1 00:00:02,480 --> 00:00:03,040 Speaker 1: Good morning. 2 00:00:03,080 --> 00:00:05,920 Speaker 2: I'm Nathan Hager and I'm Karen Moscow. Here are the 3 00:00:05,960 --> 00:00:07,440 Speaker 2: stories we're following today. 4 00:00:07,800 --> 00:00:11,280 Speaker 1: The rise in Nasdaq futures comes after yesterday's two percent 5 00:00:11,400 --> 00:00:14,120 Speaker 1: sell off, and it could be another volatile session as 6 00:00:14,120 --> 00:00:16,200 Speaker 1: we close out the week. Let's get the latest with 7 00:00:16,239 --> 00:00:17,280 Speaker 1: Bloomberg's John Tucker. 8 00:00:17,400 --> 00:00:20,280 Speaker 3: John Nathan, as one market launcher puts it, there may 9 00:00:20,320 --> 00:00:24,320 Speaker 3: be fireworks. The Nasdaq one hundred is rebalancing. This is 10 00:00:24,320 --> 00:00:27,240 Speaker 3: a special index rebalance, and we're out of cycle. It's 11 00:00:27,280 --> 00:00:30,520 Speaker 3: intended to reduce the dominance of tech megacaps, so it's 12 00:00:30,560 --> 00:00:33,360 Speaker 3: going to boost the presence of smaller members in the 13 00:00:33,400 --> 00:00:36,960 Speaker 3: index now before it happens on Monday, Investors today, we'll 14 00:00:36,960 --> 00:00:40,600 Speaker 3: bring their portfolios in line with the benchmark. If that's 15 00:00:40,600 --> 00:00:43,239 Speaker 3: not all about two point four trillion dollars of options 16 00:00:43,280 --> 00:00:47,080 Speaker 3: contracts tied to stock and indexes they're scheduled to mature. 17 00:00:47,320 --> 00:00:50,800 Speaker 3: This is a recipe for big trading volume and maybe 18 00:00:50,960 --> 00:00:54,120 Speaker 3: violent price wings you New York. I'm John Tucker, Bloomberg. 19 00:00:54,200 --> 00:00:54,640 Speaker 4: Day Break. 20 00:00:54,800 --> 00:00:57,040 Speaker 2: All right, John, thanks so well. Among the hardest hit 21 00:00:57,120 --> 00:01:01,240 Speaker 2: and yesterday's high tech selloff was Tesla. Mad stock dropped 22 00:01:01,280 --> 00:01:05,040 Speaker 2: almost ten percent and sliced twenty billion dollars off elon 23 00:01:05,160 --> 00:01:08,480 Speaker 2: Musk's fortune. We get this story from Bloomberg's Charlie Pellett. 24 00:01:08,920 --> 00:01:12,080 Speaker 5: The drop in net worth to two hundred thirty four 25 00:01:12,120 --> 00:01:16,119 Speaker 5: point four billion dollars is the seventh largest decline ever 26 00:01:16,319 --> 00:01:20,679 Speaker 5: among those in the Bloomberg Billionaires Index, and further narrows 27 00:01:20,720 --> 00:01:24,399 Speaker 5: the wealth gap between Musk and Bernard Arnau, the world's 28 00:01:24,400 --> 00:01:28,480 Speaker 5: two richest people. Musk's fortune still exceeds that of Urne, 29 00:01:28,920 --> 00:01:32,600 Speaker 5: chairman of luxury goods maker LVMH, by about thirty three 30 00:01:32,680 --> 00:01:36,760 Speaker 5: billion dollars. Musk derives his wealth primarily from his stake 31 00:01:36,880 --> 00:01:40,120 Speaker 5: in the ev manufacturer, as well as his holdings in 32 00:01:40,280 --> 00:01:45,080 Speaker 5: Space Exploration Technologies and Twitter in New York. Charlie Pellett 33 00:01:45,080 --> 00:01:46,080 Speaker 5: Bloomberg Daybreak. 34 00:01:46,200 --> 00:01:49,800 Speaker 1: Okay, Charlie, thank you. Microsoft dropped more than two percent 35 00:01:49,920 --> 00:01:52,280 Speaker 1: in yesterday's sell off, but the stock is up a 36 00:01:52,320 --> 00:01:55,480 Speaker 1: half percent in early trading. There are new developments involving 37 00:01:55,520 --> 00:01:58,800 Speaker 1: its planned sixty nine billion dollar takeover of Activision Blizzard, 38 00:01:58,800 --> 00:02:00,960 Speaker 1: and we get that story from blue Bergs Jeff Bellinger. 