WEBVTT - 2024 Bold Predictions With Justin Mason (EP. 760) 0:00:05.840 --> 0:00:08.799 What's the Friends of Welcome into the Fantasy Baseball podcast 0:00:08.840 --> 0:00:11.479 right here on Fantasy Pros. I am Chris Welsh. I'm 0:00:11.480 --> 0:00:13.360 happy to have you all in here. No Joe piece 0:00:13.360 --> 0:00:15.480 of Pia he gone, He's not here for this one. 0:00:15.520 --> 0:00:18.640 This is a me time, so occasionally I might require 0:00:18.800 --> 0:00:21.560 some me time with some of my favorites in the industry, 0:00:21.800 --> 0:00:24.640 and that's what I'm doing today. Joining me for twenty 0:00:24.760 --> 0:00:27.840 twenty four Bold Predictions. We're doing this pre camp by 0:00:27.880 --> 0:00:30.240 the way, so like I have one, I have absolutely 0:00:30.280 --> 0:00:34.479 set myself up to be destroyed because it could literally 0:00:34.680 --> 0:00:37.960 like happen before everything this episode even airs, So just 0:00:38.080 --> 0:00:39.760 on that would be aware of that one. But joining 0:00:39.840 --> 0:00:44.360 me for these twenty twenty four Bold Predictions is Justin Mason, 0:00:44.440 --> 0:00:46.839 my dear friend who you can listen to over on 0:00:46.920 --> 0:00:49.680 Sleeper and the Bust, Friends with Fantasy Benefits, creator and 0:00:49.720 --> 0:00:53.120 the creator of the Great Fantasy Baseball Invitational. Justin Mason, 0:00:54.040 --> 0:00:54.640 what's up, Buddy? 0:00:54.680 --> 0:00:57.840 Hey, also a featured writer for Fantasy Pros. Like it's 0:00:57.880 --> 0:01:03.400 like we're families, So yeah, it's always great to see you. 0:01:03.400 --> 0:01:07.480 You for sure will have your bold prediction blown prior 0:01:07.520 --> 0:01:08.280 to this Eric. 0:01:08.160 --> 0:01:10.000 It is I know you know which one it is too. 0:01:10.160 --> 0:01:14.320 Yeah, it is just how podcasting works that any time 0:01:14.520 --> 0:01:18.000 you say something that is any remote chance of like 0:01:18.160 --> 0:01:21.280 changing before you actually get to release the episode, it 0:01:21.319 --> 0:01:25.040 will change. So yeah, that will happen. It's great to 0:01:25.040 --> 0:01:27.959 see my friend. It's been way way too long. 0:01:28.520 --> 0:01:30.600 It has been too long. Me and Justin pretty much 0:01:30.680 --> 0:01:32.160 kind of came up if they were like class. I've 0:01:32.160 --> 0:01:34.759 always mentioned this that there's like classes of the fantasy industry. 0:01:35.160 --> 0:01:37.679 Justin and I came up around Tennis years ago together 0:01:38.000 --> 0:01:41.400 in the little independent world. And look at us now, Justin, 0:01:41.400 --> 0:01:43.319 Look at us now, by the way, great great looking 0:01:43.400 --> 0:01:45.240 room we have back there. I love the colors. I 0:01:45.240 --> 0:01:47.320 need to put some color in here. But we are 0:01:47.360 --> 0:01:48.920 going to be going through all these bad boys. And 0:01:48.920 --> 0:01:52.840 as you mentioned bold predictions, the interesting take we can 0:01:52.880 --> 0:01:55.000 have on bold predictions is it just doesn't have to 0:01:55.040 --> 0:01:57.680 be like this cumulative stat though that's usually what it's 0:01:57.720 --> 0:02:01.200 attached to. Since we're doing it pre ca you could 0:02:01.200 --> 0:02:05.000 also say this guy, you know breaks camp, or you 0:02:05.040 --> 0:02:08.880 know this guy is a halfway leader, or a certain move, 0:02:09.240 --> 0:02:12.080 and I'm gonna predict I'm actually gonna predict a convoluted 0:02:12.120 --> 0:02:13.760 move that's gonna go on. So that's what we've got 0:02:13.800 --> 0:02:16.880 going on today, all of our bold predictions. Justin's got five, 0:02:17.400 --> 0:02:21.240 I've got five. And I kind of view bold predictions 0:02:21.280 --> 0:02:24.280 sometimes like it's not quite an urban legend, but maybe 0:02:24.360 --> 0:02:27.000 like a wives tale, you