1 00:00:00,960 --> 00:00:04,640 Speaker 1: Welcome to Fantasy Football Weekly, a production of I Heart Radio. 2 00:00:06,760 --> 00:00:10,120 Speaker 1: Time now for Fantasy Football Weekly from I Heart Radio, 3 00:00:10,400 --> 00:00:14,800 Speaker 1: your weekly source for the nation's best fantasy football advice, speculation, 4 00:00:14,960 --> 00:00:18,520 Speaker 1: and whatever stupid stuff they decided to drop into the show. Now, 5 00:00:18,560 --> 00:00:24,640 Speaker 1: here's your host, Paul. Welcome to another edition of Fantasy 6 00:00:24,720 --> 00:00:27,880 Speaker 1: Football Weekly. I am Paul CHURCHI in my co host 7 00:00:27,920 --> 00:00:32,560 Speaker 1: as it has been for a while. Now, Yeah, Harrison, Well, 8 00:00:32,720 --> 00:00:36,920 Speaker 1: I mean technically yes, yeares Matt Harrison and Brian Johnson. Hello, guys, helu. 9 00:00:38,000 --> 00:00:40,720 Speaker 1: Last week we broke down everything you need to know 10 00:00:40,920 --> 00:00:44,240 Speaker 1: about the a f C and NFC East. This week 11 00:00:44,479 --> 00:00:49,000 Speaker 1: it's the North. We turned to the North. Yes, the 12 00:00:49,080 --> 00:00:52,720 Speaker 1: North remembers the North? Room? Is that how that goes? Well? 13 00:00:53,479 --> 00:00:55,520 Speaker 1: They King of the North? What's King of the North? 14 00:00:57,000 --> 00:00:59,040 Speaker 1: Was King of the North. We're gonna be king Kings 15 00:00:59,600 --> 00:01:04,040 Speaker 1: of the North's a f C and NFC North. I 16 00:01:04,040 --> 00:01:06,240 Speaker 1: have no idea what you guys are talking about. Correct. 17 00:01:07,400 --> 00:01:10,280 Speaker 1: We will give you a rundown on how each of 18 00:01:10,319 --> 00:01:13,319 Speaker 1: the offenses are going to work for the eight teams 19 00:01:13,319 --> 00:01:15,400 Speaker 1: that comprise the a f C North in the NFC North, 20 00:01:15,480 --> 00:01:18,679 Speaker 1: and we will answer the question about the riskiest players 21 00:01:18,720 --> 00:01:21,520 Speaker 1: to draft compared to a DP and the most upside 22 00:01:21,520 --> 00:01:24,640 Speaker 1: players compared to a d P. We begin with the 23 00:01:24,680 --> 00:01:26,760 Speaker 1: Baltimore Ravens and what has become one of the most 24 00:01:26,760 --> 00:01:30,960 Speaker 1: fascinating offenses in the NFL. Brian Yeah, and Baltimore added 25 00:01:30,959 --> 00:01:33,679 Speaker 1: to it in the draft. Uh obviously drafting J K. Dobbins. 26 00:01:33,680 --> 00:01:36,160 Speaker 1: Everyone knows that in the second round, Devin Duvern a 27 00:01:36,200 --> 00:01:38,280 Speaker 1: wide receiver in the third, and a couple of guards 28 00:01:38,280 --> 00:01:40,680 Speaker 1: in the third and fourth round to protect Lamar Jackson. 29 00:01:40,720 --> 00:01:42,760 Speaker 1: But I really don't want to talk about the running 30 00:01:42,800 --> 00:01:44,880 Speaker 1: backs are wide receivers when it comes to Baltimore and 31 00:01:44,920 --> 00:01:47,720 Speaker 1: re draft this year. It's just a very dicey scenario 32 00:01:47,880 --> 00:01:50,559 Speaker 1: for both. It's all the two players were talking about 33 00:01:50,560 --> 00:01:52,800 Speaker 1: here is Lamar Jackson. Of course, let's start there, and 34 00:01:52,800 --> 00:01:55,680 Speaker 1: I want to go high level drafting Lamar Jackson in 35 00:01:55,720 --> 00:01:58,640 Speaker 1: the early rounds. Right now, Fantasy Pros has him as 36 00:01:58,640 --> 00:02:01,640 Speaker 1: the nineteenth overall player off the board quarterback one, so 37 00:02:01,680 --> 00:02:06,760 Speaker 1: that's mid second round. UM. Last year, L Jacks clearly 38 00:02:06,800 --> 00:02:09,360 Speaker 1: won a lot of people a lot of money, But 39 00:02:09,400 --> 00:02:12,160 Speaker 1: you got him in the ninth, tenth, eleventh round last year, 40 00:02:12,800 --> 00:02:15,440 Speaker 1: I did. He can win you that your league this 41 00:02:15,520 --> 00:02:17,239 Speaker 1: year with those same numbers, he is the potential to 42 00:02:17,320 --> 00:02:20,360 Speaker 1: do it, but obviously the price tag is exponentially higher. 43 00:02:20,760 --> 00:02:22,960 Speaker 1: And this is a classic case. So I was all 44 00:02:23,000 --> 00:02:25,959 Speaker 1: four l jacks maybe in first overall and redraft a 45 00:02:26,000 --> 00:02:28,520 Speaker 1: few months ago. I've totally wavered because this is a 46 00:02:28,520 --> 00:02:32,360 Speaker 1: classic case of he can certainly win your league for 47 00:02:32,400 --> 00:02:34,239 Speaker 1: you if he puts up those numbers even though you're 48 00:02:34,280 --> 00:02:36,000 Speaker 1: paying the first round price tag, but he can lose 49 00:02:36,040 --> 00:02:39,000 Speaker 1: it for you big time if he doesn't replicate those 50 00:02:39,040 --> 00:02:41,480 Speaker 1: numbers with the first second round price tag. So he 51 00:02:41,560 --> 00:02:44,560 Speaker 1: has obviously the highest risk of any player on the 52 00:02:44,639 --> 00:02:46,919 Speaker 1: Ravens right now, because you'll pay the most for him 53 00:02:47,040 --> 00:02:50,160 Speaker 1: by a long shot, compared to any any other raven 54 00:02:50,320 --> 00:02:53,920 Speaker 1: right well. The rest of them are going at mid 55 00:02:54,080 --> 00:02:56,840 Speaker 1: round or lower for the most part, except except for 56 00:02:56,880 --> 00:02:59,359 Speaker 1: Mark Andrews, and that's where I'm going to now, and 57 00:02:59,520 --> 00:03:01,760 Speaker 1: he has the highest upside even though he has a 58 00:03:01,760 --> 00:03:05,320 Speaker 1: pretty empty price tag himself. Thirty third overall, uh go 59 00:03:05,360 --> 00:03:08,160 Speaker 1: on his tight end three obviously behind Travis Kelsey and 60 00:03:08,200 --> 00:03:12,400 Speaker 1: George Kittle. Speaking of Travis Kelsey and George Kittle, those 61 00:03:12,400 --> 00:03:15,519 Speaker 1: two combined for ten touchdowns on two hundred and forty 62 00:03:15,600 --> 00:03:20,520 Speaker 1: three targets last season. Mark Andrews scored ten touchdowns on 63 00:03:20,960 --> 00:03:27,040 Speaker 1: just ight effing targets last half. Andrews played fifteen games 64 00:03:27,120 --> 00:03:31,440 Speaker 1: last year, only saw eight targets on seven occasions yours numbers. 65 00:03:31,440 --> 00:03:35,200 Speaker 1: In those seven games. He should have seen more. This 66 00:03:35,240 --> 00:03:37,040 Speaker 1: is where I'm getting a lot of usage. It is, 67 00:03:37,120 --> 00:03:38,680 Speaker 1: but when he had when when he had at least 68 00:03:38,720 --> 00:03:41,040 Speaker 1: eight targets, he went eight for one oh eight in 69 00:03:41,040 --> 00:03:44,200 Speaker 1: a touchdown, eight for one, twelve in a touchdown, for 70 00:03:44,480 --> 00:03:48,040 Speaker 1: thirty one in a touchdown, six catches yards, two for 71 00:03:48,160 --> 00:03:50,840 Speaker 1: thirty nine that's the one did then six for fifty 72 00:03:50,920 --> 00:03:53,240 Speaker 1: three and two touchdowns and six for nine three and 73 00:03:53,240 --> 00:03:56,080 Speaker 1: two touchdowns. Good things happen when you're target Mark Andrews. 74 00:03:56,120 --> 00:04:00,360 Speaker 1: Hayden Hurst obviously gone, so that's a huge factor. So 75 00:04:01,000 --> 00:04:03,320 Speaker 1: the usage is going to go up for Andrews. Nick 76 00:04:03,360 --> 00:04:05,800 Speaker 1: Boyle is still there, of course, who cares. So if 77 00:04:05,800 --> 00:04:08,680 Speaker 1: you're going early tight end, I'm gonna reach and take 78 00:04:08,760 --> 00:04:12,160 Speaker 1: Mark Andrews in the second round ahead of Travis Kelsey 79 00:04:12,200 --> 00:04:14,080 Speaker 1: and George Kittle. If I'm gonna intend to take them 80 00:04:14,080 --> 00:04:16,560 Speaker 1: in the first, I will fade Kelsey and Kittle because 81 00:04:16,560 --> 00:04:19,080 Speaker 1: I think Andrews could outscore both of them this years 82 00:04:18,960 --> 00:04:24,520 Speaker 1: with another uptight end. Zinger right there, number one tight 83 00:04:24,640 --> 00:04:31,279 Speaker 1: end and Mark Andrews number two. Alright, so number one. Kidding, 84 00:04:31,320 --> 00:04:34,160 Speaker 1: I'm kidding. I might have said that. I've said in 85 00:04:34,200 --> 00:04:36,000 Speaker 1: the past he could. All right, So let's talk more 86 00:04:36,040 --> 00:04:38,039 Speaker 1: broadly about just how this offense works. Do you see 87 00:04:38,040 --> 00:04:40,520 Speaker 1: it being materially different than it was last year where 88 00:04:40,680 --> 00:04:43,599 Speaker 1: it was a most run heavy offense in the NFL. 89 00:04:43,760 --> 00:04:45,760 Speaker 1: You know they're totally gonna flip the script and just 90 00:04:45,880 --> 00:04:48,000 Speaker 1: go Eric Corey, I'm no, Yeah, I think it's gonna 91 00:04:48,080 --> 00:04:50,760 Speaker 1: pretty much be the same, though. John Harbo did say 92 00:04:51,360 --> 00:04:54,960 Speaker 1: just recently that Lamar Jackson's last thing that he needs 93 00:04:55,000 --> 00:04:57,960 Speaker 1: to get into his game is the distance the deep 94 00:04:58,120 --> 00:05:00,840 Speaker 1: downfield passing. And I think that that something that they've 95 00:05:00,880 --> 00:05:05,160 Speaker 1: been concentrating on because it's these corners going single coverage 96 00:05:05,160 --> 00:05:07,760 Speaker 1: against these wide receivers all the time, and they're throwing 97 00:05:07,800 --> 00:05:10,120 Speaker 1: eight in the box and trying to spy Lamar Jackson 98 00:05:10,160 --> 00:05:13,160 Speaker 1: all the time. There something's got to give there if 99 00:05:13,200 --> 00:05:15,040 Speaker 1: they want to get this offense to the next level. 