1
00:00:05,600 --> 00:00:11,840
Speaker 1: This is Straight Fire with Jason McIntyre. What is up

2
00:00:11,920 --> 00:00:17,000
Speaker 1: straight Fire? Fam, It's me Jason McIntyre, Straight Fire. Friday

3
00:00:17,160 --> 00:00:23,800
Speaker 1: d seven, Friday December sevente Friday September What a game?

4
00:00:24,360 --> 00:00:28,960
Speaker 1: Back to back Thursday night football thrillers? Both want at

5
00:00:28,960 --> 00:00:31,480
Speaker 1: the buzzer? Is that not great to start the season.

6
00:00:31,760 --> 00:00:34,320
Speaker 1: And it's funny because you know, Rob and I are

7
00:00:34,320 --> 00:00:36,200
Speaker 1: always texting like, oh, when should we get it? Should

8
00:00:36,200 --> 00:00:37,959
Speaker 1: we get a guest lined up? Like what should we do?

9
00:00:38,479 --> 00:00:40,920
Speaker 1: And I vividly remember us saying, oh, well, the Thursday

10
00:00:41,000 --> 00:00:43,320
Speaker 1: night games crap. So we're gonna need some good content.

11
00:00:43,400 --> 00:00:46,120
Speaker 1: We have a great interview today with David Baker, the

12
00:00:46,120 --> 00:00:48,680
Speaker 1: guy who won the super Contest and finished second in

13
00:00:48,680 --> 00:00:51,680
Speaker 1: the circle a k A. He won boatloads of money

14
00:00:52,159 --> 00:00:54,560
Speaker 1: last year gambling on football. He went five and oh

15
00:00:54,560 --> 00:00:56,280
Speaker 1: in the contest, I'm in last week, so we're gonna

16
00:00:56,280 --> 00:00:58,600
Speaker 1: talk to you about week two and it's like a good,

17
00:00:58,720 --> 00:01:02,120
Speaker 1: great media interview. And then the football game happens last

18
00:01:02,200 --> 00:01:06,000
Speaker 1: night Giants Washington and it's a thriller, And we could

19
00:01:06,040 --> 00:01:09,040
Speaker 1: probably do thirty minutes on this slop fest and I'm

20
00:01:09,080 --> 00:01:11,840
Speaker 1: sure a large chunk of it would be is Joe Judge,

21
00:01:11,880 --> 00:01:13,920
Speaker 1: the first coach fired. And I just want to remind

22
00:01:13,959 --> 00:01:17,880
Speaker 1: some people. I went on Cowherd Show in August, and

23
00:01:18,040 --> 00:01:19,959
Speaker 1: you know, they're like, well, there's no games this weekend,

24
00:01:20,000 --> 00:01:22,640
Speaker 1: this is during the preseason. Why don't we do season projections?

25
00:01:22,640 --> 00:01:24,480
Speaker 1: And I said, first coach fired, Joe Judge, and they

26
00:01:24,480 --> 00:01:26,280
Speaker 1: were like really, and they looked at the odds. It

27
00:01:26,319 --> 00:01:29,040
Speaker 1: was like, I was like, dude, it could go south

28
00:01:29,280 --> 00:01:32,399
Speaker 1: quick for this team. I'm telling you right now the

29
00:01:32,560 --> 00:01:35,120
Speaker 1: way they lost to the Broncos and he threw a

30
00:01:35,240 --> 00:01:37,840
Speaker 1: challenge flag on a play that you couldn't challenge, and

31
00:01:37,840 --> 00:01:40,920
Speaker 1: the referees was like, dude, sorry, we you know, we

32
00:01:41,000 --> 00:01:43,160
Speaker 1: gotta we we we can't challenge it and we gotta

33
00:01:43,200 --> 00:01:45,679
Speaker 1: take your challenge. And he's you know, he was like embarrassed.

34
00:01:45,680 --> 00:01:48,200
Speaker 1: Like every right person who covers the team wrote about this.

35
00:01:48,400 --> 00:01:50,960
Speaker 1: It's pathetic. And then they go out and loose to

36
00:01:51,000 --> 00:01:54,400
Speaker 1: Washington Folks fifth straight season. The Giants have started owing

37
00:01:54,440 --> 00:01:57,640
Speaker 1: to Joe Judges on alert and I don't want to,

38
00:01:57,920 --> 00:01:59,760
Speaker 1: I mean, I don't want to say like I'm worried

39
00:01:59,800 --> 00:02:02,080
Speaker 1: for Oh Judge, but if you don't beat the Falcons

40
00:02:02,080 --> 00:02:05,440
Speaker 1: next week, then he travels to the Saints and Cowboys.

41
00:02:06,840 --> 00:02:10,960
Speaker 1: After that, it's the rams Owen six is on the

42
00:02:10,960 --> 00:02:13,360
Speaker 1: table here for the Giants. They need to beat the

43
00:02:13,360 --> 00:02:16,280
Speaker 1: Falcons next weekend badly, or Joe Judge could be gone

44
00:02:16,280 --> 00:02:22,200
Speaker 1: before Halloween. It's just an embarrassing performance the d Like

45
00:02:22,360 --> 00:02:24,760
Speaker 1: I personally got on his case on Twitter last night

46
00:02:25,440 --> 00:02:27,799
Speaker 1: and I said, wait a minute, it's fourth and ten

47
00:02:27,880 --> 00:02:31,000
Speaker 1: with like three minutes left. Your defense has been shredded

48
00:02:31,080 --> 00:02:34,240
Speaker 1: three straight possessions. They went field goal, field goal to

49
00:02:34,560 --> 00:02:37,720
Speaker 1: play seventy five yard touchdown. They could not stop Matt

50
00:02:37,720 --> 00:02:41,600
Speaker 1: Sarason a k a. Tyler Heineck Heineck. Actually it's the

51
00:02:41,639 --> 00:02:43,079
Speaker 1: other way around, but I like to call him Matt

52
00:02:43,120 --> 00:02:48,960
Speaker 1: Sarason Heineck. Third career start, unbelievable in the fourth quarter

53
00:02:50,040 --> 00:02:53,040
Speaker 1: and the Giants pumped the ball back to Heineck. He

54
00:02:53,120 --> 00:02:57,520
Speaker 1: makes the only mistake he made all game, second and seven.

55
00:02:57,520 --> 00:02:59,960
Speaker 1: I don't know why River wrote Riverboat ron is throwing

56
00:03:00,040 --> 00:03:02,480
Speaker 1: the football in second and seven approaching the two minute warning,

57
00:03:02,480 --> 00:03:07,120
Speaker 1: but whatever. And Bradbury, the best cornerback maybe in the division,

58
00:03:07,520 --> 00:03:10,040
Speaker 1: jumps in front of the past for McLaurin and the

59
00:03:10,080 --> 00:03:13,080
Speaker 1: Giants are like, oh, there are business, but instead of

60
00:03:13,160 --> 00:03:16,560
Speaker 1: running down the clock kicking the game winning field goal,

61
00:03:17,120 --> 00:03:19,120
Speaker 1: they leave all the time in the world for heinekey

62
00:03:19,480 --> 00:03:22,120
Speaker 1: bing bang boom comes down the field. And then of

63
00:03:22,160 --> 00:03:27,160
Speaker 1: course another Giants colossal screw up, just embarrassing dexter Lord.

64
00:03:27,240 --> 00:03:28,880
Speaker 1: So from her first round I think he was the

65
00:03:28,880 --> 00:03:32,680
Speaker 1: first round pick jumps off sides after the kid missed

66
00:03:32,680 --> 00:03:36,680
Speaker 1: the kick. He gets a second kick, and it's good,

67
00:03:37,160 --> 00:03:41,160
Speaker 1: and Washington celebrates and the Giants are O and two

68
00:03:41,200 --> 00:03:44,520
Speaker 1: for the fifth straight year, and um, listen, it's weird.

69
00:03:44,600 --> 00:03:49,280
Speaker 1: Danny Dimes was actually pretty good. I saw somebody call

70
00:03:49,360 --> 00:03:51,080
Speaker 1: him rob g Are you ready for this? I did

71
00:03:51,080 --> 00:03:54,600
Speaker 1: not know this was a nickname that existed. Somebody called

72
00:03:54,640 --> 00:03:59,280
Speaker 1: him Vanilla vic and I found that hilarious. I laughed

73
00:03:59,320 --> 00:04:01,680
Speaker 1: out loud to my Robgie, not exactly laughing. Guess he

74
00:04:01,720 --> 00:04:05,240
Speaker 1: did not think Vanilla Vick was funny. Um, but I mean,

75
00:04:05,320 --> 00:04:08,000
Speaker 1: Danny Dimes nine carries nine yards, broke off a forty

76
00:04:08,040 --> 00:04:11,880
Speaker 1: six yard or you know, inside the five. It's obvious

77
00:04:11,920 --> 00:04:13,640
Speaker 1: what they're doing. It's like, oh, let's just call the

78
00:04:13,800 --> 00:04:15,960
Speaker 1: quarterback draw man. I could see that coming from my

79
00:04:16,040 --> 00:04:20,159
Speaker 1: from my living room. Um, Danny Dimes was He was good.

80
00:04:20,520 --> 00:04:21,960
Speaker 1: He's not too black, I mean did he did get

81
00:04:21,960 --> 00:04:24,800
Speaker 1: sacked four times. The offensive line lost another guy I

82
00:04:24,839 --> 00:04:28,840
Speaker 1: think a guard at a gruesome ankle injury. Um, yeah,

83
00:04:28,920 --> 00:04:31,600
Speaker 1: Danny Dimes was not awful, although I just if you're

84
00:04:31,640 --> 00:04:33,920
Speaker 1: Kenny Golladay, he showed some frustration on the bench of

85
00:04:33,920 --> 00:04:37,599
Speaker 1: the fourth quarter. Eight targets, three catches, thirty eight yards

86
00:04:38,200 --> 00:04:40,120
Speaker 1: and you have the look on his face said I

87
00:04:40,240 --> 00:04:42,919
Speaker 1: left Detroit because I was sick of this crap, and

88
00:04:42,960 --> 00:04:46,360
Speaker 1: now it's happening in New York. Like Golladay doesn't seem happy.

89
00:04:46,560 --> 00:04:49,840
Speaker 1: Sae Kwon Barkley on the sideline after the kicker made

90
00:04:49,839 --> 00:04:52,000
Speaker 1: the field goal. It looked like someone ran over his cat.

91
00:04:52,120 --> 00:04:55,680
Speaker 1: He was so despondent. I felt bad for sake Kwan, Like,

92
00:04:56,120 --> 00:04:57,600
Speaker 1: I mean, first of all, he can't get on tracked.

93
00:04:57,640 --> 00:05:01,200
Speaker 1: His offensive line stings. Um like, it's just this is

94
00:05:01,240 --> 00:05:03,359
Speaker 1: not good in New York. I mean, Rob, you know,

95
00:05:03,400 --> 00:05:06,520
Speaker 1: I'm a Jets homer who's gonna finish with a better

96
00:05:06,520 --> 00:05:10,799
Speaker 1: record this year. The Jets are the Giants. Oh my goodness. Yeah,

97
00:05:10,839 --> 00:05:14,520
Speaker 1: I mean to question that. The Giants like they're just

98
00:05:14,839 --> 00:05:18,560
Speaker 1: finding ways to blow games. Yeah, I mean, I like

99
00:05:18,640 --> 00:05:20,920
Speaker 1: to say this is one of those things where this

100
00:05:21,040 --> 00:05:23,760
Speaker 1: is why bad teams stay bad. I'm glad you brought

101
00:05:23,839 --> 00:05:27,640
Speaker 1: up the whole the two minute uh, a little portion

102
00:05:27,720 --> 00:05:29,840
Speaker 1: of the game where the Giants get the big turnover,

103
00:05:30,520 --> 00:05:32,800
Speaker 1: they get a chance to really ice the game, at

104
00:05:32,800 --> 00:05:34,720
Speaker 1: minimum get the field goal, which they got, but at

105
00:05:34,760 --> 00:05:39,000
Speaker 1: least run some clock their decision. Shout out to Jason Garrett.

106
00:05:40,320 --> 00:05:44,279
Speaker 1: Let's give the ball to say Kwon Barkley. Two straight

107
00:05:44,320 --> 00:05:48,159
Speaker 1: plays for three yards when coming into that drive outside

108
00:05:48,160 --> 00:05:51,120
Speaker 1: of a forty yard run, which is kind of flukey

109
00:05:51,240 --> 00:05:53,840
Speaker 1: first quarter I think right second day or something like that.

110
00:05:54,480 --> 00:05:57,680
Speaker 1: Other than that, he had been ten carries for sixteen

111
00:05:57,760 --> 00:06:01,880
Speaker 1: yards up until that point. So that's one number two.

112
00:06:02,560 --> 00:06:04,359
Speaker 1: I mean, I don't want to pile on Dexter Lawrence.

113
00:06:04,400 --> 00:06:06,240
Speaker 1: I'm sure he feels bad. I mean, someone go check

114
00:06:06,240 --> 00:06:10,599
Speaker 1: on him and his family this morning. But um, isn't

115
00:06:10,680 --> 00:06:15,239
Speaker 1: Joe Judge a special teams coach. It's like it wasn't

116
00:06:15,240 --> 00:06:18,920
Speaker 1: New England. Like this is why bad teams stay bad.

