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Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus Podcast is presented by wind

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Speaker 1: Bet Sportsbook and they've got a great sign up offer

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Speaker 1: that bet is risk free up to one thousand dollars

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Speaker 1: ineligible states. To get started, all you have to do

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Speaker 1: is click on the Action Network link in this episode description. Okay,

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Speaker 1: let's get things started, all right, here we go fifteen twenty,

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Speaker 1: twenty five, thirty thirty five, forty five fifty.

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Speaker 2: Get a check block.

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Speaker 3: Stocky dollars.

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Speaker 2: By god best, Please don't.

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Speaker 4: Hold up five's alter.

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Speaker 2: It's not the side on the dog in the fight.

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Speaker 2: It's the size of the fight in the dog. What's up,

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Speaker 2: Degenerate Nation? Welcome to the Big Bets on Campus Podcast,

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Speaker 2: presented by win Bet Sportsbook. I'm Stucky in with me

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Speaker 2: as always is Colin Wilson. We got a loaded slate,

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Speaker 2: we got college football and tonight, Saturday, Sunday, Monday. We're

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Speaker 2: gonna get to it all. I'm excited, Colin's excited. We'll

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Speaker 2: talk some hogs, some FC, yes, some I know last

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Speaker 2: last week was kind of cool, but this is the

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Speaker 2: real start of college football. You ready to roll?

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Speaker 4: This is the real slate because I mean, we have

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Speaker 4: so many games on the board. With the fordham Rams

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Speaker 4: going up against Nebraska, we have a North Dakota taking

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Speaker 4: on Idaho State. We have so much to talk about.

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Speaker 4: There's just no time to really kind of play around

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Speaker 4: here or celebrate the fact that you and I had

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Speaker 4: a really productive Week zero.

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Speaker 2: We'll talk brief about weeks zero a second, but just

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Speaker 2: keep in mind just a few housekeeping notes here. We're

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Speaker 2: going to release our first college football recap and voicemail episode,

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Speaker 2: which will normally be on Mondays, but we have Labor

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Speaker 2: Day this Monday, so it'll be released on Tuesday next week.

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Speaker 2: So we'll recap, we'll talk about any weekday games. We'll

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Speaker 2: listen to your voicemails. By the way, great news we

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Speaker 2: have a new voicemail is your first time listener. We

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Speaker 2: people call all weekend and we caught the best voice

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Speaker 2: most of you. If you're mad about something, if we

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Speaker 2: led you astray or you want to give us credit,

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Speaker 2: I feel free to give us. Called anytime and just

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Speaker 2: ramble away, scream cry, we've heard it all. We had someone,

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Speaker 2: we had someone at a play at our Thespian population

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Speaker 2: called in and was happy with the Nebraska under fifty

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Speaker 2: two and a half. They got in late and they

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Speaker 2: hit because the missed extra point. But the new number

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Speaker 2: is nine to five to nine bad.

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Speaker 4: Beat.

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Speaker 2: It's easy to remember nine to five to nine bad.

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Speaker 2: So just make sure you put that in your phone.

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Speaker 2: You can always tweet it out on the weekends too,

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Speaker 2: but just saving your phone. So whenever you feel the arge,

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Speaker 2: you can call and we'll do some giveaways. To make

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Speaker 2: sure that you subscribe. Review Big Bets on campus where

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Speaker 2: we listen to podcast. We have our own exclusive channel. Now,

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Speaker 2: happy that you're here, Happy that the season is officially

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Speaker 2: in gear, this college football season. So let's let's get

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Speaker 2: right into it. I guess, first question, anything of note

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Speaker 2: or one key takeaway that you just it could be

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Speaker 2: a rant, could be anything you want of after week zero.

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Speaker 4: Well, I mean you talked to me off the ledge

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Speaker 4: from UCLA win in the national championship, So I guess

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Speaker 4: I gotta give you shit about that, because let's just

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Speaker 4: crown them right now right that It does worry me

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Speaker 4: a little bit that everybody's now on usay a bandwagon.

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Speaker 4: Obviously in the market with the number moving, you couldn't

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Speaker 4: have looked as more fantastic as what they did against

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Speaker 4: Hawaii team that you and I said, Bill Graham is

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Speaker 4: calling the plays for, you know, for for Todd Graham

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Speaker 4: made Chevan Cordero look less efficient. And now we've got

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Speaker 4: a team in LSU that's been displaced three days of practicing,

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Speaker 4: Houston coming in town. So you know, there's a that's

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Speaker 4: such a huge game here and we'll see if coach

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Speaker 4: O can keep all of the emotions and the focus

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Speaker 4: on the game. But as far as week zero goes,

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Speaker 4: UTEP was explosive. I think that's something that you and

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Speaker 4: I need to continue to look for. Now we get

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Speaker 4: a week off from you know, betting on utub as

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Speaker 4: far as you know, FBS play goes. But UTEP having

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Speaker 4: an explosive game in the special in the first half

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Speaker 4: was something that didn't surprise me whatsoever. Illinois already having

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Speaker 4: an identity didn't surprise me whatsoever, because that's what Brett

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Speaker 4: Beeliman does. He has a ceiling. It's just he is

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Speaker 4: very good at creating an identity and getting the team

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Speaker 4: to buy into that. So I think it's good that

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Speaker 4: a lot of the things that you and I were

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Speaker 4: so successful with twenty fourteen through twenty nineteen, some of

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Speaker 4: the things that you and I relied on from a

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Speaker 4: handicapping standpoint to give us indicators on what to bet.

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Speaker 4: It feels like those of return the cloudness and the

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Speaker 4: craziness of the COVID nineteen twenty college football era seems

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Speaker 4: to be over with and you can rely back on

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Speaker 4: old things that got you to cash tickets at the window,

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Speaker 4: like you can start leaning on some of those things again,

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Speaker 4: actual data and statistics and paying attention to what's in

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Speaker 4: the news releases instead of hiding injuries and all that.

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Speaker 4: So I think my big takeaway from week zero is

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Speaker 4: we're back in the saddle when it comes to the

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Speaker 4: way that you and I have handicapped for decades, and

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Speaker 4: as far as it leading us to winners.

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Speaker 2: Look, we're still gonna be gathering data and adjusting for priors.

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Speaker 2: It's only you know, it's only a couple of games.

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Speaker 2: I wish I wasn't as hesitant as I was. You know,

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Speaker 2: I played that under I loved UTEP. I didn't end

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Speaker 2: up betting them. I should have a couple second half spots.

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Speaker 2: I have a piece on Action network dot Com in

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Speaker 2: the Action Network cap about some look ahead spots mainly

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Speaker 2: for second half place. So it's suggesting like Hawaii second half,

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Speaker 2: Southern Utah second half, thinking that San Jose State and

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Speaker 2: UCLA with big games on deck, would kind of just

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Speaker 2: go ultra conservative. But I was mainly mad. I didn't look.

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Speaker 2: I'll push back on you. We don't know if UTEP

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Speaker 2: is exposed to yet. We just know New Mexico State

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Speaker 2: the stinks.

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Speaker 3: The New Mexico State Aggies the worst team in college football.

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Speaker 2: I mean, so we don't know. They didn't show promise,

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Speaker 2: but that could just be that New Mexico State is

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Speaker 2: that bad. But Nebraska yikes, I mean, talk about a

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Speaker 2: sour start to the season.

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Speaker 4: Well, you know, I Scott Fross is obviously still going

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Speaker 4: to be the coach, and I pressed Brett on our

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Speaker 4: New Sources podcast just the other day, will he be

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Speaker 4: the coach through the OU game? His answer was definitively yes.

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Speaker 4: Will he be the coach at the end of the year.

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Speaker 4: His answer was definitively no, he won't be. And so

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Speaker 4: what is this a loss season? Are we going to

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Speaker 4: accept a bowl invite? If you know, we take a

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Speaker 4: what are we going to be against Fordham here this weekend?

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Speaker 4: I mean, you have to have a response. So we'll

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Speaker 4: see if Adrian Martinez can pull off a clean box

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Speaker 4: score against Fordham in a spot where I mean, I

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Speaker 4: don't know, I don't know what's going to happen in

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Speaker 4: Lincoln If they don't cover whatever projected spread, this is

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Speaker 4: going to be and they don't do something for the

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Speaker 4: fan base.

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Speaker 2: There, good point, All right, let's move on to some

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Speaker 2: actual games. Let's start with an old, an old but

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Speaker 2: classic segment, look Ahead or look.

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Speaker 3: Away, Hangovers, sleepers and the dreaded sandwich spot. Is it

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Speaker 3: time to look ahead or look away?

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Speaker 2: All right? So this segment, we just look at a

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Speaker 2: couple of games each week and decide, you know, basically

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Speaker 2: it comes down to our number. And you can find

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Speaker 2: all of our projected spreads on the Action Network app.

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Speaker 2: But we look, you know, like I just mentioned with UCLA,

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Speaker 2: with San Jose State, they have big games on deck,

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Speaker 2: they don't want to show too much in the second half,

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Speaker 2: you kind of take your foot off the gas. So

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Speaker 2: we really look at the week after. And you know,

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Speaker 2: sometimes teams are college kids can get caught looking ahead,

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Speaker 2: lack of focus. Coaches might be preparing a little bit

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Speaker 2: less and looking ahead themselves. So three games kind of

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Speaker 2: stuck out in that sense this week. Yeah, we'll start

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Speaker 2: with two of them. Oregon minus twenty and a half

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Speaker 2: against Fresno State at wind Bet and BYU up to

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Speaker 2: twelve and a half point favorites at Arizona. Notable here

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Speaker 2: Oregon plays Ohio State next week. So the thinking, you know,

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Speaker 2: I'm gonna be looking at Fresno competent team, I think

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Speaker 2: maybe a little undervalued in the market. I'm gonna be

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Speaker 2: looking at Fresno myself. Second half here thinking, you know,

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Speaker 2: if Oregon builds a comfortable lead by halftime, why should

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Speaker 2: you know that they have national title aspirations?

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Speaker 4: Right?

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Speaker 2: As a team that believes they can go to the

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Speaker 2: national title, what do they have to do to do that?

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Speaker 2: They gotta beat Ohio State? Are you gonna win at

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Speaker 2: Ohio State next week? And so why show anything if

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Speaker 2: you build and why risk any health if you have

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Speaker 2: a really big, comfortable lead. I think that they're gonna

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Speaker 2: go very conservative, get out healthy, get Anthony Brown out

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Speaker 2: of there. So I'll be looking at Fresno second half.

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Speaker 2: BYU has Utah the Holy War on deck. They're playing

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Speaker 2: Arizona and Arizona team with a brand new staff, a mess,

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Speaker 2: just an absolute mess of the year last year. The

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Speaker 2: one thing that they have a couple things they have

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Speaker 2: worked for them. I mean, Zach Wilson's gone from BYU,

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Speaker 2: which is which is good record setting quarterback for that program.

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Speaker 2: Who in the first round of the NFL Draft. B

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Speaker 2: YU has Utah on deck, So maybe they're not taking

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Speaker 2: this as serious. And Arizona does have the advantage of

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Speaker 2: the unknown, right, like, what are we gonna see they?

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Speaker 2: You know, are they gonna pull It's their first game,

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Speaker 2: we have a new new regime. Are they gonna pull

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Speaker 2: out all the stops? So they you know, some trick plays,

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Speaker 2: So it's a fresh new start. I'm sure they'll be

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Speaker 2: hyped for it. I just don't know if I trust

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Speaker 2: the roster either of But I can see b YU

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Speaker 2: if they have a huge lead going shut it down.

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Speaker 2: We have Utah on deck. Let's go very conservative. So

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Speaker 2: depending on how the games go, depending on how both

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Speaker 2: Fresno and Arizona look and how big the leads or

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Speaker 2: deficits for those teams are, I will at least monitor

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Speaker 2: and look for second and a half play for both. You

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Speaker 2: see anything in either of those two games.

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Speaker 4: Well, definitely something in the organ Fresno game. I think

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Speaker 4: this is you know, I've been chopping at the bit

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Speaker 4: for months to just kind of fade this Oregon team

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Speaker 4: and this is such a great spot with a look

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Speaker 4: ahead over Ohio State. And if you listen to anybody

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Speaker 4: around Eugene, I mean literally just a week and a

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Speaker 4: half ago, I was in town, drove by and you know,

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Speaker 4: took my wife to the stadium and showed her around

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Speaker 4: and ate there on campus before we went and golfed

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Speaker 4: abandoned dunes and everybody thinks Oregon can win the national championship.

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Speaker 4: I felt like I was the only person in town

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Speaker 4: that didn't believe that they could win a national championship.

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Speaker 4: And I love Fresno State. Now, I did not cash

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Speaker 4: the over sixty two and a half in the Fresno Yukon,

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Speaker 4: but that was not Fresno State's fault. I mean, did

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Speaker 4: I mention it's hot.

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Speaker 2: It's not just a little bit hot. It is so hot,

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Speaker 2: you guys.

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Speaker 5: Presno State has a contingency plan in place in case

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Speaker 5: their players' shoes melt on this turf, because that's something

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Speaker 5: that they've seen happen before. In fact, they brought extra

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Speaker 5: shoes in every size and they have them on the

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Speaker 5: sideline there just in case that happened.

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Speaker 4: Cleats were melting. Yukon couldn't get past the fifty. Was

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Speaker 4: a really embarrassing show for the Huskies. But Ronnie Rivers

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Speaker 4: and Jake Hayner are a force to be reckoned with. Now,

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Speaker 4: I'm going to say the same thing about Fresno State

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Speaker 4: that I'm gonna say about UCLA. I know they basically

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Speaker 4: had a glorified scrimmage, but if I can get Fresno

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Speaker 4: State at twenty one and a half, I'd certainly think

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Speaker 4: this is a bye because I project this to be

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Speaker 4: just a little bit over fourteen. Oregon terrorizes quarterbacks, you know,

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Speaker 4: they just have issues with teams that can run the ball.

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Speaker 4: The Ducks finished ninety first defensive rushing success rate last year.

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Speaker 4: And the key name here is Matt Smith. He had

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Speaker 4: fourier and sixty six snaps at center last year for Fresno,

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Speaker 4: and he took all the first half snaps against Yukon.

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Speaker 4: Ronnie Rivers is one of the best dual threat running

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Speaker 4: backs in the nation. He had sixteen yard run over

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Speaker 4: the center. He had a fourteen yard run against Yukon

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Speaker 4: over the left guard in the center. There were explosive

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Speaker 4: plays that went up the gut, and to me, that

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Speaker 4: is Kaylin de Boor tipping his hand a little bit

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Speaker 4: saying we know that Oregon can attack us in passing

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Speaker 4: downs in known passing situation with our edge rushers and

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Speaker 4: came on Thibodeau and get to the quarterback. But with

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Speaker 4: the way they use Ronnie Rivers and Jake Hayner, it

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Speaker 4: looks like, you know, a little zone play, a little

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Speaker 4: dump off, a little shift of the pocket. They're going

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Speaker 4: to attack the middle of this Oregon defense, which is

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Speaker 4: a perfect place to get him because they've never been

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Speaker 4: able to stop the rush. Rivers has already created seven

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Speaker 4: miss tackles on just fourteen rushing attempts. He gained forty

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Speaker 4: seven yaks on just two catches. I mean, he's the

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Speaker 4: ultimate dual threat that Oregon's gonna have to deal with now,

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Speaker 4: Tim de Ruder, there is history here. Tim de Ruter,

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Speaker 4: former head coach of Fresno State. He was asking his

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Speaker 4: press conference this week about the defense about Fresno State,

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Speaker 4: is time there, and he started off, well, the middle

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Speaker 4: of my defense needs to show up. Darius has a

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Speaker 4: chance to be a good player, Popo has the ability

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Speaker 4: to be a good player. But the middle of our

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Speaker 4: defense is where we need to show up. So Tim

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Speaker 4: de Ruter is already admitting that he knows that Ronnie

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Speaker 4: Rivers and Jake Haner are coming straight up the gut.

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Speaker 4: If you look at Hayter, he left the field with

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Speaker 4: one hundred and twenty degree tempts on the field. I

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Speaker 4: think they showed that thermometer every two seconds. He had

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Speaker 4: three tds, one big time throw three hundred and thirty

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Speaker 4: one yards. Really some great production, glorified scrimmage against Yukon.

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Speaker 4: But it's notable that on twenty of twenty six passing

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Speaker 4: of the five of those six incompletions were flat out

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Speaker 4: wide receiver drops. So Hayner's accuracy was on point. Now,

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Speaker 4: Hayterer didn't play in Austin Stadium while he was at Washington,

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Speaker 4: but wide receiver Ti Jones did in twenty eighteen. He

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Speaker 4: hauled in an explosive pass and a touchdown. So at

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Speaker 4: least there's some locker room there for Fresno State with

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Speaker 4: a key player, a key target that has been in

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Speaker 4: that stadium and been the opponent before. And you know,

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Speaker 4: Fresno's defense was pretty impressive again, Yukon glorified scrimmage ten

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Speaker 4: tackles for loss for forty one yards, pushed him back.

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Speaker 4: They held Yukon to one hundred and seven yards. Even

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Speaker 4: through garbage second half play where Fresno essentially punted the

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Speaker 4: points away, stopped one of their cleats to get melted,

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Speaker 4: threw in some walk off on defense, they still only

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Speaker 4: allowed one hundred and seven yards. So, and I know

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Speaker 4: yu Kon hasn't played since the pandemic, but the Ducks

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Speaker 4: defense will have a little bit of a wrinkle for

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Speaker 4: moving on from Andy Avlos into Tim de Ruder, and

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Speaker 4: that is that caveon Thibodeau is going to be standing

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Speaker 4: up and setting his hand down. We'll see how Thibodeau

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Speaker 4: reacts if he still has the same jump time that

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Speaker 4: he's had before. That's really got him projected to go

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Speaker 4: possibly number one in the NFL draft, but they asked

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Speaker 4: Tim de Ruder specifically. I think the point that I

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Speaker 4: wanted to get to is that Tim de Ruder was

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Speaker 4: the head coach twenty twelve to twenty sixteen, and even

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Speaker 4: in his time at Cal, he knew Kaylen de boor.

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Speaker 4: He knows Kaylen de Bor very well. Said he's not

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Speaker 4: shocked at all what's going on at Fresno. Is such

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Speaker 4: a great coach from a personality perspective, from a skime perspective,

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Speaker 4: does his homework and Rudo said. De Ruder said, on

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Speaker 4: his time in Fresno, there are some very close personal

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Speaker 4: feelings my wife and my family. We had a great

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Speaker 4: time in Fresno. They were just very fond. So in

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Speaker 4: my opinion, this is not a game they want to

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Speaker 4: run up. We talked about Anthony Brown having a ceiling.

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Speaker 4: This is a look ahead spot. But Tim Ruder doesn't

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Speaker 4: have any harsh feelings where he's you know this is

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Speaker 4: they're they're cramming this week to shut down this Fresno

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Speaker 4: State attack. I guarantee the whole focus is on Ohio

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Speaker 4: State and Klein de Bor is just sitting back with

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Speaker 4: this dual threat. Ronnie Rivers Jay Hayner combination, and I

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Speaker 4: think they can do a ton of damage here. I

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Speaker 4: don't want to wait for a live play. I'm going

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Speaker 4: to search for twenty one and a half. If I

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Speaker 4: have to settle on twenty one, I will Fresno for me.

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Speaker 4: Is the play go Bulldogs?

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Speaker 2: Yeah, it is worth thirty. Teams that don't play in

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Speaker 2: Week zero have an advantage historically against teams that do.

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Speaker 2: Janets have fifty five percent against this preedhistorical. The thinking

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Speaker 2: there is that they have a tape advantage. But it's

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Speaker 2: not like you saw anything that's crazy from Fresno against Yukon.

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Speaker 2: Also Yukon, that is one data point. It's only one, right,

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Speaker 2: It wasn't too promising for teams that didn't play last year.

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Speaker 2: What they look like? Well, you have New Mexico State too,

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Speaker 2: but they played in the spring at least, But man,

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Speaker 2: did they both look bad? Any interest in maybe abating

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Speaker 2: Arizona or do we.

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Speaker 4: Think that Arizona played a season last year? We are

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Speaker 4: we including them as having actual real game time?

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Speaker 2: Sure?

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Speaker 4: So, I think what's interesting with BYU in Arizona is

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Speaker 4: that this exact same scenario has played out before in

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Speaker 4: twenty sixteen, Arizona was Week one, BYU was minus one

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Speaker 4: and a half on the spread with Utah in the get.

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Speaker 4: In the next game, in the second game, final score

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Speaker 4: eighteen to sixteen, BYU covered the one and a half. Now,

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Speaker 4: interesting enough, this is the third time these teams have

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Speaker 4: met where BYU has a new offensive coordinator under the

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Speaker 4: Klonie Satake era, which is quite interesting. So BYU is

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Speaker 4: again facing Arizona and starting off with a new offensive

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Speaker 4: coordinator for the third time. They've won and covered each

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Speaker 4: time that that's happened, And so you have to wonder,

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Speaker 4: like where researching I don't know how much research you

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Speaker 4: did on Arizona, but trying to get what Jedfish is

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Speaker 4: going to do on this offense was like pulling teeth.

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Speaker 4: And the offensive coordinator that's never called plays before in

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Speaker 4: his life and Jedfish and all of his NFL experience,

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Speaker 4: it seems like we're having a two quarterback system. We've

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Speaker 4: got the transfer coming in, Gunner Cruz coming in from

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Speaker 4: Washington State. They're going to run a version of the Wildcat.

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Speaker 4: You know, it's really hard to tell from some of

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Speaker 4: these NFL numbers, you know, because Jedfish was at predominantly

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Speaker 4: New England Patriots heavy rush attack. Before that, his offensive

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Speaker 4: coordinator Carol was at the Seahawks. They were heavy rush

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Speaker 4: three years ago and now they've really lightened up in

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Speaker 4: the NFL. So we you know, from what I could get,

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Speaker 4: there's going to be a rotation of quarterbacks from gunner

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Speaker 4: Cruz and freshman Will Plumber, and Sataki announced Jaron Hall

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Speaker 4: at quarterback. And there really is going to be no

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Speaker 4: scheme change with new offensive coordinator Aaron Roderick, Jeff Grimes

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Speaker 4: out of town down to Baylor. You know, Roderick has

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Speaker 4: been on this staff since twenty seventeen. But to be

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Speaker 4: more specific about his relationship with Sataki, he has spent

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Speaker 4: his previous twelve years at Utah alongside Sataki. So there's

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Speaker 4: no offensive change here whatsoever. So what Jaron Hall has

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Speaker 4: done before, it's going to happen again. The first half

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Speaker 4: under for me is the look now, I know it's

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Speaker 4: in Allegiant Stadium, you know, and it's just the Arizona

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Speaker 4: rotation of quarterbacks, the possibility of the wildcat and not

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Speaker 4: a lot of passing going on BYU is moving on

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Speaker 4: to Jaron Hall. They probably want to limit some of

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Speaker 4: his risk and exposure and build confidence in him. In

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Speaker 4: twenty nineteen, he had a couple of head injuries, but

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Speaker 4: he did have three big time throws and forty six attempts.

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Speaker 4: So the arm is there. The experience is not. There's

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Speaker 4: no side play for me. But this is just you know,

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Speaker 4: we had a lot of unders last week stuck. I

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Speaker 4: felt like every game went under and every first half

379
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Speaker 4: went under, and I wish this was out in the heat.

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Speaker 4: It's not. But at the same time, I just feel

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Speaker 4: we have and a very I'm not sure if Arizona

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Speaker 4: knows what they're doing on offense, and I think they're

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Speaker 4: going to figure it out from series to series. Meanwhile,

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Speaker 4: Byu is going to keep the same scheme, have a

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Speaker 4: new quarterback. So first half under is the lean near.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I'll be looking. It's hard to know what you're

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Speaker 2: gonna get from Arizona. Yeah, I'll be looking for a

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Speaker 2: second app play there. And yeah, I think if you

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Speaker 2: do get three touchdowns, especially more than three touchdowns with Fresno,

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Speaker 2: that's the look. I'll also be looking for a second

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Speaker 2: app play. The last one we have here is guess

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Speaker 2: what we get the dude now, Colin on the Hogs.

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Speaker 2: Arkansas at winbat nineteen and a half point favorites over

394
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Speaker 2: Rice over under forty nine and a half. Arkansas has

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Speaker 2: a home date with Texas on deck. Are your hogs

396
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Speaker 2: gonna get caught snoozing in the sun, the hot Arkansas sun?

397
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Speaker 2: Are they gonna come out, take care of business, keep

398
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Speaker 2: the foot on the gas and blow out an improving

399
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Speaker 2: Rice program they might have. I think they's seventh. It

400
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Speaker 2: depends they have. I think that Rice has dual starters

401
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Speaker 2: listening at quarterback, either Miley Green, who started in twenty nineteen,

402
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Speaker 2: or Luke McCaffrey, transferred from Nebraska. If McCaffrey gets to start,

403
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Speaker 2: will be the seventh different starting quarterback to open the

404
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Speaker 2: season for Rice in the past seven years. I'll let

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Speaker 2: you take this away. Any thoughts on your hogs?

406
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Speaker 3: Woo pick Sueye Collins talking razorback football.

407
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Speaker 4: Yeah, I think Wiley made us some money a couple

408
00:20:08,720 --> 00:20:11,440
Speaker 4: of years ago. You know, on your toes Razorbacks to

409
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Speaker 4: the finished. Carry on with all your mighty Arkansas and

410
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Speaker 4: I'll fight fight, buyye listen, I'm excited. The season to

411
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Speaker 4: me is a continuation of last season. Yes, we went

412
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Speaker 4: three and seven, we had a game stolen from US

413
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Speaker 4: against Auburn, but in an all.

414
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Speaker 2: Season next season, the full effect.

415
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Speaker 4: In an all SEC season, Sam Pittman went seven and

416
00:20:35,880 --> 00:20:39,359
Speaker 4: three against the spread. So odds makers were continually surprised

417
00:20:39,359 --> 00:20:42,600
Speaker 4: by what Arkansas was doing. And that's really kind of

418
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Speaker 4: a reflection of how he's coaching this team max effort

419
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Speaker 4: with a lot of statistics outside the top one hundred.

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Speaker 4: So how does that translate into Rice? Because I have

421
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Speaker 4: this projected at eighteen, and I have the total right

422
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Speaker 4: on the number, So you have to go a little

423
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Speaker 4: bit farther for this Southwest Conference rivalry. In terms of pace,

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Speaker 4: these two teams couldn't be any Rice finished one hundred

425
00:21:01,680 --> 00:21:04,040
Speaker 4: and twenty fourth and seconds per play under the Mike Blugrin.

426
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Speaker 4: You know he's still there. He comes from the David

427
00:21:06,440 --> 00:21:09,720
Speaker 4: Shaw Stanford coaching tree, a lot of fullbacks, a lot

428
00:21:09,760 --> 00:21:12,240
Speaker 4: of tight ends on the field, And every time I

429
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Speaker 4: convince myself that I want to take an over in

430
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Speaker 4: this game, I'm reminded that if Rice can sustain an

431
00:21:17,080 --> 00:21:20,840
Speaker 4: eight minute drive, that really kind of kills Arkansas's chance

432
00:21:20,880 --> 00:21:22,480
Speaker 4: of like getting over the total, because they might have

433
00:21:22,560 --> 00:21:24,280
Speaker 4: to do it all by themselves. I'm not sure Rice

434
00:21:24,359 --> 00:21:26,000
Speaker 4: is going to get in the end zone. Rice was

435
00:21:26,000 --> 00:21:28,840
Speaker 4: bottom ten and twenty plus yard plays from scrimmage last year.

436
00:21:29,119 --> 00:21:32,080
Speaker 4: That's an improvement from one hundred and twenty eighth and

437
00:21:32,160 --> 00:21:35,920
Speaker 4: twenty nineteen. Rice is the worst at twenty plus yard

438
00:21:35,960 --> 00:21:38,640
Speaker 4: plays from scrimmage over the last two years. I don't

439
00:21:38,640 --> 00:21:41,400
Speaker 4: expect that to change. They're tied with Akron as far

440
00:21:41,440 --> 00:21:44,879
Speaker 4: as like most worst explosive offenses in the nation, The

441
00:21:44,960 --> 00:21:48,320
Speaker 4: Arkansas defense was Barry odom. They specialize in giving up

442
00:21:48,359 --> 00:21:52,080
Speaker 4: a plenty of yards and playing, you know, basically protect

443
00:21:52,080 --> 00:21:54,159
Speaker 4: for the explosive play, keep everything in front of you.

444
00:21:54,800 --> 00:21:56,480
Speaker 4: Barry Otams, you know, made a living off of that

445
00:21:56,520 --> 00:21:59,760
Speaker 4: at Missouri now at Arkansas, and you know, everybody's healthy

446
00:22:00,119 --> 00:22:03,040
Speaker 4: now on the defense, from Bumper Pool to Grant Morgan.

447
00:22:03,280 --> 00:22:05,280
Speaker 4: And there's a lot of exciting names that have either

448
00:22:05,320 --> 00:22:08,480
Speaker 4: transferred into the program into the defensive line. There's some freshmen,

449
00:22:08,560 --> 00:22:10,760
Speaker 4: some highly touted freshmen that we've got, and I say

450
00:22:10,800 --> 00:22:14,760
Speaker 4: highly touted four stars. That's big for Arkansas. But you know,

451
00:22:14,840 --> 00:22:19,560
Speaker 4: Pittman was really hammering these guys the last ten days

452
00:22:20,040 --> 00:22:24,840
Speaker 4: and he said, listen, reviewing twenty twenty. Our first drive stunk.

