WEBVTT - Everything you need to know about the AFC and NFC north 0:00:00.960 --> 0:00:04.640 Welcome to Fantasy Football Weekly, a production of I Heart Radio. 0:00:06.760 --> 0:00:10.120 Time now for Fantasy Football Weekly from I Heart Radio, 0:00:10.400 --> 0:00:14.800 your weekly source for the nation's best fantasy football advice, speculation, 0:00:14.960 --> 0:00:18.520 and whatever stupid stuff they decided to drop into the show. Now, 0:00:18.560 --> 0:00:24.640 here's your host, Paul. Welcome to another edition of Fantasy 0:00:24.720 --> 0:00:27.880 Football Weekly. I am Paul CHURCHI in my co host 0:00:27.920 --> 0:00:32.560 as it has been for a while. Now, Yeah, Harrison, Well, 0:00:32.720 --> 0:00:36.920 I mean technically yes, yeares Matt Harrison and Brian Johnson. Hello, guys, helu. 0:00:38.000 --> 0:00:40.720 Last week we broke down everything you need to know 0:00:40.920 --> 0:00:44.240 about the a f C and NFC East. This week 0:00:44.479 --> 0:00:49.000 it's the North. We turned to the North. Yes, the 0:00:49.080 --> 0:00:52.720 North remembers the North? Room? Is that how that goes? Well? 0:00:53.479 --> 0:00:55.520 They King of the North? What's King of the North? 0:00:57.000 --> 0:00:59.040 Was King of the North. We're gonna be king Kings 0:00:59.600 --> 0:01:04.040 of the North's a f C and NFC North. I 0:01:04.040 --> 0:01:06.240 have no idea what you guys are talking about. Correct. 0:01:07.400 --> 0:01:10.280 We will give you a rundown on how each of 0:01:10.319 --> 0:01:13.319 the offenses are going to work for the eight teams 0:01:13.319 --> 0:01:15.400 that comprise the a f C North in the NFC North, 0:01:15.480 --> 0:01:18.679 and we will answer the question about the riskiest players 0:01:18.720 --> 0:01:21.520 to draft compared to a DP and the most upside 0:01:21.520 --> 0:01:24.640 players compared to a d P. We begin with the 0:01:24.680 --> 0:01:26.760 Baltimore Ravens and what has become one of the most 0:01:26.760 --> 0:01:30.960 fascinating offenses in the NFL. Brian Yeah, and Baltimore added 0:01:30.959 --> 0:01:33.679 to it in the draft. Uh obviously drafting J K. Dobbins. 0:01:33.680 --> 0:01:36.160 Everyone knows that in the second round, Devin Duvern a 0:01:36.200 --> 0:01:38.280 wide receiver in the third, and a couple of guards 0:01:38.280 --> 0:01:40.680 in the third and fourth round to protect Lamar Jackson. 0:01:40.720 --> 0:01:42.760 But I really don't want to talk about the running 0:01:42.800 --> 0:01:44.880 backs are wide receivers when it comes to Baltimore and 0:01:44.920 --> 0:01:47.720 re draft this year. It's just a very dicey scenario 0:01:47.880 --> 0:01:50.559 for both. It's all the two players were talking about 0:01:50.560 --> 0:01:52.800 here is Lamar Jackson. Of course, let's start there, and 0:01:52.800 --> 0:01:55.680 I want to go high level drafting Lamar Jackson in 0:01:55.720 --> 0:01:58.640 the early rounds. Right now, Fantasy Pros has him as 0:01:58.640 --> 0:02:01.640 the nineteenth overall player off the board quarterback one, so 0:02:01.680 --> 0:02:06.760 that's mid second round. UM. Last year, L Jacks clearly 0:02:06.800 --> 0:02:09.360 won a lot of people a lot of money, But 0:02:09.400 --> 0:02:12.160 you got him in the ninth, tenth, eleventh round last year, 0:02:12.800 --> 0:02:15.440 I did. He can win you that your league this 0:02:15.520 --> 0:02:17.239 year with those same numbers, he is the potential to 0:02:17.320 --> 0:02:20.360 do it, but obviously the price tag is exponentially higher. 