know why, why is wives tale? 0:02:27.160 --> 0:02:30.840 Where it's like there's parts of truth that's involved in it, 0:02:30.919 --> 0:02:34.359 but there it's probably not gonna materialize. Justin, I don't 0:02:34.360 --> 0:02:37.200 know how you end up viewing bold predictions sometimes I 0:02:37.240 --> 0:02:40.840 actually struggle going on the complete bold side because it's like, okay, 0:02:40.919 --> 0:02:43.760 you know Dylan See's returns, it's number one starting picture, 0:02:43.800 --> 0:02:46.400 Like you know how bold? How bold do you tend 0:02:46.440 --> 0:02:48.920 to want to go when you're constructing bold predictions. 0:02:49.120 --> 0:02:52.079 When I first started doing bold predictions, I was always like, oh, 0:02:52.200 --> 0:02:54.840 I'm gonna make this the boldest thing possible, right, Like 0:02:54.880 --> 0:02:57.080 I'm I'm gonna give you the hottest of hot takes. 0:02:57.600 --> 0:03:00.079 And I would do things like this picture's gonna in 0:03:00.160 --> 0:03:03.280 the cy Young or this player is going to be 0:03:03.360 --> 0:03:08.240 the best player in fantasy. Those have such small margins 0:03:08.240 --> 0:03:10.840 for error, and we're already dealing with things that are 0:03:10.919 --> 0:03:14.840 unlikely to happen. So if we think of like a projection, so, 0:03:15.120 --> 0:03:18.079 like you know Blake Snell's projection for twenty twenty four. 0:03:18.320 --> 0:03:20.760 Usually that is a median projection, right, that is the 0:03:21.080 --> 0:03:23.959 like the average of like what could happen. You could 0:03:23.960 --> 0:03:26.520 obviously do better, you could obviously do worse, but this 0:03:26.600 --> 0:03:28.520 is kind of the baseline of the middle of what 0:03:28.560 --> 0:03:31.079 we think could happen. So for a bold prediction, I 0:03:31.200 --> 0:03:34.000 like to think of, okay, what is the eightieth percentile? 0:03:34.080 --> 0:03:37.080 Right if the if the projection is a fiftieth percentile, 0:03:37.120 --> 0:03:39.640 what is like pretty close to the top of the 0:03:39.720 --> 0:03:41.800 line of what could happen? And that's kind of what 0:03:41.840 --> 0:03:42.320 I shoot think. 0:03:42.360 --> 0:03:44.480 Okay, super smart. That's a good way to approach. If 0:03:44.520 --> 0:03:47.200 anybody else is looking on how they can approach creating 0:03:47.280 --> 0:03:49.440 some bold predictions, that's definitely way you can do it. 0:03:49.680 --> 0:03:52.000 One cool thing Justin mentioned it before. He is a 0:03:52.040 --> 0:03:54.480 featured writer on Fantasy Pros And when you guys sign 0:03:54.640 --> 0:03:57.440 up on premium, you get some extra access. So Fantasy 0:03:57.440 --> 0:04:00.880 Pros has got like a gajillion awesome thing that are free. 0:04:01.000 --> 0:04:02.640 I mean, you can get in on a lot of 0:04:02.680 --> 0:04:05.720 the draft wizard stuff. You can go in sink your leagues. 0:04:05.720 --> 0:04:08.240 There's a lot of it that you can do for free, well, 0:04:08.480 --> 0:04:11.800 and articles as well, aggregate ranks. We've got some new 0:04:11.840 --> 0:04:14.320 premium articles and actually Justin I think was one of 0:04:14.360 --> 0:04:16.960 the first rollouts of it, where you can get Justin's 0:04:17.040 --> 0:04:20.520 top draft targets any premium article when you sign up, 0:04:20.720 --> 0:04:22.560 available right now, you can get a bunch of his 0:04:22.720 --> 0:04:24.560 other free articles. But like I said, if you sign 0:04:24.640 --> 0:04:27.600 up for a premium account fantasypros dot Com slash Premium, 0:04:27.680 --> 0:04:30.160 you sign up today, you can get access to all 0:04:30.200 --> 0:04:32.680 the free stuff and all the extra goodies which there's 0:04:32.720 --> 0:04:34.400 tons of will tell you about, and you can get 0:04:34.480 --> 0:04:38.799 Justin's favorite draft day targets. I actually mirrored his structure 0:04:38.800 --> 0:04:40.400 of an article, and I've got one coming out this 0:04:40.440 --> 0:04:41.880 week as well. So go and check out the day. 0:04:41.920 --> 0:04:43.919 We'll get back to the episode in one second. Because 0:04:43.920 --> 0:04:46.560 it is officially Fantasy Baseball season, and that means it's 0:04:46.600 --> 0:04:49.960 time for MLB Best Ball on Rival Fantasy. That's right, 0:04:50.080 --> 0:04:53.000 Rival Fantasy now has Best Ball. 