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Speaker 1: This is the Labor Podcast with your host JJ Zachera

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Speaker 1: JJ zacher REFA. What's up everyone, It's JJ zacharyesin in

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Speaker 1: this episode ten ninety five of the Late Round Fantasy

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Speaker 1: Football Podcast. Thanks for tuning in. The NFL Draft starts

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Speaker 1: on Thursday, and I, like you, could not be more excited.

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Speaker 1: Over the last few months, I've been deep diving into

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Speaker 1: these prospect profiles. Some of you have read the Prospect Guide,

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Speaker 1: some of you have listened to the episodes of this

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Speaker 1: show that have focused on the draft, and I've done

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Speaker 1: more podcast appearances than I probably should have done. I'm

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Speaker 1: ready to find out where these players are going to

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Speaker 1: start their careers. As a little primer, I like to

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Speaker 1: go over the top of my rankings for single quarterback

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Speaker 1: leagues heading into the draft where I'm at right now

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Speaker 1: with things, because not only have those rankings changed just

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Speaker 1: a little bit since the Prospect Guide launched, I'll be

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Speaker 1: it not by much, but it'll give you a good

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Speaker 1: idea of where I stand pre draft. You can compare

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Speaker 1: that to post draft to show you how I'm sort

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Speaker 1: of thinking about landing spot and how I let landing

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Speaker 1: spot influence things. Next week's episode is going to focus

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Speaker 1: on more immediate reactions to the draft, but the one

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Speaker 1: in a couple of weeks will be the post draft

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Speaker 1: rookie rankings. Of course, though you can get my rankings

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Speaker 1: immediately when the draft is over via the Late Round

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Speaker 1: Prospect Guide. That guide's available right now on lateround dot

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Speaker 1: com and it features one hundred and seventy pages of

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Speaker 1: model talk, player profiles, and more. An updated version will

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Speaker 1: be emailed to your inbox just a couple hours after

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Speaker 1: the draft ends on Saturday, so if you purchase now,

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Speaker 1: you can get that pre draft version, save that down,

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Speaker 1: and then also get the post draft version of that

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Speaker 1: guide on Saturday. That's all found on lateround dot com.

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Speaker 1: Now let's talk about where I have things ranked. Just

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Speaker 1: before this draft starts, I'll be doing today's show by tier,

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Speaker 1: and there's a player, Jeremiah Love who's simply just in

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Speaker 1: a tier of his zone in this class, even in

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Speaker 1: superflex leagues. This is one of those overthink it kind

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Speaker 1: of players. Even if he gets a rough landing spot

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Speaker 1: versus one of the wide receivers getting a good one,

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Speaker 1: Love is looking like he's gonna get top ten draft capital,

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Speaker 1: potentially top five, but even if it's just top half

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Speaker 1: of the first round, he's in good company. Since twenty eleven,

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Speaker 1: which is when the ZAP model dates back to, we've

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Speaker 1: had ten top half of the first round running back

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Speaker 1: selections Trent Richardson, Melvin Gordon, Todd Gurley, Ezekiel Elliott, Christian McCaffrey,

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Speaker 1: Leonard Fournette, Sakuon Barkley, Bejhon Robinson, Jamier Gibbs, and Ashton Genty.

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Speaker 1: The only player who didn't hit seventeen or more PPR

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Speaker 1: points per game in one of his first three seasons

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Speaker 1: on that list has been Genty. He's only played one

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Speaker 1: year in the league. Though. When teams spend up at

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Speaker 1: running back, two things are being told to us. Number one,

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Speaker 1: the player is likely extremely talented. Number Two, the player

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Speaker 1: is likely going to be fed. Teams don't want that

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Speaker 1: pick to look bad, and coaching staffs they can completely

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Speaker 1: dictate the workload that they give to these running backs.

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Speaker 1: But it's not like Love is talentless. His receiving profile

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Speaker 1: within the context of the ZAP model, it's above average

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Speaker 1: to really good his best season in pro rated reception share,

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Speaker 1: it's solid enough in the sixty fifth percentile. His adjusted

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Speaker 1: receiving yards per team pass attempt, it's in the eighty

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Speaker 1: third percentile that's adjusted for strength of opponent in age,

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Speaker 1: and it looks at his best season within that statistic

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Speaker 1: and in his adjusted yards per team play total yards

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Speaker 1: ninety fourth percentile. Meanwhile, according to PFF, you're looking at

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Speaker 1: an eighty eight percent tile avoided tackles per attempt and

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Speaker 1: ninety six percent tile yards after contact per attempt rate.

