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Speaker 1: The Action Network podcast, named vest Vetting Podcast or radio

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Speaker 1: show by the Fantasy Sports and Gaming Association and the

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Speaker 1: number one show for the invested sports fan.

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Speaker 2: All Right, here we go.

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Speaker 3: We're growing in job spectacular.

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Speaker 4: I'm sitting it to cash.

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Speaker 1: We'll see most gamblers when they go to gamble, they

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Speaker 1: go to win.

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Speaker 2: God, that's incredible.

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Speaker 4: Big bank, small banks.

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Speaker 2: I like to make money.

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Speaker 5: All right, this is the ultimate combine you want to pull,

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Speaker 5: and we are underway.

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Speaker 2: Hello, everyone, Welcome back to another NFL Fantasy Flex episode

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Speaker 2: of the award winning Action Network podcast, presented by Bett MGM,

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Speaker 2: the official odds provider of the show. I'm Matthew Freeman,

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Speaker 2: the editor in chief of Fantasy Labs, and here with

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Speaker 2: me are Shawn Corner and Chris Raybond. Sewan is the

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Speaker 2: Action Network director of Predictive Analytics, and Chris is a

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Speaker 2: senior editor and analyst at the Action Network. There too

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Speaker 2: of the best fantasy football rankers in the world. Week

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Speaker 2: sixteen Championship Money Week, we have a lot to get to.

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Speaker 2: In this episode, we're highlighting the players at the top

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Speaker 2: of our rankings and the fantasy tool at Action Network.

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Speaker 2: We're discussing the guys we're high and low on and

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Speaker 2: looking at how they do in our Fantasy Labs models,

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Speaker 2: and we are speculating on some player props. A couple

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Speaker 2: of notes for I can't get to the guys. The

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Speaker 2: NBA season is here, so we are adjusting the podcast schedule.

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Speaker 6: This week.

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Speaker 2: We have an NBA betting show for the Christmas Day slate.

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Speaker 2: We will also have weekly NBA episodes starting in January.

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Speaker 2: And for college football fans, Stucky and Colin are in

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Speaker 2: the middle of their annual five part preview of every

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Speaker 2: Bowl game, literally every game all the way to the

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Speaker 2: National Championship. And of course we will continue with the

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Speaker 2: Fantasy Flex every week to the Super Bowl. Also, I

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Speaker 2: would be remiss if I did not remind you that

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Speaker 2: we have just a couple more weeks left of the

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Speaker 2: Action Network podcast Tournament of Champions presented by bet. It

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Speaker 2: is a free tournament on Yahoo for our listeners. You

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Speaker 2: can join by clicking the link in the show description.

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Speaker 2: Each week, the top ten finishers get over one thousand

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Speaker 2: dollars in Action Network prizes. In the top five advance

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Speaker 2: to the Wildcard Weekend Grand Finale, where the winner will

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Speaker 2: get a grand prize. Las Vegas trip for two valued

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Speaker 2: at five thousand dollars courtesy at bet MGM. Again, listeners

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Speaker 2: can join for free every week. Click on the link

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Speaker 2: in the episode description to join. Right, fellas, let's get

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Speaker 2: to the quarterback rankings that everyone can access, and by everyone,

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Speaker 2: I mean our loyal subscribers can access at Action Network

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Speaker 2: and our Fantasy tool. And the quarterbacks at the top

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Speaker 2: of our rankings should be no surprise. Patrick mahomes number one,

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Speaker 2: but now Jalen Hurts at number two and Josh Allen

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Speaker 2: at number three. And before I can't get to you, guys,

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Speaker 2: I'm going to step in and be the first one

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Speaker 2: to go because I have Jalen Hurts number one. I

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Speaker 2: had him number two last week. I have him number

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Speaker 2: one this week. And on the one hand, it's ridiculous.

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Speaker 2: On the other hand, he's had forty five percent of

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Speaker 2: the team's carries in his two starts. He had over

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Speaker 2: one hundred yards rushing two weeks ago, had three hundred

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Speaker 2: yards and three touchdowns passing last week. As I said

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Speaker 2: last week on the show, he is very much like

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Speaker 2: twenty eighteen Lamar Jackson and Josh Allen and what those

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Speaker 2: guys did at the end of their rookie seasons, where

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Speaker 2: Josh Allen was actually the number one fantasy quarterback when

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Speaker 2: he returned from injury and started the final six games

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Speaker 2: of the season. Not to say that Hurts is going

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Speaker 2: to have that kind of streak for what he does

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Speaker 2: over the end of the season, but I mean, going

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Speaker 2: against Dallas, I mean this is a good spot and

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Speaker 2: we've seen he has now the high rushing floor and

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Speaker 2: the high ceiling that can come with the rushing floor

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Speaker 2: and competent passing on top of it. So going against

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Speaker 2: the bad Cowboys defense, I am very enthusiastic about Jalen

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Speaker 2: Hurts number one overall. Sean, I'm kicking it to you.

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Speaker 6: Yeah, I'm going.

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Speaker 7: To test your Jalen Hurts number one overall in our

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Speaker 7: QB prop section this week. But you know, I think

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Speaker 7: we should all take a victory lap on fantacy pros.

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Speaker 7: You know, Raybaugh and I were in the top five

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Speaker 7: rankers in terms of boldness on Jalen Hurts, but Freeman

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Speaker 7: was number one. You had him number two last week,

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Speaker 7: so special kudos to you. But it's really hard for

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Speaker 7: us to outrank you, especially when you have them number

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Speaker 7: one this week. So I think we could all take

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Speaker 7: a victory let there, and you know it's ridiculous DK

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Speaker 7: only has some seven K this week, so I don't

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Speaker 7: know how you don't plan. Last week I went with

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Speaker 7: Naked Hurts, which was the right call because you know,

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Speaker 7: he threw two touchdowns to Greg war Junior and one

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Speaker 7: to Ques Watkins, So good luck trying to figure out

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Speaker 7: who's stacking with going forward. I think Jalen Rager might

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Speaker 7: be out this week, so that might help narrow the

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Speaker 7: target tree just a little bit. But anyways, Yeah, so

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Speaker 7: the other QB I'm high on is Matt Ryan at

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Speaker 7: five point AK this week on DK. This is all

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Speaker 7: pending if Julio actually returns this week, which I think

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Speaker 7: he might. He's he's certainly pushing to but this could

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Speaker 7: definitely be a past heavy game script against the Chiefs.

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Speaker 7: And you know, Edo Smith has been declared the lead back,

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Speaker 7: so you know, I think you know Smith's main strength,

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Speaker 7: main strength is a pass catching back. I think the

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Speaker 7: Falcons might just abandon the run these past couple of

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Speaker 7: games and just aired out to Julio Jones and Calvmbley.

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Speaker 7: So I'm interested in some Matt Ryan this week on

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Speaker 7: on DK, where I think he'll be under owned, and

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Speaker 7: certainly in season long leagues. You know is QB fourteen.

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Speaker 7: He's on that fringe of a stream of ow QB

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Speaker 7: one if he happens to be available in your league.

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Speaker 7: So I'm pretty high on Matt Ryan this week, only

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Speaker 7: if Julio Jones returns.

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Speaker 2: Of course. Yeah, a look in the Fantasy Labs models,

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Speaker 2: and you know, under the assumption that Julio Jones is

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Speaker 2: playing this week, Ryan is popping in literally every single

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Speaker 2: one of the models that we have there, especially on

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Speaker 2: draft kings, where he he is fairly cheap. So something

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Speaker 2: to keep an eye on. Raybond.

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Speaker 5: Who do you like your quarterback? Yeah, I'm what true.

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Speaker 5: I got jayhen Hurts number one. I mean, it's there's

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Speaker 5: nothing more to be said, but like, I think he's

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Speaker 5: better than like in at least in fantasy because Lamar

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Speaker 5: Jackson that.

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Speaker 4: Year he didn't really throw the football like Jalen.

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Speaker 5: Hurts has already put up a three hundred and thirty

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Speaker 5: eight yard passing ceiling. Remember Josh Allen, I think in

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Speaker 5: his first two years in the league he had like

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Speaker 5: one three hundred yard game or something like that. So

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Speaker 5: this is impressive, especially especially considering that you looked at

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Speaker 5: what Carson Wentz did and he just couldn't get it done.

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Speaker 5: You know, a guy that's played at an MVP level before.

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Speaker 5: So yeah, I think there's really no quarterback. I mean,

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Speaker 5: you know, Patrick Mahomes and Hurts a kind of neck

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Speaker 5: and neck in my model, So you know, that's really

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Speaker 5: the only quarterback that I would say, okay, bench Jalen

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Speaker 5: Hurts for You're straight up, you know, because it's it's

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Speaker 5: we're at that point in the season where rushing productions

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Speaker 5: is that a valuable I think Baker Mayfield going against

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Speaker 5: the New York Jets, I liked what I saw out

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Speaker 5: of the game plan and from the Browns last week,

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Speaker 5: with you know, going against the Giants. You know, they

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Speaker 5: knew they had an advantage with James Bradbury out in

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Speaker 5: the Giants secondary actually a little bit weaker than the norm,

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Speaker 5: and instead of just trying to smash it with Chubb

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Speaker 5: and Hunt all day, they actually threw the football and

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Speaker 5: I think Mayfield and ended up with only like five incompletions.

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Speaker 5: So he's hot right now. It's a let now spot

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Speaker 5: for the Jets. So like Baker Mayfield at sixty one hundred.

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Speaker 2: All right, I want to take just a second to

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Speaker 2: have a theoretical conversation here, because there are so few

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Speaker 2: people in the world who have both Patrick Mahomes and

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Speaker 2: Jalen Hurts on a team where they have to make

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Speaker 2: a decision, Like maybe in a best Ball singer or

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Speaker 2: something like that, you might have, but very few people

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Speaker 2: in Week sixteen have those two quarterbacks and actually need

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Speaker 2: to make a sit start decision with the championship on

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Speaker 2: the line. I'll be honest, if it's a normal week,

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Speaker 2: maybe I'm going like, yeah, sure, I do have Jalen

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Speaker 2: Hurst number one, but championship week, like, do you actually

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Speaker 2: go with the rookie? Is there's a difference between having

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Speaker 2: him ranked number one and actually putting him in over

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Speaker 2: Patrick Mahomes with a championship on the line, Like, Raymond,

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Speaker 2: what do you do in this situation? Because I have

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Speaker 2: Hurts ranked number one, I would probably still have to

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Speaker 2: go with Mahomes, I.

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Speaker 5: Mean, right now, would go with Hurts because you got

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Speaker 5: to trust the model? Yeah, I mean before right, Like,

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Speaker 5: I mean, I get it, I'm saying, but there areer

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Speaker 5: point four points apart. Now, you know, as I update

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Speaker 5: some some things, you know, it's Tuesday morning as we're recording,

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Speaker 5: is uh and you know the final projection, Mahomes may

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Speaker 5: end up ahead, in which case I would say Mahomes.

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Speaker 5: I think Mahomes is more comfortable.

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Speaker 4: Yes, But I.

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Speaker 5: Mean we're talking about the Dallas Cowboys defense here, like

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Speaker 5: they gave up, like, you know, eighty points to San

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Speaker 5: Francisco in the last two minutes of the game.

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Speaker 4: Like you know, this is like you know.

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Speaker 5: What I mean, Like this is it's not like a

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Speaker 5: worrisome matchup, whereas like the Falcons, they've played better on defense.

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Speaker 2: So it's it's kind of like they, okay, they have

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Speaker 2: played better on defense, but there's still the Falcons. They're

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Speaker 2: still not very good. They would be out to starting

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Speaker 2: defensive backs and Mahomes is at home with a slate

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Speaker 2: high implied total. You know, Like I don't know, Sean,

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Speaker 2: where are you on this Mahomes versus versus?

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Speaker 7: So that's my QB prop question I could just pose

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Speaker 7: right now. But the way I wanted to phrase it

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Speaker 7: is kind of what you said Freeman. It's one thing

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Speaker 7: and just rank them and our models and whatnot, and

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Speaker 7: it's one thing. You know, if I'm making a personal decision.

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Speaker 7: I'm more than willing to take on risk. But it's

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Speaker 7: different when somebody on Twitter asks you a question, you know,

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Speaker 7: what do I do? So imagine somebody asks you, you know,

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Speaker 7: Ray Bond or Freeman. You know, I'm in a championship matchup.

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Speaker 7: First place is ten thousand dollars, second place gets nothing,

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Speaker 7: and I have Jalen Hurts on my bench and I

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Speaker 7: have Patrick Mahomes in the starting slot.

