1 00:00:00,040 --> 00:00:02,560 Speaker 1: All right, twenty twenty five, marking a big year for 2 00:00:02,640 --> 00:00:06,080 Speaker 1: deal making, with a second half surge catapulting global M 3 00:00:06,120 --> 00:00:08,760 Speaker 1: and A to a near record volume of three point 4 00:00:08,880 --> 00:00:11,680 Speaker 1: six trillion dollars. In our next guest says an increasing 5 00:00:11,760 --> 00:00:15,200 Speaker 1: number of exits are expected through twenty twenty six, starting 6 00:00:15,240 --> 00:00:18,640 Speaker 1: with IPOs, but quickly expanding to a more vibrant M 7 00:00:18,640 --> 00:00:20,560 Speaker 1: and A market. Let's get to it with Bob Curly. 8 00:00:21,040 --> 00:00:24,239 Speaker 1: He's Deputy Chief Banking Officer of Regional Banking at Western Alliance. 9 00:00:24,320 --> 00:00:26,639 Speaker 1: Joining us right now. Hey, Bob, good to have you 10 00:00:26,840 --> 00:00:29,479 Speaker 1: here twenty twenty five. How did that end up for 11 00:00:29,560 --> 00:00:30,280 Speaker 1: you and your team? 12 00:00:31,080 --> 00:00:34,320 Speaker 2: Thank you, Happy new year to you and Tim. The 13 00:00:34,400 --> 00:00:37,879 Speaker 2: year was fantastic. When I talked to you guys in June, 14 00:00:38,000 --> 00:00:41,320 Speaker 2: I was optimistic that we would see a good second half, 15 00:00:41,680 --> 00:00:45,239 Speaker 2: and my expectations were exceeded. In fact, both for the 16 00:00:45,280 --> 00:00:48,480 Speaker 2: bank overall and for innovation banking in particular. We've had 17 00:00:48,479 --> 00:00:51,120 Speaker 2: a very strong finish to the year, and it looks 18 00:00:51,200 --> 00:00:53,360 Speaker 2: like a good build to the book for next year. 19 00:00:53,479 --> 00:00:55,120 Speaker 1: Well, tell us little bit more about that, give us 20 00:00:55,120 --> 00:00:57,120 Speaker 1: some color, or give us some insight into exactly what 21 00:00:57,160 --> 00:01:00,840 Speaker 1: you're seeing. What kind of deals are we talking about, Well. 22 00:01:00,600 --> 00:01:03,120 Speaker 2: We're talking across the whole scale, which is a little 23 00:01:03,160 --> 00:01:06,400 Speaker 2: bit different. What we had not seen before was earlier 24 00:01:06,440 --> 00:01:10,720 Speaker 2: stage companies in the innovation sector going out and successfully 25 00:01:10,840 --> 00:01:14,840 Speaker 2: raising money. The spigot has now turned back on. We 26 00:01:14,880 --> 00:01:17,440 Speaker 2: started to see that late Q three and in the 27 00:01:17,520 --> 00:01:21,240 Speaker 2: Q four we had any number of companies tap the market, 28 00:01:21,520 --> 00:01:23,720 Speaker 2: and even more our teed up to tap the market 29 00:01:23,720 --> 00:01:26,080 Speaker 2: as we go into the new year. Part of it 30 00:01:26,240 --> 00:01:29,679 Speaker 2: was the reopening of the IPO market, and by attention, 31 00:01:29,840 --> 00:01:32,720 Speaker 2: as was just discussed on your show, the M and 32 00:01:32,760 --> 00:01:35,520 Speaker 2: A market has really come back as well. So there's 33 00:01:35,560 --> 00:01:38,759 Speaker 2: additional sources of liquidity in the market that we had 34 00:01:38,760 --> 00:01:42,360 Speaker 2: not seen. That gets people who are funders of these 35 00:01:42,400 --> 00:01:45,280 Speaker 2: businesses more optimistic as to what the future will be, 36 00:01:45,400 --> 00:01:47,880 Speaker 2: what the exits will look like, and hence willing to 37 00:01:47,920 --> 00:01:48,720 Speaker 2: make bets today. 