1 00:00:05,800 --> 00:00:08,720 Speaker 1: Welcome to the Bloomberg pim L Podcast. I'm Pim Fox. 2 00:00:08,760 --> 00:00:11,520 Speaker 1: Along with my co host Lisa Abramowitz. Each day we 3 00:00:11,640 --> 00:00:15,120 Speaker 1: bring you the most important, noteworthy, and useful interviews for 4 00:00:15,200 --> 00:00:17,840 Speaker 1: you and your money, whether you're at the grocery store 5 00:00:17,960 --> 00:00:20,720 Speaker 1: or the trading floor. Find the Bloomberg p and L 6 00:00:20,840 --> 00:00:35,840 Speaker 1: podcast on Apple Podcasts, SoundCloud and Bloomberg dot com. This 7 00:00:36,080 --> 00:00:39,919 Speaker 1: is Bloomberg Markets with Pim Fox and Lisa Bramowitz on 8 00:00:40,040 --> 00:00:45,400 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Radio. Days after recreational popp became legal in California, 9 00:00:45,680 --> 00:00:50,760 Speaker 1: Attorney General Jeff Sessions decided to revoke Obama era guidance 10 00:00:50,800 --> 00:00:55,720 Speaker 1: that allowed state to states to actually have legal marijuana markets. 11 00:00:56,000 --> 00:00:58,160 Speaker 1: And here to tell us about this is Asher Trophy, 12 00:00:58,360 --> 00:01:02,720 Speaker 1: co founder chief executive of Tress Capital, Ashaal Trumpy. Thank 13 00:01:02,760 --> 00:01:05,360 Speaker 1: you for being with us. Maybe just tell our listeners 14 00:01:05,520 --> 00:01:10,200 Speaker 1: what is Trust Capital and what was your reaction when 15 00:01:10,240 --> 00:01:14,039 Speaker 1: you heard about this change in UH the Department of 16 00:01:14,080 --> 00:01:20,559 Speaker 1: Justice is treatment of legal marijuana sure thanks to Trust 17 00:01:20,600 --> 00:01:24,399 Speaker 1: Capitals of leading strategic venture capital firms dedicated to the 18 00:01:24,480 --> 00:01:27,400 Speaker 1: cannabis industry who are founded in two thousand and thirteen 19 00:01:28,200 --> 00:01:30,720 Speaker 1: and we were one of the first institutional grade investment 20 00:01:30,760 --> 00:01:36,360 Speaker 1: platforms in cannabis, promoting institutionalization of investment in the cannabis space. 21 00:01:37,120 --> 00:01:41,000 Speaker 1: We have an investment focus, UH, diversive global investing with 22 00:01:41,120 --> 00:01:46,160 Speaker 1: a focus on what we consider infrastructure within the space. So, Asher, 23 00:01:46,240 --> 00:01:50,960 Speaker 1: what was your response to this new overhaul of Obama 24 00:01:51,000 --> 00:01:56,680 Speaker 1: era rules or policies that basically have allowed legal legal 25 00:01:56,720 --> 00:02:00,280 Speaker 1: marijuana and frankly the legalization of marijuana and ken best 26 00:02:00,280 --> 00:02:06,560 Speaker 1: products to flourish. They definitely supported that, um, you know, 27 00:02:06,600 --> 00:02:10,720 Speaker 1: and the Coal Memo basically relinquished enforcement to the states 28 00:02:10,800 --> 00:02:14,720 Speaker 1: under certain conditions. All right, So the recision of that 29 00:02:14,800 --> 00:02:21,880 Speaker 1: guidance really just it doesn't change policy. Leave the prosecutorial 30 00:02:22,040 --> 00:02:26,560 Speaker 1: discretion up to the local u S attorneys in the states. Now, 31 00:02:26,760 --> 00:02:31,280 Speaker 1: the attorneys, the u S attorneys in the legal states 32 00:02:32,000 --> 00:02:35,240 Speaker 1: are not exactly incentive to do anything different from what 33 00:02:35,280 --> 00:02:39,720 Speaker 1: they have been doing, all right. I mean that's political suicide. Um. 34 00:02:39,760 --> 00:02:42,799 Speaker 1: And in Jeff Sessions words yesterday, you know, I'm reading 35 00:02:42,800 --> 00:02:49,000 Speaker 1: from his memo, UM, should weigh all relevant considerations the process, 36 00:02:49,160 --> 00:02:53,840 Speaker 1: federal prosecutors who all relevant considerations including dot dot dot 37 00:02:53,919 --> 00:03:00,359 Speaker 1: cumulative impact on the community. Right, Um, we have seeing 38 00:03:00,919 --> 00:03:06,639 Speaker 1: great effects on communities that have taken up legal cannabis programs, 39 00:03:07,360 --> 00:03:11,080 Speaker 1: So we find it to be very unlikely that prosecutors 40 00:03:11,080 --> 00:03:18,359 Speaker 1: in those states will interfere in regulated markets UH businesses 41 00:03:18,400 --> 00:03:22,040 Speaker 1: which are operating strictly within the confines of those states 42 00:03:23,120 --> 00:03:25,959 Speaker 1: regulated frameworks. Sure, in other words, you're saying that this 43 00:03:26,000 --> 00:03:29,840 Speaker 1: should have little or no effect whatsoever on the legal 44 00:03:30,040 --> 00:03:34,960 Speaker 1: enforcement of marijuana rules, and should allow states to maintain 45 00:03:35,080 --> 00:03:38,080 Speaker 1: jurisdiction UH and and and the ability to make it 46 00:03:38,160 --> 00:03:42,960 Speaker 1: legal in their locale. Um. So, in other words, even 47 00:03:43,000 --> 00:03:46,480 Speaker 1: with your investments, you see it having little effect. Is that? 48 00:03:46,600 --> 00:03:51,320 Speaker 1: Is that accurate with our investments? We are super conservative 49 00:03:51,400 --> 00:03:55,480 Speaker 1: and you know we we factor in these types of risks. Um. 50 00:03:55,600 --> 00:03:58,760 Speaker 1: For example, what you saw in the Canadian markets yesterday, 51 00:03:59,240 --> 00:04:03,560 Speaker 1: a big Dropadian canvas related stocks. You know that's natural 52 00:04:03,640 --> 00:04:09,880 Speaker 1: in a very very frothy public market environment, right. Um. 53 00:04:09,920 --> 00:04:13,559 Speaker 1: You know we're as there are certainly much more considervative 54 00:04:13,560 --> 00:04:17,960 Speaker 1: and more prudent ways to invest in the space, and 55 00:04:17,960 --> 00:04:21,640 Speaker 1: that's how we do it. Behalf of our family officer 56 00:04:21,720 --> 00:04:25,480 Speaker 1: institutional clients. Have you had any pushback or any comments 57 00:04:25,520 --> 00:04:29,159 Speaker 1: from any of your investors regarding this move by Attorney 58 00:04:29,240 --> 00:04:33,760 Speaker 1: General Jeff sessions. Uh, not really. We we got a 59 00:04:33,800 --> 00:04:37,839 Speaker 1: couple of phone calls asking about it, and you know, 60 00:04:37,920 --> 00:04:40,039 Speaker 1: to to U two closings that we have on the 61 00:04:40,080 --> 00:04:43,720 Speaker 1: table right now. Those are both you know, heavily moving 62 00:04:43,720 --> 00:04:48,040 Speaker 1: forward today and uh post weekends, and that's domestic and international. 63 00:04:49,400 --> 00:04:53,800 Speaker 1: Sure have you actually been buying on any weakness from 64 00:04:53,960 --> 00:05:00,440 Speaker 1: regulatory jitters? Um, I'd say that we've not been buying. Um. 65 00:05:00,920 --> 00:05:05,440 Speaker 1: We we don't acquire publicly traded stocks at the time 66 00:05:06,560 --> 00:05:09,200 Speaker 1: due to the you know, the the way the mark 67 00:05:09,440 --> 00:05:13,800 Speaker 1: is right now. These opportunities um, that are proven and 68 00:05:13,839 --> 00:05:17,159 Speaker 1: more safe are on the private side of the market. UM. 69 00:05:17,360 --> 00:05:19,840 Speaker 1: And so I think the effect that it might have 70 00:05:20,080 --> 00:05:23,400 Speaker 1: is that it might move the balance a little bit 71 00:05:23,400 --> 00:05:27,640 Speaker 1: more in our favorite of negotiating terms, UM, you know, 72 00:05:27,800 --> 00:05:32,919 Speaker 1: on venture investments of that nature. How does the legal 73 00:05:32,960 --> 00:05:39,960 Speaker 1: cannabis industry bank its money? Sure? Uh. There are over 74 00:05:40,040 --> 00:05:43,960 Speaker 1: four hundred banks according to since NUM three hundred banks 75 00:05:44,000 --> 00:05:47,880 Speaker 1: plus a hundred credit unions UM from since and data 76 00:05:48,040 --> 00:05:51,880 Speaker 1: in the fall that currently bank the cannabis industry in 77 00:05:51,920 --> 00:05:56,359 Speaker 1: some way. I personally posit that every major financial banking 78 00:05:56,400 --> 00:06:01,679 Speaker 1: institution in this country is whether they know it or not, UM. 79 00:06:01,720 --> 00:06:05,120 Speaker 1: So there are many the state charter banks credit unions 80 00:06:05,160 --> 00:06:08,839 Speaker 1: are the safer bess um for people seeking those accounts 81 00:06:08,920 --> 00:06:12,800 Speaker 1: inside the industry, and you know that that sometimes becomes 82 00:06:13,120 --> 00:06:16,080 Speaker 1: a strategic point in the space of you know, knowing 83 00:06:16,120 --> 00:06:18,920 Speaker 1: which banks work with the space in which you don't, 84 00:06:19,560 --> 00:06:22,360 Speaker 1: and really finding the right fit. There are banks certainly 85 00:06:22,360 --> 00:06:27,719 Speaker 1: out there banking. All of our portfolio companies have banking relationships. UM. 86 00:06:27,920 --> 00:06:30,839 Speaker 1: So you know, it's definitely one of the key challenges 87 00:06:30,839 --> 00:06:33,800 Speaker 1: in the space brought on the flip side. You know 88 00:06:33,880 --> 00:06:36,760 Speaker 1: that that is what that is part of what creates 89 00:06:37,000 --> 00:06:40,559 Speaker 1: the opportunity that exists, right, that inefficiency in the market. 90 00:06:40,600 --> 00:06:42,599 Speaker 1: If if all that went away and the sky was 91 00:06:42,680 --> 00:06:45,880 Speaker 1: nice and clear and blue, that would be great, But 92 00:06:46,120 --> 00:06:50,400 Speaker 1: surely we'd want to position much before that, um, when 93 00:06:50,400 --> 00:06:53,040 Speaker 1: there is uncertainty, so you're closer to the ground and 94 00:06:53,160 --> 00:06:56,720 Speaker 1: you're less underside risk. Well. Sure, there have been a 95 00:06:56,800 --> 00:07:01,479 Speaker 1: number of investors that have turned to bitcoin or blockchain 96 00:07:02,040 --> 00:07:05,960 Speaker 1: uh to get around traditional banking structures that might not 97 00:07:06,120 --> 00:07:10,080 Speaker 1: be uh so warm towards this industry. Have you done that? 98 00:07:10,200 --> 00:07:14,880 Speaker 1: Do you see that gaining speed even more? Uh? We 99 00:07:14,920 --> 00:07:19,560 Speaker 1: are exploring blockchain. We have not done anything in crypto 100 00:07:19,800 --> 00:07:24,160 Speaker 1: or blockchain to date, but we're in some active conversations 101 00:07:24,760 --> 00:07:29,520 Speaker 1: in terms of people using those cryptocurrencies. Um. You know, 102 00:07:29,600 --> 00:07:33,040 Speaker 1: we look at banking kind of the way it is 103 00:07:33,080 --> 00:07:38,040 Speaker 1: now as a um the banking will open up over 104 00:07:38,080 --> 00:07:43,560 Speaker 1: time and thus the round banking are almost a secular 105 00:07:43,920 --> 00:07:47,160 Speaker 1: declient so to speak. Yeah, and overtime as the industry 106 00:07:47,200 --> 00:07:51,520 Speaker 1: grows and growing. Believer, Yeah, sure you're you're breaking up. 107 00:07:51,760 --> 00:07:55,440 Speaker 1: Thank you so much for joining us. Fascinating conversation. Asher Trophy, 108 00:07:55,880 --> 00:08:00,560 Speaker 1: co founder