39 00:02:01,320 --> 00:02:04,680 Speaker 6: The Federal Trade Commission has paused its inhouse trial against 40 00:02:04,680 --> 00:02:07,440 Speaker 6: the sixty nine billion dollar deal, and that opens the 41 00:02:07,520 --> 00:02:11,800 Speaker 6: door to settlement talks with the administrative case withdrawn, Microsoft 42 00:02:11,840 --> 00:02:16,160 Speaker 6: and Activision can try to persuade FTC Commissioners to accept 43 00:02:16,200 --> 00:02:20,320 Speaker 6: a settlement or even drop their opposition altogether. The commission 44 00:02:20,400 --> 00:02:23,240 Speaker 6: is appealing a federal court ruling that favored the deal, 45 00:02:23,520 --> 00:02:26,520 Speaker 6: but the appeals court declined to block the merger while 46 00:02:26,520 --> 00:02:30,520 Speaker 6: the appeal takes place. Jeff Bellinger, Bloomberg Day Break, All. 47 00:02:30,520 --> 00:02:34,600 Speaker 2: Right, Jeff, thanks. Meanwhile, Microsoft and other leading AI companies 48 00:02:34,639 --> 00:02:37,600 Speaker 2: are set to publicly commit to a pledge to responsibly 49 00:02:37,720 --> 00:02:40,800 Speaker 2: develop and deploy the technology. It's said to happen at 50 00:02:40,800 --> 00:02:42,720 Speaker 2: the White House today, and we get the details from 51 00:02:42,760 --> 00:02:46,079 Speaker 2: Amy Morris in our Bloomberg ninety nine one newsroom in Washington. 52 00:02:46,480 --> 00:02:49,320 Speaker 7: The White House had warned Microsoft, Google and Open Ai 53 00:02:49,440 --> 00:02:52,480 Speaker 7: that they must ensure the technology doesn't lead to harm. 54 00:02:52,760 --> 00:02:55,799 Speaker 7: But these commitments are voluntary. There's really only so much 55 00:02:55,840 --> 00:02:58,560 Speaker 7: the White House can do to steer the most advanced 56 00:02:58,600 --> 00:03:01,880 Speaker 7: models away from potential misuse. The White House says the 57 00:03:01,919 --> 00:03:05,720 Speaker 7: agreement will expire once Congress passes a bill, but lawmakers 58 00:03:05,760 --> 00:03:09,080 Speaker 7: have been holding information sessions for months and might never 59 00:03:09,160 --> 00:03:12,919 Speaker 7: find consensus on binding legislation, and that leaves the companies 60 00:03:12,919 --> 00:03:16,160 Speaker 7: for now to police themselves in Washington. I maymy Moore 61 00:03:16,160 --> 00:03:17,200 Speaker 7: as Bloomberg. 62 00:03:16,800 --> 00:03:19,919 Speaker 1: Daybreak, mckamie, thank you, staying at the White House. President 63 00:03:19,919 --> 00:03:22,959 Speaker 1: Biden's ordering the creation of a working group to tackle 64 00:03:22,960 --> 00:03:27,400 Speaker 1: the repeating debt ceiling congressional standoffs. Bloomberg zed Baxter has 65 00:03:27,440 --> 00:03:27,880 Speaker 1: the story. 66 00:03:28,280 --> 00:03:31,280 Speaker 8: The group will be composed of administration officials and will 67 00:03:31,320 --> 00:03:35,720 Speaker 8: not have any Republican members. The President says the continual 68 00:03:35,760 --> 00:03:39,240 Speaker 8: games of chicken are not healthy for anybody. He says 69 00:03:39,240 --> 00:03:43,520 Speaker 8: their task with finding constitutional based solutions. There is no 70 00:03:43,640 --> 00:03:45,880 Speaker 8: timeframe as of now, and as a matter of fact, 71 00:03:45,960 --> 00:03:48,640 Speaker 8: there isn't even a date set for the first session. 72 00:03:49,120 --> 00:03:51,680 Speaker 8: The President has been pushed by the liberal wing of 73 00:03:51,680 --> 00:03:55,480 Speaker 8: his party to get something like this done. In San Francisco. 74 00:03:55,560 --> 00:03:57,160 Speaker 8: I'm at Baxter Bloomberg. 