1 00:00:01,080 --> 00:00:05,760 Speaker 1: All right, and welcome into BP. NFL Christmas has come 2 00:00:05,960 --> 00:00:08,840 Speaker 1: and gone, but we're still stopping your stocking with our 3 00:00:08,880 --> 00:00:11,920 Speaker 1: best bets for a Week seventeen of the NFL season. 4 00:00:12,119 --> 00:00:15,120 Speaker 1: I'm your host, Seth Wilcock billion for Joey P who 5 00:00:15,160 --> 00:00:17,840 Speaker 1: was unavailable today after having too much gaba ghul at 6 00:00:17,840 --> 00:00:21,120 Speaker 1: the Piece of P family dinner last night. But still no, 7 00:00:21,360 --> 00:00:23,160 Speaker 1: I'm not alone. I'm joined by a man who had 8 00:00:23,200 --> 00:00:26,200 Speaker 1: a great holiday. I'm much assuming after some unders hitting 9 00:00:26,280 --> 00:00:29,280 Speaker 1: both the Chief Steelers and Ravens Texans game. He is 10 00:00:29,360 --> 00:00:33,280 Speaker 1: Andrew Erickson, aka the Undertaker. Happy Week seventeen, brother, how's 11 00:00:33,280 --> 00:00:33,800 Speaker 1: the holiday? 12 00:00:34,240 --> 00:00:37,000 Speaker 2: Oh? Holiday was absolutely excellent. A ton of food, overs 13 00:00:37,040 --> 00:00:39,560 Speaker 2: on the food and taken to my body, probably way 14 00:00:39,600 --> 00:00:42,440 Speaker 2: too much food. But the unders cash Joe Mixon came 15 00:00:42,560 --> 00:00:44,880 Speaker 2: nowhere near his sixty three and a half rushing yards 16 00:00:44,920 --> 00:00:47,440 Speaker 2: the lock of the Christmas Day slate. I mean, the 17 00:00:47,479 --> 00:00:49,800 Speaker 2: Texans couldn't basically score on offense at all, you know, 18 00:00:49,840 --> 00:00:51,920 Speaker 2: getting a safety as they're to be like, wait, what's 19 00:00:51,920 --> 00:00:55,760 Speaker 2: the score? Thirty one two? Is a very bizarre game. 20 00:00:55,920 --> 00:00:57,680 Speaker 2: But the food was good, the drinks were good, the 21 00:00:57,680 --> 00:01:00,200 Speaker 2: family was good. So but I'm happy to be here 22 00:01:00,240 --> 00:01:02,319 Speaker 2: today talking about the weeks because we have so many 23 00:01:02,360 --> 00:01:04,280 Speaker 2: games still coming up. You know, Mayor had asked me 24 00:01:04,280 --> 00:01:05,959 Speaker 2: in our slack that, hey, do you have a pick 25 00:01:06,000 --> 00:01:08,479 Speaker 2: for tomorrow? I'm like, wait, is there football on Friday? Too? 26 00:01:08,800 --> 00:01:11,360 Speaker 2: I was, but I wouldn't be surprised at this point. 27 00:01:11,360 --> 00:01:13,360 Speaker 2: You know, in the NFL plays on every single day 28 00:01:13,400 --> 00:01:15,360 Speaker 2: of the week. Anytime you look up, there may be 29 00:01:15,400 --> 00:01:17,320 Speaker 2: an NFL game on. But we're here to make sure 30 00:01:17,319 --> 00:01:19,200 Speaker 2: you have action on all the games you can with 31 00:01:19,240 --> 00:01:22,000 Speaker 2: Saturday and Sunday. So let's break it down, seth. 32 00:01:22,160 --> 00:01:24,119 Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm looking forward to man, and it is kind 33 00:01:24,120 --> 00:01:25,920 Speaker 1: of tough to keep the calendar straight right now. You 34 00:01:25,959 --> 00:01:28,959 Speaker 1: got the holidays, You got about twenty bold games happening 35 00:01:29,000 --> 00:01:31,360 Speaker 1: over the next five or six days as well, so 36 00:01:31,640 --> 00:01:34,080 Speaker 1: a lot happening in the football world. On today's program, 37 00:01:34,120 --> 00:01:36,640 Speaker 1: we're gonna make sure you're invested in Week seventeen of 38 00:01:36,680 --> 00:01:39,319 Speaker 1: the NFL season. We'll give you our top ten ats 39 00:01:39,319 --> 00:01:41,520 Speaker 1: and total picks. Then i'll give you my parlay of 40 00:01:41,560 --> 00:01:44,080 Speaker 1: the week as well. And also before we get going, 41 00:01:44,120 --> 00:01:46,200 Speaker 1: I just wanted to thank everyone who's making time for 42 00:01:46,280 --> 00:01:49,080 Speaker 1: us during your busy holiday week watching here on YouTube. 43 00:01:49,120 --> 00:01:51,000 Speaker 1: And if you are here on YouTube and you enjoy 44 00:01:51,040 --> 00:01:54,000 Speaker 1: this type of content, please like this video and subscribe 45 00:01:54,040 --> 00:01:56,920 Speaker 1: to the channel if you are new. Also please rate 46 00:01:57,000 --> 00:02:00,000 Speaker 1: and review us wherever you get your audio podcast. Great. 47 00:02:00,200 --> 00:02:03,040 Speaker 1: Appreciate the support not just now during the holiday season, 48 00:02:03,280 --> 00:02:07,360 Speaker 1: but all year long here at BP. And also please 49 00:02:07,520 --> 00:02:10,399 Speaker 1: download the Betting pros app. It's on iOS or Android. 50 00:02:10,400 --> 00:02:13,080 Speaker 1: You can use the sportsbook Sync to automatically track your 51 00:02:13,120 --> 00:02:16,240 Speaker 1: bets across all major sports books in one spot. So 52 00:02:16,520 --> 00:02:21,239 Speaker 1: when college football, NFL, cricket, soccer, everything's happening this week, 53 00:02:21,320 --> 00:02:23,239 Speaker 1: you can track it all in one place on this 54 00:02:23,360 --> 00:02:26,200 Speaker 1: Betting Pro sports betting app. So make sure you're checking 55 00:02:26,200 --> 00:02:29,680 Speaker 1: out the app, guys. BP app available everywhere. But Erickson, 56 00:02:29,800 --> 00:02:32,480 Speaker 1: let's get right into the pick. Starting with Saturday. You 57 00:02:32,560 --> 00:02:36,280 Speaker 1: were interested in the Broncos Bengals game. Bengals currently favored 58 00:02:36,280 --> 00:02:38,640 Speaker 1: by three points. This was a really tough one for me. 59 00:02:38,840 --> 00:02:41,280 Speaker 1: The Broncos been playing great, but the Bengals fighting for 60 00:02:41,320 --> 00:02:42,959 Speaker 1: their life every single week. 61 00:02:42,760 --> 00:02:46,600 Speaker 2: Now, Yeah they are, and their playoff chances are basically 62 00:02:46,639 --> 00:02:49,360 Speaker 2: non existent at this point. I mean, every probability model 63 00:02:49,400 --> 00:02:51,680 Speaker 2: will say that they have a chance, but yeah, considering 64 00:02:51,720 --> 00:02:54,000 Speaker 2: the Chiefs locked up with the number one seed and 65 00:02:54,120 --> 00:02:56,720 Speaker 2: the Broncos need to lose their next two games for 66 00:02:56,760 --> 00:02:58,560 Speaker 2: the Bengals to get into the playoffs. The Chiefs are 67 00:02:58,600 --> 00:03:01,480 Speaker 2: gonna do whatever in their power to rest every single 68 00:03:01,520 --> 00:03:03,239 Speaker 2: start to make sure they lose the game against the 69 00:03:03,280 --> 00:03:05,600 Speaker 2: Broncos to make sure the Bengals have no shot of 70 00:03:05,639 --> 00:03:08,800 Speaker 2: making the postseason. But that's for Week eighteen. Week seventeen, 71 00:03:08,800 --> 00:03:10,480 Speaker 2: the Bengals are going to try to win this game 72 00:03:10,480 --> 00:03:12,840 Speaker 2: against Denver, and I like them the spot. I mean, 73 00:03:12,880 --> 00:03:15,360 Speaker 2: the Bengals have been one of the most disappointing teams 74 00:03:15,560 --> 00:03:18,919 Speaker 2: this season overall, but they've been better as of late. 75 00:03:19,000 --> 00:03:21,040 Speaker 2: And one of the interesting trends I kind of found 76 00:03:21,120 --> 00:03:22,720 Speaker 2: with them where I've kind of been back in them 77 00:03:22,720 --> 00:03:24,519 Speaker 2: the last couple weeks, is you know, they've been much 78 00:03:24,520 --> 00:03:26,880 Speaker 2: better against some of these less formidable opponents. So they've 79 00:03:26,880 --> 00:03:29,680 Speaker 2: been favored twelve times this year, including nine times by 80 00:03:29,680 --> 00:03:31,800 Speaker 2: more than a field goal, and that's really kind of 81 00:03:31,840 --> 00:03:34,359 Speaker 2: the only time I've been good against the spread seven 82 00:03:34,360 --> 00:03:36,640 Speaker 2: to two against the spread when it's been a field goal, 83 00:03:36,760 --> 00:03:39,800 Speaker 2: or more so, where you're having this line here, you're 84 00:03:39,800 --> 00:03:42,120 Speaker 2: seeing it at three and a half three at most books, 85 00:03:42,120 --> 00:03:44,480 Speaker 2: So I like taking the Bengals with the three. They're 86 00:03:44,520 --> 00:03:46,560 Speaker 2: playing at home, this is a game that they have 87 00:03:46,640 --> 00:03:49,400 Speaker 2: to win to stay in playoff contention. They don't care 88 00:03:49,400 --> 00:03:51,160 Speaker 2: about the other teams that are trying to win this game. 89 00:03:51,200 --> 00:03:53,480 Speaker 2: I think the offense is still going to have success here. 90 00:03:53,640 --> 00:03:55,960 Speaker 2: Denver's defense has not been good as of late, giving 91 00:03:56,000 --> 00:03:58,040 Speaker 2: up a lot of points over the last couple of weeks. 92 00:03:58,040 --> 00:04:00,360 Speaker 2: So I do like the Bengals here in this spot 93 00:04:00,400 --> 00:04:03,080 Speaker 2: and in Denver hasn't been as good when they've been 94 00:04:03,120 --> 00:04:05,280 Speaker 2: an underdog this season, like they've been very good when 95 00:04:05,320 --> 00:04:07,960 Speaker 2: the books are saying, hey, bo Nicks is a favorite 96 00:04:08,000 --> 00:04:09,680 Speaker 2: we like to hear in this spot, and they've been 97 00:04:09,760 --> 00:04:14,520 Speaker 2: very profitable backing bon Nicks in those situations. But as underdogs, 98 00:04:14,760 --> 00:04:17,159 Speaker 2: they're just four and four against the spread and two 99 00:04:17,160 --> 00:04:19,560 Speaker 2: and six straight up. So when they've kind of been 100 00:04:19,600 --> 00:04:22,160 Speaker 2: projected to lose games, I sent some of these more 101 00:04:22,200 --> 00:04:25,560 Speaker 2: powerhouse teams, they have fallen short of delivering against the number. 