and chief executive of Trust Capital. I'm talking 109 00:08:00,600 --> 00:08:04,360 Speaker 1: about the cannabis industry at a time when some states 110 00:08:04,360 --> 00:08:07,400 Speaker 1: like California are legalizing it and the current Justice Department 111 00:08:07,400 --> 00:08:10,760 Speaker 1: seems to be moving in the opposite direction and tightening 112 00:08:10,960 --> 00:08:14,720 Speaker 1: the screws a bit. Coming up, Politics, policy and power 113 00:08:14,880 --> 00:08:17,840 Speaker 1: and law, Amy Morris, So, what do you have on 114 00:08:17,880 --> 00:08:21,440 Speaker 1: tap today? The President's lawyers threatened the publisher of Fire 115 00:08:21,480 --> 00:08:23,560 Speaker 1: and Fury with legal action if they released the book. 116 00:08:23,760 --> 00:08:26,920 Speaker 1: The publisher responded by releasing it early this morning, and 117 00:08:26,920 --> 00:08:28,600 Speaker 1: we're gonna find out what it might mean for the 118 00:08:28,760 --> 00:08:33,720 Speaker 1: administration's agenda. Well, that's coming up, Politics, Policy, power and law. 119 00:08:33,800 --> 00:08:35,520 Speaker 1: You don't want to miss it so much going on 120 00:08:35,559 --> 00:08:38,920 Speaker 1: in Washington. Uh, that is important to keep track up. 121 00:08:39,000 --> 00:09:01,720 Speaker 1: This is Bloomberg. For years, the iPhone and other smartphones 122 00:09:01,760 --> 00:09:06,080 Speaker 1: have been engines of dollars, a cash minting machine. This 123 00:09:06,200 --> 00:09:09,560 Speaker 1: industry has been. But there have been a series of developments, 124 00:09:09,880 --> 00:09:12,960 Speaker 1: not least of which is a saturation in the market. 125 00:09:13,080 --> 00:09:16,160 Speaker 1: But now the end news that perhaps the chips might 126 00:09:16,200 --> 00:09:19,360 Speaker 1: be compromised. The batteries have had issues that are leading 127 00:09:19,400 --> 00:09:22,560 Speaker 1: to questions about how much more steam there is here 128 00:09:22,640 --> 00:09:25,280 Speaker 1: with us. Is Shira o v Day, technology columnist for 129 00:09:25,600 --> 00:09:30,000 Speaker 1: Bloomberg goad Fly. You wrote a column about Apple in particular, 130 00:09:30,440 --> 00:09:34,680 Speaker 1: looking at the specific news about them replacing a battery 131 00:09:34,720 --> 00:09:38,439 Speaker 1: that had been flawed, and how bravo for them that 132 00:09:38,480 --> 00:09:41,280 Speaker 1: they finally told people, albeit a year after they should have. 133 00:09:42,000 --> 00:09:43,960 Speaker 1: But this could be bad for their business in a 134 00:09:44,000 --> 00:09:46,600 Speaker 1: way that perhaps people are not taking into account. Can 135 00:09:46,600 --> 00:09:51,240 Speaker 1: you explain, yes, So in December, Apple essentially said that 136 00:09:51,520 --> 00:09:53,959 Speaker 1: they had made a software change more than a year 137 00:09:54,000 --> 00:09:57,040 Speaker 1: ago that did a couple things. So on phones that 138 00:09:57,120 --> 00:10:01,319 Speaker 1: had older, worn out batteries, It's low down the processing 139 00:10:01,400 --> 00:10:05,720 Speaker 1: power on purpose so that those phones didn't shut off unexpectedly, 140 00:10:05,720 --> 00:10:08,400 Speaker 1: which was behavior that some phones had been doing and 141 00:10:08,440 --> 00:10:11,240 Speaker 1: it was very bad. But Apple said, basically they didn't. 142 00:10:11,520 --> 00:10:15,880 Speaker 1: They weren't really forthcoming about this trade off of power 143 00:10:16,040 --> 00:10:19,440 Speaker 1: and performance, and they should have been. They apologized in 144 00:10:19,480 --> 00:10:22,440 Speaker 1: a kind of Apple not quite apology way, and they 145 00:10:22,960 --> 00:10:25,800 Speaker 1: did something unusual, which is for the rest of this year, 146 00:10:26,120 --> 00:10:29,400 Speaker 1: Apple has said that on affected phones, which are kind 147 00:10:29,400 --> 00:10:32,280 Speaker 1: of one to three years year old iPhones, it's gonna 148 00:10:32,400 --> 00:10:35,880 Speaker 1: replace batteries for twenty nine dollars instead of the usual price, 149 00:10:35,960 --> 00:10:38,319 Speaker 1: which is seventy nine dollars. So this is a pretty 150 00:10:38,320 --> 00:10:41,040 Speaker 1: big deal. And you're taking them up on this, and 151 00:10:41,080 --> 00:10:44,720 Speaker 1: so are probably a lot of other people. And how 152 00:10:44,840 --> 00:10:48,080 Speaker 1: is this potentially bad for their business going forward? And 153 00:10:48,120 --> 00:10:52,200 Speaker 1: frankly harbinger of a slowdown that perhaps analysts are not 154 00:10:52,240 --> 00:10:54,760 Speaker 1: taking into account right, So I think it's a it's 155 00:10:54,760 --> 00:10:56,800 Speaker 1: a little bit hard to know exactly what the impact 156 00:10:56,840 --> 00:10:58,880 Speaker 1: is going to be, but you can imagine there are 157 00:10:58,880 --> 00:11:01,440 Speaker 1: people like me who have iPhones that are two or 158 00:11:01,480 --> 00:11:04,800 Speaker 1: three years old who would be perfectly happy to pay 159 00:11:05,000 --> 00:11:07,920 Speaker 1: thirty dollars to get a new battery that might perk 160 00:11:08,040 --> 00:11:10,880 Speaker 1: up the processing power on those phones and in some ways, 161 00:11:11,360 --> 00:11:14,360 Speaker 1: in many cases make them feel almost like new. And 162 00:11:14,400 --> 00:11:17,480 Speaker 1: if that's a good alternative to buying a new iPhone 163 00:11:17,559 --> 00:11:21,840 Speaker 1: at seven hundred or a thousand dollars, I'm gladly pay 164 00:11:21,920 --> 00:11:24,400 Speaker 1: thirty dollars for a shot at getting a like new 165 00:11:24,760 --> 00:11:26,720 Speaker 1: sort of iPhone. And so the question is how much 166 00:11:26,800 --> 00:11:30,760 Speaker 1: does that affect sales of new iPhones at a time 167 00:11:30,840 --> 00:11:34,880 Speaker 1: when the entire smartphone industry is having these problems with growth. 