100 00:05:15,080 --> 00:05:17,400 Speaker 1: And Lamar Jackson has come out and said he wants 101 00:05:17,440 --> 00:05:20,960 Speaker 1: to pass like Patrick Mahomes. This is the next evolution 102 00:05:21,000 --> 00:05:22,880 Speaker 1: of Lamar Jackson, and maybe he can do it. He's 103 00:05:22,920 --> 00:05:25,400 Speaker 1: certainly athletic enough to do. I'm sure Patrick Mahomes wants 104 00:05:25,400 --> 00:05:28,080 Speaker 1: to be able to run like Lamar Jackson. You can 105 00:05:28,160 --> 00:05:31,760 Speaker 1: want it, but he does not of the natural passing 106 00:05:31,800 --> 00:05:34,560 Speaker 1: talent that the Holmes has. But he's not that far off, 107 00:05:34,560 --> 00:05:36,320 Speaker 1: and I do think they will. He'll be a better 108 00:05:36,360 --> 00:05:38,160 Speaker 1: pass here in year three than he wasn't year two. 109 00:05:38,279 --> 00:05:39,680 Speaker 1: Year two he was way better than he was in 110 00:05:39,800 --> 00:05:42,720 Speaker 1: year one. So I do believe that we will see 111 00:05:42,839 --> 00:05:45,960 Speaker 1: more of a balanced offense in Baltimore this year. And 112 00:05:46,760 --> 00:05:51,640 Speaker 1: I think his receivers are tremendous upside opportunities. You look 113 00:05:51,680 --> 00:05:54,640 Speaker 1: at where Hollywood Brown fits in now a second year 114 00:05:54,680 --> 00:05:57,159 Speaker 1: after missing you know, played hurt for almost all of 115 00:05:57,279 --> 00:05:59,840 Speaker 1: last year, now comes into his second year, which is 116 00:06:00,000 --> 00:06:03,120 Speaker 1: oftentimes when receivers blow up. I'm fascinated by Brown. He 117 00:06:03,200 --> 00:06:04,960 Speaker 1: cost you so little, and to me, he would be 118 00:06:04,960 --> 00:06:07,839 Speaker 1: the upside guy for Baltimore. Let's go to Pittsburgh where 119 00:06:07,880 --> 00:06:11,520 Speaker 1: Ben Roethlisberger returns, and I think we're assuming we're gonna 120 00:06:11,560 --> 00:06:13,599 Speaker 1: get some normalcy back to an offense that was very 121 00:06:13,600 --> 00:06:16,880 Speaker 1: inconsistent last year. Well, let's talk about that offense. Last year, 122 00:06:16,920 --> 00:06:19,760 Speaker 1: they finished with the fewest passing yards in the league, 123 00:06:20,279 --> 00:06:22,880 Speaker 1: they were bottom ten, and rushing yards they had the 124 00:06:22,920 --> 00:06:26,400 Speaker 1: seventh fewest points scored. But they did have injuries to 125 00:06:26,560 --> 00:06:29,719 Speaker 1: Big Ben, James Conner, Juju was a little bit dinged up, 126 00:06:29,760 --> 00:06:32,160 Speaker 1: and Antonio Brown left the team last year. Yeah, that 127 00:06:32,240 --> 00:06:34,120 Speaker 1: was there was a lot going on in that team. Yeah, 128 00:06:34,160 --> 00:06:38,560 Speaker 1: so they were left with Mason Rudolph and yeah, that 129 00:06:38,640 --> 00:06:42,560 Speaker 1: guy Duck Hodges. Uh. They still did finish eight and eight, 130 00:06:42,720 --> 00:06:46,520 Speaker 1: which is a pretty testament to Mike Tomlin's coaching ability, 131 00:06:46,720 --> 00:06:50,440 Speaker 1: and they were really underrated defense that was awesome by 132 00:06:50,440 --> 00:06:54,400 Speaker 1: the second half of last Patrick. It helped they were 133 00:06:54,440 --> 00:06:57,360 Speaker 1: one game shy of Tennessee for that final wild card spot, 134 00:06:57,360 --> 00:07:00,720 Speaker 1: and everybody's talking about Tennessee is, you know, possible contenders. 135 00:07:00,960 --> 00:07:04,120 Speaker 1: Pittsburgh was one game off of their face. Um. But 136 00:07:04,240 --> 00:07:07,080 Speaker 1: everybody's reliving last year, which is why the Steelers only 137 00:07:07,120 --> 00:07:10,720 Speaker 1: have two players going in the top one twenty of 138 00:07:10,760 --> 00:07:13,680 Speaker 1: a DP right now. Both of them are going in 139 00:07:13,680 --> 00:07:16,480 Speaker 1: the fourth round, and that's James Conner who's going at 140 00:07:16,520 --> 00:07:20,600 Speaker 1: forty four and Juju Smith Schuster who's going at forty five, 141 00:07:20,920 --> 00:07:25,960 Speaker 1: running back twenty and wide receiver nineteen, respectively. So there's 142 00:07:26,040 --> 00:07:29,080 Speaker 1: there's a lot of upside on this offense because it's 143 00:07:29,120 --> 00:07:31,360 Speaker 1: only been a few years since they were just a 144 00:07:31,440 --> 00:07:35,080 Speaker 1: high flying passing offense. And that's why my my high 145 00:07:35,160 --> 00:07:37,080 Speaker 1: volume target and the guy that I'm looking for in 146 00:07:37,080 --> 00:07:41,040 Speaker 1: this offense is Ben Roethlisberger. Well over five hundred pass 147 00:07:41,080 --> 00:07:45,080 Speaker 1: attempts in five of his prior six healthy seasons, over 148 00:07:45,160 --> 00:07:48,880 Speaker 1: six hundred past attempts and two of those five multiple 149 00:07:48,920 --> 00:07:52,200 Speaker 1: passing touchdowns in seventy one percent of his games over 150 00:07:52,240 --> 00:07:56,600 Speaker 1: the last three years. He has the number nine offensive 151 00:07:56,680 --> 00:07:59,640 Speaker 1: line according to Pro Football Focus, who had an eighty 152 00:07:59,680 --> 00:08:13,800 Speaker 1: one point sex six sex that. I thought it would 153 00:08:13,840 --> 00:08:17,400 Speaker 1: top that at sixty. But where is where is where's 154 00:08:17,480 --> 00:08:19,680 Speaker 1: Roethlisberger's ADP right now? Because I bet he's going off 155 00:08:19,680 --> 00:08:23,880 Speaker 1: the boarder like quarterback twenty two or quarterback eighteen. But 156 00:08:23,960 --> 00:08:26,680 Speaker 1: he's going in the eleventh round of drafts right now, 157 00:08:26,760 --> 00:08:29,560 Speaker 1: So I think he's a guy that you can wait 158 00:08:29,600 --> 00:08:33,000 Speaker 1: on quarterback. He's the eighteenth quarterback off the board, and 159 00:08:33,080 --> 00:08:36,160 Speaker 1: there's just a lot of good quarterbacks right now. So, Um, 160 00:08:36,200 --> 00:08:38,120 Speaker 1: that's why he's a guy that I can target. I 161 00:08:38,120 --> 00:08:40,320 Speaker 1: can go running back, wide receiver, tight end in my 162 00:08:40,400 --> 00:08:43,960 Speaker 1: first ten rounds and then get Roethlisberger in the eleven. 163 00:08:44,000 --> 00:08:46,199 Speaker 1: That's sort of your upside guy who we're both thinking. 164 00:08:46,480 --> 00:08:48,640 Speaker 1: I'll perform his ADP quite a bit. We'llt's flip it 165 00:08:48,679 --> 00:08:51,400 Speaker 1: over in when Pittsburgh, what's the player that you're most 166 00:08:51,440 --> 00:08:54,240 Speaker 1: nervous about compared to ADP. I think it's James Conner, 167 00:08:54,280 --> 00:08:57,200 Speaker 1: and I think it's gotta be um. He had more 168 00:08:57,280 --> 00:09:02,560 Speaker 1: than fifteen rushing attempts only twice last season. Uh, that's terrible. 169 00:09:02,800 --> 00:09:06,560 Speaker 1: He managed that feat seven times in He's really a 170 00:09:06,600 --> 00:09:10,400 Speaker 1: pass catcher. But they have Benny Snell there, they have 171 00:09:10,600 --> 00:09:14,240 Speaker 1: Jalen Samuel's there. Uh, they got Anthony McFarland, the new 172 00:09:14,280 --> 00:09:16,760 Speaker 1: guy there, all of which could be in play to 173 00:09:16,800 --> 00:09:19,719 Speaker 1: take touches from James Conner. And I know Pittsburgh's traditionally 174 00:09:19,800 --> 00:09:23,040 Speaker 1: been a workhorse running back kind of organization. They just 175 00:09:23,080 --> 00:09:25,559 Speaker 1: don't have it. They don't have him right now. So, Uh, 176 00:09:26,120 --> 00:09:28,960 Speaker 1: James Conner going into a contract here, They're gonna see 177 00:09:29,000 --> 00:09:30,720 Speaker 1: what they got with these other guys to see if 178 00:09:30,720 --> 00:09:32,760 Speaker 1: they need to spend another third round pick on a 179 00:09:32,840 --> 00:09:35,720 Speaker 1: draft in the draft on another running back, But James 180 00:09:35,800 --> 00:09:38,160 Speaker 1: Conner is the guy I'm avoiding at all costs. I 181 00:09:38,160 --> 00:09:41,200 Speaker 1: couldn't agree more. And I think if there was any 182 00:09:41,280 --> 00:09:44,400 Speaker 1: lesson to be learned that from James Conner last year, 183 00:09:44,440 --> 00:09:46,880 Speaker 1: and they know it, they can't make him a high 184 00:09:46,920 --> 00:09:49,320 Speaker 1: volume guy because every time they did give him the 185 00:09:49,360 --> 00:09:51,400 Speaker 1: ball more than a handful of times he got hurt. 186 00:09:51,600 --> 00:09:53,920 Speaker 1: I mean it was it was all but guaranteed. So 187 00:09:54,280 --> 00:09:56,640 Speaker 1: I don't think there's any scenario here he turns back 188 00:09:56,640 --> 00:09:59,800 Speaker 1: into a workhorse because they won't let him out of 189 00:10:00,080 --> 00:10:02,520 Speaker 1: fear that will keep getting hurt, which is what happened 190 00:10:02,600 --> 00:10:04,600 Speaker 1: last season. Two more guys I want to mention on 191 00:10:04,600 --> 00:10:08,839 Speaker 1: that offense, Deante Johnson, Baby, his his trajectory is just 192 00:10:08,920 --> 00:10:13,320 Speaker 1: skyrocket in ADP. Everybody loves him and he's going on 193 00:10:14,240 --> 00:10:17,680 Speaker 1: right He's going off at one three right now, wide 194 00:10:17,679 --> 00:10:20,840 Speaker 1: receiver forty nine, that's gonna be. He's gonna be up 195 00:10:21,200 --> 00:10:24,040 Speaker 1: two or three rounds in a DP by the time 196 00:10:24,040 --> 00:10:26,079 Speaker 1: we get to draft season and August. Rather of him 197 00:10:26,080 --> 00:10:28,440 Speaker 1: than Juju Smith Schuster, I think a lot of people 198 00:10:28,440 --> 00:10:31,800 Speaker 1: are are with you more um and one of your 199 00:10:31,840 --> 00:10:35,640 Speaker 1: favorite guys last year was Vance McDonald church. He had 200 00:10:35,679 --> 00:10:39,120 Speaker 1: a terrible year, but he's free this year two hundred 201 00:10:39,160 --> 00:10:42,640 Speaker 1: seventy nine and adp tight end thirty three, and he 202 00:10:42,679 --> 00:10:45,840 Speaker 1: gets back, he gets Ben back. Eric