1 00:00:02,480 --> 00:00:06,840 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, Podcasts, Radio News. 2 00:00:09,760 --> 00:00:11,440 Speaker 2: Good morning, I'm Nathan Hager. 3 00:00:11,440 --> 00:00:14,640 Speaker 1: And I'm Karen Moscow. Here are the stories we're following today. 4 00:00:14,840 --> 00:00:17,200 Speaker 2: Karen, we begin this morning with the latest developments out 5 00:00:17,200 --> 00:00:20,440 Speaker 2: of the Middle East. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin NETANYAHUO has 6 00:00:20,440 --> 00:00:23,640 Speaker 2: held a series of meetings planning the next attack on Iran. 7 00:00:24,000 --> 00:00:27,960 Speaker 2: That's after a Hesbala drone exploded next to his private home. 8 00:00:28,360 --> 00:00:31,120 Speaker 2: We get more from Bloomberg's Patrick Sykes in the Middle East. 9 00:00:31,480 --> 00:00:33,960 Speaker 3: The timeline to be clear, I think is still unclear, 10 00:00:34,040 --> 00:00:36,680 Speaker 3: but that series of meetings over the weekend does suggest 11 00:00:36,800 --> 00:00:40,240 Speaker 3: that it's firmly back on the agenda in the security circles. 12 00:00:40,320 --> 00:00:42,560 Speaker 3: There were some leaks over the weekend from the US 13 00:00:42,680 --> 00:00:46,000 Speaker 3: side suggesting that drones would be involved. That would tally 14 00:00:46,040 --> 00:00:47,960 Speaker 3: with the last sort of back and forth earlier this 15 00:00:48,040 --> 00:00:50,880 Speaker 3: year in April, when Israel's thought to have used drones 16 00:00:50,960 --> 00:00:54,400 Speaker 3: to target Iranian radar facility. And then the only other 17 00:00:54,480 --> 00:00:57,880 Speaker 3: lineup over the weekend was the Iranian Foreign minister calling 18 00:00:57,960 --> 00:01:01,200 Speaker 3: any potential attack from Israel against her on a red 19 00:01:01,240 --> 00:01:05,000 Speaker 3: line and promising to reply in kind. So both sides 20 00:01:05,120 --> 00:01:07,440 Speaker 3: keeping up the rhetoric, but it does remain to be 21 00:01:07,480 --> 00:01:09,800 Speaker 3: seen so when exactly it will take place? 22 00:01:09,880 --> 00:01:13,120 Speaker 2: Bloomberg's Patrick Sike says Israel's killing of Hamas leader yach 23 00:01:13,160 --> 00:01:15,640 Speaker 2: Ya sin War was viewed by many as a potential 24 00:01:15,720 --> 00:01:19,600 Speaker 2: turning point, but in the days since combat has intensified, 25 00:01:19,600 --> 00:01:20,560 Speaker 2: with Hesbala and. 26 00:01:20,640 --> 00:01:24,360 Speaker 1: Hamas now to the latest in the presidential race, Nathan. 27 00:01:24,400 --> 00:01:28,000 Speaker 1: With fifteen days until the election, former President Donald Trump 28 00:01:28,040 --> 00:01:31,959 Speaker 1: held a town hall in Lancaster, Pennsylvania. He addressed a 29 00:01:32,000 --> 00:01:35,120 Speaker 1: new line of attack from a Vice president Kamala Harris 30 00:01:35,319 --> 00:01:37,479 Speaker 1: that he's getting tired on the campaign trail. 31 00:01:38,080 --> 00:01:39,759 Speaker 4: I've done cognitive tests. 32 00:01:39,800 --> 00:01:42,080 Speaker 5: I've done him twice and I aced both of them, 33 00:01:42,120 --> 00:01:44,600 Speaker 5: and the doctor in one case said I've never seen 34 00:01:44,640 --> 00:01:47,960 Speaker 5: anybody asom They've never seen anybody. 35 00:01:47,480 --> 00:01:50,200 Speaker 6: As but I'd like to see cognitive. 36 00:01:49,760 --> 00:01:52,760 Speaker 5: Tests for anybody running for president or vice president. 37 00:01:53,200 --> 00:01:56,520 Speaker 1: Later today, Trump will hold a rally in Greenville, North Carolina, 38 00:01:56,600 --> 00:02:01,320 Speaker 1: after heavily criticizing the Biden administration's response to Hurricane Helene. 39 00:02:01,400 --> 00:02:04,600 Speaker 1: He has a series of splashy media events planned in 40 00:02:04,600 --> 00:02:07,760 Speaker 1: the campaign's final days, including a rally at Madison Square 41 00:02:07,800 --> 00:02:08,760 Speaker 1: Garden this Sunday. 