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Speaker 1: Kansas, Villanova, North Carolina Duke to go to the National

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Speaker 1: Championship Game.

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Speaker 2: Who should we pick? Let's go talk to the pros.

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Speaker 1: Welcome into the Betting Pros Final four preview. Here we

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Speaker 1: have a fantastic guest with us, Mike Coutrie from the

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Speaker 1: FTN Network, following him on Twitter at Mike Coutrie CBB.

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Speaker 1: Mike does outstanding work. I've been following for a long time.

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Speaker 1: He is the perfect person to come in and tell

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Speaker 1: us who to pick, sides, totals, and props for the

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Speaker 1: Final four. It's a fantastic final four that is headed

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Speaker 1: towards a great, great title game. Mike, thanks so much

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Speaker 1: for joining us here today. How you doing I'm doing great.

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Speaker 3: Thanks for having me on, Mike.

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Speaker 4: I'm a huge fan first and foremost, but yeah, I'm

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Speaker 4: excited to talk some hoops. It's Final four times, so

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Speaker 4: let's get into it.

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Speaker 1: Uh, You're the perfect person to have on because you

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Speaker 1: can give us then you can also talk about the

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Speaker 1: lines and the picks. All your picks there on FTN

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Speaker 1: are fantastic killing it as always. I want to start

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Speaker 1: with the reaction from the Elite eight. So it appears,

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Speaker 1: Mike that we had what everyone wants with the general

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Speaker 1: public wants, which is upsets early, a couple cinderellas, and

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Speaker 1: then the clock strikes twelve and we move on to

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Speaker 1: get the top teams here. So what was your quick

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Speaker 1: reaction here, Saint Peter's Miami, those teams stepping aside here

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Speaker 1: on the Elite eight?

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Speaker 4: Yeah, so I guess up until the final four, it's

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Speaker 4: been kind of absolute madness, like March madness implies, and

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Speaker 4: which makes a tournament fun.

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Speaker 2: Right.

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Speaker 4: We had my own new Jersey guys that are close

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Speaker 4: to my heart, Saint Peter's, which is funny because I

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Speaker 4: kind of live, you know, maybe five to ten minutes

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Speaker 4: from Jersey City, so I usually catch maybe two or

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Speaker 4: three Saint Peter's games a year live.

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Speaker 3: And I went through a couple of games this year.

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Speaker 4: I like to see them play Iwona and the other

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Speaker 4: teams in the MAC, and watching them, the last thing

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Speaker 4: that came to my mind is is this.

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Speaker 3: Team to be an Elite eight team?

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Speaker 4: I didn't think they would even be in the tournament conversation,

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Speaker 4: But of course March is about getting hot at the

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Speaker 4: right time, and that's what Saint Peter's did, and they

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Speaker 4: made that magical run to the Elite eight, and you know,

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Speaker 4: unfortunately the hot shooting on offense came to an end

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Speaker 4: against UNC, and we get a you know, a well

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Speaker 4: known the UNC targical team in the in the final four.

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Speaker 4: And it's kind of funny because you know, all these

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Speaker 4: upsets kind of happened throughout the Sweet sixteen to the

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Speaker 4: Lait eight, but we somehow snuck in these blue blood

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Speaker 4: programs into the final four that you know, everybody, everybody

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Speaker 4: sitting at home kind of knows the names of the Nova's,

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Speaker 4: the Kansas of course, Duke In the Coach K's last ride,

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Speaker 4: and then and you know, the perfect storybook endings where

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Speaker 4: they get Coach K's revenge spot against UNC, who kind

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Speaker 4: of ruined his last night at Cameron Indoors. So so yeah,

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Speaker 4: it's it's kind of been a it's crazy, but it's

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Speaker 4: setting up for a perfect ending to a great season here.

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Speaker 4: So so yeah, it's nothing to hate from the college

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Speaker 4: basketball junkie perspective. It doesn't get much better than this.

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Speaker 1: Oh, it's fantastic and it's funny. Like you said, the

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Speaker 1: tournament has been madness. I feel like with my reads,

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Speaker 1: some of them were on some of them were way off.

