Speaker 1: God's time, the Stage League.
Speaker 2: Cracker Brady, Shit, we will see you Tomorrow's the Garner.
Speaker 1: Welcome to hang out.
Speaker 3: It's Chrimas. Merry Christmas, everybody. Happy Opening Day on a
Speaker 3: Just Baseball Show Again. US three would not miss this episode,
Speaker 3: Jack Peter Arham. Today is Opening Day, Thursday, March thirtieth.
Speaker 3: We got fifteen games that matter on the schedule and
Speaker 3: that feels really good.
Speaker 4: This same Yeah, it's opening Day, which should be a
Speaker 4: national holiday. We've talked about this already, but I'm gonna
Speaker 4: keep bringing it up. You should be able to stay
Speaker 4: home from school. You should be able to stay home
Speaker 4: from work and turn on the TV and watch baseball
Speaker 4: from one pm Eastern to midnight when probably showha is
Speaker 4: pitching against the A's, which the A's might win weirdly
Speaker 4: because they sometimes take games from Otani.
Speaker 3: So here's what we're gonna do. We're gonna give you
Speaker 3: pretty much like one thing to watch and pick a
Speaker 3: winner for every single game. This is a Just Baseball Show.
Speaker 3: It is presented by bet MGM officially exciting stuff and
Speaker 3: we can't wait to be bringing you all of this
Speaker 3: action as we come through the baseball season. Through one
Speaker 3: sixty two, and we crown a champion in October or
Speaker 3: early November, depending on how long our series go. So
Speaker 3: we're gonna almost go rapid fire through each game. We
Speaker 3: want to give every fan base the pub because unfortunately,
Speaker 3: a week or two into the season, some teams drift
Speaker 3: into a ob security, never to be rescued.
Speaker 5: Yeah. Yeah, Well that's why I love this part of
Speaker 5: the season. You can just like pretend that everyone's in
Speaker 5: it for a little bit, right, Yeah, yeah, I mean
Speaker 5: I'm pretending every team's in it right now. Like these
Speaker 5: these are must win ball games opening Day, It's this
Speaker 5: is must win for Oakland to keep the season alive.
Speaker 5: It's a tough one against Otani. So like that's the
Speaker 5: fun thing. Though, there there's this this budding optimism even
Speaker 5: for the teams that might be might be a little
Speaker 5: bit mediocre. But also there's just this unknown right we
Speaker 5: stand on this podcast, We talk all the time about
Speaker 5: what we think might happen, and of course things happen differently.
Speaker 5: Some things we're right about, some things we're wrong about,
Speaker 5: but that's why we play the season. But what I
Speaker 5: love so much is like this feeling of you're about
Speaker 5: to embark into It's like almost a movie's about to start, right,
Speaker 5: like you're about to embark into the unknown of like
Speaker 5: what's gonna happen this year. There's gonna be amazing things,
Speaker 5: there's gonna be disappointing things, there's gonna be everything in between,
Speaker 5: and we're about to experience it. It's just a clean slate.
Speaker 4: But sometimes we think and sometimes we know a season's over.
Speaker 4: The Yankee signed Franchie Cordero to a minor league and
Speaker 4: major league? Do we know the season's over for everybody's around?
Speaker 3: Be a great year?
Speaker 4: But we know that.
Speaker 5: That's yeah, it's a wrap. Okay, I didn't realize that.
Speaker 5: So twenty nine teams start their season tomorrow today.
Speaker 3: Correctly, before we jump into the schedule, Arm, I know
Speaker 3: that you had a ritual for opening day growing up, Peter,
Speaker 3: did you have one? Arm, explain yours first, and then
Speaker 3: if you know you have a favorite memory from an
Speaker 3: opening day, Peter, I want to hear it.
Speaker 5: Yeah, I mean, I'll shout out my my, my pops
Speaker 5: on this one, because you know, I don't I don't
Speaker 5: know if I've been to an opening day honestly since
Speaker 5: since my dad passed, Like I watched him from home.
Speaker 5: It was tough because he used to he used to
Speaker 5: take me pick me up from school. It was I
Speaker 5: hated school, man, Like that's that's something I'll be very
Speaker 5: very open about, which I hated school. So opening day
Speaker 5: it was like two for one. I get to get
Speaker 5: out of this bitch early and I also get to
Speaker 5: go to a game with my dad. He'd have my
Speaker 5: Miguel CoA Brea jersey waiting for me in the back
Speaker 5: of the car. We'd go, would get there and there's
Speaker 5: something about like the intros, the player intros, even in
Speaker 5: the football stadium, a Dolphin Stadium, Land Shark, Joe, Robbie,
Speaker 5: whatever it was that year, it would just get me going.
Speaker 5: And I don't know, just the feeling of being there
Speaker 5: with my dad, like sharing that experience with him every
Speaker 5: single year, like I knew what was going to happen,
Speaker 5: I knew what to look forward to.
Speaker 2: It.
Speaker 5: It's pretty awesome. So now when it comes back around,
Speaker 5: I've gotten to the point where I'm really excited about
Speaker 5: it and it kind of keeps me close to him.
Speaker 5: Not to get heavy, but like a week ago was
Speaker 5: six years since I lost my dad, and it was
Speaker 5: right at the end of the WBC, which is really
Speaker 5: special because we went to that together too, So Opening
Speaker 5: Day always has a special spot in my heart. And
Speaker 5: like with being able to kind of talk about it
Speaker 5: and share it with you guys now and have a
Speaker 5: new thing to look forward to is pretty awesome and
Speaker 5: just kind of shows you like the phases and chapters
Speaker 5: of life. But it wouldn't be important to me like
Speaker 5: this if it weren't for my pops.
Speaker 3: Well, and I love that it's a happy moment for
Speaker 3: you too, you know what I mean, because it could
Speaker 3: turn sour and you could be you know, that could
Speaker 3: be a day where you get very sad. But I
Speaker 3: love that you know you are genuinely you know, joyful
Speaker 3: and remember him on every Opening Day, which.
Speaker 5: Is where you guys help with that.
Speaker 4: Thanks for the best podcast. This is a blast. I
Speaker 4: just love talking baseball with you guys, and the fact
Speaker 4: that you know this is year what technically three, but
Speaker 4: it's kind of like year two because you're zero. We
Speaker 4: were really bootstrapping. Were almost five hundred.
Speaker 3: Episodes, like juggling other jobs like this exactly.
Speaker 4: It's our third straight Opening Day and I love spending
Speaker 4: with you guys, and now we just get to talk
Speaker 4: about each individual game and one thing that Arm said
Speaker 4: his whole story is beautiful, and but the intros is
Speaker 4: something that really jumps out to me. I love just
Speaker 4: when the guys are lined up on the field, similar
Speaker 4: to the WBC, and they're just going through the names
Speaker 4: of the camera. It's a very you know, just simple
Speaker 4: thing and it may not mean much to a lot
Speaker 4: of people, but just seeing the guys lined up on
Speaker 4: opening Day, that's why I think it should be all today.
Speaker 3: Opening Day is pretty close, obviously, say to the first
Speaker 3: round of the NCAA tournament, and the first round of
Speaker 3: the NCAA Tournament is the one where you know, teachers
Speaker 3: will roll out the TV and let you watch during breaks, right,
Speaker 3: and it's kind of like a day to half ass school.
Speaker 3: Opening Day was always kind of like that too, and
Speaker 3: like I never went to the ballpark at the beginning
Speaker 3: of that, but I have very fond memories of like
Speaker 3: middle school and even high school to shout out honors
Speaker 3: Bio Miss Hennigs putting up Cubs Opening Day on the.
Speaker 5: Smart Sirs had to plug the honors honors.
Speaker 3: Yet I hated science, so baseball instead of science was
Speaker 3: fucking great.
Speaker 4: And I grew up on the West Coast, so games
Speaker 4: would start for me to round ten am instead of
Speaker 4: the one pm Eastern, So for me it would go
Speaker 4: all day and not just oh, now it's the afternoon,
Speaker 4: it's after lunch, let's watch some baseball. As soon as
Speaker 4: you wake up in the morning. It's about two hours
Speaker 4: until game time and then it lasts. What do you
Speaker 4: guys think is the best place in the country in
Speaker 4: terms of it time zone for sports?
Speaker 3: It's not close.
Speaker 4: Central has to be the best because it's not too late,
Speaker 4: it's not too early, it's right in the middle. I
Speaker 4: think if you live in the central part of America,
Speaker 4: you get the best time to watch sport.
Speaker 3: We live in Central America, the Middle East. Yeah, yeah, Central,
Speaker 3: Central's money.
Speaker 5: Last thing I'll mention too is by like the third
Speaker 5: or fourth year, I went to the same school pre
Speaker 5: K to twelve, So by the third or fourth year,
Speaker 5: the teachers started to catch on to my dad picking
Speaker 5: me up basically the same day every year, and they
Speaker 5: just give him dirty looks when he come in and
Speaker 5: just take me out. It was like for baseball really
Speaker 5: and we would just yes, it was just dip and
Speaker 5: that was that Christmas. Yes, yes, one day school.
Speaker 4: All right.
Speaker 3: So here's how we're going to do it. I'm going
Speaker 3: to introduce the starting pitching matchup for each game. We're
Speaker 3: going to start with the one PM slate, then go
Speaker 3: to the four, then the seven, then the ten. I
Speaker 3: think there's only one seven o'clock game on the schedule
Speaker 3: and it is the beast of the pitching matchups on
Speaker 3: opening Day, So we're going to do that. And then
Speaker 3: Arm's gonna give us the main thing that he's watching,
Speaker 3: like the one main thing in each game. And then
Speaker 3: Peter has a really exciting partnership that Just Baseball has
Speaker 3: with ballpark Pal that he's going to dive into on
Speaker 3: a game by game basis.
