1 00:00:04,040 --> 00:00:08,360 Speaker 1: Broadcasting live to New York, Bloomberg eleventh, Rio to Washington, 2 00:00:08,440 --> 00:00:14,120 Speaker 1: d C, Bloomberg to Boston, Bloomberg to San Francisco, Bloomberg 3 00:00:14,200 --> 00:00:19,360 Speaker 1: nine to the Countries Channel and around the globe the 4 00:00:19,360 --> 00:00:22,960 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Radio plus DAB and Bloomberg Got Gone. This is 5 00:00:23,040 --> 00:00:26,360 Speaker 1: taking Stock. I'm Kathleen Hayes along with Pim Fox. We're 6 00:00:26,360 --> 00:00:28,800 Speaker 1: gonna take a look at the commercial real estate market. 7 00:00:28,840 --> 00:00:31,080 Speaker 1: A lot of people are weary of stocks and kind 8 00:00:31,080 --> 00:00:34,360 Speaker 1: of wondering about bonds, and they're looking for places to 9 00:00:34,400 --> 00:00:37,880 Speaker 1: invest him that are liquid and alternative for many people. 10 00:00:37,920 --> 00:00:39,360 Speaker 1: This is a good one. Yeah. We're also going to 11 00:00:39,440 --> 00:00:43,159 Speaker 1: talk about the office, the office space, business retail of 12 00:00:43,280 --> 00:00:45,120 Speaker 1: We'll take a look at malls as well as ground 13 00:00:45,240 --> 00:00:47,920 Speaker 1: up construction. Also look at the condo market. Right now, 14 00:00:48,000 --> 00:00:49,920 Speaker 1: let's take a look at business news. We've got Charlie 15 00:00:49,920 --> 00:00:52,360 Speaker 1: Pellett at Bloomberg News from and thank you Pim, Thank 16 00:00:52,400 --> 00:00:55,480 Speaker 1: you Kathleen. Let us begin with crude oil stocks are fluctuating, 17 00:00:55,480 --> 00:00:59,600 Speaker 1: but crude now trading at fort Arrel. Talking about West 18 00:00:59,600 --> 00:01:02,520 Speaker 1: Texas Intermediate down ten cents there a drop of two 19 00:01:02,600 --> 00:01:04,840 Speaker 1: tents of one percent. We did see Brie of Brent 20 00:01:05,000 --> 00:01:09,080 Speaker 1: crude briefly breach fifty of barrel right now forty nine 21 00:01:09,319 --> 00:01:12,240 Speaker 1: seventy nine a barrel on brand up five cents again 22 00:01:12,280 --> 00:01:15,160 Speaker 1: there of point one percent. Stocks are coming off of 23 00:01:15,160 --> 00:01:18,440 Speaker 1: their strongest rally in almost three months, Mixed data offering 24 00:01:18,520 --> 00:01:21,880 Speaker 1: little clarity on whether the economy is strengthening enough to 25 00:01:21,920 --> 00:01:25,200 Speaker 1: withstand higher interest rates as early as next month. Diane 26 00:01:25,200 --> 00:01:28,440 Speaker 1: Swonk is the founder of d S Economics. Clearly the 27 00:01:28,480 --> 00:01:31,560 Speaker 1: Fed is attempting to make this smooth, although let's let 28 00:01:31,640 --> 00:01:34,120 Speaker 1: let's face it, what's happened since December. The moved in 29 00:01:34,160 --> 00:01:36,080 Speaker 1: December kind of a non issue, and then all of 30 00:01:36,120 --> 00:01:39,360 Speaker 1: a sudden, we're dealing in this geopolitical and economic environment 31 00:01:39,560 --> 00:01:41,960 Speaker 1: that's globally still fragile. And I think it's interesting that 32 00:01:42,040 --> 00:01:44,600 Speaker 1: although we didn't hear a lot of economics from President 33 00:01:44,640 --> 00:01:48,360 Speaker 1: Obama this morning, the real issue is geopolitics and policy 34 00:01:48,720 --> 00:01:51,720 Speaker 1: are now economics. And I think that's