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Speaker 1: The Action Network Podcast.

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Speaker 2: I'm just about that action awesome.

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Speaker 1: All right. Here we go there throwing in Joe.

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Speaker 3: We're saying it's a catch touch.

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Speaker 1: We see most gamblers when they go to gamble, they

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Speaker 1: go to win.

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Speaker 3: That's incredible.

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Speaker 1: Big bank, small banks. I like to make money.

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Speaker 3: All right, this is the ultimate kaba.

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Speaker 4: You want.

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Speaker 3: And we are underway.

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Speaker 4: Welcome into the Action Network Podcast presented by bet MGM.

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Speaker 4: I'm your host, Brendan glas Sheen. Today is our annual

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Speaker 4: NFL Breakout Candidates episode with Action Network NFL expert Chris

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Speaker 4: Raybond and returning to the show, Action alum friend of

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Speaker 4: the pod. He does great work over at Fantasy Life

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Speaker 4: as an NFL expert. We have Matthew Friedman joining us,

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Speaker 4: just as he did last year. We're gonna highlight a

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Speaker 4: couple of under the radar players as we look to

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Speaker 4: identify a few guys who could see dramatic upticks in

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Speaker 4: performance this coming season. Before we dive in, we did

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Speaker 4: a little digging based on what you guys gave out

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Speaker 4: last year. We wanted to list out some of those candidates.

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Speaker 4: You guys hit on a couple, didn't hit on a couple, but.

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Speaker 3: That's how it goes.

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Speaker 4: Chris Raybond highlighted last year heading into twenty twenty three.

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Speaker 3: He hit on Justin Fields, George.

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Speaker 4: Pickens, Alexander Madison, Drake London, Johan Dohnson, and his bonus

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Speaker 4: name was Bill's tight end Dalton Kincaid. Friedman was on

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Speaker 4: two with Tango Ailoa, Ni Kobe Dean of the Eagles,

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Speaker 4: Zamir White, Terreike Woolan, Seahawks Corner, Steelers left tackle Broderick Jones,

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Speaker 4: and a bonus name included Chiefs wide receiver Rashie Rice.

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Speaker 4: Any of you guys have quick thoughts on how you

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Speaker 4: did last year?

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Speaker 1: Raybon Uh, yeah, I think, you know, looking at a

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Speaker 1: guy like Dalton Kincaid, just kind of following the targets

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Speaker 1: and the talent that worked out. You know, a guy

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Speaker 1: like Madison that was a whiff, kind of chasing the

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Speaker 1: opportunity there. But I'm going to talk about a Madison

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Speaker 1: adjacent back on this episode, so stay tuned, Breebman.

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Speaker 4: The Miami offense certainly hit last year with two a

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Speaker 4: tongue of aloa at the at the controls, and then

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Speaker 4: some other pieces including you know, Rice was your bonus

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Speaker 4: name last.

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Speaker 2: Year, Yeah, felt decent about how that list reason.

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Speaker 4: Now.

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Speaker 2: Of course Nikobe Dean was just a massive whiff last year,

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Speaker 2: but who knows, maybe there will be a bounce back

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Speaker 2: for him. And felt good about you know, Zamir White

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Speaker 2: the way he closed the season last year. So like,

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Speaker 2: I don't think that really counts as a breakout, but

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Speaker 2: maybe it kind of points towards the possibility of a

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Speaker 2: breakout this year. And of course getting Rashi Rice. You know,

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Speaker 2: who knows exactly what happens with him this year, but

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Speaker 2: he certainly flashed last year as a rookie.

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Speaker 3: Okay, there he goes.

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Speaker 4: There's a recap of last year. Let's dive into this year.

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Speaker 4: Ray Bond, start us off your first breakout candidate for

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Speaker 4: twenty twenty four.

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Speaker 1: I'm going with Anthony Richardson Coats quarterback rookie last year,

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Speaker 1: only played four games. You know, continue to suffer injuries

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Speaker 1: every time you got on the field. But I think

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Speaker 1: that might you know, kind of turn some people off

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Speaker 1: to him, or you know, just kind of worry people.

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Speaker 1: You know, I know he's got the shoulder issue and

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Speaker 1: you never like to hear a quarterback with that. But

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Speaker 1: if he's healthy and you know, it sounds like he's

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Speaker 1: going to be entering the season if he's healthy. This

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Speaker 1: guy just has monster upside. I mean, he's a dual

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Speaker 1: threat quarterback. You know, his rushing success rate last year

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Speaker 1: in those four games was sixty four percent. That would

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Speaker 1: have been second in the NFL if he had enough

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Speaker 1: carries to qualify. You're looking at one of the best

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Speaker 1: offensive lines in the league, which I think is really

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Speaker 1: important for a guy like Richardson, who you know, it's

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Speaker 1: kind of his rookie year still, so last year he

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Speaker 1: took about two point nine seconds on average to throw.

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Speaker 1: But you know behind this offensive line where you got

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Speaker 1: you know, Smith and Raymond at the tackles both ranked

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Speaker 1: top seven out of eighty one qualifiers at PFF. Nelson's

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Speaker 1: a blue chipper. Kelly is the top five to seventh

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Speaker 1: center in the league. Haylar is going to take attention,

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Speaker 1: you know, off the passing game, and I think you know,

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Speaker 1: you have a sneaky good receiving corps as well. Michael

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Speaker 1: Pittman has been a monster these last couple of years.

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Speaker 1: Josh Downs had a very good rookie year, and then

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Speaker 1: you go and you draft another talented rookie on day

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Speaker 1: two and Adane Mitchell, who could take that Alec Pierce

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Speaker 1: spot which was essentially a black hole last year. And

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Speaker 1: you know, maybe one day we'll see we'll get a

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Speaker 1: Johnny Wood sighting as well. But there is some talent

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Speaker 1: at you know, pass catching wise, at tight end. I mean,

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Speaker 1: the Colts have like thirty eight thousand tight ends as well,

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Speaker 1: so one of them should be able to catch passes.

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Speaker 1: But you know, supporting cast is good. You're playing indoors.

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Speaker 1: The guy can run, the guy can throw deep at

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Speaker 1: you know, everything checks out and he's you know, he's

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Speaker 1: a top five talent. So I'll take the risk in fantasy,

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Speaker 1: you know that he gets hurt again because I think

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Speaker 1: the upside is there and I think, you know, if

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Speaker 1: the Colts are able to continue to exceed expectation, which

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Speaker 1: they did last year with Gardner Minshew, you know, Richardson

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Speaker 1: is going to be front and center. But this, you know,

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Speaker 1: if Richardson hits like this is a scary good offense

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Speaker 1: as good as their offensive line is, and with that

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Speaker 1: receiving corps getting better and Taylor in the center. So

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Speaker 1: really like Anthony Richardson the breakout in here too.

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Speaker 4: In the division, like the the defenses aren't all that great.

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Speaker 4: I mean, I think there's upside in that division, right,

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Speaker 4: but the defenses don't present too many.

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Speaker 3: Glaring challenges. I would think, right, that might help too.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean Houston I think is going to be

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Speaker 1: a lot a lot better. You know, they they signed

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Speaker 1: to Neil Hunter. You know, I really think the only

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Speaker 1: hole for Houston is you know, that cornerback spot opposite Stingley.

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Speaker 1: Is it gonna be? Okudah? Is it gonna be last year?

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Speaker 1: Is the rookie gonna step up? But yeah, Jacksonville, I

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Speaker 1: mean they're they're always looking for secondary help and their

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Speaker 1: pass rush is lacking. Tennessee could be better. They're kind

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Speaker 1: of a wildcard, but you know, they also lost some

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Speaker 1: talent as well. So yeah, I think it's just a

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Speaker 1: It sets up very well for a great statistical season

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Speaker 1: for Richardson. But I think he's a good player and

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Speaker 1: he'll play really well as long as he's on the field.

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Speaker 3: Okay, very good.

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Speaker 4: You know, Anthony Richardson five and a half yards of

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Speaker 4: carry in four games last year, cut short to the injury.

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Speaker 3: So Raybond goes with the quarterback. I think Matt Fraeban's

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Speaker 3: going to do the same for his first breakout.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm looking at Jaden Daniels right now, and you know,

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Speaker 2: whether it's for fantasy, I love him as a guy

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Speaker 2: that's a late round quarterback on him and a ton

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Speaker 2: of my drafts. Whether it's the the prop market, I

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Speaker 2: love the over on his rushing yardage prop this year,

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Speaker 2: whether it's the futures market, absolutely love him for Offensive

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Speaker 2: Rookie of the Year. He's six to one in that market,

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Speaker 2: and I look at him and compare him to Caleb Williams,

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Speaker 2: who is the clear favorite in that market at you know,

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Speaker 2: plus one twenty five right now, Like, tell me what

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Speaker 2: the difference is between Caleb Williams and Jaden Daniels. Like,

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Speaker 2: obviously Williams should be favored in that market, he's got

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Speaker 2: the better supporting cast, But you look at Jayden Daniels,

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Speaker 2: He's the superior rusher, and I think that gives him

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Speaker 2: a really clear edge both in terms of like his

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Speaker 2: ability to develop to like extend the developmental runway. Like

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Speaker 2: think about Josh Allen, think about like a lot of

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Speaker 2: these other quarterbacks who had running ability but maybe weren't

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Speaker 2: great kind of quote unquote real life quarterbacks right away.