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Welcome to Rival Fantasy. Now back to the episode. 0:05:29.720 --> 0:05:32.560 All right, justin, are you ready to jump into some 0:05:32.600 --> 0:05:35.040 bold predictions for twenty twenty four, because if you are, 0:05:35.400 --> 0:05:36.839 I'm gonna put you on the hot seat for the 0:05:36.839 --> 0:05:40.120 first one. Your first bold prediction for twenty twenty four. 0:05:40.279 --> 0:05:43.720 All right, So I'm going bold here, and this is 0:05:43.720 --> 0:05:46.279 what I actually talked about in that article you just referenced, 0:05:46.279 --> 0:05:48.480 which is available at Premium. I also have another article 0:05:48.480 --> 0:05:51.120 on Premium coming out in the next day or two 0:05:51.279 --> 0:05:54.520 on high stakes drafting, So if you're interested in trying 0:05:54.520 --> 0:05:57.839 with the high stakes world, check that article out as well. 0:05:57.920 --> 0:06:01.320 But this one is the guy he done six drafts 0:06:01.360 --> 0:06:04.240 I think this year, and the guy I've drafted in 0:06:04.480 --> 0:06:08.480 every single draft this season is Dalton var Show. 0:06:08.600 --> 0:06:09.040 Wow. 0:06:09.440 --> 0:06:11.920 And my bold prediction for him is that he goes 0:06:12.240 --> 0:06:16.280 thirty twenty this year. I know last year was quote 0:06:16.360 --> 0:06:19.120 unquote disappointing for var Show, but if you look under 0:06:19.160 --> 0:06:24.039 the hood, everything was actually better. He actually made improvements 0:06:24.080 --> 0:06:27.720 in zone contact. He had a very good eggs of 0:06:28.279 --> 0:06:30.600 max eggs of velocity. I think he got a little 0:06:30.600 --> 0:06:34.880 bit unlucky. I think he's still adjusting to Toronto now. 0:06:35.080 --> 0:06:37.960 I've always been a Dalton Varshow hater when he was 0:06:38.000 --> 0:06:40.600 with your Diamondbacks, but it was mostly because I didn't 0:06:40.600 --> 0:06:43.680 think he was a catcher, and the Diamonbacks organization didn't 0:06:43.680 --> 0:06:45.039 think he was a catcher too, because I had someone 0:06:45.040 --> 0:06:48.000 within the organization tell me once that the only person 0:06:48.040 --> 0:06:50.480 who thought he was a catcher was a general manager 0:06:50.520 --> 0:06:53.039 and that's why he kept trying to catch the minor leagues. 0:06:53.160 --> 0:06:55.920 He's not a catcher anymore. He's a full time outfielder. 0:06:56.800 --> 0:06:59.120 I think there's a ton of upside in this bat 0:07:00.200 --> 0:07:01.120 Dulton Varshow this year. 0:07:01.200 --> 0:07:03.839 Yeah, that's an interesting one. Look into career. Low ground 0:07:03.839 --> 0:07:07.320 ball rate, which I think would absolutely be huge for him, 0:07:07.720 --> 0:07:11.480 looks like second to best career strikeout rate, his walks 0:07:11.480 --> 0:07:14.280 have dipped a little bit. I've just always struggled with him. 0:07:14.480 --> 0:07:16.760 He definitely has the ability. He always steals. He doesn't 0:07:16.760 --> 0:07:18.680 look like physically like the body type of a guy 0:07:18.840 --> 0:07:21.200 that's going to keep stealing twenty bases, but he can 0:07:21.200 --> 0:07:24.880 do it. But it's like the really inconsistent batting average. 0:07:24.880 --> 0:07:29.040 It's the inconsistent contact for me that struggles in getting 0:07:29.040 --> 0:07:31.600 to that number. But if you're right, here's what's var 0:07:31.640 --> 0:07:32.200 show's ADP. 0:07:32.520 --> 0:07:35.240 Is it like it Probably it's around one sixty or 0:07:35.280 --> 0:07:36.280 one seventy something. 