0:02:20.760 --> 0:02:22.960 And this is a classic case. So I was all 0:02:23.000 --> 0:02:25.959 four l jacks maybe in first overall and redraft a 0:02:26.000 --> 0:02:28.520 few months ago. I've totally wavered because this is a 0:02:28.520 --> 0:02:32.360 classic case of he can certainly win your league for 0:02:32.400 --> 0:02:34.239 you if he puts up those numbers even though you're 0:02:34.280 --> 0:02:36.000 paying the first round price tag, but he can lose 0:02:36.040 --> 0:02:39.000 it for you big time if he doesn't replicate those 0:02:39.040 --> 0:02:41.480 numbers with the first second round price tag. So he 0:02:41.560 --> 0:02:44.560 has obviously the highest risk of any player on the 0:02:44.639 --> 0:02:46.919 Ravens right now, because you'll pay the most for him 0:02:47.040 --> 0:02:50.160 by a long shot, compared to any any other raven 0:02:50.320 --> 0:02:53.920 right well. The rest of them are going at mid 0:02:54.080 --> 0:02:56.840 round or lower for the most part, except except for 0:02:56.880 --> 0:02:59.359 Mark Andrews, and that's where I'm going to now, and 0:02:59.520 --> 0:03:01.760 he has the highest upside even though he has a 0:03:01.760 --> 0:03:05.320 pretty empty price tag himself. Thirty third overall, uh go 0:03:05.360 --> 0:03:08.160 on his tight end three obviously behind Travis Kelsey and 0:03:08.200 --> 0:03:12.400 George Kittle. Speaking of Travis Kelsey and George Kittle, those 0:03:12.400 --> 0:03:15.519 two combined for ten touchdowns on two hundred and forty 0:03:15.600 --> 0:03:20.520 three targets last season. Mark Andrews scored ten touchdowns on 0:03:20.960 --> 0:03:27.040 just ight effing targets last half. Andrews played fifteen games 0:03:27.120 --> 0:03:31.440 last year, only saw eight targets on seven occasions yours numbers. 0:03:31.440 --> 0:03:35.200 In those seven games. He should have seen more. This 0:03:35.240 --> 0:03:37.040 is where I'm getting a lot of usage. It is, 0:03:37.120 --> 0:03:38.680 but when he had when when he had at least 0:03:38.720 --> 0:03:41.040 eight targets, he went eight for one oh eight in 0:03:41.040 --> 0:03:44.200 a touchdown, eight for one, twelve in a touchdown, for 0:03:44.480 --> 0:03:48.040 thirty one in a touchdown, six catches yards, two for 0:03:48.160 --> 0:03:50.840 thirty nine that's the one did then six for fifty 0:03:50.920 --> 0:03:53.240 three and two touchdowns and six for nine three and 0:03:53.240 --> 0:03:56.080 two touchdowns. Good things happen when you're target Mark Andrews. 0:03:56.120 --> 0:04:00.360 Hayden Hurst obviously gone, so that's a huge factor. So 0:04:01.000 --> 0:04:03.320 the usage is going to go up for Andrews. Nick 0:04:03.360 --> 0:04:05.800 Boyle is still there, of course, who cares. So if 0:04:05.800 --> 0:04:08.680 you're going early tight end, I'm gonna reach and take 0:04:08.760 --> 0:04:12.160 Mark Andrews in the second round ahead of Travis Kelsey 0:04:12.200 --> 0:04:14.080 and George Kittle. If I'm gonna intend to take them 0:04:14.080 --> 0:04:16.560 in the first, I will fade Kelsey and Kittle because 0:04:16.560 --> 0:04:19.080 I think Andrews could outscore both of them this years 0:04:18.960 --> 0:04:24.520 with another uptight end. Zinger right there, number one tight 0:04:24.640 --> 0:04:31.279 end and Mark Andrews number two. Alright, so number one. Kidding, 0:04:31.320 --> 0:04:34.160 I'm kidding. I might have said that. I've said in 0:04:34.200 --> 0:04:36.000 the past he could. All right, So let's talk more 0:04:36.040 --> 0:04:38.039 broadly about just how this offense works. Do you see 0:04:38.040 --> 0:04:40.520 it being materially different than it was last year where 0:04:40.680 --> 0:04:43.599 it was a most run heavy offense in the NFL. 0:04:43.760 --> 0:04:45.760 You know they're totally gonna flip the script and just 0:04:45.880 --> 0:04:48.000 go Eric Corey, I'm no, Yeah, I think it's gonna 0:04:48.080 --> 0:04:50.760 pretty much be the same, though. John Harbo did say 0:04:51.360 --> 0:04:54.960 just recently that Lamar Jackson's last thing that he needs 0:04:55.000 --> 0:04:57.960 to get into his game is the distance the deep 0:04:58.120 --> 0:05:00.840 downfield passing. And I think that that something that they've 0:05:00.880 --> 0:05:05.160 been concentrating on because it's these corners going single coverage 0:05:05.160 --> 0:05:07.760 against these wide receivers all the time, and they're throwing 0:05:07.800 --> 0:05:10.120 eight in the box and trying to spy Lamar Jackson 0:05:10.160 --> 0:05:13.160 all the time. There something's got to give there if 0:05:13.200 --> 0:05:15.040 they want to get this offense to the next level. 