WEBVTT - 427 | 2023 MLB Opening Day Preview 0:00:02.920 --> 0:00:17.360 God's time, the Stage League. 0:00:17.120 --> 0:00:34.240 Cracker Brady, Shit, we will see you Tomorrow's the Garner. 0:00:36.280 --> 0:00:38.120 Welcome to hang out. 0:00:39.720 --> 0:00:44.519 It's Chrimas. Merry Christmas, everybody. Happy Opening Day on a 0:00:44.640 --> 0:00:48.280 Just Baseball Show Again. US three would not miss this episode, 0:00:48.400 --> 0:00:53.880 Jack Peter Arham. Today is Opening Day, Thursday, March thirtieth. 0:00:54.280 --> 0:00:58.360 We got fifteen games that matter on the schedule and 0:00:58.520 --> 0:01:00.000 that feels really good. 0:01:00.160 --> 0:01:04.319 This same Yeah, it's opening Day, which should be a 0:01:04.400 --> 0:01:06.759 national holiday. We've talked about this already, but I'm gonna 0:01:06.800 --> 0:01:08.759 keep bringing it up. You should be able to stay 0:01:08.840 --> 0:01:10.720 home from school. You should be able to stay home 0:01:10.760 --> 0:01:13.480 from work and turn on the TV and watch baseball 0:01:13.520 --> 0:01:16.800 from one pm Eastern to midnight when probably showha is 0:01:16.840 --> 0:01:20.400 pitching against the A's, which the A's might win weirdly 0:01:20.440 --> 0:01:22.479 because they sometimes take games from Otani. 0:01:22.920 --> 0:01:25.160 So here's what we're gonna do. We're gonna give you 0:01:25.280 --> 0:01:27.240 pretty much like one thing to watch and pick a 0:01:27.240 --> 0:01:30.880 winner for every single game. This is a Just Baseball Show. 0:01:30.920 --> 0:01:36.319 It is presented by bet MGM officially exciting stuff and 0:01:37.000 --> 0:01:39.800 we can't wait to be bringing you all of this 0:01:39.959 --> 0:01:43.399 action as we come through the baseball season. Through one 0:01:43.520 --> 0:01:46.600 sixty two, and we crown a champion in October or 0:01:46.640 --> 0:01:49.880 early November, depending on how long our series go. So 0:01:50.000 --> 0:01:53.240 we're gonna almost go rapid fire through each game. We 0:01:53.280 --> 0:01:56.200 want to give every fan base the pub because unfortunately, 0:01:56.760 --> 0:01:59.680 a week or two into the season, some teams drift 0:01:59.680 --> 0:02:01.800 into a ob security, never to be rescued. 0:02:03.080 --> 0:02:06.000 Yeah. Yeah, Well that's why I love this part of 0:02:06.000 --> 0:02:07.760 the season. You can just like pretend that everyone's in 0:02:07.840 --> 0:02:10.919 it for a little bit, right, Yeah, yeah, I mean 0:02:11.480 --> 0:02:13.560 I'm pretending every team's in it right now. Like these 0:02:13.600 --> 0:02:16.440 these are must win ball games opening Day, It's this 0:02:16.480 --> 0:02:18.680 is must win for Oakland to keep the season alive. 0:02:19.240 --> 0:02:21.680 It's a tough one against Otani. So like that's the 0:02:21.720 --> 0:02:24.920 fun thing. Though, there there's this this budding optimism even 0:02:24.960 --> 0:02:26.639 for the teams that might be might be a little 0:02:26.639 --> 0:02:29.679 bit mediocre. But also there's just this unknown right we 0:02:30.000 --> 0:02:32.119 stand on this podcast, We talk all the time about 0:02:32.160 --> 0:02:35.400 what we think might happen, and of course things happen differently. 0:02:35.400 --> 0:02:37.120 Some things we're right about, some things we're wrong about, 0:02:37.120 --> 0:02:39.520 but that's why we play the season. But what I 0:02:39.560 --> 0:02:41.640 love so much is like this feeling of you're about 0:02:41.680 --> 0:02:44.240 to embark into It's like almost a movie's about to start, right, 0:02:44.280 --> 0:02:46.600 like you're about to embark into the unknown of like 0:02:46.800 --> 0:02:49.280 what's gonna happen this year. There's gonna be amazing things, 0:02:49.360 --> 0:02:52.040 there's gonna be disappointing things, there's gonna be everything in between, 0:02:52.400 --> 0:02:54.919 and we're about to experience it. It's just a clean slate. 