WEBVTT - Black Friday Special

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Audio Studios, Podcasts, Radio News.

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<v Speaker 2>This is Bloomberg business Weekdaily reporting from the magazine that

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<v Speaker 2>helps global leaders stay ahead with insight on the people, companies,

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<v Speaker 2>and trends shaping today's complex economy. Plus global business finance

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<v Speaker 2>and tech news as it happens. The Bloomberg Business Weekdaily

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<v Speaker 2>Podcast with Carol Masser and Tim Steneveek on Bloomberg Radio.

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<v Speaker 3>More retailers turning to the new technology AI that is

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<v Speaker 3>this holiday shopping season, but balancing the efficiency that technology

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<v Speaker 3>can bring with the trust customers place and human interactions

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<v Speaker 3>can be tricky. Dan O'Connell is the CEO of Front

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<v Speaker 3>and AI customer service platform Dan, welcome and thanks for

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<v Speaker 3>joining us today. So how does Front differentiate itself from

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<v Speaker 3>other purportedly AI dominated customer service platforms.

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<v Speaker 4>Yeah, great question and thanks for having me today. It's

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<v Speaker 4>a friend's really the only plot form that combines traditional email,

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<v Speaker 4>help desk and chatbots together in a single platform to

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<v Speaker 4>deliver exceptional AI drone customer experiences for incredible depth and

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<v Speaker 4>breadth of customers.

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<v Speaker 3>Okay, sounds interesting. So who are your customers and what

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<v Speaker 3>do they pay you for the service?

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<v Speaker 4>Yeah, so our customers today are really focused on two things. One,

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<v Speaker 4>they want to automate low value, repetitive tasks to deliver

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<v Speaker 4>exceptional customer experiences. And they've got high value relationships that

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<v Speaker 4>they want to have a human touch for. And so

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<v Speaker 4>our customers are b to B customers specifically at mid

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<v Speaker 4>market and lower enterprise that leverage us again as a

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<v Speaker 4>way to go and communicate and manage their relationships with

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<v Speaker 4>our customers.

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<v Speaker 5>All right, I'm going to just cut to the chase

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<v Speaker 5>cuz CEOs they understand and the terminology, But what is

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<v Speaker 5>it that you really are getting to for one of

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<v Speaker 5>your clients in terms of the customer information and what

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<v Speaker 5>you're doing for them.

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<v Speaker 4>Sure, every business out there needs to manage customer relationships,

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<v Speaker 4>and so again that can be how do we go

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<v Speaker 4>and respond to customers over chat, or over SMS or

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<v Speaker 4>over email. They need to understand the insights that are

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<v Speaker 4>coming from those conversations so they can better route them,

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<v Speaker 4>and again really focus on just these wonderful customer customer

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<v Speaker 4>experiences across really any channel that's out there, voice, video, SMS, text,

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<v Speaker 4>and email.

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<v Speaker 5>Dan, I have to say, I think it's either the

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<v Speaker 5>control rooms around here or everybody around us are like,

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<v Speaker 5>come on, we've all had a customer experience where we're

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<v Speaker 5>either don't get the answers or get into kind of

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<v Speaker 5>a chatbot that doesn't ask the right questions and says, hey, are.

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<v Speaker 6>You all done now? So how do we make it better?

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<v Speaker 5>So that really is this about, you know, customers companies

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<v Speaker 5>gathering information or is it really about making the customer

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<v Speaker 5>experience easier and more productive?

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<v Speaker 4>Well, I think it's a balance. Like we're at the

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<v Speaker 4>earlier segment. You know, we're all incredibly excited about the

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<v Speaker 4>opportunity for AI to deliver faster responses and instinct answers.

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<v Speaker 4>We know that every consumer out there wants to get

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<v Speaker 4>an instant answer any question or problem they have around

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<v Speaker 4>in order, and I think there's all so a balance

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<v Speaker 4>of Look like we're in this holiday season, it's really emotional.

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<v Speaker 4>If there's a shipping delay or an issue, you want

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<v Speaker 4>to be able to go and talk to a person.

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<v Speaker 4>And so I think the balance of finding this opportunity

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<v Speaker 4>is incredibly important for every brand that's out there. You

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<v Speaker 4>can't just automate away the people. You can't just automate

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<v Speaker 4>away every task or workflow, and so I think the

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<v Speaker 4>best businesses are going to strike that balance, and I

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<v Speaker 4>think we're in this real time experiment right now in

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<v Speaker 4>this holiday season given kind of the excitement around AI.

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<v Speaker 3>So what do you use for large language models? Whose

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<v Speaker 3>AI do you use? And you know where is all

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<v Speaker 3>that data stored?

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<v Speaker 4>Yeah, So in terms of we've got a multipletive partners

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<v Speaker 4>that we leverage to provide our AI. We do some

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<v Speaker 4>work in house. We obviously leverage open AI and Mistroll,

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<v Speaker 4>who are large foundational large language models. I'm sure most

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<v Speaker 4>of the audience is familiar with some of them. And

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<v Speaker 4>one thing that's really important is we talk about this

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<v Speaker 4>data is making sure that our customers have full control

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<v Speaker 4>to that data. Again, and then when we talk about

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<v Speaker 4>the customer experiences, nobody wants to be tricked out there

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<v Speaker 4>in terms of when they're engaging with AI, and so

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<v Speaker 4>I think this is also a fundamentally important focus for

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<v Speaker 4>us at FRONT, which is make sure that the users

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<v Speaker 4>have full control. Make sure that we're very clear around

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<v Speaker 4>where there are experiences with an AI or an automated

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<v Speaker 4>or automation and when you're actually engaging with a human.

