1 00:00:08,960 --> 00:00:14,760 Speaker 1: Welcome to the Favorites, the podcast from the Action Network. 2 00:00:15,080 --> 00:00:18,480 Speaker 1: I am Chad Millman. We're heading into week two of 3 00:00:18,560 --> 00:00:23,000 Speaker 1: the NFL season. Last week, Ladies and Gentlemen was our 4 00:00:23,000 --> 00:00:27,560 Speaker 1: biggest show in podcast history. Massive, massive show. I think 5 00:00:27,560 --> 00:00:31,240 Speaker 1: it speaks to three things. One people's enthusiasm for the NFL, 6 00:00:31,280 --> 00:00:38,760 Speaker 1: returning to people's enthusiasm for Scooch, and three people's enthusiasm 7 00:00:38,840 --> 00:00:42,880 Speaker 1: for me. Scooch, don't laugh. I haven't introduced you yet. 8 00:00:42,880 --> 00:00:44,839 Speaker 1: We got such a big show coming up today. A 9 00:00:44,880 --> 00:00:46,560 Speaker 1: couple of projects I want to tell you about. Number 10 00:00:46,600 --> 00:00:51,240 Speaker 1: one Scooch. Later on in the show, Darren Ravel is 11 00:00:51,240 --> 00:00:54,320 Speaker 1: going to come back. Simon Hunter, who's the professional better 12 00:00:54,360 --> 00:00:56,600 Speaker 1: from New Jersey, is going to come back. Simon Hunter 13 00:00:56,680 --> 00:00:59,200 Speaker 1: will weigh in on the picks that Darren and I have. 14 00:00:59,360 --> 00:01:02,120 Speaker 1: Darren is this where me is the quote unquote sharp 15 00:01:02,600 --> 00:01:05,120 Speaker 1: for the Super Contest. First week at the Super Contest, 16 00:01:05,400 --> 00:01:08,080 Speaker 1: Darren and I went three and two. We needed the 17 00:01:08,120 --> 00:01:12,200 Speaker 1: Texans last night to cover. They did uh that game 18 00:01:12,319 --> 00:01:15,160 Speaker 1: When once we got once they scored, once they had 19 00:01:15,160 --> 00:01:17,000 Speaker 1: the ball left like three minutes left, I knew we 20 00:01:17,000 --> 00:01:19,200 Speaker 1: were gonna at least cover. And then that Guy game 21 00:01:19,240 --> 00:01:23,800 Speaker 1: got crazy, so it was super exciting. Um Scooch. Later 22 00:01:23,840 --> 00:01:26,520 Speaker 1: on we gotta play some scooch Roulette. I believe we 23 00:01:26,640 --> 00:01:33,360 Speaker 1: both lost. Um and I had the Vikings. Man, Oh, 24 00:01:33,680 --> 00:01:37,319 Speaker 1: what do I have the Jags? I don't know. You 25 00:01:37,360 --> 00:01:40,160 Speaker 1: had like five picks. I don't know what I think. No, 26 00:01:40,240 --> 00:01:42,840 Speaker 1: maybe I picked the Colts. I don't know. We'll have 27 00:01:42,880 --> 00:01:45,080 Speaker 1: to ask Patrick to like figure it out for us 28 00:01:45,080 --> 00:01:50,960 Speaker 1: while we're listening to the podcast. Um, but first from 29 00:01:51,000 --> 00:01:56,360 Speaker 1: the Boyd from Boyd Gaming, representing all the sports books 30 00:01:56,360 --> 00:01:58,760 Speaker 1: that boardgaming has around the country. Bookmaker of the World 31 00:01:59,800 --> 00:02:17,959 Speaker 1: by Scooci. That is music worthy of a man who 32 00:02:18,000 --> 00:02:23,680 Speaker 1: won the first week of scoot Roulette. Yeah, good to 33 00:02:23,680 --> 00:02:28,600 Speaker 1: be back. Listen, Um, just give me a taste, Give 34 00:02:28,600 --> 00:02:29,840 Speaker 1: me a taste. I want to tell you a little 35 00:02:29,840 --> 00:02:31,360 Speaker 1: bit about a project I'm working on that I think 36 00:02:31,360 --> 00:02:35,560 Speaker 1: you'll enjoy. But give me a taste of what it 37 00:02:35,639 --> 00:02:37,320 Speaker 1: was like in the books. I feel like every year 38 00:02:37,360 --> 00:02:40,480 Speaker 1: we could say this, it's getting bigger. Every year there's 39 00:02:40,480 --> 00:02:43,440 Speaker 1: more enthusiasm. But this year it feels like we can 40 00:02:43,480 --> 00:02:49,200 Speaker 1: say that with authenticity and legitimacy because of the legalization 41 00:02:49,280 --> 00:02:51,800 Speaker 1: of sports betting and really the way it's being talked 42 00:02:51,800 --> 00:02:55,680 Speaker 1: about in so many platforms right now. Oh absolutely, I 43 00:02:55,680 --> 00:02:58,280 Speaker 1: mean we so we launched two sports books in Mississippi 44 00:02:58,360 --> 00:03:02,400 Speaker 1: last year. We long one in the outside Philadelphia in March, 45 00:03:02,480 --> 00:03:04,840 Speaker 1: and then we just launched four of them in Indiana 46 00:03:04,840 --> 00:03:09,040 Speaker 1: and Iowa in the past two weeks. Uh. And when 47 00:03:09,120 --> 00:03:13,160 Speaker 1: you look at Nevada numbers, Nevada numbers are growing if 48 00:03:13,160 --> 00:03:15,920 Speaker 1: you look at year over year numbers. So the idea 49 00:03:16,000 --> 00:03:18,760 Speaker 1: that legalization, at least for the time being, is going 50 00:03:18,840 --> 00:03:21,760 Speaker 1: to take away from Nevada hasn't held true yet. I 51 00:03:21,760 --> 00:03:25,800 Speaker 1: think it's just showing that the legalization right now across 52 00:03:25,880 --> 00:03:29,400 Speaker 1: the country is just getting more exposure to new people 53 00:03:29,440 --> 00:03:32,079 Speaker 1: that may not have bet sports before. So to say 54 00:03:32,120 --> 00:03:35,480 Speaker 1: that it's bigger than ever is most accurate right now. 55 00:03:35,880 --> 00:03:40,480 Speaker 1: A wise man once said to me that legalized sports 56 00:03:40,520 --> 00:03:43,600 Speaker 1: betting would only be good for Nevada because if you 57 00:03:43,640 --> 00:03:46,839 Speaker 1: go to your local amusement park doesn't mean you don't 58 00:03:46,840 --> 00:03:50,520 Speaker 1: want to go to Disney World. I remember saying that 59 00:03:52,720 --> 00:03:55,200 Speaker 1: that was me. I still think that holds true. I mean, 60 00:03:55,240 --> 00:03:57,120 Speaker 1: somebody that's never been to a you know, on a 61 00:03:57,240 --> 00:04:00,000 Speaker 1: roller coaster, who goes to the local amusement Park. He's like, hey, 62 00:04:00,200 --> 00:04:03,119 Speaker 1: we when I tried Disneylander. By the way, you said 63 00:04:03,160 --> 00:04:06,840 Speaker 1: that to me like ten years ago. Wow, you gotta 64 00:04:06,880 --> 00:04:10,040 Speaker 1: you gotta a memory, my friend. I remember exactly where 65 00:04:10,080 --> 00:04:12,560 Speaker 1: we were when you said it to me. I was 66 00:04:12,640 --> 00:04:16,359 Speaker 1: in Vegas and I was working on a story about 67 00:04:16,360 --> 00:04:20,279 Speaker 1: the legalization of sports betting and for the sixty the 68 00:04:20,720 --> 00:04:24,919 Speaker 1: ESPN News magazine show, and um, I was interviewing you 69 00:04:25,000 --> 00:04:27,839 Speaker 1: and before we went on camera, you said this to me. 70 00:04:27,880 --> 00:04:29,600 Speaker 1: I'm like, Scooch, that's a great line. You gotta say 71 00:04:29,600 --> 00:04:34,080 Speaker 1: that on camera. Wow. I mean that was so long ago. 72 00:04:34,080 --> 00:04:37,719 Speaker 1: I still would have made nationwide sports betting a big 73 00:04:37,800 --> 00:04:41,480 Speaker 1: underdog at the time. But look at where we are now. 74 00:04:41,520 --> 00:04:45,119 Speaker 1: I mean, it's incredible. Later on today, don't forget Darren 75 00:04:45,160 --> 00:04:47,280 Speaker 1: Revel and Simon Hunter professional betters are gonna come on 76 00:04:47,320 --> 00:04:51,159 Speaker 1: and we're gonna talk about the pics we're making to 77 00:04:51,240 --> 00:04:53,560 Speaker 1: win one point five million dollars in the super contest. 78 00:04:53,680 --> 00:04:56,039 Speaker 1: But I do want to tell you something, scooge I 79 00:04:56,120 --> 00:04:58,400 Speaker 1: decided last weekend. So I think I've told you this 80 00:04:58,440 --> 00:05:00,440 Speaker 1: story that every year I've gone head ahead with my 81 00:05:00,480 --> 00:05:04,600 Speaker 1: buddy Matt Um in Pigskin pick him where we picked 82 00:05:04,640 --> 00:05:07,479 Speaker 1: every game against the spread. And I've been destroying him, 83 00:05:07,880 --> 00:05:11,279 Speaker 1: like really destroying him and for the past four years, 84 00:05:11,279 --> 00:05:13,200 Speaker 1: and like it's honestly getting expensive for me because the 85 00:05:13,240 --> 00:05:16,400 Speaker 1: loser the winner ends up having to buy the loser 86 00:05:16,480 --> 00:05:19,640 Speaker 1: trophies or do something to embarrass them, so you know, 87 00:05:19,839 --> 00:05:21,640 Speaker 1: And now it's got to the point where I gotta 88 00:05:21,640 --> 00:05:23,920 Speaker 1: taught myself every year. And so instead of getting him 89 00:05:23,920 --> 00:05:26,080 Speaker 1: a trophy this past year when I beat him. Have 90 00:05:26,120 --> 00:05:31,320 Speaker 1: you ever heard of cameo? Cameo is this UH company 91 00:05:31,400 --> 00:05:38,320 Speaker 1: where you can pay to have BC level celebrities UM 92 00:05:38,640 --> 00:05:42,120 Speaker 1: do a short video with a very specific message that 93 00:05:42,240 --> 00:05:44,160 Speaker 1: they will then send to the person you want to 94 00:05:44,200 --> 00:05:46,960 Speaker 1: give it to. So UM, I went with the guy 95 00:05:47,000 --> 00:05:49,919 Speaker 1: who played Kevin in The Office, my buddy Matt. His 96 00:05:50,000 --> 00:05:52,800 Speaker 1: kids are obsessed with The Office. Any kid these days 97 00:05:53,560 --> 00:05:56,080 Speaker 1: between the age of like ten and twenty is obsessed 98 00:05:56,120 --> 00:05:58,640 Speaker 1: with the Office because they've all watched it on Netflix 99 00:05:58,680 --> 00:06:01,039 Speaker 1: about eight thousand times. Like Mike kids have watched every 100 00:06:01,080 --> 00:06:04,440 Speaker 1: episode of The Office ten times, right, and so hit 101 00:06:04,560 --> 00:06:07,280 Speaker 1: Matt's kids have too. And so I got Kevin from 102 00:06:07,279 --> 00:06:11,359 Speaker 1: the Office to do a cameo UM excoriating Matt for 103 00:06:11,440 --> 00:06:14,800 Speaker 1: losing to me again and specifically mentioning to Matt that 104 00:06:14,920 --> 00:06:19,000 Speaker 1: his kids are so ashamed of him for losing again 105 00:06:19,160 --> 00:06:21,640 Speaker 1: and again and again. Right, But at this point, like 106 00:06:22,520 --> 00:06:25,160 Speaker 1: beating Matt is costing me like four or five dollars 107 00:06:25,200 --> 00:06:27,239 Speaker 1: a year because I've got to get all this stuff 108 00:06:27,279 --> 00:06:29,440 Speaker 1: to embarrass him at the end of the year. And 109 00:06:29,520 --> 00:06:32,240 Speaker 1: so I said him, this year, listen, let me just 110 00:06:32,320 --> 00:06:36,039 Speaker 1: pick every game, like we'll both. Let's let's each put 111 00:06:36,040 --> 00:06:39,160 Speaker 1: four dollars into a pool. Let me pick every game, 112 00:06:39,400 --> 00:06:40,880 Speaker 1: and at the end of the year, if I lose, 113 00:06:41,080 --> 00:06:43,160 Speaker 1: you can lord it over me. If I win, then 114 00:06:43,160 --> 00:06:45,080 Speaker 1: we're going to split the profit. Right, We'll share and 115 00:06:45,120 --> 00:06:47,200 Speaker 1: we'll enjoy. It will be something we can do together 116 00:06:47,440 --> 00:06:49,880 Speaker 1: instead of me beating you again. So of course Matt 117 00:06:49,920 --> 00:06:53,599 Speaker 1: decides like he wants to, he needs to be able 118 00:06:53,640 --> 00:06:55,320 Speaker 1: to make some picks as well. He can't just be 119 00:06:55,440 --> 00:06:58,960 Speaker 1: sort of a passive participant. And I said to him, like, dude, 120 00:06:59,279 --> 00:07:02,200 Speaker 1: it's not picking camp. Not everybody gets to play. And 121 00:07:03,400 --> 00:07:10,880 Speaker 1: I thought you'd laugh at that a little more pick 122 00:07:10,960 --> 00:07:14,040 Speaker 1: up camp, like it's good. Right. I used that line 123 00:07:14,040 --> 00:07:19,480 Speaker 1: in the radio last week and they loved it. But 124 00:07:19,560 --> 00:07:21,240 Speaker 1: we decided to do it. Anyways, I let him make 125 00:07:21,240 --> 00:07:23,960 Speaker 1: some picks and uh we picked this past weekend for 126 00:07:24,000 --> 00:07:26,600 Speaker 1: the first time, we went eleven and five in all 127 00:07:26,640 --> 00:07:31,080 Speaker 1: sixteen games against the spread. Holy yeah, Holy cow. So listen, 128 00:07:31,080 --> 00:07:33,160 Speaker 1: I want to tell people. You can follow along in 129 00:07:33,160 --> 00:07:35,440 Speaker 1: the Action Network app. Download the free Action Network app. 130 00:07:36,040 --> 00:07:40,920 Speaker 1: It's uh Followed two fifty six or Bust two fifty 131 00:07:40,960 --> 00:07:44,880 Speaker 1: six or bust um. That is the account, and uh, 132 00:07:45,240 --> 00:07:47,960 Speaker 1: you can track everything that we're doing for this project 133 00:07:47,960 --> 00:07:51,640 Speaker 1: to or bust. What do you think of that? Scars, 134 00:07:52,640 --> 00:07:55,120 Speaker 1: I like it. It's actually harder. It's it's harder to 135 00:07:55,120 --> 00:07:57,880 Speaker 1: pick five games that you're positive about than to just 136 00:07:57,960 --> 00:07:59,920 Speaker 1: let it fly in the sixteen because like the sixteen, 137 00:08:00,920 --> 00:08:02,840 Speaker 1: you know, like the five games, you invest so much 138 00:08:02,840 --> 00:08:04,440 Speaker 1: time and if you go three and two you're lucky. 139 00:08:04,800 --> 00:08:07,960 Speaker 1: The sixteen like you might end up fifty fifty on these. 140 00:08:08,360 --> 00:08:13,720 Speaker 1: It's just it's just better mentally, it's more fun. Yeah yeah, 141 00:08:14,000 --> 00:08:15,920 Speaker 1: I mean we we've we've been doing that for years 142 00:08:15,960 --> 00:08:18,160 Speaker 1: here in town. I haven't done it recently, but there's 143 00:08:18,200 --> 00:08:20,240 Speaker 1: always been like a battle of the bookies and one 144 00:08:20,240 --> 00:08:23,600 Speaker 1: of the local papers and everything, and uh, you have 145 00:08:23,680 --> 00:08:27,680 Speaker 1: to pick every game on the board and yeah, it 146 00:08:27,720 --> 00:08:29,840 Speaker 1: sounds easier, but it could be difficult to I mean 147 00:08:29,880 --> 00:08:33,120 Speaker 1: you have those weeks where you just go like, you know, 148 00:08:33,640 --> 00:08:35,760 Speaker 1: five or four or four or five winners and the 149 00:08:35,840 --> 00:08:39,480 Speaker 1: rest losers. So uh but no, it's it's it's fun. 150 00:08:39,679 --> 00:08:41,200 Speaker 1: It's important to get a good start just so I 151 00:08:41,200 --> 00:08:46,400 Speaker 1: haven't busted my bankroll by week right, all right, scooch, 152 00:08:47,400 --> 00:08:50,360 Speaker 1: we got some craptastic games to talk about and a 153 00:08:50,559 --> 00:08:54,720 Speaker 1: record setting number we gotta get to. Um, let's talk 154 00:08:54,720 --> 00:08:57,280 Speaker 1: about the first one on the board Thursday night, Tampa 155 00:08:57,440 --> 00:09:01,959 Speaker 1: at Carolina. This line opened at five. It's now a 156 00:09:02,640 --> 00:09:07,400 Speaker 1: six and a half. Yeah, what's going on there? First 157 00:09:07,400 --> 00:09:09,360 Speaker 1: bet out of the gate when we hung the lines, 158 00:09:09,440 --> 00:09:15,920 Speaker 1: actually and some some sharp betters, and um boy, you know, 159 00:09:16,200 --> 00:09:18,199 Speaker 1: and I hate having the public and the sharp guys 160 00:09:18,200 --> 00:09:20,040 Speaker 1: on the same side, but this is one of those. 161 00:09:20,080 --> 00:09:24,120 Speaker 1: And uh, a sizeable favorite on a on a Thursday night. 