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Speaker 1: He can truly do it all. With his draft capital

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Speaker 1: boosting him, He'll almost definitely be looked at as a

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Speaker 1: legendary performer. In the Zapp model, He's your one oh one.

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Speaker 1: Things get really interesting after Jeremiah Love in Superflex. You

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Speaker 1: could argue Fernando Mendoza at the one oh two spot,

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Speaker 1: and I'd have him in that tier pre draft. We're

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Speaker 1: talking single quarterback rankings though today, but I at least

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Speaker 1: want to shout that out out right now pre draft,

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Speaker 1: I have this next tier as Jordan Tyson, Carnell Tate,

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Speaker 1: and Mackay Lemon for all very different reasons. Tyson is

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Speaker 1: my wide receiver one, and he'll likely be my wide

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Speaker 1: receiver one post draft. The model objectively likes Tyson more

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Speaker 1: than the other two guys pre draft. That's unlikely to

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Speaker 1: change post draft, and it's because his breakout score, which

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Speaker 1: is agent schedule adjusted receiving yards per team pass attempt,

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Speaker 1: it's a ninety ninth percentile number. He produced right away

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Speaker 1: when he got to Colorado as a freshman, and he

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Speaker 1: had a spectacular third season coming off that knee injury. Unsurprisingly,

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Speaker 1: his best season in adjusted receiving yards per team pass

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Speaker 1: attempt is a ninety fourth percentile number. But some of

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Speaker 1: the advanced numbers that don't directly go into the ZAP model,

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Speaker 1: they look good for Tyson two His career yards per

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Speaker 1: out run according to PFF eighty nine percentile first downs

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Speaker 1: per out run ninety third. His top season in target

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Speaker 1: share is a ninety fifth percentile number. There are a

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Speaker 1: few places, though, where Tyson may not look as good.

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Speaker 1: I do think he's a great prospect analytically, but he

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Speaker 1: was bad at forcing misstackles in college. In his yards

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Speaker 1: after the catch profile was more bottom half than top half.

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Speaker 1: Those numbers do tend to translate. Aside from all the

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Speaker 1: injuries stuff, there's also the fact that he's not an

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Speaker 1: early Declare wide receiver. Early Declare wide receivers, they get

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Speaker 1: signal in the ZAP model because better players leave college

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Speaker 1: early for the NFL. Of course, this has changed a

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Speaker 1: little bit with nil and transfer rules, but we still

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Speaker 1: see the best players leaving early at wide receiver because

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Speaker 1: they know that they can make more money in the

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Speaker 1: NFL than in college. Historically, non early declare first round

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Speaker 1: wide receivers, they've been a whole lot worse than early

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Speaker 1: declare first round wide receivers. With that being said, the

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Speaker 1: only non early declare first round wideouts who have had

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Speaker 1: a similar breakout score as Tyson since twenty eleven have

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Speaker 1: really just been Corey Davis and Chris Olave. In other words,

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Speaker 1: when a player isn't declaring early, he typically doesn't have

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Speaker 1: amazing age adjusted production. It doesn't make that much sense

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Speaker 1: to bucket Jordan Tyson in a group with like Xavier

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Speaker 1: Legett and Ricky Piersoll. They didn't have the same age

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Speaker 1: adjusted production. Not only did Tyson have elite early production,

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Speaker 1: but he in general is just younger. He played four

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Speaker 1: years of college ball, but he's still not twenty two

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Speaker 1: years old. So while he does get dinged a little

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Speaker 1: bit in the model for the lack of early declared status.