0:02:55.360 --> 0:02:59.880 But sometimes we think and sometimes we know a season's over. 0:03:00.280 --> 0:03:03.639 The Yankee signed Franchie Cordero to a minor league and 0:03:03.680 --> 0:03:07.360 major league? Do we know the season's over for everybody's around? 0:03:07.400 --> 0:03:08.040 Be a great year? 0:03:08.400 --> 0:03:10.680 But we know that. 0:03:09.880 --> 0:03:12.400 That's yeah, it's a wrap. Okay, I didn't realize that. 0:03:12.440 --> 0:03:15.799 So twenty nine teams start their season tomorrow today. 0:03:15.800 --> 0:03:19.760 Correctly, before we jump into the schedule, Arm, I know 0:03:19.840 --> 0:03:23.240 that you had a ritual for opening day growing up, Peter, 0:03:23.360 --> 0:03:25.720 did you have one? Arm, explain yours first, and then 0:03:26.080 --> 0:03:28.880 if you know you have a favorite memory from an 0:03:28.919 --> 0:03:30.359 opening day, Peter, I want to hear it. 0:03:30.800 --> 0:03:33.040 Yeah, I mean, I'll shout out my my, my pops 0:03:33.080 --> 0:03:35.200 on this one, because you know, I don't I don't 0:03:35.200 --> 0:03:38.400 know if I've been to an opening day honestly since 0:03:39.080 --> 0:03:41.120 since my dad passed, Like I watched him from home. 0:03:41.160 --> 0:03:43.120 It was tough because he used to he used to 0:03:43.120 --> 0:03:46.280 take me pick me up from school. It was I 0:03:46.280 --> 0:03:49.040 hated school, man, Like that's that's something I'll be very 0:03:49.320 --> 0:03:51.360 very open about, which I hated school. So opening day 0:03:51.360 --> 0:03:52.720 it was like two for one. I get to get 0:03:52.720 --> 0:03:55.560 out of this bitch early and I also get to 0:03:55.720 --> 0:03:57.160 go to a game with my dad. He'd have my 0:03:57.240 --> 0:03:58.960 Miguel CoA Brea jersey waiting for me in the back 0:03:58.960 --> 0:04:01.360 of the car. We'd go, would get there and there's 0:04:01.360 --> 0:04:03.640 something about like the intros, the player intros, even in 0:04:03.720 --> 0:04:07.440 the football stadium, a Dolphin Stadium, Land Shark, Joe, Robbie, 0:04:07.440 --> 0:04:11.200 whatever it was that year, it would just get me going. 0:04:11.240 --> 0:04:13.120 And I don't know, just the feeling of being there 0:04:13.240 --> 0:04:16.280 with my dad, like sharing that experience with him every 0:04:16.360 --> 0:04:18.680 single year, like I knew what was going to happen, 0:04:18.839 --> 0:04:20.080 I knew what to look forward to. 0:04:21.680 --> 0:04:21.720 It. 0:04:22.040 --> 0:04:25.360 It's pretty awesome. So now when it comes back around, 0:04:25.720 --> 0:04:27.600 I've gotten to the point where I'm really excited about 0:04:27.640 --> 0:04:30.240 it and it kind of keeps me close to him. 0:04:30.480 --> 0:04:32.160 Not to get heavy, but like a week ago was 0:04:32.360 --> 0:04:34.120 six years since I lost my dad, and it was 0:04:34.279 --> 0:04:37.080 right at the end of the WBC, which is really 0:04:37.080 --> 0:04:39.680 special because we went to that together too, So Opening 0:04:39.720 --> 0:04:42.120 Day always has a special spot in my heart. And 0:04:42.200 --> 0:04:45.440 like with being able to kind of talk about it 0:04:45.480 --> 0:04:46.800 and share it with you guys now and have a 0:04:46.839 --> 0:04:48.960 new thing to look forward to is pretty awesome and 0:04:49.120 --> 0:04:51.000 just kind of shows you like the phases and chapters 0:04:51.000 --> 0:04:53.039 of life. But it wouldn't be important to me like 0:04:53.080 --> 0:04:54.200 this if it weren't for my pops. 0:04:54.320 --> 0:04:56.120 Well, and I love that it's a happy moment for 0:04:56.160 --> 0:04:57.880 you too, you know what I mean, because it could 0:04:57.920 --> 0:05:00.960 turn sour and you could be you know, that could 0:05:01.000 --> 0:05:03.200 be a day where you get very sad. But I 0:05:03.560 --> 0:05:07.279 love that you know you are genuinely you know, joyful 0:05:07.440 --> 0:05:09.560 and remember him on every Opening Day, which. 