162 00:09:24,160 --> 00:09:26,760 Speaker 1: I just jacked up the money line not too long 163 00:09:26,800 --> 00:09:30,360 Speaker 1: ago on this one. Um Panthers played A played the 164 00:09:30,400 --> 00:09:33,200 Speaker 1: tough team last week in the Rams, and uh they 165 00:09:33,240 --> 00:09:35,600 Speaker 1: looked pretty good. It was I mean, it wasn't a 166 00:09:36,480 --> 00:09:38,840 Speaker 1: It looked like one of those grinding type games. It 167 00:09:38,880 --> 00:09:41,800 Speaker 1: wasn't a pretty game to watch. Two defenses battling out 168 00:09:42,440 --> 00:09:48,120 Speaker 1: Buccaneers didn't didn't show much, so I I understand the move. 169 00:09:48,480 --> 00:09:51,360 Speaker 1: We try not to take too much into account in 170 00:09:51,559 --> 00:09:55,480 Speaker 1: big line adjustments after one week. A matter of fact, 171 00:09:55,840 --> 00:09:58,480 Speaker 1: now that a lot of the players don't see any 172 00:09:58,520 --> 00:10:02,120 Speaker 1: action in preseason, it's almost like week three and four 173 00:10:02,280 --> 00:10:04,520 Speaker 1: is when you really start getting the good indication of 174 00:10:04,520 --> 00:10:07,319 Speaker 1: who these teams are. You almost have to you know, 175 00:10:07,640 --> 00:10:10,520 Speaker 1: you have to expect a lot of uncertainty the first 176 00:10:10,679 --> 00:10:13,320 Speaker 1: two or three weeks. So we're trying not to adjust 177 00:10:13,400 --> 00:10:16,000 Speaker 1: too much, and we're stuck with what the line would 178 00:10:16,000 --> 00:10:18,160 Speaker 1: have been prior to any of the last week's games. 179 00:10:18,200 --> 00:10:20,560 Speaker 1: There's only two or three teams, and we'll get to that. 180 00:10:20,600 --> 00:10:23,520 Speaker 1: We did make some sizeable adjustments off a week one, 181 00:10:23,640 --> 00:10:27,920 Speaker 1: but largely because of personnel reasons. But so so this 182 00:10:28,000 --> 00:10:30,480 Speaker 1: one we're just gonna be big Buccaneer Frans on Thursday night. 183 00:10:32,080 --> 00:10:34,079 Speaker 1: I can't get to read on this one, and unfortunately 184 00:10:34,160 --> 00:10:39,240 Speaker 1: I am obligated to bet every game. It's a tough 185 00:10:39,360 --> 00:10:41,920 Speaker 1: number too, so you know, you want to play the 186 00:10:41,960 --> 00:10:43,720 Speaker 1: Panthers in this one, but it's a lot of points 187 00:10:43,760 --> 00:10:47,200 Speaker 1: to lay missed out on on the good number. Um, 188 00:10:47,240 --> 00:10:50,000 Speaker 1: you know, it opened, like you said, five and a half, 189 00:10:50,480 --> 00:10:52,520 Speaker 1: So now you're saying they gotta win by a touchdown. 190 00:10:52,960 --> 00:10:55,679 Speaker 1: It's a tough one to to bet. I'm probably gonna wait. 191 00:10:55,720 --> 00:10:58,280 Speaker 1: I'm gonna wait until the last possible minutes. If I 192 00:10:58,280 --> 00:11:01,800 Speaker 1: can get plus seven, there you go, they probably will. 193 00:11:01,840 --> 00:11:04,320 Speaker 1: I mean by Thursday night, looks like the public is 194 00:11:04,440 --> 00:11:05,800 Speaker 1: kind of in on it at about a five to 195 00:11:05,880 --> 00:11:08,839 Speaker 1: one ratio, so I don't see that changing during the week, 196 00:11:08,880 --> 00:11:11,640 Speaker 1: so I think you'll see some seven. I totally agree 197 00:11:11,840 --> 00:11:13,959 Speaker 1: the first game. I bet this week we're the New 198 00:11:14,040 --> 00:11:17,320 Speaker 1: York Giants plus two and a half against the Buffalo 199 00:11:17,360 --> 00:11:21,280 Speaker 1: Bills at home. So many theories on why this line 200 00:11:21,280 --> 00:11:24,640 Speaker 1: opened where it did, all having to do with public 201 00:11:24,679 --> 00:11:27,320 Speaker 1: sentiment and what people saw. This is this is a 202 00:11:27,360 --> 00:11:30,840 Speaker 1: public perception point spread right here, triple P on literation. 203 00:11:31,120 --> 00:11:35,079 Speaker 1: It's a p p P. Yeah. So we opened the 204 00:11:35,120 --> 00:11:37,839 Speaker 1: bills one and a half and uh we got some 205 00:11:38,240 --> 00:11:40,719 Speaker 1: uh some early bills money went up to two and 206 00:11:40,760 --> 00:11:43,400 Speaker 1: a half. But now it's kind of flip flop, and 207 00:11:43,400 --> 00:11:46,240 Speaker 1: I think a lot of people, uh mainly the sharp guys, 208 00:11:46,240 --> 00:11:47,960 Speaker 1: not a lot of people, just a few people, but 209 00:11:48,120 --> 00:11:51,040 Speaker 1: a few sharp people are starting to feel the same 210 00:11:51,040 --> 00:11:54,360 Speaker 1: way that you did. You do, and they're taking the 211 00:11:54,400 --> 00:11:56,760 Speaker 1: two and a half now, so we're actually heavier on 212 00:11:56,800 --> 00:11:59,520 Speaker 1: the Giant. So I could see this line coming right 213 00:11:59,520 --> 00:12:02,439 Speaker 1: back down to the opener and much closer to pick 214 00:12:02,480 --> 00:12:05,280 Speaker 1: them by game time. Wow. So I've definitely got the 215 00:12:05,280 --> 00:12:09,559 Speaker 1: best of the number. Yeah. And and really I mean 216 00:12:09,600 --> 00:12:11,560 Speaker 1: just from a layman's point of view watching the Bills, 217 00:12:11,559 --> 00:12:13,480 Speaker 1: if you did watch any of that Bill's Jets game, 218 00:12:13,880 --> 00:12:16,520 Speaker 1: really didn't show much for three quarters. And uh, and 219 00:12:16,520 --> 00:12:19,000 Speaker 1: then you you know again week one. You you start 220 00:12:19,080 --> 00:12:21,960 Speaker 1: to wonder some of these fourth quarter comebacks if it's conditioning, 221 00:12:22,040 --> 00:12:25,839 Speaker 1: it's the number of factors. But but yeah, I could 222 00:12:25,840 --> 00:12:27,760 Speaker 1: see the Giants being the play in this one. A 223 00:12:27,840 --> 00:12:31,400 Speaker 1: home dog getting a few points against not a very 224 00:12:31,400 --> 00:12:34,880 Speaker 1: good team. Uh, with a quarterback that likes to turn 225 00:12:34,920 --> 00:12:37,920 Speaker 1: the ball over a lot for the Buffalo Bills. I 226 00:12:37,920 --> 00:12:40,080 Speaker 1: think it's I think it's not a strong play, but 227 00:12:40,120 --> 00:12:42,000 Speaker 1: a good play. Yeah. Well this here's the challenge with 228 00:12:42,080 --> 00:12:46,160 Speaker 1: this game is like nobody was watching this game unless 229 00:12:46,160 --> 00:12:48,680 Speaker 1: you have direct TV or like you have read Zone, 230 00:12:48,880 --> 00:12:51,480 Speaker 1: And so all people saw was the Bills come back 231 00:12:51,520 --> 00:12:53,680 Speaker 1: against the Jets on the road from sixteen points down. 232 00:12:53,920 --> 00:12:56,400 Speaker 1: But everybody was watching the Giants play the Cowboys and 233 00:12:56,440 --> 00:12:59,440 Speaker 1: saw the Cowboys steamroll them in the second quarter, and 234 00:12:59,480 --> 00:13:01,760 Speaker 1: that was not Eli's fault. Like, the Giants didn't lose 235 00:13:01,760 --> 00:13:03,600 Speaker 1: this game because of Eli. And so you give me 236 00:13:03,640 --> 00:13:05,760 Speaker 1: the Giants at home when they get into the film 237 00:13:05,840 --> 00:13:08,640 Speaker 1: room and they get a little bit optimism by seeing, Wait, 238 00:13:09,040 --> 00:13:11,559 Speaker 1: there were certain things we did, but the Cowboys were 239 00:13:11,640 --> 00:13:16,040 Speaker 1: just awesome in this game. And the Bills people will 240 00:13:16,040 --> 00:13:19,640 Speaker 1: see we're very bad and they were playing against a 241 00:13:19,760 --> 00:13:22,280 Speaker 1: very bad team. This is a good number for me. 242 00:13:22,320 --> 00:13:26,400 Speaker 1: I'm really excited about it. L A Chargers, l A Chargers, 243 00:13:26,920 --> 00:13:30,000 Speaker 1: You're done. You're done. I'm moving on l A Chargers 244 00:13:30,800 --> 00:13:32,839 Speaker 1: minus two and a half on the road against the 245 00:13:32,880 --> 00:13:36,880 Speaker 1: Detroit Lions. Why do you do this? This is like 246 00:13:37,200 --> 00:13:39,480 Speaker 1: you make this so hard on people because you know 247 00:13:39,679 --> 00:13:44,840 Speaker 1: what side people should be betting around this game. Yeah, 248 00:13:44,880 --> 00:13:47,560 Speaker 1: so the sharp guys have already taken the plus three 249 00:13:47,600 --> 00:13:50,199 Speaker 1: on the Lions at home, and here's another game where 250 00:13:51,040 --> 00:13:52,800 Speaker 1: you know, if you're a professional better you'd like to 251 00:13:52,840 --> 00:13:55,960 Speaker 1: see these numbers. A home dog getting at at least 252 00:13:56,000 --> 00:13:59,520 Speaker 1: three points. The public is going to be all over 253 00:13:59,600 --> 00:14:06,359 Speaker 1: the charge in this one bet about it clip. Um. 254 00:14:06,440 --> 00:14:08,640 Speaker 1: We we've already taken some some pretty big money on 255 00:14:08,679 --> 00:14:12,680 Speaker 1: the line. So that's an indication that you'll probably see 256 00:14:12,679 --> 00:14:14,760 Speaker 1: this line come down even though the public is on 257 00:14:14,800 --> 00:14:17,959 Speaker 1: the chargers by game day. Uh. If you're looking to 258 00:14:18,000 --> 00:14:20,080 Speaker 1: get at three, you should probably get it now because 259 00:14:20,200 --> 00:14:22,280 Speaker 1: closer to game day, this line is gonna also come 260 00:14:22,280 --> 00:14:28,640 Speaker 1: back down to a pick them. How much money? Um, 261 00:14:28,640 --> 00:14:32,960 Speaker 1: five figures, five figures, five figures. You've taken five figures 262 00:14:32,960 --> 00:14:38,640 Speaker 1: in the lines. Yep, like a five figure bet. Uh. 263 00:14:38,960 --> 00:14:44,880 Speaker 1: Not one bettiest series of bets. Yeah, and we've taken 264 00:14:44,920 --> 00:14:47,880 Speaker 1: some tremendous action this past week. It's like you're going 265 00:14:47,920 --> 00:14:50,400 Speaker 1: back to what you said earlier about the popularity of 266 00:14:50,720 --> 00:14:54,160 Speaker 1: sports betting and now that we're in multiple jurisdictions. Uh, 267 00:14:54,360 --> 00:14:57,080 Speaker 1: you know you mentioned the Cowboys. We took a pretty 268 00:14:57,200 --> 00:15:00,400 Speaker 1: large bet on the Uh Cowboy is that one of 269 00:15:00,440 --> 00:15:03,760 Speaker 1: our properties to win the Super Bowl? So uh, yeah, 270 00:15:03,880 --> 00:15:06,880 Speaker 1: we're we're seeing some some action around the around the country. Now. 271 00:15:07,240 --> 00:15:12,360 Speaker 1: I am also in a pool. There's four of us. Uh. 272 00:15:12,640 --> 00:15:22,320 Speaker 1: The entry fee it's two thousand dollars and we each 273 00:15:22,440 --> 00:15:25,480 Speaker 1: pick it is Steve. But it makes me very uncomfortable. 274 00:15:26,560 --> 00:15:32,920 Speaker 1: I never never bet that kind of money on anything. Um, 275 00:15:32,960 --> 00:15:37,280 Speaker 1: But you know, it's like it's the quick I I 276 00:15:37,320 --> 00:15:39,880 Speaker 1: sort of think about it as it's the equivalent of 277 00:15:39,920 --> 00:15:44,360 Speaker 1: basically a hundred dollars a week, and it's a draft 278 00:15:44,400 --> 00:15:48,880 Speaker 1: where you pick eight teams and you to win the 279 00:15:48,920 --> 00:15:52,120 Speaker 1: Super Bowl. And so you know, first pick, second pick, 280 00:15:52,200 --> 00:15:54,160 Speaker 1: third pick, fourth pick, and then the guy who picks 281 00:15:54,160 --> 00:15:57,600 Speaker 1: fourth gets two picks and you go back around. Um. 282 00:15:57,720 --> 00:16:00,240 Speaker 1: The two teams I took first were that used in 283 00:16:00,280 --> 00:16:05,520 Speaker 1: the Cowboys. Yeah, and I also had a Cowboys U 284 00:16:06,360 --> 00:16:11,480 Speaker 1: tend to one to win the NFC title. Pretty good. God, 285 00:16:11,520 --> 00:16:14,120 Speaker 1: I had them, yeah, because we we had them at 286 00:16:14,160 --> 00:16:18,160 Speaker 1: the one to win the Super Bowl prior to Sunday 287 00:16:18,240 --> 00:16:20,000 Speaker 1: they went down a little bit, so you got you've 288 00:16:20,000 --> 00:16:22,280 Speaker 1: got a decent number. Yeah, I bet that. Like you know, 289 00:16:22,400 --> 00:16:30,160 Speaker 1: during the summer, Indie is visiting Tennessee. Another really interesting game, right, 290 00:16:30,840 --> 00:16:35,080 Speaker 1: Like Indie played well, left a lot of opportunities to 291 00:16:35,080 --> 00:16:38,800 Speaker 1: win that game. On the field. Tennessee dominated against the 292 00:16:38,800 --> 00:16:40,680 Speaker 1: Cleveland team that I think a lot of people thought 293 00:16:41,200 --> 00:16:43,560 Speaker 1: if you were betting that was overrated and the Tennessee 294 00:16:43,600 --> 00:16:47,360 Speaker 1: was the right side. So now Indie is plus three. 295 00:16:47,480 --> 00:16:53,160 Speaker 1: Full disclosure, I've bet the Colts at plus three. Yeah, 296 00:16:53,200 --> 00:16:55,040 Speaker 1: I think we got the number right here and I 297 00:16:55,040 --> 00:16:58,120 Speaker 1: don't see it moving too much. Um. We we said 298 00:16:58,200 --> 00:17:01,480 Speaker 1: last week that the Cults were very good team even 299 00:17:01,520 --> 00:17:04,600 Speaker 1: without Andrew Luck, so it didn't surprise me too much 300 00:17:04,640 --> 00:17:08,320 Speaker 1: that they, Uh, they played a pretty good game against 301 00:17:08,320 --> 00:17:12,160 Speaker 1: the Chargers. The Titans, Uh, you know, we had them 302 00:17:12,240 --> 00:17:16,320 Speaker 1: rated pretty high to nobody really anticipated them blowing Cleveland out, 303 00:17:16,359 --> 00:17:18,840 Speaker 1: but we did think that they were definitely a live 304 00:17:18,880 --> 00:17:21,760 Speaker 1: dog in that game. And we mentioned that too last 305 00:17:21,760 --> 00:17:25,320 Speaker 1: week that you know, the Browns hype really drove that 306 00:17:25,320 --> 00:17:27,199 Speaker 1: that number up, and you probably would have had some 307 00:17:27,240 --> 00:17:29,320 Speaker 1: pretty good value on the Titans at plus five and 308 00:17:29,320 --> 00:17:32,000 Speaker 1: a half. So um, in this game, I think the 309 00:17:32,080 --> 00:17:36,199 Speaker 1: numbers right on right on track. Uh, we're probably going 310 00:17:36,280 --> 00:17:38,720 Speaker 1: to be heavy on the Titans with public money. I 311 00:17:38,920 --> 00:17:41,600 Speaker 1: haven't gotten any sharp money yet on the Colts, but 312 00:17:42,400 --> 00:17:45,280 Speaker 1: I would think that, uh, the sharp guys would want 313 00:17:45,280 --> 00:17:50,080 Speaker 1: to bet the Cults in this one. As you said, 314 00:17:50,240 --> 00:17:54,119 Speaker 1: I have the Colts plus three. I know you're the 315 00:17:54,119 --> 00:17:57,719 Speaker 1: sharp guy. Dallas Cowboys minus five against the Redskins on 316 00:17:57,760 --> 00:18:01,760 Speaker 1: the road, trap trap trap like this, Like if I 317 00:18:01,800 --> 00:18:03,920 Speaker 1: didn't have to bet this game because of project to 318 00:18:04,640 --> 00:18:07,760 Speaker 1: or bust follow along in the action app Um, I'd 319 00:18:07,800 --> 00:18:09,960 Speaker 1: avoid it like the plague because the right side of 320 00:18:10,000 --> 00:18:11,720 Speaker 1: the Redskins. But I don't want to bet on this 321 00:18:11,800 --> 00:18:15,960 Speaker 1: Redskins team. Sharp a lot of sharp play on this 322 00:18:16,000 --> 00:18:20,960 Speaker 1: one already. So we opened five and a half. First 323 00:18:21,000 --> 00:18:23,359 Speaker 1: couple of bets were on the Redskins were down to five. 324 00:18:23,520 --> 00:18:26,000 Speaker 1: We're not trying not to move it too far down 325 00:18:26,119 --> 00:18:29,720 Speaker 1: because the public is betting. The Cowboys had about a 326 00:18:29,840 --> 00:18:33,240 Speaker 1: ten to one ratio. Like you said, everybody watched that. 327 00:18:33,480 --> 00:18:35,399 Speaker 1: It was a high profile game on Sunday with the 328 00:18:35,720 --> 00:18:38,920 Speaker 1: Cowboys and the Giants. Everybody was watching that one. Uh. 329 00:18:39,080 --> 00:18:41,880 Speaker 1: Cowboys already have a strong following to begin with, being 330 00:18:41,920 --> 00:18:47,400 Speaker 1: such a high profile team. Redskins actually uh played pretty well. 331 00:18:47,640 --> 00:18:50,440 Speaker 1: Uh they got the cover there. We it was nip 332 00:18:50,560 --> 00:18:52,000 Speaker 1: and tuck. It looked like they had the game in 333 00:18:52,040 --> 00:18:53,480 Speaker 1: hand and was going to be one of the biggest 334 00:18:53,560 --> 00:18:56,439 Speaker 1: upsets of the day against the against the Eagles. But 335 00:18:56,800 --> 00:19:00,240 Speaker 1: you know again, even even when the team uh plays 336 00:19:00,280 --> 00:19:02,320 Speaker 1: better than we expect, we we don't want to adjust 337 00:19:02,400 --> 00:19:04,960 Speaker 1: them too much, So not a whole lot of adjustment here. 338 00:19:05,000 --> 00:19:07,040 Speaker 1: This is probably would have been the number we would 339 00:19:07,040 --> 00:19:10,159 Speaker 1: have made, you know, two weeks ago. So but I 340 00:19:10,200 --> 00:19:12,919 Speaker 1: do think the sharp guys see the value at with 341 00:19:13,000 --> 00:19:15,760 Speaker 1: the home dog in this one. It's a big rivalry game. 342 00:19:15,840 --> 00:19:19,600 Speaker 1: So uh yeah, I think the right plays the Redskins. 