75 00:03:56,720 --> 00:03:59,360 Speaker 2: Daybreak, All right, and thank you to Biden. Administration is 76 00:03:59,400 --> 00:04:02,080 Speaker 2: moving to raise the cost of drilling on public lands. 77 00:04:02,120 --> 00:04:04,680 Speaker 2: The new fees proposed by the Interior to Perment would 78 00:04:04,720 --> 00:04:08,040 Speaker 2: raise royalty rates for oil and gas companies by about 79 00:04:08,080 --> 00:04:11,520 Speaker 2: one point eight billion dollars from now into twenty thirty one. 80 00:04:11,880 --> 00:04:14,800 Speaker 2: Interior officials till the New York Times. It's part of 81 00:04:14,840 --> 00:04:18,280 Speaker 2: a broader shift to address climate change by expanding renewable 82 00:04:18,400 --> 00:04:21,599 Speaker 2: energy and making it more expensive to drill on public land. 83 00:04:21,800 --> 00:04:24,000 Speaker 1: Turning to the economy, now, Karen, there's a threat to 84 00:04:24,040 --> 00:04:26,600 Speaker 1: the fight against inflation that could be coming at the 85 00:04:26,600 --> 00:04:29,880 Speaker 1: picket line. About three hundred and forty thousand UPS workers 86 00:04:29,880 --> 00:04:32,160 Speaker 1: could walk off the job in the next ten days 87 00:04:32,400 --> 00:04:35,320 Speaker 1: as if their Teamsters union doesn't reach a new labor deal. 88 00:04:35,400 --> 00:04:38,400 Speaker 1: It could mean new supply chain disruptions. UPS ships about 89 00:04:38,480 --> 00:04:41,760 Speaker 1: nineteen million packages a day, and if competitors like FedEx 90 00:04:41,880 --> 00:04:45,400 Speaker 1: raise prices to limit those packages, one analyst tells Bloomberg, 91 00:04:45,400 --> 00:04:47,920 Speaker 1: it could raise inflation by two tenths of one percent. 92 00:04:48,360 --> 00:04:48,520 Speaker 9: Well. 93 00:04:48,560 --> 00:04:52,080 Speaker 2: In corporate news, Nathan Blackstone has become the first private 94 00:04:52,120 --> 00:04:55,839 Speaker 2: equity firm to manage one trillion dollars. It's also the 95 00:04:55,839 --> 00:04:59,599 Speaker 2: world's largest owner of commercial real estate. Blackstone president Jonathan 96 00:04:59,640 --> 00:05:01,880 Speaker 2: Gray sees deal volume picking up. 97 00:05:02,120 --> 00:05:06,880 Speaker 10: The deal market feels like it's unfreezing a bit. If 98 00:05:06,920 --> 00:05:10,480 Speaker 10: you look at our credit area, our direct lending, our 99 00:05:10,560 --> 00:05:14,279 Speaker 10: pipeline is up more than double than where was ninety 100 00:05:14,360 --> 00:05:17,679 Speaker 10: days ago. So I think as people feel better about 101 00:05:18,360 --> 00:05:21,279 Speaker 10: the overall picture a little more certainty. I think we'll 102 00:05:21,320 --> 00:05:24,160 Speaker 10: see deal volume pick up as we move forward. 103 00:05:24,400 --> 00:05:27,400 Speaker 2: Blackstone president Jonathan Gray maybe the comments in an interview 104 00:05:27,440 --> 00:05:30,680 Speaker 2: with Bloomberg shan Ali Basik. Here more of that conversation 105 00:05:31,279 --> 00:05:32,320 Speaker 2: in just a few minutes. 106 00:05:35,880 --> 00:05:37,160 Speaker 1: Time now to take a look at some of the 107 00:05:37,200 --> 00:05:39,359 Speaker 1: other stories making news in New York and around the 108 00:05:39,360 --> 00:05:40,800 Speaker 1: world with Bloomberg's Michael Barr. 109 00:05:40,839 --> 00:05:43,640 Speaker 4: Good morning, Michael, Good morning, Nathan. New York Mayor Eric 110 00:05:43,680 --> 00:05:46,760 Speaker 4: Adams has doubled down, saying the city has reached its 111 00:05:46,839 --> 00:05:51,320 Speaker 4: breaking point caring for migrants. Buses of asylum seekers have 112 00:05:51,360 --> 00:05:53,880 Speaker 4: been showing up across the city for almost a year now, 113 00:05:53,920 --> 00:05:57,599 Speaker 4: but now they're being turned away. This man says after 114 00:05:57,680 --> 00:06:00,520 Speaker 4: a four month journey from Venezuela to New York York City, 115 00:06:00,800 --> 00:06:03,720 Speaker 4: the sheltered doors were slam closed on them. 116 00:06:03,880 --> 00:06:06,000 Speaker 2: So I'm not going to be Lookaman and Palominama. 