42 00:02:08,880 --> 00:02:12,120 Speaker 2: Well Meanwhile, Karen Vice President Harris, visited a black church 43 00:02:12,240 --> 00:02:15,280 Speaker 2: in Stonecrest, Georgia on Sunday and gave an interview to 44 00:02:15,320 --> 00:02:18,800 Speaker 2: the Reverend Al Sharpton on MSNBC. She was asked about 45 00:02:18,800 --> 00:02:21,960 Speaker 2: the former president's quote street talk on the campaign and 46 00:02:22,120 --> 00:02:25,600 Speaker 2: use of vulgar language to describe her record as vice president. 47 00:02:26,000 --> 00:02:29,080 Speaker 7: The President of the United States must set a standard 48 00:02:29,960 --> 00:02:33,440 Speaker 7: not only for our nation, but understanding the standard that 49 00:02:33,480 --> 00:02:35,720 Speaker 7: we as a nation must set for the world. 50 00:02:36,200 --> 00:02:38,920 Speaker 2: Kamala Harris predicted Trump's lack of decorum would be a 51 00:02:38,960 --> 00:02:43,320 Speaker 2: disqualifier with voters. New federal campaign finance filings show the 52 00:02:43,360 --> 00:02:46,079 Speaker 2: Harris campaign raised two hundred and twenty one point eight 53 00:02:46,240 --> 00:02:49,480 Speaker 2: million dollars in September. That's more than three times the 54 00:02:49,560 --> 00:02:52,440 Speaker 2: sixty two point seven million raised by the Trump campaign. 55 00:02:52,639 --> 00:02:55,800 Speaker 2: The latest Real Clear Politics average of national polls shows 56 00:02:55,840 --> 00:02:58,400 Speaker 2: the race still neck and neck, with Harris leading Trump 57 00:02:58,720 --> 00:03:00,840 Speaker 2: by just nine tenths of one percent. 58 00:03:01,320 --> 00:03:03,280 Speaker 1: Let me turn to the markets now, Nathan and Wall 59 00:03:03,320 --> 00:03:07,119 Speaker 1: Street gets back to work with stocks in record territory. 60 00:03:07,160 --> 00:03:09,120 Speaker 1: In fact, the S and P five hundred is coming 61 00:03:09,120 --> 00:03:12,960 Speaker 1: off it's forty seventh record close of the year. Kamal Batia, 62 00:03:13,080 --> 00:03:15,639 Speaker 1: president and CEO of Principal Asset Management. 63 00:03:15,919 --> 00:03:18,600 Speaker 8: Look, I think the markets have very powerful momentum right now, 64 00:03:18,639 --> 00:03:20,880 Speaker 8: not just here but also other parts of the world. 65 00:03:21,000 --> 00:03:26,239 Speaker 8: So I do think the market conditions are perfect for 66 00:03:26,600 --> 00:03:30,000 Speaker 8: equities to do well here, although the valuations are getting rich. 67 00:03:30,720 --> 00:03:33,840 Speaker 1: Principal Asset Managements Kamal Batia notes the S and P 68 00:03:33,960 --> 00:03:36,480 Speaker 1: five hundred has risen for six straight weeks. 69 00:03:36,280 --> 00:03:40,080 Speaker 2: And well, that's raised concerns over valuations. Karen Muddy Waters 70 00:03:40,160 --> 00:03:43,360 Speaker 2: Capital founder Carson Block says most investors would now do 71 00:03:43,440 --> 00:03:45,760 Speaker 2: better to just buy the biggest US stocks. 72 00:03:46,040 --> 00:03:47,000 Speaker 4: There's a FED put. 73 00:03:47,080 --> 00:03:50,280 Speaker 7: There's always a FED put, you know. Does there come 74 00:03:50,280 --> 00:03:52,160 Speaker 7: a point in time when the system breaks and the 75 00:03:52,160 --> 00:03:56,480 Speaker 7: FED can't fix it? Theoretically yes, in our lifetimes. 76 00:03:56,600 --> 00:03:57,120 Speaker 4: I don't know. 77 00:03:57,880 --> 00:04:00,880 Speaker 7: So I think for now it probably pays not the 78 00:04:00,920 --> 00:04:04,360 Speaker 7: thing too much, just close your eyes and buy, you know, 79 00:04:04,520 --> 00:04:05,520 Speaker 7: probably mag seven. 80 00:04:06,000 --> 00:04:09,320 Speaker 2: Muddy Waters Capital founder Carson Block also tells Bloomberg the 81 00:04:09,440 --> 00:04:11,680 Speaker 2: China stock market is uninvestable. 