343 00:19:19,640 --> 00:19:22,840 Speaker 1: But you know, it's tough to watch them. Uh as 344 00:19:22,960 --> 00:19:25,520 Speaker 1: Cowboys did look pretty good. Yeah, that's gonna be hard, 345 00:19:25,800 --> 00:19:27,960 Speaker 1: really really hard. I just feel like the Cowboys are 346 00:19:28,000 --> 00:19:30,960 Speaker 1: so freaking good, like they've known it, they saw it. 347 00:19:31,080 --> 00:19:36,200 Speaker 1: That second quarter was magical. Um, they're I think they're 348 00:19:36,200 --> 00:19:40,040 Speaker 1: a juggernaut. Yeah, I think they are. And you know, 349 00:19:40,040 --> 00:19:42,159 Speaker 1: everybody looks to the Eagles in that division, and the 350 00:19:42,200 --> 00:19:44,639 Speaker 1: Eagles are going to be there. But yeah, that's a 351 00:19:45,000 --> 00:19:49,080 Speaker 1: they're good team. And uh yeah, like I said, we've 352 00:19:49,119 --> 00:19:51,160 Speaker 1: taken some pretty big bets already on them to win 353 00:19:51,160 --> 00:19:53,520 Speaker 1: the Super Bowl. I should mention I forgot to mention. 354 00:19:53,560 --> 00:19:57,480 Speaker 1: I bet the Panthers Bucks under forty nine and a 355 00:19:57,520 --> 00:20:02,439 Speaker 1: half on Thursday. Name okay, um, alright, another game that 356 00:20:02,480 --> 00:20:05,959 Speaker 1: I bet. As I've noted in the past in the 357 00:20:06,000 --> 00:20:08,080 Speaker 1: Action Network gap, but once you've bet a game, it 358 00:20:08,160 --> 00:20:10,679 Speaker 1: jumps to the top of sort of the schedules. So 359 00:20:10,760 --> 00:20:13,600 Speaker 1: I've got to go by what I bet, um, because 360 00:20:13,600 --> 00:20:17,200 Speaker 1: I've already bet some games Arizona, who I was so 361 00:20:17,359 --> 00:20:20,120 Speaker 1: in love with against the Lions and kind of got 362 00:20:20,119 --> 00:20:26,040 Speaker 1: bailed out um against the Ravens who dominated the Dolphins. 363 00:20:26,040 --> 00:20:28,919 Speaker 1: But this to me just feels like the line is 364 00:20:28,960 --> 00:20:31,240 Speaker 1: thirteen and a half. I bet the Cardinals at plus 365 00:20:31,280 --> 00:20:35,320 Speaker 1: thirteen and a half. Their defense isn't bad, um, and 366 00:20:35,359 --> 00:20:37,560 Speaker 1: they held up against the Lions in the end. I'm 367 00:20:37,560 --> 00:20:39,960 Speaker 1: a huge Kyler Murray fan. I think this could be 368 00:20:40,000 --> 00:20:42,320 Speaker 1: a super exciting game. But I don't think we know 369 00:20:42,400 --> 00:20:44,399 Speaker 1: anything about the Ravens at this point because they played 370 00:20:44,680 --> 00:20:47,679 Speaker 1: such a dreadful team that is already in disarray, with 371 00:20:47,720 --> 00:20:50,920 Speaker 1: players reporting like that they want out, like they want 372 00:20:50,920 --> 00:20:53,080 Speaker 1: to get out of Miami as soon as possible. So 373 00:20:54,040 --> 00:20:56,040 Speaker 1: I think you've overinflated this line and I think you're 374 00:20:56,040 --> 00:20:58,520 Speaker 1: gonna get burned, and I think you're gonna struggle because 375 00:20:58,520 --> 00:21:00,320 Speaker 1: you might have to even go higher because that's where 376 00:21:00,320 --> 00:21:03,119 Speaker 1: all the money is going to come in. Yeah, so 377 00:21:03,400 --> 00:21:06,200 Speaker 1: we definitely did over just over adjust, but I don't 378 00:21:06,240 --> 00:21:08,159 Speaker 1: think that We're gonna get burned because I we know 379 00:21:08,240 --> 00:21:10,000 Speaker 1: the public is going to be on the Ravens at 380 00:21:10,000 --> 00:21:12,320 Speaker 1: about an eight to one clip nine to one ratio 381 00:21:12,480 --> 00:21:16,760 Speaker 1: something like like that. Um. Yeah, when I talked about 382 00:21:16,800 --> 00:21:18,879 Speaker 1: some of the teams that we had to make adjustments on, 383 00:21:19,880 --> 00:21:23,880 Speaker 1: obviously uh that the Dolphins were one of them. But 384 00:21:24,320 --> 00:21:26,760 Speaker 1: so we couldn't take too much from that big blow 385 00:21:26,800 --> 00:21:29,840 Speaker 1: out there that this team, uh, they just had no morale. 386 00:21:29,960 --> 00:21:33,119 Speaker 1: It's tough when you're front office on lows all of 387 00:21:33,440 --> 00:21:35,760 Speaker 1: all of your best players prior to the first week 388 00:21:35,800 --> 00:21:38,080 Speaker 1: of the game and then uh, and then try to 389 00:21:38,080 --> 00:21:40,960 Speaker 1: tell the team that you know, every game is important 390 00:21:41,040 --> 00:21:45,560 Speaker 1: and you know, uh, we're still trying to uh trying 391 00:21:45,600 --> 00:21:48,080 Speaker 1: to win a championship. You know, that message is kind 392 00:21:48,080 --> 00:21:50,960 Speaker 1: of muddled. So I couldn't take too much from that game. 393 00:21:51,000 --> 00:21:53,879 Speaker 1: Like you said, the Cardinals with Kyler Murray, you know, 394 00:21:54,160 --> 00:21:56,840 Speaker 1: it's such an untangible the guy's got so much talent. 395 00:21:56,920 --> 00:21:59,080 Speaker 1: But then you know, you got you got, you know, 396 00:21:59,119 --> 00:22:01,760 Speaker 1: a young quarterback who can make mistakes, and you know 397 00:22:01,800 --> 00:22:04,760 Speaker 1: you saw him actually struggle for the first half and 398 00:22:04,880 --> 00:22:06,960 Speaker 1: part into the third quarter and then but then you 399 00:22:07,000 --> 00:22:09,919 Speaker 1: saw signs of that of that talent, that greatness, and 400 00:22:09,920 --> 00:22:13,720 Speaker 1: then obviously the comeback so so so. But but yeah, 401 00:22:13,760 --> 00:22:16,760 Speaker 1: when you're when you're talking about double digit favorites in 402 00:22:16,800 --> 00:22:20,920 Speaker 1: the NFL, they have to be some really really good teams, 403 00:22:21,119 --> 00:22:24,919 Speaker 1: and you know, the Ravens are not haven't proven themselves 404 00:22:24,920 --> 00:22:28,280 Speaker 1: to be that really good team yet. So the line 405 00:22:28,320 --> 00:22:32,480 Speaker 1: is overinflated, but we're okay with that. You won't be 406 00:22:32,520 --> 00:22:37,560 Speaker 1: on Sunday. Well, if we take enough sharp money on 407 00:22:37,600 --> 00:22:40,680 Speaker 1: the Cardinals, you know we'll offset some of that public money. 408 00:22:41,080 --> 00:22:46,320 Speaker 1: Minnesota at Green Bay Packers minus three, two teams that 409 00:22:46,359 --> 00:22:52,600 Speaker 1: we both loved in Week one. Uh, it's good line. 410 00:22:53,720 --> 00:22:57,480 Speaker 1: It's perfect. I mean you got to it's perfect. It's perfect. 411 00:22:57,480 --> 00:23:01,360 Speaker 1: It's a beautiful it's like a beautiful baby line. Yeah, 412 00:23:01,440 --> 00:23:05,000 Speaker 1: it's a minus three Packers at Home Packers Vikings. We're 413 00:23:05,000 --> 00:23:09,080 Speaker 1: gonna get the fifty fifty action on this game. I mean, 414 00:23:09,920 --> 00:23:13,600 Speaker 1: that's a bookmaker's dream. I don't even know what to 415 00:23:13,640 --> 00:23:15,199 Speaker 1: do with this game. I don't think I have an 416 00:23:15,200 --> 00:23:19,880 Speaker 1: opinion yet. That's why it's a perfect line, all right. 417 00:23:22,040 --> 00:23:23,560 Speaker 1: It really is a coint But it's one of those 418 00:23:23,600 --> 00:23:26,880 Speaker 1: great matchups that you know you're gonna get divided opinions 419 00:23:26,880 --> 00:23:29,280 Speaker 1: on this. It's the sharp guys aren't really going to 420 00:23:29,359 --> 00:23:31,720 Speaker 1: have a clear angle on this one. You know, if 421 00:23:31,720 --> 00:23:33,280 Speaker 1: they were able to get three and a half, it 422 00:23:33,359 --> 00:23:35,439 Speaker 1: might be a small play on the vikings. If they 423 00:23:35,440 --> 00:23:37,600 Speaker 1: were laying two and a half, then you say, okay, 424 00:23:37,640 --> 00:23:41,160 Speaker 1: Packers by field goals. But uh, it's it's a tough one, 425 00:23:41,280 --> 00:23:44,520 Speaker 1: which is good. Let's move on if nobody's got anything yet. 426 00:23:45,600 --> 00:23:48,159 Speaker 1: It's funny how you know, I love this is like 427 00:23:48,200 --> 00:23:51,200 Speaker 1: the epitome of sports betting. When you have the most 428 00:23:51,359 --> 00:23:54,879 Speaker 1: marquee game on the board, the best game, but because 429 00:23:54,920 --> 00:23:59,080 Speaker 1: the line neutralizes everything, there's nothing to talk about. God, 430 00:23:59,119 --> 00:24:02,119 Speaker 1: that is a great abra ation. You're so right, Like, 431 00:24:02,200 --> 00:24:04,600 Speaker 1: these are two teams that could both go to the 432 00:24:04,600 --> 00:24:07,439 Speaker 1: super Bowl in a wide open and NC conference, and 433 00:24:08,040 --> 00:24:11,840 Speaker 1: like Minnesota looked great on Sunday, Green Bay looked awful, 434 00:24:11,840 --> 00:24:14,000 Speaker 1: but they'd be a team that everyone had high expectations 435 00:24:14,040 --> 00:24:18,680 Speaker 1: for they are playing. It's like it's two public teams 436 00:24:18,800 --> 00:24:23,200 Speaker 1: with huge fan bases at one of the most beloved 437 00:24:23,240 --> 00:24:27,720 Speaker 1: stadiums in football, with the best quarterback potentially in football 438 00:24:28,119 --> 00:24:31,800 Speaker 1: um and a defense that is just unbelievable in the 439 00:24:31,880 --> 00:24:34,840 Speaker 1: Vikings and Dalvin Cook is one of the most exciting players. 440 00:24:35,119 --> 00:24:37,119 Speaker 1: And because we can't get a reading the line, I 441 00:24:37,119 --> 00:24:41,760 Speaker 1: want to move on to the next game. Exactly. So funny, Uh, 442 00:24:41,840 --> 00:24:46,040 Speaker 1: Pittsburgh is a four point favorite against the Seahawks at home. 443 00:24:48,920 --> 00:24:52,240 Speaker 1: I would take the Steelers in this game. Totally totally 444 00:24:52,280 --> 00:24:55,879 Speaker 1: agree with you on this one. Um. You know, the 445 00:24:56,440 --> 00:24:58,720 Speaker 1: Steelers are are are one of those teams that a 446 00:24:58,720 --> 00:25:00,840 Speaker 1: lot of people have to if you had to take 447 00:25:00,880 --> 00:25:02,760 Speaker 1: a couple of teams in the a f ceed that 448 00:25:02,800 --> 00:25:07,160 Speaker 1: could actually kind of compete with the Chiefs and the Patriots. Uh, 449 00:25:07,320 --> 00:25:09,439 Speaker 1: the Steelers are the team that kind of comes up 450 00:25:09,480 --> 00:25:14,119 Speaker 1: all the time, and you know at home, Uh, coming 451 00:25:14,160 --> 00:25:16,639 Speaker 1: off with the big loss against the Patriots, you know 452 00:25:16,760 --> 00:25:21,080 Speaker 1: that they're going to be jack to win one at home. Uh. Seahawks, 453 00:25:21,520 --> 00:25:24,679 Speaker 1: you know, even with the talent, looks like they struggled 454 00:25:25,200 --> 00:25:28,520 Speaker 1: quite a bit. As almost a digit favorite. So, UM, 455 00:25:29,320 --> 00:25:32,000 Speaker 1: I think even though you're laying a little bit more 456 00:25:32,000 --> 00:25:34,360 Speaker 1: than a field goal, I think I think the Steelers 457 00:25:34,400 --> 00:25:36,640 Speaker 1: is to play here. Which way you think this line 458 00:25:36,680 --> 00:25:42,440 Speaker 1: is going to go? Um, I think it'll come down. Actually, 459 00:25:42,680 --> 00:25:44,320 Speaker 1: So if you're if you're looking back to steals. I 460 00:25:44,320 --> 00:25:46,240 Speaker 1: think you could probably get a three and a half 461 00:25:46,359 --> 00:25:50,639 Speaker 1: or three. Um that the ticket accounts pretty divided evenly, 462 00:25:50,720 --> 00:25:52,600 Speaker 1: so the public isn't gonna sway. That's it's just a 463 00:25:52,640 --> 00:25:55,120 Speaker 1: matter of some of the sharp guys. If they come 464 00:25:55,119 --> 00:25:58,000 Speaker 1: in and taking the plus four, the plus three and 465 00:25:58,000 --> 00:26:00,240 Speaker 1: a half, but so I had to take, they'll cut down. 466 00:26:00,760 --> 00:26:02,240 Speaker 1: So you gotta keep an eye out. I'm gonna set 467 00:26:02,240 --> 00:26:04,800 Speaker 1: an alert. I can set an alert for this line 468 00:26:05,200 --> 00:26:07,200 Speaker 1: in the Action Network happ and that is what I'm 469 00:26:07,200 --> 00:26:08,640 Speaker 1: gonna do. I want to keep an eye on when 470 00:26:08,640 --> 00:26:12,800 Speaker 1: it is moving. Yeah, isn't that cool. It's a cool feature, right, 471 00:26:12,800 --> 00:26:14,960 Speaker 1: I don't like that, it really is. Maybe you should 472 00:26:14,960 --> 00:26:23,520 Speaker 1: download the app. I will uh Jacksonville at Houston. You've 473 00:26:23,560 --> 00:26:30,119 Speaker 1: got the Jabs as a big, big dog. Um. I 474 00:26:30,119 --> 00:26:33,520 Speaker 1: don't know, man, you might be underrating Gardner Minshew. Did 475 00:26:33,520 --> 00:26:37,520 Speaker 1: you see him play completed his first passes. I'm a 476 00:26:37,520 --> 00:26:41,040 Speaker 1: big Minshew fan. I was. We were rooting pretty heavily 477 00:26:41,080 --> 00:26:43,199 Speaker 1: for the Jags against the Chiefs. That was one of 478 00:26:43,200 --> 00:26:45,879 Speaker 1: the biggest games on the board that the sports books lost. 479 00:26:45,920 --> 00:26:48,760 Speaker 1: So as soon as uh Foles went out, we became 480 00:26:48,920 --> 00:26:54,520 Speaker 1: huge Minshew fans. I was desperately, I I, UM, I 481 00:26:54,560 --> 00:26:57,320 Speaker 1: do this radio show every week with this guy named 482 00:26:57,400 --> 00:27:00,600 Speaker 1: Nick Right. Nick Right hosts First Things for Works on 483 00:27:00,800 --> 00:27:03,120 Speaker 1: FS one, the morning show on FS one, and he's 484 00:27:03,119 --> 00:27:06,679 Speaker 1: also got a radio show on Mad Dog Radio at 485 00:27:06,800 --> 00:27:10,040 Speaker 1: night on Sirius. It's a great show. He's I say this, 486 00:27:10,359 --> 00:27:16,040 Speaker 1: I say almost nothing, um, in all honesty, without irony. 