Speaker 4: Yeah, it's going to be a blast. Ballpark Pal is
Speaker 4: a model, It is a weather predictor and it can
Speaker 4: help you with your player props. Our guy Aaron He
Speaker 4: we've been working with him since the end of last season,
Speaker 4: and his model it takes into account, of course, the weather,
Speaker 4: like in some ballparks the wind might be blowing in,
Speaker 4: so maybe he'll show value on the under, maybe it's
Speaker 4: blowing out, show value on the over. You know, he
Speaker 4: takes all of his data from you know, savant, whether
Speaker 4: it be launch angle, ex velocity, it's not the typical
Speaker 4: Oh this guy's hitting three hundred right now, that means
Speaker 4: he should get a base hit today. It's all about
Speaker 4: super super advanced data. They don't even use general stats.
Speaker 4: It's it's just launch angle, exivelocity, spin rates, you know,
Speaker 4: the angle it comes out of the hand, and they
Speaker 4: simulate the game a thousand times. And it was a
Speaker 4: really successful model last year and it's only improved. So
Speaker 4: I'm excited to say, all right, this game is minus
Speaker 4: two forty five. Well, the ballpark POU model says it
Speaker 4: should be minus one sixty five, So maybe the other
Speaker 4: team has a better chance of winning than you might think.
Speaker 4: This rap round is gonna be really fun cool.
Speaker 3: I mean that sounds like the episode of Black Mirror
Speaker 3: where they you know, it's the speed dating you know
Speaker 3: what I'm talking about, online dating where they run through
Speaker 3: a thousand simulations. Did you guys watch that episode?
Speaker 5: I don't know if I saw that one. I do
Speaker 5: love Black Mirror though, Yeah, Peter, you saw it.
Speaker 4: Yeah I saw it was awesome.
Speaker 3: You yeah you screamed Black Mirror guy. I know you
Speaker 3: give yourself shit for not knowing much pop culture. But
Speaker 3: you are a black mirror person.
Speaker 5: Oh yeah, you mean he's intro to the last Like
Speaker 5: the other podcast was literally a Black Mayor episode.
Speaker 3: Obelisk, what is it?
Speaker 4: A big I'm a big fan of simulations.
Speaker 3: What was it? What was the term?
Speaker 4: What obelisk? Roset Ro kicks or roasts black Roco's basilisk?
Speaker 3: Okay, moving on, probably, let's start with the first pitch
Speaker 3: that we may see. We've got two one oh five
Speaker 3: first pitches. One is in DC, one is in New York.
Speaker 3: Let's start with Braves Nats. It's Max Freed, who Arm
Speaker 3: picked as his cy Young quote unquote favorite who he
Speaker 3: likes the value for against Patrick Corbin, who, of course
Speaker 3: is starting his cy Young campaign on his own. Obviously,
Speaker 3: this leans Atlanta because that lineup is so good and
Speaker 3: Washington isn't ar what you're watching in this one?
Speaker 5: How bad is Patrick Corbin?
Speaker 4: Yeah?
Speaker 5: Like that's really it for me. That and on the
Speaker 5: serious side, how does Orlando RCA look at shortstop?
Speaker 3: That?
Speaker 5: That's the number one thing. Honestly, I went and watched
Speaker 5: the spring training stuff. Rc is moving well, you know,
Speaker 5: so the same reason why we talked about von Grissom,
Speaker 5: you know, and how Ron Washington can help him, and
Speaker 5: I think he did. He just ultimately wasn't quite ready.
Speaker 5: Maybe a veteran Orlando Arcia saw even more gains by
Speaker 5: working with Iron Washington. So I want to see how
Speaker 5: the shortstop position looks, and then I want to see
Speaker 5: what Pat Corbin looks like. It's a clean slate, buddy.
Speaker 5: I hope he performs. I like we joke about him
Speaker 5: a lot. It's tough to watch him struggle perpetually, so
Speaker 5: hopefully he comes out maybe looking a little different this year.
Speaker 5: Maybe he drops the arm angle down and messes around
Speaker 5: a little bit. But I'm interested to see how he looks.
Speaker 3: Well, what's the data looking like, Pete.
Speaker 4: Yeah, the line on BETMGM, we're looking at minus two fifty,
Speaker 4: so you'd have to lay for round number sake two
Speaker 4: hundred and fifty dollars to win one hundred dollars if
Speaker 4: you want to bet on the Braves money line. And
Speaker 4: just so everybody knows, this ballpark pole model will be
Speaker 4: available on just baseball dot com so you can follow
Speaker 4: along with us, maybe as you listen or for any
Speaker 4: other game as we continue this season. The final score
Speaker 4: prediction is four to three Atlanta over the Nationals, so
Speaker 4: there's value on the under, and they say the Nationals
Speaker 4: can keep this one close. I'm not so sure. This
Speaker 4: is a game where I wouldn't say you should bet
Speaker 4: on the under, considering we really have no idea what
Speaker 4: we're going to get from Patrick Corbyn. But at least
Speaker 4: the early model likes him slightly. But I would still
Speaker 4: take the Braves and I wouldn't touch the total to
Speaker 4: the game that you shouldn't bet, but give me the
Speaker 4: Braves to win this one. Arm what do you think?
Speaker 5: Yeah, it's pretty pretty hard to pick maat Corbin against
Speaker 5: the Braves and Max Freed, you know, but opening days
Speaker 5: always such a crapshoot. So that's why I'm excited to
Speaker 5: see how it goes.
Speaker 3: John. I guess I'm gonna go Atlanta because I think
Speaker 3: Pat Corbin sucks and I think Max Freed is really good. Also,
Speaker 3: Matt Olsen is sneaky, an eight hundred ops guy against lefties.
Speaker 3: And then you think about the other notable bats at
Speaker 3: the top of that order. Austin Riley is right handed,
Speaker 3: Ronald Acuna Junior is right handed, so I like them
Speaker 3: against a lefty other one oh five first pitch is
Speaker 3: in New York and that's Logan Webb and the Giants
Speaker 3: visiting Garrett Cole and the Yankees, two guys that I
Speaker 3: think can contend for Cy Young's in their respective leagues.
Speaker 3: I think this is going to be an awesome pitching matchup.
Speaker 3: It's probably gonna be pretty cold, right, which is advantage
Speaker 3: pitchers not a lot of runs.
Speaker 4: I assume, Yeah, what are you watching for?
Speaker 5: I think I want to see. I want to see
Speaker 5: what Garrett Cole looks like in terms of, like does
Speaker 5: he have that same fire we saw in the postseason,
Speaker 5: because we talked about the rotation situation going into the year, like, Okay,
Speaker 5: the big focus is put less pressure on Garrett Cole,
Speaker 5: like he doesn't have to be the one guy that's
Speaker 5: really carrying them when when injuries happen and all of
Speaker 5: a sudden they're injured and Garrett Cole is the one
Speaker 5: guy you're looking forward to every time around the rotation.
Speaker 5: So I want to see, like what level of intensity
Speaker 5: they get from Garrett Cole and then honestly, Michael CANFORDO.
Speaker 5: I just want to see what Michael Canflorida looks like
Speaker 5: I feel like I haven't seen him hit a baseball
Speaker 5: in five years, so I'm just interested to see how
Speaker 5: he looks. So it should be fun.
Speaker 4: Yeah, you guys are right. Model predicts a really low
Speaker 4: scoring game. To the weather, it's three and a half
Speaker 4: to two point seven, so obviously you know there's a
Speaker 4: bunch of dabs associated. It's not going to finish with
Speaker 4: two point seven runs, but I guess if you could
Speaker 4: round up to three, they're calling this a pretty close game.
Speaker 4: Big pitchers duel plenty of value on the under. They
Speaker 4: put the line at five and a half and the
Speaker 4: line is at seven on bet MGM, so that is
Speaker 4: something to watch out for. The one thing I'm really
Speaker 4: excited to see is Logan Webb in as a ground
Speaker 4: ball pitcher without the shift that the Giants use as
Speaker 4: much as any other team in Major League Baseball. Do
Speaker 4: a couple more base hits squeak By and the Yankees
Speaker 4: end up getting to win. I ultimately think that the
Speaker 4: Yankees do because I don't think the Giants are going
Speaker 4: to hit much. So I would take the Yankees, and
Speaker 4: I would take a strong look.
Speaker 3: At the under. I just need to see if Franchie
Speaker 3: Cordero gets in at bat or not. That's the latest
Speaker 3: Jeff Passing report that Franchie agreed to the Nick Anderson deal.
Speaker 3: I think it's one eighty five if he's a minor
Speaker 3: leaguer and a million buck us if he's a major leaguer.
Speaker 3: Shout out, Francie Baby, Good for Franchi, Good for Franchie.
Speaker 3: I two ten at Fenway, the Orioles and the Red Sox,
Speaker 3: Kyle Gibson, Corey Klueber fart noises for this one. I
Speaker 3: don't know if I'll watch a single pitch of this game, Arm,
Speaker 3: what are you gonna do?
Speaker 5: The kids would call this a mid off right battle
Speaker 5: of mid, the Battle of mid. I'm I'm looking at
Speaker 5: just like honestly, I think I am gonna put it
Speaker 5: on because I think it's gonna be a laser show,
Speaker 5: especially in Boston. I want to I want to see runs, man,
Speaker 5: I want to see runs. I want to see if
Speaker 5: Corey Klueber can break eighty six uh. And I want
Speaker 5: to see if Kyle Gibson can keep the ball in
Speaker 5: the yard against what is still a good Red Sox offense.
Speaker 5: I don't know if it's like a super square bat
Speaker 5: so I'm interested to hear what Peter says, but like
Speaker 5: nine runs, I'm kind of all over the over, assuming
Speaker 5: it's not like cold as hell there. That might be
Speaker 5: the one variable, which is why ballpark pal is very helpful.
Speaker 4: It's really helpful, and it's actually is calling for a
Speaker 4: pretty cool day. Uh. The score prediction is four point
Speaker 4: oh two to four point oh two. They have the
Speaker 4: line as an exact pickum with slight value you on
Speaker 4: the under. They have the lot the line at eight,
Speaker 4: but then again it's tied with some team's got to win,
Speaker 4: so it would be around eight or nine. It looks
Speaker 4: like a game where the Red Sox should be a
Speaker 4: slight slight favorite. It's a tough game. I would actually
Speaker 4: lean towards the Orioles. Corey Kluber has not looked very
Speaker 4: good in spring training, and I think the Orioles defense
Speaker 4: come by with their offense, is a slightly better unit
Speaker 4: than the Red Sox. Right now, I would think the
Speaker 4: Orioles end up winning this game five before.
