1 00:00:00,040 --> 00:00:01,599 Speaker 1: Yeah, let's have it look good, but to be going 2 00:00:01,600 --> 00:00:03,480 Speaker 1: on in China as well here and a little and 3 00:00:03,560 --> 00:00:06,760 Speaker 1: more detail because we got Chinese regulators ramping up efforts 4 00:00:06,800 --> 00:00:09,560 Speaker 1: to support the stock market, which saw a little reprieve 5 00:00:09,760 --> 00:00:13,360 Speaker 1: from Chinese President she Jing pink speech. It's a discuss 6 00:00:13,400 --> 00:00:16,680 Speaker 1: all this with Sofia hope that you costa Bloomberg Chief 7 00:00:17,280 --> 00:00:20,560 Speaker 1: China Markets correspondent, Sofia looking at all this, there wasn't 8 00:00:20,560 --> 00:00:24,160 Speaker 1: a lot for market bulls in China to get their 9 00:00:24,160 --> 00:00:28,560 Speaker 1: teeth into, yes, exactly, not not not nothing really to 10 00:00:28,560 --> 00:00:32,239 Speaker 1: be excited about over the speech. But um, there was 11 00:00:32,240 --> 00:00:36,080 Speaker 1: an expectations that she would announce any kind of market 12 00:00:36,120 --> 00:00:39,519 Speaker 1: friendly measures. You know, I've been writing about the the 13 00:00:39,640 --> 00:00:42,360 Speaker 1: very idea or the very hope on Wall Street that 14 00:00:42,440 --> 00:00:47,000 Speaker 1: we would get any signal of a COVID zero pivots 15 00:00:47,080 --> 00:00:49,840 Speaker 1: out of this Party Congress, and and I've been saying 16 00:00:49,840 --> 00:00:52,680 Speaker 1: that that hope was misplaced and very much so. I 17 00:00:52,720 --> 00:00:56,160 Speaker 1: mean that was kind of you know, this speech really 18 00:00:56,200 --> 00:00:59,200 Speaker 1: doubled down on the fact that it's a policy that 19 00:00:59,280 --> 00:01:04,080 Speaker 1: China will stick too. So any conversations beyond that, beyond 20 00:01:04,120 --> 00:01:08,600 Speaker 1: what will happen to Chinese markets, Um, really really have 21 00:01:08,760 --> 00:01:11,600 Speaker 1: to be based on what happens to COVID zero. Uh 22 00:01:11,800 --> 00:01:14,520 Speaker 1: so nothing really to for for traders to cling to. 23 00:01:15,080 --> 00:01:18,840 Speaker 1: Nothing nothing specific, nothing new, nothing different, And it was 24 00:01:18,880 --> 00:01:22,440 Speaker 1: really kind of damp squipt for markets. Yeah, you could 25 00:01:22,520 --> 00:01:25,360 Speaker 1: kind of tick through. There were a few positives like 26 00:01:25,400 --> 00:01:28,839 Speaker 1: pushing science and technology and and but there were plenty 27 00:01:28,840 --> 00:01:31,960 Speaker 1: of negatives too, So it seems like the main takeaway 28 00:01:32,080 --> 00:01:35,120 Speaker 1: was a slight negative for markets. But then we get 29 00:01:35,280 --> 00:01:39,080 Speaker 1: the Chinese regulators talking about companies being freed up to 30 00:01:39,160 --> 00:01:43,000 Speaker 1: buy back more shares and and easing some curbs on 31 00:01:43,120 --> 00:01:46,760 Speaker 1: overseas mutual funds in making purchases. Will that will that 32 00:01:47,560 --> 00:01:51,280 Speaker 1: suggest a little upward push? And there's always the national 33 00:01:51,320 --> 00:01:54,800 Speaker 1: team as well, yes, really putting a floor on markets, 34 00:01:54,800 --> 00:01:56,880 Speaker 1: And there was a little bit of a positive reaction 35 00:01:56,920 --> 00:01:59,720 Speaker 1: to that as well. It's not just corporate buybacks, which 36 00:01:59,760 --> 00:02:02,400 Speaker 1: we can be extremely effective. I mean, I'm sitting here 37 00:02:02,400 --> 00:02:06,080 Speaker 1: in New York