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<v Speaker 6>So software as a service.

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<v Speaker 3>Your AI chatbot just brought me over to your pricing page,

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<v Speaker 3>which thank you very much and is asking me if

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<v Speaker 3>I have any questions, and you can get a starter

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<v Speaker 3>pack for twenty five bucks and it goes on up

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<v Speaker 3>to one hundred and five. But I imagine as small

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<v Speaker 3>and medium sized enterprises mainly that you're targeting, right, because

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<v Speaker 3>the bigger companies are doing it themselves.

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<v Speaker 4>No, you would be surprised. And so I think every

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<v Speaker 4>business on the planet is going through a platform shift

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<v Speaker 4>right now around customer experience. And so we are working

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<v Speaker 4>with some small businesses that might have five or fifteen seats,

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<v Speaker 4>and our largest sense to or upwards of thousand seats.

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<v Speaker 4>Some of the largest brands that are recognized. Uber Freight,

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<v Speaker 4>for example, is a business of ours leverages us and

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<v Speaker 4>so again, like I think what's interesting at this moment

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<v Speaker 4>in time is everybody you're picking new platforms around customer experience.

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<v Speaker 4>And again that's because of what AI is cap already demonstrating,

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<v Speaker 4>and capability has real capabilities and real revenue traction. But

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<v Speaker 4>I think also people are excited about what are the

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<v Speaker 4>opportunities that AI can deliver in the near future.

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<v Speaker 5>Hey, Dan, just got about thirty seconds here. You have

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<v Speaker 5>so much data on your platform. We all care about

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<v Speaker 5>what the US consumer is doing. In thirty second, how

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<v Speaker 5>would you say the US consumer is doing and fairing?

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<v Speaker 4>Yeah, I think what we see is I am expecting

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<v Speaker 4>us to have one of the biggest cyber mondays in

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<v Speaker 4>holiday seasons that we've seen. We already know that people

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<v Speaker 4>are shifting and making more purchases online and through mobile. Again,

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<v Speaker 4>that increase in volume obviously leads to there's going to

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<v Speaker 4>be some increasing frustrations and breakdown, and they're going to

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<v Speaker 4>want to have these ecceits optional customer experiences across any channel.

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<v Speaker 4>And so again I'm expecting to sta have a pretty

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<v Speaker 4>big holiday season here, all right.

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<v Speaker 5>So it sounds like you're gonna be pretty busy going ahead.

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<v Speaker 5>Hey Dan, thank you so much. Dan O'Connell. He is

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<v Speaker 5>the CEO of up Front.

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<v Speaker 1>Stay with us. More from Bloomberg Business Week Daily coming

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<v Speaker 1>up after this.

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<v Speaker 2>You're listening to the Bloomberg Business Weekdaily podcast. Catch us

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<v Speaker 5>With consumer sentiment overall this month following the most since

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<v Speaker 5>the month of April. There are questions about how holiday

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<v Speaker 5>shopping and retailers full year earnings will be impacted. So

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<v Speaker 5>there's a lot going on this holiday season and expectations

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<v Speaker 5>to around it. We're joined now by Natalie Cutler. She's

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<v Speaker 5>Video's national retail and consumer products industry leader, and she

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<v Speaker 5>joins us on this Black Friday.

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<v Speaker 6>Hey Natalie, great to have you here with Vonnie and myself.

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<v Speaker 5>What are your expectations around this holiday shopping season?

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<v Speaker 7>Well, great to be here, thank you. You know what,

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<v Speaker 7>I think this holiday season is going to be challenging,

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<v Speaker 7>yet I do think it's going to ultimately be okay.

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<v Speaker 7>I think there's going to be winners and losers on

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<v Speaker 7>the retail side, just like we would expect to see

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<v Speaker 7>in any year. Those retailers that really understand what their

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<v Speaker 7>consumer is looking for, whether it's value, convenience, or experience,

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<v Speaker 7>those are the retailers that are going to be successful.

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<v Speaker 8>Natalie.

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<v Speaker 5>One thing that I caught my attention this week's City

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<v Speaker 5>coming out and saying that Black Friday performance is overblown

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<v Speaker 5>as a metric for retailers, going on to say the

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<v Speaker 5>Thanksgiving weekend shopping event is given too much attention as

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<v Speaker 5>the season is quote typically one or lost in the

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<v Speaker 5>weeks leading up to Christmas, with the post Christmas week

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<v Speaker 5>becoming more important to most retailers that city's view.

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<v Speaker 6>Does city have a point though?

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<v Speaker 7>So, I do think that the week'sly up to Black

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<v Speaker 7>Fridays certainly are an indication of what will happen on

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<v Speaker 7>Black Friday, the entire weekend, and then certainly for the

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<v Speaker 7>rest of the Monday December. Black Friday used to be

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<v Speaker 7>the turning point and the key day from most retailers,

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<v Speaker 7>and we know now that it is so much more

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<v Speaker 7>than that. It is now beginning November and even Amazon

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<v Speaker 7>as early as October, so the holiday season has really

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<v Speaker 7>stretched out more so than it has been in years past.

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<v Speaker 7>So it's kind of difficult just to nail down a

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<v Speaker 7>particular day. Having said all that, I do think at

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<v Speaker 7>Black Friday or this entire weekend and including Cyber Monday,

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<v Speaker 7>are still critical days for retailers because that is the

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<v Speaker 7>day that the consumer's mindset is, oh, I have to

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<v Speaker 7>go out there and get my shopping done.