Ebron is there 203 00:10:46,400 --> 00:10:49,360 Speaker 1: who might sipen a few tight end looks. But but 204 00:10:49,480 --> 00:10:54,440 Speaker 1: Vance McDonald wasn't completely terrible before, so he's a free 205 00:10:54,440 --> 00:10:56,360 Speaker 1: tight end. He's like one of those guys you're grabbing 206 00:10:56,360 --> 00:10:58,640 Speaker 1: a best ball league is your second or third tight ends. 207 00:10:59,440 --> 00:11:03,959 Speaker 1: Let's go to one. This is a new offense led 208 00:11:04,040 --> 00:11:06,920 Speaker 1: by new head coach Kevin Stefanski, and it's gonna be 209 00:11:07,120 --> 00:11:10,760 Speaker 1: run heavy. Stefanski has the highest run rate of any 210 00:11:10,840 --> 00:11:13,959 Speaker 1: offensive coordinator over the past two years. He's got Nick 211 00:11:14,040 --> 00:11:16,520 Speaker 1: Chubb and Kareem Hunt. That is the league's best one 212 00:11:16,559 --> 00:11:22,240 Speaker 1: two bunch of rate mandated though well, you know clearly 213 00:11:22,280 --> 00:11:24,240 Speaker 1: Mike Zimmer wanted to do that, but you know what, 214 00:11:24,440 --> 00:11:26,360 Speaker 1: it worked, and he's got and if he didn't have 215 00:11:26,400 --> 00:11:30,040 Speaker 1: talented backs, i'd be talking about a real regression in use. 216 00:11:30,440 --> 00:11:32,760 Speaker 1: But you've got Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt. Let's talk 217 00:11:32,800 --> 00:11:37,480 Speaker 1: about how good they are and how sneaky similar they are. 218 00:11:37,520 --> 00:11:39,160 Speaker 1: In usage, even though they're not built alike and the 219 00:11:39,240 --> 00:11:42,080 Speaker 1: running game is different. Chubb is the bigger back, but 220 00:11:42,160 --> 00:11:45,679 Speaker 1: he's shockingly elusive and fast. Chubb was Pro Football focuses 221 00:11:46,040 --> 00:11:52,440 Speaker 1: number two rated back in elusiveness Nick Chubb now Hunt 222 00:11:52,640 --> 00:11:56,640 Speaker 1: for his his his part. If we lower Pro Football 223 00:11:56,679 --> 00:11:59,120 Speaker 1: Focus down to the forty four carries that Hunt had, 224 00:11:59,120 --> 00:12:03,000 Speaker 1: he only attes. Hunt becomes the number two back in 225 00:12:03,080 --> 00:12:05,520 Speaker 1: elusiveness if we're looking at the whole league, if we 226 00:12:05,600 --> 00:12:09,679 Speaker 1: lower the threshold down to just forty two carries. Um. 227 00:12:09,720 --> 00:12:13,760 Speaker 1: So they're both very elusive backs. Obviously, both of them 228 00:12:13,800 --> 00:12:16,360 Speaker 1: can catch. Hunts an elite past catcher, but Chub is 229 00:12:16,400 --> 00:12:19,760 Speaker 1: also very good. And before Hunt showed up, Chubb had 230 00:12:19,800 --> 00:12:21,800 Speaker 1: three or more catches in six of eight games. I mean, 231 00:12:21,840 --> 00:12:23,320 Speaker 1: they weren't afraid to use them that way, and they 232 00:12:23,360 --> 00:12:26,360 Speaker 1: can continue to throw to Chub as well, although Hunt 233 00:12:26,440 --> 00:12:29,720 Speaker 1: obviously is the better catcher, and it really both guys 234 00:12:29,720 --> 00:12:31,760 Speaker 1: can do everything. They can run inside, they can run outside, 235 00:12:31,800 --> 00:12:33,640 Speaker 1: they can catch the ball. They're gonna get a ton 236 00:12:33,679 --> 00:12:37,079 Speaker 1: of use here. In his first year's offensive coordinator. Last year, 237 00:12:37,120 --> 00:12:41,200 Speaker 1: first full year, Kevin Stefanski got Kirk Cousins back on 238 00:12:41,280 --> 00:12:44,400 Speaker 1: track and unlocked his best statistical season of his career. 239 00:12:45,440 --> 00:12:47,760 Speaker 1: He's got a similar challenge with Baker Mayfield this year, 240 00:12:47,760 --> 00:12:51,240 Speaker 1: who obviously regressed in most every way last season. But 241 00:12:51,320 --> 00:12:55,520 Speaker 1: we've seen flashes of greatness from from Baker Mayfield, primarily 242 00:12:55,559 --> 00:12:57,120 Speaker 1: as a rookie, and I think he's got an opportunity 243 00:12:57,120 --> 00:12:59,120 Speaker 1: to the same thing here. Now the running game will click. 244 00:12:59,320 --> 00:13:01,679 Speaker 1: I think the running games almost a certainty to be good, 245 00:13:01,720 --> 00:13:04,960 Speaker 1: and I think that means they'll ask Baker, especially to 246 00:13:05,040 --> 00:13:08,400 Speaker 1: throw less often and in higher percentage plays, rebuild some 247 00:13:08,440 --> 00:13:13,520 Speaker 1: confidence here. Last year Mayfield was like Mayfield's deep ball 248 00:13:13,600 --> 00:13:16,920 Speaker 1: passing was terrible. He had a passer rating of one 249 00:13:17,000 --> 00:13:20,320 Speaker 1: hundred six as a rookie on deep passes. Last year. 250 00:13:20,320 --> 00:13:23,679 Speaker 1: That hundred six turned into seventy three as a passer 251 00:13:23,760 --> 00:13:27,200 Speaker 1: rating on deep passes. Um I think Stefanski is going 252 00:13:27,240 --> 00:13:30,520 Speaker 1: to try fewer calls, more higher percentage plays, and even 253 00:13:30,559 --> 00:13:33,679 Speaker 1: more on on the deeper stuff for higher percentage plays. 254 00:13:34,040 --> 00:13:36,800 Speaker 1: Now he'll stefanciles used the run to set up deep shots, 255 00:13:36,840 --> 00:13:38,960 Speaker 1: and we've mentioned that a couple of times. Now. Cousins 256 00:13:38,960 --> 00:13:42,640 Speaker 1: had the NFL's highest passer rating last year on deep passes. 257 00:13:42,800 --> 00:13:45,280 Speaker 1: The highest on deep passes to fancy, he can unlock 258 00:13:45,360 --> 00:13:48,679 Speaker 1: some of that deep passing stuff. So guys, last year, 259 00:13:48,720 --> 00:13:52,240 Speaker 1: Stephan Diggs was a was top ten in depth of 260 00:13:52,280 --> 00:13:55,800 Speaker 1: target at fifteen yards downfield. When you think a depth 261 00:13:55,840 --> 00:13:58,160 Speaker 1: of target on the Browns, who's that Who's going to 262 00:13:58,240 --> 00:14:00,440 Speaker 1: be the Steph Diggs guy would be O'Dell, That'd be 263 00:14:00,480 --> 00:14:03,280 Speaker 1: Odell Beckham, can't be Jarvis Landry. Jervis Landry is like 264 00:14:03,320 --> 00:14:06,600 Speaker 1: the Adam feeling of that team. Well, he's even shorter. 265 00:14:06,720 --> 00:14:10,640 Speaker 1: If theeland can get downfield, Landry never does. So I 266 00:14:10,679 --> 00:14:15,800 Speaker 1: think O'Dell remains sneaky viable here and is potentially poised 267 00:14:15,840 --> 00:14:18,880 Speaker 1: for a nice bounce back season. Tight end to Austin 268 00:14:18,920 --> 00:14:21,160 Speaker 1: Hooper was a big free agent signing. Of course, tfan 269 00:14:21,240 --> 00:14:23,600 Speaker 1: Ski is just middle of the pack for tight end usage, 270 00:14:23,600 --> 00:14:27,840 Speaker 1: but Hooper is good. And I rolled together Kyle Rudolph 271 00:14:27,920 --> 00:14:30,920 Speaker 1: stats and Irv Smith stats from last year into one guy, 272 00:14:32,080 --> 00:14:36,520 Speaker 1: and the numbers are exactly what Austin Hooper put up 273 00:14:36,640 --> 00:14:38,800 Speaker 1: last year. So I think you can look for another 274 00:14:38,800 --> 00:14:41,200 Speaker 1: good season from Austin Hooper just like we saw last season. 275 00:14:41,760 --> 00:14:46,560 Speaker 1: New offensive line is fantastic news for the Browns. They 276 00:14:46,600 --> 00:14:49,480 Speaker 1: put up. They signed Jack Conklin from the Titans, one 277 00:14:49,480 --> 00:14:52,920 Speaker 1: of the better blocking offensive linemen in free agency, and 278 00:14:52,920 --> 00:14:55,320 Speaker 1: then they drafted Jedderck Wills in the first round. These 279 00:14:55,320 --> 00:14:59,840 Speaker 1: are massive upgrades of this offensive line. I love it. 280 00:15:00,040 --> 00:15:05,480 Speaker 1: So who's the riskiest player to draft from the Browns? Nobody? 281 00:15:05,640 --> 00:15:09,120 Speaker 1: You're all undervalued because of what happened last year. But 282 00:15:09,400 --> 00:15:11,400 Speaker 1: just I'm gonna give you a name, just to give 283 00:15:11,440 --> 00:15:15,960 Speaker 1: you a name. Jarvis Landry. He's going off in round five. 284 00:15:16,440 --> 00:15:18,320 Speaker 1: He has been four or five or six touchdowns in 285 00:15:18,400 --> 00:15:21,240 Speaker 1: every season but one. He just he you know exactly 286 00:15:21,240 --> 00:15:22,920 Speaker 1: what you're going to get from him. What about Nick 287 00:15:23,000 --> 00:15:25,560 Speaker 1: Chubb though, remember we we can't broke it down a 288 00:15:25,600 --> 00:15:28,560 Speaker 1: couple of weeks ago. Last year, fifteen carries inside the 289 00:15:28,600 --> 00:15:31,800 Speaker 1: five for negative fourteen yards and two touchdowns. He's just 290 00:15:31,880 --> 00:15:33,920 Speaker 1: a good He's just a really good running back. And 291 00:15:34,280 --> 00:15:39,320 Speaker 1: I have no problem. He's really good. Cream Hunt is great, 292 00:15:39,440 --> 00:15:42,160 Speaker 1: is really good, and by ADP, I'd rather spend the 293 00:15:42,200 --> 00:15:46,040 Speaker 1: fifth rounder on Kareem Hunt at RB thirty off the board. 294 00:15:46,400 --> 00:15:50,400 Speaker 1: We did a podcast about it. Who's got the most 295 00:15:50,480 --> 00:15:53,680 Speaker 1: upside for the Browns? It's probably Odell Beckham. Last year's 296 00:15:53,720 --> 00:15:56,160 Speaker 1: ADP was the start of the second round. Now it's 297 00:15:56,200 --> 00:15:58,720 Speaker 1: the fifth round and he's only a couple of spots 298 00:15:58,720 --> 00:16:01,920 Speaker 1: ahead of Jarvis Landry. People don't like Odell Beckham and 299 00:16:02,320 --> 00:16:04,360 Speaker 1: that's favorite in factor in do it here a little bit. 300 00:16:04,360 --> 00:16:07,600 Speaker 1: When we come back, Brian Johnson will detail his favorite team, 301 00:16:07,640 --> 00:16:12,960 Speaker 1: which is who Day Who Day Day Who Day, Cincinnati Bengals. 