0:05:09.440 --> 0:05:10.440 Is where you guys help with that. 0:05:11.440 --> 0:05:13.480 Thanks for the best podcast. This is a blast. I 0:05:13.760 --> 0:05:15.440 just love talking baseball with you guys, and the fact 0:05:15.440 --> 0:05:20.000 that you know this is year what technically three, but 0:05:20.080 --> 0:05:23.200 it's kind of like year two because you're zero. We 0:05:23.200 --> 0:05:25.280 were really bootstrapping. Were almost five hundred. 0:05:25.040 --> 0:05:29.719 Episodes, like juggling other jobs like this exactly. 0:05:29.720 --> 0:05:32.240 It's our third straight Opening Day and I love spending 0:05:32.279 --> 0:05:33.840 with you guys, and now we just get to talk 0:05:33.839 --> 0:05:36.520 about each individual game and one thing that Arm said 0:05:36.839 --> 0:05:40.919 his whole story is beautiful, and but the intros is 0:05:40.960 --> 0:05:42.719 something that really jumps out to me. I love just 0:05:42.720 --> 0:05:44.440 when the guys are lined up on the field, similar 0:05:44.480 --> 0:05:46.320 to the WBC, and they're just going through the names 0:05:46.360 --> 0:05:49.000 of the camera. It's a very you know, just simple 0:05:49.080 --> 0:05:50.800 thing and it may not mean much to a lot 0:05:50.800 --> 0:05:53.400 of people, but just seeing the guys lined up on 0:05:53.520 --> 0:05:55.880 opening Day, that's why I think it should be all today. 0:05:57.120 --> 0:06:01.520 Opening Day is pretty close, obviously, say to the first 0:06:01.600 --> 0:06:04.560 round of the NCAA tournament, and the first round of 0:06:04.560 --> 0:06:07.440 the NCAA Tournament is the one where you know, teachers 0:06:07.480 --> 0:06:11.960 will roll out the TV and let you watch during breaks, right, 0:06:12.000 --> 0:06:13.920 and it's kind of like a day to half ass school. 0:06:14.680 --> 0:06:17.320 Opening Day was always kind of like that too, and 0:06:17.360 --> 0:06:19.400 like I never went to the ballpark at the beginning 0:06:19.440 --> 0:06:22.159 of that, but I have very fond memories of like 0:06:22.200 --> 0:06:24.960 middle school and even high school to shout out honors 0:06:25.000 --> 0:06:29.919 Bio Miss Hennigs putting up Cubs Opening Day on the. 0:06:29.480 --> 0:06:32.200 Smart Sirs had to plug the honors honors. 0:06:32.400 --> 0:06:37.080 Yet I hated science, so baseball instead of science was 0:06:37.240 --> 0:06:38.240 fucking great. 0:06:38.920 --> 0:06:40.880 And I grew up on the West Coast, so games 0:06:40.920 --> 0:06:43.200 would start for me to round ten am instead of 0:06:43.200 --> 0:06:45.400 the one pm Eastern, So for me it would go 0:06:45.760 --> 0:06:48.719 all day and not just oh, now it's the afternoon, 0:06:48.800 --> 0:06:51.200 it's after lunch, let's watch some baseball. As soon as 0:06:51.240 --> 0:06:53.200 you wake up in the morning. It's about two hours 0:06:53.279 --> 0:06:56.080 until game time and then it lasts. What do you 0:06:56.080 --> 0:06:59.560 guys think is the best place in the country in 0:06:59.600 --> 0:07:01.400 terms of it time zone for sports? 0:07:02.240 --> 0:07:02.960 It's not close. 0:07:03.440 --> 0:07:06.200 Central has to be the best because it's not too late, 0:07:06.240 --> 0:07:08.359 it's not too early, it's right in the middle. I 0:07:08.400 --> 0:07:10.600 think if you live in the central part of America, 0:07:10.720 --> 0:07:12.160 you get the best time to watch sport. 0:07:12.200 --> 0:07:15.800 We live in Central America, the Middle East. Yeah, yeah, Central, 0:07:15.960 --> 0:07:16.800 Central's money. 