1 00:00:02,560 --> 00:00:08,880 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news, the. 2 00:00:09,000 --> 00:00:14,040 Speaker 2: Stock Movers podcast. This is your roundup of companies making 3 00:00:14,120 --> 00:00:17,640 Speaker 2: news on Wall Street and beyond, harnessing the power of 4 00:00:17,680 --> 00:00:18,600 Speaker 2: Bloomberg data. 5 00:00:19,440 --> 00:00:21,840 Speaker 3: Now, let's look at some stocks on the move today 6 00:00:21,920 --> 00:00:24,520 Speaker 3: in Europe. We're joined by Bloomberg's at Markets Today, editor 7 00:00:24,560 --> 00:00:27,680 Speaker 3: Sam On said, good morning Sam, So he throw it's 8 00:00:27,880 --> 00:00:31,040 Speaker 3: closing for the entire day until midnight tonight. The market 9 00:00:31,120 --> 00:00:32,199 Speaker 3: reaction to this. 10 00:00:32,680 --> 00:00:35,519 Speaker 4: So the main market reaction we're seeing is in IAG shares. 11 00:00:35,560 --> 00:00:38,160 Speaker 4: So i aged, the owner of British Airways, he throw 12 00:00:38,320 --> 00:00:40,920 Speaker 4: their home base. So it's a very major disruption. Remember 13 00:00:40,920 --> 00:00:44,199 Speaker 4: they also own Iberia Air, Lingus and a couple of 14 00:00:44,360 --> 00:00:46,280 Speaker 4: a couple of budget airlines as well, so it's a 15 00:00:46,320 --> 00:00:50,199 Speaker 4: really significant disruption for them. In terms of the other 16 00:00:50,240 --> 00:00:52,760 Speaker 4: market reaction actually has been relatively you know small, and 17 00:00:52,800 --> 00:00:54,800 Speaker 4: there's a little bit of you know, easyjets moved to 18 00:00:54,960 --> 00:00:58,320 Speaker 4: He's moved with IAG in particular. The Jeffrey's out this 19 00:00:58,320 --> 00:01:01,279 Speaker 4: morning saying that the earnings for FAG may well take 20 00:01:01,280 --> 00:01:04,160 Speaker 4: a hit one to three percent because of compensation costs. 21 00:01:04,200 --> 00:01:07,360 Speaker 4: Because often even though you could probably make a pretty 22 00:01:07,360 --> 00:01:09,800 Speaker 4: strong argument this is not necessarily the airline's fault that 23 00:01:09,840 --> 00:01:11,680 Speaker 4: this is happening. They tend to bear the brunt of 24 00:01:11,680 --> 00:01:14,120 Speaker 4: those compensation costs and that could hit their earnings. And 25 00:01:14,400 --> 00:01:15,800 Speaker 4: for a g you know, been on a very good 26 00:01:15,880 --> 00:01:17,200 Speaker 4: run and at the start of this year that's been 27 00:01:17,280 --> 00:01:19,640 Speaker 4: dented a bit, and this is another dent in their armor. 28 00:01:19,840 --> 00:01:22,200 Speaker 1: Yeah, indeed, and it's worth remembering that it's not just 29 00:01:22,280 --> 00:01:23,960 Speaker 1: the flights that are to and from London, it's the 30 00:01:24,000 --> 00:01:25,920 Speaker 1: connections of the huge part of their business as well, 31 00:01:25,920 --> 00:01:28,240 Speaker 1: which is why the airline network for that company is 32 00:01:28,280 --> 00:01:32,399 Speaker 1: particularly vulnerable to disruptions as heat throw. And let's turn 33 00:01:32,440 --> 00:01:37,280 Speaker 1: it next to a share in Germany, the perfume maker Douglas. 34 00:01:37,280 --> 00:01:38,080 Speaker 1: What's going on there? 35 00:01:38,200 --> 00:01:40,680 Speaker 4: Yeah, quite a hefty drop there. So they were down, 36 00:01:40,760 --> 00:01:42,520 Speaker 4: as I got up from my desk, about twenty percent, 37 00:01:43,520 --> 00:01:46,280 Speaker 4: down to half their IPO price. Now, so it's actually 38 00:01:46,280 --> 00:01:49,080 Speaker 4: a relatively recent IPO in Germany and has not been 39 00:01:49,080 --> 00:01:51,360 Speaker 4: performing particularly well. Most of that is down to a 40 00:01:51,400 --> 00:01:55,360 Speaker 4: consumer slowdown in France and Germany. They're two key markets. 