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Speaker 2: Jalen Hurts I think falls into this category because of

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Speaker 2: the rushing ability and that added element in their game.

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Speaker 2: They were able eventually to tread water and then become

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Speaker 2: better passing quarterbacks, better pocket quarterbacks. And I think we

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Speaker 2: could see something like that with Jaden Daniels. He's a

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Speaker 2: Heisman winning quarter just like Caleb Williams. He was taken,

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Speaker 2: you know, at the very top of the draft, just

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Speaker 2: behind Caleb Williams. I think in the offensive Rookie of

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Speaker 2: the Year market six to one for him. I think

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Speaker 2: those are great odds, considering Caleb Williams is at plus

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Speaker 2: one twenty five. Souh. Jayden Daniels. I think we could

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Speaker 2: see not exactly like an RG three rookie year repeat,

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Speaker 2: but something approaching that in Washington with the Commanders this year.

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Speaker 2: So Jadon Daniels. Absolutely love him in all types of

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Speaker 2: ways to invest, whether it's fantasy or sports betting.

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Speaker 1: You're I was just gonna say, I love that because

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Speaker 1: the Rookie of the Year call out, because I think

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Speaker 1: he is the best value on the board. Even though

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Speaker 1: he's you know, six to way's still high up. But

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Speaker 1: if you look at Fantasy draft ADP. Most sites now

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Speaker 1: have Daniels going ahead of Caleb Williams, especially Best Ball,

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Speaker 1: where tends to be even sharper than regular ADP. And

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Speaker 1: what do you need to win Rookie of the Year.

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Speaker 1: You need the best statistical season. Well, if Jaden Daniels

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Speaker 1: is expected to put up more Fantasy points, then he's

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Speaker 1: expected to have a better or at least an on

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Speaker 1: par statistical season, where I think that rushing yardage is

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Speaker 1: the equalizer. And by the way, who's the offensive coordinator

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Speaker 1: in Washington, Cliff Timothy Kingsbury. What happened last time he

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Speaker 1: had a rookie quarterback drafted high in the first round,

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Speaker 1: Howard Murray? He won Rookie of the Year. So a

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Speaker 1: lot to like with Jayden Daniels for that Rookie of

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Speaker 1: the Year.

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Speaker 4: Friedman, what's your concern level though at the offensive line

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Speaker 4: in Washington?

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Speaker 2: I mean, I think it's about league average or close

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Speaker 2: to it with some of the upgrades that they've made

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Speaker 2: this offseason, So I wouldn't say like I feel great

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Speaker 2: about it. Certainly doesn't have the offensive line that Anthony

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Speaker 2: Richardson has for instance, And by the way, I love

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Speaker 2: that call out that raybaun has with Anthony Richardson looking

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Speaker 2: at adp as like akens instance, like number five quarterback,

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Speaker 2: he could have a massive season. So he doesn't have

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Speaker 2: a great offensive line around him, doesn't have great offensive

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Speaker 2: weapons around him, but all of it is serviceable enough

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Speaker 2: to where I think he should be.

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Speaker 3: Okay, okay, very good.

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Speaker 4: You mentioned Caleb Williams, and that's who Ray Bond's going

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Speaker 4: to turn two for his second one. I would be

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Speaker 4: curious Raybond, when you give your analysis on Williams, how

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Speaker 4: it measures with the evaluation of Daniels and how it

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Speaker 4: plays out for that particular market as well for Offensiverookie

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Speaker 4: of the Year.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, so full disclosure, I love Daniels. I would have

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Speaker 1: talked about Daniels as well if Friedman hadn't I have.

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Speaker 1: I think he's my most rostered quarterback in Bestball Leagues

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Speaker 1: thus far. So I'm right with Youard Friedman on that

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Speaker 1: late round quarterback strategy. But you know it doesn't have

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Speaker 1: to be an either or right. I know last year

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Speaker 1: it was where Bryce Young had one of the worst

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Speaker 1: quarterback seasons in the history of the National Football League,

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Speaker 1: out had one of the best, and you know, so

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Speaker 1: this year. I think both of the top two quarterbacks

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Speaker 1: are going to play really well. And the reason I

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Speaker 1: like Caleb Williams is because number one, I think there's

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Speaker 1: still doubters, you know, whether it's because of some of

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Speaker 1: the off the field stuff or just you know, he's

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Speaker 1: kind of an eclectic guy. And then everyone kind of

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Speaker 1: wants to point to the history of Bears quarterbacks that

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Speaker 1: they never put up numbers, they never really do well.

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Speaker 1: I think Caleb Williams will wreck all those narratives. And

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Speaker 1: you know, Freeman, you mentioned it, the supporting cast. That's

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Speaker 1: really what you know Williams has going for him, besides

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Speaker 1: having you know, number one overall pick talent. So a

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Speaker 1: lot of times when you see these highly drafted quarterbacks,

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Speaker 1: they take a couple of years to really blossom, uh

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Speaker 1: you know, and they might have you know, subpar rookie years.

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Speaker 1: But you look at some of those guys like Joe

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Speaker 1: Burrow didn't have, you know, the quality of receiver that

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Speaker 1: he had that he would have later on with you know,

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Speaker 1: drafting Jamar Chase that next year. You know, Tua Tongue Iioa,

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Speaker 1: you know, he didn't really take off till he got

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Speaker 1: Tyreek Hill. So when you look at Williams, DJ Moore,

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Speaker 1: Keenan Allen, and then a top ten pick in Rome

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Speaker 1: a Doonze who on a lot of teams would be

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Speaker 1: the number one wide receiver on this team, He's probably

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Speaker 1: going to be at best, you know, the third target,

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Speaker 1: you know, if not even lower down the list, because

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Speaker 1: he also got kol Komett coming off a breakout year.

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Speaker 1: You got DeAndre Swift, who's an explosive running back out

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Speaker 1: of the backfield who can catch passes. The offensive line

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Speaker 1: should be I think at least league average has some

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Speaker 1: upside to be even better than that. You know, if

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Speaker 1: the you know, if the tackles kind of work out there.

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Speaker 1: So with with Wright, who you know didn't have a

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Speaker 1: great rookie year, but he is a top ten pick,

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Speaker 1: so you know, if right hands out, you know you

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Speaker 1: got you know, the interior is pretty good with Jenkins,

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Speaker 1: who grated out in the eighty second percentile with pff

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Speaker 1: Bates played well in limited action last year. Nate Davis

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Speaker 1: is a pretty solid guard, so I think you and

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Speaker 1: then you got Shane Waldron, who's a McVeigh disciple, you know,

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Speaker 1: spent the last three three years in Seattle, you know,

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Speaker 1: helped turn around Geno Smith, so a lot to like

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Speaker 1: in Chicago with Caleb Williams. So I know there's gonna

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Speaker 1: be a lot of doubters and a lot of people

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Speaker 1: talking about the narratives and a lot of people wanting

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Speaker 1: to be contrariant and just go straight for Daniels and

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Speaker 1: forget about Williams. But I love them both, and I

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Speaker 1: just think Williams is too big to fail, you know,

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Speaker 1: so to speak with the supporting cast, it's just too good.

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Speaker 1: I mean, Keathan Allen and DJ Moore both can command

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Speaker 1: to target over twenty five percent of their routes, and

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Speaker 1: then you throw into don'sday. I mean, guys are gonna

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Speaker 1: be opened every single play for Williams.

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Speaker 4: At the back end of last year, the Bears whole

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Speaker 4: line was much better, Like you said, with health, they

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Speaker 4: were a good unit in PFF has him number eleven

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Speaker 4: entering the entering training camp.

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Speaker 3: So that's good news for the Bears.

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Speaker 4: You mentioned the weapons, but the line play certainly better

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Speaker 4: down the stretch, and they've got a good grade coming

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Speaker 4: into the year. So another quarterback from Raybond, an offensive

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Speaker 4: coordinator change in Atlanta, and Matthew Frieman thinks that could

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Speaker 4: bode well for Bjeon Robinson.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, And it feels a little bit cheap almost to

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Speaker 2: say Bejon Robinson is going to have a breakout year

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Speaker 2: when he's going as like the number two running back

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Speaker 2: in fantasy drafts, and he had, you know, like fourteen

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Speaker 2: thousand yards not fourteen hundred yards from scrimmage last year.