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Speaker 6: What do I do?

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Speaker 7: I mean, that's a realistic situation. And in that situation,

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Speaker 7: I think the only guy I would say to start

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Speaker 7: over Hurts would be Patrick Mahomes. I think, you know,

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Speaker 7: when it comes to guy like Kyler Murray, we're talking

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Speaker 7: as a coin flip, and I think both will be

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Speaker 7: I think in the end, everybody's going to have a

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Speaker 7: great week. It probably won't matter. But I think that

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Speaker 7: when it comes to Mahomes versus Earths, I'm still going

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Speaker 7: with Mahomes. There's still you know, Hurts still does have

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Speaker 7: a wide range of outcomes. Mahomes, you mentioned it. You know,

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Speaker 7: this matchup against the Falcons is near perfect for him.

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Speaker 7: So I think I'll still roll with Mahomes, but I'm

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Speaker 7: starting Hurts over everybody else.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I think that's where I am. And part of

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Speaker 2: it is, you know, we have a two game sample

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Speaker 2: of Jalen Hurts, even though he's looked great, and I

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Speaker 2: do believe that he has a very solid floor because

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Speaker 2: of his rushing ability, just based on the sample of

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Speaker 2: the two different quarterbacks. Like we know what Mahomes is.

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Speaker 2: He's never been anything worse than a fantasy QB two

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Speaker 2: in any start of his career. You know, I just

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Speaker 2: feel like I would have to go with Mahomes, especially

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Speaker 2: given the matchup. But Sean, I'm right with you. There's

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Speaker 2: there's no one else, really, no one else with a

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Speaker 2: ton of money on the line that I would put

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Speaker 2: in above Hurts.

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Speaker 6: And I'm not gonna lie.

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Speaker 7: When the Eagles were down ten or fourteen points, I

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Speaker 7: was about to text you guys and ask should we

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Speaker 7: be worried? You know, is Carson Wentz going to come

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Speaker 7: in now because it's such a trailing game script. But

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Speaker 7: they left him in there, and he has proven, you know,

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Speaker 7: that he's game script proof, So I think he cleared

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Speaker 7: that hurdle where we can certainly say he has a

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Speaker 7: much higher floor going to this game as opposed the

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Speaker 7: last week, because we've seen him stay in in a

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Speaker 7: negative game script and he thrived in that. So I agree.

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Speaker 7: I think he does have one of the highest scores

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Speaker 7: on the entire slate, just just it's hard to bench

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Speaker 7: Mahomes for him.

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Speaker 5: Yeah, I have Mahomes and Hurts and then there's a

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Speaker 5: two and a half point gap between them and every

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Speaker 5: other quarterback. So I mean, this is a great question

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Speaker 5: for people that I think have you know, Kyler Murray,

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Speaker 5: Aaron Rodgers, Josh Allen, like Deshaun Watson, like all those

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Speaker 5: guys you know, on paper, Josh Allen, I mean, Lamar Jackson,

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Speaker 5: it looks like it looks like a question like, Okay,

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Speaker 5: you know Jayalen Hurts. You know, he's got two games

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Speaker 5: under his belt.

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Speaker 4: What should I do?

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Speaker 5: But uh, yeah, I have a two and a half

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Speaker 5: at least a two and a half point gap between

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Speaker 5: just the top two and every other quarterback. So like,

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Speaker 5: for example, between Hurts and and a guy like Lamar,

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Speaker 5: it's it's more like five points.

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Speaker 4: So you know that, just to put that in perspective.

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Speaker 2: All Right, Raybond, who is a quarterback you were low

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Speaker 2: on this week?

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Speaker 4: So for me, it's gonna be Russell Wilson.

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Speaker 5: You know, he's that, you know, one of the guys

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Speaker 5: that you know started the year hot and that now

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Speaker 5: I'm looking at my rankings and he's down in ninth

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Speaker 5: place after pretty much every other running quarterback going against

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Speaker 5: the Rams. I know that they kind of played really

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Speaker 5: poorly against sam Donold last week, but uh, this is

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Speaker 5: still one of the best pass defenses in the league.

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Speaker 4: The Seahawks clearly are.

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Speaker 5: In a spot where they're kind of recommitted to running

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Speaker 5: ball and that rough let Russ Cook philosophy from earlier on,

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Speaker 5: we're not seeing that anymore. And on top of that,

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Speaker 5: if you just look back at the last few meetings

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Speaker 5: between the Rams and the Seahawks, the Rams have had

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Speaker 5: the Seahawks' number on both sides of the ball. In

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Speaker 5: the last matchup, they held them well under twenty points,

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Speaker 5: you know, this season. So Russell Wilson's my QB number

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Speaker 5: nine this week.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, Raymond, I totally agree, He's the guy that I

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Speaker 2: would go with to there. I mean, the Rams have

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Speaker 2: held quarterbacks to a league low thirteen point two fantasy points,

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Speaker 2: and I think a lot of that passing offense at

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Speaker 2: this point revolves around DK Metcalf and Jalen Ramsey is

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Speaker 2: one of the few cornerbacks who I think has the

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Speaker 2: size and also the athleticism actually to challenge DK Metcalf.

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Speaker 2: You know, we've seen him have success against him before.

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Speaker 2: So if Metcalf is held in check, I really do

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Speaker 2: think that the passing offense will struggle for the Seahawks,

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Speaker 2: or at least won't have the ceiling that it has

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Speaker 2: had previously. So I'm with you there on Russell Wilson.

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Speaker 2: I have him as a low end QB one Sean,

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Speaker 2: who are you going against this week?

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Speaker 7: I'm going against Lamar on DK this week. He's eight K,

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Speaker 7: which you know is way too expensive just considering how

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Speaker 7: many good duel threat quarterbacks there are. Like I said,

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Speaker 7: you know, Jalen Hurts is seven K, so there's absolutely

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Speaker 7: no reason to spend up a thousand dollars to get

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Speaker 7: Lamar Jackson. You know, he opens up this week as

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Speaker 7: my QB seven, which you know, honestly doesn't matter. It's

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Speaker 7: really just a massive you know, QB one tier at

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Speaker 7: the top of all seven. Quarterbacks are pretty interchangeable. But again,

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Speaker 7: you know, this is a matchup at home against the Giants.

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Speaker 7: You know, if Cole McCoy starts, I don't know if

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Speaker 7: Lamar Jackson is gonna have to do much. And last

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Speaker 7: week we really saw a twenty twenty version of a

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Speaker 7: ceiling game of Lamar Jackson. You know, he threw for

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Speaker 7: two hundred and thirty yards and three touchdowns, also ran

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Speaker 7: in for a score. Last year that would be more typical,

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Speaker 7: but this year that does feel more of a ceiling game.

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Speaker 7: So you know, I expect them to be under two

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Speaker 7: hundreds passing this week, maybe a couple of touchdowns, and

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Speaker 7: we'll still still see the rushing production, but he just

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Speaker 7: has a lower ceiling this year, so I don't think

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Speaker 7: he's warranted the eight K price tag on DK. And

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Speaker 7: you know you might as well pick, you know, one

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Speaker 7: of these josh Allen Kyler, Murray Jalen Hurts type. So

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Speaker 7: I'll be fading Lamar Jackson DK this.

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Speaker 2: Week, all right, So Seawan, you already gave us the

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Speaker 2: quarterback prop. Everyone, be sure you check out the Fantasy

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Speaker 2: Labs player prop tool, where the props with the bet

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00:15:29,520 --> 00:15:31,680
Speaker 2: quality to have a sixty percent win rate over the

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00:15:31,720 --> 00:15:34,040
Speaker 2: past two years, and when player props are posted, you

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00:15:34,040 --> 00:15:36,320
Speaker 2: can bet them at bet MGM.

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Speaker 3: Hope you're enjoying this great action network podcast. I want

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Speaker 3: to make sure you know about the locked On podcast

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Speaker 3: network locked On as a daily podcast on your favorite team.

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Speaker 2: Welcome to you, Lockdown forty nine ers.

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Speaker 4: You are locked down of the Dallas matriage. Well came

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Speaker 4: everybody for the Lockdown Lakers podcast. Let's go.

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Speaker 2: Let's look at the running backs at the top of

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Speaker 2: our rankings. I'm going to be looking at half PPR. Specifically,

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Speaker 2: we have Alvin Kamara number one, Dalvin Cook number two,

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Speaker 2: Derrick Henry number three. I don't think a big surprise there,

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Speaker 2: although you know, you potentially could make a case for

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Speaker 2: Austin Eckler or you know, maybe Aaron Jones someone sliding

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Speaker 2: into the top three, But I think those top three

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Speaker 2: feel pretty Consensusy Sean, who is a running back or

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Speaker 2: a couple of backs that you are high on for

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Speaker 2: this week?

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Speaker 7: I'm super high on Jeff Wilson right now. It sounds

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Speaker 7: like Raheem Moser is going to be out and jeff

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Speaker 7: Wilson himself is banged up, so we need to monitor that.

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Speaker 7: But he could end up being the closest thing to

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Speaker 7: a workhorse back we've seen in this fortnres offense. Obviously,

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Speaker 7: you know he's going to dominate the early down work,

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Speaker 7: certainly the goal line carries as they arise. But he also,

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Speaker 7: you know, was the lead receiving back. You know, he

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Speaker 7: saw forty three percent routes run. So you know, anytime

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Speaker 7: you can get the workhorse back on the forty nine ers,

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Speaker 7: you take it.

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Speaker 4: So I'll be all over Jeffrey Wilson.

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Speaker 7: He's five kN DK, He's in easy play there and

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Speaker 7: you know, I think he's a solid RB two at

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Speaker 7: least in season long league, so he'll he'll be in

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Speaker 7: any you know, championship lineups where I have him a

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Speaker 7: great matchup against the Cardinals as well, and then David

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Speaker 7: Johnson as well, a great matchup this week at home

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Speaker 7: against the Bengals. They should be able to run a

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Speaker 7: lot more than they're used to. Duke Johnson still banged up.

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Speaker 7: It's it's unclear if he'll be able to suit up

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Speaker 7: this week, but you know we saw David Johnson finally

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Speaker 7: thrive as a pass catching back for the Texans. He

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Speaker 7: ran around on seventy six percent of the dropbacks and

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Speaker 7: sure enough, he saw eleven targets, cut eleven balls for

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Speaker 7: one hundred and six yards. So he's I mean, I

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Speaker 7: need to update a few things, but he's gonna be

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Speaker 7: a low end RB one this week if Duke Johnson

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Speaker 7: is out, so be sure to start him anywhere you have.

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Speaker 6: Him this week.

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Speaker 2: Sean, totally with you there on Jeff Wilson. I'm assuming

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Speaker 2: that Raheem Mostert is out, and so I have him

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Speaker 2: ranked as a high end RB two. So I think

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Speaker 2: very much in line with where you are. He's been

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Speaker 2: very productive when given the opportunities, and I think, as

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Speaker 2: you said, highly likely to be the lead back both

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Speaker 2: in running and receiving if Mostert is out. And also

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Speaker 2: I'm pretty high on Tony Pollard again assuming Zeke is out,

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Speaker 2: with super productive last week, and I mean honestly, like

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Speaker 2: I mean, I don't want to cast dispersions at Ezekiel Elliott,

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Speaker 2: but I feel like Tony Pollard looks like the better

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Speaker 2: player right now, and maybe some of that is because

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Speaker 2: Zeke is injured. Whatever it is. But you know, Pollard

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Speaker 2: is younger, more explosive, probably a better receiving back. If

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Speaker 2: Zeke is out, I feel like Pollard is a top

387
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Speaker 2: five running back this week, Ray Bond, who are you

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Speaker 2: high on?

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Speaker 6: Well, you know this.

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Speaker 5: Guy may not get talked about just yet because Monday

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Speaker 5: night game, we're recording about twelve hours after it. But

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Speaker 5: Giovanni Bernard twenty five of the thirty one carries for

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Speaker 5: the Cincinnati Bengals, twenty six of the thirty two backfield

394
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Speaker 5: touches for the Cincinnati Bengals against the Pittsburgh Steelers. Now

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Speaker 5: they're going against a Houston Texans defense that's allowed five

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Speaker 5: point four yards per carry to opposing running backs. No

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Speaker 5: other team in the NFL has allowed more than five.