117 00:06:06,000 --> 00:06:08,920 Speaker 1: They're telling us to go find somewhere to go. Where 118 00:06:08,920 --> 00:06:10,720 Speaker 1: are we going to go with no money? 119 00:06:10,960 --> 00:06:14,640 Speaker 4: He says, part of the latest group of asylum seekers 120 00:06:14,760 --> 00:06:19,200 Speaker 4: arriving to the Roosevelt Hotel, A city designated a rival 121 00:06:19,240 --> 00:06:23,440 Speaker 4: center for asylum seekers, has been shut for the doors 122 00:06:23,520 --> 00:06:27,440 Speaker 4: of new asylum seekers. If Donald Trump returns to the 123 00:06:27,440 --> 00:06:30,599 Speaker 4: White House in twenty twenty five, the former president says 124 00:06:30,680 --> 00:06:35,279 Speaker 4: he'll bar babies born in the US from automatically claiming citizenship, 125 00:06:35,520 --> 00:06:40,359 Speaker 4: ban transgender people from the military, hold elections for school principles, 126 00:06:40,360 --> 00:06:44,440 Speaker 4: and swiftly in the war in Ukraine. Trump campaigning the challenge, 127 00:06:44,480 --> 00:06:48,320 Speaker 4: President Biden also says his plans include ordering the Justice 128 00:06:48,360 --> 00:06:53,880 Speaker 4: Department to criminally investigate Biden. Republican Senator Chuck Grassley reliefed 129 00:06:53,880 --> 00:06:58,160 Speaker 4: an FBI document the GOP says his evidence of bribes 130 00:06:58,200 --> 00:07:01,800 Speaker 4: pade by Ukrainian businessmen to President Joe Biden and his 131 00:07:01,880 --> 00:07:05,159 Speaker 4: son Hunter. Grassley claims the document is at the heart 132 00:07:05,200 --> 00:07:08,039 Speaker 4: of allegations that the Bidens took action to aid the 133 00:07:08,160 --> 00:07:12,360 Speaker 4: energy company Barisma Holdings, on whose board Hunter Biden served. 134 00:07:12,800 --> 00:07:16,560 Speaker 4: The White House reiterated their criticism of Alabama Republican Senator 135 00:07:16,640 --> 00:07:21,400 Speaker 4: Tobby Tulverville holding up military promotions. More than two hundred 136 00:07:21,400 --> 00:07:24,680 Speaker 4: and fifty nominations are currently being blocked by Tuberville, who 137 00:07:24,720 --> 00:07:29,000 Speaker 4: says he's protesting the Pentagon policy that covers service members' 138 00:07:29,000 --> 00:07:32,559 Speaker 4: travel costs if they are seeking abortions in states where 139 00:07:32,600 --> 00:07:37,400 Speaker 4: it is currently restricted. White House Deputy Press Secretary Olivia. 140 00:07:37,080 --> 00:07:41,280 Speaker 9: Dalton, You've seen the consequences already to our military without 141 00:07:41,280 --> 00:07:43,480 Speaker 9: a marine commandant for the first time in one hundred years. 142 00:07:44,200 --> 00:07:48,360 Speaker 9: The ripple effects one hundreds of military families across the 143 00:07:48,400 --> 00:07:49,160 Speaker 9: system already. 144 00:07:49,560 --> 00:07:52,320 Speaker 4: In her campaign for the White House, former United Nations 145 00:07:52,320 --> 00:07:55,600 Speaker 4: Ambassador and governor Nikki Hanley rallied voters in her home 146 00:07:55,600 --> 00:07:58,320 Speaker 4: state of South Carolina, adding her voice to the red 147 00:07:58,360 --> 00:08:00,800 Speaker 4: hot debate over military spending policies. 148 00:08:01,160 --> 00:08:03,680 Speaker 2: We will build a strong military. 149 00:08:03,800 --> 00:08:05,640 Speaker 1: We will modernize our military. 