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<v Speaker 3>Not are there any new approaches when it comes to marketing.

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<v Speaker 3>I picked up my phone a little while ago, and

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<v Speaker 3>there are must have been about fifty emails offering me things. Obviously,

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<v Speaker 3>these are people I've given my email to already and

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<v Speaker 3>they think of me as a loyal customer.

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<v Speaker 6>But for many of them, I'm not.

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<v Speaker 7>So let's dig deeper a little bit on that whole

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<v Speaker 7>concept of loyalty. So loyalty programs are super important, and

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<v Speaker 7>retailers are doubling down on the loyalty programs. So in

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<v Speaker 7>the past, probably as you did in so many others,

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<v Speaker 7>as did I, you wanted a five percent ten percent

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<v Speaker 7>sign on discount. Lots of consumers signed in, got their

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<v Speaker 7>initial ten percent, and that was the end of that,

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<v Speaker 7>and then we're all continuously getting these emails. But good

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<v Speaker 7>retailers are doubling down on the retail on the loyalty programs,

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<v Speaker 7>and they're offering either tier discounts by X get a

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<v Speaker 7>discount of ten percent, by why get a discount of

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<v Speaker 7>twenty percent. Some loyalty programs are offering exclusive promotions, they're

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<v Speaker 7>offering those promotions early, and then they're also offering exclusive

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<v Speaker 7>drops or exclusive products. So I do think that the

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<v Speaker 7>old loyalty program that we've seen for many years, where

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<v Speaker 7>you just get that initial discount, are no longer are

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<v Speaker 7>no longer the case, and retailers are not only providing

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<v Speaker 7>those discounts, but they're really doing is actually getting information,

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<v Speaker 7>and they're gathering data about us as consumers, what we're buying,

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<v Speaker 7>when we're buying it, and utilizing AI as to how

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<v Speaker 7>they can offer us better and more targeted and personalized promotions.

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<v Speaker 3>And I imagine they were turning some shoppers away with

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<v Speaker 3>the volume of these emails. I want to ask you

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<v Speaker 3>about omni channel because it used to either that was

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<v Speaker 3>sort of in person or online somehow, but that's expanded

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<v Speaker 3>as well now given that we can all shop through

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<v Speaker 3>our social media ups.

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<v Speaker 6>Should we want to, absolutely so.

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<v Speaker 7>It used to be just as you said, used to

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<v Speaker 7>be either in store, used to have online. Now we

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<v Speaker 7>have mobile commerce, and we have social commerce, and retailers

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<v Speaker 7>really need to have a very strong omnichannel to capture

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<v Speaker 7>all of those different channels so a not to lose

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<v Speaker 7>the consumer. You know, if you have a promotion in

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<v Speaker 7>the store, but you don't have the promotion available online

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<v Speaker 7>or vice versa, or in social commerce. And I think

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<v Speaker 7>social commerce actually opens up a whole nother area of

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<v Speaker 7>opportunity for retailers, and that's the through influencers. You know,

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<v Speaker 7>buying through influencers is someone that you can relate to,

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<v Speaker 7>someone in with your interest, perhaps in your age bracket,

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<v Speaker 7>someone you can really connect to. I think influencers are

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<v Speaker 7>certainly driving the sales and the interaction on social commerce.

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<v Speaker 5>Hey, Natalie, just to wrap up, because you know we've

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<v Speaker 5>talked a lot about the consumer, but you obviously work

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<v Speaker 5>with a lot of companies and businesses that sell stuff

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<v Speaker 5>to the consumer. Just got about thirty seconds left here

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<v Speaker 5>or so what are they saying about the environment right now?

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<v Speaker 5>Are they optimistic? Are they more conservative about the outlook?

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<v Speaker 5>Just quickly if you could.

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<v Speaker 7>I think you're really seeing a mix of all of that.

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<v Speaker 7>Some retailers are optimistic, the ones that have a very

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<v Speaker 7>strong front end back end in terms of how they

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<v Speaker 7>view how they view the consumer. Whereas some retailers that

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<v Speaker 7>are not as comfortable or do not have all their

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<v Speaker 7>processes in place. They didn't buy the inventory at the

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<v Speaker 7>right time or at the right price and now are

0:12:15.720 --> 0:12:20.959
<v Speaker 7>Therefore we'll be offering significant discounts in Q four and beyond.

0:12:21.240 --> 0:12:23.640
<v Speaker 6>All right, Natalie, thank you so much for joining us.

0:12:23.640 --> 0:12:27.319
<v Speaker 3>That is Natalie Cutler from Videos Retail and Consumer Products

0:12:27.320 --> 0:12:28.240
<v Speaker 3>Industry Group.

0:12:29.120 --> 0:12:32.240
<v Speaker 1>Stay with us more from Bloomberg Business Weekdaily coming up

0:12:32.480 --> 0:12:33.000
<v Speaker 1>after this.

0:12:36.280 --> 0:12:40.200
<v Speaker 2>If you're listening to the Bloomberg Business Weekdaily podcast, catch

0:12:40.240 --> 0:12:43.480
<v Speaker 2>US Live weekday afternoons from two to five pm Eastern.

0:12:43.640 --> 0:12:46.679
<v Speaker 2>Listen on Apple CarPlay and Android Auto with the Bloomberg

0:12:46.760 --> 0:12:49.440
<v Speaker 2>Business app, or watch US Live on YouTube.

