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Speaker 1: Hey, guys, how are you welcome into a Wednesday morning

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Speaker 1: episode of the Daily Juice podcast with me Matt Peultz.

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Speaker 1: You guys can follow me across all of my socials

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Speaker 1: at Sports Talk. Matt and we had a very good

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Speaker 1: night last night. We go two and o officially on

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Speaker 1: the Daily Juice, Nick's Big Spurs, Big two and oh

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Speaker 1: up to units if you went and watched the College

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Speaker 1: Basketball show. We had the Alabama Georgia game to go over.

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Speaker 1: We had a nice win to take UNLV who pounded

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Speaker 1: Utah State. We had a plus eight. They won the

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Speaker 1: game going away by double digits. They won the game

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Speaker 1: outright on senior Night, so big day, Big Night. Unfortunately,

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Speaker 1: Nebraska got crushed by UCLA, so that figures, right, Tom.

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Speaker 1: I bet the Huskers two times. I hate that program.

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Speaker 1: I've hated Nebraska. I hate the basketball program. I like

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Speaker 1: Fred Hoiberg. He's a good guy. I hate Nebraska basketball.

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Speaker 1: Always have, well, not always, but I guess in two

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Speaker 1: thousand and four, I've hated Nebraska basketball. And of course

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Speaker 1: I've bet on Nebraska basketball two times this year. I've

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Speaker 1: lost both bets. I've done Huskers. Buye. I'm either fading

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Speaker 1: you or not betting on you anymore, but a four

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Speaker 1: and one day overall, I'll take it. It was a

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Speaker 1: good night last night here for us, but two and

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Speaker 1: l officially for the Daily Juice podcast. Now, I have

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Speaker 1: been able to because the guys who work behind the

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Speaker 1: scenes here for betting pros work so hard and I

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Speaker 1: really do appreciate them going and calculating everything up. So

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Speaker 1: there's two numbers to talk about. The first number is

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Speaker 1: the actual number. The actual number for February. We were

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Speaker 1: down one point seven units for the month of February.

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Speaker 1: Kind of a paper cut, right all. Also, we're down

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Speaker 1: in the month of January, but that's because of all

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Speaker 1: the hedging I did with the future for the Seattle Seahawks.

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Speaker 1: If you include what we happened with the Seattle Seahawks

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Speaker 1: and the Super Bowl win that we had that future, well,

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Speaker 1: then obviously February we're way up, and we're way up

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Speaker 1: for the year double digit cashing of a ticket. But

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Speaker 1: as as I said, we cash that in twenty five.

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Speaker 1: So the final tally for twenty and twenty five is

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Speaker 1: up twenty five point eight units. That's what we wound

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Speaker 1: up up for the year last year. We take that

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Speaker 1: future bet and put it into twenty five. But because

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Speaker 1: we did that, that means the hedge bets all counted

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Speaker 1: in twenty twenty six, and so we are down two

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Speaker 1: point two units for the year so far here in

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Speaker 1: twenty and twenty six. Nothing crazy, very easy to overcome it,

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Speaker 1: but small loser in January because of that future bets

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Speaker 1: and the hedging we did which counted in twenty and

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Speaker 1: then the actual cashing of that future ticket happened in

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Speaker 1: twenty five. So that's why we're down slightly units two

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Speaker 1: point two units for the year, down one point seven

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Speaker 1: units for the month of February. So just a quick

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Speaker 1: accounting as to what we're doing here for today. So

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Speaker 1: let's get into the green. We can do that here

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Speaker 1: today if we do well, have a three to oh

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Speaker 1: day today, and then we're right back up into the

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Speaker 1: black for us. Coming up, I got three bets, two

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Speaker 1: in college basketball, two in the same game in college basketball,

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Speaker 1: in one in the NBA to give you coming up

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Speaker 1: here in just one second. Before I give you those plays,

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Speaker 1: This is Florida Sports Book, and we have March. It's

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Speaker 1: here that means college basketball takes center stage. The stakes

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Speaker 1: are rising, the shots are falling, and now is a

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Speaker 1: If you ever miss tip off of that big game,

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Speaker 1: game long. If you're into baseball, hard Rock Bets got

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Speaker 1: you covered their too. World Baseball Classic going on right now.

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Speaker 1: and make your first deposit. Coming up today. All right,

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Speaker 1: let's start with Arkansas in Texas. I actually have two

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Speaker 1: bets here in this game. I don't normally do this,

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Speaker 1: but there really isn't much else I like in the cards.

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Speaker 1: I told you about the World Baseball Classic. I just

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Speaker 1: don't know what to do with it. I don't know

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Speaker 1: how to bet it. I'm sort of at a loss

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Speaker 1: here for it. So I'm just going to bet two games.

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Speaker 1: Two bets in college basketball, one bet in the NBA,

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Speaker 1: and maybe later on in the tournament will get involved.

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Speaker 1: I don't mind taking the Dominican Republic to win the thing.