168 00:11:34,920 --> 00:11:37,880 Speaker 1: This is not just an Apple problem. Certainly, Apple is 169 00:11:37,920 --> 00:11:41,720 Speaker 1: not immune that the sales of new iPhones UM have 170 00:11:41,880 --> 00:11:45,720 Speaker 1: slowed almost to a crawl at a point when many 171 00:11:45,760 --> 00:11:48,120 Speaker 1: people have phones and they're good enough and we're holding 172 00:11:48,120 --> 00:11:50,840 Speaker 1: onto them for longer and longer. What do you think 173 00:11:50,880 --> 00:11:53,880 Speaker 1: the value of the Apple brand is? I mean, it's 174 00:11:53,880 --> 00:11:57,280 Speaker 1: an incredibly valuable brand. If you look at those rankings 175 00:11:57,320 --> 00:12:00,000 Speaker 1: of UM, what do you what do you call them 176 00:12:00,280 --> 00:12:03,400 Speaker 1: consumer brand preferences? Apple is at the top or near 177 00:12:03,480 --> 00:12:06,560 Speaker 1: the top in almost every country in which it operates. Okay, 178 00:12:06,640 --> 00:12:08,920 Speaker 1: so by doing this, do you think that they've enhanced 179 00:12:08,960 --> 00:12:12,040 Speaker 1: the brand? Well, look, I mean I think they might 180 00:12:12,080 --> 00:12:16,000 Speaker 1: have done the brand damage by not being forthcoming about 181 00:12:16,040 --> 00:12:19,280 Speaker 1: this change they made in the software to slow down 182 00:12:19,360 --> 00:12:22,199 Speaker 1: phones with older batteries. You know, the company had an 183 00:12:22,200 --> 00:12:26,200 Speaker 1: opportunity for a year to talk about this publicly, and 184 00:12:26,280 --> 00:12:30,680 Speaker 1: instead it allowed this flourishing of conspiracy theories that Apple 185 00:12:30,760 --> 00:12:34,480 Speaker 1: intentionally slowed down older phones to prod people to buy 186 00:12:34,559 --> 00:12:36,960 Speaker 1: new ones. And it turns out there's I mean, the 187 00:12:37,000 --> 00:12:39,760 Speaker 1: motivation was maybe not true, but there was a shred 188 00:12:39,760 --> 00:12:43,160 Speaker 1: of truth in those conspiracy conspiracy theories. Okay, but you 189 00:12:43,200 --> 00:12:47,880 Speaker 1: don't believe that by lowering the price of replacement batteries 190 00:12:47,920 --> 00:12:50,480 Speaker 1: to solve this problem, you don't think that that has 191 00:12:50,600 --> 00:12:55,160 Speaker 1: enhanced the brand and the loyalty of customers to Apple. Yeah, 192 00:12:55,360 --> 00:12:57,959 Speaker 1: that's a good question. I mean, look, it's it's a 193 00:12:58,760 --> 00:13:02,400 Speaker 1: throwing away their Apple. No, but I think I want 194 00:13:02,400 --> 00:13:05,280 Speaker 1: to out that that pim is actually clutching, clutching his 195 00:13:05,360 --> 00:13:07,960 Speaker 1: iPhone as we talk, which I think is actually older 196 00:13:07,960 --> 00:13:14,079 Speaker 1: than five years. But yes, my point that Apple plays 197 00:13:14,120 --> 00:13:19,480 Speaker 1: for the long haul, yes, customers, Yes, I think is 198 00:13:19,520 --> 00:13:24,680 Speaker 1: something that Apple understands almost uh intrinsically. It's part of 199 00:13:24,720 --> 00:13:27,840 Speaker 1: the d NA. So they did the brand damage and 200 00:13:27,920 --> 00:13:30,920 Speaker 1: now they're doing some brand burnishing and I don't know 201 00:13:31,080 --> 00:13:34,680 Speaker 1: what the ultimate trade office. But there's a larger point here, 202 00:13:34,760 --> 00:13:38,040 Speaker 1: which is if people are prolonging the cycle with which 203 00:13:38,080 --> 00:13:41,680 Speaker 1: they own phones. What does that do to the future 204 00:13:41,679 --> 00:13:45,480 Speaker 1: of smartphone makers that have gotten used to minting cash? 205 00:13:45,840 --> 00:13:48,720 Speaker 1: And I guess that that My question is, let's say 206 00:13:49,000 --> 00:13:53,400 Speaker 1: growth does stagnate here, what's the outlook for Apple? I mean, 207 00:13:53,480 --> 00:13:58,200 Speaker 1: they're still minting cash. Look to me, the existential threat 208 00:13:58,640 --> 00:14:02,920 Speaker 1: for companies like Apple is the changes we've seen in 209 00:14:03,040 --> 00:14:07,840 Speaker 1: consumer buying behavior of smartphones. Again, our phones are really good, 210 00:14:07,920 --> 00:14:10,400 Speaker 1: we rely on them a lot, but we're not buying 211 00:14:10,520 --> 00:14:13,160 Speaker 1: new ones at at least in countries like the US 212 00:14:13,280 --> 00:14:15,440 Speaker 1: and in Europe. We're not buying new ones at the 213 00:14:15,520 --> 00:14:17,560 Speaker 1: rate that we used to. If you look at the 214 00:14:17,640 --> 00:14:21,280 Speaker 1: average time period between new smartphone purchases, it used to 215 00:14:21,360 --> 00:14:23,440 Speaker 1: be something like once in every two years in the 216 00:14:23,520 --> 00:14:28,840 Speaker 1: United States, and now it's more like three years plus, right, 217 00:14:28,880 --> 00:14:33,080 Speaker 1: And that has a huge impact on sales numbers. Right, 218 00:14:33,120 --> 00:14:35,400 Speaker 1: If we're holding onto our new phones, that reduces the 219 00:14:35,480 --> 00:14:38,280 Speaker 1: number of new phones sold every year, and that is again, 220 00:14:38,720 --> 00:14:41,280 Speaker 1: that is a big headwind for companies like Apple that 221 00:14:41,400 --> 00:14:44,600 Speaker 1: I just I don't think they can overcome what seems 222 00:14:44,640 --> 00:14:48,600 Speaker 1: like a permanent shift in buying behavior. Three hundred million 223 00:14:48,600 --> 00:14:52,720 Speaker 1: dollars in a day. Doesn't that make your question this thesis? 