0:12:50.600 --> 0:12:53.200
<v Speaker 5>Keeping up with that holiday theme, holiday travel, you know,

0:12:53.360 --> 0:12:56.600
<v Speaker 5>is often stressful in other place, maybe gummies and cannabis

0:12:56.920 --> 0:12:59.559
<v Speaker 5>they come in handy. Some might say, Hey, this year

0:12:59.640 --> 0:13:02.280
<v Speaker 5>travel maybe a little bit different, though, as many Americans

0:13:02.320 --> 0:13:05.840
<v Speaker 5>made changes to their plans during or because of the

0:13:05.960 --> 0:13:08.920
<v Speaker 5>US government shutdown. Even so, it is expected to be

0:13:08.960 --> 0:13:11.560
<v Speaker 5>one of the busiest travel seasons in years. Let's get

0:13:11.600 --> 0:13:13.760
<v Speaker 5>more on what to expect with Clint Henderson. He's travel

0:13:13.800 --> 0:13:16.880
<v Speaker 5>insider managing editor of the travel media platform.

0:13:16.480 --> 0:13:17.160
<v Speaker 6>The Points Guy.

0:13:17.800 --> 0:13:19.760
<v Speaker 5>Always knows so much about what's going on and where

0:13:19.800 --> 0:13:20.440
<v Speaker 5>the deals are.

0:13:21.160 --> 0:13:22.720
<v Speaker 6>First of all, Clint, just look back.

0:13:22.840 --> 0:13:25.839
<v Speaker 5>How much do you think or how much are you

0:13:25.960 --> 0:13:29.040
<v Speaker 5>hearing that the government shutdown may have impacted holiday travel

0:13:29.080 --> 0:13:29.480
<v Speaker 5>this year?

0:13:30.200 --> 0:13:32.280
<v Speaker 8>Yeah? So we did a poll with you Gov at

0:13:32.280 --> 0:13:35.080
<v Speaker 8>the Point Sky and we found that forty percent of

0:13:35.120 --> 0:13:38.160
<v Speaker 8>those planning to travel for Thanksgiving, a Christmas were reconsidering

0:13:38.200 --> 0:13:41.800
<v Speaker 8>their plans, changing their plans, or canceling their plans. So

0:13:42.240 --> 0:13:44.679
<v Speaker 8>in the end, because the government shutdown ended when it did,

0:13:45.000 --> 0:13:47.920
<v Speaker 8>I don't think anywhere near that number ended up canceling.

0:13:48.200 --> 0:13:50.960
<v Speaker 8>I do think some people chose to drive instead, and

0:13:51.000 --> 0:13:53.160
<v Speaker 8>maybe some people were scared off of traveling for the

0:13:53.200 --> 0:13:56.880
<v Speaker 8>Thanksgiving holiday. That said, there's still record crowds, so it

0:13:57.480 --> 0:14:00.800
<v Speaker 8>didn't really dent the numbers as much as it could have.

0:14:01.280 --> 0:14:04.160
<v Speaker 8>But I definitely think the air traffic controller shortage thing

0:14:04.200 --> 0:14:06.840
<v Speaker 8>got a lot of publicity. That's an ongoing problem that

0:14:06.880 --> 0:14:08.800
<v Speaker 8>I think a lot of people hadn't heard about before.

0:14:08.880 --> 0:14:12.640
<v Speaker 8>So you know, we did see an impact to pricing

0:14:12.679 --> 0:14:16.080
<v Speaker 8>for Christmas flights. So we did an analysis with points

0:14:16.080 --> 0:14:19.200
<v Speaker 8>Path and we found prices dropped around six percent year

0:14:19.240 --> 0:14:21.640
<v Speaker 8>over year for Christmas, which is really unusual this time

0:14:21.680 --> 0:14:24.320
<v Speaker 8>of year. Usually it's only up, up, up for Christmas.

0:14:24.320 --> 0:14:27.600
<v Speaker 3>So I've noticed some great deals to some European destinations

0:14:27.600 --> 0:14:29.800
<v Speaker 3>that I definitely definitely didn't notice when I was speaking

0:14:29.800 --> 0:14:32.720
<v Speaker 3>with you last year, because I remember, well, give us

0:14:32.760 --> 0:14:36.680
<v Speaker 3>the skinny, we're the best destinations, were the best discounts

0:14:36.720 --> 0:14:38.200
<v Speaker 3>when it comes to Black Friday shopping.

0:14:38.800 --> 0:14:41.520
<v Speaker 8>Yeah, so pretty much every single airline has a Black

0:14:41.560 --> 0:14:44.280
<v Speaker 8>Friday sale on right now or is planning one for

0:14:44.400 --> 0:14:47.600
<v Speaker 8>travel Tuesday Cyber Monday next week. It's a great time

0:14:47.640 --> 0:14:50.160
<v Speaker 8>to shop for travel, especially if you have some spring

0:14:50.200 --> 0:14:52.080
<v Speaker 8>break trips that you're going to plan, because that can

0:14:52.120 --> 0:14:55.520
<v Speaker 8>be really expensive. But roundtrip under five hundred dollars is

0:14:55.640 --> 0:14:59.720
<v Speaker 8>common this week from everyone from Singapore Airlines, air Lingis.

