Speaker 1: Kansas, Villanova, North Carolina Duke to go to the National
Speaker 1: Championship Game.
Speaker 2: Who should we pick? Let's go talk to the pros.
Speaker 1: Welcome into the Betting Pros Final four preview. Here we
Speaker 1: have a fantastic guest with us, Mike Coutrie from the
Speaker 1: FTN Network, following him on Twitter at Mike Coutrie CBB.
Speaker 1: Mike does outstanding work. I've been following for a long time.
Speaker 1: He is the perfect person to come in and tell
Speaker 1: us who to pick, sides, totals, and props for the
Speaker 1: Final four. It's a fantastic final four that is headed
Speaker 1: towards a great, great title game. Mike, thanks so much
Speaker 1: for joining us here today. How you doing I'm doing great.
Speaker 3: Thanks for having me on, Mike.
Speaker 4: I'm a huge fan first and foremost, but yeah, I'm
Speaker 4: excited to talk some hoops. It's Final four times, so
Speaker 4: let's get into it.
Speaker 1: Uh, You're the perfect person to have on because you
Speaker 1: can give us then you can also talk about the
Speaker 1: lines and the picks. All your picks there on FTN
Speaker 1: are fantastic killing it as always. I want to start
Speaker 1: with the reaction from the Elite eight. So it appears,
Speaker 1: Mike that we had what everyone wants with the general
Speaker 1: public wants, which is upsets early, a couple cinderellas, and
Speaker 1: then the clock strikes twelve and we move on to
Speaker 1: get the top teams here. So what was your quick
Speaker 1: reaction here, Saint Peter's Miami, those teams stepping aside here
Speaker 1: on the Elite eight?
Speaker 4: Yeah, so I guess up until the final four, it's
Speaker 4: been kind of absolute madness, like March madness implies, and
Speaker 4: which makes a tournament fun.
Speaker 2: Right.
Speaker 4: We had my own new Jersey guys that are close
Speaker 4: to my heart, Saint Peter's, which is funny because I
Speaker 4: kind of live, you know, maybe five to ten minutes
Speaker 4: from Jersey City, so I usually catch maybe two or
Speaker 4: three Saint Peter's games a year live.
Speaker 3: And I went through a couple of games this year.
Speaker 4: I like to see them play Iwona and the other
Speaker 4: teams in the MAC, and watching them, the last thing
Speaker 4: that came to my mind is is this.
Speaker 3: Team to be an Elite eight team?
Speaker 4: I didn't think they would even be in the tournament conversation,
Speaker 4: But of course March is about getting hot at the
Speaker 4: right time, and that's what Saint Peter's did, and they
Speaker 4: made that magical run to the Elite eight, and you know,
Speaker 4: unfortunately the hot shooting on offense came to an end
Speaker 4: against UNC, and we get a you know, a well
Speaker 4: known the UNC targical team in the in the final four.
Speaker 4: And it's kind of funny because you know, all these
Speaker 4: upsets kind of happened throughout the Sweet sixteen to the
Speaker 4: Lait eight, but we somehow snuck in these blue blood
Speaker 4: programs into the final four that you know, everybody, everybody
Speaker 4: sitting at home kind of knows the names of the Nova's,
Speaker 4: the Kansas of course, Duke In the Coach K's last ride,
Speaker 4: and then and you know, the perfect storybook endings where
Speaker 4: they get Coach K's revenge spot against UNC, who kind
Speaker 4: of ruined his last night at Cameron Indoors. So so yeah,
Speaker 4: it's it's kind of been a it's crazy, but it's
Speaker 4: setting up for a perfect ending to a great season here.
Speaker 4: So so yeah, it's nothing to hate from the college
Speaker 4: basketball junkie perspective. It doesn't get much better than this.
Speaker 1: Oh, it's fantastic and it's funny. Like you said, the
Speaker 1: tournament has been madness. I feel like with my reads,
Speaker 1: some of them were on some of them were way off.