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Speaker 2: But I think that there's a little bit of it's

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Speaker 2: not dissatisfaction with how he performed last year, but like

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Speaker 2: relative to the draft hype that he had entering the league,

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Speaker 2: people thought that he was going to be like rookie

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Speaker 2: year Saquon, you know, and like he certainly I think

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Speaker 2: has that potential, and I think we see him hit

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Speaker 2: that this year. Like I think we go from Bijon

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Speaker 2: Robin as a guy who like, oh, disappointing that he

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Speaker 2: has to share this workload with Tyler Algier, disappointing that

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Speaker 2: he's not getting all these goal line carries, Like you

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Speaker 2: see the potential and you're frustrated by the fact that

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Speaker 2: he's not fully utilized in the way that someone with

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Speaker 2: his skill set should be. This year, I think we

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Speaker 2: fully see it and maybe it's because Zach Robinson as

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Speaker 2: the offensive coordinator comes in and is really able to

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Speaker 2: use him the way he should be used. Maybe it's

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Speaker 2: not even to do with Robinson, it's just addition by subtraction,

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Speaker 2: and that we don't have the previous regime of Arthur

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Speaker 2: Smith there handcuffing Robinson. So whether it's the fact that

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Speaker 2: the new coordinator is good, the old coordinator play caller

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Speaker 2: was bad, maybe a combination of those two things. And

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Speaker 2: also just Bejon Robinson elevating in his second year as

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Speaker 2: a professional. And then of course you have a new

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Speaker 2: quarterback coming in and Kirk Cousins who can help elevate

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Speaker 2: that entire offense. And even if Cousins isn't healthy ride Away,

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Speaker 2: Michael Pennix Junior, I feel confident is if he plays

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Speaker 2: probably better than Desmond Ritter. So whether whether it's Cousins,

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Speaker 2: you know, fully healthy ride Away and that offense goes,

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Speaker 2: or it's Pennix for a time, however it is that

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Speaker 2: the quarterback situation works out, that entire offense I think

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Speaker 2: is going to level up this season, and I think

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Speaker 2: that means massive things for Bejon Robinson, who like sincerely

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Speaker 2: has like two thousand yard, seventeen touchdown type of potential,

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Speaker 2: Like he could be the RB one. You know, Chris McCaffrey.

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Speaker 2: Obviously he's awesome. He's getting older, forty nine ers like

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Speaker 2: to rotate in running backs. Whatever it is, Bijon could

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Speaker 2: be the dude. He could be the RB one with

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Speaker 2: a massive campaign this year. And so this is just

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Speaker 2: kind of like a way of highlighting, like, yeah, people

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Speaker 2: are aware that Bejon Robinson is awesome. He's going as

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Speaker 2: the number two running back in fantasy drafts. But the

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Speaker 2: enthusiasm and the potential for him is just unreal this year.

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Speaker 2: So I love Bejon.

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Speaker 3: Robinson stability all over the place.

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Speaker 2: Now.

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Speaker 4: It teams for the Falcons in a bad division, but

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Speaker 4: the quarterback no more. As you said, no more. Ritter

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Speaker 4: and Taylor Heineke also saw a time last year under

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Speaker 4: center for that team. The Action Network podcast Everybody Is

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Speaker 3: Okay, very good.

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Speaker 4: So there are first two breakout candidates. Let's go to

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Speaker 4: a third one Raybond. You're gonna turn to a receiver.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, And I just want to, you know, to comment

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Speaker 1: on with Friedmans that totally agree on bijon with everything

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Speaker 1: he said, except that rotating running backs. As as a

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Speaker 1: guy who's made a lot of money betting Elijah Mitchell

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Speaker 1: under one and a half carries, they do not rotate

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Speaker 1: in running backs unless it's you know, like McCaffrey gets

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Speaker 1: hurt or something. Maybe that changes at some point, but yeah,

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Speaker 1: that's the only thing. But I agree. I think Robinson

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Speaker 1: is on that short list of guys that you know,

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Speaker 1: can kind of approach McCaffrey. Production it's a tough running

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Speaker 1: back class this year, so you know Robinson, Breis Hall,

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Speaker 1: you know in Jonathan Taylor. I think those are the

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Speaker 1: three guys that that I'm looking at up top. But yeah,

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Speaker 1: Robinson should have a monster year. Hopefully he's not the

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Speaker 1: Kyle Pitts of running backs. Rashid Shahi is my next

357
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Speaker 1: breakout candidate, and this one, you know, going a little

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Speaker 1: bit deeper in the weeds here. You know, he's not

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Speaker 1: a you know, sexy rookie or or you know, second

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Speaker 1: year breakout candidate. He's in his third year. But I

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Speaker 1: really like, you know, the kind of player he is.

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Speaker 1: Number One, he can play inside or outside. He split

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Speaker 1: his snaps about fifty to fifty, you know wider, you know,

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Speaker 1: between outlide and the slot. Last year, for his career,

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Speaker 1: he's averaging just under two yards per route, which is

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Speaker 1: very good. Uh. And he has a career of sixty

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Speaker 1: eight percent catch rate and is averaging over sixteen yards

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Speaker 1: per catch and an a dot of about fourteen. So

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Speaker 1: you know, that's really tough to be that efficient with,

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Speaker 1: you know, when you're getting a lot of downfield targets.

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Speaker 1: And speaking of downfield targets, last season on a team

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Speaker 1: that you know, enployed Derek Carrett quarterback for most of

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Speaker 1: the year, who is not not a great a deep thrower.

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Speaker 1: Rashid Shaheed four hundred and seventy four receiving yards on

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Speaker 1: deep targets, which are targets twenty or more yards down

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Speaker 1: the field. That was fifth in the entire National Football

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Speaker 1: League among wide receivers, behind only Tyreek Hill, Amari Cooper,

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Speaker 1: Mike Evans, and Dj Moore. Five touchdowns on deep passes

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Speaker 1: was top three among wide receivers. And this year, you know,

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Speaker 1: quick Kubiak, you know, finally did the Saints go away

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Speaker 1: from from Carmichael and they got a new offensive coordinator. Kubiak,

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Speaker 1: I think that equals more motion and more yard after

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Speaker 1: catch opportunities for Shaheed. So Shaheed was kind of you know,

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Speaker 1: even though he's a you know, shifty, agile, speedy guy,

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Speaker 1: very good returner as well, you know, he was kind

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Speaker 1: of boxed into mostly a you know, low percentage deep,

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Speaker 1: deep route role and he still was efficient, but now

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Speaker 1: he could supplement that with I think a lot more

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Speaker 1: stuff near the line of scrimmage. You also, you know,

390
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Speaker 1: Alvin Kamara was targeted on, like, you know, thirty five

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Speaker 1: percent of his routes last year. I think that's going

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Speaker 1: to regress. Michael Thomas no longer with the Saints, so

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Speaker 1: you have a chance for Shaheed to even finish the

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Speaker 1: season as that number two target. On New Orleans behind

395
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Speaker 1: Chris Olavid, depending on what happens with the running backs,

396
00:21:04,720 --> 00:21:08,240
Speaker 1: because you know, the other receiving spot is more of

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Speaker 1: you know, a ty Perry Heather to the line of scrimmage,

398
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Speaker 1: you don't you don't foresee as many targets per route,

399
00:21:15,680 --> 00:21:19,879
Speaker 1: as much efficiency there. So really like Rashid Shahed, I

400
00:21:19,920 --> 00:21:22,960
Speaker 1: think he can be a great fantasy pick, and I

401
00:21:23,040 --> 00:21:26,359
Speaker 1: think he can make some splash plays for the Saints,

402
00:21:26,440 --> 00:21:29,000
Speaker 1: especially you know now that he's I think gonna get

403
00:21:29,080 --> 00:21:31,520
Speaker 1: more opportunities. I mean, this guy, he might play, you know,

404
00:21:31,560 --> 00:21:33,720
Speaker 1: eighty percent of the snaps on offense. He might be

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00:21:33,880 --> 00:21:38,320
Speaker 1: kind of the new you know, chess piece for New Orleans.

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Speaker 1: Tasom Hill is like thirty four Rashid Shaheed. You know

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Speaker 1: he can. You can give them jet sleeps, you can

408
00:21:43,400 --> 00:21:45,520
Speaker 1: put them in the return game, you can go deep,

409
00:21:45,680 --> 00:21:50,159
Speaker 1: he can go underneath. Really like Shaheed, you know, to

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Speaker 1: break out in his third year with the Saints.

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Speaker 3: Taysom Wow, Taysom Hill is gonna be thirty four in August.