82 00:04:12,160 --> 00:04:15,040 Speaker 1: Well, Nathan. The parade of earnings continues, with the number 83 00:04:15,040 --> 00:04:19,520 Speaker 1: of high profile companies reporting this week, including several Down members. 84 00:04:19,520 --> 00:04:21,839 Speaker 1: We get a preview with Bloomberg's Charlie Pellett. 85 00:04:22,080 --> 00:04:25,080 Speaker 9: We'll be getting earnings reports this week from AT and T, Boeing, 86 00:04:25,120 --> 00:04:28,279 Speaker 9: and Coca Cola. It questions about whether the outlook for 87 00:04:28,320 --> 00:04:33,560 Speaker 9: corporate profits justifies current valuations. Quincy Crosby is chief Global 88 00:04:33,600 --> 00:04:35,719 Speaker 9: strategist at LPL Financial. 89 00:04:35,960 --> 00:04:39,120 Speaker 10: This is a market that really is discerning and will 90 00:04:39,160 --> 00:04:44,160 Speaker 10: punish any slight, any slight hint in the guidance that 91 00:04:44,200 --> 00:04:47,960 Speaker 10: doesn't meet ultimately the valuations. 92 00:04:48,120 --> 00:04:53,240 Speaker 9: Also reporting this week ge Tesla, American Airlines and Southwest Airlines. 93 00:04:53,440 --> 00:04:57,279 Speaker 9: We'll also hear from UPS and Norfolk Southern in New York. 94 00:04:57,400 --> 00:04:59,120 Speaker 9: Charlie Pellett, Bloomberg Radio. 95 00:04:59,320 --> 00:05:01,360 Speaker 2: All right, Charlie, thank you. The S and P five 96 00:05:01,480 --> 00:05:04,240 Speaker 2: hundred decade of big gains is about to come to 97 00:05:04,279 --> 00:05:07,520 Speaker 2: an end. That is, according to strategists at Goldman Sacks. 98 00:05:07,600 --> 00:05:10,599 Speaker 2: They say US stocks are unlikely to sustain their above 99 00:05:10,640 --> 00:05:14,560 Speaker 2: average performance as investors turned to other assets, including bonds, 100 00:05:14,640 --> 00:05:17,640 Speaker 2: for better returns. Goldman predicts the SMP will post an 101 00:05:17,640 --> 00:05:21,080 Speaker 2: annualized nominal total return of just three percent over the 102 00:05:21,120 --> 00:05:23,880 Speaker 2: next ten years. That compares with thirteen percent in the 103 00:05:23,960 --> 00:05:27,200 Speaker 2: last decade and a long term average of eleven percent. 104 00:05:27,880 --> 00:05:30,480 Speaker 1: Well Nathan and company news shares it boeing up almost 105 00:05:30,560 --> 00:05:33,799 Speaker 1: four percent this morning. The Planemaker and the union representing 106 00:05:33,800 --> 00:05:37,040 Speaker 1: thirty three thousand striking members hammered out a tentative new 107 00:05:37,040 --> 00:05:39,640 Speaker 1: accord that not just a pay by thirty five percent 108 00:05:39,680 --> 00:05:42,640 Speaker 1: over four years, but the hourly workers had the final 109 00:05:42,760 --> 00:05:45,560 Speaker 1: say with their vote on Wednesday, and approval is far 110 00:05:45,640 --> 00:05:48,880 Speaker 1: from certain. They overwhelmingly rejected a deal in September. 111 00:05:49,240 --> 00:05:52,080 Speaker 2: Look for a jump in Treasury yields, Skaren. That's the 112 00:05:52,120 --> 00:05:54,560 Speaker 2: call out a t ROW price. The firm says the 113 00:05:54,600 --> 00:05:57,520 Speaker 2: tenure Treasury will test the five percent threshold in the 114 00:05:57,560 --> 00:05:59,840 Speaker 2: next six months off the back of rising inflation, next 115 00:05:59,839 --> 00:06:03,800 Speaker 2: PIT dictations, and concerns over US fiscal spending. The call 116 00:06:03,880 --> 00:06:07,560 Speaker 2: stands out against market expectations of lower yields after the 117 00:06:07,600 --> 00:06:10,039 Speaker 2: Fed cut rates for the first time in four years 118 00:06:10,200 --> 00:06:10,800 Speaker 2: last month. 119 00:06:14,480 --> 00:06:16,440 Speaker 1: Unnice time offert look at some of the other stories 120 00:06:16,440 --> 00:06:18,400 Speaker 1: making news in New York and around the world, and 121 00:06:18,400 --> 00:06:20,479 Speaker 1: for that we're joined by Bloomberg's Michael Laher. 