very important as well, 35 00:01:51,720 --> 00:01:53,680 Speaker 1: because those can affect the economy quite a bit. In 36 00:01:53,800 --> 00:01:56,960 Speaker 1: equities struggling for direction today as investors step back to 37 00:01:57,040 --> 00:02:00,640 Speaker 1: Assessa two day events that added nearly three with sixty 38 00:02:00,680 --> 00:02:05,000 Speaker 1: points to the down. Jones Industrial average Costco wholesale shares 39 00:02:05,080 --> 00:02:09,000 Speaker 1: gaining the most in more than six years after earnings topped. 40 00:02:09,000 --> 00:02:12,240 Speaker 1: Analysts estimates assign the warehouse club is weathering a volatile 41 00:02:12,320 --> 00:02:15,560 Speaker 1: retail climate. Costco shares are up now by three point 42 00:02:15,680 --> 00:02:19,840 Speaker 1: nine percent. Sears Holdings considering options for its Ken, Moore, 43 00:02:20,000 --> 00:02:23,400 Speaker 1: Craftsman and die Hard brands as what was its Sears 44 00:02:23,440 --> 00:02:27,200 Speaker 1: Home Services repair business. Sears Holding shares up six point 45 00:02:27,240 --> 00:02:31,640 Speaker 1: one percent. Abercrombie and Fitch plunging after first quarter sales trailed. 46 00:02:31,639 --> 00:02:37,040 Speaker 1: Analysts estimates Abercrombie down sixteen point seven percent, Gold down 47 00:02:37,080 --> 00:02:39,040 Speaker 1: to eight to the ounce, a drop of two tenths 48 00:02:39,080 --> 00:02:41,720 Speaker 1: of one percent, to thirty two on Wall Street. Now 49 00:02:41,720 --> 00:02:45,320 Speaker 1: we'll look at other news from around the world. Thank you, 50 00:02:45,400 --> 00:02:49,040 Speaker 1: Charlie from the Bloomberg news room. I'm Alex Steel. Donald 51 00:02:49,040 --> 00:02:52,639 Speaker 1: Trump has hit the magic number. According to the Associated Press, 52 00:02:52,639 --> 00:02:55,200 Speaker 1: he now has a number of delegates needed to clinch 53 00:02:55,240 --> 00:02:58,960 Speaker 1: the Republican presidential nomination. The AP count has Trump with 54 00:02:59,000 --> 00:03:01,680 Speaker 1: one thousand, two hunder and thirty eight one more than 55 00:03:01,800 --> 00:03:04,960 Speaker 1: is needed. A review of Democratic presidential primary results in 56 00:03:05,040 --> 00:03:08,440 Speaker 1: Kentucky has found Hillary Clinton still ahead of Bernie Sanders. 57 00:03:08,680 --> 00:03:11,760 Speaker 1: That's According to The Career Journal, Bernie Sanders and Hillary 58 00:03:11,760 --> 00:03:14,600 Speaker 1: Clinton both picked up twenty seven delegates after the May 59 00:03:14,639 --> 00:03:18,040 Speaker 1: seventeenth Kentucky primary, but one delegate was yet to be 60 00:03:18,080 --> 00:03:22,280 Speaker 1: awarded from the sixth congressional district that goes to Secretary Clinton. 61 00:03:22,919 --> 00:03:25,400 Speaker 1: At a press conference in Japan today with leaders of 62 00:03:25,440 --> 00:03:29,600 Speaker 1: six other industrialized nations, President Obama commented on the Taliban's 63 00:03:29,639 --> 00:03:32,200 Speaker 1: appointment of a new leader following the death of Mullah 64 00:03:32,240 --> 00:03:35,320 Speaker 1: Mohammed Monsoor in a U S. Rohan strike last week. 65 00:03:35,480 --> 00:03:40,280 Speaker 1: What they need to enter into serious that are led 66 00:03:40,280 --> 00:03:43,600 Speaker 1: by Afghans. On Friday, President Obama becomes the first sitting 67 00:03:43,640 --> 00:03:47,040 