1
00:00:00,280 --> 00:00:04,000
Speaker 1: It's the favorite podcast presented by FanDuel. It's NFL playoff time,

2
00:00:04,000 --> 00:00:05,800
Speaker 1: and there's no better place to get in on the

3
00:00:05,840 --> 00:00:08,680
Speaker 1: action than FanDuel. I love betting with fandul because they're

4
00:00:08,680 --> 00:00:10,719
Speaker 1: app is safe, secure and easy to use, and because

5
00:00:10,760 --> 00:00:14,800
Speaker 1: they're offering exclusive offers, boosts and more all month long.

6
00:00:15,200 --> 00:00:18,360
Speaker 1: And when I win with FanDuel, I get paid fast. Plus.

7
00:00:18,400 --> 00:00:22,400
Speaker 1: FanDuel is now live in Ohio, so use promo code

8
00:00:22,400 --> 00:00:25,720
Speaker 1: favorites and download the FanDuel app today to start making

9
00:00:25,800 --> 00:00:28,840
Speaker 1: every moment more. Must be twenty one or older and

10
00:00:28,880 --> 00:00:31,960
Speaker 1: in select states gambling problem call one eight hundred gambler

11
00:00:32,040 --> 00:00:35,760
Speaker 1: or visit FanDuel dot com slash r g in Colorado, Iowa, Michigan,

12
00:00:35,760 --> 00:00:39,440
Speaker 1: New Jersey, Pennsylvania, Illinois, Tennessee, Virginia, and Ohio one eight

13
00:00:39,520 --> 00:00:42,800
Speaker 1: hundred next step or text next step to five two

14
00:00:42,800 --> 00:00:45,800
Speaker 1: in Arizona one eight seven eight nine seven seven seven

15
00:00:45,840 --> 00:00:49,360
Speaker 1: seven or visit c CpG dot org slash chat in

16
00:00:49,360 --> 00:00:52,880
Speaker 1: Connecticut one eight hundred nine with it. In Indiana, visit

17
00:00:53,000 --> 00:00:55,920
Speaker 1: KS gambling help dot com. In Kansas one eight seven

18
00:00:56,000 --> 00:00:59,360
Speaker 1: seven seven seven zero stop. In Louisiana, visit m D

19
00:00:59,520 --> 00:01:03,000
Speaker 1: Gambling Help dot Org in Maryland one eight seven seven

20
00:01:03,000 --> 00:01:06,000
Speaker 1: eight Hope and Why, or text Hope and Why four

21
00:01:06,080 --> 00:01:08,920
Speaker 1: six seven three six nine in New York, one five

22
00:01:08,959 --> 00:01:11,360
Speaker 1: to two four seven zero zero in Wyoming, or visit

23
00:01:11,520 --> 00:01:22,880
Speaker 1: one eight hundred gambler dot net in West Virginia. Welcome

24
00:01:23,080 --> 00:01:26,800
Speaker 1: to the Favorites, the podcast from the Volume Podcast Network.

25
00:01:26,840 --> 00:01:30,600
Speaker 1: I am Schad Milman, cheap content Officer of the Action Network. Boy,

26
00:01:30,720 --> 00:01:34,440
Speaker 1: we got a paloza of a show. We are following

27
00:01:34,560 --> 00:01:40,160
Speaker 1: up on the brilliant annual best podcast we may do

28
00:01:40,400 --> 00:01:44,280
Speaker 1: in the entirety of the Action Network Podcast Universe, as

29
00:01:44,400 --> 00:01:47,600
Speaker 1: envisioned by Matt Mitchell. Uh. It is the props of

30
00:01:47,640 --> 00:01:52,760
Speaker 1: Palosa podcast that Sean Kerner and Chris Raybon do every year.

31
00:01:53,440 --> 00:01:56,480
Speaker 1: They did it UH early this week. I think it

32
00:01:56,560 --> 00:01:59,560
Speaker 1: came out. It came out this morning. I feel like

33
00:01:59,600 --> 00:02:02,960
Speaker 1: it's all blurring in my head. Simon Hunter professional better,

34
00:02:03,240 --> 00:02:07,000
Speaker 1: my bff, my companion, Mike and Padre Hello saw him in.

35
00:02:07,800 --> 00:02:11,200
Speaker 1: Hello Chad, Good to be back in the States. You're back.

36
00:02:11,360 --> 00:02:16,360
Speaker 1: You're back from England. Cheerio, my friend, you survived. I

37
00:02:16,360 --> 00:02:18,440
Speaker 1: think you were drunk from most of the podcast you

38
00:02:18,480 --> 00:02:22,560
Speaker 1: did last week. Definitely was, but I got my point

39
00:02:22,560 --> 00:02:23,760
Speaker 1: out there. I think people knew where I was going

40
00:02:23,840 --> 00:02:26,880
Speaker 1: to be regardless, but the alcohol definitely maybe a little

41
00:02:26,880 --> 00:02:30,800
Speaker 1: more confident that usually. But uh yeah, firing away last week,

42
00:02:31,280 --> 00:02:34,720
Speaker 1: you know, on Saturday, um, I went to the U

43
00:02:34,840 --> 00:02:38,360
Speaker 1: n C at Duke game at Cameron. How five sporting

44
00:02:38,360 --> 00:02:41,440
Speaker 1: event I've ever been too, stunning, how good it was.

45
00:02:41,680 --> 00:02:43,680
Speaker 1: I was rooting for Duke because I was there and

46
00:02:43,720 --> 00:02:46,840
Speaker 1: because why not? But I bet on North Carolina. They

47
00:02:46,840 --> 00:02:48,480
Speaker 1: didn't cover. The spread was three and a half. What

48
00:02:48,520 --> 00:02:52,000
Speaker 1: the hell? Chare didn't care because the game was so

49
00:02:52,080 --> 00:02:55,919
Speaker 1: much fun. I didn't care. Truly astonishing, I woun't say.

50
00:02:55,919 --> 00:02:57,280
Speaker 1: That's what got me hooked on Dick. That's why I

51
00:02:57,280 --> 00:03:00,120
Speaker 1: gotta Duke, push Rhim and Cameron indoor. I went there

52
00:03:00,200 --> 00:03:01,919
Speaker 1: or whatever. That was eight or nine years old as

53
00:03:01,919 --> 00:03:05,000
Speaker 1: the first American sporting event experience, and it changed my

54
00:03:05,080 --> 00:03:08,760
Speaker 1: life walking around that campus. We walked around Sachowski Ville.

55
00:03:09,600 --> 00:03:11,959
Speaker 1: Everyone's drunk. All the kids are running around it with

56
00:03:12,080 --> 00:03:15,560
Speaker 1: twenty degrees outside. Nobody had any clothes on. They didn't care.

57
00:03:15,960 --> 00:03:18,760
Speaker 1: You walk around the quase and every garbage can is

58
00:03:18,800 --> 00:03:23,320
Speaker 1: filled with just liquor bottles that are empty and cases

59
00:03:23,360 --> 00:03:26,560
Speaker 1: of bud Light and wine bottles, and my sixteen year

60
00:03:26,560 --> 00:03:30,480
Speaker 1: old kids is just walking around like college is the

61
00:03:30,520 --> 00:03:35,400
Speaker 1: fucking best. He just could not get his head around

62
00:03:35,440 --> 00:03:38,400
Speaker 1: all of it. So we're back. It's a great way

63
00:03:38,400 --> 00:03:41,320
Speaker 1: to spend the non football weekend before the Super Bowl.

64
00:03:41,680 --> 00:03:44,160
Speaker 1: You know what a better way to spend time is

65
00:03:45,160 --> 00:03:48,640
Speaker 1: bringing in Sean Kroner, bringing in Chris Raybon. I feel

66
00:03:48,680 --> 00:03:52,760
Speaker 1: like I have. I've got the Yankees Murderers row on

67
00:03:52,800 --> 00:03:57,280
Speaker 1: this podcast right now between the three of you. Kroner, Hello,

68
00:03:58,040 --> 00:04:01,240
Speaker 1: what's up? Chad Raybon? Good to see your brother. I'm

69
00:04:01,240 --> 00:04:03,160
Speaker 1: been losing my voice yelling at Sean about all these

70
00:04:03,160 --> 00:04:06,000
Speaker 1: punter props and stuff all week, so about how much

71
00:04:06,040 --> 00:04:10,600
Speaker 1: money we're gonna make on them. That's the beauty of

72
00:04:10,760 --> 00:04:15,440
Speaker 1: proper Palooza is the punter props are probably Sean Kroner's

73
00:04:15,520 --> 00:04:19,039
Speaker 1: favorite thing to bet on, and we're gonna get to

74
00:04:19,160 --> 00:04:22,120
Speaker 1: it for the rundown of this show. I want to

75
00:04:22,120 --> 00:04:25,920
Speaker 1: remind people, if you're listening to us, follow the Favorites

76
00:04:26,040 --> 00:04:29,000
Speaker 1: and Apple Podcasts. It's the best way to get us

77
00:04:29,360 --> 00:04:33,000
Speaker 1: as quickly as possible. Follow the Favorites, follow us and Spotify. However,

78
00:04:33,000 --> 00:04:36,160
Speaker 1: you get your podcasts file the favorites. We're gonna go

79
00:04:36,200 --> 00:04:40,520
Speaker 1: over some props, Raybon. When you and Stucky do the

80
00:04:40,560 --> 00:04:43,080
Speaker 1: Action Network podcasts, which I love your Thursdays, you'll do

81
00:04:43,080 --> 00:04:46,479
Speaker 1: the six Pack. I've listened to that you basically focused

82
00:04:46,480 --> 00:04:48,400
Speaker 1: on props for the six pack this week. I want

83
00:04:48,440 --> 00:04:52,000
Speaker 1: us to use a similar theme for the podcast this week.

84
00:04:52,200 --> 00:04:54,520
Speaker 1: I want each of you to be giving me your

85
00:04:54,640 --> 00:04:59,000
Speaker 1: favorite props right now. A reminder as we go through this,

86
00:05:00,040 --> 00:05:03,400
Speaker 1: the beauty of props, or the challenge with props is

87
00:05:03,440 --> 00:05:07,000
Speaker 1: that prices change. When Raybond does this, when Kroner does this,

88
00:05:07,040 --> 00:05:10,640
Speaker 1: when Simon does this, they are all evaluating based on

89
00:05:11,520 --> 00:05:14,800
Speaker 1: the price. It could open at minus one ten, could

90
00:05:14,839 --> 00:05:18,120
Speaker 1: shoot up to minus one thirty, minus one, minus one fifty.

91
00:05:18,440 --> 00:05:21,279
Speaker 1: The variance is in the price, not necessarily in the

92
00:05:21,400 --> 00:05:24,160
Speaker 1: number itself that's moving as much. So it's just something

93
00:05:24,200 --> 00:05:26,680
Speaker 1: to keep in mind. Um, we will ask them to

94
00:05:26,760 --> 00:05:29,520
Speaker 1: give their sort of floor in their ceiling for what

95
00:05:29,600 --> 00:05:31,599
Speaker 1: the prices are on these props, as well as their

96
00:05:32,120 --> 00:05:36,160
Speaker 1: floor and ceiling for yardage. But let's just kick it off, Raybon,

97
00:05:36,560 --> 00:05:40,719
Speaker 1: you go first, give me your favorite prop for Super

98
00:05:40,800 --> 00:05:46,000
Speaker 1: Bowl fifty seven. All right, well, I'm going straight to penalties. Uh,

99
00:05:46,080 --> 00:05:48,160
Speaker 1: you know, there's not allowed to talk about Carl Cheffer's

100
00:05:48,720 --> 00:05:52,680
Speaker 1: the referee, and I think you gotta go over ten

101
00:05:52,680 --> 00:05:55,760
Speaker 1: penalties accepted here. Um, I've seen it at minus one ten.

102
00:05:56,040 --> 00:05:58,040
Speaker 1: If you look at him all times, seventy percent of

103
00:05:58,080 --> 00:06:00,000
Speaker 1: the time he's called eleven or more penalties in a game.