Speaker 1: One of them I was way off about was unc
Speaker 1: But we'll get to them. Second. I want to start
Speaker 1: with the first game here, which is going off at
Speaker 1: six point nine on Saturday, Villanova and Kansas. Now, right now,
Speaker 1: Kansas looks like it's favored by four, four and a
Speaker 1: half depending on where you're getting it over under, pretty
Speaker 1: steady at one thirty three across the board. I guess
Speaker 1: my first question here is how much do you think
Speaker 1: Justin Moore affects this Villanova team. I remember Mike looking back,
Speaker 1: had a question about whether we thought Villanova could make
Speaker 1: the Final four in January, and at the time what
Speaker 1: I was saying is Villanova has the same profile at
Speaker 1: that time that the other two national championship teams did
Speaker 1: with Jay Wright, with the exception of tremendous two point efficiency.
Speaker 1: It wasn't quite there, but it has come around. They've
Speaker 1: played fantastic but only a six man rotation and now
Speaker 1: know Justin Moore, So quick reac here, Villanova Kansas. How
Speaker 1: do you see this one going here? First game six
Speaker 1: or nine on Saturday.
Speaker 4: Yeah, So the Justin Moore is the injury is tragic
Speaker 4: and it's unfortunate because he's an outstanding player and he's
Speaker 4: very important to the roster. I think the line probably
Speaker 4: would have been more towards the two, maybe one and
Speaker 4: a half area, if he was actually playing, but unfortunately
Speaker 4: he went down with the Achilles injury. Nova is not
Speaker 4: that deep to start with, but to me, depth is
Speaker 4: a little overrated in college basketball. I mean, obviously foul
Speaker 4: trouble and injuries death comes into into into play, but
Speaker 4: I mean, these guys are in the best shapes of
Speaker 4: their lives. All these guys can play forty minutes if
Speaker 4: that to me is not that big of a deal
Speaker 4: death wise for Villanova here, but justin Moore, from a
Speaker 4: talent level, it's a big It's it's an.
Speaker 3: And lost for this team.
Speaker 4: So the way kind of Nova kind of stacks up
Speaker 4: against Kansas, and to me, they fit the similar profile,
Speaker 4: kind of like the Miami team that Kansas just played.
Speaker 4: They're a little more disciplined than Miami and they play
Speaker 4: a little more physical than Miami, but they are very
Speaker 4: perimeter oriented like Miami was. They're very undersized like Miami was.
Speaker 4: They don't really have a true center. Eric Dixon kind
Speaker 4: of sixty. He's kind of undersized, for the center position.
Speaker 4: They pick and roll you to death. Nova is very
Speaker 4: outstanding in their pick and roll. They're ninety seven percent
Speaker 4: tile in the country and pick and roll offense per Synergy,
Speaker 4: and they like to create a lot of mismatches on
Speaker 4: the perimeter. And what makes them unique is when they
Speaker 4: do create these mismatches, they like to post up their guards.
Speaker 4: So you see Justin More not in this game coming up,
Speaker 4: but him Colin Gillespie, Ko Daniels. They kind of try
Speaker 4: to bully their opponent down in the post, which is
Speaker 4: not really much teams are used to defending, so you
Speaker 4: really need size to defend those god in the post.
Speaker 4: And what Nova kind of kills you is when you
Speaker 4: do overhelp. They have shooters everywhere they pass out during
Speaker 4: the three ball. They kind of living by what they
Speaker 4: live and die by a three point ball, which makes
Speaker 4: them a little bit variant in the tournament setting. But
Speaker 4: like you said, this team profile is great as far
Speaker 4: as having the guards to make a run like we
Speaker 4: just saw to the final four on the Kansas side,
Speaker 4: I do think that they do have the size that
Speaker 4: can match up with the with the Nova guards. We
Speaker 4: just saw their best defender, Dwan Harris get put on
Speaker 4: Campbell Gusty in the second half when Mugussi at fourteen
Speaker 4: in the first half, where Kansas was, you know, majority
Speaker 4: switching throughout the game, but they'll self ended up having
Speaker 4: him chased around Augustin in the second half and limited
Speaker 4: only four points in the second half. And we just
Speaker 4: saw Kansas kind of just destroy Miami in the second half.