0:07:17.360 --> 0:07:19.920 Last thing I'll mention too is by like the third 0:07:19.960 --> 0:07:21.440 or fourth year, I went to the same school pre 0:07:21.520 --> 0:07:24.120 K to twelve, So by the third or fourth year, 0:07:24.280 --> 0:07:27.040 the teachers started to catch on to my dad picking 0:07:27.040 --> 0:07:29.360 me up basically the same day every year, and they 0:07:29.440 --> 0:07:31.560 just give him dirty looks when he come in and 0:07:31.680 --> 0:07:34.679 just take me out. It was like for baseball really 0:07:35.120 --> 0:07:38.280 and we would just yes, it was just dip and 0:07:38.280 --> 0:07:42.280 that was that Christmas. Yes, yes, one day school. 0:07:44.040 --> 0:07:44.360 All right. 0:07:44.400 --> 0:07:45.840 So here's how we're going to do it. I'm going 0:07:45.920 --> 0:07:48.240 to introduce the starting pitching matchup for each game. We're 0:07:48.240 --> 0:07:50.040 going to start with the one PM slate, then go 0:07:50.040 --> 0:07:52.440 to the four, then the seven, then the ten. I 0:07:52.480 --> 0:07:54.960 think there's only one seven o'clock game on the schedule 0:07:54.960 --> 0:07:57.840 and it is the beast of the pitching matchups on 0:07:58.000 --> 0:08:00.720 opening Day, So we're going to do that. And then 0:08:00.920 --> 0:08:03.960 Arm's gonna give us the main thing that he's watching, 0:08:04.040 --> 0:08:07.000 like the one main thing in each game. And then 0:08:07.080 --> 0:08:10.360 Peter has a really exciting partnership that Just Baseball has 0:08:10.720 --> 0:08:12.800 with ballpark Pal that he's going to dive into on 0:08:12.840 --> 0:08:13.920 a game by game basis. 0:08:14.400 --> 0:08:16.880 Yeah, it's going to be a blast. Ballpark Pal is 0:08:17.520 --> 0:08:19.880 a model, It is a weather predictor and it can 0:08:19.920 --> 0:08:23.520 help you with your player props. Our guy Aaron He 0:08:23.840 --> 0:08:27.239 we've been working with him since the end of last season, 0:08:27.480 --> 0:08:31.080 and his model it takes into account, of course, the weather, 0:08:31.360 --> 0:08:33.760 like in some ballparks the wind might be blowing in, 0:08:34.120 --> 0:08:36.719 so maybe he'll show value on the under, maybe it's 0:08:36.760 --> 0:08:39.640 blowing out, show value on the over. You know, he 0:08:39.720 --> 0:08:43.079 takes all of his data from you know, savant, whether 0:08:43.120 --> 0:08:46.240 it be launch angle, ex velocity, it's not the typical 0:08:46.360 --> 0:08:49.800 Oh this guy's hitting three hundred right now, that means 0:08:49.800 --> 0:08:52.000 he should get a base hit today. It's all about 0:08:52.280 --> 0:08:55.600 super super advanced data. They don't even use general stats. 0:08:55.640 --> 0:08:59.960 It's it's just launch angle, exivelocity, spin rates, you know, 0:09:00.160 --> 0:09:01.800 the angle it comes out of the hand, and they 0:09:01.840 --> 0:09:04.280 simulate the game a thousand times. And it was a 0:09:04.280 --> 0:09:07.320 really successful model last year and it's only improved. So 0:09:07.360 --> 0:09:10.280 I'm excited to say, all right, this game is minus 0:09:10.280 --> 0:09:13.800 two forty five. Well, the ballpark POU model says it 0:09:13.800 --> 0:09:15.760 should be minus one sixty five, So maybe the other 0:09:15.800 --> 0:09:18.040 team has a better chance of winning than you might think. 0:09:18.320 --> 0:09:20.559 This rap round is gonna be really fun cool. 0:09:20.760 --> 0:09:23.079 I mean that sounds like the episode of Black Mirror 0:09:23.160 --> 0:09:25.679 where they you know, it's the speed dating you know 0:09:25.720 --> 0:09:27.720 what I'm talking about, online dating where they run through 0:09:27.760 --> 0:09:30.200 a thousand simulations. Did you guys watch that episode? 0:09:30.280 --> 0:09:31.800 I don't know if I saw that one. I do 0:09:31.880 --> 0:09:34.120 love Black Mirror though, Yeah, Peter, you saw it. 0:09:34.320 --> 0:09:35.400 Yeah I saw it was awesome. 