453
00:22:25,320 --> 00:22:27,400
Speaker 4: They were terrible. We didn't score any points, We didn't

454
00:22:27,400 --> 00:22:30,520
Speaker 4: move the ball, We weren't successful. He's had razorback players

455
00:22:30,600 --> 00:22:33,240
Speaker 4: out of bed early in the morning and practicing early

456
00:22:33,320 --> 00:22:35,879
Speaker 4: in the day just because he wants them up, awake

457
00:22:35,920 --> 00:22:38,639
Speaker 4: and alert. He wants the first drive to have points.

458
00:22:38,720 --> 00:22:40,560
Speaker 4: So I take that down as a betting note that

459
00:22:40,600 --> 00:22:42,320
Speaker 4: if I'm going to bet the Hogs, and it's probably

460
00:22:42,400 --> 00:22:44,480
Speaker 4: going to have to be something early. Now you look

461
00:22:44,520 --> 00:22:46,680
Speaker 4: a little bit farther underneath the hood with what Kendall

462
00:22:46,680 --> 00:22:49,359
Speaker 4: Browns is going to do on offense. Remember, Arkansas was

463
00:22:49,400 --> 00:22:51,800
Speaker 4: eighth and tempo last year and that wasn't a mistake

464
00:22:52,040 --> 00:22:54,639
Speaker 4: when they lost to Georgia in the opener, right with

465
00:22:54,760 --> 00:22:57,119
Speaker 4: Dwan Mathis getting switched out for stets of Bennett and

466
00:22:57,160 --> 00:22:59,720
Speaker 4: Arkansas was losing like five to zero keeping up with Georgia.

467
00:22:59,720 --> 00:23:02,840
Speaker 4: At some point they were running tempo like crazy, and

468
00:23:02,960 --> 00:23:05,800
Speaker 4: after the game, one of the local beat reporters asked

469
00:23:05,840 --> 00:23:07,920
Speaker 4: Sam Pittman, like, do you think maybe you should slow

470
00:23:07,960 --> 00:23:09,680
Speaker 4: down the tempo so that the players can get it?

471
00:23:09,720 --> 00:23:12,760
Speaker 4: And Pittman's response goes says, no, I think we should

472
00:23:12,800 --> 00:23:15,439
Speaker 4: execute a lot better. This offense under Kendall Brows is

473
00:23:15,480 --> 00:23:17,880
Speaker 4: not getting any slower. They're going to continue to execute

474
00:23:17,920 --> 00:23:20,280
Speaker 4: and the more these players have experienced, the better they're

475
00:23:20,280 --> 00:23:22,160
Speaker 4: going to be at scoring some points. So we do

476
00:23:22,200 --> 00:23:25,240
Speaker 4: have kJ Jefferson back at quarterback. He is, but how

477
00:23:25,280 --> 00:23:26,920
Speaker 4: long is he going to be in this game? He's

478
00:23:26,960 --> 00:23:29,320
Speaker 4: going to get his But then there's the injuries to

479
00:23:29,359 --> 00:23:33,560
Speaker 4: the big skilled players that we need. Treylon Burks injured

480
00:23:33,560 --> 00:23:36,920
Speaker 4: out with a foot. He's in practice closed off to

481
00:23:36,960 --> 00:23:39,440
Speaker 4: the media the last couple of days. Game time decision

482
00:23:39,520 --> 00:23:41,520
Speaker 4: is what we've heard. I wouldn't be surprised if they

483
00:23:41,520 --> 00:23:43,680
Speaker 4: hold it out and say, yeah, it probably doesn't play.

484
00:23:43,680 --> 00:23:46,199
Speaker 4: They held them out for Texas. My opinion about it is,

485
00:23:46,400 --> 00:23:48,760
Speaker 4: you know, Rice is not going to be able play

486
00:23:48,800 --> 00:23:51,000
Speaker 4: any defense and keep up with Arkansas whatsoever. I think

487
00:23:51,000 --> 00:23:53,359
Speaker 4: we're going to be able to name the score. But

488
00:23:53,440 --> 00:23:55,840
Speaker 4: there's two things, you know that kind of bothered me,

489
00:23:55,840 --> 00:23:58,320
Speaker 4: and that is Rice's tempo. They can extend drives. I'm

490
00:23:58,320 --> 00:24:00,280
Speaker 4: not sure they could score, but they can. They go

491
00:24:00,320 --> 00:24:00,919
Speaker 4: so slow.

492
00:24:01,160 --> 00:24:03,360
Speaker 2: They're going to try to play like an old school team.

493
00:24:03,400 --> 00:24:06,600
Speaker 2: They use like a full back, two tight ends. They

494
00:24:06,680 --> 00:24:09,840
Speaker 2: run it, they wait they go super slow, they try

495
00:24:09,880 --> 00:24:12,000
Speaker 2: to grind the clock. Lumgren their head coach. He's a

496
00:24:12,040 --> 00:24:14,880
Speaker 2: Stanford guy. He comes from the Stanford tree, so they

497
00:24:14,880 --> 00:24:17,280
Speaker 2: play sort of similarly look ahead.

498
00:24:17,640 --> 00:24:19,600
Speaker 4: But you can't do that with Arkansas because they now

499
00:24:19,680 --> 00:24:21,760
Speaker 4: have five returning offensive lineman. They're all the way through

500
00:24:21,800 --> 00:24:24,320
Speaker 4: over three hundred and ten pounds. I mean, this isn't

501
00:24:24,400 --> 00:24:27,679
Speaker 4: Conference USA. So the best bed for me is a

502
00:24:27,680 --> 00:24:29,800
Speaker 4: first quarter bet on Arkansas at minus six and a half,

503
00:24:30,000 --> 00:24:32,320
Speaker 4: a first half bet at minus ten. There's just so

504
00:24:32,320 --> 00:24:34,560
Speaker 4: many new skill positions for Jefferson to work with that

505
00:24:34,920 --> 00:24:37,439
Speaker 4: it could be a steamroll or it could be, you know,

506
00:24:37,480 --> 00:24:39,960
Speaker 4: a real challenge with accuracy and timing and some of

507
00:24:40,000 --> 00:24:43,200
Speaker 4: the other receivers that have come in. I don't expect

508
00:24:43,280 --> 00:24:45,240
Speaker 4: Rice to contribute anything in the spread, which is why

509
00:24:45,280 --> 00:24:47,760
Speaker 4: I'm saying off the full game total. I do want

510
00:24:47,800 --> 00:24:49,199
Speaker 4: to find a way to get some money down on

511
00:24:49,280 --> 00:24:51,640
Speaker 4: Arkansas now maybe, and listen, we're not going to stop

512
00:24:51,640 --> 00:24:53,720
Speaker 4: playing just because it's the third quarter, or it's the

513
00:24:53,720 --> 00:24:56,440
Speaker 4: fourth quarter, or because it's eighty nine to ninety one

514
00:24:56,480 --> 00:24:58,600
Speaker 4: degrees and the wind is blowing ten miles an hour.

515
00:24:58,800 --> 00:25:01,440
Speaker 4: We're going to pack the place out and Sam Pittman

516
00:25:01,640 --> 00:25:05,040
Speaker 4: need and Kindlebriles and Bury otam neat film on every

517
00:25:05,200 --> 00:25:08,840
Speaker 4: single person in the three deep. And the biggest problem

518
00:25:08,840 --> 00:25:11,280
Speaker 4: with Arkansas last year is we had zero depth. When

519
00:25:11,640 --> 00:25:15,120
Speaker 4: Grant Morgan gets hurt, Bumbapoole gets hurt, the defense went

520
00:25:15,200 --> 00:25:18,240
Speaker 4: down the drain. When kJ Jefferson. If kJ Jefferson gets hurt,

521
00:25:18,280 --> 00:25:20,440
Speaker 4: we're in big trouble. A lot of not a lot

522
00:25:20,480 --> 00:25:23,359
Speaker 4: back there at the quarterback position. So Arkansas is not

523
00:25:23,359 --> 00:25:25,080
Speaker 4: going to let their foot off the gas, no matter

524
00:25:25,440 --> 00:25:27,520
Speaker 4: what the score is and no matter what the quarter is.

525
00:25:27,560 --> 00:25:30,160
Speaker 4: So that leads me to think I want an Arkansas

526
00:25:30,160 --> 00:25:32,560
Speaker 4: team total thirty five and a half feels steep. If

527
00:25:32,640 --> 00:25:35,440
Speaker 4: Rice is able to sustain drives, That's where I'm looking

528
00:25:35,480 --> 00:25:37,280
Speaker 4: at on the radar, there's going to be an Arkansas bet.

529
00:25:37,760 --> 00:25:39,320
Speaker 4: I just got to figure out what's the best value

530
00:25:39,320 --> 00:25:41,840
Speaker 4: between first quarter, first half or team total over all.

531
00:25:41,920 --> 00:25:45,600
Speaker 2: Right, keep right out on the Action Network app. Colin

532
00:25:46,320 --> 00:25:49,720
Speaker 2: sounds like he is tricking the hog aid. We will

533
00:25:49,760 --> 00:25:54,480
Speaker 2: see if that ever turns to hogwash before starting comes

534
00:25:54,520 --> 00:25:56,800
Speaker 2: to towns. And yeah, we got to start coming in

535
00:25:56,880 --> 00:25:59,040
Speaker 2: next week. And I'm sure Colin be fired up for

536
00:25:59,080 --> 00:26:04,640
Speaker 2: that one. Hopefully Arkansas doesn't lose to Rice souring that

537
00:26:04,840 --> 00:26:06,520
Speaker 2: matchup week.

538
00:26:06,400 --> 00:26:08,240
Speaker 4: There will be no social media while I'm at the

539
00:26:08,280 --> 00:26:10,320
Speaker 4: Texas game, Like the phone will just be off in

540
00:26:10,320 --> 00:26:11,040
Speaker 4: the back pocket.

541
00:26:11,240 --> 00:26:13,919
Speaker 2: What was Arkansas favored over San Jose State when they

542
00:26:13,920 --> 00:26:16,560
Speaker 2: lost at home to San Jose State? Twenty point underdog,

543
00:26:17,520 --> 00:26:20,760
Speaker 2: same range, same range in twenty and a half.

544
00:26:20,920 --> 00:26:27,160
Speaker 4: Yeah, that was a more Yet that team could tackle. God,

545
00:26:27,240 --> 00:26:28,040
Speaker 4: that was embarrassing.

546
00:26:28,040 --> 00:26:30,800
Speaker 2: Shit, the Rice might not be fried just yet. You

547
00:26:30,920 --> 00:26:32,800
Speaker 2: might have the tune in there, you know, I'll be

548
00:26:32,840 --> 00:26:35,159
Speaker 2: prodding Colin on Twitter if it's tied at the half.

549
00:26:35,440 --> 00:26:38,200
Speaker 2: So for Colin's sake and for his bet and for

550
00:26:38,359 --> 00:26:40,200
Speaker 2: all of you follow him, I hope that I don't

551
00:26:40,200 --> 00:26:43,360
Speaker 2: have to do that, but I can getra actually obliged

552
00:26:43,440 --> 00:26:45,200
Speaker 2: to do so if that's the case.

553
00:26:45,480 --> 00:26:47,440
Speaker 4: It is a good thing to mention that our Saturday

554
00:26:47,440 --> 00:26:49,679
Speaker 4: morning college football show will be on the Action Network.

555
00:26:49,680 --> 00:26:51,920
Speaker 4: It's really important to watch because by then there'll be

556
00:26:51,960 --> 00:26:54,520
Speaker 4: indication if Treylon Burks is going to play, if Treylon

557
00:26:54,600 --> 00:26:57,280
Speaker 4: Smith is going to play. So I'd encourage everybody to

558
00:26:57,320 --> 00:26:59,520
Speaker 4: watch our new Saturday morning show coming this weekend.

559
00:26:59,680 --> 00:27:02,800
Speaker 2: Yeah, Brett Staff, myself and Colin. We're doing that every

560
00:27:02,880 --> 00:27:05,600
Speaker 2: Saturday morning, but it'll be live on Twitter. I think

561
00:27:05,640 --> 00:27:08,199
Speaker 2: around ten ten thirty. I'll tweet out details on it.

562
00:27:08,600 --> 00:27:10,359
Speaker 2: But that'll be a lot of fun. All right, So

563
00:27:10,440 --> 00:27:12,600
Speaker 2: let's move on to the market games of the week.

564
00:27:13,680 --> 00:27:17,240
Speaker 3: It's another fabulous weekend of college football.

565
00:27:18,040 --> 00:27:20,000
Speaker 4: Let's check out the marquee matchups.

566
00:27:20,040 --> 00:27:22,840
Speaker 3: We'll all end up bedding for week one.

567
00:27:23,800 --> 00:27:28,120
Speaker 2: All right, we have five really marquee games this weekend

568
00:27:28,520 --> 00:27:30,879
Speaker 2: that are setting the stage for the college football season.

569
00:27:31,359 --> 00:27:35,400
Speaker 2: We're back. Let's start at noon noon Eastern on Fox.

570
00:27:35,840 --> 00:27:38,840
Speaker 2: I wonder if Gus Johnson's doing this game. We have

571
00:27:38,880 --> 00:27:40,800
Speaker 2: a night game on Fox. We have l LSU U

572
00:27:40,880 --> 00:27:43,280
Speaker 2: c l A on Fox at night. That sounds that

573
00:27:43,320 --> 00:27:45,080
Speaker 2: seems like it'd be a Gus Johnson. I don't know.

574
00:27:45,240 --> 00:27:48,879
Speaker 4: Off the love Mitchell insert the college football the OU

575
00:27:48,960 --> 00:27:51,080
Speaker 4: Texas call for Study's favorite.

576
00:27:51,720 --> 00:27:54,360
Speaker 2: This is what happens when I prod about that. Bring

577
00:27:54,440 --> 00:28:06,880
Speaker 2: up that Santaday State upset underbelievable college football Fox Sports

578
00:28:08,000 --> 00:28:11,240
Speaker 2: right Wisconsin, Penn State, Neon Eastern on Fox Wisconsin. It's

579
00:28:11,280 --> 00:28:13,560
Speaker 2: a five and a half point favorite over under fifty.

580
00:28:13,920 --> 00:28:16,040
Speaker 2: It's worth noting Paul Chris ten and two in bowl

581
00:28:16,119 --> 00:28:19,000
Speaker 2: games and openers eight three to one against the spread,

582
00:28:19,200 --> 00:28:21,640
Speaker 2: so they take advantage of their preparation time. Penn State

583
00:28:21,720 --> 00:28:24,800
Speaker 2: last trip to Camp Randall twenty thirteen, you know what

584
00:28:24,840 --> 00:28:27,919
Speaker 2: they did. They won as twenty five point underdogs. You

585
00:28:27,960 --> 00:28:30,359
Speaker 2: remember the state of Penn State back then Bill O'Brien

586
00:28:30,359 --> 00:28:33,480
Speaker 2: and Christian Hackenberg. Maybe Wisconsin in the I think it

587
00:28:33,480 --> 00:28:36,719
Speaker 2: was the season finale. I'm not mistaken, regular season finale.

588
00:28:37,240 --> 00:28:40,320
Speaker 2: That was the last time Penn State visited Wisconsin. Penn

589
00:28:40,400 --> 00:28:44,000
Speaker 2: State new offensive coordinator, third one in three years for

590
00:28:44,200 --> 00:28:47,040
Speaker 2: Sean Clifford, who's QB one again. There are lots of

591
00:28:47,120 --> 00:28:50,200
Speaker 2: questions on the defensive front, new defensive ends. They're lying

592
00:28:50,240 --> 00:28:53,040
Speaker 2: on a lot of youth and some transfers that have

593
00:28:53,080 --> 00:28:56,760
Speaker 2: come in in that front seven. On the other side

594
00:28:56,760 --> 00:28:59,040
Speaker 2: of the ball, there are there were some coaching changes

595
00:28:59,080 --> 00:29:02,440
Speaker 2: for wisconsin'sition changes. Paul Chris takes over quarterback coach. He's

596
00:29:02,480 --> 00:29:04,320
Speaker 2: now calling the plays. I think that's going to benefit

597
00:29:04,360 --> 00:29:08,160
Speaker 2: Graham Mertz, who you would assume is now healthy. He

598
00:29:08,200 --> 00:29:10,680
Speaker 2: also has healthy receivers, super seniors that are coming back

599
00:29:10,720 --> 00:29:12,840
Speaker 2: that'll help. Last year they were really impacted by COVID

600
00:29:12,880 --> 00:29:16,320
Speaker 2: and injuries. So it looks like a much healthier Wisconsin

601
00:29:16,360 --> 00:29:19,800
Speaker 2: Dee might go more running back by committee, which Wisconsin

602
00:29:19,840 --> 00:29:22,400
Speaker 2: doesn't usually do. The Clemson transfers now in the mix.

603
00:29:22,760 --> 00:29:27,160
Speaker 2: Offensive line very experienced, and you know where I think

604
00:29:27,200 --> 00:29:33,160
Speaker 2: this comes down to is in Wisconson's defense, very experienced.

605
00:29:33,560 --> 00:29:36,320
Speaker 2: They're you know, going to play that you know, three

606
00:29:36,400 --> 00:29:39,480
Speaker 2: four attacking style for Jim Leonard, who I think is

607
00:29:39,480 --> 00:29:42,800
Speaker 2: going to be a head coach eventually. But I think

608
00:29:42,840 --> 00:29:45,320
Speaker 2: that what this comes down to is there are many

609
00:29:45,320 --> 00:29:51,360
Speaker 2: more questions with this Penn State team than Wisconsin. And

610
00:29:51,400 --> 00:29:52,680
Speaker 2: what I mean by that is, you know, Penn State

611
00:29:52,680 --> 00:29:56,480
Speaker 2: a third offensive quarter in three years, scheme changes. You know,

612
00:29:56,520 --> 00:29:58,800
Speaker 2: you have a lot of new pieces in that front seven.

613
00:29:58,840 --> 00:30:02,520
Speaker 2: On defense, you lost a couple offensive linemen too the NFL.

614
00:30:02,640 --> 00:30:04,440
Speaker 2: I know, you have a left tackle that's a potential

615
00:30:04,480 --> 00:30:08,000
Speaker 2: first rounder, but there's some turnover there, you know. I

616
00:30:08,040 --> 00:30:10,680
Speaker 2: think the difference is going to be that Wisconsin is

617
00:30:10,720 --> 00:30:13,320
Speaker 2: going to be able to move the ball on the

618
00:30:13,360 --> 00:30:20,000
Speaker 2: ground against this raw and inexperienced Penn State defensive line,

619
00:30:20,120 --> 00:30:22,440
Speaker 2: and on the other side of the ball, I just

620
00:30:22,560 --> 00:30:27,880
Speaker 2: I still don't trust Sean Clifford, so I think Wisconsin

621
00:30:27,920 --> 00:30:30,479
Speaker 2: gets it done. The problem is, I project this spread

622
00:30:30,600 --> 00:30:33,480
Speaker 2: right around where it is at win bet Wisconson sitting

623
00:30:33,560 --> 00:30:36,200
Speaker 2: as a five and a half point favorite. There's more

624
00:30:36,280 --> 00:30:38,160
Speaker 2: questions on Penn State. If you put a gun to

625
00:30:38,200 --> 00:30:41,120
Speaker 2: my head, I would take Wisconsin here. But I'm assuming

626
00:30:41,120 --> 00:30:43,480
Speaker 2: that you know the problems with Mertz last year were

627
00:30:43,520 --> 00:30:46,720
Speaker 2: health related A big assumption here, and if they are not,

628
00:30:46,840 --> 00:30:48,920
Speaker 2: it's going to I think win the division easily. So

629
00:30:49,000 --> 00:30:53,040
Speaker 2: this is most likely a pass for me. I could argue,

630
00:30:53,080 --> 00:30:54,680
Speaker 2: I could see if you wanted to throw them in

631
00:30:54,720 --> 00:30:58,720
Speaker 2: a round robin as an anchor piece. I don't hate that,

632
00:30:58,920 --> 00:31:01,040
Speaker 2: or just a moneyline Partlan. We're gonna do our round

633
00:31:01,080 --> 00:31:03,560
Speaker 2: robin on R Show on Saturday morning. But I ultimately

634
00:31:03,560 --> 00:31:05,760
Speaker 2: think that all the pieces at Penn State lost in

635
00:31:05,800 --> 00:31:08,680
Speaker 2: their front seven, that's gonna be the difference. Wisconsin will

636
00:31:08,680 --> 00:31:10,840
Speaker 2: be able to sustain enough drives, Merch will be better

637
00:31:10,840 --> 00:31:13,200
Speaker 2: with the pieces around him and that offensive line in

638
00:31:13,240 --> 00:31:15,760
Speaker 2: the Wisconsin defense look to bring all their linebackers back.

639
00:31:16,480 --> 00:31:19,720
Speaker 2: They have the experience in the secondary. I think Wisconsin

640
00:31:19,760 --> 00:31:22,760
Speaker 2: wins this game. But problem is, I think the spread

641
00:31:22,800 --> 00:31:24,040
Speaker 2: is spot on thoughts.

642
00:31:24,640 --> 00:31:26,800
Speaker 4: Yeah, I thought that's the way that I was going

643
00:31:26,840 --> 00:31:29,000
Speaker 4: to go when this. You know, I took the assignment

644
00:31:29,040 --> 00:31:30,520
Speaker 4: to write this up for the Action Network, and you

645
00:31:30,520 --> 00:31:33,080
Speaker 4: guys can read a huge write up that I did

646
00:31:33,080 --> 00:31:35,800
Speaker 4: on this, and I was under the assumption that I'd

647
00:31:35,800 --> 00:31:37,560
Speaker 4: be badgers all the way going through week one, and

648
00:31:37,600 --> 00:31:40,000
Speaker 4: then I think some of the things that I was

649
00:31:40,040 --> 00:31:42,000
Speaker 4: able to dig into kind of change my mind. And

650
00:31:42,520 --> 00:31:45,440
Speaker 4: it's funny, you know, on a personal note, I'm a

651
00:31:45,480 --> 00:31:49,440
Speaker 4: Catholic and I feel like this whole Mike, you'rresicch Era.

652
00:31:49,560 --> 00:31:52,440
Speaker 4: Starting as offensive coordinator at Penn State, you kind of

653
00:31:52,480 --> 00:31:57,000
Speaker 4: have to have some belief, right, you have to have

654
00:31:57,080 --> 00:31:59,280
Speaker 4: some belief that he could come in there and change

655
00:31:59,640 --> 00:32:03,440
Speaker 4: Sean Clifford's habits. It's this blind belief that you get

656
00:32:03,480 --> 00:32:06,360
Speaker 4: from his time at Ohio State, his time at Texas,

657
00:32:06,600 --> 00:32:09,080
Speaker 4: his time at Oklahoma State, where he had some of

658
00:32:09,080 --> 00:32:12,120
Speaker 4: the most explosive and successful, you know, successful offenses for

659
00:32:12,280 --> 00:32:15,120
Speaker 4: you know, over the past decade. So Mike Herisich steps

660
00:32:15,120 --> 00:32:17,320
Speaker 4: in as OC. He did have one year at Texas.

661
00:32:17,320 --> 00:32:19,040
Speaker 4: He didn't change the scheme down there, but I think

662
00:32:19,040 --> 00:32:20,800
Speaker 4: that's more of the weapons that he was handed with

663
00:32:20,840 --> 00:32:24,360
Speaker 4: Sam Ellger before that, quarterbacks coach Ohio State. Before that

664
00:32:24,600 --> 00:32:28,040
Speaker 4: is where this scheme really tended to change. Here, Sich

665
00:32:28,120 --> 00:32:31,880
Speaker 4: ran plenty of eleven personnel, but he mixed in thirty

666
00:32:31,920 --> 00:32:34,719
Speaker 4: percent of ten an empty back set, which you know,

667
00:32:34,800 --> 00:32:36,320
Speaker 4: the a lot of these backs that are in Penn

668
00:32:36,360 --> 00:32:39,120
Speaker 4: State's backfield, Noah Kane and some of the other guys. Uh,

669
00:32:39,400 --> 00:32:41,480
Speaker 4: you know, they can spread out and they can't play slot,

670
00:32:41,520 --> 00:32:44,040
Speaker 4: and they can move all around the field, and you

671
00:32:44,160 --> 00:32:46,400
Speaker 4: have to believe that Mike heris. Such as goal in

672
00:32:46,480 --> 00:32:50,920
Speaker 4: week one is to get Sean Clifford to believe in himself,

673
00:32:51,040 --> 00:32:53,080
Speaker 4: which he does if you've gone out and read his

674
00:32:53,160 --> 00:32:56,200
Speaker 4: Twitter or his Instagram or you read practice reports, Sean

675
00:32:56,240 --> 00:32:58,360
Speaker 4: Clifford says that he feels like a new quarterback. He

676
00:32:58,400 --> 00:33:01,480
Speaker 4: feels like a completely different quarter back. And I think

677
00:33:01,480 --> 00:33:03,800
Speaker 4: that's you know, that's good to hear from Sean Clifford,

678
00:33:03,800 --> 00:33:05,960
Speaker 4: but something that we need to see. He had five

679
00:33:06,000 --> 00:33:08,840
Speaker 4: big time throws last year and ten turnover worthy plays.

680
00:33:09,520 --> 00:33:11,760
Speaker 4: That's what led to backup Will Levis getting plenty of

681
00:33:11,800 --> 00:33:14,560
Speaker 4: playing time in a weird season with a huge losing

682
00:33:14,560 --> 00:33:16,440
Speaker 4: streak and then a big winning streak at the end

683
00:33:17,080 --> 00:33:20,280
Speaker 4: the Kirk Soroka higher and fire was quite interesting. I mean,

684
00:33:20,440 --> 00:33:22,560
Speaker 4: he didn't change the scheme any when he came from Minnesota.

685
00:33:22,600 --> 00:33:25,040
Speaker 4: He was still running eleven personnel, which they ran before.

686
00:33:26,320 --> 00:33:29,560
Speaker 4: And I just don't you know, this is all what

687
00:33:29,640 --> 00:33:32,360
Speaker 4: do you believe Mike erisich kid get out of Sean

688
00:33:32,400 --> 00:33:35,760
Speaker 4: Clifford from a production standpoint. Has he built enough confidence

689
00:33:35,760 --> 00:33:38,160
Speaker 4: in him to get this done? Now? When I started

690
00:33:38,160 --> 00:33:41,080
Speaker 4: looking at the Wisconsin defense, I was in the same

691
00:33:41,120 --> 00:33:43,000
Speaker 4: boat as you. I love this Wisconsin defense, right the

692
00:33:43,000 --> 00:33:45,240
Speaker 4: success rate is out the door, The finishing drives is

693
00:33:45,280 --> 00:33:47,080
Speaker 4: out the door, as in, they don't let people score

694
00:33:47,120 --> 00:33:49,520
Speaker 4: across the forty yard line. They're really good at stopping

695
00:33:49,560 --> 00:33:52,360
Speaker 4: the chains, and they were number one in the nation

696
00:33:52,440 --> 00:33:56,040
Speaker 4: and preventing havoc. But I think what surprised me is

697
00:33:56,080 --> 00:33:58,360
Speaker 4: that they were terrible at generating their own havoc one

698
00:33:58,440 --> 00:34:00,880
Speaker 4: hundred and fourth and sackerrate. You know, it was just

699
00:34:00,920 --> 00:34:01,760
Speaker 4: something where.

700
00:34:01,720 --> 00:34:04,000
Speaker 2: They went from you know, fifth in the country to

701
00:34:04,120 --> 00:34:06,800
Speaker 2: one hundred and fourth and sacrate last year. It's a

702
00:34:06,840 --> 00:34:10,200
Speaker 2: team that's known for, you know, especially from their linebacker position,

703
00:34:10,280 --> 00:34:11,880
Speaker 2: generating a lot of pressure. But last year they drop

704
00:34:12,000 --> 00:34:13,360
Speaker 2: outide the top one hundred and sacrate.

705
00:34:13,760 --> 00:34:16,160
Speaker 4: Yeah, like Jack Sanborn is like all of a sudden

706
00:34:16,200 --> 00:34:19,440
Speaker 4: turned into a fantastic player in coverage, but not very

707
00:34:19,480 --> 00:34:21,440
Speaker 4: good at getting to the quarterback. And I think that

708
00:34:21,640 --> 00:34:24,200
Speaker 4: was You know that these two defensive ends, they're just

709
00:34:24,200 --> 00:34:26,319
Speaker 4: not going to apply any pressure at all. That's good

710
00:34:26,360 --> 00:34:30,160
Speaker 4: news for Sean Clifford and the Mike Erisich are of

711
00:34:30,200 --> 00:34:33,840
Speaker 4: rebuilding his confidence. So to me, the name of the

712
00:34:33,840 --> 00:34:38,120
Speaker 4: game is simple. Uh, We're gonna use shuttle passes. We're

713
00:34:38,160 --> 00:34:42,040
Speaker 4: gonna use bubble screens, We're gonna use motion end to rounds.