Speaker 4: Kansas has a lot more size, especially down low, and
Speaker 4: David McCormack, who could have a big game here against Villanova,
Speaker 4: and I just think that there's just too many paths
Speaker 4: to victory for this Kansas team against the shorthanded the
Speaker 4: Villanova team. You have McCormack inside, you have the length
Speaker 4: on the wings. And then another thing to mention about
Speaker 4: the Nova defense is that they're very switchable and they
Speaker 4: like they're actually ranked fourteenth nationally enforcing isolation situations for
Speaker 4: their opponents. So you really need very good individual scorers.
Speaker 4: And to me, the difference is the emergence of Remy
Speaker 4: Martin on the Kansas side. He can score in bunches
Speaker 4: off the bench. Boji can score, Christian bron can score,
Speaker 4: Jalen Wilson's can score. All these guys can score. I
Speaker 4: think they can stop them enough on defense, so I
Speaker 4: think Kansas runs away with this late in the game.
Speaker 4: The thing that Nova is going to do in this
Speaker 4: game is they're going to really try to slow the
Speaker 4: game down. Make this around like sixty possessions where Kansas
Speaker 4: if Kansas ends up, you know, having Nova dictate the
Speaker 4: pace sixty possession game. I think Nova has a chance.
Speaker 4: But if Kansas can get into transition a little bit,
Speaker 4: make this more in the high sixties position, I don't
Speaker 4: think Nova can keep up. So I'm going to be
Speaker 4: on the Kansas side minus four and a half. And
Speaker 4: I also like a play on the under.
Speaker 1: Yeah, great points across the board. So many I want
Speaker 1: to talk about. First, the Dewan Harris move was so critical,
Speaker 1: and I'm glad you brought that up because Mike I
Speaker 1: may have had an under on Cam augusty eighteen and
Speaker 1: a half points when he had fourteen. I couldn't believe
Speaker 1: we hit it. I also think that listen, if Justin
Speaker 1: Moore was there, I probably would be on Villanova because
Speaker 1: Jay Wright is just excellent in these situations. But like
Speaker 1: you said, it's a critical situation. McCormack is going to
Speaker 1: do things inside. There are so many guards that can attack,
Speaker 1: and the development of Remy Martin is really underrated. He's
Speaker 1: been injured all year. You heard him in the interview
Speaker 1: talk about how he's been down. His teammates had to
Speaker 1: pick him up. But he is a scorer. He can
Speaker 1: get buckets, which you saw with Duke against Michigan State
Speaker 1: and Texas Tech. Those teams couldn't get it late. I
Speaker 1: think Remy Martin Mike saved them against Providence. They were
Speaker 1: in trouble, but Martin kept them in that game. So
Speaker 1: real interesting points across the board. My other question is
Speaker 1: about a Boggie All American. Incredible player, absolutely, but I
Speaker 1: have found that, along with like the Ben maclamore and
Speaker 1: the Wayne Seldens of the past, these leading scorers for
Speaker 1: Kansas sometimes are hesitant to go outside of self system.
Speaker 1: I don't know if that's by design or just by
Speaker 1: you know, selfishest they're gonna need him to score. He
Speaker 1: could absolutely really take this game on here, especially like
Speaker 1: you said, against a Villanova team that's going to be shorthanded. Yeah.
Speaker 4: I mean, he's a great talent and we've been kind
Speaker 4: of waiting for him to explode throughout this whole tournament
Speaker 4: and he hasn't yet, So maybe this is the spot
Speaker 4: final four lights are bright.
Speaker 3: Maybe we see a big AGBANGI game.
Speaker 1: Yeah, and the under as well, because I do think
Speaker 1: Villanova has to control the pace completely agree there second game.
Speaker 1: Full disclosure, Mike, I've had a little bit of a
Speaker 1: take lock on North Carolina and I have to come around.
Speaker 1: My argument was for Saint Peter's because I saw what
Speaker 1: Saint Peters did. Yes, Kentucky, I understand that, Yes to
Speaker 1: Murray State, but the one that stuck with me was Perdue.