150 00:08:05,880 --> 00:08:07,720 Speaker 4: It won't just be land, air, and sea. 151 00:08:07,760 --> 00:08:12,160 Speaker 2: It'll be land, air, sea, cyber, artificial intelligence, in space. 152 00:08:12,240 --> 00:08:15,240 Speaker 4: Haley spoke in Greenville. Global needs twenty four hours a 153 00:08:15,280 --> 00:08:17,520 Speaker 4: day powered by more than twenty seven hundred journalist and 154 00:08:17,520 --> 00:08:20,200 Speaker 4: analyst over one hundred and twenty countries. Michael Barr, this 155 00:08:20,360 --> 00:08:21,440 Speaker 4: is Bloomberg. 156 00:08:21,040 --> 00:08:28,520 Speaker 1: Ninh Thanks Michael. Time now for the Bloomberg Sports Update 157 00:08:28,560 --> 00:08:29,520 Speaker 1: with John stash Hour. 158 00:08:29,560 --> 00:08:31,840 Speaker 11: Thanks Nathan. Obviously, there's a brutal road trip for the 159 00:08:31,920 --> 00:08:33,959 Speaker 11: Yankees coming back from the All Star break, going one 160 00:08:34,000 --> 00:08:36,079 Speaker 11: and five. The good news they're back home and playing 161 00:08:36,200 --> 00:08:39,760 Speaker 11: Kansas City. Who's twenty eight and seventy and the Yanks. 162 00:08:39,760 --> 00:08:42,200 Speaker 11: This weekend will be rooting for the Mets, who play 163 00:08:42,240 --> 00:08:44,040 Speaker 11: in Boston. Yanks can't think about trying to win a 164 00:08:44,080 --> 00:08:45,880 Speaker 11: wildcard spot until they at least get back ahead of 165 00:08:45,920 --> 00:08:47,880 Speaker 11: the Red Sox. They are a game behind first place 166 00:08:48,320 --> 00:08:50,840 Speaker 11: in the Al East, now belonging to the Orioles. They 167 00:08:50,880 --> 00:08:52,840 Speaker 11: won four to three, starting a four game series at 168 00:08:52,920 --> 00:08:56,440 Speaker 11: slumping Tampa Bay. The Rays began the season thirteen and 169 00:08:56,520 --> 00:08:58,520 Speaker 11: oh they were twenty and three, but they're three and 170 00:08:58,600 --> 00:09:02,000 Speaker 11: twelve in July and now in can place behind Baltimore 171 00:09:02,040 --> 00:09:04,400 Speaker 11: the Mets. Before heading to Boston, Loston City field of 172 00:09:04,400 --> 00:09:07,160 Speaker 11: the White Sox six to two. Jose Kintana made his 173 00:09:07,240 --> 00:09:10,160 Speaker 11: Mets debut, took the loss of Pee Alonzo error led 174 00:09:10,160 --> 00:09:12,280 Speaker 11: to a four to one six toning for Chicago. They 175 00:09:12,280 --> 00:09:14,319 Speaker 11: started the second round of the Open Championship at Royal 176 00:09:14,360 --> 00:09:17,640 Speaker 11: Liverpool with an unlikely three way lead the brick. Tommy 177 00:09:17,640 --> 00:09:20,360 Speaker 11: Fleetwood has been a top five finisher in six majors, 178 00:09:20,400 --> 00:09:23,560 Speaker 11: He's never won one, joined by Emiliano Grillo of Argentina 179 00:09:23,920 --> 00:09:27,320 Speaker 11: and a six foot eight inch amateur, Crystal Lambreck. Already 180 00:09:27,360 --> 00:09:30,960 Speaker 11: today the American Brian Harmon birdying three of the first 181 00:09:30,960 --> 00:09:33,760 Speaker 11: four holes, and he now has the lead. Opening day 182 00:09:33,800 --> 00:09:36,520 Speaker 11: of Jets training camp, they start with high hoax due 183 00:09:36,600 --> 00:09:37,319 Speaker 11: to the new QB. 184 00:09:37,760 --> 00:09:39,600 Speaker 12: Aaron Rodgers, if you want to be a part of 185 00:09:39,640 --> 00:09:43,000 Speaker 12: a place that has high expectations and there's a lot 186 00:09:43,000 --> 00:09:45,520 Speaker 12: of positivity around here, which I think is a good thing. 187 00:09:46,640 --> 00:09:49,000 Speaker 12: But you know, we had a temper expectations early on 188 00:09:49,080 --> 00:09:52,760 Speaker 12: in camp and focus on the little things to get there. 