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Speaker 1: What's up, guys? How are you happy? Saturday? Welcome into

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Speaker 1: the last Saturday regular season wise for college football for

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Speaker 1: the Daily Juice podcast. My name is Matt Perelt. You

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Speaker 1: guys can follow me across all of my socials at

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Speaker 1: sports Talk Matt. I apologize for the later the normal

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Speaker 1: posting for the podcast and the hostage video. I got

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Speaker 1: a lot going on. I'm traveling today. We're trying to

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Speaker 1: wrap up a bunch of different stuff, so today's been

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Speaker 1: a wacko morning, so I apologize for the delay here

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Speaker 1: for the podcast. Only three plays for us, but that's

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Speaker 1: probably not a bad thing considering the last two days

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Speaker 1: have been brutal. Oh and three egos lose outright Texas

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Speaker 1: tex scores thirty one points at Texas A and M

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Speaker 1: in Texas big second half, really bad three to three

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Speaker 1: at the break. That's what killed the over bet. But

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Speaker 1: Texas did win. So look, sometimes you're just not seeing

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Speaker 1: the board right and traveling can throw everything off. But

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Speaker 1: like I was wise to avoid a couple of things.

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Speaker 1: I would have taken Texas A and M. Glad I

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Speaker 1: didn't do that because Texas was the right side pretty

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Speaker 1: much the whole game. That was the right side in

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Speaker 1: that game, I mean underdogs on Thanksgiving and Black Friday

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Speaker 1: went four and oh straight up and four and oh

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Speaker 1: against the spread. If you checked out any of the

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Speaker 1: survivor pools, it eviscerated every survivor pool, including the big one,

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Speaker 1: you know, the one hundred thousand dollars one in Vegas

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Speaker 1: with Circus Sports, and the Grand Tissimo that's done, all

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Speaker 1: six entries gone. It took from nine hundred entries left

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Speaker 1: in the regular Survivor the eighteen million dollar one that

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Speaker 1: got eviscerated down to forty nine, like nine hundred to

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Speaker 1: forty nine in two days. So like, I'm not the

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Speaker 1: only one here who got crushed. This was a wonderful

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Speaker 1: two day stretch for the sports books. They did very

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Speaker 1: very well the last two days. It's not really an excuse,

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Speaker 1: it's just you know, if you're watching this video, my

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Speaker 1: guess is it didn't do very well. Okay, I didn't

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Speaker 1: do very well. I've done poorly. I'm going to have

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Speaker 1: a losing week. Most likely, I'll have to check and see.

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Speaker 1: We lost in October, we may be losing in November.

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Speaker 1: My gut tells me we're kind of like near flat

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Speaker 1: for October or for November, but got a couple of

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Speaker 1: days left. So we've done very well in the NFL

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Speaker 1: this year, so hopefully tomorrow we'll do great. But we're

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Speaker 1: going to wrap up college football coming up here for today.

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Speaker 1: Before we give you the plays for today, let's talk

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Speaker 1: about our friends at hard Rock Bet. If you guys

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Speaker 1: one hundred and fifty dollars in bonus bets, extra bonus bets.

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Speaker 1: If you've not checked out the hard Rock Stats Hub,

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Speaker 1: you should do so. It's pretty cool. They've got trends, streaks, stats,

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Speaker 1: a lot of stuff that can help you with numbers.

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Speaker 1: If you like data, it's in there for you guys,

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Speaker 1: to go ahead and check it out. Remember, hard Rock

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Speaker 1: Bet is the only legal sport or book in Florida,

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Speaker 1: so download the hard rock Bet app and make your

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Speaker 1: first deposit today. All right, so let's start with two

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Speaker 1: college football games. Ones at noon Michigan Ohio State. Look,

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Speaker 1: I'm i I've been cold this week, so I'm just

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Speaker 1: gonna bet what I think and you guys can fade

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Speaker 1: it all you want. Okay, I'm taking the ten and

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Speaker 1: a half points with Michigan because I think in a

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Speaker 1: rivalry game at home, Michigan can keep this game close.