117
00:06:18,960 --> 00:06:20,920
Speaker 1: They can't get out of their own way. They continue

118
00:06:20,960 --> 00:06:25,040
Speaker 1: to make dumb mistake after dumb mistake. And you're right,

119
00:06:25,040 --> 00:06:27,360
Speaker 1: when you say this is probably maybe not this loss,

120
00:06:27,400 --> 00:06:30,719
Speaker 1: but this is gonna be the third or fourth domino

121
00:06:30,839 --> 00:06:32,960
Speaker 1: in a series of dominoes that leads to him getting

122
00:06:32,960 --> 00:06:36,880
Speaker 1: fired this season. Yeah, I should point out Darius Layton

123
00:06:36,960 --> 00:06:39,039
Speaker 1: on my fantasy team caught a TV earlier in the game,

124
00:06:39,600 --> 00:06:42,679
Speaker 1: had a pretty bad drop of a wide open touchdown

125
00:06:42,720 --> 00:06:45,560
Speaker 1: late in the fourth quarter costly, but so much happened

126
00:06:45,560 --> 00:06:47,720
Speaker 1: after that that it's like I can't really killed the

127
00:06:47,760 --> 00:06:50,000
Speaker 1: guy that being said, Rob, I just went back and looked,

128
00:06:50,040 --> 00:06:52,440
Speaker 1: are you ready for this? So they get the ball

129
00:06:52,440 --> 00:06:54,880
Speaker 1: back on the Bradbury pick with two minutes and six

130
00:06:55,240 --> 00:07:00,640
Speaker 1: uh two minutes and about sixteen seconds left, Jon Garrett

131
00:07:02,240 --> 00:07:07,599
Speaker 1: four plays three yards. It took off sixteen seconds on

132
00:07:07,640 --> 00:07:11,640
Speaker 1: the clock, sixteen seconds. All you gotta do is get

133
00:07:11,640 --> 00:07:14,000
Speaker 1: one first down and boom, you got the game. As

134
00:07:14,000 --> 00:07:17,800
Speaker 1: you said, run Quan run s Kuan up the middle

135
00:07:17,880 --> 00:07:22,000
Speaker 1: twice and then incomplete passed two, which was a past

136
00:07:22,040 --> 00:07:25,280
Speaker 1: that was not accurate by Danny Dimes. Folks, I'm not

137
00:07:25,320 --> 00:07:28,080
Speaker 1: going overboard. I'm not. The Giants are in some trouble,

138
00:07:28,720 --> 00:07:31,120
Speaker 1: like you can't leave you. I think they lead for

139
00:07:31,240 --> 00:07:35,840
Speaker 1: probably the bulk of this game. Yeah, they lead almost

140
00:07:35,840 --> 00:07:39,120
Speaker 1: the entire Yeah, they did lead the entire way. Washington

141
00:07:39,160 --> 00:07:41,040
Speaker 1: did take a lead on the on the Ricky Seals

142
00:07:41,560 --> 00:07:44,520
Speaker 1: Jones awesome touchdown catch with four minutes left, and then

143
00:07:44,560 --> 00:07:48,000
Speaker 1: they wanted on the Dustin Hopkins field go Otherwise, Um,

144
00:07:48,160 --> 00:07:52,360
Speaker 1: Washington was basically trailing for most of the game. They

145
00:07:52,360 --> 00:07:54,640
Speaker 1: did lead at halftime, but they scored with twenty seconds

146
00:07:54,720 --> 00:07:56,800
Speaker 1: left and a half, and then the Giants five minutes

147
00:07:56,880 --> 00:07:59,800
Speaker 1: later early in the third started to come back. But

148
00:08:00,520 --> 00:08:03,320
Speaker 1: I just Washington just they're not great. By the way,

149
00:08:03,320 --> 00:08:06,360
Speaker 1: this defense last year, Rob, that was so awesome, led

150
00:08:06,360 --> 00:08:08,960
Speaker 1: by Chase Young. I don't know. The Giants at six

151
00:08:09,000 --> 00:08:12,400
Speaker 1: point one yards were played man like. This is a

152
00:08:12,440 --> 00:08:17,800
Speaker 1: sloppy game. Both teams uh over eighty yards and penalties

153
00:08:17,800 --> 00:08:21,760
Speaker 1: the Giants with eleven no bigger than the Lawrence offsides.

154
00:08:22,480 --> 00:08:24,160
Speaker 1: Giants won for three in the red zone. They're just

155
00:08:24,200 --> 00:08:27,560
Speaker 1: not a buttoned up team. Is a coach is probably

156
00:08:27,560 --> 00:08:29,760
Speaker 1: gonna get fired, And you don't wish that on anybody

157
00:08:29,800 --> 00:08:35,079
Speaker 1: because it obviously stinks. But I don't know, Rob, do

158
00:08:35,160 --> 00:08:38,400
Speaker 1: you think there's any chance any shot in the world

159
00:08:38,840 --> 00:08:42,000
Speaker 1: next Thursday is as good as the first two Thursdays.

160
00:08:43,040 --> 00:08:44,439
Speaker 1: I mean, you thought last night, do you know who

161
00:08:44,440 --> 00:08:45,720
Speaker 1: the way? Do you know who the games are? The

162
00:08:45,720 --> 00:08:53,760
Speaker 1: game is next weekend? Was it Carolina? Carolina? And they're

163
00:08:53,760 --> 00:08:55,440
Speaker 1: not the Jets because they play the Jets last week.

164
00:08:55,800 --> 00:09:00,320
Speaker 1: It's not gonna be somebody good Houston Texans. Oh my gosh,

165
00:09:00,640 --> 00:09:03,600
Speaker 1: Oh yeah, it's gonna be exciting fireworks to Rod Taylor

166
00:09:03,679 --> 00:09:06,840
Speaker 1: versus Sam Donald. Are you kidding me? Come on, Sammy

167
00:09:06,920 --> 00:09:10,280
Speaker 1: d baby, Uh, now listen. It should be good, um,

168
00:09:10,400 --> 00:09:12,560
Speaker 1: because the Thursday night games are always good. I mean,

169
00:09:13,040 --> 00:09:15,640
Speaker 1: Houston's gonna get boat raised by Cleveland, probably sit their

170
00:09:15,640 --> 00:09:18,600
Speaker 1: starters in the fourth and um, they'll end up rested

171
00:09:18,600 --> 00:09:21,760
Speaker 1: and ready at home for Donald um in the prime time. Now,

172
00:09:21,880 --> 00:09:25,400
Speaker 1: Donald could beat the Saints. I don't want to give

173
00:09:25,400 --> 00:09:26,959
Speaker 1: away a best bet, which is gonna be at the

174
00:09:27,000 --> 00:09:30,319
Speaker 1: end of the podcast in NFL Donald could beat the Saints, obviously.

175
00:09:30,559 --> 00:09:33,520
Speaker 1: Listen to the interview with Baker. Uh, David Baker really

176
00:09:33,559 --> 00:09:37,199
Speaker 1: sharp NFL mine if you listen closely. He seems to

177
00:09:37,200 --> 00:09:39,320
Speaker 1: think Sam Donald has a chance. Now what if Sam

178
00:09:39,360 --> 00:09:41,960
Speaker 1: Donald goes to and oh and then he goes to

179
00:09:42,080 --> 00:09:44,760
Speaker 1: Houston on Thursday night football? It wins I don't even

180
00:09:44,800 --> 00:09:46,520
Speaker 1: know if you won three games in two years with

181
00:09:46,600 --> 00:09:51,480
Speaker 1: my jets. Um Man, this is wild at any rate.

182
00:09:52,080 --> 00:09:54,960
Speaker 1: Um all right, Rob g Any. Final thoughts on on

183
00:09:55,320 --> 00:09:59,520
Speaker 1: Washington thirty, New York Giants twenty nine look man, riverboat

184
00:09:59,600 --> 00:10:02,600
Speaker 1: ron or be uh thinking as lucky stars that Joe

185
00:10:02,679 --> 00:10:05,720
Speaker 1: Judge managed to lose this game? Ra team win it

186
00:10:06,400 --> 00:10:08,600
Speaker 1: by the way? Final pick? Uh it is in my

187
00:10:08,760 --> 00:10:11,560
Speaker 1: picks At the end of the podcast college Football, do

188
00:10:11,600 --> 00:10:14,520
Speaker 1: you have a U c L A Fresno pick? Are

189
00:10:14,559 --> 00:10:16,600
Speaker 1: you going to the game? I'm not going to the game.

190
00:10:16,679 --> 00:10:19,920
Speaker 1: It is my daughter's birthday party that night. Um so

191
00:10:19,960 --> 00:10:21,200
Speaker 1: I will not be going to the game. But you

192
00:10:21,200 --> 00:10:23,200
Speaker 1: know what, Fresno State is better than people think they are.

193
00:10:23,200 --> 00:10:25,440
Speaker 1: I know that they don't seem like a they would

194
00:10:25,440 --> 00:10:28,040
Speaker 1: be a good team because it's Fresno State, but they're

195
00:10:28,080 --> 00:10:32,000
Speaker 1: they're pretty solid. Um I. This is one where I

196
00:10:32,000 --> 00:10:33,800
Speaker 1: would just take the Bruins on the money line. I

197
00:10:33,800 --> 00:10:36,240
Speaker 1: wouldn't feel comfortable laying the eleven. I believe what the

198
00:10:36,240 --> 00:10:39,320
Speaker 1: bread is interesting. I guess I just have to wait

199
00:10:39,320 --> 00:10:41,160
Speaker 1: for best bet. At the end of the podcast. All right, folks,

200
00:10:41,160 --> 00:10:45,000
Speaker 1: without further ado, let's get to him. David Baker, NFL Gamblers,

201
00:10:45,040 --> 00:10:48,880
Speaker 1: slash poker star. Fox Sports Radio has the best sports

202
00:10:48,880 --> 00:10:51,720
Speaker 1: talk lineup in the nation. Catch all of our shows

203
00:10:51,720 --> 00:10:54,960
Speaker 1: at Fox sports Radio dot com and within the I

204
00:10:55,040 --> 00:10:58,040
Speaker 1: Heart Radio app search f s R to listen live.

205
00:10:59,760 --> 00:11:04,080
Speaker 1: How Jason likes to think he knows everything when it

206
00:11:04,160 --> 00:11:07,400
Speaker 1: comes to sports. I know what sports dance want, but

207
00:11:07,520 --> 00:11:10,319
Speaker 1: for everything he doesn't. He knows a guy who does.

208
00:11:10,640 --> 00:11:13,480
Speaker 1: Let's just say I know a guy who knows a

209
00:11:13,520 --> 00:11:16,920
Speaker 1: guy who knows another guy. All right, let's welcome into

210
00:11:16,960 --> 00:11:19,640
Speaker 1: straight fire a return guest. He was so good last year.

211
00:11:19,679 --> 00:11:22,760
Speaker 1: You guys really loved his stuff. Another NFL gambling listen.

212
00:11:22,760 --> 00:11:24,679
Speaker 1: We're trying to bring in the smart guys, make all

213
00:11:24,720 --> 00:11:27,720
Speaker 1: of you guys better gamblers. His name is David Baker,

214
00:11:27,960 --> 00:11:30,680
Speaker 1: and he just happened to win the super contest last year.

215
00:11:31,240 --> 00:11:33,640
Speaker 1: Hundreds of millions of dollars will not not quite hundred,

216
00:11:33,720 --> 00:11:35,480
Speaker 1: but he want a lot of money. Uh, and he's

217
00:11:35,520 --> 00:11:37,920
Speaker 1: off to a good start. It's funny, David. We had

218
00:11:37,920 --> 00:11:39,360
Speaker 1: a guest on yesterday. I don't know if you know,

219
00:11:39,400 --> 00:11:41,760
Speaker 1: Adam turn Off. He went five and oh in the

220
00:11:41,760 --> 00:11:45,040
Speaker 1: circuit contest in week one. You have I'm trying to

221
00:11:45,080 --> 00:11:48,960
Speaker 1: count the entries here. Six entries in the Dow contests. Well, yeah,

222
00:11:49,080 --> 00:11:51,840
Speaker 1: last year we did two in the Westgate Super Contests

223
00:11:51,840 --> 00:11:53,480
Speaker 1: and two in the Circle, and this year we just

224
00:11:53,679 --> 00:11:56,560
Speaker 1: stepped it up put a third one in each. So yeah,

225
00:11:56,559 --> 00:11:59,640
Speaker 1: we have three in the super contests one and three

226
00:12:00,040 --> 00:12:04,280
Speaker 1: in the Circle, which we came in second. So try

227
00:12:04,320 --> 00:12:07,320
Speaker 1: to go try to go back to back. So man,

228
00:12:07,840 --> 00:12:10,000
Speaker 1: you go back to back, Like, I know somebody did

229
00:12:10,200 --> 00:12:11,960
Speaker 1: somebody did that. I forget his name. He's kind of

230
00:12:12,000 --> 00:12:15,640
Speaker 1: a school physic, that's it. Yeah, yeah, he did it

231
00:12:15,679 --> 00:12:18,800
Speaker 1: way back when there was like eight people in the contest, right, Yeah, yeah,

232
00:12:18,840 --> 00:12:20,360
Speaker 1: I don't know even know how many were in, but

233
00:12:20,400 --> 00:12:22,680
Speaker 1: I'm sure it was less than now. Now, these things

234
00:12:22,679 --> 00:12:26,320
Speaker 1: get a lot of press and as overlays and things

235
00:12:26,400 --> 00:12:28,559
Speaker 1: like that, so they get a lot of a lot

236
00:12:28,600 --> 00:12:31,400
Speaker 1: of people. All right, So I don't want to recap

237
00:12:31,440 --> 00:12:32,960
Speaker 1: too much a week one, but I do want to

238
00:12:33,000 --> 00:12:36,920
Speaker 1: hear what were your five and like, can you just

239
00:12:36,960 --> 00:12:41,079
Speaker 1: talk me through the strategy briefly on those five last week? Okay?

240
00:12:41,080 --> 00:12:43,320
Speaker 1: I mean basically our strategy is we have six entries,

241
00:12:43,360 --> 00:12:47,320
Speaker 1: three in each contest. We try to really hone in

242
00:12:47,520 --> 00:12:50,480
Speaker 1: on the games that we really like, and we put

243
00:12:50,520 --> 00:12:54,360
Speaker 1: them in most, if not all, the entries. Um. That's

244
00:12:54,400 --> 00:12:56,440
Speaker 1: what we did last year. So if we if we

245
00:12:56,520 --> 00:12:59,360
Speaker 1: hit our big plays, then we have a bunch of

246
00:12:59,480 --> 00:13:03,040
Speaker 1: entries that make it through. And if we don't, then

247
00:13:03,520 --> 00:13:07,160
Speaker 1: you know, we're just out. That's fine. UM. So each

248
00:13:07,160 --> 00:13:09,280
Speaker 1: week's different. Some weeks they'll be three games that we

249
00:13:09,320 --> 00:13:12,440
Speaker 1: absolutely love. Some weeks still before somebody still be five

250
00:13:12,559 --> 00:13:15,880
Speaker 1: this week. The first week there were five five slash six,

251
00:13:16,240 --> 00:13:19,040
Speaker 1: so we either put we had six games that we

252
00:13:19,160 --> 00:13:23,400
Speaker 1: put in between three and and five UM selections each

253
00:13:23,640 --> 00:13:25,439
Speaker 1: and then we had a couple of ones that we

254
00:13:25,640 --> 00:13:30,479
Speaker 1: scattered um in in there. Um we were heavily concentrated.

255
00:13:30,559 --> 00:13:32,839
Speaker 1: We we went seven in two overall on all the

256
00:13:32,880 --> 00:13:36,000
Speaker 1: games that we chose, um. But are the games that

257
00:13:36,080 --> 00:13:38,040
Speaker 1: we were heavily concentrated on, we went four and two

258
00:13:38,200 --> 00:13:40,800
Speaker 1: and then the games we weren't we went uh three

259
00:13:40,840 --> 00:13:42,480
Speaker 1: and o. So it would have been good if we

260
00:13:42,600 --> 00:13:47,520
Speaker 1: put those in. But our big mrs were Tennessee and Minnesota.