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Speaker 1: One of them I was way off about was unc

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Speaker 1: But we'll get to them. Second. I want to start

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Speaker 1: with the first game here, which is going off at

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Speaker 1: six point nine on Saturday, Villanova and Kansas. Now, right now,

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Speaker 1: Kansas looks like it's favored by four, four and a

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Speaker 1: half depending on where you're getting it over under, pretty

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Speaker 1: steady at one thirty three across the board. I guess

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Speaker 1: my first question here is how much do you think

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Speaker 1: Justin Moore affects this Villanova team. I remember Mike looking back,

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Speaker 1: had a question about whether we thought Villanova could make

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Speaker 1: the Final four in January, and at the time what

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Speaker 1: I was saying is Villanova has the same profile at

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Speaker 1: that time that the other two national championship teams did

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Speaker 1: with Jay Wright, with the exception of tremendous two point efficiency.

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Speaker 1: It wasn't quite there, but it has come around. They've

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Speaker 1: played fantastic but only a six man rotation and now

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Speaker 1: know Justin Moore, So quick reac here, Villanova Kansas. How

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Speaker 1: do you see this one going here? First game six

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Speaker 1: or nine on Saturday.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, So the Justin Moore is the injury is tragic

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Speaker 4: and it's unfortunate because he's an outstanding player and he's

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Speaker 4: very important to the roster. I think the line probably

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Speaker 4: would have been more towards the two, maybe one and

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Speaker 4: a half area, if he was actually playing, but unfortunately

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Speaker 4: he went down with the Achilles injury. Nova is not

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Speaker 4: that deep to start with, but to me, depth is

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Speaker 4: a little overrated in college basketball. I mean, obviously foul

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Speaker 4: trouble and injuries death comes into into into play, but

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Speaker 4: I mean, these guys are in the best shapes of

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Speaker 4: their lives. All these guys can play forty minutes if

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Speaker 4: that to me is not that big of a deal

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Speaker 4: death wise for Villanova here, but justin Moore, from a

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Speaker 4: talent level, it's a big It's it's an.

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Speaker 3: And lost for this team.

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Speaker 4: So the way kind of Nova kind of stacks up

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Speaker 4: against Kansas, and to me, they fit the similar profile,

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Speaker 4: kind of like the Miami team that Kansas just played.

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Speaker 4: They're a little more disciplined than Miami and they play

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Speaker 4: a little more physical than Miami, but they are very

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Speaker 4: perimeter oriented like Miami was. They're very undersized like Miami was.

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Speaker 4: They don't really have a true center. Eric Dixon kind

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Speaker 4: of sixty. He's kind of undersized, for the center position.

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Speaker 4: They pick and roll you to death. Nova is very

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Speaker 4: outstanding in their pick and roll. They're ninety seven percent

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Speaker 4: tile in the country and pick and roll offense per Synergy,

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Speaker 4: and they like to create a lot of mismatches on

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Speaker 4: the perimeter. And what makes them unique is when they

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Speaker 4: do create these mismatches, they like to post up their guards.

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Speaker 4: So you see Justin More not in this game coming up,

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Speaker 4: but him Colin Gillespie, Ko Daniels. They kind of try

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Speaker 4: to bully their opponent down in the post, which is

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Speaker 4: not really much teams are used to defending, so you

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Speaker 4: really need size to defend those god in the post.

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Speaker 4: And what Nova kind of kills you is when you

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Speaker 4: do overhelp. They have shooters everywhere they pass out during

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Speaker 4: the three ball. They kind of living by what they

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Speaker 4: live and die by a three point ball, which makes

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Speaker 4: them a little bit variant in the tournament setting. But

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Speaker 4: like you said, this team profile is great as far

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Speaker 4: as having the guards to make a run like we

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Speaker 4: just saw to the final four on the Kansas side,

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Speaker 4: I do think that they do have the size that

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Speaker 4: can match up with the with the Nova guards. We

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Speaker 4: just saw their best defender, Dwan Harris get put on

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Speaker 4: Campbell Gusty in the second half when Mugussi at fourteen

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Speaker 4: in the first half, where Kansas was, you know, majority

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Speaker 4: switching throughout the game, but they'll self ended up having

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Speaker 4: him chased around Augustin in the second half and limited

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Speaker 4: only four points in the second half. And we just

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Speaker 4: saw Kansas kind of just destroy Miami in the second half.