Speaker 1: president to visit Hiroshima. The battle over gay and transgender 68 00:03:47,120 --> 00:03:49,880 Speaker 1: rights is spilling over into other issues in Congress. A 69 00:03:49,960 --> 00:03:52,680 Speaker 1: thirty seven billion dollar measure to fund the Energy Department 70 00:03:52,680 --> 00:03:55,360 Speaker 1: and water projects has been killed in the House. It 71 00:03:55,440 --> 00:03:58,440 Speaker 1: was opposed by many Republicans because of a provision designed 72 00:03:58,440 --> 00:04:02,640 Speaker 1: to bar discrimination against AIDS and transgenders by federal contractors. 73 00:04:02,760 --> 00:04:04,880 Speaker 1: The head of New Jersey States Senate wants to move 74 00:04:04,960 --> 00:04:07,600 Speaker 1: quickly on drumming up support for two new casinos near 75 00:04:07,640 --> 00:04:10,720 Speaker 1: New York. Steve Sweeney says extra time is needed to 76 00:04:10,720 --> 00:04:14,800 Speaker 1: get voter approval in a November referendum. Governor Christie says 77 00:04:14,840 --> 00:04:17,320 Speaker 1: plans for the casinos are on life support because of 78 00:04:17,320 --> 00:04:21,640 Speaker 1: financial turmoil. In Atlantic City Global News twenty four hours 79 00:04:21,640 --> 00:04:24,679 Speaker 1: a day, power by journalists in more than a hundred 80 00:04:24,680 --> 00:04:27,479 Speaker 1: and fifty news bureaus around the world. From the Bloomberg 81 00:04:27,480 --> 00:04:31,640 Speaker 1: News Room, I'm Alex Steele, Charlie, and we thank you 82 00:04:31,680 --> 00:04:34,200 Speaker 1: and again recaving a mixed picture for stocks. The Dow 83 00:04:34,520 --> 00:04:37,479 Speaker 1: is lower by point one percent. The SMP five hundred 84 00:04:37,520 --> 00:04:40,440 Speaker 1: index little change that is up by less than point 85 00:04:40,480 --> 00:04:43,880 Speaker 1: one percent. I'm Charlie Pellett and that's a Bloomberg Business 86 00:04:43,920 --> 00:04:48,080 Speaker 1: flash this he is taking stock with Kathleen Hayes and 87 00:04:48,120 --> 00:04:52,480 Speaker 1: Pim Fox on Bloomberg Radio. Stocks are fully valued. That's 88 00:04:52,480 --> 00:04:55,080 Speaker 1: what many guests are saying. Bond yields are low, the 89 00:04:55,120 --> 00:04:58,719 Speaker 1: prices are high. If you want to get a positive return, 90 00:04:58,880 --> 00:05:01,599 Speaker 1: if you want to find yield on an investment that 91 00:05:01,640 --> 00:05:04,400 Speaker 1: you think is solid, where do you go. More and 92 00:05:04,440 --> 00:05:08,279 Speaker 1: more people are turning to commercial real estate. Speaking now 93 00:05:08,360 --> 00:05:11,320 Speaker 1: to an expert in the field, Rachel Gilbert Solomon, co 94 00:05:11,480 --> 00:05:15,839 Speaker 1: founder managing partner at Atlanta Advisors based here, in New York, 95 00:05:15,880 --> 00:05:18,479 Speaker 1: recently opening a West Coast office and joining us in 96 00:05:18,560 --> 00:05:21,599 Speaker 1: our New York studio. So, Rachel, welcome, Thank you for 97 00:05:21,680 --> 00:05:26,040 Speaker 1: having me. So, uh, what would you say right now? 98 00:05:26,240 --> 00:05:28,760 Speaker 1: Is hottest in the commercial real estate market? Where are 99 00:05:28,800 --> 00:05:31,200 Speaker 1: you seeing the most demand? Was it? Is it multi family? 100 00:05:31,240 --> 00:05:33,200 Speaker 1: We know a lot of people are renting instead of buying. 