Speaker 5: Can I make one prediction? Absolutely, this game has a
Speaker 5: catastrophic pitch clock enforcement. Absolutely, that's my just this game
Speaker 5: screaming it to me like Ken Lee Janson in the
Speaker 5: ninth game, altering game altering ball call here in a
Speaker 5: big count. That's my prediction on this game, and that's
Speaker 5: honestly one of the things I want to watch. How
Speaker 5: does ken Lee handle the timer?
Speaker 4: I love that.
Speaker 3: I love that too. I'm going to go with Felix
Speaker 3: Bautista closing out this game for save number one of
Speaker 3: one hundred and forty saves for him this year.
Speaker 4: I like that all right.
Speaker 3: Two twenty at Wrigley Corbin Burns gets the ball for Milwaukee.
Speaker 3: The Revenge Tour starts now against Marcus Stroman of Team
Speaker 3: Puerto Rico fame, and I don't know. I think it'll
Speaker 3: be interesting because we know that Stroman shows up for
Speaker 3: the big event. In terms of regular season baseball, doesn't
Speaker 3: get much bigger than Opening Day at Wrigley Field, So
Speaker 3: I think that he will kind of ball out here.
Speaker 3: But I think Corbyn Burns is going to be pitching
Speaker 3: angry this year, and that is scary to think about.
Speaker 5: I think he's gonna carve this Cub's line up. I
Speaker 5: think Eric Osmer is gonna break a bat, maybe two,
Speaker 5: But no, I would be all over the Brewers if
Speaker 5: it weren't for exactly what you said. And I am
Speaker 5: interested to see how Marcus Stroman kind of you know,
Speaker 5: rides that adrenaline that he showed he was awesome when
Speaker 5: when the three of us were watching him in that
Speaker 5: World Baseball Classic, he was walking out of the game,
Speaker 5: you know, really giving it up to the fans. It
Speaker 5: was pretty cool. And you know, I'm not a big
Speaker 5: Stroman fan and he isn't a fan of mine. Doesn't
Speaker 5: know I exist, but he blocks me, so I.
Speaker 3: Would say he knows you exist.
Speaker 5: Yeah, I don't know. I don't. I don't even think
Speaker 5: he read my name. He just saw what I said
Speaker 5: and blocks me, like no shot, he knows I exist,
Speaker 5: It's just just block, which, by the way, was because
Speaker 5: I made a joke about him tweeting his highlights after
Speaker 5: he lost, So that might be what I want to
Speaker 5: watch here. Does he tweet his highlights after they lose?
Speaker 5: But that said, I do think Stroman's gonna throw. Well,
Speaker 5: I'm interested to see what an angry Corbin Burns looks like.
Speaker 5: And I just I think that's the thing I really
Speaker 5: want to see is how good can these two guys throw.
Speaker 5: I don't know what the what the wind prediction is Peter,
Speaker 5: but like I love an under in this one.
Speaker 4: Yeah, definite value on the under. They have the line
Speaker 4: around six and the line is at seven and a half,
Speaker 4: so they're seeing value on the under. But they make
Speaker 4: the Cubs slight favorite, which I find very interesting. The model,
Speaker 4: I guess really likes Stroman to pitch really well. It's
Speaker 4: around three point three to three point two on the score,
Speaker 4: so it's very close. But can dering that the Cubs
Speaker 4: are about a plus one thirty underdog on bet MGM,
Speaker 4: it is showing some value there. I agree with you guys.
Speaker 4: I think Stroman is gonna shove. I think Corbyn Burns
Speaker 4: is gonna shove. I think the best bet in this
Speaker 4: game is the under. And I hopefully are we gonna
Speaker 4: see Javier Asad come out of the bullpen after Shroman
Speaker 4: similar to the BBC. I'd throw.
Speaker 5: That'd be sick.
Speaker 4: I would love to see that.
Speaker 3: Yeah, I I honestly think that. I I don't know.
Speaker 3: I guess I lean Cubs here.
Speaker 4: I do too weird. I think the Cubs have a shot.
Speaker 4: I mean there are home ITT's Wrigglely Field like it's happened,
Speaker 4: and it's like it could be Jacob grow it could
Speaker 4: be Corbin Burns. It kind of doesn't matter. The Cubs
Speaker 4: just win that game and then they lose three straight
Speaker 4: and then they're one to three or something like that.
Speaker 3: I think if you were to power rank the quality
Speaker 3: of baseball at the end of opening Day, the Cubs
Speaker 3: are This Cubs Brewers game is going to be in
Speaker 3: the top three. Like I think the baseball is going
Speaker 3: to be great. Here love this game, So all right,
Speaker 3: three ten, The only first pitch in the three o'clock
Speaker 3: window is at the truck. It's Shane McClanahan getting the ball,
Speaker 3: hoping to regain that cy young form he had in
Speaker 3: the front half of last year against Edward ol Rodriguez,
Speaker 3: who is present unlike the second half of last year.
Speaker 3: So obviously a lot to watch here. Is e Rod
Speaker 3: gonna look sharp? Is McClanahan gonna look great? Apparently he
Speaker 3: added a pitch this offseason? What do you watch?
Speaker 5: I'm watching e Rod here? Like we love the Rays.
Speaker 5: We've talked about how we feel about them as a team,
Speaker 5: and they're they're kind of a team. He had to
Speaker 5: watch over a span of time to really appreciate. I
Speaker 5: just want to see how Erod looks because I think
Speaker 5: he's he's going to be a bounced back candidate this year.
Speaker 5: A lot of the time that he missed last year
Speaker 5: wasn't due to injury, it was due to extenuating circumstances,
Speaker 5: So I think he looks fresh. I really want to
Speaker 5: see how e Rod pitches against a sneaky, tough Rays lineup,
Speaker 5: and I think he's gonna pitch well.
Speaker 3: So that's that's my big focus real quick. I'm really
Speaker 3: going to watch how Torklsen and Green look against McClanahan,
Speaker 3: because he can make it an incredibly uncomfortable couple of
Speaker 3: played appearance for them. If they look comfortable, that immediately
Speaker 3: gives me confidence in them.
Speaker 5: Both of look good the spring. This is a good
Speaker 5: test right away.
Speaker 3: Yeah, test doesn't get harder.
Speaker 4: So bet MGM has the total at six and a
Speaker 4: half and most other books have it at seven already,
Speaker 4: and the model really likes the over at six and
Speaker 4: a half, and they also think it should be a
Speaker 4: closer game than the reflected odds around minus two to twenty.
Speaker 4: On bet mgm, they make the Rays of minus one
Speaker 4: fifty five favorite. They have the Rays winning, but in
Speaker 4: a very close game I could see the Rays getting
Speaker 4: the e rod. But at the same time, I could
Speaker 4: see the Tigers going three runs against McClanahan. Maybe he
Speaker 4: doesn't have the best day on opening Day, but they
Speaker 4: they think runs are going to be scored. They have
Speaker 4: a prediction of about eight runs in this game, making
Speaker 4: the over a decent.
Speaker 5: They don't know what he rods up to yet, they'll see.
Speaker 4: They'll see.
Speaker 3: Do you think a home run against McClanahan, I could
Speaker 3: say tour taking.
Speaker 4: Him deep, But no, I if you had, if I
Speaker 4: had a gun to my head and said, we'll you
Speaker 4: give up a home run, I would say now. But
Speaker 4: I could see Torque maybe putting one out. They brought
Speaker 4: in the fences at Camerica anyway, this is at the trap,
Speaker 4: This is at the troper.
Speaker 3: You also got to stop putting guns to your head, man. Yeah,
Speaker 3: I could see a hobby Bias hobby five hundred feet
Speaker 3: opposite field off McClanahan bucket.
Speaker 5: We'll see it's the third ring and the roof.
Speaker 3: Yes, what do you think arm Yeah?
Speaker 5: I mean I actually I actually think the Tigers give
Speaker 5: them a game. I do agree with that, Like, I
Speaker 5: think they're going to hang in there. But I think
Speaker 5: the Rays where I'm down and that Tiger's bullpins a problem.
Speaker 5: So I'm gonna I'm gonna go raised by one.
Speaker 4: Well, if and Wardo can get to Alex Lang, they're fine.
Speaker 4: It's just before Alex.
Speaker 5: Lange hand it over to Alex Lane.
Speaker 3: How do you feel about will Vest for the seventh tough?
Speaker 3: All right, we're gonna go to Arlington at four oh
Speaker 3: five in a moment. But before that, new partnership with
Speaker 3: so Rare that we got to talk about. And it
Speaker 3: almost combines the collectibles market like card collecting and fantasy
Speaker 3: baseball in this addictive way, you said, but like in
Speaker 3: a healthy addictive way. Are I think it's your new
Speaker 3: favorite thing to do?
Speaker 2: Right?
Speaker 5: Yeah, I already made my lineup. I actually really I
Speaker 5: already know I'm gonna be doing this all year. But
Speaker 5: it's free to enter. The link is in our podcast description.
Speaker 5: And what's cool about it is you get a budget
Speaker 5: of one hundred and twenty points. Obviously, the better the
Speaker 5: player is, the more points he's gonna be. So it
Speaker 5: allows you to be creative and kind of select that team,
Speaker 5: and then you enter a competition for the week. That
Speaker 5: free entry gives you those players that you pick for
Speaker 5: you know, a span of time there, and the better
Speaker 5: they do, the more like XP they accumulate, and then
Speaker 5: they hit different thresholds, so then they're able to give
Speaker 5: you more points in different competitions. So like, if you
Speaker 5: pick a player that's gonna have a really good season,
Speaker 5: like I picked Ronaldacunya, if he has a really good week,
Speaker 5: his card levels up. Now I can enter more difficult
Speaker 5: competitions and then if you really want to upgrade your
Speaker 5: team and pay for it, you can go buy cards.