and that's been used in US markets 38 00:02:06,080 --> 00:02:10,480 Speaker 1: as a tool to to support um prices. It's a small, 39 00:02:10,600 --> 00:02:12,560 Speaker 1: small amount, it looks like it will be a small amount, 40 00:02:12,560 --> 00:02:15,760 Speaker 1: and also still quite a lot of restrictions around that. 41 00:02:16,160 --> 00:02:20,639 Speaker 1: But at least thirteen mutual funds in China announced on 42 00:02:21,080 --> 00:02:23,640 Speaker 1: Monday that they will buy their own equity products, and 43 00:02:23,639 --> 00:02:27,240 Speaker 1: that will also shore up confidence in the market. You know, 44 00:02:27,320 --> 00:02:30,280 Speaker 1: if if mutual funds are buying their own equity products, 45 00:02:30,320 --> 00:02:33,880 Speaker 1: then retail investors should have the confidence to do so 46 00:02:34,000 --> 00:02:38,720 Speaker 1: as well. And also the sense that UM China on 47 00:02:38,760 --> 00:02:42,000 Speaker 1: the regulatory side will and this kind of feeds back 48 00:02:42,040 --> 00:02:45,680 Speaker 1: to the whole opening up narrative, will continue to reform 49 00:02:45,760 --> 00:02:50,000 Speaker 1: financial markets and will continue to allow for overseas investors 50 00:02:50,040 --> 00:02:52,480 Speaker 1: to play a bigger role. And that is really I 51 00:02:52,520 --> 00:02:55,760 Speaker 1: think the story for next year where does China stand 52 00:02:55,960 --> 00:02:59,240 Speaker 1: on that and does it still want overseas capital to 53 00:02:59,280 --> 00:03:02,120 Speaker 1: come into its more because because we've had such severe 54 00:03:02,200 --> 00:03:05,840 Speaker 1: outflows this year, and that would be what what that 55 00:03:05,880 --> 00:03:10,320 Speaker 1: would be? What would really put a floor on Chinese markets? Well, Sophia, 56 00:03:10,360 --> 00:03:15,160 Speaker 1: today we were expecting industry production GDP, most importantly retail sales, 57 00:03:15,280 --> 00:03:18,799 Speaker 1: jobless numbers, fixed, our asset investments, and all of this 58 00:03:18,919 --> 00:03:23,440 Speaker 1: has been delayed and no no reason given that. The 59 00:03:23,520 --> 00:03:27,760 Speaker 1: thing is that doesn't exactly investive friendly, is it. I 60 00:03:27,800 --> 00:03:32,000 Speaker 1: think this is a classic case of officials in China 61 00:03:32,320 --> 00:03:36,160 Speaker 1: not knowing how to communicate to financial markets, or maybe 62 00:03:36,160 --> 00:03:39,280 Speaker 1: not really seeing that as a priority. I mean, I 63 00:03:39,280 --> 00:03:44,640 Speaker 1: think the what really kind of spooked or confused analysts 64 00:03:44,720 --> 00:03:47,680 Speaker 1: and investors is the fact that this was done so 65 00:03:47,800 --> 00:03:52,760 Speaker 1: last minute. I mean, if had China said two weeks ago, um, 66 00:03:52,800 --> 00:03:55,000 Speaker 1: you know, we were not going to release this key 67 00:03:55,040 --> 00:04:00,240 Speaker 1: economic data because every single important person is gathered and 68 00:04:00,240 --> 00:04:03,800 Speaker 1: and and very distracted doing something else in Beijing called, 69 00:04:03,800 --> 00:04:06,440 Speaker 1: as we know, the party Congress, then that would that 70 00:04:06,480 --> 00:04:07,880 Speaker 1: would have made a lot of sense. I mean, I 71 00:04:07,960 --> 00:04:12,160 Speaker 1: remember commenting two weeks ago, you know, wise China releasing 72 00:04:12,240 --> 00:04:15,280 Speaker 1: the third quarter data in the middle of the party converse, 73 00:04:15,280 --> 00:04:18,640 Speaker 1: it makes