0:09:35.679 --> 0:09:38.200 You yeah you screamed Black Mirror guy. I know you 0:09:38.240 --> 0:09:40.480 give yourself shit for not knowing much pop culture. But 0:09:40.600 --> 0:09:42.000 you are a black mirror person. 0:09:42.200 --> 0:09:45.040 Oh yeah, you mean he's intro to the last Like 0:09:45.160 --> 0:09:47.880 the other podcast was literally a Black Mayor episode. 0:09:48.120 --> 0:09:49.480 Obelisk, what is it? 0:09:49.520 --> 0:09:51.400 A big I'm a big fan of simulations. 0:09:51.640 --> 0:09:54.000 What was it? What was the term? 0:09:54.400 --> 0:10:01.960 What obelisk? Roset Ro kicks or roasts black Roco's basilisk? 0:10:02.400 --> 0:10:06.680 Okay, moving on, probably, let's start with the first pitch 0:10:06.760 --> 0:10:09.839 that we may see. We've got two one oh five 0:10:10.000 --> 0:10:13.839 first pitches. One is in DC, one is in New York. 0:10:14.240 --> 0:10:18.320 Let's start with Braves Nats. It's Max Freed, who Arm 0:10:18.440 --> 0:10:21.800 picked as his cy Young quote unquote favorite who he 0:10:21.880 --> 0:10:25.480 likes the value for against Patrick Corbin, who, of course 0:10:25.559 --> 0:10:30.640 is starting his cy Young campaign on his own. Obviously, 0:10:30.880 --> 0:10:34.680 this leans Atlanta because that lineup is so good and 0:10:34.840 --> 0:10:37.560 Washington isn't ar what you're watching in this one? 0:10:38.520 --> 0:10:39.720 How bad is Patrick Corbin? 0:10:40.040 --> 0:10:40.240 Yeah? 0:10:40.280 --> 0:10:44.320 Like that's really it for me. That and on the 0:10:44.320 --> 0:10:46.960 serious side, how does Orlando RCA look at shortstop? 0:10:47.360 --> 0:10:47.400 That? 0:10:47.559 --> 0:10:50.240 That's the number one thing. Honestly, I went and watched 0:10:50.240 --> 0:10:53.440 the spring training stuff. Rc is moving well, you know, 0:10:53.679 --> 0:10:56.000 so the same reason why we talked about von Grissom, 0:10:56.320 --> 0:10:58.640 you know, and how Ron Washington can help him, and 0:10:58.640 --> 0:11:00.800 I think he did. He just ultimately wasn't quite ready. 0:11:01.120 --> 0:11:04.839 Maybe a veteran Orlando Arcia saw even more gains by 0:11:04.880 --> 0:11:06.960 working with Iron Washington. So I want to see how 0:11:06.960 --> 0:11:08.959 the shortstop position looks, and then I want to see 0:11:09.000 --> 0:11:11.520 what Pat Corbin looks like. It's a clean slate, buddy. 0:11:11.640 --> 0:11:13.920 I hope he performs. I like we joke about him 0:11:13.920 --> 0:11:17.600 a lot. It's tough to watch him struggle perpetually, so 0:11:17.720 --> 0:11:19.960 hopefully he comes out maybe looking a little different this year. 0:11:20.000 --> 0:11:22.959 Maybe he drops the arm angle down and messes around 0:11:23.000 --> 0:11:25.839 a little bit. But I'm interested to see how he looks. 0:11:26.120 --> 0:11:28.040 Well, what's the data looking like, Pete. 0:11:28.480 --> 0:11:31.640 Yeah, the line on BETMGM, we're looking at minus two fifty, 0:11:31.720 --> 0:11:33.880 so you'd have to lay for round number sake two 0:11:34.000 --> 0:11:36.040 hundred and fifty dollars to win one hundred dollars if 0:11:36.040 --> 0:11:38.320 you want to bet on the Braves money line. And 0:11:38.480 --> 0:11:41.040 just so everybody knows, this ballpark pole model will be 0:11:41.080 --> 0:11:43.319 available on just baseball dot com so you can follow 0:11:43.320 --> 0:11:45.840 along with us, maybe as you listen or for any 0:11:45.880 --> 0:11:49.120 other game as we continue this season. The final score 0:11:49.160 --> 0:11:53.720 prediction is four to three Atlanta over the Nationals, so 0:11:53.760 --> 0:11:56.120 there's value on the under, and they say the Nationals 0:11:56.120 --> 0:11:58.839 can keep this one close. I'm not so sure. This 0:11:58.880 --> 0:12:01.640 is a game where I wouldn't say you should bet 0:12:01.640 --> 0:12:04.040 on the under, considering we really have no idea what 0:12:04.040 --> 0:12:06.079 we're going to get from Patrick Corbyn. But at least 0:12:06.120 --> 0:12:09.160 the early model likes him slightly. But I would still 0:12:09.160 --> 0:12:11.559 take the Braves and I wouldn't touch the total to 0:12:11.559 --> 0:12:13.280 the game that you shouldn't bet, but give me the 0:12:13.280 --> 0:12:15.280 Braves to win this one. Arm what do you think? 