Speaker 5: But the cool part is it's free to enter and
Speaker 5: you don't have to spend money, which is awesome to
Speaker 5: get started and kind of see how it goes. You
Speaker 5: can win things like merchandise, tickets to games, v IP experiences,
Speaker 5: all this cool stuff. I'm going to be entering one
Speaker 5: every single week, so feel free to like DM me
Speaker 5: and send me your lineups and tell me what you're
Speaker 5: doing and ask me any questions. But I see a
Speaker 5: lot of value in the rookies. Of course, I picked
Speaker 5: Corbyn Carrol and it's kind of based on Fantasy Score,
Speaker 5: so you know, you take that same approach, you build
Speaker 5: a good team, and I feel pretty good about my squad.
Speaker 3: Yeah. So the gist is, you know you've got that budget.
Speaker 3: It's like the table that you see on Twitter or
Speaker 3: Instagram where it's like, hey, you have fifty dollars, you know,
Speaker 3: build this, So you've got that certain budget. I saw
Speaker 3: you went with Otani and then you also complimented with
Speaker 3: like a Mike Massey. Mike Massy cheap, but you think
Speaker 3: he's gonna, you know, collect some base hits and have
Speaker 3: a decent fantasy score. So it's all about balancing it out,
Speaker 3: which is really cool. Link is in our link tree.
Speaker 5: Yeah, and then one last little descriptor on it too,
Speaker 5: like based on how you do in the competition. So
Speaker 5: I answer the Prospect competition because I have all bass cards.
Speaker 5: If I do well in this competition, finish in a
Speaker 5: certain threshold, I get a rare card or like a
Speaker 5: more rare card, which if you have those, you're allowed
Speaker 5: to enter more you know, high stakes quote unquote competitions
Speaker 5: where you can win even in bigger and better prizes,
Speaker 5: so you can kind of climb your way up naturally,
Speaker 5: which is pretty cool too. Join that Prospect competition, see
Speaker 5: if you can beat me. I did get a Kunya
Speaker 5: Otani was was steep, so then I had to go
Speaker 5: more affordable with like Weznski and Corbyn, Carrol and some
Speaker 5: other guys. So it's fun. You got to get creative,
Speaker 5: and I think it's it gives you something to watch
Speaker 5: when you're not watching your favorite team.
Speaker 3: Peter, we play in this week? Or what.
Speaker 4: Am I planning? So rare, yes, Yeah, it's going to
Speaker 4: be a blast. I was sold that it's free and
Speaker 4: I can play Fantasy Baseball for free and then win prizes.
Speaker 4: Click the link in our link tree and you start
Speaker 4: going week by week, you create your team and I'm
Speaker 4: trying to win the whole thing. I'm trying to get
Speaker 4: tickets on a weekly basis, and I can by just
Speaker 4: playing Fantasy Baseball's got season tickets. Basically, it's an absolute
Speaker 4: no brainer to click the download button and play Fantasy
Speaker 4: Baseball with us for free and win prices. It's an
Speaker 4: easy sell here.
Speaker 3: Imagine getting season tickets just because you know ball.
Speaker 4: Yeah like that, tickets just being smarter than you, built
Speaker 4: a little bit different than you. It'll be fun to
Speaker 4: you to compete, right because all fell out of lineup?
Speaker 4: Arm will you will a bunch of people who listen
Speaker 4: to just Baseball Show will be talking lineups. It's gonna
Speaker 4: be a great year, can't wait.
Speaker 3: Yeah, last thing for me, Like obviously we talk about,
Speaker 3: you know, the interface and all that and how easy
Speaker 3: it is to play and the cost of that very
Speaker 3: superficial thing that I want to highlight. It looks really coold,
Speaker 3: is sick, Like the visuals are cool. So yeah, And
Speaker 3: I would.
Speaker 5: Say if you're a high roller too, like and you're like,
Speaker 5: I want to skip the process, you can buy cards
Speaker 5: and financially put your team together and then enter yourself
Speaker 5: into competitions to win. So like I'm looking at a
Speaker 5: at a rare Bryce Harper that's at an auction right
Speaker 5: now for two hundred and seventy one dollars. So like
Speaker 5: there's there's situations though where you could build a card
Speaker 5: up though, buy a player a card of a player
Speaker 5: that you think is gonna ball out, and then if
Speaker 5: he's balling out, you can sell it and actually make
Speaker 5: money off of that too. So there's a lot of
Speaker 5: cool wrinkles to it. You can do free entries, but
Speaker 5: also you can wheel and deal a little bit, So
Speaker 5: there's a lot of layers to it that will never
Speaker 5: allow you to get bored.
Speaker 3: The marketplace with the sprinkle of fantasy baseball, and maybe
Speaker 3: you think about Aaron Nola or Jacob de Gram this
Speaker 3: week four h five at Globe Life. This is a
Speaker 3: pitching matchup that the heavens sent down for us on
Speaker 3: this lovely Thursday afternoon. Nola de Gram in Arlington. The
Speaker 3: thing that I'm watching personally is what does this Phillies
Speaker 3: lineup look like? I have no idea what it's going
Speaker 3: to look like. Is Derek Hall gonna start it first
Speaker 3: on opening day? How are they gonna fill out the
Speaker 3: lineup card? How's Rob Thompson gonna manage this? That's my thing?
Speaker 3: Arm what's yours?
Speaker 5: Yeah? I mean that's that's a big one, right. What
Speaker 5: does Rob Thompson look like with with this lineup? And
Speaker 5: this is gonna be a challenge for him all year
Speaker 5: kind of mixing and matching, especially when Harper comes back.
Speaker 5: This is a big test for a second year manager here,
Speaker 5: a really first full year manager. My thing, though, and
Speaker 5: it's an obvious one, is what does Jacob de Gram
Speaker 5: look like?
Speaker 2: Man?
Speaker 5: I mean that's that's the question, right, is he gonna
Speaker 5: and how much of a leash do they give him,
Speaker 5: not in terms of if he struggles where they leave
Speaker 5: him in. How many pitches does this guy go? If
Speaker 5: they pull him out at seventy five pitches, like, that's
Speaker 5: I don't want to say ominous, but it is kind
Speaker 5: of telling maybe of what they're expecting for him this year,
Speaker 5: or what they're expecting from him in the first half.
Speaker 5: They let him go one hundred pitches, it says, hey,
Speaker 5: we're letting this guy go when we feel good about
Speaker 5: his health. So I'm interested to one see how he
Speaker 5: looks pitching wise, and two how long they let him go.
Speaker 4: If I'm Rob Thompson, I'm putting it Mundo Sosa a third,
Speaker 4: Trey Turner short, Rice and Stadd at second, and Derek
Speaker 4: Call at first. I'm dhing Alec Bohm. I'm putting Schworeburn left,
Speaker 4: Brandon Marshans center, and Nicostianisen right, and then j t
Speaker 4: will Moo to a catcher. That's how I make the lineup.
Speaker 4: If I'm Rob Thompson, what do you guys think?
Speaker 3: I like that a lot. I like so say at third,
Speaker 3: I was thinking maybe Bom at first.
Speaker 5: I was thinking Bom at first too, depending on whether
Speaker 5: he's comfortable there I think it would be fine for him.
Speaker 5: But I like that lineup too.
Speaker 3: Yeah, and I appreciate like not putting a third basement
Speaker 3: at first on opening.
Speaker 5: Day, right, yeah, yeah, wanting him to do this.
Speaker 4: Like might want him to get good at third, right,
Speaker 4: So he's gonna be playing a bunch of third and
Speaker 4: if he never gets better, whatever, he's still gonna hit.
Speaker 4: Weirdly enough, the model is showing slight value on the over.
Speaker 4: They have the line at seven, the line is mostly
Speaker 4: at six and a half. It's an interesting one. I
Speaker 4: could disagree more like, I think this game is going
Speaker 4: way under I think both pitchers are going to have
Speaker 4: a great day here. Hard to think that Jacob de
Speaker 4: gram gives up really anything against this Phillies lineup, and
Speaker 4: then you have Aaron Nola going against the Rangers, both
Speaker 4: good teams on offense. That's maybe why the model likes
Speaker 4: it a little bit more towards the over. They make
Speaker 4: the Phillies and a plus one oh one underdog and
Speaker 4: they have the Rangers at minus one oh one. So
Speaker 4: the Phillies are showing value here. And I do think
Speaker 4: that the Phillies end up winning this game and beating
Speaker 4: Jacob deGrom I.
Speaker 5: Do think it's funny that de gram leaves the division
Speaker 5: and then starts the season with this new team against
Speaker 5: the Phillies. Like, just the way that worked out is
Speaker 5: kind of funny. That he has given every team in
Speaker 5: the National League East fits, but at least it's a
Speaker 5: team that filled with players that have seen him, you know,
Speaker 5: a decent amount.
Speaker 4: And you know what's interesting too, one of the most
Speaker 4: profitable pitchers in Major League Baseball with the past few seasons.
Speaker 4: I'm not sure if this is updated to this season,
Speaker 4: but I know this was something last season that Jacob
Speaker 4: de Grom is the most profitable pitcher to bet against,
Speaker 4: because normally you get like a plus two to sixty
Speaker 4: five money line, So it's not like a guy that
Speaker 4: you know you have to win at a sixty percent rate.
Speaker 4: You win forty percent of those games because remember those
Speaker 4: seasons du Grom would go eleven and ten with the
Speaker 4: Mets and yeah, exactly, like so he's been the most
Speaker 4: profitable pitcher to bet against. So if you see Jagram
Speaker 4: on the Rangers this year, don't think he's just winning
Speaker 4: every game, especially if it's a guy like Aronola with
Speaker 4: a better Phillies team.
Speaker 3: For sure, all right, five first pitches at four to
Speaker 3: ten starting Cincinnati, Mitch Keller and the Pirates visit Hunter
Speaker 3: Green opening day starter and the Cincinnati Reds. Interesting choice.
Speaker 3: I think we're all team Lodolo there. I understand the
Speaker 3: appeal of Green being the opening day starter. H this
Speaker 3: is an interesting one. I guess my eyes are on
Speaker 3: Mitch Keller, like, does he look like an opening day starter?