487 00:27:16,240 --> 00:27:19,359 Speaker 1: He is fabulously talented, and he's a nemesis and I 488 00:27:19,440 --> 00:27:21,280 Speaker 1: kind of can't stand him and I root from fail 489 00:27:21,320 --> 00:27:26,560 Speaker 1: every day. But uh, but he is ridiculously talented. And 490 00:27:26,600 --> 00:27:27,840 Speaker 1: so I went on his show, and he's a huge 491 00:27:27,920 --> 00:27:31,760 Speaker 1: Chiefs fan, and he um, he knew that I was 492 00:27:31,800 --> 00:27:34,199 Speaker 1: gonna love the Jacks. And an hour before I came on, 493 00:27:34,320 --> 00:27:36,080 Speaker 1: he was talking about how much he loved the Chiefs 494 00:27:36,280 --> 00:27:38,199 Speaker 1: and he's like, in one hour, Chad Moment is going 495 00:27:38,240 --> 00:27:40,040 Speaker 1: to come on and tell me all the reasons why 496 00:27:40,640 --> 00:27:42,800 Speaker 1: you should like the Jacks in this game. And literally 497 00:27:43,280 --> 00:27:46,440 Speaker 1: he said verbatim what I then said an hour later, 498 00:27:46,480 --> 00:27:48,920 Speaker 1: and he said to his producer, cut this clip. Play 499 00:27:48,960 --> 00:27:50,920 Speaker 1: it when Chad comes on after he gives us the 500 00:27:51,000 --> 00:27:54,080 Speaker 1: rundown of the Chiefs Jacks. And it was uncanny, how 501 00:27:54,119 --> 00:27:56,399 Speaker 1: accurate he was, so then we ended up you know, 502 00:27:56,800 --> 00:27:59,200 Speaker 1: doing a little scooch roule let her own, and uh, 503 00:27:59,400 --> 00:28:01,119 Speaker 1: that was the guy we decided to go head to 504 00:28:01,119 --> 00:28:03,399 Speaker 1: head on and he was texting me all Sunday just 505 00:28:03,840 --> 00:28:09,760 Speaker 1: ripping me for the Jacks. Wow. Well, I mean, you know, fairness, 506 00:28:09,800 --> 00:28:11,920 Speaker 1: I mean, he couldn't predict falls going down and I 507 00:28:12,520 --> 00:28:15,360 Speaker 1: mean as good as Minshew looked, it's still I mean 508 00:28:15,400 --> 00:28:20,280 Speaker 1: a huge, huge drop down. So uh in this game, 509 00:28:20,880 --> 00:28:24,040 Speaker 1: I think we got the line right. Um sharp guys 510 00:28:24,040 --> 00:28:26,159 Speaker 1: hadn't weighed in on either side plus the eight and 511 00:28:26,160 --> 00:28:28,200 Speaker 1: a half or minus the eight and a half. So 512 00:28:28,760 --> 00:28:31,359 Speaker 1: I think we're okay in terms of the line. I 513 00:28:31,400 --> 00:28:33,159 Speaker 1: think the problem with the Jags that you look at 514 00:28:33,200 --> 00:28:36,440 Speaker 1: their secondary and I mean, my Homes just just tore 515 00:28:36,560 --> 00:28:40,960 Speaker 1: them apart. Guys, just wide open missed assignments. Now I 516 00:28:41,000 --> 00:28:43,400 Speaker 1: kind of look at the Texans offense and what they 517 00:28:43,440 --> 00:28:45,520 Speaker 1: were able to do against the Saints. I could I 518 00:28:45,520 --> 00:28:49,320 Speaker 1: could see uh Watson doing the same thing to the 519 00:28:49,400 --> 00:28:52,800 Speaker 1: Jags that Mahomes did so little, you know, That's why 520 00:28:52,840 --> 00:28:54,720 Speaker 1: the line is so high. But I think the line 521 00:28:54,800 --> 00:29:00,360 Speaker 1: is right, all right, that's fair. Uh, Cincinnati so one 522 00:29:00,400 --> 00:29:05,880 Speaker 1: point favorite at home against the Niners. Listen, interesting games 523 00:29:05,880 --> 00:29:09,400 Speaker 1: from these two teams this past week. I just set 524 00:29:09,440 --> 00:29:12,920 Speaker 1: this line, what are the wise guys playing well? Actually, 525 00:29:12,920 --> 00:29:15,120 Speaker 1: I think we dropped the ball on this one. Uh 526 00:29:15,400 --> 00:29:19,480 Speaker 1: just a ton of Bengal money already we opened the 527 00:29:19,480 --> 00:29:23,920 Speaker 1: line uh minus two and one of the most heavily 528 00:29:23,960 --> 00:29:26,560 Speaker 1: bet games on the board, and we already swung to 529 00:29:26,600 --> 00:29:31,440 Speaker 1: the Bengals uh minus one. So this might have been 530 00:29:31,480 --> 00:29:34,000 Speaker 1: a game where actually we should have made an adjustment 531 00:29:34,080 --> 00:29:38,120 Speaker 1: after week one, and we didn't. You look at that game, 532 00:29:38,360 --> 00:29:40,360 Speaker 1: you know, the Bengals and the Seahawks, and he's trying 533 00:29:40,360 --> 00:29:42,160 Speaker 1: not to take too much out of that game, but 534 00:29:42,760 --> 00:29:45,360 Speaker 1: how much of it was the Bengals playing really well 535 00:29:45,480 --> 00:29:49,600 Speaker 1: or how much was the Seahawks playing poorly? So the 536 00:29:49,640 --> 00:29:53,840 Speaker 1: sharp guy definitely gave us an indication of whatever forty 537 00:29:53,920 --> 00:29:57,840 Speaker 1: Niners win against the Buccaneers, maybe not as impressive and uh, 538 00:29:58,080 --> 00:30:00,239 Speaker 1: just a lot of money on the Bengals. I think 539 00:30:00,280 --> 00:30:03,120 Speaker 1: they're right on this one. I take accounts identical, so 540 00:30:03,160 --> 00:30:05,400 Speaker 1: I think we're going to see fifty fifty from the public. 541 00:30:05,480 --> 00:30:08,400 Speaker 1: But but yeah, the Bengals. If you're just looking at 542 00:30:08,560 --> 00:30:10,960 Speaker 1: point spreads, and we talked about about this last week. 543 00:30:11,080 --> 00:30:13,400 Speaker 1: Sometimes you don't even look at the teams, but you 544 00:30:13,440 --> 00:30:15,960 Speaker 1: look at the point spreads. UH. This is a case 545 00:30:15,960 --> 00:30:17,600 Speaker 1: where all the Bengals have to do is win the 546 00:30:17,640 --> 00:30:20,200 Speaker 1: game at home or even now, after the line moved, 547 00:30:20,200 --> 00:30:23,360 Speaker 1: their only minus one, so it looks like a play 548 00:30:24,280 --> 00:30:29,400 Speaker 1: full disclosure. I bet the Bengals minus one after the move. Okay, 549 00:30:29,480 --> 00:30:31,200 Speaker 1: I didn't get I didn't get the best of the number. 550 00:30:31,920 --> 00:30:33,200 Speaker 1: I didn't get the best of the number. But I 551 00:30:33,240 --> 00:30:37,360 Speaker 1: had to play it. All right, We've got history to 552 00:30:37,400 --> 00:30:40,160 Speaker 1: talk about right now. To New England Patriots on the road. 553 00:30:41,040 --> 00:30:44,240 Speaker 1: They opened as sixteen and a half point favorite sixteen. 554 00:30:44,640 --> 00:30:47,000 Speaker 1: It's now up to eighteen and a half, could get 555 00:30:47,000 --> 00:30:49,240 Speaker 1: to nineteen, which will make it the biggest road favorite 556 00:30:49,680 --> 00:30:53,800 Speaker 1: UH in history, according to our bet Labs database. That 557 00:30:54,040 --> 00:30:55,840 Speaker 1: Labs is one of the tools that we use at 558 00:30:55,840 --> 00:30:58,280 Speaker 1: Action Network. You can go sign up for it um 559 00:30:58,280 --> 00:31:03,400 Speaker 1: one of our subscription products. It's any zing Man Scooch. Listen, 560 00:31:04,320 --> 00:31:06,880 Speaker 1: it's an automatic take. You close your eyes, you hold 561 00:31:06,920 --> 00:31:09,480 Speaker 1: your nose, you take the dolphins and you move on. 562 00:31:10,800 --> 00:31:13,160 Speaker 1: You do I mean, when we're making this line, we 563 00:31:13,280 --> 00:31:18,800 Speaker 1: realize all the extenuating circumstances surrounding the turmoil of the Dolphins. 564 00:31:18,840 --> 00:31:20,760 Speaker 1: And but how high do you make it? Do you 565 00:31:20,800 --> 00:31:24,440 Speaker 1: just automatically say it's gonna let's make the highest road 566 00:31:24,480 --> 00:31:26,800 Speaker 1: favorite of all time. Uh, you know, we know how 567 00:31:26,800 --> 00:31:29,440 Speaker 1: great the Patriots are, we know how bad the Dolphins are. 568 00:31:29,880 --> 00:31:32,720 Speaker 1: It's hard to handicap morale. You know, how do you 569 00:31:32,800 --> 00:31:36,040 Speaker 1: handicap morale if you're not there, you know, in the 570 00:31:36,040 --> 00:31:39,640 Speaker 1: locker room all the time. It's such an intangible you know, 571 00:31:39,720 --> 00:31:42,000 Speaker 1: the talent on the team, you know what they're capable of. 572 00:31:43,120 --> 00:31:46,360 Speaker 1: But you know, it's like a fighter thrown in the towel, 573 00:31:47,320 --> 00:31:51,560 Speaker 1: you know. So hopefully they keep this competitive. And the 574 00:31:51,680 --> 00:31:55,400 Speaker 1: one thing about the Patriots is they don't ever let 575 00:31:55,440 --> 00:31:57,520 Speaker 1: their foot off the gas pedal. It doesn't matter who 576 00:31:57,560 --> 00:31:59,840 Speaker 1: they're playing or what the score is. And it's one 577 00:31:59,840 --> 00:32:04,600 Speaker 1: of the reasons why the public just love to bet them. 578 00:32:04,640 --> 00:32:07,920 Speaker 1: I thought I got about the Dolphins. Yeah, it's an 579 00:32:07,960 --> 00:32:10,200 Speaker 1: automatic take. Just don't watch it. It will make you sick. 580 00:32:11,320 --> 00:32:14,200 Speaker 1: Not not only don't watch it, like it's an automatic loss, 581 00:32:14,240 --> 00:32:17,800 Speaker 1: I just feel crappy doing it. You don't make a 582 00:32:17,800 --> 00:32:20,840 Speaker 1: living betting against the Patriots. I know. A wise man 583 00:32:20,920 --> 00:32:26,920 Speaker 1: said that to me once Chiefs are eight point favorites 584 00:32:26,960 --> 00:32:30,760 Speaker 1: on the road against Oakland. Another one, like, yeah, both 585 00:32:30,800 --> 00:32:33,280 Speaker 1: of these teams that the Chiefs and the Patriots are 586 00:32:33,320 --> 00:32:38,440 Speaker 1: sort of annihilating every principle we've ever considered about road 587 00:32:38,520 --> 00:32:44,600 Speaker 1: favorites there. They're too explosive. Yeah, they really are. Just 588 00:32:44,880 --> 00:32:48,920 Speaker 1: what an incredible offense and so many weapons. Uh, you know, 589 00:32:49,040 --> 00:32:52,440 Speaker 1: it's they're fun team to watch. Uh. I'd really love 590 00:32:52,520 --> 00:32:55,320 Speaker 1: them to to to see them going up a really 591 00:32:55,320 --> 00:32:57,960 Speaker 1: good defense and just see seeing one of those you know, 592 00:32:58,800 --> 00:33:02,400 Speaker 1: top offenses again the pop defense. Uh in this one, 593 00:33:02,920 --> 00:33:05,440 Speaker 1: you know, again another case where we didn't make too 594 00:33:05,480 --> 00:33:08,160 Speaker 1: many adjustments. And this is the same line you would 595 00:33:08,160 --> 00:33:13,480 Speaker 1: have seen prior to the Raiders game Monday night where 596 00:33:13,480 --> 00:33:17,560 Speaker 1: they actually looked pretty good. But we know, we know 597 00:33:17,880 --> 00:33:19,640 Speaker 1: what the public is going to be doing in this one. 598 00:33:19,680 --> 00:33:21,480 Speaker 1: We know they're gonna be all over the Chiefs, So 599 00:33:22,320 --> 00:33:24,240 Speaker 1: let's make it as high as we can. And I 600 00:33:24,400 --> 00:33:26,680 Speaker 1: think we have the right number because we haven't seen 601 00:33:27,000 --> 00:33:29,760 Speaker 1: any sharp action one way or the other on this one. 602 00:33:29,920 --> 00:33:32,320 Speaker 1: Kind of kind of similar to to that Texans game 603 00:33:32,360 --> 00:33:35,720 Speaker 1: we just talked about. Um, we're sitting there at eight, 604 00:33:36,000 --> 00:33:39,520 Speaker 1: haven't moved it yet and uh, and the sharp guys 605 00:33:39,560 --> 00:33:45,360 Speaker 1: haven't weighed in. The public is obviously uh uh on 606 00:33:45,440 --> 00:33:48,520 Speaker 1: the favorite, but not not as big as some of 607 00:33:48,520 --> 00:33:52,840 Speaker 1: the other games on the board. Give it time, I 608 00:33:52,920 --> 00:33:57,040 Speaker 1: will Chicago Bears. I actually think this is the right line. 609 00:33:57,280 --> 00:33:59,680 Speaker 1: Chicago Bears two points favorite, two point favorites on the 610 00:33:59,720 --> 00:34:02,920 Speaker 1: road and its Denver Like neither of these teams showed. 611 00:34:03,320 --> 00:34:07,200 Speaker 1: The Bears are probably better than much. The ceiling on 612 00:34:07,240 --> 00:34:10,200 Speaker 1: the Bears is probably much much higher from the floor 613 00:34:10,239 --> 00:34:12,560 Speaker 1: that we saw on Thursday than the ceiling that the 614 00:34:12,560 --> 00:34:16,120 Speaker 1: Broncos is from what we saw on Monday night. Yeah, 615 00:34:16,200 --> 00:34:19,000 Speaker 1: well said, and I see this line just going up. 616 00:34:19,080 --> 00:34:22,239 Speaker 1: So um, if you're looking to bet the Bears, now 617 00:34:22,360 --> 00:34:25,399 Speaker 1: is probably the time. I actually raised it a little 618 00:34:25,440 --> 00:34:29,200 Speaker 1: bit this morning, and I can by the post closer 619 00:34:29,239 --> 00:34:33,040 Speaker 1: to three. Um. You know, if you look at who 620 00:34:33,120 --> 00:34:35,160 Speaker 1: which team, like you said, has more of an upside 621 00:34:35,160 --> 00:34:38,640 Speaker 1: the Bears, Uh, look at that same team that they 622 00:34:38,680 --> 00:34:43,000 Speaker 1: had last year, essentially, And I think the Broncos were 623 00:34:43,040 --> 00:34:46,600 Speaker 1: a little overrated. We talked about them early on getting 624 00:34:46,600 --> 00:34:49,759 Speaker 1: a lot of action, um during the summer with the 625 00:34:49,760 --> 00:34:52,960 Speaker 1: Broncos to win the Super Bowl and thinking that you know, 626 00:34:53,000 --> 00:34:55,560 Speaker 1: getting getting Flacco was kind of the missing piece and 627 00:34:55,600 --> 00:34:58,480 Speaker 1: they only had a quarterback to get over that hump. 628 00:34:59,320 --> 00:35:02,200 Speaker 1: But I I think that hype was a little too much. 629 00:35:02,520 --> 00:35:05,839 Speaker 1: And uh, you know, with the Bears playing a little 630 00:35:05,880 --> 00:35:07,880 Speaker 1: poorly in Week one, I look for them to kind 631 00:35:07,880 --> 00:35:11,840 Speaker 1: of rebound in this one. Next game is the Rams 632 00:35:12,160 --> 00:35:14,200 Speaker 1: is three point favorites over the Saints. We got three 633 00:35:14,239 --> 00:35:17,319 Speaker 1: more games to go, Sunday afternoon games, Sunday night game, 634 00:35:17,320 --> 00:35:20,279 Speaker 1: and Monday night game. Rams is three point favorites over 635 00:35:20,320 --> 00:35:25,719 Speaker 1: the Saints. Um, I like the Rams in this game? Wow? 636 00:35:26,280 --> 00:35:28,960 Speaker 1: I mean what do you say about this? Obviously you 637 00:35:29,000 --> 00:35:33,560 Speaker 1: think the Saints have a little little revenge and no wait, no, no, no, no, no, 638 00:35:33,680 --> 00:35:36,279 Speaker 1: I like the Saints in this game. Oh you like 639 00:35:36,360 --> 00:35:40,960 Speaker 1: to say? Ok, I got distracted. You know, Darren Ravella 640 00:35:41,040 --> 00:35:42,600 Speaker 1: is coming on after you. We're gonna do our super 641 00:35:42,600 --> 00:35:44,759 Speaker 1: Contest picks and he just texted me to let me 642 00:35:44,800 --> 00:35:47,160 Speaker 1: know that he's outside the door, and so I lost 643 00:35:47,200 --> 00:35:52,080 Speaker 1: my concentration. Okay, yeah, So I I