Speaker 1: I'm like, if they can handle Travion William zach Edy
Speaker 1: and jayde and Ivey's going to be a top five pick,
Speaker 1: why is North Carolina going to be any better? Well,
Speaker 1: the answer was right now, they're scalding hot. They have
Speaker 1: great chemistry, they have great balance, the guards outside bay
Speaker 1: hot inside. So this North Carolina team already has shown
Speaker 1: us that they can beat Duke. We have Duke favored
Speaker 1: by four and a half against UNC. I mean, just
Speaker 1: an apocalyptic game here for Coach k potentially lose to
Speaker 1: his arch rival twice, or is he going to beat
Speaker 1: them and get to the finals here in his final year,
Speaker 1: the total also won fifty one. So where are you
Speaker 1: here on a side eight forty nine? Get your popcorn
Speaker 1: ready on Saturday, Duke Unc as well as the total
Speaker 1: here around one fifty one and a half.
Speaker 4: I mean, honestly, if you're one of those people who
Speaker 4: think sports is fixed, this is literally the perfect example.
Speaker 2: Right.
Speaker 4: You have Coach K's last year. He loses to North
Speaker 4: Carolina in his final home game at Cameron Indoor. Everybody
Speaker 4: makes a huge deal out of it. But of course, somehow,
Speaker 4: some way, you can't make it up. He gets matched
Speaker 4: up against North Carolina in the Final four in a
Speaker 4: huge revenge spot. I mean, not even doing any analysis
Speaker 4: on the game, Why don't you just hammer Duke money line,
Speaker 4: There's no way that Coach k loses this game, right
Speaker 4: from a fan perspective, that would be the most tragic
Speaker 4: thing I think ever in college basketball history if he does.
Speaker 4: But if we do want to, we do want to
Speaker 4: break down the matchup here, and like you mentioned, they
Speaker 4: they played twice this year and they split. Uh, Duke
Speaker 4: kind of gave it to him in the first in
Speaker 4: the first game, but it was more due to poor
Speaker 4: shooting by UNC. I was taking a look at the
Speaker 4: shot quality metrics and shot Quality actually had it like
Speaker 4: a fifty to fifty game, which was surprising to me
Speaker 4: watching it because I thought Duke kind of manhandle them,
Speaker 4: but the metrics don't really back that up.
Speaker 2: What do I know?
Speaker 4: Right, But in the second game, it was close until halftime,
Speaker 4: and then Duke kind of, you know, put their foot
Speaker 4: on the brake defensively, and you and See just had
Speaker 4: their way in the pick and roll. They couldn't guard Baycott,
Speaker 4: they couldn't guard Caleb Love, and you and See kind
Speaker 4: of ran away with that. But you know, I watched
Speaker 4: this North Carolina team a lot this season, and I
Speaker 4: had the similar take as you did, is I was
Speaker 4: not high on them coming into the tournament at all.
Speaker 4: You know, I thought they had a coin flip game
Speaker 4: against Marquette and then I thought Baylor would absolutely destroy them,
Speaker 4: and that did not happen. So I was in the
Speaker 4: same boat as you. But you know, you look at
Speaker 4: this UNC team and to me, what's kind of gotten
Speaker 4: them to this point is that they've they've kind of
Speaker 4: ramped it up on defense, and you just saw them
Speaker 4: really locked down Saint Peter's, who was due for some
Speaker 4: shooting regression because the way Saint Peter's. Saint Peter's honestly
Speaker 4: actually statistically was the best defensive fifteen seed of all time,
Speaker 4: I think per Kenpom if I remember correctly, they graded
Speaker 4: out maybe twenty seventh or twenty eighth in the country defensively,
Speaker 4: which is insane for a fifteen seed. Not the greatest
Speaker 4: team offensively, they just got hot the right time, so
Speaker 4: they finally cooled off. You and C locked them down
Speaker 4: and that game wasn't even close from the start. But
Speaker 4: you know, like I said, un C has kind of
Speaker 4: ramped it up in the tournament defensively, but when I
Speaker 4: look at them throughout the year, they were very undisciplined.