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Speaker 1: I don't think they win the game. I think Michigan

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Speaker 1: wins by seven. Sorry, Ohio State wins by seven. I

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Speaker 1: don't think Michigan gets blown out at home. And I

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Speaker 1: am very curious see what this offense does, how the

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Speaker 1: running game does. But it is Michigan Ohio State. It

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Speaker 1: is the game. You can take every number that you want.

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Speaker 1: You can take every trend that you want about Michigan

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Speaker 1: in the two thousand and two hundred days or whatever

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Speaker 1: it's been says Michigan has last lost to Ohio State.

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Speaker 1: But they are six and five on the year. Ohio

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Speaker 1: State is four and seven ats they're zero to four

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Speaker 1: on the road. Okay, they have not covered a game

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Speaker 1: on the road yet. Michigan is two and three at home,

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Speaker 1: which isn't great. But I mean, sorry, hold on, that's

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Speaker 1: over under Excuse me, they're three and one on the

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Speaker 1: Ohio State's three and one on the road. That's the total.

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Speaker 1: So if you want to go with the under, they're

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Speaker 1: owing four four and out of the under, Ohio State

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Speaker 1: is on the road. Ohio State's nine to one and

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Speaker 1: one ats two in three in Michigan. That number is

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Speaker 1: right two. Michigan's two and three, but the three and

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Speaker 1: one ATS. I don't care what the numbers are, Okay,

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Speaker 1: the numbers can say whatever you want. Ohio State has

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Speaker 1: won by thirty three, thirty eight, twenty four, twenty four,

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Speaker 1: and thirty four the last five weeks, they've destroyed everybody.

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Speaker 1: Michigan beat Maryland by twenty five, they beat Northwestern by two,

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Speaker 1: they beat per new by five, they beat Michigan State

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Speaker 1: by eleven, they beat Washington by seventeen. They haven't lost

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Speaker 1: since they've lost to USC on the road. They're playing better.

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Speaker 1: These are game games. You just take the numbers and

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Speaker 1: you throw them out and you just say it's a

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Speaker 1: rivalry game. And I think Michigan can keep the game

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Speaker 1: within ten points. That's about the best handicap I can

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Speaker 1: give you. I have been very high on Michigan all

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Speaker 1: year long, going into the year I bet them to

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Speaker 1: win the big ten loss. I bet them to go

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Speaker 1: undefeated loss. I thought Michigan was going to have a

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Speaker 1: much better season than what they have had. But if

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Speaker 1: they beat Ohio State today, they've made their year. I mean,

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Speaker 1: this is about a super Bowl game for Michigan here

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Speaker 1: against Ohio State. I'll take the points. You guys can

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Speaker 1: take Ohio State all you want. Could be a blowout.

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Speaker 1: I'll take Michigan at plus ten and a half. Game

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Speaker 1: number two Alabama and Auburn. This number continues to come down.

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Speaker 1: We're all the way down to five and a half

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Speaker 1: for Alabama on the road against Auburn. The books need Alabama.

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Speaker 1: This is a very interesting place for the Iron Bowl

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Speaker 1: for Alabama where they have everything riding on this game

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Speaker 1: for the Crimson Tide. If they lose this game, they're

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Speaker 1: not playing in the SEC champion Ship Game and they're

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Speaker 1: not playing in the College Football Playoff. Kellen de boorr

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Speaker 1: Went is backed against the wall in a must win

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Speaker 1: game in a game that his team must have has

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Speaker 1: been extremely profitable and has been very good to back.

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Speaker 1: Look Auburn fired their coach. It's a very similar situation

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Speaker 1: for Alabama and Auburn and on general you know, on

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Speaker 1: any other year, I probably would be backing Auburn at

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Speaker 1: home home dog a chance to derail Alabama wins by three.