101 00:05:33,400 --> 00:05:36,040 Speaker 1: Is it? Is it retail? Where do you see a 102 00:05:36,080 --> 00:05:40,320 Speaker 1: lot of demand right now? We see, uh, Well, multi 103 00:05:40,360 --> 00:05:44,600 Speaker 1: family has historically been the asset class that has performed 104 00:05:44,640 --> 00:05:47,080 Speaker 1: the best, and we see that continuing in this market, 105 00:05:47,400 --> 00:05:49,840 Speaker 1: although I will say in a lot of the Class 106 00:05:49,880 --> 00:05:53,240 Speaker 1: A prime markets there's been a tremendous amount of new 107 00:05:53,279 --> 00:05:56,000 Speaker 1: product that's come online, so for the first time we're 108 00:05:56,000 --> 00:05:59,560 Speaker 1: seeing a little push back in rent increases until that 109 00:05:59,640 --> 00:06:02,520 Speaker 1: new instruction gets absorbed. We see that continuing, But on 110 00:06:02,560 --> 00:06:05,200 Speaker 1: the whole, as an asset class, we think multi family 111 00:06:05,240 --> 00:06:06,799 Speaker 1: is still the best bet. Are you talking about markets 112 00:06:06,800 --> 00:06:09,240 Speaker 1: like San Francisco, New York those kinds of places, Yes, 113 00:06:09,440 --> 00:06:14,479 Speaker 1: San Francisco, New York, Chicago, Miami, um major gateway cities. 114 00:06:15,080 --> 00:06:17,960 Speaker 1: It seems as though the competition for properties means that 115 00:06:18,680 --> 00:06:23,279 Speaker 1: buyers or investors are maybe not bending the rules, but 116 00:06:23,320 --> 00:06:26,640 Speaker 1: at least expanding their horizons. Right. So, for example, I 117 00:06:26,720 --> 00:06:28,920 Speaker 1: know that you've been looking at things like what reats 118 00:06:28,960 --> 00:06:33,760 Speaker 1: do and they necessarily say, all right, a certain vintage 119 00:06:33,760 --> 00:06:36,400 Speaker 1: of apartment house or a certain vintage of building they're 120 00:06:36,440 --> 00:06:39,360 Speaker 1: not going to touch. That's changed, hasn't it, Yes, Pen 121 00:06:39,560 --> 00:06:44,440 Speaker 1: that the boundaries and where institutional investors, reats and and 122 00:06:44,480 --> 00:06:48,400 Speaker 1: even private investors are moving very quickly. Used to be 123 00:06:48,440 --> 00:06:51,359 Speaker 1: there was a line in the sand where investors, for 124 00:06:51,360 --> 00:06:53,960 Speaker 1: for example, wouldn't invest in something that was built before 125 00:06:54,520 --> 00:06:57,960 Speaker 1: nineteen nine because prior to that you had eight foot 126 00:06:58,000 --> 00:07:01,120 Speaker 1: ceilings and that is not a desirable for a renter. 127 00:07:01,440 --> 00:07:04,000 Speaker 1: But because it's been so challenging to find deals, we 128 00:07:04,080 --> 00:07:07,560 Speaker 1: find that across the board, investors are pushing their boundaries. 129 00:07:07,560 --> 00:07:11,400 Speaker 1: They're willing to go to uh earlier vintages. They're willing 130 00:07:11,440 --> 00:07:14,200 Speaker 1: to look at things that require a little more work 131 00:07:14,240 --> 00:07:18,080 Speaker 1: to get that return. Rachel. How important is cheap credit? Now? 132 00:07:18,080 --> 00:07:19,960 Speaker 1: The Feds may be going to raise rates a couple 133 00:07:19,960 --> 00:07:23,040 Speaker 1: of times. Is here we've and and that is pushing 134 00:07:23,080 --> 00:07:25,320 Speaker 1: up the short end a little bit. But in terms 135 00:07:25,400 --> 00:07:28,640 Speaker 1: of longer term financing costs, you still have very low yields. 