122 00:06:20,640 --> 00:06:22,480 Speaker 2: Michael, Good morning, Good morning, Karen. 123 00:06:22,760 --> 00:06:26,520 Speaker 11: Hurricane Oscar made landfall and Cuba last night, bringing powerful 124 00:06:26,560 --> 00:06:30,839 Speaker 11: winds across the island, which is already experiencing an island 125 00:06:30,839 --> 00:06:35,320 Speaker 11: wide power outage. Senior hurricane specialist Brad Reinhardt, What's. 126 00:06:35,120 --> 00:06:38,560 Speaker 12: Gonna be the biggest problem going forward is the heavy 127 00:06:38,640 --> 00:06:41,640 Speaker 12: rainfall associated with OSCAR. So, I mean it could produce 128 00:06:41,720 --> 00:06:44,800 Speaker 12: rainfall amounts of six to twelve inches with isolated amounts 129 00:06:44,839 --> 00:06:48,200 Speaker 12: up to eighteen inches across eastern Cuba, and so that's 130 00:06:48,240 --> 00:06:51,560 Speaker 12: going to pose the potential for flash flooding and mudslides, 131 00:06:51,600 --> 00:06:54,080 Speaker 12: particularly over areas of mountainous terrain. 132 00:06:54,800 --> 00:06:58,320 Speaker 11: Oscar's maximum wind speeds were eighty miles an hour when 133 00:06:58,320 --> 00:07:02,159 Speaker 11: he made landfall. Investigation has underway in Georgia, where a 134 00:07:02,200 --> 00:07:06,640 Speaker 11: catastrophic dock collapse took place on an island south of Savannah, 135 00:07:06,720 --> 00:07:11,080 Speaker 11: killing at least seven people. Several more were injured. McIntosh County, 136 00:07:11,160 --> 00:07:15,640 Speaker 11: Georgia official Kate Kerwaki says that President Biden has called 137 00:07:15,680 --> 00:07:16,679 Speaker 11: to offer his support. 138 00:07:17,200 --> 00:07:21,520 Speaker 1: I've personally had telephone calls from many elected officials from 139 00:07:21,640 --> 00:07:25,120 Speaker 1: every sector, beginning with our president on down to fellow 140 00:07:25,120 --> 00:07:27,000 Speaker 1: commissioners in our neighboring communities. 141 00:07:27,880 --> 00:07:31,000 Speaker 11: Officials say the ferry bridge was relatively new. It was 142 00:07:31,040 --> 00:07:34,840 Speaker 11: built at the end of twenty twenty one, which raises 143 00:07:34,880 --> 00:07:37,480 Speaker 11: a lot of questions about why it would fail so soon. 144 00:07:38,280 --> 00:07:41,960 Speaker 11: A helicopter crashed into a radio tower in Houston, Texas. 145 00:07:42,240 --> 00:07:44,520 Speaker 11: The pilot and three passengers were all killed when the 146 00:07:44,560 --> 00:07:48,200 Speaker 11: chopper brought down the tower in a Houston neighborhood. Authorities 147 00:07:48,240 --> 00:07:52,440 Speaker 11: and witnesses say the fiery aftermath and debris spread across 148 00:07:52,480 --> 00:07:53,480 Speaker 11: two to three blocks. 149 00:07:53,720 --> 00:07:57,600 Speaker 3: The fire, everything was just someone like, that's what I thought. 150 00:07:57,600 --> 00:07:59,760 Speaker 4: The first thing I thought it with the airplane Houston. 151 00:08:00,200 --> 00:08:01,560 Speaker 11: John Whitmyer, the. 152 00:08:01,560 --> 00:08:05,800 Speaker 5: Residents are secure and safe, but we have a terrible. 153 00:08:07,240 --> 00:08:12,280 Speaker 11: Accident see multiple fatalities. Police say a child was among 154 00:08:12,320 --> 00:08:16,320 Speaker 11: the four killed. President Joe Biden's administration unveiled a proposal 155 00:08:16,400 --> 00:08:20,000 Speaker 11: today that would require private health plans to cover over 156 00:08:20,040 --> 00:08:24,080 Speaker 11: the counter contraception at no additional cost to consumers. With 157 00:08:24,160 --> 00:08:28,200 Speaker 11: the FDA's approval of Ophil, the US joined more than 158 00:08:28,240 --> 00:08:31,640 Speaker 11: one hundred countries where birth control is already