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Speaker 1: If you want a future bet, take the Dominican. If

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Speaker 1: you want to take a flyer on Japan. You can

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Speaker 1: do that as well. USA probably wins the thing, but

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Speaker 1: their heavy favorite, so not really a lot of value

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Speaker 1: in taking team USA. So I don't mind jumping in

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Speaker 1: on that, but not a lot in terms of what

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Speaker 1: I want to get involved with here with spring training

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Speaker 1: baseball essentially and having it matter even though it is

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Speaker 1: still spring training baseball. But let's talk about Texas at Arkansas.

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Speaker 1: So Arkansas is an interesting team. Arkansas has sort of

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Speaker 1: been like this roller coaster ride. They lost to Kentucky,

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Speaker 1: they won three games, they lost to Alabama, they won

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Speaker 1: two games, they lost to Florida badly in their last game,

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Speaker 1: one eleven to seventy seven. Now they have Texas coming

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Speaker 1: at home and it's Senior Day. Very similar handicap as

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Speaker 1: what we've talked about here over the last couple of

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Speaker 1: days in terms of college campuses, in what these kids

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Speaker 1: play with from an intensity standpoint when it's Senior Day,

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Speaker 1: Senior Night, whatever it might be. Texas beat Texas A

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Speaker 1: and M seventy six to seventy in their last game,

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Speaker 1: but that's not the two game losing streak in which

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Speaker 1: they lost to Georgia and they lost to Florida. KEM

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Speaker 1: Pom has this as a six point win for Arkansas,

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Speaker 1: and the number is six and half. The total is

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Speaker 1: also interesting to me, at one sixty five and a

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Speaker 1: half both games, both side and total, I am interested in.

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Speaker 1: So let's talk about Arkansas's offense. Arkansas offense is great.

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Speaker 1: They are sixth in offensive efficiency. They're twenty third in

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Speaker 1: effective field goal percentage. They do not turn the basketball over,

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Speaker 1: the number one team in college basketball. They only turn

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Speaker 1: the ball over about twelve percent of the time. They're

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Speaker 1: twenty ninth and three point shooting. They're forty first in

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Speaker 1: two point shooting. They only get twenty seven percent of

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Speaker 1: their shots of their points rather from behind the arc.

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Speaker 1: Most of their points come inside the arc. Fifty three

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Speaker 1: point six percent of their offense comes inside the arc.

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Speaker 1: That is fifty third in the country. Texas defensively has

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Speaker 1: been bad one. They don't turn the ball over. Their

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Speaker 1: thirteen point eight is three hundred and forty third in

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Speaker 1: college basketball for turnover percentage. They're one hundred and forty

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Speaker 1: first ineffective field goal percentage. They're one hundred and eighth

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Speaker 1: in defensive efficiency. They're three hundred and eighty second on

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Speaker 1: three point defense against a team in Arkansas that hits

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Speaker 1: their threes twenty nine percent, sorry, twenty ninth in the

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Speaker 1: country at thirty seven point four percent from behind the arc.

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Speaker 1: They are seventy six and two point defense, which is good,

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Speaker 1: but Arkansas has got a lot of sharpshooters out there

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Speaker 1: with their guards. On the flip side, Arkansas, look, their

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Speaker 1: defense isn't great either. Two point defense. They're two hundred

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Speaker 1: and seventy seventh in the country in two point defense.

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Speaker 1: That's awful. They're forty eighth in three point defense, which

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Speaker 1: is decent. But when you take the fact they're one

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Speaker 1: hundred and eighty fourth in effective field goal percentage on defense,

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Speaker 1: in fiftieth in offensive in defensive efficiency, you can score

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Speaker 1: on Arkansas, Texas. You can score as well. Kempom has

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Speaker 1: this game. It's pretty interesting. Kempom has this game falling

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Speaker 1: in you know the one one sixty range here or

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Speaker 1: sorry sorry, the one seventy range, sorry, one seventy. The

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Speaker 1: point total is one sixty five and a half. I

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Speaker 1: think we can take advantage of both numbers being a

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Speaker 1: little bit off here, even though it's ai and a

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Speaker 1: half point number and a six point win. According to kempom,

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Speaker 1: a one sixty five and a half with the projection

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Speaker 1: being about one seventy. Here for these two teams, it

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Speaker 1: comes down to average possession length, It comes down to tempo,

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Speaker 1: it comes down to pace of play. So to me,

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Speaker 1: average possession length for Arkansas is nineteenth in the country.