0:12:16.440 --> 0:12:19.920 Yeah, it's pretty pretty hard to pick maat Corbin against 0:12:19.960 --> 0:12:23.360 the Braves and Max Freed, you know, but opening days 0:12:23.360 --> 0:12:25.240 always such a crapshoot. So that's why I'm excited to 0:12:25.240 --> 0:12:25.920 see how it goes. 0:12:27.080 --> 0:12:30.120 John. I guess I'm gonna go Atlanta because I think 0:12:30.160 --> 0:12:33.680 Pat Corbin sucks and I think Max Freed is really good. Also, 0:12:33.960 --> 0:12:37.160 Matt Olsen is sneaky, an eight hundred ops guy against lefties. 0:12:37.480 --> 0:12:39.760 And then you think about the other notable bats at 0:12:39.760 --> 0:12:42.439 the top of that order. Austin Riley is right handed, 0:12:42.760 --> 0:12:45.960 Ronald Acuna Junior is right handed, so I like them 0:12:46.000 --> 0:12:50.280 against a lefty other one oh five first pitch is 0:12:50.320 --> 0:12:52.960 in New York and that's Logan Webb and the Giants 0:12:53.320 --> 0:12:55.640 visiting Garrett Cole and the Yankees, two guys that I 0:12:55.679 --> 0:12:59.200 think can contend for Cy Young's in their respective leagues. 0:12:59.600 --> 0:13:02.320 I think this is going to be an awesome pitching matchup. 0:13:03.040 --> 0:13:06.520 It's probably gonna be pretty cold, right, which is advantage 0:13:06.559 --> 0:13:08.520 pitchers not a lot of runs. 0:13:08.559 --> 0:13:11.400 I assume, Yeah, what are you watching for? 0:13:13.440 --> 0:13:15.000 I think I want to see. I want to see 0:13:15.000 --> 0:13:17.360 what Garrett Cole looks like in terms of, like does 0:13:17.400 --> 0:13:19.760 he have that same fire we saw in the postseason, 0:13:19.800 --> 0:13:23.720 because we talked about the rotation situation going into the year, like, Okay, 0:13:23.840 --> 0:13:26.680 the big focus is put less pressure on Garrett Cole, 0:13:26.720 --> 0:13:28.480 like he doesn't have to be the one guy that's 0:13:28.600 --> 0:13:31.079 really carrying them when when injuries happen and all of 0:13:31.080 --> 0:13:33.040 a sudden they're injured and Garrett Cole is the one 0:13:33.040 --> 0:13:35.120 guy you're looking forward to every time around the rotation. 0:13:35.520 --> 0:13:37.760 So I want to see, like what level of intensity 0:13:37.800 --> 0:13:40.480 they get from Garrett Cole and then honestly, Michael CANFORDO. 0:13:40.559 --> 0:13:42.320 I just want to see what Michael Canflorida looks like 0:13:42.360 --> 0:13:44.000 I feel like I haven't seen him hit a baseball 0:13:44.040 --> 0:13:46.480 in five years, so I'm just interested to see how 0:13:46.480 --> 0:13:48.680 he looks. So it should be fun. 0:13:49.320 --> 0:13:51.960 Yeah, you guys are right. Model predicts a really low 0:13:52.040 --> 0:13:55.800 scoring game. To the weather, it's three and a half 0:13:55.920 --> 0:13:59.559 to two point seven, so obviously you know there's a 0:13:59.559 --> 0:14:01.880 bunch of dabs associated. It's not going to finish with 0:14:01.880 --> 0:14:03.920 two point seven runs, but I guess if you could 0:14:03.960 --> 0:14:06.000 round up to three, they're calling this a pretty close game. 0:14:06.040 --> 0:14:09.160 Big pitchers duel plenty of value on the under. They 0:14:09.160 --> 0:14:10.600 put the line at five and a half and the 0:14:10.640 --> 0:14:13.600 line is at seven on bet MGM, so that is 0:14:13.640 --> 0:14:16.319 something to watch out for. The one thing I'm really 0:14:16.360 --> 0:14:20.040 excited to see is Logan Webb in as a ground 0:14:20.040 --> 0:14:23.600 ball pitcher without the shift that the Giants use as 0:14:23.680 --> 