available without 159 00:08:31,680 --> 00:08:36,280 Speaker 11: barriers such as doctor's appointments or parental approval. Global News 160 00:08:36,280 --> 00:08:38,920 Speaker 11: twenty four hours a day and whenever you want it 161 00:08:39,040 --> 00:08:41,079 Speaker 11: with the Bloomberg News. Now, I'm michae La Barr, and 162 00:08:41,160 --> 00:08:42,199 Speaker 11: this is Bloomberg Care. 163 00:08:42,400 --> 00:08:49,080 Speaker 1: All right, Michael Barr, thank you time Now for the 164 00:08:49,080 --> 00:08:52,679 Speaker 1: Bloombergy Sports Update with John stash Hour. John good Morning. 165 00:08:52,520 --> 00:08:55,160 Speaker 6: Didn't want to care of these Mets provided their fans 166 00:08:55,160 --> 00:08:57,360 Speaker 6: with some great womans the past month, but the season 167 00:08:57,480 --> 00:09:00,600 Speaker 6: ended in Los Angeles. The Dodgers won ten and their 168 00:09:00,720 --> 00:09:05,120 Speaker 6: four series wins. LA outscored the Mets thirty seven to seven. 169 00:09:05,160 --> 00:09:08,480 Speaker 6: The LCS MVP with shortstop Tommy Edmund hit over four 170 00:09:08,559 --> 00:09:10,439 Speaker 6: hundred and in Game six, Edmund had a two run 171 00:09:10,480 --> 00:09:13,040 Speaker 6: double the first inning a two run homer in the third. 172 00:09:13,040 --> 00:09:16,880 Speaker 6: Peede Alonzo reflects on what the Mets still accomplished. 173 00:09:17,360 --> 00:09:20,200 Speaker 13: There's so much for us to be proud of what 174 00:09:20,280 --> 00:09:25,680 Speaker 13: we've overcome. How we became like brothers. I mean we 175 00:09:25,720 --> 00:09:29,640 Speaker 13: were just like we accepted everyone for who they were. 176 00:09:29,720 --> 00:09:33,479 Speaker 13: We came together, we gelled, We overcame so much adverseitee. 177 00:09:33,600 --> 00:09:36,199 Speaker 6: It'll be just an interesting offseason for Alonzo. He'll be 178 00:09:36,280 --> 00:09:38,840 Speaker 6: a free agent. Now get ready for the Aaron Judge 179 00:09:38,960 --> 00:09:42,520 Speaker 6: Versus show. Hey O Tani Hype. Yankees and Dodgers start 180 00:09:42,559 --> 00:09:45,000 Speaker 6: the World Series Friday in LA Week seven dugs for 181 00:09:45,040 --> 00:09:48,120 Speaker 6: the Jets and Giants in Pittsburgh, Steelers scored the last 182 00:09:48,200 --> 00:09:50,720 Speaker 6: thirty one beat the Jets thirty seven to fifteen. 183 00:09:50,840 --> 00:09:52,480 Speaker 2: Russell Wilson debuted. 184 00:09:52,320 --> 00:09:54,640 Speaker 6: For Pittsburgh, through for two touchdowns, ran for another two 185 00:09:54,720 --> 00:09:58,400 Speaker 6: more Aaron Rodgers interceptions. That's six in the last three 186 00:09:58,480 --> 00:10:01,160 Speaker 6: games as new teammate DeVante Adams a non factor in 187 00:10:01,160 --> 00:10:03,320 Speaker 6: the Jets have lost four in a row. They're two 188 00:10:03,360 --> 00:10:05,640 Speaker 6: and five, as are the Giants, who are zero and four. 189 00:10:05,640 --> 00:10:09,560 Speaker 6: At Homely Glee scored one touchdown in four home games. Philadelphia, 190 00:10:09,640 --> 00:10:12,840 Speaker 6: led by the ex Giants sake one. Barkley won twenty 191 00:10:12,880 --> 00:10:15,199 Speaker 6: eight to three. Barkley at one hundred and seventy six 192 00:10:15,320 --> 00:10:18,880 Speaker 6: yards exactly one hundred more than the Giants ran four 193 00:10:18,960 --> 00:10:22,760 Speaker 6: Eagles at eight sacks in London. Jacksonville sent the Patriots 194 00:10:22,800 --> 00:10:24,760 Speaker 6: to a sixth straight loss, thirty two to sixteen. The 195 00:10:24,840 --> 00:10:28,400 Speaker 6: Commanders a forty to seven route of Carolina. The Super 196 00:10:28,440 --> 00:10:30,920 Speaker 6: Bowl rematch, like the last time at Kansas City, win 197 00:10:31,400 --> 00:10:33,400 Speaker 6: over the forty nine Ers twenty eight to eighteen. The 198 00:10:33,480 --> 00:10:36,600 Speaker 6: Chiefs were six to oher with Detroit to win at Minnesota, 199 00:10:36,679 --> 00:10:39,280 Speaker 6: case the only team still undefeated. The decisive Game five 200 00:10:39,360 --> 00:10:42,960 Speaker 6: of the WNBA Finals went to overtime. The Liberty prevailed 201 00:10:43,040 --> 00:10:46,360 Speaker 6: sixty seven to sixty two over Minnesota, first championship in 202 00:10:46,440 --> 00:10:47,360 Speaker 6: franchise history. 