Speaker 4: Twenty eighth percent tile percentergy and transition defense thirty fourth
Speaker 4: percent tile and.
Speaker 3: Off ball of all defending. So just very undisciplined.
Speaker 4: And you know, you give coach k Here a week
Speaker 4: to prepare for North Carolina against Hubert Davis, who's you know,
Speaker 4: he's done a great job with un seed, but it's
Speaker 4: his first year. You know, I'm always gonna side with
Speaker 4: coach k Here, especially, you know, you have the narrative
Speaker 4: in the background. Duke has much better individual scorers you have,
Speaker 4: and they have the size that can match up with
Speaker 4: you and C Baycott underneath who's their you know, their
Speaker 4: go to score. Plus the Baycott likes to crash the glass.
Speaker 4: You he's a great offensive rebounding team. Duke has Mark
Speaker 4: Williams and Theo John who can kind of neutralize that.
Speaker 4: I don't know who guards Ben Carro on the UNC side,
Speaker 4: they've both matchup. They switched it up between Mannick and Black.
Speaker 4: Black is a great individual Leaky Black is a great
Speaker 4: individual defender, but he doesn't have the size or the
Speaker 4: strength to matchup with Fan Caro. And then if you
Speaker 4: put Brady Mannick on him, Manic doesn't have really this
Speaker 4: foot speed to be able to stay with him in
Speaker 4: the perimeter or when he faces up in the high post.
Speaker 2: Right.
Speaker 4: So, I think what this game comes down to, which
Speaker 4: kind of comes down to any North Carolina game, is
Speaker 4: how all the guards play. Because the guards have been
Speaker 4: very inconsistent for I mean, Love and Davis has been
Speaker 4: in the back or for the last three years or
Speaker 4: two years, and you know, their consistency is a little
Speaker 4: up and down. So it really comes down to how
Speaker 4: well they play. And you know, I have a feeling
Speaker 4: Duke is going to show a little same defensive scheme
Speaker 4: as they did against Arkansas against Jade Notta's ice, the
Speaker 4: ball screens try to get it out of their hands.
Speaker 4: They just have to make sure they don't lose Mannick,
Speaker 4: who is absolutely sniper when you lose him defensively, and
Speaker 4: he's had a great tournament so far. But you know,
Speaker 4: I think they can do a good enough job neutralizing
Speaker 4: Baycot down low, neutralizing the guard play. And then the
Speaker 4: X factor to me for this Duke team throughout the
Speaker 4: tournament has been the emergence of Jeremy Roach at the
Speaker 4: point guard spot. He's kind of lost minutes to AJ
Speaker 4: Griffin and Trevor keer Peels throughout the year, but he's
Speaker 4: been outstanding and really the point guard that Duke's been
Speaker 4: looking for all year. Over the last few weeks and
Speaker 4: during March, and he's bring their offensive ceiling way hot,
Speaker 4: much higher than it was before this tournament even started. So,
Speaker 4: you know, because of the narrative, the way Duke matches up,
Speaker 4: I don't see them losing this game. So I'm even
Speaker 4: gonna lay the points and take Duke four and a half.
Speaker 4: But I do from a total perspective. I do think
Speaker 4: that both offenses are going to have a lot of success,
Speaker 4: so I'm going to be on the over as well.
Speaker 1: The point about Roach is fantastic. He started in this
Speaker 1: torn and I feel like it was a brilliant move
Speaker 1: by Skrzyzewski and the coaching staff. He has gone thirty five,
Speaker 1: thirty seven, thirty five and thirty five minutes just playing
Speaker 1: massive minutes just to give you an idea. Only hit
Speaker 1: thirty minutes in a one of the prior twelve games
Speaker 1: for Duke. And what he's done Mike, I think has
Speaker 1: put every Jenga piece in the right place. He's had
Speaker 1: five assists two of these games. Getting assistant college basketball folks,
Speaker 1: unless you're Chris Paul Backway farest not easy to do.