302 00:16:13,080 --> 00:16:14,720 Speaker 1: We'll tell you who they are when we come back. 303 00:16:18,240 --> 00:16:21,280 Speaker 1: Welcome back to Fantasy Football Weekly. Paul Charchi in, Matt Harrison, 304 00:16:21,320 --> 00:16:24,160 Speaker 1: Brian Johnson with you. We're breaking down the teams in 305 00:16:24,280 --> 00:16:26,720 Speaker 1: the North, the a f C North, the NFC North. 306 00:16:27,000 --> 00:16:31,480 Speaker 1: We're on Cincinnati, Brian, this is your newly adopted favorite team. 307 00:16:32,040 --> 00:16:34,880 Speaker 1: And with Joe Burrow now leading what should be an 308 00:16:34,920 --> 00:16:39,040 Speaker 1: improved passing attack with a j greenback uh Te Higgins, 309 00:16:39,200 --> 00:16:41,920 Speaker 1: this has turned into an awfully interesting offense. By the way, 310 00:16:42,000 --> 00:16:49,000 Speaker 1: is this the best offensive division in football? Baltimore, Cleveland, Cincinnati, 311 00:16:49,280 --> 00:16:52,720 Speaker 1: It's pretty probably, It's pretty interestingly even Pittsburgh is probably 312 00:16:52,760 --> 00:16:56,200 Speaker 1: the worst offense in this division. They're not terrible. NFC 313 00:16:56,320 --> 00:16:59,320 Speaker 1: West might be in that conversation. In the West too, 314 00:16:59,480 --> 00:17:06,119 Speaker 1: it's got some um maybe Chargers Jeeps. Alright, Broncoes on 315 00:17:06,200 --> 00:17:08,119 Speaker 1: the up and up. Anyway, let's you know, so now 316 00:17:08,160 --> 00:17:09,600 Speaker 1: that we've got a new quarterback, we get a new 317 00:17:09,640 --> 00:17:12,760 Speaker 1: talent wide receiver coming returning talents team, it's a brand. 318 00:17:12,800 --> 00:17:14,240 Speaker 1: You just feel like a bit of a new team, 319 00:17:14,280 --> 00:17:15,920 Speaker 1: even though the same coaching staff. How do you feel? 320 00:17:16,040 --> 00:17:17,959 Speaker 1: How does this offense going to look? So it's got 321 00:17:18,080 --> 00:17:20,919 Speaker 1: to be different than it was last year? Yeah, it's Uh, 322 00:17:21,080 --> 00:17:23,840 Speaker 1: it's kind of a star studded, sexy offense with Burrow 323 00:17:23,880 --> 00:17:26,160 Speaker 1: at quarterback and he got Tyler Boyd, A J. Green 324 00:17:26,200 --> 00:17:28,520 Speaker 1: who will talk about a little more very shortly, who's 325 00:17:28,520 --> 00:17:31,960 Speaker 1: supposedly fully healthy, Tee Higgins who was drafted thirty third 326 00:17:32,040 --> 00:17:34,639 Speaker 1: overall you just mentioned, and Joe Mixing of course. So 327 00:17:35,119 --> 00:17:37,240 Speaker 1: this is looking like a fun offense on paper with 328 00:17:37,359 --> 00:17:39,920 Speaker 1: not a great defense to uh on the other side 329 00:17:39,960 --> 00:17:43,040 Speaker 1: of the ball. So for fantasy football purposes, uh, the 330 00:17:43,119 --> 00:17:48,640 Speaker 1: Browns are almost as sexy as the Bills. Bizarre world 331 00:17:48,760 --> 00:17:52,040 Speaker 1: we live in, right, But I'm really worried about Joe 332 00:17:52,160 --> 00:17:55,800 Speaker 1: Mixing here. He's crept into first round territory eleventh overall, 333 00:17:55,880 --> 00:17:59,720 Speaker 1: going as RB eight. Um, I guess we should start 334 00:17:59,760 --> 00:18:02,040 Speaker 1: with the hold out. He could hold out, So there's 335 00:18:02,160 --> 00:18:05,640 Speaker 1: inherent risk right there. He's willing to hold out, he says, 336 00:18:05,680 --> 00:18:08,400 Speaker 1: if he's not signed to an extension, but uh, hold 337 00:18:08,440 --> 00:18:11,159 Speaker 1: out aside, let's assume he's not holding out. Hope he 338 00:18:11,200 --> 00:18:13,639 Speaker 1: doesn't hold out. Um, Joe Mixon was kind of a 339 00:18:13,760 --> 00:18:16,840 Speaker 1: jekyl and hide last year. UH first eight games of 340 00:18:16,920 --> 00:18:19,960 Speaker 1: the season he was the thirty third overall running back, 341 00:18:20,720 --> 00:18:24,280 Speaker 1: but the second half he caught fire. Finished eleven overall 342 00:18:24,680 --> 00:18:27,560 Speaker 1: at the position, and the underlying stats supported that as well. 343 00:18:27,640 --> 00:18:30,480 Speaker 1: He finished fourth and broken tackles with twenty four in 344 00:18:30,680 --> 00:18:34,760 Speaker 1: seventh in yards after contact with six five. But again, 345 00:18:35,160 --> 00:18:37,920 Speaker 1: if you draft Mixing today in the first round, he 346 00:18:38,080 --> 00:18:40,879 Speaker 1: holds out, you got Levan Bell two point oh from 347 00:18:40,920 --> 00:18:44,080 Speaker 1: a couple of years ago, and uh Rodney Anderson waiting 348 00:18:44,119 --> 00:18:46,000 Speaker 1: in the wings. If that happens, and then but then 349 00:18:46,119 --> 00:18:47,760 Speaker 1: then again you might get the bad Joe Mixon that 350 00:18:47,800 --> 00:18:50,919 Speaker 1: we saw or maybe this comes a very pass heavy offense. 351 00:18:50,960 --> 00:18:53,320 Speaker 1: So for as much as I love Mixing, he's clearly 352 00:18:53,400 --> 00:18:56,560 Speaker 1: the highest, uh the riskiest player based on ADP for me, 353 00:18:57,000 --> 00:19:00,200 Speaker 1: and you would think this guy could have been the 354 00:19:00,240 --> 00:19:02,639 Speaker 1: riskies player based on ADP. But I'm going with the 355 00:19:02,720 --> 00:19:05,840 Speaker 1: most upside in A. J. Green. I am banking on 356 00:19:06,000 --> 00:19:08,640 Speaker 1: a bounce back for the thirty two year old turns 357 00:19:08,680 --> 00:19:10,440 Speaker 1: thirty two at the end of July. Still got some 358 00:19:10,960 --> 00:19:13,080 Speaker 1: tread on the tires. He right now is going off 359 00:19:13,840 --> 00:19:18,879 Speaker 1: fifty six overall. That's around wide receiver four. Um. Now, 360 00:19:18,960 --> 00:19:21,600 Speaker 1: we all know he missed all of last season, missed 361 00:19:21,680 --> 00:19:25,320 Speaker 1: seven games in twenty eighteen and six games in ten. 362 00:19:25,720 --> 00:19:27,840 Speaker 1: That means Green has only played nine games in the 363 00:19:27,920 --> 00:19:35,240 Speaker 1: last two years. But if you extrapolate games into a 364 00:19:35,280 --> 00:19:37,800 Speaker 1: sixteen game season, it comes out to eighty one catches 365 00:19:38,040 --> 00:19:40,560 Speaker 1: over twelve hundred yards and ten touchdowns. And A J's 366 00:19:40,600 --> 00:19:43,320 Speaker 1: last full season came in seventeen when he went for 367 00:19:43,440 --> 00:19:47,840 Speaker 1: seventy five nearly eleven hundred yards and eight touchdowns. So A. J. 368 00:19:48,000 --> 00:19:52,040 Speaker 1: Green steps into this suddenly very electrifying offense and it's 369 00:19:52,040 --> 00:19:54,680 Speaker 1: fully healthy, and you're getting him at wide receiver twenty four. 370 00:19:55,280 --> 00:19:58,000 Speaker 1: He still has top ten wide receiver potential if healthy. 371 00:19:58,080 --> 00:20:00,760 Speaker 1: So I'm gonna roll the dice in the what is 372 00:20:00,800 --> 00:20:05,119 Speaker 1: that the mid five fifty six overall because wide receiver 373 00:20:05,280 --> 00:20:07,360 Speaker 1: is so deep. If A J goes belly up, I'll 374 00:20:07,359 --> 00:20:09,240 Speaker 1: have someone on the bench, but the upside is certainly 375 00:20:09,400 --> 00:20:11,520 Speaker 1: still there for Green. You didn't you don't seem to 376 00:20:11,560 --> 00:20:14,280 Speaker 1: have any hesitation about Joe Burrow being good and good 377 00:20:14,400 --> 00:20:21,720 Speaker 1: early some but not any worse than Andy Dalton or 378 00:20:23,040 --> 00:20:25,639 Speaker 1: who else played quarterback for Cincinnati last year. I should know. 379 00:20:25,680 --> 00:20:29,960 Speaker 1: But yeah, that's some Jeff drisk about Jeff Burrow is 380 00:20:30,040 --> 00:20:32,400 Speaker 1: he has pinpoint accuracy, and that's what he was really 381 00:20:32,480 --> 00:20:34,359 Speaker 1: known for last year at l s U as he 382 00:20:34,520 --> 00:20:37,320 Speaker 1: was one of the most accurate pastors, especially downfield. So 383 00:20:37,960 --> 00:20:40,399 Speaker 1: that should translate, I mean that should even translate to 384 00:20:40,440 --> 00:20:43,879 Speaker 1: the NFL. They get a good offensive lineman back, uh 385 00:20:44,240 --> 00:20:46,480 Speaker 1: that that's gonna be a really good offense. It's gonna 386 00:20:46,480 --> 00:20:49,119 Speaker 1: be fun to watch. Plus their defense is still terrible, 387 00:20:49,520 --> 00:20:52,200 Speaker 1: so they're they're gonna be playing four wide receiver sets. 388 00:20:52,240 --> 00:20:54,680 Speaker 1: And the wide receiver you didn't mention is John Ross 389 00:20:54,800 --> 00:20:56,879 Speaker 1: is a former first rounder who had a couple of 390 00:20:56,960 --> 00:21:00,119 Speaker 1: great games last year, was a very good receiver or 391 00:21:00,160 --> 00:21:02,280 Speaker 1: when he got run and now he's been relegated to 392 00:21:02,359 --> 00:21:05,120 Speaker 1: like fifth options. It's a deep team. Let's just hope 393 00:21:05,160 --> 00:21:07,240 Speaker 1: makes it doesn't hold up. Joe Burrow I think is 394 00:21:07,400 --> 00:21:10,240 Speaker 1: almost even money to win Rookie of the Year in 395 00:21:10,320 --> 00:21:13,840 Speaker 1: a stacked, stacked rookie draft. It sounds about right. I 396 00:21:13,920 --> 00:21:15,760 Speaker 1: think too. It would be in the conversation if Stu 397 00:21:15,880 --> 00:21:18,639 Speaker 1: Beard wasn't there, kind of probably blocking him for the 398 00:21:18,720 --> 00:21:21,639 Speaker 1: first six to eight games of the season. Burrow feels 399 00:21:21,680 --> 00:21:24,640 Speaker 1: like the most pro ready quarterback in a long time, 400 00:21:24,720 --> 00:21:30,440 Speaker 1: doesn't luck. Yeah, it feels just like an automatic and 401 00:21:30,680 --> 00:21:32,919 Speaker 1: hopefully this is going to be a resurgence for the Bengals. 