0:15:00.160 --> 0:15:03.640
<v Speaker 8>American Airlines launched a huge sale today, so lots of

0:15:03.680 --> 0:15:06.800
<v Speaker 8>good deals to Europe for example. Out there. Also, American

0:15:06.840 --> 0:15:09.280
<v Speaker 8>Airlines has flights under one hundred dollars one way all

0:15:09.280 --> 0:15:12.960
<v Speaker 8>over the country, including trans cons between San Francisco or

0:15:13.120 --> 0:15:15.760
<v Speaker 8>LA and New York. So really good deals out there.

0:15:15.800 --> 0:15:18.800
<v Speaker 8>Alaska Airlines thirty percent off, and then all the hotels

0:15:19.160 --> 0:15:21.840
<v Speaker 8>are twenty five to thirty percent off today, so take

0:15:21.840 --> 0:15:23.680
<v Speaker 8>a look around. We have a whole ride up at

0:15:23.680 --> 0:15:27.400
<v Speaker 8>the Point Sky that I've been updating frequently, and so

0:15:27.440 --> 0:15:29.600
<v Speaker 8>there's lots of good deals out there, so much so

0:15:29.680 --> 0:15:32.880
<v Speaker 8>that I think travel has replaced sort of merchandise as

0:15:32.920 --> 0:15:36.240
<v Speaker 8>the best deal during these Black Friday holidays. It's pretty

0:15:36.280 --> 0:15:38.960
<v Speaker 8>remarkable because when I started out in this business, it

0:15:39.000 --> 0:15:41.360
<v Speaker 8>was really a gimmick. Travel Tuesday was not really a thing,

0:15:41.400 --> 0:15:42.480
<v Speaker 8>and now it really is.

0:15:42.600 --> 0:15:46.040
<v Speaker 3>I agree, I definitely have had good luck on this

0:15:46.080 --> 0:15:49.120
<v Speaker 3>particular weekend actually booking travel. Talk to us about some

0:15:49.160 --> 0:15:52.960
<v Speaker 3>of the domestic and international places that people are booking most.

0:15:53.720 --> 0:15:58.080
<v Speaker 8>Yeah, Europe is good, it remains hot, and it's always

0:15:58.120 --> 0:16:02.000
<v Speaker 8>the case. Florida, Las Vegas is still hot. New York

0:16:02.040 --> 0:16:04.800
<v Speaker 8>City crazy demand in New York City. If you've been

0:16:04.840 --> 0:16:06.720
<v Speaker 8>out in the city, you know what it's like out there.

0:16:07.160 --> 0:16:10.360
<v Speaker 8>I just can't believe hotel rates eight hundred to one

0:16:10.360 --> 0:16:13.440
<v Speaker 8>thousand dollars a night. It's just crazy to me. But

0:16:13.520 --> 0:16:15.960
<v Speaker 8>Europe is hot, and then of course Japan. The US

0:16:16.000 --> 0:16:19.240
<v Speaker 8>dollar remains strong, so places like Japan are a relative

0:16:19.280 --> 0:16:22.360
<v Speaker 8>bargain for Americans and that's really well where everyone wants

0:16:22.400 --> 0:16:25.240
<v Speaker 8>to go. I don't know if it's Instagram that seems

0:16:25.240 --> 0:16:26.320
<v Speaker 8>to be the hot spot.

0:16:26.760 --> 0:16:27.720
<v Speaker 6>Really fascinating.

0:16:27.880 --> 0:16:30.280
<v Speaker 5>One of the things I want to go back to, though, Clint,

0:16:30.360 --> 0:16:32.360
<v Speaker 5>is in terms of deals, you talked about thirty percent

0:16:32.400 --> 0:16:33.720
<v Speaker 5>off or this percentage off.

0:16:33.800 --> 0:16:35.840
<v Speaker 6>What about for people who use miles.

0:16:36.520 --> 0:16:39.600
<v Speaker 8>Yeah, I'm not seeing as many mileage deals though they

0:16:39.640 --> 0:16:41.840
<v Speaker 8>are out there. I think you just have to be

0:16:41.880 --> 0:16:44.680
<v Speaker 8>really flexible and you have to be nimble with booking

0:16:45.160 --> 0:16:48.000
<v Speaker 8>mileage deals right now. You know, last year that's what

0:16:48.000 --> 0:16:49.840
<v Speaker 8>we were seeing more was mileage deals. This year it

0:16:49.880 --> 0:16:53.360
<v Speaker 8>seems to be cash deals. So very interesting trend to watch.

0:16:53.640 --> 0:16:56.840
<v Speaker 8>I use tools like seats Dot arrow to find cheap

0:16:56.840 --> 0:17:00.280
<v Speaker 8>business class flights and you know, there's explanation of all

0:17:00.320 --> 0:17:01.840
<v Speaker 8>this stuff at the points guy. But you have to

0:17:01.840 --> 0:17:03.520
<v Speaker 8>be a little You have to be a little tricky

0:17:03.560 --> 0:17:05.640
<v Speaker 8>these days to get a really pine.

0:17:05.680 --> 0:17:06.320
<v Speaker 3>That is so true.

0:17:06.400 --> 0:17:06.879
<v Speaker 1>Hey, listen.

0:17:06.880 --> 0:17:08.399
<v Speaker 5>The other thing I want to ask you about is

0:17:08.440 --> 0:17:12.359
<v Speaker 5>cruise lines because I've seen a lot of commercials for

0:17:12.440 --> 0:17:15.520
<v Speaker 5>the cruise companies and they do seem to be saying

0:17:15.600 --> 0:17:19.160
<v Speaker 5>sign up now and a big percentage off. How much

0:17:19.200 --> 0:17:22.000
<v Speaker 5>of that is kind of amping up to bring in consumers.