104
00:06:00,000 --> 00:06:03,000
Speaker 1: Game Uh just uh fifteen percent at the time he's

105
00:06:03,040 --> 00:06:05,159
Speaker 1: called a fewer than ten in a game. So if

106
00:06:05,200 --> 00:06:07,480
Speaker 1: you can get the even ten, I think it's a

107
00:06:07,520 --> 00:06:09,920
Speaker 1: slam dunk um. And then even at ten and a half,

108
00:06:10,240 --> 00:06:12,880
Speaker 1: I still think there's value there. Um. With a Western

109
00:06:12,920 --> 00:06:16,960
Speaker 1: the postseason, he goes about over eleven or more and

110
00:06:17,000 --> 00:06:20,720
Speaker 1: then about eight percent nine or fewer. But either way,

111
00:06:20,839 --> 00:06:23,520
Speaker 1: this guy is leaning towards calling a lot of penalties

112
00:06:23,560 --> 00:06:26,159
Speaker 1: more than calling a few menalties. So that's one where

113
00:06:26,160 --> 00:06:28,360
Speaker 1: I'm giving people to split. So if the books want

114
00:06:28,360 --> 00:06:32,080
Speaker 1: to get cute and change the number and it goes

115
00:06:32,120 --> 00:06:34,120
Speaker 1: to you know, let's say eleven and a half or something,

116
00:06:34,160 --> 00:06:37,200
Speaker 1: then you still bang the under. So um, but I would,

117
00:06:37,200 --> 00:06:39,360
Speaker 1: I would, I would really bang the over at ten

118
00:06:39,520 --> 00:06:42,080
Speaker 1: or ten and a half for Jeffer's penalties. How do

119
00:06:42,160 --> 00:06:46,719
Speaker 1: you find that what is that under It depends on

120
00:06:46,720 --> 00:06:49,440
Speaker 1: the site, usually game props or game special or something

121
00:06:49,520 --> 00:06:52,480
Speaker 1: like that, something with the game, the entire game, because

122
00:06:52,520 --> 00:06:54,279
Speaker 1: I'm looking to bet that right now and I don't

123
00:06:54,279 --> 00:06:58,640
Speaker 1: even know where to find it. So I'm looking on

124
00:06:58,720 --> 00:07:01,720
Speaker 1: fandor right now. Yeah, vandelous stuff. They got props spread

125
00:07:01,960 --> 00:07:05,599
Speaker 1: all over. It's so hard. Well, I guess while Croner

126
00:07:05,680 --> 00:07:07,279
Speaker 1: is telling me his favorite proble, I'm gonna have to

127
00:07:07,279 --> 00:07:10,200
Speaker 1: go you're out. But Raybun, this is like a little

128
00:07:10,240 --> 00:07:14,040
Speaker 1: episode of Convinced Me. You know, if you're talking about

129
00:07:14,640 --> 00:07:19,120
Speaker 1: officials and there's a prop on official I'm I'm duty

130
00:07:19,120 --> 00:07:23,280
Speaker 1: bound to bedding, So give me that one, Coroner, give

131
00:07:23,320 --> 00:07:26,480
Speaker 1: me your favorite prop. Yeah, so my favorite prop right

132
00:07:26,480 --> 00:07:29,000
Speaker 1: now is actually for the Chiefs to call the first

133
00:07:29,000 --> 00:07:32,320
Speaker 1: time out. You can get this around minus one oh

134
00:07:32,360 --> 00:07:34,800
Speaker 1: five right now, And it does seem like this would

135
00:07:34,800 --> 00:07:37,360
Speaker 1: be a market that's similar to the coin toss, where

136
00:07:37,400 --> 00:07:39,640
Speaker 1: it's just more of a fifty fifty type of bet

137
00:07:39,720 --> 00:07:42,239
Speaker 1: that just comes down to luck. But that's not the case,

138
00:07:42,440 --> 00:07:45,120
Speaker 1: especially with this matchup and last year, if you recall,

139
00:07:45,400 --> 00:07:47,440
Speaker 1: one of my favorite props was the Rams to call

140
00:07:47,520 --> 00:07:50,000
Speaker 1: the first time out, Sean McVeigh is one of the

141
00:07:50,040 --> 00:07:53,440
Speaker 1: most wasteful coaches when calling time outs. Um So, I

142
00:07:53,480 --> 00:07:57,240
Speaker 1: went and I tracked both these teams, which teams called

143
00:07:57,240 --> 00:08:00,000
Speaker 1: the first time out in all their games and which

144
00:08:00,040 --> 00:08:02,800
Speaker 1: ones were wasteful. So wasteful time outs or when the

145
00:08:02,840 --> 00:08:05,640
Speaker 1: offense or defense has to call time out due to

146
00:08:05,960 --> 00:08:08,200
Speaker 1: you know, the play cocks about to expire, they're trying

147
00:08:08,200 --> 00:08:11,040
Speaker 1: to avoid a delay of game penalty, or they don't

148
00:08:11,080 --> 00:08:13,160
Speaker 1: have the right personnel on the field, or for any

149
00:08:13,200 --> 00:08:16,920
Speaker 1: other reasons. Um And the Chiefs called the first time

150
00:08:16,920 --> 00:08:20,440
Speaker 1: out in fifteen of nineteen of their games. So that's

151
00:08:20,440 --> 00:08:24,200
Speaker 1: a seventy nine percent rate, and twelve of those first

152
00:08:24,200 --> 00:08:27,400
Speaker 1: time outs were of the wasteful variety by Andy Reid.

153
00:08:27,480 --> 00:08:30,480
Speaker 1: So that's a significant trend. And on the on the

154
00:08:30,520 --> 00:08:33,480
Speaker 1: other side, Nick Sirianni, since he came in the league,

155
00:08:33,640 --> 00:08:35,719
Speaker 1: um he has been one of the best coaches at

156
00:08:35,760 --> 00:08:38,280
Speaker 1: saving his time outs. He really doesn't waste time outs.

157
00:08:38,640 --> 00:08:41,040
Speaker 1: Um So, they've been the first team to call time

158
00:08:41,040 --> 00:08:44,440
Speaker 1: out and only seven of their nineteen games. That's a

159
00:08:44,520 --> 00:08:48,120
Speaker 1: thirty seven percent rate. Um So, I just think any

160
00:08:48,200 --> 00:08:51,640
Speaker 1: Reid is way more likely to be the first coach

161
00:08:51,679 --> 00:08:53,480
Speaker 1: to call time out and it's going to be of

162
00:08:53,520 --> 00:08:56,640
Speaker 1: the wasteful variety. Um so I'm projecting this around a

163
00:08:56,760 --> 00:08:59,839
Speaker 1: sixty sixty five percent chance of the Chiefs calling the

164
00:09:00,160 --> 00:09:01,640
Speaker 1: time out and we can get this, like I said

165
00:09:01,640 --> 00:09:03,400
Speaker 1: at minus one on five. So I love the value

166
00:09:03,400 --> 00:09:06,800
Speaker 1: were getting on this. I mean, come on here, here's

167
00:09:06,800 --> 00:09:10,280
Speaker 1: what I love. So you've got another one that you

168
00:09:10,280 --> 00:09:13,400
Speaker 1: wrote about on Action network dot com and in the

169
00:09:13,440 --> 00:09:16,760
Speaker 1: Action Network app? Will both teams kick a field goal

170
00:09:16,800 --> 00:09:19,880
Speaker 1: longer than thirty three yards? And the stat in there

171
00:09:20,360 --> 00:09:25,000
Speaker 1: was Harrison Bucker has done it in seven of fifteen games,

172
00:09:25,000 --> 00:09:27,560
Speaker 1: so only forty seven percent of the time, and Jake

173
00:09:27,559 --> 00:09:29,760
Speaker 1: Elliott has basically done it in only a third of

174
00:09:29,800 --> 00:09:32,840
Speaker 1: his games, so there was an edge in playing the No,

175
00:09:33,920 --> 00:09:35,920
Speaker 1: both teams will not kick a field goal of more

176
00:09:35,920 --> 00:09:38,720
Speaker 1: than thirty three yards. But now you're giving me like

177
00:09:38,960 --> 00:09:43,440
Speaker 1: first down research take us like these are so obscure.

178
00:09:44,160 --> 00:09:47,200
Speaker 1: Explain a little bit, like how much time did you

179
00:09:47,240 --> 00:09:50,200
Speaker 1: spend researching this? Give a model doing all this and

180
00:09:50,240 --> 00:09:52,080
Speaker 1: you're just spitting it in there, Like how do you

181
00:09:52,120 --> 00:09:55,240
Speaker 1: get there's thousands of props in there? How are you

182
00:09:55,280 --> 00:09:57,000
Speaker 1: firing the time to find the edge for all these.

183
00:09:57,480 --> 00:10:01,480
Speaker 1: So the field goal one, I literally used that in

184
00:10:01,559 --> 00:10:03,880
Speaker 1: my simulator, so I was able to find that out.

185
00:10:04,360 --> 00:10:07,199
Speaker 1: UM that one. You know, I had a thirty four

186
00:10:07,200 --> 00:10:09,280
Speaker 1: there's a thirty or four percent chance that neither team

187
00:10:09,320 --> 00:10:11,800
Speaker 1: kicks a field goal, so that's an automatic winner that

188
00:10:12,080 --> 00:10:14,240
Speaker 1: not both teams would make a field goal over thirty

189
00:10:14,240 --> 00:10:16,400
Speaker 1: three yards. And then I found there was an eight

190
00:10:16,400 --> 00:10:18,680
Speaker 1: percent chance that at least one team would kick a

191
00:10:18,679 --> 00:10:22,040
Speaker 1: field goal, but it wouldn't be longer than thirty three yards.

192
00:10:22,080 --> 00:10:25,880
Speaker 1: So that was all just simulator driven math. For the

193
00:10:25,920 --> 00:10:28,360
Speaker 1: time outs, I had so much fun with that one.

194
00:10:28,440 --> 00:10:30,320
Speaker 1: Last year. I actually went through and just looked at

195
00:10:30,320 --> 00:10:32,840
Speaker 1: the game logs UM and I was charting, you know,

196
00:10:32,880 --> 00:10:36,120
Speaker 1: which ones were wasteful. So any time that's called before

197
00:10:36,200 --> 00:10:39,280
Speaker 1: say four minutes left in the half, UM, I was

198
00:10:39,360 --> 00:10:43,000
Speaker 1: charting those as wasteful time outs. Again, the coaches want

199
00:10:43,040 --> 00:10:45,120
Speaker 1: to save time outs for you know, the two minute

200
00:10:45,120 --> 00:10:47,600
Speaker 1: warning and use it to stop the clock. And like

201
00:10:47,640 --> 00:10:51,440
Speaker 1: I said, Nick Siriani has been masterful with that since

202
00:10:51,480 --> 00:10:54,000
Speaker 1: he's coming the league, and I was shocked. Usually any

203
00:10:54,120 --> 00:10:56,040
Speaker 1: Reid is or Bill of the pack, but this year

204
00:10:56,080 --> 00:10:58,120
Speaker 1: he was going through time outs like they were cheeseburgers.

205
00:10:58,800 --> 00:11:01,400
Speaker 1: Just insane. How really he's been calling time out, How

206
00:11:01,480 --> 00:11:05,240
Speaker 1: wasteful he's been. So he's been very sloppy. So just

207
00:11:05,280 --> 00:11:08,080
Speaker 1: the fact that this goes in both directions just I

208
00:11:08,160 --> 00:11:10,640
Speaker 1: just couldn't believe how much value we're getting on this problem.

209
00:11:10,760 --> 00:11:13,079
Speaker 1: Oh you said cheeseburg You know Andy Reid doesn't eat

210
00:11:13,360 --> 00:11:16,320
Speaker 1: less than a double cheeseburger. Come on, man, yeah, whatever

211
00:11:16,320 --> 00:11:19,600
Speaker 1: he eats. But he's been very sloppy this year. Ray Bond,

212
00:11:19,640 --> 00:11:22,360
Speaker 1: remind me what you said about the penalties. Prop You

213
00:11:22,400 --> 00:11:24,560
Speaker 1: still like it it over ten and a half. Yeah,

214
00:11:24,559 --> 00:11:26,679
Speaker 1: so I'm saying, yeah, over time and a half is

215
00:11:26,960 --> 00:11:29,960
Speaker 1: still good. Um, over ten is a slam dunk. But

216
00:11:30,000 --> 00:11:31,880
Speaker 1: if they move it to eleven and a half, then

217
00:11:32,280 --> 00:11:35,640
Speaker 1: obviously then you go under because then that's that's just

218
00:11:35,800 --> 00:11:38,880
Speaker 1: on the far end of the spectrum in terms of

219
00:11:38,960 --> 00:11:42,440
Speaker 1: in terms of penalty ball. All right, so we got

220
00:11:43,040 --> 00:11:47,280
Speaker 1: over ten and a half penalties, we got over. We

221
00:11:47,360 --> 00:11:49,959
Speaker 1: got Kansas City with the first time out, which I

222
00:11:50,040 --> 00:11:56,800
Speaker 1: kind of love makes total sense. Simon, as Abba would say, gimme, gimme, gimme,

223
00:11:57,280 --> 00:12:00,440
Speaker 1: let's start off with our first crazy problems day. I

224
00:12:00,480 --> 00:12:03,360
Speaker 1: love these really big odd props. They're just fun to bet.