714
00:34:42,320 --> 00:34:44,399
Speaker 4: We're gonna get Jahan Dotson in the game. We're gonna

715
00:34:44,400 --> 00:34:47,120
Speaker 4: get some of these explosive playmakers that Penn State has

716
00:34:47,160 --> 00:34:50,480
Speaker 4: in this system, get them the ball and some low

717
00:34:51,120 --> 00:34:54,560
Speaker 4: risk situations for Sean Clifford to continue to build his confidence.

718
00:34:55,280 --> 00:34:57,640
Speaker 4: The question is, is Wisconsin just gonna sit back on

719
00:34:57,719 --> 00:34:59,440
Speaker 4: their heels and say we want to be number one

720
00:34:59,480 --> 00:35:02,160
Speaker 4: in defending exposed to plays again? If so, this could

721
00:35:02,160 --> 00:35:04,359
Speaker 4: be an undergame. This I mean, the way that they

722
00:35:04,520 --> 00:35:06,040
Speaker 4: kept people out of the end zone last year, this

723
00:35:06,040 --> 00:35:07,880
Speaker 4: could easily be an undergame. If that's the way that

724
00:35:07,880 --> 00:35:09,799
Speaker 4: Wisconsin is going to play defense now on the other

725
00:35:09,840 --> 00:35:11,840
Speaker 4: side of the ball. We talked about it all summer

726
00:35:11,840 --> 00:35:13,759
Speaker 4: with Graham Mertz, you know, admitting that he had a

727
00:35:13,800 --> 00:35:16,759
Speaker 4: shoulder injury along with COVID. The offensive line was still

728
00:35:16,800 --> 00:35:19,360
Speaker 4: dealing with it with Covid injury. So you know, you

729
00:35:19,440 --> 00:35:21,279
Speaker 4: kind of wipe all that stuff from Wisconsin off the

730
00:35:21,320 --> 00:35:22,880
Speaker 4: slate and you start to see what Paul Chris has

731
00:35:22,880 --> 00:35:25,440
Speaker 4: said in his last presser. And I think the biggest

732
00:35:25,480 --> 00:35:27,880
Speaker 4: thing that was surprising to me is the Jalen Burger

733
00:35:27,960 --> 00:35:30,759
Speaker 4: is not the starting running back. This is a guy

734
00:35:30,800 --> 00:35:33,640
Speaker 4: that was creating highlight yards, plenty of yards after contact,

735
00:35:34,560 --> 00:35:37,359
Speaker 4: and Wisconsin's made this surprising announcement to go to Chess

736
00:35:37,440 --> 00:35:40,640
Speaker 4: Malucy at running back. The transfer in from Clemson. That

737
00:35:40,760 --> 00:35:43,600
Speaker 4: surprises me because of what I've seen in the advanced numbers.

738
00:35:44,360 --> 00:35:47,120
Speaker 4: Lucy had the lowest elusiveness rank of all backs at

739
00:35:47,120 --> 00:35:49,880
Speaker 4: Clemson with at least ten carries. But you know, he

740
00:35:49,920 --> 00:35:51,759
Speaker 4: had a bigger twenty nineteen season, So I'm not sure

741
00:35:51,760 --> 00:35:53,520
Speaker 4: if we want to take twenty twenty numbers from Clemson

742
00:35:53,560 --> 00:35:55,799
Speaker 4: and apply them to hear from Malucy. He did have

743
00:35:55,840 --> 00:35:58,360
Speaker 4: a bigger season in twenty nineteen, but that was in

744
00:35:58,480 --> 00:36:01,640
Speaker 4: terms of yards after contact. He will hit you and

745
00:36:01,719 --> 00:36:04,400
Speaker 4: continue to run. But as far as creating miss tackles,

746
00:36:04,520 --> 00:36:07,080
Speaker 4: that's not what Wisconsin has in the backfield. That's what

747
00:36:07,160 --> 00:36:09,520
Speaker 4: jalen Berger does. So I mentioned to see what the

748
00:36:09,560 --> 00:36:12,400
Speaker 4: timeshare carry here is. It's really shocked by that. And

749
00:36:12,440 --> 00:36:15,360
Speaker 4: then for the offensive line, players have been shuffling around.

750
00:36:16,000 --> 00:36:18,480
Speaker 4: Tyler Beach is playing left tackle for Graham Mertz, but

751
00:36:18,560 --> 00:36:20,920
Speaker 4: he's been urn with a leg injury all through training camp.

752
00:36:21,520 --> 00:36:23,719
Speaker 4: How effective is he going to be at stopping the

753
00:36:23,719 --> 00:36:26,560
Speaker 4: Penn State you know, attack run the edges from getting

754
00:36:26,560 --> 00:36:28,880
Speaker 4: into Graham Mertz and disrupting some of that offense. So

755
00:36:29,960 --> 00:36:31,840
Speaker 4: to me, I mean, there's a lot of things that

756
00:36:31,880 --> 00:36:35,480
Speaker 4: can kind of play into the under here. And again

757
00:36:35,560 --> 00:36:38,040
Speaker 4: we're back to do you believe that Eustache can build

758
00:36:38,440 --> 00:36:41,080
Speaker 4: Sean Clifford's you know, confidence and getting points up on

759
00:36:41,120 --> 00:36:45,399
Speaker 4: the board. So listen, explosiveness is the missing ingredient here

760
00:36:45,400 --> 00:36:48,400
Speaker 4: for Wisconsin from the offensive side, and that's their strength.

761
00:36:48,400 --> 00:36:50,799
Speaker 4: On the defensive side, one of the biggest differences in

762
00:36:50,840 --> 00:36:53,720
Speaker 4: these defenses is tackling grades and that's where I finally

763
00:36:53,719 --> 00:36:56,280
Speaker 4: came to a decision that I do want to backpen State.

764
00:36:56,760 --> 00:36:59,799
Speaker 4: I want a six, you know. I know when Bett

765
00:36:59,800 --> 00:37:02,120
Speaker 4: does have a six, there may be a six. We'll

766
00:37:02,120 --> 00:37:04,560
Speaker 4: see if there's some Wisconsin pumping in there. I make

767
00:37:04,600 --> 00:37:06,560
Speaker 4: the line two and a half. I say Wisconsin minus

768
00:37:06,600 --> 00:37:10,080
Speaker 4: two and a half, you know, And that really makes

769
00:37:10,120 --> 00:37:14,400
Speaker 4: it for me a play on Penn State. But considering

770
00:37:14,440 --> 00:37:17,439
Speaker 4: the fact that the tackling grades from last year are

771
00:37:17,480 --> 00:37:20,080
Speaker 4: going to apply to this same defensive coordinators here, right,

772
00:37:20,280 --> 00:37:23,799
Speaker 4: But Brent Priye has got to pray havoc out of

773
00:37:23,840 --> 00:37:26,560
Speaker 4: his unit as to where Wisconsin is just going to

774
00:37:26,600 --> 00:37:28,439
Speaker 4: return and do the same thing they did last year.

775
00:37:28,520 --> 00:37:30,600
Speaker 4: But when you look at the tackling grades, Penn State

776
00:37:30,640 --> 00:37:34,480
Speaker 4: finished eighth and tackling last year and Wisconsin finished seventy sixth.

777
00:37:34,760 --> 00:37:37,759
Speaker 4: That's a huge drop off, especially when Seawan Clifford is

778
00:37:37,800 --> 00:37:39,600
Speaker 4: going to do his best to get the ball out

779
00:37:39,640 --> 00:37:41,520
Speaker 4: of his hands as fast as possible to the skill

780
00:37:41,560 --> 00:37:45,200
Speaker 4: positions in low risk situations. I'm going to go with

781
00:37:45,239 --> 00:37:47,439
Speaker 4: Penn State on this one. I'm going to patiently wait

782
00:37:47,480 --> 00:37:49,399
Speaker 4: for a six. It's not going to be a big play.

783
00:37:49,440 --> 00:37:50,719
Speaker 4: I'm not going to shove a bunch of money over

784
00:37:50,800 --> 00:37:52,799
Speaker 4: the counter on this This game is going to be,

785
00:37:53,800 --> 00:37:57,239
Speaker 4: you know, two heavyweights throwing haymakers at each other. But

786
00:37:57,400 --> 00:37:58,640
Speaker 4: you have to have a little bit of belief in

787
00:37:58,719 --> 00:38:00,920
Speaker 4: Mike Ersch and you have to think that he has

788
00:38:00,920 --> 00:38:03,879
Speaker 4: a game plan for keeping Sean Clifford's confidence. And I'm

789
00:38:03,920 --> 00:38:06,239
Speaker 4: just not a fan of Wisconsin not creating havoc and

790
00:38:06,280 --> 00:38:07,800
Speaker 4: not having a great tackling grade.

791
00:38:09,719 --> 00:38:12,520
Speaker 2: Yeah, I have to, Yeah, I have to disagree it.

792
00:38:12,560 --> 00:38:15,479
Speaker 2: I just don't believe in. I ultimately just don't believe

793
00:38:15,480 --> 00:38:18,360
Speaker 2: in Clifford. And Penn State looks it has an excellent secondary.

794
00:38:18,360 --> 00:38:22,400
Speaker 2: They have to and right now NFL caliber players in

795
00:38:22,440 --> 00:38:25,040
Speaker 2: the second that's the strength of this defense. There's some

796
00:38:25,200 --> 00:38:27,200
Speaker 2: talent obviously in the front seven. Is Penn safe. They

797
00:38:27,200 --> 00:38:29,400
Speaker 2: still get some talent, but it's very unproven, very unexperience.

798
00:38:29,400 --> 00:38:31,680
Speaker 2: They lost a lot of NFL talents, not Michael Parsons.

799
00:38:31,880 --> 00:38:36,000
Speaker 2: It's not Michael Parsons. Not Michael Parsons for sure. So

800
00:38:36,040 --> 00:38:40,400
Speaker 2: I'll be curious to see how the defense looks, especially

801
00:38:40,440 --> 00:38:42,000
Speaker 2: on that front seven, because you don't want to have

802
00:38:43,080 --> 00:38:45,960
Speaker 2: a lot of questions on that front seven. And I

803
00:38:46,040 --> 00:38:48,000
Speaker 2: have I just have to. I also am throwing out.

804
00:38:48,280 --> 00:38:50,080
Speaker 2: You know, you have to make decisions on what you're

805
00:38:50,080 --> 00:38:52,040
Speaker 2: taking for priors. Like you mentioned some of these Wisconsin

806
00:38:52,040 --> 00:38:55,239
Speaker 2: stats last year with the team like Wisconsin, a team

807
00:38:55,239 --> 00:38:56,640
Speaker 2: like Houston, which will talk to I threw a lot

808
00:38:56,680 --> 00:38:58,080
Speaker 2: of it out, like there was. They had so many

809
00:38:58,080 --> 00:39:01,320
Speaker 2: COVID issues, so many injuries, I mean Mertz, especially on

810
00:39:01,360 --> 00:39:03,960
Speaker 2: the offensive ID. You have Mertz who was hurt. You're

811
00:39:03,800 --> 00:39:07,680
Speaker 2: there two best receivers who barely played. But again, this

812
00:39:07,760 --> 00:39:09,360
Speaker 2: is what makes the season so intriguing.

813
00:39:10,160 --> 00:39:12,920
Speaker 4: If I was, but I think I was, if I

814
00:39:12,960 --> 00:39:15,279
Speaker 4: was playing college fantasy though, if I was playing a

815
00:39:15,760 --> 00:39:18,560
Speaker 4: rostering a college fantasy lineup, I absolutely would take tight

816
00:39:18,640 --> 00:39:21,719
Speaker 4: end Jake Ferguson from Wisconsin because the linebacker corps for

817
00:39:21,760 --> 00:39:24,279
Speaker 4: Penn State is the unproven part of that defense and

818
00:39:24,360 --> 00:39:26,480
Speaker 4: Graham Mertz just going over the top and hitting that

819
00:39:26,480 --> 00:39:28,960
Speaker 4: little soft spot I think to me is going to

820
00:39:28,960 --> 00:39:30,880
Speaker 4: be the money play for Wisconsin offensively.

821
00:39:32,560 --> 00:39:36,200
Speaker 2: Yep, all right, let's take a look. Let's fits finish

822
00:39:36,280 --> 00:39:40,160
Speaker 2: off the big ten here and let's talk Indiana at

823
00:39:40,239 --> 00:39:44,200
Speaker 2: Iowa three thirty eastern on ESPN. Iowa is a four

824
00:39:44,239 --> 00:39:49,200
Speaker 2: point favorite at win bet over under forty six I'll

825
00:39:49,239 --> 00:39:52,000
Speaker 2: make a case here for the under, which if you

826
00:39:52,000 --> 00:39:53,480
Speaker 2: follow me on the actual overcap you would have seen

827
00:39:53,600 --> 00:39:56,360
Speaker 2: come through. Look to Iowa, you know they're always going

828
00:39:56,400 --> 00:39:59,400
Speaker 2: to be pretty conservative under Kirk Farence. But there's a

829
00:39:59,440 --> 00:40:02,360
Speaker 2: lot of things that lead me to this under. Let's

830
00:40:02,360 --> 00:40:04,880
Speaker 2: start when Indiana has the ball. So the first question

831
00:40:05,040 --> 00:40:07,440
Speaker 2: is Michael Pennock's healthy. We don't know right Is he

832
00:40:07,520 --> 00:40:10,120
Speaker 2: fully healthy? Is the one hundred percent he's got three

833
00:40:10,200 --> 00:40:13,560
Speaker 2: season ending surgeries. Is he fully up to speed? We

834
00:40:13,640 --> 00:40:15,719
Speaker 2: will find out on game day if he is. If

835
00:40:15,760 --> 00:40:18,560
Speaker 2: he's not, I mean, if he can't go, that's very

836
00:40:18,600 --> 00:40:21,040
Speaker 2: bad news for the Indiana offense. You're gonna get Jack Tuttle.

837
00:40:21,560 --> 00:40:23,040
Speaker 2: But if he's not one hundred percent and he's not

838
00:40:23,160 --> 00:40:26,360
Speaker 2: mobile and he's a little hesitant, that's bad news for

839
00:40:26,400 --> 00:40:30,120
Speaker 2: the Indiana offense. The Iowa defense, the strength of the

840
00:40:30,160 --> 00:40:35,480
Speaker 2: Iowa defense is their secondary and there are some questions

841
00:40:36,000 --> 00:40:39,080
Speaker 2: with Iowa up front because you know, they lost guys

842
00:40:39,200 --> 00:40:41,800
Speaker 2: like Dixon, who was the I think Big ten defensive

843
00:40:41,840 --> 00:40:45,080
Speaker 2: lineman of the year, Golston, they're gone. There's studs on

844
00:40:45,120 --> 00:40:48,640
Speaker 2: the defensive line. So that's where I think I was

845
00:40:48,680 --> 00:40:51,919
Speaker 2: a little soft up front the defensive side of the ball.

846
00:40:51,960 --> 00:40:54,359
Speaker 2: But Indiana can't really run the ball right. I think

847
00:40:54,360 --> 00:40:56,399
Speaker 2: that's where you're gonna have to attack this Iowa team

848
00:40:56,400 --> 00:40:58,160
Speaker 2: because they have a great secondary and what do they

849
00:40:58,760 --> 00:41:01,680
Speaker 2: never do? They never allowed to plays right, they don't

850
00:41:01,719 --> 00:41:03,839
Speaker 2: allow I think they were in top two or three

851
00:41:03,920 --> 00:41:06,080
Speaker 2: last year. They're always gonna be that way. They don't

852
00:41:06,160 --> 00:41:10,520
Speaker 2: let anything explosive down the field. But I think maybe

853
00:41:10,560 --> 00:41:13,200
Speaker 2: early on, unless some guys emerge, you can run on

854
00:41:13,320 --> 00:41:14,560
Speaker 2: some you know, if you can, you have a good

855
00:41:14,640 --> 00:41:16,799
Speaker 2: rushing attack, you could run on them. Indiana is not

856
00:41:16,880 --> 00:41:19,759
Speaker 2: that team. What's that that mean? You're not that guy, Pal,

857
00:41:19,880 --> 00:41:20,760
Speaker 2: You're not that guy.

858
00:41:21,280 --> 00:41:23,719
Speaker 1: You're not that guy, Pal, Trust me, you're not that guy.

859
00:41:23,920 --> 00:41:26,440
Speaker 2: That's Indiana's not what they average three point three yards

860
00:41:26,440 --> 00:41:29,520
Speaker 2: per Carrie last year. It's not a great run blocking

861
00:41:29,560 --> 00:41:31,400
Speaker 2: offensive line. They don't have a great rushing test. So

862
00:41:31,400 --> 00:41:33,480
Speaker 2: I don't think they'll be able to explode that exploit that

863
00:41:33,719 --> 00:41:36,520
Speaker 2: they're gonna have to. You know, go have Penix be

864
00:41:36,600 --> 00:41:39,239
Speaker 2: healthy number one, and then just methodically go down the

865
00:41:39,320 --> 00:41:42,719
Speaker 2: field throwing the ball against a team that you know

866
00:41:42,920 --> 00:41:45,000
Speaker 2: doesn't give up exposive plays, and then is great in

867
00:41:45,040 --> 00:41:47,080
Speaker 2: the red zone. Oh and oh, by the way, Indiana's

868
00:41:47,080 --> 00:41:50,399
Speaker 2: offense is a lot of red zone regression coming after

869
00:41:50,520 --> 00:41:52,800
Speaker 2: last year. So it wouldn't shock me if they, you know,

870
00:41:52,880 --> 00:41:54,600
Speaker 2: on the drives they do get down the field, they

871
00:41:54,600 --> 00:41:56,319
Speaker 2: settle for a lot of field goals. On the other

872
00:41:56,360 --> 00:41:58,879
Speaker 2: side of the ball, you have Iowa, who I think

873
00:41:58,880 --> 00:42:03,160
Speaker 2: had the almost explosive rate in college football last year. No,

874
00:42:03,160 --> 00:42:05,799
Speaker 2: no explosiveness. You might not see any explosive plays in

875
00:42:05,800 --> 00:42:09,399
Speaker 2: this game, right, So just long with thoughtical drives. They

876
00:42:10,440 --> 00:42:14,080
Speaker 2: had no explosiveness. They're playing against an Indiana defense that

877
00:42:14,160 --> 00:42:16,000
Speaker 2: brings back most of the starters that I think is

878
00:42:16,000 --> 00:42:18,560
Speaker 2: a top ten unit national and they have two All

879
00:42:18,600 --> 00:42:22,120
Speaker 2: Americans Mike McFadden the linebacker and Mulling at one of

880
00:42:22,160 --> 00:42:26,000
Speaker 2: the corner spots. I think all four of their defensive

881
00:42:26,000 --> 00:42:29,160
Speaker 2: backs got all Big Ten preseason honors. I really like

882
00:42:29,239 --> 00:42:31,120
Speaker 2: this Indiana defense. It's a you know, the four to

883
00:42:31,120 --> 00:42:33,799
Speaker 2: two five, the Tom Allen installed. There's a new defensive quarter,

884
00:42:33,840 --> 00:42:35,920
Speaker 2: but who cares. This is Tom Allen's defense. Not much

885
00:42:35,960 --> 00:42:38,799
Speaker 2: it's gonna change from last year, right, So I don't

886
00:42:38,840 --> 00:42:41,000
Speaker 2: think that you know, in Petricks last year, Look, Iowa

887
00:42:41,040 --> 00:42:42,439
Speaker 2: you have to get them credit. They were They only

888
00:42:42,440 --> 00:42:44,719
Speaker 2: had six practices. They were the fifth youngest team last year,

889
00:42:45,280 --> 00:42:48,880
Speaker 2: and they almost went undefeated. I mean they won their

890
00:42:49,080 --> 00:42:51,720
Speaker 2: final I think five games. They blew two leads early

891
00:42:51,760 --> 00:42:53,799
Speaker 2: on in the year, in the two fourth quarter leads.

892
00:42:53,840 --> 00:42:55,279
Speaker 2: They could have been undefeated last year. And by the

893
00:42:55,320 --> 00:42:58,359
Speaker 2: way from Penn State people, they closed the year very

894
00:42:58,400 --> 00:43:00,080
Speaker 2: strong as well. They won I think five straight to

895
00:43:00,080 --> 00:43:01,439
Speaker 2: close the year. I have to throw that out there.

896
00:43:01,719 --> 00:43:04,879
Speaker 2: But Petrist improved as the year went on. But this

897
00:43:04,920 --> 00:43:08,400
Speaker 2: is not an explosive offense, least explosive offense in the country.

898
00:43:08,600 --> 00:43:11,400
Speaker 2: They lose Smith. They lost Smith and Smith Marsett at receiver.

899
00:43:12,680 --> 00:43:14,719
Speaker 2: So I mean those two guys made NFL. I think.

900
00:43:14,840 --> 00:43:16,799
Speaker 2: I don't know if it's spit More sets on an

901
00:43:16,840 --> 00:43:18,919
Speaker 2: NFL roster, I don't. I think Smith's on the Cowboys. Still,

902
00:43:18,920 --> 00:43:22,200
Speaker 2: those two guys who made NFL rosters and they had

903
00:43:22,600 --> 00:43:25,880
Speaker 2: the least explosive offense in the countries. I have questions about.

904
00:43:26,360 --> 00:43:30,160
Speaker 2: I just don't see Iowa. You know, I think the

905
00:43:30,160 --> 00:43:32,319
Speaker 2: tight end can have some success, a really good tight end,

906
00:43:32,920 --> 00:43:36,400
Speaker 2: but the offensive line lost some players. You have a

907
00:43:36,440 --> 00:43:39,440
Speaker 2: really good center, but you've lost a couple pros and

908
00:43:39,480 --> 00:43:42,719
Speaker 2: I know Farens offensive line guy, did they develop their

909
00:43:42,719 --> 00:43:45,000
Speaker 2: offensive line very quickly? In their offenseive is always gonna

910
00:43:45,000 --> 00:43:48,480
Speaker 2: be good. But yeah, I just see both. I see

911
00:43:48,480 --> 00:43:50,720
Speaker 2: a lot of advantages for the defenses, and I see

912
00:43:51,280 --> 00:43:54,920
Speaker 2: I don't see many explosive players in this game, which

913
00:43:55,000 --> 00:43:58,520
Speaker 2: is going to make it look like if it goes

914
00:43:58,560 --> 00:44:01,600
Speaker 2: according to al, I'm picking make it look like a

915
00:44:01,760 --> 00:44:04,200
Speaker 2: you know, old So Beth Moone should be on the

916
00:44:04,200 --> 00:44:07,240
Speaker 2: call for this game. That's going to be a rock fight.

917
00:44:07,400 --> 00:44:10,120
Speaker 2: And Iowa can't rely on fifty five maybe not fifty

918
00:44:10,120 --> 00:44:13,279
Speaker 2: five yarders. Their star kicker, Keith Duncan is no longer there.

919
00:44:13,920 --> 00:44:15,399
Speaker 2: What do you see here? Do you agree on my under?

920
00:44:15,960 --> 00:44:17,840
Speaker 4: No? One makes a three to zero football game in

921
00:44:17,920 --> 00:44:22,080
Speaker 4: the third quarter more exciting than Beth's call. I love it. So.

922
00:44:22,120 --> 00:44:25,000
Speaker 4: The handicap on Iowa the summer was they're fielding two

923
00:44:25,040 --> 00:44:28,120
Speaker 4: defensive tackles that weigh, you know, maybe two hundred and

924
00:44:28,160 --> 00:44:31,319
Speaker 4: eighty pounds with their with their pads on. And that

925
00:44:31,520 --> 00:44:33,480
Speaker 4: was an area of concern for me. But it was

926
00:44:33,480 --> 00:44:36,080
Speaker 4: an area of concern against Indiana because they can't expose

927
00:44:36,160 --> 00:44:40,160
Speaker 4: that and we've talked at nauseum about the the luck

928
00:44:40,360 --> 00:44:43,080
Speaker 4: that was involved in some of Indiana's season. Now they've

929
00:44:43,120 --> 00:44:45,279
Speaker 4: lost some of their targets, we don't know about Penix's health.

930
00:44:46,360 --> 00:44:48,520
Speaker 4: You know this is they were the biggest regression candidate

931
00:44:48,560 --> 00:44:50,960
Speaker 4: on the board, and all of that's been said. And

932
00:44:51,000 --> 00:44:53,919
Speaker 4: then with Iowa, the worry was the defensive tackles, which

933
00:44:54,160 --> 00:44:57,080
Speaker 4: really can't be attacked by Indiana. And then the worry

934
00:44:57,200 --> 00:45:00,440
Speaker 4: was that they've lost their explosive targets on the out side.

935
00:45:00,480 --> 00:45:06,040
Speaker 4: But the more you read into practice reports, Spencer Petris

936
00:45:06,040 --> 00:45:09,160
Speaker 4: may win the Heisman Trophy. Now I say that with

937
00:45:09,239 --> 00:45:11,440
Speaker 4: a little bit of a laugh. But Kirk Ferentz yesterday

938
00:45:11,520 --> 00:45:13,719
Speaker 4: is coming out saying Spencer went into the last season cold,

939
00:45:13,760 --> 00:45:16,800
Speaker 4: with no spring practice, no fall camp. He had COVID,

940
00:45:16,800 --> 00:45:20,400
Speaker 4: he was quarantined for thirty days and it really kind

941
00:45:20,440 --> 00:45:22,160
Speaker 4: of set him back at the start of last season.

942
00:45:23,320 --> 00:45:26,839
Speaker 4: The difference between last year to right now is night

943
00:45:26,960 --> 00:45:29,200
Speaker 4: and day. Now, that's great hearing that from your head coach.

944
00:45:29,800 --> 00:45:32,719
Speaker 4: When you're surprising Kirk Ferance with the way that you're

945
00:45:32,760 --> 00:45:35,400
Speaker 4: throwing the ball, that's good news. But what else is

946
00:45:35,440 --> 00:45:37,320
Speaker 4: your coach going to say? I think what's more important

947
00:45:37,360 --> 00:45:41,160
Speaker 4: is the fourth year cornerback Riley Moss is Spencer Petris's roommate,

948
00:45:41,560 --> 00:45:43,520
Speaker 4: and you know, they're going against each other every day

949
00:45:43,520 --> 00:45:46,319
Speaker 4: in practice. And Moss, you know, was quotea saying you

950
00:45:46,320 --> 00:45:48,680
Speaker 4: can tell he's a lot more comfortable. He is slinging

951
00:45:48,719 --> 00:45:51,000
Speaker 4: the ball, he's not thinking about it. He's laid back,

952
00:45:51,080 --> 00:45:54,120
Speaker 4: and he's accurate. I am really excited to see what

953
00:45:54,160 --> 00:45:55,960
Speaker 4: our offense is going to be able to do. And

954
00:45:56,040 --> 00:45:58,560
Speaker 4: Spencer Petris was asked about it his you know, first

955
00:45:58,600 --> 00:46:01,640
Speaker 4: press conference, first ever, right he's not on zoom anymore,

956
00:46:01,760 --> 00:46:04,560
Speaker 4: and he said, I'm a little surprised myself at how

957
00:46:04,600 --> 00:46:07,319
Speaker 4: fast I'm processing stuff, getting us the right play at

958
00:46:07,320 --> 00:46:09,120
Speaker 4: the right time, and as fast as I can do it.

959
00:46:09,600 --> 00:46:11,759
Speaker 4: I feel good about both of those things. These are

960
00:46:11,800 --> 00:46:13,040
Speaker 4: really encouraging signs.

961
00:46:13,080 --> 00:46:13,239
Speaker 2: Now.

962
00:46:13,280 --> 00:46:15,600
Speaker 4: I know there's no proven targets out there for Iowa.

963
00:46:15,880 --> 00:46:17,960
Speaker 4: This line is moving the other way. And the reason

964
00:46:18,000 --> 00:46:20,080
Speaker 4: why the line I make this Iowa minus six and.

965
00:46:20,080 --> 00:46:22,000
Speaker 2: A half and five and a half.

966
00:46:22,120 --> 00:46:24,120
Speaker 4: Yeah, and the line is moving the other way. I mean,

967
00:46:24,400 --> 00:46:28,440
Speaker 4: this is becoming a prime candidate for our boat anchor

968
00:46:28,719 --> 00:46:30,359
Speaker 4: that we like to use on our money line round

969
00:46:30,440 --> 00:46:33,200
Speaker 4: Robin Parlay, I have I have no issues laying Iowa

970
00:46:33,280 --> 00:46:35,960
Speaker 4: and some juice and a game that probably should be

971
00:46:36,000 --> 00:46:38,880
Speaker 4: pretty tight. You know, Spencer Petris is you know, opening

972
00:46:38,920 --> 00:46:41,080
Speaker 4: game and Kinnick with the place is gonna be loaded

973
00:46:41,120 --> 00:46:43,000
Speaker 4: with fans, and there's gonna be waving to the Children's

974
00:46:43,000 --> 00:46:46,360
Speaker 4: hospital and there's a big moment. Indiana secondary is tough,

975
00:46:46,600 --> 00:46:49,080
Speaker 4: but I think we're gonna see what the plan is

976
00:46:49,080 --> 00:46:52,239
Speaker 4: in the passing game. We have unproven targets. But at

977
00:46:52,280 --> 00:46:54,399
Speaker 4: the same time, I'm you know, if you read between

978
00:46:54,440 --> 00:46:58,160
Speaker 4: the lines from coaches and roommates that are playing in

979
00:46:58,160 --> 00:47:00,640
Speaker 4: the secondary on the other side of the ball through scrimmage,

980
00:47:01,040 --> 00:47:04,000
Speaker 4: they're saying that Spencer Petris is a completely different player.