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Speaker 4: That is a that's wild. It still feels like he's

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Speaker 4: a young pop but not the case. They also seemed

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Speaker 4: like Carr and Olave at times and at least in

415
00:22:04,359 --> 00:22:06,760
Speaker 4: the primetime spots where they just didn't seem to fully

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Speaker 4: I know a Lave had a good back end of

417
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Speaker 4: the year, but middle of the year there was some

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Speaker 4: some growing paints between the two of those guys.

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Speaker 1: But I don't think they like each other very much. Yeah,

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00:22:16,200 --> 00:22:19,080
Speaker 1: that's that's a sense I got. I know, no inside stores,

421
00:22:19,080 --> 00:22:22,119
Speaker 1: but just watching and you know, reading between the TV's

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00:22:22,160 --> 00:22:24,280
Speaker 1: reading to all the tweets that those guys send out.

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00:22:24,520 --> 00:22:28,200
Speaker 1: I just don't think Alave likes Derek Carr very much.

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Speaker 1: So hopefully Carr grow to Shaheed more to get back

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Speaker 1: at them all.

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Speaker 3: Right, now you've got thoughts on Shaheed?

427
00:22:36,119 --> 00:22:40,639
Speaker 2: Yeah, I absolutely love this call out by rayvaon Shahed

428
00:22:40,960 --> 00:22:45,119
Speaker 2: with the returning ability that he has, could be really

429
00:22:45,320 --> 00:22:49,480
Speaker 2: interesting as a anytime touchdown bet during the year because

430
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Speaker 2: especially who knows, especially early in the year, how the

431
00:22:53,160 --> 00:22:56,320
Speaker 2: return rules are going to factor in. But Shahed has

432
00:22:56,400 --> 00:22:58,439
Speaker 2: a ton of talent as a return man, one of

433
00:22:58,440 --> 00:23:00,760
Speaker 2: the best in the league, and if the Saints can

434
00:23:00,760 --> 00:23:03,679
Speaker 2: figure that out, Shaheed could be you know, live to

435
00:23:03,680 --> 00:23:06,440
Speaker 2: get a touchdown basically anytime he touches the ball on

436
00:23:06,880 --> 00:23:10,360
Speaker 2: a kickoff return, So that's interesting. And then I gotta say,

437
00:23:10,359 --> 00:23:14,120
Speaker 2: from the fantasy perspective, perfect as a best ballpick because

438
00:23:14,200 --> 00:23:19,080
Speaker 2: of that deep ball volatility, really great as an SGP

439
00:23:20,280 --> 00:23:23,720
Speaker 2: type of play, because I mean, if he scores a touchdown,

440
00:23:23,920 --> 00:23:25,680
Speaker 2: there's a really good chance that he has a whole

441
00:23:25,720 --> 00:23:28,240
Speaker 2: lot of yards to go along with it. And you know,

442
00:23:28,359 --> 00:23:32,359
Speaker 2: sportsbooks might not be correlating those two things as accurately

443
00:23:32,359 --> 00:23:35,000
Speaker 2: as they should be, So when you're building an SGP,

444
00:23:35,240 --> 00:23:38,879
Speaker 2: I think that's also really intriguing for Shahed, you know.

445
00:23:38,920 --> 00:23:42,200
Speaker 2: And then also you know, for DFS, I think that's

446
00:23:42,240 --> 00:23:45,639
Speaker 2: also Shaheed is a really intriguing option there, because if

447
00:23:45,680 --> 00:23:47,920
Speaker 2: he scores a touchdown, again, it's the same idea as

448
00:23:47,920 --> 00:23:50,120
Speaker 2: the SGP, there could be a whole lot of yards

449
00:23:50,160 --> 00:23:53,800
Speaker 2: that go along with it. So Shahed, you know, just

450
00:23:53,880 --> 00:23:57,040
Speaker 2: kind of structurally on the type of player he is,

451
00:23:57,280 --> 00:24:00,320
Speaker 2: he's really intriguing. And then all of the offense of

452
00:24:00,800 --> 00:24:04,280
Speaker 2: contextual things that Raybond talked about, you can also put

453
00:24:04,280 --> 00:24:06,240
Speaker 2: that on there and see how it is that shahied

454
00:24:06,280 --> 00:24:08,080
Speaker 2: at the end of the year, you're like, wait a minute,

455
00:24:08,160 --> 00:24:10,600
Speaker 2: this guy ended up having like ten touchdowns and a

456
00:24:10,720 --> 00:24:13,639
Speaker 2: thousand scrimmage yards, you know, because he took a couple

457
00:24:14,240 --> 00:24:17,200
Speaker 2: end to rounds for long gains, like different things like that.

458
00:24:17,320 --> 00:24:19,280
Speaker 2: With them using him in a more sort of like

459
00:24:19,480 --> 00:24:23,159
Speaker 2: you know, all around weapon Taysom Hill type of way,

460
00:24:23,400 --> 00:24:25,840
Speaker 2: he could be really intriguing. So I love that call out.

461
00:24:26,720 --> 00:24:27,479
Speaker 3: Excellent, very good.

462
00:24:27,560 --> 00:24:29,760
Speaker 4: Yeah, he had six total touchdowns last year five through

463
00:24:29,800 --> 00:24:31,919
Speaker 4: the year with the New Orleans Saints.

464
00:24:32,080 --> 00:24:34,479
Speaker 3: Rashid Shahed of the New Orleans Saints.

465
00:24:35,440 --> 00:24:37,600
Speaker 4: We mentioned we highlighted some of the guys that you

466
00:24:37,880 --> 00:24:40,320
Speaker 4: were targeting, you guys targeted last year going into this

467
00:24:40,400 --> 00:24:42,000
Speaker 4: kind of episode, and one of the names that did

468
00:24:42,040 --> 00:24:45,719
Speaker 4: come up was a Dalton Kincaid on Raybond's front Freedman.

469
00:24:45,800 --> 00:24:48,919
Speaker 4: You actually so you have more praise for Kinkaid going

470
00:24:48,960 --> 00:24:49,920
Speaker 4: into twenty twenty four.

471
00:24:50,640 --> 00:24:53,520
Speaker 2: Yeah, absolutely love Kinkaid. He had, you know, like a

472
00:24:53,640 --> 00:24:57,000
Speaker 2: rookie year breakout. I think now he has like the

473
00:24:57,119 --> 00:25:00,400
Speaker 2: second year breakout where he goes from being a guy

474
00:25:00,440 --> 00:25:04,000
Speaker 2: who was great in that offense to a guy who,

475
00:25:04,080 --> 00:25:07,120
Speaker 2: if everything breaks right, ends up having like a sort

476
00:25:07,119 --> 00:25:10,639
Speaker 2: of peak Travis Kelcey type of season. You're in a

477
00:25:10,720 --> 00:25:15,080
Speaker 2: situation with the Bills where Stefan Diggs is gone, Gabriel

478
00:25:15,160 --> 00:25:19,560
Speaker 2: Davis is gone. The guys who are presumably going to

479
00:25:19,600 --> 00:25:21,920
Speaker 2: be called upon at the wide receiver to replace them,

480
00:25:22,840 --> 00:25:26,840
Speaker 2: they do not have any established chemistry with Josh Allen.

481
00:25:27,880 --> 00:25:30,440
Speaker 2: And then you look at Dalton Kinkaid, who did very

482
00:25:30,480 --> 00:25:33,800
Speaker 2: well last year in his first season, I think could

483
00:25:33,840 --> 00:25:37,080
Speaker 2: take a big step forward in his second season. And

484
00:25:37,480 --> 00:25:40,080
Speaker 2: based on the style of tight end he is. He

485
00:25:40,160 --> 00:25:42,640
Speaker 2: can play in the slot, he can line up out

486
00:25:42,680 --> 00:25:45,760
Speaker 2: wide if they need him to. He can be in

487
00:25:45,800 --> 00:25:49,560
Speaker 2: two tight end sets without that really impacting his ability

488
00:25:49,600 --> 00:25:53,159
Speaker 2: to produce. And so Kinkaid, I think he could be

489
00:25:53,240 --> 00:25:56,880
Speaker 2: the top target earner in that Bill's offense. And if

490
00:25:56,880 --> 00:25:59,919
Speaker 2: he's the number one guy in a passing attack led

491
00:26:00,080 --> 00:26:03,680
Speaker 2: by Josh Allen, I mean he could have like twelve

492
00:26:03,800 --> 00:26:07,119
Speaker 2: hundred and thirteen hundred yards without it actually seeming like

493
00:26:07,320 --> 00:26:09,960
Speaker 2: it was an unrealistic thing for him to get there.

494
00:26:10,000 --> 00:26:12,560
Speaker 2: So it Dalton Kincaid, as great as he was as

495
00:26:12,600 --> 00:26:15,000
Speaker 2: a rookie, I think there's the runway for him to

496
00:26:15,040 --> 00:26:17,560
Speaker 2: take another really big step forward this year.