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Speaker 1: It's not everything. I do think the fear here is

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Speaker 1: that he is a Corey Davis like profile. But if

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Speaker 1: he does get top ten draft capital, let's not pretend

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Speaker 1: the top ten wide receivers have busted at a super

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Speaker 1: high rate in recent memory. Tyson to me, he's not flawless,

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Speaker 1: but he's really really good. Now. I had Cardinal Taitus

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Speaker 1: my wide receiver two in the pre draft guide, but

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Speaker 1: I think I've switched that to more Mackay Lemon. We'll

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Speaker 1: see what draft capital ends up looking like. I don't

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Speaker 1: think this is a clearcut thing and landing spot. It's

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Speaker 1: gonna matter for a player like Lemon in my opinion,

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Speaker 1: because Lemon, he's then Amen Ross Saint Brown arc type.

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Speaker 1: People will say that he's just a slot but I

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Speaker 1: don't agree with that assessment. He actually led this draft

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Speaker 1: class and career yards per out run on the perimeter

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Speaker 1: like Saint Brown. Though, I expect Lemon to be an

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Speaker 1: inside out player who can just be a complete target

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Speaker 1: hog in the NFL. But as we know, Saint Brown

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Speaker 1: found a landing spot that was perfect for that, perfect

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Speaker 1: for that with a quarterback who's perfect for that. We'll

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Speaker 1: see if Lemon can also find that, but it's not

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Speaker 1: a guarantee. Regardless, it's a fantastic profile. I remember writing

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Speaker 1: it up in the Prospect Guide and I just kept thinking, Man,

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Speaker 1: this just keeps getting better and better. He had an

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Speaker 1: eighty nine percentile breakout score and eighty seven percentile best

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Speaker 1: season adjusted Fantasy points per game number, which is another

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Speaker 1: production metric in the model. He had a ninety six

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Speaker 1: percentile career yards per rout run rate, ninety six percentile

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Speaker 1: first downs per out run rate. I mean, it's a

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Speaker 1: really really strong profile analytically. And then there's Carnel tait

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Speaker 1: I wrote in the Prospect Guide that Tate was a

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Speaker 1: relatively safe bet, and I do believe that to be true.

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Speaker 1: Ohio state wide receiver who's an early declare and he

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Speaker 1: should get strong draft capital. There's nothing wrong with that.

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Speaker 1: I do think Tyson and Lemon just have a little

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Speaker 1: bit more fantasy football upside when you don't account for

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Speaker 1: landing spot. Not to say that Tate can't get there,

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Speaker 1: it's just we haven't seen him be a target hag yet.

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Speaker 1: He max out at just a twenty two percent target

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Speaker 1: share in a single season in college, a bottom half

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Speaker 1: number in the class. Now, you could argue that was

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Speaker 1: due to competition, but other players have elite competition two

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Speaker 1: even from that same Ohio state team, and they're able

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Speaker 1: to get above that number. It's part of the reason

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Speaker 1: that the model just views him as a lesser prospect

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Speaker 1: than the other Ohio state wide receivers who have come

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Speaker 1: out over the last five years or so. But Tate

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Speaker 1: can win at all three levels, and he's got one

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Speaker 1: of the best contested catch rates that you're gonna find.

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Speaker 1: That's not always a good thing, but when you know

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Speaker 1: that there is separation to a player's profile, it's certainly

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Speaker 1: not a bad thing. His eighty seven percentile breakout score

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Speaker 1: that's strong too. So these three wide receivers, I think

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Speaker 1: they're actually all pretty strong. I've seen a lot of

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Speaker 1: talk that those three wide receivers just lack that true

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Speaker 1: wide receiver one ceiling. And maybe that's true from a

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Speaker 1: real football perspective, maybe with like a Lemon or a Tait,

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Speaker 1: maybe Tyson two. But I'm projecting fantasy success and in

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Speaker 1: the right spot, I think each of these players has

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Speaker 1: a chance to be a key piece to your dynasty

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Speaker 1: roster one tier down and all alone. In this tier,

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Speaker 1: I've got Casey Conceptsion. If you guaranteed top half of

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Speaker 1: the first round capital for Conceptsion, I may bump them

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Speaker 1: up a tier, but I don't think that's gonna end

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Speaker 1: up happening. The difference between Conceptsion's production profile versus the

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Speaker 1: other three wideouts in this class is that he never

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Speaker 1: had a truly spiked season. In fact, his best season

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Speaker 1: in adjusted yards per team pass attempt was just in

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Speaker 1: the fifty fifth percentile. Unadjusted, it looks even worse. His

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Speaker 1: career yards per out run is a forty ninth percentile mark.