102 00:04:25,600 --> 00:04:28,480 Speaker 2: And it's like Joe Burrow three points at home against 103 00:04:28,520 --> 00:04:30,840 Speaker 2: bon Knicks, Like sometimes you just got to zoom out 104 00:04:30,880 --> 00:04:33,720 Speaker 2: and be like, hey, yeah, way, I feel comfortable laying 105 00:04:33,800 --> 00:04:36,440 Speaker 2: Joe Burrow with the points against a rookie quarterback on 106 00:04:36,480 --> 00:04:38,559 Speaker 2: the road. Right. Sometimes it can be just that simple, 107 00:04:38,720 --> 00:04:40,920 Speaker 2: especially if we know the Bengals are going to score points, right, 108 00:04:41,000 --> 00:04:42,479 Speaker 2: and if bon Nicks has to drop back to throw 109 00:04:42,520 --> 00:04:45,200 Speaker 2: forty times, I'll take my chances. So I like the 110 00:04:45,200 --> 00:04:47,760 Speaker 2: Bengals here at home minus three. 111 00:04:47,960 --> 00:04:50,200 Speaker 1: I hope this one does come true because I have 112 00:04:50,240 --> 00:04:52,880 Speaker 1: an AFC West Exact order five to one I put 113 00:04:52,960 --> 00:04:56,680 Speaker 1: on preseason, and I need the Broncos continue to lose 114 00:04:56,680 --> 00:04:58,760 Speaker 1: some games. The Chargers in them were real close. I 115 00:04:58,800 --> 00:05:00,320 Speaker 1: was happy about that. There's a night f FO ball 116 00:05:00,400 --> 00:05:03,840 Speaker 1: victory for Los Angeles. Hoping that this one comes true. 117 00:05:04,160 --> 00:05:05,800 Speaker 1: Might be telling you on that as well. I do 118 00:05:05,920 --> 00:05:09,200 Speaker 1: like the analysis there from ericson. I'm gonna stick with 119 00:05:09,240 --> 00:05:12,240 Speaker 1: this like fifty foot zoom level the youth throughout there, 120 00:05:12,279 --> 00:05:14,279 Speaker 1: and I'm gonna take a page out of your book, actually, 121 00:05:14,279 --> 00:05:16,640 Speaker 1: and I'm gonna go with an alt total paying a 122 00:05:16,640 --> 00:05:19,000 Speaker 1: little bit of juice here for the Las Vegas Raiders 123 00:05:19,080 --> 00:05:22,560 Speaker 1: versus the Saints alternate under thirty nine and a half points. 124 00:05:22,640 --> 00:05:25,760 Speaker 1: This is minus one thirty eight at DraftKings, and I 125 00:05:25,880 --> 00:05:28,159 Speaker 1: never mind buying back a couple points. I felt like 126 00:05:28,279 --> 00:05:30,640 Speaker 1: thirty eight and a half where this line was set originally, 127 00:05:30,720 --> 00:05:32,960 Speaker 1: was just a little too short for me. But if 128 00:05:33,000 --> 00:05:35,240 Speaker 1: Derek Carr doesn't play, this is a game between a 129 00:05:35,360 --> 00:05:37,800 Speaker 1: no O'Connell and Spencer Radler. Like It's as simple as 130 00:05:37,800 --> 00:05:40,440 Speaker 1: that for me. The Saints have scored under this total 131 00:05:40,480 --> 00:05:43,080 Speaker 1: and two straight games without Derek Carr, and four straight 132 00:05:43,160 --> 00:05:45,440 Speaker 1: dating back to two games when they had Derek Carr 133 00:05:45,480 --> 00:05:49,960 Speaker 1: as well. Saints estimated practice report Alvin Kamara Derek Carr 134 00:05:50,240 --> 00:05:54,400 Speaker 1: DNPS as of Wednesday, Jawan Johnson also limited. They might 135 00:05:54,440 --> 00:05:57,080 Speaker 1: get Chris o'lave back, but he has not played since 136 00:05:57,080 --> 00:05:59,920 Speaker 1: Week eight. Their wide receiver corp currently mvs Cedric will 137 00:06:00,480 --> 00:06:03,159 Speaker 1: and a guy named Kevin Austin Junior. So I'm not 138 00:06:03,200 --> 00:06:05,280 Speaker 1: worried about the Saints or the Raiders putting up a 139 00:06:05,320 --> 00:06:07,280 Speaker 1: lot of points here. The Raiders have hit this under 140 00:06:07,279 --> 00:06:10,640 Speaker 1: and four straight games after losing Gardner Minshew. Those games 141 00:06:10,680 --> 00:06:15,039 Speaker 1: were against way better offenses Kansas City, Tampa Bay, Atlanta, Jacksonville. 142 00:06:15,279 --> 00:06:18,880 Speaker 1: They also might be without starting left guard Jackson Powers Johnson, 143 00:06:19,040 --> 00:06:22,080 Speaker 1: who was also estimated as an LP the other day, 144 00:06:22,120 --> 00:06:26,080 Speaker 1: and his backup Jordan Meredith who was a DNP on Wednesday. 145 00:06:26,200 --> 00:06:29,040 Speaker 1: So I'm gonna go with the under here in the 146 00:06:29,120 --> 00:06:32,600 Speaker 1: Spencer Radler versus a O'Connell game on Sunday afternoon. 147 00:06:33,279 --> 00:06:35,920 Speaker 2: Look, sometimes you just gotta zoom out on two quarterbacks 148 00:06:35,920 --> 00:06:38,159 Speaker 2: that are playing and think, hey, does this mean that 149 00:06:38,160 --> 00:06:40,000 Speaker 2: there's gonna be points or no? I mean last week 150 00:06:40,000 --> 00:06:42,000 Speaker 2: you got to think that, not even like talking about 151 00:06:42,000 --> 00:06:45,360 Speaker 2: the Saints game, which I mean barely was in a game. Yeah, really, 152 00:06:45,400 --> 00:06:47,480 Speaker 2: it was something that was on TV where there were 153 00:06:47,480 --> 00:06:49,520 Speaker 2: two NFL teams. I don't know if they were really 154 00:06:49,520 --> 00:06:54,720 Speaker 2: playing football, they're doing something. But even the Jaguars Raiders game, right, 155 00:06:54,760 --> 00:06:56,160 Speaker 2: you looked at that and like, okay, like this can 156 00:06:56,200 --> 00:06:59,359 Speaker 2: be a gross shootout. Yeah, not even close. There's just 157 00:06:59,400 --> 00:07:02,840 Speaker 2: too bad quarterbacks playing bad quarterback play. So I think 158 00:07:02,839 --> 00:07:04,960 Speaker 2: you're gonna get more of that here. Again, the only 159 00:07:05,000 --> 00:07:06,680 Speaker 2: way I see this going over is when you get 160 00:07:06,680 --> 00:07:10,480 Speaker 2: those wacky fumble six pick six year and again you 161 00:07:10,480 --> 00:07:12,680 Speaker 2: know that is why it's called gambling at the end 162 00:07:12,720 --> 00:07:14,600 Speaker 2: of the day. But I think the process here is 163 00:07:14,680 --> 00:07:17,080 Speaker 2: right with your rationale behind this play. So I do 164 00:07:17,200 --> 00:07:18,120 Speaker 2: like the under here as well. 165 00:07:18,440 --> 00:07:21,520 Speaker 1: Okay, let's go back to the Saturday slate where you 166 00:07:21,680 --> 00:07:24,880 Speaker 1: like the Chargers and the Patriots to also potentially go 167 00:07:25,080 --> 00:07:27,680 Speaker 1: over a total at forty two and a half points. 168 00:07:27,840 --> 00:07:29,360 Speaker 1: What do you like there? What are you seeing it for? 169 00:07:29,400 --> 00:07:31,320 Speaker 1: This game is gonna kick off at one Eastern time. 170 00:07:31,560 --> 00:07:34,200 Speaker 2: Yeah, so this is the first game on the Saturday 171 00:07:34,440 --> 00:07:37,520 Speaker 2: slate at one o'clock on Saturday. So I do like 172 00:07:37,560 --> 00:07:39,480 Speaker 2: I like the over in this game. And the reason 173 00:07:39,600 --> 00:07:42,000 Speaker 2: is that the Patriots games, the only way I can 174 00:07:42,080 --> 00:07:44,320 Speaker 2: enjoy watching them anymore is watching Drake may just be 175 00:07:44,360 --> 00:07:48,000 Speaker 2: amazing at football because the everyone else something team is terrible. 176 00:07:48,240 --> 00:07:51,080 Speaker 2: That's the reason why Austin Hooper is now becoming like 177 00:07:51,120 --> 00:07:53,960 Speaker 2: a tight end that's usable in fantasy because he's like 178 00:07:54,000 --> 00:07:56,760 Speaker 2: the second best receiver on the team besides Hunter Henry, 179 00:07:56,800 --> 00:07:59,600 Speaker 2: who's tight end one. And you look at the Patriots, 180 00:07:59,600 --> 00:08:01,920 Speaker 2: So they're five and one towards the over at home 181 00:08:01,960 --> 00:08:04,760 Speaker 2: this year forty six points per game, so you're seeing 182 00:08:04,760 --> 00:08:07,280 Speaker 2: this total around forty two and a half forty three 183 00:08:07,320 --> 00:08:10,000 Speaker 2: points at most books. So I like the over here. 184 00:08:10,040 --> 00:08:12,480 Speaker 2: And it's always dangerous right when you're betting on overs 185 00:08:12,480 --> 00:08:14,360 Speaker 2: when it comes to the Chargers, right because they're a 186 00:08:14,400 --> 00:08:17,680 Speaker 2: team that is just like notorious for killing game totals. 187 00:08:17,960 --> 00:08:22,200 Speaker 2: They usually go shyed towards the under, but you know, eventually, hey, 188 00:08:22,280 --> 00:08:24,800 Speaker 2: you have to have them kind of breakout of that understreak, right. 