981
00:47:04,440 --> 00:47:06,759
Speaker 4: So I'm looking to back Iowa all the way here.

982
00:47:06,840 --> 00:47:09,560
Speaker 4: I'll just continue to let the line go down as

983
00:47:09,600 --> 00:47:11,640
Speaker 4: everybody eats up this Hoosiers love.

984
00:47:12,440 --> 00:47:14,640
Speaker 2: Yeah, it's worth there. I mean Iowa, they their their

985
00:47:14,680 --> 00:47:16,800
Speaker 2: tackle they are swapping their tackles. They have one of

986
00:47:16,840 --> 00:47:19,719
Speaker 2: the best centers in college football, and Tyl Lenderbaum. Uh,

987
00:47:19,760 --> 00:47:21,360
Speaker 2: they have two new guards though they're gonna lean a

988
00:47:21,400 --> 00:47:24,200
Speaker 2: lot on Tyler Goodson. It's it's Iowa running back Samba

989
00:47:24,239 --> 00:47:26,239
Speaker 2: Porta is a very promising tight end. It's tight end

990
00:47:26,280 --> 00:47:28,440
Speaker 2: you at Iowa. I agree with you. I mean the

991
00:47:28,560 --> 00:47:31,640
Speaker 2: total is also coming down. So and it's an Iowa

992
00:47:31,680 --> 00:47:34,400
Speaker 2: game where so many of them are decided. You know,

993
00:47:34,400 --> 00:47:37,560
Speaker 2: they win by three four, so you know, if people

994
00:47:37,600 --> 00:47:40,239
Speaker 2: are anticipating this is gonna be really close, low scoring game,

995
00:47:40,320 --> 00:47:42,640
Speaker 2: it makes sense that the the line would come down.

996
00:47:42,800 --> 00:47:44,880
Speaker 2: If I can get Iowa under a at you know,

997
00:47:44,960 --> 00:47:47,319
Speaker 2: under a field goal, I'm on it. So I hope

998
00:47:47,320 --> 00:47:50,080
Speaker 2: it does keep coming down. I am lower than the

999
00:47:50,080 --> 00:47:52,440
Speaker 2: market on Indiana. I bet she's went total under. They

1000
00:47:52,440 --> 00:47:54,480
Speaker 2: have a lot of aggression coming in the turnover department,

1001
00:47:54,760 --> 00:47:57,719
Speaker 2: red zone. We don't know if Pannix is healthy, and

1002
00:47:57,800 --> 00:48:00,439
Speaker 2: I just don't think it's a good matchup for their

1003
00:48:00,440 --> 00:48:02,759
Speaker 2: offense here. They don't have the power rushing attack that

1004
00:48:02,800 --> 00:48:06,000
Speaker 2: I can think that I think can attack the underbelly,

1005
00:48:06,000 --> 00:48:08,760
Speaker 2: the potentially weak underbelly of this Iowa defense.

1006
00:48:09,200 --> 00:48:09,399
Speaker 4: Yeah.

1007
00:48:09,640 --> 00:48:12,160
Speaker 2: So, but it's an Iowa game, Like I don't really

1008
00:48:12,200 --> 00:48:15,040
Speaker 2: love the idea of laying. You know, when an at

1009
00:48:15,160 --> 00:48:17,920
Speaker 2: five six in a game, I think, now it's going

1010
00:48:17,960 --> 00:48:19,480
Speaker 2: to go under. So this is coming down if it

1011
00:48:19,480 --> 00:48:20,879
Speaker 2: goes under three. I agree with you.

1012
00:48:21,920 --> 00:48:23,440
Speaker 4: I think we have to mention though for people that

1013
00:48:23,480 --> 00:48:25,719
Speaker 4: I mean, like, I have a dime on Indiana under, right,

1014
00:48:26,200 --> 00:48:28,360
Speaker 4: and I paid a hell of a bunch of juice

1015
00:48:28,360 --> 00:48:29,759
Speaker 4: to get it at the number that I got it.

1016
00:48:30,080 --> 00:48:31,600
Speaker 4: But if you're you know, sitting at the seven and

1017
00:48:31,640 --> 00:48:34,279
Speaker 4: a half or whatever, maybe you don't want to play

1018
00:48:34,280 --> 00:48:36,480
Speaker 4: Iowa money line because you're gonna have to have this game,

1019
00:48:36,880 --> 00:48:39,040
Speaker 4: so you know, bet accordingly. You don't want to double

1020
00:48:39,120 --> 00:48:41,719
Speaker 4: up on Iowa and also have the win total at

1021
00:48:41,719 --> 00:48:44,040
Speaker 4: the same time, So you know, I'm loaded into the

1022
00:48:44,080 --> 00:48:47,640
Speaker 4: Indiana under I need Iowa to win here also, so

1023
00:48:47,920 --> 00:48:50,040
Speaker 4: you know, just bet accordingly. Don't forget that these games

1024
00:48:50,040 --> 00:48:52,160
Speaker 4: are going to play big in the futures market, especially

1025
00:48:52,239 --> 00:48:55,359
Speaker 4: when especially when you take Illinois over three and a half, right,

1026
00:48:55,640 --> 00:48:57,759
Speaker 4: and things like that happened last week. So make sure

1027
00:48:57,800 --> 00:48:59,720
Speaker 4: you remember your future's bets when you make this play.

1028
00:49:00,200 --> 00:49:02,319
Speaker 2: Yeah, by the way, Iowa twenty two straight games on

1029
00:49:02,480 --> 00:49:06,680
Speaker 2: twenty five points or less. That's the longest current FBS streak,

1030
00:49:08,520 --> 00:49:10,000
Speaker 2: and you're gonna if you're back the under with me.

1031
00:49:10,080 --> 00:49:11,640
Speaker 2: Of to top two, what I think could be to

1032
00:49:11,840 --> 00:49:14,360
Speaker 2: top ten secondaries in college football.

1033
00:49:14,000 --> 00:49:15,759
Speaker 4: It's actually not gonna be hot. It's not gonna be

1034
00:49:15,760 --> 00:49:17,640
Speaker 4: hot there. It also be seventy four degrees like what

1035
00:49:17,680 --> 00:49:20,240
Speaker 4: a perfect day like? I don't know whether baby yeah?

1036
00:49:20,520 --> 00:49:21,719
Speaker 4: Love it all?

1037
00:49:21,800 --> 00:49:25,279
Speaker 2: Right, Let's move on to some non big ten and

1038
00:49:25,360 --> 00:49:31,360
Speaker 2: let's talk Alabama Miami three point thirty Eastern on ESPN

1039
00:49:32,239 --> 00:49:34,680
Speaker 2: at wind Bet. Alabama is a nineteen and a half

1040
00:49:34,719 --> 00:49:39,880
Speaker 2: point favorite over under sixty one under Nick Saban. Alabama

1041
00:49:40,000 --> 00:49:44,000
Speaker 2: fourteen and oh in season openers eleven and two and

1042
00:49:44,080 --> 00:49:47,160
Speaker 2: one against the spread, six and oh against the spread

1043
00:49:47,239 --> 00:49:50,759
Speaker 2: against ranked opponents, winning by an average margin of just

1044
00:49:50,880 --> 00:49:53,680
Speaker 2: under twenty four points per game. All those wins came

1045
00:49:53,680 --> 00:49:56,960
Speaker 2: by double digits. And I'm gonna tell you what if

1046
00:49:57,000 --> 00:49:59,279
Speaker 2: I had a barometer up here to say whether you

1047
00:49:59,280 --> 00:50:02,480
Speaker 2: were given effort, there was about fifty percent. Why did

1048
00:50:02,480 --> 00:50:06,359
Speaker 2: you push yourself? So the question is do you have

1049
00:50:07,080 --> 00:50:11,080
Speaker 2: the stones to back Miami? Now? I think that there's

1050
00:50:11,120 --> 00:50:15,000
Speaker 2: a ton of value in this number. And I've seen

1051
00:50:15,200 --> 00:50:17,279
Speaker 2: a twenty pop up which I'll be on. I'm just

1052
00:50:17,320 --> 00:50:20,680
Speaker 2: waiting to see. There's there's respected money on on Alabama.

1053
00:50:20,760 --> 00:50:22,719
Speaker 2: There's also gonna be square money on Albama, but there

1054
00:50:22,719 --> 00:50:24,759
Speaker 2: is respective money on Alabama here. I think this sign

1055
00:50:24,800 --> 00:50:27,960
Speaker 2: should be like under two touchdowns, so give me the

1056
00:50:28,000 --> 00:50:30,560
Speaker 2: twenty one. It's obviously me be in an Alabama premium. Is

1057
00:50:30,640 --> 00:50:33,399
Speaker 2: Derek King fully healthy? Reports are yes, but that's a question,

1058
00:50:33,520 --> 00:50:37,319
Speaker 2: just like Pennix recovering from a season ending injury last year.

1059
00:50:37,760 --> 00:50:39,799
Speaker 2: But you know, look, we've been over Alabama a bunch

1060
00:50:39,840 --> 00:50:43,520
Speaker 2: of our preseason pres new offensive coordinator, new quarterback, you know,

1061
00:50:43,840 --> 00:50:47,239
Speaker 2: you know, offensive line there, lost a lot of talent there,

1062
00:50:47,400 --> 00:50:50,520
Speaker 2: lost a ton unprecedented amount of NFL talented receiver of

1063
00:50:50,560 --> 00:50:53,680
Speaker 2: the past two seasons. So the same continuity isn't there,

1064
00:50:53,760 --> 00:50:56,560
Speaker 2: But it's Nick Saban and it's Alabama. They reload. But

1065
00:50:56,640 --> 00:50:59,520
Speaker 2: I do think that the album is much closer to

1066
00:50:59,520 --> 00:51:02,000
Speaker 2: the version two years ago that we wanted to fade.

1067
00:51:02,400 --> 00:51:05,200
Speaker 2: Then last year's version, which he said, nope, don't talk.

1068
00:51:05,360 --> 00:51:07,239
Speaker 2: Last year's ruled everyone. Tw years ago, they didn't make

1069
00:51:07,239 --> 00:51:09,920
Speaker 2: a couge twelve plow so you know, but I think

1070
00:51:09,960 --> 00:51:14,120
Speaker 2: there's value in this number, Miami. If Derek King's healthy,

1071
00:51:14,480 --> 00:51:17,800
Speaker 2: type of quarterback that can give the Alabama defense trouble.

1072
00:51:18,640 --> 00:51:21,320
Speaker 2: He's very mobile. Alabama plays a lot of man defense.

1073
00:51:22,120 --> 00:51:25,920
Speaker 2: You've seen some quarterbacks that fit his profile give Saban's

1074
00:51:26,000 --> 00:51:29,759
Speaker 2: defenses some issues in the past. It's obviously one of

1075
00:51:29,760 --> 00:51:32,680
Speaker 2: the most talented quarterbacks in the country. Miami defense not

1076
00:51:32,719 --> 00:51:35,680
Speaker 2: great last year, but many dias takes over the reins.

1077
00:51:35,719 --> 00:51:37,640
Speaker 2: I think that they're going to be improved this year,

1078
00:51:37,760 --> 00:51:41,279
Speaker 2: led by Bubba Bolden, potential All American at safety. So

1079
00:51:41,320 --> 00:51:43,239
Speaker 2: it's a scary fading Alabama. It's just when you look

1080
00:51:43,239 --> 00:51:44,520
Speaker 2: at some of these numbers, I mean, six and l

1081
00:51:44,560 --> 00:51:46,840
Speaker 2: against the spread against frank opponents in the season opener,

1082
00:51:46,880 --> 00:51:49,080
Speaker 2: they come out fire and they're ready. Saban has them ready.

1083
00:51:49,360 --> 00:51:51,080
Speaker 2: Average margin of victory twenty four. But this line is

1084
00:51:51,080 --> 00:51:55,000
Speaker 2: simply too high. So at twenty I'm gonna be on Miami.

1085
00:51:55,040 --> 00:51:56,600
Speaker 2: I'm just gonna wait and see if this thing. To

1086
00:51:56,640 --> 00:51:58,560
Speaker 2: hear the twenty one thoughts.

1087
00:51:58,320 --> 00:51:59,960
Speaker 4: Yeah, I took a different angle in this and it's

1088
00:52:00,080 --> 00:52:02,520
Speaker 4: you want like a further detailed breakdown of it. My

1089
00:52:02,640 --> 00:52:04,400
Speaker 4: write up will be out on Action Network, So I

1090
00:52:04,440 --> 00:52:07,640
Speaker 4: encourage everybody to go read that, because when you.

1091
00:52:07,280 --> 00:52:09,360
Speaker 2: Please preface that you took a different angle by first

1092
00:52:09,640 --> 00:52:13,000
Speaker 2: say I'm scared. I'm scared of fade.

1093
00:52:14,600 --> 00:52:18,160
Speaker 4: Of fading Nick Saban. Here, I mean let's I don't

1094
00:52:18,200 --> 00:52:20,360
Speaker 4: know what this podcast would be so much easier for

1095
00:52:20,520 --> 00:52:22,080
Speaker 4: over the years if you and I just showed up

1096
00:52:22,080 --> 00:52:24,200
Speaker 4: and said, we're bet in Alabama. We'll see you next week.

1097
00:52:24,400 --> 00:52:28,200
Speaker 2: Right first half, double first half for double right.

1098
00:52:28,280 --> 00:52:30,200
Speaker 4: Odds makers make the spread twenty one in the first

1099
00:52:30,200 --> 00:52:31,800
Speaker 4: half and twenty one for the full game. We're just

1100
00:52:31,840 --> 00:52:35,719
Speaker 4: gonna lay Alabama. We'll see you next week. Call the voicemails. No,

1101
00:52:35,880 --> 00:52:38,719
Speaker 4: I don't want to fa save in here whatsoever. And

1102
00:52:39,480 --> 00:52:44,080
Speaker 4: I this is listen. Two years ago, LSU oddsmakers couldn't

1103
00:52:44,160 --> 00:52:46,520
Speaker 4: keep up math guys like myself couldn't keep up. No

1104
00:52:46,520 --> 00:52:49,200
Speaker 4: one could put a number on that team. Last year Alabama,

1105
00:52:49,560 --> 00:52:51,359
Speaker 4: no one could put a number on that team. Maybe

1106
00:52:51,400 --> 00:52:54,040
Speaker 4: the greatest season ever from a college football team, first

1107
00:52:54,120 --> 00:52:57,520
Speaker 4: ever ten game SEC slate went undefeated, won the College

1108
00:52:57,520 --> 00:53:00,520
Speaker 4: Football Playoff. Not only that, when nine and four against

1109
00:53:00,520 --> 00:53:03,160
Speaker 4: the spread, and then injected a whole bunch of talent

1110
00:53:03,200 --> 00:53:07,240
Speaker 4: into the NFL. All this going on while Nick Saban

1111
00:53:07,480 --> 00:53:10,320
Speaker 4: becomes the winning his coach all time in national championships

1112
00:53:10,320 --> 00:53:13,080
Speaker 4: and ties Bear Bryant at Alabama one more to go

1113
00:53:13,160 --> 00:53:15,840
Speaker 4: to get above the Bear. So you know, the Hurricanes

1114
00:53:15,840 --> 00:53:18,279
Speaker 4: they didn't have a bad season. They went eight and three.

1115
00:53:18,400 --> 00:53:21,120
Speaker 4: They lost their biggest games on the schedule against North

1116
00:53:21,120 --> 00:53:23,800
Speaker 4: Carolina and Clemson, So I mean there's good news and

1117
00:53:23,840 --> 00:53:25,520
Speaker 4: bad news there. I mean, the good news is they

1118
00:53:25,560 --> 00:53:28,400
Speaker 4: finally remedied these issues where they have long layoffs and

1119
00:53:28,400 --> 00:53:29,879
Speaker 4: they show up to the Independence Bowl and they don't

1120
00:53:29,880 --> 00:53:31,560
Speaker 4: look like they know what the hell they're doing. They

1121
00:53:31,560 --> 00:53:34,320
Speaker 4: finally started showing up off bye weeks like many. Diaz

1122
00:53:34,320 --> 00:53:37,120
Speaker 4: actually had a scheduled game plan for these guys in

1123
00:53:37,280 --> 00:53:39,640
Speaker 4: extra time off, so we don't have to worry about

1124
00:53:39,640 --> 00:53:43,040
Speaker 4: that anymore. Miami be a complete fade, although you know,

1125
00:53:43,280 --> 00:53:45,560
Speaker 4: we'll have to see, you know, where they're at here

1126
00:53:45,560 --> 00:53:48,080
Speaker 4: with this against Alabama, because the health of dear King

1127
00:53:48,160 --> 00:53:50,520
Speaker 4: is the biggest story for the Hurricanes coming into this game.

1128
00:53:51,000 --> 00:53:54,840
Speaker 4: During scrimmages, his first scrimmage, he made a bunch of

1129
00:53:54,880 --> 00:53:57,879
Speaker 4: cuts on the turf and he looked one hundred percent

1130
00:53:57,920 --> 00:54:00,959
Speaker 4: ready for this game. I'm not that worried about deer

1131
00:54:01,000 --> 00:54:04,080
Speaker 4: At King's health going into this game, considering he's had

1132
00:54:04,080 --> 00:54:07,400
Speaker 4: two scrimmages and he's made cuts just fine around this defense.

1133
00:54:08,120 --> 00:54:10,080
Speaker 4: I'm a little bit more worried about his health coming

1134
00:54:10,080 --> 00:54:13,560
Speaker 4: out of this game. Considering the strength of this Alabama team,

1135
00:54:13,600 --> 00:54:16,319
Speaker 4: the heartbeat of this team this year is going to

1136
00:54:16,320 --> 00:54:20,240
Speaker 4: be that defense, especially the back seven. As for Miami,

1137
00:54:20,320 --> 00:54:22,759
Speaker 4: the defense returns ninety percent per tarp. That's a lot

1138
00:54:22,880 --> 00:54:25,479
Speaker 4: success right in the finishing drives. Each took a dip

1139
00:54:25,560 --> 00:54:27,759
Speaker 4: last year. One thing that didn't take a dip though

1140
00:54:27,840 --> 00:54:29,960
Speaker 4: was the Hurricanes Havoc. They were twelfth in the nation.

1141
00:54:30,360 --> 00:54:32,560
Speaker 4: They continue to get the ball turnover, they continue to

1142
00:54:32,560 --> 00:54:35,400
Speaker 4: get in backfields. That's something to watch for. With Alabama,

1143
00:54:35,440 --> 00:54:38,360
Speaker 4: they're having a competition at center. You know, one of

1144
00:54:38,400 --> 00:54:40,719
Speaker 4: the fifth year seniors competing for the job puts up

1145
00:54:40,760 --> 00:54:43,319
Speaker 4: some of the worst run and pass blocking grades. So

1146
00:54:43,400 --> 00:54:45,720
Speaker 4: it's important to watch how the offensive line is after.

1147
00:54:45,840 --> 00:54:48,160
Speaker 4: You know, they basically, like I said, ejected a bunch

1148
00:54:48,160 --> 00:54:51,320
Speaker 4: of players out of college ball and into the NFL.

1149
00:54:52,200 --> 00:54:55,040
Speaker 4: And we've said this before. The current spread, you're paying

1150
00:54:55,120 --> 00:54:59,240
Speaker 4: twenty twenty prices in twenty twenty one for the Crimson Tide.

1151
00:54:59,280 --> 00:55:04,200
Speaker 4: It's just too high. But at what point what are

1152
00:55:04,200 --> 00:55:05,840
Speaker 4: you gonna do? You're gonna trust the numbers or are

1153
00:55:05,880 --> 00:55:07,360
Speaker 4: you gonna just keep rolling with saban?

1154
00:55:07,640 --> 00:55:09,480
Speaker 2: Why did you push yourself and.

1155
00:55:09,440 --> 00:55:11,760
Speaker 4: You know, look at what's lost on the defense. Patrick's

1156
00:55:11,760 --> 00:55:13,799
Speaker 4: certain is out. But then they go and they get

1157
00:55:13,840 --> 00:55:17,280
Speaker 4: a five star recruit. The kids got this unbelievable ranking

1158
00:55:17,400 --> 00:55:21,319
Speaker 4: at cornerback in kool Aid McKinstry like just watching yeah,

1159
00:55:21,360 --> 00:55:23,560
Speaker 4: watching film mkool aid was like the highlight of my

1160
00:55:23,600 --> 00:55:26,880
Speaker 4: week here doing digging research. This Bama defense has the

1161
00:55:26,920 --> 00:55:29,279
Speaker 4: ability to be the best. I think they're gonna be

1162
00:55:29,320 --> 00:55:31,200
Speaker 4: the best back seven in the nation. We'll save the

1163
00:55:31,200 --> 00:55:33,440
Speaker 4: Clems in Georgia talk for the best front seven in

1164
00:55:33,480 --> 00:55:35,120
Speaker 4: the nation, but this will be the best, the best

1165
00:55:35,160 --> 00:55:38,239
Speaker 4: back seven in the nation. The defensive line has had,

1166
00:55:39,200 --> 00:55:41,040
Speaker 4: you know, a couple of new faces in there. We'll

1167
00:55:41,040 --> 00:55:42,520
Speaker 4: see what they can do from a nose tackle, what

1168
00:55:42,560 --> 00:55:45,400
Speaker 4: they can do in the A gaps. But you know,

1169
00:55:45,480 --> 00:55:49,600
Speaker 4: the biggest issue for Miami is defensive coordinator Pete Golding

1170
00:55:49,640 --> 00:55:52,320
Speaker 4: and his attention to details. They always line up correctly,

1171
00:55:52,360 --> 00:55:54,719
Speaker 4: even when Alabama had bad defenses. A couple of years ago,

1172
00:55:55,120 --> 00:55:58,040
Speaker 4: Saban jumped down Golding shit and was just all over

1173
00:55:58,080 --> 00:56:01,640
Speaker 4: him about fundamentals on defense, Tackling head on the side

1174
00:56:01,640 --> 00:56:04,480
Speaker 4: of the football, lining up in the correct spots. Those

1175
00:56:04,480 --> 00:56:06,560
Speaker 4: things kind of got lost with Golding and Saban was

1176
00:56:06,600 --> 00:56:09,040
Speaker 4: paying more attention to the defense. If you read some

1177
00:56:09,080 --> 00:56:11,799
Speaker 4: of the practice reports, Saban could care less about what

1178
00:56:11,840 --> 00:56:14,560
Speaker 4: Bill Brian's doing on offense. He is still working with

1179
00:56:14,560 --> 00:56:17,000
Speaker 4: Pete Golding on the defense. So what does that tell me?

1180
00:56:17,640 --> 00:56:20,719
Speaker 4: Miami's in big trouble because, like I said, their two

1181
00:56:20,719 --> 00:56:22,880
Speaker 4: losses last year, we're to North Carolina and Clemson, And

1182
00:56:22,920 --> 00:56:25,399
Speaker 4: do you know why they lost those games? Because those

1183
00:56:25,400 --> 00:56:29,120
Speaker 4: two teams can tackle in space. And when you look

1184
00:56:29,160 --> 00:56:31,959
Speaker 4: at deere King against the defense like Clemson last year,

1185
00:56:32,200 --> 00:56:34,319
Speaker 4: if you take out the one explosive run he had,

1186
00:56:34,360 --> 00:56:36,640
Speaker 4: he had an explosive run for like fifty six yards

1187
00:56:37,040 --> 00:56:39,400
Speaker 4: in the second quarter. If you take that out, he

1188
00:56:39,440 --> 00:56:41,960
Speaker 4: had thirteen attempts on only twenty eight yards when he

1189
00:56:42,040 --> 00:56:44,880
Speaker 4: had designed runs. And when a team can tackle in

1190
00:56:44,920 --> 00:56:49,160
Speaker 4: space at the elite level of Clemson, that's big trouble

1191
00:56:49,160 --> 00:56:51,560
Speaker 4: for deerk King, no matter how healthy he is, no

1192
00:56:51,560 --> 00:56:54,440
Speaker 4: matter how great he's doing. A defense like Alabama and

1193
00:56:54,480 --> 00:56:56,759
Speaker 4: what they've got in the back seven, loaded with all

1194
00:56:56,760 --> 00:56:59,120
Speaker 4: of this NFL talent, I don't think Dierek King's gonna

1195
00:56:59,080 --> 00:57:01,440
Speaker 4: be able to do much in open space whatsoever. So

1196
00:57:01,920 --> 00:57:03,960
Speaker 4: I think that's the great equalizer to the tempo and

1197
00:57:04,000 --> 00:57:06,719
Speaker 4: the rpo that RTT Lashley wants to put out there.

1198
00:57:07,080 --> 00:57:08,719
Speaker 4: You know, the point of attack for Miami and is

1199
00:57:08,719 --> 00:57:10,520
Speaker 4: going to be the new defensive line of Alabama. But

1200
00:57:10,600 --> 00:57:12,880
Speaker 4: I mean there's gonna be a clear limitation on explosive

1201
00:57:12,880 --> 00:57:16,040
Speaker 4: plays the Hurricanes are, you know, both through the air

1202
00:57:16,080 --> 00:57:18,919
Speaker 4: and on the ground. You know, there's just Malachai More

1203
00:57:19,120 --> 00:57:21,560
Speaker 4: just shut down slots. Last year, nobody got anything out

1204
00:57:21,560 --> 00:57:24,200
Speaker 4: of the slop position because of Malachi More. He returns.

1205
00:57:24,480 --> 00:57:26,560
Speaker 4: Can't wait to see kool aid start shutting people down.

1206
00:57:28,360 --> 00:57:31,400
Speaker 4: Oh yeah, what about the Bama offense? Right? What are

1207
00:57:31,440 --> 00:57:32,840
Speaker 4: we going to do about Bryce Young and a new

1208
00:57:32,880 --> 00:57:36,560
Speaker 4: quarterback against this? I don't know Miami defense where many

1209
00:57:36,600 --> 00:57:38,600
Speaker 4: Diaz has taken a couple of linebackers put him at

1210
00:57:38,600 --> 00:57:41,680
Speaker 4: the end. He's trying to be thinner, faster. You still

1211
00:57:41,680 --> 00:57:44,880
Speaker 4: can get pushed around by bigger guys. Bill O'Brien said

1212
00:57:44,880 --> 00:57:48,080
Speaker 4: this in the preseason SEC pod. What ran the most

1213
00:57:48,120 --> 00:57:52,040
Speaker 4: twelve formation out of any NFL head coach? That means

1214
00:57:52,040 --> 00:57:54,800
Speaker 4: he ran two tight ends. What did Sark do? I

1215
00:57:54,800 --> 00:57:57,720
Speaker 4: mean the numbers of what Sark did or still amazed

1216
00:57:57,760 --> 00:58:00,400
Speaker 4: me like the efficiency of this offense last year was

1217
00:58:00,440 --> 00:58:02,480
Speaker 4: just out of control. But go back and research in

1218
00:58:02,520 --> 00:58:05,840
Speaker 4: the numbers. In twenty nineteen, Sark ran the twelve formation,

1219
00:58:05,960 --> 00:58:08,600
Speaker 4: two tight end set just on twenty two percent of snaps.

1220
00:58:09,000 --> 00:58:12,960
Speaker 4: In twenty nineteen, that doubled to forty five percent. Last year,

1221
00:58:13,040 --> 00:58:16,160
Speaker 4: Sark ran two tight ends the twelve formation. It became

1222
00:58:16,240 --> 00:58:19,600
Speaker 4: a huge thing. So Bill O'Brien running the Texans in

1223
00:58:19,640 --> 00:58:21,680
Speaker 4: twelve all the time and coming into Alabama where Sark

1224
00:58:21,760 --> 00:58:25,000
Speaker 4: was running twelve and half the snaps, it's no change whatsoever.

1225
00:58:25,120 --> 00:58:26,720
Speaker 4: I mean, the only problem that's been come up on

1226
00:58:26,760 --> 00:58:29,640
Speaker 4: offense with the tight ends is Joe Billingsley having disciplinary

1227
00:58:29,680 --> 00:58:31,480
Speaker 4: issues and Saban has made mention that he's got to

1228
00:58:31,560 --> 00:58:33,680
Speaker 4: learn to live within our rules. I'm not saying that

1229
00:58:33,680 --> 00:58:35,640
Speaker 4: Bryce Young is going to be dumping off the tight ends,

1230
00:58:35,880 --> 00:58:38,800
Speaker 4: but they're going to use the tight end sets, multiple

1231
00:58:38,840 --> 00:58:42,520
Speaker 4: tight ends to disguise things, to move pockets to protect

1232
00:58:42,520 --> 00:58:45,400
Speaker 4: Bryce Young, and like I said about Sean Clifford, put

1233
00:58:45,480 --> 00:58:49,360
Speaker 4: him in low risk situations where you know DeVonta Smith

1234
00:58:49,440 --> 00:58:52,240
Speaker 4: was doing end to rounds or Jalen Wattle was doing motion.