0:05:15.080 --> 0:05:17.400 And Lamar Jackson has come out and said he wants 0:05:17.440 --> 0:05:20.960 to pass like Patrick Mahomes. This is the next evolution 0:05:21.000 --> 0:05:22.880 of Lamar Jackson, and maybe he can do it. He's 0:05:22.920 --> 0:05:25.400 certainly athletic enough to do. I'm sure Patrick Mahomes wants 0:05:25.400 --> 0:05:28.080 to be able to run like Lamar Jackson. You can 0:05:28.160 --> 0:05:31.760 want it, but he does not of the natural passing 0:05:31.800 --> 0:05:34.560 talent that the Holmes has. But he's not that far off, 0:05:34.560 --> 0:05:36.320 and I do think they will. He'll be a better 0:05:36.360 --> 0:05:38.160 pass here in year three than he wasn't year two. 0:05:38.279 --> 0:05:39.680 Year two he was way better than he was in 0:05:39.800 --> 0:05:42.720 year one. So I do believe that we will see 0:05:42.839 --> 0:05:45.960 more of a balanced offense in Baltimore this year. And 0:05:46.760 --> 0:05:51.640 I think his receivers are tremendous upside opportunities. You look 0:05:51.680 --> 0:05:54.640 at where Hollywood Brown fits in now a second year 0:05:54.680 --> 0:05:57.159 after missing you know, played hurt for almost all of 0:05:57.279 --> 0:05:59.840 last year, now comes into his second year, which is 0:06:00.000 --> 0:06:03.120 oftentimes when receivers blow up. I'm fascinated by Brown. He 0:06:03.200 --> 0:06:04.960 cost you so little, and to me, he would be 0:06:04.960 --> 0:06:07.839 the upside guy for Baltimore. Let's go to Pittsburgh where 0:06:07.880 --> 0:06:11.520 Ben Roethlisberger returns, and I think we're assuming we're gonna 0:06:11.560 --> 0:06:13.599 get some normalcy back to an offense that was very 0:06:13.600 --> 0:06:16.880 inconsistent last year. Well, let's talk about that offense. Last year, 0:06:16.920 --> 0:06:19.760 they finished with the fewest passing yards in the league, 0:06:20.279 --> 0:06:22.880 they were bottom ten, and rushing yards they had the 0:06:22.920 --> 0:06:26.400 seventh fewest points scored. But they did have injuries to 0:06:26.560 --> 0:06:29.719 Big Ben, James Conner, Juju was a little bit dinged up, 0:06:29.760 --> 0:06:32.160 and Antonio Brown left the team last year. Yeah, that 0:06:32.240 --> 0:06:34.120 was there was a lot going on in that team. Yeah, 0:06:34.160 --> 0:06:38.560 so they were left with Mason Rudolph and yeah, that 0:06:38.640 --> 0:06:42.560 guy Duck Hodges. Uh. They still did finish eight and eight, 0:06:42.720 --> 0:06:46.520 which is a pretty testament to Mike Tomlin's coaching ability, 0:06:46.720 --> 0:06:50.440 and they were really underrated defense that was awesome by 0:06:50.440 --> 0:06:54.400 the second half of last Patrick. It helped they were 0:06:54.440 --> 0:06:57.360 one game shy of Tennessee for that final wild card spot, 0:06:57.360 --> 0:07:00.720 and everybody's talking about Tennessee is, you know, possible contenders. 0:07:00.960 --> 0:07:04.120 Pittsburgh was one game off of their face. Um. But 0:07:04.240 --> 0:07:07.080 everybody's reliving last year, which is why the Steelers only 0:07:07.120 --> 0:07:10.720 have two players going in the top one twenty of 0:07:10.760 --> 0:07:13.680 a DP right now. Both of them are going in 0:07:13.680 --> 0:07:16.480 the fourth round, and that's James Conner who's going at 0:07:16.520 --> 0:07:20.600 forty four and Juju Smith Schuster who's going at forty five, 0:07:20.920 --> 0:07:25.960 running back twenty and wide receiver nineteen, respectively. So there's 0:07:26.040 --> 0:07:29.080 there's a lot of upside on this offense because it's 0:07:29.120 --> 0:07:31.360 only been a few years since they were just a 0:07:31.440 --> 0:07:35.080 high flying passing offense. And that's why my my high 0:07:35.160 --> 0:07:37.080 volume target and the guy that I'm looking for in 0:07:37.080 --> 0:07:41.040 this offense is Ben Roethlisberger. Well over five hundred pass 0:07:41.080 --> 0:07:45.080 attempts in five of his prior six healthy seasons, over 0:07:45.160 --> 0:07:48.880 six hundred past attempts and two of those five multiple 0:07:48.920 --> 0:07:52.200 passing touchdowns in seventy one percent of his games over 0:07:52.240 --> 0:07:56.600 the last three years. He has