189 00:08:24,800 --> 00:08:26,520 Speaker 2: I think they've only had one game this season on 190 00:08:26,560 --> 00:08:28,720 Speaker 2: the road where they've actually gone over the total. But 191 00:08:28,800 --> 00:08:32,280 Speaker 2: the Patriots, as I've indicated already, like they're the gift 192 00:08:32,280 --> 00:08:34,559 Speaker 2: that keeps on giving during the festive time of the year. 193 00:08:34,800 --> 00:08:37,360 Speaker 2: You just give out overs because of how bad the 194 00:08:37,440 --> 00:08:40,559 Speaker 2: defense is and how electric Drake May can be making 195 00:08:40,559 --> 00:08:43,120 Speaker 2: plays downfield, making plays with his legs. You know, I 196 00:08:43,160 --> 00:08:45,680 Speaker 2: see similarities between the way Drake May and Justin Herbert play, 197 00:08:45,800 --> 00:08:48,520 Speaker 2: Like both really good arms can use their legs. So 198 00:08:48,559 --> 00:08:50,640 Speaker 2: I think you're gonna see some some high end quarterback 199 00:08:50,640 --> 00:08:52,360 Speaker 2: play here in this matchup. And that's why I like 200 00:08:52,360 --> 00:08:53,920 Speaker 2: the over. Again, forty two and a half. That's not 201 00:08:53,960 --> 00:08:55,720 Speaker 2: a high bar to pass in any way. This is 202 00:08:55,760 --> 00:08:58,439 Speaker 2: not Vegas looking at Hey, this game is going to 203 00:08:58,480 --> 00:09:01,000 Speaker 2: be a shootout by no means that are going to 204 00:09:01,040 --> 00:09:02,679 Speaker 2: be a shootout. But can't get over forty two and 205 00:09:02,720 --> 00:09:05,280 Speaker 2: a half points considering the average has been forty six 206 00:09:05,320 --> 00:09:07,920 Speaker 2: points against all the teams the Patriots have played at 207 00:09:07,920 --> 00:09:10,120 Speaker 2: home this year. I think it can. And I also 208 00:09:10,240 --> 00:09:13,320 Speaker 2: do like the fact that JK. Dobbins could be coming 209 00:09:13,320 --> 00:09:16,360 Speaker 2: back for the Chargers here the explosive element they need 210 00:09:16,559 --> 00:09:18,599 Speaker 2: in their running game that can definitely take advantage of 211 00:09:18,640 --> 00:09:21,400 Speaker 2: a very bad Patriots run defense. So, especially with Dobbins 212 00:09:21,400 --> 00:09:23,760 Speaker 2: coming back that's not considered at all in these lines. 213 00:09:24,040 --> 00:09:26,000 Speaker 2: I think he can move off some explosive runs and 214 00:09:26,120 --> 00:09:27,880 Speaker 2: help get this game over the total. So it give 215 00:09:27,920 --> 00:09:30,640 Speaker 2: me the over forty two and a half Patriots and Chargers. 216 00:09:30,880 --> 00:09:33,200 Speaker 1: Okay, I'm gonna stay in this game. I'm gonna actually 217 00:09:33,240 --> 00:09:37,600 Speaker 1: back the Chargers against the spread here minus four. They've 218 00:09:37,640 --> 00:09:40,199 Speaker 1: been a top five team ats this season at ten 219 00:09:40,280 --> 00:09:43,200 Speaker 1: and five, and Jim Harball's teams, whether it's last year 220 00:09:43,240 --> 00:09:46,040 Speaker 1: at Michigan or here, with the Chargers, they take care 221 00:09:46,080 --> 00:09:48,280 Speaker 1: of business when they should. They've covered in eight of 222 00:09:48,320 --> 00:09:52,079 Speaker 1: ten games when they've been favored this season. And while 223 00:09:52,080 --> 00:09:54,080 Speaker 1: I'm like you and I really do like Drake Man. 224 00:09:54,120 --> 00:09:57,120 Speaker 1: I've wrote him into the Fantasy Championships in a couple 225 00:09:57,080 --> 00:09:59,520 Speaker 1: of leagues. I like what he's done for this team, 226 00:09:59,600 --> 00:10:01,720 Speaker 1: But I don't know if you feel the same but 227 00:10:01,760 --> 00:10:04,160 Speaker 1: it feels kind of like a letdown spot after getting 228 00:10:04,240 --> 00:10:06,599 Speaker 1: up last week in Buffalo, and I don't like the 229 00:10:06,720 --> 00:10:10,400 Speaker 1: vibes in New England as a whole. DRAWDMEO. I don't 230 00:10:10,440 --> 00:10:12,440 Speaker 1: want to, you know, call for anyone's job or anything 231 00:10:12,480 --> 00:10:15,079 Speaker 1: like that, but called as players soft earlier this year 232 00:10:15,320 --> 00:10:18,480 Speaker 1: through their offensive linemen under the bus last week as 233 00:10:18,480 --> 00:10:22,440 Speaker 1: well after that horrible play with Ramandre Stevenson. I think 234 00:10:22,440 --> 00:10:24,600 Speaker 1: this is a solid matchup for the Chargers, who, as 235 00:10:24,600 --> 00:10:27,720 Speaker 1: you alluded to, they might be getting JK. Dobbins back, 236 00:10:27,720 --> 00:10:29,760 Speaker 1: and if they don't, they need to find a way 237 00:10:29,760 --> 00:10:32,360 Speaker 1: to open up this passing game. The Patriots might be 238 00:10:32,480 --> 00:10:34,680 Speaker 1: the cure to fix as well. They've allowed an eight 239 00:10:34,679 --> 00:10:37,240 Speaker 1: pointy a dot that's the third highest clip and the 240 00:10:37,280 --> 00:10:40,600 Speaker 1: seventh most air yards this season. They've also have the 241 00:10:40,640 --> 00:10:44,520 Speaker 1: seventh fewest interceptions against quarterback seven this season. So I'm 242 00:10:44,559 --> 00:10:47,040 Speaker 1: expecting Justin Herbert to tee off in this game. Fine 243 00:10:47,120 --> 00:10:50,080 Speaker 1: Laden McConkey, Fine Quintin Johnston downfield. So I'll go ahead 244 00:10:50,080 --> 00:10:52,679 Speaker 1: and take the Chargers minus four against the Patriots. 245 00:10:53,200 --> 00:10:55,480 Speaker 2: If I wasn't a Patriots fan, I would agree with 246 00:10:55,520 --> 00:10:57,559 Speaker 2: you you said, because I guess I think I think 247 00:10:57,559 --> 00:10:59,439 Speaker 2: you're spot on. Just I can't. I don't like betting 248 00:10:59,480 --> 00:11:01,360 Speaker 2: it because not on for me, Like I watched them 249 00:11:01,440 --> 00:11:04,280 Speaker 2: like to only I'll take them with the points usually, 250 00:11:04,360 --> 00:11:06,520 Speaker 2: you know, last week with like like plus fourteen, so 251 00:11:06,559 --> 00:11:08,200 Speaker 2: that was fine. It was like a fun sweat and 252 00:11:08,200 --> 00:11:10,160 Speaker 2: then they're up fourteen nothing you think, oh, could I 253 00:11:10,200 --> 00:11:13,160 Speaker 2: win this game? Not quite, but I agree with you. 254 00:11:13,160 --> 00:11:14,960 Speaker 2: I think the Chargers is probably the sharp play here. 255 00:11:15,000 --> 00:11:17,720 Speaker 2: Again goes back to zoom out on the coaches. Right, 256 00:11:18,160 --> 00:11:21,480 Speaker 2: you got hardball against raw Mayo. Right, I don't think 257 00:11:21,480 --> 00:11:23,920 Speaker 2: that we would be surprised at any Like the coaching 258 00:11:23,960 --> 00:11:27,160 Speaker 2: mismatch is significant and again like Drick may but he's 259 00:11:27,160 --> 00:11:29,480 Speaker 2: not quite at the level of Justin Herbert, so you 260 00:11:29,520 --> 00:11:31,600 Speaker 2: see a lot of advantages. And yeah, the Patriots are 261 00:11:31,600 --> 00:11:33,640 Speaker 2: playing at home. I can't remember the last time they 262 00:11:33,679 --> 00:11:36,599 Speaker 2: won a home game totally. I think it might have 263 00:11:36,640 --> 00:11:38,840 Speaker 2: been against the Jets. I don't honestly remember It's it's 264 00:11:38,840 --> 00:11:41,480 Speaker 2: been a while. So yeah, I think you're you're pretty 265 00:11:41,480 --> 00:11:43,080 Speaker 2: safe here. Back in the Bolts. 266 00:11:43,240 --> 00:11:45,640 Speaker 1: I'm glad you don't bet against your own team because 267 00:11:45,840 --> 00:11:48,200 Speaker 1: I'm the same way. Like occasionally I will back the 268 00:11:48,200 --> 00:11:50,800 Speaker 1: Steelers or Penn State when I when I'm feeling good 269 00:11:50,880 --> 00:11:53,360 Speaker 1: vibes around the team. But yesterday, my my cousin walks 270 00:11:53,360 --> 00:11:55,400 Speaker 1: into the room, Hey, you betting the Steelers today. I'm 271 00:11:55,400 --> 00:11:57,840 Speaker 1: like no, She's like, well, did you bet against them? 272 00:11:57,880 --> 00:12:00,679 Speaker 1: And like, because my uncle he always had his favorite 273 00:12:00,679 --> 00:12:03,360 Speaker 1: teams the Eagles, so you'll hedge against himself every single week. 274 00:12:03,400 --> 00:12:05,439 Speaker 1: I'm like, no, I'm ride with the boys, you know 275 00:12:05,480 --> 00:12:07,800 Speaker 1: what I mean. I'm not I'm going down swinging. So 276 00:12:08,280 --> 00:12:10,240 Speaker 1: I would never do you have you ever hedged against 277 00:12:10,280 --> 00:12:12,240 Speaker 1: your your favorite team? Because I will never do that. 278 00:12:12,760 --> 00:12:15,280 Speaker 2: I don't think I've had a situation where I felt 279 00:12:15,280 --> 00:12:17,040 Speaker 2: the need to do it, Like that's why I bet 280 00:12:17,080 --> 00:12:18,760 Speaker 2: the Like my way version of hedging is like, that's 281 00:12:18,760 --> 00:12:20,720 Speaker 2: why I bet the over games because yeah, yeah, I 282 00:12:20,840 --> 00:12:23,079 Speaker 2: root for Drake May. Like that's basically like why I 283 00:12:23,160 --> 00:12:25,880 Speaker 2: enjoyed Patriots games because I know the defense can't do anything, 284 00:12:26,040 --> 00:12:27,679 Speaker 2: so it's like they're gonna give up points. I know that. 285 00:12:27,679 --> 00:12:29,560 Speaker 2: That's kind of me betting against them, and then I'm 286 00:12:29,600 --> 00:12:31,560 Speaker 2: betting for them and rooting for them by betting the 287 00:12:31,600 --> 00:12:34,240 Speaker 2: game total over, which hey, that means Drake May is 288 00:12:34,240 --> 00:12:36,840 Speaker 2: balling out doing things, and and again I root for 289 00:12:37,040 --> 00:12:40,280 Speaker 2: turnovers and touchdowns. Like again, never can never go wrong 290 00:12:40,320 --> 00:12:42,480 Speaker 2: with root for touchdowns, man, never go wrong. 291 00:12:42,760 --> 00:12:45,079 Speaker 1: Absolutely, And hopefully you guys can hold on to a 292 00:12:45,120 --> 00:12:47,680 Speaker 1: high pick. Maybe some Travis Hunter coming to town next 293 00:12:47,720 --> 00:12:48,600 Speaker 1: year for the Patriots. 294 00:12:48,600 --> 00:12:51,079 Speaker 2: I don't know if they can about any any receiver 295 00:12:51,160 --> 00:12:55,200 Speaker 2: of any type come anywhere near Patriots. That's that's a rookie. 296 00:12:55,240 --> 00:12:58,040 Speaker 2: Please keep them away. Like I don't want to ruin 297 00:12:58,080 --> 00:12:59,000 Speaker 2: any any player. 