0:07:36.520 --> 0:07:38.040 I was goot to say, like two hundred or something 0:07:38.080 --> 0:07:40.200 like that. If he goes what was the bold prediction 0:07:40.240 --> 0:07:42.200 you said? Was it twenty thirty or thirty thirty, twenty 0:07:42.560 --> 0:07:47.600 thirty twenty. If he goes thirty twenty, justin he's probably 0:07:47.640 --> 0:07:48.840 a second round player, right. 0:07:49.280 --> 0:07:51.240 Yeah, I mean, you know, as long as he can 0:07:51.320 --> 0:07:53.760 keep that average, Like, his average is never going to 0:07:53.840 --> 0:07:55.680 be super high. He's not a guy who runs with 0:07:55.720 --> 0:07:58.160 really high babbitbs. But he did get unlucky in the 0:07:58.200 --> 0:08:00.520 babby department last year. I think he's probably more like 0:08:00.560 --> 0:08:02.880 a two to seventy batted guy. Last year is two 0:08:02.920 --> 0:08:06.440 ffty six. If you could hit two forty thirty twenty, like, yeah, 0:08:06.440 --> 0:08:08.800 that's probably a second or third round pick that you're 0:08:08.840 --> 0:08:10.320 getting super super late. 0:08:10.560 --> 0:08:14.280 Something to watch too. Career high launch angle twenty point 0:08:14.320 --> 0:08:17.640 five Toronto's like a kind of median factor ballpark factor 0:08:17.680 --> 0:08:21.960 as far as hitters go. If he shows any improvements 0:08:22.120 --> 0:08:25.480 early on on barrel percentage, hard hit percentage and continues 0:08:25.520 --> 0:08:28.280 that launch angle, that's gonna be that like optimized stuff. 0:08:28.280 --> 0:08:31.000 I want to say Jake Berger maybe had a similar 0:08:31.040 --> 0:08:33.720 line like those big launch angles Win paired with at 0:08:33.840 --> 0:08:38.000 least like really hard hit balls or solid barreling, it's 0:08:38.040 --> 0:08:40.200 gonna do big numbers. He just hasn't clicked into that. 0:08:40.320 --> 0:08:42.360 G had a slight uptick and hard hit percentage. So 0:08:42.840 --> 0:08:45.920 just an all in the Dalton var show train. All right, 0:08:46.000 --> 0:08:50.120 here's mine and mine is a convoluted little chain of 0:08:50.120 --> 0:08:53.199 events that is probably gonna get broken by the time 0:08:53.360 --> 0:08:56.920 this airs, So hopefully we get this up like immediately. 0:08:56.960 --> 0:09:03.079 But my bold prediction is that the Mariners sign Blake Snell, 0:09:03.920 --> 0:09:08.800 then they trade Brian Wo to the Rays for Esak 0:09:08.920 --> 0:09:12.800 Parades because they don't have a third baseman, which then 0:09:13.480 --> 0:09:18.160 in turn puts junior Cameronaro on the opening day roster 0:09:18.320 --> 0:09:20.960 for the Rays, but it does not win him Rookie 0:09:21.000 --> 0:09:22.520 of the Year. We'll talk about that in a little bit. 0:09:22.559 --> 0:09:24.760 So that's my bold prediction. There's been a lot of 0:09:24.800 --> 0:09:27.520 Blake Snell stuff out there. I think the two biggest 0:09:27.720 --> 0:09:30.200 The two biggest rumors have been the Angels, and apparently 0:09:30.240 --> 0:09:31.959 the Angels have had the interest, but they haven't been 0:09:31.960 --> 0:09:35.400 given the go to release the money for Blake Snell. 0:09:35.640 --> 0:09:38.079 But Blake Snell is from the Pacific Northwest. I think 0:09:38.080 --> 0:09:41.960 he wants to play there. The Mariners, they've got some 0:09:42.160 --> 0:09:45.080 toys to play with. If you're talking about that young pitching. 