402 00:21:32,960 --> 00:21:35,560 Speaker 1: Their fan base certainly deserves it. Let's go to Green Bay, 403 00:21:35,680 --> 00:21:38,399 Speaker 1: matt where they had the opposite draft, a draft that 404 00:21:38,480 --> 00:21:42,560 Speaker 1: was universally listen to Paul Charchi and do they really did. 405 00:21:43,000 --> 00:21:45,080 Speaker 1: If we have a need on this roster, we're not 406 00:21:45,200 --> 00:21:47,160 Speaker 1: going to address it, damn it. We're taking the best 407 00:21:47,200 --> 00:21:50,200 Speaker 1: player available no matter what. Uh. Let's talk about this 408 00:21:50,280 --> 00:21:52,040 Speaker 1: Green Bay offense and how do you how do you 409 00:21:52,080 --> 00:21:54,920 Speaker 1: think that works overall this season? So, the really nice 410 00:21:55,040 --> 00:21:57,840 Speaker 1: part about the Packers is there's not a lot of 411 00:21:57,960 --> 00:22:00,720 Speaker 1: different options on the field in the passing game. You 412 00:22:00,800 --> 00:22:03,480 Speaker 1: can narrow it down to two guys in the passing 413 00:22:03,520 --> 00:22:06,800 Speaker 1: game that you will draft at all. Um. If you 414 00:22:06,840 --> 00:22:09,280 Speaker 1: don't get Davante Adams, you can pretty much avoid all 415 00:22:09,320 --> 00:22:12,719 Speaker 1: their wide receivers um and Aaron Rodgers is the other one. 416 00:22:12,800 --> 00:22:16,560 Speaker 1: You don't think mvs just because they've they've jettison Geronimo Allison, 417 00:22:16,720 --> 00:22:19,399 Speaker 1: They've got no you got an obvious answer at Alan 418 00:22:19,480 --> 00:22:22,960 Speaker 1: Lazard is the next highest guy. He's going off the 419 00:22:23,000 --> 00:22:26,000 Speaker 1: board at one seventy six. That's wide receiver sixty eight. 420 00:22:26,440 --> 00:22:30,360 Speaker 1: Then you've got Devin Funcius there. It's like they won't 421 00:22:30,640 --> 00:22:32,240 Speaker 1: I'm serious, you won't be on the team. That's why 422 00:22:32,560 --> 00:22:35,040 Speaker 1: for me, if I don't get Davonte Adams and I 423 00:22:35,080 --> 00:22:37,439 Speaker 1: don't get Aaron Rodgers, I'm just out on the Packers 424 00:22:37,520 --> 00:22:39,920 Speaker 1: passing games. On the other part, well, what do you 425 00:22:40,000 --> 00:22:42,119 Speaker 1: even want? Do you do? You see Aaron Rodgers putting 426 00:22:42,200 --> 00:22:46,320 Speaker 1: up a substantial but you you you had all the 427 00:22:46,400 --> 00:22:49,200 Speaker 1: reasons why not to take Aaron Rodgers And uh he's 428 00:22:49,240 --> 00:22:51,520 Speaker 1: going off the board at quarterback number eight right now, 429 00:22:52,720 --> 00:22:56,760 Speaker 1: uh seventy seven. Overall, By the way, there's only three 430 00:22:56,880 --> 00:22:59,320 Speaker 1: players on the Packers roster that are going in the 431 00:22:59,400 --> 00:23:03,120 Speaker 1: top third teen rounds of fantasy drafts right now, Davante 432 00:23:03,160 --> 00:23:05,840 Speaker 1: Adams and Aaron Jones, and then the top two rounds 433 00:23:06,040 --> 00:23:10,000 Speaker 1: and Aaron Rodgers in the middle of the eight or seventh. 434 00:23:10,400 --> 00:23:13,159 Speaker 1: So but the bad part is the running game is 435 00:23:13,200 --> 00:23:16,600 Speaker 1: the exact opposite of the passing game. All three backs 436 00:23:16,600 --> 00:23:18,520 Speaker 1: should be in the mix for touches, and we've touched 437 00:23:18,560 --> 00:23:20,440 Speaker 1: on a little bit before, and it's not going to 438 00:23:20,520 --> 00:23:22,520 Speaker 1: be easy to decipher who's going to be the hot 439 00:23:22,600 --> 00:23:26,480 Speaker 1: hand in any given week. So I mean, we have 440 00:23:26,560 --> 00:23:28,680 Speaker 1: a J. Dillon, we have Jamal Williams, and we have 441 00:23:28,800 --> 00:23:31,440 Speaker 1: Aaron Jones, and they're going at very different points in 442 00:23:31,480 --> 00:23:36,000 Speaker 1: the draft. I should mention overall a very good offensive line. 443 00:23:36,440 --> 00:23:39,520 Speaker 1: Green bad the number six offensive line according to Pro 444 00:23:39,600 --> 00:23:43,840 Speaker 1: Football Focus last year. Their line did allow pass rush 445 00:23:44,000 --> 00:23:47,320 Speaker 1: pressure more often than twenty one teams in the league. 446 00:23:47,600 --> 00:23:51,159 Speaker 1: So Rogers was under pressure, but he's such a wizard 447 00:23:51,200 --> 00:23:54,400 Speaker 1: of at getting out of that. But they it took 448 00:23:54,640 --> 00:23:57,640 Speaker 1: them the most time in the league. It took two 449 00:23:57,760 --> 00:24:02,520 Speaker 1: point six seconds for them to allow pressure. He's holding 450 00:24:02,560 --> 00:24:05,439 Speaker 1: the ball to it's because Rogers, you know, I think 451 00:24:05,480 --> 00:24:08,760 Speaker 1: he's just it's because Davante Adams was hurt and nobody 452 00:24:08,920 --> 00:24:12,320 Speaker 1: was getting open. You could very well be right about that. Um, 453 00:24:12,800 --> 00:24:17,040 Speaker 1: So here's my my target is A J. Dillon He's 454 00:24:17,080 --> 00:24:20,480 Speaker 1: a two d fifty pound running back with a forte vertical. 455 00:24:21,320 --> 00:24:24,960 Speaker 1: He's literally the heaviest running back in the NFL right now, 456 00:24:25,560 --> 00:24:28,600 Speaker 1: and he has a top five combined vertical of any 457 00:24:28,720 --> 00:24:32,720 Speaker 1: running back ever. Go figure. He's you know for his vertical, 458 00:24:32,880 --> 00:24:37,520 Speaker 1: he's too He's a goal line back who can literally 459 00:24:37,760 --> 00:24:42,920 Speaker 1: jump over the details. So he's the guy I'm totally targeting. 460 00:24:43,080 --> 00:24:46,200 Speaker 1: And obviously I'm avoiding Aaron Jones. We've harped on it 461 00:24:46,320 --> 00:24:48,360 Speaker 1: over and over. He could get schemed out of game 462 00:24:48,400 --> 00:24:51,080 Speaker 1: plans a lot this year. He was very touchdown dependent, 463 00:24:51,480 --> 00:24:56,040 Speaker 1: and the Packers brought in Dylan as Jones is touchdown 464 00:24:56,160 --> 00:24:59,920 Speaker 1: stealing vulture in his free agent year this they're gonna 465 00:25:00,040 --> 00:25:03,840 Speaker 1: let Jones walk after this walking Uh, so'm I'm avoiding 466 00:25:03,880 --> 00:25:06,199 Speaker 1: Aaron Jones and I'm getting out too early rather than 467 00:25:06,280 --> 00:25:09,960 Speaker 1: too late. A J. Dillon is a good back, you 468 00:25:10,040 --> 00:25:11,560 Speaker 1: know the issue. You know, for all the heat that 469 00:25:11,600 --> 00:25:13,760 Speaker 1: Green Bay took for drafting him in the second round, 470 00:25:13,880 --> 00:25:16,919 Speaker 1: it wasn't because A. J. Dillon's not good. It's because 471 00:25:17,000 --> 00:25:20,119 Speaker 1: they had so much need at other positions. You're staring 472 00:25:20,160 --> 00:25:24,040 Speaker 1: at the greatest second round draft for wide receivers and 473 00:25:24,200 --> 00:25:26,280 Speaker 1: years and you don't take one stuff like that. Don't 474 00:25:26,359 --> 00:25:29,520 Speaker 1: draft from need, just don't draft the best player. That 475 00:25:29,600 --> 00:25:32,600 Speaker 1: means they did. That's what they did. Sam. The Portland 476 00:25:32,640 --> 00:25:39,600 Speaker 1: Trailblazers drafted Sam Boobe because they needed a big Last 477 00:25:39,600 --> 00:25:42,600 Speaker 1: thing I want to say on Aaron Rodgers is man. 478 00:25:42,760 --> 00:25:46,160 Speaker 1: Did he post dud games last year? So many games 479 00:25:46,200 --> 00:25:49,600 Speaker 1: that clocked in at like two thirty yards, zero touchdown, 480 00:25:49,760 --> 00:25:53,880 Speaker 1: one touchdown. Those things murder your fantasy team. Yeah, it's 481 00:25:53,880 --> 00:25:55,479 Speaker 1: a bummer. And I chuck a lot of that up 482 00:25:55,520 --> 00:25:59,320 Speaker 1: to Davante Adams just not being healthy for most of 483 00:25:59,359 --> 00:26:01,520 Speaker 1: the season. Even when he was there after he came back, 484 00:26:01,600 --> 00:26:03,879 Speaker 1: he wasn't fully there until the very tail end of 485 00:26:03,920 --> 00:26:07,320 Speaker 1: the year. Minnesota's got a new offensive coordinator, Gary Kubiak, 486 00:26:07,440 --> 00:26:10,880 Speaker 1: familiar name. Last year's offensive coordinator Kevin Stefanski has gone 487 00:26:10,920 --> 00:26:13,960 Speaker 1: to Cleveland, but the transition will be seamless because Stefanski 488 00:26:14,480 --> 00:26:18,800 Speaker 1: was largely implementing Gary Kubiak's offense last year, same terminology 489 00:26:18,960 --> 00:26:23,760 Speaker 1: and everything else. So Kubiak is a wizard with fantasy 490 00:26:24,080 --> 00:26:29,239 Speaker 1: running backs. He has unlocked unlocked massive seasons from I'm 491 00:26:29,280 --> 00:26:33,919 Speaker 1: gonna love this list, Gerrell Davis Olandis, Gary Anderson, Clinton Portis, 492 00:26:34,000 --> 00:26:37,800 Speaker 1: Steve Slayton, Arian Foster, Justin for Sett and last year, 493 00:26:37,840 --> 00:26:41,119 Speaker 1: of course, Dalvin Cook. I went through twenty five years 494 00:26:41,240 --> 00:26:44,440 Speaker 1: of Kubiak runners as an offensive coordinator or a head coach. 