Speaker 3: Does he look like a starting pitcher in Major League
Speaker 3: Baseball for the Pittsburgh Pirates? And then Green? Can he
Speaker 3: keep the ball in the ballpark? Is my big question.
Speaker 4: One thing about Mitch Keller instituted as sweeper this year.
Speaker 4: He needs a strike up that could be cool for him.
Speaker 4: And he's touching one hundred and thirty miles an hour
Speaker 4: in tread videos apparently yes.
Speaker 3: Well, and he's sinker slider. He implemented a sinker back
Speaker 3: half of last year too, Yeah, which got a lot better.
Speaker 3: So if Mitch Keller is a sinker slider guy with Vilo,
Speaker 3: that could spell good things for him.
Speaker 4: Yeah. I was joking about the h the one hundred
Speaker 4: and thirty mile out of fasketball, but I wasn't joking
Speaker 4: about the sweeper, Like, if he can have wipeout pitches
Speaker 4: like he's still got good stuff like he could he
Speaker 4: could have potentially a breakout year. Who knows, because I
Speaker 4: don't want people to think that I was just joking
Speaker 4: about a sweeper. He did. He did institute at this offseason.
Speaker 3: Yeah, sweeper's play.
Speaker 5: My My thing here is is really just zooming in
Speaker 5: one hundred Green?
Speaker 1: Right.
Speaker 5: I mean he's musty TV when he's on, and he
Speaker 5: was on through six starts to wrap up the season
Speaker 5: last year. Right, it comes back from injury and pitches
Speaker 5: to a one point oh two ERA over thirty five
Speaker 5: and a thirds innings to close out the season, punched
Speaker 5: out fifty one and walk just eight. So not only
Speaker 5: can he keep the ball in the yard, but is
Speaker 5: that Hunter Green that we saw on the second half
Speaker 5: of last year? Is that the new norm? Is that
Speaker 5: what we're gonna get used to here, which we know
Speaker 5: he can be. I think that's why he got the
Speaker 5: opening day nod, was the way he finished last year.
Speaker 5: And also because it's it's a bigger name, right, I
Speaker 5: think you talk to the Cincinnati fans, the Hunter Green
Speaker 5: face is more familiar just because of what he has
Speaker 5: been since he was a prospect. And just being that
Speaker 5: kind of generational talent with the arm. But yeah, that's
Speaker 5: my number one thing I'm looking at is does he
Speaker 5: look like that guy that had a one point oh
Speaker 5: two ERA over his last six starts last year.
Speaker 4: The line is exactly what it should be. The Reds
Speaker 4: are around a minus one thirty favorite on bet MGM,
Speaker 4: and that's what the model has it as they have
Speaker 4: a pretty solid lean towards the under. They handicapped the
Speaker 4: gamer around seven and a half while the current line
Speaker 4: is eight and a half. But it is in Great
Speaker 4: American Ballpark, which they do account for. So I find
Speaker 4: it pretty interesting that they like the under here, but
Speaker 4: I do like the Reds to win. That would be
Speaker 4: my favorite bet in this hot entire game.
Speaker 3: I assume they like Mitch Keller to keep the ball
Speaker 3: on the ground often, and I think that they certainly
Speaker 3: placed some value on Hunter Green carrying a no hitter
Speaker 3: into the ninth ten aggains.
Speaker 4: They love Hunter Green. They're projecting Hunter Green as the
Speaker 4: second most strikeouts of any picture on opening day, so
Speaker 4: that could change, right Maybe the model changes the morning
Speaker 4: when they find out a new lineup. This is without
Speaker 4: projected lineup, so's it's These aren't perfect projections obviously until
Speaker 4: opening day when the lineups come out.
Speaker 5: Worth noting too. It's a fresh Hunter Green, right, you know.
Speaker 5: My concern is how does he look in July with
Speaker 5: with some of the arm issues that he's had. This
Speaker 5: fresh Hunter Green should be pretty good. But I kind
Speaker 5: of like the value of the Pirates. I think the
Speaker 5: Pirates could could surprise and and beat them here. I mean,
Speaker 5: especially having the groundball guy on your side here. If
Speaker 5: they ambush a couple of Green fastballs, that could be
Speaker 5: the difference.
Speaker 3: Yep, all right, four to ten In San Diego, one
Speaker 3: ten Pacific, Blake Snell gets the ball for the Padres
Speaker 3: against Herman Marquez and the color Ronald Rockies. The thing
Speaker 3: that I'm watching, or thing that I'm listening to, is
Speaker 3: to see if Don Orcillo has a voice by the ninth,
Speaker 3: because I think it may be bombs away and he
Speaker 3: may just be screaming in front of a sellout crowd
Speaker 3: in San Diego. Might be sellout number one of eighty
Speaker 3: one this year at Petco Park.
Speaker 5: Oh yeah, that's probably my number one thing to watch.
Speaker 5: What does the environment look like? They were making headlines
Speaker 5: just with like their fan fests and all the different
Speaker 5: little things that they were doing in the off season.
Speaker 5: I mean, the Padres are doing it right. And I'm
Speaker 5: not saying every organization needs to vest a billion dollars
Speaker 5: into their team, but invest into their team that always helps,
Speaker 5: and we're seeing the Padres reap the rewards there with
Speaker 5: the interest. I think there's probably has not been more
Speaker 5: excitement around the Padres maybe ever than there is going
Speaker 5: into this season, which is really really fun. So I'm
Speaker 5: excited to see that. I'm musty TV is is Jerks
Speaker 5: and Profar's debut as a Rocky. I'm just really pumped
Speaker 5: to see how he looks, you know, in that jersey
Speaker 5: and a healthy Chris Bryant. But realistically it's it's again
Speaker 5: like there's a lot of polarizing pitchers. I guess in
Speaker 5: terms of their performance, Blake Snell is as much of
Speaker 5: an up and down guy as we've seen. How does
Speaker 5: Blake Snell look? That's kind of the most interesting thing
Speaker 5: to me.
Speaker 4: Yeah, it's not often that the ballpark pal model when
Speaker 4: you have a minus two hundred favorite, they actually think
Speaker 4: that's undervalued normally though towards the underdog in a game
Speaker 4: like this, but they make the line minus two twenty
Speaker 4: five when it is minus two hundred, they give the
Speaker 4: Padres a seventy percent chance to win the biggest of
Speaker 4: any game so far, and they have the Padres scoring
Speaker 4: the second most runs of any team, even though we're
Speaker 4: in Petco, which is primarily a pitchers park. News flash,
Speaker 4: they do not like Hermon Marquez. They think the total
Speaker 4: is pretty accurate, but they have the Padres really steamrolling them.
Speaker 3: Okay, fair, Yeah, that's also going to happen.
Speaker 4: Yeah, But what I will say though, a lot of
Speaker 4: rities in that Rockies up against the lefty like Blake Snell.
Speaker 4: Maybe they get to him a little bit, but I
Speaker 4: just think the Potters bats are going to be too
Speaker 4: much for Herman Marquez.
Speaker 5: Yeah.
Speaker 3: The only guy that I truly feel like an outclass
Speaker 3: Blake Snell when he's on is Chris Bryant in that lineup.
Speaker 3: So yeah, there are a lot of righties, but like
Speaker 3: Snell's a really good lefty and those bats are not
Speaker 3: really good righties.
Speaker 4: And when Colorado's away from home, the model is going
Speaker 4: to say fade them game. So horrible road team, good
Speaker 4: home team, horrific road team. Yeah.
Speaker 3: Also, at four to ten in the Midwest. Alec Manoa
Speaker 3: gets the ball in Saint Louis against Miles Michaelis. This
Speaker 3: is Jay's Cardinals. I like this match up a lot
Speaker 3: Wayno was obviously supposed to be the opening day starter.
Speaker 3: He had a groin strain, so he is not doing this.
Speaker 3: They have the better pitcher on the mound imo in Michaelis,
Speaker 3: so I think that this can be a pitcher's duel.
Speaker 3: We'll see what Manoa looks like. We'll see if the
Speaker 3: lowercase X comes into play for Alec Manoa.
Speaker 5: Yeah, this is as good of a test as you're
Speaker 5: going to get, you know, in game one lineup that
Speaker 5: will wear you down. So this could be a really
Speaker 5: big statement game for Manoa. I'm also really just excited
Speaker 5: to see what this Blue Jays lineup looks like as
Speaker 5: a whole. It's a test for michaelas man and I'm
Speaker 5: just excited to see the defense in the outfield. I
Speaker 5: hope we get some like gappers, some diving plays and
Speaker 5: stuff like that, because I think that the Blue Jays
Speaker 5: are going to be regulars on Sports Center Top ten
Speaker 5: with that outfield. I mean, Springer is a human highlight reel.
Speaker 5: Kir Meyer is the highlight reel and then Varshow is
Speaker 5: special as well, So I'm looking forward to that.
Speaker 4: This was one of my favorite bets is on the Cardinals,
Speaker 4: and I was already looking at this game because I
Speaker 4: thought to myself, how why would the Cardinals be plus
Speaker 4: one ten at home on opening Day? Considering that both
Speaker 4: are ground ball pitchers, but the Cardinals have the better defense.
Speaker 4: I think you could make the argument that the Cardinals
Speaker 4: have the better lineup and considering Manoa's potential issues, and
Speaker 4: the model agrees. They have the Cardinals as minus one
Speaker 4: forty favorites instead of a plus one oh five plus
Speaker 4: one ten underdog, and they think the total is pretty
Speaker 4: spot on. I'm more than likely going to be on
Speaker 4: the Cardinals as a dog here. It's it reminds me
Speaker 4: of the Brewers Cubs game, where you have Wrigley Opening
Speaker 4: Day in front of those fans with the perceived worst
Speaker 4: starting pitcher, so you're getting value on the team at home.
Speaker 4: I think the Cardinals are the play here. I think
Speaker 4: they beat the Blue Jays on opening Day?
Speaker 3: What do you think, arm.