261
00:13:48,640 --> 00:13:51,000
Speaker 1: You like Tennessee, well, if you like them last week,

262
00:13:51,040 --> 00:13:53,679
Speaker 1: you gotta love them this week. I'm I'm really big

263
00:13:53,720 --> 00:13:58,680
Speaker 1: on Tennessee this year and they disappointed, but we did

264
00:13:58,840 --> 00:14:01,959
Speaker 1: nail some other ones we had. We had the Broncos,

265
00:14:02,240 --> 00:14:05,319
Speaker 1: we had the Seahawks, we had the Niners, which we

266
00:14:05,400 --> 00:14:08,439
Speaker 1: got a favorable line in the contest. I know, you know,

267
00:14:08,720 --> 00:14:10,520
Speaker 1: most people lost money if they got the game at

268
00:14:10,559 --> 00:14:12,480
Speaker 1: eight and a half, but the contest was seven and

269
00:14:12,480 --> 00:14:16,240
Speaker 1: a half. And then we had the Eagles UM, which

270
00:14:16,440 --> 00:14:20,600
Speaker 1: was kind of strange for us. We're normally anti Eagles UM.

271
00:14:22,040 --> 00:14:25,000
Speaker 1: But the line disparities between the Eagles and the Falcons

272
00:14:25,120 --> 00:14:28,000
Speaker 1: was just so massive that we've really been focusing on

273
00:14:28,120 --> 00:14:30,800
Speaker 1: line play and trying to find where where we've got

274
00:14:30,960 --> 00:14:34,360
Speaker 1: big edges in the line. I think that's well, sorry

275
00:14:34,440 --> 00:14:38,520
Speaker 1: sorry line as in the Vegas line or the offensive.

276
00:14:39,080 --> 00:14:42,600
Speaker 1: I'm talking about the offensive and defensive lines, and that's

277
00:14:42,680 --> 00:14:45,480
Speaker 1: the that's the strength of the Eagles is really. I mean,

278
00:14:45,560 --> 00:14:47,520
Speaker 1: when you look at their skill position players, they're not

279
00:14:47,840 --> 00:14:50,760
Speaker 1: really that sexy. You look at the Falcons they kind

280
00:14:50,760 --> 00:14:53,880
Speaker 1: of are. And so I think that line kind of

281
00:14:54,000 --> 00:14:57,680
Speaker 1: builds in a little bit of you know, fish thought

282
00:14:57,840 --> 00:15:00,520
Speaker 1: that you know, well, the Falcon to have all these

283
00:15:00,560 --> 00:15:04,280
Speaker 1: great fantasy players and the Eagles don't, so people would

284
00:15:04,280 --> 00:15:07,440
Speaker 1: just bet the Falcons, but in reality, football comes down

285
00:15:07,480 --> 00:15:11,560
Speaker 1: to the trenches, and um, you know, the Eagles just

286
00:15:11,680 --> 00:15:15,320
Speaker 1: had such a such an edge there, we we decided

287
00:15:15,360 --> 00:15:17,800
Speaker 1: to take the points. And and also the more people

288
00:15:17,880 --> 00:15:20,840
Speaker 1: that I listened to that look at football and kind

289
00:15:20,840 --> 00:15:24,160
Speaker 1: of a fishy way, it was like almost unanimous on

290
00:15:24,280 --> 00:15:26,680
Speaker 1: the Falcons. So that's kind of that's kind of a

291
00:15:26,720 --> 00:15:29,160
Speaker 1: pretty good sign right there. Wait, you said in a

292
00:15:29,360 --> 00:15:34,000
Speaker 1: fishy way? Is that okay? So for those who don't,

293
00:15:34,000 --> 00:15:37,200
Speaker 1: I'm a poker player first, in a sports better second, Um,

294
00:15:38,400 --> 00:15:42,120
Speaker 1: fish is kind of like a square Yeah, square square.

295
00:15:42,160 --> 00:15:44,120
Speaker 1: That guy who comes to your poker game and just

296
00:15:44,240 --> 00:15:47,000
Speaker 1: you take money off and easily he's he's you know,

297
00:15:47,360 --> 00:15:51,280
Speaker 1: they're just they're just playing a style that's exploitable. And

298
00:15:51,360 --> 00:15:53,120
Speaker 1: that's kind of in the sports betting world. I mean,

299
00:15:53,160 --> 00:15:55,040
Speaker 1: you just look at you know, who has the best

300
00:15:55,080 --> 00:15:58,400
Speaker 1: wide receivers and quarterback or i mean quarterback is obviously

301
00:15:58,760 --> 00:16:01,000
Speaker 1: the most important thing going, but you're just looking at

302
00:16:01,040 --> 00:16:03,520
Speaker 1: wide receivers running backs and thinking, well, how could this

303
00:16:03,600 --> 00:16:05,880
Speaker 1: team lose? You know, I drafted this player in the

304
00:16:06,520 --> 00:16:08,800
Speaker 1: second round of my fantasy and this one in the

305
00:16:08,880 --> 00:16:12,400
Speaker 1: third round, and and nobody on the Eagles was selected

306
00:16:12,440 --> 00:16:15,280
Speaker 1: in the top six or seven rounds of fantasy drafts. So,

307
00:16:15,800 --> 00:16:18,480
Speaker 1: you know, I think think that's how a layman kind

308
00:16:18,520 --> 00:16:20,120
Speaker 1: of looks at it. A lot of times that are

309
00:16:20,200 --> 00:16:24,520
Speaker 1: that are betting these things. Um. And really the offensive

310
00:16:24,560 --> 00:16:28,040
Speaker 1: and defensive lines just control so much of of what happens.

311
00:16:28,080 --> 00:16:30,320
Speaker 1: And it's not necessarily who has the best running back,

312
00:16:30,760 --> 00:16:33,960
Speaker 1: but what offensive line can create holes for him, and

313
00:16:34,880 --> 00:16:38,080
Speaker 1: what defensive line can apply pressure and force quarterbacks in

314
00:16:38,120 --> 00:16:41,040
Speaker 1: the mistakes. Now, some quarterbacks is gonna have less of

315
00:16:41,120 --> 00:16:44,280
Speaker 1: an effect on than others. But you know, when you're

316
00:16:44,320 --> 00:16:48,720
Speaker 1: talking about in mobile quarterback like Matt Ryan, like the

317
00:16:49,200 --> 00:16:51,760
Speaker 1: pressure is gonna, you know, affect them a little bit

318
00:16:51,840 --> 00:16:55,400
Speaker 1: more than than say a mobile quarterback like Kyler or

319
00:16:55,480 --> 00:16:58,600
Speaker 1: something like that. All Right, So based on that, I'm

320
00:16:58,640 --> 00:17:01,000
Speaker 1: gonna give you two pay x. You tell me if

321
00:17:01,040 --> 00:17:03,920
Speaker 1: they're fishy or not. Um. And I want to start

322
00:17:03,960 --> 00:17:07,800
Speaker 1: with a tough game this week. So Colts rams. Colts

323
00:17:07,840 --> 00:17:11,520
Speaker 1: offensive line got basically I thought dump trucked by Seattle,

324
00:17:11,520 --> 00:17:13,800
Speaker 1: which doesn't even have a good defensive line, and if

325
00:17:13,840 --> 00:17:15,639
Speaker 1: you look at the injuries, they're still banged up on

326
00:17:15,680 --> 00:17:19,080
Speaker 1: the line. They now play the Rams, who mauled the

327
00:17:19,200 --> 00:17:21,800
Speaker 1: Bears kind of shake the offensive line, although the Bears

328
00:17:21,840 --> 00:17:25,560
Speaker 1: did run for a hundred yards um the line is

329
00:17:25,760 --> 00:17:30,199
Speaker 1: I believe for in the contest. I know a lot

330
00:17:30,280 --> 00:17:31,720
Speaker 1: of people are like, you gotta take the Colts, you

331
00:17:31,800 --> 00:17:34,320
Speaker 1: gotta take the Colts. For me, it's Rams or pass.

332
00:17:34,560 --> 00:17:39,159
Speaker 1: Is that a fishy play? I don't think so. I

333
00:17:39,600 --> 00:17:41,760
Speaker 1: I I liked the Rams. The Rams are one of

334
00:17:41,840 --> 00:17:45,240
Speaker 1: my favorite games this week. I'm very anti Colts. To

335
00:17:45,320 --> 00:17:50,360
Speaker 1: be fair, I'm very anti Carson Wentz, and even though

336
00:17:50,400 --> 00:17:53,000
Speaker 1: the Colts were a strong reason we won last year,

337
00:17:53,880 --> 00:17:56,720
Speaker 1: I'm off them to start the year. I'm not saying

338
00:17:56,760 --> 00:17:58,720
Speaker 1: that I won't get them on them in some spots,

339
00:17:58,800 --> 00:18:00,280
Speaker 1: and I won't get on them later in the year,

340
00:18:00,560 --> 00:18:04,639
Speaker 1: but I feel like this team has a lack of

341
00:18:04,760 --> 00:18:10,040
Speaker 1: cohesiveness right now. And you know, Carson, who's basically was

342
00:18:10,119 --> 00:18:14,359
Speaker 1: out for most of last year, uh dealt with COVID,

343
00:18:14,520 --> 00:18:17,280
Speaker 1: dealt with injuries, didn't have a lot of time to prepare.

344
00:18:17,359 --> 00:18:20,200
Speaker 1: The offensive line is really banged up. They don't really

345
00:18:20,240 --> 00:18:24,480
Speaker 1: have skill position players that that can really threaten deep

346
00:18:24,960 --> 00:18:28,200
Speaker 1: Jalen Rams. He's already gonna take Pittman out anyway, and

347
00:18:28,320 --> 00:18:31,000
Speaker 1: so you're dealing with, you know, a lack of weapons,

348
00:18:31,040 --> 00:18:35,600
Speaker 1: a lack of offensive line verse. Probably. I mean, the

349
00:18:35,880 --> 00:18:37,760
Speaker 1: one advantage that the Colts have a lot of times

350
00:18:37,880 --> 00:18:39,639
Speaker 1: is their coaching. I mean, I think Frank Reich is

351
00:18:39,640 --> 00:18:41,520
Speaker 1: one of the better coaches in the league. And one

352
00:18:41,600 --> 00:18:44,280
Speaker 1: thing he's not better than is McVeigh. So I mean,

353
00:18:44,359 --> 00:18:47,960
Speaker 1: I think you actually have a coaching advantage or neutral

354
00:18:48,440 --> 00:18:51,440
Speaker 1: um with these two coaches. We obviously have a huge

355
00:18:51,720 --> 00:18:56,520
Speaker 1: quarterback edge with Stafford over uh over went. We have

356
00:18:56,600 --> 00:18:59,920
Speaker 1: a line edge. Um, we have a skill position edge.

357
00:19:00,960 --> 00:19:03,720
Speaker 1: Uh we have a cohesiveness edge. Even though Staffords knew

358
00:19:03,720 --> 00:19:06,480
Speaker 1: there he was still practicing. He didn't have any COVID issues,

359
00:19:06,520 --> 00:19:09,440
Speaker 1: he didn't have like a bum me. Um. Plus he's

360
00:19:09,480 --> 00:19:12,960
Speaker 1: just a veteran that that. I mean, how it's it's

361
00:19:13,000 --> 00:19:14,399
Speaker 1: not that hard to get on the same page as

362
00:19:14,440 --> 00:19:16,760
Speaker 1: Cooper Cup and Robert Woods. I mean, I feel like,

363
00:19:17,080 --> 00:19:19,320
Speaker 1: I feel like the Rams should dominate this game on

364
00:19:19,440 --> 00:19:22,520
Speaker 1: both sides of the ball. I was happy to lay

365
00:19:22,600 --> 00:19:25,240
Speaker 1: the three with the Hawks at the Colts last week,

366
00:19:25,320 --> 00:19:27,240
Speaker 1: and that was one of our big winners. Are big

367
00:19:27,320 --> 00:19:30,520
Speaker 1: no sweat winners, and I'm only having to lay a point,

368
00:19:30,560 --> 00:19:32,439
Speaker 1: which what I think is a much better team. I mean,

369
00:19:32,480 --> 00:19:36,600
Speaker 1: I think a better team. I know, I I don't

370
00:19:36,680 --> 00:19:40,320
Speaker 1: really see a problem here. Let me just David. I

371
00:19:40,400 --> 00:19:42,879
Speaker 1: quickly googled the Colts injury report, and again, this is

372
00:19:42,960 --> 00:19:45,200
Speaker 1: based on Wednesday. You know we're recording this Thursday. They're

373
00:19:45,200 --> 00:19:48,719
Speaker 1: still practicing. So Darius Leonard, to star linebacker, didn't practice yesterday.

374
00:19:48,800 --> 00:19:51,880
Speaker 1: Obviously that would be significant. UM. Quentin Nelson, their best

375
00:19:51,920 --> 00:19:55,080
Speaker 1: offensive lineman, did not practice. Xavier Rhodes, or best cornerback,

376
00:19:55,119 --> 00:19:58,040
Speaker 1: didn't play last week, did not practice. And their other tackle,

377
00:19:58,480 --> 00:20:02,280
Speaker 1: Brandon Smith didn't practice. Uh Fisher, the guy coming off

378
00:20:02,280 --> 00:20:04,560
Speaker 1: the Achilles from the Chiefs, uh did not play in

379
00:20:04,600 --> 00:20:07,800
Speaker 1: week one, like practice, No idea if he's gonna play.

380
00:20:07,840 --> 00:20:10,720
Speaker 1: I mean, David, that's as banged up in a offensive

381
00:20:10,800 --> 00:20:14,320
Speaker 1: light as you can find going against Aaron Donald uh

382
00:20:14,480 --> 00:20:16,920
Speaker 1: and and company with the Rams. Yeah, I mean you

383
00:20:17,000 --> 00:20:20,879
Speaker 1: look at the Rams and they're just they're just stacked everywhere. Um,

384
00:20:21,359 --> 00:20:23,000
Speaker 1: And like you said, there is a lot of injuries.