224 00:14:53,320 --> 00:14:57,040 Speaker 1: It does not. New Year's Day three million dollars. Yes, 225 00:14:57,160 --> 00:15:00,880 Speaker 1: you're talking about Apple disclosed that New Year's Day sales 226 00:15:01,080 --> 00:15:03,720 Speaker 1: of things from the app store's three hundred million dollars. 227 00:15:03,920 --> 00:15:05,640 Speaker 1: So i'll I'll point out a couple of things. One 228 00:15:05,720 --> 00:15:09,479 Speaker 1: is and I'm gonna give you ten seconds. Sorry. Um. 229 00:15:09,800 --> 00:15:13,240 Speaker 1: The rate of growth in the app store is slowing 230 00:15:13,280 --> 00:15:16,720 Speaker 1: down significantly, with something like thirty plus percent in two 231 00:15:16,720 --> 00:15:20,360 Speaker 1: thousand seventeen and forty plus percent in two thousands sixteen. 232 00:15:20,880 --> 00:15:23,560 Speaker 1: And if Apple Apple wants that number to go in 233 00:15:23,560 --> 00:15:30,000 Speaker 1: the other direction up down. I love I love being 234 00:15:30,040 --> 00:15:33,200 Speaker 1: set straight by Shira Over. They are Gadfly columnists for 235 00:15:33,240 --> 00:15:54,120 Speaker 1: all Things technology. Always read her columns. Right now, I 236 00:15:54,120 --> 00:15:57,680 Speaker 1: want to get an on the ground version of what's 237 00:15:57,720 --> 00:15:59,880 Speaker 1: going on in the jobs market, and really there's no 238 00:15:59,880 --> 00:16:02,520 Speaker 1: one better to do that than Tom Gimble, founder and 239 00:16:02,600 --> 00:16:06,840 Speaker 1: chief executive LASAL Network in Chicago. LASL is one of 240 00:16:06,960 --> 00:16:10,800 Speaker 1: the leading staffing and recruiting firms in the country, and Tom, 241 00:16:10,800 --> 00:16:14,320 Speaker 1: I'd love to get your sense of what's happening under 242 00:16:14,360 --> 00:16:17,160 Speaker 1: the numbers. I mean, it seems like we are reaching 243 00:16:17,360 --> 00:16:21,400 Speaker 1: a full capacity here full jobs market, full employment. UM, 244 00:16:21,560 --> 00:16:24,040 Speaker 1: we are not seeing the wage growth that people would 245 00:16:24,040 --> 00:16:27,080 Speaker 1: like to see. Is it really so good or the 246 00:16:27,160 --> 00:16:30,560 Speaker 1: numbers masking some sort of broader weakness that isn't being 247 00:16:30,600 --> 00:16:33,480 Speaker 1: accounted for. No, the numbers are really good. This is 248 00:16:33,520 --> 00:16:36,000 Speaker 1: the best economy that we've seen in twenty five years, 249 00:16:36,600 --> 00:16:38,720 Speaker 1: probably longer than that. I've been in the market for 250 00:16:38,760 --> 00:16:43,080 Speaker 1: twenty years. UM, we're seeing that you know, unemployed. Acceptable 251 00:16:43,120 --> 00:16:45,120 Speaker 1: unemployment rate is between two and two and a half 252 00:16:45,160 --> 00:16:49,000 Speaker 1: percent historically, so as we as we scoot under four percent, 253 00:16:49,120 --> 00:16:51,040 Speaker 1: then you're you're getting a little bit close to that. 254 00:16:51,320 --> 00:16:53,840 Speaker 1: What you're gonna have is in It's an interesting situation 255 00:16:53,880 --> 00:16:57,160 Speaker 1: where baby boomers are retiring, you have more millennials entering 256 00:16:57,200 --> 00:17:00,320 Speaker 1: the workhorse. UM. What will really be interesting thing to 257 00:17:00,400 --> 00:17:05,320 Speaker 1: see is UM jobs are affected if this infrastructure bill 258 00:17:05,359 --> 00:17:08,040 Speaker 1: gets passed and we're gonna have more people throwing hammers? 259 00:17:08,040 --> 00:17:09,439 Speaker 1: Are we going to have the people to do that? 260 00:17:09,520 --> 00:17:11,640 Speaker 1: In addition to the white collar and I think too 261 00:17:11,680 --> 00:17:15,119 Speaker 1: often we look at immigration as people crossing the border 262 00:17:15,119 --> 00:17:19,800 Speaker 1: from Mexico to America for um, blue collar and trade jobs, 263 00:17:19,960 --> 00:17:23,639 Speaker 1: versus people coming here for white collar education and staying 264 00:17:23,640 --> 00:17:26,520 Speaker 1: here and and some of the technology and innovation, and 265 00:17:26,760 --> 00:17:30,080 Speaker 1: some of those immigration situations. So there's really across the board, 266 00:17:30,080 --> 00:17:33,120 Speaker 1: but the numbers aren't lying. The economy is great and 267 00:17:33,359 --> 00:17:36,200 Speaker 1: people should embrace it while while it's here. Okay, you said, 268 00:17:36,280 --> 00:17:38,840 Speaker 1: while it's here, do you see any signs? Are based 269 00:17:38,840 --> 00:17:41,919 Speaker 1: on your experience, how long can something like this last? 270 00:17:43,119 --> 00:17:46,280 Speaker 1: I'm very confident that that based you know, well, while 271 00:17:46,320 --> 00:17:49,360 Speaker 1: no one loves the tweets and the communication that might 272 00:17:49,400 --> 00:17:52,600 Speaker 1: come out of d c UM, the lack of pending 273 00:17:52,640 --> 00:17:55,920 Speaker 1: regulation that changes at the n l RB, the tax overhaul, 274 00:17:56,320 --> 00:17:59,280 Speaker 1: I see this thing going for another two years. Uh, 275 00:17:59,320 --> 00:18:01,919 Speaker 1: there's no reasm to think that that it should end. 276 00:18:01,920 --> 00:18:05,040 Speaker 1: If we can get interest rates a couple bumps this year, 277 00:18:05,080 --> 00:18:06,879 Speaker 1: two or three bumps this year. I think we're in 278 00:18:06,920 --> 00:18:10,840 Speaker 1: a pretty good place. Tom Which industries are benefiting the most, 279 00:18:10,920 --> 00:18:12,840 Speaker 1: or I should say the workers in which industries are 280 00:18:12,880 --> 00:18:15,600 Speaker 1: benefiting the most? In which are being left behind? Right now? 281 00:18:16,720 --> 00:18:20,240 Speaker 1: I don't know if any any working classes getting left behind. 