497
00:26:18,119 --> 00:26:20,720
Speaker 1: It's like it kind of reminds me of remember the

498
00:26:20,880 --> 00:26:26,159
Speaker 1: Niners George Kittle's second year before they had Debo and

499
00:26:26,240 --> 00:26:29,720
Speaker 1: Iyuk and all those guys. Kittle went off for just

500
00:26:29,800 --> 00:26:33,440
Speaker 1: under fourteen hundred yards in year two, and I see

501
00:26:33,440 --> 00:26:36,879
Speaker 1: that kind of upside for King Kaid because anytime you

502
00:26:36,920 --> 00:26:39,280
Speaker 1: have a tight end that's going to be it's team's

503
00:26:39,359 --> 00:26:42,960
Speaker 1: number one target, you just have massive upside and then

504
00:26:43,080 --> 00:26:45,359
Speaker 1: you hit on it like it's not just he's his

505
00:26:45,400 --> 00:26:48,040
Speaker 1: team's number one target, he's his team's number one target

506
00:26:48,160 --> 00:26:52,160
Speaker 1: for one of the better quarterbacks in the league. So yeah,

507
00:26:52,240 --> 00:26:54,880
Speaker 1: a lot of upside. And I think I think I'm

508
00:26:54,880 --> 00:26:59,320
Speaker 1: gonna have to put Kinkaid over Trey McBride in my

509
00:26:59,400 --> 00:27:02,600
Speaker 1: rankings because I think, you know, Kelsey Laporta, but m

510
00:27:02,720 --> 00:27:06,879
Speaker 1: Kincaid really I think has upside that McBride doesn't because

511
00:27:06,880 --> 00:27:08,760
Speaker 1: of Harrison being there.

512
00:27:09,040 --> 00:27:12,399
Speaker 2: And what I like about the Kencaid factor and all

513
00:27:12,440 --> 00:27:15,000
Speaker 2: of this from the fantasy perspective is that if you're

514
00:27:15,000 --> 00:27:20,440
Speaker 2: looking at ADP you can normally get Kinkaid later than Laporta,

515
00:27:20,720 --> 00:27:25,199
Speaker 2: Kelsey McBride, Andrews and in some cases even Pits. So

516
00:27:25,440 --> 00:27:28,520
Speaker 2: I think he has the upside of all of those guys,

517
00:27:28,760 --> 00:27:31,800
Speaker 2: but you're not having to pay for that upside. So

518
00:27:32,080 --> 00:27:34,440
Speaker 2: I really like being able to get him in fantasy.

519
00:27:34,760 --> 00:27:39,000
Speaker 1: Imagine taking Kyle Pitts over Dalton Kincaid before Kincaid's fourteen

520
00:27:39,040 --> 00:27:42,639
Speaker 1: hundred yard season where Pitch goes for like his normal

521
00:27:42,720 --> 00:27:45,560
Speaker 1: eight hundred yards and one touchdown, like it's it would

522
00:27:45,600 --> 00:27:46,960
Speaker 1: be miserable. Don't do that.

523
00:27:47,480 --> 00:27:51,080
Speaker 4: George Kittle in eighteen one and thirty six targets eighty

524
00:27:51,080 --> 00:27:54,639
Speaker 4: eight grabs. The next receiver on the Niners team was

525
00:27:54,760 --> 00:28:02,600
Speaker 4: Kendrick Bourne, and I mean like Kendrick Yeah, So that's interesting,

526
00:28:02,680 --> 00:28:05,280
Speaker 4: right because Diggs is gone, Gabe Davis got got some

527
00:28:05,320 --> 00:28:07,840
Speaker 4: money from the Jaguars, so right, Shakiro would right now

528
00:28:07,880 --> 00:28:10,480
Speaker 4: set up to be their number one receiver going into

529
00:28:10,480 --> 00:28:11,760
Speaker 4: the ear Maybe Keon Johnson.

530
00:28:12,040 --> 00:28:14,240
Speaker 1: Yeah, I think it's an open Coleman. I think it's

531
00:28:14,280 --> 00:28:17,719
Speaker 1: an open competition. I mean, Samuel even could end him

532
00:28:17,720 --> 00:28:20,399
Speaker 1: catching the most passes if you know, if Coleman doesn't

533
00:28:20,400 --> 00:28:24,320
Speaker 1: pan out, you know, but I think Shakiir Shakir has

534
00:28:24,840 --> 00:28:27,720
Speaker 1: you know, I think Shakier is probably the favorite at

535
00:28:27,720 --> 00:28:28,160
Speaker 1: this point.

536
00:28:28,560 --> 00:28:31,200
Speaker 3: Okay, all right, good one, Dalton Kincaid.

537
00:28:31,440 --> 00:28:34,359
Speaker 4: Speaking of repeat names, so Matthew Friedman gave out Zamir

538
00:28:34,400 --> 00:28:36,600
Speaker 4: White last year. Raybond's looking at him this year, he

539
00:28:36,680 --> 00:28:40,120
Speaker 4: is the lead back right now, Raybon in Vegas with

540
00:28:40,240 --> 00:28:41,480
Speaker 4: Josh Jacobs in Green Bay.

541
00:28:43,080 --> 00:28:47,160
Speaker 1: Yeah, and I think you know talking about earlier with

542
00:28:47,520 --> 00:28:50,560
Speaker 1: on Alexander Madison last year. So we're going with a

543
00:28:50,600 --> 00:28:54,160
Speaker 1: Madison adjacent back because now Madison, you know, is backing

544
00:28:54,240 --> 00:28:58,080
Speaker 1: up Zamir White, which you know, given that he was

545
00:28:58,120 --> 00:29:01,480
Speaker 1: the true whiff last year, is a good because I mean,

546
00:29:01,640 --> 00:29:07,520
Speaker 1: this backfield, it's Madison, it's a mere Abdullah maybe you know,

547
00:29:07,880 --> 00:29:10,800
Speaker 1: Britten Brown, I mean, not not much to speak of.

548
00:29:11,400 --> 00:29:15,120
Speaker 1: So I think we'll be yeah, yeah, yeah, he's probably

549
00:29:15,120 --> 00:29:17,400
Speaker 1: the probably the best one, to be honest, but you know,

550
00:29:17,440 --> 00:29:19,920
Speaker 1: he's a rookie. But I think the key is and

551
00:29:19,960 --> 00:29:22,280
Speaker 1: when you're looking for breakouts, you're looking for a mix

552
00:29:22,320 --> 00:29:25,040
Speaker 1: of talent and opportunity, right, Okay, so let's talk about

553
00:29:25,480 --> 00:29:29,680
Speaker 1: the talents. White last year seventy nine percentile among qualified

554
00:29:29,680 --> 00:29:33,160
Speaker 1: backs in yards after contact at three point two to one,

555
00:29:33,600 --> 00:29:36,440
Speaker 1: and yards after contact. When you're evaluating running backs, that's

556
00:29:36,480 --> 00:29:38,680
Speaker 1: what you want to look at because yards before contact,

557
00:29:39,120 --> 00:29:42,760
Speaker 1: it's it's a lot, it's a lot more statistically explained

558
00:29:42,800 --> 00:29:45,240
Speaker 1: by the offensive line. It's not as sticky from one

559
00:29:45,280 --> 00:29:47,400
Speaker 1: year to the next. Now, there are some backs that

560
00:29:47,560 --> 00:29:50,800
Speaker 1: you know are better at avoiding you know, contact or

561
00:29:50,840 --> 00:29:53,880
Speaker 1: you know and getting finding the whole. But overall, you

562
00:29:53,920 --> 00:29:55,880
Speaker 1: want a guy that's going to get hit and keep

563
00:29:55,920 --> 00:29:59,560
Speaker 1: on moving, and Zamir White can do just that. Also,

564
00:30:00,120 --> 00:30:04,240
Speaker 1: another positive nineteen percent target per route rate last year.

565
00:30:04,280 --> 00:30:07,960
Speaker 1: That's just a hair above the league average for running backs,

566
00:30:08,000 --> 00:30:10,760
Speaker 1: which is good because I don't think White hast thought

567
00:30:10,800 --> 00:30:14,040
Speaker 1: of as much of a as much of a pass catcher.

568
00:30:14,120 --> 00:30:17,640
Speaker 1: But we saw the last four weeks that and Freeman

569
00:30:17,880 --> 00:30:20,440
Speaker 1: you talked about this earlier. The last four weeks we

570
00:30:20,480 --> 00:30:24,680
Speaker 1: got a preview of Zamir White any featured role. Josh

571
00:30:24,760 --> 00:30:28,960
Speaker 1: Jacobs was not able to suit up, and Zamir White

572
00:30:29,400 --> 00:30:33,160
Speaker 1: put up twenty one carries for ninety nine yards rushing

573
00:30:33,560 --> 00:30:36,320
Speaker 1: on average through those four games, and then caught another

574
00:30:36,800 --> 00:30:39,400
Speaker 1: two points three balls for fifteen yards through the air.