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Speaker 5: Houston Texans are allowing a half yard more per carry

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Speaker 5: two backs than any other team in the league. And

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Speaker 5: Bernard reclaimed, you know, that number one role. You know,

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Speaker 5: twenty five carries. That's a season high for him. So

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Speaker 5: I think you can trust Bernard and there's there's some

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00:19:48,359 --> 00:19:50,840
Speaker 5: real upside there even if he doesn't get that full workload,

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00:19:50,960 --> 00:19:54,280
Speaker 5: just because of the efficiency that the Texans are allowing.

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Speaker 4: And then in DFS.

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Speaker 5: I think David Montgomery is correctly priced. He's you know,

407
00:19:59,440 --> 00:20:01,879
Speaker 5: seventy seven hundred, which may seem high, but you know,

408
00:20:02,080 --> 00:20:05,240
Speaker 5: in there's is no more decisions if you're in like

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00:20:05,280 --> 00:20:06,840
Speaker 5: a season one week or something like that. Like I

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00:20:06,880 --> 00:20:10,920
Speaker 5: have Montgomery right number three this week. So Dave Montgomery,

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Speaker 5: make sure you.

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Speaker 2: Start him and Raymond? Who are you low on?

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Speaker 5: So for this week, I'm gonna be and I seem

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Speaker 5: to be just a tadle on him every week. Unfortunately

415
00:20:20,760 --> 00:20:23,640
Speaker 5: that I should have not taken his you know, Sean,

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Speaker 5: I know you're what we got burden on the Nick

417
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Speaker 5: Chubb prop on on Sunday Night Football. But Nick Chubb

418
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Speaker 5: going against the Jets, and it kind of goes into

419
00:20:32,400 --> 00:20:34,480
Speaker 5: too what I said about Baker Mayfield. But the Browns

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00:20:34,480 --> 00:20:38,400
Speaker 5: have shown the willingness I think to kind of play

421
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Speaker 5: the matchups a little more here. And the Jets, we know,

422
00:20:41,040 --> 00:20:43,040
Speaker 5: are one of the better run defenses in the league,

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00:20:43,359 --> 00:20:45,199
Speaker 5: but the worst pass defense in the league. And so

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Speaker 5: I think Chubb, you know, he's gonna get his carries,

425
00:20:47,960 --> 00:20:50,159
Speaker 5: he'll be involved, he could even get a touchdown. But

426
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Speaker 5: he's a bit over priced at seventy eight hundred, you know,

427
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Speaker 5: I think he's more, you know, in that low end

428
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Speaker 5: running back one mixed rather than the RB you know,

429
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Speaker 5: high end a week RB one that I see him

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Speaker 5: treated at pretty much we can week out.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, Rayvon, this is the second time you've taken the

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Speaker 2: guy in terms of fading that I'm also looking to fade.

433
00:21:10,400 --> 00:21:12,480
Speaker 2: I'm right there with you on Chubb. I think I'm

434
00:21:12,560 --> 00:21:14,959
Speaker 2: a little bit lower than you are and everything that

435
00:21:15,040 --> 00:21:17,040
Speaker 2: you just mentioned there. You know, the Jets have a

436
00:21:17,400 --> 00:21:20,440
Speaker 2: pretty good run defense. Chubb doesn't get a lot of

437
00:21:20,480 --> 00:21:22,680
Speaker 2: the pass catching work, and even if the Browns are

438
00:21:22,720 --> 00:21:25,480
Speaker 2: blowing out the Jets, that could mean that Kareem Hunt

439
00:21:25,480 --> 00:21:27,280
Speaker 2: comes in and maybe gets a little bit of the

440
00:21:27,880 --> 00:21:30,440
Speaker 2: extra carries in the second half instead of Chubb getting

441
00:21:30,440 --> 00:21:33,480
Speaker 2: those carries. So I think there are lots of avenues

442
00:21:33,520 --> 00:21:37,240
Speaker 2: through which Chubb could disappoint this week. So I'm not

443
00:21:37,440 --> 00:21:40,600
Speaker 2: as high on Chubb as I probably would be otherwise. Sean,

444
00:21:41,160 --> 00:21:41,800
Speaker 2: who are you low on?

445
00:21:42,640 --> 00:21:45,600
Speaker 7: So these two running backs? You know, I just want

446
00:21:45,600 --> 00:21:48,160
Speaker 7: to be careful. Don't go into your championship just planning

447
00:21:48,160 --> 00:21:50,240
Speaker 7: on playing these guys. There might be some things that

448
00:21:50,280 --> 00:21:52,760
Speaker 7: happened later in the week that might change your mind.

449
00:21:52,800 --> 00:21:56,600
Speaker 7: But Salvin Akamad is the first guy. You know, he's

450
00:21:56,640 --> 00:21:58,600
Speaker 7: coming off a huge game where he saw twenty three

451
00:21:58,640 --> 00:22:00,720
Speaker 7: carries for one hundred and twenty two yards in a touchdown.

452
00:22:01,080 --> 00:22:03,160
Speaker 7: He has a great matchup this week against the Raiders.

453
00:22:03,359 --> 00:22:05,879
Speaker 7: But you know, Miles Gaskin is very likely to return

454
00:22:05,920 --> 00:22:08,040
Speaker 7: this week, so we don't really know how this is

455
00:22:08,080 --> 00:22:10,560
Speaker 7: going to sort out. So we're gonna have to keep

456
00:22:10,640 --> 00:22:13,040
Speaker 7: tabs on that. But he's gonna be on the you know,

457
00:22:13,200 --> 00:22:16,359
Speaker 7: RB three flex fringe. That might be a tricky lineup

458
00:22:16,359 --> 00:22:18,919
Speaker 7: decision we need to make later in the week. And

459
00:22:19,000 --> 00:22:21,919
Speaker 7: a similar running back as Kenyon Drake, you know, he

460
00:22:21,960 --> 00:22:24,239
Speaker 7: got banged up during week fifteen. We need to you know,

461
00:22:24,560 --> 00:22:26,480
Speaker 7: find out more if he's her if it's going to

462
00:22:26,520 --> 00:22:29,200
Speaker 7: affect his week sixteen status. But it led to Chase

463
00:22:29,359 --> 00:22:33,000
Speaker 7: Edmunds out touching him, and Chase Edmunds dominated the fourth

464
00:22:33,040 --> 00:22:36,080
Speaker 7: quarter work. And this is a problem of having, you know,

465
00:22:36,480 --> 00:22:39,960
Speaker 7: a a starting running back where the backup is maybe

466
00:22:40,000 --> 00:22:42,159
Speaker 7: better than him. It's just a situation that could be

467
00:22:42,160 --> 00:22:44,719
Speaker 7: pretty fluid heading the other week. And you know, Kenyon

468
00:22:44,760 --> 00:22:48,040
Speaker 7: Drake is certainly a guy that needs carries and goal

469
00:22:48,080 --> 00:22:51,320
Speaker 7: line touches to preserve his value because he can't really

470
00:22:51,359 --> 00:22:54,040
Speaker 7: make up for it anywhere else. So he's a guy that,

471
00:22:54,200 --> 00:22:55,679
Speaker 7: you know, if you're planning on starting him as your

472
00:22:55,720 --> 00:22:59,040
Speaker 7: RB two, just have backup plans. And you know, he

473
00:22:59,119 --> 00:23:00,760
Speaker 7: might be a guy that we end up not being

474
00:23:00,800 --> 00:23:05,320
Speaker 7: able to trust come you know, finals week, So start

475
00:23:05,320 --> 00:23:06,840
Speaker 7: looking for backup plans just in case.

476
00:23:07,560 --> 00:23:10,520
Speaker 2: All right, Sean, give us the running back player prop.

477
00:23:11,400 --> 00:23:11,920
Speaker 6: Let's go.

478
00:23:12,240 --> 00:23:14,760
Speaker 7: You know, unfortunately it looks like Clyde Edwards Hilaire is

479
00:23:14,800 --> 00:23:17,520
Speaker 7: out for the remainder of the season. So I want

480
00:23:17,560 --> 00:23:20,240
Speaker 7: to make this prop about Le'Veon Bell, who could be

481
00:23:20,520 --> 00:23:22,959
Speaker 7: you know, potentially start call for a lot of people.

482
00:23:23,040 --> 00:23:26,480
Speaker 7: So let's go with his total rushing and receiving yards

483
00:23:26,480 --> 00:23:29,560
Speaker 7: this week against the Falcons. I have it right now

484
00:23:29,640 --> 00:23:31,320
Speaker 7: set at seventy and a half.

485
00:23:32,160 --> 00:23:36,000
Speaker 2: Okay, first of all, I'm going to reject the premise

486
00:23:36,720 --> 00:23:41,320
Speaker 2: that Le'Veon Bell is a sit a start sit call.

487
00:23:41,440 --> 00:23:44,439
Speaker 6: Yeah, people, we're going to get questions about it.

488
00:23:44,480 --> 00:23:47,560
Speaker 2: I'm not okay, Okay, Yeah, I think it would be

489
00:23:47,600 --> 00:23:51,600
Speaker 2: hard if you're actually in a championship matchup, if you

490
00:23:51,680 --> 00:23:54,800
Speaker 2: have Le'Veon Bell actually to start him, because you can

491
00:23:54,840 --> 00:23:58,120
Speaker 2: see him totally flopping. Okay, anyway, to your point, seventy

492
00:23:58,160 --> 00:24:01,040
Speaker 2: and a half was the line you set. I'm going

493
00:24:01,080 --> 00:24:04,040
Speaker 2: to I have it at seventy three and a half,

494
00:24:04,680 --> 00:24:08,960
Speaker 2: but I feel that's more of a average versus a median,

495
00:24:09,680 --> 00:24:12,320
Speaker 2: So I'm going to take a slight under on this.

496
00:24:13,240 --> 00:24:13,840
Speaker 4: I'll go over.

497
00:24:14,280 --> 00:24:19,800
Speaker 5: I have it at seventy seven, have him about fourteen

498
00:24:20,640 --> 00:24:21,960
Speaker 5: fourteen and a half carries.

499
00:24:22,160 --> 00:24:23,480
Speaker 4: It's just under four yards to carry.

500
00:24:23,480 --> 00:24:25,800
Speaker 5: The Falcons do play a good run defense, but then

501
00:24:25,840 --> 00:24:28,960
Speaker 5: getting have them two point seven receptions.

502
00:24:28,359 --> 00:24:30,200
Speaker 4: So go slightly over.

503
00:24:30,640 --> 00:24:33,680
Speaker 5: The good news is even if he doesn't quite get

504
00:24:33,680 --> 00:24:36,960
Speaker 5: over his yardage prop, you know there's still there's still

505
00:24:37,000 --> 00:24:38,760
Speaker 5: is a Chiefs, like Friedman mentioned, you know they have

506
00:24:38,840 --> 00:24:40,800
Speaker 5: the highest and big total. So we saw that with

507
00:24:40,880 --> 00:24:42,760
Speaker 5: Leonard Fourtnette where he did he kind of struggled a

508
00:24:42,760 --> 00:24:45,600
Speaker 5: little bit against the Falcons, but was still able to

509
00:24:45,840 --> 00:24:47,360
Speaker 5: salvage his day with a couple of touchdowns.

510
00:24:47,359 --> 00:24:49,600
Speaker 4: So that's always on the on the table as well.

511
00:24:50,720 --> 00:24:54,879
Speaker 2: Okay, let's talk about the wide receivers the top of

512
00:24:54,920 --> 00:24:58,680
Speaker 2: our rankings again, looking at at half PPR number one,

513
00:24:58,760 --> 00:25:03,520
Speaker 2: DeVante Adams number to Tyreek Hill number three, Calvin Ridley.

514
00:25:04,320 --> 00:25:08,280
Speaker 2: I will again go first because that's just what I'm

515
00:25:08,280 --> 00:25:11,480
Speaker 2: gonna do here. I'm just my ball. I'm grabbing that rebound.