Speaker 1: But everyone now is in a role and I think
Speaker 1: that's critical. And you saw the window to close do
Speaker 1: To beat Duke, I believe has closed. You need to
Speaker 1: make shots at the end of games. Michigan State and
Speaker 1: Texas Tech could not do that. What Michigan State did
Speaker 1: a couple of years ago to Duke when they had
Speaker 1: Zion and Reddish and all those guys is he They
Speaker 1: were able to get a lead on them so that
Speaker 1: Duke had the pressure. Once Duke took the lead there,
Speaker 1: I think it's a totally different story. The emergence of
Speaker 1: Roach is great. I like what North Carolina has done.
Speaker 1: I think the Theo john with Mark Williams is very
Speaker 1: underrated because I don't see that North Carolina has that
Speaker 1: same depth. Dawstin Garcia left the team. They have Puff
Speaker 1: Johnson behind him. But Baycott really has to have an
Speaker 1: absolute monster game, which he did, but he's going to
Speaker 1: have to keep it going. You mentioned Mannik who's been
Speaker 1: on fire. He's fifty percent from three point range or
Speaker 1: close to that in the tournament. That absolutely has to continue.
Speaker 1: I want to follow up question on the over under
Speaker 1: because I remember when it was in New Orleans the
Speaker 1: last time all three games went under, but the prior
Speaker 1: time it was in New Orleans, all three games went
Speaker 1: over the final four in the championship game. So talk
Speaker 1: a little bit about why you like the over in
Speaker 1: this particular situation.
Speaker 4: Yeah, it's funny, and there is a little bit of
Speaker 4: a narrative where you know, as the tournament goes on
Speaker 4: and the games get more tight, you know, teams do
Speaker 4: play a little tighter and you know, the under is
Speaker 4: usually the spot, but I think Vegas fixed that into
Speaker 4: the lines a little bit. I think these these numbers
Speaker 4: are a little lower than where they should be if
Speaker 4: you looked on Ken Pom. But you know, you have Duke,
Speaker 4: you and See. You know that the game is going
Speaker 4: to be high paced up and down. It was both
Speaker 4: times they played. It was high paced up and down.
Speaker 4: You know, I think there's a few spots offensively that
Speaker 4: both these teams could have success. If you look at
Speaker 4: the second half of the last game, Duke really struggled
Speaker 4: in that kind of middle top of the key pick
Speaker 4: and roll situation where Mannick would slip and then you
Speaker 4: had a short roll from Baycott. You know, I think
Speaker 4: Dude's gonna game plan a little better against that. But
Speaker 4: just because of the pace, just because of the matchup
Speaker 4: problems like Ben Carro and even Jeremy Roach I can
Speaker 4: give you and see, I think there's gonna be a lot,
Speaker 4: a lot of points, a lot of possessions, and I
Speaker 4: will be on the over I know it's a lot
Speaker 4: of points, but I'm still gonna be on the overside.
Speaker 1: And of course I'm with you. I'm with you, Mike
Speaker 1: on both picks. So now we're looking at Kansas and Duke.
Speaker 1: I mean a legendary, legendary matchup on Monday night. If
Speaker 1: that happens and we're right, where are you going in
Speaker 1: that game?
Speaker 3: Okay, well I have to caveat pick with that.
Speaker 4: I have a eighteen to one future on Kansas that
Speaker 4: I took back in November, So I may be a
Speaker 4: little biased here, but you know, I just think that overall,
Speaker 4: top to ballot to bottom talent, Kansas has a little
Speaker 4: more talent than this Duke team. From top to bottom.
Speaker 4: They have the size with McCormack. They have kind of
Speaker 4: dual point guards with Dwan Harris and Remy Martin. Now
Speaker 4: Dwan Harris is an absolute lockdown defender, so if they
Speaker 4: need somebody to follow Roach or whoever it is, they
Speaker 4: have that person. And then they have length on the
Speaker 4: wing with kind of a you kind of call a
Speaker 4: three headed monster with Christian braun Chia Boggy and Jalen Wilson.