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Speaker 4: Kansas has a lot more size, especially down low, and

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Speaker 4: David McCormack, who could have a big game here against Villanova,

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Speaker 4: and I just think that there's just too many paths

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Speaker 4: to victory for this Kansas team against the shorthanded the

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Speaker 4: Villanova team. You have McCormack inside, you have the length

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Speaker 4: on the wings. And then another thing to mention about

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Speaker 4: the Nova defense is that they're very switchable and they

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Speaker 4: like they're actually ranked fourteenth nationally enforcing isolation situations for

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Speaker 4: their opponents. So you really need very good individual scorers.

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Speaker 4: And to me, the difference is the emergence of Remy

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Speaker 4: Martin on the Kansas side. He can score in bunches

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Speaker 4: off the bench. Boji can score, Christian bron can score,

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Speaker 4: Jalen Wilson's can score. All these guys can score. I

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Speaker 4: think they can stop them enough on defense, so I

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Speaker 4: think Kansas runs away with this late in the game.

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Speaker 4: The thing that Nova is going to do in this

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Speaker 4: game is they're going to really try to slow the

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Speaker 4: game down. Make this around like sixty possessions where Kansas

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Speaker 4: if Kansas ends up, you know, having Nova dictate the

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Speaker 4: pace sixty possession game. I think Nova has a chance.

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Speaker 4: But if Kansas can get into transition a little bit,

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Speaker 4: make this more in the high sixties position, I don't

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Speaker 4: think Nova can keep up. So I'm going to be

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Speaker 4: on the Kansas side minus four and a half. And

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Speaker 4: I also like a play on the under.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, great points across the board. So many I want

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Speaker 1: to talk about. First, the Dewan Harris move was so critical,

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Speaker 1: and I'm glad you brought that up because Mike I

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Speaker 1: may have had an under on Cam augusty eighteen and

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Speaker 1: a half points when he had fourteen. I couldn't believe

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Speaker 1: we hit it. I also think that listen, if Justin

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Speaker 1: Moore was there, I probably would be on Villanova because

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Speaker 1: Jay Wright is just excellent in these situations. But like

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Speaker 1: you said, it's a critical situation. McCormack is going to

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Speaker 1: do things inside. There are so many guards that can attack,

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Speaker 1: and the development of Remy Martin is really underrated. He's

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Speaker 1: been injured all year. You heard him in the interview

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Speaker 1: talk about how he's been down. His teammates had to

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Speaker 1: pick him up. But he is a scorer. He can

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Speaker 1: get buckets, which you saw with Duke against Michigan State

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Speaker 1: and Texas Tech. Those teams couldn't get it late. I

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Speaker 1: think Remy Martin Mike saved them against Providence. They were

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Speaker 1: in trouble, but Martin kept them in that game. So

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Speaker 1: real interesting points across the board. My other question is

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Speaker 1: about a Boggie All American. Incredible player, absolutely, but I

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Speaker 1: have found that, along with like the Ben maclamore and

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Speaker 1: the Wayne Seldens of the past, these leading scorers for

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Speaker 1: Kansas sometimes are hesitant to go outside of self system.

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Speaker 1: I don't know if that's by design or just by

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Speaker 1: you know, selfishest they're gonna need him to score. He

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Speaker 1: could absolutely really take this game on here, especially like

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Speaker 1: you said, against a Villanova team that's going to be shorthanded. Yeah.

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Speaker 4: I mean, he's a great talent and we've been kind

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Speaker 4: of waiting for him to explode throughout this whole tournament

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Speaker 4: and he hasn't yet, So maybe this is the spot

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Speaker 4: final four lights are bright.

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Speaker 3: Maybe we see a big AGBANGI game.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, and the under as well, because I do think

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Speaker 1: Villanova has to control the pace completely agree there second game.

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Speaker 1: Full disclosure, Mike, I've had a little bit of a

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Speaker 1: take lock on North Carolina and I have to come around.

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Speaker 1: My argument was for Saint Peter's because I saw what

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Speaker 1: Saint Peters did. Yes, Kentucky, I understand that, Yes to

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Speaker 1: Murray State, but the one that stuck with me was Perdue.