203 00:10:47,760 --> 00:10:48,000 Speaker 4: JOHNS. 204 00:10:48,000 --> 00:10:50,240 Speaker 2: Stanshawad Bloomberg Sports, Karen and Eda. 205 00:10:52,400 --> 00:10:56,440 Speaker 14: Coast to coast on Bloomberg Radio, nationwide on Sirius XM, 206 00:10:56,640 --> 00:10:59,439 Speaker 14: and around the world on Bloomberg dot Com and the 207 00:10:59,520 --> 00:11:02,880 Speaker 14: Bloomberg Business app. This is Bloomberg Daybreak. 208 00:11:03,120 --> 00:11:06,280 Speaker 2: Good morning. I'm Nathan Hager. Israel is honing its attack 209 00:11:06,360 --> 00:11:09,680 Speaker 2: plan against Iran, nearly three weeks after the country's massive 210 00:11:09,720 --> 00:11:13,400 Speaker 2: ballistic missile strike against Israel earlier this month. The latest 211 00:11:13,440 --> 00:11:18,200 Speaker 2: provocation a Hezbola drone attack that breached Israel's air defenses 212 00:11:18,240 --> 00:11:22,160 Speaker 2: and exploded near Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's home over 213 00:11:22,240 --> 00:11:24,560 Speaker 2: the weekend. For the very latest, we were joined now 214 00:11:24,600 --> 00:11:29,240 Speaker 2: by Bloomberg News Israel Bureau chief Ethan Brunner in Tel Aviv. Ethan, 215 00:11:29,480 --> 00:11:32,040 Speaker 2: good morning. So what is the latest? I understand Israel 216 00:11:32,120 --> 00:11:36,560 Speaker 2: has been going after Hesbola financial institutions in its latest strikes. 217 00:11:37,559 --> 00:11:39,640 Speaker 4: That's right, Nathan, they've been. 218 00:11:39,760 --> 00:11:42,720 Speaker 5: They've they announced late last night our time that they 219 00:11:42,800 --> 00:11:46,040 Speaker 5: were about to start doing so, and urging civilians to 220 00:11:46,200 --> 00:11:49,320 Speaker 5: live near the buildings that housed these Al Khard al 221 00:11:49,360 --> 00:11:51,040 Speaker 5: Hassan Association. 222 00:11:51,960 --> 00:11:53,720 Speaker 4: Institutions to get out. 223 00:11:53,640 --> 00:11:55,840 Speaker 5: Of the way, and then they began a pretty heavy 224 00:11:55,880 --> 00:12:01,480 Speaker 5: bombing campaign against them. They argue that this quasi bank 225 00:12:02,120 --> 00:12:05,240 Speaker 5: is in fact the way in which His Blood gets 226 00:12:05,280 --> 00:12:09,680 Speaker 5: its money, and in fact, the US Treasury did sanction 227 00:12:09,880 --> 00:12:11,680 Speaker 5: that organization eight years ago. 228 00:12:11,880 --> 00:12:12,680 Speaker 4: So there's some hitt. 229 00:12:13,400 --> 00:12:15,400 Speaker 2: So what does this tell us, then, ethan, about where 230 00:12:15,520 --> 00:12:19,400 Speaker 2: Israel could be going now against Iran. It's been nearly 231 00:12:19,559 --> 00:12:23,679 Speaker 2: three weeks since that ballistic missile strike, and now this 232 00:12:23,960 --> 00:12:29,040 Speaker 2: concern raised with the latest potential attack coming very close 233 00:12:29,240 --> 00:12:31,920 Speaker 2: to Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu himself. 