298 00:12:59,160 --> 00:13:02,959 Speaker 1: I don't want to ruin their very fair because even 299 00:13:03,160 --> 00:13:05,760 Speaker 1: we've seen some struggles, some slow starts from Marvin Harrison 300 00:13:05,800 --> 00:13:09,679 Speaker 1: Junior down there in Arizona. You like the Cardinals potentially 301 00:13:09,760 --> 00:13:13,079 Speaker 1: this week in an underdog spot against the Rams on 302 00:13:13,120 --> 00:13:15,640 Speaker 1: Saturday night, eight fifteen pm Eastern Time. What are you 303 00:13:15,640 --> 00:13:17,880 Speaker 1: thinking here for Arizona Los Angeles Herrickson. 304 00:13:18,600 --> 00:13:20,599 Speaker 2: I just think that this one at plus six and 305 00:13:20,679 --> 00:13:24,160 Speaker 2: a half is too many points for a divisional matchup. Look, 306 00:13:24,200 --> 00:13:26,959 Speaker 2: the Cardinals aren't some garbage team. Yes, have they been 307 00:13:27,000 --> 00:13:29,679 Speaker 2: like super disappointing, especially over the last month. Yeah, yeah, 308 00:13:29,720 --> 00:13:32,240 Speaker 2: because they've had a cupcake schedule. Though they couldn't beat 309 00:13:32,280 --> 00:13:35,000 Speaker 2: the Seahawks, they couldn't beat the Panthers, but they've also 310 00:13:35,040 --> 00:13:36,640 Speaker 2: had games where like they went down to the wire 311 00:13:36,679 --> 00:13:39,040 Speaker 2: with like the Minnesota Vikings. They also killed the Rams 312 00:13:39,200 --> 00:13:41,440 Speaker 2: earlier this season. Now that was a while ago, but 313 00:13:42,120 --> 00:13:43,880 Speaker 2: just like learning you know, from looking at a lot 314 00:13:43,920 --> 00:13:46,720 Speaker 2: of these spreads this year, these divisional matchups, right, they 315 00:13:46,960 --> 00:13:49,760 Speaker 2: never go what it looks like on paper, like they're 316 00:13:49,760 --> 00:13:51,840 Speaker 2: always way more wacky and things. And when you were 317 00:13:51,840 --> 00:13:54,360 Speaker 2: given the luxury of six and a half points for 318 00:13:54,440 --> 00:13:57,319 Speaker 2: a divisional matchup against the Rams playing at home, where 319 00:13:57,760 --> 00:14:00,160 Speaker 2: you know they don't have home field advantage. So that's 320 00:14:00,200 --> 00:14:02,320 Speaker 2: why I really it's really like less about like the 321 00:14:02,320 --> 00:14:05,040 Speaker 2: Cardinals themselves, right, because I've seen them. They're obviously disappointing, 322 00:14:05,080 --> 00:14:07,040 Speaker 2: but like that's why the number is what it is, 323 00:14:07,040 --> 00:14:10,120 Speaker 2: because they've been such a terrible team to want to back. 324 00:14:10,240 --> 00:14:13,000 Speaker 2: And and that being said, I mean they've covered the 325 00:14:13,000 --> 00:14:15,719 Speaker 2: spread eight of the last eleven road games. You look 326 00:14:15,720 --> 00:14:18,080 Speaker 2: at the Rams, the team that's played on the road 327 00:14:18,120 --> 00:14:20,640 Speaker 2: has usually covered their games. Nine of the last eleven 328 00:14:20,720 --> 00:14:23,040 Speaker 2: games for the Rams, the road team has actually covered 329 00:14:23,040 --> 00:14:25,280 Speaker 2: the spread. Wow, the Rams have been a really good 330 00:14:25,320 --> 00:14:27,320 Speaker 2: team that I've been on when they've been on the 331 00:14:27,400 --> 00:14:30,080 Speaker 2: road because they've got a lot of suppressed lines as 332 00:14:30,080 --> 00:14:31,920 Speaker 2: a result. But now you're kind of getting the opposite 333 00:14:31,920 --> 00:14:35,720 Speaker 2: here where the Cardinals are getting no credit whatsoever despite 334 00:14:35,720 --> 00:14:37,680 Speaker 2: being seven and eight, being a team that already beat 335 00:14:37,680 --> 00:14:40,800 Speaker 2: the Rams this year, and yes they're out of the playoffs, 336 00:14:40,880 --> 00:14:43,320 Speaker 2: but looks like James Connor's gonna shoot up in this game. 337 00:14:43,320 --> 00:14:46,440 Speaker 2: They have Trey Benson. So and I mean the Rams, 338 00:14:46,840 --> 00:14:48,960 Speaker 2: what were they doing against just last week? Like that 339 00:14:49,000 --> 00:14:50,360 Speaker 2: was a game that we thought could be a shootout, 340 00:14:50,360 --> 00:14:52,200 Speaker 2: and then they're stalling out, they're not moving the ball, 341 00:14:52,400 --> 00:14:54,760 Speaker 2: like they've had enough bad games this year. The Rams 342 00:14:54,920 --> 00:14:56,680 Speaker 2: when they went on the road against the Saints, they 343 00:14:56,680 --> 00:14:58,880 Speaker 2: could barely score points, went on the road against the Jets, 344 00:14:58,920 --> 00:15:00,680 Speaker 2: could barely score You're like, wait, that's going on. So 345 00:15:01,040 --> 00:15:03,480 Speaker 2: they're not exactly the most consistent team either, and given 346 00:15:03,560 --> 00:15:05,680 Speaker 2: that the divisional game, I just think this is too 347 00:15:05,720 --> 00:15:07,920 Speaker 2: many points. Do I think the Cardinals win? No, not necessarily. 348 00:15:07,960 --> 00:15:09,640 Speaker 2: I think the Rams find a way to squeak out 349 00:15:09,640 --> 00:15:12,360 Speaker 2: a win. But I've seen them play teams way too 350 00:15:12,360 --> 00:15:14,640 Speaker 2: close that they should have totally blown out to have 351 00:15:14,720 --> 00:15:17,040 Speaker 2: confidence that they're gonna win this game by a touchdown. 352 00:15:17,440 --> 00:15:20,120 Speaker 2: So I let the Cardinals here plus six and a half. 353 00:15:20,560 --> 00:15:22,520 Speaker 1: Yeah, the Rams are such a tough team to figure 354 00:15:22,560 --> 00:15:26,160 Speaker 1: out because that inconsistency. One week they can barely scrape 355 00:15:26,160 --> 00:15:28,360 Speaker 1: by the Jets, and then the week prior it's like 356 00:15:28,400 --> 00:15:31,400 Speaker 1: they're lighting up the Bills. And yeah, definitely an interesting team. 357 00:15:31,400 --> 00:15:34,000 Speaker 1: Hopefully they can figure some things out late down the stretch. 358 00:15:34,040 --> 00:15:36,760 Speaker 1: They're obviously in that NFC West battle against the Seahawks 359 00:15:36,800 --> 00:15:39,560 Speaker 1: for the division, probably their only way in the postseason. 360 00:15:39,680 --> 00:15:41,720 Speaker 1: So excited to see kind of how that shakes up. 361 00:15:42,040 --> 00:15:44,280 Speaker 1: I'm gonna go to the Sunday slate for my third pick. 362 00:15:44,360 --> 00:15:47,160 Speaker 1: I'm going with the Dolphins Browns under forty and a 363 00:15:47,160 --> 00:15:50,480 Speaker 1: half points. And this is moving. I did see this 364 00:15:50,680 --> 00:15:52,600 Speaker 1: just move. After I place this bet to thirty nine 365 00:15:52,600 --> 00:15:54,040 Speaker 1: and a half, I think it's still at forty and 366 00:15:54,040 --> 00:15:56,280 Speaker 1: a half at I think bet three six five if 367 00:15:56,320 --> 00:15:58,840 Speaker 1: you're over there, bet rivers as well. And I just 368 00:15:58,880 --> 00:16:01,840 Speaker 1: want a way to fade the Browns against the Dolphins 369 00:16:01,880 --> 00:16:04,920 Speaker 1: because Kevin Stefanski, he's a buzzkill, Like he's the guy 370 00:16:04,960 --> 00:16:07,920 Speaker 1: you're not inviting to Christmas dinner because he's like, oh, 371 00:16:08,000 --> 00:16:10,120 Speaker 1: let's just start. Dorian Thompson Robinson for the rest of 372 00:16:10,120 --> 00:16:12,920 Speaker 1: the season, ruin everyone's fantasy hopes, whether you had Jerry 373 00:16:13,000 --> 00:16:15,640 Speaker 1: Judy or Jamis or Najoku, anyone who're rolling out there. 374 00:16:16,000 --> 00:16:17,480 Speaker 1: But then I was like really thinking about it, and 375 00:16:17,520 --> 00:16:20,280 Speaker 1: I was like, can I actually trust the Dolphins playing 376 00:16:20,360 --> 00:16:22,880 Speaker 1: in the elements? It will be a little bit warmer 377 00:16:22,920 --> 00:16:25,360 Speaker 1: in Ohio on Sunday, but there's a seventy nine percent 378 00:16:25,600 --> 00:16:28,600 Speaker 1: chance of rain up along the shores of Lake Erie. 379 00:16:28,680 --> 00:16:32,080 Speaker 1: So I don't trust the Dolphins. I don't trust the Browns. 380 00:16:32,080 --> 00:16:34,400 Speaker 1: The Browns have averaged just nine points in the past 381 00:16:34,400 --> 00:16:36,880 Speaker 1: three weeks, and that was with Jamis Winston in two 382 00:16:36,960 --> 00:16:39,800 Speaker 1: of those games. In the five games that Dorian Thompson 383 00:16:39,880 --> 00:16:42,800 Speaker 1: Robinson has started, the Browns are averaging nine point six 384 00:16:42,840 --> 00:16:47,160 Speaker 1: points per game. Nijoku estimate DNP. Jerry Judy limited at 385 00:16:47,160 --> 00:16:50,280 Speaker 1: practice this week as well. DTR also isn't at one 386 00:16:50,320 --> 00:16:53,000 Speaker 1: hundred percent with a cap, but is trending towards playing. 387 00:16:53,200 --> 00:16:56,400 Speaker 1: The Dolphins also pretty banged up. They've played to the 388 00:16:56,520 --> 00:16:58,800 Speaker 1: under in two straight good weather games against the forty 389 00:16:58,880 --> 00:17:02,920 Speaker 1: nine ers in Houston. Better offenses here and estimate DMPs 390 00:17:02,960 --> 00:17:06,280 Speaker 1: for them included left tackle Tarryan Armstead and wide receiver 391 00:17:06,359 --> 00:17:09,399 Speaker 1: Jalen Watles. So I also like the Browns under sixteen 392 00:17:09,440 --> 00:17:12,240 Speaker 1: and a half team total based on DTR's previous history, 393 00:17:12,359 --> 00:17:14,159 Speaker 1: But give me the under forty and a half in 394 00:17:14,200 --> 00:17:17,120 Speaker 1: a weird four or five Eastern time kickoff in Cleveland. 395 00:17:17,280 --> 00:17:18,560 Speaker 1: I don't know if any was gonna be at this 396 00:17:18,640 --> 00:17:22,160 Speaker 1: game ericson, I have no idea, Like, if you're in Cleveland, 397 00:17:22,160 --> 00:17:24,199 Speaker 1: if you're a Browns fan, are you going to this 398 00:17:24,280 --> 00:17:25,160 Speaker 1: game on Sunday? 