mean, yeah, what 644 00:35:52,120 --> 00:35:55,120 Speaker 1: do you say about this one? Uh? It's another one 645 00:35:55,160 --> 00:35:58,160 Speaker 1: like the Vikings Packers, where two great teams going head 646 00:35:58,160 --> 00:36:01,440 Speaker 1: to head. Uh talked about trying to handicap emotion or 647 00:36:01,560 --> 00:36:04,960 Speaker 1: handicap morale. Uh. This would be a perfect, you know, 648 00:36:05,160 --> 00:36:12,479 Speaker 1: case study on how players perform and under circumstances around 649 00:36:12,600 --> 00:36:16,600 Speaker 1: last year and how their Saints season ended. So right now, 650 00:36:16,640 --> 00:36:19,480 Speaker 1: the public is kind of tossed on this one, slightly 651 00:36:19,520 --> 00:36:23,400 Speaker 1: favoring the Saints but not overwhelming. Uh. Sharp guys haven't 652 00:36:23,440 --> 00:36:25,919 Speaker 1: weighed in on this one. I don't think the sharp 653 00:36:25,960 --> 00:36:29,120 Speaker 1: guys would want to lay the three on the Rams 654 00:36:29,120 --> 00:36:32,200 Speaker 1: against a you know, a great team like the Saints. Uh. 655 00:36:32,239 --> 00:36:34,560 Speaker 1: If anything, I think they take it. But I like 656 00:36:34,680 --> 00:36:36,719 Speaker 1: the number and I think it's pretty solid. This is 657 00:36:36,719 --> 00:36:39,160 Speaker 1: different to me than the Vikings and the Packers. It's 658 00:36:39,280 --> 00:36:44,560 Speaker 1: nuanced idea. But this is the national afternoon game with 659 00:36:44,600 --> 00:36:47,239 Speaker 1: teams in a rematch from the NFC title game who 660 00:36:47,280 --> 00:36:51,080 Speaker 1: just won big games. Like um, I feel like people 661 00:36:51,120 --> 00:36:53,600 Speaker 1: are gonna want to figure out aside. Whereas Minnesota Green 662 00:36:53,680 --> 00:36:56,319 Speaker 1: Bay they'll happily skip and not try to figure it out, 663 00:36:56,320 --> 00:36:59,279 Speaker 1: whereas here people are gonna want an opinion. No, that's 664 00:36:59,280 --> 00:37:01,640 Speaker 1: a great point. And in the afternoon games, when you 665 00:37:01,680 --> 00:37:05,080 Speaker 1: only have three games to choose from, people aren't want 666 00:37:05,080 --> 00:37:08,600 Speaker 1: to want to just skip over it. So just because 667 00:37:08,680 --> 00:37:11,000 Speaker 1: they can't figure out the line, so they'll definitely want 668 00:37:11,000 --> 00:37:13,640 Speaker 1: action in this one. Philly is now at one point 669 00:37:13,680 --> 00:37:16,200 Speaker 1: fair against Atlanta. I think this game open pick, and 670 00:37:16,200 --> 00:37:18,320 Speaker 1: the money came in on Philly, probably from the public. 671 00:37:19,000 --> 00:37:20,680 Speaker 1: I think the wise guys sit this one out until 672 00:37:20,719 --> 00:37:23,200 Speaker 1: they get to a better number from the on the Falcons. 673 00:37:24,040 --> 00:37:26,719 Speaker 1: I moved this one to two early this morning from 674 00:37:26,760 --> 00:37:28,919 Speaker 1: one we did open pick. We got some early money 675 00:37:28,920 --> 00:37:31,000 Speaker 1: on the Eagles. I went right to two. But because 676 00:37:31,040 --> 00:37:34,120 Speaker 1: this is the Sunday night game and all those parlays 677 00:37:34,239 --> 00:37:37,000 Speaker 1: rolling into it and the amount of exposure we're going 678 00:37:37,080 --> 00:37:39,960 Speaker 1: to have going to the Eagles, Uh, we would rather 679 00:37:40,000 --> 00:37:41,920 Speaker 1: be on the high side. So I'm going to keep 680 00:37:41,960 --> 00:37:45,440 Speaker 1: inching this just a few bets and see at what 681 00:37:45,600 --> 00:37:48,319 Speaker 1: point the sharp I start taking the Falcons. They haven't 682 00:37:48,360 --> 00:37:50,719 Speaker 1: taken the two, which means I'm going to want the 683 00:37:50,760 --> 00:37:52,799 Speaker 1: two in the hand here. Really think they take two 684 00:37:52,880 --> 00:37:56,080 Speaker 1: and a half, But I definitely think you'll see some 685 00:37:56,160 --> 00:37:58,879 Speaker 1: threes that won't at some point, and I'm wait until 686 00:37:58,880 --> 00:38:02,200 Speaker 1: it gets it three and I'll take it. Anna, I've 687 00:38:02,320 --> 00:38:06,399 Speaker 1: never heard you take Atlanta in any circumstances. Why would 688 00:38:06,400 --> 00:38:09,840 Speaker 1: I say this? That's stupid. Hate you hate the Falcons. 689 00:38:10,200 --> 00:38:14,680 Speaker 1: Hate the Falcons. That was dumb. I can't think if 690 00:38:14,719 --> 00:38:16,439 Speaker 1: I said that, let me re evaluate that. I don't 691 00:38:16,440 --> 00:38:18,239 Speaker 1: want to be I don't want to be stuck to 692 00:38:18,239 --> 00:38:21,240 Speaker 1: a decision yet. Alright, last game Monday night before scooch Roulette, 693 00:38:21,239 --> 00:38:23,120 Speaker 1: and then Darren Revel's coming in and me and him 694 00:38:23,120 --> 00:38:26,880 Speaker 1: and Simon Hunter are doing our uh super contest picks 695 00:38:27,360 --> 00:38:29,439 Speaker 1: Cleveland two and a half point favorite on the road 696 00:38:29,600 --> 00:38:32,800 Speaker 1: at the Jets. I like this, I like this. I 697 00:38:32,840 --> 00:38:36,919 Speaker 1: would take the I would take the Browns in this game. Really, Yeah, 698 00:38:37,000 --> 00:38:40,600 Speaker 1: that's that's rare to take a road favorite like this. Um, 699 00:38:40,600 --> 00:38:43,200 Speaker 1: but the public agrees with you on this one, sharp, 700 00:38:43,280 --> 00:38:48,040 Speaker 1: guys haven't weighed in yet. Uh, this is probably one 701 00:38:48,120 --> 00:38:51,000 Speaker 1: where you know the public isn't just they're not going 702 00:38:51,040 --> 00:38:52,680 Speaker 1: to give up on the Browns. Just talking of that 703 00:38:52,800 --> 00:38:55,320 Speaker 1: we we one performance, they're gonna be all over the 704 00:38:55,360 --> 00:38:57,200 Speaker 1: Browns in this one. Might be another case where you 705 00:38:57,239 --> 00:39:00,279 Speaker 1: see it three by game time. So if you're gonna 706 00:39:00,280 --> 00:39:01,919 Speaker 1: bet the Browns, you probably want them now at two 707 00:39:01,920 --> 00:39:07,720 Speaker 1: and a half. All right, it's time for everybody's favorite 708 00:39:07,719 --> 00:39:20,680 Speaker 1: part of the show. Music. Please, I'd like to wait 709 00:39:20,680 --> 00:39:26,400 Speaker 1: till the last note is wrong. I saw that. That's great, 710 00:39:26,760 --> 00:39:28,439 Speaker 1: give me your pick, Screws. Do you get to go first? 711 00:39:28,440 --> 00:39:32,239 Speaker 1: Because I think you won last week? Okay? Well, I 712 00:39:32,320 --> 00:39:34,799 Speaker 1: hate to be on the same side as uh as 713 00:39:34,840 --> 00:39:37,919 Speaker 1: the wise guys, but I think Cincinnati's the right plate 714 00:39:38,000 --> 00:39:40,600 Speaker 1: minus one at home, and you mentioned you already played it, 715 00:39:40,719 --> 00:39:43,120 Speaker 1: so that just reinforced it for me. All right, you 716 00:39:43,160 --> 00:39:46,319 Speaker 1: know what, I'm gonna go with him? What But here's 717 00:39:46,320 --> 00:39:49,320 Speaker 1: what I want from you. We know this line is 718 00:39:49,360 --> 00:39:52,480 Speaker 1: going to move in the direction I need. So I 719 00:39:52,480 --> 00:39:54,040 Speaker 1: want you to give me half a point, right now, 720 00:39:55,719 --> 00:40:00,799 Speaker 1: give you half a point is uh, let's a good deal. Yeah. 721 00:40:01,000 --> 00:40:03,400 Speaker 1: I want you to give me Pittsburgh minus three and 722 00:40:03,400 --> 00:40:08,759 Speaker 1: a half over Seattle. Okay, I'll do that. It's going 723 00:40:08,840 --> 00:40:12,799 Speaker 1: that way. It is going that way. Yeah, so that's 724 00:40:12,840 --> 00:40:17,399 Speaker 1: not a strategy. Give me Pittsburgh minus three. Come on now, 725 00:40:18,160 --> 00:40:22,879 Speaker 1: no way, I find Pittsburgh minus three. Pittsburgh minus three, 726 00:40:22,880 --> 00:40:24,640 Speaker 1: I'll lay the three and a half, all right, I 727 00:40:24,680 --> 00:40:27,680 Speaker 1: got Pittsburgh. Patrick, We make a note, Patrick, the producer, 728 00:40:27,960 --> 00:40:29,960 Speaker 1: make a note. I have Pittsburgh three at minus three 729 00:40:30,000 --> 00:40:33,440 Speaker 1: and a half. Scooch has Cincinnati minus one that we 730 00:40:33,680 --> 00:40:35,399 Speaker 1: can keep track for next week. So now I don't 731 00:40:35,440 --> 00:40:41,239 Speaker 1: have to listen. Now, now I don't have to listen 732 00:40:41,239 --> 00:40:43,440 Speaker 1: to this fantastic podcast. I don't have to listen back 733 00:40:43,480 --> 00:40:45,000 Speaker 1: to it so to find out what my picks were. 734 00:40:48,600 --> 00:40:51,880 Speaker 1: Bob Scucci, you're the best as always. Let's break another 735 00:40:51,880 --> 00:40:56,400 Speaker 1: record this week. All right, sounds good? Chat. All right, 736 00:40:56,440 --> 00:40:58,640 Speaker 1: we're gonna get back to the podcast in one second. 737 00:40:58,719 --> 00:41:00,800 Speaker 1: But first week one is in the books, folks. But 738 00:41:00,920 --> 00:41:05,360 Speaker 1: DraftKings isn't finished celebrating with some huge fantasy football contests 739 00:41:05,440 --> 00:41:08,400 Speaker 1: for week two of the football season. 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Last week 768 00:42:51,040 --> 00:42:53,239 Speaker 1: we had five picks for the super Contest the Las 769 00:42:53,320 --> 00:42:58,000 Speaker 1: Vegas Westgate Super Book Super Contest season long pick up 770 00:42:58,040 --> 00:43:00,239 Speaker 1: contest for the NFL. You pick five games over course 771 00:43:00,280 --> 00:43:02,319 Speaker 1: of the year. The winner of the more than three 772 00:43:02,320 --> 00:43:05,360 Speaker 1: thousand people who have entered gets one point five million dollars. 773 00:43:05,840 --> 00:43:08,840 Speaker 1: Darren and I started three and two at the end 774 00:43:08,880 --> 00:43:11,520 Speaker 1: of this segment. Professional Better Simon Hunter. He was based 775 00:43:11,600 --> 00:43:15,120 Speaker 1: in the New Jersey area. Legit Professional Better not his name, 776 00:43:15,440 --> 00:43:17,360 Speaker 1: but actually just a fan of the podcast, fan of 777 00:43:17,360 --> 00:43:20,520 Speaker 1: what we do, also a fan of proving us wrong, 778 00:43:20,960 --> 00:43:24,240 Speaker 1: and reached out to me in many weeks ago and said, listen, 779 00:43:24,640 --> 00:43:26,000 Speaker 1: I think you guys are fun, but I don't think 780 00:43:26,040 --> 00:43:27,640 Speaker 1: you know anything, and so I'm gonna come on and 781 00:43:27,680 --> 00:43:29,600 Speaker 1: help you guys figure it out. And last week he 782 00:43:29,640 --> 00:43:32,719 Speaker 1: certainly did. Um, we're gonna have him come on and 783 00:43:32,800 --> 00:43:36,000 Speaker 1: judge in a little bit. First up, Darren, you're you're 784 00:43:36,040 --> 00:43:38,440 Speaker 1: pretty good. You've made some nice choices. Last week, I did. 785 00:43:38,480 --> 00:43:40,200 Speaker 1: I did, I was. I was four and one in 786 00:43:40,280 --> 00:43:43,200 Speaker 1: the Action Network pick him. I was four and one 787 00:43:43,239 --> 00:43:46,520 Speaker 1: in my money bets that I made. I felt pretty 788 00:43:46,520 --> 00:43:49,640 Speaker 1: good and I felt really good. That are big conversation 789 00:43:49,760 --> 00:43:53,520 Speaker 1: was about the Chiefs and the Jaguars, and the Chiefs 790 00:43:53,560 --> 00:43:57,040 Speaker 1: did it and the Jaguars actually might be that bad. 791 00:43:57,400 --> 00:44:00,480 Speaker 1: They might they might be that bad. Need to move 792 00:44:00,480 --> 00:44:02,160 Speaker 1: back a little bit. I don't know if you've ever 793 00:44:02,239 --> 00:44:06,080 Speaker 1: done any kind of television, radio or podcasting or anything, 794 00:44:06,120 --> 00:44:09,120 Speaker 1: but how's that you're a little bit too there you go? 795 00:44:09,320 --> 00:44:12,640 Speaker 1: How's that? Patrick? The producers? I've done this once or 796 00:44:12,640 --> 00:44:15,680 Speaker 1: twice before. But is that okay? You look good? Okay? 797 00:44:15,719 --> 00:44:17,480 Speaker 1: Now I can talk to chat talk to me, talk 798 00:44:17,520 --> 00:44:20,040 Speaker 1: to me, you listen. Also should be noted you're playing 799 00:44:20,040 --> 00:44:22,120 Speaker 1: a little bit hurt. You did the one chip challenge 800 00:44:22,120 --> 00:44:26,400 Speaker 1: of like the super Red Dragon Pepper Chip Carolina Reapers 801 00:44:26,800 --> 00:44:30,080 Speaker 1: top Skollville units. I thank you for giving me an 802 00:44:30,080 --> 00:44:33,000 Speaker 1: extra ten minutes. I am. I'm much better than I 803 00:44:33,080 --> 00:44:35,520 Speaker 1: was ten minutes. And so just also so we know, 804 00:44:35,719 --> 00:44:37,360 Speaker 1: two guys from Action Network who did it with you 805 00:44:37,400 --> 00:44:40,120 Speaker 1: have already gone home. One has gone home, and one 806 00:44:40,239 --> 00:44:44,160 Speaker 1: is down for the count. Definitely not productive today for sure. Okay, 807 00:44:44,239 --> 00:44:48,800 Speaker 1: that's good, it's good. Well, thank god, it's just Tuesday. Um, Darren, 808 00:44:49,560 --> 00:44:52,399 Speaker 1: let's not dilly dally. Let's talk about your picks right now. 809 00:44:53,800 --> 00:44:56,560 Speaker 1: You know, I know the one that you're gonna absolutely 810 00:44:56,640 --> 00:44:59,279 Speaker 1: go nuts over, And I just feel so good I 811 00:44:59,320 --> 00:45:05,960 Speaker 1: know it's basically the biggest point spread, and no, no, 812 00:45:06,200 --> 00:45:09,680 Speaker 1: we're not doing this. But the Patriots are just that 813 00:45:09,800 --> 00:45:13,799 Speaker 1: good and the Dolphins are just that bad that I'd 814 00:45:13,880 --> 00:45:17,600 Speaker 1: recommend that eighteen and a half we enter the Super 815 00:45:17,640 --> 00:45:24,160 Speaker 1: Contest with the Patriots to cover against the Dolphins next. 816 00:45:25,760 --> 00:45:27,960 Speaker 1: That's how you dismissed me with the Jaguars Chiefs when 817 00:45:27,960 --> 00:45:30,239 Speaker 1: I said the Chiefs, all the sharps are on the 818 00:45:30,320 --> 00:45:35,640 Speaker 1: Jaguars Brown's Jets. I think, as I thought last week, 819 00:45:35,760 --> 00:45:41,160 Speaker 1: the Browns are totally overrated. They are uh, they are 820 00:45:41,200 --> 00:45:45,000 Speaker 1: not the sum of their parts, they are each individual parts, 821 00:45:45,360 --> 00:45:49,120 Speaker 1: especially with Odell Beckham and his hundred nine dollar watch. 822 00:45:50,040 --> 00:45:54,439 Speaker 1: I was not that upset with the Jets. Yeah, they 823 00:45:55,120 --> 00:45:59,480 Speaker 1: poached it normal Jets style, But I like the Jets 824 00:46:00,680 --> 00:46:04,279 Speaker 1: at home. They're two and a half point dogs, right, yeah, 825 00:46:04,760 --> 00:46:07,200 Speaker 1: take them alright, So I like the Browns in this game. 826 00:46:07,480 --> 00:46:10,839 Speaker 1: But I could be convinced. I could totally be convinced. 