0:09:45.480 --> 0:09:48.800 They also can sign Blake Snell without trading Brian Wu. 0:09:49.120 --> 0:09:52.920 That's actually the most likely situation. Trading good young pitching 0:09:53.679 --> 0:09:56.400 probably not ideal. But the reason I picked on Brian 0:09:56.480 --> 0:10:00.120 Wu is because I think he's an analytics darling. He 0:10:00.200 --> 0:10:03.120 is the exact type of pitcher the Rays would covet 0:10:03.360 --> 0:10:06.680 and love to get. So I don't know if Esock 0:10:06.720 --> 0:10:08.720 Praidies works for it straight out. There might be some 0:10:08.760 --> 0:10:11.480 other pieces involved, but my idea is the Mariners have 0:10:11.520 --> 0:10:15.000 a huge hole in the corner endfield at third base 0:10:15.080 --> 0:10:17.959 unless they really feel comfortable with Rojas or luis Arius. 0:10:18.080 --> 0:10:20.440 There had been rumors of Esock praties. They've already made 0:10:20.440 --> 0:10:23.959 a trade. Wu goes into the starting rotation for the Rays, 0:10:24.360 --> 0:10:27.079 Esock Praties comes here, Cam and Arow. It is a 0:10:27.280 --> 0:10:30.800 chain of events justin. That's my bold prediction, and that 0:10:30.920 --> 0:10:33.320 is my pre camp bold prediction. It's the only one 0:10:33.360 --> 0:10:34.840 I'm going to do. So what do you think about 0:10:34.840 --> 0:10:35.200 that one? 0:10:35.280 --> 0:10:36.880 I mean, I like the way you're thinking. 0:10:36.960 --> 0:10:39.760 I had not thought about that kind of scenario, but 0:10:39.800 --> 0:10:41.160 it makes a lot of sense. Like you said, Blake 0:10:41.200 --> 0:10:44.800 Snell is from Shoreline, Washington, so like that is home 0:10:44.880 --> 0:10:47.560 for him. I'm sure he would love to go back 0:10:47.559 --> 0:10:50.640 and play. It's a great organization to pitch for. Imagine 0:10:50.679 --> 0:10:54.360 Blake Snell being your number four starting pitcher that that 0:10:54.440 --> 0:10:55.719 would be unreal. 0:10:56.640 --> 0:10:59.440 I think if the Mariners were going. 0:10:59.280 --> 0:11:01.880 To make a move, they should probably just sign Matt Chapman, 0:11:02.040 --> 0:11:04.400 you know, just to me, like, you know, he gives 0:11:04.400 --> 0:11:07.960 you elite defense on the corner right there, and that 0:11:08.040 --> 0:11:11.400 kind of solves that problem. But I'd love to see 0:11:11.400 --> 0:11:15.400 Blake Snell in uh in Seattle. I don't know that 0:11:16.000 --> 0:11:18.120 the rest of it would fall quite that way, but 0:11:19.800 --> 0:11:23.000 you know it's uh, it may it all makes sense. Now, 0:11:23.160 --> 0:11:26.040 let's I just want people to sign, just sign, just sign, 0:11:26.200 --> 0:11:30.440 just stop this like top four free agents still not signed. 0:11:30.840 --> 0:11:33.679 Well, there is a thing. I'm gonna be very loose 0:11:33.720 --> 0:11:36.040 about this to not age this podcast, so we'll move 0:11:36.120 --> 0:11:39.040 right past as quick. But there is a there's like 0:11:39.080 --> 0:11:41.600 a clerical thing that goes on with rosters where teams 0:11:41.600 --> 0:11:44.480 can start putting players on sixty man's within I think 0:11:44.520 --> 0:11:47.560 the next twenty four hours or as this episode is airing, 0:11:47.880 --> 0:11:50.400 and then what that's gonna do is that theoretically might 0:11:50.440 --> 0:11:53.600 open up some of the doorways for players to start signing. 0:11:53.640 --> 0:11:55.680 I don't really think that's something that's kept some of 0:11:55.679 --> 0:11:58.000 those guys away. But Jorge Hilaire just signed a three 0:11:58.040 --> 0:12:00.240 year deal with your San Francisco Giants for four forty 0:12:00.240 --> 0:12:02.200 two million dollars. I love that signing. I wanted him 0:12:02.200 --> 0:12:04.440 to go to the Diamondbacks, so we might see those pickups. 0:12:04.480 --> 0:12:06.920 And that's why this may fall apart. But that's also 0:12:06.960 --> 0:12:09.079 why this is a bold prediction. This isn't me going, Hey, 0:12:09.080 --> 0:12:10.800 Blake Snell's gonna sign with the Mariners. This is me 0:12:11.280 --> 0:12:15.320 tailing out this little story of he signs the Mariners 0:12:15.360 --> 0:12:18.360 then take from what they have of depth and they 0:12:18.400 --> 0:12:21.120 trade and then they get a bigger, probably better piece. 