399 00:17:26,440 --> 00:17:30,119 Speaker 2: Oh? Man? This this Why does this game exist? Like? 400 00:17:30,160 --> 00:17:33,320 Speaker 2: Why is this on the I mean there's better ways, see, 401 00:17:33,320 --> 00:17:34,919 Speaker 2: I think this is this is a perfect way to 402 00:17:34,960 --> 00:17:37,560 Speaker 2: approach it. Right, Nobody wants to watch this game necessarily 403 00:17:37,560 --> 00:17:40,720 Speaker 2: except Browns fans or Dolphins fans maybe you know. But 404 00:17:40,920 --> 00:17:42,400 Speaker 2: when you don't want to watch it and you want 405 00:17:42,400 --> 00:17:44,720 Speaker 2: to fade both teams, you just take me under. That's 406 00:17:44,720 --> 00:17:46,080 Speaker 2: what you do. Like that's why it was so fun. 407 00:17:46,200 --> 00:17:48,560 Speaker 2: Like on Christmas, I'm so busy doing all these things, 408 00:17:48,680 --> 00:17:50,800 Speaker 2: entertaining aunts and uncles while I got the Unders going, 409 00:17:50,920 --> 00:17:52,840 Speaker 2: so uh yeah, we're good to go. And then you 410 00:17:52,840 --> 00:17:54,640 Speaker 2: look up, you check the scores and get back You're 411 00:17:54,640 --> 00:17:59,040 Speaker 2: like great. It was a great day. So yeah, the Dolphins, Man, 412 00:17:59,080 --> 00:18:01,200 Speaker 2: if they were playing anywhere buck Cleveland like it, I 413 00:18:01,240 --> 00:18:03,280 Speaker 2: think it'd be easy to take them against the spread, 414 00:18:03,280 --> 00:18:05,320 Speaker 2: even though it's like laying almost a touchdown with them 415 00:18:05,359 --> 00:18:07,679 Speaker 2: on the road. But they beat up on bad teams, 416 00:18:07,720 --> 00:18:09,960 Speaker 2: we know that. To what extent do they beat up 417 00:18:09,960 --> 00:18:12,560 Speaker 2: on the Browns? Right, especially if you're playing outdoors, and 418 00:18:12,920 --> 00:18:15,199 Speaker 2: even though the temperature is not a big issue, just 419 00:18:15,280 --> 00:18:18,040 Speaker 2: we've seen this Dolphins. It's every single time they play 420 00:18:18,080 --> 00:18:21,160 Speaker 2: someone that's a better team. So again, you know, maybe 421 00:18:21,160 --> 00:18:23,080 Speaker 2: I'm not as down on them against the spread as 422 00:18:23,119 --> 00:18:25,520 Speaker 2: you are. I think again, I think again, if you're 423 00:18:25,560 --> 00:18:27,600 Speaker 2: making me pick a team, I'm not taking the brown 424 00:18:29,000 --> 00:18:31,119 Speaker 2: So in that way, I think that, Yeah, I think 425 00:18:31,200 --> 00:18:34,520 Speaker 2: maybe the Dolphins maybe like you can do a little again, 426 00:18:34,760 --> 00:18:37,040 Speaker 2: depending on what the number is where you're getting at 427 00:18:37,119 --> 00:18:40,280 Speaker 2: the total, maybe you can alt the spread a little bit, 428 00:18:40,280 --> 00:18:42,680 Speaker 2: bring it down a little bit Miami, you know, three 429 00:18:42,680 --> 00:18:43,960 Speaker 2: and a half or four and a half or something 430 00:18:44,000 --> 00:18:45,959 Speaker 2: like that, or by a field goal and then get 431 00:18:46,000 --> 00:18:48,000 Speaker 2: a better number on the total. So because they think, yeah, 432 00:18:48,000 --> 00:18:49,960 Speaker 2: I think Miam's gonna win this game, not too concerned 433 00:18:50,000 --> 00:18:50,400 Speaker 2: about that. 434 00:18:50,560 --> 00:18:52,560 Speaker 1: Yeah, they need to flex it like True TV or 435 00:18:52,560 --> 00:18:55,040 Speaker 1: something so somewhere or know what's watching like I think 436 00:18:55,040 --> 00:18:58,560 Speaker 1: I'd rather watch my local news at four o'clock that 437 00:18:58,680 --> 00:19:02,359 Speaker 1: this honestly my local news covers you know knows disrespect 438 00:19:02,400 --> 00:19:04,399 Speaker 1: to the people out here in Lankster County, but not 439 00:19:04,520 --> 00:19:06,960 Speaker 1: the best, not the best local news coverage out here. 440 00:19:06,960 --> 00:19:10,080 Speaker 1: But keep swing you guys, We appreciate you. Before we continue, 441 00:19:10,119 --> 00:19:12,840 Speaker 1: I didn't want to remind everyone about the Betting Pros discord. 442 00:19:13,040 --> 00:19:15,239 Speaker 1: If you're looking to up your game in sports betting, well, 443 00:19:15,280 --> 00:19:18,560 Speaker 1: then join our exclusive discord commuty at Bettingpros dot com 444 00:19:18,600 --> 00:19:21,720 Speaker 1: slash chat. Not only can you connect with some expert 445 00:19:21,720 --> 00:19:25,760 Speaker 1: handicappers who provide free picks for the NBA, NFL, MLB, 446 00:19:26,119 --> 00:19:29,080 Speaker 1: NHL soccer player props, live betting, and more, but now 447 00:19:29,119 --> 00:19:31,639 Speaker 1: you can also join our NFL podcast group. You can 448 00:19:31,680 --> 00:19:34,120 Speaker 1: sink your picks for free and use our quick pick 449 00:19:34,119 --> 00:19:36,400 Speaker 1: feature on the Betting Pro sports betting app to win 450 00:19:36,480 --> 00:19:39,359 Speaker 1: some free prizes. Make sure you're getting invested over there 451 00:19:39,480 --> 00:19:43,200 Speaker 1: with the NFL podcast group and on our VP discord community. 452 00:19:43,680 --> 00:19:46,320 Speaker 1: Ericson coming right back for you. On the Sunday Slate, 453 00:19:46,320 --> 00:19:48,879 Speaker 1: we got the Carolina Panthers. Who are now eight and 454 00:19:48,920 --> 00:19:52,000 Speaker 1: a half point dogs against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. I 455 00:19:52,200 --> 00:19:54,160 Speaker 1: edit this show a lot, so I know you've had 456 00:19:54,200 --> 00:19:57,240 Speaker 1: this back and forth relationship with the Panthers all year, 457 00:19:57,320 --> 00:19:59,680 Speaker 1: like it's your high school girlfriend and you're going away 458 00:19:59,680 --> 00:20:02,320 Speaker 1: to call in the spring. So what's happening here with 459 00:20:02,359 --> 00:20:04,360 Speaker 1: the Panthers? Are you back on with them? 460 00:20:04,359 --> 00:20:09,000 Speaker 2: Now? We are reigniting the flame with the Carolina Panthers. 461 00:20:08,680 --> 00:20:12,639 Speaker 1: Went home for Christmas and he's Christmas break, baby, let's go. 462 00:20:13,160 --> 00:20:17,119 Speaker 2: I don't understand why it's this massive a line. We 463 00:20:17,440 --> 00:20:20,720 Speaker 2: see these teams play not that long ago Week thirteen game, 464 00:20:20,760 --> 00:20:23,200 Speaker 2: win to overtime. They end up winning the game because 465 00:20:23,240 --> 00:20:25,520 Speaker 2: of a Chuba Hubbard fumble. That's a game that the 466 00:20:25,520 --> 00:20:28,080 Speaker 2: Panthers could have won outright. We've seen the Panthers play 467 00:20:28,119 --> 00:20:30,760 Speaker 2: four straight games go down to the wire the last 468 00:20:30,800 --> 00:20:33,320 Speaker 2: seven weeks. They are six and one against the spread. Again, 469 00:20:33,359 --> 00:20:37,160 Speaker 2: the one week that everybody was on them against Dallas, 470 00:20:37,160 --> 00:20:41,159 Speaker 2: of course they crumble. But this is just way too 471 00:20:41,200 --> 00:20:43,320 Speaker 2: big of a line. Look, we talk about the Buccaneers 472 00:20:43,359 --> 00:20:45,560 Speaker 2: a lot too on this show, talking about Baker Mayfield. 473 00:20:45,920 --> 00:20:47,800 Speaker 2: Love him as a on the road, love him as 474 00:20:47,800 --> 00:20:50,480 Speaker 2: an underdog. He's not either of these in this scenario, 475 00:20:50,520 --> 00:20:54,320 Speaker 2: like he is a heavy home favorite against a divisional opponent. Yep, 476 00:20:54,680 --> 00:20:56,520 Speaker 2: this is way too big of a line. So this 477 00:20:56,600 --> 00:20:58,320 Speaker 2: is definitely I think of all the bets we've talked 478 00:20:58,320 --> 00:21:00,800 Speaker 2: about today, I think this is my favorite one. I 479 00:21:00,840 --> 00:21:03,080 Speaker 2: just and we mentioned it on the early look Ahead 480 00:21:03,080 --> 00:21:04,960 Speaker 2: line between me and Joe. Joe kind of agreed with 481 00:21:05,000 --> 00:21:07,199 Speaker 2: me that it seems like way too many points for 482 00:21:07,280 --> 00:21:10,520 Speaker 2: the Buccaneers at home. I think their defense is terrible, Like, 483 00:21:10,560 --> 00:21:12,639 Speaker 2: their defense is still so bad. We saw Brayceta have 484 00:21:12,720 --> 00:21:17,320 Speaker 2: success against them already this season. And who's playing looser? Right, 485 00:21:17,320 --> 00:21:19,159 Speaker 2: who's playing more tight? The Buccaneers have to win and 486 00:21:19,160 --> 00:21:20,719 Speaker 2: make the playoffs, right, because they all the Falcons are 487 00:21:20,720 --> 00:21:23,520 Speaker 2: breathing down their neck. But Carolina's like, dude, like we're 488 00:21:23,560 --> 00:21:25,760 Speaker 2: just We're just out here trying to have fun. Man 489 00:21:26,040 --> 00:21:29,159 Speaker 2: like play spoiler, play the grinch role. So I really 490 00:21:29,200 --> 00:21:31,240 Speaker 2: like And David Canl is also playing against his old team, 491 00:21:31,400 --> 00:21:33,200 Speaker 2: So I really like the Panthers here in the spot. 492 00:21:33,359 --> 00:21:36,399 Speaker 2: And we've already seen them play well above expectation the 493 00:21:36,480 --> 00:21:39,840 Speaker 2: last seven weeks, last six games as an underdog, they've 494 00:21:39,840 --> 00:21:41,879 Speaker 2: covered the Carolina Panthers and they again eight and a 495 00:21:41,880 --> 00:21:44,159 Speaker 2: half points. Divisional matchup again, same reasons why I like 496 00:21:44,200 --> 00:21:46,640 Speaker 2: the Cardinals. Just a divisional matchup, eight and a half 497 00:21:46,680 --> 00:21:48,560 Speaker 2: points again if I make them one pick against the spread. 