0:17:22.480 --> 0:17:25.560
<v Speaker 8>Yeah, it's really interesting. The cruise industry was the last

0:17:25.600 --> 0:17:27.679
<v Speaker 8>to recover coming out of COVID, and we saw some

0:17:27.760 --> 0:17:30.399
<v Speaker 8>extraordinary deals. I just have not seen a lot of

0:17:30.400 --> 0:17:32.720
<v Speaker 8>deals in the cruise space these days. So if you

0:17:32.880 --> 0:17:35.800
<v Speaker 8>see something and now that looks really good, jump on it.

0:17:35.840 --> 0:17:39.520
<v Speaker 8>Because cruises are selling out. It's remarkable to come back

0:17:39.560 --> 0:17:42.000
<v Speaker 8>in the cruise industry. I haven't not seen a ton

0:17:42.040 --> 0:17:44.680
<v Speaker 8>of deals. I'm sure there's a few out there, but yeah,

0:17:44.720 --> 0:17:46.600
<v Speaker 8>if you see something on sale, grab it.

0:17:47.280 --> 0:17:50.639
<v Speaker 3>Klint just remind us, he said, seats dot arrow and

0:17:50.720 --> 0:17:52.680
<v Speaker 3>are there other websites that we should know about because

0:17:52.680 --> 0:17:54.800
<v Speaker 3>I feel like these websites change all the time.

0:17:55.200 --> 0:17:57.919
<v Speaker 8>Yeah they do. We've got a guide to all the

0:17:57.960 --> 0:18:01.399
<v Speaker 8>best travel tools at the Points Guide, but seats dot

0:18:01.560 --> 0:18:05.920
<v Speaker 8>arrow is good, Points Bath points dot point dot me

0:18:06.040 --> 0:18:08.679
<v Speaker 8>is another good one. Uh, There's there's all kinds of

0:18:08.680 --> 0:18:10.639
<v Speaker 8>really fun tools out there where you can you can

0:18:10.680 --> 0:18:12.000
<v Speaker 8>beat the airlines at their own game.

0:18:12.200 --> 0:18:14.400
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, or at least, you know, spend spend an hour

0:18:14.480 --> 0:18:18.000
<v Speaker 3>or two and have fun dreaming. Clint Henderson, thank you

0:18:18.080 --> 0:18:20.879
<v Speaker 3>so much. Always wonderful to speak with you and actually

0:18:21.000 --> 0:18:23.280
<v Speaker 3>can be very profitable to speak with you as well.

0:18:23.320 --> 0:18:26.080
<v Speaker 3>So thanks again. That's Clint Henderson, who is managing editor

0:18:26.119 --> 0:18:27.840
<v Speaker 3>at The Points Guy, and do check out the Points

0:18:27.880 --> 0:18:29.440
<v Speaker 3>Guy website as well.

0:18:29.680 --> 0:18:30.840
<v Speaker 6>For all of those deals.

0:18:31.760 --> 0:18:35.640
<v Speaker 1>Stay with us more from Bloomberg Businessweekdaily coming up after this.

0:18:39.040 --> 0:18:42.840
<v Speaker 2>You are listening to the Bloomberg Business Weekdaily podcast. Catch

0:18:42.920 --> 0:18:46.160
<v Speaker 2>us live weekday afternoons from two to five pm Eastern

0:18:46.280 --> 0:18:50.159
<v Speaker 2>Listen on Applecarplay and Android Auto with the Bloomberg Business app,

0:18:50.320 --> 0:18:52.120
<v Speaker 2>or watch us live on YouTube.

0:18:53.119 --> 0:18:55.399
<v Speaker 3>You know, look at the market today, Carol, we have

0:18:55.480 --> 0:18:58.280
<v Speaker 3>to point out that in this last trading day of November,

0:18:58.320 --> 0:19:00.320
<v Speaker 3>we've actually turned positive on the month with the S

0:19:00.320 --> 0:19:02.320
<v Speaker 3>ANDB five hundred. We're finishing the session of more than

0:19:02.320 --> 0:19:04.000
<v Speaker 3>half a percent and we only needed to make up

0:19:04.040 --> 0:19:07.040
<v Speaker 3>point four percent. So my math tells me that we

0:19:07.080 --> 0:19:09.560
<v Speaker 3>are in the green, having dropped four point seven percent

0:19:09.640 --> 0:19:12.119
<v Speaker 3>earlier on this month, really really rocky month than I was.

0:19:12.160 --> 0:19:12.240
<v Speaker 8>Like.

0:19:12.280 --> 0:19:14.320
<v Speaker 3>One hundred is up eight tenths of one percent to

0:19:14.320 --> 0:19:15.960
<v Speaker 3>continue this nice Thanksgiving rally.

0:19:16.000 --> 0:19:17.439
<v Speaker 6>The Dow up six tenths of percent.

0:19:17.920 --> 0:19:22.040
<v Speaker 3>Not much movement for the dollar, equity in disease, as

0:19:22.080 --> 0:19:24.520
<v Speaker 3>I say, higher equity markets closed. The bond market has

0:19:24.520 --> 0:19:26.679
<v Speaker 3>another hour to go, but not seeing too much movement

0:19:26.680 --> 0:19:29.800
<v Speaker 3>there either. The ten year yield just above for one

0:19:29.880 --> 0:19:32.760
<v Speaker 3>right now, the two year yield just below four fifty

0:19:33.040 --> 0:19:36.120
<v Speaker 3>and a little bit of addition to oil, so we're

0:19:36.440 --> 0:19:39.399
<v Speaker 3>about fifty nine to forty seven for WTI Brent crude.