136 00:07:28,960 --> 00:07:30,880 Speaker 1: Is that How much of a driver is that for 137 00:07:30,960 --> 00:07:33,440 Speaker 1: commercial real estate broadly? Is it going to be effective 138 00:07:33,440 --> 00:07:35,080 Speaker 1: if the Fed moves a couple more times this year? 139 00:07:35,920 --> 00:07:39,720 Speaker 1: The cheap credit is really instrumental in driving real estate, 140 00:07:39,880 --> 00:07:42,760 Speaker 1: and we don't see that changing anytime soon. I know 141 00:07:42,840 --> 00:07:45,000 Speaker 1: that there's been a lot of talk about the Fed 142 00:07:45,040 --> 00:07:49,280 Speaker 1: potentially raising rates in June. The credit markets have priced 143 00:07:49,280 --> 00:07:52,000 Speaker 1: that in a little bit, and we're still at historically 144 00:07:52,080 --> 00:07:55,360 Speaker 1: low interest rates. So as long as credit is as 145 00:07:55,400 --> 00:07:58,000 Speaker 1: plentiful as it has been, we don't see that affecting 146 00:07:58,040 --> 00:08:01,640 Speaker 1: the market. Rachel, that you've done what at the LANDA 147 00:08:01,720 --> 00:08:04,880 Speaker 1: Part Advisors, what six hundred million dollars worth of deals 148 00:08:05,080 --> 00:08:09,240 Speaker 1: markets like New York, San Francisco, Denver, Baltimore, Fort Flord 149 00:08:09,280 --> 00:08:11,480 Speaker 1: of the northern New Jersey. But you also say that 150 00:08:11,520 --> 00:08:13,520 Speaker 1: people are looking at I don't want to call him 151 00:08:13,600 --> 00:08:17,120 Speaker 1: second tier, but alternatives. For example, rather than go to 152 00:08:17,160 --> 00:08:19,400 Speaker 1: the east coast of Florida, you go to the west 153 00:08:19,400 --> 00:08:21,720 Speaker 1: coast of Florida. It's sort of like, rather than go 154 00:08:21,760 --> 00:08:23,920 Speaker 1: to Williamsburg, you kind of go to Bay Ridge. At 155 00:08:24,000 --> 00:08:27,280 Speaker 1: least for those who understand Brooklyn, what is that just 156 00:08:27,360 --> 00:08:30,200 Speaker 1: because it's just you know, the competition or what what 157 00:08:30,320 --> 00:08:35,400 Speaker 1: is causing this trend. Well, um, it's just very challenging 158 00:08:35,440 --> 00:08:39,319 Speaker 1: to be able to find a return and so um 159 00:08:39,360 --> 00:08:41,480 Speaker 1: again it's an experience. Is that because the seller is 160 00:08:41,480 --> 00:08:43,960 Speaker 1: the seller not realistic, the seller wants too much and 161 00:08:44,000 --> 00:08:45,760 Speaker 1: the and the buyer won't come through. I mean, is 162 00:08:45,760 --> 00:08:49,240 Speaker 1: the bid ask spread closing or what's happening. Yes, we're 163 00:08:49,280 --> 00:08:51,760 Speaker 1: seeing a change in the marketing process as well. Because 164 00:08:52,200 --> 00:08:55,960 Speaker 1: the market is so competitive, there is a tighter a 165 00:08:56,000 --> 00:08:58,120 Speaker 1: tighter span in the bid ask spread. We're seeing the 166 00:08:58,160 --> 00:09:02,600 Speaker 1: marketing process being condensed, less time for diligence, less time 167 00:09:02,600 --> 00:09:05,920 Speaker 1: to close. Um. And because sellers know that while the 168 00:09:06,000 --> 00:09:08,120 Speaker 1: market is like this, they have to kind of let's 169 00:09:08,120 --> 00:09:11,720 Speaker 1: say make hey. Um. But it's all signs of a 170 00:09:11,800 --> 00:09:15,160 