1235
00:58:52,320 --> 00:58:54,520
Speaker 4: There's going to be a lot of motion here a

1236
00:58:54,520 --> 00:58:56,480
Speaker 4: lot of confusion for the Miami defense to try to

1237
00:58:56,560 --> 00:59:00,880
Speaker 4: keep contained. And to me, that's really where where the

1238
00:59:00,920 --> 00:59:04,640
Speaker 4: whole handicap is. Miami has defensive ends that can't keep

1239
00:59:04,680 --> 00:59:07,520
Speaker 4: containing practice. They can't contain dear at King. And if

1240
00:59:07,520 --> 00:59:09,320
Speaker 4: you can't contain dear at King, well I've got a

1241
00:59:09,320 --> 00:59:11,480
Speaker 4: whole boatload of blue chip talent that's about to attack

1242
00:59:11,520 --> 00:59:14,600
Speaker 4: you from Alabama. So you know, in my opinion, the

1243
00:59:14,600 --> 00:59:16,720
Speaker 4: ground game is going to be paramount for both teams.

1244
00:59:16,880 --> 00:59:18,720
Speaker 4: There's not going to be a lot of explosive plays,

1245
00:59:18,760 --> 00:59:21,240
Speaker 4: at least for Alabama. In the beginning. It feels like

1246
00:59:21,280 --> 00:59:23,800
Speaker 4: an Alabama game where they go a first quarter with

1247
00:59:23,960 --> 00:59:27,960
Speaker 4: scripted plays and then boom, they just hit you. You know,

1248
00:59:28,280 --> 00:59:31,840
Speaker 4: it's a classic Alabama game where you know Saban Golding

1249
00:59:31,840 --> 00:59:34,640
Speaker 4: and O'Brien are going to make changes after the third

1250
00:59:34,720 --> 00:59:37,080
Speaker 4: or fourth series. They're going to shut you down and

1251
00:59:37,080 --> 00:59:39,439
Speaker 4: their offensive changes. What is going to put this cover

1252
00:59:39,520 --> 00:59:42,600
Speaker 4: in jeopardy. So I think from a live betting standpoint,

1253
00:59:42,600 --> 00:59:44,840
Speaker 4: I would want to get Alabama somewhere in the mid

1254
00:59:44,840 --> 00:59:47,120
Speaker 4: first quarter, mid second quarter. I don't think I would

1255
00:59:47,120 --> 00:59:49,160
Speaker 4: take this pre game. If you're afraid of the price

1256
00:59:49,200 --> 00:59:52,080
Speaker 4: because it is high. But for me, I took under

1257
00:59:52,120 --> 00:59:53,800
Speaker 4: thirty one and a half at the beginning of the week.

1258
00:59:54,000 --> 00:59:57,640
Speaker 4: Why because both of these offenses have said it's ground based,

1259
00:59:57,760 --> 01:00:00,120
Speaker 4: We're not going to go through the air whatsoever. And

1260
01:00:00,440 --> 01:00:02,960
Speaker 4: Alabama's defense back seven is the best in the nation.

1261
01:00:03,080 --> 01:00:05,720
Speaker 4: I don't expect any exposive plays. I don't expect them

1262
01:00:05,760 --> 01:00:08,280
Speaker 4: to be passed over. I don't expect anybody to get anywhere.

1263
01:00:08,320 --> 01:00:10,440
Speaker 4: I feel like there's gonna be a ton of punts

1264
01:00:10,640 --> 01:00:12,960
Speaker 4: and we have I'll let you talk to the punting,

1265
01:00:13,000 --> 01:00:15,280
Speaker 4: but I mean this is not too shabby of some

1266
01:00:15,320 --> 01:00:18,400
Speaker 4: special teams for the for these teams, so first half

1267
01:00:18,520 --> 01:00:20,840
Speaker 4: under for me, it's still sitting around thirty one. So

1268
01:00:20,880 --> 01:00:23,120
Speaker 4: I think you should get it sooner rather than later,

1269
01:00:23,160 --> 01:00:25,600
Speaker 4: and I will be looking to bet Alabama alive at

1270
01:00:25,640 --> 01:00:27,400
Speaker 4: my projection of fourteen.

1271
01:00:28,040 --> 01:00:30,000
Speaker 2: Yeah, I have to trust by matth here. Everyone's just

1272
01:00:30,000 --> 01:00:31,960
Speaker 2: also assuming Bryce Young is going to be amazing run

1273
01:00:32,040 --> 01:00:35,080
Speaker 2: his first start ever, not make mistakes. That's crazy against

1274
01:00:35,800 --> 01:00:39,600
Speaker 2: against a you know, defense that continuously is up there

1275
01:00:39,640 --> 01:00:42,240
Speaker 2: in havoc and does push you into mistakes and have

1276
01:00:42,360 --> 01:00:44,440
Speaker 2: it with man ideas. It's his focus is gonna be

1277
01:00:44,480 --> 01:00:46,680
Speaker 2: on blitz and havoc. That's it. I mean the weakness

1278
01:00:46,680 --> 01:00:48,560
Speaker 2: of the Miami defense, which does return almost ninety percent

1279
01:00:48,600 --> 01:00:51,040
Speaker 2: of their snaps from last year, and added Stevenson, the

1280
01:00:51,040 --> 01:00:53,680
Speaker 2: cornerback from Georgia, you know, added Johnson the defensive end

1281
01:00:53,720 --> 01:00:56,680
Speaker 2: from Tennessee. I think is going to be better.

1282
01:00:56,720 --> 01:00:56,800
Speaker 4: Now.

1283
01:00:56,800 --> 01:00:58,760
Speaker 2: Mammy's going to go fast with Lashley so that you know,

1284
01:00:58,800 --> 01:01:01,560
Speaker 2: if it is a bluff that doesn't necessarily help you.

1285
01:01:01,640 --> 01:01:03,919
Speaker 2: But I think this number is too high. What I'll

1286
01:01:03,960 --> 01:01:06,320
Speaker 2: make Bryce Young, you know, prove it to be Pluster's

1287
01:01:06,320 --> 01:01:09,600
Speaker 2: gonna be wide open chances for back doors. I mean,

1288
01:01:09,600 --> 01:01:12,400
Speaker 2: this is sitting twenty four in the fourth quarter, so

1289
01:01:12,600 --> 01:01:14,920
Speaker 2: give me the U. We're waiting on twenty one. Now,

1290
01:01:25,600 --> 01:01:28,160
Speaker 2: all right, let's move on to the night slate. We

1291
01:01:28,200 --> 01:01:31,800
Speaker 2: have two Marquee games in prime time, which I can't

1292
01:01:31,840 --> 01:01:32,960
Speaker 2: wait for. The gonna be both going on at the

1293
01:01:32,960 --> 01:01:37,320
Speaker 2: same time. Let's start at seven point thirty Eastern.

1294
01:01:37,720 --> 01:01:40,200
Speaker 4: You got enough TVs this weekend, I got the whole.

1295
01:01:40,240 --> 01:01:42,960
Speaker 2: I'll be home. I'll be home this weekend. I'm going home,

1296
01:01:43,120 --> 01:01:44,960
Speaker 2: flying home at like six in the morning, and hopefully

1297
01:01:44,960 --> 01:01:47,880
Speaker 2: I can get to the Philly Airport. Philly's flooded out

1298
01:01:47,920 --> 01:01:51,439
Speaker 2: from down an Avalon. But I'll be back. I won't.

1299
01:01:51,480 --> 01:01:53,320
Speaker 2: I would never be this, I will never be away.

1300
01:01:53,560 --> 01:01:56,760
Speaker 2: On a college football Saturday, yeah, let's start seven thirty Eastern.

1301
01:01:56,880 --> 01:02:00,240
Speaker 2: It's a big one. Clemson Georgia at win Bet, which

1302
01:02:00,280 --> 01:02:03,160
Speaker 2: is a three point underdog. This I should have mentioned.

1303
01:02:03,160 --> 01:02:06,840
Speaker 2: This is on a neutral field. Alabama Miami's on a

1304
01:02:06,880 --> 01:02:11,400
Speaker 2: neutral field over under fifty and a half, seven thirty Eastern, ABC. Look,

1305
01:02:11,520 --> 01:02:12,920
Speaker 2: these are two of the best teams in the country.

1306
01:02:13,080 --> 01:02:16,439
Speaker 2: Georgia now has an offense to go with with JT.

1307
01:02:16,600 --> 01:02:20,200
Speaker 2: Daniels to go with their always stingy defense. It's a

1308
01:02:20,240 --> 01:02:24,240
Speaker 2: championship caliber team. Now Clemson championship. I'm not going to

1309
01:02:24,320 --> 01:02:25,600
Speaker 2: tell you anything you don't already know. I want to

1310
01:02:25,640 --> 01:02:30,880
Speaker 2: see this Georgia secondary against Clemson's passing attack. But look,

1311
01:02:30,920 --> 01:02:33,560
Speaker 2: sometimes the line is just right. To me, this line

1312
01:02:33,600 --> 01:02:36,680
Speaker 2: is right. If you got four to four and a half, great,

1313
01:02:37,120 --> 01:02:38,960
Speaker 2: But I have I'm invested in this game. I have

1314
01:02:38,960 --> 01:02:41,240
Speaker 2: Georgia plus one seventy five to go to the playoff.

1315
01:02:41,240 --> 01:02:43,640
Speaker 2: I have Georgia eight to one to win the national title.

1316
01:02:44,400 --> 01:02:47,920
Speaker 2: Win this game, I mean you're in a good position

1317
01:02:48,480 --> 01:02:50,919
Speaker 2: for both those bets, and it shows that they beat

1318
01:02:50,920 --> 01:02:53,320
Speaker 2: Clemson on a neutral field. So I'll be watching. I'll

1319
01:02:53,320 --> 01:02:55,160
Speaker 2: be room for Georgia might have a second f play.

1320
01:02:55,680 --> 01:02:58,320
Speaker 2: I know everyone has the itch all plenty of plays

1321
01:02:58,320 --> 01:03:01,280
Speaker 2: on Saturday. This won't be one of them. I think

1322
01:03:01,280 --> 01:03:03,800
Speaker 2: this line's are right. I make it. I'll tell you

1323
01:03:03,840 --> 01:03:06,960
Speaker 2: the exact decimal. I make it too, So I make

1324
01:03:06,960 --> 01:03:09,920
Speaker 2: it Clemson minus two. I would have taken four and

1325
01:03:09,960 --> 01:03:13,120
Speaker 2: a half. I should have. I didn't. I still had

1326
01:03:13,120 --> 01:03:16,800
Speaker 2: some questions about Georgia. I feel a little less worried

1327
01:03:16,840 --> 01:03:18,880
Speaker 2: about them after some review, but I missed the number,

1328
01:03:19,000 --> 01:03:22,160
Speaker 2: and three is you know about right. I'm not gonna

1329
01:03:22,360 --> 01:03:24,840
Speaker 2: take minus two when I make it minus three, So

1330
01:03:25,000 --> 01:03:26,720
Speaker 2: I got nothing here. I think this will be an

1331
01:03:26,760 --> 01:03:29,880
Speaker 2: excellent football game. It's a great way to, you know,

1332
01:03:30,080 --> 01:03:32,800
Speaker 2: have our first Saturday primetime game with these two teams

1333
01:03:32,840 --> 01:03:38,720
Speaker 2: playing on a neutral field with huge college football playoff implications.

1334
01:03:39,160 --> 01:03:41,480
Speaker 2: So maybe you can help us find a play. By

1335
01:03:41,480 --> 01:03:43,960
Speaker 2: the way, if you want to get invested with me,

1336
01:03:44,120 --> 01:03:45,720
Speaker 2: you can also been on you know if you have

1337
01:03:45,720 --> 01:03:48,440
Speaker 2: Georgia futures from our preseason podcast, Calum When you got here.

1338
01:03:49,080 --> 01:03:51,120
Speaker 4: This is a college football playoff game that we're getting

1339
01:03:51,240 --> 01:03:52,920
Speaker 4: in week one. I mean, it's a gift from the

1340
01:03:52,920 --> 01:03:57,920
Speaker 4: football gods, especially with Djali and JT Daniels starting the

1341
01:03:58,000 --> 01:04:00,680
Speaker 4: national title runs and their Heisman runs. We talked about

1342
01:04:00,680 --> 01:04:03,800
Speaker 4: all summer that this game will create value for the loser,

1343
01:04:03,880 --> 01:04:06,480
Speaker 4: especially if that loser is Clemson and the Cupcakes schedule

1344
01:04:06,480 --> 01:04:08,520
Speaker 4: that they have afterwards. But that'll be something that we'll

1345
01:04:08,520 --> 01:04:12,120
Speaker 4: discuss on our wrap up podcast along with our voicemails,

1346
01:04:12,120 --> 01:04:14,520
Speaker 4: which were hopefully nice to us next time that we meet.

1347
01:04:15,000 --> 01:04:17,520
Speaker 4: So JJ Daniels, you know, finished the twenty twenty season

1348
01:04:17,520 --> 01:04:20,720
Speaker 4: winning four straight. He showed an impressive comeback against Cincinnati.

1349
01:04:20,760 --> 01:04:22,400
Speaker 4: He made a lot of mistakes early in that game,

1350
01:04:22,400 --> 01:04:25,120
Speaker 4: but three scoring drives in the fourth quarter against the

1351
01:04:25,160 --> 01:04:27,280
Speaker 4: secondary that's going to be playing at the next level

1352
01:04:28,320 --> 01:04:31,320
Speaker 4: just is icing on the cake for Daniels, who you know,

1353
01:04:31,400 --> 01:04:34,320
Speaker 4: finally got into the season, got Stepsan Bennett on the bench,

1354
01:04:34,720 --> 01:04:38,160
Speaker 4: got Dawn Mathis to transfer you know, Daniel's into the

1355
01:04:38,200 --> 01:04:40,720
Speaker 4: season with at ten to two TD to I int ratio.

1356
01:04:41,520 --> 01:04:44,040
Speaker 4: More importantly, he had eleven big time throws versus six

1357
01:04:44,080 --> 01:04:46,640
Speaker 4: turnover worthy plays and his average depth of target was

1358
01:04:46,640 --> 01:04:48,680
Speaker 4: over twelve yards. So what that means is is he

1359
01:04:48,760 --> 01:04:51,960
Speaker 4: throws it deep, he throws it accurate. He is a

1360
01:04:52,040 --> 01:04:54,720
Speaker 4: legitimate Heisman candidate, and this game will go a long

1361
01:04:54,760 --> 01:04:57,040
Speaker 4: way in determining that. The problem is is, you know,

1362
01:04:57,080 --> 01:04:58,920
Speaker 4: there have been injuries, there are a lot of outs

1363
01:04:58,920 --> 01:05:00,840
Speaker 4: in this game, and it's just it's been a constant

1364
01:05:01,280 --> 01:05:03,640
Speaker 4: daily wake up and search and see what Georgia's got

1365
01:05:03,680 --> 01:05:04,160
Speaker 4: on the field.

1366
01:05:04,480 --> 01:05:04,640
Speaker 2: Now.

1367
01:05:04,680 --> 01:05:06,560
Speaker 4: One thing to note is that like the East Coast

1368
01:05:06,600 --> 01:05:11,000
Speaker 4: has just been hammered with precipitation, just rain like crazy,

1369
01:05:11,080 --> 01:05:14,000
Speaker 4: and specifically in the Carolinas there's been a lot of rain.

1370
01:05:14,400 --> 01:05:17,280
Speaker 4: But if you go and look at Bank of America

1371
01:05:17,320 --> 01:05:21,000
Speaker 4: Stadium where the Panthers play, they've installed new turf. They

1372
01:05:21,000 --> 01:05:24,760
Speaker 4: have this new turf system that the drains, you know,

1373
01:05:24,880 --> 01:05:27,760
Speaker 4: rolls up drains, It does everything possible. So for those

1374
01:05:27,800 --> 01:05:29,480
Speaker 4: of you that are worried that there could be some

1375
01:05:29,520 --> 01:05:33,400
Speaker 4: sloppy field conditions for the running games. In the passing

1376
01:05:33,440 --> 01:05:36,200
Speaker 4: games are more importantly JT. Daniels trying to throw it

1377
01:05:36,240 --> 01:05:38,520
Speaker 4: down the field or DJ trying to throw down the field.

1378
01:05:38,680 --> 01:05:40,200
Speaker 4: I don't think that's going to be a problem here

1379
01:05:40,200 --> 01:05:42,520
Speaker 4: with what you know, the Panthers have on their home turf.

1380
01:05:43,480 --> 01:05:46,240
Speaker 4: Will the Sacerate allowed a fifty fourth improved With this

1381
01:05:46,280 --> 01:05:49,400
Speaker 4: offensive line, Clemson has the best defensive front seven in

1382
01:05:49,440 --> 01:05:51,880
Speaker 4: the country, with Myles Murphy on the edge, Brian Breese

1383
01:05:52,080 --> 01:05:54,880
Speaker 4: on the interior, and Xavier Thomas still there former PS

1384
01:05:54,960 --> 01:05:57,840
Speaker 4: number one. He's at the defensive end for Brett Venables

1385
01:05:58,360 --> 01:06:02,280
Speaker 4: And you know, but film, I think what's interesting is

1386
01:06:02,320 --> 01:06:04,959
Speaker 4: that Brent can watch as much film as he wants

1387
01:06:05,000 --> 01:06:07,240
Speaker 4: about Todd Munkin and what the offense did last year.

1388
01:06:07,400 --> 01:06:11,160
Speaker 4: But Todd Munkin was one transparent. You didn't even see

1389
01:06:11,160 --> 01:06:13,960
Speaker 4: half my playbook last year. I didn't have the personnel

1390
01:06:14,000 --> 01:06:15,920
Speaker 4: in place. I didn't have JT. Daniels, I didn't have

1391
01:06:15,960 --> 01:06:18,440
Speaker 4: what I needed in place to run my playbook. And

1392
01:06:18,520 --> 01:06:21,400
Speaker 4: what he's trying to say and not actually say it

1393
01:06:21,440 --> 01:06:25,520
Speaker 4: is that Georgia is finally going to play real college football,

1394
01:06:26,080 --> 01:06:27,720
Speaker 4: come to the modern era, and they're going to pass

1395
01:06:27,760 --> 01:06:29,880
Speaker 4: on first down, which you know, they have the right

1396
01:06:29,960 --> 01:06:31,840
Speaker 4: quarterback in place, They have the right They did have

1397
01:06:31,880 --> 01:06:35,160
Speaker 4: the right weapons until a slew of injuries and off

1398
01:06:35,160 --> 01:06:39,040
Speaker 4: field stuff started happening. So I expect Monkin to be

1399
01:06:39,160 --> 01:06:42,640
Speaker 4: throwing and throwing early, if there's any success right behind

1400
01:06:42,680 --> 01:06:46,840
Speaker 4: that whatsoever. This case, I think tempo could be a

1401
01:06:46,840 --> 01:06:50,280
Speaker 4: part of this game. And Clemson's front seven is unquestionably

1402
01:06:50,400 --> 01:06:53,479
Speaker 4: probably the best in the nation, and the only place

1403
01:06:53,520 --> 01:06:56,640
Speaker 4: to attack Clemson is in the back seven. There certainly

1404
01:06:56,720 --> 01:06:59,600
Speaker 4: is you know, missing DeAndre Deon Kendrick has moved over.

1405
01:06:59,680 --> 01:07:02,760
Speaker 4: He's now in the Georgia Bulldogs secondary. There is a

1406
01:07:02,840 --> 01:07:06,440
Speaker 4: freshman corner I believe, starting for Clemson, so you know

1407
01:07:06,480 --> 01:07:08,640
Speaker 4: there are targets for JT. Daniels to go after. The

1408
01:07:08,640 --> 01:07:10,520
Speaker 4: problem is the injuries has been such a big part

1409
01:07:10,520 --> 01:07:13,800
Speaker 4: of training camp. Pickens, Blaylock, they're out at the wide

1410
01:07:13,840 --> 01:07:16,920
Speaker 4: receiver group, tight En Eric Gilbert is away from away

1411
01:07:16,920 --> 01:07:19,520
Speaker 4: from the school, got some personal things he's taken care of,

1412
01:07:19,920 --> 01:07:22,680
Speaker 4: and you know tighten Darnell Washington out with a foot injury.

1413
01:07:22,920 --> 01:07:25,920
Speaker 4: That leaves at the tight end position John Fitzgerald, who

1414
01:07:26,000 --> 01:07:28,480
Speaker 4: was struggling with a knee injury. I think he had

1415
01:07:28,520 --> 01:07:31,600
Speaker 4: like five catches last year, So I mean it's there

1416
01:07:31,640 --> 01:07:33,360
Speaker 4: could be a lot of empty there could be a

1417
01:07:33,360 --> 01:07:36,680
Speaker 4: lot of non tight end sets here. We'll see what

1418
01:07:36,720 --> 01:07:39,240
Speaker 4: they throw out there. But the wide receiver group did

1419
01:07:39,240 --> 01:07:41,920
Speaker 4: get good news with Kris Jackson, Jermaine Burton. They're going

1420
01:07:42,000 --> 01:07:43,800
Speaker 4: to be in Now. Are they dinged up or are

1421
01:07:43,840 --> 01:07:46,920
Speaker 4: they fully healthy? We'll find out, but you know, I'm

1422
01:07:46,920 --> 01:07:48,480
Speaker 4: a little nervous also about to shake up on the

1423
01:07:48,480 --> 01:07:51,680
Speaker 4: offensive line. They've been swapping positions because of injury, and

1424
01:07:51,800 --> 01:07:53,560
Speaker 4: they're gonna see you know, there could be a lot

1425
01:07:53,600 --> 01:07:57,760
Speaker 4: of moving pockets, misdirection. Daniel's releasing the ball after one

1426
01:07:57,760 --> 01:07:59,880
Speaker 4: and a half seconds is probably what he's been working

1427
01:08:00,080 --> 01:08:03,280
Speaker 4: on all week, considering that Clemson is going to come

1428
01:08:04,080 --> 01:08:06,760
Speaker 4: full speed ahead right at him, and so the offensive

1429
01:08:06,760 --> 01:08:09,040
Speaker 4: line has got to protect JT. Daniels or you know,

1430
01:08:09,080 --> 01:08:12,000
Speaker 4: this game is going to be won by the twenty

1431
01:08:12,040 --> 01:08:14,960
Speaker 4: eighteen Clemson defense that shut down everybody, one of the

1432
01:08:15,000 --> 01:08:17,960
Speaker 4: best defenses it was ever in college football. Brent Vinolves

1433
01:08:18,040 --> 01:08:20,080
Speaker 4: may have to change his defensive signals because we talked

1434
01:08:20,080 --> 01:08:24,839
Speaker 4: about Darien Kendrick transferring from Clemson. Do all Evnables signals

1435
01:08:24,960 --> 01:08:27,640
Speaker 4: and that also helps JT. Daniels.

1436
01:08:27,840 --> 01:08:28,040
Speaker 2: J T.

1437
01:08:28,200 --> 01:08:30,600
Speaker 4: Daniels now knows what the alignment's going to be for

1438
01:08:30,640 --> 01:08:33,439
Speaker 4: Brent Vinnables. Will Georgia go to the sugar huddle, Will

1439
01:08:33,479 --> 01:08:35,479
Speaker 4: Todd Munkin throw on first down. This is the drama

1440
01:08:35,520 --> 01:08:37,120
Speaker 4: that we get to look forward to, and I can't wait.

1441
01:08:37,200 --> 01:08:39,800
Speaker 4: But I have confidence in JT. Daniel attacking this secondary.

1442
01:08:39,840 --> 01:08:42,679
Speaker 4: I think the Darien Kendrick you know, move is bigger

1443
01:08:42,680 --> 01:08:45,320
Speaker 4: than people think for both sides of the ball. For Georgia,

1444
01:08:45,640 --> 01:08:48,640
Speaker 4: you know they do lose Tykee Smith. He was one

1445
01:08:48,720 --> 01:08:50,519
Speaker 4: of the bigger transfers they got in from a great

1446
01:08:50,560 --> 01:08:54,200
Speaker 4: West Virginia defense. So you know, we'll see what Georgia

1447
01:08:54,240 --> 01:08:58,519
Speaker 4: can do defensively against DJ. But again, Darien Kendrick knows

1448
01:08:58,640 --> 01:09:02,280
Speaker 4: when DJ ung Galiley gets up to the line and

1449
01:09:02,320 --> 01:09:05,599
Speaker 4: he makes calls out, Kendrick knows what those are. And

1450
01:09:05,680 --> 01:09:08,639
Speaker 4: so you would have to think over the last three weeks,

1451
01:09:09,000 --> 01:09:11,200
Speaker 4: Clemson's had to work on a whole new package of

1452
01:09:11,200 --> 01:09:13,240
Speaker 4: what DJ is barking out at the line of scrimmage

1453
01:09:13,360 --> 01:09:15,280
Speaker 4: or else. If they don't change any of that, I'm

1454
01:09:15,320 --> 01:09:17,240
Speaker 4: sure Dabo did. But if they don't change any of that,

1455
01:09:17,520 --> 01:09:20,880
Speaker 4: Clemson's in deep trouble. So there is mention of Georgia

1456
01:09:20,920 --> 01:09:24,400
Speaker 4: going tempo. That's pretty much music to my over betting years.

1457
01:09:25,120 --> 01:09:25,960
Speaker 4: The fact that you're.

1458
01:09:25,800 --> 01:09:27,720
Speaker 2: Saying sounds like you like you're going to be link

1459
01:09:27,760 --> 01:09:29,280
Speaker 2: towards just over at fifteen and a half.

1460
01:09:29,040 --> 01:09:31,960
Speaker 4: Well, Clemson was finished thirty fourth and seconds per play,

1461
01:09:32,040 --> 01:09:34,320
Speaker 4: and Georgia had an increase in tempo later in the year.

1462
01:09:34,400 --> 01:09:36,280
Speaker 4: If you look at Georgia overall last year, it's like

1463
01:09:36,320 --> 01:09:38,719
Speaker 4: seventy ninth and seconds per play, But that's Jawan Mathis

1464
01:09:38,720 --> 01:09:41,439
Speaker 4: and Stetsan Bennett. Once you got JD. Daniels in there,

1465
01:09:41,439 --> 01:09:43,960
Speaker 4: the tempo really picked up. This is a number I

1466
01:09:43,960 --> 01:09:45,320
Speaker 4: would have made sixty one at the end of the

1467
01:09:45,360 --> 01:09:48,840
Speaker 4: last season, considering how fast Georgia was running. The injuries

1468
01:09:48,840 --> 01:09:51,320
Speaker 4: to the skill positions they give me, you know, a

1469
01:09:51,400 --> 01:09:53,880
Speaker 4: little discourage me. That's probably what's keeping the number down

1470
01:09:53,960 --> 01:09:57,960
Speaker 4: so far. I mean, the only case that I can

1471
01:09:58,040 --> 01:10:00,800
Speaker 4: make is that Georgia is is going to try to

1472
01:10:00,840 --> 01:10:04,520
Speaker 4: run tempo, DJ is going to attack the Georgia secondary,

1473
01:10:05,080 --> 01:10:07,920
Speaker 4: and that if these deep passes connect, this game's gonna

1474
01:10:07,920 --> 01:10:10,400
Speaker 4: fly over. Now, if the front seven of both of

1475
01:10:10,439 --> 01:10:12,400
Speaker 4: these defenses are in control, this game is gonna go

1476
01:10:12,920 --> 01:10:15,840
Speaker 4: way under. But I expect Todd Mankins offense to be

1477
01:10:15,920 --> 01:10:17,559
Speaker 4: on I don't think it's gonna be scripted. I think

1478
01:10:17,760 --> 01:10:20,679
Speaker 4: from the very start of go you're gonna see JT.

1479
01:10:20,760 --> 01:10:22,880
Speaker 4: Daniels and Todd Monkin and what they've been cooking up

1480
01:10:22,920 --> 01:10:26,599
Speaker 4: for months. So give me the over, Give me Georgia,

1481
01:10:26,680 --> 01:10:29,000
Speaker 4: Georgia the national title. Might not even take the points. Well,

1482
01:10:29,000 --> 01:10:30,920
Speaker 4: see if I take him on the show Saturday money Line.

1483
01:10:31,240 --> 01:10:33,200
Speaker 2: All right, maybe I said I wasn't gonna pick. Maybe

1484
01:10:33,200 --> 01:10:35,000
Speaker 2: I'll ull over that over. I'll take a close books.

1485
01:10:35,040 --> 01:10:37,360
Speaker 2: You make some good points there, and yeah, we'll talk

1486
01:10:37,360 --> 01:10:39,519
Speaker 2: about this game obviously much more in depth on Saturday

1487
01:10:40,040 --> 01:10:42,400
Speaker 2: on our Saturday morning show on Twitter. All right, let's

1488
01:10:42,400 --> 01:10:46,120
Speaker 2: move on to the last Marquee game of the week.

1489
01:10:46,760 --> 01:10:50,040
Speaker 2: LSU at UCLA. The LT's u's minus two and a

1490
01:10:50,080 --> 01:10:53,200
Speaker 2: half minus won twenty at win bet over under sixty five.