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Speaker 1: Texas is pretty slow. They're two hundred and fiftieth. However,

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Speaker 1: because of the way Arkansas plays, I think that's going

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Speaker 1: to force Texas to get involved and play that way

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Speaker 1: as well. On the road this year, Texas is eight

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Speaker 1: and five ATS. That's pretty good, but Arkansas is eleven

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Speaker 1: and five at home. They're ten and six in the

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Speaker 1: sees see ATS wise at home. And I like the

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Speaker 1: fact they're coming off that beatdown they got from Florida

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Speaker 1: and they come back home to play unseenior day up

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Speaker 1: against a Texas team that had lost to the two

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Speaker 1: previous games before they played Texas A and M. This

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Speaker 1: is the second straight road game for Texas here, and

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Speaker 1: I just like Arkansas with the crowd at Bud Walton

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Speaker 1: Arena to get the W. I like Arkansas in two

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Speaker 1: different ways here. I like Arkansas to come in and

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Speaker 1: cover the six and a half point spread, and I

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Speaker 1: also like Arkansas and Texas to go over one sixty

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Speaker 1: five and a half. I think we're gonna have an

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Speaker 1: up tempo game. I think Arkansas wins and covers, but

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Speaker 1: I think the game also goes over simply because I

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Speaker 1: think the offense is going to be humming and the

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Speaker 1: offense is going to be very difficult for Texas to stop.

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Speaker 1: I don't think they're going to be able to stop them,

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Speaker 1: and I think the game winds up going over. Texas

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Speaker 1: is eight and four to the over on the road

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Speaker 1: this year. Arkansas, excuse me, it is eleven and five

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Speaker 1: to the over so far this year. In their last

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Speaker 1: four games, all in the SEC have gone over, and

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Speaker 1: not just over, but way over. Alabama game went over

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Speaker 1: by forty eight points, Missouri game went over by twenty

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Speaker 1: and a half points, Texas A and M went over

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Speaker 1: by twelve and a half points, and the Florida game

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Speaker 1: went over by nineteen and a half points. The last

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Speaker 1: two games for Texas have gone under, but that snapped

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Speaker 1: a game where they were five in a row and

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Speaker 1: six of seven to the over. For Texas. They are

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Speaker 1: ten and six in the SEC to the over, nine

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Speaker 1: and seven for Arkansas. Play the over one sixty five

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Speaker 1: and a half for Texas in Arkansas and lay the

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Speaker 1: six and a half points with the Hogs as well.

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Speaker 1: One game in the NBA and we go to the

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Speaker 1: Boston Celtics up against the Charlotte Hornets. Boston has been

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Speaker 1: dominant over Charlotte nine and one straight up. Haven't been

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Speaker 1: great ats though, four and six ATS wise six three

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Speaker 1: and one to the over when these two teams played

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Speaker 1: over their last ten games, but Charlotte has been red hot.

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Speaker 1: Charlotte has won their last five games. They've also covered

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Speaker 1: their last nine of their last ten games they have

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Speaker 1: covered ATS wise, Boston has covered in seven of their

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Speaker 1: last ten. They've won eight of their last ten, but

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Speaker 1: seven and three to the under over their last ten games.

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Speaker 1: For Charlotte, they're six and four to the under over

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Speaker 1: their last ten games. You take a look at Boston

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Speaker 1: in what they have done so far this year at home,

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Speaker 1: they are eighteen and eleven to the under at home

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Speaker 1: this year. Charlotte is seventeen and fifteen to the under

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Speaker 1: on the road the last ten games. Six and four

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Speaker 1: to the under for Charlotte, seven and three to the

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Speaker 1: under for Boston. Like I mentioned in Boston on the

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Speaker 1: year thirty nine and twenty two to the under. Charlotte

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Speaker 1: is thirty eight in twenty four to the under. Two

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Speaker 1: games for both these teams have gone under. For Boston

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Speaker 1: has just been a complete parade to the under given

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Speaker 1: their defensive intensity. I think Charlotte's going to be in

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Speaker 1: the game. I don't want to lay the points with Boston.

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Speaker 1: I think Charlotte's gonna be live here, but I think

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Speaker 1: the game goes under. I think we're gonna see defense.

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Speaker 1: I don't think we see pace of play here coming

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Speaker 1: to play. I think when you look at games two

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Speaker 1: twenty six and a half, for the Dallas game in

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Speaker 1: the last game went under by nineteen and a half points.

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Speaker 1: The Portland game was two twenty nine and a half

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Speaker 1: that went under by twenty seven and a half points.

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Speaker 1: Just seen a lot of games go under involving Charlotte.

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Speaker 1: It's the first game for Boston and Charlotte to get together.

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna go ahead and bet the under under for

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Speaker 1: Boston and Charlotte at minus at two fifteen and a

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Speaker 1: half at minus one ten. So three bets for us

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Speaker 1: all in college basketball. Two in the same game Arkansas

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Speaker 1: minus six and a half against Texas, Arkansas and Texas

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Speaker 1: over one sixty five and a half and Boston and

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Speaker 1: Charlotte in the NBA. We're going under two point fifteen

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Speaker 1: and a half for us here on a Wednesday. My

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Speaker 1: name's Matt parolog You guys can follow me because all

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Speaker 1: my socials at sports Doc Matt every morning. Wherever you

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Speaker 1: guys get your podcasts. It is the Daily Juice.