the number nine offensive 0:07:56.680 --> 0:07:59.640 line according to Pro Football Focus, who had an eighty 0:07:59.680 --> 0:08:13.800 one point sex six sex that. I thought it would 0:08:13.840 --> 0:08:17.400 top that at sixty. But where is where is where's 0:08:17.480 --> 0:08:19.680 Roethlisberger's ADP right now? Because I bet he's going off 0:08:19.680 --> 0:08:23.880 the boarder like quarterback twenty two or quarterback eighteen. But 0:08:23.960 --> 0:08:26.680 he's going in the eleventh round of drafts right now, 0:08:26.760 --> 0:08:29.560 So I think he's a guy that you can wait 0:08:29.600 --> 0:08:33.000 on quarterback. He's the eighteenth quarterback off the board, and 0:08:33.080 --> 0:08:36.160 there's just a lot of good quarterbacks right now. So, Um, 0:08:36.200 --> 0:08:38.120 that's why he's a guy that I can target. I 0:08:38.120 --> 0:08:40.320 can go running back, wide receiver, tight end in my 0:08:40.400 --> 0:08:43.960 first ten rounds and then get Roethlisberger in the eleven. 0:08:44.000 --> 0:08:46.199 That's sort of your upside guy who we're both thinking. 0:08:46.480 --> 0:08:48.640 I'll perform his ADP quite a bit. We'llt's flip it 0:08:48.679 --> 0:08:51.400 over in when Pittsburgh, what's the player that you're most 0:08:51.440 --> 0:08:54.240 nervous about compared to ADP. I think it's James Conner, 0:08:54.280 --> 0:08:57.200 and I think it's gotta be um. He had more 0:08:57.280 --> 0:09:02.560 than fifteen rushing attempts only twice last season. Uh, that's terrible. 0:09:02.800 --> 0:09:06.560 He managed that feat seven times in He's really a 0:09:06.600 --> 0:09:10.400 pass catcher. But they have Benny Snell there, they have 0:09:10.600 --> 0:09:14.240 Jalen Samuel's there. Uh, they got Anthony McFarland, the new 0:09:14.280 --> 0:09:16.760 guy there, all of which could be in play to 0:09:16.800 --> 0:09:19.719 take touches from James Conner. And I know Pittsburgh's traditionally 0:09:19.800 --> 0:09:23.040 been a workhorse running back kind of organization. They just 0:09:23.080 --> 0:09:25.559 don't have it. They don't have him right now. So, Uh, 0:09:26.120 --> 0:09:28.960 James Conner going into a contract here, They're gonna see 0:09:29.000 --> 0:09:30.720 what they got with these other guys to see if 0:09:30.720 --> 0:09:32.760 they need to spend another third round pick on a 0:09:32.840 --> 0:09:35.720 draft in the draft on another running back, But James 0:09:35.800 --> 0:09:38.160 Conner is the guy I'm avoiding at all costs. I 0:09:38.160 --> 0:09:41.200 couldn't agree more. And I think if there was any 0:09:41.280 --> 0:09:44.400 lesson to be learned that from James Conner last year, 0:09:44.440 --> 0:09:46.880 and they know it, they can't make him a high 0:09:46.920 --> 0:09:49.320 volume guy because every time they did give him the 0:09:49.360 --> 0:09:51.400 ball more than a handful of times he got hurt. 0:09:51.600 --> 0:09:53.920 I mean it was it was all but guaranteed. So 0:09:54.280 --> 0:09:56.640 I don't think there's any scenario here he turns back 0:09:56.640 --> 0:09:59.800 into a workhorse because they won't let him out of 0:10:00.080 --> 0:10:02.520 fear that will keep getting hurt, which is what happened 0:10:02.600 --> 0:10:04.600 last season. Two more guys I want to mention on 0:10:04.600 --> 0:10:08.839 that offense, Deante Johnson, Baby, his his trajectory is just 0:10:08.920 --> 0:10:13.320 skyrocket in ADP. Everybody loves him and he's going on 0:10:14.240 --> 0:10:17.680 right He's going off at one three right now, wide 0:10:17.679 --> 0:10:20.840 receiver forty nine, that's gonna be. He's gonna be up 0:10:21.200 --> 0:10:24.040 two or three rounds in a DP by the time 0:10:24.040 --> 0:10:26.079 we get to draft season and August. Rather of him 0:10:26.080 --> 0:10:28.440 than Juju Smith Schuster, I think a lot of people 0:10:28.440 --> 0:10:31.800 are are with you more um and one of your 0:10:31.840 --> 0:10:35.640 favorite guys last year was Vance McDonald church. He had 0:10:35.679 --> 0:10:39.120 a terrible year, but he's free this year two hundred 0:10:39.160 --> 0:10:42.640 seventy nine and adp