0:14:26.080 much as any other team in Major League Baseball. Do 0:14:26.160 --> 0:14:28.640 a couple more base hits squeak By and the Yankees 0:14:28.720 --> 0:14:30.760 end up getting to win. I ultimately think that the 0:14:30.840 --> 0:14:32.920 Yankees do because I don't think the Giants are going 0:14:32.960 --> 0:14:34.720 to hit much. So I would take the Yankees, and 0:14:34.720 --> 0:14:35.840 I would take a strong look. 0:14:35.680 --> 0:14:39.040 At the under. I just need to see if Franchie 0:14:39.040 --> 0:14:42.040 Cordero gets in at bat or not. That's the latest 0:14:42.080 --> 0:14:45.360 Jeff Passing report that Franchie agreed to the Nick Anderson deal. 0:14:45.400 --> 0:14:47.080 I think it's one eighty five if he's a minor 0:14:47.160 --> 0:14:50.400 leaguer and a million buck us if he's a major leaguer. 0:14:50.480 --> 0:14:54.520 Shout out, Francie Baby, Good for Franchi, Good for Franchie. 0:14:55.080 --> 0:14:59.880 I two ten at Fenway, the Orioles and the Red Sox, 0:15:00.320 --> 0:15:05.520 Kyle Gibson, Corey Klueber fart noises for this one. I 0:15:05.520 --> 0:15:08.560 don't know if I'll watch a single pitch of this game, Arm, 0:15:08.920 --> 0:15:09.880 what are you gonna do? 0:15:10.280 --> 0:15:13.560 The kids would call this a mid off right battle 0:15:13.600 --> 0:15:18.000 of mid, the Battle of mid. I'm I'm looking at 0:15:18.040 --> 0:15:19.880 just like honestly, I think I am gonna put it 0:15:19.920 --> 0:15:21.600 on because I think it's gonna be a laser show, 0:15:21.720 --> 0:15:24.760 especially in Boston. I want to I want to see runs, man, 0:15:25.000 --> 0:15:26.280 I want to see runs. I want to see if 0:15:26.280 --> 0:15:28.880 Corey Klueber can break eighty six uh. And I want 0:15:28.920 --> 0:15:31.000 to see if Kyle Gibson can keep the ball in 0:15:31.040 --> 0:15:33.960 the yard against what is still a good Red Sox offense. 0:15:34.280 --> 0:15:35.960 I don't know if it's like a super square bat 0:15:36.040 --> 0:15:38.160 so I'm interested to hear what Peter says, but like 0:15:38.960 --> 0:15:41.840 nine runs, I'm kind of all over the over, assuming 0:15:41.840 --> 0:15:43.760 it's not like cold as hell there. That might be 0:15:43.800 --> 0:15:46.520 the one variable, which is why ballpark pal is very helpful. 0:15:47.000 --> 0:15:49.120 It's really helpful, and it's actually is calling for a 0:15:49.120 --> 0:15:53.360 pretty cool day. Uh. The score prediction is four point 0:15:53.360 --> 0:15:56.600 oh two to four point oh two. They have the 0:15:56.640 --> 0:16:00.640 line as an exact pickum with slight value you on 0:16:00.680 --> 0:16:03.600 the under. They have the lot the line at eight, 0:16:04.040 --> 0:16:06.480 but then again it's tied with some team's got to win, 0:16:06.760 --> 0:16:08.960 so it would be around eight or nine. It looks 0:16:09.080 --> 0:16:12.960 like a game where the Red Sox should be a 0:16:13.000 --> 0:16:16.560 slight slight favorite. It's a tough game. I would actually 0:16:16.640 --> 0:16:19.360 lean towards the Orioles. Corey Kluber has not looked very 0:16:19.360 --> 0:16:22.320 good in spring training, and I think the Orioles defense 0:16:22.360 --> 0:16:24.280 come by with their offense, is a slightly better unit 0:16:24.360 --> 0:16:26.440 than the Red Sox. Right now, I would think the 0:16:26.480 --> 0:16:28.440 Orioles end up winning this game five before. 0:16:28.800 --> 0:16:32.000 Can I make one prediction? Absolutely, this game has a 0:16:32.040 --> 0:16:37.560 catastrophic pitch clock enforcement. Absolutely, that's my just this game 0:16:37.680 --> 0:16:39.640 screaming it to me like Ken Lee Janson in the 0:16:39.720 --> 0:16:45.680 ninth game, altering game altering ball call here in a 0:16:45.680 --> 0:16:47.720 big count. That's my prediction on this game, and that's 0:16:47.720 --> 0:16:49.600 honestly one of the things I want to watch. How 0:16:49.640 --> 0:16:51.000 does ken Lee handle the timer? 