225
00:12:03,480 --> 00:12:04,880
Speaker 1: All you gotta do is head a couple of them

226
00:12:04,920 --> 00:12:07,880
Speaker 1: every ten years, get your money back. So the first

227
00:12:07,880 --> 00:12:09,880
Speaker 1: one given out, it's most books, is better than ten

228
00:12:09,920 --> 00:12:12,280
Speaker 1: to one. I'm looking at FanDuel right now. You literally

229
00:12:12,320 --> 00:12:15,240
Speaker 1: go to defensive props. You scroll down and it says

230
00:12:15,280 --> 00:12:19,840
Speaker 1: safety during the game. Yes, is over ten to one,

231
00:12:19,960 --> 00:12:21,640
Speaker 1: so that there will be a safety in this game.

232
00:12:21,920 --> 00:12:23,680
Speaker 1: And I love for a multitud of reasons. The biggest

233
00:12:23,720 --> 00:12:26,960
Speaker 1: one is both these coaches. If they get below fourth

234
00:12:27,000 --> 00:12:30,200
Speaker 1: and five in the red zone, they are going for it.

235
00:12:30,280 --> 00:12:32,839
Speaker 1: So I love the fact that the Chiefs don't want

236
00:12:32,840 --> 00:12:36,040
Speaker 1: to run the ball, especially even if it's fourth and one. Statistically,

237
00:12:36,080 --> 00:12:37,920
Speaker 1: they passed one than any other team of football because

238
00:12:37,920 --> 00:12:40,320
Speaker 1: they do this weird or shuffle pass play. They're just

239
00:12:40,360 --> 00:12:42,160
Speaker 1: a team that when they get down there, they're gonna

240
00:12:42,200 --> 00:12:44,439
Speaker 1: go for it. Same with the Eagles they're there. They

241
00:12:44,480 --> 00:12:47,440
Speaker 1: have kicked the least amount of field goals this year

242
00:12:47,800 --> 00:12:50,880
Speaker 1: from closer than ten yards all season. So when I'm

243
00:12:50,880 --> 00:12:52,560
Speaker 1: looking at this match up, I see both teams that

244
00:12:52,920 --> 00:12:55,079
Speaker 1: are gonna go for it when they're down there and

245
00:12:55,160 --> 00:12:57,280
Speaker 1: fourth down, and if they both fail. You have two

246
00:12:57,360 --> 00:13:00,320
Speaker 1: quarterbacks that hold onto the ball, two quarter backs that

247
00:13:00,400 --> 00:13:03,320
Speaker 1: had been sacked, so her it's got really lucky. Last

248
00:13:03,360 --> 00:13:05,439
Speaker 1: week he got out of that safety just by an

249
00:13:05,440 --> 00:13:09,000
Speaker 1: inch out of Bosta's grasp. I don't think he's got

250
00:13:09,080 --> 00:13:10,520
Speaker 1: the same kind of luck this week. I think he's

251
00:13:10,520 --> 00:13:12,440
Speaker 1: gonna might be hold on too much. So to be

252
00:13:12,520 --> 00:13:14,360
Speaker 1: the fact that this number is so big is insane

253
00:13:14,360 --> 00:13:16,000
Speaker 1: to me. It's closer to eighth the one to me

254
00:13:16,440 --> 00:13:19,200
Speaker 1: than tend to one. You get lucky too. We we

255
00:13:19,240 --> 00:13:21,480
Speaker 1: got really lucky a couple of years ago. Uh that

256
00:13:21,600 --> 00:13:24,160
Speaker 1: Denver Seattle game. First snap of the game, Denver snaps

257
00:13:24,160 --> 00:13:26,120
Speaker 1: at the back of the ENDZ and so he gets

258
00:13:26,120 --> 00:13:27,640
Speaker 1: stupid and fall into it as well. But I do

259
00:13:27,760 --> 00:13:29,839
Speaker 1: think we have a couple of scenarios that play out

260
00:13:29,840 --> 00:13:32,800
Speaker 1: well to this number. Well. I think that's fascinating. It

261
00:13:32,880 --> 00:13:34,800
Speaker 1: used to be for years like that was the one

262
00:13:35,320 --> 00:13:40,240
Speaker 1: no overtime, no safety Like those would be the props

263
00:13:40,280 --> 00:13:43,559
Speaker 1: that professional betters would bet to the max on no

264
00:13:44,280 --> 00:13:47,600
Speaker 1: and they treated as like a four hour savings account

265
00:13:47,600 --> 00:13:51,280
Speaker 1: with a very high return. So I like your logic.

266
00:13:51,640 --> 00:13:56,840
Speaker 1: It actually feels to me like there's a through line

267
00:13:56,840 --> 00:14:00,880
Speaker 1: in there to what current or what I just mentioned

268
00:14:00,920 --> 00:14:03,720
Speaker 1: earlier about Kerner and the field goal props, in that

269
00:14:04,920 --> 00:14:09,400
Speaker 1: the expectations these are these are these are not conservative

270
00:14:09,440 --> 00:14:12,040
Speaker 1: coaches when it comes to play calling. When they're in

271
00:14:12,040 --> 00:14:14,719
Speaker 1: the red zone, they won't kick field goals. When they

272
00:14:14,760 --> 00:14:19,400
Speaker 1: are just outside the red zone, say thirty five medium range,

273
00:14:19,440 --> 00:14:22,320
Speaker 1: fourth down, they'll go for it instead of kicking a

274
00:14:22,400 --> 00:14:26,600
Speaker 1: fifty something your field goal. Your theory on their their

275
00:14:26,680 --> 00:14:31,000
Speaker 1: tendencies inside the five is similar to that I like it,

276
00:14:31,360 --> 00:14:33,200
Speaker 1: and it's the Chiefs. They don't got to save your

277
00:14:33,280 --> 00:14:35,520
Speaker 1: chat Henny in there to drive the field ninety eight yards.

278
00:14:35,520 --> 00:14:38,080
Speaker 1: They gotta go with my homes. So it's not really

279
00:14:38,080 --> 00:14:40,080
Speaker 1: as good as chat Henny when it comes to crunch time.

280
00:14:42,480 --> 00:14:44,520
Speaker 1: This year, the only app you need at your Super

281
00:14:44,560 --> 00:14:48,880
Speaker 1: Bowl party is FanDuel, America's number one sports book. Download

282
00:14:48,920 --> 00:14:51,120
Speaker 1: FanDuel now and use promo code Favorites so you can

283
00:14:51,160 --> 00:14:54,880
Speaker 1: bet Super Bowl fifty seven with a no sweat first bet.

284
00:14:55,400 --> 00:14:57,640
Speaker 1: You'll get up to three thousand dollars back and bonus

285
00:14:57,640 --> 00:15:00,400
Speaker 1: bets if your first bet doesn't win. FanDuel lets you

286
00:15:00,480 --> 00:15:02,760
Speaker 1: bet on everything from the money line to points, breads

287
00:15:02,840 --> 00:15:06,160
Speaker 1: to who will score a touchdown for Super Bowl fifty seven.

288
00:15:06,240 --> 00:15:09,840
Speaker 1: My favorite bet is Kansas City plus two and a

289
00:15:09,880 --> 00:15:13,520
Speaker 1: half because why would you bet against the greatest quarterback

290
00:15:13,600 --> 00:15:17,480
Speaker 1: in NFL history? All on a top rated sports book

291
00:15:17,480 --> 00:15:20,840
Speaker 1: app that's safe, secure, and super easy to use. Best

292
00:15:20,880 --> 00:15:24,240
Speaker 1: of all, you can get paid your winnings instantly. So

293
00:15:24,400 --> 00:15:27,720
Speaker 1: joined FanDuel today with promo code Favorites to claim your

294
00:15:27,720 --> 00:15:31,840
Speaker 1: no sweat first bet on Super Bowl fifty seven. Make

295
00:15:31,920 --> 00:15:35,320
Speaker 1: every Moment More with fan Duel. Official sports book partner

296
00:15:35,320 --> 00:15:37,880
Speaker 1: of the NFL. Must be twenty one or over and

297
00:15:38,000 --> 00:15:41,240
Speaker 1: present in select states. First online real money weigh for

298
00:15:41,400 --> 00:15:45,520
Speaker 1: only ten dollar deposit required, Refund issued as non withdrawable

299
00:15:45,520 --> 00:15:49,000
Speaker 1: bonus best that expire in fourteen days. Restrictions apply see

300
00:15:49,080 --> 00:15:52,000
Speaker 1: terms of sports book dot FanDuel dot com Gambling problem,

301
00:15:52,040 --> 00:15:55,960
Speaker 1: Call one Gambler or visit FanDuel dot com slash r

302
00:15:56,000 --> 00:16:01,040
Speaker 1: g in Colorado, Iowa, Michigan, New Jersey, Pennsylvania, Illinois, Virginia

303
00:16:01,200 --> 00:16:04,120
Speaker 1: one eight hundred, next step or text next step to

304
00:16:04,240 --> 00:16:07,040
Speaker 1: five three three four two In Arizona one eight eight

305
00:16:07,040 --> 00:16:09,840
Speaker 1: eight seven eight nine seven seven seven seven, or visit

306
00:16:10,040 --> 00:16:14,600
Speaker 1: c CpG dot org slash chat in Connecticut one eight

307
00:16:14,680 --> 00:16:18,320
Speaker 1: hundred nine with it in Indiana, k S Gambling help

308
00:16:18,480 --> 00:16:21,720
Speaker 1: dot Com in Kansas one eight seven seven seven seven

309
00:16:21,800 --> 00:16:25,320
Speaker 1: zero stop in Louisiana one eight seven seven eight Hope

310
00:16:25,440 --> 00:16:28,640
Speaker 1: NY or text Hope n Y. In New York, Tennessee.

311
00:16:28,720 --> 00:16:32,000
Speaker 1: Redline is one eight hundred eight eight nine eight nine

312
00:16:32,000 --> 00:16:35,240
Speaker 1: one eight hundred five to two hundred in Wyoming or

313
00:16:35,320 --> 00:16:40,360
Speaker 1: visit www. One eight hundred gambler dot net in West Virginia.

314
00:16:41,520 --> 00:16:43,440
Speaker 1: There's a lot of talk right now about Jalen Hurts.

315
00:16:44,040 --> 00:16:48,000
Speaker 1: He's been injured. He did not look good in that

316
00:16:48,160 --> 00:16:51,320
Speaker 1: Niners game. He missed some easy passes, especially early on

317
00:16:51,360 --> 00:16:54,920
Speaker 1: to A J. Brown. How come nobody's talking about Jalen Hurts.

318
00:16:54,920 --> 00:16:59,360
Speaker 1: Two hundred forty yards over under for total for passing yards,

319
00:16:59,360 --> 00:17:02,680
Speaker 1: So I've I talked about that. UM. That was like

320
00:17:03,080 --> 00:17:05,159
Speaker 1: that was like a like a week ago. I was

321
00:17:05,200 --> 00:17:06,720
Speaker 1: talking about that when it was it was up by

322
00:17:06,760 --> 00:17:11,919
Speaker 1: like two six seven UM, and then I thought it

323
00:17:11,960 --> 00:17:14,280
Speaker 1: was gonna keep going up because people keep betting overs.

324
00:17:14,280 --> 00:17:15,600
Speaker 1: And I woke up one day and it was just

325
00:17:15,640 --> 00:17:18,439
Speaker 1: ten yards lower. So I don't know if somebody like

326
00:17:18,720 --> 00:17:21,400
Speaker 1: agreed with me and steamed the under. What but now

327
00:17:21,440 --> 00:17:23,640
Speaker 1: it's kind of like a little bit more in line,

328
00:17:23,680 --> 00:17:25,200
Speaker 1: because I thought it should have been in the mid

329
00:17:25,600 --> 00:17:29,200
Speaker 1: in the mid two thirties, um, you know, the whole time,

330
00:17:29,320 --> 00:17:32,040
Speaker 1: and which it's starting to go to now. But um,

331
00:17:32,440 --> 00:17:35,240
Speaker 1: it was initially opened way too high. I think I

332
00:17:35,240 --> 00:17:37,240
Speaker 1: think it's a lot more fair at this price because

333
00:17:37,920 --> 00:17:40,879
Speaker 1: on one hand, you're he's only gone off over you know,

334
00:17:40,960 --> 00:17:44,080
Speaker 1: too forty three five times. I believe in his seventeen stars.

