rather a claim

0:30:24.520 --> 0:30:27.720
<v Speaker 1>to it, It introduces risk, It introduces counterparty risks. So

0:30:29.040 --> 0:30:31.080
<v Speaker 1>if I have the gold. I have the gold. If

0:30:31.120 --> 0:30:32.360
<v Speaker 1>I give you the goldie of the gold. If I

0:30:32.360 --> 0:30:33.760
<v Speaker 1>put the gold in the bank and I give you

0:30:33.800 --> 0:30:37.480
<v Speaker 1>a paper gold certificate, there's a chance that you may

0:30:37.520 --> 0:30:40.200
<v Speaker 1>not actually get the gold. Remember the days of getting checks.

0:30:40.520 --> 0:30:42.560
<v Speaker 1>You probably do if you're old enough, you'd get a

0:30:42.640 --> 0:30:45.280
<v Speaker 1>check and sometimes you'd wonder, like, well this check actually

0:30:45.320 --> 0:30:47.640
<v Speaker 1>be good if I cash it? And typically it would

0:30:47.640 --> 0:30:51.480
<v Speaker 1>always be good. Um, but you know, people would bounce checks.

0:30:51.640 --> 0:30:54.840
<v Speaker 1>I remember bouncing plenty of checks in my day learning

0:30:54.880 --> 0:30:58.160
<v Speaker 1>how to manage a checkbook. And so sometimes that check

0:30:58.200 --> 0:31:01.360
<v Speaker 1>would not be worth it. Sometimes claim that IOU would

0:31:01.400 --> 0:31:04.120
<v Speaker 1>not be worth it, and so wouldn't you rather have

0:31:04.200 --> 0:31:07.600
<v Speaker 1>the gold? And so whenever you hear this about these

0:31:07.680 --> 0:31:11.400
<v Speaker 1>um de fi protocols, um, there it's a box. It's

0:31:11.440 --> 0:31:13.920
<v Speaker 1>a worthless box at sam Bank, Benfried says. And then

0:31:13.960 --> 0:31:15.840
<v Speaker 1>you put these tokens in it, you put this money

0:31:15.840 --> 0:31:19.280
<v Speaker 1>in it, and they give you back an iou. They're

0:31:19.360 --> 0:31:23.720
<v Speaker 1>backing that IOU with the assets in that box. But

0:31:23.840 --> 0:31:26.800
<v Speaker 1>what if those assets in the box aren't any good

0:31:26.880 --> 0:31:29.280
<v Speaker 1>or you don't get them back, then that that that

0:31:29.360 --> 0:31:33.960
<v Speaker 1>IOU that you have, that claim is worthless. And then

0:31:33.960 --> 0:31:36.840
<v Speaker 1>it starts just cascading from there, and that's exactly what

0:31:36.880 --> 0:31:40.880
<v Speaker 1>we're starting to see happen throughout the entire DeFi decentralized

0:31:40.880 --> 0:31:42.880
<v Speaker 1>finance market. And I think there's a lot of a

0:31:42.880 --> 0:31:46.080
<v Speaker 1>contagion there and it's it's starting to pull down other

0:31:46.120 --> 0:31:50.520
<v Speaker 1>assets like bitcoin. So, for example, Tera Luna um didn't

0:31:50.560 --> 0:31:53.840
<v Speaker 1>hold those dollars. Instead, they created this box token. They're

0:31:53.880 --> 0:31:56.120
<v Speaker 1>Tera Luna token. They also took some of those tokens

0:31:56.160 --> 0:31:58.560
<v Speaker 1>they bought over a billion dollars of bitcoin with it,

0:32:00.040 --> 0:32:04.040
<v Speaker 1>thought oh, we'll also back our token with bitcoin. The

0:32:04.080 --> 0:32:05.920
<v Speaker 1>problem is, as more and more people started coming to

0:32:05.920 --> 0:32:09.240
<v Speaker 1>redeem that, they were forced to liquidate their box token,

0:32:09.480 --> 0:32:12.240
<v Speaker 1>and their box token went from a twenty five billion

0:32:12.760 --> 0:32:16.720
<v Speaker 1>dollar valuation hold wait for it, wait for it, from

0:32:16.760 --> 0:32:22.200
<v Speaker 1>a billion dollar valuation to a one billion dollar valuation.

0:32:22.400 --> 0:32:25.280
<v Speaker 1>We lost four billion dollars off the valuation, just like

0:32:25.320 --> 0:32:28.120
<v Speaker 1>that um and because it was backed by something else

0:32:28.160 --> 0:32:30.040
<v Speaker 1>and then what it was backed by this bitcoin, they

0:32:30.040 --> 0:32:32.920
<v Speaker 1>were forced to liquidate the bitcoin and it pushed all

0:32:33.120 --> 0:32:36.440
<v Speaker 1>this downwards selling pressure on the market. And the problem

0:32:36.520 --> 0:32:39.040
<v Speaker 1>is that we have so much leverage in the system.