282 00:18:20,280 --> 00:18:23,120 Speaker 1: I think what we have in America is there's pockets 283 00:18:23,119 --> 00:18:26,080 Speaker 1: of population, meaning what's going on in New York or 284 00:18:26,080 --> 00:18:28,440 Speaker 1: San Francisco may not be the same that's going on 285 00:18:28,520 --> 00:18:32,560 Speaker 1: in in Omaha or or or you know, Madison, Wisconsin. 286 00:18:33,080 --> 00:18:38,119 Speaker 1: But across the board, whether it's technology or sales, healthcare, finance, 287 00:18:38,560 --> 00:18:41,920 Speaker 1: companies are hiring and growing. What we're seeing and it's 288 00:18:41,960 --> 00:18:45,200 Speaker 1: really interesting, and why wage growth isn't hiring or isn't 289 00:18:45,200 --> 00:18:49,000 Speaker 1: increasing is because now small and medium sized companies can 290 00:18:49,160 --> 00:18:52,879 Speaker 1: also offshore business that twenty years ago was really just 291 00:18:53,000 --> 00:18:56,720 Speaker 1: a big fortune one thousand type of of of option. 292 00:18:57,119 --> 00:18:59,760 Speaker 1: And so we're not competing against just our neighbors for 293 00:19:00,000 --> 00:19:03,440 Speaker 1: for jobs and more money. We're competing globally. So as 294 00:19:03,520 --> 00:19:05,760 Speaker 1: that change is now we will see towards the end 295 00:19:05,760 --> 00:19:10,200 Speaker 1: of predict is we'll start to see wage increase because 296 00:19:10,240 --> 00:19:13,840 Speaker 1: the municipalities that have increased a higher minimum wage. That 297 00:19:13,880 --> 00:19:16,919 Speaker 1: will expect the service sector, in the hospitality jobs, and 298 00:19:16,960 --> 00:19:20,000 Speaker 1: you'll start to see wage increase from those because those 299 00:19:20,080 --> 00:19:23,880 Speaker 1: jobs obviously can't be off short. Well with those wage increases, 300 00:19:24,320 --> 00:19:28,200 Speaker 1: will you see employers trying to find less costly ways 301 00:19:28,280 --> 00:19:32,360 Speaker 1: to advance their businesses. Well, what will what will probably 302 00:19:32,400 --> 00:19:35,440 Speaker 1: see as more automation. So when you have the kiosks 303 00:19:35,480 --> 00:19:37,720 Speaker 1: that have appeared in some McDonald's and other fast food 304 00:19:37,800 --> 00:19:42,639 Speaker 1: chains that are trying to um automated and quite frankly, 305 00:19:42,680 --> 00:19:45,440 Speaker 1: save money and make things more efficient for the consumer. 306 00:19:45,760 --> 00:19:48,439 Speaker 1: If those can continue to grow with their level of 307 00:19:48,480 --> 00:19:52,159 Speaker 1: sophistication and the consumer doesn't suffer, you will see that. Uh, 308 00:19:52,440 --> 00:19:56,280 Speaker 1: the wages may increase in the service sector and hospitality sector, 309 00:19:56,680 --> 00:19:59,840 Speaker 1: but um, you won't see as many jobs in that. 310 00:20:00,000 --> 00:20:02,119 Speaker 1: So it really is, word a word, an interesting intersection. 311 00:20:02,160 --> 00:20:04,600 Speaker 1: But as you said to open the segment, is that 312 00:20:04,680 --> 00:20:08,080 Speaker 1: with unemployment creeping down from from four point one four percent, 313 00:20:08,080 --> 00:20:11,240 Speaker 1: of that continues in we're going to see that the 314 00:20:11,560 --> 00:20:15,119 Speaker 1: worker the workforce isn't in an abundance anyway, so it's 315 00:20:15,160 --> 00:20:18,640 Speaker 1: really more the participation, Right, Tom, have you been crazy 316 00:20:18,680 --> 00:20:22,600 Speaker 1: busy and do you expect an even busier The fourth 317 00:20:22,680 --> 00:20:26,120 Speaker 1: quarter was the best quarter I've had in twenty five years, 318 00:20:26,119 --> 00:20:28,760 Speaker 1: and we've grown every single year for for twenty years 319 00:20:28,760 --> 00:20:30,880 Speaker 1: that I've had the company. So yeah, it's been It's 320 00:20:30,880 --> 00:20:33,159 Speaker 1: been great. I I see things. I know I'm a 321 00:20:33,160 --> 00:20:35,480 Speaker 1: little bit sound, a little bullish and a little little 322 00:20:35,480 --> 00:20:39,119 Speaker 1: happy happy pill focus this morning, but uh, it is 323 00:20:39,200 --> 00:20:41,080 Speaker 1: it has been really good both in the Midwest and 324 00:20:41,119 --> 00:20:44,520 Speaker 1: we do work around the country and uh, companies and 325 00:20:44,640 --> 00:20:48,240 Speaker 1: CEOs have confidence in the economy and they're hiring. Thanks 326 00:20:48,359 --> 00:20:50,280 Speaker 1: very much for being with us. Tom Kimball is the 327 00:20:50,359 --> 00:20:56,080 Speaker 1: chief executive of LaSalle Networks and very interesting comments. As 328 00:20:56,160 --> 00:20:58,280 Speaker 1: you said, from the ground up right, this is not 329 