335
00:17:44,119 --> 00:17:48,000
Speaker 1: But uh, you also expect, because this is the lowest

336
00:17:48,000 --> 00:17:49,640
Speaker 1: spread they've had a year, they could be a little

337
00:17:49,640 --> 00:17:52,080
Speaker 1: bit more pass heavy than normal. So I thought the

338
00:17:52,080 --> 00:17:53,960
Speaker 1: market was over inflating it when it was way up

339
00:17:54,000 --> 00:17:56,200
Speaker 1: in the mid two forties, But now it's a little

340
00:17:56,280 --> 00:17:58,680
Speaker 1: more on point, uh, you know, in the mid to

341
00:17:58,800 --> 00:18:02,720
Speaker 1: high two thirties. Well from my favorite prop, I'm gonna

342
00:18:02,720 --> 00:18:06,840
Speaker 1: steal one from Simon Hunter, which he talked about. I

343
00:18:06,880 --> 00:18:09,080
Speaker 1: think we talked about it on Green Dot Daily. We've

344
00:18:09,080 --> 00:18:10,920
Speaker 1: talked so much about this game at this point, I

345
00:18:11,000 --> 00:18:14,200
Speaker 1: can't remember where he talks about it. But I actually

346
00:18:14,320 --> 00:18:18,280
Speaker 1: love the idea of over two and a half players

347
00:18:18,840 --> 00:18:22,400
Speaker 1: to throw a pass in this game. I think it's

348
00:18:22,400 --> 00:18:24,600
Speaker 1: brilliant because you know, obviously it hurts some mahomes are

349
00:18:24,600 --> 00:18:27,280
Speaker 1: gonna do it. Both players are banged up. You don't

350
00:18:27,280 --> 00:18:28,760
Speaker 1: know if someone is gonna have to come out for

351
00:18:28,800 --> 00:18:31,280
Speaker 1: the play. We clearly know that if they do have

352
00:18:31,320 --> 00:18:33,480
Speaker 1: to come out for a play, both coaches are not

353
00:18:33,520 --> 00:18:37,520
Speaker 1: afraid to let the backup quarterback throw the ball. But also,

354
00:18:38,160 --> 00:18:40,399
Speaker 1: can't you just see Davante Smith coming around the end

355
00:18:40,520 --> 00:18:44,000
Speaker 1: and flinging a bomb to a J. Brown Like I

356
00:18:44,000 --> 00:18:47,520
Speaker 1: I so I can see that happening in this game

357
00:18:47,640 --> 00:18:51,240
Speaker 1: because these are not conservative coaches. And this is when

358
00:18:51,840 --> 00:18:55,600
Speaker 1: coaches more and more open up the playbook and go

359
00:18:55,640 --> 00:18:57,600
Speaker 1: a little bit crazy. So give me the over two

360
00:18:57,600 --> 00:19:00,439
Speaker 1: and a half for most for players to throw a

361
00:19:00,440 --> 00:19:04,080
Speaker 1: pass the Super Bowl. Croners shaking his head. He likes

362
00:19:04,119 --> 00:19:05,959
Speaker 1: that one. Yeah, I think it would be like Travis

363
00:19:06,040 --> 00:19:09,480
Speaker 1: Kelsey throwing a jump pass to like the left tackle

364
00:19:09,720 --> 00:19:11,480
Speaker 1: or something like that. You know, I think it would

365
00:19:11,480 --> 00:19:14,520
Speaker 1: come from Andy Reid side. Actually, I actually don't. I

366
00:19:14,560 --> 00:19:16,960
Speaker 1: think what I've noticed with Andy Reid in the big games,

367
00:19:17,080 --> 00:19:18,760
Speaker 1: He's like, I'm not thinking about of my homesan for

368
00:19:18,800 --> 00:19:20,960
Speaker 1: no reason, like for nothing. So I feel like if

369
00:19:21,160 --> 00:19:22,560
Speaker 1: I feel like it would come from Philly, you know,

370
00:19:22,880 --> 00:19:25,280
Speaker 1: to the Philly Special or something like that. That would

371
00:19:25,320 --> 00:19:27,879
Speaker 1: be interesting bet though, like if you could bet, like

372
00:19:28,040 --> 00:19:31,000
Speaker 1: one team to throw more than when like one player

373
00:19:31,040 --> 00:19:33,600
Speaker 1: throwing the past maybe they should create that market for

374
00:19:33,680 --> 00:19:38,679
Speaker 1: us if vandals listening, they should here's the it, like

375
00:19:38,760 --> 00:19:41,639
Speaker 1: you know how like Simmons and McAfee, like there's always

376
00:19:41,720 --> 00:19:46,040
Speaker 1: these like bonus bets you're doing or whatever, like for Action,

377
00:19:46,200 --> 00:19:50,320
Speaker 1: it would be the most obscure prop you can bet.

378
00:19:50,680 --> 00:19:53,760
Speaker 1: It would be like can will one team have more

379
00:19:53,800 --> 00:19:56,399
Speaker 1: than one player throw the ball? That would be the

380
00:19:56,440 --> 00:20:01,080
Speaker 1: Action network. They could do, uh, like you the Philly Special,

381
00:20:01,160 --> 00:20:04,560
Speaker 1: which which is will either quarterback score a touchdown receiving?

382
00:20:05,080 --> 00:20:06,679
Speaker 1: Which would be nice too because they could do some

383
00:20:06,680 --> 00:20:09,680
Speaker 1: crazy odds on that, because yes, that would be different

384
00:20:09,720 --> 00:20:11,840
Speaker 1: from just any time right, Yeah, to be like yeah,

385
00:20:11,960 --> 00:20:14,440
Speaker 1: that would be that would be dope. Actually, there's a

386
00:20:14,520 --> 00:20:17,320
Speaker 1: question in the chat, I think Cerner, do you know this,

387
00:20:17,800 --> 00:20:21,440
Speaker 1: if a challenge is unsuccessful in the time out is incurred,

388
00:20:21,960 --> 00:20:25,480
Speaker 1: does that count his first time out? Oh? Yeah, I

389
00:20:25,480 --> 00:20:29,200
Speaker 1: think it would ye ye, Okay, give me. I want

390
00:20:29,240 --> 00:20:31,159
Speaker 1: each of you to give me one more prop that

391
00:20:31,160 --> 00:20:32,439
Speaker 1: you love, and then I want to move on to

392
00:20:32,440 --> 00:20:34,760
Speaker 1: some other ones. So I like to Jared McKinnon under

393
00:20:34,760 --> 00:20:38,119
Speaker 1: eight and a half the longest rush. He's just been completely,

394
00:20:38,800 --> 00:20:42,399
Speaker 1: uh ineffective running the football. Ever since that walk off

395
00:20:42,920 --> 00:20:45,680
Speaker 1: game winning run against Houston, he's run twenty four times

396
00:20:45,680 --> 00:20:49,600
Speaker 1: for forty three yards the long of seven. Only ten

397
00:20:49,640 --> 00:20:51,199
Speaker 1: percent of his carriers have gone for eight or more

398
00:20:51,280 --> 00:20:53,679
Speaker 1: yards this year. Only eight percent of his carriers have

399
00:20:53,720 --> 00:20:56,119
Speaker 1: gone for nine or more yards this year. So this

400
00:20:56,200 --> 00:20:57,600
Speaker 1: started at nine and a half, it's down to eight

401
00:20:57,600 --> 00:20:59,520
Speaker 1: and a half. There's even value on it at seven

402
00:20:59,520 --> 00:21:00,680
Speaker 1: and a half to why I look at this, This

403
00:21:00,720 --> 00:21:05,159
Speaker 1: guy just has not been uh finding you know, explosive runs.

404
00:21:05,200 --> 00:21:08,440
Speaker 1: And you look at last year double digit carries every

405
00:21:08,440 --> 00:21:10,440
Speaker 1: single post season game. They tried that this year first

406
00:21:10,480 --> 00:21:14,480
Speaker 1: game against Jacksonville got eleven only ran for yards. I

407
00:21:14,480 --> 00:21:17,760
Speaker 1: believe it was second game four carries, which is his

408
00:21:17,840 --> 00:21:20,840
Speaker 1: media on a year, he would need upwards of eight

409
00:21:20,840 --> 00:21:23,520
Speaker 1: carries to have a fifty even a fifty fifty shot

410
00:21:24,080 --> 00:21:25,800
Speaker 1: of clearing this prop at eight and a half. So

411
00:21:26,760 --> 00:21:28,800
Speaker 1: I like the under eight and a half for the

412
00:21:28,880 --> 00:21:31,159
Speaker 1: longest run. Do you have they do you have a

413
00:21:31,200 --> 00:21:34,439
Speaker 1: ceiling on the price. I would probably go down to

414
00:21:34,440 --> 00:21:37,280
Speaker 1: about minus one forty on eight and a half and

415
00:21:37,359 --> 00:21:40,640
Speaker 1: minus one minus like even money on seven and a half.

416
00:21:40,920 --> 00:21:44,320
Speaker 1: All right, jeremymckennon under eight and a half yards longest

417
00:21:44,880 --> 00:21:48,560
Speaker 1: rush coroner, give me your next one. Well, I have

418
00:21:48,640 --> 00:21:50,840
Speaker 1: to be on brand here and give you my favorite

419
00:21:51,119 --> 00:21:55,040
Speaker 1: punter prop currently and it's um the Chiefs to have

420
00:21:55,119 --> 00:21:57,600
Speaker 1: the longest gross punt in this game. You could get

421
00:21:57,600 --> 00:22:01,080
Speaker 1: at minus one five, but the chief have a massive

422
00:22:01,200 --> 00:22:04,680
Speaker 1: edge here with Tommy Townsend. Um, he's been averaging fifty

423
00:22:04,720 --> 00:22:08,320
Speaker 1: and a half yards per punt this season, which drinked second. UM.

424
00:22:08,320 --> 00:22:10,080
Speaker 1: Whereas Eagles, we don't even know who their punch is

425
00:22:10,119 --> 00:22:13,600
Speaker 1: gonna be. Uh, they might get Aaron Sippis back. Um,

426
00:22:13,680 --> 00:22:16,360
Speaker 1: he just came out the I R He's only average

427
00:22:16,520 --> 00:22:18,480
Speaker 1: forty five and a half yards per punt, which rinks

428
00:22:18,480 --> 00:22:21,199
Speaker 1: twenty six on the season. Have to imagine he'll be

429
00:22:21,200 --> 00:22:23,440
Speaker 1: a bit rusty. He might not even be a percent

430
00:22:23,880 --> 00:22:25,760
Speaker 1: for this game, so you know he's gonna be even

431
00:22:25,800 --> 00:22:28,399
Speaker 1: worse than his season average. Um, if he's unable to go,

432
00:22:28,480 --> 00:22:31,639
Speaker 1: it'll be Brett Kern, who's only averaging forty one yards

433
00:22:31,680 --> 00:22:33,880
Speaker 1: per punt this season. The only player with a lower

434
00:22:33,920 --> 00:22:36,800
Speaker 1: average is Jake Elliott, the Eagles kicker who had to

435
00:22:36,800 --> 00:22:39,399
Speaker 1: fill in for Sippis when he got injured in games.

436
00:22:39,400 --> 00:22:41,800
Speaker 1: So that just goes to show what we're dealing with here. Um,

437
00:22:42,200 --> 00:22:44,960
Speaker 1: off of my sims, I'm getting the Chiefs actually culture

438
00:22:45,000 --> 00:22:48,520
Speaker 1: to a seventy percent chance to have along his punt,

439
00:22:48,560 --> 00:22:51,919
Speaker 1: and that's the best case scenario with Sippis active. So

440
00:22:52,040 --> 00:22:54,879
Speaker 1: I'm getting the fair price closer to minus two thirty

441
00:22:54,920 --> 00:22:57,800
Speaker 1: five here. So again we're just getting massive value with

442
00:22:57,880 --> 00:23:00,919
Speaker 1: the Chiefs minus one too. Had the long this gross

443
00:23:00,960 --> 00:23:04,800
Speaker 1: punt in the game. We don't even think Jake Elliott

444
00:23:04,840 --> 00:23:06,320
Speaker 1: is going to kick a field goal of more than

445
00:23:06,320 --> 00:23:09,960
Speaker 1: thirty yards. You know, we can't expect the guy to

446
00:23:10,000 --> 00:23:12,960
Speaker 1: come off the bench and punt from within three yards.