385
00:20:23,080 --> 00:20:26,440
Speaker 1: And I think the key to Week two is obviously

386
00:20:27,200 --> 00:20:30,399
Speaker 1: it's a big overreaction week or under reaction week, and

387
00:20:30,720 --> 00:20:33,960
Speaker 1: you you have to decide like what teams, um, the

388
00:20:34,040 --> 00:20:37,840
Speaker 1: market is correcting itself on and which and which ones

389
00:20:37,920 --> 00:20:41,840
Speaker 1: it's not. I I've noticed from the people that have

390
00:20:42,000 --> 00:20:44,639
Speaker 1: listened to recently over the last couple of days, is

391
00:20:45,160 --> 00:20:46,960
Speaker 1: a lot of people either want to take all the

392
00:20:47,040 --> 00:20:50,239
Speaker 1: teams that look bad last week, or I think all

393
00:20:50,320 --> 00:20:52,920
Speaker 1: the teams that look good. And it's not necessarily a

394
00:20:53,000 --> 00:20:56,160
Speaker 1: cookie cutter thing. You've got to decide, you know, who

395
00:20:57,280 --> 00:21:00,200
Speaker 1: who looked good because they're really better than we thought

396
00:21:00,240 --> 00:21:02,040
Speaker 1: they were. Who looked back because they're really worse than

397
00:21:02,080 --> 00:21:04,560
Speaker 1: they thought they were. And you just had an off day. Um,

398
00:21:05,600 --> 00:21:08,720
Speaker 1: And I'm not ready to I'm not ready to just

399
00:21:08,880 --> 00:21:11,359
Speaker 1: write the Colts loss of the Seahawks off to a

400
00:21:11,440 --> 00:21:14,600
Speaker 1: bad day. I just really think they're a mediocre team

401
00:21:15,320 --> 00:21:19,680
Speaker 1: and the Rams just all the edges that the Colts

402
00:21:19,800 --> 00:21:22,600
Speaker 1: might have against some teams they don't really hold against

403
00:21:22,680 --> 00:21:26,040
Speaker 1: the Rams. Okay, uh, total agreement there. So I feel

404
00:21:26,040 --> 00:21:27,920
Speaker 1: good that I'm not quite a fish, although this one

405
00:21:28,400 --> 00:21:30,800
Speaker 1: you're gonna call me a fish. So you said you

406
00:21:30,880 --> 00:21:33,480
Speaker 1: were on the vikings last week. They now travel to

407
00:21:33,560 --> 00:21:37,800
Speaker 1: Arizona and play the Cardinals, who everybody's overreacting to, I

408
00:21:37,840 --> 00:21:39,600
Speaker 1: said Kyler, Murray could win the m v P. You know,

409
00:21:39,720 --> 00:21:43,800
Speaker 1: silly stuff like that. Um, I really like Arizona in

410
00:21:43,840 --> 00:21:46,040
Speaker 1: this spot. Now, I know I'm not. I haven't bet

411
00:21:46,119 --> 00:21:48,959
Speaker 1: it yet. I'm waiting to see the line in the contest.

412
00:21:49,880 --> 00:21:51,119
Speaker 1: I think it's gone up from what two and a

413
00:21:51,119 --> 00:21:55,120
Speaker 1: half to four? Um, I don't know, David. I didn't

414
00:21:55,160 --> 00:21:58,200
Speaker 1: like anything I saw from Minnesota. They were largely outplayed

415
00:21:58,240 --> 00:22:01,040
Speaker 1: for three quarters. I mean, if what's if Zach Taylor

416
00:22:01,119 --> 00:22:03,680
Speaker 1: doesn't go for it from his own thirty yard line,

417
00:22:04,280 --> 00:22:06,600
Speaker 1: the Bengals may just roll in that game and it

418
00:22:06,640 --> 00:22:08,159
Speaker 1: doesn't even go to overtime. I know there was the

419
00:22:08,240 --> 00:22:12,040
Speaker 1: Dalvin Cook bumble, But where are you on Minnesota and Arizona?

420
00:22:12,119 --> 00:22:14,000
Speaker 1: And I have a follow up on on Minnesota because

421
00:22:14,000 --> 00:22:16,240
Speaker 1: there's some internal stuff that's starting to leak out there

422
00:22:16,280 --> 00:22:17,720
Speaker 1: that I don't know if you care about what I'll

423
00:22:17,720 --> 00:22:19,959
Speaker 1: ask him to say. All right, Well, first of all,

424
00:22:19,960 --> 00:22:21,720
Speaker 1: I don't think you're crazy that Kyler could win the

425
00:22:21,800 --> 00:22:24,200
Speaker 1: m v P. I was. I was a little down

426
00:22:24,280 --> 00:22:27,119
Speaker 1: on the Cardinals this year, just in season long and

427
00:22:27,280 --> 00:22:31,680
Speaker 1: things like that, strictly just because the division is so

428
00:22:31,880 --> 00:22:34,360
Speaker 1: difficult and and I thought they'd have a tough time

429
00:22:34,400 --> 00:22:38,600
Speaker 1: winning more than maybe two games inner division with the Hawks, Rams,

430
00:22:38,680 --> 00:22:42,239
Speaker 1: and Niners, but as just a team in itself. If

431
00:22:42,280 --> 00:22:44,280
Speaker 1: they were in the NFC East, I would have probably

432
00:22:44,400 --> 00:22:48,680
Speaker 1: loved them at like over ten or something. Um So,

433
00:22:49,080 --> 00:22:53,800
Speaker 1: I think that the Cardinals have potential. Um I think

434
00:22:54,880 --> 00:22:57,800
Speaker 1: I think you're kind of looking at that Minnesota game everybody,

435
00:22:57,800 --> 00:23:00,000
Speaker 1: and everybody is kind of looking at that in minnesot

436
00:23:00,000 --> 00:23:03,159
Speaker 1: It was just a giant I just took a giant

437
00:23:03,240 --> 00:23:06,680
Speaker 1: poop on everybody out there in Cincinnati, but they had

438
00:23:07,119 --> 00:23:10,840
Speaker 1: they were out called. Penalty wise, I think I think

439
00:23:10,840 --> 00:23:13,200
Speaker 1: they have like eleven penalties in the first half, and

440
00:23:13,280 --> 00:23:17,720
Speaker 1: the and the Bengals had one. UM So, I'm not

441
00:23:17,960 --> 00:23:21,920
Speaker 1: necessarily ready to just say that they're they're bad. I

442
00:23:22,080 --> 00:23:24,760
Speaker 1: do hear some of the internal fighting and that these

443
00:23:24,800 --> 00:23:27,920
Speaker 1: guys don't really like each other, and I'm not really

444
00:23:28,000 --> 00:23:30,800
Speaker 1: sure that they rally around cousins, and you know, he

445
00:23:30,840 --> 00:23:33,720
Speaker 1: had all that vaccine talk at the beginning, and there's

446
00:23:33,720 --> 00:23:36,680
Speaker 1: a lot of question marks there. But right now, skill wise,

447
00:23:36,680 --> 00:23:39,679
Speaker 1: I'm not ready to write them off. UM I am

448
00:23:39,680 --> 00:23:41,480
Speaker 1: gonna keep my eye on them, though. I Mean, we

449
00:23:41,920 --> 00:23:45,000
Speaker 1: we're only in week two, so I reserved the right

450
00:23:45,080 --> 00:23:47,840
Speaker 1: to change my opinion on them. Um. One thing that

451
00:23:47,880 --> 00:23:50,160
Speaker 1: I did last year that I hadn't done a year's

452
00:23:50,160 --> 00:23:53,760
Speaker 1: past is just allow myself to not be stubborn and

453
00:23:53,960 --> 00:23:55,960
Speaker 1: to change my opinions on teams. I went into the

454
00:23:56,000 --> 00:23:58,560
Speaker 1: year thinking that the Vikings were the real deal and

455
00:23:58,600 --> 00:24:01,879
Speaker 1: we're going to contend in the North. Uh. I'm not

456
00:24:02,000 --> 00:24:04,040
Speaker 1: ready to write off that opinion yet. But at the

457
00:24:04,080 --> 00:24:07,560
Speaker 1: same time, if this team continues to play sloppy, not

458
00:24:07,760 --> 00:24:10,840
Speaker 1: play together, not play for a common cause, I also

459
00:24:10,920 --> 00:24:14,280
Speaker 1: think Zimmer is a really good coach, but there's also

460
00:24:14,320 --> 00:24:17,280
Speaker 1: the possibilities lost the team after multiple years and a

461
00:24:17,320 --> 00:24:19,880
Speaker 1: bad and a bad and a bad season. So I'm

462
00:24:19,920 --> 00:24:22,040
Speaker 1: just gonna watch them closely over the first few weeks,

463
00:24:22,240 --> 00:24:26,520
Speaker 1: but until otherwise, I'm until proven otherwise and when I'm improven,

464
00:24:26,560 --> 00:24:29,480
Speaker 1: I mean multiple weeks, I'm gonna ride the Vikings and

465
00:24:29,800 --> 00:24:34,040
Speaker 1: and think that they're they're gonna be okay in this game. Personally,

466
00:24:34,080 --> 00:24:36,840
Speaker 1: you're not. I am going to take them. You are okay.

467
00:24:37,080 --> 00:24:40,159
Speaker 1: So the Athletic had a piece on Zimmer after the

468
00:24:40,280 --> 00:24:44,280
Speaker 1: overtime game said that, uh, you know, the fans are

469
00:24:44,320 --> 00:24:47,679
Speaker 1: like chirping about the defense and Zimmer is like very defensive,

470
00:24:48,200 --> 00:24:50,560
Speaker 1: saying if you pulled all the offensive coaches in the league,

471
00:24:50,600 --> 00:24:52,800
Speaker 1: they would say, I'm still ahead of the curve. And

472
00:24:52,960 --> 00:24:55,040
Speaker 1: last year we pulled off one of the best coaching

473
00:24:55,160 --> 00:24:57,720
Speaker 1: jobs with the group that we had on our roster.

474
00:24:57,920 --> 00:25:00,480
Speaker 1: So you know, Zimmer a little defensive. They had sacked

475
00:25:00,520 --> 00:25:04,240
Speaker 1: Cousins three times. I think the rookie Derri Saw, I

476
00:25:04,280 --> 00:25:06,400
Speaker 1: don't know is he or the rookie on the offensive line.

477
00:25:06,400 --> 00:25:08,919
Speaker 1: I don't even know if he's playing yet. Um, Dalvin

478
00:25:08,960 --> 00:25:10,480
Speaker 1: Cook could not get on track. I think he had

479
00:25:10,520 --> 00:25:14,679
Speaker 1: sixty yards rushing. However, they did sack Borrow five times.

480
00:25:15,280 --> 00:25:18,280
Speaker 1: I just I don't, I don't do you trust that defense?

481
00:25:18,320 --> 00:25:21,760
Speaker 1: It was rebuilt. Patrick Peterson, by the way, shirped all

482
00:25:21,800 --> 00:25:25,119
Speaker 1: off season, uh, taking shots at the Cardinals even though

483
00:25:25,160 --> 00:25:27,040
Speaker 1: they stood by him when he had the PD thing.

484
00:25:27,160 --> 00:25:30,600
Speaker 1: And like Arizona is not really happy with Peterson coming

485
00:25:30,640 --> 00:25:33,520
Speaker 1: and he did get torched by Chase and company last week.

486
00:25:34,680 --> 00:25:38,080
Speaker 1: I just, I don't know what you like about the Vikings. Well,

487
00:25:38,200 --> 00:25:41,040
Speaker 1: I mean the Vikings have new parts on on defense

488
00:25:41,320 --> 00:25:44,479
Speaker 1: and I mean the cornerbacks are new. Um, they got

489
00:25:44,560 --> 00:25:47,240
Speaker 1: the Neil hunterback from uh, you know, he sat out.

490
00:25:47,359 --> 00:25:52,320
Speaker 1: I think as a COVID last year. Um, obviously, last

491
00:25:52,400 --> 00:25:55,560
Speaker 1: year they were a massive disappointment. It's kind of funny

492
00:25:55,640 --> 00:25:58,919
Speaker 1: that Zimmer said that they overperformed because they were one

493
00:25:58,920 --> 00:26:00,800
Speaker 1: of the worst defenses in the league last year. So

494
00:26:00,840 --> 00:26:03,440
Speaker 1: I'm not really sure where that comes into play, but

495
00:26:03,600 --> 00:26:07,440
Speaker 1: I will say that I think they're working progress and

496
00:26:07,480 --> 00:26:09,080
Speaker 1: I think they're gonna do better. I think that the

497
00:26:09,119 --> 00:26:12,000
Speaker 1: Bengals might have a decent offense. I mean, we all

498
00:26:12,280 --> 00:26:14,800
Speaker 1: we all hated on the Bengals, but I think mostly

499
00:26:14,880 --> 00:26:17,080
Speaker 1: that was because of their defense. I think we all

500
00:26:17,160 --> 00:26:19,120
Speaker 1: know that that they have weapons. They have a really

501
00:26:19,200 --> 00:26:23,000
Speaker 1: bad offensive line. So I mean, it's basically comes down

502
00:26:23,040 --> 00:26:24,680
Speaker 1: to what we just talked about a little while ago.

503
00:26:24,800 --> 00:26:27,400
Speaker 1: It's it's can the offensive line hold up long enough

504
00:26:27,480 --> 00:26:31,440
Speaker 1: to give Borrow time? Um, because if you can get

505
00:26:31,480 --> 00:26:34,280
Speaker 1: the ball in the playmaker's hands, then then the Bengals

506
00:26:34,359 --> 00:26:37,200
Speaker 1: offenses is good. And but let's not act like the

507
00:26:37,240 --> 00:26:39,680
Speaker 1: Bengals just torched him. I mean they scored three touchdowns.

508
00:26:39,720 --> 00:26:41,840
Speaker 1: I mean, it's the NFL football game. They scored twenty

509
00:26:41,880 --> 00:26:45,320
Speaker 1: four points in in seventy minutes of play, So I'm

510
00:26:45,359 --> 00:26:48,320
Speaker 1: not ready to just say that that that they were

511
00:26:48,640 --> 00:26:52,480
Speaker 1: completely outplayed. Minnesota made a lot of mistakes, penalties, fumbles,

512
00:26:53,720 --> 00:26:56,200
Speaker 1: blown coverage, everything. But then you also have the flip

513
00:26:56,280 --> 00:27:02,120
Speaker 1: side that that part of Kingsbury and Andy's um skill

514
00:27:02,200 --> 00:27:04,600
Speaker 1: set is the unknown that they do things that are

515
00:27:05,040 --> 00:27:08,720
Speaker 1: that are harder to prepare for and just different because

516
00:27:08,760 --> 00:27:12,640
Speaker 1: you're not scheming against you know, that quick vertical path,

517
00:27:12,880 --> 00:27:15,280
Speaker 1: I mean that quick horizontal pass. Get the ball in

518
00:27:15,359 --> 00:27:19,280
Speaker 1: the and and the route runners hands as quickly as possible,

519
00:27:19,280 --> 00:27:22,240
Speaker 1: and then take the shots deep. Uh, you know Kyler's legs,

520
00:27:22,359 --> 00:27:25,640
Speaker 1: all the things Peterson has that those playbooks. I mean,

521
00:27:26,040 --> 00:27:30,840
Speaker 1: he's been running, you know, against this team on defense

522
00:27:30,960 --> 00:27:34,119
Speaker 1: for you know, all the years that that Kingsbury and

523
00:27:34,280 --> 00:27:37,960
Speaker 1: Murray have been here. So he might bring some schematic

524
00:27:38,080 --> 00:27:42,000
Speaker 1: things to the Minnesota defense to help neutralize them a

525
00:27:42,000 --> 00:27:43,680
Speaker 1: little bit. I don't think you're gonna shut them down,

526
00:27:43,840 --> 00:27:46,399
Speaker 1: but I do think that you know, maybe you know,

527
00:27:46,520 --> 00:27:49,239
Speaker 1: he can steal a possession or two away. And uh,

528
00:27:49,640 --> 00:27:51,240
Speaker 1: I just think this is a close game. I think

529
00:27:51,280 --> 00:27:54,639
Speaker 1: these teams are pretty equal. I mean the beginning of

530
00:27:54,680 --> 00:27:57,040
Speaker 1: the season win totals, I think we're between eight and

531
00:27:57,080 --> 00:27:58,800
Speaker 1: a half and nine for both of them, So that

532
00:27:58,960 --> 00:28:01,160
Speaker 1: essentially means that they us thought they were even teams

533
00:28:01,200 --> 00:28:03,640
Speaker 1: and you can get more than a field goal. Um,

534
00:28:04,520 --> 00:28:06,480
Speaker 1: I think it's fine. I actually thought this line would

535
00:28:06,520 --> 00:28:09,000
Speaker 1: have been a little higher because of how bad Minnesota

536
00:28:09,800 --> 00:28:12,520
Speaker 1: was perceived to have looked and how really good Arizona

537
00:28:12,600 --> 00:28:15,280
Speaker 1: did look. Um, but three and a halfs fine for me.