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Speaker 1: Take Auburn plus the points right all that. I just

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Speaker 1: feel like this Alabama team has got something to prove.

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Speaker 1: I think this Alabama team is going to play really well.

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Speaker 1: And I just can't trust Auburn. Like I wish I

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Speaker 1: could trust Auburn, I just can't trust them given what

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Speaker 1: they've looked like this year. There's no dead cat bounce

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Speaker 1: going into this. You know, if they had fired Hugh

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Speaker 1: Freeze like last week, maybe I would say. But you know,

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Speaker 1: Alabama is four two and one ATS in the SEC.

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Speaker 1: Auburn is two four and one in the in the SEC. Again,

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Speaker 1: you got to throw this out, but Auburn is one

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Speaker 1: in five at home this year ATS. The only game

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Speaker 1: that they covered at home this year was their last

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Speaker 1: game against Mercer, Okay, where they were laying twenty five

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Speaker 1: points and they won by forty five. So they had

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Speaker 1: been zero to five ATS before the game. Last week.

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Speaker 1: Alabama comes in off of a blowout win over Eastern Illinois,

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Speaker 1: but they lost at home to Oklahoma. Really put their

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Speaker 1: backs against the wall, they beat LSU, they won by

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Speaker 1: seven against South Carolina in their last game. They'd beat

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Speaker 1: Missouri by three in the game before that. They beat

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Speaker 1: Georgia by three the game before that. So you can say, Matt,

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Speaker 1: it's gonna be a three point win for Alabama. Take

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Speaker 1: the points with Auburn. I don't mind it, except I

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Speaker 1: think when you look at the backs against the wall

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Speaker 1: and the mistakes that Auburn has made this year, I

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Speaker 1: think this Alabama team pins their ears back and they

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Speaker 1: go to business. I think BENMA wins by seven. It's

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Speaker 1: going to be right around the number. Okay, I don't know.

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Speaker 1: I don't sit here and tell you like I don't

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Speaker 1: think BEMA wins by forty. I don't think they're going

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Speaker 1: to annihilate Auburn and the Iron Bowl. I'm just going

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Speaker 1: to take the better team, the better quarterback, and take

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Speaker 1: the fact that Alabama has to have it and the

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Speaker 1: Iron Bowl and the number keeps on being bent down,

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Speaker 1: and I'm on the side of the books. I'm okay

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Speaker 1: with being on the side of the books. For the

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Speaker 1: Iron Bowl. The books are going to need It's kind

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Speaker 1: of crazy, but the books are going to need Michigan two,

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Speaker 1: which is not that I mean Michigan at plus ten

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Speaker 1: and a half a lot of money, but that most

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Speaker 1: of the money's come in on Ohio State minus eight

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Speaker 1: and a half, minus nine and a half. Now we're

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Speaker 1: up to ten and a half. Same thing here with

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Speaker 1: the money coming in on Auburn. A lot of that

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Speaker 1: money's coming in at six and a half. At six,

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Speaker 1: now we're at five and a half, so it keeps

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Speaker 1: on moving down. Let's get a six point win for

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Speaker 1: Alabama and let's cover here for the Crimson died. Cover

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Speaker 1: the five and a half Alabama minus five and a

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Speaker 1: half here for that. I don't know if you guys

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Speaker 1: just heard that or not, but the dog just came

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Speaker 1: on and to come stay hi. So dog wanted to

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Speaker 1: come hang out. How it works? You know things are going? Okay,

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Speaker 1: one NBA player prop to give you, guys, because I

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Speaker 1: haven't given you guys an NBA player prop in a while,

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Speaker 1: and obviously that's been a very profitable thing for us.

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Speaker 1: So we're going to come in with Moses Moody. Okay,

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Speaker 1: Moses Moody hasn't covered this number in four the last

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Speaker 1: five games. He's ten and fifteen to this number at

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Speaker 1: eighteen and a half points in rebounds for Moses Moody.