0:16:51.400 --> 0:16:51.880 I love that. 0:16:52.200 --> 0:16:54.360 I love that too. I'm going to go with Felix 0:16:54.400 --> 0:16:57.840 Bautista closing out this game for save number one of 0:16:57.840 --> 0:17:00.000 one hundred and forty saves for him this year. 0:17:00.440 --> 0:17:02.320 I like that all right. 0:17:02.360 --> 0:17:06.679 Two twenty at Wrigley Corbin Burns gets the ball for Milwaukee. 0:17:06.720 --> 0:17:12.080 The Revenge Tour starts now against Marcus Stroman of Team 0:17:12.119 --> 0:17:15.920 Puerto Rico fame, and I don't know. I think it'll 0:17:15.920 --> 0:17:19.480 be interesting because we know that Stroman shows up for 0:17:19.520 --> 0:17:22.560 the big event. In terms of regular season baseball, doesn't 0:17:22.560 --> 0:17:25.199 get much bigger than Opening Day at Wrigley Field, So 0:17:25.680 --> 0:17:27.960 I think that he will kind of ball out here. 0:17:28.359 --> 0:17:30.359 But I think Corbyn Burns is going to be pitching 0:17:30.400 --> 0:17:34.240 angry this year, and that is scary to think about. 0:17:34.680 --> 0:17:38.000 I think he's gonna carve this Cub's line up. I 0:17:38.000 --> 0:17:41.000 think Eric Osmer is gonna break a bat, maybe two, 0:17:41.960 --> 0:17:45.520 But no, I would be all over the Brewers if 0:17:45.560 --> 0:17:47.320 it weren't for exactly what you said. And I am 0:17:47.320 --> 0:17:49.439 interested to see how Marcus Stroman kind of you know, 0:17:49.600 --> 0:17:52.520 rides that adrenaline that he showed he was awesome when 0:17:52.520 --> 0:17:54.000 when the three of us were watching him in that 0:17:54.040 --> 0:17:56.320 World Baseball Classic, he was walking out of the game, 0:17:56.480 --> 0:17:57.960 you know, really giving it up to the fans. It 0:17:58.000 --> 0:17:59.240 was pretty cool. And you know, I'm not a big 0:17:59.240 --> 0:18:02.040 Stroman fan and he isn't a fan of mine. Doesn't 0:18:02.080 --> 0:18:04.720 know I exist, but he blocks me, so I. 0:18:04.720 --> 0:18:06.159 Would say he knows you exist. 0:18:07.400 --> 0:18:09.240 Yeah, I don't know. I don't. I don't even think 0:18:09.240 --> 0:18:10.720 he read my name. He just saw what I said 0:18:10.760 --> 0:18:12.560 and blocks me, like no shot, he knows I exist, 0:18:12.640 --> 0:18:15.400 It's just just block, which, by the way, was because 0:18:15.400 --> 0:18:17.680 I made a joke about him tweeting his highlights after 0:18:17.720 --> 0:18:20.520 he lost, So that might be what I want to 0:18:20.520 --> 0:18:23.080 watch here. Does he tweet his highlights after they lose? 0:18:23.800 --> 0:18:26.680 But that said, I do think Stroman's gonna throw. Well, 0:18:27.000 --> 0:18:29.359 I'm interested to see what an angry Corbin Burns looks like. 0:18:29.800 --> 0:18:32.080 And I just I think that's the thing I really 0:18:32.080 --> 0:18:34.000 want to see is how good can these two guys throw. 0:18:34.480 --> 0:18:37.320 I don't know what the what the wind prediction is Peter, 0:18:37.440 --> 0:18:39.080 but like I love an under in this one. 0:18:39.480 --> 0:18:42.960 Yeah, definite value on the under. They have the line 0:18:43.000 --> 0:18:45.520 around six and the line is at seven and a half, 0:18:45.640 --> 0:18:47.640 so they're seeing value on the under. But they make 0:18:47.680 --> 0:18:51.520 the Cubs slight favorite, which I find very interesting. The model, 0:18:51.560 --> 0:18:54.840 I guess really likes Stroman to pitch really well. It's 0:18:54.880 --> 0:18:58.040 around three point three to three point two on the score, 0:18:58.080 --> 0:19:01.399 so it's very close. But can dering that the Cubs 0:19:01.440 --> 0:19:05.520 are about a plus one thirty underdog on bet MGM, 0:19:05.600 --> 0:19:08.800 it is showing some value there. I agree with you guys. 0:19:08.800 --> 0:19:10.840