0:12:21.120 --> 0:12:22.920 They could sign Matt Chapman, but that doesn't make the 0:12:22.920 --> 0:12:25.480 bold prediction as much fun. And it opened up the 0:12:25.520 --> 0:12:28.600 junior Camonaro. So that is seven degrees of Blake Snell, 0:12:28.800 --> 0:12:32.079 where Blake Snell creates junior Cameron Aro having a starting role. 0:12:32.120 --> 0:12:34.880 So that's my first bold prediction. Just in bold prediction 0:12:35.000 --> 0:12:36.320 number two, you're up all right. 0:12:36.360 --> 0:12:38.920 So last year I made a bold prediction and actually 0:12:39.000 --> 0:12:41.720 bet on it and it fell just short. But it 0:12:41.800 --> 0:12:45.000 was kind of right, just for the wrong reason. That 0:12:45.320 --> 0:12:48.640 was the Arizona Diamondbacks. We're gonna win the NLS. They 0:12:48.640 --> 0:12:50.599 didn't win the NLS. They did make it all the 0:12:50.640 --> 0:12:53.400 way to the World Series. I just missed kind of 0:12:53.520 --> 0:12:56.360 exactly where I should put my money. So this year 0:12:56.360 --> 0:12:58.040 I'm gonna do the same thing on a team that 0:12:58.120 --> 0:13:01.520 I think people are kind of overlooking that I actually 0:13:01.600 --> 0:13:04.120 kind of really like. Uh, And that's Kansas City Royals 0:13:04.360 --> 0:13:07.920 winning the Division, winning the Al Central. I like a 0:13:07.960 --> 0:13:11.240 lot of the moves they've made that division is pretty weak. 0:13:12.440 --> 0:13:13.199 To say the least. 0:13:14.120 --> 0:13:16.200 I think that there's a really good chance, like the 0:13:16.280 --> 0:13:20.160 additions of Waka and Lugo to that rotation. 0:13:20.559 --> 0:13:22.439 I mean, there's a great part for them to pitch in. 0:13:23.160 --> 0:13:25.520 I really really like the Royals as a team that 0:13:25.559 --> 0:13:28.840 could kind of sneak up and all of a sudden, uh, 0:13:29.200 --> 0:13:31.480 look you looking at the top of that division very 0:13:31.559 --> 0:13:32.120 very quickly. 0:13:32.640 --> 0:13:32.800 Yeah. 0:13:32.840 --> 0:13:36.400 I mean I think if you're if you're attaching the 0:13:37.080 --> 0:13:39.840 boldness to the Royals, which is a very bold statement 0:13:39.880 --> 0:13:42.319 for them to you know, win out that division, there's 0:13:42.360 --> 0:13:45.480 gonna be some bounce some big bounce backs or breakouts 0:13:45.520 --> 0:13:48.160 on that team. If you had to pinpoint a player 0:13:48.240 --> 0:13:51.040 or two, who are the biggest beneficiars, I agree with Waka. 0:13:51.160 --> 0:13:53.040 I'm I actually tend to be for whatever reason in 0:13:53.080 --> 0:13:55.160 the rankings on Fantasy Pros, I tend to be a 0:13:55.160 --> 0:13:57.400 lot higher on like Waka on Seth Lugo because I 0:13:57.400 --> 0:13:59.599 think they'll eat innings. But if I were thrown at you, 0:13:59.640 --> 0:14:02.040 obviously you know Cole Reagan's can make a jump. You 0:14:02.120 --> 0:14:04.960 got mikel. Garcia, who is if he's gonna be given 0:14:05.000 --> 0:14:06.600 the go, might steal a lot of bases. If you 0:14:06.600 --> 0:14:08.920 had to pick two players to be attached to your 0:14:08.920 --> 0:14:11.120 bold prediction for the Royals that kind of break out, 0:14:11.160 --> 0:14:11.800 who would you pick? 0:14:11.920 --> 0:14:14.480 Give me vinnp Like I he is one of those 0:14:14.480 --> 0:14:18.000 guys that I think, had it not been for the 0:14:18.040 --> 0:14:20.680 injury last year, we'd be talking about him as like 0:14:20.760 --> 0:14:24.000 a top five round draft pick this year. I just 0:14:24.040 --> 0:14:26.200 think he has all the talent in the world of 0:14:26.240 --> 0:14:29.280 the ability to make contact power, and he's gonna get 0:14:29.320 --> 0:14:31.320 full time playing time in Kansas City. 0:14:32.000 --> 0:14:33.400 The other one's Michael Massey. 