00:20:58,400 --> 00:21:03,159 Speaker 1: big macro numbers. This is actually filling jobs in accounting, finance, 330 00:21:03,240 --> 00:21:21,760 Speaker 1: call centers, executive search, healthcare and so on. Yeah, you're 331 00:21:21,840 --> 00:21:25,959 Speaker 1: listening to Bloomberg Markets with the Fox and Lisa Bramwitz 332 00:21:26,200 --> 00:21:30,560 Speaker 1: on Bloomberg Radio. Well, we all want cheaper drugs, and 333 00:21:30,840 --> 00:21:34,360 Speaker 1: the US has been trying to approve generic drugs at 334 00:21:34,359 --> 00:21:38,160 Speaker 1: a faster clip to expedite some of these more cheaper 335 00:21:38,240 --> 00:21:41,800 Speaker 1: drugs to the market. But they are hitting into a 336 00:21:41,880 --> 00:21:45,080 Speaker 1: pipeline issue. Here to talk about it, as Anna Edney, 337 00:21:45,119 --> 00:21:48,680 Speaker 1: she's a health policy and FDA reporter for Bloomberg News, 338 00:21:48,760 --> 00:21:51,159 Speaker 1: and thank you so much for joining us. Can you 339 00:21:51,240 --> 00:21:56,200 Speaker 1: explain how drugs get to market in the US and 340 00:21:56,440 --> 00:22:00,440 Speaker 1: why this is a huge factor in the FDA's ability 341 00:22:00,480 --> 00:22:06,040 Speaker 1: to expedite generic generic drugs? Sure, so, in UM in 342 00:22:06,080 --> 00:22:08,520 Speaker 1: the US, a lot of the drugs that we take 343 00:22:08,840 --> 00:22:14,840 Speaker 1: are generic, and many of those are coming from India. 344 00:22:15,040 --> 00:22:19,199 Speaker 1: So it's either UM drug makers that are based there, 345 00:22:19,280 --> 00:22:23,600 Speaker 1: UM they're large generic drug makers, or there are even bigger, 346 00:22:23,840 --> 00:22:26,600 Speaker 1: sort of more well established drug makers that we might 347 00:22:26,600 --> 00:22:28,600 Speaker 1: know of that are in the US or in Europe. 348 00:22:28,800 --> 00:22:32,080 Speaker 1: Many of them have manufacturing plants that are based in 349 00:22:32,200 --> 00:22:35,119 Speaker 1: India UM because that helps them bring down the cost 350 00:22:35,200 --> 00:22:40,000 Speaker 1: of manufacturing their drugs. The issue that you know we're 351 00:22:40,000 --> 00:22:43,720 Speaker 1: seeing is UM for you know, the FDA has been 352 00:22:43,720 --> 00:22:47,280 Speaker 1: trying to increase oversight there because there are just so 353 00:22:47,320 --> 00:22:52,200 Speaker 1: many issues cropping up with UM. You know, the testing 354 00:22:52,280 --> 00:22:55,040 Speaker 1: that happens when they're manufacturing these drugs. They need to 355 00:22:55,119 --> 00:22:58,199 Speaker 1: check and make sure that the drugs are you know, 356 00:22:58,520 --> 00:23:01,240 Speaker 1: still safe and that they have as much active ingredient 357 00:23:01,320 --> 00:23:03,879 Speaker 1: as they should basically that they're going to work the 358 00:23:03,960 --> 00:23:07,280 Speaker 1: same as a brand name drug UM that they're copying. 359 00:23:07,520 --> 00:23:10,480 Speaker 1: And a lot of times the f d A is 360 00:23:10,520 --> 00:23:16,200 Speaker 1: finding in India the companies are deleting testing data if 361 00:23:16,200 --> 00:23:19,560 Speaker 1: it isn't desirable. So if they fail some of those testing, 362 00:23:20,000 --> 00:23:21,760 Speaker 1: or if it looks like a drug is going to 363 00:23:21,800 --> 00:23:26,080 Speaker 1: fail that testing, the the results will just sort of 364 00:23:26,160 --> 00:23:30,160 Speaker 1: vanish or be invalidated in some way. They might abort 365 00:23:30,240 --> 00:23:33,359 Speaker 1: the test UM. So what the f d A is 366 00:23:33,400 --> 00:23:36,000 Speaker 1: getting from them on the quality of their drugs might 367 00:23:36,040 --> 00:23:41,480 Speaker 1: not exactly be accurate. And a doctor Ready's laboratories. It's 368 00:23:41,520 --> 00:23:44,639 Speaker 1: got a plant in and Pradesh, and I want you 369 00:23:44,680 --> 00:23:49,680 Speaker 1: to explain what happened. In March of the f d 370 00:23:49,720 --> 00:23:53,160 Speaker 1: A was doing an inspection there. So there were two 371 00:23:53,480 --> 00:23:58,879 Speaker 1: agency inspectors that went to this this plant, UM and 372 00:23:58,960 --> 00:24:03,119 Speaker 1: they were they go into the computers a lot of times, 373 00:24:03,160 --> 00:24:07,320 Speaker 1: sort of like computer forensic experts essentially, UM to try 374 00:24:07,359 --> 00:24:11,680 Speaker 1: and and look and see, you know what the analysts 375 00:24:11,680 --> 00:24:14,960 Speaker 1: they're working on this testing have been doing. What they 376 00:24:15,040 --> 00:24:20,040 Speaker 1: found were what looked like, you know, deleted documents. They 377 00:24:20,040 --> 00:24:21,879 Speaker 1: didn't find the documents, but they found sort of a 378 00:24:21,960 --> 00:24:25,760 Speaker 1: trail that, you know, the documents were gone. So there 379 00:24:25,800 --> 00:24:28,200 Speaker 1: were you know, you open up Microsoft word, there's your 380 00:24:28,240 --> 00:24:31,639 Speaker 1: file of recent files. They looked at that file and 381 00:24:31,680 --> 00:24:34,440 Speaker 1: when they clicked on those documents, they weren't there anymore. 382 00:24:34,560 --> 00:24:39,000 Speaker 1: So they obviously had very recently been deleted from that computer. 