827 00:46:10,880 --> 00:46:13,279 Speaker 1: I do think there are five better picks on the 828 00:46:13,320 --> 00:46:15,880 Speaker 1: board than the Jets than the Jets minus two and 829 00:46:15,920 --> 00:46:18,160 Speaker 1: a half. There might be ten better picks on the 830 00:46:18,200 --> 00:46:21,360 Speaker 1: board than the Patriots minus eighteen and a half. Listen, 831 00:46:21,400 --> 00:46:24,359 Speaker 1: the NFL is so tough. I truly believe it is. 832 00:46:24,400 --> 00:46:27,120 Speaker 1: While we all want to bet it, it is clearly 833 00:46:27,160 --> 00:46:29,840 Speaker 1: not the best sport to bet. It is so difficult, 834 00:46:30,239 --> 00:46:32,640 Speaker 1: and I just like the challenge. I think, which has 835 00:46:32,680 --> 00:46:35,440 Speaker 1: made me stupid of doing Brown's Jets, because I think 836 00:46:35,480 --> 00:46:38,600 Speaker 1: now you'll have the value of saying, well the brown 837 00:46:38,680 --> 00:46:41,040 Speaker 1: You still get value out of the Browns being not 838 00:46:41,200 --> 00:46:43,799 Speaker 1: as good as we thought, because it's week two, if 839 00:46:43,840 --> 00:46:47,279 Speaker 1: that is true, So I I like them. I like 840 00:46:47,400 --> 00:46:52,120 Speaker 1: the Jets two and a half point dogs, Eagles, Falcons. Jesus, 841 00:46:52,480 --> 00:46:54,960 Speaker 1: you're picking like every game. That makes me sick to 842 00:46:55,000 --> 00:46:59,120 Speaker 1: my stomach. Uh. Eagles got off to a very slow start. 843 00:46:59,719 --> 00:47:03,200 Speaker 1: Um the Falcons, I am. You know, we have information, 844 00:47:03,280 --> 00:47:06,919 Speaker 1: but I'm not really leaning anywhere. I think. I think 845 00:47:07,360 --> 00:47:12,120 Speaker 1: the Eagles will know what they're doing. They barely won. Uh. 846 00:47:12,200 --> 00:47:14,320 Speaker 1: You know there were ten point favorites last week. Do 847 00:47:14,480 --> 00:47:19,000 Speaker 1: we take that game? No? Uh? I think the Eagles 848 00:47:19,080 --> 00:47:22,440 Speaker 1: is one point favorites on the road. I like the Eagles. Well, 849 00:47:22,480 --> 00:47:24,919 Speaker 1: the Eagles are two and a half point favorites now 850 00:47:25,080 --> 00:47:27,440 Speaker 1: are Well that's where so the super Contest line is 851 00:47:27,440 --> 00:47:30,960 Speaker 1: gonna wherever it is Okay, I'm fine with two as 852 00:47:30,960 --> 00:47:32,759 Speaker 1: long as it's not three and a half. All right, 853 00:47:32,800 --> 00:47:34,960 Speaker 1: let me explain something to you. Do you know that 854 00:47:35,000 --> 00:47:39,239 Speaker 1: you are basically making all the public pics but like 855 00:47:39,640 --> 00:47:44,040 Speaker 1: violating every cardinal rule of betting, which is don't take 856 00:47:44,160 --> 00:47:47,000 Speaker 1: road favorites. That's all you're doing is taking road favorites 857 00:47:47,080 --> 00:47:49,720 Speaker 1: right now. I don't I don't realize I'm taking road favorites. 858 00:47:50,040 --> 00:47:55,160 Speaker 1: I know I'm not. The Jets are at home. You fine, 859 00:47:55,200 --> 00:47:58,080 Speaker 1: but I'm just taking who I think. You've just decided 860 00:47:58,120 --> 00:48:01,760 Speaker 1: their road favorites. And that's my strategy. It's not my strategy. 861 00:48:01,800 --> 00:48:04,719 Speaker 1: It's not my strategy. I'm just picking who I think. Anyway, 862 00:48:04,960 --> 00:48:08,200 Speaker 1: let's go again. Go ahead, who's next? You got two 863 00:48:08,239 --> 00:48:11,200 Speaker 1: more picks? Okay, now I'm gonna take and now I'm 864 00:48:11,200 --> 00:48:17,520 Speaker 1: gonna take a road dog. The Arizona Cardinals as almost 865 00:48:17,520 --> 00:48:22,279 Speaker 1: a two point two touchdown dog in Baltimore. So Baltimore 866 00:48:22,360 --> 00:48:27,279 Speaker 1: went completely crazy. The Dolphins stink this pick. Yeah, this 867 00:48:27,320 --> 00:48:29,319 Speaker 1: is a definite for us of it. So that was 868 00:48:29,400 --> 00:48:31,440 Speaker 1: my So that was my number two pick. I'm doing 869 00:48:31,440 --> 00:48:34,560 Speaker 1: in order five, three, two, one. That's gone. The ones 870 00:48:34,600 --> 00:48:36,719 Speaker 1: that you're learning a little good. It's like you're you're 871 00:48:36,760 --> 00:48:40,960 Speaker 1: the students, so he's learning from thirteen and a half. Okay, fine, 872 00:48:41,280 --> 00:48:44,360 Speaker 1: and my number one pick, you're not gonna I know 873 00:48:44,400 --> 00:48:53,120 Speaker 1: you're not gonna like it. Away favorite Dallas, who cares 874 00:48:53,160 --> 00:48:57,680 Speaker 1: about FedEx Field doesn't disgust me. I think the Giants 875 00:48:57,719 --> 00:49:03,160 Speaker 1: stink um, but I was impressed with the Cowboys play 876 00:49:03,160 --> 00:49:06,759 Speaker 1: week one. Uh five. I like that number as long 877 00:49:06,840 --> 00:49:09,440 Speaker 1: as it doesn't get to seven. We have to discuss 878 00:49:09,480 --> 00:49:11,920 Speaker 1: what happens if something changes, obviously, but we have to 879 00:49:11,920 --> 00:49:13,840 Speaker 1: put in our picks now. But as long as it 880 00:49:13,880 --> 00:49:16,840 Speaker 1: doesn't get to seven, I'm good. I like Dallas. So again, 881 00:49:16,920 --> 00:49:20,839 Speaker 1: reviewing my picks, I like Dallas. That's a five their 882 00:49:20,880 --> 00:49:25,400 Speaker 1: five point favorite uh at Washington. I like the Arizona 883 00:49:25,480 --> 00:49:29,040 Speaker 1: Cardinals as thirteen and a half point dogs in Baltimore. 884 00:49:29,480 --> 00:49:31,920 Speaker 1: I like the Eagles as what to two and a 885 00:49:32,040 --> 00:49:36,680 Speaker 1: half in Atlanta favorites. I like the Jets as two 886 00:49:36,719 --> 00:49:39,239 Speaker 1: and a half point dogs at home. And I like 887 00:49:39,880 --> 00:49:42,960 Speaker 1: the New England Patriots to cover eighteen and a half 888 00:49:43,840 --> 00:49:47,399 Speaker 1: in Miami. Alright, so those are really good picks. Um, 889 00:49:47,560 --> 00:49:50,160 Speaker 1: I'm gonna give Patrick Simon's number. We're gonna call him up. 890 00:49:50,400 --> 00:49:55,319 Speaker 1: I'm gonna give you my picks right now. UM with 891 00:49:55,440 --> 00:49:58,800 Speaker 1: you on the Cardinals. Let's definitely the Cardinals plus thirteen 892 00:49:58,840 --> 00:50:03,000 Speaker 1: and a half. I like the Giants plus two and 893 00:50:03,000 --> 00:50:05,480 Speaker 1: a half against the Buffalo Bills, and I like him 894 00:50:05,480 --> 00:50:08,360 Speaker 1: better than any pick. You have a couple of reasons. 895 00:50:08,440 --> 00:50:12,400 Speaker 1: Number one, I always like a home team that is 896 00:50:12,480 --> 00:50:18,440 Speaker 1: a short dog. Um. Number two, I feel like everyone 897 00:50:18,600 --> 00:50:20,600 Speaker 1: is betting on the Bills and the reason they're their favorite. 898 00:50:20,680 --> 00:50:24,120 Speaker 1: I quoted this is in the first part of the 899 00:50:24,160 --> 00:50:28,640 Speaker 1: podcast with Bob Scucci. A public perception point spread. It's 900 00:50:28,680 --> 00:50:33,600 Speaker 1: a triple p public perception point spread. Uh. The Giants 901 00:50:33,719 --> 00:50:36,360 Speaker 1: underdogs because they got blown up by the Cowboys in 902 00:50:36,480 --> 00:50:39,480 Speaker 1: one quarter who looked amazing and like world beaters. The 903 00:50:39,520 --> 00:50:42,640 Speaker 1: Bills are favorites because everyone ultimately they won, but they 904 00:50:42,680 --> 00:50:45,359 Speaker 1: still did not play great, and only that people only 905 00:50:45,360 --> 00:50:47,719 Speaker 1: saw the final score and heard the highlights. Oh my god, 906 00:50:47,719 --> 00:50:50,319 Speaker 1: the Bills came back. Nobody was watching that game at 907 00:50:50,800 --> 00:50:53,879 Speaker 1: that game, right, But you're right, but I'm saying it 908 00:50:53,960 --> 00:50:56,319 Speaker 1: was not that convincing they won. I agree with you. 909 00:50:56,920 --> 00:50:58,600 Speaker 1: So I like the Giants plus two and half. Let's 910 00:50:58,600 --> 00:50:59,880 Speaker 1: put that in. I like that. All right, So now 911 00:50:59,880 --> 00:51:05,000 Speaker 1: we got to the Bengals as one point favorites. I 912 00:51:05,040 --> 00:51:08,120 Speaker 1: didn't watch the game against the Seahawks. They played really well. 913 00:51:08,440 --> 00:51:11,640 Speaker 1: The Niners were lucky to beat the Bucks. Um. But 914 00:51:11,719 --> 00:51:13,520 Speaker 1: I'm just doing it because that's what the wise guys 915 00:51:13,520 --> 00:51:16,359 Speaker 1: are doing right now. I'm not I'm not convinced on that. Well, 916 00:51:16,480 --> 00:51:18,200 Speaker 1: you know what, Simon Hunter is going to come on 917 00:51:18,239 --> 00:51:20,520 Speaker 1: and he's gonna make a decision for us. I like 918 00:51:21,800 --> 00:51:26,520 Speaker 1: the Pittsburgh Steelers has four point favorites over the Seattle Seahawks. Again, 919 00:51:27,600 --> 00:51:31,560 Speaker 1: I think that the Seahawks are a little overvalued, um. 920 00:51:31,760 --> 00:51:34,840 Speaker 1: And I think that the Steelers are way undervalued for 921 00:51:34,840 --> 00:51:38,319 Speaker 1: getting blown out by the Patriots on on Sunday night. Okay, 922 00:51:38,600 --> 00:51:44,560 Speaker 1: so that was that Steelers minus four UM and then 923 00:51:45,480 --> 00:51:50,920 Speaker 1: the last game that I want to bet. Sorry about 924 00:51:50,920 --> 00:51:53,680 Speaker 1: that people, You just you know, I got rubbed at 925 00:51:53,719 --> 00:51:56,279 Speaker 1: the microphone a little too close to my to my 926 00:51:56,320 --> 00:52:04,880 Speaker 1: sweatshirt here, Um, why don't you just just the Patriots 927 00:52:04,920 --> 00:52:08,319 Speaker 1: with me? Come on, it's fun way, But I will 928 00:52:08,360 --> 00:52:12,080 Speaker 1: do the cults plus three? What to feel about the Colts. 929 00:52:12,120 --> 00:52:14,880 Speaker 1: I don't think I got any week one information from them, really, 930 00:52:15,080 --> 00:52:17,280 Speaker 1: what I What I got is that it's not a disaster. 931 00:52:17,640 --> 00:52:21,120 Speaker 1: What I got is that, like, there's probably just too much. Again, 932 00:52:21,800 --> 00:52:24,160 Speaker 1: it's week two. It's over reaction. You know. Week two 933 00:52:24,280 --> 00:52:26,719 Speaker 1: is over reaction week. So like the Titans blew up 934 00:52:26,760 --> 00:52:28,920 Speaker 1: the Browns, everybody thought was going to the super Bowl. 935 00:52:29,120 --> 00:52:31,680 Speaker 1: So now bookmakers are thinking, Okay, everyone thinks the Titans 936 00:52:31,680 --> 00:52:34,359 Speaker 1: are so great, and now they're going to overvalue them 937 00:52:34,360 --> 00:52:36,840 Speaker 1: against the Colts, who actually left a lot of points 938 00:52:36,840 --> 00:52:39,239 Speaker 1: on the field against the Chargers and probably could have 939 00:52:39,239 --> 00:52:40,800 Speaker 1: won that game instead of losing it, and over to 940 00:52:40,920 --> 00:52:42,439 Speaker 1: That's what we have to do this week to win. 941 00:52:42,680 --> 00:52:45,520 Speaker 1: We have to play the over values from week one. 942 00:52:45,719 --> 00:52:49,160 Speaker 1: All right, So we're gonna bring Simon in. Simon Hunter, 943 00:52:49,480 --> 00:52:53,799 Speaker 1: are you on the phone? Yes, Oh man, you helped 944 00:52:53,840 --> 00:52:55,680 Speaker 1: us to a big win last week, because you know, 945 00:52:55,760 --> 00:52:58,279 Speaker 1: we went three and two and you got us on 946 00:52:58,320 --> 00:52:59,960 Speaker 1: the Cowboys, and I think that was the deal break 947 00:53:00,000 --> 00:53:01,560 Speaker 1: her there, that's the one that put us over the top. 948 00:53:02,840 --> 00:53:05,240 Speaker 1: Oh yeah, that was That was definitely a no sweat 949 00:53:05,320 --> 00:53:07,120 Speaker 1: kind of game. I knew about five minutes and I 950 00:53:07,160 --> 00:53:09,480 Speaker 1: was gonna be one. Do you look at that game 951 00:53:09,520 --> 00:53:11,640 Speaker 1: and think, oh my god, the Cowboys are world beaters, 952 00:53:11,640 --> 00:53:14,080 Speaker 1: and that's an indication of what they're going to be 953 00:53:14,120 --> 00:53:16,319 Speaker 1: for the rest of the year. Or was that not 954 00:53:16,400 --> 00:53:22,080 Speaker 1: at all? That's definitely a spot where just notoriously, Cowboys 955 00:53:22,120 --> 00:53:25,120 Speaker 1: at home against a divisional rival, they're gonna I knew 956 00:53:25,200 --> 00:53:27,600 Speaker 1: that matchup wise, they're gonna be more more ready for 957 00:53:27,640 --> 00:53:30,319 Speaker 1: that game, and the Giants were gonna be I think 958 00:53:30,320 --> 00:53:32,279 Speaker 1: I told you ays that line was off, but I 959 00:53:32,280 --> 00:53:34,520 Speaker 1: don't know they're gonna kill them that that well, No, 960 00:53:34,640 --> 00:53:36,960 Speaker 1: I was shocked by that. But that what you were 961 00:53:37,000 --> 00:53:40,960 Speaker 1: bringing up is like a great point because we can 962 00:53:40,960 --> 00:53:44,600 Speaker 1: talk about that Redskins Cowboys game because Darren loves it 963 00:53:44,760 --> 00:53:48,080 Speaker 1: and wants to make it part of our picks for 964 00:53:48,080 --> 00:53:49,680 Speaker 1: the Super Contest. How did you do in the Super 965 00:53:49,680 --> 00:53:52,439 Speaker 1: Contest this past week? By the way, I did good 966 00:53:52,440 --> 00:53:55,200 Speaker 1: in Gold. We do a little we do weird with Gold, 967 00:53:55,280 --> 00:53:57,640 Speaker 1: we do chalk, so we I think we lost on 968 00:53:57,680 --> 00:54:03,400 Speaker 1: the Browns and we had the Cowboys rams um Houston 969 00:54:03,560 --> 00:54:05,760 Speaker 1: with the plus seven and then we did the Vikings. 970 00:54:06,400 --> 00:54:08,879 Speaker 1: What does that mean? You do chuck? So like you're 971 00:54:08,920 --> 00:54:12,480 Speaker 1: only taking sides that we might have sa the sharps 972 00:54:12,520 --> 00:54:15,359 Speaker 1: because it's mainly sharps in that competition, so we do 973 00:54:15,400 --> 00:54:18,720 Speaker 1: we do a little differently before. Yeah, that's totally interesting. 