189 00:09:52,920 --> 00:09:54,679 Speaker 12: It's a long season's and journey. There's going to be 190 00:09:54,760 --> 00:09:56,280 Speaker 12: ups and downs. There's going to be peaks and valley. 191 00:09:56,400 --> 00:09:59,800 Speaker 11: Citing his experience and intellect, Jets coat Rob Salaz said 192 00:09:59,840 --> 00:10:03,240 Speaker 11: yes that having Rogers is like having another assistant coach. 193 00:10:03,520 --> 00:10:05,360 Speaker 11: John stash Award Bloomberg Sports. 194 00:10:07,400 --> 00:10:10,400 Speaker 13: From coast to coast, from New York to San Francisco, 195 00:10:10,720 --> 00:10:15,800 Speaker 13: Boston to Washington, DC, nationwide on SYRIASXAM, the Bloomberg Business 196 00:10:15,800 --> 00:10:21,199 Speaker 13: Appen Bloomberg dot Com. This is Bloomberg Daybreak. Good morning. 197 00:10:21,240 --> 00:10:24,720 Speaker 1: I'm Nathan Hager. Alternative assets are coming of age. That's 198 00:10:24,720 --> 00:10:27,199 Speaker 1: what we're hearing from the President and Chief operating Officer 199 00:10:27,240 --> 00:10:29,840 Speaker 1: of Blackstone Group, Jonathan Gray. He sat down with our 200 00:10:29,920 --> 00:10:32,800 Speaker 1: Chinelle Basset to discuss the firm reaching a trillion dollars 201 00:10:32,800 --> 00:10:35,800 Speaker 1: in assets under management. They also talked about the outlook 202 00:10:35,840 --> 00:10:38,319 Speaker 1: for deal making and the economy. Let's go to part 203 00:10:38,400 --> 00:10:39,160 Speaker 1: of that conversation. 204 00:10:39,640 --> 00:10:44,200 Speaker 10: Blackstone started by Pete Peterson and Steve Schwarzman in nineteen 205 00:10:44,240 --> 00:10:47,800 Speaker 10: eighty five with four hundred thousand dollars and a dream, 206 00:10:48,200 --> 00:10:52,720 Speaker 10: and today crossing a trillion dollars. That's a pretty remarkable achievement. 207 00:10:53,320 --> 00:10:56,360 Speaker 10: It's a real credit to our people. It's a credit 208 00:10:56,400 --> 00:11:00,160 Speaker 10: to the performance we've delivered to customers. Nothing matters more 209 00:11:00,200 --> 00:11:04,600 Speaker 10: than that. And it's also reflects the real spirit of 210 00:11:04,640 --> 00:11:08,480 Speaker 10: innovation of this firm. We're constantly looking for new ways 211 00:11:08,520 --> 00:11:12,760 Speaker 10: to serve our customers. What excites us is that investors 212 00:11:12,960 --> 00:11:17,640 Speaker 10: are increasingly seeing alternatives as a core portion of their portfolio. 213 00:11:17,840 --> 00:11:21,280 Speaker 10: Alternatives are really coming of age, and as results, we're 214 00:11:21,320 --> 00:11:26,520 Speaker 10: seeing insurance companies, individual investors, pension funds who've been added 215 00:11:26,559 --> 00:11:30,320 Speaker 10: for some time increase their allocations and that gives our 216 00:11:30,360 --> 00:11:33,000 Speaker 10: business a lot of runway as we look forward. 217 00:11:33,160 --> 00:11:36,080 Speaker 14: Are the financing markets becoming open enough for you to 218 00:11:36,240 --> 00:11:39,840 Speaker 14: do something big? At what time when we see Blackstone 219 00:11:39,920 --> 00:11:44,640 Speaker 14: doing multi billion dollar deals perhaps deals along with partners 220 00:11:44,679 --> 00:11:45,920 Speaker 14: again at that scale. 