tight end thirty three, and he 0:10:42.679 --> 0:10:45.840 gets back, he gets Ben back. Eric Ebron is there 0:10:46.400 --> 0:10:49.360 who might sipen a few tight end looks. But but 0:10:49.480 --> 0:10:54.440 Vance McDonald wasn't completely terrible before, so he's a free 0:10:54.440 --> 0:10:56.360 tight end. He's like one of those guys you're grabbing 0:10:56.360 --> 0:10:58.640 a best ball league is your second or third tight ends. 0:10:59.440 --> 0:11:03.959 Let's go to one. This is a new offense led 0:11:04.040 --> 0:11:06.920 by new head coach Kevin Stefanski, and it's gonna be 0:11:07.120 --> 0:11:10.760 run heavy. Stefanski has the highest run rate of any 0:11:10.840 --> 0:11:13.959 offensive coordinator over the past two years. He's got Nick 0:11:14.040 --> 0:11:16.520 Chubb and Kareem Hunt. That is the league's best one 0:11:16.559 --> 0:11:22.240 two bunch of rate mandated though well, you know clearly 0:11:22.280 --> 0:11:24.240 Mike Zimmer wanted to do that, but you know what, 0:11:24.440 --> 0:11:26.360 it worked, and he's got and if he didn't have 0:11:26.400 --> 0:11:30.040 talented backs, i'd be talking about a real regression in use. 0:11:30.440 --> 0:11:32.760 But you've got Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt. Let's talk 0:11:32.800 --> 0:11:37.480 about how good they are and how sneaky similar they are. 0:11:37.520 --> 0:11:39.160 In usage, even though they're not built alike and the 0:11:39.240 --> 0:11:42.080 running game is different. Chubb is the bigger back, but 0:11:42.160 --> 0:11:45.679 he's shockingly elusive and fast. Chubb was Pro Football focuses 0:11:46.040 --> 0:11:52.440 number two rated back in elusiveness Nick Chubb now Hunt 0:11:52.640 --> 0:11:56.640 for his his his part. If we lower Pro Football 0:11:56.679 --> 0:11:59.120 Focus down to the forty four carries that Hunt had, 0:11:59.120 --> 0:12:03.000 he only attes. Hunt becomes the number two back in 0:12:03.080 --> 0:12:05.520 elusiveness if we're looking at the whole league, if we 0:12:05.600 --> 0:12:09.679 lower the threshold down to just forty two carries. Um. 0:12:09.720 --> 0:12:13.760 So they're both very elusive backs. Obviously, both of them 0:12:13.800 --> 0:12:16.360 can catch. Hunts an elite past catcher, but Chub is 0:12:16.400 --> 0:12:19.760 also very good. And before Hunt showed up, Chubb had 0:12:19.800 --> 0:12:21.800 three or more catches in six of eight games. I mean, 0:12:21.840 --> 0:12:23.320 they weren't afraid to use them that way, and they 0:12:23.360 --> 0:12:26.360 can continue to throw to Chub as well, although Hunt 0:12:26.440 --> 0:12:29.720 obviously is the better catcher, and it really both guys 0:12:29.720 --> 0:12:31.760 can do everything. They can run inside, they can run outside, 0:12:31.800 --> 0:12:33.640 they can catch the ball. They're gonna get a ton 0:12:33.679 --> 0:12:37.079 of use here. In his first year's offensive coordinator. Last year, 0:12:37.120 --> 0:12:41.200 first full year, Kevin Stefanski got Kirk Cousins back on 0:12:41.280 --> 0:12:44.400 track and unlocked his best statistical season of his career. 0:12:45.440 --> 0:12:47.760 He's got a similar challenge with Baker Mayfield this year, 0:12:47.760 --> 0:12:51.240 who obviously regressed in most every way last season. But 0:12:51.320 --> 0:12:55.520 we've seen flashes of greatness from from Baker Mayfield, primarily 0:12:55.559 --> 0:12:57.120 as a rookie, and I think he's got an opportunity 0:12:57.120 --> 0:12:59.120 to the same thing here. Now the running game will click. 0:12:59.320 --> 0:13:01.679 I think the running games almost a certainty to be good, 0:13:01.720 --> 0:13:04.960 and I think that means they'll ask Baker, especially to 0:13:05.040 --> 0:13:08.400 throw less often and in higher percentage plays, rebuild some 0:13:08.440 --> 0:13:13.520 confidence here. Last year Mayfield was like Mayfield's deep ball 0:13:13.600 --> 0:13:16.920 passing was terrible. He had a passer rating of one 0:13:17.000 --> 0:13:20.320 hundred six as a rookie on deep passes. Last year. 0:13:20.320 --> 0:13:23.679 That hundred six turned into seventy three as a passer 0:13:23.760 --> 0:13:27.200 rating on deep passes. Um I think Stefanski is going 0:13:27.240 --> 0:13:30.520 to try fewer calls, more higher percentage plays, and even 0:13:30.559 --> 0:13:33.679 more on on the deeper stuff for higher percentage plays. 