0:19:39.400 --> 0:19:42.480
<v Speaker 3>Really no change at sixty three thirty seven, but plenty

0:19:42.520 --> 0:19:44.800
<v Speaker 3>of interesting moves today in the SMB five hundred, Carol

0:19:44.920 --> 0:19:46.240
<v Speaker 3>Energy was the best sector.

0:19:46.400 --> 0:19:48.840
<v Speaker 5>Yeah, really fascinating to see that at performance today. If

0:19:48.880 --> 0:19:51.640
<v Speaker 5>you're thinking about what performed best in the month of November,

0:19:51.680 --> 0:19:54.199
<v Speaker 5>folks healthcare at the top of the back, it is

0:19:54.320 --> 0:19:56.960
<v Speaker 5>up about eight and a quarter percent. All right, let's

0:19:57.000 --> 0:19:59.440
<v Speaker 5>get more on the market trade for you. Let's bring

0:19:59.440 --> 0:20:00.760
<v Speaker 5>in someone who want which is it day in and

0:20:00.840 --> 0:20:03.199
<v Speaker 5>day out for us here at Bloomberg. She's the Blueberg

0:20:03.200 --> 0:20:06.760
<v Speaker 5>Markets correspondent, Norm Melnda. She joins us right here, Noura,

0:20:06.800 --> 0:20:09.359
<v Speaker 5>where shall we begin here? What kind of caught your attention?

0:20:09.600 --> 0:20:12.080
<v Speaker 5>First of all, for today in what was certainly a

0:20:12.160 --> 0:20:13.080
<v Speaker 5>light volume day.

0:20:14.000 --> 0:20:16.080
<v Speaker 9>Certainly light volume. But what I've been hearing from a

0:20:16.080 --> 0:20:18.760
<v Speaker 9>lot of analysts is the fact that actually in holiday

0:20:18.800 --> 0:20:21.360
<v Speaker 9>shortened weeks, we do tend to see a lot of outperformance.

0:20:21.400 --> 0:20:23.080
<v Speaker 9>That we're just looking at how the week ended. The

0:20:23.119 --> 0:20:25.840
<v Speaker 9>S and P five hundred saw its best week since May.

0:20:25.840 --> 0:20:27.159
<v Speaker 9>And of course, as we're looking at a lot of

0:20:27.160 --> 0:20:29.960
<v Speaker 9>the monthly scopes here, but I was hearing an expectation

0:20:30.080 --> 0:20:32.040
<v Speaker 9>for us to see a bid in the energy sector,

0:20:32.400 --> 0:20:34.840
<v Speaker 9>especially if we're continuing to see a lot of focus

0:20:34.960 --> 0:20:39.440
<v Speaker 9>on the geopolitical tensions in Ukraine Russia that development there.

0:20:39.520 --> 0:20:42.080
<v Speaker 9>So I was talking to some sources over at Integrity

0:20:42.080 --> 0:20:45.399
<v Speaker 9>Asset Management who did expect that to see some some

0:20:45.520 --> 0:20:47.600
<v Speaker 9>boosts today. So it's interesting that that was the best

0:20:47.600 --> 0:20:49.440
<v Speaker 9>performing sector on the day today, Carol.

0:20:49.760 --> 0:20:51.560
<v Speaker 3>And then of course for the retailer is Nora. We

0:20:51.600 --> 0:20:53.119
<v Speaker 3>had a double Jamie of a week because we had

0:20:53.119 --> 0:20:55.000
<v Speaker 3>a lot of earnings out, some of them were very

0:20:56.280 --> 0:20:59.920
<v Speaker 3>amenable to the retailer's stock let's say ANF included.

0:20:59.800 --> 0:21:00.840
<v Speaker 1>And then consumer discretion.

0:21:00.920 --> 0:21:02.800
<v Speaker 3>We're doing quite well today too as the group up

0:21:02.800 --> 0:21:05.520
<v Speaker 3>point nine percent. How important is the holiday season for

0:21:05.640 --> 0:21:08.119
<v Speaker 3>these retailers to keep their stock prices where they are

0:21:08.160 --> 0:21:09.440
<v Speaker 3>into the year end.

0:21:09.800 --> 0:21:12.199
<v Speaker 9>Well, certainly a deluge of earnings that we've really been

0:21:12.240 --> 0:21:14.960
<v Speaker 9>seeing from retailers, and it's really painting a mixed picture,

0:21:15.000 --> 0:21:17.639
<v Speaker 9>but we are still seeing to be underscored during this

0:21:17.760 --> 0:21:20.639
<v Speaker 9>time period. Is the consumer is really strapped right now?