447
00:23:13,280 --> 00:23:16,159
Speaker 1: All right, Simon, what do you got? This is a

448
00:23:16,200 --> 00:23:18,359
Speaker 1: couple of different ways you can go. I think people

449
00:23:18,400 --> 00:23:21,040
Speaker 1: know my view that I love the sacks in this one,

450
00:23:21,040 --> 00:23:22,280
Speaker 1: So I'm not gonna give it out if you want

451
00:23:22,320 --> 00:23:23,960
Speaker 1: to do any type of over on sacks for the

452
00:23:23,960 --> 00:23:26,520
Speaker 1: Eagles over two and a half we're told in the game,

453
00:23:26,560 --> 00:23:28,800
Speaker 1: which I believe it's up the five and a half. Um,

454
00:23:28,840 --> 00:23:30,800
Speaker 1: I just felt safe for doing the Eagles over two

455
00:23:30,840 --> 00:23:33,320
Speaker 1: and a half at minus one fifty. But I'm trying

456
00:23:33,359 --> 00:23:36,160
Speaker 1: to go off plus the numbers here and another good

457
00:23:36,160 --> 00:23:38,639
Speaker 1: one on vandal is the over interceptions is that one

458
00:23:38,640 --> 00:23:41,040
Speaker 1: and a half is plus one fifty right now, one

459
00:23:41,400 --> 00:23:44,000
Speaker 1: two to be exact. It's a really good number for

460
00:23:44,880 --> 00:23:47,520
Speaker 1: what I think the books are overrating is Hurts does

461
00:23:47,760 --> 00:23:50,560
Speaker 1: really protect the ball during the regular season. I just

462
00:23:50,600 --> 00:23:52,879
Speaker 1: see both sides being more risky. And we've seen my

463
00:23:52,960 --> 00:23:55,240
Speaker 1: Homes in the playoffs makes she turns a bowl over

464
00:23:55,280 --> 00:23:57,119
Speaker 1: a higher rate than he does during the regular season,

465
00:23:57,520 --> 00:24:00,920
Speaker 1: and in his career in games he loses, actually turns

466
00:24:00,920 --> 00:24:02,480
Speaker 1: the ball over. So if you're an Eagles back or

467
00:24:02,920 --> 00:24:05,600
Speaker 1: you better hope that her my Homes turns up all over.

468
00:24:06,080 --> 00:24:07,680
Speaker 1: It's not looking good. They're just the kind of team

469
00:24:07,720 --> 00:24:09,440
Speaker 1: that you That's how you have to beat this Chief's team.

470
00:24:09,440 --> 00:24:11,760
Speaker 1: You have to get my Hoomes off his spot, which

471
00:24:11,800 --> 00:24:13,520
Speaker 1: is why I think this Egles deeplus would do. So.

472
00:24:13,880 --> 00:24:15,560
Speaker 1: I think they're gonna force him in a lot of weird,

473
00:24:15,600 --> 00:24:17,920
Speaker 1: tough throws to get him off balance and he'll be

474
00:24:17,920 --> 00:24:19,080
Speaker 1: able to turn the ball over. And the same thing

475
00:24:19,160 --> 00:24:21,640
Speaker 1: with Hurts. I just I think Hurts has gotten lucky

476
00:24:21,680 --> 00:24:24,440
Speaker 1: these last couple of weeks of uh not turn the bullever.

477
00:24:24,480 --> 00:24:26,520
Speaker 1: He's kind of left it out there and got away

478
00:24:26,560 --> 00:24:28,680
Speaker 1: with a few. I don't think the Eagles can hide

479
00:24:28,720 --> 00:24:30,199
Speaker 1: him in this game. I think they're gonna have to

480
00:24:30,240 --> 00:24:31,680
Speaker 1: throw the ball. They're not gonna be able just run

481
00:24:31,720 --> 00:24:33,480
Speaker 1: the ball that they have been these last couple of weeks.

482
00:24:33,480 --> 00:24:36,359
Speaker 1: So to me, that's crazy value when you know the

483
00:24:36,359 --> 00:24:37,800
Speaker 1: way I'm predicting this game to go, I think it's

484
00:24:37,800 --> 00:24:39,480
Speaker 1: gonna be a high scoring match. That means the ball

485
00:24:39,520 --> 00:24:41,840
Speaker 1: will be going through the air. So to me, that's

486
00:24:41,920 --> 00:24:44,159
Speaker 1: that's a really weird that they're making a plus one fifty.

487
00:24:44,480 --> 00:24:47,040
Speaker 1: I think it's just based off the low turnover, turnover

488
00:24:47,119 --> 00:24:49,639
Speaker 1: and through the air that Mahomes had this past season

489
00:24:49,720 --> 00:24:51,919
Speaker 1: and hurt. So to me, I think it's over reaction

490
00:24:51,960 --> 00:24:54,320
Speaker 1: to the regular season, where just for this one game,

491
00:24:54,400 --> 00:24:59,760
Speaker 1: I like that position of taking that over so interceptions

492
00:24:59,800 --> 00:25:02,520
Speaker 1: over one and a half, got it. I want to

493
00:25:02,520 --> 00:25:05,400
Speaker 1: ask a question about Miles Sanders crooner earlier in the week.

494
00:25:06,200 --> 00:25:09,359
Speaker 1: I think last week you had written that Miles Sanders

495
00:25:09,720 --> 00:25:13,760
Speaker 1: plus one fifty to lead the game and rushing was

496
00:25:13,800 --> 00:25:18,080
Speaker 1: a prop that you liked. He was at fifty seven

497
00:25:18,119 --> 00:25:21,040
Speaker 1: and a half rushing yards. Now is it about fifty

498
00:25:21,119 --> 00:25:24,560
Speaker 1: nine and a half? How do you currently have it graded?

499
00:25:24,960 --> 00:25:27,879
Speaker 1: Because I do think well, just answer that, how do

500
00:25:27,920 --> 00:25:31,040
Speaker 1: you currently have it graded? Yeah? So I'm actually in

501
00:25:31,119 --> 00:25:33,960
Speaker 1: line with his rushing prop um. I have his media

502
00:25:33,960 --> 00:25:36,720
Speaker 1: and right around fifty eight and a half um. But

503
00:25:36,840 --> 00:25:39,480
Speaker 1: he has just a massive ceiling here, and that's kind

504
00:25:39,480 --> 00:25:42,480
Speaker 1: of why I liked taking his um, you know, prop

505
00:25:42,600 --> 00:25:44,159
Speaker 1: to lead the game rushing yards. I actually got it

506
00:25:44,200 --> 00:25:47,080
Speaker 1: at plus one seventy. But you know that the Eagles

507
00:25:47,080 --> 00:25:49,000
Speaker 1: have been involved in so many blow outs this year,

508
00:25:49,040 --> 00:25:51,080
Speaker 1: they pulled him where and he doesn't play much in

509
00:25:51,119 --> 00:25:54,200
Speaker 1: the fourth quarter. It's all Boston Scott and Kenny Gainwell.

510
00:25:54,320 --> 00:25:56,520
Speaker 1: So just the fact that I think he's gonna be

511
00:25:56,600 --> 00:25:59,720
Speaker 1: the lead back for all sixty minutes bous welfor is

512
00:25:59,760 --> 00:26:04,560
Speaker 1: seen ng um. He handled seventy of the Eagles rush

513
00:26:04,600 --> 00:26:07,960
Speaker 1: attempts when they're trailing or winning by a fewer than

514
00:26:07,960 --> 00:26:09,720
Speaker 1: seven points, and then it dropped all the way to

515
00:26:11,359 --> 00:26:13,240
Speaker 1: when the Eagles were up by seven or more. So

516
00:26:13,600 --> 00:26:15,480
Speaker 1: I just love this ceiling here, and this is you know,

517
00:26:15,520 --> 00:26:17,840
Speaker 1: we have so many markets here a situation like that,

518
00:26:17,880 --> 00:26:21,159
Speaker 1: I just rather invest in a market that captures the ceiling.

519
00:26:21,200 --> 00:26:23,119
Speaker 1: So I like the fact that we're getting plus one

520
00:26:23,160 --> 00:26:28,000
Speaker 1: seventy five as opposed to attacking his medium projection. All right,

521
00:26:28,600 --> 00:26:30,600
Speaker 1: I can't live with that. I like your bead. I'm

522
00:26:30,600 --> 00:26:32,840
Speaker 1: gonna steal another one. I like Miles Sanders to lead

523
00:26:32,880 --> 00:26:35,919
Speaker 1: the demon rushing. A lot of this is what the

524
00:26:35,960 --> 00:26:39,960
Speaker 1: point I was going to make before is a lot

525
00:26:40,000 --> 00:26:43,439
Speaker 1: of this is confirmation bias when you make your bets

526
00:26:43,880 --> 00:26:47,480
Speaker 1: in that I leaned to the under. I think Philly

527
00:26:47,520 --> 00:26:51,840
Speaker 1: has a dominant defense. I think Philly has when it

528
00:26:51,880 --> 00:26:55,600
Speaker 1: comes to the pass rush and when it comes to

529
00:26:56,359 --> 00:26:59,879
Speaker 1: um their offensive line, I think they're dominant. And so

530
00:27:00,119 --> 00:27:04,240
Speaker 1: I think it plays to the game script that they'd

531
00:27:04,280 --> 00:27:07,080
Speaker 1: have the ball more, that they'd be in the lead,

532
00:27:07,359 --> 00:27:11,520
Speaker 1: that Miles Sanders would get the opportunity to run quite often,

533
00:27:11,640 --> 00:27:14,440
Speaker 1: which makes me start to think, should I be betting

534
00:27:14,440 --> 00:27:17,560
Speaker 1: Miles Sanders? That's super Bowl? A super Bowl m v P.

535
00:27:18,400 --> 00:27:23,000
Speaker 1: Let's start that debate. Was nice. Another good angle of

536
00:27:23,040 --> 00:27:25,680
Speaker 1: that is this is it for Miles Sanders. So they're

537
00:27:25,760 --> 00:27:28,159
Speaker 1: they're probably not bringing them back next year. They're not

538
00:27:28,320 --> 00:27:30,040
Speaker 1: there's no game to save it for. They've been saving

539
00:27:30,080 --> 00:27:32,200
Speaker 1: them most of those games because they don't want to

540
00:27:32,200 --> 00:27:34,600
Speaker 1: pull any hamstring. So to me, if you're lying on

541
00:27:34,640 --> 00:27:36,720
Speaker 1: the Miles Sanders train, Chad, you also could go into

542
00:27:36,760 --> 00:27:39,800
Speaker 1: Fandel right now, go to player props most players rushing

543
00:27:39,880 --> 00:27:43,239
Speaker 1: yards for the postseason, he's a hundred back right out

544
00:27:43,280 --> 00:27:46,520
Speaker 1: of Christian McCaffrey. Do you think he can do it?

545
00:27:46,640 --> 00:27:48,679
Speaker 1: You can get him right now at plus six hundreds.

546
00:27:48,720 --> 00:27:50,040
Speaker 1: So if he has a game of over a hundred

547
00:27:50,080 --> 00:27:52,760
Speaker 1: rushing yards, that also ties into that he would lead

548
00:27:52,880 --> 00:27:55,760
Speaker 1: the postseason and playoff rushing yards. So there's a couple

549
00:27:55,760 --> 00:27:57,239
Speaker 1: of sneaky little plays if you want to do those

550
00:27:57,320 --> 00:27:58,840
Speaker 1: kind of things. That's that's a play you could do

551
00:27:58,880 --> 00:28:01,000
Speaker 1: with Miles Sanders where you think he's going to lead

552
00:28:01,000 --> 00:28:03,280
Speaker 1: back in this game. That's not a bad bet. Well,

553
00:28:03,280 --> 00:28:05,639
Speaker 1: what do you think of him as Super Bowl m

554
00:28:05,680 --> 00:28:09,600
Speaker 1: v P. No chance, Just it's so QB driven. Even

555
00:28:09,600 --> 00:28:12,800
Speaker 1: if even if he has that incredible game and hurts somehow,

556
00:28:12,880 --> 00:28:16,160
Speaker 1: rushes for one touchdown, passes for another, has no turnovers,

557
00:28:16,720 --> 00:28:18,040
Speaker 1: it'd be hard enough to give it to him or

558
00:28:18,040 --> 00:28:20,960
Speaker 1: whoever the best defensive player is it's just they really

559
00:28:21,040 --> 00:28:23,760
Speaker 1: skew the running backs. I mean that year, what was

560
00:28:23,760 --> 00:28:26,920
Speaker 1: it two or three years ago that um that chiefs

561
00:28:27,359 --> 00:28:30,080
Speaker 1: uh forty nine game. I think it was McKinnon. Whoever

562
00:28:30,080 --> 00:28:32,520
Speaker 1: the running back was, had an incredible game and they

563
00:28:32,520 --> 00:28:34,119
Speaker 1: still gave it to my Homes. You really didn't do

564
00:28:34,200 --> 00:28:38,480
Speaker 1: much in the games. It is tough chat with the

565
00:28:38,520 --> 00:28:41,120
Speaker 1: running back with m v P. I totally remember that

566
00:28:41,120 --> 00:28:43,120
Speaker 1: because I think I had Damian Williams and we watched

567
00:28:43,160 --> 00:28:46,040
Speaker 1: that game at a bar in New Jersey. That was

568
00:28:46,120 --> 00:28:51,640
Speaker 1: also the game uh where Patrick Mahomes his rushing yardist

569
00:28:53,520 --> 00:28:55,960
Speaker 1: and he was and instead of just taking a knee,

570
00:28:55,960 --> 00:28:58,520
Speaker 1: he kept running back like seven or eight yards. So

571
00:28:59,520 --> 00:29:02,320
Speaker 1: I felt I got lucky because I have Damian Williams

572
00:29:02,360 --> 00:29:03,600
Speaker 1: to win the m v P. But I also had

573
00:29:03,600 --> 00:29:05,880
Speaker 1: my Homes on the under his rushing yard, so it

574
00:29:05,960 --> 00:29:08,280
Speaker 1: worked out okay for me. The world gives you know

575
00:29:08,280 --> 00:29:11,440
Speaker 1: what I'm saying. If you're thinking about m VP, then Simon,

576
00:29:12,280 --> 00:29:15,600
Speaker 1: who am I looking at? I I usually either go

577
00:29:15,720 --> 00:29:19,040
Speaker 1: safer with crazy long shots. So to me, if i'm

578
00:29:19,080 --> 00:29:21,760
Speaker 1: if I'm taking a side where if I love uh

579
00:29:22,160 --> 00:29:24,480
Speaker 1: my Homes and I love them to win, it all,

580
00:29:25,440 --> 00:29:27,800
Speaker 1: it's just really impossible to see them winning this game

581
00:29:27,800 --> 00:29:29,960
Speaker 1: without it being on my homes. So I think that's

582
00:29:29,960 --> 00:29:33,560
Speaker 1: safe at plus one thirty compared to Hurts. I wouldn't

583
00:29:33,600 --> 00:29:36,400
Speaker 1: touch Hurts. I just there's too many factors in there

584
00:29:36,440 --> 00:29:38,600
Speaker 1: where I could see them give it the Hurts. He's

585
00:29:38,640 --> 00:29:41,120
Speaker 1: just not a lock like my homes is for that

586
00:29:41,120 --> 00:29:43,240
Speaker 1: team where we all know that's the reason they're so good.