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Speaker 1: I'm like, if they can handle Travion William zach Edy

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Speaker 1: and jayde and Ivey's going to be a top five pick,

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Speaker 1: why is North Carolina going to be any better? Well,

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Speaker 1: the answer was right now, they're scalding hot. They have

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Speaker 1: great chemistry, they have great balance, the guards outside bay

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Speaker 1: hot inside. So this North Carolina team already has shown

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Speaker 1: us that they can beat Duke. We have Duke favored

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Speaker 1: by four and a half against UNC. I mean, just

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Speaker 1: an apocalyptic game here for Coach k potentially lose to

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Speaker 1: his arch rival twice, or is he going to beat

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Speaker 1: them and get to the finals here in his final year,

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Speaker 1: the total also won fifty one. So where are you

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Speaker 1: here on a side eight forty nine? Get your popcorn

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Speaker 1: ready on Saturday, Duke Unc as well as the total

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Speaker 1: here around one fifty one and a half.

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Speaker 4: I mean, honestly, if you're one of those people who

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Speaker 4: think sports is fixed, this is literally the perfect example.

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Speaker 2: Right.

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Speaker 4: You have Coach K's last year. He loses to North

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Speaker 4: Carolina in his final home game at Cameron Indoor. Everybody

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Speaker 4: makes a huge deal out of it. But of course, somehow,

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Speaker 4: some way, you can't make it up. He gets matched

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Speaker 4: up against North Carolina in the Final four in a

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Speaker 4: huge revenge spot. I mean, not even doing any analysis

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Speaker 4: on the game, Why don't you just hammer Duke money line,

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Speaker 4: There's no way that Coach k loses this game, right

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Speaker 4: from a fan perspective, that would be the most tragic

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Speaker 4: thing I think ever in college basketball history if he does.

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Speaker 4: But if we do want to, we do want to

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Speaker 4: break down the matchup here, and like you mentioned, they

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Speaker 4: they played twice this year and they split. Uh, Duke

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Speaker 4: kind of gave it to him in the first in

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Speaker 4: the first game, but it was more due to poor

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Speaker 4: shooting by UNC. I was taking a look at the

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Speaker 4: shot quality metrics and shot Quality actually had it like

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Speaker 4: a fifty to fifty game, which was surprising to me

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Speaker 4: watching it because I thought Duke kind of manhandle them,

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Speaker 4: but the metrics don't really back that up.

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Speaker 2: What do I know?

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Speaker 4: Right, But in the second game, it was close until halftime,

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Speaker 4: and then Duke kind of, you know, put their foot

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Speaker 4: on the brake defensively, and you and See just had

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Speaker 4: their way in the pick and roll. They couldn't guard Baycott,

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Speaker 4: they couldn't guard Caleb Love, and you and See kind

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Speaker 4: of ran away with that. But you know, I watched

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Speaker 4: this North Carolina team a lot this season, and I

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Speaker 4: had the similar take as you did, is I was

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Speaker 4: not high on them coming into the tournament at all.

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Speaker 4: You know, I thought they had a coin flip game

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Speaker 4: against Marquette and then I thought Baylor would absolutely destroy them,

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Speaker 4: and that did not happen. So I was in the

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Speaker 4: same boat as you. But you know, you look at

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Speaker 4: this UNC team and to me, what's kind of gotten

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Speaker 4: them to this point is that they've they've kind of

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Speaker 4: ramped it up on defense, and you just saw them

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Speaker 4: really locked down Saint Peter's, who was due for some

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Speaker 4: shooting regression because the way Saint Peter's. Saint Peter's honestly

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Speaker 4: actually statistically was the best defensive fifteen seed of all time,

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Speaker 4: I think per Kenpom if I remember correctly, they graded

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Speaker 4: out maybe twenty seventh or twenty eighth in the country defensively,

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Speaker 4: which is insane for a fifteen seed. Not the greatest

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Speaker 4: team offensively, they just got hot the right time, so

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Speaker 4: they finally cooled off. You and C locked them down

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Speaker 4: and that game wasn't even close from the start. But

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Speaker 4: you know, like I said, un C has kind of

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Speaker 4: ramped it up in the tournament defensively, but when I

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Speaker 4: look at them throughout the year, they were very undisciplined.

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Speaker 4: Twenty eighth percent tile percentergy and transition defense thirty fourth

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Speaker 4: percent tile and.

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Speaker 3: Off ball of all defending. So just very undisciplined.