575
00:30:39,480 --> 00:30:42,360
Speaker 1: So overall that's twenty three touches for one hundred and

576
00:30:42,360 --> 00:30:46,760
Speaker 1: fourteen scrimmage yards per game over the final four weeks.

577
00:30:46,800 --> 00:30:52,000
Speaker 1: Those four weeks came with Antonio Pierce at head coach.

578
00:30:52,280 --> 00:30:54,680
Speaker 1: I think you know, even though he's not an offensive coach,

579
00:30:54,680 --> 00:30:58,480
Speaker 1: he's a defensive coach he wants to be. He wants

580
00:30:58,480 --> 00:31:01,160
Speaker 1: the Raiders to be more of a run heavy, kind

581
00:31:01,160 --> 00:31:06,280
Speaker 1: of defensive minded team. And you saw that in terms

582
00:31:06,320 --> 00:31:10,800
Speaker 1: of the you know, run pass splits and the fact

583
00:31:10,880 --> 00:31:15,680
Speaker 1: that with McDaniel's Raider running backs average nineteen point three

584
00:31:15,720 --> 00:31:19,800
Speaker 1: carries collectively per game. With Pierce that jumped up to

585
00:31:19,920 --> 00:31:24,000
Speaker 1: twenty four point three. So you know, even if Zamir White,

586
00:31:24,240 --> 00:31:26,800
Speaker 1: you know, seeds, you know, a couple carries here to

587
00:31:27,160 --> 00:31:30,840
Speaker 1: Madison or Lob or maybe some pass down work, there

588
00:31:30,880 --> 00:31:34,960
Speaker 1: should still be a lot of opportunities for the Raider backfield.

589
00:31:35,000 --> 00:31:38,560
Speaker 1: And I think the upside here is a season similar

590
00:31:38,560 --> 00:31:41,520
Speaker 1: to Josh Jacobs a couple of years ago, where he

591
00:31:41,600 --> 00:31:44,920
Speaker 1: could just continue to kind of take a stranglehold of

592
00:31:44,960 --> 00:31:47,120
Speaker 1: that backfield like he did over those last four weeks,

593
00:31:47,480 --> 00:31:49,680
Speaker 1: and you know, the Raiders just kind of try to

594
00:31:49,760 --> 00:31:53,600
Speaker 1: try to survive and hide their you know, monstrosity of

595
00:31:53,640 --> 00:31:57,480
Speaker 1: a quarterback situation and you know, and just just just

596
00:31:57,520 --> 00:31:59,840
Speaker 1: throw enough just to you know, kind of play Kate

597
00:32:00,080 --> 00:32:02,640
Speaker 1: Davante Adams and make sure he's not you know, going

598
00:32:02,760 --> 00:32:05,680
Speaker 1: going crazy and you know, trying to get out of

599
00:32:05,720 --> 00:32:08,960
Speaker 1: there like he was with McDaniels. But overall, yeah, I

600
00:32:08,960 --> 00:32:13,320
Speaker 1: think I think White is in prime position to break out.

601
00:32:13,560 --> 00:32:16,680
Speaker 1: I like him as a fantasy pick. I just think

602
00:32:16,720 --> 00:32:20,320
Speaker 1: he has a lot of power and he's the exact

603
00:32:20,320 --> 00:32:23,160
Speaker 1: type of back that the that the Raiders need and

604
00:32:23,200 --> 00:32:26,040
Speaker 1: that the Raiders are going to to want to use

605
00:32:26,640 --> 00:32:29,800
Speaker 1: this year given the makeup of their team.

606
00:32:30,120 --> 00:32:33,600
Speaker 4: The INCOMPETENCEI quarterback might actually be very beneficial to this pick.

607
00:32:34,640 --> 00:32:36,360
Speaker 4: And not to mention, you said it Adams in this

608
00:32:36,440 --> 00:32:38,040
Speaker 4: Receiver documentary on Netflix.

609
00:32:38,080 --> 00:32:41,280
Speaker 3: It's not not good. That was and that was last year.

610
00:32:41,280 --> 00:32:43,640
Speaker 4: Who knows how it looks this year with in theory

611
00:32:43,720 --> 00:32:48,080
Speaker 4: worse quarterback play but a pretty.

612
00:32:47,840 --> 00:32:51,040
Speaker 1: Good offensive line, you know, because I know you might gosh,

613
00:32:51,080 --> 00:32:52,800
Speaker 1: I know you were probably gonna ask about that, but

614
00:32:52,920 --> 00:32:56,320
Speaker 1: you know, James at the center position ranked top ten

615
00:32:56,880 --> 00:33:01,160
Speaker 1: in PFF. Miller and Mumford at the yards, I mean

616
00:33:01,160 --> 00:33:03,840
Speaker 1: at the tackles are pretty good as well, and so

617
00:33:05,080 --> 00:33:07,680
Speaker 1: you know, you have really you have everything kind of

618
00:33:07,720 --> 00:33:11,000
Speaker 1: set up but the quarterback situation. But I mean look

619
00:33:11,040 --> 00:33:16,400
Speaker 1: at Minshew last year, Taylor Moss, you know, indoors, they

620
00:33:16,520 --> 00:33:19,800
Speaker 1: they played well. And then if it's O'Connell, that means

621
00:33:20,000 --> 00:33:23,600
Speaker 1: that he probably is at least equal to Minshew. So yeah,

622
00:33:23,640 --> 00:33:26,440
Speaker 1: cautiously optimistic that that they can't survive, like you said,

623
00:33:26,520 --> 00:33:29,400
Speaker 1: even though the quarterback is the is the weak point.

624
00:33:29,600 --> 00:33:31,200
Speaker 4: Yeah, it didn't have to ask you. You did it

625
00:33:31,240 --> 00:33:33,240
Speaker 4: for me. Thank you, rape on Aus. I know you

626
00:33:33,320 --> 00:33:36,640
Speaker 4: love follow up questions. Freeman, you got so you got

627
00:33:36,640 --> 00:33:38,480
Speaker 4: thoughts you had so White was one of your guys

628
00:33:38,520 --> 00:33:41,160
Speaker 4: last year. How do you feel about this year?

629
00:33:41,680 --> 00:33:43,680
Speaker 2: I still love it riding with raybaund on this one.

630
00:33:43,720 --> 00:33:45,320
Speaker 2: And you know, you can look in the season long

631
00:33:45,360 --> 00:33:48,680
Speaker 2: prop market, Zimmer White's number is seven hundred and seventy

632
00:33:48,720 --> 00:33:52,000
Speaker 2: five point five. I think he could absolutely smash that.

633
00:33:52,320 --> 00:33:55,320
Speaker 2: I have this projected at nine hundred and thirty point

634
00:33:55,440 --> 00:33:58,720
Speaker 2: seven looking at my Fantasy Life projections right now, and

635
00:33:59,720 --> 00:34:03,240
Speaker 2: we we a natural plug right here. We've launched the

636
00:34:03,280 --> 00:34:05,240
Speaker 2: Fantasy Life Plus package, and part of that is the

637
00:34:05,280 --> 00:34:08,640
Speaker 2: Utilization Report, which allows you to look at the production

638
00:34:09,120 --> 00:34:12,280
Speaker 2: and the underline usage for players and you can slice

639
00:34:12,320 --> 00:34:14,360
Speaker 2: it and dice it, you know, based on different splits.

640
00:34:14,360 --> 00:34:16,240
Speaker 2: And so if you look at just the last four

641
00:34:16,320 --> 00:34:19,600
Speaker 2: games of the season when Zamir White was the guy

642
00:34:19,760 --> 00:34:22,759
Speaker 2: last year, he had a seventy percent snap rate and

643
00:34:22,840 --> 00:34:27,000
Speaker 2: a seventy six percent share of the rushing workload. Those

644
00:34:27,000 --> 00:34:31,359
Speaker 2: are like near elite numbers for a running back. And

645
00:34:31,560 --> 00:34:34,600
Speaker 2: you know, granted, the Raiders went three to one last

646
00:34:34,680 --> 00:34:37,840
Speaker 2: year in that stretch and they're one loss, it was

647
00:34:37,920 --> 00:34:41,279
Speaker 2: only three points, and so it's maybe not representative of

648
00:34:41,320 --> 00:34:43,920
Speaker 2: what they are likely to have this year. But as

649
00:34:44,000 --> 00:34:47,359
Speaker 2: Raybaon mentioned, even if they are in a negative game

650
00:34:47,400 --> 00:34:50,040
Speaker 2: script for a lot of the year, defensive head coach

651
00:34:50,080 --> 00:34:53,319
Speaker 2: Antonio piers is likely to want the offense to have

652
00:34:53,400 --> 00:34:56,839
Speaker 2: a run focused, ball control type of approach. I think

653
00:34:56,960 --> 00:35:01,279
Speaker 2: Zamir White just absolutely crushes in the prop market here,

654
00:35:01,480 --> 00:35:03,520
Speaker 2: and then from the fantasy perspective as well.