38 00:01:48,920 --> 00:01:53,200 Speaker 3: A lot of ways to fund these businesses. There's equity investment, 39 00:01:53,360 --> 00:01:56,840 Speaker 3: there's venture debt, which I know you certainly specialize in 40 00:01:57,480 --> 00:02:00,000 Speaker 3: which one will take a front seat in twenty two. 41 00:02:01,680 --> 00:02:04,920 Speaker 2: Well, it's always led by the equity side, and that's 42 00:02:05,160 --> 00:02:08,320 Speaker 2: both private and public equity. When we're talking about IPOs, 43 00:02:08,360 --> 00:02:11,480 Speaker 2: that's public equity. But what the function of venture debt 44 00:02:11,600 --> 00:02:14,440 Speaker 2: is to be able to extend early stage companies runt 45 00:02:14,480 --> 00:02:18,880 Speaker 2: cash runways so that they can accomplish milestones or traction 46 00:02:19,040 --> 00:02:22,560 Speaker 2: with clients to prove out that their solution does indeed work. 47 00:02:22,919 --> 00:02:25,679 Speaker 2: And you can imagine what the valuation leap is when 48 00:02:25,680 --> 00:02:27,640 Speaker 2: they are able to do that so well. 49 00:02:27,560 --> 00:02:29,000 Speaker 3: They don't have to give up any equity To. 50 00:02:28,960 --> 00:02:31,959 Speaker 2: Do that, they give up far less equity wall. 51 00:02:31,880 --> 00:02:34,160 Speaker 3: Far less do they not give up any equity if 52 00:02:34,200 --> 00:02:34,959 Speaker 3: it's venture debt. 53 00:02:34,840 --> 00:02:37,200 Speaker 2: They do give a little bit depending on the situation. 54 00:02:37,480 --> 00:02:42,120 Speaker 2: In the early stages, they'll provide warrant coverage on the transaction. 55 00:02:42,480 --> 00:02:44,440 Speaker 2: It gives a little bit of upside to the to 56 00:02:44,480 --> 00:02:48,360 Speaker 2: the lender, but compared to equity, much less delutive. 57 00:02:48,560 --> 00:02:50,760 Speaker 3: But are you ever doing deals in venture debt where 58 00:02:50,800 --> 00:02:53,760 Speaker 3: you're just loaning money and you're not actually getting an 59 00:02:53,760 --> 00:02:54,400 Speaker 3: equity stake. 60 00:02:54,800 --> 00:02:59,000 Speaker 2: That tends to be for later stage companies, growth type companies, 61 00:02:59,240 --> 00:03:02,880 Speaker 2: so antinuum, it starts with the very earliest stage. You 62 00:03:02,880 --> 00:03:06,960 Speaker 2: do see equity attachments to almost all the deals, and 63 00:03:07,000 --> 00:03:10,160 Speaker 2: as the company progresses through its development chain, there'd be 64 00:03:10,240 --> 00:03:12,240 Speaker 2: less equity, more to debt focus. 65 00:03:12,480 --> 00:03:14,640 Speaker 1: Hey, Bob. What kind of companies though? Is it all 66 00:03:14,680 --> 00:03:19,359 Speaker 1: AI related? Is it bioscience, biotechnology? Give me an idea 67 00:03:19,400 --> 00:03:22,400 Speaker 1: of the kind of deals that are coming across your desk. 68 00:03:22,960 --> 00:03:27,120 Speaker 2: I would say AI is a backbone or AI is 69 00:03:27,160 --> 00:03:30,760 Speaker 2: now being attached to everything that comes across at anyone's desk, 70 00:03:31,200 --> 00:03:33,240 Speaker 2: and so you have to dig in and understand what 71 00:03:33,280 --> 00:03:36,320 Speaker 2: the level of AI is. In many cases it's machine 72 00:03:36,360 --> 00:03:40,040 Speaker 2: learning or displaying