538
00:28:15,560 --> 00:28:17,640
Speaker 1: I'm anything north of a field goal and I feel

539
00:28:17,640 --> 00:28:20,200
Speaker 1: comfortable with. Let me ask, do you think Arizona is

540
00:28:20,280 --> 00:28:23,600
Speaker 1: undervalued because Murray was not the last I don't know,

541
00:28:23,680 --> 00:28:26,000
Speaker 1: five or six games last year and they kind of

542
00:28:26,040 --> 00:28:28,439
Speaker 1: fell off the cliff. Remember I think this team started

543
00:28:28,520 --> 00:28:30,800
Speaker 1: seven and two after the win over Buffalo, maybe seven

544
00:28:30,840 --> 00:28:33,639
Speaker 1: and three, but they were really good with Kyler healthy.

545
00:28:34,160 --> 00:28:35,879
Speaker 1: Then he got hurt and they were just not the

546
00:28:35,920 --> 00:28:39,520
Speaker 1: same at all. I think Arizona is just undervalued because

547
00:28:39,680 --> 00:28:44,520
Speaker 1: people don't like Kingsbury. I mean, honestly, I really think

548
00:28:44,600 --> 00:28:47,840
Speaker 1: that's that's a lot what it is, um, and it's

549
00:28:47,880 --> 00:28:49,719
Speaker 1: more of like a show me, a show me thing,

550
00:28:49,920 --> 00:28:54,000
Speaker 1: and they were decent, but this is this is this

551
00:28:54,360 --> 00:28:56,960
Speaker 1: kind of a show me, Like I don't know if

552
00:28:57,080 --> 00:29:01,880
Speaker 1: everybody just fully buys into this, this Kingsbury system or

553
00:29:02,240 --> 00:29:06,240
Speaker 1: um or Kyler. I mean, I think everybody knows that

554
00:29:06,320 --> 00:29:09,400
Speaker 1: Kyler's a great player, but I don't know if everybody

555
00:29:09,440 --> 00:29:11,520
Speaker 1: trusts him. I mean, even as great as he looked

556
00:29:11,520 --> 00:29:14,400
Speaker 1: against Tennessee, I mean, some of his highlight throws were

557
00:29:14,440 --> 00:29:16,680
Speaker 1: throws off of his back foot, and it's great that

558
00:29:16,760 --> 00:29:19,360
Speaker 1: you're able to do that. And when they land in

559
00:29:19,400 --> 00:29:21,600
Speaker 1: Kirk's arms and he takes them in for a touchdown,

560
00:29:21,720 --> 00:29:25,240
Speaker 1: then then you're a genius. But I mean there comes

561
00:29:25,320 --> 00:29:28,400
Speaker 1: a lot a lot of times where those those patterns

562
00:29:28,480 --> 00:29:31,240
Speaker 1: get blown up, they get undercut. You know, he's off

563
00:29:31,320 --> 00:29:35,240
Speaker 1: by just a little bit. So I mean you're gonna

564
00:29:35,240 --> 00:29:37,600
Speaker 1: take the good and the bad with with him, and

565
00:29:39,120 --> 00:29:40,840
Speaker 1: you know, I think they were definitely on the plus

566
00:29:40,880 --> 00:29:42,840
Speaker 1: side of a lot of variants. They mean, they really

567
00:29:42,920 --> 00:29:45,080
Speaker 1: put a lot of pressure on Tannehill. The offensive line

568
00:29:45,120 --> 00:29:49,320
Speaker 1: for Tennessee was awful. I think Minnesota's offensive line is better.

569
00:29:49,440 --> 00:29:52,120
Speaker 1: I mean, obviously, you know, you you detail some of

570
00:29:52,160 --> 00:29:54,800
Speaker 1: the problems they have, but I don't necessarily I think

571
00:29:54,840 --> 00:29:57,640
Speaker 1: they're in the Tennessee camp as far as off the

572
00:29:58,640 --> 00:30:01,520
Speaker 1: Fox Sports Radio has the best sports talk lineup in

573
00:30:01,560 --> 00:30:04,520
Speaker 1: the nation. Catch all of our shows at Fox Sports

574
00:30:04,680 --> 00:30:07,760
Speaker 1: Radio dot com and within the I Heart Radio app

575
00:30:07,800 --> 00:30:10,600
Speaker 1: search f s R to listen live. I don't know

576
00:30:10,640 --> 00:30:13,800
Speaker 1: where you are on trends. You never want to just

577
00:30:14,120 --> 00:30:16,920
Speaker 1: blindly bet trends, but one thing that jumped out to

578
00:30:17,000 --> 00:30:20,840
Speaker 1: me was that the divisional underdogs in week one historically

579
00:30:20,960 --> 00:30:22,680
Speaker 1: been great, and they were too and oh against the

580
00:30:22,680 --> 00:30:27,160
Speaker 1: spread this past weekend. Now apparently that carries over into

581
00:30:27,200 --> 00:30:30,440
Speaker 1: the month of September. UM and again trend alerts, since

582
00:30:30,480 --> 00:30:33,360
Speaker 1: two thousand six dogs and divisional games uh in the

583
00:30:33,400 --> 00:30:38,040
Speaker 1: first five weeks, are there just happened to be five

584
00:30:38,200 --> 00:30:43,040
Speaker 1: divisional dogs this week um and those divisional dogs uh

585
00:30:43,120 --> 00:30:45,080
Speaker 1: in that same time spans as two thousand and six

586
00:30:45,200 --> 00:30:48,920
Speaker 1: are sixty against the spread in the first three weeks.

587
00:30:49,160 --> 00:30:51,320
Speaker 1: So I know that's a lot of numbers, but bottom line,

588
00:30:51,360 --> 00:30:54,000
Speaker 1: divisional dogs are their value in any that you see

589
00:30:54,040 --> 00:30:56,320
Speaker 1: this weekend. I'll rattle them off for you. The Bucks

590
00:30:56,640 --> 00:31:00,840
Speaker 1: obviously huge favorites over Atlanta. There is say Panthers, which

591
00:31:00,920 --> 00:31:05,680
Speaker 1: is Tasty, Bills, Dolphins, Patriots, Jets, and then the final

592
00:31:05,720 --> 00:31:11,880
Speaker 1: one is Lions Packers. I don't necessarily love all the

593
00:31:12,080 --> 00:31:15,800
Speaker 1: any of those, I mean, it does make sense from

594
00:31:15,840 --> 00:31:19,040
Speaker 1: a standpoint of you know, early in the season, you

595
00:31:19,440 --> 00:31:21,880
Speaker 1: you have you have things to go back on as

596
00:31:22,120 --> 00:31:25,920
Speaker 1: as far as what coaches do schematically and and um,

597
00:31:26,480 --> 00:31:30,520
Speaker 1: you're more comfortable with the personnel, so those games should

598
00:31:30,560 --> 00:31:33,400
Speaker 1: be a little bit closer. Um. One of the games

599
00:31:33,440 --> 00:31:35,640
Speaker 1: you mentioned, I actually like the other side. I think

600
00:31:35,720 --> 00:31:41,280
Speaker 1: there's a little overreaction to Buffalo's bad performance. And you know,

601
00:31:41,400 --> 00:31:43,360
Speaker 1: Miami played a game that they had to win in

602
00:31:43,440 --> 00:31:45,680
Speaker 1: Buffalo on Game seventeen to make the playoffs, and the

603
00:31:45,760 --> 00:31:48,800
Speaker 1: Bills didn't need to even played Matt Barkley. I think,

604
00:31:48,960 --> 00:31:52,520
Speaker 1: I don't know, and completely blew them out of the water.

605
00:31:52,960 --> 00:31:55,920
Speaker 1: And I think this is just a complete different class

606
00:31:55,960 --> 00:31:59,680
Speaker 1: of team. Um, you're gonna have a piste off Super

607
00:31:59,760 --> 00:32:05,280
Speaker 1: Bowl contender who was basically embarrassed at home against a

608
00:32:05,400 --> 00:32:08,360
Speaker 1: middling team and the Bills, and I think they go

609
00:32:08,480 --> 00:32:10,560
Speaker 1: out and they just they put it on the Dolphins.

610
00:32:10,600 --> 00:32:14,239
Speaker 1: So I'm gonna buck the trend on on that particular game. Um.

611
00:32:14,280 --> 00:32:17,400
Speaker 1: The other ones are pretty high spreads. UM. I do

612
00:32:17,520 --> 00:32:19,360
Speaker 1: think Carolina if I had to pick one of those

613
00:32:19,480 --> 00:32:21,600
Speaker 1: that that I would go with. I think Carolina has

614
00:32:21,680 --> 00:32:24,520
Speaker 1: a has a real shot against the Saints. This week, right,

615
00:32:26,320 --> 00:32:28,360
Speaker 1: But I don't really have much interest in the eleven

616
00:32:28,400 --> 00:32:32,440
Speaker 1: point spreads of the of the Falcons or Lions. They

617
00:32:32,560 --> 00:32:35,080
Speaker 1: just might those teams might just be superior that they're

618
00:32:35,080 --> 00:32:40,520
Speaker 1: playing with against. I you you made a point. Um.

619
00:32:41,320 --> 00:32:44,960
Speaker 1: I jotted down a note here in the Bills Dolphins game. Um,

620
00:32:46,440 --> 00:32:48,360
Speaker 1: Miami kind of one, but they got lucky. I was

621
00:32:48,440 --> 00:32:51,360
Speaker 1: on the Patriots in the contest, one of my two losses. Uh.

622
00:32:51,480 --> 00:32:54,080
Speaker 1: You know, Harris doesn't fumble inside the ten. They Patriots

623
00:32:54,120 --> 00:32:56,720
Speaker 1: win and cover. I mean, they Patriots ran for a

624
00:32:56,800 --> 00:32:59,560
Speaker 1: hundred yards. I thought Matt Jones was very good through

625
00:32:59,600 --> 00:33:02,320
Speaker 1: the year. Like they should have won that game. Miami

626
00:33:02,560 --> 00:33:05,240
Speaker 1: luck box victory in my opinion. Um, but I do

627
00:33:05,360 --> 00:33:08,240
Speaker 1: wonder you mentioned the offensive line, and Buffalo's offensive line

628
00:33:08,280 --> 00:33:10,800
Speaker 1: got crushed by t J. Watt and I think they

629
00:33:10,880 --> 00:33:14,280
Speaker 1: had something like six holding penalties. Um, not quite uh

630
00:33:14,400 --> 00:33:20,240
Speaker 1: Tennessee Titans Vikings. But any cause for concern there. You know,

631
00:33:20,360 --> 00:33:24,120
Speaker 1: I'm just gonna trust I think dabel you know, obviously

632
00:33:24,200 --> 00:33:26,440
Speaker 1: the enemy as well, But I think dabel Is is

633
00:33:26,600 --> 00:33:31,760
Speaker 1: probably the most innovative offensive coordinator in the game with

634
00:33:31,880 --> 00:33:34,640
Speaker 1: the Bills, and I think he's just gonna find ways

635
00:33:34,760 --> 00:33:41,560
Speaker 1: to to either patch that thing together or call plays

636
00:33:41,680 --> 00:33:45,040
Speaker 1: that that you know, get over pursued by the by

637
00:33:45,080 --> 00:33:49,000
Speaker 1: the Dolphins, and and more. Don's more, Josh run, just

638
00:33:49,240 --> 00:33:54,120
Speaker 1: call Josh Allen. Just runs. Um. I'm just gonna trust.

639
00:33:54,200 --> 00:33:56,360
Speaker 1: I'm just gonna trust that there's a reason why the

640
00:33:56,440 --> 00:34:01,120
Speaker 1: Bills were basically the second to win the Super Bowl

641
00:34:01,200 --> 00:34:04,680
Speaker 1: going into the year. And you know, they were a

642
00:34:04,760 --> 00:34:06,720
Speaker 1: game away from the super Bowl last year and they

643
00:34:06,800 --> 00:34:09,960
Speaker 1: blew out this Miami team and it must win spot

644
00:34:10,120 --> 00:34:12,600
Speaker 1: last year. I'm just gonna trust that this coaching staff

645
00:34:12,719 --> 00:34:14,960
Speaker 1: is good enough and Josh Allen is good enough. I'm

646
00:34:15,000 --> 00:34:18,120
Speaker 1: not willing to to throw away what I thought to

647
00:34:18,200 --> 00:34:20,800
Speaker 1: start the year. And I thought Josh Allen legitimate m

648
00:34:20,880 --> 00:34:26,600
Speaker 1: VP candidate, UH McDermott, legitimate Coach of the Year candidate, dable,

649
00:34:27,760 --> 00:34:31,360
Speaker 1: the hottest prospect for a head coach job. Um. I

650
00:34:31,440 --> 00:34:33,719
Speaker 1: like their skill position. I think the defense played fine

651
00:34:33,760 --> 00:34:39,040
Speaker 1: against the Steelers. Um. And I'm not fully trusting to

652
00:34:39,239 --> 00:34:43,239
Speaker 1: it yet. Um. Yeah, So I'm I'm just gonna I'm

653
00:34:43,239 --> 00:34:45,680
Speaker 1: just gonna ride this. I'm just gonna ride this, uh,

654
00:34:46,440 --> 00:34:48,600
Speaker 1: this Bills. I think if the Bills would have gone

655
00:34:48,640 --> 00:34:51,239
Speaker 1: out and beat the Steelers like they were supposed to.