0:13:34.040 --> 0:13:36.800 Now he'll stefanciles used the run to set up deep shots, 0:13:36.840 --> 0:13:38.960 and we've mentioned that a couple of times. Now. Cousins 0:13:38.960 --> 0:13:42.640 had the NFL's highest passer rating last year on deep passes. 0:13:42.800 --> 0:13:45.280 The highest on deep passes to fancy, he can unlock 0:13:45.360 --> 0:13:48.679 some of that deep passing stuff. So guys, last year, 0:13:48.720 --> 0:13:52.240 Stephan Diggs was a was top ten in depth of 0:13:52.280 --> 0:13:55.800 target at fifteen yards downfield. When you think a depth 0:13:55.840 --> 0:13:58.160 of target on the Browns, who's that Who's going to 0:13:58.240 --> 0:14:00.440 be the Steph Diggs guy would be O'Dell, That'd be 0:14:00.480 --> 0:14:03.280 Odell Beckham, can't be Jarvis Landry. Jervis Landry is like 0:14:03.320 --> 0:14:06.600 the Adam feeling of that team. Well, he's even shorter. 0:14:06.720 --> 0:14:10.640 If theeland can get downfield, Landry never does. So I 0:14:10.679 --> 0:14:15.800 think O'Dell remains sneaky viable here and is potentially poised 0:14:15.840 --> 0:14:18.880 for a nice bounce back season. Tight end to Austin 0:14:18.920 --> 0:14:21.160 Hooper was a big free agent signing. Of course, tfan 0:14:21.240 --> 0:14:23.600 Ski is just middle of the pack for tight end usage, 0:14:23.600 --> 0:14:27.840 but Hooper is good. And I rolled together Kyle Rudolph 0:14:27.920 --> 0:14:30.920 stats and Irv Smith stats from last year into one guy, 0:14:32.080 --> 0:14:36.520 and the numbers are exactly what Austin Hooper put up 0:14:36.640 --> 0:14:38.800 last year. So I think you can look for another 0:14:38.800 --> 0:14:41.200 good season from Austin Hooper just like we saw last season. 0:14:41.760 --> 0:14:46.560 New offensive line is fantastic news for the Browns. They 0:14:46.600 --> 0:14:49.480 put up. They signed Jack Conklin from the Titans, one 0:14:49.480 --> 0:14:52.920 of the better blocking offensive linemen in free agency, and 0:14:52.920 --> 0:14:55.320 then they drafted Jedderck Wills in the first round. These 0:14:55.320 --> 0:14:59.840 are massive upgrades of this offensive line. I love it. 0:15:00.040 --> 0:15:05.480 So who's the riskiest player to draft from the Browns? Nobody? 0:15:05.640 --> 0:15:09.120 You're all undervalued because of what happened last year. But 0:15:09.400 --> 0:15:11.400 just I'm gonna give you a name, just to give 0:15:11.440 --> 0:15:15.960 you a name. Jarvis Landry. He's going off in round five. 0:15:16.440 --> 0:15:18.320 He has been four or five or six touchdowns in 0:15:18.400 --> 0:15:21.240 every season but one. He just he you know exactly 0:15:21.240 --> 0:15:22.920 what you're going to get from him. What about Nick 0:15:23.000 --> 0:15:25.560 Chubb though, remember we we can't broke it down a 0:15:25.600 --> 0:15:28.560 couple of weeks ago. Last year, fifteen carries inside the 0:15:28.600 --> 0:15:31.800 five for negative fourteen yards and two touchdowns. He's just 0:15:31.880 --> 0:15:33.920 a good He's just a really good running back. And 0:15:34.280 --> 0:15:39.320 I have no problem. He's really good. Cream Hunt is great, 0:15:39.440 --> 0:15:42.160 is really good, and by ADP, I'd rather spend the 0:15:42.200 --> 0:15:46.040 fifth rounder on Kareem Hunt at RB thirty off the board. 0:15:46.400 --> 0:15:50.400 We did a podcast about it. Who's got the most 0:15:50.480 --> 0:15:53.680 upside for the Browns? It's probably Odell Beckham. Last year's 0:15:53.720 --> 0:15:56.160 ADP was the start of the second round. Now it's 0:15:56.200 --> 0:15:58.720 the fifth round and he's only a couple of spots 0:15:58.720 --> 0:16:01.920 ahead of Jarvis Landry. People don't like Odell Beckham and 0:16:02.320 --> 0:16:04.360 that's favorite in factor in do it here a little bit. 0:16:04.360 --> 0:16:07.600 When we come back, Brian Johnson will detail his favorite team, 0:16:07.640 --> 0:16:12.960 which is who Day Who Day Day Who Day, Cincinnati Bengals. 