1491
01:10:53,240 --> 01:10:55,880
Speaker 2: This game is eight thirty Eastern on Fox. I took

1492
01:10:55,920 --> 01:10:58,080
Speaker 2: some three and a half. I make this game a

1493
01:10:58,160 --> 01:11:02,639
Speaker 2: pick you make I think you make Ucla a favorite. Yep,

1494
01:11:03,120 --> 01:11:05,400
Speaker 2: I took anything over a field goal I wanted. There's

1495
01:11:05,439 --> 01:11:08,599
Speaker 2: also a lot of other things working in UCLA's favor. Yes,

1496
01:11:08,600 --> 01:11:11,240
Speaker 2: they played last week, and you know we were we

1497
01:11:11,240 --> 01:11:12,960
Speaker 2: were high on USA coming into the year. We thought

1498
01:11:12,960 --> 01:11:15,080
Speaker 2: the offensive line was the best that it's been on

1499
01:11:15,120 --> 01:11:17,559
Speaker 2: for Chip Kelly. You know, it's the year four, he

1500
01:11:17,560 --> 01:11:19,840
Speaker 2: has all his recruits. We thought the defense, which is

1501
01:11:19,880 --> 01:11:22,160
Speaker 2: you know, very good at creating havoc and sacks, was

1502
01:11:22,200 --> 01:11:24,800
Speaker 2: going to take a step forward this year with their

1503
01:11:24,840 --> 01:11:27,439
Speaker 2: coverage on the outside. They switched to more man and

1504
01:11:27,520 --> 01:11:29,759
Speaker 2: that and an adjustment period a lot of blown coverages

1505
01:11:29,800 --> 01:11:31,839
Speaker 2: last year. We think they're gonna better in that aspect.

1506
01:11:32,000 --> 01:11:35,040
Speaker 2: You know, dtr back at quarterback with you know, two

1507
01:11:35,160 --> 01:11:37,320
Speaker 2: very good transfer running backs who showed out last week

1508
01:11:37,320 --> 01:11:40,639
Speaker 2: against Hawaii, and we know Hawaii's run defenses is no good.

1509
01:11:41,120 --> 01:11:43,519
Speaker 2: But there's you know, so we were hi UCLI coming

1510
01:11:43,560 --> 01:11:46,519
Speaker 2: into the year, and then you have l LSU who

1511
01:11:46,800 --> 01:11:48,880
Speaker 2: you know, some offensive line concerns in camp, they have

1512
01:11:48,880 --> 01:11:50,679
Speaker 2: a lot of injury concerns. You know, they've they've held

1513
01:11:50,680 --> 01:11:53,080
Speaker 2: out a lot of guys out out of camp and practice.

1514
01:11:53,560 --> 01:11:55,519
Speaker 2: So that's a question on you know, who's actually going

1515
01:11:55,560 --> 01:11:57,639
Speaker 2: to be able to go. One of their promising freshman

1516
01:11:57,680 --> 01:12:00,880
Speaker 2: receivers that already said isn't going to play. They could

1517
01:12:00,920 --> 01:12:02,960
Speaker 2: have potentially missing a couple of other players. But there's

1518
01:12:03,120 --> 01:12:06,000
Speaker 2: rust and maybe some of these players aren't a hundred percent.

1519
01:12:06,040 --> 01:12:09,040
Speaker 2: But they got a new you know, a new defensive coordinator,

1520
01:12:09,200 --> 01:12:12,080
Speaker 2: a new play caller, a lot of change. You know.

1521
01:12:12,160 --> 01:12:13,800
Speaker 2: You said they just want to simplify the defense, and

1522
01:12:13,840 --> 01:12:16,080
Speaker 2: they do have maybe the you know, arguably the best

1523
01:12:16,080 --> 01:12:20,280
Speaker 2: cornerback tandem in college football. They have a talented defensive front.

1524
01:12:21,160 --> 01:12:22,840
Speaker 2: But you know, then throw in the fact that they

1525
01:12:22,880 --> 01:12:25,479
Speaker 2: were displaced by Hurricane Ida. I mean they had to

1526
01:12:25,520 --> 01:12:28,559
Speaker 2: go to Houston and it took them ten hours to

1527
01:12:28,600 --> 01:12:31,479
Speaker 2: get there, normally a four at four or five hours,

1528
01:12:33,040 --> 01:12:35,479
Speaker 2: so their whole week and you know, there goes that

1529
01:12:35,600 --> 01:12:38,160
Speaker 2: like film advantage that you had by looking at UCLA did.

1530
01:12:38,200 --> 01:12:39,920
Speaker 2: But I don't think UCLA did anything gradzes last week

1531
01:12:39,920 --> 01:12:41,000
Speaker 2: and then they just kind of sat on it in

1532
01:12:41,040 --> 01:12:46,800
Speaker 2: the second half. So yeah, I think LSU is vulnerable here.

1533
01:12:46,840 --> 01:12:50,439
Speaker 2: The reports are off, so that remember that they lost

1534
01:12:50,479 --> 01:12:53,840
Speaker 2: their projected starter Brennan at quarterback. Then Johnson took over.

1535
01:12:54,439 --> 01:12:57,719
Speaker 2: Reports haven't been great of how he's looked in camp,

1536
01:12:57,760 --> 01:12:59,639
Speaker 2: and neither as the offensive line. I know they've held

1537
01:12:59,640 --> 01:13:02,240
Speaker 2: out some eyes, but there's just a lot going on

1538
01:13:02,320 --> 01:13:08,080
Speaker 2: with this LSU team. Coaching changes, you know, all injuries

1539
01:13:08,160 --> 01:13:11,920
Speaker 2: and Hurricane Ida, and UCLA is much more of a

1540
01:13:11,960 --> 01:13:13,719
Speaker 2: known comodity and just from a power in the pertecond.

1541
01:13:13,720 --> 01:13:15,880
Speaker 2: I'd make this a toss up, so of course I

1542
01:13:15,920 --> 01:13:19,880
Speaker 2: took three and a half. I would try to see

1543
01:13:19,880 --> 01:13:21,000
Speaker 2: if you can find three. Now, I don't think you

1544
01:13:21,000 --> 01:13:23,280
Speaker 2: will be able to, but I would take three too,

1545
01:13:23,320 --> 01:13:25,680
Speaker 2: given especially you make them I think closer to a

1546
01:13:25,880 --> 01:13:30,800
Speaker 2: field goal favorite, given all these other extenuay circumstances. I

1547
01:13:30,880 --> 01:13:32,320
Speaker 2: like you said, I think they're gonna win this game,

1548
01:13:32,640 --> 01:13:34,880
Speaker 2: but they're becoming they feel a little too trendy now.

1549
01:13:34,920 --> 01:13:39,599
Speaker 4: But yeah, yeah, they do well. Uh, they do feel

1550
01:13:39,640 --> 01:13:41,240
Speaker 4: a little trendy. But let's you know. I'm not going

1551
01:13:41,320 --> 01:13:43,320
Speaker 4: to go over the whole entire box score for a

1552
01:13:43,320 --> 01:13:45,200
Speaker 4: while because it doesn't matter. Right that game is in

1553
01:13:45,240 --> 01:13:47,760
Speaker 4: the past and that was a glorified scrimmage. But I

1554
01:13:47,760 --> 01:13:49,880
Speaker 4: think it's important to call out a couple of things

1555
01:13:49,960 --> 01:13:53,200
Speaker 4: that could be important to this game against lsu Zach

1556
01:13:53,280 --> 01:13:58,040
Speaker 4: CHARMANA had six carries, three touchdowns, bundles of yards after contact,

1557
01:13:58,040 --> 01:14:00,840
Speaker 4: and created a ton of mistackles. And what I found

1558
01:14:00,920 --> 01:14:03,440
Speaker 4: even more and everybody knows that Sharbonay scored three touchdowns,

1559
01:14:03,680 --> 01:14:05,760
Speaker 4: but what I found more interesting is I went back

1560
01:14:05,760 --> 01:14:08,360
Speaker 4: and watched this game like over and over and over

1561
01:14:08,600 --> 01:14:10,680
Speaker 4: and really I went back to see where dtrs and

1562
01:14:10,720 --> 01:14:15,519
Speaker 4: completions were. If you watch Britain Brown, every time he

1563
01:14:15,560 --> 01:14:16,960
Speaker 4: got to carry and he got to the eight to

1564
01:14:17,000 --> 01:14:18,760
Speaker 4: ten yard range and then he got tripped up like

1565
01:14:18,760 --> 01:14:20,599
Speaker 4: he never broke one out, like I think had sixty

1566
01:14:20,600 --> 01:14:23,160
Speaker 4: eight too years. We never broke one out. He was pissed.

1567
01:14:23,640 --> 01:14:25,759
Speaker 4: He was pissed, like he was slamming the ball getting

1568
01:14:25,800 --> 01:14:29,599
Speaker 4: up running back. He knew sharbon A was just making

1569
01:14:29,680 --> 01:14:32,160
Speaker 4: highlight reels all day that I was clipping and throwing

1570
01:14:32,160 --> 01:14:34,880
Speaker 4: out on Twitter, and he wasn't getting any love from

1571
01:14:34,920 --> 01:14:37,680
Speaker 4: the social media because he couldn't break any off. So

1572
01:14:37,840 --> 01:14:40,200
Speaker 4: I think that is great for the locker room that

1573
01:14:40,280 --> 01:14:43,200
Speaker 4: these two were competing with each other to steal some highlights.

1574
01:14:43,200 --> 01:14:46,040
Speaker 4: Like you got to know that there's this competition between

1575
01:14:46,080 --> 01:14:48,519
Speaker 4: these two to have the most you know, explosive play.

1576
01:14:48,560 --> 01:14:50,599
Speaker 4: So I think it's really good to watch. The other

1577
01:14:50,640 --> 01:14:52,720
Speaker 4: one that I wanted to comment on was DTR. When

1578
01:14:52,760 --> 01:14:55,760
Speaker 4: you look at it from you know, a high level

1579
01:14:55,880 --> 01:14:57,680
Speaker 4: view at the box score, it looks like ten of

1580
01:14:57,720 --> 01:15:00,000
Speaker 4: twenty in the passing, but you need to go back

1581
01:15:00,160 --> 01:15:03,479
Speaker 4: and realized the fact that he had five wide receiver drops,

1582
01:15:03,800 --> 01:15:05,320
Speaker 4: and I went back and reviewed the tape. They were

1583
01:15:05,320 --> 01:15:07,920
Speaker 4: straight to him, just came down. So five of them

1584
01:15:07,920 --> 01:15:10,439
Speaker 4: were straight out drops. Five of them came from pressure

1585
01:15:10,600 --> 01:15:13,439
Speaker 4: where DTR rifled it through the end zone, passed the

1586
01:15:13,479 --> 01:15:16,240
Speaker 4: field goal post, knew the pressure was coming up the middle,

1587
01:15:16,479 --> 01:15:19,040
Speaker 4: had no problems making a quick decision and firing it

1588
01:15:19,080 --> 01:15:23,000
Speaker 4: through the end zone. I was encouraged by what I

1589
01:15:23,040 --> 01:15:25,800
Speaker 4: saw out of DTR. He did let loose once in

1590
01:15:25,840 --> 01:15:27,760
Speaker 4: the run game and went and you know, high need

1591
01:15:27,840 --> 01:15:30,000
Speaker 4: somebody in the face. But I think what we need

1592
01:15:30,000 --> 01:15:31,840
Speaker 4: to take away from that game is the four two

1593
01:15:31,960 --> 01:15:34,839
Speaker 4: five defense of Jerry as a narrow. On the Redemption

1594
01:15:35,000 --> 01:15:37,679
Speaker 4: Tour this year, after finishing one hundred and twenty first

1595
01:15:37,720 --> 01:15:42,360
Speaker 4: from defensive rushing success rate, they stuffed ten of nineteen

1596
01:15:42,680 --> 01:15:45,880
Speaker 4: Hawaii rushing attempts, a fifty two percent stuff right when

1597
01:15:45,920 --> 01:15:50,120
Speaker 4: the national average is like twenty something percent, So very impressive.

1598
01:15:50,120 --> 01:15:54,719
Speaker 4: There By the four to five defense, Usilee looked pissed off.

1599
01:15:55,040 --> 01:15:58,360
Speaker 4: The Warriors averaged two point two yards on passing downs. Uh,

1600
01:15:58,439 --> 01:16:01,000
Speaker 4: every UCLA hat was around the foot ball for every tackle.

1601
01:16:01,040 --> 01:16:02,920
Speaker 4: This team was fired up. I expect it to be

1602
01:16:02,960 --> 01:16:04,679
Speaker 4: the same, and they didn't really have that many fans

1603
01:16:04,680 --> 01:16:07,400
Speaker 4: in the stadium. It wasn't really an environment for hot

1604
01:16:07,439 --> 01:16:10,400
Speaker 4: college football, but you see they came to play. So

1605
01:16:10,720 --> 01:16:14,080
Speaker 4: you know, I think what we see out of UCLA

1606
01:16:14,120 --> 01:16:16,880
Speaker 4: that's going to continue. We're going to continue to see

1607
01:16:17,120 --> 01:16:19,240
Speaker 4: a defense that is pissed off on a redemption tour

1608
01:16:19,280 --> 01:16:21,360
Speaker 4: to prove that they have something to go. The focus

1609
01:16:21,360 --> 01:16:23,880
Speaker 4: really is on LSU and you mentioned all everything, even

1610
01:16:23,920 --> 01:16:25,760
Speaker 4: the freshman wide receiver that was going to be lining

1611
01:16:25,840 --> 01:16:27,720
Speaker 4: up on the opposite side of Kayshawn Booty. You know,

1612
01:16:27,800 --> 01:16:29,640
Speaker 4: they needed to find another receiver or else. You know,

1613
01:16:29,640 --> 01:16:31,559
Speaker 4: they're going to be able to just focus in on

1614
01:16:31,640 --> 01:16:34,640
Speaker 4: Booty and that's where Max Johnson lefty. Max Johnson was

1615
01:16:34,680 --> 01:16:37,040
Speaker 4: just going to focus all his time throwing out to Booty.

1616
01:16:37,080 --> 01:16:39,080
Speaker 4: But now they don't have a lot of answers outside

1617
01:16:39,120 --> 01:16:42,320
Speaker 4: of that, and they need John Emery, who I mean,

1618
01:16:42,360 --> 01:16:44,920
Speaker 4: let's review John Emery's career here. Guy is super fast,

1619
01:16:44,960 --> 01:16:47,280
Speaker 4: super elusive, and he almost won the job from Clyde

1620
01:16:47,360 --> 01:16:50,599
Speaker 4: Edwards lar back in twenty nineteen. He didn't get the job,

1621
01:16:50,960 --> 01:16:53,200
Speaker 4: but he's still there at the program with LSU. But

1622
01:16:53,280 --> 01:16:56,280
Speaker 4: this offensive line has had injuries all through camp. Now,

1623
01:16:57,040 --> 01:16:58,840
Speaker 4: a lot of these guys that had injuries that were

1624
01:16:58,920 --> 01:17:02,240
Speaker 4: dinged up, the Eli Ricks at corner, Derek Stingley at corner,

1625
01:17:02,320 --> 01:17:05,680
Speaker 4: a lot of offensive linemen. They had three days of

1626
01:17:05,680 --> 01:17:08,400
Speaker 4: practice in Houston after they bust over. They all played,

1627
01:17:08,880 --> 01:17:13,479
Speaker 4: so they're all expected to play. So will that hurt

1628
01:17:13,520 --> 01:17:16,519
Speaker 4: them to start this game especially after UCLA is just

1629
01:17:17,000 --> 01:17:20,400
Speaker 4: you know, running around the field like they robbed a bank.

1630
01:17:21,280 --> 01:17:24,719
Speaker 4: So we'll see, you know, game speed if it takes LSU,

1631
01:17:24,800 --> 01:17:28,559
Speaker 4: especially on the offensive line. But the whole feeling, I

1632
01:17:28,560 --> 01:17:31,080
Speaker 4: think people need to really backtrack on this LSU team.

1633
01:17:31,439 --> 01:17:34,400
Speaker 4: The goal of this season was to bring Jake Pets in.

1634
01:17:34,680 --> 01:17:37,160
Speaker 4: Jake Pets is a new offensive coordinator. He had one

1635
01:17:37,240 --> 01:17:40,479
Speaker 4: season as a quarterbacks coach under Joe Brady who's the

1636
01:17:40,520 --> 01:17:44,120
Speaker 4: offensive coordinator at Carolina and was the passing game coordinator

1637
01:17:44,120 --> 01:17:45,960
Speaker 4: and is the reason for the national championship along with

1638
01:17:46,040 --> 01:17:48,960
Speaker 4: Joe Burrow. So anyways, Jake Pets is now in never

1639
01:17:49,120 --> 01:17:51,920
Speaker 4: been an offensive coordinator in his life. Comes in, fired up,

1640
01:17:51,960 --> 01:17:56,000
Speaker 4: flipping tables, got everything going on. But Miles Brennan is

1641
01:17:56,080 --> 01:17:58,400
Speaker 4: the quarterback that he wanted. Miles Brnnan is the one

1642
01:17:58,439 --> 01:17:59,920
Speaker 4: that could throw it deep. He's the one that could

1643
01:18:00,080 --> 01:18:03,559
Speaker 4: or what accurate, and Max Johnson doesn't have that long

1644
01:18:03,560 --> 01:18:06,200
Speaker 4: of an arm. Max Johnson does not have that kind

1645
01:18:06,240 --> 01:18:10,240
Speaker 4: of accuracy. And Max Johnson, the defense won every scamrange,

1646
01:18:10,280 --> 01:18:15,479
Speaker 4: and Johnson was making throws, bad decisions, crowded pockets, even

1647
01:18:15,520 --> 01:18:17,759
Speaker 4: when there's like he's not even being allowed to be touched.

1648
01:18:18,320 --> 01:18:21,000
Speaker 4: He was making bad decisions. So I would keep my

1649
01:18:21,040 --> 01:18:23,800
Speaker 4: eyes open for Grant Newsmyer. This is a kid that

1650
01:18:23,920 --> 01:18:27,880
Speaker 4: threw up massive numbers at quarterback freshman quarterback for LSU.

1651
01:18:28,040 --> 01:18:29,880
Speaker 4: I'm not saying he's gonna save this game or save

1652
01:18:30,000 --> 01:18:33,320
Speaker 4: LSU season, but I would not be surprised whatsoever if

1653
01:18:33,400 --> 01:18:36,599
Speaker 4: Newsmyer is in there playing pretty quick, if Max Johnson

1654
01:18:36,680 --> 01:18:38,960
Speaker 4: isn't able to get it together. Now on the defensive

1655
01:18:39,000 --> 01:18:41,519
Speaker 4: side of the ball, Edo said he's going to focus

1656
01:18:41,560 --> 01:18:44,120
Speaker 4: on Deronte Jones's, you know, play calling and scheming. They're

1657
01:18:44,160 --> 01:18:47,280
Speaker 4: moving to a four to three. The linebackers have some

1658
01:18:47,360 --> 01:18:51,360
Speaker 4: serious talent. But the more I did some digging, I

1659
01:18:51,400 --> 01:18:53,880
Speaker 4: really got uncomfortable with what I read out of LSU.

1660
01:18:54,360 --> 01:18:56,240
Speaker 4: And so when you look at that defensive line, which

1661
01:18:56,280 --> 01:19:00,760
Speaker 4: is important because Zach Sharbonay, Britton Brown and d When

1662
01:19:00,800 --> 01:19:04,439
Speaker 4: you look at this LSU defensive line, you look at

1663
01:19:04,479 --> 01:19:07,559
Speaker 4: Ali Gay and Andre Anthony were returning to the edge positions.

1664
01:19:07,560 --> 01:19:10,200
Speaker 4: They had four hundred and fifty snaps last year. Gay

1665
01:19:10,320 --> 01:19:13,920
Speaker 4: had continued issues with mistackles and setting contained on the edge.

1666
01:19:14,280 --> 01:19:16,280
Speaker 4: That's where they're going to attack in the rushing game.

1667
01:19:16,720 --> 01:19:18,400
Speaker 4: And then if you look at Anthony, he struggled in

1668
01:19:18,439 --> 01:19:21,400
Speaker 4: generating a pass coverage. He just he created only sixteen

1669
01:19:21,479 --> 01:19:25,280
Speaker 4: hurries and three hundred opponent drop back passes. So when

1670
01:19:25,320 --> 01:19:27,360
Speaker 4: the passing comes, you can bet the DTR is going

1671
01:19:27,400 --> 01:19:30,080
Speaker 4: to be looking in the way of where Anthony is,

1672
01:19:30,120 --> 01:19:31,360
Speaker 4: and when they run, it's going to be in the

1673
01:19:31,400 --> 01:19:33,320
Speaker 4: way of where Gay is because he can't set contain,

1674
01:19:33,400 --> 01:19:35,960
Speaker 4: you can't keep players and keep it inside the tackles.

1675
01:19:36,000 --> 01:19:39,800
Speaker 4: So when you look further into the defensive tackles, they're

1676
01:19:39,840 --> 01:19:42,840
Speaker 4: starting a true freshman now, albeit he's like a five star,

1677
01:19:43,200 --> 01:19:47,639
Speaker 4: six foot six goliath of a guy at defensive tackle.

1678
01:19:47,920 --> 01:19:51,000
Speaker 4: Mason Smith, true freshman, just a monster. But I mean

1679
01:19:51,280 --> 01:19:53,920
Speaker 4: this is his first game ever in the in the

1680
01:19:54,000 --> 01:19:58,080
Speaker 4: Rose Bowl, after being displaced out of Baton Rouge and

1681
01:19:58,120 --> 01:20:01,760
Speaker 4: then bus riding to Houston to LA. His first game

1682
01:20:01,840 --> 01:20:03,800
Speaker 4: is in the Rose Bowl. I mean that's got to

1683
01:20:03,800 --> 01:20:05,439
Speaker 4: be daunting. I don't care if you're six six and

1684
01:20:06,320 --> 01:20:08,479
Speaker 4: the size of a mountain. I mean that's something to

1685
01:20:08,479 --> 01:20:10,600
Speaker 4: pay attention to. But you know, Neil Ferrell struggled with

1686
01:20:10,640 --> 01:20:13,559
Speaker 4: gap integrity last year. You know, he's one of the

1687
01:20:13,600 --> 01:20:17,240
Speaker 4: defensive tackles that I'm sure dtr and company are aiming

1688
01:20:17,280 --> 01:20:20,280
Speaker 4: to run straight at. I expect UCLA to rush a

1689
01:20:20,320 --> 01:20:23,720
Speaker 4: lot at Ferrell in between the tackles, using misdirection to

1690
01:20:23,800 --> 01:20:27,719
Speaker 4: confuse Gay on the outside contain challenging the true freshman

1691
01:20:27,800 --> 01:20:29,960
Speaker 4: in his first game ever in the Rose Bowl. This

1692
01:20:30,120 --> 01:20:32,400
Speaker 4: was a pick that I made back in July when

1693
01:20:32,400 --> 01:20:34,920
Speaker 4: Week one lines were put out. I'm not backing off

1694
01:20:34,960 --> 01:20:36,280
Speaker 4: of it. I would still buy it at two and

1695
01:20:36,320 --> 01:20:38,960
Speaker 4: a half and I can almost ninety nine point nine

1696
01:20:39,000 --> 01:20:41,800
Speaker 4: percent guarantee unless injuries come through. This is going to

1697
01:20:41,880 --> 01:20:43,679
Speaker 4: be a part of our money line round Robin Parley

1698
01:20:43,680 --> 01:20:44,559
Speaker 4: on the Saturday Show.

1699
01:20:45,240 --> 01:20:50,680
Speaker 2: Yes, sir, all right, Before we move on to our

1700
01:20:50,720 --> 01:20:53,120
Speaker 2: havoc round, a quick reminder to our listeners. The Big

1701
01:20:53,160 --> 01:20:55,840
Speaker 2: Bets on Campus podcast presented by win Bet Sportsbook, and

1702
01:20:55,880 --> 01:20:59,519
Speaker 2: they've got a great sign up offer for you pard

1703
01:20:59,600 --> 01:21:03,080
Speaker 2: Ladies and the Gens. This season, new win bet patrons

1704
01:21:03,120 --> 01:21:05,519
Speaker 2: who opened an account and deposit twenty dollars or more

1705
01:21:05,960 --> 01:21:08,240
Speaker 2: can make their first bet risk free up to one

1706
01:21:08,280 --> 01:21:11,040
Speaker 2: thousand dollars. That's right. If you open a new win

1707
01:21:11,160 --> 01:21:14,120
Speaker 2: bet account, make a qualifying deposit, and place your first

1708
01:21:14,120 --> 01:21:17,040
Speaker 2: bet within ten days, that bet is risk free up

1709
01:21:17,040 --> 01:21:21,240
Speaker 2: to one thousand dollars ineligible states one thousand dollars. That's

1710
01:21:21,240 --> 01:21:24,799
Speaker 2: probably more than Bojangles is paying Tank Bigsby this season.

1711
01:21:25,120 --> 01:21:27,040
Speaker 2: But to take advantage of this win bet off or

1712
01:21:27,120 --> 01:21:28,920
Speaker 2: just click on the action that we're clinking. This episode

1713
01:21:29,000 --> 01:21:31,880
Speaker 2: description must be twenty one hoear older to gamble, going

1714
01:21:31,920 --> 01:21:33,960
Speaker 2: to stop before you start gambling problem called one eight

1715
01:21:34,080 --> 01:21:36,599
Speaker 2: hundred gambler. All right, let's get back to the show.

1716
01:21:36,840 --> 01:21:39,400
Speaker 2: Let's get to our havoc ground. Just name, you know,

1717
01:21:39,640 --> 01:21:42,160
Speaker 2: throw out a couple bets and reason or two why

1718
01:21:42,800 --> 01:21:46,360
Speaker 2: I'll start here. I wrote both of these games up

1719
01:21:46,840 --> 01:21:48,799
Speaker 2: on the action of work Cap and went really in depth,

1720
01:21:49,240 --> 01:21:51,599
Speaker 2: so I urge you to check them out. I went

1721
01:21:51,640 --> 01:21:55,679
Speaker 2: into each team's offense and defense and special teams and trenches.

1722
01:21:55,720 --> 01:21:58,240
Speaker 2: There anything you can think of, and that's Texas Tech

1723
01:21:58,360 --> 01:22:02,320
Speaker 2: Houston who play at and our Houston I played plus

1724
01:22:02,479 --> 01:22:04,840
Speaker 2: one and a half. I make them about a field

1725
01:22:04,840 --> 01:22:08,280
Speaker 2: goal a little more than a favorite against Texas Tech.

1726
01:22:08,720 --> 01:22:11,680
Speaker 2: I think that Houston, look, they've had two years and

1727
01:22:11,840 --> 01:22:14,559
Speaker 2: a very similar situation with the coaches, right Matt Well's

1728
01:22:14,640 --> 01:22:18,320
Speaker 2: year three, two disappointing years, Dana Holgerson year three, two

1729
01:22:18,360 --> 01:22:21,599
Speaker 2: disappointing years. But I think Houston has had a lot

1730
01:22:21,640 --> 01:22:24,960
Speaker 2: more excuses, right that Derek King at their brutal scheduled transfer,

1731
01:22:24,960 --> 01:22:26,960
Speaker 2: They had all those transfers that they're four weeks two

1732
01:22:27,000 --> 01:22:31,200
Speaker 2: years ago. Last year, injuries COVID, you know, they had

1733
01:22:31,240 --> 01:22:33,599
Speaker 2: eight games I think canceled, are postponed. They didn't even

1734
01:22:33,600 --> 01:22:36,000
Speaker 2: start until middle of October. This is the year I

1735
01:22:36,000 --> 01:22:38,800
Speaker 2: think it all comes together. They did lose two players

1736
01:22:38,840 --> 01:22:40,320
Speaker 2: of the NFL and the defense side the wall, but

1737
01:22:40,360 --> 01:22:43,440
Speaker 2: they bring everyone else back, They bring in some intriguing transfers,

1738
01:22:43,880 --> 01:22:48,320
Speaker 2: and I ultimately just don't look, there's so much going

1739
01:22:48,360 --> 01:22:52,160
Speaker 2: on with this Texas Tech team. You know, you have

1740
01:22:52,200 --> 01:22:54,599
Speaker 2: a new offensive coordinator and Sunny Company who's coming in.

1741
01:22:54,800 --> 01:22:57,200
Speaker 2: You have a new quarterback, Tyler Schuck who's coming in

1742
01:22:57,240 --> 01:23:00,960
Speaker 2: from Oregon. They have two new receivers, starting running back

1743
01:23:01,000 --> 01:23:04,000
Speaker 2: Strodgrick Thompsons, who led them in rushing the past two years.

1744
01:23:04,160 --> 01:23:06,880
Speaker 2: He might not play he's banged up. There's a lot

1745
01:23:06,960 --> 01:23:09,160
Speaker 2: going on the defense. They think it's going to be better.

1746
01:23:09,360 --> 01:23:11,439
Speaker 2: It's a lot of experience. They have more supersedens than

1747
01:23:11,479 --> 01:23:14,080
Speaker 2: anyone in the Big twelve. But there's a lot going

1748
01:23:14,080 --> 01:23:16,200
Speaker 2: on here Houston. I think the offense is going to

1749
01:23:16,240 --> 01:23:19,360
Speaker 2: be great. I think Clayton Tune in his fourth year,

1750
01:23:19,800 --> 01:23:23,040
Speaker 2: his first full off season, you know, without interruptions, as

1751
01:23:23,040 --> 01:23:27,120
Speaker 2: the known starter in that Holgerson air raid with a

1752
01:23:27,240 --> 01:23:31,280
Speaker 2: very experienced now offensive line, I think is gonna be good.