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Speaker 1: You got the game today at home against the Pelicans.

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Speaker 1: This is a five star rated play. This is a

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Speaker 1: seventy eight percent cover probability. It's a plus thirty eight

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Speaker 1: expected value play for the guard for and there is

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Speaker 1: a little bit of an injury situation to look at this,

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Speaker 1: So take a look at to see what's going to

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Speaker 1: happen here against Houston back on the twenty sixth. It's

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Speaker 1: when he played last. So let's see what happens here

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Speaker 1: where he was big up against dating back against the

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Speaker 1: Pelicans before he scored thirty two points against the Pelicans

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Speaker 1: on the road on the sixteenth. But hopefully he's good

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Speaker 1: to go today. And if he is good to go,

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Speaker 1: prop bet cheat sheets all over his under for points

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Speaker 1: and rebounds for Moses Moody. So he is a date.

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Speaker 1: He's day to day, but he should be okay. He

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Speaker 1: did play in the last game, so he should be

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Speaker 1: good to go. He did explode again back time on

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Speaker 1: the sixteenth at New Orleans. This game is at home.

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Speaker 1: Prop bit cheat sheet comes in with an under for

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Speaker 1: Moses Moody. Actually that number just moved as we're talking.

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Speaker 1: You can take at BETMGM. Betmgm's got it at nineteen

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Speaker 1: and a half, so you actually can get a better number. Yeah,

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Speaker 1: there it is. Yeah the signal I played. Okay, so

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Speaker 1: it moved nineteen and a half. Let's play that. It's

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Speaker 1: nineteen and a half at BETMGM. It'spending MGM at a

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Speaker 1: hard rock bet. It's BETMGM. It's nineteen and a half

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Speaker 1: at a couple offshore places. So BETMGM is in hard

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Speaker 1: rock bet, both at places where you guys can go

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Speaker 1: and get this under nineteen and a half. So I

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Speaker 1: did play the right number. That's good. But that number

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Speaker 1: is moving, it's going up. So there's other books who

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Speaker 1: have joined in on that for that. So the pros

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Speaker 1: think that number is too low, but the prop bet

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Speaker 1: cheat sheet likes it, thinks it's right at nineteen and

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Speaker 1: a half. So play for today Michigan plus ten and

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Speaker 1: a half in the game against Ohio State Iron Bowl

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Speaker 1: Alabama laying five and a half on the road against

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Speaker 1: Auburn and Moses Moody under nineteen and a half points

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Speaker 1: and rebounds at minus one twenty five for one point

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Speaker 1: two five units. Those are our plays here today. I

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Speaker 1: will be back in Vegas late tonight, so I'm probably

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Speaker 1: gonna have to tape this either like first thing in

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Speaker 1: the morning West Coast time or when I get back.

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Speaker 1: But I'm landing at twelve forty five, so it's going

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Speaker 1: to be the Today's kind of a chaotic day. I'm

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Speaker 1: leaving to go to Boston in a couple minutes to

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Speaker 1: go down there and then get on the airplane and fly,

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Speaker 1: and it's it's a whole crazy travel day today. It's

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Speaker 1: traveling at Thanksgiving is a nut is nuts. So not

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Speaker 1: sure when the Sunday Daily Juice will drop, but Pat

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Speaker 1: Fitzmorris and myself will have you covered for a live

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Speaker 1: stream at noon Eastern time coming up tomorrow. There is

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Speaker 1: no Discord channel chat today, in cause you're looking for it.

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Speaker 1: No Discord Channel chat today. I'm just too crazy busy

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Speaker 1: to do it. But we will be live tomorrow at

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Speaker 1: noon Eastern time for the Sunday episode Sunday live stream

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Speaker 1: on the Betting Pros YouTube channel. As my parog you

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Speaker 1: guys can call because all my socials at Sports Talk

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Speaker 1: Mat every morning where every guys get your podcasts. It

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Speaker 1: is the Daily jewe