Speaker 1: very strong market. Because deals are closing a contract price, 171 00:09:15,160 --> 00:09:18,680 Speaker 1: they're not being retraded, So that's a sign that there 172 00:09:18,720 --> 00:09:21,559 Speaker 1: is a market clearing price and and the market's very 173 00:09:21,640 --> 00:09:24,480 Speaker 1: robust malls. Rachel, We talked to Tom McGee this week. 174 00:09:24,480 --> 00:09:27,520 Speaker 1: He's CEO of the International Council of Shopping Centers. He 175 00:09:27,679 --> 00:09:30,560 Speaker 1: was at the recon convention on in Las Vegas. To me, 176 00:09:30,600 --> 00:09:34,000 Speaker 1: he was surprising the upbeat on on on retail, on 177 00:09:34,040 --> 00:09:36,040 Speaker 1: the demand for these mall spaces. I thought, you know, 178 00:09:36,120 --> 00:09:37,679 Speaker 1: brick and mortar was dying. What are you seeing in 179 00:09:37,720 --> 00:09:40,840 Speaker 1: the market. Well, there's been a transition in the way 180 00:09:40,880 --> 00:09:44,080 Speaker 1: people shop. Obviously a lot of shoppers move online, but 181 00:09:44,280 --> 00:09:48,320 Speaker 1: regional malls are still integral as social meeting centers, and 182 00:09:48,480 --> 00:09:51,640 Speaker 1: so what malls have used to be are very different 183 00:09:51,640 --> 00:09:54,000 Speaker 1: from what they are today, and they're transitioning to become 184 00:09:54,280 --> 00:09:58,280 Speaker 1: lifestyle centers. Maybe they're an indoor amusement park, maybe they're 185 00:09:58,320 --> 00:10:01,440 Speaker 1: they're an indoor golf center or a fitness center. So 186 00:10:01,520 --> 00:10:04,839 Speaker 1: they still are vital, but what they sell and how 187 00:10:04,880 --> 00:10:09,000 Speaker 1: they sell is definitely changing. Quick question, what's a transit village. 188 00:10:10,120 --> 00:10:15,160 Speaker 1: A transit village is um apartment complex or a lifestyle 189 00:10:15,240 --> 00:10:18,920 Speaker 1: center that is attached to maybe it's a commuter hub, 190 00:10:19,480 --> 00:10:24,439 Speaker 1: a main station. And that is significant because it follows 191 00:10:24,480 --> 00:10:29,600 Speaker 1: the trend that younger buyers and the next generation really 192 00:10:29,640 --> 00:10:31,959 Speaker 1: want to be closer to urban centers. So they don't 193 00:10:31,960 --> 00:10:33,640 Speaker 1: want to live in a suburban life. And if they 194 00:10:33,679 --> 00:10:35,800 Speaker 1: are living in the suburbs, they want to be someplace 195 00:10:35,840 --> 00:10:38,960 Speaker 1: that gets them very quick access into the urban Centers. 196 00:10:39,280 --> 00:10:42,079 Speaker 1: Thank you very much for joining us. Rachel Gilbert Solomon, 197 00:10:42,120 --> 00:10:44,880 Speaker 1: co founder, managing partner ahead of the New York office 198 00:10:45,160 --> 00:10:49,760 Speaker 1: of Atlanta Advisers, many thanks. You're listening to taking Stock. 199 00:10:49,800 --> 00:10:52,719 Speaker 1: I'm pim Fox my co host Kathleen Hayes, and you're 200 00:10:52,760 --> 00:11:01,640 Speaker 1: listening to Bloomberg Radio Bloomber. Taking Stock is brought to 201 00:11:01,679 --> 00:11:04,680 Speaker 1: you by CBOE Vixed Options in futures. Volatility can be 202 00:11:04,679 --> 00:11:07,920 Speaker 1: harnessed with c BOE VIX options and Futures C disclosures. 203 00:11:08,000 --> 00:11:11,559 Speaker 1: Learn more at cbo dot com. Slash Powerful Outcomes Fix