498 00:21:48,560 --> 00:21:50,800 Speaker 2: This week, I'm back at the Cardiac Cats. 499 00:21:51,000 --> 00:21:53,800 Speaker 1: Okay, And it's been interesting because since Bryce Young has 500 00:21:53,840 --> 00:21:56,560 Speaker 1: returned and they've gone on this not winning streak but 501 00:21:57,080 --> 00:21:59,639 Speaker 1: semi close losing streak. All their losses as of late 502 00:21:59,720 --> 00:22:02,240 Speaker 1: have been one score games. They've been close. Bryce Young's 503 00:22:02,280 --> 00:22:05,040 Speaker 1: a new career high in rushing yards last week as well. 504 00:22:05,080 --> 00:22:07,200 Speaker 1: It's starting to kind of see that Alabama Bryce Young. 505 00:22:07,400 --> 00:22:09,680 Speaker 1: Do you think they stay with him going into twenty 506 00:22:09,720 --> 00:22:11,359 Speaker 1: twenty five or do you think maybe they draft like 507 00:22:11,359 --> 00:22:14,000 Speaker 1: a Day two guy, like a Jackson Dart or Curtis 508 00:22:14,080 --> 00:22:16,040 Speaker 1: Rourk out of Indiana something like that. Or do you 509 00:22:16,040 --> 00:22:18,600 Speaker 1: think Bryce Young it is the future there in Carolina? 510 00:22:18,760 --> 00:22:20,000 Speaker 2: I mean, I think they definitely wanted to be the 511 00:22:20,000 --> 00:22:23,280 Speaker 2: future there, But I think that any you know, sharp 512 00:22:23,440 --> 00:22:25,800 Speaker 2: organization is never gonna say like we want like you 513 00:22:25,800 --> 00:22:28,080 Speaker 2: should be a quarterback factory, right, you should always be 514 00:22:28,119 --> 00:22:30,359 Speaker 2: looking at like because guys get hurt all the time. 515 00:22:30,920 --> 00:22:33,640 Speaker 2: And you never know. You know, we've seen Bryce sung guests, 516 00:22:33,720 --> 00:22:35,520 Speaker 2: he seems like he's got his commidence back, we've also 517 00:22:35,560 --> 00:22:38,160 Speaker 2: seen it when it's not there, and like, what's gonna 518 00:22:38,160 --> 00:22:40,040 Speaker 2: happen if he had goes through a cold spell of 519 00:22:40,240 --> 00:22:43,480 Speaker 2: our really disappointing games. And he's also an undersized quarterback, 520 00:22:43,560 --> 00:22:45,720 Speaker 2: So what are the elements in terms of like his 521 00:22:45,840 --> 00:22:47,760 Speaker 2: injury and health. So I don't think it's ever a 522 00:22:47,800 --> 00:22:51,240 Speaker 2: bad idea to always continuing to invest into the quarterback position. Again, 523 00:22:51,480 --> 00:22:53,000 Speaker 2: you want to get the best guy. And it's like 524 00:22:53,200 --> 00:22:54,560 Speaker 2: goes back to the forty nine ers, right, you know, 525 00:22:54,600 --> 00:22:56,720 Speaker 2: the trade up to get Trey Lance, they drafted brock Birdy, 526 00:22:56,800 --> 00:22:58,439 Speaker 2: and yeah, at the end of the day, they got 527 00:22:58,440 --> 00:23:00,199 Speaker 2: their guy and it's like not the way that we 528 00:23:00,280 --> 00:23:02,479 Speaker 2: planned on doing it, but it kind of worked out 529 00:23:02,520 --> 00:23:03,960 Speaker 2: at the end. So I think it would be sharp 530 00:23:04,000 --> 00:23:05,960 Speaker 2: for them to continue to look at the position. But 531 00:23:06,240 --> 00:23:08,199 Speaker 2: I think obviously going into next year, Bryce Young is 532 00:23:08,240 --> 00:23:11,680 Speaker 2: going to be the unequivocal starter in Noka in that lineup. 533 00:23:12,119 --> 00:23:14,600 Speaker 1: All right, For my fourth pick, I am going to 534 00:23:14,720 --> 00:23:18,080 Speaker 1: go with the over in the Green Bay Packers Minnesota 535 00:23:18,160 --> 00:23:20,480 Speaker 1: Vikings game. This line currently set forty eight and a 536 00:23:20,520 --> 00:23:23,680 Speaker 1: half points. I got at minus one oay at DraftKings, 537 00:23:23,800 --> 00:23:26,080 Speaker 1: this of course going off at Sunday at four twenty 538 00:23:26,080 --> 00:23:30,280 Speaker 1: five pm Eastern time. I really think that the Green 539 00:23:30,280 --> 00:23:33,320 Speaker 1: Bay offense, while they've been frustrating for fantasy outside Jordan 540 00:23:33,359 --> 00:23:36,240 Speaker 1: Love and Josh Jacobs, they've been playing great ball lately 541 00:23:36,359 --> 00:23:38,800 Speaker 1: on that side of the ball. Matt Lafleur coaching them 542 00:23:38,880 --> 00:23:42,120 Speaker 1: up scored over thirty points in five straight games, averaging 543 00:23:42,160 --> 00:23:44,879 Speaker 1: three hundred and fifty seven yards of total offense in 544 00:23:44,880 --> 00:23:47,600 Speaker 1: that span as well, and the Vikings have allowed just 545 00:23:47,720 --> 00:23:50,040 Speaker 1: one more rushing yard than the Ravens for the fewest 546 00:23:50,080 --> 00:23:53,159 Speaker 1: amount this season. So I do not think Josh Jacobs 547 00:23:53,160 --> 00:23:55,160 Speaker 1: will be very effective in this game. If you want 548 00:23:55,200 --> 00:23:57,640 Speaker 1: to take some unders on his rushing props, I wouldn't 549 00:23:57,680 --> 00:23:59,680 Speaker 1: mind that either, But I think this will force the 550 00:23:59,720 --> 00:24:02,160 Speaker 1: Pack to throw the ball a little more around the yard. 551 00:24:02,440 --> 00:24:04,159 Speaker 1: Jordan Love's gonna have a big game. They're gonna have 552 00:24:04,160 --> 00:24:07,840 Speaker 1: to save some clock. Meanwhile, the Vikings, they've also averaged 553 00:24:07,880 --> 00:24:10,280 Speaker 1: thirty and a half points over the past five games. 554 00:24:10,520 --> 00:24:13,320 Speaker 1: Sam Darnold is absolutely cooking right now. Average two in 555 00:24:13,480 --> 00:24:16,479 Speaker 1: seventy eight yards two point six touchdowns per game in 556 00:24:16,520 --> 00:24:18,800 Speaker 1: that five game span, I expect him to air it 557 00:24:18,800 --> 00:24:21,160 Speaker 1: out here. And with the Packers also being a top 558 00:24:21,200 --> 00:24:23,680 Speaker 1: six defense against the run, I think Aaron Jones is 559 00:24:23,680 --> 00:24:26,119 Speaker 1: probably clogged up a little bit. So there are sixty 560 00:24:26,200 --> 00:24:29,359 Speaker 1: points scored in this game between these two teams back 561 00:24:29,400 --> 00:24:31,760 Speaker 1: in week number five. So give me the over in 562 00:24:31,920 --> 00:24:35,000 Speaker 1: Minnesota in a controlled environment in the Dome. I'm going 563 00:24:35,000 --> 00:24:37,359 Speaker 1: to you know, it's always sketchy with the divisional game 564 00:24:37,400 --> 00:24:40,080 Speaker 1: that they've seen each other a couple times already, once 565 00:24:40,119 --> 00:24:43,159 Speaker 1: this season and multiple times last season, but I'm sticking 566 00:24:43,200 --> 00:24:44,800 Speaker 1: with it. Forty and a half seems low, So give 567 00:24:44,840 --> 00:24:45,240 Speaker 1: me the over. 568 00:24:45,920 --> 00:24:47,920 Speaker 2: I think that this is a good pick by you Seth. 569 00:24:48,040 --> 00:24:49,800 Speaker 2: Not to say the other picks are bad, this one, 570 00:24:50,040 --> 00:24:52,560 Speaker 2: this one in particular, especially because it's hey, like, don't 571 00:24:52,600 --> 00:24:56,400 Speaker 2: watch Miami Browns, Watchbackers Vikings, like this is already action 572 00:24:56,600 --> 00:24:58,800 Speaker 2: is gonna be And knowing my like, I know that 573 00:24:58,840 --> 00:25:01,080 Speaker 2: I'm gonna get on the East Coast broadcast. I'm gonna 574 00:25:01,119 --> 00:25:05,119 Speaker 2: get Dolphins and brown and just and just wish that 575 00:25:05,119 --> 00:25:08,080 Speaker 2: they would switch the game over to Packers in Minnesota Vikings. 576 00:25:08,080 --> 00:25:10,320 Speaker 2: But I think this thing to point out to it, 577 00:25:10,440 --> 00:25:12,320 Speaker 2: and the first time that these teams played, it was 578 00:25:12,320 --> 00:25:14,440 Speaker 2: a very weird game. I believe that the Vikings jumped 579 00:25:14,440 --> 00:25:17,240 Speaker 2: out to like a massive lead, yes, and then Jordan 580 00:25:17,359 --> 00:25:20,560 Speaker 2: Love just started just like hucking it in the second half, 581 00:25:20,560 --> 00:25:22,240 Speaker 2: and they eventually kind of crawled their way back into 582 00:25:22,280 --> 00:25:24,040 Speaker 2: the game. Now, it seemed like the Vikings were always 583 00:25:24,080 --> 00:25:26,879 Speaker 2: gonna win in the end, but Green Bay obviously came back. 584 00:25:26,920 --> 00:25:29,120 Speaker 2: But I also believe that game was Love was kind 585 00:25:29,119 --> 00:25:31,160 Speaker 2: of still banged up right the beginning of the season, 586 00:25:31,240 --> 00:25:33,840 Speaker 2: so he's dealing with that groin injury, that that knee injuries, 587 00:25:33,840 --> 00:25:35,880 Speaker 2: so he should be he's one hundred percent healthy now. 588 00:25:35,920 --> 00:25:37,920 Speaker 2: I mean he's coming off basically essentially a bye week 589 00:25:38,320 --> 00:25:40,760 Speaker 2: against the New Orleans against the New Orleans Saints. So 590 00:25:41,359 --> 00:25:43,920 Speaker 2: I think you're getting both teams at at full capacity. 