495 00:26:45,359 --> 00:26:51,160 Speaker 1: It's basically impossible to find a talented runner who flopped 496 00:26:51,320 --> 00:26:54,479 Speaker 1: in a healthy season under Gary Kubiak. If you are 497 00:26:54,560 --> 00:26:57,040 Speaker 1: even a middle tier runner, if you are justin for 498 00:26:57,240 --> 00:27:00,280 Speaker 1: set or better, and you're in a Gary Kubiak off fence, 499 00:27:00,520 --> 00:27:03,720 Speaker 1: you're having a good year. Did Kubiak leave the year 500 00:27:03,840 --> 00:27:05,919 Speaker 1: that some of those guys fell off? Matt? I mean, 501 00:27:05,960 --> 00:27:07,359 Speaker 1: Slayton wasn't around a long time, but he was like 502 00:27:07,440 --> 00:27:10,159 Speaker 1: first round pick the following year and he fell just 503 00:27:11,119 --> 00:27:13,960 Speaker 1: like an early round. Yeah, you don't want to be 504 00:27:14,040 --> 00:27:16,120 Speaker 1: there when Kubyak leaves. I can tell you that much, 505 00:27:16,119 --> 00:27:19,400 Speaker 1: because that runner that you that the land is Gary's 506 00:27:19,440 --> 00:27:21,080 Speaker 1: of the world or whatever. He leaves and all of 507 00:27:21,080 --> 00:27:24,200 Speaker 1: a sudden, that guy tanks UM. So you still feel 508 00:27:24,240 --> 00:27:26,320 Speaker 1: really good about the running, and you know they're going 509 00:27:26,400 --> 00:27:28,800 Speaker 1: to They're going to continue to run. Zimmer wants it 510 00:27:29,119 --> 00:27:33,879 Speaker 1: and Kubiak can do it. As an um. It'll be 511 00:27:33,960 --> 00:27:36,800 Speaker 1: the second year implementing the zone blocking scheme for the 512 00:27:36,920 --> 00:27:39,840 Speaker 1: Vikings offensive line that should get better in year two, 513 00:27:39,880 --> 00:27:41,479 Speaker 1: but they do have some moving parts here. They put 514 00:27:41,520 --> 00:27:44,080 Speaker 1: his second round picked into presume starting left tackle as 515 00:27:44,119 --> 00:27:47,040 Speaker 1: a Cleveland and that pushes last year's left tackle Riley 516 00:27:47,119 --> 00:27:49,040 Speaker 1: Reef to left guard. They have some question marks at 517 00:27:49,119 --> 00:27:51,600 Speaker 1: right guard, so this is still going to be an 518 00:27:51,640 --> 00:27:53,879 Speaker 1: offensive line that has some transition, but year two in 519 00:27:53,920 --> 00:27:56,520 Speaker 1: the zone blocking scheme should get a little bit better. Um, 520 00:27:56,640 --> 00:27:58,800 Speaker 1: assuming Dalvin Cook is playing you, he'll be the team's 521 00:27:58,840 --> 00:28:00,840 Speaker 1: most important offensive weapon, and even more than anybody in 522 00:28:00,880 --> 00:28:02,760 Speaker 1: the passing game, He'll get plenty of work. As I 523 00:28:02,840 --> 00:28:06,200 Speaker 1: mentioned earlier. But here's your danger point, and this is 524 00:28:06,240 --> 00:28:08,760 Speaker 1: why I've slid Dalvin Cook over the course of my 525 00:28:09,000 --> 00:28:12,879 Speaker 1: preseason here down my rankings. The more and more I 526 00:28:12,960 --> 00:28:15,800 Speaker 1: think about it, you know, between all the injuries he's 527 00:28:15,800 --> 00:28:18,720 Speaker 1: ever had and the fact that last year he got 528 00:28:18,800 --> 00:28:21,160 Speaker 1: to a point in December where he was just worn 529 00:28:21,280 --> 00:28:24,560 Speaker 1: down from use, I really think that they're gonna ratchet 530 00:28:24,720 --> 00:28:28,920 Speaker 1: back the workload on him by ten to try to 531 00:28:29,040 --> 00:28:31,119 Speaker 1: keep Dalvin Cook fresher at the end of the season. 532 00:28:31,760 --> 00:28:34,080 Speaker 1: And that part worries me, and I think Kubias can 533 00:28:34,160 --> 00:28:36,960 Speaker 1: integrate Alexander Madison more often. If you put in a 534 00:28:37,119 --> 00:28:41,160 Speaker 1: team running back league, Yes in Minnesota that it's a 535 00:28:41,280 --> 00:28:43,440 Speaker 1: very good one. There. Passing game is in flux with 536 00:28:43,560 --> 00:28:46,880 Speaker 1: Justin Jefferson taking over Stefon Digs spot. But the two 537 00:28:46,960 --> 00:28:49,960 Speaker 1: players are very different players, and Justin Jefferson isn't gonna 538 00:28:50,000 --> 00:28:52,920 Speaker 1: just become stuff on Digs. Jefferson is primarily gonna run 539 00:28:52,920 --> 00:28:55,640 Speaker 1: from the slot of his college place came from the slot. 540 00:28:56,120 --> 00:28:58,920 Speaker 1: But I believe Jefferson gets immediate time in this offense 541 00:28:58,960 --> 00:29:02,920 Speaker 1: because they don't have anybody else After Adam Feeling, Delan 542 00:29:02,960 --> 00:29:04,920 Speaker 1: becomes the go to receiver for the first time in 543 00:29:05,080 --> 00:29:07,480 Speaker 1: his life. Really is an extent and other than when 544 00:29:07,480 --> 00:29:09,400 Speaker 1: Diggs had missed odd odd ball games here and there 545 00:29:09,920 --> 00:29:14,320 Speaker 1: in the past, Deland's production without Diggs has been uber inconsistent. 546 00:29:14,360 --> 00:29:16,800 Speaker 1: You don't think Thelan was go to and like Pop Warner, 547 00:29:16,920 --> 00:29:18,520 Speaker 1: the first time in his life he's with the number one, 548 00:29:18,800 --> 00:29:22,640 Speaker 1: while first time it's a viking Um. I don't think 549 00:29:22,720 --> 00:29:25,160 Speaker 1: that the loss of Digs ultimately helps deal in here. 550 00:29:25,280 --> 00:29:28,040 Speaker 1: I mean took a lot of heat off of Thelon 551 00:29:28,120 --> 00:29:31,160 Speaker 1: and now Feeland's got gonna get double coverage virtually every play, 552 00:29:31,640 --> 00:29:35,520 Speaker 1: So any Justin Jefferson to basically replaced Diggs, they do. 553 00:29:35,800 --> 00:29:38,000 Speaker 1: And he's good and we're gonna talk about him more 554 00:29:38,000 --> 00:29:40,640 Speaker 1: in a minute. Um Diggs was among the league leaders 555 00:29:40,680 --> 00:29:42,600 Speaker 1: in depth of target, and I think thelan will do 556 00:29:42,760 --> 00:29:45,760 Speaker 1: a little more downfield running than we've seen in the past. Uh. 557 00:29:45,840 --> 00:29:47,840 Speaker 1: Second year tight end Irv Smith gets a bigger role 558 00:29:47,920 --> 00:29:50,520 Speaker 1: this year as well. But that pesky cow Rudolph coming 559 00:29:50,560 --> 00:29:52,959 Speaker 1: off a very good year. So those guys I think 560 00:29:53,040 --> 00:29:56,320 Speaker 1: have middling fantasy value. He's a tight end vulture, which 561 00:29:56,400 --> 00:29:59,640 Speaker 1: one Kyle Rudolph a little bit. So who's the riskiest 562 00:29:59,640 --> 00:30:01,800 Speaker 1: player to out from the Vikings? I think it's Adam Feeling. 563 00:30:01,840 --> 00:30:04,000 Speaker 1: He's going off the board at round three, wide receiver ten. 564 00:30:04,560 --> 00:30:06,600 Speaker 1: He's expensive and hasn't proven that he can be a 565 00:30:06,680 --> 00:30:09,560 Speaker 1: consistent producer without another wide receiver there to help. So 566 00:30:09,640 --> 00:30:12,000 Speaker 1: I think there's some risk there. And who's got the 567 00:30:12,080 --> 00:30:15,479 Speaker 1: most upside. It's Justin Jefferson, the first round rookie going 568 00:30:15,520 --> 00:30:20,000 Speaker 1: off the board in round twelve and wide receiver. Here's 569 00:30:20,080 --> 00:30:22,720 Speaker 1: what he did last year at l s U. Justin 570 00:30:22,800 --> 00:30:28,480 Speaker 1: Jefferson last year in a college season one hundred fifteen receptions, 571 00:30:29,560 --> 00:30:33,880 Speaker 1: one thousand, five hundred yards and eighteen touchdowns. That's absurd, 572 00:30:34,560 --> 00:30:38,400 Speaker 1: absurd levels of production. He attacks the ball. Get this 573 00:30:38,520 --> 00:30:42,200 Speaker 1: on his contested catch rate, So contested catchers, these are 574 00:30:42,560 --> 00:30:44,760 Speaker 1: these are these are plays. This is a ball that's 575 00:30:44,800 --> 00:30:47,280 Speaker 1: thrown where either guy could come down with it, Justin 576 00:30:47,360 --> 00:30:56,200 Speaker 1: Jefferson or the defender. Jefferson a ninety two contested rights nuts. 577 00:30:56,680 --> 00:30:59,239 Speaker 1: That kid's gonna be good. We'll take a break when 578 00:30:59,280 --> 00:31:01,400 Speaker 1: we come back our five two teams. As we examine 579 00:31:01,520 --> 00:31:03,720 Speaker 1: the offenses of the North, the f C North and 580 00:31:03,760 --> 00:31:07,120 Speaker 1: the NFC North. We'll tell you about Chicago and then Detroit, 581 00:31:07,240 --> 00:31:12,960 Speaker 1: not Denver, Chicago, Bultomber sort of north west. It's really 582 00:31:13,080 --> 00:31:16,560 Speaker 1: north like in terms of elevation of the ground. Let's 583 00:31:16,600 --> 00:31:23,040 Speaker 1: go back in moments. Welcome back to Fantasy Football Weekly. 584 00:31:23,040 --> 00:31:25,120 Speaker 1: Paul Charchy and Brian Johnson and Matt Harrison with you. 585 00:31:25,160 --> 00:31:27,280 Speaker 1: If you want to follow us on Twitter, I am 586 00:31:27,320 --> 00:31:30,040 Speaker 1: at Paul Charchy and Brian Johnson is at bt X 587 00:31:30,160 --> 00:31:33,840 Speaker 1: J for sale. I don't mention any corporations out there. J. 588 00:31:34,120 --> 00:31:35,440 Speaker 1: Why would you want to give it on? Did you 589 00:31:35,520 --> 00:31:39,840 Speaker 1: know you cannot make four digit Twitter? Handles anymore. Well, 590 00:31:39,920 --> 00:31:42,160 Speaker 1: maybe there aren't any. Maybe they just said, you know, 591 00:31:42,280 --> 00:31:45,600 Speaker 1: they're not available. It says it needs to be longer 592 00:31:45,640 --> 00:31:49,800 Speaker 1: than Yeah, alright, Brian's got a it's got a gold mine, 593 00:31:49,840 --> 00:31:53,120 Speaker 1: a billion dollar industry, right, probably retire on bt X. 594 00:31:53,200 --> 00:31:55,560 Speaker 1: J X is gonna be tough. X makes it a 595 00:31:55,560 --> 00:31:57,960 Speaker 1: little trick here. You need at least two more to 596 00:31:58,080 --> 00:32:03,040 Speaker 1: make something happen. Matt Harrison is explosive output. Pat got it. 597 00:32:04,280 --> 00:32:08,240 Speaker 1: We turn our attention to I'm not going to talk 598 00:32:08,280 --> 00:32:16,200 Speaker 1: about it. Bears led By led probably not bled By. Yeah, 599 00:32:17,120 --> 00:32:20,800 Speaker 1: there will likely be a change of quarterback. Yeah, Nicholes 600 00:32:21,640 --> 00:32:25,760 Speaker 1: the end, Yeah, Nicholes, all right, Chicago. Nick Foles obviously 601 00:32:25,760 --> 00:32:28,240 Speaker 1: added a quarterback. They