0:21:20.640 --> 0:21:22.760
<v Speaker 9>We've been talking a lot about this K shaped economy

0:21:22.760 --> 0:21:25.560
<v Speaker 9>where essentially we are seeing the upper class continuing to

0:21:25.640 --> 0:21:28.439
<v Speaker 9>be resilient, still spending money, but we are seeing the

0:21:28.440 --> 0:21:31.800
<v Speaker 9>lower income consumer really being a lot pickier during this

0:21:31.880 --> 0:21:35.240
<v Speaker 9>time period, looking for spending more on necessities instead of

0:21:35.280 --> 0:21:37.680
<v Speaker 9>splurging during this time period. So, while we did hear

0:21:37.920 --> 0:21:40.760
<v Speaker 9>the National Retail Federation saying that they expect this to

0:21:40.800 --> 0:21:43.600
<v Speaker 9>be a record year, in terms of the traction that

0:21:43.640 --> 0:21:45.960
<v Speaker 9>we're seeing on Black Friday, which is Black Friday today,

0:21:46.000 --> 0:21:48.560
<v Speaker 9>through the five day stretch through Cyber Monday, we still

0:21:48.600 --> 0:21:51.439
<v Speaker 9>are seeing a resilient but cautious consumer. And as we

0:21:51.480 --> 0:21:53.760
<v Speaker 9>think about what that means for stock prices for the

0:21:53.840 --> 0:21:56.680
<v Speaker 9>retail space, if you look at consumer discretionary Index of

0:21:56.720 --> 0:21:58.920
<v Speaker 9>the S and P five hundred, it's up only about

0:21:58.920 --> 0:22:01.439
<v Speaker 9>four percent, so clearlyagging the double digit games that we

0:22:01.520 --> 0:22:03.480
<v Speaker 9>are seeing from the broader market in the S and

0:22:03.480 --> 0:22:06.320
<v Speaker 9>P five hundred, and the majority of the holiday sales

0:22:06.400 --> 0:22:10.159
<v Speaker 9>account for about twenty percent of the sales more broadly

0:22:10.200 --> 0:22:12.600
<v Speaker 9>for the retail space between November and December. So this

0:22:12.640 --> 0:22:14.919
<v Speaker 9>is a very critical time period in terms of seeing

0:22:15.040 --> 0:22:17.600
<v Speaker 9>how this develops and how much consumer appetite we can

0:22:17.600 --> 0:22:18.360
<v Speaker 9>see during this time.

0:22:18.440 --> 0:22:21.000
<v Speaker 5>Yeah, you talk about neurocritical periods. I mean hard to

0:22:21.000 --> 0:22:22.679
<v Speaker 5>believe that we've only got one month left here in

0:22:22.680 --> 0:22:25.040
<v Speaker 5>twenty twenty five. It's been quite a year, a lot

0:22:25.080 --> 0:22:27.719
<v Speaker 5>of volatility, to say the least, I'm looking at an

0:22:27.760 --> 0:22:30.400
<v Speaker 5>S ANDP that's up almost seventeen percent, a Nasdaq one

0:22:30.480 --> 0:22:34.160
<v Speaker 5>hundred that's up twenty one percent, and Russell small caps

0:22:34.240 --> 0:22:35.480
<v Speaker 5>up about twelve percent.

0:22:35.600 --> 0:22:38.840
<v Speaker 6>So you know, what are traders focusing.

0:22:38.400 --> 0:22:40.280
<v Speaker 5>On at this point with only another month to go

0:22:40.400 --> 0:22:41.640
<v Speaker 5>until we wrap up the year.

0:22:42.359 --> 0:22:44.080
<v Speaker 9>Just about a month to go to wrap up the year,

0:22:44.080 --> 0:22:46.200
<v Speaker 9>and you are seeing traders, of course, trying to really

0:22:46.280 --> 0:22:48.520
<v Speaker 9>just settle their books as we're heading into year end.

0:22:48.800 --> 0:22:51.159
<v Speaker 9>Of course, the focus still remains on the Federal Reserve

0:22:51.200 --> 0:22:53.320
<v Speaker 9>and what they're going to do next, especially with us

0:22:53.320 --> 0:22:55.639
<v Speaker 9>seeing a lot of the stocks levitating off of this

0:22:55.760 --> 0:22:59.359
<v Speaker 9>idea of a potential FED rate cut ahead, and we

0:22:59.440 --> 0:23:01.520
<v Speaker 9>are really just seeing a lot of people just grappling

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<v Speaker 9>with how we can really end the year on a

0:23:04.040 --> 0:23:06.919
<v Speaker 9>positive note and see what are the opportunities in the

0:23:06.920 --> 0:23:08.840
<v Speaker 9>market right now given the fact that tariff have still

0:23:08.840 --> 0:23:11.520
<v Speaker 9>remained a concern through this entire year, We've been seeing

0:23:11.560 --> 0:23:14.359
<v Speaker 9>geopolitical tension still remaining and focus. So you are really

0:23:14.359 --> 0:23:16.920
<v Speaker 9>seeing the traders right now just trying to figure out

0:23:16.920 --> 0:23:19.320
<v Speaker 9>what sectors and spaces make the most sense in terms

0:23:19.359 --> 0:23:20.840
<v Speaker 9>of just having a defensive position.

0:23:21.000 --> 0:23:24.480
<v Speaker 3>I love that Nora sucks levitating what an idea, but

0:23:24.560 --> 0:23:27.959
<v Speaker 3>they are though on indices too, Nora, Melinda, always a pleasure.

0:23:28.000 --> 0:23:30.640
<v Speaker 6>Thank you so much for joining us this Black Friday.

0:23:31.040 --> 0:23:36.399
<v Speaker 2>This is the Bloomberg Business Week Daily podcast, available on Apple, Spotify,

0:23:36.520 --> 0:23:40.240
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0:23:40.280 --> 0:23:44.280
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0:23:44.320 --> 0:23:48.240
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0:23:48.480 --> 0:23:51.399
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