591 00:25:44,000 --> 00:25:46,679 Speaker 2: You got Hawkinson, he wasn't in the first matchup, right, 592 00:25:46,800 --> 00:25:49,200 Speaker 2: So yeah, I think you're gonna see points here. And 593 00:25:49,440 --> 00:25:51,880 Speaker 2: this is a matchup I love for fantasy too, because 594 00:25:52,119 --> 00:25:54,840 Speaker 2: we know the Vikings like they drive volume out of 595 00:25:54,840 --> 00:25:57,399 Speaker 2: their opponents, and like that's the biggest issue with these packers, Like, oh, 596 00:25:57,480 --> 00:26:01,040 Speaker 2: no one gets enough targets. Well, targets are coming in 597 00:26:01,119 --> 00:26:02,840 Speaker 2: week seventeen. I don't know where they're. 598 00:26:02,640 --> 00:26:04,119 Speaker 1: Going still, I don't know who they're going to. 599 00:26:04,640 --> 00:26:06,199 Speaker 2: But if everybody can, if we can, if we can 600 00:26:06,240 --> 00:26:08,520 Speaker 2: go from like four to like seven for everybody, then 601 00:26:08,560 --> 00:26:10,920 Speaker 2: we feel much better, especially if Kristia Watson doesn't play. 602 00:26:11,280 --> 00:26:14,600 Speaker 2: So God, I can only pray for those that are 603 00:26:14,600 --> 00:26:17,320 Speaker 2: gonna rely on Tavian Wicks to play him in the 604 00:26:17,359 --> 00:26:20,119 Speaker 2: Fantasy Championships. I don't know if i'd happen in me, 605 00:26:20,200 --> 00:26:22,600 Speaker 2: but he's probably gonna have another big game. So yeah, 606 00:26:22,640 --> 00:26:23,760 Speaker 2: I like the over here as well. 607 00:26:24,240 --> 00:26:26,679 Speaker 1: All right, let's let's round out your picks here with 608 00:26:26,760 --> 00:26:30,120 Speaker 1: Sunday Night Football, maybe one of the most intriguing games 609 00:26:30,160 --> 00:26:33,240 Speaker 1: on the slate, Like maybe not from a closest game 610 00:26:33,640 --> 00:26:35,520 Speaker 1: that I think it's going to happen, but we have 611 00:26:35,600 --> 00:26:38,159 Speaker 1: Michael Pennix Junior in a second start going up against 612 00:26:38,160 --> 00:26:40,400 Speaker 1: the Commanders. How do you feel this one shakes out? 613 00:26:40,440 --> 00:26:44,040 Speaker 1: After Jane Daniels has what was perhaps the best game 614 00:26:44,119 --> 00:26:47,000 Speaker 1: of his career last week and perhaps sealed him the 615 00:26:47,040 --> 00:26:48,240 Speaker 1: Rookie of the Year honors. 616 00:26:48,720 --> 00:26:51,439 Speaker 2: Yeah, I think that he's actually not getting enough credit 617 00:26:51,560 --> 00:26:54,800 Speaker 2: for that performance last week because the line is only 618 00:26:54,840 --> 00:26:57,119 Speaker 2: four points, and I think it has to do a 619 00:26:57,160 --> 00:26:59,440 Speaker 2: lot with Oh, well, Michael Pennix, like looked really good 620 00:26:59,440 --> 00:27:02,040 Speaker 2: in his start, and I went into last week just 621 00:27:02,119 --> 00:27:04,480 Speaker 2: keeping this in the back of my mind that if 622 00:27:04,520 --> 00:27:07,040 Speaker 2: Michael Penix comes out, I need to keep this in mind. 623 00:27:07,080 --> 00:27:10,200 Speaker 2: They played the Giants, yep, they play. They played the 624 00:27:10,280 --> 00:27:13,200 Speaker 2: JV team of the New York Giants, and Penix, I 625 00:27:13,240 --> 00:27:14,600 Speaker 2: mean what, you didn't even have to do that much. 626 00:27:14,640 --> 00:27:17,800 Speaker 2: They had two pick sixes, right, So yes, he looked good, 627 00:27:18,080 --> 00:27:19,760 Speaker 2: but you have to keep in mind the opponent that 628 00:27:19,920 --> 00:27:22,159 Speaker 2: they were playing. Something. A trend that I've looked at 629 00:27:22,160 --> 00:27:24,440 Speaker 2: a lot this year has been rookie quarterbacks as favorites. 630 00:27:24,720 --> 00:27:27,280 Speaker 2: They performed really well against the spread this year, so 631 00:27:27,320 --> 00:27:29,000 Speaker 2: Michael Penix was a favorite. I was back in him 632 00:27:29,080 --> 00:27:30,480 Speaker 2: last week because they used to be like, hey, this 633 00:27:30,520 --> 00:27:33,560 Speaker 2: guy should cover. And now I'm following that same trend, 634 00:27:33,600 --> 00:27:35,399 Speaker 2: except on the other side of this matchup, because I'm 635 00:27:35,440 --> 00:27:38,280 Speaker 2: looking at Jaden Daniels as the rookie quarterback who's favored 636 00:27:38,320 --> 00:27:40,560 Speaker 2: in this matchup. So for me, it goes back to 637 00:27:41,040 --> 00:27:43,680 Speaker 2: I don't think four points here is enough. The Commanders 638 00:27:43,720 --> 00:27:46,280 Speaker 2: are playing at home, they are riding high after this 639 00:27:46,440 --> 00:27:49,879 Speaker 2: massive win over the Philadelphia Eagles Atlanta. Yeah, they beat 640 00:27:49,880 --> 00:27:52,439 Speaker 2: the Giants great, but this team still has a lot 641 00:27:52,480 --> 00:27:54,800 Speaker 2: of issues that will go beyond the quarterback position. I 642 00:27:54,840 --> 00:27:57,200 Speaker 2: still don't think their defense is very good, even though 643 00:27:57,200 --> 00:28:01,240 Speaker 2: they've they've played well against some sub are composition shooting up. 644 00:28:01,240 --> 00:28:03,199 Speaker 2: They played the Giants, They played the Giants and the Raiders. 645 00:28:03,240 --> 00:28:06,920 Speaker 2: Oh yeah, Desmond Rider drew Lock. Like, great job, guys. 646 00:28:06,920 --> 00:28:09,440 Speaker 2: Now you're gonna play the future offensive rookie of the 647 00:28:09,480 --> 00:28:12,960 Speaker 2: year in terms of Jade and Daniels. So the Commanders 648 00:28:12,960 --> 00:28:15,240 Speaker 2: all year have been this team that have struggled to 649 00:28:15,240 --> 00:28:17,960 Speaker 2: beat like the best teams, which was why last week 650 00:28:18,000 --> 00:28:21,200 Speaker 2: again obviously maybe a little asterisk because Jalen Hurts didn't 651 00:28:21,200 --> 00:28:22,800 Speaker 2: play the game, but they still end up winning that 652 00:28:22,800 --> 00:28:25,560 Speaker 2: game against the Eagles. And yes, the Falcons have a 653 00:28:25,560 --> 00:28:28,360 Speaker 2: winning record, but you know who has winning record the Texans, Right, 654 00:28:28,480 --> 00:28:29,960 Speaker 2: Just like one of these like kind of like fraudulent 655 00:28:30,080 --> 00:28:32,240 Speaker 2: teams where it's like, yeah, like they're supposed to be good, 656 00:28:32,320 --> 00:28:35,040 Speaker 2: but the record says they're good, but are they really good? 657 00:28:35,119 --> 00:28:36,600 Speaker 2: Are the Falcons good? Seth? I mean, if you ask 658 00:28:36,640 --> 00:28:38,800 Speaker 2: Trel Furman, again he's on the show either, But Treyll 659 00:28:38,840 --> 00:28:40,800 Speaker 2: Furman would be very proud. This has to be about 660 00:28:40,800 --> 00:28:43,440 Speaker 2: his picks to fade the Falcons into oblivion, which is 661 00:28:43,480 --> 00:28:45,680 Speaker 2: he always he usually does on a week to week basis. 662 00:28:45,760 --> 00:28:47,840 Speaker 2: So I know that Treill's gonna like this pick. So 663 00:28:47,840 --> 00:28:50,240 Speaker 2: I'm gonna go with the Commanders laying four at home 664 00:28:50,280 --> 00:28:52,760 Speaker 2: against the Dirty Birds and Michael Pennix. I just think 665 00:28:52,760 --> 00:28:55,360 Speaker 2: that they're probably getting too much love for Penix's performance 666 00:28:55,440 --> 00:28:57,400 Speaker 2: last week when I think it was more about the 667 00:28:57,680 --> 00:29:00,120 Speaker 2: New York Giants than the Falcons being this. Oh, this 668 00:29:00,160 --> 00:29:03,160 Speaker 2: team's ready to run away with the NFC South. I 669 00:29:03,200 --> 00:29:04,480 Speaker 2: don't think that's going to be the case. 670 00:29:04,800 --> 00:29:07,120 Speaker 1: Yeah, a lot of problems for Atlanta. I'm not sure 671 00:29:07,160 --> 00:29:09,560 Speaker 1: if Drake London is going to suit up in this one. 672 00:29:09,680 --> 00:29:11,520 Speaker 1: We also have Kyle Pitts who thinks he was a 673 00:29:11,600 --> 00:29:14,720 Speaker 1: quarterback last week and just started laddering footballs forward. 674 00:29:15,080 --> 00:29:17,040 Speaker 2: He thought he tried to be Travis Kelsey except. 675 00:29:18,600 --> 00:29:20,800 Speaker 1: Forgot that you're only allowed to throw the ball backwards 676 00:29:21,280 --> 00:29:24,040 Speaker 1: when you already catch it. But yeah, I'm with you. 677 00:29:24,080 --> 00:29:25,760 Speaker 1: I think the Falcons have a long way to go. 678 00:29:26,280 --> 00:29:29,240 Speaker 1: I'm really hoping for Michael Pennix's sake that they don't 679 00:29:29,280 --> 00:29:31,959 Speaker 1: make the playoffs, just because I think Baker Mayfield has 680 00:29:31,960 --> 00:29:34,040 Speaker 1: a better chance to make a run out of the 681 00:29:34,080 --> 00:29:36,600 Speaker 1: South than the Falcons do. And yeah, Commanders have been hot, 682 00:29:36,640 --> 00:29:39,360 Speaker 1: They've they've been frisky, kind of slowed down their rushing 683 00:29:39,360 --> 00:29:41,000 Speaker 1: attack a little bit in the backfield. I want to 684 00:29:41,000 --> 00:29:43,080 Speaker 1: see Brian Robinson Junior get back to full hell. I 685 00:29:43,080 --> 00:29:45,320 Speaker 1: think he's still a little banged up, and hopefully Austin 686 00:29:45,360 --> 00:29:47,640 Speaker 1: Eckler can return at some point. But yeah, I think 687 00:29:47,640 --> 00:29:50,360 Speaker 1: it's a good spot for the Commanders. On Sunday Night Football, 688 00:29:51,000 --> 00:29:53,600 Speaker 1: I'll round us out my final pick and win it. 689 00:29:53,640 --> 00:29:56,400 Speaker 1: Dout Fae the Giants, who are four and eleven ats 690 00:29:56,400 --> 00:29:59,280 Speaker 1: this season, two and seven ats at home. They just 691 00:29:59,360 --> 00:30:02,360 Speaker 1: lost the foul Andrew told us thirty four to seven 692 00:30:02,480 --> 00:30:07,400 Speaker 1: and Pennix's first start, Malik Neighbors, Tyrone Tracy estimated dnps 693 00:30:07,440 --> 00:30:10,840 Speaker 1: on Wednesday. I think Neighbors is tracking towards playing, but 694 00:30:10,920 --> 00:30:14,200 Speaker 1: tracy status seems very much in the air. Drew Locke 695 00:30:14,240 --> 00:30:17,200 Speaker 1: also limited with a shoulder, but I'm kind of hoping 696 00:30:17,240 --> 00:30:20,160 Speaker 1: he plays because he has four interceptions one touchdowns this season. 