655
00:35:04,120 --> 00:35:07,240
Speaker 1: Yeah, I got him at nine oh one, so about

656
00:35:07,560 --> 00:35:10,120
Speaker 1: not as high as you're nine thirty, but well over

657
00:35:10,280 --> 00:35:13,719
Speaker 1: his season long prop as well in terms of the

658
00:35:13,800 --> 00:35:14,800
Speaker 1: rushing yards for White.

659
00:35:15,840 --> 00:35:18,720
Speaker 3: Hey, we go to the fourth breakout candidate for Matthew Freeman.

660
00:35:18,760 --> 00:35:21,080
Speaker 3: We're going back to this rookie class, but we're looking

661
00:35:21,120 --> 00:35:22,239
Speaker 3: at receiver. What do you got?

662
00:35:22,440 --> 00:35:25,680
Speaker 2: Yeah, Xavier Worthy is the guy I'm looking at. And

663
00:35:26,200 --> 00:35:29,040
Speaker 2: you know, sort of like Rashid Rice last year, this

664
00:35:29,160 --> 00:35:32,239
Speaker 2: is just going to be a very simplistic type of

665
00:35:32,320 --> 00:35:36,319
Speaker 2: analysis here, but we have you know, we've got the

666
00:35:36,400 --> 00:35:40,120
Speaker 2: chiefs hat right up there, maybe the best quarterback of

667
00:35:40,160 --> 00:35:42,759
Speaker 2: all time. I'm not saying that Mahomes is better than

668
00:35:42,800 --> 00:35:45,879
Speaker 2: Brady yet, but what we've seen out of Mahomes to

669
00:35:45,880 --> 00:35:48,799
Speaker 2: this point in his career, he is on you know,

670
00:35:48,840 --> 00:35:52,680
Speaker 2: the trajectory to rival Tom Brady. So one of the

671
00:35:52,719 --> 00:35:57,880
Speaker 2: best quarterbacks of all time being paired with the fastest

672
00:35:58,520 --> 00:36:03,759
Speaker 2: combine time wide receive an NFL history, and we know

673
00:36:04,160 --> 00:36:07,359
Speaker 2: what that offense is capable of when it has had

674
00:36:07,480 --> 00:36:10,720
Speaker 2: a competent deep threat. And I will say Xavier Worthy

675
00:36:11,000 --> 00:36:15,239
Speaker 2: is not just a speedster. He was a high quality

676
00:36:15,440 --> 00:36:19,440
Speaker 2: wide receiver at the University of Texas, especially what he

677
00:36:19,480 --> 00:36:23,400
Speaker 2: did there as a freshman, leading that team in receiving.

678
00:36:23,560 --> 00:36:26,480
Speaker 2: Like if a guy can break out as a freshman,

679
00:36:26,960 --> 00:36:30,400
Speaker 2: you know, at a Power five school, that actually means something.

680
00:36:30,440 --> 00:36:32,319
Speaker 2: And then for him to tear it up at the

681
00:36:32,360 --> 00:36:34,560
Speaker 2: combine the way he did, and then have that draft

682
00:36:34,600 --> 00:36:38,200
Speaker 2: capital invested in him and then to be paired with,

683
00:36:38,640 --> 00:36:41,640
Speaker 2: you know, a great play caller and a great quarterback.

684
00:36:42,080 --> 00:36:45,360
Speaker 2: Xavier Worthy has a world of potential this year. And

685
00:36:45,400 --> 00:36:47,240
Speaker 2: it's not to say that like he could be Tyreek

686
00:36:47,320 --> 00:36:50,920
Speaker 2: Hill two point zero because like probably no one can

687
00:36:50,960 --> 00:36:54,200
Speaker 2: ever replicate what Tyreek Hill has done in the NFL.

688
00:36:54,280 --> 00:36:57,640
Speaker 2: But Xavier Worthy can, I think make his own mark.

689
00:36:58,000 --> 00:37:00,800
Speaker 2: And I think people are kind of discot a little

690
00:37:00,800 --> 00:37:04,879
Speaker 2: bit the Chiefs offense because of how it underperformed last year,

691
00:37:05,080 --> 00:37:07,359
Speaker 2: But if you look at all of the years before that,

692
00:37:07,800 --> 00:37:12,440
Speaker 2: even the Alex Smith year of twenty seventeen, this was

693
00:37:12,600 --> 00:37:16,040
Speaker 2: a top ten offense in points, in yards per play,

694
00:37:17,120 --> 00:37:19,839
Speaker 2: top six in a lot of cases, and I think

695
00:37:19,880 --> 00:37:22,840
Speaker 2: we see them get back to that type of mark.

696
00:37:23,120 --> 00:37:26,120
Speaker 2: So if we have a top six type of offense

697
00:37:26,480 --> 00:37:29,799
Speaker 2: with a speedster who is not going to have a

698
00:37:29,880 --> 00:37:32,799
Speaker 2: ton of coverage going in his direction because of the

699
00:37:32,880 --> 00:37:36,640
Speaker 2: other players on the field, there will be opportunities each

700
00:37:36,719 --> 00:37:40,239
Speaker 2: game where he just lows by his safety and Mahomes

701
00:37:40,280 --> 00:37:42,439
Speaker 2: like we saw it in practice. Like I'm not going

702
00:37:42,480 --> 00:37:44,359
Speaker 2: to like be the guy who's like did you see

703
00:37:44,360 --> 00:37:48,440
Speaker 2: what happened? You know, but like we've already seen instances

704
00:37:48,440 --> 00:37:51,320
Speaker 2: of Mahome being able to navigate the pocket, escape the pocket,

705
00:37:51,360 --> 00:37:54,560
Speaker 2: extend plays and throw at sixty yards downfield, and Xavier

706
00:37:54,600 --> 00:37:56,439
Speaker 2: Worthy can beat his guy and go get the ball.

707
00:37:56,680 --> 00:37:59,640
Speaker 2: I think we will see multiple instances of that this year.

708
00:38:00,120 --> 00:38:03,200
Speaker 2: Would not surprise me at all. If we enter fantasy

709
00:38:03,280 --> 00:38:06,440
Speaker 2: drafts in twenty twenty five and people are talking about

710
00:38:06,600 --> 00:38:11,120
Speaker 2: Xavier Worthy as a low end wide receiver one, Andy Reid.

711
00:38:10,920 --> 00:38:13,120
Speaker 4: And Patrick Mahomes will never have to think about Kadarius

712
00:38:13,160 --> 00:38:13,719
Speaker 4: Tony again.

713
00:38:14,680 --> 00:38:20,200
Speaker 1: Hopefully running back Canarius Tony that is there. You're gonna

714
00:38:20,239 --> 00:38:21,840
Speaker 1: use him in the backfield some this year.

715
00:38:21,800 --> 00:38:23,680
Speaker 4: As long as Worthy can line up the right way

716
00:38:24,680 --> 00:38:28,080
Speaker 4: and if it doesn't get caught. Man, we got one

717
00:38:28,080 --> 00:38:31,040
Speaker 4: more bonus pick here. We got a breakout candidate number

718
00:38:31,080 --> 00:38:32,919
Speaker 4: five from Freeman. He's got one more for us before

719
00:38:32,920 --> 00:38:33,560
Speaker 4: we get out of here.

720
00:38:34,000 --> 00:38:37,359
Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm looking at Tank Dell, who was awesome last year.

721
00:38:38,200 --> 00:38:40,920
Speaker 2: You know, I would say, I wouldn't say unexpectedly awesome,

722
00:38:40,920 --> 00:38:43,280
Speaker 2: but he was a third rounder and he was small

723
00:38:43,600 --> 00:38:45,280
Speaker 2: entering the league, and so you know they are naturally

724
00:38:45,320 --> 00:38:48,160
Speaker 2: going to be questions, especially when he's playing with a

725
00:38:48,239 --> 00:38:53,000
Speaker 2: rookie quarterback on a team that people weren't expecting much from. Man.