587
00:29:43,280 --> 00:29:45,520
Speaker 1: As my Homes, he was a lot of parts of

588
00:29:45,600 --> 00:29:48,360
Speaker 1: that team that make them so good. So um, if

589
00:29:48,400 --> 00:29:51,040
Speaker 1: I was going really safe and boring, I'd go to

590
00:29:51,080 --> 00:29:54,640
Speaker 1: my homes. I think we talk um a little bit about,

591
00:29:55,240 --> 00:29:57,960
Speaker 1: you know, reaching for the upside. Guys. I just don't

592
00:29:57,960 --> 00:30:00,200
Speaker 1: like it's been bent down so much with Reddick. This

593
00:30:00,360 --> 00:30:02,920
Speaker 1: he's the he's the pass rusher for the Eagles. It

594
00:30:03,000 --> 00:30:04,880
Speaker 1: was at fifty one now it's down to thirty four

595
00:30:05,480 --> 00:30:08,240
Speaker 1: to one, So I still like it. I don't hate

596
00:30:08,240 --> 00:30:10,920
Speaker 1: it how much it's moved, because to me, that's easy

597
00:30:11,080 --> 00:30:13,200
Speaker 1: X factor of this Eagle's defensive. He can really get

598
00:30:13,200 --> 00:30:15,680
Speaker 1: my Homes off his spot and affect this game. I

599
00:30:15,680 --> 00:30:17,960
Speaker 1: can see him getting m VP. But to me, the

600
00:30:18,040 --> 00:30:20,880
Speaker 1: numbers moved so much, I just right now I'm sitting here,

601
00:30:21,000 --> 00:30:23,479
Speaker 1: I would either go with Mahomes, I just wouldn't do anything.

602
00:30:24,320 --> 00:30:27,160
Speaker 1: Mahomes is plus one thirty. Jalen Hurts is plus one thirty.

603
00:30:27,160 --> 00:30:31,400
Speaker 1: Miles Standers by the way, one, Kerner, do you have

604
00:30:31,560 --> 00:30:36,440
Speaker 1: a m v P favorite pet? Yeah, I actually do

605
00:30:36,560 --> 00:30:40,000
Speaker 1: like Miles Sanders at one. I think this you know

606
00:30:40,040 --> 00:30:42,040
Speaker 1: already took him to leave the game rushing at plus

607
00:30:42,040 --> 00:30:45,719
Speaker 1: one s UM. I just think this game sets up

608
00:30:45,760 --> 00:30:47,760
Speaker 1: for a ceiling game for him. I also like to

609
00:30:47,800 --> 00:30:50,080
Speaker 1: look at previous games, and if you look at Week four,

610
00:30:50,520 --> 00:30:52,560
Speaker 1: I think he absolutely would have won m v P.

611
00:30:52,720 --> 00:30:56,560
Speaker 1: He rushed twenty seven times hundred thirty four yards, two touchdowns,

612
00:30:56,560 --> 00:30:59,680
Speaker 1: caught two passes for twenty yards. Jalen Hurts only three

613
00:30:59,720 --> 00:31:03,479
Speaker 1: for two rundre yards no touchdowns, interception ran for four

614
00:31:03,600 --> 00:31:05,920
Speaker 1: yards of the touchdown. I think Sanders would have gotten

615
00:31:05,960 --> 00:31:07,520
Speaker 1: m VP there. I think if you look at weeks

616
00:31:07,560 --> 00:31:11,160
Speaker 1: twelve and fourteen, UM, even last week UM in the

617
00:31:11,160 --> 00:31:14,360
Speaker 1: conference championship game, I think Sanders would have been in discussion.

618
00:31:14,760 --> 00:31:17,240
Speaker 1: I just think this matchup, especially if the Eagles win,

619
00:31:17,360 --> 00:31:19,680
Speaker 1: it sets up for a ceiling game for him, and

620
00:31:19,760 --> 00:31:21,680
Speaker 1: the Eagles are a team where I think you're running

621
00:31:21,680 --> 00:31:23,920
Speaker 1: back could win m v P. So give me a

622
00:31:23,960 --> 00:31:28,120
Speaker 1: mile of Sanders. Jesus Christ. Now I gotta bet that too.

623
00:31:29,600 --> 00:31:31,600
Speaker 1: It's all of a sudden, like for a game where

624
00:31:31,600 --> 00:31:33,680
Speaker 1: I didn't I don't have a strong opinion on the side.

625
00:31:34,360 --> 00:31:36,800
Speaker 1: I got like eight five bets going on here right now, Raybon,

626
00:31:36,920 --> 00:31:39,280
Speaker 1: are you gonna make me add my list? Yeah? So

627
00:31:39,400 --> 00:31:41,320
Speaker 1: and and so. First of all, I want to talk

628
00:31:41,320 --> 00:31:44,080
Speaker 1: about just the philosophy of betting the m v P.

629
00:31:44,200 --> 00:31:48,040
Speaker 1: Because quarterbacks historical over the last twenty years and won

630
00:31:48,040 --> 00:31:53,000
Speaker 1: about time fair odds for each quarterback would be about

631
00:31:53,280 --> 00:31:56,240
Speaker 1: plus one eight, right, so there plus one each. But

632
00:31:56,960 --> 00:31:59,080
Speaker 1: I still think there's value on them depending on which

633
00:31:59,120 --> 00:32:01,479
Speaker 1: side you like. But I actually think you would be

634
00:32:01,520 --> 00:32:04,880
Speaker 1: doing yourself a disservice if you didn't bet a quarterback

635
00:32:05,080 --> 00:32:09,000
Speaker 1: that you like on the side plus another player on

636
00:32:09,040 --> 00:32:12,520
Speaker 1: the team, because the quarterbacks are both plus one thirty.

637
00:32:12,680 --> 00:32:16,240
Speaker 1: Everyone else is sixteen and one or better. So, for example,

638
00:32:16,240 --> 00:32:18,480
Speaker 1: if you like to chief, you could go my homes

639
00:32:18,840 --> 00:32:21,480
Speaker 1: and then you know, we have the Action Network hedging

640
00:32:21,520 --> 00:32:24,720
Speaker 1: calculator and you can see you can see how much

641
00:32:24,960 --> 00:32:27,400
Speaker 1: you have to put on Let's say Travis Kelsey at

642
00:32:27,440 --> 00:32:31,040
Speaker 1: sixteen to one to two, then kind of optimize your payout.

643
00:32:31,120 --> 00:32:32,640
Speaker 1: If either of them one, you only have to put

644
00:32:32,640 --> 00:32:34,760
Speaker 1: another fifteen bucks. Let's say you put a hundred on

645
00:32:34,880 --> 00:32:36,680
Speaker 1: my homes, you only have to put another fifteen bucks

646
00:32:36,680 --> 00:32:39,120
Speaker 1: on Kelsey. Uh A J. Brown at eighteen to one.

647
00:32:39,360 --> 00:32:41,560
Speaker 1: You put a hundred bucks on Jalen Hurts, you only

648
00:32:41,560 --> 00:32:44,400
Speaker 1: have to put another twelve bucks on A J. Brown

649
00:32:44,520 --> 00:32:46,880
Speaker 1: at eighteen to one. So I think that's how I

650
00:32:46,920 --> 00:32:50,080
Speaker 1: would attack this market, is taking the quarterback for the

651
00:32:50,160 --> 00:32:53,040
Speaker 1: team that you like more and then pairing them with

652
00:32:53,120 --> 00:32:56,040
Speaker 1: You could even do multiple long tracks because all the

653
00:32:56,080 --> 00:32:59,600
Speaker 1: starters on either team, I mean a J. Brown eighteen

654
00:32:59,600 --> 00:33:03,560
Speaker 1: to one, Miles Sanders to one, Javonte Smith thirty one

655
00:33:03,880 --> 00:33:06,920
Speaker 1: to one, Dallas got her sixty to one. Those are

656
00:33:06,920 --> 00:33:09,600
Speaker 1: the most likely guys. Um, so I like all of those,

657
00:33:09,640 --> 00:33:12,520
Speaker 1: I think as far as long shots. And by the way,

658
00:33:12,520 --> 00:33:14,480
Speaker 1: I do think this year is a year where running

659
00:33:14,480 --> 00:33:16,840
Speaker 1: back could win if it's filming, because um there's a

660
00:33:16,920 --> 00:33:19,360
Speaker 1: chance even if Hurts, Let's say it gets one touchdown,

661
00:33:19,400 --> 00:33:22,480
Speaker 1: whether it's passing or rushing. If Miles Sanders gets multiple

662
00:33:22,520 --> 00:33:24,920
Speaker 1: touchdowns or something like that, I think he has a shot.

663
00:33:25,000 --> 00:33:27,400
Speaker 1: So I actually like Kenny Gainwell at one thirty two

664
00:33:27,400 --> 00:33:29,680
Speaker 1: one because he's got two different ways he could win.

665
00:33:29,720 --> 00:33:31,280
Speaker 1: He could win if they're blowing him out, but he

666
00:33:31,280 --> 00:33:33,560
Speaker 1: could also win if they're in a comeback game script.

667
00:33:33,840 --> 00:33:36,680
Speaker 1: And let's say he gets a touchdown early and then

668
00:33:36,720 --> 00:33:38,320
Speaker 1: another one he catches a bunch of balls, and then

669
00:33:38,280 --> 00:33:40,800
Speaker 1: it gets another one late. Uh, and Hurts only has one.

670
00:33:41,120 --> 00:33:42,840
Speaker 1: I think that the chance game will go winz. So

671
00:33:43,040 --> 00:33:45,440
Speaker 1: I like him one third to one. You know what's

672
00:33:45,440 --> 00:33:47,920
Speaker 1: so interesting about this? Like I said, I have no

673
00:33:47,960 --> 00:33:50,960
Speaker 1: opinion on the side, yet I've sort of I've literally

674
00:33:51,000 --> 00:33:54,520
Speaker 1: bet both sides of it, both teams as underdogs. And

675
00:33:55,480 --> 00:33:57,640
Speaker 1: as I'm thinking about this game and listening to these

676
00:33:57,640 --> 00:34:02,000
Speaker 1: conversations and realizing what I'm adding for the props, all

677
00:34:02,040 --> 00:34:06,160
Speaker 1: the props on betting are positive for the Eagles and

678
00:34:06,280 --> 00:34:11,280
Speaker 1: negative for the Chiefs under Jared McKinnon. The longest rush

679
00:34:11,320 --> 00:34:14,080
Speaker 1: I like. I like Miles Sanders is m v P.

680
00:34:14,600 --> 00:34:17,920
Speaker 1: I like Miles Sanders to lead the game in rushing.

681
00:34:18,080 --> 00:34:21,600
Speaker 1: I like the under which plays to the strengths of

682
00:34:21,640 --> 00:34:26,799
Speaker 1: the Eagles in this game. This is like, it's astonishing

683
00:34:26,840 --> 00:34:30,080
Speaker 1: to me, how I'm talking myself into the Eagles on

684
00:34:30,160 --> 00:34:33,320
Speaker 1: this game? Okay, Chad Well, then just that Travis Kelsey

685
00:34:33,400 --> 00:34:36,480
Speaker 1: sixteen o one. Remember last year, Cooper cup Well, he

686
00:34:36,600 --> 00:34:39,040
Speaker 1: was the top pass catcher, like not like top pass kets.