1753
01:23:31,360 --> 01:23:33,400
Speaker 2: And I think this is Houston team has a lot

1754
01:23:33,400 --> 01:23:36,559
Speaker 2: of sleeper potential. I think that they should be favored

1755
01:23:36,600 --> 01:23:39,639
Speaker 2: here by at least a field goal over Texas Tech.

1756
01:23:39,680 --> 01:23:41,439
Speaker 2: I still have questions about that defense. They just can't

1757
01:23:41,439 --> 01:23:43,760
Speaker 2: get to the quarterback, which then you know and none

1758
01:23:43,800 --> 01:23:47,000
Speaker 2: that you lose your your all Big twelve cornerback who

1759
01:23:47,040 --> 01:23:49,120
Speaker 2: went into the NFL draft and you gotta replace him,

1760
01:23:49,160 --> 01:23:51,840
Speaker 2: and so this they used to can attack this defense.

1761
01:23:51,840 --> 01:23:54,000
Speaker 2: Houston also has a special team's edge. The other one

1762
01:23:54,240 --> 01:23:58,120
Speaker 2: Georgia State Army Noon gotta get my Army game out there.

1763
01:23:58,360 --> 01:24:02,000
Speaker 2: I love Georgia State, now Army. What this comes down

1764
01:24:02,000 --> 01:24:04,799
Speaker 2: to is and I played Georgia State money line. The

1765
01:24:04,800 --> 01:24:07,639
Speaker 2: line came down to two. It's a field goal isn't

1766
01:24:07,640 --> 01:24:09,800
Speaker 2: as important in the Service Academy game. They like to

1767
01:24:09,800 --> 01:24:11,439
Speaker 2: go for it and fourth downs. I could see either

1768
01:24:11,439 --> 01:24:12,960
Speaker 2: one of these teams go for two at the end.

1769
01:24:13,320 --> 01:24:15,400
Speaker 2: But Georgia State. I love this team. I played season

1770
01:24:15,439 --> 01:24:19,280
Speaker 2: win total over. Their defense is improving. The question in

1771
01:24:19,360 --> 01:24:21,360
Speaker 2: this game is and they bring back every one in

1772
01:24:21,400 --> 01:24:23,080
Speaker 2: their offense. They bring back all eleven starters from a

1773
01:24:23,120 --> 01:24:28,120
Speaker 2: record setting offense for their their program. They have great receivers,

1774
01:24:28,200 --> 01:24:30,840
Speaker 2: the offensive line, everything is great on this offense. They're

1775
01:24:30,840 --> 01:24:33,320
Speaker 2: gonna score. I think the defense is trending up. They

1776
01:24:33,320 --> 01:24:36,719
Speaker 2: have a really good corner, really good safety, and entire defense.

1777
01:24:36,800 --> 01:24:39,720
Speaker 2: These two teams played two similar offenses, three four defenses.

1778
01:24:39,760 --> 01:24:43,240
Speaker 2: Aggressive is to shut down the run and to get

1779
01:24:43,240 --> 01:24:45,880
Speaker 2: to the quarterback. For you, you look at their sack

1780
01:24:45,960 --> 01:24:48,720
Speaker 2: rates and tackle for loss last year. Georgia staking really

1781
01:24:48,760 --> 01:24:51,760
Speaker 2: good afters. But the question becomes can they stop the

1782
01:24:51,760 --> 01:24:55,320
Speaker 2: triple option? And they did lose a lot of talent

1783
01:24:55,360 --> 01:24:58,679
Speaker 2: at linebacker. The sack leader from last year transferred out.

1784
01:24:58,840 --> 01:25:02,160
Speaker 2: They lost two others to graduations. That's the cap versus

1785
01:25:02,160 --> 01:25:05,000
Speaker 2: an Army team that lost four offensive linemen. They only

1786
01:25:05,000 --> 01:25:09,400
Speaker 2: bring their center back. Army used to replacing offensive linemen.

1787
01:25:09,680 --> 01:25:11,360
Speaker 2: You know, turnover isn't as big of a deal for

1788
01:25:11,400 --> 01:25:15,680
Speaker 2: service academies. But they have a million cornerback quarterbacks. They

1789
01:25:15,680 --> 01:25:18,000
Speaker 2: have two listed as the starters going into this year.

1790
01:25:18,240 --> 01:25:21,000
Speaker 2: But I actually think Georgia State linebacker will be fine.

1791
01:25:21,040 --> 01:25:23,120
Speaker 2: You know, they return a starter from two years ago.

1792
01:25:24,160 --> 01:25:26,360
Speaker 2: You know, they have a couple a SEC transfers coming in.

1793
01:25:26,400 --> 01:25:27,920
Speaker 2: That's the cap for me. I think their linebacks will

1794
01:25:27,920 --> 01:25:30,800
Speaker 2: be fine. Extra preparation time here to prepare for the

1795
01:25:30,800 --> 01:25:34,360
Speaker 2: triple option Army five and eleven against the spread and

1796
01:25:34,439 --> 01:25:38,759
Speaker 2: season openers. That speaks to that extra preparation you get. Plus,

1797
01:25:38,880 --> 01:25:42,559
Speaker 2: Georgia State has seen the triple option before they see

1798
01:25:42,560 --> 01:25:44,439
Speaker 2: it with their rival Georgia Southern. Oh and guess what

1799
01:25:44,479 --> 01:25:47,200
Speaker 2: they played Army in twenty nineteen. They beat them twenty

1800
01:25:47,200 --> 01:25:49,800
Speaker 2: eight to twenty one at home. I think Georgia State

1801
01:25:49,880 --> 01:25:52,040
Speaker 2: opens this season with win. It won't be easy. These

1802
01:25:52,040 --> 01:25:54,559
Speaker 2: are high variance, low possession games. When Georgia State won

1803
01:25:54,600 --> 01:25:56,960
Speaker 2: that game, they only had six possessions. In twenty nineteen

1804
01:25:57,000 --> 01:25:59,520
Speaker 2: against Army, It's six possessions all game. They'scored four touchdowns,

1805
01:26:00,680 --> 01:26:02,640
Speaker 2: and ant Laane, who's still on the team, had the

1806
01:26:02,680 --> 01:26:06,080
Speaker 2: game stealing interception against Army. So a lot of those

1807
01:26:06,120 --> 01:26:07,720
Speaker 2: guys that were on the team now we're on that

1808
01:26:07,720 --> 01:26:09,519
Speaker 2: team in twenty nineteen. They see the option in Georgia

1809
01:26:09,560 --> 01:26:12,640
Speaker 2: Southern extra time to prepare for it. I think that

1810
01:26:12,840 --> 01:26:16,160
Speaker 2: they'll get enough stops here, and look, Army has a

1811
01:26:16,160 --> 01:26:18,880
Speaker 2: pretty good secondary this year, especially for Army standards, but

1812
01:26:19,320 --> 01:26:21,960
Speaker 2: Georgia State receivers are excellent. I think that they will

1813
01:26:21,960 --> 01:26:23,920
Speaker 2: make enough plays and find a way to win this game.

1814
01:26:23,960 --> 01:26:26,479
Speaker 2: Georgia State money line, what do you got through out

1815
01:26:26,479 --> 01:26:27,240
Speaker 2: a couple bets?

1816
01:26:27,560 --> 01:26:29,479
Speaker 4: Yeah, let's go quick here. I mean I wrote up

1817
01:26:29,479 --> 01:26:31,559
Speaker 4: North Carolina Virginia Tech. I like the under in that game.

1818
01:26:31,600 --> 01:26:34,160
Speaker 4: I am not a believer in Brax and Burmeister Sam

1819
01:26:34,320 --> 01:26:36,360
Speaker 4: Howell does have new weapons. He's got to take a

1820
01:26:36,360 --> 01:26:37,760
Speaker 4: while to figure that out. So whether you want to

1821
01:26:37,760 --> 01:26:40,439
Speaker 4: split that up into first half or full game, I

1822
01:26:40,479 --> 01:26:43,559
Speaker 4: am not intimidated by enter Sandman, and I don't believe

1823
01:26:43,600 --> 01:26:47,759
Speaker 4: that North Carolina will be either fishy line, very fishy line,

1824
01:26:47,800 --> 01:26:50,639
Speaker 4: taking a ton of North Carolina money, yet it will

1825
01:26:50,680 --> 01:26:52,640
Speaker 4: not come off and jump up above that five and

1826
01:26:52,680 --> 01:26:55,040
Speaker 4: a half. So keep your eyes out there. Moving on

1827
01:26:55,080 --> 01:26:57,760
Speaker 4: to Saturday, I've already taken Marshall, took him on the

1828
01:26:57,760 --> 01:26:59,360
Speaker 4: money line. I'd take him again at minus two and

1829
01:26:59,400 --> 01:27:02,000
Speaker 4: a half. Charles Huff maybe one of the best hires

1830
01:27:02,600 --> 01:27:07,160
Speaker 4: in college football coming out of Alabama. Praise listen Navy

1831
01:27:07,240 --> 01:27:09,840
Speaker 4: in the first game of the season. This is sort

1832
01:27:09,840 --> 01:27:12,400
Speaker 4: of tough go here for them for their defense going

1833
01:27:12,439 --> 01:27:14,880
Speaker 4: up against this Marshall rushing attack. At the same turn,

1834
01:27:15,560 --> 01:27:17,760
Speaker 4: Marshall's going to be able to play. You know, they

1835
01:27:17,800 --> 01:27:20,200
Speaker 4: know how to play gaff integrity defense. I have no

1836
01:27:20,280 --> 01:27:23,040
Speaker 4: issues about them going up against the triple option. And

1837
01:27:23,120 --> 01:27:27,320
Speaker 4: more importantly, Navy's worse than the nation at pressuring quarterbacks.

1838
01:27:27,320 --> 01:27:28,920
Speaker 4: And if you're going to give Grant Well's time in

1839
01:27:28,960 --> 01:27:31,479
Speaker 4: a pocket, he's going to hit everybody alive. He's proven

1840
01:27:31,520 --> 01:27:34,920
Speaker 4: that before. UMass Pittsburgh may not be on a lot

1841
01:27:34,920 --> 01:27:39,759
Speaker 4: of people's radar, but I can guarantee, I can guarantee

1842
01:27:39,800 --> 01:27:43,400
Speaker 4: you that Mark Whipple is sitting around his house just

1843
01:27:43,479 --> 01:27:46,280
Speaker 4: waiting for kickoff. To this game after he was at

1844
01:27:46,360 --> 01:27:51,080
Speaker 4: allegations fired. Quit did not end pretty at UMass and

1845
01:27:51,080 --> 01:27:54,400
Speaker 4: I can and there was problems with them leaving the

1846
01:27:54,439 --> 01:27:58,040
Speaker 4: MAC going independent, Whipple having issues with that, Whipple having

1847
01:27:58,040 --> 01:28:01,800
Speaker 4: allegations I watched at Pittsburgh, Watch that pit UMass game,

1848
01:28:01,840 --> 01:28:03,479
Speaker 4: watch those numbers. I think the over is probably the

1849
01:28:03,520 --> 01:28:06,920
Speaker 4: appropriate play because I don't see Whipple stopping there, still

1850
01:28:06,920 --> 01:28:08,880
Speaker 4: going down the board on Saturday. Tell me why San

1851
01:28:08,920 --> 01:28:12,000
Speaker 4: Jose State, Nick Starkle, can't beat usc Tell me why

1852
01:28:12,040 --> 01:28:13,960
Speaker 4: you would back an air raid offense in game one

1853
01:28:13,960 --> 01:28:16,400
Speaker 4: of the season when there have been injuries and timing

1854
01:28:16,479 --> 01:28:19,120
Speaker 4: and all that stuff that comes along with Graham Harrell

1855
01:28:19,200 --> 01:28:21,760
Speaker 4: and Kadan Slovas. I don't see any reason why San

1856
01:28:21,840 --> 01:28:24,000
Speaker 4: Jose State can't keep up here, So give me some

1857
01:28:24,040 --> 01:28:26,360
Speaker 4: of that. Keep your eyes on the Oregon State perdue number.

1858
01:28:26,400 --> 01:28:28,719
Speaker 4: I took the over earlier in the week at sixty six.

1859
01:28:29,000 --> 01:28:31,400
Speaker 4: That number up to sixty nine now at win bet.

1860
01:28:31,520 --> 01:28:33,679
Speaker 4: There is some weather in the forecast that is rising,

1861
01:28:33,720 --> 01:28:35,439
Speaker 4: and if that gets higher there could be a buyout

1862
01:28:35,439 --> 01:28:38,200
Speaker 4: by me, especially if he gets into the seventies. Akron

1863
01:28:38,240 --> 01:28:42,760
Speaker 4: Auburn Tian Dollard officially not on the Akron roster. So

1864
01:28:43,160 --> 01:28:47,040
Speaker 4: I yeah, yeah, I mean, we can't bet the Zips

1865
01:28:47,040 --> 01:28:51,639
Speaker 4: this year at all, Zips, And I think what's most important,

1866
01:28:51,840 --> 01:28:55,080
Speaker 4: by the way, I think what's most important here is

1867
01:28:55,080 --> 01:28:57,240
Speaker 4: that Brian Harrison is going to want to make an

1868
01:28:57,280 --> 01:28:59,880
Speaker 4: impression in his first game, and he is known for

1869
01:29:00,280 --> 01:29:03,720
Speaker 4: getting quarterbacks to improve on their explosiveness and success rate.

1870
01:29:04,000 --> 01:29:08,800
Speaker 2: They bow Nicks season then pull effect.

1871
01:29:10,120 --> 01:29:12,880
Speaker 4: They pulled bo Nicks out out of the game. Guess

1872
01:29:12,880 --> 01:29:15,639
Speaker 4: what TJ. Finley can light it up to. So covering

1873
01:29:15,720 --> 01:29:17,679
Speaker 4: the spread or the over is definitely on the table.

1874
01:29:18,080 --> 01:29:22,599
Speaker 4: UTSA meet me going up against victorious Illinois, who's probably

1875
01:29:22,680 --> 01:29:25,920
Speaker 4: only thought about this big win against Nebraska. Uh, these

1876
01:29:25,960 --> 01:29:29,360
Speaker 4: are gonna be two ground heavyweights punching each other in

1877
01:29:29,400 --> 01:29:31,559
Speaker 4: the face. And if you're gonna give me that situation,

1878
01:29:31,600 --> 01:29:34,080
Speaker 4: I'm gonna take Cinceer McCormick all day. Now. They do

1879
01:29:34,200 --> 01:29:36,760
Speaker 4: not have the trench to hang with Illinois. I can't

1880
01:29:36,760 --> 01:29:39,000
Speaker 4: believe I'm saying that about Illinois after just one game.

1881
01:29:39,080 --> 01:29:42,639
Speaker 4: But this is still a UTSA team with a bunch

1882
01:29:42,640 --> 01:29:44,840
Speaker 4: of recruits that weren't good enough to play in Power five,

1883
01:29:44,840 --> 01:29:45,760
Speaker 4: which they'll probably be.

1884
01:29:45,640 --> 01:29:47,599
Speaker 2: Just the under Illinois games all year.

1885
01:29:48,200 --> 01:29:50,920
Speaker 4: Probably a good play. I do like UTSA to challenge

1886
01:29:50,960 --> 01:29:54,680
Speaker 4: their Florida and Florida Atlantic. I believe the quote from

1887
01:29:54,760 --> 01:29:57,680
Speaker 4: Dan Mullen was, we paid Florida Atlantic one point five

1888
01:29:57,720 --> 01:29:59,559
Speaker 4: million to play this game. You better bet we're gonna

1889
01:29:59,560 --> 01:30:02,480
Speaker 4: get every pin out of this. So I another overlean

1890
01:30:02,560 --> 01:30:04,920
Speaker 4: there Kent in Texas A and M. There's not going

1891
01:30:04,960 --> 01:30:06,360
Speaker 4: to be a pre game. I don't care what this

1892
01:30:06,439 --> 01:30:08,960
Speaker 4: number flirts out with Kent. You can't convince me that

1893
01:30:09,000 --> 01:30:11,000
Speaker 4: after the first quarter of this game that liveline is

1894
01:30:11,040 --> 01:30:13,320
Speaker 4: not going to be thirty eight or forty. So that's

1895
01:30:13,360 --> 01:30:15,800
Speaker 4: what I'll be looking for live on game day. So

1896
01:30:15,880 --> 01:30:17,960
Speaker 4: you can't convince me that you know, Kent isn't going

1897
01:30:18,040 --> 01:30:20,200
Speaker 4: to be live around forty one in the second quarter,

1898
01:30:20,200 --> 01:30:22,000
Speaker 4: which for me will be a good time to fire.

1899
01:30:22,479 --> 01:30:25,400
Speaker 4: The total is getting up there for a team that

1900
01:30:25,560 --> 01:30:27,559
Speaker 4: moves as slow as Texas A and M. They do

1901
01:30:27,600 --> 01:30:29,960
Speaker 4: have explosive weapons, but they should not be in the

1902
01:30:29,960 --> 01:30:32,080
Speaker 4: game past the second quarter. So then you're gonna rely

1903
01:30:32,160 --> 01:30:33,800
Speaker 4: on second and third stringers from A and M to

1904
01:30:33,840 --> 01:30:35,920
Speaker 4: help out with that sixty seven. I think the better

1905
01:30:35,960 --> 01:30:37,559
Speaker 4: plays to wait for Kent State to get into the

1906
01:30:37,600 --> 01:30:39,280
Speaker 4: forties live and then come in on that because they're

1907
01:30:39,280 --> 01:30:40,320
Speaker 4: going to play through the fourth quarter.

1908
01:30:41,000 --> 01:30:43,320
Speaker 2: All right, there you have for the havoc round. Let's

1909
01:30:43,400 --> 01:30:45,639
Speaker 2: move on to FC Yes or.

1910
01:30:45,600 --> 01:30:58,559
Speaker 3: No, Southland or SEC, Big Sky or Big Ten. It's

1911
01:30:58,640 --> 01:31:01,320
Speaker 3: time to play see Yes or No.

1912
01:31:06,040 --> 01:31:08,280
Speaker 2: Pick one game con that you want to talk about

1913
01:31:08,320 --> 01:31:11,120
Speaker 2: featuring an FCS team. I'll start. I gotta mention Iowa State,

1914
01:31:11,200 --> 01:31:14,320
Speaker 2: Northern Iowa. Here, look, Iowa State. We know that they're

1915
01:31:14,360 --> 01:31:21,320
Speaker 2: notorious slow starters. Facing Northern Iowa week one before playing Iowa,

1916
01:31:21,720 --> 01:31:24,120
Speaker 2: which they who they play next week. They've lost five

1917
01:31:24,280 --> 01:31:26,240
Speaker 2: times in a row. It's gonna go a long way

1918
01:31:26,240 --> 01:31:28,160
Speaker 2: in determining their season if they can final either their

1919
01:31:28,200 --> 01:31:30,599
Speaker 2: six point favorites next week. But here's what's happened when

1920
01:31:30,640 --> 01:31:33,200
Speaker 2: they played in Northern Iowa and FCS school in the

1921
01:31:33,240 --> 01:31:37,320
Speaker 2: opener before playing Iowa. It's happened three times in Campbell's air.

1922
01:31:37,840 --> 01:31:40,320
Speaker 2: They lost out right in twenty sixteen twenty five to

1923
01:31:40,320 --> 01:31:45,400
Speaker 2: twenty as twenty three point favorites. Twenty seventeen, they rebounded

1924
01:31:45,400 --> 01:31:48,839
Speaker 2: won forty two to twenty four's ten point favorites. Twenty nineteen,

1925
01:31:49,520 --> 01:31:52,040
Speaker 2: they won twenty nine to twenty six in triple overtime,

1926
01:31:52,680 --> 01:31:55,840
Speaker 2: so they have not necessarily came out here and taken

1927
01:31:55,880 --> 01:31:58,160
Speaker 2: care of business. And I didn't even mentioned in twenty eighteen,

1928
01:31:58,800 --> 01:32:01,519
Speaker 2: late in the season they beat Drake twenty seven to

1929
01:32:01,560 --> 01:32:04,759
Speaker 2: twenty four. They were favored by forty and a half points,

1930
01:32:05,200 --> 01:32:08,559
Speaker 2: so I would state very slow starters. They haven't blown

1931
01:32:08,600 --> 01:32:13,320
Speaker 2: out these in state little brother FCS teams. Now. I

1932
01:32:13,360 --> 01:32:17,520
Speaker 2: think it's going to be a big point of emphasis

1933
01:32:17,560 --> 01:32:20,960
Speaker 2: on starting fast right Iowa State this year, So I

1934
01:32:20,960 --> 01:32:24,120
Speaker 2: wouldn't be surprised if they come out and roll in

1935
01:32:24,160 --> 01:32:26,519
Speaker 2: this first half. I mean history suggests they won't, but

1936
01:32:26,600 --> 01:32:30,040
Speaker 2: if they do, I'm on Northern Iowa on the second half,

1937
01:32:30,080 --> 01:32:34,680
Speaker 2: competent FCS team, and I don't expect. I would state,

1938
01:32:34,680 --> 01:32:35,960
Speaker 2: what is Iowa State have to work on with the

1939
01:32:35,960 --> 01:32:38,920
Speaker 2: ioland next week health? That's it. I mean, this is

1940
01:32:38,920 --> 01:32:40,880
Speaker 2: a team as much experience as anyone in the country.

1941
01:32:40,880 --> 01:32:43,400
Speaker 2: They know their defense, it's rock birdy priests all, I mean,

1942
01:32:43,880 --> 01:32:46,960
Speaker 2: the offensive, everything's back right, all the coaches, There's nothing

1943
01:32:46,960 --> 01:32:49,280
Speaker 2: to really work on. So the second half, I don't

1944
01:32:49,280 --> 01:32:51,559
Speaker 2: expect them to do anything if they have a big lead.

1945
01:32:51,640 --> 01:32:54,040
Speaker 2: Northern Iowa second half is to look there. I wouldn't

1946
01:32:54,040 --> 01:32:55,920
Speaker 2: even hate looking at Northern Iowa plus thirty one and

1947
01:32:55,960 --> 01:32:57,760
Speaker 2: a half. By the way, based on what I would

1948
01:32:57,760 --> 01:32:59,080
Speaker 2: state is done in these spots, I am just a

1949
01:32:59,120 --> 01:33:01,120
Speaker 2: little afraid of just the year they finally are like,

1950
01:33:01,120 --> 01:33:03,320
Speaker 2: all right, we're all about starting fast, and they come

1951
01:33:03,360 --> 01:33:05,120
Speaker 2: out and they finally put up thirty in the first

1952
01:33:05,160 --> 01:33:07,160
Speaker 2: half and go up thirty nothing. I don't know, but

1953
01:33:07,200 --> 01:33:09,559
Speaker 2: that's that's a look there. What I throw out a

1954
01:33:09,560 --> 01:33:11,200
Speaker 2: game featuring an FCS team.

1955
01:33:11,280 --> 01:33:13,439
Speaker 4: I'm gonna go too quick, ones, real quick. Friday night,

1956
01:33:13,640 --> 01:33:18,280
Speaker 4: Saint Francis against Eastern Michigan. Eastern Michigan is going to

1957
01:33:18,360 --> 01:33:21,040
Speaker 4: field probably the worst defensive backfield in all of the

1958
01:33:21,080 --> 01:33:23,720
Speaker 4: MAC and Saint Francis is one percent passed with two

1959
01:33:23,760 --> 01:33:26,439
Speaker 4: of the best wide receivers in their respective conference in FCS.

1960
01:33:26,760 --> 01:33:28,600
Speaker 4: I like to over end that game, and then I

1961
01:33:28,680 --> 01:33:32,639
Speaker 4: believe all eyes on Saturday have to be on our

1962
01:33:33,280 --> 01:33:35,160
Speaker 4: Campbell Camels.

1963
01:33:35,160 --> 01:33:40,000
Speaker 2: The Campbell University Campbell's from Booey's Creek, North Carolina, MA.

1964
01:33:45,160 --> 01:33:48,120
Speaker 4: Check it out if you were not around last week.

1965
01:33:48,160 --> 01:33:51,759
Speaker 4: The lastyear's podcast, The Campbell Campbell's return. Every single starter

1966
01:33:51,880 --> 01:33:55,880
Speaker 4: except for one twenty returning starters, including quarterback Hodje Malik

1967
01:33:55,960 --> 01:34:01,559
Speaker 4: Williams going up against Liberty absolutely has got to be

1968
01:34:01,880 --> 01:34:05,280
Speaker 4: the G five FCS game Watch of the week. Win

1969
01:34:05,400 --> 01:34:08,000
Speaker 4: Bet yet to put out a spread we're expecting somewhere

1970
01:34:08,000 --> 01:34:11,439
Speaker 4: in the twenties. I'm not sure how serious Liberty is

1971
01:34:11,439 --> 01:34:13,200
Speaker 4: gonna take this game with Troy on deck. Troy is

1972
01:34:13,200 --> 01:34:14,960
Speaker 4: a very decent team. How much of the you know,

1973
01:34:15,040 --> 01:34:18,040
Speaker 4: game plan if they installed. I would assume Hugh Freeze

1974
01:34:18,080 --> 01:34:20,799
Speaker 4: is taking Campbell seriously considering what they did and covered

1975
01:34:21,200 --> 01:34:23,519
Speaker 4: I think in three straight before finally, I think they

1976
01:34:23,520 --> 01:34:26,040
Speaker 4: played four games in twenty six days last year, which

1977
01:34:26,080 --> 01:34:29,280
Speaker 4: they kind of fizzled out at the very end. So definitely,

1978
01:34:29,280 --> 01:34:32,439
Speaker 4: for me, a must watch from a very experienced and

1979
01:34:33,680 --> 01:34:36,800
Speaker 4: talented group of Campbell going up against a Liberty team.

1980
01:34:37,360 --> 01:34:38,720
Speaker 4: I don't know if you can have a what's called

1981
01:34:38,720 --> 01:34:41,240
Speaker 4: a look ahead to Troy, but you have to think

1982
01:34:41,240 --> 01:34:43,559
Speaker 4: they've already started installing the game plan for their first

1983
01:34:43,600 --> 01:34:44,719
Speaker 4: FBS game next week.

1984
01:34:45,240 --> 01:34:48,519
Speaker 2: What is there roll humps is that the slogan roll humps,

1985
01:34:49,680 --> 01:34:50,160
Speaker 2: roll hump.

1986
01:34:51,640 --> 01:34:54,880
Speaker 4: If we can get one voicemail in on the Campbell

1987
01:34:54,920 --> 01:34:57,599
Speaker 4: Campbell's it make me happy. Because God, I love.

1988
01:34:57,439 --> 01:34:59,880
Speaker 2: That they saw a Campbell store fat. By the way

1989
01:35:00,000 --> 01:35:03,120
Speaker 2: their humps, you know that, not water fat, That's what

1990
01:35:03,200 --> 01:35:12,599
Speaker 2: that is. Yep. Come home, all right, before we get

1991
01:35:12,600 --> 01:35:14,720
Speaker 2: out of here, we have a little robust three and out.

1992
01:35:14,800 --> 01:35:18,200
Speaker 2: Let's go three and out.

1993
01:35:18,560 --> 01:35:20,679
Speaker 3: Let's make it a quick three and out.

1994
01:35:21,960 --> 01:35:24,280
Speaker 2: Sunday night. We have Sunday Night college football this week,

1995
01:35:24,640 --> 01:35:29,960
Speaker 2: prime time in Tallahassee. Notre Dame at Florida State at

1996
01:35:29,960 --> 01:35:33,040
Speaker 2: Winding Bet. Notre Dame is a floating between a seven

1997
01:35:33,160 --> 01:35:35,880
Speaker 2: seven and a half point favorite today, probably right around

1998
01:35:35,880 --> 01:35:38,160
Speaker 2: a seven point favorite when you're listening to this tomorrow.

1999
01:35:38,520 --> 01:35:41,600
Speaker 2: I played Florida State plus seven and a half. I

2000
01:35:41,680 --> 01:35:44,559
Speaker 2: make this line like four and a half five. Getting

2001
01:35:44,560 --> 01:35:47,599
Speaker 2: over a touchdown is really important. I think Florida State

2002
01:35:47,720 --> 01:35:49,799
Speaker 2: is going to be really improved this year. The biggest

2003
01:35:49,840 --> 01:35:51,519
Speaker 2: question mark on that on their team. I mean, look,

2004
01:35:51,680 --> 01:35:54,559
Speaker 2: Mike Norvell came in last year in a nightmare situation

2005
01:35:54,640 --> 01:35:57,400
Speaker 2: and new offense coordinator, new defensive quarter in the COVID year,

2006
01:35:57,800 --> 01:35:59,960
Speaker 2: expect a bump. Just you know, he had a full off.

2007
01:36:00,280 --> 01:36:02,080
Speaker 2: This is the guy who knows how to get offense going.