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Speaker 1: Now we can look at all those single metrics and

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Speaker 1: say to ourselves, wow, first round wide receivers who have

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Speaker 1: average yards per out run profiles, they don't work out

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Speaker 1: at a very high rate. But to me, this is

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Speaker 1: exactly why modeling can help. Instead of just looking at

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Speaker 1: one factor, you're looking at many factors. And because Conceptsion

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Speaker 1: got to NC State and he produced immediately, he has

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Speaker 1: a breakout score in the seventy eighth percentile. It's pretty good.

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Speaker 1: When you're looking at the back half of the first round,

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Speaker 1: we see plenty of players who have had that type

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Speaker 1: of breakout score. Some have hit, some haven't hit, but

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Speaker 1: that's what you get with wide receivers in that range

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Speaker 1: in general. The fact is Conceptsione had other things working

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Speaker 1: in his favor. He's in early declare, so his raw

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Speaker 1: numbers naturally you're at a disadvantage. Had he come back

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Speaker 1: for another year, wouldn't we expect that yards per out

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Speaker 1: run rate to improve. This isn't like Matthew Golden last year,

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Speaker 1: where yes he was an early declare, but his production

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Speaker 1: profile was substantially worse. His breakout score was in the

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Speaker 1: forty first percentile. His career yards per out run was

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Speaker 1: even worse than conceptsiones. But yes, overall, an early declare

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Speaker 1: wide receiver is added disadvantage when it comes to cumulatives

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Speaker 1: to ten compared to non early declares. We can't forget

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Speaker 1: that when we're evaluating Conceptsione. You can't compare his numbers

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Speaker 1: to like Bryce Lance. Lance had one reception through three

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Speaker 1: seasons at a smaller program. Conceptsione is leaving college for

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Speaker 1: the NFL after three seasons. On top of that, there's

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Speaker 1: versatility littered throughout Conceptsion's profile. He started off as a

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Speaker 1: slot at NC State, He moved to more of an

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Speaker 1: outside role with Texas A and M. He had his

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Speaker 1: best season in twenty twenty five with A and M.

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Speaker 1: Like Mackay Lemon, Conceptsion's out wide yards per rout run

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Speaker 1: rate across his career, it's actually better than what he

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Speaker 1: did in the slot. And then there's rushing production to

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Speaker 1: his profile too. He had four hundred and thirty one

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Speaker 1: rushing yards in college and hitting some baseline for rushing production.

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Speaker 1: It doesn't have to be four hundred and thirty one yards,

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Speaker 1: but some baseline gets signal in the ZAP model. It's

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Speaker 1: really a great profile. It's just not as great as

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Speaker 1: the other three wide receivers in this class in my opinion.

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Speaker 1: But I'm a con Sceptson fan. I hope he finds

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Speaker 1: the right spot in this draft. There's another drop after

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Speaker 1: Casey Conceptsion, but I do think Omar Cooper should be

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Speaker 1: the next player on this list. There's at least some

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Speaker 1: chance that Omar Cooper has a pretty similar ZAP score

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Speaker 1: as Casey Conceptsion post draft, largely driven by the difference

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Speaker 1: in draft capital. While you're watching Round one. If the

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Speaker 1: gap between those two players is large from a draft

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Speaker 1: capital perspective, you can assume the two will look close

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Speaker 1: in the ZAP model. If it's not, then the model

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Speaker 1: is going to definitely favor Casey conceptsion. But Cooper's been

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Speaker 1: rising up draft boards ever since the Prospect Guide was published.

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Speaker 1: I get it from the standpoint that he's a player

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Speaker 1: that I can see teams really liking. I don't exactly

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Speaker 1: get it from an age adjusted production perspective kind of.

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Speaker 1: I actually don't think Cooper is a bad player at all,

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Speaker 1: despite very little production across his first two seasons of college,

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Speaker 1: Cooper has a fifty fifth percentile breakout score, and outside

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Speaker 1: the model, his career yards per out run ranks in

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Speaker 1: the seven ninth percentile. He's also unbelievably good in yards

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Speaker 1: after the catch. His avoided tackles per reception mark of

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Speaker 1: point three to one across his career. That's a ninety

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Speaker 1: seven percentile average compared to other players in the ZAP model.