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Speaker 4: And you know, you give coach k Here a week

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Speaker 4: to prepare for North Carolina against Hubert Davis, who's you know,

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Speaker 4: he's done a great job with un seed, but it's

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Speaker 4: his first year. You know, I'm always gonna side with

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Speaker 4: coach k Here, especially, you know, you have the narrative

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Speaker 4: in the background. Duke has much better individual scorers you have,

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Speaker 4: and they have the size that can match up with

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Speaker 4: you and C Baycott underneath who's their you know, their

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Speaker 4: go to score. Plus the Baycott likes to crash the glass.

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Speaker 4: You he's a great offensive rebounding team. Duke has Mark

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Speaker 4: Williams and Theo John who can kind of neutralize that.

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Speaker 4: I don't know who guards Ben Carro on the UNC side,

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Speaker 4: they've both matchup. They switched it up between Mannick and Black.

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Speaker 4: Black is a great individual Leaky Black is a great

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Speaker 4: individual defender, but he doesn't have the size or the

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Speaker 4: strength to matchup with Fan Caro. And then if you

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Speaker 4: put Brady Mannick on him, Manic doesn't have really this

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Speaker 4: foot speed to be able to stay with him in

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Speaker 4: the perimeter or when he faces up in the high post.

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Speaker 2: Right.

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Speaker 4: So, I think what this game comes down to, which

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Speaker 4: kind of comes down to any North Carolina game, is

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Speaker 4: how all the guards play. Because the guards have been

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Speaker 4: very inconsistent for I mean, Love and Davis has been

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Speaker 4: in the back or for the last three years or

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Speaker 4: two years, and you know, their consistency is a little

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Speaker 4: up and down. So it really comes down to how

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Speaker 4: well they play. And you know, I have a feeling

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Speaker 4: Duke is going to show a little same defensive scheme

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Speaker 4: as they did against Arkansas against Jade Notta's ice, the

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Speaker 4: ball screens try to get it out of their hands.

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Speaker 4: They just have to make sure they don't lose Mannick,

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Speaker 4: who is absolutely sniper when you lose him defensively, and

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Speaker 4: he's had a great tournament so far. But you know,

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Speaker 4: I think they can do a good enough job neutralizing

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Speaker 4: Baycot down low, neutralizing the guard play. And then the

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Speaker 4: X factor to me for this Duke team throughout the

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Speaker 4: tournament has been the emergence of Jeremy Roach at the

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Speaker 4: point guard spot. He's kind of lost minutes to AJ

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Speaker 4: Griffin and Trevor keer Peels throughout the year, but he's

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Speaker 4: been outstanding and really the point guard that Duke's been

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Speaker 4: looking for all year. Over the last few weeks and

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Speaker 4: during March, and he's bring their offensive ceiling way hot,

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Speaker 4: much higher than it was before this tournament even started. So,

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Speaker 4: you know, because of the narrative, the way Duke matches up,

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Speaker 4: I don't see them losing this game. So I'm even

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Speaker 4: gonna lay the points and take Duke four and a half.

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Speaker 4: But I do from a total perspective. I do think

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Speaker 4: that both offenses are going to have a lot of success,

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Speaker 4: so I'm going to be on the over as well.

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Speaker 1: The point about Roach is fantastic. He started in this

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Speaker 1: torn and I feel like it was a brilliant move

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Speaker 1: by Skrzyzewski and the coaching staff. He has gone thirty five,

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Speaker 1: thirty seven, thirty five and thirty five minutes just playing

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Speaker 1: massive minutes just to give you an idea. Only hit

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Speaker 1: thirty minutes in a one of the prior twelve games

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Speaker 1: for Duke. And what he's done Mike, I think has

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Speaker 1: put every Jenga piece in the right place. He's had

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Speaker 1: five assists two of these games. Getting assistant college basketball folks,

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Speaker 1: unless you're Chris Paul Backway farest not easy to do.

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Speaker 1: But everyone now is in a role and I think

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Speaker 1: that's critical. And you saw the window to close do

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Speaker 1: To beat Duke, I believe has closed. You need to

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Speaker 1: make shots at the end of games. Michigan State and

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Speaker 1: Texas Tech could not do that. What Michigan State did

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Speaker 1: a couple of years ago to Duke when they had

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Speaker 1: Zion and Reddish and all those guys is he They

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Speaker 1: were able to get a lead on them so that

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Speaker 1: Duke had the pressure. Once Duke took the lead there,

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Speaker 1: I think it's a totally different story. The emergence of

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Speaker 1: Roach is great. I like what North Carolina has done.