656
00:34:51,840 --> 00:34:55,719
Speaker 1: That this line is closer to six. Um, So I'm

657
00:34:55,719 --> 00:34:57,719
Speaker 1: just gonna take I think there's line value in in

658
00:34:58,040 --> 00:35:03,640
Speaker 1: in the Bills, and I'm just gonna trust my preseason expectations. Um,

659
00:35:04,360 --> 00:35:07,720
Speaker 1: I'm not. I'm not throwing away my preseason expectations really

660
00:35:07,960 --> 00:35:11,759
Speaker 1: until we like week three. I want to see two

661
00:35:11,880 --> 00:35:14,520
Speaker 1: or three weeks before I'm before I'm I don't want

662
00:35:14,520 --> 00:35:16,320
Speaker 1: to be stubborn. But at the same time, I'm not

663
00:35:16,480 --> 00:35:19,440
Speaker 1: just gonna I'm not just gonna, you know, flap in

664
00:35:19,520 --> 00:35:22,719
Speaker 1: the winds. You know Whoever, the team of the day

665
00:35:22,880 --> 00:35:26,440
Speaker 1: is one more quick one. Um, I don't know. Or

666
00:35:26,520 --> 00:35:28,319
Speaker 1: maybe I'll let you pick a game that maybe you're

667
00:35:28,320 --> 00:35:31,480
Speaker 1: seeing something out there. I think Broncos Jacksonville is super interesting,

668
00:35:31,760 --> 00:35:34,879
Speaker 1: but I think Niners Eagles those are two good games,

669
00:35:35,000 --> 00:35:38,319
Speaker 1: Like you can. I mean, I think it's a fishy play,

670
00:35:38,400 --> 00:35:41,320
Speaker 1: but I kind of like the Niners there. Um, But

671
00:35:41,400 --> 00:35:43,200
Speaker 1: you're high on the Eagles, So I don't know which

672
00:35:43,239 --> 00:35:44,800
Speaker 1: would you rather talk about or is there a different

673
00:35:44,840 --> 00:35:47,640
Speaker 1: game that you feel like maybe people are overlooking. Well,

674
00:35:47,719 --> 00:35:49,720
Speaker 1: first of all, I'm not high on the Eagles in general.

675
00:35:49,760 --> 00:35:53,520
Speaker 1: I was just high on the matchup. My partner actually

676
00:35:53,600 --> 00:35:55,879
Speaker 1: is high on the Eagles, so he's kind of been

677
00:35:56,120 --> 00:36:00,560
Speaker 1: pushing me and writing me to get on the Eagles um,

678
00:36:01,520 --> 00:36:04,600
Speaker 1: and you know, credit to him, he kind of pushed

679
00:36:04,640 --> 00:36:08,560
Speaker 1: me into not not just blindly fading the Eagles every game.

680
00:36:08,880 --> 00:36:10,480
Speaker 1: I don't really know what to make of this game,

681
00:36:10,560 --> 00:36:14,279
Speaker 1: but my my gut leads me towards San Francisco. I

682
00:36:14,320 --> 00:36:16,200
Speaker 1: don't really think it's going to be a strong play,

683
00:36:16,800 --> 00:36:20,680
Speaker 1: but again, you have a team that people who are

684
00:36:20,760 --> 00:36:22,920
Speaker 1: just gonna remember the end of that game or the score,

685
00:36:23,560 --> 00:36:29,240
Speaker 1: and where the Eagles really have a chance to prosper

686
00:36:29,320 --> 00:36:31,000
Speaker 1: as when they have the line advantage like they did

687
00:36:31,000 --> 00:36:32,759
Speaker 1: against the Falcons, and they they're not going to have

688
00:36:32,880 --> 00:36:35,360
Speaker 1: that against the Niners. So really, how are they going

689
00:36:35,400 --> 00:36:38,200
Speaker 1: to move the ball when they really can't dominate up

690
00:36:38,239 --> 00:36:41,759
Speaker 1: front and if they can't dominate up front and they

691
00:36:41,800 --> 00:36:44,960
Speaker 1: can't apply pressure to the quarterback. Because San Francisco's a

692
00:36:44,960 --> 00:36:47,960
Speaker 1: good offensive line as well, I think all the things

693
00:36:48,000 --> 00:36:50,319
Speaker 1: that the Eagles are good at, San Francisco is good

694
00:36:50,360 --> 00:36:54,200
Speaker 1: at neutralizing, and then they're just better everywhere else. I mean,

695
00:36:54,360 --> 00:37:00,120
Speaker 1: we obviously have a massive coaching edge, um core or

696
00:37:00,200 --> 00:37:01,920
Speaker 1: back edge. I mean, I don't know. I mean, I

697
00:37:02,080 --> 00:37:04,680
Speaker 1: I still think Jimmy's fine. I didn't still think Jimmy

698
00:37:04,760 --> 00:37:07,759
Speaker 1: is good, but um, you know, that's debatable. I guess

699
00:37:07,840 --> 00:37:10,560
Speaker 1: whether Jimmy or Jalen is is better. But I just

700
00:37:10,680 --> 00:37:13,240
Speaker 1: think all around, this team is better at every position.

701
00:37:13,719 --> 00:37:17,120
Speaker 1: I mean, the the Eagles are like thirty million under

702
00:37:17,160 --> 00:37:19,279
Speaker 1: the cap, so I mean they're missing there. They're like

703
00:37:19,400 --> 00:37:22,120
Speaker 1: a quarter. They have like only three quarters of salary

704
00:37:22,320 --> 00:37:25,160
Speaker 1: that that other teams are using. So obviously that's got

705
00:37:25,280 --> 00:37:28,120
Speaker 1: to be somewhere there. They have a chance to be

706
00:37:28,200 --> 00:37:30,719
Speaker 1: better than they really are. So and the Niners are

707
00:37:31,000 --> 00:37:34,160
Speaker 1: poised and and going for Super Bowl. So I don't

708
00:37:34,200 --> 00:37:36,360
Speaker 1: think there's a letdown. I think maybe if they would have,

709
00:37:36,480 --> 00:37:38,360
Speaker 1: if the Eagles would have looked bad against the Falcons,

710
00:37:38,400 --> 00:37:41,239
Speaker 1: maybe you could claim let down spot. But I think

711
00:37:41,280 --> 00:37:43,399
Speaker 1: the Eagles got the attention of the Niners this week,

712
00:37:43,520 --> 00:37:46,640
Speaker 1: and they it might be just show them whose boss?

713
00:37:47,120 --> 00:37:49,160
Speaker 1: It's weird. I see a lot of people. And again

714
00:37:49,920 --> 00:37:51,520
Speaker 1: when I say see a lot of people, you turn

715
00:37:51,600 --> 00:37:54,640
Speaker 1: on a TV, radio, podcast, Google, on social media, A

716
00:37:54,800 --> 00:37:57,359
Speaker 1: lot of people like the Eagles this week. Well, if

717
00:37:57,400 --> 00:38:00,480
Speaker 1: you look, before the season started, the Eagles were probably

718
00:38:00,520 --> 00:38:04,440
Speaker 1: I think they were like maybe fourth worst in uh

719
00:38:04,680 --> 00:38:07,640
Speaker 1: like over under for wins for the season. So they

720
00:38:07,680 --> 00:38:09,960
Speaker 1: were bottom five team going into the season in most

721
00:38:10,000 --> 00:38:12,520
Speaker 1: people's minds. And now all of a sudden, San Francisco,

722
00:38:12,640 --> 00:38:16,040
Speaker 1: who I think was the NFC favorite, now we're now

723
00:38:16,120 --> 00:38:18,640
Speaker 1: we're laying less. We're laying three and a half with

724
00:38:18,960 --> 00:38:21,839
Speaker 1: a bottom five team, a bottom five roster versus top

725
00:38:21,920 --> 00:38:25,120
Speaker 1: five roster, with the top five coach versus bottom five coach.

726
00:38:26,320 --> 00:38:28,080
Speaker 1: I mean, I know it's on the road and Philly

727
00:38:28,120 --> 00:38:30,400
Speaker 1: is not the easiest place to play, but I mean,

728
00:38:30,480 --> 00:38:32,520
Speaker 1: did really that much change in a week to change

729
00:38:32,520 --> 00:38:36,920
Speaker 1: your mind? Um, if if, if the Eagles, and obviously

730
00:38:37,000 --> 00:38:38,640
Speaker 1: this is a lot of ifs, and you can't really

731
00:38:39,360 --> 00:38:42,000
Speaker 1: if this happened then because it did happen. I mean,

732
00:38:42,040 --> 00:38:44,200
Speaker 1: the Eagles went out and dominated the Falcons, but you

733
00:38:44,280 --> 00:38:48,120
Speaker 1: know they play that game ten times. The Falcons should

734
00:38:48,160 --> 00:38:50,160
Speaker 1: win half of them. I mean, there were three point favorites.

735
00:38:50,200 --> 00:38:52,040
Speaker 1: I don't really think they're gonna I don't think the

736
00:38:52,120 --> 00:38:56,000
Speaker 1: Eagles just sweep them. So if if the game plan

737
00:38:56,080 --> 00:38:58,400
Speaker 1: plays out and the Falcons look good versus the Eagles

738
00:38:58,480 --> 00:39:01,680
Speaker 1: and are able to you know, keep the game closer,

739
00:39:01,760 --> 00:39:04,000
Speaker 1: win the game like they were supposed to. I mean,

740
00:39:04,080 --> 00:39:06,399
Speaker 1: I think we're looking at a touchdown spread here. I mean,

741
00:39:06,719 --> 00:39:09,320
Speaker 1: especially if the Niners don't give up, you know, sixteen

742
00:39:09,360 --> 00:39:11,560
Speaker 1: points in the last two minutes, which I'm going to

743
00:39:11,640 --> 00:39:15,759
Speaker 1: completely discount that, I mean, complete garbage. So why why

744
00:39:15,880 --> 00:39:18,360
Speaker 1: are the Why would the Niners not be a touchdown

745
00:39:18,400 --> 00:39:21,279
Speaker 1: favorite against the bottom five team um on the road?

746
00:39:21,600 --> 00:39:23,960
Speaker 1: I mean, it's basically, I don't really think there was

747
00:39:24,000 --> 00:39:26,840
Speaker 1: a lot of distinction between the Lions and the Eagles

748
00:39:26,960 --> 00:39:29,200
Speaker 1: and the betting markets to start the season. Obviously the

749
00:39:29,280 --> 00:39:33,279
Speaker 1: Lions were a little worse, but not a lot worse. Worse, Yeah,

750
00:39:33,520 --> 00:39:36,480
Speaker 1: I would agree. Could you say though, that, well, hey, David,

751
00:39:36,640 --> 00:39:39,120
Speaker 1: everybody was wrong about the Eagles. Nobody knew this team

752
00:39:39,120 --> 00:39:42,880
Speaker 1: would be that good. But again, the markets are rarely

753
00:39:43,120 --> 00:39:46,920
Speaker 1: that far off right, right, And you definitely could say that.

754
00:39:47,000 --> 00:39:49,120
Speaker 1: I mean, the can the Eagles win ten games and

755
00:39:49,200 --> 00:39:54,160
Speaker 1: be that surprise team. Sure, it's possible, and and that's fine,

756
00:39:54,280 --> 00:39:57,759
Speaker 1: that's that's within the range of outcomes. But I mean,

757
00:39:57,880 --> 00:40:00,719
Speaker 1: when you're looking at Benning, you're only looking ah, you know,

758
00:40:01,239 --> 00:40:04,520
Speaker 1: it's gonna be, you know, one way or the other.

759
00:40:04,719 --> 00:40:07,320
Speaker 1: You just want to be on the f and I

760
00:40:07,400 --> 00:40:10,280
Speaker 1: think more likely the range of outcomes is the Eagles

761
00:40:10,400 --> 00:40:13,640
Speaker 1: are a six to eight win team and the Niners

762
00:40:13,719 --> 00:40:17,319
Speaker 1: are ten to twelve win team. And I'm laying four

763
00:40:17,440 --> 00:40:20,440
Speaker 1: points with a more cohesive unit for the first year

764
00:40:20,520 --> 00:40:24,080
Speaker 1: head coach who wasn't even a coordinator. I don't think

765
00:40:24,120 --> 00:40:26,160
Speaker 1: he was a coordinator. He never called plays, I don't

766
00:40:26,160 --> 00:40:29,080
Speaker 1: think in the NFL. Yeah, and verse Kyle Shanahan, who

767
00:40:29,160 --> 00:40:31,640
Speaker 1: was widely regarded as the best play call of the

768
00:40:31,680 --> 00:40:35,400
Speaker 1: best schemer. And he's definitely a top five coach, you know.

769
00:40:35,520 --> 00:40:39,040
Speaker 1: I mean, obviously we got McVeigh and uh Belichick and

770
00:40:39,520 --> 00:40:43,840
Speaker 1: and um you know, maybe right in the discussion, but

771
00:40:44,000 --> 00:40:46,000
Speaker 1: China has a top five coach. So I'm just gonna

772
00:40:46,040 --> 00:40:49,799
Speaker 1: trust him, laying you know, three and a half here

773
00:40:49,880 --> 00:40:53,200
Speaker 1: and and just just live with that. I don't know,

774
00:40:53,280 --> 00:40:55,000
Speaker 1: I mean, we can wrap it on that. I will

775
00:40:55,040 --> 00:40:57,279
Speaker 1: just say there's four spreads of three and a half.

776
00:40:57,920 --> 00:41:00,400
Speaker 1: I mean, and I think three spreads of three this

777
00:41:00,480 --> 00:41:03,240
Speaker 1: week though, I just those always kill me for Patriots.

778
00:41:03,320 --> 00:41:06,360
Speaker 1: This past week, Um, I had Ravens like an idiot

779
00:41:06,400 --> 00:41:09,040
Speaker 1: on Monday night. Um, but uh yeah, three and two.

780
00:41:09,080 --> 00:41:11,040
Speaker 1: I mean, hopefully I listen, it feels like a five

781
00:41:11,080 --> 00:41:12,680
Speaker 1: and oh this week. I'm glad you talked me out.