2008
01:36:02,320 --> 01:36:03,760
Speaker 2: The biggest problem in the last couple of years. I

2009
01:36:03,840 --> 01:36:06,040
Speaker 2: mean recruiting his shred off. The has been culture problems,

2010
01:36:06,240 --> 01:36:08,840
Speaker 2: but it's been the offensive line. I actually like, you know,

2011
01:36:08,840 --> 01:36:10,760
Speaker 2: I don't mind the offensive line. This year they brought

2012
01:36:10,760 --> 01:36:12,800
Speaker 2: in a Notre Dame, A transfer from Notre Dame. Is

2013
01:36:12,800 --> 01:36:15,200
Speaker 2: gonna start a card you know, love tailor the transfer

2014
01:36:15,240 --> 01:36:17,800
Speaker 2: from my FIU very good offensive line got hurt last

2015
01:36:17,840 --> 01:36:20,640
Speaker 2: year November. He's back. Uh, then you had they were

2016
01:36:20,640 --> 01:36:24,680
Speaker 2: starting four freshmen last year, set their centers back. He

2017
01:36:24,800 --> 01:36:28,160
Speaker 2: was a freshman All American and their two tackles were

2018
01:36:28,280 --> 01:36:31,760
Speaker 2: now a redshirt freshman had redford freshman or freshman true

2019
01:36:31,800 --> 01:36:34,680
Speaker 2: freshman All American honors in certain publications, I think the

2020
01:36:34,680 --> 01:36:37,519
Speaker 2: offensive line is gonna take a big step forward this year.

2021
01:36:38,040 --> 01:36:42,920
Speaker 2: And I haven't listened their quarterback yet, so it's it's uh,

2022
01:36:42,920 --> 01:36:44,800
Speaker 2: they're gonna it's I don't know what it's gonna be. It's

2023
01:36:44,800 --> 01:36:47,280
Speaker 2: gonna be Kenzie Bilton. Is it gonna be Jordan Travis.

2024
01:36:47,320 --> 01:36:50,519
Speaker 2: I think they're gonna start with Jordan Travis. The novella

2025
01:36:50,600 --> 01:36:52,840
Speaker 2: likes a running quarterback, but you're gonna see Milton in there.

2026
01:36:53,400 --> 01:36:57,320
Speaker 2: And the defense I expect to be a little better

2027
01:36:57,360 --> 01:37:00,120
Speaker 2: and noted book. Notre Dame has four offensive linemen. They

2028
01:37:00,120 --> 01:37:01,360
Speaker 2: were on their teamless year. They are now in the

2029
01:37:01,439 --> 01:37:03,680
Speaker 2: NFL and they lost the im book and now you

2030
01:37:03,760 --> 01:37:06,880
Speaker 2: have Jack Conell not a huge fan of questions that

2031
01:37:06,920 --> 01:37:10,880
Speaker 2: they're on the outside at wide receiver. It's the team

2032
01:37:10,880 --> 01:37:12,680
Speaker 2: that lost a lot of production from last year. We

2033
01:37:12,680 --> 01:37:16,280
Speaker 2: were a little lower on Notre Dame. To give Brian

2034
01:37:16,360 --> 01:37:18,719
Speaker 2: Kelly credit, this Notre Dame team has won like thirty

2035
01:37:19,120 --> 01:37:20,880
Speaker 2: five straight games and they've been a favorite of a

2036
01:37:20,880 --> 01:37:23,240
Speaker 2: touchdown more. They've been really good in this spot and

2037
01:37:23,560 --> 01:37:25,320
Speaker 2: they've been really good at taking care of the teams

2038
01:37:25,640 --> 01:37:28,120
Speaker 2: that they should beat. But I think Florida State is

2039
01:37:28,160 --> 01:37:30,040
Speaker 2: live here. I mean Milton coming in, They're gonna honor

2040
01:37:30,080 --> 01:37:32,320
Speaker 2: Bobby Balden before the games. Would be a lot of

2041
01:37:32,439 --> 01:37:33,000
Speaker 2: energy here.

2042
01:37:33,640 --> 01:37:35,200
Speaker 4: Welcome aboard Slugger.

2043
01:37:35,640 --> 01:37:38,639
Speaker 2: Finally a little bit of optimism around this Florida State team.

2044
01:37:38,880 --> 01:37:41,840
Speaker 2: I think they start fast and this I just this

2045
01:37:41,920 --> 01:37:45,960
Speaker 2: Notre Dame team just doesn't to me have blowout potential

2046
01:37:46,240 --> 01:37:49,160
Speaker 2: with this offense. And I like, I think the Florida

2047
01:37:49,200 --> 01:37:51,479
Speaker 2: State offensive line is going to be really improved this year,

2048
01:37:51,479 --> 01:37:52,960
Speaker 2: and I think that's gonna be the key. I think

2049
01:37:52,960 --> 01:37:55,000
Speaker 2: this is a sense up being a close game throughout.

2050
01:37:55,160 --> 01:37:57,920
Speaker 2: So I like Florida State. If you can get seven, yeah,

2051
01:37:58,200 --> 01:37:59,760
Speaker 2: you can get over seven for sure. What do you

2052
01:37:59,760 --> 01:38:00,799
Speaker 2: got If.

2053
01:38:00,640 --> 01:38:02,880
Speaker 4: You're listening to this late on Thursday night as I'm

2054
01:38:02,920 --> 01:38:05,800
Speaker 4: staring at my Christmas tree screen, I think we're gonna

2055
01:38:05,800 --> 01:38:07,280
Speaker 4: get a six and a half before the night's over

2056
01:38:07,439 --> 01:38:09,200
Speaker 4: by the time you wake up on Friday morning. So

2057
01:38:09,840 --> 01:38:11,840
Speaker 4: listen everything. I agree with everything Stuck said, and I'm

2058
01:38:11,880 --> 01:38:13,760
Speaker 4: on the Florida State side. I bought it at ten

2059
01:38:13,880 --> 01:38:16,240
Speaker 4: way long se Fields Fields like eons Ago, I buy

2060
01:38:16,280 --> 01:38:18,000
Speaker 4: it again at seven. I probably buy it again at

2061
01:38:18,000 --> 01:38:20,519
Speaker 4: six and a half. I believe in Florida State and

2062
01:38:20,560 --> 01:38:22,880
Speaker 4: Mike Norville. Year two. He's able to have his full

2063
01:38:22,920 --> 01:38:25,400
Speaker 4: training camp, he's able to have spring practice, He's able

2064
01:38:25,439 --> 01:38:27,680
Speaker 4: to install everything he wants to do. He's had a

2065
01:38:27,720 --> 01:38:29,880
Speaker 4: year of transfer portal, he's had a year of cleaning

2066
01:38:29,920 --> 01:38:31,880
Speaker 4: house and getting what he wants in there. And what

2067
01:38:31,920 --> 01:38:34,960
Speaker 4: he did at Memphis was nothing short of miraculous, you know,

2068
01:38:35,000 --> 01:38:37,960
Speaker 4: going to the Cotton Bowl and challenging some of the

2069
01:38:37,960 --> 01:38:40,960
Speaker 4: best Power five teams. So I have believe in Mike Norvel.

2070
01:38:41,120 --> 01:38:44,040
Speaker 4: I know that you know, there can be things with

2071
01:38:44,040 --> 01:38:46,120
Speaker 4: Florida State that are toxic in nature that keep them

2072
01:38:46,120 --> 01:38:49,719
Speaker 4: from succeeding on the field. But Travis is an explosive runner.

2073
01:38:50,479 --> 01:38:52,880
Speaker 4: If you get anything out of McKenzie Milton whatsoever, that's

2074
01:38:52,880 --> 01:38:55,280
Speaker 4: just an additional bonus in my opinion. But let's talk

2075
01:38:55,320 --> 01:38:56,960
Speaker 4: about the real handicap in this game, and that is

2076
01:38:57,000 --> 01:38:58,799
Speaker 4: the fact that clerk Lee is no longer the defensive

2077
01:38:58,800 --> 01:39:02,479
Speaker 4: coordinator at Notre Dame Vanderbilt. The defensive coordinator not being there,

2078
01:39:02,479 --> 01:39:04,240
Speaker 4: They're going to a new scheme of three three five

2079
01:39:04,280 --> 01:39:07,479
Speaker 4: with Marcus Freeman. That's going to be successful someday, but

2080
01:39:07,600 --> 01:39:10,559
Speaker 4: right now you are one of the lowest ranking teams

2081
01:39:10,600 --> 01:39:13,479
Speaker 4: in terms of tarp transfer activity and returning production. I

2082
01:39:13,479 --> 01:39:15,320
Speaker 4: think Flora Say can win the game, so I would.

2083
01:39:15,320 --> 01:39:17,479
Speaker 4: I would take the spread. I would probably grab it.

2084
01:39:17,479 --> 01:39:19,320
Speaker 4: It looks like money is going to continue to come in.

2085
01:39:19,560 --> 01:39:21,200
Speaker 4: I would get Florida State best I could, but there

2086
01:39:21,200 --> 01:39:21,839
Speaker 4: will be buyback.

2087
01:39:22,320 --> 01:39:24,120
Speaker 2: Well for Monday, we have Monday Light Lights, but you're

2088
01:39:24,120 --> 01:39:27,320
Speaker 2: probably gonna forget about all this and Monday there's one game.

2089
01:39:27,320 --> 01:39:29,040
Speaker 2: Colin wrote up the game, so make sure you check

2090
01:39:29,040 --> 01:39:32,120
Speaker 2: out the action app and Actionnework dot Com for his

2091
01:39:32,240 --> 01:39:34,600
Speaker 2: article and his play on that game. Let's move on

2092
01:39:34,600 --> 01:39:36,920
Speaker 2: to second down. When we're talking about our favorite overdog

2093
01:39:37,560 --> 01:39:40,480
Speaker 2: and our underdog moneyline parlay.

2094
01:39:40,360 --> 01:39:42,000
Speaker 4: It's called the overdog parlay.

2095
01:39:42,240 --> 01:39:44,320
Speaker 2: By the way, overdog. We found out for those now

2096
01:39:44,360 --> 01:39:46,519
Speaker 2: familiar someone called us and was like, why do you

2097
01:39:46,600 --> 01:39:50,040
Speaker 2: need to bet more overdogs? And they meant like the underdog,

2098
01:39:50,080 --> 01:39:52,080
Speaker 2: and we found out overdog is actually like an actual

2099
01:39:52,200 --> 01:39:54,679
Speaker 2: term that was used lay back in the day. Anyway,

2100
01:39:54,760 --> 01:39:57,559
Speaker 2: now we call them overdog. So favorite favorite on the board,

2101
01:39:58,479 --> 01:40:01,200
Speaker 2: I'm gonna go with Nebraska. It's forty one I think

2102
01:40:01,240 --> 01:40:06,880
Speaker 2: I saw against Fordham. Just by look, Fordham has a

2103
01:40:06,880 --> 01:40:08,679
Speaker 2: pretty good quarterback to throw up some number. They didn't

2104
01:40:08,680 --> 01:40:11,240
Speaker 2: play las year. They through three games in the fall.

2105
01:40:11,400 --> 01:40:14,040
Speaker 2: They can't run the ball, for shit, so they can

2106
01:40:14,520 --> 01:40:17,519
Speaker 2: throw it around a little bit. But yeah, that's playing

2107
01:40:17,560 --> 01:40:20,240
Speaker 2: right into the hands of the strength of Nebraska's defense.

2108
01:40:21,160 --> 01:40:26,320
Speaker 2: Fordham's not going to slow down Nebraska. Also, Nebraska, I

2109
01:40:26,320 --> 01:40:28,679
Speaker 2: than Fordham's special teams are one of the worst special

2110
01:40:28,680 --> 01:40:30,920
Speaker 2: teams in the country at the FCS level. They were

2111
01:40:30,960 --> 01:40:33,800
Speaker 2: horrendous in the spring. So Nebraska has met its match.

2112
01:40:34,680 --> 01:40:37,639
Speaker 2: They're with all their special teams mistakes. I think Nebraska

2113
01:40:37,720 --> 01:40:39,280
Speaker 2: needs to come out here and they need to just

2114
01:40:39,400 --> 01:40:41,280
Speaker 2: they need to win this game. Fifty eight nothing. I mean,

2115
01:40:41,280 --> 01:40:42,479
Speaker 2: they don't need to do anything, and I think that

2116
01:40:42,479 --> 01:40:44,880
Speaker 2: Scott Frost wants to do it. He's just getting mocked.

2117
01:40:45,080 --> 01:40:46,719
Speaker 2: I think they just keep their foot on the gas

2118
01:40:46,720 --> 01:40:48,600
Speaker 2: the entire time and then they'll be able to just

2119
01:40:48,720 --> 01:40:51,959
Speaker 2: run it against Fordam. They'll overpower them in the trenches.

2120
01:40:52,479 --> 01:40:54,639
Speaker 2: It's an angry Nebraska team that I don't think will

2121
01:40:54,680 --> 01:40:57,360
Speaker 2: let up this week. I think it's a pretty good matchup,

2122
01:40:57,640 --> 01:41:00,559
Speaker 2: So I'll throw out Nebraska favorite favorite for you.

2123
01:41:01,040 --> 01:41:03,519
Speaker 4: I'm gonna go to Texas minus eight. This is a

2124
01:41:03,600 --> 01:41:05,880
Speaker 4: number I don't believe is going to get any lower.

2125
01:41:05,920 --> 01:41:07,439
Speaker 4: I waited as long as I could to get seven.

2126
01:41:07,479 --> 01:41:09,640
Speaker 4: If if it ends up going down to seven, then

2127
01:41:09,640 --> 01:41:11,439
Speaker 4: it's definitely worth another buye. If you hit it once,

2128
01:41:11,479 --> 01:41:14,320
Speaker 4: I'll hit it again. This is a roster that is

2129
01:41:14,800 --> 01:41:17,360
Speaker 4: loaded with talent, and they've never had the right pilot

2130
01:41:17,400 --> 01:41:19,960
Speaker 4: at the ship. Now they have Steve Sarkisian who went

2131
01:41:19,960 --> 01:41:23,040
Speaker 4: out and built a great staff, getting Phil Kwakowski from

2132
01:41:23,120 --> 01:41:25,080
Speaker 4: Washington come in and run the defense. This is a

2133
01:41:25,080 --> 01:41:28,360
Speaker 4: Texas team that continually struggles with injury because Tom Herman

2134
01:41:28,439 --> 01:41:31,439
Speaker 4: worked them over too hard, continually struggles with tackling because

2135
01:41:31,439 --> 01:41:34,320
Speaker 4: they were fundamentally not prepared for games. This is a

2136
01:41:34,320 --> 01:41:37,439
Speaker 4: different era with Steve Sarkisian in at Texas, and there

2137
01:41:37,520 --> 01:41:39,680
Speaker 4: is a major talent gap. When you look down to

2138
01:41:39,720 --> 01:41:42,200
Speaker 4: Louisiana Lafayette, A lot of betters are going to get

2139
01:41:42,240 --> 01:41:44,000
Speaker 4: into this game and get into the spread. I think

2140
01:41:44,040 --> 01:41:47,559
Speaker 4: they already have because what happened last year, and considering that,

2141
01:41:47,680 --> 01:41:50,160
Speaker 4: you know, Louisiana there was a little bit in their

2142
01:41:50,240 --> 01:41:52,040
Speaker 4: numbers suggests they got a little bit lucky with some

2143
01:41:52,080 --> 01:41:54,719
Speaker 4: of their games. They eventually did not have a Sunbelt

2144
01:41:54,800 --> 01:41:57,960
Speaker 4: Conference championship game against Coastal Carolina where I feel like,

2145
01:41:58,000 --> 01:42:01,080
Speaker 4: you know, they probably would have lost. Listen, Billion Napier

2146
01:42:01,200 --> 01:42:04,160
Speaker 4: is not at the level of Power five coaches. There

2147
01:42:04,240 --> 01:42:06,880
Speaker 4: is a huge mismatch, not just on the field, but

2148
01:42:06,960 --> 01:42:09,880
Speaker 4: also in the coaching ranks because Billion Napier continues to

2149
01:42:09,920 --> 01:42:12,920
Speaker 4: interview for jobs in the SEC with Tennessee South Carolina.

2150
01:42:13,080 --> 01:42:15,120
Speaker 4: This happens year after year and he never gets the job.

2151
01:42:15,160 --> 01:42:17,120
Speaker 4: And there's a reason why. It's because he lines up

2152
01:42:17,160 --> 01:42:19,120
Speaker 4: at fourth and two the thirty five yard line decides

2153
01:42:19,120 --> 01:42:22,200
Speaker 4: to run backwards and take a safety. He is one

2154
01:42:22,240 --> 01:42:24,280
Speaker 4: of the most puzzling coaches and someone I don't want

2155
01:42:24,320 --> 01:42:26,479
Speaker 4: to have my money behind. There is a major talent

2156
01:42:26,520 --> 01:42:30,080
Speaker 4: discrepancy on defense. Go horns for one week until you

2157
01:42:30,080 --> 01:42:32,080
Speaker 4: get up to my hogs. I love the Steve sarcusan are.

2158
01:42:32,120 --> 01:42:38,040
Speaker 4: It's gonna start against Louisiana.

2159
01:42:36,360 --> 01:42:41,280
Speaker 3: Turning good weekends into great weekends. It's time for the

2160
01:42:41,439 --> 01:42:42,720
Speaker 3: money line parlay.

2161
01:42:44,080 --> 01:42:47,240
Speaker 2: All right, that's time for our money line underdog parlay.

2162
01:42:47,840 --> 01:42:50,320
Speaker 2: I'm going with Ucla. I make this game a pick.

2163
01:42:50,720 --> 01:42:54,960
Speaker 2: And there are other circumstances surrounding the LSU team that

2164
01:42:55,160 --> 01:42:57,839
Speaker 2: make me one of that. Even more on UCLA, displaced

2165
01:42:57,840 --> 01:43:01,080
Speaker 2: by Hurricane Ida this week really in upted their preparation.

2166
01:43:01,280 --> 01:43:03,320
Speaker 2: You know, on a bus for ten hours to Houston

2167
01:43:03,360 --> 01:43:07,639
Speaker 2: instead of a four hour drive. Injuries, offensive line questions

2168
01:43:07,680 --> 01:43:13,639
Speaker 2: popping up in camp, quarterback and reports are not glowing

2169
01:43:14,320 --> 01:43:17,640
Speaker 2: to be kind, and you know there's a lot of

2170
01:43:17,760 --> 01:43:20,400
Speaker 2: change that LSU has to deal with, new play caller,

2171
01:43:20,520 --> 01:43:24,719
Speaker 2: new defensive coordinator. Ahead of Week one against a known

2172
01:43:24,800 --> 01:43:27,800
Speaker 2: commodity in UCLA, we were really high on them coming

2173
01:43:27,840 --> 01:43:30,000
Speaker 2: into the year still high on them after what I

2174
01:43:30,040 --> 01:43:32,439
Speaker 2: saw last year. I think this is really the year

2175
01:43:32,439 --> 01:43:34,880
Speaker 2: that Chip Kelly takes his team to the next level.

2176
01:43:35,080 --> 01:43:38,200
Speaker 2: I think UCLA pulls off the mini upset. We won't

2177
01:43:38,200 --> 01:43:41,280
Speaker 2: get too crazy in week one of the moneyline underdog parlay.

2178
01:43:41,320 --> 01:43:42,920
Speaker 2: Where you going, Cam, Yeah.

2179
01:43:42,760 --> 01:43:44,560
Speaker 4: You're definitely taking the best one on the board. So

2180
01:43:44,640 --> 01:43:47,200
Speaker 4: that's going to lead me with what we've been saying

2181
01:43:47,240 --> 01:43:50,000
Speaker 4: all preseason, which is we're gonna fade Notre Dame. We're

2182
01:43:50,040 --> 01:43:54,360
Speaker 4: gonna fade Notre Dame without clerkly Tarp below fifty percent

2183
01:43:54,520 --> 01:43:57,439
Speaker 4: in the age of the Super Senior. Notre Dame does

2184
01:43:57,479 --> 01:44:00,000
Speaker 4: not have that. They have a game manager in Jack Cone.

2185
01:44:00,080 --> 01:44:01,600
Speaker 4: They have a bunch of freshmen that aren't ready to

2186
01:44:01,640 --> 01:44:04,599
Speaker 4: play quarterback. They don't have any explosive weapons on the outside.

2187
01:44:04,640 --> 01:44:07,120
Speaker 4: They have talent, but it's not explosive. They do have

2188
01:44:07,160 --> 01:44:11,040
Speaker 4: a tight end, but that's not going to win ball

2189
01:44:11,080 --> 01:44:14,200
Speaker 4: games necessarily, especially when you're going up against teams that

2190
01:44:14,320 --> 01:44:17,599
Speaker 4: have explosiveness at the quarterback position and skill positions and

2191
01:44:17,720 --> 01:44:19,599
Speaker 4: is hungry for desperate for a win, and a second

2192
01:44:19,680 --> 01:44:21,519
Speaker 4: year coach Notre Dame is going to be looking for

2193
01:44:21,560 --> 01:44:23,639
Speaker 4: a lot of answers after this weekend. I like Florida

2194
01:44:23,640 --> 01:44:25,639
Speaker 4: State to win outright, love.

2195
01:44:25,479 --> 01:44:28,280
Speaker 2: It, although I won't stay at Freddy Marcus Friedman slander.

2196
01:44:28,439 --> 01:44:31,200
Speaker 2: But let's move on to third down before we get

2197
01:44:31,240 --> 01:44:32,960
Speaker 2: out of here, and that's our favorite bet of the week.

2198
01:44:33,160 --> 01:44:36,200
Speaker 2: I'll kick things off with a late night game for you,

2199
01:44:36,240 --> 01:44:39,639
Speaker 2: and that's Nevada plus three and a half against Cal.

2200
01:44:39,880 --> 01:44:42,800
Speaker 2: I make this close to a pick, so please give

2201
01:44:42,840 --> 01:44:44,880
Speaker 2: me over a field goal on a game I make

2202
01:44:44,920 --> 01:44:46,559
Speaker 2: a pick on a team that I am high on

2203
01:44:46,840 --> 01:45:00,559
Speaker 2: in Nevada. Carson strong pro prospect at the quarterback position.

2204
01:45:01,200 --> 01:45:03,080
Speaker 2: Third year of the Air Raid. We saw the progress

2205
01:45:03,120 --> 01:45:05,880
Speaker 2: he made last year. I expect that to continue this year.

2206
01:45:06,120 --> 01:45:09,439
Speaker 2: He gets you know, Cooks back at receiver, takes attention

2207
01:45:09,520 --> 01:45:12,200
Speaker 2: away from Dubbs. They have an NFL prospect at tight end.

2208
01:45:12,240 --> 01:45:15,240
Speaker 2: The entire offensive line comes back. I love this Air

2209
01:45:15,360 --> 01:45:17,639
Speaker 2: Raid offense. I think that they're going to be able

2210
01:45:17,640 --> 01:45:19,439
Speaker 2: to score. Now you know it's going to be a

2211
01:45:19,439 --> 01:45:21,760
Speaker 2: respectable Cal defense on the other side of the ball.

2212
01:45:22,040 --> 01:45:24,080
Speaker 2: Return a lot of experience on that four to two

2213
01:45:24,120 --> 01:45:27,439
Speaker 2: five defense for Nevada led by Don Peterson. They're finally

2214
01:45:27,520 --> 01:45:30,800
Speaker 2: starting to build some bulk. It's not a great defense,

2215
01:45:31,240 --> 01:45:33,080
Speaker 2: but I think it'll be able to hold its own

2216
01:45:33,080 --> 01:45:35,680
Speaker 2: and get enough stops against the cal offense that I

2217
01:45:35,800 --> 01:45:38,880
Speaker 2: just don't trust to get down the field. They don't

2218
01:45:38,920 --> 01:45:41,720
Speaker 2: have enough deep targets to stretch out and take advantage

2219
01:45:42,040 --> 01:45:45,559
Speaker 2: of this Nevada defense. I like the Nevada special teams

2220
01:45:45,600 --> 01:45:49,200
Speaker 2: as well special teams mentioned. I think this game is

2221
01:45:49,240 --> 01:45:50,559
Speaker 2: a pick. I think Nevada is going to find a

2222
01:45:50,560 --> 01:45:52,560
Speaker 2: way to win. But give me Nevada plus three and

2223
01:45:52,600 --> 01:45:57,040
Speaker 2: a half. Go pack what you got is your favorite bet?

2224
01:45:57,280 --> 01:45:58,640
Speaker 4: Yeah, my favorite bet of the week is going to

2225
01:45:58,640 --> 01:46:01,320
Speaker 4: be Kansas State. There are two many questions with Stanford,

2226
01:46:01,400 --> 01:46:03,639
Speaker 4: especially with David Shaw and the system that he runs

2227
01:46:03,680 --> 01:46:06,360
Speaker 4: in the Pac twelve. It's slow, it uses a lot

2228
01:46:06,360 --> 01:46:09,160
Speaker 4: of fullbacks, it uses a lot of tight ends. It

2229
01:46:09,240 --> 01:46:11,880
Speaker 4: has to be successful in moving the chains because it's

2230
01:46:11,920 --> 01:46:14,599
Speaker 4: not very explosive, and they're going to go up against

2231
01:46:14,600 --> 01:46:17,800
Speaker 4: a fully healthy Kansas State team and that was really

2232
01:46:17,800 --> 01:46:21,759
Speaker 4: the problem. This is another explosive team that has Skyler Thompson.

2233
01:46:22,120 --> 01:46:24,320
Speaker 4: They're gonna get some backup play from Will Howard and

2234
01:46:24,360 --> 01:46:26,120
Speaker 4: then Deuce Vaughn, and you're going to put them on

2235
01:46:26,200 --> 01:46:28,720
Speaker 4: the turf down in Jerry World in Arlington, which is

2236
01:46:28,720 --> 01:46:30,479
Speaker 4: the advantage of the team that is faster, and that

2237
01:46:30,560 --> 01:46:33,360
Speaker 4: is obviously Kansas State. When Kansas State is at full health,

2238
01:46:33,360 --> 01:46:35,760
Speaker 4: they are better than Stanford, a Pac twelve team that

2239
01:46:35,920 --> 01:46:38,639
Speaker 4: is I mean a win total that just came down crashing.

2240
01:46:38,760 --> 01:46:40,800
Speaker 4: They have not filled in the recruits. This is not

2241
01:46:40,880 --> 01:46:43,080
Speaker 4: the trenches that they've had years ago with Stanford, and

2242
01:46:43,120 --> 01:46:45,040
Speaker 4: they don't have the tight ends and the wide receivers

2243
01:46:45,240 --> 01:46:47,120
Speaker 4: from years past where they can just do a tip

2244
01:46:47,200 --> 01:46:50,000
Speaker 4: drill to themselves into the end zone. Stanford is going

2245
01:46:50,040 --> 01:46:52,200
Speaker 4: to come down crashing hard this season. Their pace of

2246
01:46:52,240 --> 01:46:55,439
Speaker 4: play is too slow, their offense is too prehistoric, and

2247
01:46:55,560 --> 01:46:57,439
Speaker 4: Kansas State is going to give them a rude wakening

2248
01:46:57,680 --> 01:46:58,960
Speaker 4: down in Jerry World.

2249
01:46:59,280 --> 01:47:02,360
Speaker 2: All Right, there, I have it. Thanks as always to

2250
01:47:02,439 --> 01:47:05,679
Speaker 2: Colin for joining me. Thanks for all of you for listening.

2251
01:47:05,960 --> 01:47:09,760
Speaker 2: It was a long Week one preview as we expected.

2252
01:47:10,400 --> 01:47:12,200
Speaker 2: We're so excited to be back. We're gonna have our

2253
01:47:12,200 --> 01:47:15,320
Speaker 2: show on Saturday morning. We'll have a recap episode on Tuesday.

2254
01:47:15,720 --> 01:47:18,519
Speaker 2: That'll normally be on Monday mornings. Make sure that you

2255
01:47:18,640 --> 01:47:22,080
Speaker 2: call all weekend nine to five nine Bad Beat. I

2256
01:47:22,200 --> 01:47:25,640
Speaker 2: promise giveaways. We were at too long. I promise on

2257
01:47:25,640 --> 01:47:28,200
Speaker 2: everything this pot, on this podcast, and everything that I

2258
01:47:28,240 --> 01:47:30,960
Speaker 2: stand for. We'll do a bunch the recap episode on

2259
01:47:31,000 --> 01:47:34,000
Speaker 2: Tuesday review, so get in there we can. You can

2260
01:47:34,200 --> 01:47:37,320
Speaker 2: get some giveaways as well between now and Tuesday Review.

2261
01:47:37,360 --> 01:47:39,519
Speaker 2: Subscribe to a friend, tolle enemy. We appreciate all of

2262
01:47:39,560 --> 01:47:42,920
Speaker 2: you listening. Let's have a winning season again. Let's start

2263
01:47:42,960 --> 01:47:45,559
Speaker 2: it off with a winning Week one. Continue some momentum

2264
01:47:45,560 --> 01:47:48,240
Speaker 2: early in the season. You can catch us on Twitter

2265
01:47:48,760 --> 01:47:52,320
Speaker 2: all weekend. We'll have some fun. I'm so excited college

2266
01:47:52,320 --> 01:47:54,160
Speaker 2: football is back. We will catch you all later.

2267
01:47:54,240 --> 01:47:55,519
Speaker 4: Cheers, peace out,