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Speaker 1: That breakout score, though, is usually better for let's say

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Speaker 1: an early second round pick than like a mid to

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Speaker 1: late first round pick. His breakout score is forty one

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Speaker 1: point seven, which, like I said, fifty fifth percentile. Since

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Speaker 1: twenty eleven, Here are the first round wideouts with breakout

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Speaker 1: scores between thirty and fifty. He's basically right in the

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Speaker 1: middle of that. Brashad Perriman, Kevin White, Philip dorstt Josh Dockson,

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Speaker 1: Henry Ruggs, Kadarius Tony, Zay Flowers, Xavier Lagette, Ricky Piersall,

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Speaker 1: Matthew Golden, and Travis Hunter. Now I'm trying to be

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Speaker 1: better at not having these arbitrary thresholds when doing analysis

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Speaker 1: for these players, because Omar Cooper in the early second

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Speaker 1: round shouldn't have a much different outcome than Omar Cooper

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Speaker 1: in round one. I mean, maybe expectations are different, maybe

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Speaker 1: changes the way that he plays or something like that,

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Speaker 1: but if he went thirty fourth, overall, he'd be among

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Speaker 1: more hits with that breakout score. Because Round two wide

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Speaker 1: receivers tend to have worse breakout scores, but some of

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Speaker 1: them have hit Day two guys Michael Thomas, Deebo, Samuel

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Speaker 1: Michael Pittman, Ladd McConkie. Now, some of them, like Ladd mcconkee,

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Speaker 1: had better yards pro out run numbers, but overall there's

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Speaker 1: still more misses than hits. But he can still hit.

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Speaker 1: He can still be Okay, I don't think it's all

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Speaker 1: doom and gloom overall. I just think Concepcion's age of

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Speaker 1: justin production is a lot safer than Omar Cooper's, as

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Speaker 1: well as his age in general. He's an early declare

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Speaker 1: wide receiver while Omar Cooper is not. But I don't

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Speaker 1: think Cooper is like a horrible prospect. Now, look, a

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Speaker 1: lot of this could be said also for Denzel Boston.

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Speaker 1: So let's just talk about Boston here too. Now, I'm

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Speaker 1: not one who thinks that Boston is like the next

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Speaker 1: Mike Evans. I've seen some analysts with Boston as their

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Speaker 1: wide receiver one in this class, and look, maybe that happens.

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Speaker 1: We have to have an open mind sitting here saying

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Speaker 1: that I'm definitely right about these players, because I know

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Speaker 1: I'm going to be wrong about a lot of this stuff.

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Speaker 1: That's how it works with the NFL Draft. We're playing

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Speaker 1: probability here. Boston though, to me, he looks more of

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Speaker 1: like a Jaden Higgins like prospect, very solid but probably

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Speaker 1: not gonna give us like an alpha ceiling. And maybe

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Speaker 1: the higher end comp is more like Cortland Sutton. Boston

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Speaker 1: had a better breakout score than Omar Cooper in the

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Speaker 1: sixty first percentile, but it's barely better. He basically qualifies

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Speaker 1: for all the stuff that I just talked about a

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Speaker 1: second ago with breakout score. His career yards per out run, though,

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Speaker 1: is a little bit troubling. It's two point zh two.

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Speaker 1: Forget draft capital for a second. Boston might go in

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Speaker 1: round one, he might sneak into round two, though I

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Speaker 1: do expect him to go in round one. But even

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Speaker 1: when you take out draft capital completely as part of

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Speaker 1: your consideration, since twenty twenty, we've had just two wide

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Speaker 1: receivers with career yards pro out run rates below two

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Speaker 1: point two reach fourteen or more PPR points per game

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Speaker 1: in a season across their first three years. Aman Ross

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Speaker 1: Saint Brown and Nico Collins. Neither obviously were first round picks,

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Speaker 1: and both of them they were early declare wide receivers.