974 00:54:18,719 --> 00:54:20,319 Speaker 1: And then how did you do in the in the 975 00:54:21,120 --> 00:54:26,960 Speaker 1: you know, the pedestrian contest that Darren Iron unfortunately went 976 00:54:27,000 --> 00:54:30,399 Speaker 1: three and two. I mean I was all about taking 977 00:54:30,400 --> 00:54:32,040 Speaker 1: the Raiders when I got talked out of it and 978 00:54:32,320 --> 00:54:34,520 Speaker 1: they went Denver. So we lost on the Denver one. 979 00:54:34,680 --> 00:54:38,560 Speaker 1: And you were all about the Jaguars. Yeah, yeah, I 980 00:54:38,640 --> 00:54:41,360 Speaker 1: was waiting for that one. Uh, when I get a 981 00:54:41,400 --> 00:54:43,360 Speaker 1: system that can predict that to be getting hurt on 982 00:54:43,400 --> 00:54:47,319 Speaker 1: his first touchdown, definitely, that's true. That's true. Yeah, that 983 00:54:47,400 --> 00:54:49,360 Speaker 1: was that was a bad one. But I mean it's 984 00:54:49,560 --> 00:54:51,440 Speaker 1: after that in the defense, I've think got in a 985 00:54:51,560 --> 00:54:54,640 Speaker 1: fight the next series out with the Chiefs. I was 986 00:54:54,680 --> 00:54:56,919 Speaker 1: just like, well, that's that's a bad one. Well, look 987 00:54:56,960 --> 00:54:59,560 Speaker 1: like you and I were texting on Sunday and like, 988 00:55:00,320 --> 00:55:03,319 Speaker 1: you know, not just it wasn't Nick Foles. It was 989 00:55:03,440 --> 00:55:07,080 Speaker 1: like you look good, he looked Gardner Minshu looked great, 990 00:55:07,160 --> 00:55:09,880 Speaker 1: Nick Foles looked fun. But it was like the defense preferring, 991 00:55:09,920 --> 00:55:12,680 Speaker 1: I texted, the defense preferring to fight the Chiefs instead 992 00:55:12,719 --> 00:55:14,440 Speaker 1: of tackle the Chiefs. I think is what really did 993 00:55:14,480 --> 00:55:16,440 Speaker 1: us in. I mean, how do you do that home 994 00:55:16,480 --> 00:55:18,000 Speaker 1: in week one in front of your home crown? It 995 00:55:18,080 --> 00:55:20,359 Speaker 1: was pathetically embarrassing. I don't get much to say about 996 00:55:22,400 --> 00:55:25,960 Speaker 1: go ahead, I do. I do understand why he was 997 00:55:26,000 --> 00:55:27,600 Speaker 1: just like that. That was a terrible call. I mean, 998 00:55:28,000 --> 00:55:30,040 Speaker 1: at the Sami Watkins start sounds just like, oh boy, 999 00:55:30,080 --> 00:55:32,200 Speaker 1: here we go. Yeah, I know, right, all right, so 1000 00:55:32,280 --> 00:55:34,600 Speaker 1: you make a great point about the Cowboys. They're now 1001 00:55:34,640 --> 00:55:37,640 Speaker 1: five point favorites on the road at Washington. This should 1002 00:55:37,680 --> 00:55:42,640 Speaker 1: be a classic wise Guy play, like you've got sprinted 1003 00:55:42,680 --> 00:55:45,239 Speaker 1: to the window on Sunday night. As soon as I 1004 00:55:45,280 --> 00:55:47,560 Speaker 1: saw that number, I think I got Washington at six 1005 00:55:47,600 --> 00:55:52,520 Speaker 1: and a half. You guys drive me nuts. You guys 1006 00:55:52,600 --> 00:55:55,759 Speaker 1: drive I know, I know. It's so, that's that's one 1007 00:55:55,760 --> 00:55:57,799 Speaker 1: of those I knew you're gonna say that. We didn't 1008 00:55:57,800 --> 00:55:59,560 Speaker 1: have to put that line there because that's too sharp. 1009 00:55:59,719 --> 00:56:04,320 Speaker 1: That's that's definitely one of those huge pros. It's massive 1010 00:56:04,360 --> 00:56:06,279 Speaker 1: pros versus joes. But also like at the number we 1011 00:56:06,280 --> 00:56:09,280 Speaker 1: would get in the super contest, it's already lost the value, 1012 00:56:09,320 --> 00:56:11,040 Speaker 1: Like it said, a dead number right now, there's no 1013 00:56:12,080 --> 00:56:15,920 Speaker 1: seven to keep counting, all right, I said, if it 1014 00:56:15,960 --> 00:56:17,640 Speaker 1: got to seven. I don't want a part of it. 1015 00:56:17,719 --> 00:56:21,360 Speaker 1: But but but Joe Willie Ravel won last week in 1016 00:56:21,400 --> 00:56:24,480 Speaker 1: the pros versus Joe's so that is very true. Good. 1017 00:56:24,800 --> 00:56:27,719 Speaker 1: That was a great, great week for Joe public. Over 1018 00:56:27,760 --> 00:56:29,919 Speaker 1: the long haul, I'd rather be on the sharp side 1019 00:56:29,960 --> 00:56:34,799 Speaker 1: than the Joe side. We're partners, We're not divergent here. 1020 00:56:34,840 --> 00:56:37,080 Speaker 1: We have the same goal of taking home the one 1021 00:56:37,360 --> 00:56:41,759 Speaker 1: point five Millie. All right, so we um, Darren and 1022 00:56:41,800 --> 00:56:45,200 Speaker 1: I both agree on the Cardinals plus thirteen and a half? 1023 00:56:46,200 --> 00:56:51,799 Speaker 1: Really yeah, um, I like the mentality, but I don't. 1024 00:56:51,840 --> 00:56:53,560 Speaker 1: I'm not a huge fan of rookies on the road 1025 00:56:53,600 --> 00:56:55,839 Speaker 1: in their first start, especially against Harriball is a great, 1026 00:56:55,920 --> 00:56:58,960 Speaker 1: great coach. I mean Baltimore. I told you I think 1027 00:56:58,960 --> 00:57:00,960 Speaker 1: in week three of the precis and I love Baltimore. 1028 00:57:01,000 --> 00:57:03,359 Speaker 1: Week one, I couldn't get enough of that line. So 1029 00:57:04,440 --> 00:57:06,640 Speaker 1: I don't like that spout there. Actually, all right, I'm 1030 00:57:06,680 --> 00:57:08,960 Speaker 1: taking it off the list. Really he gets does he 1031 00:57:09,080 --> 00:57:12,520 Speaker 1: get the right to undo what we agree to? Is 1032 00:57:12,520 --> 00:57:16,640 Speaker 1: he the third cog here is that contractually he's better 1033 00:57:16,680 --> 00:57:19,800 Speaker 1: at this than we are. So that's off now because 1034 00:57:19,800 --> 00:57:21,640 Speaker 1: he doesn't like that's off. I just want to make 1035 00:57:21,640 --> 00:57:23,560 Speaker 1: sure is week two. I want to know the terms 1036 00:57:23,560 --> 00:57:26,040 Speaker 1: and conditions of what's going on here. Again, I'm not 1037 00:57:26,080 --> 00:57:27,640 Speaker 1: trying to stay you wrong, but remember last week and 1038 00:57:27,680 --> 00:57:31,000 Speaker 1: you like the Eagles and you like Seattle Seahawks. Yes, 1039 00:57:32,080 --> 00:57:33,600 Speaker 1: I'm not trying to steal you wrong here, my man. 1040 00:57:33,760 --> 00:57:35,600 Speaker 1: I like when Simon comes after you instead of me. 1041 00:57:36,080 --> 00:57:38,480 Speaker 1: I can take it. If anyone could take it, it's me. 1042 00:57:38,680 --> 00:57:41,880 Speaker 1: You know what Darren loved? He loved the Patriots minus 1043 00:57:41,920 --> 00:57:45,680 Speaker 1: eighteen and a half and as a as a pro. 1044 00:57:46,560 --> 00:57:49,360 Speaker 1: Obviously we're gonna be on Miami, but they the Patriots 1045 00:57:49,360 --> 00:57:53,120 Speaker 1: break every rule there there are no rules with sports betting. 1046 00:57:53,160 --> 00:57:56,520 Speaker 1: What's so, will you let us take it? I honestly 1047 00:57:56,560 --> 00:58:00,640 Speaker 1: would let's do it. This is going to close the 1048 00:58:00,640 --> 00:58:03,680 Speaker 1: twenty one a half, so that's that's by Thursday, it'll 1049 00:58:03,680 --> 00:58:06,640 Speaker 1: be There's no way I will take this. There's no 1050 00:58:06,800 --> 00:58:11,400 Speaker 1: I won't take above. I'm out, So I guess we're 1051 00:58:11,400 --> 00:58:13,840 Speaker 1: probably out. But what about this one? It's such an 1052 00:58:13,840 --> 00:58:17,960 Speaker 1: insane number? What about this? That Patriots defense? Unbelievable, it's scary. 1053 00:58:18,000 --> 00:58:21,000 Speaker 1: The whole thing is, it's unfair. It's Unfair's gonna get it? 1054 00:58:21,080 --> 00:58:23,160 Speaker 1: Can't work out from This is just it's unfair, it 1055 00:58:23,240 --> 00:58:26,760 Speaker 1: really is. What about Giants plus two and a half? 1056 00:58:26,960 --> 00:58:29,040 Speaker 1: Like you did with the Falcon like with the Redskins. 1057 00:58:29,240 --> 00:58:31,720 Speaker 1: As soon as I saw this, I was all over it. 1058 00:58:32,120 --> 00:58:34,600 Speaker 1: Oh yeah, I mean the kind of game where the Bills, 1059 00:58:34,880 --> 00:58:37,320 Speaker 1: if they were playing a semi competent team, they would 1060 00:58:37,320 --> 00:58:43,720 Speaker 1: have got destroyed. But the Giants are so bad? Um 1061 00:58:44,000 --> 00:58:45,919 Speaker 1: I do? I do like the line where I think 1062 00:58:45,920 --> 00:58:51,640 Speaker 1: it's it's up to what plus two and a half? Now? Um, 1063 00:58:51,680 --> 00:58:53,880 Speaker 1: that's another one. Though there's better, there's other better home 1064 00:58:53,920 --> 00:58:56,560 Speaker 1: teams that we could be honest, that that one. Wow, 1065 00:58:56,680 --> 00:58:59,000 Speaker 1: you are like coming after all of our picks. We're 1066 00:58:59,000 --> 00:59:03,120 Speaker 1: not going to submit one pick. You just have one. Sorry, 1067 00:59:03,160 --> 00:59:05,680 Speaker 1: we just have one pick. All right, let's go, We're 1068 00:59:05,720 --> 00:59:09,200 Speaker 1: working through it. What about my what? What? What about my? Uh? 1069 00:59:09,560 --> 00:59:12,200 Speaker 1: Jets is two and a half point dog at home? 1070 00:59:12,440 --> 00:59:17,120 Speaker 1: The Browns are still I'm overreacting maybe on the Browns, 1071 00:59:17,360 --> 00:59:19,960 Speaker 1: but I think they are not the sum of their parts. 1072 00:59:20,480 --> 00:59:23,960 Speaker 1: They are Odell Beckham and his watch and and and 1073 00:59:24,240 --> 00:59:29,320 Speaker 1: Baker Mayfield and whatever dangerous I I I like the 1074 00:59:29,400 --> 00:59:31,520 Speaker 1: Jets is two and a half point dogs at home. 1075 00:59:32,400 --> 00:59:34,120 Speaker 1: I mean, I love the bills last week because I 1076 00:59:34,120 --> 00:59:36,040 Speaker 1: think we have the band your your home or picks 1077 00:59:36,040 --> 00:59:38,840 Speaker 1: of the Jets every week. Um, I do like that 1078 00:59:38,880 --> 00:59:41,160 Speaker 1: spot that I am a Jets fan, but I know 1079 00:59:41,360 --> 00:59:43,960 Speaker 1: so it's like I'm an Eagle San. But I mean 1080 00:59:44,160 --> 00:59:46,000 Speaker 1: I bet against Egos last week and I've been against 1081 00:59:46,080 --> 00:59:47,880 Speaker 1: him this week. Why do you like the Jets in 1082 00:59:47,880 --> 00:59:51,959 Speaker 1: this spot? Uh? The Jets are in a good spider 1083 00:59:52,000 --> 00:59:55,720 Speaker 1: when since they just got embarrassed, and I mean I 1084 00:59:55,760 --> 00:59:58,480 Speaker 1: know the Cleveland's coming embarrassed, but no, no one believes 1085 00:59:58,520 --> 01:00:03,280 Speaker 1: in the Jets. That was horrible, horrible splay. But I 1086 01:00:03,280 --> 01:00:05,160 Speaker 1: mean you knew it was happening, you knew it was 1087 01:00:05,400 --> 01:00:11,720 Speaker 1: You let him finish. He's the professional. Um, I just 1088 01:00:12,080 --> 01:00:13,720 Speaker 1: I do I do like to pick with the Jets. 1089 01:00:13,760 --> 01:00:17,400 Speaker 1: I mean a home team. I think they're catching yeah 1090 01:00:17,480 --> 01:00:19,200 Speaker 1: plus two and a half and they're probably getting less 1091 01:00:19,200 --> 01:00:23,320 Speaker 1: than that. I mean, we two. It's it's a great overaction. 1092 01:00:23,320 --> 01:00:25,640 Speaker 1: As a sharp, you just you get so much values 1093 01:00:25,680 --> 01:00:28,160 Speaker 1: in these lines. This week our app says it's uh 1094 01:00:28,240 --> 01:00:32,760 Speaker 1: that you're getting of the money. Wow, I think that 1095 01:00:32,760 --> 01:00:36,040 Speaker 1: that's going to go up to three in May. All right, 1096 01:00:36,080 --> 01:00:41,400 Speaker 1: you know what, I'll tell you what let's let's let's 1097 01:00:41,400 --> 01:00:43,560 Speaker 1: think about the Jets at plus two and a half, 1098 01:00:43,920 --> 01:00:48,360 Speaker 1: and let's what do you think of them? What do 1099 01:00:48,360 --> 01:00:54,000 Speaker 1: you think of the Bengals minus one? Um. I love 1100 01:00:54,120 --> 01:00:56,200 Speaker 1: this spot in the sense that like same with the 1101 01:00:56,280 --> 01:00:59,000 Speaker 1: last week in the Bengals, is that it was a 1102 01:00:59,080 --> 01:01:01,720 Speaker 1: knew all offense and I know that that's why a 1103 01:01:01,760 --> 01:01:03,600 Speaker 1: lot of people didn't want to take the Bengals. But 1104 01:01:03,760 --> 01:01:06,320 Speaker 1: the Bengals always start out really good. I mean, it's 1105 01:01:06,360 --> 01:01:07,800 Speaker 1: the middle of the season where they always just fall 1106 01:01:07,880 --> 01:01:12,480 Speaker 1: apart and disappear. But san fran I don't think every 1107 01:01:12,480 --> 01:01:14,240 Speaker 1: week they can count on two picks six is to 1108 01:01:14,240 --> 01:01:16,200 Speaker 1: get them into a game. I mean, everything you said 1109 01:01:16,200 --> 01:01:18,720 Speaker 1: about Jimmy's last week being through, you look very bad. 1110 01:01:19,520 --> 01:01:22,320 Speaker 1: So this is a good spot for the Bengals. I 1111 01:01:22,360 --> 01:01:25,640 Speaker 1: feel like you're not being convincing enough in telling us 1112 01:01:25,640 --> 01:01:29,120 Speaker 1: what we should do. I mean, I have other like 1113 01:01:29,200 --> 01:01:31,520 Speaker 1: you guys are picking games at where I do. I 1114 01:01:31,600 --> 01:01:34,360 Speaker 1: do like the Bengals, but like with home teams, like 1115 01:01:34,360 --> 01:01:37,560 Speaker 1: I like Pittsburgh a lot. That's like great, it's on 1116 01:01:37,600 --> 01:01:41,600 Speaker 1: my list. Pittsburgh is on my list. I mean Seattle. 1117 01:01:42,200 --> 01:01:44,720 Speaker 1: I think everyone saw last week there their new offense 1118 01:01:44,760 --> 01:01:46,360 Speaker 1: style is going to be to run it and rustle, 1119 01:01:46,400 --> 01:01:48,760 Speaker 1: not to pass that lunch. And you can't be doing 1120 01:01:48,760 --> 01:01:51,720 Speaker 1: that against Pittsburgh at home where they're notorious for big 1121 01:01:51,840 --> 01:01:54,439 Speaker 1: Ben throw for four or five on your doing. Okay, 1122 01:01:54,480 --> 01:01:58,520 Speaker 1: So I I'll just say I'm gonna third that. So 1123 01:01:58,600 --> 01:02:01,080 Speaker 1: we're in on the Steelers right now. I see us 1124 01:02:01,160 --> 01:02:04,360 Speaker 1: doing right now, I have this the Jets plus two 1125 01:02:04,360 --> 01:02:09,960 Speaker 1: and a half, Bengals minus one, Steelers minus four. Okay, 1126 01:02:10,080 --> 01:02:11,760 Speaker 1: And then if if you guys talked about all about 1127 01:02:11,760 --> 01:02:14,040 Speaker 1: the Colts, dude, the Cults are the next one on 1128 01:02:14,080 --> 01:02:16,640 Speaker 1: my list. Cults plus three. I've already bet the Cults 1129 01:02:16,640 --> 01:02:20,280 Speaker 1: plus three. I mean, they should have won that game 1130 01:02:20,320 --> 01:02:23,760 Speaker 1: by seven. So that's what I think. People got really 1131 01:02:23,840 --> 01:02:26,360 Speaker 1: lucky with their Jesus and their bath. That's what I think. 1132 01:02:26,400 --> 01:02:28,760 Speaker 1: I think the Colts like left so many points on 1133 01:02:28,800 --> 01:02:32,120 Speaker 1: the field. They got like the Chargers got so lucky 1134 01:02:32,120 --> 01:02:34,000 Speaker 1: to win this game. And it's one of these things 1135 01:02:34,000 --> 01:02:36,880 Speaker 1: where like this is this is another one a public 1136 01:02:36,920 --> 01:02:40,440 Speaker 1: perception point spread right, Like everyone saw Tennessee destroy the Browns, 1137 01:02:40,520 --> 01:02:43,200 Speaker 1: big high profile game, and all anyone knows is that 1138 01:02:43,240 --> 01:02:45,960 Speaker 1: the Chiefs that the Cults lost to the Chargers and overtime. 