234 00:12:32,880 --> 00:12:35,440 Speaker 5: Yes, well, of course it was a His Blood drone, 235 00:12:36,120 --> 00:12:39,240 Speaker 5: you know, not an Iranian drone. But we all know, 236 00:12:39,440 --> 00:12:42,559 Speaker 5: at least Israel says, and we accept on some level 237 00:12:42,640 --> 00:12:46,000 Speaker 5: that Iran is behind his bla very heavily, both in 238 00:12:46,120 --> 00:12:50,640 Speaker 5: terms of arms and money. Iran did distance itself from 239 00:12:50,679 --> 00:12:55,319 Speaker 5: that attack and is trying to keep in theory, you know, 240 00:12:55,960 --> 00:12:59,760 Speaker 5: calm things down. But there's no question that Israel is 241 00:13:00,080 --> 00:13:03,880 Speaker 5: planning some severe counterattack against Iran. 242 00:13:04,920 --> 00:13:06,360 Speaker 4: I don't think it's going to come the next day 243 00:13:06,440 --> 00:13:06,640 Speaker 4: or two. 244 00:13:06,720 --> 00:13:09,520 Speaker 5: We do have Almos Hawksteen, the American envoy to Lebanon, 245 00:13:09,679 --> 00:13:12,559 Speaker 5: in be route today, and we do have Tony Blink 246 00:13:12,640 --> 00:13:16,160 Speaker 5: and the American Secretary of State do here tomorrow. So 247 00:13:16,920 --> 00:13:20,520 Speaker 5: I think that there'll be some diplomatic activity for the 248 00:13:20,600 --> 00:13:24,280 Speaker 5: next couple of days. And don't forget that the Americans 249 00:13:24,440 --> 00:13:30,120 Speaker 5: provided the Israelis with anti ballistic missile defense system which 250 00:13:30,200 --> 00:13:34,480 Speaker 5: is now in place in Israel. So everyone's getting ready 251 00:13:34,520 --> 00:13:35,680 Speaker 5: for something, that's for sure. 252 00:13:36,040 --> 00:13:36,240 Speaker 14: Yeah. 253 00:13:36,360 --> 00:13:38,760 Speaker 2: Have we seen any signs at this point, Ethan, that 254 00:13:38,920 --> 00:13:42,760 Speaker 2: this round of this latest round of diplomatic activity has 255 00:13:42,840 --> 00:13:46,720 Speaker 2: had any impact on what the Israeli security cabinet might 256 00:13:46,760 --> 00:13:48,320 Speaker 2: be planning at this point. 257 00:13:49,320 --> 00:13:51,560 Speaker 5: It's a little unclear. They had a six or seven 258 00:13:51,640 --> 00:13:55,760 Speaker 5: hour meeting late last night and into the morning. Not 259 00:13:56,440 --> 00:14:00,480 Speaker 5: that many details have emerged as we underst stand it, 260 00:14:00,640 --> 00:14:03,679 Speaker 5: They discussed a bunch of things, which does tell us 261 00:14:03,679 --> 00:14:06,959 Speaker 5: a little something about the potential for diplomacy. There does 262 00:14:07,040 --> 00:14:09,400 Speaker 5: seem to be an appetite. I don't know that it 263 00:14:09,520 --> 00:14:12,719 Speaker 5: is overwhelming in the cabinet for some kind of more 264 00:14:12,800 --> 00:14:17,600 Speaker 5: regional deal that involves the hostage is held by Hamas 265 00:14:17,720 --> 00:14:21,840 Speaker 5: in Gaza, the situation at othern Elebanon by his Bellah, 266 00:14:22,400 --> 00:14:23,280 Speaker 5: and you. 267 00:14:23,320 --> 00:14:25,960 Speaker 4: Know, and the Houties and Iran and so on. So 268 00:14:26,080 --> 00:14:30,120 Speaker 4: there was some notion of some kind of a broader deal, 269 00:14:30,760 --> 00:14:32,560 Speaker 4: but it's not very clear what that would mean at 270 00:14:32,600 --> 00:14:33,040 Speaker 4: this point. 271 00:14:33,280 --> 00:14:36,640 Speaker 2: Does that idea of a broader deal imply that the 272 00:14:37,160 --> 00:14:41,160 Speaker 2: death of Hamas leader Sinwar has had some impact that 273 00:14:41,280 --> 00:14:44,600 Speaker 2: it could potentially be that pivot point that a lot 274 00:14:44,640 --> 00:14:47,840 Speaker 2: of people were talking about before this latest drone strike 275 00:14:47,960 --> 00:14:49,920 Speaker 2: on Prime Minister Ntsagna, who's home. 276 00:14:50,800 --> 00:14:54,600 Speaker 5: Yes, I think it does now that, to be fair, 277 00:14:54,880 --> 00:14:58,720 Speaker 5: came on top of the killing of Nostrala, the head 278 00:14:58,760 --> 00:15:01,960 Speaker 5: of Hasballah. Of course those page are bombings and so on. 279 00:15:02,120 --> 00:15:04,520 Speaker 5: So there was a sense in the last month, shall 280 00:15:04,560 --> 00:15:07,600 Speaker 5: we say that Israel, which had felt very much on 281 00:15:07,720 --> 00:15:10,760 