Speaker 5: I mean, that's it's it's a good take there, I hear,
Speaker 5: I hear you on that. And then I have that
Speaker 5: other devil on the other shoulder that's like similar thing
Speaker 5: to Strowman. It's like Manoa's kind of like built for that,
Speaker 5: you know, like he's got so like just lazy, not
Speaker 5: good analysis of just like Manoa has the dog in him.
Speaker 5: Like I watched the video of like them letting the
Speaker 5: Blue Jays letting, you know, letting Manoa know that he's
Speaker 5: a the next starter. You can tell how bad he
Speaker 5: wanted it, like it doesn't mean everything all the time.
Speaker 5: I want it really bad too, But if I went
Speaker 5: out there, I'd give up forty bombs. So, like you know,
Speaker 5: it is gonna be interesting to see. But I think
Speaker 5: Manoa's I think manoah hears the regression talk to like,
Speaker 5: I think he hears that. He strikes me as a
Speaker 5: guy that pays attention to what people are saying. He's
Speaker 5: replied a few times to people, you know, So I
Speaker 5: think he's gonna come out there with a chip on
Speaker 5: his shoulder. But that might not matter given how good
Speaker 5: this Cardinals offense is.
Speaker 4: Uh.
Speaker 5: I think the Cardinals win opening Day at home. I
Speaker 5: don't think Manoa pitches badly though, I don't think it's
Speaker 5: I just think they wear him down. And I think
Speaker 5: Michaelis is a good arm like I thought he was
Speaker 5: good in the WBC, and the bullpen's fantastic rested, and
Speaker 5: they're gonna want to win that first game. So I
Speaker 5: go Cardinals. I agree with Peter.
Speaker 3: I like Jordan Walker to double in his MLB debut,
Speaker 3: and I like the Cardinals to win.
Speaker 5: And then everyone's gonna be going knots MVP. MVP's on
Speaker 5: the table here for for Jordan Walker after he starts
Speaker 5: one for three and then goes oh for his next twenty,
Speaker 5: and then it's gonna be he's a bust and he
Speaker 5: hits again. That's my prediction.
Speaker 3: Yes, So I think that we're going to be drinking
Speaker 3: the Jordan Walker kool aid by this point today or tomorrow,
Speaker 3: I guess, all right. Kansas City also a four to
Speaker 3: ten first pitch. Zach Granke gets the ball against Pablo
Speaker 3: Lopez uh in the Minnesota Twins. I guess the thing
Speaker 3: that I'm watching is how often he shakes off pitch
Speaker 3: com I don't know. He's a goofy guy, that's Zach Grankey.
Speaker 5: Yeah. How how weird is Zach grank going to be?
Speaker 5: How slow is he going to throw. And then honestly,
Speaker 5: I'm really interested to see how this Twins lineup looks
Speaker 5: because I still don't know what they're gonna like, how
Speaker 5: exactly they're going to deploy it. Like, there's a lot
Speaker 5: of different ways that they can mix and match here,
Speaker 5: especially with the outfield, even even in the infield at
Speaker 5: first base. Uh, there's a bunch of different things that
Speaker 5: they can do. So I'm interested to see how how
Speaker 5: the lineup looks opening day, you know, even substitutions, how
Speaker 5: they handle that, and then how what weird shit Granky
Speaker 5: is going to do?
Speaker 3: So what's my gripe with the Twins? They might strike
Speaker 3: out all the time this year, they're facing a guy
Speaker 3: that might k five guys per nine, So we'll see
Speaker 3: them put the ball in play, which will be really interesting.
Speaker 3: And that's probably why, without thinking and without looking at
Speaker 3: any other analytics, I just go Minnesota to win this.
Speaker 4: I was looking at the Royals ultimately to win this
Speaker 4: game at the beginning because I saw a very sketchy line.
Speaker 4: I thought, well, the Royals are plus one ten at
Speaker 4: home with Zach Grinky against Pablo Lopez. And then I
Speaker 4: thought to myself, Zach Grinky is a home type pitcher,
Speaker 4: loves pitching at home. Now he's back in Kansas City,
Speaker 4: I would actually I think I might end up betting
Speaker 4: on the Royals, considering the model makes them a minus
Speaker 4: one twenty favorite instead of plus one twenty five, which
Speaker 4: you might find on BETMGM. I think the Twins they
Speaker 4: might miss Luisa Rise for a little bit. You know,
Speaker 4: he was a huge table setter for them, and I
Speaker 4: think it's going to be interesting to see who plugs
Speaker 4: that hole. I do love Jose Miranda. I drafted him
Speaker 4: in Fantasy Baseball. I'm probably gonna draft him so rare
Speaker 4: because I think he has a good week. But I
Speaker 4: think it's very similar to the Cardinals game or the
Speaker 4: Cubs game, where the underdog at home with the veteran
Speaker 4: pitcher end up winning out. Will Zach Crinky have a
Speaker 4: good start next game? Probably not, because he'll probably be
Speaker 4: on the road and he'll probably be tired. But in
Speaker 4: this game, opening day, returning home to Kansas City, I
Speaker 4: like that narrative. I assume a lot of people are
Speaker 4: gonna pile on the Twins because I think it's just
Speaker 4: the better team and they are the better team. But
Speaker 4: I think on Opening Day. Gave me the Royals.
Speaker 3: That's what I did.
Speaker 5: The Royals. Man, I have no idea what to expect
Speaker 5: from Grankay in this game. He just backs his way
Speaker 5: into six innings two runs though, So I'm looking forward
Speaker 5: to seeing that.
Speaker 3: All Right, you're gonna be at this one. Max Schuers
Speaker 3: are in Sandy, ALCNTRA. That is Mets Marlins. Holy shit,
Speaker 3: the testosterone that's.
Speaker 4: Going to be Att likes the model, likes arms Marlins.
Speaker 5: I don't, I know. I know Sandy's been fantastic at home,
Speaker 5: but the Mets were one of the teams kind of
Speaker 5: warre him down last year.
Speaker 4: So he made against the Mets, so he you know,
Speaker 4: he threw twenty seven innings and he but I agree
Speaker 4: with you he had some rough starts, but I think
Speaker 4: most of those are at City.
Speaker 5: That's fair. So I'm really interested to see how Sandy looks.
Speaker 5: My number one thing I'm watching is what the fuck
Speaker 5: does this Marlins defense look like? Ye? Like, how bad
Speaker 5: is it going to be?
Speaker 2: Like?
Speaker 5: I want to just see Jazz Chisholm in center. I
Speaker 5: want to see Arias at second though he's been fine,
Speaker 5: but I just I just want to see, like I
Speaker 5: want to see a Joey Wendel to Aria's double play.
Speaker 5: What the hell does that look like? So, like, that's
Speaker 5: what I'm looking at, is this Marlin's defense. Fortunately, Sandy's
Speaker 5: a ground ball pitcher, but someone's going to hit a
Speaker 5: fly ball probably at some point, and I want to
Speaker 5: see how jazz Chislm looks out there. So the defense
Speaker 5: should be an adventure and I'm looking forward to that.
Speaker 5: But then also, you're seeing a Hall of Famer against
Speaker 5: the reigning sign young winner, and like, what what else
Speaker 5: could you ask for from an opening day matchup?
Speaker 3: Yeah, I can't wait for the dance dance revolution the
Speaker 3: jazz Chishm's going to do on just a flyball.
Speaker 5: Right to him, it's it's it's gonna be He's gonna
Speaker 5: need a map.
Speaker 2: Yeah.
Speaker 4: So the model model likes the Marlins, and they do
Speaker 4: pull data from spring training, but I don't think they've
Speaker 4: properly accounted for what the defense is going to look
Speaker 4: like opening day with a guy like Sandy whose job
Speaker 4: is not to strike out everybody under the sun, but
Speaker 4: it's to allow soft contact, put the ball in play,
Speaker 4: lower the pitch count. So it does have the Marlins
Speaker 4: as a slight favorite at minus one oh five compared
Speaker 4: to plus one ten on bet MGM, and they think
Speaker 4: the total is pretty spot on. So in my opinion,
Speaker 4: this is an absolute no bet for me. But Arm's
Speaker 4: gonna be there. It's Opening Day. Give me the Marlins
Speaker 4: to win the game. Well, I bet on it, no
Speaker 4: Am by rooting for Arms Marlins. Absolutely, I'll take it.
Speaker 3: I told you there's something in the water in South Florida.
Speaker 3: Right now, You've got what Thursday, Opening Day, and then
Speaker 3: you've got Saturday Final four with Fau and Miami.
Speaker 5: I'm so excited. I'm so excited for Miami.
Speaker 4: I am slightly afraid though, for that bad man in
Speaker 4: New York. Max sures there could just end up that's
Speaker 4: great dominating you can, definitely, but.
Speaker 3: Then you hand it over to to who Attavino, David.
Speaker 4: Robertson, Drew Smith. You guys see what happened to Montes
Speaker 4: de Oca.
Speaker 3: Now elbow strange. I think surgery, yeah, I think so. Yeah.
Speaker 3: I just don't think the human body is built to
Speaker 3: throw one oh two with that kind of run, like
Speaker 3: we see Jordan hook Hicks on the I L all
Speaker 3: the time. Obviously de Gram's on the IL all the time.
Speaker 3: All right, one seven to eight, first pitch and this
Speaker 3: is crazy. Dylan Cees coming off of a Cy Young
Speaker 3: runner up finish in Houston against from ber Valdez and
Speaker 3: the Astros. I want to watch every pitch of this game.
Speaker 3: And I mean I I guess like if I were
Speaker 3: a betting man, it would be it would be the
Speaker 3: under through the first five, right, Like I think we're
Speaker 3: going into the seventh inning scoreless, Like these two are
Speaker 3: going to dude off each other.
Speaker 5: Yeah, I'm with you. This is this is appointment television.
Speaker 5: I picked Cease to win the al Cy Young and honestly,
Speaker 5: one of the other names I was looking at value
Speaker 5: as was Franmbur Valdez. So these are two of probably
Speaker 5: my five favorite picks for Cy Young in the American League.