782
00:41:12,719 --> 00:41:14,960
Speaker 1: I was looking at the Dolphins, but I think you

783
00:41:15,080 --> 00:41:17,840
Speaker 1: made enough points that I was like, yeah, no, I mean,

784
00:41:17,880 --> 00:41:20,760
Speaker 1: it's gonna be hot there, ninety degrees. You know, supposedly

785
00:41:20,800 --> 00:41:23,960
Speaker 1: Miami has an advantage. Uh in September, teams come in

786
00:41:24,040 --> 00:41:27,360
Speaker 1: they're not ready for that heat, but apparently the numbers

787
00:41:27,360 --> 00:41:30,440
Speaker 1: say otherwise. Anyways, I mean that that that's just me

788
00:41:30,560 --> 00:41:33,760
Speaker 1: and I might you know, look, I use fish logic

789
00:41:33,840 --> 00:41:36,640
Speaker 1: to you know, sometimes sometimes I just look, this team

790
00:41:36,680 --> 00:41:38,360
Speaker 1: is better than this team, and I'm gonna play it,

791
00:41:38,680 --> 00:41:41,080
Speaker 1: and it doesn't necessarily fit the spot or whatnot. But

792
00:41:41,480 --> 00:41:43,960
Speaker 1: I'm just not seeing Buffalo started out oh and two.

793
00:41:44,080 --> 00:41:46,360
Speaker 1: Are they gonna cover? I don't know. But if I

794
00:41:46,480 --> 00:41:48,640
Speaker 1: had to guess, is it a close game or a blowout?

795
00:41:48,760 --> 00:41:50,640
Speaker 1: If I know Buffalo is gonna win, which I feel

796
00:41:50,719 --> 00:41:53,680
Speaker 1: like they will, I'm not willing to three and a

797
00:41:53,680 --> 00:41:58,320
Speaker 1: half not enough for me personally. Um. So I was

798
00:41:58,360 --> 00:42:00,400
Speaker 1: looking at Miami and then you look at the recent

799
00:42:01,000 --> 00:42:04,680
Speaker 1: matchups with Flores against the Bills and the Bills have

800
00:42:05,160 --> 00:42:08,040
Speaker 1: killed them, like the last four meetings all double digit wins,

801
00:42:08,080 --> 00:42:09,719
Speaker 1: and you're like, wait a minute, why do I like

802
00:42:09,840 --> 00:42:13,560
Speaker 1: Miami again? Right? Right? All right, he's David Baker. Dave

803
00:42:13,600 --> 00:42:15,520
Speaker 1: you want to pop anything? I mean, do you are

804
00:42:15,560 --> 00:42:18,320
Speaker 1: you thinking of starting a podcast because everybody has? I

805
00:42:18,360 --> 00:42:21,040
Speaker 1: mean I do. Uh. I do a weekly show on

806
00:42:21,600 --> 00:42:27,800
Speaker 1: Run Pure Sports, which is uh mainly uh fantasy site

807
00:42:27,960 --> 00:42:32,160
Speaker 1: and um they do fantasy embedding stuff. Um, so you

808
00:42:32,160 --> 00:42:35,040
Speaker 1: can get a run Run Pure Sports. I'll do a

809
00:42:35,120 --> 00:42:38,680
Speaker 1: show there every week, usually on Friday. Um. I'm still

810
00:42:38,680 --> 00:42:41,520
Speaker 1: playing a lot of poker, so, uh, football is kind

811
00:42:41,520 --> 00:42:43,680
Speaker 1: of in between poker. We got the World Series of

812
00:42:43,680 --> 00:42:46,799
Speaker 1: Poker coming up in a couple of weeks. You're in it. Yeah,

813
00:42:46,880 --> 00:42:50,560
Speaker 1: I'll be playing all the events. There's like sixty seventy events.

814
00:42:50,600 --> 00:42:53,719
Speaker 1: I'll be playing one or thirty of them. So maybe

815
00:42:53,760 --> 00:42:55,440
Speaker 1: we can come on talk some poker and some more

816
00:42:55,480 --> 00:42:58,640
Speaker 1: football during the season. I mean, I'm just since you

817
00:42:58,719 --> 00:43:01,040
Speaker 1: brought it up, what do you how do you practice

818
00:43:01,360 --> 00:43:04,239
Speaker 1: or like get ready for the World Series of Poker?

819
00:43:04,280 --> 00:43:05,960
Speaker 1: Like we just playing tons of poker or is there

820
00:43:05,960 --> 00:43:09,760
Speaker 1: any Yeah, I mean I've been playing, um my poker's

821
00:43:09,800 --> 00:43:13,120
Speaker 1: back open here in Vegas, and UM, I play. I

822
00:43:13,200 --> 00:43:15,440
Speaker 1: play a lot of the different variations of poker, so

823
00:43:15,600 --> 00:43:18,520
Speaker 1: it's called they're called mixed games. UM, those who aren't

824
00:43:18,560 --> 00:43:21,200
Speaker 1: familiar with poker, Poker is not always just no limit

825
00:43:21,280 --> 00:43:23,160
Speaker 1: hold them where you get two cards and you can

826
00:43:23,200 --> 00:43:25,839
Speaker 1: go all in or not. There's five card games, seven

827
00:43:25,920 --> 00:43:30,600
Speaker 1: card games, stud hold them, Omaha, a lot of different things. So, UM,

828
00:43:30,719 --> 00:43:32,879
Speaker 1: I play in a game like three or four times

829
00:43:32,920 --> 00:43:37,360
Speaker 1: a week here in in Vegas, and UM. You know,

830
00:43:37,560 --> 00:43:42,440
Speaker 1: watch videos, talk to friends, think about spots, think about hands. Um,

831
00:43:42,719 --> 00:43:45,440
Speaker 1: you can run calculator numbers. That's not really my thing.

832
00:43:45,560 --> 00:43:49,360
Speaker 1: I'm more of just kind of figure it out myself

833
00:43:49,480 --> 00:43:52,040
Speaker 1: type of person. But you can, you know, if you

834
00:43:52,080 --> 00:43:54,160
Speaker 1: want want to practice, or you want to train or

835
00:43:54,560 --> 00:43:57,040
Speaker 1: or do things, there are programs and and things that

836
00:43:57,160 --> 00:44:00,279
Speaker 1: you can look at. Um, but that's not really by

837
00:44:00,280 --> 00:44:01,960
Speaker 1: the way, I forgot. I think I'm gonna ask you

838
00:44:02,080 --> 00:44:03,680
Speaker 1: this last time. Have you are you allowed to play

839
00:44:03,680 --> 00:44:05,880
Speaker 1: poker and all the casinos? Are you just banned from

840
00:44:05,920 --> 00:44:09,399
Speaker 1: some of them? Oh? Yeah, no, Poker's poker you can play.

841
00:44:09,560 --> 00:44:12,520
Speaker 1: I mean it's not like blackjack or anything like pros

842
00:44:12,560 --> 00:44:16,520
Speaker 1: are pros makeup and majority of the players in the game. Um,

843
00:44:17,360 --> 00:44:19,440
Speaker 1: we don't have any special powers or anything or just

844
00:44:20,600 --> 00:44:22,640
Speaker 1: I know what the sports gamblers people love talking about

845
00:44:22,640 --> 00:44:24,880
Speaker 1: how they get banned and limits lowered. Are you in

846
00:44:24,960 --> 00:44:28,080
Speaker 1: that category? No, I'm not in that. I'm actually kind

847
00:44:28,080 --> 00:44:30,680
Speaker 1: of a sports betting fish because I have no discipline. Like.

848
00:44:30,800 --> 00:44:33,200
Speaker 1: These contests are great for me because when I have

849
00:44:33,320 --> 00:44:35,520
Speaker 1: to pick five games that I like, I'm pretty good.

850
00:44:36,239 --> 00:44:39,320
Speaker 1: I'm pretty good identifying when it comes to actually betting

851
00:44:39,880 --> 00:44:42,440
Speaker 1: if I lose a couple, like what's the next game?

852
00:44:42,520 --> 00:44:45,799
Speaker 1: Oh Hawaii? Let me you know, fireda. You know, I'm

853
00:44:45,800 --> 00:44:47,239
Speaker 1: one of those type of guys, So I try not

854
00:44:47,360 --> 00:44:49,480
Speaker 1: to do that as much. These contests really give me

855
00:44:49,480 --> 00:44:53,520
Speaker 1: an opportunity to um highlight the things that I'm good at,

856
00:44:53,640 --> 00:44:57,800
Speaker 1: which is identifying a few games that I like and

857
00:44:58,600 --> 00:45:02,720
Speaker 1: and just riding with those. So also, I've been very fortunate.

858
00:45:02,760 --> 00:45:05,120
Speaker 1: We've just run very very I'm not I'm not gonna

859
00:45:05,160 --> 00:45:07,880
Speaker 1: act like I'm like a lot of your guests, who

860
00:45:07,960 --> 00:45:14,640
Speaker 1: are these you know, very detailed, amazing analytical pickers and things.

861
00:45:15,360 --> 00:45:17,960
Speaker 1: I'm a combination of I look at stats and trends

862
00:45:18,040 --> 00:45:21,279
Speaker 1: and things, but I Also, I trust my eye tests.

863
00:45:21,320 --> 00:45:23,920
Speaker 1: I trust the eye test, and uh, you can't say

864
00:45:23,960 --> 00:45:27,719
Speaker 1: that around those guys. Yeah, what do you just go?

865
00:45:27,880 --> 00:45:30,280
Speaker 1: Do know what he's talking about. Meanwhile, all the stuff

866
00:45:30,280 --> 00:45:33,319
Speaker 1: everybody says, David, the market already knows all that. I mean,

867
00:45:33,640 --> 00:45:37,759
Speaker 1: they know everything, like you know. And No, near the

868
00:45:37,880 --> 00:45:39,800
Speaker 1: end of the contest last year, we were close. And

869
00:45:40,120 --> 00:45:42,360
Speaker 1: I have friends who are really sharp sports veddors and

870
00:45:42,400 --> 00:45:43,879
Speaker 1: a couple of masks. You know, Hey, do you want

871
00:45:43,920 --> 00:45:45,719
Speaker 1: to know what? Like the sharp guys, I'm like, no,

872
00:45:46,239 --> 00:45:48,200
Speaker 1: you know what's gonna try. We're just gonna trust with

873
00:45:48,280 --> 00:45:50,279
Speaker 1: what we went with, you know, with what we see.

874
00:45:50,760 --> 00:45:54,160
Speaker 1: And I'm very lucky. You know, my partner, Mark Gregor,

875
00:45:54,320 --> 00:45:57,160
Speaker 1: she he sees football a lot the way that I do.

876
00:45:57,320 --> 00:46:02,400
Speaker 1: We have very little disagreement. Um, we respect each other's opinions,

877
00:46:02,600 --> 00:46:04,480
Speaker 1: and we're willing to get off a game that one

878
00:46:04,560 --> 00:46:06,920
Speaker 1: of us that we're on opposite sides. But for the

879
00:46:06,960 --> 00:46:08,839
Speaker 1: most part, we look at the game the same way.

880
00:46:08,920 --> 00:46:10,520
Speaker 1: We look at the things that are important in the

881
00:46:10,600 --> 00:46:16,239
Speaker 1: same way, so we're able to really, uh form a

882
00:46:16,320 --> 00:46:19,040
Speaker 1: good team. And and sometimes he you know, alerts me

883
00:46:19,120 --> 00:46:21,360
Speaker 1: of things that maybe I missed or vice versa. But

884
00:46:21,760 --> 00:46:23,719
Speaker 1: when he alerts me of things, it's usually things like

885
00:46:23,840 --> 00:46:25,600
Speaker 1: I want to see that I just didn't see, Like

886
00:46:25,840 --> 00:46:28,799
Speaker 1: this Philadelphia Atlanta game. I probably would have just laid

887
00:46:28,840 --> 00:46:31,040
Speaker 1: off of it because, you know, my guy told me

888
00:46:31,120 --> 00:46:33,719
Speaker 1: that the line advantage was was strong on Philly, but

889
00:46:34,160 --> 00:46:36,480
Speaker 1: I didn't really have the heart to play a team

890
00:46:36,520 --> 00:46:37,680
Speaker 1: that I didn't think was going to be a good

891
00:46:37,760 --> 00:46:40,279
Speaker 1: long term. But he kind of convinced me that that

892
00:46:40,520 --> 00:46:42,960
Speaker 1: was the right the right spot, and it worked out

893
00:46:43,040 --> 00:46:46,680
Speaker 1: for us there. Um, And I'm sure there was a

894
00:46:46,719 --> 00:46:48,640
Speaker 1: game or two last week that I did similar, not

895
00:46:48,800 --> 00:46:50,359
Speaker 1: that I can think of off the top of my head,

896
00:46:50,400 --> 00:46:53,960
Speaker 1: but um, I think it would, like you know, the

897
00:46:54,040 --> 00:46:57,440
Speaker 1: Broncos Giants was another one last week. I think the

898
00:46:57,480 --> 00:47:01,480
Speaker 1: Giants are better than people think. Even Fine is terrible. Um,

899
00:47:02,040 --> 00:47:04,440
Speaker 1: but I thought Denver was just an awful matchup. So

900
00:47:04,760 --> 00:47:07,160
Speaker 1: I was able to go against my preconceived notions and

901
00:47:07,400 --> 00:47:09,600
Speaker 1: just my eye test was that the Broncos were gonna

902
00:47:09,760 --> 00:47:12,160
Speaker 1: crush him on the lines, and that's kind of what happened.

903
00:47:12,239 --> 00:47:14,719
Speaker 1: So all right, well, good luck. I'll try to catch

904
00:47:14,800 --> 00:47:16,800
Speaker 1: you this week with a five and O uh, you know,

905
00:47:16,960 --> 00:47:19,480
Speaker 1: and contests are fun. Well, good luck David, and thanks

906
00:47:19,480 --> 00:47:21,040
Speaker 1: for taking the time man. Good luck in the poker

907
00:47:21,040 --> 00:47:25,719
Speaker 1: as well. Thanks. I appreciate it. The only thing better

908
00:47:25,800 --> 00:47:29,720
Speaker 1: than sitting on your couch watching the game. He's making

909
00:47:29,880 --> 00:47:35,040
Speaker 1: money while you do it. Here's your best beat. Good

910
00:47:35,080 --> 00:47:37,640
Speaker 1: good stuff from David Baker. That's a sharp guy. He's

911
00:47:37,719 --> 00:47:40,640
Speaker 1: very measured with what he says. I liked his picks.

912
00:47:40,719 --> 00:47:43,480
Speaker 1: He actually talked to me. I believe out of Miami,

913
00:47:43,520 --> 00:47:45,600
Speaker 1: I definitely will not be taking Miami in the contest.

914
00:47:45,880 --> 00:47:49,359
Speaker 1: I'll be looking at Buffalo. If any side there, it's

915
00:47:49,480 --> 00:47:51,840
Speaker 1: it's a tough one. Um. I think I'm gonna make

916
00:47:51,880 --> 00:47:53,879
Speaker 1: a couple of picks here. College football front, I really

917
00:47:53,920 --> 00:47:56,040
Speaker 1: like U c l A favorite by eleven against Fresno.