0:16:13.080 --> 0:16:14.720 We'll tell you who they are when we come back. 0:16:18.240 --> 0:16:21.280 Welcome back to Fantasy Football Weekly. Paul Charchi in, Matt Harrison, 0:16:21.320 --> 0:16:24.160 Brian Johnson with you. We're breaking down the teams in 0:16:24.280 --> 0:16:26.720 the North, the a f C North, the NFC North. 0:16:27.000 --> 0:16:31.480 We're on Cincinnati, Brian, this is your newly adopted favorite team. 0:16:32.040 --> 0:16:34.880 And with Joe Burrow now leading what should be an 0:16:34.920 --> 0:16:39.040 improved passing attack with a j greenback uh Te Higgins, 0:16:39.200 --> 0:16:41.920 this has turned into an awfully interesting offense. By the way, 0:16:42.000 --> 0:16:49.000 is this the best offensive division in football? Baltimore, Cleveland, Cincinnati, 0:16:49.280 --> 0:16:52.720 It's pretty probably, It's pretty interestingly even Pittsburgh is probably 0:16:52.760 --> 0:16:56.200 the worst offense in this division. They're not terrible. NFC 0:16:56.320 --> 0:16:59.320 West might be in that conversation. In the West too, 0:16:59.480 --> 0:17:06.119 it's got some um maybe Chargers Jeeps. Alright, Broncoes on 0:17:06.200 --> 0:17:08.119 the up and up. Anyway, let's you know, so now 0:17:08.160 --> 0:17:09.600 that we've got a new quarterback, we get a new 0:17:09.640 --> 0:17:12.760 talent wide receiver coming returning talents team, it's a brand. 0:17:12.800 --> 0:17:14.240 You just feel like a bit of a new team, 0:17:14.280 --> 0:17:15.920 even though the same coaching staff. How do you feel? 0:17:16.040 --> 0:17:17.959 How does this offense going to look? So it's got 0:17:18.080 --> 0:17:20.919 to be different than it was last year? Yeah, it's Uh, 0:17:21.080 --> 0:17:23.840 it's kind of a star studded, sexy offense with Burrow 0:17:23.880 --> 0:17:26.160 at quarterback and he got Tyler Boyd, A J. Green 0:17:26.200 --> 0:17:28.520 who will talk about a little more very shortly, who's 0:17:28.520 --> 0:17:31.960 supposedly fully healthy, Tee Higgins who was drafted thirty third 0:17:32.040 --> 0:17:34.639 overall you just mentioned, and Joe Mixing of course. So 0:17:35.119 --> 0:17:37.240 this is looking like a fun offense on paper with 0:17:37.359 --> 0:17:39.920 not a great defense to uh on the other side 0:17:39.960 --> 0:17:43.040 of the ball. So for fantasy football purposes, uh, the 0:17:43.119 --> 0:17:48.640 Browns are almost as sexy as the Bills. Bizarre world 0:17:48.760 --> 0:17:52.040 we live in, right, But I'm really worried about Joe 0:17:52.160 --> 0:17:55.800 Mixing here. He's crept into first round territory eleventh overall, 0:17:55.880 --> 0:17:59.720 going as RB eight. Um, I guess we should start 0:17:59.760 --> 0:18:02.040 with the hold out. He could hold out, So there's 0:18:02.160 --> 0:18:05.640 inherent risk right there. He's willing to hold out, he says, 0:18:05.680 --> 0:18:08.400 if he's not signed to an extension, but uh, hold 0:18:08.440 --> 0:18:11.159 out aside, let's assume he's not holding out. Hope he 0:18:11.200 --> 0:18:13.639 doesn't hold out. Um, Joe Mixon was kind of a 0:18:13.760 --> 0:18:16.840 jekyl and hide last year. UH first eight games of 0:18:16.920 --> 0:18:19.960 the season he was the thirty third overall running back, 0:18:20.720 --> 0:18:24.280 but the second half he caught fire. Finished eleven overall 0:18:24.680 --> 0:18:27.560 at the position, and the underlying stats supported that as well. 0:18:27.640 --> 0:18:30.480 He finished fourth and broken tackles with twenty four in 0:18:30.680 --> 0:18:34.760 seventh in yards after contact with six five. But again, 0:18:35.160 --> 0:18:37.920 if you draft Mixing today in the first round, he 0:18:38.080 --> 0:18:40.879 holds out, you got Levan Bell two point oh from 0:18:40.920 --> 0:18:44.080 a couple of years ago, and uh Rodney Anderson waiting 0:18:44.119 --> 0:18:46.000 in the wings. If that happens, and then but then 0:18:46.119 --> 0:18:47.760 then again you might get the bad Joe Mixon that 0:18:47.800 --> 0:18:50.919 we saw or maybe this comes a very pass heavy offense. 