516
00:25:12,160 --> 00:25:15,040
Speaker 2: Calvin Ridley at this point in the week. I had

517
00:25:15,119 --> 00:25:18,680
Speaker 2: him last week ranked number one. I wish I would

518
00:25:18,720 --> 00:25:21,560
Speaker 2: have kept him there, but ended up bumping DeVante Adams

519
00:25:21,680 --> 00:25:25,280
Speaker 2: ahead of him. But once again I have him number one,

520
00:25:25,320 --> 00:25:27,720
Speaker 2: and this is under the assumption that Julio Jones does

521
00:25:27,800 --> 00:25:30,199
Speaker 2: not play because of the hamstring. If he plays, then

522
00:25:30,240 --> 00:25:33,359
Speaker 2: obviously bump him back down. But we have seen Ridley

523
00:25:33,840 --> 00:25:37,800
Speaker 2: just dominate whenever he has not had Julio Jones on

524
00:25:37,840 --> 00:25:41,240
Speaker 2: the field. Twenty one point nine PPR points per game

525
00:25:41,280 --> 00:25:44,800
Speaker 2: in his six games without Julio Jones, eleven point three targets,

526
00:25:44,840 --> 00:25:48,680
Speaker 2: one hundred and twelve point three yards per game. Absolutely

527
00:25:48,720 --> 00:25:52,160
Speaker 2: love Calvin Ridley this week, even though it's not a

528
00:25:52,200 --> 00:25:55,480
Speaker 2: great matchup. But assuming Julio Jones is out, really do

529
00:25:55,560 --> 00:25:58,040
Speaker 2: love Ridley this week. And then another guy I'm high

530
00:25:58,080 --> 00:26:01,600
Speaker 2: on Robert Woods. I actually have number five, which is

531
00:26:01,720 --> 00:26:03,679
Speaker 2: just ridiculously high. I feel like I need to go

532
00:26:03,720 --> 00:26:05,680
Speaker 2: in and adjust that, but I'm going to take a

533
00:26:05,720 --> 00:26:07,719
Speaker 2: look at it. I think there's something there, he has

534
00:26:07,760 --> 00:26:11,280
Speaker 2: a twenty eight percent market chare over his past six games,

535
00:26:11,600 --> 00:26:14,840
Speaker 2: ten targets per game. The Seahawks have gotten better in

536
00:26:14,880 --> 00:26:17,840
Speaker 2: the secondary, but I still don't think they're all that good.

537
00:26:18,520 --> 00:26:21,040
Speaker 2: And he has a little higher of a floor because

538
00:26:21,040 --> 00:26:23,520
Speaker 2: he normally gets around one to two carries per game,

539
00:26:23,800 --> 00:26:25,679
Speaker 2: so something that just gives him a little bit of

540
00:26:25,720 --> 00:26:28,439
Speaker 2: an extra boost. Sean, who are you high on?

541
00:26:29,359 --> 00:26:30,760
Speaker 6: First off, I love the Ridley call.

542
00:26:31,000 --> 00:26:33,520
Speaker 7: I'm I'm so bummed he missed two games this year

543
00:26:33,520 --> 00:26:36,399
Speaker 7: because I think my ninety to one bet to lead

544
00:26:36,440 --> 00:26:38,440
Speaker 7: the league in receiving yards would have been pretty close.

545
00:26:38,600 --> 00:26:40,560
Speaker 2: Yeah, I really would have been.

546
00:26:40,760 --> 00:26:43,520
Speaker 7: Yeah, that would have been fun. But yeah, it's toast. Obviously,

547
00:26:44,880 --> 00:26:47,760
Speaker 7: I'm really high on Marvin Jones this week. You know,

548
00:26:48,200 --> 00:26:51,399
Speaker 7: I'm no longer giving Kenny Galladay a few targets to

549
00:26:51,440 --> 00:26:53,640
Speaker 7: start the week, so all my alliance players are much

550
00:26:53,720 --> 00:26:57,720
Speaker 7: higher leading into the Today's show. So Marvin Jones is

551
00:26:57,760 --> 00:27:01,360
Speaker 7: popping in the models right now at forty undred at

552
00:27:01,400 --> 00:27:04,200
Speaker 7: Tampa Bay. Who you know, the Buccaneers have become a

553
00:27:04,240 --> 00:27:06,679
Speaker 7: pass funnel defense just because you know, the run defense

554
00:27:06,760 --> 00:27:10,919
Speaker 7: is still very solid. They've allowed four different receivers to

555
00:27:10,920 --> 00:27:13,760
Speaker 7: post one hundred and thirty yards over the past four games,

556
00:27:13,760 --> 00:27:16,080
Speaker 7: So I think this is a smash spot for Marvin Jones,

557
00:27:16,080 --> 00:27:18,879
Speaker 7: who's been on fire and he posted you know, the

558
00:27:18,920 --> 00:27:21,960
Speaker 7: ten catch, one hundred and twelve yard one touchdown game

559
00:27:22,040 --> 00:27:25,239
Speaker 7: last week against Tennessee. So I'll have a ton of

560
00:27:25,280 --> 00:27:28,840
Speaker 7: Marvin Jones shares this week, assuming Kenny Galladay doesn't decide

561
00:27:28,840 --> 00:27:31,119
Speaker 7: to all of a sudden suit up, of course. And

562
00:27:31,160 --> 00:27:34,720
Speaker 7: then the other guy to monitor this week is Ceedee Lamb,

563
00:27:34,800 --> 00:27:37,840
Speaker 7: who you know probably begins the week on the wide

564
00:27:37,840 --> 00:27:42,280
Speaker 7: receiver three flex CUSP. But it looks like Michael Gallup

565
00:27:42,400 --> 00:27:44,800
Speaker 7: is very iffy this week with his hip pointer injury.

566
00:27:45,359 --> 00:27:48,160
Speaker 7: So you know, while Ceedee Lamb's production has dropped off

567
00:27:48,520 --> 00:27:51,480
Speaker 7: quite a bit without Dak Prescott, you know, if Gallup

568
00:27:51,640 --> 00:27:53,480
Speaker 7: happens to be ruled out here, I think we can

569
00:27:54,119 --> 00:27:56,600
Speaker 7: trust Lamb as you know, solid wide receiver too. It's

570
00:27:56,640 --> 00:27:59,640
Speaker 7: going to narrow down the target tree significantly. This Eagles

571
00:27:59,640 --> 00:28:02,840
Speaker 7: defense secondary is completely banged up, so it's a great

572
00:28:02,880 --> 00:28:05,960
Speaker 7: matchup on paper potentially, So you know, Ceede Lamb's a

573
00:28:05,960 --> 00:28:08,439
Speaker 7: guy where if you've kept him, you've stuck through them

574
00:28:08,440 --> 00:28:09,960
Speaker 7: all year. He could pay off this week as a

575
00:28:09,960 --> 00:28:12,800
Speaker 7: wide receiver too, if galp ends up having to sit out.

576
00:28:13,320 --> 00:28:16,760
Speaker 2: I do like that call on CD Land there, And

577
00:28:16,880 --> 00:28:19,520
Speaker 2: you're absolutely right on the Eagles being really banged up

578
00:28:19,600 --> 00:28:23,159
Speaker 2: last week. They were without their two starting perimeter cornerbacks

579
00:28:23,160 --> 00:28:26,200
Speaker 2: and Darius Slay and Uponte Maddox, and I mean, you

580
00:28:26,359 --> 00:28:30,160
Speaker 2: saw the drop off in the quality of cornerback play

581
00:28:30,240 --> 00:28:33,400
Speaker 2: last week. So certainly something to keep an eye on. Raymond.

582
00:28:33,720 --> 00:28:34,680
Speaker 2: Who do you like this week?

583
00:28:35,720 --> 00:28:38,520
Speaker 5: Both of the really all three of the Houston wide receivers,

584
00:28:38,520 --> 00:28:40,720
Speaker 5: but I think I don't think anyone is benching Brandon Cook,

585
00:28:40,800 --> 00:28:45,240
Speaker 5: so Kiki Qt and Chad Hansen going against the Bengals.

586
00:28:46,160 --> 00:28:49,360
Speaker 5: If you look at Qt since he was entered the

587
00:28:49,400 --> 00:28:52,560
Speaker 5: starting lineup, he's run just over eighty percent of the

588
00:28:52,600 --> 00:28:55,200
Speaker 5: routes in all three games. But he's a high percentage

589
00:28:55,920 --> 00:28:58,320
Speaker 5: route runner, and so you know he doesn't need to

590
00:28:58,320 --> 00:29:02,640
Speaker 5: get like ninety plus necessarily to make to make a

591
00:29:02,680 --> 00:29:05,920
Speaker 5: dent in the box score. Nine catches for one forty one,

592
00:29:06,320 --> 00:29:08,320
Speaker 5: then he had three for twenty four but a touchdown,

593
00:29:08,360 --> 00:29:11,240
Speaker 5: and then seven for fifty three in a touchdown, So Qt,

594
00:29:11,400 --> 00:29:13,320
Speaker 5: I think you keep riding him and then Chad Hansen.

595
00:29:13,800 --> 00:29:17,680
Speaker 5: He's actually playing over ninety percent of the of the

596
00:29:17,800 --> 00:29:21,320
Speaker 5: routes you know for Houston. And last week, you know,

597
00:29:21,320 --> 00:29:24,400
Speaker 5: it wasn't a big volume week, but two for fifty

598
00:29:24,440 --> 00:29:27,760
Speaker 5: five and a touchdown, and the other two games he

599
00:29:27,840 --> 00:29:32,360
Speaker 5: caught five and seven passes, So he's averaging five catches

600
00:29:32,400 --> 00:29:34,280
Speaker 5: a game, and he's running over ninety percent of the

601
00:29:34,360 --> 00:29:37,120
Speaker 5: routes against a really.

602
00:29:37,240 --> 00:29:38,880
Speaker 4: Shaky Bengals defense.

603
00:29:39,280 --> 00:29:43,040
Speaker 5: And then and Deshaun Watson has impressively still been able

604
00:29:43,040 --> 00:29:45,720
Speaker 5: to you know, average well over eight yards per pass attempt.

605
00:29:46,040 --> 00:29:48,760
Speaker 5: He's been the most on a per pass attempt basis

606
00:29:48,920 --> 00:29:51,280
Speaker 5: essentially the most efficient quarterback in the league this year,

607
00:29:51,400 --> 00:29:53,640
Speaker 5: which is impressive because he lost Will Fuller.

608
00:29:53,640 --> 00:29:55,640
Speaker 4: He's kind of grinding it out with these guys here.

609
00:29:56,040 --> 00:29:59,560
Speaker 5: And then also, not that you need any advice, this

610
00:29:59,640 --> 00:30:02,040
Speaker 5: leather to starts to him, but Alan Robinson's in a

611
00:30:02,080 --> 00:30:02,640
Speaker 5: smash spot.

612
00:30:02,680 --> 00:30:04,640
Speaker 4: The Jacksonville Jaguars.

613
00:30:04,080 --> 00:30:08,880
Speaker 5: Allow the most schedule adjusted receiving yards per game to

614
00:30:09,000 --> 00:30:11,920
Speaker 5: opposing number one wide receivers ninety one point six per

615
00:30:11,920 --> 00:30:14,960
Speaker 5: game according to Football Outsider, So Alan Robinson's in the

616
00:30:15,000 --> 00:30:17,520
Speaker 5: in the running for that top wide receiver spot this week.

617
00:30:17,720 --> 00:30:21,800
Speaker 2: Oh yeah, absolutely on Alan Robinson. I mean, the Jags

618
00:30:21,840 --> 00:30:26,400
Speaker 2: are bad anyway, and then they're also ridiculously injured. CJ.

619
00:30:26,480 --> 00:30:29,040
Speaker 2: Henderson is out, Sidney Jones is in and out of

620
00:30:29,040 --> 00:30:31,040
Speaker 2: the lineup, d J. Hayden is out. So I mean,

621
00:30:31,080 --> 00:30:33,480
Speaker 2: like all three of their starters are out. So you

622
00:30:33,520 --> 00:30:36,880
Speaker 2: have a situation where Alan Robinson is going against probably

623
00:30:37,040 --> 00:30:41,360
Speaker 2: Greg Mabin, who's an undrafted journeyman third stringer. I mean,

624
00:30:41,560 --> 00:30:42,880
Speaker 2: just light it.

625
00:30:42,880 --> 00:30:44,120
Speaker 6: Up revenge game.