brought in Jimmy Graham, the corps 602 00:32:28,320 --> 00:32:30,400 Speaker 1: of Jimmy Graham to play tight end. Then they drafted 603 00:32:30,440 --> 00:32:33,360 Speaker 1: Cole Commit tight end. But by the way, I believe 604 00:32:33,520 --> 00:32:36,080 Speaker 1: I'm not exaggerating. I think right this minute they have 605 00:32:36,920 --> 00:32:41,160 Speaker 1: ten tight ends on roster. It's pretty ridiculous. That's too 606 00:32:41,200 --> 00:32:43,360 Speaker 1: many tight ends for me. The tight end lover of 607 00:32:43,440 --> 00:32:46,480 Speaker 1: all commit can't be right? How is it just met? 608 00:32:47,600 --> 00:32:50,720 Speaker 1: Is it right? Well? Again, not talking about oh, Cole, 609 00:32:51,000 --> 00:32:54,360 Speaker 1: I want to talk, so we expect Nicholes to beat out. 610 00:32:56,520 --> 00:33:01,560 Speaker 1: Thank you sorry, And you know, Nick Foles has never 611 00:33:01,640 --> 00:33:03,520 Speaker 1: really lit up the scoreboard. He did it one time 612 00:33:03,560 --> 00:33:06,480 Speaker 1: against the Raiders with the Eagles way back when that 613 00:33:06,600 --> 00:33:08,760 Speaker 1: was a six touchdown. I think it was like seven 614 00:33:08,960 --> 00:33:11,840 Speaker 1: seven touchdown. That was an amazing game. He's never put 615 00:33:11,920 --> 00:33:15,280 Speaker 1: up massive numbers. And the Bears, although their defense faltered 616 00:33:15,400 --> 00:33:18,560 Speaker 1: big time last year, took a step back from this 617 00:33:18,680 --> 00:33:20,920 Speaker 1: team is gonna play defense, and they're gonna want to 618 00:33:21,000 --> 00:33:25,160 Speaker 1: run the ball, and just in limited turno turners, let's 619 00:33:25,200 --> 00:33:28,800 Speaker 1: get to the running game. And David Montgomery. I'm hearing 620 00:33:28,840 --> 00:33:30,920 Speaker 1: a lot of talk out there in the Twitter world 621 00:33:30,920 --> 00:33:35,920 Speaker 1: about like people going to bat for David Montgomery. Yeah. Yeah. 622 00:33:36,080 --> 00:33:38,600 Speaker 1: He looked at all the touches. They didn't draft anyone. 623 00:33:39,000 --> 00:33:41,360 Speaker 1: He finished this RB twenty. I want RB twenty and 624 00:33:41,440 --> 00:33:43,760 Speaker 1: my team I don't want this RB twenty. I like 625 00:33:43,880 --> 00:33:46,920 Speaker 1: here RB twenty. When you play all sixteen games in 626 00:33:46,960 --> 00:33:49,640 Speaker 1: average within fifteen plus touches, if you're finishing in RB twenty, 627 00:33:49,840 --> 00:33:54,840 Speaker 1: you're consistently below average. And he's he hit more than 628 00:33:54,920 --> 00:33:56,440 Speaker 1: half of his games. He was outside of the top 629 00:33:56,600 --> 00:34:00,240 Speaker 1: thirty at his position. The Bears are gonna run, uh 630 00:34:00,440 --> 00:34:03,480 Speaker 1: you know, Montgomery and nine tight ends on the field 631 00:34:03,520 --> 00:34:05,920 Speaker 1: at any given time, so so that might help with 632 00:34:06,000 --> 00:34:09,560 Speaker 1: the blocking whatever. Take that. He's RV twenty, he's played 633 00:34:09,640 --> 00:34:12,080 Speaker 1: every game. He's gonna see two plus touches. Throw it 634 00:34:12,120 --> 00:34:14,360 Speaker 1: out the window. Do not touch David Montgomery. He's not 635 00:34:14,480 --> 00:34:17,120 Speaker 1: a good football player, all right. He's not a good runner, now, 636 00:34:17,400 --> 00:34:19,839 Speaker 1: don't can we agree that? And we've seen it many 637 00:34:19,920 --> 00:34:24,600 Speaker 1: times where rookie runners don't flash much that rookie year, 638 00:34:24,719 --> 00:34:27,080 Speaker 1: but year two they look like a different guy. Don't 639 00:34:27,080 --> 00:34:29,759 Speaker 1: you think there's an opportunity for David Montgomery to be 640 00:34:30,000 --> 00:34:32,360 Speaker 1: a better fit in this offense, to be a better athlete, 641 00:34:32,360 --> 00:34:34,120 Speaker 1: you know whatever. The things that need to come together 642 00:34:34,480 --> 00:34:37,239 Speaker 1: for him to be better. Better off offensive line could 643 00:34:37,320 --> 00:34:40,040 Speaker 1: and should be better as well. I feel like you 644 00:34:40,920 --> 00:34:44,480 Speaker 1: rookies that disappoint their rookie year tend to fall off 645 00:34:44,520 --> 00:34:46,640 Speaker 1: the map entirely in the second third year, more so 646 00:34:46,800 --> 00:34:50,160 Speaker 1: than than pop Off and Montgomery, all the underlying stats, 647 00:34:50,280 --> 00:34:53,839 Speaker 1: all the overlying stats are awful. He can't catch the ball. 648 00:34:54,200 --> 00:34:56,120 Speaker 1: He's probably the worst receiving running back in the NFL. 649 00:34:56,200 --> 00:34:58,440 Speaker 1: Three cones there, of course, but check out these uh 650 00:34:58,719 --> 00:35:02,759 Speaker 1: stats for Cohen. I'm sorry, Montgomery catches a hundred and 651 00:35:02,760 --> 00:35:06,040 Speaker 1: eighty five yards in one touchdown. That's pretty bad numbers 652 00:35:06,160 --> 00:35:09,120 Speaker 1: on thirty five targets. So if you use pro football 653 00:35:09,160 --> 00:35:12,279 Speaker 1: focuses yards per route run, which takes into account the 654 00:35:12,400 --> 00:35:15,920 Speaker 1: number of snaps at a player runs a you know, 655 00:35:16,000 --> 00:35:19,160 Speaker 1: a pass pattern, um, this provides a better indicator of 656 00:35:19,239 --> 00:35:21,840 Speaker 1: production than yards per reception or even yards per target. 657 00:35:22,920 --> 00:35:26,799 Speaker 1: Montgomery averaged zero point seven seven yards per route run. 658 00:35:27,160 --> 00:35:33,400 Speaker 1: That seems really bad. I could make it for points 659 00:35:33,440 --> 00:35:36,160 Speaker 1: seven yards. Here are some numbers from running backs with 660 00:35:36,280 --> 00:35:40,280 Speaker 1: similar final receiving numbers like the five the pitiful numbers. 661 00:35:40,800 --> 00:35:43,759 Speaker 1: Remember zero point seven seven yards per route run for 662 00:35:43,840 --> 00:35:49,160 Speaker 1: David Montgomery. Ronald Jones one point eight two, Rex Burkhead 663 00:35:49,280 --> 00:35:53,480 Speaker 1: one point eight to Shady Corpsey McCoy one point to five, 664 00:35:53,800 --> 00:35:57,479 Speaker 1: Patrick Laird one point to nine, Boston Scott two point 665 00:35:57,520 --> 00:36:00,600 Speaker 1: three four, Mark Ingram one point five, DeAndre Washington two 666 00:36:00,680 --> 00:36:03,879 Speaker 1: point three. Mont comedies doesn't get done, and I don't 667 00:36:03,920 --> 00:36:07,480 Speaker 1: want to have this reliable suck face in my lineup, 668 00:36:07,520 --> 00:36:09,080 Speaker 1: so I'm not draft of him. I don't care if 669 00:36:09,120 --> 00:36:13,640 Speaker 1: it's r I'll give one silver lining for David Montgomery. 670 00:36:13,840 --> 00:36:16,279 Speaker 1: He he he had a bad yards per touch on 671 00:36:16,360 --> 00:36:20,279 Speaker 1: the ground last year, only three point six yards per carry, 672 00:36:20,520 --> 00:36:23,760 Speaker 1: But in his last five games he had four games 673 00:36:23,840 --> 00:36:26,920 Speaker 1: where he was above four point three, So it seemed 674 00:36:26,960 --> 00:36:29,040 Speaker 1: like he started to figure it out a little bit. 675 00:36:29,120 --> 00:36:31,160 Speaker 1: At the tail end of the year. They started feeding 676 00:36:31,239 --> 00:36:33,000 Speaker 1: him the ball a little bit more. He didn't have 677 00:36:33,040 --> 00:36:36,680 Speaker 1: the touchdowns in those last five games, but there was 678 00:36:36,840 --> 00:36:38,920 Speaker 1: there was some signs of life there that he might 679 00:36:39,000 --> 00:36:44,319 Speaker 1: not be completely terrible. I'm out entirely guys going later 680 00:36:44,440 --> 00:36:47,280 Speaker 1: in redraft, Guys like Todd Gurley, Jonathan Taylor, he Mooster, 681 00:36:47,400 --> 00:36:51,040 Speaker 1: DeAndre Swift, Cream Hunt. There's opportunity every day. I'm taking 682 00:36:51,080 --> 00:36:53,520 Speaker 1: those guys over. Yeah, the problem is that that is 683 00:36:53,600 --> 00:36:55,520 Speaker 1: the problem, and he gets the opportunities that it's a 684 00:36:55,560 --> 00:36:58,120 Speaker 1: big problem. Who's got the most upside then from the Bears, 685 00:36:58,360 --> 00:37:02,799 Speaker 1: My boy Alan Robinson. He's really good, by the way, 686 00:37:03,080 --> 00:37:07,239 Speaker 1: Younger than Michael Thomas, still twenty six years old. Allen 687 00:37:07,360 --> 00:37:10,360 Speaker 1: Robinson right now going off the boards, going off the 688 00:37:10,400 --> 00:37:13,879 Speaker 1: board as wide receiver sixteen thirty ninth overall. Finished last 689 00:37:13,920 --> 00:37:20,400 Speaker 1: year at wide receiver ten with at quarterback. It seems 690 00:37:20,400 --> 00:37:22,760 Speaker 1: like a happy trombone if you finished his wide receiver 691 00:37:22,960 --> 00:37:27,000 Speaker 1: number ten. I'm so worried for Allen Robinson. Allen Robinson, 692 00:37:27,520 --> 00:37:31,239 Speaker 1: by the way, Uh, he was happy. That's a duck. 693 00:37:33,760 --> 00:37:36,400 Speaker 1: Oh there it is. We need a little map for 694 00:37:36,480 --> 00:37:41,680 Speaker 1: the buttonsself. Allen Robinson again finished top ten wide receiver UM. 695 00:37:42,040 --> 00:37:45,439 Speaker 1: His success rate versus man coverage was the highest among 696 00:37:45,560 --> 00:37:48,399 Speaker 1: all wide receivers to the NFL last year. That's from 697 00:37:48,520 --> 00:37:52,799 Speaker 1: Matt Harmon and reception perception. Uh, it's just the quarterbacking 698 00:37:52,880 --> 00:37:54,960 Speaker 1: is the concern. But Nick Foles will be an upgrade 699 00:37:55,200 --> 00:37:58,320 Speaker 1: for a rob and uh again top he's getting drafted 700 00:37:58,320 --> 00:38:00,440 Speaker 1: as the sixteenth wide receiver off the board. Finishes the 701 