Speaker 5: And I think that that Valdez is going to be
Speaker 5: a big test for some of these guys. My number
Speaker 5: one thing I want to watch though, is how does
Speaker 5: Oscar coloss look. He's a guy that really earned the
Speaker 5: job from what he did at the end of last
Speaker 5: year and what he did in spring training, but how
Speaker 5: does he look for this lineup? And also just seeing
Speaker 5: a healthy White Sox team like we rarely get to
Speaker 5: see this whole lineup together. I'm excited to see what
Speaker 5: that looks like and how long it lasts. And over
Speaker 5: the last.
Speaker 3: Couple of years, this White Sox lineup has fared well
Speaker 3: against left handed pitching. Tim Anderson mashed his lefties. Luis
Speaker 3: Robert can mash lefties when he's healthy. Obviously you're missing
Speaker 3: jose Bray you, now, I guess that's the thing I'm watching.
Speaker 3: Jose A Bray you in a different uniform is going
Speaker 3: to be really weird. Yeah.
Speaker 4: Yeah, And you got Eloy, and you got Andrew Vah.
Speaker 4: You got a couple of ariety mashers in that White
Speaker 4: Sox lineup. I love games like this, appointment television games
Speaker 4: where the books got it completely right according to the model.
Speaker 4: At least they make the ashos of minus one forty
Speaker 4: five favorite they are currently minus one fifty on vet MGM,
Speaker 4: and they make the total seven point two and the
Speaker 4: over under is seven. So they got it. You know,
Speaker 4: the books got it. And this is just going to
Speaker 4: be a game that you probably shouldn't bet at all
Speaker 4: because at least the models showing no value. I agree
Speaker 4: with Jack's point, though, if you're gonna take a play,
Speaker 4: maybe look at the under with these great pitchers. But overall,
Speaker 4: this is just calling for a great game that's handicapped correctly.
Speaker 4: It's going to be a blast. Also, you got entirely
Speaker 4: rested bullpens, and we know that these two bullpens are
Speaker 4: some of the best in baseball. The White Socks are
Speaker 4: still a really good bullpen even without Liam Hendrix. And
Speaker 4: you know, I can just imagine Fromber for six, Montero
Speaker 4: for the seventh, Brian Abray you for the eighth, pressing
Speaker 4: for the ninth. I was about to say that if
Speaker 4: the White Sox get if the White Sox allow Framer
Speaker 4: to go six, maybe one or two earn and then
Speaker 4: they go Montero, Brave Presley, the game's over.
Speaker 3: Games over.
Speaker 5: When do you score?
Speaker 4: I don't know. You gotta figure it out against Yeah.
Speaker 3: Like three days later, Like I guess, I don't even
Speaker 3: know if they're gonna see her Katie, so I guess
Speaker 3: you won't. Yeah, really weird? All right, three more to go.
Speaker 3: These are all ten o'clock ish first pitches. Ten oh seven.
Speaker 3: The ball will leave Kyle Muller's left fingertips against the
Speaker 3: La Angels. Shoho Tani gets the ball for the Angels.
Speaker 3: One of these pitchers is a lot better than the other.
Speaker 5: Yeah, I mean I hope Otani can rise to the
Speaker 5: occasion and match Kyle Moller, But no, I really do
Speaker 5: feel like this is a big test for Moler, obviously
Speaker 5: given how bad he was this spring. I like Kyle
Speaker 5: Muller the pitcher like in the prospect, but like man,
Speaker 5: he looked rough this spring training. Now you get thrown
Speaker 5: into a situation where you gotta face shoe heo Tani
Speaker 5: like trouting in a more fortified lineup around them. I
Speaker 5: am very intrigued to see how Kyle Mower fares in
Speaker 5: this in this matchup here real quick.
Speaker 3: Peter's been smirking the whole time, so I think he's
Speaker 3: going to tell us that there might be some sort
Speaker 3: of value on the Oakland Athletics.
Speaker 4: Not only is their value on the athletics, the model
Speaker 4: makes them a favorite. What minus one oh nine?
Speaker 3: No?
Speaker 4: No, Yeah, So if the Angels win tomorrow eight to two,
Speaker 4: maybe you got to look at the model and say, well,
Speaker 4: it can't be the end all be all, But if
Speaker 4: the A's win, you should definitely keep looking at this model.
Speaker 4: They love the under like love the under. They make
Speaker 4: the total five and a half when it's at seven.
Speaker 4: They think Mueller's going to pitch really well against the Angels.
Speaker 4: I'm not saying it's gonna happen, but considering the A's
Speaker 4: are plus two hundred on the money line, they're giving
Speaker 4: them a fifty two percent chance to win. The implied
Speaker 4: probability of an of A plus two hundred is around,
Speaker 4: you know, forty ish percent. So they see in this
Speaker 4: game the most value in any game on the A's
Speaker 4: money line, and Otani has had a history of going
Speaker 4: into Oakland and not performing like you might think. I'm
Speaker 4: not saying bet on the A's, but what I am
Speaker 4: saying is I wouldn't bet on the Angels.
Speaker 5: I think we need to put Ballpark Palin Rice's.
Speaker 4: Hey, don't knock it until the game happens and it's
Speaker 4: Otani gets the A's, everyone should make money and it's
Speaker 4: going to be amazing. But we know that's not how
Speaker 4: betting works. But again, Angels could just crush them, and
Speaker 4: the model could be really liking Kyle Muller. They really
Speaker 4: like the under so well, it's wild.
Speaker 3: I really like Kyle Muller, but I think the Angels
Speaker 3: are going to win this game, and that's my only analysis.
Speaker 4: That's fair, that's fair. You're taking the better team.
Speaker 3: Good for you, all right, how about Arizona and the Dodgers.
Speaker 3: Julio Rias gets the ball for La Zach Gallan gets
Speaker 3: the ball for Arizona. I mean, I would say that
Speaker 3: this is the late game to watch, although I'm saving
Speaker 3: the best for last year.
Speaker 5: Yeah, I'm just I'm just excited to watch the youngsters
Speaker 5: in this game. Right, you got you got Miguel Vargas
Speaker 5: with the Dodgers, hopefully James Outman with the Dodgers, and
Speaker 5: then you know on the on the d back side,
Speaker 5: it's it's Corp and Carroll, who I love to watch
Speaker 5: any chance I get. I was hoping Moreno would be healthy,
Speaker 5: but I don't think he'll be good to go, which
Speaker 5: is unfortunate. But there's plenty of other youngsters, so I
Speaker 5: think it'll be fun to watch, how Thomas. So I'm
Speaker 5: just excited to watch the young players in this matchup.
Speaker 5: And then this pitching matchup is is one of the
Speaker 5: better that you're gonna see too, between Gallan and Arrias,
Speaker 5: so good balance of young talent. But I also want
Speaker 5: to see what this Dodgers lineup looks like, because I
Speaker 5: don't think we totally know how they're going to put
Speaker 5: it all together. Whether Outman's gonna get the start, I
Speaker 5: think he's earned it, but you know, there's gonna be
Speaker 5: a little bit more information on the Dodgers. And I'm
Speaker 5: also just I always love seeing prospects anytime I can
Speaker 5: at the big league level.
Speaker 4: Yeah, the bet MGM makes the Dodgers of minus one
Speaker 4: seventy five favorite, but the model is making the Dodgers
Speaker 4: of minus one thirty three favorites, So there's technically some
Speaker 4: value there on the Dumbacks, but the model still likes
Speaker 4: the Dodgers to win. I'm just really excited to see
Speaker 4: Zach Gallan. I think he could turn in a Cy
Speaker 4: Young type season, and maybe it starts here against the Dodgers.
Speaker 4: But the total is at seven and a half on
Speaker 4: bet MGM, and that's what they make the total, So
Speaker 4: not a ton of value on this game. Give me
Speaker 4: the Dodgers to ultimately win out in a lot of
Speaker 4: games like this when they got that bad man Julio
Speaker 4: rees on the mound.
Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm curious to know what the Dodgers opening day
Speaker 3: lineup looks like, you know what outfielders are going to start?
Speaker 3: You know what I mean, I'm just curious.
Speaker 5: That's my big thing.
Speaker 4: Yeah, so Hayward goes three for three, three bombs, the
Speaker 4: season is so hot the fuck up, that'll be the
Speaker 4: best thing ever.
Speaker 3: Yes, absolutely, are we like a Jason Hayward Truther pod now?
Speaker 4: Like I want that to be our guy. I would
Speaker 4: love nothing more than for him to have a great season.
Speaker 4: It's him and Christian Yelich, like two guys I am
Speaker 4: praying have a great season.
Speaker 5: You know, I'm with you on Yelich. I mean, that's
Speaker 5: that's a guy I love to watch play. I got
Speaker 5: one more for you, though, somebody that that I think
Speaker 5: we need. I'm a truther now and I think I
Speaker 5: think we need to start to get this out there.
Speaker 5: Forrest Whitley might be back.
Speaker 3: Oh wow, okay, yeah tell me why.
Speaker 5: Yeah. I also like watched each of the different pitches,
Speaker 5: saw the data on it. The change up is has
Speaker 5: always been the elite. The fastball is jumping, he is a
Speaker 5: cutter at ninety to ninety two, and then this disgusting
Speaker 5: sweeping curve he struck out Jordan Bregman, and I believe
Speaker 5: he struck out somebody else, like one of the other
Speaker 5: man guys like that he carved through the interest squad.
Speaker 5: I think he's back. It's about health. I don't know
Speaker 5: if he stays healthy, but I wouldn't be surprised if
Speaker 5: he gives them some good innings. This here at the
Speaker 5: Bigigel Love. I can't believe I'm saying it, like I'm floored.
Speaker 5: I was sitting in my bed watching the video looking
Speaker 5: at it, like what the fuck is happening? But I
Speaker 5: think it's happening.
Speaker 4: Good for him, man, that's awesome, all right.
Speaker 3: It tells you exactly who arm is because I was
Speaker 3: gonna throw at Chris Sale is another guy that I'm
Speaker 3: all the way in on bouncing back, but then he
Speaker 3: gave me Forrest Whitley, Like, so our list is Our
Speaker 3: list is Christian Yelich, Chris Sale, Jason Hayward, and Forrest Whitley.