626
00:30:44,560 --> 00:30:48,680
Speaker 2: Yes, yes, on top on top of that, I have

627
00:30:48,840 --> 00:30:51,640
Speaker 2: a not to turn this into the Chad Hanson podcast,

628
00:30:52,040 --> 00:30:54,480
Speaker 2: but I have a kind of question because I like,

629
00:30:54,520 --> 00:30:58,280
Speaker 2: I like Dynasty leaguers. I know they're slightly interested in

630
00:30:58,600 --> 00:31:02,120
Speaker 2: Chad Hansen because he's actually looked pretty good, like he's

631
00:31:02,120 --> 00:31:06,840
Speaker 2: looked like a legitimate NFL wide receiver. The question is,

632
00:31:06,840 --> 00:31:09,400
Speaker 2: is this just something that has to do with playing

633
00:31:09,440 --> 00:31:13,160
Speaker 2: with Deshaun Watson or do you think that what we've

634
00:31:13,200 --> 00:31:16,360
Speaker 2: seen out of Hanson is maybe enough to where he

635
00:31:16,480 --> 00:31:19,720
Speaker 2: actually gets a shot to be a starter in Houston

636
00:31:19,800 --> 00:31:22,640
Speaker 2: next year, or if not Houston, maybe he catches on

637
00:31:22,840 --> 00:31:25,760
Speaker 2: with another team. Do either of you have any thoughts

638
00:31:25,760 --> 00:31:29,200
Speaker 2: on Chad Hanson. I should just say I'm also selfishly

639
00:31:29,280 --> 00:31:33,040
Speaker 2: asking this question because like I remember when Hanson entered

640
00:31:33,040 --> 00:31:36,760
Speaker 2: the league and I thought he was really undervalued coming

641
00:31:36,960 --> 00:31:39,320
Speaker 2: out of college where I thought he was a good player,

642
00:31:39,440 --> 00:31:41,840
Speaker 2: very productive. But either of you guys have thoughts on

643
00:31:41,920 --> 00:31:45,400
Speaker 2: Chad Hansen and whether this is something that might be real.

644
00:31:46,840 --> 00:31:47,360
Speaker 4: Probably not.

645
00:31:47,520 --> 00:31:50,480
Speaker 5: He's played three games since getting He's played three games

646
00:31:50,520 --> 00:31:53,640
Speaker 5: like with Houston, where he's you know, caught passes. You know,

647
00:31:53,680 --> 00:31:55,960
Speaker 5: in twenty seventeen as a rookie year he had nine

648
00:31:56,000 --> 00:31:58,000
Speaker 5: catches with the Jets. He couldn't really catch on with

649
00:31:58,040 --> 00:32:01,160
Speaker 5: the Jets, and now you know with Houston, yes he's

650
00:32:01,200 --> 00:32:04,480
Speaker 5: been productive. But when you look at Deshaun Watson, Deshaun

651
00:32:04,520 --> 00:32:08,000
Speaker 5: Watson is averaging eight point eight yards per pass attempt.

652
00:32:08,120 --> 00:32:11,120
Speaker 5: It's more to me anyway, like and he has look good,

653
00:32:11,160 --> 00:32:13,720
Speaker 5: but it's more of a situation where Deshaun Watson is

654
00:32:13,760 --> 00:32:16,600
Speaker 5: just making those around him better and whoever's in the

655
00:32:16,600 --> 00:32:20,040
Speaker 5: line with Deshaun Watson is catching footballs.

656
00:32:19,560 --> 00:32:20,360
Speaker 4: And getting yards.

657
00:32:20,520 --> 00:32:23,560
Speaker 5: Now the worry about Houston because I think this what

658
00:32:23,840 --> 00:32:25,720
Speaker 5: you see is like, Okay, a player like this, yes,

659
00:32:25,760 --> 00:32:29,360
Speaker 5: some draft pedigree, perhaps he could catch on with another team,

660
00:32:29,680 --> 00:32:31,800
Speaker 5: But if he stays with Houston, I'd be a little

661
00:32:31,800 --> 00:32:34,479
Speaker 5: more worried because Houston has shown this kind of like

662
00:32:34,560 --> 00:32:37,320
Speaker 5: they only play their starters and like Hanson didn't even

663
00:32:37,320 --> 00:32:39,440
Speaker 5: get on the field, you know, or really any of

664
00:32:39,480 --> 00:32:41,600
Speaker 5: the backup receivers, Like can he still even bare we

665
00:32:41,600 --> 00:32:44,960
Speaker 5: got on the field when you know, when guys are healthy. Now,

666
00:32:45,240 --> 00:32:46,920
Speaker 5: with that strictly a Bill O'Brien thing, I don't know,

667
00:32:47,000 --> 00:32:48,600
Speaker 5: cause it's kind of the same thing under Cournell. Like

668
00:32:48,960 --> 00:32:51,640
Speaker 5: now it's just Hanson and these other like Culter the rookie,

669
00:32:51,680 --> 00:32:54,080
Speaker 5: he's not getting on the field, Steven Mitchell's not getting

670
00:32:54,080 --> 00:32:56,560
Speaker 5: on the field. So I would be able to worry

671
00:32:56,560 --> 00:33:00,000
Speaker 5: just about the circumstances. So I'm gonna go with more

672
00:33:00,080 --> 00:33:00,920
Speaker 5: Deshaun Watson here.

673
00:33:01,000 --> 00:33:04,720
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, it's not likely that Hanson is someone

674
00:33:04,760 --> 00:33:07,560
Speaker 2: who's going to be a real contributor moving forward. But

675
00:33:07,640 --> 00:33:10,600
Speaker 2: the three games, and granted, okay, Deshaun Watson one of

676
00:33:10,600 --> 00:33:12,840
Speaker 2: the best quarterbacks in league, but the three games, two

677
00:33:12,840 --> 00:33:15,440
Speaker 2: of them have been against Indy and one of them

678
00:33:15,480 --> 00:33:19,720
Speaker 2: has been against Chicago. Those are two like very good defenses,

679
00:33:20,040 --> 00:33:23,600
Speaker 2: and he's still been able to produce. Sean I just

680
00:33:23,640 --> 00:33:25,760
Speaker 2: had the feeling that you're negative on this.

681
00:33:26,120 --> 00:33:28,360
Speaker 7: Well, not negative. I think it's right place at the

682
00:33:28,440 --> 00:33:31,600
Speaker 7: right time. And ironically, Scott Hanson had the best Chad

683
00:33:31,640 --> 00:33:34,920
Speaker 7: Hanson analogy. He called him this year's Drew Bennett, which

684
00:33:35,360 --> 00:33:38,440
Speaker 7: I mean, this is dating myself, but I remember coasting

685
00:33:38,520 --> 00:33:41,800
Speaker 7: to the Fantasy Football Championship that one year. Drew Bennett

686
00:33:41,840 --> 00:33:43,560
Speaker 7: just went off in the Fantasy Ball playoffs, so that's

687
00:33:43,640 --> 00:33:45,800
Speaker 7: kind of what we remember him, and then really did

688
00:33:45,840 --> 00:33:48,640
Speaker 7: nothing the rest of his career. I can't even remember

689
00:33:48,680 --> 00:33:50,480
Speaker 7: who the quarterback was at the time, but it just

690
00:33:50,520 --> 00:33:52,360
Speaker 7: goes to show that it's more of a flash in

691
00:33:52,400 --> 00:33:55,080
Speaker 7: the pan moment where you know he's peaking at the

692
00:33:55,160 --> 00:33:57,600
Speaker 7: right time the Fantasy Bill playoffs, that's all that matters.

693
00:33:57,640 --> 00:34:00,120
Speaker 7: But I think you know, heading into next year, it's

694
00:34:00,120 --> 00:34:03,960
Speaker 7: going to be a different situation, certainly in Houston, and

695
00:34:04,560 --> 00:34:05,720
Speaker 7: you know, I don't think.

696
00:34:05,600 --> 00:34:06,800
Speaker 6: This is more of a long term thing.

697
00:34:06,840 --> 00:34:08,960
Speaker 7: But if you have him write him out, especially if

698
00:34:08,960 --> 00:34:11,960
Speaker 7: you're in a deeper dynasty format, you know you're rolling

699
00:34:12,040 --> 00:34:13,920
Speaker 7: him this week. I do like him. Last week I

700
00:34:13,960 --> 00:34:16,960
Speaker 7: had I smashed his over thirty three and a half yards.

701
00:34:17,000 --> 00:34:19,239
Speaker 7: The betting market for him still hasn't caught up, but

702
00:34:19,320 --> 00:34:22,319
Speaker 7: I think next year we have to adjust him way down.

703
00:34:22,760 --> 00:34:25,239
Speaker 2: Okay, so at a minimum, maybe take a look at

704
00:34:25,239 --> 00:34:29,360
Speaker 2: his player props for week sixteen, Lamar Aikin.

705
00:34:29,440 --> 00:34:31,680
Speaker 5: Remember Kamar Aichen that one year he just had like

706
00:34:31,760 --> 00:34:33,799
Speaker 5: he just killed down the stretch, like the last eight

707
00:34:34,120 --> 00:34:36,880
Speaker 5: nine games, Like I'm looking at it now, like you

708
00:34:36,960 --> 00:34:40,520
Speaker 5: never what year was what twenty fifth, twenty fifteen with

709
00:34:40,560 --> 00:34:44,400
Speaker 5: the Baltimore Ravens. The last half of the season, he

710
00:34:44,520 --> 00:34:47,080
Speaker 5: was catching five, six, seven balls every single week through

711
00:34:47,120 --> 00:34:49,680
Speaker 5: the fantasy playoffs and then just like never did anything again.

712
00:34:50,080 --> 00:34:54,240
Speaker 2: How dare you compare Chad Hansen to Kamar Aikin? Right

713
00:34:54,360 --> 00:35:00,440
Speaker 2: from Sir Comar Better. All right, let's talk about the

714
00:35:00,480 --> 00:35:03,319
Speaker 2: guys that we are low on Raybon. Who do you

715
00:35:03,360 --> 00:35:03,719
Speaker 2: got here?

716
00:35:04,640 --> 00:35:08,239
Speaker 5: Dk Metcalf and Tyra Lockett, but particularly Metcalf because if

717
00:35:08,239 --> 00:35:11,920
Speaker 5: you look at his DraftKings price it is seventy eight hundred.

718
00:35:12,520 --> 00:35:15,360
Speaker 5: You know, we saw him struggle to get the football

719
00:35:15,400 --> 00:35:18,520
Speaker 5: early in that game a few weeks ago against the Rams,

720
00:35:18,520 --> 00:35:22,200
Speaker 5: he finished with four catches for two catches excuse me

721
00:35:22,239 --> 00:35:23,760
Speaker 5: for twenty eight yards on four targets.

722
00:35:23,840 --> 00:35:25,839
Speaker 4: And I do think they'll involve him a little more early.

723
00:35:25,880 --> 00:35:28,919
Speaker 5: But as I mentioned, the Rams tend to have great

724
00:35:28,920 --> 00:35:31,480
Speaker 5: game plans against the Seahawks, and they have the personnel

725
00:35:32,000 --> 00:35:35,160
Speaker 5: to slow these guys down with all those cornerbacks. And

726
00:35:35,400 --> 00:35:38,600
Speaker 5: you know, this is also just a dangerous dangerous spot

727
00:35:38,680 --> 00:35:42,160
Speaker 5: to like back the Seahawks or in any fashion, because

728
00:35:42,200 --> 00:35:45,200
Speaker 5: now the Rams just lost probably the most embarrassing game

729
00:35:45,239 --> 00:35:47,759
Speaker 5: they could have ever lost, while the Seahawks clinched a

730
00:35:47,800 --> 00:35:50,320
Speaker 5: playoff spot. So like, you just have all the motivation

731
00:35:50,960 --> 00:35:54,200
Speaker 5: with the with the Rams. So that combined with the

732
00:35:55,280 --> 00:35:57,640
Speaker 5: you know non let Russ Cook kind of dialing it

733
00:35:57,760 --> 00:36:00,200
Speaker 5: back little low on the Seahawks lide up.

734
00:36:00,760 --> 00:36:01,880
Speaker 2: All right, Chelton, what about you?

735
00:36:03,200 --> 00:36:05,279
Speaker 7: So? I mean, we still need to see what's up

736
00:36:05,320 --> 00:36:09,320
Speaker 7: with this Dwayne Haskins situation. I doubt he plays after

737
00:36:09,360 --> 00:36:12,440
Speaker 7: this strip club incident. And you know, Alex Smith might

738
00:36:12,480 --> 00:36:15,640
Speaker 7: not be ready. So Terry McLaurin, while we can always

739
00:36:15,680 --> 00:36:19,640
Speaker 7: rely on him to overcome just completely terrible quarterback play

740
00:36:19,680 --> 00:36:22,960
Speaker 7: as a you know, wide receiver one two fringe player,

741
00:36:23,320 --> 00:36:28,160
Speaker 7: I think Tyler Heineke might relegate him to sit start territory.

742
00:36:28,960 --> 00:36:32,319
Speaker 7: You know, certainly mclaurin's been dealing with ankle injury for

743
00:36:32,360 --> 00:36:33,160
Speaker 7: the past few weeks.

744
00:36:33,160 --> 00:36:34,359
Speaker 6: That's really stold him down.