0:14:34.760 --> 0:14:36.920 Massy is one of those guys that I was really 0:14:37.000 --> 0:14:39.440 kind of in on last year, and it just he 0:14:39.520 --> 0:14:43.320 never seemed to really get going. But if you actually 0:14:43.320 --> 0:14:46.000 look at the underlying statistics for like the second half 0:14:46.000 --> 0:14:48.160 of the year, he was really really good under the hood. 0:14:48.480 --> 0:14:50.080 I think they're gonna give him a chance to play 0:14:50.080 --> 0:14:51.960 every day he manned up in a platoon if he 0:14:52.000 --> 0:14:55.640 can't handle lefties perfectly. But I think he is one 0:14:55.680 --> 0:14:58.840 of those guys that is gonna go undrafted in ten 0:14:59.400 --> 0:15:02.080 team leagues, twelve team leagues, that should be on your 0:15:02.120 --> 0:15:04.320 watch list, or the last guy on your bench on 0:15:04.440 --> 0:15:06.520 a fifteen team leagues. He's definitely a target for me. 0:15:07.400 --> 0:15:10.360 Yeah, and he's a really good like DC type of target, 0:15:10.480 --> 0:15:13.760 And yeah, he's a solid He's definitely a solid bet there. 0:15:14.040 --> 0:15:17.080 So there you go. Royals are winning their division. Didn't 0:15:17.080 --> 0:15:20.440 think we'd say that anytime soon. Probably would also be 0:15:20.640 --> 0:15:23.000 very much due to Cole Reagan's. Let's just be honest too. 0:15:23.000 --> 0:15:25.000 If Cole Reagan's is successful, that's going to help that 0:15:25.000 --> 0:15:28.040 team as well. All Right, my second bold prediction, we're 0:15:28.040 --> 0:15:31.520 gonna kind of stay in that rookie realm. First part 0:15:31.600 --> 0:15:35.360 not as bold, but Jackson Holiday breaks camp with the 0:15:35.360 --> 0:15:38.760 Orioles and it's a starting day, second basement shortstop. They 0:15:38.840 --> 0:15:40.760 kind of laid it out if anybody missed the news 0:15:40.800 --> 0:15:44.240 that they said if he were to break camp with 0:15:44.280 --> 0:15:47.720 the team, he would be playing probably some combination of 0:15:47.720 --> 0:15:51.400 second base and shortstop, but more primarily second base. So 0:15:51.640 --> 0:15:53.520 that might be a bit of news for people. But 0:15:53.720 --> 0:15:55.920 the second piece of it is, not only does he 0:15:55.960 --> 0:15:58.760 break camp, he wins a Rookie of the Year. So 0:15:59.040 --> 0:16:03.480 the favorite is Evan. You've got Wyatt Langford that's in there, 0:16:03.520 --> 0:16:06.040 and you've got quite a few interesting names that are 0:16:06.080 --> 0:16:08.320 dancing around. Junior Camonaro that's another one. There's a lot 0:16:08.360 --> 0:16:11.000 of competition, but the Orioles are going to be great. 0:16:11.440 --> 0:16:13.840 It will be one reason due to Jackson Holiday and 0:16:13.880 --> 0:16:16.560 they will do it again. They're very motivated as well 0:16:16.720 --> 0:16:19.160 to give these guys the playing time. Trust them. What 0:16:19.200 --> 0:16:21.840 did they do with Gunner Henderson justin They let him 0:16:21.880 --> 0:16:23.920 get through it. They let him work through it and 0:16:23.920 --> 0:16:27.000 that ended up working out. He at one point was 0:16:27.000 --> 0:16:28.840 like third or fourth on the Rookie of the Year 0:16:28.920 --> 0:16:32.640 awards last year on how bad it got. Jackson Holiday 0:16:32.720 --> 0:16:34.560 is that guy. He hit three twenty three this past 0:16:34.640 --> 0:16:38.560 year over four forty OBP across. I believe it's the 0:16:38.680 --> 0:16:41.560 four levels in the miners. The power wasn't quite there, 0:16:41.760 --> 0:16:44.960 but over one hundred walks. He's a great contact hitter. 