0:32:39.080 --> 0:32:44.600
<v Speaker 1>I'm afraid it could get worse. So, for example, UM,

0:32:44.640 --> 0:32:47.000
<v Speaker 1>this contagion spread into all types of hedge funds, Wall

0:32:47.040 --> 0:32:51.400
<v Speaker 1>Street chaders. UM. Potentially you know, I've talked quite a

0:32:51.440 --> 0:32:54.440
<v Speaker 1>bit a lot about Michael Sailor micro Strategy UM. They've

0:32:54.560 --> 0:32:58.440
<v Speaker 1>used leverage, They've used debt debt is leverage UM to

0:32:58.640 --> 0:33:02.360
<v Speaker 1>buy an enorm this amount of bitcoin. And some people

0:33:02.400 --> 0:33:05.680
<v Speaker 1>are speculating that these large Wall Street firms, these Wall

0:33:05.680 --> 0:33:09.760
<v Speaker 1>Street traders could potentially be trying to break that leverage.

0:33:10.040 --> 0:33:12.440
<v Speaker 1>And so what happens is, I think he has about

0:33:12.480 --> 0:33:15.200
<v Speaker 1>four billion dollars worth of bitcoin. You look at some

0:33:15.280 --> 0:33:19.120
<v Speaker 1>of these giant hedge funds. They got four billion dollars

0:33:19.160 --> 0:33:21.840
<v Speaker 1>in their back pocket. They could easily to take that

0:33:21.880 --> 0:33:24.480
<v Speaker 1>four billion dollars bet against him, start sprinkling a little

0:33:24.480 --> 0:33:27.080
<v Speaker 1>bit of bad news, and bring that price down low

0:33:27.160 --> 0:33:29.960
<v Speaker 1>enough to a point that it forces an liquidation event,

0:33:30.720 --> 0:33:32.680
<v Speaker 1>which means he'd be forced to sell to cover the

0:33:32.720 --> 0:33:37.040
<v Speaker 1>debt or post up more collateral. UM. I'm not saying

0:33:37.080 --> 0:33:40.000
<v Speaker 1>that's going to happen. I certainly hope it does not happen.

0:33:40.680 --> 0:33:42.760
<v Speaker 1>But this is the problem that we get into from

0:33:42.760 --> 0:33:45.120
<v Speaker 1>two reasons. We get into this problem from one reason

0:33:45.240 --> 0:33:49.040
<v Speaker 1>is that this leverage in the system massive amounts of debt.

0:33:49.480 --> 0:33:52.800
<v Speaker 1>So debt unfortunately had a very adverse effect on me

0:33:52.840 --> 0:33:54.520
<v Speaker 1>in two thousand and eight. I've told my story many

0:33:54.560 --> 0:33:57.360
<v Speaker 1>times about that when the entire real estate market collapsed,

0:33:58.200 --> 0:34:00.120
<v Speaker 1>I had too much leverage and I couldn't manage my

0:34:00.160 --> 0:34:04.360
<v Speaker 1>portfolio properly. Um. I like to think of leverage as

0:34:04.400 --> 0:34:08.319
<v Speaker 1>like fire. Fire can cook my food and keep my

0:34:08.360 --> 0:34:11.120
<v Speaker 1>house warm, but it could also burn my house down.

0:34:11.200 --> 0:34:13.520
<v Speaker 1>It works that way, and so leverage would allow me

0:34:13.560 --> 0:34:16.279
<v Speaker 1>to scale my business really quickly. I go get a

0:34:16.280 --> 0:34:19.240
<v Speaker 1>bunch of new accounts, I go buy ten new service trucks,

0:34:19.480 --> 0:34:21.239
<v Speaker 1>I hire a bunch of new people. I scale my

0:34:21.239 --> 0:34:23.919
<v Speaker 1>business really quickly. But now if something were to happen

0:34:23.960 --> 0:34:26.680
<v Speaker 1>I lose some of those accounts, business drops now all

0:34:26.719 --> 0:34:29.359
<v Speaker 1>of a sudden. That leverage works in reverse, because now

0:34:29.400 --> 0:34:31.400
<v Speaker 1>I have ten new trucks I have to pay for.

0:34:31.719 --> 0:34:33.640
<v Speaker 1>I have all those employees have to pay for, And

0:34:33.680 --> 0:34:36.680
<v Speaker 1>so leverage allows me to scale up really fast. But

0:34:36.760 --> 0:34:39.120
<v Speaker 1>then if I don't handle it properly and I don't

0:34:39.120 --> 0:34:42.160
<v Speaker 1>know everything that could happen, it would also cause an

0:34:42.239 --> 0:34:44.880
<v Speaker 1>unwind that I may not be able to handle, and

0:34:44.920 --> 0:34:46.720
<v Speaker 1>that's what we're starting to see. We can see coin

0:34:46.760 --> 0:34:50.280
<v Speaker 1>Base Global, the public trade company. Their founder, Brian Armstrong,

0:34:50.320 --> 0:34:55.080
<v Speaker 1>had a personal fortune of thirteen point seven billion as

0:34:55.120 --> 0:34:58.480
<v Speaker 1>recently as a few months ago, and now that's just

0:34:58.600 --> 0:35:02.600
<v Speaker 1>two point two billion. Now, don't feel too bad for him.