745
00:36:34,480 --> 00:36:37,200
Speaker 7: So I'm a bit worried about him, especially when it

746
00:36:37,239 --> 00:36:39,160
Speaker 7: comes to Fantasy Football finals.

747
00:36:39,200 --> 00:36:40,440
Speaker 6: So we'll have to wait and see.

748
00:36:40,440 --> 00:36:44,680
Speaker 7: But hopefully you know, either Haskins or Smith or able

749
00:36:44,680 --> 00:36:47,120
Speaker 7: to suit up. If if you've been leaning on McLaurin

750
00:36:47,560 --> 00:36:50,440
Speaker 7: as one of your wide receivers and then the other

751
00:36:50,480 --> 00:36:54,000
Speaker 7: guy is Marquise Brown, who I have on the wide

752
00:36:54,000 --> 00:36:58,040
Speaker 7: receiver free flex fringe, you know this is a matchup

753
00:36:58,080 --> 00:37:00,520
Speaker 7: I already mentioned earlier, but against the Giants or you know,

754
00:37:00,560 --> 00:37:03,640
Speaker 7: Colt McCoy's starting. I don't know if Lamar Jason is

755
00:37:03,680 --> 00:37:05,680
Speaker 7: gonna have to throw too much. And you know, when

756
00:37:05,719 --> 00:37:08,200
Speaker 7: it comes to Mark east Brown, he's he's a high risk,

757
00:37:08,280 --> 00:37:12,560
Speaker 7: higher war player. I love playing him in DFS, GPPs,

758
00:37:13,040 --> 00:37:15,040
Speaker 7: but when it comes to season long head to head,

759
00:37:15,600 --> 00:37:18,399
Speaker 7: you know, finals, it's more of a cash game play,

760
00:37:18,440 --> 00:37:21,240
Speaker 7: so you do want a receiver with a higher floor.

761
00:37:21,920 --> 00:37:24,960
Speaker 7: So you know, I'm gonna be rolling with guys like

762
00:37:25,120 --> 00:37:27,200
Speaker 7: you know, Cole Beasley, who has a much higher floor

763
00:37:27,320 --> 00:37:30,719
Speaker 7: than Marquis Brown, who I've projected, you know, projected in

764
00:37:30,800 --> 00:37:32,920
Speaker 7: this range. So you know when it comes to a

765
00:37:33,000 --> 00:37:35,000
Speaker 7: guy like Marquis Brown, he gotta be careful. We love

766
00:37:35,040 --> 00:37:37,600
Speaker 7: his upside, but he does carry a pretty low floor

767
00:37:37,640 --> 00:37:40,799
Speaker 7: this week. So if you're a bigger favorite, definitely go

768
00:37:40,840 --> 00:37:42,440
Speaker 7: the safe agout. If you're a if you're a you know,

769
00:37:42,719 --> 00:37:45,480
Speaker 7: big underdog by all means, start a guy like Mark

770
00:37:45,520 --> 00:37:48,080
Speaker 7: eas Brown. He certainly has the ceiling that you need,

771
00:37:48,160 --> 00:37:49,799
Speaker 7: but just he's one of those guys on the hip.

772
00:37:49,840 --> 00:37:51,960
Speaker 7: Start cusp for them and to be a bit cautious

773
00:37:52,040 --> 00:37:52,399
Speaker 7: this week.

774
00:37:53,360 --> 00:37:57,200
Speaker 2: Okay. A guy I am very low on, much lower

775
00:37:57,280 --> 00:38:00,759
Speaker 2: than I probably should be, is Adam Thielen. I think

776
00:38:00,760 --> 00:38:04,200
Speaker 2: he's a clear number two receiver at this point with

777
00:38:04,239 --> 00:38:07,520
Speaker 2: the Vikings behind rookie Justin Jefferson. He has thirteen touchdowns

778
00:38:07,520 --> 00:38:12,399
Speaker 2: and thirteen games, which, like, that's amazing. It really makes

779
00:38:12,440 --> 00:38:14,680
Speaker 2: me think of Antonio Brown a couple of years ago,

780
00:38:15,080 --> 00:38:18,680
Speaker 2: where he was getting outplayed by the younger guy, but

781
00:38:18,800 --> 00:38:23,399
Speaker 2: he was sort of covering it up with touchdowns. They're

782
00:38:23,440 --> 00:38:26,279
Speaker 2: scheming him the ball near the goal line, but touchdowns

783
00:38:26,280 --> 00:38:30,720
Speaker 2: are fickle without overall volume. And in Deland's past four games,

784
00:38:30,920 --> 00:38:33,359
Speaker 2: he has just a twenty two percent market share, seven

785
00:38:33,400 --> 00:38:36,080
Speaker 2: point two targets per game over the past two weeks

786
00:38:36,400 --> 00:38:39,040
Speaker 2: three and a half targets per game and eleven percent

787
00:38:39,080 --> 00:38:41,879
Speaker 2: target share. And you compare that to Justin Jefferson who

788
00:38:41,920 --> 00:38:44,560
Speaker 2: has nine and a half targets and a twenty nine

789
00:38:44,560 --> 00:38:47,840
Speaker 2: percent target share over the past two games. And maybe

790
00:38:47,840 --> 00:38:50,480
Speaker 2: some of that is because, you know, THELAN returned from injury,

791
00:38:50,520 --> 00:38:52,680
Speaker 2: maybe still a little bit banged up, whatever it is,

792
00:38:53,200 --> 00:38:55,759
Speaker 2: but I don't I don't think it's the situation where

793
00:38:55,760 --> 00:38:57,799
Speaker 2: THELAN is, you know, sort of like a locked in

794
00:38:58,480 --> 00:39:01,439
Speaker 2: number one. If you have him, you're still starting him.

795
00:39:01,680 --> 00:39:04,319
Speaker 2: He's still a I think a wide receiver too, but

796
00:39:05,120 --> 00:39:07,719
Speaker 2: his ceilings aren't nearly as high as they used to be,

797
00:39:07,960 --> 00:39:10,759
Speaker 2: just because he is not getting the target volume that

798
00:39:10,840 --> 00:39:14,080
Speaker 2: he had in previous seasons. And then look at the matchup.

799
00:39:14,239 --> 00:39:16,279
Speaker 2: The Saints are one of the better pass defenses in

800
00:39:16,320 --> 00:39:18,960
Speaker 2: the league, so it's it's not as if he has

801
00:39:19,080 --> 00:39:22,120
Speaker 2: that going for him. So overall, just a little bit

802
00:39:22,160 --> 00:39:26,440
Speaker 2: down on Adam Thielen this week. Sean give us that sweet,

803
00:39:26,440 --> 00:39:27,360
Speaker 2: sweet player prop.

804
00:39:27,880 --> 00:39:29,560
Speaker 7: So I'm gonna go with t Y Hilton this week,

805
00:39:29,600 --> 00:39:32,040
Speaker 7: who I think is gonna be one of those players

806
00:39:32,080 --> 00:39:33,920
Speaker 7: that's sort of on the st start cusp of the

807
00:39:33,920 --> 00:39:39,120
Speaker 7: wide receiver three flex group. You know last week he

808
00:39:39,360 --> 00:39:41,120
Speaker 7: was held in check for much of that game. We

809
00:39:41,360 --> 00:39:44,040
Speaker 7: thought it was in pretty easy matchup against the Texans.

810
00:39:44,040 --> 00:39:46,120
Speaker 7: He's a guy that you know, people have probably left

811
00:39:46,120 --> 00:39:48,640
Speaker 7: on their bench all season long, but lately he's been

812
00:39:48,719 --> 00:39:50,720
Speaker 7: you know, wide receiver two to three kind of player.

813
00:39:51,480 --> 00:39:55,319
Speaker 7: Faces the Steelers this week. So A, can you guys

814
00:39:55,400 --> 00:39:58,279
Speaker 7: trust him as a wide receiver three? And b are

815
00:39:58,320 --> 00:40:01,000
Speaker 7: you taking over under sixty two and a half for

816
00:40:01,080 --> 00:40:02,880
Speaker 7: saving yards for t Y Hilton this week?

817
00:40:04,960 --> 00:40:07,480
Speaker 5: I'm taking the under. I have him at fifty five.

818
00:40:08,320 --> 00:40:10,759
Speaker 5: I have him as a low and wide receiver three

819
00:40:11,000 --> 00:40:14,719
Speaker 5: in half PPR. He's my wide receiver thirty four. So

820
00:40:14,840 --> 00:40:17,440
Speaker 5: he's not completely out of the you know, out of

821
00:40:17,440 --> 00:40:19,799
Speaker 5: that mix. But if you look at his routes run

822
00:40:20,200 --> 00:40:23,520
Speaker 5: per dropback since coming back from injury, eighty three, seventy six,

823
00:40:23,600 --> 00:40:26,400
Speaker 5: seventy four, eighty seven, eighty six and eighty percent.

824
00:40:26,719 --> 00:40:29,800
Speaker 4: So he's not getting that true Chad Hansen.

825
00:40:29,600 --> 00:40:33,279
Speaker 5: Like wide receiver one workload, and against a team like

826
00:40:33,280 --> 00:40:35,520
Speaker 5: Pittsburgh that does create a little more variance, you know,

827
00:40:35,600 --> 00:40:37,960
Speaker 5: just coming off the field for a you know, a

828
00:40:38,040 --> 00:40:40,680
Speaker 5: snap here or there, because this Pittsburgh defense, you know,

829
00:40:40,719 --> 00:40:44,000
Speaker 5: they they obviously have lost some pieces, especially at the

830
00:40:44,000 --> 00:40:47,680
Speaker 5: linebacker position. It's a little tougher for them in zones

831
00:40:47,680 --> 00:40:49,600
Speaker 5: and things like that. But there's still one of the

832
00:40:49,640 --> 00:40:53,239
Speaker 5: best pass defenses in the league. And you look at

833
00:40:53,239 --> 00:40:56,680
Speaker 5: their their DVA rating, they're still number one, you know,

834
00:40:56,760 --> 00:41:00,160
Speaker 5: in past defense, and it's just it's just a matchup.

835
00:40:59,760 --> 00:41:00,920
Speaker 4: That you know.

836
00:41:00,960 --> 00:41:03,920
Speaker 5: I think if you have a guy like in a

837
00:41:03,960 --> 00:41:07,560
Speaker 5: similar spot, you know, definitely look at the check the

838
00:41:07,640 --> 00:41:09,480
Speaker 5: rankings because there's gonna be a lot of guys.

839
00:41:09,480 --> 00:41:11,040
Speaker 4: I think you can start over to w by this week.

840
00:41:11,640 --> 00:41:13,759
Speaker 2: I'm gonna take the over. But I don't like it.

841
00:41:13,840 --> 00:41:15,680
Speaker 2: I don't. I don't feel good about it. I'll just

842
00:41:15,840 --> 00:41:17,799
Speaker 2: I'll just say that. But you know, we have seen

843
00:41:17,880 --> 00:41:21,560
Speaker 2: him do well recently, UH, and I think a lot

844
00:41:21,600 --> 00:41:23,760
Speaker 2: of that is the fact that now he's just healthy

845
00:41:23,880 --> 00:41:27,319
Speaker 2: and how what what is his market share over the

846
00:41:27,360 --> 00:41:30,600
Speaker 2: past month. I think it's it's over twenty maybe around

847
00:41:30,600 --> 00:41:34,319
Speaker 2: twenty one twenty two. UH leads the team. If he

848
00:41:34,400 --> 00:41:36,799
Speaker 2: has that kind of market share, I think he has

849
00:41:36,840 --> 00:41:41,000
Speaker 2: a pretty decent chance of hitting the over. But the

850
00:41:41,040 --> 00:41:44,919
Speaker 2: Steelers pass defense is pretty good. But we have seen

851
00:41:44,960 --> 00:41:47,919
Speaker 2: that entire team in general just take a step back

852
00:41:47,960 --> 00:41:50,880
Speaker 2: over the past three weeks. So I will go over,

853
00:41:51,160 --> 00:41:55,959
Speaker 2: but I hate myself doing it. Okay, let's talk about

854
00:41:56,000 --> 00:42:01,320
Speaker 2: the tight ends. Really no surprise here. We have Travis Kelce,

855
00:42:01,640 --> 00:42:04,560
Speaker 2: Darren Waller, and then Mark Andrews as the top three.