0:18:50.960 --> 0:18:53.320 So for as much as I love Mixing, he's clearly 0:18:53.400 --> 0:18:56.560 the highest, uh the riskiest player based on ADP for me, 0:18:57.000 --> 0:19:00.200 and you would think this guy could have been the 0:19:00.240 --> 0:19:02.639 riskies player based on ADP. But I'm going with the 0:19:02.720 --> 0:19:05.840 most upside in A. J. Green. I am banking on 0:19:06.000 --> 0:19:08.640 a bounce back for the thirty two year old turns 0:19:08.680 --> 0:19:10.440 thirty two at the end of July. Still got some 0:19:10.960 --> 0:19:13.080 tread on the tires. He right now is going off 0:19:13.840 --> 0:19:18.879 fifty six overall. That's around wide receiver four. Um. Now, 0:19:18.960 --> 0:19:21.600 we all know he missed all of last season, missed 0:19:21.680 --> 0:19:25.320 seven games in twenty eighteen and six games in ten. 0:19:25.720 --> 0:19:27.840 That means Green has only played nine games in the 0:19:27.920 --> 0:19:35.240 last two years. But if you extrapolate games into a 0:19:35.280 --> 0:19:37.800 sixteen game season, it comes out to eighty one catches 0:19:38.040 --> 0:19:40.560 over twelve hundred yards and ten touchdowns. And A J's 0:19:40.600 --> 0:19:43.320 last full season came in seventeen when he went for 0:19:43.440 --> 0:19:47.840 seventy five nearly eleven hundred yards and eight touchdowns. So A. J. 0:19:48.000 --> 0:19:52.040 Green steps into this suddenly very electrifying offense and it's 0:19:52.040 --> 0:19:54.680 fully healthy, and you're getting him at wide receiver twenty four. 0:19:55.280 --> 0:19:58.000 He still has top ten wide receiver potential if healthy. 0:19:58.080 --> 0:20:00.760 So I'm gonna roll the dice in the what is 0:20:00.800 --> 0:20:05.119 that the mid five fifty six overall because wide receiver 0:20:05.280 --> 0:20:07.360 is so deep. If A J goes belly up, I'll 0:20:07.359 --> 0:20:09.240 have someone on the bench, but the upside is certainly 0:20:09.400 --> 0:20:11.520 still there for Green. You didn't you don't seem to 0:20:11.560 --> 0:20:14.280 have any hesitation about Joe Burrow being good and good 0:20:14.400 --> 0:20:21.720 early some but not any worse than Andy Dalton or 0:20:23.040 --> 0:20:25.639 who else played quarterback for Cincinnati last year. I should know. 0:20:25.680 --> 0:20:29.960 But yeah, that's some Jeff drisk about Jeff Burrow is 0:20:30.040 --> 0:20:32.400 he has pinpoint accuracy, and that's what he was really 0:20:32.480 --> 0:20:34.359 known for last year at l s U as he 0:20:34.520 --> 0:20:37.320 was one of the most accurate pastors, especially downfield. So 0:20:37.960 --> 0:20:40.399 that should translate, I mean that should even translate to 0:20:40.440 --> 0:20:43.879 the NFL. They get a good offensive lineman back, uh 0:20:44.240 --> 0:20:46.480 that that's gonna be a really good offense. It's gonna 0:20:46.480 --> 0:20:49.119 be fun to watch. Plus their defense is still terrible, 0:20:49.520 --> 0:20:52.200 so they're they're gonna be playing four wide receiver sets. 0:20:52.240 --> 0:20:54.680 And the wide receiver you didn't mention is John Ross 0:20:54.800 --> 0:20:56.879 is a former first rounder who had a couple of 0:20:56.960 --> 0:21:00.119 great games last year, was a very good receiver or 0:21:00.160 --> 0:21:02.280 when he got run and now he's been relegated to 0:21:02.359 --> 0:21:05.120 like fifth options. It's a deep team. Let's just hope 0:21:05.160 --> 0:21:07.240 makes it doesn't hold up. Joe Burrow I think is 0:21:07.400 --> 0:21:10.240 almost even money to win Rookie of the Year in 0:21:10.320 --> 0:21:13.840 a stacked, stacked rookie draft. It sounds about right. I 0:21:13.920 --> 0:21:15.760 think too. It would be in the conversation if Stu 0:21:15.880 --> 0:21:18.639 Beard wasn't there, kind of probably blocking him for the 0:21:18.720 --> 0:21:21.639 first six to eight games of the season. Burrow feels 0:21:21.680 --> 0:21:24.640 like the most pro ready quarterback in a long time, 0:21:24.720 --> 0:21:30.440 doesn't luck. Yeah, it feels just like an automatic and 0:21:30.680 --> 0:21:32.919