687
00:34:39,080 --> 00:34:41,160
Speaker 1: First of all, who are the last four winners have

688
00:34:41,239 --> 00:34:44,319
Speaker 1: actually been pass catchers. And even if doesn't win last year,

689
00:34:44,800 --> 00:34:47,560
Speaker 1: it's Tee Higgins that's gonna win. So either way, a

690
00:34:47,600 --> 00:34:50,799
Speaker 1: pass catch one last year, Travis Kelsey sixteen to one.

691
00:34:51,280 --> 00:34:54,840
Speaker 1: That cut closed six to one last year, Travis Kelsey

692
00:34:54,920 --> 00:34:56,920
Speaker 1: sixteen to one. He has a touchdown in eleven of

693
00:34:56,920 --> 00:34:59,239
Speaker 1: his last four teen postseason games. He's got ninety plus

694
00:34:59,239 --> 00:35:00,960
Speaker 1: and six of his last in a postseason game. So

695
00:35:01,120 --> 00:35:02,880
Speaker 1: if the Chiefs win, they could there could be a

696
00:35:02,880 --> 00:35:06,640
Speaker 1: situation where my homes, because of how good the Eagles defenses,

697
00:35:06,880 --> 00:35:09,680
Speaker 1: my homes could throw for like two fifty to sixty

698
00:35:09,719 --> 00:35:12,319
Speaker 1: with two touchdowns. Travis Kelsey could go for like one

699
00:35:12,360 --> 00:35:15,680
Speaker 1: thirty with both of those touchdowns. Who wins with the

700
00:35:15,719 --> 00:35:19,080
Speaker 1: with the brother battle thing Kelsey? So I actually think,

701
00:35:19,120 --> 00:35:21,680
Speaker 1: if you like to, if you want to chief positive

702
00:35:21,719 --> 00:35:25,200
Speaker 1: Chiefs bat, Travis Kelsey is a crazy good value. Well

703
00:35:25,239 --> 00:35:27,319
Speaker 1: I'm not just gonna do Travis Kelsey. I'm gonna do

704
00:35:27,360 --> 00:35:30,640
Speaker 1: my homes and Travis Kelsey. Yeah, exactly, there you go.

705
00:35:30,800 --> 00:35:34,000
Speaker 1: I'm gonna do my homes for five dollars and I'm

706
00:35:34,000 --> 00:35:37,520
Speaker 1: gonna do Kelsey for two dollars and fifty. And I'm

707
00:35:37,520 --> 00:35:45,640
Speaker 1: gonna look in the Action Network calculator. What are you poor? Exactly?

708
00:35:46,360 --> 00:35:50,120
Speaker 1: I don't know, Raybon, I don't know. I'm not I'm not.

709
00:35:50,280 --> 00:35:54,120
Speaker 1: Like it's a button. The button it says maximum wager

710
00:35:54,360 --> 00:35:58,840
Speaker 1: possible or whatever it says a little I'm an old

711
00:35:58,880 --> 00:36:03,440
Speaker 1: guy living in ken Adiquette with two kids like Raybon is,

712
00:36:03,680 --> 00:36:06,880
Speaker 1: you know, living his best life in l A coroner

713
00:36:06,960 --> 00:36:12,040
Speaker 1: is not too far away, Simon, You know, Jesus, I can't.

714
00:36:12,080 --> 00:36:16,520
Speaker 1: I can't hang with this crowd. Forget about it. Forget

715
00:36:16,560 --> 00:36:19,120
Speaker 1: about it. All right? Well, I like all those I'm

716
00:36:19,160 --> 00:36:20,839
Speaker 1: betting all of them. There's not a single game, there's

717
00:36:20,840 --> 00:36:24,200
Speaker 1: not a single bet I'm not making here. Um before,

718
00:36:24,080 --> 00:36:27,319
Speaker 1: there's a couple more topics I do want to hit. Uh.

719
00:36:27,440 --> 00:36:34,200
Speaker 1: Can we talk about pregame exotics, specifically the National Anthem,

720
00:36:34,200 --> 00:36:36,960
Speaker 1: which the amount of research that goes into this year

721
00:36:36,960 --> 00:36:41,040
Speaker 1: after year has become so intense cron or. Do you

722
00:36:41,080 --> 00:36:43,279
Speaker 1: have a strong opinion on national anthem right now? Oh? No,

723
00:36:43,400 --> 00:36:46,080
Speaker 1: I never do. I just tell Raybon, I I only

724
00:36:46,280 --> 00:36:49,600
Speaker 1: about on things I can, you know, use numbers and simulate,

725
00:36:49,600 --> 00:36:54,320
Speaker 1: but this is all Raybon alright, Raybon? Yeah. So, uh,

726
00:36:54,480 --> 00:36:57,360
Speaker 1: the overrunner I've seen for this, uh is two minutes

727
00:36:57,400 --> 00:37:00,200
Speaker 1: in five seconds, and I would go under. So the

728
00:37:00,239 --> 00:37:02,600
Speaker 1: way I've been looking at this is a lot of

729
00:37:02,600 --> 00:37:05,000
Speaker 1: times people try to find the singer and and and

730
00:37:05,040 --> 00:37:07,399
Speaker 1: see if they've done it before. I find that gives

731
00:37:07,440 --> 00:37:12,680
Speaker 1: you zero insight because what happens is the singer invariably

732
00:37:12,920 --> 00:37:16,640
Speaker 1: just drags it out for the actual anthem, it's nothing,

733
00:37:16,719 --> 00:37:18,759
Speaker 1: the time comes in, nothing like any of the other

734
00:37:18,760 --> 00:37:21,959
Speaker 1: renditions they've ever done. So I just look at, uh,

735
00:37:22,000 --> 00:37:25,799
Speaker 1: the the numbers for the actual Super Bowls in years past.

736
00:37:25,880 --> 00:37:28,719
Speaker 1: So for the last sixteen Super Bowls, the average has

737
00:37:28,760 --> 00:37:31,440
Speaker 1: been a minute fifty nine. The median has been a

738
00:37:31,440 --> 00:37:36,080
Speaker 1: minute fifty six and a half. And uh no, there's

739
00:37:36,120 --> 00:37:38,279
Speaker 1: only been a few guys, by the way to that

740
00:37:38,360 --> 00:37:41,760
Speaker 1: have that have done it, and they've they've stayed under

741
00:37:42,239 --> 00:37:46,200
Speaker 1: the two minute and five second mark. So I think

742
00:37:46,200 --> 00:37:47,960
Speaker 1: you got it's a rare under I think the books

743
00:37:47,960 --> 00:37:50,919
Speaker 1: are finally trying of over it over corrected here, uh

744
00:37:50,960 --> 00:37:53,680
Speaker 1: for the uh you know, for for for it going over,

745
00:37:53,880 --> 00:37:56,839
Speaker 1: but twelve of the sixteen have gone under uh two

746
00:37:56,880 --> 00:37:59,320
Speaker 1: minutes and five seconds over the last sixteen Super Bowls.

747
00:37:59,320 --> 00:38:01,680
Speaker 1: So I'm and under for the for the anthem. SERI

748
00:38:02,360 --> 00:38:05,960
Speaker 1: in the last ten days, Raybon, have you spent more

749
00:38:06,040 --> 00:38:15,160
Speaker 1: time researching national anthem Jared McKinnon's longest rush or Super

750
00:38:15,200 --> 00:38:20,480
Speaker 1: Bowl m v P Uh probably Jered McKinneys longest rush,

751
00:38:20,520 --> 00:38:23,160
Speaker 1: to be honest, but because I had to go through

752
00:38:23,200 --> 00:38:24,680
Speaker 1: each one of the questions that I had to go

753
00:38:24,680 --> 00:38:27,360
Speaker 1: back to last year look at how far off that was.

754
00:38:27,480 --> 00:38:29,480
Speaker 1: But I mean it's clo it's close with the anthem,

755
00:38:29,480 --> 00:38:32,160
Speaker 1: but the anthems, I kind of have this this uh

756
00:38:32,200 --> 00:38:34,480
Speaker 1: this information, so like I really just have to go

757
00:38:34,560 --> 00:38:36,440
Speaker 1: back to last year adding the numbers. And it was

758
00:38:36,520 --> 00:38:39,040
Speaker 1: Mickey Guyton. She took a minute in fifty but last

759
00:38:39,120 --> 00:38:41,200
Speaker 1: year the books were at like a minute and forty

760
00:38:41,239 --> 00:38:44,000
Speaker 1: five or something like that. Uh, so she ended up

761
00:38:44,040 --> 00:38:45,600
Speaker 1: going over. But now I feel like they've kind of

762
00:38:45,640 --> 00:38:49,360
Speaker 1: overcorrected here. And again there's just been It's rare that

763
00:38:49,400 --> 00:38:53,080
Speaker 1: you get a guy. Uh, it's it's been almost all women. Um,

764
00:38:53,120 --> 00:38:55,240
Speaker 1: the guys have tended to be a little bit shorter,

765
00:38:55,880 --> 00:38:58,799
Speaker 1: a little bit uh longer, so they they've kind of

766
00:38:59,120 --> 00:39:01,760
Speaker 1: um put it up, but like not that much longer.

767
00:39:02,160 --> 00:39:04,640
Speaker 1: Um you know to go to two oh five, just

768
00:39:04,680 --> 00:39:07,879
Speaker 1: a tiny bit um So yeah, you gotta go under here.

769
00:39:08,440 --> 00:39:14,320
Speaker 1: That's a massive swing. That twenty seconds is a massive swing. Yeah, simon,

770
00:39:15,600 --> 00:39:22,279
Speaker 1: tell me about your theory on the gatorade prop. The

771
00:39:22,320 --> 00:39:25,040
Speaker 1: gatory prop. It's it's just a crazy amount of hear say.

772
00:39:25,080 --> 00:39:27,040
Speaker 1: And that's what a lot of the Super Bowl props are,

773
00:39:27,160 --> 00:39:29,759
Speaker 1: just like the trying to calculate how long the guy's

774
00:39:29,840 --> 00:39:31,920
Speaker 1: gonna sing for we all remember last year, maybe was

775
00:39:32,000 --> 00:39:34,640
Speaker 1: here before that guy posted that video and all the

776
00:39:34,680 --> 00:39:36,520
Speaker 1: hells are breaking loose because the video of the warm

777
00:39:36,560 --> 00:39:39,040
Speaker 1: up singing of the national anthem, and it literally did

778
00:39:39,120 --> 00:39:42,040
Speaker 1: move the line by like twenty seconds. So that's one

779
00:39:42,040 --> 00:39:44,200
Speaker 1: of those things too, where be wary of that stuff.

780
00:39:44,200 --> 00:39:46,040
Speaker 1: If you're if you're like this, you're betting this now

781
00:39:46,080 --> 00:39:48,000
Speaker 1: and then all of sudd you've seen it move by

782
00:39:48,040 --> 00:39:50,600
Speaker 1: twenty seconds or ten seconds, searching internet because something might

783
00:39:50,640 --> 00:39:53,359
Speaker 1: have leaked. That's what we're going through right now where

784
00:39:53,960 --> 00:39:55,920
Speaker 1: I think I got some good info on the gatorade

785
00:39:55,920 --> 00:39:58,360
Speaker 1: stuff and we're gonna see how's gonna play out. But

786
00:39:58,400 --> 00:40:01,200
Speaker 1: basically the rumors are is that the Eagles sideline has

787
00:40:01,239 --> 00:40:03,680
Speaker 1: two yellow and green gatorades and they rotate between a

788
00:40:03,680 --> 00:40:05,560
Speaker 1: blue and or red for the other one. You know,

789
00:40:05,640 --> 00:40:08,800
Speaker 1: the chief sidelines they always have one yellow or green gatorade.