00:38:00,480 --> 00:38:03,759 Speaker 1: top ten wide receiver last year? Why not? Why can't 702 00:38:03,760 --> 00:38:07,200 Speaker 1: you do it again? I just fear his career trajectory 703 00:38:07,480 --> 00:38:09,720 Speaker 1: is gonna He's gonna be a Hall of Fame receiver, 704 00:38:09,840 --> 00:38:12,400 Speaker 1: but he's gonna have quarterbacking like Andre Johnson had his 705 00:38:12,520 --> 00:38:16,319 Speaker 1: entire career, Larry Fitzgerald outside of the two, like Kurt 706 00:38:16,360 --> 00:38:20,080 Speaker 1: Warner of good years. So but Allen Robinson certainly has 707 00:38:20,120 --> 00:38:23,480 Speaker 1: a high upside. Let's go to Detroit, Matt, where you 708 00:38:23,560 --> 00:38:25,600 Speaker 1: know you and I have been a lockstep and almost 709 00:38:25,640 --> 00:38:29,919 Speaker 1: everything so far this show DeAndre Swift. Everybody. So many 710 00:38:29,960 --> 00:38:33,000 Speaker 1: people are down on DeAndre Swift because how how the 711 00:38:33,080 --> 00:38:36,799 Speaker 1: lines have used their backs in the past. I think 712 00:38:36,880 --> 00:38:40,720 Speaker 1: DeAndre Swift is a special running back who will dominate 713 00:38:40,800 --> 00:38:42,800 Speaker 1: the carries on this team. And let's find out. We 714 00:38:42,840 --> 00:38:46,240 Speaker 1: gotta keep this quiet because it's because carry On Johnson 715 00:38:46,320 --> 00:38:48,839 Speaker 1: is just not very good. I was optimistic for him 716 00:38:48,880 --> 00:38:53,800 Speaker 1: last year than David Montgomery. UM better than David mcgomery. 717 00:38:53,880 --> 00:38:57,640 Speaker 1: Maybe they're six super viable players on Detroit's depth chart 718 00:38:57,719 --> 00:39:00,560 Speaker 1: for the offense. Uh. Detroit was one of eight teams 719 00:39:00,680 --> 00:39:03,360 Speaker 1: last year that allowed more than four hundred points on 720 00:39:03,520 --> 00:39:06,520 Speaker 1: defense last year, which meant that their offense was pretty 721 00:39:06,600 --> 00:39:10,040 Speaker 1: much always in catchup mode and outside of drafting Jeff 722 00:39:10,080 --> 00:39:13,279 Speaker 1: Okuda and adding Desmond Truffont at corner, but they did 723 00:39:13,360 --> 00:39:16,800 Speaker 1: lose Darius Slay, they pretty much stood pat with a 724 00:39:16,920 --> 00:39:20,359 Speaker 1: really bad defense. So, uh, there's a lot of good 725 00:39:20,440 --> 00:39:24,040 Speaker 1: things that could happen with Detroit's offense. Number eleven offensive 726 00:39:24,080 --> 00:39:27,880 Speaker 1: line according to Pro Football Focus to top ten offensive 727 00:39:27,920 --> 00:39:31,360 Speaker 1: lineman at their positions with Frank rag Now and Taylor Decker. 728 00:39:31,719 --> 00:39:33,400 Speaker 1: So there's a lot of reasons to be bullish on 729 00:39:33,480 --> 00:39:36,600 Speaker 1: the offense this year. Uh, Kenny Golladay is going off 730 00:39:36,640 --> 00:39:40,000 Speaker 1: the board in the second round. He's a great wide receiver. Um, 731 00:39:40,400 --> 00:39:43,279 Speaker 1: here's my issue, and we're gonna touch on it as 732 00:39:43,560 --> 00:39:46,080 Speaker 1: my player to avoid. Who's carry On Johnson? Who's going 733 00:39:46,239 --> 00:39:50,640 Speaker 1: off at player number seventy six RB nine. Wow, that's 734 00:39:50,680 --> 00:39:53,000 Speaker 1: so high for him for carry On Johnson. He's he's 735 00:39:53,000 --> 00:39:55,040 Speaker 1: going as the twenty nine running back. Though if you 736 00:39:55,120 --> 00:39:58,600 Speaker 1: think about it, Uh, DeAndre Swift going one round later, 737 00:39:59,320 --> 00:40:04,960 Speaker 1: pick eight three, that's absurd. That's gonna flip flop soon. 738 00:40:05,560 --> 00:40:08,200 Speaker 1: Carry On Johnson has missed forty four percent of his 739 00:40:08,320 --> 00:40:12,200 Speaker 1: career games due to injury. He only had ten receptions 740 00:40:12,239 --> 00:40:16,640 Speaker 1: in eight games last season. In eighteen career games, he's 741 00:40:16,920 --> 00:40:20,359 Speaker 1: barely topped one thousand rushing yards, and his yards per 742 00:40:20,400 --> 00:40:23,840 Speaker 1: attempt where a meager three point six last year. And 743 00:40:24,560 --> 00:40:27,480 Speaker 1: you have to take him above DeAndre Swift, who was 744 00:40:27,680 --> 00:40:30,320 Speaker 1: arguably the best running back in last year's draft class. 745 00:40:31,000 --> 00:40:34,759 Speaker 1: That's all. It doesn't make it do, So why don't 746 00:40:34,800 --> 00:40:38,680 Speaker 1: we take the talent? Because talent will win. Even even 747 00:40:38,760 --> 00:40:41,680 Speaker 1: if you think Detroit's coaching staff is a bunch of duds. 748 00:40:42,719 --> 00:40:45,280 Speaker 1: Talent is gonna eventually went out. They might give carry 749 00:40:45,280 --> 00:40:47,360 Speaker 1: On the job to start there. I don't think he 750 00:40:47,480 --> 00:40:49,680 Speaker 1: keeps it for very long, and I think there's the 751 00:40:49,840 --> 00:40:52,239 Speaker 1: look they could start carry On Johnson week one. Then 752 00:40:52,320 --> 00:40:55,520 Speaker 1: in the third quarter they give DeAndre Swift a handoff 753 00:40:55,600 --> 00:40:57,920 Speaker 1: that he houses for sixty yards and you know, blows 754 00:40:57,960 --> 00:41:00,120 Speaker 1: by people like he did all through college and of that, 755 00:41:00,520 --> 00:41:02,640 Speaker 1: let's see it all of a sudden your plans change. Yeah, 756 00:41:02,760 --> 00:41:05,720 Speaker 1: So DeAndre Swift's definitely a guy that you can target 757 00:41:05,800 --> 00:41:08,200 Speaker 1: and you can get late. But my main target on 758 00:41:08,320 --> 00:41:11,960 Speaker 1: this offense is Matthew Stafford, who last year was on 759 00:41:12,160 --> 00:41:16,120 Speaker 1: pace for his best year since his two thousand eleven season. Uh. 760 00:41:16,280 --> 00:41:19,800 Speaker 1: He was on pace for five thousand passing yards, thirty 761 00:41:19,840 --> 00:41:23,799 Speaker 1: eight touchdowns, and only ten interceptions, and his completion percentages 762 00:41:23,840 --> 00:41:27,960 Speaker 1: remained very steady for the last five years, at right 763 00:41:28,000 --> 00:41:31,480 Speaker 1: around sixty give or take a percentage one way or 764 00:41:31,520 --> 00:41:33,919 Speaker 1: the other. He's got a he's got a good group 765 00:41:34,040 --> 00:41:38,240 Speaker 1: of receivers with Golladay, Marvin Jones, Danny Amendola's no slouches, 766 00:41:38,280 --> 00:41:41,520 Speaker 1: a third wide receiver, t J. Hockenson's a good tight 767 00:41:41,680 --> 00:41:43,960 Speaker 1: end coming into a second year, probably take a step 768 00:41:44,239 --> 00:41:47,080 Speaker 1: assume he's a good tight end. Last year was a lost. 769 00:41:47,400 --> 00:41:50,719 Speaker 1: I mean, let's extrapolate week one for t J. Hockenson, 770 00:41:54,360 --> 00:41:58,080 Speaker 1: shall we? But I like the weapons on this team 771 00:41:58,120 --> 00:42:00,440 Speaker 1: and even carry on Johnson filling in as a backup 772 00:42:00,560 --> 00:42:03,719 Speaker 1: running back. I I think it's a good offense that's 773 00:42:03,760 --> 00:42:05,399 Speaker 1: going to be in catchup mode a lot this year. 774 00:42:05,440 --> 00:42:08,400 Speaker 1: And I like the Lions didn't mention Marvin Jones. Who's 775 00:42:08,520 --> 00:42:11,759 Speaker 1: who is? Did? Did you? Sorry? He's going off as 776 00:42:11,840 --> 00:42:15,440 Speaker 1: wide receiver thirty nine right now, pick three. Overall, it 777 00:42:15,520 --> 00:42:18,440 Speaker 1: seems like there's some value there there. Definitely he's going 778 00:42:18,520 --> 00:42:21,680 Speaker 1: into a contract here as well. There you go, eight 779 00:42:21,760 --> 00:42:24,120 Speaker 1: teams from the a f C North and the NFC 780 00:42:24,320 --> 00:42:27,279 Speaker 1: North broken down fantasy style, what we expect? Who are 781 00:42:27,320 --> 00:42:29,919 Speaker 1: the guys are targeting? Who are we avoiding? I hope 782 00:42:29,920 --> 00:42:33,120 Speaker 1: you found this helpful. Next week, let's do the South. 783 00:42:33,800 --> 00:42:36,400 Speaker 1: You didn't want to mix it up, I am speaking 784 00:42:36,520 --> 00:42:40,000 Speaker 1: to They tried in true east, north, south west. That 785 00:42:40,160 --> 00:42:43,240 Speaker 1: never that you always see these divisions in I shouldn't 786 00:42:43,239 --> 00:42:47,360 Speaker 1: be a slave. It's alphabetical. It is alphabeticals, and maybe 787 00:42:47,440 --> 00:42:50,080 Speaker 1: that's it. Maybe maybe it's not just East. I mean, 788 00:42:50,120 --> 00:42:52,879 Speaker 1: it's not East coast bias. Maybe that's it. It's just alphabetical. 789 00:42:53,480 --> 00:42:55,040 Speaker 1: We'll look forward to that. If you want to hear 790 00:42:55,080 --> 00:42:58,480 Speaker 1: about the a f C and NFC East, go to 791 00:42:58,600 --> 00:43:01,200 Speaker 1: last week's podcast. We broke on those eight teams similarly, 792 00:43:01,480 --> 00:43:04,080 Speaker 1: and I think even better than this week. I mean, 793 00:43:04,160 --> 00:43:07,840 Speaker 1: last week is just brilliant feedback I got. Yeah, that 794 00:43:08,080 --> 00:43:11,719 Speaker 1: was an amazing show. Thanks a lot, no problem. I 795 00:43:11,760 --> 00:43:15,839 Speaker 1: think this is a lukewarm effort. If I'm just being honest, Well, 796 00:43:15,920 --> 00:43:17,920 Speaker 1: we'll do better. We'll do better next week, and we'll 797 00:43:17,920 --> 00:43:21,120 Speaker 1: talk to you then, by bye, everybody. Fantasy Football Weekly 798 00:43:21,280 --> 00:43:23,920 Speaker 1: is a production of I Heart Radio. For more podcasts 799 00:43:23,920 --> 00:43:26,279 Speaker 1: from my heart Radio, visit the i heart Radio app, 800 00:43:26,320 --> 00:43:29,440 Speaker 1: Apple podcast, or wherever you listen to your favorite shows.