41 00:01:55,800 --> 00:01:58,280 Speaker 4: And yeah, there shares an enormous amount of pressure and 42 00:01:58,320 --> 00:01:59,960 Speaker 4: as I say, in particular, you know, this is one 43 00:02:00,080 --> 00:02:03,280 Speaker 4: the companies that when they listed, this was held up 44 00:02:03,280 --> 00:02:05,559 Speaker 4: as an example of a little bit of a bounce 45 00:02:05,600 --> 00:02:08,200 Speaker 4: back in European IPOs. It was quite a significant IPI. 46 00:02:08,200 --> 00:02:10,960 Speaker 4: I think it's about eight billion euros they were valued 47 00:02:10,960 --> 00:02:13,480 Speaker 4: at when they first listed. They're at about half that now. 48 00:02:13,520 --> 00:02:17,520 Speaker 4: So not a great story for Germany's consumer market there. Okay, 49 00:02:17,720 --> 00:02:20,480 Speaker 4: it's Friday. Let's talk pubs, shall we. 50 00:02:20,600 --> 00:02:24,680 Speaker 3: How is a Weatherspoons doing in terms of the rising 51 00:02:24,760 --> 00:02:28,440 Speaker 3: labor costs? Because we're in March. The increase in minimum 52 00:02:28,480 --> 00:02:31,120 Speaker 3: wage is going to come into force at the beginning 53 00:02:31,240 --> 00:02:35,760 Speaker 3: of April. This was announced in October, so companies have 54 00:02:35,800 --> 00:02:37,800 Speaker 3: had some time to think about it, maybe to plan 55 00:02:37,960 --> 00:02:41,079 Speaker 3: for it. But it is obviously those industries where they 56 00:02:41,080 --> 00:02:44,480 Speaker 3: have perhaps you know, minimum wage workers the most that 57 00:02:44,520 --> 00:02:45,760 Speaker 3: will be affected badly. 58 00:02:45,800 --> 00:02:49,079 Speaker 4: What about Weatherspoons, Yeah, and quite a significant effect for them. 59 00:02:49,200 --> 00:02:53,120 Speaker 4: So very labor intensive industry, right, So costs are going 60 00:02:53,200 --> 00:02:55,440 Speaker 4: up kind of across the whole industry. But Weatherspoons, remember, 61 00:02:55,560 --> 00:02:58,080 Speaker 4: is to operates at the cheaper end of the market, right, 62 00:02:58,120 --> 00:03:01,000 Speaker 4: so they tend to operate at lower margins than some 63 00:03:01,080 --> 00:03:04,000 Speaker 4: of the pubs that you know, more premium pubs. They 64 00:03:04,240 --> 00:03:06,079 Speaker 4: have a statement in there today sixty million pounds of 65 00:03:06,120 --> 00:03:08,160 Speaker 4: extra costs, so not just the national living wage but 66 00:03:08,200 --> 00:03:11,280 Speaker 4: also the employer's national insurance contributions as well. That translates 67 00:03:11,280 --> 00:03:14,320 Speaker 4: for them to fifteen hundred pounds per week per pub. 68 00:03:14,960 --> 00:03:17,600 Speaker 4: So it's quite a significant increase in costs for them 69 00:03:17,800 --> 00:03:19,600 Speaker 4: and that is likely to weigh on their marches and 70 00:03:19,600 --> 00:03:22,079 Speaker 4: more so for them, as I say, because they operate 71 00:03:22,080 --> 00:03:25,320 Speaker 4: at that lower price point and so consumer weakening there, 72 00:03:25,320 --> 00:03:28,000 Speaker 4: you know, a big squeeze on Weatherspoons. 73 00:03:27,600 --> 00:03:29,800 Speaker 1: And this was coming after what was quite a strong 74 00:03:30,360 --> 00:03:33,160 Speaker 1: festive season, end of year season for pub groups in 75 00:03:33,200 --> 00:03:35,560 Speaker 1: the UK, and that a lass just looking at HSBC 76 00:03:35,920 --> 00:03:38,440 Speaker 1: being reasonably bullish on pubs and a note they put 77 00:03:38,440 --> 00:03:41,240 Speaker 1: out last month because the sales were good. But now 78 00:03:41,280 --> 00:03:42,680 Speaker 1: it's the cast they're coming into focus. 79 00:03:42,760 --> 00:03:44,560 Speaker 4: Yeah, well well I think actually you know, actually even 80 00:03:44,600 --> 00:03:47,280 Speaker 4: in Weatherspoons' is report today, so the main focus and 81 00:03:47,320 --> 00:03:49,000 Speaker 4: the reason their shares are downe and I think they've dropped 82 00:03:49,000 --> 00:03:51,960 Speaker 4: it again when I got up about twelve percent, actually 83 00:03:52,040 --> 00:03:55,760 Speaker 4: hitting a two year low for them. In particular they 84 00:03:56,080 --> 00:03:58,880 Speaker 4: offsetting it becomes much more difficult because they operate at 85 00:03:58,880 --> 00:04:02,400 Speaker 4: that lower price point, right, Their margins are the focus today, 86 00:04:02,400 --> 00:04:04,800 Speaker 4: but actually their sales too have picked up a bit 87 00:04:04,880 --> 00:04:07,440 Speaker 4: so from the first half. Over the course of the 88 00:04:07,520 --> 00:04:09,840 Speaker 4: last sort of eight to ten weeks, Life forlike sales 89 00:04:09,840 --> 00:04:11,960 Speaker 4: growth has actually increased a little bit. So sales are 90 00:04:11,960 --> 00:04:14,480 Speaker 4: going very well, and that's probably the same across the industry. 91 00:04:14,480 --> 00:04:17,320 Speaker 4: But for Weatherspoons, the margins are becoming a much bigger concern. 92 00:04:18,480 --> 00:04:22,840 Speaker 2: The Stockmovers podcast from Bloomberg Radio. 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