918
00:47:56,360 --> 00:48:00,440
Speaker 1: I know Fresno covered and nearly beat Oregon. Um, but

919
00:48:00,560 --> 00:48:02,600
Speaker 1: now the books out on Fresno. Hey, they're good. You

920
00:48:02,680 --> 00:48:04,719
Speaker 1: can't take them lightly. I know that U. C l

921
00:48:04,760 --> 00:48:07,120
Speaker 1: A Has had a bye week to uh read on

922
00:48:07,239 --> 00:48:09,279
Speaker 1: social media about how great they are and how they're

923
00:48:09,560 --> 00:48:11,640
Speaker 1: potentially gonna get to the playoff and then all they

924
00:48:11,680 --> 00:48:13,200
Speaker 1: have to do is beat Oregon at home and blah

925
00:48:13,239 --> 00:48:15,680
Speaker 1: blah blah. I know there's some concerns there. I'm a

926
00:48:15,760 --> 00:48:17,680
Speaker 1: Chip Kelly believer. You guys don't like to ride with Chip.

927
00:48:17,719 --> 00:48:19,440
Speaker 1: I got u c l a Favor by eleven. I

928
00:48:19,520 --> 00:48:23,200
Speaker 1: took Cincinnati Favorite by three and a half. Um not

929
00:48:23,360 --> 00:48:25,960
Speaker 1: to make it to West Coast Centric, but the Luke

930
00:48:26,000 --> 00:48:29,840
Speaker 1: fickle USC rumors persist. That's always getting asked about this

931
00:48:29,960 --> 00:48:32,000
Speaker 1: week leading up to the Big Indiana game. And before

932
00:48:32,040 --> 00:48:35,839
Speaker 1: you say the Big Indiana game, folks, Cincinnati is real good.

933
00:48:36,800 --> 00:48:39,480
Speaker 1: You know, Uh, Desmond Ritter the quarterback, he could be

934
00:48:39,560 --> 00:48:42,440
Speaker 1: a first round pick. They've got some future pros on

935
00:48:42,480 --> 00:48:44,680
Speaker 1: the defensive side of the football, their top ten in

936
00:48:44,719 --> 00:48:47,479
Speaker 1: the country. And in a few weeks, a couple of weeks,

937
00:48:47,520 --> 00:48:49,479
Speaker 1: they've got a big date with Notre Dame. That's gonna

938
00:48:49,520 --> 00:48:51,960
Speaker 1: be huge for Cincinnati chances to get to the playoffs.

939
00:48:52,360 --> 00:48:55,440
Speaker 1: Obviously they'll need chaos. But this is a good team, man.

940
00:48:55,480 --> 00:48:57,600
Speaker 1: I'm just telling you. I like Cincinnati Favorite by three

941
00:48:57,600 --> 00:49:00,160
Speaker 1: and a half. It's on the road in Indiana, which

942
00:49:00,160 --> 00:49:02,720
Speaker 1: is a little risky. I think Indian has been overvalued

943
00:49:02,760 --> 00:49:04,960
Speaker 1: all season because of what they did last year. It

944
00:49:05,080 --> 00:49:07,640
Speaker 1: is a noon kickoff, so I don't think, uh, you know,

945
00:49:07,719 --> 00:49:10,239
Speaker 1: the crowd will be a factor in Bloomington's But those

946
00:49:10,280 --> 00:49:12,239
Speaker 1: are two I really like. Of course I took Alabama

947
00:49:13,080 --> 00:49:16,080
Speaker 1: favored by uh fourteen, you have to. I don't mind

948
00:49:16,080 --> 00:49:20,920
Speaker 1: paying the Alabama tackx UM. It's fine Alabama. You just

949
00:49:21,040 --> 00:49:23,120
Speaker 1: ride them until they're done. I think it was two

950
00:49:23,239 --> 00:49:25,960
Speaker 1: years ago. I rode them first half and it was

951
00:49:26,000 --> 00:49:27,480
Speaker 1: like seven or no. And people are like they were

952
00:49:27,480 --> 00:49:28,719
Speaker 1: just raised in the number of every week. What are

953
00:49:28,719 --> 00:49:31,120
Speaker 1: you doing. I'm like, have you watched these guys and

954
00:49:31,160 --> 00:49:33,480
Speaker 1: they covered like seventh straight and then finally they didn't

955
00:49:34,000 --> 00:49:36,320
Speaker 1: um and that that was that was a wrap on that.

956
00:49:36,400 --> 00:49:39,080
Speaker 1: But you gotta ride them while they're hot. Fourteen. Um.

957
00:49:39,320 --> 00:49:42,000
Speaker 1: I don't think Ben Griffin Stadium or whatever it's called

958
00:49:42,080 --> 00:49:45,680
Speaker 1: Ben Griffin Hill. Maybe it's not like it's an unbelievable atmosphere.

959
00:49:45,719 --> 00:49:48,000
Speaker 1: And Bryce Young is gonna struggle on the road like

960
00:49:48,400 --> 00:49:51,719
Speaker 1: you do know, Florida's juggling quarterbacks, right. Um, So I'll

961
00:49:51,719 --> 00:49:53,840
Speaker 1: give me Alabama favored by fourteen. I actually like the

962
00:49:53,920 --> 00:49:56,759
Speaker 1: over two fifty and a half um and the other one.

963
00:49:56,800 --> 00:50:01,160
Speaker 1: I'm torn between these two. Penn State favored by five

964
00:50:01,200 --> 00:50:04,680
Speaker 1: and a half at home at night white Out hosting

965
00:50:04,760 --> 00:50:09,040
Speaker 1: Bow Knicks and overrated Auburn. Auburn has played nobody. Literally,

966
00:50:09,080 --> 00:50:13,680
Speaker 1: they played the second worst team in FCS, oh sorry,

967
00:50:13,719 --> 00:50:17,000
Speaker 1: in f uh FBS Akron, and then they played an

968
00:50:17,040 --> 00:50:19,080
Speaker 1: FCS team Alabama State. Now they have to go to

969
00:50:19,160 --> 00:50:23,160
Speaker 1: Penn State at night. Happy Happy uh Happy Valley is

970
00:50:23,160 --> 00:50:26,200
Speaker 1: gonna be popping Beaver Stadium. It's you know, it's gonna

971
00:50:26,200 --> 00:50:28,120
Speaker 1: be a crazy scene. That's just and bo Nicks has

972
00:50:28,120 --> 00:50:29,640
Speaker 1: been very poor on the road. If you look up

973
00:50:29,680 --> 00:50:32,760
Speaker 1: his numbers historically, Like, this guy was an awesome quarterback

974
00:50:32,800 --> 00:50:34,919
Speaker 1: coming in big time talent, look good in his first

975
00:50:35,000 --> 00:50:38,000
Speaker 1: career game, and you're like, oh, they got a guy here,

976
00:50:38,040 --> 00:50:39,520
Speaker 1: and he just has not delivered on the road. So

977
00:50:39,600 --> 00:50:41,360
Speaker 1: I kind of like Penn State favorite by five and

978
00:50:41,360 --> 00:50:43,200
Speaker 1: a half. The other one, the one dog. I like

979
00:50:44,320 --> 00:50:48,920
Speaker 1: Michigan State Sparty against Miami. I just I don't think

980
00:50:48,960 --> 00:50:51,480
Speaker 1: that highly in Miami. I'm sorry. I'm not as bullish

981
00:50:51,560 --> 00:50:54,719
Speaker 1: on on them as everyone else. The numbers going my way,

982
00:50:54,719 --> 00:50:56,680
Speaker 1: it was eight, it's down at six and a half,

983
00:50:56,680 --> 00:50:58,880
Speaker 1: so you're not getting the best number. Um, if you

984
00:50:58,960 --> 00:51:00,520
Speaker 1: want to wait for a seven would be good. But

985
00:51:00,560 --> 00:51:02,960
Speaker 1: I think Michigan steaken just grind it out on the ground,

986
00:51:03,280 --> 00:51:06,480
Speaker 1: hang around long enough to uh maybe pull out the win.

987
00:51:06,600 --> 00:51:09,719
Speaker 1: I definitely like him to cover, But you want to

988
00:51:09,719 --> 00:51:11,520
Speaker 1: put them on the money line, I don't think that's

989
00:51:11,520 --> 00:51:14,120
Speaker 1: a terrible investment. So those are my my my picks

990
00:51:14,160 --> 00:51:16,919
Speaker 1: in college that I like. NFL obviously is a lot

991
00:51:17,600 --> 00:51:23,400
Speaker 1: longer list because you know, sides, totals, teasers. UM, I

992
00:51:23,480 --> 00:51:25,279
Speaker 1: guess the sides that I'm kind of locked in on

993
00:51:25,400 --> 00:51:27,799
Speaker 1: that I'm definitely taking in the contest Pittsburgh for sure.

994
00:51:28,440 --> 00:51:30,839
Speaker 1: UM against Vegas. We've talked about these games all week.

995
00:51:30,840 --> 00:51:32,360
Speaker 1: If you've missed the pod and you're just tuning in

996
00:51:32,480 --> 00:51:34,799
Speaker 1: for the picks, you gotta listen to the analysis from

997
00:51:34,800 --> 00:51:39,120
Speaker 1: earlier in the week. UM, Carolina is almost certainly going

998
00:51:39,200 --> 00:51:41,600
Speaker 1: to be a pick against the Saints. Those are two

999
00:51:41,680 --> 00:51:46,879
Speaker 1: that I'm I'm pretty hot on. UM. I really want

1000
00:51:46,920 --> 00:51:50,840
Speaker 1: to take Rams, but everybody and their mom is on

1001
00:51:50,920 --> 00:51:53,160
Speaker 1: the Colts, and I'd be going against a lot of

1002
00:51:53,200 --> 00:51:56,480
Speaker 1: people that I respect. UM, So we'll see about that. UM.

1003
00:51:57,040 --> 00:51:58,680
Speaker 1: I think I'm gonna hold my nose and bet the

1004
00:51:58,760 --> 00:52:01,200
Speaker 1: Jags and then take him in the contest getting six.

1005
00:52:02,360 --> 00:52:04,839
Speaker 1: I'm not gonna throw a bunch of trends that you um.

1006
00:52:05,280 --> 00:52:07,600
Speaker 1: But there are some trends that favorite teams that were

1007
00:52:07,640 --> 00:52:14,000
Speaker 1: blown out in Week one. Carolina applies, um, the Jaguars

1008
00:52:14,040 --> 00:52:17,200
Speaker 1: apply the Atlanta Falcons. I'm looking hard at I know

1009
00:52:17,320 --> 00:52:20,320
Speaker 1: it's double figures, it's a divisional matchup. There's there's just

1010
00:52:20,400 --> 00:52:23,600
Speaker 1: a lot of things. Week two. Don't overreact and and

1011
00:52:23,800 --> 00:52:27,440
Speaker 1: just bet teams that won. Um. I just did the

1012
00:52:27,520 --> 00:52:29,640
Speaker 1: Philadelphia game. We talked about it at length with Baker.

1013
00:52:29,719 --> 00:52:32,600
Speaker 1: It's it's so tough. A lot of people like Philly

1014
00:52:32,640 --> 00:52:36,719
Speaker 1: here and you just listen to some of the stuff

1015
00:52:36,760 --> 00:52:39,120
Speaker 1: Baker said and then you think about it. Like coming

1016
00:52:39,160 --> 00:52:41,680
Speaker 1: into the season, sanfran was one of the three best

1017
00:52:41,719 --> 00:52:43,800
Speaker 1: teams in the NFC. The Eagles had one of the

1018
00:52:44,040 --> 00:52:48,000
Speaker 1: lowest season tote win totals. Yet now San Francisco's only

1019
00:52:48,040 --> 00:52:50,640
Speaker 1: favored by three on the road. And it's not like

1020
00:52:50,719 --> 00:52:52,320
Speaker 1: they have to go back to the West Coast and

1021
00:52:52,360 --> 00:52:54,640
Speaker 1: then come back. They stayed on the East Coast. I

1022
00:52:54,760 --> 00:52:57,440
Speaker 1: just there's a lot of stuff. I'm a cal Shanhan believer.

1023
00:52:57,640 --> 00:53:00,040
Speaker 1: I'm way more bullish on Jimmy Garoppolo than almost to

1024
00:53:00,080 --> 00:53:04,360
Speaker 1: everyone else. UM. I don't know, I I really I

1025
00:53:04,440 --> 00:53:06,120
Speaker 1: want to take San fran but I'm not going to

1026
00:53:06,239 --> 00:53:09,840
Speaker 1: take both the Rams and San Fran. I can't. I

1027
00:53:09,920 --> 00:53:12,040
Speaker 1: can't take all the teams from the NFC West. Again.

1028
00:53:12,360 --> 00:53:14,239
Speaker 1: I do, by the way, really like Arizona, but that's

1029
00:53:14,239 --> 00:53:15,880
Speaker 1: a game I'm just not touching. I think I'm probably

1030
00:53:15,880 --> 00:53:19,640
Speaker 1: gonna take Tennessee um going up against Seattle if I

1031
00:53:19,640 --> 00:53:21,600
Speaker 1: can get the six. The contest has it as six.

1032
00:53:22,960 --> 00:53:25,600
Speaker 1: It's just betting against Russell Wilson is just not fun.

1033
00:53:25,960 --> 00:53:28,480
Speaker 1: You know, He's just that good. He always delivers, and

1034
00:53:28,520 --> 00:53:30,520
Speaker 1: you basically got a hope of Tennessee defense that never

1035
00:53:30,600 --> 00:53:35,080
Speaker 1: shows up, like does something, and that's a tough ask. Um.

1036
00:53:35,320 --> 00:53:37,319
Speaker 1: But we do see some of these teams that were

1037
00:53:37,320 --> 00:53:41,000
Speaker 1: incredible in Week one regress a little bit. Um. I

1038
00:53:41,040 --> 00:53:43,120
Speaker 1: think it's obvious. You've got to look at the Packers.

1039
00:53:43,200 --> 00:53:45,640
Speaker 1: But these divisional matchups, and I the stuff I touched

1040
00:53:45,680 --> 00:53:48,320
Speaker 1: on with turn Off on Thursday and then Baker today,

1041
00:53:49,360 --> 00:53:54,160
Speaker 1: just listen, there's some interesting things there, especially these divisional matchups.

1042
00:53:54,239 --> 00:53:56,879
Speaker 1: Just be careful, folks. A lot of land mines out there.

1043
00:53:57,120 --> 00:54:00,680
Speaker 1: Everybody happy hunting in Week three in the NFL, I'm sorry.

1044
00:54:00,680 --> 00:54:02,760
Speaker 1: Week two in the NFL Week three in college football,

1045
00:54:02,840 --> 00:54:03,680
Speaker 1: we'll talk to you Monday,