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Speaker 1: I think the Theo john with Mark Williams is very

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Speaker 1: underrated because I don't see that North Carolina has that

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Speaker 1: same depth. Dawstin Garcia left the team. They have Puff

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Speaker 1: Johnson behind him. But Baycott really has to have an

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Speaker 1: absolute monster game, which he did, but he's going to

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Speaker 1: have to keep it going. You mentioned Mannik who's been

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Speaker 1: on fire. He's fifty percent from three point range or

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Speaker 1: close to that in the tournament. That absolutely has to continue.

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Speaker 1: I want to follow up question on the over under

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Speaker 1: because I remember when it was in New Orleans the

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Speaker 1: last time all three games went under, but the prior

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Speaker 1: time it was in New Orleans, all three games went

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Speaker 1: over the final four in the championship game. So talk

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Speaker 1: a little bit about why you like the over in

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Speaker 1: this particular situation.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, it's funny, and there is a little bit of

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Speaker 4: a narrative where you know, as the tournament goes on

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Speaker 4: and the games get more tight, you know, teams do

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Speaker 4: play a little tighter and you know, the under is

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Speaker 4: usually the spot, but I think Vegas fixed that into

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Speaker 4: the lines a little bit. I think these these numbers

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Speaker 4: are a little lower than where they should be if

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Speaker 4: you looked on Ken Pom. But you know, you have Duke,

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Speaker 4: you and See. You know that the game is going

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Speaker 4: to be high paced up and down. It was both

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Speaker 4: times they played. It was high paced up and down.

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Speaker 4: You know, I think there's a few spots offensively that

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Speaker 4: both these teams could have success. If you look at

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Speaker 4: the second half of the last game, Duke really struggled

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Speaker 4: in that kind of middle top of the key pick

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Speaker 4: and roll situation where Mannick would slip and then you

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Speaker 4: had a short roll from Baycott. You know, I think

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Speaker 4: Dude's gonna game plan a little better against that. But

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Speaker 4: just because of the pace, just because of the matchup

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Speaker 4: problems like Ben Carro and even Jeremy Roach I can

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Speaker 4: give you and see, I think there's gonna be a lot,

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Speaker 4: a lot of points, a lot of possessions, and I

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Speaker 4: will be on the over I know it's a lot

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Speaker 4: of points, but I'm still gonna be on the overside.

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Speaker 1: And of course I'm with you. I'm with you, Mike

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Speaker 1: on both picks. So now we're looking at Kansas and Duke.

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Speaker 1: I mean a legendary, legendary matchup on Monday night. If

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Speaker 1: that happens and we're right, where are you going in

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Speaker 1: that game?

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Speaker 3: Okay, well I have to caveat pick with that.

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Speaker 4: I have a eighteen to one future on Kansas that

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Speaker 4: I took back in November, So I may be a

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Speaker 4: little biased here, but you know, I just think that overall,

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Speaker 4: top to ballot to bottom talent, Kansas has a little

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Speaker 4: more talent than this Duke team. From top to bottom.

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Speaker 4: They have the size with McCormack. They have kind of

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Speaker 4: dual point guards with Dwan Harris and Remy Martin. Now

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Speaker 4: Dwan Harris is an absolute lockdown defender, so if they

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Speaker 4: need somebody to follow Roach or whoever it is, they

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Speaker 4: have that person. And then they have length on the

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Speaker 4: wing with kind of a you kind of call a

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Speaker 4: three headed monster with Christian braun Chia Boggy and Jalen Wilson.

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Speaker 4: And they're switchable on defense. I think Bill selves just

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Speaker 4: has so many options that can give any team they play,

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Speaker 4: but this Duke team specifically just a complete headache. And

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Speaker 4: the one thing that Kansas hasn't been able to figure

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Speaker 4: out all year, And if you go back and look

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Speaker 4: at maybe like Bill Selt's postgame interviews, he was always

403
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Speaker 4: talking about their ball screen defense and their discipline on

404
00:20:07,320 --> 00:20:10,439
Speaker 4: the defensive end. But if that second half of that

405
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Speaker 4: Miami game, I think they may have found something defensively

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Speaker 4: that maybe they kind of pieced together and Bill self

407
00:20:16,680 --> 00:20:20,159
Speaker 4: maybe figured something out because that was their one weakness

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Speaker 4: and they absolutely locked down defensively against Miami in the

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Speaker 4: Elite eight. So if they continue to do that throughout

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Speaker 4: these next few games, I think that they should have

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Speaker 4: the advantage over this duke team, and I would be

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Speaker 4: siding with Kansas fantastic.