790
00:40:09,320 --> 00:40:13,200
Speaker 1: So just simple math, if we got six six altogether,

791
00:40:13,520 --> 00:40:17,280
Speaker 1: so three on both sidelines and combine, there's three yellow

792
00:40:17,280 --> 00:40:19,799
Speaker 1: and green gatorades. I think there's good value on betting

793
00:40:19,840 --> 00:40:22,520
Speaker 1: that number, and especially when both teams that's both in

794
00:40:22,560 --> 00:40:25,799
Speaker 1: their colors. Both teams have yellow or green in both

795
00:40:25,840 --> 00:40:28,480
Speaker 1: their colors. So for me, for the Eagles one, I'm

796
00:40:28,520 --> 00:40:30,359
Speaker 1: doing that the yellow and green, and then I'm also

797
00:40:30,440 --> 00:40:32,799
Speaker 1: betting red as well, just for the Chiefs in case

798
00:40:32,840 --> 00:40:34,879
Speaker 1: they win it. Um to me, it feels like those

799
00:40:34,920 --> 00:40:37,359
Speaker 1: are two the safer bets. And also have to look

800
00:40:37,400 --> 00:40:40,000
Speaker 1: into where the gatorade's positions. So that's one of those

801
00:40:40,040 --> 00:40:43,160
Speaker 1: where I might tweet out something Sunday, But I told

802
00:40:43,200 --> 00:40:46,040
Speaker 1: you I have a little inkling of where um, I

803
00:40:46,080 --> 00:40:48,560
Speaker 1: think this one's gonna go. So I'm just grabbing the

804
00:40:48,560 --> 00:40:51,160
Speaker 1: green and yellow early now, because I've just I've heard

805
00:40:51,160 --> 00:40:53,120
Speaker 1: the rumors and I've seen the line move where it

806
00:40:53,160 --> 00:40:55,040
Speaker 1: wasn't plus three fifty now a lot of books is

807
00:40:55,080 --> 00:40:57,360
Speaker 1: down to plus two seventy. I would just grab it.

808
00:40:57,360 --> 00:40:59,000
Speaker 1: I see it suddainly down at two fifty by the

809
00:40:59,080 --> 00:41:03,560
Speaker 1: time this game kicks, All fellas, as far as I

810
00:41:03,560 --> 00:41:09,440
Speaker 1: can tell, we've covered player props. We've covered penalties, We've

811
00:41:09,480 --> 00:41:17,440
Speaker 1: covered um hunts, We've covered her sacks, We've covered m

812
00:41:17,520 --> 00:41:23,680
Speaker 1: v P, we've covered first time out, we've covered national anthem,

813
00:41:23,760 --> 00:41:29,400
Speaker 1: we've covered Gatorade. What did I miss? Am I missing anything?

814
00:41:31,920 --> 00:41:39,680
Speaker 1: We've covered my unit size. Yeah, there's nothing. There's nothing

815
00:41:39,719 --> 00:41:43,360
Speaker 1: that hasn't been covered, Coroner. Am I missing anything? Is

816
00:41:43,360 --> 00:41:47,240
Speaker 1: there anything in your god forsaken database of ten million

817
00:41:47,360 --> 00:41:50,680
Speaker 1: data points and the biggest game of the year that

818
00:41:50,719 --> 00:41:53,560
Speaker 1: I've missed? No? I mean we we do have more

819
00:41:53,600 --> 00:41:56,359
Speaker 1: player props if you want to go over some more. Yeah,

820
00:41:56,440 --> 00:41:59,279
Speaker 1: we we One thing we didn't talk about, unless I've

821
00:41:59,640 --> 00:42:02,440
Speaker 1: missed it, was we didn't talk about anytime touchdown right

822
00:42:03,000 --> 00:42:07,560
Speaker 1: or or touchdowns. And I would say, um, you know,

823
00:42:07,600 --> 00:42:10,480
Speaker 1: for for for everyone who wants like like the one

824
00:42:10,520 --> 00:42:13,400
Speaker 1: that is a really good chance to hit again. Travis

825
00:42:13,440 --> 00:42:16,680
Speaker 1: Kelsey has scored in his last five post season games

826
00:42:16,719 --> 00:42:19,200
Speaker 1: eleven of his last four teen post season games. He's

827
00:42:19,239 --> 00:42:21,880
Speaker 1: got the whole brother narrative going on. I think minus

828
00:42:21,920 --> 00:42:24,840
Speaker 1: one fifteen is still it's like a little overvalue. Like

829
00:42:24,840 --> 00:42:27,200
Speaker 1: I think his touchdown ads are just under fifty fifty

830
00:42:27,280 --> 00:42:29,880
Speaker 1: when you projected out, but like when you consider just

831
00:42:30,600 --> 00:42:32,839
Speaker 1: how much it goes up in the postseason, it's really

832
00:42:32,840 --> 00:42:35,200
Speaker 1: tough to model that. So I think that's a really

833
00:42:35,239 --> 00:42:37,760
Speaker 1: good play. But you know, I know Sean and I

834
00:42:37,840 --> 00:42:41,920
Speaker 1: have been talking about this guy, Jody Fortson all week. Uh,

835
00:42:42,080 --> 00:42:45,719
Speaker 1: you know, first touchdown, anytime, touchdown, whatever you want. I

836
00:42:45,760 --> 00:42:49,239
Speaker 1: think he's a really great, like long shot bet because, um,

837
00:42:49,280 --> 00:42:53,239
Speaker 1: he of his career catches have gone for touchdowns and

838
00:42:53,239 --> 00:42:57,000
Speaker 1: then this year, thirty percent of his targets have been

839
00:42:57,080 --> 00:43:00,720
Speaker 1: inside not the twenty, but inside the ten yard line.

840
00:43:01,160 --> 00:43:03,719
Speaker 1: And uh, he's running about eight routes per game, which

841
00:43:03,760 --> 00:43:06,480
Speaker 1: is really good for a number three tight end. And

842
00:43:06,520 --> 00:43:08,719
Speaker 1: he only came back for the championship. He was out

843
00:43:08,920 --> 00:43:11,080
Speaker 1: for about the last month months and a half before that,

844
00:43:11,400 --> 00:43:13,560
Speaker 1: so you know, he's kind of still under the radar.

845
00:43:13,560 --> 00:43:15,360
Speaker 1: I don't think he did anything in that last game,

846
00:43:16,040 --> 00:43:18,319
Speaker 1: but he's he should be out there, uh, you know,

847
00:43:18,440 --> 00:43:21,239
Speaker 1: eight for about seven to ten routes. Uh. And it's

848
00:43:21,280 --> 00:43:23,479
Speaker 1: more than likely that if he gets a target, gets

849
00:43:23,480 --> 00:43:26,920
Speaker 1: a catch, it's coming in in the end zone. So uh,

850
00:43:27,040 --> 00:43:29,080
Speaker 1: Jody Fortson, I believe he's at twelve to one for

851
00:43:29,120 --> 00:43:31,719
Speaker 1: any time. Uh, and he's way up there for for

852
00:43:31,760 --> 00:43:34,480
Speaker 1: first touchdown. So that's the guy that I would I

853
00:43:34,480 --> 00:43:36,440
Speaker 1: would encourage people to to take a shot on for

854
00:43:36,440 --> 00:43:39,959
Speaker 1: a lung shot. Give me one more player problem. Yeah,

855
00:43:39,960 --> 00:43:41,480
Speaker 1: so this is the market where I do like a

856
00:43:41,520 --> 00:43:44,359
Speaker 1: player like Kaus Watkins. You can get him at plus

857
00:43:44,440 --> 00:43:47,720
Speaker 1: seven fifty. Uh, He's not a player I would invest

858
00:43:47,800 --> 00:43:50,279
Speaker 1: in like the over on his receiving ards or something

859
00:43:50,280 --> 00:43:54,080
Speaker 1: like that. I'm giving him a percent chance. He doesn't

860
00:43:54,120 --> 00:43:56,719
Speaker 1: even catch a pass here, but he carries a ton

861
00:43:56,800 --> 00:44:00,200
Speaker 1: of upside when it comes to catching long touchdowns. All

862
00:44:00,200 --> 00:44:03,280
Speaker 1: three of his touchdowns this season have been on targets

863
00:44:03,280 --> 00:44:05,880
Speaker 1: twenty plus yards down field. UM. So a game like

864
00:44:05,920 --> 00:44:08,200
Speaker 1: this where the Eagles will probably more pass heavy because

865
00:44:08,239 --> 00:44:11,680
Speaker 1: it's gonna be a rare, close, potentially trailing game, script,

866
00:44:12,160 --> 00:44:13,880
Speaker 1: I think you know this is a time to invest

867
00:44:13,920 --> 00:44:16,040
Speaker 1: in Watkins ceiling and if you look at you know,

868
00:44:16,160 --> 00:44:19,880
Speaker 1: Watkins three touchdowns in sixteen games, that's a fair price

869
00:44:19,960 --> 00:44:22,879
Speaker 1: of plus four thirty. So I just think we're getting

870
00:44:22,960 --> 00:44:25,160
Speaker 1: quite a bit of value here of Watkins at plus

871
00:44:25,160 --> 00:44:30,759
Speaker 1: seven fifty. Well, listen, if I know anything, having been

872
00:44:30,840 --> 00:44:34,360
Speaker 1: on Convinced Me with all three of you all season long,

873
00:44:34,719 --> 00:44:37,799
Speaker 1: which everyone can watch on Sunday morning at eleven am

874
00:44:37,840 --> 00:44:40,600
Speaker 1: in the Action Network GAP, Action Network HQ, on Twitter,

875
00:44:40,640 --> 00:44:44,120
Speaker 1: Action Network on YouTube, I know that Raybon has made

876
00:44:44,160 --> 00:44:47,799
Speaker 1: a living on Quez Watkins under receiving yards. I know

877
00:44:47,880 --> 00:44:50,520
Speaker 1: that Raybon is going to be on Quez Watkins under

878
00:44:50,560 --> 00:44:54,440
Speaker 1: one and a half receptions. I know for a fact

879
00:44:54,880 --> 00:44:57,000
Speaker 1: that Sean Kerner is now saying Chris Raybond doesn't know

880
00:44:57,000 --> 00:45:00,560
Speaker 1: what he's talking about. So that's exactly what it sounded

881
00:45:00,600 --> 00:45:03,960
Speaker 1: like to me looking forward to see the the Quez

882
00:45:04,080 --> 00:45:07,640
Speaker 1: Watkins battle for Convinced Me for the Super Bowl Previe

883
00:45:07,760 --> 00:45:09,960
Speaker 1: never know what I'm talking about. I just it's just

884
00:45:11,600 --> 00:45:16,640
Speaker 1: will have one. You're gonna spread that needle, you're gonna

885
00:45:16,640 --> 00:45:21,200
Speaker 1: feel like, to be honest, That's why I'm not betting

886
00:45:21,200 --> 00:45:23,920
Speaker 1: his yardage this game. I thought the volume was a

887
00:45:24,000 --> 00:45:26,840
Speaker 1: smarter play because the others of him getting two catches

888
00:45:26,840 --> 00:45:29,359
Speaker 1: are still super low. But like this is a game,

889
00:45:29,360 --> 00:45:31,040
Speaker 1: like you saw the last game he got Like I

890
00:45:31,080 --> 00:45:33,080
Speaker 1: think our thirty three yard air yard target, it just

891
00:45:33,120 --> 00:45:35,279
Speaker 1: got broken up by tre Various Ward, Like I could

892
00:45:35,320 --> 00:45:37,359
Speaker 1: see that happening again. Like he's gonna get his one,

893
00:45:37,800 --> 00:45:39,840
Speaker 1: his one deep shot, and I think he has a

894
00:45:39,880 --> 00:45:42,640
Speaker 1: deep chance of connecting because the Chiefs aren't you know,

895
00:45:42,800 --> 00:45:46,520
Speaker 1: the San Francisco for your nars. Alright, boys, we've covered

896
00:45:46,520 --> 00:45:50,840
Speaker 1: the whole field. We've done it. Simon Hunter, Sean Kerner,

897
00:45:51,160 --> 00:45:54,960
Speaker 1: Chris Raybon for producer Matt Mitchell. I am Chad Millman.

898
00:45:55,200 --> 00:45:57,719
Speaker 1: This has been the favorite podcast from the volume in

899
00:45:57,800 --> 00:46:02,279
Speaker 1: podcast Network. Don't forget people, do not forget. Follow the

900
00:46:02,360 --> 00:46:07,080
Speaker 1: Favorites podcast like it in the Apple podcast app on Spotify.

901
00:46:07,560 --> 00:46:11,680
Speaker 1: You can get us right away. Uh what else does that?

902
00:46:11,760 --> 00:46:14,200
Speaker 1: I want to say? Download us from Apple podcasts, from

903
00:46:14,239 --> 00:46:18,760
Speaker 1: Spotify wherever you get your podcasts, rate review, subscribe feedback

904
00:46:18,800 --> 00:46:21,719
Speaker 1: as a gift. Until next time on Thursday, we'll have

905
00:46:21,760 --> 00:46:25,160
Speaker 1: Best Bets with Brandon Anderson. Looking forward to that. I

906
00:46:25,280 --> 00:46:34,560
Speaker 1: love you. Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly. If

907
00:46:34,600 --> 00:46:37,160
Speaker 1: you or someone you care about has a gambling problem,

908
00:46:37,200 --> 00:46:40,400
Speaker 1: help is available. Seven gambler