0:35:02.600 --> 0:35:05.000
<v Speaker 1>He's he's just only worth two point two billion, but

0:35:05.000 --> 0:35:08.320
<v Speaker 1>down from thirteen point eight to two point two that quickly.

0:35:08.400 --> 0:35:11.000
<v Speaker 1>Now that still sounds like a lot. But you don't

0:35:11.040 --> 0:35:14.080
<v Speaker 1>know how much leverage he may have on those assets.

0:35:14.560 --> 0:35:17.360
<v Speaker 1>So he had thirteen billion, let's say that he levered

0:35:17.400 --> 0:35:19.840
<v Speaker 1>him by seven billion, which seemed like maybe a pretty

0:35:19.880 --> 0:35:22.520
<v Speaker 1>reasonable number. But now he's down to two point two.

0:35:22.680 --> 0:35:25.160
<v Speaker 1>If he can't cover the leverage on the seven billion

0:35:25.280 --> 0:35:28.040
<v Speaker 1>or the five billion, let's let's let's use it a

0:35:28.080 --> 0:35:30.440
<v Speaker 1>smaller number. I mean, let's say that he levered it

0:35:30.480 --> 0:35:33.560
<v Speaker 1>by you know, three billion, um a three out of

0:35:33.640 --> 0:35:36.360
<v Speaker 1>four almost fourteen billion. That's a small number. That seems

0:35:36.360 --> 0:35:38.200
<v Speaker 1>pretty reasonable. I think he should be able to handle that.

0:35:38.480 --> 0:35:40.520
<v Speaker 1>But then it shrinks down to only two point two

0:35:40.760 --> 0:35:42.440
<v Speaker 1>How can he handle that? Now? I'm not saying that

0:35:42.440 --> 0:35:44.920
<v Speaker 1>that Brian Armstrong from coin Base has leverage. I'm not

0:35:45.000 --> 0:35:46.719
<v Speaker 1>saying that at all, because I don't know him, nor

0:35:46.719 --> 0:35:48.640
<v Speaker 1>do I know if that's true. But you can see

0:35:48.680 --> 0:35:52.760
<v Speaker 1>how quickly UM, you can get yourself into trouble as

0:35:52.800 --> 0:35:55.360
<v Speaker 1>that leverage and wines Mike now Novograts, the CEO of

0:35:55.560 --> 0:35:58.120
<v Speaker 1>Galaxy Digital m had a fortune of eight and a

0:35:58.160 --> 0:36:00.359
<v Speaker 1>half billion in early November. Let's say that he levered

0:36:00.400 --> 0:36:02.600
<v Speaker 1>it by three billion dollars to go into Terra Luna,

0:36:02.640 --> 0:36:05.000
<v Speaker 1>which he got the tattoo of UM and now it's

0:36:05.000 --> 0:36:09.000
<v Speaker 1>worth two billions as as today. So again that's how

0:36:09.080 --> 0:36:14.120
<v Speaker 1>quickly you can get yourself into trouble, particularly in these markets,

0:36:14.239 --> 0:36:16.600
<v Speaker 1>like these these crypto markets. But like I said, there's

0:36:16.640 --> 0:36:19.760
<v Speaker 1>all this contagion that then it starts to pull down

0:36:19.920 --> 0:36:23.680
<v Speaker 1>other markets as well. I learned the hard way, and

0:36:23.719 --> 0:36:27.000
<v Speaker 1>hopefully you're learning from these lessons that I'm sharing with you.

0:36:27.680 --> 0:36:29.279
<v Speaker 1>It makes sense, But let me know. Hit me up

0:36:29.320 --> 0:36:31.279
<v Speaker 1>on social media. You can find me at number one

0:36:31.280 --> 0:36:34.000
<v Speaker 1>Mark Moss on Instagram and on Twitter. I'd love to

0:36:34.040 --> 0:36:36.480
<v Speaker 1>hear from you that you're listening to the show. UM,

0:36:36.719 --> 0:36:38.719
<v Speaker 1>send me a question. I try to answer every single

0:36:38.760 --> 0:36:40.640
<v Speaker 1>message I get on social media, So let me know

0:36:40.719 --> 0:36:42.919
<v Speaker 1>on there if you're just tuning in and you're listening

0:36:42.920 --> 0:36:44.719
<v Speaker 1>to the Market Mo Show. We're talking about bitcoin, we're

0:36:44.719 --> 0:36:48.279
<v Speaker 1>talking about cryptocurrencies, we're talking about the decentralized revolution. We're

0:36:48.280 --> 0:36:51.919
<v Speaker 1>talking about the intersection of politics, finance, and technology. Don't

0:36:51.920 --> 0:36:53.000
<v Speaker 1>go away, I'll be right back.