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Speaker 1: So going back to the discussion earlier, they're at a

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Speaker 1: disadvantage for career numbers like this because they didn't benefit

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Speaker 1: for playing that extra year or two in college. Both

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Speaker 1: players they also had better breakout scores, which isn't a

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Speaker 1: surprise given the early declare status. Now you can explain

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Speaker 1: some of this away from Boston because he played with

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Speaker 1: good competition at Washington across the first couple of years

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Speaker 1: of his career, but there's still not a ton of

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Speaker 1: green with his analytical profile. Overall, He's got a good

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Speaker 1: first downs per route run rate, something that we don't

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Speaker 1: always see with bigger bodied wideouts, and his contested catch

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Speaker 1: profile is great, but it also scares me a little

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Speaker 1: bit about separation, at least with a player like this.

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Speaker 1: So realistically, this is a profile that in recent memory

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Speaker 1: has been more average to below average versus expectation. There's

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Speaker 1: a chance that Boston moves down a tier post draft

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Speaker 1: as a result. Now, technically, I do think having Kenyan

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Speaker 1: Sadik ahead of Boston right now makes sense. I just

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Speaker 1: had a good opportunity for a transition. Talking about Omar

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Speaker 1: Cooper to Denzel Boston Sadiq is a really difficult evaluation.

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Speaker 1: I'll be honest. On one hand, the new tight end

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Speaker 1: zat model really does like him, and sure some of

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Speaker 1: that is draft capital related, but it also thinks that

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Speaker 1: some of the production stuff is overstated. I'm sure you've

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Speaker 1: read some discussion or seen people on Twitter and such

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Speaker 1: talk about Kenyan Sadik not having the best production profile

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Speaker 1: in the world. I'm not quite there, to be honest

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Speaker 1: with you. His breakout score is still in the eighty

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Speaker 1: six percentile within the ZAP model. That's because while his

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Speaker 1: numbers weren't insane, he's still really young. He just turned

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Speaker 1: twenty one years old. His yards PERAU run profile is

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Speaker 1: not elite. He has a one point seven to two

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Speaker 1: career yards PERU run rate according to PFF. That's a

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Speaker 1: seventy fourth percentile number, but that's also on fewer seasons.

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Speaker 1: It's really not fair to compare his yards PERAH run

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Speaker 1: profile across his career to someone like Trey McBride or

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Speaker 1: Sam Laporta. They played more collegiate seasons. I mean, Trey

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Speaker 1: McBride had a worse yards perou run rate after three

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Speaker 1: seasons in college compared to Kenyon Sidik. He just boosted

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Speaker 1: it with that final year. Sam Laporta's was almost identical.

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Speaker 1: A big problem with Sadik is that he doesn't have

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Speaker 1: the cleanest comps in the world. But I've said this before,

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Speaker 1: Finding clean tight end comps is really difficult. They're only

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Speaker 1: like six elite tight ends over the last fifteen years

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Speaker 1: in fantasy football, and some of them weren't even looked

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Speaker 1: at as amazing prospects. So copwise, yes, you're getting the

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Speaker 1: Noah Fense, the Oj Howards of the world, and that's

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Speaker 1: a little bit scary for people. But it's not like

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Speaker 1: prospects are going to consistently be comped to players like

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Speaker 1: Kyle Pitts and Brock Bauers. There are fewer really good

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Speaker 1: tight ends to choose from, and tight ends just don't

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Speaker 1: make the same kind of impact in fantasy football as

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Speaker 1: running backs and wide receivers do. We'll see what happens

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Speaker 1: with Sadik's draft capital, but for now, given the production,

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Speaker 1: given the insane athleticism as a mid first round pick,

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Speaker 1: I'll put them right here in the rankings for the

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Speaker 1: final tier. Today, I'm going to talk about four players.

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Speaker 1: I think Fernando Mendoza kind of belongs here in single

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Speaker 1: quarterback leagues pre draft. More running backs can and should

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Speaker 1: enter the picture post draft, when we know who actually

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Speaker 1: gets good draft capital and what kind of landing spots

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Speaker 1: they have. But Mendoza is at least a capable starter

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Speaker 1: who's gonna find himself with a good offensive mining coach

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Speaker 1: and decent enough weapons in Vegas. But I don't think

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Speaker 1: we're gonna see a crazy rushing ceiling from him to

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Speaker 1: warrant a higher pick than this in single quarterback leagues.