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Speaker 1: It would be a great, great matchup on Monday Night.

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Speaker 1: Last question, Mike, then we'll get you out of here

415
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Speaker 1: player props. Of course, we've covered sides, we've covered totals.

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Speaker 1: I'm on some unders in this Villanova game against Kansas

417
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Speaker 1: because I do think that Jay Wright is going to

418
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Speaker 1: be able to control pace, try to increase variants here

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Speaker 1: in a lower scoring game because he shorthanded a bogie under.

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Speaker 1: I think he's at sixteen and a half is what

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Speaker 1: I'm looking at. What about what are some props that

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00:20:58,920 --> 00:21:01,080
Speaker 1: have caught your eye here heading into the final four.

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Speaker 4: So it's funny you mention that because me and you have

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Speaker 4: the exact same thought in this game. Yeah, so Baji

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Speaker 4: was definitely one that I looked at sixteen and a half.

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Speaker 4: I'm a little afraid because, like we said, there's going

427
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Speaker 4: to be a game where he where he gets really

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Speaker 4: hot and hits a couple threes, because we haven't seen

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Speaker 4: it yet throughout the tournament. But pace wise, I don't

430
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Speaker 4: know if this is going to be it. Maybe it's

431
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Speaker 4: a championship game against Duke, you know, across your fingers.

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Speaker 3: And it's not this game.

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Speaker 4: But I thought that's sixteen and a half, I would

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00:21:30,960 --> 00:21:33,760
Speaker 4: be on the underside there and then on the Villanova side.

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00:21:34,200 --> 00:21:37,879
Speaker 4: I did notice that Jermaine Samuels points prop went up

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00:21:37,920 --> 00:21:39,680
Speaker 4: a little bit on draft games. It's at fourteen and

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Speaker 4: a half.

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Speaker 3: Now.

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Speaker 4: It's a little scary as well because without Justin Moore,

440
00:21:44,040 --> 00:21:45,920
Speaker 4: he's going to be a little more involved as uses,

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00:21:46,000 --> 00:21:47,879
Speaker 4: he's going to go up in the offense. But you know,

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00:21:47,960 --> 00:21:51,760
Speaker 4: this number is probably realistically maybe three, two or three

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00:21:51,760 --> 00:21:55,159
Speaker 4: points too high. Jermaine Samuel Samuels throughout the year. I

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00:21:55,160 --> 00:21:58,320
Speaker 4: think maybe average twelve points per game. He disappears sometimes

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Speaker 4: on offense if the game's going to be incredibly slow.

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Speaker 4: I think that's way too many points for him. So

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Speaker 4: I like to dream singles under fourteen and a half points.

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Speaker 1: Both of them excellent call Samuel's I've I've been hot

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Speaker 1: and I've done well financially with Samuel's over, but the

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Speaker 1: line has adjusted. I agree with you. It's gonna be

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Speaker 1: a fantastic matchup, folks. Mike Couchrie FTN Network, FtM, BETS, FTN,

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00:22:20,160 --> 00:22:24,240
Speaker 1: Daly All Things FTN great, great college basketball, Mine great

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00:22:24,240 --> 00:22:26,119
Speaker 1: with picks. Can really break it down for you and

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00:22:26,160 --> 00:22:29,120
Speaker 1: give you a strong rationale. Follow him on Twitter at

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Speaker 1: Mike Coutrie CBB. Mike, it's been great having you on here.

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Speaker 1: Final four. We have the blue Bloods. We're ready for

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Speaker 1: a great Monday Night and for your futures ticket. I

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Speaker 1: will roof for Kansas as well. I think that would

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Speaker 1: be fantastic here. It'll doke Kansas matchup and you smoking

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00:22:42,960 --> 00:22:44,879
Speaker 1: a cigar Monday Night with a big Fansas win.

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Speaker 3: I love it.

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Speaker 4: I appreciate this support, Mike. It's been a blast. So

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Speaker 4: you can have me on any time you want awesome,

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Speaker 4: it is not