221 00:11:46,240 --> 00:11:49,760 Speaker 10: Well, we've done a few large deals this year. We 222 00:11:50,360 --> 00:11:53,719 Speaker 10: announced at the end of last year Emerson's climate technology 223 00:11:53,760 --> 00:11:58,480 Speaker 10: business for fourteen billion dollars. We privatize Seevent and online 224 00:11:58,520 --> 00:12:03,600 Speaker 10: event management business, a multi billion dollar transaction. We're looking 225 00:12:03,600 --> 00:12:07,439 Speaker 10: at a number of things of scale. Obviously, the financing 226 00:12:07,520 --> 00:12:10,320 Speaker 10: markets make it a little bit trickier, and you've got 227 00:12:10,320 --> 00:12:13,760 Speaker 10: to be creative and trying to pull transactions together. So 228 00:12:13,880 --> 00:12:17,440 Speaker 10: this takes some time. But the good news is we've 229 00:12:17,440 --> 00:12:20,520 Speaker 10: got two hundred billion dollars of dry powder, and that 230 00:12:20,600 --> 00:12:24,560 Speaker 10: dry powder allows us to move when opportunities arise. I 231 00:12:24,600 --> 00:12:27,720 Speaker 10: think we'll see more of those opportunities over the next year. 232 00:12:28,520 --> 00:12:30,800 Speaker 10: It's hard to put our finger on it exactly when 233 00:12:30,800 --> 00:12:33,840 Speaker 10: it will happen, but I just feel across our platform 234 00:12:33,880 --> 00:12:36,880 Speaker 10: there'll be some interesting things and scale is a real 235 00:12:36,960 --> 00:12:37,920 Speaker 10: advantage for us. 236 00:12:38,120 --> 00:12:40,280 Speaker 14: Let's talk about the macro environment for a second, John, 237 00:12:40,600 --> 00:12:43,920 Speaker 14: Is some of that uncertainty clearing, particularly as it comes 238 00:12:43,920 --> 00:12:44,520 Speaker 14: to inflation. 239 00:12:45,040 --> 00:12:45,240 Speaker 13: Yeah. 240 00:12:45,280 --> 00:12:48,360 Speaker 10: I think the good news on inflation is it's trending down. 241 00:12:48,520 --> 00:12:51,320 Speaker 10: The FED is really winning this war. They're not ready 242 00:12:51,360 --> 00:12:54,880 Speaker 10: to clear victory. But what we see in our portfolio companies. 243 00:12:54,960 --> 00:12:58,440 Speaker 10: Is input costs really coming down now to less than 244 00:12:58,480 --> 00:13:02,240 Speaker 10: two percent. We see wages which were running higher than 245 00:13:02,280 --> 00:13:05,640 Speaker 10: seven percent mid last year to growing it less than 246 00:13:05,679 --> 00:13:11,400 Speaker 10: five percent. Forward indicators and hiring and vacancies are also positive. 247 00:13:11,720 --> 00:13:14,440 Speaker 10: So the labor market is starting to soften. It's still 248 00:13:14,480 --> 00:13:17,280 Speaker 10: pretty strong, but I think that's going to be helpful 249 00:13:17,320 --> 00:13:20,400 Speaker 10: as the FED looks forward. Now, what do I think happens. 250 00:13:20,760 --> 00:13:23,320 Speaker 10: I think they're going to raise rates. It sounds like 251 00:13:23,400 --> 00:13:25,600 Speaker 10: one more time, and then they're going to hold them 252 00:13:25,600 --> 00:13:28,280 Speaker 10: here for a longer period of time to try to 253 00:13:28,360 --> 00:13:31,320 Speaker 10: slow the economy, and we expect they'll be successful in 254 00:13:31,440 --> 00:13:34,640 Speaker 10: doing that. We don't think this is eight oh nine 255 00:13:34,640 --> 00:13:36,800 Speaker 10: in terms of a slowdown, but you do have to 256 00:13:36,880 --> 00:13:42,320 Speaker 10: anticipate some slowing of economic activity, some increase in unemployment. 257 00:13:42,880 --> 00:13:46,280 Speaker 10: But we have at this point gone through an inflation shock, 258 00:13:46,679 --> 00:13:49,400 Speaker 10: We've gone through an interest rate shock, and now we've 259 00:13:49,400 --> 00:13:52,280 Speaker 10: got a bit of an economic slowdown. But we're getting 260 00:13:52,320 --> 00:13:54,160 Speaker 10: through this, and I think that's one of the reasons 261 00:13:54,240 --> 00:13:56,520 Speaker 10: why we see some enthusiasm in the market. 