1139 01:02:46,000 --> 01:02:47,520 Speaker 1: They don't really know how they didn't watch the game. 1140 01:02:48,200 --> 01:02:49,680 Speaker 1: I need to, I need to, I need to lodge 1141 01:02:49,680 --> 01:02:53,080 Speaker 1: a special request here. I need another Joe Public with 1142 01:02:53,120 --> 01:02:56,480 Speaker 1: me because you guys are talking your sharp language all 1143 01:02:56,480 --> 01:02:59,440 Speaker 1: over the place here and it really it's it's annoying, 1144 01:02:59,560 --> 01:03:02,080 Speaker 1: like this is how we lose the super contest, you 1145 01:03:02,080 --> 01:03:04,560 Speaker 1: guys patting each other on the back and saying how 1146 01:03:04,600 --> 01:03:08,120 Speaker 1: great your theories are. I need another Joe Public with 1147 01:03:08,200 --> 01:03:09,960 Speaker 1: me next week so that we did that week ago. 1148 01:03:11,880 --> 01:03:14,760 Speaker 1: By the way, we're giving you the Jets. Yes, okay, 1149 01:03:14,880 --> 01:03:19,520 Speaker 1: you have the Jets all right, Simon in your is 1150 01:03:19,560 --> 01:03:21,320 Speaker 1: not that terrible thing? No, I know, I know, I 1151 01:03:21,320 --> 01:03:22,800 Speaker 1: know we're gonna be in the money, buddy, I know. 1152 01:03:23,160 --> 01:03:25,320 Speaker 1: Let's talk about this, Simon. You did this so well 1153 01:03:25,400 --> 01:03:28,000 Speaker 1: last week. You had us on a public favorite on 1154 01:03:28,080 --> 01:03:32,200 Speaker 1: the Cowboys. Like when you're looking at your numbers, what's 1155 01:03:32,200 --> 01:03:34,120 Speaker 1: the fifth game we should put in there? That is 1156 01:03:34,200 --> 01:03:38,040 Speaker 1: a sort of public side that will appease my friend 1157 01:03:38,120 --> 01:03:43,120 Speaker 1: Darren Um. I don't know if it's the public side 1158 01:03:43,120 --> 01:03:45,200 Speaker 1: because I think people are could probably be taken the Saints, 1159 01:03:45,200 --> 01:03:52,120 Speaker 1: but I do like l a the Rams tell me why, Um, 1160 01:03:52,160 --> 01:03:55,280 Speaker 1: I mean it's saying it's six and a half, So 1161 01:03:55,320 --> 01:03:58,440 Speaker 1: I think it's it's more about um, Like I obviously 1162 01:03:58,440 --> 01:04:00,360 Speaker 1: put an updated all the numbers of stuff. I'm not 1163 01:04:00,400 --> 01:04:05,280 Speaker 1: overreacting too much the weak one, but l A Rams, 1164 01:04:05,280 --> 01:04:08,040 Speaker 1: They're they're line, their d line is incredible and golf 1165 01:04:08,080 --> 01:04:11,120 Speaker 1: played absolutely terrible last week and they were still they 1166 01:04:11,120 --> 01:04:14,960 Speaker 1: were up by ten points. I think at Carolina and 1167 01:04:15,000 --> 01:04:18,280 Speaker 1: that New Orleans team is I think New Orleans showed 1168 01:04:18,280 --> 01:04:23,240 Speaker 1: who they were too. So I'm I'm I mean Bill 1169 01:04:23,240 --> 01:04:26,120 Speaker 1: O'Brien wasn't a bad coach. Houston would have won that game. 1170 01:04:27,680 --> 01:04:30,600 Speaker 1: Was that defense on that last play where they needed 1171 01:04:30,600 --> 01:04:34,720 Speaker 1: exactly like seven yards and they were playing preven? Yeah, seriously, 1172 01:04:35,200 --> 01:04:37,760 Speaker 1: I honestly was. I had the money line on Houston. 1173 01:04:37,840 --> 01:04:40,480 Speaker 1: I was just like, am I really watching the prevent defense? 1174 01:04:40,480 --> 01:04:43,080 Speaker 1: And all they needed a field goal? Yeah? That was 1175 01:04:43,120 --> 01:04:45,160 Speaker 1: pretty stunning, and like everyone just sort of standing on 1176 01:04:45,200 --> 01:04:47,920 Speaker 1: the sideline like yep, this is what we're gonna do. Yeah, 1177 01:04:48,120 --> 01:04:50,640 Speaker 1: this is this is clearly the best defensive strategy. I 1178 01:04:50,640 --> 01:04:52,800 Speaker 1: actually thought Drew Brees was gonna mess it up because 1179 01:04:52,800 --> 01:04:55,120 Speaker 1: he thought of how he like they confused him with 1180 01:04:55,160 --> 01:04:57,080 Speaker 1: how good of a look they gave him? Like it 1181 01:04:57,160 --> 01:05:00,720 Speaker 1: was just too easy? Anyway, I I really want our 1182 01:05:00,760 --> 01:05:04,400 Speaker 1: fifth pick to be um New England minus eighteen and 1183 01:05:04,440 --> 01:05:10,040 Speaker 1: a half so many points, No way. If it's how 1184 01:05:10,120 --> 01:05:13,280 Speaker 1: but if it stays under twenty, we go with it. 1185 01:05:13,320 --> 01:05:16,120 Speaker 1: If it goes above twenty. But this is just stupid, 1186 01:05:16,160 --> 01:05:18,560 Speaker 1: Like why do you want to play against the percentages? 1187 01:05:18,680 --> 01:05:20,720 Speaker 1: Like do you want to win? One point? You like 1188 01:05:20,880 --> 01:05:23,480 Speaker 1: money more than anybody else. I know I do like money, Like, 1189 01:05:23,760 --> 01:05:26,720 Speaker 1: so why do you want to pick a team where 1190 01:05:26,760 --> 01:05:30,600 Speaker 1: the percentage is so heavily against you? Like I think 1191 01:05:30,600 --> 01:05:35,440 Speaker 1: the dolt who what team? What players are requesting trades 1192 01:05:35,600 --> 01:05:42,480 Speaker 1: after week one? I mean all the percentages. I think 1193 01:05:42,480 --> 01:05:46,520 Speaker 1: that Dolphins are completely dysfunctional. I don't even think they 1194 01:05:46,560 --> 01:05:49,400 Speaker 1: want to play. I think they're just we want to 1195 01:05:49,440 --> 01:05:51,720 Speaker 1: be They'll be on the field because they get a paycheck, 1196 01:05:52,080 --> 01:05:54,920 Speaker 1: and Tom Brady and Bill Belichick want to ram it 1197 01:05:55,120 --> 01:05:57,960 Speaker 1: down their throats. They want to put up sixty if 1198 01:05:57,960 --> 01:06:04,360 Speaker 1: they can. I think this is free money. Signon Simon 1199 01:06:04,400 --> 01:06:06,240 Speaker 1: be the time. Wish I can talk him off the ledge, 1200 01:06:06,280 --> 01:06:08,960 Speaker 1: but I'm within I love the Patriots to one of 1201 01:06:08,960 --> 01:06:11,560 Speaker 1: those games that as a pro like, I had to 1202 01:06:11,600 --> 01:06:15,000 Speaker 1: take Miami's money lines. But they're there. They looked like 1203 01:06:15,080 --> 01:06:18,040 Speaker 1: they quit. If I watched that entire Baltimore game. I'm 1204 01:06:18,040 --> 01:06:19,800 Speaker 1: not the points back guy that bought all that money, 1205 01:06:19,840 --> 01:06:22,080 Speaker 1: but I had a lot on in the Baltimore game 1206 01:06:22,160 --> 01:06:25,440 Speaker 1: and I was just laughing. But they were not trying. 1207 01:06:25,480 --> 01:06:28,400 Speaker 1: They do not want to play for that team. Are 1208 01:06:28,440 --> 01:06:31,120 Speaker 1: you guys kidding me that you're both gonna say, let's 1209 01:06:31,120 --> 01:06:34,280 Speaker 1: take the Patriots over the Rams. I think it's a 1210 01:06:34,280 --> 01:06:40,560 Speaker 1: more comfortable game for me and that and that's ut um. 1211 01:06:40,800 --> 01:06:45,360 Speaker 1: I would go Patriots, all right, as long as it 1212 01:06:45,440 --> 01:06:50,320 Speaker 1: does at twenties my number. Okay, if nineteen and a 1213 01:06:50,360 --> 01:06:52,640 Speaker 1: half is the last number we take that once it 1214 01:06:52,720 --> 01:06:55,000 Speaker 1: hits twenty, I'll give you the Rams. So what do 1215 01:06:55,000 --> 01:06:56,400 Speaker 1: you guys do for Becca? I mean, I know you're 1216 01:06:56,400 --> 01:06:59,280 Speaker 1: not gonna want to do Denver against you Bears. No 1217 01:06:59,360 --> 01:07:01,680 Speaker 1: do we have five now? Well we have five right now. 1218 01:07:01,720 --> 01:07:03,120 Speaker 1: But if we don't do that, if the if the 1219 01:07:03,160 --> 01:07:05,360 Speaker 1: Patriots never moved, because the Westgate numbers don't come out 1220 01:07:05,360 --> 01:07:07,800 Speaker 1: till Wednesday night, we're recording, and I do think it's 1221 01:07:07,840 --> 01:07:13,720 Speaker 1: gonna I won't do do you like Denver against the Bears? 1222 01:07:13,760 --> 01:07:17,760 Speaker 1: Is that your next best? Like system play there? I 1223 01:07:17,760 --> 01:07:22,320 Speaker 1: mean every year I do this, It's it's unbelievable how 1224 01:07:22,440 --> 01:07:24,960 Speaker 1: under value Denver does in the first two weeks. I 1225 01:07:24,960 --> 01:07:30,120 Speaker 1: think they're nineteen one straight up at home. M so, 1226 01:07:30,160 --> 01:07:32,720 Speaker 1: I mean, just playing the percentages, it's it's one of 1227 01:07:32,720 --> 01:07:36,080 Speaker 1: those games where I think Denver is probably gonna close 1228 01:07:36,160 --> 01:07:38,160 Speaker 1: at three plus three plus three and a half and 1229 01:07:39,000 --> 01:07:40,640 Speaker 1: I don't see if there's winning buy more on the 1230 01:07:40,680 --> 01:07:45,040 Speaker 1: field goal. But that's one of those games where everyone 1231 01:07:45,160 --> 01:07:49,160 Speaker 1: just watched them on Monday night look terrible. Yeah, I agree, 1232 01:07:49,320 --> 01:07:51,640 Speaker 1: I totally agree. All right, so we're gonna we'll go 1233 01:07:51,680 --> 01:07:54,920 Speaker 1: with the Patriots and then our backup will be the Broncos. Okay, 1234 01:07:55,200 --> 01:07:57,320 Speaker 1: well do you like the Broncos? You guys like Green 1235 01:07:57,360 --> 01:08:00,880 Speaker 1: Bay at home? I don't love Green Green Bay to 1236 01:08:00,960 --> 01:08:03,400 Speaker 1: me is uh, I don't know what to think of them. 1237 01:08:03,480 --> 01:08:07,000 Speaker 1: They're like, I look at it. Ye, yeah, I don't 1238 01:08:07,040 --> 01:08:10,320 Speaker 1: like this. I don't like this game though, because oh look, 1239 01:08:10,360 --> 01:08:12,040 Speaker 1: I should. What I should really say is that it's 1240 01:08:12,120 --> 01:08:16,040 Speaker 1: like it's the same philosophy for why I am betting 1241 01:08:16,080 --> 01:08:20,320 Speaker 1: other games, like the Steelers got blown out. The Seahawks 1242 01:08:20,320 --> 01:08:23,040 Speaker 1: are coming in hyped, The Vikings are coming in hyped. 1243 01:08:23,160 --> 01:08:26,280 Speaker 1: The Packers didn't play very well national television games. I 1244 01:08:26,320 --> 01:08:30,880 Speaker 1: should be on the Packers. I think like the Packers 1245 01:08:30,920 --> 01:08:32,479 Speaker 1: better than the Broncos. I think I just talked myself 1246 01:08:32,479 --> 01:08:34,519 Speaker 1: into it. Oh no, no, no, no, let me tell 1247 01:08:34,520 --> 01:08:36,960 Speaker 1: you why I'm not Packers. For me, it's like Mike 1248 01:08:37,040 --> 01:08:40,000 Speaker 1: McCarthy should be on the sidelines. He's not. I don't 1249 01:08:40,000 --> 01:08:43,800 Speaker 1: know if what I'm just saying, no, no, hold on, 1250 01:08:43,880 --> 01:08:46,680 Speaker 1: hold on, I'm saying that it's all false. It's like 1251 01:08:46,720 --> 01:08:50,240 Speaker 1: Aaron Rodgers. Is he the Aaron Rodgers of old? Maybe not? 1252 01:08:50,520 --> 01:08:54,680 Speaker 1: I have an identity crisis problem with the Packers. I'm 1253 01:08:54,680 --> 01:08:58,800 Speaker 1: not saying Mike McCarthy deserves just play a top three 1254 01:08:58,840 --> 01:09:01,880 Speaker 1: defense at home any night. Also, can we not be 1255 01:09:02,000 --> 01:09:06,680 Speaker 1: making decisions based on Darren's psychological issues with Mike McCarthy, 1256 01:09:06,720 --> 01:09:08,479 Speaker 1: whether or not he's still in the field, or if 1257 01:09:08,479 --> 01:09:11,720 Speaker 1: Aaron Rodgers is you know, the greatest quarterback who's ever 1258 01:09:11,720 --> 01:09:16,880 Speaker 1: played or not? Like, can we can we take the 1259 01:09:16,920 --> 01:09:18,880 Speaker 1: advice of the guy who does this for a living? 1260 01:09:18,880 --> 01:09:22,800 Speaker 1: Do you know who I am? Just just once, can 1261 01:09:22,840 --> 01:09:24,800 Speaker 1: we take that We're going with the Patriots. If we 1262 01:09:24,800 --> 01:09:27,080 Speaker 1: don't get the Patriots, let's go with the Packers or 1263 01:09:27,080 --> 01:09:31,559 Speaker 1: the Broncos. What's the Packers spread three three? They're at home. 1264 01:09:35,360 --> 01:09:38,760 Speaker 1: You know what, I'm making an executive decision. We're going 1265 01:09:38,800 --> 01:09:40,839 Speaker 1: with the Packers. If we don't go with this pot, 1266 01:09:41,200 --> 01:09:47,599 Speaker 1: we're going with the Packers. Get this guy a resume, Simon, 1267 01:09:48,160 --> 01:09:49,680 Speaker 1: anything else you want to say? Do you feel like 1268 01:09:49,720 --> 01:09:51,799 Speaker 1: we ended up in the right place? Let me recap 1269 01:09:52,400 --> 01:09:57,320 Speaker 1: Jets um plus uh two and a half Bengals minus 1270 01:10:00,160 --> 01:10:04,640 Speaker 1: Bengals minus one, Steelers minus four Colts plus three Patriots 1271 01:10:04,680 --> 01:10:08,040 Speaker 1: as long as it stays below three touchdowns uh and 1272 01:10:08,080 --> 01:10:12,639 Speaker 1: if not, then the Packers minus three. I liked before 1273 01:10:12,640 --> 01:10:15,879 Speaker 1: I go today is sure side awareness today. So definitely 1274 01:10:15,960 --> 01:10:17,880 Speaker 1: reach out to friends if you never known needs a 1275 01:10:17,880 --> 01:10:21,920 Speaker 1: phone call. I like that. Today's Tuesday. I like that message. 1276 01:10:22,840 --> 01:10:25,679 Speaker 1: And my point is trying not to let it get 1277 01:10:25,680 --> 01:10:28,880 Speaker 1: to that point you know someone. Definite always reach out 1278 01:10:28,880 --> 01:10:34,200 Speaker 1: for help. Keep an eyeing your friends, see something. I 1279 01:10:34,280 --> 01:10:37,479 Speaker 1: like that, Simon, Simon Hunter, you'll join us every week 1280 01:10:37,520 --> 01:10:39,400 Speaker 1: and you will give us good advice. And you promised, 1281 01:10:39,439 --> 01:10:41,240 Speaker 1: you promised last week. You're gonna get us in the money, 1282 01:10:41,240 --> 01:10:42,760 Speaker 1: and you got us at three and two last week, 1283 01:10:43,200 --> 01:10:45,519 Speaker 1: and it's a good start for us. It is a 1284 01:10:45,640 --> 01:10:49,200 Speaker 1: very good start. Hard hard dealing picks on Tuesday. But 1285 01:10:49,200 --> 01:10:50,960 Speaker 1: we're gonna make it work. We're gonna get there. Hey, 1286 01:10:51,000 --> 01:10:52,679 Speaker 1: if we do this right, you're not going to talk 1287 01:10:52,680 --> 01:10:54,360 Speaker 1: to us towards the end of the season because we're 1288 01:10:54,360 --> 01:10:58,160 Speaker 1: gonna be competing from the one point five. He's in 1289 01:10:58,160 --> 01:11:00,439 Speaker 1: the goal. He by the way, this guy is so good. 1290 01:11:00,479 --> 01:11:02,200 Speaker 1: He isn't. The one point five is chump changed for 1291 01:11:02,200 --> 01:11:04,519 Speaker 1: this guy. He isn't. We need it. We need a 1292 01:11:04,840 --> 01:11:08,640 Speaker 1: Sean Connery introduction for this guy. No now on the 1293 01:11:08,680 --> 01:11:12,839 Speaker 1: Favorites Podcast, Simon, I agree, let's get one done. Patrick 1294 01:11:12,880 --> 01:11:16,280 Speaker 1: the producer, we're telling him we need an introt for Simon. Simon, 1295 01:11:16,360 --> 01:11:21,040 Speaker 1: thank you brother, all right, thanks, all right. This has 1296 01:11:21,080 --> 01:11:23,720 Speaker 1: been the Favorites Podcast from the Action Network. I want 1297 01:11:23,720 --> 01:11:26,160 Speaker 1: to thank Bob Scuccy, bookmaker to the world from Boyd 1298 01:11:26,200 --> 01:11:29,960 Speaker 1: Gaming for coming on the podcast. As always, Darren Revel, 1299 01:11:30,680 --> 01:11:35,120 Speaker 1: my nemesis, my public nemesis, Simon Hunter, the professional better 1300 01:11:35,120 --> 01:11:37,120 Speaker 1: who's going to keep us straight, thank you for coming 1301 01:11:37,160 --> 01:11:40,760 Speaker 1: on the podcast. Download the download the favorites. Download the 1302 01:11:40,800 --> 01:11:46,120 Speaker 1: podcast from Apple Podcast, rate review, subscribe, un subscribe, re subscribe, 1303 01:11:46,320 --> 01:11:49,519 Speaker 1: Go to radio dot com search for the favorites. Are 1304 01:11:49,600 --> 01:11:52,479 Speaker 1: partners at radio dot com. We got our brand new show, 1305 01:11:53,400 --> 01:11:56,360 Speaker 1: Me and Scooch Sunday Mornings twelve to one. Countdown to 1306 01:11:56,439 --> 01:11:59,200 Speaker 1: kick off from the Action Network on radio dot com. 1307 01:11:59,520 --> 01:12:03,599 Speaker 1: You're gonna You're at the beginning this Sunday. Thank you, 1308 01:12:04,760 --> 01:12:11,640 Speaker 1: Love you, M