automation. So everyone's putting the AI tag 73 00:03:40,120 --> 00:03:43,800 Speaker 2: on everything, But that is the constant backbone or the 74 00:03:43,840 --> 00:03:46,920 Speaker 2: consistent backbone that we see. It's now being applied to 75 00:03:46,920 --> 00:03:52,280 Speaker 2: a whole lot of businesses. For example, in our medical 76 00:03:52,400 --> 00:03:55,720 Speaker 2: and life sciences groups, we're seeing the use of AI 77 00:03:56,000 --> 00:04:01,360 Speaker 2: much more, much accelerating in that area. Also seeing energy 78 00:04:01,600 --> 00:04:04,280 Speaker 2: what had been clean tech is now becoming energy tech. 79 00:04:05,720 --> 00:04:06,440 Speaker 1: What does that mean? 80 00:04:07,080 --> 00:04:08,560 Speaker 3: So it's energy change? 81 00:04:09,200 --> 00:04:09,880 Speaker 1: What does that mean? 82 00:04:10,360 --> 00:04:13,520 Speaker 2: No? I think it's a focus from just focusing on 83 00:04:13,640 --> 00:04:16,440 Speaker 2: clean energy, for example, to how do we get more 84 00:04:16,480 --> 00:04:19,760 Speaker 2: sources of energy at a more compelling price. And so 85 00:04:19,960 --> 00:04:24,600 Speaker 2: it's really a transition in terms of AI on the 86 00:04:25,000 --> 00:04:27,760 Speaker 2: what it's doing is transitioning the software what had been 87 00:04:27,839 --> 00:04:31,679 Speaker 2: the software business into an AI business. But it's really 88 00:04:31,960 --> 00:04:35,320 Speaker 2: going after the applications business. So how do we solve 89 00:04:35,320 --> 00:04:38,919 Speaker 2: a specific company's problem today, what's the ROI on that? 90 00:04:39,360 --> 00:04:43,320 Speaker 2: And that's where we're seeing applied AI really make some gains. 91 00:04:43,400 --> 00:04:44,880 Speaker 1: Bob, I want to go back to something you said 92 00:04:44,880 --> 00:04:46,960 Speaker 1: though about deals coming across the desk, and you said 93 00:04:46,960 --> 00:04:49,520 Speaker 1: everybody's attaching AI and you've really got to kind of 94 00:04:49,520 --> 00:04:51,960 Speaker 1: go through stuff. That makes me a little nervous because 95 00:04:52,320 --> 00:04:54,840 Speaker 1: that reminds me of the dot com where everything but 96 00:04:55,200 --> 00:04:57,960 Speaker 1: through dot Com on, you know, and said they had 97 00:04:58,000 --> 00:05:01,680 Speaker 1: an Internet strategy and every but he didn't. So is 98 00:05:01,720 --> 00:05:03,600 Speaker 1: there a lot of that coming through or no. 99 00:05:05,000 --> 00:05:09,480 Speaker 2: I would say everything has a consistent backbone or consistent 100 00:05:09,520 --> 00:05:11,320 Speaker 2: theme of AI, and what you have to look at 101 00:05:11,400 --> 00:05:15,200 Speaker 2: is what is the comparative differential that they provide and 102 00:05:15,279 --> 00:05:18,960 Speaker 2: how long lasting is that that differential going to last? 103 00:05:19,560 --> 00:05:22,760 Speaker 2: And as a result, what we're doing is focusing on 104 00:05:22,839 --> 00:05:26,640 Speaker 2: those sectors where there's a more immediate ROI for the 105 00:05:26,720 --> 00:05:28,200 Speaker 2: ultimate enterprise client. 106 00:05:29,480 --> 00:05:32,600 Speaker 3: Bob Curley, Deputy Chief Banking Officer of Regional Banking at 107 00:05:32,640 --> 00:05:36,320 Speaker 3: Western Alliance, joining us on this first trading day of 108 00:05:36,400 --> 00:05:36,760 Speaker 3: the year,