262 00:13:56,800 --> 00:13:58,480 Speaker 14: There are still a lot of concerns, and you see 263 00:13:58,480 --> 00:14:00,880 Speaker 14: it in the write downs Already for certain companies. When 264 00:14:00,920 --> 00:14:04,199 Speaker 14: it comes to commercial real estate, I know that your portfolio, 265 00:14:04,320 --> 00:14:07,400 Speaker 14: you've leaned out of office for a while. Now, how 266 00:14:07,440 --> 00:14:09,800 Speaker 14: do you feel about the direction of travel for the 267 00:14:09,880 --> 00:14:13,520 Speaker 14: property industry moving forward? What are the pitfall falls that 268 00:14:13,640 --> 00:14:15,520 Speaker 14: some investors might be falling into here? 269 00:14:15,920 --> 00:14:18,839 Speaker 10: Well, I think there are continue to be big challenges 270 00:14:18,920 --> 00:14:23,720 Speaker 10: in traditional office buildings in the US, particularly older buildings. 271 00:14:23,840 --> 00:14:27,800 Speaker 10: Vacancy levels are very high, rents are under pressure. But 272 00:14:28,040 --> 00:14:31,560 Speaker 10: where you invest matters. So if you are deployed today 273 00:14:32,000 --> 00:14:36,680 Speaker 10: in stronger areas like logistics and student housing data centers, 274 00:14:36,720 --> 00:14:40,240 Speaker 10: which we talked about, the fundamentals there are very strong 275 00:14:40,760 --> 00:14:45,240 Speaker 10: and geographically, obviously some cities are under significant pressure. Let's 276 00:14:45,320 --> 00:14:48,040 Speaker 10: use San Francisco as an example, and yet we see 277 00:14:48,040 --> 00:14:50,480 Speaker 10: a lot of strength in Texas and Florida, And so 278 00:14:51,240 --> 00:14:54,280 Speaker 10: where you invest that is key. I think our team 279 00:14:54,320 --> 00:14:57,240 Speaker 10: in real estate has done a terrific job. And then 280 00:14:57,520 --> 00:15:01,680 Speaker 10: looking forward, the positives are are coming down or at 281 00:15:01,800 --> 00:15:04,560 Speaker 10: least are no longer going up at the short end 282 00:15:04,720 --> 00:15:07,880 Speaker 10: like they were, and the long end seems to have stabilized, 283 00:15:08,000 --> 00:15:11,360 Speaker 10: and that is helpful for commercial real estate values. Also, 284 00:15:11,520 --> 00:15:14,680 Speaker 10: new supplies coming down, which is another positive. When you 285 00:15:14,760 --> 00:15:17,480 Speaker 10: think about commercial real estate. So both of those things 286 00:15:17,520 --> 00:15:22,840 Speaker 10: give us some confidence as we look over the intermediate term. 287 00:15:22,880 --> 00:15:25,960 Speaker 1: This is Bloomberg Daybreak Today, your morning brief on the 288 00:15:26,000 --> 00:15:29,400 Speaker 1: stories making news from Wall Street to Washington and beyond. 289 00:15:29,680 --> 00:15:32,440 Speaker 2: Look for us on your podcast feed at six am 290 00:15:32,520 --> 00:15:36,200 Speaker 2: Eastern each morning, on Apple, Spotify, and anywhere else you 291 00:15:36,240 --> 00:15:37,440 Speaker 2: get your podcasts. 292 00:15:37,560 --> 00:15:40,240 Speaker 1: You can also listen live each morning starting at five 293 00:15:40,320 --> 00:15:42,880 Speaker 1: am Wall Street time on Bloomberg eleven three to zero 294 00:15:42,960 --> 00:15:45,760 Speaker 1: in New York, Bloomberg ninety nine to one in Washington, 295 00:15:45,880 --> 00:15:49,120 Speaker 1: Bloomberg one six to one in Boston, and Bloomberg ninety 296 00:15:49,120 --> 00:15:50,520 Speaker 1: sixty in San Francisco. 297 00:15:50,880 --> 00:15:54,040 Speaker 2: Our flagship New York station is also available on your 298 00:15:54,120 --> 00:15:59,520 Speaker 2: Amazon Alexa devices. 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