697 00:30:20,600 --> 00:30:23,800 Speaker 1: Anthony Richardson for the Colt something to monitor. He was 698 00:30:23,920 --> 00:30:27,920 Speaker 1: listed as an estimated DNP on Wednesday, But I don't 699 00:30:27,920 --> 00:30:31,040 Speaker 1: really think this matters for betting this game because Joe 700 00:30:31,040 --> 00:30:33,880 Speaker 1: Flacco and him are very you know, one A, one B. 701 00:30:34,080 --> 00:30:36,440 Speaker 1: I think in this type of situation, Colts are still 702 00:30:36,480 --> 00:30:38,520 Speaker 1: in the hunt for a playoff spot, coming off a 703 00:30:38,640 --> 00:30:40,880 Speaker 1: vintage Jonathan Taylor game where he had two hundred and 704 00:30:40,880 --> 00:30:43,760 Speaker 1: eighteen yards three touchdowns a week after I was eliminated 705 00:30:43,800 --> 00:30:46,080 Speaker 1: for my fantasy playoffs in my big money league. So 706 00:30:46,080 --> 00:30:49,400 Speaker 1: appreciate that JT. But now they get a Giants defense. 707 00:30:49,440 --> 00:30:52,240 Speaker 1: It's allowed the second most rushing yards this season, four 708 00:30:52,240 --> 00:30:55,760 Speaker 1: point eight yards per carry. Clip giddy up. I'm betting 709 00:30:55,800 --> 00:30:58,360 Speaker 1: all the JT overs I can. I'm laddering him, and 710 00:30:58,400 --> 00:31:01,360 Speaker 1: I expect JT to carry people to fantasy championships and 711 00:31:01,400 --> 00:31:04,360 Speaker 1: the Colts cash and tickets. I would wait on this one, though, 712 00:31:04,360 --> 00:31:06,840 Speaker 1: because I think maybe if Richardson gets rolled out or 713 00:31:06,880 --> 00:31:09,280 Speaker 1: he's questionable coming into Sunday, maybe you can get rab 714 00:31:09,320 --> 00:31:11,280 Speaker 1: of six and a half so you can finish this 715 00:31:11,320 --> 00:31:13,320 Speaker 1: one off if they win by a touchdown. So I'm 716 00:31:13,360 --> 00:31:15,720 Speaker 1: waiting on this, but I do like the Colts at 717 00:31:15,720 --> 00:31:17,880 Speaker 1: seven and a half, hoping this line moves a little 718 00:31:17,880 --> 00:31:18,719 Speaker 1: bit towards Sunday. 719 00:31:19,320 --> 00:31:21,520 Speaker 2: Yeah, the Colts are traditionally a team that you want 720 00:31:21,520 --> 00:31:24,600 Speaker 2: to bet on when they're favored, right, so they usually 721 00:31:24,640 --> 00:31:26,640 Speaker 2: show up when they're underdogs when you kind of run 722 00:31:26,640 --> 00:31:29,080 Speaker 2: into issues, especially when they're facing It seems like every 723 00:31:29,120 --> 00:31:31,160 Speaker 2: like AFC South matchup with these teams is always like 724 00:31:31,160 --> 00:31:33,040 Speaker 2: a pickups, like I don't really know, like who's at home. 725 00:31:33,120 --> 00:31:36,120 Speaker 2: So yeah, yeah, the Colts here, I think that. I mean, 726 00:31:36,360 --> 00:31:38,600 Speaker 2: even if Richardson suits up, you know, the Giants two 727 00:31:38,600 --> 00:31:41,160 Speaker 2: of the things that they're worst at are against the run. 728 00:31:41,760 --> 00:31:43,600 Speaker 2: We know that the Colts can run the ball effectively 729 00:31:43,640 --> 00:31:47,040 Speaker 2: with Richardson, with Jonathan Taylor, and they're the number one 730 00:31:47,080 --> 00:31:50,040 Speaker 2: worst defense against the deep ball. Look, Richardson might complete 731 00:31:50,040 --> 00:31:52,360 Speaker 2: five passes, but he might get over one hundred and 732 00:31:52,360 --> 00:31:54,760 Speaker 2: fifty yards with those. His passing yards projection, I don't 733 00:31:54,760 --> 00:31:56,000 Speaker 2: know what it is now, but I think it opened 734 00:31:56,000 --> 00:31:57,560 Speaker 2: at like one hundred and sixty yards. 735 00:31:57,680 --> 00:31:58,560 Speaker 1: Oh my gosh. 736 00:31:58,960 --> 00:32:02,160 Speaker 2: It was comic low. And honestly, I think he gets 737 00:32:02,200 --> 00:32:04,560 Speaker 2: the over in his passing arts because it's funny. Well, 738 00:32:04,560 --> 00:32:06,800 Speaker 2: he completed like six passes I think last week, Yeah, 739 00:32:07,000 --> 00:32:11,160 Speaker 2: he's thought over one hundred passing, so I think he's 740 00:32:11,200 --> 00:32:13,040 Speaker 2: got to complete some of these moonballs. It looks like 741 00:32:13,040 --> 00:32:15,360 Speaker 2: al Pierce is gonna be back as well. So yeah, 742 00:32:15,480 --> 00:32:16,760 Speaker 2: I like the cold here. 743 00:32:17,240 --> 00:32:19,880 Speaker 1: And we're gonna go and transition into my parlay of 744 00:32:19,920 --> 00:32:22,000 Speaker 1: the week to round us out on the program. And 745 00:32:22,040 --> 00:32:24,160 Speaker 1: I know this is an NFL show, but we all 746 00:32:24,160 --> 00:32:26,360 Speaker 1: like football, right, So I'm gonna be taking my favorite 747 00:32:26,400 --> 00:32:28,720 Speaker 1: bet of the NFL this week, parlaying it with my 748 00:32:28,720 --> 00:32:32,640 Speaker 1: favorite college football bowl game bet, Miami Dolphins and the Browns. 749 00:32:32,640 --> 00:32:34,720 Speaker 1: I'm taking the under there forty and a half points 750 00:32:34,720 --> 00:32:38,080 Speaker 1: minus one fifteen. I also got Sarahcuse laying sixteen and 751 00:32:38,120 --> 00:32:40,880 Speaker 1: a half points on Washington State in the Holiday Bowl. 752 00:32:41,080 --> 00:32:44,720 Speaker 1: Total odds of plus two sixty nine at fandle Fran 753 00:32:44,840 --> 00:32:47,480 Speaker 1: Brown has done an exceptional job with the Syracuse team, 754 00:32:47,760 --> 00:32:50,040 Speaker 1: and they are all up for the Holiday Bowl. Most 755 00:32:50,080 --> 00:32:53,120 Speaker 1: of their starters will be playing, including quarterback Kyle McCord, 756 00:32:53,280 --> 00:32:55,520 Speaker 1: who was first in the nation and passing attempts, third 757 00:32:55,560 --> 00:32:59,080 Speaker 1: in total yards, fifth and passing touchdowns. Wazoo, they had 758 00:32:59,160 --> 00:33:03,080 Speaker 1: quarterback John Tier who's their entire offense he's in the portal. 759 00:33:03,160 --> 00:33:06,600 Speaker 1: They're leading rusher way Shaun Parker, and the Porter their 760 00:33:06,680 --> 00:33:10,080 Speaker 1: second leading wide receiver Chris Hudson, and the Portal their 761 00:33:10,160 --> 00:33:13,040 Speaker 1: right tackle. Four defensive starters opting out of this game. 762 00:33:13,120 --> 00:33:17,440 Speaker 1: So Washington State they have nothing returning, no consistency. They 763 00:33:17,480 --> 00:33:19,480 Speaker 1: also have their head coach and most of their staff 764 00:33:19,560 --> 00:33:21,040 Speaker 1: is gonna be gone for this one as well. So 765 00:33:21,400 --> 00:33:24,240 Speaker 1: go ahead, give me Syracuse my sixteen and a half. 766 00:33:24,280 --> 00:33:27,200 Speaker 1: I'm parlaying that with the Dolphins Browns under this gives 767 00:33:27,280 --> 00:33:31,200 Speaker 1: us combined odds plus two sixty nine. Nice at fandles. 768 00:33:31,200 --> 00:33:32,920 Speaker 1: So I'm gonna go ahead and round us out there 769 00:33:32,960 --> 00:33:35,520 Speaker 1: with the college football NFL parlay Andrew. I don't know 770 00:33:35,520 --> 00:33:37,640 Speaker 1: if I broke the rules of the show, but I'm 771 00:33:37,640 --> 00:33:38,440 Speaker 1: doing it anyways. 772 00:33:38,720 --> 00:33:41,719 Speaker 2: Hey, if it hits, it doesn't matter. There are no 773 00:33:41,800 --> 00:33:43,720 Speaker 2: rules to winning. So I've it hit, seth We'll have 774 00:33:43,800 --> 00:33:44,280 Speaker 2: you back on. 775 00:33:44,520 --> 00:33:46,840 Speaker 1: Okay, all right, well I appreciate that. Make sure you 776 00:33:46,880 --> 00:33:50,080 Speaker 1: guys are tailing Andrew at bettingpros dot com, slash ericson 777 00:33:50,320 --> 00:33:52,960 Speaker 1: and maybe I if this hits, maybe I can finally 778 00:33:52,960 --> 00:33:56,200 Speaker 1: get my url short. And yes, I am bettingpros dot 779 00:33:56,240 --> 00:34:00,520 Speaker 1: com slash you slash between underscore seth FF backs, so 780 00:34:00,800 --> 00:34:02,920 Speaker 1: a lot of slashes a lot of underscores in there. 781 00:34:02,960 --> 00:34:05,640 Speaker 1: But hopefully we'll be just at SETH soon. But make 782 00:34:05,680 --> 00:34:07,480 Speaker 1: sure you guys are checking out ericson all the wonderful 783 00:34:07,520 --> 00:34:10,640 Speaker 1: work he's doing at BP at Fantasy Pros as well. 784 00:34:10,800 --> 00:34:12,400 Speaker 1: That's going to do it for us today on the 785 00:34:12,480 --> 00:34:15,680 Speaker 1: BP NFL show. Make sure you like this video. If 786 00:34:15,719 --> 00:34:18,400 Speaker 1: you enjoyed it, subscribe to the Bening Pros YouTube channel 787 00:34:18,400 --> 00:34:21,200 Speaker 1: and the podcast feed. Please download the bank Pros app 788 00:34:21,280 --> 00:34:25,040 Speaker 1: and sync your sportsbooks today. For Andrew Erickson, I'm Seth Wilcock. 789 00:34:25,160 --> 00:34:27,520 Speaker 1: Thanks for watching. Take care of y'all. 790 00:34:27,560 --> 00:34:30,160 Speaker 3: Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast. If you 791 00:34:30,239 --> 00:34:32,600 Speaker 3: love the show, the best freeway to support us is 792 00:34:32,600 --> 00:34:36,040 Speaker 3: by leaving a positive review on Apple Podcasts or Spotify. 793 00:34:36,320 --> 00:34:38,920 Speaker 3: Follow us on x and TikTok at Betting Pros and 794 00:34:39,040 --> 00:34:42,680 Speaker 3: Instagram at Betting Pros NFL. Also subscribe to our YouTube 795 00:34:42,760 --> 00:34:45,280 Speaker 3: channel at YouTube dot com slash Betting Pros