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Speaker 1: I also have Emmett Johnson here, the RB two in

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Speaker 1: this class. In my opinion, the inputs of the ZAP

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Speaker 1: model looks at the three production inputs. They love Johnson

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Speaker 1: ninety fourth percentile pro rated best season reception share, ninety

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Speaker 1: fifth percentile adjusted yards per team play, eighty ninth percentile

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Speaker 1: adjusted receiving yards per team pass attempt. Maybe the lack

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Speaker 1: of athleticism, maybe that ends up mattering, and maybe it

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Speaker 1: turns teams off. It did impact his explosive run rate

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Speaker 1: in college, which was in the nineteenth percentile. But I've

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Speaker 1: said it a million times now, I think an Aaron

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Speaker 1: Jones like career is in Emmett Johnson's range of outcomes.

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Speaker 1: I'll throw Jedarium Price in here right now, too, strictly

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Speaker 1: because a draft capital or projected draft capital. His production

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Speaker 1: profile is obviously lacking after playing with Jeremiah Love in college.

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Speaker 1: That's a huge red flag. There's so much volatility to

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Speaker 1: Jendarium Price's profile. But you could also argue that day

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Speaker 1: two draft capital with that crappy of a profile that

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Speaker 1: also means that he's already starting off as an outlier.

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Speaker 1: My biggest concern with Price, though, is that he's not

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Speaker 1: enough of a pass catcher that's number one, and then

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Speaker 1: he ends up being more of a change of pace

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Speaker 1: player as opposed to a high volume one that would

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Speaker 1: obviously matter big time in fantasy football. And then finally,

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Speaker 1: I'll shout out Eli Stowers here too. Stowers is a

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Speaker 1: better production profile than Kenyon Sadik, but draft capital more

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Speaker 1: than likely isn't going to follow him the same way

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Speaker 1: it's going to follow Kenyan Sadik. Maybe I'll be surprised, though.

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Speaker 1: Stowers is just a pure pass catching tight end, and

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Speaker 1: that's very exciting. His career yards per out run rate

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Speaker 1: ninety fourth percentile, his first downs per out run ninety

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Speaker 1: seventh percentile, his breakout score is in the ninetieth percentile.

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Speaker 1: And while Sadik stole the show at the Combine Stours,

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Speaker 1: he would have stolen the show on any other combine.

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Speaker 1: He's a freak athlete as well. His heightjested speed scorer

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Speaker 1: ranks in the ninety second percentile on the model. He's

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Speaker 1: older than Sadik, though, and there are huge question marks

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Speaker 1: about his blocking that could obviously limit snaps at the

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Speaker 1: next level, but overall, very very fun prospect. So that's

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Speaker 1: my top twelve. That's the first round of single quarterback

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Speaker 1: rookie drafts for me right now. Like I said, I

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Speaker 1: think when we learn landing spots in draft capital for

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Speaker 1: some of these running backs, maybe a Jodah Coleman type

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Speaker 1: can find his way in here too. But that's where

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Speaker 1: I stand heading into Thursday. That's it for today's show, though,

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Speaker 1: thanks to all of you for listening. If you get

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Speaker 1: subscribed to the Late Round Fantasy Football podcast makes you

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Speaker 1: are best starting for it pretty much anywhere podcast can

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Speaker 1: be found and follow me on Twitter and on Blue

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Speaker 1: Sky at Late Round QB. Thanks for listening everyone. There's

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Speaker 1: a Late Round show happening on Wednesday at noon Eastern

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Speaker 1: on YouTube, and that's gonna hit the podcast feed a

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Speaker 1: little bit early this week because of the NFL Draft,

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Speaker 1: so look for that on Wednesday instead of Thursday this week.

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Speaker 1: And that's also because this week's Perspectives episode that's gonna

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Speaker 1: drop on Thursday. I'm also doing some live stream Bestball

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Speaker 1: drafts this week over on the YouTube channel, so make

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Speaker 1: sure you subscribe there. YouTube dot com, slash at Late

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Speaker 1: round FF, Talk to you guys soon.