856
00:42:04,960 --> 00:42:07,000
Speaker 2: Maybe you can make an argument for someone else to

857
00:42:07,000 --> 00:42:09,440
Speaker 2: sneak in there, but I think that's a pretty strong

858
00:42:09,480 --> 00:42:12,600
Speaker 2: consensus there, Sean, Who do you like at the position

859
00:42:12,760 --> 00:42:13,240
Speaker 2: this week?

860
00:42:14,360 --> 00:42:17,800
Speaker 7: I like Dallas Goddart on DK. He's thirty six hundred

861
00:42:18,080 --> 00:42:22,000
Speaker 7: and he's my tight end ten in my initial projections.

862
00:42:22,040 --> 00:42:24,279
Speaker 7: I think he's a guy where he was certainly on

863
00:42:24,360 --> 00:42:27,759
Speaker 7: the tight end one ten end two cuss last week.

864
00:42:27,960 --> 00:42:29,759
Speaker 7: I thought he was a pretty tricky sit start call.

865
00:42:29,800 --> 00:42:33,440
Speaker 7: I think can definitely feel safer starting him, especially seeing

866
00:42:33,880 --> 00:42:37,279
Speaker 7: Jalen Hurts well, not only Jalen Hurts playing out of

867
00:42:37,280 --> 00:42:39,640
Speaker 7: his mind last week, but also Jalen Hurts targeting him

868
00:42:40,000 --> 00:42:42,280
Speaker 7: pretty heavily in the end zone. There was one ball

869
00:42:42,320 --> 00:42:45,040
Speaker 7: where it looked like Goddard caught it for a touchdown,

870
00:42:45,080 --> 00:42:47,680
Speaker 7: but it just hit the ground and then Hurts went

871
00:42:47,760 --> 00:42:50,239
Speaker 7: right back to him very next play and it just

872
00:42:50,239 --> 00:42:53,000
Speaker 7: got tipped, so that's you know, two potential touchdowns that

873
00:42:53,480 --> 00:42:55,799
Speaker 7: got her almost hauled in. So you know, while there

874
00:42:55,880 --> 00:42:57,600
Speaker 7: might not be a ton of passing hours to go around,

875
00:42:57,800 --> 00:43:00,719
Speaker 7: I think God is one of those one titan ones

876
00:43:00,719 --> 00:43:04,160
Speaker 7: that we can trust in the Fantasy golfinals. And you know,

877
00:43:04,760 --> 00:43:07,880
Speaker 7: zach Ertz did split the routes with Goddard at sixty

878
00:43:07,880 --> 00:43:09,720
Speaker 7: four percent, but I think at this point it's pretty

879
00:43:09,719 --> 00:43:11,760
Speaker 7: clear that goddr is the superior talent.

880
00:43:12,640 --> 00:43:14,080
Speaker 6: So that's why I think we can trust him.

881
00:43:14,080 --> 00:43:16,040
Speaker 7: And again, Jalen Reger might not be able to suit

882
00:43:16,120 --> 00:43:18,560
Speaker 7: up this week, so that that would only funnel even

883
00:43:18,560 --> 00:43:20,120
Speaker 7: more targets Goddard's way.

884
00:43:20,960 --> 00:43:25,000
Speaker 2: Again with you on on Goddard, especially with the idea

885
00:43:25,080 --> 00:43:29,000
Speaker 2: of Jalen Rager being out Ray Bond, who are you

886
00:43:29,080 --> 00:43:29,360
Speaker 2: high on?

887
00:43:30,400 --> 00:43:33,800
Speaker 5: I like co Comet for the Chicago Bears, mister Bisky

888
00:43:33,840 --> 00:43:36,160
Speaker 5: playing a lot better at quarterback. Co co Met ran

889
00:43:36,160 --> 00:43:39,520
Speaker 5: a season high seventy seven percent of the route on

890
00:43:39,560 --> 00:43:42,000
Speaker 5: seventy seven percent of the dropbacks last week, and the

891
00:43:42,160 --> 00:43:48,160
Speaker 5: Jacksonville Jaguars twenty eighth in DVOA against tight ends and

892
00:43:48,880 --> 00:43:51,879
Speaker 5: allowing fifty eight point one schedule adjusted yards per game

893
00:43:51,960 --> 00:43:56,760
Speaker 5: and co Comet on DraftKings he is three K Jimmy

894
00:43:56,800 --> 00:44:01,319
Speaker 5: Graham three point one K Jimmy Graham ran and you know,

895
00:44:02,800 --> 00:44:04,960
Speaker 5: thirty eight percent of the routes to seventy seven percent

896
00:44:05,080 --> 00:44:07,719
Speaker 5: for Comet last week. So that is just a complete

897
00:44:08,600 --> 00:44:09,840
Speaker 5: ball drop on the price.

898
00:44:09,640 --> 00:44:12,879
Speaker 2: In Yeah, in dfs over the past two weeks, the

899
00:44:12,920 --> 00:44:16,480
Speaker 2: tight end decision for me has always been do I

900
00:44:16,640 --> 00:44:20,239
Speaker 2: spend all the way up for for Kelsey or do

901
00:44:20,280 --> 00:44:22,799
Speaker 2: I just pay down for cole Comet, And I think

902
00:44:22,840 --> 00:44:26,680
Speaker 2: I will be making that decision once again this week.

903
00:44:27,000 --> 00:44:30,000
Speaker 2: I really do like Comet there. Raymond for all of

904
00:44:30,040 --> 00:44:32,520
Speaker 2: the reasons that you mentioned has I mean, I think

905
00:44:32,520 --> 00:44:35,880
Speaker 2: he's a very streamable option. The clear title played one

906
00:44:35,960 --> 00:44:38,720
Speaker 2: hundred percent of the snaps last week, has a fifteen

907
00:44:38,719 --> 00:44:40,960
Speaker 2: percent target share over the past four games, and then

908
00:44:41,040 --> 00:44:44,560
Speaker 2: great matchup. The Jags are number four in fantasy points

909
00:44:44,560 --> 00:44:46,840
Speaker 2: allowed to tight ends. So with you there on Comet.

910
00:44:47,040 --> 00:44:50,240
Speaker 2: I also like Noah Fanse if you take out Week fourteen,

911
00:44:50,400 --> 00:44:53,600
Speaker 2: which he left early with an illness, so I think

912
00:44:53,640 --> 00:44:56,319
Speaker 2: he played only a few snaps there, and if you

913
00:44:56,360 --> 00:44:58,839
Speaker 2: take out Week twelve, which was the Kendall Hinton game,

914
00:44:59,080 --> 00:45:01,880
Speaker 2: and then you look only at the past four games

915
00:45:01,880 --> 00:45:05,560
Speaker 2: in which he actually played, has eleven, seven, five and

916
00:45:05,640 --> 00:45:09,640
Speaker 2: seven targets. That's pretty good volume, you know, for someone

917
00:45:09,680 --> 00:45:12,960
Speaker 2: who's not priced at the very top. So he's someone

918
00:45:13,400 --> 00:45:16,399
Speaker 2: that I will be thinking about. And he's the guy

919
00:45:16,440 --> 00:45:19,680
Speaker 2: I have rated the highest right now outside of the

920
00:45:19,719 --> 00:45:24,120
Speaker 2: top tier of Kelsey Waller and andrews. Ravon. Who are

921
00:45:24,120 --> 00:45:24,560
Speaker 2: you low on?

922
00:45:25,600 --> 00:45:30,120
Speaker 5: So for this week, I'm going with Tyer Higbee. Higby's

923
00:45:30,160 --> 00:45:32,720
Speaker 5: up to four K on DraftKings. He had a pretty

924
00:45:32,719 --> 00:45:37,680
Speaker 5: good game against the Jets with four catches for sixty

925
00:45:37,680 --> 00:45:41,120
Speaker 5: seven and a touchdown. But I think that in this

926
00:45:41,239 --> 00:45:43,760
Speaker 5: matchup against Seattle, it's gonna.

927
00:45:43,560 --> 00:45:46,040
Speaker 4: Be tough for him. I think if you just.

928
00:45:45,960 --> 00:45:49,160
Speaker 5: Look at his production, he really it just really hasn't

929
00:45:49,200 --> 00:45:52,000
Speaker 5: been there from what we expected last season. His sixty

930
00:45:52,040 --> 00:45:57,000
Speaker 5: seven yards were a season high, and on the on

931
00:45:57,040 --> 00:46:00,680
Speaker 5: the season, he only has five touchdowns, with which you know,

932
00:46:00,719 --> 00:46:03,560
Speaker 5: given his usage, he should have more. So now that

933
00:46:03,600 --> 00:46:06,080
Speaker 5: he's kind of in that and people are looking at

934
00:46:06,160 --> 00:46:08,400
Speaker 5: him as a tight end one, I think we have

935
00:46:08,480 --> 00:46:10,319
Speaker 5: to pump the brakes just a little bit.

936
00:46:10,719 --> 00:46:13,600
Speaker 4: Uh, he's my tight end nineteen right now.

937
00:46:13,640 --> 00:46:16,719
Speaker 5: I still think there's a lot of risk because the

938
00:46:17,080 --> 00:46:19,480
Speaker 5: routes between him and Everett kind of flip flop from

939
00:46:19,480 --> 00:46:22,439
Speaker 5: game to game. So last week he got sixty eight

940
00:46:22,480 --> 00:46:25,520
Speaker 5: and Everett got thirty two, But the week before they

941
00:46:25,520 --> 00:46:28,040
Speaker 5: were it was fifty six to fifty two, and the

942
00:46:28,080 --> 00:46:30,600
Speaker 5: week before that it was exactly equal at sixty nine

943
00:46:30,640 --> 00:46:33,200
Speaker 5: percent sixty nine percent. So it's just really hard to

944
00:46:33,480 --> 00:46:37,440
Speaker 5: predict Higbee's that Higby's gonna run a significantly more a

945
00:46:37,600 --> 00:46:40,280
Speaker 5: bigger rout share than Everett on a week to week basis.

946
00:46:40,719 --> 00:46:42,480
Speaker 2: All right, Sean, who are you low on?

947
00:46:43,960 --> 00:46:46,520
Speaker 7: I'm low on Gronk this week. He's all the way

948
00:46:46,560 --> 00:46:49,200
Speaker 7: down a tight end eleven. I think he's he's pretty

949
00:46:49,239 --> 00:46:51,120
Speaker 7: tough to trust right now. I think he's become a

950
00:46:51,120 --> 00:46:56,040
Speaker 7: little bit too touchdown dependent. You know, cam Brad saw

951
00:46:56,080 --> 00:47:00,400
Speaker 7: his rods run climb seven straight games before posting a

952
00:47:00,520 --> 00:47:04,720
Speaker 7: four catch fifty four game last week. I think also,

953
00:47:04,800 --> 00:47:08,560
Speaker 7: you know, if Ronald Jones potentially out, Brady's a little

954
00:47:08,560 --> 00:47:10,399
Speaker 7: bit more willing to dump it off to running backs

955
00:47:10,400 --> 00:47:13,640
Speaker 7: when it's Leonard Fournette, l Shaw McCoy the backfield. So

956
00:47:14,280 --> 00:47:17,520
Speaker 7: with all the targets that around, I think Gronk he's

957
00:47:17,600 --> 00:47:19,479
Speaker 7: a bit worrisome. I think he has a lower floor

958
00:47:19,520 --> 00:47:21,280
Speaker 7: than people realize heading into this matchup.

959
00:47:21,360 --> 00:47:23,279
Speaker 6: So you know, if.

960
00:47:23,000 --> 00:47:26,200
Speaker 7: There's better streaming option available with a higher floor, I'd

961
00:47:26,239 --> 00:47:29,680
Speaker 7: consider them. Otherwise, he's He's mostly a low end tight end,

962
00:47:29,719 --> 00:47:32,560
Speaker 7: one touchdown dependent kind of guy, all.

963
00:47:32,560 --> 00:47:34,640
Speaker 2: Right, A guy I am low on, and I you know,

964
00:47:34,760 --> 00:47:36,880
Speaker 2: I don't mention him every week, but I'm on the

965
00:47:37,000 --> 00:47:39,520
Speaker 2: rankings low on him every week. And that's Jared Cook.