Speaker 4: Just a bunch of guys.
Speaker 3: We hope we're hold fine. Twenty one was pretty Carlton.
Speaker 3: We kind of nailed that one, nailed.
Speaker 5: I'm buying Whitley stock right now.
Speaker 4: You know who else is on that Twenty twenty one
Speaker 4: list was Breddy, Jonathan India.
Speaker 3: Walin who was all right best for last, Cleveland and Seattle,
Speaker 3: Shane Bieber and Luis Castillo at ten ten Eastern. I'm
Speaker 3: not going to miss a pitch of this one, Like
Speaker 3: I don't think that late inning drama from White Sox
Speaker 3: Astros would keep me from missing the first pitch from
Speaker 3: He's Casteele against this Guardian's lineup.
Speaker 5: Yeah, the new nine figure man and it's nine figures, right,
Speaker 5: I always I always question that when I say it,
Speaker 5: And yeah, the new nine figure Man and Andre Simonez
Speaker 5: this Guardian's lineup. I'm just excited to see, you know,
Speaker 5: how much better it can be with Josh belling there
Speaker 5: and and you know see if Will Brennan's getting consistent
Speaker 5: abs and everything like that. The Tristan McKenzie blow really stinks.
Speaker 5: But then then we got a new face, you know,
Speaker 5: with the Mariners in taoscar and I'm excited to see
Speaker 5: how he looks over there with them too. So two
Speaker 5: lineups with some some underrated editions and I'm excited to see.
Speaker 5: And then you got two of the best duking it out.
Speaker 5: Like that's what's opening, that's what's all about. Here with
Speaker 5: Opening Day.
Speaker 4: Yeah, this is besides White Sox versus Astros. I think
Speaker 4: this is my favorite game on the board. The model
Speaker 4: is showing that the Mariner should be minus one thirty
Speaker 4: five instead of minus one fifteen, which they are on
Speaker 4: at MGM, So they're giving them Mariners a better shot
Speaker 4: to win this one, and they think the total is
Speaker 4: pretty spot on. They have it at six and a
Speaker 4: half and they posted totals six and a half. I
Speaker 4: lean towards the under. I think these two guys are
Speaker 4: going to shove, especially at Team Mobile, which is a
Speaker 4: big pitcher's park, and the weather is supposed to be
Speaker 4: pretty cold down there in Seattle. I think both these
Speaker 4: guys are going to turn in excellent outings. Then both
Speaker 4: excellent bullpens are going to come in. After the model
Speaker 4: has the Mariners winning three point six three point one seven,
Speaker 4: I think the Mariners end up winning three to two
Speaker 4: in a really good game.
Speaker 3: Cool. Yeah, I think this environment is going to be crazy,
Speaker 3: and I think the Mariners fans are finally ready to
Speaker 3: have a team that looks like they are, you know,
Speaker 3: a postseason likelihood instead of a postseason hopeful like they
Speaker 3: were last year. And it was a surprise in twenty one.
Speaker 3: So I think that this is the first time in
Speaker 3: a long time that Mariners fans can actually look at
Speaker 3: this team and say, we can be really, really good yea,
Speaker 3: And I think that means sellout and loud tenth Man.
Speaker 5: Forget the twelfth Man, you get the tenth Man. I
Speaker 5: actually do think it's gonna be some of the better
Speaker 5: environments we've seen in Seattle, and I like Seattle to
Speaker 5: win this one too.
Speaker 3: Happy opening Day people.
Speaker 4: The last thing I think we should do because we
Speaker 4: didn't do it on our division previews, and we didn't
Speaker 4: do it on over unders. We haven't picked a World
Speaker 4: Series champion, which I think is a fun thing to
Speaker 4: do at the beginning of the season.
Speaker 3: I'll start.
Speaker 4: I like the Mariners taking on the Braves. I think
Speaker 4: this is the Mariners year. I think they have no
Speaker 4: real fundamental weaknesses. You could say Jared Kellnick, but he's
Speaker 4: had a great spring training, and then of course if
Speaker 4: he falters, then you have aj Pollock to sub in
Speaker 4: for him. I love the pitching staff, I love the bullpen,
Speaker 4: and I think the Mariners were really close last year
Speaker 4: against the Ashos, and I think they get over the
Speaker 4: hill this year and end up making the World Series
Speaker 4: and facing off against the Braves, who I think has
Speaker 4: the most complete team in all of Major League Baseball.
Speaker 4: They're always in it, and I think they're going to
Speaker 4: win the division, and I have the Mariners ultimately beating
Speaker 4: the Atlanta Braves the underdog story. Give me the Mariners
Speaker 4: to win the World Series.
Speaker 3: Ever, that would be sick.
Speaker 5: I'd be so in on that prediction on them. I
Speaker 5: wasn't prepared for that. Uh, I'm gonna I think, honestly,
Speaker 5: I think the Astros repeat for it would be the
Speaker 5: first time anybody repeats since the Yankees in two thousand,
Speaker 5: right would that be what it was nine and two thousand.
Speaker 5: I think we're gonna get to me. There's just very
Speaker 5: clear cut. I think the Astros are are going to
Speaker 5: find a way to be the best team, especially when
Speaker 5: now two big It comes back and probably make a
Speaker 5: move or two and then I find it really tough
Speaker 5: to find a team in the National League that is
Speaker 5: better than the Atlanta Braves. So it might be like
Speaker 5: a kind of a square pick, but I think it's
Speaker 5: Braves Astros. I just think they're far and away better
Speaker 5: than a lot of these other teams and have a
Speaker 5: lot more going for them depth wise. And again, if
Speaker 5: the Braves are are struggling at shortstop, they'll they'll trade
Speaker 5: for a guy. They've got so much pitching depth they
Speaker 5: can go move Grisome in a package to get a
Speaker 5: more stat shortstops. So I think Braves, astros, these front
Speaker 5: offices are fantastic and the teams are great.
Speaker 4: Who knows, maybe if the Brewers struggle initially, that Willie
Speaker 4: Damas could be a.
Speaker 5: Oh then it's Gg's it's over, It's over, It's.
Speaker 3: It might not happen, but just an idea other one
Speaker 3: or I guess mine. I guess I'm going kind of
Speaker 3: off the you know, set path in the National League
Speaker 3: because you guys both just went Atlanta San Diego coming
Speaker 3: out of the National League. I think that there might
Speaker 3: be a direct correlation between spending a lot of money
Speaker 3: on stars and winning this year.
Speaker 5: I think there tends to be.
Speaker 3: Yeah, So I think that that rotation, especially in the postseason,
Speaker 3: might show up like a Musgrove Darvish Snell front three
Speaker 3: is going to be really hard to beat. I think
Speaker 3: they have back end bullpen talent and obviously star power
Speaker 3: drives a narrative in the postseason. So I will go
Speaker 3: San Diego in Houston, matching up of the World Series,
Speaker 3: and I just think Houston's the best team in baseball,
Speaker 3: So I go.
Speaker 5: And Prowler has a new trade chip. Ethan Sallas sixteen
Speaker 5: has been turning it up on the backfield. A lot
Speaker 5: of teams will be aligning number his services between him, Jackson, Merrill,
Speaker 5: Samuel Zavalla. All of a sudden, they've got two top
Speaker 5: one hundred guys. Another guy knocking on the door like
Speaker 5: they've got enough to make a move, and Probaber will
Speaker 5: probably do it.
Speaker 4: And arm are you taking the Ashros over the Braves
Speaker 4: or Braves over Ashros?
Speaker 5: I'm taking Astros over the Braves. I think they repeat
Speaker 5: for the first time since the Yankees in two thousand.
Speaker 4: Let's go. It's gonna be a fun season, guys, can't wait.
Speaker 3: I'm happy Opening Day.
Speaker 4: Happy Opening Day everybody, and make sure to get your
Speaker 4: Just Baseball March in time for Opening Day. That link
Speaker 4: is in our episode description. Definitely make sure to use
Speaker 4: bet MGM for all of your bets for the twenty
Speaker 4: twenty three MLB season. And something really exciting that we
Speaker 4: are launching is the Not Gambling Advice betting stream, which
Speaker 4: will be on opening day from one to three pm Eastern.
Speaker 4: So maybe while you're listening to this, uh, the link
Speaker 4: on Twitch is at Just Baseball Fans. That's gonna be
Speaker 4: a blast. Welcome on Arum. Colby Thomas Romo, our new
Speaker 4: Ashos writer, is going to be a contributor on that
Speaker 4: as well, and a slew of other contributors on Twitter
Speaker 4: Action Network book It with Sports, tons of other gambling companies.
Speaker 4: We're going to be competing. The winner gets World Series tickets,
Speaker 4: so make sure to tune in to that betting stream
Speaker 4: as well as all the other podcasts on the Just
Speaker 4: Baseball Network.
Speaker 5: Arm you got something, Yeah, these betting guys are going
Speaker 5: to be in shambles when when my square, my square
Speaker 5: betting ass beats them. Also, if I win, the World Series,
Speaker 5: tickets will just go to Just Baseball Show listener or something,
Speaker 5: so so root for me please. I don't know what
Speaker 5: I'm doing when it comes to units, but I'm going
Speaker 5: to cook these fools.
Speaker 4: So if ARM wins, He's given away his World Series
Speaker 4: tickets to one of the listeners of the Just Baseball Show.
Speaker 4: If I win, I'm giving it away to one of
Speaker 4: the subscribers to the Just or Not gambling advice betting
Speaker 4: stream on Twitch. Check out all the other podcasts here
Speaker 4: on the Just Baseball network through the link tree, and
Speaker 4: definitely make sure to download the free app so Rare
Speaker 4: play Fantasy Baseball with us all year long. I think
Speaker 4: it's almost better than making an enormous lead with too
Speaker 4: many people. How but we just all download an app
Speaker 4: and compete week by week. Sounds like a blast. That's
Speaker 4: in the episode description. Happy opening day, everybody with that.
Speaker 1: Thank nobody