no sense. But the fact that they decided 74 00:04:18,680 --> 00:04:23,520 Speaker 1: with no explanation to change or to delay, um, so 75 00:04:23,640 --> 00:04:27,000 Speaker 1: last minute, I think, really, um, you know the China 76 00:04:27,440 --> 00:04:31,000 Speaker 1: China needs to learn, I think, how to how to 77 00:04:31,080 --> 00:04:34,240 Speaker 1: kind of do that part better? Just communicates market, make 78 00:04:34,320 --> 00:04:39,360 Speaker 1: sure that things like this don't unnecessarily confuse people, because 79 00:04:39,360 --> 00:04:41,800 Speaker 1: that's what gets people nervous. There might have been a 80 00:04:41,880 --> 00:04:43,800 Speaker 1: little bit of a bounce in there of slightly more 81 00:04:43,839 --> 00:04:46,880 Speaker 1: than say three point three percent for GDP, and and 82 00:04:47,080 --> 00:04:49,839 Speaker 1: uh that that would be better than the prior quarter, 83 00:04:50,000 --> 00:04:54,200 Speaker 1: But in any case, much below the target. But let's 84 00:04:54,200 --> 00:04:56,720 Speaker 1: go back to like your first comment about how we 85 00:04:57,080 --> 00:04:59,560 Speaker 1: may see some short term support. It's almost like if 86 00:04:59,600 --> 00:05:01,840 Speaker 1: you see a dead cat bouncing in the US and 87 00:05:02,040 --> 00:05:04,200 Speaker 1: on Wall Street, whether you just want to go in 88 00:05:04,240 --> 00:05:07,279 Speaker 1: there and buy, knowing that further down the road there 89 00:05:07,279 --> 00:05:09,480 Speaker 1: may be some losses. Do you think we'll see some 90 00:05:09,600 --> 00:05:13,400 Speaker 1: aggressive buying of Chinese shares here in the shorter term? 91 00:05:13,560 --> 00:05:15,839 Speaker 1: I think the word um, the word to use their 92 00:05:15,839 --> 00:05:19,680 Speaker 1: aggressive is the key modifier. I mean, I wouldn't I 93 00:05:19,680 --> 00:05:23,200 Speaker 1: wouldn't be surprised to see some buying. Um. The prices 94 00:05:23,240 --> 00:05:24,920 Speaker 1: are are so depressed. I mean the c s I 95 00:05:25,000 --> 00:05:29,160 Speaker 1: three is this year after already a bad year the 96 00:05:29,160 --> 00:05:32,160 Speaker 1: previous year. Um. But but the key thing that the 97 00:05:32,320 --> 00:05:35,080 Speaker 1: overhangs in the market, they're all still there. And there's 98 00:05:35,120 --> 00:05:38,480 Speaker 1: no clear path forward on the property market on COVID 99 00:05:38,560 --> 00:05:41,159 Speaker 1: zero and no sign that any of that will change. 100 00:05:41,160 --> 00:05:44,480 Speaker 1: So until we get clarity on that front, UM, that 101 00:05:44,520 --> 00:05:47,880 Speaker 1: word aggressive won't won't happen. We could see some buying 102 00:05:47,920 --> 00:05:51,159 Speaker 1: and and really the important thing for four markets is 103 00:05:51,200 --> 00:05:54,080 Speaker 1: finding a floor right now. Yeah, and maybe they just 104 00:05:54,120 --> 00:05:56,640 Speaker 1: tell people don't sell into it, um, you know, so 105 00:05:57,040 --> 00:05:58,640 Speaker 1: it may not be that aggressive on the buying. But 106 00:05:58,680 --> 00:06:00,880 Speaker 1: if you don't have sellers to taking advantage of the 107 00:06:00,880 --> 00:06:05,279 Speaker 1: better prices, we could see some games. Okay, thanks very much, Sophia. 108 00:06:05,320 --> 00:06:08,920 Speaker 1: Always fun, always interesting, and always something to learn, Sophia 109 00:06:09,080 --> 00:06:12,760 Speaker 1: or to cost. Bloomberg, Chief China Markets correspondent. This is 110 00:06:12,760 --> 00:06:13,320 Speaker 1: Bloomberg