966
00:47:40,080 --> 00:47:43,359
Speaker 2: Even without last week wide receiver Michael Thomas and Trake

967
00:47:43,400 --> 00:47:46,360
Speaker 2: went Smith, Cook wasn't a high volume tight end. He

968
00:47:46,400 --> 00:47:48,920
Speaker 2: has more than five targets in a game just twice

969
00:47:49,160 --> 00:47:51,480
Speaker 2: this year. He has one hundred and eighty one yards

970
00:47:51,719 --> 00:47:55,040
Speaker 2: in his past eight games. That's just really bad. And

971
00:47:55,080 --> 00:47:58,799
Speaker 2: not all that was with Drew Brees. But with the

972
00:47:58,920 --> 00:48:01,600
Speaker 2: lack of volume that he has, I don't think he

973
00:48:01,680 --> 00:48:05,960
Speaker 2: has a true ceiling, a difference making ceiling, and so

974
00:48:06,400 --> 00:48:09,800
Speaker 2: someone I just really want to avoid. All right, Sean,

975
00:48:10,000 --> 00:48:11,160
Speaker 2: give us the tiden prop.

976
00:48:12,440 --> 00:48:15,640
Speaker 7: So, assuming George Kittle is able to play this week,

977
00:48:15,680 --> 00:48:19,400
Speaker 7: which I think is trending towards likely, where do you

978
00:48:19,400 --> 00:48:21,680
Speaker 7: guys have his receiving yards because I think he could

979
00:48:21,680 --> 00:48:24,200
Speaker 7: be an interesting to start call for some people. But

980
00:48:24,680 --> 00:48:29,480
Speaker 7: right now I have his receptions at or his receiving

981
00:48:29,520 --> 00:48:32,520
Speaker 7: yards at over under fifty two and a half, and.

982
00:48:32,400 --> 00:48:34,440
Speaker 2: I'm a little bit of a kill joy and that

983
00:48:34,640 --> 00:48:38,560
Speaker 2: I actually haven't I haven't projected it because I'm assuming

984
00:48:38,760 --> 00:48:42,439
Speaker 2: he actually doesn't play, and that's based on nothing other

985
00:48:42,520 --> 00:48:45,440
Speaker 2: than my laziness, and I don't want to. I don't

986
00:48:45,480 --> 00:48:47,880
Speaker 2: want to make the projection until I actually have a

987
00:48:47,880 --> 00:48:50,840
Speaker 2: pretty strong sense that he's going to play. So shooting

988
00:48:50,880 --> 00:48:55,600
Speaker 2: from the hip, I'm going to take the under and

989
00:48:56,040 --> 00:48:58,879
Speaker 2: think that he plays. But they don't really have much

990
00:48:58,880 --> 00:49:02,320
Speaker 2: to play for, and Jordan Reid has maybe done enough

991
00:49:02,360 --> 00:49:05,360
Speaker 2: to where he gets a little bit more action than

992
00:49:05,360 --> 00:49:07,879
Speaker 2: you would normally expect, so I will take the under there.

993
00:49:08,480 --> 00:49:10,680
Speaker 5: So yeah, and this is really tricky to project, as

994
00:49:10,719 --> 00:49:13,840
Speaker 5: you kind of alluded to. So over the past four games,

995
00:49:13,880 --> 00:49:17,600
Speaker 5: the top tight end in San Francisco has just been read.

996
00:49:17,800 --> 00:49:20,840
Speaker 5: I think, Yeah, Jordan Reid has run about sixty percent

997
00:49:20,880 --> 00:49:23,080
Speaker 5: of the route, So given that Kiddle is coming back

998
00:49:23,080 --> 00:49:25,160
Speaker 5: from injury right now, that is what I haven't projected

999
00:49:25,160 --> 00:49:27,800
Speaker 5: for about sixty percent. His season average is seventy eight percent,

1000
00:49:27,880 --> 00:49:30,359
Speaker 5: so there's a chance he could play a little more

1001
00:49:30,400 --> 00:49:34,640
Speaker 5: than I'm projecting, but at that number he had, I'm

1002
00:49:34,680 --> 00:49:37,040
Speaker 5: projecting him with fifty one yards, so I'm gonna go

1003
00:49:37,120 --> 00:49:42,360
Speaker 5: slightly under, but great. All that being said, he is

1004
00:49:42,400 --> 00:49:46,359
Speaker 5: still my tight end five, even playing you know, like

1005
00:49:46,560 --> 00:49:49,640
Speaker 5: essentially like seventy five percent of the route. So I

1006
00:49:49,680 --> 00:49:53,719
Speaker 5: would say, unless you're talking about a Kelsey or a

1007
00:49:53,920 --> 00:49:58,040
Speaker 5: Darren Waller or Mark Andrews, I would say, still still

1008
00:49:58,080 --> 00:50:01,040
Speaker 5: start or Onion, I would say still start.

1009
00:50:01,120 --> 00:50:03,600
Speaker 4: George Kittle, Yeah, if he's doing That's.

1010
00:50:03,400 --> 00:50:05,600
Speaker 7: What I was going to say. You know, people that

1011
00:50:06,880 --> 00:50:09,360
Speaker 7: you know had Kittle, maybe they picked up Tanyan. That

1012
00:50:09,440 --> 00:50:11,520
Speaker 7: was about the time that Kittle got hurt. Tanyan might

1013
00:50:11,520 --> 00:50:13,759
Speaker 7: have been available, so they might have that call. I

1014
00:50:13,840 --> 00:50:16,080
Speaker 7: even have a guy like Logan Thomas near my top

1015
00:50:16,120 --> 00:50:18,879
Speaker 7: five this week. He's another guy where I can see

1016
00:50:18,880 --> 00:50:21,200
Speaker 7: people asking, you know, hey, do you start George Kittle

1017
00:50:21,640 --> 00:50:23,959
Speaker 7: or Logan Thomas this week? Just guys that people maybe

1018
00:50:24,000 --> 00:50:26,680
Speaker 7: stumbled on that we're kind of waiting for Kittle to

1019
00:50:26,719 --> 00:50:29,239
Speaker 7: come back. But he's one of those guys where I

1020
00:50:29,239 --> 00:50:31,800
Speaker 7: don't know if we can trust him to play enough

1021
00:50:32,280 --> 00:50:33,920
Speaker 7: in a critical matchup.

1022
00:50:33,920 --> 00:50:35,120
Speaker 6: That is the Fantasy Ball Final.

1023
00:50:35,200 --> 00:50:36,560
Speaker 7: So he's a guy that I just want to get

1024
00:50:36,840 --> 00:50:41,279
Speaker 7: your guy's opinion going in, Like he's obviously start him

1025
00:50:41,280 --> 00:50:43,520
Speaker 7: if you haven't. But some of these guys that people

1026
00:50:43,640 --> 00:50:45,520
Speaker 7: picked up might have a higher floor.

1027
00:50:45,840 --> 00:50:48,200
Speaker 5: Yeah, I mean it's I think it really we have

1028
00:50:48,239 --> 00:50:50,920
Speaker 5: to pay attention to, like if he plays at all,

1029
00:50:50,960 --> 00:50:53,920
Speaker 5: because you know, San Francisco, are they officially eliminated or

1030
00:50:54,680 --> 00:50:55,839
Speaker 5: are they so?

1031
00:50:56,040 --> 00:50:58,000
Speaker 7: But I think Kittle's one of those guys where he's

1032
00:50:58,080 --> 00:51:00,600
Speaker 7: going to push to play this week.

1033
00:51:00,840 --> 00:51:02,960
Speaker 5: Yeah, Like I think if they let him play, like

1034
00:51:03,000 --> 00:51:04,560
Speaker 5: they I don't think I think they would just scratch

1035
00:51:04,640 --> 00:51:06,759
Speaker 5: him if they thought there was any risk. Like, I

1036
00:51:06,760 --> 00:51:08,920
Speaker 5: think if they let him play, I think I think

1037
00:51:08,960 --> 00:51:11,200
Speaker 5: it's fair to expect like a fifty to sixty percent

1038
00:51:11,239 --> 00:51:13,879
Speaker 5: because I'm like, I'm basing that projection on Jordan Reid,

1039
00:51:13,920 --> 00:51:15,719
Speaker 5: who's kind of in the same boat, right, Like It's

1040
00:51:15,760 --> 00:51:18,120
Speaker 5: like he's a guy extra a lot of injury risk,

1041
00:51:18,400 --> 00:51:20,279
Speaker 5: you know, is he fully healthy? Got hurt like two

1042
00:51:20,400 --> 00:51:22,399
Speaker 5: or three times this year, and they've kind of been

1043
00:51:22,440 --> 00:51:26,960
Speaker 5: capping his routes around sixty percent. So I could see

1044
00:51:26,960 --> 00:51:28,640
Speaker 5: them kind of doing the same thing for Kittle. But

1045
00:51:29,760 --> 00:51:31,440
Speaker 5: I think it comes down to, like if he's active

1046
00:51:31,480 --> 00:51:34,840
Speaker 5: at all. Yeah, but like Logan Thomas is an interesting

1047
00:51:34,840 --> 00:51:37,960
Speaker 5: one because I do have Logan Thomas at TE eight

1048
00:51:38,080 --> 00:51:42,440
Speaker 5: right now. But if Haskins or Smith plays, he bumps up,

1049
00:51:42,480 --> 00:51:44,840
Speaker 5: so but if not, he bumps down. So Logan Thomas

1050
00:51:44,840 --> 00:51:47,080
Speaker 5: is one to check on rankings at actually network Dot

1051
00:51:47,120 --> 00:51:47,880
Speaker 5: come later in.

1052
00:51:47,840 --> 00:51:50,040
Speaker 7: The week, right It's it's obviously way too early. It's

1053
00:51:50,040 --> 00:51:52,120
Speaker 7: Tuesday morning. We'll know way more later.

1054
00:51:51,960 --> 00:51:52,279
Speaker 6: In the week.

1055
00:51:52,320 --> 00:51:54,160
Speaker 7: But this is one of those things to get ahead

1056
00:51:54,200 --> 00:51:57,160
Speaker 7: of and not be, you know, Sunday morning, like oh shit,

1057
00:51:57,239 --> 00:51:58,759
Speaker 7: what do I do here? It's it's something that you

1058
00:51:58,800 --> 00:52:01,240
Speaker 7: need to think about heading into your matchup.

1059
00:52:02,800 --> 00:52:06,359
Speaker 2: Sean, do you have right now CJ. Bethard projected as

1060
00:52:06,400 --> 00:52:07,120
Speaker 2: the quarterback?

1061
00:52:08,120 --> 00:52:11,320
Speaker 6: No, right now, Nick Mallens, because honestly it doesn't matter.

1062
00:52:11,880 --> 00:52:15,440
Speaker 2: Yeah, well you say that, but as we all know, CJ.

1063
00:52:15,560 --> 00:52:19,200
Speaker 2: Bethard and George Kittle played college ball together at Iowa,

1064
00:52:19,280 --> 00:52:22,359
Speaker 2: so they have the shower narrative going for them, so

1065
00:52:22,400 --> 00:52:25,400
Speaker 2: that might you know, that might boost your yardage projection

1066
00:52:25,560 --> 00:52:26,960
Speaker 2: up like five yards.

1067
00:52:26,920 --> 00:52:28,040
Speaker 6: Right when it comes to Kittle.

1068
00:52:28,480 --> 00:52:30,480
Speaker 7: Let me rephrase that, when it comes to Kittle certainly

1069
00:52:30,680 --> 00:52:32,840
Speaker 7: that matters, but right now we don't even know if

1070
00:52:32,920 --> 00:52:36,080
Speaker 7: Kittle's playing, so that's just way too many variables to

1071
00:52:36,160 --> 00:52:38,600
Speaker 7: try to perfect Tuesday morning.

1072
00:52:39,840 --> 00:52:43,080
Speaker 2: All right, good stuff everyone, Best of luck in your

1073
00:52:43,239 --> 00:52:46,839
Speaker 2: week sixteen championship matchups. That does it for this show.

1074
00:52:46,880 --> 00:52:48,840
Speaker 2: You can follow Sean, Chris and me in the Action

1075
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Speaker 2: Network gap at the Underscore odds maker Chris Raybaond and

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00:52:51,800 --> 00:52:53,879
Speaker 2: Matt f the Oracle. Use the app to get real

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00:52:53,920 --> 00:52:56,239
Speaker 2: time odds and track your bets for free, and be

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00:52:56,239 --> 00:52:58,640
Speaker 2: sure to check out our rankings and Shawn's tears at

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00:52:58,640 --> 00:53:02,480
Speaker 2: the Action Network on STFs breakdown and my positional breakdowns

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00:53:02,520 --> 00:53:05,560
Speaker 2: at Fantasy Labs. Please subscribe to and rate Interview the show,

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00:53:05,600 --> 00:53:20,120
Speaker 2: and listen and download on Spotify. See you again next episode.

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00:53:25,120 --> 00:53:26,200
Speaker 6: We're finished talking