Speaker 4: And they're switchable on defense. I think Bill selves just
Speaker 4: has so many options that can give any team they play,
Speaker 4: but this Duke team specifically just a complete headache. And
Speaker 4: the one thing that Kansas hasn't been able to figure
Speaker 4: out all year, And if you go back and look
Speaker 4: at maybe like Bill Selt's postgame interviews, he was always
Speaker 4: talking about their ball screen defense and their discipline on
Speaker 4: the defensive end. But if that second half of that
Speaker 4: Miami game, I think they may have found something defensively
Speaker 4: that maybe they kind of pieced together and Bill self
Speaker 4: maybe figured something out because that was their one weakness
Speaker 4: and they absolutely locked down defensively against Miami in the
Speaker 4: Elite eight. So if they continue to do that throughout
Speaker 4: these next few games, I think that they should have
Speaker 4: the advantage over this duke team, and I would be
Speaker 4: siding with Kansas fantastic.
Speaker 1: It would be a great, great matchup on Monday Night.
Speaker 1: Last question, Mike, then we'll get you out of here
Speaker 1: player props. Of course, we've covered sides, we've covered totals.
Speaker 1: I'm on some unders in this Villanova game against Kansas
Speaker 1: because I do think that Jay Wright is going to
Speaker 1: be able to control pace, try to increase variants here
Speaker 1: in a lower scoring game because he shorthanded a bogie under.
Speaker 1: I think he's at sixteen and a half is what
Speaker 1: I'm looking at. What about what are some props that
Speaker 1: have caught your eye here heading into the final four.
Speaker 4: So it's funny you mention that because me and you have
Speaker 4: the exact same thought in this game. Yeah, so Baji
Speaker 4: was definitely one that I looked at sixteen and a half.
Speaker 4: I'm a little afraid because, like we said, there's going
Speaker 4: to be a game where he where he gets really
Speaker 4: hot and hits a couple threes, because we haven't seen
Speaker 4: it yet throughout the tournament. But pace wise, I don't
Speaker 4: know if this is going to be it. Maybe it's
Speaker 4: a championship game against Duke, you know, across your fingers.
Speaker 3: And it's not this game.
Speaker 4: But I thought that's sixteen and a half, I would
Speaker 4: be on the underside there and then on the Villanova side.
Speaker 4: I did notice that Jermaine Samuels points prop went up
Speaker 4: a little bit on draft games. It's at fourteen and
Speaker 4: a half.
Speaker 3: Now.
Speaker 4: It's a little scary as well because without Justin Moore,
Speaker 4: he's going to be a little more involved as uses,
Speaker 4: he's going to go up in the offense. But you know,
Speaker 4: this number is probably realistically maybe three, two or three
Speaker 4: points too high. Jermaine Samuel Samuels throughout the year. I
Speaker 4: think maybe average twelve points per game. He disappears sometimes
Speaker 4: on offense if the game's going to be incredibly slow.
Speaker 4: I think that's way too many points for him. So
Speaker 4: I like to dream singles under fourteen and a half points.
Speaker 1: Both of them excellent call Samuel's I've I've been hot
Speaker 1: and I've done well financially with Samuel's over, but the
Speaker 1: line has adjusted. I agree with you. It's gonna be
Speaker 1: a fantastic matchup, folks. Mike Couchrie FTN Network, FtM, BETS, FTN,
Speaker 1: Daly All Things FTN great, great college basketball, Mine great
Speaker 1: with picks. Can really break it down for you and
Speaker 1: give you a strong rationale. Follow him on Twitter at
Speaker 1: Mike Coutrie CBB. Mike, it's been great having you on here.
Speaker 1: Final four. We have the blue Bloods. We're ready for
Speaker 1: a great Monday Night and for your futures ticket. I
Speaker 1: will roof for Kansas as well. I think that would
Speaker 1: be fantastic here. It'll doke Kansas matchup and you smoking
Speaker 1: a cigar Monday Night with a big Fansas win.
Speaker 3: I love it.
Speaker 4: I appreciate this support, Mike. It's been a blast. So
Speaker 4: you can have me on any time you want awesome,
Speaker 4: it is not