0:16:45.320 --> 0:16:49.280 Big Obp showed off his batting average and the power 0:16:49.320 --> 0:16:51.760 is going to come and Gunner won it. What you know, 0:16:51.880 --> 0:16:54.240 twenty is around twenty five to ten, twenty eight, eleven, 0:16:54.320 --> 0:16:57.440 whatever it was. If Gunner can go fifteen to eighteen 0:16:57.520 --> 0:16:59.520 with thirty stolen bases and he steals a little bit 0:16:59.520 --> 0:17:02.120 more while a high batting average and the Orioles win 0:17:02.200 --> 0:17:06.120 the division. Jackson Holliday not only breaks camp but ale 0:17:06.200 --> 0:17:08.159 Rookie of the year and underrated, by the way, I think, 0:17:08.200 --> 0:17:11.840 a kind of undervalued draft asset right now, there all 0:17:11.840 --> 0:17:14.000 the rookies I've been talking about a decent amount justin 0:17:14.000 --> 0:17:16.320 where it's like, you know, Langford is in like the 0:17:16.320 --> 0:17:19.440 one forties trios in the one thirties, Caminarow is back 0:17:19.920 --> 0:17:22.080 quite a bit, but Jackson Holliday is sitting in this 0:17:22.200 --> 0:17:24.440 like one eighty one to ninety range. I think he's 0:17:24.480 --> 0:17:26.600 the guy that you can push up a little bit more. 0:17:26.600 --> 0:17:28.400 I'm not sure you're on the same path. I don't 0:17:28.400 --> 0:17:29.920 try you don't try to target too many rookies, of 0:17:29.960 --> 0:17:31.280 course I don't. 0:17:31.280 --> 0:17:36.480 But I'm actually one lockstep with you. The I understand 0:17:36.480 --> 0:17:40.119 like how good Langford was in the minor leagues last year, 0:17:40.440 --> 0:17:43.680 But Jackson Jackson Holliday is still the number one prospect 0:17:43.680 --> 0:17:47.600 of baseball, and he's got the clearest path to playing time. 0:17:47.720 --> 0:17:51.040 Like I love why at Langford, but like, where does 0:17:51.160 --> 0:17:54.720 Langford actually play to start the year with Evan Carter 0:17:54.840 --> 0:17:59.240 and Adulas Garcia in that outfield? You know, I think 0:17:59.359 --> 0:18:04.000 Trio is really really interesting prospect, But where does he 0:18:04.040 --> 0:18:07.879 play in that outfield with Christian Yelledge and Sal freylk like, 0:18:08.800 --> 0:18:12.280 and I don't think people have talked enough about Tarrio's, like, 0:18:12.600 --> 0:18:14.600 you know, issues with swing and miss at times in 0:18:14.640 --> 0:18:17.679 the minor leagues. So I think Jackson Holiday has the 0:18:17.680 --> 0:18:20.040 clearest path to playing time. There's no one on that 0:18:20.160 --> 0:18:23.119 team that is stopping him if he's ready. And the 0:18:23.160 --> 0:18:26.879 Orioles have shown, unlike a team like the Brewers, that 0:18:26.960 --> 0:18:30.000 they'll bring up a guy to play day one. They 0:18:30.040 --> 0:18:33.440 want those draft picks that are associated with finishing high 0:18:33.480 --> 0:18:36.000 end work of the year. I think this is actually 0:18:36.040 --> 0:18:38.480 a perfect bold prediction, and I think that this is 0:18:38.720 --> 0:18:42.240 probably the bold prediction that has the best chance of 0:18:42.359 --> 0:18:43.080 actually hitting. 0:18:43.280 --> 0:18:45.560 Now, if you're like welsh, are we gonna get bolder, 0:18:45.680 --> 0:18:47.680 We're gonna get bolder. We're gonna I'm gonna I'm gonna 0:18:47.680 --> 0:18:49.840 get bolder with you, So don't worry. Friends. Want to 0:18:49.880 --> 0:18:52.080 tell you though about the draft simulator before we move 0:18:52.119 --> 0:18:54.439 forward to the rest of our bold predictions, because Fantasy 0:18:54.480 --> 0:18:58.959 Pros Draft Simulator it is a killer tool. You can 0:18:59.000 --> 0:19:01.080 go in and you can sink your leagues and guess 0:19:01.119 --> 0:19:04.040 what you can mock to your league's settings. Right now, 0:19:04.080 --> 0:19:06.920 go in, sink, put a bunch of mocks, together. You 0:19:06.960 --> 0:19:09.280 can get analysis if you jump up on premium, but 0:19:09.280 --> 0:19:11.240 guess what you can do all of that still on 0:19:11.320 --> 0:19:14.000 the freemium. You can get a bunch of this free access, 0:19:14.119 --> 0:19:15.720