Speaker 5: its back foot, had gotten back on the horse and 282 00:15:10,960 --> 00:15:14,400 Speaker 5: was in a position to drive the story, drive the 283 00:15:14,480 --> 00:15:17,840 Speaker 5: diplomacy more in its favor. So and then with the 284 00:15:17,960 --> 00:15:21,560 Speaker 5: killing of Sinhwar, I agree with you, this seems like 285 00:15:21,640 --> 00:15:24,480 Speaker 5: a moment when a number of israel Is again not all, 286 00:15:24,920 --> 00:15:28,960 Speaker 5: not those necessarily far to the right of Natanyahu, but 287 00:15:29,800 --> 00:15:32,680 Speaker 5: many would like to say take the win, let's get 288 00:15:32,760 --> 00:15:35,800 Speaker 5: something going and get these sasages home, and maybe we 289 00:15:36,360 --> 00:15:40,880 Speaker 5: have denatured enough of Hamas to not continue to have 290 00:15:40,960 --> 00:15:42,840 Speaker 5: to go to war against it continually. 291 00:15:43,480 --> 00:15:46,000 Speaker 2: Unfortunately, Ethan, we've only got about twenty seconds left. But 292 00:15:46,080 --> 00:15:48,720 Speaker 2: we heard former President Trump say he's spoken with Prime 293 00:15:48,760 --> 00:15:52,360 Speaker 2: Minister Natanyahu. How is US politics entering into all of 294 00:15:52,400 --> 00:15:53,160 Speaker 2: this if at all? 295 00:15:54,440 --> 00:15:56,360 Speaker 5: Look, I think it is to some extent. I mean, 296 00:15:56,400 --> 00:15:59,040 Speaker 5: we probably need more than twenty seconds to really analyze that. 297 00:15:59,200 --> 00:16:03,200 Speaker 5: But yeah, no doubt that there would be a difference 298 00:16:03,320 --> 00:16:07,640 Speaker 5: between between a Trump and a Harris victory from the 299 00:16:07,680 --> 00:16:10,440 Speaker 5: point of view of Israelis. But I do think both 300 00:16:10,800 --> 00:16:14,000 Speaker 5: potential administrations are likely to want to not be very 301 00:16:14,080 --> 00:16:17,400 Speaker 5: aggressive out here, look more domestically, and I think the 302 00:16:17,760 --> 00:16:18,400 Speaker 5: Israelis are. 303 00:16:18,320 --> 00:16:18,800 Speaker 4: Aware of that. 304 00:16:19,280 --> 00:16:22,680 Speaker 1: This is Bloomberg Daybreak, your morning podcast on the stories 305 00:16:22,760 --> 00:16:25,720 Speaker 1: making news from Wall Street to Washington and beyond. 306 00:16:26,040 --> 00:16:28,400 Speaker 2: Look for us on your podcast feed by six am 307 00:16:28,480 --> 00:16:31,840 Speaker 2: Eastern each morning, on Apple, Spotify, or anywhere else you listen. 308 00:16:32,120 --> 00:16:34,920 Speaker 1: You can also listen live each morning starting at five 309 00:16:34,960 --> 00:16:37,600 Speaker 1: am Wall Street Time on Bloomberg eleven three to zero 310 00:16:37,720 --> 00:16:40,560 Speaker 1: in New York, Bloomberg in ninety nine to one in Washington, 311 00:16:40,680 --> 00:16:44,560 Speaker 1: Bloomberg ninety two nine in Boston, and nationwide on serious 312 00:16:44,840 --> 00:16:46,320 Speaker 1: XM Channel one twenty one. 313 00:16:46,760 --> 00:16:49,480 Speaker 2: Plus listen coast to coast on the Bloomberg Business app 314 00:16:49,560 --> 00:16:52,280 Speaker 2: now with Apple CarPlay and Android Atuto interfaces. 315 00:16:52,600 --> 00:16:55,600 Speaker 1: And don't forget to subscribe to Bloomberg News Now. It's 316 00:16:55,600 --> 00:16:58,360 Speaker 1: the latest news whenever you want it in five minutes 317 00:16:58,440 --> 00:17:01,520 Speaker 1: or less. Search Bloomberg is now in your favorite podcast 318 00:17:01,600 --> 00:17:05,680 Speaker 1: platform to stay informed all day long. I'm Karen Moscow. 319 00:17:05,560 --> 00:17:08,040 Speaker 2: And I'm Nathan Hager. Join us again tomorrow morning for 320 00:17:08,119 --> 00:17:10,040 Speaker 2: all the news you need to start your day right 321 00:17:10,080 --> 00:17:11,320 Speaker 2: here on Bloomberg Day. 322 00:17:11,400 --> 00:17:11,520 Speaker 4: Ray