726
00:38:53,040 --> 00:38:56,560
Speaker 2: He was awesome last year, and I think people are

727
00:38:56,600 --> 00:38:59,520
Speaker 2: kind of discounting how good he was because of the

728
00:38:59,560 --> 00:39:02,279
Speaker 2: injury and then the fact that Nico Collins also looked

729
00:39:02,320 --> 00:39:05,080
Speaker 2: really good. And if you're looking at fantasy drafts right now,

730
00:39:05,320 --> 00:39:08,520
Speaker 2: people are valuing Nico Collins as if he is a

731
00:39:08,560 --> 00:39:11,640
Speaker 2: true wide receiver one, and they are valuing Tank Dell

732
00:39:12,040 --> 00:39:15,400
Speaker 2: is if he is a supplementary type of wide receiver.

733
00:39:15,840 --> 00:39:19,200
Speaker 2: And I think Dell is just as good as Nico Collins.

734
00:39:19,560 --> 00:39:23,400
Speaker 2: And I think with Bobby Slowick being retained as the

735
00:39:23,440 --> 00:39:27,879
Speaker 2: offensive play caller there, with CJ. Stroud progressing another year

736
00:39:27,920 --> 00:39:30,439
Speaker 2: in his career, like as great as Stroud was last year,

737
00:39:30,560 --> 00:39:33,280
Speaker 2: he could be somehow even better in his second season.

738
00:39:33,480 --> 00:39:37,480
Speaker 2: With Tank Dell returning from injury and him maturing in

739
00:39:37,520 --> 00:39:40,239
Speaker 2: his second season as a professional, I think at the

740
00:39:40,360 --> 00:39:42,359
Speaker 2: end of this year it could be like wow, Like

741
00:39:42,480 --> 00:39:45,960
Speaker 2: Tank Dell was basically like not quite peak Antonio Brown,

742
00:39:46,200 --> 00:39:49,680
Speaker 2: but like really close to it, and like a like

743
00:39:49,719 --> 00:39:52,560
Speaker 2: a wide receiver, like true wide receiver one that no

744
00:39:52,560 --> 00:39:54,680
Speaker 2: one even questions, like, oh, is this guy like a

745
00:39:54,800 --> 00:39:59,000
Speaker 2: legit NFL receiver? It's like wow, Like the Texans could

746
00:39:59,000 --> 00:40:03,600
Speaker 2: be amazing for year to come with Dell paired with CJ. Stroud.

747
00:40:04,760 --> 00:40:10,360
Speaker 1: Man that that is the downside of not going into

748
00:40:10,440 --> 00:40:17,239
Speaker 1: podcast outlines first, because I would have loved to talk

749
00:40:17,280 --> 00:40:20,280
Speaker 1: about Tank Dell. I remember, I still remember the first

750
00:40:20,800 --> 00:40:23,680
Speaker 1: preseason game I watched him. I think it was against

751
00:40:23,719 --> 00:40:27,480
Speaker 1: the Patriots, and it took me like three snaps. And

752
00:40:27,520 --> 00:40:31,520
Speaker 1: I remember saying to one of our editors here, Matthew Treb,

753
00:40:31,680 --> 00:40:34,000
Speaker 1: like this is this is the best used to receiver already,

754
00:40:34,080 --> 00:40:38,840
Speaker 1: Like this is it's already, you know. And Antonio Brown,

755
00:40:38,880 --> 00:40:42,600
Speaker 1: for even was the guy that I was thinking about

756
00:40:43,360 --> 00:40:45,360
Speaker 1: and I think about when I watched Dell. So the

757
00:40:45,400 --> 00:40:47,160
Speaker 1: fact that you kind of mentioned, oh, you might not

758
00:40:47,200 --> 00:40:51,320
Speaker 1: be peak Antonio Brown. I mean he plays like he

759
00:40:51,560 --> 00:40:54,440
Speaker 1: Antonio Brown, Like if you watched and I I, you know,

760
00:40:54,520 --> 00:40:56,560
Speaker 1: I love C. J. Stroud, So I went, you know,

761
00:40:56,640 --> 00:41:00,120
Speaker 1: watched a ton of all twenty two on Stroud in

762
00:41:00,160 --> 00:41:03,200
Speaker 1: that whole offense. I mean, that's the guy. I can't

763
00:41:03,200 --> 00:41:07,720
Speaker 1: think of a better tomp for Tank Dell in terms

764
00:41:07,719 --> 00:41:10,600
Speaker 1: of how he plays, how he you know, the suddenness,

765
00:41:10,640 --> 00:41:14,640
Speaker 1: the routes than a guy like Antonio Brown. So yeah,

766
00:41:14,719 --> 00:41:19,280
Speaker 1: if let's say Diggs, Collins, and Dell are all healthy

767
00:41:19,320 --> 00:41:23,200
Speaker 1: for seventeen games, I think Dell has just as much

768
00:41:23,200 --> 00:41:25,600
Speaker 1: of a shot as those other two guys if not

769
00:41:25,760 --> 00:41:30,240
Speaker 1: a better shot at being the most productive Houston Texan receiver.

770
00:41:30,360 --> 00:41:34,799
Speaker 1: He is that good and you know we we were

771
00:41:34,840 --> 00:41:37,839
Speaker 1: able to learn that in only half a season. So

772
00:41:38,880 --> 00:41:41,399
Speaker 1: this sky is the limit for this guy. Love love,

773
00:41:41,480 --> 00:41:43,360
Speaker 1: love Tank Dell. And he's got the second best quarterback

774
00:41:43,360 --> 00:41:45,120
Speaker 1: in the league, all right.

775
00:41:44,960 --> 00:41:47,000
Speaker 3: And he will be a full participant in training camp.

776
00:41:47,040 --> 00:41:49,359
Speaker 4: That's what all the reports indicate on Tank Dell coming

777
00:41:49,400 --> 00:41:51,760
Speaker 4: back from the injury missed the last month of the season.

778
00:41:52,320 --> 00:41:53,360
Speaker 3: All right, I think that's gonna do it.

779
00:41:53,400 --> 00:41:56,960
Speaker 4: Matthew Freeman, you mentioned your the utilization tool now available

780
00:41:56,960 --> 00:41:58,759
Speaker 4: over at a Fantasy Life. Anything else you'd like to

781
00:41:58,800 --> 00:42:01,080
Speaker 4: plug before we let you go? Man?

782
00:42:01,160 --> 00:42:04,000
Speaker 2: So you know, we've got everything you know free that

783
00:42:04,040 --> 00:42:07,439
Speaker 2: we've had previously. So the Fantasy Life newsletter everyone should

784
00:42:07,480 --> 00:42:09,640
Speaker 2: be subscribing to that. You get it every day. It's

785
00:42:09,680 --> 00:42:12,439
Speaker 2: totally free. We've got free rankings, free content. But we've

786
00:42:12,440 --> 00:42:16,880
Speaker 2: also launched the premium product, Fantasy Life Plus, which comes

787
00:42:16,920 --> 00:42:21,239
Speaker 2: with you know, some premium tools where you can customize

788
00:42:21,680 --> 00:42:26,000
Speaker 2: rankings based on your league settings and they will change,

789
00:42:26,520 --> 00:42:28,040
Speaker 2: you know, to match what it is that you have

790
00:42:28,160 --> 00:42:30,960
Speaker 2: going on. We have a draft simm me later. We

791
00:42:31,040 --> 00:42:33,480
Speaker 2: have some sinking tools for your league. So if you

792
00:42:33,640 --> 00:42:38,000
Speaker 2: want to level up your fantasy experience, check out Fantasy

793
00:42:38,160 --> 00:42:41,440
Speaker 2: Life Plus over at Fantasy Life Excellent.

794
00:42:41,440 --> 00:42:44,479
Speaker 4: Matthew Freeman a Fantasy Life Chris Raybond you can find

795
00:42:44,520 --> 00:42:46,759
Speaker 4: him of course here on the Action Network podcast over

796
00:42:46,840 --> 00:42:50,680
Speaker 4: on the Fantasy Flex podcast every week leading up to

797
00:42:51,320 --> 00:42:54,600
Speaker 4: the NFL season. That is going to conclude our annual

798
00:42:54,840 --> 00:42:59,239
Speaker 4: NFL Breakout Candidates episode here on the Action Network podcast.

799
00:42:59,640 --> 00:43:03,200
Speaker 4: We are presented by our friends at BETMGM for Matthew Freeban,

800
00:43:03,320 --> 00:43:04,800
Speaker 4: Chris Raybond, Brendan Glasheen.

801
00:43:04,840 --> 00:43:17,480
Speaker 3: Thanks for listening. We'll catch you next time. Action Network

802
00:43:17,560 --> 00:43:20,080
Speaker 3: reminds you please gamble responsibly.

803
00:43:20,480 --> 00:43:23,320
Speaker 2: If you or someone you care about has a gambling problem,

804
00:43:23,600 --> 00:43:26,239
Speaker 2: help is available twenty four to seven at one eight

805
00:43:26,320 --> 00:43:27,080
Speaker 2: hundred Gambler