383 00:24:39,119 --> 00:24:41,680 Speaker 1: They asked the employees, UM, you know, if they had 384 00:24:41,680 --> 00:24:44,159 Speaker 1: been if they had deleted them. They said no. They 385 00:24:44,200 --> 00:24:46,880 Speaker 1: asked them again, they said no. And this is from 386 00:24:46,920 --> 00:24:50,119 Speaker 1: me reading the inspection report. They finally asked them a 387 00:24:50,200 --> 00:24:52,600 Speaker 1: third time um. So they pressed them on this and 388 00:24:52,600 --> 00:24:55,760 Speaker 1: they admitted, yes, they had deleted these files. They couldn't 389 00:24:55,800 --> 00:24:59,760 Speaker 1: remember why. Okay, so Anna, there is a big question 390 00:25:00,119 --> 00:25:04,960 Speaker 1: of the the accuracy of some of the testing and 391 00:25:05,119 --> 00:25:08,080 Speaker 1: the production that's coming out of India, which supplies about 392 00:25:08,880 --> 00:25:13,000 Speaker 1: of the generic drugs that Americans take. Um, what what's 393 00:25:13,040 --> 00:25:15,280 Speaker 1: the outcome here? If the f d A is trying 394 00:25:15,280 --> 00:25:19,720 Speaker 1: to expedite generic approvals to lower drug costs, if they 395 00:25:19,800 --> 00:25:23,000 Speaker 1: are approving these at a faster clip, and yet it 396 00:25:23,040 --> 00:25:25,800 Speaker 1: sounds like, especially reading your story, they don't have the 397 00:25:25,800 --> 00:25:29,000 Speaker 1: boots on the ground in India to oversee some of 398 00:25:29,040 --> 00:25:31,919 Speaker 1: these plants. Does that mean that drugs are making their 399 00:25:31,960 --> 00:25:34,440 Speaker 1: way to the US that are not safe? Does it 400 00:25:34,560 --> 00:25:36,960 Speaker 1: mean that it's going to slow down the process of 401 00:25:37,000 --> 00:25:39,440 Speaker 1: generic drugs that are approved getting to the market. What's 402 00:25:39,440 --> 00:25:42,480 Speaker 1: the implication here? I think it raises a lot of 403 00:25:42,600 --> 00:25:47,040 Speaker 1: questions about whether those drugs are safe that are coming 404 00:25:47,520 --> 00:25:51,639 Speaker 1: to market here from India. The companies um that I 405 00:25:51,680 --> 00:25:55,000 Speaker 1: mentioned in the stories and that I contacted all said, 406 00:25:55,240 --> 00:25:58,320 Speaker 1: you know, they are working on these issues. The f 407 00:25:58,480 --> 00:26:01,800 Speaker 1: d A hasn't gone as are as to ban their products, 408 00:26:01,800 --> 00:26:05,680 Speaker 1: which the FDA can do if they find significant problems um. 409 00:26:05,760 --> 00:26:08,880 Speaker 1: And so they say that, you know, that basically means 410 00:26:08,920 --> 00:26:12,360 Speaker 1: that the FDA thinks they're still safe enough to come here. 411 00:26:12,560 --> 00:26:16,520 Speaker 1: They're just you know, keeping an eye on these manufacturing 412 00:26:16,560 --> 00:26:19,639 Speaker 1: issues that they need to clean up before the f 413 00:26:19,800 --> 00:26:23,639 Speaker 1: D a kind of gives them, uh, you know, the 414 00:26:23,680 --> 00:26:26,960 Speaker 1: green light that that everything is okay. So I'm just wondering, 415 00:26:27,000 --> 00:26:29,320 Speaker 1: i x f D a sort of the first and 416 00:26:29,440 --> 00:26:34,480 Speaker 1: last stop to oversee these factories or are distributors, the 417 00:26:34,480 --> 00:26:38,600 Speaker 1: big pharmaceutical distributors or uh, you know, the the actual 418 00:26:38,640 --> 00:26:41,480 Speaker 1: companies that came up with the drugs. Are they the 419 00:26:41,480 --> 00:26:44,199 Speaker 1: ones that that could potentially have some oversight over this. 420 00:26:45,680 --> 00:26:49,600 Speaker 1: The f D a is um is you know, considers 421 00:26:49,600 --> 00:26:54,320 Speaker 1: itself the authority to be able to you know, investigate 422 00:26:54,359 --> 00:26:57,399 Speaker 1: inspect these companies, but they do put the onus on 423 00:26:57,480 --> 00:27:02,280 Speaker 1: the companies themselves to sure that their products are safe um. 424 00:27:02,320 --> 00:27:05,400 Speaker 1: And so the sort of the buck stops there. There 425 00:27:05,560 --> 00:27:08,639 Speaker 1: is a sort of a thing in Europe um A 426 00:27:08,680 --> 00:27:11,800 Speaker 1: lot of the drugs have to have testing before they 427 00:27:11,840 --> 00:27:15,440 Speaker 1: crossed the border um into those countries. The US does 428 00:27:15,520 --> 00:27:18,800 Speaker 1: not have that, so you know, there isn't sort of 429 00:27:18,840 --> 00:27:22,639 Speaker 1: that check um. The final check where you might be 430 00:27:22,720 --> 00:27:26,320 Speaker 1: testing those products at that point. Thank you very much 431 00:27:26,359 --> 00:27:28,840 Speaker 1: and a any very important story. And just to note 432 00:27:28,840 --> 00:27:32,159 Speaker 1: that the Dr Ready Laboratories had declined to comment for 433 00:27:32,240 --> 00:27:37,120 Speaker 1: the story. Anna Edwards our Edna our healthcare policy reporter 434 00:27:37,400 --> 00:27:42,960 Speaker 1: for Bloomberg News talking about generic drugs made in factories 435 00:27:43,000 --> 00:27:47,840 Speaker 1: that may not get the greatest kind of oversight. Thanks 436 00:27:47,840 --> 00:27:50,480 Speaker 1: for listening to the Bloomberg P and L podcast. You 437 00:27:50,480 --> 00:27:54,280 Speaker 1: can subscribe and listen to interviews at Apple Podcasts, SoundCloud, 438 00:27:54,400 --> 00:27:57,880 Speaker 1: or whatever podcast platform you prefer. I'm pim Fox. I'm 439 00:27:57,920 --> 00:28:01,439 Speaker 1: on Twitter at pim Fox. I'm on Twitter at Lisa 440 00:28:01,480 --> 00:28:04,639 Speaker 1: abramoits one before the podcast. You can always catch us 441 00:28:04,680 --> 00:28:06,240 Speaker 1: worldwide on Bloomberg Radio